Premise: A young child is playing in a water tank with toys .
Correct statement: It is likely that a kid plays with toy boats in some water .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a kid plays with toy boats in some water .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a child is playing with a blue toy
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a child is playing with a blue toy
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a child is playing with toys in a water tank on a hot day .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a child is playing with toys in a water tank on a hot day .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the child is unsupervised .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the child is unsupervised .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child has many toys
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a child has many toys