Premise: There are two men with sunglasses , one of which is wearing a hat and a backpack .
Correct statement: We doubt that there are two men with sunglasses , one of which is wearing a large floppy hat and a backpack full of candy .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that there are two men with sunglasses , one of which is wearing a large floppy hat and a backpack full of candy .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the two men have matching backpacks .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the two men have matching backpacks .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two friends bought sunglasses .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two friends bought sunglasses .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the two men are going to walk on the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the two men are going to walk on the beach .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two friends going on a hike .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two friends going on a hike .