skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I'm not sure your question makes sense. The zero-foreknowledge, 100% self-play thing happens in the context of simulated chess games, which translate fairly well into the real world since there isn't much additional interference with external factors. You don't even have to read your opponent's face to win. If you want to extrapolate from there to the case of "how to slow climate change while considering politics" then you would have to simulate the whole game of "playing dressed ape at planetary scale" too.

> It would seem to me that intelligence at the highest levels isn’t constrained by foreknowledge, it’s constrained by the consequences of past decisions made during the (inevitably ongoing) interactive learning phase.

This on the other hand does not seem like a particularly big obstacle. AIs can learn from automated systems such as chatbots, alexa-style gadgets, by observing human interactions, omitting half of the conversation and trying to reconstruct it, etc.

Humans are constrained by a limited lifetime and not being able to parallelize their experience, AIs could gobble up billions of hours of human-human, human-AI interaction and AI-AI interaction data and generate more when needed.
How much talent is wasted coming up with medical breakthroughs that are not used to save lives because doctors who are interested enough in knowing the medical start of the art, because all of those who have an interest go into medical research, leaving people to die?
Like Jason Lemkin said, the customer who churned is the customer you've never had.
Whatsapp famously had ~450 million users when they were acquired by Facebook. I assume that the average user sent quite a few texts, some pictures, occasional video... they also supported voice calls...

I don't know how much computing power is actually needed when you're just buying BTC. When I used Coinbase recently to take a small BTC position, I only made maybe 4 transactions in total. Is this really a lot to handle?
I would say, before you dive into multi-fractal stochastic calculus, maybe take a step back and work on some fundamentals that have been used to solved this problem before. Look up Kalman filtering, Doppler filters, correlations, and microphone directivity.

The problem you are trying to solve here can be classically expressed as X'=Ax+Bu; Y = Cx + Du + Ev. Where Ax models the noise generating dynamics of the the drone, Bu models the control of the drone (typically random from your perspective), C,D,E model how the noise reaches and is processed by your microphone, and v is a random source simulating the wind.
>the deliveryperson calls you shortly before stopping to check that you are at home

I'd pay extra for that (for some important or expensive purchases).
Maybe I'm just a bit silly and not seeing it, but what does this give you over Postman?
Is “Pinkifying” a good strategy to get girls into coding?
People have been saying it will crash for almost a decade now. You need a catalyst for a crash. You need a reason for the majority of market participants to throw their hands up and say "you know what, this bitcoin thing is never going to be useful."

We've been waiting for a long time for that catalyst, and if anything I think it's been receding further off into the distance as bitcoin becomes more, not less, established as a mainstream technology.
Even worse is that energy use is a feature. All the energy used in other monetary systems is incidental, so if lower energy usage becomes a goal, it can be actualized. You can't make more digital Beanie Babies while reducing power consumption since the power consumption itself is what makes the whole idiotic thing work in the first place.
It is both outrageous and unsurprising. This is how these companies ("tech" startups) are incentivized to operate. It is awful to watch this cycle happen over and over and over.
Can you go into some more depth?
Previous discussion:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15268701
Usually, when a regulator imposes a constraint, it's up to the constrained party to (figure out how to) gather the intelligence required to follow the constraint.

It may turn out that there are other regulations (e.g. privacy regulations) preventing a company from gathering that information about individuals, though. At which point the power company would probably have to stop selling to individuals altogether (i.e. provide no residential power service any more, just private commercial/industrial service to other companies, because companies have a lot fewer privacy protections so it's easy enough to figure out whether they're mining.)
GoDaddy Conveniently Deletes My Fiance’s New Domain Purchase
Interesting that 2 success stories in this space (the other being WhatsApp) are built on Erlang/OTP.
Compare apples to apples. Take the entire worlds banking infrastructure for credit card processing and banking. (Getting an estimate for that would be an interesting exercise). How does that stack up to the energy usage of bitcoin adjusted for total value, transaction volume, etc.

Dismissing it as not a problem or potential problem by pointing out even bigger problems doesn't make it not a problem. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whataboutism
There seems to be a fine line between slut shaming women for not conforming to some moral majority code of behavior and actual concern about objectification. Some seem to straddle the line trying to do both while claiming to only be standing on the good side.
i'd take that with a grain of salt.
he can't possibly know what hunger feels like for other people. some people love to use the bathroom, some people love the hunger. some people fast on purpose, be it religious, health, meditation, bio hacking, they do it because it makes them better off. some people suffer on purpose. philosophers probably suffer more than other people and not on purpose :)
Non-mobile link:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/.local
If you can get LastPass support this becomes a real option for me! I also like gmail notifications but I can always get that elsewhere.
> I always thought the Marxists were the real power in the Democratic party

The most powerful faction in the Democratic Party are center-right neoliberals like the Clintons, the next most powerful are center-left Social Democrats (including what passes in the US, but not really by international standards, for “Democratic Socialists”.) There are essentially no Marxists in influential roles in the Party. There's probably a few Marxists (or Leninists/Stalinist/Maoists) in the electorate that hold their nose and vote for Democrats as, from their perspective, the very slightly lesser of two evils (and probably some who vote for Republicans as the greater evil in hopes of provoking revolution), but they aren't really driving the party, either by having their hands on levers of power or being an actively courted constituency.

