Premise: A man in a black coat and blue shirt is talking on his phone indoors .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is talking to his friend on the phone
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is talking to his friend on the phone
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is talking to his brother on his telephone .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is talking to his brother on his telephone .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is holding his IPhone .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is holding his IPhone .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is on the phone with his wife .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is on the phone with his wife .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is on the phone getting ready to leave .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is on the phone getting ready to leave .