Premise: A woman with reddish hair applies mascara to her eyelashes .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the lady is getting ready for a date and is putting on her eye makeup .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the lady is getting ready for a date and is putting on her eye makeup .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is applying red mascara to her eyelashes .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman is applying red mascara to her eyelashes .
Correct statement: It is certain that the woman is looking in a mirror
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the woman is looking in a mirror
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is preparing for a date .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is preparing for a date .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a beautiful woman .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a beautiful woman .