Premise: A bartender wearing a hat is pouring a drink .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a customer is waiting for his martini to be made .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a customer is waiting for his martini to be made .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the bartender is working at a restaurant
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the bartender is working at a restaurant
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a bartender is preparing a drink for a customer .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a bartender is preparing a drink for a customer .
Correct statement: We doubt that tending the bar and pouring drinks is his favorite thing to do .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that tending the bar and pouring drinks is his favorite thing to do .
Correct statement: It is certain that a bartender is working
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a bartender is working