Premise: Two young girls with coats on hugging in the middle of winter .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that two girls are hugging .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two girls are hugging .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two young girls are trying to stay warm .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that two young girls are trying to stay warm .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two friends embrace before saying goodbye
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that two friends embrace before saying goodbye
Correct statement: It is impossible that it is snowing outside .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that it is snowing outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two girls embrace for warmth from the falling snow .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two girls embrace for warmth from the falling snow .