metadata: authors: 0: author: Bos,Eduard R.
1: author: Bulatao,Rodolfo Andres
2: author: Stephens,Patience W.
3: author: Vu, My T.
count: Europe and Central Asia,Middle East and North Africa
docna: 0: docna: Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMN) region
            population projections : 1989-90 edition
docty: Policy Research Working Paper
subtopic: Population & Development,Demographics,Reproductive Health,Early Child and Children's Health,Law and Justice Institutions
teratopic: Health, Nutrition and Population
abstracts: cdata!: The population of the region is growing
            at 2.4 percent a year, second only to the Africa region, and
            should double in size in about 30 years. Regional growth
            would appear even more rapid were growth not offset by slow
            and even negative growth in the Eastern and Southern
            European countries included in the region. The projections
            of fertility and mortality are modeled on recent trends
            worldwide, and therefore incorporate the effects of
            deliberate efforts to reduce vital rates in various
            countries. Although altering projected trends is possible,
            it would require at least as much demographic interventions
            as in the recent past. The projections in the report cover
            almost two centuries, from 1985 to 2150. The length of the
            projection period was chosen to allow populations to
            approach stability, which for several takes essentially the
            entire period. The report begins with an introduction which
            explains what projection results are provided in the
            detailed tables, describes the projection methodology, and
            summarizes and interprets the main results.
repnme: repnme: Europe, Middle East, and North Africa (EMN)
            region population projections : 1989-90 edition
display_title: Europe, Middle East, and North
            Africa (EMN) region population projections : 1989-90 edition
            : Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMN) region population
            projections : 1989-90 edition
listing_relative_url: /research/1989/11/700419/europe-middle-east-north-africa-emn-region-population-projections-1989-90-edition-europe-middle-east-africa-emn-region-population-projections-1989-90-edition
topicv3: Infant and Child Mortality m1326544 1446,Health, Nutrition and Population m1327755 621,Life Expectancy m1504363 2666,Mortality m1504365 3661,Population Projections m1504366 3662
publishtoextweb_dt: 2010-07-01T00:00:00Z
historic_topic: Health, Nutrition and Population
origu: Policy Plan & Prog Review Dept (PPR)
no_of_pages: 260
author_keys: 0: author_key: 98932
1: author_key: 91935
2: author_key: 871113
model_extractions: P **Plannn,and Research Population, Health, and Nutrition** The population of the region is growing at 2.4 percent a year, second only to the Africa region, and should double in size in about 30 years. The Middle East states of Qatar and Oman are growing at 4 percent a year, the highest rate in the world. Regional growth would appear even more rapid were growth in countries like these not ofiset to some extent by slow and even negative growth in the Eastem and Southern Furopean countries included in the region.

Total fertility in the region, excluding its European part, is above five children per woman, and life expectancies are around 60 years. Replacement fertility, where the average woman only reproduces herself, will not be reached until the middle of the next century. About that time, the region will be contributing more to world population growth than the far larger Asia region.

The projections of fertility and mortality are modeled on recent trends worldwide, and therefore incorporate the effects of deliberate efforts to reduce vital rates in various countries. Although altering projected trends is possible, it would require at least as much demographic intervention as in the recent past -- and probably more.

This paper is a product of the Population, Health, and Nutrition Division, Population and Human Resources Department. Copies are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433. Please contact Sonia Ainsworth, room S6-065, extension 31091 (266 pages with tables).

The PPR Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work under way in the Bank's Policy. Planning, and Research Complex. An objective of the series is to get these findings out quickly, even if presentations are less than fully polished. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions in these papers do not necessarily represent official policy of the Bank.

Produced at the PPR Dissemination Center
# CONTENTS

|Preface .........................................<br>v|
|---|
|Acknovwledgements<br>................................<br>vii|
|Introduction .....................................<br>ix|
|Projection Results ............<br>....................<br>ix|
|Data and Methods ............<br>....................<br>x<br>|
|Total population and age-sex composition .....<br>.........<br>x|
|Mortality level and trend ........<br>.................<br>x|
|<br>Fertility level and trend .........................<br>xiii|
|Migration level and trend .......................<br>xviii|
|Summary of Results ..........<br>....................<br>mxx|
|World and continents ............................<br>xx|
|Geographic regions and. income groups ..............|
|World Bank regions ........<br>...................<br>xS|
|Some country results .......<br>..................<br>xovi|
|References .<br>..................................<br>XXax|
|Appendix: Sources of Population Data .....<br>............<br>Xl|
|Tables<br>Iii|
|.. .<br>.....................................<br>|
|Detailed Population Projections ......................<br>1|
|World, Geographic Regions, and Income Groups ....<br>1....|
|World........................................2|
|Less developed countries .4|
|<br>More developed countries.<br>6|
|Geographic Regions|
|Africa<br>.8|
|East Africa .10|
|West Africa .12|
|North Africa .14|
|Ame.ca .16<br>|
|Latin America and the Caribbean .18|
|Northern America .20|
|Asia .22|
|East and Southeast Asia .24|
|South Asia .26|
|Southwest Asia.<br>28|
|Europe and U.S.S.R .30|
|<br>Oceania..............<br>32|
|Income Groups|
|<br>Low-income economies ...<br>34|
|Lowe--middle-income economies .36|
|Upper-middle-income economies ...................<br>38|
|High-income economies .........................<br>40|
|<br>Nonreporting nonmember economies .42|
Europe, Middle East, and North Africa (EMN) Region (and U.S.S.R.) ................ 45

|EMN Departmen|t IV||
|---|---|---|
|<br>Cyprus.....||110|
|<br>Poland.4.||114|
|Portugal .116<br>Ri||118|
|omana ....|...||

|Europe and U.S.S.R.,<br>|Middle East,|
|---|---|
|and North Africa|4<br>6.Yugosa.v46|
|Borrowers only|48Yugo|
|EMIN Department|I .50|
|EMN Department|II<br>52|
|EMN Department|III .54|
|EMN Department|IV .56|

|48Yugoslavia.120|
|---|
|Nonborrowers (North Africa)<br>52<br>Other North Africa ........<br>124|
|Nonborrowers (Southwest Asia)|
|G Si<br>128|
|aza trp ...........<br><br>60<br>il<br>130|
|<br>srae ......<br><br>West Bank.132|

|EMN Department I<br> <br>|
|---|
|Pakistan<br>.<br>..<br>60<br>|
|Turkey .62|
|EMN Department II<br> <br>|
|Algeria ..............<br>66<br>Algeria<br>68|
|....<br> <br>Mbya<br>.<br>.|
|Malta .70|
|MUorocco.7.2..........<br>.<br>.|
|Tunisia.<br>74.Czechoslovakia|
|EMN Department III<br>Afghanistan .78|
|Bahrain<br>.<br>.<br>80|
|Egypt,Arab Rep. of<br>|
|Iran, Islamic Rep. of .84|
|Iraq .86<br>|
|Jordan .88|
|Kuwait.<br>.<br>90|
|Lebanon<br>92|
|Oman<br>.<br>.<br>94|
|Qatar .96|
|Saudi Arabia .98|
|Syrian Arab Rep.<br>100|
|United Arab Emirates .102|
|Yemen Arab Rep<br>04|
|<br>Yemen, People's lWem. Rep. of 106|

|Nonborrowers (Europ<br>Albania<br>lba<br>|e)<br>nia|||136<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>Austria ....<br>Belium||||138<br>140|
|g ....<br>Bli||||142|
|ugara ....<br>Chl Ild<br>I|ld|||144|
|anne sans<br>.|an|.<br>|||
|...||....|..|146|
|Denmark ......<br>|||...|148<br>|
|<br>Finland .............<br>F|...<br>|||150<br>|
|rance .................<br>|<br>|||152<br>|
|German Dem. Re<br>.<br> <br>|p<br>........<br>|||154<br>|
|G82<br>Germany, Federal<br>Greece......<br>|Rep.<br>...|of<br>..|..<br>.|.<br>156<br>.....<br>158<br>|
|Iceland ........<br>||||160<br>|
|Ireland ........<br>Il||||162<br>|
|tay ........<br>Lb||||164<br>166|
|uxemourg ........<br>|...<br>||||
|Netherlands ........<br>|..<br>|||168<br>|
|Norway ...............<br>Si|.|||170<br>172|
|pan ..........<br>Sd||||174|
|ween ...........<br>Switzerland ..........<br>|<br>|||176<br>|
|United Kingdom .<br>|.........<br>|||178|
|Other Europe. .18|||||
|U.S.S.R .182|||||
# TABLES, FIGURES, AND EXHIBITS

|Table I|Assumed Annual Increments to Life Expectancy (in years) ..<br>...........|...<br>xii|
|---|---|---|
|Table 2|Assumed Annuai Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand)|<br>xiii|
|<br>Table 3|......<br>Assumed Net International Migration by Sex, 1985-90 (thousands) ....<br>|<br><br>.....<br>xix|
|Table 4|Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for the World<br>and Less Developed and More Developed Countries, 1985-2025.|xxi|
|Table 5|<br>Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for Continents,<br>||
|Table 6|1985-2025 .xXii<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and<br>Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 for the World, Less<br>||
|Table 7|Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents .xxv<br>Population Age 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for the World, Less<br>Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents, 1985, 2000,||
|Table 8|and 2025 (millions).............<br>..........................<br>Fertility and MortalityR-..<br>3for the World and Less Developed and<br>More Developed Countries, 1985-2030 .............................|XXViii<br>xdx|
|Table 9|Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region and by<br>Income Group 1985-2100|lii|
|Table 10<br>Table 11|, ................................<br>Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by Geographic Region<br>and by Income Group, 1985-2100 ...............................<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and<br>Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by Geographic Region<br>|Iiii<br>|
|Table 12<br>Table 13<br>Table 14<br>Table 15|and by Income Group ...............................<br>Fertility and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region and by Income<br>Gronup, 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25 ..............................<br>Population and Percentage Distribution by World Bank Region and<br>Country Department, 1985-2100 ................................<br>Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by World Bank Region<br>and Country Department, 1985-2100 ..............................<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and<br>Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by World Bank Region|liv<br>lv<br>lvi<br>Ivii|
|Table 16|and Country Department ................................<br>Fertility and Mortality Rates by World Bank Region and Country<br>Department, 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25 ..........................|lviii<br>lix|
|Table 17|Population Projections for All Countries and Economies, 1985-2025<br>(thousands)|Ix|
|Table 18<br>Table 19|.<br>Population of Countries and Economies in the "Other" Categories<br>.lxv<br>Population Aged 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for All Countries and||
|Table 20|Economies, 1985-2025 (percent) .<br>*-<br>Stationary Population, Momentum, and Year When Net Reproduction<br>Rate Reaches 1 for All Countries and Economies.hoxi|vi|
|Figure 1<br>Figure 2|Annual Increments to Female Llfe Expectancy (in years), by Initial<br>Level, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Patterns .xiv<br>Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand), by Initial<br>Rate, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Patterns .xiv||
|Figure 3|<br>Assumed Medium Trend and Alternative Slow and Rapid Trends in<br>Total Fertility During the Fertility Transition .xvi||
|Figure 4|<br>Assumed Trends in Total Fertility at the End of the Fertility Transition .xvi||
|Figure 5|Percentage of Total Fertility Assigned to Different Ages, by Level of||
||Total Fertility.........---------------|xvi|
|Figure 6<br>|Projected Population (billions) in Less Developed Countries,<br>1985.2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections ......<br>|xdii|
|---|---|---|
|Figure 7<br>|Projected Population (billions) in More Developed Countries;<br>1985.2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections ......<br>|<br>diii|
|Figure 8<br>|Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 1985 ....<br>..<br> <br>|....<br>xiv<br>|
|Figure 9<br>|Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2000 ....<br>..<br>|.... xxiv<br>|
|Figure 10<br>|Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2025 ..<br>|xxiv<br>|
|Figure 11<br>|Population in Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 .<br>..<br>|xxvii|
|Figure 12<br>|Population in Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 ..<br>|xxvii|
|Figure 13<br>|Population in More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 ..<br>|xxvii<br>|
|Figure 14<br>Figure 15<br>|Population in More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 ..<br>Assumed Total Fertility Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends ..<br>|xxvii<br>xxx|
|Figure 16<br>|Assumed Total Fertility Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends ..<br>|xxx|
|Figure 17<br>|Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends ...<br>|xx|
|Figure 18<br>|Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends ..<br>|xxx|
|Figure 19|Percentage Contribution to World Population Growth from World Bank<br>Regions and Nonborrowers, 1985-2100 ..|xavii|
|Exhibit 1<br>|Countries and Economies Classified by Income Group (based on GNP<br>per capita in 1987 U.S. dollars) ..<br>|xcii|
|Exhibit 2|Countries and Economies Classified by World Bank Region and Country<br>Department..|xodv|
# PREFACE

Population projections for all countries are prepared annually by the Population and Human Resources Department of the World Bank. They are published first in summary form in the Bank's _World Development Report_ and later in greater detail as technical notes or working papers and, in alternate years, as a separate book.

This set of projections was prepared for _World Development Report 1989._ It appears for the second time in the Policy, Planning, and Research (PPR) Working Papers series. The tables will also be published shortly, somewhat differently organized, in book form.

As was done last year, separate working papets cover each of the Bank's four regions: Africa (sub-Saharan); Asia (and Oceania); Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa (including the U.S.S.R.); and Latin America and the Caribbean (and Northern America). Combined, these papers cover all countries of the world.

The data format of these papers generally follows the previous edition and is consism,in the demographic indicators provided, except for minor changes, with the series of precedin5 reports.

We intend these-papers to protide a convenient and up-to-date reference on the likely demographic future of each country, to facilitate the Bank's work of assisting them in planning more productive futures. We welcome comments on their utility, and how this might be enhanced.

Anthony R. Measham Chief Population, Health and Nutrition Division
# ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

A number of persons provided us with important information for this work or assisted us in preparing it in other ways. The Estimates and Projections Section of the U.N. Population Division has been continually svpportive in providing us with data, even before their publication as U.N. assessments. Partly as a result, nonessential differences between these projections and the biannual U.N. assessments have been minimized. We are gratefiul to the former acting section chief, Shunichi Inouc, and to his continually accommodating staff, as well as to the head of the division, Jean-Claude Chasteland, and hope that the collaboration will continue.

World Bank country economists, population specialists, and the few demographers in the operatir. divisions have also provided us with recent population estimates, bringing to our attention government reports we might not otherwise see.

This exercise was carried out using a personal computer program, ProjPC-II, written by Kenneth Hill of Johns Hopkins University.

Both the Population, Health, and Nutrition Division and the Population and Human Resources Depanment have been supportive of this work, despite the time required. We are grateful to the division chief, Dr. Anthony R. Measham, and the department director, Ann 0. Hamilton.

We also wish to acknowledge the interest of the Bank's International Economics Socioeconomic Data Division (IECSE), which not only utilizes our figur--for such important Bank purposes as estimating per capita GNP--and incorporates them into the databases it maintains and publications it distributes but also helps coordinate communications with country economists. Sulekha Patel of that division has been particularly helpful in the past year.

In producing the manuscript, Inga Schweiger was responsible for some typing and coordinating the paper flow.

Rodolfo A. Bulatao Eduard Bos Patience W. Stephens My T. Vu
# INTRODUCTION

Population projections are reported here for the individual countries comprising one of thc four World Bank regions. Companion papers in this series report projections for each of the other regions. Each paper also reports population summaries for various geographic regions and income groups.

This introduction (included, for convenience, in ea;h paper of the series) explains what projection results are provided in the detailed tables; describes the base data and the projection methodology, which has been revised since the last edition of these reports; and summarizes and interprets the main results.

Caution is appropriate with projections like these. They essentially involve working out the implications of assurr.ptions (to be discussed shortly) about particular demographic parameter levels and trends. None of the descriptions of results below should be read as indicating certitude about the future. Instead, they should be read with the universal qualifier that population will follow the indicated path if the assumptions prove to be correct.

## PROJECTION RESULTS

The projections cover almost two centuries, from 1985 to 2150. With data available as of mid-1989, separate projections were prepared for 187 countries, economies, territories, or small-country groupings, covering the entire world. The length of the projection period was chosen to allow populations to approach stability, which for several takes essentially the entire period.

Only one projection is reported per country, economy, territory, or group. Other projection exercises sometimes provide high and low options. Instead of alternative projections, we choose to give only our best estimate of the likely demographic future but to update this annually. Approaches to defining high and low options are described in the methodology section for those interested in implementing them.

The detailed projection tables following this introduction contain two pages for each country. The first page gives projection results for every five years between 1985 and 2030, with population figures for years ending in 0 or 5 and demographic indicators for the intervening quinquennia. This information is provided:

- Population by sex and five-year age groups, in thousands

- * Birth rate, deaih rate, and net migration rate per thousand * Rate of natural increase and population growth rate in percent * Total fertility rate (TFR) and net reproduction rate (NRR) * Expectation of life at birth (eo) and at age ten (e10) in years

- Infant mortality rate (IMR) per thousand, and probability of dying before age five (qs)

- * Dependency ratio (for exact years rather than quinquennia).

The second page adds results for every 25 years from 2000 to 2150 (as well as rates for the 1985. 2000 period). This page provides fewer indices, including only the population by age and sex, the birth, death, net migration, and growth rates, total fertility, life expectancy, and infant mortality.
### X INTRODUCTION

# DATA AND METHODS

The kev el.. ,,nts in these projections are<sup>base-year (mid-1985) total population</sup> estimates and agec-sx structures, base-period (1985-90)<sup>mortality, fertility, and migration rates, and</sup> assumed trends in the rates. These elements will<sup>each be described. New data have been</sup> incorporated since the previous edition; an appendix<sup>to this Introduction indicates the sources for</sup> all base-year or base-period estimates. Revised methodology<sup>for projecting vital rates is described</sup> and some of the relatively modest effects of<sup>the revision shown.</sup>

## _Total Population_ **_and_** _,Age-Sex Composition_

Estimates of the total population In mid-1985<sup>are obtained from the most recent</sup> reliable sources. W'iere possible these are recent<sup>censuses, with appropriate adjustments for</sup> underreporting, projected to mid-1985. A number<sup>of such estimates made by the United Nations</sup> (U.N.) Population Division (in _World Population_<sup>_Prospects 1988)_have- been adopted.</sup> (Prepublication versions of the estimates were generally<sup>used.) For countries with dated or</sup> unreliable census data, other official estimates may be<sup>taken, often from the U.N.</sup><sup>_Population and_</sup> _Vital Statistics Report_ and occasionally from government<sup>publications. Other sources of estimates</sup> include Eurostat (1987) and the United States Bureau<sup>of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and</sup> Engels 1987). The specific sources of information are<sup>listed by country in the appendix.</sup> The mid-1985 population of each country is distributed<sup>by age and sex using a</sup> percentage distribution often obtained from _World_<sup>_Population Prospects 1988._These distributions</sup> were estimated by the U.N. Population Division from<sup>census data adjusted for age misreporting or</sup> using stable population analysis. For most Sub-Saharan<sup>countries, World Bank estimates of current</sup> age-sex distribution were adopted instead.

## _Mortality Level and Trend_

This section considers the sources of mortality data<sup>used for the base period and the</sup> manner in which future trends in mortality are<sup>defined. Future trends are specified through</sup> projections of life expectancy by sex, projections of<sup>infant mortality, and the choice of appropriate</sup> model life tables. Each of these elements will be described.<sup>Comparisons will also be made with</sup> the previous method for projecting mortality.

Data. Base-period mortality levels in the projections<sup>are represented by life</sup> expectancies by sex and infant mortality rates for<sup>both sexes combined. Life expectancies were</sup> obtained from a variety of sources. A preliminary<sup>version of</sup><sup>_World Population P.-ospects 1988_was</sup> a common source. Other figures are based on<sup>official or other estimates appearing in</sup><sup>_Population_</sup> _and Vital Statstics Report_ or government publications.<sup>A few figures are taken from the U.S.</sup> Bureau of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson,<sup>and Engels 1987), Eurostat (1987), and Monnier</sup> (1988). These sources often report mortality levels<sup>for periods other than 1985-90, or give indices</sup> other than life expectancies, or both. Some estimation<sup>and projection is then necessary to obtain</sup> the right index. In some cases, a mortality estimate<sup>is first made for an earlier period, and an</sup> estimate for 1985-90 obtained by applying the projection<sup>methodology being described here. Some</sup> Bank sources are also cited in *he appendix: Bank<sup>sector reports; Bank assessments, involving</sup> unpublished analysis of census or survey data; and Bank<sup>estimates, or informed judgments for which</sup> no further source can be cited.

Infant mortality rates come about as often as life expectancies from the<sup>preliminary</sup> version of _World Population Prospects 1988._ However,<sup>a number are drawn from</sup><sup>_Populaition and_</sup>
INTRODUCTION Xi

# _Vital Statisdcs Report_ and others are estimated from diverse data.

Future trends in life expectancy. Ufe expectancy is projected from year 0 to year t using a logistic function over time of the form e, = ko + k I {1 + exp ilogit(eo) + **rltl,** with - logit(eo) log, ((ko + k - ev) / (e0 ko)I.

The logistic function is set to rise most rapidly from a level of 50 years or so and increasingly slowly at higher levels. 7The minimum (ko) for the logistic functions for both sexes is assumed to be 20 years, and the maxima (ko + k) are assum& - be 82.5 years rar females and 75.8 years for males. The rate of change (r) for the logis.ic fha **£** is allowed to vary across countries, and for a given country to vary over time.

For the first quinque.mnium (1985-90), the rate of char.ge (r,) is estimated from the rate of change in the previous qu:nquennium (ro) and from the female secondary enrolment ratio (sD), using the equations rt = .00379 + .723 ro - .0054 so for females, and rt = .01159 + .885 ro - .000318 so for males.

Percent urban is used in a few cases, with a different equation (see bu.dtao send Bos 1989), where secondary enrolment is not available, and in fewer cases still the rate of change in the previous decade is used instead of the rate of change in the previous quinquennium when the latter appears to have been affected by exceptional circumstances. LUmits are imposed on the rate of change for the first quinquennium (and for aU other quinquenni_), such that it cannot be greater than -.017 (which would give slow mortality decline) or less than -.053 (which would give rapid mortality dec!ine).

For the second quinquennium, the rate of change is estimated as a function of the rate of change for the first quinquennium: r2 = -.007 + .8 rp.

The rate of change for the third quinquennium is estimated from the rate of change for the second quinquennium in the same manner. This equation allows rates of change to converge toward the uniform pattern imposed for subsequent quinquennia.

For these subsequent quinquennia for all countries, the rate of change in life expectancy is constant at -.035 for both s^xes. At this rate, the annual increments to life expectancy vary by ini- : levels as indicated by the medium pattern in Table 1. Minimum and maximum increments corresponding to the slow and rapid limits imposed on rates of change in the first three -.i.'nquennia are also shown.

Future trends in infant mortality. Infant mortality is projected using a similar logistic function. The rate of change for each of the first three quinquennia is obtained from the equation = .03 + .5 r,.1, with the restriction that this rate must be in the range [.024, .1301. Thcse limits provide schedules of minimum and maximum annual decrements to infant mortality, varying by the initial rate, shown
# **Xii** INTRODUCTION

Table 1 Assumed Annual Iccrements to Life Expectancy (in years) in Table 2. A set of medium decrements is also provided, representing "h typical schedule :f improvements toward which rates **_'f_** change converge when the preceding equation is applied successively.

|**Initial**||**Males**|||**Females**||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|life|||||||
|expec-|||||||
|tany|**Ninim**|**un**<br>Mediun M|aximu|n Mininun|**Medium**M|axinun|
|40|0.22|**0.45**|0.69|0.23|0.48|**0.73**|
|45|0.23|0.48|0.73|<br>0.26|0.53|0.80|
|50|0.24|0.48|0.73|<br>0.27|0.55|0.83|
|55|0.22|0.45|0.69|<br>0.26|0.54|0.81|
|60|0.19|0.39|0.59|<br>0.24|O.S0|0.76|
|65|0.15|<br>0.30|0.45|<br>0.21|0.44|0.66,|
|70|0.09|0.18|0.27|<br>0.17|0.35|Q.52|
|75|0.01|0.03|0.04|<br>0.11|0.23|0.34|
|80||||0.04|0.08|0.12|

c.tection of life tables. tany **Ninimun** Mediun Maximun Mininun **Medium** Maxinun Those life tables are selected from the Coale-Demeny models (Coale and Dcmcny 1983) that provide the projected 40 0.22 **0.45** 0.69 0.23 0.48 life expectancy and infant mortality rates 45 0.23 0.48 0.73 0.26 0.53 0.80 for the first three quinquennia. First, a 50 0.24 0.48 0.73 0.27 0.55 0.83 level of the life tables is chosen to give 55 0.22 0.45 0.69 0.26 0.54 0.81 the desired infant mortality rate 60 0.19 0.39 0.59 0.24 O.S0 0.76 (interpolaticn is used if necessary). 65 0.15 0.30 0.45 0.21 0.44 Mortality rates up to age 14 are taken 70 0.09 0.18 0.27 0.17 0.35 from this life table. Second, another 75 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.11 0.23 0.34 level of the life table is chosen to give 80 0.04 0.08 0.12 rates for ages 15 and older such that the *-^ .'ed level of life expectancy is ootained. Among the four Coale-- not appticabte. Demeny families (North, South, East, and West), that family is chosen which minimizes the divergence between the two chosen levels.

For subsequent quinquennia, only life expectancy is used in determining levels, and the West family is used consistently.

Survivorship ratios from these model life tables were specified for the firsi. three quinquennia and for 2025-30, 2050-55, and 2100-S5. The projection program used, ProjPC-'II (Hill n.d.), was allowed to interpolate linearly for intervening periods, to facilitate a smooth transition across life table families where this was necessary.

Comparison with other mortality projections. These procedures may be compared with the previous procedures with regard to their rationale and to their, effects on projected mortality and population. The change in procedures does produce generally minor, expected differences in results. These procedures were developed from analysis of trends in life expectancy and infant mortality in available national data (Bulatao and Bos 1989). Logistic functions arc used because these fit past trends best, country by country. The schedules of medium change in life expectancy and infant mortality reflect median trends across countries, and the schedules for minimum and maximum change reflect the 10th and 90th percentile when country trends are ranked firc'.,.' -- est to fastest. The equations to predict short-term trends in life expectancy and infant mc a- e were estimated using these data; other socioeconomic factors, like per capita income, dil rr.:. prediction.

The procedures used for projecting mortality in the previous edition were based on earlier data and involved two separate schedules of increments to life expectancy, for countries with high and with low female primary enrolment. Infant mortality was not projected separately, and life tables were chosen based on life expectancies alone.
INTRODUCTON Xiii The current schedule of medium increments to life expectancy is compared with the previous schedule for high-enrolment countries, as well as with the medium schedule used by the U.N. (1989), in Figure 1. (Only female life expectancy is shown.). The three schedules are close to each other, the main difference occurring at high levels of life expectancy, where the U.N. permits substantially more improvement. Given the long-run nature of these projections, the current schedule cannot permit rapid improvements at high levels without either higher maxima or an abrupt slowdown in improvements at some future point.

A similar comparison is made in Figure 2 of decrements to infant mortality. Neither the previous procedures nor the U.N. procedures are based on explicit schedules for infant mortality change. To allow comparison, actual decrements were calculated from country projections and curves were fitted to represent their dependence on initial level of infant mortality. Figure 2 shows that the medium decrements are generally larger than those implicit in previous World Bank and current U.N. projections (though never by more than one per thousand), possibly reflecting recent, more rapid improvements captured by the revision in methodology.

## Table 2 Assumed Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand)

|Initiat<br>infant<br>mortality<br>||||
|---|---|---|---|
|rate|Mininun|Mediun|Maximun|
|150|-0.90|-2.26|-4.97|
|140|-1.00|-2.51|-5.52|
|130|-1.08|-2.71|-5.92|
|120|-1.13.|-2.83|-6.17|
|110|-1.16|-2.90|-6.29.|
|l00|-1.16|-2.90|-6.28|
|90|-1.14|-2.85|-6.13|
|80|-1.10|-2.73|-5.85|
|70|-1.03|-2.55|-5.45|
|60|-0.93|-2.31|-4.92|
|50|-0.81|-2.01|-4.27|
|40|-0.67|-1.65|-3.49|
|30|-0.50|-1.23|-2.60|
|20|-0.31|-0.76|-1.60|
|10|-0.09|-0.23|-0.48|

In addition to the new schedules, the current procedures involve some individualization of country trends.

The effects of this are more difficult to assess. Bulatao and Bos (1989) report simulations for eight countries with widely varying mortality levels, which provide some impression of the changes. For these eight countries, the new projected trends for life expectancy generally remain close to trends projected by the previous procedures, as well as to trends projected by the U.N. The main differences are in two areas. First, for countries like Norway, the current and the previous procedures agree, but the U.N. projects faster improvements, following their schedule shown in Figurt; 1. Second, for countries like Ghana and Bolivia, the slowness of past improvements in life expectancy is reflected. in projected levels that, after two or three decades, are as much as but no more than 4-5 percent lower than those previously projected.

Infant mortality trends differ more than life expectancies from those previously produced, because the previous procedures relied on models to give infant mortality levels. The new estimates of future infant mortality are sometimes lower and sometimes higher than the previous estimates, with no consistent pattern.

The simulations showed that the crude death rate is affected by these changes, rising or falling as much as 10 percent relative to previous estimates for specific periods. On thc other hand, total population is affected much less, varying from previous estimates for future periods by 2.5 percent at most.

# _Fertility Level and Trend_

After briefly describing the sources of fertility data, this section explains how future trends in fertility are determined. It then considers how the procedures compare with previous
# XIV INTRODUCnON

Figure 1 Annual Increments to Female Life Expectancy (in years), by Initial Level, Compared wTth U.N. and Previous World Bank Pattems <!-- Start of picture text --> 0.9 _<br>o .s<br>0.7<br>0.6<br>CUPPENT<br>0.5 -U<br>0.4<br>0.3-<br>0.2 -<br>0.1<br>35 40 45 S0 55 60 65 70 75 80 85<br>INITIAL LIFE EXPECTANCY<br>Figure 2 Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand), by Initial<br>Rate, Compared with the U.N. and Previous World Bank Pattems<br>-0.2<br>-0.4-<br>-0.6<br>-0.8 -<br>-1. 025<br>-1.48<br>-2.0-<br>-2.2-<br>-2.4-<br>-2.6-<br>-2.8<br>160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 130 70 60 50 40 30 20 10<br>INITIAL INFANT MORTALITY RATE<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTION XV

# procedures for projecting fertility.

Data. Base-period total fertility rates (lF1s) are derived from the same mix of souices as mortality rates, including _World Population Prospects 1988;_ official sou;ces, as cited in _Populaion and Vital Statistics Report_ or in government publications; the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and Engels 1987); and Monnier (1988). We also relied on various surveys, especially Demographic and Health Surveys, which were available for two dozen countries. Often, these sources give fertility estimates for a different period or in terms of the crude birth rate, and appropriate total fertility rates were obtained by projection of earlier estimates or approximated using available data on age-sex composition and age-specific fertility. The appendix lists the specific source for each country, and also indicates some cases where an informal Bank estimate was made in the absence of reliable data.

Future trends. Future fertility trends are specified by quinquennial total fertility and by a year when the net reproduction rate reaches unity, i.e., when the average woman's fertility results in exactly replacing herself. (This is referred to here as the replacement year.) Separate procedures are applied for three stages of the fertility transition: the pretransition stage, when fertility is high and sustained fertility decline has not started; the transition stage, when fertility is high to medium and sustained fertility decline is in progress; and the late-transition and posttransition stage. We discuss procedures for determining total fertility in each stage and then explain what age-specific patterns of fertility were applied.

For current purposes, a fertility transition is assumed to have started if a country has experienced a drop in total fertility of at least .5 points over any five-year period, or if total fertility is already below 4.5 after a more gradual decline (Bulatao and Elwan 1985). The pretransition stage is the stage before any such decline is evident. The late-transition and posttransition stage is defined by a total fertility rate one point above replacement level (about 3.15) or lower.

Countries in the pretransition stage are assumed to start a fertility transition in the quinquennium after combined male and female life expectancy reaches 50 years, but in no case later than 2005. The life expectancy threshold is slightly lowe: than the threshold of 53 years previously shown to be a universal precondition, though not a sufficient condition, for the start of fertility transition (Bulatao and Elwan 1985). Until a transition starts, total fertility is assumed to be constant. The one exception is where sterility is a significant factor, sterility is then assumed to decline linearly to 6 percent over three quinquennia, with each percentage point drop in sterility raising total fertility by .11 points (Frank 1983).

In the transition stage, the rate of fertility decline is based on the rate in the preceding quinquennium, assuming transition had already started in that period. With previous annual change represented by DIF, annual change during the *- ansition is set at (-.05 + .5 DR). However, limits are set on this change: it must be at least -.073 points and at most -.210 points, which may be taken to define slow and rapid fertility decline. (Previous analysis in Bulatao and Elwan 1985 defined rapid decline as an annual total fertility change of -.2164 points, which is consistent.) If the formula does not apply because transition has just started, an average annual decline in total fertility of .102 points is imposed. Figure 3 shows the patterns of fertility decline implied by this average and by the slow and rapid limits. In the early part of the transition stage, the sterility adjustment is applied if appropriate to raise total fertility slightly.

In the late-transition and posttransition stage, fertility approaches replacemcnt level, either from slightly above or slightly below it. Four alternative patterns, represented in Figure 4, are applied in this stage.
# xvi INTRODUCnON

<!-- Start of picture text --> Figure 3 Assumed Medium Trend and Altemative Slow and Rapid Trends in<br>Total Fertility During the Fertility Transition<br>5.5-<br>5.0<br>4.5<br>4.0 -<br>3.5<br>3.0<br>2.0<br>q995-90 1995-2000 2005- 10 2045-20 2025- 30 203S-40 2045-50<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 4 Assumed Trends in Total Fertility at the End of the Fertility Transition <!-- Start of picture text --> 3.0 _<br>2.9-<br>2.8 -lO<br>2.5-<br>2.4-<br>2.3 -<br>2.2-<br>2.0-<br>'1.9<br>, t_ 'lbelow replacement<br>1980- 85 1990- 95 2000-05 2012- 15 2020- 25 2030- 35<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 5 Percentage of Total Fertility Assigned to Different Ages, by Level of Total Fertility <!-- Start of picture text --> 28 - TFR,5. 6<br>29<br>24-<br>22- .<br>20 -<br>14 2<br>12<br>40<br>15- 19 20- 24 25-29 30- 34 35..39 40-44 45-49<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTION XVii

* Generally, a geometric function is imposed on total fertility decline from one point above replacement level to replacement level, with this decline assumed to take 15 years.

* Where total fertility has shown unusually slow decline, it is assumed to take 20 rather than 15 years for total fertility to fall one point to replacement.

* Where, toward the end of a fertility transition, total fertility is still recording rapid declines even though it is close to or even below replacement level (2.25 to 1.75), it is assumed to fall further for one period, generally going below replacement, to stay constant in the next period, and then to return to replacement.

* Where the transition has been completed and total fertility is below replacement, it is assumed to stay at the current level for two quinquennia, and then to return gradually to replacement, along a linear path, by 2030.

In applying late-transition procedures, the level of total fertility that provides replacement is approximated by a quadratic formula based on female life expectancy (e(,) in the replacement year: 'RNnR..I = 6.702 - .1107 e(M + .0006592 e(, 2.

the replacement year is first approximated in order to determine life expectancy and then calculated given this formula and whichever pattern of fertility change above is appropriate.

For all stages of fertility transition, the age pattem of fertility is determined in the same fashion, depending on the level of total fertility (Figure 5). Two basic schedules of age-specific fertility are defined: for total fertility levels greater than six and for total fertility levels of three and lower. In between, age patterns are obtained by interpolation between the two schedules. At a total fertility level of six, a greater proportion of binhs are at younger and older ages of the reproductive span, and the mean age of childbearing is 28.9 years. At a total fertility level of three, births are concentrated in a narrower band of ages, and the mean age of childbearing is 28.0.

Comparison with other fertility projections. These procedures contrast with the procedures previously used, which depended essentially on subjective judgments of the replacement year for each country. We explain some of the basis for the procedures and contrast the results.

These procedurwes were developed from analysis of total fertility trends in cross-national data (Bos and Bulatao 1989). In the pretransition stage, countries showed mostly stable fertility. The transition stage was more interesting. Across 42 countries which started a fertility transition between 1955 and 1983, the average annual decline in total fertility ranged from 0.06 to 0.25 points. Countries which had initial sharp declines in fertility tended to continue declining rapidly, while those that started with more gradual declines continued along the same path. Rapid and slow decline were found in all regions. The rate of decline was predicted best by the rate in preceding periods; socioeconomic factors added little to this prediction. Other than the mortality threshold, socioeconomic factors also failed to predict the start of fertility transition.

The previous procedures involved a regression equation for the replacement year, derived after initial subjective judgments of this year. Reverse geometric and geometric curves were then fit between current fertility and replacement level. By contrast, the current procedures focus on the pace of change in total fertility, determining the replacement year as the outcome rather than the first step in the process.
## XViii INTRODUCTION

Comparisons of results are provided for selected countries in Bos and Bulatao (1989). Overall, the new procedures have slight effects on the projected future course of fertility and on projected population. However, they do delay the start of fertility transition relative to the previous procedures in countries with high mortality levels. They also tend to slow fertility decline in Africa, which under the previous procedures was faster than has generally been experienced by countries passing through the fertility transition. These changes have a lasting effect on projected population for the affected countries, which tends to be somewhat higher in the long run. Other smaller effects also exist For ,nstance, the provision that allows some countries to continue fertility decline below replacement level leads to projections of slightly lower fertility in some parts of East Asia.

# _Migration Level and_ **_Trend_**

Estimates of net international migrants in the base period, by sex, were made from a review of intemational migration statistics published by national immigration agencies, statistical organizations, and other official and unofficial sources; from country population estimates and projections produced by internationa! and regional agencies, national census and statistics offices,, other government organizations, interagency task forces, and research institutions; and from discussions with experts in the subject (Arnold 1989). These estimates constitute a substantial revision of estimates used in the previous edition, and involve somewhat higher levels of net migration (Table 3).

For purposes of these estimates, individuals are counted as migrants who have resided in countries different from their previous residences for at least a year. An exception is refugees living in officially designated camps, who continue to be counted in their countries of origin regardless of period of residence. Only net estimates by quinquennium were made; immigration and emigration were not estimated separately, and single-year figures were not assessed.

Estimates of future net migrants by quinquennium up to the year 2000 were also made as part of the same examination of data and sources (Arnold 1989). These estimates are strongly affected by official policies and plans in the major receiving countries. The figures were designed to total zero in each quinquennium for the whole world. After the year 2000, the number of net migrants is assumed to approach zero linearly in each country, at the estimated rate of change in their number from the period 1990-95 to the period 1995-2000, or at a rate that -would make their number zero by 2025-30, whichever rate is faster. For these later periods, a zero total for worldwide net international migration was obtained by adjusting initial estimates of net migrants in three major receiving countries--the United States, Australia, and Canada--upward or downward as necessary by a proportion constant across these countries, but varying by quinquennium. These adjustments were .f 1 or 2 percent for the earlier periods, negligible compared to the volume of migration assumed for these countries, but were up to 10 percent for later periods.

The age-sex distributions of migrants are determined from alternative models based on their sex ratios. If migration is heavily male, migrants are assumed to be concentrated in the age group 15-30, with few children and elderly. If migration is more balanced between males and females, proportionally more migrants are assumed to be children and elderly (Hill n.d.).

The revised migration estimates are higher than the previous estimates, particularly for the near future. In the base period, annual total net moves (i.e., not counting any moves that are balanced by moves in the opposite direction) were 900 thousand in the previous estimates and are 1.1 millicn in the revised estimates. For the following two quinquennia, the changes are larger, from 630 to 990 thousand moves and from 380 to 890 thousapd moves. However, even the largest of these figures is only 1 percent of annual world growth, or the equivalcnt of annual increase in a single moderate-fertility country like Turkey.
INTRODUCTION XiX Table 3 Assumed Net Intemational Migration by Sex, 1985-90 (thousands,>

|Country|Hates|Female|s<br>Total|Country|Males F|emale|s<br>Total|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Afghanistan|-13|<br>-12|<br>-25|Ethiopia|-120.6|-60|-180.6|
|Albania|0|<br>0|<br>0|Fiji|-13|-13|-26|
|Algeria|0|<br>0|<br>0|Finland|7.5|<br>7.5|<br>15|
|Angola|0|<br>0|<br>0|France|57.8|46.9|104.7|
|Antigua<br>and Barbuda|I|1|<br>2|French<br>Polynesia|2.5|<br>2.5|<br>5|
|Argentina|0|0|0|Gabon|0|0|0|
|Australia|306|305|611|Gambia, The|8|7|15|
|Austria|0|0|0|Gaza Strip|-12|-8|<br>-20|
|Bahamas|1|1|2|<br>German Dem. Rep.|-4|-3|<br>-7|
|Bahrain|12|4|16|Germany, Federal Rep. of|27|23|50|
|Bangladesh|-20|-15|-35|Ghana|-1|-1|-2|
|Barbados|-4|-4|-8|Greece|10|10|20|
|Belgium|8|7|15|Grenada|-1|-1|-2|
|Belize|-1.5|-1.5|-3|Guadeloupe|-9|-7|-16|
|Benin|-3|-2|-5|Guam|0|0|0|
|Bhutan|0|0|0|Guatemala|-69|-61|-130|
|Bolivia|-26|<br>-14|<br>-40|Guinea|4|7|<br>11|
|Botswana|0|0|0|Guinea-Bissau|-3|-2|-5|
|Brazil|-5|-5|-10|Guyana|-35|-35|-70|
|Brunei<br>|9<br>|4<br>|13<br>|Haiti<br>|-60<br>|-50<br>|-110<br>|
|Bulgaria|0|0|0|Nonduras|-11|-9|-20|
|Burkina Faso|-62|-28|-90|Hong Kong|49|26|75|
|Burundi|-8|-7|-15|Hungary|-3|<br>-3|-6|
|Cambodia|0|0|0|Iceland|0|0|0|
|Cameroon|0|0|0|Irdia|-133|-117|-250|
|Canada|175|195|370|Indonesia|-14|-11|-25|
|Cape Verde|-6.6|-4.4|-11|Iran, Islamic Rep. of|-27|-14|-41|
|Central African Rep.|0|0|0|Iraq|0|0|0|
|Chad|0|0|0|Ireland|-25|-25|-50|
|Chanrel Islands|0|0|0|Israel|17|10|27|
|Chile|-6|-6|-12|Italy|0|0|0|
|China (excluding<br>Taiwan)|-166|-108|-274|Jamaica|-60|<br>-50|-110|
|Colombiba|.- 115|-85|-200|Japan|-8|-7|-15|
|Comoros|0|0|0|Jordan|0|0|0|
|Congo, People's Rep. of the|0|0|0|Kenya|6|4|10|
|Costa Rica<br>|0<br>|0<br>|0<br>|Kiribati<br>|-0.6<br>|-0.7<br>|-1.3<br>|
|CMte d*Ivoire|191|105.7|296.7|Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of|0|0|0|
|Cuba|-26|-24|-50|Korea, Rep. of|-79|-96|-175|
|Cyprus|-1.2|-0.8|-2|Kuwait|50|22|72|
|Czechoslovakia|-2.5|-2.5|-5|Lao People's Dem. Rep.|-3|-2|-5|
|Dernmark|0|<br>0|<br>0|Lebanon|-160|-115|-275|
|DJibouti|13.6|4|17.6|Lesotho|-7|-3|-10|
|Dominica|-1|-1|-2|Liberia|3|2|5|
|Dominican Rep.|-60|-50|-110|Libya|30|10|40|
|Ecuador|-10|-10|-20|Luxembourg|0|0|0|
|Egypt, Arab Rep. of|-60|-40|-100|Macao|32|16|48|
|El Salvador|-122|-90|-212|Madagascar|0|0|0|
|Equatorial<br>Guinea|0|<br>0|<br>0|Malawi|-17|-5|-22|
A INTRODUCnON

# Table 3 (continued)

|Country|Males F|emales|Total|Country<br>|Males F|emales|Total|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Malaysia|-8<br>|-7<br>|-15<br>|_Sa8_Tome and Principe<br>|0<br>|0<br>|0<br>|
|Maldives|0|0|0|Saudi Arabia<br>|245|80<br>|325<br>|
|mali|-87|-54.7-|141.7|Senegal|35<br>|15<br>|50<br> <br>|
|Malta|-5|-S|-10|Seychelles<br>|-1.5<br>|-1.5<br>|<br>-3<br>|
|Martinique|-8|-6|-14|Sierra<br>Leone|0<br>|0<br> <br>|0<br> <br>|
|Hauritania|-20|-10|-30|Singapore|-6|<br>-4<br>|<br>-10<br>|
|Hauritius|-6|-4|-10|Solomon<br>Islands|0|0|0|
|Mexico|-445|-305|-750|Somalia|19.6<br>|6.5<br>|26.1<br>|
|Mongolia|0|0|0|South<br>Africa|11<br>|9<br>|20<br>|
|Montserrat|-0.3|-0.3|-0.6|Spain<br>*|19<br>|16<br>|35<br>|
|Morocco|-21|<br>-14|<br>-35|Sri Lanka<br> <br>|-120<br>|-70<br> <br>|-190<br> <br>|
|Mozambique|-6|-4|-10|St. Kitts<br>and Nevis|-3<br>|<br>-3<br>|<br>-6<br> <br>|
|Myanmar|-5|-5|-10|St. Lucia<br>|-1.5<br>|-1.3<br> <br>|<br>-3<br> <br>|
|Wamibia|0|0|0|St. Vincent<br>and the Grenadin|es -1<br>|<br>-1<br>|<br>-2<br>|
|Nepal|0|0|0<br>|Sudan<br>|15.4<br>|9.5<br> <br>|24.9<br> <br>|
|Netherlands|30|20<br>|50|Suriname|-3<br>|<br>-2<br>|<br>-5<br>|
|Netherlands<br>Antilles|-4|<br>-3|-7|Swaziland|0<br>|0<br>|0<br> <br>|
|New Caledonia|-1.8|-1.2|<br>-3|Sweden|17.5|17.5|<br>35|
|New Zealand|0|0|0|Switzerland|0|0|0|
|Nicaragua|-10|<br>-10|<br>-20|Syrian<br>Arab Rep.|-54|<br>-36|<br>-90|
|Niger|0|0|0|Taiwan|-50|<br>-50|-100|
|Nigeria|0|0|0|Tanzania|6|4|10|
|Norway|12|<br>a|20|Thailand|-15|<br>-15|<br>-30|
|Onan|33|12|<br>45|Togo|0|0|0|
|other Europe|4|4|8|Tonga<br>|-2.2<br>|-2.2<br> <br>|-4.4<br> <br>|
|Other Latin<br>America-Caribb|ean 1|1|2|Trinidad<br>and Tobago|-12|<br>-8|<br>-20|
|Other Micronesia|0|0|0|Tunisia|0|0|0<br>|
|other North<br>Africa|0|0|0|Turkey|-36|<br>-31|<br>-67<br>|
|other North<br>America|0|0|0|Uganda<br> <br>|-25<br>|<br>-20<br> <br>|<br>-45<br> <br>|
|Other Polynesia|-1.5|-1.5|<br>-3<br>|United<br>Arab Emirates<br> <br>|75<br>|<br>25<br> <br>|<br>100<br>|
|Other<br>West Africa|0|0|0|United<br>Kingdom<br> <br>|-75<br>|<br>-75<br>|-150<br>|
|Pacific<br>Islands|-2.3|-1.7|<br>-4|United<br>States<br>of America|1537|1363|2900|
|Pakistan|.-'153|-103|-256|Uruguay|-9|<br>-7|<br>-16<br>|
|Panama|-15|<br>-15|<br>-30|U.S.S.R.|-20<br>|<br>-20<br>|<br>-40<br> <br>|
|Papua New Guinea|0|0|0<br>|Vanuatu<br>|-1.5<br>|-1.5<br> <br>|<br>-3<br> <br>|
|Paraguay|12|<br>8|20|Venezuela|45|<br>30|<br>75|
|<br>Peru|-10|<br>-10|<br>-20|Viet Nam|-57|<br>-43|-100|
|Philippines|-130|-160|-290|Virgin Islands<br>(U.S.)|-1.3|-1.1|-2.4|
|Poland|-29|<br>-36|<br>-65|Western<br>Samoa|-7|<br>-7|<br>-14|
|Portugal|-27|<br>-23|<br>-50|Yeme.,<br>People's<br>Dem. Rep. of|-16|<br>-5|<br>-21<br>|
|Puerto<br>Rico|-25|<br>-33|<br>-58|Yemen Arab Rep.|-11|<br>-4<br>|<br>-15<br> <br>|
|Qatar|35|<br>10|<br>45|Yugoslavia|-13<br>|<br>-12<br> <br>|<br>-25<br> <br>|
|Reunion|0<br>|0<br>|<br>0|Zaire<br>|3<br>|<br>2<br> <br>|<br>5<br> <br>|
|Romania|-15|-15|-30|Zafmbia|0|<br>0<br>|<br>0<br>|
|Rwanda|-6|-4|-10|Zifbabwe|0|0|0|

Source: Arnold 1989.
INTRODUCTION XXI The estimates assign to the United States more net immigrants in 1985-90 than all other countries of the world combined. Other major destination countries are Australia, Saudi Arabia, Canada, and Cote d'lvoire. Mexico has by far the largest net emigration, and its dominance in this area is expected to increase in the 1990X

# SUMMARY OF RESULTS

A brief discussion of projection results in this section will focus, first, on the population of the world and continents; second, on the population of subcontinental geographic regions and of countries grouped by income; third, on the population in World Bank regions, which differ from the U.N. geographic regions; and, finally, on the population of particular countries or economies.

# _World and Continents_

For the world and the continents, we consider population totals and medium-term growth; long-run growth; age structure and dependency, and the fertility and mortality rates underlying the projections.

World population. The population of the world is estimated at 4.84 billion in 1985. It surpassed 5.0 billion in mid-1987, and is projected to reach 5.3 billion in 1990 (Table 4). The annual rate of growth in 1985-90 has been 1.74 percent. This rate is projected to decline to 1.66 percent in the first half of the 1990s, and to 1.54 percent toward 2000. In spite of this, the annual net increase in the number of people will be larger each year until the late 1990s, averaging Table 4 Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for the World and Less Developed and More Developed Countries, 1985-2025

||Popul|ation<br>(mil|lions)||Annua|l<br>increase<br>(m|<br>illions)|<br>Growt|h rate (pe|rcent)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||Less|More|||Less|More||Less|More|
|Year|<br>Uorld<br>d|<br>evelope**d**|eveloped|Period|Uorl|d<br>developed<br>d|<br>eveloped|World<br>d|<br>evelope**d**|eveloped|
|1985|<br>4,844|<br>3,666|<br>1,179|1985-1990|<br>88.2|<br>81.7|6.5|1.74|<br>2.11|<br>0.54|
|1990|<br>5,285|<br>4,074|<br>1,211|1990-1995|<br>91.7|<br>85.9|5.8|1.66|2.00|<br>0.47|
|1995|<br>5,744|<br>4,504|<br>1,240|1995-2000|<br>92.1|<br>87.0|5.1|1.54|<br>1.84|<br>0.41|
|zooo|<br>6.204|<br>4,939|<br>1,265|2000-2005|<br>91.7|<br>87.4|4.3|1.43|<br>1.70|<br>0.34|
|2005|<br>6,663|<br>5,376|<br>1,287|2005-2010|<br>89.9|<br>86.4|3.5|1.31|<br>1.55|<br>0.27|
|2010|<br>7,112|<br>5,808|<br>1,304|2010-2015|<br>88.7|<br>85.7|2.9|1.21|1.42|<br>0.22|
|2015|<br>7,556|<br>6,237|<br>1,319|2015-2020|<br>87.5|<br>85.3|2.1|1.13|1.32|<br>0.16|
|2020|<br>7,993|<br>6,663|<br>1,330|2020-2025|<br>84.4|<br>83.0|1.4|1.03|<br>1.21|<br>0.10|
|2025|<br>8,415|<br>7,078|<br>1,336||||||||

Note: "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.
# XXii INTRODUCTION

close to 92 million people annually, with a projected all-time high increase of over 92 million around 1998. The projections show that it will take only 11 years to add another billion to thC five billion people of 1987. Despite a declining trend in fertility, population grcwth in the short term will clearly be very high.

Aflter the turn of the century, population will continue to grow, although at a somewhat slower rate. The seven billion mark will be reached before the end of the first decade of the 21st century. Because of differences in growth rates between less dcveloped and more developed countries, 84.1 percent of world population will be living in what are currently less developed countries by 2025, up from 75.7 percent in 1985.

These projections differ only slightly from U.N. (1989) and previous World Bank projections (Zachariah and Vu 1988). Figure 6 shows that the estimate of the population in less developed countries by 2025 is _.5_ percent lower than the U.N. estimate and 3 percent higher than the previous World Bank estimate. Figure 7 shows that the estimate of the population in more developed countries by 2025 is I percent lower than the U.N. estimate and identical to the previous World Bank estimate. These differences are due not only to differences in proeedures for projecting vital rates but also o slightly different current population and vital rate estimates.

Continents. Current and projected population and growth rates by continent are shown in Table 5. In these groupings of countries, North and South America are considered together, the U.S.S.R. is combined with Europe, and Australia is combined with the Pacific under Oceania. (The population of Antarctica is insignificant.) The percentage distribution of world population by continent is represented for 1985, 2000, and 2025 in Figures 8-10.

Asia, with the two most populous countries in the world, accounts for 58 percent of world population, and currently contributes 63 percent of the annual increase, or about 55 million people. By 2025, Asia will still be adding to world population about 45 million people annually. However, by that year, the proportion of world population in Asia is expected to be no different from the 1985 proportion, despite a projected 74 percent increase in the Asian population from 1985 to 2025.

Table 5 Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for Continents, 1985-2025

|||Poputatio|n<br>(mit|Lions)|||Am|uatincr|ease<br>(|mittions|)||Growth|rate(|percen|t)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||Ame-||Europe,<br>||||Ame-||Europe,|||Ame-||Europe.||
|Year|Africa|rica|Asia|USSR|Oceania|Period|Africa|rica|Asia|USSR|Oceania|Africa|rica|Asia|USSR|Oceania|
|1985|<br>559|667|2,823|**771**|<br>25|1985-1990|<br>18.2|10.9|55.4|3.3|0.4|3.02|1.57|1.87|<br>0.42|<br>1.63|
|1990|<br>651|721|3,100|787|<br>27|1990-1995|<br>20.5|10.9|57.1|2.7|0.4|2.93|1.45|1.76|<br>0.34|<br>1.59|
|1995|<br>753|775|3,385|801|<br>29|1995-2000|<br>23.3|10.2|55.7|2.4|0.4|2.88|1.27|1.58|<br>0.30|<br>1.40|
|2000|e7O|<br>826|3,664|813|<br>31|2000-2005|<br>26.0|9.4|53.9|2.0|0.4|2.79|1.10|1.42|<br>0.25|<br>1.21|
|2005|1,000|873|3,934|823|<br>33|2005-2010|<br>27.8|9.0|51.1|1.6|0.4|2.60|1.00|1.26|<br>0.20|<br>1.04|
|2010|1,139|918|4,190|831|<br>35|2010-2015|<br>29.2|8.8|48.9|1.4|0.3|2.41|0.94|1.14|<br>0.17|<br>0.8?|
|2015|1,285|962|4,434|838|<br>36|2015-2020|<br>30.1|8.3|47.8|1.1|0.3|2.21|0.84|1.05|0.13|<br>0.72|
|2020|1,435|1,003|4,673|844|<br>38|2020-2025|<br>30.4|7.2|45.6|0.8|0.2|2.02|0.71|0.95|0.10|<br>0.59|
|2025|1,587|1,040|4,901|848|<br>39||||||||||||
INTRODUCTION XXiii Figure 6 Projected Population (billions) In Less Developed.Countries, 1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections <!-- Start of picture text --> 7. 5 -<br>7 0<br>6.5 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~U. N.<br>6.0 - ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Prev ious<br>5.5 - C u rr e n~~~~~~~~~Curet<br>5.5-<br>5.0- 6.0-<br>4.5-<br>4.0<br>3.5 I , I I<br>1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 7 Projected Population (billions) in More Developed Countries, 1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections <!-- Start of picture text -->
1.36  -<br>1.35-<br>1.34-<br>1.33  M<br>1 .32  -Peiu<br>1.31-<br>1.3029rrent<br>1.29-<br>1  .28  -<br>1.27<br>1.295<br>1.25<br>1 .24-<br>1.23-<br>1.22-<br>1.21-<br>1.20-<br>. 19<br>. 18<br>1.71985  19I90  19I95  20100  2005  2010  20115  20120  2025<br><!-- End of picture text -->
# Xxiv INTRoOUCTON

Figure 8 Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 1985 <!-- Start of picture text --> E,rq:e on: U.S.S.R. 15.9 Africa (i.S5<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Oceania C0 5%)<br>ARID (58 3-<br><!-- End of picture text --> Flgure 9 Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2000 <!-- Start of picture text --> ELrop en U S S.R. (13.i%) Ar[Ca Ct4 0%)<br>AffifIca (¶3. 3R)<br>Ocenia C0 5)<br>Asia C59.15)<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 10 Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> ELrope ano U.S.S.R. (10 15)<br>f rtice C18.m1<br>MWIif-C8 (12 45)<br>ARID // C OCeanla (O.55)<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTION **XXV** Table 6 Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 foi the World, Less Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents

||________|Popula<br>___________|tion<br>(mill<br>____________|ions)<br>_|Station<br>ary over|-<br>Popu-|Year<br>when||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region|1985|<br>2050|<br>2100|Station<br> <br>ary|1985<br>- popula<br>tion|lation<br>- mo-<br>mentum|popula<br>tion<br>doubles|- Year<br>when<br>NRRu1|
|World|4,844|10,035|11,330|11,514|<br>2.4|<br>1.4|<br>2044|2060|
|Loss developed|3,666|8,716|10.020|10.200|<br>2.8|<br>1.5|<br>2028|2060|
|More developed|1.179|1.319|1.310|1.314|<br>1.1|<br>1.1|<br>(a)|2030|
|Africa|559|<br>2.275|2.962|3,049|<br>5.5|<br>1.6|<br>2009|2060|
|Ameica|667|<br>1,146|1,192|1,201|<br>1.8|<br>1.4|<br>(a)|2030|
|Asia|2.823|5.728|6.288|6,374|<br>2.3|<br>1.5|<br>2047|2045|
|Europe<br>and U.S.S.R.|771|<br>843|<br>842|<br>846|<br>1.1|<br>1.1|<br>(a)|2030|
|Oceania|25|<br>42|<br>44|<br>45|<br>1.8|<br>1.3|<br>;a)|2030|

Note: "More developedu comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia. New Zealand, and Japan. uLess developed" comprises the rest of the world.

a. Population will not double with projected rates.

Africa is growing much faster, at over 3 percent annually, as opposed to only 1.9 percent for Asia. Africa currently has a smaller population than Asia, Europe and the U.S.S.R., and the Americas, but by the year 2000 will be second in size only to Asia. Annual growth rates in Africa are pro,ected to stay above 2 percent at least up to 2025, by which year the continental population will have almost tripled.

America, with 14 percent of world population, includes both more developed and less developed countries and is growing as a whole more slowly than Africa and Asia. By 2025, its population will have increased by half, but its share of world population will have fallen to 12 percent. The small Oceania group is projected to experience growth essentially similar to America.

Europe and the U.S.S.R., now second in size to Asia, will be only fourth among these continents by 2025. Its share of world population will shrink from 16 to 10 percent. This projection assumes that fertility, currently below replacement level for the group and for many countries, will rise to replacement level by 2030. Should this not hanpen, the projected 10 percent increase in the population by 2025 could be smaller, or could even become a decrease.

Long-run trends. The long-run implications of the projection assumptions are illustrated in Table 6, which shows projections up to 2100 as well as other indicators. If every country and economy reaches replacement-level fertility by or before 2060, world population will be over 11 billion by the end of the next century. Another 300 million will be added before the population becomes stationary, i.e., before the growth rate falls to zero.

Table 6 shows two ratios, that of the projected stationary population to the 1985 population, and that for population momcntum. The latter is the ratio to the 1985 population of
# xovi INTRODUCTiON

the eventual stationary population under the special assumptions that fertility drops to replacement level immediately, mortality stays constant at current levels, and no migration takes place. (Previous estimates of momentum in _World Development Report_ have allowed mortality to decline.) It is effectively an indicator of the amount of future population growth that can be attributed solely to the current age structure of a population. An illustration of the importance of momentum is the fact that more than one billion of the stationary world population will be added because of momentum after replacement fertility is achieved.

Population momentum is considerably lower for more developed than for less developed countries. For more developed countries, only 10 percent growth can be expected because of the age structure. Nevertheless, this will still be the main source of growth for these countries, as indicated by the stationary population being only 10 percent larger than the current population.

Across continents, population momentum is highest for Africa at 1.6, but is clearly only a small part of future growth. The projected stationary African population is more than five times its 1985 population.

Age structure. Of the 4.84 billion people in 1985, 60 percent were in the working ages of 15-64, giving a dependency ratio (of those younger and older combined per hundred members of this group) of 67. By 2025, the world dependency ratio is projected to fall to 53. Children and you.h under 15 will h: 'e fallen from 34 to 26 percent of the population, while the aged 65 and over will have risen from 6 to 9 percent (Table 7; see Table 19 for percentages).

Projected trends in more developed and less developed countries are quite different. In more developed countries, the number of children and youth will actually decline from 260 to 248 million, and as a proportion of the population they will fall to only 19 percent. The aged, on the other hand, will almost double, and by 2025 should be almost as numerous as children and youth. Thus, the dependency ratio in more developed countries will rise from 50 to 58.

In less developed countries, children ard youth will continue to increase, from 1.4 to 1.9 billion, though as a proportion of the population they will fall from 37 to 27 percent. The aged, who are far fewer, will be increasing much faster, from 153 to 514 million, )r from 4 to 7 percent of the population. The dependency ratio will fall from 71 to 52, as the working-age population also grows very fast, at a 2.3 percent annual rate up to 2000 and at a 1.7 percent rate from 2000 to 2025.

These contrasts.are summarized in four population pyramids, for more developed and less developed countries for 1985 and 2025 (Figures 11-14). The pyramids for the two groups of countries are drawn to different scales. For more developed countries, growth will be Modest and mainly involve the pyramid becoming increasingly rectangular. For less developed countries, all age groups will increase, but, given previous high fertility and high infant and child mortality and expected declines in these parameters, the pyramid will become bulkier in the middle, among working-age adults.

Across continents, Africa stands out with 45 percent of its population--10 points more than any other continent--under 15. Consequently, Africa has a dependency ratio of 94, as opposed to only 57-66 in Asia, America, and Oceania and only 51 in Europe and the U.S.S.R. All three age groups--the young, those of working age, and the aged--will grow considerably faster between 1985 and 2025 in Africa than anywhere else. The older age groups will grow somewhat faster than the younger age groups in Africa, as will also be true in all other continents. However, by 2025, those under 15 will still be 36 percent of the population of Africa, as opposed to 19-25 percent of the population of other continents.
INTRODUCTION XXVii Figpire 11 Population in Less Developed Courntries by Age and Sex, 1985 Figure 13 Population In More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 Figure 12 Population in Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 Figure 14 Population in More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025
# )OClVi INTRODUCTION

Table 7 Population Aged 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for the W,orld, Less Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents, 1985, 2000, and 2025 (millions)

|Year and<br>age group|Wortd d|Less<br>eveloped<br>de|More<br> <br>veloped|Africa|America|<br>Asia|Europe,<br>USSR|Oceania|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1985|||||||||
|0-14|1,634|1,374|260|253|208|994|171|7|
|15-64|2,924|2,139|784|289|409|1,699|511|16|
|65+|287|153|134|17|49|131|88|2|
|2000|||||||||
|0-14|1,937|1,685|252|382|230|1,154|164|8|
|15-64|3,860|3,015|845|462|534|2,305|540|20|
|65+|407|239|168|26|62|206|110|3|
|2025|||||||||
|0-14|2,163|1,915|248|564|229|1,202|160|9|
|15-64|5.498|4,649|848|964|688|3,279|541|25|
|65.|754|514|240|60|122|420|147|5|

Note: "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the Fertility and mortality. Underlying these projections are fertility and mortality rates summarized in Table 8 for the world, less developed countries, and more developed countries. (Rates for continents are in Table 12.) The expected reduction in the world population growth rate of .2 percentage points in the next decade is based on simultaneous reductions in the crude birth rate of 3 points per thousand and in the crude death rate of 1 point per thousand, the bulk of these reductions taking place in less developed countries. The crude birth rate in less developed countries, 31 per thousand (double the rate in more developed countries), will decline 4 points per thousand in each of the next two decades. In more developed countries this rate will decline at a considerably slower pace. The crude death rate, on the other hand, is actually lower in less developed countries, with their younger populations, than in more developed countries, and will decline in the former while it rises in the latter.

Unlike the crude birth rte, the total fertility rate is not affected by differences in age structure. This rate for the world as a whole, estimated at 3.4 for 1985-90, will fall 1 percent a year until 2000 and .8 percent a year between 2000 and 2025. The decline will be almost entirely in less developed countries, where total fertility will go from 3.9 in 1985-90 to 3.1 in 2000-05 to 2.5 in 2020-25. In effect, the average woman in less developed countries will have one-and-a-half fewer children in 2025 than in 1985. These declines may appear relatively moderate. However, given that fertility is unlikely to decline much further in China and a few other large countries, the reductions required in other countries will still be fairly substantial. For instance, for Africa a substantial reduction in total fertility from 6.1 to 5.1 is expected within 15 years, and an even larger reduction to 3.3 within the following 20 years. Such reductions are possible, on the basis of past experience with fertility transition, but in the recent past have not happened automatically but required
INTRODUCTION XXiX Table 8 Fertility and Mortality Rates for the World and Less Developed and More Developed Countries, 19852030

|||W|orld||||Less|devel|oped|||More|devel|oped||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Period|<br>CBR|TFR|CDR|eCO)|IMR|<br>COR|TFR|CDR|eCO)|INR|<br>CBR|TFR|CDR|e(O)|IMR|
|1985-199|0 27.1|3.43|9.7|64.9|70|<br>31.0|3.92|9.6|62.1|78|<br>14.7|1.90|9.9|74.1|15|
|1990-1Y95|25.8|3.23|9.1|66.1|62|<br>29.1|3.61|8.9|63.6|69|13.9|1.86|9.7|74.8|13|
|1995-2000|<br>24.1|3.05|8.6|67.1|55|27.0|3.34|8.4|64.9|61|13.2|1.85|9.6|75.5|12|
|2000-2005|22.6|2.91|8.3|68.2|48|25.0|3.13|7.9|66.2|52|12.9|1.89|10.0|76.0|10|
|2005-2010|21.4|2.78|8.3|68.7|45|23.4|2.95|_7.8_|66.9|49|12.8|1.93|10.5|76 2|10|
|2010-2015|20.4|2.66|8.3|69.2|41|22.1|2.79|7.8|67.7|45|12.8|1.97|10.8|76.5|10|
|2015-2020|19.6|2.57|8.4|69.9|38|21.0|2.66|7.8|68.5|42|12.6|2.00|11.2|76.7|10|
|2020-2025|18.7|2.48|8.4|70.6|35|19.9|2.55|7.8|69.3|38|12.5|2.03|11.6|77.0|9|

Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (COR) are per 1000 population; total fertitity rates (TFR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, etO), is given in years; and infant mortality rates (IMR) are per 1000 live births. (See definitions in World Bank 1989.)

# deliberate intervention to lower fertility.

Figures 15 and 16 show that these assumptions about total fertility are close to those used by the U.N. and those used in the previous edition of these projections. Estimates of current fertility agree across the different projection exercises. For less developed countries, the current assumed trend initially matches the previous trend, and then slows down relative to it. This slower decline takes into account evidence that fertility changes slowly, even when transition has started, in regions like South Asia. For more developed countries, the current trend allows fertility to stay below replacement longer than the previous trend or the U.N. trend.

The assumed declines in mortality are also significant, though they will have less effect on population growth. Life expectancy at birth in the world as a whole is projected to increase five-and-a-half years by 2025, with a greater gain in less developed countries (seven years) than in more developed countries-(three years). The gap in life expectancies between less developed and more developed countries will diminish but stay substantial; it is now 12 years, and will be eight years by 2025. Some differences among continents will also shrink, but remain large. Life expectancy in Africa is now 53, as contrasted with life expectancy of 73 in Europe and the U.S.S.R. By 2025, life expectancy in Africa should be considerably extended to 64, but this will still be a dozen years shorter than life expectancy in Europe.

Figures 17 and 18 compare assumed trends in different projection exercises. Because judgments for individual countries differ, the current base estimates of life expectancy are slightly higher than those assumed by the U.N. The current assumed trend involves less rapid improvement than the U.N. trcnd, particularly at higher levels of life expectancy. This is partly due to the imposed maxima for life expectancy (82.5 for women and 75.8 for men), which are lower than those imposed by the U.N. (87.5 for women and 82.5 for mcn). It is also partly due to the long-run nature of these projections, which requires that gains in life expectancy be spread out over a longer period of time.
XXO INTRODUCTION Figure 15 Assumed Total Fertility Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> 3.9<br>3.8-<br>3.6 -2.02<br>3 4<br>3.3<br>3.2-<br>3.1 e<br>3.0 2.9 _<br>Flgur 2.8 17 Assme LieEpcac rn,<br>2.s<br>2.5<br>155.9 1900 9520020-525.001.5 050<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Figure 17 Assumed Life Expectancy Trend,<br>Less Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends<br>71.7<br>70-<br>69<br>67<br>66<br>65<br>64 - Cu<br>63.<br>62<br>61<br>60<br>sq m 2*5M520 20.5lm Mo8.. 0-<br><!-- End of picture text --> Flgure 16 Assumed Total Fertility Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> t2.5<br>20<br>1<br>U.N.<br>4<br>10<br>F - 8AsmdLf xetnyTed<br>S<br>1.2<br>590 19095 142 15 25145 MO9~ 2010-IS 2015-20 2M20:<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 18 Assumed Ufe Expectancy Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> 79M<br>77n<br>76-<br>75-<br>7<br>VA 990 .15 1995.251 25D.05 202510 2002.15 2015-20 20202.2'<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTION X0xDi

# _Geographic Regions and Income Groups_

Population, population growth, and vital rates for subcontinental geographic<sup>regions</sup> and for groups of countries at different income levels are shown in<sup>Tables 9-12. (These and all</sup> succeeding tables appear at the end of this introduction.) The classification by region distinguishes East, West, and North Africa; Latin America and the Caribbean from Northern America; and East and Southeast, South,<sup>and Southwest Asia (see</sup> Table 17 for the countries in each region). East and Southeast Asia, which<sup>includes China, and</sup> South Asia, which includes India, are far larger than the other regions,<sup>which each contain 100 to</sup> 400 million people. The high growth rates for Africa as a whole apply<sup>especially to East and West</sup> Africa, which are growing at 3.1 percent a year and should have<sup>six times as many people when</sup> their populations become stationary. Southwest Asia and North Africa<sup>come next, with total</sup> fertility rates above 5 and high growth rates of 2.6-2.8 percent.

The dassification by income (Exhibit 1) shows that 52 of<sup>the 187 countries or</sup> economies have low per capita incomes of $480 or less (in 1987 U.S. dollars).<sup>Most of these</sup> countries or economies are in Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Southeast<sup>Asia; they also</sup> include the majority of the ten largest countries in the world and contain<sup>56 percent of world</sup> population. At the other extreme, high-income countries or economies,<sup>with per capita incomes</sup> of S6,000 or more, number 38, and contain 16 percent of world population.<sup>At present, the low-</sup> income populations as a group are growing by almost 60 million<sup>a year, while the high-income</sup> populations as a group are growing by only 4 million a year. By 2C25,<sup>the currently low-income</sup> countries will make up 61 percent of world population, and the currently<sup>high-income countries will</sup> make up 11 percent.

The lower-middle-income countries, with per capita incomes up to<sup>$2,000, are as</sup> numerous as the low-income countries but have only 12 percent of<sup>world population. In this group</sup> are half of the Latin American and Caribbean countries and a variety<sup>of countries from every</sup> other region except South Asia. Population growth in these countries<sup>is actually faster at present</sup> than in low-income countries; total fertility is slightly higher (because fertility<sup>in low-income China</sup> is so low), and mortality is lower. The 35 upper-middle-income countries,<sup>on the other hand, with</sup> 9 percent of world population, have lower fertility and are mostly<sup>on the way to slower population</sup> growth. Nevertheless, even this group of countries will still grow considerably. Their<sup>stationary</sup> populations in the aggregate are expected to be more than double their present populations.

# **_World_** _Bank Regions_

The World Bank divides borrower countries, which account<sup>for three-fourths of world</sup> population, into four regions: Africa, essentially Sub-Saharan; Asia,<sup>excluding Southwest Asia,</sup> Afghanistan, and Pakistan, but including the Pacific; Europe, the<sup>Middle East (up to Pakistan), and</sup> North Africa (EMN); and Latin America and the Caribbean<sup>(LAC). Within regions, countries are</sup> grouped into four to six country departments, most of which include<sup>more than one country</sup> (Exhibit 2). We consider the regional populations and their<sup>growth, and then the populations</sup> covered by departments, which prove to be substantially<sup>homogeneous within regions.</sup> The division into regions puts about half the world population in the<sup>Asia region and</sup> 8 to 10 percent of the population in each of the other regions.<sup>If China and India were excluded,</sup> the remainder of the region, at 12 percent of world population,<sup>would be more comparable in size</sup> to the other regions.
XXXii INTRODUCrON Exhlbft 1 Countries and Economies Classified by Income Group (based ob GNP per capita in 1987 U.S. dollars)

**_Low_** Income _($480 or less)_

_less)_ Oceania Latin America and the Caribbean Kiribati Belize East Africa Solomon Islands Bolivia Burundi Vanuatu Chile Comoros Colombia Ethiopia Latin America and the Caritbean Costa Rica Kenya Guyana Dominica Lesotho Haiti Dominican Rep. Madagascar Ecuador Halawi El Salvador Mozambique _Lower.middlc Income_ Grenada Ruanda _($48142,0J_ Guatemala Somaliat8 Honduras Tanzanf a East Africa Ja:iaica Uganda Botswana Mexico Zaire Djibouti Nicaragua Zambia Mauritius Paraguay South Africa Peru West Africa Swazitand St. Kitts and Nevis Benin Ziffbaibwe St. Lucia Burkina Faso St. Vincent and the Grenadines Central African Rep. West Africa Chad Cameroon Equatorial Guinea Cape Verde _Upper-middle Income_ Gambia, The Congo, People's Rep. of the _($2,0004$5,999)_ Ghana C6te d'Ivoire Guinea Senegal East Africa Guinea-Bissau Reunion Liberia North Africa Seychelles Hali Egypt, Arab Rep. of Mauritania Morocco West Africa Niger Tunisia Gabon Nigeria Other North Africa Other West Africa Sao Tomb and Principe Sierra Leone Europe North Africa Togo Poland Algeria Libya North Africa Southwest Asia Sudan Gaza Strip Europe Jordan Greece Southwest Asia Lebanon Hungary Yemen, People's Demi. Rep. ofSyrian Arab Rep. Malta Turkey Portugal South Asia West Bank Romania Afghanistan Yemen Arab Rep. Yugoslavia Bangladesh Bhutan East and Southeast Asia Southwest Asia India Malaysia Cyprus Hatdives Philippines Iraq Nepal Thailand Oman Pakistan Sri Lanka Oceania South Asia South Asia Iran, Islamic Rep. of Oceania Fiji Other Micronesia Pacific Islands Papua New Guinea Tonga Western Samoa East and Southeast Asia Cambodia East and Southeast Asia Korea, Rep. of Macao Taiwan, China China (excluding Taiwan) Indonesia Lao People's Den. Rep. Hyanmar Viet Nam
INTRODUCTION XXXiii

# Exhlbit I (continued)

Oceania Norway _Nonreporting nonmember_ Cuam Spain _economies_ Other Polynesia Sweden Swi tzer landEatArc Latin America and the Caribbean United Kingdom East Africa Antigua and Barbuda Other Europe Argentina West Africa Barbados Southwest Asia Angota Brazil Bahrain Guadeltoue Israel Europe Martinique Kuwait Albania Montserrat Qatar Btai Other Latin America Saudi Arabia Bulgaria Panama United Arab Emirates German Dem. Rep. Puerto Rico U.S.S.R. Suriname East and Southeast Asia Trinidad and Tobago Brunei Latin America and the Caribbean Uruguay Hong Kong Cuba Venezueta Japan Singapore East and Southeast Asia East and Southeast Asia Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of Mongotia _High Income ($6,000 or_ Oceania _more)_ Australia French Polynesia Europe New Caledonia Austria New Zealand Belgiun Northern America Channet Istands Carnsda Derinark United States of America Finland Other Northern America France Germany. Federal Rep. of Latin America and the Caribbean Icetard Bahamas Ireland Netherlands Antilles Iuxelbourg Virgin Islands (U.S.) Netherlands
XOOXV INTRODUCTION Classifed by World Bank Region and.'Country Departments

## Exhlbit 2 Countries and Economies

# _Africa Region (Sub-Saharan)_

Nonborrowers Oceanila Sub-Saharan Africa Australia Angola French Polynesia Namibia Guam Reunion New Caledonia South Africa New Zealand Other West Africa Pacific Islands Other Micronesia Other Polynesia Occidental and Central Africa Department tAFI) Benin Cameroon Central African Rep. Congo. People's Rep. of the Cote d'Ivoire Equatorial Guinea Gabon Guinea Togo

### _Asia Region (and Oceania)_

_Europe, Middle East, and North Africa (EMN) Region (and U.S.S.R.)_ Country Department I Bangladesh Bhutan Nepal Sri Lanka Country Department II Cambociia Korea, Rep. of Lao People's Dem. Rep. Halaysia Hyamnar Philippines Thailand Viet Nam Eastern Africa Department CAF2) Ethiopia Kenya Mauritius Somalia Sudan Uganda Country Department I Pakistan Turkey Country Department I Atgeria Libya Mata Morocco .n. Tunisia Country Department III Afghanistan Bahrain Arab Rep. of Iran, Istaic Rep. of Jordan Kuwait Lebanon West Bank Qatar Saudi Arabia Syria United Arab Emirates Unite Arab ema Yemen, People's Dem. Rep, of South-Centr **a** nd Indian l Ocean Department (AF3) Burundi Comoros Djibouti Madagascar Rwanda Seychelles Zaire Rwanda Country Department III Seychelles China texcluding Taiwan) Zaire cutyDprmnIVEgypt. Western Africa Department (AF4) India Ghana Guinea-Bissau Country Department V Liberia Fiji Nigeria Indonesia Sao Tom6 and Principe Kiribati Sierra Leone Haldives Papua New Guinea Sahelian Department tAFS) Solomon Islands Burkina Faso Tonga Cape Verde Vanuatu Chambiad Th Western Samroa Ganbia, The Hali Nonborrowers Mauritania Niger East and Southeast Asia Senegal Brunei Country Department IV Cyprus Hungary Potand Portugal RKoania Yugoslavia East and Southeast Asia Brunei Hong Kong Japan Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of Macao Mongolia Singapore Taiwan, China Southern Africa Department (AF6) Botswana Lesotho Malawi Mozambique Swazilar-; Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe
INTRODUCTION XXXv

# Exhlbit 2 (continued)

Nonrborrowers _Latin America and the_ St. Lucia _Carlbbean (LAC) Region st._ Vincent and the Grenadines North Africa _Saibeu(rCiRgo_ Other North Africa _(and Northern America)_ Suriname Venezuela Southwest Asia Country Department I Gaza Strip grazil Coumtry Department IV Israrl Argentina Country Department II Chile Europe and U.S.S.R. Costa Rica Ecuador Albania El Salvador Paraguay Austria Guatemala Peru Belgiun Honduras Uruguay Bulgaria Mexico Chaonel Islands Nicaragua Nonborrowers Czechoslovakia Panama Dwuark Latin America and the Caribbean Finland Country Department III Cuba France Antigua and Barbuda Guadeloupe German Dem. Rep. Bahamas Martinique Germany, Federal Rep. of Barbados Netherlands Antilles Greece Belize Virgin Islands (U.S.) Iceland Bolivia Other Latin Ame. ca Ireland Colombia Italy Dominica Northern America Luxembourg Dominican Rep. Canada Netherlands Grenada Puerto Rico Norway Guyana United Stntes of America Spain Haiti Other Northern America Sweden Jamaica Switzerland Montserrat United Kingdom St. Iltts and Nevis Other Europe U.S.S.R.

_st._ Vincent and the Grenadines _Saibeu(rCiRgo_ Suriname Venezuela
## )xxvi INTRODUCaON

The relative contributions of the regions to world populatiQn growth are shown in Figure 19 (see also Tables 13-15). The Asia region is now contributing half of world population growth, and the other three regions are each contributing 10 to 16 percent. The contribution to growth of the Asia region is projected to decline relative to the contributions of other regions: around 2030 it will actually fall below the contribution of the Africa region, and around 2060 below the contribution of the EMN region.

The contributions of both these regions are projected to rise rapidly, even with expected fertility transition in all their countries. Around 2075, the Africa region will have only a fifth of world population, but will be responsible for more population growth than all the rest of the world. The EMN region will have 15 percent of world population, but will be responsible for a quarter of the growth. Even with fenility decline taken into account, the Africa region will double in size in 23 years, the EMN region (despite including some countries of Eastern and Souihern Europe) in 32 years.

Population growth in the LAC region is not insignificant either. Thi's region is growing. faster than the Asia region and has marginally higher population momcntum than any other region. Even should the LAC region attain replacement fertility immediately, population would still grow 60 percent because of the you:lg age structure.

The country departments generally have growth prospects similar to those of the regions to which they belong. The departments covering the largest populations are the singlecountry China and India departments and the Southeast Asia department, the latter covering 270 million people. The remaining departments each cover between 40 and 170 million people. By 2025, these other departments, assuming they will still exist in the same torm, will each cover between 110 and 460 million people. Annual population growth rates for the entire 1985-2025 period will be between 2.6 and 2.8 percent in all the Africa departments; between 2.2 and 2.4 percent in three of the four EMN departments, excluding the Europe department; between 1.3 and 1.6 percent in all the LAC departments; and 1.4 percent in three of the five Asia departments, China being lower at 1.0 percent and Other South Asia (excluding India) higher at 1.9 percent.

