skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Although numerai could control for some of the factors that you mention above, I'm pretty sure they are falling into the data-mining fallacy that most people do when they approach quantitative trading from the outside world. I completely agree with your skepticism of their approach.

While prediction based on data may be valuable in some cases, it isn't robust enough to scale up in any meaningful way. Context matters, like you state above, and most quantitative traders start by taking their contextual knowledge of the markets, and then collecting data on features, and THEN they fit a model to it.

Skipping these steps is only going to lead to a bunch of blowups. I doubt they have any meaningful sharpe that they could scale up or publicly defend with the approach they have taken so far. I'd guess they are paying people VC dollars, not actual market profits right now.

I do think its cool that they have been able to use homomorphic encryption to solve the problem of wanting anonymize data, but I'm not sure it actually helps in this case.
Great simple idea, even as just a "find my phone button"
The statement "More wisdom potentially gets extracted when you apply Statistics to more (and better) data, but the analysis itself doesn’t improve with better data." simply isn't true. A hierarchical model, for example, is increasingly able to model subgroups and additional levels of hierarchy as more data are added. Penalized regression (or Bayesian regression) is another example -- the model is structurally different as you change the quantity of data.

The difference between ML and statistics is entirely semantic. Is logistic regression a ML method or a statistical method? It is both!
> Thiel's support for Trump exceeds the norms of our politics and of civil debate. Thiel is not a typical Trump supporter.

But is this really so? That Thiel has the means to donate one million dollars while others must settle for lawn signs shouldn't determine how much ire we direct his way. You seem to be saying that having preference for a candidate is one thing but advocating and encouraging other people to have a similar preference is beyond the pale. Yet one seems a logical and natural consequence of the other.

Also I'm a little suspicious of DHH's intentions in his tweets to Graham (later picked up by Pinboard). Not that it negates the point he's making but it appears to be a long-standing vendetta masquerading as sanctimony: https://mobile.twitter.com/search?q=from%3Adhh+to%3Apaulg

This is going to be my last comment. Too much politics is bad for you ;) Thanks for the alternative POV.
Would you say this strategy was a good way to go from zero customers to a foundation on which you could then use more effective ways to continue to grow? Can you offer some insight in why you think your early ad campaign was effective and how to go about doing this? Thanks!
> if you choose a library to implement some on-disk format, then that can cement things in. If the library becomes unsupported one very well may end up maintaining it alone, for example.

But, presumably, you used that specific format because you needed it. So, it makes sense that you take it over if it gets abandoned.

If the problem is that you didn't need that specific format, then you should rip it out completely when (and only when) that library becomes unsupported.
If you look at any marketing funnel, the first hurdle is awareness. Getting people aware of a saas product is very difficult. Getting them to try it is even harder.

Having the blog provided both a vehicle to get the target market aware, and the credibility that the product is worth trying. It's really smart to be an active member of a community, and then provide services to the community. It's also very difficult, and takes a lot of effort. I think the post you responded to is someone who understands the amount of work you had to put into your blog to make it successful.

I don't think this is a negative, but a really good take away for new entrepreneurs.

- How will you market and sell your product?
The "If you build it, they will come" tactic doesn't work.

- How do you know it's a problem people want solved?

- How do you know your solution adequately solves the problem ?

Your approach answered all these questions and you got to work on something you're passionate about.

Congrats on the success!
Not saying it's the same or that anyone should be fired for their beliefs etc, but YC has taken some political stances in the past. https://techcrunch.com/2011/12/22/paul-graham-sopa-supportin...
YC does not (to my knowledge) have a corporate position on the presidential race - I'd welcome any citations where a YC partner, speaking in an official capacity, endorses one of the current presidential candidates. When they have taken corporate political positions, it's usually been narrowly defined, in support of specific legislation that affects the tech industry (eg. anti-SOPA, anti-software-patents, pro-immigration).

The vast majority of YC partners' personal positions are strongly pro-Clinton. You can see that just by following sama, paulg, or paultoo on Twitter.
I was thinking something like using the SMS channel which, IIUC, was originally for carrying solely control information and ergo is a side-channel; more in the telecoms sense than the crypto sense. Yes, perhaps "covert channel" would be better.

Do you have any response to the substantive point or just quibbles on the semantics.
Miranda: Right to remain silent.
How do the people with the pollution-damaged health or property then get justice or cause those "repercussions"? Is libertarianism then ultimately grounded upon tort law? Is the idea to have a corps of free or low-cost lawyers constantly ready to sue polluters to cease and desist and pay restitution to the harmed?
I skipped over voice as a possibility because of the "look like a doofus in public" factor.
I ran my first startup with Jason 15 years ago. Since then, he's gone on to do some amazing things and seeing him on HN today makes me realize:

1) how lucky I was to work with him for those 2 years.
2) how small our industry is.

