Premise: At a crowded outdoor event , many people are milling about , with four girls playing jump-rope in the immediate foreground .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that four girls play jump rope to impress other people .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that four girls play jump rope to impress other people .
Correct statement: It is probable that children play at a neighborhood festival .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that children play at a neighborhood festival .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that many people mill about waiting for their turn to play jumprope
Incorrect statement: It is likely that many people mill about waiting for their turn to play jumprope
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the girls are having a lot of fun .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the girls are having a lot of fun .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that 4 sisters play jump-rope at an event
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that 4 sisters play jump-rope at an event