Premise: Two old men are on a balcony and one is looking at a small square of paper , and the other is holding a few sheets of paper .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a couple old men are looking at old receipts .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a couple old men are looking at old receipts .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men are reading instructions from the paper .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the men are reading instructions from the paper .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that two older guys decided to work on their taxes on the balcony and are looking through the paperwork .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two older guys decided to work on their taxes on the balcony and are looking through the paperwork .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the men are getting ready to play some music from the musical score .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the men are getting ready to play some music from the musical score .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that men are reading the news .
Incorrect statement: We believe that men are reading the news .