Premise: a boy smiles underwater .
Correct statement: We believe that the boy is a swimmer .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the boy is a swimmer .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy is smiling at his friend while they play underwater .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a boy is smiling at his friend while they play underwater .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the boy is in the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the boy is in the ocean .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a boy is trying to catch a fish underwater .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a boy is trying to catch a fish underwater .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the boy has had a lot of swimming lessons
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the boy has had a lot of swimming lessons