Premise: A male drummer wearing sunglasses and a yellow t-shirt bangs on a conga hand drum during a street festival .
Correct statement: It is certain that the male is playing the conga outdoors .
Incorrect statement: We doubt that the male is playing the conga outdoors .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a drummer is wearing sunglasses because it is bright outside .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a drummer is wearing sunglasses because it is bright outside .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that the person is in a band
Incorrect statement: It is impossible that the person is in a band
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a man plays a conga drum at a South American music festival .
Incorrect statement: There is almost no chance that a man plays a conga drum at a South American music festival .
Correct statement: Chances are about even that a male drummer wearing sunglasses and a yellow shirt plays a conga while dozens of people dance around him .
Incorrect statement: It is almost certain that a male drummer wearing sunglasses and a yellow shirt plays a conga while dozens of people dance around him .