Premise: A barefoot male reading a book in the rain outside .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a barefoot man is reading a fictional book outside in the rain .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a barefoot man is reading a fictional book outside in the rain .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man reads in the rain while barefoot because he is trying to get back to nature .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man reads in the rain while barefoot because he is trying to get back to nature .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man reads poems in the rain without shoes .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man reads poems in the rain without shoes .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a young man is reading the latest escapist fiction novel in the rain .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a young man is reading the latest escapist fiction novel in the rain .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man reads a book in the rain while he waits for his ride .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man reads a book in the rain while he waits for his ride .