Premise: Two young fair girls are smiling a posing together while they ride in a boat wearing floatation vests .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girls are sisters .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the girls are sisters .
Correct statement: We doubt that the girls were taking selfies on the ride
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the girls were taking selfies on the ride
Correct statement: It is impossible that the twin girls celebrate their birthday aboard the cruise ship .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the twin girls celebrate their birthday aboard the cruise ship .
Correct statement: It is impossible that twin sisters smile and pose together on a boat .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that twin sisters smile and pose together on a boat .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two light skinned girls pose in the boat and are ready to go home
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that two light skinned girls pose in the boat and are ready to go home