Premise: A young man holds up a piece of wood and a chainsaw as presses a cigarette between his lips .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is cutting firewood .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is cutting firewood .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young man is cutting wood for making tables .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a young man is cutting wood for making tables .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is wearing a plaid lumberjack shirt .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is wearing a plaid lumberjack shirt .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is building a fort .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man is building a fort .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is blowing smoke out of his nose .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is blowing smoke out of his nose .