Premise: A man with a beard reclines in the snow .
Correct statement: We believe that the man is cold .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is cold .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there 's a man with facial hair sleeping on the snow .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that there 's a man with facial hair sleeping on the snow .
Correct statement: It is certain that a bearded man is in the snow .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a bearded man is in the snow .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is wearing a heavy jacket .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is wearing a heavy jacket .
Correct statement: It is certain that the man is outside .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man is outside .