Premise: A mountain biker hops over an obstacle .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is riding a bike .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is riding a bike .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man in a trick competition
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a trick competition
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a biker is jumping over a log on his mountain bike .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a biker is jumping over a log on his mountain bike .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a biker hops over a big rock .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a biker hops over a big rock .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a person is riding a bike for excercise .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a person is riding a bike for excercise .