skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I applaud for the P < 0.01.

There are too many non reproducible results with real life harm: http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2017/02/perverse-incentives-and...
Sure, if you want performance but you said it might not POST. That's not true.
No thanks. Papers involving animals are already backbreakingly slow compared with cell-based or in vitro work. I know because I've been lapped by my colleagues using more simple systems as I slog through our paper we got rejected from Nature because the reviewers suggested another 3 years worth of experiments. Yep, year 5 into this single project, which we knew the outcome for 4 years ago. Not excited about this proposal at all.

Look I'm all for rigor but how about the people trying to make money off the deal pay for all the work and keep people like me out of it. Or don't allow the people trying to make money interpret the results of such preliminary studies so liberally. It's like the education system. Scientists like teachers, both of which don't make much money and do all the labor, don't want more hoops jump through.
How style transfer learning actually works
I would be happy if we [USA] never bought another drop of oil from the middle east until they learn a few lessons about human rights. And actually, exploitation of domestic resources has dramatically reduced our dependency on foreign oil.

/Firey opinion off, apologies
After reading the article, I looked up what level of support Amazon offers in their distribution. Near as I can tell? None.
Personally, I think the biggest problem with VR is that it's downright dangerous. I tried a professionally setup and monitored demo of HTC vive inside of a Microsoft store, and walked into the wall. They needed somebody with you to help make sure you didn't get tangled in the wires - during a 15 minute demo! And people still did, repeatedly. Until there aren't cords and something like the Omni treadmill comes around to handle movement without physically moving - I just think it's not practical or safe as a technology for games other then flight and driving simulators.
Ugh I didn't realize clicking randomly on the heart would take me to a porn site. The only red for me was HN.
> They seem to have more control over us than we do them.

You're thinking of Israel.
I believe you are in the wrong thread :)
I hadn't heard the term "Tesla shock" before this article, referring to lowered expectations for oil companies once people started predicting that electric cars would eventually win out. It's a useful phrase ;-)
My favorite is government budget deficits. Take for example Medicare and drugs. Where does the money Medicare use to buy drugs comes from.
I worked on a project in which we worked with Samsung to create VR Experiences with the GearVR. Marketing was hyping to our customers before we even wrote a single spec with Samsung so the expectations for the end result were stupidly high and unreasonable.
As solar and battery prices keep dropping the charge at home infrastructure becomes ever more appealing. Oil on the other hand already has little room to become cheaper.
Automated NUclear Spectroscopy
Medicine appears to be spelled incorrectly throughout the page. Was this translated from a non English lang?
Simple, deploy and manage your own code by hand.

I know so much ridiculous but very practical "devops stuff" because I've been installing things configuring them and deploying to them by hand (running the commands or writing scripts) for a long time. It has come in handy so many times. Now that I think of it, it has paid off more than any other technical experience.

So now I can sit down behind any devops toolkit and very quickly get up and running or even debug it without having much experience with it.

Also managing your own code will help make you a better developer. So in short to learn devops: learn ops by doing it the old fashioned way. Then Ansible, Puppet, Cloud formation, etc... is easy.
I have an idea: if a research study doesn't go the way you thought it would, put it out there.

We need a central repository like Arxiv where we dump the experiments that didn't work out so that we can quickly compare a "successful" one to ones done before. That gives us a better idea of if the data is just a fluke.

The papers wouldn't have to be super involved. What did you do? What were statistical conclusions. Give an upper-level undergraduate or an early masters student some experience writing up a procedure. Shouldn't take more than a couple hours but it could save a lot of time dealing with publication bias
See also: http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/02/ny-fed-household-d...

(For some more analysis)
I expect commercial aircraft to remain hydrocarbon fueled for the foreseeable future. But jet fuel is only 11% of American transport fuel demand: http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=us_energy_transport...

