Premise: Four men in fatigues ride across a dry field on the back of a John Deere Gator while a woman sits at the wheel .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is driving the men to go hunting .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the woman is driving the men to go hunting .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman is taking the men on a tour .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the woman is taking the men on a tour .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there are people doing yardwork .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that there are people doing yardwork .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that four army men are driven home on the back of a John Deere Gator .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four army men are driven home on the back of a John Deere Gator .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the John Deere Gator can cut and plant seeds at the same time .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the John Deere Gator can cut and plant seeds at the same time .