skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>In 1993 they closed their mail order division. In 1995, Amazon launched.

If one compresses the timeline, it does seem like Amazon killed off Sears when in reality, Sears was already getting killed off in the 10 years before 1995.

In the 1980s...

- Home Depot, Lowes, Builders Square, etc home improvement stores were taking away business from Sears power tools (Craftsman)

- Best Buy and Circuit City were taking the consumer electronics business and appliances. Less customers buy Sears Kenmore.

- Target, Walmart, Williams-Sonoma, etc were taking housewares (pots, pans, etc) business

- consumers (especially kids) didn't want "department store brand" clothing from Sears/JCPenney because they were "uncool". They wanted the boutique brands (Guess jeans, Calvin Klein, etc)

- peak mall traffic was 1986 and malls started dying off after that. An easy way for me to remember that point in time is the 1985 movie "Back to The Future". When you watch the DeLorean spinning around the parking lot of Twin Pines Mall, remind yourself that you're seeing "peak mall".

- credit-cards criteria were loosened and easy credit was expanded. Sears no longer had a captive audience with the Sears credit-card that kept shoppers within Sears' "walled-garden". Before 1990s, if a young person had zero credit history, one of the first credit cards one attempted to get was the "Sears department store credit card". Once one built up credit history with it, he/she could then try to get Visa/Mastercard. In the meantime, they used the Sears card to spend money at Sears. To contrast the difference, today an 18-year-old college student can get a Visa/MC without a parent as a cosigner. That type of easy credit approval for a person with no job was unheard of in the 1960s/1970s.

There were lots of competitive forces that Sears' management didn't respond to long before Jeff Bezos arrived on the scene.
iPhone X Preorders Could Top 50M
Get Started with Amazon Elasticsearch Service: Filter Aggregations in Kibana
The climate related deaths will rise, but humanity is having a hard time thinking long term about it. Just this fall, Irma, Harvey, and Jose took a number of lives and many billions in cleanup. Weather deaths per year might be a useful statistic to follow, including heat and cold deaths.
Yes, according to the Apple page:

>Responsive. Designed to make common tasks like duplicating a file and finding the size of a folder’s contents happen instantly.
there goes your joker president, totally unfit and lacking experience in international affairs
FOGBANK – How USA forgot how to manufacture an essential ingredient for nukes
https://www.clerky.com/ walks through the legal aspects.
Article's full of that. Mostly it's about how all these now-unemployed and uneducated men aren't worth marrying. Which makes all the posts in this thread about how it's caused by men not wanting to marry women because it's too risky kinda funny. Article's all about too few men being marriage material.

They end on a hilariously useless and misguided piece of advice that wouldn't be out of place in The Onion's version of this article:

> Mr. Wilcox suggests a bigger emphasis in high schools and pop culture on what’s known as the success sequence: degree, job, marriage, baby. “The idea is that if people follow that sequence, their odds of landing in poverty are much lower,” he said.
Renovating Teams
>my advice is to marry someone who you trust to not be horrible in the case of a divorce

If people could accurately judge character they wouldn't be getting divorced.

Nobody enters a relationship thinking their partner will cheat yet it happens all the time.
> Abstract types are existentially quantified

Oh, you mean something like this?

interface A<T> {
T x();
void y(T t);
}

void foo(List<A<?>> as) { // every element may have a different instance of T
for (A<?> a : as)
bar(a);
}

<T> void bar(A<T> a) {
T t = a.x();
a.y(t);
}

> There are no runtime type errors at all in Standard ML.

There are no runtime type errors at all in TCL, either. That doesn't mean that the language is safer. "Safety" and "type safety" are not the same. Type safety has its virtues, but I would argue that Java's type safety is good enough; I would take it along with its dynamic capabilities over SML for many projects -- it's just a tradeoff that buys you a lot of other stuff. There's a price you pay for dynamic runtime capabilities and for deep cross-language interop (e.g. a Clojure list is a Java List), and that's a price worth paying in many cases, considering that it's not high at all.

> This is what happens when engineers design programming languages.

I guess engineers prioritize things based on what they're actually worth to developers (or, at least, according to how much they believe they're worth to their developers) as opposed to using an arbitrary metric for some intrinsic quality, whose relationship with actual benefit isn't at all clear. Java sacrifices a tiny bit of type safety for interop and various dynamic capabilities. I wasn't aware that there's been some major discovery showing that this is the wrong tradeoff to make.
DevOps success: How Rosetta Stone implemented continuous delivery
I'm considering buying a NUC, attaching a big hard drive, and running syncthing on it. Good idea?
I think the advice is the same except you just have smaller numbers of users. But you do want to see traction.
Why is that “ideal” for everyone? My ideal is knowing that I’m going to get paid every two weeks and sleeping well not caring if the venture I work for goes belly up knowing that I can get another job quickly.

