Premise: A young child using a sponge on the front of an oven .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young child cleans while his mother watches his progress
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a young child cleans while his mother watches his progress
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a child cleans the oven while his mother prepares cookies .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a child cleans the oven while his mother prepares cookies .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a child has been told to clean an oven .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a child has been told to clean an oven .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a maid is wiping the stove .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a maid is wiping the stove .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the child is using a blue sponge .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the child is using a blue sponge .