Premise: A tattooed man in black playing a white guitar and singing .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that there is music being played .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that there is music being played .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man playing a white acoustic guitar .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man playing a white acoustic guitar .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is playing for money .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man is playing for money .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a tattooed man in black is musician .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a tattooed man in black is musician .
Correct statement: We believe that the tattooed man is singing rock music .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the tattooed man is singing rock music .