Premise: A boy wearing a red cloth as a headband is having another person write on his cheeks with red magic marker .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy is outside enjoying the sunshine .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a boy is outside enjoying the sunshine .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a young boy has his cheeks written on by a clown at the fair
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a young boy has his cheeks written on by a clown at the fair
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy having his cheeks written on by a short girl
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a boy having his cheeks written on by a short girl
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the sister pretends to put makeup on her brother .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the sister pretends to put makeup on her brother .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy is having a clown face drawn on .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a boy is having a clown face drawn on .