Premise: A guy dressed in blue shirt and shorts leaps over blue tube while children watch in background .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the Blue Man Group is in town performing for children .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the Blue Man Group is in town performing for children .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is running an obstacle course while his kids watch .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is running an obstacle course while his kids watch .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man does some sweet tricks while jumping over things in order to impress some children .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man does some sweet tricks while jumping over things in order to impress some children .
Correct statement: We believe that the children 's mothers are nearby
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the children 's mothers are nearby
Correct statement: We doubt that a tall person in a shirt
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a tall person in a shirt