Premise: A man dressed in gray is standing outside of an ice cream cart while a police office directs traffic in the background .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the police officer has a gun .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the police officer has a gun .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man was watching the police officer direct traffic as he was enjoying his ice cream
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man was watching the police officer direct traffic as he was enjoying his ice cream
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is dressed in light gray .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is dressed in light gray .
Correct statement: We doubt that man buying ice cream
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that man buying ice cream
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that he is selling ice cream .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that he is selling ice cream .