Premise: People walking down the street in costumes , including one of a hospital gown that exposes the buttocks .
Correct statement: We believe that the people are dressed up for Halloween .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the people are dressed up for Halloween .
Correct statement: We believe that the people are dressed for halloween .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the people are dressed for halloween .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that costumed people head to a party .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that costumed people head to a party .
Correct statement: We believe that it is Halloween .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that it is Halloween .
Correct statement: We doubt that tall people walking
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that tall people walking