skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
All elections are based on popular vote in the US, except the presidential election, which is based on electoral votes.
Best Seed Pitch Ever (Twilio)
> A16Z should really have thought twice about what such a blatantly anti-employee piece would do to their reputation.

Does A16Z care about their reputation among the laboring class, or only among the ownership class?
Data Management Plans Are Crucial for Facility Managers
To get at the ethics of it, even if what you say is true, one must understand the Matthew Effect and self-fulfilling prophesy. These are just as much a force of nature as natural selection and the invisible hand.

Einstein called compounding growth one of the most powerful forces in the universe. The Matthew Effect is compounding inequality over generations.
how much suboptimal hiring costs the economy

But it's not about the economy, it's to preserve the status quo for management, a small subset of the company.
Traffic in India looks similar to ants:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=RavLjmWdMK4

But really it's each driver executing their own internal 'greedy algorithm' to get themselves off the road as soon as possible.

When traffic jams occour, it's the blokes who break the rules (the ones drive on the wrong side of the road or drive aggressively) who get to their destination first.
It used to be just "gcc -mno-cygwin" would suffice. Now the cross gcc is available separately, choose one of i686-pc-mingw32-gcc, i686-w64-mingw32-gcc, or x86_64-w64-mingw32-gcc.
You are downvoted because there are no good reasons at all.
It's not hard to get confused – there are a lot of overlapping groups involved here! The Eurozone, the EU, the ECHR, the EEA… they all have different sets of members and such.

The UK has been a bit frosty about the prospect of further EU integration, possibly with good reason in some ways.
An angry mob is made of people who are individually responsible for their decisions. It doesn't matter whose fault it is; if the government won't fix it, the people have to organize to do it on their own, and an angry mob is not the best way to do that.
That reads like a high school breakup text. Let's encrypt is always free. Just needs to be renewed right? What's with the 90day free invention he's talking about?
The situation with Trump vs. Hillary and Brexit vs. Bremain seems almost identical to me, especially after having watched the TV debate the other evening (the first political debate I've ever watched in the UK).

Sure, you can say that Brexit are incredibly populist and play on peoples fears, but... the Bremain side was no better. Essentially, my take on it was, that the Brexit side was targeting the incredibly stupid people with fears like immigration, whereas the Bremain was targeting the merely stupid people with fears like economy crash. Neither seemed to have any kind of justification to their main arguments, or any other sensible argument.

The situation in the US seems very similar. Sure, Trump is spewing inconsistent nonsense left and right, but Hillary has nothing to say, period. Part of me thinks that she's so embroiled in potential scandals that it's actually better for her to say nothing, and hope that Trump auto-ignites and explodes based on his speech...
Prediction? UK will stay, but it will be uncomfortably close.
Thanks for the level-headed verbal answer. I guess I just feel like a downvote is a slap, rather than a more appropriate simple response that states the issue, or just being ignored.
Slaps should be for when people are offensive/racist/rude/wrong--I understand my comment contributed nothing, but why would I get the same treatment as someone who contributes negatively?

Shouldn't we be aiming for positivity => upvote, negativity => downvote, neutrality => no vote?
Scotland will definitely try to leave (as others have pointed out, there's a definite theory that turnout there was lower because a lot of pro-independence Scots who support the EU in principle didn't particularly mind the rest of the UK leaving the EU if it reignited their opportunity for independence)

The other interesting aspect is London: a part of the UK whose expected resounding Remain vote[1] is far from the only way it's increasingly politically, culturally and economically different from the rest of the UK...

[1]Lambeth just voted 78%/21% for remain...
What I find most interesting about this piece is the awesome lifestyle of flitting from grant to grant as a semi-celebrity in the international jet-set art world. Also lets you feel good about "leaking" your employer's information to "organizers." Take that, employer! And best of all, you get to use the word "show" as a nontransitive verb, as in "I showed at Venice."

Apparently this lifestyle is only available if you're a (to use the author's term) "Marxist." But then again, I suppose anyone can read Negri and Hardt if they're patient enough.

