Premise: A group of people standing in front of an igloo .
Correct statement: It is likely that people are standing in Alaska in front of an igloo
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that people are standing in Alaska in front of an igloo
Correct statement: Chances are about even that it 's snowing in front of the igloo .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that it 's snowing in front of the igloo .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that some people outside in the winter .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that some people outside in the winter .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there are two dogs next to the igloo .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that there are two dogs next to the igloo .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a group of people are bundled up in their warmest clothes .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a group of people are bundled up in their warmest clothes .