Premise: An oddly dressed man wearing a plaid skirt and knee-high black boots stands is in the middle of a crowded area .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is entertaining a large crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is entertaining a large crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that man parties with crowded area
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that man parties with crowded area
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is cross dressing in a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is cross dressing in a crowd .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a huge person in a skirt .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a huge person in a skirt .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a scottish man dresses up for st paddys day
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a scottish man dresses up for st paddys day