Premise: Two children with a yellow and blue umbrella play in the bathtub .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that two siblings play with a blue and yellow umbrella in the tub .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that two siblings play with a blue and yellow umbrella in the tub .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that children using umbrella
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that children using umbrella
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy and a girl play in the bathtub .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a boy and a girl play in the bathtub .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that kids washing off after playing in the mud .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that kids washing off after playing in the mud .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that siblings play with umbrellas in the bathtub .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that siblings play with umbrellas in the bathtub .