Premise: A person wearing a blue jacket and fur lined hat is sitting on the street holding something that looks like a sandwich in his hand .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a person on their lunch break is having a sandwich .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a person on their lunch break is having a sandwich .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a person is about to eat the sandwich .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a person is about to eat the sandwich .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is on his lunch break .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is on his lunch break .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a person wearing a blue jacket is eating lunch on the street .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a person wearing a blue jacket is eating lunch on the street .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that it is a cold day .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that it is a cold day .