Premise: A squatting man is cooking on an open fire in the rain .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is a chef
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is a chef
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man sits and cooks on a fire on a stormy day .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man sits and cooks on a fire on a stormy day .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is struggling to cook because of the rain .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is struggling to cook because of the rain .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is grilling while it is raining .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is grilling while it is raining .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that cooking outdoors is fun even in the rain .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that cooking outdoors is fun even in the rain .