Premise: A young student receives fencing instruction from his kneeling teacher while a potential opponent and a woman gaze behind them .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the student is warming up for the tournament .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the student is warming up for the tournament .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an instructor is holding a sword .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that an instructor is holding a sword .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the student is indoors .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the student is indoors .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the teacher can fence
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the teacher can fence
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a student exercising
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a student exercising