Premise: A tan curly-haired dog jumps in the snow with a stick in its mouth .
Correct statement: It is certain that a dog is outside playing .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a dog is outside playing .
Correct statement: It is likely that a puppy is playing fetch .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a puppy is playing fetch .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a dog wants to play in the snow .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a dog wants to play in the snow .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a dog has a sweater on .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a dog has a sweater on .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a dog is retrieving a stick for its owner .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a dog is retrieving a stick for its owner .