Premise: A black station wagon with its lights on , partially submerged in water with a wooded area behind it .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that there has been an accident at night , resulting in this car being submerged .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that there has been an accident at night , resulting in this car being submerged .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the driver of the wagon got in an accident and veered into the water .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the driver of the wagon got in an accident and veered into the water .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a car has crashed into a lake .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a car has crashed into a lake .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a car is floating less and less as the woods shrink from view beneath the murky waters .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a car is floating less and less as the woods shrink from view beneath the murky waters .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a car is sinking into water .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a car is sinking into water .