Premise: An older gentleman , dressed in jeans and a long-sleeved shirt , tosses a small red ball on the beach .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the jeans are new
Incorrect statement: We believe that the jeans are new
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is tossing a ball for his dog .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is tossing a ball for his dog .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is playing catch
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the man is playing catch
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man happily throwing a red ball on the beach to a dog .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man happily throwing a red ball on the beach to a dog .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an older man throws a ball to his dog .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that an older man throws a ball to his dog .