If you look back into NFL playoff history you'll see the teams that were heavy on the offense typically don't make it, much less win it. As you said, there will be exceptions, but for the most part the teams who win do so with a good defense and a strong run game, along with a QB capable of keeping defenses honest. 

The patriots dynasty was created on solid defense, decent QB play, and a good running game. Arguably their best offensive teams bot lost in the SB to the Giants who followed the aforementioned formula.

Peyton's colts were offensive juggernauts up until January every year... except when they gave him a running game and defense '06. Same exact scenario in 2013 vs. 2015 with the broncos.

The Steelers won all of their rings on defense and rushing and haven't come close since their last title even though they have had great offensive players the last 5 years.

Elway has the formula in place, he just needs the QB to do enough to open the run game.

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