Premise: Three people squat down on the edge of a lake .
Correct statement: We doubt that the people are watching a fish in the lake .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the people are watching a fish in the lake .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that people are squatting at the edge of a lake , getting ready to fish .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that people are squatting at the edge of a lake , getting ready to fish .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that three men are fishing in a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that three men are fishing in a lake .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a small group takes a break from walking around the lake .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a small group takes a break from walking around the lake .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that people check the water for fish
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that people check the water for fish