Premise: A man wearing a blue shirt and red hat riding on the back of a cart filled with hay and pulled by a white horse .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man wears his favorite shirt on a horse-cart ride .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man wears his favorite shirt on a horse-cart ride .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a horse pulls a cart full of hay with a tall man sitting on the back .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a horse pulls a cart full of hay with a tall man sitting on the back .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man in a blue shirt and red hat is riding on the back of a cart full of hay pulled by a white horse down a dirt road
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man in a blue shirt and red hat is riding on the back of a cart full of hay pulled by a white horse down a dirt road
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man owns the cart and horse .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man owns the cart and horse .
Correct statement: It is likely that a person heading to market with fresh produce to sell .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a person heading to market with fresh produce to sell .