Premise: A smiling elderly man wearing suspenders holds a shotgun while sitting in front of a fireplace in a home .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a smiling murderer is holding a shotgun in his home .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a smiling murderer is holding a shotgun in his home .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the man is happy .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is happy .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the elderly man is holding his favorite shotgun in his collection .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the elderly man is holding his favorite shotgun in his collection .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an elderly man is holding a gun , watching for intruders .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that an elderly man is holding a gun , watching for intruders .
Correct statement: There is little chance that an elderly man is getting ready to go hunting with his shotgun .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that an elderly man is getting ready to go hunting with his shotgun .