Premise: A girl in a tank top and jean capris stands on railroad tracks .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl is wearing a conductor hat as she stand on the railroad tracks .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl is wearing a conductor hat as she stand on the railroad tracks .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl in a tank top is following the train tracks home .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl in a tank top is following the train tracks home .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the railroad tracks have not been used for years .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the railroad tracks have not been used for years .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl pauses while walking down the train tracks .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a girl pauses while walking down the train tracks .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl is having her picture taken on the train tracks .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the girl is having her picture taken on the train tracks .