No word on what, if any, ideological filters Google is supposed to apply to its contractor pool so this doesn't happen again. Perhaps they could ask trap questions about postcolonial theory, rejecting anyone who answered correctly...
>It's like the world forgot the lessons of the past - the curses of nationalism, populism and ideology - and nobody has stood up to remind them.

The average worker in the western nations did a lot better when the cold war was in full swing than afterwards. Peaceful competition among nations and economic systems seems to work best.
His latest update seems crazy- p at .03 based on that data seems like an unlikely jump based on the changes in votes and % reporting from each update.

Seems bogus.
"Stupid" is not the word I would use, but I have no trouble believing that status signaling which might be genuinely important for law schools (for a career as a corp lawyer, go to a top-tier school or don't bother at all) might routinely be improperly applied to other fields.

Put yourself in the mind of a 16 year old (I'm a parent to one, so I might have an easier or a harder time doing that). Kids mostly have no idea at all what their career is, but they're all attuned to the admissions/status game.

I'm not narrowing the argument, so much as I'm trying to support the argument that fewer kids should take on large debt (and stress!) getting into elite colleges; more should go to lower-tier or even community colleges until they have a better idea what they want to do, and then transfer to the Right School when they can make an informed decision.

Again, I might have an idiosyncratic view of this, since I didn't really go to college at all (I went for a single summer semester when I was 19).
The Quake-C Manual (1997)
10-Year Exercise Periods Make Sense
> Fundamentally, we are here because companies are choosing to stay private significantly longer than the time period for which the four-year option vesting program was originally invented... Matching vesting more closely to the IPO time frame for companies [6-8 years] makes logical sense...

It would be more logical to stick with four years and let employees participate in the huge "private IPO" rounds. This would provide liquidity in roughly the same timeframe as before. Companies are not staying private longer because they need more time to mature, they're doing it because the private markets are favorable. So treat those like the IPO surrogates they are and let employees sell options.

(Note, this would have none of the cap table messiness of secondary sales.)
I've uninstalled some software I've paid good money for as a result of this behavior. Further Comodo will net exactly zero recommendations from me until this behavior is rectified.

Utterly intolerable.
Artificially Intelligent Russian Robot Makes a Run for It … Again
Thank you for the book rec.
One recent example is Reddit trying to "catch" the Bostom marathon bombers, where Redditors went through the security cams, "identified" a university student as the culprit, which led to immediate harassment of the student's family, and all the self-congratulation you could stomach until the subreddit was deleted, since that student was innocent.

But if you want to read a great, long story of a private sleuthing gone well, I can recommend "The Hunt for the Death Valley Germans" (set aside a few hours for the read): http://www.otherhand.org/home-page/search-and-rescue/the-hun...
Yup! He did qualify his prediction though:

https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/eu-referendum-rolling-fore...

>This is a big update, and I'm conscious that I may have made a terrible mistake somewhere in estimating differential turnout, but here goes:
That was P = 0.03, or 3%. Not 0.03%.
wow, great list. I have been working with openCV.

I see an understanding of the differences between machine learning vs computer vision vs AI, vs deep learning, vs reinforcement learning is my next step.
That update might be a bit dated... Glasgow just reported, heavily in favor of Bremain, tipping the scale of the current vote count.
Because no sane leader has been produced by the political system.
they don't all disclose price publicly and I'd probably get a takedown notice if I posted prices, b/c they can always change and that's misleading the consumers.
A reasonable argument for a 90-day exercise window could have been: employees are told upfront that they need to remain with the company through a liquidity event for their options to be worth anything. The incentive to stay is both transparent and explicit. And aligns everyone's incentives, e.g. long-tenured employees perform better, making the startup's equity worth more, enriching the employee who stayed through the IPO.

The arguments in this article however were wholly incoherent.
Also the cdn edges they run themselves.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbqcsHg-Q_o

very cool video.
Hearing Loss Is a Soldier’s Dire Enemy
Is remain Hillary or Trump then?
In other words, why doesn't the pendulum stop swinging?

