Premise: The kid is on a float in the snow .
Correct statement: It is likely that a kid sits on a float in the snow .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a kid sits on a float in the snow .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a kid is playing on a float in a blizzard .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a kid is playing on a float in a blizzard .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the kid is in 6 inches of snow
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the kid is in 6 inches of snow
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a kid is sitting on a float on top of snow outside .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a kid is sitting on a float on top of snow outside .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the kid is cold .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the kid is cold .