Premise: An elder man , wearing celebratory attire , plays a percussion instrument and is singing outdoors .
Correct statement: There is little chance that an old man is playing an instrument for money .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that an old man is playing an instrument for money .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man really has to use the bathroom .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the man really has to use the bathroom .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a elder man plays a drumset
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a elder man plays a drumset
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a man plays a drum and sings outside .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man plays a drum and sings outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that an old guy wearing party clothes plays the drums and sings .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that an old guy wearing party clothes plays the drums and sings .