Premise: An old man with gray hair wearing a scarf and black jacket .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man stands in the cold .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man stands in the cold .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that an older man with gray hair wears a scarf while standing at the bus stop .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that an older man with gray hair wears a scarf while standing at the bus stop .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an old person in a scarf stands on a sidewalk .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that an old person in a scarf stands on a sidewalk .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man getting ready to go out into the cold .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an old man getting ready to go out into the cold .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an old woman is bundled up in march
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that an old woman is bundled up in march