Premise: A woman in revealing clothes who wears a black hat and sunglasses walks down a busy street .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman wearing sunglasses walks down a busy street avoiding others
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman wearing sunglasses walks down a busy street avoiding others
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is hiding from the sun .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the woman is hiding from the sun .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is wearing a hat and sunglasses to disguise herself .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the woman is wearing a hat and sunglasses to disguise herself .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is walking to work .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the woman is walking to work .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a woman in sexy clothes walks outside to see her husband
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman in sexy clothes walks outside to see her husband