Premise: Grocery store employee , dressed in a red apron & a baseball cap , sits on a ledge in front of the store .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the grocery store employee is having a cigarette break .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the grocery store employee is having a cigarette break .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the employee is a woman .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the employee is a woman .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a person wearing black pants is sitting in front of a store .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a person wearing black pants is sitting in front of a store .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the employee is smiling .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the employee is smiling .
Correct statement: We believe that the employee is taking a break .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the employee is taking a break .