Premise: A woman leaning against a white cross looking at the ocean below .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is at a church .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the woman is at a church .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the woman knows how to swim .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the woman knows how to swim .
Correct statement: We believe that the woman is at a gravesite near the sea .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the woman is at a gravesite near the sea .
Correct statement: It is likely that a woman leans against a grave marker as she looks at the ocean .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a woman leans against a grave marker as she looks at the ocean .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman is thinking about going swimming .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman is thinking about going swimming .