Premise: A woman in a blue and brown parka with matching hat is in a snow-covered forest on either crosscountry skis or snowshoes , which are obscured by the ruts in the trail she is following .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman in a parka wears snowshoes as she heads home .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman in a parka wears snowshoes as she heads home .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is rushing through a snowstorm
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the woman is rushing through a snowstorm
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is cross country skiing through a trail .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a woman is cross country skiing through a trail .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman is in search of her friends in a snowy forest .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a woman is in search of her friends in a snowy forest .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the woman is wearing glasses .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is wearing glasses .