Premise: A little boy wearing a backpack jumps off a ledge and onto the ground .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a small boy camping in the mountains .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a small boy camping in the mountains .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that there is a child in midair .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that there is a child in midair .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the little boy is jumping around at the park .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the little boy is jumping around at the park .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a little boy is trying to break his arm so he can get out of climbing the road in gym class .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a little boy is trying to break his arm so he can get out of climbing the road in gym class .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a child playing after school .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a child playing after school .