Premise: A man in a bright pastel blue overcoat plays a unique instrument by the corner of a building with a sign propped against a bag in front of him .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man plays a guitar outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man plays a guitar outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is playing a saxophone .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is playing a saxophone .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man is wearing pants .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is wearing pants .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man was talented .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man was talented .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is busking for a crowd by playing a trumpet .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is busking for a crowd by playing a trumpet .