Premise: A man wearing a helmet , red pants with white stripes going down the sides and a white and red shirt is on a small bicycle using only his hands while his legs are up in the air , while another man wearing a light blue shirt with dark blue trim and black pants with red stripes going up the sides is standing nearby , gesturing toward the first man and holding a small figurine of one of the seven dwarves .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a clothed man is riding a bicycle .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a clothed man is riding a bicycle .