Premise: A man is conducting an orchestra with people playing instruments in the background .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that someone is thinking about music .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that someone is thinking about music .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a new conductor takes up the baton for the first time .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a new conductor takes up the baton for the first time .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a high school orchestra warms up
Incorrect statement: We believe that a high school orchestra warms up
Correct statement: We doubt that the conducting man has had a long experience as a conductor .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the conducting man has had a long experience as a conductor .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is leading the music at a musical .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is leading the music at a musical .