Premise: A small boys dumps water on a baby .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an older brother is dumping water on his younger brother .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that an older brother is dumping water on his younger brother .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a boy gets mad at a baby and dumps water on it .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a boy gets mad at a baby and dumps water on it .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a boy is going to give the baby a bath .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy is going to give the baby a bath .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy is dumping a bucket of water .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy is dumping a bucket of water .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a boy helps bathe his little brother
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a boy helps bathe his little brother