Premise: An elderly man is cooking hotdogs outside .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that an old man is celebrating his son 's birthday with a grillout outside .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man is celebrating his son 's birthday with a grillout outside .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that an old man is cooking hotdogs on a grill .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an old man is cooking hotdogs on a grill .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the elderly man outside is cooking hotdogs for his grandchildren .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the elderly man outside is cooking hotdogs for his grandchildren .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that an old man is having a barbeque .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that an old man is having a barbeque .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that an elderly man is grilling in his yard .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that an elderly man is grilling in his yard .