Premise: a man wearing a dark blue button up shirt , cowboy hat , and chaps rides a bucking bronco in a rodeo .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man has a hand up .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man has a hand up .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is trying to stay on the bronco as long as he can .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is trying to stay on the bronco as long as he can .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man tries to hold on for his life during the final round of a rodeo .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man tries to hold on for his life during the final round of a rodeo .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man has blue eyes .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man has blue eyes .
Correct statement: It is probable that the cowboy rides the bronco as the crowd cheers on .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the cowboy rides the bronco as the crowd cheers on .