Premise: A child smiling in a park
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a child is smiling in the park because he saw the Ice Iceream man .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a child is smiling in the park because he saw the Ice Iceream man .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy smiles for his father
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy smiles for his father
Correct statement: There is little chance that a child is riding a bike through the park .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a child is riding a bike through the park .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a child is playing on the swings .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a child is playing on the swings .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the child 's mother is standing in the picture .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the child 's mother is standing in the picture .