Premise: A person with red-hair , wearing jeans and a blue sweatshirt , is jogging downhill past what appears to be some sort of shed that someone has drawn a heart on one of the doors .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman moves down a country lane , passing a pasture with a barn and a horse .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a woman moves down a country lane , passing a pasture with a barn and a horse .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that a person with red-hair is running past a shed while looking up at the sky .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a person with red-hair is running past a shed while looking up at the sky .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is jogging past a small barn .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a woman is jogging past a small barn .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a person has light red-hair .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a person has light red-hair .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman with red hair is jogging next to a lovely area .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a woman with red hair is jogging next to a lovely area .