Premise: One old homeless guy walks by the park .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man has a big beard .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man has a big beard .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old homeless man walks past a park on his way to a food bank .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an old homeless man walks past a park on his way to a food bank .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a sinister-looking man near the park .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a sinister-looking man near the park .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a homeless guy on his way to a shelter .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a homeless guy on his way to a shelter .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a guy drops his sandwich as he passes a park .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a guy drops his sandwich as he passes a park .