Premise: A parade of women in blue costumes walk down the street .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a parade celebrates women 's rights .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a parade celebrates women 's rights .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a group of women wearing blue costumes walk down the street in a Christmas parade .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a group of women wearing blue costumes walk down the street in a Christmas parade .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a parade of women participate in a carnival .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a parade of women participate in a carnival .
Correct statement: It is impossible that they are pretending to be movie characters .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that they are pretending to be movie characters .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a group of woman dressed up as mermaids in a parade .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a group of woman dressed up as mermaids in a parade .