Premise: Spectators are watching a man who is dressed in a red racing outfit holding a green bicycle .
Correct statement: It is certain that the man is holding his bicycle .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is holding his bicycle .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a bike racer greets fans .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a bike racer greets fans .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the spectators are women
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the spectators are women
Correct statement: It is impossible that the champion raises his bike in victory
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the champion raises his bike in victory
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man just won a bicycle race .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man just won a bicycle race .