Premise: Four girls are jumping up and down on the sand near the ocean .
Correct statement: It is likely that a group of kids are having a jumping contest .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a group of kids are having a jumping contest .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that four girls are enjoying spring break .
Incorrect statement: We believe that four girls are enjoying spring break .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that some girls just got some exciting news about the next day 's plans .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that some girls just got some exciting news about the next day 's plans .
Correct statement: We believe that four girls are running around the water and on the sand .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that four girls are running around the water and on the sand .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a group of girls vacation near the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of girls vacation near the ocean .