Premise: A child , carrying a closed blue umbrella , is walking with another child who is under a yellow umbrella , on a muddy path .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that they are walking home from school .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that they are walking home from school .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the children are Asian .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the children are Asian .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it just stopped raining .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that it just stopped raining .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the children were outdoors an hour after it rained .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the children were outdoors an hour after it rained .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two kids on their way home from school in the rain
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two kids on their way home from school in the rain