{ "edge": [ { "name": "$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket - Microsoft Edge", "rectangle": [ 0, 0, 1920, 1040 ], "class_name": "Pane", "depth": "1", "elements": [ [ { "name": "Personal Profile, Please check notification", "rectangle": [ 8, 3, 36, 31 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-4" }, { "name": "Workspaces", "rectangle": [ 44, 3, 80, 31 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-5" }, { "name": "Tab actions menu", "rectangle": [ 83, 0, 1782, 35 ], "class_name": "TabControl", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-6" }, { "name": "Tab actions menu", "rectangle": [ 88, 3, 120, 31 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-7" }, { "name": "$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket", "rectangle": [ 123, 0, 379, 35 ], "class_name": "TabItem", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-8" }, { "name": "CommentComment", "rectangle": [ 318, 0, 1107, 1040 ], "class_name": "ListBox", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-29" }, { "name": "Close tab", "rectangle": [ 347, 9, 364, 26 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-9" }, { "name": "It should be noted that polymarket is not available to US users without a VPN. What this means is the vast, vast majority of users are NOT people who are going to actually vote, or even live in the US, which makes its value as a predictor even more questionable.", "rectangle": [ 364, 19, 1058, 82 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-30" }, { "name": "New Tab", "rectangle": [ 379, 0, 407, 35 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-10" }, { "name": "Minimize", "rectangle": [ 1782, 0, 1828, 34 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-1" }, { "name": "Restore", "rectangle": [ 1828, 0, 1874, 34 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-2" }, { "name": "Close", "rectangle": [ 1874, 0, 1920, 34 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-3" } ], [ { "name": "Back", "rectangle": [ 0, 38, 48, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-11" }, { "name": "Refresh", "rectangle": [ 52, 38, 92, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-12" }, { "name": "View site information", "rectangle": [ 106, 40, 146, 66 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-13" }, { "name": "https://gizmodo.com/30-million-is-all-it-took-to-shift-the-odds-in-trumps-favor-on-polymarket-2000513653", "rectangle": [ 145, 40, 1526, 66 ], "class_name": "Edit", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-14" }, { "name": "Read aloud this page (Ctrl+Shift+U)", "rectangle": [ 1527, 40, 1567, 66 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-15" }, { "name": "Enter Immersive Reader (F9)", "rectangle": [ 1567, 40, 1607, 66 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-16" }, { "name": "Add this page to favorites (Ctrl+D)", "rectangle": [ 1607, 40, 1647, 66 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-17" }, { "name": "Split screen", "rectangle": [ 1660, 38, 1700, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-18" }, { "name": "Favorites", "rectangle": [ 1704, 38, 1744, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-19" }, { "name": "Collections", "rectangle": [ 1748, 38, 1788, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-20" }, { "name": "Browser essentials", "rectangle": [ 1792, 38, 1832, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-21" }, { "name": "Settings and more (Alt+F)", "rectangle": [ 1836, 38, 1876, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-22" }, { "name": "Copilot (Ctrl+Shift+.)", "rectangle": [ 1880, 38, 1916, 68 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-23" } ], [ { "name": "$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket", "rectangle": [ 4, 72, 1916, 1036 ], "class_name": "Document", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-24" } ], [ { "name": "Reply to a comment", "rectangle": [ 358, 87, 405, 114 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-31" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 410, 88, 416, 112 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-32" }, { "name": "Vote Up", "rectangle": [ 421, 87, 467, 114 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-33" } ], [ { "name": "Magnanimous Ire Profile ImageMagnanimous Ire19 Oct, 2024 06:24 amConsidering the amount of dark money in US politics in general, foreign influence is not to be overlooked neither. Polymarket is popular with various international oligarchs. Trump is popular with these oligarchs just from the idealism of how much power and wealth they will get from a Trump preside...(Edited)Reply to a comment·Vote UpVote Down·", "rectangle": [ 318, 121, 1107, 297 ], "class_name": "ListBox", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-34" }, { "name": "Magnanimous Ire Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 318, 121, 1107, 297 ], "class_name": "ListItem", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-35" }, { "name": "Magnanimous Ire Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 359, 126, 385, 152 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-36" }, { "name": "Magnanimous Ire", "rectangle": [ 399, 126, 516, 148 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-37" }, { "name": "Open menu options", "rectangle": [ 1079, 124, 1101, 149 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-40" } ], [ { "name": "19 Oct, 2024 06:24 am", "rectangle": [ 399, 150, 457, 166 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-38" }, { "name": "1 day