Premise: Several men are sitting by a river conversing with one another while a boat drifts by them .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a group of men are discussing work by the river .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a group of men are discussing work by the river .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that men are enjoying their conversation while a canoe floats by .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that men are enjoying their conversation while a canoe floats by .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the men are planning to fish today .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the men are planning to fish today .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that some men were talking about football .
Incorrect statement: We believe that some men were talking about football .
Correct statement: It is improbable that several men are sitting by a river , about to go swiming .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that several men are sitting by a river , about to go swiming .