Premise: A middle-aged African-American man wearing a baseball cap and an unbuttoned blue and white plaid shirt was leaning on something near a street .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the African-American man with the baseball cap was a baseball player .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the African-American man with the baseball cap was a baseball player .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a middle-aged African-American man waits for his friend outside a shop .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a middle-aged African-American man waits for his friend outside a shop .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is resting .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the man is resting .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is waiting for the bus .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is waiting for the bus .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man stands on the street catcalling at women .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man stands on the street catcalling at women .