Premise: A woman is using a mirror to show a young girl what her painted face looks like while a crowd looks on .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a female shows a child her face at a carnival .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a female shows a child her face at a carnival .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the crowd laughs .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the crowd laughs .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a woman is a clown
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a woman is a clown
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a girl wearing face paint is being watched by a large group of people at a fair booth .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a girl wearing face paint is being watched by a large group of people at a fair booth .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl looks at her tiger face .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a girl looks at her tiger face .