Premise: A man in a blue shirt , cowboy hat and a cross neckless walking in front of a carnival or amusement park ride .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that lights surround a cowboy while walking through a carnival .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that lights surround a cowboy while walking through a carnival .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is at a carnival with his kids .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is at a carnival with his kids .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man just enjoyed his carnival ride .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man just enjoyed his carnival ride .
Correct statement: We believe that a man dressed as a cowboy is working at a carnival .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man dressed as a cowboy is working at a carnival .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man wearing a cowboy hat and a cross necklace waits in front of a carnival ride .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man wearing a cowboy hat and a cross necklace waits in front of a carnival ride .