Premise: A woman standing on a rock prepares to jump into the water .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a woman stands ready to jump into water so she can go swimming with others .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman stands ready to jump into water so she can go swimming with others .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a woman is having fun outside
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is having fun outside
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the woman is about to go swimming
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman is about to go swimming
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman wearing a bathing suit is cliff diving
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman wearing a bathing suit is cliff diving
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is standing on an ocean cliff , preparing to dive into the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is standing on an ocean cliff , preparing to dive into the ocean .