Premise: A group of Japanese men in bright red shirts play tug-of-war while an ethnically dressed Japanese man stands nearby and watches .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there are two men from Tokyo .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that there are two men from Tokyo .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the men playing tug-of-war were not competitive .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the men playing tug-of-war were not competitive .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that people are playing tug of war on vacation
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that people are playing tug of war on vacation
Correct statement: It is impossible that several Japanese men play tug-of-war against only one giant Japanese man
Incorrect statement: We believe that several Japanese men play tug-of-war against only one giant Japanese man
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a group of Japanese men play tug-of-war on a beach while a man watches .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of Japanese men play tug-of-war on a beach while a man watches .