Premise: A tourist asking a local for directions to their hotel .
Correct statement: It is certain that the person is not a local resident .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the person is not a local resident .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is a woman asking a man for help .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a woman asking a man for help .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a tourist is trying to speak the native language .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a tourist is trying to speak the native language .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a tourist shows a local a map .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a tourist shows a local a map .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a traveler is very confused as to where he needs to go .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a traveler is very confused as to where he needs to go .