Premise: Four teenagers , three girls and one boy , are jumping in the air on a sidewalk by the river .
Correct statement: We believe that a group of friends are playing on the sidewalk .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a group of friends are playing on the sidewalk .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that four teenagers , three girls and one boy , are happily jumping .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that four teenagers , three girls and one boy , are happily jumping .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that four teenagers playing by the river .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that four teenagers playing by the river .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the teens are cutting school .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the teens are cutting school .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the four teenagers will go wading in the river .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the four teenagers will go wading in the river .