diff --git "a/vtt/episode_025_small.vtt" "b/vtt/episode_025_small.vtt" new file mode 100644--- /dev/null +++ "b/vtt/episode_025_small.vtt" @@ -0,0 +1,8294 @@ +WEBVTT + +00:00.000 --> 00:02.360 + The following is a conversation with Jeff Hawkins. + +00:02.360 --> 00:04.140 + He's the founder of the Redwood Center + +00:04.140 --> 00:06.560 + for Theoretical and Neuroscience in 2002 + +00:06.560 --> 00:08.980 + and New Menta in 2005. + +00:08.980 --> 00:11.920 + In his 2004 book titled On Intelligence + +00:11.920 --> 00:13.880 + and in the research before and after, + +00:13.880 --> 00:16.200 + he and his team have worked to reverse engineer + +00:16.200 --> 00:19.160 + the New York Cortex and propose artificial intelligence + +00:19.160 --> 00:21.360 + architectures approaches and ideas + +00:21.360 --> 00:23.640 + that are inspired by the human brain. + +00:23.640 --> 00:25.960 + These ideas include hierarchical temporal memory, + +00:25.960 --> 00:30.080 + HTM from 2004, and New Work, The Thousand's Brain's Theory + +00:30.080 --> 00:33.800 + of Intelligence from 2017, 18, and 19. + +00:33.800 --> 00:36.120 + Jeff's ideas have been an inspiration + +00:36.120 --> 00:38.960 + to many who have looked for progress beyond the current + +00:38.960 --> 00:41.760 + machine learning approaches, but they have also received + +00:41.760 --> 00:44.680 + criticism for lacking a body of empirical evidence + +00:44.680 --> 00:46.240 + supporting the models. + +00:46.240 --> 00:49.040 + This is always a challenge when seeking more than small + +00:49.040 --> 00:51.440 + incremental steps forward in AI. + +00:51.440 --> 00:54.120 + Jeff is a brilliant mind and many of the ideas + +00:54.120 --> 00:56.520 + he has developed and aggregated from neuroscience + +00:56.520 --> 00:59.160 + are worth understanding and thinking about. + +00:59.160 --> 01:00.960 + There are limits to deep learning + +01:00.960 --> 01:02.960 + as it is currently defined. + +01:02.960 --> 01:05.800 + Forward progress in AI is shrouded in mystery. + +01:05.800 --> 01:07.800 + My hope is that conversations like this + +01:07.800 --> 01:11.480 + can help provide an inspiring spark for new ideas. + +01:11.480 --> 01:14.060 + This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast. + +01:14.060 --> 01:16.200 + If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube, + +01:16.200 --> 01:18.680 + iTunes, or simply connect with me on Twitter + +01:18.680 --> 01:21.560 + at Lex Freedman spelled F R I D. + +01:21.560 --> 01:25.360 + And now here's my conversation with Jeff Hawkins. + +01:26.800 --> 01:29.880 + Are you more interested in understanding the human brain + +01:29.880 --> 01:32.040 + or in creating artificial systems + +01:32.040 --> 01:34.680 + that have many of the same qualities, + +01:34.680 --> 01:38.600 + but don't necessarily require that you actually understand + +01:38.600 --> 01:41.520 + the underpinning workings of our mind? + +01:41.520 --> 01:44.020 + So there's a clear answer to that question. + +01:44.020 --> 01:46.800 + My primary interest is understanding the human brain. + +01:46.800 --> 01:51.520 + No question about it, but I also firmly believe + +01:51.520 --> 01:53.880 + that we will not be able to create + +01:53.880 --> 01:55.040 + fully intelligent machines + +01:55.040 --> 01:57.280 + until we understand how the human brain works. + +01:57.280 --> 02:00.120 + So I don't see those as separate problems. + +02:00.120 --> 02:01.720 + I think there's limits to what can be done + +02:01.720 --> 02:02.640 + with machine intelligence + +02:02.640 --> 02:04.040 + if you don't understand the principles + +02:04.040 --> 02:05.680 + by which the brain works. + +02:05.680 --> 02:07.880 + And so I actually believe that studying the brain + +02:07.880 --> 02:11.960 + is actually the fastest way to get to machine intelligence. + +02:11.960 --> 02:14.640 + And within that, let me ask the impossible question. + +02:14.640 --> 02:17.160 + How do you not define, but at least think + +02:17.160 --> 02:19.400 + about what it means to be intelligent? + +02:19.400 --> 02:22.240 + So I didn't try to answer that question first. + +02:22.240 --> 02:24.480 + We said, let's just talk about how the brain works. + +02:24.480 --> 02:26.680 + And let's figure out how certain parts of the brain, + +02:26.680 --> 02:29.880 + mostly the neocortex, but some other parts too, + +02:29.880 --> 02:32.320 + the parts of the brain most associated with intelligence. + +02:32.320 --> 02:35.800 + And let's discover the principles by how they work. + +02:35.800 --> 02:39.320 + Because intelligence isn't just like some mechanism + +02:39.320 --> 02:40.640 + and it's not just some capabilities. + +02:40.640 --> 02:43.000 + It's like, okay, we don't even know where to begin + +02:43.000 --> 02:44.000 + on this stuff. + +02:44.000 --> 02:49.000 + And so now that we've made a lot of progress on this, + +02:49.000 --> 02:50.480 + after we've made a lot of progress + +02:50.480 --> 02:53.200 + on how the neocortex works, and we can talk about that, + +02:53.200 --> 02:54.560 + I now have a very good idea + +02:54.560 --> 02:57.200 + what's gonna be required to make intelligent machines. + +02:57.200 --> 02:59.600 + I can tell you today, some of the things + +02:59.600 --> 03:02.120 + are gonna be necessary, I believe, + +03:02.120 --> 03:03.480 + to create intelligent machines. + +03:03.480 --> 03:04.600 + Well, so we'll get there. + +03:04.600 --> 03:07.440 + We'll get to the neocortex and some of the theories + +03:07.440 --> 03:09.200 + of how the whole thing works. + +03:09.200 --> 03:11.720 + And you're saying, as we understand more and more + +03:12.720 --> 03:14.800 + about the neocortex, about our own human mind, + +03:14.800 --> 03:17.720 + we'll be able to start to more specifically define + +03:17.720 --> 03:18.680 + what it means to be intelligent. + +03:18.680 --> 03:21.880 + It's not useful to really talk about that until... + +03:21.880 --> 03:23.560 + I don't know if it's not useful. + +03:23.560 --> 03:26.200 + Look, there's a long history of AI, as you know. + +03:26.200 --> 03:28.920 + And there's been different approaches taken to it. + +03:28.920 --> 03:30.160 + And who knows? + +03:30.160 --> 03:32.280 + Maybe they're all useful. + +03:32.280 --> 03:37.280 + So the good old fashioned AI, the expert systems, + +03:37.360 --> 03:38.960 + the current convolutional neural networks, + +03:38.960 --> 03:40.440 + they all have their utility. + +03:41.280 --> 03:43.800 + They all have a value in the world. + +03:43.800 --> 03:45.280 + But I would think almost everyone agreed + +03:45.280 --> 03:46.640 + that none of them are really intelligent + +03:46.640 --> 03:49.880 + in a sort of a deep way that humans are. + +03:49.880 --> 03:53.600 + And so it's just the question of how do you get + +03:53.600 --> 03:56.440 + from where those systems were or are today + +03:56.440 --> 03:59.240 + to where a lot of people think we're gonna go. + +03:59.240 --> 04:02.320 + And there's a big, big gap there, a huge gap. + +04:02.320 --> 04:06.240 + And I think the quickest way of bridging that gap + +04:06.240 --> 04:08.840 + is to figure out how the brain does that. + +04:08.840 --> 04:10.160 + And then we can sit back and look and say, + +04:10.160 --> 04:13.000 + oh, what are these principles that the brain works on + +04:13.000 --> 04:15.160 + are necessary and which ones are not? + +04:15.160 --> 04:16.640 + Clearly, we don't have to build this in, + +04:16.640 --> 04:18.520 + and tellage machines aren't gonna be built + +04:18.520 --> 04:22.760 + out of organic living cells. + +04:22.760 --> 04:24.720 + But there's a lot of stuff that goes on the brain + +04:24.720 --> 04:25.920 + that's gonna be necessary. + +04:25.920 --> 04:30.320 + So let me ask maybe, before we get into the fun details, + +04:30.320 --> 04:33.080 + let me ask maybe a depressing or a difficult question. + +04:33.080 --> 04:36.240 + Do you think it's possible that we will never + +04:36.240 --> 04:38.120 + be able to understand how our brain works, + +04:38.120 --> 04:41.840 + that maybe there's aspects to the human mind + +04:41.840 --> 04:46.160 + like we ourselves cannot introspectively get to the core, + +04:46.160 --> 04:48.120 + that there's a wall you eventually hit? + +04:48.120 --> 04:50.200 + Yeah, I don't believe that's the case. + +04:52.040 --> 04:53.240 + I have never believed that's the case. + +04:53.240 --> 04:55.760 + There's not been a single thing we've ever, + +04:55.760 --> 04:57.760 + humans have ever put their minds to that we've said, + +04:57.760 --> 05:00.320 + oh, we reached the wall, we can't go any further. + +05:00.320 --> 05:01.680 + People keep saying that. + +05:01.680 --> 05:03.400 + People used to believe that about life, you know, + +05:03.400 --> 05:04.480 + Alain Vitao, right? + +05:04.480 --> 05:06.360 + There's like, what's the difference in living matter + +05:06.360 --> 05:07.280 + and nonliving matter? + +05:07.280 --> 05:09.120 + Something special you never understand. + +05:09.120 --> 05:10.640 + We no longer think that. + +05:10.640 --> 05:14.720 + So there's no historical evidence that suggests this is the case + +05:14.720 --> 05:17.600 + and I just never even consider that's a possibility. + +05:17.600 --> 05:21.840 + I would also say today, we understand so much + +05:21.840 --> 05:22.800 + about the neocortex. + +05:22.800 --> 05:25.480 + We've made tremendous progress in the last few years + +05:25.480 --> 05:29.160 + that I no longer think of as an open question. + +05:30.000 --> 05:32.560 + The answers are very clear to me and the pieces + +05:32.560 --> 05:34.800 + that we don't know are clear to me, + +05:34.800 --> 05:37.440 + but the framework is all there and it's like, oh, okay, + +05:37.440 --> 05:38.600 + we're gonna be able to do this. + +05:38.600 --> 05:39.960 + This is not a problem anymore. + +05:39.960 --> 05:42.680 + It just takes time and effort, but there's no mystery, + +05:42.680 --> 05:44.040 + a big mystery anymore. + +05:44.040 --> 05:47.800 + So then let's get into it for people like myself + +05:47.800 --> 05:52.800 + who are not very well versed in the human brain, + +05:52.960 --> 05:53.840 + except my own. + +05:54.800 --> 05:57.320 + Can you describe to me at the highest level, + +05:57.320 --> 05:59.120 + what are the different parts of the human brain + +05:59.120 --> 06:02.080 + and then zooming in on the neocortex, + +06:02.080 --> 06:05.480 + the parts of the neocortex and so on, a quick overview. + +06:05.480 --> 06:06.640 + Yeah, sure. + +06:06.640 --> 06:10.800 + The human brain, we can divide it roughly into two parts. + +06:10.800 --> 06:14.200 + There's the old parts, lots of pieces, + +06:14.200 --> 06:15.680 + and then there's the new part. + +06:15.680 --> 06:18.040 + The new part is the neocortex. + +06:18.040 --> 06:20.440 + It's new because it didn't exist before mammals. + +06:20.440 --> 06:23.000 + The only mammals have a neocortex and in humans + +06:23.000 --> 06:24.760 + and primates is very large. + +06:24.760 --> 06:29.400 + In the human brain, the neocortex occupies about 70 to 75% + +06:29.400 --> 06:30.640 + of the volume of the brain. + +06:30.640 --> 06:32.080 + It's huge. + +06:32.080 --> 06:34.840 + And the old parts of the brain are, + +06:34.840 --> 06:36.000 + there's lots of pieces there. + +06:36.000 --> 06:38.760 + There's a spinal cord and there's the brainstem + +06:38.760 --> 06:40.240 + and the cerebellum and the different parts + +06:40.240 --> 06:42.040 + of the basal ganglion and so on. + +06:42.040 --> 06:42.960 + In the old parts of the brain, + +06:42.960 --> 06:44.800 + you have the autonomic regulation, + +06:44.800 --> 06:46.280 + like breathing and heart rate. + +06:46.280 --> 06:48.240 + You have basic behaviors. + +06:48.240 --> 06:49.960 + So like walking and running are controlled + +06:49.960 --> 06:51.400 + by the old parts of the brain. + +06:51.400 --> 06:53.080 + All the emotional centers of the brain + +06:53.080 --> 06:53.920 + are in the old part of the brain. + +06:53.920 --> 06:55.080 + So when you feel anger or hungry, + +06:55.080 --> 06:56.080 + lust or things like that, + +06:56.080 --> 06:57.880 + those are all in the old parts of the brain. + +06:59.080 --> 07:02.160 + And we associate with the neocortex + +07:02.160 --> 07:03.320 + all the things we think about + +07:03.320 --> 07:05.760 + as sort of high level perception. + +07:05.760 --> 07:10.760 + And cognitive functions, anything from seeing and hearing + +07:10.920 --> 07:14.560 + and touching things to language, to mathematics + +07:14.560 --> 07:16.920 + and engineering and science and so on. + +07:16.920 --> 07:19.760 + Those are all associated with the neocortex. + +07:19.760 --> 07:21.760 + And they're certainly correlated. + +07:21.760 --> 07:24.000 + Our abilities in those regards are correlated + +07:24.000 --> 07:25.800 + with the relative size of our neocortex + +07:25.800 --> 07:27.960 + compared to other mammals. + +07:27.960 --> 07:30.520 + So that's like the rough division. + +07:30.520 --> 07:32.760 + And you obviously can't understand + +07:32.760 --> 07:35.160 + the neocortex completely isolated, + +07:35.160 --> 07:37.040 + but you can understand a lot of it + +07:37.040 --> 07:38.720 + with just a few interfaces + +07:38.720 --> 07:40.320 + to the old parts of the brain. + +07:40.320 --> 07:44.960 + And so it gives you a system to study. + +07:44.960 --> 07:48.040 + The other remarkable thing about the neocortex + +07:48.040 --> 07:49.880 + compared to the old parts of the brain + +07:49.880 --> 07:52.880 + is the neocortex is extremely uniform. + +07:52.880 --> 07:55.720 + It's not visually or anatomically, + +07:55.720 --> 07:58.800 + or it's very, it's like a, + +07:58.800 --> 08:00.080 + I always like to say it's like the size + +08:00.080 --> 08:03.720 + of a dinner napkin, about two and a half millimeters thick. + +08:03.720 --> 08:06.000 + And it looks remarkably the same everywhere. + +08:06.000 --> 08:07.920 + Everywhere you look in that two and a half millimeters + +08:07.920 --> 08:10.080 + is this detailed architecture. + +08:10.080 --> 08:11.560 + And it looks remarkably the same everywhere. + +08:11.560 --> 08:12.600 + And that's a cross species, + +08:12.600 --> 08:15.360 + a mouse versus a cat and a dog and a human. + +08:15.360 --> 08:17.080 + Where if you look at the old parts of the brain, + +08:17.080 --> 08:19.640 + there's lots of little pieces do specific things. + +08:19.640 --> 08:22.040 + So it's like the old parts of a brain evolved, + +08:22.040 --> 08:23.640 + like this is the part that controls heart rate + +08:23.640 --> 08:24.840 + and this is the part that controls this + +08:24.840 --> 08:25.800 + and this is this kind of thing. + +08:25.800 --> 08:27.200 + And that's this kind of thing. + +08:27.200 --> 08:30.080 + And these evolve for eons of a long, long time + +08:30.080 --> 08:31.600 + and they have those specific functions. + +08:31.600 --> 08:33.240 + And all of a sudden mammals come along + +08:33.240 --> 08:35.200 + and they got this thing called the neocortex + +08:35.200 --> 08:38.200 + and it got large by just replicating the same thing + +08:38.200 --> 08:39.440 + over and over and over again. + +08:39.440 --> 08:42.680 + This is like, wow, this is incredible. + +08:42.680 --> 08:46.240 + So all the evidence we have, + +08:46.240 --> 08:50.040 + and this is an idea that was first articulated + +08:50.040 --> 08:52.080 + in a very cogent and beautiful argument + +08:52.080 --> 08:55.720 + by a guy named Vernon Malkassel in 1978, I think it was, + +08:56.880 --> 09:01.640 + that the neocortex all works on the same principle. + +09:01.640 --> 09:05.320 + So language, hearing, touch, vision, engineering, + +09:05.320 --> 09:07.040 + all these things are basically underlying + +09:07.040 --> 09:10.400 + or all built in the same computational substrate. + +09:10.400 --> 09:11.880 + They're really all the same problem. + +09:11.880 --> 09:14.880 + So the low level of the building blocks all look similar. + +09:14.880 --> 09:16.320 + Yeah, and they're not even that low level. + +09:16.320 --> 09:17.920 + We're not talking about like neurons. + +09:17.920 --> 09:19.960 + We're talking about this very complex circuit + +09:19.960 --> 09:23.560 + that exists throughout the neocortex is remarkably similar. + +09:23.560 --> 09:26.400 + It is, it's like, yes, you see variations of it here + +09:26.400 --> 09:29.680 + and they're more of the cell, that's not old and so on. + +09:29.680 --> 09:31.840 + But what Malkassel argued was, + +09:31.840 --> 09:35.640 + it says, you know, if you take a section on neocortex, + +09:35.640 --> 09:38.640 + why is one a visual area and one is a auditory area? + +09:38.640 --> 09:41.240 + Or why is, and his answer was, + +09:41.240 --> 09:43.240 + it's because one is connected to eyes + +09:43.240 --> 09:45.440 + and one is connected to ears. + +09:45.440 --> 09:47.840 + Literally, you mean just as most closest + +09:47.840 --> 09:50.440 + in terms of the number of connections to the sensor? + +09:50.440 --> 09:52.920 + Literally, if you took the optic nerve + +09:52.920 --> 09:55.320 + and attached it to a different part of the neocortex, + +09:55.320 --> 09:58.000 + that part would become a visual region. + +09:58.000 --> 10:00.400 + This actually, this experiment was actually done + +10:00.400 --> 10:05.000 + by Murgankasur in developing, I think it was lemurs, + +10:05.000 --> 10:06.720 + I can't remember what it was, it's some animal. + +10:06.720 --> 10:08.560 + And there's a lot of evidence to this. + +10:08.560 --> 10:09.960 + You know, if you take a blind person, + +10:09.960 --> 10:12.240 + a person is born blind at birth, + +10:12.240 --> 10:15.480 + they're born with a visual neocortex. + +10:15.480 --> 10:18.320 + It doesn't, may not get any input from the eyes + +10:18.320 --> 10:21.280 + because of some congenital defect or something. + +10:21.280 --> 10:24.720 + And that region becomes, does something else. + +10:24.720 --> 10:27.000 + It picks up another task. + +10:27.000 --> 10:32.000 + So, and it's, so it's this very complex thing. + +10:32.280 --> 10:33.760 + It's not like, oh, they're all built on neurons. + +10:33.760 --> 10:36.480 + No, they're all built in this very complex circuit. + +10:36.480 --> 10:40.280 + And somehow that circuit underlies everything. + +10:40.280 --> 10:44.760 + And so this is, it's called the common cortical algorithm, + +10:44.760 --> 10:47.960 + if you will, some scientists just find it hard to believe. + +10:47.960 --> 10:50.040 + And they just say, I can't believe that's true. + +10:50.040 --> 10:52.080 + But the evidence is overwhelming in this case. + +10:52.080 --> 10:54.320 + And so a large part of what it means + +10:54.320 --> 10:56.440 + to figure out how the brain creates intelligence + +10:56.440 --> 10:59.840 + and what is intelligence in the brain + +10:59.840 --> 11:02.040 + is to understand what that circuit does. + +11:02.040 --> 11:05.040 + If you can figure out what that circuit does, + +11:05.040 --> 11:06.920 + as amazing as it is, then you can, + +11:06.920 --> 11:10.480 + then you understand what all these other cognitive functions are. + +11:10.480 --> 11:13.280 + So if you were to sort of put neocortex + +11:13.280 --> 11:15.160 + outside of your book on intelligence, + +11:15.160 --> 11:17.480 + you look, if you wrote a giant tome, + +11:17.480 --> 11:19.800 + a textbook on the neocortex, + +11:19.800 --> 11:23.760 + and you look maybe a couple of centuries from now, + +11:23.760 --> 11:26.520 + how much of what we know now would still be accurate + +11:26.520 --> 11:27.680 + two centuries from now. + +11:27.680 --> 11:30.840 + So how close are we in terms of understanding? + +11:30.840 --> 11:33.000 + I have to speak from my own particular experience here. + +11:33.000 --> 11:36.440 + So I run a small research lab here. + +11:36.440 --> 11:38.040 + It's like any other research lab. + +11:38.040 --> 11:39.440 + I'm sort of the principal investigator. + +11:39.440 --> 11:40.280 + There's actually two of us, + +11:40.280 --> 11:42.560 + and there's a bunch of other people. + +11:42.560 --> 11:43.840 + And this is what we do. + +11:43.840 --> 11:44.960 + We started the neocortex, + +11:44.960 --> 11:46.960 + and we publish our results and so on. + +11:46.960 --> 11:48.520 + So about three years ago, + +11:49.840 --> 11:52.480 + we had a real breakthrough in this field. + +11:52.480 --> 11:53.320 + Just tremendous breakthrough. + +11:53.320 --> 11:56.520 + We started, we now publish, I think, three papers on it. + +11:56.520 --> 12:00.200 + And so I have a pretty good understanding + +12:00.200 --> 12:02.320 + of all the pieces and what we're missing. + +12:02.320 --> 12:06.280 + I would say that almost all the empirical data + +12:06.280 --> 12:08.520 + we've collected about the brain, which is enormous. + +12:08.520 --> 12:10.320 + If you don't know the neuroscience literature, + +12:10.320 --> 12:13.960 + it's just incredibly big. + +12:13.960 --> 12:16.840 + And it's, for the most part, all correct. + +12:16.840 --> 12:20.240 + It's facts and experimental results + +12:20.240 --> 12:22.960 + and measurements and all kinds of stuff. + +12:22.960 --> 12:25.800 + But none of that has been really assimilated + +12:25.800 --> 12:27.840 + into a theoretical framework. + +12:27.840 --> 12:32.240 + It's data without, in the language of Thomas Kuhn, + +12:32.240 --> 12:35.280 + the historian, it would be sort of a preparadigm science. + +12:35.280 --> 12:38.160 + Lots of data, but no way to fit it in together. + +12:38.160 --> 12:39.520 + I think almost all of that's correct. + +12:39.520 --> 12:42.120 + There's gonna be some mistakes in there. + +12:42.120 --> 12:43.240 + And for the most part, + +12:43.240 --> 12:45.480 + there aren't really good cogent theories + +12:45.480 --> 12:47.240 + about how to put it together. + +12:47.240 --> 12:50.040 + It's not like we have two or three competing good theories, + +12:50.040 --> 12:51.520 + which ones are right and which ones are wrong. + +12:51.520 --> 12:53.720 + It's like, yeah, people just scratching their heads + +12:53.720 --> 12:55.560 + throwing things, you know, some people giving up + +12:55.560 --> 12:57.560 + on trying to figure out what the whole thing does. + +12:57.560 --> 13:00.960 + In fact, there's very, very few labs that we do + +13:00.960 --> 13:03.280 + that focus really on theory + +13:03.280 --> 13:06.760 + and all this unassimilated data and trying to explain it. + +13:06.760 --> 13:08.880 + So it's not like we've got it wrong. + +13:08.880 --> 13:11.120 + It's just that we haven't got it at all. + +13:11.120 --> 13:15.040 + So it's really, I would say, pretty early days + +13:15.040 --> 13:18.360 + in terms of understanding the fundamental theories, + +13:18.360 --> 13:20.240 + forces of the way our mind works. + +13:20.240 --> 13:21.080 + I don't think so. + +13:21.080 --> 13:23.760 + I would have said that's true five years ago. + +13:25.360 --> 13:28.600 + So as I said, we had some really big breakthroughs + +13:28.600 --> 13:30.800 + on this recently and we started publishing papers on this. + +13:30.800 --> 13:34.240 + So you can get to that. + +13:34.240 --> 13:36.760 + But so I don't think it's, you know, I'm an optimist + +13:36.760 --> 13:38.280 + and from where I sit today, + +13:38.280 --> 13:39.440 + most people would disagree with this, + +13:39.440 --> 13:41.640 + but from where I sit today, from what I know, + +13:43.240 --> 13:44.920 + it's not super early days anymore. + +13:44.920 --> 13:46.840 + We are, you know, the way these things go + +13:46.840 --> 13:48.200 + is it's not a linear path, right? + +13:48.200 --> 13:49.840 + You don't just start accumulating + +13:49.840 --> 13:50.800 + and get better and better and better. + +13:50.800 --> 13:52.920 + No, you got all the stuff you've collected. + +13:52.920 --> 13:53.760 + None of it makes sense. + +13:53.760 --> 13:55.640 + All these different things are just sort of around. + +13:55.640 --> 13:57.120 + And then you're going to have some breaking points + +13:57.120 --> 13:59.400 + all of a sudden, oh my God, now we got it right. + +13:59.400 --> 14:01.120 + That's how it goes in science. + +14:01.120 --> 14:04.480 + And I personally feel like we passed that little thing + +14:04.480 --> 14:06.320 + about a couple of years ago. + +14:06.320 --> 14:07.560 + All that big thing a couple of years ago. + +14:07.560 --> 14:09.600 + So we can talk about that. + +14:09.600 --> 14:11.000 + Time will tell if I'm right, + +14:11.000 --> 14:12.640 + but I feel very confident about it. + +14:12.640 --> 14:15.120 + That's when we'll just say it on tape like this. + +14:15.120 --> 14:18.040 + At least very optimistic. + +14:18.040 --> 14:20.160 + So let's, before those few years ago, + +14:20.160 --> 14:23.200 + let's take a step back to HTM, + +14:23.200 --> 14:25.960 + the hierarchical temporal memory theory, + +14:25.960 --> 14:27.480 + which you first proposed on intelligence + +14:27.480 --> 14:29.280 + and went through a few different generations. + +14:29.280 --> 14:31.200 + Can you describe what it is, + +14:31.200 --> 14:33.560 + how it would evolve through the three generations + +14:33.560 --> 14:35.360 + since you first put it on paper? + +14:35.360 --> 14:39.240 + Yeah, so one of the things that neuroscientists + +14:39.240 --> 14:42.920 + just sort of missed for many, many years. + +14:42.920 --> 14:45.720 + And especially people were thinking about theory + +14:45.720 --> 14:47.720 + was the nature of time in the brain. + +14:47.720 --> 14:50.440 + Brain's process, information through time, + +14:50.440 --> 14:53.280 + the information coming into the brain is constantly changing. + +14:53.280 --> 14:56.160 + The patterns from my speech right now, + +14:56.160 --> 14:58.520 + if you're listening to it at normal speed, + +14:58.520 --> 15:00.080 + would be changing on your ears + +15:00.080 --> 15:02.680 + about every 10 milliseconds or so, you'd have a change. + +15:02.680 --> 15:05.320 + This constant flow, when you look at the world, + +15:05.320 --> 15:06.800 + your eyes are moving constantly, + +15:06.800 --> 15:08.240 + three to five times a second, + +15:08.240 --> 15:09.920 + and the input's completely, completely. + +15:09.920 --> 15:11.800 + If I were to touch something like a coffee cup + +15:11.800 --> 15:13.880 + as I move my fingers, the input changes. + +15:13.880 --> 15:16.840 + So this idea that the brain works on time + +15:16.840 --> 15:19.640 + changing patterns is almost completely, + +15:19.640 --> 15:21.080 + or was almost completely missing + +15:21.080 --> 15:23.520 + from a lot of the basic theories like fears of vision + +15:23.520 --> 15:24.360 + and so on. + +15:24.360 --> 15:26.280 + It's like, oh no, we're gonna put this image in front of you + +15:26.280 --> 15:28.360 + and flash it and say, what is it? + +15:28.360 --> 15:31.120 + A convolutional neural network's worked that way today, right? + +15:31.120 --> 15:33.280 + Classified this picture. + +15:33.280 --> 15:35.120 + But that's not what vision is like. + +15:35.120 --> 15:37.760 + Vision is this sort of crazy