skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I think the right way to measure the correctness of the model is to compare it with various other predictions:

-Predictions from the general public

-Predictions from football experts

-Predictions from other mathematical models

For example: If over time, the new model is 5% better than the best of the old models, then it's very good.

Doesn't make much sense to compare it with reality and jump to the conclussion that the model doesn't work because no prediction can be 100% accurate.
No shit. The comment you're responding to included the words "catching up"...
Joe Edelman talks about an alternative that I find compelling, if not slightly idealistic.

https://medium.com/what-to-build/how-to-design-social-system...

Basically, if you focus on how people want to approach their goals/passions, instead of the goal itself, you get a really good idea of why they're doing something. If you know why they're doing something, you can design systems allowing get better genuine engagement. So, you stop designing for attention (which can be exploitative and bad) and start designing for meaning (which is empowering and enjoyable).

Applied to this problem of the lonely blogger/streamer, I'm not sure what the solution is... I'll think about it and post a reply later to avoid a wall of text.
Eric Lundgren’s electric car goes farther than Tesla. He’s also going to prison
There's usually some happy or at least less unhappy middle ground.

Yes, businesses often have unique needs and sometimes they're so unique and so critical that they're worth heavily customizing for.

On the other hand, I like telling a story from not that many years ago when a very small business (I'm talking like 10 people) wanted to get off running their own Exchange server. Exchange made sense when they set it up but Gmail and the like had come on the scene since.

The CEO eventually had to mandate it because the person who ran the business side of things was incredibly strongly opposed because they were used to storing emails associated with contracts in a hierarchical folder structure and, at the time, Gmail didn't support nested labels.

In that case, change how you do things to match the software was absolutely the right answer.
Maps make even more sense to be free for the public to access, than the summary of human knowledge known as Wikipedia.

This is a literal description of the physical space we occupy. The knowledge of "what is there" should not be owned by any entity.

Now, I am aware that map data includes more than just "what is there" and one could argue that certain types of metadata can be more appropriately owned than others. But on the whole they should be the minority. In particular, the metadata required to "make sense of it all" should be free: Systems for searching between the wildly different naming conventions and other mapping oddities in various parts of the world.

I am also aware that certain parts of map data may be classified to certain governments. Exceptions could be made. I'm not sure what the best solution is but it's not that important as these spots are a minority of the world's mapped area.
Interesting, I wonder if it's linked with thyroid hormones. In culture, that would seem odd, unless it's binding to receptors in a manner that hormones would, or competing with hormones in the growth serum?

I'm only a make-believe biologist.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17540190
Nothing about the BBB in that paper.
> 2880x1800 resolution

That's a bit of shame that they still haven't up since the introduction of the very first 15" Retina. Default scaling on the new 15" looks blurry as it's not 1:4 pixel matching.
Time for Bezos to endow a university and some libraries?

An earlier major technical university endowed by the richest person of the time is a pretty awesome place... (he says with no bias whatsoever. :-)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Carnegie
Hybrid device harvests both mechanical and magnetic energy
1-2 signups a week means maybe 100 signups per year? Given that conversions are measured in percent, I would say it's no wonder you're not seeing any. Find a (targeted) way to send more people to your site.
Clearly the next step is server-side Browsh formatting via HTTP content-negotiation.

(Further, via 3rd-party proxies if a particular site can't offer it.)
Yeah, this is basically the norm for a lot of artists and creators in general. You start out with no audience, and unless you somehow become a viral hit quite quickly, it's likely you'll spend months or years building up your work to the point it attracts one.

You could write the same story about YouTubers, bloggers, artists, musicians, business owners and software engineers. Many try, most either fail or struggle in relative obscurity.
Author of the software here, not the author of the article. Browsh is primarily aimed at those without fast and/or cheap bandwidth, yet still want access to the modern web. There are vast swathes of the world where downloading a 10Mb website is non-trivial. There are traditionally 2 solutions to such a problem, lynx et al or VNC. Lynx et al do not support the modern web and VNC is not a text-native application. Browsh somewhat ironically also has a browser client (although not yet at feature parity with the TTY client), that further improves accessibility to the modern web for those aforementioned citizens of the slow and expensive web.

Edit: Why do you think my coding standards are under any more suspicion than anyone elses? Just because Browsh is new?
> True Tone adaptive display

I think I might buy it just from that.
And Mansa Musa who would have had a modern net worth north of $400B. He nearly destroyed a regional economy when he went to make hajj to Mecca just doing his personal shopping and handing money out to beggars, some would have it that he had to take out ridiculous loans to try and undo some of the damage he did by dumping 1.5 billion dollars plus of gold into the economy.
Having a hard time believing this - as they say in the video 30% profit margins are v rare in the auto industry. I trust Munro though...
Back (some time ago) when work, etc., had me spending a lot of time on Windows, I found and used this generous free and open-source project.

https://www.codeproject.com/articles/5371/todolist

Looking now at the revision history, it looks as if something may have happened to Dan after last summer.

