Premise: An apparent political event is shown with a crowd closeup , focusing on a middle-aged man in a purple shirt , with a person hoisting a platter of canapes to his right and a ' Hillary ' campaign sign to his rear left .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man in a purple shirt is holding up a banner .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man in a purple shirt is holding up a banner .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man supports the candidate .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man supports the candidate .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the political event takes place outdoors at the park .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the political event takes place outdoors at the park .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is attending a political rally .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is attending a political rally .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the political event is held outside where the sun is shining
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the political event is held outside where the sun is shining