Premise: A dark-skinned man is wearing a police outfit .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a man dressed in a police stripper costume .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that there is a man dressed in a police stripper costume .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is a police officer .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is a police officer .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a black man is in the NYPD uniform at night .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a black man is in the NYPD uniform at night .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that this is a policeman
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that this is a policeman
Correct statement: It is impossible that police on duty outside Starbucks
Incorrect statement: It is likely that police on duty outside Starbucks