Premise: A little boy with a green and brown shirt standing on the street looking intently up at the sky .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there is a little boy counting clouds in the sky .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that there is a little boy counting clouds in the sky .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a little boy has a light green and brown shirt .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a little boy has a light green and brown shirt .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy looks at a bird flying in the sky .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a boy looks at a bird flying in the sky .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a boy looking at the sky in hopes of spotting a California condor
Incorrect statement: We believe that a boy looking at the sky in hopes of spotting a California condor
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the little boy is thinking about the weather .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the little boy is thinking about the weather .