skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Your view of a lot of the methodology in science, and more so in engineering, is correct or nearly so, and I agree with it nearly so.

BUT!!!! So far in saying what human sources of CO2 will do to the temperature of the earth, as in the graph at the link I gave, we're in deep, fuming, reeking, brown sticky stuff -- the predictions from nearly all the models were badly wrong.

So, one approach to something better is to return to first principles of physics. History shows that that approach has been known to work. And IIRC by now the Navier-Stokes equations have been quite good for boat hulls and airplane wings. But as I outlined and you noticed, using first principles to say what the temperature of earth will be in 100 years is too difficult, absurdly too difficult, even if ignore turbulence around leaves, too darned difficult -- and it might even be unstable. So, that approach won't work, either.

So, as you outlined, we need to find a way that does work. In such a case we will need to check it, test it, validate it, etc. And at this point, from the graphs, no one but 10 year old sweet, cute, darling, adorable but gullible and naive Virginia will believe any testing based on predicting old data and, instead, will want a prediction of the NEXT 20 years and the WAIT 20 years to take the work seriously.

Soooo, right, we fall back to some back of the envelope approaches.

Here's one such I've already explained here:

(1) For CO2, for nearly everything in the record for the past 800,000 years
(the geologic time intervals in the lecture seem to be different) shows that temperature went up without preceding CO2 concentrations going up and temperature went down without preceding CO2 concentrations going down. So, net, CO2 is not nearly the only cause of temperature changes. And, since we are now willing to do first cut approximations, we conclude in practical terms that, under anything like current conditions, CO2 is irrelevant. Bluntly, the variations in CO2 concentrations don't match the variations in temperature worth a darn.

(2) The stuff I outlined about sun spots fit the temperature data much better. The example that sticks out like sore thumb is the Little Ice Age -- that is, the Maunder Minimum after guy Maunder who noticed that there were nearly no sun spots during the Little Ice Age.

Otherwise, so far we don't know even as much as dip squat about the change in temperature, from CO2 or anything else, in the next 100 years. Clearly the first cut, safe bet is that there won't be any change.

And, it helps a lot that currently the temperature and the changes in temperature don't look at all unusual. I.e., it was hotter in the Medieval times when people were growing grapes in England.

Or, worry about if going to get cancer and f'get about CO2. Sure as heck f'get about carbon taxes.
I'm not sure I understand what you're trying to say.

China was the beneficiary of decades of Soviet research into space as well, their early program flew Soyuz craft, their current craft maintain backwards compatibility if what is available is to be believed. They have a space station and put a rover on the Moon. So how is that an unfair comparison?

And how does using existing research take away from anything SpaceX has done? Sure NASA bought missions from them before they were sure that they could deliver, that sort of seed funding is not uncommon. Blue Origin benefited from a wealth of data in the DC-X project, also funded by NASA but its still remarkable what that they took Newshepard up and down from space four times.

I disagree that the Chinese started from scratch. From where I am sitting they started at the exact same place SpaceX did, using the research and know-how from a well funded and storied space organization to bootstrap their goals.
It might not see the courtroom, but you can be damn sure it will see the front page of TechCrunch, The Verge, the New York Times, etc.

I think public opinion backlash would be far too great for Uber to do anything about that but tuck their tail inbetween their legs and whimper away.
It's always easy to ask someone else to make a significant sacrifice for the sake of your moral code. It's much harder to do so yourself.
Efficiency of affordable solar cells can't increase by more than about a factor of 2 from where it is now. Even to do that, we'd have to figure out how to cheaply mass-produce multilayer cells, which are currently expensive one-offs made in labs; I'll be very surprised if that happens in 15 years.

