Premise: A man driving a custom made firetruck .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a firefighter in a parade .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a firefighter in a parade .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a guy is driving a firetruck home
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a guy is driving a firetruck home
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man drives a firetruck to the house fire .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man drives a firetruck to the house fire .
Correct statement: It is impossible that he 's driving to the store
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that he 's driving to the store
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the fire truck is red .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that the fire truck is red .