Premise: A young man wearing a green T-shirt and a backpack is waiting with some other people for transportation .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young man is wearing an expensive green T-shirt .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a young man is wearing an expensive green T-shirt .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young man is waiting at a bus stop .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a young man is waiting at a bus stop .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that some people wait for a bus .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that some people wait for a bus .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of friends wait for their party bus .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a group of friends wait for their party bus .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man wearing a green backpack is waiting for the train .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man wearing a green backpack is waiting for the train .