Premise: A girl with a red scarf wrapped around her neck is walking down the road carrying a white bag .
Correct statement: It is likely that the woman is walking down the street carrying shopping bags .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the woman is walking down the street carrying shopping bags .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the white bag is a chanel bag .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the white bag is a chanel bag .
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman wearing a red scarf is carrying her new purchases in a white shopping bag .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman wearing a red scarf is carrying her new purchases in a white shopping bag .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl is walking toward home .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl is walking toward home .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that she walks down the lane towards her home wearing her red scarf
Incorrect statement: It is certain that she walks down the lane towards her home wearing her red scarf