Premise: A man in a red shirt is walking on the street .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is going to work
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is going to work
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man walks through several puddles .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man walks through several puddles .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is a man walking to catch a bus .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a man walking to catch a bus .
Correct statement: It is certain that a man wearing red is on the road .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man wearing red is on the road .
Correct statement: It is impossible that there is a man walking through the street holding his childs hand
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there is a man walking through the street holding his childs hand