Premise: A black dog with a red collar retrieving a stick from deep water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the dog 's owner is nearby .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the dog 's owner is nearby .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a black lab retrieves a stick .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a black lab retrieves a stick .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a black dog is in a pond playing fetch with it 's master .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a black dog is in a pond playing fetch with it 's master .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a dog enjoys being in the water .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a dog enjoys being in the water .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a dog is going for a swim .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a dog is going for a swim .