Premise: A person wearing a hat and carrying a knapsack walks uphill on a sand dune under a dark , cloudy sky and leaves the only visible footprints behind .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man in a hat who has a knapsack walks quickly up a sand dune to try to get home before the cloudy skies start to rain .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man in a hat who has a knapsack walks quickly up a sand dune to try to get home before the cloudy skies start to rain .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the person is in Michigan .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the person is in Michigan .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that someone is walking to the beach .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that someone is walking to the beach .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a person is walking near the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a person is walking near the beach .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is trying to hitchhike his way across a desert .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man is trying to hitchhike his way across a desert .