Premise: a child is laying in a bubble bath holding a yellow scrubbing brush up to his mouth as if singing into a microphone .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a child is cleaning himself with a scrubbing brush
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a child is cleaning himself with a scrubbing brush
Correct statement: We believe that a child singing his favorite song while in a bath tub .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a child singing his favorite song while in a bath tub .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a black child is in a bubble bath .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a black child is in a bubble bath .
Correct statement: It is impossible that young elvis holds a brush-cum-microphone
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that young elvis holds a brush-cum-microphone
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the child tastes soap in their mouth
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the child tastes soap in their mouth