Premise: With a line of trees behind him , a boy in a yellow jacket is shown jumping off a hay bale in different positions in his jump .
Correct statement: We believe that it is chilly outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that it is chilly outside .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a boy jumps to death
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a boy jumps to death
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the boy is trying to do a flip while jumping off a hay bale .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the boy is trying to do a flip while jumping off a hay bale .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy has had his picture taken outdoors .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a boy has had his picture taken outdoors .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy pretends he is tony hawk
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy pretends he is tony hawk