Premise: An older Asian man wears a black and green jacket and a New York City hat , holding a bicycle rental sign .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is talking to customers .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is talking to customers .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is an East Asian man trying to drum-up interest in his bicycle rental business by twirling a sign .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that there is an East Asian man trying to drum-up interest in his bicycle rental business by twirling a sign .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that an older man stands out on a cold winter night holding a rental sign .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that an older man stands out on a cold winter night holding a rental sign .
Correct statement: We believe that an older asian man is renting bicycles .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an older asian man is renting bicycles .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man in Time Square offers to rent out bikes
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man in Time Square offers to rent out bikes