Premise: Blond child with large black coat , multicolored scarf , and knit hat standing in front of a window .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a girl is wearing winter outerwear preparing to go outside .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a girl is wearing winter outerwear preparing to go outside .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a child is standing in front of a window waiting for the bus .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a child is standing in front of a window waiting for the bus .
Correct statement: It is probable that a blond child prepares to go outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a blond child prepares to go outside .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a young girl stands in front of the store window .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a young girl stands in front of the store window .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl wants to go outside .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the girl wants to go outside .