skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Unless you're extremely well capitalised, you'll be ruined by variance. If you can predict stock movements with 50.1% accuracy, you have a potentially profitable trading strategy. To make meaningful profits, you need a massive reserve of cash behind you. If you're right 50.1% of the time, you're still wrong 49.9% of the time. The wins and losses won't be evenly distributed.

Poker is much the same, on a smaller scale. A professional player can turn consistent profits in the long run, but there's a huge amount of variance; they might have a mean hourly profit of $200, with a standard deviation of +/-$2000. You need a huge amount of capital to absorb that variance without going bust.
With meta-modeling you can build an ensemble (single model) that beats any individual model. This should also have less variance (See Breiman's Bagging Predictors). I'm saying that even if there is a super talent on Numerai, one should still use, say, 0.95 to 0.05 weights, to "hedge your bets" and improve accuracy. With enough competitors, it becomes near impossible for a single agent to beat all the others combined.

Kaggle competitions also see this. https://www.boozallen.com/content/dam/boozallen/documents/20... [page 93] shows a graph where a simple average of the top models in a competition gives an ensemble model with higher accuracy than any of the individual competitors.

I think that is largely the beauty of Numerai. Using adversarial agents to build a "collaborative" model. Disclaimer: Won a few bitcoin on Numerai.
I agree, and I'm sure that the stagnancy of the plain old terminal is behind this and other modern takes on terminal emulation.

I personally prefer that the terminal delegate just about everything besides I/O to plugins or extensions, so Hyper is probably out of the picture for me. That being said, my current terminal of choice (urxvt) doesn't do much on that front either. I hope that other terminal emulator projects pay attention to the development here and adopt the best innovations.
higher purpose = species survival over individual survival.

That's why genomes have features in place which, for individuals, can suck -- senescence and cancer being the top 2.

See also conatus https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conatus, a philosophical property whereby a thing tends to improve.
But I think Johnson is effectively acting as a compromise
candidate: a lot of Clinton voters really hate Trump and a
lot of Trump voters really hate Clinton, enough that they'd
both prefer Johnson over the other candidate, even if they
don't actually know much about him, or even mildly dislike
him.

That, and a lot of people were voting less for the man and more for an independent ticket. And not even with the expectation that it would pay off in this election, but that it would encourage more (and more mainstream) third-party candidates to run in the future.
I wouldn't say "blows them away", but apparently, customer service is generally bad enough that these things often provoke a pleasantly surprised reaction:

1. Make it clear that solving their problem is paramount. Not your policies, not getting off the phone ASAP. Sometimes it's something you can help them with directly with your product, sometimes you can't, but just treating them like a person you want to help instead of someone to hang up on is apparently unusual. (This is also a good fit for a lot of the techie folks on HN.)

2. Send a handwritten note. My handwriting is terrible, practically illegible, but people like that I took the time to write to them with pen & paper. Ironically, I didn't do this for a long time, because I thought it would look cheesy, but I gave it a shot and realized I like the little bit of gratitude it brings into my day-- that's really why I do it.
The brevity of Twitter is not at fault. The whole purpose of their account there seems to be to editorialize the leaks. It's clearly more than just an announcement channel of new releases for people "to come to their own conclusions". They tweet conclusions supported, sometimes incorrectly, with links.
At Graphistry, we help investigate & correlate events, initially for security logs. E.g., Splunk & Sumo centralize data and expose grep + bar charts, then we add visual graph analytics that surfaces entities, events, & how they connect/correlate. "It started here, then went there, ..." . We currently do basic ML for clustering / dimensionality reduction, where the focus is on exposing many search hits more sanely.

Also, some GPU goodness for 10-100X visual scale, and now we're working on investigation automation on top :)
I didn't ask you to repeat yourself, I asked for evidence confirming what you said.
Was that bug, now another bug?

CloudFront is your friend. :-)
It's a hard problem to determine the repeat purchase cadence of a product. At one end of the bell curve you have items re-purchased frequently, e.g. diapers or grocery, and on the other end you have items that are rarely repurchased.

I haven't looked at coffee tables specifically, but I know when I've looked at home products in the past I've been surprised at how frequently people will buy two large items, e.g. TVs or furniture, within a short period. That said, I agree there is room for improvement here. We're constantly running experiments to improve the customer experience, I have faith that in the limit things will improve. Again, we have no shortage of experimental power so if you'd like to join in the experimentation let me know :)
The Forgotten Black Women Mathematicians Who Helped Send Astronauts to Space
I have a CRS125-24G-1S-RM switch and love it.
Unlike Angular 1 -> Angular 2, React Fiber will be fully backwards compatible with the current React.
The Hitachi SuperH is patent free and is being reimplemented as an open project (http://0pf.org/about-ocf.html).
Congrats on being able to do that. How do you manage? I only take one day a week and I find that it always quite drains me.
How to Write an Engineering Blog Post
Tell us what company you run. So that way all of us know to avoid it like the plague, for the extremely anti-employee mindset you have.
I don't understand who's actually against all the common sense changes? Are people really that conservative? Is congress and state legislators more conservative than the electorate?

