Premise: Four children are playing on a hill of sand .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the children are at the beach .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the children are at the beach .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that four siblings are building sand castles at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that four siblings are building sand castles at the beach .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that four kids are digging in the sand .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that four kids are digging in the sand .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that four children are playing quietly .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that four children are playing quietly .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the four children are playing tag .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the four children are playing tag .