skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I have personally had good results with Wideband Delphi, however with a few tweaks.

1. Instead of iterating until there's complete consensus, take the min and max of each of the subtasks and use them as follows: The sum of all the min's is the absolute best case hours estimate. The sum of all the max's is the absolute worst case hours estimate.
2. To project a completion date from the raw hours, you need to estimate how many weddings, deaths, vacations, pregnancies etc. your team might have-- this is absolutely a guess.
3. Assume an engineer works no more than 80% a day-- he will take coffee breaks, answer e-mails, meetings, etc.
4. Know your engineers and apply individual efficiency metrics to their tasks. Some guys will work slowly but their first version works flawlessly. Some guys will race through things only to have their code not pass validation later. Most people are somewhere in the middle.
5. Don't forget time to automate test tools, builds, deploys etc. These are huge time savers.
6. If doing hardware+software projects, integration will take way more time than you possibly think it could. You will hit at least one dastardly bug in your OS, hardware or silicon.
7. Give estimates as probabilities of completion, not hard dates.

NEVER give an off the cuff estimate for anything non-trivial. You will be held to any utterance you make. The correct answer to a request for an estimate is, "I don't know."

If your management won't allow you to make detailed estimates, or won't provide detailed enough design documents, specs, they are not serious individuals and don't deserve a serious answer.
The Huffman coding example page shown for "Algorithms Notes for Professionals" is paraphrased from the classic textbook "Introduction to Algorithms", or CLR as it is often called. The tree diagrams on p. 54 of "Algorithms Notes for Professionals" are pirated directly from CLR -- p. 339 of my 2000 printing, but it may differ in later editions -- and the text is similar (CLR p. 338: "This method requires 300,000 bits to code the entire file. Can we do better?" Notes for Professionals p. 54: "This method requires 300,000 bits to code the entire file. Now the question is, can we do better?". I suppose they hired people in low cost-of-living countries to find the relevant reference materials and paraphrase them.
That's not ego-dystonic decision-making; that's just different things being possible in the embodied environment and you being aware of that.

That is: you can fly in a dream; you can't fly in real life. But if you could fly in real life, you probably would. Therefore, it isn't shocking to "watch yourself" decide to fly, if flying is obviously an option.

Consider, by contrast, ripping your own limbs off. Perfectly possible in reality, but nobody does it. If you did it in a dream, you'd wonder why "you" wanted to do that. It wouldn't make sense for you to make that decision, so probably "you" aren't you at the moment.

You might try some stuff, e.g. stepping off a cliff in order to fly, only if you're really quite sure you're in a dream. But "being sure you're in a dream" means "being sure your actions have no long-term consequences in reality", which allows many more things to be ego-syntonic.
Dave Rubin has a good take on a potential presidential run by Oprah:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=41d9DFsfmrA
do you mentor?
Terrible way of looking at it. Perhaps for investors, sure, but not for employees
Frankly the real problem is piss-poor security in the telecom networks.

Why is it possible to spoof a phone number, and why is it so trivially easy?

Without the ability to spoof numbers, this problem disappears overnight with some litigation and call blacklisting.
Really? Last time I checked, all those drivers who speed haven't been locked up for life and they're certainly a danger to society. Though prison might be too hot for them with all those dangerous marijuana smokers which the justice system has availed of us
Seems like the AutoML project if successful will result in a loss of atleast the lower end AI jobs.
Comparing productivity of Node.js frameworks
Personally, I can't imagine the speedometer bothering me. What really bothers me is the lack of tactile controls. When I'm driving in tough conditions (or any conditions for that matter) I need to be able to change basic controls without looking. For instance, if I sense something's amiss and decide the volume is too loud, I can't be playing fat fingers with the touchscreen.
The One Best, “Secret” Hack to Getting Venture Funding – SaaStr
Very cool. The magic link/email address as a ready made authentication platform feels very comfortable from a usability perspective. I’m curious if the venerable crowd here at HN has experienced any downsides to this approach. Are we (over)extending a notoriously easy to pown target in email by using this approach? Or is it just considered the same level of security as say a normal user/pass setup? I know zeit uses it for their system and that’s a gateway to applications/websites/micro services/etc. I have to say that I like using it because it’s so easy but I’m not sure what the implications could be in aggregate.

