Premise: A man is falling out of his kayak as his paddles go flying .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man was boating in a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man was boating in a lake .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a man fell out of his row boat and his paddles sunk into the water
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man fell out of his row boat and his paddles sunk into the water
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a man is falling out of his white kayak .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man is falling out of his white kayak .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man falling out of a boat grabs a log .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man falling out of a boat grabs a log .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man is about to fall into the lake .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is about to fall into the lake .