Premise: An old man with a mustache is sitting down holding a gun and smiling .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is wearing a cowboy hat .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is wearing a cowboy hat .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man with a mustache is ready to rob a bank
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man with a mustache is ready to rob a bank
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that an old gentleman holds his gun smiling because he just cleaned it
Incorrect statement: It is probable that an old gentleman holds his gun smiling because he just cleaned it
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is taking a break from hunting .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is taking a break from hunting .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that an old man just shot a bullseye .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that an old man just shot a bullseye .