Because bringing it to a halt would take precision work and even then it probably wouldn't be stable. Iterative systems oscillate. It's what they do.

Moreover, a lot of the suggestions about "how to solve it" are in fact what people are trying to do very hard, and are themselves part of the system. The obvious solutions are what are taking us in the current direction. The fact that they are obvious is why you can actually plot the cyclic progression of civilizations with some reliability. It's an interesting field of study.

(BTW, buckle up. We're almost certainly in for a period of substantial uncertainty based on those modes. But, also, you are not your government or social system. Whatever abuse those things may be in for doesn't mean that you won't come out of it. Also, while I'd say high technology shows little evidence of having eliminated the cycles up to this point, I do consider it a wild card personally. Doom is not guaranteed.)
Volupedia: mixing Wikipedia pages with 3D models from Sketchfab
I don't agree with you, but you don't deserve to be downvoted just for presenting an argument that's unpopular here. Upvoted for visibility.
> It's actually better for her to say nothing, and hope that Trump auto-ignites and explodes based on his speech...

I saw something (jokingly) suggesting the other day that the best thing Clinton could do with her campaign's cash would be to loan it to Trump's campaign.
Earlier this year, we reported that Apple was planning a new Thunderbolt Display with a built-in GPU and today the company has taken the first step towards making that a reality. According to TechCrunch, Apple has announced that it is officially discontinuing the Thunderbolt Display.
Lucky that we have other places than their own forum to raise awareness and reach out to them (twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, etc):

https://www.facebook.com/ComodoHome/
https://twitter.com/comododesktop
https://www.linkedin.com/company/comodo
I'm actively looking for MMS support, US as well as international.
GBP USD bouncing from 1.40 to 1.50, insane amounts of volatility: https://www.dailyfx.com/gbp-usd

Amateur guestimate, remain will see 1.55, leave will see 1.30
I'm surprised "Leave" is doing as well as it is in Scotland, which is not only more liberal than the UK as a whole, but also somewhat more European --- "Leave" is essentially a solidarity vote with England, isn't it?

You might wonder, if "Leave" wins, whether Scotland's next independence referendum won't succeed as well.
That's only interesting to say if you think the community's conclusion is contrary to reality.
The Treaty of Rome which established the organisation that evolved in the EU we know today has a preamble that begins with:

HIS MAJESTY THE KING OF THE BELGIANS,
THE PRESIDENT OF THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY,
THE PRESIDENT OF THE FRENCH REPUBLIC,
THE PRESIDENT OF THE ITALIAN REPUBLIC,
HER ROYAL HIGHNESS THE GRAND DUCHESS OF LUXEMBOURG,
HER MAJESTY THE QUEEN OF THE NETHERLANDS,

*DETERMINED to lay the foundations of an ever-closer union among the peoples of Europe,[...]*

Stealthy indeed.
Why does the drop from p=0.32 to p=0.03 seem crazy/bogus? Isn't that what you'd expect as the probability distribution both narrows (with more evidence) and moves toward the 'leave' side?
(Tedious disclaimer: my opinion only, not speaking for anybody else. I'm an SRE at Google.)

> sometimes mining information to leak to organizer friends

> After 9–12 hours on campus I would fill my Google-issued bag with Naked juices and to-go containers of food for my roommates

So... deliberate violation of the corporate NDA (which is massively disrespectful to the other people who work here) and stealing food from the cafes. I'm happy to work at a company that fires people who take something offered in good faith and abuse it. It is a part of our company culture to give people broad freedom to do what they think they should, on the understanding that they will act responsibly and not abuse the privilege.

(I can't comment much on the rest of the article, except to say that I feel a person who has openly admitted their tendency to dishonesty is perhaps not best afforded a high level of trust in the claims that they make)
Depends. Some certainly prefer to retire far from the crowds if they can. Others prefer not to be dependent on cars and to be near good culture, hospitals, and doctors. I wouldn't read too much into that everything available without leaving the building quote in any case.
This kind of gets into philosophy, but a metaphor I came up with for thinking about this (another phrase for it is "thought experiment") is:

If I speak something to a rock, what is it to the rock? Is it "signal," or "data"?

