Premise: A man in a red shirt is throwing a frisbee while another man wearing a white t-shirt is trying to stop him from making the throw .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the two men are playing ultimate frisbee .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the two men are playing ultimate frisbee .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that they enjoy a heated game of frisbee golf
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that they enjoy a heated game of frisbee golf
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an ultimate frisbee tournament is underway
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an ultimate frisbee tournament is underway
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man in red prepares to throw a frisbee at a window to break it .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man in red prepares to throw a frisbee at a window to break it .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two men play frisbee in the park with their dog .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two men play frisbee in the park with their dog .