Premise: A woman rides her bike down the street in the fall .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is in a city .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman is in a city .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an elderly woman is riding her bike .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that an elderly woman is riding her bike .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is riding her bike through the leaves in the fall .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a woman is riding her bike through the leaves in the fall .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a person is riding a bike down the lane .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a person is riding a bike down the lane .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is delivering papers on her bike .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the woman is delivering papers on her bike .