Premise: A woman in a black skirt suit is speaking with another woman in a boat .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the boat is on a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that the boat is on a lake .
Correct statement: It is impossible that two women are stranded in a boat , and discuss their options .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that two women are stranded in a boat , and discuss their options .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that two women are in a boat on a lake .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that two women are in a boat on a lake .
Correct statement: We doubt that two women discuss their day .
Incorrect statement: We believe that two women discuss their day .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that two women standing in a boat
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that two women standing in a boat