Simon M Potter: The Federal Reserve’s counterparty framework – past, present and future Remarks by Mr Simon M Potter, Executive Vice President of the Markets Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, at the 2015 Roundtable on Treasury Markets and Debt Management, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, 19 November 2015. * * * Good evening. I would like to thank the Office of Debt Management for inviting me to speak at this year’s roundtable. This forum provides a valuable opportunity for policymakers, academics, and market participants to discuss issues related to the primary and secondary markets for U.S. Treasury securities. I will focus my remarks tonight on the counterparty framework employed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which directly affects not only our implementation of monetary policy, but also the underwriting and distribution of Treasury debt issuance. I will begin with an overview of the objectives that underpin the framework, continue by describing how those objectives have influenced the historical development of the primary dealer system, and conclude by looking ahead as the private and official sectors adapt to the evolving structure of the Treasury market. Before I begin, I would note that the views I share with you this evening are mine and do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.1 Principles and objectives Throughout the history of Federal Reserve operations in financial markets, our approach to engaging with counterparties has been designed to serve the effective implementation of monetary policy. The New York Fed, through its Open Market Desk (the Desk), is in the business of implementing policy as directed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC, or the Committee), and the Desk has demonstrated a willingness to engage with a wide range of counterparties to achieve this objective under the guidance of the Committee. In addition to its role in the implementation of monetary policy, the New York Fed has a number of responsibilities and duties as the fiscal agent for the U.S. Treasury. We have therefore also used our counterparty relationships to assist the activities we undertake in support of the Treasury. Indeed, for decades, the primary dealers have played a critical role not only in open market operations, but also in the underwriting and distribution of newly issued Treasury securities. In addition to carrying out these domestic operations, we stand ready to conduct a number of foreign exchange operations.2 Foreign exchange counterparties are essential to the successful implementation of U.S. foreign exchange policy operations, which are conducted by the Desk but directed and funded generally equally by the Fed and the Treasury. Similarly, the Desk’s foreign reserve management counterparties facilitate operations that are investments of the Fed’s and also the Treasury’s foreign currency reserves. Two other considerations underlie the counterparty framework and support the effective execution of open market operations and primary issuance of Treasury securities. First, the Desk has long recognized the importance of transacting with established, regulated market participants that are capable of settling trades and financing long and short positions reliably I would like to thank Stephen Douglass, Frank Keane, and Susan McLaughlin for their excellent assistance in the preparation of these remarks and colleagues in the Federal Reserve System for numerous insightful comments and suggestions. Counterparties also facilitate the Desk’s provision of services to foreign central banks, governments and international official institutions. Additional detail on these services can be found on this website. BIS central bankers’ speeches and on a consistent basis in a range of market conditions. Our counterparty framework must be of an appropriate size to provide adequate execution capacity and competitive pricing. Second, the execution of domestic open market operations and primary issuance of Treasuries is facilitated by a liquid, smoothly functioning secondary market for Treasury securities. The Federal Reserve’s abiding interest in promoting the integrity and efficiency of the secondary market has motivated our recent efforts to join other agencies in analyzing the events of October 15, 2014, and to understand the implications of the evolution of Treasury market structure and the increasing incidence of electronic and automated trading. The Treasury Market Practices Group (TMPG), a private sector group of market professionals sponsored by the New York Fed, has played an important role in these efforts. Building on analysis that started before October 15, 2014, the TMPG released earlier this year an updated set of best practice recommendations and a companion white paper discussing automated trading.3 As is typical of TMPG initiatives, the group’s work on automated trading was undertaken to support market liquidity amid these changes in the market ecosystem. Much work remains to calibrate an appropriate response to changes in market structure, and last month’s conference “The Evolving Structure of the U.S. Treasury Market” provided a valuable opportunity for the official and private sectors to engage in a healthy and open debate on a range of related topics.4 The conference, organized by the Treasury, the Federal Reserve Board, the New York Fed, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, featured a review of the agencies’ July 2015 Joint Staff Report and highlighted a number of key issues, including the adequacy of the Treasury market data currently available to the public and to the official sector, the impact of the current regulatory environment on liquidity, and some potential operational risks posed by shifting market structure and trading behavior.5 The Treasury made clear at the conference that work in this area is ongoing when it disclosed plans for the agencies to issue in the near future a request for information on the next steps outlined in the Joint Staff Report. The Joint Staff Report presented data showing that primary dealers now account for less than half of trading volumes in the interdealer broker market, but it is important to remember that this