Premise: Two police are on patrol on two horses .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that both of the horses are black .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that both of the horses are black .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two policemen riding their horses on patrol are looking for a lost boy .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that two policemen riding their horses on patrol are looking for a lost boy .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that two policemen are chasing a bad guy .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two policemen are chasing a bad guy .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two policemen are looking for escaped bandits
Incorrect statement: It is likely that two policemen are looking for escaped bandits
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two police are happily on patrol .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two police are happily on patrol .