skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This paper really sounds like it advocates the status quo of attempting to take the "sum of the evidence", which usually leads to the generation of many different weak (low sample size, etc) lines of evidence. They don't seem to get that what made science so successful was its ability to generate simpler models of phenomenon. To do this you need to come up with (most often quantitative) theories that can synthesize various lines of evidence.

The practice of "counting heads" seen in fields like medicine is totally inappropriate (eg 2 out of 3 results support the theory so it looks good). The correct thing to do is more like what is seen in physics.

Eg, take the idea that "cancer is due to mutations that accumulate as cells divide, therefore cancer rates should be related to number of divisions and mutation rate." The status quo is to do something like:

1) "cancer is positively correlated with number of divisions"
2) "cancer is positively correlated with mutation rate"
3) "cancer is positively correlated with number of accumulated mutations"

Instead, we should say "this means the probability of accumulating at least n mutations after d divisions given mutation rate r should follow a law similar to":

p(x >= n) = (1 - (1 - r)^d)^n

The two approaches are similar in that you measure mutation rate, number of divisions, accumulated mutations and frequency of cancer cells. The difference is that for the latter approach all the lines of evidence combine in a nonlinear fashion.

This method allows us to subsume a myriad of factors such as genetic disposition, exposure to toxins, etc to be incorporated via a single value (mutation rate). So rather than an ever expanding apparent complexity as more factors are incorporated, there is an accumulation of knowledge as we estimate the model parameters more and more accurately and either reject, modify, or keep our models of the phenomenon.
When do you think the music stops? Who is going to profit from it? I noticed that futures volumes on the CBOE/CME have increased a bit more now (implying there may be more shorts). LedgerX/Deribit options volumes are still not good. Do you think that people are getting short exposure to coins over-the-counter?

The market on its surface seems so one-sided even in the face of this Tether cloud. I am wondering what more sophisticated investors are thinking right now.
How Agile and DevOps Can Boost Software Development Cycle in 2018
I actually decided to take a look at the project this morning. It still builds on OS X 10.13! I used QT for the UI and all underlying code is portable as well on POSIX systems.
I'm not totally sure what Heinlein intended from Starship Troopers, but my favorite reading is the movie, which I think definitely is _not_ what Heinlein intended, but I like better. The movie turns into parody what I think Heinlein took Very Very seriously.
Agile Test Engineer (m/w) MÜNCHEN IT FULL-TIME
Command Line Tools for Developers
A lot! Post-industrialism is a huge problem. Most of Upstate NY is one ghost town after another punctuated by art studios and phoney-baloney tourist towns with a "pedestrian mall" which is just a bricked over main street with some landscaping added. All for the benefit of the massive state workforce, I guess. Anyone who can escape has escaped. Imagine my surprise on going back to visit my elderly parents after an 8 year hiatus only to find that absolutely nothing had changed! Nothing. That's not to say all of NY is like that, but I'm astounded at how very little economy there really is in that whole region. The mega-city has killed the rest of that political boundary, killed it dead.

It's sad what the US has become overall. We imagine sprawling futuristic cities and there's not a single one anywhere. Everywhere that isn't what I just described in some variation of bedroom community with endless strip malls and suburban blight and as you get closer to whatever city, then the urban blight takes over--mostly to do with trucking, warehouses, and so forth. There's little industry anywhere, just armies of people sitting behind computers while sipping coffee in climate-controlled offices. The 21st century is truly strange.

What's also truly strange is that it is nearly impossible to get "off the beaten path" anywhere on the east coast. The Eastern US is unending sprawl beginning somewhere near the Maine border all the way to Miami. You can still get away in the Northwest, Montana, and the Dakotas and maybe also down the center of "Flyover Country" but that's about it. Okay, the Upper Peninsula of Michigan is sufficiently remote, too.
I don't often comment on HN and this (the short-timed nature of discussions) is one of the main reasons. The other main reason is that I have a high threshold for considering my participation is worthy of other people's attention.

More often then not, when that threshold is crossed, I realize I'm too late and my post will just sit there, unread.

Aren't there others who think it'd be great to have a "sticky" or "follow" button, in essence signalling "I'm going to follow this discussion for a few days / weeks, because I'm genuinely interested"?

Also if there was a way to easily "suscribe" to a thread (email alerts) that'd help. (Someone mentioned hnreplies.com in a sibling comment, never tried it, but I'll check it out)
Impalas and zebras must be more athletic because they have to scape the cheetahs and lions 100% of the time. If you scape only 99% of the time you are dead.

