skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Regardless of project/planning methodology, having a ever-growing checklist of less-obvious estimation items is a simple way to avoid forgetting to consider them. The book "Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art" [1] by Steve McConnell contains a number of these.

Some examples:

- Team or company meetings
- Team member sick days, holidays, vacations
- Bugs in third party software
- Maintenance of previous systems
- Maintenance of build automation
- Demos
- Interviews
- ...

... or your own list of whatever other items you have historically forgotten, or tend to forget when estimating.

In the painting example, the moving of the furniture was something I overlooked, despite having made the effort to carefully think of all tasks. A estimation checklist built up from previous painting projects could have triggered me to consider this task.

[1] http://www.amazon.com/Software-Estimation-Demystifying-Devel...
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No, your correction is a lie. The ones that didn't give a fuck, didn't want to help and made the crisis worst were the German government and their negative to help because the South countries were just a bunch of people that didn't work, expend too much and deserved all that happen.

>? Since you appear to be from one of those countries, you should see how to get more responsible for your choices and look for better representatives to elect. I don't see what's your point about another sovereign country. Everyone has their own problems, let's just focus on ours.

This must be a fucking joke looking what happened to Greece. When the people elected different government, the German one did what they did.
Being in the bio industry, when the theranos thing got big, my cohort was widely panning the whole idea of microfluidics diagnostics (it's been tried many times by many people smarter - but maybe not as driven?). Since I had just started my own nonprofit, the first thing I looked at was her board, and I knew there was going to be trouble.
More precisely everyone got the same currency but didn't have to actually live by the stability pact. The politics of Euro membership were more important than the reality. Greece should never have been allowed to join, France and German routinely ignored the Stability and Growth pact.

The problem with DB is that Germany cannot let it fail because it underwrites its export economy, plus it would be a national humiliation. However bailing it out after imposing austerity on the PIGS, especially Greece would pour fuel on the fire of anti-German sentiment in the EU.
Tags? You aren't smart enough. I hated new clothes themselves.
I am not 100% sure, but I think nginx only needs to be compiled with openssl 1.0.2, but does not otherwise care about the presence of 1.0.2 in the system. So maybe the solution will be to just use the nginx repository when it start providing binaries compiled against openssl 1.0.2.
The reason the Spanish and Irish bailouts happened in fact was to protect the "contagion" spreading to the banks of the "core" countries.

Why? Because German and French banks lent huge sums to periphery countries - which is why the bailouts were forced on them.

What you are seeing now is the chickens coming home to roost.

http://www.davidmcwilliams.ie/2012/05/10/financial-contagion...
I have not looked for an online tool, but you can download sigcheck [1] and run `sigcheck -tv` which will display "valid certificates not rooted to the Microsoft Certificate Trust List".

[1] https://technet.microsoft.com/en-us/sysinternals/bb897441
> The underlying problem Germany has is the population dynamics.

Actually the fact that wages stopped rising along with the economy as a whole (e.g. less of the generated profits get payed out as wages) seems to play an important role, too.

The retirees represent a cost in absolute numbers (e.g. they are entitled to pension benefits of a certain size). The workforce is collectivly paying out the retirees with a share of their income.

That system works fine even with a declining retiree/workforce ratio (which actually shrinks since at least the 1960s) as long as real wages continue to grow along with GDP and productivity.

Which they don't, and that's a problem.
Hey we banned liquor once too, which I am thinking was somewhat global at the time. Don't underestimate the US! USA! USA!
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Well there is devstash.io for pure code and I was hoping there'd be something centered about bootstrapping and getting a company going. struggles etc(technology included and related to business struggles) where I can discuss with likeminded people who are going from 0 to 1 or getting first group of fans going.
Good summary, but you left out the Plaintiff's argument. Their argument is ridiculous but it bears summarizing.

The law requires transactions between affiliated businesses to be "arms-length" [1]. That means that both parties come to an agreement freely and independently and that the agreement not be influenced by a special relationship between the entities. Without this rule, you can run into situations that allow companies to dodge taxes. Apple and many other companies do this all the time to take U.S. profits and funnel them to Ireland to avoid paying U.S. taxes [2].

