Premise: a woman is showing two children something .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a mother shows two children a scary bug .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a mother shows two children a scary bug .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is showing kids a pretty picture
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is showing kids a pretty picture
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a mother is showing something to her daughters .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a mother is showing something to her daughters .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the woman shows the children how to tie their shoes .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the woman shows the children how to tie their shoes .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is showing the kids something they do n't need to see .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is showing the kids something they do n't need to see .