Premise: A man in a colorful button-up t-shirt is pouring what appears to be barbecue sauce onto something .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man pours sauce onto some pork chops .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man pours sauce onto some pork chops .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a man pouring barbecue sauce on his favorite snack
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there is a man pouring barbecue sauce on his favorite snack
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man in a colorful button-up t-shirt is cooking meat outside .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man in a colorful button-up t-shirt is cooking meat outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is pouring barbecue sauce onto a steak sizzling on a grill
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a man is pouring barbecue sauce onto a steak sizzling on a grill
Correct statement: It is probable that a man is cooking barbecue .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a man is cooking barbecue .