is only a portion of the secondary market for Treasuries. As a forthcoming Liberty Street Economics blog post will show, when these data on the interdealer broker market are combined with the dealer-to-customer market data from the New York Fed’s Primary Dealer Statistics, we can see that primary dealers accounted for roughly two-thirds of overall Treasury market secondary trading volume in April 2014, and about 60 percent on the day of October 15, 2014.6 (see the table) So while the primary dealer share of daily interdealer broker volume has fallen below 50 percent, primary dealers still account for the majority of aggregate secondary market trading activity, owing to their important role in the dealer-to-customer market. The best practice guidance and white paper on automated trading are available on the TMPG homepage. Additional information about the conference is available here. The Joint Staff Report is available here. The forthcoming blog post will be published on the Liberty Street Economics website. BIS central bankers’ speeches A robust counterparty framework, specifically one that provides reliable execution capacity of sufficient scale and is facilitated by a liquid and smoothly functioning secondary market for Treasury securities, aids the Desk in pursuing our objectives with respect to the implementation of monetary policy and the activities we undertake in support of the Treasury. But these benefits must be balanced against the cost of maintaining counterparty relationships. Staff time and resources are required to monitor and manage these relationships to ensure that we are getting good value not only in terms of trade execution, but also in terms of market monitoring, an important function that the Desk provides for the benefit of the Federal Reserve System and the Treasury. A large, diverse set of counterparties can contribute to competitive trade execution and richer sources of market intelligence, as well as the increased operational coverage and resiliency that support adaptation to changes in market structure or operating directives. But diversity also entails complexity and requires initial and ongoing investment in infrastructure to support a wider range of firm types. Evaluating and onboarding firms, setting up transactional systems and account arrangements, and monitoring and evaluating counterparty performance and risk all take time and resources that must be balanced against the potential benefits of a larger list.7 One final consideration that bears mention is the concept of an imprimatur that some market participants associate with status as a New York Fed counterparty. Despite this long-standing perception among some market participants that primary dealer status represents an endorsement by the New York Fed of a financial institution’s creditworthiness or ability to provide efficient execution of large transactions, we have repeatedly stressed the importance of other market participants’ engaging in their own assessment of potential counterparties’ capabilities. Recent history provides several reminders that the primary dealer designation provides no guarantee against credit risk or other counterparty risks. While the New York Fed certainly performs its own due diligence, we do so in pursuit of our unique business objectives, which may differ from those of private agents. Market participants should therefore be Since July 2013, the Desk has conducted pilot programs with seven smaller firms outside of the primary dealer system in order to explore how to conduct open market operations in Treasury and mortgage markets with firms that are considerably smaller than existing primary dealers. The Treasury Operations Counterparty (TOC) and Mortgage Operations Counterparty (MOC) pilot programs have provided valuable insight into the appropriate size and operational capacity of open market operation counterparties. BIS central bankers’ speeches engaging in the appropriate level of due diligence required by their fiduciary responsibilities in the context of their specific business requirements. Such independent assessments are in our collective interest because they foster market discipline and a safer, more secure financial system. Primary dealer history The pursuit of these objectives is reflected in the history of the Fed’s counterparty framework, of which the primary dealer system has long formed the foundation. But before I review that narrative, I must acknowledge that most of what I know about the history of primary dealers I’ve learned from Ken Garbade, who kindly introduced me tonight. Along with his superb analysis of the evolution of the Treasury market, exemplary work for the TMPG and critical contributions during the financial crisis, Ken has expertly researched more than 100 years of history concerning the financial institutions and trading practices that ultimately became the primary dealer system. Ken has published a staff report covering the early years of this system from the 1930s to the 1950s, and we expect to publish more of his research on primary dealers in the future.8 Looking back over the first century of the Fed’s history, we can see how our counterparty relationships have adapted over time in response to changing operational needs and the evolution of financial markets to create a system that is unique among the world’s leading central banks. Open market operations were first established by the Federal Reserve as a tool to control U.S. monetary conditions in 1922, in response to uncoordinated purchases of Treasury securities by different Reserve Banks interested in acquiring earning assets. The Banks formed an “Open Market Investment Committee” to coordinate their activities, and the Committee soon began to make policy recommendations to increase or reduce the availability of reserves to member banks. The Banking Act of 1935 created the modern Federal Open Market Committee, and the Committee selected the Federal Reserve Bank of New York as its operating agent.9 The Federal Reserve Act specifies the types of transactions that Reserve Banks can undertake, but does not designate how they should be undertaken. Although other possibilities exist, such as public auctions and reverse auctions, for more than 80 years the