Premise: Two little boys climbing into the gray van and the third little boy secure in his car set .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the boys are on their way to school .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the boys are on their way to school .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that children are being taken to school .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that children are being taken to school .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that kids get ready for a road trip .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that kids get ready for a road trip .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the mother is driving the van .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the mother is driving the van .
Correct statement: There is little chance that two little boys are racing to get a certain seat in the van .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two little boys are racing to get a certain seat in the van .