Premise: A man fresh water fishing with a long pole .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man holds a fishing pole near a lake .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a man holds a fishing pole near a lake .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is is pulling up a fresh lake trout .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is is pulling up a fresh lake trout .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man fishes in a river .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man fishes in a river .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a man is fishing for dinner using his long fishing pole .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is fishing for dinner using his long fishing pole .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man has a big one hooked
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man has a big one hooked