But the economic lessons of the past remain relevant. Openness comes with challenges. And as the world grows increasingly interconnected, these challenges will not only be more numerous, but they will also be more varied. Today, the Thai economy again faces challenges from the external front. The main challenge comes in the form of global financial imbalances; another challenge is the threat of high and variable oil prices. By global financial imbalances, I refer to the pattern of savings and investment allocation across the world. At the present, the US economy saves very little relative to its investment needs. Asian and oilproducing economies save more than their domestic investment opportunities. The European Union saves just enough. As a result, the US economy has been borrowing a large sum from Asia and oil producers. The magnitude of capital flows from the rest of the world to the US economy is not sustainable; it is a matter of time before the flows eventually reverse. And, in the process, the US  2  BIS Review 64/2007  dollar will depreciate against various currencies, including the Thai baht. The issue here is not only when the correction will take place, but how fast and how disruptive. Thailand, like many emerging market economies with small and shallow financial markets, is particularly vulnerable to fast-moving international capital. Such rapid movements of capital flows, if vastly out of line with the underlying economic fundamentals, can have negative impacts on the export or import sectors depending on the direction of exchange rate movement.

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen, The financial system and the banking sector at the heart of it play a unique role for economic development and welfare in Albania. This system provides payment instruments, contributing to the free circulation of products and services. It also offers savings and credit instruments for households and enterprises, promoting therefore development and enhancing welfare. The financial system helps households, enterprises and the economy to withstand shocks, by undertaking risks on its balance sheets and offering products to insure life, business activities and against natural disasters. Therefore, the efficiency, stability and sophistication of the financial system are essential preconditions for rapid, stable and comprehensive growth. The development level of an economy is inter-related and inter-dependent on the development level of its financial system. This has been extensively illustrated by the Albanian experience over the last three decades. The progress marked in the first decade of transition was conditioned by, among other things, embryonic developments in the banking and financial sectors. In the second decade, the activity of the banking sector expanded and competitiveness in this sector increased, setting the stage for crediting and economic growth to gather speed. This performance was disrupted by the global financial crisis effects spilled over to Albanian economy. However, unlike in many countries of the region, the crisis did not trigger recession or a proper financial crisis in Albania. Yet, indirect effects were present both in the economy and in the financial system.