time based pattern + +15:37.760 --> 15:39.080 + that's going all over the place, + +15:39.080 --> 15:40.920 + and so is touch and so is hearing. + +15:40.920 --> 15:42.880 + So the first part of a hierarchical temporal memory + +15:42.880 --> 15:44.280 + was the temporal part. + +15:44.280 --> 15:47.680 + It's to say, you won't understand the brain, + +15:47.680 --> 15:49.360 + nor will you understand intelligent machines + +15:49.360 --> 15:51.720 + unless you're dealing with time based patterns. + +15:51.720 --> 15:54.760 + The second thing was, the memory component of it was, + +15:54.760 --> 15:59.760 + is to say that we aren't just processing input, + +15:59.760 --> 16:02.000 + we learn a model of the world. + +16:02.000 --> 16:04.000 + And the memory stands for that model. + +16:04.000 --> 16:06.640 + The point of the brain, part of the neocortex, + +16:06.640 --> 16:07.840 + it learns a model of the world. + +16:07.840 --> 16:10.840 + We have to store things that are experiences + +16:10.840 --> 16:13.520 + in a form that leads to a model of the world. + +16:13.520 --> 16:15.080 + So we can move around the world, + +16:15.080 --> 16:16.240 + we can pick things up and do things + +16:16.240 --> 16:17.520 + and navigate and know how it's going on. + +16:17.520 --> 16:19.320 + So that's what the memory referred to. + +16:19.320 --> 16:22.320 + And many people just, they were thinking about like, + +16:22.320 --> 16:24.480 + certain processes without memory at all. + +16:24.480 --> 16:26.120 + They're just like processing things. + +16:26.120 --> 16:28.320 + And then finally, the hierarchical component + +16:28.320 --> 16:31.640 + was a reflection to that the neocortex, + +16:31.640 --> 16:33.920 + although it's just a uniform sheet of cells, + +16:33.920 --> 16:36.920 + different parts of it project to other parts, + +16:36.920 --> 16:38.680 + which project to other parts. + +16:38.680 --> 16:42.400 + And there is a sort of rough hierarchy in terms of that. + +16:42.400 --> 16:46.000 + So the hierarchical temporal memory is just saying, + +16:46.000 --> 16:47.720 + look, we should be thinking about the brain + +16:47.720 --> 16:52.720 + as time based, model memory based and hierarchical processing. + +16:54.760 --> 16:58.160 + And that was a placeholder for a bunch of components + +16:58.160 --> 17:00.720 + that we would then plug into that. + +17:00.720 --> 17:02.600 + We still believe all those things I just said, + +17:02.600 --> 17:06.960 + but we now know so much more that I'm stopping to use + +17:06.960 --> 17:08.200 + the word hierarchical temporal memory yet + +17:08.200 --> 17:11.320 + because it's insufficient to capture the stuff we know. + +17:11.320 --> 17:12.960 + So again, it's not incorrect, + +17:12.960 --> 17:15.800 + but I now know more and I would rather describe it + +17:15.800 --> 17:16.800 + more accurately. + +17:16.800 --> 17:20.360 + Yeah, so you're basically, we could think of HTM + +17:20.360 --> 17:24.800 + as emphasizing that there's three aspects of intelligence + +17:24.800 --> 17:25.920 + that are important to think about + +17:25.920 --> 17:28.880 + whatever the eventual theory converges to. + +17:28.880 --> 17:32.480 + So in terms of time, how do you think of nature of time + +17:32.480 --> 17:33.880 + across different time scales? + +17:33.880 --> 17:36.800 + So you mentioned things changing, + +17:36.800 --> 17:39.160 + sensory inputs changing every 10, 20 minutes. + +17:39.160 --> 17:40.520 + What about every few minutes? + +17:40.520 --> 17:42.120 + Every few months and years? + +17:42.120 --> 17:44.840 + Well, if you think about a neuroscience problem, + +17:44.840 --> 17:49.640 + the brain problem, neurons themselves can stay active + +17:49.640 --> 17:51.560 + for certain periods of time. + +17:51.560 --> 17:53.280 + They're parts of the brain where they stay active + +17:53.280 --> 17:56.680 + for minutes, so you could hold a certain perception + +17:56.680 --> 18:01.320 + or an activity for a certain period of time, + +18:01.320 --> 18:04.480 + but not most of them don't last that long. + +18:04.480 --> 18:07.160 + And so if you think about your thoughts + +18:07.160 --> 18:09.080 + or the activity neurons, + +18:09.080 --> 18:10.680 + if you're gonna wanna involve something + +18:10.680 --> 18:11.920 + that happened a long time ago, + +18:11.920 --> 18:14.400 + even just this morning, for example, + +18:14.400 --> 18:16.360 + the neurons haven't been active throughout that time. + +18:16.360 --> 18:17.800 + So you have to store that. + +18:17.800 --> 18:20.720 + So by I ask you, what did you have for breakfast today? + +18:20.720 --> 18:22.000 + That is memory. + +18:22.000 --> 18:24.160 + That is, you've built it into your model of the world now. + +18:24.160 --> 18:27.880 + You remember that and that memory is in the synapses, + +18:27.880 --> 18:30.080 + it's basically in the formation of synapses. + +18:30.080 --> 18:35.080 + And so you're sliding into what used to different time scales. + +18:36.760 --> 18:38.280 + There's time scales of which we are + +18:38.280 --> 18:40.440 + like understanding my language and moving about + +18:40.440 --> 18:41.840 + and seeing things rapidly and over time. + +18:41.840 --> 18:44.280 + That's the time scales of activities of neurons. + +18:44.280 --> 18:46.200 + But if you wanna get in longer time scales, + +18:46.200 --> 18:48.840 + then it's more memory and we have to invoke those memories + +18:48.840 --> 18:50.960 + to say, oh, yes, well, now I can remember + +18:50.960 --> 18:54.160 + what I had for breakfast because I stored that someplace. + +18:54.160 --> 18:58.200 + I may forget it tomorrow, but I'd store it for now. + +18:58.200 --> 19:01.600 + So does memory also need to have, + +19:02.880 --> 19:06.240 + so the hierarchical aspect of reality + +19:06.240 --> 19:07.720 + is not just about concepts, + +19:07.720 --> 19:08.800 + it's also about time. + +19:08.800 --> 19:10.280 + Do you think of it that way? + +19:10.280 --> 19:12.840 + Yeah, time is infused in everything. + +19:12.840 --> 19:15.560 + It's like, you really can't separate it out. + +19:15.560 --> 19:19.560 + If I ask you, what is your, how's the brain + +19:19.560 --> 19:21.360 + learn a model of this coffee cup here? + +19:21.360 --> 19:23.200 + I have a coffee cup, then I met the coffee cup. + +19:23.200 --> 19:26.000 + I said, well, time is not an inherent property + +19:26.000 --> 19:28.520 + of the model I have of this cup, + +19:28.520 --> 19:31.440 + whether it's a visual model or tactile model. + +19:31.440 --> 19:32.600 + I can sense it through time, + +19:32.600 --> 19:34.880 + but the model itself doesn't really have much time. + +19:34.880 --> 19:36.560 + If I asked you, if I say, well, + +19:36.560 --> 19:39.000 + what is the model of my cell phone? + +19:39.000 --> 19:41.480 + My brain has learned a model of the cell phones. + +19:41.480 --> 19:43.360 + If you have a smartphone like this, + +19:43.360 --> 19:45.680 + and I said, well, this has time aspects to it. + +19:45.680 --> 19:48.040 + I have expectations when I turn it on, + +19:48.040 --> 19:49.480 + what's gonna happen, what water, + +19:49.480 --> 19:51.960 + how long it's gonna take to do certain things, + +19:51.960 --> 19:54.040 + if I bring up an app, what sequences, + +19:54.040 --> 19:56.520 + and so I have instant, it's like melodies in the world, + +19:56.520 --> 19:58.560 + you know, melody has a sense of time. + +19:58.560 --> 20:01.200 + So many things in the world move and act, + +20:01.200 --> 20:03.720 + and there's a sense of time related to them. + +20:03.720 --> 20:08.280 + Some don't, but most things do actually. + +20:08.280 --> 20:12.120 + So it's sort of infused throughout the models of the world. + +20:12.120 --> 20:13.720 + You build a model of the world, + +20:13.720 --> 20:16.400 + you're learning the structure of the objects in the world, + +20:16.400 --> 20:17.840 + and you're also learning + +20:17.840 --> 20:19.760 + how those things change through time. + +20:20.760 --> 20:23.920 + Okay, so it really is just a fourth dimension + +20:23.920 --> 20:25.280 + that's infused deeply, + +20:25.280 --> 20:26.760 + and you have to make sure + +20:26.760 --> 20:30.960 + that your models of intelligence incorporate it. + +20:30.960 --> 20:34.840 + So, like you mentioned, the state of neuroscience + +20:34.840 --> 20:36.000 + is deeply empirical. + +20:36.000 --> 20:40.120 + A lot of data collection, it's, you know, + +20:40.120 --> 20:43.120 + that's where it is, you mentioned Thomas Kuhn, right? + +20:43.120 --> 20:44.560 + Yeah. + +20:44.560 --> 20:48.040 + And then you're proposing a theory of intelligence, + +20:48.040 --> 20:50.520 + and which is really the next step, + +20:50.520 --> 20:52.920 + the really important step to take, + +20:52.920 --> 20:57.920 + but why is HTM, or what we'll talk about soon, + +20:57.920 --> 21:01.160 + the right theory? + +21:01.160 --> 21:05.160 + So is it more in this, is it backed by intuition, + +21:05.160 --> 21:09.160 + is it backed by evidence, is it backed by a mixture of both? + +21:09.160 --> 21:12.800 + Is it kind of closer to where string theory is in physics, + +21:12.800 --> 21:15.800 + where there's mathematical components + +21:15.800 --> 21:18.160 + which show that, you know what, + +21:18.160 --> 21:20.160 + it seems that this, + +21:20.160 --> 21:23.560 + it fits together too well for it not to be true, + +21:23.560 --> 21:25.360 + which is where string theory is. + +21:25.360 --> 21:28.080 + Is that where you're kind of thinking? + +21:28.080 --> 21:30.080 + It's a mixture of all those things, + +21:30.080 --> 21:32.080 + although definitely where we are right now, + +21:32.080 --> 21:34.080 + it's definitely much more on the empirical side + +21:34.080 --> 21:36.080 + than, let's say, string theory. + +21:36.080 --> 21:39.080 + The way this goes about, we're theorists, right? + +21:39.080 --> 21:41.080 + So we look at all this data, + +21:41.080 --> 21:43.080 + and we're trying to come up with some sort of model + +21:43.080 --> 21:45.080 + that explains it, basically, + +21:45.080 --> 21:47.080 + and there's, unlike string theory, + +21:47.080 --> 21:50.080 + there's vast more amounts of empirical data here + +21:50.080 --> 21:54.080 + than I think that most physicists deal with. + +21:54.080 --> 21:57.080 + And so our challenge is to sort through that + +21:57.080 --> 22:01.080 + and figure out what kind of constructs would explain this. + +22:01.080 --> 22:04.080 + And when we have an idea, + +22:04.080 --> 22:06.080 + you come up with a theory of some sort, + +22:06.080 --> 22:08.080 + you have lots of ways of testing it. + +22:08.080 --> 22:10.080 + First of all, I am, you know, + +22:10.080 --> 22:14.080 + there are 100 years of assimilated, + +22:14.080 --> 22:16.080 + und assimilated empirical data from neuroscience. + +22:16.080 --> 22:18.080 + So we go back and repapers, and we say, + +22:18.080 --> 22:20.080 + oh, did someone find this already? + +22:20.080 --> 22:23.080 + We can predict X, Y, and Z, + +22:23.080 --> 22:25.080 + and maybe no one's even talked about it + +22:25.080 --> 22:27.080 + since 1972 or something, + +22:27.080 --> 22:29.080 + but we go back and find that, and we say, + +22:29.080 --> 22:31.080 + oh, either it can support the theory + +22:31.080 --> 22:33.080 + or it can invalidate the theory. + +22:33.080 --> 22:35.080 + And then we say, okay, we have to start over again. + +22:35.080 --> 22:37.080 + Oh, no, it's support. Let's keep going with that one. + +22:37.080 --> 22:40.080 + So the way I kind of view it, + +22:40.080 --> 22:43.080 + when we do our work, we come up, + +22:43.080 --> 22:45.080 + we look at all this empirical data, + +22:45.080 --> 22:47.080 + and it's what I call it is a set of constraints. + +22:47.080 --> 22:49.080 + We're not interested in something that's biologically inspired. + +22:49.080 --> 22:52.080 + We're trying to figure out how the actual brain works. + +22:52.080 --> 22:55.080 + So every piece of empirical data is a constraint on a theory. + +22:55.080 --> 22:57.080 + If you have the correct theory, + +22:57.080 --> 22:59.080 + it needs to explain every pin, right? + +22:59.080 --> 23:02.080 + So we have this huge number of constraints on the problem, + +23:02.080 --> 23:05.080 + which initially makes it very, very difficult. + +23:05.080 --> 23:07.080 + If you don't have many constraints, + +23:07.080 --> 23:09.080 + you can make up stuff all the day. + +23:09.080 --> 23:11.080 + You can say, oh, here's an answer to how you can do this, + +23:11.080 --> 23:13.080 + you can do that, you can do this. + +23:13.080 --> 23:15.080 + But if you consider all biology as a set of constraints, + +23:15.080 --> 23:17.080 + all neuroscience as a set of constraints, + +23:17.080 --> 23:19.080 + and even if you're working in one little part of the Neocortex, + +23:19.080 --> 23:21.080 + for example, there are hundreds and hundreds of constraints. + +23:21.080 --> 23:23.080 + There are a lot of empirical constraints + +23:23.080 --> 23:25.080 + that it's very, very difficult initially + +23:25.080 --> 23:27.080 + to come up with a theoretical framework for that. + +23:27.080 --> 23:31.080 + But when you do, and it solves all those constraints at once, + +23:31.080 --> 23:33.080 + you have a high confidence + +23:33.080 --> 23:36.080 + that you got something close to correct. + +23:36.080 --> 23:39.080 + It's just mathematically almost impossible not to be. + +23:39.080 --> 23:43.080 + So that's the curse and the advantage of what we have. + +23:43.080 --> 23:47.080 + The curse is we have to meet all these constraints, + +23:47.080 --> 23:49.080 + which is really hard. + +23:49.080 --> 23:51.080 + But when you do meet them, + +23:51.080 --> 23:53.080 + then you have a great confidence + +23:53.080 --> 23:55.080 + that you've discovered something. + +23:55.080 --> 23:58.080 + In addition, then we work with scientific labs. + +23:58.080 --> 24:00.080 + So we'll say, oh, there's something we can't find, + +24:00.080 --> 24:02.080 + we can predict something, + +24:02.080 --> 24:04.080 + but we can't find it anywhere in the literature. + +24:04.080 --> 24:07.080 + So we will then, we have people we collaborated with, + +24:07.080 --> 24:09.080 + we'll say, sometimes they'll say, you know what, + +24:09.080 --> 24:11.080 + I have some collected data, which I didn't publish, + +24:11.080 --> 24:13.080 + but we can go back and look at it + +24:13.080 --> 24:15.080 + and see if we can find that, + +24:15.080 --> 24:17.080 + which is much easier than designing a new experiment. + +24:17.080 --> 24:20.080 + You know, neuroscience experiments take a long time, years. + +24:20.080 --> 24:23.080 + So although some people are doing that now too. + +24:23.080 --> 24:27.080 + So, but between all of these things, + +24:27.080 --> 24:29.080 + I think it's a reasonable, + +24:29.080 --> 24:32.080 + it's actually a very, very good approach. + +24:32.080 --> 24:35.080 + We are blessed with the fact that we can test our theories + +24:35.080 --> 24:37.080 + out to yin and yang here, + +24:37.080 --> 24:39.080 + because there's so much on a similar data, + +24:39.080 --> 24:41.080 + and we can also falsify our theories very easily, + +24:41.080 --> 24:43.080 + which we do often. + +24:43.080 --> 24:46.080 + So it's kind of reminiscent to whenever that was with Copernicus, + +24:46.080 --> 24:49.080 + you know, when you figure out that the sun is at the center, + +24:49.080 --> 24:53.080 + the solar system as opposed to Earth, + +24:53.080 --> 24:55.080 + the pieces just fall into place. + +24:55.080 --> 24:59.080 + Yeah, I think that's the general nature of the Ha moments, + +24:59.080 --> 25:02.080 + is in Copernicus, it could be, + +25:02.080 --> 25:05.080 + you could say the same thing about Darwin, + +25:05.080 --> 25:07.080 + you could say the same thing about, you know, + +25:07.080 --> 25:09.080 + about the double helix, + +25:09.080 --> 25:13.080 + that people have been working on a problem for so long, + +25:13.080 --> 25:14.080 + and have all this data, + +25:14.080 --> 25:15.080 + and they can't make sense of it, they can't make sense of it. + +25:15.080 --> 25:17.080 + But when the answer comes to you, + +25:17.080 --> 25:19.080 + and everything falls into place, + +25:19.080 --> 25:21.080 + it's like, oh my gosh, that's it. + +25:21.080 --> 25:23.080 + That's got to be right. + +25:23.080 --> 25:28.080 + I asked both Jim Watson and Francis Crick about this. + +25:28.080 --> 25:30.080 + I asked them, you know, + +25:30.080 --> 25:33.080 + when you were working on trying to discover the structure + +25:33.080 --> 25:35.080 + of the double helix, + +25:35.080 --> 25:38.080 + and when you came up with the sort of, + +25:38.080 --> 25:42.080 + the structure that ended up being correct, + +25:42.080 --> 25:44.080 + but it was sort of a guess, you know, + +25:44.080 --> 25:46.080 + it wasn't really verified yet. + +25:46.080 --> 25:48.080 + I said, did you know that it was right? + +25:48.080 --> 25:50.080 + And they both said, absolutely. + +25:50.080 --> 25:52.080 + We absolutely knew it was right. + +25:52.080 --> 25:55.080 + And it doesn't matter if other people didn't believe it or not, + +25:55.080 --> 25:57.080 + we knew it was right, they'd get around to thinking it + +25:57.080 --> 25:59.080 + and agree with it eventually anyway. + +25:59.080 --> 26:01.080 + And that's the kind of thing you hear a lot with scientists + +26:01.080 --> 26:04.080 + who really are studying a difficult problem, + +26:04.080 --> 26:07.080 + and I feel that way too, about our work. + +26:07.080 --> 26:10.080 + Have you talked to Crick or Watson about the problem + +26:10.080 --> 26:15.080 + you're trying to solve, the, of finding the DNA of the brain? + +26:15.080 --> 26:16.080 + Yeah. + +26:16.080 --> 26:19.080 + In fact, Francis Crick was very interested in this, + +26:19.080 --> 26:21.080 + in the latter part of his life. + +26:21.080 --> 26:23.080 + And in fact, I got interested in brains + +26:23.080 --> 26:26.080 + by reading an essay he wrote in 1979 + +26:26.080 --> 26:28.080 + called Thinking About the Brain. + +26:28.080 --> 26:30.080 + And that was when I decided + +26:30.080 --> 26:33.080 + I'm going to leave my profession of computers and engineering + +26:33.080 --> 26:35.080 + and become a neuroscientist. + +26:35.080 --> 26:37.080 + Just reading that one essay from Francis Crick. + +26:37.080 --> 26:39.080 + I got to meet him later in life. + +26:39.080 --> 26:43.080 + I got to, I spoke at the Salk Institute + +26:43.080 --> 26:44.080 + and he was in the audience + +26:44.080 --> 26:47.080 + and then I had a tea with him afterwards. + +26:47.080 --> 26:50.080 + You know, he was interested in a different problem. + +26:50.080 --> 26:52.080 + He was focused on consciousness. + +26:52.080 --> 26:54.080 + The easy problem, right? + +26:54.080 --> 26:58.080 + Well, I think it's the red herring + +26:58.080 --> 27:01.080 + and so we weren't really overlapping a lot there. + +27:01.080 --> 27:05.080 + Jim Watson, who's still alive, + +27:05.080 --> 27:07.080 + is also interested in this problem + +27:07.080 --> 27:11.080 + and when he was director of the Coltsman Harbor Laboratories, + +27:11.080 --> 27:13.080 + he was really sort of behind + +27:13.080 --> 27:16.080 + moving in the direction of neuroscience there. + +27:16.080 --> 27:19.080 + And so he had a personal interest in this field + +27:19.080 --> 27:23.080 + and I have met with him numerous times. + +27:23.080 --> 27:25.080 + And in fact, the last time, + +27:25.080 --> 27:27.080 + a little bit over a year ago, + +27:27.080 --> 27:30.080 + I gave a talk at Coltsman Harbor Labs + +27:30.080 --> 27:34.080 + about the progress we were making in our work. + +27:34.080 --> 27:39.080 + And it was a lot of fun because he said, + +27:39.080 --> 27:41.080 + well, you wouldn't be coming here + +27:41.080 --> 27:42.080 + unless you had something important to say, + +27:42.080 --> 27:44.080 + so I'm going to go attend your talk. + +27:44.080 --> 27:46.080 + So he sat in the very front row. + +27:46.080 --> 27:50.080 + Next to him was the director of the lab, Bruce Stillman. + +27:50.080 --> 27:52.080 + So these guys were in the front row of this auditorium, right? + +27:52.080 --> 27:54.080 + So nobody else in the auditorium wants to sit in the front row + +27:54.080 --> 27:57.080 + because there's Jim Watson there as the director. + +27:57.080 --> 28:03.080 + And I gave a talk and then I had dinner with Jim afterwards. + +28:03.080 --> 28:06.080 + But there's a great picture of my colleague, + +28:06.080 --> 28:08.080 + Subitai Amantik, where I'm up there + +28:08.080 --> 28:11.080 + sort of expiring the basics of this new framework we have. + +28:11.080 --> 28:13.080 + And Jim Watson's on the edge of his chair. + +28:13.080 --> 28:15.080 + He's literally on the edge of his chair, + +28:15.080 --> 28:17.080 + like, internally staring up at the screen. + +28:17.080 --> 28:21.080 + And when he discovered the structure of DNA, + +28:21.080 --> 28:25.080 + the first public talk he gave was at Coltsman Harbor Labs. + +28:25.080 --> 28:27.080 + And there's a picture, there's a famous picture + +28:27.080 --> 28:29.080 + of Jim Watson standing at the whiteboard + +28:29.080 --> 28:31.080 + with an overhead thing pointing at something, + +28:31.080 --> 28:33.080 + pointing at the double helix at this pointer. + +28:33.080 --> 28:35.080 + And it actually looks a lot like the picture of me. + +28:35.080 --> 28:37.080 + So there was a sort of funny, there's an area talking about the brain + +28:37.080 --> 28:39.080 + and there's Jim Watson staring up at the tent. + +28:39.080 --> 28:41.080 + And of course, there was, you know, whatever, + +28:41.080 --> 28:44.080 + 60 years earlier he was standing pointing at the double helix. + +28:44.080 --> 28:47.080 + It's one of the great discoveries in all of, you know, + +28:47.080 --> 28:50.080 + whatever, by all the science, all science and DNA. + +28:50.080 --> 28:54.080 + So it's the funny that there's echoes of that in your presentation. + +28:54.080 --> 28:58.080 + Do you think in terms of evolutionary timeline and history, + +28:58.080 --> 29:01.080 + the development of the neocortex was a big leap? + +29:01.080 --> 29:06.080 + Or is it just a small step? + +29:06.080 --> 29:09.080 + So, like, if we ran the whole thing over again, + +29:09.080 --> 29:12.080 + from the birth of life on Earth, + +29:12.080 --> 29:15.080 + how likely would we develop the mechanism of the neocortex? + +29:15.080 --> 29:17.080 + Okay, well, those are two separate questions. + +29:17.080 --> 29:19.080 + One, was it a big leap? + +29:19.080 --> 29:21.080 + And one was how likely it is, okay? + +29:21.080 --> 29:23.080 + They're not necessarily related. + +29:23.080 --> 29:25.080 + Maybe correlated. + +29:25.080 --> 29:28.080 + And we don't really have enough data to make a judgment about that. + +29:28.080 --> 29:30.080 + I would say definitely it was a big leap. + +29:30.080 --> 29:31.080 + And I can tell you why. + +29:31.080 --> 29:34.080 + I don't think it was just another incremental step. + +29:34.080 --> 29:36.080 + I'll get that in a moment. + +29:36.080 --> 29:38.080 + I don't really have any idea how likely it is. + +29:38.080 --> 29:41.080 + If we look at evolution, we have one data point, + +29:41.080 --> 29:43.080 + which is Earth, right? + +29:43.080 --> 29:45.080 + Life formed on Earth billions of years ago, + +29:45.080 --> 29:48.080 + whether it was introduced here or it created it here + +29:48.080 --> 29:50.080 + or someone introduced it we don't really know, + +29:50.080 --> 29:51.080 + but it was here early. + +29:51.080 --> 29:55.080 + It took a long, long time to get to multicellular life. + +29:55.080 --> 29:58.080 + And then from multicellular life, + +29:58.080 --> 30:02.080 + it took a long, long time to get the neocortex. + +30:02.080 --> 30:05.080 + And we've only had the neocortex for a few hundred thousand years. + +30:05.080 --> 30:07.080 + So that's like nothing. + +30:07.080 --> 30:09.080 + Okay, so is it likely? + +30:09.080 --> 30:13.080 + Well, certainly it isn't something that happened right away on Earth. + +30:13.080 --> 30:15.080 + And there were multiple steps to get there. + +30:15.080 --> 30:17.080 + So I would say it's probably not going to something that would happen + +30:17.080 --> 30:20.080 + instantaneously on other planets that might have life. + +30:20.080 --> 30:23.080 + It might take several billion years on average. + +30:23.080 --> 30:24.080 + Is it likely? + +30:24.080 --> 30:25.080 + I don't know. + +30:25.080 --> 30:28.080 + But you'd have to survive for several billion years to find out. + +30:28.080 --> 30:29.080 + Probably. + +30:29.080 --> 30:30.080 + Is it a big leap? + +30:30.080 --> 30:35.080 + Yeah, I think it is a qualitative difference + +30:35.080 --> 30:38.080 + in all other evolutionary steps. + +30:38.080 --> 30:40.080 + I can try to describe that if you'd like. + +30:40.080 --> 30:42.080 + Sure, in which way? + +30:42.080 --> 30:44.080 + Yeah, I can tell you how. + +30:44.080 --> 30:48.080 + Pretty much, let's start with a little preface. + +30:48.080 --> 30:54.080 + Maybe the things that humans are able to do do not have obvious + +30:54.080 --> 30:59.080 + survival advantages precedent. + +30:59.080 --> 31:00.080 + We create music. + +31:00.080 --> 31:03.080 + Is there a really survival advantage to that? + +31:03.080 --> 31:04.080 + Maybe, maybe not. + +31:04.080 --> 31:05.080 + What about mathematics? + +31:05.080 --> 31:09.080 + Is there a real survival advantage to mathematics? + +31:09.080 --> 31:10.080 + You can stretch it. + +31:10.080 --> 31:13.080 + You can try to figure these things out, right? + +31:13.080 --> 31:18.080 + But most of evolutionary history, everything had immediate survival + +31:18.080 --> 31:19.080 + advantages to it. + +31:19.080 --> 31:22.080 + I'll tell you a story, which I like. + +31:22.080 --> 31:25.080 + It may not be true. + +31:25.080 --> 31:29.080 + But the story goes as follows. + +31:29.080 --> 31:34.080 + Organisms have been evolving since the beginning of life here on Earth. + +31:34.080 --> 31:37.080 + Adding this sort of complexity onto that and this sort of complexity onto that. + +31:37.080 --> 31:40.080 + And the brain itself is evolved this way. + +31:40.080 --> 31:44.080 + There's an old part, an older part, an older, older part to the brain that kind of just + +31:44.080 --> 31:47.080 + keeps calming on new things and we keep adding capabilities. + +31:47.080 --> 31:52.080 + When we got to the neocortex, initially it had a very clear survival advantage + +31:52.080 --> 31:56.080 + in that it produced better vision and better hearing and better touch and maybe + +31:56.080 --> 31:58.080 + a new place and so on. + +31:58.080 --> 32:04.080 + But what I think happens is that evolution took a mechanism, and this is in our + +32:04.080 --> 32:08.080 + recent theory, but it took a mechanism that evolved a long time ago for + +32:08.080 --> 32:10.080 + navigating in the world, for knowing where you are. + +32:10.080 --> 32:14.080 + These are the so called grid cells and place cells of that old