Premise: A man in a jacket is standing in the snow watching .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is in a purple jacket looking up at the snow .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a man is in a purple jacket looking up at the snow .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man in a jacket is standing in a snowy mountain .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man in a jacket is standing in a snowy mountain .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that man stuck due to snow
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that man stuck due to snow
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the mans jacket is blue .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the mans jacket is blue .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a wary farmer keeping watch for predators during the cold winter nights .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a wary farmer keeping watch for predators during the cold winter nights .