Premise: A shirtless man leading a horse that is pulling a carriage .
Correct statement: It is certain that they are pulling a carriage outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that they are pulling a carriage outside .
Correct statement: We doubt that the man is leading the horse to someone 's house .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man is leading the horse to someone 's house .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is using his horse to take items to a market .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is using his horse to take items to a market .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is leading the horse down a road .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is leading the horse down a road .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is leading a tour o
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man is leading a tour o