Premise: Men dressed in either theatrical or historical attire riding horses .
Correct statement: We believe that the men and horses are in a parade .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the men and horses are in a parade .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men rode the horses to the theater .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the men rode the horses to the theater .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the men are putting on a show .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the men are putting on a show .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the men are performing a reenactment on horses .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the men are performing a reenactment on horses .
Correct statement: It is impossible that men reenacting the American civil war .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that men reenacting the American civil war .