Premise: Two women buying baked goods from a man at a market .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man sold the women 40 cakes .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man sold the women 40 cakes .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two women buying lunch
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two women buying lunch
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that two women buy brownies for their family
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two women buy brownies for their family
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the baked goods are pies .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the baked goods are pies .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two women bought some cupcakes .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two women bought some cupcakes .