Premise: Three girls and one man are loitering outside of a building next to a concrete structure .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the group is outside for a smoke break .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the group is outside for a smoke break .
Correct statement: We doubt that they all are discussing
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that they all are discussing
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that four people are are standing outside of a building at night
Incorrect statement: It is probable that four people are are standing outside of a building at night
Correct statement: Chances are about even that four people are gathered outside for a smoking break .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that four people are gathered outside for a smoking break .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that four people are loitering on a sidewalk .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four people are loitering on a sidewalk .