Premise: A man with a red fringed shirt is playing a banjo .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a red neck strums his banjo
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a red neck strums his banjo
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man with a red fringed shirt playing dueling banjos .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man with a red fringed shirt playing dueling banjos .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the shirt is dirty .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the shirt is dirty .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is playing the banjo outside .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is playing the banjo outside .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that before a performance , the musician warms up .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that before a performance , the musician warms up .