Premise: A man wearing a black baseball cap turned backwards is in front of an advertisement for smoked herring .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is outside .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man sits down in front of an advertisement
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man sits down in front of an advertisement
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man will likely buy some of the herring product later this evening .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man will likely buy some of the herring product later this evening .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man in a hat stands in front of a grocery store .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man in a hat stands in front of a grocery store .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man reading an advertisement that he produced .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man reading an advertisement that he produced .