Edit: changed a word for clarity.
ah yes, voice control....

In your tesla all you might have to do is say "left driver seat window down" and the window opens. If you only want it halfway down you will have to say "stop" at the right point.

Of course if your aunt borrows your car she will have no idea how to roll down the window because she doesn't know the proper voice control.

Of course it won't work when the window is open and you're driving fast because of the noise.

Of course you won't be able to remember all of the voice controls, and will inevitably end up screaming at your car to open the hood because you don't remember exactly which words to use.

Of course, before you go on your first ride you should read the manual and memorise all the voice controls.

Of course you should never say the words "open hood" while driving for obvious reasons.

Do you still think voice control is a great idea in a car?
But unless you post data or link to a study things just devolve into anecdotal arguments and there doesn't seem to be any way to move forward (and no point in commenting).

I can't see any logical reason to agree with your standpoint based on what you've said...
I really wish NASA made the joke, "it feels like we knew nothing about Mars? and all of a sudden we achieved Total Recall!!!"
Let's Encrypt has also just added a new post in which they've been working tirelessly on a new nginx and apache plugin to certbot utilizing HTTP-01 validation:

https://community.letsencrypt.org/t/help-test-certbot-apache...

It seems they are predicting TLS-SNI-0x going away for a lengthy period of time.

That said, the ALPN proposal is a start.

Though rather than just having it as a mere marker, it should incorporate features to securely indicate which domain label it is attempting to validate and achieve consensus on part of validator and the endpoint being validated.

I am hopeful such a scheme may be useful for future deployments down the road. I think it is likely before there is infrastructure in place utilizing a new mechanism of that kind that current needs will need to be met with one of the other mechanisms.

The speed and resource with which Let's Encrypt is working on solutions to migrate users to non-TLS-SNI validations might well be a signal.
No question. The value of sales engines - driving sales referrals - as ecommerce in the US doubles over the next ~10 years (and in many developed economies), is extraordinary. If you want to make a billion dollars, build the next generation of sale referral monsters (RetailMeNot or Coupons.com being a primitive, unsophisticated first generation version; Groupon & Co were/are also primitive early sales referral engines).

A catalog is a concept, rather than a pile of printed paper as perhaps most people would think of it (ie thinking that catalogs died out with the rise of the Web). Historically catalogs pushed sales in all sorts of ways for all sorts of things, for eg the last 150 years in the US (and much longer elsewhere). As a concept, it's a sales referral system; it can either be internally owned (Sears Catalog) to drive content within eg a retailer's selection, or it can drive sales for external stray objects (whether tchotchkes or otherwise). The catalog business in the US was massive for a century. It's being rebuilt online right now. Pinterest, Twitter, Facebook, Snapchat, Instagram, etc. are in part sales referral engines, there will be dozens of major platforms that perform that role, as it spreads to fill in every possible ecommerce niche.

All of these shops/brands/products coming online or being started from day one online, need a way to drive sales online (the more cost effectively the better). Taking a cut of that sales referral action will be dramatically more valuable than rage clicks for content on a random buzzfeed article or a paid click over to low value content on boredpanda and similar.
Sure, I know that's part of it. That said it doesn't preclude that I found it easier to use.
> She is a kid of opposite of Trump in a way. Outsider. Rich. Media savvy.