Also, the predator is happy to catch any of the preys, they can pick a tired/old/sick/unlucky one. So if 99% of the prey scape, they are probably happy.
Nuster(A web caching proxy server based on HAProxy) released v1.7.9.3
https://github.com/jiangwenyuan/nuster

Added

- Cache purge by key
- Customize purge method

Fixed

- Crash when serve non-standard http method
Every program you will ever write: Input -> Transformation -> Output. That may sound annoyingly simplistic, but internalizing that one concept gives you a foundation to break down any problem you encounter.
Have you read any of Heinlein's essays/journals/non-fiction writings? I think they would probably disabuse you of the notion that he was a closet socialist.
Bitcoin Cash is a non-evolving non-innovating whitepaper cult claiming to be btc because they believe btc should be exactly what was defined on a piece of paper 9 years ago, totally disregarding new/improved tech.
How is Markdown innovative exactly?
Haven’t seen anything negative so far. It’s been a couple months now and super snappy. But perf with Heroku was so unpredictable that Aurora would have to be terrible for us to consider going back.
Which points out the problem. Childhood asthma is a super common, yet extremely low risk condition for adults. Yet it was grounds to refuse coverage, or to raise premiums on the individual, rather than price it into the overall pool.

So imagine it's something high risk. "Oh, you have cancer? Yeah, we're not taking you on. Or if we do, we're going to charge you what we expect you to cost, which is going to be insanely high, to where you probably can't afford it."

Net effect: you can't afford healthcare.

The whole point of insurance is to spread the cost and risk widely, so that the healthy outliers help cover the cost of the unhealthy outliers. The fact that it's not always clear who those are (i.e., the healthy eating jogger who has a brain aneurysm and requires multiple expensive surgeries and months of care) should help with any perceived unfairness (though people are really, really bad at accepting that bad things can happen to them).
> If you were really brave of course you'd remove the maildir-contents post-import. But I think I'd be too scared to do that!

Oh, I did! I figured why not? It would just mean that I needed to use my client for history if I ever stopped developing it and went back to some other solution. Of course I used a copy of my e-mail while developing and testing, etc.
Warren Miller has died
1) I'm saying, depends on the size of the datasets
The australian refund policy covers defects and software incompatibility.
Steams software policy covers anything within 2 hours of playtime or up to 14 days.

pfisch claims that the refund rate is higher than the defect rate.

In other words the steam refund policy is less draconian than the australian refund policy.

Refunds make customers less risk averse. They are more prone to buying on impulse to try something new. Good game developers like pfisch profit off of the impulse buys while bad developers will see high refund rates even from non impulsive customers.

Overall it's a win win situation.
I think he means an open source unarchiver that works on windows. Obviously Linux and bad have tar/gz/bz2 etc
Sorry to leave the technical detail part real quick. But is anyone else concerned about using a DB solely from a company built specifically around that DB? After Rethink DB (sustainability issue) and Foundation DB (bought and shuttered/hidden) and Riak (admittedly haven't kept up but I saw [0]), I am wary of using any DB that is not built by a large community or is not built as a non-core project from a large tech company. Sorry TimescaleDB, I see you have raised a decent amount of funding, but I have to choose my DBs w/ trepidation these days.

0 - https://www.theregister.co.uk/2017/07/13/will_the_last_perso...
Good analogy. TV and many web sites feel like a road at very touristy place where you get constantly harassed by people trying to get you to visit their bar or sign time share condo contracts.
Winemakers can use any grapes and set up shop anywhere they like. Alcohol is of course problematic and reasonable restrictions may be put into place. Pretty straightforward, really.

(Your hypothetical argument based on false moral absolutisms is familiar around the internet, usually used to excuse unethical behaviour. Don't fall for it)
I think the problem with bigger groups is the policies that formalize processes. They're all mental baggage and inefficiency.
Met my first Rodesian Ridgeback (god that's such a dragon name) about a year ago. He was youngish but still ~3 ft at the shoulder, tall enough that he had to lower his head to sniff my crotch (and I'm 6' tall), which he was very interested in (I'm male). Owner didn't discipline or train him at all. I think he was just supposed to guard the horses, and fuck anyone else who wandered onto the property. Pretty friendly right up until he decided he didn't like me any more.

First time I've been scared of a dog since I was three. When a pit gets mad at you, you can kind of convince yourself you can keep it down by kicking and pushing it.
Your neck is out of its immediate range unless you fall down. The Rodey was big and heavy enough that I would have had basically zero time to react if he jumped up.
Humans are just so squishy. If you can throw a good punch, you can knock out 99% of people with one good hit to the chin. A strong hit to the liver will incapacitate anyone and kill them without treatment. Unlucky hits to the face can kill people as well.

I was very acutely aware that no matter how hard I hit that dog, I wouldn't be able to knock it out and my only option was basically to let it chew on me while I tried to hurt it as much as possible. Just keep punching anything that looks soft until it decided I wasn't worth biting, and do my best to keep it away from my neck and nuts.
Pretty good actors. (Some) real folks would’ve pulled out a handgun... which they won't be able to do sitting at home, angry at their ISP.
Nice link by the way. I was more referring to this published by The Atlantic (incidently owned by Steve Jobs family trust):

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/09/savin...

https://www.recode.net/2017/7/28/16055162/laurene-powell-job...

