Premise: Man in black jacket holding newspaper .
Correct statement: We believe that he is reading the newspaper .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that he is reading the newspaper .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is reading the newspaper .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is reading the newspaper .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is traveling .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is traveling .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man in a black jacket holds a newspaper while sitting on a bench
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man in a black jacket holds a newspaper while sitting on a bench
Correct statement: It is impossible that a reporter checking his story in the paper .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a reporter checking his story in the paper .