Premise: A woman in heels holding the arm of a man walking up steps in the snow .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is helped up snowy steps by her husband .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is helped up snowy steps by her husband .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman needs assistance getting up the steps .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the woman needs assistance getting up the steps .
Correct statement: We doubt that a woman in heels holds another man on the arm because they are dating .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman in heels holds another man on the arm because they are dating .
Correct statement: We doubt that the woman is on a date .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the woman is on a date .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman and man are a couple .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the woman and man are a couple .