It wasn't plaintext, but it and its format are open. And I found it a pretty good combination of features in a compact presentation.

There've been a couple of recent "to do" threads, that made me think of this. This thread finally got me to look it up.

I never tried this:

http://abstractspoon.com/wiki/doku.php?id=linux
I like your point about the number of people in the Lincoln Tunnel and people dying in crashes.

I agree it's a genuinely difficult problem, but we might agree for different reasons. I think it's a genuinely difficult problem because there is no way to make a flying car as safe as a car that is stuck to the ground. There's just not. Normal cars break down, they run out of gas, they stop working all the time. You coast to a stop and call a tow truck. Flying cars break down and you plummet to your death. Normal cars crash into each other in just 2 dimensions. Flying cars crash into each other in three dimensions, and then you plummet to your death. Normal cars get stuck in traffic and sit with their engines at idle, producing small amounts of pollution, noise, wind and heat, yet still contribute substantially to global warming. Flying cars sitting at idle in a traffic jam still have to hover above the ground, which means they're running their engines almost as hard as if they were actually moving, producing tons more waste byproduct than even the most gas-guzzling SUV.

Of course, my argument isn't "flying cars are a bad idea", so all of those points might seem offtopic. But it links back to the idea that we already have flying cars and we've already realized that it's a terrible idea. Short of true anti-gravity, a flying car is always going to be less safe, more polluting, more complicated mechanically, and is always a bad idea. If people actually wanted flying cars, we would deal with the downsides long enough for smart people to overcome the reliability and price issues, but overcoming "plummeting to your death" is a genuinely difficult problem that only has one solution: true anti-grav that works even when the power is disconnected. Since that's a far-future sci-fi plot, the closest thing we have to flying cars is a helicopter.

It just turns out that using them as reliable daily individual transport is a really bad idea.
PDF/A is an open standard, but it's pretty rare to see a PDF document in the wild that is actually PDF/A compliant. People generally just use the built-in PDF export in some word processor (usually no PDF/A option at all) or use Acrobat (doesn't do PDF/A by default). And non-PDF/A documents can have a laundry list of odd closed features that may or may not be supported by various readers.

In general the landscape of PDF compatibility has improved a lot, but it's still a lot worse than HTML.
> Amazon is trying to do the same, but they haven't done so yet. They are not wildly profitable (if at all). They haven't monopolized online retail (and may never be able to do so).

Please tell me you're being sarcastic.

They're hiding profits and just plowing all the revenue back into the business while undercutting both competitors and their own employees.
>We moderate every report, with both a back end review, and front end/human review of each submission with the goal of eliminating malicious and inauthentic reports

Humans don't scale. How do you plan on reliably doing this when you get larger?

>With our data, we predicted that Chipotle would have food safety issues ahead of their series of outbreaks, and we detected several of their outbreaks, and many others in real time.

Not to sound pessimistic, but I'd also like to know if you had any false flags? Where you predicted an outbreak and it never happened? As you can imagine, falsely publishing something like this could be hugely detrimental to a company's reputation.

Cool idea, just curious about certain aspects of your operation :)
What can you achieve using OCaml modules that you can't do using objects with a constructor in F#?
I interpreted "catching up" in terms of net worth not age.
Scientists Are Key to Making Cities Sustainable
> 5. What's the alternative? Oracle?

I don't think it's possible for software to suck worse than the Oracle E-Business Suite expenses reporting software.
The old 50 gold stack of wool cloth method!
The Worst Case Scenario Has Been Obvious for a While
How can you have every major conservative figure in politics having an outright attack on the press from the president on down...and call it a wild caricature I'll never understand.

Maybe it's fake news from conservatives themselves about the fake news?
I've had long-term unemployment as well (over 18 months) and I think that is an entirely different phenomenon that's not connected to what people would do if they had some financial security of a basic income.

Long term unemployment creates a type of inaction/depression for some people (this happened to me, and it sounds exactly like what happened to your ex partner). Because so much of my identity was bound up in what job I had, what career goals, how much money, etc., it made the feeling of being unemployed severely distressing. I really wanted to do things like volunteering, or even basic self-care like exercising, but I could not due to the distress of unemployment and the feeling like I absolutely had to find an "acceptably good" job (for social status) and neurotically do nothing but dedicate all my efforts towards that.

If the status of having a basic income is a positive thing, like framing it as an opportunity to pitch in with civic duty and give back, I think it would satisfy the status and "sense of accomplishment" requirements for a lot of people.

