Premise: A woman wearing a purple dress and black boots walks through a crowd drinking from a glass bottle .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the beverage in the glass bottle is booze .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the beverage in the glass bottle is booze .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a young woman wearing a short dress walking through a crowd of people at a concert .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a young woman wearing a short dress walking through a crowd of people at a concert .
Correct statement: It is likely that the woman 's dress is short .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the woman 's dress is short .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the woman is drunk .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the woman is drunk .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the glass bottle contains vodka .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the glass bottle contains vodka .