skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
3% is an estimate of the rate of economic growth: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth As I said above, we should expect the market's long-run returns to be close to the rate of economic growth.

It's true that stocks in the US in the 20th century dramatically outperformed that 3%. This is for three reasons: first, up to about 1975, the world's economic growth rate was higher than 3%, due to the Second Industrial Revolution; second, up to about 1975, the US's economic growth rate was even higher than the world's, because it was taking over the markets previously supplied by the bombed-out economies of Europe (especially the UK) and Japan. Third, since about 1970, the share of economic output that went to owners of capital (rather than labor) increased dramatically.

Now, the third of those things probably can't happen again, because capital's share of output is already super high. (It's not that it can't get higher, but it can't go past 100%.) The second could happen again, but if it does, the US will be in the position of the UK, Japan, or Germany — it's now the Single Superpower (not even a mere Great Power) who could lose market share, probably to China or to a non-nation-state power. Investors in Japan's and Germany's stock markets in 1925 or 1935 didn't do so well.

The first, well, that's anyone's guess. It's a total wildcard.

It's certainly reasonable to posit a Third Industrial Revolution, made out of some of free software, nanobots, biotech, abundant solar energy, AI, and automated fabrication. I sure hope we get one. But if we do, it's not at all obvious who the returns will flow to. (Everyone, I hope, not just shareholders.) Accumulating capital goods, as we've been doing for three million years, is less important when your capital stock can double every 24 hours through self-replication. Breweries do not account for the quantity of yeast they have on hand as a durable capital asset.

And it seems equally plausible that we'll instead experience a new Bronze Age Collapse or Decline and Fall, as inexpensive DIY drones, very affordable precision projectiles, anonymous markets in assassination, and ubiquitous retail surveillance provide a decisive advantage for attackers over defenders in the physical world, just as their software counterparts have on the internet.
Brochure Design Guide Quick Tips
My eyes.
+1 for designer-founders mocking up & assigning UI changes purely to "keep things fresh"
Best of luck. Do you have a hypothesis? More experienced ML folks don't seem to be on board [1] [2]. I haven't seen anyone posit how to build a machine that can set its own goals.

I'm sure you'll build and learn something cool nonetheless

Another organization that tried to build AI was called Thinking Machines [3]. They were good at parallel programming. A few of them would later form "Ab Initio Software" [4]. Their motto is "from first principles," which Elon likes to say. Socrates did too.

My first job out of college trained us on that software. It's easy to use even if you're not a programmer, which was impressive for parallel software in 2004. I still get job emails for having it on my resume. The company is private and does not share its training resources. Boston mentality, I guess. Despite being so closed, they appeared to be quite successful in 2004 and have managed to stick around.

[1] http://hunch.net/?p=3692542

[2] https://www.facebook.com/yann.lecun/posts/10153442884182143?...

[3] https://www.technologyreview.com/s/406781/thinking-machines/

[4] http://www.abinitio.com/
The $35K device that celebrities and the super-rich use at home to stream movies
I think the issue is Windows laptops with those displays get much worse battery life than standard HD displays. Apple does a great job of optimizing their software for their hardware. That way you do not see those battery life issues on Macbooks compared to Windows laptops usually. Have you even run Windows on you Mac? Talk about a battery drain.
what if they all simply agree (or conspire) to give everyone maximum, they all win ... except maybe the owners
Someone did: http://shrinkthatfootprint.com/electric-cars-green

TL;DR right now EVs pollute about as much as a normal car getting 40MPG. There were ICE cars in the mid 80s doing better than that on combined mpg: http://www.motherearthnews.com/green-transportation/green-ve...

