Premise: A man in a black shirt and gray hat gives the thumbs up to a crowd with one hand , while holding a microphone in the other .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is serenading a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is serenading a crowd .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is pumping up the crowd
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man is pumping up the crowd
Correct statement: We believe that a man preforms for a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man preforms for a crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is giving a lecture to a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is giving a lecture to a crowd .
Correct statement: It is likely that an older man wearing a gray fedora gives the crowd a thumbs up before his speech .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that an older man wearing a gray fedora gives the crowd a thumbs up before his speech .