Premise: A soldier , wearing fatigues playing the snare drum in the Army 's Marching Band with other members of the band in the background .
Correct statement: It is impossible that there are 32 total band members .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there are 32 total band members .
Correct statement: We believe that a soldier and other members of the Army 's Marching Band march in a parade .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a soldier and other members of the Army 's Marching Band march in a parade .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a marching band is playing in a parade in the rain .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a marching band is playing in a parade in the rain .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a soldier performs competitively as member of the Army 's Marching Band .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a soldier performs competitively as member of the Army 's Marching Band .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a soldier marches as he plays the snare drum in the marching band .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a soldier marches as he plays the snare drum in the marching band .