Premise: A man is on a roof doing construction .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is taking a break .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is taking a break .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that he is repairing a leaky ceiling .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that he is repairing a leaky ceiling .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that he is fixing shingles
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that he is fixing shingles
Correct statement: It is probable that handyman on a rooftop .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that handyman on a rooftop .
Correct statement: It is likely that the man is being paid to work .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is being paid to work .