Premise: A black dog walking through splashing water in a rocky creek .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the dog is having fun .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the dog is having fun .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a black Lab carries a stick through a creek in the woods .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a black Lab carries a stick through a creek in the woods .
Correct statement: It is likely that the dog is walking with its owner .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the dog is walking with its owner .
Correct statement: It is probable that a black dog walking with it 's owner in a water filled creek .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a black dog walking with it 's owner in a water filled creek .
Correct statement: It is impossible that it is a hot july day .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that it is a hot july day .