skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
“The Henge” at Ludwikowice, Poland – Test Rig for the Nazi Bell? A Trip Report [pdf]
Can the author justify the accuracy of estimating revolt using a Bernoulli process? At minimum he should provide sufficient reason to believe that the random variables he is using as components of his Bernoulli process (which are 1 if a revolt or revolution occurs in a given year and 0 otherwise) are independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials. These assumptions in the situation he is describing seem unlikely, or at best hard to establish. The author is being deceptive by not providing some sort of warning stating that there are good reasons to believe this is a bad model and the probabilities computed are inaccurate (no confidence intervals provided for instance).
The vomit can be fixed by the standard issue vomit bag! \s
Your Object Model Sucks and an Introduction to Resource Oriented Computing(2015)
https://github.com/kwiwk/lru-cached-getter - Building out some utilities with first-tier TypeScript support. Nothing big.

Been working more with Arduinos and lower level stuff to offset the high level work I do during normal work hours.
An Illustrated Guide to Indian Food-Tech – Part I
I made a throwaway account. I wouldn't want to be found out be potential employers.

I would want to do this, but I am in The Netherlands where health care is amazing, but the salaries are more modest in terms of absolute value. How would you go about a country like The Netherlands?

I don't like working for someone else or when someone else says what I should do, in most cases. I want to do whatever I want, when I want it. I do think I'll be working on something, because watching movies and playing video games all the time seems like fun but I tried it -- it is depressing.

Currently, I'm teaching a family member to code, because she really needs a distraction from her tough life. Also, she needs to see how smart she is -- even after being homeless for the past 20ish years (it is rare but does exist in The Netherlands). I enjoy that, but I won't get paid for that while it does add value to society I believe. I also would want to do a lot with music, but that seems risky financially. Or, I would want to learn a lot of new languages (e.g. Mandarin or Japanese) for fun. It would be cool to organize some events with friends or other people. Or I would like to help homeless people and refugees. Or, I try a stab at becoming a YouTube or pro-gamer (for fun, not for money). I'm all over the place and I'd like to be that, eventually honing in on the things I really like to do and own it.

Another idea is to go for entrepreneurship. But without a financial cushion seems too risky. Maybe I should apply for a subsidy.

Or, maybe I should just grow up. I honestly don't know. I feel the whole financial independence thing is something you can strive for if you're really crafty and clever but is at the very least just as hard as starting a startup and bring it to scale YC style.

I feel my life is meh because of all this, because I'm being pushed into something I don't want to do but ought to do (work). Maybe Darwin will eventually select my type of genes out eventually, I hope so because this type of suffering is unnecessary.
I acknowledge your point. And yet, I would suggest you should reconsider, for two reasons:

First, it feels (to me, at least) like someone is genuinely wanting to be helpful, and you throw it back in their face. Your point is valid, but you could be turning away potential allies.

Second, you are opening the door to people thinking, "Right, we white people will figure out how to solve all the black peoples' problems" - with all the paternalism that implies. I recognize that you are very much not saying that. But it seems likely that someone will take it that way, either because of malice or just because they are bent toward taking it that way.
Each DB engine has it's own incompatible imperative stored procedure language.

Having worked with Oracle's version, and seen entire systems buult out of that, I dread it.
As you meet more Christians you will find more variation in what they believe. All should consider themselves "Creationist", but there are MANY competing ideas, from Ken Ham "5000 years old or bust", to Catholic "could be billions of years", and a lot of version in between. For instance, a friend of mine is a biology professor at the local university, his PHD is in fish evolution, and is a very conservative Christian.
Lumping all gun owners into a statistic is pretty damn useless when you consider "gun owner" ranges from "DEVGRU" to "thinks holding a handgun sideways reduces recoil."
> this may be an unpopular opinion

In what universe it is an unpopular opinion? I've always only heard the recommendation to diversify
<$100/kwh for LiFePo4? That seems really hard to believe.
Slightly off-topic: As the majority of Central Park front property seems to be Co-Op owned, can anyone explain to me how this can be?

(In Europe Co-Op housing AFAIK isn't for the poor, but not that luxurious either)
I got to take a tour of a little "Newseum" in the New York Times building that displayed some of the lead lines and brass matrices. One person on the tour asked if printers got sick from handling lead and our guide said, "Oh, yes!"

People are surprised how industrial the process used to be, and how tough and unregulated industrial jobs were back in the 70's and the decades prior. Our guide told us that in the old NY Times building (the one shown in this film) there was a hospital on the 13th floor for people who got burned or (his word) mangled during the hot type process. The New York Times had doctors on staff for printers who got hurt badly enough that an ambulance ride uptown would take too long.

