Premise: Closeup of a young caucasian boy with brown eyes , and in a red fleece zip-up jacket , holding up a monarch butterfly on his index finger .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy has blond hair .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the boy has blond hair .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child is smiling while holding a butterfly with a bent wing .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a child is smiling while holding a butterfly with a bent wing .
Correct statement: We believe that the boy is curious about the butterfly .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the boy is curious about the butterfly .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a young boy is staring a butterfly that he has just caught .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a young boy is staring a butterfly that he has just caught .
Correct statement: It is probable that a young caucasian boy wears a red fleece zip up jacket because it is freezing outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a young caucasian boy wears a red fleece zip up jacket because it is freezing outside .