Premise: Happy man grilling meat on his barbecue .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man grills meat for the first time in the season .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man grills meat for the first time in the season .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the father prepares dinner in the back yard .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the father prepares dinner in the back yard .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a happy man grills meat on a barbecue for his family
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a happy man grills meat on a barbecue for his family
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is happy at his barbecue because people are coming over to visit .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is happy at his barbecue because people are coming over to visit .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is showing a toothy smile .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is showing a toothy smile .