A couple of the workers in the movie are wearing paper hats. That's to keep ink that's floating around in the air out of their hair. No masks! But at least their hair would be clean.
SMOKE: A Crisis in Northern Thailand [video]
Alphabet profits jump 84%, exceeding expectations
Midnight Recording Dance 2017 fully hot
But Chat is still a new Google app, isn't it? RCS is the new standard, but "Chat" is a Google app. There's a chance they could stop supporting it, and with the next-next version of android go back to shipping an SMS messenger, or (more believably) decide a new standard is better and ship that, dumping RCS.

To me it reads like "Google has stressed that Chrome is not a new Google app. Since HTTP is a communications standard, it is up to individual mobile networks and website-makers to switch on the functionality."
> Ok, but what are we verifying, the pre-adjusted numbers, or the post-adjusted numbers?

You would compare the raw data (pre). You should also look at the models people use to adjust and ask yourself "does this make sense?" I should mention that the raw data suggests significantly more warming than is actually happening (which is why I've never understood the raw data argumet). This is because most ways we measure are actually artificially warm. There's a good layman's discussion here [1]. I'll mention that article gives lots of links to follow and is one of the first things I give technical people that are interested in learning more about the basics. It will give you a world to google and terms to search.

> pretty sure I found the original source, but the problem is, it doesn't say 97% of scientists support it, or that 97% of papers support it.

This is true, but I think you also misunderstand what it means. IIRC it also included papers from arxiv and other preprint services, which aren't peer reviewed. There are other studies that have done surveys on opinion breakdowns between different types of scientists. You still see an overwhelming trend (I believe >97%) among climate scientists that support it.

> And then I read things like: "The US right, for decades...

Leave politics out of science. Well at least as much as you can. Stop reading these things, they aren't relevant or useful. Different parts of academia have different problems, and they don't apply to all parts.

> So, partially because I'm genuinely skeptical...

GOOD. PLEASE BE SKEPTICAL. As a scientist I will NEVER discourage someone from being skeptical. But you also need to do more than just say "I'm skeptical", that is being a conspiracy theorist (in the bad way). A real skeptic looks into the claims made. That's what being skeptical is. So I encourage you to look at the data. I encourage you to actually talk to scientists that directly work on this research (as opposed to me). Most scientists are extremely happy to talk about their work, unless you're being mean to them.

If you are really skeptical please at minimum read [1]. Better, go through the other links as well.

[1] https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/01/thorough-not-thoroug...

Bonus: Link to different datasets https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12-__RqTqQxuxHNOln3H5...

Nice graph on common claims (with link to data): https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-whats-warming-the-wo...
Agreed. The ocean is just too deep there. I have a better idea for a megaproject: build a dam across the Strait of Gibraltar, and lower the water level of the Mediterranean. You could get an enormous amount of power from a hydroelectric dam in this location (and later another one near Sicily, after the Mediterranean's level is lowered), plus you'd have a huge amount of new land in the area.
Was in the midst of doing some work and it was one of the first results I found on Google, I figured some of the commentary might provide more context, not fully familiar with that sub though.
He's working off a sample of 2, which he clearly stated.
Classified site for Personal Ads
There is no real contradiction. Liberals do not entertain human rights abuses regardless of how deeply rooted they are in the culture. Slavery, pederasty, child labor, circumcision and female subjugation, animal cruelty, many such practices are culturally acceptable.

An oppressive social model should not be tolerated, lest we end up in the so called paradox of tolerance. Because liberalism means fighting for freedom, supporting the right of everyone to live their lives as they see fit in the culture they choose - not the freedom to strip others of the same rights.
Sometimes people just have fear of an event occurring, and disaster preparedness is a way to help calm that fear and gain a sense of control. I'll confess that the threat of a nuclear exchange with North Korea has caused me a fair amount of concern in the last six months. But reading about nuclear attacks and disaster preparedness has helped me manage that concern.

Moving away is a different kind of preparation; it's certainly not doing nothing. Moving is a lot more extreme than keeping some spare food & water in your basement.
I also do this. Although I actually believe that my clients are doing something positive with their business (and I don’t take clients who aren’t) so I actually enjoy doing this.
> Ok, and WTF do you do for people who can't work, or aren't in a position to get a job

Make jobs that increase supply, and give some of that supply to those who can't work. China is building new cities from scratch, why not do that given the scope of UBI as an initiative?
Instead of being an interesting discussion about the mathematics of events worth preparing for, this is turning into a tired discussion about the merits of guns.

I was hoping for the former, because if I wanted the latter, all I have to do is go on Facebook.
Texas turnpike shut after WWII mortar shell found
I've also had to parse Wikitext. The fact that there are 54 parsers in various states of disrepair listed here (and I have written a 55th) is not because people really like reinventing this wheel; it's because the complete task is absolutely insurmountable, and everyone needs a different piece of it solved.

