Premise: A man in a red sleeveless shirt rides a horse .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man in the red sleeveless shirt is waving to a young girl .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man in the red sleeveless shirt is waving to a young girl .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man with black pants and red shirt rides a horse .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man with black pants and red shirt rides a horse .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is on a trail .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is on a trail .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man riding the horse is wearing blue pants .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man riding the horse is wearing blue pants .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is outside .