Edit: solar was 0.6% of total power generated in the US in 2015 : https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=427&t=3

Solar panels aren't the easiest thing to manufacture. Consider how much energy mining and refining the toxic components and intermediaries of cells uses. http://spectrum.ieee.org/green-tech/solar/solar-energy-isnt-...
Anyone who tells you to expect a 10% annual return from the S&P500 is lying to you. And probably trying to sell you something.
Perhaps only illuminating if you don't know much about the subject already :)
Many things like land or political power are fixed. So, income inequality really does have downsides even if the pie get's larger. How much is a 3 BR house in an area with good schools near you?
Brazil judge overturns 72-hour suspension of WhatsApp
If efficiency went up, installation can come down...
I never actually click on Google Search ads.
The one that kills me the most is when you announce your resignation from the job.

All of the sudden, everybody says "Hey, let's take you to lunch!"

Me: "Dude, I have been here for 4 years. I have taken everybody to lunch at least 8 times. Once you came. The other times you were 'busy.' Now you want to take me to lunch on my last week? Not once you invited me before!"
BRCK founder defrauds startup
Not that I know of. Screen can be scaled with xrandr (on X11), but that significantly decreases performance. There's a chance of making it work on Wayland (modern replacement for X11) in the future.
Doesn't less participate also increase pay rates? Those who do work will end up making more because there are few people to drive down their wages?
I've been looking at the 12" Macbook line since it released and I'm curious how it performs dev work - do you run XCode on it? How's the form factor working for you overall?

Sorry to derail the topic - just genuinely interested in the thoughts on that hardware!
> But you'd actually have to try if you wanted Java to be able to write arbitrary memory or execute arbitrary code.

Depends on your definition of arbitrary. Higher level languages have higher level exploits. While injecting x86 shellcode into a java process is probably hard, many java applications have been vulnerable to serialization bugs which result in the execution of arbitrary bytecode.

Source: http://www.darkreading.com/informationweek-home/why-the-java...
Invention: Rolling (bladeless) fluid turbine
It breaks the HN rules to rewrite titles to editorialize about them, so please don't do that.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
I tried 1980x1080 on my 2560x1440 screen. I don't think it looks very well.
In the US, perhaps.
Nope, that's called being hungry, not starving. Skipping breakfast does not make an essential need for nourishment. If you're a healthy person you'd probably be fine without food for at least a couple of days, so you don't have an excuse to go around stealing stuff ;)
Hi nick! I don't know how to describe what it is I do. For lack of a better rubric - "embedded". Frequently, large things are involved, large things with diesel engines.

Shipping bugs is always an option. I'm pretty adamant about not doing that any more than I have to. And I work fast enough that this isn't a problem - most of that is that I know how to code & test very quickly. But there's furniture in the code to check for the usual 'C' bug suspects.

And yes - "hell is other people's code." This is why I try very very hard not to leave these sort of bugs around, build test fixtures and do other things to defend myself. I have used static analysis now and again. It's kind of nice.

Again, and again, and again, dysfunctional organizations abound and it's possible to avoid them altogether. But first you must earn to identify them.

It would be absolutely fascinating to work with a security pro to see how I'm doing. Right now, that's not in the cards.
There is a nuanced economic issue related to this priced drop.

Today, (and for some time in the past) solar panels can be an investment, that is paid off by the amount that is saved by not having to use the grid (for example.)

So a homeowner might calculate that by investing $20,000 in solar panelling today, they can have a 100% return within 72 months (6 years). It's free if they manage to use it for 6 years. Afterward the fact that this paneling is installed is "profit" - they get the ongoing money from their savings.

So they are motivated by self-interest to make this investment, even if they assign "$0" to how much it's worth to them to reduce their carbon footprint on the planet; they don't have to care.

But look at what happens if they consider that the investment price will drop by 50% in the next 18 months. Then they will have a 100% return in 36 months, plus the 18 months they wait means their investment is repaid in 54 instead of 72 months. Or, perhaps, they can install twice the paneling in 18 months. Either way their ROI is better.

