Premise: Two men one in yellow the other in black riding in a boat on a river , with a bucket and an oar visible .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that two men paddle down a river with an oar and they have a bucket to remove water from the boat .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that two men paddle down a river with an oar and they have a bucket to remove water from the boat .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two men are in a boat and they are best friends .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that two men are in a boat and they are best friends .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that two men are in a rowboat and paddling with an oar .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that two men are in a rowboat and paddling with an oar .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that two men are fishing on a river .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that two men are fishing on a river .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that men in different colors are riding a boat down the river .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that men in different colors are riding a boat down the river .