Premise: Cubs fans have paper bags on their heads that spell out `` CUBS . ''
Correct statement: It is likely that cubs fans are at a home game .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that cubs fans are at a home game .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the Cubs fans are wearing the paper bags on their heads as part of a bet .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the Cubs fans are wearing the paper bags on their heads as part of a bet .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the baseball fans are at the stadium , watching a game .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the baseball fans are at the stadium , watching a game .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the fans are wearing Cubs jerseys .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the fans are wearing Cubs jerseys .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a group of Cubs fans are excited that their team won the game .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a group of Cubs fans are excited that their team won the game .