Premise: Small boy wearing a blue shirt being brought up out of water by man in white shirt and wearing glasses .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is a lifeguard at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is a lifeguard at the beach .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a small boy is in water swimming .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a small boy is in water swimming .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is rescuing the boy .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is rescuing the boy .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a father lifting his son out of the swimming pool
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a father lifting his son out of the swimming pool
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the boy was drowning .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the boy was drowning .