What's more likely to happen, as I understand, is that cells of about the same efficiency level as what most people are using now, or maybe somewhat less, will get much cheaper (e.g., perovskites). But that won't be a reason to replace existing installations.
But practically speaking there's also not much the US can do in that scenario if Russia or China ignores US sovereignty over Mars and sets up their own base. The US's only recourse would be to start a war, and would that be worth it? Sovereignty is more of a practical concept than a legal one: you own what you are both able and willing to defend.

See also the Russian bases in the Australian Antarctic territory. Australia asserts sovereignty over a third of Antarctica, Russia ignores it and sets up bases anyway. Australia has neither the ability nor the desire to fight Russia, so we studiously ignore it.
I'll be the first to admit that money doesn't go far in San Francisco, and that developers actually aren't especially well paid given the cost of living and the constant claims of a "critical" shortage talent.

I live in an unfashionable neighborhood south of 280, but even here, you'd be lucky to get a decent 3br for less than a million. So assuming you have a down payment together, you're probably looking at 4k a month in mortgage. You get a tax break, yeah, but you also get property taxes, maintenance, and insurance, so it's a wash.

Child care is the real killer. Standard 8am-6pm child care runs north of $2,500 a month. Same for preschool. If you have two kids, oh man. So now you're looking at

6,500 a month with one kid
8,000 a month with two kids

Keep in mind, if you can afford the child care in SF, odds are you're too high income to qualify for the child care tax break. So all in all, it really is true that it isn't easy to make it on two incomes totaling 200k a year.

Beyond that, though? If you're north of 350k, I'd say this is about expectations. You should be able to make it fine.

There is one strategy - remain a one income family! $120k a year for a family of 4 qualifies for government housing assistance in SF. Developers must set aside a number of units for "middle". It's hard to get, but if you can pull it off, you're guaranteed a lower rent (I think it's about $2500 a month at that income level) and it's intensely rent controlled.

So Silicon Valley employers, take note. Hire a middle aged person with a family for $120k a year, and you can get that highly skilled worker in critical shortage that you've told congress you can't hire at any price, and you can get the taxpayer to cover the gap between the salary you pay and the housing costs in the Bay Area! Seriously, consider the benefits of hiring older people with families.
You don't have to have a formal education to be considered an engineer. His bio says "engineer, inventor, explorer" http://www.biography.com/people/elon-musk-20837159
> antitrust laws to companies like facebook, google, uber, and airbnb

IDK about the others, but Google is an obvious one.

Google Search, Gmail, Google Docs, Chrome, and Android. Each connects with another and has incredible market share. They are horizontally integrated, just like Windows and IE of the 90s.
Also, the permafrost contains lots of methane which is a much more effective (bad) greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas#Global_warming_...
Rock the boat, people. You are a part of your company's culture: not an observer of it, not a victim of it.

From an article I wrote a couple years ago:

"My two cents for the conversation is pretty simple: there are only two different kinds of humans in the world: Those who actively exploit women, and those who actively speak out against the exploitation of women. Keeping your mouth shut for fear of rocking the boat -- this is a form of apathy all its own." http://ink.hackeress.com/2015/01/why-im-boat-rocker.html
> By your definition any appointee is a 'political position'.

Direct Presidential appointees are absolutely political; cabinet members more than most.

> That term has a real meaning in the circles which matter (i.e., politics), and AG is not considered a political position.

It actually has a fairly vague and shifting meaning even within politics, but by virtually any of them the Attorney-General is very much a political position.
Note that this happens even when using a BlueCoat proxy in non-MITM mode. BlueCoat tries to "analyze" TLS connections, and rejects anything it doesn't understand. This exact issue occurred with TLS 1.2 back when BlueCoat only understood 1.1/1.0.

In this case, it doesn't sound like they're reverting it because of overall breakage, but rather because it breaks the tool that would otherwise be used to control TLS 1.3 trials and other configuration. Firefox had a similar issue, where they temporarily used more conservative settings for their updater than for the browser itself, to ensure that people could always obtain updates that might improve the situation.
Great, so with good timing we can both get a great view and set a record simultaneously.
It turns out that many editors who work at major publishers also freelance edit on the side. (Source: I have many friends who work at Penguin in NYC.) If you want, I can ask some of them if they know any leads who might be interested.
This is a relevant detail.
I hear you and completely agree.

