Premise: Kite surfers are surfing in a shipping harbor on a clear windy day , in the background is a snowcapped mountain .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that people are in a competition surfing .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that people are in a competition surfing .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that people are doing tricks on surf boards
Incorrect statement: It is certain that people are doing tricks on surf boards
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that this is the first clear day in weeks .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that this is the first clear day in weeks .
Correct statement: We doubt that surfers show off for girls
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that surfers show off for girls
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the day is windy because of an approaching storm .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the day is windy because of an approaching storm .