Premise: A lady in a red coat , holding a bluish hand bag likely of asian descent , jumping off the ground for a snapshot .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the girl is taking a publicity photo
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the girl is taking a publicity photo
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the asian lady sees the camera and gets excited
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the asian lady sees the camera and gets excited
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman poses for a photo out in the cold .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman poses for a photo out in the cold .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman is posing for her sister 's wedding snapshot .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a woman is posing for her sister 's wedding snapshot .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is jumping because she is happy
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a woman is jumping because she is happy