Premise: A young man taking a picture of another young man outdoors .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that one young man is smiling .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that one young man is smiling .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man takes a picture of his best friend on a happy day outside .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man takes a picture of his best friend on a happy day outside .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a tourist asked a young man to take his picture .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a tourist asked a young man to take his picture .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is in a group
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is in a group
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is an artist .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is an artist .