Premise: Boy in shorts , face down in shallow , reflective water .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy is dead
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the boy is dead
Correct statement: We doubt that the boy is swimming
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the boy is swimming
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a boy has clean shorts .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a boy has clean shorts .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the boy is in shallow water .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the boy is in shallow water .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a boy has drowned in water
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a boy has drowned in water