Premise: people enjoying a sunny day at the beach
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the ocean water is warm .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the ocean water is warm .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that people going swimming in the ocean .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that people going swimming in the ocean .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that people put on sunscreen before their sunny day at the beach .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that people put on sunscreen before their sunny day at the beach .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that 2 people walking down a beach
Incorrect statement: It is certain that 2 people walking down a beach
Correct statement: We believe that a family reunion happens on a beach .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a family reunion happens on a beach .