Premise: A girl plays on a red toy .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl plays with a toy because she is bored .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl plays with a toy because she is bored .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the girls red toy is a firetruck .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the girls red toy is a firetruck .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the child is on a rocking horse .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the child is on a rocking horse .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl slides down a slide .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl slides down a slide .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a girl is playing with a red toy because she likes the color red .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a girl is playing with a red toy because she likes the color red .