Premise: A man with a beard and a navy blue backwards baseball cap stares intently at something in the distance .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man stares at a car wreck off in the distance .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man stares at a car wreck off in the distance .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man looks at a bird in the distance .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man looks at a bird in the distance .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man has a light navy blue baseball cap .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man has a light navy blue baseball cap .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the person is daydreaming .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the person is daydreaming .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is looking for something important .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man is looking for something important .