Premise: A large man wearing a black shirt and sporting a tattoo on his leg walks along the sidewalk while carrying a water bottle .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the tattoo is of a dragon .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the tattoo is of a dragon .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man shows off his tattoo at the tattoo festival .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man shows off his tattoo at the tattoo festival .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a man walking to work .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man walking to work .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a large man is walking to the liquor store
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a large man is walking to the liquor store
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is a thief
Incorrect statement: We believe that the man is a thief