Premise: A man with a surprised look on his face holds a large portfolio .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man has gotten good news from the papers in his portfolio that he was just handed .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man has gotten good news from the papers in his portfolio that he was just handed .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is taking a picture with a large portfolio .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is taking a picture with a large portfolio .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man interviewing for a job holds his work
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man interviewing for a job holds his work
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is surprised by his competitor 's bid .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is surprised by his competitor 's bid .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the man is shocked to see how much money he has .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is shocked to see how much money he has .