Premise: There are 4 people in the snow at night wearing bathing suits standing and walking near a small building with a light on .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two of the people are women .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two of the people are women .
Correct statement: It is probable that the 4 people were walking together to get somewhere at night
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the 4 people were walking together to get somewhere at night
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the people are smiling
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the people are smiling
Correct statement: There is little chance that a group of people are walking near a ski resort .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a group of people are walking near a ski resort .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there are four people trying to sneak into a building .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that there are four people trying to sneak into a building .