Premise: A brown dog leaps into a swimming pool .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that playing fetch with his favorite water toys .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that playing fetch with his favorite water toys .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a dog jumps after a toy .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a dog jumps after a toy .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the dog chases a ball into the pool .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the dog chases a ball into the pool .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a brown dog is outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a brown dog is outside .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a dry dog prepares to get wet
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a dry dog prepares to get wet