skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I would say I don't know why you are downvoted but I do know why. Environmentalists overwhelm the Forest Service to the point where they don't even salvage log mega fires anymore due to a guarantee of being sued (and if they do it's safety salvage along roads). They also prevent timber sales of trees over a certain diameter, etc, etc. There is no balance anymore to timber sales or industry use, or they have become non existant on the west coast. Environmentalists & government have largely created unintended consequences in the last 50 years leading to mega fires that scorch the ground underneath the forest. What good is protecting an endangered owl if they eventually get scorched to death? (See Canyon Creek complex in Malhuer, King Fire in El Dorado, etc, etc the list never ends). The national forest is called "Land of Many Uses" for a reason. Despite what you hear, we can successfully log, cattle graze, hike, jeep, hunt and camp in our forests with balance.
Is the plant needed to produce the light? It sounds like the plant is being used as a medium to hold the light emitting particles, but otherwise isn't used to fuel or transport them.
Babies start crawling at about 6 months, and walking somewhere between 9 months and a year. I have a two year old, and she is far from helpless.
I’ve heard reports that changing out a microbiome has resulted in a few bald people regrowing their hair.
Thanks for sharing! Can I ask what considerations went into your decision? Will you be pursuing this now that there is more evidence that it's effective?
Bitcoin doesn’t HAVE to be used for micropayments to be useful.
awesome :) really happy you liked it!! thanks a lot for the feedback!
Somewhat related, I thought Atul Gawande's take on why C. Sections are so common now was fascinating. It's all in his book "Better: A Surgeon's notes on performance" but I've linked to a summary of the obstetrics section below.

Relevant passage:

"In the 1960s fewer than 5 percent of deliveries were Cesareans and more than 40 percent involved forceps. And those numbers are related. Gawande makes a strong case that in the hands of experts, forceps are safe (according to some research, safer for mothers than Cesareans). But forceps are hard to learn to use properly – a process that can take two years. And if forceps are used by inexpert doctors, the results can be disastrous. Cesareans are easier to master. And this has led hospitals to phase out forceps and, in many cases, do C-sections instead. To discourage the inexpert from using forceps, Gawande says, “obstetrics had to discourage everyone from using them.” This change has come at a cost. Gawande notes that, as straightforward as Cesarean deliveries can be, they can go wrong. The baby can be lacerated. If the head doesn’t come free quickly, the child can asphyxiate."

https://oneminutebookreviews.wordpress.com/2007/07/18/atul-g...

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/213233.Better
The Definitive Serialization Performance Guide
I quit for a number of reasons, excluding this one. It never occurred to me that keeping "up-to-date" in the way that you do on FB/Twitter/IG makes IRL less exciting. Once I had been off for a while and felt less self-conscious about being out of the loop, catching up was SO much more enjoyable! So was sending specific people specific photos over text. So was giving people in my life a chance to re-tell a story about something great that happened to them. It never occurred to me that I was missing out on that ...
Upcoming Documentary Kart Kids Der Film Tracks Germany's Future Racers (2016)
Where I live it is 100% legal to shoot them with no questions asked.

100% legal (castle doctrine) to shoot them, think about that for a minute, not generally legal to shoot someone engaging in a legal activity.

--edit--

Also legal to shoot them through the door but probably not such a good plan...
> cheaper, faster, and easier

We don't know that, right? We don't know how much it would cost to develop the tech; we don't know how long it would take; we don't know how difficult it would be.

It might actually be cheaper to send canned apes throughout the solar system, than human minds in robot bodies; we just don't know yet. This is at best a Fermi problem, where we can start throwing numbers out and hope our estimates are within a few orders of magnitude.
> Are you not asking of me a much higher degree of rigour than the Club of Rome demonstrated?

I was mostly asking about details of what exact points you said they were wrong about.

> The simplest: No exhaustible has been depleted yet. See table 4. [...] Gold, mercury, silver were predicted to be exhausted by 2017. None are.