When considering risks, the payout from working for a company is greater. Most of the popular mobile apps require a team of engineers, marketers, and funding.
Firing somebody terrified me – but the advice I got made a huge difference
There are both sandbox and non-sandbox entitlements. iCloud storage and push notifications are examples of the latter.
Mutually assured destruction via tweet/policy statement?

It's a brave new world we live in :/
A high percent end in divorce, sure, but it's not like you're playing a slot machine. If you and your partner are committed you can more than likely beat the odds.

This is incredibly cynical. I'm pretty happy to work to support people that I love. It might be easier in some ways to be single, but it's not a "no win situation."
It's what they call an https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverse_problem
In other words, the only thing paycheck motivates people to do is to stay in the environment of low motivation for too long.

If any company thinks that it can fix the motivation with paycheck, they are very wrong and it will actually be more costly in the end.
What is fun is the Switcher/Multi-Mac debacle. Notice that it was mentioned that "I knew that releasing it would have me having to keep up with all the new ROM releases from Apple in the future." At the time, even with the 128K ROM I think they still had to put special code to support Switcher into there (Andy was also working on the Font Manager at the time).
This is the first I have heard of this app. What problems has it solved for you?
This article strikes me as a submarine with a buried lede, namely,

> Top performers can make $1 million in salary and bonus a year, plus options, according to people familiar with its hiring. Total compensation can exceed $3 million. Zhang declined to comment on specific figures, saying most employees prefer stock over cash.

So basically, these engineers are getting paid $1mm, which is not a crazy multiple off of top end dev cash compensation in Bay Area, plus equity in a Chinese software company.

This does not seem like news, per se. Compliments to Mr. Zhang's PR agency for getting an article published in Bloomberg that makes the client look sexy, mysterious, and elite.
The social pressure there is off the chart. People don't have a wedding ceremony for themselves it feels like, they have it for everyone else.

When we got married, people tried to pressure us. "You have to have a big ceremony so you can invite X, Y, Z and their kid and their parent and their cousin and blah blah blah".

We put our foot down. We did it for ourselves. We had <10 people over, it happened at a high end resort where we had plans for US (and told people they could do whatever the f* they wanted). Including hotel, plane tickets, the rings (while we did have the diamond ring, most of the cost went into the metal. Yanno, the thing that cannot easily be produced in a lab without a particle accelerator), and the clothes, ran us $11-12k (and maybe its because I wasn't always this privileged, but even that much felt absurdly expensive to me). That's even though we're quite privileged and could have easily spent 10-20x time if we wanted.

We just choose not to. People around us were pissed. Whatever.
I remember once hearing how there were some strange correlations between hair and eye colour and role and personality. I wonder if they will touch on that too? Either way, will be cool to see what they've found.
Does that really mitigate the point of divorce rate being high?
When I opened this thread, I expected to write a post that covered a few things.

The first was to beware of survivorship bias. Some of us have had experiences that were very different from the reality that most people face.

Second, I'd absolutely not listen to anyone who suggested you start a business you're passionate about, at least not as a general rule. If you're really passionate about it, your own biases are almost certainly going to prejudice your business in harmful ways. That doesn't mean not to be passionate about it, it just means don't make your passion your business.

Third, don't do it with the goal of getting out, selling for millions of dollars, and being the next Musk. Those are unrealistic goals. Instead, do it to make enough money to comfortably provide for you and your family. That's a much more realistic goal.

I think that third one applies to your comment, which is why I mention it here.

Then again, go back to the first thing I listed. I'd not take advice from me. In my case, I saw a niche and it fit in with what my research was about. I left academia and was making a comfortable living. The offer to buy my business was unexpected and the price was surprising.

Selling had never been my goal. It was just a fluke. I wasn't passionate about what I was doing, I became passionate about doing it well. I became passionate about working with brilliant people and exceeding goals. It was traffic modeling, that's really not a subject one becomes impassioned over.

Sometimes, you just get lucky. Sometimes, you're in the right place at the right time. You can maximize your chances but, at the end of the day, it's 'good enough' to just be able to provide comfort and opportunity for you and your family.

But, then again, remember the first point.
What's the difference between assuming that a function you call will obey the language semantics, and assuming that the function that calls you will obey the language semantics? That's the only difference I can see.
I've been amazed at the reversal in my employer's attitude and policies, from everything must be internal, to move everything goes to the cloud.

