skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
People preferred religious philosophy as a framework to model the universe because it has proven to hold families and villages together for thousands of years.

The non-religious philosophy - in those times there was no scientific method and it basically amounted to what Aristotle said. And by the Middle Ages, what he said has become increasingly irrelevant, while Christianity have been refined for the past thousand years.

It boils down to an ideology that was adaptive (at least evolutionarily speaking) versus and ideology that was nothing more than dogma.

Of course almost a thousand years has passed, and people in this time see the situation has completely reversed, religion now seen as dogma and non-religious philosophy is the ideology that has adapted to humanity's changing needs.
HN only considers a story a dupe when it has had significant attention. Those submissions didn't quite cross the threshold.

Therefore we'll leave this post up, but merge the previous comments in to unify the threads.
Did you read that article? Their reserve of 1.5 years of operational funding seems prudent.

That $MM donation stream is a pittance considering their scale - orders of magnitude larger than most VC-funded startups.
Unable to open in Edge: http://imgur.com/a/nBAne
Comments moved to https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14627673.
Agree. I use KDE Neon for now but liked mate and cinnamon too.
In other words, it isn't good until people would want to give up existing method to get extra benefits or cost savings new one brings.

They do.

The current state of the art methods used "in production" today all use Flu Trends data from Google[1], other forms of digital data[2], ensemble methods incorporating them all, or human-based "crowdsourced" forecasting[3]

One definition of broken for a proposed alternative to the status quo is if the alternative under-performs it.

Which is not what happened here.

Here's the report into the 2014 CDC's Flu Forecasting competition: https://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s128...

Note that there is no mention of the "simple mean temperature" model. That's because it isn't very useful. That model predicts flu increases in winter, and picks up minor variations because of weather patterns.

To simplify even further, you can average all the CDC flu data and use that as your prediction and on an average year you'll have a decently performing model.

This isn't useful as a forecast, because the people who need forecasts already know this.

Better models (eg, SI, SEIR, Hawkes process based etc) can sometimes pick up epidemic or unusual conditions, but only after the conditions have changed. This is still useful, because there is a (best case) 2 week lag between ground conditions and CDC data being available.

Digital surveillance techniques (Flu Trends, Twitter data, etc) all push that data lag back.

This is incredibly useful for the people who need forecasts because it gives them lead time.

To understand this you need to consider the metrics. The most common metrics for flu forecasting is the "peak week", and "number of people infected at peak". Sometime the total number of people infected in a season is also reported.

Temperature-based models do really well on average at both these tasks, but they fail completely at picking the unusual seasons.

Google's solution is said to perform worse than that with more false positives.

Google flu trends picked the 2009 epidemic season really well, but failed in the 2013 season (when it falsely picked an epidemic). On average that might make it worse than a temperature based model, but that is just bad selection of metrics.

It's like reporting average income when your sample has a billionaire: the metric is misleading.

If that isn't the perfect example of "bullshit" then I don't know what is.

[1] http://www.healthmap.org/flutrends/about/

[2] http://delphi.midas.cs.cmu.edu/nowcast/about.html

https://gcn.com/articles/2016/12/21/cdc-flu-predictions.aspx
Any chance you could link the bootstrap?
I think perhaps what you're trying to say, in a confusing and condescending way, is that you believe the universe is a motionless and unchanging four-dimensional solid (three spacial dimensions and time), of which we perceive a rolling three-dimensional slice.
That's thanks (IMO) to the existence of a huge industry dedicated to convincing people that "a diet" is a temporary change in what you eat, after which you can once again throw restraint to the wind.
I've been working on the second one for a while on my website, here's an example: https://psychology.wtf/social_coherence.php . However, that's just for fun, it's not a final answer to anything. Correlation correlated with other correlations.
But this is a very different thing than "spoiling the ballot" that I am proposing. Under my scheme there would have been no Trump vs Hillary nor Macron vs Le Pen because the potential consequences of losing to "none of the above" and never being allowed to do politics again, forever, would act as a deterrent to sleazy candidates.
Please don't do religious flamewars on HN. They're boring, and never lead anywhere new or good.
> but merge the previous comments in here.