part of the brain. + +32:14.080 --> 32:21.080 + And it took that mechanism for building maps of the world and knowing where you are + +32:21.080 --> 32:26.080 + on those maps and how to navigate those maps and turns it into a sort of a slim + +32:26.080 --> 32:29.080 + down idealized version of it. + +32:29.080 --> 32:32.080 + And that idealized version could now apply to building maps of other things, + +32:32.080 --> 32:36.080 + maps of coffee cups and maps of phones, maps of mathematics. + +32:36.080 --> 32:40.080 + Concepts, yes, and not just almost, exactly. + +32:40.080 --> 32:44.080 + And it just started replicating this stuff. + +32:44.080 --> 32:46.080 + You just think more and more and more. + +32:46.080 --> 32:51.080 + So we went from being sort of dedicated purpose neural hardware to solve certain + +32:51.080 --> 32:56.080 + problems that are important to survival to a general purpose neural hardware + +32:56.080 --> 33:02.080 + that could be applied to all problems and now it's escaped the orbit of survival. + +33:02.080 --> 33:08.080 + It's, we are now able to apply it to things which we find enjoyment, you know, + +33:08.080 --> 33:13.080 + but aren't really clearly survival characteristics. + +33:13.080 --> 33:19.080 + And that it seems to only have happened in humans to the large extent. + +33:19.080 --> 33:24.080 + And so that's what's going on where we sort of have, we've sort of escaped the + +33:24.080 --> 33:28.080 + gravity of evolutionary pressure in some sense in the near cortex. + +33:28.080 --> 33:32.080 + And it now does things which are not, that are really interesting, + +33:32.080 --> 33:36.080 + discovering models of the universe, which may not really help us. + +33:36.080 --> 33:37.080 + It doesn't matter. + +33:37.080 --> 33:41.080 + How does it help us surviving knowing that there might be multiple verses or that + +33:41.080 --> 33:44.080 + there might be, you know, the age of the universe or how do, you know, + +33:44.080 --> 33:46.080 + various stellar things occur? + +33:46.080 --> 33:47.080 + It doesn't really help us survive at all. + +33:47.080 --> 33:50.080 + But we enjoy it and that's what happened. + +33:50.080 --> 33:53.080 + Or at least not in the obvious way, perhaps. + +33:53.080 --> 33:58.080 + It is required, if you look at the entire universe in an evolutionary way, + +33:58.080 --> 34:03.080 + it's required for us to do interplanetary travel and therefore survive past our own fun. + +34:03.080 --> 34:05.080 + But you know, let's not get too quick. + +34:05.080 --> 34:07.080 + Yeah, but, you know, evolution works at one time frame. + +34:07.080 --> 34:11.080 + It's survival, if you think of survival of the phenotype, + +34:11.080 --> 34:13.080 + survival of the individual. + +34:13.080 --> 34:16.080 + What you're talking about there is spans well beyond that. + +34:16.080 --> 34:22.080 + So there's no genetic, I'm not transferring any genetic traits to my children. + +34:22.080 --> 34:25.080 + That are going to help them survive better on Mars. + +34:25.080 --> 34:27.080 + Totally different mechanism. + +34:27.080 --> 34:32.080 + So let's get into the new, as you've mentioned, this idea, + +34:32.080 --> 34:35.080 + I don't know if you have a nice name, thousand. + +34:35.080 --> 34:37.080 + We call it the thousand brain theory of intelligence. + +34:37.080 --> 34:38.080 + I like it. + +34:38.080 --> 34:44.080 + So can you talk about this idea of spatial view of concepts and so on? + +34:44.080 --> 34:45.080 + Yeah. + +34:45.080 --> 34:49.080 + So can I just describe sort of the, there's an underlying core discovery, + +34:49.080 --> 34:51.080 + which then everything comes from that. + +34:51.080 --> 34:55.080 + That's a very simple, this is really what happened. + +34:55.080 --> 35:00.080 + We were deep into problems about understanding how we build models of stuff in the world + +35:00.080 --> 35:03.080 + and how we make predictions about things. + +35:03.080 --> 35:07.080 + And I was holding a coffee cup just like this in my hand. + +35:07.080 --> 35:10.080 + And I had my finger was touching the side, my index finger. + +35:10.080 --> 35:15.080 + And then I moved it to the top and I was going to feel the rim at the top of the cup. + +35:15.080 --> 35:18.080 + And I asked myself a very simple question. + +35:18.080 --> 35:22.080 + I said, well, first of all, let's say I know that my brain predicts what it's going to feel + +35:22.080 --> 35:23.080 + before it touches it. + +35:23.080 --> 35:25.080 + You can just think about it and imagine it. + +35:25.080 --> 35:28.080 + And so we know that the brain's making predictions all the time. + +35:28.080 --> 35:31.080 + So the question is, what does it take to predict that? + +35:31.080 --> 35:33.080 + And there's a very interesting answer. + +35:33.080 --> 35:36.080 + First of all, it says the brain has to know it's touching a coffee cup. + +35:36.080 --> 35:38.080 + It has to have a model of a coffee cup. + +35:38.080 --> 35:43.080 + It needs to know where the finger currently is on the cup, relative to the cup. + +35:43.080 --> 35:46.080 + Because when I make a movement, it needs to know where it's going to be on the cup + +35:46.080 --> 35:50.080 + after the movement is completed, relative to the cup. + +35:50.080 --> 35:53.080 + And then it can make a prediction about what it's going to sense. + +35:53.080 --> 35:56.080 + So this told me that the neocortex, which is making this prediction, + +35:56.080 --> 35:59.080 + needs to know that it's sensing it's touching a cup. + +35:59.080 --> 36:02.080 + And it needs to know the location of my finger relative to that cup + +36:02.080 --> 36:04.080 + in a reference frame of the cup. + +36:04.080 --> 36:06.080 + It doesn't matter where the cup is relative to my body. + +36:06.080 --> 36:08.080 + It doesn't matter its orientation. + +36:08.080 --> 36:09.080 + None of that matters. + +36:09.080 --> 36:13.080 + It's where my finger is relative to the cup, which tells me then that the neocortex + +36:13.080 --> 36:17.080 + has a reference frame that's anchored to the cup. + +36:17.080 --> 36:19.080 + Because otherwise, I wouldn't be able to say the location + +36:19.080 --> 36:21.080 + and I wouldn't be able to predict my new location. + +36:21.080 --> 36:24.080 + And then we quickly, very instantly, you can say, + +36:24.080 --> 36:26.080 + well, every part of my skin could touch this cup + +36:26.080 --> 36:28.080 + and therefore every part of my skin is making predictions + +36:28.080 --> 36:30.080 + and every part of my skin must have a reference frame + +36:30.080 --> 36:33.080 + that it's using to make predictions. + +36:33.080 --> 36:39.080 + So the big idea is that throughout the neocortex, + +36:39.080 --> 36:47.080 + there are, everything is being stored and referenced in reference frames. + +36:47.080 --> 36:49.080 + You can think of them like XYZ reference frames, + +36:49.080 --> 36:50.080 + but they're not like that. + +36:50.080 --> 36:52.080 + We know a lot about the neural mechanisms for this. + +36:52.080 --> 36:55.080 + But the brain thinks in reference frames. + +36:55.080 --> 36:58.080 + And as an engineer, if you're an engineer, this is not surprising. + +36:58.080 --> 37:01.080 + You'd say, if I were to build a CAD model of the coffee cup, + +37:01.080 --> 37:03.080 + well, I would bring it up in some CAD software + +37:03.080 --> 37:05.080 + and I would assign some reference frame and say, + +37:05.080 --> 37:07.080 + this features at this location and so on. + +37:07.080 --> 37:10.080 + But the fact that this, the idea that this is occurring + +37:10.080 --> 37:14.080 + throughout the neocortex everywhere, it was a novel idea. + +37:14.080 --> 37:20.080 + And then a zillion things fell into place after that, a zillion. + +37:20.080 --> 37:23.080 + So now we think about the neocortex as processing information + +37:23.080 --> 37:25.080 + quite differently than we used to do it. + +37:25.080 --> 37:28.080 + We used to think about the neocortex as processing sensory data + +37:28.080 --> 37:30.080 + and extracting features from that sensory data + +37:30.080 --> 37:32.080 + and then extracting features from the features + +37:32.080 --> 37:35.080 + very much like a deep learning network does today. + +37:35.080 --> 37:36.080 + But that's not how the brain works at all. + +37:36.080 --> 37:39.080 + The brain works by assigning everything, + +37:39.080 --> 37:41.080 + every input, everything to reference frames, + +37:41.080 --> 37:44.080 + and there are thousands, hundreds of thousands of them + +37:44.080 --> 37:47.080 + active at once in your neocortex. + +37:47.080 --> 37:49.080 + It's a surprising thing to think about, + +37:49.080 --> 37:51.080 + but once you sort of internalize this, + +37:51.080 --> 37:54.080 + you understand that it explains almost every, + +37:54.080 --> 37:57.080 + almost all the mysteries we've had about this structure. + +37:57.080 --> 38:00.080 + So one of the consequences of that is that + +38:00.080 --> 38:04.080 + every small part of the neocortex, say a millimeter square, + +38:04.080 --> 38:06.080 + and there's 150,000 of those. + +38:06.080 --> 38:08.080 + So it's about 150,000 square millimeters. + +38:08.080 --> 38:11.080 + If you take every little square millimeter of the cortex, + +38:11.080 --> 38:13.080 + it's got some input coming into it, + +38:13.080 --> 38:15.080 + and it's going to have reference frames + +38:15.080 --> 38:17.080 + where it's assigning that input to. + +38:17.080 --> 38:21.080 + And each square millimeter can learn complete models of objects. + +38:21.080 --> 38:22.080 + So what do I mean by that? + +38:22.080 --> 38:23.080 + If I'm touching the coffee cup, + +38:23.080 --> 38:25.080 + well, if I just touch it in one place, + +38:25.080 --> 38:27.080 + I can't learn what this coffee cup is + +38:27.080 --> 38:29.080 + because I'm just feeling one part. + +38:29.080 --> 38:32.080 + But if I move it around the cup and touch it in different areas, + +38:32.080 --> 38:34.080 + I can build up a complete model of the cup + +38:34.080 --> 38:36.080 + because I'm now filling in that three dimensional map, + +38:36.080 --> 38:37.080 + which is the coffee cup. + +38:37.080 --> 38:39.080 + I can say, oh, what am I feeling in all these different locations? + +38:39.080 --> 38:40.080 + That's the basic idea. + +38:40.080 --> 38:42.080 + It's more complicated than that. + +38:42.080 --> 38:46.080 + But so through time, and we talked about time earlier, + +38:46.080 --> 38:48.080 + through time, even a single column, + +38:48.080 --> 38:50.080 + which is only looking at, or a single part of the cortex, + +38:50.080 --> 38:52.080 + which is only looking at a small part of the world, + +38:52.080 --> 38:54.080 + can build up a complete model of an object. + +38:54.080 --> 38:57.080 + And so if you think about the part of the brain, + +38:57.080 --> 38:59.080 + which is getting input from all my fingers, + +38:59.080 --> 39:01.080 + so they're spread across the top of your head here. + +39:01.080 --> 39:03.080 + This is the somatosensory cortex. + +39:03.080 --> 39:07.080 + There's columns associated with all the different areas of my skin. + +39:07.080 --> 39:10.080 + And what we believe is happening is that + +39:10.080 --> 39:12.080 + all of them are building models of this cup, + +39:12.080 --> 39:15.080 + every one of them, or things. + +39:15.080 --> 39:18.080 + Not every column or every part of the cortex + +39:18.080 --> 39:19.080 + builds models of everything, + +39:19.080 --> 39:21.080 + but they're all building models of something. + +39:21.080 --> 39:26.080 + And so when I touch this cup with my hand, + +39:26.080 --> 39:29.080 + there are multiple models of the cup being invoked. + +39:29.080 --> 39:30.080 + If I look at it with my eyes, + +39:30.080 --> 39:32.080 + there are again many models of the cup being invoked, + +39:32.080 --> 39:34.080 + because each part of the visual system, + +39:34.080 --> 39:36.080 + the brain doesn't process an image. + +39:36.080 --> 39:38.080 + That's a misleading idea. + +39:38.080 --> 39:40.080 + It's just like your fingers touching the cup, + +39:40.080 --> 39:43.080 + so different parts of my retina are looking at different parts of the cup. + +39:43.080 --> 39:45.080 + And thousands and thousands of models of the cup + +39:45.080 --> 39:47.080 + are being invoked at once. + +39:47.080 --> 39:49.080 + And they're all voting with each other, + +39:49.080 --> 39:50.080 + trying to figure out what's going on. + +39:50.080 --> 39:52.080 + So that's why we call it the thousand brains theory of intelligence, + +39:52.080 --> 39:54.080 + because there isn't one model of a cup. + +39:54.080 --> 39:56.080 + There are thousands of models of this cup. + +39:56.080 --> 39:58.080 + There are thousands of models of your cell phone, + +39:58.080 --> 40:01.080 + and about cameras and microphones and so on. + +40:01.080 --> 40:03.080 + It's a distributed modeling system, + +40:03.080 --> 40:05.080 + which is very different than what people have thought about it. + +40:05.080 --> 40:07.080 + So that's a really compelling and interesting idea. + +40:07.080 --> 40:09.080 + I have two first questions. + +40:09.080 --> 40:12.080 + So one, on the ensemble part of everything coming together, + +40:12.080 --> 40:14.080 + you have these thousand brains. + +40:14.080 --> 40:19.080 + How do you know which one has done the best job of forming the cup? + +40:19.080 --> 40:20.080 + Great question. Let me try to explain. + +40:20.080 --> 40:23.080 + There's a problem that's known in neuroscience + +40:23.080 --> 40:25.080 + called the sensor fusion problem. + +40:25.080 --> 40:26.080 + Yes. + +40:26.080 --> 40:28.080 + And so the idea is something like, + +40:28.080 --> 40:29.080 + oh, the image comes from the eye. + +40:29.080 --> 40:30.080 + There's a picture on the retina. + +40:30.080 --> 40:32.080 + And it gets projected to the neocortex. + +40:32.080 --> 40:35.080 + Oh, by now it's all sped out all over the place, + +40:35.080 --> 40:37.080 + and it's kind of squirrely and distorted, + +40:37.080 --> 40:39.080 + and pieces are all over the, you know, + +40:39.080 --> 40:41.080 + it doesn't look like a picture anymore. + +40:41.080 --> 40:43.080 + When does it all come back together again? + +40:43.080 --> 40:44.080 + Right? + +40:44.080 --> 40:46.080 + Or you might say, well, yes, but I also, + +40:46.080 --> 40:48.080 + I also have sounds or touches associated with the cup. + +40:48.080 --> 40:50.080 + So I'm seeing the cup and touching the cup. + +40:50.080 --> 40:52.080 + How do they get combined together again? + +40:52.080 --> 40:54.080 + So this is called the sensor fusion problem. + +40:54.080 --> 40:57.080 + As if all these disparate parts have to be brought together + +40:57.080 --> 40:59.080 + into one model someplace. + +40:59.080 --> 41:01.080 + That's the wrong idea. + +41:01.080 --> 41:03.080 + The right idea is that you get all these guys voting. + +41:03.080 --> 41:05.080 + There's auditory models of the cup, + +41:05.080 --> 41:07.080 + there's visual models of the cup, + +41:07.080 --> 41:09.080 + there's tactile models of the cup. + +41:09.080 --> 41:11.080 + In the vision system, there might be ones + +41:11.080 --> 41:13.080 + that are more focused on black and white, + +41:13.080 --> 41:14.080 + ones versioned on color. + +41:14.080 --> 41:15.080 + It doesn't really matter. + +41:15.080 --> 41:17.080 + There's just thousands and thousands of models of this cup. + +41:17.080 --> 41:18.080 + And they vote. + +41:18.080 --> 41:20.080 + They don't actually come together in one spot. + +41:20.080 --> 41:22.080 + Just literally think of it this way. + +41:22.080 --> 41:25.080 + Imagine you have, each columns are like about the size + +41:25.080 --> 41:26.080 + of a little piece of spaghetti. + +41:26.080 --> 41:27.080 + Okay? + +41:27.080 --> 41:28.080 + Like a two and a half millimeters tall + +41:28.080 --> 41:30.080 + and about a millimeter in white. + +41:30.080 --> 41:33.080 + They're not physical like, but you can think of them that way. + +41:33.080 --> 41:36.080 + And each one's trying to guess what this thing is or touching. + +41:36.080 --> 41:38.080 + Now they can, they can do a pretty good job + +41:38.080 --> 41:40.080 + if they're allowed to move over time. + +41:40.080 --> 41:42.080 + So I can reach my hand into a black box and move my finger + +41:42.080 --> 41:44.080 + around an object and if I touch enough space, + +41:44.080 --> 41:46.080 + it's like, okay, I know what it is. + +41:46.080 --> 41:48.080 + But often we don't do that. + +41:48.080 --> 41:50.080 + Often I can just reach and grab something with my hand + +41:50.080 --> 41:51.080 + all at once and I get it. + +41:51.080 --> 41:53.080 + Or if I had to look through the world through a straw, + +41:53.080 --> 41:55.080 + so I'm only invoking one little column, + +41:55.080 --> 41:57.080 + I can only see part of something because I have to move + +41:57.080 --> 41:58.080 + the straw around. + +41:58.080 --> 42:00.080 + But if I open my eyes to see the whole thing at once. + +42:00.080 --> 42:02.080 + So what we think is going on is all these little pieces + +42:02.080 --> 42:05.080 + of spaghetti, all these little columns in the cortex + +42:05.080 --> 42:08.080 + are all trying to guess what it is that they're sensing. + +42:08.080 --> 42:10.080 + They'll do a better guess if they have time + +42:10.080 --> 42:11.080 + and can move over time. + +42:11.080 --> 42:13.080 + So if I move my eyes and move my fingers. + +42:13.080 --> 42:16.080 + But if they don't, they have a, they have a poor guess. + +42:16.080 --> 42:19.080 + It's a, it's a probabilistic guess of what they might be touching. + +42:19.080 --> 42:22.080 + Now imagine they can post their probability + +42:22.080 --> 42:24.080 + at the top of little piece of spaghetti. + +42:24.080 --> 42:25.080 + Each one of them says, I think, + +42:25.080 --> 42:27.080 + and it's not really a probability distribution. + +42:27.080 --> 42:29.080 + It's more like a set of possibilities in the brain. + +42:29.080 --> 42:31.080 + It doesn't work as a probability distribution. + +42:31.080 --> 42:33.080 + It works as more like what we call a union. + +42:33.080 --> 42:35.080 + You could say, and one column says, + +42:35.080 --> 42:39.080 + I think it could be a coffee cup, a soda can or a water bottle. + +42:39.080 --> 42:42.080 + And another column says, I think it could be a coffee cup + +42:42.080 --> 42:45.080 + or a, you know, telephone or camera or whatever. + +42:45.080 --> 42:46.080 + Right. + +42:46.080 --> 42:49.080 + And all these guys are saying what they think it might be. + +42:49.080 --> 42:51.080 + And there's these long range connections + +42:51.080 --> 42:53.080 + in certain layers in the cortex. + +42:53.080 --> 42:57.080 + So there's some layers in some cell types in each column + +42:57.080 --> 42:59.080 + send the projections across the brain. + +42:59.080 --> 43:01.080 + And that's the voting occurs. + +43:01.080 --> 43:04.080 + And so there's a simple associative memory mechanism. + +43:04.080 --> 43:07.080 + We've described this in a recent paper and we've modeled this + +43:07.080 --> 43:11.080 + that says they can all quickly settle on the only + +43:11.080 --> 43:14.080 + or the one best answer for all of them. + +43:14.080 --> 43:17.080 + If there is a single best answer, they all vote and say, + +43:17.080 --> 43:19.080 + yep, it's got to be the coffee cup. + +43:19.080 --> 43:21.080 + And at that point, they all know it's a coffee cup. + +43:21.080 --> 43:23.080 + And at that point, everyone acts as if it's a coffee cup. + +43:23.080 --> 43:24.080 + Yeah, we know it's a coffee. + +43:24.080 --> 43:26.080 + Even though I've only seen one little piece of this world, + +43:26.080 --> 43:28.080 + I know it's a coffee cup I'm touching or I'm seeing or whatever. + +43:28.080 --> 43:31.080 + And so you can think of all these columns are looking + +43:31.080 --> 43:33.080 + at different parts and different places, + +43:33.080 --> 43:35.080 + different sensory input, different locations. + +43:35.080 --> 43:36.080 + They're all different. + +43:36.080 --> 43:40.080 + But this layer that's doing the voting, it solidifies. + +43:40.080 --> 43:43.080 + It crystallizes and says, oh, we all know what we're doing. + +43:43.080 --> 43:46.080 + And so you don't bring these models together in one model, + +43:46.080 --> 43:49.080 + you just vote and there's a crystallization of the vote. + +43:49.080 --> 43:50.080 + Great. + +43:50.080 --> 43:56.080 + That's at least a compelling way to think about the way you + +43:56.080 --> 43:58.080 + form a model of the world. + +43:58.080 --> 44:00.080 + Now, you talk about a coffee cup. + +44:00.080 --> 44:04.080 + Do you see this as far as I understand that you were proposing + +44:04.080 --> 44:07.080 + this as well, that this extends to much more than coffee cups? + +44:07.080 --> 44:09.080 + Yeah, it does. + +44:09.080 --> 44:11.080 + Or at least the physical world. + +44:11.080 --> 44:14.080 + It expands to the world of concepts. + +44:14.080 --> 44:15.080 + Yeah, it does. + +44:15.080 --> 44:18.080 + And well, the first, the primary phase of evidence for that + +44:18.080 --> 44:21.080 + is that the regions of the neocortex that are associated + +44:21.080 --> 44:24.080 + with language or high level thought or mathematics or things + +44:24.080 --> 44:26.080 + like that, they look like the regions of the neocortex + +44:26.080 --> 44:28.080 + that process vision and hearing and touch. + +44:28.080 --> 44:31.080 + They don't look any different or they look only marginally + +44:31.080 --> 44:32.080 + different. + +44:32.080 --> 44:36.080 + And so one would say, well, if Vernon Mountcastle, + +44:36.080 --> 44:39.080 + who proposed that all the parts of the neocortex + +44:39.080 --> 44:42.080 + are the same thing, if he's right, then the parts + +44:42.080 --> 44:44.080 + that are doing language or mathematics or physics + +44:44.080 --> 44:46.080 + are working on the same principle. + +44:46.080 --> 44:48.080 + They must be working on the principle of reference frames. + +44:48.080 --> 44:51.080 + So that's a little odd thought. + +44:51.080 --> 44:55.080 + But of course, we had no prior idea how these things happen. + +44:55.080 --> 44:57.080 + So let's go with that. + +44:57.080 --> 45:01.080 + And in our recent paper, we talked a little bit about that. + +45:01.080 --> 45:03.080 + I've been working on it more since. + +45:03.080 --> 45:05.080 + I have better ideas about it now. + +45:05.080 --> 45:08.080 + I'm sitting here very confident that that's what's happening. + +45:08.080 --> 45:11.080 + And I can give you some examples to help you think about that. + +45:11.080 --> 45:13.080 + It's not that we understand it completely, + +45:13.080 --> 45:15.080 + but I understand it better than I've described it in any paper + +45:15.080 --> 45:16.080 + so far. + +45:16.080 --> 45:18.080 + But we did put that idea out there. + +45:18.080 --> 45:22.080 + It's a good place to start. + +45:22.080 --> 45:25.080 + And the evidence would suggest it's how it's happening. + +45:25.080 --> 45:27.080 + And then we can start tackling that problem one piece at a time. + +45:27.080 --> 45:29.080 + What does it mean to do high level thought? + +45:29.080 --> 45:30.080 + What does it mean to do language? + +45:30.080 --> 45:34.080 + How would that fit into a reference framework? + +45:34.080 --> 45:38.080 + I don't know if you could tell me if there's a connection, + +45:38.080 --> 45:42.080 + but there's an app called Anki that helps you remember different concepts. + +45:42.080 --> 45:46.080 + And they talk about like a memory palace that helps you remember + +45:46.080 --> 45:50.080 + completely random concepts by trying to put them in a physical space + +45:50.080 --> 45:52.080 + in your mind and putting them next to each other. + +45:52.080 --> 45:54.080 + It's called the method of loci. + +45:54.080 --> 45:57.080 + For some reason, that seems to work really well. + +45:57.080 --> 46:00.080 + Now that's a very narrow kind of application of just remembering some facts. + +46:00.080 --> 46:03.080 + But that's a very, very telling one. + +46:03.080 --> 46:04.080 + Yes, exactly. + +46:04.080 --> 46:09.080 + So this seems like you're describing a mechanism why this seems to work. + +46:09.080 --> 46:13.080 + So basically the way what we think is going on is all things you know, + +46:13.080 --> 46:17.080 + all concepts, all ideas, words, everything, you know, + +46:17.080 --> 46:20.080 + are stored in reference frames. + +46:20.080 --> 46:24.080 + And so if you want to remember something, + +46:24.080 --> 46:27.080 + you have to basically navigate through a reference frame the same way + +46:27.080 --> 46:28.080 + a rat navigates to a man. + +46:28.080 --> 46:31.080 + Even the same way my finger rat navigates to this coffee cup. + +46:31.080 --> 46:33.080 + You are moving through some space. + +46:33.080 --> 46:37.080 + And so if you have a random list of things you would ask to remember + +46:37.080 --> 46:39.080 + by assigning them to a reference frame, + +46:39.080 --> 46:42.080 + you've already know very well to see your house, right? + +46:42.080 --> 46:44.080 + And the idea of the method of loci is you can say, + +46:44.080 --> 46:46.080 + okay, in my lobby, I'm going to put this thing. + +46:46.080 --> 46:48.080 + And then the bedroom, I put this one. + +46:48.080 --> 46:49.080 + I go down the hall, I put this thing. + +46:49.080 --> 46:51.080 + And then you want to recall those facts. + +46:51.080 --> 46:52.080 + So recall those things. + +46:52.080 --> 46:53.080 + You just walk mentally. + +46:53.080 --> 46:54.080 + You walk through your house. + +46:54.080 --> 46:57.080 + You're mentally moving through a reference frame that you already had. + +46:57.080 --> 47:00.080 + And that tells you there's two things that are really important about that. + +47:00.080 --> 47:03.080 + It tells us the brain prefers to store things in reference frames. + +47:03.080 --> 47:08.080 + And the method of recalling things or thinking, if you will, + +47:08.080 --> 47:11.080 + is to move mentally through those reference frames. + +47:11.080 --> 47:13.080 + You could move physically through some reference frames, + +47:13.080 --> 47:16.080 + like I could physically move through the reference frame of this coffee cup. + +47:16.080 --> 47:18.080 + I can also mentally move through the reference frame of the coffee cup, + +47:18.080 --> 47:19.080 + imagining me touching it. + +47:19.080 --> 47:22.080 + But I can also mentally move my house. + +47:22.080 --> 47:26.080 + And so now we can ask ourselves, are all concepts stored this way? + +47:26.080 --> 47:32.080 + There was some recent research using human subjects in fMRI. + +47:32.080 --> 47:36.080 + And I'm going to apologize for not knowing the name of the scientists who did this. + +47:36.080 --> 47:41.080 + But what they did is they put humans in this fMRI machine, + +47:41.080 --> 47:42.080 + which was one of these imaging machines. + +47:42.080 --> 47:46.080 + And they gave the humans tasks to think about birds. + +47:46.080 --> 47:49.080 + So they had different types