Premise: A man wearing a black shirt is standing next to a pole in a grassy field .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is leaning on a pole .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is leaning on a pole .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is an athlete .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is an athlete .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is playing golf .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is playing golf .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is wearing a black shirt because it is his favorite color .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is wearing a black shirt because it is his favorite color .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is waiting for his friend .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is waiting for his friend .