Premise: Onlookers behind a fence watch and someone rushes to help as a white and brown speckled bull thrashes around and the rider falls to the ground .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a bull rider is thrown at the rodeo , while others watch .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a bull rider is thrown at the rodeo , while others watch .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the bull knocked the man off its back .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the bull knocked the man off its back .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the guy riding the bull was seriously hurt .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the guy riding the bull was seriously hurt .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a rodeo clown rescues a fallen cowboy .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a rodeo clown rescues a fallen cowboy .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the bull is hurting people .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the bull is hurting people .