Desk has conducted monetary policy operations with bank and nonbank dealers, primarily because they were the core market makers – that is, liquidity providers – for Treasury securities. In 1942, the Fed and the Treasury agreed to cap Treasury yields for the duration of the Second World War in order to facilitate funding the war effort. By the end of the war, open market transactions were conducted with a small group of “qualified” dealers. The FOMC set the terms and conditions of the counterparty relationship. In 1951, the Fed returned to using open market operations as a tool for maintaining control over the monetary base and restored the “recognized” dealer program that had been in place before the war.10 Kenneth Garbade, The Early Years of the Primary Dealer System (New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2015). In fact, the FOMC directs a “Selected Reserve Bank” to conduct open market operations. Since the centralization of open market operations in a single Reserve Bank in 1935, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has always been designated as the Selected Bank, owing in part to New York City’s historical importance to U.S. financial markets. According to Ken’s research, “the concept of a recognized dealer was somewhat amorphous. An October 1939 Bank memo remarked that the term was ‘not an exact appellation’ and noted that ‘the principal factors which we consider in extending such recognition are (1) reputation for integrity, experience, and knowledge, (2) capital at risk of the business, (3) willingness to make markets under all ordinary conditions and to take positions both long and short, and (4) large volume [of business] of national scope, with the contacts which such trading provides.’” (Garbade, The Early Years of the Primary Dealer System, pp. 8–9). BIS central bankers’ speeches In the early 1960s, a reporting dealer regime was created, featuring reporting on positions and a public list of the firms that communicated various data to the New York Fed. During the 1980s, in considering new firms for primary dealer designation, Desk staff increasingly looked for evidence that a firm had a certain share of total customer trading activity. The working threshold was generally 1 percent, with some fluctuations in this level over time. An explicit requirement for primary dealers to participate in Treasury debt auctions was added in the mid1980s. In 1992, following the Salomon Brothers Treasury auction scandal, the Desk altered its primary dealer requirements and ended its dealer surveillance program, in an effort to eliminate the perception that it had a regulatory relationship with primary dealers and to encourage more firms to become primary dealers. Nevertheless, over the following decade, the list of primary dealers contracted, largely as a result of declining profitability and industry consolidation in the mid-1990s as well as the departure of some Japanese financial institutions following losses in their home market. The number of primary dealers declined further with the failure and/or consolidation of several large dealers during the recent financial crisis, but has begun to grow slowly again in subsequent years. The last revision of our primary dealer operating policy, published in 2010, formalized a pro rata Treasury auction bidding requirement for all primary dealers, which requires primary dealers to bid for their proportional share of each Treasury offering.11 Relative to domestic open market operations and auctions for primary Treasury issuance, foreign market operations undertaken with private counterparties to further foreign exchange policy and the investment of foreign reserves are relatively small and infrequent and have a somewhat shorter history. The Fed first undertook very limited foreign exchange (sterling) purchases in the market during the late 1920s and early 1930s in an effort to defend the gold standard.12 The Gold Reserve Act of 1934 established the U.S. Treasury’s Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) to undertake such operations, but the ESF did not exercise its authority very often until the Bretton Woods fixed-exchange-rate regime came under pressure in the 1960s. In 1962, the Fed began to undertake foreign exchange operations in cooperation with the ESF, and the Desk acted as agent for both accounts. In those early years, the Fed and the Treasury focused on conducting swap operations with foreign central banks, although some direct intervention with the private-market participants did take place. In 1973, after the collapse of Bretton Woods, the dollar began to float, and foreign exchange operations entered a new phase. Over the next two decades, interventions in the private foreign exchange market became much more frequent and on some occasions quite large. Since the 1990s, foreign exchange intervention has become less frequent. The history of foreign reserves investment operations in the market is even shorter; the Desk began to transact directly with market participants to invest foreign reserves held in the System Open Market Account and ESF foreign reserves only in the mid-1990s. Before that, the U.S. monetary authorities held all foreign currency reserves in the form of deposits at other central banks. International context Comparing the Federal Reserve’s counterparty framework with those of our foreign central banking peers highlights a number of differences. To begin with, the Federal Reserve is among the most transparent of central banks in disclosing the specifics of its market operations, including the data reported under the requirements of the Dodd-Frank Act. Details about foreign exchange transactions and foreign exchange investment operations are reported in the Primary dealers are expected to bid in every auction for, at a minimum, an amount of securities representing their pro rata share of the offered amount. That share, currently 1/22nd, is based on the number of primary dealers at the time of the auction. Stephen V. O. Clarke, Central Bank Cooperation 1924–31 (New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 1967), pp. 162, 175–76, 205, and 209. BIS central bankers’ speeches quarterly foreign exchange reports released to the public by the New York