Premise: A man is holding a blond child in a pool .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the man is his father .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the man is his father .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is teaching his child how to swim .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man is teaching his child how to swim .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that there is a blond man holding a blond girl above his head in a large pool .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that there is a blond man holding a blond girl above his head in a large pool .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that there are two people in the pool .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that there are two people in the pool .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that a man holds his child
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man holds his child