Premise: A bongo player wearing a red shirt playing in a band .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the person is performing in a recital .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the person is performing in a recital .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a person is playing the bongo outside in a band .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that a person is playing the bongo outside in a band .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a drunk bong player reads poetry
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that a drunk bong player reads poetry
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the bongo player is at a rock concert .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the bongo player is at a rock concert .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the bongo player is closing his eyes .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the bongo player is closing his eyes .