Premise: kids play in a blue tub full of water outside
Correct statement: There is little chance that kids are playing in a tub full of ice cold water outside in the summer .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that kids are playing in a tub full of ice cold water outside in the summer .
Correct statement: It is impossible that kids are washing themselves with water and soap .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that kids are washing themselves with water and soap .
Correct statement: It is impossible that some kids are jumping into an indoor pool .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that some kids are jumping into an indoor pool .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that kids are playing in water during a hot summer day .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that kids are playing in water during a hot summer day .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that kids play with toys in a tub filled with water .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that kids play with toys in a tub filled with water .