Premise: The brown bottle of beer is called Winter Hook .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the delicious beer is called Winter Hook
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the delicious beer is called Winter Hook
Correct statement: It is probable that there is a delicious bottle of beer .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that there is a delicious bottle of beer .
Correct statement: We believe that this type of beer is only available during the winter .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that this type of beer is only available during the winter .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the bottle is closed .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the bottle is closed .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that that Winter Hook beer has alcohol .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that that Winter Hook beer has alcohol .