Premise: A farmer with a bright yellow reflective vest drives his tractor .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a farmer drives a tractor as his daughter sits on his lap .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a farmer drives a tractor as his daughter sits on his lap .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the farmer is getting ready to harvest some crops .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the farmer is getting ready to harvest some crops .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man wears a safety vest so others can see him while he drives his tractor .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man wears a safety vest so others can see him while he drives his tractor .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is driving on a busy road .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is driving on a busy road .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man wearing a reflective vest is given directions to a farmer driving a tractor
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man wearing a reflective vest is given directions to a farmer driving a tractor