Premise: An older man in a gray sweater and blue pants is shaping something in a forge on an anvil .
Correct statement: It is probable that an older man has a light gray sweater .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an older man has a light gray sweater .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is a sculptor .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is a sculptor .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man making a present for his wife .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man making a present for his wife .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that an older man is sitting next to an anvil .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an older man is sitting next to an anvil .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man is making a sword on an forge .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that an old man is making a sword on an forge .