Premise: Young man in driveway holding small package .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young man holds his birthday gift in the driveway .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a young man holds his birthday gift in the driveway .
Correct statement: It is likely that a delivery man is delivering a package .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a delivery man is delivering a package .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the package contains a nuclear device .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the package contains a nuclear device .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the young man held on to the package very tight
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the young man held on to the package very tight
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a young man has just received his mail
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a young man has just received his mail