Premise: A person riding a rodeo bull .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is riding a bull .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is riding a bull .
Correct statement: It is probable that a person is hanging onto a rodeo bull for dear life .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a person is hanging onto a rodeo bull for dear life .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is riding a rodeo bull .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman is riding a rodeo bull .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a cowboy is riding a bull .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a cowboy is riding a bull .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man riding a bull in an arena .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man riding a bull in an arena .