Premise: A little boy in blue is pulling a toy car .
Correct statement: We doubt that the boy is playing with his birthday present .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the boy is playing with his birthday present .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy playing with a car he got for his birthday .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a boy playing with a car he got for his birthday .
Correct statement: We believe that a little boy is smiling and having a great time .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a little boy is smiling and having a great time .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a toddler in blue is pulling a toy police car .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a toddler in blue is pulling a toy police car .
Correct statement: We believe that the boy is wearing a blue shirt .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the boy is wearing a blue shirt .