Premise: A man is swimming with a little boy who is wearing a life jacket .
Correct statement: We believe that a dad is teaching his son to swim .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a dad is teaching his son to swim .
Correct statement: It is likely that a little boy is having fun with his father while swimming in a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a little boy is having fun with his father while swimming in a lake .
Correct statement: We believe that the father is teaching his son to swim .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the father is teaching his son to swim .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that two people swim with life jackets
Incorrect statement: It is likely that two people swim with life jackets
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two people are in a pool .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that two people are in a pool .