(Meaning less than 8% of all American petroleum consumption, given the other poster's 70% figure.)
You're right, I did mix up insertion sort and quick sort.
LG G6 Launched at MWC 2017, First Non-Pixel Phone with Google Assistance
If that's your misbegotten model of reality, may I suggest some reading material. Technology is dependent on energy, not the other way 'round.

Vaclav Smil, Energy in World History

http://www.worldcat.org/title/energy-in-world-history/oclc/4...

Smil's Energy Transitions addresses switching between primary sources of energy:

http://www.worldcat.org/title/energy-transitions-history-req...

Manfred Weissenbacher, Sources of Power, in two volumes:

http://www.worldcat.org/title/before-oil-the-ages-of-foragin...

http://www.worldcat.org/title/oil-age-and-beyond/oclc/837625...

Limits to Growth is the old classic:

http://www.worldcat.org/title/limits-to-growth/oclc/70551520...

The 30 year update:

http://www.worldcat.org/title/limits-to-growth-the-30-year-u...

For a view of the political and social realities of addressing limits, I can't recommend William Ophuls, Ecology and the Politics of Scarcity highly enough.

http://www.worldcat.org/title/ecology-and-the-politics-of-sc...

Joseph Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies, spells out the more general dynamic.

http://www.worldcat.org/title/collapse-of-complex-societies/...
This post just got nuked, it was at #4 or so and now is not findable in any of the first six pages of results.
Sorry, which parts of the proposal are you responding to? The article is more specific than "more rigor". Are you objecting to the higher p-value threshold? The independent confirmation?

The author argues that a single higher quality confirmatory experiment will be able to replace gathering lots of statistics for exploratory experiments:

> Unlike clinical studies, most preclinical research papers describe a long chain of experiments, all incrementally building support for the same hypothesis. Such papers often include more than a dozen separate in vitro and animal experiments, with each one required to reach statistical significance. We argue that, as long as there is a final, impeccable study that confirms the hypothesis, the earlier experiments in this chain do not need to be held to the same rigid statistical standard.

Do you disagree?
I'm disappointed to see your root comment in the [dead] pile. It's hard to tell why that is exactly.
Only if you promise to not cut yourself on that edge.

I feel like "want" is a strong word though. I don't exactly believe you've earned any right to get personal information. I'll give you a hint though, it's over 25.

In all seriousness though, when HN lives in a safe space where being told your work is shit isn't accepted, what other answers do I have aside from being snarky?
It's okay to be told your work is shit. It's better when you're told why it's shit, sure. But that's not a judgement on you, as a person. It's about your work. It's shit. And it's fine, no hard feelings. Start over, you'll maybe do it better.
White Walls
SEO Consultants, What Do You Need to Look for Before Hiring One
having wealth is one half of the equation when it comes to self perpetuation of wealth. being very smart is the other half. look at people who win the lottery. they spend it all away, often becoming broke. and the people who get wealth in the first place are more likely to be smart. smart people end up getting a lot of money because they are smart. and they use it to stay wealthy because they are smart.
BioRxiv [1] attempts to be this, but it isn't widely used as it is in the physics/math/compSci world.

[1] http://biorxiv.org/
And does being unscientific make a thing wrong? Saying "we won't have strong AI in our lifetimes" is an equally strong claim that is also unscientific. You can't say "we can't know" because what does that even mean? That the outcome is 50/50? That's still pretty decent odds for something so significant!
A friend of mine used to teach at one of those programs. He quit because he got sick of parroting placement numbers he knew were fraudulent.

The ones who got good jobs were good applicants. They would have gotten the Dev job anyway. The ones who weren't strong got swept under the rug.

Your cousin might do better taking a year of CS classes and working on outside projects
Others have talked about the taxation faced by Aramco. I also wonder how well Aramco is run.

I've heard government jobs in Saudi Arabia involve coming into the office maybe once a month.[0]

I'm not sure how representative that anecdote is, and I'm not sure if that's standard in Aramco too or not. Even if that's primarily just a factor of the public sector, I imagine it'd make it hard to compete for high quality labor in that ecosystem.