Fed. In addition, summary information about all operations appears on the weekly Federal Reserve balance sheet, which is available on the Board’s website. The Desk posts comprehensive results of all domestic open market operations with primary dealers and expanded counterparties to the New York Fed’s public website within a few minutes of the operations’ completion. Results of Treasury auctions are likewise released to the public within a few minutes of the close of competitive bidding and contain considerable detail regarding participation by primary dealers and both direct and indirect bidders. Such reporting by the Treasury exhibits a high level of transparency relative to foreign treasuries’ reporting. In most foreign jurisdictions, the central bank or monetary authority has the ability to conduct open market operations with a large number of banks that make markets in government securities and also have reserve accounts with the central bank, while the national treasury separately manages relationships with financial institutions to underwrite and distribute its debt issuance; these latter entities are termed “primary dealers” and are often the only entities having access to primary market auctions. In the United States, by contrast, a comparatively smaller number of firms simultaneously act as counterparties for the central bank’s domestic open market operations and as backstop underwriters and distributors for Treasury debt issuance; firms designated as “primary dealers” are required to act in both capacities. In fact, the United States is somewhat unique in that (i) being a “primary dealer” means that the firm is a counterparty for central bank monetary policy operations and has certain obligations with respect to primary national debt issuance and (ii) management of the primary dealer system resides with the central bank rather than the national treasury. This unique structure is a legacy of history. Beginning in World War I, the Treasury offered coupon-bearing securities on a fixed-price basis. Small banks and securities brokers commonly subscribed for their own and customers’ accounts, and there was little need for any formal or informal underwriting process. Market making in outstanding Treasury securities, however, was a capital-intensive process conducted mostly by nonbank dealers, though a few banks did have significant dealer operations. These dealers maintained the liquid secondary market for Treasuries and served as counterparties for open market operations. This state of affairs continued until 1970, when the Treasury introduced auction offerings of coupon-bearing debt. Auction participation, like market making, was a risky, capital-intensive activity, and dealers – especially primary dealers – began to play an increasingly important role in the primary market. Though the transition was gradual, this period represented the moment in history when the same set of counterparties began to participate in both open market operations and the primary issuance of Treasury securities. Recent changes More recently, the Federal Reserve’s approach to designing an effective counterparty framework has been informed by our experience of conducting asset purchases as well as other balance sheet actions and exercises necessary to implement policy in the post-crisis period. In these years, we have ventured beyond the primary dealers to conduct open market operations with a wider and more diverse range of market participants. The introduction of daily reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) test operations in September 2013 required several years of work by the Desk to establish relationships with an expanded set of counterparties beyond the primary dealers or entity types that are currently eligible to be primary dealers, and to develop an approach to evaluating the capabilities of these firms that is distinct from the process for assessing primary dealers. This expansion is a requirement of our business needs given the current size of our balance sheet, specifically the need to maintain appropriate control of short-term interest rates with abundant excess reserves in the BIS central bankers’ speeches banking system.13 Primary dealers, and entities of the type that are currently eligible to be primary dealers, which typically exhibit structural demand for cash financing to support inventories, are unlikely to satisfy this requirement. To the extent that the ongoing evolution of the structure of the Treasury market, including technological advancements and changing investor behavior, affects the role of primary dealers as market makers, it is important to analyze the implications for the Fed’s ability to meet its objectives. The primary dealer system has proven to be very effective for both the conduct of monetary policy and the issuance of Treasury debt. I am very confident that the existing counterparty framework – continuing to utilize primary dealers for traditional domestic policy open market operations, expanding to new counterparty types, as appropriate, for targeted operations to increase the effectiveness of domestic policy implementation, and maintaining relationships with a sufficient number of large market participants in the relevant foreign exchange markets for possible foreign exchange policy and investment operations – provides enormous capacity to implement a wide range of monetary policies. Moreover, we have demonstrated a commitment throughout our history to make any adjustments necessary to ensure a robust and effective operational framework. Toward that end, the Desk presented at the June 2015 FOMC meeting an update on a review of the counterparty framework, and indicated that we anticipate regular reviews of the counterparty framework roughly every three years in the future.14 We look forward to working with our official and private sector partners represented in this room as we pursue these goals. Thank you. For more on policy normalization, see these three earlier speeches: “Interest Rate Control during Normalization,” “Money Markets and Monetary Policy Implementation” and “Implementation of Open Market Operations in a Time of Transition.” See the minutes from the FOMC meeting of June 16–17, 2015. BIS central bankers’ speeches