> Does neoliberalism really hold sway in the Democratic party and what I considered incremental marxism was really just left-of-center Clintonian politics?

The first, yes, the second...well, insofar as it is not Marxist, sure.

> How does the constant ratcheting up of identity politics stuff fit in to your theory, though?

While there are Left forms of identity politics, other-than-proletarian-identity politics are not Marxist even when they are somewhere on the Left, though the practitioners (even among right-wing identity politics) may draw something from Marxist (or Leninist) tactics or analytical modes (Marx's adaptation of Hegelian dialectic is widely influential in this way), but this doesn't make the movements involved politically Marxist.

And while the Democratic Party does include some who pursue Left forms of identity politics, it predominantly pursued bourgeois feminism and the similar bourgeois versions of other group-rights movements, rather than any of the Left (for instance, radical, socialist, or Marxist) versions.

While to anti-feminists (etc.) the distinction may seem irrelevant, it's actually quite critical to leftists of all stripes.

Bourgeois identity politics (and the fairly overt rejection of Left identity politics) is a fairly key part of Clintonian Third Wayism.
Ah that's good point, they probably generate a lot of traffic and could increase rapidly while the number of users remains somewhat small.
Yes, for small team (sub 10), I have seen high ratio of females/males, but for larger companies, it is impossible.

If you are hiring 100s, or even thousands of engineers you are bound to the supply of the market. Unless you do some straight out hiring discrimination, and refuse to hire males. Similar to some Vegas clubs (they wont let males unless they have a female with them). Good luck building a successful business with those values.

It is Econ 101 dude... or dudette (not sure you are guy or a girl)

P.s. I personally would love to have seen balanced genders (working for tech companies sometimes it feels like you are in the army), but that's probably a utopian ideal that is not going to be fixed in my lifetime.
4 Disruptive Software Development Trends That Will Dominate 2018 – The GrowthBar
Intentionally. I suppose emergent behavior could create this AI, but I'm pretty heavily skeptical there.
> he diet was a formula of 825–853 calories per day for 3 to 5 months, followed by the stepped reintroduction of food over two to eight weeks.

That is going to be a brutal 3-5 months. Worth it in the end though.

Also, c'mon, a range of 825-853 calories? Nobody is counting calories that accurately and it would have been better to say "roughly 850 kCal per day".
Same nounyness as "market".
Why? Volume isn’t important, it’s order book depth that matters.
Its easier to get businesses to use Discord than to get gamers to use Slack.
Exiling yourself from society shouldn't be a requirement of wanting equal access to the justice system.
Since the acquisition of Yhat by Alteryx (Yhat created Rodeo) the Rodeo project seems dead. Another good alternative is Spyder which offers a similar type of IDE and one that is still being developed.
> Once a robot knows it can only connect two parts by screwing them together, it will only try to screw them together, and it might even transfer that behavior over to other parts.

Why would learning to screw invalidate other means of connecting things? Why not use an adhesive? Or weld the parts together? Or shape the materials so they can be joined without a separate fastener, like a dovetail or something. Even if it learns those, how does it know there isn't some way of connecting two parts by a chemical means that humans haven't discovered?
There's a popular strip club in San Francisco's financial district, it is a prime spot for tech company business meetings. They have a lunch with rave reviews.

So much so that local tech company - Yelp's - employee manual says its not an appropriate place for meetings

But to act like this is part of days gone by.... well Washington Post chooses to try and shame the tech industry in different ways.

You have to realize that these articles are comedy, a trope, a meme, and unhinged from people's actual perspectives, including the model's themselves, many of which are also women with rational opinions and interest in the tech sector.

No, this reality isn't inclusive to all people, and many women, who are working hard on a career devoid of these distractions. They are not capable of unilaterally being the voice of the women that are just as thrilled to cater to the tech sector but using just their bodies.
Now factor in all the costs of moving bills to and from ATMs, banks, and businesses and see how the numbers stack up.

