Premise: A little boy stands in the surf .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the color of the water is blue .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the color of the water is blue .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there is a boy a white-sand beach .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that there is a boy a white-sand beach .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the boy is a surfer
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the boy is a surfer
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the boy is wearing a green bathing suit .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the boy is wearing a green bathing suit .
Correct statement: We believe that a boy playing
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a boy playing