Premise: Woman holds crying baby while walking down the street with children in face paint .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the baby is crying because it is tired
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the baby is crying because it is tired
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the baby is cranky .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the baby is cranky .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that woman consoles crying baby while children with faces painted to look like tigers follow her .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that woman consoles crying baby while children with faces painted to look like tigers follow her .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the woman wearing face paint is walking to a sporting event .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the woman wearing face paint is walking to a sporting event .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a woman walks with her crying baby among children wearing face paint at a carnival
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a woman walks with her crying baby among children wearing face paint at a carnival