Premise: A man and a blond woman whisper to each other in a bar .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man and a woman are holding cocktails while seated on bar stools .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man and a woman are holding cocktails while seated on bar stools .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the man and the woman are lovers .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the man and the woman are lovers .
Correct statement: We believe that a man whispers to a blond woman .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man whispers to a blond woman .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a drunk couple flirt
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a drunk couple flirt
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man and a women are flirting in a bar .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man and a women are flirting in a bar .