Premise: Two swans swimming in the water .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there 's a male and a female swan swimming .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there 's a male and a female swan swimming .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that two swans are white .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that two swans are white .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the two swans are mates .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the two swans are mates .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that swans swimming a pond .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that swans swimming a pond .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two white swans are swimming violently in the lake .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two white swans are swimming violently in the lake .