skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If we knew everything about how all this was conducted, and had time to understand it all, I would agree.

Or alternately, if this were a logical argument that could be completely divorced from who was saying it, it would be an Ad Hominem fallacy.

But as it stands, when it comes to gathering facts, trust and reputation of the people we're hearing the facts from is paramount. As such Ad Hominem, as it were, is valid.

I'm actually right-of-center myself. I'm scrolling through HN comments here to see what critiques people have of the organization, since I heard they are a right-of-center group and this finding is good for the right-of-center case. (So far they seem okay)
There's a fellow I follow on Tumblr who got tired of all the talk about UBI without any concrete specifics, and so took it upon himself to look at actual, real UBI proposals with serious analysis. There are fewer than you'd think, considering how much talk there has been about it:

https://squareallworthy.tumblr.com/tagged/ubi

To be honest, the results are sobering. There are depressingly few proposals to begin with, and they all seem to be fundamentally flawed: they either have a lot of fuzzy math to handwave away problems, or they are politically impossible. Each of his posts ends with "If this is the most serious UBI proposal, there are no serious UBI proposals" and it's a hard point to argue with. I was a strong UBI supporter even six months ago, but between this analysis and questions like "With a $2,000/month UBI payment, won't landlords just simultaneously raise rent by $2,000/month?" with no obvious answers, I'm really pulling back.
Looking at the shape of a part, estimated quantity required, etc. an experienced manufacturing engineer can give you a very good guess as for how it was made. One of my industrial engineering professors encouraged us to bring any parts we were uncertain of to him for analysis (and I did stump him one time with the plastic molding on the end of a DVI cable).

There are fixed costs and variable costs for production. Creating the dies and molds is a very large fixed cost which gets spread across all units created. Based on the size of the part, estimated tolerances required for successful operation, and other factors, an estimated die or mold cost could be created.

The material, electricity, and labor are variable costs of production, all of which can be quite easily estimated.

Now, on the rear view mirrors they had cost down to the penny. Unless they have some other datasources they're using, I'm guessing it's an estimated cost. Unless I learn more, I'd be skeptical of those prices. I'd be more comfortable if they posed an estimated cost per component and rolled it up into an estimated cost for the rear view mirror assembly.
+1. Well worth the ~$70 annual fee. Granted, you can't do everything there (e.g. replacement photo ID), but for vehicle registration tasks it's super fast.

There are, uhh, some times of day where you can get through the DMV in under an hour and a half, in my experience. But I'll let y'all figure that one out.
I don't think it's the exclusion of assholes that's the problem.

It's the inclusion.

Before, if you had a really socially unacceptable opinion, you couldn't really voice it without attracting a lot of heat. Now, you can throw your voice into the aether and get back thousands of people across the world who feel the same way you do. Whether if you're into collecting stamps, ancient alien conspiracies, or Nazi furry cosplay.

Everything becomes normalized to a degree. The motto "strength in numbers" becomes the issue.

However, there are some good things that have come from this. Gay people, transgender people, people with various mental illnesses all have a place to come together without having to face the judgment of the people in their communities. It's the largest alcoholics anonymous meeting you could want.
We usd github on a commercial project. I was very surprised how often github was not available.
Tax Laws Like Prop 13 Hold Back California’s Housing Market
There have been feature articles about Unsworth describing his role, but I can’t find them since the top 50 google results are about Musk calling him a pedo. IIRC, his role involved have expert knowledge of the caves, more or less pinpointing the location of the soccer team, and convincing the Thai government to call on the British divers who eventually found the boys. Seems pretty substantial to me: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/07/10/family-british-d...
Scientists developed Worlds first 3D color X ray on human body
Isn't this a bit too coincidental, considering today is Amazon Prime Day (i.e. a boycott/protest of Amazon)?
20 Methods to Grow Your Business Successfully
Yep, this is pretty much it, except I want the type system to let me know if "methodThatLogsThings" makes it all the way to the top of the call stack without satisfying the LOG parameter. C# doesn't do that, but I think a theoretical version of C# could - just stick the implicit dependencies into an attribute on each method. For example, the compiler inserts an attribute like:

[ImplicitDependency(LOG)]
void methodThatLogsThings()

Which would cascade up the call hierarchy until it gets satisfied.
> It's great to be in a position where we don't have split loyalties and "shadow customers" - leaving us able to focus on what's best for the people paying us for the service we provide.

I wish more companies adopted this approach to commerce.
Even the success of such an experiment as you describe (which I believe I've previously run, unsucessfully, i.e. it took more than one mark-as-spam of a popular, otherwise-legit sender to get it reliably in my Spam folder) wouldn't convince me that there exist any such local, per-account or even per-domain (unless I'm paying for the Postini service) filters.

