Premise: A woman in a black skirt and dark red sweater with holes in the sleeves sitting on a trunk to put on red flame tights .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is in the process of changing her clothes for her big date tonight .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is in the process of changing her clothes for her big date tonight .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that she is going to a concert .
Incorrect statement: We believe that she is going to a concert .
Correct statement: We believe that a woman puts the finishing touches on her outfit for a night out on the town .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman puts the finishing touches on her outfit for a night out on the town .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the woman was ready to perform for the crowd
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the woman was ready to perform for the crowd
Correct statement: It is improbable that a woman is sitting on a trunk getting dressed in a hurry .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is sitting on a trunk getting dressed in a hurry .