Premise: The three men are all wearing a black jacket with yellow highlighting tape .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the three men are walking around , wearing black jackets .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the three men are walking around , wearing black jackets .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the three guys are wearing the same jacket .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the three guys are wearing the same jacket .
Correct statement: It is impossible that three men about to go for a night time jog .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that three men about to go for a night time jog .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that three men in black and yellow form the evening 's neighborhood watch group .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that three men in black and yellow form the evening 's neighborhood watch group .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that three men work at a construction site .
Incorrect statement: We believe that three men work at a construction site .