Premise: A crying child and people walking in a park .
Correct statement: It is likely that the people are the child 's parents .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the people are the child 's parents .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a child cries after her mother took away her candy .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a child cries after her mother took away her candy .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the child is crying because it is lost in the park surrounded by strangers .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the child is crying because it is lost in the park surrounded by strangers .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that parents are trying to stop a child from crying at a park .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that parents are trying to stop a child from crying at a park .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the child is upset because the park is not fun .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the child is upset because the park is not fun .