Premise: A man and a smiling young boy in a float vest are swimming together .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the people are in a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the people are in a lake .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man and the boy are in a swimming pool .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man and the boy are in a swimming pool .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a father teaches his son to swim .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a father teaches his son to swim .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two people learn to swim .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that two people learn to swim .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man and the smiling young boy are swimming under the shining sun .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man and the smiling young boy are swimming under the shining sun .