Premise: A pitcher is getting ready to throw a ball during a baseball game .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a pitcher is at a baseball game and his team is winning .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a pitcher is at a baseball game and his team is winning .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the pitcher throws a strike .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the pitcher throws a strike .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a pitcher is playing in a championship game .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a pitcher is playing in a championship game .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a pitcher prepares to throw the ball while the runner on third prepares to try to steal home
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a pitcher prepares to throw the ball while the runner on third prepares to try to steal home
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the teams are good .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the teams are good .