Premise: A man in a blue tee-shirt , wearing a cap , is riding a white horse down a dirt road , in a rural setting of grass and hills .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a farmer is going to visit a neighbor .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a farmer is going to visit a neighbor .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is holding on to the horse 's reins .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man is holding on to the horse 's reins .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man in his blue shirt and cap is riding his horse to a friend 's house out in the country .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man in his blue shirt and cap is riding his horse to a friend 's house out in the country .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is on his way to find a lost foal in his father 's field
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man is on his way to find a lost foal in his father 's field
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man lives in Kentucky .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man lives in Kentucky .