Premise: A man is standing outside at a cafe .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that outside the cafe , a man is drinking a latte .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that outside the cafe , a man is drinking a latte .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is waiting for someone to join him .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is waiting for someone to join him .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man 's waiting for his wife .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man 's waiting for his wife .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man waits for his date to arrive near the door of a cafe .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man waits for his date to arrive near the door of a cafe .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man is holding a coffee cup .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man is holding a coffee cup .