Premise: A little boy in blue and white flower shorts holding a yellow and black football while standing in the water .
Correct statement: It is likely that a little boy is holding his favorite things .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a little boy is holding his favorite things .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a little boy has light blue and white flower shorts .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a little boy has light blue and white flower shorts .
Correct statement: It is likely that a boy in blue and white flower shorts holds a football while standing in a lake .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a boy in blue and white flower shorts holds a football while standing in a lake .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the little boy is playing in the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the little boy is playing in the ocean .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a boy with a hat stands in the water .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a boy with a hat stands in the water .