> I was going to comment that from a neoliberal ideological standpoint population decline and flat GDP is 'bad'[1] however from a rational point of view, population decline with a flat GDP means potentially median income per capita can still increase.

That is correct. Satoshi would very likely agree.

Look at the advantages of a moderate fall in population growth*

- Less pressure on housing. People can have less debt or obtain a shelter with savings.

- Reforming the terrific quantity of old, used resources into raw materials can much more easily supply the inputs for new products and services. Recycling is often much cheaper than people appreciate, in the case of copper and some other metals it is a closed loop. That is: more things can exist made out of copper over time while the net amount of the copper in the system remains stable. Think of how most aluminum cans get cycled back into... more aluminum cans and at such a rate.

- Pressure on wages increases. The economy becomes leaner but also more efficient as more price signaling information percolates through the system. It's like a fat person who has hit the gym.

I could go on but just these are major positives! It is perfectly possible to have a healthy growth rate under the conditions I mention. Historically wage increases and major economic booms occurred in times of deflation.

Why then is there such a set against recession, against natural population declines? Why is it depicted as a monster?

The answer is probably short sighted political decision making coupled with crony capitalism. The truth is that our economy is more biological organism than mechanical contraption and right now it has heart disease from acting like a glutton.

The only consolation I can offer is that things that cannot go on, don't. The gold standard was not necessarily a good idea but the monetary system we have at present may be worse.

> The reason neoliberals dislike this is because for that to happen you need to confront the fact that income distribution is politically mediated not equably allocated by the magic hand.

To my eyes a neoliberal is often a civil servant in government who orders a road building contract to be awarded to a company which he also owns through a series of shells (or a family member). American congress is apparently much more efficient than other governments because this appears to occur without the shell companies because it is not defined as corruption. They are not government or business but a quantum superposition of both. You could probably name some names if you wanted to but I won't here.

> Rising GDP means you can hide the fact that income distribution is getting more and more lopsided. Having soft internal boarders (AKA Zoning/Gated communities) to make sure that the rabble doesn't see how the other 0.1% lives also helps.

So I've noticed! Hard working working class kids or lower middle class strivers aren't doing terribly well. A large portion of millennials think that 20k or 30k is a lot of money. It isn't. In real terms they're making less than their parents.

The fact is that since 2008, with few exceptions, the 'success stories' I've been seeing are primarily backed by the bank of Mom & Dad. Free houses, paid vacations, tution loans paid off etc. If the middle classes believe in meritocracy, they certainly don't extend that belief to their children. Many hard working and intelligent entrants to the job market are barely making ends meet. The ones I know live like students five, ten years after graduation.

Of course this trend existed before 2008, but it has been particularly stark since then. Economists wonder why innovation is in decline, and companies why cars and cinema ticket sales are in decline. The answer is simple but uncomfortable, which is that the kids can't catch a break even when they've skillfully negotiated most hoops and networked every contact known to them. Then lots of others see this and basically give up to subsist on welfare.

Honestly the biggest "fuck you" today a person could give to the system, is starting their own business without debt or not getting a mortgage. The good news is lots of young people are waking up, the bad news is their many of them and most of their parents are deep in la la land.

* Obviously there are limits to my reasoning! It works within bounds and I believe it is appropriate for our present situation.