Premise: An elderly African-American man in a yellow shirt is standing in front of an information stand .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is an inmate in federal prison .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is an inmate in federal prison .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that an elderly African-American man is trying to read an information stand .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that an elderly African-American man is trying to read an information stand .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a black man looks to purchase a newspaper .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a black man looks to purchase a newspaper .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a person wearing yellow is looking at a sign
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a person wearing yellow is looking at a sign
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is looking for directions .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is looking for directions .