Premise: An older man in a red t-shirt and khaki shorts is waving to the crowd at a parade while driving an antique Ford vehicle .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is the director of the parade .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is the director of the parade .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man has been taking care of the Ford for years and excitedly shows it off during the parade .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man has been taking care of the Ford for years and excitedly shows it off during the parade .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man driving an antique car is waving to the crowd enthusiastically .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man driving an antique car is waving to the crowd enthusiastically .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is at a Fourth of July parade .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is at a Fourth of July parade .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that old man drives his first car in a parade .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that old man drives his first car in a parade .