Premise: Two young women celebrating a birthday with cake and wine .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman just turned 40 .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman just turned 40 .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that some ladies are opening presents
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that some ladies are opening presents
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two young women go out to a fancy restaurant to celebrate a birthday .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two young women go out to a fancy restaurant to celebrate a birthday .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two young women are celebrating a 21st birthday with cake and wine .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two young women are celebrating a 21st birthday with cake and wine .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two women celebrating an anniversary .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two women celebrating an anniversary .