Premise: A boy is poking a long stick in a swimming pool .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a little kid is trying to tell if the swimming pool is frozen or not .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a little kid is trying to tell if the swimming pool is frozen or not .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a child is trying to retrieve a toy without getting wet .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a child is trying to retrieve a toy without getting wet .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the boy is about to cut himself from poking the long stick too much .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the boy is about to cut himself from poking the long stick too much .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the boy is trying to fish out his basketball that dropped in the pool .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the boy is trying to fish out his basketball that dropped in the pool .
Correct statement: We believe that the boy is a pool cleaner .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the boy is a pool cleaner .