The moment a template gets involved, the structure of an article is not well-defined. Templates can call MediaWiki built-ins that are implemented in PHP, or extensions that are implemented in Lua. Templates can output more syntax that depends on the surrounding context, kind of like unsafe macros in C. Error-handling is ad-hoc and certain pages depend on the undefined results of error handling. The end result is only defined by the exact pile of code that the site is running.

If you reproduce that exact pile of code... now you can parse Wikitext into HTML that looks like Wikipedia. That's probably not what you needed, and if it was, you could have used a web scraping library.

It's a mess and Visual Editor has not cleaned it up. The problem is that the syntax of Wikitext wasn't designed; like everything else surrounding Wikipedia, it happened by vague consensus.
But surely that's due to environmental pollution, not any (human) health concerns?
Agreed, but then continues to go into larger data sets, of which his analyses suffer from the same erroneous model application.
Developing low-cost wireless soil moisture sensors for agriculture. It's old technology but the proven benefit is huge, and adoption has been really poor (mostly) because of the cost.
I'd like to modify the statistical argument against the author's conclusion -- if we take his yearly probability of violent regime change in the US and take the yearly likelihood as i.i.d., then the probability that it will happen in the remainder of my statistically likely life is significantly reduced by it not having happened in the first 1/3rd. And every year that I procrastinate prepping, I'm more and more incentivized to skip it the next year. That's the math that the average person is unconsciously doing...

To extrapolate to a rural/urban divide, the number of times I've lost power and the average length of that loss is massively lower in the city that I now live in vs. the country farmstead I grew up on, both within 100 miles of one another. Similarly, the number of times I've been unwilling to leave my house because of a major snow event or the like is much lower in the city than it was back home because the speed of road clearing is much much higher here. These sorts of infrastructure things build into the heuristic that produces "trust in the system" in a person, and the likelihood that you'll prep for a week without power or three days snowed in. Once you've prepped for that, prepping a little more is easier because you're already storing extra food and toilet paper, keeping a generator on hand to keep the well running since you're not on municipal water or sewer, etc... It all adds up to different populations feeling very differently about how sane/necessary this activity is.
How Much Do People Trust Social Media and Other Tech Companies?
Why, do you particularly enjoy deer brain, spinal cord, eyes, spleen, tonsils and lymph nodes?
Originally, the carbine was invented for cavalry use, since a shorter stock is easier to handle on horseback.
Assuming you're asking about traditional defined benefit pensions (as someone else answered for 401(k)s).

1. Not generally (ever?). This is one reason why traditional pensions are less attractive these days. Pensions were really a product of a world where someone worked for GM for their whole career or at least a long period of time. (Pensions tend to be constructed so that they rewarded long stints at one or two companies rather than short stints at a bunch of companies.)

2. It's probably safe. There's various legislation around private pensions and, at least as a last resort, the pension of a bankrupt company could be taken over by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
Everything should be on git.captnemo.in (on phone, can't give links)

- Writing code to manage my home server using Docker, Terraform and some glue (nebula)

- reviving the Hindustan Time hatetracker, which was a newspaper project tracking hate crimes, but was shut down after some government pressure.

- zomato tracker that keeps track of restaurants that open or close in Bangalore every week. Plan is to make a twitter it

- hn classics ebook. I scraped and converted a lot of the articles from the HN Classics post into a Jekyll website. Plan to get a PDF/EPUB

- board game implementations for 2 player games with special consideration on making them scriptable. Starting with MCTS but want to make a generic framework
> He claims that the brain is massively parallelized pattern recognition machine, with consciousness being a censor that filters results. While in hypnagogia, this censoring function is suppressed and you are able to make "unthinkable" connections between ideas you normally think are unrelated.

"If the doors of perception were cleansed every thing would appear to man as it is, Infinite. For man has closed himself up, till he sees all things thro' narrow chinks of his cavern."

William Blake: The Marriage of Heaven and Hell (1790)
> companies like Alibaba have published recruitment ads promising applicants “beautiful girls” as co-workers, labeling them “late night benefits.” While tech companies tout themselves as progressive to the rest of the world, these disturbing recruitment strategies show how deeply entrenched discrimination against women remains in China.

How is promising that the work environment is full of girls an example of discrimination against women? If they promised that girls were rare, that would presumably be an improvement?
I had that class in HS. Or at least I had a general statistics class where the teacher emphasized interpreting results, common fallacies, etc. As one might expect, the students didn't pay attention to anything other than memorizing the formulas and spitting them back out on the test. They then promptly forgot the formulas the memorized. I took the optional follow up class as an elective. Even amongst the students of that class, who were interested enough in statistics to take a more advanced one as an elective, all of us had to re-learn the formulas we forgot.

My point is, I know it's simple to notice a problem in society and think that the obvious solution is to make it required learning, but it won't stick unless its reinforced over and over again. It can't just be a class, it has to be reiterated in various forms throughout many classes.
Double EPS (non-GAAP) from $7.73 to $13.33...

