Premise: Three people are on a boat in the middle of the water while the sun is in the back .
Correct statement: It is likely that the three people are fishing .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the three people are fishing .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the men are fishing from the boat .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the men are fishing from the boat .
Correct statement: It is impossible that some people are boating across the lake to their house .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that some people are boating across the lake to their house .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a family is gathered on a sailboat on the water .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a family is gathered on a sailboat on the water .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that sunburned people hang out on a lake
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that sunburned people hang out on a lake