Premise: A man in a red long-sleeved shirt bikes over a body of water on a bridge .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a thin man bikes over a bridge
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a thin man bikes over a bridge
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the shirt has a collar .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the shirt has a collar .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man bikes quickly on a bridge .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man bikes quickly on a bridge .
Correct statement: It is impossible that it 's raining .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that it 's raining .
Correct statement: We believe that the man is exercising .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is exercising .