Premise: Children holding a rainbow flag and colorful balloons are walking together with an adult leading them .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that children and an adult are walking on the school playground .
Incorrect statement: We believe that children and an adult are walking on the school playground .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that three boys are walking with an adult woman .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that three boys are walking with an adult woman .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a school group goes for a walk
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a school group goes for a walk
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the children are in a class parade .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the children are in a class parade .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the children are playing during a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the children are playing during a birthday party .