Making the concept a little more interesting, what if I resonate the rock with a sound frequency? What is that to the rock? Is that "signal," or "data"?

Up until the Rosetta Stone was found, Egyptian hieroglyphs were indecipherable. Could data be gathered from them, nevertheless? Sure. Researchers could determine what pigments were used, and/or what tools were used to create them, but they couldn't understand the messages. It wasn't "data" up to that point. It was "noise."

I hope I am not giving the impression that I am a postmodernist who is out here saying, "Data is meaningless." That's not what I'm saying. I am saying meaning is not self-evident from signal. The concept of data requires the ability to interpret signal for meaning to be acquired.
I agree that it's possible, but I think the last point in your argument actually makes Google harder to displace than easier.

If someone came out with a better web search engine than Google right now, I probably wouldn't switch. This is because Google search is so integrated with other services that they understand intent way better, and you can perform searches with far less input that you would have to give otherwise.

For example, doing a search for "my flights" or similar does not only search the web, but also my gmail account, matches upcoming flights with data, and returns what is relevant to me. Similar arguments can be made based on phone data (locations, activity) and integration with products like Maps, Calendar etc. Google Now and On Tap are great examples of features and functions that cannot be trivially replaced by a better search algorithm.
Time to gobble up some pounds.
I don't think this is a vote for the the #brexit campaign as such. The major exit votes are from working class areas that are traditionally Labour meaning this could be more of a #Lexit which was hardly covered in the mainstream media. This is also a general protest vote against the establishment not just the EU.
Current EU president Juncker certainly shares the same views. Many of his quotes are very anti-democratic: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/eu/10967168...
Ask HN: Need Advice with UK's Tier 1 Exceptional Talent Visa
UK has a special visa program wherein it gives out 200 visas each year to people who have shown exceptional talent, or exceptional potential, in the technology field. It's great for self-employed folks, and entrepreneurs.

I am preparing to apply for this visa.

Basically, I am stuck on two points.

1. How talented is 'exceptionally talented'?

It's hard to gauge how high the bar is set. I couldn't find much information about people who got this visa.

I am a 23-year old self-employed, self-taught developer who runs a couple of moderately-successful, profitable online ventures. I have a few hundred paying customers on my SaaS platform, and 10k+ license sales for my distributed software.

2. Need two recommendation letters from recognized experts in tech (doesn't have to be a UK-based expert)

How famous does the expert have to be? Does a $200k-revenue-founder work? or does it have to be a $100m-exit-founder?

I am flying to London next week, and was hoping to spend most of my time networking. It's a pretty long shot, but I am hoping I can get at least one recommendation letter out of it.

Does anyone on HN have experience with this visa type?

Any advice on how someone who is bad at networking can get a recommendation letter from a who's who of London's tech scene?
I demand only the finest quality 16QAM low FEC coherent single wavelength 100 Gbps interface for my condo, doesn't everyone have an ASR9010 with $50,000 100GbE linecard in their closet???
On the contrary, they wouldn't have a career doing non-parody corporate commentary art without that very behavior.
> I'm surprised "Leave" is doing as well as it is in Scotland, which is not only more liberal than the UK as a whole, but also somewhat more European --- "Leave" is essentially a solidarity vote with England, isn't it?

I think it's the opposite. IIRC, if Scotland votes to leave but the rest of the UK doesn't, the Scottish independence movement leaders have said that that will renew their push for another independence referendum.

