Premise: A woman with a red purse and a dark colored coat is walking along a city street while talking on a cellphone .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the purse is expensive .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that the purse is expensive .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a woman is going to her job and is talking on her phone .
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that a woman is going to her job and is talking on her phone .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a lady is chatting while walking back to work from her lunch break .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a lady is chatting while walking back to work from her lunch break .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a rich old lady is arguing with her son on the phone .
Incorrect statement: There is a very good chance that a rich old lady is arguing with her son on the phone .
Correct statement: Chances are slight that the woman is talking to her mother on the phone .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that the woman is talking to her mother on the phone .