While we're at it, factor in the cost of robberies where the robbers take cash, as Bitcoin eliminates those costs as well.
So, something I've never quite understood: I believe the computational effort (and energy cost) to mine a coin keeps going up - by design. *

If there is a sudden insta-crash in bitcoin value, is there a point where miners just won't bother anymore?

If the mining energy cost is higher than the value of the bitcoin mined, doesn't it become un-economical and the whole block-chain seizes up? 'Someone will invent a more efficient method' doesn't seem a reasonable justification. If a major crash occurs would the route out be a fork to a variant where mining is reset to be easier/cheaper?

*edit - aha I see the mining difficulty can go up or down over time: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Difficulty

edit2 - I was thinking of 'halving'. The reward (in number of bitcoins) for mining a block will halve over time, but not necessarily the difficulty or value of the bitcoin. https://www.coindesk.com/making-sense-bitcoins-halving/
One big difference between the dot-com stocks and cryptocurrencies is that cryptocurrencies have a sizable captive market: people who have little choice but to use them. They are the best available solution for anonymous transactions and money laundering, so even with the enormous deflation and high transaction fees that have made them a failure in the legal economy, they're still very useful in illegal markets as a medium of exchange.

While the deflation doesn't deter people from spending cryptocurrency in illegal markets, it does deter the recipients from cashing out. And this trend will accelerate as the deflation accelerates. If you're a drug dealer and you receive bitcoin, you have to cash out some portion to pay your people. But now, maybe they're ok with getting bitcoin, too. Even if they don't, you'll hang on til the last second before you cash out, and you'll strive to cash out less and less as the price rises faster and faster, essentially becoming a captive speculator. Of course, if the price crashes somehow, you'll cash out faster, but because accepting bitcoin is a core part of your business, you'll never stop buying entirely.

The question is, where is the natural "floor", based on the volume of illegal transactions and the rate of mining? Is it close to $15K or closer to $1K?
The article mentions that they had a few male models. At this company, anyway.
Not sure if Postman does this, but one thing I like about Insomnia is that it keeps a history of all the responses from the server, a feature I find very useful when documenting API request & responses.
Neural interfaces have use cases but they are not the silver bullet for the kind of protocols that we need in order to not lose control of our creation.

The protocol that that we need is for transmitting information, not data. Or in other words, you don't need a neural interface to transmit understanding.
Oddly, the company party at my place of work has been employee-only for the last half dozen years, which has consequently meant I have left the party not long after opening and saying hello to a few folks, playing darts or something, grabbing a drink, and getting the heck outta there since I want to head home to my +1 and not expose my +1 to the feeling of abandonment.
It can make porting later to other platform easier. Using a lock-in on the other hand taxes any such future effort.
I thought for sure this article was going to be in reference to the work of Dr Joe Bennett, a Boston Conservatory musicologist, who supposedly created the perfect Christmas song after analyzing the 200 most popular Christmas songs. I was surprised, but it's actually quite good.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-5143323/Scien...
How about: "It's eating all the world's electricity so everyone banned it" as a reason for the crash?

Look, I can't tell you the future. I don't know when or how any better than people knew when the dot com crash or real estate crisis would hit. But people in the late 90's and mid 00's absolutely could see that the relevant markets were inflating in unsustainable ways, and absolutely did predict a "crash".

This is no different. Bitcoin is growing in an unsustainable way (c.f. literally eating all the world's electricity if it continues). That never ends well.
Ask HN: Production setup for apps
As I inch closer to going live to production with my app, I am curious about what production setups do other people have and what services are being used?

Mine are two Heroku apps - Rails-API backend (served on a subdomain) & React SSR frontend respectively. In addition, I am setting up CloudFlare, Imgix for images, S3 for storage.

I still need to figure out solutions for SSL, and CDN (if any additional).

What are your setups? And any experiences with any of the services mentioned?
Ask HN: What are the easiest ways to earn crypto without investments?
I'm constantly asked by non-tech friends how can they earn some bitcoins or altcoins without heavy investment of time or money. What would you recommend?
Some great documentaries about this:

- That Sugar Film

- Fed Up (on netflix)

- Sugar Coated (on netflix)
Fun nitpick: Can "double whammy" be used in a positive context? I think it implies two negative things no?
Not enough board games to solve that boredom problem, evidently.
So you think a companies trade secrets are more important than a person's first amendment rights? I'm playing devil's advocate here BTW. I think trade secrets might be over rated.
There still need to be miners to process transactions, they will simply collect on fees instead
Yep, I was going to suggest this as well. $10k/mo is borderline on being able to hire someone else, but if you can scale the business it should help a lot.

