Premise: Six children , boys and girls , jumping into a swimming pool .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that group of children jump into the outdoor pool at night
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that group of children jump into the outdoor pool at night
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that two boys and four girls are jumping into a swimming pool .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that two boys and four girls are jumping into a swimming pool .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that six children are outside .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that six children are outside .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a group of children at a pool on a sunny day .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a group of children at a pool on a sunny day .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the children have floats in the swimming pool .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the children have floats in the swimming pool .