Indeed. Thanks! Though I should add that these tables are not based on their system simulation, but simply on known reserves and know rates of consumption at the time.
That was me for a while before the cognitive dissonance caught up :)
> Movies, while extremely popular, don't generate that much money

But movies are part of Intellectual Property, which is the US's biggest export (in real dollars).
That's their entire business model, so I doubt they'll fix it.
Sounds like the model was correct. We just fell into the 2%.
It's somewhat mythical that the "experts" got Trump and Brexit completely wrong. Fivethirtyeight, the most-famous among the poll aggregators, had Trump at 25% in their last prediction, for example.

That's not perfect, but they have literally written hundreds of articles trying to tell everyone that their predictions are just that, predictions. They also have an analysis showing that the polls were more accurate than in previous elections. That's not very helpful when +-0.5% can make all of the difference, but I'd expect HN of all places to have some appreciation for the concept of probabilities and uncertainty.

What's more important is that the experts got almost everything right in regard to, for example, the UK/EU negotiations. Which is why you can currently earn more money selling "Told you so!" t-shirts in Brussels than investing in Bitcoin.

But ultimately "is bitcoin a bubble?" isn't a popularity contest–it's a question of fact. It's the same as "is their any underlying value that makes a bitcoin worth $20,000?".

I'd argue the answer is almost certainly nope, because bitcoin has failed spectacularly at the mission it initially set out on. It is useless for transactions, as shown by $20 fees. It's far less secure than cash under your mattress. And it's not anonymous to any reasonable degree.

Basically all of bitcoin in active circulation is held for speculation, which sets it apart from other currencies. The only analogue is gold, and one could reasonably say that gold is in as much of a bubble as bitcoin. The only question remaining is if bitcoin can pull of becoming the second bubble-that-doesn't-pop.

It's not impossible. But my guess is the bubble pops as soon as BC stops being in the evening news every day. Take away the FOMO, and people will prefer a store of value they can touch.
brb buying bars of uranium...
I'm curious how much of an understanding of coding and computer science gives you an edge here in terms of making money. It's weird seeing people on the news talking about different cryptocurrencies when they obviously don't understand the technical merits of each. For example, Litecoin and Bitcon differ by the block mining times and the hash function used and Ethereum allows more complex smart contracts etc. but these kinds of details aren't mentioned. Bitcoin seems to be facing scalability issues (in terms of the protocol and the community) but I'd be very surprised if the news picked this up.
Well, probably they won't change the world. But the author's complaints sound like only that: complaining. Specifically, complaining in the vein of:

but it's not PERFECT!

or

I prefer something else ::pouty face::

All of this from their own singular experience, where we are supposed to take their initial example, using a phone to translate with a taxi driver in China, as vastly superior. But we have only the author's POV for that: the taxi driver may have thought it just as ridiculous as the author feels the buds to be. Or maybe the driver loved it too, but that's the point: we don't know, and neither does the author, but the author is generalizing from these limited experiences to everything, and we're supposed to go along for the ride.

This doesn't even get to the specifics: The crux is that the author dislikes that the translation is in-ear. There's other minor complaints, but that's the heart of his rant. A bit overblown: Translation at the UN itself is "in ear", where the members decide which of six official languages to listen to on their headphones. Not that we should hold up any single example as the ideal: We shouldn't. Different mechanisms may work best in different circumstances. That's the problem with this take-down of buds: It is sweeping and generalized, and supremely self-centered in its outlook for what all & everyone else should appreciate.
I have trouble believing that Bitcoin will create any long term wealth for such a large number of people for one reason, it's too easy.

When this thing pops (and it will eventually) there will be a number of stories of "rags to riches" that will be in widespread media. What you wont see is the vast majority of people who lost out.

Something with this much value involved and so little regulation is bound to cater to a very small number of people.

