Premise: A man in an all black outfit just threw a bowling ball down a lane towards the center of the bowling pins .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is praying for a strike .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is praying for a strike .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man dressed in black is winning the bowling tournament at the bowling alley .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man dressed in black is winning the bowling tournament at the bowling alley .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man threw a strike .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man threw a strike .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man makes a strike at the bowling alley .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man makes a strike at the bowling alley .
Correct statement: It is certain that a man indoors
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man indoors