Premise: A man holding the Texas flag is nearly blown off his feet on a city street .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man is in a windstorm .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man is in a windstorm .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man resists being blown over by a hurricane
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man resists being blown over by a hurricane
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man marching in a parade is almost knocked over by the wind .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man marching in a parade is almost knocked over by the wind .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is holding the Texas flag because he 's from Texas
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is holding the Texas flag because he 's from Texas
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man holding the Texas Flag is rioting .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man holding the Texas Flag is rioting .