Premise: A young man in a brown shirt and cap has a blue and red cooler ready to go .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young man has a cooler filled with drinks for a day out at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a young man has a cooler filled with drinks for a day out at the beach .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a young man has packed a picnic lunch .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a young man has packed a picnic lunch .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young man is heading to the beach with his cooler .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a young man is heading to the beach with his cooler .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is getting things ready for the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is getting things ready for the beach .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a cooler is full of beer .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a cooler is full of beer .