Premise: An elderly man wearing a hat and jacket is bicycling down a brick paved path while sunlight streams through autumn trees ahead .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an elderly man is heading to his girlfriend 's house on his bike .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that an elderly man is heading to his girlfriend 's house on his bike .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man has a lot of wrinkles .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man has a lot of wrinkles .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the elderly man has a black bicycle .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the elderly man has a black bicycle .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the old man is cycling to the store .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the old man is cycling to the store .
Correct statement: It is likely that an old guy riding a bike through a path to get home .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that an old guy riding a bike through a path to get home .