Premise: A surfer is in the air while surfing in the ocean , and there is a foamy wave crashing everywhere .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a woman is surfing .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a woman is surfing .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a surfer is performing a trick during a competition .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a surfer is performing a trick during a competition .
Correct statement: It is highly likely that the surfer has wet hair .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that the surfer has wet hair .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the surfer is about to fall .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the surfer is about to fall .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a surfer with blonde hair surfs the ocean .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a surfer with blonde hair surfs the ocean .