Premise: Woman and four little girls , near cake with candles .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that the candles are lit .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the candles are lit .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that there is a smiling woman and four little girls .
Incorrect statement: It is unlikely that there is a smiling woman and four little girls .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a mother and four daughters celebrate a special occasion .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a mother and four daughters celebrate a special occasion .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that it is a child 's birthday and her friends and mom are singing .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that it is a child 's birthday and her friends and mom are singing .
Correct statement: It is probable that a woman and four girls are about to celebrate a birthday .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman and four girls are about to celebrate a birthday .