Premise: A young boy enjoys the surf as the sun sits low on the horizon .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a boy surfs as the sun sets .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a boy surfs as the sun sets .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the sun is setting .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the sun is setting .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a young boy walks on the beach .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a young boy walks on the beach .
Correct statement: It is likely that a young boy is on vacation at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a young boy is on vacation at the beach .
Correct statement: We believe that people are playing in the water .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that people are playing in the water .