demand. in contrast, the performance of domestically - oriented manufacturing industry subsectors has moderated, particularly in java, in line with restrictions on production activities in essential sectors. however, external demand is still strong enough to support the processing industry, particularly the cpo ( crude palm oil ) industry in sumatra and the base metal industry in sulampua. restrictions on community mobility have also hindered trade sector performance, especially in java and the balinusra region. improvements in regional economic growth are expected to continue in 2021, with the regions of java, sumatra, kalimantan, balinusra, and sulampua growing3. 1 - 3. 9 % ; 2. 7 - 3. 5 % ; 2. 8 - 3. 6 % ; 0. 2 - 1. 0 %, and 5. 8 - 6. 6 %. c q an ekonomi regional triwulan iii 2021 ( %, yoy ) national 7. 07 3. 51 a nusa gara i ’ 21 gorontalo 3. 0 central sulawesi 10. 2 west sulawesi 2. 5 - 0. 71 - 2. 19 - 3. 49 north sulawesi 3. 2 iii south - east sulawesi 4. 0 iv i ii north maluku 11. 4 iii west papua - 1. 8 papua 14. 5 maluku 4. 2 south sulawesi 3. 2 east nusa tenggara 2. 4 balinusra sulampua 8. 62 3. 77 5. 79 3. 29 - 0. 09 0. 36 contraction, q iii ’ 21 < q ii ’ 21 - 5. 12 - 6. 81 iii - 7. 43 iv i ii iii indonesia has maintained external sector resilience, supported by a solid and improving balance of payments ( bop ). a positive current account was recorded in the third quarter of 2021, bolstered by strong export performance in line with growing global demand and higher international commodity prices ( table 3 ). a capital and financial account surplus was maintained by foreign capital in flows in the form of direct investment and portfolio investment. in the fourth quarter, the trade balance recorded a usd5. 7 billion surplus in october 2021, the highest in recorded history, underpinned by - 1. 05 iii iv i ii iii the export performance of key commodities, such as coal, cpo, as well as iron and steel. meanwhile, portfolio investment in the fourth quarter of 2021 ( as of 16th november 2021 ) recorded

. 8 - 3. 1 5. 7 4. 4 advanced economies 1. 6 - 4. 5 5. 1 3. 9 us 2. 2 - 3. 4 5. 9 3. 9 euro area 1. 3 - 6. 3 4. 8 4. 4 japan 0. 0 - 4. 6 2. 4 2. 5 3. 7 - 2. 1 6. 1 4. 9 china 6. 0 2. 3 8. 0 5. 4 india 4. 8 - 7. 1 8. 8 8. 1 asean 5 4. 9 - 3. 4 3. 9 5. 4 latin america 0. 1 - 7. 0 5. 1 2. 8 emerging europe 2. 5 - 2. 0 4. 7 3. 7 middle east dan asia 1. 4 - 2. 8 3. 9 3. 8 world trade volume - 0. 4 - 5. 3 8. 3 3. 8 indonesia export commodity price index - 3. 0 - 0. 8 60. 3 2. 5 emerging economies source : imf weo database october 2021, bank indonesia ’ s projection description : * projection recovery in various emdes. the world economic recovery is expected to gain momentum in the second half of 2022 and 2023 and beyond. 5 - year average despite indications of an increase in exploration and production ( graph 7 ). increasing demand fueled by the economic recovery that has exceeded supply capacity owing to limited mobility caused by the covid - 19 pandemic has disrupted global supply chains and created energy scarcity. delta variant transmission has caused numerous problems in the distribution and supply of energy and production globally, as reflected in the scarcity of containers, backlogs at many ports, longer delivery times, and rising shipping costs between countries, especially since april 2021 ( graph 6 ). in the us, gaps are also appearing in the labor market, as seen in the voluntary unemployment rate that is still increasing, and also in increasing wages in the hospitality and restaurant service sectors, education and health, retail sales, manufacturing, as well as trade. meanwhile, in producing countries, particularly china and other asian countries, the enforcement of mobility restrictions to break the domestic chain of delta variant transmission has resulted in production and inventory declines, as well as the ability to ship, both for production and energy inputs such as oil, coal, and others. concerning oil, inventories in the us have fallen below the disturbances in the distribution and supply of goods, exacerba