Premise: There is a person wearing a coat and jeans climbing stairs .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the person in the coat and jeans is going to their room .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the person in the coat and jeans is going to their room .
Correct statement: It is probable that a person is climbing a staircase in the winter .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a person is climbing a staircase in the winter .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman climbing stairs .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman climbing stairs .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a person wearing a white coat .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that there is a person wearing a white coat .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a person is walking
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a person is walking