Premise: A person stands beside a boat , on a dock , looking out across a lake that reflect trees in the distance .
Correct statement: It is impossible that person on a dock in a river
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that person on a dock in a river
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the guy in the picture is a boat captain .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the guy in the picture is a boat captain .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a person is standing beside a boat planning where to take the boat to
Incorrect statement: We believe that a person is standing beside a boat planning where to take the boat to
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the person is watching a sunset over the water .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the person is watching a sunset over the water .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man looks out the distance of a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man looks out the distance of a lake .