Premise: A man in a black shirt appears to be jumping in the air holding two boards with a sign saying `` stomp '' in the background .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is a man performing on the street .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a man performing on the street .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man in a black shirt protesting .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man in a black shirt protesting .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is following the directions of the sign and jumping up high so he can stomp harder on the ground .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is following the directions of the sign and jumping up high so he can stomp harder on the ground .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is protesting something
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is protesting something
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is celebrating his right to hold boards .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is celebrating his right to hold boards .