Premise: This is beautiful evening with the river and the setting sun .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a couple watches the beautiful sunset .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a couple watches the beautiful sunset .
Correct statement: It is probable that the sun is just above the horizon .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the sun is just above the horizon .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the sky is red
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the sky is red
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it is in the summer .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that it is in the summer .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the sun is setting on the horizon and fish jump out of a river .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the sun is setting on the horizon and fish jump out of a river .