Premise: A woman is holding a bouquet of tissue paper flowers while two men look on from the porch .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the porch is new .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the porch is new .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is getting married .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a woman is getting married .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is teaching two men how to make a bouquet of tissue paper flowers .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman is teaching two men how to make a bouquet of tissue paper flowers .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two men drinking on a pourch
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two men drinking on a pourch
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a woman makes paper flowers while guys watch
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman makes paper flowers while guys watch