Premise: A woman in a yellow hospital gown is holding a sleeping child that has a cast on the right arm .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a lady holds an injured child that is her nephew
Incorrect statement: It is likely that a lady holds an injured child that is her nephew
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a woman is holding her son .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is holding her son .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a little girl with a broken arm is held by her mother .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a little girl with a broken arm is held by her mother .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that a woman is wearing a cap .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a woman is wearing a cap .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the child has broken his arm .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that the child has broken his arm .