Premise: Little girl holding a karate trophy .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the trophy is gold .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the trophy is gold .
Correct statement: It is probable that a little girl is holding a karate trophy in front of a small crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a little girl is holding a karate trophy in front of a small crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl is handing the trophy to the winner .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the girl is handing the trophy to the winner .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a girl won a competition .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a girl won a competition .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a girl won a karate tournament .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a girl won a karate tournament .