Premise: An African man wearing a maroon suit top is leaning next to a tall tied bundle of sticks , with bales of leaves in the background .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man and the sticks he picked up for firewood
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man and the sticks he picked up for firewood
Correct statement: It is highly likely that an African man wearing a maroon suit top is standing outside .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that an African man wearing a maroon suit top is standing outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is staring off into the distance .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is staring off into the distance .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man in a red shirt is selling some firewood .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man in a red shirt is selling some firewood .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the well dressed African man is visiting a farm .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the well dressed African man is visiting a farm .