Premise: A blond woman is opening a present with a surprised look while other women around her are sitting with concerned faces .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the present was opened in the presence of her friends .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the present was opened in the presence of her friends .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman is pregnant .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the woman is pregnant .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a blond woman is happy .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a blond woman is happy .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman opens a present and is surprised to see a live puppy inside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a woman opens a present and is surprised to see a live puppy inside .
Correct statement: We believe that a blond woman opens a present covered with bows as others watch
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a blond woman opens a present covered with bows as others watch