skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Go watch some pre-election videos of literally any news channel talking about the "path to 270". There are some incredible delusions at play. They could not separate their own feelings and desires from the work.

I agree with this entirely (assuming you are talking generally, not about 538 specifically). There were people in the GJP Superforecasting project giving Clinton 98% chance of the win 2 months out, which in a 2-person race is just ridiculous (There were people giving Trump that as well, but a lot less of them).

How did you come to this 50/50 prediction though? I can't find the report now, but I believe that Trump data science team gave him a 35% chance of winning, and that was only in the last 10 days of the campaign (they gave him much less prior to that).

To go from the 28%/35% (538/Trump Team) range to 50% seems a pretty big jump.

I haven't done the maths, but to make it a 50/50 doesn't that mean polls in Michigan etc would have had to be around 10% incorrect (to give him sufficient margin to make it that sure)?

That seems a pretty big difference to what the error actually was.
He was expecting to be paid the same as his colleagues and the industry standard. That sounds like a fair expectation, irrespective of the percentage raise that implied.
I can sleep a lot better tonight having read this thread of thoughts after some of the awfulness I just read over at reddit.

With this issue there is a remarkable degree of misinformation, as well as fascist ideology supporting the the surveillance state. These neverending, unechecked powers undermine civil rights and allow human rights abuses to go continue. And it's all wrapped in this package of 'a good liberal just supporting the good guys like Obama and Hillary that evil Assange is trying to destroy.' Assange is far from perfect, but I cannot understand how people do not fight back in solidarity with outrage against human and civil rights abuses.
Really, it's ok, you can call her "she"! It's not going to hurt you, and it'll help trans people everywhere feel a little less shitty reading this website.
Every bit of the leak was about mass surveillance--how could it not have to do with privacy concerns?

The "in bed with Russia" thing is just a smear. No one has produced any evidence of this, and it's really hard to make it match up with how everything unfolded.
I'm confused. In this context, what is "stealing a cup", and how does that "affect the flavor of the brew"?
Please don't rewrite history. Manning may be a woman today, but was unquestionably a man at the time of the leak.
Hence, 'HE acted', not 'she'.
I'm surprised there are no comments here, this is the best thing I've seen on HN in a while.
AI identifies profitable stocks with a +90% accuracy
This is neat. I would flip the payment to the applicant as that is the common practice with landlord applications in the US.
I would probably agree that "money doesn't motivate people past a certain point"...except when the cost of housing goes up every year. It is not like the extra money most people seek is more and more vacation money -- most are just trying to keep up with rents.
The headline is not wrong, it is 2.2.0.

The reason is there was apparently an earlier attempt some time ago to release a v2, but it didn't go through at the time: https://twitter.com/TheLarkInn/status/821451320137748481
That is a very good question, and one that I wish more people would ask and consider the implications.

I don't know the answer to that question; I think most economists would tell you that you cannot and you should not try.

Many people talk about "job creation", but a lot of what we hear about job creation is political mumbo jumbo tax reduction bullshit.

Here are a few things that may help job creation from a political or government point of view:

1. Municipalities, State, and the Federal government should rationalize their requirements for starting and running a business. The US is already much better about this than other countries, but reducing bureaucratic friction is always good. This doesn't mean less government, it means smarter government.

2. One quick hit job creator is government infrastructure spending. The US did this after 2008, and so far it's turned out pretty well!

3. In the future there may be fewer jobs. Society needs to start seriously considering localized post-scarcity economies.
Dronerise: gradually, then suddenly
You write that as if the US is the only economy that tries to shave prices to the lowest possible. Look where most of the electronics in the world are produced, or where most of the textiles are processed. Same with shoes. Pressure to reduce production costs is a continual factor in worldwide capitalism.
Ask HN: Converting a Slideshow to a Website?
I have an old PPT, now converted to Google Slides and slightly edited and I have set up a BlogSpot site to move it to. But I am running into real problems with moving graphics, figuring out how best to convey the information, etc.

The slideshow is probably super bad (even after today's edits). I have had it for about 14 years and the project began in 2001. I can't see what I need to do different. I probably need to do a lot of things different.

I am interested in whatever feedback I can get. I had a previous website where I just linked to the slideshow and I don't think that worked all that well. I would like the content to be properly published on the web. Copying and pasting is absolutely not working (it does not bring over any of the graphics, formatting, etc).

Thanks.
Textmate is great. That being said, I would LOVE to use the same editor on all of my computers/OSes. In order to do so, I need one editor to support Windows, Mac, and Linux.
I assumed it was in the study, but in real life there would be many suffering the negatives of both.
I'm already using Vivaldi, hopefully the mail client will be good. Vivaldi isn't as fast as Opera was, but the web isn't what it used to be either...
I am completely against AMP and personally have zero plans to learn and implement it. That may come back and bite me in the ass, but that's my current stance.
The other stuff is rustc's metadata.
How to Play Videos with DVDFab Media Player
> How much time do you think someone on active duty in Iraq has to sort through data?