Not sure how much to attribute to C-level staff turnover.
Only on Hacker News will someone find a way of taking an article, with a statement that is, in essence,

> Uber failed to report a driver to the police, on the basis of sexual assault against a passenger - said driver then went on his way and just somehow found himself with another sexual assault complaint later on, against ANOTHER woman, while still as an Uber driver -- which is a grave failure on their part

and somehow magically find a systematic way of making it into

> What if.......... hear me out........ just wait....... what if Uber could be the good one here?? Let's ignore the bit about two women being sexually assulted for a second and run the statistics and find out!!!!!!

Here's my alternative position, which I hope you entertain as enthusiastically as you do statistics: Uber was wrong, and no amount of statistics about their dumbass business -- or any of those pathetic "aw dangut, but we're just a startup, doin' a disruption!!!" spiels -- negates people being assaulted, due to their gross, obvious negligence. End of story.
Ask HN: Help me give away a site that's made $70k
I own https://applaunch.us, a website that has made almost $70k since it was launched back in 2012. See https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/26079/30819099-85e0b22a-a1d2-11e7-9157-c5f18cb3c3a7.png for a revenue screenshot from the stripe dashboard.

I've not touched the site for over 2 years, with most of my time going into https://ipinfo.io, and as a result the site is now just about breaking even with hosting costs. I've thought about shutting the site down, but recently had the idea of giving it away to someone with the time and passion to put some energy into improving and promoting the site. If nothing else, it could be a great learning experience for someone to get to work on an established site.

I'm looking for advice on how to best give it away. Where can I find people that might want to take it on, how should I decide who to give it to if there's a lot of interest? How should I best structure it? I'm thinking of handing everything over, and offering to pay the hosting costs for the first year, the new owner keeps all revenue etc. Is there anything else I should consider?
Sorry, I wasn't clear in my comment. My point was more if that is expected of someone from their family/significant other, that would certainly be major factor in not wanting to get married. Wedding ceremonies can certainly be done affordably, and I think it is smart to do that.
You never should use "here" for links. It's bad semantics for hyperlinks, and there could be tens of thousands of links with the title "here." Compare:

> [The W3C recommends not using "here" or "click here" for links.](https://www.w3.org/QA/Tips/noClickHere)

According to the original vision of hypermedia, the text should be able to stand on its own and the hyperlinks are added on top of it. This keeps the link text semantic by itself without relying on the hyperlink.
Its a bad contract, but it gets infinitely better and a lot less consequential if you are rich before marriage and spent five minutes on financial planning.

Your assets will only be taken from you if they were earned during the marriage. So for anybody that wanted to work on something, like a house, any time between now and the next 30 years, then yeah marriage with the non-negligible probability of divorce will destroy the equity you dumped into it, no matter what proportion you and your spouse contributed.

If you already had properties, even income producing ones, they can go in a trust before hand, and you don't even have to worry about the stigma of a "pre-nup", and nothing of consequence will be split from you in a divorce.

Then you have the flexibility to actually enjoy the marriage, make any number of conditions to actually use the money or support a family or make grand children set, and if it falls apart, the financial things you worked for are still in place and hopefully A LOT more valuable.

A trust can also help keep alimony and child support payments restricted to amounts that even the bread winner would find reasonable.

This article talks about how marriage is declining amongst the poor, and staying steady amongst the privileged. It makes a few assumptions about why such as "women don't want men that can't provide", while my analysis has been devoid of gender. All around, it looks like education around how bad the default contract is has taken hold, even amongst the poor and uneducated, who previously had been greatly skewing the marriage and divorce rates.
Check out the SPI podcast (Smart Passive Income). Lot's of founders on there from companies you've never heard of.

https://www.smartpassiveincome.com/podcasts/
See Florida for "lifetime alimony"

Why would someone work if they can divorce, keep the kids, and get paid forever?

Other states aren't quite as bad, but they're still bad:

http://tomjameslaw.com/blog/what-judges-really-think-about-f...

A study conducted in 2004 found that although the tender years doctrine had been abolished some time ago, a majority of Indiana family court judges still supported it and decided cases coming before them consistently with it.2 A survey of judges in Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Tennessee found a clear preference among judges for maternal custody in general.

Even in jurisdictions which have 50/50 custody as the default, judges still overwhelmingly favor one side over the other. i.e. judicial prejudice is well known, wide-spread, in defiance of the law, and ongoing.

See Florida again. Action groups have successfully fought against equal custody by default, because saying "we're for equality" means "fight against equality", apparently.
This has been a few years in the making. The actual innovation here is the new gesture-sensitive fabric being woven into the denim, not whatever it's talking to.
I don't buy the authors assertions at all. Who thinks being married is a privilege in the United States? We went through the last 10-15years liberating ourselves from marriage and now somehow it's being viewed as a privilege? It's like saying male/female parenting is privilege. It's not.
A Python library to mark smelly code
https://github.com/fcracker79/accrocchio

Please refer to http://nishitalab.org/user/paulo/files/resign-patterns.txt for more details.
It depends on how you approach marriage, I suppose. I see people getting married after dating someone for only a year or maybe two. That's completely insane to me. My wife and I lived together for about seven years before deciding to finally get married. Our strategy was simple: don't marry someone you're going to divorce. We felt that by living together for so long and knowing each other so well, we were more sure we were making the right decision.
Your statistic is skewed by people that get married young and have low education.