Pretty cool! I did not know that you could do that.
https://www.apple.com/apple-pencil/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pencil

Kind of already an established name in the English-speaking world.

Serious talk though, this kind of comment is worthless.
> When I started to learn guitar several decades ago, I would learn guitar solos off of records by slowing them down to 16 rpm (old turntables could do that) and moving the needle back repeatedly to listen to tricky phrases over and over again. It was frustrating, time consuming, and hell on on the records.

This made you a much better player than just looking up a video or tab though.

>I would like to see guitar-oriented rock and roll make a comeback. The heavy metal subculture is thriving without any mainstream radio airplay to speak of, but aside from that, there's just not that much going on.

> If I see a local rock band play in a bar these days, about 80% of the time it will be all middle-aged men who have been playing for decades. Some of them are even retirement age.

Sounds to me like you aren't looking very hard. In my city, I can find current, young rock bands playing at multiple venues weekly. Some of my favorite albums have come out since 2010.

Bar bands are dying because the economics don't make sense anymore for bar owners. Why dedicate a ton of space to 3-5 people with tons of equipment when you can just get one guy with a laptop. The latter is probably cheaper, too. In my area, most people don't go to bars for music anyway outside of places like dedicated jazz or piano bars.
None; the command-line program on a computer is just a better way. I do not have a mobile phone. However, I do have a programmable calculator so can use that if I need to make a program elsewhere. That way I can do by myself
I've been an occasional user of Pencil for 5 years (almost to the month). Really glad to see it moving away from XUL.
This case is not specific to Wikipedia, it questions the legality of all NSA Upstream surveillance.

It's time to get rid of these wire taps. The past year has repeatedly shown US intelligence agencies are not as secure as they imagined - some of these taps are no doubt being leveraged by the Kremlin, China, and other sophisticated enemies of freedom.
Ask HN: How would you create a community that won't self-select its members?
I'm more in particular with online communities such as forums, but offline ones like clubs and meetups could apply as well. In this case what I mean by self-selection is when the effects of self-selection start to narrow down the band from the potentially larger group that the community is aimed for.

For example, take a forum that advertises itself as a community for fans on X type of fiction. Over time, it eventually starts to coalesce into more and more people that are fans of X fiction that are in particular big fans of Y in X fiction, or have a big hatred for Z in X fiction. And these sub-groups are over-represented, and not very accurate representation of X fiction fanbase as a whole. It usually creates a runaway effect that those going against the grain will be shunned and not feel welcome and leave the community, thus adding to the homogeneity of the community. Despite this, the community still neutrally presents its description as "for fans of X fiction" but its active member base has a more specific slant.

So how would you solve or prevent this problem? I've seen it happen many times in online communities I've been a part of in the past. I'm not planning to build an online forum/social site, but it's just a question I'd really like to ask.
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I can say from first-hand experience a few years ago that your assumption—which you presented as fact—is false.
Loosely related to the title: Why not create a complete modular version not only localised, but also tied to individual country's flows and processes? So it could serve as an education material. (mind:blown)
I should have emphasized the machine is like a dream right now - without the Lenovo cruft that is usually installed.
Runs like a charm - where as the base Lenovo install was slow - i mean really slow. and this is an i7 16gb machine.
> Bitcoin network hashrate is currently around 550.000TH/s[1]. An asic miner with 4.73TH/s claimed capacity can be bought for $500 [2]. With a budget of less than $100M you could have similar capacity as current bitcoin network.

The network hashrate is 5 million TH/s and, believe it or not, there aren't a million of these ~$500 devices you mention up for sale. You would have to produce them yourself, with fierce competition.

