Premise: Two young children , one wearing a blue shirt and something on their head climbing a tree standing in front of a body of water .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the two young children are related to each other .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the two young children are related to each other .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two young children are playing near a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two young children are playing near a lake .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the children are brother and sister .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the children are brother and sister .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a couple of young kids are climbing a tree to jump into the water .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a couple of young kids are climbing a tree to jump into the water .
Correct statement: It is impossible that one of the two kids climbing the tree at the edge of the coy pond is wearing a fuzzy beanie that matches her blue shirt .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that one of the two kids climbing the tree at the edge of the coy pond is wearing a fuzzy beanie that matches her blue shirt .