Premise: Two men posing for a picture at night .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the men are friends .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the men are friends .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that some guys pose in the darkness .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that some guys pose in the darkness .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two men smile .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that two men smile .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two guys are taking selfies to post to their Facebook .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that two guys are taking selfies to post to their Facebook .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that there are two men in suits posing for a picture .
Incorrect statement: We believe that there are two men in suits posing for a picture .