Premise: A child in orange poses in the snow riding a blue sled .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the snow bank is big
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the snow bank is big
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that there is a child wearing orange because his mother made him wear that color .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that there is a child wearing orange because his mother made him wear that color .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young boy is riding a shed .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a young boy is riding a shed .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a child is speeding down the snowy hill .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a child is speeding down the snowy hill .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the child is posing for his parents .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the child is posing for his parents .