Surely the average US voter has to see the obvious benefits of a ranked/runoff system over the current one? If they do - how can the laws not be passed (even constitutional changes should be within reach).
I'm excited because that would still be better than the terminals currently available for Windows.
If you also play video games, then just get one of the new Nvidia Pascal chips and install it in your home PC. Dual-boot Windows / Linux. Which card to get? Bigger is better but it also depends on your wallet.
s/high-consuming/high IQ/

Yes it does. Idiocracy is a far-future documentary, not a comedy. We absolutely need to encourage the highly intelligent to breed.
not at all liked by the people it claims to report on

That's rich considering the popularity of conservatives books with titles like 'Liberalism is a mental disease' and 'Liberal fascism.'

How about Victoria (2014) by William S. Lind? There's a good conservative author for you. I would recommend everyone interested in politics to become familiar with his ideas.
spankalee@

Likely needs an A or a CNAME record.
How funny - I used to fly from Kinloss and Lossie as a cadet. It's a '87 110, in beautiful slightly weathered nick as it used to be someone else's expedition vehicle - chassis goes ping, not thud, engine runs smooth and burns less oil than expected, snorkelled up etc. gators on the steering joints and chrome balls. Need a winch, hi-lift and all that jazz, and we hit the road in May next. If anything I'm having to resist going overboard, as the last road trip (that month of freedom from the digital shackles five years back) was in a merc 190e, and it covered the 8000 miles to Kyrgyzstan, even if the exhaust system and "sump guard" (plastic excuse for) didn't!
I'm late - but that is actually called dynamic remarketing. You look at a certain category of item and then see ads (on amazon or off-site) for other items in that same category. If you actually bought the coffee table on a different device/browser/anywhere else.. then you'll see those ads for a while because they can't recognize that you actually made the purchase already.
It may be a clean design (IANAL, but don't think so) but wouldn't stop ARM from suing you to stop.
In essence, they are the same thing, but Darwinists won't admit this because "religion". Heck, just bringing up the thought got you downvoted.
Ok there are some warning signs here.

First, bagged decision trees are a little hard to interpret; what is the advantage of a bagged model vs the plain trees? Are you using a simple majority vote for combination? What are the variances between the different bootstraps?

Second - what do you mean by 95% ? Do you mean that out of 99999 good parts 4999 are thrown away? and one bad one is picked out as bad ?

Third - what is this telling you about your process? Do you have a theory that has evolved from the stats that tells you why parts are failing? This is the real test for me.. If the ML is telling you where it is going wrong (even if it's unavoidable/too expensive to solve) then you've got something real.

Unfortunately my concern would be that as it stands.. you might find that in production your classifier doesn't perform as well as it did in test... My worry has been generated by the fact that this same thing has happened to me !

Several times...
Mmm... maybe I was not clear.

I like how html/css work for build the UI, but wish not to use node at all. Also, exist a engine more light and fast than webkit?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elsevier

Wasn't that hard, was it?
My personal picks as I continue to try to understand global economic trends since the 1980's through the prism of the 2008-crash:

The Global Minotaur: America, Europe and the Future of the Global Economy by Yanis Varoufakis [1]

The Price of Inequality: How Today's Divided Society Endangers Our Future By Stiglitz, Joseph E. [2]

The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War by Robert J. Gordon [3]

1. https://www.amazon.com/Global-Minotaur-America-Economic-Cont...

2. https://www.amazon.com/Price-Inequality-Divided-Society-Enda...

3. https://www.amazon.com/Rise-Fall-American-Growth-Princeton/d...
Voting methods are mostly set state by state, as I understand it. (I'm pretty ignorant about politics.) Some states, like California, allow powerful ballot propositions. Thus you could get a change like this on the ballot, starting in a few states, without going through the major parties. In California it doesn't even seem that wild to hope the parties would support the change: in recent years it changed to "open primaries", and I think it'd be rational for the D's and R's to want approval voting in the primary. You get experience with it and it starts to become thinkable elsewhere.

Or start using it in nongovernmental orgs, and likewise gain experience and familiarity.
Here’s what those cameras see when you drive on the Mass. Pike
I'm about 25% of the way through Strangers.