Plaintiffs are arguing that Vanguard is violating the transfer pricing rules by having its holding company charge its mutual fund affiliates fees that are substantially lower than market rates. In fact, their argument is that Vanguard is charging 0.20% of assets managed when it should be charging 0.75% of assets managed which they claim is the market rate. Plaintiffs further claim that by charging lower than market rates due to their special relationship that Vanguard owes $34.6 billion in back taxes from 2007 to 2014. As such, Plaintiff would be entitled to $10 billion commission by bringing this to the government's attention.

And that brings us to why Plaintiff is doing this. They know the odds are so ridiculously stacked against them but it's a cheap lottery ticket for a chance to win $10 billion. And if they can put enough FUD into news articles about Vanguard [3] they just might be able to convince Vanguard to settle for a few tens of millions to make them go away.

[1] https://www.irs.gov/pub/int_practice_units/ISI9422_09_06.PDF

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_Irish_arrangement

[3] http://www.reuters.com/article/vanguard-lawsuit-taxes-idUSL1...
I was on the developer side, whose estimates are usually doubled by PMs. (or if we go by the story theme, they always assumed 'primer' may needed on every paint job) Then we had a lot of scheduling problems, and low effiency ( you finish painting the room, but people who will gonna move furniture still not available)
Sorry, but damn choice is to work 4 hours per day and be more productive than someone working 12 hour per day.
Blogful in 2016
If you include wealth transfers such as inheritance in consumption, and you include mortgage spending, then log-consumption can work fine too. The only problem is that it is more difficult to measure because you would need to track either either consumption per-person or both income and savings per-person.

Income is easily measured for individuals, and aggregate consumption is easily measured by merchants. This is why we have a progressive income tax and not progressive consumption taxes. It could be done, it is just more difficult.

You can repeat as often as you wish that "inequality" is not relevant, but you are wrong. Utility is increased more if $1 is earned/spent by a poor person than a rich person, ipso facto inequality is bad for utility, all else being equal. My reference to the economy serving the population, is just a reference to utility, as opposed to any other linear measure such as GDP.
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> Something about running as root iirc?

The daemon runs as root, so your containers are only as secure as the daemon itself.
The mere fact that the encryption ban is being discussed and bringing it up doesn't instantly end one's political career is frightening. Access to all individual's communications is a level of trust reserved for closest family members if that. And here government nonchalantly goes on to assume this level of trust from every citizen. Yet everyone except a handful of techies is completely oblivious to how monstrously perverted that is. The future looks really dark right now.
I love Martin Prince from the Simpsons: such a deadly accurate characterisation.
If nginx is built with a statically linked bundled OpenSSL that works, otherwise nginx still fails to negotiate over ALPN when OpenSSL 1.0.1 is present on the system.
I'm not sure why you are being downvoted. There are a lot of people still on Windows XP, Windows Vista, OS X 10.6, OS X 10.7 and OS X 10.8. This is dropping support for about 14% of all desktops. That's a lot of people.

It's especially irresponsible that "Chrome will continue to function on these platforms but will no longer receive updates and security fixes". They should be strongly encouraging those users to switch to a browser that's still supported on those platforms (which is probably only Firefox at this point).

Given Google's stance on autoupdating to be consistent they really should be pushing out a final update that prevents Chrome from running on those machines. A policy of "autoupdate till we don't care about you anymore" undermines the entire idea of automatically updating browsers.
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> The way to authorise online transactions is with a piece of paper with 100 codes printed on it (TAN list). This was a shock, but it's apparently common here.

Well whoever can hack your password, mobile TAN or TAN reader device will likely still not hack into your paper TAN list. There's something to be said for a "physical layer".
The bottom line is that you can no longer trust that green lock icon in your browser’s address bar. And that’s a scary, scary thing.

What's even scarier? Not being able to inspect the traffic your own machine sends or receives because the powers that be have decided that, due to Superfish and all this other unwanted MITM'ing software, to "improve security", certificate stores will be locked down so well that only the "trusted authorities" (i.e., they) can modify them.

As long as users (and by extension, the software they run) can modify the certificate store this "problem" will exist, but as this article shows, it's not hard to add and remove certificates, and thus effectively "choose who you trust". The alternative, to have no choice in who you trust, is far worse. I just hope that the security community realises this, but if things continue moving in the direction they currently are, I'm not so optimistic.

Incidentally, I also use a local MITM proxy, but to remove ads and other crap.
Not all american banks. This example is pretty spectacular:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4988f704-40a4-11e2-aafa-00144feabd...

