Premise: A man in a black vest and blue jeans is rollerskating .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man 's roller skates are pink .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man 's roller skates are pink .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man knows how to do trick on rollerskates .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man knows how to do trick on rollerskates .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a tall man .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a tall man .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is skating in the park .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is skating in the park .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a black vest and blue jeans is rollerskating with friends .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man in a black vest and blue jeans is rollerskating with friends .