Premise: Person on a bike wearing a cone hat , with different items in the front basket of the bike and tied to the back of the bike .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the person on the bike wearing the cone hat is a homeless man .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the person on the bike wearing the cone hat is a homeless man .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the bicycle rider is looking ahead .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the bicycle rider is looking ahead .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that people are standing around near a bicycle .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that people are standing around near a bicycle .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a person riding a bike trying to act silly .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a person riding a bike trying to act silly .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a person is transporting some items on the bike .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a person is transporting some items on the bike .