Premise: A man in a jack wearing a red baseball hat with NYC written in black on it is looking at something off picture while holding up a sign with the word CYCLE in red on it and the rest cut out of the picture .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a man is holding up a sign while wearing a blue jacket and a red hat .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is holding up a sign while wearing a blue jacket and a red hat .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is at a protest rally .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is at a protest rally .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a man is at a baseball gaming enjoying himself
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is at a baseball gaming enjoying himself
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is at a protest .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is at a protest .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is looking at something big .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is looking at something big .