Premise: A child in blue jeans with the cuffs rolled up and black socks taking a nap under a plum-colored covering decorated with large white concentric circles .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child is sleeping outside .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a child is sleeping outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a child has become tired from playing and has fallen asleep .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a child has become tired from playing and has fallen asleep .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the child 's mother is nearby .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the child 's mother is nearby .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the child is in bed .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the child is in bed .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the boy is tired from playing outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the boy is tired from playing outside .