Sorry this thread flamed up a bit. I was just trying to express my gratitude to the Eve guys
Are you using outlook.com? How is it a complete piece of shit? Microsoft improved it quite a bit. It’s different than Gmail, but far from awful.
Kind of made me think of my first (and only, non-layover) visit to Beijing. Also ate food in the alleyways. This was only 8 years ago. It's sad that this experience is lost to time.

I did go to China again last year. Even in remote non-Beijing towns there's a Starbucks or two now.

What can we do against this globalized sameness? How can we uphold traditions in our own countries, to not let them succumb to these trite business models?
The Free to Play Bible
> "public choice theory is racist, and if you believe it you’re a white supremacist."

That's a really uncharitable reading of the Baffler piece which says that public choice theory has been used as an argument to cover policies that were racist in intent and effect.

The Baffler piece is long but this is probably the key para:

"Buchanan proposed that Virginia could finesse the question of full compliance with Brown and avoid leaving the impression that the state wished to revert to crude Jim Crow standards of race privilege. Buchanan’s innovative solution was the introduction of school vouchers, which would empower parents to send children to schools of their choice on the public dime, while also working to buttress the prerogatives of white and affluent populations in restricting broader cross-racial access to the public good of state-financed education. He contended that a voucher system was the best allocation of educational resources because it would compel schools to compete for students and resources, which would lead to educational improvement. On paper, at least, Buchanan was advocating a market-based, seemingly race-neutral policy solution. In effect, however, it allowed for the continued perpetuation of segregation. For example, Virginia’s Prince Edwards County shuttered its public schools in 1959 while doling out vouchers to students who attended private schools that only accepted white children. As a result, black children in Prince Edwards County went without formal education for more than five years."
Honing met kaneel gezond, maar doet het ons ook afvallen
This is spurious correlation at its best. Terrible science at it is worst.
Tesla Semi Spotted on California Street
I quit after the needless Trump bash. Well, okay, one paragraph later where the reason for travel bans was well laid out.
Oh, I think it's pretty obvious which system portrayed in the book anyone sane would prefer to live as part of. They aren't portrayed as equally "not working very well", no?

If some people read the book preferring Urras or thinking it's a toss-up, I'd find that curious and be interested in hearing more (do you?), but still doubt that's what Le Guin intended.
Well, with bitcoin you can transport 1 trillion with 24 words in your head lol. Good luck transporting that amount in gold.
This could actually be in a South Park episode.
9 Signs That You May Have Lived Many Past Lives
Excellent point. Outcome measures should have been more clearly defined in pre-registration. As it was done, p-hacking and selective reporting were still possible.
Which is in the title of the actual article, haha!
I have always wondered why evolution has allowed such a defect. Maybe this is the effect of crossing with Neanderthals.
I did a month worth of diving in Dahab on the Red Sea a while back. Talking to the instructors and dive masters there, their big challenge is keeping the Israelis from killing themselves.

Being just over the border in Egypt, they get a steady stream of young guys fresh out of the army who are accustomed to surviving lots of things and now want to go have some fun. So they nod along to the safety instruction on their "discover scuba" dive, then swim off over the lip to the 30M deep underwater caves filled with lion fish and opportunities for knife fighting.

It doesn't surprise me that the guy in the story thought he could swim to the beach from a few hundred yards away.
Wind Energy One of the Cheapest Sources of Electricity, Getting Cheaper
Languages: Swift, Go, Rust, Julia, Haskell, JS, C++ etc etc

Dev envs: VSCode, Electron, more build systems than you can shake a stick at, VMs, containers, playgrounds etc

Non-textual programming. For general purpose programming, I can't think of any. There are some dead ends that will probably remain so. For niche programming, there are loads.

And to my point, Lisp, Smalltalk and Plan 9 are all good examples of failed experiments that folk took ideas from and used in subsequent projects.

Now, you may not like the investment and innovation. It may not be what you had in mind. Each to their own. But there's plenty of investment and no small amount of innovation.
sigh already downloaded the source, trying to convince myself I need to do this. The code is pretty much pure C++98 along with all the pain that comes with that.
Sure, while the WiMAX argument sounds a lot more convincing than Apple's pitiful claim that they were FORCED into the exclusivity, the EU and other regulators specifically cited Qualcomm's kick-back -- "the significant amounts paid by Qualcomm in exchange for exclusivity" -- in respect to LTE chipset sales as the basis of their decision.

