Premise: A man in a blue checkered shirt is cutting a chocolate birthday cake .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is cutting a cake at his sons birthday party .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is cutting a cake at his sons birthday party .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is celebrating his 50th birthday .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is celebrating his 50th birthday .
Correct statement: We believe that a man is cutting his own birthday cake
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is cutting his own birthday cake
Correct statement: It is impossible that it is the man 's birthday Friday , but he is having his party early .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that it is the man 's birthday Friday , but he is having his party early .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is cutting a cake for his wife 's birthday .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is cutting a cake for his wife 's birthday .