Premise: An elderly woman serving bread to a man and a woman dressed in blue t-shirts and light brown pants
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the older woman is the owner of a cafe .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the older woman is the owner of a cafe .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a short person serving bread
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a short person serving bread
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a lady serves bread to guests at a picnic .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a lady serves bread to guests at a picnic .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman entertains guests .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman entertains guests .
Correct statement: It is likely that two hungry people get bread
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two hungry people get bread