Premise: A man with a black hat and black shirt is talking on a cellphone and drinking a beer outside .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a man is listening to his voicemail while drinking a beer .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is listening to his voicemail while drinking a beer .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is a cowboy .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is a cowboy .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is enjoying his beer and talking to his girlfriend on the phone .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is enjoying his beer and talking to his girlfriend on the phone .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man wearing black is outside with friends , talking on his phone and drinking a beer .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man wearing black is outside with friends , talking on his phone and drinking a beer .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the dad is on a phone call with his son
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the dad is on a phone call with his son