Premise: A man in a black shirt and jeans is in midair above a messy bed .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a person is jumping on the furniture .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a person is jumping on the furniture .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a black shirt and jeans is getting changed .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man in a black shirt and jeans is getting changed .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man jumped onto his bed just as a picture was taken .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man jumped onto his bed just as a picture was taken .
Correct statement: We believe that a man in a black shirt and jeans is jumping jubilantly above his messy bed .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man in a black shirt and jeans is jumping jubilantly above his messy bed .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is jumping on the bed .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is jumping on the bed .