Premise: A homeless man standing in a construction site .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that he is applying for a job
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that he is applying for a job
Correct statement: We believe that a poor man is watching workers .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a poor man is watching workers .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a tall person standing
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a tall person standing
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the homeless man is cold
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the homeless man is cold
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a homeless man begs at a construction site
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a homeless man begs at a construction site