Premise: A man jumps off a bridge while family watches in excitement .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is jumping recreationally .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is jumping recreationally .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man 's bungee cord saves him .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man 's bungee cord saves him .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man meant to jump off the bridge .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man meant to jump off the bridge .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man bungee jumps while his family watches .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man bungee jumps while his family watches .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man tries bungee jumping .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man tries bungee jumping .