Premise: A young Asian girl in a blue dress , around six years old , is twirling a pink hula hoop around her waist while standing on a well-cut lawn in front of a wooden fence and some bushes and shrubs bordering the yard .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a girl dressed in blue plays outside on a nice lawn .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a girl dressed in blue plays outside on a nice lawn .