Premise: This clown is proud to be entertaining the crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the clown is holding a balloon .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the clown is holding a balloon .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the clown is performing at a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the clown is performing at a birthday party .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a clown performing his act at the circus .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a clown performing his act at the circus .
Correct statement: We believe that the crowd enjoys the clown .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the crowd enjoys the clown .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a clown performs tricks for an audience
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a clown performs tricks for an audience