Premise: A guy with lots of tattoos and a black shirt with white lettering spelling `` stheart '' putting on a rock concert .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a guy with lots of tattoos and a black shirt are rock musicians .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a guy with lots of tattoos and a black shirt are rock musicians .
Correct statement: We believe that a rock musician thrills the crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a rock musician thrills the crowd .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a tattoeed man is wearing a black shirt advertising his band .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a tattoeed man is wearing a black shirt advertising his band .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the lead singer for a band sings at a concert in a black shirt and tattoos .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the lead singer for a band sings at a concert in a black shirt and tattoos .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the guy who is putting on the rock concert has a tattoo on his back .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the guy who is putting on the rock concert has a tattoo on his back .