Premise: An attractive girl with a cigarette in one hand leaning over and showing lots of cleavage .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a girl is smoking a cigarette .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a girl is smoking a cigarette .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the girl is smoking a cigarette .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the girl is smoking a cigarette .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a girl is smoking and in a short black dress .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl is smoking and in a short black dress .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the girl is smiling at the camera .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the girl is smiling at the camera .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a cute girl flirts with someone
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a cute girl flirts with someone