Premise: A man in a blue coat addresses a group of at least sixteen men and women in a field .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the sun is out .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the sun is out .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is talking to a group of people about science
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man is talking to a group of people about science
Correct statement: It is certain that a man in coat , is addressing people .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man in coat , is addressing people .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is speaking to people sitting all around him in a circle .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is speaking to people sitting all around him in a circle .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the group of people are listening intently .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the group of people are listening intently .