Premise: A bunch of people in racing gear and helmets racing bicycles around a corner on wet pavement .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a group is racing bicycles during a rainstorm .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a group is racing bicycles during a rainstorm .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that it has recently rained making the pavement wet .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that it has recently rained making the pavement wet .
Correct statement: It is impossible that it is raining .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that it is raining .
Correct statement: We believe that the people are at a race .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the people are at a race .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a group of bicycle racers round the final turn .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a group of bicycle racers round the final turn .