These differences between regions and similarities within them are mainly rooted in fertility patterns (Table 16). Total fertility is between 6.4 ard 6.7 in each Africa department; between _5.2_ and 5.8 in three of the four EMN departments; between 3.4 and 3.9 in each LAC department; and more variable only in the Asia region, where it ranges from 2.4 to 5.2 across departments. Mortality patterns are also quite similar among departments in each region. Infant mortality per thousand is over 100 in each Africa departmeri; between 70 and 100 in three of the four EMN departments; boTtween 50 and 65 in each LAC department; and more variable only in the Asia region, where it ranges from 30 to 110. Projected trends will introduce only slightly more heterogeneity within regions: the Salhelian department, for instance, is expected to lag behind other Africa departments in both mortality and fertility decline.

Much more heterogeneity does exist among countries in particular regions. However, the similarities across the occasionally arbitrary groupings of countries that form departments suggest that underlying demographic regimes may be broadly shared within regions, with country variations reflecting haphazard influences that distort these regimes in different directions.

# _Some Country Results_

Countries and economies provide a much more complex demographic mosaic than these regions, and a detailed account of their projected demographic future will not be given here. Instead, we focus on some highlights that emerge when countries are contrasted on population
INTRODUCTION XoXvil Figure 19 Percentage Contribution to World Population Growth-irom World Bank Regions and Nonborrowers, 1985-2100 I ~ <!-- Start of picture text --> 50 -<br>40 -<br>30 A I<br>20-<br>10<br>10 ~~~~~~~~~LAC<br>~~~~~ I ' ' ' ' -<br>19S5 2000 2015 2030 2045 2060 2075 2090<br><!-- End of picture text --> growth (Tables 17 and 18), age structure (Table 19), and vital rates.

China is the most populous country or economy, and remains so in these projections almost until the end, not quite 200 years in the future. Rankings by size among other large countries will be changing well before that point. Nigeria and Pakistan, in particular, will be moving up, from ninth-tenth today to seventh-eight by the turn of the century and to fifth-sixth by 2025. Japan will fall out of the group of ten largest countries, and by 2025 will have fewer people than Mexico, Iran, or Viet Nam.

India presently contributes more to world population growth than China or any other country, and will continue to do so throughout the projection period. After India and Cnina, the leading contributors to world population growth are Pakistan and Nigeria. At the other extreme, the Federal Republic of Germany is contracting by 100,000 people a year. Even recent mass migrations from the German Democratic Republic-which occurred too recently to be incorporated in these estimates--are unlikely to produce substantial population growth. Hungary is also losing population, but only a fifth as much as the Federal Republic of Germany.

Despite contributing so much to growth, none of the large countries is growing as fast as some states in the Persian Gulf and in Sub-Saharan Africa. In the Gulf, Qatar and Oman are growing by more than 4 percent a year, and Saudi Arabia, Djibouti, and Kuwait by more than 3.7 percent. In Africa, C6te d'Ivoire and Kenya are growing by more than 4 percent, and Zambia by about 3.7 percent.

Rapid growth pirtly accounts for Kenya having a dependency ratio as high as 120, well above any other national ratio. Other countries with ratios above 104 (other than small islands) are Botswana, the Yemen Arab Republic, and Zambia. By contrast, exceptionally low dependency ratios, indicating relatively large working-age populations, characterize such vigorous
## moocviii INTRODUCTION

economies as Singapore (the lowest at 42), the Federal Republic of Gernany, Hong Kong. and Japan. This is projected to change: by 2025, all these low-dependency countries will have only middling dependency ratios, as their aged populations Increase relative to those of working age. The highest proportions of the aged are currently in Sweden, Norway, the United Kingdom, and Denmark, where dependency ratios are at least 10 points higher than in Singapore.

The countries with most rapid growth are also among those with the highest fertility levels. Total fertility is above 7.2 in Rwanda, the Yemen Arab Republic, Kenya, Malawi, and Cote d'lvoire, and just below this level in Saudi Arabia and Oman. At the other end are some European countries now reporting very low fertility, chief among them Italy and the Federal Republic of Germany.

The shortest life expectancies, barely 40 years, are estimated for Afghanistan and in West Africa, particularly for Guinea-Bissau, Sierra Leone, Guinea, and the Gambia. Other West African countries follow close behind. At the other end of the scale, life expectancies in Japan, France, and Iceland are almost twice as long.

# _Conclusion_

Increasing numbers of people continue to be added to world population every year. To the 5.1 billion people in mid-1988, about 90 million were added within a year, and about 91 million more are expected to be added by mid-1990. A few developing countries have demonstrated that fairly rapid fertility decline is possible; others have exhibited gradual, long-term fertility decline. Nevertleless, the resulting lower population growth rates have not compensated for the steadily enlarging population base. The world will enter the next century with at least a billion more people than today, and will add another billion in the following decade.

Regions and individual countries do face different demographic prospects. For SubSaharan Africa, and even more for particular countries in the region, the likelihood of population doubling within 25 years, within the span of a generation, is sobering for anyone attempting to deal with societal problems. By the middle of the next century, the region could be more than four times its current size.

For the large countries of Asia, the numbers of people being added each year are so large as to be difficult to visualize. India adds to its population every year as many people as live in Nepal or Australia, while the annual increase in Pakistan is equivalent to one-and-a-half Singapores.

The situation for the Middle East and North Africa may appear on the surface less immediately alarming. Nevertheless, the region contains some of the fastest growing populations in the world, and eventually is likely to outstrip Asia in the number of people added each year.

Latin American and Caribbean countries are more advanced in demographic transition than Africa or South Asia. Nevertheless, 2 percent annual growth is not quite over for the region, and certainly not for particular countries. The legacy of past rapid growth, in young age structures, provides considerable momentum for further growth.

The more developed regions do not face problemns of rapid growth, but they do face other demographic dilemmas. Only a few are actually experiencing population decline, but most will experience further aging of the population and rising dependency burdens.

Like all projections, these varied prospects depend on the assumptions that have been
INTRODUCTION XXXix made, which were specified above. 'Me assumed trends in vital rates partly reflect the efforts that have been made throughout the dev,loping world to restrain fertility, as well as to reduce mortality, in effect actually taking into account some exceptional past experiences at reducing growth. Altering these trends and producing more rapid deceleration of population growth is possible, but would probably require at least as much, and probably much more, demographic intervention as in the recent past.

# REFERENCES

Arnold, Fred. 1989. Revised estimates and projections of international migration. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Papers, No. 275. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Bos, Eduard, and Rodolfo _A._ Bulat2o. 1989. Projecting fertility for all countries. Policy, Planning. and Research Working Papers. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Forthcoming. Blum, Alain, and Roland Pressat. 1987. Une nouvelle table de mortalitd pour l'URSS (19841985). _Population_ 42(6):8436M2.

- Bulatao, Rodolfo A., and Eduard Bos. 1989. Projecting mortality for ali countries. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Papers. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Forthcoming.

- Bulatao, Rodolfo A., and Ann Elwan. 1985. Fertility and mortality transition: Patterns, projections, and interdependence. World Bank Staff WVorking Paper No. 681. Washington, D.C.

- Coale, Ansley J., and Paul Demeny (with Barbara Vaughn). 1983. _Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations._ 2nd ed. New York: Academic Press.

- Eurostat. 1987. _Demographic Statistics._ >.uxembourg: Statistical Office of the European Communities.

- Hill, Kenneth. n.d. ProjPC;II: Users manual. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

- Jamison, Ellen, Peter D. Johnson, and Richard A. Engels. 1987. World Population Profile: 1987. W?shington, D.C.: Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

- Monnier, Alain. 1988. "La conjoncture ddmographique: L'Europe et les pays ddveloppds d'outremer,' _Population_ 43(4-5):893-904.

- United Nations. Department of International Ecenomic and Social Affairs. 1984. _Population and Vital Statistics Report: 1984 Special Supplement._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1989. _World Population Prospects 1988._ New York. United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. _Demographic Yearbook._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. _Population and Vtal Statistics Report._ New York: United Nations.

- U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1983. _World Population 1983--Recent Demographic Estimates for the Counries and Regions of the World._ Washington, D.C.

- U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1985. _World Population. Recent Demographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World._ Washington, D.C.

- World Bank. 1989. _World Development Report 1989._ New York: Oxford University Press. Zachariah, K C, and My T. Vu. 1988. _World Population Projections: 1987-88 Edition._ Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press.
Xl INTRODUCT ON

# APPENDIX: SOURCES

|Country,|Last eubli|shcd census<br>|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or<br>territory|Date|Population<br>(¶000)<br>*|Total population, mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|Afghanistan|Jun 79|13051 F|Bank projection<br>from census, fnc.<br>refugees<br>assuned<br>absent temporaril|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>y|
|Albania|Oct 60<br>|1626 F<br>|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Algeria|Apr87|22971J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank sectorreport6/88|
|American<br>Samoa|<br>Apr 80|32 J|Based on UNPVSR 1/88||
|Andorra|Nov 54|6r|USBOC 1983||
|Angola|Dec 70|5646 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelin.<br>version)|
|Anguilla|--|-<br>-|UNPVSR 1/87||
|Antigua<br>and<br>BarbLua|Apr 70|66 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR|
|Argentina|Oct 80|27947 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Aruba|Feb 81|60 J|Based on UNPVSR 1987-89|-|
|Australia|Jun 81|14576 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>and U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Austria|May 81|7555J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|onnier 1988|
|Bahamas|Hay 80|223 F|UNDY 1986|BasedfnUNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|
|Bahrain|Apr 81|351 F|Official<br>est.. Central Statistics|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|
||||Organization,<br>10/89||
|Bangladesh|Mar 81|87120 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>ver:ion)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Barbados|May 80|252F|UNPVSR 7/d6 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Belgiun|Har 81|9849 J|Based on Eurostat 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Belize|Hay 80|143 F|UNPVSR 7/86(official<br>est.)|Based on USBOC 1985|
|Benin|Har 79|3331 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank assessment<br>of 1961 survey and WfS|
|Bermuda|May 80|68 F|UNPVSR 1/87(official<br>est.)||
|Bhutan|Dec 69|1035 F|Based on 1980 and 1986 official est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Bolivia|Sep 76|4613 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Botswana|Aug 81|941 F|Bank projection<br>from 1981 census|DHS 1988|
|Brazil|Sep 80|121149 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|British<br>Virgin<br>|May 80|12 F|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Islands|||||
|Brunei|Aug 81|193 F|Based on 1981 census|Based on UNPVSR 10/88|
||||and 1986 official<br>est.|(official<br>est.)|
|Bulgaria|Dec 85|8948 F|UNPVSR 3/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Burkina<br>Faso|Dec 85|7747 F|Based on 1985 census|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Burundi|Aug 79|4028 F|Bank projection<br>from census|OHS 1987|
|Cambodia|Apr 62|5729 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Cameroon|Apr 76|7090 F|Bank projection<br>fromcensus|Based onWFS|
||||adjusted<br>for 7.4% undercount||
|Canada|Jun 86|25309 J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Official<br>est., Population<br>Projections|
|||||for Canada, 1984-2006|
|Cape Verde|Jun 80|289 F|UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)|Bank assessment|
|Cayman Islands|Oct 89|17 F|UNPVSR 1/88 (official<br>est.)||
|Central<br>African|Dec 75|2055 F|Bank projection<br>from 1975 census|Bank est.|
|Rep.|||adjusted<br>for 11.3X undercount||
|Chad|Dec 63|3254 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Chamnel Island|s Mar 86|135 F|Based on 1981 and 1986 censuses|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
INTRODUCTION Xii

# OF POPULATION DATA

|Life expectancy.<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>198S-90|Age sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy,<br>or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Afghanistan|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Albania<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. '989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>t--|Algeria<br>American Samoa<br>|
|--|--|-|Andorra|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>--|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>--|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>--<br>*|Angola<br>Anguilta|
|Based on official<br>COR|UNPVSR (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1978|Antigua and<br>Barbuda|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>.|Argentina<br>|
||||Aruba<br>|
|U.N. 1989 ('-elim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Australia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR 4/87 (officiai<br>est|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>.) UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNDY 1986<br> <br>|Austria<br>Bahamas<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bahrain|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on official<br>INR|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br>Bank est.|Bangladesh<br>Barbados|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br>Based on USBOC 1985|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>Based on USBOC 1985<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNDY 1978<br>|Belgium<br>Belize<br>|
|Bank assessment of qt fromwFS|Bank assessment of o% fromWFS|Based on 1979 census|Benin<br>Bd|
||-.|--|ermua|
|U.N. 1989(pretim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bhutan<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Bolivia<br>|
|DHS1988|DHS1988|Bank assessment<br>|Botswana<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Brazil<br> <br>|
|||* *-<br>--<br>|British<br>Virgin<br>Islands<br>|
|Bank est.|Bank.est.|Bank est.|Brunei|
|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)<br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1989 (preltim.<br>version)<br>|Bulgaria<br>|
|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N.1989 (prelim. version)|Bankassessment|Burkina Faso|
|Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bank est.<br>|Burundi<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Bank est.<br>|Cambodia<br>|
|Bank assessment<br>of q5 from WFS|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on 1976 census|Cameroon|
|Official<br>est., Pop. Projections<br>for Canada,<br>1984-2006|<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|Official<br>est., Pop. Projection<br>for Canada, 1984-2006|s Canada|
|Based on official<br>CDR|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|Cape Verde|
|||..--|CaymanIslands<br>|
|bank assessment<br>of a% from|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Central African<br>|
|census|||Rep.<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (pbelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bank assessment<br>|Chad<br> <br>|
|Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1981|Channi-l<br>Islands|
# Xlii INTRODUCnON

Appendix (continued)

|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|Last oubt<br>Date|ished census<br>Population<br>(1000)*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Chile|Apr 82|11330 F|U.N.1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|China (excl.<br>Taiwan)|Jul 72|1031883 F|Bank projection<br>from Bank report<br>report 3/88|Based on CBR from 1987 survey|
|Colonbia|Oct 85|27838i|Based on official data|Based on official data|
|Comoros|Sep 80|386F|Bank projection<br>from census.excl.|Banksector report|
||||Mayotte (pop 50.74 thousand)||
|Congo, People's<br>Rep. of the|Dec 84|1843 F|Bank projection<br>from 1984 census|Bank est.|
|Cook Islands|Duc 86|17 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (offical<br>est.)||
|Costa Rica|Nov 84|2417 J|Official est., Direcci6n<br>General<br>de Estadistica<br>y Censos|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|C6te d lvoire|Apr75|6709 F|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|
|Cuba|Sep 81|9724 F|UNPVSR 10/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Cyprus|Sep 76|613 J|Based on UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Czechoslovakia|Nov 80|15283 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Denmark|Jan 81|5123 J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|DJibouti|60-61|81 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Dominica|Apr 81|74 F|Bank projection<br>from official 1978-|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
||||83 est., Ninistry of Health 10/84||
|Dominican<br>Rep.|Dec 81|5648 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Ecuador|Nov 82|8061 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|DHS 1987|
|Egypt|Nov 86|48205 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on 4/89 DHS prelim. result|
|El Salvador|Jun 71|3555 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Equatorial|Jul 83|300 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Guinea|||and1982 household<br>listing||
|Ethiopia|Sep84|42169 F|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>of U.N. data,|
|||||with correction<br>for 1984 famine|
|Faeroe Islands|Sep 77|42 J|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Falkland Island|s Dec 80|2 F|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Fiji|Aug 86|715 F|Based on 1986 census|USBOC 1987|
|Finland|Nov 85|4911 4|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|France|Mar 82|54335 F|Based on Eurostat 1987|Monnier 1988|
|French Guiana|Mar 82|73 J|UNPVSR 1/87||
|French Polynesi|a Oct 83|167 F|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|USBOC 1987|
|Gabon|Oct 60|449 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Gamfbia,<br>The|Apr 83|688 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Gaza Strip|Sep 67|356 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|
|Germany, Federa|<br>l May 87|61028 J|<br>Based on Eurostat1987|Monnier1988|
|Rep. of|||||
|German Dem. Rep.|Dec 81|16706 J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on CBR|
|Ghana|Mar 84|12296 F|Official est.|DHS 1988|
|Gibraltar|Nov 81|30 F|UNPVSR 1/87||
|Greece|Apr 81|9740 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Greenland|Oct 76|50J|UNPVSR 1/87||
|Grenada|May 81|89 F|Bank projection<br>from official|Based on official 1980-85 est..|
||||<br>1983 est., Ministry<br>of Finance|Ministry of Finance|
INTRODUCTION xliii

|Life expectancy, 1985-90|Infant mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure.<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>Based on Bank report 3/88<br> <br>|U.N.1989 Cpretim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>Bank assessment|Chile<br>China (exct.<br>Taiwan)|
|Based on official<br>data<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Colombia|
|Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank est.|Comros|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank assessment|Congo, People's<br>Rep. of the|
|<br>|||Cook Islands|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Costa Rica|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N.1989(prelim. version)<br> <br>|Bank assessment|C6te dlIvoire|
|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88<br>(official<br>est.)<br> <br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Cuba|
|U.N. 1989 (preli..<br>version)<br>UN 1|U.N. 1989 (prelif.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bank est.<br> <br>|Cyprus<br>|
|.. 989 (prelim. version)<br>|IMPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Czechoslovakia|
|U.N. 1989 (pretim. version)<br> <br>|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Denmark|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Djibouti|
|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88<br> <br>|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88<br> <br>|UNDY 1970|Dominica|
|(official<br>est.)<br>|(officiae<br>est.)<br>|||
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|U.N.1989(pretlm. version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Dominican Rep.|
|U.N. 1989Cprelim.version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (preltm. version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Ecuador|
|U.N.1989 (prelim. version)<br>UN1989 li i|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|EgYPt<br>|
|..(prem. verson)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|El Salvador|
|Bank est.<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Bank est.|Equatorial<br>Guinea|
|Bank sector report. which<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank assessment|Ethiopia|
|corrected for 1984 famine|*|||
||_<br>"|*-|FaeroeIslands<br>|
|<br>|--;B0C 11?<br>||FalklandIslands|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|USBOC 1987<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Fiji|
|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88<br>(official<br>t|nornier<br>1988|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Finland|
|<br>es.)<br>||||
|Homier1988|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prellm. version)|France|
|<br>|**..**<br>|--|FrenchGuiana|
|USSOC<br>1987<br>|US8OC 1987<br>|Bank est.|French Polynesia|
|Bank est.<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|Bank assessment|Gabon|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank assessment|Gambia Th|
|USBOC<br>1987|<br> <br>|<br>|, e<br>|
|<br> <br>|USBOC<br>1987|Bank est.|Gaza Strip|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Monnier 1988|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|<br>Germany, Federal<br>|
||||Rep. of|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|UNPSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|<br>German Dem. Rep.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank assessment|Ghana|
||||Gibraltar|
|Based on Eurostat 1987|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Gree:e|
|<br>|||Greenland|
|Based official<br>1980-85 est.,<br>Ministry of Finance|Ba.nk projection|Bankeat.|Grenada|
## XlV INTRODUCTnON

# Appendlx (continued)

|Country,|Last rublis|hed census|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or<br>territory|Date|Population<br>(1000)<br>*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|Guadeloupe|Mar 82|327 J|U.N. 1989 (prclim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Guam|.-ir 80|106 J|USBOC 1987|<br><br>USBOC 1987|
|Guatemala|Mar 81|6054 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Guinea|Feb 83|4533 F|Bank projection<br>from census|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Guinea-Bissau|Apr 89|753 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Guyana|May 80|759 F|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR|
|Haiti|Aug 82|5054 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Holy See|Apr 48|1 F|UNPVSR_1/d7_(official est.)|--|
|Honduras|Mar 74|26S7 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Hong Kong|Mar 86|5396 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Hungary|Jan 80|10709 F|Official est., Pocket Book, Hungary|Monnier 1988|
|Iceland|Dec 70|205 J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|India|Mar 81|685185 F|Bank projection from|USBOC 1987|
||||adjusted 1981 census||
|Irdonesia|Oct 80|147490 F|Official est., Biro|Based on Contraceptive Prevalence|
||||Pusat Statistik 1/88|Survey (OHS) 1987|
|Iran, Islamic<br>Rep. of|Sep 86|49445 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Iraq|Oct87|16278 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U-N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Ireland|Apr 86|3541 F|Based on 1981 and 1986 censuses|<br>Based on Eurostat 1987|
|Isle of Man|Apr 86|62J|USBOC 1985|--|
|Israel|Jun83|4038J|U.N. 19o9 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Italy|Oct 81|56557 F|Based on Eurostat 1987|Based on Eurostat 1987|
|Jamaica|Jun82|2206 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Japan|Oct 85|121049 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Johnston Island|<br>Apr 70|1 F|Based on UNPVSR 7/89 (official est.)|<br>--|
|Jordan|Nov 79|2100 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank est.|
|Kenya|Aug79|15327 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Projected from 1980-85 Bank est.|
|||||based on various national surveys|
|Kiribati|May 85|64 F|UNPVSR 1/88 (official est.)|USBOC 1987|
|Korea, People's<br>Dem. Rep. of|May44|a.F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Korea, Rep. of|Nov 85|40449 F|Official est., Economic|Bank assessment|
||||Planning Board||
|Kuwait|Apr 85|1697 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Lao People$s<br>Dem. Rep.|Mar 85|3585 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Lebanon|Nov 70|2126 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Lesotho|Apr 76|1216 F|Bank projection from 1986 census|Based on WFS 1977|
|Liberia|Feb 84|2102 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|DHS 1986|
|Libya|Jul 84|3637J|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Liechenstein|Dec 80|25 F|UNPVSR1/87(official est.)||
|Luxeffbourg|Mar81|364J|UNPVSR7/86(official est.)|Monnier 1988|
|Macao|Mar 81|248J|UNFVSR4/87(official est.)|Based on Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988|
|Madagascar|74-75|7604 F|Bank projection from census|Bank assessment of 1980 survey|
||||and 1980 budget survey||
|Halaui|Sep87|7983F|Bank projection from census|Based on 1977 census|
INTROCUCTION XIV Country, economy, or Life expectancy 1985-90 Infant mortality, 1985-90 Age-sex structure, mid-1985 territory U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) UNPVSR 10/88 (official est.) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Guadeloupe USBOC 1987 USBOC 1987 Bank est. Guam U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Guatemala U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Bank assessment Guinea Bank est. Bank est. Bank assessment Guinea-Bissau Based on official CDR Bank projection U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Guyana U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Heiti **-** - * Noly See U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Honduras U.N. 1989 (prelim. versicn) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Hong Kong U.N. 1989 (prellm. version) UNPVSR 10/88 (official est.) 1980 census Hurnary Based on UNPVSR 10/88 UNPVSR 10/88 (official est.) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Iceland (official est.) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Bank projection based on India 1981 census Based on Contraceptive Based on Contraceptive Biro Pusat Statistik 1/88 Indonesia Prevalence Survey (DHS) 1987 Prevalence Survey (DHS) 1987 Bank est. Bank est. Bank est. Iran, Islamic Rep. of U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Iraq Based on Eurostat 1987 UNPVSR 10/88 (official est.) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Ireland *- **-** *- Isle of Han U.N. 1989 (pretim. version) U.N. 1989 (preLim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Israel Based on Eurostat 1987 UNPVSR 10/88 (official est.) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Italy U.N. 1989 (preiim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Jamaica U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Monnier 1988 U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Japan Johnston Island U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Bank est. Jordan Bank assessment U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Bank assessment Kenya USBOC 1987 USBOC 1987 Bank est. Kiribati USB0C 1987 USB0q 1987 U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Korea. People's Dem. Rep. of U.N. 1989 tprelim. version) 'U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Korea. Rep. of U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Kuwait U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Lao People's Dem. Rep. U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Lebanon Based on UFS 1977 U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Lesotho U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Bank assessment Liberia U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (pretim. version) U.N. 1989 (pretim. version) Libya Liechenstein U.N. 1989 (pretim. version) UNPVSR 10/88 (official est.) U.N. 1989 (pretim. version) Luxembourg Based on Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988 3ased on Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988 Bank est. Macao Bank assessment of 1980 and U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Madagascar 1984 surveys U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Bank assessment Matawi
XlVi INTRODUCnON

# Appendix (continued)

|Country,|Last pubils|hed census<br>|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or||Population<br>|||
|territory|Date|(1000)*|Total population, mid-1985|Total fertility.<br>1985-90|
|Malaysia<br>|Jun 80|13183F|Official<br>est., Dept. of Statistics|Bank est.|
|Maldives<br>|Mar85<br>|180 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank projection|
|Hali|Apr87|7620 J|Bankprojection<br>from census|ONS1987|
|Malta|Nov85|345 F|UNPVSR 1/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N.<br>1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Martinique<br>|Mar82<br>|327J<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Hauritania|Jan 77|1339 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N.<br>1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|mauritius<br>|Jut 83<br>|1000 F<br>|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)<br>|UNPVSR 7/86|
|Mexico|Jun 80|66847 J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Midway Islands|Apr70|2 F|Basedon UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)||
|Monaco|Mar82|27 J|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Mongolia|Jan 79|1595 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Montserrat<br>|May80<br>|12 F|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.|Based on UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)|
|Morocco|Sep82|20450 F|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Based on DHS 1987 (revised<br>prelim.)|
|Hozanbique|Aug 80|11674 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Myarmar<br>|Mar83|35308 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Namibia|Nay?3|762 F|Bankprojection<br>from|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
||||unpubtished<br>5/81 census||
|Nauru|Jan 77|7 F|Based on UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)|--|
|Nepal<br>|Jun 81<br>|15023 J<br>|Official<br>est.,<br>Cen. Bur.<br>of Stat.|Based on Goverrnent<br>survey|
|Netherlands|Feb 71|13060 J|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|Homier<br>1988|
|Netherlands|Mar81|172J|Basedon 1971. 1981 censuses (excl.|Based on USBOC 1985|
|Antilles|||<br>Aruba).<br>adjusted<br>for<br>2X undercount||
|New Caledonia|Apr 83|145 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|USBOC 1987|
|New Zealand|Apr 83|3307 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Monnier<br>1988|
|Nicaragua|Apr 71|1877 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|
|Niger|May88|7250 F|Bank projection<br>from 1988 census|Bank assessment|
|Nigeria|Nov63|55670F|Bank projection<br>from official<br>data|Based on OHS result<br>for<br>Ondo State|
|Niue|Sep 86|3 F|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)|--|
|Norway|Nov 80|4091 J|UNPVSRX/86(official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Onan|||U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|
|Pacific<br>Islands,|Sep 80|133 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|USBOC 1987|
|Trust Terr|||||
|Pakistan<br>|Mar 81<br>|84254 F|Bank assessment of 1981 census|Bank est.|
|Panama|May 80|1831 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|
|Papua New Guinea|Sep 80|3011 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Paraguay|Jul 82|3030 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Peru|Jul 81|17005 F|Sank projection<br>from censu,|Projected<br>from Bank assessment|
||||adjusted<br>for 4.1X undercount|<br>for<br>1980-85|
|Philippines|may80|48098 J|Bank projection<br>from census,|Based on 4/86 Contraceptive<br>PrevaLence|
||||adjusted<br>for<br>1.9X undercout|Survey estimate<br>of CBR|
|Pitcairn|Dec 87|b F|UNPVSR 4/87||
|Poland<br>|Dec 78<br>|35061 J<br>|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Portugal<br>|Mar 81|9833 F|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Puerto Rico<br>|Apr 80<br>|3197 F<br>|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|
|Qatar|Mar86|369 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Reunion|Mar82|516 J|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|<br><br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
INTRODUCTION xlvii

|Life expectancy.<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy, or<br> <br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>Malaysia|
|Bank est.|USBoC '987|Bank est.|Maldives|
|Bank assessment of 1960-61survey|U.N. 19b? (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Mali|
|and agedatefrom 1976 census||||
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|<br>Malta|
|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Martinique|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Hauritania|
|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelti.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Mauritius|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>.vrzion)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Mexico|
||||MidwayIslands|
||||Monaco|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Mongolia|
|Basedon UNPVSR 1i87 (official<br>est.|) Bank projection|UNDY 1984|Montserrat|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|DHS est. for 1982-86|U.N. 1989 (pr<br>elim. version)|<br>Morocco|
|Based on official<br>CDR|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Mozambique|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Myarmnar|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>based on<br>stable population<br>models|Namibia|
|--|--|--|Nauru|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on goverrnment<br>survey|Bank est.|Nepal|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Netherlands|
|Based on USB0C 1987|Based on USBOC 1987|<br> <br>UUDY 1980|Netherlands<br>Antilles|
|USB0C 1987|USBOC 1987|Bank est.|New Caledonia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|New Zealand|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br> <br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Nicaragua|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>based on|Niger|
|||1977 de jure population||
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Nigeria|
||||Niue|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Norway|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Oman|
|USBoC 1987|Based on e0* USBOC 1987|Bank est.|Pacific Islands,|
||||Trust Terr.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|Pakistan|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Panama|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Papua New Guinea|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Paraguay|
|Projected<br>from Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 prelim. version)|Peru|
|for 1980-85||||
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Philippines|
||||Pitcairn|
|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR<br>10/88(official<br>est.)|U.N.1989 (prelim. version)|Poland|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Portugal|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Puerto Rico|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Qatar|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Reunion|
# XlViii INTRODUCT1ON

# Appendix (continued)

|Country.|Last oubl j|shed census|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy,<br>or||Population|||
|territory|Date|(1000)*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|Romania|Jan 77|21560 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Rwanda|Aug78|4800J|Bank projection<br>from census and<br>|Bank est.|
||||1970 survey||
|San Marino|Nov76|19 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Sab Tom6and|Aug 81|97 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|Based on U.N. 1984|
|Principe|||||
|Saudi Arabia|Sep 84|7012 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Senegal|Jun 88|6882 F|Officiel<br>est.,<br>Situation<br>|<br><br>DHS 1986|
||||Economique du Senegal||
|Seyche<br>A<br>|Aug 77|62 F|<br>UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank projection|
|Sierra Leone<br>|Dec 85|3516_F_|Bank projection<br>from census|Based on 1974 census|
|Singapore|Jun 80|2414 F|UNPVSR<br>6/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Solomon Sslands|Nov 86|285 F|USBOC '985|<br><br>USBOC 1987|
|SomalIa|Feb 75|3257 F|Bank projection<br>from census.|Bank est.|
||||adjusted for20%undercount||
|South Aftica|Mar85|233S. r|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Spain|Mar81|37746 F|Sased on Eurostat 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|SriLankr|Mar81|14847F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on DHS 1987|
|St.Helena|Feb 87|6 F|UNPVSR<br>1/89 (official<br>est.),<br>incl.<br>Ascencion and Tristan da Cunha||
|St.Kittsand<br>|May80|44 F|Official<br>est., Statistical|Based on official<br>CBR,Statistical|
|Nevis|||Office,<br>Planning Unit|Office,<br>Planning Unit|
|St. Lucia|May80|115F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR, Stat. Office|
|St. Vincent and<br>h Cdi|May80<br>|98 F|Based on official<br>data for 1980-83<br>|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|te renanes|||projected with 1.2% growth rate||
|St. Pierre and<br>Miquelon|Mar82|6 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Sudan|Feb 83|20564 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Suriname|Jul 80|352 F|Official<br>est.,<br>Central Bureau|Based on officiaL<br>CBR, Central|
||||ofCivil<br>Affairs|Bureau of Civil<br>Affairs|
|Swaziland|Aug86|676-F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Sweden|Nov 85|8360 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88 (officiaL<br>est.)|
|Switzerland|Dec 80|6366 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Syrian Arab Rep.|Sep 81|9046 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Taiwan, China<br>|Dec 80<br>|17513 F|Based on USBOC<br>1987|Based on USBOC 1987|
|Tanzania|Aug 88|17969 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Thailand|Apr80|44825 F|Official<br>est.,<br>National Economic<br>|Official<br>projection,<br>1985|
||||and Social Development Board 1985||
|Togo|Nov 81|2705 F|,<br>Bank projection<br>from census|Bank assessment|
|Tokelau Islands|oct 82|2 F|Based on UNPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.)|--|
|Tonga|Nov 86|95J|Based on 1984 mini-census|USBOC 1987|
|Trinidad and|May80|1080 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based onOHS1987|
|Tobago|||<br>||
|Tunisia|Mar 84|6966 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Turkey<br>|Oct 85<br>|50665 F<br>|Official<br>est.<br>|Based on official<br>est.|
|Turks and Caicos<br>Islands|May80|7 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87|--|
INTRODUCTION xlix

|Life expectncy, 1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>1985*90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Romania|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Rwanda|
||||San Marino|
|Bank assessment|Bank assessment|Rank assessment|Sao Tom6 and<br>Principe|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Estimated<br>from country life table<br>prepared<br>by 0. Ewbank,<br>U. Penn.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Officiial<br>est.|Saudi Arabia<br>Senegal|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|'VSR 7/88 (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1984|Seychelles|
|Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Sierra Leone|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on USBOC 1987<br>Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>USBOC 1987<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank est.<br>Bank assessment|Singapore<br>Solomon Islands<br>Somalia|
|U.N. 9899<br>(prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on 1980 census|South Africa|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on DHS 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>versicn)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>UNDY 1981|Spain<br>Sri Lanka<br>St. Helena|
|Based on official<br>COR. Statistical<br>Office,<br>Planning<br>Unit|Based on official IMR, Statistic<br>Office,<br>PlanMing<br>Unit|al<br>UNDY 1980 census|St. Kitts and<br>Nevis|
|Based on official<br>CR, Stat. Office<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|Based on official IMR, Stat. Off.<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1980 census<br>UNDY 1983|St. Lucia<br>St. Vincent and<br>the Grenadines|
||||St. Pierre and<br>Niqueton|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on official<br>CDR, Central<br>Bureau of Civil Affairs|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank projection|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Sudan<br>Suriname|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>vers'in)|Bank assessment|Swaziland|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Sweden|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Switzer:and|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on USBOC 1987<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on USBOC 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank est.|Syrian Arab Rep.<br>Taiwan, China|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Tanzania|
|Official<br>projection,<br>1985|<br>Based on 1985 survey|<br> <br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Thailand|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|togo|
|||-**.** .|TokelauIslands|
|Based on USBOC 1987|USBOC 1987|Bank est.|Tonga|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Trinidad and<br>Tobao|
|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|g<br>Tunisia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelin.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Turkey<br>|
||||Turks and Caicos<br>Islands|
I INTRODUCTION

# Appendix (continued)

|Country,|Last publi|shed census|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|ecoronow or<br>territory|Date|Population<br>(1000)<br>*|<br>Total population. mid-1985|Total fertility.<br>1985-90|
|Tuvalu|May 79|7 F|Based<br>on UNWPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.|) -|
|Uganda|Aug 69|9549 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|United<br>Arab<br>Emirates|Dec 80|1043 F|UNPWSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|United Kingdom|Apr 81|55678 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|United States<br>of America|Apr 80|226546 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Uruguay|Oct 85|2955 F|Official<br>est. from 1985 census|U.N. 1989.<br>(prelim.<br>version)|
|U.S.S.R.|Jan 89|286717 F|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|Based<br>onRonnier1S88|
|Vanuatu|Jan 79|111 F|Based<br>on official<br>1987<br>est.|USBOC<br>1987|
|Venezuela|Oct 81|14517<br>F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Viet Nam|Apr 89|64411<br>F|Bank projection<br>from 1977<br>census|Bank est.|
|Virgin Islands|Apr 80|97 J|USBOC 1985|Based on USBOC 1987|
|(U.S.)|||||
|Wake Island|Apr 70|2 F|Based<br>on UNPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.|)|
|Wallis<br>and|Mar 76||Based<br>on UNPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.|)|
|Futuna|||||
|West Bank|||Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Western Sahara|Oec70|76425 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87||
|Western Samoa|Nov 81|156 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|Bank est.|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|Feb 86|9274J|<br>Bank assessment|Bank est.|
|<br>Yemen. People's<br>Dem. Rep. of|<br> <br>Mar 88|2345 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|<br>Yugoslavia|Mar 81|22425 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|UNPVSR<br>10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|
|<br>Zaire|Jul 84|29441 F|<br> <br>U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Zambia<br>|Aug 80|5662 F|Bank projection from census|Based on Bank sector report|
|Ziirbabwe|Aug 82|7546 F|Bank projection from census|OHS 1988|

Notes: When a source for an estimate is directly cited (e.g., UNPVSR 7/86), the estimate is taken as is from that publication. An ettimate "based on" a source is not reported in that publication but derived from data contained in it. When a source is given for a fertility or mortality estimate prior to 1985-90, the corresponding 1985-90 estimate is a projection from the earlier estimate. Citations for the main documents referred to here (usually by abbreviations) are in the list of references.

- Nature of population estimate: F **=** de facto, J a de jure.

- Not applicable. No census has been taken, or no estimates were used because no projections were made for these small ccGJntries.

- a Census was for entire peninsula.

- b 55 people.
INTRODUCTION Ii

|Lifeexpectancy, 1985-90|Infant mortaLity,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy,or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|||**-**.<br>..<br>-<br>|Tuvalu|
|Bankest.<br>|U.N. 1989 Cprelim. version)<br>|Bank assessment<br>|Uganda|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br> <br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|United Arab<br>Emirates|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>UN 1|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|United Kingdom|
|.. 989 (prellm. version)<br>|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|United States<br>of America|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>B|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|Uruguay|
|ased on Blum and Pressat 1987<br>Bk|Based onStun andPressat 1987<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|U.S.S.R.|
|an est.<br>UN 1<br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|Vanuatu|
|.. 989 tprellm.<br>version)<br>Bk|U.N. 1989Cprelim.version)<br>|U.N. 1989Cprelim.version)<br>|Venezuela|
|an est.<br>Bd <br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|Viet Nam|
|aseonUSBOC<br>1987|USBOC 1987|UNDY 1980 census|Virgin<br>Islands<br>(U.S.)|
|..|..<br>-|--|Wake Island|
|||.<br>-<br>-<br>-<br>-.<br>|Wallis and<br>Futuna|
|Bank est.|Bank est.|Bank est.|West Bank<br>|
||.**.**<br>-<br>|--|Western Sahara|
|USBOC 1987<br>Bk|USBOC 1987<br>|Bank est.<br>|Western Samoa|
|an est.<br>UN 1989|Bank est.<br>|BWA. est.<br>|Yemen Arab Rep.|
|.. (prelim. version)<br> <br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989Cprelim.version)<br>|Yemen, Peopte's<br>Dem. Rep. of|
|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|Yugoslavia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>UN 1989|U.N. 1989(prelim.version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|Zaire|
|..Cprelim.version)<br>OHS 1988|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>DHS 1988|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>Bank assessment|Zambia<br>Zimbabwe|

CBR Crude birth rate CDR Crude death rate DNS Demographic and Health Survey 114R Infant mortality rate TFR Total fertility rate UNDY United Nations, Demographic Yearbook (year is given in the table) UNPVSR United Nations, Population and Vital Statistics Report (month and year are given in tabte) USBOC U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and Engels, 1987) WFS World Fertility Survey
III INTRODUCnTON Table 9 Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region and by Income Group, 1985-2100

|||Po|pulati|on<br>(millio|ns)|||Percent|age of|world p|opulati|on|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region<br>or|||||||||||||
|jncome<br>group|1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|<br>1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World|4,844|5,285|6,204|8,415|10,03|5<br>11,330|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.|0 100.|0 100.0|
|Less developed<br>(a)|3.666|4.074|4,939|7,078|8,71|6 10.020|<br>75.7|77.1|79.6|84.1|86.9|88.4|
|Moredeveloped(a)|1,179|1,211|1,26|5 1,33|6 1,31|9 1,310|<br>24.3|22.9|20.4|15.9|13.1|11.6|
|Africa|559|<br>651|<br>870|1,58|7 2,27|5 2,962|<br>11.5|12.3|14.0|18.9|22.7|26.1|
|East Africa|231|<br>271|<br>367|<br>700|1,03|4 1,383|<br>4.8|<br>5.1|<br>5.9|<br>8.3|10.3|12.2|
|West Africa|204|<br>238|<br>320|<br>602|<br>873|1,152|<br>4.2|<br>4.5|<br>5.2|<br>7.2|<br>8.7|10.2|
|North Africa|124|<br>142|<br>182|<br>286|<br>368|<br>427|2.6|2.7|2.9-|<br>3.4|3.7|3.8|
|America|667|<br>721|<br>826|1,04|0 1,14|6 1,192|<br>13.8|13.6|13.3|12.4|11.4|10.5|
|Latin<br>America<br>and Caribbe|an 399|<br>441|<br>525|<br>703|<br>814|<br>864|<br>8.2|<br>8.3|<br>8.5|<br>8.4|<br>8.1|<br>7.6|
|Northern<br>America|268|<br>280|<br>302|<br>336|<br>332|<br>328|<br>5.5|<br>5.3|<br>4.9|<br>4.0|<br>3.3|<br>2.9|
|Asia|2.823|3,100|3,664|4,901|5,72|8 6,288|<br>58.3|58.6|59.1|58.2|57.1|55.5|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|1,65|0 1,781|2,038|2,503|2,71|9 2,822|<br>34.1|33.7|32.8|29.7|27.1|24.9|
|South<br>Asia|1,058|1,186|1,45|4 2,108|2,61|4 2,977|<br>21.8|22.4|23.4|25.1|26.0|26.3|
|Southwest<br>Asia|115|<br>132|<br>172|<br>290|<br>396|<br>490|<br>2.4|<br>2.5|<br>2.8|<br>3.4|<br>3.9|<br>4.3|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|771|<br>787|<br>813|<br>848|<br>843|<br>842|15.9|14.9|13.1|10.1|8.4|7.4|
|OCeania|25|<br>27|31|<br>39|<br>42|<br>44|0.5|0.5|0.5|0.5|0.4|0.4|
|Income group (b)|||||||||||||
|Low|2,711|3,004|3,627|5,165|6,34|3 7,315|<br>56.0|56.8|58.5|61.4|63.2|64.6|
|Lower-middle|580|<br>648|<br>792|1,14|5 1,41|6 1,609|<br>12.0|12.3|12.8|13.6|14.1|14.2|
|Upper-middle|422|<br>462|<br>545|<br>748|<br>891|<br>989|8.7|8.7|8.8|8.9|8.9|8.7|
|High|767|<br>789|<br>830|<br>884|<br>869|<br>869|15.8|14.9|13.4|10.5|8.7|7.7|
|Nonreportingnonmember|365|<br>382|<br>410|<br>474|<br>515|<br>548|7.5|7.2|6.6|5.6|5.1|4.8|

a. "More developed" cooPrises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

b. Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1989. See listing in Exhibit 1.
INTRODUCTnON liil Table 10 Annual Population Increase and Growth Hate by Geographic Region and by Income Group, 1985-2100

||Annual<br>p|<br>opulat|ion<br>incre|ase<br>(mil|lions)|<br>An|nual<br>gro|wth<br>rat|e (perce|nt)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region<br>or|||||||||||
|income<br>group<br>|1985-90<br>2|<br>000-05<br>2|<br>025-30<br>2|<br>050-75<br>2|<br>100-25|1985-90<br>2|<br>000-05<br>2|<br>025-30<br>|<br>2050-75<br>|<br>2100-25|
|World|88.2|91.7|78.5|37.2|<br>4.9|<br>1.74|1.43|0.91|0.35|<br>0.04|
|Loss developed<br>(a)|81.7|87.4|78.2|37.7|<br>4.8|<br>2.11|1.70|1.08|0.41|0.05|
|More developed (a)|6.5|4.3|<br>0.3|<br>-0.5|<br>0.1|<br>0.54|<br>0.34|0.02|-0.04|0.01|
|Africa|18.2|26.0|30.0|19.4|2.3|3.02|2.79|1.81|0.77|0.08|
|East Africa|7.9|11.6|14.6|9.7|1.1|3.15|2.94|1.98|0.84|0.08|
|West Africa|6.8|<br>10.1|11.7|<br>7.9|1.0|<br>3.10|2.93|1.86|0.81|0.09|
|North<br>Africa|3.5|<br>4.3|<br>3.7|<br>1.8|0.2|<br>2.65|2.21|<br>1.26|0.47|0.05|
|America|10.9|9.4|6.0|1.4|0.2|1.57|1.10|0.57|0.12|0.02|
|Latin America andCaribbe|an 8.5|<br>7.6|<br>5.7|1.5|0.2|2.02|1.40|0.80|0.19|0.02|
|Northern America|2.4|1.8|0.2|-0.1|0.0|0.87|0.59|0.07|-0.04|0.00|
|Asia|55.4|53.9|41.9|16.5|2.2|1.87|1.42|0.84|0.28|0.04|
|East and Southeast Asia|26.3|21.8|13.5|3.0|0.5|1.53|1.04|0.53|0.11|0.02|
|South Asia|25.6|27.7|23.7|10.7|1.5|2.29|1.82|1.09|0.39|0.05|
|Southwest Asia|3.5|4.4|4.7|2.7|0.2|2.81|2.39|1.57|0.64|0.05|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|3.3|2.0|0.4|-0.1|0.1|0.42|0.25|0.05|-0.02|0.01|
|Oceania|0.4|0.4|0.2|0.1|0.0|1.63|1.21|0.49|0.16|0.02|
|Income group(b)|||||||||||
|Low|58.7|63.1|56.4|27.8|3.8|2.05|1.67|1.06|0.42|0.05|
|Lower-middle|13.6|14.4|12.9|5.7|0.6|2.23|1.74|1.09|0.38|0.04|
|Ur.er-middle|8.1|8.2|7.0|3.0|0.3|1.84|1.45|0.91|0.32|0.01|
|High|4.4|3.3|0.2|-0.2|0.0|0.57|0.39|0.02|-0.02|0.01|
|Nonreporting no'menmber|3.3|2.7|2.1|0.9|0.1|0.89|0.65|0.44|0.17|0.03|

a. "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. ULess develtped comprises the rest of the world.

b. Criteria for income groups ari given in World Bank 1989. See listing in Exhibit 1.
# liv INTRODUCTON

Table **11** Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by Geographic Region and by Income Group

|||Populatio|n (miltto|n)|Station-<br>ary over|Popu-|Year<br>when||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or<br>Income group|1985|2050|2100|Station-<br> <br>ary|1985<br>popula-<br>tion|lation<br> <br>mo-<br>mentun|popula-<br>tion<br>doubles|Year<br>when<br>NRR=1|
|World|4,844|10,035|11,330|<br>11,514|2.4|1.4|2044|2060|
|Less developed (a)|3.666|8,716|10,020|10,200|2.8|1.5|2028|2060|
|MoredevelopedCa)|1.179|1,319|1,310|<br>1.314|1.1|1.1|tc5|2030|
|Africa|559|<br>2,275|2,962|3,0490|<br>5.5|1.6.|2009|2060|
|East Africa|231|1.034|1,383|<br>1,424|6.2|1.6|2008|2055|
|West Africa|204|873|1.152|<br>1,190|5.8|1.5|?008|2060|
|North Africa|124|368|427|<br>435|3.5|';.6|2016|2050|
|America|667|<br>1,146|1,192|<br>1.201|1.8|1.4|(c)|2030|
|Latin America and Caribbean|399|814|864|<br>872|2.2|1.6|2043|2030|
|Northern America|268|332|328|<br>329|1.2|1.2|cc)|ZW3O|
|Asia|2,823|5,728|6,280|6,374|2.3|1.5|2047|2045|
|East and Southeast Asia|1,650|2,719|2,822|2.842|1.7|1.4|Cc)|7030|
|South Asia|1,058|2,614|2,977|3,034|2.9|1.5|2025|2040|
|Southwest Asia|115|396|490|<br>498|4.3|1.6|2013|2055|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|771|<br>843|842|<br>846|1.1|1.1|tc|2030|
|Oceania|25|<br>42|44|<br>45|1.8|1.3|(c)|2030|
|Income group (b)|||||||||
|Low|2,711|6,343|7,315|<br>7,458|2.8|1.5|2030|2060|
|Lower-middle|580|1,416|1,609|<br>1,632|2.8|1.6|2026|2055|
|Upper-middle|422|891|989|<br>999|2.4|1.5|2040|2050|
|High|767|s,og|869|<br>871|1.1|1.2|Cc)|2030|
|Nonreporting nonmerber|365|515|<br>548|<br>554|1.5|1.2|Cc)|2030|

a. "More developed" cooprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America CUnited States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand,'and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

b. Criteria for incom groups are given In World Bank 1989. See ltstirr In Exhibit 1.

c. Population will not double with projected rates.
INTRODUCTION IV Table 12 **FenIlity** and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region and by Income GroLtp, 1985-90, 2000.05, and 2020-2E

||||1985-9|0||||2000-0|5|||2|020-2|5||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or||||||||||||||||
|income group|CBR|<br>TFR|CDR|e(O)|INR|CUR|<br>TFR|<br>CDR|eCO)|IMR|<br>CUR|<br>TFR|COR|e(O)|IMR|
|World|27.1|3.43|9.7|64.9|70|22.6|2.91|8.3|68.2|48|18.7|2.48|8.4|70.6|35|
|Less developed (a)|31.0|3.92|9.6|62.1|78|25.0|3.13|7.9|66.2|52|19.9|2.55|7.8|69.3|38|
|More developed (a)|14.7|1.90|9.9|74.1|15|12.9|1.89|10.0|76.0|10|12.5|2.03|11.6|77.0|9|
|Africa|44.4|6.14|14.2|53.4|107|38.1<br>|5.09|10.2|58.8|73|27.8|3.36|7.6|64.0|52|
|East Africa|46.1|6.31|14.4|53.0|110|59.<sup>9</sup>|5.39|10.4|58.4|78|29.7|3.62|7.6|63.8|54|
|West Africa|47.0|6.52|16.1|50.2|113|40.8|5.52|11.5|56.1|78|*29.1|3.51|8.2|62.2|55|
|Worth Africa|37.1|5.19|10.4|59.4|<br>84|29.6|3.80|<br>7.4|64.6|50|<br>20.7|2.46|<br>6.6|68.5|36|
|Amertca|23.4|2.84|<br>8.1|70.2|<br>44|17.9|2.28|<br>7.1|73.0|27|<br>15.3|2.11|<br>8.2|74.6|19|
|LatinAmerl:a<br>and||||||||||||||||
|Caribbean|28.6|3.57|7.4|66.6|56|20.6|2.46|6.1|70.5|33|16.6|2.15|7.1|73.0|23|
|Northern America|15.4|1.87|9.0|75.7|10|12.9|1.90|8.7|77.4|8|12.5|2.03|10.5|78.0|7|
|Asia|27.7|3.47|8.9|63.9|71|22.0|2.76|7.7|67.8|45|17.7|2.32|8.1|70.7|32|
|East and Southeast Asia|22.6|2.66|7.1|68.4|40|17.5|2.21|7.0|71.8|21|15.1|2.10|8.5|73.9|16|
|South Asia|34.6|4.70|11.6|57.0|102|27.1|3.38|8.8|62.3|67|20.0|2.47|8.0|66.9|46|
|Southwest Asia|36.6|5.11|8.8|63.4|73|30.3|4.00|6.4|67.9|43|23.8|2.94|6.0|70.8|31|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|14.9|1.96|10.7|72.8|18|13.1|1.91|10.6|75.0|12|12.7|2.04|11.7|76.2|10|
|Oceania|20.1|2.55|8.1|72.1|28|17.8|2.41|7.9|73.7|17|15.0|2.15|9.0|74.8|14|
|Income group (b)||||||||||||||||
|Low|30.8|3.89|10.2|61.1|<br>84|25.2|3.18|<br>8.5|65.3|58|<br>20.1|2.58|<br>8.2|68.5|41|
|Lower-middle|31.5|4.05|8.4|64.0|63|24.5|3.00|6.7|68.1|38|19.2|2.41|6.9|71.0|28|
|Upper-middle|26.7|3.39|8.1|67.3|<br>53|21.6|2.73|6.9|70.9|32|18.0|2.39|7.5|73.0|23|
|High|13.9|1.79|9.4|76.1|12|12.7|1.90|9.6|77.5|10|12.6|2.10|11.6|77.9|9|
|Nonreportingnormember|19.6|2.52|10.6|69.1|32|16.4|2.28|9.9|7c.1|24|15.3|2.22|10.2|73.8|20|

Note: Crude birth rates (CUR) and crude death rates (COR) are per 1000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, e(O), is given in years; and infant mortality rates (IMR) are per 1000 tive births. (See definitions in World Bank 1989.) a. "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan.

"Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

- b. Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1989. See listing in Exhibit 1.
# IVi INTRODUCTION

Table 13 Population and Percentage Distribution by World Bank RegiQn and Country Department, 1985-2100

|Region<br>and||Po|pulati|on<br>(mill|ions)||Pe|rcent|age<br>of w|orLd<br>p|<br>opuL|ation|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|country<br>department|1985|1990|2000|<br>2025|2050|<br>2100|1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World|4,844|5,285|6,204|8,415|10,035|11,330|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|
|Borrowers and non-borrowers|||||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|457|<br>534|<br>720|1,359|1,986|2,634|9.4|10.1|11.6|16.2|19.8|23.2|
|Asia and Oceania|2,574|2,808|3,270|4,186|4,715|5,001|53.1|53.1|52.7|49.7|47.0|44.1|
|Europe,<br>Middle<br>East,|||||||||||||
|and North<br>Africa|1,147|1,223|1,38|8 1,831|2,187|2,502|23.7|23.1|22.4|21.8|21.8|22.1|
|America|667|<br>721|<br>826|1,040|1,146|1,192|13.8|13.6|13.3|12.4|11.4|10.5|
|Borrowers<br>only|||||||||||||
|Africa<br>Region|415|<br>486|<br>660|1,263|1,858|2,480|<br>8.6|9.2|10.6|15.0|18.5|21.9|
|1 Occidental<br>and Central|<br>40|<br>47|<br>63|<br>123|<br>185|<br>250|<br>0.8|0.9|1.0|1.5|1.8|2.2|
|2 Eastern<br>|106|<br>124|<br>169|<br>328|<br>486|<br>654|<br>2.2|2.3|2.7|3.9|4.8|5.8|
|3South-Central and|||||||||||||
|Indian<br>Ocean|52|<br>61|<br>84|<br>163|<br>245|<br>333|1.1|1.2|1.3|1.9|2.4|2.9|
|4 Western|119|<br>139|<br>187|341|<br>472|<br>592|<br>2.5|2.6|3.0|4.0|4.7|5.2|
|5 Sahetian|36|<br>42|<br>56|<br>111|<br>175|<br>252|<br>0.7|0.8|0.9|1.3|1.7|2.2|
|6Southern|62|<br>73|<br>101|<br>197|<br>295|<br>400|<br>1.3|1.4|1.6|2.3|2.9|3.5|
|Asia Region|2,384|2,608|3,055|3,952|4,483|4,771|49.2|49.4|49.2|47.0|44.7|42.1|
|1 Other South|134|<br>152|<br>190|<br>282|<br>351|<br>401|<br>2.8|2.9|3.1|3.3|3.5|3.5|
|2 Southeast|274|<br>304|<br>364|<br>488|<br>568|<br>609|<br>5.7|5.8|5.9|5.8|5.7|5.4|
|3 China|1,040|1,117|1,269|1,530|1,626|1,672|21.5|21.1|20.5|18.2|16.2|14.8|
|4 India|765|<br>848|1,011|1,361|1,602|1,732|15.8|16.0|16.3|16.2|16.0|15.3|
|5 Indonesia<br>and PaCific|170|<br>187|<br>221|<br>291|<br>335|<br>356|<br>3.5|3.5|3.6|3.5|3.3|3.1|
|EMN Region|474|<br>536|<br>678|1,090|1,451|1,766|<br>9.8|10.1|10.9|13.0|14.5|15.6|
|1 Pakistan<br>and Turkey|*146|170|<br>223|<br>375|<br>502|<br>607|<br>3.0|3.2|3.6|4.5|5.0|5.4|
|2 North<br>Africa|55|<br>63|<br>83|<br>131|<br>170|<br>197|<br>1.1|1.2|1.3|1.6|1.7|1.7|
|3 Middle<br>East|168|<br>195|<br>260|<br>464|<br>657|<br>839|<br>3.5|3.7|4.2|5.5|6.5|7.4|
|4 Europe|105|<br>107|<br>111|<br>119|<br>121|<br>123|<br>2.2|2.0|1.8|1.4|1.2|1.1|
|LAC Region|387|<br>429|<br>512|<br>689|<br>800|<br>850|<br>8.0|8.1|8.3|8.2|8.0|7.5|
|1 Brazil|136|<br>150|<br>178|<br>233|<br>265|<br>278|<br>2.8|2.8|2.9|2.8|2.6|2.4|
|2 Central<br>America|104|<br>116|<br>141|<br>199|<br>237|<br>254|<br>2.1|2.2|2.3|2.4|2.4|2.2|
|3 Caribbean<br>and Other|70|<br>78|<br>94|<br>128|<br>150|<br>162|<br>1.5|1.5|1.5|1.5|1.5|1.4|
|4 Temperate<br>and Tropical|<br>78|<br>85|<br>99|<br>129|<br>148|<br>156|<br>1.6|1.6|1.6|1.5|1.5|1.4|

> Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Exhibit r.
INTRODUCT1O N hvii Table 14 Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate<sup>by World Bank Region and Country Department,</sup> 1985-2100

||Annual po|pulation|increase|(millions|)|Ann|ual growt|h rate (|percent)||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Regionand<br>coumtry<br>department|1985-90 2|000-05 2|025-30 2|050-75 21|00-25|1985-90 20|00-05 2|025-30 2|050-75 2|100-25|
|World|88.2|91.7|78.5|37.2|4.9|1.74|1.43|0.91|0.35|0.04|
|Borrowers and non-borrowers|||||||||||
|Sub-SaharanAfrica|15.4|22.6|27.2|18.2|2.2|3.11|2.92|1.91|0.82|0.08|
|Asia and Oceania|46.7|42.4|28.7|8.5|1.5|1.74|1.26.|0.68|0.18|0.03|
|Europe, Middle East,<br>and North Africa|15.2|17.3|16.6|9.1|1.0|<br>1.29|1.21|G.88|0.40|0.04|
|America|10.9|9.4|6.0|1.4|0.2|1.57|1.10|0.57|0.12|0.02|
|Borrowers only|||||||||||
|Africa Region|14.2|21.2|25.8|17.4|2.1|3.17|2.98|1.94|0.84|0.08|
|<br>1 Occidental<br>and Central|1.4|2.1|2.6|1.8|0.2|3.32|3.03|2.03|0.89|0.08|
|2Eastern|3.6|5.5|6.9|4.7|0.5|3.18|3.00|2.01|0.86|0.08|
|3South-Central<br>and<br>Indian Ocean|1.8|2.8|3.5|2.4|0.3|3.13|3.06|2.04|0.89|0.08|
|4 Western|4.1|5.8|5.8|3.5|0.4|3.15|2.86|1.63|0.69|0.07|
|5Sahellan|1.1|1.8|2.7|2.0|0.3|2.79|3.00|2.27|1.02|0.12|
|6Southern|2.2|3.3|4.3|2.9|0.3|3.33|3.05|2.06|0.8S|0.08|
|Asia Region|45.0|41.1|28.6|8.6|1.5|1.80|1.30|0.71|0.19|0.03|
|1 Other South|3.5|4.0|3.1|1.5|0.3|2.44|2.01|1.07|0.41|0.06|
|2 Southeast|6.0|5.5|4.1|1.3|0.2|2.08|1.46|0.83|0.22|0.03|
|3China|15.4|12.5|7.1|1.3|0.2|1.43|0.96|0.46|0.08|0.01|
|4 India|16.5|16.1|12.0|3.9|0.7|<br>2.05|1.53|0.86|0.24|0.04|
|5 IndonesiaandPacific|3.5|3.0|2.3|0.6|0.1|<br>1.98|1.32|0.76|0.18|<br>0.03|
|EMN Region|12.3|15.6|16.2|9.3|0.9|<br>2.44|2.17|1.43|<br>0.59|<br>0.05|
|<br>IPakistan and Turkey|*4.8|5.7|5.8|3.2|0.3|3.01|2.40|1.50|0.59|0.05|
|2 North Africa|1.6|2.0|1.8|0.8|0.1|<br>2.76|2.29|1.31|<br>0.46|<br>0.04|
|3 Middle East|5.4|7.4|<br>8.4|5.2|0.5|<br>2.99|2.68|1.74|<br>0.73|<br>0.06|
|4 Europe|0.5|0.4|0.2|0.0|0.0|0.44|0.37|0.14|0.03|0.01|
|LAC Region|8.4|7.5|5.7|1.6|0.2|<br>2.02|1.40|<br>0.80|<br>0.19|<br>0.02|
|<br>1 Bra2il|2.9|2.4|<br>1.7|<br>0.4|0.1|<br>2.05|1.28|<br>0.71|<br>0.14|<br>0.02|
|2 Central America|2.5|2.4|<br>1.9|<br>0.6|0.1|<br>2.25|1.61|<br>0.96|<br>0.23|<br>0.02|
|3 Caribbean and Other|1.5|<br>1.5|<br>1.1|<br>0.4|0.1|<br>2.08|1.49|<br>0.87|<br>0.23|<br>0.03|
|4 Temperate and Tropical|<br>1.4|<br>1.3|<br>1.0|<br>0.3|0.0|<br>1.77|1.28|<br>0.73|<br>0.17|<br>0.02|

Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Exhibit 2.
# Iviii **INTRODUCTnON**

Table 1 5 Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by World Bank Region and Country Department

|||Populat|ion<br>(mill|ions)|Station|-|Year||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||||ary over|Popu-|when||
|Region and<br>country<br>department|1985|2050|2100|Station-<br>ary|<br>1985<br>popula-<br>tion|<br>lation<br>mo-<br>mentun|popula<br>tion<br>doubles|- Year<br>when<br> <br>NRR=1|
|World|4,844|10,035|11,330|11,514|2.4|1.4|2044|2060|
|Borrowers and non-borrowers|||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|457|1,986|2,634|2,716|5.9|1.6<br>|2008<br>|2060<br>|
|Asia and Oceania|2,574|4,715|5,001|5,058|2.0|1.5|(a)|2055|
|Europe, Middle East,<br>and North Africa|1,147|2,187|2,502|2,539|2.2|1.3|2059|2055|
|America|667|<br>1,146|1,192|1,201|<br>1.8|<br>1.4|<br>(a)|<br>2030|
|Borrowers<br>only|||||||||
|Africa<br>Region|415|<br>1,858|2,480|2,559|<br>6.2|<br>1.6|<br>2008|<br>2060|
|1 Occidental<br>and Central|40|<br>185|<br>250|<br>258|<br>6.5|<br>1.5|<br>2008|<br>2050|
|2Eastern|106|<br>486|<br>654|<br>674|<br>6.4|<br>1.6|<br>2008|<br>2050|
|3South-Central and<br>Indian<br>Ocean|52|<br>245|<br>333|<br>343|<br>6.5|<br>1.5|<br>2008|<br>2055|
|4Western|119|<br>472|<br>592|<br>608|<br>5.1|<br>1.6|<br>2009|<br>2050|
|5Sahelian|36|<br>175|<br>252|<br>263|<br>7.3|1.5|<br>2009|<br>2060|
|6Southern|62|295|400|412|6.7|1.6|2007|2055|
|Asia Region|2,384|4,483|4,771|4,827|2.0|1.5|2099|2040|
|1 Other South|134|351|401|412|3.1|1.6|2021|2030|
|2 Southeast|274|568|609|616|2.2|1.6|2042|2030|
|3China|1,040|1,626|1,672|1,681|<br>1.6|<br>1.5|<br>(a)|<br>2000|
|4 India|765|1,602|1,732|1,759|<br>2.3|<br>1.4|<br>2041|<br>2015|
|5 Indonesia and Pacific|170|335|356|360|2.1|<br>1.5|<br>2055|<br>2040|
|ERNRegion|474|<br>1,451|1,766|1,800|<br>3.8|<br>1.5|<br>2017|<br>2055|
|1Pakistan and Turkey|146|502|607|<br>618|<br>4.2|<br>1.6|<br>2012|<br>2040|
|2 North Africa|55|170|<br>197|<br>199|<br>3.6|1.6|2014|2050|
|3 Middle East|168|657|839|<br>859|<br>5.1|1.6|2010|2055|
|4 Europe|105|121|<br>123|<br>124|<br>1.2|1.2|(a)|<br>2030|
|LAC Region|387|800|850|<br>857|<br>2.2|1.6|2043|2030|
|<br>1 Brazil|136|265|278|<br>280|<br>2.1|1.6|2061|2005|
|2 Central America|104|237|<br>254|<br>256|<br>2.5|1.7|2029|2030|
|3 Caribbean and Other|70|150|<br>162|<br>164|<br>2.3|1.6|2037|2030|
|4 Temperate and Tropical|78|148|<br>156|<br>157|<br>2.0|1.5|2101|2025|

Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Exhibit 2. a. Population will not double with projected rates.
# INTRODUCnTON lix

Table 16 Fertility and Mortaliy Rates by World Bank Region and Country Department, 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25

|Region and_<br>country<br>||1|98S-9|0|||2|000-05||||2|040-2|5||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|department|CtR|TfR|CDR|0(O)|INR|C3R|<br>TFR|CMR|eCO)|IHR|COR|<br>TFR|CDR|e(O)|INR|
|Wortd|27.1|3.43|9.7|64.9|70|22.6|2.91|8.3|68.2|48|18.7|2.48|8.4|70.6|3S|
|Borrowers and non-borrowers<br>||||||||||||||||
|Sub*Saharan Africa|46.4|6.41|15.2|51.6|111|40.2|5.44|11.0|57.2|78|29.3|3.55|7.9|62.9|55|
|Asia and Oceania<br>|26.1|3.23|8.7|64.5|67|20.3|2.52|7.7|68.5|41|16.3|2.16|8.4|71.3|28|
|Europe, Middle East,||||||||||||||||
|and North Africa|23.5|3.13|10.6|68.4|60|21.4|2.98|9.3|70.5|43|18.7|2.58|8.9|72.1|32|
|America|23.4|2.84|8.1|70.2|4|17.9|2.28|7.1|73.0|27|15.3|2.11|8.2|74.6|19|
|Borrowers only||||||||||||||||
|Africa<br>Region|47.3|6.57|15.5|51.1|113|41.0|5.59|11.2|56.6|79|29.8|3.62|7.9|62.6|55|
|i Occidental<br>and Central|47.2|6.60|15.5|51.8|106|41.2|5.77|11.3|57.0|72|30.5|3.76|7.8|63.0|50|
|2 Eastern<br>|48.2|6.72|16.0|50.5|121|41.8|5.76|11.7|55.6|87|30.7|3.77|8.1|62.0|59|
|3South-Central and||||||||||||||||
|Indian Ocean|46.3|6.44|14.9|52.0|107|41.3|5.74|10.7|57.5|70|30.5|3.75|7.6|63.3|49|
|4 Western|46.6|6.48|15.1|51.2|105|39.1|5.15|10.5|57.4|68|26.5|3.13|7.6|63.3|48|
|S Sahelian|48.0|6.58|19.1|46.7|141|45.1|6.34|14.6|51.6|106|34.6|4.33|9.8|58.6|74|
|6 Southern|47.5|6.59|14.1|53.0|109|40.8|5.50|10.2|58.2|78|30.5|3.71|7.5|63.5|55|
|Asia Region|27.0|3.32|8.8|63.5|69|20.7|2.55|7.6|67.8|42|16.5|2.17|8.3|70.9|29|
|1Other South|38.6|5.20|13.9|53.0|114|30.9|3.85|10.5|57.5|78|20.3|2.43|8.6|63.0|54|
|2 Southeast|29.2|3.62|7.9|64.3|49|21.4|2.58|6.6|68.5|27|16.9|2.13|7.3|7..5|20|
|3 China|21.1|2.40|6.7|69.5|32|16.6|2.11|6.9|72.7|18|14.6|2.09|8.7|74.6|14|
|4 India<br>|31.6|4.26|11.0|57.9|99|23.8|2.89|8.5|63.7|61|17.7|2.20|8.2|68.0|42|
|5Indonesia<br>and Pacific|29.0|3.55|9.1|60.2|71|20.2|2.34|7.0|67.8|34|16.6|2.14|7.7|71.1|24|
|EMN Region|35.0|4.80|10.4|62.2|84|29.8|4.01|8.0|65.9|56|23.0|2.87|7.0|69.1|40|
|1 Pakistan and Turkey|41.3|5.65_|10.9|59.1|101|31.9|4.33|7.9|63.4|67|23.6|2.89|6.7|67.5|46|
|2 North Africa<br>|36.6|5.25|8.9|62.2|73|29.0|3.67|6.1|67.4|40|20.1|2.37|5.7|70.9|28|
|3 Middle East|40.5|5.78|10.6|59.4|86|34.5|4.68|7.8|64.3|58|25.9|3.18|6.5|68.1|42|
|4 Europe|15.0|2.03|10.3|71.4|21|14.3|2.00|10.4|73.9|13|13.2|2.07|11.3|75.5|11|
|LAC Region<br>|28.9|3.62|7.4|66.3|57|20.8|2.47|6.1|70.3|34|16.7|2.15|7.1|72.9|24|
|1 Brazil|28.4|3.46|7.9|64.9|63|19.1|2.27|6.2|69.9|37|16.1|2.12|7.5|72.7|25|
|2 Central America<br>|30.9|3.91|6.2|67.7|50|22.5|2.59|5.1|71.1|29|17.3|2.16|6.1|73.5|21|
|3Caribbean and Other|30.0|3.73|7.5|65.3|59|22.3|2.67|6.4|68.9|39|17.4|2.20|7.1|71.7|27|
|4Temperate and Tropical|26.1|3.41|8.3|67.7|52|20.0|2.47|7.1|71.1|32|16.2|2.12|7.7|73.4|22|

Note: Crude birth r6 es (CUR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, eCo). is given in years; and-infant mortality rates (IMR) are per 1000 tive births. (See definitions in World Bank 1989.) World Sank regions and c04.mtry departments are defined in Exhibit 2.
IX INTRODUCnON Table 17 Population Projections for All Countries and Economies, 198S-2025 (thousands)

|Country or economy|1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Uorld|4,844,423<br>5|<br>,285,340 5|,743,829|6,204,3706|,662,986<br>|<br>7,112,318<br>|<br>7,555,64<br>|3<br>7,992,92|6<br>8,414,779|
|Africa|559,416|650,556|753,142|869,770|999,722|1,138,624<br>|<br>1,284,71<br>|4<br>1,435,14|0<br>1,587,366|
|East Africa|231,239|270,645|315,563|367,295|425,501|h88,579|556,041|626,929|699,967|
|Botswana|1,070|<br>1,212|<br>1,358|<br>1,514|<br>1,675|<br>1,824|<br>1,965|<br>2,102|<br>2,233|
|Burundi|4,696|<br>5,483|<br>6,460|<br>7,487|<br>8,602|<br>9,838|11,213|12,686|14,178|
|Comoros|395|<br>474|562|<br>661|<br>773|898|1,033|1,173|1,313|
|Djibouti|350|<br>424|<br>498|<br>580|<br>672|<br>770|<br>874|<br>980|<br>1,084|
|Ethiopia|42,271|48,784|56,551|65,919|<br>75,985|<br>86,728|<br>98,264|110,568|123,302|
|<br>Kenya|20,353|24,987|30,288|<br>36,609|<br>44,105|<br>52,664|<br>62,181|<br>72,491|<br>83,389|
|Lesotho|1,545|<br>1,764|<br>2,006|<br>2,265|<br>2.541|<br>2,827|<br>3,111|<br>3,392|<br>3,657|
|Madagascar|10,212|11,983|13,890|16,023|<br>18,398|20,947|<br>23,567|<br>26,127|<br>28,608|
|Hatawi|7,369|<br>8,700|<br>10,339|12,333|<br>14,592|<br>17,168|20,116|<br>23,453|<br>27,137|
|Mauritius|1,020|<br>1,078|<br>1,139|<br>1,200|<br>1,262|<br>1,321|<br>1,375|<br>1,424|<br>1,468|
|Mozaffbique|13,791|15,861|18,589|21,671|<br>25,137|<br>28,849|<br>32,864|<br>37,170|<br>41,647|
|Namibia|1,143|<br>1,345|<br>1,559|<br>1,795|<br>2,053|<br>2,327|<br>2,604|<br>2,872|<br>3,119|
|Reunion|546|<br>594|<br>639|<br>681|<br>719|<br>754|<br>787|<br>817|<br>843|
|Ruanda|6,026|<br>7,147|<br>8,661|<br>10,331|<br>12,226|<br>14,401|<br>16,928|<br>19,80|4 22,958|
|Seychelles|66|<br>69|73|<br>77|<br>81|<br>85|<br>89|<br>94|<br>99|
|SomaLfa|5,384|<br>6,285|<br>7,287|<br>8,510|<br>9,875|<br>11,383|<br>13,041|14,840|<br>16,742|
|South Africa|31,593|35,746|40,097|<br>44,670|<br>49,373|<br>53,953|58,224|62,039|65,703|
|Swaziland|665|<br>790|<br>925|<br>1,080|<br>1,254|<br>1,443|<br>1,637|<br>1,827|<br>2,011|
|Tanzania|22,242|26,673|31,594|<br>37,315|<br>43,972|<br>51,364|<br>59,364|<br>67,784|<br>76,397|
|Uganda|14,680|17,479|20,467|<br>23,839|<br>27,651|<br>31,849|<br>36,328|<br>40,917|<br>45,426|
|Zaire|30,712|35,775|41,523|<br>48,409|<br>56,641|<br>65,499|<br>74,936|<br>84,869|<br>95,125|
|Zambia|6,704|<br>8,067|<br>9,597|<br>11,365|<br>13,426|<br>15,711|<br>18,206|20,864|<br>23,605|
|Zifibabwe|8,406|<br>9,925|<br>11,461|<br>12,961|<br>14,488|<br>15,976|<br>17,334|<br>18,63|6<br>19,923|
|West Africa|203,741|237,877|275,932|320,245|370,679|425,111|482,615|541,984|601,836|
|Angola|8,754|<br>10,013|11,540|<br>13,474|<br>15,675|<br>18,060|20,671|<br>23,531|<br>26,604|
|Benin|4,043|<br>4,741|<br>5,486|<br>6,316|<br>7,241|<br>8,232|<br>9,249|<br>10,24|5<br>11,207|
|Burkina<br>Faso|7,881|<br>9,016|<br>10,386|<br>12,055|<br>13,895|<br>15,920|<br>18,131|20,512|<br>22,992|
|Cameroon|10,191|11,971|13,951|<br>16,324|<br>19,188|<br>22,370|25,792|<br>29,372|<br>33,032|
|Cape Verde|334|377|434|495|554|612|673|736|<br>796|
|Central<br>African<br>Rep.|2,583|<br>2.961|<br>3,365|<br>3,828|<br>4,351|<br>4,892|<br>5,443|<br>5,994|<br>6,535|
|Chad|5,018|<br>5,679|<br>6,449|<br>7,391|<br>8,431|<br>9,542|<br>10,737|<br>12,00|6<br>13,312|
|Congo,<br>People's<br>Rep. of the|<br>1,945|<br>2,327|<br>2,768|<br>3,297|<br>3,937|<br>4,653|<br>5,450|<br>6,326|<br>7,262|
|C6te d'Ivoire|10,252|12,604|15,065|<br>17,828|20,985|<br>24,509|28,380|<br>32,554|<br>36,938|
|Equatoriat<br>Guinea|<br>373|<br> <br>417|<br> <br>467|<br> <br> <br>525|<br> <br>584|<br> <br> <br>646|<br> <br>710|<br> <br> <br>774|<br><br> <br>837|
|Gabon|997|<br>1,135|<br>1,296|<br>1,488|<br>1,721|<br>1,972|<br>2,248|<br>2,550|<br>2,872|
|Gambia,<br>The|748|<br>875|<br>1,012|<br>1,167|<br>1,346|<br>1,540|<br>1,753|<br>1,986|<br>2,235|
|Ghana|12,620|14,870|17,258|19,892|22,777|25,844|28,998|32,093|35,102|
|Guinea|6,166|<br>6,972|<br>7,837|<br>8,843|<br>10,053|<br>11,362|<br>12,778|<br>14,29|1<br>15,878|
|Guinea-Bissau|886|<br>981|<br>1,088|<br>1,217|<br>1,371|<br>1,535|<br>1,711|<br>1,896|<br>2,088|
|Liberia|2,178|<br>2,563|<br>2,969|<br>3,416|<br>3,915|<br>4,457|<br>5,020|<br>5,576|<br>6,110|
INTRODUCnnON **LXi** Table 17 (continued)

|Country or**economy**|1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**matl**|7,389|8.501|9,809|11.450|<br>13,331|<br>15,477|<br>17,900|<br>20.597|<br>23,530|
|Mauritania|<br>1,764|2,001|<br>2,283|2,634|<br>3,068|<br> <br>3,543|<br> <br>4.065|<br>4,640|<br>5,263|
|Niger|6.573|<br>7,659|<br>8,938|10,525|12,519|14,748|17,254|<br>20,083|23,258|
|Nigeria|99,669|116,738|135,627|157,311|181,773|207,804|234,592|261,282|<br>287,027|
|<br>Sa5 Tom6 andPrincipe|<br>108|<br>124|<br>140|<br>158|<br>177|<br>196|<br>214|<br> <br>232|<br><br> <br>247|
|Senegat|6,567|7,593|<br>8,852|<br>10,372|12,012|13,767|15,652|<br>17.676|<br>19,793|
|SierraLeoe|3,657|4,145|4,696|5,358|<br>6,163|<br>7.031|7,978|9,005|10,105|
|Togo|3,038|3,606|4,208|4,872|<br>5,603|6,389|7,206|8,016|8,802|
|Other West Africa (a)|7|8|8|9|9|10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|
|North Africa|124,436|142,034|161,647|182,230|203,542|224,934|246,058|266,227|<br>285,563|
|Algeria|21,718|25,260|29,605|34,243|38.983|43,564|48,087|52,437|56,421|
|**Egypt,**<br>Arab Rep. of|47,578|53,686|59,s90|66,439|73,096|79,728|85.970|91,508|96,743|
|Libya|3,786|4,546|5,450|6,489|7,685|9,029|10,520|<br>12,146|<br>13,880|
|Morocco|22,120|25,128|28,511|31,920|35,226|38,422|41,469|44,270|46.994|
|**Sudan**|21,818|25,095|28,817|32,930|37,484|42,354|47,423|52,507|57,416|
|**Tunisia**|7,261|8,140|9,079|9,975|10,800|11,531|12,242|<br>12,966|<br>13,669|
|Other North Africa<br>**(a)**|155|179|205|234|268|306|347|393|<br>440|
|America|666,651|721,070|775,396|826,354|873,255|918,029|961,972|1,003,328|1,039,520|
|Latin America and Caribbean|398,592|441,027|483,986|524,799|562,733|599,299|635,687|670,840|<br>703,166|
|Antigua and Barbuda|80|86|93|100|108|**115**|<br>121|<br>126|<br>130|
|Argentina|30,331|32,254|34,037|35,725|37,293|38,821|40,337|41,759|43,036|
|Bahamas|232|258|284|308|330|350|369|386|<br>402|
|Barbados|253|257|259|261|263|264|26S|<br>267|<br>268|
|Belize|166|189|216|246|276|304|329|353|<br>378|
|Botivia|6,371|7,309|8,374|9,511|10,720|11,969|13,224|<br>14,456|<br>15,615|
|Brazit|135,564|150,195|164,508|177,627|189,390|200,797|212,325|223,322|<br>233,171|
|Chile|12,121|13,204|14,188|15,027|15,801|16,575|17,337|<br>18,040|<br>18,639|
|Cotomrbia|28,418|31,105|33,883|36,478|38,868|41,215|43,553|45,773|47,772|
|Costa Rica|2,489|2,803|3,098|3,363|3,600|3,832|4,068|4,293|4,492|
|Cuba|10,090|10,600|11,110|11,600|12,017|12,349|12,636|<br>12,895|<br>13,112|
|Dominica|78|83|87|91|96|102|107|<br>112|<br>117|
|Dominican Rep.|6,416|7,140|7,843|8,512|9,139|9,707|10,268|<br>10,839|<br>11,389|
|Ecuador|9,378|10,640|11,944|13,183|14,409|15,580|16,650|<br>17,673|<br>18,668|
|**El**Salvador|4,768|5,257|5,822|6,482|7,197|7,911|8,607|9,280|9,922|
|Grenada|96|105|115|124|132|140|150|<br> <br>159|<br>167|
|Guadeloupe|334|339|347|356|365|376|390|402|<br>413|
|Guatemala|7,963|9,215|10,597|12,114|13,760|15,470|17,170|<br>18,849|<br>20,452|
|Guyana|790|800|791|76S|744|734|732|736|<br>745|
|Haiti|5,922|6,483|7,154|7,831|8,502|9,144|9,777|<br>10,398|<br>10,986|
|Honduras|4,383|5,119|5,940|6,824|7,740|8,640|9,525|10,365|<br>11,133|
|Jamaica|2,336|2,468|2,582|2,660|2,739|2,833|2,942|3.060|3,180|
|Martinique|328|330|336|343|349|356|366|376|<br>386|
|Mexico|78.524|87,262|96,301|104,801|112,294|119,436|126,662|<br>133,766|<br>140,425|
xil INTRODUCTION Table 17 (continued)

|Country or_conomV_|**1f8S**|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Montserrat|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|
|<br>Nethertlads<br>Antilles|182|<br>183|<br>190|<br>199|<br>210|<br>222|<br>232|<br>241|<br>250|
|**Nieargua**|3,27|2<br>3.853|4,475|<br>S,14|8<br>5,863|<br>6,58|8<br>7,298|<br>7,962|<br>8,561|
|<br>Pana|2,180|<br>2.396|<br>2,586|<br>2.749|<br>2.907|3,070|3,233|<br>3.38|5<br>3.521|
|Parguay|3,693|<br>4.280|4,906|<br>**SS39**|<br>6,17|3<br>6,804|<br>7,424|8,009|<br>8,533|
|Peru|19.383|<br>21.627|24,063|<br>26.4S|628,724|<br>30,72|832,643|<br>34,551|<br>36,377|
|St.Kitts<br>and NeVis|44|<br>41|38|36|<br>35|<br>35|<br>36|<br>38|<br>40|
|St. Lucia|137|<br>1SO|<br>162|<br>176|<br>189|<br>201|<br>213|<br>225|<br>238|
|St. Vincent<br>and Grenadin|es<br>117|<br>126|<br>134|<br>142|<br>151|<br>161|<br>170|<br>17|9<br>187|
|Surnane|398|<br>4|495|<br>542|<br>583|<br>622|<br>660|<br>700|<br>739|
|Trinidad<br>and Tobago|1,185|<br>1,283|<br>1,36|41.429|<br>1,491|<br>1,559|<br>1,629|<br>1,69|6<br>1,754|
|ugnuay|2,940|<br>3,051|3,154|<br>3,250|<br>3,348|<br>3,446|<br>3,543|<br>3,636|<br>3,722|
|Venezuela|17.317|<br>19.751|<br>22.144|<br>24.410|<br>26.512|<br>28,403|<br>30,234|<br>32,049|<br>33,744|
|Virgin Islands (U.S.)<br>|107<br>|<br>114<br> <br>|<br>120<br> <br>|<br>126<br> <br>|<br>133<br> <br>|<br>140<br> <br>|<br>147<br> <br>|<br>15<br> <br>|3<br>158<br> <br>|
|Other Latin America (a)|194|<br>214|<br>234|<br>2S3|<br>270|<br>287|<br>302|<br>317|<br>330|
|NorthernAmerica|268,059|280,043|291.410|301,555|310,522|318,73|0326,285|332,488|336,354|
|Canada|2s,379|<br>26,635|<br>27.749|<br>28,705|<br>29,513|<br>30.207|<br>30,796|<br>31,231|<br>31,428|
|United States|239,283|249,841|259,956|269,020|277.052|284,441|291,288|296.950|300,529|
|Puerto Rico|3,282|<br>3,446|3.579|<br>3,699|<br>3,822|<br>3,944|<br>4,060|<br>4,163|<br>4,252|
|Other Northern America (a)|**11S**|<br>121|<br>126|<br>131|<br>135|<br>138|<br>141|<br>144|<br>145|
|Asia|2.822.987|3.099.789|3,385,460|3,664,203|3,933,803|4,189,524|4,434,170|4,673,078|4,901,248|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|1,650,096|1,781,418|1,914,499|2.037.848|2,147,098|2,244,255|2,335,258|2,422,679|2,503,060|
|Brunei|219|<br>259|<br>296|<br>329|<br>357|<br>380|<br>401|<br>421|<br>439|
|Burma<br> <br> <br>|37,s44<br>|<br>41,979<br>|<br>46,827<br>|<br>51.44<br>|s ss,80<br>|459.817<br>|<br>63,489<br>|<br>67,147<br>|<br>70,829<br>|
|China<br>(excluding<br>Taiwan)|1.040,03|1.117,001|1,196,245|1,268,914|1.331,301|1,385,439|1,436.06|1,485,07|1,529,780|
|Taiwan, China|19,408|<br>20,647|<br>21,561|<br>22,401|<br>23,23S|<br>24,033|<br>24,738|<br>25,302|<br>25,730|
|HongKong|5,45|6<br>5,828|<br>6,148|<br>6,420|<br>6,644|<br>6,833|<br>7,001|<br>7,141|<br>7,237|
|Indonesis|164.63|0 181,593|197,937|213,566|227.844|241,409|254,89|4267,84|4 279,779|
|Japan|120,75|4 123,343|125.748|127,670<br>|128.899<br>|129,071|128,31|9 127,00|6 125,350|
|Kacpuchea.<br>Dem.|7,284|<br>8,263|9,212|<br>9,9s9|<br>10,674|<br>11,420|<br>12,243|<br>13,045|<br>13,721|
|Korea.<br>**Dem.**People's<br>Rep, o|f20,385|<br>22,876|<br>25.433|<br>27.86|s30,118|<br>32,138|<br>34,086|<br>36,020|<br>37,847|
|Korea,<br>Rep. of|41,056|<br>43,749|<br>45,94|848,078|<br>50.093|<br>51,863|<br>53,374|<br>54,627|<br>55,667|
|Lao People's<br>Dem. Rep.|3,594|<br>4,07|34,650|<br>5.25|6<br>5,89|5<br>6,55|8<br>7,233|<br>7,891|<br>8,504|
|**Macao**|392|<br>471|<br>520|<br>553|<br>572|<br>591|<br>610|<br>628|<br>641|
|Malaysia|15,682|<br>17,780|<br>19,957|<br>21,939|<br>23,7k4|<br>25,301|<br>26,882|<br>28,492|<br>30,018|
|Mongolia|1,908|<br>2,225|<br>2.582|<br>2,949|<br>3.319|<br>3,685|<br>4,048|<br>4,397|<br>4,711|
|Philippines|55,819|<br>62,154|<br>68,413|<br>74,433|<br>80,206|<br>85,48|6 90,59|s95,643|100,432|
|Singapore|2,55|8<br>2,692|<br>2,808|<br>2,901|<br>2.978|<br>3,040|<br>3,091|<br>3,124|<br>3,138|
|Thailand|51,683|<br>56,280|<br>60,785|<br>64,864|<br>68,740|<br>72,51|076,089|<br>79,394|<br>82,370|
|Viet**Nam**|61,689|<br>70,205|<br>79,429|<br>88,270|<br>96,705|104,681|112,09|7 119,48|2 126,867|
|South<br>Asia|1,058,212|1,186,3<br>|90<br>1,319,460|1,454,021|1,592.467|1,728,386|1,858,233|1,985,10|7 2,108,300|
|Afghanistan|18,087|<br>20,370|<br>23,309|<br>26,792|<br>30,967|<br>35,50|640,461|<br>45,89|9 51,810|
INTRODUCnTON lXiii

