Premise: A young woman is drinking a beer while dressing in a pageant costume which includes lots of pink feathers and beads .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a woman drinks a beer while dressed in a pageant costume after losing the pageant .
Incorrect statement: It is probably the case that a woman drinks a beer while dressed in a pageant costume after losing the pageant .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that the young woman is drunk .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that the young woman is drunk .
Correct statement: It is unlikely that a woman drinks at a Halloween party .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a woman drinks at a Halloween party .
Correct statement: There is little chance that a girl is drinking a beer before performing in a play .
Incorrect statement: It is highly likely that a girl is drinking a beer before performing in a play .
Correct statement: There is almost no chance that a woman takes a drink after finding out she came in second place in the pageant .
Incorrect statement: It is probable that a woman takes a drink after finding out she came in second place in the pageant .