Premise: A baby outside looking up at a leave .
Correct statement: We believe that a child is playing outside in the leaves .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a child is playing outside in the leaves .
Correct statement: We believe that a baby is under a tall tree .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a baby is under a tall tree .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a baby outside sitting under a tree .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a baby outside sitting under a tree .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a baby smiles while looking at a leaf .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a baby smiles while looking at a leaf .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a baby is sitting under a tree .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a baby is sitting under a tree .