Premise: A man in a blue and white t-shirt trips while carrying wood with another man in a white jacket .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man was wearing a stocking cap .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man was wearing a stocking cap .
Correct statement: It is likely that a clumsy man trips over a rock while carrying wood with another man
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a clumsy man trips over a rock while carrying wood with another man
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is a lumberjack
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is a lumberjack
Correct statement: It is likely that a couple of men carry wood to a fire .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a couple of men carry wood to a fire .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two men are carrying wood , the one in a blue and white t-shirt trips over some wood he dropped while the man in a white jacket watches .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two men are carrying wood , the one in a blue and white t-shirt trips over some wood he dropped while the man in a white jacket watches .