Premise: A happy woman in a brown hat and green vest is taking a picture of a horse .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman takes a picture of the horse to share on Facebook .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the woman takes a picture of the horse to share on Facebook .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a smiling woman takes photos of her horse in it 's stable .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a smiling woman takes photos of her horse in it 's stable .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a pretty woman takes a picture of a horse that is running .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a pretty woman takes a picture of a horse that is running .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a horse poses gracefully for a photographer
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a horse poses gracefully for a photographer
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is wearing black pants and a green vest .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is wearing black pants and a green vest .