Premise: A young black man with two guns pointed at his head .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young black man is trying to kill himself with two guns pointed at his head .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a young black man is trying to kill himself with two guns pointed at his head .
Correct statement: It is likely that a suspect with two guns aimed at his head protests his innocence .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a suspect with two guns aimed at his head protests his innocence .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is contemplating suicide .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is contemplating suicide .
Correct statement: It is probable that a young black man has two guns pointed at his head because he is a hostage .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a young black man has two guns pointed at his head because he is a hostage .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man pointed his own gun at his head .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man pointed his own gun at his head .