> how the profits are distributed

There is on top of that the matter of conflicts of interest; i.e. shareholders with a political agenda etc.
I was pretty shocked when I learned they had more than 1000 employees.
They tried that for mobile devices and failed. I doubt they'd have done any better on the desktop.
don't they also have to report accidents?
Why would a figure with so much PR fire power tarnish it? If anything it would put space exploration front and center for so many young and adolescence people.
This can be generalized to similar spectrum in quite a few domains: those who fear of rocking the boat on one end and those who do it without good reason. Part of working in a larger organization is the politics of knowing when the right time to speak up and make change is. I kind of wish I was working at Uber right now because now is the time for them.
I wouldn't be surprised if this was fake. It seemed to hit on too many talking points and buzzwords. It has a "too good to be true" feel to it.
I run a bot on the English Wikipedia that has (I believe) the highest number of edits of any account. If anyone has any questions about what botting on Wikipedia looks like, I can answer them.
"I feel the same about the wait but pretty good about my own time estimation abilities!"
Wow, that's an ingenious hack that makes a lot of sense in hindsight. What was your thought process and how did it lead to that? Was it solving a similar problem in another domain?
This is the part that really hits me. When, in a meeting, Mike#2 says to "stop being a whiny little bitch", and he's not fired on the spot, something is not just wrong with Mike#2, something is systemically wrong.

I don't work in Regular Tech (I'm in a teacher-education nonprofit), so I'm not as exposed to the SV bro culture. I'd like to think I'd speak up and fight for people who are marginalized in my workplace. I wonder if I actually would. It's so easy to be quiet, laugh it off, and go back to your daily, if it's not you.
The built-in version is too: https://dxr.mozilla.org/mozilla-central/source/browser/exten...
So I don't code, but I have an Electrical Engineering background and a passionate interest in Technology and VR. How can I get involved with this?
A/B Testing Using Staged Rollouts
Do you also believe Hacker News comments should be held to the standards of journalism, and people on Hacker News shouldn't even discuss something unless there are facts, names, proofs, and the smoking gun?

No, reputable news sources shouldn't (and don't) publish claims like these without substantiation. But I don't see a problem with HN commenters discussing claims like these even though this is all we have to go on. And I don't see how that's an argument against its fundamental plausibility, which is what your parent comment discusses.
I wonder if Morty from Rick and Morty got his name from micromorts.
The only feedback I really care about is my compensation package and a tactful way to say "money me, money now. Me a money needing a lot now" is to initiate a discussion on job performance. It wouldn't surprise me at all to learn that millennials are doing this more than older generations. Whenever someone has expressed some form of "work hard, keep your head down and wait" strategy to salary increase to me it's been an older person.
I'm not sure which ad network you mean - there was an effort to serve ads on the new-tab "tiles" page but that was shut down a little over a year ago: https://blog.mozilla.org/advancingcontent/2015/12/04/advanci...
I have a small circle of artist friends, and we were discussing this at a Brooklyn rooftop over beer (of course.) They were a group of illustrators who work in publishing, and talking about the frustrations of getting feedback from authors who didn't "get" their illustrations.

One person then brought up a point: "If you only created art for it's own sake, rather than for people," she said, "you'd be in the fine arts. And if that is what you want to do then awesome. But what we do - making art that people will use, because that's what we value - is different."

