Premise: A male adolescent or young teenager is wearing camouflaged shorts or long swim trunks and is upside down over a body of water like a lake or reservoir whose cement walls and graveled top appear in the corner .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a teenager is doing a flip into the water .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a teenager is doing a flip into the water .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young teenager is wearing clean camouflaged shorts .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a young teenager is wearing clean camouflaged shorts .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy is thirteen years old
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the boy is thirteen years old
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a teenager is upside down while in mid fall into a body of water .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a teenager is upside down while in mid fall into a body of water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is swimming
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is swimming