Premise: A man pushing a cart near the subway .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is pushing a shopping cart .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is pushing a shopping cart .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is in New York City .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is in New York City .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is homeless .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is homeless .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that he is taking the cart on the subway with him .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that he is taking the cart on the subway with him .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is selling hotdogs .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is selling hotdogs .