Premise: A man in a blue canoe paddling in the ocean .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the man is paddling on a gloomy day .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is paddling on a gloomy day .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is paddling a canoe for exercise .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is paddling a canoe for exercise .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is going fishing .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the man is going fishing .
Correct statement: We believe that the water is calm .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the water is calm .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man crosses the ocean via canoe
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man crosses the ocean via canoe