Premise: A woman in a pink shit and blue jeans is walking down a somewhat busy street while holding a cup of coffee .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is on her way to work with coffee in hand .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman is on her way to work with coffee in hand .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is bringing coffee to her boss .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is bringing coffee to her boss .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman in a pink shirt and blue jeans is walking to catch a bus down a busy street .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman in a pink shirt and blue jeans is walking to catch a bus down a busy street .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is walking past a coffee shop .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a woman is walking past a coffee shop .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is walking on a sidewalk with a cappuccino in her hands .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is walking on a sidewalk with a cappuccino in her hands .