A large company sitting on abundant natural resources could develop lots of inefficient habits... has anyone written about management a/o culture at Aramco?

[0] http://www.npr.org/2016/02/11/466457128/saudi-arabia-turns-t...
The online book Real World Haskell[1] has used a more integrated form of annotation via comments directly under each passage. It's pretty fun to observe how the comments play into the content...sometimes they're wonderfully constructive and other times they derail more useful discussion. It'll be exciting to see how these social norms evolve with the technology.

[1] sample chapter, http://book.realworldhaskell.org/read/programming-with-monad...
Individual experts may make very inaccurate predictions, sure. But averaged together you get the wisdom of crowds effect.
That doesn't seem correct: https://userscontent2.emaze.com/images/63172c5f-0bd8-4e77-a1...

Note: cargo ships don't use gasoline.
Is it just me or is VR involves a lot unnecessary effort for the user?

ie: I don't want to walk around. I want to sit comfortably without straining my arm or walking into walls.
I agree with you completely. I only mean that since Americans have shown willingness to commit to far more in the name of far less, this would be a trivial thing to lead them into.
https://userscontent2.emaze.com/images/63172c5f-0bd8-4e77-a1...
Many, maybe even most, interesting tasks in AI can't be done without general intelligence. Specialized AI can only do very limited, simple tasks, that require little thinking or understanding. That's cool, but it's hardly an existential threat like superintelligence is.
Just to note, there's a tradeoff here - not publishing work until you are massively certain of it would also cause real life harm. Reducing the p value doesn't automatically reduce harm.

Physicists require extremely low values before confirming a discovery has been made, but that's different from requiring it before publishing.

The problem is with people interpreting published work as if once its published, its completely certain.

Maybe each publication should come with a headline 'confidence' stat beside the title. I guess this is a step in that direction.
Well, I think that is the entire problem.
I'm seriously tempted. If it does contact and calendar syncing with google, then sign me up!
Not going to happen. You don't understand the forces at play when biomedical researchers (I'm one too) do the work. A major reason more specific to this type of researcher that he/she wants to hold back the data is in the event it can be re-purposed for later goals. It's capital. The time and money spent acquiring the types of negative data the article talks about (mouse experiments) take big dollars. I'm not going to throw it away in an archive. It's like donating to a Goodwill bin some really expensive clothes you saved your money to buy only to realize after you bought it that it's the wrong size. You're totally going to try to make it work often for years before you give up on it.

If you take issue with my comment and have ever worked for a startup that didn't pan out (should be many of us here on HN), think of the scenario if someone told you, "hey, why don't you just be a good person and open source your app and give all your customers to XYZ?" (Setting aside the armchair quarterback guilt imposed on you) There are a few who do that, but if you've spent any length of time on your business, you're going to think of ways to re-purpose the investment you made it in other ways before you just go dumping it in an archive like Github or whatever.
The capex on a tin can for gasoline will always beat a solar roof and Power Wall
2x games: SuperHot and Onward. Both just totally blew my mind! Google them if you've never heard of them before. And Onward really shows the power of an Indie Dev.
We've hired a few people from bootcamps. I admit that I was a bit skeptical going in, but I am very happy with everyone we have hired from that direction.

There is nothing in CS that you can't learn on your own and/or on the job. You do not need a school to teach you. Having said that, you need to want to learn this stuff and it is a long road. Decades after I graduated, I'm still learning new things (especially math -- since I sucked at it in school). So my first piece of advice: Realise that after a boot camp you will not know enough, nor have enough experience to really be qualified to do the job. Anybody who picks you up is taking a chance that you will grow into the job. Attitude is by far your biggest selling point.

