Premise: The blond man is sitting on a case at the beach waiting to take a picture of the sunset .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is on the beach with his family
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is on the beach with his family
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man sitting on a case stares off into the horizon on the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man sitting on a case stares off into the horizon on the beach .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man sits at the beaching waiting to take a picture but leaves when it begins to rain .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man sits at the beaching waiting to take a picture but leaves when it begins to rain .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is holding a camera .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is holding a camera .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man often takes pictures of sunsets .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man often takes pictures of sunsets .