Premise: There is a woman in a black jacket and sunglasses and a man in a white shirt with his back turned .
Correct statement: We believe that two people are outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two people are outside .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a couple stands in a street during the day .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a couple stands in a street during the day .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man turns his back just as he and a women were about to get their picture taken .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man turns his back just as he and a women were about to get their picture taken .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is friends with the man in the white shirt .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the woman is friends with the man in the white shirt .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a couple just had a huge fight and are standing together but refuse to look at each other .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a couple just had a huge fight and are standing together but refuse to look at each other .