Premise: A man in a long black coat with a walking stick is walking next to a bus where the passenger is resting his head on his hand .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a man is walking next to a bus a night time .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is walking next to a bus a night time .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the passenger is tired .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the passenger is tired .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man with a limp walks with his walking stick alongside a bus .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man with a limp walks with his walking stick alongside a bus .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is walking to get on the bus .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is walking to get on the bus .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man walks to the bus stop .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man walks to the bus stop .