Premise: an upside down man doing a flip on a waterski board
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that there is a blue boat pulling the man .
Incorrect statement: There is a better than even chance that there is a blue boat pulling the man .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that an upside down man is doing a hard flip .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that an upside down man is doing a hard flip .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a man is waterskiing at a beach .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a man is waterskiing at a beach .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a man in a competition at the lake .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man in a competition at the lake .
Correct statement: It is almost certain that the man is holding on to a boat as it pulls him .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the man is holding on to a boat as it pulls him .