Premise: The snow is packed down tightly near the parking lot .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that there is some snow outside
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that there is some snow outside
Correct statement: We believe that it is snowing in the parking lot .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that it is snowing in the parking lot .
Correct statement: We believe that the snow is packed tight on a gusty day
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the snow is packed tight on a gusty day
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the snow is packed down in the driveway .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the snow is packed down in the driveway .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there are cars covered in snow
Incorrect statement: It is certain that there are cars covered in snow