Premise: Two men are toasting a cup of beer together , while another watches .
Correct statement: It is impossible that three men are drinking at a bar .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that three men are drinking at a bar .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that two men toast over beers to celebrate their promotions while their friend watches .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that two men toast over beers to celebrate their promotions while their friend watches .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the men are drinking lagers .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the men are drinking lagers .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that people are celebrating .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that people are celebrating .
Correct statement: It is probable that two men are in a bar .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two men are in a bar .