Premise: A policeman wearing a yellow reflective jacket riding a motorcycle waving to the camera .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a policeman is riding on his civilian motorcycle .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a policeman is riding on his civilian motorcycle .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is wearing black pants .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man is wearing black pants .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a motorcycle policeman waves to the camera as he escorts the movie star to her hotel .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a motorcycle policeman waves to the camera as he escorts the movie star to her hotel .
Correct statement: We believe that a man on a motorcycle smiles as he waves to the camera .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man on a motorcycle smiles as he waves to the camera .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a police officer rides his motorcycle in his city 's annual parade .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a police officer rides his motorcycle in his city 's annual parade .