Premise: On a cloudy day , a man in black clothing and a black hat walks toward a River Valley Metro bus .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man walks toward a River Valley Metro bus on a cloudy day to escape the coming rain .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man walks toward a River Valley Metro bus on a cloudy day to escape the coming rain .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is going to work .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is going to work .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man in a suit rushes to catch a bus .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man in a suit rushes to catch a bus .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is walking down a sidewalk .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is walking down a sidewalk .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man in black is worried about rain .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man in black is worried about rain .