Premise: A group of men playing basketball on an outdoor court .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a group of men playing in a basketball tournament .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a group of men playing in a basketball tournament .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that one man is attempting a layup .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that one man is attempting a layup .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that men playing a game of horse
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that men playing a game of horse
Correct statement: It is highly likely that men are competing on a basketball court .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that men are competing on a basketball court .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the men have been playing basketball for an hour .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the men have been playing basketball for an hour .