Premise: man in orange shorts builds a sand castle , combining multiple pictures into one resulting in four copies of him .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is on the beach .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the man is on the beach .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man is playing with sand on the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is playing with sand on the beach .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is spending quality time with his family
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man is spending quality time with his family
Correct statement: It is improbable that the man is building the sand castle for his son .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is building the sand castle for his son .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man makes a sand castle while his friend makes a collage of the process .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man makes a sand castle while his friend makes a collage of the process .