skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I'm getting really sick of hearing programmers tell me about the efficient market hypothesis as if it is some very hard rule, like big O notation.

The market is not efficient. Full stop. Stop telling me that I'm not going to beat the market. I beat the market all the time. In 2007 I was telling everyone I know that the housing market was about to burst. I sold all of my family investing company's stocks (except for Apple) and I moved everything into money markets / bank accounts. Bought back in during 2009, road the wave up until about last year I started feeling a bit skiddish and sold off not everything, but many things. I routinely pick individual stocks, like Apple, Telsa, Amazon, Bitcoin; that I know are better. Apple: iPhone is better. I don't care if some analyst at Goldman knew this before me 90% of the public was still talking about how Blackberry had a keyboard. Telsa: the physics made sense, plus Elon had that Silicon Valley-ness to him. Amazon I knew would win with AWS and the whole "ecommerce is a bear" thing. Bitcoin: People like drugs and buying things online, bought in at $4 a coin, have since sold almost all of it.

It is actually really easy if you are smart enough to be a programmer to beat the market. Just make sure you understand the domain you are in really well, and be cautious of overall trends in the economy. I've averaged 18% year over year returns with a diversified portfolio (yes, more than a quarter of that is bonds or and another quarter is super low risk dividend companies like consumer staples).

"Survivorship bias" I hear you say.

Maybe there should be this other word "suvivorship bias bias" where one is incapable of having their view of the efficient market hypothesis challenged because this is the only thing that comes to mind when they talk to someone about investing.

There are ways to do better than the S&P 500. Patrick is right about one thing though, you won't pick winning stocks from reading the newspaper but you might miss a 2008/2009 if you read The Economist instead of Time Magazine.

http://www.tradersnarrative.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/03/a...

http://img.timeinc.net/time/images/covers/pacific/2005/20050...
You're confusing different things. Hatch Waxman does not extend the patent term for orphan drugs. It allows the patent term at the time of FDA approval to be extended to account for unusual approval delays, but only up to the point there is 14 years left post-approval. That has nothing to do with extending the patent term for modifications to the drug, as you state above. As to orphan drugs, Hatch Waxman does not extend patent protection. It provides a period of FDA exclusivity by preventing the filing of a new ANDA application. That provision has nothing to do with Epipen.

As for Shkreli--he's an asshole, but it makes no sense to focus narrowly on isolated abuses. Does FDA exclusivity for orphan drugs make up a non-negligible percent of healthcare spending (I think the answer is no)? If not than its just rage-bait, not something that we should base policy judgments on.

The big problem here is that manufacturers of generics have almost zero ability to invest in even minimal R&D. So they won't take an out-of-patent drug and use it to treat a long-tail disease. The orphan drug program is limited to diseases affecting less than 200,000 Americans. In the decade before Hatch-Waxmen, only 10 such drugs came to market. Since then, 400 have. So is it reasonable to judge the whole program by the Shkreli example?
There are IETF drafts actively being worked on for DNS over DTLS:

https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/draft-ietf-dprive-dnsodtls/

https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/draft-ietf-dprive-dtls-and-...
If only one person stepped up to run the project (which is my impression from another thread), it's not very likely someone would suddenly fork it now. Especially since this changes nothing about the project, except reverting the comments to the non-GNU state of May this year.
https://m.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100006448920160&fref=t...
> understanding everyone else's motivations for why they do and say what they do some kind of fascinating project - treat it like a game

Worked for me, although 'game' is perhaps unduly reductive; for me, it's more in the sense that this is how I can best make myself worthwhile. I don't claim to be on the spectrum, though, so I'm not sure how much 'worked for me' is worth.
There's no such thing as an iWatch. And the Apple Watch certainly did get traction; it's second only to Rolex in worldwide sales!
There's a decent argument that American companies are multinational and therefore already exposed to foreign markets. I don't subscribe to that, but it's not totally unfounded.
> Even if that's the case, why would someone contract themselves out for less than minimum wage, when any low-effort job would be paying more than that?

