skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is a very good point. It's worth comparing to history, but it's also worth keeping an eye on when the old paradigm breaks.

The lasting booms starting post WWII surprised economists of the time. Stagflation was so out-of-model that the 1970s caused a major shift in economic theory. The list goes on.

And, of course, we already know that traditionally aligned indicators have been out of sync since ~2007. Productivity and wages broke lockstep in the 70s, wage growth has lagged employment growth to an unprecedented degree since 2009, the current consumer debt bubble is overwhelmingly student loan debt which is largely non-dischargeable and impossible to repossess.

There's an entire genre of thinkpieces arguing that the economy has been doing something unprecedented since 2008, a lot of which line up with your third theory where a strong stock market is basically a reaction to weak fundamentals in other investment categories. It's weird to see that abandoned when people try to do predictions from past indicators.
Thought intentional feature (as FF video playback usually doesn't behave that way, I think). Strange. Will file a bug, yes.
Pain27 keyboard
https://ig.ft.com/sites/numbers/economies/us
Electronic Medical Record(s)
To make Fusion work, there is a lot of unproven technology required.

For renewables not.

And the storage is a problem yes, but not one that requires miracles. Just investing.

(And there are much more technologys around than just batteries. Air-pressure storages for example. Or hydrogen. Or different H2 based ones like Methan, etc.
or artifical lakes for water pump storage, etc.)

But to make Fusion work any time soon, there are indeed miracles required. If it works one day, nice. But I would not bet on it, to solve any problems we have today.
Ultimately they're not raising tariffs on end products, they're raising it on parts, but that will still cause inflation plus unemployment because tariffs on parts will drive production out of the US where it gets taxed on the way back in, so you'll both lose exiting US jobs while driving up the cost of products coming back in as you both make it impossible to produce in the US and also drive up prices.
Supreme Court Sides with American Express on Merchant Fees
As another commenter below astutely pointed out, with a mean time between recessions of 4.7 years you could blindly make this prediction every year and be right more often than not (with a 3 year window).
My knowledge of predicting recessions is unchanged, but my way of looking at leaves on the ground is forever changed...
Py (YC S17) Hiring Engineer #1
A lot of fluff here without much change honestly. You can schedule rides less than 30 minutes so you don’t run out of juice but that’s it.

I’d like to see charging discounts or something else to make it economical as well.
It's literally not something that gets programmed though. It's like asking "if Microsoft Word stops responding and I press the close button, is it programmed to auto-save my file?" It could not possibly get to that point where it could execute such instructions, so it makes no sense to program that behavior in.
So when WeWork files for bankruptcy is that the signal to start moving into cash?
> IBM is just too big to get out of its own way

Brilliantly put

Funny thing is, when it did get out of its own way, what did we get? The IBM PC
AT&T buying company that delivers targeted ads based on your Web browsing
Window shades that go down at sunset automatically. Sounds like an easy manual task, but makes a big difference when automated, especially if you have many windows.
It has its uses though, even if it's misused.

It's an easy box to check to pretend to offer HTTPS so you don't get penalized by Google. Before Let's Encrypt there was no free way to get a legit cert for your cat blog. Faking it via Flexible SSL was the next best thing.
Agreed. Also in London at least at lot of the vehicles are being used in multiple shifts, which makes this problem even worse.

Eg: Driver A does 9am-6pm, then drives the Prius to Driver B, who does 6pm to 3am, which leaves not enough time to charge.
Possibly the most outrageous lie was calling it AI in the first place.

Watson is a $@#% amazing information retrieval system. Information retrieval is only a small part of what people think of when they think, "AI".
Time to encrypt DNS too.
Ask HN: What are questions you should ask your future manager in an interview?
For context, I am a mid-level Software Engineer.
> I would like to be proven wrong, so if there is some IC experts who can explain the business case where someone invests $300-$500M to develop new top notch open source microarchitecture (patent free?) every 5-10 years that can compete with Intel, AMD and others, I would like to see it.

