Premise: A smiling Asian woman holding her baby
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an Asian woman holds her first-born child .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an Asian woman holds her first-born child .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that mother comforts her baby
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that mother comforts her baby
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman has other children .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the woman has other children .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is outside
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman is outside
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the baby is smiling
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the baby is smiling