Premise: A surfer in a black wetsuit holding his balance on the crest of a wave as it begins to break around him .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is riding his surfboard in the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is riding his surfboard in the ocean .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a long haired surfer holds his balance as a wave breaks around him .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a long haired surfer holds his balance as a wave breaks around him .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a surfer is on the ocean and he is really cold .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a surfer is on the ocean and he is really cold .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a person is surfing .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a person is surfing .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a novice surfer tries his luck
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a novice surfer tries his luck