Premise: People are running from a fire .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that people run away from the fire in a panic .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that people run away from the fire in a panic .
Correct statement: It is impossible that people are running from a fire that was started by an arsonist .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that people are running from a fire that was started by an arsonist .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that people flee a house fire .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that people flee a house fire .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a fire has been burning for 20 minutes .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a fire has been burning for 20 minutes .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the fire is in a building .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the fire is in a building .