Premise: A man in a cowboy hat rides a horse .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a rugged looking cowboy rides a black horse
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a rugged looking cowboy rides a black horse
Correct statement: It is certain that there 's a man riding a horse and he has a hat on .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that there 's a man riding a horse and he has a hat on .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is in a desert .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is in a desert .
Correct statement: There is little chance that an adult riding a horse on a dude ranch .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that an adult riding a horse on a dude ranch .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man will have issues bearing children later in life because he rides horses every day
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man will have issues bearing children later in life because he rides horses every day