This is a fraud nearly as bad as Kerviel, and happening at about the same time ($8bn unauthorised position), and where Goldman quietly fired the trader and did not report the fraud, which enabled the trader to work at another bank. And for that Goldman was given a mega-fine of..... $1.5m.

It helps to have friends.
Fair point, but IMNSHO for a different reason: it brings an unnecessary risk of writing "if (isValid = true)" - and now you're in trouble ;)
The delicious irony is that article which is published in The Economist makes no mention of rampant irreproducibility in the field of economics. Honi soit...
That's because their relationship with employer is voluntary.
Orbit-dynamics are very counter-intuitive
> if the potential of unforeseen mutations occurring is above zero

The potential of unforeseen mutations occurring is 100%, GM or no. How do you think species evolve?
At my day job I work a lot with data, from a multitude of sources. It amazes me how hard it is to build data products (you could think of it as an analog to scientific experiments) and know exactly what parts of the processing pipeline influenced what parts in the result.

On the other hand: When I hear that many scientists use Excel for complicated processing chains and are sometimes themselves hardly able to reproduce anything a few month after the paper was published, I believe we hit some new low point in scientific activity. Combined with an infrastructure focused on research impact and number of papers published, this is really a sad situation.
Do you have to read many pages of dense legalise in order wash clothes or drive a car, like you do with installing Spotify? Users are trained to just click "Next" until the computer boxes have gone away.

There are schools and licences for driving a car. There is no EULA for washing clothes.

If we want to train users to not click on "I Agree" to get rid of the legalese then there should be no legalese for installing Spotify or buying from Amazon. I can buy in a shop without needing to sign a 10 page document, so why not the same with Amazon?

We, in tech, have trained users to click on the green buttons to make the computer boxes go away.
While there is some truth in that, the thought that we should allow natural culling processes to continue to thrive so that the rest of the surviving genetic population can improve the species goes against many core principles built into our society.
> But we are different in that we have taken in a relatively small number of refugees (around 25.000 pa. excl. family reunions, population 6 mio.) and yet the subject number 1 in Danish politics is how to handle the strech on public finances it creates.

How much of that stretch is real, and how much is fear-mongering to influence upcoming elections? Do you have hard numbers?
1/36 is the probability that the detector is lying, and so when it says "yes" that means it's a 1/36 probability that the sun hasn't gone nova, not the probability that it could.

$50 is only really any use if the sun hasn't gone nova (cause otherwise we're all dead), so therefore even if the odds are bad it's still a good bet.

EDIT: Also, a penny just dropped after reading another of the answers. The odds against the sun having gone nova are incredibly mind-bogglingly high such that the the 1/36 probability is negligible. So even if the probability that the machine is lying is small at 1/36 it's still far far far more likely than the sun having gone nova - which is the "prior" that the Bayesian is taking into account.

Another rub might also be that the frequentist's significance (P-value) is not sufficient to take into account the astronomical scale of the Nova probability but IANAS so that's just speculation.
Relevant: adblock with DNS Server https://hub.docker.com/r/kolyunya/afdns/

This is for people who cannot edit /etc/hosts, but can change DNS server.
Rubber hose crypto is an issue but one that can be solved.
That was my initial understanding of TTIP back when the news broke.

And no, I think Zalando can afford and handle that stuff just fine considering their size. We're a small manufacturer, very different from a retailer like Zalando.
I think that reasoning is less applicable to a species like ours, which has so much power to collectively and conciously take action.
In my opinion "let nature take it's course" is just a fancy way of saying "give up".
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You can download all deb files. That's in fact what apt does. It downloads and then installs deb files.
The problem is size. It is statistically impossible to employ 300,000 people and not have one dishonest employee.

But the standard for banks is now a zero tolerance policy with multi-billions fines for any breach. It is a game they cannot win.
It can be the other way round. A child may strive to learn things and achieve academic success because he is deprived of normal love and unconsciously believes that when he proves himself smart and successful, people will recognize and love him. I.e. it's not that being gifted leads to suffering; it may be that these kids already suffer and just try harder to survive.
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Precisely! You prove my point. It was the German government and not the regular people in Germany. My "advice" applies to Germany and elsewhere equally as well. The point being, ΣΥΡΙΖΑ won with sweet words, but failed to act upon them, which is a pity. Don't think that just because Merkel gets reelected, everyone from the German nation stays behind all her government does. NO! And there was, is and will be a lot of criticism from the German people for things like this.

