Premise: A little boy rides a bike down a hill on a miniature dirt bike .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a little boy is hitting a jump on a hill on a miniature dirt bike .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a little boy is hitting a jump on a hill on a miniature dirt bike .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the child is going down the hill to get to the playground .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the child is going down the hill to get to the playground .
Correct statement: It is probable that the boy is a teenager .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the boy is a teenager .
Correct statement: We believe that a little boy is going downhill quickly .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a little boy is going downhill quickly .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the little boy practices to become a professional dirt biker .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the little boy practices to become a professional dirt biker .