| 1 | A | B | C | D |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 | predicted probabilities of obtaining a certificate, continuing or discontinuing an apprenticeship program within one and a half times the program duration, 2007 to 2016 |  |  |  |
| 3 | characteristic | obtaining a certificate | continuing in the program | discontinuing the program |
| 4 |  | predicted probability |  |  |
| 5 | sex |  |  |  |
| 6 | male | 0.357 | 0.309 | 0.334 |
| 7 | female | 0.404 | 0.279 | 0.317 |
| 8 | age at registration |  |  |  |
| 9 | 18 to 20 years | 0.400 | 0.312 | 0.293 |
| 10 | 21 to 25 years | 0.381 | 0.303 | 0.316 |
| 11 | 26 to 35 years | 0.350 | 0.303 | 0.347 |
| 12 | 36 to 45 years | 0.324 | 0.306 | 0.370 |
| 13 | 46 years or older | 0.305 | 0.285 | 0.411 |
| 14 | immigration status |  |  |  |
| 15 | non-immigrant | 0.363 | 0.300 | 0.337 |
| 16 | immigrant | 0.362 | 0.348 | 0.291 |
| 17 | marital status in registration year |  |  |  |
| 18 | single | 0.358 | 0.312 | 0.331 |
| 19 | married or common-law | 0.378 | 0.290 | 0.332 |
| 20 | divorced, separated or widowed | 0.338 | 0.306 | 0.357 |
| 21 | registered outside the province or territory of residence |  |  |  |
| 22 | no | 0.365 | 0.303 | 0.332 |
| 23 | yes | 0.329 | 0.333 | 0.339 |
| 24 | received credits for pre-registration training |  |  |  |
| 25 | no | 0.310 | 0.321 | 0.369 |
| 26 | yes | 0.438 | 0.277 | 0.285 |
| 27 | employment income in registration year |  |  |  |
| 28 | less than $15,000 | 0.220 | 0.345 | 0.435 |
| 29 | $15,000 to $29,999 | 0.348 | 0.323 | 0.329 |
| 30 | $30,000 to $44,999 | 0.444 | 0.282 | 0.275 |
| 31 | $45,000 to $59,999 | 0.458 | 0.266 | 0.276 |
| 32 | $60,000 to $74,999 | 0.440 | 0.261 | 0.299 |
| 33 | $75,000 or more | 0.401 | 0.269 | 0.330 |
| 34 | union membership in registration year |  |  |  |
| 35 | no | 0.361 | 0.293 | 0.346 |
| 36 | yes | 0.367 | 0.321 | 0.312 |
| 37 | had a registered pension plan in registration year |  |  |  |
| 38 | no | 0.359 | 0.308 | 0.333 |
| 39 | yes | 0.375 | 0.295 | 0.329 |
| 40 | received employment insurance benefits in registration year |  |  |  |
| 41 | no | 0.360 | 0.304 | 0.336 |
| 42 | yes | 0.370 | 0.306 | 0.325 |
| 43 | after-tax low-income status in registration year |  |  |  |
| 44 | not in low income | 0.366 | 0.305 | 0.329 |
| 45 | in low income | 0.306 | 0.316 | 0.378 |
| 46 | number of industries worked in registration year |  |  |  |
| 47 | one | 0.392 | 0.315 | 0.293 |
| 48 | two | 0.355 | 0.298 | 0.347 |
| 49 | three or more | 0.300 | 0.285 | 0.415 |
| 50 | worked in one the three most common sectors in registration year |  |  |  |
| 51 | no | 0.315 | 0.304 | 0.381 |
| 52 | yes | 0.382 | 0.305 | 0.313 |
| 53 | red seal endorsement and type of certification |  |  |  |
| 54 | compulsory red seal trade | 0.394 | 0.304 | 0.302 |
| 55 | voluntary red seal trade | 0.347 | 0.314 | 0.340 |
| 56 | compulsory non-red seal trade | 0.290 | 0.388 | 0.322 |
| 57 | voluntary non-red seal trade | 0.340 | 0.271 | 0.390 |
| 58 | program duration |  |  |  |
| 59 | one year | 0.339 | 0.529 | 0.131 |
| 60 | two years | 0.302 | 0.465 | 0.233 |
| 61 | three years | 0.315 | 0.282 | 0.403 |
| 62 | four years | 0.392 | 0.213 | 0.395 |
| 63 | five years | 0.425 | 0.073 | 0.502 |

Question: which group of people is more likely to complete their apprenticeship program, apprentices who receive credits or apprentices who have no credits?
Answer: received credits for pre-registration training, yes

Question: which group of people is less likely to leave their program, apprentices who receive credits or apprentices who have no credits?
Answer: received credits for pre-registration training, yes

Question: which group of people is less likely to be continuing in the program, apprentices who receive credits or apprentices who have no credits?
Answer: received credits for pre-registration training, yes

Question: which group of people is more likely to be more likely to earn their certificate, apprentices who are working in one of the three most common sectors during the registration year or those who work in less prevalent sectors?
Answer: worked in one the three most common sectors in registration year, yes

Question: which group of people is less likely to leave their program, apprentices who are union members in the registration year or apprentices who are not union members?
Answer: union membership in registration year, yes

Question: which group of people is more likely to continue in the program, apprentices who are union members in the registration year or apprentices who are not union members?
Answer: union membership in registration year

Question: which group of people is more likely to become certified, apprentices who have well-paying apprenticeship positions or those who are in low income?
Answer: not in low income

Question: what percentage is apprentices who earned between $45,000 and $59,999 in the registration year more likely to become certified than those who earned between $15,000 and $29,999?
Answer: 0.11