Premise: A woman in a red shirt plays a cello .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman in her favorite red shirt is playing a cello at a concert .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a woman in her favorite red shirt is playing a cello at a concert .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is playing the cello in an orchestra .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a woman is playing the cello in an orchestra .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the woman playing cello has an audience .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the woman playing cello has an audience .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman is very talented .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the woman is very talented .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman is playing a cello to Mozart .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is playing a cello to Mozart .