So that means for the next 18 months they are simply continuing to use the grid, which might have a higher carbon footprint. This might, paradoxically, drop adoption of solar paneling today (depending on people's expectation of the price change in the future.)
How can something "just drop" over 16 months? I think it's amazing that solar is becoming more affordable, but a year and a half is hardly sudden.
About the hermit: Why isn't the first assumption to look into the company's own culture? I mean you can work on trust as much as you want. If there is no reason to have trust in the team the tactic will fail.
It isn't a fallacy if you have even a basic understanding of economics.

Unfortunately, most of the layman discourse on the internet seems to blindly follow the mantra of an infinitely expanding economy.

While that may be true on an infinite timescale, in the short and medium runs (scale of economic cycles), the pie is indeed fixed.
The Transoceanic crypto system Shannon created so Churchill & Roosevelt could conference call was brilliant.

It was a sonic one-time pad, L.P.s were sent to Britain and America.

They were played over the conversation, simply adding noise - precisely calibrated by Shannon's signal to noise ratio formula.

The noise was subtracted at the other end, but any eavesdroppers on the transatlantic cable would have been unable to listen without the L.P.s and circuitry.

So while Enigma was being cracked at Bletchly Park, Churchill and Roosevent could chat on the phone, provable securely.
Not bad advice although the sites supporting u2f are not so many. Google, github, and...?
How large does a site need to be before render time becomes a significant issue? I can understand it being an issue for, say, Google News or some other highly dynamic site where the input sources are programmatic. But for sites where there are humans providing the content, why in today's computing era would it take more than a minute to update hundreds of pages?
This is a gold mine, I'm so glad to have found this article, thank you for sharing!

I definitely evolved from "The Hermit" into what I am currently, some form of "Smartest in the Room"(I don't think I'm smarter, I just tend to think the way I came up with is best).

Being a developer is a process! I'm incredibly interested when we stop pretending that everyone's a "rockstar" or whatever, and start talking about the problems that come up, and how to work through them. I'm only just now coming to the realization within the last few weeks that I need to be more open to alternative and intermediate solutions that aren't perfect, but solve the problem for the time being.

Again, thanks for sharing!
Scopely | Los Angeles, CA | Fulltime | Onsite

We're a fast growing mobile game publisher based in Culver City that works with different game studios using a variety of languages, but with common infrastructure and infrastructure tools.

I am looking for a Senior DevOps Engineer who has a lot of AWS experience as well as development experience that is interested in working with a variety of different game studio teams to help them mature their production operations. You should feel confident being able to dictate and define policy and practices, as well as build new tools and work with product teams on improving their code.

Contact me directly at dml@scopely.com or apply here: https://jobs.lever.co/scopely/0202a6bd-ce2c-4e2a-95e8-2fab11...

Also check out the rest of our open positions at http://scopely.com/join-us/
It's fallacious to assume the contrary. You can transfer billions of dollars of capital in an instant by signing on the dotted line, but it takes decades to create that kind of value. The lumped sum analysis assumption for capital is valid in this case because the rate of capital transfer is many orders of magnitude greater than the rate of capital generation.
Yes, it really felt like it was insulting me. Things like "Holy Moly! We told you it'd be painful!" and "We're so sorry… That's much more than average! Maybe one day you'll own the flat? (just kidding)", as well as the introduction spending several slides trying to dissuade me from continuing.

I also live in the US, and entered the equivalent of my rent, floor area, and used Google Maps to pick what looked like an equivalent location in a major city. Apparently people within 2km of my chosen location are paying half? Ok, that's true in my city as well, except 2km is the difference between a building on the water with a doorman, and living somewhere where people shoot up on the stoop to your building.
Here in the South the government regularly does controlled burns and it doesn't seem to seriously bother people, even though there are plenty of people that live in (with some breaks) and around the burning areas.

My impression is that it's an American West political problem, not a fire management problem. Maybe I'm wrong. It is drier there.
I don't hate capitalism and there's nothing wrong with generating revenue. In fact, the rise of ad blocking is a perfect example of market efficiency. What's important here isn't the software that blocks ads, but the expression of preference by hundreds of millions of people around the world who say "we do not want to see ads on the web and we know they can be stopped."

