Premise: A man in a black hat and light blue T-shirt is emptying a white bin with a Target bag and several bags of donations to a Community Food Bank are piled behind him .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that food bank donations are piled near a bin that is being emptied by a man who is wearing a blue shirt and a black hat .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that food bank donations are piled near a bin that is being emptied by a man who is wearing a blue shirt and a black hat .