skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Not only do we have previous knowledge, we know basically everything about what's going on. You only use Bayesian inference if there is something you don't know which can't be computed from the things you do know. Then, after doing an experiment, you work backwards to figure out the value of the things you didn't know.

Don't confuse Bayesian inference with Bayes' theorem, which is a theorem that doesn't have any philosophy attached to it. Bayesian inference makes use of this theorem on top of some philosophical assumptions, which may be questionable depending on how you use them.

Bayesian inference also requires you to give your "prior" beliefs, which are the beliefs you have before you do the experiment. If these beliefs are strongly biased away from the right answer, you will get Garbage Out.
> I value the privacy so I don't own or use cellphone.

This is a little extreme, but I've started turning off my phone or putting it in airplane mode when not expecting a call.

In addition to not being as distracted, I've had a marked decrease in spam calls - I think they tend to mark phones that repeatedly send them straight to VM as "cold".
I'm pretty sure you misunderstand market orders because by definition they are only visible to the market after they have traded, so nobody can get ahead of you or do sonething irrational before your order lands.

I would agree that market orders are a bad idea at any meaningful volume (outaide of retail sizes) because of liquidity and routing reasons
I'm not a fan of the anti-academic vibes in this post. Good technology can be born anywhere, but it's foolish to ignore the advantages of research.
It sounds like collusion. I guess the anonymized profiles helps mitigate that.
Edit: I removed my entire comment, it seems that there is a lot more online now about Bayesian theory than when I had looked this up, or my google-fu was off when I was researching this before.

Thanks for giving me new search terms to consider. I have more arguments and examples to read through now. :P
The point I'm making is independent of whatever trap you're trying to set --- the specific groups don't matter. As long as some group has high fertility and is able to pass on this high fertility to future generations, the dynamic I'm describing applies.
Humanity’s got a lot of problems to face and overcome before packing more of them per city block.
> At a fixed money supply, growth causes deflation

True. This is the problem with fixed money supplies.

We moved past fixed money supplies several decades ago. My statement stands true in any modern context. Rich households spend slower than poor households.
Don’t Hate Her, She’s Just the (Subway) Messenger
After the Fall: Ten Years After the Crash
I think the title is supposed to be "metasearch engines", since that's what the article is about.
I hadn't actually even _heard_ of "OV" before. Googling... I still can't tell what the difference between it and EV is supposed to be, other than how much someone paid a CA.
> He doesn't suggest some kind of time travel -- so that we have to take it all, the good and the bad, of an earlier era.

He/you are hardly illustrating a clear example either. You're just flinging poop, basically, with your "bad teaching" and "progress is a myth". The bottom line is that trade with the developing world over the past half century has been a staggering engine of growth. So if you don't want "globalization" then you have to explain how you get China to grow at 9% year after year for like three decades (or whatever the numbers were) without that trade. You don't get to wave a magic wand and assume that part.
> but the web sandbox is probably quite a bit stronger than the iOS one.

I really don't think that's true, purely by thinking about the number of iOS jailbreaks that have been published recently Vs the number of browser exploits.

Security is part of the reason Apple charges like it does, but it is only part and I'm not sure the distinction between the Chrome and iOS sandbox is much of a factor.
Note: 090310.pdf (9 March 2010) is an older version of the textbook. The latest revision of the textbook PDF (091117.pdf, 9 November 2017) is available at:

→ http://web4.cs.ucl.ac.uk/staff/D.Barber/textbook/091117.pdf

Aside:

⸰ Textbook homepage: http://web4.cs.ucl.ac.uk/staff/D.Barber/pmwiki/pmwiki.php?n=...

⸰ Online version homepage (should always contain link to latest revision): http://web4.cs.ucl.ac.uk/staff/D.Barber/pmwiki/pmwiki.php?n=...

⸰ Directory sorted by date: http://web4.cs.ucl.ac.uk/staff/D.Barber/textbook/?C=M;O=D
I'm 48, and I'm starting to crank up font sizes on my monitors. I can jam lots of tiny font on my monitor if I wear reading glasses, but I then end up much closer to the screen than I'd like.
> Why the antiquated C++ coding style especially if he is supposedly super young?

