Premise: A shirtless man with a cigarette stands while a second man in sunglasses and a red shirt points at the first .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man in the shirt is angry
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man in the shirt is angry
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two men are about to fight
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two men are about to fight
Correct statement: It is certain that a shirtless man with a cigarette stands smoking .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a shirtless man with a cigarette stands smoking .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a shirtless man with a cigarette stands while a second man in sunglasses , red shirt and jeans points at the first .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a shirtless man with a cigarette stands while a second man in sunglasses , red shirt and jeans points at the first .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the two men are friends .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the two men are friends .