Premise: A shirtless man wearing a white turban is climbing a tree trunk .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a guy who is wearing an Arab headdress but no upper garment is in a tree .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a guy who is wearing an Arab headdress but no upper garment is in a tree .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an Arab man is climbing a tree trunk in a park .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that an Arab man is climbing a tree trunk in a park .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is climbing a tree to save a cat .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is climbing a tree to save a cat .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man is climbing a tree .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is climbing a tree .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a shirtless man is climbing a tree to pick an apple .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a shirtless man is climbing a tree to pick an apple .