Premise: A group of three men in white shirts stand near a police van while a man in a black jacket with a white stripe sits on the curb .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that there are prisoners near the police van .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that there are prisoners near the police van .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the police van is black .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the police van is black .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that four men are posing for a picture near a police van .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that four men are posing for a picture near a police van .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the men are drunk
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the men are drunk
Correct statement: We believe that three men in white shirts and black pants are standing near a police van .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that three men in white shirts and black pants are standing near a police van .