Premise: Three women are running through a puddle , and there are two women behind them .
Correct statement: We believe that people running fast
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that people running fast
Correct statement: It is likely that five women in a race
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that five women in a race
Correct statement: Chances are about even that it is raining .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that it is raining .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that five women in shorts and t-shirts are racing one another .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that five women in shorts and t-shirts are racing one another .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that all 5 ladies run through the puddle at some point .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that all 5 ladies run through the puddle at some point .