Premise: A bunch of birds outside of a building .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the birds are black .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the birds are black .
Correct statement: It is improbable that birds are sitting on the ledge .
Incorrect statement: We believe that birds are sitting on the ledge .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the photo is in a city .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the photo is in a city .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the birds are the same .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the birds are the same .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a group of birds fly above a building .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a group of birds fly above a building .