Premise: A man in a superhero costume , complete with mask and cape , posing in a public venue with pedestrians around .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is promoting a comic book convention .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is promoting a comic book convention .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man has a white superhero costume .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man has a white superhero costume .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is posing as a superhero for local kids .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is posing as a superhero for local kids .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a superhero is making money as a sidewalk artist .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a superhero is making money as a sidewalk artist .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man is wearing a Spiderman costume .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is wearing a Spiderman costume .