**Table** 17 (continued)

|Coumtry or**economy**|19|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Bangladesh|100.593|114,403|129,243|145,168|161,443|177.121|192,112|206,101|218,806|
|Bhutan|1.286|1,434|1,619|1,804|1,989|2,171|<br>2.350|2,529|2.699|
|India|765,147|847,728|930,518|1,010,768|1,091,192|1,166,648|1,234,094|1,298,370|1,361,31~|
|Iran, IsltmicRep. of|44,212|51,942|60,711|70,199|80.447|91.498|103,295|115,490|127,545|
|Maldives|183|217|256|299|344|392|442|491|540|
|Nepal|16,687|19,004|21,516|24,171|26,887|29,572|32,141|34,674|37.086|
|Pakistan|96,180|114,290|134,313|155,933|179,343|204,651|231,599|259,011|285,264|
|Sri Lanka|15,837|17,002|17,975|18,887|19,855|20,827|21,739|22,542|23,232|
|Southwest Asia|114,679|131,981|151,501|172,334|194,238|216.883|240,679|265,292|289,886|
|Bahrain|425|497|566|626|681|730|m|812|846|
|Cyprus|665|698|725|751|775|800|824|844|859|
|GazaStrip|490|568|658|756|870|998|1,141|1,292|<br>1,444|
|Iraq|15,898|18,923|22,408|26,286|30,525|35,017|39,628|44,175|48,617|
|Isreet|4,233|4,581|4,914|5,239|5,543|5,839|6,128|6,395|6,631|
|Jordan|2,649|3,171|3,814|4,539|5,326|6,161|7,041|7,943|8,827|
|Kuwait|1,712|2,063|2,422|2,782|3,136|3,464|3,752|<br>3,999|4,225|
|Lebanon|2,668|2,655|2,745|2,890|3,087|3,277|3,475|3,676|3,870|
|**Oman**|1,242|1,517|1,811|2,125|2,465<br>|2,845<br>|3,259|3,691|4,126|
|Qatar|299|389|460|523|579|<br>636|691|741|785|
|**Saudi**Arabia|11,595|14,126|17,036|20.335|24,041|28,077|<br>32,446|37,042|41,710|
|Syrian<br>Arab Rep.|10,458|12,558|15,075|17,958|21,223|24,813|28,659|32,625|36,523|
|Turkey|50.310|55,990|61,931|67,559|72,600|76,984|81,288|85,714|89,973|
|United Arab Emirates|1,350|1,592|1,792|1,979|2,149|2,310|2,442|2,538|2,613|
|West Bank|887|1,060|1,272|<br>1,508|1,764|2,036|2,322|2,614|2.899|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|7,661|9,103|10,973|13,140|15,665|18,583|21,965|25,804|30,025|
|**Yemen,**Peopte's<br>Dem. Rep. of|<br>2,137|2,490|<br>2,899|3,338|3,809|4,313|4,845|5,387|5,91'|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|770,723|787,186|800,881|813,000|823,231|831,407|838,473|843,737|847,87|
|Atbania|2,962|3,281|3,596|3,881|4,131|4,369|4,608|4,838|5,046|
|Austria|7,555|7,520|7,493|7,460|7,409|7,344|7,272|7,183|<br>7,075|
|**Belgiua**|9,858|9,876|9,885|9,880|9,846|9,787|9,714|9,632|9,535|
|**Butgaria**|8,960|9,020|9,066|9,115|9,135|9,130|9,110|9,092|9,075|
|**Chamnel**<br>**Islands**|134|135|135|135|134|133|131|129|<br>128|
|Czechoslovakia|15,500|15,684|15,885|16,147|16,406|16,647|16,850|17,020|17,150|
|**Dernark**|5,114|5,097|5,084|5,063|5,039|5,002|4,953|4,887|4,802|
|Finland|4,908|4,974|5,015|<br>5,032|5,034|5,024|4,999|4,953|4,882|
|France|55,170|56,339|57,490|58,579|59,374|59,958|60,417|60,782|60,983|
|German Dem. Rep.|16,644|16,708|16,791|16,873|16,919|16,929|16,910|16,843|16,768|
|Germany,<br>Fed.Rep. of|61,035|60,487|59,976|59,351|58,463|57,315|56,042|54.624|53,184|
|Greece|9,919|10,054|10,173|10,259|10,323|10,334|10,296|10,237|10,185|
|**Hungary**|10,657|10,543|10,460|10,409|10,353|10,283|10,196|10,101|10,006|
|Iceland|241|253|265|276|287|297|306|314|322|
|Iretand|3,521|3,609|3,698|3,801|3,920|4,037|4,143|4,239|4,329|
|**Italy**|57,141|57,178|57,136|56,966|56,563|55,861|54,920|53,850|52,761|
lxV INTRODUCTION Table 17 (continued)

|Coumtryoreconomy|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Luxembourg|366|366|364|361|357|352|345<br>|339<br>|332<br>|
|Nala|345|344|344|347|351|356|360<br>|362<br>|362<br> <br>|
|Netherlands|14,491|14,815|<br>15,092|15,278|15,388|<br>15,429<br>|15,414<br>|15,349<br>|<br>15,213<br>|
|Norway|4,153|4,214|4,275|4,330|4,375|4,414|4,450|4,477<br>|4,486<br> <br>|
|Poland|37.203|38,343|39,294|40,240|41,184|<br>42,115|42,959|43,670|<br>44,257|
|Portugal|10,157|10,167|<br>10,195|10,231|10,278|10,300|10,293|<br>10.262|<br>10,224|
|Romania|22,725|23,250|<br>23,844|24,461|24,952|<br>25,327|25,670|26,032|<br>26,422|
|Spin|38,523|39,148|<br>39,810|40,385|40,833|<br>41,073<br>|41,158<br>|41,200<br>|<br>41,177<br>|
|Sweden|8,350|8,362|8,378|8,377|8,356|8,321<br>|8,288<br>|8,246<br>|8,175<br>|
|Switzerland|6,472|6,501|6,514|6,499|6,457|6,391|6,308|6,208<br>|6,085<br> <br>|
|United Kingdom|56,618|56,890|57,178|57,333|57,345|<br>57,309|57,304|57,285|<br>57,161|
|Yugoslavia|23,123|23,844|<br>24,562|25,276|25,906|<br>26,383|26,731|27,007|<br>27,251|
|Other Europe (a)|260|271|282|293|303|X13|321|329|336|
|U.S.S.R.|278,618|289,913|298,601|306,362|<sup>313,810</sup>|<sup>320,874</sup>|<sup>328,005</sup>|<sup>334,247</sup>|<sup>340.163</sup>|
|Oceania|24,646|26,739|<br>28,950|31,043|32,975|<br>34,734|36,314|37,643|<br>38,770|
|Australia|15,758|17,013|<br>18,326|19,507|<br>20,523<br>|<br>21,371<br>|<br>22,053<br>|<br>22,532<br>|<br>22,889<br>|
|Fiji|700|752|795|828<br>|858<br>|891<br>|927<br>|963<br>|996<br>|
|French Polynesia|171|197<br>|225<br>|254<br>|279<br>|301<br>|319<br>|338<br>|356<br>|
|Guam|123<br>|136<br>|146<br>|156<br>|167<br>|177<br>|186<br>|194<br>|200<br>|
|Kiribati|64|70|77|84|91<br>|98<br>|105<br>|111<br>|117<br>|
|Mew Caledonia|153|163|173|182|192|202|212|221|229|
|Rem Zealand|3,247|<br>3,366|<br>3,485|3,598|3,699|<br>3,786|3,863|3,929|<br>3,979|
|Pacific Islands|154|172|194|219|247|274|300|322|344|
|Papua New Guinea|3,511<br>|<br>4,010<br>|<br>4,546<br>|5,090<br>|5,640<br>|<br>6,195<br>|6,744<br>|7,262<br>|<br>7,725<br>|
|Solomon<br>Islands|273|325|391|467|551|641|737|835|931<br>|
|Tonga|97|105|115|125|135|144|154|164<br>|<br>175<br>|
|Vanuatu|141|161<br>|186<br>|213<br>|241<br>|271<br>|301<br>|330<br>|359<br>|
|WesternSamoa|163<br>|171<br>|184<br>|202<br>|221<br>|242<br>|263<br>|282<br>|301<br>|
|Other Micronesia (a)|15|17|18|20|22|23|24|26|27|
|Other Polynesia<br>(a)|76|81|89|98|109|118|126|134|<br>142|

(a) For a listing of countries in the "other" categories, see TabLe 18.
INRODUCTION IXv

# l'able 18 Population of Countries and Economies in the o0ther' Categories

|Country or<br>econony<br>(|Population<br>1985<br>thousands)|Country or<br>economy<br>(|Population<br>1985<br>thousands)|Population<br>Country or<br>1985<br>economy<br>(thousands)|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|OtherWest Africa<br>|7<br>|Other Northern America<br>|115<br>|Other Nicronesia<br>.5<br> <br>|
|St. Helena<br>|6<br>|8ermuuda<br>|56<br>|Nauru<br>8<br> <br>|
|Ascencion<br>|1|Greenland<br>|53<br> <br>|Johnston Island<br>1<br> <br>|
|Tristan daCunha|0.3|St. Pierre<br>and Miquelo|n<br>6<br>|Midway Islands<br>2<br>Pitcairn<br>0.1<br> <br> <br>|
|Other North<br>Africa||Other<br>Europe|260|Tokelau<br>Islands<br>2<br> <br>|
|Western<br>Sahara|155|Andorra<br>Faeroe<br>Islands|45<br>46|Wake Island<br>2|
|Other Latin<br>America||Gibraltar|29|<br>|
|and the Caribbean|194|Holy See|I<br>|Other Polynesia<br>76<br> <br> <br>|
|Anguilla|7|Isle of Man|63<br>|America<br>Samoa<br>35<br> <br>|
|Aruba|60|Liechtenstein|27<br>|CookIslands<br>18<br> <br>|
|British<br>Virgin Islands|<br>12|Monaco|27<br>|Niue<br>3<br>|
|Cayman Islands|22|San Marino|22|Tuvalu<br>8<br> <br> <br>|
|Falktand<br>Islands|2|||Wallis<br>and Futuna<br>Islands 12|
|French<br>Guiana|83||||
|Turks and Caicos<br>Islan|ds<br>8||||
lUxi INTRODUCnTON Table 19 Population Aged 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for All Countries and Economies, 1985-2025 (percent)

|CoUntry or economy||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|2025|
|World||||||||||
|0-14<br>|33.7<br>|32.6<br>|32.0<br>|31.2<br>|30.0<br>|28.7<br>|27.5<br>|26.6<br>|25.7<br>|
|15-64|60.4|61.4|61.7|62.2|63.2|64.4|65.1|65.3|65.3|
|65+|5.9|6.0|6.3|6.6|6.8|6.9|7.4|8.2|9.0|
|Africa<br>||||||||||
|0-14|45.3|45.3|44.8|43.9|42.8|41.5|39.7|37.6|35.5|
|15-64|51.7|51.7|52.2|53.1|54.2|55.5|57.1|58.9|60.7|
|65+|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.4|3.8|
|East Africa||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|45.9|45.5|44.9|43.9|42.7|41.0|39.0|37.0|
|15-64|51.4|51.3|51.7|52.2|<br>53.2|54.4|56.0|<br>57.7|59.5|
|65+|2.9|2.9|<br>2.8|<br>2.8|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>3.0|<br>3.2|<br>3.5|
|Botswana||||||||||
|0-14|48.5|44.8|40.3|34.6|32.5|30.3|27.8|25.6|24.0|
|15-64|47.9|51.6|56.2|61.9|63.8|65.8|67.8|69.3|69.8|
|65+<br>|3.7|3.5|<br>3.5|<br>3.5|<br>3.7|<br>3.9|<br>4.4|<br>5.2|<br>6.1|
|Burundi<br>||||||||||
|0-14|43.4|45.5|47.4|47.6|46.1|43.7|42.0|40.6|38.8|
|15-64|52.9|51.3|49.7|49.7|51.3|53.8|55.5|56.7|58.1|
|65+|3.7|3.1|2.8|2.7|2.7|2.5|2.5|2.7|3.2|
|Comoros||||||||||
|0-14|48.1|47.2|48.8|47.7|45.6|44.0|42.3|40.2|37.6|
|15-64|47.9|49.9|48.2|49.7|51.5|53.2|54.9|57.0|59.4|
|65.|4.1|2.9|<br>3.0|<br>2.7|<br>2.9|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>2.9|<br>3.0|
|DjiboutI||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|44.8|44.8|44.3|43.5|42.0|40.5|38.6|36.5|
|15-64|52.0|52.8|52.7|53.1|53.8|55.0|56.3|57.8|59.6|
|65+|2.3|2.4|<br>2.6|<br>2.7|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>3.2|<br>3.6|<br>3.9|
|Ethiopia||||||||||
|0-14|44.2|43.8|43.3|44.4|44.0|42.8|40.7|38.9|37.-|
|15-64<br>|53.1<br>|53.5<br> <br>|53.9<br> <br>|52.7<br> <br>|<br>53.1<br> <br>|54.2<br> <br>|56.1<br> <br>|57.6<br> <br>|59<br> <br>|
|65+|2.7|<br>2.7|<br>2.8|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>3.1|<br>3.2|<br>3.4|<br>!|
|Kenya||||||||||
|0-14|52.3|52.9|51.6|50.1|48.8|47.7|46.1|44.0|4'..|
|15-64|45.2|44.9|46.3|47.9|49.2|50.4|51.9|53.8|55.9|
|65+<br>|2.5|<br>2.2|<br>2.1|<br>2.1|<br>2.0|<br>2.0|<br>2.0|<br>2.2|<br>2.4|
|Lesotho||||||||||
|0-14<br>|41.9|42.7|42.8|41.7|39.9|37.8|35.6|33.2|30.7|
|15-64|53.8|53.1<br>|53.1<br>|54.2<br>|56.1<br>|58.2<br>|60.5<br>|62.6<br>|64.7<br>|
|65+<br>|4.3|4.2|4.1|4.0|4.0|3.9|4.0|4.3|4.6|
|Madagascar||||||||||
|0-14|46.3|46.7|45.9|44.1|42.3|40.8|38.8|36.3|33.5|
|15-64|50.5|50.2|51.1|53.0|54.9|56.6|58.5|60.6|62.9|
|65+|3.3|3.1|3.0|2.9|2.8|2.6|2.7|3.1|3.6|
|Hatawi||||||||||
|0-14|47.0|47.8|48.5|49.2|48.8|47.7|46.1|44.8|43.4|
|15-64<br>|50.4<br>|49.6<br>|49.0<br>|48.4<br>|48.8<br>|50.0<br>|51.5<br>|52.9<br>|54.2<br>|
|65+|2.6|2.6|2.5|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.4|
|Mauritius||||||||||
|0-14|32.6<br>|30.7<br>|28.0<br>|26.0<br>|25.3<br>|24.4<br>|23.4<br>|22.5<br>|21.6<br>|
|15-64|632|646|669|684|688|694|694|688|676|
|<br>65+|.<br>4.3|.<br>4.7|.<br> <br>5.1|.<br> <br>5.7|.<br> <br>6.0|.<br> <br>6.3|.<br> <br>7.1|.<br> <br>8.8|.<br> <br>10.7|
INTRODUCTION IXvil Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Nozambique||||||||||
|0-14|44.3|44.2|45.1|45.6|45.7|44.1|42.3|40.4|38.5|
|15-64<br>|52.9<br>|52.9<br>|52.1<br>|51.7<br>|51.5<br>|53.1<br>|54.8<br>|56.7<br>|58.3<br>|
|65+<br>|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.0|3.2|
|Namibia||||||||||
|0-14<br>|44.4<br>|45.3<br>|44.7<br>|43.2<br>|40.9<br>|39.1<br>|37.1<br>|34.6<br>|31.6<br>|
|15-64|52.4|51.6<br>|52.2<br>|53.6<br>|55.9<br>|57.6<br>|59.4<br>|61.6<br>|64.1<br>|
|65.|3.2|3.1|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.3|3.5|3.9|4.3|
|<br>R6union||||||||||
|0-14|30.3|28.7|27.5|27.0|24.8|23.1|22.0|21.4|21.0|
|15-64<br>|65.5<br>|66.8<br>|67.6<br>|67.5<br>|68.9<br>|69.6<br>|69.5<br>|68.8<br>|67.1<br>|
|65+<br>|4.2|4.5|4.9|5.6|6.4|7.3|8.5|9.9|12.0|
|Rwanda||||||||||
|0-14<br>|46.8<br>|48.2<br>|49.9<br>|50.3<br>|49.9<br>|47.8<br>|46.4<br>|45.2<br>|43.9<br>|
|IS-64<br>|50.4<br>|49.0<br>|47.4<br>|47.2<br>|47.8<br>|50.0<br>|51.6<br>|52.6<br>|53.6<br>|
|65+<br>Seychelles|2.9|2.9|2.7|2.5|2.4|2.2|2.0|2.2|2.5|
|0-14|36.7|35.3|33.8|31.8|28.9|26.1|24.4|23.7<br>|23.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|57.0<br>|58.3<br>|60.0<br>|62.0<br>|64.9<br>|67.9<br>|69.8<br>|70.3<br>|69.3<br>|
|65+|6.4|6.3|6.2|6.2|6.3|6.0|5.8|6.1|7.6|
|Somalia||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.5<br>|46.0<br>|46.2<br>|46.3<br>|46.0<br>|45.2<br>|43.5<br>|41.8<br>|40.0<br> <br>|
|15-64<br>|51.7<br>|51.1<br>|50.9<br>|50.7<br>|51.1<br>|51.9<br>|53.5<br>|55.2<br>|<br>56.8<br>|
|65+<br>SouthAfrica|2.9|3.0|3.0|3.0|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.0|3.2|
|0-14|41.0|40.4|39.1|36.8|34.8|32.7|30.4|27.8|25.6|
|15-64<br>|55.0<br>|55.6<br>|56.8<br>|59.0<br>|60.9<br>|62.6<br>|64.6<br>|66.5<br>|68.0<br> <br>|
|65-|4.0|4.0|4.1|4.2|4.4|4.7|5.0|5.7|<br>6.4|
|Swaziland||||||||||
|0-14|48.3|48.5|46.9|44.6|42.9|41.6|39.8|37.1|34.1|
|15-64<br>|49.2<br>|49.3<br>|50.6<br>|53.0<br>|54.4<br>|55.8<br>|57.4<br>|59.8<br>|<br>62.4<br> <br>|
|65+<br>|2.5|2.3|2.5|2.4|2.7|2.6|2.9|3.1|<br>3.5|
|Tanzania||||||||||
|0-14|48.6|49.1|48.6|47.5|46.2|45.1|43.5|41.4|38.9|
|15-64<br>|49.1<br>|48.7<br>|49.2<br>|50.3<br>|51.5<br>|52.5<br>|54.0<br>|56.1<br>|58.3<br> <br>|
|65+|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.4|2.5|2.6|<br>2.7|
|Uganda||||||||||
|0-14<br>|47.9<br>|48.6<br>|48.0<br>|46.8<br>|44.8<br>|43.4<br>|41.7<br>|39.6<br>|37.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|49.6<br>|49.0<br>|49.6<br>|50.8<br>|52.9<br>|54.3<br>|55.9<br>|57.8<br>|60.1<br>|
|65+<br>|2.5|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.3|2.3|2.4|2.6|2.9|
|Zaire||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.2<br>|45.2<br>|45.0<br>|44.9<br>|44.8<br>|44.2<br>|42.7<br>|40.4<br>|38.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|51.9<br>|51.8<br>|52.0<br>|52.1<br>|52.1<br>|52.7<br>|54.1<br>|56.3<br>|58.3<br> <br>|
|65+<br>2ambia|2.9|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|<br>3.5|
|0-14<br>|48.7<br>|49.3<br>|49.5<br>|48.7<br>|47.3<br>|46.0<br>|44.4|42.3|39.9|
|15-64<br>|49.0<br>|48.4<br>|48.3<br>|49.1<br>|50.5<br>'|51.8<br>|53.4<br>|55.4<br>|57.5<br>|
|65+|2.3|2.3|2.2|2.2|2.|2.2|2.2|2.4|2.6|
|Zimbabwe||||||||||
|0-14|47.3|46.2|45.2|40.5|36.4|33.0|30.2|27.6|25.6|
|15-64|50.2<br>|51.4<br>|52.4<br>|57.0<br>|60.8<br>|63.9<br>|66.2<br>|68.0<br>|69.1<br>|
|65+<br>|2.5|2.3|2.4|2.5|2.8|3.1|3.6|4.4|5.3|
|West Africa||||||||||
|0-14<br>15-64|46.5<br>507|46.6<br>506|46.0<br>511|45.3<br>519|44.4<br>527|43.3<br>538|41.6<br>554|39.4<br>575|37.0<br>597|
|<br>65+|.<br>2.8|.<br> <br>2.8|.<br>2.8|.<br>2.9|.<br>2.9|.<br>2.9|.<br>3.0|.<br>3.1|.<br> <br>3.3|
## lxviii INTRODUCnON

# Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Angola|||||||||
|0-14<br>44.6|44.8|45.0|45.9|46.4|45.8|44.0|42.1|40.5|
|15-64<br>52.4|52.2|51.9|51.0|50.7|5i.3|53.1|54.9|56.5|
|65+<br>3.0|3.1|**_3.1_**|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|<br>3.1|
|Benin|||||||||
|0-14<br>46.7<br>|47.6|46.8|45.1|43.3|41.8|39.9|37.3|34.5|
|15-64<br>50.4|49.7|50.5|52.3|54.1|53.6|57.3|59.7|62.2|
|65+<br>2.9<br>|2.7|2.7|2.6|2.7|2.7|2.8|3.0|<br>3.:b|
|Burkina Faso|||||||||
|0-14<br>44.3<br>|45.5|4.0|46.2|45.6|44.6|42.7|40.9|39.0|
|15-64<br>52.5|51.4|51.0|50.9|51.6|52.6|54.5|56.4|58.3|
|65+<br>3.2|3.1|3.0|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.8|2.7|2.8|
|Cameroon|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.5|47.2|46.2|45.4|44.9|44.4|43.1|40.8|38.2|
|15-64<br>50.5|49.0|50.3|51.3|52.0|52.7|53.9|56.1|58.5|
|65+<br>3.9<br>|3.7|3.5|3.3|3.1|2.9|3.0|3.1|<br>3.3|
|Cape Verde|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.2|43.9|44.3|43.6|41.1|36.8|33.1|30.3|28.2|
|15-64<br>49.7|52.0|52.0|52.7|55.1|60.1|64.5|67.1|68.1|
|65+<br>5.2|4.1|3.7|**M.s**|<br>3.8|3.2|2.4|2.5|<br>3.7|
|CentralAfrican<br>Rep.<br>|||||||||
|0-14<br>43.1|41.8|42.0|42.1|41.6|40.7|39.0|36.5|33.9|
|15-64<br>54.6<br> <br>|55.2<br>|54.5<br>|54.0<br>|54.4<br>|55.3|57.1<br>|59.8<br>|62.3<br>|
|65+<br>2.3<br>|3.0|3.6|3.9|4.1|**_;.¶_**|3.9|3.a|3.8|
|chad|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.0|41.9|43.0|43.7|43.7|42.9|41.1|39.4|37.5|
|15-64<br>55.5<br> <br>|54.5<br>|53.4<br>|52.6<br>|52.7<br>|53.5<br>|55.1|56.9|58.6|
|65+<br>3.5<br>C<br>Pl<br>R f h|3.6|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.8|3.9|
|ongo,<br>eope<br>s ep. o te<br>0-14<br>44.7|45.8|47.0|47.7|47.0|46.1|44.7|42.7|40.7|
|15-64<br>51.3<br> <br>|50.2<br>|49.0<br>|48.5<br>|49.5<br>|50.7<br>|52.3|54.3|56.2|
|65+<br>4.0<br>|4.1|4.0|3.8|3.5|3.2|3.0|3.0|3.1|
|CMte dlvoire|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.1|46.3|47.0|47.4|46.2|45.3|44.2|42.7|40.7|
|15-64<br>52.3<br> <br>|51.2<br>|50.4<br>|50.0<br>|51.1<br>|51.9<br>|52.7<br>|54.1|56.0|
|65+<br>2.6|2.6|2.7|2.7|2.8|2.8|3.1|3.2|<br>3.2|
|Equatorial Guinea<br>|||||||||
|0-14<br>38.1<br> <br>|39.5<br>|40.9<br>|41.9<br>|40.9|39.5|37.4|35.4|33.5|
|15-64<br>57.6<br> <br>|56.3<br>|54.9<br>|53.9<br>|54.8<br>|56.2<br>|58.2<br>|60.0<br>|61.8<br>|
|65+<br>4.3<br>|4.2|4.2|4.2|4.3|4.3|4.4|4.6|4.8|
|Gabon<br> <br>|||||||||
|0-14<br>36.9<br> <br>|39.1<br>|41.4<br>|43.5<br>|43.9<br>|43.5<br>|42.5<br>|40.8<br>|39.2<br>|
|15-64<br>58.1<br> <br>|56.0<br>|53.9<br>|51.8<br>|51.6<br>|52,1<br>|53.1<br>|54.9<br>|56.5<br>|
|65.<br>5.0<br>|4.9|4.8|4.7|4.5|4.4|4.3|4.3|4.3|
|Gambia, The<br>|||||||||
|0-14<br>42.7<br> <br>|43.8|44.3|44.9|45.0|44.7|43.7|42.1|40.5|
|15-64<br>55.0<br> <br>|53.6<br>|53.0<br>|52.3<br>|52.0<br>|52.2<br>|53.1<br>|54.6<br>|56.1<br>|
|65+<br>2.3<br>|2.5|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.4|
|Ghana|||||||||
|0-14<br>46.7|46.8|46.0|44.8|42.9|41.2|39.2|36.7|34.0|
|15-64<br>50.5|50.3|51.1|52.3|54.2|55.8|57.7|60.0|62.3|
|65+<br>2.9<br>|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.3|3.7|
|Guinea|||||||||
|0-14<br>40.8<br>15-64<br>557|42.5<br>540|43.8<br>527|44.0<br>525|44.1<br>525|43.8<br>529|42.9<br>539|41.1<br>556|39.2<br>574|
|<br>.<br>65+<br>3.5|.<br>3.6|.<br>3.6|.<br>3.5|.<br>3.4|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.4|
INTRODUCTION iXix Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|Guinea-Bissau||||||||||
|0-14|42.9|43.5|43.7|44.4|44.6|44.1|42.9|<br>40.8|38.8|
|15-64|53.&|53.3|53.3|52.7|52.8|53.3|54.6|56.7|58.6|
|65+|3.5|<br>3.2|<br>3.1|<br>2.8|<br>2.7|<br>2.6|<br>2.6|<br>2.5|<br>2.6|
|Liberia||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|46.4|46.1|44.1|42.4|41.1|39.5|37.2|34.4|
|15-64|51.5|50.6|50.8|52.7|54.3|55.5|57.1|<br>59.2|61.6|
|65+|28|<br>30|<br>31|<br>32|<br>33|<br>34|<br>35|<br>37|<br>39|
|<br>Mall|.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|
|0-14|46.1|46.9|47.3|47.6|47.0|46.2|44.7|43.1|41.4|
|15-64|50.4|50.0|49.8|49.7|50.3|51.1|<br>52.7|<br>'54.4|<br>56.1|
|65+|3.5|<br>3.1|<br>2.9|<br>2.7|<br>2.7|<br>2.7|<br>2.7|<br>2.5|<br>2.5|
|Mauritania||||||||||
|0-14|43.5|44.3|45.2|46.5|46.7|46.3|45.0|43.1|41.3|
|15-64|53.2|52.3|51.5|50.2|50.2|50.8|52.2|54.2|56.0|
|65+|3.3|<br>3.4|<br>3.4|<br>3.3|<br>31|<br>30|<br>29|<br>28|<br>27|
|Niger||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|
|0-14|46.2|47.0|47.5|48.0|48.7|48.7|47.7|45.9|44.4|
|15-64<br>|51.3|50.4|50.0|49.5|48.8|48.9|49.9|<br>51.7|53.2|
|65+|2.5|<br>2.6|<br>2.6|<br>2.5|<br>2.4|<br>2.4|<br>2.4|<br>2.4|<br>2.5|
|Nigeria||||||||||
|0-14|48.3|47.6|46.4|44.8|43.7|42.3|40.4|37.8|35.0|
|15-64|49.3|49.9|51.1|52.5|53.6|54.8|56.6|59.0|61.6|
|65+<br>SaoTom6 and Principe|2.4|<br>2.5|<br>2.6|<br>2.7|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>3.0|<br>3.2|<br>3.5|
|<br>0-14|40.7|41.8|41.6|39.5|37.1|35.2|33.2|30.8|28.1|
|15-64<br>|53.7<br>|53.6<br> <br>|53.6<br>|55.7|58.2|59.7|61.5|<br>63.9|66.1|
|65+|5.6|<br>4.6|<br>4.8|<br>4.8|<br>4.7|<br>5.1|<br>5.2|<br>5.3|<br>5.8|
|Senegal||||||||||
|0-14|46.5|45.3|45.1|45.4|45.8|44.7|42.5|40.5|38.6|
|15-64|50.7|51.8|52.0|51.7|51.4|52.5|54.6|56.4|58.1|
|65+<br>|2.9|<br>2.9|<br>2.9|<br>2.9|<br>2.8|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>3.1|<br>3.3|
|Sierra Leone||||||||||
|0-14|42.5|43.3|43.8|44.4|44.7|44.4|43.4|41.7|40.0|
|15-64|54.6|53.6|53.0|52.3|52.1|52.3|53.3|55.0|<br>56.6|
|65+|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.3|3.3|3.3|3.3|3.4|
|Togo||||||||||
|0-14|46.9|47.6|47.5|46.1|43.9|42.1|40.1|37.6|34.8|
|15-64|50.0|49.3|49.5|51.0|53.1|54.9|56.9|59.3|61.8|
|65+<br>|3.2|<br>3.1|<br>3.0|<br>3.0|<br>3.0|<br>3.1|<br>3.1|<br>3.1|<br>3.4|
|OtherWestAfrica(a)||||||||||
|0-14|35.3|33.2|29.8|28.7|27.0|25.5|24.3|23.3|22.3|
|15-64|55.6|58.1|62.0|63.4|65.4|66.8|68.0|68.2|68.5|
|65.|9.1|<br>8.7|<br>8.2|<br>8.0|<br>7.6|<br>7.7|<br>7.7|<br>8.5|<br>9.3|
|North Africa||||||||<br>|<br>|
|0-14|42.6|42.2|41.2|39.4|37.6|35.4|33.2|30.9|28.8|
|15-64|53.8|54.3|55.3|57.0|58.7|61.0|62.9|64.5|65.9|
|65+|3.6|<br>3.5|<br>3.5|<br>3.6|<br>3.7|<br>3.6|<br>3.9|<br>4.6|<br>5.4|
|Algeria||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|44.3|43.6|42.2|40.4|37.1|33.9|31.0|28.4|
|15-64<br>|50.7|52.4|53.3|54.6|56.4|59.8|62.8|65.2|67.0|
|65|37|33|31|31|32|31|33|39|46|
|.<br>Egypt, Arab Rep. of|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14|40.5|40.7|39.0|36.2|34.0|32.1|30.1|27.7|25.6|
|15-64|55.6|55.4|57.0|59.7|618|636|652|665|677|
|65+|<br>3.9|<br> <br>3.9|<br> <br>4.0|<br> <br>4.1|.<br> <br>4.2|.<br> <br>4.3|.<br> <br>4.8|.<br> <br>5.8|.<br> <br>6.8|
# txx INTRODUCTiON

Table **19** (continued)

|Country or economy||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|Libya||||||||||
|0-14|46.4|46.0|46.0|45.7|45.1|43.9|42.6|41.0|39.3|
|15-64|51.3|51.6|51.5|51.7|52.1|53.0|54.1|55.5|57.1|
|65+|2.3|2.4|25|27|29|31|33|35|36|
|<br>Morocco|||.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14|42.2|41.0|39.9|38.3|36.1|33.2|30.4|28.0|26.1|
|15-64|53.9|55.5|56.3|58.0|60.0|63.1|65.5|67.2|68.1|
|65+|3.9|3.6|3.8|3.7|3.9|3.8|4.1|4.8|5.9|
|Sudan||||||||||
|0-14|45.0|45.4|45.1|44.4|43.4|42.0|40.2|37.9|35.3|
|15-64|52.2|51.9|52.3|53.0|54.0|55.4|57.1|59.2|61.5|
|65+|2.8|2.7|2.7|2.6|2.6|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.2|
|Tunisia||||||||||
|0-14|39.6|37.7|36.0|33.7|31.3|28.2|25.8|24.3|23.6|
|15-64|56.5|58.2|59.6|61.5|63.6|66.8|69.1|60.6|68.8|
|65+|3.8|4.1|4.4|4.8|5.1|5.0|5.1|6.1|7.6|
|Other North Africa (a)||||||||||
|0-14|43.0|43.9|44.3|44.8|43.5|42.4|41.3|40.1|38.6|
|15-64|53.2|52.2|52.1|51.7|53.1|54.4|55.4|56.5|58.0|
|65+|3.9|3.9|3.6|3.5|<br>3.4|<br>3.2|<br>3.2|<br>3.4|<br>3.4|
|America||||||||||
|0-14|31.3|30.4|29.5|27.9|26.0|24.3|23.2|22.6|22.0|
|15-64|61.4|62.2|63.0|64.6|66.3|67.5|67.7|67.1|66.2|
|65+|7.4|7.4|7.5|7.5|7.7|8.2|9.1|10.4|11.8|
|Latin America and Caribbean||||||||||
|0-14|37.6|35.9|34.3|32.0|29.5|27.2|25.6|24.6|23.7|
|15-64|57.9|59.5|61.0|63.0|65.1|67.0|67.9|<br>68.0|67.7|
|65+|4.5|4.5|4.7|5.0|5.4|5.8|6.5|7.5|8.6|
|Antigua and Barbuda||||||||||
|<br>0-14|44.1|35.1|28.0|23.3|25.4|26.0|24.6|22.2|20.3|
|15-64<br>|50.8<br>|59.0<br>|65.4<br>|69.6<br>|67.3<br>|66.7<br>|68.1<br>|70.6<br>|71.9<br>|
|65+|5.1|5.9|6.6|7.1|7.3|7.3|7.3|7.2|7.8|
|Argentina||||||||||
|0-14|30.5|29.9|?8.0|26.3|24.7|23.7|23.0|22.5|21.8|
|15-64|60.9|61.2|62.8|64.2|65.6|66.4|66.5|66.2|66.1|
|65+|8.6|8.9|9.2|9.5|<br>9.7|<br>10.0|10.5|11.3|12.0|
|Bahamas||||||||||
|0-14|38.0|33.2|30.8|29.2|27.1|25.2|23.8|22.8|22.0|
|15-64|58.5|62.9|64.8|65.8|67.2|68.2|68.6|68.8|69.1|
|65+|35|40|44|50|58|67|76|84|90|
|<br>Barbados|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14|26.7|23.7|22.8|21.9|20.7|19.4|18.3|17.7|17.6|
|15-64|63.5|66.3|66.9|67.9|68.6|69.6|69.4|67.6|64.8|
|65+|9.8|10.0|10.3|10.2|10.?|11.0|12.3|147|176|
|Belize||||||||.|.|
|0-14|45.6|42.4|40.3|41.4|39.5|36.1|32.0|28.4|26.1|
|15-64|50.6|53.5|55.7|54.9|56.5|59.9|64.0|<br>67.8|69.5|
|65+|3.8|4.1|4.0|3.8|4.0|4.1|4.0|3.8|4.3|
|Bolivia||||||||||
|0-14|43.8|44.0|43.8|42.9|41.3|39.2|36.9|34.4|31.7|
|15-64|531|528|529|539|554|575|596|619|641|
|<br>65+|.<br>3.2|.<br>3.2|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.3|.<br>3.5|.<br>3.8|.<br>4.1|
INTRODUCTION IxXi Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Brazil||||||||||
|0-14|36.4|35.3|33.6|31.0|28.0|25.6|24.3|23.7|23.1|
|15-64|59.3|60.3|61.8|64.1|66.6|68.5|69.0|68.4|67.7|
|65+|4.3|4.4|4.6|4.9|5.4|5.9|6.8|7.9|9.3|
|Chile||||||||||
|0-14|31.5|30.5|29.7|27.5|24.9|23.2|22.6|22.3|21.7|
|15-64|62.7|63.6|64.1|65.9|68.1|69.0|68.7|67.7|66.7|
|65+|5.8|S.9|6.2|6.6|7.0|7.8|8.7|10.0|<br>11.6|
|Colombia||||||||||
|0-14|37.2|35.4|33.3|30.5|28.2|25.9|24.5|23.7|23.0|
|15-64|59.1|60.6|62.4|65.0|66.9|68.7|69.3-|68.9|68.2|
|65+|3.8|4.1|4.3|4.6|4.9|5.4|6.2|7.4|<br>8.8|
|Costa Rica||||||||||
|0-14|36.8|36.1|34.0|30.9|27.5|25.0|23.8|23.2|<br>22.6|
|15-64|59.3|59.8|61.6|64.2|67.2|69.1|69.4|68.6|67.5|
|65.|3.9|4.1|4.5|4.9|5.3|5.9|6.9|8.2|<br>10.0|
|Cuba||||||||||
|0-14|25.7|22.4|22.4|22.8|21.7|20.2|19.0|18.4|<br>18.5|
|15-64|66.4|69.4|69.0|68.0|68.1|68.3|68.3|67.8|<br>66.8|
|65+|8.0|8.2|<br>8.6|9.1|<br>10.2|11.5|12.8|13.8|14.7|
|Dominica||||||||||
|0-14|44.7|40.9|35.2|26.6|26.0|26.3|26.1|24.6|<br>22.4|
|15-64|49.8|53.3|58.6|66.3|66.3|65.7|65.9|67.5|<br>69.3|
|65+|5.5|5.8|6.3|7.1|7.7|8.0|8.0|7.9|8.3|
|Dominican Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|39.7|37.9|36.1|33.5|30.5|27.7|25.5|24.1|23.4|
|15-64|57.1|58.8|60.2|62.3|64.9|67.2|68.6|69.1|<br>68.5|
|65+|3.3|<br>3.3|<br>3.8|<br>4.2|<br>4.7|<br>5.2|<br>5.9|<br>6.8|<br>8.1|
|Ecuador||||||||||
|0-14|41.8|40.1|38.2|35.3|32.6|30.0|27.7|25.8|24.3|
|15-64|54.5|56.3|58.2|61.0|63.4|65.6|67.3|68.4|<br>68.9|
|65+<br>|3.7|3.6|<br>3.6|3.7|<br>4.0|<br>4.4|<br>5.0|<br>5.9|<br>6.8|
|El Salvador||||||||||
|0-14|46.1|44.2|41.8|40.3|38.6|36.5|33.7|30.6|27.9|
|15-64|50.6|52.3|54.5|55.8|57.4|59.3|62.1|65.0|67.5|
|65+|3.4|3.5|3.7|3.8|4.0|4.2|4.2|4.4|4.6|
|Grenada||||||||||
|0-14|35.1|35.9|36.5|33.1|29.0|25.7|24.2|23.9|23.3|
|15-64<br>|.<br>58.7<br>|58.7<br>|58.1<br>|61.5<br>|65.7<br>|69.2<br>|71.0<br>|70.2<br>|69.1<br>|
|65+<br>|6.2|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.3|5.1|4.8|5.9|7.6|
|Guadeloupe||||||||||
|0-14|28.2|26.1|26.9|25.2|23.7|22.4|21.5|21.1|20.7|
|15-64|64.0|65.6|64.2|65.6|66.7|.7.4|67.4|67.4|66.7|
|65+|7.8|8.3|8.9|9.2|9.6|10.2|11.1|11.5|12.6|
|Guatemala||||||||||
|0-14|45.9|45.7|44.6|43.0|41.0|38.8|36.3|33.5|30.7|
|15-64|51.2|51.3|52.2|53.7|55.7|57.9|60.3|62.6|65.0|
|65+|2.9|<br>3.0|<br>3.2|<br>3.3|<br>3.3|<br>3.3|<br>3.5|<br>3.9|<br>4.3|
|Guyana||||||||||
|0-14|36.9|36.0|33.2|29.5|<br>25.7|23.8|23.5|23.2|22.2|
|15-64|59.1|59.6|61.9|64.7|68.1|69.6|68.8|67.4|<br>66.4|
|65+|4.0|4.4|5.0|5.7|6.3|6.7|7.7|<br>9.4|<br>11.5|
|Haiti||||||||||
|0-14|40.2|38.8|38.3|37.6|<br>36.5|34.1|31.6|29.3|<br>27.4|
|15-64<br>|56.0<br>|57.4<br>|57.8<br>|58.4<br>|59.4<br>|61.6<br>|63.9<br>|65.8<br>|67.2<br>|
|65+|3.8|3.8|3.9|4.0|4.1|4.3|4.6|4.9|5.4|
Lxxii INTRODUCTnON Table 19 (continued)

|Country<br>or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Honduras||||||||||
|0-14|46.3|44.7|43.6|41.8|39.6|36.9|33.9|31.0|28.3|
|15-64|50.4|52.1|53.3|55.2|57.2|59.8|62.5|65.0|67.1|
|65+<br>|3.3|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.3|3.6|4.0|4.6|
|Jamaica||||||||||
|0-14|36.6|34.7|33.0|29.8|26.7|24.4|23.4|22.7|21.8|
|15-64|57.3|59.2|60.6|63.6|66.7|69.2|70.2|70.2|68.6|
|65+|6.1|6.2|6.4|6.6|6.5|6.4|6.5|7.1|9.7|
|Martinique||||||||||
|0-14|24.5|23.3|25.1|24.7|23.5|21.5|20.3|20.0|20.2|
|15-64|65.9<br>|66.5<br>|64.5<br>|64.5|65.4|67.0|67.8-|67.6|65.8|
|65+<br>Mexico|9.7|10.2|10.4|10.8|11.1|11.5|11.9|12.4|14.1|
|0-14|40.9|37.1|34.9|32.4|29.6|26.8|24.8|23.8|23.2|
|15-64|55.5|59.2|61.2|63.4|65.8|68.0|69.4|69.4|68.9|
|65+|3.6|3.7|3.8|4.2|4.6|5.2|5.8|6.8|8.0|
|Montserrat||||||||||
|0-14|30.5|28.3|26.4|27.6|25.7|23.5|21.9|21.1|20.8|
|15-64|56.7|59.3|61.8|61.6|64.7|67.5|68.7|68.5|67.4|
|65+|12.7|12.4|11.8|10.8|<br>9.7|<br>9.0|<br>9.4|<br>10.5|11.9|
|Nethertands<br>AntitLes||||||||||
|0-14|34.7|30.5|29.2|26.5|26.9|26.0|24.5|23.0|22.0|
|15-64|59.6|63.7|64.9|67.6|66.8|67.1|68.0|68.8|69.3|
|65.|5.7|5.8|5.9|<br>6.0|<br>6.3|<br>6.9|<br>7.5|<br>8.2|<br>8.8|
|Nicaragua||||||||||
|0-14|46.8|46.0|44.4|42.2|39.6|37.2|34.5|31.5|28.5|
|15-64<br>|50.7<br>|51.5<br>|52.8<br>|54.9<br>|57.4<br>|59.7<br>|62.0<br>|64.3<br>|66.6<br>|
|65.|2.5|2.6|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|4.2|4.9|
|Panama||||||||||
|0-14|37.5|35.0|32.4|29.5|26.3|24.5|23.7|23.0|22.1|
|15-64|58.0|60.4|62.7|65.3|67.9|69.0|68.9|68.5|68.0|
|65+|4.5|4.6|4.9|<br>5.3|<br>5.8|<br>6.5|<br>7.4|<br>8.5|<br>9.9|
|Paraguay||||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|
|0-14|41.0|40.5|40.0|38.5|36.3|33.8|31.5|29.4|27.1|
|15-64<br>|55.5<br>|56.0<br>|56.5<br>|58.1<br>|60.1<br>|62.5<br>|64.3|65.4|66.5|
|65.|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.4|3.6|3.8|4.2|5.3|6.4|
|Peru||||||||||
|0-14<br>|40.5<br>|38.2<br>|36.3|33.6|31.5|28.6|26.2|24.6|23.8|
|15-64|55.9<br>|58.0<br>|59.8<br>|62.1<br>|63.8<br>|66.1<br>|67.9<br>|68.7<br>|68.5|
|65+<br>|3.6|3.7|4.0|4.4|4.8|5.3|5.9|6.7|7.7|
|St. Kitts and Nevis||||||||||
|0-14|37.3|34.9|32.3|29.9|28.6|27.3|25.7|24.1|22.8|
|15-64|53.1|54.7|57.4|60.0|62.1|64.6|67.9|70.9|72.0|
|65+|9.6|10.4|10.4|10.1|<br>9.4|<br>8.1|<br>6.4|<br>5.0|<br>5.3|
|St. Lucia||||||||||
|0-14<br>|46.0|40.2|35.3|33.3|30.9|28.6|26.1|24.4|23.3|
|15-64|48.1|54.5|59.3|61.0|63.3|65.6|68.4|70.4|71.3|
|65+|5.8|5.4|5.4|5.7|5.8|5.8|5.5|5.2|5.4|
|St. Vincent and the Grena|dines|||||||||
|0-14|37.7|35.4|31.6|28.3|26.2|25.2|24.3|23.1|21.9|
|15-64|57.4|59.5|63.4|66.9|69.2|70.1|70.1|69.9|68.7|
|65+|49|51|50|49|46|47|56|70|95|
|<br>Suriname|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14|37.1|35.7|36.4|35.0|31.4|27.8|25.3|24.3|23.8|
|15-64<br>|58.7<br>|60.1<br>|59.2<br>|60.1<br>|63.3<br>|66.8<br>|69.1<br>|69.8<br>|69.1<br>|
|65+|4.3|4.2|4.5|4.9|5.3|5.4|5.5|6.0|7.0|
INTRODUCTION bCxiii Table 19 (continued)

|Countryor economy||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|Trinidad<br>andTobago||||||||||
|<br> <br>0-14|32.9|32.7|31.4|28.8|25.4|23.6|23.1|22.9|22.2|
|15-64|61.6|61.9|63.1|65.6|68.5|69.6|69.0|67.9|66.8|
|65+|5.5|5.4|5.5|5.6|6.1|6.9|7.9|9.3|11.1|
|Uruguay||||||||||
|0-14|26.9|26.3|25.3|24.2|23.0|22.3|22.0|21.7|21.1|
|15-64|62.4|62.7|63.0|63.7|64.9|65.7|66.0|66.2|65.9|
|65+|10.8|11.1|11.7|12.1|12.2|12.1|12.0|12.2|12.9|
|Venezuela||||||||||
|0-14|39.5|38.3|36.3|33.6|30.5|27.6|25.5|24.1|23.4|
|15-64|57.1|58.2|59.8|62.3|65.0|67.3|68.4'|68.6|68.1|
|65+|3.4|3.5|3.9|4.2|4.6|5.1|6.1|7.3|8.5|
|Virgin<br>istands<br>(U.S.)||||||||||
|<br><br>0-14|36.0|31.7|28.3|26.4|24.8|24.4|23.6|22.4|21.3|
|15-64|59.4|63.1|65.7|66.9|67.8|67.1|66.2|65.7|66.7|
|65o|4.6|5.2|6.0|6.6|7.4|8.5|10.2|11.9|12.0|
|Other Latin America(a)||||||||||
|0-14|36.4|34.0|30.8|29.3|27.2|25.4|24.2|23.3|22.4|
|15-64|58.7|61.8|64.4|65.7|67.3|68.5|69.2|69.2|68.7|
|65+|5.0|4.3|4.8|5.0|5.5|6.2|6.6|7.6|9.0|
|Northern America||||||||||
|0-14|21.8|21.7|21.6|20.7|19.6|18.9|18.6|18.6|18.6|
|15-64|66.5|66.4|66.4|67.4|68.5|68.6|67.3|65.2|63.1|
|65+<br>Canada|11.7|12.0|12.1|11.9|11.8|12.5|14.1|16.2|18.4|
|0-14|21.5|21.0|20.3|19.3|18.2|17.6|17.5|17.5|17.5|
|15-64|68.1|68.0|68.0|68.7|69.5|69.2|67.5|65.3|63.0|
|65+<br>|10.4|11.1|11.6|12.0|12.3|13.2|15.1|17.2|19.5|
|United States||||||||||
|0-14|21.7|21.7|21.6|20.8|19.7|19.0|18.7|18.7|18.6|
|15-64|66.4|66.2|66.3|67.3|68.4|68.6|67.2|65.2|63.0|
|65+|11.9|12.1|12.1|11.9|11.,|12.4|14.1|16.2|18.3|
|Puerto Rico||||||||||
|0-14|29.7|28.4|26.6|24.5|<br>22.8|<br>22.0|21.4|20.8|20.1|
|15-64|62.1<br>|63.2<br>|64.8|66.4|67.4|67.3|66.5|66.2|65.8|
|65+|8.3|8.4|8.7|9.1|9.8|10.8|12.1|13.0|14.1|
|OtherNorthern America (a)||||||||||
|<br>0-14|23.6|23.1|23.5|22.8|<br>21.4|<br>20.1|<br>19.5|<br>19.5|<br>19.6|
|15-64|70.1|70.4|69.3|69.0|<br>69.5|<br>69.5|68.2|<br>66.4|<br>64.6|
|65+|6.3|6.5|7.2|8.2|9.1|10.4|<br>12.3|<br>14.1|<br>15.9|
|Asia||||||||||
|0-14|35.2|33.3|32.3|31.5|<br>29.9|<br>28.1|<br>26.6|<br>25.4|<br>24.5|
|15-64|60.2|61.9|62.4|62.9|64.2|65.7|<br>66.6|66.9|<br>66.9|
|65+|4.6|4.9|5.2|5.6|5.9|6.2|<br>6.8|7.7|8.6|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia||||||||||
|0-14|31.4|28.6|27.9|<br>27.5|<br>25.9|<br>24.0|<br>22.6|<br>21.8|<br>21.5|
|15-64|63.4|65.7|65.9|65.6|66.8|68.3|68.9|68.2|<br>67.4|
|65+|5.2|<br>5.7|<br>6.3|<br>6.9|<br>7.3|<br>7.7|<br>8.6|<br>10.0|11.1|
|Brunel||||||||||
|0-14|35.0|34.2|32.9|30.0|27.5|25.3|23.6|22.6|22.0|
|15-64|619|618|625|649|667|684|689|681|<br>664|
|<br>65+|.<br>3.1|.<br>4.0|.<br>4.6|.<br>5.1|.<br>5.7|.<br>6.4|.<br> <br>7.5|.<br> <br>9.3|<br>.<br> <br>11.6|
# Lxxiv INTRODUCTION

Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br> <br>|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|Cambodia|||||||||
|39.2|37.7|37.0<br>|35.7<br>|33.4<br>|30.4<br>|27.8<br>|25.9<br>|24.8<br>|
|**I>-64**<br>57.0<br>|58.3<br>|58.8<br>|59.8<br>|61.8<br>|64.8<br>|67.2<br>|68.5<br>|68.7<br>|
|65+<br>3.8<br> <br>|4.1|4.2|4.6|4.8|4.9|5.0|5.6|6.6|
|China(excluding<br>Taiwan)|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>29.6|26.2|26.0|26.4|24.9<br>|23.0<br>|21.6<br>|20.9<br>|20.8<br>|
|15-64<br>65.1|67.9<br>|67.6<br>|66.6<br>|67.6<br>|69.2<br>|69.7<br>|68.5<br>|67.4<br>|
|65+<br>5.3|5.9|6.4|7.0|7.5|7.8|8.8|10.6|11.8|
|Taiwan<br>China|||||||||
|,<br><br>0-14<br>30.4<br>|28.4<br>|25.2<br>|21.7<br>|20.2<br>|20.1<br>|19.9<br>|19.4<br>|18.6<br>|
|15-64<br>64.7|65.6|67.5|70.2<br>|71.0<br>|70.8<br>|69.9<br>|68.0<br>|66.1<br>|
|65+<br>4.9<br>Hong Kong|6.0|7.3|8.2|8.8|9.1|10.1|12.7|15.3|
|<br>0-14<br>23.1|22.2|21.5|20.8|19.2|18.2|17.8|17.8|17.9|
|15-64<br>69.3|69.3|69.0|68.8<br>|70.1<br>|71.3<br>|69.8<br>|67.1<br>|63.5<br>|
|65.<br>7.6<br>Indonesia|8.6|9.6|10.4|10.7|10.5|12.3|15.1|18.7|
|0-14<br>38.8<br>|36.3<br>|33.5<br>|31.4<br>|28.7<br>|26.5<br>|25.0<br>|24.1<br>|23.4<br>|
|15-64<br>57.8<br> <br>|59.8<br>|62.1<br>|63.9<br>|66.0<br>|67.7<br>|68.7<br>|A8.8<br>|68.4<br> <br>|
|651<br>3.4|3.9|4.3|4.8|5.3|5.8|6.3|7.1|<br>8.2|
|Japan|||||||||
|0-14<br>21.5|18.5|17.2|16.°|17.1|17.0|16.7|16.5|16.6|
|15-64<br>68.2<br>|69.9<br>|69.4<br>|67.8<br>|66.0<br>|64.4<br>|62.2<br>|61.6<br>|61.8<br>|
|65+<br>10.3<br>Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of|11.5|13.4|15.4|17.0|18.7|21.1|21.9|21.6|
|<br>0-14<br>32.6|35.0|41.8|38.4|33.8|30.4|29.3|29.3|28.1|
|15-64<br>64.8<br> <br>|62.1<br>|55.0<br> <br>|58.2<br>|62.5<br>|65.6<br>|65.9<br> <br>|65.0<br> <br>|<br>65.1<br> <br>|
|655<br>2.6|2.9|<br>3.2|3.5|3.7|4.0|<br>4.7|<br>5.8|<br>6.8|
|Korea,<br>Rep. of|||||||||
|<br> <br>0-14<br>38.7|36.8|34.9|32.6|30.0|27.2|25.1|23.8|23.1|
|15-64<br>57.7<br>|59.3<br>|60.9<br> <br>|62.7<br>|64.8<br>|67.1<br> <br>|68.6<br> <br>|69.0<br> <br>|68.0<br> <br>|
|65+<br>3.6|3.9|<br>4.2|4.7|5.2|<br>5.7|<br>6.4|<br>7.3|<br>8.8|
|Lao People's<br>Dem. Rep.|||||||||
|<br> <br>0-14<br>30.0|27.5|24.7|23.5|21.8|21.1|20.4|<br>19.7|19.3|
|15-64<br>65.8<br> <br>|67.7<br>|69.7<br> <br>|69.9<br>|70.4<br>|70.2<br> <br>|70.1<br> <br>|69.2<br> <br>|67.3<br>|
|65.<br>4.3<br>|4.9|<br>5.6|6.6|7.8|<br>8.8|<br>9.6|<br>11.0|13.5|
|Macao|||||||||
|0-14<br>42.7|43.4|44.1|43.4|42.3|40.1|38.0|35.7|33.1|
|15-64<br>54.5<br>|53.7<br>|53.0<br>|53.8<br>|54.9<br>|56.9<br>|59.0<br>|61.1<br>|63.3<br>|
|65+<br>2.9|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.3|3.6|
|MaLaysia|||||||||
|0-14<br>23.1<br>|25.1<br>|25.6<br>|24.9<br>|21.4<br>|19.9<br>|19.8<br>|20.1<br>|20.1<br>|
|15-64<br>69.3<br>|67.7<br>|67.0<br>|67.4<br>|70.7<br>|72.0<br>|70.2<br>|67.2<br>|63.8<br>|
|65+<br>7.7<br>|7.2|7.5|7.8|8.0|8.1|10.0|12.7|16.1|
|Mongolia|||||||||
|0-14<br>37.8|36.9|36.6|34.5|31.0|27.4|25.1|24.1|23.6|
|15-64<br>58.5<br>|59.3<br>|59.4<br>|61.3<br>|64.1<br>|67.2<br>|68.7<br>|68.7<br>|67.9<br>|
|65+<br>3.8|3.8|4.0|4.3|4.9|5.4|6.2|7.2|8.5|
|Myanmar|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.7<br>|42.0<br>|42.3<br>|41.8<br>|39.2<br>|36.1<br>|33.4<br>|31.0<br>|28.5<br> <br>|
|15-64<br>55.1|54.7|54.3|54.7|57.1|59.9|62.3|64.5|<br>66.4|
|65+<br>3.3|<br>3.3|<br>3.4|<br>3.6|<br>3.7|<br>4.0|<br>4.3|<br>4.6|<br>5.1|
|Philippines|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.1<br>1<br>555|39.4<br>572|36.9<br>596|33.5<br>628|30.9<br>650|28.4<br>670|26.4<br> <br>684|25.0<br>689|24.1<br>687|
|5-64<br>.<br>65+<br>3.4|.<br>3.4|.<br>3.5|.<br>3.7|.<br>4.1|.<br>4.6|<br>.<br>5.2|.<br>6.2|.<br>7.3|
INTRODUCTION bCxv Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Singapore<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|24.5<br>|22.9|22.1|20.6|18.9|17.8|17.4|17.4|17.5|
|15-64<br>|70.3<br>|71.5<br>|71.5<br>|72.1<br>|72.5<br>|72.6<br>|70.4<br>|67.3<br>|63.6<br>|
|65+<br>|5.2|5.6|6.4|7.3|8.6|9.6|12.2|15.3|18.9|
|Thailand<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|36.5<br>|33.6<br>|31.3<br>|29.0<br>|27.1<br>|25.5<br>|24.4<br>|23.6<br>|22.7|
|15-64<br>|59.9<br>|62.7<br>|64.S<br>|66.5<br>|67.9<br>|69.1<br>|69.4<br>|69.1<br>|68.5<br>|
|65.<br>|3.6|3.8|4.1|4.6|5.1|5.5|6.2|7.3|8.7|
|Viet Nam<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|40.6<br>|40.0<br>|39.0<br>|37.2<br>|34.3<br>|30.9<br>|28.1<br>|26.0<br>|24.7|
|15-64<br>|54.9<br>|55.6<br>|56.7<br>|58.3<br>|61.4<br>|64.9<br>|67.6<br>|68.9<br>|69.0<br>|
|65+|4.5|4.5|4.4|4.5|4.3|4.2|4.3|5.1|6.3|
|South Asia<br>||||||||||
|0-14|40.5|39.5|37.9|36.1|34.2|32.4|30.6|28.7|27.2|
|15-64<br>|55.7<br>|56.8<br>|58.2<br>|59.9|61.5|63.1|64.6|66.0|66.9|
|65+<br>Afhit|3.8|3.7|3.9|4.1|4.3|4.5|4.9|5.3|6.0|
|gansan<br>||||||||||
|0-14|45.4|45.2|45.7|45.4|46.3|46.0|44.8|43.0|41.4|
|15-64<br>|52.3<br>|52.5<br>|52.1|52.4<br>|51.5<br>|51.8<br>|52.9|54.6|56.1|
|65+<br>|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.3|2.4|2.5|
|Bangladesh||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|44.2|42.2|40.4|38.7|36.5|33.9|31.1|28.6|
|15-64<br>|51.2<br>|52.9<br>|54.9<br>|56.8<br>|58.4<br>|60.5<br>|62.9<br>|65.4<br>|67.2<br>|
|65+<br>|3.1|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|4.2|
|Bhutan<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|40.0|39.9|40.6|40.8|39.9|37.4|34.9|32.8|30.8|
|15-64<br>|56.7<br>|56.7<br>|56.0<br>|55.7<br>|56.6<br>|59.0<br>|61.2<br>|63.1|64.7|
|65+<br>India|3.3|3.4|3.4|3.5|3.5|3.7|3.9|4.1|4.5|
|0-14<br>|39.2<br>|37.7<br>|35.7|33.4|31.4|29.4|27.5|25.6|24.2|
|15-64<br>|56.8<br>|58.2<br>|60.0<br>|62.0<br>|63.7<br>|65.4<br>|66.9<br>|68.2<br>|68.9<br>|
|65+<br>|4.1|4.1|4.2|4.6|4.9|5.2|5.7|6.2|6.9|
|Iran, Islamic Rep. of<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|43.6|43.6|43.7|42.9|41.2|39.3|37.6|36.0|34.1|
|15-64<br>|53.3<br>|53.4<br>|53.3<br>|54.1<br>|55.8<br>|57.6<br>|58.9|60.1|61.5|
|65+<br>|3.2|3.1|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.5|4.0|4.5|
|MaLdives<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|44.4<br>|44.4<br>|45.0|44.7|43.0|40.8|38.5|36.1|33.5|
|15-64<br>|53.4<br>|53.2<br>|52.1<br>|51.8<br>|53.2<br>|55.2<br>|57.9<br>|60.6|62.8|
|65+<br>Nl|2.2|2.4|2.9|3.5|3.9|4.0|3.6|3.3|3.7|
|epa||||||||||
|0-14<br>|42.9|42.2|41.5|4C.4|38.8|36.8|34.3|31.9|29.7|
|15-64<br>|54.2<br>|54.7<br>|55.1<br>|56.0<br>|57.4|59.3|61.6|63.9|65.8|
|65+<br>Pakistan<br>|2.9<br>|3.2<br>|3.4<br>|1.A|-|||||
|0-14<br>|44.4<br>|45.2|45.5|4i.0|0|4;i|oi.|9<br>_'._|2.|
|15-64<br>|52.9|52.1|51.8|52.2|54.5|56.6|58.4|59.9|61.8|
|65+|2.8|2.7|2.8|2.8|2.7|2.7|2.8|3.2|3.7|
|Sri Lanka||||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>|34.1|32.5|29.6|26.2|24.3|23.7|23.3|22.4|21.4|
|15-64<br>|61.2<br>|62.6<br>|64.8<br>|67.6<br>|68.9<br>|68.9|68.0|67.5|66.9|
|65+|4.7|5.0|5.6|6.2|6.7|7.5|8.8|10.1|11.7|
iL I . .4

## lxxvi INTRODUCTION

# Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Southwest Asia||||||||||
|<br>0-14|40.9|40.5|40.3|39.6|38.1|36.3|34.6|33.2|31.7|
|15-64|55.4|55.9|55.9|56.4|57.8|59.5|60.9|61.9|62.8|
|65+|3.7|3.6|3.8|4.0|4.1|4.2|4.5|4.9|5.5|
|eahrain||||||||||
|0-14|33.3|33.9|33.9|31.4|28.6|26.4|24.9|23.7|22.7|
|15-64|64.4|63.6|63.2|65.2|67.1|68.2|67.9|66.2|64.8|
|65+|2.3|2.4|<br>2.9|<br>34|<br>43|<br>55|<br>73|<br>102|125|
|<br>Crus|||<br>|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|<br>.|.|
|yp<br>0-14|25.0|25.4|25.0|22.9|21.2|20.6|20.5|20.4|20.0|
|15-64|64.2<br>|64.1<br>|64.5<br>|66.5<br>|67.5<br>|67.4<br>|66.4<br>|65.1<br>|63.9<br>|
|65+|10.8|10.5|10.5|10.7|11.3|12.1|13.4|14.5|16.1|
|Gaza Strip||||||||||
|<br>0-14|46.9|47.8|49.0|48.1|46.0|43.8|41.7|39.4|36.6|
|15-64|49.7|48.5|47.2|48.0|<br>50.1|52.6|54.9|57.6|60.7|
|65+<br>|3.5|3.7|<br>3.9|<br>4.0|<br>3.9|<br>3.7|<br>3.4|2.9|2.6|
|ILaq<br>0-14|46.9|46.6|45.5|44.3|42.8|40.8|38.5|35.9|33.2|
|<br>15-64|<br>50.4|<br>50.7|<br>51.8|<br>53.0|<br>54.4|<br>56.2|<br>58.2|<br>60.6|62.9|
|65+|2.7|2.7|<br>2.7|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>3.0|<br>3.2|<br>3.6|<br>3.9|
|Israel||||||||||
|0-14|32.6|30.9|28.9|26.8|25.1|23.7|22.7|22.0|21.3|
|15-64|58.7|60.3|62.5|64.7|66.5|67.9|67.6|66.8|66.3|
|65+|8.8|8.8|8.6|8.5|8.4|8.4|9.7|11.2|12.4|
|Jordan||||||||||
|0-14|46.6|45.7|45.7|45.9|44.3|41.9|39.4|36.9|34.4|
|15-64|50.7|51.8|51.7|51.4|52.8|F5.1|57.6|59.9|62.0|
|65+|2.8|2.5|2.5|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.6|
|Kuwait||||||||||
|0-14|40.1|39.3|37.8|35.9|33.9|31.7|29.4|26.8|24.6|
|15-64|58.6|59.2|60.4|61.7|62.8|63.6|64.5|65.5|66.2|
|65+<br>|1.4|1.5|1.8|2.5|3.3|4.7|6.1|7.7|9.2|
|Lebanon||||||||||
|0-14|37.4|35.7|34.6|32.7|29.9|27.2|25.4|24.5|23.7|
|15-64|57.4|58.6|58.9|60.3|63.2|66.4|68.4|<br>69.0|69.3|
|65+|5.2|<br>5.7|<br>6.5|<br>7.0|<br>6.9|<br>6.4|<br>6.2|<br>6.5|<br>7.0|
|Oman||||||||||
|0-14|44.4|45.3|45.3|44.5|43.4|42.4|41.2|39.6|37.4|
|15-64|53.2|52.3|52.2|52.8|53.7|54.6|55.4|56.6|58.5|
|65+<br>|2.4|<br>2.4|<br>2.5|<br>2.7|<br>2.8|<br>3.1|<br>3.4|<br>3.8|<br>4.1|
|Qatar||||||||||
|0-14|33.5|34.0|35.5|33.8|32.5|31.3|30.3|29.1|27.4|
|15-64|65.2|64.6|62.4|63.5|63.7|63.4|62.5|61.9|62.3|
|65+|1.3|<br>1.4|<br>2.2|<br>2.7|<br>3.9|<br>5.3|<br>7.2|<br>9.0|<br>10.2|
|<br>Saudi Arabia||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|
|0-14|44.9|45.3|45.0|44.6|44.0|43.0|41.5|39.7|37.4|
|15-64|52.5|52.2|52.5|52.9|53.3|54.1|55.2|56.5|58.3|
|65+|2.6|<br>2.6|<br>2.5|<br>2.6|<br>2.7|<br>2.9|<br>3.3|<br>3.8|<br>4.3|
|Syrian Arab Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|48.1|48.5|48.2|47.1|45.3|43.2|41.1|38.7|36.0|
|15-64|49.1|48.9|49.2|50.2|52.1|54.2|56.3|58.4|60-6|
|65+|2.8|2.6|2.6|2.7|2.6|2.5|2.6|2.9|3.4|
|<br>Turkey||||||||||
|0-14|36.4|34.9|34.4|33.0|30.5|27.4|25.2|24.0|23.5|
|15-64<br>|59.4<br>|60.9<br>|60.9<br>|61.6<br>|63.9<br>|66.7<br>|68.5<br>|68.9<br>|68.2<br>|
|65+|4.3|4.2|4.7|5.3|5.7|5.9|6.3|7.1|8.2|
INTRODUCniON bocvii

**Table 19 (continued)**

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|United<br>Arab Emirates||||||||||
|0-14|31.1|31.2|29.7|28.0|27.6|27.2|26.2|24.3|<br>22.6|
|15-64|67.4|67.3|68.2|69.2|68.2|66.5|64.4|62.4|62.4|
|65+|1.5|<br>1.6|<br>2.1|<br>2.9|4.2|6.3|<br>9.4|13.3|15.0|
|West Bank||||||||||
|0-14|46.2|45.3|45.5|45.6|44.1|41.7|39.2|36.8|34.3|
|15-64|51.1|52.1|52.0|51.9|53.1|55.5|57.8|60.2|62.0|
|65+|2.7|2.5|2.5|<br>2.6|2.8|2.9|<br>3.0|3.0|<br>3.7|
|Yemen Arab Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|48.1|49.3|50.4|51.2|50.3|48.5|47.0|45.6|44.1|
|15-64|48.7<br>|47.7<br>|46.8<br>|46.1<br>|47.2<br>|49.2<br>|50.9'<br>|52.5<br>|54.1<br>|
|65+|3.2|3.0|2.8|2.7|2.5|2.3|2.1|1.9|1.8|
|Yemen People's Dem. Rep. of||||||||||
|,<br>0-14|45.0|45.3|46.4|46.0|44.3|42.0|39.8|37.6|3 1|
|15-64|52.2|51.8|50.8|51.1|52.9|55.2|57.3|59.5|8|
|65+|2.8|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.1|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|22.2|21.7|21.0|20.1|19.4|19.1|19.1|19.0|18.9|
|15-64|66.3|66.5|66.2|66.4|66.2|66.6|66.0|65.1|63.8|
|65+|11.4|11.8|12.8|13.5|14.4|14.4|14.9|15.9|17.3|
|Albania||||||||||
|0-14|34.5|33.4|31.9|29.9|27.1|24.7|23.3|22.8|22.3|
|15-64|60.2|61.4|62.4|63.9|66.0|67.9|68.8|68.3|67.2|
|65+<br>|5.3|5.2|5.7|6.1|6.9|7.4|7.9|8.9|10.5|
|Austria||||||||||
|0-14|18.6|17.6|17.4|16.4|15.9|15.6|15.6|15.8|16.1|
|15-64|67.3|67.6|67.5|68.3|68.1|67.2|66.1|65.1|63.3|
|65+|14.1|14.8|15.2|15.3|16.0|17.2|18.3|19.1|20.6|
|BelgiLun||||||||||
|0-14|19.0|18.1|17.6|16.8|16.4|16.1|16.2|16.3|16.5|
|15-64|67.2|67.3|67.0|66.9|67.1|67.3|66.1|64.5|62.7|
|65+|13.8|14.6|15.5|16.3|16.6|16.5|17.8|19.2|20.9|
|Bulgaria||||||||||
|0-14|21.3|20.1|19.0|18.8|18.9|19.0|18.9|18.7|18.6|
|15-64|67.4|66.8|66.4|65.4|65.2|65.1|64.2|63.7|63.4|
|65+<br>|11.3|13.0|14.6|15.9|16.0|16.0|16.9|17.6|18.0|
|Channel Islands||||||||||
|0-14|17.4|17.4|17.0|17.1|16.2|15.6|15.4|15.7|16.2|
|15-64|68.2<br>|68.5<br>|68.0<br>|67.1<br>|67.3<br>|67.5<br>|65.9<br>|62.8<br>|61.0<br>|
|65+<br>|14.4|14.1|15.0|15.8|16.5|17.0|18.7|21.6|22.8|
|Czechoslovakia||||||||||
|0-14|24.4|23.2|21.1|20.5|20.7|20.9|20.6|20.1|19.6|
|15-64|64.5|65.0|66.7|67.0|67.2|66.7|65.7|64.7|64.2|
|65+|11.0|11.8|12.2|12.5|12.1|12.4|13.7|15.3|16.2|
|<br>Denmark||||||||||
|0-14|18.7|17.1|16.3|16.2|15.9|15.6|15.5|15.5|15.8|
|15-64|66.4|67.8|68.5|68.6|68.5|67.0|64.9|63.5|62.2|
|65+|14.9|15.2|15.2|15.2|15.6|17.4|19.7|21.0|22.0|
|Finland||||||||||
|0-14<br>|19.4<br>|19.0<br>|17.8<br>|16.5<br>|15.9<br>|15.8<br>|16.0|16.2|16.3|
|15-64|681|679|681|689|688|679|647|624|610|
|<br>65+|.<br>12.5|.<br>13.2|.<br>14.1|.<br>14.6|.<br>15.3|.<br>16.3|.<br>19.3|.<br>21.4|.<br>22.8|
lxxviii INTRODUCTION Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|France||||||||||
|0-14|21.2|20.1|19.8|19.3|18.7|18.2|17.9|17.9|17.9|
|15-64<br>|65.9<br>|66.4<br>|65.9<br>|65.8<br>|66.2<br>|66.8<br>|65.3<br>|63.9|62.6|
|65+<br>|13.0|13.6|14.2|15.0|15.1|15.0|16.7|18.3|19.5|
|Gervan Dem. Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|19.3|20.0|19.8|18.8|18.0|17.6|17.8|18.0|18.2|
|15-64<br>|67.2<br>|66.9<br>|66.8<br>|67.0<br>|65.9|65.4|65.9|64.5|63.2|
|65+|13.6|13.1|13.4|14.2|16.1|17.0|16.4|175|187|
|Germany, Fed. Rep. of||||||||.|.|
|<br>0-14|15.6|14.9|15.4|15.2|14.6|14.0|14.0|14.4|15.1|
|15-64|69.7|69.9|68.9|68.2|66.8|65.6|65.2|64.0|62.0|
|65+|14.7|15.1|15.8|16.6|18.7|20.4|20.7|21.6|22.9|
|Greece||||||||||
|0-14|21.3|19.8|18.4|17.4|17.4|17.4|17.4|17.3|17.2|
|15-64|65.4|66.6|66.6|66.1|64.8|64.9|64.3|64.1|63.5|
|65+|13.3|13.6|14.9|16.6|17.8|17.7|18.3|18.7|19.3|
|Hungary||||||||||
|0-14|21.0|19.4|17.4|17.6|18.1|18.3|18.2|17.9|17.9|
|15-64|66.5|67.1|68.3|67.5|67.0|66.3|65.4|63.9|63.2|
|65+<br>|12.6|13.5|14.3|14.9|15.0|15.4|16.3|18.2|18.9|
|iceland<br>0-14|26.4|25.2|24.2|22.9|22.2|21.5|20.8|20.3|19.8|
|15-64|63.6|64.5|65.4|66.1|67.2|67.8|67.3|66.2|64.8|
|65+|9.9|<br>10.4|10.5|11.0|10.6|10.8|11.9|13.6|15.4|
|Ireland||||||||||
|0-14|29.7|27.2|24.9|23.1|23.0|22.8|22.0|21.0|20.1|
|15-64|59.8|62.3|64.6|66.6|66.7|<br>66.6|66.5|66.5|66.4|
|65+|10.5|10.6|10.5|10.3|10.3|10.6|11.5|12.5|13.5|
|Italy||||||||||
|0-14|19.6|16.7|15.1|14.6|14.8|14.7|14.7|14.6|14.7|
|15-64|67.7|69.1|69.2|68.3|67.0|66.5|65.4|64.7|<br>63.4|
|65+<br>|12.7|14.3|15.7|17.1|18.2|18.8|20.0|20.7|21.9|
|Luxembourg||||||||||
|0-14|17.4|17.0|16.5|15.7|15.0|14.6|14.9|15.2|15.7|
|15-64|69.6|69.4|68.6|68.0|67.6|<br>67.2|65.6|63.5|61.2|
|65+|13.0|13.6|14.9|16.3|17.4|18.2|19.5|21.3|23.1|
|Malta||||||||||
|0-14|24.4|23.1|21.0|<br>19.3|18.9|19.1|19.2|19.0|18.7|
|15-64|66.1|66.6|67.9|68.7|68.4|67.2|64.6|63.4|<br>62.6|
|65+<br>|9.6|<br>10.4|11.1|12.0|12.7|13.7|16.2|17.6|18.7|
|Netherlands||||||||||
|0-14|19.5|18.2|17.9|17.5|16.7|16.0|15.8|15.8|16.2|
|15-64|68.5|69.2|68.9|68.8|69.0|68.6|66.3|64.3|62.2|
|65+|12.1|12.7|13.2|13.7|14.4|15.5|17.9|19.8|21.7|
|Norway||||||||||
|0-14|20.4|18.9|18.7|18.8|18.4|17.9|17.5|17.3|17.4|
|15-64|64.1|65.0|65.5|66.1|67.2|67.5|66.0|64.6|<br>63.2|
|65+|15.5|16.1|15.8|15.1|14.4|14.7|16.5|18.1|19.4|
|Poland||||||||||
|0-14|25.5|25.1|23.5|21.6|21.1|21.2|21.2|20.9|20.2|
|15-64|65.1|64.9|65.6|66.7|67.0|67.4|66.2|64.5|63.4|
|65+|9.4|<br>9.9|10.9|11.7|11.9|11.5|12.6|14.7|164|
|Portugal|||||||||.|
|0-14|23.5|20.5|18.3|17.2|17.5|17.5|17.3|16.8|16.6|
|15-64|64.5|66.7|681|685|678|<br>677|674|669|<br>657|
|<br>65+|<br>12.0|<br>12.8|.<br>13.6|.<br>14.3|.<br>14.7|<br>.<br>14.8|.<br>15.4|.<br>16.3|<br>.<br>17.7|
INTRODUCTION IXXiX

