Premise: A white dog standing on leaves on the ground .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that it is autumn and the dog is standing in a pile of raked leaves .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that it is autumn and the dog is standing in a pile of raked leaves .
Correct statement: It is certain that a white dog is outside .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a white dog is outside .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that it is fall
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that it is fall
Correct statement: It is improbable that the dog is looking for the bone .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the dog is looking for the bone .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a dog is outside , playing with leaves .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a dog is outside , playing with leaves .