Premise: The tail of the airplane has a yellow circle with what appears to be an animal in the center .
Correct statement: It is probable that there is a caricature of an animal on the plane .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that there is a caricature of an animal on the plane .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the tail of the airplane has a yellow circle with a lion in the center .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the tail of the airplane has a yellow circle with a lion in the center .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the airplane is airborne .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the airplane is airborne .
Correct statement: It is certain that the circle is a logo .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the circle is a logo .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a dog is painted on the tail of the airplane
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a dog is painted on the tail of the airplane