Premise: A woman sits on a gray bench beside a bottle .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the bench is dirty .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the bench is dirty .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman sits on a bench , drinking while watching a parade .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a woman sits on a bench , drinking while watching a parade .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman sits on a gray bench with her bottle of water .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a woman sits on a gray bench with her bottle of water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is eating food .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman is eating food .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the woman is looking out toward the beach .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is looking out toward the beach .