**Table 19** (continued)

|Coumtryor economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Romania||||||||||
|0-14|24.7|23.3|22.0|22.1|22.2|<br>21.7|<br>21.0|20.6|20.4|
|1S-64|65.9|66.4|66.5|65.4|64.6|65.6|66.0|65.5|64.8|
|65+|9.5|10.4|11.5|12.5|13.3|12.8|13.0|13.9|14.8|
|Spain||||||||||
|0-14|22.9|20.1|18.4|<br>17.9|17.9|<br>17.7|<br>17.3|<br>16.9|<br>16.8|
|15-64|65.0|66.8|67.5|67.0|66.9|<br>66.9|<br>66.7|66.3|64.9|
|65+|12.2|13.1|14.2|<br>15.2|15.2|<br>15.4|<br>16.1|<br>16.9|<br>18.4|
|Sweden||||||||||
|0-14|17.5|17.2|17.6|18.4|17.9|17.3|17.1|17.2|17.6|
|15-64|64.6|65.1|65.3|65.2|65.8|64.8|63.2-|62.3|61.6|
|65+<br>|17.9|17.8|17.1|<br>16.4|16.3|<br>17.8|<br>19.7|<br>20.5|20.8|
|Switzertard||||||||||
|0-14|16.9|16.5|16.4|16.4|15.5|15.0|15.0|15.3|15.8|
|15-64|68.5|68.7|68.3|67.4|67.2|65.9|64.0|62.4|60.7|
|65+|14.6|14.8|15.4|16.2|17.3|19.1|21.0|22.3|23.5|
|United Kingdom||||||||||
|<br>0-14|19.3|18.9|19.3|<br>19.1|18.4|<br>17.7|<br>17.5|<br>17.5|<br>17.8|
|15-64|65.6|65.6|65.2|65.5|66.1|<br>66.4|65.2|64.4|63.2|
|**65+**|15.1|15.5|15.5|15.4|15.5|15.9|17.4|18.0|19.0|
|Yugostavia||||||||||
|0-14|24.1|23.1|21.9|20.9|20.4|20.1|19.8|19.5|19.2|
|15-64<br>|67.4<br>|67.9<br>|67.7<br>|66.8<br>|65.8|65.7|66.0|65.1|64.0|
|65+|8.5|9.1|10.4|12.4|13.8|4.3|14.2|<br>15.5|<br>16.8|
|Other Europe (a)||||||||||
|<br>0-14|20.8|20.5|21.2|21.4|21.3|20.8|20.3|20.0|19.8|
|15-64|62.7|63.6|63.6|64.0|65.0|65.8|65.9|65.4|64.9|
|65+|16.6|15.9|15.2|14.6|13.8|13.4|13.8|14.6|15.3|
|U.S.S.R.||||||||||
|0-14|24.8|25.3|24.6|23.2|21.7|21.4|21.5|21.4|20.9|
|15-64|65.9|65.5|64.7|65.:|65.6|66.7|66.7|65.8|64.6|
|65+|9.2|9.2|10.7|11.4|12.8|11.9|11.9|12.8|14.5|
|Oceania||||||||||
|0-14|27.8|26.8|26.6|26.1|25.3|<br>24.4|<br>23.5|22.7|<br>21.9|
|15-64|63.8|64.4|64.4|65.0|65.7|<br>66.2|65.9|65.6|65.1|
|65+|8.5|8.8|9.0|8.9|9.0|9.5|10.6|11.7|13.0|
|Australia||||||||||
|0-14|23.6|22.3|22.0|21.4|20.8|20.1|19.5|19.1|18.8|
|15-64|66.3|67.2|67.2|67.9|68.3|68.3|67.4|66.2|64.7|
|65+<br>|10.1|10.5|10.8|10.7|10.8|11.6|13.1|14.7|16.4|
|Fiji||||||||||
|0-14|37.3|36.5|33.9|30.0|26.7|<br>24.6|<br>23.7|23.3|<br>22.5|
|15-64|59.3|59.6|61.6|64.9|67.3|<br>68.5|68.3|67.5|66.6|
|65+|3.5|3.9|4.5|5.1|6.0|6.9|8.0|9.2|10.8|
|French Polynesia||||||||||
|<br>0-14|41.1|36.8|33.3|33.1|31.6|28.5|25.5|23.5|22.9|
|15-64|55.8|59.4|62.7|62.6|63.5|65.8|68.1|69.3|69.5|
|65+|3.1|3.8|4.0|4.3|5.0|5.7|6.4|7.2|7.7|
|Guam||||||||||
|n-14|34.9|33.0|29.6|26.3|24.0|23.3|22.9|22.1|21.0|
|15-64<br>|62.3<br>|63.7<br>|66.2<br>|68.4<br>|70.0<br>|69.8<br>|69.1<br>|67.7<br>|66.7<br>|
|**65+**|2.8|3.3|4.2|5.3|6.1|6.9|8.0|10.2|12.3|
# lxxx INTRODUCTION

Table 19 (continued)

|Country oreconomy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Kiribati<br>0-14|393|4||||||||
|<br>1564|.<br>|0.0<br>|39.7<br>|38.6<br>|35.9<br>|33.1<br>|30.7<br>|28.5<br>|26.7|
|-<br>65|58.0<br>|56.8<br>|56.5<br>|57.6<br>|60.4<br>|63.5<br>|65.0|66.7|68.2|
|+<br>New Caledonia|2.7|3.2|3.8|3.9|3.7|3.4|4.3|4.8|5.1|
|<br>014||||||||||
|-<br>15-64|36.2<br>591|33.1<br>616|30.4<br>|27.9<br>|26.0<br>|24.8<br>|24.0<br>|23.2<br>|22.2<br>|
|<br>65|.<br>|.<br>|64.3<br>|66.0<br>|67.1<br>|67.5|67.6|67.8|68.2|
|+<br>New Zealand|4.7|5.2|5.3|6.1|6.9|7.7|8.4|9.0|9.7|
|<br>014||||||||||
|-<br>1564|24.4<br>|22.5<br>|22.0<br>|21.5<br>|20.8<br>|20.0<br>|19.3<br>|18.9<br>|18.8<br>|
|-<br>65+|65.2<br>105|66.6<br>108|66.9<br>|67.4<br>|67.8<br>|67.9<br>|66.9<br>|65.9<br>|64.6<br>|
|<br>**Pacific Islands**|.|.|11.1|11.1|11.4|12.1|13.8|15.2|16.6|
|<br>0-14<br>1564|46.7<br>|43.9<br>|40.9<br>|37.6<br>|36.7<br>|34.7<br>|31.6<br>|28.0<br>|25.2|
|-<br>65+|49.6<br>37|52.0<br>41|54.8<br>|58.1<br>|59.0<br>|61.1<br>|64.1<br>|67.0<br>|68.9<br>|
|<br>Papua New Guinea|.|.|4.3|4.3|4.3|4.2|4.3|5.0|5.9|
|<br>0-14<br>1564|41.6<br>|41.8<br>|42.6<br>|42.1<br>|40.1<br>|37.7<br>|35.3<br>|32.9<br>|30.2<br>|
|-<br>65|56.0<br>|55.3<br>|54.2<br>|54.8<br>|56.8<br>|59.2<br>|61.2|63.5|65.8|
|+<br>Solomon Islands|2.4|2.9|3.3|3.2|3.2|3.1|3.4|3.6|4.0|
|<br>0-14|487|471||||||||
|<br>1564|.<br>|.<br>|45.9<br>|45.6<br>|44.8<br>|42.6<br>|40.3|37.7|35.0|
|-<br>65|48.7<br>|50.3<br>|51.3<br>|51.5<br>|52.3<br>|54.3<br>|56.6|58.9|61.3|
|+<br>Tonga|2.7|2.6|2.8|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.4|3.7|
|0-14|396|374||||||||
|<br>1564|.<br>|.<br>|37.9<br>|37.5<br>|34.3<br>|30.3<br>|27.1<br>|25.3<br>|24.4|
|-<br>65+|56.6<br>|58.8<br>|58.5<br>|58.2<br>|60.9<br>|64.8<br>|67.7<br>|69.2<br>|69.4|
|<br>Vanuatu|3.8|3.8|3.6|4.3|4.8|4.9|5.2|5.5|6.3|
|0-14|455|||||||||
|<br>1564|.<br>|44.4<br>|43.5<br>|42.3<br>|40.8<br>|38.2<br>|35.6<br>|33.0|30.5|
|-<br>65|51.7<br>|52.9<br>|53.7<br>|54.9<br>|56.2<br>|58.5<br>|60.7<br>|62.9|64.9|
|+<br>Western<br>**Samoa**|2.9|2.8|2.9|2.8|3.1|3.3|3.8|4.1|4.6|
|<br><br>0-14||||||||||
|<br>|44.5<br>|42.5<br>|41.0<br>|38.7<br>|36.5<br>|33.5<br>|30.6<br>|28.1|26.0|
|15-64<br>65|52.5<br>|54.1<br>|55.1<br>|57.0<br>|59.1<br>|62.1<br>|65.2<br>|67.9<br>|69.9<br>|
|+<br>Othr Mii|3.0|3.4|3.9|4.4|4.5|4.5|4.2|3.9|4.1|
|e cronesa (a)<br>014||||||||||
|-<br>1564|40.4<br>|37.0<br>|33.8<br>|30.0<br>|28.4<br>|26.6<br>|25.1<br>|23.9<br>|22.9|
|-<br>65|56.3<br>|59.2<br>|61.8<br>|65.2<br>|66.1<br>|67.6<br>|68.5<br>|68.7|68.7|
|+<br>Other Polynesia<br>(a)<br>|3.3<br>|3.8<br>|4.4<br>|4.9<br>|5.5<br>|5.8|6.4|7.4|8.4|
|0-14<br>15-64|45.7<br>508|40.7<br>556|36.7<br>591|33.7<br>618|33.1<br>618|30.9<br>|27.9<br>|25.2<br>|23.5<br>|
|<br>|.<br>|.|.|.|.|63.9|66.3|68.8|70.2|
|65+|3.5|3.7|4.2|4.5|5.2|5.2|5.8|6.0|6.3|

a. For a Listing of countries in the "other" categories, see Table 18.
INTRODUCTION IxxXi Table 20 Stationaiy Population, Momentum, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 for All Countries and Economies

|Stati<br>popul|onary<br>ation||||Stati<br>popul|onary<br>ation|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||Poula-|||||||
|||p<br>ti|<br> <br>||||Popula-<br>||
|||on|<br>Year||||tion|Year|
|Country<br>or ecomomy<br>Millions<br>|Ratio<br> <br>to 1985|<br>momen<br> <br>tun|when<br>NRR=1|Country or economy|Million|Ratio<br>s to 1985|<br>momen<br> <br>tuLn|when<br>NRRg1|
|world<br>11514|<br>2.4|1.4|2060|Gabon|6|6.2|1.4|2045|
|||||Gambia, The|5|<br>6.9|1.4|<br>2050|
|Africa<br>3049|5.5|1.6|2060|Ghana|61|4.8|1.6|<br>2035|
|||||Guinea|33|5.4|1.3|2045|
|East Africa<br>1424|<br>6.2|<br>1.6|2055|Guinea-Bissau|4|<br>4.8|<br>1.3|2045|
|Botswana<br>3|2.7|1.8|2010|Liberia|11|<br>4.9|1.5|2035|
|Burundi<br>29|6.2|1.5|2045|Mali|57|7.7|1.5|2050|
|Comoros<br>3|6.5|1.6|2040|Mauritania|13|<br>7.1|1.4|2050|
|Djibouti<br>2|5.8|1.5|2040|Niger|72|10.9|<br>1.5|2060|
|Ethiopia<br>246|5.8|1.5|2045|Nigeria|509|<br>5.1|1.6|2035|
|Kenya<br>200|9.8|1.C|2050|Sao Tom6 and Principe|0|3.4|1.5|2025|
|Lesotho<br>6|3.7|1.5|2030|Senegal|41|6.3|1.5|2045|
|Madagascar<br>49|4.8|1.6|2035|Sierra Leone|23|6.2|1.3|2050|
|MaLawi<br>75|10.2|<br>1.5|2055|Togo|16|5.1|1.6|2035|
|Mauritius<br>2<br>|1.7|1.5|1985|Other west Africa (a)|0.01|<br>1.9|1.6|2000|
|Mozaffbique<br>86|6.3|1.5|2045||||||
|Namibia<br>5|4.4|1.6|2030|North Africa|435|3.5|1.6|2050|
|RIunion<br>1|1.7|1.5|1995|Algeria|84|3.9|1.7|2025|
|Rwanda<br>64|10.6|1.6|2055|Egypt,<br>Arab Rep. of|132|<br>2.8|1.5|2020|
|Seychelles<br>0|1.8|1.6|2005|Libya|32|8.5|1.6|2050|
|Somalia<br>38|7.0|1.5|2050|Morocco|66|3.0|1.6|2020|
|South Africa<br>91|2.9|1.5|2020|Sudan|102|<br>4.7|13|2035|
|Swaziland<br>4|5.3|1.7|2035|Tunisia|17|2.3|1.6|2010|
|Tanzania<br>160|7.2|1.6|2045|Other North Africa (a)|1|6.3|1.4|2050|
|Uganda<br>87<br>|5.9|1.6|2040||||||
|Zaire<br>196|6.<br>4|1.5|2045|America|1201|<br>1.8|1.4|2030|
|Zambia<br>51<br>|7.6|1.6|2045||||||
|Zimbabwe<br>27|3.3|1.7|2015|Latin America and Caribbe|an 872|2.2|1.6|2030|
|||||Antigua and Barbuda|0.1|1.8|1.8|2030|
|West Africa<br>1190<br>|5.8|1.5|2060|Argentina|49|1.6|1.3|2005|
|Angola<br>61|7.0|1.4|2050|Bahamas|0.5|_2.0_|1.6|2000|
|Benin<br>20|4.9|1.6|2035|Belize|1|3.3|1.8|2020|
|Burkina Faso<br>46|6.1|1.4|2045|Bolivia|25|4.0|1.5|2030|
|Cameroon<br>68|6.7|1.6|2045|Brazil|280|2.1|1.6|2005|
|Cape Verde<br>1|3.5|1.9|2025|Chile|21|1.7|1.5|2000|
|Central<br>African<br>Rep.<br>11|4.4|1.5|2035|Colombia|57|2.0|1.6|2005|
|Chad<br>27|5.3|1.4|2045|Costa Ricp|5|_2.1_|1.7|2005|
|Congo.<br>People's<br>Rep. of the<br>17|8.8|1.6|2050|Cuba|13|1.3|1.4|2030|
|C6te d'lvoire<br>85|8.3|1.5|2050|Dominica|0|1.8|1'5|2000|
|Equatorial<br>Guinea<br>1|3.8|1.3|2035|Dominican<br>Rep.|14|2.2|1.7|2010|
## Ixxxi I INTRODUCTION

# Table 20 (continued)

||Station<br>populat|ary<br>ion||||Statio<br>populati|nary<br>on|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||Popula-|||||PopuLa-||
||||tion|Year||||tion|Year|
|Country<br>or economy|hillions|Ratio<br>to 1985|momen<br> <br>tumn|when<br>NRR=1|Country or economy|Millions|Ratio<br>to 1985|<br>momen<br> <br>tumi|when<br>NRR=1|
|Ecuador|24|2.6|1.7|2015|Indonesia|343|2.1|1.5|2005|
|El Salvador|15|3.1|1.7|2025|Japan|113|0.9|1.1|2030|
|Grenada|0.2|2.1|1.7|2005|Korea, Dem. People's<br>Rep|. of<br>46|2.3|1.4|2010|
|Guadeloupe|C.5|1.3|1.5|1990|Korea, Rep.|57|1.4|1.6|2030|
|GuatemaLa|32|4.1|1.7|2030|Lao People's<br>Dem. Rep.|14|3.9|1.4|2030|
|Guyana|1|1.1|1.6|2000|Macao|1|1.7|1.4|1995|
|Haiti|16|2.7|1.5|2025|Malaysia|37|2.4|1.2|2010|
|Honduras|17|3.8|1.7|2025|ongolia|7|3.7|1.6|2025|
|Jamaica<br>|4<br>|1.5<br>|1.7<br>|2000|Hyamnar|94|2.5|1.6|2015|
|Martinique|0.4|1.2|1.4|2030|Philippines|128|2.3|1.A|2010|
|Mexico|170|2.2|1.7|2005|Singapore|3|1.1|1.3|2030|
|Montserrat|0.02|1.3|1.5|2000|Thailand|98|1.9|<br>1.5|2000|
|Netherlands<br>Antilles|0.3|1.6|1.5|2030|Viet Nam|168|2.7|1.7|2015|
|Hicare;ua|13|3.9|1.8|2025||||||
|Panama<br>|4<br>|1.9|1.7|2000|South Asia|3034|2.9|1.5|2055|
|Paraguay|12|3.3|1.7|2025|Afghanistan|130|7.2|1.4|2055|
|Peru|46|2.4|;6|2010|Bangladesh|325|3.2|1.6|_2025_|
|St. Kitts and Nevis|0.05|1.1|1.7|2000|Bhutan|4|3.3|1.4|2030|
|St. Lucia|0.3|2.2|1.8|2005|India|1759|2.3|1.5|2015|
|St.Vincent<br>and the Grenad|ines<br>0.2|1.8|1.7|1995|Iran, Islamic<br>Rep. of|226|5.1|1.6|2040|
|Suriname|1|2.3|1.6|2010|Maldives|1|5.1|1.7|2035|
|Trinidad<br>andTobago|2|1.7|1.5|2000|Nepal|56|3.4|1.5|2030|
|Uruguay|4|1.4|1.2|2000|Pakistan|506|5.3|<br>1.6|2040|
|Virgin Islands<br>(U.S.)|42|2.4|1.7|2010|Sri Lanka|26|1.7|<br>1.5|1995|
|Venezuela|0.2|1.7|1.6|_1V95_||||||
|Other Latin America<br>(a)|0.4|2.0|1.6|2000|Southwest<br>Asia|498|4.3|1.6|2055|
||||||Bahrain|1|2.4|<br>1.5|2015|
|Northern<br>America|329|1.2|1.2|2030|Cyprus|1|1.4|<br>1.3|1995|
|Canada|29|1.1|1.2|2030|Gaza Strip|3|5.6|1.7|2040|
|United<br>States (50 states)|<br>295|1.2|1.2|2030|Iraq|83|5.2|1.7|20.5|
|Puerto Rico|5|1.4|1.5|1995|Israel|7|1.8|<br>1.5|2005|
|Other Northern America(a)|<br>0.1|1.3|1.2|2030|Jordan|15|5.8|1.7|2035|
||||||Kuwait|6|3.3|<br>1.6|2020|
|Asia|6374|2.3|1.5|2055|Lebanon|5|1.8|<br>1.6|2005|
||||||Oman|8|6.6|1.5|2045|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|2842|1.7|1.4|2030|Qatar|1|3.7|1.3|:j3O|
|Brunei|1|2.3|i.S|2010|Saudia Arabia|85|7.3|<br>1.6|2045|
|Caobodia|19|2.7|1.5|2025|Syrian Arab Rep.|69|6.6|1.8|2040|
|China (excl. Taiwan)<br> <br>|1681<br>|1.6<br>|1.4<br>|2000<br>|Turkey.<br>|11-<br>|2.2<br>|<br>1.6<br> <br>|2010<br>|
|Taiwan,<br>China|25|1-3|1.5|2030|United Arab Emirates|3|2.4|<br>1.1|2020|
|Hong Kong|7|;-|1.3|2030|west Bank|5|5.7|<br>1.7|2035|
INTRODUCTION Ixxxiii Table 20 (continued)

||Station|ary||||Stati|onary|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||popula|tion||||populat|ion|||
||||Popula-|||||Popula-||
|Country<br>or economy|Million|Ratio<br>s to 1985|tion<br> <br>momen<br> <br>tun|Year<br>when<br>NRRc1|Country or economy|<br>Mitlion|Ratio<br>e to 1985|tion<br> <br>mome<br> <br>tumn|Year<br>n when<br>RR-1|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|84|11.0|<br>1.5|2055|Poland|47|<br>1.3|<br>1.2|1990|
|Yemen,<br>People's<br>Dem. Rep.|<br>10|4.9|<br>1.6|2035|Portugal|9|0.9|1.2|2030|
||||||Romania|29|<br>1.3|<br>1.2|1985|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|846|1.1|<br>1.1|2030|Spain|*<br>37|1.0|<br>1.2|2030|
||||||Sweden|8|0.9|1.0|2030|
|Albania|6|2.0|<br>1.6|2005|Switzerland|5|0.8|1.0|2030|
|Austria|6|0.8|<br>1.1|2030|United Kingdom|54|<br>1.0|1.1|2030|
|Belgium|8|0.8|<br>1.1|2030|Yugoslavia|28|<br>1.2|<br>1.2|2030|
|Bulgaria|9|1.0|<br>.0|2030|Other Europe (a)|0.4|<br>1.4|1.1|1990|
|Chamnel Islands|0.1|0.8|1.0|2030|U.S.S.R.|372|1.3|1.2|1995|
|Czechoslovakia|18|1.2|<br>1.1|2030|Oceania|45|<br>i.8|<br>1.3|2040|
|Dernark|4|0.8|<br>1.0|2030||||||
|Finland|4|0.9|<br>1.1|2030|Australia|23|<br>1.5|<br>1.2|2030|
|France|58|1.0|<br>1.2|2030|Fiji|1|1.7|<br>1.6|2005|
|German Dem. Rep.|16|1.0|1.0|2030|French Polynesia|0.4|2.6|1.7|2010|
|Germany,<br>Fed. Rep. of|43|0.7|<br>1.0|2030|Guam|0.2|<br>1.8|<br>1.6|1995|
|<br> <br>Greece|9|0.9|<br>1.1|2030|Kirabati|0.2|<br>2.6|1.4|2020|
|Hungar-|10|0.9|<br>1.0|2030|New Caledonia|0.3|<br>1.8|<br>1.5|2000|
|Icelari|0.3|<br>1.4|<br>1.4|2030|New Zealand|4|1.2|<br>1.3|2030|
|Ireland|5|1.3|<br>1.4|1990|Pacific Islands|0.5|<br>3.'|1.8|2020|
|Italy|42|0.7|<br>1.1|2030|Papua New Guinea|12|<br>3.4|<br>1.4|2025|
|Luxenbourg|n 3|0.8|<br>1.0|2030|Solomon Islands|2|6.3|1.7|2040|
|Malta|0.4|<br>1.0|<br>1.2|2030|Tonga|0.2|<br>2.4|<br>1.6|2015|
|Aetherlands|13|<br>0.9|<br>t.1|2030|Vanuatu|1|<br>4.0|1.6|2030|
|Norway|4|1.0|<br>1.1|2G30|Western Samoa|0.4|<br>2.6|<br>1.7|2020|
||||||Other Micronesia<br>(a)|0.03|<br>2.1|<br>1.7|2005|
||||||Other Polynesia<br>(a)|0.2|<br>2.4|<br>1.7|2015|

Note. Populations of more then 1 million have been rounded to the nearest mitlion.

a. For listings of countries in the 'other" categories, see Table 18.
# DETAILED POPULATION PROJECTIONS

# WORLD, GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS,

# AND INCOME GROUPS
2

|**WORLO**|||Poput|ation projecti|on (thousan|ds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROLP|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|TOTAL**H+F**|484423|5285341|5743830|6204364|6662984|7112311|7555644|7992929|8414779|8807147|
|HALES|||||||||||
|0-4|294221|321566|335863|343199|350534|356050|363192|371249|375696|375905|
|5-9|272724|287486|315364|330458|338603|346015|351753|359168|367547|372389|
|10-14|269179|270770|285623|313598|328851|336994|344430|350238|357742|366225|
|15-19|255277|267161|268832|283703|311674|326918|335083|342568|348471|356088|
|20-24|224081|252513|264426|26612|280933|308806|324060|332288|339870|345940|
|25-29|195509|221192|249524|261402|263079|277802|305586|320880|329209|336937|
|30-34|176547|192845|218433|246614|258439|260103|274761|302479|317837|326293|
|35-39|145246|173844|190072|<br>215497|243488|255254|256926|271533|299198|314646|
|40-44|120136|142384|170708|186786|211974|239703|251409|253118|267683|295287|
|45-49|112211|116773|<br>138736|<br>166595|<br>182423|207232|234587|246218|248003|262511|
|50-54|99009|107552|112234|133665|160771|176187|200417|227194|238708|240618|
|55-59|85597|92883|101161|105848|126395|152313|167110|190432|216279|227573|
|60-64|66089|77668|84591|92369|96937|116128|140272|<br>154148|<br>176073|<br>200460|
|65-69|48784|57010|67274|<br>73546|<br>80548|<br>84840|<br>102052|123642|136175|156025|
|70-74|35917|38673|<br>45603|54036|59317|65198|68996|83429|101478|112106|
|75.|37652|42214|46606|53951|63733|72504|81303|88781|103464|124420|
|TOTAL|2438179|2662533|2895050|3127393|<br>3357700|<br>3582046|3801937|4017366|4223432|4413422|
|FEKALES|||||||||||
|0-4|281600|<br>309337|323130|330250|337348|342845|<br>349891|357784|<br>362178|362452|
|5-9|260613|275028|303396|318062|326061|333283|339044|346407|354659|359475|
|10-14|255547|258751|273300|301808|316672|324684|331948|<br>337798|345269|353646|
|15-19|241224|253813|257105|271716|<br>300271|315145|323196|330528|336494|344103|
|20-24|217182|239116|251739|<br>255077|269688|298194|313107|321241|328696|334847|
|25-29|189450|214921|2368W0|<br>249413|252758|267340|295808|310792|319055|326684|
|30-34|171548|187205|212591|234385|246972|250321|264893|293343|308427|316856|
|35-39|140488|169245|184852|<br>210114|231798|<br>244343|247724|<br>262308|290759|305980|
|40-44|116422|138208|166720|182235|207332|228868|241386|244831|259452|287916|
|45-49|109252|113964|135543|163700|179081|203941|225296|237795|241346|256017|
|50-54|97304|106125|110865|132114|159771|174955|199488|220603|233085|236790|
|55-59|87730|93322|101996|106728|127499|154436|169348|193420|214202|226657|
|60-64|73276|82443|87864|96272|100968|121015|146909|161425|<br>184819|<br>205113|
|65-69|56704|66380|74943|80038|87996|92574|111469|135751|149621|171913|
|70-74|46969|47906|56674|64230|68786|75965|80279|97292|119015|131763|
|75+<br>|60934<br>|67045<br>|71263<br>|80827<br>|92282<br>|102355<br>|113921|124244|<br>144269|<br>173512|
|TOTAL|2406243|2622808|2848781|3076971|3305284|3530264|3753707|3975563|4191347|4393725|
|BIRTH RATE||27.1|25.8|24.1|22.6|21.4|20.4|19.6|18.7|17.8|
|DEATHRAT|E|9.7|9.1|8.6|8.3|8.3|8.3|8.4|8.4|8.7|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|1.74|1.66|1.54|1.43|1.31|1.21|1.13|1.03|.91|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.0|**.0**|**.0**|.0|**.0**|**.0**|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RAT|E|1.74|1.66|1.54|1.43|1.31|1.21|<br>1.13|<br>1.03|.91|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.427|3.232|3.045|2.911|2.783|2.663|2.567|2.477|2.389|
|NRR||1.460|1.388|1.327|1.296|1.254|1.206|1.167|1.135|1.105|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|64.90|66.06|67.14|68.15|68.66,|69.22|69.86|70.56|71.32|
|**e(10)**<br>**-**<br>**OT**|**K**SEXES|60.31|60.84|61.28|61.67|62.04|62.45|62.89|63.38|63.91|
|**IHR**<br>- BOTH<br>|SEXES<br>|70.2|62.3<br>|54.9|47.7|44.8|41.4|38.0|34.5|30.9|
|q(5)**-** BOT|H<br>SEXES|.0967|.0850|.0742|.0634|.0596|.0552|.0505|.0456|.0405|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>65.7|63.0|62.0|60.7|58.2|55.3|53.7|53.2|53.1|<br>53.2|
3 Population projection (thousands)

**WORLD**

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|.. ...............<br>AGE GRCUJP|..................<br> <br>1985|.............<br>2000|2025|.......<br>...........<br>2050|..<br>. . .<br>2075|.......................<br>2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,**...**.<br>..<br>.....|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>...<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL M.F|4844423|<br>6204364|<br>8414779|<br>10034944|10964953|<br>11329942|<br>1145135|3 11499182|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|294221|<br>343199|<br>375696|<br>368884|<br>368850|<br>369327|<br>369593|<br>369702|
|5-9|272724|<br>330458|<br>367547|<br>367046|<br>368211|<br>368915|<br>369191|<br>369274|
|10-14|269179|<br>313598|<br>357742|<br>367089|<br>368195|<br>368619|<br>368862|<br>368942|
|15-19|255277|<br>283703|<br>348471|<br>368466|<br>367749|<br>367926|<br>**368268**|<br>368431|
|20-24|224Ga1|<br>266126|<br>339870|<br>369253|<br>366000|<br>366676|<br>367342|<br>367662|
|25-29|195509|<br>261402|<br>329209|<br>366125|<br>364331|<br>365322|<br>366435|<br>366839|
|30-34|176547|<br>246614|<br>317837|<br>358529|<br>362015|<br>364244|<br>365569|<br>365996|
|35-39|145246|<br>215497|<br>299198|<br>346918|<br>360819|<br>363237|<br>364447|<br>364876|
|40-44|120136|<br>186786|<br>267683|<br>335279|<br>360392|<br>361346|<br>362506|<br>363082|
|45-49|112211|<br>166595|<br>248003|<br>323489|<br>358105|<br>357022|<br>358883|<br>359846|
|50-54|99009|133665|<br>2L.708|307420|<br>349092|<br>350052|<br>352543|<br>354048|
|55-59|85597|105848|<br>216279|<br>286293|<br>330782|<br>337491|<br>341631|<br>343486|
|60-64|66089|92369|<br>176073|<br>253010|<br>302031|<br>318624|<br>323535|<br>325466|
|65-69|48784|73546|<br>136175|<br>203772|<br>264882|<br>290227|<br>294556|<br>296622|
|70-74|35917|54036|<br>101478|<br>159537|<br>217632|<br>247018|<br>250447|<br>253096|
|75+|37652|53951|<br>103464|<br>213001|<br>304193|<br>368820|<br>390827|<br>399315|
|TOTAL|2438179|<br>3127393|<br>422 X.)|<br>4994110|<br>5413279|<br>5564866|<br>5614635|<br>5636683|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|281600|<br>330250|<br>362178|<br>355889|<br>355554|<br>355548|<br>355610|<br>355589|
|5-9|260613|<br>318062|<br>354659|<br>354628|<br>355544|<br>355648|<br>355617|<br>355554|
|10-14|255547|<br>301808|<br>345269|<br>354952|<br>355967|<br>355751|<br>355584|<br>355511|
|15-19|241224|<br>271716|<br>336494|<br>356712|<br>356156|<br>355638|<br>355454|<br>355449|
|20-24|217182|<br>255077|<br>328696|<br>358246|<br>355397|<br>355274|<br>355268|<br>355395|
|25-29|189450|<br>249413|<br>319055|<br>356016|<br>354643|<br>354898|<br>355241|<br>355360|
|30-34|171548|<br>234385|<br>308427|<br>349261|<br>353189|<br>354779|<br>355250|<br>355290|
|35-39|140488|<br>210114|<br>290759|<br>338582|<br>352935|<br>354858|<br>355141|<br>355077|
|40-44|116422|<br>182235|<br>259452|<br>328077|<br>353734|<br>354438|<br>354610|<br>354579|
|45-49|109252|<br>163700|<br>241346|<br>318080|<br>353536|<br>352471|<br>353303|<br>353536|
|50-54|97304|132114|<br>233085|<br>305355|<br>348286|<br>349414|<br>351033|<br>351755|
|55-59|7mo|106728|<br>214202|<br>289847|<br>336534|<br>343833|<br>347390|<br>348457|
|60-64|73276|<br>96272|<br>184819|<br>264809|<br>317825|<br>336314|<br>341131|<br>342351|
|65-69|56704|80038|<br>149621|<br>223107|<br>293428|<br>323463|<br>328469|<br>330075|
|70-74|46969|64230|<br>119015|<br>186947|<br>259468|<br>297841|<br>303013|<br>305829|
|75+|60934|80827|<br>144269|<br>300325|<br>449479|<br>564907|<br>614605|<br>632691|
|TOTAL|2406243|<br>3076971|<br>4191347|<br>5040834|<br>5551674|<br>5765075|<br>583671|8<br>5862499|
|BIRTH RATE||25.6|20.4|16.1|13.9|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.1|8.4|9.1|10.4|11.8|12.4|12.6|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|**.0**|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.65|1.22|.70|.35|.13|.04|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.224|2.669|2.229|2.071|2.061|2.056|2.055|
|eCO)**-** BOT|H SEXES|66.09|69.36|73.17|76.56|77.78|78.69|78.93|
|<br>INR**-** BOTH|SEXES|62.4|41.2|23.5|11.3|8.6|6.9|6.6|
4

# LESS DEVELOPED CO.MTRIES PoputatIan projection (thousands)

|.<br>.<br>.**......**....<br>AGE GROUP|<br>....<br> <br>1985|.....<br>......<br>..<br>1990|........<br>....<br>1995|.....<br>....<br>...<br>2000|..<br>...<br>.....................<br>2005|.............<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......<br>...........|..<br>...|...<br>....<br>...<br>. ..|...........|...........<br>.|........................................|||.......................|||
|TOTAL**M+F**|3665881|4074392|4503981|4939037|5376111|5807948|6236652|6663234|7078333|7469234|
|KALES|||||||||||
|0-4|250149|277272|292902|301478|308693|313886|320753|328823|333405|333581|
|5-9|228920|243355|271004|287418|296820|304138|309578|316744|325159|330159|
|10-14|223898|226911|241435|269180|285767|295183|302544|308072|315344|323880|
|15-19|208889|221892|224973|239509|267262|283851|293303|300727|306368|313768|
|20-24|174702|206150|219155|222252|<br>236749|264433|281051|290588|298140|303974|
|25-29|146907|171874|<br>203145|216094|219198|233651|261284|277969|287638|295371|
|30-34|130764|<br>144378|169193|200251|<br>213164|<br>216287|230708|258308|275075|284894|
|35-39|103736|<br>128309|<br>141824|<br>166429|197263|210132|213281|227673|255238|272098|
|40-44|_85609_|101255|<br>125568|<br>138915|<br>163252|<br>193788|<br>206600|209789|224147|251653|
|45-49|76632|82819|98233|122117|<br>135218|159159|189253|<br>201972|205219|219514|
|50-54|67324|73100|79189|94181|117389|<br>130124|<br>153460|<br>182864|<br>195421|<br>198750|
|55-59|55133|62786|68359|74217|88534|110717|<br>122910|<br>145306|<br>173613|<br>185878|
|60-64|42441|49643|56751|61956|67437|80779|101431|<br>112826|<br>133800|<br>160410|
|65-69|12261|36195|42550|48839|53494|58453|<br>70384|88836|99085|117980|
|70-74|20437|25180|28496|33677|38842|42759|46962|56930|72334|80982|
|75+|19036|22224|27118|31888|37921|44657|50925|57259|<br>67903|84751|
|TOTAL|1866838|2073342|2289894|2508400|2727001|2941997|3154426|3364686|3567890|3757645|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|239299|267094|282186|290506|297506|302681|309453|317348|321864|322097|
|5-9|218774|232622|261043|277003|286224|293373|298836|305948|314224|319184|
|10-14|212552|216816|230798|259363|275539|284791|291999|297568|304805|313223|
|15-19|196821|210711|215063|229112|257746|273952|283262|290556|296261|303655|
|20-24|169459|<br>194500|<br>208421|212832|<br>226927|255551|271830|281259|28871|2<br>294636|
|25-29|142109|166965|191938|205861|210332|224445|<br>253074|269464|279061|286729|
|30-34|126499|<br>139730|164487|<br>189372|203305|207816|221952|250592|267111|276901|
|35-39|99166|124174|<br>137345|161971|186754|<br>200665|205228|219395|248054|264722|
|40-44|81465|96981|121744|<br>134820|159276|<br>183905|<br>197793|<br>202428|216639|245315|
|45-49|72536|79232|94552|118972|<br>131914|<br>156124|<br>180545|<br>194405|199141|<br>213400|
|50-54|63781|69903|76516|91540|115485|<br>128241|<br>152106|176238|<br>190057|<br>194930|
|55-59|52896|60527|66510|72980|87589|110874|123375|146751|170470|<br>184222|
|60-64|42445|48885|56154|61905|68157|82180|<br>104515|116651|139309|<br>162417|
|65-69|33804|37468|43383|50076|55456|<br>61377|74498|95377|,<br>106929|<br>128438|
|70-74|22934|27528|30816|35908|41729|46549|51910|63603|82203|92761|
|75.|24503|27915|33129|38416|45169|53426|61850|70962|85603|108958|
|TOTAL|1799043|<br>2001049|2214087|2430637|2649109|2865951|<br>3082226|3298547|3510443|3711589|
|BIRTH RATE||31.0|29.1|27.0|25.0|23.4|22.1|21.0|19.9|18.8|
|CEATH<br>RATE||9.6|8.9|8.4|7.9|7.8|7.8|7.8|7.8|8.0|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|2.13|2.02|1.86|1.71|1.55|1.43|1.33|1.21|1.08|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 2|-.1|-. 1|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**<br>RAT|E|2.11|2.00|1.84|1.70|1.55|1.42|1.32|1.21|1.08|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.918|3.608|3.336|3.133|2.951|2.789|2.661|2.545|2.436|
|NRR||1.627|1.517|1.426|1.377|1.318|1.252|1.200|1.158|1.120|
|e(O)*****BOT|H SEXES|62.06|63.55|64.93|66.20|66.90|67.65|68.45|69.31|70.23|
|**e(10)**<br>**-** BO|TH SEXES|58.77|59.38|59.90|60.38|60.87|61.39|61.94|62.54|63.17|
|IMR - BOT|HSEXES|78.3|69.0|60.5|52.4|49.2|45.4|41.5|37.6|33.6|
|q(5)**-** BOT|H SEXES|.1083|.0945|.0820|.0700|.0657|.0607|.0554|.0499|.0443|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>71.4|<br>67.4|<br>65.6|<br>63.8|<br>60.3|<br>56.7|<br>54.1|<br>53.0|<br>52.2|<br>52.0|
5

# LESS DEVELOPED CWUNTRIES

# Population projection (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP|1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|2SO|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MF|3665881|<br>4939037|<br>7078333|<br>8715841|<br>9657538|<br>10019927|<br>1013886|6<br>10185564|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|250149|<br>301478|<br>333405|<br>326613|<br>326585|<br>327047|<br>327307|<br>327413|
|5-9|228920|<br>287418|<br>325159|<br>324815|<br>326003|<br>3^t486|32695O|<br>327028|
|10-14|223898|<br>269180|<br>315344|<br>324909|<br>326031|<br>3c 7|326652|<br>326727|
|15-19|208889|<br>239509|<br>306368|<br>326312|<br>325647|<br>325789|<br>326108|<br>326267|
|20-24|174702|<br>222252|<br>298140|<br>327195|<br>323988|<br>324626|<br>325265|<br>325580|
|25-29|146907|<br>216094|<br>287638|<br>324236|<br>322396|<br>323372|<br>324457|<br>324851|
|30-34|130764|<br>200251|<br>275075|<br>316634|<br>320177|<br>322404|<br>323694|<br>324105|
|35-39|103736|<br>166429|<br>255238|<br>305162|<br>319130|<br>321535|<br>322698|<br>323104|
|40-44|85609|<br>138915|<br>224147|<br>294013|<br>318877|<br>319845|<br>320948|<br>321495|
|45-49|76632|<br>122117|<br>205219|<br>282909|<br>316964|<br>315878|<br>317674|<br>318603|
|50-54|67324|<br>94181|<br>195421|<br>267630|<br>308699|<br>309550|<br>311989|<br>313455|
|55-59|55133|<br>74217|<br>173613|<br>246624|<br>291534|<br>298201|<br>302286|<br>304092|
|60-64|42441|<br>61956|<br>133800|<br>214472|<br>264905|<br>281423|<br>286249|<br>288115|
|65-69|32261|<br>48839|<br>99085|<br>169040|<br>231330|<br>256295|<br>260539|<br>262526|
|70-74|20437|<br>33677|<br>72334|<br>130369|<br>189264|<br>218050|<br>221359|<br>223924|
|75+|19036|<br>31888|<br>67903|<br>166436|<br>258907|<br>323185|<br>344667|<br>352955|
|TOTAL|1866838|<br>2508400|<br>3567890|<br>4347369|<br>4770438|<br>4920313|<br>4968842|<br>490239|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|239299|<br>290506|<br>321864|<br>315537|<br>315215|<br>315215|<br>315279|<br>315258|
|5-9|218774|<br>277003|<br>314224|<br>314285|<br>315214|<br>315323|<br>315291|<br>315228|
|10-14|212552|<br>259363|<br>304805|<br>314641|<br>315647|<br>315429|<br>315261|<br>315187|
|15-19|196821|<br>229112|<br>296261|<br>316390|<br>315843|<br>315319|<br>315134|<br>315129|
|20-24|169459|<br>212832|<br>288712|<br>317940|<br>315087|<br>314958|<br>314953|<br>315080|
|25-29|142109|<br>205861|<br>279061|<br>315776|<br>314327|<br>314588|<br>314934|<br>315053|
|30-34|126499|<br>189372|<br>267111|<br>308910|<br>312892|<br>314486|<br>314'i56|<br>3146|
|35-39|99166|<br>161971|<br>248054|<br>298238|<br>312691|<br>314595|<br>314869|<br>314802|
|40-44|81465|<br>134820|<br>216639|<br>288027|<br>313526|<br>314222|<br>314378|<br>314343|
|45-49|72536|<br>118972|<br>199141|<br>278408|<br>313448|<br>312353|<br>313165|<br>313395|
|50-54|63781|<br>91540|<br>190057|<br>265924|<br>308475|<br>309486|<br>311090|<br>311807|
|55-59|52896|<br>72980|<br>170470|<br>249581|<br>297011|<br>304295|<br>307820|<br>308876|
|60-64|42445|<br>61905|<br>139309|<br>224059|<br>279023|<br>297503|<br>302244|<br>303438|
|65-69|33804|<br>50076|<br>106929|<br>183868|<br>256283|<br>286008|<br>290923|<br>292486|
|70-74|22934|<br>35908|<br>82203|<br>151243|<br>225315|<br>263099|<br>268120|<br>270877|
|754|24503|<br>38416|<br>85603|<br>225645|<br>377103|<br>492736|<br>541608|<br>559370|
|TOTAL|1799043|<br>2430637|<br>3510443|<br>4368472|<br>4887100|<br>5099613|<br>5170024|<br>5195325|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||28.9|22.1|16.7|14.1|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.9|7.8|8.5|10.0|11.7|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROSTH<br>RAT|E|1.99|1.44|.83|.41|.15|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.596|2.796|2.252|2.072|2.061|2.055|2.054|
|**e(O)**- BOT|H<br>SEXES|63.61|67.81|72.40|76.26|77.63|78.64|78.90|
|**IMR**- **BOTH**S|EXES|69.1|45.1|25.5|11.9|8.9|7.0|6.6|
6

|**MCE**DEVEL<br>.....<br>......<br>..|OPED<br>COUNT<br>....................................|RIES<br>..........................|Poput|ation projecti|on (thousa|nds)<br>.............................|..............................................|.......................||...|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL M+F|1178542|<br>1210949|<br>1239849|<br>1265327|<br>1286874|<br>1304363|<br>1318993|<br>1329695|<br>1336447|<br>1337914|
|t1ALES|||||||||||
|0-4|44072|44294|42961|41721|41841|<br>42164|42438|42426|42290|<br>42324|
|5-9|43805|44131|44361|43040|41783|<br>41877|42175|42424|42388|<br>42230|
|10-14|45282|43859|44188|44419|43084|<br>41811|41887|<br>42166|<br>42398|<br>42345|
|15-c,|389|45269|43859|44194|44412|<br>43067|41781|41840|42103|<br>42320|
|20-24|49378|46363|45272|43874|44185|<br>44374|43009|41700|41730|<br>41965|
|25-29|48602|49318|46379|45308|43881|<br>44152|44302|<br>42911|41571|<br>41565|
|30-34|45783|48468|49240|46363|45275|<br>43816|44053|44172|42762|<br>41399|
|35-39|41510|45535|48248|49069|46226|<br>45121|43644|43859|43960|<br>42547|
|40-44|34528|41128|45140|47871|48722|<br>45915|44810|43329|43537|<br>43634|
|45-49|35579|33954|40503|44478|47205|<br>48073|45333|<br>44246|<br>42783|<br>429S98|
|50-54|31685|34452|33046|39484|43383|<br>46062|46958|<br>44330|<br>43286|<br>41868|
|55-59|30463|30098|32803|31631|37861|<br>41596|44200|<br>45126|42666|<br>41695|
|60-64|23647|28024|27840|30413|29500|<br>35350|38841|<br>41322|42273|<br>40050|
|65-69|16523|<br>20815|24723|24706|27054|<br>26387|31668|<br>34807|<br>37090|<br>38045|
|70-74|15480|<br>13493|17107|20360|20475|<br>22439|22034|<br>26498|<br>29143|<br>31124|
|75+|18615|<br>19990|19488|<br>22062|25811|<br>27846|30373|<br>31522|<br>35561|<br>39669|
|TOTAL|571342|589190|<br>605156|61899|630698|<br>640050|647511|<br>652679|<br>655543|<br>655777|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|42301|42243|40944|<br>39744|39842|<br>40164|40438|<br>40436|<br>40315|<br>40355|
|5-9|41839|42406|42352|41059|39836|<br>39911|40209|<br>40459|<br>40435|<br>40292|
|10-14|42996|41935|<br>42502|42445|41133|<br>39893|39950|<br>40230|<br>40464|<br>40423|
|15-19|44403|43102|42043|42604|42525|<br>41193|39934|<br>39972|<br>40233|<br>40449|
|20-24|47722|44616|43318|42246|42761|<br>42643|41276|<br>39983|<br>39984|<br>40211|
|25-29|47341|47956|44862|43553|42426|<br>42895|42734|<br>41328|<br>39994|<br>39955|
|30-34|45049|47475|48104|45013|43667|<br>42505|42941|<br>42750|<br>41317|<br>39955|
|35-39|41322|45071|47506|48143|45044|<br>43678|42496|<br>42912|<br>42705|<br>41258|
|40-44|34957|41227|44975|47415|48056|<br>44963|43593|<br>42403|<br>42813|<br>42601|
|45-49|36716|34733|<br>40991|44727|<br>47167|<br>47817|44750|<br>43390|<br>42205|<br>42617|
|50-54|33523|36223|34349|40574|44286|<br>46714|47382|<br>44366|<br>43029|<br>41859|
|55-59|34834|32795|35486|33748|39910|<br>43562|45973|<br>46669|<br>43732|<br>42435|
|60-64|30831|33558|-31710|<br>34367|32811|<br>38835|42393|<br>44774|<br>45510|<br>42696|
|65-69|22899|28912|31560|29962|32539|<br>31197|36971|<br>40372|<br>42692|<br>43475|
|70-74|24036|20378|25858|28322|27057|<br>29416|28369|<br>33688|<br>36812|<br>39002|
|75+|36431|39130|38134|42411|47113|<br>48929|52071|<br>53283|<br>58666|<br>64554|
|TOTAL|607200|<br>621758|<br>634693|646334|656175|<br>664313|671481|<br>677016|<br>680904|<br>682136|
|BIRTH RATE||14.7|13.9|13.2|12.9|12.8|12.8|12.6|12.5|12.5|
|DEATH RATE||9.9|9.7|9.6|10.0|10.5|10.8|11.2|11.6|12.3|
|RATEOFNA|T. INC.|.48|.41|.35|.30|.24|.20|.15|.09|.02|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.6|.6|.5|.4|.3|.2|.2|.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.54|.47|.41|.34|.27|.22|.16|.10|.02|
|TOTALFERT|ILITY|1.902|1.864|1.846|1.890|1.932|1.970|2.003|2.033|2.061|
|NRR||.919|.888|.881|.90?|.931|.949|.965|.979|.994|
|**e(O)**BOTH|SEXES|74.08|74.82|75.47|76.01|76.24|76.47|76.71|76.95|77.21|
|**e(10)**<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|65.32|65.94|C6.46|66.90|67.10|67.31|67.52|67.74|67.97|
|**IMR**- BOTH|SEXES|15.2|13.3|1).<br>7|1O.*|10.2|9.9|9.5|9.1|8.8|
|(5)**-**BOT|HSEXES|0176|0152|0133|5117|0114|0110|0106|0101|0097|
|q <br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>50.3|.<br> <br>49.6|.<br> <br>50.2|.<br> <br>49.?|<br>49.8|.<br> <br>49.5|.<br> <br>51.5|.<br> <br>54.4|.<br> <br>57.6|.<br> <br>60.4|
# MORE DEVELOPED COJNTRIES

# Population projection (thousards)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|..........................................<br>AGE**GR**<br>OJP|................................<br>1985|...............................<br> <br>2000|<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>..........................................|<br>................................|<br> <br>...............................|<br>||||||
|TOTAL44f|1178542|<br>1265327|<br>1336447|<br>131910|31307415|<br>131001|51312487|<br>1313618|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|44072|<br>41721|<br>42290|<br>42271|<br>42264|42280|42286|<br>42289|
|5-9|43805|<br>43040|<br>42388|<br>42230|<br>42208|<br>42229|42241|<br>42246|
|10-14|45282|<br>44419|<br>42398|<br>42180|<br>42164|<br>42192|42210|<br>42215|
|15-19|46389|44194|<br>42103|<br>42154|<br>42102|42137|42160|<br>42165|
|20-24|49378|<br>43874|<br>41730|<br>42058|<br>42012|<br>42050|42076|<br>42082|
|25-29|48602|<br>45308|<br>41571|<br>41889|<br>41935|<br>41949|41978|<br>41988|
|30-34|45783|46363|<br>42762|41895|<br>41838|<br>41840|41875|<br>41891|
|35-39|41510|49069|<br>43960|<br>41756|<br>41689|<br>41702|41748|<br>417|
|40-44|34528|<br>47871|<br>43537|<br>41266|<br>41515|<br>41501|41558|<br>41587|
|45-49|35579|<br>44478|<br>42783|<br>40579|<br>41141|<br>41144|<br>41209|<br>4124|
|50-54|31685|<br>39484|<br>43286|<br>39791|<br>40392|<br>40503|40554|<br>40593|
|55-59|30463|<br>31631|<br>42666|<br>39669|<br>39248|<br>39290|39345|<br>39394|
|60-64|23647|<br>30413|<br>42273|<br>38538|<br>37126|<br>37201|<br>37286|<br>37351|
|65-69|16523|<br>24706|<br>37090|<br>34732|<br>33553|<br>33932|34017|<br>34095|
|70-74|15480|<br>20360|<br>29143|<br>29168||28968|<br>29089|<br>29173|
|75.|18615|<br>22062|<br>35561|<br>46564|<br>45286|<br>45634|<br>46160|<br>46360|
|TOTAL|571342|<br>618993|<br>655543|<br>646741|<br>642841|<br>644553|<br>645793|<br>64644|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|42301|39744|<br>40315|40352|<br>40339|40333|40331|<br>40331|
|5-9|41839|<br>41059|<br>40435|<br>40343|<br>40330|<br>40326|40326|<br>40326|
|10-14|42996|<br>42445|<br>40464|<br>40311|<br>40320|<br>40322|40323|<br>40323|
|15-19|44403|<br>42604|<br>40233|<br>40322|<br>40313|<br>40319|40320|<br>40320|
|20-24|47M72|<br>42246|<br>39984|40306|<br>40310|<br>40316|40315|<br>40315|
|25-29|47341|<br>43553|<br>39994|<br>40240|<br>40316|<br>40310|<br>40307|<br>40307|
|30-34|45049|<br>45013|<br>41317|<br>40351|<br>40298|<br>40293|<br>40293|<br>40295|
|35-39|41322|48143|<br>42705|40344|<br>40243|<br>40264|40272|<br>40275|
|40-44|34957|<br>47415|<br>42813|<br>40050|<br>40209|<br>40216|<br>40?32|<br>40236|
|45-49|36716|<br>44727|<br>42205|<br>39672|<br>40088|<br>40118|<br>40138|<br>40142|
|50-54|33523|<br>40574,|<br>43029|39432|<br>39810|39928|39943|<br>39948|
|5S 59|34834|<br>33748|<br>43732|<br>40266|<br>39523|<br>39538|39569|<br>39581|
|60-64|30831|<br>34367|<br>45510|<br>40751|<br>38802|<br>38811|38887|<br>38913|
|65-69|22899|<br>29962|<br>42692|39238|<br>37145|<br>37454|37547|<br>37589|
|70-74|24036|<br>28322|<br>36812|<br>35705|<br>34153|<br>34742|34893|<br>34952|
|75+|36431|<br>42411|<br>58666|<br>74680|<br>72376|<br>72172|<br>72997|<br>73321|
|TOTAL|607200|<br>646334|<br>680904|<br>672362|<br>664574|<br>665462|<br>666694|<br>667174|
|BIRTH RATE||13.9|12.7|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|**DEATH**<br>RATE||9.7|10.8|13.0|13.0|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.6|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.47|.22|-.05|-. 04|n1|.01|no|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|1.876|1.965|2.067|2.064.||||
|e(O)<br>- BOTH|SEXES|74.80|76.48|77.73|78.66|78.92|**_e9.1l_**|214|
|IMR**-** BOTH S|EXES|13.5|9.8|8.1|6.9|6.6|6.3|6.3|
|AFRICA||Poput|atfon project|ion (thousa|nds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROIP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|................................|........|...............................................|..........||||.............................||...............................|
|TOTAL**H+F**<br>559416|650556|<br>753144|<br>869768|<br>999722|1138621|1284716|<br>1435139|<br>158736|5<br>1737425|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>51646|587W|65629|73869|81917|87902|93051|<br>96835|<br>99448|<br>100228|
|5-9<br>41546|48855|56026|63034|71474|79479|85525|<br>90784|<br>94739|<br>97579|
|10-14<br>34445|40815|48101|55272|62311|70710|78697|<br>84761|<br>90055|<br>94066|
|15-19<br>29338|33886|40209|47446|54575|61581|69942|<br>77912|<br>83995|<br>89327|
|20-24<br>24359|28676|33169|39400|46538|53599|60565|<br>68881|<br>76838|<br>82959|
|25-29<br>20298|23689|27939|32347|38458|45516|52508|<br>59440|<br>67M7|1<br>75680|
|30-34<br>16641|19704|<br>23040|27204|31523|37559|44543|<br>51476|<br>58387|<br>66644|
|35-39<br>13426|16097|19103|22362|26434|30696|36654|<br>43569|<br>50448|<br>57341|
|40-44<br>10885|12894|<br>15508|<br>18434|21603|25603|29801|<br>35674|<br>42511|<br>49331|
|45-49<br>9284|10343|<br>12293|<br>14822|17648|20738|24646|<br>28763|<br>34529|<br>41263|
|50-54<br>7714|8687|9703|11561|13977|16700|19683|<br>23468|<br>27472|<br>33084|
|55-59<br>6213|704?|7961|8909|10645|12930|15509|<br>18343|<br>21951|<br>25785|
|60-64<br>4742|5468|6226|7053|7910|9501|11603|<br>13980|<br>16603|<br>19952|
|65-69<br>3460|3929|4556|5207|5918|6672|8067|<br>9917|<br>12015|<br>14342|
|70-74<br>2285|2608|2982|3476|3992|4569|5186|<br>6323|<br>7838|<br>9564|
|75+<br>2055|2330|2679|3092|3619|4234|4940|<br>5726|<br>6925|<br>8606|
|TOTAL<br>278335|323829|<br>375124|<br>433488|<br>498541|567990|640919|<br>715852|<br>791474|<br>865753|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>50767|57965|64588|_72590_|80377|s62u48|<br>91298|<br>95013|<br>97568|<br>98314|
|5-9<br>41011|48162|55402|62226|70450|78224|84174|<br>89350|<br>93241|<br>96023|
|10-14<br>34037|40305|47448|54701|61572|69769|77537|<br>83514|<br>88733|<br>92687|
|15-19<br>28946|33510|39743|46855|54084|60937|69112|<br>76882|<br>82893|<br>88163|
|20-24<br>24158|28395|32916|39085|46133|53317|60152|<br>68312|<br>76096|<br>82160|
|25-29<br>20532|23612|27791|32249|38332|45330|52469|<br>59295|<br>67449|<br>75261|
|30-34<br>17063|20006|23042|27153|31543|37568|44516|<br>51617|<br>58443|<br>66602|
|35-39<br>13983|16567|<br>19460|22442|26478|30825|36794|<br>43695|<br>50764|<br>57596|
|40-44<br>11473|13514|16046|18876|21797|25780|30082|<br>35993|<br>42847|<br>49886|
|45-49<br>9856|11025|<br>13014|15481|18239|21116|25038|<br>29289|<br>35132|<br>41930|
|50-54<br>8208|9381|10510|12429|14817|17511|20331|<br>24178|<br>28362|<br>34118|
|55-59<br>6752|7676|8793|9867|11696|14003|16613|<br>19359|<br>23104|<br>27197|
|60-64<br>5203|6124|.6984|8021|9022|10753|12949|<br>15442|<br>18sO3|<br>21685|
|65-69<br>3890|4475|5294|6059|6985|7908|9498|<br>11529|<br>13847|<br>16326|
|70-74<br>2641|3068|3551|4224|4860|5659|6466|<br>7847|<br>9627|<br>11677|
|75+<br>2561<br> <br>|2943<br>|3437<br> <br>|4022<br> <br>|4795<br> <br>|5682<br>|6765<br>|<br>7974<br> <br>|<br>9703<br> <br>|<br>12046<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>281081|326727|<br>378020|<br>436280|<br>501180|570631|643796|<br>719287|<br>p95891|<br>871672|
|BIRTH RATE|44.4|42.1|40.3|38.1|35.5|32.9|30.3|27.8|25.3|
|DEATH RATE|14.2|12.7|11.4|10.2|9.4|8.8|8.2|7.6|7.2|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|3.03|2.93|2.88|2.79|2.60|2.42|2.22|2.02|1.81|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 1|**-.0**|-.0|-.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**<br>RATE|3.02|2.93|2.88|2.79|2.60|2.41|2.21|2.02|1.81|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.142|5.82s|5.495|5.092|4.624|4.179|3.751|3.362|3.006|
|NRR|2.314|2.259|2.195|2.095|1.928|i.770|1.617|1.474|1.340|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|**c**38|55.22|57.04|58.82|60.05|61.32|62.65|64.03|65.48|
|e(IO)- BOTH SEXES|54.49|55.11|55.59|56.06|56.83|57.63|58.47|59.33|60.24|
|INR - BOTH SEXES<br>|106.5|96.1|85.0|73.3|68.0|62.7|57.5|52.0|46.4|
|qts)- BOTH SEXES|.1649|.1471|.1282|.1084|.1003|.0922|.0842|.0756|.0666|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>93.5|93.4|<br>91.4|<br>88.3|<br>84.6|80.3|75.1|<br> <br>69.7|<br> <br>64.7|<br>60.0|
9

# AFRICA

# Poputation projection (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|.**.** **......**..........<br>AGE GROJP|.........................<br>1985|.......................................<br>2000|..........................<br>2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........<br>.............|...|_..........................|.......................................|........|||||
|TOTAL<br>M4F|559416|<br>869768|<br>1587365|<br>2275248|<br>2760723|<br>2962347|<br>3019815|<br>3042161|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|51646|<br>73869|<br>99448|<br>96466|<br>97005|<br>97301|<br>97409|<br>97448|
|5-9|41546|<br>63034|94739|<br>96248|<br>96971|<br>97211|<br>97286|<br>97316|
|10-14|34445|<br>55272|<br>90055|<br>97030|<br>97066|<br>97066|<br>97153|<br>9720?|
|15-19|29338|<br>47446|<br>83995|<br>97114|<br>96719|<br>96714|<br>96943|<br>97060|
|20-24|24359|<br>37400|<br>76838|<br>97012|<br>95647|<br>96222|<br>96678|<br>96860|
|25-29|20298|<br>32347|67721|<br>94898|<br>94806|<br>95857|<br>96474|<br>96649|
|30-34|16641|<br>27204|<br>58387|<br>90901|<br>94462|<br>95711|<br>96261|<br>96408|
|35-39|13426|<br>22362|<br>50448|<br>85656|<br>94794|<br>95490|<br>95882|<br>96059|
|40-44|10885|<br>18434|<br>42511|<br>78924|<br>94264|<br>94697|<br>95182|<br>95522|
|45-49|9284|14822|<br>34529|<br>71100|<br>93183|<br>92884|<br>94040|<br>94635|
|50-54|7714|11561|<br>27472|<br>61142|<br>89344|<br>90559|<br>92317|<br>93119|
|55-59|6213|8909|21951|<br>50481|<br>82435|<br>87356|<br>89505|<br>90313|
|60-64|4742|7053|16603|<br>40565|<br>72830|<br>82763|<br>84683|<br>85441|
|65-69|3460|5207|12015|<br>30456|<br>60347|<br>74702|<br>76702|<br>77635|
|70-74|2285|3476|7838|<br>20488|<br>45715|<br>62851|<br>64563|<br>66019|
|75.|2055|3092|6925|<br>19794|<br>51040|<br>87448|<br>99099|<br>103463|
|TOTAL|278335|<br>433488|<br>791474|<br>1128274|<br>1356630|<br>1444832|<br>147017|7<br>1481152|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|50767|<br>72590|<br>97568|<br>94556|<br>94890|<br>94946|<br>94954|<br>94928|
|5-9|41011|<br>62226|<br>93241|<br>94601|<br>95089|<br>95031|<br>94954|<br>94910|
|10-14|34037|<br>54701|<br>88733|<br>95523|<br>95349|<br>95030|<br>94912|<br>94887|
|15-19|28946|<br>46855|<br>82893|<br>95816|<br>95235|<br>94877|<br>94U38|<br>94869|
|20-24|24158|<br>39085|<br>76096|<br>96048|<br>94510|<br>94672|<br>94785|<br>94869|
|25-29|20532|<br>32249|<br>67449|<br>94317|<br>93999|<br>94619|<br>94845|<br>94878|
|30-34|17063|<br>27153|<br>58443|<br>90657|<br>93974|<br>94784|<br>94901|<br>94855|
|35-39|13983|<br>22442|<br>50764|<br>85734|<br>94654|<br>94915|<br>94833|<br>94759|
|40-44|11473|<br>18876|<br>42847|<br>79375|<br>94572|<br>94585|<br>94551|<br>94578|
|45-49|9856|15481|<br>35132|<br>72049|<br>94178|<br>93466|<br>94067|<br>94282|
|50-54|8208|12429|<br>28362|<br>62852|<br>91435|<br>92236|<br>93463|<br>93851|
|55-59|6752|9867|.3104|53125|<br>86224|<br>90939|<br>92610|<br>92986|
|60-64|5203|8021|18083|<br>44297|<br>78967|<br>89392|<br>90929|<br>91259|
|65-69|3890|6059|13847|<br>34&8i5|<br>69017|<br>85307|<br>87172|<br>87765|
|70-74|2641|4224|<br>9627|<br>25064|<br>56302|<br>77698|<br>79647|<br>81070|
|75+|2561|4022|9703|<br>28125|<br>75698|<br>135018|<br>158177|<br>166261|
|TOTAL|281081|<br>436280|<br>795891|<br>1146974|<br>1404093|<br>1517515|<br>154963|8<br>1561008|
|BIRTH RATE||42.0|32.3|20.9|15.4|13.5|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE||12.6|8.7|6.7|7.8|10.7|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.94|2.41|1.44|.7?|.28|.08|.03|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|5.786|4.076|2.484|2.072|2.054|2.044|2.043|
|**e(O)**<br>**- BOTH**|SEXES|55.39|61.68|68.90|74.66|76.81|78.35|78.75|
|<br>**IMR**<br>**-** BOTH S|EXES|95.2|62.3|35.1|15.8|10.7|7.4|6.9|
10 .... **.**

# EAST AFRICA

Population projection (thousands)

|. . ...............................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|...............................................<br>¶990|...................<br> <br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>......<br>........<br>........<br>.|<br>.......<br>................|<br> <br>.........|<br> <br>_....._|<br>.<br>._...<br>..................|<br>.................|||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>231239|2706"4|315565|367295|425500|488579|556041|626928|699966|m785|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>21433|25088|28296|32229|36057|39149|42031|44483|46342|47058|
|5-9<br>17277|<br>20267|23887|27143|31155|34965|38077|40997|43515|45469|
|10-14<br>14324|16986|<br>19973|23585|26849|30841|34643|37759|40688|43223|
|15-19<br>12100|<br>14094|<br>16738|<br>19709|<br>23298|26543|<br>30517|34310|37430|40370|
|20-24<br>10138|<br>11817|<br>13795|16405|<br>19340|22891|26115|30065|33849|36979|
|25-29<br>8358|<br>9845|<br> <br>11510|<br>13456|<br> <br>16018|<br>18925|<br> <br>22437|<br>25639|<br>29569|33351|
|30-34<br>6792|8098|9570|11207|13119|15649|18528|22005|25190|29106|
|35-39<br>5504|6556|7843|9286|10891|12779|15274|18126|<br>21569|24740|
|40-44<br>4495|5278|6310|7563|8969|10548|<br>12407|14864|<br>17685|21091|
|45-49<br>3731|4268|5030|6027|7236|<br>8605|10150|11972|<br>14382|<br>17162|
|50-54<br>3073|3488|4004|4729|5679|6840|8162|9659|11429|<br>13772|
|55-59<br>2448|2803|3195|3677|4353|5248|6344|7598|9026|10719|
|60-64<br>1878|2149|2472|2827|3262|3880|4700|5707|6865|8192|
|65-69<br>1367|1551|<br>1786|2062|2367|2747|3286|4005|4890|5915|
|7C-74<br>897|1026|1173|1357|1575|<br>1821|2M4|2567|<br>3152|3877|
|75+<br>816|911|1044|1203|1399|1645|1936|<br>2296|2782|3439|
|TOTAL<br>114629|134228|<br>156627|182466|<br>211565|243076|276738|312053|348365|384463|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|C-4<br>21224|24806|27937|31767|35483|38518|41346|43750|45571|46268|
|5-9<br>17162|20121|23681|26873|30793|34506|37571|4047|42922|<br>44842|
|10-14<br>14275|16879|19839|23397|26602|30510|34219|37293|40183|42680|
|15-19<br>12026|14058|16649|<br>19599|<br>23141|26334|30230|33938|37023|39931|
|20-24<br>10156|11796|13815|<br>16379|<br>1930d|<br>22820|26000|29885|33597|36701|
|25-29<br>8534|9925|11553|<br>13544|<br>16072|18978|<br>22466|25636|29514|33234|
|30-34<br>7002|8316|9693|11297|<br>13257|<br>15760|<br>18648|<br> <br>22110|<br>25273|29149|
|35-39<br>5745|6803|8097|9450|11026|<br>12967|<br>15445|<br>18314|<br>21754|24913|
|40-44<br>4751|5559|6598|7863|9187|10746|<br>12665|<br>15117|<br>17968|<br>21386|
|45-49<br>3983|4573|<br>5362|6373|7605|<br>8908|1045|1233V|<br>14763|17591|
|50-54<br>3310|3797|4368|5129|61,6|7307|<br>8583|10092|<br>11954|<br>14340|
|55-59<br>2693|3101|3565|4109|4834|5776|6937|8176|9648|11467|
|60-64<br>2100|2447|- 2827|3259|3764|4451|5346|6451|7639|9057|
|65-69<br>1562|1811|<br>2120|2458|2843|3307|3937|<br>4763|5786|6898|
|70-74<br>1054|1237|1443|1696|<br>1976|<br>2308|2710|<br>3257|3979|4878|
|75+<br>1033|1186|1392|1637|<br>1939|<br>2308|2757|3306|4027|4985|
|TOTAL<br>116610|<br>136415|<br>158939|<br>184830|<br>213934|245502|279303|314875|351601|388322|
|BIRTH RATE|46.1|43.8|42.1|39.9|37.2|34.7|32.2|29.7|26.9|
|DEATH RATE|14.4|13.1|11.7|10.4|9.6|8.8|8.2|7.6|7.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.16|3.08|3.04|2.95|2.77|2.59|2.40|2.20|1.98|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-.2|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROJTI RATE|3.15|3.07|3.04|2.94|2.76|2.59|2.40|2.20|1.98|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.311|6.077|5.790|5.394|4.923|4.469|4.033|3.624|3.224|
|NRR|2.373|2.342|2.294|2.209|2.047|1.886|1.736|1.588|1.435|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES<br>|53.00|54.78|56.59|58.39|59.66|60.98|62.35|63.77|65.26|
|e(1O)- BOTHSEXES|54.56|55.18|55.67|56.12|56.89|57.68|58.50|59.36|60.26|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|110.3|101.0|90.1|77.9|71.9|66.1|60.3|54.3|48.1|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.1715|1554|1365|1153|1060|0972|0883|0790|0693|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>94.6|<br>95.0|.<br>93.6|.<br>91.4|.<br>87.9|.<br>83.7|.<br> <br>78.6|.<br> <br>73.|.<br>2<br>68.2|.<br> <br>63.3|
¶¶ Populatlon projection (thousanis) ............................... ..

# EAST AFRICA

# Sunrmry for 25 Year Periods

|.............<br>**AGE**GROUP|.........................<br>1985|<br>2000|........<br>.<br> <br>2025|..............<br> <br>2050|............................<br> <br>2075|<br>2100|.................<br> <br>2125|<br>.....<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................||___......|_______........................|...______._____.............|..............................___||||
|TOTAL<br>**M+F**|231239|<br>36729|699966|<br>1034226|<br>12M59|1382928|<br>1410177|<br>1420681|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|21433|<br>32229|<br>46342|<br>44656|<br>45133|<br>45378|<br>45444|<br>45455|
|5-9|17277|<br>27143|<br>43515|<br>44480|<br>4524|45389|<br>45393|<br>45390|
|10-14|14324|<br>23585|<br>40688|<br>45531|<br>45472|<br>45335|<br>45316|<br>45331|
|15-19|12100|<br>19709|<br>37430|<br>46005|<br>45297|<br>45107|<br>45190|<br>45258|
|20-24|10138|<br>16405|<br>33849|<br>45568|<br>44556|<br>44785|<br>45056|<br>45172|
|25-29|3358|13456|<br>29569|<br>44253|<br>43890|<br>44600|<br>44993|<br>45089|
|30-34|6792|11207|<br>25190|<br>41796|<br>43656|<br>44656|<br>44945|<br>44984|
|35-39|5504|<br>9286|21569|<br>38736|<br>44484|<br>44734|<br>44782|<br>44806|
|40-44|4495|7563|<br>17685|<br>35201|<br>44657|<br>44351|<br>44393|<br>44528|
|4549|3731|6027|14382|<br>31340|<br>43770|<br>43270|<br>43769|<br>44105|
|50-54|3073|4729|11429|<br>26691|<br>41660|<br>41923|<br>42954|<br>43428|
|55-59|2448|<br>3677|9026|<br>21750|<br>37893|<br>40371|<br>41761|<br>42169|
|60-64|1878|<br>2827|<br>6865|<br>17311|<br>32915|<br>38837|<br>39672|<br>39906|
|65-69|1367|<br>2062|<br>4890|<br>12628|<br>26885|<br>35386|<br>35925|<br>36210|
|70-74|897|1357|<br>3152|<br>8477|<br>20108|<br>29517|<br>30078|<br>30728|
|75+|816|1203|<br>2782|<br>8090|<br>21951|<br>40219|<br>46021|<br>**48239**|
|TOTAL|114629|<br>182466|<br>348365|<br>512513|<br>627569|<br>673860|<br>685694|<br>690798|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|21224|<br>31767|<br>45571|<br>43882|<br>44262|<br>44395|<br>44414|<br>**4439**|
|5-9|17162|<br>26873|<br>42922|<br>43826|<br>44479|<br>44486|<br>44421|<br>4384|
|10-14|14275|<br>23397|<br>40183|<br>44931|<br>44781|<br>44499|<br>44386|<br>44365|
|15-19|12026|<br>19599|<br>37023|<br>45495|<br>44715|<br>44364|<br>44324|<br>**44352**|
|20-24|10156|<br>16379|<br>33597|<br>45212|<br>44137|<br>44176|<br>44289|<br>44359|
|25-29|8534|13544|<br>29514|<br>44067|<br>43625|<br>44137|<br>44348|<br>44378|
|30-34|7002|<br>11297|<br>25273|<br>41760|<br>43537|<br>44336|<br>44425|<br>4374|
|35-39|5745|<br>9450|21754|<br>38844|<br>44524|<br>44577|<br>44406|<br>44315|
|40-44|4751|7863|<br>17968|35472|<br>44906|<br>44410|<br>44211|<br>44202|
|45-49|3983|6373|14763|<br>31830|<br>44331|<br>43649|<br>43893|<br>44054|
|50-54|3310|5129|11954|<br>27515|<br>42715|<br>42805|<br>43597|<br>43883|
|55-59|2693|<br>4109|9648|<br>22978|<br>39706|<br>42127|<br>43318|<br>43528|
|60-64|2100|<br>3259|7639|<br>18990|<br>35757|<br>42044|<br>42703|<br>42731|
|65-69|1562|<br>2458|5786|<br>14611|<br>30812|<br>40497|<br>40926|<br>41036|
|70.74|1054|<br>1696|<br>3979|<br>10516|<br>24828|<br>36559|<br>37190|<br>37825|
|75+|1033|<br>1637|<br>4027|<br>11782|<br>32675|<br>62007|<br>73631|<br>77701|
|TOTAL|116610|<br>184830|<br>35!6601|<br>521713|<br>649790|<br>709069|<br>724483|<br>729882|
|BIRTH RATE||43.8|34.1|21.8|15.7|13.6|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE||12.9|8.7|.5|7.3|10.4|12.2|12.5|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.08|2.58|1.56|.84|.32|.08|.03|
|TOTAL<br>FERTI|LITY|6.031|4.354|2.578|2.069|2.051|2.041|2.040|
|eCO)<br>**-** BOT|H<br>SEXES|54.97|61.37|68.77|74.62|76.79|78.36|78.76|
|<br>**INR**<br>- BOTH S|EXES|99.7|65.5|36.2|15.7|10.6|7.4|6.9|
12

*IEST AFRICA

Population projection (thou;ands)

|AGE GRMP<br>1985<br>...............<br>.......................|1990<br>.....|1995<br>__...|2000<br>...<br>....<br>......|2005<br>..........<br>..|2010<br>.........<br>......|2015<br>........<br>.|2020<br>....<br>........|2025<br>.................................|2030<br>..<br>.....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>203741|237878|275932|320243|370680|425109|482616|541984|601837|660437|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>19553|22359|24830|28473|32125|34727|36849|38342|3M145|<br>39084|
|S-9<br>15265|18212|21027|23589|27315|30934|33566|35749|37332|38252|
|10-14<br>12568|14904|17828|20643|23222|26925|30533|33176|35381|36997|
|15-19<br>10534|12318|14627|17519|20312|22878|26559|30158|32812|35038|
|20-24<br>8487|10260|12006|14267|17099|1986'|22410|26068|29659|32332|
|25-29<br>6901|8223|9947|1iL42|13839|16625|19355|21896|25534|29124|
|30-34<br>5694|6673|7955|962A|11270|13432|16177|18885|21421|<br>25046|
|35-39<br>4846|5483|6431|7670|9286|10902|13030|15739|18427|<br>20961|
|40-44<br>4093|4633|5248|6159|7350|8928|10514|12610|15280|<br>17946|
|45-49<br>3434|3872|4389|4977|5846|6999|8534|10086|12140|<br>14761|
|50-54<br>2789|3197|3611|4099|4653|5487|6595|8073|9579|11574|
|55-59<br>2223|2536|2915|3298|3749|4274|5061|6107|7508|<br>8945|
|60-64<br>1693|1949|2232|2570|2912|3327|3811|4533|5495|6787|
|65-69<br>1204|1398|1617|1856|'3|2i43|2807|3234|3868|4714|
|70.74<br>770|904|1056|1226|14.|1642|1886|2183|2534|3052|
|75.<br>626|753|901|1068|1255|147t|1738|2037|2395|2822|
|TOTAL<br>100679|117674|136619|158681|183787|2108'.|239424|268875|298508|<br>327433|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>19404|22191|24592|28142|31685|34242|36326|37791|38575|38509|
|5-9<br>15316|18152|20961|2346|27109|30634|33229|35379|36936|37835|
|10-14<br>12627|14966|17789|20605|23132|26761|30281|32890|35066|36657|
|15-19<br>10605|12389|14707|17511|20315|22836|26452|29971|32597|34798|
|20-24<br>8535|10376|12'32|14420|17189|19974|22490|26096|29619|32269|
|25-29<br>7173|8319|10123|11845|14093|16835|19601|22117|25717|29250|
|30-34<br>6023|6963|8083|9845|11536|13760|16475|19228|21747|25346|
|35-39<br>5146|5819|6737|7831|9551|11223|13422|16115|18856|<br>21381|
|40-44<br>4325|4945|5602|6495|7561|9251|10L|13078|15748|<br>18478|
|45-49<br>3602|4133|4735|5372|6239|7285|8941|10570|12720|<br>15363|
|50-54<br>2962|3409|3919|4497|5111|5957|6980|8596|10196|<br>12312|
|55-59<br>2403|2752|3176|3659|4207|4802|5620|6613|8178|9739|
|60-64<br>1870|2163|- 2487|2878|3324|3843|4411|5192|6143|7636|
|65-69<br>1368|1595|,t754|<br>2140|2485|2892|3368|3896|4621|5507|
|70-44<br>905|1068|1254|1466|1700|1995|2344|2757|3222|3862|
|75+<br>797|965|1164|1392|1654|1965|2350|2820|3389|<br>4062|
|TOTAL<br>103062|120204|139313|161561|186893|214254|243192|273109|303329|<br>333004|
|BIRTHRATE|47.0|44.1|42.7|43.8|38.0|35.1|32.1|29.1|26.1|
|DEATH RATE|16.1|14.4|'3.0|11.5|10.6|9.7|8.9|8.2|7.6|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|3.09|2.97|2.98|2.93|2.74|2.54|2.32|2.10|1.86|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|.1|.0|.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|CROWTH<br>RATE|3.10|2.97|2.98|2.93|2.74|2.54|2.32|2.10|1.86|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.517|6.223|5.916|5.518|5.008|4.501|3.998|3.513|3.071|
|NRR|2.366|2.326|2.290|2.2'9|2.042|1.871|1.695|1.518|1.352|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|50.21|52.15|54.11|56.08|57.53|59.03|60.58|62.17|63.82|
|et1O) - BOTH SEXES|52.82|53.47|53.94|54.38|55.29|56.23|57.19|58.18|59.20|
|INR - BOTHSEXES|112.9|102.1|90.0|77.5|71.7|66.1|60.6|55.0|49.4|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1825|.1630|.1413|.1192|.10S8|.1006|.0915|.0824|.0730|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>97.2|<br>97.6|95.6|92.7|<br>89.7|86.1|80.5|<br>73.9|67.5|<br>61.4|
13 WEST AFRICA

