Premise: A woman holding a bunch of Mickey Mouse , Minnie Mouse , Buzz Lightyear balloons .
Correct statement: It is likely that the woman is going to a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the woman is going to a birthday party .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a lady on her way to a birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a lady on her way to a birthday party .
Correct statement: We believe that a woman is getting balloons for her children .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a woman is getting balloons for her children .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman buys several balloons for her son 's birthday party
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman buys several balloons for her son 's birthday party
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman is selling child-themed balloons .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a woman is selling child-themed balloons .