Premise: A black-haired man plays a guitar .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a black-haired fair skinned man is playing a guitar .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a black-haired fair skinned man is playing a guitar .
Correct statement: It is certain that a man plays the guitar .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man plays the guitar .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is a great guitarist .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is a great guitarist .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man practices the star spangled banner on his guitar .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man practices the star spangled banner on his guitar .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is playing rock and roll .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man is playing rock and roll .