Premise: An elderly man kayaking in a body of water with a cute bird on the corner of his little boat .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man in his kayak while his wife is in an adjacent kayak watching him .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man in his kayak while his wife is in an adjacent kayak watching him .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that an elderly man was kayaking on a sunny day .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that an elderly man was kayaking on a sunny day .
Correct statement: We believe that an elderly man is enjoying his day out on the rapids .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that an elderly man is enjoying his day out on the rapids .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man is kayaking in the river .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an old man is kayaking in the river .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is 18 years old .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is 18 years old .