Premise: a group of people under a white party tent .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that there is a group of people under a tent .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that there is a group of people under a tent .
Correct statement: We believe that the people under the tent are there for a party .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the people under the tent are there for a party .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the people are at a wedding party .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the people are at a wedding party .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that friends and family are celebrating a loved one 's wedding .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that friends and family are celebrating a loved one 's wedding .
Correct statement: We believe that these people are having a party
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that these people are having a party