Premise: A woman with a hammer watches as a man levels a picture of a tree being hung on the wall .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman just hammered the nail into the wall .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the woman just hammered the nail into the wall .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a couple is decorating their home .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a couple is decorating their home .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman considers putting a painting on a wall .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a woman considers putting a painting on a wall .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is in the living room .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman is in the living room .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man just finished pounding the nail into the wall .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man just finished pounding the nail into the wall .