Premise: Four people are playing basketball on a plank deck outdoors .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the plank deck was made last summer .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the plank deck was made last summer .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that four friends play basketball on the weekend .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that four friends play basketball on the weekend .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that four professional basketball players are practicing .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that four professional basketball players are practicing .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that four men playing their weekly two-on-two basketball game
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four men playing their weekly two-on-two basketball game
Correct statement: It is impossible that the group met up on Saturdays for a local pick-up game .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the group met up on Saturdays for a local pick-up game .