Premise: A dark-skinned woman , wearing a pink top and brown and white skirt , is crossing the street .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman from the Caribbean is walking toward the park .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman from the Caribbean is walking toward the park .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the woman is holding a coffee as she walks .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the woman is holding a coffee as she walks .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that there is a woman crossing the street to go shopping .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a woman crossing the street to go shopping .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a dark-skinned fashion model is crossing the street while wearing a skirt .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a dark-skinned fashion model is crossing the street while wearing a skirt .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an African-American crossing the street
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that an African-American crossing the street