Premise: A bearded man in a red shirt playing guitar on a stage .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man with a beard jams on his guitar on his birthday
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man with a beard jams on his guitar on his birthday
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is a local artist playing a set of his own music at a local coffee house .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is a local artist playing a set of his own music at a local coffee house .
Correct statement: It is certain that a musician performs live
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a musician performs live
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the lead guitarist on stage wears a beard .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the lead guitarist on stage wears a beard .
Correct statement: It is impossible that brock Butler of Perpetual Groove on stage for a solo gig .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that brock Butler of Perpetual Groove on stage for a solo gig .