Premise: Cyclist number forty-eight treks through the mud .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a cyclist in a red outfit walks through the mud .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a cyclist in a red outfit walks through the mud .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a racer catches up to try to retake the lead
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a racer catches up to try to retake the lead
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the cyclist slides in the mud
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the cyclist slides in the mud
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the cyclist is leading the pack in the race through the mud .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the cyclist is leading the pack in the race through the mud .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the Tour de France saw a lot of rain this year .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the Tour de France saw a lot of rain this year .