Premise: A man jumps into the water on a sunny day .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that the man is at a swimming pool on a hot day ,
Incorrect statement: It is improbable that the man is at a swimming pool on a hot day ,
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the man is at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the man is at the beach .
Correct statement: It is likely that a man rapidly jumps into the water .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a man rapidly jumps into the water .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man is jumps in to a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a man is jumps in to a lake .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man jumps into water at the beach .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a man jumps into water at the beach .