If you go in with a hunger for learning and infectious enthusiasm, you will be a benefit to your team, even while being under qualified. If you go in thinking, "I don't really know if I want to do this, but it seems like an easy job that pays well", just stop now. I really can't stress that enough. Don't pay thousands of dollars to go to a boot camp to see if you want to do this stuff. Like I said, you can boot your own camp trivially. Computer + Internet + passion for learning will get you there. A good boot camp can really help you focus and point you to efficient ways of learning, but it can't give you the drive you need to succeed. My second piece of advice is to experiment first.

Finally, all of the people we have hired from bootcamps have had experience in other industries. Let me put it bluntly: They know how to show up to work every day and put in a full day's work. They know how to show up to meetings on time and pay attention. They know how to deal with difficult political situations. They know how to avoid being hung over on a weekday. Finally, they have experience being in a job that they hate and they have spent considerable amount of time and effort understanding what they want from a career.

My final advice: Don't graduate from school and go straight to a boot camp, unless you know for sure that you missed the boat and are desperate to be a programmer. Get some experience in the job world. Save some money. Think critically about what you want from your career. Then if you still want to make the jump, go ahead. Like I said, computers and the internet are everywhere these days, so it's not going to stop you from learning on your own.
Holy crap, that's quite a rep.
Solar augmented boats could make a major dent in their oil consumption. Rememebr they have very tight margins and panels are now cheap. So, if they can cover say 10% of peak power needs the fraction goes up on slower trips which are common.
Do data scientists do as engineers?
Why not build for POSIX sh, instead? It's more, umm, standard, and can be expected to run on any OS built in the past decade or more. It's equally character-building, if you've been accustomed to building for modern bash (at least, it was for me). I haven't seen an actual Bourne shell in maybe 20 years.
I agree we all struggle but article states their perspective pretty accurately. Ive listened to rural folk long enough to know. Some accurate claims are depiction in media, politicians mocking them, huge poverty left doesnt care about outside welfare availability, and so on. Their politics and capitalism cause a lot of it but not all. They might vote in a better person if people outside Republicans were pushing stuff that appeals to them or treating them with respect. I dont care if the Trump alternative is Democrat or Republican so long as they're better than Trump & appeal to those voters next cycle.
It's a very bad article in a bad journal. If you redefine your language you can claim that time is not real, but they don't provide any experimental support for they idea.

The other articles in the journal are also dubious: For example: https://physicsessays.org/browse-journal-2/product/1539-3-pe...

> "Consequences of the unification in physics. VI. Quantum spectrum of matter and spirit"

> One of the heaviest scientific misunderstandings basing on the erroneous application of the famous Einstein’s equation is the traditional misinterpretation of the electromagnetic spectrum of radiation. Our alternative quantum interpretation of this spectrum is the main topic of the present article.

> Key words: Unified Physics; Electromagnetic Spectrum; Quantum Spectrum of Radiation; Matter-Spirit Quanta; Shield of Life.
Not when you can rent the solar panels for zero down. Then it's just monthly cost X vs monthly cost Y. Remember, our solar prices are based on western installation costs, 3rd world pays less for solar but does not get a discount on Oil.
> I'm a very old timer...and I think people have forgotten that there was a time here in Silicon Valley when it was enough to be someone with programming experience. [snip] Experience and education should be enough - I'm really not clear about why it isn't.

There are people who managed to get a CS (or similar) degree but can't program or problem solve, but manage to get hired at enough places to appear to have experience, but still can't program or problem solve. That's why I interview with a programming programming problem that I hope is at least a little bit interesting.
Hey Flaque, me and my team are working on something tangentially related. Would love to talk to you about it. Can you send me your email id?
"The minute Tesla and others get electric vehicles to have sufficient range and low enough costs, we're going to see demand for oil go into structural decline. "

No, sorry.

People have been predicted 'peak oil' and 'peak demand' since the 1970's.

Even a large number of Tesla's wont change that.

You do realize that there are a few billion 'carless' people in the world who are soon going to become 'cared'?

And they live in places that won't care about CO2, either from a policy or populist perspective?

And that there are a million other uses for oil other than family transportation?