It really depends on your business. If you are a foundry, it makes a lot of sense to commoditize everything that's complementary (the chip design, for instance) to your business (making the wafers, cutting, testing, encapsulating). Much like a lot of chip makers provide free reference designs you can use.
This stuff is the friggen worst if you ask me. i'm so done with the AI hype train and IBM is the worst. Linked article mentions a 'watsons law' (similar to moore's law etc). If you ask me, it is more likely for watsons law to be that all commercial BigCo 'AI' offerings will burn thru hundreds of millions and ultimately fail rather then the intended meaning.

"Phytel’s contribution was analytics paired with an automated patient communication system. A clinic could use the system to search its patient records and find, for example, all the men over age 45 who were overdue for a colonoscopy, and then use an autocall to remind them to schedule the dreaded appointment"

This shit isnt AI it's literally a database query and then some 3rd party library to send a text message or a phone call.
Yes, you could do that, also in the other deserts for other parts of the world.

There is a big Initiative with that goal, desertec. But unfortunately it got very quiet around them.
DIY gene therapy to fix lactose intolerance [video]
Some dogs just like to go out and be outside. My dog likes to go out and just stand in the middle of the yard for an hour at 2am. Her mom is the same way.
Montana uni research could improve snowpack monitoring and runoff forecasting
I ran into an interesting bug in 1997. My employer was developing an IDE and close to the release time we got a report from a beta tester that creating a project failed on a Windows 95 test box, where it would create the directory but then report that it didn’t exist!

The debug log was mystifying: the app was successfully creating the project directory but then failing to open it because the Win32 API to enumerate `C:\.` was returning an empty list and it hit the error handler when the expected directory name wasn’t in the empty list.

Naturally, we couldn’t reproduce this on any system we had access to and the customer could only reproduce it on Win95, not NT. I remembered that the Win95 networking stack was a deeply-invasive kludge and on a hunch tried disabling network file sharing, which immediately made the problem reproducible even though the local C: drive hadn’t been shared.

The IDE developer was able to side-step the big by changing the existence check to use a different API and shipped on-time. Our theory was that Microsoft’s QA team had missed the bug for the same reason we had: everything in the test environment was networked to have access to the shared builds and testcases.
One of the few groups that should be spied on
Yes it has. It hasn’t broken energy breakeven but fusion is definitely happening in that plasma and, for that matter, plasmas at lower temperatures, lower densities and with lower confinement times. Getting particles to fuse is pretty trivial.
You are oversimplifying it.

Actually, no one knows the repercussions.
This[0] is what is — quite infuriatingly — being labeled "hoverboards" by the general public. Following some marketing hype they were popular gifts around Christmas a couple of years ago, and they're mostly used as recreational devices, to be tucked away on a shelf in a garage as the hype dies down — that is if they ever survive even moderate use, since most of them are bad knockoffs. Those unicycles[1] though, are sort of growing in popularity as last-mile transportation devices, as are electric longboards and scooters.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-balancing_scooter

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-balancing_unicycle
A little case history - there were two illuminating threads ~10 months back where several current & former IBM employees commented on the growing disconnect between the reality vs. marketing of Watson - looks like vindicated by today's news:

(1) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14979642

(2) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14766793
It's not the case. A year or two ago some of my friends who work at IBM couldn't tell me themselves what Watson really is. As of today I understand Watson as everything from IBM that can be related to AI, I.e. it includes IoT as well because the data could be used by AI.
Good bye MMAPv1. I like the changes about the date formatting and type conversions. In my current project I shortly had values store both as bigdecimal and float until I moved the calculations app-wards into Ruby.
> Productivity and wages broke lockstep in the 70s

Welllll kinda. Total inflation adjusted comp has done almost nothing but go up: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/COMPRNFB

But I think this too was a paradigm change: Wages shifted to untaxed benefits, like healthcare. At least I think that's going on.
One way to profit from yield curve inversion:

When you see a persistent yield curve inversion, buy the longest maturity treasuries you can find. For example, 30 years.

