Premise: A male with a beard is playing a guitar .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a male has a beard because he does not like to shave .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a male has a beard because he does not like to shave .
Correct statement: It is probable that an adult is singing an original song .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that an adult is singing an original song .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a bearded homelss man plays guitar
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a bearded homelss man plays guitar
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is playing his favorite song .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is playing his favorite song .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a musician demonstrates his skills with the guitar .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a musician demonstrates his skills with the guitar .