Premise: The horse on the right has a red mane .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the horse with the red mane is with other horses .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the horse with the red mane is with other horses .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the white horse had a rarely colored mane
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the white horse had a rarely colored mane
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the horse on the right has a red coat .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the horse on the right has a red coat .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there are exactly two horses
Incorrect statement: We believe that there are exactly two horses
Correct statement: It is impossible that the red-maned horse is called `` Fred '' .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the red-maned horse is called `` Fred '' .