Premise: The naked cowboy outside of the Bank of America is talking to a redheaded woman as cabs drive by .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman pauses from her banking errand , to talk to her naked husband .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a woman pauses from her banking errand , to talk to her naked husband .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the naked cowboy is in New York City .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the naked cowboy is in New York City .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is standing in times square .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man is standing in times square .
Correct statement: We believe that there is a cowboy only wearing a hat talking to a woman .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that there is a cowboy only wearing a hat talking to a woman .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the cowboy has a lasso .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the cowboy has a lasso .