Premise: A plane is taxiing next to some water
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a plane is next to a river .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a plane is next to a river .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the plane is getting ready to take off .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the plane is getting ready to take off .
Correct statement: We believe that the plane is on a runway .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the plane is on a runway .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a small plane is next to a lake
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a small plane is next to a lake
Correct statement: We believe that there are boats in the water .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that there are boats in the water .