Premise: A man in a top hat playing the accordion .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a guy playing his instrument for tips .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a guy playing his instrument for tips .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a street performer plays for the crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a street performer plays for the crowd .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man plays the star spangled banner with an accordian .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man plays the star spangled banner with an accordian .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a purple top hat is playing music .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man in a purple top hat is playing music .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man plays his accordion at a concert in Central Park .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man plays his accordion at a concert in Central Park .