Premise: People search for their seats in a stadium .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that people go to their seats before first pitch .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that people go to their seats before first pitch .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that they are lost .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that they are lost .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that people are at a football game .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that people are at a football game .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that people are going to see a baseball game .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that people are going to see a baseball game .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that people are attending a football game .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that people are attending a football game .