Premise: The skinny brown dog is walking on a fallen tree .
Correct statement: It is likely that the dog is sniffing the ground .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the dog is sniffing the ground .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the dog is wagging its tail .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the dog is wagging its tail .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that an old dog walks along a log
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that an old dog walks along a log
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the skinny dog is homeless and looking for something to eat near the tree .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the skinny dog is homeless and looking for something to eat near the tree .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that lightning made the tree fall so that the dog could walk upon it .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that lightning made the tree fall so that the dog could walk upon it .