Has anyone pattern matched Satoshi's original code with existing code in academia from the 90s/early 2000s?
How would that work? The only DNSSEC signal passed from recursors to stub resolvers is the authenticated data bit.
How do you differentiate from all the other companies that offer this service?
You've really got to be committed to making pizza after you get one of those! Do you make pies as gifts?
A great case in point for Betteridge’s Law of Headlines.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge%27s_law_of_headline...
Or don't believe you can time the market. You can be bearish on a company and still think shorting it would be a disaster. The market can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
"What is it with these nearly twenty year old sites still up?" Not sure but I believe some of the answer lies with adtech distribution needs. The search ads demand traffic, however astro-turf it be.
I don't think I'm "supposed" to give a response but I kinda did.

Well, hot dang. HN seems to be about sharing information and discussion, I merely did the former, also, an ideology is a belief system, religions are basically a set of values.

If you read the text you should see it's just snippets of facts (historical in nature, and yes those two people have their agendas for the interview as far as illumination and answering questions go you can get a sense of it from watching them, arguably nothing malicious whatsoever for the masses, quite the contrary.) mostly from the links with quotes. The links themselves are fact dense from experts in their fields. Writer/scholar/researcher, and KGB defector.

"Eugene Michael Jones is an American writer, former professor, media commentator and the current editor of Culture Wars magazine. Jones is known for his writings from a perspective which defends the Catholic Church in American society and overviews the decline of the Catholic communities which were assimilated into the secular American mainstream after the 1950s."

"Yuri Alexandrovich Bezmenov (Russian: Ю́рий Алекса́ндрович Безме́нов; 1939 – 1993), known by the alias Tomas David Schuman, was a Soviet journalist for RIA Novosti and a former PGU KGB informant who defected to Canada."

-W

I'd say the one who flagged the posts is the real problem, no idea what the hair up his ass was, problems with certain facts I guess. Looking at your posts, there seems to be a systematic problem with how the site works, wouldn't it be better if there wasn't this proclivity to censorship and knee-jerk flag/downvoting. It seems to lead to an echo-chamber effect. From whoever is arguing, this ideological battle thing though doesn't seem to have much of an argument regardless, 1-2/7 posts he would feebly at best as I don't see an argument, accuse me for it, weak stuff.

The point about how ideological "battle" destroying curiosity, I don't understand frankly, people interested in the truth wouldn't be hands off, rather they would engage, those who want to of course, when "ideologies" clash I think there's a "the axe sharpens the sword" effect and ultimately the more useful or truthful argument prevails, people with weak beliefs surely tend not to seek confrontation, not that I was or wasn't doing that.

Not sure If I get it, I'm not an ideologue in general, I'm not sure what that would even mean, everyone has ideals and values, changing as they may be, sure I have "I have approximate answers and possible beliefs and different degrees of certainty about different things." But that doesn't say much, as surely the same applies to you and most people, ugh guess there's no escaping the echo chamber of acceptable ideas in this format, as long as it has centralized authorities. Subjectivity rules.
> Given that half of those 5000 are being produced in a tent in the parking lot with summer heat and no AC, I can only imagine.

Well, Musk himself said that the cars being made in the tent are higher quality.

> “It does everything that the other assembly lines do but with fewer people, lower labor costs and much higher uptime,” he said. “Our unit cost for vehicles is lower on that line than on the other lines, and we’re seeing higher initial quality.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/30/business/tesla-factory-mu...
I spent about 3 months at my new job having to type my password multiple times before grabbing a work mechanical keyboard. It's still not as nice as my one at home, but it's a big drop in the rate of error.
Leave it to CNBC and HN to take such a success story by Tesla and turn it on its head to call it a failure.
1- Emphasizing the 5hr delay as opposed to the almost 5k figure WHEN THEY THEMSELVES SAID A FEW MONTHS AGO THAT TESLA WON'T PRODUCE MORE THAN 2k PER WEEK
2- Accusing Tesla of having low production quality in their tent line without any evidence
3- Criticizing Tesla for not being able to produce performance and dual versions, then when they do criticizing them for selling those before cheaper options when that is what any sane company would do
4- ...
Honestly it is baffling to me that you guys keep being proven wrong over and over again, yet you keep insisting that Tesla will fail. If you really believe Tesla is doomed I suggest you start shorting them (and let me know how it works out for you!).
I quite enjoyed the quote in the README, and, of course, the name.

