Premise: Man in hat driving a steering a mule and cart .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a man wearing a hat for safety reasons .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that there is a man wearing a hat for safety reasons .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the man 's hat is green .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man 's hat is green .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a hatted man drives his mule to town .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a hatted man drives his mule to town .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that he is a farmer .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that he is a farmer .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man drives his cart to a fair to sell his goods .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man drives his cart to a fair to sell his goods .