Premise: A group of people on a cliff one with no shirt and khaki shorts , one in a black ball cap , white shirt and black shorts and another in a striped shirt , black shorts holding a video camera .
Correct statement: We believe that they are filming a video .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that they are filming a video .
Correct statement: We believe that a group of men stand about
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a group of men stand about
Correct statement: We believe that the group is near the beach
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the group is near the beach
Correct statement: It is improbable that the people are on a hiking trip .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the people are on a hiking trip .
Correct statement: It is probable that the group of people are posing for a picture on the cliff .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the group of people are posing for a picture on the cliff .