What? Those are all traits they have in common. Not really opposites. Do you mean she's a liberal counterpart to Trump?
It's unfortunate the feature itself is a kink. Don't want it, especially not on by default.
Less work for the company because the process is simpler, and allows them to "test the waters" and back out if response is cooler than they imagined it would be.

https://www.inc.com/christine-lagorio/public-offerings-how-c... is a good read.
The Model S has been using one big touchscreen for the center console for the last five years, and it has been working just fine.
Pulses of Light to Encrypt Data and Protect Security of Cryptocurrencies
Intel Security Issue Update: Addressing Reboot Issues
> That's all anyone wants out of them

I'm sure they have better data on this than you or I do. There is an unfortunate tendency on HN to assume people are idiots who don't know what they're doing, as evidenced by every "why does company X need Y engineers??!!" comment.
Eventually this will lead to voice controls...

Voice controls as imagined by science fiction like Star Trek and implemented by Apple, Amazon, some cars, etc. are one of the worst UI designs imaginable. Vocal communication is a Hollywood trope to make up for the fact that flipping a light switch doesn't make for compelling television. Vocal communication is slow, ambiguous, leaky, and distracting, whereas mechanical interfaces can be operated almost subconsciously. How long does it take you to depress the brake pedal in a car, versus, "Okay Google, [long pause, waiting for enough cell bandwidth] please stop before you hit that car in front of me!"

Sure, you might say cars will take care of stopping automatically. But that just proves the point that voice is an unsuitable UI medium. And cars don't yet stop autonomously with 100% reliability, and there are a thousand less critical but more common interactions with everyday systems that are just ridiculous for voice: turning on lights, adjusting the volume of a stereo, locking a door, etc. The last holiday party I went to the hosts were using an Echo for music, and the entire conversation had to pause for 30 seconds every time someone wanted to change the volume. Give me sensor-based automation, give me switches and knobs, give me anything but a voice interface.
Funny what they posted today:

https://techcrunch.com/2018/01/11/google-claims-its-spectre-...
Broadcasting is too efficient. There's no way to require individual authorization from receivers, so subscription fees are hard to collect. For free content, ads are not very targeted.

It's great for emergency communication, though.
> There are so many devices out there today with "one button" and different LED flashing patterns you have to remember for use.

The Samuel Morse School of User Interface Design.
Totally with you.

My next "new" car will be something used that has physical dials and switches. I'll spend the differential $ on rebuilding engine/trannie and other wearable components.

I do not ever want to look away from my driver's sight picture to adjust something like AC or radio.
To manage insider risk, we do everything you mention (as well as much more I can’t mention). We treat insider risk the same as external threats: ever present and requiring constant vigilance.

The VM is not considered a security boundary any longer; tenancy controls are now in place, to prevent attacks similar to Meltdown and Spectre that are yet undiscovered.
I recently rented a Toyota Corolla. The buttons and console were ugly and plasticky. But damn were they easy and intuitive to use!!
no comments yet - how strange! seems like a major change, assuming he can follow through on it, which might be hindered by all the other stakeholders FB is beholden to. i have NEVER really used it for social engagement (ie always passively) so i won't notice any effect, but curious if it does make things substantially better
Off-center gauges are not unusual or unique to Tesla. Toyota Yaris comes to mind [1]; Saturn Ion and Cooper Mini are some other notable examples.

Having owned a Yaris, I can tell you that it's not a problem. (It's a matter of compromise. The steering wheel can obscure the gauges in other car models.)

[1] https://fcache1.pakwheels.com/original/4X/a/0/e/a0e633fd06ce...
Last time I heard Twitter only needed 100 engineers.
Are you saying the base model is slower than a comparable gasoline car? Are you also claiming that most cars don't have options that include items that make the car faster? Like turbos, bigger engines, etc?
"Even there?" Forget the farm, this has nothing to do with farming per se. It doesn't matter if the crew does nothing but eat pre-sealed sterile goop.

The problem is that ensuring a sterile barrier so nothing gets out of your habitat-- especially when spacesuited living humans must pass through regularly -- is somewhere between incredibly expensive and just impossible.
Or the defogger. Being able to find that button is a matter of serious safety for me.
I left the industry because of the entitled behaviour of the community.
I estimated theri EV/R's (substract debts add cash to valuation) and I get Dropbox 9.0 - 9.5 and Box little over 6.

