Premise: Man in his boxers carving a pumpkin .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a person is preparing for Halloween .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a person is preparing for Halloween .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is at home .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is at home .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man in his boxers is carving a pumpkin for Halloween .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man in his boxers is carving a pumpkin for Halloween .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that he is carving the pumpkin to look angry .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that he is carving the pumpkin to look angry .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man in only his undergarments is carving a large pumpkin
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man in only his undergarments is carving a large pumpkin