Premise: Five men , one wearing a white shirt standing on something , hanging up a picture of a child .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that four men are watching a fifth as he hangs a picture of a child .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that four men are watching a fifth as he hangs a picture of a child .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man is hanging a picture of his child surrounded by family memebers and friends .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is hanging a picture of his child surrounded by family memebers and friends .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a group of men , all wearing white shirts , hang a picture .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a group of men , all wearing white shirts , hang a picture .
Correct statement: It is probable that five men , one standing on a chair , are hanging a picture .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that five men , one standing on a chair , are hanging a picture .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the men are hanging up a picture of a missing child .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the men are hanging up a picture of a missing child .