Premise: Men playing during a concert wearing feather boas .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the men are old
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the men are old
Correct statement: It is likely that men dance and play instruments onstage .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that men dance and play instruments onstage .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that men are playing guitars for a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that men are playing guitars for a crowd .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the men are onstage .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the men are onstage .
Correct statement: It is impossible that gay men wearing boas play music during a concert .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that gay men wearing boas play music during a concert .