Premise: A little girl , with long blond-hair and wearing a dress , looking at her refection in a puddle .
Correct statement: We doubt that a child is in the rain .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a child is in the rain .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a little girl is looking for something inside a puddle .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a little girl is looking for something inside a puddle .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young girl reminisces about her past while gazing into the puddle .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a young girl reminisces about her past while gazing into the puddle .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the blonde haired girl is wearing a dress that has sunflowers on it , while staring at a puddle .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the blonde haired girl is wearing a dress that has sunflowers on it , while staring at a puddle .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that it rained recently .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that it rained recently .