Because other low effort jobs don't let you start and stop whenever you want? Because other low effort jobs don't take anyone with a car and clean record? Because lots of reasons.
Glad to know this article is 100% NOT worth the read.
Bluetooth headsets stopped being cool a became ago, just saying.
A huge subsidy is the illusion drivers have of making more per hour as they extract equity from their vehicle. After about six months the reality of vehicle costs sets in but Uber can refresh with new drivers. Stupid newbie drivers will be depleted from market in a few years.
> And as has been proven time and again, they underperform index funds.

Hmm. Citation needed. They've barely been letting people invest long enough for that to be "proven" once, let alone "time and again".
I don't like these types of boxes because many of the people that get it think they can set it and forget it. When security updates fail in the background (or they know nothing about them in the first place), it gets 0wned.
Oh I agree, though for extradition it's enabled a last minute sanity (popularity?) check - like McKinnon who had failed High Court appeal.

The problem is extradition sets too low a hurdle that the last act significantly lowered (no longer requiring evidence amongst other things), and that's quite unpopular. Has been for ages and no govt or Home Sec has managed to convince the public - yet there continue to be high profile cases - McKinnon, NatWest 3 (which was a farce) etc.
> I'd say the tech has been there a lot longer than you think, I've known people who've worked in distributed teams 20 years ago. Yes, the tech was a little different, but it was still good enough.

E-mail, chat system, telephone, version control system, remote access were indeed there and are still enough for most use cases.

What was missing or not very good or reliable? Video chat and screen sharing, perhaps? I dislike the first, I find it almost doesn't bring anything positive compared to the phone but has drawbacks. And the latter makes me seasick.
I think @grecy was pretty clear, but FWIW, here's my interpretation: the system is either important enough to disturb employees after hours or it isn't. If it is, you need to define and implement a support protocol: on-call rotations, procedures, etc.

If it isn't important enough to organize support for it, then it isn't important enough and you should not expect anyone to justify being off work and off duty.
As someone who wears a hearing aid, I can see how it might be nice if Apple made wearing earpieces more fashionable. (Not that I've had any problems, but I can imagine younger people with hearing loss caring about this.)

But that doesn't mean they will succeed. Sometimes an Apple product turns out to be a flop. Despite their best efforts, it's not as cool as they wanted it to be.
Mode Media screws its employees on the way out
I rent, but when I moved in I still paid to replace the washer with a washer-dryer. I spend less than 5 minutes a month on washing clothes. (I have multiple laundry baskets so they're pre-sorted)

If something needs ironing I either don't buy it in the first place, or I have it dry cleaned just to get in ironed.
Same here. Wish I had done it sooner.
As you may have gathered by now from another section of this thread the fuel cell is meant to be supplementary to an existing solar energy system whose usability is variable.
What is your definition of success? Reasonable estimates put the Watch near 20 million units sold in its first 18 months on the market.
I'm in the same boat, likely less. I figure my IQ is no where near as high as the people who had to suffer under the US' misguided programs and possible subversion and antagonism by their own elites.

It reminds me of the disturbing movie called "The Accountant" where they express a genius of Mozart and Einstein is turned into a complete monster, a robotic killing machine... and this is somehow celebratory. Maybe it is an expression of our times, and that western civility has failed (or is non-existant).

Environment has an active effect on how a person develops through their lives, and maybe scientifically and genetically this is expressed as "marker switching" or "de/activation".
The memo also defends its decision to keep employees in the dark — until the bitter end. “Had we notified you earlier of the possibility that these efforts were taking place and might not be successful, we believed the potential financing sources and acquirers would be unwilling to provide any financing or engage in any transaction,” it said.
Was held overnight in a cell with a prostitute dressed as a woman and all the other inmates tried to get us to have sex with him. It's not a fun time.
In a now infamous post, Roskomnadzor quoted itself in reply to frustrated porn fans, retweeting what it said during a previous round of bans in 2015: "Dear Lyolya, as an alternative you could try and meet someone in real life."

