Premise: A man in an orange shirt is raising his golf club on a grassy course while five other men look on .
Correct statement: We believe that six men are out golfing .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that six men are out golfing .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a guy raising his club to take a shot in front of a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a guy raising his club to take a shot in front of a crowd .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a man is competing in a golf tournament .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is competing in a golf tournament .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a golf player is about to hit a hole in one .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a golf player is about to hit a hole in one .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man on his last hole of a golf tournament
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man on his last hole of a golf tournament