Premise: Two young boys sit outside in the daylight hours wearing Winnie the Pooh and animal costumes .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the kids are getting ready for Halloween .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the kids are getting ready for Halloween .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that they are trick or treating in their costumes .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that they are trick or treating in their costumes .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two friends wait for halloween to start
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two friends wait for halloween to start
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it is Halloween .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that it is Halloween .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that it is halloween
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that it is halloween