Premise: Man escaping a straitjacket while many people watch .
Correct statement: It is likely that a magician is trying to escape a straitjacket , while pedestrians watch .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a magician is trying to escape a straitjacket , while pedestrians watch .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that this man is a magician .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that this man is a magician .
Correct statement: It is impossible that an insane man is encouraged to run free .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that an insane man is encouraged to run free .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that people watch a street performer escape a trap he places himself in .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that people watch a street performer escape a trap he places himself in .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a magician performs a magic trick .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a magician performs a magic trick .