Premise: A man , standing with his back to the camera , films another man , facing him , with white ash trees in the background , working in a notebook .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that two men are outside one is filming the other as writes down notes
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that two men are outside one is filming the other as writes down notes
Correct statement: It is probable that one of the people in the frame is an actor .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that one of the people in the frame is an actor .
Correct statement: It is impossible that there is a man standing with his back to the camera who is unaware that he is being filmed .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that there is a man standing with his back to the camera who is unaware that he is being filmed .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that three men are making a movie .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that three men are making a movie .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that one man is filming another for an art class
Incorrect statement: It is probable that one man is filming another for an art class