Premise: A man and young boy in a yellow life jacket are swimming .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man and young boy are swimming to try to save themselve after a tidal wave hit their ship .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man and young boy are swimming to try to save themselve after a tidal wave hit their ship .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is the father to the young boy .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is the father to the young boy .
Correct statement: It is probable that two people are swimming in a lake .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that two people are swimming in a lake .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a father teaches his son to swim
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a father teaches his son to swim
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the young boy knows how to swim but wants to be safe .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the young boy knows how to swim but wants to be safe .