The most salient issues in Aramco's valuation are:

1) Regime volatility: taxes etc. - not only will they change, they could change a lot.

2) Production and price volatility: a lot of geopolitical things go into how much they product, and there are massive shifts in prices over time. Booms and busts - not like most products (think Windows OS, or cars - they don't change that much in price)

3) Horizon: we're having to predict so far out into the future, there's considerable volatility just in that.

4) Cost of Capital leverage volatility: in a world of low interest rates, small changes in cost of capital tend to be amplified. Going from 5% to 10% is similar to 1% to 2%. Since we're in an era of very low interest rates, everything gets magnified and ballooned up.

I actually don't believe that alternative forms of energy production or transportation will make a dent in any of it.

There's so many ways to use Oil, that any drop in price introduces those mechanisms and it ends up becoming valuable again.
You're not being a jerk. I should've put quotes around rational to highlight that this was the common thinking at the time in the field. That was just a extremely example of Prospect Theory. Before this was presented as a better model to understand human behavior, the prevailing theory didn't take into account that humans are even risk averse with gains and more likely to take risks with losses. My main point was that it took psychologists to present a model of man that resembled reality

Cumulative Prospect Theory takes this into account and states that people tend to overweight extreme, but unlikely events, but underweight "average" events, but I digress

I was just trying to show the base irrationality of the human mind. Here's another example. Consider you have two offers for the New York Times:

[A]
$59 – Internet Only Subscription
$125 – Internet and Print Subscription

[B]
$59 – Internet Only Subscription
$125 – Print Only Subscription
$125 – Internet and Print Subscription

Both offers are the same, with the exception of including the “print only” subscription in Offer A. Despite the fact that not a single person chose that unattractive offer, its impact was dramatic – In a study, 62% more subjects chose the combined print and Internet offer, and predicted revenue jumped 43%. The print-only offer was the decoy, and served to make the combined offer look like a better value. This is called decoy marketing and is only one of an arsenal of tools that is used to take advantage of the irrational mind. You'll see this everywhere so it pays to identify it.
Ask HN: Are you planning to buy new Nokia 3310?
Checking the hype - Are you really going to dump your smartphones and buy Nokia 3310? If yes, why so?
OPEC does not exist anymore. There is no more real coordination. As a bloc it is basically defunct.
> one that incorporates an independent, statistically rigorous confirmation of a researcher's central hypothesis. We call this large confirmatory study a preclinical trial. These would be more formal and rigorous than the typical preclinical testing conducted in academic labs, and would adopt many practices of a clinical trial.

As you can see above and from your quotation (and like many other folks who come in to save the day), this article is heavy on plans and short on who is going to do the work. Of course I support papers where every single experiment doesn't have to play p < 0.05 games, but other parts of the article wander in other directions. That's all I'm reacting to.
The US is about 25% of the world economy and shrinking fast.

Same for Europe.

EU + US are about 1 Billion of 7.5 Billion people on the planet, many of whom don't have cars, but are about to be able to afford them ...
Mouse-based design. Not ideal for me on a mobile phone where I have no mouse!
> As a positive point, all the females in our cohort got dev jobs, including the only one who actually failed the class. Startups are pretty aware of the gender discrepancy and actively looking to hire those with double x chromosomes. Not complaining about affirmative action, just wanted to give you as full picture as possible

You should be complaining! Especially given the rest of your story.

This kind of thing is such bull shit.

Before you down-vote me: a man passed and now works at Trader Joe's; a woman failed and got a software engineering role.

Reverse those genders, and if you're outraged, have a think about whether you should still be down-voting me.
Your argument is nonsensical. Your scenarios have differences in risk. Transferring risk from one party to another is the entire basis of our financial system. To assume risk is irrelevant in step one is to fundamentally misunderstand how economic decision making works.
Right after the launch in Utah. :)
Craftsman's pride. I am very proud of how my systems function and how flexible
they are, especially compared to the state I inherited.