Premise: A woman on skis going up a hill carrying a pine tree .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman has just purchased the pine tree and is bringing it home for Christmas .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the woman has just purchased the pine tree and is bringing it home for Christmas .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a woman went downhill on skis .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a woman went downhill on skis .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman just cut down a tree and is carrying it home .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman just cut down a tree and is carrying it home .
Correct statement: We believe that a woman is carrying a tree home to decorate for Christmas .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is carrying a tree home to decorate for Christmas .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the women is carrying a tree with other people up a hill .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the women is carrying a tree with other people up a hill .