Premise: A woman with a black jacket and black purse walking downing the sidewalk while looking at her cellphone .
Correct statement: We doubt that a woman walking fast down the sidewalk while looking at her cellphone .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a woman walking fast down the sidewalk while looking at her cellphone .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman is walking to church .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the woman is walking to church .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a distracted woman walks
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a distracted woman walks
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a tall person in a jacket
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a tall person in a jacket
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a women with a black jacket and purse is walking on the sidewalk looking at her iphone .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a women with a black jacket and purse is walking on the sidewalk looking at her iphone .