Premise: A shirtless man is on a blue raft , which is located next to a yellow raft , which is filled with cargo .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a shirtless man is in the ocean .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a shirtless man is in the ocean .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man in a raft getting ready to go raft in a in a waterfall .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man in a raft getting ready to go raft in a in a waterfall .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is floating to another country on a raft .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is floating to another country on a raft .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a rafter prepares to forge a river
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a rafter prepares to forge a river
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man in the blue raft is carrying two passengers .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the man in the blue raft is carrying two passengers .