Premise: A man dressed in a white shirt , blue baseball cap while wearing gloves , holding a red and white checkered food wrapping .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is getting ready for a 4th of July parade .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man is getting ready for a 4th of July parade .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is wearing a uniform .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is wearing a uniform .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is dressed as a baseball player .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is dressed as a baseball player .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is serving fast food
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is serving fast food
Correct statement: There is little chance that a young man wearing a shirt and baseball is holding a food wrapper with dark gloves on .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a young man wearing a shirt and baseball is holding a food wrapper with dark gloves on .