Premise: Three young men are celebrating together in public .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that three men are outside .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that three men are outside .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man just told his two best friends that he got a big promotion as they were walking down the street .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man just told his two best friends that he got a big promotion as they were walking down the street .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that three men celebrate after hearing that their sports team has won .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that three men celebrate after hearing that their sports team has won .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that three friends are celebrating with alcohol in a park .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that three friends are celebrating with alcohol in a park .
Correct statement: It is likely that three men are out celebrating graduation in public .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that three men are out celebrating graduation in public .