It would merely be evidence that there's a datum of "spam: From:LinkedIn To:mmt" going into the global filter database and that matching both From and To is sufficiently strong evidence to that global filter.
You're not kidding. They're offering the Kindle Paperwhite for “$40 off”. It's “only” $79.99 right now.

But I bought mine a month ago at $89.99. They jacked the list price up to $119.99 just to fake the savings.
Single line shell script:

(date ; cat) > ~/.notes
Sure but that's dangerous if you skip the step of recognizing that people can have value that's not based on their ability to create capital.
I’m no expert in the field - I’ve only watched a few videos - but the example I’ve seen is where they use a movie’s rating by a person (1-5) and their comments to train a model and then use the model to determine sentiment analysis. Unfortunately, since AFAIK their isn’t a way to determine how many points a post earned except for your own, he couldn’t do that.
Outcome and story thread++
I’d like to get a collection of the following things from the programmers who come on here:

1 Your subjective experience coding and your story- How long have you been coding? How difficult has it been? Are you noticeably quicker/slower or less/more skilled than your peers? How hard did you have to work and study to get where you’ve gotten? What were the roadblocks? Do you have any lessons and advice for people considering becoming a programmer or struggling? Are you happy with where your at? Would you do it again?

2 Occupational and educational outcome- Which company do you work for? What position do you have? How complex and challenging is the work? How much do you make?

If you’re not working or just starting - What school do you go to? What’s your GPA? What projects have you done? Which internships? How has the technical interview process been for you?

Also, if you were on either of those paths and then changed direction, why?

3 IQ – If you’ve taken a real IQ test under the supervision of a psychologist only. Please, don’t post if you’ve never taken a real IQ test, are not willing to share your score or want to debate or denigrate the premise of this post. If you don’t like it, please, just move along or down vote if you feel that’s necessary.

The IQ data point is why I feel the need to make this thread rather than just googling and reading the plethora of blogs or threads which already share the first two points. I’ve almost never seen or heard someone mention alongside their story and achievements any objective information about their natural abilities. The objective part is key as you can still have struggled and discredit the role of your natural abilities despite being a genuine genius. I believe this information is critical to being able to interpret any story of this sort correctly and so I am writing this hoping to get some insight into it.
The source of the super powers of the Avengers is exposed
> It’s actually not a bad idea. The rural interior has way different needs than the coastal areas.

The biggest impact of a new state isn't on the local area that gains a new governor but on the national legislative branch. It creates two new senators and changes the house of representatives adjusting the political balance of the entire nation.
> In one of the tests rav1e encoded 1080p source at 0.013fps (i5-7600K @5GHz). That's half a year for a 2 hour movie

This is easily explained by 1) no hardware acceleration, and 2) the reference implementation is currently intended for clarity and ease of changing, not efficiency or speed. After the bitstream solidifies, both problems will be solved.

> Private torrent communities are already reluctant to use x265 which provides marginal gains compared to x264 at a great increase in encoding time

Because there would be a clear quality loss. The websites they're ripping from (amazon, netflix, whatever) are using H.264, and to recode into H.265 would lose significant quality.
Python Assignment Expression – PEP 572
One thing I haven't seen in the comments, but have observed personally is the accounting implications and reasoning for these failed SAP projects.

Sometimes the project cannot be stopped immediately during development, even if it is already known that the project is a failure. The reason is that some companies capitalize the cost of the development over many years, and if they were to cancel the project they would have to book the entire amount as an expense in a given year, instead of depreciating it over multiple years.

I know of one company that worked on an SAP implementation for about 5 years, when it was only supposed to take 6 months or so, and the reason was that if they stopped the project they would have to book the entire cost as an expense in the current financial year. The exec team, who had financially-based bonuses, weren't keen on that.

Instead the project was put together to the extent possible so that it could be declared usable, and then promptly shelved. However, it was "completed" so in theory the sunk cost could have been spread out over multiple years.

Sometimes, you just have to follow the money.
The scariest part is that he's not done.
To me this says that parables are fairly useless: with enough padding any trivial insight may seem wise. I can't at the moment imagine something that I would think important to communicate which would be made more clear by a parable. I would also be concerned about being patronizing. I'm sure this makes good fodder for academic quibbling, but I am beginning to doubt whether Dijkstra was more insightful than arrogant.
The US can go one step further very easily, by doing nothing. All it has to do is look the other way for five minutes and Russia will begin reassembling its empire in eastern Europe. It would immediately begin taking territory back. Russia would rip Europe apart, trivially, because of how weak Western Europe is militarily today. It's entirely unable to defend itself, outside of France and the UK having nukes (which they're not going to use to stop Russia in eastern Europe).

The US could also let Russia begin messing with Canada's northern territory. Canada is entirely unable to defend itself, with their tiny 1% military budget. There's nothing Canada could do to stop Russia.

