Premise: An Asian woman is posing with a red umbrella in a marketplace in China .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman was posing for a picture that would appear in a magazine .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the woman was posing for a picture that would appear in a magazine .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a Chinese woman holding an umbrella poses in the ran next to a fruit stand .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a Chinese woman holding an umbrella poses in the ran next to a fruit stand .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a Chinese model posing .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a Chinese model posing .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a lady is taking a picture .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a lady is taking a picture .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is expecting rain while holding her umbrella .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman is expecting rain while holding her umbrella .