Premise: A surfer with a large white surfboard and tether line is standing on the beach on an overcast day .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man with a surf board pretends he is disapointed that he ca n't surf today .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man with a surf board pretends he is disapointed that he ca n't surf today .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a surfer gauges the weather before entering the water
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a surfer gauges the weather before entering the water
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman with a large white surfboard and tether line is standing on a black sand beach on an overcast day .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman with a large white surfboard and tether line is standing on a black sand beach on an overcast day .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a surfer is wearing his swimsuit .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a surfer is wearing his swimsuit .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a surfer contemplates whether or not to surf on a cloudy day .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a surfer contemplates whether or not to surf on a cloudy day .