Premise: A white dog is running down a rocky beach .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the dog is chasing seagulls .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the dog is chasing seagulls .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a very large dog is running down a beach
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a very large dog is running down a beach
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a stray dog runs on the beach .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a stray dog runs on the beach .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a dog is chasing someone .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a dog is chasing someone .
Correct statement: It is probable that a dog is running to his owner .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a dog is running to his owner .