Believing "acceptable ads" can thrive alongside such knowledge is naively asking to be reminded of the tragedy of the commons and the fact that such widespread coordination usually happened in either dictatorial or communist societies.

Revenue will be generated, only that it will eventually have to come from consumers directly to publishers and content creators.
I hope you realize that working on your own stuff at work can get you in trouble.
The analogy breaks down the deeper you go, but there are some interesting parallels when you consider driving habits in other cultures. In the US (and probably most western countries) we have highly standardized and policed roads to prevent injury and accidents. I would argue this provides for a more efficient system overall, where in the end more people are able to get to their destination not just safer, but also faster, because the lack of accidents and assurance about other's likely actions on the road allow for mostly smooth operation. With computers, how much less (less, because it would never be none) hardware, software, CPU time and memory would need to be devoted security (firewalls, IDS, malware/virus detection and cleanup) if we had sacrificed a small amount of performance to ensure a more secure operating environment most the time?

We've achieved this with some aspects of society by making rules that hamper some for the benefit of all (traffic laws, employment laws, etc), because we've recognized in some places the failure of individual people and groups to be able to correctly assess risk and danger at wider levels and at longer time frames. These laws and regulations can go overboard, but they're needed to some degree because people are very poor stand ins for rational actors with good information, which in a pure market economy could make these decisions correctly. We've had little to nothing like this for software engineering, which has led to great advancements in short times, but I think we are nearing the point (if we haven't already passed it) when our past decisions to prioritize efficiency and performance over safety are resulting in a poorer relative outcome than if we have made different choices in the past.
Has Craig Wright Proved He's Bitcoin's Satoshi Nakamoto?
> Before I finalized my decision to leave, Patrick asked me to go talk to Sam Altman. He said Sam had a good outsider’s perspective, had seen lots of people in similar circumstances, and would probably have a good recommendation on what I should do.

> Within five minutes of talking to Sam, he told me I was definitely ready to leave. He said to let him know if he could be helpful in figuring out my next thing.

Wow. Probably not what Patrick had in mind.
The good thing about developed markets is that they generally don't get hit with bioweapons
Your comments have been breaking the HN guidelines. Please (re)-read them and post civilly and substantively, or not at all.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

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It's a lifestyle choice, same as any other. If you want a certian lifestyle beyond the minimum, be prepared to earn it.
i've read you comment, and it looks to me like this is a fair rephrasing. can you offer better alternatives where i mischaracterize your position?

* you are allowed to drive under the influence of alcohol and endager other people's lives
* you are allowed to kill another as long as they weren't 100% obviously harmless
* stealing food is worse than threatening or terminating others' lives
«built-in CommonJS-based module loading framework»

I feel like this sort of project seems like a great place to try to get ES2016 modules working from day one, where users a little bit less likely to have existing code they need to run. I realize the Loader spec [1] is still not finished yet, but a project like this could be a good use case to help push it across the finish line.

[1] https://whatwg.github.io/loader/

Edit to add: I hadn't realized how old this project was, so some of this comment is clearly invalidated a bit.
Stochastic Gradient Descent is a core mechanism for generalising from many examples in (non-biological) Neural Nets.
Broad measures of wages are also showing growth.
The article doesn't reveal much, but judging from the list of vulnerable coders and the fact that the Imagemagick forum post references the delegates.xml file, I imagine the exploit allows users to create their own delegate [0], then upload an image that causes that delegate to be called. My guess is that the exploit is two parts: 1) appending a line to the delegates.xml file by exploiting a vulnerable coder, and 2) exploiting the custom delegate you create.

Delegates seem very dangerous and there's all sorts of ways to exploit a custom delegate.

I'm surprised we haven't seen more Imagemagick vulnerabilities... it's a really old library with a massive codebase supporting tons of file formats and arbitrary command chaining. And it's often called by higher level languages via functions like `system()` or `shell()` where developers could easily neglect to "properly sanitize" user inputs, since what those "inputs" can be is so wide ranging.

