Premise: A child holding a helium filled balloon is standing in front of what appears to be a construction site .
Correct statement: We believe that there is a kid smiling with his balloon outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a kid smiling with his balloon outside .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a child celebrates their birthday and is given a balloon which she holds on her way to the park .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a child celebrates their birthday and is given a balloon which she holds on her way to the park .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a child just left a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a child just left a birthday party .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a child is holding a balloon in front of a construction site waiting for his contruction worker father to celebrate his birthday .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a child is holding a balloon in front of a construction site waiting for his contruction worker father to celebrate his birthday .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a child is going to release a balloon into a construction site .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a child is going to release a balloon into a construction site .