Premise: A man with a beard holds a large , black-bound book .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is holding a cookbook .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is holding a cookbook .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man has just bought a new book .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man has just bought a new book .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man with a beard holds a fictional book in his hand .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man with a beard holds a fictional book in his hand .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the book is the bible .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the book is the bible .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a pirate holds a book .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a pirate holds a book .