Premise: A beautiful long-haired blond girl dressed in a blue and green bikini walking down a street
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a long-haired blond girl dressed in a bikini is on her way to the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a long-haired blond girl dressed in a bikini is on her way to the beach .
Correct statement: It is likely that the girl is walking toward the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the girl is walking toward the beach .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl wearing a bikini is going to a pool party .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a girl wearing a bikini is going to a pool party .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl is on vacation .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl is on vacation .
Correct statement: It is likely that a girl in a bikini and high heels is walking down a street .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a girl in a bikini and high heels is walking down a street .