Premise: Two boys playing around the shores of a lake with one boy in a teal shirt throwing rocks into the lake .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a group of boys are being disruptive and rowdy at the nearby lake .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a group of boys are being disruptive and rowdy at the nearby lake .
Correct statement: It is probable that two boys are picking up rocks .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two boys are picking up rocks .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boys are playing catch by the lake .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the boys are playing catch by the lake .
Correct statement: We believe that two boys are bored hanging out by a lake , so one boy decides to skip rocks .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two boys are bored hanging out by a lake , so one boy decides to skip rocks .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the boys are playing with stone , ready to swim in the lake afterwards .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the boys are playing with stone , ready to swim in the lake afterwards .