Premise: A man in a blue shirt is taking a picture .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man is taking a picture of something interesting .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is taking a picture of something interesting .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is photographing his child .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is photographing his child .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the man is a photographer .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is a photographer .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is taking a picture of a pretty lady .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is taking a picture of a pretty lady .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is taking a picture of his wife .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is taking a picture of his wife .