skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The US economy out-grew the Chinese economy between 2013 and today, in dollar terms.

It'll take China 30 to 40 years to catch the US at the present trajectory. They're outrunning the US at about $200 billion per year if you assume present numbers going forward and if you believe the claimed Chinese growth figures. The gap is $7.5 to $8 trillion, while China's growth is slowing by the year.

That's ~30 year span is a best case scenario for China. The far more likely scenario, is they collide with common economic reality, with standard recessions, growth problems, debt problems, along with a continual decline in their growth rate. The last 20 years they've gotten to avoid most of those problems due to massive easy slack to fill in, in their formerly backwards economy. The debt is already there however, as they've taken on at least $50 trillion in new debt to fake their growth the last ten years (including shadow debt at the state enterprise and local muni levels). That's something they can never repeat going forward (their system is already shaking under the debt, they're constantly having to inject liquidity and restrict capital flows to keep the house of cards standing).

China has a roughly $11.5 trillion economy growing at a claimed 6.5%, with a persistent decline in their growth rate.

The US has a $19 to $19.5 trillion economy. The US is able to grow at 2.5% routinely, possibly higher in the near future.

In 2014, China's economy was $10.48 trillion. In 2015, it was $11.06 trillion. In 2016 it was $11.2 trillion.

In the time China added $1 trillion to its economy, the US added $1.6 trillion to its economy.

At 2.5% on $19 or $19.5 trillion, the US can routinely add nearly half a trillion per year to its economy.

At 6% on $11.5 trillion, China is adding $650 to $700 billion to its economy in 2018. Gradually slow their growth to even 4% to 4.5% over the next four or five years, and they may never catch the US.

I'd be willing to bet the US can sustain 2% to 2.5% growth going forward, while China can't sustain above 6%. This is especially obvious given the dramatic down curve over ten years in their growth rate. To add further to that point, there is wide agreement among economists that China aggressively lies about their GDP growth numbers, it's more likely to be closer to half the stated number.
Look, I hear you... I love Google Docs over Microsoft Word... and for simple things I like Google Sheets.

But given how much shit is in Excel, and how many edges cases have just been worked out already in Excel... man sometimes it's just nice to have Excel.

Want to de-dupe a list? There's a button for that in Excel. (I know there are tools... but look my point is just that it's so much easier in Excel.)

Want to convert some list of dates that were saved based on a 1904 calendar over? Easy, Excel even offers to do it when you paste. Google docs? Yeah not so much. You're left doing this by hand... 4 years and 1 day off... ugh.

Want to see all the formulas and know how they work? You get only so much visibility into the apps for Google Sheets... I don't really want to run code / grant access to things unless I know what they are doing. Not keen on adding 3rd party functionality that may be sending my data back to the mother ship.

I love me some Google Sheets... but just saying when I need to get shit done, Excel is usually a slightly more robust experience.
You think people have a choice? There are many areas where consumers have to choose between one crappy ISP and other
even crappier options (like satellite).
That's not always what is going on. In some cases unscrupulous operators will run through large numbers of $1 transactions in order to lower their chargeback rate.
I hear you. I think One Computer and One Person issues have generally been solved by Office Online or Google Spreadsheets. I can't speak to difficulty around lack of universal time nor do I know how important of a requirement that is to most companies.

Any solution, SaaS or otherwise, will have flaws. It might solve Excel's weaknesses really well, but will likely lack its strengths.

Excel is still going strong in 2017 to a large degree because its strengths continue outweigh its weaknesses and that people have found reasonable ways, or add-on tools, to work around it's weaknesses.

It will be interesting to see in the coming decade if niche industry solutions or an even more incredible swiss army knife were to come around and dethrone the incumbent.
Interesting! So I do have subject-matter expertise, which is developing and scaling marketplaces. Would that be the right kind of niche you're referring to?
Gold also has practical and aesthetic value, is truly fungible and doesn't oxidize.
It's their work. We're not entitled to it.
Nitpicking this one sentence to say that somehow David Brooks is masquerading as news is absurd.