The negative review you've given seems to be a content-free screed: most of what the writer criticizes is fairly innocuous phrasing (e.g. "my Tea Party friends" rather than "my friends"). The only substantive point is the claim that she lumps people into overly broad categories, but honestly, I've yet to see that. Do you have any sources that dislike the book and point out flaws in her analysis?
Additionally there are safer, usually reasonable, ways to deal with what would otherwise be breaking changes. Give the changed functionality a different name, create a new namespace/module without the removed functionality, or create a new library if you have introduced something fundamentally different (e.g., w.r.t. how you interact with it). That way your users can choose to refactor their code to use the change, rather than discover their expectations no longer match reality when they upgrade.
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the big motivation for small size seems to be shaving the time spent on parsing the js. Is there any reason this can't be parceled off to a background worker, and using the main thread only for rendering?
What would the chip do once it got to the star? Seems pretty useless without a power source, transmitter and an antenna.
3 parties would take up position around some population center, with some differentiation, but not too much. Probably they each move to the center of mass of the third of the population they represent, except that there's some incentive to be a little centrist of that to try and poach marginal voters from the other two parties. If a party moves too far out from center, centrist voters on their margins defect to the other two parties. I'm not sure what the penalty for being 'too centrist' is.
It's clearly one of Heinlein's worse books and perhaps his very worst. Many of Heinlein's novels had... quirks. But Farnham's Freehold was just bad.
It sounds like a simple PID loop would be sufficient to solve this problem. You have a control valve and an error signal. No need for anything more complicated.
Entrepreneurship ApP of the year
Creativity INC is one of the best books I have ever read on creativity and I have read a lot to know how much most of them really suck.

It has the added bonus of providing an alternative biography of Steve Jobs which in itself is interesting.

It's much more than a story about Pixar. It's a great insight into some of the very problems you deal with as you build and try to maintain a culture.

I can't recommend it enough.

If you want a peek into the books content Ed Catmul did a great talk at Standford.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhzXNJumqpo
I missed the university entry requirements for CS in my mathematics qualification, so I was offered a place at the university to do EE instead, which I accepted.
The simulation argument is the same notion as Anselm's Ontological Argument.
Beat advice is to prep for being a 45 year old developer.
> I'm perplexed by your examples (1) and (2) since the article doesn't actually discuss loaning to defaulting black people in any way shape or form.

It's an example. The article mentions calculating recidivism rates to determine parole, which is a similar problem if you prefer that one.

> But what "separate term" would you consider to be more appropriate to describe ML systems' tendency to generate results unrepresentative of wider reality as a result of the characteristics of the subset it's trained on or inadequacies in its specification, which is what the article actually discusses?

Most of the examples in the article have nothing to do with "bias" and are really the principal-agent problem. Misalignment of incentives.

Some website wants to maximize clicks rather than act in the user's interest, they create a machine to maximize clicks, the machine maximizes clicks. It's doing what they wanted it to do -- it's just not doing what you wanted it to do.

This category of problem has almost nothing to do with ML in particular. It's like identifying that charlatans often wear cotton and writing an article on the link between cotton and charlatans.
Resolve simple merge conflicts on GitHub
> Two-party system encourages both parties to move towards the centre.

Either the center has shifted on the total spectrum, or this statement isn't backed by reality. At least in the US, both major parties are moving towards the right and moving towards authoritarian positions.
> Both general relativity and quantum mechanics seem to suggest that time is not perfectly linear (GR) and not perfectly crisp or perfectly clearly delineated (QM)

Neither QM nor GR admit retrocausality. Even interactions that look time-inverted still don't let you send information back in time.

I'm also not sure I agree with the idea that QM says anything is not "clearly delineated". Uncertainty relations in QM are less interesting statements than most people seem to think. It's not a matter of nature being inexact or something, it's just the fact that most physical operators don't share the same eigenstates. E.g. You wouldn't say a standing wave is "moving at x m/s" (because it's standing still), while on the other hand you wouldn't say "the wavelength of this point is k" (because points don't have wavelengths). But standing waves have wavelengths and point particles have velocities. Nothing in this description suggests to me that nature itself is inexact. It might be, but vanilla QM doesn't require it to be.
Unfortunately, "support for most platforms" tends to result in the kind of user experience that I described above. There's something comedic about millions of lines of compiled Chromium failing to handle the Control modifier on Linux.

I can't really blame them (Linux, like every nix, does something unique at the tty level that breaks reasonable assumptions), and I'm sure it'll get a lot worse once they try to run their JS bindings over the pty/tty subsystem of something like Solaris.
Do you think it's reasonable that conversations like this are fine on HN, but anytime I bring up Christian thought on the matter I am pressured to "not talk religion"?

