Premise: A group of nicely dressed young women in New York City are walking down the street through the rain while carrying black umbrellas and are approaching an intersection .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that men accompany the women .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that men accompany the women .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that some people are in New York City
Incorrect statement: We doubt that some people are in New York City
Correct statement: It is impossible that a group of women are going to watch a Broadway play .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a group of women are going to watch a Broadway play .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a group of women walk down a street to get to their favorite store .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a group of women walk down a street to get to their favorite store .
Correct statement: There is little chance that they are going to dinner
Incorrect statement: We believe that they are going to dinner