Premise: A young boy wearing a dark blue jacket and hat is holding a gold and white dog in his arms and kneeling by a metal fence in the snow .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a boy has just rescued his dog from a barbed wire fence .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a boy has just rescued his dog from a barbed wire fence .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy is taking his dog for a walk .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy is taking his dog for a walk .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy finds a dog alone in the snow and thinks he 's lost .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a boy finds a dog alone in the snow and thinks he 's lost .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young boy is happily wearing a dark blue jacket .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a young boy is happily wearing a dark blue jacket .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the dog is very light in weight .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the dog is very light in weight .