Premise: The little girl tackles a man and makes the universal sign for `` Touchdown ! ''
Correct statement: It is improbable that they 're playing football .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that they 're playing football .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a small girl is playing chase with her father .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a small girl is playing chase with her father .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the girl forced a fumble after the tackle and scored a touchdown .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the girl forced a fumble after the tackle and scored a touchdown .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man and a girl are playing in a park .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man and a girl are playing in a park .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child is playing with a parent .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a child is playing with a parent .