Premise: A couple of people are standing and the person in the red coat is pointing at the body of water .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a couple of people are near a body of water .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a couple of people are near a body of water .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a person is pointing at the waves on a beach .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a person is pointing at the waves on a beach .
Correct statement: We doubt that a person in a red coat is standing with other people near an ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a person in a red coat is standing with other people near an ocean .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a couple is by the river .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a couple is by the river .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a couple of women are standing and the woman in red is pointing at a the body of water .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a couple of women are standing and the woman in red is pointing at a the body of water .