of birds, and birds that looked big and small + +47:49.080 --> 47:51.080 + and long necks and long legs, things like that. + +47:51.080 --> 47:56.080 + And what they could tell from the fMRI was a very clever experiment. + +47:56.080 --> 48:00.080 + You get to tell when humans were thinking about the birds, + +48:00.080 --> 48:05.080 + that the birds, the knowledge of birds was arranged in a reference frame + +48:05.080 --> 48:08.080 + similar to the ones that are used when you navigate in a room. + +48:08.080 --> 48:10.080 + These are called grid cells. + +48:10.080 --> 48:14.080 + And there are grid cell like patterns of activity in the neocortex when they do this. + +48:14.080 --> 48:18.080 + So that, it's a very clever experiment. + +48:18.080 --> 48:22.080 + And what it basically says is that even when you're thinking about something abstract + +48:22.080 --> 48:24.080 + and you're not really thinking about it as a reference frame, + +48:24.080 --> 48:27.080 + it tells us the brain is actually using a reference frame. + +48:27.080 --> 48:29.080 + And it's using the same neural mechanisms. + +48:29.080 --> 48:32.080 + These grid cells are the basic same neural mechanisms that we propose + +48:32.080 --> 48:36.080 + that grid cells, which exist in the old part of the brain, the entomonic cortex, + +48:36.080 --> 48:40.080 + that that mechanism is now similar mechanism, is used throughout the neocortex. + +48:40.080 --> 48:44.080 + It's the same nature to preserve this interesting way of creating reference frames. + +48:44.080 --> 48:49.080 + And so now they have empirical evidence that when you think about concepts like birds + +48:49.080 --> 48:53.080 + that you're using reference frames that are built on grid cells. + +48:53.080 --> 48:55.080 + So that's similar to the method of loci. + +48:55.080 --> 48:57.080 + But in this case, the birds are related so that makes, + +48:57.080 --> 49:01.080 + they create their own reference frame, which is consistent with bird space. + +49:01.080 --> 49:03.080 + And when you think about something, you go through that. + +49:03.080 --> 49:04.080 + You can make the same example. + +49:04.080 --> 49:06.080 + Let's take a math mathematics. + +49:06.080 --> 49:08.080 + Let's say you want to prove a conjecture. + +49:08.080 --> 49:09.080 + Okay. + +49:09.080 --> 49:10.080 + What is a conjecture? + +49:10.080 --> 49:13.080 + A conjecture is a statement you believe to be true, + +49:13.080 --> 49:15.080 + but you haven't proven it. + +49:15.080 --> 49:17.080 + And so it might be an equation. + +49:17.080 --> 49:19.080 + I want to show that this is equal to that. + +49:19.080 --> 49:21.080 + And you have some places you start with. + +49:21.080 --> 49:23.080 + You say, well, I know this is true and I know this is true. + +49:23.080 --> 49:26.080 + And I think that maybe to get to the final proof, + +49:26.080 --> 49:28.080 + I need to go through some intermediate results. + +49:28.080 --> 49:33.080 + What I believe is happening is literally these equations + +49:33.080 --> 49:36.080 + or these points are assigned to a reference frame, + +49:36.080 --> 49:38.080 + a mathematical reference frame. + +49:38.080 --> 49:40.080 + And when you do mathematical operations, + +49:40.080 --> 49:42.080 + a simple one might be multiply or divide, + +49:42.080 --> 49:44.080 + maybe a little plus transform or something else. + +49:44.080 --> 49:47.080 + That is like a movement in the reference frame of the math. + +49:47.080 --> 49:50.080 + And so you're literally trying to discover a path + +49:50.080 --> 49:56.080 + from one location to another location in a space of mathematics. + +49:56.080 --> 49:58.080 + And if you can get to these intermediate results, + +49:58.080 --> 50:00.080 + then you know your map is pretty good + +50:00.080 --> 50:03.080 + and you know you're using the right operations. + +50:03.080 --> 50:06.080 + Much of what we think about is solving hard problems + +50:06.080 --> 50:09.080 + is designing the correct reference frame for that problem, + +50:09.080 --> 50:12.080 + how to organize the information, and what behaviors + +50:12.080 --> 50:15.080 + I want to use in that space to get me there. + +50:15.080 --> 50:19.080 + Yeah, so if you dig in on an idea of this reference frame, + +50:19.080 --> 50:21.080 + whether it's the math, you start a set of axioms + +50:21.080 --> 50:24.080 + to try to get to proving the conjecture. + +50:24.080 --> 50:27.080 + Can you try to describe, maybe take a step back, + +50:27.080 --> 50:30.080 + how you think of the reference frame in that context? + +50:30.080 --> 50:35.080 + Is it the reference frame that the axioms are happy in? + +50:35.080 --> 50:38.080 + Is it the reference frame that might contain everything? + +50:38.080 --> 50:41.080 + Is it a changing thing as you... + +50:41.080 --> 50:43.080 + You have many, many reference frames. + +50:43.080 --> 50:45.080 + In fact, the way the thousand brain theories of intelligence + +50:45.080 --> 50:48.080 + says that every single thing in the world has its own reference frame. + +50:48.080 --> 50:50.080 + So every word has its own reference frames. + +50:50.080 --> 50:52.080 + And we can talk about this. + +50:52.080 --> 50:55.080 + The mathematics work out this is no problem for neurons to do this. + +50:55.080 --> 50:58.080 + But how many reference frames does the coffee cup have? + +50:58.080 --> 51:03.080 + Well, let's say you ask how many reference frames + +51:03.080 --> 51:07.080 + could the column in my finger that's touching the coffee cup have + +51:07.080 --> 51:10.080 + because there are many, many models of the coffee cup. + +51:10.080 --> 51:12.080 + So there is no model of the coffee cup. + +51:12.080 --> 51:14.080 + There are many models of the coffee cup. + +51:14.080 --> 51:17.080 + And you can say, well, how many different things can my finger learn? + +51:17.080 --> 51:19.080 + Is this the question you want to ask? + +51:19.080 --> 51:21.080 + Imagine I say every concept, every idea, + +51:21.080 --> 51:23.080 + everything you've ever know about that you can say, + +51:23.080 --> 51:28.080 + I know that thing has a reference frame associated with it. + +51:28.080 --> 51:30.080 + And what we do when we build composite objects, + +51:30.080 --> 51:34.080 + we assign reference frames to point another reference frame. + +51:34.080 --> 51:37.080 + So my coffee cup has multiple components to it. + +51:37.080 --> 51:38.080 + It's got a limb. + +51:38.080 --> 51:39.080 + It's got a cylinder. + +51:39.080 --> 51:40.080 + It's got a handle. + +51:40.080 --> 51:43.080 + And those things have their own reference frames. + +51:43.080 --> 51:45.080 + And they're assigned to a master reference frame, + +51:45.080 --> 51:46.080 + which is called this cup. + +51:46.080 --> 51:48.080 + And now I have this mental logo on it. + +51:48.080 --> 51:50.080 + Well, that's something that exists elsewhere in the world. + +51:50.080 --> 51:51.080 + It's its own thing. + +51:51.080 --> 51:52.080 + So it has its own reference frame. + +51:52.080 --> 51:56.080 + So we now have to say, how can I assign the mental logo reference frame + +51:56.080 --> 51:59.080 + onto the cylinder or onto the coffee cup? + +51:59.080 --> 52:04.080 + So we talked about this in the paper that came out in December + +52:04.080 --> 52:06.080 + of this last year. + +52:06.080 --> 52:09.080 + The idea of how you can assign reference frames to reference frames, + +52:09.080 --> 52:10.080 + how neurons could do this. + +52:10.080 --> 52:14.080 + So my question is, even though you mentioned reference frames a lot, + +52:14.080 --> 52:18.080 + I almost feel it's really useful to dig into how you think + +52:18.080 --> 52:20.080 + of what a reference frame is. + +52:20.080 --> 52:22.080 + It was already helpful for me to understand that you think + +52:22.080 --> 52:26.080 + of reference frames as something there is a lot of. + +52:26.080 --> 52:29.080 + OK, so let's just say that we're going to have some neurons + +52:29.080 --> 52:32.080 + in the brain, not many actually, 10,000, 20,000, + +52:32.080 --> 52:34.080 + are going to create a whole bunch of reference frames. + +52:34.080 --> 52:35.080 + What does it mean? + +52:35.080 --> 52:37.080 + What is a reference frame? + +52:37.080 --> 52:40.080 + First of all, these reference frames are different than the ones + +52:40.080 --> 52:42.080 + you might be used to. + +52:42.080 --> 52:43.080 + We know lots of reference frames. + +52:43.080 --> 52:45.080 + For example, we know the Cartesian coordinates, + +52:45.080 --> 52:47.080 + XYZ, that's a type of reference frame. + +52:47.080 --> 52:50.080 + We know longitude and latitude. + +52:50.080 --> 52:52.080 + That's a different type of reference frame. + +52:52.080 --> 52:55.080 + If I look at a printed map, it might have columns, + +52:55.080 --> 52:59.080 + A through M and rows, 1 through 20, + +52:59.080 --> 53:01.080 + that's a different type of reference frame. + +53:01.080 --> 53:04.080 + It's kind of a Cartesian reference frame. + +53:04.080 --> 53:07.080 + The interesting thing about the reference frames in the brain, + +53:07.080 --> 53:09.080 + and we know this because these have been established + +53:09.080 --> 53:12.080 + through neuroscience studying the entorhinal cortex. + +53:12.080 --> 53:13.080 + So I'm not speculating here. + +53:13.080 --> 53:16.080 + This is known neuroscience in an old part of the brain. + +53:16.080 --> 53:18.080 + The way these cells create reference frames, + +53:18.080 --> 53:20.080 + they have no origin. + +53:20.080 --> 53:24.080 + So what it's more like, you have a point, + +53:24.080 --> 53:26.080 + a point in some space, + +53:26.080 --> 53:29.080 + and you, given a particular movement, + +53:29.080 --> 53:32.080 + you can then tell what the next point should be. + +53:32.080 --> 53:34.080 + And you can then tell what the next point would be. + +53:34.080 --> 53:35.080 + And so on. + +53:35.080 --> 53:40.080 + You can use this to calculate how to get from one point to another. + +53:40.080 --> 53:43.080 + So how do I get from my house to my home, + +53:43.080 --> 53:45.080 + or how do I get my finger from the side of my cup + +53:45.080 --> 53:46.080 + to the top of the cup? + +53:46.080 --> 53:52.080 + How do I get from the axioms to the conjecture? + +53:52.080 --> 53:54.080 + So it's a different type of reference frame. + +53:54.080 --> 53:57.080 + And I can, if you want, I can describe in more detail. + +53:57.080 --> 53:59.080 + I can paint a picture how you might want to think about that. + +53:59.080 --> 54:00.080 + It's really helpful to think. + +54:00.080 --> 54:02.080 + It's something you can move through. + +54:02.080 --> 54:03.080 + Yeah. + +54:03.080 --> 54:08.080 + But is it helpful to think of it as spatial in some sense, + +54:08.080 --> 54:09.080 + or is there something? + +54:09.080 --> 54:11.080 + No, it's definitely spatial. + +54:11.080 --> 54:13.080 + It's spatial in a mathematical sense. + +54:13.080 --> 54:14.080 + How many dimensions? + +54:14.080 --> 54:16.080 + Can it be a crazy number of dimensions? + +54:16.080 --> 54:17.080 + Well, that's an interesting question. + +54:17.080 --> 54:20.080 + In the old part of the brain, the entorhinal cortex, + +54:20.080 --> 54:22.080 + they studied rats. + +54:22.080 --> 54:24.080 + And initially, it looks like, oh, this is just two dimensional. + +54:24.080 --> 54:27.080 + It's like the rat is in some box in a maze or whatever, + +54:27.080 --> 54:29.080 + and they know whether the rat is using these two dimensional + +54:29.080 --> 54:32.080 + reference frames and know where it is in the maze. + +54:32.080 --> 54:35.080 + We say, OK, well, what about bats? + +54:35.080 --> 54:38.080 + That's a mammal, and they fly in three dimensional space. + +54:38.080 --> 54:39.080 + How do they do that? + +54:39.080 --> 54:41.080 + They seem to know where they are, right? + +54:41.080 --> 54:44.080 + So this is a current area of active research, + +54:44.080 --> 54:47.080 + and it seems like somehow the neurons in the entorhinal cortex + +54:47.080 --> 54:50.080 + can learn three dimensional space. + +54:50.080 --> 54:55.080 + We just, two members of our team, along with Ilefet from MIT, + +54:55.080 --> 54:59.080 + just released a paper this literally last week, + +54:59.080 --> 55:03.080 + it's on bioarchive, where they show that you can, + +55:03.080 --> 55:06.080 + the way these things work, and unless you want to, + +55:06.080 --> 55:10.080 + I won't get into the detail, but grid cells + +55:10.080 --> 55:12.080 + can represent any n dimensional space. + +55:12.080 --> 55:15.080 + It's not inherently limited. + +55:15.080 --> 55:18.080 + You can think of it this way, if you had two dimensional, + +55:18.080 --> 55:21.080 + the way it works is you had a bunch of two dimensional slices. + +55:21.080 --> 55:22.080 + That's the way these things work. + +55:22.080 --> 55:24.080 + There's a whole bunch of two dimensional models, + +55:24.080 --> 55:27.080 + and you can slice up any n dimensional space + +55:27.080 --> 55:29.080 + with two dimensional projections. + +55:29.080 --> 55:31.080 + And you could have one dimensional models. + +55:31.080 --> 55:34.080 + So there's nothing inherent about the mathematics + +55:34.080 --> 55:36.080 + about the way the neurons do this, + +55:36.080 --> 55:39.080 + which constrained the dimensionality of the space, + +55:39.080 --> 55:41.080 + which I think was important. + +55:41.080 --> 55:44.080 + So obviously, I have a three dimensional map of this cup. + +55:44.080 --> 55:46.080 + Maybe it's even more than that, I don't know. + +55:46.080 --> 55:48.080 + But it's a clearly three dimensional map of the cup. + +55:48.080 --> 55:50.080 + I don't just have a projection of the cup. + +55:50.080 --> 55:52.080 + But when I think about birds, + +55:52.080 --> 55:53.080 + or when I think about mathematics, + +55:53.080 --> 55:55.080 + perhaps it's more than three dimensions. + +55:55.080 --> 55:56.080 + Who knows? + +55:56.080 --> 56:00.080 + So in terms of each individual column + +56:00.080 --> 56:04.080 + building up more and more information over time, + +56:04.080 --> 56:06.080 + do you think that mechanism is well understood? + +56:06.080 --> 56:10.080 + In your mind, you've proposed a lot of architectures there. + +56:10.080 --> 56:14.080 + Is that a key piece, or is it, is the big piece, + +56:14.080 --> 56:16.080 + the thousand brain theory of intelligence, + +56:16.080 --> 56:18.080 + the ensemble of it all? + +56:18.080 --> 56:19.080 + Well, I think they're both big. + +56:19.080 --> 56:21.080 + I mean, clearly the concept, as a theorist, + +56:21.080 --> 56:23.080 + the concept is most exciting, right? + +56:23.080 --> 56:24.080 + A high level concept. + +56:24.080 --> 56:25.080 + A high level concept. + +56:25.080 --> 56:26.080 + This is a totally new way of thinking about + +56:26.080 --> 56:27.080 + how the near characteristics work. + +56:27.080 --> 56:29.080 + So that is appealing. + +56:29.080 --> 56:31.080 + It has all these ramifications. + +56:31.080 --> 56:34.080 + And with that, as a framework for how the brain works, + +56:34.080 --> 56:35.080 + you can make all kinds of predictions + +56:35.080 --> 56:36.080 + and solve all kinds of problems. + +56:36.080 --> 56:38.080 + Now we're trying to work through many of these details right now. + +56:38.080 --> 56:40.080 + Okay, how do the neurons actually do this? + +56:40.080 --> 56:42.080 + Well, it turns out, if you think about grid cells + +56:42.080 --> 56:44.080 + and place cells in the old parts of the brain, + +56:44.080 --> 56:46.080 + there's a lot that's known about them, + +56:46.080 --> 56:47.080 + but there's still some mysteries. + +56:47.080 --> 56:49.080 + There's a lot of debate about exactly the details, + +56:49.080 --> 56:50.080 + how these work, and what are the signs. + +56:50.080 --> 56:52.080 + And we have that same level of detail, + +56:52.080 --> 56:54.080 + that same level of concern. + +56:54.080 --> 56:56.080 + What we spend here, most of our time doing, + +56:56.080 --> 56:59.080 + is trying to make a very good list + +56:59.080 --> 57:02.080 + of the things we don't understand yet. + +57:02.080 --> 57:04.080 + That's the key part here. + +57:04.080 --> 57:05.080 + What are the constraints? + +57:05.080 --> 57:07.080 + It's not like, oh, this seems to work, we're done. + +57:07.080 --> 57:09.080 + It's like, okay, it kind of works, + +57:09.080 --> 57:11.080 + but these are other things we know it has to do, + +57:11.080 --> 57:13.080 + and it's not doing those yet. + +57:13.080 --> 57:15.080 + I would say we're well on the way here. + +57:15.080 --> 57:17.080 + We're not done yet. + +57:17.080 --> 57:20.080 + There's a lot of trickiness to this system, + +57:20.080 --> 57:23.080 + but the basic principles about how different layers + +57:23.080 --> 57:27.080 + in the neocortex are doing much of this, we understand. + +57:27.080 --> 57:29.080 + But there's some fundamental parts + +57:29.080 --> 57:30.080 + that we don't understand as well. + +57:30.080 --> 57:34.080 + So what would you say is one of the harder open problems, + +57:34.080 --> 57:37.080 + or one of the ones that have been bothering you, + +57:37.080 --> 57:39.080 + keeping you up at night the most? + +57:39.080 --> 57:41.080 + Well, right now, this is a detailed thing + +57:41.080 --> 57:43.080 + that wouldn't apply to most people, okay? + +57:43.080 --> 57:44.080 + Sure. + +57:44.080 --> 57:45.080 + But you want me to answer that question? + +57:45.080 --> 57:46.080 + Yeah, please. + +57:46.080 --> 57:49.080 + We've talked about, as if, oh, to predict + +57:49.080 --> 57:51.080 + what you're going to sense on this coffee cup, + +57:51.080 --> 57:54.080 + I need to know where my finger's going to be on the coffee cup. + +57:54.080 --> 57:56.080 + That is true, but it's insufficient. + +57:56.080 --> 57:59.080 + Think about my finger touching the edge of the coffee cup. + +57:59.080 --> 58:02.080 + My finger can touch it at different orientations. + +58:02.080 --> 58:05.080 + I can touch it at my finger around here. + +58:05.080 --> 58:06.080 + And that doesn't change. + +58:06.080 --> 58:09.080 + I can make that prediction, and somehow, + +58:09.080 --> 58:10.080 + so it's not just the location. + +58:10.080 --> 58:13.080 + There's an orientation component of this as well. + +58:13.080 --> 58:15.080 + This is known in the old part of the brain, too. + +58:15.080 --> 58:17.080 + There's things called head direction cells, + +58:17.080 --> 58:18.080 + which way the rat is facing. + +58:18.080 --> 58:20.080 + It's the same kind of basic idea. + +58:20.080 --> 58:23.080 + So if my finger were a rat, you know, in three dimensions, + +58:23.080 --> 58:25.080 + I have a three dimensional orientation, + +58:25.080 --> 58:27.080 + and I have a three dimensional location. + +58:27.080 --> 58:29.080 + If I was a rat, I would have a, + +58:29.080 --> 58:31.080 + I think it was a two dimensional location, + +58:31.080 --> 58:33.080 + or one dimensional orientation, like this, + +58:33.080 --> 58:35.080 + which way is it facing? + +58:35.080 --> 58:38.080 + So how the two components work together, + +58:38.080 --> 58:41.080 + how does it, I combine orientation, + +58:41.080 --> 58:43.080 + the orientation of my sensor, + +58:43.080 --> 58:47.080 + as well as the location, + +58:47.080 --> 58:49.080 + is a tricky problem. + +58:49.080 --> 58:52.080 + And I think I've made progress on it. + +58:52.080 --> 58:55.080 + So at a bigger version of that, + +58:55.080 --> 58:57.080 + the perspective is super interesting, + +58:57.080 --> 58:58.080 + but super specific. + +58:58.080 --> 58:59.080 + Yeah, I warned you. + +58:59.080 --> 59:01.080 + No, no, no, it's really good, + +59:01.080 --> 59:04.080 + but there's a more general version of that. + +59:04.080 --> 59:06.080 + Do you think context matters? + +59:06.080 --> 59:10.080 + The fact that we are in a building in North America, + +59:10.080 --> 59:15.080 + that we, in the day and age where we have mugs, + +59:15.080 --> 59:18.080 + I mean, there's all this extra information + +59:18.080 --> 59:22.080 + that you bring to the table about everything else in the room + +59:22.080 --> 59:24.080 + that's outside of just the coffee cup. + +59:24.080 --> 59:25.080 + Of course it is. + +59:25.080 --> 59:27.080 + How does it get connected, do you think? + +59:27.080 --> 59:30.080 + Yeah, and that is another really interesting question. + +59:30.080 --> 59:32.080 + I'm going to throw that under the rubric + +59:32.080 --> 59:34.080 + or the name of attentional problems. + +59:34.080 --> 59:36.080 + First of all, we have this model. + +59:36.080 --> 59:37.080 + I have many, many models. + +59:37.080 --> 59:39.080 + And also the question, does it matter? + +59:39.080 --> 59:41.080 + Well, it matters for certain things. + +59:41.080 --> 59:42.080 + Of course it does. + +59:42.080 --> 59:44.080 + Maybe what we think about as a coffee cup + +59:44.080 --> 59:47.080 + in another part of the world is viewed as something completely different. + +59:47.080 --> 59:51.080 + Or maybe our logo, which is very benign in this part of the world, + +59:51.080 --> 59:53.080 + it means something very different in another part of the world. + +59:53.080 --> 59:56.080 + So those things do matter. + +59:56.080 --> 1:00:00.080 + I think the way to think about it as the following, + +1:00:00.080 --> 1:00:01.080 + one way to think about it, + +1:00:01.080 --> 1:00:03.080 + is we have all these models of the world. + +1:00:03.080 --> 1:00:06.080 + And we model everything. + +1:00:06.080 --> 1:00:08.080 + And as I said earlier, I kind of snuck it in there. + +1:00:08.080 --> 1:00:12.080 + Our models are actually, we build composite structures. + +1:00:12.080 --> 1:00:15.080 + So every object is composed of other objects, + +1:00:15.080 --> 1:00:16.080 + which are composed of other objects, + +1:00:16.080 --> 1:00:18.080 + and they become members of other objects. + +1:00:18.080 --> 1:00:21.080 + So this room is chairs and a table and a room and walls and so on. + +1:00:21.080 --> 1:00:24.080 + Now we can just arrange these things in a certain way. + +1:00:24.080 --> 1:00:27.080 + And you go, oh, that's in the Nementa conference room. + +1:00:27.080 --> 1:00:32.080 + So, and what we do is when we go around the world, + +1:00:32.080 --> 1:00:34.080 + when we experience the world, + +1:00:34.080 --> 1:00:36.080 + by walking to a room, for example, + +1:00:36.080 --> 1:00:38.080 + the first thing I do is like, oh, I'm in this room. + +1:00:38.080 --> 1:00:39.080 + Do I recognize the room? + +1:00:39.080 --> 1:00:42.080 + Then I can say, oh, look, there's a table here. + +1:00:42.080 --> 1:00:44.080 + And by attending to the table, + +1:00:44.080 --> 1:00:46.080 + I'm then assigning this table in a context of the room. + +1:00:46.080 --> 1:00:48.080 + Then I say, oh, on the table, there's a coffee cup. + +1:00:48.080 --> 1:00:50.080 + Oh, and on the table, there's a logo. + +1:00:50.080 --> 1:00:52.080 + And in the logo, there's the word Nementa. + +1:00:52.080 --> 1:00:54.080 + So if you look in the logo, there's the letter E. + +1:00:54.080 --> 1:00:56.080 + And look, it has an unusual surf. + +1:00:56.080 --> 1:00:59.080 + It doesn't actually, but I pretend it does. + +1:00:59.080 --> 1:01:05.080 + So the point is your attention is kind of drilling deep in and out + +1:01:05.080 --> 1:01:07.080 + of these nested structures. + +1:01:07.080 --> 1:01:09.080 + And I can pop back up and I can pop back down. + +1:01:09.080 --> 1:01:11.080 + I can pop back up and I can pop back down. + +1:01:11.080 --> 1:01:13.080 + So when I attend to the coffee cup, + +1:01:13.080 --> 1:01:15.080 + I haven't lost the context of everything else, + +1:01:15.080 --> 1:01:19.080 + but it's sort of, there's this sort of nested structure. + +1:01:19.080 --> 1:01:22.080 + The attention filters the reference frame formation + +1:01:22.080 --> 1:01:24.080 + for that particular period of time. + +1:01:24.080 --> 1:01:25.080 + Yes. + +1:01:25.080 --> 1:01:28.080 + It basically, a moment to moment, you attend the subcomponents + +1:01:28.080 --> 1:01:30.080 + and then you can attend the subcomponents to subcomponents. + +1:01:30.080 --> 1:01:31.080 + You can move up and down. + +1:01:31.080 --> 1:01:32.080 + You can move up and down. + +1:01:32.080 --> 1:01:33.080 + We do that all the time. + +1:01:33.080 --> 1:01:35.080 + You're not even, now that I'm aware of it, + +1:01:35.080 --> 1:01:37.080 + I'm very conscious of it. + +1:01:37.080 --> 1:01:40.080 + But most people don't even think about this. + +1:01:40.080 --> 1:01:42.080 + You know, you just walk in a room and you don't say, + +1:01:42.080 --> 1:01:43.080 + oh, I looked at the chair and I looked at the board + +1:01:43.080 --> 1:01:44.080 + and looked at that word on the board + +1:01:44.080 --> 1:01:45.080 + and I looked over here. + +1:01:45.080 --> 1:01:46.080 + What's going on? + +1:01:46.080 --> 1:01:47.080 + Right. + +1:01:47.080 --> 1:01:50.080 + So what percentage of your day are you deeply aware of this? + +1:01:50.080 --> 1:01:53.080 + In what part can you actually relax and just be Jeff? + +1:01:53.080 --> 1:01:55.080 + Me personally, like my personal day. + +1:01:55.080 --> 1:01:56.080 + Yeah. + +1:01:56.080 --> 1:02:01.080 + Unfortunately, I'm afflicted with too much of the former. + +1:02:01.080 --> 1:02:03.080 + Well, unfortunately or unfortunately. + +1:02:03.080 --> 1:02:04.080 + Yeah. + +1:02:04.080 --> 1:02:05.080 + You don't think it's useful? + +1:02:05.080 --> 1:02:06.080 + Oh, it is useful. + +1:02:06.080 --> 1:02:07.080 + Totally useful. + +1:02:07.080 --> 1:02:09.080 + I think about this stuff almost all the time. + +1:02:09.080 --> 1:02:13.080 + And one of my primary ways of thinking is + +1:02:13.080 --> 1:02:14.080 + when I'm asleep at night, + +1:02:14.080 --> 1:02:16.080 + I always wake up in the middle of the night + +1:02:16.080 --> 1:02:19.080 + and I stay awake for at least an hour with my eyes shut + +1:02:19.080 --> 1:02:21.080 + in sort of a half sleep state thinking about these things. + +1:02:21.080 --> 1:02:23.080 + I come up with answers to problems very often + +1:02:23.080 --> 1:02:25.080 + in that sort of half sleeping state. + +1:02:25.080 --> 1:02:27.080 + I think about on my bike ride, I think about on walks. + +1:02:27.080 --> 1:02:29.080 + I'm just constantly thinking about this. + +1:02:29.080 --> 1:02:34.080 + I have to almost schedule time to not think about this stuff + +1:02:34.080 --> 1:02:37.080 + because it's very, it's mentally taxing. + +1:02:37.080 --> 1:02:39.080 + Are you, when you're thinking about this stuff, + +1:02:39.080 --> 1:02:41.080 + are you thinking introspectively, + +1:02:41.080 --> 1:02:43.080 + like almost taking a step outside of yourself + +1:02:43.080 --> 1:02:45.080 + and trying to figure out what is your mind doing right now? + +1:02:45.080 --> 1:02:48.080 + I do that all the time, but that's not all I do. + +1:02:48.080 --> 1:02:50.080 + I'm constantly observing myself. + +1:02:50.080 --> 1:02:52.080 + So as soon as I started thinking about grid cells, + +1:02:52.080 --> 1:02:54.080 + for example, and getting into that, + +1:02:54.080 --> 1:02:57.080 + I started saying, oh, well, grid cells can have my place of sense + +1:02:57.080 --> 1:02:58.080 + in the world. + +1:02:58.080 --> 1:02:59.080 + That's where you know where you are. + +1:02:59.080 --> 1:03:01.080 + And it's interesting, we always have a sense of where we are + +1:03:01.080 --> 1:03:02.080 + unless we're lost. + +1:03:02.080 --> 1:03:05.080 + And so I started at night when I got up to go to the bathroom, + +1:03:05.080 --> 1:03:07.080 + I would start trying to do it completely with my eyes closed + +1:03:07.080 --> 1:03:09.080 + all the time and I would test my sense of grid cells. + +1:03:09.080 --> 1:03:13.080 + I would walk five feet and say, okay, I think I'm here. + +1:03:13.080 --> 1:03:14.080 + Am I really there? + +1:03:14.080 --> 1:03:15.080 + What's my error? + +1:03:15.080 --> 1:03:17.080 + And then I would calculate my error again and see how the errors + +1:03:17.080 --> 1:03:18.080 + accumulate. + +1:03:18.080 --> 1:03:20.080 + So even something as simple as getting up in the middle of the + +1:03:20.080 --> 1:03:22.080 + night to go to the bathroom, I'm testing these theories out. + +1:03:22.080 --> 1:03:23.080 + It's kind of fun. + +1:03:23.080 --> 1:03:25.080 + I mean, the coffee cup is an example of that too. + +1:03:25.080 --> 1:03:30.080 + So I think I find that these sort of everyday introspections + +1:03:30.080 --> 1:03:32.080 + are actually quite helpful. + +1:03:32.080 --> 1:03:34.080 + It doesn't mean you can ignore the science. + +1:03:34.080 --> 1:03:38.080 + I mean, I spend hours every day reading ridiculously complex + +1:03:38.080 --> 1:03:39.080 + papers. + +1:03:39.080 --> 1:03:41.080 + That's not nearly as much fun, + +1:03:41.080 --> 1:03:44.080 + but you have to sort of build up those constraints and the knowledge + +1:03:44.080 --> 1:03:47.080 + about the field and who's doing what and what exactly they think + +1:03:47.080 --> 1:03:48.080 + is happening here. + +1:03:48.080 --> 1:03:51.080 + And then you can sit back and say, okay, let's try to have pieces + +1:03:51.080 --> 1:03:52.080 + all together. + +1:03:52.080 --> 1:03:56.080 + Let's come up with some, you know, I'm very in this group here + +1:03:56.080 --> 1:03:58.080 + and people, they know they do this. + +1:03:58.080 --> 1:03:59.080 + I do this all the time. + +1:03:59.080 --> 1:04:01.080 + I come in with these introspective ideas and say, well, + +1:04:01.080 --> 1:04:02.080 + there we ever thought about this. + +1:04:02.080 --> 1:04:04.080 + Now watch, well, let's all do this together. + +1:04:04.080 --> 1:04:06.080 + And it's helpful. + +1:04:06.080 --> 1:04:10.080 + It's not, as long as you don't, if all you did was that, + +1:04:10.080 --> 1:04:12.080 + then you're just making up stuff, right? + +1:04:12.080 --> 1:04:15.080 + But if you're constraining it by the reality of the neuroscience, + +1:04:15.080 --> 1:04:17.080 + then it's really helpful. + +1:04:17.080 --> 1:04:22.080 + So let's talk a little bit about deep learning and the successes + +1:04:22.080 --> 1:04:28.080 + in the applied space of neural networks, ideas of training model + +1:04:28.080 --> 1:04:31.080 + on data and these simple computational units, + +1:04:31.080 --> 1:04:37.080 + artificial neurons that with back propagation have statistical + +1:04:37.080 --> 1:04:42.080 + ways of being able to generalize from the training set on to + +1:04:42.080 --> 1:04:44.080 + data that similar to that training set. + +1:04:44.080 --> 1:04:48.080 + So where do you think are the limitations of those approaches? + +1:04:48.080 --> 1:04:52.080 + What do you think are strengths relative to your major efforts + +1:04:52.080 --> 1:04:55.080 + of constructing a theory of human intelligence? + +1:04:55.080 --> 1:04:56.080 + Yeah. + +1:04:56.080 --> 1:04:58.080 + Well, I'm not an expert in this field. + +1:04:58.080 --> 1:04:59.080 + I'm somewhat knowledgeable. + +1:04:59.080 --> 1:05:00.080 + So, but I'm not. + +1:05:00.080 --> 1:05:02.080 + A little bit in just your intuition. + +1:05:02.080 --> 1:05:04.080 + Well, I have a little bit more than intuition, + +1:05:04.080 --> 1:05:07.080 + but I just want to say like, you know, one of the things that you asked me, + +1:05:07.080 --> 1:05:09.080 + do I spend all my time thinking about neuroscience? + +1:05:09.080 --> 1:05:10.080 + I do. + +1:05:10.080 --> 1:05:12.080 + That's to the exclusion of thinking about things like convolutional neural + +1:05:12.080 --> 1:05:13.080 + networks. + +1:05:13.080 --> 1:05:15.080 + But I try to stay current. + +1:05:15.080 --> 1:05:18.080 + So look, I think it's great the progress they've made. + +1:05:18.080 --> 1:05:19.080 + It's fantastic. + +1:05:19.080 --> 1:05:23.080 + And as I mentioned earlier, it's very highly useful for many things. + +1:05:23.080 --> 1:05:27.080 + The models that we have today are actually derived from a lot of + +1:05:27.080 --> 1:05:28.080 + neuroscience principles. + +1:05:28.080 --> 1:05:31.080 + They are distributed processing systems and distributed memory systems, + +1:05:31.080 --> 1:05:33.080 + and that's how the brain works. + +1:05:33.080 --> 1:05:36.080 + And they use things that we might call them neurons, + +1:05:36.080 --> 1:05:37.080 + but they're really not neurons at all. + +1:05:37.080 --> 1:05:39.080 + So we can just, they're not really neurons. + +1:05:39.080 --> 1:05:42.080 + So they're distributed processing systems. + +1:05:42.080 --> 1:05:47.080 + And nature of hierarchy that came also from neuroscience. + +1:05:47.080 --> 1:05:50.080 + And so there's a lot of things, the learning rules, basically, + +1:05:50.080 --> 1:05:52.080 + not backprop, but other, you know, sort of heavy entire learning. + +1:05:52.080 --> 1:05:55.080 + I'll be curious to say they're not neurons at all. + +1:05:55.080 --> 1:05:56.080 + Can you describe in which way? + +1:05:56.080 --> 1:06:00.080 + I mean, some of it is obvious, but I'd be curious if you have specific + +1:06:00.080 --> 1:06:02.080 + ways in which you think are the biggest differences. + +1:06:02.080 --> 1:06:06.080 + Yeah, we had a paper in 2016 called Why Neurons of Thousands of Synapses. + +1:06:06.080 --> 1:06:11.080 + And if you read that paper, you'll know what I'm talking about here. + +1:06:11.080 --> 1:06:14.080 + A real neuron in the brain is a complex thing. + +1:06:14.080 --> 1:06:18.080 + Let's just start with the synapses on it, which is a connection between neurons. + +1:06:18.080 --> 1:06:24.080 + Real neurons can everywhere from five to 30,000 synapses on them. + +1:06:24.080 --> 1:06:30.080 + The ones near the cell body, the ones that are close to the soma, the cell body, + +1:06:30.080 --> 1:06:33.080 + those are like the ones that people model in artificial neurons. + +1:06:33.080 --> 1:06:35.080 + There's a few hundred of those. + +1:06:35.080 --> 1:06:37.080 + Maybe they can affect the cell. + +1:06:37.080 --> 1:06:39.080 + They can make the cell become active. + +1:06:39.080 --> 1:06:43.080 + 95% of the synapses can't do that. + +1:06:43.080 --> 1:06:44.080 + They're too far away. + +1:06:44.080 --> 1:06:47.080 + So if you activate one of those synapses, it just doesn't affect the cell body + +1:06:47.080 --> 1:06:49.080 + enough to make any difference. + +1:06:49.080 --> 1:06:50.080 + Any one of them individually. + +1:06:50.080 --> 1:06:53.080 + Any one of them individually, or even if you do a mass of them. + +1:06:53.080 --> 1:06:57.080 + What real neurons do is the following. + +1:06:57.080 --> 1:07:04.080 + If you activate, or you get 10 to 20 of them active at the same time, + +1:07:04.080 --> 1:07:06.080 + meaning they're all receiving an input at the same time, + +1:07:06.080 --> 1:07:10.080 + and those 10 to 20 synapses or 40 synapses are within a very short distance + +1:07:10.080 --> 1:07:13.080 + on the dendrite, like 40 microns, a very small area. + +1:07:13.080 --> 1:07:17.080 + So if you activate a bunch of these right next to each other at some distant place, + +1:07:17.080 --> 1:07:21.080 + what happens is it creates what's called the dendritic spike. + +1:07:21.080 --> 1:07:24.080 + And dendritic spike travels through the dendrites + +1:07:24.080 --> 1:07:27.080 + and can reach the soma or the cell body. + +1:07:27.080 --> 1:07:31.080 + Now, when it gets there, it changes the voltage, + +1:07:31.080 --> 1:07:33.080 + which is sort of like going to make the cell fire, + +1:07:33.080 --> 1:07:35.080 + but never enough to make the cell fire. + +1:07:35.080 --> 1:07:38.080 + It's sort of what we call, it says we depolarize the cell. + +1:07:38.080 --> 1:07:41.080 + You raise the voltage a little bit, but not enough to do anything. + +1:07:41.080 --> 1:07:42.080 + It's like, well, what good is that? + +1:07:42.080 --> 1:07:44.080 + And then it goes back down again. + +1:07:44.080 --> 1:07:50.080 + So we proposed a theory, which I'm very confident in basics are, + +1:07:50.080 --> 1:07:54.080 + is that what's happening there is those 95% of the synapses + +1:07:54.080 --> 1:07:58.080 + are recognizing dozens to hundreds of unique patterns. + +1:07:58.080 --> 1:08:01.080 + They can write, you know, about 10, 20 synapses at a time, + +1:08:01.080 --> 1:08:04.080 + and they're acting like predictions. + +1:08:04.080 --> 1:08:07.080 + So the neuron actually is a predictive engine on its own. + +1:08:07.080 --> 1:08:11.080 + It can fire when it gets enough, what they call proximal input from those ones + +1:08:11.080 --> 1:08:15.080 + near the cell fire, but it can get ready to fire from dozens to hundreds + +1:08:15.080 --> 1:08:17.080 + of patterns that it recognizes from the other guys. + +1:08:17.080 --> 1:08:22.080 + And the advantage of this to the neuron is that when it actually does produce + +1:08:22.080 --> 1:08:27.080 + a spike in action potential, it does so slightly sooner than it would have otherwise. + +1:08:27.080 --> 1:08:29.080 + And so what could just slightly sooner? + +1:08:29.080 --> 1:08:33.080 + Well, the slightly sooner part is it, there's all the neurons in the, + +1:08:33.080 --> 1:08:36.080 + the excited throwing neurons in the brain are surrounded by these inhibitory neurons, + +1:08:36.080 --> 1:08:40.080 + and they're very fast, the inhibitory neurons, these baskets all. + +1:08:40.080 --> 1:08:44.080 + And if I get my spike out a little bit sooner than someone else, + +1:08:44.080 --> 1:08:46.080 + I inhibit all my neighbors around me, right? + +1:08:46.080 --> 1:08:49.080 + And what you end up with is a different representation. + +1:08:49.080 --> 1:08:52.080 + You end up with a representation that matches your prediction. + +1:08:52.080 --> 1:08:55.080 + It's a sparser representation, meaning fewer neurons are active, + +1:08:55.080 --> 1:08:57.080 + but it's much more specific. + +1:08:57.080 --> 1:09:04.080 + And so we showed how networks of these neurons can do very sophisticated temporal prediction, basically. + +1:09:04.080 --> 1:09:10.080 + So this summarizes real neurons in the brain are time based prediction engines, + +1:09:10.080 --> 1:09:17.080 + and there's no concept of this at all in artificial, what we call point neurons. + +1:09:17.080 --> 1:09:19.080 + I don't think you can mail the brain without them. + +1:09:19.080 --> 1:09:25.080 + I don't think you can build intelligence without them because it's where a large part of the time comes from. + +1:09:25.080 --> 1:09:31.080 + These are predictive models and the time is, there's a prior prediction and an action, + +1:09:31.080 --> 1:09:34.080 + and it's inherent through every neuron in the neocortex. + +1:09:34.080 --> 1:09:38.080 + So I would say that point neurons sort of model a piece of that, + +1:09:38.080 --> 1:09:45.080 + and not very well at that either, but, you know, like, for example, synapses are very unreliable, + +1:09:45.080 --> 1:09:49.080 + and you cannot assign any precision to them. + +1:09:49.080 --> 1:09:52.080 + So even one digit of precision is not possible. + +1:09:52.080 --> 1:09:57.080 + So the way real neurons work is they don't add these, they don't change these weights accurately, + +1:09:57.080 --> 1:09:59.080 + like artificial neural networks do. + +1:09:59.080 --> 1:10:03.080 + They basically form new synapses, and so what you're trying to always do is + +1:10:03.080 --> 1:10:09.080 + detect the presence of some 10 to 20 active synapses at the same time as opposed, + +1:10:09.080 --> 1:10:11.080 + and they're almost binary. + +1:10:11.080 --> 1:10:14.080 + It's like, because you can't really represent anything much finer than that. + +1:10:14.080 --> 1:10:18.080 + So these are the kind of, and I think that's actually another essential component + +1:10:18.080 --> 1:10:24.080 + because the brain works on sparse patterns, and all that mechanism is based on sparse patterns, + +1:10:24.080 --> 1:10:28.080 + and I don't actually think you could build real brains or machine intelligence + +1:10:28.080 --> 1:10:30.080 + without incorporating some of those ideas. + +1:10:30.080 --> 1:10:34.080 + It's hard to even think about the complexity that emerges from the fact that + +1:10:34.080 --> 1:10:40.080 + the timing of the firing matters in the brain, the fact that you form new synapses, + +1:10:40.080 --> 1:10:44.080 + and everything you just mentioned in the past couple minutes. + +1:10:44.080 --> 1:10:47.080 + Trust me, if you spend time on it, you can get your mind around it. + +1:10:47.080 --> 1:10:49.080 + It's not like it's no longer a mystery to me. + +1:10:49.080 --> 1:10:53.080 + No, but sorry, as a function in a mathematical way, + +1:10:53.080 --> 1:10:58.080 + can you start getting an intuition about what gets it excited, what not, + +1:10:58.080 --> 1:11:00.080 + and what kind of representation? + +1:11:00.080 --> 1:11:04.080 + Yeah, it's not as easy as there are many other types of neural networks + +1:11:04.080 --> 1:11:10.080 + that are more amenable to pure analysis, especially very simple networks. + +1:11:10.080 --> 1:11:12.080 + You know, oh, I have four neurons, and they're doing this. + +1:11:12.080 --> 1:11:16.080 + Can we describe them mathematically what they're doing type of thing? + +1:11:16.080 --> 1:11:19.080 + Even the complexity of convolutional neural networks today, + +1:11:19.080 --> 1:11:23.080 + it's sort of a mystery. They can't really describe the whole system. + +1:11:23.080 --> 1:11:25.080 + And so it's different. + +1:11:25.080 --> 1:11:31.080 + My colleague, Subitain Ahmad, he did a nice paper on this. + +1:11:31.080 --> 1:11:34.080 + You can get all the stuff on our website if you're interested. + +1:11:34.080 --> 1:11:38.080 + Talking about sort of mathematical properties of sparse representations, + +1:11:38.080 --> 1:11:42.080 + and so what we can do is we can show mathematically, for example, + +1:11:42.080 --> 1:11:46.080 + why 10 to 20 synapses to recognize a pattern is the correct number, + +1:11:46.080 --> 1:11:48.080 + is the right number you'd want to use. + +1:11:48.080 --> 1:11:50.080 + And by the way, that matches biology. + +1:11:50.080 --> 1:11:55.080 + We can show mathematically some of these concepts about the show + +1:11:55.080 --> 1:12:01.080 + why the brain is so robust to noise and error and fallout and so on. + +1:12:01.080 --> 1:12:05.080 + We can show that mathematically as well as empirically in simulations. + +1:12:05.080 --> 1:12:08.080 + But the system can't be analyzed completely. + +1:12:08.080 --> 1:12:12.080 + Any complex system can, and so that's out of the realm. + +1:12:12.080 --> 1:12:19.080 + But there is mathematical benefits and intuitions that can be derived from mathematics. + +1:12:19.080 --> 1:12:21.080 + And we try to do that as well. + +1:12:21.080 --> 1:12:23.080 + Most of our papers have a section about that. + +1:12:23.080 --> 1:12:28.080 + So I think it's refreshing and useful for me to be talking to you about deep neural networks, + +1:12:28.080 --> 1:12:36.080 + because your intuition basically says that we can't achieve anything like intelligence with artificial neural networks. + +1:12:36.080 --> 1:12:37.080 + Well, not in the current form. + +1:12:37.080 --> 1:12:38.080 + Not in the current form. + +1:12:38.080 --> 1:12:40.080 + I'm sure we can do it in the ultimate form, sure. + +1:12:40.080 --> 1:12:43.080 + So let me dig into it and see what your thoughts are there a little bit. + +1:12:43.080 --> 1:12:49.080 + So I'm not sure if you read this little blog post called Bitter Lesson by Rich Sutton recently. + +1:12:49.080 --> 1:12:51.080 + He's a reinforcement learning pioneer. + +1:12:51.080 --> 1:12:53.080 + I'm not sure if you're familiar with him. + +1:12:53.080 --> 1:13:02.080 + His basic idea is that all the stuff we've done in AI in the past 70 years, he's one of the old school guys. + +1:13:02.080 --> 1:13:10.080 + The biggest lesson learned is that all the tricky things we've done don't, you know, they benefit in the short term. + +1:13:10.080 --> 1:13:20.080 + But in the long term, what wins out is a simple general method that just relies on Moore's law on computation getting faster and faster. + +1:13:20.080 --> 1:13:21.080 + This is what he's saying. + +1:13:21.080 --> 1:13:23.080 + This is what has worked up to now. + +1:13:23.080 --> 1:13:25.080 + This is what has worked up to now. + +1:13:25.080 --> 1:13:31.080 + If you're trying to build a system, if we're talking about, he's not concerned about intelligence. + +1:13:31.080 --> 1:13:38.080 + He's concerned about a system that works in terms of making predictions on applied, narrow AI problems. + +1:13:38.080 --> 1:13:41.080 + That's what the discussion is about. + +1:13:41.080 --> 1:13:50.080 + That you just try to go as general as possible and wait years or decades for the computation to make it actually possible. + +1:13:50.080 --> 1:13:54.080 + Is he saying that as a criticism or is he saying this is a prescription of what we ought to be doing? + +1:13:54.080 --> 1:13:55.080 + Well, it's very difficult. + +1:13:55.080 --> 1:13:57.080 + He's saying this is what has worked. + +1:13:57.080 --> 1:14:03.080 + And yes, a prescription, but it's a difficult prescription because it says all the fun things you guys are trying to do. + +1:14:03.080 --> 1:14:05.080 + We are trying to do. + +1:14:05.080 --> 1:14:07.080 + He's part of the community. + +1:14:07.080 --> 1:14:11.080 + He's saying it's only going to be short term gains. + +1:14:11.080 --> 1:14:19.080 + This all leads up to a question, I guess, on artificial neural networks and maybe our own biological neural networks. + +1:14:19.080 --> 1:14:24.080 + Do you think if we just scale things up significantly? + +1:14:24.080 --> 1:14:28.080 + Take these dumb artificial neurons, the point neurons. + +1:14:28.080 --> 1:14:30.080 + I like that term. + +1:14:30.080 --> 1:14:36.080 + If we just have a lot more of them, do you think some of the elements that we see in the brain + +1:14:36.080 --> 1:14:38.080 + may start emerging? + +1:14:38.080 --> 1:14:39.080 + No, I don't think so. + +1:14:39.080 --> 1:14:43.080 + We can do bigger problems of the same type. + +1:14:43.080 --> 1:14:50.080 + I mean, it's been pointed out by many people that today's convolutional neural networks aren't really much different than the ones we had quite a while ago. + +1:14:50.080 --> 1:14:56.080 + We just, they're bigger and train more and we have more labeled data and so on. + +1:14:56.080 --> 1:15:03.080 + But I don't think you can get to the kind of things I know the brain can do and that we think about as intelligence by just scaling it up. + +1:15:03.080 --> 1:15:12.080 + So that may be, it's a good description of what's happened in the past, what's happened recently with the reemergence of artificial neural networks. + +1:15:12.080 --> 1:15:17.080 + It may be a good prescription for what's going to happen in the short term. + +1:15:17.080 --> 1:15:19.080 + But I don't think that's the path. + +1:15:19.080 --> 1:15:20.080 + I've said that earlier. + +1:15:20.080 --> 1:15:21.080 + There's an alternate path. + +1:15:21.080 --> 1:15:29.080 + I should mention to you, by the way, that we've made sufficient progress on our, the whole cortical theory in the last few years. + +1:15:29.080 --> 1:15:40.080 + But last year, we decided to start actively pursuing how we get these ideas embedded into machine learning. + +1:15:40.080 --> 1:15:45.080 + That's, again, being led by my colleague, and he's more of a machine learning guy. + +1:15:45.080 --> 1:15:47.080 + I'm more of an neuroscience guy. + +1:15:47.080 --> 1:15:58.080 + So this is now our, I wouldn't say our focus, but it is now an equal focus here because we need to proselytize what we've learned. + +1:15:58.080 --> 1:16:03.080 + And we need to show how it's beneficial to the machine learning. + +1:16:03.080 --> 1:16:05.080 + So we're putting, we have a plan in place right now. + +1:16:05.080 --> 1:16:07.080 + In fact, we just did our first paper on this. + +1:16:07.080 --> 1:16:09.080 + I can tell you about that. + +1:16:09.080 --> 1:16:15.080 + But, you know, one of the reasons I want to talk to you is because I'm trying to get more people in the machine learning community to say, + +1:16:15.080 --> 1:16:17.080 + I need to learn about this stuff. + +1:16:17.080 --> 1:16:21.080 + And maybe we should just think about this a bit more about what we've learned about the brain. + +1:16:21.080 --> 1:16:23.080 + And what are those team, what have they done? + +1:16:23.080 --> 1:16:25.080 + Is that useful for us? + +1:16:25.080 --> 1:16:32.080 + Yeah, so is there elements of all the, the cortical theory that things we've been talking about that may be useful in the short term? + +1:16:32.080 --> 1:16:34.080 + Yes, in the short term, yes. + +1:16:34.080 --> 1:16:41.080 + This is the, sorry to interrupt, but the, the open question is it, it certainly feels from my perspective that in the long term, + +1:16:41.080 --> 1:16:44.080 + some of the ideas we've been talking about will be extremely useful. + +1:16:44.080 --> 1:16:46.080 + The question is whether in the short term. + +1:16:46.080 --> 1:16:51.080 + Well, this is a, always what we, I would call the entrepreneur's dilemma. + +1:16:51.080 --> 1:16:59.080 + You have this long term vision, oh, we're going to all be driving electric cars or we're all going to have computers or we're all going to whatever. + +1:16:59.080 --> 1:17:03.080 + And, and you're at some point in time and you say, I can see that long term vision. + +1:17:03.080 --> 1:17:04.080 + I'm sure it's going to happen. + +1:17:04.080 --> 1:17:07.080 + How do I get there without killing myself, you know, without going out of business? + +1:17:07.080 --> 1:17:09.080 + That's the challenge. + +1:17:09.080 --> 1:17:10.080 + That's the dilemma. + +1:17:10.080 --> 1:17:11.080 + That's the really difficult thing to do. + +1:17:11.080 --> 1:17:13.080 + So we're facing that right now. + +1:17:13.080 --> 1:17:17.080 + So ideally what you'd want to do is find some steps along the way that you can get there incrementally. + +1:17:17.080 --> 1:17:20.080 + You don't have to like throw it all out and start over again. + +1:17:20.080 --> 1:17:25.080 + The first thing that we've done is we focus on these sparse representations. + +1:17:25.080 --> 1:17:30.080 + So just in case you don't know what that means or some of the listeners don't know what that means. + +1:17:30.080 --> 1:17:37.080 + In the brain, if I have like 10,000 neurons, what you would see is maybe 2% of them active at a time. + +1:17:37.080 --> 1:17:41.080 + You don't see 50%, you don't see 30%, you might see 2%. + +1:17:41.080 --> 1:17:42.080 + And it's always like that. + +1:17:42.080 --> 1:17:44.080 + For any set of sensory inputs. + +1:17:44.080 --> 1:17:45.080 + It doesn't matter anything. + +1:17:45.080 --> 1:17:47.080 + It doesn't matter any part of the brain. + +1:17:47.080 --> 1:17:51.080 + But which neurons differs? + +1:17:51.080 --> 1:17:52.080 + Which neurons are active? + +1:17:52.080 --> 1:17:53.080 + Yeah. + +1:17:53.080 --> 1:17:54.080 + So let me put this. + +1:17:54.080 --> 1:17:56.080 + Let's say I take 10,000 neurons that are representing something. + +1:17:56.080 --> 1:17:58.080 + They're sitting there in a little block together. + +1:17:58.080 --> 1:18:00.080 + It's a teeny little block of neurons, 10,000 neurons. + +1:18:00.080 --> 1:18:01.080 + And they're representing a location. + +1:18:01.080 --> 1:18:02.080 + They're representing a cop. + +1:18:02.080 --> 1:18:04.080 + They're representing the input from my sensors. + +1:18:04.080 --> 1:18:05.080 + I don't know. + +1:18:05.080 --> 1:18:06.080 + It doesn't matter. + +1:18:06.080 --> 1:18:07.080 + It's representing something. + +1:18:07.080 --> 1:18:10.080 + The way the representations occur, it's always a sparse representation. + +1:18:10.080 --> 1:18:12.080 + Meaning it's a population code. + +1:18:12.080 --> 1:18:15.080 + So which 200 cells are active tells me what's going on. + +1:18:15.080 --> 1:18:18.080 + It's not individual cells aren't that important at all. + +1:18:18.080 --> 1:18:20.080 + It's the population code that matters. + +1:18:20.080 --> 1:18:23.080 + And when you have sparse population codes, + +1:18:23.080 --> 1:18:26.080 + then all kinds of beautiful properties come out of them. + +1:18:26.080 --> 1:18:29.080 + So the brain uses sparse population codes that we've written + +1:18:29.080 --> 1:18:32.080 + and described these benefits in some of our papers. + +1:18:32.080 --> 1:18:37.080 + So they give this tremendous robustness to the systems. + +1:18:37.080 --> 1:18:39.080 + You know, brains are incredibly robust. + +1:18:39.080 --> 1:18:42.080 + Neurons are dying all the time and spasming and synapses falling apart. + +1:18:42.080 --> 1:18:45.080 + And, you know, all the time and it keeps working. + +1:18:45.080 --> 1:18:52.080 + So what Subitai and Louise, one of our other engineers here have done, + +1:18:52.080 --> 1:18:56.080 + have shown that they're introducing sparseness into convolutional neural networks. + +1:18:56.080 --> 1:18:58.080 + Now other people are thinking along these lines, + +1:18:58.080 --> 1:19:00.080 + but we're going about it in a more principled way, I think. + +1:19:00.080 --> 1:19:06.080 + And we're showing that if you enforce sparseness throughout these convolutional neural networks, + +1:19:06.080 --> 1:19:13.080 + in both the sort of which neurons are active and the connections between them, + +1:19:13.080 --> 1:19:15.080 + that you get some very desirable properties. + +1:19:15.080 --> 1:19:20.080 + So one of the current hot topics in deep learning right now are these adversarial examples. + +1:19:20.080 --> 1:19:23.080 + So, you know, you give me any deep learning network + +1:19:23.080 --> 1:19:27.080 + and I can give you a picture that looks perfect and you're going to call it, you know, + +1:19:27.080 --> 1:19:30.080 + you're going to say the monkey is, you know, an airplane. + +1:19:30.080 --> 1:19:32.080 + So that's a problem. + +1:19:32.080 --> 1:19:36.080 + And DARPA just announced some big thing and we're trying to, you know, have some contests for this. + +1:19:36.080 --> 1:19:40.080 + But if you enforce sparse representations here, + +1:19:40.080 --> 1:19:41.080 + many of these problems go away. + +1:19:41.080 --> 1:19:45.080 + They're much more robust and they're