Premise: Two children are climbing on the wall of a white building whilst one child plays with a green ball .
Correct statement: It is certain that three children are playing .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that three children are playing .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two kids are climbing a wall to get to the roof of a building .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two kids are climbing a wall to get to the roof of a building .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that several children in green and blue shirts play .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that several children in green and blue shirts play .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that three children are playing outside at recess .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that three children are playing outside at recess .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that they lost a ball and need to climb to get it
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that they lost a ball and need to climb to get it