Premise: A woman in a blue dress , a cowboy hat , and a pink boa walks down the street .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the woman is wearing a pink boa for a breast cancer event .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman is wearing a pink boa for a breast cancer event .
Correct statement: It is impossible that this woman is going to a parade .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that this woman is going to a parade .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman is heading to a country music festival .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman is heading to a country music festival .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl is going to a party dressed up .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a girl is going to a party dressed up .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a woman dressed up is going to the club .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman dressed up is going to the club .