Premise: Two children walk down a path into the woods .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that two children are staring at the sky .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two children are staring at the sky .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that some kids are talking quietly .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that some kids are talking quietly .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two children are walking towards their friend 's home in the woods .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two children are walking towards their friend 's home in the woods .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two boys stumble upon a large log on a path .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two boys stumble upon a large log on a path .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that kids are lost in the forest .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that kids are lost in the forest .