Premise: A brunette with curly hair is standing by a mural between a bike and a motorcycle and talking on a cellphone .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the bicycle belongs to the woman .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the bicycle belongs to the woman .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is a woman with her bike on a city street .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there is a woman with her bike on a city street .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the brunette is talking loudly .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the brunette is talking loudly .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that someone having a conversation on the phone with their best friend .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that someone having a conversation on the phone with their best friend .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a curly haired woman is touring a mural while talking on her cellphone .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a curly haired woman is touring a mural while talking on her cellphone .