And I think that is the point here. If the goal is to make a novel that people will want to read and share and enjoy, that necessarily means foregoing your own idea of what the writing ought to be. And that is a completely okay motivation to create art!
There's security features then assurance. Features without assurance of correctness are often bypassed. Im curious what was in those you talk about down the stack.
Citizens United (corporate personhood) already has laid the groundwork for that. If a corporation has the same rights as a person and an ai is a representative of said corporation, the ai would be protected under the corporate personhood umbrella.
Pocket is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Mozilla Corporation, so Pocket retains a great deal of autonomy within their organization. Since Mozilla acquired the entire team, I'd start by reaching out to the individuals listed on https://getpocket.com/about/.

Longer term, my understanding is that we want to use Pocket's expertise and data to help build a recommendation engine for the open Web (Context Graph: https://wiki.mozilla.org/Context_Graph). This speaks directly to the problem of sites like Instagram which restrict links to external sites: users can enter via URLs, but they can't navigate away. (More reading: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2015/dec/29/irans-blo...). If anything could help users route themselves out of these silos, it'd be a huge win for the openness of the Web.
You might not be able to unload at all...
The bar for "good" is lowered when there is money on the line?
There seems to be alot of ppl not sure as to why / what purpose scanning ppl on exit would acomplish. To me it makes the most sense that this would be an easy first step to start working out errors in the machines and get training data in a way that is not likely to cause the electorate to get upset. In the future once it is working then then can start moving it more inwards facing.
Chances are, you don't live in a democracy anyway. Most "western" world is either a representative republic or the same mixed with a monarchy.

Switzerland is the only country that gets close to a democracy - they let their citizens vote on many issues.
I could generally understand some struggle for people with a family, even with a higher salary (due to the extreme housing costs) until I got to this:

> "He said he won’t miss some of the more mundane day-to-day costs, like spending $8 on a bagel and coffee or $12 on freshly pressed juice."

What. The. Hell. There are so many ways to save money that people just flat out ignore or pretend don't exist. This is much more about expectations of how they should be able to live rather than actual struggles. This article isn't going to go over well.
As someone who is working with another chef to release their own cook book and associated app, this and the comments are immensely helpful. Thank you :-)
Rejecting anything it doesn't understand sounds like a bug to me. If it sees that it's TLS, it should attempt a protocol downgrade. There's absolutely no reason for this to break, as TLS 1.3 exists alongside TLS 1.2 (For now).
Flailing attempts at geoengineering will come later, after it becomes clear to even the thickest person that we're desperately screwed.
The corporation might be, but this seems like the level of gross criminal negligence that a person should be held liable for.
I think of all canoe trips as "gentle trips on the lake" when I read this. I suppose most canoers think of motorcyclists as "that guy doing triple the speed limit on the crowded interstate"...
>Dragon has the deltaV to land on the moon (not sure if it has enough to get off again though) and SpaceX certainly has the expertise in building spacecraft that land.

Not if you count de-orbiting as part of landing it doesn't. It has something like 300m/s dV. Landing would take 2000ish, and that just gets you down.
Why is it so important to send people on these missions outside of some 21st century version of manifest destiny? NASA could do so much more with its limited funding if it just cut out all the humans.
Yeah, I'm not worried about my kid saying things that will get him in trouble. However... he repeats literally everything that he hears, sometimes verbatim. Sometimes hours or days layer. To be honest, it's really creepy at times. Plus, he doesn't really have a filter, so he'll talk about everything he sees at school or on the playground, just chattering about all day to himself.

So I'm worried about my kid saying things that could get other people into trouble.
I guess this is some kind of trial. My point is that exit records are neither novel, useless, nor in most countries the least bit controversial.