So, για όνομα του Θεού, don't fall into the trap the media tries to put us into (for whatever reasons, I don't care). This is not about Germans vs Greeks, it's about the consistently failing banking system around the world. Only when we realise the true nature of the problems at hand, can we deal with them.

Be well and prosperous!
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On HN several times (that I've observed), this issue has come up and the starting point of the discussion acknowledges the fact that "mosquito" is not just a single species. And we're mostly all just lay people on the subject who can use google.

It's disappointing to see an ostensibly researched article not even approach our remedial level. I wonder why anyone would upvote it.
You may be thinking about this issue: http://reventlov.com/advisories/using-the-docker-command-to-... -- which incidentally is the first thing that came my mind, too. I'm not familiar with docker, but I'm unsure how subuser could work around this.
It's because everyone can understand someone listening in to their phone calls, but computers are magic. What we need is computer literacy and for people to be educated of their rights as users of the world wide web.
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That wasn't even somewhat global by any stretch of the imagination.....
The Germans will be ok, don't worry about them, but maybe they'll change their mind about collective guilt now.

I never saw the EU bailouts as handouts from the virtuous to the losers, nor do I see it as an altruistic gift to our friends in need. I see it more as an insurance. Do people whose house isn't on fire want to punish those whose house burned down? No. We all know it could happen to us.

I don't think Germany will need a bailout, but if some day they do, we should do it.
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I think the GP is referring to differences in standard deviation, not mean, which causes the larger-deviation population to dominate at both the left and right tails.
It took centuries or more for (language) literacy to become widespread. I think we should give it more time before coming to such conclusions.

Imagine a society in which, many centuries ago, the literates decided on something similar: regular people can't be taught how to read or write, they don't need to and they won't learn.
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I would say start with some business law lecture series. I love the move from some of the best universities to put that sort of think online for free.
Proof: https://hn.algolia.com/?query=codeshare&sort=byPopularity&pr...
I like the idea of a language syntax that allows easier refactoring. I think Rust is especially good at this as well, and I'm happy to see that Jai borrows from that.
Totally correct.
and a rookie mistake in sales
Firefox accepts local certs over pinned ones by default as well (superfish affected it too).

I believe there is an about:config setting that can be changed to have it reject local certificates in the face of a pinned site, but if malware is putting certificates in Firefox's cert store, they can just as easily flip that setting as well.
The numbers exists - at least for Denmark. I think the stretch is real. Elections are not due any time soon.
It's completely reasonable to talk about refugees in terms of what they cost -- the number is important since it has to be accounted for in the budget planning after all. When you've got a reasonable feel for how high that number is, it's worth putting it into the context of the general budget to determine whether it "stretches it" (again, whatever that means). I don't have either of those numbers for Denmark.

What to do with either of them is a separate question, if the estimated cost (or its relation to the general budget) is so high that it warrants barring the entry to asylum seekers. This is obviously a difficult thing to judge, since it trades off economic policy against what is typically framed in terms of basic human rights.

Thanks for staying cool. :) I do think it's possible to have a reasonable conversation about this, and you are right that it is often strange how different the conversation is even just across the border.
Where is that? Never heard of that use case. Have you ever asked the merchant how many people use it?
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I have a friend that is considered incredibly intelligent. When he attended kindergarten he realised he was different from the other children and so deduced he must be an alien. Fortunately his hypothesis was just a phase.
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> Of course the diagnosing psychiatrist could always fudge the facts

But there is no fudging. Someone not liking something about you that you are totally OK about does negatively impact you if that person is say your spouse.

There is no fudging. This is the usual modus operandi.
They're an installer, so they pretty much automatically get an OK click at the elevation prompt when they start. After that, they can do anything.
This is a great presentation by Mike Rother to the topic of scientific thinking. See http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mrother/Homepage.html for more.
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VISA debit isn't available in NL either. I get the impressions very few countries actually give out these cards.
It wasn't you mean we tried temperance it and didn't take over the globe are use sure? Hum maybe that is why we gave up on it we are such quitters here in the US.
It can have root inside the new user namespace, which - i assume - is sufficient to chroot in its mount namespace.
But, can you capitalize?
They should strongly encourage them to upgrade their operating systems, as the underlying operating systems also don't get updates anymore.
I used it when I was taking the John Hopkins data science series on Coursera. I thought it was very basic and didn't learn much from it. That was middle of last year. Don't know if it is more challenging now.