Premise: A woman dressed in a blue jacket and blue jeans rides a brown horse near a frozen lake and snow-covered mountain .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the horse is running .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the horse is running .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman is on vacation in the rockies .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a woman is on vacation in the rockies .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a lady is riding her horse past lake to get to the grocery store .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a lady is riding her horse past lake to get to the grocery store .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is in the Alps .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the woman is in the Alps .
Correct statement: It is probable that the woman is cold .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman is cold .