Premise: A man plays the drums with a serious expression .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that an angry man plays the drums with a mad expression .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an angry man plays the drums with a mad expression .
Correct statement: It is likely that the drummer has a lot on his mind .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the drummer has a lot on his mind .
Correct statement: We doubt that the band 's drummer is shown becoming overcome by the music .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the band 's drummer is shown becoming overcome by the music .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is learning to play the drums .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is learning to play the drums .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man plays the drums in a band
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man plays the drums in a band