Premise: Man with old movie camera and equipment , all in gold , being approached by a young child in a blue coat .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is a well known director .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man is a well known director .
Correct statement: It is probable that the man is part of a movie being filmed and a child passing by stops to look at his old-timey movie gear .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is part of a movie being filmed and a child passing by stops to look at his old-timey movie gear .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a videographer has all of his equipment plated in gold .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a videographer has all of his equipment plated in gold .
Correct statement: We believe that a kid approaching a man with camera equipment to ask a question .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a kid approaching a man with camera equipment to ask a question .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is participating in a photo shoot
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is participating in a photo shoot