This is counterintuitive because shorter maturities (2, 5 years) will yield more when you make your purchase. However, your capital gains will likely compensate for missed yield after the recession has run its course and return a tidy profit.

Alternatively, the economic landscape after the recession may be much worse afterwords. Persistently low interest rates (even deflation) will be in your favor if you decide to keep your treasuries because you'll find nothing to buy with a better risk/return ratio.

Of course, it goes without saying that selling your long treasuries to pay expenses will truncate your returns.
Ask HN: What is the fastest ad blocker in Safari?
> "I have servers in the data center and in the cloud, and I can say that the line" is exponentially more cost effective than any cloud service" has so many caveats attached, it's not even worth debating.

Only thing I'll add is that at best it's asymptotic to a constant factor more cost effective.
I was happily surprised the other day when the IBM debater was presented and there was no mention of it being Watson anywhere on their website. They really need to stop with this personification.
Neat. Can you suggest a good scale with an API (or other data stream)?
So what is your conclusion?

Bet on fusion?

I would bet on nuclear, but in the long term indeed switch to solar + wind, starting now. Which is happening... at least the last.
I'm not dismissive without cause: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/psychology-s-cred...

As a bystander, I'm not a psychologist, the last few years have been article after article affecting the credibility of psychology.

Then, I paused and thought, what has psychology done to improve our lives? And I can't think of anything.

So I'm calling out to others to show me the flip side. Every wikipedia page I go to has a huge section in criticism that basically says no one knows, some people say this is true and works, an equal amount of others say its not and doesn't. Like the page on CBT: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_behavioral_therapy

Cognitive Bias is my first showcase of something that seems mostly proven without controversy. Can I ask what has been the next step in using our understanding of inherent cognitive biases? You mentioned they're used to increase addiction to products. That's a shame, has it helped in other areas, maybe to more positive outcomes?
It's interesting if you look at the winners and losers in the S&P500, most of the winners are new tech, most of the losers are old tech or non-tech.

So the question is, are the new-tech companies the only thing propping up the S&P500, or are they truly the "new economy" and will continue to thrive while all others fail?
Ask HN: Which design system would be apt for an enterprise application?
We are a small startup in the enterprise big data space where we have lots of data in the form of tables, charts, cards, etc and therefore, felt the need to take the help of an 'enterpricey' design system to make our UI consistent.

Checked [this awesome list](https://github.com/alexpate/awesome-design-systems). Couldn't pick one though.

We do not have designers in our team so the more popular the better.

PS: Have already cancelled out Material from our list.
This is the first time that I think I've seen the proposal. When I was building https://github.com/fundamental/rtosc I was pretty heavily influenced by the work done within liblo and libmapper. I personally really like their implementation, but like all of the options adoption drives success. With rtosc there is https://github.com/7890/oscdoc support (XML/XLST based) as well as a more standard json schema https://github.com/mruby-zest/osc-bridge/blob/master/schema/... . For the running application the discovery mechanism is in the vein of oscit where there are special discovery paths and everything is over UDP OSC.

One of the limitations for ZynAddSubFX is making discovery a multi-step process, since there is a very large number of OSC paths (if you count out all enumerations it's ~4,000,000). So flat listings don't really work and even if that's resolved the rest of the information needs to be presented in a compact/efficient format for the system to be performant. I'd say the OSCQueryProposal looks like it falls back on HTTP concepts and javascript conventions too heavily and adds more verbosity than I'd personally prefer. Looking over the options that I had considered in the past I'm looking at libmapper again for some possible future ideas and work.
You forgot about radar. Our current radar produces signals that are very very easy to see from incredible distances.

