Premise: A little girl playing with a knob on a closet in a room and a little boy jumping on someone on a bed .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the person the boy is jumping on is his dad .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the person the boy is jumping on is his dad .
Correct statement: It is certain that a brother and sister are playing in a room .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a brother and sister are playing in a room .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the kids are getting ready for bedtime .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the kids are getting ready for bedtime .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a little girl is playing with a closet door knob while a little boy jumps on is mother on a bed
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a little girl is playing with a closet door knob while a little boy jumps on is mother on a bed
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that kids are trying to wake everyone up .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that kids are trying to wake everyone up .