Premise: A man with a dog .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is tossing a ball to the dog .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is tossing a ball to the dog .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man pets a dog .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man pets a dog .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the dog is his best friend
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the dog is his best friend
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man and his dog are waiting for something .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man and his dog are waiting for something .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the dog is on a leash .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the dog is on a leash .