Premise: A little girl wearing a yellow dress moves frantically in front of a crowded baseball stadium .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl is looking for her parents in the crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a girl is looking for her parents in the crowd .
Correct statement: It is probable that a little girl is wearing a clean yellow dress .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a little girl is wearing a clean yellow dress .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that there is an event taking place in the stadium .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that there is an event taking place in the stadium .
Correct statement: It is impossible that there is a little girl showing off her new dress to her father , a professional baseball player .
Incorrect statement: We believe that there is a little girl showing off her new dress to her father , a professional baseball player .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the little girl lost at a baseball game .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the little girl lost at a baseball game .