Premise: A long-haired young man skateboarding on the rails on a cloudy day .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a skateboarder is doing tricks .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a skateboarder is doing tricks .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a young man tries to skateboard home before it rains .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a young man tries to skateboard home before it rains .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the boy is going to do a pop-shove it .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the boy is going to do a pop-shove it .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a young man is skateboarding in the rain .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a young man is skateboarding in the rain .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a long-haired man is on the rails with a skateboard on a cloudy day to impress his girlfriend .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a long-haired man is on the rails with a skateboard on a cloudy day to impress his girlfriend .