Premise: A black man is posing for a photo with two other people , showing just their hands , points guns at him .
Correct statement: We doubt that a black male poses for a rap album cover
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a black male poses for a rap album cover
Correct statement: It is impossible that a man is being arrested .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is being arrested .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is nice .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the man is nice .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a black man is taking a photo with two other black men .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a black man is taking a photo with two other black men .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is a hero
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the man is a hero