Premise: A very young boy in a black jacket , jeans , and tennis shoes holds himself at the top of a slide , waiting to go down .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the slide has a line of people waiting to use it .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the slide has a line of people waiting to use it .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the young boy is looking at his mother at the bottom of the slide .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the young boy is looking at his mother at the bottom of the slide .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a kid stands on the top of a slide because people are in his way .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a kid stands on the top of a slide because people are in his way .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that boy at the park
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that boy at the park
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the boy is at the playground with his parents
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the boy is at the playground with his parents