Premise: A man in drag with his face painted rides by on a bicycle .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man dressed up as a woman on a bicycle performing a show
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man dressed up as a woman on a bicycle performing a show
Correct statement: It is probable that a man in drag rides his bike home from a party where he got his face painted .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man in drag rides his bike home from a party where he got his face painted .
Correct statement: We believe that a man dressed in drag has his face painted .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man dressed in drag has his face painted .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a gay man cycles
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a gay man cycles
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man rides in the street .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man rides in the street .