Premise: A gray-haired , shoeless woman is sitting on a blanket under a lavendar umbrella on the side of a street .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is homeless .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the woman is homeless .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is taking a break on her lunch hour .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the woman is taking a break on her lunch hour .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a homeless person is begging for change and trying to stay dry .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a homeless person is begging for change and trying to stay dry .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is homeless and old .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the woman is homeless and old .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is on a date with a woman
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is on a date with a woman