[2] Second, there has been a significant fall in the number of immigrant or foreign-born workers in the advanced economies, particularly among lower-wage occupations. [3] Third, preferences for work relative to non-work activities may have shifted during the pandemic. Recent US data show a persistent decline in desired hours worked especially among better-educated workers. [4] It remains to be seen whether these labour supply shifts are irreversible. Ultimately, so long as labour shortages continue, prices will edge higher compounding the pressure on central banks to hike further later this year. The second uncertainty is posed by China’s re-opening: a stronger-than-expected infrastructure-led rebound in China could pose an upward risk to global inflation. While we can anticipate an uptick in demand from China’s reopening, the extent to which this imparts a renewed impulse to global inflation is unclear. For now, China’s near-term developments appear unlikely to decisively reverse the global disinflation trend in 2023. The recovery of China’s consumer demand is expected to be led by domestically oriented consumer services rather than tradable goods. Unlike in advanced economies, China has a substantial supply of deployable labour suggesting that significant labour market tightening is unlikely. Producer prices in China are continuing to decline. The easing of pandemic-related supply chain disruptions will help moderate producer price pressures, imparting a mildly disinflationary impact on the global economy. However, a sharp rebound in economic activity in China on the back of robust infrastructure spending and an accelerated recovery of the property market could lead to higher global commodity prices.

Michael Gondwe: Collective bargaining Remarks by Dr Michael Gondwe, Governor of the Bank of Zambia, at the official opening of the Zambia Union of Financial and Allied Workers (ZUFIAW) Negotiations Forum – Phase 1, Lusaka, 20 March 2012. *  *  *    The ZUFIAW President, Mr Cephas Mukuka    The General Secretary of the Zambia Union of Financial Institutions and Allied Workers (ZUFIAW), Mrs Joyce Nonde Simukoko    The Executive Secretary of Federation of Free Trade Union in Zambia, Mr Lyson Mando    The Representative from the International Labour Organisation    Workshop Facilitators    Distinguished Participants    Ladies and Gentlemen  I wish to welcome you all to this important Workshop, on Collective Bargaining, organized by the Zambia Union of Financial and Allied Workers (ZUFIAW). Let me take this opportunity to commend ZUFIAW for taking the initiative to organise this Forum, which is intended to facilitate exchange of information and views on aspects of effective collective bargaining. Mr President, as you are aware, in spite of the recent global economic crisis, our country has continued to enjoy relative macroeconomic stability, with favourable prospects for the future. As a result of consistent implementation of appropriate macroeconomic policies: i. The country has registered positive real GDP growth averaging 6.5% annually since 2007. This is a necessary condition for poverty reduction efforts;  ii. Inflation and exchange rates developments have also been favourable.