Premise: A man leans into a car to talk to the driver , as a man on a bicycle looks on .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is asking the driver for directions .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is asking the driver for directions .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men know one another .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the men know one another .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the driver is about to run the other man over .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the driver is about to run the other man over .
Correct statement: It is likely that the man is asking the driver a question .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man is asking the driver a question .
Correct statement: It is probable that a driver asks for directions .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a driver asks for directions .