Premise: Four elementary-aged children , two boys and two girls , play on a green lawn with a tree and a building in the background .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that 4 kids are playing tag and throwing water balloons at each other .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that 4 kids are playing tag and throwing water balloons at each other .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the children are at recess .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the children are at recess .
Correct statement: It is probable that four children play outdoors at noon .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four children play outdoors at noon .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that two sets of twins are playing .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that two sets of twins are playing .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two boys and two girls are playing tag , but to the death .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that two boys and two girls are playing tag , but to the death .