Premise: A man in a blue shirt pulls a boat to the shore with the help of a man in a red shirt , a woman in a white shirt , and a child .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a family is docking their boat on shore .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a family is docking their boat on shore .
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is wearing a life vest .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man is wearing a life vest .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the group in the picture are family members
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the group in the picture are family members
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is near an ocean .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is near an ocean .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man pulls a boat to shore because the tide is coming in .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man pulls a boat to shore because the tide is coming in .