Premise: A boy in an orange life vest plays on the shore with his net while his father in a red shirt and straw hat fishes .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a dad instructed his son to play near the shore while he was fishing .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a dad instructed his son to play near the shore while he was fishing .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy does n't like to fish .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a boy does n't like to fish .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a father has caught 3 fish while fishing with his boy
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a father has caught 3 fish while fishing with his boy
Correct statement: It is improbable that a boy is building a sand castle .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy is building a sand castle .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the boy is wearing shorts .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the boy is wearing shorts .