Premise: Three people wearing costumes are standing around talking .
Correct statement: We believe that three people attending a Halloween party .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that three people attending a Halloween party .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the group is at their mother 's Halloween party .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the group is at their mother 's Halloween party .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that people are getting ready for a play .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that people are getting ready for a play .
Correct statement: It is impossible that they are talking on their phones .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that they are talking on their phones .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that really tall people
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that really tall people