Premise: A family talks while lounging at a rocky beach with calm waters .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a family talks loudly .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a family talks loudly .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a family is about to go fishing in the calm waters .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a family is about to go fishing in the calm waters .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a family talks about food while lounging at a rocky beach with calm waters .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a family talks about food while lounging at a rocky beach with calm waters .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that people are near an ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that people are near an ocean .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the people are eating lunch .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the people are eating lunch .