Premise: Two men wearing hats and holding canes are standing silhouetted against a large body of water with sunlight reflecting off the water and a tree to the side .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two men wearing hats and holding geese are standing upside-down by a large body of water with snowflakes reflecting off the water and a tree to the side .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that two men wearing hats and holding geese are standing upside-down by a large body of water with snowflakes reflecting off the water and a tree to the side .