Premise: A small boy wearing a diaper stands near the door and is covered in marker .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy drew on him self in permanent marker .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a boy drew on him self in permanent marker .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a boy is standing inside .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a boy is standing inside .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that small boy standing near bathroom covered in markings .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that small boy standing near bathroom covered in markings .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a little boy has found a Sharpie marker and covered all over himself
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a little boy has found a Sharpie marker and covered all over himself
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a toddler is covered in marker
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a toddler is covered in marker