Premise: A fisherman is standing on some rocks by the sea , illuminated by the sun , which is near the horizon .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a fisherman is by the sea on his birthday
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a fisherman is by the sea on his birthday
Correct statement: There is little chance that the sun is setting while a man fishes
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the sun is setting while a man fishes
Correct statement: It is likely that man looking for best spot to fish
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that man looking for best spot to fish
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man watches the sun set .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man watches the sun set .
Correct statement: It is impossible that fisherman standing on mountain
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that fisherman standing on mountain