Premise: Three men celebrating a goal in the game .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the men are toasting each other .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the men are toasting each other .
Correct statement: It is impossible that three men celebrate Germany scoring the winning goal in a soccer match .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that three men celebrate Germany scoring the winning goal in a soccer match .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the goal was scored in a hockey game .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the goal was scored in a hockey game .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that team mates celebrating a game winning goal .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that team mates celebrating a game winning goal .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that three men celebrating their goal in a soccer game .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that three men celebrating their goal in a soccer game .