Premise: A young woman wearing a bikini jumping into a pool
Correct statement: We doubt that the woman is alone .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the woman is alone .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a girl is standing on a diving board .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a girl is standing on a diving board .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a young woman wearing a white bikini is jumping .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a young woman wearing a white bikini is jumping .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman in a bikini jumps in a pool to splash her friends
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman in a bikini jumps in a pool to splash her friends
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the pool water splashed out of the pool .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the pool water splashed out of the pool .