Premise: Four women in a living room , three of which are clearly playing a musical instrument .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that one of the women is playing the guitar .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that one of the women is playing the guitar .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that female band plays in living room .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that female band plays in living room .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the other woman enjoyed the show .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the other woman enjoyed the show .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that four women play music together .
Incorrect statement: We believe that four women play music together .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is an all-woman rock band in the room
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is an all-woman rock band in the room