Premise: a boy enjoys a rain shower .
Correct statement: There is a very good chance that a boy is outdoors in the rain .
Incorrect statement: Chances are slight that a boy is outdoors in the rain .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a boy is jumping in a puddle .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a boy is jumping in a puddle .
Correct statement: It is improbable that a boy enjoying the rain before he has to go inside for dinner .
Incorrect statement: We believe that a boy enjoying the rain before he has to go inside for dinner .
Correct statement: There is a better than even chance that a young man is outside in a thunderstorm .
Incorrect statement: It is highly unlikely that a young man is outside in a thunderstorm .
Correct statement: It is probably not the case that a boy jumps in mud puddles while it rains .
Incorrect statement: It is certain that a boy jumps in mud puddles while it rains .