The real issue for me is that file storage is ultimately low profit margin business when the growth maxes out. The end game comes in next 5 - 10 years during a downturn and Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Facebook, or some Chinese company buys one or both of them out and gets the brand and the customers.
Your arguments don't seem to be backed by data, or any kind of objective logical reasoning. So I would agree.
Cooper Mini and Toyota Yaris, too, and probably a bunch of others. It's not an unusual design.
You have a very restrictive view of what a real friendship is. I'm sorry, but you don't get to define my relationships, that is not your right.
> The trick of course is convincing anyone who isn't me to pay :)

Honestly, maybe invites/sponsorships? One person who care's enough to pay $10 can bring his "social graph" (or a subset) with him.
There's already a standardised bus for data transfer between systems (canbus) so why not an API?
And then there is the third great founder of pragmatism, John Dewey, who was also left out.

That said, I was happy to read such a clear and interesting presentation of James' ideas.
HTC U12 Full Phone Specification, First Look, Release Date, Features, Photos
as a former biologist:

please, please, please, please, please, please, please ensure that at YC the people with money do not try to interpret laboratory data and stay far away from making any kind of project-level decisions.

it's something they (VCs) love to do, in my experience. incorrectly. and it's a massive waste of scientists' time, to have to correct the moneymen's misunderstandings of rudimentary things. then it's a cringe session when you hear them trying to explain it to other moneymen. then it's a big tearjerker when the moneymen's childlike expectations aren't met, and the company suffers.

something about biotech VCs and business types makes them think that they understand their products and products-in-development even if they're unqualified. the reality is that the depths of their ignorance are very embarrassing.

but i digress. i hate to rain on the parade here, but my bet is that most of the early stage biopharmas at YC will fail due to one of two reasons:

1. nature isn't working in the way they need it to.

2. the people with money don't stay out of the way enough and make stupid decisions that they don't understand.

i've seen a few biotechs fail to reason 1-- always tragic, but nature always has another trick that mankind will figure out some other day.

i've also seen a few fail to reason 2. it's very predictable, and saddening every time. non-technical types in leadership positions need to stay far away from biotech, especially at an early stage... they ruin things by cutting funding at the wrong time; they ruin things by forcing idiotic focuses; and they ruin things by believing that manipulating nature is similar to making a faster horse.

i have plenty of ideas on how to make biotech startups work better when they receive funding, however. they are, shall we say, politically incorrect-- both to the society of the scientists as well as the society of the VCs. perhaps i will share them on some other evening.
> It seems like Google's brand is benefiting tremendously from Project Zero in all of this.

Is that not how it's meant to work? They're paying to run a top notch security team which is actively discovering vulnerabilities and creating fixes for them. Should they not benefit from this?
So what are the speech-impaired to do then?

When I'm driving I find it less distracting to adjust the AC or the music via knobs, than to use the voice activated calling function. Mind you my cars speech recognition is quick and superb, but skipping a track, adjusting a mirror, or setting the air conditioner are automatic and don't require me to focus on anything else but driving. I doubt voice everything will make anything safer.
This is probably coming after a drop in user(s) or engagement. I know I personally have completely stopped using Facebook (same with many friends). It's easier to simply setup a Signal group and text (which I do with even my parents and 80 year old grandfather).
>> I wonder if enough of the core-base was eroding that they were forced to make this change.

You're probably right. I'm just one person and my views are not universal but also not unique to me. IMHO shared content of all kinds has killed the value of facebook to me. I go there to see what's up with people I know, not to see bunch of shared stuff from 3rd parties. A few years ago you could go through and click "don't show any more from cool_cat_videos" and do that agressively for a day or two and the feed would clean up and show more friends posts. That doesn't work any more, there is a constant barrage of suggested content that isn't coming from anyone I know - just FB paid suggestions. It's awful. My typical Facebook experience is to log in, scroll down - ignoring almost all content - looking for an actual post from someone I know. Then I log out.

