Premise: Young girl in pink and green bikini , swimming with a rubber ring .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a girl is swimming in her first bikini .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a girl is swimming in her first bikini .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the girl is cute .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the girl is cute .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a young girl is swimming .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a young girl is swimming .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a young girl is playing with a rubber ring in the water .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a young girl is playing with a rubber ring in the water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the young girl is at her swimming lesson .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the young girl is at her swimming lesson .