Premise: A man wearing a blue coat with yellow stripes is sitting in an airplane that is taking off .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is flying home .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is flying home .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the airplane is flying to Tokyo .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the airplane is flying to Tokyo .
Correct statement: It is impossible that man driving airplane
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that man driving airplane
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a passenger on the plane is going on vacation .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a passenger on the plane is going on vacation .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is flying to Las Vegas on southwest airlines .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is flying to Las Vegas on southwest airlines .