Premise: A band is playing at an outdoor music festival .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that there is a metal band playing outside to a large crowd .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that there is a metal band playing outside to a large crowd .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that there are 5 people playing the same song .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that there are 5 people playing the same song .
Correct statement: We believe that music in a party
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that music in a party
Correct statement: It is almost certain that a group of musician are performing a concert .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a group of musician are performing a concert .
Correct statement: It is improbable that the band plays good folk music .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that the band plays good folk music .