Many have looked at the numbers and thought "I can do that", and when their mining product finally ships, the difficulty has increased by a factor of 10x. Leaving them with 5% network hashrate instead of 50%, because it turned out they weren't the only ones thinking "I can do that".
This has nothing to do with Scaleway, the latency results would be the same no matter the provider.
People in the west want to pretend that terrorists are unique in their lack of regard for civilian lives

This is a problem.

However in this thread you seem to go from this to "attempted genocide".

Also: there is a really huge difference between

- being careless as a soldier

and

- actively trying to harm civilians as a terrorist

Western soldiers should be held to a higher standard but as I mentioned elsewhere in this thread: if they have been trying to kill (or in your words exterminate) civilians then they have failed pretty spectacularly.
Considering the fact that Hanson knows all of this, and still thinks his idea is sound, what would be his response?
If you haven't seen the trailer, it's worth watching.[1]

Glory to Artstozka!

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_QP5X6fcukM
By publishing this they increase the vendors incentive to fix the security bugs.
> “John Mayer?” he asks. “You don’t see a bunch of kids emulating John Mayer and listening to him and wanting to pick up a guitar because of him.”

Sorry, but my 17 year old son was so inspired by Mayer about 5 years ago that he invested a LOT of time learning how to play guitar and sing like him, and other artists with similar styles. [0]

He is now building quite a steady music career even while finishing high school (he was booked for 3 gigs just this weekend).

He is also interested in past guitar heroes such as Eddie Van Halen, Mark Knopfler, Angus Young, Andy Summers etc. and spends a lot of time going through 'older' stuff to learn more.

While he has a lot of natural ability, there is no arguing that it takes a LOT of hard work. He practices for a minimum of 2 hours a day - sometimes even up to 4 or 5 hours, not counting gigging time. We often have to call him away from his guitar to do school work or eat.

I envy the time he lives in though - I started playing when I was 15, back in the early 80's and it was really difficult to find decent gear, and the only way to learn anything new was to try and figure it out by ear or find someone else who knew to teach you. Nowadays, the proliferation of Youtube and other online learning resources, the huge selection of reasonably priced gear, and things like software and hardware modelling amps mean players can dial in ANY sound they want under any situation. Unheard of in my time.

It just needs kids who are interested enough to turn it into their passion.

[0] - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJK-R3HGG09uGBRDs7fhpZw
The mere threat of being surveilled already does a ton of damage to readers and editors. (although Wikipedia was in one of the NSA's leaked slides as a target [0]) It has a chilling effect [1] on users. A study even found that traffic to terrorism-related articles plunged after the Snowden leaks. [2] You might ask why this is a problem. The populace needs to be adequately informed about the facts about terrorism in order to deal with them rationally rather than stay perpetually afraid and let the government pass things like the Patriot Act that erodes their civil liberties. [3] (you hear the joke a lot that "this probably put me on a list", which is a pretty shocking demonstration of how normalized we've become to surveillance and being treated as bad guys for merely mentioning or looking at sensitive topics) Additionally, while non-registered editor locations are public (attached to a geolocatable IP address), those of registered users are not and I don't think any reader wants what they look at shared with other parties. While the specific case is against upstream surveillance by the NSA, I think the general idea is for Wikimedia to put their foot down against the encroachment of three-letter agencies on our domestic freedoms.

[0]: https://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/10/opinion/stop-spying-on-wi...
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chilling_effect
[2]: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-wikipedia-usage-idUSKCN0XO...
[3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patriot_Act
I love the zooming & want to use this for category theory diagrams.
Born, Einstein and Minkowski's Space-Time Formalism of Special Relativity
I am standing on the shoulders of giants (Eastern philosophy since Upanishads).

The notion that the nature of reality (of what is) is hidden from one by the veil of ignorance (one's own and socially constructed bullshit in the first place) is an ancient one and goes back to the early Upanishadic seers and the historical Buddha.

Removing an observer (and all products of his mind which constitute the veil that obscures what is) is an ancient hack of early Buddhists, I am only re-emphasizing it.

