Premise: A black dog jumps into a pool that has many yellow balls in it .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the pool was empty aside from the balls and the dog
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the pool was empty aside from the balls and the dog
Correct statement: It is probably the case that the dog jumps into the pool in order to fetch a yellow ball .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the dog jumps into the pool in order to fetch a yellow ball .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a dog runs into the pool to catch a ball .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a dog runs into the pool to catch a ball .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the dog is jumping in to chase another dog .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the dog is jumping in to chase another dog .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the dog tries to get the yellow balls .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the dog tries to get the yellow balls .