Congrats Jason on the well deserved success.
Just a heads up, your SSL cert expired last November.
I read it as yours being exactly the view he disliked; that his lack of published research papers did not correspond to any lack of his doing research.
The most interesting takeaway for me is this: [...] The best quality of a Design today is how well it can be undesigned [...]

Aiming for design that's easy to refactor and/or replace bolsters application longevity at the expense of code longevity. I like that. It's like the ecosystem longevity is achieved at the expense of the longevity of individual organisms...

Now then, who has ideas, or best practices or even just anecdotes? I'm eager to hear those!

For my part, I follow design philosophy that revolves around persistent data structures. My code is supposed to be just an accessory to the data. I don't think I'm explaining this well, it's just where I put all my focus on. Another principle is to try capturing users intent rather than the outcome of users actions. This way I can redo the code that detived outcome from actions and fix some the earlier erroneous behavior.
Yes, I think Thiel's enabling of Trump is materially different than a normal voter's support of Trump.

I understand the concern people would have about DHH and Maciej's opposition to Paul Graham. But DHH and Maciej aren't the only people that have this concern. They happen in this instance to be right.

Thanks for the civil disagreement!
The geomantic figures (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geomantic_figures) can also represent 4 bit values. Unfortunately they aren't in unicode either. The Ba gua (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bagua) are, but can only represent 3 bits per symbol.
There's a reason why nobody with credibility is claiming the primary was rigged

And that reason is elementary game theory. The only people with incentives to claim that the Democratic primaries were rigged are those who will be left with no political influence if the Democrats fare poorly.

When the Republicans do well, it's because they value party unity over literally everything else. One of HRC's strengths is that she brings the same thinking to the Democrats. For anyone within the party, working against her carries no conceivable upside. And as we've seen in DWS's case, working for HRC means you'll be well taken care of, no matter what.

Basically, if Sanders or anyone else on the left has beef with the DNC, they will be much better off if they wait to bring it up until after the election. And maybe not even then.
Not modern software, just bad software, written by Java developers.

Not everyone thinks or codes like this, and those that don't are not all greybeards.
Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners. On the lighter side there is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reminiscences_of_a_Stock_Opera... (especially good is its discussion of bucket shops—many swindles that exist today existed back then too). Also, look through Matt Levine's blog to see if he recommends anything. There are also other suggestions here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1447438 I'd second tptacek's recommendations in that thread, including Shiller's Yale course (it's on youtube).
Everyone who voted for Bill Clinton and who now is about to vote for Hillary Clinton supported sexual predator and are supporting a person who at the very best enabled, vigorously defended and comforted a sexual predator for years. They are completely fine with that. I guess you'd agree all these people have to "face consequences" too and the consequences should be the same?

You personally are not strongarming anyone. You are trying to organize others in hope you can strongarm YC into pushing out Thiel. So far you have very little success, it is true. That does not make the motives of the deed or its goal more noble.
Let's agree to disagree that something needs to change. Also, as I said in my previous comment - I object to form AND substance. His form is so vile that it catches attention, but his substance is equally lacking.
I read several articles about this in the news before I learned that "no one is talking about it" - go figure.
Agree wholeheartedly - this smacks of the repeated mistake that most template tools make which is trying to do language logic inside.

The whole point of JSX is that it isnt a template language and is just a wrapper around objects with properties.
How a facial recognition mismatch can ruin your life
It was a top post on https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/578ags/us_launch...
I've heard the Dell XPS is the best if you're looking to run Linux.
This was over 10 years ago.
That's because Elm does not output JavaScript in the standardized format for Closure.
It is of course more exciting to be working on revolutionary science than normal science—but I wonder if normal science seems worse than it needs to be just because it's more susceptible to a kind of bureaucratic watering down—e.g. like pushing participants to sacrifice quality in their work for publishability, as you mention.
The word partner is in his job title. From my perspective, this looks like the worst kind of weasely quibbling.

The broader point is that Thiel does not come home from a hard day's work at the bit mines, counting on the YC paycheck to get him through the next payday. He's your business partner, however construed.
Sweden had such a tax. What happened?
I guess I don't understand. Part-time is a modifier on the nature of the partnership, isn't it? It's different than being a full-time partner, but wouldn't it be a subset of "partner"?
A Harmony in Living: Happy families are indeed all alike (2011)
The US has been at war in Yemen for years.
That style was old before Elm. Elm does it rather well tho
Hello, it's the face behind the bot :). As some of you have guessed, I wrote an automatic summarizer to provide a little more context to hn articles because I often find myself wanting to know a little more before clicking the link.

