Premise: Guy and girl in jackets while guy listens to mobile device
Correct statement: Chances are about even that people are cold .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that people are cold .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a guy and his girlfriend wear jackets .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a guy and his girlfriend wear jackets .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that there are people outside in blue jackets .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that there are people outside in blue jackets .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a man and a woman are outside while the male listens to a podcast .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man and a woman are outside while the male listens to a podcast .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a guy listens to a voicemail message from his mobile device .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a guy listens to a voicemail message from his mobile device .