Premise: At the corner of an intersection , a black vehicle waits as a woman in black holding a bag is crossing the street .
Correct statement: We doubt that a woman is walking to work .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a woman is walking to work .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is white
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the woman is white
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the car is stopped at a red light .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the car is stopped at a red light .
Correct statement: We doubt that the black vehicle was waiting for the lady to cross the street so he could go home on time
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the black vehicle was waiting for the lady to cross the street so he could go home on time
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the woman is about to get into the black car , where her driver is waiting .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the woman is about to get into the black car , where her driver is waiting .