Premise: A little girl with blond-hair and blue eyes is wearing a sweater while she sits next to a warm fire .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a blonde girl sits by the firplace on christmas
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a blonde girl sits by the firplace on christmas
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a little girl with blond-hair and blue eyes is wearing a sweater because it is cold outside .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a little girl with blond-hair and blue eyes is wearing a sweater because it is cold outside .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a girl is sitting by a fireplace .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl is sitting by a fireplace .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl is roasting marshmallows at a campfire .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a girl is roasting marshmallows at a campfire .
Correct statement: It is probable that a little girl is sitting next to a warm fire to pose for a picture .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a little girl is sitting next to a warm fire to pose for a picture .