Premise: It looks as though a soldier is sleeping in a car on his way home after a deployment .
Correct statement: We believe that his friend is driving the car .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that his friend is driving the car .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a soldier is on the way to the airport .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a soldier is on the way to the airport .
Correct statement: It is likely that the soldier is asleep in the passenger seat .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the soldier is asleep in the passenger seat .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the soldier just arrived home from Afghanistan
Incorrect statement: We believe that the soldier just arrived home from Afghanistan
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the soldier is sleeping in a truck .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the soldier is sleeping in a truck .