Premise: An old man on a bicycle riding along a wooded country road with sun filtering through the treetops .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man is on his daily bike ride through the forest .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that an old man is on his daily bike ride through the forest .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a old man exercising by riding a bike .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a old man exercising by riding a bike .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that an old man is on a bike trail for a charity ride .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that an old man is on a bike trail for a charity ride .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is biking home
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is biking home
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is athletic .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is athletic .