Premise: Five snowmobile riders all wearing helmets and goggles line up in a snowy clearing in a forest in front of their snowmobiles ; they are all wearing black snow pants and from left to right they are wearing a black coat , white coat , red coat , blue coat , and black coat .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that there is a pile of snow nearby .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that there is a pile of snow nearby .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that five women take their snowmobiles for a ride , stopping in the snowy clearing for a photo .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that five women take their snowmobiles for a ride , stopping in the snowy clearing for a photo .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the snowmobile riders are are young .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the snowmobile riders are are young .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that it is snowing outside .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that it is snowing outside .
Correct statement: We believe that the snowmobile riders are having a race .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the snowmobile riders are having a race .