Premise: A woman in a black dress takes a picture .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the woman is a photographer
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the woman is a photographer
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman is taking a picture of a horse .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a woman is taking a picture of a horse .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a tall person in a dress
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a tall person in a dress
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a student works on an art project .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a student works on an art project .
Correct statement: It is certain that a woman is holding a camera .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a woman is holding a camera .