Premise: A band is performing an outdoor concert with guitars and drum set .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the band is paid
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the band is paid
Correct statement: It is impossible that it is a big concert for the Fourth of July .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that it is a big concert for the Fourth of July .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the people were amazing
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the people were amazing
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the band is giving a concert .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the band is giving a concert .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a band is performing in the park .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a band is performing in the park .