Premise: A beautifully dressed little girl poses in the forest with her walking stick .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a little girl poses for a picture while standing on a log .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a little girl poses for a picture while standing on a log .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the little girl is taking a photo for her mother .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the little girl is taking a photo for her mother .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a pretty girl poses with a walking stick in july
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a pretty girl poses with a walking stick in july
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the girl fends off animals with her stick .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the girl fends off animals with her stick .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the walking stick is her wand .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the walking stick is her wand .