skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Polls aren't predictions (some people draw predictions from polls, but those are different from polls.)

They, particularly, don't even in theory sample the universe of "people who are actually going to vote", the sample registered voters or some model of likely voters. Those are known (to anyone who has more than a casual understanding of political polling) sources of nonsampling error when treating polls as a measure of the actual vote, since the universe sampled is different than the universe of interest, and there was particularly a lot of publicly-aired certainty about the utility of backward-looking likely voters models in this election.

I don't think there is a particular problem with the polls so much as with people's (including, unfortunately, many of the people talking about polls in the media) understanding of what polls measure.

To the extent there was an epic fuck up, it was in poll-based predictions that the effects of these type of things are correlated across states, so they gave Trump a near-certainty of winning. (Better predictors, like 538, had Trump an underdog but with a sizable likelihood of winning -- you can't say a 70%/30% chance is wrong given that the result is the one given a 30% chance is the one that materializes.)
Casinos enable gambling Addicts in the same way that legalized weed enables drug addicts.
Babel 6.19.0 released
Scifi has always been a source of "what-if" predictions, warning us of potential failure modes of new technologies. (As Larry Niven said, it's not enough to predict the car, you have to predict the traffic jam.) It's not surprising that we didn't heed every warning.
If there is only one desktop user and their only session is locked, then yes. On a multi user workstation the current behavior--initiating new adapter--may be preferred.
The materials cars are made of today vs 50 years ago are much safer.
Ask HN: What's the cheapest/best VPS provider for an email server?
I'm looking for a place to run an instance of Mail in a box (https://github.com/freedatafound/mailinabox). Where do you think is the best place to host it?
Introduction to Node and Express – JavaScript Scene
Can someone link to a synopsis describing what "COM" is? It's hard to search for. (e.g. microsoft com visual studio)
Can you explain what you mean? I haven't seen the video.
When they found new evidence relevant to the Clinton case.
As it stands, the situation was "we found some emails of the husband of the aide of a person we investigated". That's not directly relevant to the investigation in any way, and it's not evidence of wrongdoing. They drastically jumped the gun by publically linking it as they did.

At an absolute minimum they should have waited until they knew there was some data both relevant to the investigation and not previously known to the FBI. They should probably also have made sure the evidence implied wrongdoing, out of concern of influencing the election.

This is exactly what Comey was told by the Justice Department, his subordinates, and pretty much everyone else.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/30/us/politics/comey-clinton-...
This of course is a very bad situation.
I give you an upvote for that.

But I think the idea is clear and you are needlessly discussing over one word instead of focusing on how this could happen.

(Yes, I don't like Trump but I think we - at least Europeans - should respect Americans and their choice.)
One could argue that news papers already did a good enough job of leaking things about trump, like the audio tape.

I recall that first day of the DNC leaks. The top article on HN was how several US news paper had gone and removed articles about the DNC leaks, with comments that linked to screenshots with before and after shot. The question that I would bring up is if that explains why the DNC leak was first published on wikileaks, while the trump tapes wasn't.
I set up a US bank account on a visit to the US that my employer pays into.
I then use OzForex to transfer to my Australian savings account.

Remember, it's not just the wire transfer fee that you pay when you use a bank. You are always going to be charged for the actual exchange rate conversion too.

I believe Transferwise / OzForex are the lowest rates you can get.
I can't imagine how much great software KDE could produce with another 50k, let alone 500k, in corporate sponsorship. It has fewer developers with a broader reach than Gnome and an even older legacy.

Just a really easy example is how they now have the Kirigami UI framework, and they released their software store redone in it a few months back (Discover) but the man hours and work required to port more of the collection to that toolkit would be immense. And even Discover is missing a lot of polish since its primarily a demo product at this point.

Throw another 10 developers in there (at 50k a pop?), and all those complaints about "it looks like Windows" with toolbars and dropdowns would be abated.
This is really cool! Having to manage functions manually is actually the reason I avoid using them for the most part. Exciting!
He could simply pull back the curtain or sign a document with the private key to quell skeptics who have become increasingly vocal since his internet was severed over a month ago. But that assumes that calming paranoid people down is high on Assange's list of priorities, and that assumption alone is pretty heroic.

If your conspiracy theory involves Swedish prosecutors, Ecuadorean embassy staff and Assange's legal team all conspiring not to notice that he's not around to take their interviews or phone calls and doesn't involve public statements released in Assange's name looking any different to his usual output, it's not a very good one
> That's a huge assumption. There's no real indication that people would stop using Windows if Office existed in Linux.

Except for basically every thread I've seen about switching to Linux, where people say the only reason they won't switch is because they still want to use Office and Photoshop.