[0] http://www.imagemagick.org/Usage/files/#delegates

EDIT:

Looks like I was right... check out this commit from 3 days ago:

https://github.com/ImageMagick/ImageMagick/commit/06c41aba39...

"Sanitize input filename for http / https delegates"

So presumably the attack is to set the "filename" property of a file such that when including '%f' in a command, the filename breaks the shell command and inserts its own arbitrary code.

EDIT 2:

A reddit user also linked to this critical line: https://github.com/ImageMagick/ImageMagick/blob/e93e339c0a44...

So the process would be something like this:

1) Create file with name e.g. evilserver.com/funnycat';rm-rf/;.gif hosted on remote server

2) Somehow instruct vulnerable imagemagick install to download evilserver.com/funnycat';rm-rf/;.gif

3) Assume 99% chance that the render command on server will include %f, which is unsanitized, and will cause rm -rf / to execute

I'm a bit confused on step (2)... how do you tell imagemagick to download a file? Will this only affect installations that are explicitly downloading untrusted URLs from users? Like if imgur "upload via URL" fed the URL directly to imagemagick, it would be vulnerable...
It's funny to see that stackoverflow came to exactly the same solution for database migrations on the Microsoft stack as my team did, even down to the test procedure.

Simple, safe and very effective :)
Innovation is not driven by humans devoting time and effort to figuring out how to do things better? What do you think innovation is driven by?
Don't take these articles too seriously. There are a lot of reasons people consider someone a troublemaker. It's more about your 1:1 connection to other people than what category of person you are.
First off, that 40K was the cost 10+ years ago, not today. Even so, lets be honest - the population of HN is not the median household. Even if the average American cannot afford to pay cash for solar, many software engineers probably can.
It ain't like a washing machine in 2016, which everyone already has one of. It ai very much like a washing machine in 1916, when not many people had one yet, in that the year-over-year growth rate in installed solar panels is at about 26% (http://www.economist.com/news/business/21696941-solar-power-...).

An inverter that cost $2000 ten years ago now costs $400. (Amazon has a Bestek 2000W inverter for US$140 right now; three of these can supply more than what my house is wired for.) Even if you did have to buy a new $2000 inverter every 10 years, that's US$17 a month.

It's true that financing the up-front investment is a difficulty, and that's why Solar City is doing such great business. But as the component cost drops, accelerating both the IRR and the up-front investment size, that's less and less of a problem.

If you do want to bet on it, I imagine you can buy stock or long-expiry call options in coal-mining companies (BTU is in penny-stock territory right now because they filed for bankruptcy a couple weeks ago, and ACIIQ is too because they filed for bankruptcy in January), or puts on SCTY and Enel Green Power. This is a terrible idea and will lose you money, and you should not do it.

Because you refuse to calculate, you are doomed to talk nonsense.
I understand the rate of GDP growth, the person you replied to specifically stated that they would have made more money on the SPX. Granted the S&P 500 is not guaranteed to go up, but historically it does.

"...first, up to about 1975, the world's economic growth rate was higher than 3%, due to the Second Industrial Revolution; second, up to about 1975, the US's economic growth rate was higher than the world's, because it was taking over the markets previously supplied by the bombed-out economies of Europe (especially the UK) and Japan."

Do you read the posts you reply to? Because the chart I linked starts in 1970. And you are discussing GDP when the post you were replying to specifically was talking about investing in the market.
Uber always shows fake cars on the map. To prevent fraud.
50% agree, but 50% I'd say that as a leader things need to get your way or out. That's pretty much your job.
The Firefox developers are very good professionals that came to the conclusion that all the tools they devised to write memory safe C and C++ aren't enough for writing a safe browser and a new start in the form of Rust and Servo is needed.

The Firefox roadmap already has plans for incrementally add code written in Rust.
Disclaimer: I am the son of the inventor.