Premise: A woman in a blue shirt in a crowd .
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman wearing a blue shirt and blue jeans is in a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman wearing a blue shirt and blue jeans is in a crowd .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman is lost in a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is lost in a crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a tall woman .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a tall woman .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is cheering .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the woman is cheering .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman is wearing her second favorite shirt .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman is wearing her second favorite shirt .