Premise: Two men , dressed in black , are standing on a sidewalk in an urban area while one lights a cigarette .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the two men dressed in black are from the movie , `` Men in Black . ''
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the two men dressed in black are from the movie , `` Men in Black . ''
Correct statement: We doubt that they each have a lit cigarette now .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that they each have a lit cigarette now .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that two men have stepped out of a funeral to take a smoke break outside .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that two men have stepped out of a funeral to take a smoke break outside .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two men stand outside to smoke .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two men stand outside to smoke .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two burglars await the perfect time to enter the jewelry store .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two burglars await the perfect time to enter the jewelry store .