Premise: A young boy wearing a red bandanna is having his face painted with `` Free B ... '' in red letters .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy is having free boosie painted on his face .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the boy is having free boosie painted on his face .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the boy is at a rally to free a person .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the boy is at a rally to free a person .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the child is sitting at a table .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the child is sitting at a table .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the boy is at a county fair
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the boy is at a county fair
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an artist paints a slogan on a young boy 's face at a carnival
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an artist paints a slogan on a young boy 's face at a carnival