Premise: A male child in a blue summer hat shoveling at the beach looks on at a family that plays in the ocean .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that a family is spending the day at the beach .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that a family is spending the day at the beach .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a boy plays in the sand .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a boy plays in the sand .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a boy is making a sand castle
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy is making a sand castle
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that the boy wants to swim , but the water is too cold .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the boy wants to swim , but the water is too cold .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a boy does n't like being in the ocean , so he 's making sandcastles instead .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy does n't like being in the ocean , so he 's making sandcastles instead .