Premise: Triangular blue and red flags flutter in the wind .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the flags are for the 4th of July celebrations .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the flags are for the 4th of July celebrations .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that flags on a boat blow in the wind
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that flags on a boat blow in the wind
Correct statement: It is almost certain that it 's windy outside .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that it 's windy outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there is a parade outside
Incorrect statement: It is probable that there is a parade outside
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the flags were raised half staff because it was veterans day
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the flags were raised half staff because it was veterans day