College graduates have a divorce rate closer to 25%

https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2013/article/marriage-and-divor...
Ask HN: How do you save your reference data?
Say some code snippet or instructions for doing something, workflow for common tasks, notes to yourself while researching, or anything you might want to come back to, what is your process for saving and recalling this information later?
Is there any actual evidence that "nobody wants to twist generic looking knobs"? It seems like a widespread assumption, but I don't know to what extent it's been measured or tested.

I, for example, am a nobody (a hobbyist musician) who dislikes most custom VST UIs. Back in the day, FL Studio (nee Fruityloops) shipped with a bunch of plugins that looked like they had an autogenerated UI, with every parameter getting its own controls (a knob, numeric readout, and visual bar)... and I liked them. No cruft, and it was easy to systematically manipulate each control to determine its effect on the sound.
I agree with you. My intention was to perhaps highlight one of the ways that using Emacs can help someone be productive using markup (but as you pointed this is probably true of other editors with strong support for the language) and maybe help someone discover an important feature of the editor that they have missed.
High percentage?

If you are both between 30 & 34, and it's the first marriage for both, the divorce rate is 10%. Between 25 & 29 it's 14%.

If you both have college degrees, it drops even further.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/meet-catch-and-keep/201...
Which presents an opportunity for someone like Pixelmator or Affinity to make a photo management app + their photo editing tools.
sorry - I'm not the author of the article. I'm the creator of the ICO.
Can HN stay politically neutral, please? Otherwise in two weeks every post will be about Trump, or how only whites can be racist, etc. Kill the cancer before it spreads.
The other comments in this thread are pretty accurate in my experience. Depends on the day and time of day also. On weekends and evenings after ~5 PM PST the traffic is lower but still 500+ concurrent visitors.
> give courts / child protection services a cut of the child support money

This one I don't understand how anybody could ever think a good idea.

> If you punish men in divorces,...a massive increase in male suicide

That's external locus ("avoid"). What should be a real concern for ladies that it would greatly dry up their pool of potential mates.
Plunder is a silly excuse. Whatever plunder, it's been over for a long time. A lot of countries have managed to grow very fast from abject poverty to first-world status. Japan. South Korea. Argentina (then reverted -- what foreign power plundered them from the 50s onward, eh?!). The U.S., naturally. And others.

China is the latest: from the depths of the Great Leap Forward (backward) to now. And that's even though China too was plundered. That's a huge "so what" to the plunder thing.

Stop making excuses.

Incidentally, Argentina is a hugely important case-study. It was never really plundered. Its history has tremendous parallels to the United States', oddly enough. It had a tremendous growth between the 1880s and the Great Depression, and grew to be one of the wealthiest countries in the world at the time of WWII. Yet somehow it has missed out on decades of growth potential, and is now full of shanty towns, with a huge proportion of the population in true poverty (not what we call poverty in the U.S.). HOW IN THE WORLD DID THAT HAPPEN?! There were no significant wars in Argentina since its peak. There has been no foreign power plunder in Argentina in that time. The make-up of the population didn't change much. So what happened?? Well, it's easy to see what happened there: bad ideas.

"People, ideas, materiel. In that order!" - John Boyd, COL, USAF.
>or the only performant option was housed in a skull case.

So?
Both are dead.
I went to the site and I'm a little unclear of what its purpose is. Is it supposed to be a way to learn vanilla JS?
I do have an iPad on which I've been using the 11 beta for the past few months and I love the new multitasking support, but is it really big enough to warrant a major version bump?

You already could run two apps side by side in iOS 10 (I was a pretty heavy user of that feature, which is incidentally also the primary reason I opted into the beta), it just wasn't quite as flexible. Drag and drop is new, for sure. I suppose I haven't used it much so haven't really noticed it.

The dock seems like a small improvement over the old dock, added because of the better multitasking.

They're great improvements for sure, but they still seem like incremental improvements to me.
That frame of mind implies that marriage is something women want and something men do not want.

Why? It sounds like you're making some weird assumptions about sex-positivity, child-rearing, or finances.
Wonder why there aren't claw backs in the contracts.
MySpace angles were a thing, glamour shots are still a thing, I believe.

Glamour Shots - the Analog algorithms of beauty.