Premise: A German Shepherd carries a small log in the water .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a puppy swimming with a log in his mouth .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a puppy swimming with a log in his mouth .
Correct statement: It is probable that german shepards are strong swimmers
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that german shepards are strong swimmers
Correct statement: It is impossible that a dog brings back a stick as big as him .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a dog brings back a stick as big as him .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the German Shepherd is in a river
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the German Shepherd is in a river
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the dog is playing fetch .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that the dog is playing fetch .