Premise: A man in a baseball cap cleans out a blue colored pit outside where colorful Christmas lights hang above him .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a man is cleaning up for new years eve .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man is cleaning up for new years eve .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that it is December .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that it is December .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man cleans out his grandfathers pit in the back yard .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man cleans out his grandfathers pit in the back yard .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is cleaning up for Christmas
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is cleaning up for Christmas
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is cleaning up for Christmas .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is cleaning up for Christmas .