Premise: A smiling little boy holds a hand mixer in a bowl .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy is making cookies .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a boy is making cookies .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy was cooking meth in the bowl .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the boy was cooking meth in the bowl .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the little boy is being instructed by an adult .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the little boy is being instructed by an adult .
Correct statement: We doubt that a boy is beginning to bake a cake .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a boy is beginning to bake a cake .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a little boy is making brownies .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a little boy is making brownies .