Premise: There is a young child in play clothes playing with the sand using a plastic scoop and the calm water in the lake or ocean in the background .
Correct statement: We believe that a child is building a sand castle .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a child is building a sand castle .
Correct statement: It is probable that a young child is playing in the sand using a plastic scoop because that is the only toy he has .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a young child is playing in the sand using a plastic scoop because that is the only toy he has .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a child is wearing a black hat .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a child is wearing a black hat .
Correct statement: We doubt that the child has adult supervision .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the child has adult supervision .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a child is using a shovel in the sand on a beach by a peaceful body of water .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a child is using a shovel in the sand on a beach by a peaceful body of water .