Premise: A toddler in a blue shirt is crying .
Correct statement: We doubt that a baby needs it 's diaper changes .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a baby needs it 's diaper changes .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a small boy is tired .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a small boy is tired .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the toddler is crying because he is hungry .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the toddler is crying because he is hungry .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the toddler is hungry .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the toddler is hungry .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the toddler is a boy .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the toddler is a boy .