Premise: A woman wearing a blue jacket reaching out to a child .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the woman is the child 's mother .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the woman is the child 's mother .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman attempts to grab the child next to her .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman attempts to grab the child next to her .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman reaches for a child in a swimming pool .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a woman reaches for a child in a swimming pool .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman grasps for a child to help keep the child warm .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman grasps for a child to help keep the child warm .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there is an old woman .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that there is an old woman .