Premise: A homeless man holding up a sign with his request for money and his reasons for asking .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man is asking for money while holding a sign .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man is asking for money while holding a sign .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a homeless veteran asks for help finding a job .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a homeless veteran asks for help finding a job .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a man on the street asks for money by holding up a sign .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man on the street asks for money by holding up a sign .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man recently became homeless .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man recently became homeless .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a homeless man is standing in a plaza asking for help .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a homeless man is standing in a plaza asking for help .