Premise: A man in an orange ski suit top with black bottoms has finished performing a trick and is in midair .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a huge person in bottoms
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a huge person in bottoms
Correct statement: It is probable that the man is a skier .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is a skier .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the man is participating in the Paralympics as a skiier and skate-boarder .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is participating in the Paralympics as a skiier and skate-boarder .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in an orange ski suit takes a makes a jump while going down a hill and does a trick
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man in an orange ski suit takes a makes a jump while going down a hill and does a trick
Correct statement: It is probable that a man in a bright outfit has done this trick many times before .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man in a bright outfit has done this trick many times before .