Premise: a man with long hair pulled into a ponytail and thick framed black glasses stands at a stove stirring a pot of boiling water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man stirring the pot was sweating .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man stirring the pot was sweating .
Correct statement: We believe that a man has long hair with a pony tail and is standing by a pot of boiling water to cook dinner for his family .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man has long hair with a pony tail and is standing by a pot of boiling water to cook dinner for his family .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is boiling noodles .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man is boiling noodles .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man with glasses is cooking .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man with glasses is cooking .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man with a ponytail wearing glasses and a baseball cap is stirring a pot on the stove .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man with a ponytail wearing glasses and a baseball cap is stirring a pot on the stove .