Premise: There is a little girl in pink being helped by three different adults as she makes something from dough and red dye .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a little girl is making cookies .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a little girl is making cookies .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl is being helped by three adults to make a red birthday cake
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl is being helped by three adults to make a red birthday cake
Correct statement: It is improbable that the adults help a little girl making dough for a pie
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the adults help a little girl making dough for a pie
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a little girl in pink making red cookies .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a little girl in pink making red cookies .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a girl is messy .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a girl is messy .