Premise: A person in a green shirt is sitting on the ground near a fence , with fruit laid out near her .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the girl is holding a piece of fruit .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the girl is holding a piece of fruit .
Correct statement: We doubt that a woman is having a picnic with fruit .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman is having a picnic with fruit .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a person in a green shirt picked fruit from a tree next to her .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a person in a green shirt picked fruit from a tree next to her .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the fruit laid out are apples and bananas .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the fruit laid out are apples and bananas .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman lays out a picnic outside near a fence .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a woman lays out a picnic outside near a fence .