Premise: a black and white dog walking through the grass with a long stick in his mouth .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a dog is playing fetch with a stick .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a dog is playing fetch with a stick .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a dalmation carries a stick
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a dalmation carries a stick
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a dog is dragging a long stick on the ground .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a dog is dragging a long stick on the ground .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a dog returning a stick to his master .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a dog returning a stick to his master .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the dog is playing fetch .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the dog is playing fetch .