Premise: A man in a red shirt and camouflage shorts is outside grilling .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is grilling food for a large Fourth of July party he is having in his backyard .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is grilling food for a large Fourth of July party he is having in his backyard .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is grilling steaks .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is grilling steaks .
Correct statement: It is improbable that he is cleaning his grill while dressed in red and camouflage .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that he is cleaning his grill while dressed in red and camouflage .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a tall man
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a tall man
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is grilling on a patio .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is grilling on a patio .