Premise: A young man in a blue sweater cleaning fish while three other men watch , one a man a cigarette , or match in his month .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that four men , back from a fishing trip , prepare the catch for supper .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that four men , back from a fishing trip , prepare the catch for supper .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the other men are also wearing sweaters .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the other men are also wearing sweaters .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the three men watching do not know how to clean a fish .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the three men watching do not know how to clean a fish .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that one of the men is wearing a suit .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that one of the men is wearing a suit .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that four men are on a fishing trip and one is cleaining his catch .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that four men are on a fishing trip and one is cleaining his catch .