ago", "rectangle": [ 399, 150, 457, 166 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-39" } ], [ { "name": "Considering the amount of dark money in US politics in general, foreign influence is not to be overlooked neither. Polymarket is popular with various international oligarchs. Trump is popular with these oligarchs just from the idealism of how much power and wealth they will get from a Trump preside...", "rectangle": [ 400, 172, 1098, 235 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-41" }, { "name": "Advertisement", "rectangle": [ 1250, 168, 1551, 768 ], "class_name": "Document", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-104" }, { "name": "SafeFrame Container", "rectangle": [ 1250, 168, 1551, 768 ], "class_name": "Document", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-105" }, { "name": "Advertisement", "rectangle": [ 1250, 168, 1551, 768 ], "class_name": "Hyperlink", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-106" }, { "name": "Advertisement", "rectangle": [ 1250, 168, 1551, 768 ], "class_name": "Image", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-107" } ], [ { "name": "See more", "rectangle": [ 400, 239, 469, 257 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-42" }, { "name": "(Edited)", "rectangle": [ 478, 239, 531, 257 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-43" } ], [ { "name": "Reply to a comment", "rectangle": [ 394, 262, 441, 289 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-44" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 446, 263, 452, 287 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-45" }, { "name": "Vote Up", "rectangle": [ 457, 262, 495, 289 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-46" }, { "name": "Vote Down", "rectangle": [ 494, 263, 519, 288 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-47" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 524, 263, 530, 287 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-48" }, { "name": "Share", "rectangle": [ 535, 262, 584, 289 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-49" } ], [ { "name": "Show more replies", "rectangle": [ 376, 301, 494, 318 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-50" } ], [ { "name": "Brian K Anderson Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 318, 357, 349, 388 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-51" }, { "name": "Brian K Anderson", "rectangle": [ 363, 357, 483, 379 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-52" }, { "name": "Open menu options", "rectangle": [ 1079, 355, 1101, 380 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-55" } ], [ { "name": "19 Oct, 2024 02:50 am", "rectangle": [ 363, 381, 421, 397 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-53" }, { "name": "1 day ago", "rectangle": [ 363, 381, 421, 397 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-54" } ], [ { "name": "The only Presidential election model that I'm willing to pay attention to is Allan Lichtman's \"Keys to the White House\". Lichtman correctly predicted the winners of 9 of the 10 last Presidential elections, and the only one he got wrong was in 2000, when the winner was basically chosen by The Suprem...", "rectangle": [ 364, 403, 1061, 466 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-56" } ], [ { "name": "See more", "rectangle": [ 364, 470, 433, 488 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-57" } ], [ { "name": "Reply to a comment", "rectangle": [ 358, 493, 405, 520 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-58" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 410, 494, 416, 518 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-59" }, { "name": "Vote Up", "rectangle": [ 421, 493, 467, 520 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-60" }, { "name": "Vote Down", "rectangle": [ 466, 493, 504, 520 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-61" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 509, 494, 515, 518 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-62" }, { "name": "Share", "rectangle": [ 520, 493, 568, 520 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-63" } ], [ { "name": "Jean Mahfouz Profile ImageJean Mahfouz19 Oct, 2024 04:41 amI would be wary of Lichtman's model. There's an excellent Atlantic piece deconstructing it.  Lichtman originally asserted his model predicted popular-vote winners; not state-by-state results. So in 2016, his prediction of Trump winning was then essentially backwards -- ...Reply to a comment·Vote UpVote Down·Show more repliesdavid be Profile Imagedavid be19 Oct, 2024 04:47 amThe polls did not say that Hillary would win in a landslide. They said she would get a majority of the vote, which she did. They also said that it would be close in many key states, which it was. The media reading out those polls chose to focus on the 1st conclusion without further reflection. They...Reply to a comment·Vote UpVote Down·Show more replies", "rectangle": [ 318, 527, 1107, 959 ], "class_name": "ListBox", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-64" }, { "name": "Jean Mahfouz Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 318, 527, 1107, 751 ], "class_name": "ListItem", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-65" }, { "name": "Jean Mahfouz Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 359, 532, 385, 558 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-66" }, { "name": "Jean Mahfouz", "rectangle": [ 399, 532, 494, 554 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-67" }, { "name": "Open