That was just one example. If anyone is nitpicking here, I'd argue it's you. And I still have no idea what point you're trying to make.
It doesn't. You can put yourself through misery and mooching off of the society, but you shouldn't subject children to it.
Social media amplifies the hysteria. E.g. us lot on HN which itself is social media of a sort.
As a board member he is going to granted a lot of free FB stock in the future. A good problem to have.
So currently I do have a long-term contract as a subcontractor, which is indeed ongoing and recurring. The only reason I got this, though, is because the contrator knew I had Rails experience. And that's why I feel like if I blog/seek expertise in a language/framework, that will contribute to finding more long term work like this.
Of course this is click bait. But of course most companies don't invest what they should in website maintenance, code reviews, security audits, and upgrades. I'm OK with some clickbait if it helps raise awareness of the need for more recurring investment in technology.
Worse: France is a more populous country than the UK and has often had a larger GDP. It’s GDP was bigger from 1963-1996, and 2008-2012. Also, the UK’s GDP growth has been about double France’s since 2013. It’s not clear what this article is trying to prove other than that the journalist is innumerate.
Announcing Rust 1.22
I wish Wayland developers would share Linus' mentality.

Right now it restarts once every 36 hours in average, killing all my windows and programs.

X11 didn't behave as bad.
Xi Editor November 2017 Roadmap
Or you could, you know, write your private key on a piece of paper (or a couple) and store it in a safe.
Why the name dropping? It tells me nothing about the product except that it is suitable for writing screenplays.
Disclosure: I am heavily invested in NW.JS(which is similar to electron) because my app is written in it.

I think this article complains about a problem, but that problem is not necessarily caused by electron, or electron as a whole. Hear me out. The memory leaks could be bad code in the application itself. If the memory leaks are from electron, the problem still isn't electron as a whole, it's the leaks themselves and should be fixed in the electron code.

> Bottom line; as an end user I really could not care less about how easy it was for you to make the application, if it is not working properly it is not working properly, being slow on today’s super fast hardware is a bug.

Sure you do, by proxy. If it was easier to write, there will be more and better features, which you definitely care about. Therefore, the easier to write, the faster to develop, the more polish and the more value there is. Again, if the problem is performance, then fix the problem, don't curse the whole system.

I find many pro's making NW.JS well worth it. I can fix the performance problems as they arise, and just because developers of certain electron apps don't address performance, does not mean electron as a whole is bad.
> I'd say, real estate investors have lots of enthusiasm for sellers threatened with foreclosure.

Nice, hehe :)

While that's definitely nice... there is the possibility that making a disadvantages agreement with the US, China, Canada, etc. is better in the long term.

It took years for the EU and Canada to reach an agreement. If one of them was in a less advantages position maybe it could be done faster... And maybe speed is more important than conditions of the agreement, who really knows?

EDIT: okay, the brits perhaps ought to know what disadvantages trade agreements can do... given their past experience making them with their colonies :)

I note that the brexit'ers probably didn't want disadvantages trade agreements :)
"Just sleep a little faster." - Arnold Schwarzenegger

https://youtu.be/1g2ntIN7JuY
There are also similar free projects: Maru OS (https://maruos.com) and Sentio Desktop (https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.andromium....), but not so popular.
It would be more disconcerting if a majority of students were leaving these schools especially since they cost so much - many parents take their kids out of the normal school system or private school system as well. It's unfortunate that Max had to shut down these schools in NYC and Palo Alto, but it seems like they're actually making headway. We can interpret that "they aren't teaching students," but I learned the most from books on tape when I was reading as a kid and I know that's different from the lecture style of the past, but the experimentation is so paramount for success in these schools that perhaps those parents are just wrong.

My sister is a elementary school special ed teacher who teaches kids with learning disabilities and the amount of time she spends with parents is astounding even though I think she's amazing. I am glad someone is fighting the fight to help make her job easier and bring data and monitoring to make education better.
The lost cause I am referring to is deriving a useful relative error bound on evaluating a+b+c. The implied conclusion is not that floating point arithmetic itself is a lost cause, merely that it's a minefield from step one.