As someone who works solo probably far too much, and in the past did the self-bootstrapped startup thing the stuff I can think of is:

1) As soon as possible get someone to join your team as an employee. If it's not working out fire fast and find someone you mesh well with. While it was certainly a huge challenge hiring and finding the right people, after the initial pains there is absolutely nothing as motivating to wake up in the morning after hacking on something the previous night, only to see the project being progressed in your absence. You go from "ugh" to "holy shit, now I have to do my part!".

2) If you work from home 100% of the time - stop. Shared office space, even getting out once a day to work in a different environment is key for me. I can do 1-2 weeks head down hacking on a project, but beyond that I start to go a little loopy and if I continue I have motivation issues like you describe. Everyone is different, but I'm far happiest when I have an office I can go into but don't have to go into.

3) Network more in the evenings. Sounds silly, but just find some groups for hobbies/industry/whatever you can casually attend. Most you likely won't find that awesome, but when you do find a good fit you'll make some great friends/contacts/mentors.

4) Know when to get out. Sometimes it's time to sell your baby and move on to the next thing when you start feeling stagnant. Again, different types of people on this one. Plugging away at the same thing for half a decade (or more!) where you are completely unmotivated is a great way to kill your soul as well as your career.

5) When all else fails - make a major life change. This kind of motivation issue will kill a career eventually, so it must be addressed. This can be as drastic as moving across the country, or as simple as working from a foreign country remotely (if you can swing such a thing) for a few months. For me it's changing the scenery like that, for others it may be something entirely different.

6) Make sure you are taking quality restorative time off. Since it seems you are socially isolated, it may be best to force yourself to do more social things on the weekends if you haven't been. I know I struggle with this a ton (getting motivated to meet up with friends/whatever on the weekends) - but whenever I do it I feel much better than if I stayed home and binged on video games or whatever.

7) Get out of the house every day!!! I can't stress this enough. Working from home makes it easy for me to stay on a single floor of my house for days on end, much less getting out and getting a little exercise. Just a 30 minute walk a day is a huge benefit - for me I try to find errands I can do, since I hate "idle" active time.
Bitcoin and IRS Question
I have some bitcoins, around 2450, since 2012.

Recently, I sold around 250 to buy house.

Now,I learn that IRS asks Coinbase to submit names of these who buy and sell bitcoin at its exchange. That got me thinking.

My name is certainly going to be there.

I will be filling returns next month.

I have been using W-2 since as Software Engineer with the company I work for.

Does anyone know how to go about this as this is my first time declaring stuff like this,state and city included.
Interesting setup. Thoughts on it compared to TST: Appreciate that this method is built-in. Very much like the automatic Closed Tabs group. Dislike that it disables middle-click to close a tab. Dislike that there's only two hierarchy levels. How do you make a new tab group without the tab bar, though? Also greatly dislike the added step of manually making a group compared to it being automatic with middle-click, even though it's a logical consequence of the rest of the design.
You can speak, just not about privileged information. With non-competes the most honorable thing they can claim is that they don't want you taking expertise they probably helped pay for you to get (either on-the-job or otherwise) and have someone else benefit from it. But really I think most of us would agree that restricting someone's right to use their own qualifications is overly broad. A better solution to that concern would be that they pay for training, if necessary, and you pay some of it back based on how much longer you remain in their employ, similar to some relocation agreements.

Not discussing confidential material shared with you on condition of your employer with an NDA is quite similar IMO to not sharing material information about a company's health days before their public earnings call. 1st amendment rights are not absolute. I'm not allowed to engage in libel, yell "Fire!" in a crowded theater, etc. I think abiding by NDA's about internal, confidential information is analagous and helps promote real, fair competition.
I switched because I prefer the layout. It reads very left to right. The area that you edit the request is very clear.
Currently US expats can exclude up to $102,100 of foreign earned income. However, you're still required to file US taxes if you're a US citizen. Doesn't matter if you were born overseas to American parents and have never been to America; still gotta file. The US is weird like that.
Arbitration can make sense in an international setup with contracts between large companies. For example, if an American company does business with a Russian company, they might agree to do arbitration in the UK in case of a dispute.

However, what Amazon does here is just wrong.
Forced consumer arbitration has been widely adopted solely because it is used to preclude class actions. Some state courts send matters to public arbitration, which is decidedly different.

There are parts of forced consumer arbitraiton that companies do not like, but there's too much upsdie to precluding class actions. Things companies don't like include: the high up front cost and the lack of appeals.

There's nothing legally preventing arbitrators from being vehemently pro-consumer. The incentives prevent it but, legally, an arbitrator could award a crazy amount of money to a consumer on a tenuous basis and there's little that could be done. It's interesting that no such examples exist, however.