Premise: A man with a knife in front of a cake .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is cutting a cake .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is cutting a cake .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a chef is holding a giant knife in front of a wedding cake .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a chef is holding a giant knife in front of a wedding cake .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is at a birthday party
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man is at a birthday party
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is cutting a birthday cake .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is cutting a birthday cake .
Correct statement: We believe that the man is going to cut the cake .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is going to cut the cake .