Premise: A woman dressed in a blue shirt , plaid shorts and brown shoes , soaking her feet in a rocky creek while sitting on a towel .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is resting from a long walk .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the woman is resting from a long walk .
Correct statement: We believe that a hiker is resting .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a hiker is resting .
Correct statement: We believe that the woman is sun bathing and dipping her feet in the cool water .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the woman is sun bathing and dipping her feet in the cool water .
Correct statement: It is probable that the woman has been hiking , and her feet are sore .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the woman has been hiking , and her feet are sore .
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman soaks her sore feet in a mountain stream .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman soaks her sore feet in a mountain stream .