Premise: There is a little blond-hair girl with a green sweatshirt and a red shirt playing on a playground .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the little girl 's mom and dad are playing on the swing set with the young girl .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the little girl 's mom and dad are playing on the swing set with the young girl .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a little girl is at a park .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a little girl is at a park .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a girl is playing .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that a girl is playing .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a little blond-hair girl with a green sweatshirt and a red shirt playing with her friends on a playground .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that there is a little blond-hair girl with a green sweatshirt and a red shirt playing with her friends on a playground .
Correct statement: We doubt that a little girl is on a slide .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a little girl is on a slide .