Premise: A man in a bandana and a dirty t-shirt , and a woman in a graphic t-shirt , are standing next to a oblong hole with smoke coming out .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that something is on fire
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that something is on fire
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a romantic couple are standing next to a fire .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a romantic couple are standing next to a fire .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a man is wearing a red bandana .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is wearing a red bandana .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man and woman smoke cigarettes .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man and woman smoke cigarettes .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the two people are trying to keep warm next to the fire in the hole .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the two people are trying to keep warm next to the fire in the hole .