Premise: A lone fisherman paddles his canoe along a shore .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the lone fisherman was done fishing
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the lone fisherman was done fishing
Correct statement: It is impossible that a fisherman is paddling his way back from the island .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a fisherman is paddling his way back from the island .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a person all alone had a good day fishing .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a person all alone had a good day fishing .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is alone on the shore of the ocean
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is alone on the shore of the ocean
Correct statement: We believe that a fisherman paddles his boat back to shore to go home .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a fisherman paddles his boat back to shore to go home .