Premise: A lady dressed in a peacock outfit at a parade .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is dressed like a peacock to entertain children .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a woman is dressed like a peacock to entertain children .
Correct statement: It is probable that a girl is dressed as a peacock to attend a Halloween parade .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a girl is dressed as a peacock to attend a Halloween parade .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is riding on a float in the parade .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is riding on a float in the parade .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the parade is at Disney .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the parade is at Disney .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the lady is part of the parade .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the lady is part of the parade .