Baleka Mbete found herself between a rock and a hard place in taking the decision she took. On the other hand, she found herself more comfortable to grant a secret ballot for various reasons. I am gonna substantiate why. As an ex-presidential hopefully, she knows there is no way that she will ever become president of this country after having been snubbed by Zuma by replacing her with Nkosazana. This is a deep-rooted pain in her. By granting a secret ballot, she has made calculations that the balance of forces would tilt in favour of Cyril as next President of SA. She is the peacetime hero who is likely to be retained by Cyril. Her presidential ambition would become fulfilled by becoming an Acting President in the interim. She would have lost both had she not granted the secret ballot. A number of MPs would vote in favour of the motion of no confidence. These will be those MPs who are aware of the Cyril"s calculated victory and have been lobbied to vote in favour of the motion.

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