Premise: A girl plays with a necklace as the sun shines behind her .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl plays with the necklace her daddy got her .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a girl plays with the necklace her daddy got her .
Correct statement: We doubt that a girl plays outside in the sun with her mother 's necklace .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a girl plays outside in the sun with her mother 's necklace .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a kid is outdoors looking for treasure .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a kid is outdoors looking for treasure .
Correct statement: It is probable that a girl tries to put her necklace on .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl tries to put her necklace on .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl has a gold necklace .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a girl has a gold necklace .