Premise: A man in a long-sleeved shirt , riding a yellow moped across a street .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is riding his moped to work .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is riding his moped to work .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is riding into work on his moped .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is riding into work on his moped .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the shirt is plaid .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the shirt is plaid .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man rides a moped for the first time
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man rides a moped for the first time
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man rides to his friends house .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man rides to his friends house .