Premise: A red-cheeked , white-bearded man smiles as he stands at an arrangement of colorful arrangement of baskets and decorations .
Correct statement: It is probable that the man is picking out decorations for a party .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is picking out decorations for a party .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man has on a santa hat .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man has on a santa hat .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man stands next to baskets and decorations which he plans to sell .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man stands next to baskets and decorations which he plans to sell .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that it is Christmas season .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that it is Christmas season .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a old man smiles as he stands by some baskets .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a old man smiles as he stands by some baskets .