Premise: A man stands looking out to sea on a raised platform between two large columns that hold a huge bell
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is forty
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is forty
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is welcoming ships into the harbor .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man is welcoming ships into the harbor .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a bellringer warns incoming ships with his large bell .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a bellringer warns incoming ships with his large bell .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that there is a man on a watchtower .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a man on a watchtower .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is looking out to the sea where it looks like it 's about to rain .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man is looking out to the sea where it looks like it 's about to rain .