Of course, if you move the goalposts and measure the error compared to the magnitude of the largest number it gets significantly more manageable! Such a situation is benign, relatively speaking.

In my primary domain of computational geometry we don't have this luxury as the sign must be correct. Even ordering by magnitude is insufficient then; for example evaluating 2^54 - 2^54 + 2 - 1 using this method gives 0 when it should have been 1 (and incidentally, in this case a simple left associative ordering would have gotten it right so it's not even guaranteed to improve matters -- not that anyone said otherwise, but it's yet another example that extreme caution is warranted).

Eventually you end up with ideas like http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~quake/robust.html. The effort that goes into getting even the sign of a sum of products correct in every case is absurd.

Unfortunately, most of the computational geometry code I see usually involves starting with the naive implementation and when things go awry various tricks like Kahan sums or ordering by magnitude are applied hoping that the problem goes away or becomes sufficiently obscure, but never is there an attempt to clarify the exact numerical requirements of the result. Even expensive industrial software is prone to this and will sometimes crash if you happen to present it with a slightly unusual piece of geometry.
That's a bit weird.

Can't you just print a paper wallet. Put that in a safety deposit box. Once locked up nice and tight, transfer bitcoin to it.
It's a lot cheaper to transmit though!
Center of the Cyclone by Dr. John C Lilly
Actually, we are. That's how the GPL works.
Seems to me the most rational decision at that point is explaining to your boss why it's a net negative. I'm sure there are a few folks out there whose bosses might react negatively, but they are far outnumbered by the number of folks whose bosses would appreciate it if the employee had the balls to share their honest opinion.
It will be a while before these digital assistants work properly. None of them work in a way that anyone can possibly call "intelligent". If I was feeling charitable then I'd describe them as merely intrusive.

When these things do finally get their act together, we will all live in a world that is different from the one we live in now. I hope it is a better one.
It is a puzzle :)
fun fact: the webcrypto api does allow marking a key as non-exportable. So you could imagine deriving the key from the passphrase and having it only exist within the WebCrypto framework.

It is however going to be hard to prevent a malicious active attacker from stealing the passphrase.
What are these estimates based on? They seem to be the exact opposite of all the major trends that are beginning to affect Facebook.
In terms of near-universal applicability, Sun Tzu's 'The Art of War' comes to mind. You could substitute every occurrence of the words 'war'/ 'opponent' /'enemy' with just about anything you are looking to master / defeat.
I don't know about msla, but i have my Gopher client right next to my Web browser[1] (yes the workspace is called Web, but they are both in the sort of same category of applications so i have them together :-P) and i use it quite often.

I mainly read "phlogs" though, but there is generally a lot of stuff to read when bored.

[1] https://i.imgur.com/Ck1UDhg.png
> [Bitcoin] can't be worth much more to humanity than the sum of all global financial services

Finance is about 7.3% of U.S. GDP [1]. The U.S. produces about 1,000 gigawatts of energy per year [2]. A first-order estimation thus yields 73 Gigawatts for finance. So about 22 times Bitcoin’s 3.3 gigawatts [0].

About $1.5 billion of BTC change hands every day [3]. That’s $550 billion a year. U.S. non-cash transaction volume is like $180 trillion a year [4]. So about 330 times the size of the Bitcoin economy.

Bitcoin thus appears about 15 times less efficient than the non-cash status quo. Given finance is less energy intensive than most of the U.S. economy, this is likely a lower-bound estimate. Worryingly, I ran these numbers 2 months ago [5]. If the power estimates are accurate, the Bitcoin network is becoming less efficient. (I assume the variance is explained by measurement error.)

[0] https://digiconomist.net/bitcoin-energy-consumption#assumpti... ~29 TWh / year

[1] https://www.selectusa.gov/financial-services-industry-united...

[2] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_of_the_Un...

