Premise: A little girl is walking along a line of logs on a sandy beach .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl is walking on a beach with her parents .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl is walking on a beach with her parents .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the girl is walking with her parents on the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the girl is walking with her parents on the beach .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a little girl is balancing with her arms out .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a little girl is balancing with her arms out .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a little girl is by the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a little girl is by the ocean .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the girl is a naughty girl
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the girl is a naughty girl