Premise: An adult female and three children are in a canoe with one of the kids rowing the boat .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that an adult female and three children are in a white canoe .
Incorrect statement: We believe that an adult female and three children are in a white canoe .
Correct statement: It is probable that a mother and children enjoying a day on the water
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a mother and children enjoying a day on the water
Correct statement: We doubt that a family going fishing
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a family going fishing
Correct statement: It is impossible that the new lake has given the family a lot of fun things to do .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the new lake has given the family a lot of fun things to do .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the family went on a canoe trip on Sunday .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the family went on a canoe trip on Sunday .