Premise: A bald man in a white shirt is grilling outside during the day in the sunlight .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is hosting a barbeque .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man is hosting a barbeque .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a bald man is grilling food for his family on the 4th of July .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a bald man is grilling food for his family on the 4th of July .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is holding a cookout for his parents
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is holding a cookout for his parents
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is grilling hot dogs
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is grilling hot dogs
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a bald man in a white shirt is grilling in the sunlight to cook food for his family .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a bald man in a white shirt is grilling in the sunlight to cook food for his family .