Premise: A child in white briefs is pictured jumping in midair above the water of a rive , with trees in the background .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a child is playing with a friend outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a child is playing with a friend outside .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child is in clean white briefs .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a child is in clean white briefs .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the trees are swaying in the wind .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the trees are swaying in the wind .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child is jumping into the water to look for something .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a child is jumping into the water to look for something .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child is jumping into a river while a group of boys swim below .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a child is jumping into a river while a group of boys swim below .