Premise: The strangely dressed guys, one wearing an orange wig, sunglasses with peace signs, and a karate costume with an orannge belt, another wearing a curly blue wig, heart shaped sunglasses, and a karate outfit painted with leaves, and the third wearing pink underwear, a black afro, and giant sunglasses.
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the outfits are Halloween costumes.
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the outfits are Halloween costumes.