Premise: A shirtless man jumps in a sunny forest .
Correct statement: It is probable that it is summertime .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that it is summertime .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man has chest hair .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man has chest hair .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man tries to reach something up high , by jumping .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man tries to reach something up high , by jumping .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is not wearing a shirt because it got dirty .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man is not wearing a shirt because it got dirty .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man jumps out of a tree .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man jumps out of a tree .