Premise: A blond woman , who is sitting outside in the grass , is applying face paint and looking in a mirror .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is outside on the ground is putting on a costume .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman is outside on the ground is putting on a costume .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman applies face paint at a game .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman applies face paint at a game .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is sitting on grass to paint childrens faces .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman is sitting on grass to paint childrens faces .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman with her hair pulled back is sitting on a lawn applying make up .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a woman with her hair pulled back is sitting on a lawn applying make up .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is getting ready to perform on a unicycle and is putting on funny clown face paint .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the woman is getting ready to perform on a unicycle and is putting on funny clown face paint .