I wouldn't be surprised if Scottish voters viewed 'Leave' vs. 'Remain' as a proxy vote for leaving the UK, rather than the EU, and were voting with that in mind (even if they would want to be part of the EU as an independent Scotland).
It's a big jump in a single update. Given that Remain has since pulled ahead in the raw total, this only makes it appear more questionable.
Inequality isn't compounding though (at least this century). It's shrinking rapidly.

http://www.maxroser.com/economic-world-history-in-one-chart/
https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/745602914123603968

But I'm curious though - by what mechanism will such decisions actually cause the Matthew effect? For examples in that article, it's somewhat clear - e.g., the famous mathematician becomes more famous because people notice his papers. But now, in employment, suppose I will make better decisions by favoring an equally qualified Tamil over a Bihari. How will that cause Tamil-Bihari inequality to increase at an exponential rate?

Also, even if some groups do get a higher growth rate than others, why is that relevant? Concretely, what ethical or moral reason do we have for choosing these arbitrary groups to care about?
I think this is probably key. People across the world are pissed at the political class – and I completely understand why.

In the UK, there's an intense feeling that the concerns of people in traditionally working-class communities have been ignored in preference of a metropolitan elite. There is increasing wealth inequality, cuts to public services, less job security and so on. Members of these communities are very aware of the costs of EU membership – free movement of labour being particularly damaging to these communities – and are not as convinced by the corresponding benefits.

I do place the fault squarely at the feet of the modern left-of-center political movements (Labour Party in the UK) which has consistently peddled a muddled message of internationalism mixed with social democracy mixed with unrestrained capitalism – in appealing to an imagined middle-ground voter they have alienated their traditional support. It feels like these movements have compressively failed to provide a convincing messages – instead peddling a weak compromise that pleases nobody.

It's frustrating, but I'm struggling to understand what the answer looks like.
wow, i'm out of the loop. what is everyone building with these types of APIs?
It's not really the same thing. Sentry is far more general purpose, and doesn't require GCE. If your language or framework lacks support, you can add it. Also has a bunch more functionality.

Google's offering is great on App Engine (I've used it a good bit), but that's the sweet spot.
"This time it's different." It is great to see how history is repeated.
I'm a little bit put off by the mentality of "both sides are bad" that a lot of people seem to have in both of these issues.

Yeah, both sides have massive flaws, but isn't it stifling to keep insisting on this fact and to keep preaching it? Shouldn't we all just accept the lesser evil, by however small a margin it's less evil?

As good a point as you may have, isn't it more important to avoid a Donald Trump presidency/a brexit/a ridiculous fear of immigrants and Islam than to say what is technically correct so loudly and prominently?

I feel like if we wind up with the worse cases, people might regret having made both sides seem bad. Plus, less intelligent people might avoid voting altogether rather than voting for the lesser evil because they keep hearing intellectuals say how bad both sides are.
Pretty much everything new first gets exposed through Win32 or some COM interface like DirectX.
10 Characteristics of Profitable Traders
The totals will go back and forth, but it's all about turnout proportionally in in- vs out- regions versus original projections. Glasgow was expected to be massively pro-remain but did Glasgow turn out in higher/lower numbers than anticipated? and did Glasgow go more or less pro-remain than anticipated? I would be very very worried if I were a British citizen in the remain camp right now.
Then at the end of the day, you must perceive the opposing side as inherently bad in some way. It's amazing how so few people can remain friends with people who have differing viewpoints.
It wouldn't take a particularly imaginative plaintiff's attorney to come up with a strong argument that Airbnb itself is culpable for enabling discriminatory behavior. AirBnB would have deep pockets, which makes them a juicy plaintiff's lawyer target, and they'd likely end up settling to include a bunch of protections for minorities in their business practices with the people who own the rental units.
Nice explanation. I agree with your point. It's not natural for most people to perform statistical judgements. It's not obvious that base rates matter even in the presence of evidence. It's true as well that we should not forget that intuitive impressions of evidence are often exaggerated.

However, we would do well in not forgetting other biases like the Halo Effect that may at play during any interview process.
Depends on how Glasgow was predicted to vote in their model. If it matches their prediction then the impact would be limited.
Can you guys honestly say, looking at your own website, that you don't seem to be a fly–by–night outfit?

Yes, the bar is low in VPS land, but you could certainly do much better at presenting yourselves properly.