Premise: A girl wearing flip-flop sandals swinging on a swing set in a park underneath fluffy white clouds .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl with ponytails is on a swing in the park .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a girl with ponytails is on a swing in the park .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that the swing is red .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the swing is red .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the girl is having fun
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the girl is having fun
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a girl is swinging on a swing set by herself on a nice summer day .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a girl is swinging on a swing set by herself on a nice summer day .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there are other kids waiting to get on the swing .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that there are other kids waiting to get on the swing .