Premise: The ground where the bike is parked is muddy with pebbles embedded into the road .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the bike downtown near the courthouse .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the bike downtown near the courthouse .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the mailman parked his bike
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the mailman parked his bike
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that it rained yesterday
Incorrect statement: We believe that it rained yesterday
Correct statement: We doubt that the bike belongs to a child .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the bike belongs to a child .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a bike is covered with mud from the mud on the road .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a bike is covered with mud from the mud on the road .