Premise: A man in a brown coat is wearing a helmet and riding a bicycle while carrying two plastic bags .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man rides home with his groceries .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man rides home with his groceries .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man carries his groceries home while riding a bike
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man carries his groceries home while riding a bike
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is on his way home from the store .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is on his way home from the store .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man carries groceries .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man carries groceries .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a man is carrying two plastic bags of garbage to take out on his bike .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is carrying two plastic bags of garbage to take out on his bike .