Premise: Friends and family relax and sit on lawn chairs next to a fire , at night .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that some people are telling ghost stories .
Incorrect statement: We believe that some people are telling ghost stories .
Correct statement: We believe that some friends and family relax next to the fire after a long day of camping .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that some friends and family relax next to the fire after a long day of camping .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the people are outside .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the people are outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that people are telling ghost stories around a camp fire .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that people are telling ghost stories around a camp fire .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that people are eating .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that people are eating .