Premise: A little girl in a pink and yellow plaid dress is crying with her arms crossed in front of her .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the little girl is upset that her dress is pink and yellow .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the little girl is upset that her dress is pink and yellow .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl with arms crossed cries because she has lost her doll .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl with arms crossed cries because she has lost her doll .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the girl is sad .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the girl is sad .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the children excluded the girl from playing .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the children excluded the girl from playing .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl is crying because she was told she could n't have candy .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the girl is crying because she was told she could n't have candy .