Premise: An older man wearing a black jacket standing outside .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man stands outside in the cold .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man stands outside in the cold .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a biker gets ready to take to the road .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a biker gets ready to take to the road .
Correct statement: We believe that a man wears the black jacket because it is cold outside .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man wears the black jacket because it is cold outside .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the man 's jacket is made of leather .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man 's jacket is made of leather .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a man is outside waiting for the bus .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man is outside waiting for the bus .