Premise: Two dogs splash through the water .
Correct statement: We believe that two dogs are in the water .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two dogs are in the water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that some dogs are having some fun in the sun dancing through the puddles of water
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that some dogs are having some fun in the sun dancing through the puddles of water
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two dogs are outside in the rain .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two dogs are outside in the rain .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two dogs are being chased by their owner .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two dogs are being chased by their owner .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it has just rained making puddles of water for the dogs to splash through .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that it has just rained making puddles of water for the dogs to splash through .