It makes sense that the HN community would want to push for reading the full article and against tldr culture. This was just a fun little side project I built yesterday, and I’ll be thinking about that and any other feedback I receive before making improvements. Thanks for your comments!
Here's context for anyone having a hard time following on Twitter:

https://storify.com/gkoberger/dhh-yc

Paul Graham (@paulg) = former head of YC
David Heinemeier Hansson (@dhh) = creator of basecamp/rails
Sam Altman (@sama) = current head of YC
Peter Thiel (@peterthiel) = part-time parter at YC, well-known investor, current Trump surrogate who just donated $1.25MM
I am totally lost on your pollution point. Can you elaborate ?What repercussions are there for the polluter?
Strongest possible recommendation for Sean's Set 8. You'll never look at elliptic curves the same way again.
I was addressing your question of how it would affect you, the small, retail investor. Ultimately, any FTT would increase prices of almost every good and service in the economy (oil is traded many times before getting to the pump, debt is perpetually issued to fund capital expenditures, mortgages are resold many times to allocate risk effectively, etc.) You're right in believing that it would disrupt HFT, and that is the intention of the tax. However, my contention is that HFT is, on the whole, beneficial for the financial system, as it improves liquidity and price discovery.

Additionally, 0.001% is still larger than you think it is. 0.01% is a unit called a 'basis point'. Many markets (like interest rates and foreign exchange) operate in fractions of a basis point.

Also, please reread my previous comment more thoroughly. When I refer to market makers, many (especially in equities) are HFT. You, the retail investor, would immediately see the cost of purchasing stocks increase with a FTT. It would also take longer to execute a trade with fewer market makers (the middlemen you are unknowingly trading with) to provide liquidity on the market.
It's not blaming anything on one party, two people made a baby, two people have to pay. Why should either party get to just say, "No thanks"? Again, pregnancy is a known potential complication of sex, and both parties knew that going in.
So your SEO strategy was(is) website copy? Anything else, like "link building" or sth else?

Or if you want to answer in another way, how many hours a week/month/year does that SEO work take, before one sees the results you are talking about?

edit. you expanded your answer while I was typing. it seems you are mostly talking about on page and technical SEO, which doesn't sound like it takes that much time.
Unfortunately, nobody who was involved with creating these still works for NCC.
> 2. Decentralized protocols have not aged well(TCP/IP, SMTP), have deep security flaws and have proven difficult to upgrade. This has created new centralization pressures to cope with the security flaws(Gmail, Cloudflare)

Wrong, the reason centralization happened was profit. You can’t make profit with a decentralized protocol. And that’s exactly why we need more of them.

Companies trying to turn the internet into a for-profit thing are the worst possible outcome.
> Along virtually every axis you can come up with, Thiel's support for Trump exceeds the norms of our politics and of civil debate

I don't see any shred of evidence for this. Donating money for a preferred candidate is completely normal for "our politics". Moreover, many establishments and persons donate money to both parties and sometimes even for both candidates. It's not only within the boundaries of normal, it is dead in the center of it - it's one of the most common things people do to support the candidate. Making it as if he did some outrageous thing that nobody ever does is completely disingenuous. He did the most normal thing everybody does.

> But they have to at least pay consistent lip service to the things they claim to believe.

That wouldn't be freedom of speech and freedom of political association, per chance?
I think we pretty much have all the context we need on Trump, Thiel's views towards Trump, pg and sama's views of the Trump situation, Thiel's role at YC. It's all public information. Everybody should be able to express judgment on YC's way forward at this point.
If a voter's reaction to anger with a failed system is to shoot themselves in the foot with a pistol they've had laying around since '89, I'm going to stick with the "mindless" appellation.
What utter rubbish. I just spend 5 days in a French village, literally last week. And I didn't see a single invader killing , looting, or raping anyone or anything. All I saw was a lot of good people leading a happy and peaceful life.
A fringe candidate who advocates for war crimes and dismantling the democratic institutions of America. I think you're giving Trump too much of a pass here.
We wrote to @_jacksmith (via DM on Twitter), he posts something to PH every day and has many followers + a streamlined product submission.

Also 400+ points on HN brought 10x more visitors than being #5 on PH.
> Don't lie with dogs. Don't take money from Andreessen if you think Snowden was a hero. Don't continue to partner with Thiel after he continues to support Trump after revelations of sexual predation put to rest that any of this is just folksy bluntness.

This is just silly. For most people, even the most angelic, ideal political figure has done things and made decisions that people can credibly consider to be "evil". If someone from Code Pink told me that Hillary Clinton's consistent, unwarranted hawkishness meant that she had the blood of 100s of thousands on her hands and was irredeemable, I'm not convinced I could mount a credible defense of her actions (again, I think you could find such a decision for most politicians). The idea that I should fire every Hillary supporter because of this is beyond ridiculous (and it's hardly a slam-dunk case that hundreds of thousands dead in (e.g.) Iraq is a lesser sin that whatever Andreesen and Trump have done).

