Premise: Two people jousting with lances and shields on horses while people watch from under a tent and outside of the tent .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that there is a jousting competition going on .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that there is a jousting competition going on .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the people watching are fascinated .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the people watching are fascinated .
Correct statement: We believe that they are at a Renaissance fair .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that they are at a Renaissance fair .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the duel will end in a tie .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the duel will end in a tie .
Correct statement: It is likely that participants at a festival pretend to fight for a crowd .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that participants at a festival pretend to fight for a crowd .