Premise: A woman is standing in a rough hewn structure with a round opening with her head sticking out above the opening .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is young .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the woman is young .
Correct statement: It is probable that a woman is examining what is through an opening .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a woman is examining what is through an opening .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman sticks her head up from an opening to get fresh air .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman sticks her head up from an opening to get fresh air .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the woman is beautiful .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the woman is beautiful .
Correct statement: We doubt that the woman is posing for an old-timey photograph with her head in the stocks .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the woman is posing for an old-timey photograph with her head in the stocks .