Premise: A little girl sitting in front of some lake water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the little girl is wearing a swim suit .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the little girl is wearing a swim suit .
Correct statement: We doubt that a girl is on a sandy beach .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl is on a sandy beach .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the young girl is fishing in a pond near her home .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the young girl is fishing in a pond near her home .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl sits in front of a lake waiting for her swim instructor .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a girl sits in front of a lake waiting for her swim instructor .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl sits in front of Lake Tahoe .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a girl sits in front of Lake Tahoe .