Premise: A person wearing a beige jacket and a helmet is riding a bicycle with a filled bag on each handle .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a delivery person makes the rounds .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a delivery person makes the rounds .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the bags have beer .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the bags have beer .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a women is coming back from the grocery store on her bicycle .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a women is coming back from the grocery store on her bicycle .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a person rides their bike home with their groceries hanging from the handles .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a person rides their bike home with their groceries hanging from the handles .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that groceries fit easily onto the handlebars of a bicycle , which helps this woman get them home .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that groceries fit easily onto the handlebars of a bicycle , which helps this woman get them home .