Man is just a by-product of the Universe - a mere sub-process of nothing permanent or substantial (leave alone divine). Mental concepts are not required for the Universe (or what they call Brahman) to be and most of these concepts does not exit outside one's conditioned and conceptually infested mind.

Wrong concepts is the veil which obscures the view of what is. This is at least two millennia old philosophy of the nature of mind. Before knowing what lies outside know what lies within. There is the same facility and related social dynamics which produced gods, daemons, chakras, tantras, mantras, kundalini, mandalas, accelerating time, higher dimensions, multiple futures, parallel universes and other popular bullshit in which we are drowning.

Read some old tantras, then read some modern probabilistic modeling bullshit which they call modern science - it is all the same kind of piles of untestable socially constructed nonsense. Untestability and socially accepted dogmatism is precisely what makes it (and tantras and other religious crap) stand.
To anyone outside the USA, this is old hat. Yes, latency matters for interactive traffic. Yes, the Atlantic (and Pacific) oceans are big and light ain't getting any faster.
I'm pretty sure southern hip-hop has officially 'won' [1].

[1] http://www.npr.org/sections/therecord/2017/03/06/518780898/f...
Not fixing the underlying security issues makes us all more vulnerable.
Don't ever use the original string as key in the localization table. That will force you to translate "high" difficulty the same as "high" resolution, for example.
The Ghastly Tragedy of the Suburbs (2004)
I believe the concern is everyone else using gmail compromising your privacy.
Interesting question. I have some thoughts, but expect there will be some disagreement on this front. Communities will always self-select in some sense. Choosing to include oneself within community X, as you've put it above, is a form of self-selection. IRL it's limited by the number of people you can meaningfully fit in one place (contingent on the activity), digitally it's limited by what you can meaningfully access that represents the things you're interested in. Both spaces are affected by the mood of the community itself, with more or less hostile participants shaping the type of people willing to attend the forum. Be lassez faire with your policies, and the louder or more belligerent attitudes reign. Use highly rigid community policies and your participants will be limited in the range of available discussions. Both shape the community in different ways.

What I suspect you're after is merely a social forum setting where particular subcultures don't become a hegemonic monoculture. You can't really 'fix' that per se, but you can provide greater opportunity for social forking within a forum. Provide users more autonomy within the forum to create their own aligned but separate spaces, and you are more likely to provide space for this holistic community that you're after.
Previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5809724
> Your grandmother would have to run her own node!

Imagine if she had to have her own USPS mailbox, or worse, if she had to setup and manage a globally visible server[1] on an incredibly complex circuit-switched telephony network. POTS telephone service used to be more complicated, but it quickly became very easy to setup and use because a lot of the complexity was successfully hidden behind various goods and services.

The same should be true for basic network, but true network software was only developed for professional or niche use cases because NAT severely damaged the network. Imagine if the telephone network was almost always "party lines"[2] in residential areas. Entire categories of telephone-related goods and services wouldn't have happened.

> as their available bandwidth slows to almost nothing!

That's why there used to be a lot of research into different types of multicast[3]
routing. We even see

> pay for it

Just like POTS.

> you would either ... or it'd turn

You're trying to apply examples from our current, highly centralized network services, when a truly decentralized Facebook would be very different, both as a service and the environment in which the service exists.

[1] where "server" is anything that listens for requests (in this case, the "called party")

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Party_line_%28telephony%29

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multicast
Let people enjoy things. It is ok to enjoy things, really. Also, many people who speak well English in work, still prefer translated books and games and what not.

You got downvoted not because of truth, but because you are all sanctimonious about foreign languages while we speak about game.
Just do what the industry does and use XLIFF[0]

Professional translators will already use compatible editors and for occasional translators there are open source ones available.

[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/XLIFF
That's a good point. I guess I might have more accurately stated them as "positive psychological/physiological feedback loop" and "negative psychological/physiological feedback loop.

You're right, as I describe them, both are "positive" in terms of reinforcing amplification.