Premise: A man with a pitchfork stands near a bucket of branches across from an apartment complex .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that he is the janitor .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that he is the janitor .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is a landscaper .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is a landscaper .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man is doing yardwork .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is doing yardwork .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a groundskeeper is overlooking the work he has done clearing branches into a bucket .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a groundskeeper is overlooking the work he has done clearing branches into a bucket .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man is standing outside
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is standing outside