Premise: A shirtless man standing on the edge of a stream .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man ponders his fishing results while standing near the stream .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man ponders his fishing results while standing near the stream .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man prepares to jump into a stream .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man prepares to jump into a stream .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is about to go swimming in the stream .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is about to go swimming in the stream .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man without a top on is getting ready to get wet .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man without a top on is getting ready to get wet .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is forty
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is forty