Premise: A small boy , wearing a yellow and red shirt , coloring on paper with a blue crayon .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young boy in a red and yellow shirt colors on paper with a blue crayon in his room
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a young boy in a red and yellow shirt colors on paper with a blue crayon in his room
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the boy is in school .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the boy is in school .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a child in a colored shirt writing with a crayon .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a child in a colored shirt writing with a crayon .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a boy and a girl color pictures together .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a boy and a girl color pictures together .
Correct statement: We believe that a small boy wants to use another crayon after coloring with the blue one .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a small boy wants to use another crayon after coloring with the blue one .