Premise: A dark-skinned security officer smiles .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a security officer with dark skin laughs at a joke .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a security officer with dark skin laughs at a joke .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a police man enjoys his job .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a police man enjoys his job .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the security officer is happy .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the security officer is happy .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that an army officer smiles at a pretty lady .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that an army officer smiles at a pretty lady .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the individual is having a great day .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the individual is having a great day .