Premise: A young girl is swinging in a backyard .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the swing is tied to a tree .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the swing is tied to a tree .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the girl is having fun
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the girl is having fun
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl swings holding her teddy bear .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl swings holding her teddy bear .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the girl is playing alone .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the girl is playing alone .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a girl plays on a red swingset .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a girl plays on a red swingset .