Premise: Two men in life jackets working on a jet ski while a small boy in a life jacket and a woman look on .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the small boy has an orange life jacket
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the small boy has an orange life jacket
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a family is enjoying the day at the lake .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a family is enjoying the day at the lake .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a mother and her son watch a few guys fix a jet ski .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a mother and her son watch a few guys fix a jet ski .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the small boy waits patiently for his ride on the jet ski .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the small boy waits patiently for his ride on the jet ski .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that two men are about to go on a jet ski with a boy and a lady .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that two men are about to go on a jet ski with a boy and a lady .