Premise: Three elderly women , two with canes , walk through a parking lot .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that three women are walking by several red cars .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that three women are walking by several red cars .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the women are walking toward a lincoln town car .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the women are walking toward a lincoln town car .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that three women return to their cars on their way back from the community center 's bingo game .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that three women return to their cars on their way back from the community center 's bingo game .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that three old people walk slowly through a lot .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that three old people walk slowly through a lot .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the women are black
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the women are black