Premise: A man wearing a yellow t-shirt is shouting into a microphone while an audience is listening .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man in the yellow shirt is yelling at the crowd to stay quiet .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the man in the yellow shirt is yelling at the crowd to stay quiet .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a man preaches in town
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man preaches in town
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the crowd is wearing yellow shirts .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the crowd is wearing yellow shirts .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a singer is in front of his audience .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a singer is in front of his audience .
Correct statement: We believe that the man is performing for an audience .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is performing for an audience .