Premise: The bike is secured to a metal post .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the bike is made from carbon fiber .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the bike is made from carbon fiber .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the bike has two wheels .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the bike has two wheels .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the bike can not be stolen .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the bike can not be stolen .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the metal post is at a school yard .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the metal post is at a school yard .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the bike is chained up
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the bike is chained up