Not sure why the US needs to make a big deal out of it with biometric scans instead of the tried-and-true option of a little man in a box stamping your passport.
It's my (possibly false...) impression that those who find Word's "Track Changes" valuable, have never used diff/patch or any of their many descendants (i.e. git etc.) Trying to keep two contributors' work straight with Word's "Track Changes" is a hair-pulling challenge. With more people, forget about it. In large groups, I've found even "change the third sentence in the ninth paragraph" requests via email to be better...
I disagree, being an engineer is similar to being a doctor, meaning you go through training and take an oath before officially becoming one. I wouldn't consider a colleague an engineer if they didn't take the engineering oath.
Ridiculously conservative middleboxes are why we can't have nice things and why we need to encrypt all new protocols, security properties aside.
Itch.io's Butler: --beeps4life flag
Wouldn't it make more sense to launch solar shields into orbit?
Probably not. Developers are fickle and few like to do maintenance only work. So even if it's still getting security patches they are likely to be losing the institutional knowledge to continue that in future, not to mention keeping up with things like API changes for gmail integration.
Thunderbird searches can be quite slow.
I for one consider such companies to be quasi-government organizations. Especially to the degree that their products are purchased by the government via something other than a open market bid.
It's more a question of "won't" rather than "can't".

Why do you think XUL and Thunderbird are good investments vs. things like Servo or the context graph initiative (which the Pocket team is going to accelerate according to the blog post)?

Do you think a non-standard framework for making fat native apps and a mail client built on this framework are going to make Mozilla more relevant?
If you say this about a number of the people on that list, you're going to say that about anyone from this generation.
Between investment and debt financing, Uber raised > $4 billion last year.
The reason I bring up Servo is that parts of it are already starting to land in Gecko and will ship with Firefox soon - do you think making Servo support XUL is a good use of anyone's time?
The surprising part (or maybe not) is that BlueCoat had been made aware of this change months ago and never got around properly testing it. This one of the softwares main purpose, and the fact that they didn't even make sure it works on the newest Chrome, leading to such a mess, is pretty sad.
Someone puts hands on you at work, file an assault complaint with the police. Period.
Heads up, this was impossible to read on mobile for me.
This narrative explains why there can be no "winning strategy" in equities investment (apart from investing in an index fund). The widely followed analysts who recommend selling TSLA shares based on what they expect to happen, make their prediction come true by speaking publicly (an "announcement effect") -- compare the rate of change in the stock price when the "experts" aren't offering their advice to the public.

It also builds the reputation of the analysts -- the more correct calls they make, the more wise they seem. The more wise they seem, the more the public follows their advice. The more the public follows their advice, the more "correct" calls they seem to have made.

The real winners are those who make their moves the day before the experts speak, which is why insider trading is illegal.

http://arachnoid.com/equities_myths/
Anything from Jupiter broadcasting, but specifically the Linux action show and bsd now

http://www.jupiterbroadcasting.com
I've never had any issue with Discord feeling "not quite right".
Ask HN: What's your go-to guide for writing in-product copy?
Man, writing clear and concise, informative copy and instructions in a web app is hard. I've looked into general grammar/writing books but they seem to be difficult to apply in the context of end-user facing copy. What's your go-to resource?
Another eg of distraction-free programming: http://www.atariarchives.org/deli/cottage_computer_programmi...
BlueCoat are an incredibly evil company that are breaking the internet.
WHO: first ever list of antibiotic-resistant “priority pathogens”
This subreddit is quite useful: https://www.reddit.com/r/buildapc/

They usually have pretty good builds, and they update them regularly.
For comparison, the Space Shuttle has NO emergency system and approximately a 2% catastrophic failure rate ...
Are there publicly known instances of something like this being "too good to be true", or is your feeling based only on private experience?

I have had no private experience with something like this being "too good to be true", and multiple instances of it being all too true. And there is obviously a publicly known instance of something like this that appears quite credible (the Susan Fowler blogpost). So you understand why I'd feel the opposite way---that in spite of the lack of substantiation, this feels all too true.
Seattle is a lesser example. I say lesser because, relative to the other "second tier" cities, it's still pretty expensive.

Regardless, my take home pay stayed the same, and my rent went way down for a house instead of an apartment. My only regret is that I stayed in SF as long as I did.
> Because news agencies make money from attention not accurate and usable information.

Doesn't bloomberg have a specific market that values accurate and usable information over click bait?