Premise: A shirtless man is sitting on the ground holding fruit .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man shows off his apples while shirtless
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man shows off his apples while shirtless
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a homeless man with no shirt is sitting on the holding fruit .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a homeless man with no shirt is sitting on the holding fruit .
Correct statement: It is impossible that there is a man in swimming trunks sitting on the beach holding a mango .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that there is a man in swimming trunks sitting on the beach holding a mango .
Correct statement: It is likely that the man is holding an apple
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is holding an apple
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a shirtless man is sitting outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a shirtless man is sitting outside .