Premise: A man with no shirt on and a hat is using a hammer and anvil .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a blacksmith is forging tools for a customer .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a blacksmith is forging tools for a customer .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is making a piece of equipment at an anvil using a hammer .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man is making a piece of equipment at an anvil using a hammer .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is a paid blacksmith
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is a paid blacksmith
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is trying to fix a problem with tools .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is trying to fix a problem with tools .
Correct statement: We believe that the man slams a hammer against an anvil .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man slams a hammer against an anvil .