Premise: A little girl in a white sweater with polka dots is playing with a wooden tracked train set .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl arranges a train track in a loop .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a girl arranges a train track in a loop .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a little girl is trying to keep herself busy as her mom works
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a little girl is trying to keep herself busy as her mom works
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the girl is pretending to be the conductor of the train .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the girl is pretending to be the conductor of the train .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a little girl is inside with her parents .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a little girl is inside with her parents .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a girl plays with her older brother 's train set .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a girl plays with her older brother 's train set .