# Population projection (thousands)

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|......................<br>AGE GROJP|.<br>1985|........................................<br>2000|.....<br> <br>2025|2050|I ..<br><br> <br>2075|. ...............<br>2100|. ..............<br>2125|..............<br>..............<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M F|203741|320243|601837|873173|<br>1069803|1152147|1177389|<br>1187280|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|195s3|<br>28473|39145|37873|37887|<br>3.s927|<br>37968|37993|
|5-9|15265|<br>23589|37332|37776|37747|37846|37914|37944|
|10-14|12568|<br>20643|35381|37512|37636|37781|<br>37875|37906|
|15-19|10534|17519|<br>32812|<br>37184|37530|37695|37812|37850|
|20-24|8487|14267|29659|37587|37308|37564|37708|37763|
|25-29|6901|11642|25534|37023|37153|37406|37596|37657|
|30-34|5694|9626|21421|35564|37008|37226|37b66|37567|
|35-39|4846|7670|18427|33381|36562|3'986|3r308|37442|
|40-44|4093|6159|15280|30525|35988|36697|37082|<br>37250|
|45-49|3434|4977|12140|27119|35978|36172|36693|36901|
|50-54|2789|4099|9579|<br>22735|34707|35415|35998|36274|
|55-59|2223|3298|7508|18213|<br>3-068|34124|34774|35132|
|60-64|1693|2570|5495|14527|<br>?815S|31790|32747|33218|
|65-69|1204|<br>1856|<br>3868|i0678|23075|<br>28355|29654|30211|
|70-74|770|1226|2534|6996|17154|<br>24081|25060|25716|
|75+|626|1068|<br>2395|6519|18111|30|38ma6|<br>40092|
|TOTAL|100679|158681|298508|431213|524066|560463|571942|576928|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|19404|28142|38575|37290|37215|37146|37141|371311|
|5-9|15316|23463|36936|37315|37180|37141|37138|37133|
|10-14|12627|20605|35J66|37121|37143|37137|37136|37130|
|15-19|10605|17511|32597|36889|37136|37134|37127|37125|
|20-24|8535|14420|29619|37437|37058|37122|37108|37119|
|25-29|7173|<br>11845|25717|37045|37038|37095|<br>37105|37110|
|30-34|6023|<br>9845|<br>21747|35747|37033|37047|37087|37098|
|35-39|5146|7831|18856|33722|36737|36955|<br>37056|37074|
|40-44|4325|6495|15748|31040|36350|36857|37001|37023|
|45-49|36r?|5372|1272u|27848|36632|36615|368TS|<br>36907|
|50-54|29|4497|10196|23753|35818|36299|36628|36709|
|55-59|2403|3659|8178|19549|33877|35773|<br>36175|36328|
|60-64|1870|2878|6143|16225|30897|34601|35367|35642|
|65-69|1368|2140|4621|12566|26773|32655|33913|34318|
|70-74|905|1466|3222|8857|21489|30045|31123|31742|
|75+|797|1392|3389|9557|27360|52062|61466|64757|
|TOTAL|103062|161561|303329|441959|545736|591685|605447|610:52|
|BIRTH RATE||44.4|34.3|21.4|15.6|13.6|13.0|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE||14.3|9.6|6.8|7.6|10.6|12.1|12.5|
|NETIHIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|**.0**|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|3.01|2.52|1.49|.81|.30|.09|.03|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|6.186|4.353|2.494|2.076|2.052|2.041|2.039|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOT|H<br>SEXES|52.35|59.46|67.65|74.06|76.50|78.24|78.70|
|<br>**IMR-** BOTH|SEXES|100.9|65.7|37.8|17.4|11.4|7.6|7.0|
14 NORTH AFRICA PopuLation projection (thousands)

|ACE CROP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAE.<br>N*F<br>124436|<br>142034|<br>161647|<br>18223|203542|224933|<br>246059|<br>266228|<br>285562|<br>304202|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10660|<br>11352|12502|<br>13167|<br>13735|14026|14171|14010|<br>13961|<br>14086|
|5-9<br>9004|10375|<br>11112|<br>12302|<br>13005|13579|13881|14037|<br>13892|<br>13858|
|10-14<br>7553|8925|10300|<br>11044|<br>12240|12945|13521|<br>13826|<br>13986|<br>13846|
|15-19<br>6704|7475|8844|10218|<br>10965|12160|12866|<br>13444|<br>13754|<br>13919|
|20-24<br>5733|6598|7368|8729|10099|10847|12040|12748|<br>13331|<br>13648|
|25-29<br>5039|5621|6482|7248|<br>8600|9967|10715|<br>11906|<br>12618|<br>13206|
|30-34<br>4156|4934|5515|6371|7133|8478|<br>9839|10587|<br>11776|<br>12493|
|35-39<br>3077|4057|4829|5407|6257|7015|8350|9704|10452|<br>1164|
|40-44<br>229.|2983|3949|4712|5285|6127|6879|8200|9546|<br>10295|
|45-49<br>2119|2204|2874|3818|4567|5133|5962|6705|8007|<br>9340|
|50-54<br>1852|2003|2087|2733|3645|4373|4926|5736|6464|<br>773|
|55-59<br>1543|1708|1852|1934|<br>2544|3409|4104|4638|5417|<br>612|
|60-64<br>1171|1369|1522|1656|<br>1735|2295|3092|3740|4242|<br>4974|
|65-69<br>888|980|1153|1288|<br>1409|1482|1974|<br>2678|3256|<br>3713|
|70-74<br>619|678|753|893|1005|1106|1171|<br>1573|<br>2152|<br>2635|
|75+<br>613|666|734|822|965|1116|1266|<br>1392|<br>1748|<br>2345|
|TOTAL<br>630Z7|71927|81878|<br>92341|<br>103189|114057|<br>124758|<br>134924|<br>144602|<br>153856|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10138|<br>10969|12059-|<br>12680|<br>13209|13489|13627|<br>13472|<br>13422|<br>13537|
|5-9<br>8534|9888|10760|<br>11890|<br>12548|13084|<br>13374|<br>13524|<br>13383|<br>13346|
|10-14<br>7134|8461|9820|10700|<br>11837|12498|13037|<br>13330|<br>13485|<br>13349|
|15-19<br>6314|7064|8387|9746|10628|11766|12430|<br>12973|<br>13272|<br>13433|
|20-24<br>5467|6223|6970|8285|9640|10523|11662|<br>12331|<br>12881|<br>13190|
|25-29<br>4825|5368|6118|6860|8167|95i7|10402|<br>i1542|12218|<br>12778|
|30-34<br>4038|4727|5266|6011|6749|8048|9394|10279|<br>11423|<br>1210|
|35-39<br>3093|3945|4626|C161|<br>5900|6636|7927|9267|10154|<br>11302|
|40-44<br>2397|3009|3847|4518|5048|5784|6516|7797|9131|<br>10022|
|45-49<br>2270|2319|2917|3736|4396|4923|5652|<br>6380|7649|<br>8977|
|50-54<br>1936|2175|2223|2803|3599|4247|4768|5489|6211|<br>7465|
|55-59<br>1657|1823|2051|2099|2655|3425|4056|4569|5278|<br>599|
|60-64<br>1233|1514|. 1670|<br>1884|<br>1933|2460|3192|3799|4300|<br>499|
|65-69<br>959|1069|1319|<br>1461|<br>1657|1710|2194|2870|3440|<br>392|
|70-74<br>682|763|854|1061|<br>1184|1356|1412|<br>1833|<br>2426|<br>293|
|75*<br>731|792|881|993|1201|1409|1658|<br>1848|<br>2288|<br>2999|
|TOTAL<br>61409|70108|79769|<br>89889|<br>100353|110875|<br>121301|<br>131304|<br>140960|<br>150346|
|81RTH RATE|37.1|35.2|32.2|29.6|27.1|24.8|22.4|20.7|19.4|
|DEATH RATE|10.4|9.2|8.2|7.4|7.1|6.8|6.7|6.6|6.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.67|2.60|2.41|2.22|2.00|1.80|1.58|1.40|1.27|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.65|2.59|2.40|2.21|2.00|1.80|1.58|1.40|1.26|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.191|4.726|4.256|3.795|3.363|2.999|2.673|2.455|2.332|
|NRR|2.128|1.995|1.844|1.675|1.491|1.342|1.208|1.119|1.074|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|59.36|61.25|63.01|64.62|65.54|66.49|67.48|68.S1|69.59|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES|57.14|57.74|58.31|58.93|59.57|60.24|60.93|61.66|62.42|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|84.4|71.7|60.2|50.2|46.7|43.1|39.4|35.6|31.6|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|.1126|.0937|.0768|.0629|.0586|.0540|0493|0443|0390|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>85.9|<br> <br>84.2|<br> <br>80.8|<br> <br>75.3|<br> <br>70.3|<br>64.0|<br> <br>59.0|.<br> <br>54.9|.<br> <br>51.8|.<br> <br>49|
Is

# NORTH AFRICA

# Poputation projection (thusands)

# SuLIry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRWP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>..**.**<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>. ..|<br>. ...<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL<br>MF|124436|<br>182230|<br>285562|<br>367850|<br>413561|<br>427272|<br>432249|<br>434201|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|10660|<br>13167|<br>13961|<br>13936|<br>13985|<br>13996|<br>13998|<br>13999|
|5-9|9004|12302|<br>13892|<br>13992|<br>13980|<br>13976|<br>13978|<br>13982|
|10-14|7553|11044|<br>13986|<br>13987|<br>13959|<br>13950|<br>13962|<br>13969|
|15-19|6704|10218|<br>13754|<br>13924|<br>13891|<br>13912|<br>13941|<br>13952|
|20-24|5733|8729|13331|<br>13856|<br>13783|<br>13874|<br>13913|<br>13925|
|25-29|5039|7248|<br>12618|<br>13622|<br>13763|<br>13851|<br>-<br>13886|<br>13893|
|30-34|4156|6371|11776|<br>13541|<br>13799|<br>13829|<br>13849|<br>13857|
|35-39|3077|5407|<br>10452|<br>13539|<br>13748|<br>13770|<br>13791|<br>13811|
|40-44|2297|4712|9546|13198|<br>13620|<br>13649|<br>13706|<br>13744|
|45-49|2119|3818|8007|12641|<br>13434|<br>13443|<br>13578|<br>13629|
|50-54|1852|2733|<br>6464|11717|<br>12978|<br>13221|<br>13365|<br>13416|
|55-59|1543|1934|<br>5417|10517|<br>12475|<br>12860|<br>12969|<br>13012|
|60-64|1171|1656|<br>4242|8727|11760|<br>12137|<br>12264|<br>12316|
|65-69|888|1288|<br>3256|7151|10388|<br>10962|<br>11123|<br>11215|
|70-74|619|893|2152|5015|8453|9253|<br>9426|<br>9575|
|75+|613|822|1748|<br>5185|10978|<br>13829|<br>14791|<br>15132|
|TOTAL|63027|92341|<br>144602|<br>184548|<br>204995|<br>210510|<br>212541|<br>213427|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|10138|<br>12680|<br>13422|<br>13383|<br>13412|<br>13405|<br>13399|<br>13395|
|5-9|8534|11890|<br>13383|<br>13461|<br>13430|<br>13404|<br>13395|<br>13393|
|10-14|7134|10700|<br>13485|<br>13471|<br>13425|<br>13394|<br>13390|<br>13392|
|15-19|6314|9746|<br>13272|<br>13432|<br>13384|<br>13379|<br>13387|<br>13391|
|20-24|5467|8285|<br>12881|<br>13400|<br>13316|<br>13374|<br>13387|<br>13391|
|25-29|4825|6860|<br>12218|<br>13206|<br>13335|<br>13387|<br>13393|<br>13389|
|30-34|4038|6011|<br>11423|<br>13151|<br>13404|<br>13400|<br>13389|<br>13383|
|35-39|3093|5161|<br>10154|<br>13168|<br>13393|<br>13382|<br>13370|<br>13371|
|40-44|2397|4518|9131|12863|<br>13317|<br>13317|<br>13339|<br>13353|
|45-49|2270|3736|<br>7649|12371|<br>13215|<br>13202|<br>13298|<br>13321|
|50-54|1936|2803|<br>6211|11583|<br>12901|<br>13132|<br>13239|<br>13260|
|55-59|1657|2099|<br>5278|10598|<br>12641|<br>13039|<br>13117|<br>13131|
|60-64|1233|1884|<br>4300|9082|12313|<br>12748|<br>12859|<br>12885|
|65-69|959|1461|<br>3440|7658|11432|<br>12156|<br>12332|<br>12411|
|70-74|682|1061|<br>2426|5691|9985|<br>11094|<br>11335|<br>11503|
|75+|731|993|2288|6785|15663|<br>20949|<br>23079|<br>23804|
|TOTAL|61409|89889|<br>140960|<br>183301|<br>208566|<br>216762|<br>219708|<br>220774|
|BIRTH RATE||34.6|24.5|17.2|14.1|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.2|6.9|7.2|9.4|11.8|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 2|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|*°|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.54|1.80|1.01|.47|.13|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|4.678|2.983|2.196|2.075|2.067|2.061|2.061|
|etO)- BOT|H SEXES|61.36|66.70|72.06|76.26|77.65|78.65|78.90|
|<br>IMR- BOTH|SEXES|71.7|43.0|23.9|11.4|8.7|6.9|6.6|
16

|AMERICA||PopuL|ation project|ion (thousan|ds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROWA**<br>1985|<br>1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL.FF<br>666650|721071|775399|826354|<br>873255|918029|961972|003329|<br>1039520|<br>1069401|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>37838|39407|39801|38718|37648|37820|38810|39308|39019|<br>38504|
|5-9<br>34615|37531|39164|39624|38591|37531|37707|38698|39192|<br>38903|
|10-14<br>33325|34S39|37462|39111|39577|38545|37485|37659|38642|<br>39130|
|15-19<br>32127|33211|34435|37365|39017|39482|38454|37398|37568|<br>38545|
|20-24<br>31573|31956|33055|34298|37219|38866|39329|38305|37246|<br>37409|
|25-29<br>286a8|31385|31790|32910|34148|37054|38692|39150|38120|<br>37059|
|30-34<br>25U67|2846|31206|31635|32751|33981|36871|38500|38948|<br>37918|
|35-39<br>20940|24859|<br>28236|<br>30999|31431|<br>32539|33763|36637|<br>38256|<br>38702|
|40-44<br>16860|20683|24583|27951|<br>30699|31128|32230|33449|<br>36303|<br>37919|
|45-49<br>14100|16518|<br>20304|24166|<br>27502|30212|30641|31737|32951|<br>35784|
|50-54<br>12458|13622|16003|19716|<br>23498|26761|29415|29847|<br>30934|<br>3?146|
|55-59<br>11543|11779|12920|15225|<br>18805|22437|25582|28145|<br>28583|<br>29656|
|60-64<br>10052|10573|1o029|11917|<br>14092|17445|20848|23809|<br>26229|<br>26671|
|65-69<br>7931|8771|9273|9535|10531|12490|15509|18573|<br>21258|<br>23462|
|70-74<br>5953|6392|7124|<br>7571|<br>7816|8656|10308|12850|<br>15433|<br>17717|
|75+<br>7038|7487|8112|9017|9839|10448|<br>11395|<br>1312k|<br>15918|<br>19292|
|TOTAL<br>330048|357160|384297|<br>409758|<br>433163|455396|477040|<br>497190|<br>514602|<br>528817|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>36599|37869|38210|37132|36066|36235|<br>37189|37671|37399|<br>36910|
|5-9<br>33607|36360|37691|38090|37052|3,995|<br>36169|37125|37605|<br>37331|
|10-14<br>32380|33567|36328|37674|<br>38077|<br>37038|<br>35981|36153|<br>37103|<br>37576|
|15-19<br>31300|32350|33543|36310|<br>37656|38055|37016|35958|<br>36124|<br>37066|
|20-24<br>31110|31299|32350|33548|<br>36302|37640|38032|36989|<br>35918|<br>36070|
|25-29<br>28438|31113|31302|32357|<br>33539|36278|37607|37990|36932|<br>35848|
|30-34<br>25124|28406|31074|31269|<br>32313|33486|36214|37538|<br>37909|<br>36844|
|35-39<br>21180|25049|28325|30989|<br>31179|32216|33384|36104|<br>37424|<br>37791|
|40-44<br>17217|21058|24914|28182|<br>30833|31021|32056|33222|<br>35936|<br>37258|
|45-49<br>14555|17042|20863|24696|<br>27947|30579|30769|31803|<br>32971|<br>35680|
|50-54<br>13086|14-08|16778|20565|<br>24360|27579|30185|30379|<br>31414|<br>32587|
|55-59<br>12445|12740|13952|16391|<br>20123|23853|27023|29590|<br>29793|<br>30830|
|60-64<br>11242|11929|12233|13424|<br>15812|19444|23070|26164|<br>28671|<br>28890|
|65-69<br>9316|10463|<br>11132|11441|<br>12588|14866|<br>18327|21779|<br>24740|<br>27147|
|70-74<br>7581|8193|9247|9872|<br>10173|<br>11218|13301|16460|<br>19608|<br>22333|
|75+<br>11423|12164|13159|14656|<br>1072|17129|18609|21213|<br>25372|<br>30423|
|TOTAL<br>336603|363911|391102|416596|<br>440093|462633|484932|<br>506139|<br>524918|<br>540584|
|BIRTHRATE|23.4|21.7|19.6|17.9|17.0|16.6|16.0|15.3|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|7.5|7.2|7.1|7.2|7.4|7.7|8.2|8.9|
|RATE OF MAT.INC.|1.53|1.42|1.24|1.08|.98|.92|.83|.70|.57|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.4|.3|.3|.2|.2|.2|.1|.1|.0|
|<br> <br>**CROJTH**<br>RATE|<br>1.57|<br>1.45|<br>1.27|<br>1.10|<br>1.00|<br>.94|<br>.84|<br>.71|.57|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.839|2.671|2.465|2.280|2.183|2.152|2.132|2.111|2.097|
|NRR|1.307|1.233|1.153|1.074|1.029|1.016|1.010|1.004|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|70.17|71.20|72.13|72.97|73.35|73.75|74.18|74.63|75.10|
|edlO)- BOTH SEXES|63.49|64.08|64.57|65.02|65.29|65.59|65.90|66.23|66.57|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|43.9|38.1|32.2|26.7|24.7|22.9|21.0|19.1|17.3|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|0542|0462|0383|0313|0289|0266|_0244_|0222|0199|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>63.0|.<br>60.8|.<br> <br>58.7|.<br>54.8|.<br> <br>50.8|.<br>48.1|.<br>47.7|_._<br> <br>49.1|.<br> <br>51.0|.<br> <br>52.6|
17

# AMERICA

Population projection (thousards)

# Suimry for 25 Year Periods

|. ............................<br>AGE GRWJP<br>1985|......................<br>2000|.......................................<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|._............<br>2125|...<br>............**....**..<br>215n|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>...............<br>..............................|<br>|<br>.....|<br>..<br>.............|<br>........|<br>...............|<br>....<br>......|......<br>...................|
|TOTAL M4F<br>666650|826354|1039520|1146188|1181226|1192473|1197887|1200026|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>37838|38718|39019|38696|38574|38564|38575|38584|
|5-9<br>34615|39624|39192|38559|38450|38494|365iE|38544|
|10-14<br>33325|391ll|38642|382s4|38352|38461|38509|38517|
|15-19<br>32127|37365|37568|38083|38324|38437|38471|38470|
|20-24<br>31573|34298|37246|38166|38339|38379|38390|38389|
|25-29<br>28628|32910|3a120|38511|38345|38264|38279|3826|
|30-34<br>25067|31635|38948|38621|38159|38094|38164|38208|
|35-39<br>20940|30999|38256|37923|37789|37910|38049|38106|
|40-44<br>16860|27951|36303|36662|37444|37748|37901|37945|
|45-49<br>14100|24166|32951|36025|37255|37512|37602|37627|
|50-54<br>12438|19716|30934|36234|37027|36990|36979|37013|
|55-59<br>11543|15225|28583|35799|36031|35771|35804|35898|
|60-64<br>10052|11917|26229|33149|33516|33633|33870|34035|
|65-69<br>7931|9535|21258|28487|29550|30489|30908|31086|
|70-74<br>5953|7571|15433|21947|24870|26091|26481|26608|
|75+<br>7038|9017|15918|29958|39004|41084|41864|42174|
|TOTAL<br>330048|409758|514602|565104|581029|585922|588378|589502|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>36599|37132|37399|37118|36978|36934|36932|36936|
|5-9<br>33607|3809|37605|37027|36909|36913|36929|36934|
|10-14<br>32380|37674|37103|36788|36853|36915|36935|36935|
|15-19<br>31300|36310|36124|36638|36880|36944|36941|36933|
|<br>20-24<br>31110|<br>33548|<br>35918|<br>36796|<br>36981|<br>36968|<br>36933|36923|
|25-29<br>28438|32357|36932|37223|37070|36945|36910|36911|
|30-34<br>25124|31269|37909|37426|36965|36867|36881|36900|
|35-39<br>21180|30989|37424|36861|36697|36789|36865|36889|
|40-44<br>17217|23182|35936|35788|36491|36M|36857|36860|
|45-49<br>14555|24696|32971|35415|36530|36774|36793|36769|
|50-54<br>13086|20565|31414|36115|36720|36665|36591|36572|
|55-59<br>12445|16391|29793|36543|36493|36194|36176|36214|
|60-64<br>11242|13424|28671|35199|35202|35275|35486|35598|
|65-69<br>9316|11441|24740|32254|32821|33816|34262|34400|
|70-74<br>7581|9872|19608|27032|29952|31402|31884|31986|
|75+<br>11423|1456|25372|46864|60655|64380|66133|66762|
|TOTAL<br>336603|416596|524s18|581084|600197|606551|609509|610524|
|BIRTH RATE|21.5|16.5|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|7.6|7.5|10.0|11.8|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.3|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.43|.92|.39|.12|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.650|2.170|2.084|2.063|2.061|2.060|2.060|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|71.21|73.81|76.16|78.03|78.60|78.99|79.09|
|[MR- BOTH SEXES|38.1|22.8|13.7|7.9|7.1|6.5|6.4|
18 LATIN AMERICA **AND** THE CARIBBEAN Population projection (thousands)

|..........<br>..<br>........................<br>AGE**GROLW**<br>1985|.................................................<br>1990|........................................<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..............................|...................|...........................................|||||_.................|||
|TOTAL M*F<br>398591|44102?|483988|524799|562733|599298|635687|670841|703166|731896|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>27485|28608|29194|28534|27547|27543|28271|28632|28369|27920|
|5-9<br>24921|27039|28232|28883|28299|27343|27366|28118|28503|28265|
|10-14<br>23466|24744|26872|28081|28758|28190|27251|27288|28051|28449|
|15-19<br>21467|23259|24547|26685|27916|28608|28059|27139|27191|27969|
|20-24<br>19486|21126|22932|24239|26402|27659|28377|27862|26976|27059|
|25-29<br>16327|19079|20737|22559|23903|26092|27380|28133|27660|26819|
|30-34<br>13717|15967|18721|20393|22244|23614|25823|27139|27923|27490|
|35-39<br>11049|13401|15650|18402|20095|21960|23347|25569|26907|27718|
|40-44<br>9075|10760|13097|15338|18086|19784|21653|23051|25278|26635|
|45-49<br>7691|8781|10447|12754|14976|17694|19385|21247|22649|24870|
|50-54<br>6486|7347|8418|1o"44|12296|14468|17128|18797|20639|22036|
|55-59<br>5513|6059|6889|7919|9477|11631|13719|1628.|17908|19706|
|60-64<br>4351|4976|5493|6271|7235|8686|10691|12649|15058|16611|
|65-69<br>3228|3723|4284|4754|5454|6317|7613|9406|11171|13352|
|70-74<br>2377|2532|2943|3411|3810|4395|5118|6198|7696|9187|
|75+<br>2542|2734|2961|3379|3930|4499|5218|6118|7376|9126|
|TOTAL<br>199183|220134|241417|261645|280426|298481|3164W|333628|349355|363213|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>26724|27580|28106|27434|26449|26449|27151|27500|27249|26821|
|5-9<br>24361|26337|27260|27845|2;239|26285|26312|27037|27411|27186|
|**10-14**<br>22996|24212|26200|27139|27748|27157|26219|26259|26998|27384|
|15-19<br>21063|22843|24068|26066|27027|27651|27077|26155|26210|26963|
|20-24<br>19260|20832|22620|23856|25881|2.869|27518|26972|26077|26159|
|25-29<br>16242|18995|20574|22371|23639|25691|26708|27386|26872|26010|
|30-34<br>13737|16010|18761|20348|22170|23460|25531|26572|<br>27273|<br>26789|
|35-39<br>11102|13537|15807|18554|20159|21994|23299|25382|26443|27165|
|4-44<br>9174|10927|13350|15612|18359|19970|21812|23126|25217|26295|
|45-49<br>7856|9003|10740|13143|15395|<br>18127|19738|21581|22902|24996|
|50-54<br>6731|<br>7657|8791|10506|12878|15106|17lO|19417|21256|22582|
|55-59<br>5806|6486|7396|<br>8510|10190|<br>12513|14702|173.3|18960|20789|
|60-64<br>4712|5479|.6141|7024|8108|9732|<br>11978|14106|16701|18279|
|65-69<br>3613|4277|4998|5628|6467|7492|9023|11145|13172|<br>15653|
|70-74<br>2777|<br>3052|3639|4281|4853|5608|6535|7913|9827|11680|
|75+<br>3255|3666|4120|4837|5745|6713|7P76|9299|11243|<br>13933|
|TOTAL<br>199408|220894|242570|263154|282307|300817|319288|337213|353811|368683|
|BIRTH RATE|28.6|26.2|23.3|20.6|19.3|18.5|17.7|16.6|15.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.4|6.8|6.3|6.1|6.3|6.5|6.8|7.1|7.6|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|2.12|1.94|1.69|1.45|1.30|1.21|1.09|.95|.80|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-.9|-.8|*.7|-.5|-.4|-.3|-.2|-.1|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|2.02|1.86|1.62|1.40|1.26|1.18|1.08|.94|.80|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.568|3.150|2.776|2.457|.. 293|2.230|2.187|2.145|2.113|
|**IRR**|1.589|1.426|1.275|1.142|1.070|1.045|1.029|1.013|1.003|
|**e(O)**- BOTH SEXES|66.56|68.00|69.30|70.47|71.08|71.70|72.34|73.00|73.68|
|**e(1O)**- BOTH SEXES|61.46|62.14|62.73|63.28|63.70|64.14|64.59|65.06|65.54|
|**IHQ**- BOTH SEXES|55.8|48.0|40.2|33.3|30.8|28.3|25.9|23.4|21.0|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES|.0692|.0584|.0481|.0392|.0362|-0332|.0303|.0273|.0243|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>72.7|<br>68.0|64.0|58.7|53.6|49.3|47.2|47.1|47.7|<br>48.5|
19

# LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIB8EAN

# Population projection (thousands)

# Sulnary for 25 Year Periods

|. ..<br>............<br>AGE GRCJP|......................<br>1985|<br>2000|..<br>..........<br>2025|.................<br>2050|..<br>........<br>2075|.<br>.............<br>2100|..<br>......<br>2125|.....<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>**M+F**|398591|524799|703166|814391|853076|864277|869430|8714|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|27485|28534|28369|28098|28005|27999|28008|<br>28016|
|5-9|24921|28883|28503|27996|27907|27944|27975|<br>27986|
|10-14|23466|28081|28051|277m4|<br>27V15|<br>27916|27959|<br>27967|
|15-19|21467|26685|27191|27587|27798|27898|27931|<br>27932|
|20-24|19486|<br>24239|26976|27640|27811|27858|27872|<br>27872|
|25-29|16327|22559|<br>27660|27946|27827|277n|27789|<br>27804|
|30-34|13717|<br>20393|27923|28034|27687|27640|27701|<br>27738|
|35-39|11049|<br>18402|<br>26907|27462|27392|27493|27613|<br>27664|
|40-44|9075|15338|<br>25278|26454|27097|27367|27504|<br>27547|
|45-49|7691|12754|<br>22649|25992|26945|27194|27288|<br>27315|
|50-54|6486|10044|<br>20639|26165|26822|26821|26831|<br>26865|
|55-59|5513|7919|17908|<br>25494|26087|25923|25966|<br>26|
|60-64|4351|6271|15058|<br>23091|24178|24336|24547|<br>24691|
|65-69|3228|4754|11171|19565|<br>21203|<br>22006|<br>22386|<br>22546|
|70-74|2377|3411|7696|14795|<br>17801|<br>18800|19170|<br>19294|
|75+|2542|3379|7376|<br>18129|<br>27255|29465|30235|<br>30537|
|TOTAL|199183|261645|349355|402222|419641|424431b|<br>426774|<br>427825|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|26724|27434|27249|27003|26889|26851|26849|<br>26851|
|5-9|24361|27845|27411|269 8|26835|26833|26846|<br>26850|
|10-14|22996|27139|<br>26998|26746|26786|26834|26851|<br>26851|
|15-19|21063|26066|26210|26602|26802|<br>26856|26856|<br>265|
|20-24|19260|<br>23856|26077|26715|26880|26878|26851|<br>26842|
|25-29|16242|<br>22371|26872|27085|26961|26862|2633|26832|
|30-34|13737|<br>20348|27273|27245|26885|26800|26809|<br>26824|
|35-39|11102|<br>18554|<br>26443|26774|26669|26733|26796|<br>26816|
|40-44|9174|¶5612|<br>25217|25904|26479|26716|26790|<br>26796|
|45-49|7856|13143|<br>22902|25630|26498|26719|26746|<br>26129|
|50-54|6731|10506|<br>21256|26166|26681|26649|26598|<br>26583|
|55-59|5806|8510|18960|<br>26173|26506|26296|26287|<br>26319|
|60-64|4712|7024|16701|<br>24649|25477|<br>25593|25769|<br>25866|
|65-69|3613|5628|13172|22329|<br>23618|24472|24866|<br>24991|
|70-74|2777|4281|9827|18389|<br>21477|22682|<br>23126|<br>23232|
|75+|3255|4837|11243|<br>27861|41991|46069|47783|<br>48386|
|TOTAL|199408|<br>263154|353811|412169|433435|439844|442656|443619|
|BIRTH RATE||25.9|18.4|14.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||6.8|6.6|8.8|11.3|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 8|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.83|1.17|.59|.19|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.131|2.256|2.091|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)**-** BOT|H SEXES|68.04|71.79|75.17|77.68|78.42|78.93|79.06|
|**IMR-** BOTH S|EXES|48.1|28.3|16.1|8.4|7.3|6.6|6.5|
20

|NORTHERN<br>AMERICA||Popul|ation project|ion (thousan|ds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**AGE GROUP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.......................................................................................|..........................................|||||||||
|TOTALK+F<br>268059|280043|291411|<br>301554|<br>310522|318731|326285|332488|<br>336355|<br>337505|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10353|<br>10798|<br>10608|<br>10184|<br>10101|10276|10539|<br>10675|<br>10650|<br>10584|
|5-9<br>9693|10492|10932|<br>10741|<br>10292|10188|10341|<br>10580|<br>10690|<br>10638|
|10-14<br>9859|9795|10590|<br>11029|<br>10819|10354|10234|<br>10371|<br>10591|<br>10681|
|15-19<br>10660|<br>9952|9887|10681|<br>11101|10875|10395|<br>10259|<br>10: 16|<br>10576|
|20-24<br>12086|<br>10830|<br>10122|<br>10059|<br>10818|11207|10952|<br>10443|<br>102.0|<br>10350|
|25-29<br>12301|<br>12306|11053|<br>10351|<br>10245|10962|11311|<br>11017|<br>10460|<br>10240|
|30-34<br>11350|1248G|<br>12485|<br>11242|<br>10506|10368|11048|<br>11361|<br>11025|<br>10428|
|35-39<br>9891|11458|12585|<br>12598|<br>11336|10579|10416|<br>11068|<br>11349|<br>10983|
|40-44<br>7784|9923|11485|<br>12613|<br>12613|11345|10576|<br>10398|<br>11025|<br>11284|
|45-49<br>6410|m77|9857|11412|<br>12525|12519|11257|<br>10489|<br>10302|<br>10913|
|50-54<br>5972|6275|7585|9672|11202|12293|12287|<br>11050|<br>10296|<br>10111|
|55-59<br>6030|5720|6031|7306|9328|10806|11863|<br>11863|<br>10674|<br>9950|
|60-64<br>5701|5597|5336|5646|6856|8760|10157|<br>11160|<br>11170|<br>10060|
|65-69<br>4704|5049|4989|4781|5077|6173|7897|<br>c168|10087|<br>10110|
|7C-74<br>3576|3860|4180|4160|4006|4261|5191|6652|<br>7738|<br>8529|
|75+<br>4496|4753|5152|5639|5909|5949|6177|70L;6|<br>8543|<br>10166|
|TOTAL<br>130865|137026|142879|<br>148113|<br>152736|156915|<br>160640|<br>163562|<br>165247|<br>165603|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9875|10289|10105|<br>9698|9617|9786|10038|<br>10171|<br>10149|<br>10088|
|5-9<br>9246|10023|10432|<br>10245|<br>9813|9710|9858|10088|<br>10194|<br>10146|
|iO-14<br>9384|9355|10128|<br>10535|<br>10329|9881|9762|9894|<br>10105|<br>10192|
|15-19<br>10238|9507|9474|10244|<br>10629|10405|9939|9803|<br>9914|<br>10103|
|20-24<br>11850|10467|9730|9692|10421|10m|10514|<br>10017|<br>9841|<br>9911|
|25-29<br>12196|12118|10728|<br>9986|9900|10587|10899|<br>10605|<br>10060|<br>9837|
|30-34<br>11387|12396|<br>12313|<br>10921|<br>10143|10026|<br>10683|<br>10966|<br>10635|<br>10055|
|35-39<br>10078|11512|12518|<br>12434|<br>11020|10222|10085|<br>10723|<br>10981|<br>10626|
|40-44<br>8043|10131|11564|<br>12569|<br>12474|11051|10244|<br>10097|<br>10720|<br>10964|
|45-49<br>6699|8040|10123|<br>11553|<br>12552|12453|11031|<br>10222|<br>10069|<br>10684|
|50-54<br>6354|6651|7987|10059|<br>11482|12473|12375|<br>10962|<br>10158|<br>10005|
|55-59<br>6639|6254|6556|7881|9933|11340|12321|<br>12227|<br>10834|<br>10041|
|60-64<br>6529|6450|.6092|6399|7703|9712|11092|<br>12057|<br>11971|<br>10611|
|65-69<br>5703|6186|6135|5813|6122|7374|9304|10634|<br>11568|<br>11494|
|70-74<br>4804|5141|5609|5591|5321|5610|6766|8547|<br>9781|<br>10654|
|75+<br>8168<br>|8498<br> <br>|9039<br> <br>|9819<br> <br>|10327<br> <br>|10416<br>|10733<br> <br>|<br>11914<br> <br>|<br>14129<br> <br>|<br>16491<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>137195|<br>143017|<br>148531|<br>153442|<br>157786|161816|<br>165644|<br>168926|<br>171108|<br>171901|
|BIRTH RATE|15.4|14.5|13.4|12.9|12.8|12.8|12.7|12.5|12.4|
|DEATH RATE|9.0|8.7|8.6|8.7|8.9|9.1|9.6|10.5|11.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.64|.58|.48|.42|.39|.37|.31|.20|.07|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|2.3|2.2|2.0|1.6|1.3|1.0|.7|.3|.0|
|**GROWH**RATE|.87|.80|.68|.59|.52|.47|.38|.23|.07|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.867|1.864|1.863|1.897|1.930|1.962|1.994|2.025|2.055|
|NRR|.898|.898|.898|.915|.932|.948|.963|.979|.994|
|**e(O)**- BOTHSEXES|75.70|76.38|76.95|77.40|77.54|77.68|77.82|77.97|78.13|
|e(tO)- BOTHSEXES|66.60|67.22|67.71|68.10|68.23|68.36|68.50|68.63|68.77|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES|10.2|9.4|8.6|7.9|7.8|7.7|7.6|7.4|7.3|
|q(5)-BOTHSEXES|0114|0104|0095|0087|0086|0084|0083|0081|0080|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.4|.<br> <br>50.7|.<br> <br>50.6|.<br> <br>48.3|.<br> <br>45.9|.<br>45.7|.<br>48.7|.<br> <br>53.4|.<br> <br>58.6|.<br> <br>62.5|
21 .........................

# NORTHERN AMERICA Population projection (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|................<br>AGE**GRaJP**<br>................|......................<br>1985<br>......................|...............<br>2000<br>..........|2025|.................<br>2050<br>.........<br>....|..............<br> <br>2075<br>.............|2100<br>............................|..................................<br> <br>2125<br>..|..........<br> <br>21! 0<br>.........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>MF|268059|<br>301554|<br>336355|<br>331798|<br>328150|<br>328196|<br>328457|<br>328582|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|10353|<br>10184|<br>10650|<br>10598|<br>10569|<br>10565|<br>10567|<br>10569|
|5-9|9693|10741|<br>10690|<br>10563|<br>10543|<br>10551|<br>10556|<br>10558|
|10-14|9859|11029|<br>10591|<br>10511|<br>10527|<br>10545|<br>10550|<br>10551|
|15-19|10660|<br>10681|<br>10376|<br>10496|<br>10526|<br>10539|<br>10539|<br>10538|
|20-24|12086|<br>10059|<br>10270|<br>10526|<br>10528|<br>10522|<br>10517|<br>10516|
|25-29|12301|<br>10351|<br>10460|<br>10565|<br>10518|<br>10492|<br>10490|<br>10492|
|30-34|11350|<br>11242|<br>11025|<br>10587|<br>10471|<br>10454|<br>10463|<br>10469|
|35-39|9891|12598|<br>11349|<br>10461|<br>10396|<br>10416|<br>10436|<br>10442|
|40-44|7784|12613|<br>11025|<br>10208|<br>10347|<br>10381|<br>10397|<br>10398|
|45-49|6410|11412|<br>10302|<br>10033|<br>10310|<br>10318|<br>10315|<br>10312|
|50-54|5972|9672|10296|<br>10070|<br>10206|<br>10169|<br>10148|<br>10148|
|55-59|6030|7306|10674|<br>10305|<br>9944|9848|<br>9838|<br>9849|
|60-64|5701|5646|11170|<br>10058|<br>9338|9296|<br>9324|<br>9344|
|65-69|4704|4781|10087|<br>8922|<br>8347|<br>8483|<br>8523|<br>8539|
|70-74|3576|4160|7738|7151|<br>7069|<br>7291|<br>7311|<br>7314|
|75.|4496|5639|8543|11829|<br>11749|<br>11619|<br>11629|<br>11637|
|TOTAL|130865|<br>148113|<br>165247|<br>162882|<br>161388|<br>161488|<br>161604|<br>161676|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|9875|9698|10149|<br>10115|<br>10089|<br>10083|<br>10084|<br>10085|
|5-9|9246|10245|<br>10194|<br>10089|<br>10075|<br>10079|<br>10083|<br>10084|
|10-14|9384|10535|<br>10105|<br>10042|<br>10068|<br>10081|<br>10084|<br>10084|
|15-i9|10238|<br>102%4|<br>9914|10036|<br>10078|<br>10087|<br>10085|<br>10083|
|20-24|11850|<br>9692|9841|10080|<br>10100|<br>10090|<br>10083|<br>10081|
|25-29|12196|<br>9986|10060|<br>10137|<br>10109|<br>10083|<br>10077|<br>10078|
|30-34|11387|<br>10921|<br>10635|<br>10180|<br>10080|<br>10067|<br>10072|<br>10076|
|35-39|10078|<br>12434|<br>10981|<br>10086|<br>10028|<br>10055|<br>10070|<br>10073|
|40-44|8043|12569|<br>10720|<br>9884|<br>10012|<br>10056|<br>10066|<br>10065|
|45-49|6699|11553|<br>10069|<br>9785|<br>10032|<br>10055|<br>10047|<br>10040|
|50-54|6354|10059|<br>10158|<br>9949|<br>10039|<br>10016|<br>9993|<br>9989|
|55-59|6639|7881|10834|<br>10410|<br>9987|9898|<br>9889|<br>9896|
|60-64|6529|6399|11971|<br>10550|<br>9725|<br>9683|<br>9716|<br>9733|
|65-69|5703|5813|11568|<br>9925|<br>9203|<br>9344|<br>9397|<br>9409|
|70-74|4804|5591|9781|8643|<br>8475|<br>8720|<br>8757|<br>8755|
|75.|8168|9819|14129|<br>19002|<br>18664|<br>18311|<br>18350|<br>18376|
|TOTAL|137195|<br>153442|<br>171108|<br>168915|<br>166762|<br>166708|<br>166854|<br>166905|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||14.4|12.8|12.4|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.8|9.4|12.9|13.0|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|2.2|1.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.78|.44|-. 05|-.04|.00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|1.873|1.962|2.064|2.063|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|eCO)**-** BOTH|SEXES|76.36|77.69|78.43|78.93|79.06|79.16|79.18|
|<br>**IHR**<br>**-** BOTH S|EXES|9.4|7.7|7.1|6.6|6.5|6.3|6.3|

........................................ ......
22 ASIA Population projection **(thousands)**

|...<br>..<br>......<br>...<br>AGE GROLU|.......<br>.<br>P<br>1985|_............<br>1990|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>1995|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>2000|.<br>.,<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2005|.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>2010|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2015|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>2020|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2025|._<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>....<br>....<br>,...........|<br> <br>.........................................|<br>..............................................|<br>.............................................._|<br>_._...__._______.____|||||||
|TOTAL**1+F**|2822987|3099790|3385458|3664203|3933802|4189523|4434170|4673077|4901249|5110807|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|174385|192891|201248|202267|202423|201505|202375|206289|208612|208541|
|5-9|166428|170835|189778|198673|200241|200512|199753|200788|204852|207338|
|10-14|170767|165329|169837|188861|197871|199477|199792|199090|200183|204299|
|15-19|162355|169526|164194|168755|187B07|196837|198499|198874|198248|199417|
|20-24|134751|160619|167832|162591|167187|186213|195285|<br>197042|<br>197522|197023|
|25-29|114007|132999|158740|165965|160815|165422|184437|193574|195455|196069|
|30-34|104780|112431|131325|156923|164172|159092|163722|182735|191945|193957|
|35-39|84492|103180|110791|129554|155000|162246|157253|161W14|<br>180926|190217|
|40-44|70075|82814|101316|108852|127443|152657|159902|155026|159729|178724|
|45-49|63631|68086|80666|98863|106278|124581|149449|156684|151978|156731|
|50-54|56955|60977|65391|77669|95373|102588|120447|144765|151967|112|
|55-59|46731|<br>53396|57304|<br>61584|73357|<br>90290|97210|114372|13780|W<br>7os|
|-0-64|35666|42348|4855'|52230|56268|67279|83056|89545|105642|i27688|
|65-69|27310|30654|36580|42087|45404|49090|58979|73090|78956|93485|
|70-74|17256|21520|24372|29239|33779|36598|39755|48062|59857|64845|
|75.|16237|19208|23660|27917|33531|39644|44827|49875|58694|71985|
|TOTAL|1445826|1586813|1731583|1872030|2006949|<br>2134031|2254r4z|2371725|2482365|2582739|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|165008|184438|192515|193528|193727|192907|193811|197633|199930|199926|
|5-9|157183|161331|181278|189960|191583|191913|191275|192370|196371|198859|
|10-14|160061|156083|160361|180421|189249|190915|191294|<br>190721|191885|<br>195952|
|15-19|150879|158903|155040|159406|179538|188399|190127|190575|190088|191341|
|20-24|129830|149347|157439|153688|158136|178277|187202|189036|'89599|<br>189251|
|25-29|1n0993|<br>128153|147655|155804|152166|156657|176819|185835|187809|188525|
|30-34|100005|107377|126485|145961|154163|150601|155145|175333|184453|<br>186586|
|35-39|79242|98379|105747|124782|144214|152422|148954|153565|173785|183026|
|40-44|65268|77699|96658|104001|122929|142254|150477|147131|151826|<br>172076|
|45-49|58845|63643|75946|94651|101945|120686|139865|148109|144926|<br>149725|
|50-54|52749|56864|61630|73730|92075|99277|117755|136725|144996|142037|
|55-59|43837|50230|54281|5897?|<br>70782|88607|95684|113789|132456|14,0757|
|60-64|35486|40711|4820|50748|55326|66689|83766|90667|108226|<br>126439|
|65-69|28667|31555|36391|42042|45758|50125|60797|76740|83355|100036|
|70-74|19548|23583|26247|30457|35403|38764|42758|52320|66499|72609|
|75+|21559|24680|29382|34018|39859|46998|53698|60801|72679|<br>90922|
|TOTAL|1377160|1512977|1653874|1792173|1926853|2055492|2179428|2301351|2418884|2528068|
|BIRTH RATE||27.7|26.1|23.9|22.0|20.4|19.2|18.5|17.7|16.9|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.9|8.4|8.0|7.7|7.7|7.8|7.9|8.1|8.5|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|1.88|77|1.59|1.43|1.26|1.14|1.05|.95|.84|
|NET HIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|**-.I**|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.87|1.76|1.58|1.42|1.26|1.14|1.05|.95|.84|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.466|3.184|2.924|2.755|2.606|2.469|2.385|2.318|2.265|
|NRR||1.477|1.370|1.276|1.231|1.181|1.125|1.092|1.068|1.051|
|**e(O)**<br>- BOT|H SEXES|63.87|65.30|66.62|67.84|68.49|69.18|69.92|70.71|71.54|
|**e(10)**- **BO**|**TH**<br>SEXES|59.69|60.30|60.83|61.34|61.80|62.30|62.82|63.38|63.96|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|71.1|61.5|52.9|45.3|42.3|38.8|35.3|31.8|28.5|
|q(5)-BOT|H SEXES|0939|0799|0676|0567|0530|0485|0440|0395|0352|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>66.2|.<br>61.6|.<br>60.2|.<br>59.0|.<br>55.8|.<br>52.3|.<br> <br>50.1|.<br> <br>49.5|.<br>49.5|.<br> <br>50.2|
23

# ASIA

# Population projection (thousands)

# Sumery for 25 Year Periods

|A-3CAOUP|1965|2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...**..........**<br>_<br>.......**...**............|....|......<br>...........|.........|..<br>...<br>..<br>.|.<br>....<br>....<br>........|....<br>........|................|.|
|TOTAL<br>N+F|2822987|<br>3664203|<br>4901249|<br>5728310|<br>6139758|<br>6288284|<br>6344356|<br>6366618|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|174385|<br>202267|<br>208612|<br>205069|<br>204610|<br>204793|<br>204937|<br>204995|
|5-9|166428|<br>198673|<br>204852|<br>203582|<br>20416'|204578|<br>204735|<br>204771|
|10-14|170767|<br>188861|<br>200183|<br>203146|<br>204197|<br>204495|<br>204584|<br>204596|
|15-19|^'2355|168755|<br>198248|<br>204706|<br>204192|<br>204220|<br>204273|<br>204313|
|20-24|134751|<br>162591|<br>197522|<br>205645|<br>203571|<br>203575|<br>203746|<br>203881|
|25-29|114007|<br>165965|<br>195455|<br>204406|<br>202767|<br>202761|<br>203220|<br>203426|
|30-34|104780|<br>156923|<br>191945|<br>200622|<br>201017|<br>202072|<br>202756|<br>202980|
|35-39|84492|129554|<br>180926|<br>194977|<br>199956|<br>201579|<br>202221|<br>202393|
|40-44|70075|<br>108852|<br>159729|<br>191683|<br>200573|<br>200801|<br>201263|<br>201422|
|45-49|63631|98863|<br>151978|<br>188977|<br>199879|<br>198780|<br>199314|<br>199621|
|50-54|56955|<br>77669|<br>151965|<br>183443|<br>195452|<br>195075|<br>195757|<br>196393|
|55-59|46731|<br>61584|<br>137802|<br>173670|<br>185769|<br>187m73|<br>189651|<br>190569|
|60-64|35666|<br>52230|<br>105642|<br>153567|<br>170529|<br>_177018_|<br>179722|<br>18067T|
|65-69|27310|<br>42087|<br>78956|<br>121807|<br>152290|<br>162094|<br>163921|<br>164798|
|70-74|17256|<br>29239|<br>59857|<br>97884|<br>127994|<br>138552|<br>139727|<br>140702|
|75+|16237|<br>27917|<br>58694|<br>*33459|<br>184267|<br>209601|<br>218644|<br>222268|
|TOTAL|1445826|<br>1872030|<br>2482365|<br>2866644|<br>3041232|<br>3097726|<br>3118470|<br>3127805|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|165008|<br>193528|<br>199930|<br>196858|<br>196331|<br>196322|<br>196382|<br>196385|
|5-9|157183|<br>189960|<br>196371|<br>195617|<br>196192|<br>196365|<br>196398|<br>196372|
|10-14|160061|<br>180421|<br>191885|<br>195273|<br>196429|<br>196475|<br>196404|<br>196353|
|15-19|150879|<br>159406|<br>190088|<br>196928|<br>196729|<br>196492|<br>196342|<br>196314|
|20-24|129830|<br>153688|<br>189599|<br>198143|<br>196604|<br>196306|<br>196218|<br>196272|
|25-29|108993|<br>155804|<br>187809|<br>197262|<br>196245|<br>196000|<br>196157|<br>196246|
|30-34|100005|<br>145961|<br>184453|<br>193816|<br>194902|<br>195802|<br>196151|<br>196220|
|35-39|79242|<br>124782|<br>173785|<br>188555|<br>194269|<br>195860|<br>196147|<br>196128|
|40-44|65268|<br>104001|<br>151826|<br>185696|<br>195428|<br>195839|<br>195937|<br>195866|
|45-49|58845|<br>94651|<br>144926|<br>183804|<br>195732|<br>1 5065|<br>195237|<br>195272|
|50-54|52749|<br>73730|<br>144996|<br>179979|<br>193230|<br>193458|<br>193897|<br>194249|
|55-59|43837|<br>58977|<br>132456|<br>173362|<br>187052|<br>189884|<br>191775|<br>192427|
|60 64|35486|<br>50748|<br>108226|<br>157987|<br>177327|<br>185329|<br>188365|<br>189124|
|65-69|28667|<br>42042|<br>83355|<br>12977m|<br>166428|<br>179003|<br>181618|<br>182444|
|70-74|19548|<br>30457|<br>66499|<br>111145|<br>150248|<br>16531|4<br>16787|9<br>169095|
|75+|21559|<br>34018|<br>72679|<br>177464|<br>265380|<br>317042|<br>340979|<br>350046|
|TOTAL|1377160|<br>1792173|<br>2418884|<br>2861666|<br>3098525|<br>3190557|<br>3225837|<br>3238813|
|BIRTH RATE||25.8|19.4|15.4|13.6|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||854|7.9|9.2|10.8|12.1|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 1|**-.0**|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.74|1.16|.62|.28|.10|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.170|2.496|2.171|2.072|2.064|2.060|2.059|
|**etO)-** BOT|H SEXES|65.34|69.31|73.43|76.80|77.93|78.75|7'8.|
|<br>IMR**-** BOTH S|EXES|61.8|38.7|21.7|10.4|8.2|6.8|6.6|
24 EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA PoputatfOn p.rojectlon (thousands)

|..................................<br>AGEGROLIP<br>1985<br>.........................|.....<br>1990<br>....................................|...............................................<br> <br>1995<br>.............|.....................<br>2000|2005|2010<br>___.......<br>..|2015<br>.............................................|2020<br>.....................|*.. ...<br>...<br>..............<br>2025|..<br>2030<br>...|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M#F<br>165006|1751418|<br>1914497|<br>2037847|21470%|2244253|2335259|2422678|2503060|2570460|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>82504|94207|97780|**95558**|91295|88854|89668|91947|93102|92416|
|5-9<br>85911|01541|93407|97161|95105|90894|88494|89337|91643|92828|
|10-14<br>98724|<br>85509|81215|<br>93108|96908|94876|90692|<br>88313|89171|91490|
|15-19<br>97554|98179|85076|80845|92753|9656W|<br>94564|90415|88064|88943|
|20-24<br>79834|96751|97438|84467|80314|92203|96036|94086|89995|87692|
|25-29<br>68501|79033|95s84|96642|83820|79719|91590|<br>95452|<br>93565|89545|
|30-34<br>66753|67764|78276|95086|95908|83197|79147|91002|94895|<br>93073|
|35-39<br>52602|65956|67002|77490|94252|95109|82519|78527|90362|94289|
|40-44<br>42392|51781|65016|66102|76555|93192|94090|81660|77742|<br>89542|
|45-49<br>39172|41421|50697|63749|64878|75207|91644|92594|<br>80399|76589|
|50-54<br>35715|37810|40064|49147|61899|63030|73153|89256|90272|<br>78439|
|55-59<br>29713|33794|35857|38088|46840|59061|60190|69968|85515|86608|
|60-64<br>23123|27238|31075|33065|35224|43415|54826|55944|65170|79831|
|65-69<br>16806|20163|23872|27341|29184|31172|38536|48764|49849|58235|
|70-74<br>11627|13536|16339|19461|22386|23967|25691|31880|40454|4146|
|75+<br>10090|12980|15800|19270|23334|27552|30899|33959|<br>40193|49794|
|TOTAL<br>841019|907663|974811|1036580|<br>1090654|<br>1138015|1181738|<br>1223103|<br>1260391|<br>1290775|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>78128|90696|94007|91761|87577|85242|86029|88220|<br>89333|s8868|
|5-9<br>80287|77373|90093|93562|91451|87311|85011|85826|88044|<br>89186|
|10-14<br>92354|79979|77131|89881|93395|91305|87187|84906|<br>85736|87969|
|15-19<br>92149|91933|79658|76867|89645|93177|91116|87029|84773|<br>856|
|20-24<br>79033|91509|91375|79224|76507|89286|92849|<br>90836|86801|84590|
|25-29<br>65742|78312|90793|90759|78752|<br>76081|88861|92464|90515|86545|
|30-34<br>63618|65046|77597|90095|90166|78263|75641|88420|92068|9018|
|35-39<br>48860|62864|64338|76873|89385|89514|77m72|<br>75166|87942|91640|
|40-44<br>39062|48154|62033|63561|76069|88532|88730|<br>77097|74603|87370|
|45-49<br>36176|38300|47302|61016|62604|75009|87395|87682|76251|73852|
|50-54<br>33585|35173|37316|46186|59671|61286|73538|85809|86216|75067|
|55-59<br>28489|32232|33839|35999|44683|57798|59449|71477|83576|84143|
|60-64<br>23853|26756|30375|31995|34173|42538|55119|<br>56819|68513|80347|
|65-69<br>18559|21556|24304|27717|29343|31474|39339|51104|<br>52855|64001|
|70-74<br>13927|i5678|18339|20816|23902|25444|27458|34519|45006|46|
|75+<br>15257|18193|<br>21185|<br>24958|29119|<br>33977|38069|42202|50439|63704|
|TOTAL<br>s80976|873755|<br>939685|1001267|1056442|<br>1106238|<br>1153522|<br>119957s|<br>1242669|1279684|
|BIRTH RATE|22.6|21.5|19.5|17.5|16.2|15.7|15.4|15.1|14.5|
|DEATH RATE|7.1|7.0|6.9|7.0|7.3|7.7|8.1|8.5|9.2|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|1.54|1.45|1.26|1.05|.89|.80|.74|.65|.53|
|NETMIGRATION RATE|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|
|GROJIH<br>RATE|1.53|1.44|1.25|1.04|.89|.80|.74|.65|.53|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.662|2.474|2.307|2.205|2.150|2.117|2.104|2.098|2.094|
|NRR|1.221|1.138|1.070|1.035|1.015|1.002|.998|.999|1.000|
|eIO) - BOTH SEXES|68.38|69.65|70.80|71.84|72.33|72.83|73.36|73.90|74.47|
|eO10)- BOTHSEXES|61.83|62.44|63.05|63.67|64.06|64.47|64.89|65.33|65.79|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|39.6|32.0|26.0|21.2|20.0|18.7|17.4|16.0|14.7|
|qC5) - BOTH SEXES|.0508|.0399|.0315|.0251|.0236|.0220|.0204|.0187|.0171|
|DEP.RATIO<br>57.8|52.3|51.8|52.4|49.7|46.5|45.2|<br>46.7|<br>48.4|<br>50.9|
2!

# EAST **AND** CUTHEAST ASIA

# Population projectfon (thousards)

# StAmmry for 25 Year Periocis

|....................**....**............<br>......<br>AGE**GROJP**|......................<br>1965|......<br>2000|........<br>Za25|.......................................<br>2050|..............<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........................................|.................................|...............................|||||||
|TOTAL**I+F**|1650096|2037847|2503060|2718791|2793141|2821530|2834915|2840027|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|82504|95558|93102|91389|91112|91197|91267|91292|
|5-9|85911|97161|91643|90603|90849|91103|91192|91202|
|10-14|98724|<br>93108|89171|90132|90873|<br>91111|91148|<br>91133|
|15-19|97554|80845|88064|90582|91067|91058|91026|91009|
|20-24|79834|84467|89995|91606|91027|90801|90790|90813|
|25-29|68501|96642|93565|91893|90579|90391|90530|90612|
|30-34|66753|95086|94895|90307|89679|90018|90326|90428|
|35-39|52602|77490|90362|87517|8B964|89834|90139|90193|
|40-44|42392|66102|77742|85953|89086|89711|89791|89782|
|45-49|39172|63749|80399|87067|89451|89077|88967|88985|
|50-54|35715|49147|90272|88971|88395|87396|87359|87533|
|55-59|29713|38088|85515|87253|84306|84094|84612|84959|
|60-64|23123|33065|65170|78306|77418|79233|80270|80623|
|65-69|16806|27341|49849|60959|69374|72584|73467|73638|
|70-74|11627|19461|40454|53628|60232|62701|62896|62945|
|75+|lo09|19270|40193|85177|94996|97352|98910|99720|
|TOTAL|841019|1036580|1260391|1351343|1377429|1387661|<br>1392689|1394867|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|78128|'1761|89333|8M6|87402|87418|87464|87477|
|5-9|80287|93562|88044|87062|87260|87429|87478|87476|
|10-14|92354|89881|85736|<br>86675|87364|<br>87512|87498|87471|
|15-19|92149|76867|847m|87215|<br>87672|<br>87577|87481|87451|
|20-24|79033|79224|86801|<br>88381|<br>8M726|<br>87511|<br>87417|87424|
|25-29|65742|90759|90515|S883|87585|87315|<br>87357|<br>87409|
|30-34|63618|90095|92068|87490|86899|<br>87150|<br>87348|<br>87407|
|35-39|48860|<br>76873|<br>87942|84967|<br>86434|<br>87197|87388|<br>87386|
|40-44|39062|63561|74603|83692|86827|87396|<br>87362|<br>87285|
|45-49|36176|61016|76251|85193|137682|<br>87305|<br>87085|87021|
|50-54|33585|46186|86216|87965|87554|86583|86460|86547|
|55-59|28489|<br>35999|83576|87967|85156|85013|85486|85753|
|60-64|23853|31995|68513|81625|80906|82972|&4061|84358|
|65-69|18559|27717|<br>52855|65651|76399|80284|81356|81498|
|70-74|13927|20816|45006|60836|71525|75108|75585|75648|
|75+|15257|24958|50439|116159|141222|150099|155399|<br>157549|
|TOTAL|809076|1001267|1242669|1367448|1415712|1433869|<br>1442226|1445160|
|BIRTH RATE||21.1|9|13.8|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||7.0|7.8|10.5|12.0|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|-. 1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.41|.82|.33|.11|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|2.465|2.134|2.082|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|**e(O)-** BOT|H SEXES|69.67|72.89|75.72|77.89|78.53|78.97|79.07|
|**IMR- BOTH**<br>S|<br>EXES|32.5|18.6|12.1|7.8|7.0|6.5|6.4|
2'

**SaJTN** ASIA

|**SaJTN**<br>ASIA|||Popu|lation projec|tionCthouw|ands)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GRCU**|1985|1990|19s|2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................|......................||||...................................|.....................................|..........................||||
|TOTAL<br>N1F|1OSB21|2<br>186390|1319460|<br>1454021|<br>1592466|<br>1n73=|l585823|3<br>19e5o6|21083W|<br>2226760|
|tALES|||||||||||
|0-4|82860|<br>88116|<br>91597|93992|<br>97632|<br>98442|<br>97597|<br>98s75|<br>9926|99867|
|5-9|72710|<br>80448|85963|89783|<br>92537|<br>96242|<br>97169|<br>96457|<br>97456|<br>98364|
|10-14|65027|72065|79824|<br>85391|<br>89276|<br>92048|<br>95771|<br>96733|<br>96063|<br>97097|
|15-19|58621|64377|71409|<br>79159|<br>P4743|<br>8643|<br>91439|<br>95187|<br>96195|<br>95580|
|20-24|49459|57720|<br>63472|70471|<br>78183|<br>a3776|<br>87703|<br>90544|<br>94338|<br>95424|
|25-29|40767|48529|56740|62456|<br>69404|<br>77089|<br>82699|<br>8666|6<br>89569|<br>93424|
|30-34|34105|39946|47652|55782|<br>'14S5|<br>68375|<br>76037|<br>8166|9<br>85682|<br>88651|
|35-39|28715|33326|39111|46723|<br>Ss|60401|<br>67290|<br>7493|1<br>80589|<br>84656|
|40-44|25150|21897|32455|38137|<br>e22|<br>53556|<br>59166|<br>66018|<br>73631|<br>79319|
|45-49|22258|24192|26905|31353|<br>56882|<br>44218|<br>52014|<br>5757|2<br>64365|<br>71930|
|5c-54|19236|21054|<br>22948|25568|<br>2983Y|<br>35188|<br>42305|<br>49897|<br>55369|<br>62062|
|55-59|15405|1M4|19463|<br>21256|<br>23725|<br>27785|<br>32873|<br>39664|<br>46946|<br>52268|
|60-64|11409|13651|1577I|17359|<br>18997|<br>21303|<br>25061|<br>29775|<br>36092|<br>42909|
|65-69|977%|<br>9519|<br>IU4S2|<br>13273|<br>14651|<br>1613C|<br>18198|<br>21534|<br>25727|<br>31372|
|70-74|5022|7411|<br>7265|<br>8779|10213|<br>11367|<br>12617|14351|1711|6<br>20604|
|'5+|5546|5544|7158|7795|<br>9109|10758|12408|1,163|16345|<br>19491|
|TOTAL|546064|611518|679183|747277|817025|885321|950347|<br>1013639|<br>1074744|<br>1133018|
|FE4ALES|||||||||||
|0-4|78090|83573|<br>87103|89567|<br>93222|94055|933c|94210|<br>95026|95664|
|5-9|69349|75327|<br>81158|85116|88031|91m|92750|92161|<br>93210|<br>94178|
|10-14|60939|68605|74642|80552|84605|87545|91313|92336|9179|8<br>92896|
|15-19|52891|60250|67927|73992|<br>79944|84018|86990|90795|<br>91875|91403|
|20-24|45673|<br>52058|<br>59400|67062|731fl|<br>79101|<br>83212|S6239|<br>9010|6<br>91276|
|25-29|39072|<br>44780|51143|58441|66070|72144|<br>78138|82301|85403|<br>89351|
|30-34|32893|38208|43887|50205|57452|65057|71138|<br>M65|81389|<br>84577|
|35-39|27528|<br>32076|37343|<br>42970|49230|56431|64012|70106|7617|80468|
|40-44|ZB41|26745|<br>31242|36435|41989|48196|55348|62904|69013|75123|
|45-49|2Ls43|<br>23034|25906|30321|35410|40892|47034|54125|61644|67766|
|50-54|17314|19634|22077|24886|<br>29179|34158|39547|<br>45601|52607|<br>60071|
|55-59|13770|16233|18477|<br>20838|23548|<br>27704|32536|37796|43729|50617|
|60-64|10521|12487|44801|<br>16917|<br>19146|<br>21748|<br>25712|30339|35415|41173|
|65-69|9293|9011|10778|12854|<br>14763|16837|19272|<br>22950|27272|<br>32063|
|70-74|4940|7237|<br>7093|8554|10273|<br>11931|13761|15930|<br>1917|3<br>23022|
|75+|5491|5615|_729_|8036|9447|11475|<br>13814|<br>16510|1972|4<br>24093|
|TOTAL|512148|<br>574872|<br>640276|706743|775441|843065|907885|<br>971467|1033556|<br>1093741|
|BIRTH RATE||34.6|31.8|29.0|27.1|24.9|22.7|21.3|20.0|18.9|
|DEATH RATE||11.6|10.4|9.5|8.8|8.5|8.2|8.0|8.0|8.0|
|RATE OF NA|T,.:'.|2.30|2.14|1.95|1.82|1.64|1.45|1.32|1.21|1.09|
|NET_MIGR2A_<br> <br>`|_T0h_<br>MATE<br>|-.1<br>|-.1<br>|-.1<br>|-.1<br>|-.0<br>|-.0<br>|-.0<br>|.0<br>|.0<br>|
|GROWTH<br>-Te||2.29|2.13|1.94|1.82|1.64|1.45|1.32|1.20|1.09|
|TOTAL**t-f**|**.TY**|4.699|4.211|3.726|3.381|3.056|2.767|2.596|2.470|2.376|
|NRR||1.841|1.699|1.545|1.433|1.310|_1.207_|1.149|1.104|1.073|
|**etO)**<br>BOT|H SEXES|57.03|58.91|60.67|62.33|63.40|64.51|65.66|66.86|68.10|
|**e(dO)-** BO|TH SEXES|56.38|57.13|57.66|58.11|58.80|59.50|60.24|61.01|61.81|
|**_IMR_**- BOTH<br>|SEXES<br>|102.4|90.8|78.8|67.0|61.8|56.7|51.5|46.2|40.9|
|q(S)**-** BOT<br>|H SEXES<br>|.1368|.1200|.1025|.0852|.0786|.0721|.0654|.0584|.0516|
|OEP. RATIO|<br>79.6|76.0|71.8|67.1|62.7|58.6|<br>54.8|<br>51.6|<br>49.5|<br>48.6|
27 Poputation projection **(thouasnds)**

# SOUTH ASIA

Suwry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRaJP<br>198s5|<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.**.........**.......................|..<br>. .................|. ....|<br>....<br>....<br>....|..<br>........................|..................|||
|TOTALN.F<br>1058212|<br>1454021|210830|2613512|2882O86|<br>2976635|3013602|<br>3028917|
|MALES||||||||
|o s-<br>82860|93992|99262|97589|97472|<br>97564|97632|97660|
|5-9<br>72710|<br>89783|97454|97025|97333|97469|97523|97543|
|10-14<br>65027|85391|96063|97139|97362|97393|<br>97428|97451|
|15-19<br>58621|79159|96195|<br>98192|<br>97202|97191|97259|97313|
|20-24<br>49459|70471|94338|98010|96635|96839|<br>97005|97110|
|25-29<br>40767|62456|89569|96594|96277|96487|96782|<br>96894|
|30-34<br>34105|55782|<br>85682|<br>94879|95585|<br>96232|96567|96669|
|35-39<br>28715|46723|80589|92885|95346|<br>95987|<br>96268|96363|
|40-44<br>25150|38137|73631|<br>92181|95877|<br>95431|<br>95732|<br>95875|
|45-49<br>22258|31353|64365|89262|94848|94167|94746|95008|
|50-54<br>19236|<br>25568|55369|82878|91833|92373|<br>93064|93487|
|55-59<br>15405|<br>21256|46946|76101|87164|88930|90191|90700|
|0-64<br>11409|<br>17359|<br>36092|66758|80352|83955|<br>85403|85925|
|65-69<br>9775|13273|<br>25727|<br>54425|72134|<br>76897|77671|<br>78271|
|70-74<br>5022|8779|17116|39583|59177|65053|65911|66742|
|75+<br>5546|7795|16345|<br>42854|78236|96328|102628|<br>1rl5150|
|TOTAL<br>546064|747277|1074744|1316356|<br>1432832|<br>1468296|<br>148180|8<br>1488162|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>78090|89567|95026|<br>93720|<br>93582|93571|<br>93586|93576|
|5-9<br>69349|85116|<br>93210|93241|93602|93609|935as|<br>93565|
|10-14<br>60939|80552|<br>91798|<br>93345|93739|<br>93633|93574|93552|
|15-19<br>52891|73992|<br>91875|94386|93744|93582|93531|93534|
|20-24<br>45673|67062|90106|<br>94311|93441|93462|93476|93522|
|25-29<br>39072|58441|85403|93033|93282|93363|93480|93515|
|30-34<br>32893|50205|81389|91393|92743|93351|93491|<br>93496|
|35-39<br>27528|42970|76172|89468|92656|93380|<br>93454|93432|
|40-44<br>23841|36435|69013|s8849|93384|93199|93284|<br>93287|
|45-49<br>20543|30321|61644|86274|9278o|<br>92540|92901|92999|
|50-54<br>17314|<br>24886|52607|80587|90604|91713|92279|92531|
|55-59<br>13770|20838|43729|75027|87469|90000|91301|91652|
|60-64<br>10521|<br>16917|35415|67531|83118|87872|<br>S9603|<br>90008|
|65-69<br>9293|12854|<br>27272|57049|78205|84775|86121|86706|
|70-74<br>4940|8554|19173|44878|68598|77300|79190|<br>802137|
|75+<br>5491|8036|19724|54146|108305|142991|<br>1589-34|<br>165143|
|TOTAL<br>512148|706743|1033556|<br>1297236|1449254|1508339|<br>15317|1540755|
|BIRTH RATE|31.6|22.9|16.8|14.0|13.2|**12.4**|12.7|
|DEATH<br>PATE|10.4|8.3|8.3|10.1|11.9|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATI0%<br>RATE|**-.1**|-. 0|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|**.0**|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.12|1.49|.86|.39|**.13**|.05|.02|
|TOTALFERTILITY|4.169|2.817|2.228|2.081|2.068|2.060|2.060|
|eCO) - BOTHSEXES|59.00|64.72|70.89|75.71|77.36|78.54|7a.84|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|90.5|56.7|30.4|12.7|9.3|7.1|6.7|
28

|SWJTHIEST<br>ASIA<br>..........<br>.................|.......................|Popla<br>..|tion<br>projecti<br>....................|on<br>(thousan<br>...............................|ds)||......|..........|.. ..<br>........<br>........................|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GRWP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|2030|
|..............<br>.........................|......||_........._____.||_......|.....................||||
|TOTAL .FP<br>114679|<br>131982|151501|<br>172335|<br>194240|216884|<br>240678|<br>265292|<br>289889|<br>313588|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4021|10568|11871|<br>12717|13496|14208|<br>15110|<br>15866|<br>16248|<br>16258|
|5-9<br>7808|8845|10407|<br>11729|12599|13375|<br>14090|<br>14994|<br>1575')|<br>16146|
|10-14<br>7016|7756|8798|10362|11686|12554|<br>13330|<br>14045|<br>14949|<br>15712|
|15-19<br>6181|6971|7709|8751|<br>10312|11630|<br>12496|<br>13273|<br>13988|<br>14894|
|20-24<br>5458|<br>6148|6922|7653|8689|10235|<br>11547|<br>12412|<br>13190|<br>13907|
|25-29<br>4739|<br>5437|6106|6867|7591|<br>8614|<br>10149|<br>11455|<br>12321|<br>13100|
|30-34<br>3922|4721|<br>5397|6055|6809|7521|<br>8538|<br>10065|<br>11367|<br>12233|
|35-39<br>3175|3898|4678|5341|5993|6736|<br>7444|<br>8457|<br>9974|11272|
|40-44<br>2533|3136|3844|4613|5266|5909|<br>6645|<br>7348|<br>8356|9863|
|45-49<br>2201|2474|3064|3762|4518|5156|<br>5790|<br>6517|7214|<br>8212|
|50-54<br>2005|2113|2379|2954|3635|4371|<br>4989|<br>5611|<br>6325|7011|
|55-59<br>1614|1878|1984|<br>2241|2792|3444|<br>4147|<br>4740|5341|6032|
|60-64<br>1135|1459|1703|<br>1806|2048|2561|<br>3169|<br>3826|4379|4948|
|65-69<br>729|972|<br>1255|<br>1473|1570|1787|<br>2246|<br>2791|<br>3380|3878|
|70-74<br>607|573|<br>769|999|1179|<br>1264|<br>1447|<br>1830|<br>2287|2780|
|75+<br>601|684|703|<br>852|<br>1088|1334|<br>1520|<br>1753|<br>2156|2700|
|TOTAL<br>58743|67632|77589|88173|99270|110695|<br>122657|<br>134983|<br>147230|<br>158946|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8790|10169|11404|12199|12928|13610|<br>14475|<br>15203|<br>15571|<br>15582|
|5-9<br>7547|8630|10027|<br>11283|12101|12829|<br>13514|<br>14383|<br>15117|<br>15495|
|10-14<br>6768|7499|8588|9989|11249|<br>12065|<br>12794|<br>13480|<br>14351|<br>15087|
|15-19<br>5839|6720|7455|8547|9949|11205|<br>12022|<br>12751|<br>13440|<br>14313|
|20-24<br>5125|5780|6663|7402|8496|<br>9890|<br>11142|<br>11961|<br>12693|<br>13386|
|25-29<br>4179|5061|5719|6604|7344|<br>8432|<br>9820|<br>11070|<br>11891|<br>12628|
|30-34<br>3494|4123|<br>5001|5661|6545|7280|<br>8365|<br>9748|10996|<br>1'821|
|35-39<br>2854|3440|4067|4940|5599|6477|<br>7210|<br>8293|9670|10918|
|40-44<br>2366|2800|3382|4006|4871|5526|<br>6399|<br>7130|8210|9583|
|45-49<br>2127|2309|2738|<br>3314|3931|4785|5435|<br>6302|7031|8107|
|50-54<br>1851|2057|2237|2659|3225|3833|<br>4671|<br>5315|6174|6899|
|55-59<br>4"78|<br>1764|1965|2141|2552|3105|3699|<br>4516|5151|5998|
|60-64<br>1112|1468|- 1644|<br>1836|2007|2403|<br>2936|<br>3509|4298|4919|
|65-69<br>815|988|1309|<br>1472|<br>1651|1815|<br>2186|<br>2687|3229|3972|
|70-74<br>6s2|<br>669|815|1087|1228|1389|<br>1539|<br>1871|<br>2320|2809|
|75'<br>811<br> <br>|872|<br>897|1024|1293|1547|<br>1815|<br>2090|2516|3124|
|TOTAL<br>55936|64350|73913|<br>84162|<br>94969|106189|<br>118021|<br>130309|<br>142659|<br>154642|
|sIRTH RATE|36.6|35.3|32.7|30.3|28.3|27.0|25.6|23.8|21.8|
|OEATH RATE|8.8|7.8|7.0|6.4|6.3|6.2|6.1|6.0|6.1|
|RATEOrNAT.INC.|2.79|2.75|2.57|2.39|2.21|2.08|1.95|1.77|1.57|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.2|.1|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.81|2.76|2.58|2.39|2.21|2.08|1.95|1.77|1.57|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.107|4.762|4.364|4.002|3.670|3.413|3.178|2.944|2.717|
|NRR|2.168|2.066|1.930|1.815|1.680|1.561|1.461|1.362|1.265|
|etO) - BOTH SEXES|63.42|65.04|66.52|67.87|68.56|69.27|70.02|70.80|71.62|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|59.98|60.45|60.97|61.52|61.98|62.46|62.97|63.50|f-4.06|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|73.1<br>|62.2|52.1|43.3|40.4|37.4|34.5|31.4|23.3|
|qt5)- BOTH SEXES|.0952|.0793|.0653|.0536|.0501|0465|0428|0390|0350|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>80.6|<br> <br>78.9|<br>79.0|<br> <br>77.4|<br> <br>73.2|<br> <br>68.0|.<br> <br>64.2|.<br> <br>61.5|.<br> <br>59.3|<br>16.|
29

# SOUTHWEST ASIA

Population projection (thousands)

# Sumnry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRaUP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|<br>2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..<br>...<br>., . ...<br>......<br>..<br>.....|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL I+F<br>114679|<br>172335|<br>289889|<br>395927|<br>464531|<br>490119|<br>495840|<br>497673|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9021|12717|<br>16248|<br>16091|<br>16027|<br>16031|<br>16038|<br>16043|
|5-9<br>7808|11729|<br>15755|<br>15953|<br>15985|<br>16006|<br>16020|<br>16025|
|10-14<br>7016|10362|<br>14949|<br>15876|<br>15963|<br>15991|<br>16008|<br>16012|
|15-19<br>6181|8751|13988|<br>15932|<br>15923|<br>15971|<br>15988|<br>15991|
|20-24<br>5458|7653|13190|<br>16029|<br>15910|<br>15935|<br>15951|<br>15958|
|25-29<br>4739|6867|12321|<br>15919|<br>15911|<br>15883|<br>15908|<br>15920|
|30-34<br>3922|6055|11367|<br>15436|<br>15752|<br>15821|<br>15863|<br>15883|
|35-39<br>3175|5341|9974|14575|<br>15626|<br>15758|<br>15M1|3<br>15837|
|40-44<br>2533|4613|8356|13549|<br>15610|<br>15659|<br>15740|<br>15765|
|45-49<br>2201|3762|7214|<br>12648|<br>15580|<br>15536|<br>15601|<br>15628|
|50-54<br>2005|2954|6325|11594|<br>15224|<br>15307|<br>15334|<br>15374|
|55-59<br>1614|<br>2241|5341|10316|<br>14299|<br>14710|<br>14849|<br>14910|
|60-64<br>1135|<br>1806|<br>4379|8503|<br>12759|<br>13831|<br>14049|<br>14129|
|65-69<br>729|1473|<br>3380|<br>6422|<br>10781|<br>12613|<br>12783|<br>12889|
|70-74<br>607|999|2287|<br>4673|<br>8586|<br>10797|<br>10921|<br>11014|
|75+<br>601|852|2156|<br>5427|<br>11035|<br>15921|<br>17106|<br>17398|
|TOTAL<br>58743|<br>88173|<br>147230|<br>198945|<br>230972|<br>241769|<br>243972|<br>244775|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>8790|12199|<br>15571|<br>15422|<br>15346|<br>15332|<br>15332|<br>15332|
|5-9<br>7547|<br>11283|<br>15117|<br>15313|<br>15330|<br>15328|<br>15331|<br>15331|
|10-14<br>6768|9989|14351|<br>15253|<br>15325|<br>15330|<br>15332|<br>15331|
|15-19<br>5839|<br>8547|13440|<br>15328|<br>15312|<br>15334|<br>15331|<br>15329|
|20-24<br>5125|<br>7402|12693|<br>15451|<br>15337|<br>15333|<br>153Zo|<br>.5326|
|25-29<br>4179|<br>6604|11891|<br>15377|<br>15378|<br>15322|<br>15320|<br>15322|
|30-34<br>3494|<br>5661|10996|<br>14933|<br>15261|<br>15301|<br>15312|<br>15317|
|35-39<br>2854|<br>4940|9670|<br>14120|<br>15179|<br>15283|<br>15305|<br>15310|
|40-44<br>2366|<br>4006|8210|<br>13155|<br>15216|<br>15245|<br>15291|<br>15294|
|45-49<br>2127|<br>3314|7031|<br>12337|<br>15270|<br>15220|<br>15251|<br>15252|
|50-54<br>1851|<br>2659|<br>6174|<br>11427|<br>15072|<br>15163|<br>15159|<br>15171|
|55-59<br>1578|<br>2141|<br>5151|<br>10368|<br>14427|<br>14871|<br>14988|<br>15022|
|60-64<br>1112|<br>1836|<br>4298|<br>8831|<br>13303|<br>14485|<br>14700|<br>14758|
|65-69<br>815|1472|<br>3229|<br>7077|<br>11824|<br>13944|<br>14142|<br>14239|
|70-74<br>682|1087|<br>2320|<br>5431|<br>10125|<br>12906|<br>13104|<br>13211|
|75+<br>811|1024|<br>2516|<br>7160|<br>15853|<br>23951|<br>26646|<br>27354|
|TOTAL<br>55936|<br>84162|<br>142659|<br>196982|<br>233559|<br>248349|<br>251867|<br>252898|
|BIRTH RATE|34.7|26.7|18.7|14.6|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.8|6.2|6.4|8.3|11.1|12.3|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.72|2.08|1.25|.64|.21|.05|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.705|3.379|2.373|2.076|2.066|2.062|2.062|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|65.13|69.46|73.56|76.85|77.95|78.75|78.95|
|1-<br>BOTH SEXES|61.9|37.1|21.5|10.2|8.1|6.8|6.6|
30

**EUROPE** AND U.S.S.R.

Population projection (thousands)

|**AGE**<br>GROJP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|2000|2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>770724|<br>787184|<br>800880|<br>812998|<br>823232|<br>831404|<br>**38473**|<br>843741|<br>847874|<br>849785|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>29134|29171|27806|<br>26930|<br>27107|<br>27371|<br>27493|<br>27358|<br>27175|<br>27186|
|5-9<br>29001|29029|29077|<br>27731|<br>26869|<br>27049|<br>27314|<br>27440|<br>27308|<br>27130|
|10-14<br>29453|28935|28968|<br>29023|<br>27687|<br>26827|<br>27009|<br>27277|<br>27405|<br>27277|
|15-19<br>30281|29333|28827|<br>28870|<br>28936|<br>27609|<br>26757|<br>26943|<br>27215|<br>27348|
|20-24<br>32291|30061|29140|<br>28650|<br>28711|<br>28784|<br>27476|<br>26637|<br>26832|<br>27112|
|25-29<br>31546|31977|29818|<br>28922|<br>28453|<br>28523|<br>28608|<br>27324|<br>26502|<br>26708|
|30-34<br>29119|31205|31690|29592|<br>28722|<br>28261|<br>28341|<br>28438|<br>27178|<br>26375|
|35-39<br>25498|28750|30863|31396|<br>29359|<br>28501|<br>28049|<br>28141<br>|<br>28253<br>|<br>27019|
|40-44<br>21593|25095|28334|30464|<br>31046|29058|<br>28217|<br>_2MI_|_7_<br>27884|<br>28012|
|45-49<br>24572|21103|24580|27784|<br>29922|30531|<br>28611|<br>27795|<br>27374|<br>27498|
|50-54<br>21333|23655|20431|23846|<br>26985|29090|<br>29732|<br>27906|<br>27128|<br>26735|
|55-59<br>20563|20138|22393|19452|<br>22733|25755|<br>27803|<br>28478|<br>26785|<br>26063|
|60-,A<br>15160|18775|18499|<br>20628|<br>18036|<br>21123|<br>23924|<br>25874|<br>26577|<br>25064|
|65-69<br>9724|13243|16418|<br>16285|<br>18213|<br>16023|<br>18796|<br>21308|<br>23103|<br>23816|
|70-74<br>l0158|7859|10786|<br>13382|<br>13372|<br>14974|<br>13275|<br>15610|<br>17716|<br>19271|
|75.<br>12045|12862|11780|<br>13491|<br>16257|<br>17670|<br>19591|<br>19430|<br>21177|<br>23684|
|TOTAL<br>371470|381190|389408|396446|<br>402426|<br>407150|<br>410998|<br>413737|<br>415612|<br>416299|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>28085|27829|26503|25651|<br>25808|26071|<br>26198|<br>26076|<br>25908|<br>25924|
|5-9<br>27758|28015|27768|26455|<br>25613|25773|<br>26039|<br>26171|<br>26054|<br>25890|
|10-14<br>27962|27725|27985|27741|<br>26432|25593|<br>25756|<br>26024|<br>26159|<br>2604|
|15-19<br>29004|27921|27687|27950|<br>27711|26407|<br>25571|<br>25737|<br>26009|<br>26146|
|20-24<br>31065|28943|27866|27635|<br>27903|27668|<br>26371|<br>25542|<br>25713|<br>25990|
|25-29<br>30506|30979|28872|27801|<br>27574|27847|<br>27619|<br>26332|<br>25511|<br>25689|
|30-34<br>28443|30401|30889|28797|<br>27735|27312|<br>27790|<br>27570|<br>26292|<br>25479|
|35-39<br>25222|28317|30284|30788|28715|27659|<br>27440|<br>27m74|<br>27512|<br>26245|
|40-44<br>21780|25070|28161|30135|<br>30657|28603|<br>27556|<br>27342|<br>27633|<br>27430|
|45-49<br>25410|21571|24855|27934|<br>29914|30451|28425|<br>27391|<br>27184|<br>27484|
|50-54<br>22745|24994|21270|24535|<br>27592|29565|30121|<br>28138|<br>27125|<br>26930|
|55-59<br>24172|22172|24405|20831|<br>24060|27065|29025|<br>29607|<br>27688|<br>26707|
|60-64<br>20s68|23175|'21341|23534|<br>20168|23318|26242|<br>28178|<br>28794|<br>26970|
|65-69<br>14432|19441|21653|20039|<br>22151|19068|<br>22079|<br>24866|<br>26752|<br>27409|
|70-74<br>16873|12706|17230|19253|<br>17938|19860|<br>17205|<br>19969|<br>225Z1|<br>24299|
|75.<br>24929<br> <br>|26736<br>|24703<br>|27473<br>|30835|31794|34038|<br>33336|<br>35408|<br>38849|
|TOTAL<br>399254|405994|411472|416551|420806|<br>424254|427474|<br>430003|<br>432262|<br>433486|
|BIRTH RATE|14.9|13.9|13.2|13.1|13.1|13.0|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RAIE|10.7|10.4|10.2|10.6|11.1|11.3|11.6|11.7|12.2|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|.43|.35|.31|.25|.20|.17|.13|.10|.05|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.42|.34|.30|.25|.20|.17|.13|.10|.05|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.960|1.887|1.861|1.905|1.948|1.985|2.016|2.043|2.066|
|NRR|.940|.893|.882|.913|.937|.955|.968|.982|.995|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|72.79|73.63|74.37|75.02|75.30|75.59|75.90|76.22|76.55|
|eClO)- **BOTH**<br>SEXES|64.28|64.96|65.53|66.03|66.28|66.55|66.82|67.10|67.40|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|18.3|15.9|13.9|12.1|11.7|11.3|10.8|10.3|9.8|
|qC5)- BOTH SEXES|.0214|.0184|.0158|.0137|0132|0127|0121|0115|0109|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.8|50.3|<br>51.1|<br>50.7|<br> <br>51.1|.<br> <br>50.3|.<br> <br>51.4|.<br> <br>53.7|.<br> <br>56.7|.<br> <br>59.4|
31

