Premise: A young man in all black running in a race on a sidewalk with onlookers sitting in grass behind him .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the young man running the race was entertaining a crowd because he was about to win the race
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the young man running the race was entertaining a crowd because he was about to win the race
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is leading the running race .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is leading the running race .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two men compete in a race
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two men compete in a race
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the man is white
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man is white
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young man with a beard running in a race while its raining .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a young man with a beard running in a race while its raining .