But either way, the extremely distressing feeling of long-term unemployment is really not comparable. I would say, for example, that what you observed from your ex partner does not give you any capability of predicting what your ex partner would have done with basic income during that unemployment period. The situations are just too drastically different.
AFAICT most of the stuff offered on UK's prime day is pretty crap.

I wanted a kindle fire hd 8 anyway, so I've taken advantage of the price drop there. Otherwise the best thing I can find is an SSD that's maybe £10 below market but claims to be reduced by over £150.
It is more like a management buyout. Management thinks they can do better as a stand-alone, and ownership wants to sell it.

If a company puts a specific operation in its own legal entity, then it usually wants to sell it, or segregate risk, or for tax planning.
EOS has essentially taken the worst part about the blockchain technology (slowness and expensive operations compared to a centralized solution) and merged it with the worst part about a centralized technology (human mistakes, cartels, collusion, oligarchy).
One thing I find terrible about PDFs is when organisations embed useful data in them, in tables or graphs. Usually in the context of an annual report, or study, or some sort of policy document.

They look great printed on paper, but not very transferrable.

I know there is software [1] out there that tries to parse tables out of PDF documents, but from my experience you'll still end up doing manual adjustments afterwards to correct what the parser could not infer.

That's the main reason why I support this motion. At least make the data both PDF + HTML, so you have options.

[1] https://tabula.technology/
here's an example of the kind of summary information you can generate over time:

https://snap.philsnow.io/2018-07-16T11-15-11.9p5nrv1j2ohavi6...

I once was really good about keeping notes like this, but I stopped when I couldn't integrate it very well with the flavor-of-the-day bug tracker my team used.
If I am "uncool" in your eyes, I promise I was this way before social media. I've been using the Internet since the late 1980s, and before that was a BBS user.

I also think I'm reading Ev just fine. He says "We laid down fundamental architectures that had assumptions that didn’t account for bad behavior." As one of Twitter's first users and a former Twitter employee, I think he's right. But when Twitter started in 2006, people had been behaving badly on the Internet for a long time, and it was far from being a "just nerds" place. The September that Never Ended started 13 years before Twitter, for example.

I also don't believe that my view is "hard left". I'm a gun owner, and am fine with people talking about guns. You're distorting what I said, which is that "rabid pro-gun types turned up to aggressively dominate and/or ruin the [gun control] forum". We were talking about abuse, and this was given as an example of clear forum abuse. Yes, gun owners can participate usefully in gun control forums, but being pro-gun does mean you can't be abusive.
The USA has a bit more experience building high quality skyscrapers than China.
Hmm, I hadn't thought of that. I took it the other way. It is rather ambiguous.
I would say that Ethereum is the smart contract platform, but that Ether (ETH) is a currency. That's based both on how it's used, and on how the protocol separates normal transactions from smart contract interactions (including token transfers).

I like the fungibility that Monero offers (making it similar to cash), but I just can't wrap my head around Ripple. I always associated cryptocurrencies with decentralized and trustless (at least at its core), neither of which seem to apply to Ripple. I would have preferred a "trusted party" system on top of a decentralized one to get higher transaction speeds, e.g. when the stakes/amounts are low.
That author was my classmate in undergrad, I used to run into him in the computer lab. The point I was making was that I think he was interested more in the physics parallels than any practical effects.
It would also be great to see the most positive comments!
And charging $150K for the report enables you to do that.
>With a $20T GDP that would be a $300B net worth in today’s dollars or around 200% what Bezos is worth.

That's close enough, and hardly make him "a pauper compared to JDR".

And of course, you got to also examine how the rest of "America’s total economic output" was divided back in JDR era compared to today.

Perhaps JDR had 1.5% of US output, but the rest was more equally distributed. E.g. today Bezos might have "just" 0.75% but a larger percentage than in JDRs time might be held by people like Bezos (and in all likelihood it is).

In other words, what's important is how much more not just the richest man, but the top say 100 rich commanded then and now?
Probably getting into the top two rows with your own fanbase so you can attract organic traffic just clicking $game.
Are there examples of businesses out there which have done product recommendation correctly?

I'm not sure what you mean by "correctly," but in general, if you're talking about automation and recommendation engines, my answer is "no." Of course, I don't know the goals of the companies implementing them and whether my sense of "correct" recommendations matches theirs. I don't think any of us do.
I've been using Instapaper since the day it came out on the app store (never saw the point of the web version). Pinterest has been the worst owner! There used to be periodic improvements and updates. There's not even a full black mode for iPhone X! In the old days Instapaper would have been the first out of the gate with little features like that. Let's home there's an improvement.

Luckily the service is still better than Pocket, which has unusable pagination, no ability to sort by length, and is generally just a cluttered mess.
Adjusted for inflation John D. Rockefeller is still the richest man in modern history. Today his fortune would have equaled 340 Billion dollars. More than twice Jeff Bezos current net worth.
That's a pretty steep rise in a short time for any asset though.
Counterexample: Reddit was acquired by Conde Nast and then spun out.

