Premise: two men in a wooden boat , one wearing yellow and one wearing black , traveling on a smooth body of water .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the men are sailors
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the men are sailors
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two men sit in a boat as they fish .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two men sit in a boat as they fish .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two men travel in a wooden boat with their wares .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two men travel in a wooden boat with their wares .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two men are steering a boat .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two men are steering a boat .
Correct statement: We believe that two men are in a clean wooden boat .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two men are in a clean wooden boat .