Premise: Three people are sitting at an outside picnic bench with an umbrella .
Correct statement: We doubt that three people are sitting at an outside picnic bench at the beach with an umbrella .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that three people are sitting at an outside picnic bench at the beach with an umbrella .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that thee picnic-goers are prepared for rain .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that thee picnic-goers are prepared for rain .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a family sits outside at a bench with one holding an umbrella
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a family sits outside at a bench with one holding an umbrella
Correct statement: We believe that three people are happily sitting .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that three people are happily sitting .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a family has a picnic outside .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a family has a picnic outside .