Premise: A man in a red jacket rides a horse in mountainous terrain .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a Mountie patrols the path .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a Mountie patrols the path .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a person in a national park , enjoys a beautiful sunny day outside .
Incorrect statement: There is little chance that a person in a national park , enjoys a beautiful sunny day outside .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a man has a light red jacket .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a man has a light red jacket .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a Canadian mountie is on patrol .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a Canadian mountie is on patrol .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a tall person .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a tall person .