Premise: A soccer player in a green uniform with a ball in is hands is being held up by some of his teammates , while an opposing player in red reaches for the ball .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that they are children .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that they are children .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the player in green has been injured and his teammates are helping him .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the player in green has been injured and his teammates are helping him .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the winning team defends its lead
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the winning team defends its lead
Correct statement: It is impossible that the player in red tries to steal the ball to give to a fan .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the player in red tries to steal the ball to give to a fan .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the team in green is winning .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the team in green is winning .