# EUROPE **AND** U.S.S.R.

# PoputatIon projection (thousands)

# Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|**AGE GROWP**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|<br>2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|, ,,,.................<br>...............................|..........||,,,,,,,,...|............................,,,,........|............|||
|TOTAL<br>N F<br>770724|812998|847874|842933|839312|842354|844574|<br>845556|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>29134|26930|27175|27211|27216|27225|27227|<br>27229|
|5-9<br>29001|27731|27308|27213|27180|27188|27196|<br>27200|
|10-14<br>29453|29023|27405|27182|27137|27157|27174|<br>27180|
|15-19<br>30281|28870|27215|27117|27078|27117|27142|<br>27148|
|20-24<br>32291|28650|e6832|<br>26998|27012|27065|27091|<br>27095|
|25-29<br>31546|28922|26502|26890|26984|27008|27028|<br>27033|
|30-34<br>29119|29592|27178|26956|26951|26938|26958|<br>26970|
|35-39<br>25498|31396|28253|26942|26854|26835|26869|<br>26891|
|40-44<br>21593|30464|27884|26612|26691|26685|26743|<br>26773|
|45-49<br>24572|27784|27374|26016|26391|26446|26522|<br>26555|
|50-54<br>21333|23846|27128|25274|25904|26052|26107|<br>26136|
|55-59<br>20563|19452|<br>26785|25087|25217|25294|25327|<br>25360|
|60-64<br>15160|<br>20628|26577|<br>24598|23905|23943|23988|<br>24039|
|65-69<br>9724|16285|23103|22038|21571|21788|21866|<br>21940|
|70-74<br>10158|13382|17716|<br>18433|<br>18109|<br>18549|<br>18689|<br>18774|
|75+<br>12045|<br>13491|<br>21177|28567|28480|29172|29661|<br>29832|
|TOTAL<br>371470|396446|415612|413135|412681|414459|415589|416157|
|FEHALES||||||||
|0-4<br>28085|25651|25908|25980|25977|259653|<br>25964|<br>25963|
|5-9<br>27758|26455|26054|26004|25974|25,961|<br>25959|<br>25959|
|10-14<br>27962|27741|26159|25986|25957|25953|<br>25957|<br>25958|
|15-19<br>29004|27950|26009|25947|25935|25949|25956|<br>25Vo7|
|20-24<br>31065|27635|25713|25886|25929|25953|25955|<br>25954|
|25-29<br>30506|27801|25511|25850|25955|25958|25951|<br>25948|
|30-34<br>28443|28797|26292|25988|25972|25949|25940|<br>2593|
|35-39<br>25222|30788|27512|26064|25938|25919|25920|<br>25925|
|40-44<br>21780|30135|27633|25866|25868|25870|25892|<br>25901|
|45-49<br>25410|27934|27184|<br>25479|25736|25051|25836|<br>25842|
|50-54<br>22745|24535|27125|25104|25558|25697|25719|<br>25719|
|55-59<br>24172|20831|27688|25551|25429|25471|25478|<br>25479|
|60-64<br>20868|23534|28794|26140|25028|24996|25024|<br>25042|
|65-69<br>14432|<br>20039|26752|25161|23928|24067|24140|<br>24185|
|70-74<br>16873|19253|<br>22521|22774|21846|22261|22422|<br>22488|
|75+<br>24929|27475|35408|46019|45600|46122|46872|47141|
|TOTAL<br>399254|416551|432262|429798|426631|427895|428985|429399|
|BIRTH RATE|14.0|13.0|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|10.4|11.3|12.9|12.9|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.36|.17|-. 02|-.02|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.909|1.978|2.070|2.065|2.064|2.064|2.064|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|73.61|75.61|77.25|78.49|78.83|79.06|79.12|
|**IHR**- **BOTH**SEXES|16.1|11.3|8.9|7.3|6.8|6.4|6.3|
32 OCEANIA Population projection (thowands)

|,,. ............................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|..<br>1995|........<br>............<br>2000|<br>2005|...<br>2010|....<br>....<br>2015|...<br>2020|......<br>2025|..<br>....<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALt+F<br>24646|26740|28950|31041|32974|34734|36314|37643|38770|39730|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1218|1298|1379|1416|1438|1452|1463|1460|1442|<br>1446|
|5-9<br>1134|<br>1237|<br>1319|1396|1428|1445|1454|1459|1455|<br>1438|
|10-14<br>1190|1151|1255|1332|1405|1434|1447|1451|1456|<br>1453|
|15-19<br>1176|<br>1204|1167|1266|1339|1408|1432|1441|1446|<br>1451|
|20-24<br>1107|<br>1201|<br>1231|<br>1187|<br>1279|<br>1344|<br>1405|<br>1422|<br>1432|<br>1437|
|25-29<br>1030|1142|1238|<br>1258|<br>1205|<br>1287|<br>1341|<br>1393|<br>1410|<br>1421|
|30-34<br>939|1060|1172|1259|1271|1211|1284|1329|1380|<br>1399|
|35-39<br>890|958|1080|1186|1265|1271|1205|<br>1271|<br>1315|<br>1367|
|40-44<br>724|897|968|1084|1184|1258|1260|<br>1191|<br>1256|<br>1300|
|45-49<br>625|<br>722|<br>893|961|1073|<br>1169|<br>1239|<br>1239|<br>1171|<br>1235|
|50-54<br>549|<br>610|<br>707|<br>873|939|<br>1047|<br>1140|<br>1208|<br>1208|<br>1142|
|55-59<br>547|<br>524|<br>583|<br>677|836|<br>901|<br>1005|<br>1094|<br>1159|<br>1160|
|6064<br>468|<br>505|<br>486|<br>542|<br>631|<br>780|<br>841|<br>939|<br>1023|<br>1085|
|65-69<br>359|<br>413|<br>447|<br>432|482|<br>564|<br>698|<br>755|<br>844|<br>920|
|70-74<br>265|<br>293|<br>340|<br>369|358|<br>401|<br>471|<br>584|<br>633|<br>/09|
|75+<br>277|<br>327|<br>374|433|487|<br>507|<br>550|<br>626|<br>751|<br>853|
|TOTAL<br>12500|<br>13541|<br>14637|15671|16621|17479|18237|<br>18861|<br>19379|<br>19814|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1141|1235|1314|1349|1370|1384|1394|<br>1391|<br>1374|<br>1379|
|5-9<br>1054|1160|1257|1332|1362|1378|1387|<br>1391|<br>1388|<br>1372|
|10-14<br>1108|1071|1179|1271|1342|1369|1381|<br>1385|<br>1389|<br>1387|
|15-19<br>1095|1128|1092|1195|1282|1347|1370|<br>1377|<br>1381|<br>1386|
|20-24<br>1019|1132|1167|1123|1215|1292|1349|<br>1362|<br>1370|<br>1375|
|25-29<br>982|1064|1179|1202|1146|1228|1294|<br>1340|<br>1353|<br>1362|
|30-34<br>913|1015|1099|1204|1218|1155|1228|<br>1284|<br>1330|<br>1345|
|35-39<br>860|932|1036|1115|1212|1221|1152|<br>1219|<br>1275|<br>1321|
|40-44<br>684|868|941|1041|1116|1209|1215|<br>1143|<br>1209|<br>1265|
|45-49<br>586|<br>683|<br>866|<br>938|<br>1035|<br>1109|<br>1199|<br>1203|<br>1133|<br>1198|
|50-54<br>516|<br>579|<br>676|<br>855|<br>927|<br>1023|<br>1096|<br>1184|<br>1188|<br>1118|
|55-59<br>524|<br>504|<br>566|<br>662|<br>837|<br>909|<br>1004|<br>1076|<br>1162|<br>1166|
|60-64<br>477|<br>504|<br>-486|546|<br>641|<br>810|<br>881|<br>975|<br>1045|<br>1129|
|65-69<br>399|<br>447|<br>473|<br>457|<br>514|<br>606|<br>767|<br>836|<br>926|<br>995|
|70-74<br>326|<br>355|<br>399|<br>424|<br>412|<br>463|<br>549|<br>695|<br>761|<br>844|
|75+<br>463|<br>522|<br>583|657|<br>722|<br>751<br>|<br>812<br>|<br>921<br> <br>|<br>1107<br> <br>|<br>1273<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>12146|<br>13199|<br>14313|15370|16352|17255|18077|<br>18782|<br>19392|<br>19915|
|BIRTH RATE|20.1|19.7|18.7|17.8|17.0|16.3|15.7|15.0|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|8.0|7.9|7.9|8.0|8.1|8.5|9.0|9.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.20|1.17|1.08|.99|.90|.82|.72|.59|.49|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|4.3|4.2|3.1|2.2|1.4|.7|.0|-. 0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.63|1.59|1.40|1.21|1.04|.89|.72|.59|.49|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.546|2.507|2.447|2.407|2.359|2.298|2.225|2.149|2.124|
|NRR|1.159|1.146|1.134|1.124|1.106|1.080|1.049|1.016|1.007|
|e(0) BOTH SEXES|72.11|72.76|73.29|73.74|73.95|74.19|74.46|74.77|75.13|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|63.83|64.26|64.60|64.88|65.07|65.29|65.54|65.83|66.16|
|IMR BOTH SEXES|27.5|23.7|20.1|17.1|16.4|15.7|14.8|13.8|13.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0355|.0298|.0245|.0203|.0194|.0185|.0173|.0161|.0152|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>56.9|<br>55.2|<br>55.4|53.9|52.3|<br>51.2|<br>51.7|<br>52.5|<br>53.6|<br>54.8|
33

# OCEANIA

# Population projection (thousands)

Summery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRCJP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.**..........**........................||......................................|.......................................|.....|||||
|TOTALM+F|24646|<br>31041|<br>38770|<br>42265|<br>43935|<br>44484|<br>44722|<br>44822|
|KALES|||||||||
|0-4|1218|1416|<br>1442|<br>1442|<br>1444|<br>1445|<br>1445|<br>1445|
|5-9|1134|<br>1396|<br>1455|<br>1443|<br>1443|<br>1443|<br>1443|<br>1443|
|10-14|1190|<br>1332|<br>1456|<br>1446|<br>1442|<br>1441|<br>1442|<br>1442|
|15-19|1176|<br>1266|<br>1446|<br>1445|<br>1437|<br>1438|<br>1440|<br>1440|
|20-24|1107|<br>1187|<br>1432|<br>1433|<br>1431|<br>1435|<br>1437|<br>1438|
|25-29|1030|<br>1258|<br>1410|<br>1421|<br>1428|<br>1432|<br>1434|<br>1434|
|30-34|939|<br>1259|<br>1380|<br>1428|<br>1427|<br>1429|<br>1430|<br>1431|
|35-39|890|<br>1186|<br>1315|<br>1420|<br>1426|<br>1424|<br>1426|<br>1426|
|40-44|724|<br>1084|<br>1256|<br>1399|<br>1419|<br>1415|<br>1418|<br>1420|
|45-49|625|<br>961|<br>1171|<br>1371|<br>1397|<br>1399|<br>1406|<br>1408|
|50-54|549|<br>873|<br>1208|<br>1326|<br>1364|<br>1377|<br>1384|<br>1386|
|55-59|547|<br>677|<br>1159|<br>1256|<br>1330|<br>1337|<br>1343|<br>1345|
|60-64|468|542|1023|<br>1130|<br>1251|<br>1267|<br>1272|<br>1275|
|65-69|359|432|844|985|1124|<br>1154|<br>1158|<br>1163|
|70-74|265|369|633|785|943|<br>976|<br>986|<br>994|
|75+|277|433|751|1222|<br>1401|<br>1515|<br>1560|<br>1577|
|TOTAL|12500|<br>15671|<br>19379|<br>20952|<br>21707|<br>21927|<br>22022|<br>22068|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1141|1349|<br>1374|<br>1377|<br>1378|<br>1378|<br>1378|<br>1378|
|5-9|1054|1332|<br>1388|<br>1379|<br>1379|<br>1378|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|10-14|1108|<br>1271|<br>1389|<br>1382|<br>1379|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|15-19|1095|1195|<br>1381|<br>1383|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|20-24|1019|1123|<br>1370|<br>1373|<br>1373|<br>1376|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|25-29|982|<br>1202|<br>1353|<br>1364|<br>1374|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|30-34|913|<br>1204|<br>1330|<br>1374|<br>1376|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1376|
|35-39|860|<br>1115|<br>1275|<br>1368|<br>1377|<br>1376|<br>1375|<br>1375|
|40-44|684|<br>.1041|<br>1209|<br>1352|<br>1375|<br>1372|<br>1373|<br>1374|
|45-40|586|938|1133|<br>1333|<br>1361|<br>1365|<br>1369|<br>1371|
|50-54|516|855|1188|<br>1307|<br>1342|<br>1358|<br>1363|<br>1364|
|55-59|524|662|1162|<br>1267|<br>1335|<br>1345|<br>1351|<br>1351|
|60-64|477|<br>546|<br>1045|<br>1186|<br>1301|<br>1321|<br>1326|<br>1328|
|65-69|399|<br>457|<br>926|<br>1080|<br>1233|<br>1271|<br>1277|<br>1281|
|70-74|326|<br>424|<br>761|<br>933|1121|<br>1165|<br>1181|<br>1189|
|75+|463|<br>657|<br>1107|<br>1854|<br>2146|<br>2346|<br>2444|<br>2481|
|TOTAL|12146|<br>15370|<br>19392|<br>21312|<br>22228|<br>22557|<br>22699|<br>22754|
|BIRTH RATL||19.5|16.3|14.1|13.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|OEATH<br>RATE||8.0|8.3|10.6|11.6|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|3.9|.8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GR0UTH<br>RATE||1.54|.89|.35|.16|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|2.498|2.284|2.101|2.072|2.067|2.064|2.064|
|eCO)- BOTH|SEXES|72.75|74.25|76.02|77.78|78.42|78.92|79.05|
|I<br>- BOTH S|EXES|23.7|15.5|11.7|9.0|7.6|6.6|6.5|
34

|LOW-INCOC<br>E<br>.<br>.<br>...<br>.<br>...........|E<br>CONOMIE<br>.|S<br>.<br>...<br>.<br>.<br>.|Popu<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|lation<br>project<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|ionCthouand<br> <br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|s)<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP|<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|......................|.|............................................|||_|__.............................|||||
|TOTAL N+F|2710995|3004297|3313194|3626589|3942186|4253046|4559773|4865769|5164720|5446546|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|180163|202484|214218|221017|<br>226854|230253|234365|240573|244467|244717|
|5-9|166886|174697|197377|209721|217167|223073|226673|<br>231033|237525|241763|
|10-14|167186|165329|173207|195950|208421|215869|221797|<br>225462|229905|<br>236490|
|15-19|157223|165653|163860|171743|194468|206932|214396|220362|<br>224111|<br>228653|
|20-24|128550|155148|163596|<br>161820|169652|192300|204772|212280|218325|222215|
|25-29|107254|126449|152907|161308|159517|167307|189885|202388|209071|216132|
|30-34|97711|105385|124475|150740|159084|157307|165064|187586|200134|207810|
|35-39|77605|95877|103504|122417|148457|156759|155006|162738|185206|197812|
|40-44|64604|75740|93830|101341|120014|145784|154039|152331|160044|<br>182440|
|45-49|58338|62483|73466|91232|98568|116922|142300|150489|148864|156553|
|50-54|51856|55642|59724|70409|87662|94776|112650|137423|145509|<br>144020|
|55-59|42211|48362|52023|55946|66150|82649|89448|106583|130404|138309|
|60-64|32533|38009|43710|47130|50790|60316|75686|82036|98062|120419|
|65-69|25037|27746|32572|37600|40653|43974|52510|66251|71963|86376|
|70-74|15211|19536|21841|25763|29871|32454|35280|42430|53910|58735|
|75+|13823|16392|20656|24375|28974|34230|38775|43214|50817|63225|
|TOTAL|1386192|<br>1534932|<br>1690967|1848511|2006301|2160906|2312645|2463179|2609217|2745671|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|171701|194838|206266|212958|218716|222151|<br>226261|232352|236193|236490|
|5-9|158851|<br>166175|189780|201908|209337|215204|218878|223275|229686|233898|
|10-14|157736|157280|164712|188423|200720|208164|214070|217825|222322|228843|
|15-19|146930|156285|155902|163383|187129|199441|206921|212886|216745|221364|
|20-24|124378|145146|154523|154184|161679|185394|197749|205303|211377|215401|
|25-29|103289|122486|143188|152553|152239|159736|183426|195851|203519|209744|
|30-34|94104|101473|120583|141191|150535|150249|157758|181433|193948|<br>201753|
|35-39|73475|92296|99632|118619|139113|148428|148187|155722|179391|<br>192016|
|40-44|60564|71762|90393|97666|116495|136842|146134|145963|153543|<br>1m05|
|45-49|53996|58802|69860|88219|95404|114025|134184|143455|143389|<br>151026|
|50-54|47981|51929|56670|67510|85494|92572|110907|130806|140053|140138|
|55-59|39468|45413|49276|53903|64433|81908|88848|106783|126315|<br>135525|
|60-64|31947|36338|.41983|45693|50145|60252|76995|83743|101097|<br>120089|
|65-69|25803|28059|32084|37253|40716|44921|54375|70006|76449|92884|
|70-74|16914|20872|22930|26379|30838|33945|37739|46161|60060|65978|
|75.|17668|20210|24445|28235|32893|38907|44696|51024|61417|78521|
|TOTAL|1324804|1469365|1622228|1778077|1935885|2092140|2247127|2402590|2555502|2700875|
|BIRTH RATE||30.8|29.2|27.1|25.2|23.6|22.2|21.2|20.1|18.9|
|DEATH RATE||10.2|9.5|8.9|8.5|8.3|8.2|8.2|8.2|8.3|
|RATE**OF**NA|T.INC.|2.07|1.97|1.82|1.68|1.52|1.40|1.30|1.19|1.06|
|NET HIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|***.1**|-.1|**-.1**|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|GRCWTH<br>RAT|E|2.05|1.96|1.81|1.67|1.52|1.39|1.30|1.19|1.06|
|TOTALFERT|ILITY|3.889|3.603|3.350|3.178|3.006|2.834|2.701|2.579|2.462|
|NRR||1.585|1.487|1.406|1.376|1.329|1.259|1.204|1.162|1.123|
|**e(O)-** BOT|H SEXES|61.11|62.59|63.97|65.25|65.97|66.74|67.59|68.50|69.47|
|eClO)**-** BO|TH SEXES|58.30|58.90|59.39|59.82|60.32|60.85|61.43|62.04|62.70|
|**IHR**- BOTH|SEXES|84.4|74.8|66.1|57.6|54.1|50.0|45.6|41.2|36.8|
|q(5)- BOT|H SEXES|.1183|.1039|.0909|.0780|.073|.0678|.0617|.0554|.0491|
|DEP. RATIO|<br>70.1|65.9|64.6|63.6|<br>60.4|56.9|54.3|53.2|52.4|<br>52.2|
35

# LOU-INCCoE ECONONIES Poputatfon projection (thousands)

# Sumrmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR<br>0JP|1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........|.............|.......................................|..................................||||||
|TOTALN+F|2710995|<br>3626589|<br>5164720|<br>6343304|<br>7038728|<br>7314711|<br>7409003|<br>7446666|
|KALES|||||||||
|0-4|180163|<br>221017|<br>244467|<br>238825|<br>238729|<br>239066|<br>239276|<br>239362|
|5-9|166886|<br>209721|<br>237525|<br>237307|<br>238272|<br>238808|<br>239016|<br>239079|
|10-14|167186|<br>195950|<br>229905|<br>237446|<br>238322|<br>238631|<br>238795|<br>238854|
|15-19|157223|<br>171743|<br>224111|<br>**238663**|<br>238074|<br>238157|<br>23838|4<br>238509|
|20-24|128550|<br>161820|<br>218325|<br>239564|<br>236813|<br>237266|<br>237745|<br>238001|
|25-29|107254|<br>161308|<br>209971|<br>237090|<br>235560|<br>236296|<br>237149|<br>237467|
|30-34|97711|<br>150740|<br>200134|<br>230797|<br>233740|<br>235560|<br>236595|<br>236923|
|35-39|77605|<br>122417|<br>185206|<br>221904|<br>233003|<br>234934|<br>235873|<br>236185|
|40-44|64604|<br>101341|<br>160044|<br>214413|<br>232954|<br>233706|<br>234578|<br>234990|
|45-49|58338|<br>91232|<br>148864|<br>206458|<br>231741|<br>230729|<br>232133|<br>232848|
|50-54|51856|<br>70409|<br>145509|<br>194629|<br>225313|<br>225973|<br>227907|<br>229071|
|55-59|42211|<br>55946|<br>130404|<br>178677|<br>211970|<br>217432|<br>220762|<br>222216|
|60-64|32533|<br>47130|<br>98062|<br>154842|<br>191973|<br>205125|<br>209014|<br>210523|
|65-69|25037|<br>37600|<br>71963|<br>119859|<br>167946|<br>186799|<br>190190|<br>191783|
|70-74|15211|<br>25763|<br>53910|<br>93930|<br>137334|<br>158919|<br>161468|<br>163512|
|75+|13823|<br>24375|<br>50817|<br>123272|<br>186234|<br>233974|<br>2507tS|5<br>257398|
|TOTAL|1386192|<br>1848511|<br>2609217|<br>3167678|<br>3477977|<br>3591376|<br>3629630|<br>3646721|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|171701|<br>212958|<br>236193|<br>230978|<br>230674|<br>230662|<br>230718|<br>230703|
|5-9|158851|<br>201908|<br>229686|<br>229861|<br>230656|<br>230754|<br>230733|<br>230682|
|10-14|157736|<br>188423|<br>222322|<br>230170|<br>231009|<br>230849|<br>230712|<br>230650|
|15-19|146930|<br>163383|<br>216745|<br>231613|<br>231196|<br>230770|<br>230610|<br>230603|
|20-24|124378|<br>154184|<br>211377|<br>232978|<br>230613|<br>230476|<br>230460|<br>230565|
|25-29|103289|,<br>152553|<br>203519|<br>231068|<br>229969|<br>230163|<br>230447|<br>230548|
|30-34|94104|<br>141191|<br>193948|<br>225286|<br>228712|<br>230071|<br>230474|<br>230511|
|35-39|73475|<br>118619|<br>179391|<br>216921|<br>228572|<br>230167|<br>230422|<br>230368|
|40-44|60564|<br>97666|<br>153543|<br>210010|<br>229287|<br>229911|<br>230055|<br>230018|
|45-49|53996|<br>88219|<br>143389|<br>203037|<br>229381|<br>228476|<br>229124|<br>229300|
|50-54|47981|<br>67510|<br>140053|<br>193069|<br>225314|<br>226236|<br>227541|<br>228127|
|55-59|39468|<br>53903|<br>126315|<br>180256|<br>216041|<br>222153|<br>225094|<br>225974|
|60-64|31947|<br>45693|<br>101097|<br>160926|<br>202170|<br>217072|<br>220975|<br>221978|
|65-69|25803|<br>37253|<br>76449|<br>128958|<br>185840|<br>208591|<br>212624|<br>213914|
|70-74|16914|<br>26379|<br>60060|<br>107500|<br>163030|<br>191748|<br>195771|<br>198008|
|75.|17668|<br>28235|<br>61417|<br>162995|<br>268286|<br>355236|<br>393612|<br>497995|
|TOTAL|1324804|<br>1778077|<br>2555502|<br>3175627|<br>3560751|<br>3723335|<br>3779372|<br>3799945|
|BIRTH RATE||28.9|22.3|16.9|14.2|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.5|8.3|8.7|10.0|11.7|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.94|1.41|.82|.42|.15|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.592|2.839|2.266|2.074|2.061|2.054|2.053|
|e(O)<br>- BOT|H SEXES|62.65|66.92|71.79|75.95|77.46|78.58|78.87|
|INR- BOTH|SEXES|74.9|49.6|27.8|12.7|9.2|7.1|6.7|
36

# LOWER-MIDDLE-INCCHE ECON0EIES

Populatton projection (thousands)

|....<br>........................................................<br>AGE GROLIP<br>1985|.......................................<br> <br>1990|..............................<br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>...................................|<br>||<br> <br>.........................|<br>...........||<br>_._..._._...._._.|<br>..................|||
|TOTAL N+F<br>579809|648045|719861|792115|864199|935452|1006590|V)76680|1144579|1208904|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>43391|45532|47907|48786|49463|50136|51292|52144|52638|52819|
|5-9<br>38005|42465|44732|47231|48238|48947|49656|5085u|51748|52293|
|10-14<br>34935|37679|42155|44451|46988|48010|48734|49462|50675|51594|
|<br>15-19<br>31540|34585|37341|41825|44150|46698|47738|48482|49233|50470|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>?7344|31008|<br>34063|36835|41344|43691|46262|47335|<br>48119|48913|
|25-29<br>23546|26743|30403|33472|36285|_A080_|_8_<br>43183|45787|46908|47744|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>19611|<br>23001|26194|29853|32956|35789|40318|42722|45358|46527|
|35-39<br>15409|19120|<br>22497|25683|29349|32461|35304|39834|42263|44929|
|40-44<br>12238|14952|18624|21978|25159|288s4|31912|34758|39279|41731|
|45-49<br>10861|11784|14449|18057|21374|24515|28117|31207|34045|38539|
|50-54<br>9394|10321|11233|13818|17326|20561|23632|27160|30209|33020|
|55-59<br>7836|8728|<br>9620|10505|12966|16310|19413|22371|25777|28747|
|60-64<br>5875|7025|7858|8693|9530|<br>11807|14909|17811|20594|23806|
|65-69<br>4152|4981|5990|6736|<br>7487|8246|10266|13026|15635|18155|
|70-74<br>3141|3220|3894|4716|5338|5968|6613|8284|10578|12774|
|<br>75+<br>3205|3512|3732|<br>4327|5205|6092|7000|7946|9656|12211|
|TOTAL<br>290484|324655|360693|396965|433159|468845|504351|539181|572714|<br>604272|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>41931|44019|46255|47051|47656|48315|49435|50264|50748|50926|
|5-9<br>36717|41119|43328|45683|46600|47238|<br>47934|49094|49967|<br>50501|
|10-14<br>33719|36431|40854|43093|45487|46420|47074|47789|48969|49865|
|15-19<br>30402|33428|36152|40589|42861|45270|46221|46898|47637|48843|
|20-24<br>26882|29983|<br>33018|35759|40230|42528|44965|45953|<br>46668|47451|
|<br>25-29<br>23412|26412|29512|32564|35343|39834|42163|44635|45669|46435|
|30-34<br>19621|22984|<br>25978|29083|32166|34963|39466|41822|44327|45406|
|35-39<br>15425|19242|22586|25578|28695|<br>31790|34596|39104|41485|44023|
|40-44<br>12428|15094|18873|<br>22195|<br>25187|28297|<br>31395|<br>34205|38714|41119|
|45-49<br>11247|12114|14741|18469|21762|24736|<br>27830|30924|33734|38237|
|50-54<br>9693|10877|<br>11736|<br>14308|17966|21211|24155|27225|<br>30307|33113|
|55-59<br>8348|<br>9249|10397|11243|13741|17302|20477|23375|26406|29467|
|60-64<br>6445|7779|- 8641|9738|10564|12958|16378|19451|22279|25249|
|65-69<br>4771|5759|6974|7777|8798|9595|<br>11830|15031|17940|20650|
|70-74<br>3779|3950|4805|5845|6556|7467|8204|10191|13048|15685|
|75+<br>4506|4950|5318|6175|7428|8682|10114|11539|13965|17660|
|TOTAL<br>289325|323389|359168|395150|431040|466607|502239|537499|571864|604632|
|BIRTHRATE|31.5|29.4|26.8|24.5|22.8|21.6|20.4|19.2|18.2|
|DEATHRATE|8.4|7.7|7.1|6.7|6.7|6.7|6.8|6.9|7.2|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|2.30|2.17|1.97|1.78|1.61|1.49|1.36|1.23|1.09|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 8|-.6|-.5|-. 4|-. 3|-. 2|-.1|-.1|.0|
|<br>GROWTH<br>RATE|2.23|2.10|1.91|1.74|1.58|1.47|1.35|1.22|1.09|
|TOTALFERTILITY|4.046|3.663|3.305|2.999|2.764|2.610|2.492|2.405|2.336|
|NRR|1.750|1.614|1.480|1.365|1.264|1.200|1.154|1.119|1.094|
|e(0) - B0TH SEXES|64.00|65.48|66.86|68.12|68.80|69.50|70.25|71.03|71.84|
|e(10) - BOTHSEXES|59.55|60.13|60.70|61.29|61.79|62.32|62.87|63.45|64.05|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|62.5|53.6|45.5|38.2|35.9|33.4|30.8|28.1|25.4|
|q(5)- BOTHSEXES|.0833|.0702|.0587|.0486|.0457|.0425|.0391|.0357|.0320|
|<br>OEP.RATIO<br>77.0|<br>73.1|<br>69.8|64.9|60.3|55.8|52.9|51.4|<br>50.8|<br>50.|
37

# LOER-NIOOLE-INCGIE **ECCNONIES**

# Population projection (thousards)

Sumrery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GROQJP**|<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................................|.................................|.............................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>N+F|579809|792115|<br>1144579|<br>1416287|<br>1558213|<br>1608826|<br>1624538|<br>1630349|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|43391|48786|52638|52205|<br>52307|52381|<br>52402|<br>52410|
|5-9|38005|47231|51748|52154|52267|52316|52338|<br>52347|
|10-14|34935|44451|50675|52223|<br>52235|52244|<br>52284|<br>52301|
|15-19|31540|41825|49233|52228|52061|52123|<br>52205|<br>52234|
|20-24|27344|36835|48119|52042|<br>51761|51966|<br>52094|<br>52131|
|25-29|23546|33472|46908|51511|51621|51835|<br>51978|<br>52015|
|30-34|19611|29853|45358|50620|<br>51497|51730|<br>51849|<br>51889|
|35-39|15409|25683|42263|49296|<br>51403|51564|<br>51663|<br>51725|
|40-44|12238|21978|39279|47539|51171|51196|<br>51368|<br>51477|
|45-49|10861|18057|<br>34045|45975|<br>50578|50541|<br>50878|<br>51040|
|50-54|9394|13818|<br>30209|43961|<br>49245|49662|<br>50045|<br>50234|
|55-59|7836|10505|<br>25777|<br>40981|<br>46862|48090|<br>48551|<br>48735|
|60-64|5875|8693|20594|<br>35824|<br>43108|<br>45496|<br>45973|<br>46162|
|65-69|4152|6736|15635|<br>29974|<br>37767|41337|<br>41792|<br>42065|
|70-74|3141|4716|10578|<br>21852|<br>31134|35034|<br>35526|<br>359'21|
|75+|3205|4327|9656|25469|<br>43553|52578|<br>55s77|<br>56833|
|TOTAL|290484|<br>396965|<br>572714|<br>703854|<br>768568|<br>790093|<br>796723|<br>799521|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|41931|47051|50748|<br>50323|<br>50368|<br>50370|<br>50364|<br>50356|
|5-9|36717|45683|49967|<br>50357|<br>50414|<br>50377|<br>50357|<br>50349|
|10-14|33719|43093|<br>48969|<br>50481|<br>50445|<br>50363|<br>50345|<br>50343|
|15-19|30402|40589|47637|<br>50565|<br>50364|<br>50324|<br>50330|<br>50339|
|20-24|26882|35759|<br>46668|<br>50511|<br>50202|<br>50291|<br>50321|<br>50336|
|25-29|23412|32564|<br>45669|<br>50127|<br>50196|<br>50295|<br>50330|<br>50330|
|30-34|19621|<br>29083|<br>44327|<br>49374|<br>50203|<br>50325|<br>50325|<br>50313|
|35-39|15425|<br>25578|<br>41485|<br>420|50259|<br>50314|<br>50283|<br>50276|
|40-44|12428|<br>22195|<br>38714|<br>46658|<br>50226|<br>50157|<br>50187|<br>50210|
|45-49|11247|<br>18469|<br>33734|<br>45390|<br>49954|<br>49836|<br>50025|<br>50082|
|50-54|9693|14308|<br>30307|<br>43937|<br>49179|<br>49521|<br>49768|<br>49846|
|55-59|8348|11243|<br>26406|<br>41873|<br>47760|<br>48964|<br>49309|<br>49378|
|60-64|6445|9738|22279|<br>37981|<br>45496|<br>48019|<br>48418|<br>48496|
|65-69|4771|7777|17940|<br>33501|<br>42039|<br>46107|<br>6559|<br>46753|
|70-74|3779|5845|13048|<br>26239|<br>37391|<br>42326|<br>42957|<br>43358|
|75+|4506|6175|13965|<br>36907|<br>65148|<br>81143|<br>87937|<br>90063|
|TOTAL|289325|<br>395150|<br>571864|<br>712433|<br>789644|<br>818733|<br>827815|<br>830828|
|BIRTH RATE||29.0|21.5|16.3|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.7|6.8|7.9|1O1|11.8|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 6|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.08|1.47|.85|.38|.13|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.638|2.633|2.211|2.067|2.060|2.057|2.056|
|**e(O)**- **BOT**|**H**<br>SEXES|65.55|69.65|73.72|76.96|78.02|78.79|78.98|
|<br>**INR**<br>- BOTH|SEXES|53.7|33.2|19.6|1o.0|8.i|6.8|6.6|
38

|UPPER-NID<br>**...**.........<br>.........|DLE-INCOE<br>EC<br>................|<br>ONOMIES<br>_.........|Popula<br>.......................................|tici project|ion(thousa|nds)<br>....|...............................................|........................||.|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP|<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|..............................................|.........................................|...........................................|||||||||
|TOTAL H+F|421516|462037|503719|545369|<br>586461|627411|668806|<br>709352|<br>747583|<br>782534|
|.tLES|||||||||||
|0-4|26548|28244|29227|29694|<br>30099|30924|32087|32676|32626|<br>32352|
|5-9|24708|26207|27951|<br>28987|<br>29508|29924|30761|31933|32537|<br>32505|
|10-14|22541|24585|26093|27846|<br>28895|<br>29422|29844|<br>30686|<br>31863|<br>32473|
|1J-19|21114|22398|24446|25960|<br>27720|28773|29307|29738|<br>30586|<br>31770|
|20-2_A_|19s80|20907|22196|24245|<br>25767|27529|28590|29136|<br>29580|<br>30440|
|25-29|17654|<br>19573|<br>20679|21971|<br>24024|25552|27317|28389|<br>28951|<br>29412|
|30-34|15339|17434|19351|20463|<br>21763|23817|25350|27118|<br>28201|<br>28779|
|35-39|12331|15120|17210|19124|<br>20245|21548|23601|25136|<br>26908|<br>28001|
|40-44|10179|12102|14868|16948|<br>18860|19983|21286|23333|<br>24871|<br>26644|
|45-49|9420|9908|11808|14537|<br>16600|18492|<br>19612|20911|<br>22947|<br>24483|
|50-54|8300|9042|9536|11392|<br>14057|16076|17933|19045|<br>20333|<br>22345|
|55-59|7139|7190|8515|9004|10786|13337|15282|17080|<br>18173|<br>19437|
|6U-64|5627|6476|7098|7787|<br>8260|9917|12298|<br>14128|<br>15829|<br>16884|
|65-69|3936|4841|5609|6179|<br>6810|7242|8723|10855|<br>12513|<br>14065|
|70-74|3202|3111|3859|4506|4995|5526|5898|7134|8920|<br>10329|
|75+|3349|3706|3853|4487|<br>5290|6057|6843|7530|8804|<br>10785|
|TOTAL|211198|<br>231445|252300|.73129|<br>293678|314119|334731|<br>354828|<br>373640|<br>390705|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|25571|27157|28068|28482|<br>28834|29629|30749|31319|<br>31273|<br>31013|
|5-9|23826|25285|26916|27877|<br>28338|28703|29510|30642|<br>31226|<br>31198|
|10-14|21769|23728|25197|26838|<br>27811|28278|28650|29463|<br>30600|<br>31192|
|15-19|20416|21666|23632|25107|<br>26756|27734|28208|28588|<br>29409|<br>30554|
|20-24|19205|20274|21531|23501|<br>24985|26639|27625|28112|<br>28504|<br>29339|
|25-29|17217|<br>19040|20118|<br>21379|<br>23358|<br>24849|<br>26508|27505|<br>28007|<br>28416|
|30-34|15054|17057|18884|<br>19967|<br>21236|23220|24716|26380|<br>27387|<br>27904|
|35-39|12211|14896|16899|18726|<br>19817|21090|23075|24575|<br>26244|<br>27262|
|40-4|10189|12056|14727|16726|<br>18553|19645|20921|22906|<br>24410|<br>26083|
|45-49|9551|<br>10018|11869|<br>14519|<br>16511|<br>18328|19420|<br>20696|<br>22680|<br>24187|
|50-54|8553|9323|9794|11622|<br>14239|16210|18012|<br>19103|<br>20378|<br>22357|
|55-59|7517|8252|9016|9490|11282|13844|15783|17561|<br>18649|<br>19921|
|60-64|6178|7107|- 7830|8581|<br>9056|10785|13263|15154|<br>16894|<br>17976|
|65-69|4494|5625|6508|3204|7929|8388|10016|<br>12358|<br>14167|<br>15843|
|70-74|3889|3821|4820|5620|<br>6262|6921|7349|8814|10930|<br>12593|
|75+<br>|4678<br>|5288<br> <br>|5608<br>|6603<br>|<br>7818<br> <br>|9031<br>|10269<br>|<br>11350<br> <br>|<br>13186<br> <br>|<br>15993<br> <br>|
|TOTAL|210318|<br>230592|<br>251419|<br>272240|<br>292784|313292|334075|<br>354525|<br>373943|<br>391829|
|BIRTH RATE||26.7|25.0|23.2|21.6|20.6|20.0|19.1|18.0|16.9|
|DEATH RATE||8.1|7.5|7.1|6.9|7.0|7.1|7.3|7.5|7.8|
|RATE OFMA|T.INC.|1.85|1.75|1.61|1.47|1.36|1.29|1.18|1.05|.91|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.2|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.1|*.O|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.84|1.73|1.59|1.45|1.35|1.28|1.18|1.05|.91|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.385|3.140|2.924|2.734|2.618|2.553|2.477|2.387|2.299|
|NRR||1.522|1.425|1.350|1.273|1.221|1.198|1.168|1.127|1.090|
|e(0) - BOT|H SEXES|67.34|68.64|69.81|70.88|71.37|71.89|72.45|73.04|73.68|
|e0o) - BO|TH SEXES|61.61|62.29|62.87|63.40|63.76|64.14|64.55|64.98|65.44|
|IHR- BOT|H SEXES|53.2|46.0|38.4|31.7|29.6|27.5|25.3|23.0|20.6|
|q(5) - BOT|H SEXES|.0663|.0561|.0459|.0372|.0348|.0323|.0296|.0268|.0240|
|DEP. RATIO|<br>66.6|<br>64.8|62.5|59.9|<br>56.9|54.0|<br>52.7|<br>52.7|<br>52.9|<br>52.8|
39

# UPPER-MIDOLE-INCOIE ECONOMIES Population projection **tthatmnds)**

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRWJP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>HOF|421516|545369|747583|890742|965161|989431|996026|998365|
|IALES|||||||||
|0-4|26548|29694|32626|32198|32080|32098|32120|32130|
|5-9|24708|28987|32537|31947|31974|32052|32089|<br>32097|
|10-14|22541|<br>27846|31863|31710|31943|32043|32072|<br>32073|
|15-19|21114|25960|30586|31844|31960|32024|32032|<br>32030|
|20-24|19808|<br>24245|**29580**|32024|31975|31947|31953|<br>31960|
|25-29|17654|<br>21971|28951|3215'|31891|31816|31858|<br>31886|
|30-34|15339|20463|28201|320V'f|<br>31599|31671|31774|<br>31818|
|35-39|12331|<br>19124|<br>26908|3M04|A1279|<br>31564|31696|<br>31734|
|40-44|10179|<br>16948|<br>24871|297T';|31283|31487|31572|<br>31592|
|45-49|9420|14537|<br>22947|28527|31225|31269|31294|<br>31315|
|50-54|8300|11392|<br>20333|27416|30851|33742|30738|<br>30800|
|55-59|7139|9004|18173|25783|29790|<br>29591|29754|<br>29881|
|60-64|5627|7787|15829|23138|27488|27797|2al84|28342|
|65-69|3936|6179|12513|19321|23888|25414|25759|<br>25882|
|70-74|3202|4506|8920|15079|19566|21794|22046|<br>22128|
|75+|3349|4487|8804|18564|28091|33597|34641|<br>35014|
|TOTAL|211198|273129|373640|442672|476904|486904|489584|<br>490680|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|25571|28482|31273|30874|30737|30723|30733|<br>30737|
|5-9|23826|<br>27877|<br>31226|30669|30678|30718|30735|<br>30736|
|10-14|21769|26838|30600|30467|30680|30738|30742|<br>30736|
|15-19|20416|25107|29409|30636|30764|30763|30740|<br>30730|
|20-24|19205|23501|28504|30877|30831|30757|30723|<br>30721|
|25-29|17217|21379|28007|31061|30822|30704|30701|<br>30714|
|30-34|15054|19967|2M78|31002|30605|30637|30689|<br>30710|
|35-39|12211|18726|26244|30300|30373|30618|30693|<br>30702|
|40-44|10189|16726|k4410|29009|30486|30660|30686|<br>30671|
|45-49|9551|14519|22680|27955|30611|30639|30605|<br>30582|
|50-54|8553|11622|20378|27205|30576|30456|30399|<br>30415|
|55-59|7517|9490|18649|26170|30129|29921|30045|<br>30126|
|60-64|6178|8581|16894|<br>24395|28788|29126|29506|<br>29625|
|65-69|4494|n704|14167|21573|26396|28141|28524|<br>28620|
|70-74|3889|5620|10930|18198|23362|26151|26500|<br>26575|
|75+|4678|6603|13186|<br>27681|42419|51m|54422|<br>55287|
|TOTAL|210318|272240|373943|44807i|488257|<br>502527|506443|<br>507685|
|BIRTH RATE||24.8|19.8|15.5|13.6|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.6|7.2|8.6|10.4|11.9|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 2|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.72|1.26|.70|.32|.10|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.134|2.545|2.161|2.065|2.063|2.061|2.060|
|e(0)<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|68.67|71.99|75.12|77.61|78.38|78.91|79.05|
|**IR-** BOTH|SEXES|45.8|27.3|15.9|8.4|7.3|6.6|6.5|
40 HIGH-INCOE ECDbONIES Poputation projection (thousands)

|,,,.......................................................<br>**AGE GROLP**<br>1985|.....................................<br>1990|..............................<br> <br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|......................................................................|.......||||................|.....................................|.....................................|.................||
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>767138|<br>789298|810894|<br>830231|846556|859895|<br>870948|<br>87372|884304|<br>885067|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>26997|27369|27643|<br>271(0|27153|27267|<br>27586|27933|<br>28169|<br>28286|
|5-9<br>27045|27166|27529|<br>27792|27217|27230|<br>27315|27605|<br>27924|<br>28134|
|10-14<br>29495|27171|27286|<br>27640|27875|27276|<br>27268|27331|<br>27601|<br>27900|
|15-19<br>31140|29603|27274|<br>27380|2776|27915|<br>27296|27267|<br>27310|<br>27560|
|20-24<br>32251|31359|29803|<br>27459|27511|27788|<br>27957|<br>27300|<br>27233|<br>27240|
|25-29<br>31094|32547|31627|30050|27643|27630|<br>27853|27970|<br>27265|<br>27151|
|30-34<br>29880|31330|32753|31817|30188|2733|27674|<br>27852|<br>27925|<br>27181|
|35-39<br>28967|29995|31422|32831|31862|30201|27722|<br>27630|<br>27776|<br>27820|
|40-44<br>24241|28926|29944|<br>31363|32746|31760|30091|27605|<br>27493|<br>27619|
|45-49<br>21689|24020|28664|<br>29682|31085|32445|31464|29808|<br>27338|<br>27217|
|50-54<br>20315|21224|23533|28109|29118|30493|31834|30880|<br>29262|<br>26838|
|55-59<br>19291|19509|20421|<br>22681|27124|28099|29435|<br>30746|<br>29843|<br>28294|
|60-64<br>16907|17997|18263|<br>19161|21319|25512|26438|27712|<br>28971|<br>28146|
|65-69<br>12374|15080|16136|<br>16438|17285|19247|<br>23057|23905|<br>25079|<br>26252|
|70-74<br>10930|10254|12583|<br>13541|13848|14574|<br>16246|<br> <br>19489|<br> <br> <br>20222|<br><br> <br>21242|
|75,<br>13572|14662|14848|<br>16792|18594|19784|<br>20975|22878|<br>26337|<br>28704|
|TOTAL<br>376186|388211|399731|409840|418272|424956|<br>430211|<br>433912|<br>435749|<br>435582|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>25671|26067|26321|25804|25844|25961|26273|26610|<br>26841|<br>26957|
|5-9<br>25722|25860|26246|26487|25932|25939|26027|26311|<br>26621|<br>26826|
|10-14<br>27986|25864|25995|26371|26584|26005|25991|26059|<br>26323|<br>26614|
|15-19<br>29660|28142|26015|26135|26479|26665|26062|26026|<br>26072|<br>26314|
|20-24<br>31119|**29956**|28427|26281|26341|26634|26775|26131|<br>26053|<br>26059|
|25-29<br>30088|31463|30288|28738|26522|26522|26763|26855|<br>26162|<br>26037|
|30-34<br>29083|30337|31704|30515|28915|26653|26613|26816|<br>26870|<br>26142|
|35-39<br>28423|29224|30476|31834|30614|28984|26698|26633|<br>26811|<br>26841|
|40-44<br>24025|28450|29255|30505|31846|30612|28972|26676|<br>26597|<br>26762|
|45-49<br>21764|23947|28365|29175|30420|31750|30517|28879|<br>26585|<br>26502|
|50-54<br>20817|21574|23760|28161|28976|30212|31535|30313|<br>28689|<br>26410|
|55-59<br>20775|20482|212b6|23438|27805|28613|29838|31152|<br>29952|<br>2-355|
|60-64<br>20076|20191|.A9958|<br>20749|22912|27194|27991|29199|<br>30497|<br>29336|
|65-69<br>15650|19033|19223|<br>19064|19863|21948|26068|26844|<br>28019|<br>29285|
|70-74<br>15248|14123|17281|<br>17547|17477|18224|<br>20158|23973|<br>24706|<br>25811|
|75+<br>24845<br>|26377<br>|26594<br>|29586<br>|31752<br>|33021<br>|34453<br>|36984<br> <br>|<br>41757<br>|<br>45232|
|TOTAL<br>390952|401087|411163|420390|428284|434939|440737|<br>445460|<br>448555|<br>449485|
|BIRTH RATE|13.9|13.6|13.0|127|12.6|12.6|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|9.4|9.3|9.2|9.6|10.0|10.4|10.9|11.6|12.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.45|.3|.38|.32|.26|.22|.17|.10|.02|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.2|1.1|1.0|.7|.5|.4|.3|.1|.0|
|GRCWTH<br>RATE|.57|.54|.47|.39|.31|.26|.19|.11|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.788|1.817|1.830|1.902|1.966|2.021|2.064|2.098|2.121|
|NRA|.868|.868|.875|.9s6|V-l|.976|.996|1.012|1.024|
|**e(0)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|76.09|76.65|77.10|77.46|77.56|77.66|77.76|77.88|78.01|
|**e(10)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|66.96|67.45|67.85|68.17|68.26|68.36|68.46|68.57|68.68|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|12.2<br>|11.3<br>|10.5<br>|9.7<br>|9.7|9.5<br>|9.3<br>|9.0<br>|8.6<br>|
|q(5)**-** BOTH SEXES|.0140|.0127|.0117|.0108|.0108|.0106|.0103|.0099|.0094|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>49.9|4A.8|<br>49.3|49.3|49.3|50.0|<br>52.9|<br>56.1|<br>59.4|<br>62.7|
41

# hIGH-INCOME ECONOMIES

# Populatfon proJectfon **(thousards)**

# Summry ftor 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M.F|767138|830231|8B4304|<br>869275|<br>864770|868890|870033|<br>870521|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|26997|27104|28169|27937|27970|28009|<br>28021|28025|
|5-9|27045|27792|27924|27830|22|27996|2800o|<br>27997|
|10-14|29495|27640|27601|27930|27992|27992|27980|27975|
|15-19|31140|2380|27310|28100|<br>**28008**|27952|<br>27939|27940|
|20-24|32251|27459|27233|28128|<br>27917|27862|27874|27885|
|25-29|31094|30050|<br>27265|27934|27727|27768|27812|<br>27827|
|30-34|29880|31817|27925|27645|27584|27715|27764|27769|
|35-39|28967|32831|27776|27250|2762n|27692|27700|27690|
|40-44|24241|31363|27493|26856|<br>27691|27616|27570|<br>27560|
|45-49|21689|29682|27338|26592|27536|27350|27308|<br>27323|
|50-54|20315|<br>28109|29262|<br>26237|26966|<br>26794|2684T|<br>26895|
|55-59|19291|<br>22681|29843|26094|25942|25923|26066|<br>26119|
|60-64|16907|19161|28971|24613|24291|24672|24766|<br>24782|
|65-69|12374|16438|<br>25079|<br>22254|21921|22667|22645|<br>22620|
|70-74|10930|13541|20222|19003|18694|19430|19347|<br>19333|
|75+|13572|16792|26337|<br>32867|30059|30377|<br>30600|<br>30732|
|TOTAL|376186|409840|435749|427271|425869|427813|428240|428472|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|25671|<br>25804|<br>26841|<br>26649|<br>26680|<br>26711|26721|<br>26722|
|5-9|25722|26487|26621|26564|26689|<br>26723|26723|<br>26719|
|10-14|27986|26371|26323|26670|<br>26746|26737|26721|<br>26714|
|15-19|29660|26135|26072|26855|26793|<br>26729|<br>26710|<br>26709|
|20-24|31119|26281|26053|26926|26758|26695|26696|<br>26705|
|25-29|30088|28738|26162|26794|26626|26661|26693|<br>26704|
|30-34|29083|30515|26870|26570|26536|26665|26701|<br>26702|
|35-39|28423|31834|<br>26811|<br>26253|26628|26710|26704|<br>26689|
|40-44|24025|30505|26597|25967|<br>26783|26730|26672|<br>26654|
|45-49|21764|29175|26585|25875|26786|26633|26578|<br>26582|
|50-54|20817|28161|28689|<br>25838|26518|26375|26420|<br>26456|
|55-59|20775|23438|29952|<br>26264|26042|<br>26044|26189|<br>26231|
|60-64|20076|20749|30497|25719|<br>25279|25692|25801|<br>25806|
|65-69|15650|19064|28019|24585|24132|24966|24963|<br>24923|
|70-74|15248|17547|24706|22792|22352|23240|23174|<br>23148|
|75+|24845|29586|41757|51682|47553|47766|48325|<br>48584|
|TOTAL|390952|420390|448555|442004|438901|44107|441793|<br>442049|
|BIRTH RATE||13.5|12.6|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.3|10.5|13.3|13.0|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|1.1|*4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.53|.25|-.07|-. 02|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|1.814|2.009|2.096|2.064|2.064|2.063|2.063|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|76.62|77.67|78.30|78.83|79.00|79.12|79.15|
|**IER-** BOTH S|EXES|11.3|9.4|7.8|6.6|6.4|6.2|6.2|
42 NOHREP0RTING OWIMENSER ECONOHIES **Population.** projection (thousands)

|.. ...<br>...<br>..........<br>.................<br>**AGEGROIP**<br>1985|..<br>1990|......<br>........<br>1995|....<br>...<br>.....<br>2000|.....<br>............<br>2005|....<br>2010|.....<br>........<br>2015|..........<br>..<br>2020|.................<br>2025|...<br>...<br>....<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N+F<br>364964|381664|396162|410060|423582|436506|449528|461755|473595|<br>484097|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>17121|17937|16867|16598|16965|17469|17862|17923|17795|<br>17731|
|5-9<br>16080|16951|17775|16727|16472|16840|17348|17746|17813|<br>17694|
|10-14<br>15024|16006|16881|17711|16672|16418|16787|17297|17697|<br>17767|
|15-19<br>14261|14922|15911|16794|17630|16598|16347|16718|17231|<br>17635|
|20-24<br>16127|14092|14768|15767|16660|17499|16480|16237|16613|<br>17132|
|25-29<br>15962|1588|13908|14601|15610|16505|17347|16347|16113|<br>16497|
|30-34<br>14004|15695|15659|13742|14448|15457|16355|17202|16219|<br>15996|
|35-39<br>10Q34|<br>13732|15439|15443|13576|14284|15292|16194|17Q46|<br>16084|
|40-44<br>8874|10663|13442|15156|15196|13373|14082|15090|15996|<br>16854|
|<br> <br>45-49<br>11903|<br>8577|<br>10348|<br>13087|<br>14795|<br>14857|<br>13093|<br>13803|<br>14809|<br><br> <br>15719|
|50-54<br>9143|11323|8207|9937|12608|14280|14369|12686|13396|<br>14395|
|55-59<br>9120|8494|10581|7712|9370|11918|13531|13652|12083|<br>12786|
|60-64<br>5146|8161|7662|9599|<br>7039|8575|10941|12461|12618|<br>11205|
|65-69<br>3285|4361|6966|6594|8314|6131|7496|9605|10986|<br>11176|
|70-74<br>3433|2553|3425|5511|5264|6675|4959|<br>6091|7848|<br>9027|
|75+<br>3702|3943|3517|3969|5669|6341|7710|7214|7850|<br>9495|
|TOTAL<br>174119|<br>183290|<br>191358|198947|<br>206291|213220|<br>219999|<br>226266|232113|<br>237192|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1,927|17256|16221|15955|16298|16788|17173|<br>17239|<br>17123|<br>17067|
|5-9<br>15497|16589|17126|16107|15854|16199|16695|17085|<br>17158|<br>17051|
|10-14<br>14338|15447|16542|17083|16070|1$817|16163|16661|17055|<br>17131|
|15-19<br>13816|14293|15404|16502|17046|16035|15783|<br>16131|<br>16632|<br>17028|
|20-24<br>15599|13757|14238|15352|16453|16999|15992|<br>15743|<br>16093|<br>16598|
|25-29<br>15444|15520|13694|14180|15296|16399|16947|<br>15945|<br>15699|<br>16052|
|30-34<br>13686|15354|15442|13629|14119|15236|16340|<br>16891|<br>15895|<br>15652|
|35-39<br>10954|<br>13587|15259|15357|13559|14051|15168|<br>16273|<br>16828|<br>15839|
|40-44<br>9215|10846|13472|15143|15252|13471|13965|<br>15082|<br>16188|<br>16747|
|45-49<br>12694|9084|10708|13317|14984|15102|<br>13344|<br>13841|<br>14957|<br>16065|
|jO-54<br>10261|12423|8906|10514|13095|14748|<br>14879|<br>13157|<br>13659|<br>14773|
|55-59<br>11622|9925|12051|<br>8655|10238|12770|14401|<br>14549|<br>12881|<br>13388|
|60-64<br>8629|11028|- 9452|11512|8291|9826|12283|<br>13879|<br>14051|<br>12463|
|65-69<br>5986|7904|10153|<br>8740|10691|7723|9179|11511|<br>13047|<br>13251|
|70-74<br>7140|5140|6838|8839|7654|9408|6828|8152|10272|<br>11695|
|75+<br>9237|10220|9298|10228<br>|12391<br> <br>|12714<br>|<br>14388<br> <br>|<br>13347<br> <br>|<br>13945<br> <br>|<br>16107<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>190845|<br>198374|<br>204804|211113|<br>217292|223286|<br>229529|<br>235489|<br>241482|<br>246905|
|BIRTH RATE|19.6|17.6|16.7|16.4|16.4|16.2|15.8|15.3|14.8|
|DEATH RATE|10.6|10.1|9.7|9.9|10.3|10.3|10.4|10.2|10.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.90|.75|.69|.65|.60|.59|.54|.51|.44|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 1|-.0|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.89|.75|.69|.65|.60|.59|.54|.51|.44|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.520|2.364|2.300|2.275|2.250|2.238|2.233|2.221|2.203|
|NRR|1.168|1.093|1.073|1.067|1.054|1.049|1.050|1.052|1.047|
|eCO)*****BOTH SEXES|69.09|70.18|71.16|72.05|72.46|72.89|73.35|73.83|74.34|
|e(10)<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|61.60|62.47|63.17|63.79|64.15|64.53|64.93|65.34|65.78|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|32.4|30.2|27.5|24.1|22.9|21.8|20.8|19.7|18.2|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|0428|0403|0369|0320|0305|0290|0276|.026Q.|.0238|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>53.7|.<br> <br>54.3|.<br> <br>55.6|.<br> <br>54.2|.<br> <br>53.9|.<br> <br>51.6|.<br> <br>51.4|.<br> <br>53.0|<br> <br>55.3|<br>56.7|
43

# NONREPORTING NONEIBER ECONOMIES Population projectIon **(thaus** nds)

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|.. ........<br>........<br>**AGE**GROUP<br>..<br>.......<br>...........|.........<br> <br>1965<br>..<br>.|........................<br> <br>200i<br>.<br>..............|<br>2025<br>........................|........................<br>2050|................................<br>2075<br>...<br>....<br>....|<br>2100<br>...........................|2125|........**...**.................<br> <br>2150<br>.....................................<br>..........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALFiF|364964|<br>410060|<br>473595|<br>515335|<br>538081|<br>548084|<br>551753|<br>553281|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|17121|<br>16598|<br>17795|<br>17719|<br>17763|<br>17772|<br>17773|<br>17775|
|5-9|16080|<br>16727|<br>17813|<br>17808|<br>17745|17743|<br>17749|<br>17754|
|10-14|15024|<br>17711|<br>17697|<br>17780|<br>17703|<br>17710|<br>17730|<br>17739|
|15-19|14261|<br>16794|<br>17231|<br>17631|<br>17626|<br>17671|<br>17708|<br>17718|
|20-24|16127|<br>15767|<br>¶6613|<br>17495|<br>17535|<br>17635|<br>17676|17684|
|25-29|15962|<br>14601|<br>16113|<br>17453|<br>17532|<br>17608|<br>17637|<br>17643|
|30-34|14004|<br>13742|<br>16219|<br>17463|<br>17596|<br>17569|<br>17586|<br>17598|
|35-39|10934|<br>15443|<br>17046|<br>17264|<br>17515|<br>17483|<br>17515|<br>17542|
|40-44|8874|15156|<br>15996|<br>16695|<br>17293|<br>17342|<br>17418|<br>17463|
|45-49|11903|<br>13087|<br>14809|<br>15936|<br>17026|<br>17133|<br>17270|<br>17321|
|50-54|9143|9937|13396|<br>15177|<br>16718|<br>16882|<br>17005|<br>17049|
|55-59|9120|7712|12083|<br>14759|<br>16217|<br>16454|<br>16497|<br>16535|
|60-64|5146|9599|<br>12618|<br>14592|<br>15171|<br>15534|<br>15598|<br>15656|
|65-69|3285|6594|10986|<br>12362|<br>13361|<br>14010|<br>14171|<br>14272|
|70-74|3433|5511|7848|<br>9674|<br>10905|<br>11842|<br>12061|<br>12203|
|75.|3702|3969|7850|<br>12828|<br>16256|<br>18294|<br>19064|<br>19338|
|TOTAL|174119|<br>198947|<br>232113|<br>252636|<br>263961|<br>268680|<br>270458|<br>2712901|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|16727|<br>15955|<br>17123|<br>17065|<br>17095|<br>17082|<br>17074|<br>17071|
|5-9|15497|<br>16107|<br>17158|<br>17176|<br>17106|<br>17077|<br>17069|<br>17069|
|10-14|14338|<br>17083|<br>17055|<br>17163|<br>17086|<br>17063|<br>17065|<br>17068|
|15-19|13816|<br>16502|<br>16632|<br>17044|<br>17040|<br>17052|<br>17064|<br>17068|
|20-24|15599|<br>15352|<br>16093|<br>16955|<br>16994|<br>17056|<br>17067|<br>17067|
|25-29|15444|<br>14180|<br>15699|<br>16965|<br>17030|<br>17074|<br>17070|<br>1?064|
|30-34|13686|<br>13629|<br>15895|<br>17028|<br>17134|<br>17081|<br>17061|<br>17055|
|35-39|10954|<br>15357|<br>16828|<br>16899|<br>17102|<br>17049|<br>17038|<br>17043|
|40-44|9215|15143|<br>16188|<br>16433|<br>16952|<br>16980|<br>17009|<br>17026|
|45-49|12694|<br>13317|<br>14957|<br>15823|<br>16802|<br>16886|<br>16972|<br>16989|
|50-54|10261|<br>10514|<br>13659|<br>15307|<br>16699|<br>16827|<br>16905|<br>16911|
|55-59|11622|<br>8655|12881|<br>15285|<br>16562|<br>16752|<br>16752|<br>16748|
|60-64|8629|11512|<br>14051|<br>15789|<br>16092|<br>16404|<br>16431|<br>16446|
|65-69|5986|<br>8740|13047|<br>14490|<br>15021|<br>15658|<br>15799|<br>14865|
|70-74|7140|<br>8839|10272|<br>12218|<br>13333|<br>14375|<br>14610|<br>14740|
|75+|9237|10228|<br>13945|<br>21060|<br>26073|<br>28989|<br>30309|<br>30762|
|TOTAL|190845|<br>211113|<br>241482|<br>262699|<br>274120|<br>279404|<br>281295|<br>281991|
|BIRTH RATE||17.9|16.0|14.3|13.3|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||10.1|10.2|10.9|11.6|12.2|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.78|.58|.34|.17|.07|.03|.01|
|TOTALFERT|ILITY|2.399|2.243|2.143|2.064|2.059|2.057|2.056|
|**e(O)**- BOT|H SEXES|70.17|72.94|75.52|77.65|78.35|78.90|79.04|
|<br>**IHR**- BOTH|SEXES|30.1|21.8|14.9|9.3|7.7|6.7|6.5|
# EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AND

# NORTH AFRICA REGION

(and U.S.S.R.)
46

**EURCPE AMD** U.S.S.R., **NIOOLE** EAST, AND NORTH ArRICA Population projection (thousands)

|**AGE GRCOW**|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,T,A,,,N,,,F<br>.....<br>**TOTAL**<br>H.F|1165'<br>......<br>1146500|1.,,,-,.....<br>1222707|.<br>.....<br>-<br>1303545|--<br>1.87....<br>--<br>**1387557**|-<br>1..<br>.<br>..---..<br>1474287|.-<br>252-----<br>**1562523**|6---1,-<br> <br>**1653142**|---------------------<br>1743153|1830528|<br>1913302|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|61093|66392|69313|71455|74707|77734|80614|82192|82517|82845|
|5-9|55999|60128|65483|68507|70768|74019|77066|79975|81597|81980|
|10-14|52980|55701|59843|65211|68257|70518|73769|76823|79740|81377|
|15-19|51047|52644|55373|59518|64888|67929|70194|73449|76511|79442|
|20-24|50127|50562|52172|54903|59046|64389|67432|69709|72973|76055|
|25-29|46880|49547|50031|51651|54385|58505|63829|66879|69175|72457|
|30-34|41860|46298|48998|49522|51154|53871|57979|63288|66349|68667|
|35-39|**35039**|41258|45699|48424|48987|50611|53318|57412|62707|65782|
|40-44|29045|34408|40566|44994|4739|48320|49941|52637|56716|61992|
|45-49|31149|28304|33602|39659|44050|46782|47391|49007|51685|55737|
|50-54|27099|29909|27296|32470|38360|42653|45360|46004|47611|50259|
|55-59|25284|25487|28211|25855|308Z0|36429|40566|43220|43901|45489|
|60-64|18663|22995|23299|25864|23815|28438|33638|37533|40087|40805|
|65-69|12226|16199|20000|20377|<2691|20992|25124|29750|33282|35661|
|70-74|11982|9786|13079|16178|16584|18512|17227|20679|24523|27530|
|75.|13808|14835|13928|15980|19260|21225|23659|24067|26917|31237|
|TOTAL|564281|604453|646894|690567|735513|780927|827109|872624|916291|957315|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|58541|63540|66290|68293|71357|74270|77049|78585|78917|79248|
|5-9|53068|57641|62683|65535|67655|70726|73668|76484|78073|<br>78473|
|10-14|50032|52810|57392|62445|65320|67442|7051.|73470|76300|77907|
|15-19|48432|49777|52562|57141|62195|65065|67194|70278|73246|76095|
|20-24|47811|48099|49452|52237|56807|61842|64712|66855|69956|72951|
|25-29|44617|47434|47733|49087|51868|56416|61434|64309|66474|69601|
|30-34|40262|44239|47058|47360|48714|51484|56015|61018|63901|66092|
|35-39|34178|39879|43850|46663|46965|48315|51077|55591|60581|63478|
|40-44|29026|33800|39457|43410|46213|46515|47862|50617|55114|60093|
|45-49|31921|28596|33337|38927|42853|45640|45948|47294|<br>50039|54516|
|50-54|28319|31247|28026|32709|38203|42085|44854|45174|46520|49252|
|55-59|28950|27436|30321|27234|31827|37181|40999|43742|44081|45429|
|60-64|24320|27557|26183|28989|26088|30536|35686|39409|42110|42481|
|65-69|17013|22449|25490|24294|26964|24323|28537|33370|36933|39559|
|70-74|18787|14770|19650|22357|21400|23814|21563|25384|29716|32998|
|75.|26943|28978|27166|30307|34344|35940|38916|38950|42276|47812|
|TOTAL|582219|618254|656651|696989|7387m|781596|826033|870529|914237|955986|
|BIRTH RATE||23.5|22.9|22.0|21.4|21.0|20.5|19.7|18.7|17.9|
|OEATHRATE||10.6|10.0|9.4|9.3|**9.3**|9.2|9.1|8.9|9.0|
|RATE OFNA|T.INC.|1.29|1.29|1.25|1.22|1.17|1.13|1.06|.98|.88|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 1|-. 0|-.0|-. 0|-.0|-. 0|.0|.0|
|GROWTHRAT|E|1.29|1.28|1.25|1.21|1.16|1.13|1.06|.98|.88|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.127|3.090|3.025|2.983|2.910|2.821|2.706|2.576|2.465|
|NRR||1.384|1.365|1.359|1.356|1.325.|1.292|1.247|1.191|1.146|
|e(O)- BOTH|SEXES|68.38|69.15|69.86|70.52|70.80|71.15|71.57|72.06|72.63|
|**e(10)**-<br>BOT|H SEXES|62.11|62.56|62.91|63.20|63.43|63.1o|64.01|64.38|64.79|
|**IHR**-<br>BOTH|SEXES|59.9|54.9|48.8|42.6|40.2|37.6|34.8|31.7|28.5|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH|SEXES|.0784|.0710|.0624|.0538|.0508|.0474|.0439|.0400|.0358|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>60.6|61.0|62.3|62.0|61.1|59.0|58.1|58.0|57.8|57.3|
47

# EUROPE **AND** U.S.S.R., NICDLE EAST, AND NORTH AFRICA Population projection (thousands)

Suary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F|1146500|1387557|<br>1830528|<br>2187314|<br>2416039|<br>2502471|<br>252672|1<br>2535793|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|61093|71455|<br>82517|<br>81940|<br>81680|<br>81698|<br>81739|<br>81762|
|5-9|55999|68507|<br>81597|<br>81345|<br>81490|<br>81589|<br>81649|<br>81671|
|10-14|52980|65211|<br>79740|<br>01029|<br>81415|<br>81527|<br>81586|<br>81604|
|15-19|51047|<br>59518|<br>76511|<br>81684|<br>81292|<br>81416|<br>81472|<br>81495|
|20-24|50127|<br>54903|<br>72973|<br>81649|<br>81099|<br>81202|<br>81276|<br>81323|
|25-29|46880|<br>51651|<br>6917r|,<br>80806|<br>80m|80923|S<br>81068|<br>81135|
|30-34|41860|<br>49522|<br>66349|<br>79911|<br>80295|<br>80643|<br>80859|<br>80948|
|35-39|35039|<br>48424|<br>62707|<br>77693|<br>79729|<br>80358|<br>80616|<br>80711|
|40-44|29045|<br>44994|<br>56716|<br>74036|<br>80001|<br>79927|<br>80232|<br>80333|
|45-49|31149|<br>39659|<br>51685|<br>69900|<br>79323|<br>79172|<br>79496|<br>79628|
|50-54|27099|<br>32470|<br>47611|<br>65034|<br>77232|<br>77894|<br>78123|<br>78342|
|55-59|25284|<br>25855|<br>43901|<br>60200|<br>73981|<br>74961|<br>75674|<br>75995|
|60-64|18663|<br>25864|<br>40087|<br>53496|<br>67978|<br>70553|<br>71629|<br>72022|
|65-69|12226|<br>20377|<br>33282|<br>43715|<br>58901|<br>64622|<br>65229|<br>65689|
|70-74|11982|16178|<br>24523|<br>33740|<br>47462|<br>54954|<br>55630|<br>56110|
|75+|13808|<br>15980|<br>26917|<br>45103|<br>65205|<br>82569|<br>87154|<br>88634|
|TOTAL|564281|690567|<br>916291|<br>1091280|<br>1198073|<br>1234011|<br>124343|1<br>1247402|
|FENALES|||||||||
|0-4|58541|68293|<br>78917|<br>78457|<br>78164|<br>78109|<br>78115|<br>78114|
|5-9|53068|65535|<br>78073|<br>77972|<br>78098|<br>78104|<br>78113|<br>78107|
|10-14|50032|62445|<br>76300|<br>7m710|<br>781i8|78120|<br>78113|<br>78102|
|15-19|48432|57141|<br>73246|<br>78410|<br>78112|<br>78127|<br>78099|<br>78091|
|20-24|47811|<br>52237|<br>69956|<br>78512|<br>78116|<br>78095|<br>78064|<br>78076|
|25-29|44617|49087|<br>66474|<br>77840|<br>78187|<br>78023|<br>78043|<br>78060|
|30-34|40262|47360|<br>63901|<br>77081|<br>77667|<br>77936|<br>78019|<br>78042|
|35-39|34178|<br>46663|<br>60581|<br>75051|<br>77289|<br>77875|<br>77990|<br>78003|
|40-44|29026|<br>43410|<br>55114|<br>71691|<br>77793|<br>77752|<br>77907|<br>77909|
|45-49|31921|38927|<br>50039|<br>68019|<br>77544|<br>77500|<br>77672|<br>77688|
|50-54|28319|32709|<br>46520|<br>63980|<br>76259|<br>77076|<br>77189|<br>77285|
|55-59|28950|27234|<br>44081|<br>60479|<br>74451|<br>75678|<br>76338|<br>76540|
|60-64|24320|28989|<br>42110|<br>55752|<br>70732|<br>73762|<br>74903|<br>75201|
|65-69|17013|<br>24294|<br>36933|<br>48216|<br>64539|<br>71311|<br>72121|<br>n2548|
|70-74|18787|<br>22357|<br>29716|<br>39791|<br>56049|<br>65585|<br>66721|<br>67280|
|75+|26943|<br>30307|<br>42276|<br>67074|<br>96859|<br>125407|<br>13588|4<br>139345|
|TOTAL|582219|696989|<br>914237|<br>1096033|<br>1217966|<br>1268460|<br>128329|0<br>1288391|
|BIRTH RATE||22.8|20.2|16.3|14.0|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||10.0|9.1|9.2|10.0|11.7|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.27|1.11|.71|.40|.14|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.080|2.788|2.258|2.077|2.068|2.063|2.062|
|eCO) - BOT|H SEXES|69.16|71.26|74.11|76.92|77.95|78.74|78.95|
|<br>IHR - BOTH S|EXES|54.4|37.2|21.8|10.7|8.3|6.8|6.6|
48 EUROPE, MIDDLE EASr, AND NORTH AFRICA (EMN), BORRCOERS ONLY **Population** projection (thousands)

|......<br>..................<br>......................<br>**AGEGRJP**<br>1985|.....................................<br>1990|.......................................<br>1995|.................<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>.....................................................................|<br>......................................|<br>.......................||||||||
|TOTAL<br>**Itf**<br>474221|535624|604315|677785|755634|836704|920940|1006153|1089762|<br>1170781|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>35869|40763|45011|48050|51179|53917|56604|58263|58761|59110|
|5-9<br>31138|34985|39929|44264|47412|50539|53298|56011|57711|<br>58263|
|10-14<br>27429|30890|34747|39700|44050|47195|<br>50323|<br>53086|<br>55807|<br><br>57518|
|15-19<br>24552|27189|30649|34502|39450|43787|46931|50058|5282|55559|
|20-24<br>21465|24244|26873|30320|34161|39080|43403|46547|49678|52461|
|25-29<br>19463|21147|23910|26527|29961|<br>33776|38671|<br>42981|<br>46129|49269|
|30-34<br>16854|19164|20840|23586|26195|29607|33404|38276|42576|45731|
|35-39<br>12888|16556|18851|20517|23246|258|230|33008|37857|42147|
|40-44<br>10191|12593|16211|18484|20135|22835|25408|28778|32531|37351|
|45-49<br>9569|9865|12221|15764|18002|19627|22289|24834|28169|31385|
|50-54<br>8725|9127|9431|11712|15140|17319|18908|<br>21511|24010|27287|
|55-59<br>7333|8129|8528|8831|10996|14252|16341|17874|20383|22807|
|60-64<br>5547|6589|7336|7719|8012|10013|13022|14975|16422|<br>18785|
|65-69<br>3653|4714|5632|6301|6655|6933|8704|11367|13125|<br>14442|
|70-74<br>3108|2836|3694|4444|5002|5309|5557|7019|9218|10700|
|75+<br>3212|3511|3488|4096|4929|5749|6397|6928|8277|10567|
|TOTAL<br>240996|272304|307351|344817|384525|425775|468490|511518|553482|593882|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>34158|39055|43092|45963|48919|51547|54132|55739|56232|56578|
|5-9<br>29251|33310|38245|42373|45355|48317|50971|53591|55247|55804|
|10-14<br>25785|29014|33082|38027|42175|45157|48122|50786|53417|55090|
|15-19<br>23046|25556|28791|32856|37799|41940|44926|47898|50575|53223|
|20-24<br>20216|22752|25267|28501|32556|37478|41614|44610|47596|50296|
|25-29<br>18079|19898|22431|24945|28174|32206|37109|41243|44255|47262|
|30-34<br>15815|17778|19589|22112|24621|27838|31851|<br>36734|<br>40868|43901|
|35-39<br>12265|15528|17479|19275|21782|24282|27489|31481|36346|40485|
|40-44<br>10037|12010|15230|17161|18935|21424|<br>23914|<br>27109|<br>31081|35928|
|45-49<br>9629|9780|11723|14886|16788|18540|21006|23484|26662|30609|
|50-54<br>8703|9310|9463|11361|14445|16315|18040|20475|22933|26088|
|55-59<br>7774|8300|8889|9040|10876|13861|15687|17375|19767|22198|
|60-64<br>6050|7237|-7744|8304|8452|10210|13054|14818|16455|18783|
|65-69<br>4149|5401|6478|6951|7468|7624|9261|11898|13564|15120|
|70-74<br>3759|3422|4503|5417|5836|6303|6463|7915|10236|11745|
|75+<br>4510|4970|4959|5794|6929|7890|8809|9482|11047|13789|
|TOTAL<br>233225|263320|296963|332968|371109|410929|452450|494636|536280|576899|
|BIRTH RATE|35.0|33.8|31.6|29.8|28.1|26.6|24.9|23.0|21.3|
|DEATH RATE|10.4|9.5|8.6|8.0|7.7|7.4|7.2|7.0|7.0|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.45|2.43|2.30|2.18|2.04|1.92|1.77|1.60|1.43|
|NET MIORATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 1|-.1|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|2.44|2.41|2.29|2.17|2.04|1.92|1.77|1.60|1.43|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.796|4.582|4.298|4.007|3.701|3.418|3.137|2.870|2.664|
|NRR|2.010|1.954|1.859|1.754|1.632|1.526|1.413|1.301|1.218|
|**e(O)**B<br>COTHSEXES|62.15|63.46|64.70|65.87|66.58|67.35|68.18|69.06|70.01|
|e(10)<br>**- BOTH**SEXES|58.98|59.45|59.84|60.23|60.71|61.24|61.79|62.39|63.03|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|84.1|74.6|64.9|55.9|52.1|48.2|44.2|40.0|35.8|
|q(S)**-**0OTHSEXES|1115|0975|0837|0713|0665|0615|0564|0510|0455|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>76.8|.<br>76.9|.<br>77.0|.<br>75.4|.<br>71.8|.<br>67.3|.<br>63.8|.<br>61.2|.<br>58.6|.<br> <br>55.7|
49 EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AND NORTH AFRICA (EIH), BORROUERS ONLY Population projktfon (thousards)

