Premise: A man with dreadlocks wearing a blue shirt poses with his arm around a drag queen who has post-it notes in her hair .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is having his picture taken at a drag show .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is having his picture taken at a drag show .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man and drag queen are posing for a picture .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man and drag queen are posing for a picture .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man with dreadlocks is friends with a drag queen .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man with dreadlocks is friends with a drag queen .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man and woman are a couple .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man and woman are a couple .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a costume party for the new year
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that there is a costume party for the new year