Premise: A very well dressed man standing in the middle of a room with lots of casually dressed people .
Correct statement: We doubt that a very well dressed man is standing in the middle of a room of casuals in a cafe .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a very well dressed man is standing in the middle of a room of casuals in a cafe .
Correct statement: It is likely that an over-dressed man stands out against people who are casually dressed .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that an over-dressed man stands out against people who are casually dressed .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a rich man is in a room with poor people .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a rich man is in a room with poor people .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man shows up overdressed to a party .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man shows up overdressed to a party .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a politician is addressing a room full of potential voters .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a politician is addressing a room full of potential voters .