Premise: A young woman wearing sunglasses and several necklaces drinks from a bottle of water in an outdoor setting .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is on vacation .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the woman is on vacation .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the water is lemon flavored .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the water is lemon flavored .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a women wonders if one should only wear one necklace at a time .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a women wonders if one should only wear one necklace at a time .
Correct statement: We doubt that the woman is wearing a dress .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the woman is wearing a dress .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl takes a drink of water at a Mardi Gras parade .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl takes a drink of water at a Mardi Gras parade .