Premise: Sprinkler goes off in the middle of a crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that sprinkler soaks a crowd at a rave .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that sprinkler soaks a crowd at a rave .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the ceiling sprinkler shoots water on the fire .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the ceiling sprinkler shoots water on the fire .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a lawn sprinkler turns on in a group
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a lawn sprinkler turns on in a group
Correct statement: There is little chance that mourners are soaked at a funeral when the sprinklers come on .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that mourners are soaked at a funeral when the sprinklers come on .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a group of children cool off on a hot summer day .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a group of children cool off on a hot summer day .