Premise: a man with glasses on in a short black shirt and long blue shorts stands in the road in front of a blue car .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the man is hitchhiking and asking for a ride .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is hitchhiking and asking for a ride .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the man is about to get hit .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the man is about to get hit .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man is posing for a picture .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a man is posing for a picture .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is stranded on the side of the road .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the man is stranded on the side of the road .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man wants to talk to someone in a car .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man wants to talk to someone in a car .