Premise: A man wearing a red helmet rides a bike .
Correct statement: We doubt that a person riding his bicycle through the local park .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a person riding his bicycle through the local park .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man rides a bike for the first time
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man rides a bike for the first time
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is on his way to the park on his bike .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is on his way to the park on his bike .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is riding his bike to work
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is riding his bike to work
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is riding his bike to the store .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is riding his bike to the store .