To be clear, I'm not endorsing the above point of view, but rather pointing out how doomed to collapse your model of the world is. Punishing people for supporting political figures who you think are irredeemable is disgusting, and it's insane to me that it's not immediately obvious to you that this is a weapon that can be pointed in every direction.
"By 1990, more than 50% of all Swedish trading had moved to London." - Wikipedia. But the Swedish tax was 10x higher and Sweden didn't have large stock markets.
The problem is that we're not exchanging freedom for security, we're exchanging freedom for the empty promise of security and the reality of a police state.

I'm still calling "mindless".
? Who are the large numbers of people you speak of, who decided perceived "safety and security" are more desirable than freedom? Far as I can tell the general public had no say in the legislation, and the legislatures who pushed through the Patriot Act reassured their constituents that the abuses we're witnessing were not under the realm of possibility. Meanwhile the Feds techniques of warrant-less intervention and forced entry of suspects phone have yet to yield measurable results.

The general public is mindless to the extent of surveillance and the aggregation of that data, the vast majority are certainly unaware of the possible unintended consequences of wanton disregard for the 3rd, 4th and 5th amendments. Only a third of Americans can even name all three branches of government, to believe they're informed on matters they don't understand on a technical or philosophical level is badly overestimating the American Public.
I think you highlight an important issue. I had an impression from the interview that he talks about going for years publishing nothing with considerable amount of braggadocio. The question is, what did he do all these years? If he pursued ambitious and risky avenues of research that didn't pan out, then he has all the rights to brag, as that's what tenured academics are supposed to do in theory (but still he would do everyone a favor by writing up some of that stuff). If, OTOH, he just decided to coast after doing some excellent work, then I am much less sympathetic.

Contemporary academia may be obsessed with publishing, but there is some middle ground between that and publishing a paper every 6 years. A certain webcomic comes to mind: http://www.smbc-comics.com/?id=2495
Or maybe the lesson is to develop a following first before developing a product. The music blog didn't happen by random chance, and his overall approach seems better than developing a product and hoping for a following.
(Note: I've only been observing the situation from the sidelines, as an armchair economist. I have no skin in the game.)

1) The exchange rates are screwed. It's hard to get hard currency (Euros, Dollars) on the open market, as that goes through the government. Right now, I believe that 1000 bolivars roughly goes for 1 dollar on the black market, although the other commenter can correct me.

There are two official exchange rates, one for 10 bolivars for one dollar. That rate you need government connections to get. (It's only for "essential goods" like flour and such) The other I think is about 600 bolivars for a dollar.

So if you've saved up 100k in bolivars, all of a sudden it's only worth 1k american dollars when before it was worth like 70k. Venezuela is the only place where your currency has value, no other country would bother taking your notes.

2) What place will take you?

Especially if you don't have any valued skills. To emigrate to another country requires a lot of paperwork and money. I don't think you can simply claim refugee status cause you're from Venezuela (yet).

Basically, if you're a farmer or former middle class worker without foreign currency holdings or connections, you're stuck. Columbia doesn't want a huge influx of unskilled labor, neither does Brazil or the United States.
We've always been at war with Eurasia.
Since shares (and other securities) would be more thinly traded, wouldn't a tax like this significantly reduce overall liquidity and increase volatility?
I got stumped on this when trying to generate the finite fields for RSA in order to solve 1.7 and then getting discouraged. I'm not sure how deep to go on coding up solutions for these, as a lot of libraries will do most of the work for you but then you're not learning much. I guess go as deep as you can and then back off when it's untenable.
So I'm I right in thinking that there is a call to 'punish' some people due to their (albeit unpopular with many) political views? That doesn't seem very progressive or civilised...undemocratic even.
>>The person who has to carry the child to term gets the final say

>You're talking out of both sides of your mouth. You don't have to carry the child to term, at least in the states or most western countries. You choose to carry the child to term.

Either you misunderstood what I said, or you think that there is something to be gained from harping on semantics. Either way... no thanks.

>>Don't. Screw.

>Have you spoken to teenagers or remember what that was like? They're still not fully formed human beings, under the influence of raging hormones. Don't expect old heads on young shoulders.

Life isn't fair, and sometimes what you do as a teenager has long-term consequences, like having a child, or having to provide for a child. I have to say though, that in general this conversation does not seem to center around the impulsive choices of children, for the obvious reasons you've outlined. The usual way I see this issue framed is:

Condom broke.
-or-
"Conniving" woman poked a hole in the condom.

Neither implies reckless teenage abandon.