>If that were the case, then porting Office to OS X would've had a similar effect, don't you think?

No. Cost is a major reason people don't switch to OS X. But Linux is free.

> Ultimately I believe the reason Microsoft doesn't bother porting to Linux is that the market-share is just not worth the cost of re-writing for another platform, and keeping it updated.

That is a good point. But as I said, unless they port their main product to Linux, how can they claim to be cooperating when the ONE product that most people agree is a very good MS product is not available natively on Linux?
Technical Cheatsheet: 5 days to your own Website
They have Jon Skeet, this is enough, at least to attract more c# developers.
But that C/C++ code you're calling still needs to be compiled to native code. The GP was referring to .NET CIL (bytecode) supporting (by design) a large subset of C/C++ semantics.

The GP wants to avoid shipping N different binaries for N platforms in cases where the C/C++ code being called isn't already on the platforms.

I haven't used Managed C++ and I'm fuzzy on the details, but my understanding is that a fairly large subset of C/C++ can be efficiently compiled to .NET CIL. (Of course, the class loader for untrusted security contexts will refuse to load classes that use the type-unsafe/memory-unsafe portions of .NET CIL, just like the Java classloader for untrusted applets won't load classes making arbitrary JNI calls.)
It's stated in the only english text of the "proof":

>If the set of primes is ﬁnite

All conclusions are true when your premise is false:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Truth_table#Logical_implicatio...

"the set of primes is finite"?

What is "the set of primes" ??????
Can you elaborate on what you think the down-votes prove?

I'm unaware of any additional data that gets communicated to a poster when they get down-voted.
The same "experts" that fell for the Clinton campaign's forced meme that pepe posters were all nazis? That SPLC?
>There exists significantly better technical evidence of Russian involvement available to the public.

Could you share?
The Heartbreaking Stories Behind Prison Inmates' Art
Google has infiltrated the Trump FTC transision team for Hilary
Is this an advertisement for black mirror? All I see is one intro paragraph bashing Trump and then a summary of popular episodes. Nice stealth advertisement.
But I'm pressing down on the screen with my finger. Physically.

Or am I not touching the button? That seems weird considering my finger is literally on the button.
If it wasn't clear I am agreeing with you.
> When would it have been alright for the FBI to release the update? If they waited until after the election, the other side would accuse them of covering it up—appropriately so.

The FBI's and Justice Department's long-standing rules on the issue are: 1) Never discuss ongoing investigations; and 2) take great care to never say anything that will at all affect an election.

So while your question is an interesting one, the FBI has two clear, long-standing answers and rules, and they violated them.
I like React a lot, but boy. That file size is getting pretty large:

http://elijahmanor.com/react-file-size/

Looks to be around 45KB gzipped now, to say nothing of the parse time. It's becoming a pretty huge dependency and I wonder how much of it 90% of projects really use. Personally, I've been getting along just fine with Preact, which matches a lot of the API and is just 3KB gzipped:

https://preactjs.com
> Playing nice has its reward in the long term.

Being put on a registry because of your religion isn't a reward, and historically that kind of thing has been followed by extermination. I absolutely will not play nice.
Adobe Ordered to Pay $1M Over 2013 Mega Breach
Half of HN front page today is Microsoft, .NET, Visual Studio, Connect.
I think this is a very important point. If you want to think wisely about the future, remember this: You're dead.

I'm not trying to be morbid. That's the one thing about the future that you can be sure of. If your approach for thinking about the future doesn't include that, you're not being very wise.
IBM's 1960 Project – TACT(Technical Automated Compatibility Testing)
Free Graphics Software Vectr 1.4 Launched
Yea, the only reason I ever pay attention to reach is when I have ads that are converting and I want to try and expand them. Reach tells me if I can just increase the budget/bid or if I'll need to find a new audience.
Classifications are also dependent on the capabilities of the language they are expressed in: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linguistic_relativity
I fail to see the connection to Trump, frankly. The world over, people are getting sick of elitists, oligarchs, and a crony system that is impoverishing them while making hollow promises. It's all very obvious why these nascent populist movements have come about. Only the hard left doesn't get it.
Here's an interesting academic paper that explains in detail the "virtual reel", "near miss" and other techniques that slot machines use to boost their appeal:
http://stoppredatorygambling.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/...
Why Whale Q & A app should not be compared to Quora
I'm excited but it errors out for me on the Java installer failing to open a DMG it downloaded. Seems odd that it requires Java at all…
I don't think this strategy would work anymore on these fields. Microsoft does not have dominant market share in cloud, server operating systems, development platforms or databases and it does not look like they could gain it. The dominating position is key for the embrace, extended, extinguish because that's the way to push your own stuff to market.

