Premise: Two men decide what to do with an obstructing fallen branch .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men are strong enough to lift the branch .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the men are strong enough to lift the branch .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that there was a big storm that broke the branch
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that there was a big storm that broke the branch
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two men stand by a fallen branch trying to move it to pass .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two men stand by a fallen branch trying to move it to pass .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two men are thoroughly planning out how to move a branch .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that two men are thoroughly planning out how to move a branch .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two men argue about a fallen branch .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two men argue about a fallen branch .