Premise: A brown dog is standing in a river with its head turned looking behind .
Correct statement: It is likely that a brown dog stands in a river with his head turned to look at his owner
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a brown dog stands in a river with his head turned to look at his owner
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a dog is standing in the river watching for other animals .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a dog is standing in the river watching for other animals .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the dog is about to swim .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the dog is about to swim .
Correct statement: We doubt that the dog is holding a stick in it 's mouth .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that the dog is holding a stick in it 's mouth .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a dog is looking back towards its owner .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a dog is looking back towards its owner .