Premise: Costumed girl playing with a hula-hoop in a crowd .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl is party of a halloween party .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl is party of a halloween party .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the hula-hoop is pink
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the hula-hoop is pink
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the girl is performing an act .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the girl is performing an act .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a girl is being watched as she uses a hula-hoop while wearing a costume .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a girl is being watched as she uses a hula-hoop while wearing a costume .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that girl entertaining crowd
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that girl entertaining crowd