Premise: A man in a green machine is cleaning a pump in front of the Drake hotel .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man cleans a sump pump in New York City .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man cleans a sump pump in New York City .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is in front of the Drake hotel because he works there .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is in front of the Drake hotel because he works there .
Correct statement: It is probable that a plumber is cleaning up a huge mess in front of the Drake hotel .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a plumber is cleaning up a huge mess in front of the Drake hotel .
Correct statement: It is probable that the man is a plumber
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is a plumber
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is cleaning a fuel pump in front of an old building .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man is cleaning a fuel pump in front of an old building .