Premise: A man wearing a ball cap and a blue T-shirt rides a white horse down a dirt road through lush , green nature .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man riding the white horse was old .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man riding the white horse was old .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is holding on to the horse 's reins .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is holding on to the horse 's reins .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man in blue is riding a horse back to its stable .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man in blue is riding a horse back to its stable .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is standing on a horse , riding it by balancing on its back .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is standing on a horse , riding it by balancing on its back .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is riding a horse around the grounds of his estate .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is riding a horse around the grounds of his estate .