Premise: An African American man , wearing a sweatshirt and coat , walking in a city .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a man is walking to the city to meet his wife .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is walking to the city to meet his wife .
Correct statement: We doubt that a black man , dressed warmly , walks home to his apartment from work .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a black man , dressed warmly , walks home to his apartment from work .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is walking through New York .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is walking through New York .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man is wearing a coat because its cold in the city .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man is wearing a coat because its cold in the city .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the coat is dark blue .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the coat is dark blue .