Premise: A woman with a shopping bag labeled `` sale '' stands in a crowd next to a young man with a camera .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a female employee is handing out shopping bags at a sale near a young photographer .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a female employee is handing out shopping bags at a sale near a young photographer .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a woman is shopping
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is shopping
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman bought her son a camera .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a woman bought her son a camera .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman standing next to the man with the camera are good friends .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the woman standing next to the man with the camera are good friends .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young man photographs a large group
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a young man photographs a large group