Wrestling with these top shelf Maslow's questions like "why am I/we here?", "what is the meaning of life" and other big life questions are common among all of us. So why the willingness to conjecture that (we live in a simulation | aliens may have seeded life on earth | evolution has a purpose) yet outright reject any religious discussion?
"Companies that can't afford this will be at a market disadvantage"

I disagree entirely that this "disadvantage" is enough for them to worry or care. If the disadvantage was real, you'd see more companies sacrificing profits to do it.

"The most American thing about America is "it's a free country". That means that unless there is a vast social cost with allowing a certain behavior, it should be legal and people should be allowed to prosper or fail on the basis of their own choices rather than governmental policy that states "we know what's best for you"."

That statement ignores an awful lot about reality.
I agree. However, do you think we would start to see a wave of parents just having kids to freeload for a while? Should any and every business pay for maternal leave? Is it covered by insurance? I just see a bit of a cobra effect lying in the shadows with this one.
TLDR: Because it was either that or shutting down (either completely, or with such a massive downsize that it would have been effectively the same thing).

I'd be interested to know what he did get out of the deal. Sold for "south of $40M" and with the statement, "He’s not leaving Pebble as a wealthy man."
Pretty sure part of the point they were conveying was the irritation with society willing to do things for 'think of the children' but not willing to extend those same things to those in basically the same situation but who are not children.

So no, it could not be made by choosing words that would not offend your delicate sensibilities.
That said, Elsevier really do take some risks to publish rather good publications. I've met with them in the past and they are very keen on technical authors.

That was eight years ago, maybe things have changed but they still represent a certain quality in my mind. Them with Addison Wesley in the early 90's.

Sorry to hear there are some issues though. Hopefully they will read the thread and make any necessary adjustments, the owners were very nice people.
The point is that there is no optimized cuDNN equivalent for AMD hardware at this point.
Senate Quietly Passes the “Countering Disinformation and Propaganda Act”
For more colour, I have 4x AP Pro and 2 X POE switch and their gateway. The key was just logical as it can be plugged into the POE port and done.

I have tried to remove having servers running at home as I am working to cut down on the power bill. I have the Intel Compute Stick on the 3 TVs that run Windows 10 and Kodi (I am to lazy to figure out how to get Linux on the stick). They sleep when not in use (well one does, have not figured the other 2 out - you would think they would behave the same). The only thing I have running all the time is my FreeNAS system and a Minecraft server (friends and family). I am thinking about replacing the Minecraft server with a compute stick also. It is currently an old dual code PC with 4GB of RAM. I am sure that the power draw it stupidly high.
Thanks for letting us know. btw we also offer our service as an on-prem solution so ping me and we can get you setup if you prefer that.
Hedge funds do not want to run afoul of the SEC rules on marketing. Even though these rules were relaxed in 2013, the risk of revocation is there. http://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/why-arent-hedge-f...

I bet they show potential investors their returns. But to the public? That may be both iffy and unnecessary.
I'd love to see this for a "real" project - running 60 lines of code per request is a bit different than calling many different services across the AWS architecture.
I very much believe evolution has a higher purpose. Nothing alive would exist if it didn't. It's not nice, though... [1]

Unfortunately, whether it's just physics, a simulation, or aliens, it's bad news in every case, and I don't see myself relating to the view that evolution is beautiful or has any interest whatsoever in moral progress anytime soon.

[1] http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/08/17/the-goddess-of-everythi...
Indeed, they somehow managed to resolve the Innovator's Dilemma. As such, they really are worth studying. No doubt there are MBA programs with Microsoft case studies.
Now, it would. But I think things were much different in the early days of Facebook. That's not to excuse Uber's current or recently current behavior.
What exactly is preventing someone from doing a big switch? Pure coordination problem?

Are there a lot of academics who would be against moving over?
Am I the only one that saw this and immediately thought "mining cryptocurrency"? :)
I'm pretty happy with my Lenovo X1 Carbon 4th gen that I bought back in May. it seems to be about the same price as the HP when you beef up the SSD drive and the RAM. My Lenovo is 1440p at 14", but I'm typically scaling the display to 125%.

But that battery life the reviewer claims he's getting on that HP is pretty incredible. I forget what Lenovo claimed mine was, but Chrome is a battery drainer from hell, and I'm sure Visual Studio is too.
Your wiki link ("conatus") suffers from selection bias. We're only likely to see things that are stable.
Hah. I generally respect Robert Wright, but man you can set your watch to him taking time to shit on Stephen Jay Gould in whatever he writes.