Premise: A man with a yellow hat and sash has his arm raised while another man stands behind him .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the man is old
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is old
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is posing for a picture .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is posing for a picture .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a priest is speaking to a devotee .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a priest is speaking to a devotee .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man was being honored
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man was being honored
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a guy raises his arm while wearing a sash in the winter
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a guy raises his arm while wearing a sash in the winter