Premise: A boy sitting in water .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a boy is sitting in a tub of water and playing with a boat .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a boy is sitting in a tub of water and playing with a boat .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a boy plays in some water .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a boy plays in some water .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy sitting in a bath tub
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a boy sitting in a bath tub
Correct statement: We doubt that a boy is about to go swimming .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a boy is about to go swimming .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the boy is sitting in a swimming pool .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the boy is sitting in a swimming pool .