[3] https://www.quandl.com/data/BCHAIN/ETRVU-Bitcoin-Estimated-T...

[4] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/other/2016-p...

[5] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15387663*
A pension fund, which is run by a board of directors and manages $400bn, is not going to print a paper wallet to hold $2bn worth of Bitcoin.

They have more important things to worry about, like investing their $400bn and achieving a decent return on their entire holdings.

Second to that (or maybe even more importantly), it's ass covering. Imagine the headlines: "CALPERS INVESTS $2BN IN BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM, AND LOSES ACCESS KEYS". If you're managing a fund, you just don't risk that.

These custodian fees (which will come down eventually) are a cost of doing business to access the asset class. I would assume those entire crypto holdings also to be insured as part of said fee, in the event something does go wrong.
Your post takes the "new media" vs "old media" narrative at face value, and it looks like you identify with one of the teams.

Not really. It's clear the the world is shades of grey without there always being a bright line distinction between things. But this is a random HN post, not an essay. I'm not always going to spend the time and the number of words it would take to dig into every subtlely that could be pointed out. Sometimes it's enough to deal with the surface aspect of something.

As for being on a team... hah, I don't trust any of those motherfuckers. The mainstream / old media is quite clearly corrupt as fuck, no question about that. And AmaGoogFaceSoftHooGramChat clearly have their own agenda which isn't about benefitting the common man.

I'm close to "trust no one" than anything. Or maybe it would be better to say I believe in "bounded trust" or "sketpical trust". That is, trust an entity to behave as it would within the bounds of it's (position|incentives|etc).
If we eat better food that is more sustainable the food industry will do well. You replace the giant producers with lots of small farms. People pay more for food per calorie, but balanced out by fewer calories.

The food mafia won't like this though so they'll lobby for laws to avoid it.
You can print a multi sig paper wallet and store it in a safe(s).

It just goes to show people will pay anything.
No, it’s not. You can just print a paper wallet (or even just write your private key on a piece of paper) and stick that in a vault. The author is conflating mining and transmission with storage.
Still, how is that more expensive than keeping physical gold?
Hm it gets stuck on "We are creating your logos as fast as we can", dying under HN pressure?
Here are the first few that come to mind, enjoy!

r/nosleep

r/battlestations

r/LifeProTips

r/UnethicaLifeProTips

r/PersonalFinance

r/nootropics
They're worried about having a .in
For Linux users I can recommmend FSearch, which is inspired by Everything Search.
http://www.fsearch.org/
Toyota Gets Back into Humanoid Robots with New T-HR3
I seem to remember this being done well for Portal 2. A special option would add commentary icons to the game which, when touched by your character, would trigger a brief commentary from a member of the staff or cast. Sometimes this had in-game effects; for example, when an animator explained the animations designed for Wheatley, the in-game Wheatley sprite would demonstrate them.
I wonder if this is trending because due to word shape pattern matching, for 50ms my brain thinks that is about Firefox which is itself hot news right now. Then one I realise it isn't I click anyway.
I'm curious why you chose to use asymmetric crypto for this instead of symmetric (for example, encrypting a secondary key using the primary one, and then using that with an authenticated encryption mode like AES-GCM to give confidentiality/integrity).

Are there plans to have the protonmail service provisionally add contact info for the user, then have the user accept this by signing it with their private key?
Signed up for the coding excercises!Awesome site!What path would you recommend to someone who is coming from a bit of Python background. I see a lot of blurb about how Golang is the perfect fit for low latency web applications. Think “data intensive applications”. Also how good is the Golang tool chain for Raspberry pi and such like? Thanks
One wonders why any of this matters. I’d wager your average German wouldn’t want to move to the US, much less China.
But then, at the very least, that's no less expensive than securing gold. You still have a physical object that you need to secure and protect.
To add to that, Russia's economy hasn't expanded much in real terms in the last 30 years. They've expended vast natural resources to slightly more than tread water.

