Premise: Audience at an event with the stage lights as the backdrop .
Correct statement: We believe that people were waiting for the performers to take the stage .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that people were waiting for the performers to take the stage .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the audience is waiting for the show to start .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the audience is waiting for the show to start .
Correct statement: We believe that the event is just beginning .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the event is just beginning .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a group of fans at a consert
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of fans at a consert
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that they are watching the stage .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that they are watching the stage .