Premise: A blond-headed child gets their first haircut while sitting in a blue car with a yellow drape while their hair is blow-dried .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a child gets their hair cut because they want it cut .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a child gets their hair cut because they want it cut .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a young child is at a hair salon
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a young child is at a hair salon
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a child gets their haircut by a woman .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a child gets their haircut by a woman .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child cries getting their first haircut .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a child cries getting their first haircut .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a small blond boy sitting in a car chair has a yellow drape on them while his hair is dried during his first haircut .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a small blond boy sitting in a car chair has a yellow drape on them while his hair is dried during his first haircut .