You know, they do have a point there.
Sounds great. Something like a tidyverse version of the data pipeline capabilities of scikit-learn would be awesome.
Ask HN: Master vs. Udacity nanodegree
What is your opinion, in terms of added value, of an university master in machine learning vs udacity machine learning nanodegree?

I want to further progress my education, but am very divided: masters are expensive and long (2 years in Barcelona).

Udacity seems more accessible(moneywise), and has also the advantage of being taught by world leaders in the field.

What's your opinion on the matter?
Show HN: Distributed Cloud YunFS
So you're saying Yellowstone is an option... ;)
What problem does this project solve?

It's not immediately obvious what the thing does from the description.
You are confusing speculating with investing for retirement.
I feel like we need Second Life's Strange String Theory to balance this headline out.
Twilio could make Twitter for less than what it would cost just to negotiate the deal.
If memory serves me correctly, the average number you'd see used everywhere pre-2008 was more like 10%.

The problem with looking at extremely long periods of time (i.e., 50 years) is you see these massive events like depressions and the housing crisis. How many of those will happen in the next few decades... who knows?

Maybe we'd be better off to look at median percentages than averages.
Earbuds always fall out of my left ear (but stay in my right). But I've read people who tried them already saying that they fit better than previous earbuds they've tried, which is a good sign. I'm guess I'll still have a problem, but I'm hopeful that maybe Apple's actually solved it.

In any case, you can still use over-the-ear headphones. I believe Apple said that Beats would be selling headphones with the same W1 chip that AirPods use. Or you could just use any of the existing bluetooth headphones.
But Tew was the first to do it, which left a lot of people wondering why they didn’t think of it first.

Lots of people thought of it, but discounted it because it was a dumb idea, missing one crucially important ingredient: page-views. Anybody can put up a web site, it's getting people to look at it that's hard. And once people are looking at it, it's easy to sell ad space. What no one could have known, including Tew, is that the story was going to get picked up by the media, which would generate his page-views for him. Nowadays, lots of people are trying to hack the concept of virality, which despite the name is really more a matter of climbing the media hierarchy rather than spreading in some kind of peer-to-peer manner. You get picked up by a few small tweeters or bloggers, then by bigger tweeters and bloggers, and then by major media, and---voila! You cash in and look like a genius. But everyone else is trying to do the same thing, and no one has a repeatable recipe for virality, so in the end it's largely a matter of luck.
> Right now it's something like 3500-4000 people working there. What do they do?

I can't find it now, but there was a comment on here a few months back from someone who worked at Twitter for a while (in the recent past). Supposedly there's a lot of staff basically hanging around playing ping-pong, waiting for the chance to cash out their shares.

Not sure I believe it fully, but hey, anecdote.
There is theoretically no time limit on taking withdrawals for medical expenses, so if you have enough medical expenses before you retire you can pay them with taxable money and withdraw in retirement those payments(save the receipts in case you get audited!). I wouldn't rely on that though, I'm sure the IRS will crack down on that if it becomes popular.
Sometimes I wonder how US prosecutors live with themselves.
I studied theoretical linguistics through the graduate level and it wasn't until rather late in my schooling that I even began to hear of competing frameworks such as HPSG or LFG, and much of it in passing. There was no mention of them in the coursework, and the tendency of faculty to sell modern linguistics as a hard science gave the impression that we were learning a standard approach that had a provable empirical edge and broad scientific consensus. Otherwise, why would it be called "Extended Standard Theory"?

While I know that part of the pedagogy was giving students a grounding in dominant strains of formalism (in North American circles anyway), at times I felt a bit cheated out of a broader perspective.

