Premise: A man playing guitar with a black jacket
Correct statement: We believe that a man in a band plays guitar with a black jacket .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man in a band plays guitar with a black jacket .
Correct statement: It is probable that he is a street preformer
Incorrect statement: We doubt that he is a street preformer
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man playing in a concert
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man playing in a concert
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the guitar player is very hot in his black jacket .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the guitar player is very hot in his black jacket .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man is in a band .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man is in a band .