Premise: A group of 14 men are standing up stairs with a pair of men on each stair with identical shirts on except for one .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men are all coworkers .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the men are all coworkers .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that tall people standing .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that tall people standing .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a groom and his friends pose for a wedding picture on some stairs .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a groom and his friends pose for a wedding picture on some stairs .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a wedding picture of groom and groomsmen
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a wedding picture of groom and groomsmen
Correct statement: It is almost certain that men stand for a group photo , wearing matching shirts ( except for one )
Incorrect statement: We doubt that men stand for a group photo , wearing matching shirts ( except for one )