You've clearly never been deployed. You have more free time than you know what to do with.

Think about what you do when you get off shift at your job. Now remember that you have no family or friends that aren't also co-workers to hang out with. No alcohol, limited access to new movies and video games. You are also stuck within the confines of whatever base you're assigned to. If you're lucky there might be a one-screen movie theater or an internet café. You might even be able to get severely bandwidth-capped satellite internet in your tent/third-of-a-trailer-shared-with-a-roommate that you call your room.

Despite what you want to believe about Manning, lack of time was no excuse for indiscriminate leaking of sensitive information that honestly and truly put lives at risk.
Being motivated and not quitting are very different things. I like the work I do, and I work hard at it. However, other places have interesting problems too, and if I could find a place that pays me more than I make now, I'd jump.
That is an opinion piece at one of the Washington Post's blogs, the Volokh Conspiracy, it is not a news article. Furthermore, the blog authors are not Post employees and they are editorially independent from the rest of the newspaper.
Ask HN: Is it wrong to reuse previous company projects that I developed?
I have a new company that has a requirements very similar to a feature I developed in my previous companies? Is it morally wrong to reuse the piece of code again on my current project?
I wonder why tree shaking is so ineffective. Is that because any symbol could be accessed dynamically at runtime?
"Many of them are already rich" -- I think lots of behaviors change once someone is rich. You can choose what to work on, you can walk away from bad situations. I dont think the behaviors of the rich apply to the non-rich.
It was catastrophic because despotism fought back and (mostly) won. But that doesn't mean the uprisings or the actions leading to it were wrong or futile. It's a long road.
Diplomacy is a lot less interesting and less nefarious than you seem to believe.

About 95% of it, yes. But if the other 5% were so profoundly uninteresting then people wouldn't be talking about how "embarrassing" and "damaging" it was to have it released.
I think the parent was talking Vivaldi, not Brave.
It's not a pejorative.

It really kind of is actually. It's an implication that the output was garbage, and it clearly wasn't.
It's written in rpython; I don't understand why it couldn't be competitive with the jvm.
Tree shaking is a big one. A big pain-point with large libraries like React-Bootstrap and React-Router is that if you're not careful you can end up importing a bunch of stuff you don't want.
I'm still meditating on the advice given. Perhaps a moment of silence for a fallen comrade...
I skimmed the comments in this thread, searching for references to "he" or "they" (and the instance of "guy" I found) in reference to Manning. I found 3 "he", 1 "guy", and one "they". All were downvoted, two of them flagged dead. Admittedly this isn't comprehensive: there are currently over 500 comments. This doesn't include discussion of the use of "they" in general, or reflection on the use of "they" when the gender is unknown. Given that people regardless of whether you think it's reasonable or not have not come to a universal consensus on this issue, I think it's understandable to have civil discussion on this, which it nearly wholly has been.
is it really that important for a non-emacs client to support 100% of org's features?

You can still always open complicated org files in emacs if you really need to, but that shouldn't stop people from attempting to develop a lighter client alternative that's more convenient for the browser or mobile, for example.

Even just using a subset of orgs features, it can still be significantly more powerful than just plain old markdown. Most of my org notes would be ok to edit with nothing more complicated than the labels+tags+checkboxes+tables features. Would be mildly annoying to manually update a few things here and there, but it'd still be far better than nothing.
If women want to be treated as equals, they need to be prepared to serve the same sentences a man would get for the same crime.
https://github.com/Valloric/YouCompleteMe

YouCompleteMe for vim, although it relies on python so may not be portable. I took a quick stab at building one in pure vimscript and a process in vim 8 and it seemed very doable.
I'm with you there - I was more talking about the trust that needs to exist that the (official) binary distributor really is following through on their claims about privacy or security.
> The WD Red drives are expressly for NAS usage.

Oh, I was thinking about the cheaper Seagate "Archive" drives which have really slow write speed because of that shingled technology.

> Reduced performance for a few days or a week isn't a huge deal for me.

It could be a huge deal when another drive fails during that week while the array is rebuilding. But if you have more hot spares it's no big deal.
That's your opinion. I'm a woman, with XX chromosomes, and I'm not so sure. Can "black" be "white" because someone says so?
So, You're Starting a Design Studio?
HP just bought a $1B startup for $650M
Biological sex is immutable. Whatever mutilations you have done to yourself notwithstanding.

http://www.cnsnews.com/blog/michael-w-chapman/johns-hopkins-...
TL;DR

So, can I run Kibana against OKlog?

