Premise: A man stands in a hole .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is able to see out of the hole .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is able to see out of the hole .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man stands in a wet hole
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man stands in a wet hole
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a person is looking for an item they dropped .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a person is looking for an item they dropped .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that he is in a cave .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that he is in a cave .
Correct statement: We doubt that a man stands in a hole he dug .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man stands in a hole he dug .