Premise: A man with a hat and long gray beard , wearing cross , is holding a napkin and striped box .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box to eat lunch later .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box to eat lunch later .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man holding a box of cake .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man holding a box of cake .
Correct statement: We believe that the man is religious .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is religious .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a man is holding a box of fried chicken .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is holding a box of fried chicken .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is wearing pants .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is wearing pants .