Premise: A man in a hat plays an unusual instrument for cash next to the metro exit .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a poor man plays music for money
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a poor man plays music for money
Correct statement: We doubt that a man plays a theremin for money outside the metro station .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man plays a theremin for money outside the metro station .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is a trained musician .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is a trained musician .
Correct statement: It is impossible that this man is making a lot of money .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that this man is making a lot of money .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that man playing his favorite song for money
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that man playing his favorite song for money