Premise: A crowd of people look at something out of frame , one man takes a picture .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that they are looking at something interesting
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that they are looking at something interesting
Correct statement: We doubt that the man is looking at the crowd
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is looking at the crowd
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is a reporter .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man is a reporter .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a crowd of people are waiting for Seth Meyers to come out of a door .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a crowd of people are waiting for Seth Meyers to come out of a door .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a group watch an explosion off camera
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a group watch an explosion off camera