Premise: A brown fluffy dog lays in the snow with its green ball .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the dog is playing with his ball .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the dog is playing with his ball .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a dog is playing outside with its favorite green ball while it stares at a squirrel .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a dog is playing outside with its favorite green ball while it stares at a squirrel .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a large fluffy dog is laying in the snow with a ball .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a large fluffy dog is laying in the snow with a ball .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the tired dog rests with his ball .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the tired dog rests with his ball .
Correct statement: We believe that the dog enjoys playing in the snow with its ball .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the dog enjoys playing in the snow with its ball .