Premise: A person crosses the street and avoids the spill of paint .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is out for a walk in town .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is out for a walk in town .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that someone spilled paint in the road in an attempt to ruin this person 's clothes .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that someone spilled paint in the road in an attempt to ruin this person 's clothes .
Correct statement: We doubt that a person narrowly misses getting paint on the soles of her feet .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a person narrowly misses getting paint on the soles of her feet .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the person is wearing pants .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the person is wearing pants .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the paint is bright yellow .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the paint is bright yellow .