Premise: A woman gasps while opening a present .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is opening a present given to her by her husband .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the woman is opening a present given to her by her husband .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it is Christmas morning .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that it is Christmas morning .
Correct statement: We doubt that a large woman gasping .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a large woman gasping .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a woman is surprised while opening a present .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is surprised while opening a present .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the adult is sitting around her birthday presents .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the adult is sitting around her birthday presents .