Premise: A man is standing with his eyes closed and smoking a cigarette .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man is enjoying his cigarette
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is enjoying his cigarette
Correct statement: It is impossible that he is coughing
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that he is coughing
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man has a hat .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man has a hat .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man stands with his eyes closed while smoking on a sidewalk
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man stands with his eyes closed while smoking on a sidewalk
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man fell asleep
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man fell asleep