menu options", "rectangle": [ 1079, 530, 1101, 555 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-70" } ], [ { "name": "19 Oct, 2024 04:41 am", "rectangle": [ 399, 556, 457, 572 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-68" }, { "name": "1 day ago", "rectangle": [ 399, 556, 457, 572 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-69" } ], [ { "name": "I would be wary of Lichtman's model. There's an excellent ", "rectangle": [ 400, 578, 788, 596 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-71" }, { "name": "Atlantic ", "rectangle": [ 787, 578, 847, 596 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-72" }, { "name": "piece deconstructing it. ", "rectangle": [ 847, 578, 1005, 596 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-73" } ], [ { "name": "Lichtman originally asserted his model predicted popular-vote winners; ", "rectangle": [ 400, 623, 873, 641 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-74" }, { "name": "state-by-state results. So in 2016, his prediction of Trump winning was then essentially backwards -- ...", "rectangle": [ 400, 623, 1084, 663 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-76" }, { "name": "not ", "rectangle": [ 872, 623, 898, 641 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-75" } ], [ { "name": "See more", "rectangle": [ 400, 668, 469, 686 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-77" } ], [ { "name": "Reply to a comment", "rectangle": [ 394, 690, 441, 717 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-78" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 446, 692, 452, 716 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-79" }, { "name": "Vote Up", "rectangle": [ 457, 690, 503, 717 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-80" }, { "name": "Vote Down", "rectangle": [ 502, 690, 540, 717 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-81" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 545, 692, 551, 716 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-82" }, { "name": "Share", "rectangle": [ 556, 690, 604, 717 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-83" } ], [ { "name": "Show more replies", "rectangle": [ 412, 722, 466, 739 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-84" } ], [ { "name": "david be Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 318, 757, 1107, 959 ], "class_name": "ListItem", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-85" }, { "name": "david be Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 359, 762, 385, 788 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-86" }, { "name": "david be", "rectangle": [ 399, 762, 458, 784 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-87" }, { "name": "Open menu options", "rectangle": [ 1079, 761, 1101, 785 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-90" } ], [ { "name": "19 Oct, 2024 04:47 am", "rectangle": [ 399, 786, 457, 802 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-88" }, { "name": "1 day ago", "rectangle": [ 399, 786, 457, 802 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-89" }, { "name": "Connatix video player", "rectangle": [ 1471, 781, 1871, 1006 ], "class_name": "Pane", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-25" }, { "name": "Close Player", "rectangle": [ 1827, 785, 1867, 825 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-26" } ], [ { "name": "The polls did not say that Hillary would win in a landslide. They said she would get a majority of the vote, which she did. They also said that it would be close in many key states, which it was. The media reading out those polls chose to focus on the 1st conclusion without further reflection. They...", "rectangle": [ 400, 808, 1097, 871 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-91" } ], [ { "name": "See more", "rectangle": [ 400, 876, 469, 894 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-92" }, { "name": "Pause (SPACE)", "rectangle": [ 1647, 869, 1695, 918 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-27" } ], [ { "name": "Reply to a comment", "rectangle": [ 394, 898, 441, 925 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-93" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 446, 900, 452, 924 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-94" }, { "name": "Vote Up", "rectangle": [ 457, 898, 495, 925 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-95" }, { "name": "Vote Down", "rectangle": [ 494, 898, 532, 925 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-96" }, { "name": "·", "rectangle": [ 537, 900, 543, 924 ], "class_name": "Static", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-97" }, { "name": "Share", "rectangle": [ 548, 898, 596, 925 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-98" } ], [ { "name": "Show more replies", "rectangle": [ 412, 930, 455, 947 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-99" } ], [ { "name": "Show more replies", "rectangle": [ 376, 963, 494, 980 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-100" }, { "name": "Read More", "rectangle": [ 1777, 961, 1866, 1001 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-28" } ], [ { "name": "Jer Profile Image", "rectangle": [ 318, 1019, 349, 1040 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-101" }, { "name": "Jer", "rectangle": [ 363, 1019, 386, 1040 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-102" }, { "name": "Open menu options", "rectangle": [ 1079, 1018, 1101, 1040 ], "class_name": "Button", "type": [ "Click", "rightClick" ], "depth": "1-103" } ] ] } ] }