Premise: Four people wearing Chicago Cubs shirts are wearing paper bags on their heads that spell out Cubs .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the four people are at a Chicago Cubs game .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the four people are at a Chicago Cubs game .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the four friends are holding hands .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the four friends are holding hands .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the people are at a baseball game .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the people are at a baseball game .
Correct statement: It is certain that four people at a baseball game are wearing paper bags .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that four people at a baseball game are wearing paper bags .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the Chicago Cub fans are going to see the baseball game .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the Chicago Cub fans are going to see the baseball game .