Premise: Two men in a jogging race on a black top street , one man wearing a black top and pants and the other is dressed as a nun with bright red tennis shoes , while onlookers stand in a grassy area and watch from behind a waist high metal railing .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that one man is wearing a light black top .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that one man is wearing a light black top .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the onlookers are fascinated .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the onlookers are fascinated .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two men are in a costume contest race .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that two men are in a costume contest race .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two men racing each other
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that two men racing each other
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two men are jogging through the finish line to win a race as others look on from a grassy area .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two men are jogging through the finish line to win a race as others look on from a grassy area .