Premise: A heavyset guy in a kilt at what appears to be a renaissance festival
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the guy in the kilt was a part of the festival
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the guy in the kilt was a part of the festival
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a fat man in a kilt performing at a fair .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a fat man in a kilt performing at a fair .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man has Scottish heritage .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the man has Scottish heritage .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a Scottish person getting ready to purchase some fair food .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a Scottish person getting ready to purchase some fair food .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a fat Irish man is at the renaissance festival .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a fat Irish man is at the renaissance festival .