The US could let China take its historic anger out on Japan; they would end up conquering Japan one way or another. The US could pull troops out of South Korea, the North would immediately conquer / obliterate the South. China would immediately take Taiwan, with hardly a fight at all.

China would then move to become far more aggressive toward Australia, viewing it as a potential resource colony. Australia's only defense option would be to develop nukes as fast as possible.

If the US stood down in Latin America as the overwatch in the hemisphere, those countries would begin killing each other for territorial conquest. Venezuela is the obvious prize there to be invaded by Brazil or Colombia. Lots of smaller Latin American nations would fall.

The world as we know it would collapse rapidly if the US just looked the other way and stopped restraining the type of conquest behavior that pervades all of human history. That would of course be to its own detriment if it went too far, as authoritarian China would likely then rule the planet, perhaps for a very long time.
No, the Internet was founded in Austria-Hungary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edler
Check out the Sleep With Me Podcast[1]. Same concept: Dull, meandering talking to lull you to sleep.

[1]https://www.sleepwithmepodcast.com/
It's the same with sports, music, art, writing and lots of other hobbies-that-can-be-careers. Most people won't ever make a living, but plenty of people want to give it a shot. If it works, awesome, you get to play games or make art for a living!

And what better time do make a go at it than in your 20's?
I see that these are only comments that weren't flagged.

Which means you missed many gems that @dang - HN's resident comment NAZI - flagged to promote his forced narrative.
What on earth, he just hit $100B like a couple quarters ago. How on earth did his worth go up by 150% in less than a year?

(Edit: up 50%, sorry you are right, I meant 150% of his previous net.)
> It's not "outsmart China or bust".

While we're at it: what prevents, say, a cartel of the world's transit providers to cut China off from the Internet until they don't censor it any more? And why haven't they done so? After all, there are only two outcomes: the Chinese government goes fully intranet, but their economy tanks as a result or the Chinese government backs down, with their economy (and civil rights) profiting. Same goes for Russia or Iran.

It's about time that Western companies take a stance when it comes to civil rights. So much technical and social progress is kept back out of the fear the censorship creates, it must be profitable by now to simply force their hands.

Oh, and while we're at it, why are there still companies doing business with our very own guilty parties in espionage terms? Why do they have bank accounts? Why is anyone renting them office spaces, selling computers and whatever else?

The same companies from USA, Germany, Israel and I believe also Italy do not only supply our own governments (which is bad enough in itself) but also dictators who use these tools to repress their own citizens.
Those content monitor jobs sound pretty terrible.

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/may/04/facebook-...
I consider it a personal failure of character not to have at least gotten an honorable mention ;)
As a newbie to GraphQL who is having some growing pains adopting a UI for a data warehouse that was basically bolted onto a REST API designed for backend queries, can someone help me understand what the pros and cons are for something like this vs hand rolling all of the backend GraphQL stuff yourself? We have been evaluating switching/offering a GraphQL backend for our UI to consume for our product since it seems well suited to our use case but so far the effort required has outweighed the gain we would get from it. Because of this a somewhat turnkey solution like above might be more appealing.
They will be replaced by machines very soon. I'm pumped for when cooking becomes essentially programming.

Cooking is a sequence of steps, just like programming.
And all his riches couldn't stop the planets demise from a insane economical concept, who's crazy ess he took to the next level.
Seems to be up. All your karmaz belongs to us
Germany as well at https://de.camelcamelcamel.com/
Spot on.

Apart from so-called "bullshit jobs" that are spreading in the richest countries, how much work is mostly unnecessary, easy to avoid or to automate away?

With "unnecessary" I mean that don't add much to the human experience.
Putin tops him. At these levels the dollar value is not a good measure. Bezos owns shares. If he started selling them their value would quickly drop. Monarchs (Putin) are different. They own things outright, or have such influence that they effectively own things that are legally in other people's names. The Saudi royal house has more wealth under their king's control, although not all in his name.

What is scary is the math when calculated in how many person-years someone like Bezos can buy. Divide his net worth by a reasonable cost for a soldier. Bezos could hire vastly more troops than Henry VII could have in his day.

$150,000,000,000 / $80,000 = 1,875,000 ... he could theoretically field an army large enough to sway any modern conflict. In person-buying potential, his wealth is on par with Genghis Kan or Stalin.
No, but it'll pretty definitively tell you that they are not 10x off published GDP numbers.
How itty.bitty works
Wouldn't it be +50%? Doesn't seem unreasonable.
But if you treat it that way, it influences communication. You tend to say something people will approve rather than speaking your mind.
Very little. As described in the research (and this is not novel), cheap natural gas from fracking has hugely displaced coal as a domestic power source.
Texas has taken the place of NY as the "second state". In terms of population and economic growth, Texas left NY behind a while ago.

