Premise: A child sitting on a carousel horse .
Correct statement: It is probable that a child is riding on their favorite ride .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a child is riding on their favorite ride .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a child riding a white carousel horse .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a child riding a white carousel horse .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a child and her mother ride a carousel .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a child and her mother ride a carousel .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the child is a little boy .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the child is a little boy .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the child is at an amusement park with their family .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the child is at an amusement park with their family .