Apple in this case is not a victim of Qualcomm's anti-trust/competition violation, but a colluder and should have been punished accordingly. I'm fairly sure however that, like the previous investigation in Korea and Taiwan, Qualcomm was not allowed to defend and counter Apple's claims, but I speculate it was in part their investigation centered around Qualcomm's baseband OEM licensing (or lack thereof) in violation of FRAND, of which Qualcomm was clearly guilty.
Ted Nelson' Published Papers on Computers and Interaction, 1965 to 1977
There’s also a disown-opener CSP directive that’s hopefully going to be implemented at some point. Should help take care of this.
So the failed transactions are people that put money but will not recover it?
> nobody wants to have large grain snapshots of data for any dataset that is actually comprised of a continuous stream of data points

Except, of course, for those who realize that the precision of a statistic only increases at sqrt(n) and that a biased dataset will remain biased regardless of how much data you have. I'll take a large grain dataset that I can load on my computer and analyze in five minutes over a finer grained dataset where I need to set up a cluster before I can even get started. Enough with the "let's store everything" fetishism already.

(Somewhat tangential to the blog post, I realize.)
Thanks, I wasn't aware of that specifically.

The definition draws in part on Jeffrey Rosen's The Unwanted Gaze, published in the late 1990s, and apparently quite underappreciated and/or known. Though it's been a while since I've read it.
Three Great New AR Toys – Invisible Toys
What Is Value
They don't do IT ( not big scale information gathering) and they could lose their license. Which is what they studied for, during 7-9 years
Is the concern mitigated by this being an open-source Postgres extension? One question would be whether they have attracted external OSS contributors.
Duoling Second Language Acquisition Challenge
Eric Hoffer's book 'The True Believer' is a good explanation of the dynamics of movements based on Conflict Theory.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_True_Believer
Satic verification framework for message passing in Go using behavioural types
There are most certainly human inventions / discoveries that are, in some sense, "hard" (either to discover in the first place, or to explain / grasp). We have a biased view here: we can look back at, e.g., Einstein's general relativity and summarize its development as "well, he just thought to explore the logical implications of having a constant speed of light!" We have that luxury of hindsight (and several decades of steadily improving explanations of the original insight).

Then you go and start reading Actual Science: Minkowski spaces? Tensors? Paradoxes about long objects and barns? Gravitational lensing? Figuring out where to go with that initial idea is decidedly non-trivial.

In the extreme, there are papers at the bleeding edge of mathematics that can only be meaningfully reviewed by half a dozen people worldwide. Understanding these papers (or anything at the limits of species-wide knowledge) is a far cry from grasping algebra / calculus: eventually you hit a point of diminishing returns, where further advances in your understanding of the problem require months or even years of dedicated study...

...and yet (assuming we refrain from destroying ourselves) these same problems may eventually find their way into high school textbooks, where they will be succinctly (and approximately / incompletely) summarized so as to make them look easy and incremental. That's great! It means we've permanently moved the pedagogical starting point forward for future generations, so that they can go and struggle with truly hard problems that we don't even know to ask.

My point: yes, some things are hard, even if most are not. I'd say that the trick to advancing humanity lies less in convincing students that everything is easy given enough time / patience / curiosity, and more in getting them to stick with hard problems: to normalize failure, as it were. That said, I do agree that we should avoid presenting things that aren't truly hard as though they are :)
At the time of sale the phone wasn't defective.
Yeah, there are a lot of bad ones out there. The best way I know is through networking. Chances are that someone in your network has worked with a good recruiter; or worked with someone they liked who was incidentally hired through a recruiter.

If you're sifting through recruiter spam, pay attention to which ones are talking about opportunities that are relevant to you and why. I keep an email folder just for messages from recruiters - it helps me keep a pulse on what people are looking for. And if I do start looking it becomes a) a well of potential recruiters to work with, and b) a training set for my own neural network (aka brain) to work out how the best and worst are communicating.

Let's take a look at this month's spam so far. I'm a full stack developer slash engineering manager in NYC with almost 20 years of experience in web development mostly in PHP and Python. The recruiter who just sent me a mid-level front-end opening is toast. So is the one who sent me a senior opening on .Net. And the one who sent an opening in Cincinnati. And the one who asked me to send HIM names of good candidates for his opening.

The one who sent me an opening similar to what I'm doing now, but with a 50% pay raise might get an email back if I happen to be looking. So might the one who sent me a VPE opening. Both personalized their messages to reflect specific details of my profile - which means they actually read it and didn't just mail merge me into a spray-and-pray mailing. And they're not just trying to fill an opening with a body who matches qualifications but also putting consideration into how the candidate might want to advance in their own careers.

After speaking further with them, I may or may not end up working with either. I already have a recruiter I like who found my current position, and working with more than one recruiter at a time if you're already working full time gets to be exhausting. (Heck, juggling 3 or 4 when you're between jobs can be a full time job if they've got robust pipelines.)

Good luck!
Smart Contact Lens Doubles as Blood Sugar Monitor