Premise: Two men , one wearing a cowboy hat and a black shirt and the other with his eyes closed and wearing a black baseball cap and a plaid blue shirt are playing guitars , as a woman with a plastic cup watches .
Correct statement: It is certain that two people play guitars , one in a cowboy hat , one in a ball cap as a third person watches .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that two people play guitars , one in a cowboy hat , one in a ball cap as a third person watches .