Premise: A man in a yellow rain jacket is playing a musical instrument amidst black and white birds .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man in a yellow rain jacket is playing a violin among birds .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a man in a yellow rain jacket is playing a violin among birds .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a man is playing a tuba outside .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is playing a tuba outside .
Correct statement: It is likely that it is raining in this picture .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that it is raining in this picture .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is playing his saxophone surrounded by pigeons .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man is playing his saxophone surrounded by pigeons .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that many people gathered to listen to a man play music in the park , while many birds gathered to eat the bread crumbs the people threw on the ground .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that many people gathered to listen to a man play music in the park , while many birds gathered to eat the bread crumbs the people threw on the ground .