Totally agree on the separation of concerns: visualization vs storage and management.
Yes, there is no wrong side. I'm not even directly commenting on the product itself. I'm merely expressing an alternative viewpoint that doesn't get discussed much around here. The view that often times, technology solves one problem and creates two more in its place.

Notes are supposed to be brief records to _aid memory_, not critically important documents. For this purpose, pen and paper should be good enough in my point of view. For anything more serious, I would absolutely agree that "longevity, portability, and privacy" are much more important. However, for this use case I don't believe technology adds very much value. Depends on your definition of a "note" I guess.
Watson does not offer anything more than you can get from popular, free open-source projects, and often it offers much less, because it is complex, costly and closed-source. Nobody looks to Watson for the state of the art in AI.
The Truth About Interviewing
Thanks for your contribution. How can one report usability bugs?
Ask HN: Why do I run outdoors?
Note: Not intending to be boastful, but genuinely curious.

I just love running outdoors. I don't run any marathons, nor I do I believe in charity runs. I don't run for health reasons, nor getting into shape, nor weight loss (am in a great shape, not much fat weighing about 140 lbs consistent). I don't run for sleep (I sleep 8-10 hrs/day even otherwise). I don't run for appetite (I am fairly disciplined 3 times/day). About 3 years go, I was advised not to run by a general physician due to knee damage, but I still run. I run outdoors mostly on asphalt, but I don't care if it's concrete, mud or sand. I mostly run by myself, and do not wear any headphones/music. I run when it rains, or when it shines. With just the same "half-naked fakir" dressing. In fact, I love running in the rain. I run when it's cold (coldest 35F), and when its damn hot (hottest 102F). I run when I am at home during holidays, or when I am at work. I run when I am in BA or when I travel. I don't run to "get away" from my work, nor do I do that to alleviate stress. I don't run for pride (haven't advertised until this post). Finally, I am not surrounded by any marathon runners.

I learnt life's perseverance lesson from running.

I run 3-4 days, and clock about 10-15 miles per week. I run about 9-10 mi/min pace. Every week, every season, and every year for the past 5 years. That's a lot of running -- 2500 miles altogether. And I would like to know why I do that! :) Wondering if there are others who feel the same way?

About 4 years back, I remember associating not running with poor overall body energy mentally. And I don't remember the pain anymore, nor do I have the problem now. Don't mistake me, I love running and would continue to do so. However, it would be much more enriching to know why I do what I do.
>Identity theft is a nuisance caused by large companies trying to dodge responsibility for negligence onto the public.

That's one way of looking at it.

>The failure mode is that your credit rating is damaged, not that all of your money ends up irrecoverably belonging to some guy in Russia – and you have legal means to solve these problems.

That's great and all but your identity is still stolen and your credit can never be fully trusted. In the case of Bitcoin the law clearly hasn't caught up with the tech, it will eventually as gov realizes they're not getting their taxes.

>Fewer people could afford them but 80s PCs were incredibly useful – things like VisiCalc and WordStar transformed offices, the gaming industry had grown enough to support multiple dedicated studios, etc. People were willing to pay large amounts of money to own a PC precisely because it had real tangible value.

Lots of people decried PCs as fads, the internet was a fad, smartphones were a fad. Believe it or not credit cards were declared a fad at one point.

>Other than paying off ransomware, what can an adopter do with BitCoin which is significantly harder / impossible now?

Send money to anyone on earth with an internet connection, for anything you want, fast with low fees.
Startups can "ship" many times before anyone notices. Big companies (like Apple) can do private user testing.

You will know when your product is great because users will have an unmistakable reaction. It's the difference between "oh, that sounds interesting" and "shut up and take my money!"
Purely out of curiosity - what do you find remarkably bad about Apple Notes?

For context, I use Apple Notes frequently but not regularly (~100 notes over four years) and suspect my use is not heavy enough to uncover limitations.
This seems like the closest thing to describing a thing I sometimes experience, that I call a "glitch" or a "reboot". It feels like there's just a momentary… zap, or something. Maybe akin to pressing the degauss button on a CRT. Just a split-second interruption in normal processing, usually accompanied by a brief popping sound and/or sensory zap. It's hard to explain.
I feel like I just got content-market'd. They get me every time!
nvim-langserver-shim internally uses an older version of https://github.com/prabirshrestha/vim-lsp
I'm hoping in couple of weeks vim-lsp will be stable and so that I can start contributing to nvim-langserver-shim. Currently I'm developing vim-lsp independently.

