Premise: A married , left handed woman wearing a long-sleeved red shirt is applying makeup in mirror .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that she is applying makeup with her left hand .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that she is applying makeup with her left hand .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is putting on mascara .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a woman is putting on mascara .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman is getting ready to go on a date .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman is getting ready to go on a date .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the woman is applying red lipstick .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the woman is applying red lipstick .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a woman is putting on red lipstick .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is putting on red lipstick .