Although honestly I am not a fan of the recent UI changes, which are presumably done for monetization. An explanation would be nice as I am mystified. I guess a redesign is a way to make more room for ads without making it completely obvious.
Surely stock owner will review this thoroughly
I am not your traditional sci-fi fan, so while the books below may not be considered masterpieces or even "true" sci-fi, they may be a good "gateway drug" for others like me:

- The Postman by David Brin

- The Dog Stars by Peter Heller

- I am Legend by Richard Matheson
Are the categories you mention sorted by confidence? That is, is any part of what you like about them oriented around not having to scroll for the stuff you like the best?
While I'm no advocate of TDD, I think they trivialized the arguments for it. They just measured "productivity" (number of tasks completed) and "quality" (number of tests that passed). The primary argument I've heard for TDD is modifying an existing system. You have a lot of tests that all successfully pass, so you can modify the system without fear of breaking it without knowing you did. Another reason is that the system becomes self documenting, making it easier to understand for people in the future. This study didn't really attempt to tackle those.

Also, the tasks the programmers were assigned were tested for "quality" and completeness automatically. So it makes me think the tasks were of the type that favor being tested automatically, and thus biased towards benefiting from TDD.
Why on earth do you go by car for 4km?
I thought his point was interesting and practical, and that he used a non-controversial example. The problem he's describing is probably impossible to solve because real examples aren't so obvious, but it seems like you jumped to the conclusion that he would be willing to accept the downside of such a system in practice (punishing people who are in fact acting in good faith, and not just hiding hatred behind apparently rational wording), and you seem to be personally attacking him. However, I can only say that by assuming from the way you wrote it that you believe the 4channers you referenced were by-and-large acting in good faith. You should be more clear if that's what you're saying, since that would be a surprising conclusion to me. From everything I saw and heard, that movement seemed to be dominated by the usual hatred, and "It's OK to be white", while ostensibly an addressal of very real problems, was really just a slogan that's unassailable outside of any other context and therefore easy to hide behind.
There is a difference between jobs lost from automation and technological advancement, and jobs lost from pointless policy decisions.

I don't fall into any traps. I did say some gov subsidy MIGHT be beneficial in order to get technologies that are merely being held back by economies of scale to where they need to be faster. Hardcore libertarians freak at this as well, but I'm a bit more case by case. For example, subsidizing solar panel production until it reaches price parity with natural gas, then start scaling back the subsidy very slowly.
i have a similar commute, i just bought a 2013 leaf for $7k cash. I plug in a regular extension cable to my wall once a week. It's easier to upkeep than a boosted board.
> When you look at Rockefeller, Carnegie, Ford, and perhaps even Gates, they had near total control over some aspect of the American Economy

According to TechCrunch[1], Amazon controls 49% of the entire e-commerce market, and 5% of the entire retail market overall. They're also in a position to jockey for even more market share as retail continues to move online.

Amazon is in the perfect position to completely own e-commerce, so it's quite possible that we're just early in making our comparison.

[1] https://techcrunch.com/2018/07/13/amazons-share-of-the-us-e-...
Turn your smartphone into a 3D controller with just a web app
A similar documentary[0] around the art world blew my mind -- not only was one man fooling people into thinking his paintings were real, he was the one making them.

[0] http://artandcraftfilm.com/
There's what's called evidence based therapy.

Things like cognitive behavioral therapy and other methods.

Every therapist learns about it.

Nothing is 100% effective on every person. But on large groups it has statistically positive impacts on study vs control groups.
And how does that factor in to the acquisition or spinoff?
Ironically, Rockefeller's wealth grew quickly because of regulation. Trustbusters broke up Standard Oil into different companies and investors kept bidding up the prices of the different pieces.
most of it is virtual money... He could be worth $50B tomorrow if his company crashes. Still a lot of money though, but $150B don't mean anything.

It would be interesting to see when/if bitcoin reaches $1 million USD. That Forbes list would get totally disrupted.
Putting aside the issue of Elon Musk, this is the most interesting line to me: The distribution of public goodwill is an economy not of labor but of attention.

I think a lot of us have experienced this in the context of tech support from Google or some other algorithmically driven giant; something goes wrong and the only recourse is Twitter. I really don’t want to live in a world of arbitrary and unappealable actions by monopolists, with my only recourse being a social media appeal.

Yet that’s the obvious trend.
> Actually, we can’t test UBI without enormous risk.

Yes we can.

> If the number of people involved isn’t close to 100%, it isn’t universal.

Right, so your test has 100% coverage but not at a level that completely displaces all other means tested benefit programs. Maybe it initially just displaces, say, General Assistance type programs. Then you can gradually scale it up and continuously evaluate.