Premise: An older man wearing glasses , a baseball cap , a white shirt and a red vest plays a tuba outside a building .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an older Man plays his Instrument in front of a shopping Mall .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that an older Man plays his Instrument in front of a shopping Mall .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an old man is in a park with his tuba .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an old man is in a park with his tuba .
Correct statement: It is likely that an old professional tuba player serenading a building .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an old professional tuba player serenading a building .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that an old man plays his tuba in public to hopefully earn tips .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an old man plays his tuba in public to hopefully earn tips .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the professional musician is performing for a big crowd .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the professional musician is performing for a big crowd .