Premise: A male figure in a long-sleeve shirt and suspenders is standing in the entry to a black train .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is the train 's conductor
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is the train 's conductor
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that an old man is about to board a train .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an old man is about to board a train .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a male is standing in the entry to a train waving his hand .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a male is standing in the entry to a train waving his hand .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a male is blocking the entrance to the black train .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a male is blocking the entrance to the black train .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a man getting ready to board his train to see his significant other .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that there is a man getting ready to board his train to see his significant other .