Premise: Puppeteer wearing a purple sleeveless shirt showing off a puppet that looks like a black man with shades playing a saxophone .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the puppeteer made the puppet themselves .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the puppeteer made the puppet themselves .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the puppet is wearing blue pants .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the puppet is wearing blue pants .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the saxophone is a working saxaphone
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the saxophone is a working saxaphone
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the puppeteer 's sleeveless shirt has a collar .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the puppeteer 's sleeveless shirt has a collar .
Correct statement: It is likely that the man is paid to perform
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is paid to perform