Premise: A woman is wearing a sash while waving .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is waving at a nearby taxi .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a woman is waving at a nearby taxi .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is a contestant .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the woman is a contestant .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a woman in a bikini waving while wearing a sash .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that there is a woman in a bikini waving while wearing a sash .
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman wearing a sash is saying hello to a friend .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a woman wearing a sash is saying hello to a friend .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman waving to the crowd after winning a contest .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a woman waving to the crowd after winning a contest .