Prasarn Trairatvorakul: Monetary policy in an interconnected global economy Opening remarks by Dr Prasarn Trairatvorakul, Governor of the Bank of Thailand, at a conference co-hosted by the Bank of Thailand and the International Monetary Fund, Bangkok, 1 November 2013. *  *  *  Distinguished Participants, Ladies and Gentlemen, I am delighted to welcome you to this conference on “Monetary Policy in an Interconnected Global Economy,” co-hosted by the Bank of Thailand and the International Monetary Fund. I would like to especially thank our international guests who have travelled a long way to be with us today. This conference will focus on several issues pertaining to cross-country linkages, international shock transmission, and how monetary policy should be conducted in response to global spillovers. One of the most important trends over the past decades is the rapid integration of international trade and finance. Trade in goods and services, as a share of world GDP, increased from around 15 percent in the early 1980s to around 25 percent before the start of the crisis in 2007. These developments reflect, in part, the increasing internationalization of production through vertical trade linkages. We have also seen a significant increase in financial integration. While the annual growth in world trade over the past 40 years has exceeded the growth in world GDP by around 2.6 percent on average, growth in international external positions outpaced growth in world GDP by almost double that – around 4.8 percent. What are the implications of these tighter trade and financial linkages?

Beyond the 4/5  BIS central bankers' speeches  potentially arbitrary labelling, the efficacy and desirability of a given policy should be judged solely by its outcome and its effectiveness in correcting market failures and imbalances. Only then can policies be evaluated intelligently, fairly and measurably. Today I have talked about how it has become more difficult for central bankers in open economies to conduct monetary policy. I attempted to highlight that in order to manage these difficult challenges, there needs to be sufficient pragmatism and agility by central bankers. Most importantly, policymakers have to be given sufficient space and autonomy to address rising challenges to our respective economies. I am reminded by John Baldoni’s article on “The Secret to Team Collaboration: Individuality”. The author warned about the risks of confusing between collectivism and collaboration. Collectivism leads to confined “group-think” and decisions; collaboration on the other hand breeds innovation. While collectivists do work towards a single goal, they ignore alternate paths to achieve that purpose. Collaborators, however, while similarly focused on a single purpose, arrive at their goals by incorporating different points of view and creative solutions. In short, collectivists value ideology over results. Collaborators are pragmatists that look for alternative ways to get things done. As we move forward and fight for greater policy autonomy, we might be tempted to think that integration and collaboration come at the expense of individuality and domestic autonomy. In my opinion, it is the exact opposite. Collaboration thrives with individuality and autonomy. This is not wishful thinking.