Premise: A man in a blue shirt is riding a bicycle down a long paved road .
Correct statement: We doubt that a man in a blue shirt is riding a red bicycle
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man in a blue shirt is riding a red bicycle
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is exercising by riding his bike .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man is exercising by riding his bike .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man heads to his friend 's house on a bike .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man heads to his friend 's house on a bike .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that it is a nice bike
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that it is a nice bike
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man riding a bicycle to work .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man riding a bicycle to work .