Premise: Discussing the rainy weather .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it will be sunny tomorrow .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that it will be sunny tomorrow .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that people under their umbrellas .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that people under their umbrellas .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two men were discussing the weather
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two men were discussing the weather
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the two friends are discussing the weather .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the two friends are discussing the weather .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a conversation about the weather over a cup of tea
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a conversation about the weather over a cup of tea