Premise: The musician in the brown coat is walking in his tennis shoes .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the tennis shoes are old .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the tennis shoes are old .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the musician is walking to the store in his tennis shoes .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the musician is walking to the store in his tennis shoes .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the musician is on his way to work .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the musician is on his way to work .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man walking to a gig .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man walking to a gig .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the musician has on red tennis shoes .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the musician has on red tennis shoes .