Premise: There is a man with a fedora hat and blue dress coat playing an accordion in front of a sign .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man playing an accordion is outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man playing an accordion is outside .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the fedora is brown .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the fedora is brown .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man performs for tips
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man performs for tips
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a guy plays jazz music in front of a sign
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a guy plays jazz music in front of a sign
Correct statement: It is almost certain that there is a man with a white fedora hat .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that there is a man with a white fedora hat .