Premise: A mountaineer in a red parka digs his two ice axes and crampons into a frozen wall of ice .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man struggles to make his way up the ice mountain in a bright coat .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man struggles to make his way up the ice mountain in a bright coat .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man gets stuck while ice climbing .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man gets stuck while ice climbing .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is skilled with ice .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the man is skilled with ice .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a mountaineer is climbing a wall of ice .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a mountaineer is climbing a wall of ice .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman in a red coat is climbing a frozen wall .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman in a red coat is climbing a frozen wall .