Premise: A man on a bike hit by a vehicle sitting on the floor holding his head while others watch .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a car/pedestrian accident recently happened
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a car/pedestrian accident recently happened
Correct statement: It is likely that the bike was wreaked really bad .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the bike was wreaked really bad .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is on injured on the floor while others watch as he waits for medics to arrive .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is on injured on the floor while others watch as he waits for medics to arrive .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the car drove away .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the car drove away .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a motorcyclist has a black jacket .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a motorcyclist has a black jacket .