Premise: Kids playing at a park jungle gym .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that kids are running and jumping at a park .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that kids are running and jumping at a park .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that kids are playing at a park for a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that kids are playing at a park for a birthday party .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that kids are taking a recess break at school .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that kids are taking a recess break at school .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there are parents watching the kids .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that there are parents watching the kids .
Correct statement: We believe that several kids are playing on the monkey bars
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that several kids are playing on the monkey bars