Premise: Three young girls are taking part in martial arts .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that one of the girls is a brown belt .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that one of the girls is a brown belt .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that sisters karate chop each other fiercly
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that sisters karate chop each other fiercly
Correct statement: It is probably the case that girls are working on specific sport .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that girls are working on specific sport .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that three young girls are practicing karate .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that three young girls are practicing karate .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that 3 girls are taking part in a self defense class .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that 3 girls are taking part in a self defense class .