Premise: A little girl , about three-years-old and wearing colorful swim goggles , stands ankle-deep on the stairs of an in-ground pool or hot tub while gripping the metal handrail above her head with both hands .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a person afraid of the water .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that there is a person afraid of the water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl in green goggles stands on the steps of a swimming pool holding onto the brass handrail above her
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a girl in green goggles stands on the steps of a swimming pool holding onto the brass handrail above her
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman looks down at her from behind as a young girl prepares to enter the pool .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman looks down at her from behind as a young girl prepares to enter the pool .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl is having fun .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the girl is having fun .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a girl is learning to swim .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl is learning to swim .