If California splits in three, Texas undoubtedly becomes the new superpower state.
I like the idea of publishing interesting text files like this automatically to a personal site.
Building a Camera Calculator with Vision and Tesseract OCR in iOS
I dunno, but since https://api.github.com/meta throws a 500 I'd be wary about confirming that message just yet.
Yeah all I see here is incoherent posturing.

"Most of them [the people living on RSA] indeed live out of poverty, but they are no incentivized whatsoever to get any extra training or even to find a job." This is a plain lie and, besides, has nothing to do with UBI. Regarding, the RSA, it diminishes more slowly than labor earnings (as you can see simply by reading the chart on its short Wikipedia page), so the more money you earn, the more money you get to spend. So there is an incentive to get training and a job. But in any case it has nothing to do with UBI proposals: the UBI idea is that your benefit wouldn't diminish at all as you earn more money, so the incentive to get a job and earn more is even stronger under UBI than under RSA. I think the reason this guy is surrounded by unemployed people living off RSA is that he lives next to defunct villages with high unemployment; these people can't get jobs because they aren't available. Thank god for the benefits then.

"I doubt they ever drove a couple of days in the backcountry." Blah blah some ad hominem about tech people being elite nerds that doesn't relate to the efficacy of UBI. I love the implicit claim that this dude gets it because he spends time at his summer home in the rough and tumble "backcountry" of the Loire Valley.

"To do so, it must take the long view and start to care about its stakeholders and not only about its shareholders. " Blah blah some word salad that doesn't mean anything specific about policy.
> "Gates would have had a net worth of more than $150 billion if he’d held onto assets that he’s given away, largely to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation."

Sorry Bezos, you've still got some catching up to do. Lifetime earnings are what really count, even if you give it all away to charity.
Ask HN: Which ecommerce site has the best search and recommendation engine?
On a list of the best public schools in the US, half are located in California. There are 49 other states.

The DMV has counterparts in every state. If you have an appointment or visit a less-busy office, you can be in and out in under half an hour once every few years.

California has more miles of roads than any other state except for Texas, and our roads get used by millions more people than the Texas roads do. More use = more wear and tear.

Failing dams. The Oroville dam failed because it was damaged by a storm. While it was being repaired, historic levels of monsoon rains flooded the reservoir behind it, requiring the use of the spillway at volumes it was not designed to handle. However, subsequent investigations revealed that the problem was not as bad as feared due to features of the dam dating back to its construction that had been forgotten in the interrim.

Poor water supply. Citation needed. LA has plenty of water. SF's source of water is so pure it doesn't even need to filter it. If we weren't exporting so much alfalfa and almonds, we wouldn't have a water crisis in the state. Literally 80% of California's water supply goes to agricultural needs (40% of California's total water). Those farmers are protected by a labyrinth of state and federal laws, centuries-old contracts, and interstate compacts.

One party rule has been a good thing for California. We have a surplus. Growing business, growing tourism, lower unemployment, lower crime.

Over regulated housing market. Citation needed. Every part of California that isn't the Bay Area is building housing just fine. (LA is on track to build several hundred thousand new units of housing from 2015 through 2020.) The problem is that so many people want to live in California that we can't keep up--there simply aren't the construction workers to build the houses/condos/apartments that we need to build to keep up with demand.

HSR. Yes, we have this thing.

Unfunded pensions. True, we have $333 billion of unfunded pension liabilities. But we can pay 69% of promised benefits, and unlike other states, California's public pensions can be reduced by legislative action, so the problem is one of political unwillingness rather than an actual crisis. (And you better believe that if a politician is faced with increasing taxes versus cutting pensions, they're going to cut pensions.)
Note : it seems that for live TV the GOP is more like 2 seconds
It went up by 50%, not 150. You do that by having most of your net worth in a high performing stock. Of course, in 3 weeks we may see an article about how bezos lost $50B in one day due to the same reason.
Hardly. He’s a pauper compared to John D. Rockefeller who died in 1937. At the time of his death his assets equaled 1.5% of America’s total economic output.

With a $20T GDP that would be a $300B net worth in today’s dollars or around 200% what Bezos is worth.

Don’t worry. This second gilded age that we are living in is on track to ensure we have a trillionaire in short order.
The point of the model is absolutely not to reduce uncertainty, it is to quantify it, which are two very different things. No model reduces uncertainty in a probabilistic sense.

And no, you don’t need statistics or machine learning to say “there is a lot of uncertainty”, but you do in order to quantify that uncertainty.
If modern history goes back to the 1900s though, Rockefeller still has Bezos beat by more than double:

"By the time of his death in 1937, estimates place his net worth in the range of US$300 billion to US$400 billion in adjusted dollars for the late 2000s (decade)."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wealthiest_historical_...
CALPERS...this is the black hole of the state budget by a mile.