But, I'm not sure if the signals will appear to be from intelligence though.
Well, I use SQL databases and MongoDB a lot, sometimes even in the same exact project. It turns out that while most data can be looked at as either relational or document-based with enough contortion, some of it leans fairly strongly in one direction.
Two of these must be Australian variations, as a U.S. pilot I've never come across "Roger that" - just "Roger". And never have come across "affirm" only "affirmative".

Examples are in ICAO standard phraseology, FAA ORDER JO 7110.65, and the Aeronautical Information Manual.
When a text can trigger a lynching: WhatsApp and incendiary messages in India
Sorry for a bit of a meta-reply, but this is kind of the reason for my sadness: there is this sense of isolation/aloofness to your question. The best thing to do is to work hard to prevent this outcome, since it's less than zero sum. I am sorry, but even if I knew your financial situation and goals I wouldn't want to offer investing opinions.
Ask HN: Technologies to code/host 1 on 1 video chat?
Hey HN -

I have a project I'd like to develop that is a highly-specific application of 1 on 1 video chat. Essentially something like https://appear.in, but for a specific use case.

Is anyone familiar with the current technologies and/or best approaches to accomplish basic video chat in a web-app?

Big thanks!
_PAAMAYIM_NEKUDOTAYIM v Sanity
It is pretty clear that the author meant OOP -> FP with respect to popularity and NOT literally transformed from one to the other.
It's not really "from scratch". The bots are rewarded for the number of creeps they block, so it's not impossible that they would find some behavior to influence this score.
well, to begin with, the heart rate signal on the logo is upside down :)
One explanation of the inflation of the public and private markets in the US is that the Chinese are in the middle of a massive debt bubble, anyone with cash there has nothing good to do with it, so they've been willing to invest in the US at almost any price.
World's largest NERF gun [video]
What exactly does the RPi control? Is it some sort of WiFi or programmable outlet? I've wanted to do this, but wasn't sure how to get the RPi to control the lights.

My mechanical timers have all broken or drifted too.
Instagram Unveils IGTV to Be the TV for Younger Audiences
Husqvarna has a pretty excellent roomba-for-your-yard system. 100% autonomous. It's somewhat expensive, but if that's the only thing that's holding up a home purchase for you, it might be worth at least looking at. Alternatively, you can probably whip something up with some kind of frankenstein assembly of an electric wheelchair base, an electric lawnmower, a Raspberry Pi, and a camera.

https://www.husqvarna.com/us/products/robotic-lawn-mowers/
If used correctly, options are like buying an insurance policy. You pay a small amount up front to hedge against large future losses. Hence where the term "hedge fund" comes from.
Did anyone watch Hans Zimmer's master class?
Wow good write up, i just made it a few paragraphs in but had to comment. especially after just reading thru the IBM watson 'AI' bullshizz, this is refreshing and reminds me that there are folks who are trying to think about this stuff in new ways rather then just hyping/selling the out of 'AI' so your new BigCo can burn thru 10/100s of millions on some shy project =)
Anyone know what "RA" stand for? The employees kept mentioning it on the "Watching IBM" blog. I couldn't find a decent match via Google. For ex:

> IBM Watson Health has initiated a significant RA across multiple offices.
They should have asked the AI how to save their jobs. Unless of course it's not really an AI, but just marketing hogwash. Surely not!
Blind link goes to page for:

This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly

by Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff (2009)
Privacy group EFF announces STARTTLS Everywhere to secure emails
What reason do you have for expecting current tariffs to not escalate into broader and more destructive tariffs in this ongoing trade war? Are you basing this on rational choice theory? Because I have some disappointing news for you in that case.
@agrinman On the days where you dipped into really low calories (say <1000) do you recall if that was real consumption or just a lack of tracking?

I find my MFP calories are not good data because somedays I say "screw it" and stop counting or don't try and track because I really don't know how much I'm eating (is it 6oz, 4oz or 8oz of chicken, not sure because its just a pile)
Nixon was forced to take the US fully off the gold standard since Charles De Gaulle was exchanging his treasuries for gold, exposing that the US could not keep it's dollar pegged to gold at the current price. This lead to significant inflation as the dollar floated against other currencies.

