Premise: The soil they walk on looks very dry .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the soil has not been watered in a while
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the soil has not been watered in a while
Correct statement: We believe that the sun is out .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the sun is out .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the soil is wet under the surface
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the soil is wet under the surface
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the grass has been worn away beneath their feet .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the grass has been worn away beneath their feet .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that they are standing in a farm .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that they are standing in a farm .