not easy to fool. + +1:19:45.080 --> 1:19:48.080 + So we've already shown some of those results, + +1:19:48.080 --> 1:19:53.080 + just literally in January or February, just like last month we did that. + +1:19:53.080 --> 1:19:59.080 + And you can, I think it's on bioarchive right now or on iCry, you can read about it. + +1:19:59.080 --> 1:20:02.080 + But so that's like a baby step. + +1:20:02.080 --> 1:20:04.080 + Okay. That's a take something from the brain. + +1:20:04.080 --> 1:20:05.080 + We know, we know about sparseness. + +1:20:05.080 --> 1:20:06.080 + We know why it's important. + +1:20:06.080 --> 1:20:08.080 + We know what it gives the brain. + +1:20:08.080 --> 1:20:09.080 + So let's try to enforce that onto this. + +1:20:09.080 --> 1:20:12.080 + What's your intuition why sparsity leads to robustness? + +1:20:12.080 --> 1:20:14.080 + Because it feels like it would be less robust. + +1:20:14.080 --> 1:20:17.080 + Why would you feel the rest robust to you? + +1:20:17.080 --> 1:20:24.080 + So it, it just feels like if the fewer neurons are involved, + +1:20:24.080 --> 1:20:26.080 + the more fragile the representation. + +1:20:26.080 --> 1:20:28.080 + Yeah, but I didn't say there was lots of few. + +1:20:28.080 --> 1:20:30.080 + I said, let's say 200. + +1:20:30.080 --> 1:20:31.080 + That's a lot. + +1:20:31.080 --> 1:20:32.080 + There's still a lot. + +1:20:32.080 --> 1:20:33.080 + Yeah. + +1:20:33.080 --> 1:20:35.080 + So here's an intuition for it. + +1:20:35.080 --> 1:20:37.080 + This is a bit technical. + +1:20:37.080 --> 1:20:41.080 + So for, you know, for engineers, machine learning people this be easy, + +1:20:41.080 --> 1:20:44.080 + but God's listeners, maybe not. + +1:20:44.080 --> 1:20:46.080 + If you're trying to classify something, + +1:20:46.080 --> 1:20:50.080 + you're trying to divide some very high dimensional space into different pieces, A and B. + +1:20:50.080 --> 1:20:55.080 + And you're trying to create some point where you say all these points in this high dimensional space are A + +1:20:55.080 --> 1:20:57.080 + and all these points in this high dimensional space are B. + +1:20:57.080 --> 1:21:03.080 + And if you have points that are close to that line, it's not very robust. + +1:21:03.080 --> 1:21:07.080 + It works for all the points you know about, but it's, it's not very robust + +1:21:07.080 --> 1:21:10.080 + because you can just move a little bit and you've crossed over the line. + +1:21:10.080 --> 1:21:14.080 + When you have sparse representations, imagine I pick, I have, + +1:21:14.080 --> 1:21:18.080 + I'm going to pick 200 cells active out of, out of 10,000. + +1:21:18.080 --> 1:21:19.080 + Okay. + +1:21:19.080 --> 1:21:20.080 + So I have 200 cells active. + +1:21:20.080 --> 1:21:24.080 + Now let's say I pick randomly another, a different representation, 200. + +1:21:24.080 --> 1:21:27.080 + The overlap between those is going to be very small, just a few. + +1:21:27.080 --> 1:21:36.080 + I can pick millions of samples randomly of 200 neurons and not one of them will overlap more than just a few. + +1:21:36.080 --> 1:21:43.080 + So one way to think about it is if I want to fool one of these representations to look like one of those other representations, + +1:21:43.080 --> 1:21:46.080 + I can't move just one cell or two cells or three cells or four cells. + +1:21:46.080 --> 1:21:48.080 + I have to move 100 cells. + +1:21:48.080 --> 1:21:52.080 + And that makes them robust. + +1:21:52.080 --> 1:21:56.080 + In terms of further, so you mentioned sparsity. + +1:21:56.080 --> 1:21:57.080 + Will we be the next thing? + +1:21:57.080 --> 1:21:58.080 + Yeah. + +1:21:58.080 --> 1:21:59.080 + Okay. + +1:21:59.080 --> 1:22:00.080 + So we have, we picked one. + +1:22:00.080 --> 1:22:02.080 + We don't know if it's going to work well yet. + +1:22:02.080 --> 1:22:08.080 + So again, we're trying to come up incremental ways of moving from brain theory to add pieces to machine learning, + +1:22:08.080 --> 1:22:12.080 + current machine learning world in one step at a time. + +1:22:12.080 --> 1:22:20.080 + So the next thing we're going to try to do is, is sort of incorporate some of the ideas of the, the thousand brains theory that you have many, + +1:22:20.080 --> 1:22:22.080 + many models and that are voting. + +1:22:22.080 --> 1:22:23.080 + Now that idea is not new. + +1:22:23.080 --> 1:22:26.080 + There's a mixture of models that's been around for a long time. + +1:22:26.080 --> 1:22:29.080 + But the way the brain does it is a little different. + +1:22:29.080 --> 1:22:36.080 + And, and the way it votes is different and the kind of way it represents uncertainty is different. + +1:22:36.080 --> 1:22:43.080 + So we're just starting this work, but we're going to try to see if we can sort of incorporate some of the principles of voting + +1:22:43.080 --> 1:22:53.080 + or principles of a thousand brain theory, like lots of simple models that talk to each other in a, in a very certain way. + +1:22:53.080 --> 1:23:07.080 + And can we build more machines and systems that learn faster and, and also, well, mostly are multimodal and robust to multimodal type of issues. + +1:23:07.080 --> 1:23:15.080 + So one of the challenges there is, you know, the machine learning computer vision community has certain sets of benchmarks. + +1:23:15.080 --> 1:23:18.080 + So it's a test based on which they compete. + +1:23:18.080 --> 1:23:29.080 + And I would argue, especially from your perspective, that those benchmarks aren't that useful for testing the aspects that the brain is good at or intelligent. + +1:23:29.080 --> 1:23:31.080 + They're not really testing intelligence. + +1:23:31.080 --> 1:23:41.080 + They're very fine and has been extremely useful for developing specific mathematical models, but it's not useful in the long term for creating intelligence. + +1:23:41.080 --> 1:23:46.080 + So do you think you also have a role in proposing better tests? + +1:23:46.080 --> 1:23:50.080 + Yeah, this is a very, you've identified a very serious problem. + +1:23:50.080 --> 1:23:57.080 + First of all, the tests that they have are the tests that they want, not the tests of the other things that we're trying to do. + +1:23:57.080 --> 1:24:01.080 + Right. You know, what are the, so on. + +1:24:01.080 --> 1:24:10.080 + The second thing is sometimes these to be competitive in these tests, you have to have huge data sets and huge computing power. + +1:24:10.080 --> 1:24:13.080 + And so, you know, and we don't have that here. + +1:24:13.080 --> 1:24:18.080 + We don't have it as well as other big teams that big companies do. + +1:24:18.080 --> 1:24:20.080 + So there's numerous issues there. + +1:24:20.080 --> 1:24:26.080 + You know, we come at it, you know, we're our approach to this is all based on, in some sense, you might argue elegance. + +1:24:26.080 --> 1:24:30.080 + You know, we're coming at it from like a theoretical base that we think, oh my God, this is so clearly elegant. + +1:24:30.080 --> 1:24:31.080 + This is how brains work. + +1:24:31.080 --> 1:24:32.080 + This is what intelligence is. + +1:24:32.080 --> 1:24:35.080 + But the machine learning world has gotten in this phase where they think it doesn't matter. + +1:24:35.080 --> 1:24:39.080 + Doesn't matter what you think, as long as you do, you know, 0.1% better on this benchmark. + +1:24:39.080 --> 1:24:41.080 + That's what that's all that matters. + +1:24:41.080 --> 1:24:43.080 + And that's a problem. + +1:24:43.080 --> 1:24:46.080 + You know, we have to figure out how to get around that. + +1:24:46.080 --> 1:24:47.080 + That's a challenge for us. + +1:24:47.080 --> 1:24:50.080 + That's one of the challenges we have to deal with. + +1:24:50.080 --> 1:24:53.080 + So I agree you've identified a big issue. + +1:24:53.080 --> 1:24:55.080 + It's difficult for those reasons. + +1:24:55.080 --> 1:25:02.080 + But, you know, part of the reasons I'm talking to you here today is I hope I'm going to get some machine learning people to say, + +1:25:02.080 --> 1:25:03.080 + I'm going to read those papers. + +1:25:03.080 --> 1:25:04.080 + Those might be some interesting ideas. + +1:25:04.080 --> 1:25:08.080 + I'm tired of doing this 0.1% improvement stuff, you know. + +1:25:08.080 --> 1:25:21.080 + Well, that's why I'm here as well, because I think machine learning now as a community is at a place where the next step is needs to be orthogonal to what has received success in the past. + +1:25:21.080 --> 1:25:27.080 + You see other leaders saying this, machine learning leaders, you know, Jeff Hinton with his capsules idea. + +1:25:27.080 --> 1:25:33.080 + Many people have gotten up saying, you know, we're going to hit road, maybe we should look at the brain, you know, things like that. + +1:25:33.080 --> 1:25:37.080 + So hopefully that thinking will occur organically. + +1:25:37.080 --> 1:25:43.080 + And then we're in a nice position for people to come and look at our work and say, well, what can we learn from these guys? + +1:25:43.080 --> 1:25:49.080 + Yeah, MIT is just launching a billion dollar computing college that's centered around this idea. + +1:25:49.080 --> 1:25:51.080 + On this idea of what? + +1:25:51.080 --> 1:25:59.080 + Well, the idea that, you know, the humanities, psychology, neuroscience have to work all together to get to build the S. + +1:25:59.080 --> 1:26:02.080 + Yeah, I mean, Stanford just did this human center today, I think. + +1:26:02.080 --> 1:26:10.080 + I'm a little disappointed in these initiatives because, you know, they're focusing on sort of the human side of it, + +1:26:10.080 --> 1:26:17.080 + and it can very easily slip into how humans interact with intelligent machines, which is nothing wrong with that. + +1:26:17.080 --> 1:26:20.080 + But that's not, that is orthogonal to what we're trying to do. + +1:26:20.080 --> 1:26:22.080 + We're trying to say, like, what is the essence of intelligence? + +1:26:22.080 --> 1:26:23.080 + I don't care. + +1:26:23.080 --> 1:26:31.080 + In fact, I want to build intelligent machines that aren't emotional, that don't smile at you, that, you know, that aren't trying to tuck you in at night. + +1:26:31.080 --> 1:26:38.080 + Yeah, there is that pattern that you, when you talk about understanding humans is important for understanding intelligence. + +1:26:38.080 --> 1:26:47.080 + You start slipping into topics of ethics or, yeah, like you said, the interactive elements as opposed to, no, no, no, let's zoom in on the brain, + +1:26:47.080 --> 1:26:51.080 + study what the human brain, the baby, the... + +1:26:51.080 --> 1:26:53.080 + Let's study what a brain does. + +1:26:53.080 --> 1:26:57.080 + And then we can decide which parts of that we want to recreate in some system. + +1:26:57.080 --> 1:27:00.080 + But until you have that theory about what the brain does, what's the point? + +1:27:00.080 --> 1:27:03.080 + You know, it's just, you're going to be wasting time, I think. + +1:27:03.080 --> 1:27:09.080 + Just to break it down on the artificial neural network side, maybe you can speak to this on the, on the biologic neural network side, + +1:27:09.080 --> 1:27:13.080 + the process of learning versus the process of inference. + +1:27:13.080 --> 1:27:22.080 + Maybe you can explain to me, what, is there a difference between, you know, in artificial neural networks, there's a difference between the learning stage and the inference stage? + +1:27:22.080 --> 1:27:23.080 + Yeah. + +1:27:23.080 --> 1:27:25.080 + Do you see the brain as something different? + +1:27:25.080 --> 1:27:33.080 + One of the big distinctions that people often say, I don't know how correct it is, is artificial neural networks need a lot of data. + +1:27:33.080 --> 1:27:34.080 + They're very inefficient learning. + +1:27:34.080 --> 1:27:35.080 + Yeah. + +1:27:35.080 --> 1:27:42.080 + Do you see that as a correct distinction from the biology of the human brain, that the human brain is very efficient? + +1:27:42.080 --> 1:27:44.080 + Or is that just something we deceive ourselves with? + +1:27:44.080 --> 1:27:45.080 + No, it is efficient, obviously. + +1:27:45.080 --> 1:27:47.080 + We can learn new things almost instantly. + +1:27:47.080 --> 1:27:50.080 + And so what elements do you think... + +1:27:50.080 --> 1:27:51.080 + Yeah, I can talk about that. + +1:27:51.080 --> 1:27:52.080 + You brought up two issues there. + +1:27:52.080 --> 1:28:00.080 + So remember I talked early about the constraints, we always feel, well, one of those constraints is the fact that brains are continually learning. + +1:28:00.080 --> 1:28:03.080 + That's not something we said, oh, we can add that later. + +1:28:03.080 --> 1:28:11.080 + That's something that was upfront, had to be there from the start, made our problems harder. + +1:28:11.080 --> 1:28:19.080 + But we showed, going back to the 2016 paper on sequence memory, we showed how that happens, how the brains infer and learn at the same time. + +1:28:19.080 --> 1:28:22.080 + And our models do that. + +1:28:22.080 --> 1:28:26.080 + They're not two separate phases or two separate sets of time. + +1:28:26.080 --> 1:28:33.080 + I think that's a big, big problem in AI, at least for many applications, not for all. + +1:28:33.080 --> 1:28:34.080 + So I can talk about that. + +1:28:34.080 --> 1:28:37.080 + It gets detailed. + +1:28:37.080 --> 1:28:46.080 + There are some parts of the neocortex in the brain where actually what's going on, there's these cycles of activity in the brain. + +1:28:46.080 --> 1:28:54.080 + And there's very strong evidence that you're doing more of inference on one part of the phase and more of learning on the other part of the phase. + +1:28:54.080 --> 1:28:58.080 + So the brain can actually sort of separate different populations of cells that are going back and forth like this. + +1:28:58.080 --> 1:29:01.080 + But in general, I would say that's an important problem. + +1:29:01.080 --> 1:29:05.080 + We have all of our networks that we've come up with do both. + +1:29:05.080 --> 1:29:08.080 + They're continuous learning networks. + +1:29:08.080 --> 1:29:10.080 + And you mentioned benchmarks earlier. + +1:29:10.080 --> 1:29:12.080 + Well, there are no benchmarks about that. + +1:29:12.080 --> 1:29:13.080 + Exactly. + +1:29:13.080 --> 1:29:19.080 + So we have to like, we get in our little soapbox and hey, by the way, this is important. + +1:29:19.080 --> 1:29:21.080 + And here's the mechanism for doing that. + +1:29:21.080 --> 1:29:26.080 + But until you can prove it to someone in some commercial system or something, it's a little harder. + +1:29:26.080 --> 1:29:33.080 + So one of the things I had to linger on that is in some ways to learn the concept of a coffee cup. + +1:29:33.080 --> 1:29:38.080 + You only need this one coffee cup and maybe some time alone in a room with it. + +1:29:38.080 --> 1:29:43.080 + So the first thing is I imagine I reach my hand into a black box and I'm reaching, I'm trying to touch something. + +1:29:43.080 --> 1:29:47.080 + I don't know up front if it's something I already know or if it's a new thing. + +1:29:47.080 --> 1:29:50.080 + And I have to, I'm doing both at the same time. + +1:29:50.080 --> 1:29:53.080 + I don't say, oh, let's see if it's a new thing. + +1:29:53.080 --> 1:29:55.080 + Oh, let's see if it's an old thing. + +1:29:55.080 --> 1:29:56.080 + I don't do that. + +1:29:56.080 --> 1:29:59.080 + As I go, my brain says, oh, it's new or it's not new. + +1:29:59.080 --> 1:30:02.080 + And if it's new, I start learning what it is. + +1:30:02.080 --> 1:30:06.080 + And by the way, it starts learning from the get go, even if it's going to recognize it. + +1:30:06.080 --> 1:30:09.080 + So they're not separate problems. + +1:30:09.080 --> 1:30:10.080 + And so that's the thing there. + +1:30:10.080 --> 1:30:13.080 + The other thing you mentioned was the fast learning. + +1:30:13.080 --> 1:30:17.080 + So I was just talking about continuous learning, but there's also fast learning. + +1:30:17.080 --> 1:30:20.080 + Literally, I can show you this coffee cup and I say, here's a new coffee cup. + +1:30:20.080 --> 1:30:21.080 + It's got the logo on it. + +1:30:21.080 --> 1:30:22.080 + Take a look at it. + +1:30:22.080 --> 1:30:23.080 + Done. + +1:30:23.080 --> 1:30:24.080 + You're done. + +1:30:24.080 --> 1:30:27.080 + You can predict what it's going to look like, you know, in different positions. + +1:30:27.080 --> 1:30:29.080 + So I can talk about that too. + +1:30:29.080 --> 1:30:30.080 + Yes. + +1:30:30.080 --> 1:30:34.080 + In the brain, the way learning occurs. + +1:30:34.080 --> 1:30:36.080 + I mentioned this earlier, but I mentioned it again. + +1:30:36.080 --> 1:30:40.080 + The way learning occurs, I imagine I have a section of a dendrite of a neuron. + +1:30:40.080 --> 1:30:43.080 + And I want to learn, I'm going to learn something new. + +1:30:43.080 --> 1:30:44.080 + It just doesn't matter what it is. + +1:30:44.080 --> 1:30:46.080 + I'm just going to learn something new. + +1:30:46.080 --> 1:30:48.080 + I need to recognize a new pattern. + +1:30:48.080 --> 1:30:52.080 + So what I'm going to do is I'm going to form new synapses. + +1:30:52.080 --> 1:30:57.080 + New synapses, we're going to rewire the brain onto that section of the dendrite. + +1:30:57.080 --> 1:31:02.080 + Once I've done that, everything else that neuron has learned is not affected by it. + +1:31:02.080 --> 1:31:06.080 + Now, it's because it's isolated to that small section of the dendrite. + +1:31:06.080 --> 1:31:09.080 + They're not all being added together, like a point neuron. + +1:31:09.080 --> 1:31:13.080 + So if I learn something new on this segment here, it doesn't change any of the learning + +1:31:13.080 --> 1:31:15.080 + that occur anywhere else in that neuron. + +1:31:15.080 --> 1:31:18.080 + So I can add something without affecting previous learning. + +1:31:18.080 --> 1:31:20.080 + And I can do it quickly. + +1:31:20.080 --> 1:31:24.080 + Now, let's talk, we can talk about the quickness, how it's done in real neurons. + +1:31:24.080 --> 1:31:27.080 + You might say, well, doesn't it take time to form synapses? + +1:31:27.080 --> 1:31:30.080 + Yes, it can take maybe an hour to form a new synapse. + +1:31:30.080 --> 1:31:32.080 + We can form memories quicker than that. + +1:31:32.080 --> 1:31:35.080 + And I can explain that happens too, if you want. + +1:31:35.080 --> 1:31:38.080 + But it's getting a bit neurosciencey. + +1:31:38.080 --> 1:31:40.080 + That's great. + +1:31:40.080 --> 1:31:43.080 + But is there an understanding of these mechanisms at every level? + +1:31:43.080 --> 1:31:48.080 + So from the short term memories and the forming new connections. + +1:31:48.080 --> 1:31:51.080 + So this idea of synaptogenesis, the growth of new synapses, + +1:31:51.080 --> 1:31:54.080 + that's well described, as well understood. + +1:31:54.080 --> 1:31:56.080 + And that's an essential part of learning. + +1:31:56.080 --> 1:31:57.080 + That is learning. + +1:31:57.080 --> 1:31:58.080 + That is learning. + +1:31:58.080 --> 1:32:00.080 + Okay. + +1:32:00.080 --> 1:32:04.080 + You know, back, you know, going back many, many years, people, you know, + +1:32:04.080 --> 1:32:08.080 + was, what's his name, the psychologist proposed, + +1:32:08.080 --> 1:32:10.080 + Hebb, Donald Hebb. + +1:32:10.080 --> 1:32:13.080 + He proposed that learning was the modification of the strength + +1:32:13.080 --> 1:32:15.080 + of a connection between two neurons. + +1:32:15.080 --> 1:32:19.080 + People interpreted that as the modification of the strength of a synapse. + +1:32:19.080 --> 1:32:21.080 + He didn't say that. + +1:32:21.080 --> 1:32:24.080 + He just said there's a modification between the effect of one neuron and another. + +1:32:24.080 --> 1:32:28.080 + So synaptogenesis is totally consistent with Donald Hebb said. + +1:32:28.080 --> 1:32:31.080 + But anyway, there's these mechanisms, the growth of new synapse. + +1:32:31.080 --> 1:32:34.080 + You can go online, you can watch a video of a synapse growing in real time. + +1:32:34.080 --> 1:32:36.080 + It's literally, you can see this little thing going. + +1:32:36.080 --> 1:32:38.080 + It's pretty impressive. + +1:32:38.080 --> 1:32:40.080 + So that those mechanisms are known. + +1:32:40.080 --> 1:32:43.080 + Now, there's another thing that we've speculated and we've written about, + +1:32:43.080 --> 1:32:48.080 + which is consistent with no neuroscience, but it's less proven. + +1:32:48.080 --> 1:32:49.080 + And this is the idea. + +1:32:49.080 --> 1:32:51.080 + How do I form a memory really, really quickly? + +1:32:51.080 --> 1:32:53.080 + Like instantaneous. + +1:32:53.080 --> 1:32:56.080 + If it takes an hour to grow a synapse, like that's not instantaneous. + +1:32:56.080 --> 1:33:01.080 + So there are types of synapses called silent synapses. + +1:33:01.080 --> 1:33:04.080 + They look like a synapse, but they don't do anything. + +1:33:04.080 --> 1:33:05.080 + They're just sitting there. + +1:33:05.080 --> 1:33:10.080 + It's like if an action potential comes in, it doesn't release any neurotransmitter. + +1:33:10.080 --> 1:33:12.080 + Some parts of the brain have more of these than others. + +1:33:12.080 --> 1:33:14.080 + For example, the hippocampus has a lot of them, + +1:33:14.080 --> 1:33:18.080 + which is where we associate most short term memory with. + +1:33:18.080 --> 1:33:22.080 + So what we speculated, again, in that 2016 paper, + +1:33:22.080 --> 1:33:26.080 + we proposed that the way we form very quick memories, + +1:33:26.080 --> 1:33:29.080 + very short term memories, or quick memories, + +1:33:29.080 --> 1:33:34.080 + is that we convert silent synapses into active synapses. + +1:33:34.080 --> 1:33:38.080 + It's like saying a synapse has a zero weight and a one weight. + +1:33:38.080 --> 1:33:41.080 + But the long term memory has to be formed by synaptogenesis. + +1:33:41.080 --> 1:33:43.080 + So you can remember something really quickly + +1:33:43.080 --> 1:33:46.080 + by just flipping a bunch of these guys from silent to active. + +1:33:46.080 --> 1:33:49.080 + It's not from 0.1 to 0.15. + +1:33:49.080 --> 1:33:52.080 + It doesn't do anything until it releases transmitter. + +1:33:52.080 --> 1:33:56.080 + If I do that over a bunch of these, I've got a very quick short term memory. + +1:33:56.080 --> 1:34:01.080 + So I guess the lesson behind this is that most neural networks today are fully connected. + +1:34:01.080 --> 1:34:04.080 + Every neuron connects every other neuron from layer to layer. + +1:34:04.080 --> 1:34:06.080 + That's not correct in the brain. + +1:34:06.080 --> 1:34:07.080 + We don't want that. + +1:34:07.080 --> 1:34:08.080 + We actually don't want that. + +1:34:08.080 --> 1:34:09.080 + It's bad. + +1:34:09.080 --> 1:34:13.080 + You want a very sparse connectivity so that any neuron connects + +1:34:13.080 --> 1:34:15.080 + to some subset of the neurons in the other layer, + +1:34:15.080 --> 1:34:18.080 + and it does so on a dendrite by dendrite segment basis. + +1:34:18.080 --> 1:34:21.080 + So it's a very parcelated out type of thing. + +1:34:21.080 --> 1:34:25.080 + And that then learning is not adjusting all these weights, + +1:34:25.080 --> 1:34:29.080 + but learning is just saying, OK, connect to these 10 cells here right now. + +1:34:29.080 --> 1:34:32.080 + In that process, you know, with artificial neural networks, + +1:34:32.080 --> 1:34:37.080 + it's a very simple process of back propagation that adjusts the weights. + +1:34:37.080 --> 1:34:39.080 + The process of synaptogenesis. + +1:34:39.080 --> 1:34:40.080 + Synaptogenesis. + +1:34:40.080 --> 1:34:41.080 + Synaptogenesis. + +1:34:41.080 --> 1:34:42.080 + It's even easier. + +1:34:42.080 --> 1:34:43.080 + It's even easier. + +1:34:43.080 --> 1:34:44.080 + It's even easier. + +1:34:44.080 --> 1:34:49.080 + Back propagation requires something that really can't happen in brains. + +1:34:49.080 --> 1:34:51.080 + This back propagation of this error signal. + +1:34:51.080 --> 1:34:52.080 + They really can't happen. + +1:34:52.080 --> 1:34:55.080 + People are trying to make it happen in brains, but it doesn't happen in brain. + +1:34:55.080 --> 1:34:57.080 + This is pure Hebbian learning. + +1:34:57.080 --> 1:34:59.080 + Well, synaptogenesis is pure Hebbian learning. + +1:34:59.080 --> 1:35:03.080 + It's basically saying there's a population of cells over here that are active right now, + +1:35:03.080 --> 1:35:05.080 + and there's a population of cells over here active right now. + +1:35:05.080 --> 1:35:08.080 + How do I form connections between those active cells? + +1:35:08.080 --> 1:35:11.080 + And it's literally saying this guy became active. + +1:35:11.080 --> 1:35:15.080 + These 100 neurons here became active before this neuron became active. + +1:35:15.080 --> 1:35:17.080 + So form connections to those ones. + +1:35:17.080 --> 1:35:18.080 + That's it. + +1:35:18.080 --> 1:35:20.080 + There's no propagation of error, nothing. + +1:35:20.080 --> 1:35:26.080 + All the networks we do, all models we have work on almost completely on Hebbian learning, + +1:35:26.080 --> 1:35:33.080 + but on dendritic segments and multiple synaptoses at the same time. + +1:35:33.080 --> 1:35:36.080 + So now let's turn the question that you already answered, + +1:35:36.080 --> 1:35:38.080 + and maybe you can answer it again. + +1:35:38.080 --> 1:35:43.080 + If you look at the history of artificial intelligence, where do you think we stand? + +1:35:43.080 --> 1:35:45.080 + How far are we from solving intelligence? + +1:35:45.080 --> 1:35:47.080 + You said you were very optimistic. + +1:35:47.080 --> 1:35:48.080 + Yeah. + +1:35:48.080 --> 1:35:49.080 + Can you elaborate on that? + +1:35:49.080 --> 1:35:55.080 + Yeah, it's always the crazy question to ask, because no one can predict the future. + +1:35:55.080 --> 1:35:56.080 + Absolutely. + +1:35:56.080 --> 1:35:58.080 + So I'll tell you a story. + +1:35:58.080 --> 1:36:02.080 + I used to run a different neuroscience institute called the Redwood Neuroscience Institute, + +1:36:02.080 --> 1:36:07.080 + and we would hold these symposiums, and we'd get like 35 scientists from around the world to come together. + +1:36:07.080 --> 1:36:09.080 + And I used to ask them all the same question. + +1:36:09.080 --> 1:36:13.080 + I would say, well, how long do you think it'll be before we understand how the New York Cortex works? + +1:36:13.080 --> 1:36:17.080 + And everyone went around the room, and they had introduced the name, and they had to answer that question. + +1:36:17.080 --> 1:36:22.080 + So I got, the typical answer was 50 to 100 years. + +1:36:22.080 --> 1:36:24.080 + Some people would say 500 years. + +1:36:24.080 --> 1:36:25.080 + Some people said never. + +1:36:25.080 --> 1:36:27.080 + I said, why are you a neuroscience institute? + +1:36:27.080 --> 1:36:28.080 + Never. + +1:36:28.080 --> 1:36:30.080 + It's good pay. + +1:36:30.080 --> 1:36:33.080 + It's interesting. + +1:36:33.080 --> 1:36:37.080 + But it doesn't work like that. + +1:36:37.080 --> 1:36:39.080 + As I mentioned earlier, these are step functions. + +1:36:39.080 --> 1:36:41.080 + Things happen, and then bingo, they happen. + +1:36:41.080 --> 1:36:43.080 + You can't predict that. + +1:36:43.080 --> 1:36:45.080 + I feel I've already passed a step function. + +1:36:45.080 --> 1:36:53.080 + So if I can do my job correctly over the next five years, then meaning I can proselytize these ideas. + +1:36:53.080 --> 1:36:55.080 + I can convince other people they're right. + +1:36:55.080 --> 1:37:01.080 + We can show that machine learning people should pay attention to these ideas. + +1:37:01.080 --> 1:37:04.080 + Then we're definitely in an under 20 year time frame. + +1:37:04.080 --> 1:37:09.080 + If I can do those things, if I'm not successful in that, and this is the last time anyone talks to me, + +1:37:09.080 --> 1:37:15.080 + and no one reads our papers, and I'm wrong or something like that, then I don't know. + +1:37:15.080 --> 1:37:17.080 + But it's not 50 years. + +1:37:17.080 --> 1:37:22.080 + It's the same thing about electric cars. + +1:37:22.080 --> 1:37:24.080 + How quickly are they going to populate the world? + +1:37:24.080 --> 1:37:27.080 + It probably takes about a 20 year span. + +1:37:27.080 --> 1:37:28.080 + It'll be something like that. + +1:37:28.080 --> 1:37:31.080 + But I think if I can do what I said, we're starting it. + +1:37:31.080 --> 1:37:35.080 + Of course, there could be other use of step functions. + +1:37:35.080 --> 1:37:42.080 + It could be everybody gives up on your ideas for 20 years, and then all of a sudden somebody picks it up again. + +1:37:42.080 --> 1:37:44.080 + Wait, that guy was onto something. + +1:37:44.080 --> 1:37:46.080 + That would be a failure on my part. + +1:37:46.080 --> 1:37:49.080 + Think about Charles Babbage. + +1:37:49.080 --> 1:37:55.080 + Charles Babbage used to invented the computer back in the 1800s. + +1:37:55.080 --> 1:37:59.080 + Everyone forgot about it until 100 years later. + +1:37:59.080 --> 1:38:03.080 + This guy figured this stuff out a long time ago, but he was ahead of his time. + +1:38:03.080 --> 1:38:09.080 + As I said, I recognize this is part of any entrepreneur's challenge. + +1:38:09.080 --> 1:38:11.080 + I use entrepreneur broadly in this case. + +1:38:11.080 --> 1:38:13.080 + I'm not meaning like I'm building a business trying to sell something. + +1:38:13.080 --> 1:38:15.080 + I'm trying to sell ideas. + +1:38:15.080 --> 1:38:20.080 + This is the challenge as to how you get people to pay attention to you. + +1:38:20.080 --> 1:38:24.080 + How do you get them to give you positive or negative feedback? + +1:38:24.080 --> 1:38:27.080 + How do you get the people to act differently based on your ideas? + +1:38:27.080 --> 1:38:30.080 + We'll see how well we do on that. + +1:38:30.080 --> 1:38:34.080 + There's a lot of hype behind artificial intelligence currently. + +1:38:34.080 --> 1:38:43.080 + Do you, as you look to spread the ideas that are in your cortical theory, the things you're working on, + +1:38:43.080 --> 1:38:47.080 + do you think there's some possibility we'll hit an AI winter once again? + +1:38:47.080 --> 1:38:49.080 + It's certainly a possibility. + +1:38:49.080 --> 1:38:51.080 + That's something you worry about? + +1:38:51.080 --> 1:38:54.080 + I guess, do I worry about it? + +1:38:54.080 --> 1:38:58.080 + I haven't decided yet if that's good or bad for my mission. + +1:38:58.080 --> 1:38:59.080 + That's true. + +1:38:59.080 --> 1:39:04.080 + That's very true because it's almost like you need the winter to refresh the pallet. + +1:39:04.080 --> 1:39:08.080 + Here's what you want to have it. + +1:39:08.080 --> 1:39:15.080 + To the extent that everyone is so thrilled about the current state of machine learning and AI, + +1:39:15.080 --> 1:39:20.080 + and they don't imagine they need anything else, it makes my job harder. + +1:39:20.080 --> 1:39:24.080 + If everything crashed completely and every student left the field, + +1:39:24.080 --> 1:39:26.080 + and there was no money for anybody to do anything, + +1:39:26.080 --> 1:39:29.080 + and it became an embarrassment to talk about machine intelligence and AI, + +1:39:29.080 --> 1:39:31.080 + that wouldn't be good for us either. + +1:39:31.080 --> 1:39:33.080 + You want the soft landing approach, right? + +1:39:33.080 --> 1:39:37.080 + You want enough people, the senior people in AI and machine learning to say, + +1:39:37.080 --> 1:39:39.080 + you know, we need other approaches. + +1:39:39.080 --> 1:39:40.080 + We really need other approaches. + +1:39:40.080 --> 1:39:42.080 + Damn, we need other approaches. + +1:39:42.080 --> 1:39:43.080 + Maybe we should look to the brain. + +1:39:43.080 --> 1:39:44.080 + Okay, let's look to the brain. + +1:39:44.080 --> 1:39:45.080 + Who's got some brain ideas? + +1:39:45.080 --> 1:39:49.080 + Okay, let's start a little project on the side here trying to do brain idea related stuff. + +1:39:49.080 --> 1:39:51.080 + That's the ideal outcome we would want. + +1:39:51.080 --> 1:39:53.080 + So I don't want a total winter, + +1:39:53.080 --> 1:39:57.080 + and yet I don't want it to be sunny all the time either. + +1:39:57.080 --> 1:40:02.080 + So what do you think it takes to build a system with human level intelligence + +1:40:02.080 --> 1:40:06.080 + where once demonstrated, you would be very impressed? + +1:40:06.080 --> 1:40:08.080 + So does it have to have a body? + +1:40:08.080 --> 1:40:18.080 + Does it have to have the C word we used before consciousness as an entirety in a holistic sense? + +1:40:18.080 --> 1:40:23.080 + First of all, I don't think the goal is to create a machine that is human level intelligence. + +1:40:23.080 --> 1:40:24.080 + I think it's a false goal. + +1:40:24.080 --> 1:40:26.080 + Back to Turing, I think it was a false statement. + +1:40:26.080 --> 1:40:28.080 + We want to understand what intelligence is, + +1:40:28.080 --> 1:40:31.080 + and then we can build intelligent machines of all different scales, + +1:40:31.080 --> 1:40:33.080 + all different capabilities. + +1:40:33.080 --> 1:40:35.080 + You know, a dog is intelligent. + +1:40:35.080 --> 1:40:38.080 + You know, that would be pretty good to have a dog, you know, + +1:40:38.080 --> 1:40:41.080 + but what about something that doesn't look like an animal at all in different spaces? + +1:40:41.080 --> 1:40:45.080 + So my thinking about this is that we want to define what intelligence is, + +1:40:45.080 --> 1:40:48.080 + agree upon what makes an intelligent system. + +1:40:48.080 --> 1:40:52.080 + We can then say, okay, we're now going to build systems that work on those principles, + +1:40:52.080 --> 1:40:57.080 + or some subset of them, and we can apply them to all different types of problems. + +1:40:57.080 --> 1:41:00.080 + And the kind, the idea, it's not computing. + +1:41:00.080 --> 1:41:05.080 + We don't ask, if I take a little, you know, little one chip computer, + +1:41:05.080 --> 1:41:08.080 + I don't say, well, that's not a computer because it's not as powerful as this, you know, + +1:41:08.080 --> 1:41:09.080 + big server over here. + +1:41:09.080 --> 1:41:11.080 + No, no, because we know that what the principles are computing on, + +1:41:11.080 --> 1:41:14.080 + and I can apply those principles to a small problem or into a big problem. + +1:41:14.080 --> 1:41:16.080 + And same, intelligence needs to get there. + +1:41:16.080 --> 1:41:17.080 + We have to say, these are the principles. + +1:41:17.080 --> 1:41:19.080 + I can make a small one, a big one. + +1:41:19.080 --> 1:41:20.080 + I can make them distributed. + +1:41:20.080 --> 1:41:21.080 + I can put them on different sensors. + +1:41:21.080 --> 1:41:23.080 + They don't have to be human like at all. + +1:41:23.080 --> 1:41:25.080 + Now, you did bring up a very interesting question about embodiment. + +1:41:25.080 --> 1:41:27.080 + Does it have to have a body? + +1:41:27.080 --> 1:41:30.080 + It has to have some concept of movement. + +1:41:30.080 --> 1:41:33.080 + It has to be able to move through these reference frames. + +1:41:33.080 --> 1:41:35.080 + I talked about earlier, whether it's physically moving, + +1:41:35.080 --> 1:41:38.080 + like I need, if I'm going to have an AI that understands coffee cups, + +1:41:38.080 --> 1:41:42.080 + it's going to have to pick up the coffee cup and touch it and look at it with its eyes + +1:41:42.080 --> 1:41:45.080 + and hands or something equivalent to that. + +1:41:45.080 --> 1:41:51.080 + If I have a mathematical AI, maybe it needs to move through mathematical spaces. + +1:41:51.080 --> 1:41:55.080 + I could have a virtual AI that lives in the Internet + +1:41:55.080 --> 1:42:00.080 + and its movements are traversing links and digging into files, + +1:42:00.080 --> 1:42:04.080 + but it's got a location that it's traveling through some space. + +1:42:04.080 --> 1:42:08.080 + You can't have an AI that just takes some flash thing input, + +1:42:08.080 --> 1:42:10.080 + you know, we call it flash inference. + +1:42:10.080 --> 1:42:13.080 + Here's a pattern done. + +1:42:13.080 --> 1:42:16.080 + No, it's movement pattern, movement pattern, movement pattern. + +1:42:16.080 --> 1:42:18.080 + Attention, digging, building, building structure, + +1:42:18.080 --> 1:42:20.080 + just trying to figure out the model of the world. + +1:42:20.080 --> 1:42:25.080 + So some sort of embodiment, whether it's physical or not, has to be part of it. + +1:42:25.080 --> 1:42:28.080 + So self awareness in the way to be able to answer where am I? + +1:42:28.080 --> 1:42:31.080 + You bring up self awareness, it's a different topic, self awareness. + +1:42:31.080 --> 1:42:37.080 + No, the very narrow definition, meaning knowing a sense of self enough to know + +1:42:37.080 --> 1:42:40.080 + where am I in the space where essentially. + +1:42:40.080 --> 1:42:43.080 + The system needs to know its location, + +1:42:43.080 --> 1:42:48.080 + where each component of the system needs to know where it is in the world at that point in time. + +1:42:48.080 --> 1:42:51.080 + So self awareness and consciousness. + +1:42:51.080 --> 1:42:56.080 + Do you think, one, from the perspective of neuroscience and neurocortex, + +1:42:56.080 --> 1:42:59.080 + these are interesting topics, solvable topics, + +1:42:59.080 --> 1:43:04.080 + do you have any ideas of why the heck it is that we have a subjective experience at all? + +1:43:04.080 --> 1:43:05.080 + Yeah, I have a lot of questions. + +1:43:05.080 --> 1:43:08.080 + And is it useful, or is it just a side effect of us? + +1:43:08.080 --> 1:43:10.080 + It's interesting to think about. + +1:43:10.080 --> 1:43:16.080 + I don't think it's useful as a means to figure out how to build intelligent machines. + +1:43:16.080 --> 1:43:21.080 + It's something that systems do, and we can talk about what it is, + +1:43:21.080 --> 1:43:25.080 + that are like, well, if I build a system like this, then it would be self aware. + +1:43:25.080 --> 1:43:28.080 + Or if I build it like this, it wouldn't be self aware. + +1:43:28.080 --> 1:43:30.080 + So that's a choice I can have. + +1:43:30.080 --> 1:43:32.080 + It's not like, oh my God, it's self aware. + +1:43:32.080 --> 1:43:37.080 + I heard an interview recently with this philosopher from Yale. + +1:43:37.080 --> 1:43:38.080 + I can't remember his name. + +1:43:38.080 --> 1:43:39.080 + I apologize for that. + +1:43:39.080 --> 1:43:41.080 + But he was talking about, well, if these computers were self aware, + +1:43:41.080 --> 1:43:43.080 + then it would be a crime to unplug them. + +1:43:43.080 --> 1:43:45.080 + And I'm like, oh, come on. + +1:43:45.080 --> 1:43:46.080 + I unplug myself every night. + +1:43:46.080 --> 1:43:47.080 + I go to sleep. + +1:43:47.080 --> 1:43:49.080 + Is that a crime? + +1:43:49.080 --> 1:43:51.080 + I plug myself in again in the morning. + +1:43:51.080 --> 1:43:53.080 + There I am. + +1:43:53.080 --> 1:43:56.080 + People get kind of bent out of shape about this. + +1:43:56.080 --> 1:44:02.080 + I have very detailed understanding or opinions about what it means to be conscious + +1:44:02.080 --> 1:44:04.080 + and what it means to be self aware. + +1:44:04.080 --> 1:44:07.080 + I don't think it's that interesting a problem. + +1:44:07.080 --> 1:44:08.080 + You talked about Christoph Koch. + +1:44:08.080 --> 1:44:10.080 + He thinks that's the only problem. + +1:44:10.080 --> 1:44:12.080 + I didn't actually listen to your interview with him. + +1:44:12.080 --> 1:44:15.080 + But I know him, and I know that's the thing. + +1:44:15.080 --> 1:44:18.080 + He also thinks intelligence and consciousness are disjoint. + +1:44:18.080 --> 1:44:21.080 + So I mean, it's not, you don't have to have one or the other. + +1:44:21.080 --> 1:44:23.080 + I just agree with that. + +1:44:23.080 --> 1:44:24.080 + I just totally disagree with that. + +1:44:24.080 --> 1:44:26.080 + So where's your thoughts and consciousness? + +1:44:26.080 --> 1:44:28.080 + Where does it emerge from? + +1:44:28.080 --> 1:44:30.080 + Then we have to break it down to the two parts. + +1:44:30.080 --> 1:44:32.080 + Because consciousness isn't one thing. + +1:44:32.080 --> 1:44:34.080 + That's part of the problem with that term. + +1:44:34.080 --> 1:44:36.080 + It means different things to different people. + +1:44:36.080 --> 1:44:38.080 + And there's different components of it. + +1:44:38.080 --> 1:44:40.080 + There is a concept of self awareness. + +1:44:40.080 --> 1:44:44.080 + That can be very easily explained. + +1:44:44.080 --> 1:44:46.080 + You have a model of your own body. + +1:44:46.080 --> 1:44:48.080 + The neocortex models things in the world. + +1:44:48.080 --> 1:44:50.080 + And it also models your own body. + +1:44:50.080 --> 1:44:53.080 + And then it has a memory. + +1:44:53.080 --> 1:44:55.080 + It can remember what you've done. + +1:44:55.080 --> 1:44:57.080 + So it can remember what you did this morning. + +1:44:57.080 --> 1:44:59.080 + It can remember what you had for breakfast and so on. + +1:44:59.080 --> 1:45:02.080 + And so I can say to you, okay, Lex, + +1:45:02.080 --> 1:45:06.080 + were you conscious this morning when you had your bagel? + +1:45:06.080 --> 1:45:08.080 + And you'd say, yes, I was conscious. + +1:45:08.080 --> 1:45:11.080 + Now, what if I could take your brain and revert all the synapses + +1:45:11.080 --> 1:45:13.080 + back to the state they were this morning? + +1:45:13.080 --> 1:45:15.080 + And then I said to you, Lex, + +1:45:15.080 --> 1:45:17.080 + were you conscious when you ate the bagel? + +1:45:17.080 --> 1:45:18.080 + And he said, no, I wasn't conscious. + +1:45:18.080 --> 1:45:20.080 + I said, here's a video of eating the bagel. + +1:45:20.080 --> 1:45:22.080 + And he said, I wasn't there. + +1:45:22.080 --> 1:45:25.080 + That's not possible because I must have been unconscious at that time. + +1:45:25.080 --> 1:45:27.080 + So we can just make this one to one correlation + +1:45:27.080 --> 1:45:30.080 + between memory of your body's trajectory through the world + +1:45:30.080 --> 1:45:32.080 + over some period of time. + +1:45:32.080 --> 1:45:34.080 + And the ability to recall that memory + +1:45:34.080 --> 1:45:36.080 + is what you would call conscious. + +1:45:36.080 --> 1:45:38.080 + I was conscious of that. It's self awareness. + +1:45:38.080 --> 1:45:41.080 + And any system that can recall, + +1:45:41.080 --> 1:45:43.080 + memorize what it's done recently + +1:45:43.080 --> 1:45:46.080 + and bring that back and invoke it again + +1:45:46.080 --> 1:45:48.080 + would say, yeah, I'm aware. + +1:45:48.080 --> 1:45:51.080 + I remember what I did. All right, I got it. + +1:45:51.080 --> 1:45:54.080 + That's an easy one. Although some people think that's a hard one. + +1:45:54.080 --> 1:45:57.080 + The more challenging part of consciousness + +1:45:57.080 --> 1:45:59.080 + is this is one that's sometimes used + +1:45:59.080 --> 1:46:01.080 + by the word Aqualia, + +1:46:01.080 --> 1:46:04.080 + which is, you know, why does an object seem red? + +1:46:04.080 --> 1:46:06.080 + Or what is pain? + +1:46:06.080 --> 1:46:08.080 + And why does pain feel like something? + +1:46:08.080 --> 1:46:10.080 + Why do I feel redness? + +1:46:10.080 --> 1:46:12.080 + So why do I feel a little painless in a way? + +1:46:12.080 --> 1:46:14.080 + And then I could say, well, why does sight + +1:46:14.080 --> 1:46:16.080 + seems different than hearing? You know, it's the same problem. + +1:46:16.080 --> 1:46:18.080 + It's really, you know, these are all just neurons. + +1:46:18.080 --> 1:46:21.080 + And so how is it that why does looking at you + +1:46:21.080 --> 1:46:24.080 + feel different than, you know, hearing you? + +1:46:24.080 --> 1:46:26.080 + It feels different, but there's just neurons in my head. + +1:46:26.080 --> 1:46:28.080 + They're all doing the same thing. + +1:46:28.080 --> 1:46:30.080 + So that's an interesting question. + +1:46:30.080 --> 1:46:32.080 + The best treatise I've read about this + +1:46:32.080 --> 1:46:34.080 + is by a guy named Oregon. + +1:46:34.080 --> 1:46:38.080 + He wrote a book called Why Red Doesn't Sound Like a Bell. + +1:46:38.080 --> 1:46:42.080 + It's a little, it's not a trade book, easy to read, + +1:46:42.080 --> 1:46:45.080 + but it, and it's an interesting question. + +1:46:45.080 --> 1:46:47.080 + Take something like color. + +1:46:47.080 --> 1:46:49.080 + Color really doesn't exist in the world. + +1:46:49.080 --> 1:46:51.080 + It's not a property of the world. + +1:46:51.080 --> 1:46:54.080 + Property of the world that exists is light frequency, + +1:46:54.080 --> 1:46:57.080 + and that gets turned into we have certain cells + +1:46:57.080 --> 1:46:59.080 + in the retina that respond to different frequencies + +1:46:59.080 --> 1:47:00.080 + different than others. + +1:47:00.080 --> 1:47:02.080 + And so when they enter the brain, you just have a bunch + +1:47:02.080 --> 1:47:04.080 + of axons that are firing at different rates, + +1:47:04.080 --> 1:47:06.080 + and from that we perceive color. + +1:47:06.080 --> 1:47:08.080 + But there is no color in the brain. + +1:47:08.080 --> 1:47:11.080 + I mean, there's no color coming in on those synapses. + +1:47:11.080 --> 1:47:14.080 + It's just a correlation between some axons + +1:47:14.080 --> 1:47:17.080 + and some property of frequency. + +1:47:17.080 --> 1:47:19.080 + And that isn't even color itself. + +1:47:19.080 --> 1:47:21.080 + Frequency doesn't have a color. + +1:47:21.080 --> 1:47:23.080 + It's just what it is. + +1:47:23.080 --> 1:47:25.080 + So then the question is, well, why does it even + +1:47:25.080 --> 1:47:27.080 + appear to have a color at all? + +1:47:27.080 --> 1:47:30.080 + Just as you're describing it, there seems to be a connection + +1:47:30.080 --> 1:47:32.080 + to those ideas of reference frames. + +1:47:32.080 --> 1:47:38.080 + I mean, it just feels like consciousness having the subject, + +1:47:38.080 --> 1:47:42.080 + assigning the feeling of red to the actual color + +1:47:42.080 --> 1:47:47.080 + or to the wavelength is useful for intelligence. + +1:47:47.080 --> 1:47:49.080 + Yeah, I think that's a good way of putting it. + +1:47:49.080 --> 1:47:51.080 + It's useful as a predictive mechanism, + +1:47:51.080 --> 1:47:53.080 + or useful as a generalization idea. + +1:47:53.080 --> 1:47:55.080 + It's a way of grouping things together to say + +1:47:55.080 --> 1:47:58.080 + it's useful to have a model like this. + +1:47:58.080 --> 1:48:02.080 + Think about the well known syndrome that people + +1:48:02.080 --> 1:48:06.080 + who've lost a limb experience called phantom limbs. + +1:48:06.080 --> 1:48:11.080 + And what they claim is they can have their arms removed + +1:48:11.080 --> 1:48:13.080 + but they feel the arm. + +1:48:13.080 --> 1:48:15.080 + Not only feel it, they know it's there. + +1:48:15.080 --> 1:48:16.080 + It's there. + +1:48:16.080 --> 1:48:17.080 + I know it's there. + +1:48:17.080 --> 1:48:19.080 + They'll swear to you that it's there. + +1:48:19.080 --> 1:48:20.080 + And then they can feel pain in their arm. + +1:48:20.080 --> 1:48:22.080 + And they'll feel pain in their finger. + +1:48:22.080 --> 1:48:25.080 + And if they move their non existent arm behind their back, + +1:48:25.080 --> 1:48:27.080 + then they feel the pain behind their back. + +1:48:27.080 --> 1:48:30.080 + So this whole idea that your arm exists + +1:48:30.080 --> 1:48:31.080 + is a model of your brain. + +1:48:31.080 --> 1:48:34.080 + It may or may not really exist. + +1:48:34.080 --> 1:48:38.080 + And just like, but it's useful to have a model of something + +1:48:38.080 --> 1:48:40.080 + that sort of correlates to things in the world + +1:48:40.080 --> 1:48:42.080 + so you can make predictions about what would happen + +1:48:42.080 --> 1:48:43.080 + when those things occur. + +1:48:43.080 --> 1:48:44.080 + It's a little bit of a fuzzy, + +1:48:44.080 --> 1:48:46.080 + but I think you're getting quite towards the answer there. + +1:48:46.080 --> 1:48:51.080 + It's useful for the model to express things certain ways + +1:48:51.080 --> 1:48:53.080 + that we can then map them into these reference frames + +1:48:53.080 --> 1:48:55.080 + and make predictions about them. + +1:48:55.080 --> 1:48:57.080 + I need to spend more time on this topic. + +1:48:57.080 --> 1:48:58.080 + It doesn't bother me. + +1:48:58.080 --> 1:49:00.080 + Do you really need to spend more time on this? + +1:49:00.080 --> 1:49:01.080 + Yeah. + +1:49:01.080 --> 1:49:04.080 + It does feel special that we have subjective experience, + +1:49:04.080 --> 1:49:07.080 + but I'm yet to know why. + +1:49:07.080 --> 1:49:08.080 + I'm just personally curious. + +1:49:08.080 --> 1:49:10.080 + It's not necessary for the work we're doing here. + +1:49:10.080 --> 1:49:12.080 + I don't think I need to solve that problem + +1:49:12.080 --> 1:49:14.080 + to build intelligent machines at all. + +1:49:14.080 --> 1:49:15.080 + Not at all. + +1:49:15.080 --> 1:49:19.080 + But there is sort of the silly notion that you described briefly + +1:49:19.080 --> 1:49:22.080 + that doesn't seem so silly to us humans is, + +1:49:22.080 --> 1:49:26.080 + you know, if you're successful building intelligent machines, + +1:49:26.080 --> 1:49:29.080 + it feels wrong to then turn them off. + +1:49:29.080 --> 1:49:32.080 + Because if you're able to build a lot of them, + +1:49:32.080 --> 1:49:36.080 + it feels wrong to then be able to, you know, + +1:49:36.080 --> 1:49:38.080 + to turn off the... + +1:49:38.080 --> 1:49:39.080 + Well, why? + +1:49:39.080 --> 1:49:41.080 + Let's break that down a bit. + +1:49:41.080 --> 1:49:43.080 + As humans, why do we fear death? + +1:49:43.080 --> 1:49:46.080 + There's two reasons we fear death. + +1:49:46.080 --> 1:49:48.080 + Well, first of all, I'll say when you're dead, it doesn't matter. + +1:49:48.080 --> 1:49:49.080 + Okay. + +1:49:49.080 --> 1:49:50.080 + You're dead. + +1:49:50.080 --> 1:49:51.080 + So why do we fear death? + +1:49:51.080 --> 1:49:53.080 + We fear death for two reasons. + +1:49:53.080 --> 1:49:57.080 + One is because we are programmed genetically to fear death. + +1:49:57.080 --> 1:50:02.080 + That's a survival and propaganda in the genes thing. + +1:50:02.080 --> 1:50:06.080 + And we also are programmed to feel sad when people we know die. + +1:50:06.080 --> 1:50:08.080 + We don't feel sad for someone we don't know dies. + +1:50:08.080 --> 1:50:09.080 + There's people dying right now. + +1:50:09.080 --> 1:50:10.080 + They're only scared to say, + +1:50:10.080 --> 1:50:11.080 + I don't feel bad about them because I don't know them. + +1:50:11.080 --> 1:50:13.080 + But I knew they might feel really bad. + +1:50:13.080 --> 1:50:18.080 + So again, these are old brain genetically embedded things + +1:50:18.080 --> 1:50:20.080 + that we fear death. + +1:50:20.080 --> 1:50:23.080 + Outside of those uncomfortable feelings, + +1:50:23.080 --> 1:50:25.080 + there's nothing else to worry about. + +1:50:25.080 --> 1:50:27.080 + Well, wait, hold on a second. + +1:50:27.080 --> 1:50:30.080 + Do you know the denial of death by Beckard? + +1:50:30.080 --> 1:50:36.080 + You know, there's a thought that death is, you know, + +1:50:36.080 --> 1:50:43.080 + our whole conception of our world model kind of assumes immortality. + +1:50:43.080 --> 1:50:47.080 + And then death is this terror that underlies it all. + +1:50:47.080 --> 1:50:50.080 + So like, well, some people's world model, not mine. + +1:50:50.080 --> 1:50:51.080 + But okay. + +1:50:51.080 --> 1:50:54.080 + So what, what Becker would say is that you're just living in an illusion. + +1:50:54.080 --> 1:50:58.080 + You've constructed illusion for yourself because it's such a terrible terror. + +1:50:58.080 --> 1:51:02.080 + The fact that this illusion, the illusion that death doesn't matter. + +1:51:02.080 --> 1:51:05.080 + You're still not coming to grips with the illusion of what? + +1:51:05.080 --> 1:51:08.080 + That death is going to happen. + +1:51:08.080 --> 1:51:10.080 + Oh, it's not going to happen. + +1:51:10.080 --> 1:51:11.080 + You're, you're actually operating. + +1:51:11.080 --> 1:51:13.080 + You haven't, even though you said you've accepted it, + +1:51:13.080 --> 1:51:16.080 + you haven't really accepted the notion of death is what you say. + +1:51:16.080 --> 1:51:21.080 + So it sounds like it sounds like you disagree with that notion. + +1:51:21.080 --> 1:51:22.080 + I mean, totally. + +1:51:22.080 --> 1:51:27.080 + Like, I literally every night, every night I go to bed, it's like dying. + +1:51:27.080 --> 1:51:28.080 + Little deaths. + +1:51:28.080 --> 1:51:29.080 + Little deaths. + +1:51:29.080 --> 1:51:32.080 + And if I didn't wake up, it wouldn't matter to me. + +1:51:32.080 --> 1:51:35.080 + Only if I knew that was going to happen would it be bothersome. + +1:51:35.080 --> 1:51:37.080 + If I didn't know it was going to happen, how would I know? + +1:51:37.080 --> 1:51:39.080 + Then I would worry about my wife. + +1:51:39.080 --> 1:51:40.080 + Yeah. + +1:51:40.080 --> 1:51:44.080 + So imagine, imagine I was a loner and I lived in Alaska and I lived them out there and there + +1:51:44.080 --> 1:51:45.080 + was no animals. + +1:51:45.080 --> 1:51:46.080 + Nobody knew I existed. + +1:51:46.080 --> 1:51:48.080 + I was just eating these roots all the time. + +1:51:48.080 --> 1:51:50.080 + And nobody knew I was there. + +1:51:50.080 --> 1:51:53.080 + And one day I didn't wake up. + +1:51:53.080 --> 1:51:56.080 + Where, what, what pain in the world would there exist? + +1:51:56.080 --> 1:52:01.080 + Well, so most people that think about this problem would say that you're just deeply enlightened + +1:52:01.080 --> 1:52:04.080 + or are completely delusional. + +1:52:04.080 --> 1:52:05.080 + Wow. + +1:52:05.080 --> 1:52:14.080 + But I would say, I would say that's a very enlightened way to see the world is that that's the rational one. + +1:52:14.080 --> 1:52:15.080 + Well, I think it's rational. + +1:52:15.080 --> 1:52:16.080 + That's right. + +1:52:16.080 --> 1:52:22.080 + But the fact is we don't, I mean, we really don't have an understanding of why the heck + +1:52:22.080 --> 1:52:26.080 + it is we're born and why we die and what happens after we die. + +1:52:26.080 --> 1:52:27.080 + Well, maybe there isn't a reason. + +1:52:27.080 --> 1:52:28.080 + Maybe there is. + +1:52:28.080 --> 1:52:30.080 + So I'm interested in those big problems too, right? + +1:52:30.080 --> 1:52:33.080 + You know, you, you interviewed Max Tagmark, you know, and there's people like that, right? + +1:52:33.080 --> 1:52:35.080 + I'm interested in those