Premise: A baby in a ball pit and a toddler playing near the feet of the person taking the picture .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman takes a photo .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman takes a photo .
Correct statement: We believe that the photographer is taking a picture of his kids at play .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the photographer is taking a picture of his kids at play .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a brother and sister play near each other .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a brother and sister play near each other .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the ball pit has more than one color ball .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the ball pit has more than one color ball .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two kids play near their parents feet .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that two kids play near their parents feet .