To me the problem is the "share" button. It encourages impersonal content sharing, which I can get all day long over at reddit or youtube or whatever. I go to FB to see what's up with people I know, but it just doesn't work like that any more.

They seem to get it, but the fix they're talking about is to focus on 3rd party content that get a response from people you know. That's still not personal posts, and I don't think it's going to change my use much.

The problem for them is that the stuff that used to bring me there doesn't pay, and the stuff that does drives me away.
We have been trained by decades of marketing ploys that words like “less” or “more” mean pretty much that things will be better but ultimately the improvement will be oversold.
Yes, Oprah is a mirror version of Trump: take a trait, find its left-right, up-down, and you can place both in opposite ends of the spectrum.

"Progressivism" became so stale that it allowed Trump to become elected, and with Oprah we would see "progressivism" struggle to pull its own Trump card in desperation.
> "no comments yet - how strange!"

The main discussion on this topic is on the front page with over 124 points and 124 comments:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16129401
If you buffer all I/O until the program has finished executing, I don't think this type of timer works. (The message to the user is displayed only after the process you are trying to time completes, and then when the user clicks the button you are executing again)

The program is equivalent to a pure function from (state, events) to (state, actions) and the computing device that evaluates this function can't leak any information to the function without evaluating it incorrectly. It can still leak information in how long it takes to evaluate the function, but there is no direct way to get this information back into the function.

You could ask the user what time it is, or how long something took, but that starts to look suspicious fast!
Ex-Google Employee's Memo Says Executives Shut Down Pro-Diversity Discussions
PRISM is/was a small program. "Upstream" programs is the what most should be worried about and goes sort of around companies (and anyone/anything else).

Though, some companies are handed a court order to "share" their data (quarterly, about 80 companies so far). And NSA has standard rates for this.
Machine Learning’s Growing Divide
As an outsider I have always found it interesting Oprah has a huge gathering from her talk shows. While there are stories outlining her rise, I wanted to see some of her "best" interviews, especially during her early years. But Google or YT have not been very helpful.
>If it was guaranteed, what incentive would you have to pay Facebook more?

Well the way products usually work is the company says "pay me this amount and here is what you'll get". The way Facebook works is "Pay me... no, a bit more. Maybe a bit more. No, there's no guarantee of what you'll get in return. Don't like it? Pay a bit more then." The relationship between content creators and Facebook is a partnership. Facebook wouldn't be worth anything without users, and users would have a smaller audience without Facebook. The last thing you want is for that to tip too far in one direction.

Have you ever used Facebook ads? They're not exactly straightforward, and there's no "pay this amount to reach everyone who says they want to read your content". You can excuse their exploitative business model all you want, but it only works until there's a viable alternative.
This is not about criticism this is about abuse. They are entirely different things. "Free speech" is also mostly irrelevant here. Nobody has the rights to dox or make threats of rape or homicide. Indeed, many of these behaviors are illegal but there's not much that can be done about them because the police don't have the resources to deal with them.
It would be foolish to ICO now. Go public first then pull a Kodak.
She's not a good interviewer. Her success has nothing to do with any kind of interviewing skill, it has to do with choosing hot button issues and topics that her audience find compelling. That's it. That's why there's so much woo-woo on her show over the years, and so many total fluff interviews, and so much panic about child safety. Because it was a daytime show aimed at housewives.
The draft work which proposes what amounts to an ALPN protocol-name echo as an implicit signal to some heretofore unspecified compliance with ACME workarounds is a mistake. Even the suggestion to "scan alexa's top sites" to see if accidentally-clashing behavior is observed in the wild is naive at best, mind-numbingly misguided at worst.

Like you suggest, it's important to be explicit, and if they wish to lean on yet another protocol, now is an opportunity to enumerate the exact behaviors they want. It's good that this work has begun, but I hope it won't be rushed.