Premise: A little boy is playing on a playground rocking toy .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a person having fun .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a person having fun .
Correct statement: It is probable that a boy playing at a playground at his school
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a boy playing at a playground at his school
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a little boy is pretending to be a cowboy .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a little boy is pretending to be a cowboy .
Correct statement: It is probable that a young blonde boy plays outside
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a young blonde boy plays outside
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a kid is riding on a toy spaceship at recess .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a kid is riding on a toy spaceship at recess .