Premise: A bearded man is playing a banjo .
Correct statement: We doubt that a man plays a fun song with a banjo .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man plays a fun song with a banjo .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is playing old folk songs on a banjo
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is playing old folk songs on a banjo
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is an expert at the banjo
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is an expert at the banjo
Correct statement: It is impossible that a bearded man plays a banjo while his son watches .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a bearded man plays a banjo while his son watches .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the bearded man is in a blue-grass band
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the bearded man is in a blue-grass band