Premise: A man in a black suit with a black briefcase holds a sign and hands out fliers .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is a businessman
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is a businessman
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man in a suit hands out fliers to advertise for an event he is holding .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man in a suit hands out fliers to advertise for an event he is holding .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is giving people a new chance
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is giving people a new chance
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is handing out fliers to warn of the coming apocalypse
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is handing out fliers to warn of the coming apocalypse
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is by the door giving out his card
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man is by the door giving out his card