Russia's GDP in the late 1980s was around half a trillion dollars. Today it's around $1.3 trillion. Accounting for even a small amount of annual inflation, they've grown the economy by perhaps 20% to 30% over 30 years. And that's coming from an extremely backwards Communist system.
Its 1.2% a year -- that's expensive. He states Gold ETFs pay approx. 0.08% per year to store bullion (no idea whether that's a correct number though).

But hey, it's better than paying a 2-20% fee to a hedge fund vehicle. Fees are already coming down!
Go's crypto libs are pretty well made, and the ssh libs are less crypto and more "here's an interface similar to os/exec that lets you run commands on a remote system"
You are still making a distinction between user and developer. I think the point is that we can all be both.
Reminds me of a joke I've heard:

What's the difference between a thru hiker and a homeless person? Gore-Tex.
If the current MacBook Pro is any indication, I’m not sure how much Apple cares about experience, either. I’m still trying to figure out who that machine is made for: Horrible keyboard, gimmicky Touch Bar, worse battery life than the previous generation, no ports relevant to existing devices (including Apple’s own flagship smartphone)... I don’t think Apple can be accused of sweating the details anymore, either.
Scrivener is my emergency application: when I've written a total mess (and everything I ever write goes through that stage), I dump it into Scrivener, chop it to bits, and rebuild. This is an insta-upgrade.
So... what did the fake comments say? I'm suspicious that in his open letter he never addresses the content of the fake comments.
I think you should read the article. He's not.
Funfact: The highest concentration of NO2 is not found around pedestrians but inside the cars. Most models don't have suitable filter in the standard issue outside of Europe and Japan (and there only the higher-class private ones).
TiDB and CockroachDB also support distributed transactions. The transaction model in TiDB (https://github.com/pingcap/tidb) is inspired by Google Percolator, It’s mainly a two-phase commit protocol with some optimizations. More info on the blog: https://github.com/pingcap/blog/blob/master/_posts/2016-10-1...
Right, but that doesn't use lava lamps or background atmospheric disturbances. :)

It said "better random numbers" so I was hoping for something better than KMS random numbers.
Check out fountain-mode before you do that!
"Elizabeth I and her Circle" by Susan Doran from OUP, and related biography. What got me glued to the 1500's reign of Elizabeth I is her art of far reaching strategic management when organizational resources are sketchy, and living in times of great social uncertainty.
Would the FTC count as "other parts of the government"?

I seem to recall one of the arguments of Pai is that the FCC shouldn't be responsible for regulation of the internet, it should fall under the FTC.

So as head of the FCC he can effectively strip it of all power, the governance shifting to the FTC. Once his commission is up he takes a job at Verizon/At&T/etc, lobbying the FTC.

Or, as burkaman noted, they will just issue a waiver.
Wow are you some sort of mind reader??
Yes, we certainly are: https://www.citusdata.com/jobs

When you're sharing your resume, please feel free to mention this thread.
I, for one, am glad to live in a world where people don't start shedding blood over internet regulations.
Hardly surprising.

It's hard to steal a truck of gold, especially considering the mens with guns which are typically around. It's hard to mess up physical security of a truck (not even to mention a vault), and even if you lose it, the thief still has a big and heavy problem on his hands. Real world police is good at these things. And unlike bitcoin, gold can't just teleport to Russia (using a generic non-cooperative country here)

Stealing bitcoin requires just one tiny mistake in a miriad of places (starting with random number generation, ...), and then you are done with no other recourse.
The brave eggs will likely live in 3rd world countries with roads even worse than those in the US and drivers magnitude more insane.

Most likely, it will take a while until the locals understand the value of the training data to tax / sell it, so the vendors will have it nearly for free.
Not always. For a true procrastinator you end up doing stuff you both don't want to do and don't need to do. Think, "least positive possible" Pure self sabotage.

Wait but why has an incredible read on the subject.

https://waitbutwhy.com/2013/10/why-procrastinators-procrasti...
Why not cast the hashes inside gold bars? Then just keep storing the gold. Btc storage for free.