Premise: Man in boat wearing athletic shorts , a backwards baseball cap and sunglasses unhooks a fish he has caught while fishing .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man caught a tuna
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man caught a tuna
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man must catch more fish if his family is to eat a good supper tonight
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man must catch more fish if his family is to eat a good supper tonight
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the fish is the largest he has ever caught .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the fish is the largest he has ever caught .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that man in a boat is wearing blue athletic shorts .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that man in a boat is wearing blue athletic shorts .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that man in boat unhooks large-mouthed bass he has just caught .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that man in boat unhooks large-mouthed bass he has just caught .