Premise: A lady in a white t-shirt and blue jeans spills her drink onto the floor while the other lady in a yellow t-shirt and sunglasses stares at her .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the lady is white
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the lady is white
Correct statement: It is impossible that the lady accidently dropped her drink on the floor as the other lady was seeing what was going on
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the lady accidently dropped her drink on the floor as the other lady was seeing what was going on
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a lady in a white t-shirt spilled her drink when a man bumped into her .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a lady in a white t-shirt spilled her drink when a man bumped into her .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a ladies drink got knocked over by another person being bumped into her and then she looks at the mess on the ground .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a ladies drink got knocked over by another person being bumped into her and then she looks at the mess on the ground .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman spilled her drink on purpose .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the woman spilled her drink on purpose .