Premise: A woman inside a room sealed with caution tape .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there was an accident here .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there was an accident here .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that there is a woman in a room surrounded by yellow tape .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that there is a woman in a room surrounded by yellow tape .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is walking through a room that is unfit for habitation .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a woman is walking through a room that is unfit for habitation .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a person is inside a room sealed with yellow tape that says `` caution '' on it .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a person is inside a room sealed with yellow tape that says `` caution '' on it .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a woman is part of a crime investigation behind caution tape
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a woman is part of a crime investigation behind caution tape