Premise: The child playing on the deck has a red bucket on their head .
Correct statement: It is certain that the child is playing on the deck .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the child is playing on the deck .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a child playing alone on a deck because he has no friends .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a child playing alone on a deck because he has no friends .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a child is playing with a red bucket
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a child is playing with a red bucket
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a child plays on a deck with a pool built into it .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a child plays on a deck with a pool built into it .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the child 's sister dumped a bucket of sand on his head .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the child 's sister dumped a bucket of sand on his head .