Premise: Four men are leaping into the air while the fifth man is standing on the ground outside of a house .
Correct statement: It is probable that a group of guys are celebrating as their friend watches .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of guys are celebrating as their friend watches .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the five men are related to each other .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the five men are related to each other .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that four men are leaping into the air while another stands in the grass .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that four men are leaping into the air while another stands in the grass .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the four men are leaping because they are scared .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the four men are leaping because they are scared .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that four men jump outisde a house while the other looks on in scorne .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that four men jump outisde a house while the other looks on in scorne .