Premise: A man in black approaches a strange silver object containing a person , while many onlookers observe from behind a roped off barrier .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a government agent is examining a fallen UFO while an anxious crowd watches .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a government agent is examining a fallen UFO while an anxious crowd watches .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man in black is from a government agency .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man in black is from a government agency .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is approaching an aircraft .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is approaching an aircraft .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man approaches a stranger metallic object .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man approaches a stranger metallic object .
Correct statement: It is probable that the man is a police officer .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is a police officer .