Gross portfolio equity inflows to emerging markets surged as investors substituted out of low growth developed markets (Chart 1). Gross equity inflows to certain emerging markets were large relative to domestic market capitalisation (Chart 2). The resulting indigestion problem caused bubbly behaviour in emerging asset markets. In response, a number of countries have thrown grit in the wheels of finance through macro-prudential measures or capital flow restrictions. These surges in foreign capital flows, and associated asset market spillovers, are far from new. Through this century, a new wave of inflows to emerging markets has been building. Although halted temporarily by the financial crisis, its effect has been to buoy emerging asset prices (Chart 3). Earlier centuries have seen many similar episodes of capital flow surges into emerging markets, from the South Sea bubble in 1720 to the East Asian crisis of the 1990s (Reinhart and Rogoff (2008)). Historically, as these waves have broken they have often caused quite a splash, with sharp capital and asset price reversals (IMF (2011)). Some commentators have called those capital reversals “sudden stops” (Dornbusch, Goldfajn and Valdés (1995)). But the underlying problem may be as much the start as the stop. The seeds of emerging market crises are sown in the build-up phase, as inflows dwarf the absorptive capacity of recipient countries’ capital markets. Capturing that dynamic requires a different metaphor – the “Big Fish Small Pond” (BFSP) problem. The Big Fish here are the large capital-exporting, advanced countries.

Lending to microfinance sector now counts for more than 10 per cent of the whole lending portfolio of the banking system. The quality of the microfinance loans has been satisfactory. On average, the portfolio at risk is between 1.5-2 percent, according to their reports. This is not only because of their small size (usually under 1.5 thousand euros each), but also because of the diversity of the projects, ensuring diversification of the loan portfolio. One should also say that the experience gained by the microfinance institutions in this area, have also played an important role for this good quality. The legal framework on microfinance was completed in 1996, with the approval of a special law that defined the principles upon which such institutions could be found and operate. Such principles for the specialized institutions included free will, reciprocal cooperation, capitalization of the profit and reinvestment in the community etc. Later developments made it necessary for the Law to change. Hence, a new Law “On Savings and Loans Associations and their Unions” was approved in Parliament on May of 2001. Several changes supported this new law. Besides the principles that were restated, the Law has defined the legal personality of the microfinance institutions, their permitted activities, the rights and the obligations of the members of the association, the managing structures of the associations and their functions, other important supervisory financial requirements and ratios, the role of the Unions and that of the Bank of Albania as the regulatory and the supervisory authority.