Premise: A person wearing a large-brimmed hat is standing by a green moped while looking over a body of water with a skyline in the background .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is standing near a moped staring out over the water .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is standing near a moped staring out over the water .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is standing in central park with his moped .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is standing in central park with his moped .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a person took his bike out to the lake
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a person took his bike out to the lake
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a person is trying to see if the water is making any movements
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a person is trying to see if the water is making any movements
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a sombrero is watching the sunset over the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man in a sombrero is watching the sunset over the ocean .