Premise: There is one man who is sitting on top of a school bus while another man walks down the aisle of the bus .
Correct statement: It is probable that two men are talking to each other on the bus .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that two men are talking to each other on the bus .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is walking down the aisle of the bus to tell the driver someone is sitting on it .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is walking down the aisle of the bus to tell the driver someone is sitting on it .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that two men are both sitting near a bus .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two men are both sitting near a bus .
Correct statement: We believe that a school bus is sitting parked in the middle of a parking lot .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a school bus is sitting parked in the middle of a parking lot .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the school bus is yellow .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the school bus is yellow .