Premise: Two people in colorful clothes are standing in a field , bent over to look at the ground .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two people with golf clubs are examining the ground .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two people with golf clubs are examining the ground .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two people in rainbow shirts are bent over .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two people in rainbow shirts are bent over .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the clothing is a costume .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the clothing is a costume .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a couple at a festival looks for a set of lost keys .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a couple at a festival looks for a set of lost keys .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that two farmers examine the ground for the next harvest .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two farmers examine the ground for the next harvest .