Premise: A young child , who has a cast on her arm , is diving into a pool .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the cast is bright green .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the cast is bright green .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young child is going to need help swimming in the pool .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a young child is going to need help swimming in the pool .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young boy is diving into a pool .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a young boy is diving into a pool .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the child was hesitant to go swimming after her accident .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the child was hesitant to go swimming after her accident .
Correct statement: It is certain that someone has a cast on their arm .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that someone has a cast on their arm .