Premise: There is a shirtless toned white man standing on a balcony of a construction site and holding some sort of tool .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the tool might be a hammer
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the tool might be a hammer
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a construction worker uses a wrench on the balcony .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a construction worker uses a wrench on the balcony .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a shirtless toned man on the balcony building a bench .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that there is a shirtless toned man on the balcony building a bench .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is working at the construction site .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is working at the construction site .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is about to get off work .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is about to get off work .