Premise: A man in a blue and yellow jacket holding a religious sign stands in a street with people behind him on the sidewalk .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the guy on the street held up a sign on a hot day
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the guy on the street held up a sign on a hot day
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a church leader protests in the street holding a sign with his congregation with him .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a church leader protests in the street holding a sign with his congregation with him .
Correct statement: It is improbable that there is a group of people proselytizing .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there is a group of people proselytizing .
Correct statement: It is probable that people dressed in blue and yellow are holding a rally in the street .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that people dressed in blue and yellow are holding a rally in the street .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man has a light blue and yellow jacket .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man has a light blue and yellow jacket .