Premise: A man dressed in boots and a cowboy hat sits atop a horse that is jumping while spectators sit in the stands .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is performing in a circus
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man is performing in a circus
Correct statement: It is improbable that a cowboy chasing a bull
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a cowboy chasing a bull
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the man is an actor in a movie .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is an actor in a movie .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a professional rides a horse and jumps over obstacles .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a professional rides a horse and jumps over obstacles .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is participating in some sort of horse competition .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is participating in some sort of horse competition .