Premise: A man on a white horse looks into the distance , as does a man in a red hat standing nearby .
Correct statement: We doubt that a tall man .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a tall man .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man on a horse and a man nearby look into the distance at a tornado .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man on a horse and a man nearby look into the distance at a tornado .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the men are looking towards the sunset .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the men are looking towards the sunset .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that two brothers enjoy time on the ranch
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two brothers enjoy time on the ranch
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that both men were looking at the approaching storm .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that both men were looking at the approaching storm .