Premise: A man in a black shirt is at the microphone .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is presenting an award to a nominee .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a man is presenting an award to a nominee .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man in a black shirt is at a microphone preparing to give an award acceptance speach .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man in a black shirt is at a microphone preparing to give an award acceptance speach .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is singing .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is singing .
Correct statement: It is likely that someone is getting ready to make a speech .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that someone is getting ready to make a speech .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is getting ready to sing a song to a crowd of people .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man is getting ready to sing a song to a crowd of people .