Premise: A bicyclist in a helmet and a man in a business suit both talk on cellphones near a fountain .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the two men are talking to their wives .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the two men are talking to their wives .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that there are two men outside in the sunshine .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that there are two men outside in the sunshine .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a bicyclist talks on a cellphone near a fountain because his boss wonders why he is n't at work .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a bicyclist talks on a cellphone near a fountain because his boss wonders why he is n't at work .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two people are on the phone talking to each other
Incorrect statement: It is probable that two people are on the phone talking to each other
Correct statement: It is impossible that an athlete is talking to his girlfriend on the phone while his agent is calling a company .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that an athlete is talking to his girlfriend on the phone while his agent is calling a company .