Looks like a great project!
The phone being off or it being on airplane is no longer enough.

It is known that complete operating systems run on every chip on that phone of which you don't have knowledge of or access to.

To think a software security solution provided by an OS, a pretty high-level abstraction when considering hardware, of the ability to turn off the radio is insane in these days and ages.

Furthermore with permanent batteries (or with a backup battery hidden inside) being off to the user doesn't mean anything either.
Blender is a 3D model tool and they have a lot of free video content showing users how to use the software. YouTube wanted to monetize the content but Blender repeatedly said no. YouTube then wanted them off the platform and Blender moved themselves to PeerTube.

The story has a bit more nuance than that but that's a simplified run down.
Another thing that is ubiquitous today in airports, restaurants etc. is CCTV.
A company that converts clear-cut land to forest could earn money.

There is an entire sector of the economy dedicated to voluntary carbon offsets, and re-forestation efforts are the primary supply. People and companies use these as a sort of carbon tax to offset the emissions they cause by taking airline flights, hosting events, or just living their daily lives.
Ok, that is really neat. I need to read more about this. I just did some searching on bayesian interference solution for the monty hall problem. And I am guessing they are applying the math whilst pretending to not have foreknowledge of the outcome?

https://sc5.io/posts/how-to-solve-the-monty-hall-problem-usi...

I certainly don't expect you to research this or explain every detail for me, I may have to take a class on this subject after I retire to satisfy my need to grasp this. Thank you for time, this was enlightening.
NSA deleting more than 685M call records due to technical irregularities
I highly suggest this recipe (From here: http://www.varasanos.com/PizzaRecipe.htm)

Ingredient (grams) 1 Pie 3 Pied 5 Pies
Filtered Water	110	330	550
King Arthur Bread flour 168	510	850
Kosher or Sea Salt 6	18	30
Sourdough yeast culture 15	45	60
Instant Dry yeast	0.5	1.5	2.5

All ingredients into mixer except 25% of flour.
Mix on lowest speed for 1-2 minutes or until completely blended.
Cover and Let it rest for 20 minutes.
Start Mixing on Low speed for 8 minutes. 5 minutes into it start adding held back flour gradually.
Mix for 1 more minute

Divide in to 300g balls and either let raise warm (3-10 hours) or cold (2-7 days).
They built almost $250M worth of cars in a week, which is a pretty large number (assuming avg selling price is 50k).
Oakland is still full of gangsters and crime, everyone stay away for your own safety.
I'd love to read a source that describes this in more detail.

Assuming such an exploit exists, I don't think I'd be targeted with it. It's my understanding three letter agencies tend to hoard that sort of thing, not blast them at random privacy aficionados.
+RPF requires it to help prevent spoofing (BCP 38)
Strictly speaking, health care and genocide are the same thing, you just minimize different metrics.
You understood the literal question, but not the motivation and thus not the real question.
Does this sort of slippery-slope crap convince anyone? There are about 3.5M Chinese immigrants in USA right now. Can anyone imagine any sequence of events that would lead to that number increasing a hundredfold in any conceivable period of time? We couldn't get that many if we paid them $10k a head... One wonders what you intend to argue here, because this is nonsense.
I find the "deep green" collapsitarians awful. But I don't think that's where most of this counterproductive hand-wringing comes from. I think it's mostly due to crippling innumeracy. People apparently lose the ability to do arithmetic or compare numbers once the numbers get larger than the price of a house. Words like "massive" get overloaded to describe phenomena separated by multiple orders of magnitude.

How much carbon dioxide is emitted during a wind farm's construction?

Massive.

How much carbon dioxide is emitted by fossil-fueled automobiles?

Massive.

How much carbon dioxide is emitted by unused cell phone chargers that are left plugged in?

Massive.

The United States stops driving fossil fueled automobiles and unplugs its idle cell phone chargers. How much does it reduce CO2 emissions? Show your work.

It saves one massive from the cars and one massive from unplugging chargers. One massive plus one massive equals a total reduction of two massives.
Stingrays were being used as early as the 1990s by federal law enforcement. They were used to help locate Kevin Mitnick in North Carolina.

