Premise: Two children in their pajamas one has a mask and hairnet like a surgical nurse and is standing over the older child who is laying down on the wood floor .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two brothers play in their pajamas when they should be sleeping .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two brothers play in their pajamas when they should be sleeping .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two kids are playing doctor
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two kids are playing doctor
Correct statement: It is impossible that the one in the mask will become a surgeon someday .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the one in the mask will become a surgeon someday .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a group of kids play hospital on the 4th of july
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a group of kids play hospital on the 4th of july
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the children are siblings
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the children are siblings