Premise: Men wearing red , jackets black hats , and black pants standing in formation .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a military procession is underway
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a military procession is underway
Correct statement: It is improbable that men are listening to orders
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that men are listening to orders
Correct statement: It is probable that men wearing boots stand in a formation
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that men wearing boots stand in a formation
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the men are in the military .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the men are in the military .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that soldiers in uniform are standing in formation saluting .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that soldiers in uniform are standing in formation saluting .