I believe Microsoft is doing these moves, because they have decided that the old business model where all products are required to support the sales of each other is too risky. It served them well, but now there are too many good alternatives on many areas. If Azure does not support Linux, customers are not going to migrate to Windows because of that, they just pick another cloud. The old way was risky, because it meant that if customers moved away from Windows, they also had to move away from .NET and SQL Server.
Show HN: #CrissCross- Naive AI Enabled Tic-Tac-Toe Game
That's really just a custom with a clever name. Try searching for "san francisco king" sized sheets anywhere.
Towards Green Aviation with Python at Petascale
The FDA is a joke then. So any greedy business man can fake the data or some of the data and just send it to the FDA for approval?
Top 16 Machine Learning, Data Mining and NLP Books
Of course people can draw incorrect conclusions from true facts. But since neither you nor I know the exact truth, we'll never know for sure which party is the one drawing the incorrect conclusions.

In this case it sounds like the NSA has several assumptions:

A. That Trump winning was worse than Clinton

B. That what Russian state-actors do is somehow more "bad" than what American state-actors do

C. That the people of America should be prevented from knowing certain things that "us smarter people in power" can handle, so that they vote for the person "We know is best."

C is pretty scary when you think about it. And I for one, certainly don't trust the militaristically-minded never-tried-marijuana lets-do-polygraph tap-everything-and-ask-questions-later people at our acronym agencies to be more objective judges of long-term good than the average citizen.

Let's (humans) work on stopping asteroids and climate change rather than fight over lines on maps.
I think it's foolish to believe someone, who lied to you before, only based on words. I agree, people come and go, but if you are "new blood" you can only do so much.

But I not against Microsoft in particular. They are rich and powerful. It would be good, if they are really good guys now. I give them a chance to prove themselves. But i don't expect much.

>what actual actions could they take that would cause you to change your mind about them?

Maybe start making good products? What more can they do? And going back to "new blood" point again, do you think noone in Visual Studio devteam noticed that uninstallation taking 20 minutes? I'm 100% sure that there is guy who did, but he just cannot do anything. He have no power to change things. "It's working now somehow, so don't even think about touching it." And everything is like that at Microsoft.

And that whole telemetry stuff in win10. Every single option (telemetry/internet search/ads etc) is turned off, yet i open up wireshark and still see it calling home every time i type something in start menu. It's like they don't respect me and think that i'm stupid. Why it has to be this way?

"We are different now, but we are still the same." And nothing has changed. Pretty sad.
> death to magSafe

I have constantly had problems with the MagSafe adapter and am glad to see it go. If you're working on a table at a coffee shop and have papers next to your 15" rMBP, the cord hangs over the edge and doesn't stay on after a few months of adapter use. A new adapter fixes the problem.

I've had laptops, Thinkpads from 1999 to 2011, and I have never had a problem that the MagSafe tries to prevent.
I wouldn't say "reeling" I would say "rejoicing"--we are desperate to get back any semblance of regular people having control over the levers of power in the US. ANY SEMBLANCE.
Wow. Do you have references?
A bad argument for what? I'm responding to a guy who said that git is harder to learn than UNIX and that teams new to version control should prefer CVS over git.
I don't think that's a fair analogy at all. Care to expand on it?
Care to justify that opinion?
Well it could certainly be more ideal, but how you could achieve a better situation would require rearchitecting a significant chunk of the US healthcare system.

I'm personally in favor of publicly funding drug research and open sourcing the results, but fat chance that'll happen anytime soon.
Hi nice idea! I'm mostly a DB guy and I also face this kind of challenges because I'll soon need to share my pg codebase over different servers.

Until now I was more investigating the native extension mechanism of PostgreSQL: https://www.postgresql.org/docs/current/static/extend-extens.... But I totally get that a more ad-hoc and versatile solution can be more fitted.

Don't be to rude because it's really minimalist, I actually just published this afternoon my first tiny test on GitHub here : https://github.com/MarHoff/Test

So i definitively had to say Hi there ;)
An Interview with Liam Craver
Thanks for the explanation, that's what I guessed -- which has both good & bad aspects. The good is the flexibility, the bad is that:

> If those bytes happen to be Debian 8 with some AMD driver that supports the 9300, awesome ;).

happens to support might alone not be enough given how much difficulties AMD has been having. I just hope that there will be enough customer demand for their SPFlop cruncher GPUs for interested parties -- including Google -- to pitch and contribute to their ROCm stack.
Gun owners say the same thing--registration leads to confiscation. Somehow, their cries are ignored.
Media plays an unforgivable role in convincing people that the world is becoming more unsafe. In fact, cars, equipment and most public places are safer than ever, but the media is able to reach an ever bigger audience with every sensationalist title about an exceptional event.

