Premise: A dark-skinned child blowing some bubbles using his mouth .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a black child is playing in his yard .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a black child is playing in his yard .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a black boy is blowing spit bubbles .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a black boy is blowing spit bubbles .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a Nigerian child blowing some bubbles using his mouth as part of a contest
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a Nigerian child blowing some bubbles using his mouth as part of a contest
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a dark-skinned child in a well fitting suit with a blue bow tie blowing bubbles .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that there is a dark-skinned child in a well fitting suit with a blue bow tie blowing bubbles .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a small African American boy plays with bubble soap in the yard .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a small African American boy plays with bubble soap in the yard .