Premise: A person in a light green jacket carries a multicolored umbrella in an outdoor public area .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man takes his umbrella outside because it is about to rain .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man takes his umbrella outside because it is about to rain .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a person in a green jacket uses an umbrella on a rainy day .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a person in a green jacket uses an umbrella on a rainy day .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a person is preparing for rain
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a person is preparing for rain
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that it may rain so they bring an umbrella
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that it may rain so they bring an umbrella
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that someone is carrying an umbrella because it might rain .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that someone is carrying an umbrella because it might rain .