Of course in practice many of the competing frameworks are weakly equivalent in terms of their descriptive power and the differences come down more to things like biological plausibility, computational complexity, how strongly you interpret the claims of UG, whether you have any interest in building tractable computational implementations, and so on. Or how you feel about the proliferation of empty functional categories, which was what bothered me the most from an empirical point of view.
> No one worries if a tweet is seen by the 'wrong' people

But they do: see the constant kvetching about "randos in my mentions".
The “Georgia Tech hacker” is now United Airways' #1 bug bounty hunter
Then this isn't the toothpaste for you.
>Why is it even needed?

Because, contrary to popular belief, doctors aren't gods, and have about the same fraction of slackers as any other occupation. Unless we're ready to have a really aggressive program for revoking licenses of doctors who don't keep up with modern advances, they can and do miss available treatments.

"Hm, I could eagerly search all the latest treatments that might be relevant to my patents, or I could write them up something based on gut feel and what I learned in med school 30 years ago. Both pay the same."
But did they equally take in Serbs with the same hospitality?

I'm sure a handful of examples can be found, but I doubt it's quite as open as the article makes it sound.

As for religion, whether we want it or not, religion of our ancestors has a strong influence on our secular customs and norms. In this case, while being a practicing Muslim was not a requirement, shared identity and religious past definitely helped.

Regarding shielding Jewish refugees in WW2, most countries have examples of heroism, as well as atrocities by the local polulations.
After 23 years, the Apple II gets another OS update
As others have pointed out, both Uber and Lyft do have services where you literally share a car with another customer. These services are used by many people.

In addition, "ride sharing" also refers to the transportation itself as a shared resource, in the same way as a taxi, or even public transportation. With a system of shared transportation, not everyone needs their own vehicle which has significant financial/economic and environmental implications.

tl;dr: Uber/Lyft are shared resources among people who may or may not actually be in the car together at the same time—and the resource they are sharing is transportation ("rides").
Bufferapp like tool for Authentic Instagram engagement
Agreed, kind of like gambling.
Obvious reasons.
Not always the case, I just tried and:

$ time

real	0m0.002s
user	0m0.000s
sys	0m0.000s
High-res is available at http://hubblesite.org/newscenter/archive/releases/2016/35/im... (http://imgsrc.hubblesite.org/hu/db/images/hs-2016-35-a-full_...).

It's not much better than the image in the article, as they're looking at objects a few football fields wide from 67 million miles away.
While I didn't down vote, I would say: because you're wrong.

You seem to suffer from the delusion that number of hours a person works is what matters. Most people aren't productive above 40 hours a week, any high number of hours and you're just wasting time.

Then there's the fact that working 60+ hours of week simply isn't health, and you're advocating that the thing you need to do to advance in the world is to trade in health for promotions, and increased salary.

If a job requires a person to work 60+ hours per week, then may it should be two jobs, not one. So now you're not just encouraging people so scarifies health, family and friend for you job, you're basically under biding a another person by doing their work for free.

Edit: May not wrong, but the advocate for a work environment that should be illegal. In fact it is illegal where I live.
This site was a eureka moment for me, but I've yet to convince my wife that every sacrifice is worth it - and I don't blame her. The comments/forum on the site are some good reading too, tho I think the guy did get a little lucky along the way.

If nothing else, that site made me realize where i stood on the consumer/producer scale, and what i needed to do to feel better about my future.
Is there any evidence for this claim that a Tweet has more "cultural significance" than a Facebook post with objectively higher engagement?

