Premise: A man wearing glasses and a striped shirt is eating at a bar with a blond woman in a red tank top .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is on a date with a blond woman at the bar .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is on a date with a blond woman at the bar .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the coupld at the bar were hanging out
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the coupld at the bar were hanging out
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man and woman are on a date .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man and woman are on a date .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man and woman just got done drinking heavily .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man and woman just got done drinking heavily .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there are people on a date .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there are people on a date .