Premise: A large crowd is assembled on an outdoor street scene , with toy balloons visible and a woman walking a pink bicycle in the foreground .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a group gathered to celebrate a birthday , while a mom brings a bike to her friend .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a group gathered to celebrate a birthday , while a mom brings a bike to her friend .
Correct statement: We doubt that an elderly woman with a pink bicycle walks in front of a large crowd assembled on an outdoor street scene with balloons
Incorrect statement: It is probable that an elderly woman with a pink bicycle walks in front of a large crowd assembled on an outdoor street scene with balloons
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a crowd gathered to watch a street performer while a woman walks her bike on the street
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a crowd gathered to watch a street performer while a woman walks her bike on the street
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a local street-fair is entertaining the neighborhood during the yearly celebration in the town .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a local street-fair is entertaining the neighborhood during the yearly celebration in the town .
Correct statement: It is likely that this is a child 's birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that this is a child 's birthday party .