Premise: A little girl in blue is watching a little boy in black swing at a disney princess pinata .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl stand behind a boy swinging at a pinata .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl stand behind a boy swinging at a pinata .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that this boy is about to split the pinata open
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that this boy is about to split the pinata open
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the girl is watching the boy at a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the girl is watching the boy at a birthday party .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a girl celebrates her birthday
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a girl celebrates her birthday
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a sister watches her brother swing .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a sister watches her brother swing .