Premise: Three people are standing in the snow preparing an ice fishing boat .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the people are holding their fishing poles .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the people are holding their fishing poles .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that people are getting a fishing boat ready for a day of fishing .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that people are getting a fishing boat ready for a day of fishing .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that people putting supplies on a boat .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that people putting supplies on a boat .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a couple fishermen are fixing an ice fishing boat and getting it ready .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a couple fishermen are fixing an ice fishing boat and getting it ready .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that three friends go ice fishing in January .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that three friends go ice fishing in January .