Premise: A little boy with a blue shirt on sitting on the ground playing with legos .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the little boy has constructed a castle
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the little boy has constructed a castle
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a mom watches her boy play with legos .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a mom watches her boy play with legos .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy is building a Lego house .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a boy is building a Lego house .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy playing with legos outside .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a boy playing with legos outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a little boy is building a castle .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a little boy is building a castle .