Premise: Two men in yellow life jackets , one wearing sunglasses , are sitting in a moving motor boat .
Correct statement: We believe that two men in yellow life jackets , one wearing sunglasses , are driving a motor boat .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that two men in yellow life jackets , one wearing sunglasses , are driving a motor boat .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the men are looking out onto the lake .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the men are looking out onto the lake .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two men are smoking .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that two men are smoking .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the two men have been on the boat for hours .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the two men have been on the boat for hours .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two men going deep sea fishing
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that two men going deep sea fishing