Premise: Two blond boys , one in a camouflage shirt and the other in blue , are having a water fight .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the two boys are at a pool party .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the two boys are at a pool party .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the guys are by the river
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the guys are by the river
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the boys have water balloons .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the boys have water balloons .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two blond boys , one in a green camouflage shirt and the other in blue , are having a balloon water fight .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two blond boys , one in a green camouflage shirt and the other in blue , are having a balloon water fight .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that two boys are wet
Incorrect statement: We doubt that two boys are wet