Premise: An impromptu toast among friends .
Correct statement: There is little chance that friends are at a baby shower .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that friends are at a baby shower .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a toast at a wedding .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a toast at a wedding .
Correct statement: It is likely that someone has recently made an achievement .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that someone has recently made an achievement .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a group is at a party .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a group is at a party .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that friends are thinking
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that friends are thinking