Premise: The biker is riding around a curve in the road .
Correct statement: We believe that the road the biker is on is paved with asphalt .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the road the biker is on is paved with asphalt .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a biker is following the road .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a biker is following the road .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the biker is riding a BMX bike down the road .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the biker is riding a BMX bike down the road .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the biker is riding in a bike race .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the biker is riding in a bike race .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the biker is a woman .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the biker is a woman .