Premise: An elderly man with a long gray beard is playing his flute while sitting on the ground .
Correct statement: We believe that an old man is playing his flute for a small crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that an old man is playing his flute for a small crowd .
Correct statement: We believe that man jamming out to his favorite song on the flute
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that man jamming out to his favorite song on the flute
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that an older man attempts to play his flute but fails .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that an older man attempts to play his flute but fails .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that an elderly man with a long gray beard is playing a flute while sitting on the ground in a park .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that an elderly man with a long gray beard is playing a flute while sitting on the ground in a park .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an old man is playing a flute to tame a snake .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man is playing a flute to tame a snake .