Premise: A man in a cap and a blue plaid button-down shirt is holding a bird cage with a bird inside .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man is holding a bird he just purchased from the pet shop .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is holding a bird he just purchased from the pet shop .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man and his pet bird polly .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man and his pet bird polly .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the bird is very pretty .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the bird is very pretty .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man shows off the new birdcage he has purchased for his bird .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man shows off the new birdcage he has purchased for his bird .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is about to let the bird out of its cage .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is about to let the bird out of its cage .