Premise: A group of smiling people are sitting around a table in an amber lit room holding drinks in their hands .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that some people are at a bar together .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that some people are at a bar together .
Correct statement: It is highly unlikely that the people are playing drinking games .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that the people are playing drinking games .
Correct statement: It is probably the case that people are sharing a good time with alcohol .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that people are sharing a good time with alcohol .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a group of college aged kids are drinking martini 's
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a group of college aged kids are drinking martini 's
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the people are celebrating the birthday of one of the group .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the people are celebrating the birthday of one of the group .