Premise: a young woman is giving a baby a ride on her shoulders .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the baby enjoys the ride .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the baby enjoys the ride .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a young woman is carrying her baby .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a young woman is carrying her baby .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a woman is playing with her baby .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a woman is playing with her baby .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a woman carries her baby on her shoulders .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a woman carries her baby on her shoulders .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is carrying her daughter .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is carrying her daughter .