Premise: A white man in a blue shirt playing golf .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man plays golf while his wife watches from the golf cart
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man plays golf while his wife watches from the golf cart
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man is playing golf .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is playing golf .
Correct statement: It is likely that a white man is playing golf alone .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a white man is playing golf alone .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man gets his golf ball into the clown 's mouth .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man gets his golf ball into the clown 's mouth .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is outside playing golf and having the best round of his life .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is outside playing golf and having the best round of his life .