Premise: The man in the background is grilling food while the man in the foreground is talking to the camera .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is making hamburgers .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is making hamburgers .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man films a cooking show while another man cooks .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man films a cooking show while another man cooks .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man films himself and his friend as they prepare for their tailgate party .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man films himself and his friend as they prepare for their tailgate party .
Correct statement: It is certain that one person is preparing food , another talks to the camera .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that one person is preparing food , another talks to the camera .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is grilling food next to a pool at a party .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is grilling food next to a pool at a party .