Premise: An old woman looking excited with a present given to her by her friends .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the friends bought the gift collectively .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the friends bought the gift collectively .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman has been given a birthday present .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the woman has been given a birthday present .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old woman is excited about a present because it is her birthday .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that an old woman is excited about a present because it is her birthday .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an old woman received a book .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that an old woman received a book .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it was the old womans birthday
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that it was the old womans birthday