Premise: A woman in a pink shirt is placing her hand over her heart as she rides a horse .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the horse is brown .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the horse is brown .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is galloping across a field on a bay horse .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is galloping across a field on a bay horse .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is riding a horse as the national anthem plays .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is riding a horse as the national anthem plays .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is having a heart attack .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the woman is having a heart attack .
Correct statement: It is likely that a women in pink salutes the flag as she rides by on a horse .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a women in pink salutes the flag as she rides by on a horse .