I think this illusion comes about because the media prefers to use Tweets as the minimum unit of cultural exchange, so Twitter receives attention as the medium in which these exchanges take place - even though it isn't, really.
Exposure to America's space program could provide China with access to dual-use technology that they don't currently possess. Look into the Loral Space Systems controversy from 1996. From wikipedia:

Loral was accused of transferring technology to China in 1996. The incident arose as a result of an investigation into the launch failure of Intelsat 708, a Space Systems/Loral–built satellite. In a 2002 agreement with the State Department and Department of Justice the company agreed to pay $20 million in fines to settle the matter and to improve its compliance procedures. In the agreement Loral officials neither admitted nor denied the government's charges, but Loral executives acknowledged "the nature and seriousness of the offenses alleged by the department in the draft charging letter, including the risk of harm to the security and foreign policy interests of the United States", and stated that they wished to make amends through the payment of restitution. Schwartz subsequently released a statement accepting "full responsibility for the matter" and portrayed the incident as an error by a single Loral employee.

Far from being a tour-de-force of Chinese espionage, this rocket technology leak apparently happened because a Loral employee accidentally sent a single internal Loral post-mortem document by fax to their Chinese partners. Its almost impossible to keep secrets when there's close business cooperation like this; accidents happen.
..and delayed until Q1 2017 :(
Thanks! I must have missed the part about the existing solar energy system. The perils of responding to HN comments at 2am :/
Again, case in point, Asus Transformer T100 charger:
http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/like/271922569141?lpid=122&chn=ps&...

It's marginally larger than a normal phone charger. Side by side, it's only slightly bigger than Apple ipad charger.
DNSCrypt (https://dnscrypt.org/) would be more elegant here (DTLS also okay) and is in-band wrapper for DNS. It's what TLS is for HTTP but for DNS and keeps things UDP.

Worth pointing out, this is not a google project, it just uses Google's DNS over HTTP endpoint.

We have one we made at https://www.openresolve.com/
They are small, and there are two of them.
> I decided to re-allocate my fund into 3 mutual funds

Is there a particular reason you chose mutual funds rather than regular index funds? Everything I've heard in the past says that mutual funds generally have higher expenses without worthwhile increased returns.
Most Albanians are making 150-200 Euros a month. Many make 100 Euros.
That's felixgallo's point exactly.
Something else I would add - if you're working in the ups-and-downs world of startups and technology, you may have meaty and lean years and during the good years find you want to save more fore retirement than 401ks, SEP IRAs and ROTH IRAs (if you're not priced out) allow.

One handy way to extend your tax-advantaged space: buy Series I and Series EE bonds from Treasury Direct. Both are tax-deferred until you cash them in. You can purchase up to 10K of each type per year. They are government-backed, highly-safe fixed-income instruments.

I bonds will pace inflation (like TIPS) for up to 30 years. EE bonds have low 'normal' yields but they automatically double after 20 years (so around 3.5%/year annualized, better than the rates on 20-year Treasuries). These rates are better than what you get on the open market.

And unlike normal bonds, they won't kick out payments that are taxable along the way - you can save the tax bill until you have a lean year then cash them back out (in the case of I bonds at least), or save them to the end of their lifespan (or until they double in the case of EE bonds).
I never quite understood how Docker lets developers share the same development environment. Most Dockerfiles that I have seen are a series of apt-get install commands. If different people build images using the same Dockerfile at different times, isn't there a chance that they will pick up different package versions? What am I missing?
You are assuming the rise will remain constant. It has only been rising slowly because the temperature change hasn't reached a tipping point that would trigger massive melting of polar ice.
I agree, though I don't know if I'm just missing something when working in Jupyter, or if Python has an equivalent of RMarkdown?

Jupyter has some conveniences, but the tradeoffs aren't worth it for me. Working in a web browser has much less power, when it comes to keyboarding, than Atom/Sublime. And I generally don't need to interact with my data; I know what I'm outputting, I just want to show the results to readers alongside my code. I don't use RStudio but RMarkdown is easy to run from the command line.

By contrast, Jupyter requires (AFAIK) working within the browser and, when you save the file, you get a huge jumble of JSON, which is how the notebook is serialized. I tend to write a lot of vignettes/explorations and the need to full-text grep them is important to me and is not feasible when the text content is saved as JSON.
the only reason i got a pebble instead of a moto 360 is because my pebble's battery lasts a week.