Premise: An African American girl who had just received a doll from a family who adopted her from the states .
Correct statement: It is probable that the girl did not have any other dolls .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the girl did not have any other dolls .
Correct statement: It is certain that a girl is with her new family .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a girl is with her new family .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the African American girl hates dolls .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the African American girl hates dolls .
Correct statement: We believe that a recently adopted girl receives her first gift from her new family .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a recently adopted girl receives her first gift from her new family .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the child smiles at the doll .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the child smiles at the doll .