Premise: A man with a blue hat and blue with red polka dotted bottoms on is running into the water .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the guy is running into the water to put out the fire on his bottoms .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the guy is running into the water to put out the fire on his bottoms .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is in the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is in the ocean .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a man is about to swim in a lake .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a man is about to swim in a lake .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a naked man ran on the beach
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a naked man ran on the beach
Correct statement: It is probable that a man in running into the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a man in running into the ocean .