Premise: A little brown dog on the end of a leash who 's owner is wearing a blue skirt and black flats .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a dog pulls a woman along
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a dog pulls a woman along
Correct statement: We believe that a person in a blue skirt is taking their dog for a walk .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a person in a blue skirt is taking their dog for a walk .
Correct statement: We doubt that on a warm sunny day , a woman takes her dog for a walk in the park .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that on a warm sunny day , a woman takes her dog for a walk in the park .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that someone is showing off their new dog .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that someone is showing off their new dog .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the dog is quite happy
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the dog is quite happy