Premise: A man sitting on the back of a truck underneath an umbrella .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is sitting outside in the rain .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is sitting outside in the rain .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man stuck in a rainstorm waits for help
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man stuck in a rainstorm waits for help
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man 's son holds an umbrella for his father
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man 's son holds an umbrella for his father
Correct statement: It is impossible that a guy on the back of a truck waiting to go home
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a guy on the back of a truck waiting to go home
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a huge person sitting
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a huge person sitting