# **Suiwrey** for 25 Year Periods

|..<br>. . ....<br>................<br>AGE GRaJP|...<br>1985|........................<br> <br>2000|............<br> <br>2025|<br>2050|....<br>......<br> <br>2075|....<br>...............<br> <br>2100|......<br> <br>2125|.<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|________.<br>_**_**.<br>. __._.........|..................|____|_.............<br>__.|.<br>_<br>_<br>_.......|...................||||
|TOTAL<br>1-F|474221|<br>67775|1089762|<br>1451151|<br>1682880|<br>1766477|<br>1788804|<br>1797025|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|35869|<br>4q805|0<br>58761|<br>58172|<br>57921|<br>57933|<br>57972|<br>57992|
|5-9|31138|<br>44264|<br>57711|<br>57587|<br>57768|<br>57858|<br>57908|<br>57926|
|10-14|27429|<br>39700|<br>55807|<br>57319|<br>57732|<br>57820|<br>57863|<br>57876|
|15-19|24552|<br>34502|<br>52829|<br>58035|<br>57654|<br>57741|<br>57776|<br>577|
|20-24|21465|<br>30320|<br>49678|<br>5M07|M<br>57508|<br>57571|<br>57626|<br>57670|
|25-29|19463|<br>26527|<br>46129|<br>57299|<br>57420|<br>57350|<br>57475|<br>57537|
|30-34|16854|<br>23586|<br>42576|<br>56332|<br>56766|<br>57132|<br>57329|<br>57405|
|35-39|12888|<br>20517|<br>37857|<br>54163|<br>56305|<br>56938|<br>57160|<br>57235|
|40-44|10191|<br>18484|<br>32531|<br>50877|<br>**56723**|<br>56632|<br>56884|<br>56959|
|45-49|9569|<br>15764|<br>28169|<br>47311|<br>56282|<br>56075|<br>56339|<br>56446|
|50-54|8725|<br>11712|<br>24010|<br>43051|<br>54588|<br>55138|<br>55333|<br>55527|
|55-59|7333|<br>8831|20383|<br>38249|<br>51924|<br>52878|<br>53569|<br>53859|
|60-64|5547|<br>7719|16422|<br>31851|<br>47101|<br>49669|<br>50695|<br>51038|
|65-69|3653|<br>6301|13125|<br>24586|<br>40127|<br>45620|<br>46141|<br>46534|
|70-74|3108|<br>4444|9218|17880|<br>31736|<br>38760|<br>39308|<br>39719|
|75+|3212|4096|8277|20023|<br>40350|<br>57081|<br>61259|<br>62595|
|TOTAL|240996|<br>344817|<br>553482|<br>730816|<br>837904|<br>872199|<br>880636|<br>884113|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|34158|<br>45963|<br>56232|<br>55727|<br>55449|<br>55403|<br>55412|<br>55412|
|5-9|29251|<br>42373|<br>55247|<br>55232|<br>55390|<br>55406|<br>55414|<br>55408|
|10-14|25785|<br>38027|<br>53417|<br>55006|<br>55418|<br>55427|<br>55415|<br>55403|
|15-19|23046|<br>32856|<br>50575|<br>55744|<br>55434|<br>55433|<br>55401|<br>55393|
|20-24|20216|<br>28501|<br>47596|<br>55875|<br>55433|<br>55398|<br>55368|<br>55381|
|25-29|18079|<br>24945|<br>44255|<br>55206|<br>55479|<br>55325|<br>55352|<br>55372|
|30-34|15815|<br>22112|<br>40868|<br>54313|<br>54955|<br>55250|<br>55339|<br>55361|
|35-39|12265|<br>19275|<br>36346|<br>52250|<br>54627|<br>55218|<br>55325|<br>55333|
|40-44|10037|<br>17161|<br>31081|<br>49144|<br>55195|<br>55132|<br>55264|<br>55260|
|45-49|9629|14886|<br>26662|<br>45860|<br>55038|<br>54930|<br>55076|<br>55091|
|50-54|8703|<br>11361|<br>22933|<br>42110|<br>53880|<br>54593|<br>54699|<br>54797|
|55-59|7774|<br>9040|19767|<br>**38088**|<br>52171|<br>53404|<br>54064|<br>54263|
|60-64|6050|8304|16455|<br>32713|<br>48836|<br>51922|<br>53028|<br>53305|
|65-69|4149|<br>6951|<br>13564|<br>26312|<br>43676|<br>50286|<br>51013|<br>51397|
|70-74|3759|5417|10236|<br>20168|<br>37041|<br>46116|<br>47106|<br>47612|
|75+|4510|<br>5794|11047|<br>26588|<br>56953|<br>85036|<br>94891|<br>98124|
|TOTAL|233225|<br>332968|<br>536280|<br>720336|<br>844976|<br>894278|<br>908169|<br>912912|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||33.3|26.2|18.4|14.5|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.4|7.4|7.1|8.7.|11.3|12.3|12.6|
|**NET**MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|**-.1**|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.38|1.90|1.15|.59|.19|.05|.02|
|TOTAL<br>FERTI|LITY|4.537|3.363|2.343|2.083|2.070|2.063|2.062|
|eCO)<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|63.54|67.56|72.26|76.18|77.58|78.61|78.88|
|INR**-** BOTH S|EXES|74.1|47.9|27.0|12.1|9.0|7.0|6.7|
50 EIN DEPARTMENT I Population projection (thousands)

|**.....** **..**<br>**,**,,, ....................................<br>................................<br>AGE GROIP<br>1985|.....................................<br>1990|.................<br>1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|......................<br>2020|..........<br>2325|;<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>146490|<br>170280|<br>196244|223493|<br>251943|281635|<br>312887|<br>344725|37523P|<br>404400|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11921|<br>14874|16194|17068|<br>17974|18972|<br>20146|20857|<br>20654|<br>20534|
|5-9<br>10288|<br>11596|14538|15908|<br>16844|17756|<br>18763|19947|<br>20676|<br>20498|
|10-14<br>9392|10200|11512|14452|<br>15832|16769|<br>17683|18691|<br>19877|<br>20610|
|15-19<br>8466|9304|10116|11429|<br>14360|15738|<br>16675|<br>17591|<br>18601|<br>19790|
|20-24<br>7202|8340|9187|10002|<br>11314|14223|<br>15598|16537|<br>17456|<br>8470|
|25-29<br>6102|7069|8214|9064|<br>9881|11186|<br>14072|15445|<br>16387|<br>17311|
|30-34<br>5004|5984|6957|8099|8950|9763|<br>11062|13927|<br>15299|<br>16246|
|35-39<br>3626|4897|5878|6046|7981|8828|<br>9637|10929|<br>13772|<br>15144|
|40-44<br>2987|3532|4787|5758|<br>6715|7839|<br>8680|9484|10768|<br>13584|
|45-49<br>26i3|2886|3424|44|5600|6540|<br>7645|8478|9276|<br>10547|
|50-54<br>2441|2555|2755|3275|<br>4449|5373|<br>6289|7366|8185|<br>8972|
|55-59<br>1993|2268|2379|2571|<br>3061|4168|<br>5050|5927|6962|<br>7758|
|60-64<br>1413|1786|2039|2142|<br>2319|27M|3785|4605|5425|<br>6396|
|65-69<br>957|1195|1519|1740|<br>1831|1991|<br>2392|3279|4011|<br>4748|
|70-74<br>745|735|927|1185|<br>1363|1442|<br>1578|1909|2631|<br>3242|
|75.<br>675|781|825|978|1227|1475|<br>1657|1852|2195|<br>2885|
|TOTAL<br>75897|<br>88002|101249|115165|<br>129700|144836|<br>160713|<br>176826|<br>192176|<br>206735|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11330|<br>14174|15427|16253|<br>17111|18073|<br>19207|1994|19729|<br>19632|
|5-9<br>9447|10978|13803|15107|<br>15998|16866|<br>17840|18990|<br>19712|<br>19570|
|10-14<br>8611|9356|10889|13711|<br>15027|15920|<br>16791|17768|<br>18923|<br>19652|
|15-19<br>7760|8528|9276|10808|<br>13621|14937|<br>15833|16708|<br>17689|<br>18850|
|20-24<br>6697|7652|8424|9173|10701|13495|<br>14812|15712|<br>16595|<br>17585|
|25-29<br>5521|6582|7535|8308|9055|10575|<br>13348|14667|<br>15575|<br>16468|
|30-34<br>4610|<br>5415|6469|7417|<br>8187|8933|10444|13197|<br>14519|<br>15438|
|35-39<br>3305|4512|5310|6354|7291|8060|<br>8804|10307|<br>13040|<br>14368|
|40-44<br>2846|3226|4410|5197|<br>6225|7154|<br>7922|8664|10159|<br>12872|
|45-49<br>2568|2765|3139|4294|5064|6078|<br>6997|7762|8503|<br>9987|
|50-54<br>2224|2471|2664|3026|4144|4899|<br>5894|6799|7560|<br>8297|
|55-59<br>1963|2106|2343|2528|<br>2877|3946|<br>4680|5649|6535|<br>7289|
|60-64<br>1296|1804|-1939|2161|<br>2334|2669|<br>3674|4378|5310|<br>6170|
|65-69<br>944|1128|1578|1701|<br>1899|2063|<br>2378|3291|3949|<br>4824|
|70-74<br>730|751|901|1268|<br>1371|1546|<br>1696|1976|2759|<br>3346|
|75+<br>740|831|887|1019|<br>1338|1584|<br>1854|2126|2504|<br>3318|
|TOTAL<br>70593|<br>82277|94995|108327|<br>122243|136800|<br>152174|<br>167899|<br>183061|<br>197665|
|BIRTH RATE|41.3|38.3|34.8|31.9|29.8|28.3|26.3|23.6|21.6|
|DEATH RATE|10.9|9.7|8.7|7.9|7.5|7.2|6.9|6.7|6.6|
|RATEorNAT. INC.|3.05|2.86|2.61|2.40|2.23|2.10|1.94|1.70|1.50|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 4|-.2|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.01|2.84|2.60|2.40|2.23|2.10|1.94|1.70|1.50|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.645|5.205|4.751|4.326|3.924|3.578|3.244|2.888|2.648|
|NRR|2.256|2.126|1.982|1.846|1.697|1.568|1.438|1.293|1.201|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|59.08|60.59|62.04|63.37|64.32|65.32|66.37|67.49|68.66|
|e0lO) - BOTH SEXES|58.11|58.55|58.84|59.05|59.63|60.24|60.89|61.58|62.31|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|100.9|90.2|78.7|67.4|62.5|57.2|51.5|45.9|40.4|
|qt5) -BOTH SEXES|1310|1156|0994|0834|0774|0707|0636|0565|0496|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>81.5|.<br> <br>81.8|.<br>83.0|.<br>81.5|.<br> <br>74.8|.<br>68.5|.<br> <br>63.9|.<br> <br>61.0|.<br> <br>57.9|.<br> <br>54.6|
51

# EMN DEPARTMENT I

# Population projection (thousands)

# Suwmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|. ..<br>..........|.................|..........|....................||_.....<br>........|.............|.........................|.|
|TOTAL<br>M+F|146490|<br>223493|<br>375237|<br>502244|<br>581500|<br>607210|<br>614204|<br>616874|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|11921|<br>17068|<br>20654|<br>20038|<br>19823|<br>19832|<br>19862|<br>19875|
|5-9|10288|<br>15908|<br>20676|<br>19629|<br>19714|<br>19812|<br>19850|<br>19856|
|10-14|9392|<br>14452|<br>19877|<br>19392|<br>19733|<br>19836|<br>19843|<br>19840|
|15-19|8466|<br>11429|<br>18601|<br>19916|<br>19857|<br>19846|<br>19816|<br>19808|
|20-24|7202|<br>10002|<br>17456|<br>20205|<br>19898|<br>19776|<br>19747|<br>19759|
|25-29|6102|<br>9064|<br>16387|<br>20172|<br>19794|<br>19635|<br>19676|<br>19714|
|30-34|5004|<br>8099|<br>15299|<br>20194|<br>19362|<br>19502|<br>19632|<br>19678|
|35-39|3626|<br>6846|<br>13772|<br>19297|<br>19064|<br>19468|<br>19611|<br>19631|
|40-44|2987|<br>5758|<br>10768|<br>17913|<br>19481|<br>19512|<br>19553|<br>19537|
|45-49|2684|<br>4648|<br>9276|<br>16621|<br>19595|<br>19410|<br>19356|<br>19344|
|50-54|2441|<br>3275|<br>8185|<br>15279|<br>19227|<br>19017|<br>18 48|<br>19011|
|55-59|1993|<br>2571|<br>6962|<br>13711|<br>18611|<br>18048|<br>1829|1<br>18447|
|60-64|1413|<br>2142|<br>5425|<br>11529|<br>16760|<br>16829|<br>1734|0<br>17515|
|65-69|957|<br>1740|<br>4011|<br>8069|<br>14089|<br>15677|<br>15904|<br>16000|
|70-74|745|<br>1185|<br>2631|<br>5804|<br>11097|<br>13498|<br>1361|4<br>13651|
|75+|675|<br>978|<br>2195|<br>6552|<br>14132|<br>20164|<br>21068|<br>21453|
|TOTAL|75897|<br>115165|<br>192176|<br>254321|<br>290236|<br>299860|<br>30211|3<br>303121|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|11330|<br>16253|<br>19729|<br>19230|<br>19029|<br>19023|<br>1904|4<br>19050|
|5-9|9447|<br>15107|<br>19712|<br>18839|<br>18951|<br>19027|<br>19053|<br>19052|
|10-14|8611|<br>13711|<br>18923|<br>18602|<br>18990|<br>19069|<br>19064|<br>19051|
|15-19|7760|<br>10808|<br>17689|<br>19100|<br>19139|<br>19105|<br>1905|9<br>19044|
|20-24|6697|<br>9173|<br>16595|<br>19386|<br>19225|<br>19080|<br>1903|0<br>19033|
|25-29|5521|<br>8308|<br>15575|<br>19358|<br>19155|<br>18990|<br>19005|<br>19029|
|30-34|4610|<br>7417|<br>14519|<br>19366|<br>18753|<br>18906|<br>19004|<br>19034|
|35-39|3305|<br>6354|<br>13040|<br>18484|<br>18482|<br>18923|<br>19033|<br>19036|
|40-44|2846|<br>5197|<br>10159|<br>17147|<br>18917|<br>19035|<br>1904|5<br>19010|
|45-49|2568|<br>4294|<br>8503|<br>15934|<br>19092|<br>19049|<br>18967|<br>18934|
|50-54|2224|<br>3028|<br>7560|<br>14747|<br>18875|<br>18844|<br>18772|<br>18813|
|55-59|1963|<br>2528|<br>6535|<br>13434|<br>18556|<br>18213|<br>18495|<br>18632|
|60-64|1296|<br>2161|<br>5310|<br>11605|<br>17190|<br>17546|<br>1816|5<br>18334|
|65-69|944|<br>1701|<br>3949|<br>8447|<br>15106|<br>17195|<br>17599|<br>17706|
|70-74|730|<br>1268|<br>2759|<br>6236|<br>12688|<br>15930|<br>16315|<br>16387|
|75+|740|<br>1019|<br>2504|<br>8010|<br>19117|<br>29414|<br>32439|<br>**33609**|
|TOTAL|70593|<br>108327|<br>183061|<br>247923|<br>291264|<br>307350|<br>312090|<br>313754|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||37.8|27.6|18.3|14.4|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.7|7.2|6.8|8.6.|11.4|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE||2.82|2.07|1.17|.59|.17|.05|.02|
|TOTAL<br>FERTI|LITY|5.155|3.503|2.290|2.076|2.066|2.060|2.059|
|e(0)- BOTH|SEXES|60.71|65.59|71.38|75.96|77.50|78.60|78.87|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|89.5|56.6|29.5|11.6|8.8|7.0|6.6|
52

|**ElN**DEPARTMENT<br>**11**||Poput|ation project|ion (thousa|nds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GR**OUP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|......................................................................................|............................................|||||||||
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>55230|63418|72989|82974|<br>93045|<br>102901|<br>112678|<br>122181|<br>131325|<br>140219|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4680|5066|5826|6104|6222|<br>6229|<br>6314|<br>6323|<br>6309|<br>6417|
|5-9<br>4035|4580|4987|5759|<br>6054|<br>6175|<br>6187|<br>6276|<br>6289|<br>6279|
|10-14<br>3559|4007|4554|4964|5738|<br>6033|<br>6156|<br>6169|<br>6259|<br>6274|
|15-19<br>3092|3531|3979|4527|4938|<br>5710|<br>6006|<br>6131|<br>6146|<br>6238|
|20-24<br>2571|3059|3494|3941|4489|<br>4900|<br>5670|<br>5967|<br>6095|<br>6113|
|25-29<br>2182|2539|3022|3455|<br>3901|<br>4447|<br>4858|<br>5626|<br>5925|<br>6056|
|30-34<br>1746|2153|2506|2985|<br>3417|<br>3862|<br>4407|<br>4817|<br>5584|<br>5885|
|35-39<br>1236|1718|<br>2120|<br>2470|2947|<br>3377|<br>3821|<br>4364|<br>4774|<br>5538|
|40-44<br>891|<br>1210|<br>1684|2080|<br>2429|<br>2901|<br>3328|<br>3769|<br>4310|<br>**6720**|
|45-49<br>895|864|1175|1638|<br>2029|<br>2373|<br>2838|<br>3260|<br>3698|<br>4234|
|50-54<br>795|854|826|1127|<br>1575|<br>1955|<br>2291|<br>2745|<br>3159|<br>3590|
|55-59<br>674|740|798|774|1059|<br>1485|<br>1847|<br>2171|<br>2607|<br>3008|
|60-64<br>491|605|667|722|703|<br>965|1358|<br>1695|<br>2000|<br>2409|
|6S-69<br>409|<br>417|516|572|<br>623|609|<br>839|1187|<br>1488|<br>1763|
|70-74<br>294|<br>317|326|406|454|497|489|677|<br>963|<br>1215|
|75'<br>306|331|361|384|453|523|590|622|<br>776|<br>1061|
|TOTAL<br>27856|31991|36840|41908|<br>47031|<br>52041|<br>56999|<br>61799|<br>66382|<br>70801|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4440|4896|5620|**5880**|5985|<br>5992|<br>6073|<br>6080|<br>6066|<br>6170|
|5-9<br>3857|4355|4830|5567|5841|<br>5950|<br>5960|<br>6045|<br>6057|<br>6047|
|10-14<br>3394|<br>3831|4333|4811|5551|<br>5826|<br>5936|<br>5948|<br>6035|<br>6048|
|15-19<br>2947|3369|3808|4311|4791|5530|<br>5807|<br>5919|<br>5933|<br>6022|
|20-24<br>2517|2917|<br>3339|3777|<br>4281|4761|<br>5500|<br>5779|<br>5895|<br>5912|
|25-29<br>2112|2486|2884|3304|3742|4246|<br>4726|<br>5464|<br>5747|<br>5867|
|30-34<br>1703|2082|2453|2849|3268|<br>3706|<br>4209|<br>4690|<br>5428|<br>5714|
|35-39<br>1279|1675|<br>2049|2417|2812|<br>3230|<br>3667|<br>4170|<br>4652|<br>5390|
|40-44<br>987|1253|1643|2012|2378|<br>2770|<br>3186|<br>3623|<br>4125|<br>4608|
|45-49<br>1023|962|4222|1605|<br>1968|<br>2330|<br>2719|<br>3133|<br>3569|<br>4070|
|50-54<br>842|987|929|1182|<br>1555|<br>1912|<br>2268|<br>2653|<br>3064|<br>3497|
|55-59<br>735|799|938|885|1130|<br>1490|<br>1836|<br>2186|<br>2565|<br>2970|
|60-64<br>494|679|- 740|871|<br>825|1057|<br>1400|<br>1733|<br>2071|<br>24/1|
|65-69<br>411|435|600|657|777|740|955|1272|<br>1584|<br>1905|
|70 74<br>298|334|355|492|543|647|623|810|1089|<br>1368|
|75+<br>335<br> <br>|364<br>|407<br>|446<br>|567<br> <br>|672<br> <br>|812<br> <br>|875<br> <br>|1063<br> <br>|<br>1391<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>27374|31427|36149|41066|<br>46014|<br>50860|<br>55679|<br>60383|<br>64943|<br>69418|
|BIRTH RATE|36.6|36.0|32.5|29.0|26.0|23.9|21.9|20.1|19.1|
|DEATH RATE|8.9|7.8|6.8|6.1|5.8|5.7|5.7|5.7|6.0|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|2.77|2.82|2.57|2.30|2.02|1.82|1.62|1.44|1.31|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 0|-. 0|-. 1|-.1|-.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|
|<br> <br>GROWTH<br>RATE|<br>2.76|<br>2.81|<br>2.56|<br>2.29|<br>2.01|<br>1.82|<br>1.62|<br>1.44|1.31|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.248|4.699|4.181|3.672|3.218|2.874|2.578|2.369|2.285|
|NRR|2.216|2.054|1.874|1.675|1.475.|1.326|1.196|1.105|1.073|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|62.16|64.05|65.81|67.42|68.25|69.10|69.97|70.86|71.77|
|**etlO)* **BOTH SEXES|59.05|59.61|60.26|60.98|61.56|62.16|62.78|63.41|64.05|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|72.5|60.1|49.2|40.1|37.2|34.1|31.1|28.0|25.0|
|q(5)<br>BOTH SEXES|0950|0761|0604|0480|0444|0407|0369|0332|0295|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>89.1|.<br>83.9|.<br> <br>81.2|.<br>76.8|.<br> <br>71.6|.<br> <br>63.3|.<br> <br>57.1|.<br> <br>52.9|.<br> <br>50.|.<br>3<br>48.7|
53

# EMN DEPARTMENT **11**

# PoPutation projection (thousards)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|.<br>...............................<br>AGE GR**WJP**|..........................<br>1985|<br>2000|.........<br> <br>2025|.............................<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|........<br> <br>2100|..............<br> <br>?^55|<br>_21"_|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL*#.F|55230|<br>82974|<br>131325|<br>170290|<br>191000|<br>196927|<br>1'y8676|<br>199307|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|4680|<br>6104|<br>6309|<br>6339|<br>6400|<br>6415|<br>6414|<br>6413|
|5-9|4035|<br>5759|<br>6289|<br>6405|<br>6417|<br>6410|<br>6405|<br>6405|
|10-14|3559|4964|<br>6259|<br>6462|<br>6420|<br>6396|<br>6396|<br>6399|
|15-19|3092|<br>4527|<br>6146|<br>6459|<br>6380|<br>6371|<br>6385|<br>6391|
|20-24|25T1|<br>3941|<br>6095|<br>6341|<br>6301|<br>6349|<br>6374|<br>6380|
|25-29|2182|<br>3455|<br>5925|<br>6200|<br>6275|<br>6346|<br>-<br>6366|<br>6367|
|30-34|1746|<br>2985|<br>5584|<br>6175|<br>6332|<br>6354|<br>6354|<br>635i|
|35-39|1236|<br>2470|<br>4774|<br>6116|<br>6369|<br>6341|<br>6326|<br>6328|
|40-44|891|2080|<br>4310|<br>5966|<br>63.9|6278|<br>6280|<br>6296|
|45-49|895|1638|<br>3698|<br>5857|<br>6176|<br>6158|<br>6218|<br>6246|
|50-54|795|<br>1127|<br>3159|<br>5584|<br>5942|<br>6044|<br>6129|<br>6154|
|55-59|674|774|2607|<br>5071|<br>5734|<br>5923|<br>5967|<br>5974|
|60-64|491|722|2000|<br>4065|<br>5369|<br>5650|<br>5658|<br>5655|
|65-69|409|572|1488|<br>3300|<br>4760|<br>5137|<br>5131|<br>5146|
|70-74|294|406|963|2380|<br>3985|<br>4295|<br>4336|<br>4394|
|75+|306|384|776|<br>2597|<br>5358|<br>6462|<br>6862|<br>6984|
|TOTAL|27856|<br>41908|<br>66382|<br>85318|<br>94557|<br>96931|<br>97603|<br>97884|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|4440|5880|<br>6066|<br>6093|<br>6145|<br>6152|<br>6149|<br>6146|
|5-9|3857|5567|<br>6057|<br>6165|<br>6170|<br>6155|<br>6147|<br>6145|
|10-14|3394|4811|<br>6035|<br>6226|<br>6179|<br>6148|<br>6142|<br>6143|
|15-19|2947|4311|5933|<br>6232|<br>6150|<br>6133|<br>6139|<br>6143|
|20-24|2517|3777|5895|<br>6133|<br>6089|<br>6125|<br>6141|<br>6145|
|25-29|2112|3304|<br>5747|<br>6010|<br>6080|<br>6137|<br>6147|<br>6145|
|30-34|1703|<br>2849|<br>5428|<br>5997|<br>6149|<br>6160|<br>6141|9<br>_(1_|
|35-39|1270|<br>2417|<br>4652|<br>5952|<br>6202|<br>6165|<br>6139|<br>6134|
|40-44|987|2012|<br>4125|<br>5820|<br>6196|<br>6127|<br>6117|<br>6124|
|45-49|1023|<br>1605|<br>3569|<br>5739|<br>6072|<br>6047|<br>6093|<br>6112|
|50-54|842|1182|<br>3064|<br>5528|<br>5903|<br>6001|<br>6074|<br>6088|
|55-59|735|885|2565|<br>5117|<br>5808|<br>6002|<br>6037|<br>6034|
|60-64|494|871|2071|<br>4238|<br>5623|<br>5932|<br>5934|<br>5921|
|65-69|411|657|1584|<br>3536|<br>5246|<br>5696|<br>5691|<br>5700|
|70-74|298|492|1089|<br>2732|<br>4722|<br>5154|<br>5217|<br>5283|
|_75n_|335|446|1063|<br>3455|<br>7709|<br>9861|<br>10758|<br>11018|
|TOTAL|27374|<br>41066|<br>64943|<br>84972|<br>96443|<br>99996|<br>101073|<br>101422|
|BIRTH RATE||34.8|23.8|16.9|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.8|5.8|6.7|9.4|11.8|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.0|**-.0**|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.71|1.84|1.04|.46|.12|.04|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|4.639|2.870|2.192|2.065|2.062|2.059|2.059|
|e(O)<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|64.17|69.27|73.80|77.14|78.14|78.83|79.00|
|**IMR**<br>**-** BOTHS|EXES|60.0|34.1|18.8|9.0|7.6|6.7|6.5|
54

|**EMN**DEPARTMENT<br>III<br>.<br>................................................................................|................................................|Popul<br>.|ation<br>projecti|on<br>(thousard|s)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROU.P<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|..............................................||.|..............................................|...........................................||||||
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>167971|<br>195083|<br>226001|<br>259950|<br>297197|336959|378702|<br>421330|<br>464181|<br>506316|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>14953|<br>16848|19030|<br>20877|<br>22912|24646|26121|27103|<br>27827|<br>28165|
|5-9<br>12306|<br>14520|16451|<br>18654|<br>20528|22549|24289|25m|26774|<br>27522|
|10-14<br>10235|<br>12193|<br>14406|<br>16343|<br>18547|<br>20416|22433|24174|<br>25662|<br>26666|
|15-19<br>8910|<br>10135|<br>12085|<br>14291|<br>16226|<br>18419|<br>20284|<br>22297|<br>24039|<br>25531|
|20-24<br>7794|<br>8803|<br>10011|<br>11944|<br>14134|<br>16056|<br>18237|<br>20097|<br>22106|<br>23851|
|25-29<br>6815|7693|86el|<br>9871|<br>11786|13952|15867|<br>18036|<br>19893|<br>21899|
|30-34<br>5786|6721|7578|8550|<br>9727|11623|13774|<br>15683|<br>17842|<br>19696|
|35-39<br>4499|5689|6605|7445|<br>8405|9569|11451|<br>13585|<br>15489|<br>17637|
|40-44<br>3446|4393|5559|<br>6459|<br>7284|8231|9384|-<br>11249|<br>13363|<br>15259|
|45-49<br>2877|3324|4248|<br>5388|<br>6270|7076|8009|9145|10986|<br>13073|
|50-54<br>2422|2726|3160|4051|<br>5155|6011|6793|7704|8817|<br>10618|
|55-59<br>1958|2237|2527|2939|<br>3782|4832|5649|6398|7276|<br>8350|
|60-64<br>1509|1740|1997|<br>2265|<br>2646|3423|4394|<br>5155|5854|<br>6681|
|65-69<br>1069|1266|1467|<br>1693|<br>1930|2269|2954|3815|4497|<br>5125|
|70-4<br>719|817|974|1138|<br>1323|1520|1801|2364|3076|<br>3647|
|75<br>702|<br>772|<br>876|<br>1034|<br>1227|<br>1454|<br>1710|<br>2044|2620|<br>3428|
|TOTAL<br>85998|99876|115654|<br>132943|<br>151883|172043|<br>193149|<br>214625|<br>236120|<br>257148|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>14303|<br>16226|18302|<br>20053|<br>21981|23641|25054|25995|<br>26684|<br>27001|
|5-9<br>11660|<br>13912|15870|<br>17970|<br>19749|21667|23336|24762|25723|<br>26439|
|10-14<br>9744|11553|13805|<br>15771|<br>17874|19649|21565|23238|24668|<br>25636|
|15-19<br>8441|9637|11445|<br>13693|<br>15661|17756|19531|21446|23123|<br>24562|
|20-24<br>7283|8308|9503|11307|<br>13545|15507|17596|19370|<br>21287|<br>22974|
|25-29<br>6254|7139|8163|9355|<br>11152|13372|15332|17414|<br>19190|<br>21112|
|30-34<br>5294|6119|7000|8020|9206|10991|13197|15154|<br>17231|<br>19012|
|35-39<br>4185|5164|5984|6858|<br>7872|9049|10825|13016|<br>14972|<br>17046|
|40-44<br>3279|4065|5032|5844|<br>6708|7713|8883|10649|<br>12824|<br>14779|
|45-49<br>2795|3166|3937|4886|<br>5686|6539|7534|8695|10447|<br>12604|
|50-54<br>2396|2671|3033|3782|<br>4707|5493|6332|7314|8462|<br>10195|
|55-59<br>1973|2250|2515|2864|<br>3583|4479|<br>5246|6065|7029|<br>8159|
|60-64<br>1561|1797|.2058|2308|<br>2638|3320|4175|4914|5707|<br>i645|
|65-69<br>1149|1351|1564|<br>1799|<br>2029|2336|2963|3756|4453|<br>5204|
|70-74<br>809|912|1080|<br>1260|<br>1460|1663|1935|2481|3180|<br>3808|
|75+<br>848<br> <br>|937<br>|1056<br>|<br>1238<br> <br>|<br>1463<br> <br>|1739<br>|2049<br>|2437<br> <br>|3080<br> <br>|<br>3991<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>81973|95206|110347|<br>127007|<br>145314|164916|185553|<br>206705|<br>228061|<br>249167|
|BIRTH RATE|40.5|38.9|36.5|34.5|32.5|30.3|28.0|25.9|23.8|
|DEATH RATE|10.6|9.5|8.5|7.8|7.3|7.0|6.7|6.5|6.4|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|2.99|2.94|2.80|2.68|2.51|2.34|2.13|1.94|1.74|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|
|<br>GROWTH<br>RATE|<br>2.99|<br>2.94|<br>2.80|<br>2.68|<br>2.51|<br>2.34|<br>2.13|<br>1.94|1.74|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.778|5.429|5.055|4.682|4.272|3.879|3.502|3.183|2.903|
|NRR|2.338|2.260|2.151|2.024|1.854|1.700|1.556|1.430|1.315|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|59.43|61.20|62.81|64.27|65.19|66.14|67.10|68.10|69.13|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|57.24|57.88|58.46|59.05|59.68|60.32|60.98|61.66|62.37|
|**IMR**- BOTH SEXES|86.3|76.4|66.8|58.3|54.0|49.9|46.1|42.4|38.4|
|**q(5)**-BOTH SEXES|1178|1032|0893|0776|0718|0664|0614|0562|0508|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>87.7|.<br>88.0|.<br>86.6|.<br> <br>82.9|.<br> <br>78.8|.<br>74.2|.<br> <br>70.2|.<br> <br>66.3|.<br> <br>62.3|.<br> <br>58.4|
55

# EMU DEPARTMENT III

Population projection (thousands)

# Suimury for 25 Year Periods

|,<br>................................<br>AGE GROUP|................................<br>1985|..................................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MF|167971|259950|464181|657134|788023|839339|o52541|857301|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|14953|20877|27827|27810|27703|276S9|27698|27706|
|5-9|12306|18654|26774|27559|27644|27643|27660|27672|
|10-14|10235|16343|25662|27463|27591|27601|27632|27648|
|15-19|8910|14291|Z4039|27664|27442|27545|27592|27611|
|20-24|7794|11944|22106|27566|27351|27476|27528|27553|
|25-29|6815|9871|19893|26999|27399|27406|27464|27487|
|30-34|5786|8550|17842|26044|27119|27318|27384|27417|
|35-39|4499|7445|15489|24811|26919|27185|27278|27328|
|40-44|3446|6459|13363|23047|26969|26925|27126|27196|
|45-49|2877|5388|10986|20937|26635|26632|26876|26958|
|50-54|2422|4051|8817|18452|25635|26262|26424|26524|
|55-59|1958|2939|7276|15919|23912|25197|25590|25714|
|60-64|1509|2265|5854|12937|21479|23666|24171|24339|
|65-69|1069|1693|4497|9996|18077|21596|21895|22168|
|70-74|719|1138|3076|6882|13945|18243|18619|18919|
|75+|702|1034|2620|7079|16769|26196|28979|29776|
|TOTAL|85998|132943|236120|331163|392590|414580|419915|422016|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|14303|20053|26684|26634|26497|26450|26443|26438|
|5-9|11660|17970|25723|26446|26487|26445|26438|26435|
|10-14|9744|15771|24668|26387|26468|26434|26433|26433|
|15-19|8441|13693|23123|26621|26372|26422|26429|26431|
|20-24|7283|11307|21287|26587|26354|26420|26422|26428|
|25-29|6254|9355|19190|26095|26477|26422|26424|26422|
|30-34|5294|8020|17231|25206|26277|26406|26411|26411|
|35-39|4185|6858|14972|24040|26159|26355|26382|26393|
|40-44|3279|5844|12824|22373|26305|26206|26337|26359|
|45-49|2795|4886|10447|20408|26128|26087|26260|26286|
|50-54|2396|3782|8462|18162|25405|26019|26113|26154|
|55-59|1973|2864|7029|15963|24147|25487|25822|25889|
|60-64|1561|2308|5707|13387|22403|24800|25284|25407|
|65-69|1149|1799|4453|10736|19813|23884|24212|24476|
|70-74|809|1260|3180|7772|16404|21797|22321|22674|
|75+|848|1238|3080|9155|23737|39124|44895|46647|
|TOTAL|81973|127007|228061|325972|395433|424759|432626|<br>435284|
|BIRTHRATE||38.4|29.8|20.0|15.1|13.4|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH RATE||9.4|7.0|6.3|7.9.|10.9|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.91|2.32|1.39|_.73_|.25|.06|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|5.384|3.798|2.469|2.094|2.074|2.065|2.064|
|etO) - BOTH|SEXES|61.31|66.38|71.57|75.75|77.32|78.50|78.82|
|<br>IlR - BOTH S|EXES|75.9|49.8|29.5|13.8|9.8|7.2|6.8|
56

**EMN** DEPARTMENT IV Population projectfon (tho wands)

|......................................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|............................................<br>1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>....................................................|||<br>.....................|<br>.............................................|<br>...........................|||||
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>104530|106844|109080|111368|113449|115209|116673|117917|119020|<br>119845|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4315|3975|3961|4000|4071|4070|4024|3981|3971|3995|
|5-9<br>4509|4289|3954|3943|3986|4059|4059|4014|3973|3964|
|10-14<br>4244|4491|4274|3942|3933|3977|4051|4053|4008|3968|
|15-19<br>4084|4220|4469|4255|3926|3919|3965|4040|4042|4000|
|20-24<br>3899|4041|4181|433|4225|3901|3897|3945|4022|4027|
|25-29<br>4365|3846|3994|4138|4393|4191|3873|3873|3923|4003|
|30-34<br>4318|4306|3800|3952|4100|4358|4161|3848|3851|3904|
|35-39<br>3526|4253|4249|3756|3912|4062|4321|4129|3821|3827|
|40-44<br>2867|3458|4181|4186|3707|3864|4016|4276|4090|3788|
|45-49<br>3114|2791|3375|4090|4103|3638|3797|3950|4210|4031|
|50-54<br>3068|2992|2690|3260|3961|3981|3536|3695|3849|4107|
|55-59<br>2708|2884|2824|2547|3094|3768|3795|3379|3537|3691|
|60-64<br>2134|2459|2632|2589|2345|2854|3485|3520|3144|3299|
|65-69<br>1219|1838|2131|2296|2271|2064|2518|3086|3129|2806|
|70-74<br>1349|967|1467|1715|1862|1851|1690|2068|2548|2596|
|75.<br>1527|1627|1426|1699|2022|229'|2440|2410|2686|3192|
|TOTAL<br>51245|52434|53608|54801|55912|5.855|57629|58268|58804|59197|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4084|3758|3742|377?|3842|3841|3799|3760|3752|37t3|
|5-9<br>4287|4065|3743|3730|3767|3833|3835|3794|3756|3749|
|10-14<br>4036|4275|4055|3734|3723|3762|3829|3832|3791|3754|
|15-19<br>3898|4022|4262|4044|3726|3716|3756|3825|3828|3789|
|20-24<br>3719|3874|4001|4243|4029|3714|3707|3749|3820|3825|
|25-29<br>4192|3691|3849|3978|4224|4014|3703|3698|3742|3815|
|30-34<br>4207|4163|3667|3827|3960|4208|4001|3693|3690|3736|
|35-39<br>3496|4177|<br>4136|3646|380|3943|4192|3989|3682|3682|
|40-44<br>2925|3465|4144|4107|3624|3786|3923|4173|<br>3973|<br>3670|
|45-49<br>3243|2887|3425|4101|4069|3593|3755|3893|4144|3948|
|50-54<br>3241|3181|2836|3369|4039|4011|3546|3708|3848|4100|
|55-59<br>3103|3145|3093|2764|3287|3946|3925|3475|3637|3779|
|60-64<br>2699|2957|-3006|2964|2655|3163|3806|3793|3366|3528|
|65-69<br>1644|2487|2736|2793|2764|2484|2966|3579|3578|3187|
|70-74<br>1922|1425|2166|2398|2461|2446|2209|2646|3208|3223|
|75+<br>2588|2838|2609|3092|3560|3894|4094|4044|4400|5089|
|TOTAL<br>53285|54410|55472|56568|57537|58354|59045|59650|60216|60649|
|8IRTH RATE|15.0|14.6|14.4|14.3|14.0|13.7|13.4|13.2|13.2|
|OEATH RATE|10.3|10.1|9.9|1t,.4|10.8|11.i|11.2|11.3|11.8|
|RA'E OF NAT. INC.|.47|.44|.44|.39|.32|.26|.22|.19|.14|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-.3|-.3|-.3|-.2|-. 1|-.1|.. 1|-.0|.0|
|GROGWH RATE|.44|.41|.42|.37|.31|.25|.21|.19|.14|
|TOIAL FERTILITY|2.030|2.006|1.991|2.001|2.024|2.050|2.067|2.074|2.080|
|NRR|.955|.939|.942|.954|.966|.976|.983|.990|.997|
|e(O)<br>BOTHSEXES|71.40|72.35|73.18|73.90|74.30|74.70|75.10|75.52|75.95|
|**e(10) 80TH**SEXES|63.26|63.92|64.51|65.03|65.38|65.74|66.10|66.47|66.85|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|20.8|17.8|15.0|12.8|12.3|11.8|11.3|10.8|10.2|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES|.0244|.0206|.0172|.0145|.0138|.0132|.0127|.0120|.0114|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.9|50.9|49.8|50.0|50.9|50.3|51.2|53.8|56.2|<br>56.6|
57 Population projection (thousands)

# **EDN** DEPARTMENT IV

# **Suim** ry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>. ..<br>.....<br>......|1985<br>. ....<br>...|<br>2000<br>.....<br>......|<br>2025<br>............................|<br>2050|<br>2075<br>.........|<br>2100<br>..........|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN4F|104530|111368|119020|121483|122357|123001|123384|123544|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|4315|4000|3971|3986|3995|3998|3998|3998|
|5-9|4509|3943|3973|3993|3993|3993|3993|3993|
|10-14|4244|<br>3942|<br>4008|<br>4002|<br>398M|<br>3987|<br>3989|<br>3990|
|15-19|4084|<br>4255|<br>4042|<br>3997|<br>3975|<br>3979|<br>3983|<br>3985|
||3899|<br>4433|<br>4022|<br>3966|<br>3959|<br>3970|<br>3976|<br>3978|
|25-29|4365|4138|3923|3928|3952|3964|3969|3969|
|30-34|4318|3952|3851|3920|3954|3958|3959|3959|
|35-39|3526|3756|3821|3939|3953|3944|3945|3947|
|40-44|2867|4186|4090|3951|3933|3918|3924|3929|
|4c49|3114|4090|4210|3897|3876|3875|3890|3898|
|50-54|3068|3260|3849|3737|3783|3815|3832|3838|
|55-59|2708|2547|3537|3548|3666|3711|3721|3725|
|60-64|?134|2589|3144|3320|3494|<br>3524|<br>3526|<br>3530|
|65-69|1219|2296|3129|3221|3201|3210|3210|3220|
|70-74|1349|1715|2548|2815|2709|2724|2739|2754|
|75+|1527|1699|2686|3796|4090|4259|4351|4382|
|TOTAL|51245|54801|58804|60015|60522|60P.7|61004|61093|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|4084|3777|<br>3752|3771|3778|3778|3777|<br>3777|
|5-9|4287|3730|3756|3781|3782|3778|3776|3776|
|10-14|4036|3734|<br>3791|3791|3781|3776|3775|<br>3776|
|15-19|3898|4044|3828|3790|3774|<br>3773|<br>3775|<br>3776|
|20-24|3719|4243|3820|3769|3766|3773|<br>3775|<br>3776|
|25-29|4192|3978|3742|3742|3767|3775|<br>3776|3775|
|30-34|4207|3827|3690|3745|<br>3776|3778|3775|<br>3774|
|35-39|3496|3646|3682|3775|<br>3784|3775|<br>3171|3771|
|40-44|2925|4107|3973|<br>3804|3778|3764|3765|3767|
|45-49|3243|<br>4101|<br>4144|<br>3779|<br>3746|3747|<br>3755|<br>3759|
|50-54|3241|<br>3369|<br>3848|<br>3674|<br>3698|3729|3740|3742|
|55-59|3103|2764|3637|3574|3661|3702|3709|3708|
|60-64|2699|2964|3366|3483|3619|36"|3644|3643|
|65-69|1644|2793|3578|3593|3510|3511|3511|3516|
|70-74|1922|2398|3208|3430|3227|3234|3254|3267|
|75+|2588|3092|4400|5968|6390|6637|6799|6851|
|TOTAL|53285|56568|60216|61469|61835|62174|62379|62451|
|BIRTH RATE||14.6|13.7|13.1|12.8|12.8|12.7|1?.7|
|DEATH RATE||**10.1**|11.0|12.2|12.6|12.5|12.6|1;.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 3|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>**RAT**|**E**|.42|.27|.08|.03|.02|.01|.01|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|2.007|2.043|2.082|2.075|2.074|2.074|2.073|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|72.32|74.71|76.83|78.35|78.76|79.03|79.10|
|<br>**IHR**BOTH S|EXES|17.9|11.8|9.2|7.4|6.9|6.5|6.4|
# EMN DEPARTMENT I
60

|PAKISTAN|||Proje|ction**(000**|**s)**<br>with**NRR=**|**1**by2040|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**AGE GROUP**|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|TOTAL M+F|96180|114290|134313|155933|179343|204651|231599|259011|285264|310639|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|8660|11145|12281|13258|14372|15580|16677|17207|16948|<br>16886|
|5-9|7330|8399|10860|12033|13060|14177|15390|16495|17043|<br>16807|
|10-14|6366|7261|8332|10788|11969|12996|14112|15326|16433|<br>16984|
|15-19|5627|6299|7195|<br>8265|10711|11889|12916|14032|15246|<br>16356|
|20-24|4715|5529|6207|7102|8169|10595|<br>11770|12797|13914|<br>15130|
|25-29|3928|4610|5430|6110|7002|8062|10467|11640|12667|<br>13787|
|30-34|3279|3836|4523|5341|6019|6905|7959|10345|11516|<br>12545|
|35-39|2221|3194|3754|4438|5248|5922|6802|7849|10215|<br>11385|
|40-44|1831|2150|3110|3664|4337|5137|5805|6678|7718|10059|
|45-49|1621|1757|2074|3006|3546|4206|4991|5651|6514|7542|
|50-54|1376|1532|1667|1971|2861|3384|4024|4788|5435|6281|
|55-59|1132|1267|1416|1544|1828|2663|3160|3771|4503|5129|
|60-64|852|1003|1128|1263|1379|1639|2399|2860|<br>3429|4112|
|65-69|630|711|841|949|1064|1168|1398|2057|2468|2976|
|70-74|430|477|542|<br>644|727|<br>822|910|1098|1630|1971|
|75+|370|428|488|559|656|763|883|1009|<br>1208|1685|
|TOTAL|50367|59598|69848|80936|92949|105908|119663|133604|146885|<br>159637|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|8092|10565|11649|12582|13647|14810|15871|16394|16166|16125|
|5-9|6558|7796|10236|11359|12346|13418|14591|15666|16213|16016|
|10-14|5686|6483|7721|<br>10155|11288|12276|13349|14524|15603|16157|
|15-19|5087|5619|6417|7652|10075|<br>11207|12196|13272|14451|15536|
|20-24|4277|<br>5000|5535|6331|7558|9963|<br>11095|<br>12087|13168|14354|
|25-29|3538|4184|4906|5440|6230|7448|9832|10965|<br>11963|13052|
|30-34|2954|3453|4095|4809|<br>5339|6124|7334|9698|10833|11839|
|35-39|1988|2876|3370|4003|4706|5234|6015|7217|9561|<br>10700|
|40-44|1728|1929|2798|3283|3902|4597|5124|50-0|7094|9418|
|45-49|1510|1669|1866|2711|3182|3791|4476|5000|5772|<br>6955|
|50-54|1275|1443|1593|1789|2599|<br>3060|3655|4328|4849|5612|
|55-59|1123|1195|<br>1356|1504|<br>1683|2455|2901|3479|4135|4650|
|60-64|775|1017|-1087|1234|1369|1541|2261|2686|3240|3872|
|65-69|558|662|873|934|1062|1188|1349|1995|<br>2390|2906|
|70-74|379|432|516|<br>682|730|841|952|<br>1095|<br>1640|1989|
|75+|286|368|<br>441|530|678|790|934|1099|<br>1301|1823|
|TOTAL|45813|54693|64464|74998|86394|98743|<br>111936|125407|138379|<br>151002|
|BIRTH RATE||47.0|43.3|39.4|36.4|34.2|32.0|29.2|25.8|23.3|
|DEATH RATE||12.1|10.7|9.4|8.4|7.8|7.3|6.8|6.4|6.2|
|RATE OF NAT|. INC.|3.49|3-25|2.99|2.80|2.64|2.47|2.24|1.93|1.70|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 5|-. 3|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.45|3.23|2.99|2.80|2.64|2.47|2.24|1.93|1.70|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|6.700|6.190|5.680|5.170|4.660|4.150|3.640|3.130|2.799|
|NRR||2.604|2.463|2.317|2.163|1.978|1.787|1.590|1.387|1.257|
|**e(O)**- BOTH|SEXES|56.52|58.08|59.59|61.04|62.24|63.47|64.74|66.04|67.40|
|eClO)- BOT|H SEXES|56.52|57.13|57.43|57.58|58.31|59.06|59.84|60.64|61.48|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|109.0|98.8|86.5|73.8|67.8|61.7|55.7|49.7|43.7|
|q(5) -BOTH|SEXES|1427|1280|1104|0920|0845|0769|0693|0617|0540|
|<br>OEP. RATIO|<br> <br>89.2|.<br>91.9|.<br>93.2|.<br>S1.4|.<br>83.5|.<br>76.7|.<br>71.3|.<br>67.1|.<br>61.9|.<br> <br>56.6|
61

# PAKISTAN

# Projection (000s) with NRR=i by 2040

Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROP|1985|2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,..<br>...............................|.................................|......................................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>M+F|96180|<br>155933|<br>285264|<br>398147|<br>472388|<br>496581|<br>502861|<br>505266|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|8660|13258|<br>16948|<br>16438|<br>16244|<br>16248|<br>16274|<br>16286|
|5-9|7330|12033|<br>17043|<br>16078|<br>16151|<br>16233|<br>16265|<br>16271|
|10-14|6366|107B8|<br>16433|<br>15878|<br>16169|<br>16255|<br>16262|<br>16257|
|15-19|5627|8265|15246|<br>16379|<br>16277|<br>16264|<br>16236|<br>1623C|
|20-24|4715|7102|13914|<br>16594|<br>16311|<br>16205|<br>16178|<br>16190|
|25-29|3928|6110|12667|<br>16521|<br>16228|<br>16085|<br>16119|<br>16152|
|30-34|3279|5341|11516|<br>16618|<br>15850|<br>15973|<br>16084|<br>16'23|
|35-39|2221|4438|10215|<br>15920|<br>15597|<br>15946|<br>16069|<br>16085|
|40-44|1831|3664|7718|<br>14642|<br>16007|<br>15987|<br>16022|<br>16007|
|45-49|1621|3006|6514|13198|<br>16074|<br>15902|<br>15857|<br>15847|
|50-54|1376|<br>1971|<br>5435|11748|<br>15722|<br>15580|<br>15518|<br>15573|
|55-59|1132|<br>1544|<br>4503|<br>10244|<br>15283|<br>14758|<br>14975|<br>15110|
|60-64|852|<br>1263|<br>3429|<br>8465|<br>13786|<br>13749|<br>14195|<br>14347|
|65-69|630|949|<br>2468|<br>5700|<br>11466|<br>12854|<br>13021|<br>13106|
|70-74|430|644|1630|<br>3995|<br>8753|<br>11041|<br>11141|<br>11178|
|75+|370|<br>559|<br>1208|<br>4115|<br>10493|<br>16373|<br>17203|<br>17546|
|TOTAL|50367|<br>80936|<br>146885|<br>202533|<br>236410|<br>245453|<br>247419|<br>248307|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|8092|12582|<br>16166|<br>15770|<br>15592|<br>15586|<br>15605|<br>15610|
|5-9|6558|11359|<br>16213|<br>15422|<br>15526|<br>15591|<br>15613|<br>15612|
|10-14|5686|;3155|15603|<br>15217|<br>15560|<br>15627|<br>15623|<br>15611|
|15-19|5087|<br>7652|<br>14451|<br>15688|<br>15688|<br>15658|<br>15618|<br>15604|
|20-24|4277|<br>6331|<br>13168|<br>15895|<br>15759|<br>15635|<br>15593|<br>15596|
|25-29|3538|<br>5440|<br>11963|<br>15819|<br>15701|<br>15557|<br>15571|<br>15593|
|30-34|2954|<br>4809|<br>10833|<br>15892|<br>15343|<br>15485|<br>15571|<br>15597|
|35-39|1988|<br>4003|<br>9561|<br>15196|<br>15107|<br>15501|<br>1559|7<br>15598|
|40-44|1728|<br>3283|<br>7094|<br>13953|<br>15522|<br>15597|<br>1560|7<br>15576|
|45-49|1510|<br>2711|<br>5772|<br>12577|<br>15632|<br>15605|<br>1554|0<br>15512|
|50-54|1275|<br>1789|<br>4849|<br>11246|<br>15394|<br>15433|<br>1537|5<br>15411|
|55-59|1123|<br>1504|<br>4135|<br>9927|<br>15184|<br>14882|<br>1514|2<br>15263|
|60-64|775|<br>1234|<br>3240|<br>8398|<br>14075|<br>14314|<br>1486|8<br>15018|
|65-69|558|<br>934|<br>2390|<br>5779|<br>12213|<br>14066|<br>1440|3<br>14501|
|70-74|379|<br>682|<br>1640|<br>4103|<br>9905|<br>12983|<br>1334|0<br>13413|
|75*|286|<br>530|<br>1301|<br>4733|<br>13776|<br>23607|<br>26378|<br>27442|
|TOTAL|45813|<br>74998|<br>138379|<br>195614|<br>235978|<br>251128|<br>255442|<br>256958|
|BIRTH RATE||42.8|30.9|19.3|14.7|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||10.6|7.2|6.2|8.0|11.2|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|3.22|2.42|1.33|.68|.20|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|6.133|3.994|2.336|2.079|2.067|2.060|2.059|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|58.23|63.80|70.48|75.55|77.23|78.41|78.71|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|97.5|61.3|31.8|12.3|9.1|7.0|6.7|
62 ILtKEY

> Projection (000s) with HRR-i by 2010

|..........................<br>AGE GROCP<br>1985<br>......<br>.........<br>. ..................|...............................<br>1990<br>|.....................<br> <br>1995<br>..................................|<br>2000|<br>2005<br>......|....<br> <br>2010<br> <br>..........|...<br>|--..<br>-..............<br>2015<br>......<br>..........|......<br> <br>2020<br>..<br>.....|<br>2025<br>......<br>................|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL H+F<br>50310|<br>55990|<br>6n931|<br>67559|<br>72600|<br>76984||81288|<br>85714|<br>89973|<br>93762|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>3261|<br>3729|3913|<br>3810|<br>3602|<br>3392||3469|<br>3650|<br>3706|<br>3648|
|5-9<br>2958|<br>3197|3678|<br>3875|<br>3784|<br>3580||3373|<br>3451|<br>3633|<br>3691|
|10-14<br>3026|<br>2939|3180|<br>3664|<br>3863|<br>37m||3570|<br>3365|<br>3444|<br>3626|
|15-19<br>2839|<br>3006|2922|3165|<br>3649|<br>3849||3760|<br>3559|<br>3355|<br>3434|
|20-24<br>2487|<br>2812|2980|<br>2900|<br>3145|<br>3628||3828|<br>3741|<br>3542|<br>3340|
|25-29<br>2174|<br>2459|2783|<br>2954|<br>2878|<br>3124||3605|<br>3806|<br>3720|<br>3524|
|30-34<br>1726|<br>2149|2433|<br>2758|<br>2931|<br>2858||3103|<br>3583|<br>3784|<br>3700|
|35-39<br>1405|<br>1703|2123|<br>2408|<br>2733|<br>2907||2835|<br>3080|<br>3558|<br>3759|
|40-44<br>1157|<br>1381|1676|<br>2094|<br>2378|<br>2702||2875|<br>2806|<br>3050|<br>3526|
|45-49<br>1063|<br>1129|1350|<br>1641|<br>2053|<br>2334||2654|<br>2827|<br>2762|<br>3005|
|50-54<br>1065|<br>1023|1088|<br>1303|<br>1588|<br>1989||2265|<br>2579|<br>2750|<br>2690|
|55-59<br>862|1001|963|1026|<br>1233|<br>1505||1890|<br>2156|<br>2460|<br>2628|
|60-64<br>561|783|911|879|940|<br>1132||1386|<br>1745|<br>1996|<br>2283|
|6S-69<br>326|484|677|791|<br>767|<br>823||995|<br>1222|<br>1543|<br>1771|
|70-74<br>316|259|385|541|<br>636|<br>619||**668**|<br>811|<br>1001|<br>1271|
|75+<br>306|353|337|420|571|<br>713||m|843|<br>986|<br>1201|
|TOTAL<br>25530|2840|31401|<br>34230|<br>36751|<br>38928||41050|<br>43223|<br>45290|<br>47099|
|FEHALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>3238<br> <br>|3609<br>|3778<br>|3671<br>|3465|<br>3262||3336|<br>3510|3564|<br>3507|
|5-9<br>2889|3182|3566|3748|3651|<br>3448||3249|<br>3324|<br>3499|<br>3554|
|10-14<br>2926|2872|3168|3556|<br>3739|<br>3644||3442|<br>324|3320|<br>3495|
|15-19<br>2673|2909|2859|3156|3546|<br>3730||3636|<br>3436|3238|<br>3315|
|20-24<br>2421|2652|2889|2842|<br>3142|<br>3532||3717|<br>3625|3426|<br>3231|
|25-2v<br>1983|2398|2630|2868|<br>2826|<br>3127||3516|<br>3702|3612|<br>3416|
|30-34<br>1656<br>|1962|2375|2608|2848|<br>2809||3109|<br>3499|3686|<br>3598|
|35-39<br>1317|1635|1940|2351|2585|<br>2826||2789|<br>3089|<br>3479|<br>3668|
|40-44<br>1118|1298|1612|1914|<br>2323|<br>2557||2798|<br>2764|<br>3065|<br>3454|
|45-49<br>1058|1096|1273|1583|1883|<br>2288||2521|<br>2762|2731|<br>3032|
|50-54<br>950|1028|1066|1240|<br>1544|<br>1839||2239|<br>2471|<br>2711|<br>2685|
|55-59<br>840|910|987|1024|<br>1194|<br>1490||1779|<br>2170|2400|<br>2640|
|60-64<br>521|<br>786|<br>* 853|926|964|1128||1413|<br>1692|<br>2071|<br>2298|
|65-69<br>386|466|705|767|837|875||1029|<br>1296|<br>1560|<br>1918|
|70-74<br>351|319|386|586|641|<br>705||74|882|<br>1119|<br>1358|
|75*<br>454<br> <br>|463<br>|446<br>|489<br>|660<br> <br>|794<br>||921|<br>1027|<br>1202|<br>1495|
|TOTAL<br>24780|27585|30530|33330|<br>35849|<br>38056||40238|<br>42492|44682|<br>46663|
|BIRTH RATE|30.1|28.0|24.5|21.1|18.6||17.9|17.8|17.1|16.0|
|DEATH RATE|8.5|7.6|7.0|6.7|6.8||7.0|7.1|7.4|7.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.17|2.03|1.75|1.44L|1.17||1.09|1.06|.97|.83|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 3|-.2|-.1|-.0|.0||.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.14|2.02|1.74|1."|1.17||1.09|1.06|.97|.82|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.800|3.425|2.989|2.608|2.276||2.155|2.143|2.132|2.120|
|NRR<br>|1.642|1.518|1.351|1.197|1.050||1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|64.13|65.89|67.49|68.93|69.66||70.41|71.17|71.95|72.75|
|edIO)- BOTH SEXES<br>|61.25|61.54|62.00|62.54|63.01||63.49|63.98|64.49|65.01|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|76.0<br>|62.4<br>|50.7|41.1|37.8||34.6|31.4|28.1|24.9|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0950|.0753|.0598|.0476|.0438||.0400|.0363|.0325|.0287|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.4|64.1|64.2|62.2|<br>56.5|<br>49.9||45.9|<br>45.1|<br> <br>46.5|<br>48.|
63 TURKEY

# Projection (000s) with NRRal by 2010

Summery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|........<br>..............<br>.|.<br>..........|.....|.<br>........|a<br>.|..........|...|..<br>..<br>.|
|TOTAL<br>MF<br>50310|<br>67559|<br>89973|<br>104097|<br>109112|<br>110630|<br>111343|<br>111608|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>3261|<br>3810|<br>3706|<br>3600|<br>3579|<br>3583|<br>3588|<br>3589|
|5-9<br>2958|<br>3875|<br>3633|<br>3551|<br>3563|<br>3579|<br>3585|<br>3586|
|10-14<br>3026|3664|<br>3444|<br>3514|<br>3564|<br>3581|<br>3584|<br>3583|
|15-19<br>2839|3165|3355|3537|<br>3580|<br>3582|<br>3579|<br>3578|
|20-24<br>2487|2900|3542|3610|<br>3587|<br>3571|<br>3569|<br>3570|
|25-29<br>2174|<br>2954|<br>3720|<br>3651|<br>3566|<br>3550|<br>3557|<br>3562|
|30-34<br>1726|<br>2758|<br>3784|<br>3576|<br>3512|<br>3529|<br>3548|<br>3555|
|35-39<br>1405|<br>2408|<br>3558|<br>3377|<br>3466|<br>3522|<br>3542|<br>3546|
|40-44<br>1157|<br>2094|3050|3272|<br>3475|<br>3525|<br>3531|<br>3530|
|45-49<br>1063|<br>1641|<br>2762|<br>3423|<br>3520|<br>3508|<br>3498|<br>3498|
|50-54<br>1065|<br>1303|2750|<br>3531|<br>3505|<br>3437|<br>3430|<br>3438|
|55-59<br>862|1026|<br>2460|<br>3467|<br>3329|<br>3289|<br>3316|<br>3336|
|60-64<br>561|879|1996|<br>3064|<br>2974|<br>3081|<br>3145|<br>3167|
|65-69<br>326|791|1543|<br>2369|<br>2623|<br>2823|<br>2884|<br>2895|
|70-74<br>316|541|1001|<br>1809|<br>2344|<br>2457|<br>2473|<br>2473|
|75+<br>306|420|986|2436|<br>3639|<br>3791|<br>3865|<br>3907|
|TOTAL<br>25530|<br>34230|<br>45290|<br>51787|<br>53826|<br>54408|<br>54694|<br>54813|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>3238|3671|3564|3460|<br>3436|<br>3436|<br>3439|<br>3440|
|5-9<br>2889|<br>3748|3499|3417|<br>3425|<br>3436|<br>3440|<br>3440|
|10-14<br>2926|<br>3556|3320|<br>3385|<br>3430|<br>3442|<br>3442|<br>3440|
|15-19<br>2673|<br>3156|3238|<br>3412|<br>3451|<br>3447|<br>3441|<br>3439|
|20-24<br>2421|<br>2842|3426|3491|<br>3466|<br>3445|<br>3438|<br>3438|
|25-29<br>1983|<br>2868|3612|<br>3539|<br>3454|<br>3432|<br>3434|<br>3437|
|30-34<br>1656|<br>2608|3686|<br>3474|<br>3410|<br>3420|<br>3433|<br>3437|
|35--<br>1317|<br>2351|3479|3287|<br>3375|<br>3423|<br>3437|<br>3437|
|40-44<br>1118|<br>1914|3065|<br>3194|<br>3395|<br>3439|<br>3438|<br>3433|
|45-49<br>1058|<br>1583|<br>2731|<br>3357|<br>3460|<br>3443|<br>3427|<br>3422|
|50-54<br>950|<br>1240|<br>2711|<br>3501|<br>3481|<br>3412|<br>3398|<br>3401|
|55-59<br>840|1024|<br>2400|<br>3507|<br>3372|<br>3332|<br>3353|<br>3369|
|60-64<br>521|926|2071|<br>3207|<br>3116|<br>3232|<br>3297|<br>3316|
|65-69<br>386|767|1560|<br>2668|<br>2893|<br>3128|<br>3197|<br>3245|
|70-74<br>351|<br>586|<br>1119|<br>2133|<br>2783|<br>2947|<br>2975|<br>29-74|
|75+<br>454|489|1202|<br>3277|<br>5341|<br>5807|<br>6061|<br>6167|
|TOTAL<br>24780|<br>33330|<br>44682|<br>52310|<br>55286|<br>56222|<br>56649|<br>56795|
|BIRTH RATE|27.3|18.4|14.6|13.2|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.6|7.0|8.9|11.3|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.97|1.15|.58|.19|.06|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>|3.373|2.250|2.098|2.063|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|o(O) - BOTH SEXES|65.95|70.51|74.46|77.35|78.18|78.76|78.89|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|63.1|34.5|18.5|8.3|7.3|6.6|6.5|
# EMN DEPARTMENT 11
66 ALGERIA Projection **(000s)** with **NRRaR** by 2025

|....<br>.................<br>....<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|.<br>........<br>..<br> <br>1990|...........<br> <br>1995|.........................<br> <br>2000|<br>2005|........<br>........<br> <br>2010|....<br>........<br> <br>2015|......<br> <br>2020|.........................<br> <br>2025|.......**..**...............<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..**.............**<br>,<br>............<br>........|..............|..........................|....|.......|.....................................|..................||||
|TOTALM+F<br>21718|<br>25260|<br>29605|<br>34243|<br>38983|43564|48087|52437|56421|60233|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1979|<br>2137|<br>2554|<br>2721|<br>2798|<br>2763|<br>2787|<br>2760|<br>2646|<br>2660|
|5-9<br>1667|<br>1944|<br>2110|<br>2531|<br>2703|<br>2781|<br>2747|<br>27m|2747|<br>2636|
|10-14<br>1460|1658|1935|2103|2523|2695|2774|2741|<br>2766|2742|
|15-19<br>1252|1450|1648|1925|2094|2513|2685|2764|<br>2732|2758|
|20-24<br>1023|1239|1437|1635|1911|2080|2498|2670|2749|2718|
|25-29<br>802|1011|1225|1423|1621|1896|2065|2481|2653|2733|
|30-34<br>656|791|999|1213|1410|1608|1882|2050|2464|2637|
|35-39<br>442|646|781|987|1200|1397|1593|18s}|<br>2034|2446|
|40-44<br>302|433|635|768|973|1184|1379|1574|1845|2013|
|45-49<br>312|204|421|619|752|953|1161|1354|1547|1815|
|50-54<br>284|298|281|405|597|726|922|1125|1314|1504|
|55-59<br>222|265|279|264|382|b64|<br>687|875|1070|1253|
|60-64<br>173|200|239|253|240|349|517|632|807|990|
|65-69<br>139|147|170|205|219|209|304|453|556|713|
|70-74<br>102|107|114|134|163|175|168|246|368|455|
|75.<br>121|120|174|132|152|182|206|215|276|396|
|TOTAL<br>10938|12739|14952|17318|19738|<br>22074|24374|26576|28575|30469|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1845|2068|2465|2622|2691|2657|2680|2654|2544|2557|
|5-9<br>1586|1817|2046|2447|2608|2679|2646|2670|2645|2538|
|10-14<br>1379|1578|1810|2040|2442|2603|2674|2642|2666|2642|
|15-19<br>1181|1371|1570|1803|2033|2435|2596|2668|2636|2662|
|20-24<br>964|1171|1360|1560|1793|2023|2424|2586|2659|2629|
|25-29<br>754|953|1159|1349|1549|1781|2012|2411|2574|2648|
|30-34<br>634|744|942|1147|1337|1537|1769|1999|2398|2562|
|35-39<br>481|624|734|931|1135|1324|1523|1755|1985|2384|
|40-44<br>366|472|614|722|918|1121|1309|1508|1739|1969|
|45-49<br>371|358|462|601|709|902|1103|1290|1487|1718|
|50-54<br>330|359|346|448|584|691|88l|<br>1079|1264|1460|
|55-59<br>258|314|342|331|430|562|666|851|1045|1228|
|60-64<br>199|238|- 291|319|310|404|530|631|809|997|
|65-69<br>161|175|211|259|286|279|366|483|578|746|
|70-74<br>120|130|142|172|214|238|235|311|414|500|
|75.<br>151<br>|150|159|174|205|253|299|324<br>|400<br> <br>|524<br>|
|TOTAL<br>10780|12522|14653|16924|19244|21490|23713|2s561|<br>27845|29764|
|BIRTH RATE|39.0|39.2|35.4|31.4|27.4|24.8|22.3|19.7|18.4|
|DEATH RATE|8.8|7.5|6.3|5.5|5.2|5.0|5.0|5.0|5.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.02|3.17|2.91|2.59|2.22|1.98|1.73|1.47|1.31|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.02|3.17|2.91|2.59|2.22|1.98|1.73|1.46|1.31|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.915|5.292|4.670|4.047|3.425|2.976|2.586|2.247|2.125|
|NRR|2.527|2.330|2.099|1.850|1.575|1.377|1.204|1.052|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|62.53|64.54|66.39|68.05|68.83|69.64|70.46|71.30|72.16|
|**eclO)**- BOTH SEXES|59.24|59.96|60.77|61.60|62.13|62.67|63.24|63.81|64.41|
|_IMR_- BOTH SEXES|74.0|61.3|50.2|40.8|37.7|34.5|31.3|28.2|25.0|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|0921|0738|0591|0473|0436|0399|0362|0325|0288|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>97.3|.<br>90.9|.<br>87.8|.<br>83.1|.<br>77.4|.<br>67.2|.<br>59.2|.<br> <br>53.5|.<br> <br>49.2|.<br>46.5|
67 ALGERIA Projection (0009) with NRR-1 by 2025 Summry for 25 Year Periods

|........................................<br>AGEGROUP|............<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|.....................<br>2050|.......................................<br> <br>2075|........................................<br> <br>2100|...........<br> <br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................<br>........................................|.................................|.......................................||||||,_|
|TOTAL<br>M+F|21718|<br>34243|<br>56421|<br>73449|<br>81885|<br>83457|<br>84105|<br>84354|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1979|<br>2721|<br>2646|<br>2700|<br>2715|<br>2715|<br>2714|<br>2713|
|5-9|1667|<br>2531|<br>2747|2726|<br>2717|<br>2711|<br>2710|<br>2710|
|10-14|1460|<br>2103|<br>2766|<br>2739|<br>2708|<br>2703|<br>27)6|<br>2708|
|15-19|1252|1925|<br>2732|2713|<br>2687|<br>2695|<br> <br>2703|<br> <br>2705|
|20-24|1023|<br>1635|<br>2749|<br>2632|<br>2668|<br>2691|<br>2699|<br>2700|
|25-29|802|1423|<br>2653|2605|<br>2674|<br>2692|<br>2695|<br>2694|
|30-34|656|<br>1213|<br>2464|<br>2701|<br>2695|<br>2691|<br>2687|<br>2686|
|35-39|442|<br>987|2034|<br>2708|<br>2701|<br>26;5|2674|<br>2677|
|40-44|302|768|1845|<br>2658|<br>2664|<br> <br>2645|<br>2657|<br>2665|
|45-49|312|619|1547|<br>2649|<br>2565|<br>2608|<br>2636|<br>2645|
|50-54|284|<br>405|<br>1314|<br>2509|<br>2499|<br>2576|<br>2601|<br>2605|
|55-59|222|<br>264|<br>1070|<br>2247|<br>2511|<br>2522|<br>2527|<br>2526|
|60-64|173|253|807|1740|<br>2381|<br>2398|<br>2388|<br>2390|
|65-69|139|<br>205|<br>556|<br>1421|<br>2125|<br>2161|<br>2162|<br>2177|
|70-74|102|<br>134|<br>368|<br>1002|<br>1808|<br>1786|<br>1837|<br>1863|
|75+|121|132|<br>276|1073|<br>2385|<br>2793|<br>2920|<br>2959|
|TOTAL|10938|<br>17318|<br>28575|<br>36823|<br>40502|<br>41063|<br>41315|<br>41426|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1845|<br>2622|<br>2544|<br>2595|<br>2607|<br>2604|<br>2602|<br>2601|
|5-9|1586|<br>2447|<br>2645|<br>2623|<br>2612|<br>2603|<br>2600|<br>2600|
|<br>10-14|<br>1379|<br> <br>2040|<br> <br>2666|<br> <br> <br>2638|<br> <br> <br>2606|<br> <br> <br>2598|<br> <br> <br>2599|<br><br> <br>2600|
|15-19|1181|<br>1803|<br>2636|<br>2617|<br>2590|<br>2594|<br>2599|<br>2600|
|20-24|964|1560|<br>2659|2545|<br>2578|<br>2596|<br>2600|<br>2601|
|25-29|754|<br>1349|<br>2574|<br>2525|<br>2590|<br>2604|<br>2602|<br>2600|
|30-34|634|<br>1147|<br>2398|<br>2623|<br>2617|<br>2608|<br>2600|<br>2598|
|35-39|481|<br>931|1985|<br>2635|<br>2629|<br>2600|<br>2594|<br>2595|
|40-44|366|722|1739|<br>2593|<br>2602|<br>2581|<br>2587|<br>2593|
|45-49|371|601|1487|<br>2596|<br>2520|<br>2561|<br>2583|<br>2588|
|50-54|330|448|1264|<br>2485|<br>2481|<br>2557|<br>2577|<br>2577|
|55-59|258|331|1045|<br>2271|<br>2543|<br>2555|<br>2556|<br>2552|
|60-64|199|319|809|1819|<br>2493|<br>2516|<br>2504|<br>2503|
|65-69|161|259|578|1501|<br>2342|<br>2395|<br>2398|<br>2411|
|70-74|120|<br>172|<br>414|1148|<br>2143|<br>2142|<br>2210|<br>2240|
|75+|151|<br>174|<br>400|<br>1410|<br>3429|<br>4280|<br>4579|<br>4670|
|TOTAL|10780|<br>16924|<br>27845|<br>36626|<br>41383|<br>42394|<br>42790|<br>42928|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||37.7|24.6|16.6|13.7|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.4|5.1|6.2|9.4|12.2|12.4|12.6|
|NETMIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.04|2.00|1.06|.43|.08|.03|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|5.205|2.941|2.101|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH|SEXES|64.68|69.81|74.07|77.18|78.09|78.71|78.87|
|<br>INR- BOTH|SEXES|61.0|34.6|18.7|8.7|7.5|6.7|6.5|
**66**

|LIBYA||Proj|ection<br>(00W|s)<br>with NRR=|1 by 2050|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALH+F<br>3786|4546|5450|6489|<br>7685|<br>9029|10520|<br>12146|<br>13880|<br>15677|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>359|421|508|589|<br>677|<br>764|852|935|1005|<br>1055|
|5-9<br>291|353|416|502|<br>584|<br>672|759|847|930|<br>1000|
|10-14<br>247|290|352|414|<br>501|<br>582|670|757|<br>845|<br>928|
|15-19<br>197|246|288|350|<br>412|<br>:94|<br>580|667|754|<br>842|
|20-24<br>153|199|245|286|<br>347|<br>410|496|577|<br>664|<br>751|
|25-29<br>138|157|20W|<br>244|<br>284|<br>345|407|492|<br>573|<br>660|
|30-34<br>130|141|158|198|<br>242|<br>282|342|404|489|<br>570|
|35-39<br>117|132|141|156|<br>196|<br>239|279|339|401|<br>486|
|40-44<br>99|117|131|139|<br>154|<br>194|236|276|<br>336|<br>397|
|45-49<br>80|97|114|127|<br>136|<br>151|190|232|<br>271|<br>330|
|50-54<br>64|77|93|110|<br>123|<br>132|146|.84|225|<br>264|
|55-59<br>46|60|72|88|104|<br>116|125|139|<br>175|<br>215|
|60-64<br>32|41|54|65|<br>80|<br>95|107|115|<br>128|<br>162|
|65-69<br>21|<br>27|<br>35|46|<br>56|<br>69|83|93|101|<br>113|
|70-74<br>13|16|21|28|<br>37|<br>45|56|67|76|<br>83|
|75+<br>11|13|<br>16|<br>21|<br>29|<br>39|<br>49|<br>63|<br>77|<br>92|
|TOTAL<br>2000|2388|2843|3363|<br>3961|<br>4632|5376|<br>6187|7051|<br>7947|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>344|408|491|568|<br>652|<br>735|820|900|967|<br>1015|
|5-9<br>280|339|404|486|<br>564|<br>618|732|816|896|<br>964|
|10-14<br>237|279|338|402|<br>485|<br>563|647|730|<br>815|<br>895|
|15-19<br>187|236|278|337|<br>401|<br>484|562|645|729|<br>814|
|20-24<br>144|187|235|277|<br>335|<br>400|482|560|643|<br>727|
|25-29<br>125|143|186|234|<br>275|<br>334|398|480|558|<br>641|
|30.34<br>109|124|142|185|<br>232|<br>273|332|395|478|<br>555|
|35-39<br>88|108|123|141|<br>183|<br>230|271|329|393|<br>475|
|40-44<br>70|86|106|121|<br>139|<br>181|228|269|327|<br>390|
|45-49<br>55|68|85|104|<br>119|<br>137|178|225|<br>265|<br>323|
|50-54<br>44|53|66|82|<br>101|<br>116|134|174|<br>220|<br>261|
|55-59<br>34|42|51|63|79|<br>98|112|130|<br>169|<br>214|
|60-64<br>27|31|39|47|<br>59|<br>75|92|107|<br>124|<br>162|
|65-69<br>19|24|28|34|<br>42|<br>54|68|85|98|114|
|70-74<br>13|15|19|23|<br>29|<br>36|<br>46|58|73|<br>85|
|75+<br>11|14|17|21|<br>27|<br>34|43|56|**73**|<br>94|
|TOTAL<br>1786|2158|2606|3126|<br>3724|<br>4396|5144|<br>5959|<br>6828|<br>7730|
|BIRTH RATE|43.7|43.2|41.3|39.5|37.6|35.7|33.7|31.4|28.9|
|DEATH RATE|9.1|7.7|6.6|5.7|5.4|5.2|4.9|4.7|4.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.46|3.54|3.48|3.38|3.22|3.06|2.87|2.67|2.44|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|19|8|2|0|0|0|0|0|0|
|<br> <br>GROWTH<br>RATE|.<br>3.66|.<br>3.63|.<br>3.49|.<br>3.38|.<br>3.22|.<br>3.06|.<br>2.87|.<br>2.67|.<br>2.44|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.870|6.465|6.060|5.655|5.250|4.845|4.440|4.035|3.630|
|NRR|2.891|2.809|2.701|2.572|2.401|2.232|2.059|1.883|1.705|
|etO)- BOTH SEXES|60.77|63.43|65.85|67.98|68.77|69.59|70.42|71.27|72.14|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|58.21|59.57|60.81|62.01|62.51|63.02|63.55|64.09|64.64|
|_IMR_- BOTH SEXES|82.0|68.4|56.2|45.8|42.1|38.5|34.8|31.1|27.5|
|(S)-BOTHSEXES|1037|0840|0669|0535|0492|0449|0405|0362|0319|
|q <br>DEP. RATIO<br>95.1|.<br> <br>93.7|.<br> <br>94.2|.<br>93.5|.<br> <br>92.0|.<br> <br>88.6|.<br> <br>84.7|.<br> <br>80.2|.<br> <br>75.2|.<br> <br>69.7|
69 LIBYA ProJection (000s) with **NRR=i** by 2050 Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUJP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>**H+F**<br>3786|6489|13880|<br>22366|<br>28715|<br>31592|<br>32011|<br>32125|
|MALES<br> <br>|||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|
|0-4<br>359|589|1005|<br>993|<br>1027|<br>1036|<br>1035|<br>1034|
|5-9<br>291|502|930|1037|<br>1041|<br>1037|<br>1033|<br>1032|
|10-14<br>247|414|845|<br>1064|<br>1049|<br>1033|<br>1030|<br>1031|
|15-19<br>197|350|754|<br>1070|<br>1036|<br>1024|<br>1027|<br>1030|
|20-24<br>153|286|664|1043|<br>997|1015|<br>1026|<br>1029|
|25-29<br>138|244|573|989|<br>983|1019|<br>1028|<br>1027|
|30-34<br>130|198|489|914|<br>1025|<br>1031|<br>1028|<br>1125|
|35-39<br>117|156|401|827|<br>1049|<br>1037|<br>1022|<br>1019|
|40-44<br>99|139|<br>336|734|<br>1050|<br>1020|<br>1009|<br>1013|
|45-49<br>80|127|271|640|<br>1016|<br>975|<br>995|<br>1005|
|50-54<br>64|<br>110|225|<br>542|<br>948|947|<br>984|<br>993|
|55-59<br>46|88|175|<br>446|<br>849|959|<br>968|<br>967|
|60-64<br>32|65|128|<br>343|<br>726|931|<br>925|<br>914|
|65-69<br>21|46|101|<br>259|<br>586|852|<br>833|<br>827|
|70-74<br>13|28|76|176|<br>436|707|<br>686|<br>703|
|75+<br>11|21|77|182|<br>491|954|<br>1096|<br>1127|
|TOTAL<br>2000|3363|7051|<br>11258|<br>14310|<br>15576|<br>15726|<br>15775|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>344|568|967|954|<br>986|993|<br>992|<br>991|
|5-9<br>280|486|896|998|<br>1001|<br>996|<br>992|<br>990|
|10-14<br>237|402|815|1025|<br>1010|<br>993|<br>989|<br>990|
|15-19<br>187|337|729|<br>1033|<br>999|985|<br>987|<br>990|
|20-24<br>144|277|643|1009|<br>964|980|<br>988|<br>991|
|25-29<br>125|234|558|<br>959|<br>952|<br>985|<br>992|<br>992|
|30-34<br>109|185|478|889|<br>996|1000|<br>995|<br>991|
|35-37<br>88|141|393|806|<br>1022|<br>1008|<br>992|<br>988|
|40-44<br>70|v121|327|<br>718|<br>1027|<br>995|<br>983|<br>985|
|45-49<br>55|104|265|<br>629|<br>1000|<br>957|<br>975|<br>984|
|50-54<br>44|82|220|540|<br>943|940|<br>975|<br>983|
|55-59<br>34|63|169|<br>454|<br>862|973|<br>980|<br>977|
|60-64<br>27|47|124|<br>361|<br>763|978|<br>971|<br>957|
|65-69<br>19|34|98|283|<br>649|946|<br>925|<br>916|
|70-74<br>13|23|<br>73|206|<br>520|851|<br>827|<br>846|
|75+<br>11|21|73|<br>241|<br>709|1436|<br>1722|<br>1781|
|TOTAL<br>1786|<br>3126|6828|<br>11108|<br>14405|<br>16017|<br>16285|<br>16349|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|42.6|35.0|23.0|15.9|13.4|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.6|5.1|4.4|6.0.|9.6|12.3|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.59|3.04|1.91|1.00|.38|.05|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|6.415|4.701|2.788|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|**e(O)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|63.65|69.85|74.13|77.18|78.10|78.72|78.88|
|**IHR**BOTH SEXES|67.6|37.8|20.3|8.7|7.5|6.7|6.5|
70

|MALTA||Proj|ectio|n (000s|) w|ith NRR|=1 by|2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROLP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995||2000||2005||2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|..................................................................|....|..............................................|...............|................................|||||||||
|TOTALH.F<br>345|344|344||347||351||356|360|<br>362|<br>362|<br>361|
|MALES|||||||||||||
|0-4<br>14|12|12||11||12||12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>12|
|5*9<br>IS|14|12||11||11||12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>11|
|10-14<br>14|<br>15|<br>13||12||11||11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|15-19<br>12|<br>14|<br>14||13||12||11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>14|<br>11|<br>13||14||13||12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>15|<br>13|<br>11||13||14||13|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|
|30-34<br>14|<br>14|<br>13||10||13||14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|
|35-39<br>1S|<br>13|<br>14||12||10||12|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>11|
|40-44<br>11|<br>14|<br>13||13||12||10|<br>12|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|
|45-49<br>9|<br>11|<br>14||13||13||12|<br>10|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|
|50-54<br>8|<br>9|<br>10||14||12||13|<br>12|<br>10|<br>12|<br>13|
|55-59|8|8||10||13||12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>9|<br>12|
|60-64<br>7|6|7||8||9||12|<br>11|12|<br>11|<br>9|
|65-69<br>5|6|S||6||7||8|11|10|<br>10|<br>10|
|70-74<br>4|4|5||5||5||6|7|9|8|<br>9|
|75.<br>5|5|5||6||6||7|8|9|11|<br>12|
|TOTAL<br>169|<br>169|<br>170||171||174||177|<br>179|<br>180|<br>181|<br>180|
|FEMALES|||||||||||||
|0-4<br>14|<br>12|<br>11||11||11||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|5 9<br>14|<br>14|<br>11||11||II||11|<br>II|11|<br>11|<br>11|
|10-14<br>13|<br>11|<br>13||I1||11||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>12|<br>13|<br>13||13||11||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>II||
|20-24<br>13|11|<br>12||10||13||13|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11||
|25-29<br>14|<br>12|<br>11||12||13||13|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>1|
|30-34<br>14|<br>13|<br>12||1O||11||13|<br>13|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|
|35-39<br>15|<br>13|<br>13||11||10||11|<br>13|<br>13|<br>11|<br>10|
|40-44<br>11|<br>15|<br>13||13||11||10|<br>11|<br>13|<br>13|<br>11|
|45-49<br>10|<br>11|<br>14||13||13||11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>13|<br>13|
|50-54<br>10|<br>10|<br>10||14||13||12|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>12|
|55-59<br>9|<br>10|<br>9||10||14||12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|
|60-64<br>8|<br>9|<br>9||9||10||13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>10|<br>9|
|65-69<br>6|<br>7|<br>8||8||8||9|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|
|70-74<br>5|<br>5|<br>6||7||7||7|<br>8|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|
|73+<br>8|<br>8|<br>8||9||10||12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>16|<br>18|
|TOTAL<br>176|<br>175|<br>174||175||177||179|<br>181|<br>181|<br>181|<br>181|
|BIRTH RATE|14.4|13.3|1|3.0||13.3||13.3|13.0|12.5|12.3|12.5|
|DEATH RATE|9.4|9.3||9.4||9.8||10.3|10.8|11.5|12.2|13.2|
|RAtc OF NAT. INC.|.49|.40||.36||.35||.31|.21|.11|.01|-.07|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-5.8|-3.5|-|2.3||-1.1||.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GR0iTH<br>RATE|-.09|.05||.13||.24||.31|.21|.11|.01|-.07|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.900|1.900|1.|900||i.930|1|.960|1.989|2.018|2.046|2.074|
|NRR|.900|.904|.|906||.922||.937|.952|.966|.980|.994|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.76|73.75|74|.60|7|5.33|7|5.61|75.90|76.19|76.48|76.78|
|eClO) - BOTH SEXES|63.63|64.49|65|.27|6|5.96|6|6.24|66.53|66.82|67.12|67.42|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|10.0|8.5||7.6||7.1||7.1|7.1|7.1|7.1|7.1|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0111|.0093|.0|084|.|0078|.|0078|.0078|.0078|.0077|.0077|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.3|<br>50.2|<br> <br>47.2|<br>|<br>45.|<br>6|<br>46.3|<br>|<br>48.8|<br> <br>54.|<br>8<br>57.|<br>8<br>59.|7<br>59.4|
71 Projection (00Os) with NRR-i by 2030 MALTA Sumamry for 25 Year Periods

