Premise: A young girl in a green shirt and shorts out riding her bike past a very nice apartment building .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl in green bikes to her home in the apartment building
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the girl in green bikes to her home in the apartment building
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl with blonde hair is riding her bike in the street outside of a 20 story apartment building .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl with blonde hair is riding her bike in the street outside of a 20 story apartment building .
Correct statement: It is likely that a young girl rides her bike for fun .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a young girl rides her bike for fun .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl is riding a pink bicycle in the road .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a girl is riding a pink bicycle in the road .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl riding a yellow bike in the rain .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a girl riding a yellow bike in the rain .