Premise: The crowd is gathered to watch a sporting event .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the crowd is at a football game .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the crowd is at a football game .
Correct statement: It is likely that the crowd is cheering for the home team .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the crowd is cheering for the home team .
Correct statement: There is little chance that the crowd is watching a baseball game .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the crowd is watching a baseball game .
Correct statement: It is improbable that people are watching a baseball game .
Incorrect statement: It is likely that people are watching a baseball game .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that people are cheering for their favorite team .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that people are cheering for their favorite team .