Premise: A fat man is refueling his Chevy SUV outside of a store that has a sign that says Terrible 's Beer .
Correct statement: It is certain that a man is refueling his SUV .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man is refueling his SUV .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man fills his SUV before grabbing a 6-pack at Terrible 's Beer
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man fills his SUV before grabbing a 6-pack at Terrible 's Beer
Correct statement: It is improbable that the man just came from the bar and is planning on driving home after drinking .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the man just came from the bar and is planning on driving home after drinking .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a fat man is refueling his Chevy SUV after buying alcohol .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a fat man is refueling his Chevy SUV after buying alcohol .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is refueling his truck next to a store that sells awful tasting beer .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is refueling his truck next to a store that sells awful tasting beer .