Premise: A little boy is playing in water in the street and wearing a wet t-shirt , as a man in a red shirt and a woman in a blue shirt are walking on the sidewalk behind him .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy is playing in water and a stranger couple walk by .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a boy is playing in water and a stranger couple walk by .
Correct statement: It is likely that the boy is in the street playing in the rain water .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the boy is in the street playing in the rain water .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a husband a wife walk behind their son as he plays in water in the street .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a husband a wife walk behind their son as he plays in water in the street .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a boy is playing in the water without his mom .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy is playing in the water without his mom .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the little boys shirt was red .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the little boys shirt was red .