Premise: A group of young African American kids sitting on a white wall in front of a white building .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the kids are waiting on the school bus .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the kids are waiting on the school bus .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a group of kids are in front of a building at lunch time .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a group of kids are in front of a building at lunch time .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a group of kids are hanging out outside in a city .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a group of kids are hanging out outside in a city .
Correct statement: It is certain that a group of boys are outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a group of boys are outside .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a group of kids are sitting on a white wall , waiting for class to start .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a group of kids are sitting on a white wall , waiting for class to start .