Premise: Two men wear silly stove pipe hats and wear makeup .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two friends get ready for a cosplay party .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two friends get ready for a cosplay party .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the men are about to perform a play .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the men are about to perform a play .
Correct statement: We believe that two men are wearing lipstick .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two men are wearing lipstick .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two gay men are being married dressed as Abraham Lincoln and wearing mascara .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two gay men are being married dressed as Abraham Lincoln and wearing mascara .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that two men wear hats and makeup for a TV show .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two men wear hats and makeup for a TV show .