Premise: A young man playing nine ball billiards is aiming for the nine ball .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man is in a pool hall .
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that a man is in a pool hall .
Correct statement: It is likely that the man is going to hit the nine ball into the pocket .
Incorrect statement: It is probably not the case that the man is going to hit the nine ball into the pocket .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a young man is playing for money against someone .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a young man is playing for money against someone .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a young man playing billiards at the local bar .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a young man playing billiards at the local bar .
Correct statement: It is impossible that a young man plays aims for the nine ball during a billiards competition .
Incorrect statement: Chances are about even that a young man plays aims for the nine ball during a billiards competition .