Premise: A smiling young female soccer fan wears a red and white shirt with a soccer logo , a red vinyl cape , and a hat that looks like a soccer ball with a small Swiss flag attached .
Correct statement: It is certain that the woman is cheering for her beloved soccer team .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the woman is cheering for her beloved soccer team .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a happy female fan wore the team 's gear on her birthday
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a happy female fan wore the team 's gear on her birthday
Correct statement: It is certain that there is a smiling young female soccer fan that is wearing a red and white shirt , a red cape , and a hat that looks like a soccer ball because she has pride in her team .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that there is a smiling young female soccer fan that is wearing a red and white shirt , a red cape , and a hat that looks like a soccer ball because she has pride in her team .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a small person smiling
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a small person smiling
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that young female playing soccer with her friends
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that young female playing soccer with her friends