Premise: A young man in uniform is standing with his back to a museum case that has a classical bust on the top shelf .
Correct statement: It is probable that a young museum security guard in front of a bust .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a young museum security guard in front of a bust .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is smiling .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is smiling .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young man is guarding a famous museum piece .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a young man is guarding a famous museum piece .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an active-duty military man is looking at his cell phone .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an active-duty military man is looking at his cell phone .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a young man in uniform is a security guard at a museum .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a young man in uniform is a security guard at a museum .