Premise: An African American man with a black hat and black tank top plays the drums on some buckets for donations .
Correct statement: We believe that a talented drummer is performing on the street
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a talented drummer is performing on the street
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is in the city playing drums .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a man is in the city playing drums .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man performs for money prior to going to work .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a man performs for money prior to going to work .
Correct statement: It is impossible that man playing buckets for donations for cancer
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that man playing buckets for donations for cancer
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a black man is outside playing music .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a black man is outside playing music .