Premise: A black woman waring a yellow smock in an office .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a CEO wears yellow to her office .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a CEO wears yellow to her office .
Correct statement: We believe that the black woman is an employee .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the black woman is an employee .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a black woman wearing a yellow smock is in the office copying some documents .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a black woman wearing a yellow smock is in the office copying some documents .
Correct statement: We believe that the woman is working .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman is working .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a black woman is waiting for the receptionist .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a black woman is waiting for the receptionist .