Premise: This man is asleep on a bench .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that this man lays down in the cold .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that this man lays down in the cold .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that homeless man lies in the park .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that homeless man lies in the park .
Correct statement: We believe that the man is laying down on the bench .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man is laying down on the bench .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a homeless man is taking a nap on a bench .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a homeless man is taking a nap on a bench .
Correct statement: It is certain that the man is asleep
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is asleep