big problems as well. + +1:52:35.080 --> 1:52:41.080 + And in fact, when I was young, I made a list of the biggest problems I could think of. + +1:52:41.080 --> 1:52:43.080 + First, why does anything exist? + +1:52:43.080 --> 1:52:46.080 + Second, why did we have the laws of physics that we have? + +1:52:46.080 --> 1:52:49.080 + Third, is life inevitable? + +1:52:49.080 --> 1:52:50.080 + And why is it here? + +1:52:50.080 --> 1:52:52.080 + Fourth, is intelligence inevitable? + +1:52:52.080 --> 1:52:53.080 + And why is it here? + +1:52:53.080 --> 1:52:58.080 + I stopped there because I figured if you can make a truly intelligent system, we'll be, + +1:52:58.080 --> 1:53:03.080 + that'll be the quickest way to answer the first three questions. + +1:53:03.080 --> 1:53:04.080 + I'm serious. + +1:53:04.080 --> 1:53:05.080 + Yeah. + +1:53:05.080 --> 1:53:09.080 + And so I said, my mission, you know, you asked me earlier, my first mission is to understand + +1:53:09.080 --> 1:53:12.080 + the brain, but I felt that is the shortest way to get to true machine intelligence. + +1:53:12.080 --> 1:53:16.080 + And I want to get to true machine intelligence because even if it doesn't occur in my lifetime, + +1:53:16.080 --> 1:53:19.080 + other people will benefit from it because I think it'll occur in my lifetime. + +1:53:19.080 --> 1:53:21.080 + But, you know, 20 years, you never know. + +1:53:21.080 --> 1:53:27.080 + And, but that will be the quickest way for us to, you know, we can make super mathematicians. + +1:53:27.080 --> 1:53:29.080 + We can make super space explorers. + +1:53:29.080 --> 1:53:36.080 + We can make super physicists brains that do these things and that can run experiments + +1:53:36.080 --> 1:53:37.080 + that we can't run. + +1:53:37.080 --> 1:53:40.080 + We don't have the abilities to manipulate things and so on. + +1:53:40.080 --> 1:53:42.080 + But we can build and tell the machines to do all those things. + +1:53:42.080 --> 1:53:48.080 + And with the ultimate goal of finding out the answers to the other questions. + +1:53:48.080 --> 1:53:56.080 + Let me ask, you know, the depressing and difficult question, which is once we achieve that goal, + +1:53:56.080 --> 1:54:03.080 + do you, of creating, no, of understanding intelligence, do you think we would be happier, + +1:54:03.080 --> 1:54:05.080 + more fulfilled as a species? + +1:54:05.080 --> 1:54:08.080 + The understanding intelligence or understanding the answers to the big questions? + +1:54:08.080 --> 1:54:09.080 + Understanding intelligence. + +1:54:09.080 --> 1:54:11.080 + Oh, totally. + +1:54:11.080 --> 1:54:12.080 + Totally. + +1:54:12.080 --> 1:54:14.080 + It would be far more fun place to live. + +1:54:14.080 --> 1:54:15.080 + You think so? + +1:54:15.080 --> 1:54:16.080 + Oh, yeah. + +1:54:16.080 --> 1:54:17.080 + Why not? + +1:54:17.080 --> 1:54:22.080 + I just put aside this, you know, terminator nonsense and, and, and, and just think about, + +1:54:22.080 --> 1:54:26.080 + you can think about the, we can talk about the risk of AI if you want. + +1:54:26.080 --> 1:54:27.080 + I'd love to. + +1:54:27.080 --> 1:54:28.080 + So let's talk about. + +1:54:28.080 --> 1:54:30.080 + But I think the world is far better knowing things. + +1:54:30.080 --> 1:54:32.080 + We're always better than no things. + +1:54:32.080 --> 1:54:33.080 + Do you think it's better? + +1:54:33.080 --> 1:54:38.080 + Is it a better place to live in that I know that our planet is one of many in the solar system + +1:54:38.080 --> 1:54:40.080 + and the solar system is one of many in the galaxy? + +1:54:40.080 --> 1:54:44.080 + I think it's a more, I dread, I used to, I sometimes think like, God, what would be like + +1:54:44.080 --> 1:54:47.080 + the 300 years ago, I'd be looking up the sky, I can't understand anything. + +1:54:47.080 --> 1:54:48.080 + Oh my God. + +1:54:48.080 --> 1:54:50.080 + I'd be like going to bed every night going, what's going on here? + +1:54:50.080 --> 1:54:54.080 + Well, I mean, in some sense, I agree with you, but I'm not exactly sure. + +1:54:54.080 --> 1:54:55.080 + So I'm also a scientist. + +1:54:55.080 --> 1:55:01.080 + So I have, I share your views, but I'm not, we're, we're like rolling down the hill together. + +1:55:01.080 --> 1:55:03.080 + What's down the hill? + +1:55:03.080 --> 1:55:05.080 + I feel for climbing a hill. + +1:55:05.080 --> 1:55:07.080 + Whatever we're getting, we're getting closer to enlightenment. + +1:55:07.080 --> 1:55:08.080 + Whatever. + +1:55:08.080 --> 1:55:12.080 + We're climbing, we're getting pulled up a hill. + +1:55:12.080 --> 1:55:14.080 + Pulled up by our curiosity. + +1:55:14.080 --> 1:55:17.080 + We're pulling ourselves up the hill by our curiosity. + +1:55:17.080 --> 1:55:19.080 + Yeah, sycophers are doing the same thing with the rock. + +1:55:19.080 --> 1:55:21.080 + Yeah, yeah, yeah. + +1:55:21.080 --> 1:55:29.080 + But okay, our happiness aside, do you have concerns about, you know, you talk about Sam Harris, Elon Musk, + +1:55:29.080 --> 1:55:32.080 + of existential threats of intelligence systems? + +1:55:32.080 --> 1:55:34.080 + No, I'm not worried about existential threats at all. + +1:55:34.080 --> 1:55:36.080 + There are some things we really do need to worry about. + +1:55:36.080 --> 1:55:38.080 + Even today's AI, we have things we have to worry about. + +1:55:38.080 --> 1:55:43.080 + We have to worry about privacy and about how it impacts false beliefs in the world. + +1:55:43.080 --> 1:55:48.080 + And we have real problems that, and things to worry about with today's AI. + +1:55:48.080 --> 1:55:51.080 + And that will continue as we create more intelligent systems. + +1:55:51.080 --> 1:55:59.080 + There's no question, you know, the whole issue about, you know, making intelligent armament and weapons is something that really we have to think about carefully. + +1:55:59.080 --> 1:56:01.080 + I don't think of those as existential threats. + +1:56:01.080 --> 1:56:09.080 + I think those are the kind of threats we always face and we'll have to face them here and we'll have to deal with them. + +1:56:09.080 --> 1:56:17.080 + We can talk about what people think are the existential threats, but when I hear people talking about them, they all sound hollow to me. + +1:56:17.080 --> 1:56:21.080 + They're based on ideas, they're based on people who really have no idea what intelligence is. + +1:56:21.080 --> 1:56:26.080 + And if they knew what intelligence was, they wouldn't say those things. + +1:56:26.080 --> 1:56:29.080 + So those are not experts in the field, you know. + +1:56:29.080 --> 1:56:31.080 + So there's two, right? + +1:56:31.080 --> 1:56:33.080 + So one is like superintelligence. + +1:56:33.080 --> 1:56:42.080 + So a system that becomes far, far superior in reasoning ability than us humans. + +1:56:42.080 --> 1:56:45.080 + And how is that an existential threat? + +1:56:45.080 --> 1:56:49.080 + So there's a lot of ways in which it could be. + +1:56:49.080 --> 1:57:00.080 + One way is us humans are actually irrational, inefficient and get in the way of not happiness, + +1:57:00.080 --> 1:57:05.080 + but whatever the objective function is of maximizing that objective function and superintelligence. + +1:57:05.080 --> 1:57:07.080 + The paperclip problem and things like that. + +1:57:07.080 --> 1:57:09.080 + So the paperclip problem, but with the superintelligence. + +1:57:09.080 --> 1:57:10.080 + Yeah, yeah, yeah. + +1:57:10.080 --> 1:57:15.080 + So we already faced this threat in some sense. + +1:57:15.080 --> 1:57:17.080 + They're called bacteria. + +1:57:17.080 --> 1:57:21.080 + These are organisms in the world that would like to turn everything into bacteria. + +1:57:21.080 --> 1:57:23.080 + And they're constantly morphing. + +1:57:23.080 --> 1:57:26.080 + They're constantly changing to evade our protections. + +1:57:26.080 --> 1:57:33.080 + And in the past, they have killed huge swaths of populations of humans on this planet. + +1:57:33.080 --> 1:57:38.080 + So if you want to worry about something that's going to multiply endlessly, we have it. + +1:57:38.080 --> 1:57:43.080 + And I'm far more worried in that regard, I'm far more worried that some scientists in the laboratory + +1:57:43.080 --> 1:57:47.080 + will create a super virus or a super bacteria that we cannot control. + +1:57:47.080 --> 1:57:49.080 + That is a more existential threat. + +1:57:49.080 --> 1:57:54.080 + Putting an intelligence thing on top of it actually seems to make it less existential to me. + +1:57:54.080 --> 1:57:56.080 + It's like, it limits its power. + +1:57:56.080 --> 1:57:57.080 + It limits where it can go. + +1:57:57.080 --> 1:57:59.080 + It limits the number of things it can do in many ways. + +1:57:59.080 --> 1:58:02.080 + A bacteria is something you can't even see. + +1:58:02.080 --> 1:58:04.080 + So that's only one of those problems. + +1:58:04.080 --> 1:58:05.080 + Yes, exactly. + +1:58:05.080 --> 1:58:09.080 + So the other one, just in your intuition about intelligence, + +1:58:09.080 --> 1:58:12.080 + when you think about intelligence of us humans, + +1:58:12.080 --> 1:58:14.080 + do you think of that as something, + +1:58:14.080 --> 1:58:18.080 + if you look at intelligence on a spectrum from zero to us humans, + +1:58:18.080 --> 1:58:24.080 + do you think you can scale that to something far superior to all the mechanisms we've been talking about? + +1:58:24.080 --> 1:58:27.080 + I want to make another point here, Alex, before I get there. + +1:58:27.080 --> 1:58:30.080 + Intelligence is the neocortex. + +1:58:30.080 --> 1:58:32.080 + It is not the entire brain. + +1:58:32.080 --> 1:58:36.080 + The goal is not to make a human. + +1:58:36.080 --> 1:58:38.080 + The goal is not to make an emotional system. + +1:58:38.080 --> 1:58:41.080 + The goal is not to make a system that wants to have sex and reproduce. + +1:58:41.080 --> 1:58:42.080 + Why would I build that? + +1:58:42.080 --> 1:58:44.080 + If I want to have a system that wants to reproduce and have sex, + +1:58:44.080 --> 1:58:47.080 + make bacteria, make computer viruses. + +1:58:47.080 --> 1:58:48.080 + Those are bad things. + +1:58:48.080 --> 1:58:49.080 + Don't do that. + +1:58:49.080 --> 1:58:50.080 + Those are really bad. + +1:58:50.080 --> 1:58:51.080 + Don't do those things. + +1:58:51.080 --> 1:58:53.080 + Regulate those. + +1:58:53.080 --> 1:58:56.080 + But if I just say, I want an intelligent system, + +1:58:56.080 --> 1:58:58.080 + why doesn't it have to have any human like emotions? + +1:58:58.080 --> 1:59:00.080 + Why does it even care if it lives? + +1:59:00.080 --> 1:59:02.080 + Why does it even care if it has food? + +1:59:02.080 --> 1:59:04.080 + It doesn't care about those things. + +1:59:04.080 --> 1:59:07.080 + It's just in a trance thinking about mathematics, + +1:59:07.080 --> 1:59:12.080 + or it's out there just trying to build the space for it on Mars. + +1:59:12.080 --> 1:59:15.080 + That's a choice we make. + +1:59:15.080 --> 1:59:17.080 + Don't make human like things. + +1:59:17.080 --> 1:59:18.080 + Don't make replicating things. + +1:59:18.080 --> 1:59:19.080 + Don't make things that have emotions. + +1:59:19.080 --> 1:59:21.080 + Just stick to the neocortex. + +1:59:21.080 --> 1:59:24.080 + That's a view, actually, that I share, but not everybody shares, + +1:59:24.080 --> 1:59:28.080 + in the sense that you have faith and optimism about us as engineers + +1:59:28.080 --> 1:59:31.080 + and systems, humans as builders of systems, + +1:59:31.080 --> 1:59:35.080 + to not put in different stupid things. + +1:59:35.080 --> 1:59:37.080 + This is why I mentioned the bacteria one, + +1:59:37.080 --> 1:59:40.080 + because you might say, well, some person's going to do that. + +1:59:40.080 --> 1:59:42.080 + Well, some person today could create a bacteria + +1:59:42.080 --> 1:59:46.080 + that's resistant to all the known antibacterial agents. + +1:59:46.080 --> 1:59:49.080 + So we already have that threat. + +1:59:49.080 --> 1:59:51.080 + We already know this is going on. + +1:59:51.080 --> 1:59:52.080 + It's not a new threat. + +1:59:52.080 --> 1:59:56.080 + So just accept that, and then we have to deal with it, right? + +1:59:56.080 --> 1:59:59.080 + Yeah, so my point is nothing to do with intelligence. + +1:59:59.080 --> 2:00:02.080 + Intelligence is a separate component that you might apply + +2:00:02.080 --> 2:00:05.080 + to a system that wants to reproduce and do stupid things. + +2:00:05.080 --> 2:00:07.080 + Let's not do that. + +2:00:07.080 --> 2:00:10.080 + Yeah, in fact, it is a mystery why people haven't done that yet. + +2:00:10.080 --> 2:00:14.080 + My dad as a physicist believes that the reason, + +2:00:14.080 --> 2:00:19.080 + for example, nuclear weapons haven't proliferated amongst evil people. + +2:00:19.080 --> 2:00:25.080 + So one belief that I share is that there's not that many evil people in the world + +2:00:25.080 --> 2:00:32.080 + that would use whether it's bacteria or nuclear weapons, + +2:00:32.080 --> 2:00:35.080 + or maybe the future AI systems to do bad. + +2:00:35.080 --> 2:00:37.080 + So the fraction is small. + +2:00:37.080 --> 2:00:40.080 + And the second is that it's actually really hard, technically. + +2:00:40.080 --> 2:00:45.080 + So the intersection between evil and competent is small. + +2:00:45.080 --> 2:00:47.080 + And by the way, to really annihilate humanity, + +2:00:47.080 --> 2:00:51.080 + you'd have to have sort of the nuclear winter phenomenon, + +2:00:51.080 --> 2:00:54.080 + which is not one person shooting or even 10 bombs. + +2:00:54.080 --> 2:00:58.080 + You'd have to have some automated system that detonates a million bombs, + +2:00:58.080 --> 2:01:00.080 + or whatever many thousands we have. + +2:01:00.080 --> 2:01:03.080 + So it's extreme evil combined with extreme competence. + +2:01:03.080 --> 2:01:06.080 + And despite building some stupid system that would automatically, + +2:01:06.080 --> 2:01:10.080 + you know, Dr. Strangelup type of thing, you know, + +2:01:10.080 --> 2:01:14.080 + I mean, look, we could have some nuclear bomb go off in some major city in the world. + +2:01:14.080 --> 2:01:17.080 + I think that's actually quite likely, even in my lifetime. + +2:01:17.080 --> 2:01:20.080 + I don't think that's an unlikely thing, and it would be a tragedy. + +2:01:20.080 --> 2:01:23.080 + But it won't be an existential threat. + +2:01:23.080 --> 2:01:27.080 + And it's the same as, you know, the virus of 1917 or whatever it was, + +2:01:27.080 --> 2:01:29.080 + you know, the influenza. + +2:01:29.080 --> 2:01:33.080 + These bad things can happen and the plague and so on. + +2:01:33.080 --> 2:01:35.080 + We can't always prevent it. + +2:01:35.080 --> 2:01:37.080 + We always try, but we can't. + +2:01:37.080 --> 2:01:41.080 + But they're not existential threats until we combine all those crazy things together. + +2:01:41.080 --> 2:01:45.080 + So on the spectrum of intelligence from zero to human, + +2:01:45.080 --> 2:01:51.080 + do you have a sense of whether it's possible to create several orders of magnitude + +2:01:51.080 --> 2:01:54.080 + or at least double that of human intelligence, + +2:01:54.080 --> 2:01:56.080 + to talk about neural cortex? + +2:01:56.080 --> 2:01:58.080 + I think it's the wrong thing to say, double the intelligence. + +2:01:58.080 --> 2:02:01.080 + Break it down into different components. + +2:02:01.080 --> 2:02:04.080 + Can I make something that's a million times faster than a human brain? + +2:02:04.080 --> 2:02:06.080 + Yes, I can do that. + +2:02:06.080 --> 2:02:10.080 + Could I make something that is, has a lot more storage than a human brain? + +2:02:10.080 --> 2:02:13.080 + Yes, I can do that. More copies come. + +2:02:13.080 --> 2:02:16.080 + Can I make something that attaches to different sensors than a human brain? + +2:02:16.080 --> 2:02:17.080 + Yes, I can do that. + +2:02:17.080 --> 2:02:19.080 + Could I make something that's distributed? + +2:02:19.080 --> 2:02:23.080 + We talked earlier about the departure of neural cortex voting. + +2:02:23.080 --> 2:02:25.080 + They don't have to be co located. + +2:02:25.080 --> 2:02:29.080 + They can be all around the places. I could do that too. + +2:02:29.080 --> 2:02:32.080 + Those are the levers I have, but is it more intelligent? + +2:02:32.080 --> 2:02:35.080 + What depends what I train in on? What is it doing? + +2:02:35.080 --> 2:02:37.080 + So here's the thing. + +2:02:37.080 --> 2:02:46.080 + Let's say larger neural cortex and or whatever size that allows for higher and higher hierarchies + +2:02:46.080 --> 2:02:49.080 + to form, we're talking about reference frames and concepts. + +2:02:49.080 --> 2:02:53.080 + So I could, could I have something that's a super physicist or a super mathematician? Yes. + +2:02:53.080 --> 2:02:59.080 + And the question is, once you have a super physicist, will they be able to understand something? + +2:02:59.080 --> 2:03:03.080 + Do you have a sense that it will be orders, like us compared to ants? + +2:03:03.080 --> 2:03:04.080 + Could we ever understand it? + +2:03:04.080 --> 2:03:05.080 + Yeah. + +2:03:05.080 --> 2:03:11.080 + Most people cannot understand general relativity. + +2:03:11.080 --> 2:03:13.080 + It's a really hard thing to get. + +2:03:13.080 --> 2:03:17.080 + I mean, you can paint it in a fuzzy picture, stretchy space, you know? + +2:03:17.080 --> 2:03:18.080 + Yeah. + +2:03:18.080 --> 2:03:23.080 + But the field equations to do that and the deep intuitions are really, really hard. + +2:03:23.080 --> 2:03:26.080 + And I've tried, I'm unable to do it. + +2:03:26.080 --> 2:03:32.080 + It's easy to get special relative, but general relative, man, that's too much. + +2:03:32.080 --> 2:03:35.080 + And so we already live with this to some extent. + +2:03:35.080 --> 2:03:40.080 + The vast majority of people can't understand actually what the vast majority of other people actually know. + +2:03:40.080 --> 2:03:45.080 + We're just either we don't have the effort to or we can't or we don't have time or just not smart enough, whatever. + +2:03:45.080 --> 2:03:48.080 + So, but we have ways of communicating. + +2:03:48.080 --> 2:03:51.080 + Einstein has spoken in a way that I can understand. + +2:03:51.080 --> 2:03:54.080 + He's given me analogies that are useful. + +2:03:54.080 --> 2:04:00.080 + I can use those analogies for my own work and think about, you know, concepts that are similar. + +2:04:00.080 --> 2:04:02.080 + It's not stupid. + +2:04:02.080 --> 2:04:04.080 + It's not like he's existed in some other plane. + +2:04:04.080 --> 2:04:06.080 + There's no connection to my plane in the world here. + +2:04:06.080 --> 2:04:07.080 + So that will occur. + +2:04:07.080 --> 2:04:09.080 + It already has occurred. + +2:04:09.080 --> 2:04:12.080 + That's when my point at this story is it already has occurred. + +2:04:12.080 --> 2:04:14.080 + We live it every day. + +2:04:14.080 --> 2:04:21.080 + One could argue that with we create machine intelligence that think a million times faster than us that it'll be so far we can't make the connections. + +2:04:21.080 --> 2:04:29.080 + But, you know, at the moment, everything that seems really, really hard to figure out in the world when you actually figure it out is not that hard. + +2:04:29.080 --> 2:04:32.080 + You know, almost everyone can understand the multiverses. + +2:04:32.080 --> 2:04:34.080 + Almost everyone can understand quantum physics. + +2:04:34.080 --> 2:04:38.080 + Almost everyone can understand these basic things, even though hardly any people could figure those things out. + +2:04:38.080 --> 2:04:40.080 + Yeah, but really understand. + +2:04:40.080 --> 2:04:43.080 + But you don't need to really, only a few people really understand. + +2:04:43.080 --> 2:04:49.080 + You need to only understand the projections, the sprinkles of the useful insights from that. + +2:04:49.080 --> 2:04:51.080 + That was my example of Einstein, right? + +2:04:51.080 --> 2:04:55.080 + His general theory of relativity is one thing that very, very, very few people can get. + +2:04:55.080 --> 2:04:59.080 + And what if we just said those other few people are also artificial intelligences? + +2:04:59.080 --> 2:05:01.080 + How bad is that? + +2:05:01.080 --> 2:05:02.080 + In some sense they are, right? + +2:05:02.080 --> 2:05:03.080 + Yeah, they say already. + +2:05:03.080 --> 2:05:05.080 + I mean, Einstein wasn't a really normal person. + +2:05:05.080 --> 2:05:07.080 + He had a lot of weird quirks. + +2:05:07.080 --> 2:05:09.080 + And so the other people who work with him. + +2:05:09.080 --> 2:05:15.080 + So, you know, maybe they already were sort of this actual plane of intelligence that we live with it already. + +2:05:15.080 --> 2:05:17.080 + It's not a problem. + +2:05:17.080 --> 2:05:20.080 + It's still useful and, you know. + +2:05:20.080 --> 2:05:24.080 + So do you think we are the only intelligent life out there in the universe? + +2:05:24.080 --> 2:05:29.080 + I would say that intelligent life has and will exist elsewhere in the universe. + +2:05:29.080 --> 2:05:31.080 + I'll say that. + +2:05:31.080 --> 2:05:39.080 + There is a question about contemporaneous intelligence life, which is hard to even answer when we think about relativity and the nature of space time. + +2:05:39.080 --> 2:05:43.080 + We can't say what exactly is this time someplace else in the world. + +2:05:43.080 --> 2:05:54.080 + But I think it's, you know, I do worry a lot about the filter idea, which is that perhaps intelligent species don't last very long. + +2:05:54.080 --> 2:05:56.080 + And so we haven't been around very long. + +2:05:56.080 --> 2:06:02.080 + As a technological species, we've been around for almost nothing, you know, what, 200 years or something like that. + +2:06:02.080 --> 2:06:08.080 + And we don't have any data, a good data point on whether it's likely that we'll survive or not. + +2:06:08.080 --> 2:06:12.080 + So do I think that there have been intelligent life elsewhere in the universe? + +2:06:12.080 --> 2:06:14.080 + Almost certainly, of course. + +2:06:14.080 --> 2:06:16.080 + In the past, in the future, yes. + +2:06:16.080 --> 2:06:18.080 + Does it survive for a long time? + +2:06:18.080 --> 2:06:19.080 + I don't know. + +2:06:19.080 --> 2:06:25.080 + This is another reason I'm excited about our work, is our work meaning the general world of AI. + +2:06:25.080 --> 2:06:31.080 + I think we can build intelligent machines that outlast us. + +2:06:31.080 --> 2:06:34.080 + You know, they don't have to be tied to Earth. + +2:06:34.080 --> 2:06:39.080 + They don't have to, you know, I'm not saying they're recreating, you know, you know, aliens. + +2:06:39.080 --> 2:06:44.080 + I'm just saying, if I asked myself, and this might be a good point to end on here. + +2:06:44.080 --> 2:06:47.080 + If I asked myself, you know, what's special about our species? + +2:06:47.080 --> 2:06:49.080 + We're not particularly interesting physically. + +2:06:49.080 --> 2:06:51.080 + We're not, we don't fly. + +2:06:51.080 --> 2:06:52.080 + We're not good swimmers. + +2:06:52.080 --> 2:06:53.080 + We're not very fast. + +2:06:53.080 --> 2:06:54.080 + We're not very strong, you know. + +2:06:54.080 --> 2:06:55.080 + It's our brain. + +2:06:55.080 --> 2:06:56.080 + That's the only thing. + +2:06:56.080 --> 2:07:01.080 + And we are the only species on this planet that's built the model of the world that extends beyond what we can actually sense. + +2:07:01.080 --> 2:07:09.080 + We're the only people who know about the far side of the moon and other universes and other galaxies and other stars and what happens in the atom. + +2:07:09.080 --> 2:07:12.080 + That knowledge doesn't exist anywhere else. + +2:07:12.080 --> 2:07:13.080 + It's only in our heads. + +2:07:13.080 --> 2:07:14.080 + Cats don't do it. + +2:07:14.080 --> 2:07:15.080 + Dogs don't do it. + +2:07:15.080 --> 2:07:16.080 + Monkeys don't do it. + +2:07:16.080 --> 2:07:18.080 + That is what we've created that's unique. + +2:07:18.080 --> 2:07:19.080 + Not our genes. + +2:07:19.080 --> 2:07:20.080 + It's knowledge. + +2:07:20.080 --> 2:07:24.080 + And if I ask me, what is the legacy of humanity? + +2:07:24.080 --> 2:07:25.080 + What should our legacy be? + +2:07:25.080 --> 2:07:26.080 + It should be knowledge. + +2:07:26.080 --> 2:07:30.080 + We should preserve our knowledge in a way that it can exist beyond us. + +2:07:30.080 --> 2:07:38.080 + And I think the best way of doing that, in fact, you have to do it, is to have to go along with intelligent machines to understand that knowledge. + +2:07:38.080 --> 2:07:44.080 + It's a very broad idea, but we should be thinking, I call it a state planning for humanity. + +2:07:44.080 --> 2:07:49.080 + We should be thinking about what we want to leave behind when as a species we're no longer here. + +2:07:49.080 --> 2:07:51.080 + And that will happen sometime. + +2:07:51.080 --> 2:07:52.080 + Sooner or later, it's going to happen. + +2:07:52.080 --> 2:07:58.080 + And understanding intelligence and creating intelligence gives us a better chance to prolong. + +2:07:58.080 --> 2:08:00.080 + It does give us a better chance to prolong life. + +2:08:00.080 --> 2:08:01.080 + Yes. + +2:08:01.080 --> 2:08:03.080 + It gives us a chance to live on other planets. + +2:08:03.080 --> 2:08:07.080 + But even beyond that, I mean, our solar system will disappear one day. + +2:08:07.080 --> 2:08:09.080 + It's given enough time. + +2:08:09.080 --> 2:08:10.080 + So I don't know. + +2:08:10.080 --> 2:08:14.080 + I doubt we will ever be able to travel to other things. + +2:08:14.080 --> 2:08:18.080 + But we could tell the stars, but we could send intelligent machines to do that. + +2:08:18.080 --> 2:08:29.080 + Do you have an optimistic, a hopeful view of our knowledge of the echoes of human civilization living through the intelligent systems we create? + +2:08:29.080 --> 2:08:30.080 + Oh, totally. + +2:08:30.080 --> 2:08:32.080 + Well, I think the intelligent systems are greater. + +2:08:32.080 --> 2:08:39.080 + In some sense, the vessel for bringing them beyond Earth or making them last beyond humans themselves. + +2:08:39.080 --> 2:08:41.080 + So how do you feel about that? + +2:08:41.080 --> 2:08:44.080 + That they won't be human, quote unquote. + +2:08:44.080 --> 2:08:48.080 + Human, what is human? Our species are changing all the time. + +2:08:48.080 --> 2:08:52.080 + Human today is not the same as human just 50 years ago. + +2:08:52.080 --> 2:08:54.080 + What is human? Do we care about our genetics? + +2:08:54.080 --> 2:08:56.080 + Why is that important? + +2:08:56.080 --> 2:08:59.080 + As I point out, our genetics are no more interesting than a bacterium's genetics. + +2:08:59.080 --> 2:09:01.080 + It's no more interesting than a monkey's genetics. + +2:09:01.080 --> 2:09:07.080 + What we have, what's unique and what's valuable is our knowledge, what we've learned about the world. + +2:09:07.080 --> 2:09:09.080 + And that is the rare thing. + +2:09:09.080 --> 2:09:11.080 + That's the thing we want to preserve. + +2:09:11.080 --> 2:09:15.080 + Who cares about our genes? + +2:09:15.080 --> 2:09:17.080 + It's the knowledge. + +2:09:17.080 --> 2:09:19.080 + That's a really good place to end. + +2:09:19.080 --> 2:09:42.080 + Thank you so much for talking to me. +