Premise: A band is playing the bagpipes while a man jogs by wearing all black
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the picture is taken during a parade .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the picture is taken during a parade .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the band is at a funeral .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the band is at a funeral .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is jogging to the store .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is jogging to the store .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a joggers runs past an Irish band .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a joggers runs past an Irish band .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that this band is playing expertly
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that this band is playing expertly