Premise: A young Mormon man walking with his bike downtown .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a Mormon walks to work with his bike .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a Mormon walks to work with his bike .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the young man passes a storefront .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the young man passes a storefront .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man walks a bike with a flat tire
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man walks a bike with a flat tire
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is religious .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is religious .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young man has a flat tire on his bike .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a young man has a flat tire on his bike .