Premise: A waitress wearing black is talking to a man who is wearing a red shirt and bandanna .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a waitress with blond hair is talking to a man wearing a red shirt and bandanna .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a waitress with blond hair is talking to a man wearing a red shirt and bandanna .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a waitress talks to her favorite customer
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a waitress talks to her favorite customer
Correct statement: It is almost certain that people are talking in a restaurant .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that people are talking in a restaurant .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a waitress is talking to a man about a customer she just waited on .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a waitress is talking to a man about a customer she just waited on .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a patron of the restaurant is ordering a steak
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a patron of the restaurant is ordering a steak