If there is ever a possibility of a large-scale shift to a cryptocurrency as a standard for any currency, I doubt it will be bitcoin. I also doubt that anyone will reap the benefits simply by "being in early".

Someone somewhere is pulling strings. You may get lucky and ride the waves that are created by those doing the behind the scenes manipulation, but there's a much bigger risk of getting worked.
Many diseases are as simple as your eyes being brown vs blue - you simply have or lack particular proteins.

I wish it were that simple. :(

Eye color, for example, is influenced by a combination of multiple genes. There’s no straightforward eye color gene.
Likewise, it’s especially true for diseases when something like “stomach cancer” is actually a dozen different diseases where each is influenced by dozens of different genes that share symptoms. Combinatorial explosion is a real problem.
> Warrener and her colleagues found that wider hips do not increase the cost of locomotion. Indeed, both women and men are equally efficient at walking and running

> I have a number of papers that show that women are great walkers, and in some particular tasks women are better—they don’t use as much energy, they don’t build as much heat, they can carry heavier loads with less of an energetic burden.

I am not a biologist, but those parts just don't click for me; how/why would evolution have jump through all the costly hoops to differentiate the pelvis of males and females so significantly if the result was to give a locomotion system that was overall worse to the individuals who needed it the most for their survival, without any benefit in return ?
Lots of things could go wrong in either breaking up the quasi-monopoly, or doing nothing at all. None of these are obviously the right path.
Preceded.
Dedicated Homeschool Room-How to Use Your Space
Except there are other coins that are better for illegal transactions.
The experts typically aren't experts in any sense of the word. Columnists get paid to write articles by the word to sell advertisements and get people riled up. Let's not glorify bloggers.
My machine only crashes maybe once every other week now. Mostly when I'm copying files in/out of the WSL filesystem, or doing any disk intensive tasks, such as npm install.

I do all my work in vim/tmux, and I run that inside of XFCE terminal running in WSL, connected to Xming. So all and all, it's better than Cygwin but I'd much rather use a Mac or Linux/BSD.
No, it's more like you holding the giraffe while I fill the bathtub with brightly painted power tools. Because reasoning by analogy sucks.

No one is accusing HiQ of performing a denial of service attack.
Learn Python the fun way Build a cryptobot able to fetch prices of any coin
Who to follow in NIPS2017
Today is the last day to use AIM
Couldn't agree more. The book they cite (Happiest Baby on the Block) goes through the 5 S's and it's a life saver. His "4th Trimester" theory is just about the most sensible description of newborn behavior.
I live and breathe IRT models of the sort they discuss for my work and it's fascinating to me to see it applied to clothing sizing. It makes sense because it's a measurement problem.

One thing they don't get into really is that the IRT model they are using is pretty simple, which is typical of the random/mixed effects model formulation as a way of keeping things mathematically tractable to permit parameter explanation/prediction.

They could add other components to the model, though, such as different dimensions of fit (different aspects of body shape and fit), or how closely different items track those dimensions (as opposed to just how large or how small; e.g., maybe some types of fabric provide more information about fit than others). The models they're fitting are a sort of entry point in that regard.

It wouldn't solve the problem of course, and I agree with you 100% about in-person fitting being the final word, but they also have a lot of ways they could improve these models.
"The goal is to become HBO faster than HBO can become us." - 2013, Ted Sarandos, Chief Content Officer, Netflix

https://gizmodo.com/5980103/netflix-the-goal-is-to-become-hb...

Edit: He just got the company wrong.
This. I'm amazed state currencies still have the slightest credibility. In the computer age, the least that can be asked about a currency is that the total amount in circulation should be public. And it's not. The monetary aggregates are only estimated, and we're supposed to trust the economists who do those estimations. And let's not forget about forgery : not later than today I was reading an article about fake euro coins, and there are lots of them. When you think about it, the fact that we still use pieces of non-precious metals and paper notes for money is ridiculous. They are certainly very easy to counterfeit for anyone with enough means and determination. The whole thing is a mess.

