Premise: A woman in all black throws a football indoors while man looks at his cellphone in the background .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that several people are playing inside the stadium .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that several people are playing inside the stadium .
Correct statement: We believe that the football hits something .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the football hits something .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman throws a football while the man takes a photo with his cellphone .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman throws a football while the man takes a photo with his cellphone .
Correct statement: It is probable that a young woman in all black throws a football indoors while man looks at his cellphone in the background .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a young woman in all black throws a football indoors while man looks at his cellphone in the background .
Correct statement: It is probable that a guy is checking his cellphone while a woman tosses a football around .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a guy is checking his cellphone while a woman tosses a football around .