Premise: An old man smiling at the camera in front of a rocky , barren patch of land .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that old man with mustache smiling towards camera
Incorrect statement: It is certain that old man with mustache smiling towards camera
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is a model
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is a model
Correct statement: Chances are about even that someone posing for a picture as his family watches in the background
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that someone posing for a picture as his family watches in the background
Correct statement: It is impossible that a 70-year-old hiker is glad to be rescued after being lost for a week .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a 70-year-old hiker is glad to be rescued after being lost for a week .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is smiling because he is drunk and happy .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is smiling because he is drunk and happy .