Premise: young adults posing for a photo at night , somewhat chilly outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a group of people are leaving a club .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a group of people are leaving a club .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the young adults are outside
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the young adults are outside
Correct statement: It is probable that people gather around for a photo , wearing sweaters and scarves .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that people gather around for a photo , wearing sweaters and scarves .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that young adults in matching outfits pose .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that young adults in matching outfits pose .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that people smile for the camera .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that people smile for the camera .