Premise: A person on a bmx bike .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the BMX bike is black .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the BMX bike is black .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a cyclist who just got a BMX bike for their birthday
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a cyclist who just got a BMX bike for their birthday
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a person is doing stunts .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a person is doing stunts .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a person riding a bike over dirt obsticals .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a person riding a bike over dirt obsticals .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that someone riding a bicycle outside .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that someone riding a bicycle outside .