It is no stretch to say that there has been a new paradigm that started in the late 60s as the Vietnam war extracted a heavy monetary toll.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AMBNS

The current monetary system is only a few decades old.
This comment on Reddit by a microbiome researcher says that these tests are useless: https://www.reddit.com/r/Microbiome/comments/84ax5i/is_there...
Many years ago, when AI was expert systems and "neural networks" were fringe, the main demo for one of the public expert system leaders was the Wine Advisor. You'd tell it what you were going to eat and it would recommend a wine.
I have a website which aggregates different videos and articles. I used python and scrapy to achieve this goal. I run it on a $5 linode server and it generates 150€-200€ daily. My website is hosted on webfaction.
Thinking how to solve problems, no it's addictive and you cannot stop when you want. It's pure bullshit.
I recently started 5:2 fasting, on five days I try to eat roughly maintenance, I also eat a slice of my coworkers birthday cake.
On two days, I limit my intake to 600kcal which I eat at lunchtime (I prepare a bento box with rice, vegetables and meat). You do the math, and it boils down to a caloric reduction diet roughly. The difference is, that I am only hungry on two days during the week, and I feel like going a day with almost no food is not harder than doing a constant deficit every day.
No, their activities should largely be public. The NSA having privlaged information on their actions is dangerous, they have no incentive to share them with the public unless it benefits the NSA.
Resource Action. That's just euphemistic IBM jargon for layoffs.
This AI matchmaker could mine Twitter to find you a date
Please read my posts carefully before responding. You are talking at, not to me.
Fuzzing is really helpful. Even trying really hard to check for buffer overflow, it's nearly impossible to catch it all.

Kudos for the AFL creator http://lcamtuf.coredump.cx/afl/

I would love if it was easier to do "external checks" (for example network fuzzing). Something like a dissociation of the "submit payload" and the "tortured piece of software" would be really really nice.
Because the books aren't for self-taught people.

They're to sell a crapload of books indirectly through University professors.

As for the "you should know" angle, I do believe that a lot of problems chosen for math classes are chosen because they are asymmetric. That is, getting the answer is much harder than checking the answer. For fractions or systems of equations you absolutely can check your work. It's frustrating for me that nobody appears to be teaching kids that.

If you want to get an A on a college level math test your best use of time left over at the end of the test is to check your work.
The Phaistos Disc
Expect(anything).toMatchSnapshot(“Here be dragons”)
How would one do this? I assume none of this is actually implemented?
It is ironic that the "democracy dies in the dark" people still won't report on this even though it has been common knowledge and public record for over a decade.
I like the idea of breaking off a boss/employee relationship that's not working and allowing the employee to find a different position in the company rather than just terminating the employee.

However, why not hire an independent mediation firm to judge? Why put current employees in a position of taking sides? It seems like the unfairness cited in the article would be nearly unavoidable as relationships and reputations between the judges, the bosses and the employee would all be put to the test.
I can answer a similar question in Formula 1 engine testing failure. It might be similar to the plane problem.

There are basically two options:
Hard shutdown (power off, full brakes) vs Soft shutdown (power off, doing nothing). Both have it's merits and usecase, and are selected by the SW automatically. HS could save lives but could be very expensive, as the engine could be broken by the strong forces.
SS could last a few minutes and destroy the engine also.

In the plane cases you don't have that many options there, though usually with 4 more degrees of freedom yodur options on a plane are much higher. I don't think that there are programmed sequences, but with military applications I would be not surprised to see both options implemented. Escape as far as possible vs hard vertical acceleration for maximal destruction.
The post you referenced reminded me of this HN comment regarding Dropbox right when it launched: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9224

It might be simple for an adept developer but not all companies can find/hire that kind of talent. You need abstractions that simplify dev ops in a way. Yes, docker does not solve everything and should only be used when you can leverage some of its pros.
...A very successful platform. Just not for IBM.