Cryptocurrencies can not be forged and their ledger is public. That alone makes me trust them more than I trust state currencies.
That may be true, but "trusting the media" is a different issue from "trusting the experts".
well, 'breaking and entering' in the US requires that something (i.e., the door) actually be broken in the process of entering the house...otherwise that charge doesn't apply.
It's the last nail in their coffin for sure. No way they can come back from this.

Look, Pro means a different thing to Apple than it does to you. For Apple Pro means professional content creators - photographers, graphic artists, publishers, video editors, animators and yes, rich Youtubers. Those are creative professionals, which is what Apple means by Pro. It doesn't necessarily mean developer or even techie of any kind. If there's one thing Apple really do have a clue about, it's who their customers are. See the record, industry trend beating sales of the touchbar Macbook Pros despite being widely panned by tech pundits.

Does that mean Apple can't make mistakes? Clearly they misjudged the direction high performance computing was heading a few years back. The Mac Pro is intended to be the definitive answer to that question and this is a step in that direction and it looks like it's already working. The reviews of these machines have been breathless, they're a massive step up in power which was exactly what was needed right now.
"Experts" and "the media" are not the same set.
Do many gyms accept bitcoin as payment?
You cherry-picked one poor prediction from a single (shoddy) economist and somehow conclude that economists in aggregate are terrible at predictions.

That statement doesn’t even logically support a conclusion that Sean is terrible at predictions. It’s also entirely possible that Sean errs on the side of optimism given his 2007 prediction, in which case his alarmism over Bitcoin shouldn’t be immediately dismissed.
At this point the transaction costs are making it unusable for most regular payments as well.
I have a 2016 MBP and at work I use a Magic Keyboard.

I prefer my MBP Butterfly keyboard over the Magic keyboard. While the Magic Keyboard has more travel, the feedback and the feel of the Butterfly keys is more satisfying and feels more rigid.

I prefer the bigger escape button on the Magic Keyboard and the fact that dust can't stop my keys from clicking, but that's about it.

But if we put durability aside, Butterfly keys feel much better in my opinion.

I'm hoping Apple figure out a 3rd gen of Butterfly keyboards, with a little more travel and less failure rate.
>How accurate the "best models" were isn't really relevant to the accuracy of the predictions of experts as a whole.

Only if you include random talking heads as experts. Then you get that 98% chance of Clinton winning result. But you can select actual experts to rely on before the outcome happens. The 538 forecast was extremely accurate the previous election and had the 30% outcome the day before. That's actually comparable to a poll of economists on bitcoin.

And to make it even more useful the polling of economists should ask them to give a probability instead of yes/no. It may be true that 96% say "yes it's in a bubble" and the average probability between them of Bitcoin going to 1M$ is actually 20% or more.
No, you just think it is. The intruder must be there to commit a further crime, usually a violent one.

An intruder must be making (or have made) an attempt to unlawfully or forcibly enter an occupied
residence, business, or vehicle.
The intruder must be acting unlawfully (the castle doctrine does not allow a right to use force
against officers of the law, acting in the course of their legal duties).
The occupant(s) of the home must reasonably believe the intruder intends to inflict serious bodily
harm or death upon an occupant of the home. Some states apply the Castle Doctrine if the occupant(s) of the home
reasonably believe the intruder intends to commit a lesser felony such as arson or burglary.
The occupant(s) of the home must not have provoked or instigated an intrusion; or, provoked/instigated
an intruder's threat or use of deadly force.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Castle_doctrine#Conditions_of_...
I would hope that Netflix negotiated a licensing agreement that prevented Disney from just pulling their rights to the shows they funded.
You don't understand how trading bitcoin works. Trading is not done on the chain, its the centralized exchanges which keep the books. Its instantaneous, with people who are involved in arbitrage between the exchanges keeping the prices level across all.
Why are you so sure that upgradability is a requirement for a pro machine? I’m asking genuinely, not because I’m a “pro,” but because I’ve read annecdotes of people who use Macs professionally but do not feel the need to upgrade their internals over the life of the machine. Perhaps Apple has recognized that.
For sure, the other typical 'long reviewers' are the 'Vine hopefuls'. People trying to build a reputation for good / helpful reviews so they can get 'free stuff' from the Vine program (where Amazon sends you products, ostensibly 'on (indefinite) loan') to review.
The South Seas bubble is a more apt comparison. Many of the ICOs that are springing up are exactly like the fraudulent companies that arose in that era (some of them even sold tokens like ICOs!)
Windows has builtin support for multi monitor task bar since Windows 8 ;)

