Premise: A large black and white dog is catching a Frisbee in the park with a crowd of people behind him.
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the crowd at the park cheer as the large dog catch the Frisbee in its mouth, which is quite impressive.
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the crowd at the park cheer as the large dog catch the Frisbee in its mouth, which is quite impressive.