On the downside, effective tax rate is down to 11%. That's concerning because the EU is very unhappy about the whole "double Irish with a Dutch sandwich."
I'm not sure I buy this statistical justification for gun ownership, because if you're into statistics then you owe it to yourself to look not only at the odds that you will need a gun at some point in your life (which is what this article argues) but also at the odds on what that gun will be used for while you own it (which this article totally ignores).

Adding a gun to your house increases the odds of successful suicide, of that gun being used against you, and of that gun being involved in an accidental death of a loved one. Gun ownership isn't as simple as "don't shoot anyone with it." Every year that you own a gun, there is a nonzero risk of it being part of a tragedy. You can mitigate and reduce this risk, but it's just as dumb to set it at 0 (because you're responsible) as it is to assume that the odds of a revolution are 0 (because one has not happened in your country in your lifetime).

A more thorough assessment would use the same Bernoulli Process to calculate the lifetime odds that the gun will be involved in a tragedy, and compare it to the odds that it'll save your life in a disaster of some kind.

FiveThirtyEight has a great writeup on gun deaths here, if you haven't seen it. 2/3 of the gun deaths in America are suicides.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/gun-deaths/
I think it depends on what you’re promoting. I run an ad agency and we do mostly Facebook ads, but we only take clients that do something positive with their work. If you’re promoting people or causes that you believe in, it’s rewarding work. I know people though that just push random products on users and they hate it. For me, it’s all a matter of perspective and purpose.
> They make an effort to design their products and services with privacy and security in mind

This is certainly true, and given that under Cook Apple has clearly decided this is a strategic asset to invest in, will probably become more true over time

> and are much more transparent about what data is collected and how it's used

This is false - Google does just as good a job on transparency. It's trivially easy to see what data they have on you, and control it as you wish. Google's business model would be threatened if people used these facilities, but of course they don't.
Show HN: Human-Powered Lead Callback for Realtors
Sure, but the average person has probably had only high school algebra, and remembers none of it.
Francis Collins is a well documented example of a Christian who very much contrasts Ken Ham as the current head of the NIH and director of the Human Genome Project.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francis_Collins
Well said. I think this is the source of much eye rolling for people who have lived in the West and East.

When I lived in China, I was floored when I found out people put their picture on their CV. But that was the tip of the iceberg of unsavory business practices there.

As a counterpoint to the apparent sexism of the Chinese workplace, women were integrated in the work place by the communist party much sooner than in the West. Women there have been able to hold professional white collar-ish jobs for quite a long time.
Baby Bison Are Being Flown to Siberia to Try to Save the Permafrost
I've never been to Texas but a Wikipedia article ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_of_Texas ) suggests that 80F low occurs only in Galveston in July and it's more like 60s and 70s elsewhere. If a humidity is such a problem then you could run dehumidifier during the day and that would lower humidity ( in a sealed house ) overnight.

I mean these temperatures don't strike me as particularly intolerable. I wonder if it's the case of keeping up with Joneses as in "my house is cooler than yours". There are some reports ( https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2015/07/saudis-... ) that rich Arabs in Saudi Arabia are running air conditioners at temperatures that require sweaters — even when they go on vacation. Which is really amusing for these of us who come from colder climates.
Setting Fires and Restoring an American Landscape
I've had tornadoes destroy my brother's house twice and my father's once. My grandmother's house was also damaged.

Prepping for me is more fun than anything. Although, I'm far less prepared here in Tornado Alley than I was living in SF. A tornado mostly wipes out a mile wide or so, not a vast area, so my concern is only riding out the initial damage. In SF a large earthquake could be very devastating.

So my probability of a tornado hitting my house is much higher, yet I'm prepared less. Some of us take into account more variables.

I grew up with a family that were outdoorsmen (and women). So having guns around was never something odd. They were never toys (except the toy guns) and we respected them. I guess living through the Great Depression jaded my grandparents somewhat. They were prepared to take care of themselves first. Be it with guns, with land for cattle, chickens, stocked pond, and a small farm, they viewed them all as just part of life.

My grandmother offered me any of my grandfathers guns I wanted when he passed. I only took one of the rare(ish) ones as a memento. I have my own handguns and rifles, but nothing on the volume that they had.

Preparing for possible outcomes is actually enjoyable for me and my family I'm sure. They loved shooting, hunting, fishing, even the manual labor of farming. I didn't get it as a kid but as an adult (software engineer & entrepreneur) getting your hands dirty and doing manual work is quite rewarding to me now. Plus shooting is just plain fun!
When your CA turns against you
GE has been trying to disrupt anesthesia for quite some time:

http://www3.gehealthcare.com/en/products/categories/anesthes...

Edit: Since its not obvious, they have some machines that can go in autonomous mode and alert the hospital if the patient needs an actual doctor to fix something.