Premise: A falcon is perched on a girl 's left arm as a man assists her and talks into a microphone .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a falcon is on the girls arm and she is smiling .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a falcon is on the girls arm and she is smiling .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl has a protective leather under the bird .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the girl has a protective leather under the bird .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a magician performing a trick with a falcon .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a magician performing a trick with a falcon .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a falcon is perched on its owner 's arm .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a falcon is perched on its owner 's arm .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl is at the zoo .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the girl is at the zoo .