Premise: A pitcher with a red shirt is throwing a ball and his teammate is waiting to catch near a base .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the pitcher hoped to pick off the lead runner and end the inning .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the pitcher hoped to pick off the lead runner and end the inning .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the pitcher throws a curve-ball to his teammate who never catches them .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the pitcher throws a curve-ball to his teammate who never catches them .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a pitcher throws the ball to his teammate to get the game winning out .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a pitcher throws the ball to his teammate to get the game winning out .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a pitcher is throwing the ball to first base .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a pitcher is throwing the ball to first base .
Correct statement: We doubt that the pithcer is a woman
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the pithcer is a woman