Premise: A dark-skinned man in a straw hat playing guitar and a man in sunglasses listening and smiling .
Correct statement: We believe that the man in the straw hat plays his guitar for money .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man in the straw hat plays his guitar for money .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man plays guitar to try to earn tips .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man plays guitar to try to earn tips .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man in sunglasses is enjoying the music .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man in sunglasses is enjoying the music .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man listening and smiling paid for the services of the dark-skinned man playing the guitar .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man listening and smiling paid for the services of the dark-skinned man playing the guitar .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is playing guitar for another man as part of an audition .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man is playing guitar for another man as part of an audition .