It already works asynchronously in neovim and vim on windows, mac and linux. You can follow up with the discussion at https://github.com/neovim/neovim/issues/5522 (you can see some of the progress in thread in gifs)
I don't think that this means that we have to labor in the shadows. Typically people notice pretty well who is competent, who puts in effort and who actually gets work done. In a healthy organization that also will get acknowledged organically in all kinds of ways. High performers will be asked for help by others, people insist that they will be invited to meetings or that their opinion will be asked on certain matters.
We shouldn't be afraid of praise but of awkwardly praising a subset of people in a all hands meeting where we might miss people who did good work and now will feel that their work isn't acknowledged. This also easily gets political. You have one manager who judges their employees wrong and their reports who did questionable work get praised at the all hands. Maybe they were recommended for praise although there manager knew they didn't really deserve it but needed done if their reports to also be mentioned.
It frequently also leads to a hero coder culture. Someone who stays up all night and implements a feature that management wants really badly in a hard to maintain and buggy fashion will get praised at all hands. People who end up fixing the mess won't. Very frustrating for people who fixed it. Obviously this will kick off a feedback cycle leading to more and more all nighters producing crappy code.
It depends on the terms of your contract with that company.

If that company owns the work you did, then you have no rights to it.

If the company does not exist, it may be another story, but you should check to be sure, because if previous owners can claim rights, it could ruin any fruits the project bears for you.

Here's a hint: once you develop something once - you can do it 3x faster and 2x better the second time around - from scratch.

Remember that most of coding is 'figuring things out' - i.e. architecture, which apis to use, the requirements.

If you know exactly what you need to do and how to do it - you're 80% of the way there.

Just re-write it - it will be much better, and you save yourself any possible legal or moral issues.
I don't know, you tell me how much of this you believe:

https://www.fastcompany.com/3065339/mind-and-machine/can-ibm...

> A doctor reads about a half dozen medical research papers in a month, Meyerson says, whereas Watson can read a half million in about 15 seconds. From that, machine learning (one of the key types of artificial intelligence today) can suggest diagnoses and the most promising course of treatment.
I disagree. Elasticsearch itself is doing most of the heavy lifting. Kibana is developed in sync with Elasticsearch so that it always has the ability to use most of the features of Elasticsearch.

The nice visualization methods are a direct result of the aggregation abilities of Elasticsearch
I've started/participated in two podcast projects. One was recordings of a series of RPG sessions that was never published. And the other was an informational, science-type podcast. I learned it's very difficult to be spontaneous and keep up a conversation especially with more than 3 people. Also if someone says they'll do all the sound mixing be skeptical.
Yes. I was animating an SVG path's scale from small to beyond full screen (zoom effect) and Chrome for Android struggled with frame rate. I just pulled that particular element out of the mo.js Tween handling since its movement was simple and put it into a CSS3 transition. Things went back to normal after that and I had a deadline to meet so I didn't really go back and dig into exactly why.
"unsubstantively" = demonstrable political bunkering by the children around here. the ban is heartbreaking.
Just wanted to tell you how impressed I was with Pixie. Thanks for taking the time to write it.
It's incentives. The true benefit to the company comes when people can make mistakes and learn from them. But often, the forces on management are not in alignment. Imagine Manager Mark has a direct report, Ryan, commit a big and public error. And then 1.5 years later Ryan commits another public error.

"What kind of Mickey Mouse show is Manager Mark running over there?" asks colleague Claire, "Isn't that guy Ryan the same one that screwed up the TPS reports last year?"

On the other hand, if Mark fires Ryan, then mark is a decisive manager. Even if the total number of major errors is higher, then still there will not be a risk of letting being known as a manager that let's people screw up multiple times.
Part of the issue as I see it (for me, unrelated to the article), is that companies are willing to use the data scientist term for positions that need none of the rigor you mention. However, the people were hired and are now called a data scientist.

The same type of thing seems to happen in other fields, too. Software engineers who don't engineer, data scientists who don't 'science', project managers who don't manage. Are they top in their field? No, they somehow have a job with the title though and so far have managed to not become unemployable. Do they care if they are rigorous in what their title is expected to be by top practitioners? Probably not, they get paid still and have the title, and can probably get hired at the next similar place.

Kind of sad that these positions may 'cheapen' the title, so what can be done about that? Not much I guess, since companies can use position titles as they'd like it seems...
The article indicated an inheritance, thus likely a family member?
I always liked the concept of rethink db and I tried to get started with it a couple of times but in the end I just wanted to get my project(s) out of the door as quickly as possible.

This to me explains the massive success and quick rise of things like redis, mongodb etc. Sure the defaults are insecure but they work and they work immediately.
I think the major thing this post fails to emphasize is how the CEO and other executives/managers interact. I would specifically ask:

1.) Tell me about a situation where you disagreed with your team, but trusted them and was convinced.
2.) Tell me about another one of those. (There's always one canned answer)

In other words: Who can tell the CEO "No" and do they know when to listen and when to push. If the CEO doesn't know how to do that well, I think the company is doomed, and it's incredibly hard to do well.
What is depression?