Premise: Family taking a winter walk in a park path while two of the children run ahead of the family .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the family takes a walk in the snow .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the family takes a walk in the snow .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the children are twin brothers .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the children are twin brothers .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a family of four is enjoying the snow outdoors .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a family of four is enjoying the snow outdoors .
Correct statement: We believe that a family is having fun .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a family is having fun .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the family is cold and will return from their walk soon .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the family is cold and will return from their walk soon .