Premise: A goggled boy leaps from the edge into a shimmering pool with someone watching on in the background .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy in blue swimming trunks dives into a pool .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy in blue swimming trunks dives into a pool .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a boy leaps into a pool , as a stalker watches him .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a boy leaps into a pool , as a stalker watches him .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that someone is watching a boy jump into a pool .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that someone is watching a boy jump into a pool .
Correct statement: It is likely that a parent is watching the boy from a short distance away .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a parent is watching the boy from a short distance away .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a boy in swimwear goes swimming
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a boy in swimwear goes swimming