Premise: An African American male rides a green bike while another person does an ollie on a skateboard in the background .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the two people are friends .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the two people are friends .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is forty
Incorrect statement: We believe that the man is forty
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that people are at a skate park .
Incorrect statement: We believe that people are at a skate park .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that an African American male is at a skatepark .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that an African American male is at a skatepark .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that they are in Africa .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that they are in Africa .