Premise: Two healthy horses play in a field .
Correct statement: We doubt that two ponies running across the pasture .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two ponies running across the pasture .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that one horse is chasing another horse .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that one horse is chasing another horse .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two horses are jumping all around .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two horses are jumping all around .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the horses compete in races .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the horses compete in races .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that some mares are frolicking in tall grass .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that some mares are frolicking in tall grass .