Premise: A lady with short hair wearing a black jacket leaned against a lamp post outside a building .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the lady with short hair wearing a black jacket is a motorcyclist .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the lady with short hair wearing a black jacket is a motorcyclist .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the lady is on the street
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the lady is on the street
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a lady is waiting for a ride outside a building .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a lady is waiting for a ride outside a building .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a woman smoking outside
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that there is a woman smoking outside
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the lady has blonde hair .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the lady has blonde hair .