Premise: A man in sweatpants walking along a shore .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man swearing sweatpants walking home along the shore .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man swearing sweatpants walking home along the shore .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is having a stroll at night .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is having a stroll at night .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a person takes a stroll on the beach on a cool fall morning .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a person takes a stroll on the beach on a cool fall morning .
Correct statement: We doubt that the man is exercising
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is exercising
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man walking along a shore at midnight .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man walking along a shore at midnight .