context: There is a very good chance that Daniel left the football. It is probably the case that Bernhard is green. We doubt that Lily is a lion. It is probable that if either Lily is a lion, or Bernhard is green, then John dropped the apple. Chances are about even that if Bernhard is green, and Daniel left the football, then Winona is a wolf. It is almost certain that if Bernhard is green, and Lily is a lion, then Emily is a mouse.
hypothesis: It is probably the case that lily is a lion, or Emily is a mouse.
valid_hypothesis: We doubt that lily is a lion, or Emily is a mouse.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that lily is a lion, or Emily is a mouse.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is a lion, or Emily is a mouse.