As for issues I would assume you don't have color profiles and aren't gaming on that monitor? Because while they aren't super common they do happen on the dual DP displays.
by the same people who broke the economy on 2008... lets just trust them...
Raiblocks [1] offers zero fee transactions. It will be interesting to see if node operators can be motivated by the same decentralization/benevolence that causes people to run bitcoin nodes today.

[1] https://raiblocks.net/media/RaiBlocks_Whitepaper__English.pd...
> many people have strong ties to the bay area which serve to keep them there.

My family had strong ties to Yugoslavia, until NATO bombed it, so we moved to Germany. We had strong ties to Germany, until it seemed likely that our temporary refugee visas weren't going to get extended, so we moved to the USA. We had strong ties to Washington DC, but it was too expensive. We ended up in Roanoke, VA.

You do what you need to do for your family. Life is about making choices and sacrifices. It's not anyone's responsibility to improve your life, you need to do that. These people cannot afford to live in one of the most expensive regions in the world, so they need to move.
You also can't stop all failures of infrastructure, but outside of computing, anyone calling themselves an engineer is generally required to hold to various ethical and professional standards or have their work signed off by someone who is.
OWASP top 10 is as close as it gets to a checklist: https://www.owasp.org/index.php/Category:OWASP_Top_Ten_Proje...
Still illegal, just not a crime.
This is so so incredibly sad. I see people on this thread saying stuff like "this is how life is" and "suck it up and move" but the core of the problem is that we have literally institutionalized slavery by calling it a market force. This woman isn't a market operator, shes basically a modern day slave. Crucial to the functioning of the system (or Facebook doesn't have food) but somehow also expendable. This is not just a American but a worldwide issue. Whatever the market forces are it just doesn't make any sense that a cook is unable to make a living.
I'd say the situation is even more complex than that, i.e. even trying it on at the store may be insufficient: I hypothesize that a non-small percentage of people, like me, have no good subjective function to assess apparel fit when they out it on. That's why (I'm a bit embarrassed to admit) I have to bring in in my wife with me for all non-trivial shopping to get her expert opinion.
It’s easy to spot a bubble. It’s much harder to predict when it’s going to burst.
> I've never understood the pseudo-ephemerality of instagram. Even if you save stuff, or like it, the interface makes it very difficult to recall stuff from more than a few days ago.

Hypothesis: these businesses all monetize # of interactions (even if CPI is low), which they want to maximize by structuring interactions such that there is constantly new content that encourages obsessive checking. A sense of ephemerality of content reinforces that behavior ("I have to check because there is new content and it may be gone if I wait to check").
I'd rather a candidate use a whiteboard
"Predictably Irrational" is also a good read. People aren't good at calculating value differences and will go out of their way to save $1. That's why litecoin and ethereum are skyrocketing. It's simply cheaper in total dollars per coin than bitcoin so people are buying that expecting to to rise to the same dollar value as bitcoin.

Coinbase announced they are planning to add more coins to their service next year. Besides dash and monero most of these trade at a fraction of even litecoin. Once that happens expect even more dumb money to flow in with people buying 'cheap' coins because they're 'only' a few dollar a piece.