Premise: A young overlooks a city street from a balcony .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a young man looks at the street from his hotel room .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a young man looks at the street from his hotel room .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the person is looking at the man walking below .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the person is looking at the man walking below .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the person is 13 .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the person is 13 .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young looks at the cars going by .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a young looks at the cars going by .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a person is waiting for their friend .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a person is waiting for their friend .