Premise: A child is wearing a red shirt and raising their arms .
Correct statement: We believe that the child would like to be picked up .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the child would like to be picked up .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the child is outdoors .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the child is outdoors .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a red haired person .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a red haired person .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the child is a boy
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the child is a boy
Correct statement: It is probably the case that there is a child calling for someone else .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that there is a child calling for someone else .