Premise: A man with a large horn sitting in front of an Calvin Klein Steel , featuring a black man staring on .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a black man stares at a person in the distance .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a black man stares at a person in the distance .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that he is staring at a woman .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that he is staring at a woman .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man plays prepares to play his musical instrument while in front of the advertisement
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man plays prepares to play his musical instrument while in front of the advertisement
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a salesmen is standing around trying to sell his wares .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a salesmen is standing around trying to sell his wares .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that some guy with a large trumbone is in front of an ad .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that some guy with a large trumbone is in front of an ad .