Premise: Two black men in U.S. military uniform are on a balcony .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that two men are conversing on a balcony .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two men are conversing on a balcony .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the two men are in the Army .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the two men are in the Army .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two men are on a balcony in summer .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two men are on a balcony in summer .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two black men talk about being in the army .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two black men talk about being in the army .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that military men seeing the view from the balcony .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that military men seeing the view from the balcony .