Premise: A man , on the side of the road , playing a xylophone .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the homeless man is playing music .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the homeless man is playing music .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is playing a song for donations from the crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is playing a song for donations from the crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a performer is practicing for his big recital .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a performer is practicing for his big recital .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man likes to play the xylophone .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man likes to play the xylophone .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is trying to make money
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is trying to make money