Premise: People watching two women wearing red and black dancing at a tavern .
Correct statement: There is little chance that two woman are drunk and dancing .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that two woman are drunk and dancing .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that people watching are engrossed in the dance .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that people watching are engrossed in the dance .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that people watch two belly dancers in black and red in a tavern
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that people watch two belly dancers in black and red in a tavern
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the people are happy .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the people are happy .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that two women are dancing together .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that two women are dancing together .