Premise: A man cutting a piece of cake at an office party .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man cuts a slice of birthday cake at a party .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man cuts a slice of birthday cake at a party .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that an employee is cutting a piece of cake for his manager 's retirement party .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that an employee is cutting a piece of cake for his manager 's retirement party .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is cutting a birthday cake .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man is cutting a birthday cake .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the office party is for a birthday .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the office party is for a birthday .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is cutting a chocolate cake .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is cutting a chocolate cake .