Premise: Young girl playing with orange cone .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a girl with red hair .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a girl with red hair .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a girl plays with a cone that was left behind after construction finished .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a girl plays with a cone that was left behind after construction finished .
Correct statement: We believe that a young girl holding an orange cone
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a young girl holding an orange cone
Correct statement: It is likely that the girl is playing outside .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that the girl is playing outside .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a youngling is playing with her bike and a cone .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a youngling is playing with her bike and a cone .