Premise: An old , perhaps homeless , man is sitting at a table with a glass in front of him .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is having a beer outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is having a beer outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that an old , possibly homeless man is sitting at a table waiting to be fed .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that an old , possibly homeless man is sitting at a table waiting to be fed .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the old man is waiting for his food .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the old man is waiting for his food .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that homeless man sitting at Starbucks table
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that homeless man sitting at Starbucks table
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a homeless man in a black coat sits by a glass of water .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a homeless man in a black coat sits by a glass of water .