Premise: Three men are riding on an elephant with a shack in the background and two of them are wearing hats .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the men are riding toward the shack .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the men are riding toward the shack .
Correct statement: It is impossible that three circus clowns perform their act on an elephant .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that three circus clowns perform their act on an elephant .
Correct statement: It is impossible that men are riding an elephant at the zoo .
Incorrect statement: We believe that men are riding an elephant at the zoo .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men are riding elephants for fun .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the men are riding elephants for fun .
Correct statement: It is impossible that three men are showing an audience how to ride an elephant .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that three men are showing an audience how to ride an elephant .