Premise: A person points out to the lake with mountains in the background- while a boat floats out on the left .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the person is giving someone directions .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the person is giving someone directions .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that children swim in the lake
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that children swim in the lake
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boat of tourists is on the lake .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a boat of tourists is on the lake .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a person is in Colorado
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a person is in Colorado
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man points to his brother 's boat on the lake .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man points to his brother 's boat on the lake .