Premise: A short , somewhat portly man playing baseball is stepping onto a base as the player from the other team at that base is appearing to catch the ball .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a short man stole a base before any of the opposing team 's players could react
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a short man stole a base before any of the opposing team 's players could react
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man playing baseball is called `` out '' for not stepping on the base quickly enough .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man playing baseball is called `` out '' for not stepping on the base quickly enough .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the short man just barely makes it to the base in time , but he is safe .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the short man just barely makes it to the base in time , but he is safe .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a baseball player makes it over the plate before the other team gets him out .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a baseball player makes it over the plate before the other team gets him out .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man steps up to bat .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man steps up to bat .