I come from a formerly communist eastern European country where, before the fall of communism, media was tightly controlled and censored. We had more road fatalities than now with only 1/10 the amount of cars, much more work-related injuries, a significantly worse and lower-tech medical care, political prisoners tortured in God knows what ways. Yet, most people who are old enough to remember it feel nostalgic about that period and constantly say "look at the news nowadays".
I used Mercurial very briefly just to evaluate it; it's fine. I'm criticizing git. And i'm also saying DVCS in general is more complicated than the most typical use case of VCS.

Using Git for everything is like riding a bicycle with four derailleurs to pick up milk from the corner store. Granted, this is what I do right now; just because some technology is complicated or annoying doesn't mean I don't use it. But I wouldn't recommend it to others.
> Has the NSA ever offered evidence ...

Generally, intelligence agencies do not provide evidence or any other indication of their sources or tools. Law enforcement is different.
The only powerful institution engaging the type of widespread dehumanization that gets people on registries right now is the mainstream media. And it's getting a free pass to do so.

I'd proiritize a little better imo.
You can go to Tehran & North Korea, just need to apply for a visa.
From a shareholder and advertiser's perspective, Snapchat was already hitting viewership parity with tv's most popular shows nearly 2 years ago. 30% of millenials are on Snapchat, one of the most expensive demographics to reach through television. Like it or hate it, Snapchat hit critical mass a long time ago.

Snapchat vs. Television - https://gigaom.com/2015/02/24/snapchats-our-stories-are-gene...

Pretty Up-to-date Metrics - http://expandedramblings.com/index.php/snapchat-statistics/
The great purge on twitter has begun. http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2016/11/15/twitter-s...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Component_Object_Model
I get the same error. So the service is basically useless for me ATM as I'm not going to give up my dataclips..
Point well-made.

That conjures a novel image for 2150.
Tizen .NET Developer Preview
Ahh it is now :)
Wouldn't the union only be composed of the same colleagues who were resigned to 'hushed mutterings in corners' and laughed at the grandparent poster for 'being on some kind of moral high horse'?

A better approach might be to have a consumer advocacy organization/site that allows devs to anonymously leak and publicly shame the bad practices of their employers. Somewhat like the proliferate Business Software Alliance ads that used to say, "If your employer is using pirated software, report them in confidence at ~place. If we catch them, you'll get a reward".
> it just produces waste, one way or another.

It does, but it might be the least wasteful way to do it.

Manufacturing a modular machine is more costly than a single integrated board. If almost nobody exploits the modularity then all those connectors are wasted. A few million unneeded connectors traded off against a few hundred upgraded laptops is not a good deal.

I like upgradability, but most people don't care, and the economics and environmental impact are dominated by most people.
Late but:

Kudos to you.

The reason I dislike AGPL is the confusion around it (I think I have seen it interpreted as both 1. Same as GPL only for web apps and 2. You must buy an exception or everything that ever communicates with it is also AGPL.)
I think Black Mirror is a terrible ham-fisted show. The assertion by the article that real life is coming close to the worlds of black mirror is ridiculous.
He may have lied to the bank about his income and credit history. Addicts tend to do that kind of thing. Before 2008, it was trivially easy to get away with it.
Samsung Launches Visual Studio Tools for Tizen Preview – Build Apps with .NET
Yeah, COM and .NET are notoriously tough to Google because of their similarity to TLDs!

I believe that .NET binaries, at least on Windows, are actually built atop COM but I'm not sure. Been a while since I've cared =)

COM = Component Object Model.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Component_Object_Model
com is a windows technology for IPC. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Component_Object_Model
tried it, does not work I'm afraid...
The vast majority of the kernel code is a massive number of drivers and subsystems that can be worked on independendly.

A better funded Linux Foundation could also invest in better tooling (better compilers, better test rigs), and in research on speculative improvements to pretty much every subsystem.
No, the FDA is staffed by myriad professionals in biotech and drug testing and any number of relevant fields. They pour over the methodology, the results, and ensure that the study was conducted accurately and appropriately.

We have these regulatory agencies for a reason. The FDA is in fact far stricter about drug testing and approval than the EU is.
In case anyone ever reads that, too late for me to edit but:
file 2&>1 | mail -S
...should be:
file 2&>1 || mail -S
...or more likely the wrapped "if" mentioned.
It is also a stupid strategy.

60m people, many in counties that voted for Obama twice... And the left wants to call them all racists and bigots because they weren't as motivated by LGBT and gender issues compared to supporting free speech (fuck safe spaces), avoiding more neocon foreign policy (Syria, Yemen), and blocking free form globalization?

Good luck. There was once a time when democrats led the charge on these issues. WTF happened?