Premise: A man in a blue shirt and a white blindfold is hitting a pinata with a white stick at a party in front of a yellow house at nighttime .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a blindfolded man in a blue shirt and white pants in striking at a pinata at a party .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a blindfolded man in a blue shirt and white pants in striking at a pinata at a party .
Correct statement: It is impossible that the man is the father of the child for whom the party is being thrown .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that the man is the father of the child for whom the party is being thrown .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is at a party with his friends .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man is at a party with his friends .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the man is attending an outdoor party and a crowd of people is watching him .
Incorrect statement: We believe that the man is attending an outdoor party and a crowd of people is watching him .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man attends a birthday party at a house where he hits a pinata with a stick .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a man attends a birthday party at a house where he hits a pinata with a stick .