Edit - I recall reading that years ago in Tsutomu Shimomura's book 'Takedown' (published in 1996). Outside of this, I have no other reference. It's a good read BTW. https://www.amazon.com/Takedown-Pursuit-Capture-Americas-Com...
I'd never heard of TUTOR before and I'm sure old school APL was a pain.

Thanks for your work on P6 by the way. I'm not a regular user, but have dabbled and keep up with the on-going work.
It’s a complicated wrinkle to explain. Yes, the amendments happened during Ershad’s regime, who took power in a bloodless coup. Calling it a dictatorship is a strech: Ershad tried to have elections, in which one of the two major parties participated. More importantly, since Ershad left power in 1990, nobody has moved to change the constitution back, Islam plays a bigger role in politics than ever, and and 82% of the country (according to Pew polling) suppoets making Sharia national law.
>Same reason YouTube wanted to pull the Blender videos.

What? Blender was a victim to The Algorithm, not to some nefarious plot by YouTube to rid itself of the billions upon billions of free and unmonetised videos currently hosted on its platform.
Why do scientists ignore the good outcomes after depression?
What is the benefit of having it in mongo in the first place, in this scenario?
Really? are any of those CCP members still active, or even alive?
Dremio helps with a lot of this, particularly the speed aspect – uses Parquet as well as Apache Arrow. (I work at Dremio.) Speeding things up: https://docs.dremio.com/acceleration/reflections.html
> has in the papers I've looked at estimated that immigration is (slightly) a net economic negative for the very least skilled workers in the first world.

How can you possibly recognize this and still decide that your proposal makes sense, in light of events like the presidency of Donald Trump and Brexit? What we have now is a drop in the bucket compared to unrestricted migration, and it's already quite possibly indirectly causing massive political upheaval that threatens to destabilize the first world.
Well, to be fair, I'm always concerned about those vat grown algorithms from a lab. I mean, are we sure they're safe?
This is awesome. I’m a proud supporter of Hack Club and wish it was around when I was in high school.
OV is EV where you also get the business name in the URL bar.
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/capitolreport/2016/03/16/live-b...

12:29 pm

The Philips Curve is alive, [Federal Reserve Chair Janet] Yellen says.
The iPace would rival the Model X. The iPace is FAR behind the Model X in all performance measures. The iPace has a manufacturer's estimated range of ~350km, no EPA rated range given. The Model X has EPA rated maximum range of 475km - that's a third party verified range that is 125km above the estimated (and very optimistic) range of the iPace. As far as speed goes, iPace is 4.8s to 100km/h, while the P100D variant of the Model X is 0 - 100km/h in 3.6s, a solid second faster.
> Another thing that is ubiquitous today in airports, restaurants etc. is CCTV.

Which is not retained indefinitely. If you're not committing a crime, that footage will be gone in 30-90 days.
Pexels is another place to upload CC photos:

https://www.pexels.com/

The Internet Archive also allows you to upload photos, and has a slideshow display for multiple photo collections

https://archive.org
There's way too much baked into the current infrastructure (and two instances of layer 3) for this to be feasible. Access-control lists used for filtering, identifying candidate address for services like NAT, and critical data plane operations like path MTU discovery all rely on the source address being available in the IP header. Sure we could re-engineer things to not be this way, but at what cost?

Realistically (and unfortunately), if you don't want to be tracked then you're going to need to do some combination of tunneling, proxying, and encrypting.
I don't know. It's kind of newfangled. It's "in the air" though, I think. Here's what I got (it helps to know a little Category Theory, try Bartosz Milewski's "Category Theory for Programmers"[0] if you don't already.)

In "Compiling to Categories" what he’s doing is translating lambda forms into a kind of “point-free” style and then showing how to instantiate that code over different categories to get several different kinds of program out of the same code.

I've been working with a stack-based "concatinative" language called Joy which I think makes this stuff a lot clearer. Joy code is already in "point-free" style (no vars, no lambdas) and it includes functions that do the same job as but are more elegant than the triangle operators and others in the "squiggol" tradition. ( https://wiki.haskell.org/Pointfree )

There's a little bit in "Mathematical foundations of Joy"[1] and "The Algebra of Joy"[2] by Manfred von Thun.

