Premise: A girl in a bright yellow shirt and dark green shorts is sleeping on a couch with a bag of pretzels on the floor next to her .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a girl like spretzels
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a girl like spretzels
Correct statement: Chances are about even that she ate most of the pretzels before falling asleep .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that she ate most of the pretzels before falling asleep .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman fell asleep while watching a movie and eating snacks .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman fell asleep while watching a movie and eating snacks .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a tired girl has fallen asleep at her friend 's slumber party .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a tired girl has fallen asleep at her friend 's slumber party .
Correct statement: It is improbable that it was her usual afternoon nap .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that it was her usual afternoon nap .