Premise: At a naval yard , a man in a white Navy officer 's uniform is standing by two older men having a discussion .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a Navy officer listens to two men discuss important policy together .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a Navy officer listens to two men discuss important policy together .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is in the navy .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is in the navy .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a sailor talking with his father and uncle .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a sailor talking with his father and uncle .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an impersonating Navy officer is watching a conversation .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that an impersonating Navy officer is watching a conversation .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two vets are talking in a naval yard .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two vets are talking in a naval yard .