Premise: Four men , one in a long blue robe , looking like they are doing laundry in a muddy pit in a 3rd world country .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men are near a clothes line .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the men are near a clothes line .
Correct statement: We believe that four men who live in a third world country are talking and laughing as they do laundry in a muddy pit .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four men who live in a third world country are talking and laughing as they do laundry in a muddy pit .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a priest joins 3 other men in the task of doing laundry .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a priest joins 3 other men in the task of doing laundry .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that four men in robes do laundry .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four men in robes do laundry .
Correct statement: It is likely that four poor men are washing their clothes in a dirty puddle because they can not afford to go to the laundromat .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that four poor men are washing their clothes in a dirty puddle because they can not afford to go to the laundromat .