Here's a piece of Joy code (it's part of an ordered binary tree library):

pop swap roll< rest rest cons cons

Here's a trace of its evaluation (with a suitable value already on the stack) in the category of values resulting in a computation of an answer. The dot is the "interpreter head", the current point of evaluation:

[4 5 ...] 3 2 1 . pop swap roll< rest rest cons cons
[4 5 ...] 3 2 . swap roll< rest rest cons cons
[4 5 ...] 2 3 . roll< rest rest cons cons
2 3 [4 5 ...] . rest rest cons cons
2 3 [5 ...] . rest cons cons
2 3 [...] . cons cons
2 [3 ...] . cons
[2 3 ...] .

And here's the same code evaluated in a category of composition of stack effects resulting in a description of the stack effect of the expression:

(--) ∘ pop swap roll< rest rest cons cons
(a1 --) ∘ swap roll< rest rest cons cons
(a3 a2 a1 -- a2 a3) ∘ roll< rest rest cons cons
(a4 a3 a2 a1 -- a2 a3 a4) ∘ rest rest cons cons
([a4 ...1] a3 a2 a1 -- a2 a3 [...1]) ∘ rest cons cons
([a4 a5 ...1] a3 a2 a1 -- a2 a3 [...1]) ∘ cons cons
([a4 a5 ...1] a3 a2 a1 -- a2 [a3 ...1]) ∘ cons
([a4 a5 ...1] a3 a2 a1 -- [a2 a3 ...1]) ∘

If you compare the input and output of the first one you'll see that it matches the input and output stacks in the Forth-style stack effect comment computed by the second one.

To repeat, that's the same code evaluated in two different domains, er, Categories, to get two different correct computations.

If I had implementations for them I could evaluate the expression in/over a category and get as output: a dataflow diagram of the program, or a hardware description of a circuit for the program, which are examples from Elliott's talk+paper.

[0] https://bartoszmilewski.com/2014/10/28/category-theory-for-p...

[1] http://www.kevinalbrecht.com/code/joy-mirror/j02maf.html

[2] http://www.kevinalbrecht.com/code/joy-mirror/j04alg.html
That is certainly a fitting username. Thank you!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_impact_of_concre...

Looks like it is the production of concrete materials that are generating CO2.
Please don't cross into fighting nationalistic battles on HN. I realize the GP semi-invited it, but that's no reason to dive fully into the mud.

Also, your first sentence is a nasty personal attack. We ban accounts that do that, so please don't do it again.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
ALDI has some really good ones for $3AU too, the supreme ones (basically ham, cheese and capsicum if that counts as supreme) anyway.

I cook from frozen normally, but for a really "gourmet" frozen pizza experience defrost is completely and stick it under the grill. Wonderful grilled cheese on top and still a soft fluffy base underneath.
"better to be exploited and have food than to be free and starve"
Nah, not that keen personally (I don't even use Chrome). I was just pointing out that it would have been useful to have the URL to reduce confusion. :)
I literally didn't understand the concept of tolerances until adulthood, which I blame on Lego. I used to wonder how one could possibly build a house, when there weren't slots to piece the frame together.
There are two ways to see it. But that's also the problem.

> What does it mean to be "true" besides that something follows from other truths?

I agree with you, but I also don't. You know as well as I, that 'true' can mean something besides 'that which follows from other truths'. All the rules you have to rely on (such as'implication) - that's a truth you are dependent on for math to work, but can not define within math. Implication is a fundamental foundation. But can you define implication without using the concept of implication?

> The choice of axioms matters, sure, but everything that's true within a system follows from the axioms of that system.

It's easy to point out flaws in reasoning. It's so, so much harder to have an airtight reasoning system, that goes for mathematics and computation, both, together, alone, etc.

> What does it mean to be "true" besides that something follows from other truths?

Truth is true, no more, no less. Once you turn it into symbols, it turns into a mess (or a work of art).
Was it confirmed to be GoDaddy? That is dishonest marketing to say the least.
This paper is so oversimplified.

If you're actually curious in the physics of food, check out the journal of food engineering. We use much more complex physical models to simulate the physics of food.

Fun note, this is my job and it is pretty cool to really dig into the science behind cooking and then apply that to an industrial scale.