Premise: A man holds a woman in a blue and white costume in the air .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man and a woman are dancing .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man and a woman are dancing .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is in the circus .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is in the circus .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is dancing with a woman in a white costume .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is dancing with a woman in a white costume .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that it is Halloween .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that it is Halloween .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the woman is a ballerina .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the woman is a ballerina .