In late July, Trump gained his first lead over Clinton in major polls following a 3 to 4 percentage point convention bounce at the Republican National Convention, in line with the average bounce in conventions since 2004, although it is toward the small side by historical standards.
Pada akhir Juli, Trump memimpin pertama kali atas Clinton di jajak pendapat utama menyusul convention bounce 3 sampai 4 persen di Konvensi Nasional Republik, sejalan dengan bouncing rata-rata pada konvensi sejak tahun 2004, meskipun ke arah sisi kecil menurut standar historis.