Premise: A young man dressed in blue swimming trunks and a red life jacket waterskiing in a blue lake .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a guy water-skiing during his summer vacation .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a guy water-skiing during his summer vacation .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is rich .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is rich .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the waterskis are also blue .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the waterskis are also blue .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is waterskiing behind a white boat on a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is waterskiing behind a white boat on a lake .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young man is about to fall into the water .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a young man is about to fall into the water .