Premise: Two males running , one wearing red and white , the other navy blue and black , outside on a cloudy day .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two guys are running because the clouds signal rain .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that two guys are running because the clouds signal rain .
Correct statement: It is likely that the men are having fun .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the men are having fun .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the men are in a marathon .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the men are in a marathon .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two males running in a race .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two males running in a race .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two guys are having a foot race today .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that two guys are having a foot race today .