Premise: Person in a beige colored coat and hat sitting on the sidewalk while people walk past him .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a homeless person in a beige colored coat and a hat is sitting outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a homeless person in a beige colored coat and a hat is sitting outside .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that he is wearing a coat because it is cold outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that he is wearing a coat because it is cold outside .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a homeless man is begging .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a homeless man is begging .
Correct statement: We believe that the coat is warm .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the coat is warm .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a person in a beige coat watches people walking past him .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a person in a beige coat watches people walking past him .