Premise: A man in a red shirt with decorative fringe playing a banjo outdoors with a young girl in a red shirt is next to him beating a drum with her hand .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the people have no idea what they 're doing and the music sound terrible .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the people have no idea what they 're doing and the music sound terrible .
Correct statement: It is likely that the young girl is playing a bongo drum .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the young girl is playing a bongo drum .
Correct statement: We believe that the man and woman are in a band .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the man and woman are in a band .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man and his daughter in near matching clothes play music at the local music festival .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man and his daughter in near matching clothes play music at the local music festival .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man and his girlfriend play music outside at a friend 's party .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man and his girlfriend play music outside at a friend 's party .