Premise: A woman with brown hair wearing a black and white striped tank top holding a pole in a pool .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the person is shivering in the water .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the person is shivering in the water .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman is playing a game in the pool with the pole .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the woman is playing a game in the pool with the pole .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the woman is using the pole to clean the pool .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the woman is using the pole to clean the pool .
Correct statement: It is probable that the woman is cleaning the pool so her children can play during the hot summer day .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the woman is cleaning the pool so her children can play during the hot summer day .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the woman was bored .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the woman was bored .