Premise: A woman is taking a photograph on a beach at the edge of the water while a girl stands in the foreground .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman wants her child to be quite as she takes pictures .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the woman wants her child to be quite as she takes pictures .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl is smiling .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl is smiling .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a family is seen on their last day of camping for the summer season .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a family is seen on their last day of camping for the summer season .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman photographs her friend at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman photographs her friend at the beach .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman shoots her daughter on a beach vacation
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman shoots her daughter on a beach vacation