Premise: The man in the blue shirt is looking in the direction to which the little boy is pointing .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy points at an accident while a man looks at it in shock .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a boy points at an accident while a man looks at it in shock .
Correct statement: We believe that a boy gives directions to a lost man
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a boy gives directions to a lost man
Correct statement: It is impossible that a boy showing his father where his ball went .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a boy showing his father where his ball went .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy is pointing at something in the sky .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the boy is pointing at something in the sky .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a son points out a star in the night sky to his father .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a son points out a star in the night sky to his father .