Premise: A man waits at a crosswalk holding a motorbike helmet .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a motorcyclist waits to cross the street .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a motorcyclist waits to cross the street .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is on his way to work .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man is on his way to work .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man happily waits at a crosswalk .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man happily waits at a crosswalk .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is on his way to ride his motorcycle .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is on his way to ride his motorcycle .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is waiting at a crosswalk surrounded by a number of people .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is waiting at a crosswalk surrounded by a number of people .