Premise: Another man in a gray sweatshirt also rides a horse .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a very tall and thin man rides a black horse
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a very tall and thin man rides a black horse
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a gray sweatshirt and chaps is riding a horse .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man in a gray sweatshirt and chaps is riding a horse .
Correct statement: There is little chance that an adult riding a horse on a winding trail .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that an adult riding a horse on a winding trail .
Correct statement: We believe that there is a second person riding a pony down the street .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that there is a second person riding a pony down the street .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the two men are racing
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the two men are racing