Premise: A man wearing a hard hat and a caution vest is standing in the street waving an orange flag .
Correct statement: It is probable that there are workers fixing the road .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that there are workers fixing the road .
Correct statement: We believe that a man wearing a hard hat is directing traffic through the construction work being done .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man wearing a hard hat is directing traffic through the construction work being done .
Correct statement: We believe that a man waves an orange flag at oncoming traffic
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man waves an orange flag at oncoming traffic
Correct statement: It is likely that the construction workers are fixing the road .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the construction workers are fixing the road .
Correct statement: We doubt that a water main has burst and is forcing a detour .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a water main has burst and is forcing a detour .