Premise: A man is holding a shopping basket standing in front of a sign at the fish department that says `` Fishmonger ''
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man has perch in the basket .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man has perch in the basket .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is buying salmon .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is buying salmon .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man decides not to buy fish from the fishmonger .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man decides not to buy fish from the fishmonger .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man purchases fish to cook later for his family .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man purchases fish to cook later for his family .
Correct statement: It is likely that the man is buying fish .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is buying fish .