Premise: An older man wearing a white shirt with a black tie and a black cap is standing on the street .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man was unsure whether to dress formally or casually , so did a bit of both .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man was unsure whether to dress formally or casually , so did a bit of both .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there is a man on a busy street .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that there is a man on a busy street .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a businessman stands on the street .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a businessman stands on the street .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the street is near the man 's home .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the street is near the man 's home .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an older male is waiting for the taxi to take him to his job interview .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that an older male is waiting for the taxi to take him to his job interview .