Premise: A truck has just crashed into the back of another truck .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a truck swerved on an icy road and hit another truck in the back .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a truck swerved on an icy road and hit another truck in the back .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the truck is red .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the truck is red .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a red truck has struck a blue truck .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a red truck has struck a blue truck .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that two truckers crash on a busy freeway .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two truckers crash on a busy freeway .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the truck is bright red .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the truck is bright red .