Premise: Three women and a child looking at something in the water , a man is next to the floating object .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a group of people are watching as a man tries to save an animals from drowning .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a group of people are watching as a man tries to save an animals from drowning .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the people are looking at a dead body .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the people are looking at a dead body .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a family group looks at a bottle that has floated to shore .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a family group looks at a bottle that has floated to shore .
Correct statement: It is impossible that three old women and a little boy looking at something on the lake .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that three old women and a little boy looking at something on the lake .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a child lost his toy in the water
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a child lost his toy in the water