Premise: A girl stands next to a bike parked in front of a building while two men , one carrying a guitar , walk by .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the guitar is orange .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the guitar is orange .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the girl 's bike is white .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the girl 's bike is white .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two men dressed in white walk down the street past a young girl dressed in black .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that two men dressed in white walk down the street past a young girl dressed in black .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a girl is by her bike while her relatives walk by
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a girl is by her bike while her relatives walk by
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the two men are friends of the girl .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the two men are friends of the girl .