Premise: A man aboard a red train helps a small child onto it while another person tries to get on .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man and his daughter are catching a train .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man and his daughter are catching a train .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is a farmer
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is a farmer
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a tall man helping .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a tall man helping .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a person pushes a child aside on a train entrance .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a person pushes a child aside on a train entrance .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man aboard a red train helps his son to board while another person tries to push his way on .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man aboard a red train helps his son to board while another person tries to push his way on .