Premise: Man paddling a boat on a river near the bank .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that there are children in boats also
Incorrect statement: It is probable that there are children in boats also
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is going fishing .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is going fishing .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man paddles a canoe down the river .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man paddles a canoe down the river .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that he is using oars .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that he is using oars .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is floating on a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man is floating on a lake .