Premise: A man sits on the edge of a dock with a fishing pole , facing a cloudy sky and still water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is trying to catch his wedding ring that fell in the water .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is trying to catch his wedding ring that fell in the water .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is fishing in Oregon
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is fishing in Oregon
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man is wearing a cap .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man is wearing a cap .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a fisherman gazes at a boat on a still lake .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a fisherman gazes at a boat on a still lake .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is catching fish .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is catching fish .