Premise: A group of people on a hot day playing in a cool fountain .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of people are playing in a fountain wishing well on a hot day .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a group of people are playing in a fountain wishing well on a hot day .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a group of girls playing in a fountain .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a group of girls playing in a fountain .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the people are couples
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the people are couples
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the people are at a water park .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the people are at a water park .
Correct statement: It is certain that the people are splashing and playing in the fountain .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the people are splashing and playing in the fountain .