Premise: A man at a gather putting together a balloon animal .
Correct statement: It is likely that man making a balloon animal at a kids birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that man making a balloon animal at a kids birthday party .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is a clown for a party .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is a clown for a party .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the man is dressed in a brightly colored clown outfit .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is dressed in a brightly colored clown outfit .
Correct statement: It is certain that the balloon animal will be given to a child .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the balloon animal will be given to a child .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a man is making a balloon dog .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is making a balloon dog .