|..........................................................................<br>AGE GR0JP<br>1985|...............................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................................................|...............................|||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>345|347|362|**359**|357|358|358|359|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>14|11|II|12|12|<br>12|12|12|
|5-9<br>15|11|12|12|12|12|12|12|
|10-14<br>14|12|12|12|12|12|12|12|
|15-19<br>12|13|12|12|12|12|12|12|
|20-24<br>14|14|12|11|11|12|12|12|
|25-29<br>15|13|11|II|11|12|12|12|
|30-34<br>14|<br>10|<br>11|<br>II|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|35-39<br>15|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|
|40-44<br>11|<br>13|<br>13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>ll|
|45-49<br>9|13|13|11|11|11|1l|<br>ll|
|50-54<br>8|<br>14|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>II|11|<br>11|
|55-59<br>7|10|<br>9|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>ll|<br>11|
|60-64<br>7|<br>8|II|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>5|<br>6|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|70-74<br>4|5|8|9|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|75+<br>5|<br>6|II|12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>169|<br>171|<br>181|<br>179|<br>177|<br>178|<br>178|<br>178|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>14|<br>13|<br>11|11|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>II|
|5-9<br>14|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>II|
|10-14|103|1<br>11|<br>II|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>12|<br>13|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|20-24<br>IS|<br>13|<br>II|ll|<br>I1||11|11|
|25-29<br>14|<br>12|<br>13|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11<br>II||11|
|30-34<br>14|<br>10|<br>10|<br>ll|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>1|
|3S-39<br>15|<br>11|<br>I1|<br>Ill|ll|<br>ll|<br>11|I1|
|40-44<br>11|<br>13|<br>13|<br>II|II|111|11||
|45-49<br>10|<br>13|<br>1||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|50-54<br>10|<br>14|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|55-59<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>II|111|1l||
|60-64<br>8|9|10|<br>10|<br>ll|<br>111|1l||
|65-69<br>6|8|11|<br>12|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|70-74<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>10|<br>9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|75+<br>8|<br>9|16|<br>18|<br>19|<br>19|<br>20|<br>20|
|TOTAL<br>176|<br>175|<br>181|<br>180|<br>179|<br>180|<br>181|<br>181|
|BIRTH RATE|13.5|12.9|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|9.4|10.9|13.0|12.9.|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATIONRATE|-3.9|-.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.03|17|-. 03|-. 02|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.906|1.987|2.0B2|2.080|2.079|2.079|2.078|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|73.71|75.91|77.40|78.46|78.74|78.92|78.97|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|8.8|7.1|7.1|6.9|6.6|6.4|6.4|
72 CROCCO Projectlor. (000.) with NRR=1 by 2020

|................<br>..................<br>AGE GROUIP<br>1985|..............<br> <br>1990|<br>1995|.......................<br> <br>2000|<br>2005|...<br>|..............................<br>2010|...............<br> <br>2015|<br>202|<br>202|..<br>,.......<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>.................<br>...............|<br> <br>.................|<br>|<br> <br>.....<br>.....|<br> <br>.........<br>.....|<br>........|<br>...|<br> <br>..............................|<br> <br>........................|<br>|<br>|
|TOTAL M+F<br>22120|<br>25128|<br>28511|<br>31920|<br>35226||38422|<br>41469|<br>4427|0<br>4699|4<br>49650|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>1786|<br>1941|<br>2157|<br>2198|<br>2176||2164|<br>2131|<br>2060|<br>208|1<br>2132|
|5-9<br>1573|<br>1738|<br>1902|<br>2125|<br>2175||2155|<br>2145|<br>2114|<br>204|6<br>2068|
|10-14<br>1396|<br>1559|<br>1725|<br>1890|<br>2115||2165|<br>2146|<br>2137|<br>210|7<br>2040|
|15-19<br>1216|<br>1382|<br>1545|<br>1712|<br>1878||2102|<br>2153|<br>2135|<br>212|8<br>2099|
|20-24<br>1006|<br>1197|<br>1363|<br>1526|<br>1693||1859|<br>2083|<br>2136|<br>212|0<br>2114|
|25-9<br>909|<br>987|<br>1177|<br>1342|<br>1505||1672|<br>1838|<br>2062|<br>211|7<br>2103|
|30-34<br>711|<br>891|<br>969|<br>1158|<br>1322||1485|<br>1652|<br>1819|<br>204|3<br>2099|
|35*39<br>516|695|872|950|1138||1302|<br>1464|<br>1631|<br>179|8<br>2022|
|40-44<br>359|501|677|851|930||1115|<br>1278|<br>1439|<br>160|6<br>1773|
|45-49<br>356|346|484|654|825||903|1086|<br>1247|<br>1407|<br>1573|
|50-54<br>312|<br>338|<br>328|<br>461|<br>625||791|<br>868|<br>104|5<br>120|3<br>1361|
|55-59<br>293|289|314|306|430||586|<br>743|<br>818|<br>989|<br>1.41|
|60-64<br>199|261|259|281|<br>275||389|532|<br>v7;|<br>749|<br>909|
|65-69<br>183|168|221|219|240||236|335|<br> <br>461|<br> <br>590|<br>655|
|70-74<br>126|141|130|172|<br>172||189|<br>187|<br>268|<br>370|<br>478|
|75+<br>127|139|155|156|<br>186||201|<br>222|<br>233|<br>297|<br>403|
|TOTAL<br>11068|<br>12572|<br>14277|<br>16002|<br>17684||19313|<br>20863|<br>22282|<br>2365|0<br>24970|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-.<br>1721|<br>1878|<br>2083|<br>2121|<br>2096||2084|<br>2052|<br>1983|<br>2003|<br>2052|
|5-9<br>1511|<br>1680|<br>1845|<br>2n58|<br>2103||2080|<br>20'0|<br>2040|<br>1973|<br>1994|
|10-14<br>1341|1498|1668|1835|<br>2050||2095|<br>2074|<br>2065|<br>2035|<br>1969|
|15-19<br>1170|1329|1486|1657|<br>1825||2039|<br>2086|<br>2066|<br>2058|<br>2029|
|20-24<br>1042|1155|1313|1470|<br>1641||1809|<br>2024|<br>2072|<br>2054|<br>2048|
|25-29<br>916|1026|1138|1294|<br>1451||1622|<br>1791|<br>2006|<br>2056|<br>2040|
|30-34<br>707|900|1008|1119|<br>1275||1432|<br>1603|<br>1772|<br>1988|<br>2040|
|35-39<br>529|693|883|990|1100||1255|<br>1412|<br>1583|<br>1753|<br>1969|
|40-44<br>407|517|677|863|969||1079|<br>1234|<br>1390|<br>1561|<br>1732|
|45-49<br>440|395|<br>502|<br>658|<br>840||945|1055|<br>1209|<br>1365|<br>1536|
|50-54<br>328|423|380|483|634||812|916|1025|<br>1177|<br>1333|
|55-59<br>330|310|400|360|458||604|775|<br>878|<br>986|<br>1136|
|60-64<br>184|304|'286|369|332||425|563|<br>727|<br>827|<br>933|
|65-69<br>170|162|267|251|325||295|380|507|<br>660|<br>756|
|70-74<br>121|138|131|217|205||269|246|320|<br>431|<br>566|
|75+<br>132|148|168|173|237||264|327|347|<br>418|<br>545|
|TOTAL<br>11052|12556|14235|15918|<br>17542||19109|<br>206^'r|<br>21988|<br>23344|<br>24680|
|BIRTH RATE|35.4|34.0|30.3|26.6||24.1|21.8|19.5|18.5|17.8|
|DEATH RATE|9.6|8.5|7.5|6.8||6.6|6.4|6.4|6.5|6.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.58|2.55|2.28|1.98||1.75|1.53|1.31|1.19|1.10|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.3|-.2|-.2|-.1||-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|255|253|226|197||174|153|131|119|110|
|<br> <br>TOTAL FERTILITY|.<br>4.820|.<br>4.310|.<br>3.800|.<br>3.290|2|.<br>.906|.<br>2.568|.<br>2.268|.<br>2158|.<br>2143|
|NRR|2.016|1.859|<br>1.678|<br>1.481|<br>1|<br>.318|<br>1.173|<br>1.043|.<br>1.000|.<br>1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|60.77|62.55|64.22|65.75|6|6.68|67.62|68.60|69.60|70.63|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|58.16|58.48|58.90|59.44|6|0.12|1.82|61.54|62.22|63.03|
|INR<br>- BOTH SEXES|73.0|60.0|48.9|39.7||36.7|33.8|30.9|28.0|25.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1013|.0809|.0635|.0497||.0459|.0421|.0383|.0346|.0308|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>85.4|80.3|77.5|<br>72.5|<br>66.6||58.6|<br>52.7|<br>48.9|<br>46.9|<br>46.1|
73 MOROCCO Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2020 Summery for 25 Year Periods

|,. ..............<br>AGE GROWU<br>|......<br>..<br>P<br>1985<br>|**.......................**<br>.....<br>...<br> <br>2000<br>|........<br>2025<br>|........<br>2050<br>|.................................<br> <br>2075<br> <br>|<br> <br>2100<br> <br>|....<br> <br>2125<br>|........<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|;,,<br>,,,,,,,-o,F----<br>TOTAL N.F|21,,,,<br>---<br>22120|-<br>12,0,<br>----<br> <br>31920|--<br>4.6..9<br>.....<br> <br>46994|...<br>8,-<br>....<br> <br>58151|....<br>6......<br>Z ....<br> <br>63342|.....<br>6.._7........<br> <br>64617|6....0..<br>....<br> <br>65206|.................<br> <br>65439|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1786|<br>2198|2081|<br>2086|<br>2100|<br>2106|<br>2107|<br>2107|
|5-9|1573|<br>2125|2046|<br>2069|<br>2103|<br>2104|<br>2104|<br>2104|
|10-14|1396|<br>1890|<br>2107|<br>2108|<br>2106|<br>2102|<br>2101|<br>2102|
|15-19|1216|<br>1712|<br>2128|2121|<br>2098|<br>2095|<br>2097|<br>2099|
|20-24|1006|<br>1526|<br>2120|<br>2102|<br>2077|<br>2086|<br>2093|<br>2095|
|2' 29|909|<br>1342|<br>2117|<br>2038|<br>2063|<br>2081|'<br>2089|<br>2091|
|30-34|711|<br>1158|<br>2043|<br>2002|<br>2063|<br>2082|<br>2086|<br>2086|
|35-39|516|<br>950|<br>1798|<br>2050|<br>2076|<br>2079|<br>2078|<br>2079|
|4(-44|359|<br>851|<br>1606|<br>2C54|<br>2079|<br>2064|<br>2064|<br>2068|
|45-49|356|<br>654|<br>1407|<br>2023|<br>2044|<br>2029|<br>2042|<br>2051|
|50-54|312|<br>461|<br>1203|<br>1979|<br>1949|<br>1986|<br>2010|<br>2019|
|55-59|293|<br>306|<br>989|<br>1836|<br>1853|<br>1927|<br>1954|<br>1961|
|60-64|199|<br>281|<br>749|<br>1512|<br>1792|<br>1838|<br>1854|<br>1857|
|65-69|183|<br>219|<br>590|<br>1211|<br>1630|<br>16B0|<br>1685|<br>1691|
|70-74|126|<br>172|<br>370|<br>888|<br>1366|<br>1416|<br>1427|<br>1442|
|75+|127|<br>156|<br>297|<br>959|<br>1901|<br>2116|<br>2239|<br>2287|
|TOTAL|11068|<br>16002|<br>23650|<br>29059|<br>31301|<br>31791|<br>32032|<br>32139|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1721|<br>2121|<br>2003|<br>2006|<br>2017|<br>2020|<br>2020|<br>2019|
|5-9|1511|<br>2058|<br>1973|<br>2012|<br>2023|<br>2021|<br>2019|<br>2019|
|10-14|1341|<br>1835|<br>2035|<br>2033|<br>2028|<br>2021|<br>2018|<br>2018|
|15-19|1170|<br>1657|<br>2058|<br>2049|<br>2024|<br>2017|<br>2017|<br>2018|
|20-24|1042|<br>1470|<br>2054|<br>2036|<br>2009|<br>2013|<br>2017|<br>2018|
|25-29|916|<br>1294|<br>2056|<br>1979|<br>2001|<br>2014|<br>2018|<br>2018|
|30-34|707|<br>1119|<br>1988|<br>1947|<br>2006|<br>2019|<br>2019|<br>2018|
|35-39|529|<br>990|<br>1753|<br>1998|<br>2024|<br>2023|<br>2017|<br>2016|
|40-44|407|<br>-863|<br>1561|<br>2006|<br>2035|<br>2015|<br>2011|<br>2012|
|45-49|440|<br>658|<br>1365|<br>1985|<br>2013|<br>1994|<br>2002|<br>2007|
|50-54|328|483|1177|<br>1961|<br>1940|<br>1973|<br>1993|<br>1998|
|55-59|330|<br>360|<br>986|<br>1855|<br>1881|<br>1955|<br>1978|<br>1981|
|60-64|184|<br>369|<br>827|<br>1578|<br>1880|<br>1933|<br>1946|<br>1945|
|65-69|170|<br>251|<br>660|<br>1318|<br>1799|<br>1866|<br>1870|<br>1873|
|70-74|121|<br>217|<br>431|<br>1024|<br>1620|<br>1702|<br>1717|<br>1735|
|75+|132|<br>173|<br>418|<br>1304|<br>2742|<br>3240|<br>3511|<br>3606|
|TOTAL|11052|<br>15918|<br>23344|<br>29092|<br>32041|<br>32826|<br>33174|<br>33300|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||33.0|21.8|16.0|13.6|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.4|6.6|7.6|10.2.|12.2|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|-. 2|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.44|1.55|.85|.34|.08|.04|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|4.251|2.584|2.114|2.068|2.063|2.059|2.059|
|etO)<br>- BOTH|SEXES|62.65|67.80|72.90|76.70|77.84|78.63|78.83|
|<br>IHR- BOTH S|EXES|60.3|33.9|19.3|9.8|8.0|6.8|6.5|
74

|TUNISIA||Proje|ction (000s|) withNRR51|by2010|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEROUJP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTALH+F<br>7261|8140|9079|9975|<br>10800|11531|<br>12242|<br>12966|<br>13669|<br>14299|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>542|554|595|584|560|526|<br>533|557|565|<br>559|
|5-9<br>489|533|547|590|580|556|<br>523|530|554|<br>563|
|10-14<br>442|<br>486|<br>530|<br>544|<br>588|<br>579|<br>555|<br>522|<br>529|<br>553|
|15-19<br>415|439|484|528|542|586|<br>577|<br>553|521|<br>527|
|20-24<br>374|<br>412|<br>436|<br>480|<br>525|<br>539|<br>583|<br>574|<br>550|<br>518|
|25-29<br>318|371|409|433|477|521|<br>536|580|571|<br>548|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>235|<br>315|<br>368|<br>406|<br>430|<br>474|<br> <br> <br>518|<br>533|<br>577|<br><br> <br>568|
|35-39<br>146|232|312|365|402|427|<br>471|515|530|<br>573|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>119|<br>144|<br>229|<br>308|<br>360|<br>398|<br> <br> <br>422|<br>466|<br>510|<br><br> <br>525|
|45-49<br>137|117|141|224|302|354|<br>391|416|459|<br>503|
|50-54<br>126|<br>133|<br>113|<br>137|<br>218|<br>294|<br>344|<br>381|<br>405|<br>448|
|55-59<br>105|<br>119|<br>126|<br>107|<br>130|<br>207|<br>280|<br>329|<br>364|<br>388|
|60-64<br>80|96|109|115|<br>99|120|<br>192|260|306|<br>340|
|65-69<br>61|<br>70|<br>84|96|<br>101|<br>87|<br>106|<br>170|<br>231|<br>273|
|70-74<br>49|49|56|68|78|83|<br>71|87|140|<br>191|
|75.<br>42|54|60|68|80|94|<br>105|102|113|<br>158|
|TOTAL<br>3681|4123|4598|5053|<br>5473|5845|<br>6207|6574|6925|7235|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>515|531|570|559|535|503|<br>510|533|541|<br>535|
|5-9<br>465|506|524|565|555|532|<br>501|508|531|<br>540|
|10-14<br>423|462|504|522|563|554|<br>531|500|507|530|
|15-19<br>396|421|460|502|520|562|<br>552|530|499|<br>506|
|20-24<br>354|393|418|458|499|518|<br>559|551|528|<br>498|
|25-29<br>303|351|390|415|455|496|<br>516|557|548|<br>526|
|30-34<br>240|300|348|387|412|452|<br>493|<br>513|554|<br>546|
|35-39<br>166|237|297|345|383|409|<br>448|490|510|<br>551|
|40-44<br>133|163|233|293|340|379|<br>404|444|486|<br>506|
|45-49<br>147|130|160|229|288|335|<br>373|399|438|<br>480|
|50-54<br>130|142|126|155|<br>223|281|<br>327|365|391|<br>431|
|55-59<br>105|124|136|121|<br>149|214|<br>271|316|354|<br>380|
|60-64<br>76|98|- 116|127|<br>113|141|<br>203|257|301|<br>339|
|65-69<br>55|68|88|104|<br>115|103|<br>128|186|237|<br>279|
|70-74<br>39|<br>46|<br>57|73|<br>88|98|<br>88|<br>110|<br>161|<br>20|
|75+<br>33|44|55|69|89|110|<br>131|135|<br>157|<br>21|
|TOTAL<br>3580|4017|4481|4923|<br>5328|5686|<br>6035|6393|6744|<br>7064|
|BIRTH RATE|30.2|28.6|25.1|21.8|19.1|18.1|17.8|17.0|16.0|
|DEATH RATE|7.4|6.8|6.3|5.9|6.0|6.1|6.3|6.5|7.0|
|RATEOF NAT. INC.|2.29|2.18|1.88|1.59|1.31|1.20|1.15|1.06|.90|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|2.29|2.18|1.88|1.59|1.31|-1.20|1.15|1.06|.90|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.100|3.460|3.008|2.615|2.274|2.150|2.139|2.128|2.117|
|NRR|1.77|1.539|1.364|1.204|1.052|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|65.35|66.99|68.45|69.81|70.49|71.17|71.88|72.59|73.32|
|e(I0) BOTH SEXES|61.43|61.82|62.27|62.84|63.30|63.77|64.26|64.75|65.26|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|59.0|48.4|39.3|31.8|29.5|27.1|24.8|22.4|20.1|
|q(5)- BOTHSEXES|.0794|.0628|.0493|.0388|.0358|.0329|.0299|.0270|.0240|
|<br>OEP. RATIO<br>76.9|<br> <br>71.8|<br> <br>67.8|<br>62.6|<br> <br>57.2|<br>49.6|<br> <br>44.7|<br> <br>43.7|<br> <br>45.4|<br>47.4|
75 TUNISIA ProJection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2010 Summry for 25 Year Periods

|.**.**............. .......<br>......................<br>AGE GROUJP<br>1985|. <br> <br>2000|.............<br>2025|...............................<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|...........<br> <br>2100|...............<br> <br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....<br>...............<br>........|. .........|.......<br>....|....<br>...............|.......|........................||...<br>....|
|TOTAL<br>M4F<br>n261|9975|13669|<br>15965|<br>16701|<br>16903|<br>16995|<br>17030|
|MALE.~||||||||
|0-4<br>542|584|565|549|546|<br>547|<br>547|<br>548|
|5-9<br>489|590|554|543|<br>544|<br>546|<br>547|<br>547|
|10-14<br>442|544|529|539|545|<br>547|<br>547|<br>547|
|15-19<br>415|528|521|543|<br>547|<br>546|<br>546|<br>546|
|20-24<br>374|480|550|<br>553|<br>5ST|<br>545|<br>544|<br>545|
|25-29<br>318|433|571|557|<br>544|<br>542|<br>543|<br>543|
|30-34<br>235|406|577|546|<br>537|<br>539|<br>542|<br>542|
|35-39<br>146|365|530|519|<br>532|<br>538|<br>541|<br>541|
|40-44<br>119|308|510|<br>508|<br>534|<br>538|<br>539|<br>539|
|<br> <br>45-49<br>137|<br>224|<br>459|<br> <br>533|<br> <br> <br>540|<br> <br> <br>535|<br> <br> <br>534|<br><br> <br>534|
|50-54<br>126|137|405|543|<br>536|<br>525|<br>524|<br>525|
|55-59<br>105|107|364|530|<br>509|<br>504|<br>507|<br>509|
|60-64<br>80|115|306|459|<br>459|<br>474|481|<br>484|
|65-69<br>61|96|231|<br>400|<br>410|<br>435|<br>441|<br>442|
|70-74<br>49|68|140|<br>305|<br>368|<br>378|<br>378|<br>378|
|75+<br>42|68|113|<br>370|<br>569|<br>586|<br>593|<br>598|
|TOTAL<br>3681|5053|6925|<br>7998|<br>8266|<br>8324|<br>8352|<br>8366|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>515|<br>559|541|<br>527|<br>524|<br>524|<br>525|<br>525|
|5-9<br>465|565|531|<br>521|<br>523|<br>524|<br>525|<br>525|
|<br> <br>10-14<br>423|<br>522|<br>507|<br> <br> <br>518|<br> <br> <br>524|<br> <br> <br>525|<br> <br> <br>525|<br><br> <br>525|
|15-19<br>396|502|499|522|<br>526|<br>526|<br>525|<br>525|
|20-24<br>354|458|528|<br>532|<br>528|<br>525|<br>524|<br>524|
|25-29<br>303|415|548|<br>537|<br>526|<br>524|<br>524|<br>524|
|30-34<br>240|387|554|<br>527|<br>520|<br>522|<br>524|<br>524|
|35-39<br>166|345|510|<br>501|<br>516|<br>523|<br>524|<br>524|
|40-44<br>133|1293|486|492|<br>520|<br>525|<br>524|<br>524|
|45-49<br>147|229|438|517|<br>528|<br>525|<br>523|<br>522|
|50-54<br>130|155|391|531|<br>528|<br>520|<br>518|<br>519|
|55-59<br>105|121|354|526|<br>512|<br>508|<br>512|<br>514|
|60-64<br>76|127|301|469|<br>475|<br>495|<br>503|<br>506|
|65-69<br>55|104|237|422|<br>446|<br>479|<br>488|<br>489|
|70-74<br>39|73|161|<br>342|<br>429|<br>450|<br>453|<br>453|
|75+<br>33|69|157|<br>482|<br>810|<br>886|<br>926|<br>942|
|TOTAL<br>3580|4923|6744|<br>7967|<br>8435|<br>8579|<br>8643|<br>8664|
|BIRTH RATE|27.8|18.6|14.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.8|6.2|8.4|11.4.|12.4|12.5|1:.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|*|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.12|1.26|.62|.18|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|3.446|2.248|2.096|2.063|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|67.04|71.27|74.89|77.52|78.27|78.79|78.91|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|48.8|27.1|15.4|8.0|7.1|6.6|6.4|
# EMN DEPARTMENT III
78 Projection (0OOs) with NRRM by 2055

|AFGHANISTAN||Proje|ction (0OOs|) with NRRM|by 2055|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGRCUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.......................................................................................|..........................................|||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>18087|20370|23309|26792|30967|35506|40461|45899|51810|<br>58064|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1732|1802|2173|2521|2953|3200|3466|3768|4067|<br>4298|
|5-9<br>1306|1590|1662|2015|2353|2m|3023|3294|3602|<br>3910|
|10-14<br>1128|1276|1555|1627|1975|2310|2727|2978|3250|<br>3559|
|15-19<br>969|1099|1245|1519|1591|1935|2266|2680|2931|<br>3204|
|20-24<br>820|933|1061|1203|1469|1542|1881|2209|2619|<br>2871|
|25-29<br>688|782|892|1016|1153|1413|1488|1821|2146|<br>2551|
|30-34<br>572|652|743|850|969|1103|1357|1435|1763|<br>2084|
|35-39<br>476|538|615|702|804|920|1053|1301|1382|<br>1704|
|40-44<br>391|442|501|575|657|756|870|1000|1242|<br>1325|
|45-49<br>319|358|406|461|530|609|705|815|942|1177|
|50-54<br>254|285|321|366|416|481|<br>557|<br>648|<br>754|<br>877|
|<br> <br>55-59<br>198|<br>220|248|281|320|367|427|497|<br>583|<br>683|
|<br> <br>60-64<br>150|<br>163|182|207|234|269|311|365|429|507|
|65-69<br>104|114|126|141|160|183|213|248|295|<br>350|
|70-74<br>65|71|79|87|98|113|131|154|182|<br>218|
|75r<br>57|57|62|69|76|87|101|120|144|<br>174|
|TOTAL<br>9231|<br>10383|<br>11871|<br>13638|<br>15757|<br>18061|<br>20576|<br>23334|<br>26329|<br>29492|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1697|1754|2112|2447|2862|3097|3350|3637|3919|<br>4134|
|<br>**5-9**<br>1249|1561|1620|1962|2287|2692|2931|3190|3485|<br>3779|
|10-14<br>1093|1216|1522|1582|1920|2242|2644|2885|3145|<br>3442|
|15-19<br>925|1059|1181|1480|1540|1873|2194|2593|2835|<br>3098|
|20-24<br>781|885|1016|1134|1424|1488|<br>1816|2133|2529|<br>2775|
|25-29<br>654|739|840|967|1082|1364|1431|1753|2068|<br>2463|
|30-34<br>548|615|697|795|916|1030|1305|1375|1693|<br>2006|
|35-39<br>455|<br>512|577|656|749|868|980|1249|1322|<br>1636|
|40-44<br>374|422|477|539|614|705|822|933|1195|<br>1271|
|45-49<br>304|345|391|443|502|575|663|777|<br>887|<br>1141|
|50-54<br>245|276|315|358|406|463|533|619|729|<br>837|
|55-59<br>191|216|245|280|319|365|419|486|568|<br>674|
|60-64<br>142|160|183|208|239|275|**317**|367|430|<br>508|
|65-69<br>97|111|126|144|165|192|224|262|307|<br>364|
|70-74<br>59|68|78|90|104|120|142|168|<br>200|<br>238|
|75+<br>41|49|58|69|80|**95**|114|138|<br>169|<br>207|
|TOTAL<br>8856|9987|11438|13154|15210|17445|<br>19885|<br>22565|<br>25481|<br>28572|
|BIRTH RATE|46.6|49.0|48.9|48.8|45.3|42.2|39.7|37.3|34.5|
|DEATH RATE|22.6|21.8|20.8|19.8|17.8|16.0|14.5|13.1|11.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.40|2.71|2.80|2.91|2.74|2.62|2.53|2.42|2.28|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|- 3|-.2|-. 2|-.1|-. 1|-. 1|-. 0|-. 0|.0|
|<br> <br>GROWTH<br>RATE|.<br>2.38|<br>2.70|<br>2.79|<br>2.90|<br>2.74|<br>2.61|<br>2.52|<br>2.42|2.28|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.900|6.900|6.900|6.900|6.390|5.880|5.370|4.860|4.350|
|HRR|2.057|2.146|2.200|2.260|2.164|2.058|1.944|1.818|1.682|
|etO) - BOTH SEXES|40.49|41.65|42.83|44.03|45.85|47.76|49.77|51.88|54.10|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES|45.59|46.36|46.89|47.21|48.32|49.47|50.68|51.94|53.27|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|172.0|165.2|156.3|145.7|135.1|124.6|114.0|103.5|92.9|
|q(5)BBOTH<br>SEXES|2574|2472|2338|2178|2017|.1855|.1692|.1526|.1360|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>91.2|.<br> <br>90.4|.<br>92.1|.<br>90.8|.<br>94.3|.<br>93.0|<br> <br>89.1|<br> <br>83.2|<br> <br>78.4|<br>73.|
79 AFGHANISTAN Projection (000s) with NRR1 by 2055 .... **.** . .... ...

Summary for 25 Year Periods

|. .......................................<br>AGE GROJP|................................<br>1985|.......................................<br> <br>2000|..................................<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...<br>..<br>...<br>..<br>. .....|<br>......<br>.|....<br>........|..<br>. .......<br>....|....<br>.................|............||||
|TOTALM+F|18087|<br>26792|<br>51810|<br>82840|<br>107775|<br>121988|<br>126994|<br>129086|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1732|<br>2521|<br>4067|4287|<br>4268|<br>4231|<br>4221|<br>4222|
|5-9|1306|<br>2015|<br>3602|<br>4319|<br>4270|<br>4213|<br>4207|<br>4213|
|10-14|1128|<br>1627|<br>3250|<br>4305|<br>4216|<br>4179|<br>4195|<br>4208|
|15-19|969|<br>1519|<br>2931|<br>4218|<br>4075|<br>4151|<br>4189|<br>4204|
|20-24|820|<br>1203|<br>2619|<br>4035|<br>4019|<br>4154|<br>4186|<br>4197|
|25-29|688|<br>1016|<br>2146|<br>3723|<br>4137|<br>4183|<br>4186|<br>4184|
|30-34|572|<br>850|<br>1763|<br>3350|<br>4170|<br>4184|<br>4162|<br>4164|
|35-39|476|<br>702|<br>1382|<br>2973|<br>4122|<br>4110|<br>4116|<br>4141|
|40-44|391|575|<br>1242|<br>2623|<br>3994|<br>3944|<br>4071|<br>4119|
|45-49|319|461|942|2280|<br>3761|<br>3848|<br>4041|<br>4088|
|50-54|254|366|754|1797|<br>3378|<br>3882|<br>4002|<br>4027|
|55-59|198|<br>281|583|1387|<br>2897|<br>3766|<br>3876|<br>3887|
|<br>60-64|150|<br> <br>207|<br>429|<br>987|<br> <br>2375|<br> <br> <br>3486|<br> <br> <br>3596|<br><br> <br>3643|
|65-69|104|<br>141|295|765|<br>1848|<br>3032|<br>3133|<br>3287|
|70-74|65|87|182|<br>462|1316|<br>2394|<br>2602|<br>2797|
|75+|57|<br>69|<br>144|<br>401|<br>1203|<br>2827|<br>3975|<br>4318|
|TOTAL|9231|<br>13638|<br>26329|<br>41910|<br>54049|<br>60582|<br>62758|<br>63701|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1697|<br>2447|<br>3919|<br>4105|<br>4077|<br>4033|<br>4018|<br>4012|
|5-9|1249|<br>1962|<br>3485|<br>4154|<br>4091|<br>4024|<br>4011|<br>4010|
|10-14|1093|<br>1582|<br>3145|<br>4149|<br>4046|<br>3999|<br>4004|<br>4010|
|15-19|925|1480|<br>2835|<br>4074|<br>3920|<br>3980|<br>4005|<br>4012|
|20-24|781|1134|<br>2529|<br>3908|<br>3880|<br>3996|<br>4013|<br>4015|
|25-29|654|967|2068|<br>3614|<br>4012|<br>4037|<br>4026|<br>4013|
|30-34|548|795|1693|<br>3253|<br>4059|<br>4052|<br>4015|<br>4004|
|35-39|455|656|1322|<br>2886|<br>4028|<br>3995|<br>3984|<br>3995|
|40-44|374|539|1195|<br>2549|<br>3920|<br>3852|<br>3958|<br>3990|
|45-49|304|443|887|2226|<br>3715|<br>3785|<br>3957|<br>3985|
|50-54|245|<br>358|729|1771|<br>3373|<br>3868|<br>3967|<br>3973|
|55-59|191|<br>280|568|1392|<br>2947|<br>3837|<br>3926|<br>3917|
|60-64|142|<br>208|430|1019|<br>2492|<br>3682|<br>3777|<br>3809|
|65-69|97|144|307|826|2028|<br>3375|<br>3476|<br>3635|
|70-74|59|<br>90|<br>200|<br>511|<br>1535|<br>2863|<br>3120|<br>3354|
|75+|41|69|169|<br>496|1603|<br>4027|<br>5978|<br>6652|
|TOTAL|8856|<br>13154|<br>25481|<br>40930|<br>53726|<br>61406|<br>64235|<br>65385|
|BIRTH RATE||48.3|41.9|27.7|17.9|14.5|13.3|13.0|
|DEATH<br>RATE||21.7|15.8|9.3|7.5.|9.6|11.7|12.3|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.62|2.64|1.88|1.05|.50|.16|.07|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|6.901|5.727|3.334|2.197|2.114|2.075|2.072|
|eCO)- BOTH|SEXES|41.76|48.37|59.49|68.94|73.57|76.96|77.89|
|IHR- BOTH S|EXES|163.7|123.2|72.1|34.0|18.9|9.2|7.9|
80

|BAHRAIN<br>.....................................................................|......................................|Projection (000s) w<br>.......................|ithNRRsI by|2015|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**AGE GRWP**<br>1985|1990|1995<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................|||||||
|TOTAL**N+F**<br>425|497|566<br>626|681|730|773|812|846|874|
|KALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>29|33|34<br>32|33|33|32|33|33|<br>33|
|5-9<br>21|30|34<br>34|33|33|33|32|33|<br>33|
|10-14<br>19|22|30<br>34|34|32|33|33|32|33|
|15-1S<br>17|20|22<br>30|34|34|32|33|33|<br>32|
|20-24<br>22|19|21<br>22|30|34|34|32|32|<br>33|
|25-29<br>33|25|21<br>22|23|30|34|34|32|<br>32|
|30-34<br>35|35|26<br>21|22|23|30|33|34|<br>32|
|35-39<br>23|36|36<br>26|22|22|23|30|33|<br>33|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>15|<br>24|<br> <br>36<br>36|<br>26|<br>21|<br>22|<br>22|<br>29|<br><br> <br>33|
|45-49<br>11|16|24<br>36|35|26|21|22|22|<br>29|
|50-54<br>7|11|15<br>23|35|34|25|21|21|<br>22|
|55-59<br>5|7|10<br>15|22|34|33|24|20|20|
|60-64<br>3|4|6<br>9|14|21|32|31|23|19|
|65-69<br>2|3|4<br>5|8|12|19|28|28|21|
|70-74<br>1|2|2<br>3|4|7|<br>10|16|24|23|
|75+<br>2|2|2<br>2|4|5|8|11|17|<br>26|
|TOTAL<br>246|286|323<br>353|379|401|420|435|446|454|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>29|32|32<br>31|31|32|31|31|<br>32|32|
|5-9<br>22|30|32<br>33|31|31|32|31|31|32|
|10-14<br>20|23|30<br>33|33|31|31|32|31|31|
|15-19<br>17|20|23<br>30|33|33|31|31|32|31|
|20-24<br>18|18|21<br>23|30|33|33|31|31|32|
|25-29<br>18|19|18<br>21|23|30|33|33|31|31|
|30-34<br>14|19|19<br>18|21|23|30|32|33|31|
|35-39<br>9|14|19<br>19|18|21|23|30|32|33|
|40-44<br>7|9|14<br>19|19|18|21|23|30|32|
|45-49<br>6|7|9<br>14|19|19|18|21|23|<br>30|
|50-54<br>5|6|7<br>9|14|18|19|18|21|23|
|55-59<br>4|5|6<br>7|9|14|18|18|18|<br>20|
|60-64<br>3|4|5<br>6|7|8|13|17|18|<br>17|
|65-69<br>2|3|4<br>4|5|6|8|12|16|<br>17|
|70-74<br>1|2|2<br>3|4|5|5|7|11|<br>15|
|75+<br>2|2|2<br>3|4|5|6|8|10|<br>15|
|TOTAL<br>179|211|243<br>273|302|328|353|377|400|420|
|BIRTH RATE|28.7|25.2<br>21.6<br>|19.8<br>|18.6|17.2|16.3|15.8|15.2|
|DEATH RATE|4.3|3.9<br>3.9|4.2|4.9|5.7|6.6|7.6|8.6|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|2.44|2.13<br>1.76<br>|1.56<br>|1.37|1.15|.98|.83|.67|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|7.0|4.5<br>2.7|1.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.14|2.58<br>2.03<br>|1.68<br>|1.37|1.15|.98|.83|.67|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.140|3.645<br>3.150<br>2.|789<br>2|.470|2.187|2.083|2.080|2.076|
|NRR|1.935|1.721<br>1.498<br>1.|333<br>1|.182|1.048|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) B<br>BOTH SEXES|70.72|72.09<br>73.24<br>7|4.23<br>7|4.60|74.97|75.35|75.73|76.12|
|**e(10)**B<br>EOTHSEXES|63.14|64.06<br>64.85<br>6|5.58<br>6|5.88|66.19|66.50|66.82|67.14|
|IHR- **BOTH**SEXES|26.0|21.2<br>17.5<br>|14.7<br>|14.0|13.2|12.5|11.8|11.0|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|0310|0249<br>0202<br>0|168<br>0|159|0150|0141|0133|0124|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>55.4|.<br>57.1|.<br>.<br>.<br>58.2<br>53.4|<br>.<br>49.0|<br>46.7|.<br>47.3|.<br>51.1|.<br> <br>54.4|.<br> <br>54.7|
81 BAHRAIN Projection (000s) with NRR-I by 2015 Summry for 25 Year Periods

|................................................<br>AGE GRWP<br>1985|2000|2025|..........................................<br>2050|.......................................<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL NsF<br>425|626|846|959|1009|<br>1017|<br>1019|<br>1021|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>29|32|33|33|33|33|33|33|
|5-9<br>21|34|33|33|33|33|33|<br>33|
|10-14<br>19|34|32|33|33|33|33|<br>33|
|15-19<br>17|<br>30|33|33|33|33|33|<br>33|
|20-24<br>22|22|32|33|33|33|33|<br>33|
|25-29<br>33|22|32|33|32|32|33|<br>33|
|30-34<br>35|21|34|32|32|32|32|32|
|35-39<br>23|26|33|32|32|32|32|<br>32|
|40-44<br>15|36|29|32|32|32|<br>32|32|
|45-49<br>11|36|22|32|32|32|32|32|
|50-54<br>7|<br>23|21|31|32|31|31|31|
|55-59<br>5|15|20|31|30|30|30|31|
|60-64<br>3|9|23|29|28|29|29|<br>29|
|65-69<br>2|5|28|24|26|26|26|26|
|70-74<br>1|<br>3|24|15|22|23|23|<br>23|
|75+<br>2|2|17|24|34|35|36|36|
|TOTAL<br>246|353|446|478|497|500|501|<br>501|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>29|31|32|31|31|31|31|31|
|5-9<br>22|33|31|31|31|31|31|31|
|10-14<br>20|33|31|31|31|31|31|31|
|15-19<br>17|30|32|31|31|31|31|31|
|20-24<br>18|23|31|32|31|31|31|31|
|25-29<br>18|21|31|32|31|31|31|31|
|30-34<br>14|18|33|31|31|31|31|31|
|35-39<br>9|19|32|31|31|31|31|31|
|40-44<br>7|19|30|31|31|31|31|31|
|45-49<br>6|14|23|31|31|31|31|31|
|50-54<br>5|9|21|31|31|31|31|31|
|55-59<br>4|7|18|32|30|31|31|<br>31|
|60-64<br>3|6|18|31|30|30|30|30|
|65-69<br>2|4|16|27|29|29|29|<br>29|
|70-74<br>1|3|II|19|26|27|27|<br>27|
|75.<br>2|3|10|29|51|55|56|57|
|TOTAL<br>179|273|400|481|512|517|519|<br>519|
|BIRTH RATE|24.9|17.4|14.3|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|4.1|5.9|9.3|11.0|12.4|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|4.5|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.59|1.20|.50|.20|.03|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.584|2.291|2.070|2.060|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|72.12|75.02|76.94|78.31|78.68|78.93|78.99|
|I-R<br>BOTH SEXES|21.6|13.2|9.5|7.2|6.7|6.4|6.4|

............................
82 EGYPT, ARAB REP. **Of** Projection **(000s)** with **NRR-1** by 2020

|.....................................................................<br>AGE GROUIP<br>1985|......................................<br>1990|.......................<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>......................................................................|<br>......................................|<br>......................||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>47578|53686|59980|66439|73096|79728|<br>85970|91508|96743|101849|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4000|4018|4137|4262|4417|4493|4394|4160|4158|4284|
|5-9<br>3301|3904|3948|4086|4223|4382|4461|4366|4137|4137|
|l0-14<br>2623|3275|3880|3928|<br>4070|4208|4368|4448|4355|4127|
|15-19<br>2466|2599|3251|3856|3908|4051|4190|<br>4351|4432|4340|
|20-24<br>2204|2430|2567|3217|3823|3878|4023|4164|4326|4408|
|25-29<br>2058|2163|2392|2534|3183|3788|3847|3993|4135|4298|
|30-34<br>1739|2020|2128|2360|<br>2505|3153|3756|3817|3964|4108|
|35-39<br>1283|1703|1985|2097|2330|2477|3121|3721|<br>3784|3933|
|40-44<br>942|1251|1666|1947|2062|2295|2443|3081|3677|3742|
|45-49<br>843|910|1213|1622|190')|2016|2247|2395|3024|3613|
|50-54<br>751|802|869|1163|1559|1831|1946|2174|2321|<br>2936|
|55-59<br>628|697|747|813|1092|1468|1729|1842|2063|2208|
|60-64<br>499|561|626|674|737|994|<br>1341|1585|1695|<br>1904|
|65-69<br>351|421|477|535|580|637|863|1170|1389|<br>1492|
|70-74<br>242|270|326|373|<br>422|461|510|694|947|1131|
|75+<br>242|262|292|347|408|474|536|605|773|1041|
|TOTAL<br>24172|27286|30505|33812|37222|40606|43777|46566|49179|51703|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>3M|3858|3962|4073|4215|4285|4190|3966|3963|4C;12|
|5-9<br>3104|3697|3798|3921|4043|4188|4262|4170|3950|39S0|
|10-14<br>2458|3081|3677|3783|3908|4032|4178|4253|4163|3944|
|15-19<br>2289|2438|3061|3656|3766|3893|4018|4166|4242|4154|
|20-24<br>2037|2260|2411|3032|3629|3741|3871|3998|4147|4226|
|25-29<br>1941|2003|2228|2381|3002|3597|3713|3846|3975|4127|
|30-34<br>1683|1906|1972|<br>2197|2353|2971|3566|3684|3819|3951|
|35-39<br>1269|1650|1872|1940|2167|2325|2940|3531|3653|3791|
|40-U<br>954|1240|1615|1837|1908|2135|2293|2904|3493|3618|
|45-49<br>869|927|1208|1577|1797|1870|2095|2255|2859|3445|
|50-54<br>786|837|895|1168|1528|1746|1820|2044|2204|2801|
|55-59<br>673|744|794|851|1116|1464|1677|1753|1974|<br>2135|
|60-64<br>545|619|- 686|735|792|1042|1373|1580|1659|<br>1876|
|65-69<br>409|475|542|605|652|707|937|1242|1438|1520|
|70-74<br>293|325|381|438|493|537|589|787|1055|1233|
|75.<br>319|339|374|433|506|589|671|761|968|1293|
|TOTAL<br>23406|26399|29475|32626|35874|39121|42194|44941|47564|50146|
|BIRTHRATE|34.4|30.9|28.2|26.1|24.1|21.7|19J|17.9|17.4|
|DEATH RATE|9.8|8.5|7.5|6.9|6.7|6.6|6.6|6.8|7.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.45|2.25|2.06|1.92|1.74|1.51|..25|1.11|1.03|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 4|-.3|-. 2|-.1|-. 1|.0|o0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.42|2.22|2.05|1.91|1.74|1.51|1.25|1.11|1.03|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.600|4.170|3.740|3.310|2.922|2.580|2.278|2.167|2.152|
|NRR|1.920|1.789|1.645|1.485|1.321|1.174|1.044|1.00o|1.o0o|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|60.63|62.76|64.75|66.55|67.42|68.32|69.24|70.18|71.15|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|58.40|59.16|59.89|60.72|61.30|61.89|62.50|63.13|63.78|
|IMR - BOTHSEXES|85.0|71.2|58.8|48.0|44.2|40.4|36.6|32.8|29.0|
|q(5)**-**BOTH SEXES|1080|0881|0702|0564|0519|0474|0429|0383|0338|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>79.8|.<br>80.4|.<br>75.5|.<br>67.5|.<br>61.9|.<br>57.1|.<br> <br>53.5|.<br>50.3|.<br>47.8|.<br> <br>46.3|
83

# EGYPT, ARAB REP. OF Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2020'

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|'GEGRO.JP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL4+F|47578|66439|96743|118607|128381|130674|131791|<br>132233|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|4000|4262|4158|4229|4268|4277|4277|4276|
|5-9|3301|4086|4137|4260|4280|4274|4271|4270|
|10-14|2623|3928|4355|4313|4281|4265|4264|4266|
|15-19|2466|3856|4432|4317|4253|4248|4257|4261|
|20-24|2204|3217|4326|4232|4204|4233|4250|4254|
|25-29|2058|2534|4135|4085|4185|4231|4245|4245|
|30-34|1739|2360|3964|4061|4210|4237|4237|4234|
|35-39|1283|2097|3784|4255|4250|4c28|4218|4219|
|40-44|942|1947|3677|4303|4235|4184|4188|4198|
|45-49|843|1622|3024|4157|4120|4108|4146|4164|
|50-54|751|1163|2321|3898|3912|4030|4087|4103|
|55-59|628|813|2063|3599|3767|3936|3979|3983|
|60-64|499|674|1695|3219|3729|3768|3772|3770|
|65-69|351|535|1389|2809|3426|3429|3419|3431|
|70-74|242|373|947|1937|2820|2862|2892|2929|
|h+|242|347|m|1986|3851|4319|4570|4655|
|TOTAL|24172|33812|49179|59660|63790|64631|65070|65260|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|3777|4073|3963|4026|4059|4063|4061|4059|
|5-9|3104|<br>3921|<br>3950|<br>4062|<br>4075|<br>4066|<br>4060|<br>4058|
|10-14|2458|3783|4163|4118|4081|4061|4057|4057|
|15-19|2289|3656|4242|4127|4061|4051|4054|4057|
|20-24|2037|3032|4147|4057|4024|4045|4056|4058|
|25-29|1941|2381|3975|3924|4017|4053|4060|4058|
|30-34|1683|2197|3819|3908|4050|4069|4061|4056|
|35-39|1269|<br>1940|<br>3653|<br>4102|<br>4101|<br>4071|<br>4054|<br>4051|
|40-44|954|<br>4837|<br>3493|<br>4156|<br>4101|<br>4044|<br>4040|<br>4045|
|45-49|869|<br>1577|<br>2859|<br>4032|<br>4013|<br>3995|<br>4024|<br>4036|
|50-54|786|<br>1168|<br>2204|<br>3816|<br>3850|<br>3963|<br>4011|<br>4021|
|55-59|673|851|<br>1974|<br>3592|<br>3778|<br>3950|<br>3986|<br>3985|
|60-64|545|<br>735|<br>1659|<br>3318|<br>3865|<br>3917|<br>3917|<br>3910|
|65-69|409|605|<br>1438|<br>2980|<br>3733|<br>3763|<br>3754|<br>3763|
|70-74|293|<br>438|<br>1055|<br>2170|<br>3300|<br>3397|<br>3443|<br>3488|
|75+|319|<br>433|<br>968|<br>2558|<br>5485|<br>6535|<br>7083|<br>7268|
|TOTAL|.23406|<br>32626|<br>47564|<br>58946|<br>64591|<br>66043|<br>66721|<br>66973|
|BIRTH RATE||30.9|21.5|15.8|13.5|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||8.5|6.7|7.8|10.4|12.2|12.4|12.6|
|NETMIGRAT|IONRATE|-. 3|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.23|1.50|.82|.32|.07|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|4.139|2.599|2.123|2.077|2.072|2.069|2.069|
|e(O)- W)TH|SEXES|62.86|68.48|73.29|76.85|77.92|78.65|78.84|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|71.6|40.6|21.5|9.4|7.8|6.7|6.5|
84 IRAN, ISLAMIC REP. OF ProJection **(000s)** eith **NRR=1** by 2040

|.....<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br><br>AGE**GRWP**<br>1985|.<br>.............................**........**<br>1990|**...**......<br>1995|...............................<br>2000|2005|........................................<br>2010|.................<br>2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>...........................................................................|||||<br>............................|<br>..............................................|<br>.................................|||
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>44212|51942|60711|70199|804B7|91498|103295|115490|127545|<br>139029|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>3868|461S|5213|5655|6129|6640|7144|7492|7591|7496|
|5-9<br>3221|3781|4539|5148|5604|6079|6590|7096|7447|<br>7551|
|10-14<br>2840|3196|3757|4516|5127|5582|6057|6569|70,j|7427|
|15-19<br>2435|2816|3173|<br>333|4490|5100|<br>5555|6030|6542|7048|
|20-24<br>2075|2406|2785|3141|3698|4452|5060|**5515**|<br>5990|6502|
|25-29<br>1749|2046|2374|2751|3105|3660|4410|5016|5471|5947|
|30-34<br>1492|1722|2017|2343|2717|3071|3623|4369|4973|5429|
|35-39<br>1160|1466|1694|1985|2309|2681|3033|3582|4324|4927|
|40-44<br>873|1134|1435|1660|1947|2268|2637|2987|3532|4269|
|45-49<br>704|847|1101|1394|1614|1897|2213|2578|2925|3464|
|50-54<br>591|673|810|1054|1336|1551|1827|2136|2493|2834|
|55-59<br>482|553|629|758|988|1256|1461|1726|2024|2369|
|60-64<br>381|434|499|568|686|897|1144|1336|1585|<br>1865|
|65-69<br>283|325|371|426|487|590|776|995|1168|1392|
|70-74<br>190|222|255|291|335|386|470|622|804|949|
|75+<br>190|214|246|284|327|380|443|536|693|903|
|TOTAL<br>22533|26453|30900|35709|40899|46489|52445|58586|64636|70375|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>3660|4464|5032|5452|5902|6392|6876|7210|7304|<br>7211|
|5-9<br>2998|3588|4399|4982|5415|5866|6358|6843|7180|7278|
|10-14<br>2675|2977|3568|4380|4966|5399|5851|6343|6830|7167|
|15-19<br>2344|2654|2956|3547|4359|4944|5378|5830|6324|6812|
|20-24<br>2015|2318|2626|2929|3518|4327|4912|5347|5801|6296|
|25-29<br>1696|1987|2287|2594|2897|7.83|4289|4873|<br>5310|5767|
|30-34<br>1445|1669|1957|2255|2561|2863|3447|4250|<br>4834|5274|
|35-39<br>1121|1418|1639|1924|2221|2526|2828|3409|4208|4793|
|40-44<br>845|1096|1388|1606|1888|2183|2487|2788|3367|4162|
|45-49<br>686|821|1067|1352|1567|1845|2137|2440|2741|3316|
|50-54<br>584|660|791|1028|1306|1517|1791|2079|2379|2680|
|55-59<br>484|553|625|750|978|<br>1246|1452|1720|<br>2004|2300|
|60-64<br>390|446|510|578|695|910|1165|1364|1624|<br>1900|
|65-69<br>295|343|393|450|512|620|818|1054|1242|1488|
|70-74<br>207|240|280|322|370|425|520|692|899|1070|
|75+<br>230|256|293|340|394|4621|<br>543|663|864|1140|
|TOTAL<br>21679|25489|29811|34490|39547|<br>45009|50850|56904|62909|68654|
|BIRTH RATE|40.9|38.8|35.8|33.3|31.5|29.8|27.8|25.2|22.7|
|DEATH RATE|8.5|7.5|6.7|6.0|5.8|5.6|5.4|5.4|5.4|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|3.24|3.13|2.91|2.73|2.57|2.43|2.23|1.99|1.72|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|U|
|GRWTH RATE|3.22|3.12|2.90|2.73|2.57|2.43|2.23|1.99|1.72|
|TOTALFERTILITY|5.640|5.275|4.910|4.545|4.180|3.815|3.450|3.085|2.753|
|NRR|2.403|2.303|2.188|2.061|1.908|1.753|1.596|1.437|1.290|
|**e(O)**- **BOTH**<br>SEXES|62.57|64.05|65.43|66.73|67.59|68.48|69.39|70.32|71.28|
|**e(1O)**- BOTH SEXES|59.13|59.41|59.70|60.10|60.74|61.40|62.08|62.77|63.49|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|65.0|54.4|44.8|36.5|33.8|31.2|28.5|25.8|23.2|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0887|.0721|.0572|.0450|.0416|.0382|.0348|.0314|.0281|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>87.7|<br>V.4|<br>87.6|<br>85.0|<br>79.3|<br>73.7|<br> <br>69.8|<br>66.5|<br>62.6|<br>58.1|
85

# IRAN, ISLAMIC REP. OF Projection **(000S)** with **NRRuI** by 2040

# Sumnry for 25 Year Periods

|. .<br>......................<br>AGE GROUP<br>.......................|1985|.....<br>........<br>2000<br>..............|...<br>....<br>....<br>2025<br>.............................|......<br>....<br>.<br>2050|.....<br>..<br>........<br>2075<br>...........|.............<br>2100<br>....................|.......<br>**21?**<br>..|................<br>.........<br>**5**<br>2150<br>..........<br>...........**..**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M.F|44212|70199|127545|178258|212161|223249|225386|<br>226065|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|3868|5655|7591|7327|7237|7251|7268|7274|
|s-9|3221|5148|7447|7096|7188|7247|7266|7268|
|10-14|2840|4516|7075|6993|7209|7264|7267|7262|
|15-19|2435|3733|6542|7244|7288|7274|7256|7249|
|20-24|2075|3141|5990|7400|7324|7243|7227|7230|
|25-29|1749|2751|5471|7448|7251|7174|7196|7214|
|30-34|1492|2343|4973|7299|7012|7116|7183|7204|
|35-39|1160|1985|4324|6898|6890|7120|7185|7190|
|40-44|873|1660|3532|6333|7106|7171|7170|7155|
|45-49|704|1394|2925|5736|7203|7157|7093|7081|
|50-54|591|1054|2493|5134|7133|6982|6929|6956|
|55-59|482|758|2024|4493|6771|6557|6682|6753|
|60-64|381|568|1585|3659|6046|6109|6353|6422|
|65-69|283|426|1168|2684|5042|5754|5860|5875|
|70-74|190|291|804|1864|3890|5004|5038|5011|
|75+|190|284|693|2016|478|7482|7760|7881|
|TOTAL|22533|35709|64636|89626|105375|109906|110732|<br>111026|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|3660|5452|7304|7042|6948|6954|6967|6971|
|5-9|2998|4982|7180|6832|6911|6959|6973|6973|
|10-14|2675|4380|6830|6741|6940|6983|6979|6972|
|15-19|2344|3547|6324|6994|7026|7003|6977|_t_68|
|20-24|2015|2929|5801|7163|7079|6988|6962|.963|
|25-29|1696|2594|5310|7226|7027|6939|6949|0963|
|30-34|1445|2255|4834|7095|6813|6900|.||
|35-39|1121|1924|4208|6717|6714|6923|6972|6970|
|40-44|845|1606|3367|6181|6950|6999|6984|6960|
|45-49|686|1352|2741|5623|7087|7029|6951|6929|
|50-54|584|1028|2379|5082|7092|6934|6867|6882|
|55-59|484|750|2004|4530|6863|6646|6761|6821|
|60-64|390|578|1624|3807|6335|6417|6663|6725|
|65-69|295|450|1242|2861|5558|6382|6498|6507|
|70-74|207|322|899|2076|4610|6006|6060|6027|
|75+|230|340|864|2664|6833|11283|12140|12438|
|TOTAL|21679|34490|62909|88632|106785|113343|114655|<br>115038|
|BIRTH RATE||38.2|29.1|18.9|14.6|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||7.5|5.6|5.7|7.7|11.1|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.08|2.39|1.34|.70|.20|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERTI|Lg.,|5.236|3.711|2.293|2.067|2.062|2.059|2.059|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|64.16|68.71|73.44|76.91|77.96|78.68|78.86|
|**IMR-** BOTHS|EXES|54.2|30.9|17.9|9.3|7.7|6.7|6.5|
86

|IRAQ||Pro|jection<br>(000|9)<br>with NRR-|1 by 2035|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROLP<br>1985|<br>1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>202S|<br>2030|
|...............................................................|........|..............................................|............................................|||||||
|TOTALH.F<br>15898|<br>18923|<br>22408|<br>26286|<br>30525|<br>35017|<br>39628|<br>44175|<br>48617|<br>52807|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1512|<br>1755|2018|2254|<br>2479|<br>2648|<br>2755|<br>2774|<br>2780|<br>2718|
|5-9<br>1284|<br>1491|1736|<br>2002|<br>2240|<br>2465|<br>2634|<br>2742|<br>2762|<br>2769|
|10-14<br>1026|<br>1278|1485|<br>1730|<br>1996|<br>2234|<br>2458|<br>2628|<br>27 6|2757|
|15-19<br>844|1020|1271|<br>1478|<br>1722|<br>1987|<br>2225|<br>2449|<br>2619|<br>2728|
|20-24<br>697|836|1011|<br>1261|<br>1467|<br>1710|<br>1975|<br>2212|<br>2436|<br>2606|
|25-29<br>577|690|828|1002|<br>1250|<br>1455|<br>1697|<br>1961|<br>2197|<br>2421|
|30-34<br>478|S71|683|820|993|<br>1239|<br>1443|<br>1685|<br>1947|<br>2183|
|35-39<br>394|472|564|675|811|<br>983|<br>1227|<br>1430|<br>1671|<br>1933|
|40-44<br>324|387|464|555|665|<br>800|<br>970|1212|<br>1414|<br>1653|
|45-49<br>262|316|378|453|542|<br>650|<br>784|951|1190|<br>1390|
|50-54<br>211|251|303|363|436|<br>523|<br>629|759|<br>922|<br>1156|
|55-59<br>166|197|236|285|342|<br>411|<br>495|596|721|<br>879|
|60-64<br>125|150|179|214|259|<br>312|<br>376|454|549|<br>666|
|65-69<br>90|107|129|154|<br>184|<br>224|<br>271|329|399|<br>484|
|70-74<br>58|70|<br>84|102|<br>122|<br>147|<br>180|219|<br>267|<br>326|
|75+<br>49|60|74|90|110|<br>134|<br>164|202|250|<br>310|
|TOTAL<br>8096|9651|11442|<br>13437|<br>15617|<br>17922|<br>20283|<br>22603|<br>24861|<br>26980|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1440|<br>1658|1907|2130|<br>2342|<br>2504|<br>2607|<br>2627|<br>2634|<br>2577|
|5-9<br>1220|1418|1638|1890|<br>2116|<br>2329|<br>2491|<br>2595|<br>2617|<br>2625|
|10-14<br>980|1214|1412|1632|<br>1885|<br>2111|<br>2324|2486|<br>2591|<br>2613|
|15-19<br>809|975|1208|1405|<br>1626|<br>1878|<br>2104|<br>2317|<br>2480|<br>2585|
|20-24<br>666|803|968|1200|<br>1396|<br>1616|<br>1868|<br>2094|<br>2307|<br>2471|
|25-29<br>551|660|796|959|1189|<br>1384|<br>1603|<br>1855|<br>2082|<br>2295|
|30-34<br>457|545|<br>653|787|949|1177|<br>1372|<br>1591|<br>1842|<br>2069|
|35-39<br>379|451|538|644|777|<br>938|<br>1165|<br>1359|<br>1577|<br>1829|
|40-44<br>311|373|444|529|634|765|<br>925|1150|<br>1344|<br>1562|
|45-49<br>256|304|365|434|<br>518|<br>621|<br>751|909|1133|<br>1326|
|50-54<br>208|248|295|353|421|503|<br>605|733|889|<br>1110|
|55-59<br>167|199|237|282|338|<br>403|<br>483|582|708|<br>861|
|60-64<br>131|155|185|220|262|<br>315|<br>378|455|551|<br>673|
|65-69<br>97|116|138|164|195|<br>234|<br>283|342|415|<br>505|
|70-74<br>67|79|95|112|133|<br>161|<br>195|238|290|<br>356|
|75+<br>61|75|90|107|128|<br>155|<br>191|237|296|<br>371|
|TOTAL<br>7802|9273|10966|<br>12849|<br>14908|<br>17095|<br>19345|<br>21571|<br>23756|<br>25827|
|BIRTH RATE|42.5|40.7|38.2|35.6|32.9|29.9|26.7|24.1|21.5|
|DEATH RATE|7.6|6.9|6.2|5.7|5.4|5.2|5.0|4.9|5.0|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|3.48|3.38|3.19|2.99|2.75|2.47|2.17|1.92|1.65|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.48|3.38|3.19|2.99|2.75|2.47|2.17|1.92|1.65|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.350|5.840|5.330|4.820|4.310|3.800|3.290|2.891|2.541|
|NRR|2.716|2.542|2.358|2.163|1.949|1.731|1.509|1.336|1.182|
|e(0)- GOTH SEXES|63.89|65.07|66.18|67.21|68.04|68.89|69.76|70.66|71.58|
|e0(1)- BOTH SEXES|60.17|60.48|60.66|60.87|61.44|62.03|62.64|63.26|63.91|
|IRR- BOTH SEXES|69.0|60.6|51.2|42.3|39.1|35.8|32.5|29.2|26.0|
|q(S) - BOTH SEXES|.0851|.0731|.0605|.0492|.0454|.0416|.0377|.0339|0300|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>98.4|<br>97.1|<br>93.1|<br>88.8|<br> <br>84.0|<br> <br>78.0|<br> <br>71.7|<br> <br>65.1|<br> <br>59.0|.<br> <br>53.5|
87 IRAQ Projection (0009) wIth NRRal by 2035

# Sumrviry for 25 Year Perioci

|AGE GRCWJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|........................|..........................................|........|||...........|..................|....<br>............ ...........**.**...........**..**... ....|
|TOTAL1+F<br>15898|26286|48617|67338|78768|81684|82360|b25Q2|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1512|2254|2780|2713|2674|2666|2668|2669|
|5-9<br>1284|2002|2762|2685|2652|2659|2665|2667|
|10-14<br>1026|1730|2736|2604|2638|2659|2665|'666|
|15-19<br>844|1478|2619|2580|2647|2664|2664|2662|
|20-24<br>697|1261|2436|2689|2672|2665|2657|2655|
|25-29<br>577|1002|2197|2737|2687|2651|264t|2648|
|30-34<br>478|820|1947|2716|2655|2627|2635|2642|
|35-39<br>394|675|1671|2677|2568|2606|2630|2637|
|40-44<br>324|555|1414|2547|2533|2606|2626|2627|
|45-49<br>262|453|1190|2345|2620|2612|2610|2604|
|50-54<br>211|363|922|2076|2625|2589|2561|2558|
|55-59<br>166|285|721|177"|2524|2484|2467|2478|
|60-64<br>125|214|549|1427|2353|2279|2326|2351|
|65-69<br>90|154|399|1086|2C16|2054|2130|2152|
|70-74<br>58|102|267|768|1599|1825|1840|1844|
|75+<br>49|90|20|742|1930|2A24|2891|2906|
|TOTAL<br>8096|13437|24861|34165|39412|40469|40681|'0767|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1440|2130|2634|2579|2542|2532|2533|2534|
|5-9<br>1220|1890|2617|2553|2524|2528|2533|2534|
|10-14<br>980|1632|2591|2476|2513|2531|2535|2535|
|15-19<br>809|1405|2480|2454|2525|2539|2537|2535|
|20-24<br>666|1200|2307|2561|2554|2545|2536|2533|
|25-29<br>551|959|2082|2608|2573|2538|2530|2531|
|30-34<br>457|787|1842|2589|2546|2520|2526|2531|
|35-39<br>379|644|1577|2553|2466|2507|2527|2532|
|40-44<br>311|'529|1344|2430|2438|2515|2532|2531|
|45-49<br>256|434|1133|2243|2534|2536|2532|2524|
|50-54<br>208|353|889|1999|2559|2539|2512|2506|
|55-59<br>167|282|708|1733|2504|2483|2469|2478|
|60-64<br>131|220|551|1434|2407|2356|2412|2437|
|65-69<br>97|164|415|1147|2184|2238|2335|239|
|70-74<br>67|112|290|861|1837|2145|2186|2195|
|75+<br>61|107|296|953|2650|4162|4444|4529|
|TOTAL<br>7802|12849|23756|33173|39356|41215|41679|41825|
|BIRTH RATE|40.2|29.1|18.2|14.2|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.9|5.2|5.4|8.0|11.6|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.35|2.46|1.30|.63|.15|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.779|3.673|2.208|2.077|2.072|2.069|2.069|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|65.17|69.12|73.65|76.99|77.98|71.67|78.84|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|59.6|35.6|19.4|9.0|7.6|6.7|6.5|
**88**

|JORDAN||Proje|ction (000|9) wIth**NRR-**|**1**by 2035|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL**H.F**<br>2649|3171|<br>3814|4539|<br>5326|6161|7041|7943|<br>8827|<br>9651|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>233|299|362|406|<br>441|473|504|524|525|<br>506|
|5-9<br>211|230|296|359|<br>404|439|471|502|522|<br>523|
|10-14<br>190|210|229|295|<br>358|403|438|470|501|<br>521|
|15-19<br>164|18'|209|228|<br>294|357|401|437|469|<br>500|
|20-24<br>139|16;|!<br>187|207|<br>227|293|355|400|435|<br>467|
|25-29<br>98|13'|161|186|<br>206|225|291|353|398|<br>433|
|30-34<br>68|9T|136|159|<br>184|205|224|289|352|<br>396|
|35-39<br>60|61|96|134|<br>158|183|203|222|287|<br>349|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>52|<br>59|<br> <br>66|<br>94|<br> <br> <br>133|<br>156|<br>181|<br>201|<br>220|<br><br> <br>285|
|45-49<br>45|50|57|64|<br>92|130|153|178|<br>198|<br>217|
|50-54<br>35|43|49|55|<br>62|90|127|149|173|<br>193|
|55-59<br>28|33|40|46|<br>53|59|85|121|143|<br>166|
|60-64<br>18|25|30|37|<br>42|48|55|79|112|<br>133|
|65-69<br>14|15|22|26|<br>32|37|43|49|70|<br>100|
|70-74<br>9|11|12|17|<br>21|26|30|35|40|<br>58|
|75.<br>14|12|13|15|<br>19|24|31|37|43|<br>51|
|TOTAL<br>1377|1639|<br>1964|2330|<br>2728|3149|3593|4046|<br>4488|<br>4896|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>226|288|348|390|<br>423|454|484|503|504|<br>485|
|5-9<br>198|224|286|347|<br>389|422|453|482|502|<br>503|
|10-14<br>176|197|223|286|<br>346|388|422|452|482|<br>501|
|15-19<br>149|175|197|223|<br>285|345|387|421|452|<br>481|
|20-24<br>117|148|174|196|<br>222|284|344|387|420|<br>451|
|**25-29**<br>86|116|147|173|<br>195|221|283|343|385|<br>419|
|30-34<br>60|85|115|146|<br>172|194|220|282|342|<br>384|
|35-39<br>52|59|84|114|<br>145|171|193|219|281|<br>341|
|40-44<br>48|51|58|83|<br>113|143|170|<br>191|217|<br>279|
|45-49<br>45|47|S0|57|<br>82|111|142|168|189|<br>215|
|50-54<br>35|44|46|49|56|80|109|139|165|<br>186|
|55-59<br>25|33|42|44|<br>47|54|78|106|135|<br>161|
|60-64<br>19|23|31|39|<br>41|45|52|74|101|<br>130|
|65-69<br>14|17|21|28|<br>36|38|41|48|69|95|
|70-74<br>8|12|14|18|<br>24|31|33|36|42|<br>61|
|75+<br>14|13|15|18|<br>22|30|39|46|53|<br>62|
|TOTAL<br>1272|1531|<br>1850|2209|<br>2598|3012|3449|3897|<br>4339|<br>4755|
|BIRTH RATE|42.5|42.4|39.4|36.0|33.1|30.6|28.0|25.0|21.8|
|DEATH RATE|6.5|5.4|4.6|4.1|4.0|3.9|3.9|3.9|4.0|
|RATE OF**NAT.**INC.|3.59|3.69|3.48|3.20|2.91|2.67|2.41|2.11|1.79|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.60|3.70|3.48|3.20|2.91|2.67|2.41|2.11|1.79|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>6|.490|5.985|5.480|4.975|4.470|3.965|3.460|2.980|2.566|
|NRR<br>2|.906|2.737|2.543|2.335|2.105|1.874|1.641|1.418|1.225|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|5.97|67.99|69.76|71.28|71.86|72.44|73.04|73.64|74.26|
|**e(1O)**- BOTH SEXES<br>6|0.18|61.33|62.45|63.46|63.90|64.35|64.80|65.27|65.75|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|44.0|35.6|28.9|23.4|21.9|20.4|18.8|17.3|15.8|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES<br>|0560|0438|0348|0277|0259|0240|0221|0202|0183|
|<br>.<br>OEP.RATIO<br>97.3|<br>92.9|.<br> <br>93.3|.<br>94.4|.<br> <br>89.6|.<br> <br>81.4|.<br> <br>73.7|.<br> <br>66.9|.<br> <br>61.2|.<br> <br>56.0|
89 JORDAN Projection (OOOs) with NRR=1 by 2035

# SuTmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALH+F<br>2649|4539|8827|12473|<br>14780|<br>15358|<br>15454|<br>15481|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>233|406|525|509|498|496|497|<br>49?|
|5-9<br>211|359|522|499|493|495|497|<br>497|
|10-14<br>190|295|501|478|489|495|497|<br>497|
|15-19<br>164|228|469|473|493|497|497|<br>496|
|20-24<br>139|207|435|501|501|498|495|<br>495|
|25-29<br>98|<br>186|<br>398|<br>518|<br>504|<br>494|<br>493|<br>493|
|30-34<br>68|<br>159|<br>352|<br>514|<br>494|<br>488|<br>491|<br>492|
|35-39<br>60|<br>134|<br>287|<br>492|<br>472|<br>484|<br>490|<br>492|
|40-44<br>52|<br>94|<br>220|<br>458|<br>465|<br>486|<br>490|<br>490|
|45-49<br>45|<br>64|<br>198|<br>421|<br>489|<br>490|<br>488|<br>486|
|50-54<br>35|<br>55|<br>173|<br>378|<br>498|<br>487|<br>478|<br>477|
|55-59<br>28|<br>46|<br>143|<br>323|<br>480|<br>464|<br>459|<br>461|
|60-64<br>15|<br>37|<br>112|<br>249|<br>435|<br>420|<br>432|<br>438|
|65-69<br>14|<br>26|<br>70|<br>173|<br>369|<br>379|<br>398|<br>402|
|70-74<br>9|<br>17|<br>40|<br>132|<br>2a1|<br>343|<br>346|<br>345|
|75+<br>14|<br>15|<br>43|149|<br>357|538|<br>543|<br>543|
|TOTAL<br>1377|<br>2330|4488|<br>6267|<br>7330|<br>7554|<br>f590|7602|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>226|390|504|488|<br>478|476|476|<br>477|
|5-9<br>198|347|502|480|473|475|476|<br>477|
|10-14<br>176|<br>286|<br>482|<br>460|<br>471|<br>476<br>|<br>477<br> <br>|<br>477<br> <br>|
|15-19<br>149|<br>223|<br>452|<br>455|<br>475|<br>478|<br>478|<br>477|
|20-24<br>117|<br>196|<br>420|<br>484|<br>484|<br>480|<br>477|<br>476|
|25-29<br>86|<br>173|<br>385|<br>501|<br>488|<br>478|<br>476|<br>476|
|30-34<br>60|<br>146|<br>342|<br>499|<br>479|<br>473|<br>475|<br>476|
|35-39<br>52|<br>114|<br>281|<br>478|<br>458|<br>470|<br>475|<br>477|
|40-44<br>48|<br>83|<br>217|<br>447|<br>454|<br>473|<br>477|<br>477|
|45-49<br>45|<br>57|<br>189|<br>413|<br>480|<br>481|<br>478|<br>475|
|50-54<br>35|<br>49|<br>165|<br>375|<br>494|<br>482|<br>473|<br>471|
|55-59<br>25|<br>44|<br>135|<br>328|<br>486|<br>469|<br>464|<br>466|
|60-64<br>19|<br>39|<br>101|<br>261|<br>456|<br>440|<br>453|<br>459|
|65-69<br>14|<br>28|<br>69|<br>192|<br>408|<br>420|<br>441|<br>445|
|70-74<br>8|<br>18|<br>42|<br>151|<br>347|<br>411|<br>416|<br>415|
|75+<br>14|<br>18|<br>53|195|<br>520|<br>822|<br>852|<br>859|
|TOTAL<br>1272|<br>2209|4339|<br>6207|<br>7450|<br>7804|<br>7864|<br>7879|
|BIRTH RATE|41.2|29.8|18.3|14.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.4|3.9|4.7|7.5|11.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|0|.0<br>*||.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.59|2.66|1.38|.68|.15|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.903|3.807|2.187|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH<br>SEXES|68.13|72.61|75.64|77.80|78.41|78.83|78.94|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|35.4|20.2|12.7|7.8|7.0|6.5|6.4|
90 KLdAIT Projection (000s) with NRR=I _bv_ 2020

|AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>..........................|1990<br>................................|<br>1995<br>....................|2000|2005|2010<br>..<br>...|2015<br>.....<br>......|<br>2020<br>..<br>. ...<br>...<br>...|<br>2025<br>...<br>...<br>...<br>...|<br>2030<br>.....<br>......<br>--|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N'F<br>1712|2063|<br>2422|2782|3136|3464|3752|<br>3999|<br>4225|<br>4444|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>134|155|169|150|189|190|184|173|<br>174|<br>182|
|5-9<br>116|137|158|171|181|190|190|<br>184|<br>173|<br>174|
|10-14<br>95|117|139|159|171|181|189|190|<br>184|<br>173|
|15-19<br>80|97|119|140|159|171|181|189|<br>190|<br>183|
|20-24<br>91|86|101|122|141|160|171|<br>180|<br>189|<br>189|
|25-29<br>108|100|93|106|125|142|159|170|<br>180|<br>188|
|30-34<br>96|116|<br>106|97|109|125|142|158|<br>170|<br>179|
|35-39<br>79|101|120|109|99|109|125|141|<br>158|<br>169|
|40-44<br>66|82|104|121|109|99|108|124|<br>140|<br>157|
|45-49<br>43|67|83|103|120|108|97|107|<br>123|<br>139|
|50-54<br>29|43|66|81|101|118|106|95|105|<br>120|
|SS-S9<br>15|28|41|64|78|98|113|102|<br>92|<br>101|
|60-64<br>9|14|26|38|59|73|92|106|<br>96|<br>87|
|65-69<br>5|8|12|23|34|53|66|82|9e|87|
|70-74<br>3|4|7|10|19|29|45|55|69|<br>81|
|75t<br>4|4|5|7|11|20|31|49|<br>66|<br>85|
|TOTAL<br>970|115S|<br>1348|1532|1708|1866|1999|<br>2107|<br>2203|<br>2293|
|FENALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>133|149|162|173|181|182|176|166|<br>167|<br>174|
|5-9<br>115|136|151|164|174|182|182|176|<br>166|<br>167|
|10-14<br>94|117|137|152|165|17'.|182|182|<br>176|<br>166|
|15-19<br>71|95|118|138|153|165|174|182|<br>182|<br>176|
|20-24<br>67|73|98|120|139|153|165|174|<br>181|<br>182|
|25-29<br>68|70|<br>76|100|121|140|153|165|<br>173|<br>181|
|30-34<br>57|70|72|75|101|121|140|153|<br>164|<br>173|
|35-39<br>43|59|<br>71|73|78|101|121|139|<br>153|<br>164|
|40-44<br>32|44|<br>60|72|73|78|100|121|<br>139|<br>152|
|45-49<br>21|32|44|59|71|73|78|100|<br>120|<br>138|
|50-54<br>14|21|32|44|59|70|72|77|99|<br>119|
|55-59<br>9|14|21|31|43|58|69|71|76|<br>97|
|60-64<br>7|9|13|20|30|41|56|67|68|<br>74|
|65-69<br>4|7|8|12|19|29|39|53|64|<br>65|
|70-74<br>3|4|6|7|11|17|26|35|48|<br>58|
|75.<br>4|4|5|7|10|14|21|33|47|<br>66|
|TOTAL<br>742|904|1074|1250|<br>1428|1598|1753|<br>1891|<br>2022|<br>2151|
|BIRTH RATE|32.5|29.8|27.3|25.3|22.8|20.2|17.7|16.8|16.6|
|DEATH RATE|2.9|2.8|2.8|3.1|3.6|4.2|5.0|5.8|6.5|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|2.96|2.71|2.45|2.22|1.92|1.60|1.27|1.10|1.01|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|7.6|5.0|3.2|1.8|.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.73|3.21|2.77|2.40|1.99|1.60|1.27|1.10|1.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>4|.820|4.365|3.910|3.455|2.973|2.558|2.201|2.072|2.070|
|NRR<br>2|.285|2.082|1.873|1.661|1.431|1.232|1.061|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)B<br>BOTH SEXES<br>7|2.82|73.87|74.75|75.50|75.78|76.06|76.34|76.62|76.91|
|e(dO)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|4.52|65.28|65.94|66.52|66.76|67.00|67.25|67.49|67.74|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|18.5|15.4|13.0|11.2|10.8|10.4|9.9|9.5|9.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0214|.0176|.0147|.0125|.0120|.0115|.0110|.0106|.0101|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.8|69.0|<br>65.6|<br>62.2|<br>59.2|<br>57.2|<br>55.0|<br>52.|6<br>51.|1<br>49.|
91 KIUAIT Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2020 Sumwary for 25 Year Periods

|............................................<br>AGE GROUP|...............<br>1985|........<br> <br>2000|.......................................<br> <br>2025|...........................<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.**.**.................................||.................|.......................................|...................||||.|
|TOTAL<br>M+F|1712|<br>2782|4225|5154|<br>5568|5608|<br>5620|<br>5625|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|134|180|174|178|<br>180|181|<br>181|<br>181|
|5-9|116|<br>171|<br>173|<br>180|<br>181|<br>181|<br>181|<br>180|
|10=14|95|<br>159|<br>184|<br>183|<br>181|<br>180|<br>180|<br>180|
|15-19|80|140|190|184|180|180|<br>180|<br>180|
|20-24|91|122|189|181|<br>178|179|<br>180|<br>180|
|25-29|108|106|180|173|<br>177|179|<br>179|<br>179|
|30-34|96|97|170|171|178|179|<br>179|<br>179|
|35-39|79|<br>109|<br>158|<br>181|<br>181|<br>180|<br>179|<br>178|
|40-44|66|<br>121|<br>140|<br>186|<br>182|<br>178|<br>177|<br>177|
|45-49|43|<br>103|<br>123|<br>184|<br>177|<br>175|<br>175|<br>176|
|50-54|29|81|105|173|<br>167|171|<br>173|<br>174|
|55-59|15|<br>64|<br>92|<br>158|<br>161|<br>168|<br>169|<br>169|
|60-64|9|<br>38|<br>96|<br>139|<br>162|<br>162|<br>161|<br>160|
|65-69|5|23|96|113|152|149|<br>146|<br>146|
|70-74|3|<br>10|<br>69|<br>84|<br>129|125|<br>124|<br>124|
|75+|4|<br>7|<br>66|<br>110|<br>181|<br>192|<br>197|<br>199|
|TOTAL|970|1532|<br>2203|<br>2579|<br>2747|<br>2757|<br>2760|<br>2762|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|133|<br>173|<br>167|<br>171|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|
|5-9|115|<br>164|<br>166|<br>173|<br>174|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|
|10-14|94|<br>152|<br>176|<br>176|<br>174|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|
|15-19|71|<br>138|<br>182|<br>177|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|
|20-24|67|<br>120|<br>181|<br>174|<br>172|<br>172|<br>13|<br>173|
|25-29|68|<br>100|<br>173|<br>167|<br>171|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|
|30-34|57|78|<br>164|<br>165|<br>172|<br>174|<br>173|<br>173|
|35-39|43|73|153|175|<br>175|174|<br>173|<br>173|
|40-44|32|72|139|181|<br>177|13|172|<br>173|
|45-49|21|<br>59|<br>120|<br>180|<br>173|<br>171|<br>_172_|<br>172|
|50-54|14|<br>44|<br>99|<br>171|<br>165|<br>169|<br>171|<br>172|
|55-59|9|<br>31|<br>76|<br>160|<br>162|<br>169|<br>170|<br>170|
|60-64|7|<br>20|<br>68|<br>145|<br>169|<br>169|<br>168|<br>167|
|65-69|4|12|64|127|<br>167|<br>164|<br>161|<br>161|
|70-74|3|<br>7|<br>48|<br>100|<br>154|<br>150|<br>148|<br>149|
|75+|4|<br>7|<br>47|<br>133|<br>271|<br>300|<br>311|<br>314|
|TOTAL|742|<br>1250|<br>2022|<br>2574|<br>2821|<br>2851|<br>2860|<br>2863|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||29.6|20.2|15.2|13.2|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||2.8|4.4|7.3|10.1|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATI|ON<br>RATE|5.0|.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.24|1.67|.79|.31|.03|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTI|LITY|4.311|2.574|2.066|2.060|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH S|EXES|73.92|76.11|77.53|78.51|78.78|78.96|79.01|
|<br>IHR- BOTH S|EXES|15.5|10.4|8.3|6.9|6.6|6.4|6.3|
92

|LEBANON<br>......<br>.........<br>-.........................||Proje<br>...<br>...<br>.|ction (000s)<br>.<br>...<br>...................................|with NRR=I b<br>...........................................|y 2005||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GRCUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020||2025|<br>2030|
|.**......**...........<br>..<br>..<br>........................||....................................|...........|||..................|:.............|..........|........|.....**.**.|
|TOTAL M+F<br>2668|2655|2745|2890|3087|3277|3475|3676||3870|<br>4047|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>173|172|169|159|149|149|155|158||157|<br>154|
|5-9<br>161|158|163|164|158|148|148|154||157|<br>157|
|10-14<br>171|151|152|159|164|157|148|148||154|<br>157|
|15-19<br>165|160|145|148|159|163|157|147||147|<br>153|
|20-24<br>120|142|147|138|147|158|162|156||147|<br>147|
|25-29<br>81|90|125|138|137|**146**|157|162||155|<br>**146**|
|30-34<br>71|55|76|118|137|136|145|156||<br>161|<br><br> <br>155|
|35-39<br>58|52|44|70|<br>117|<br>136|<br>135|<br>144|<br>|<br>155|<br><br> <br>160|
|40-44<br>46|44|44|40|69|115|135|134||143|<br>154|
|45-49<br>48|37|39|41|39|68|113|132||131|<br>141|
|50-54<br>51|42|<br>34|37|39|38|66|110||129|<br>128|
|55-59<br>47|46|39|32|35|37|36|63||105|<br>123|
|60-64<br>35|42|42|36|29|32|35|34||58|<br>98|
|65-69<br>21|30|36|36|31|25|28|31||30|<br>52|
|70-74<br>21|16|23|29|29|25|21|23||25|<br>25|
|75h<br>21|24|22|27|33|36|35|32||32|<br>34|
|TOTAL<br>1289|1262|1300|1370|1472|1571|1676|1783||1887|<br>1982|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>169|165|163|152|143|143|148|151||151|<br>148|
|5-9<br>158|154|156|158|152|142|142|148||<br>151|<br><br> <br>151|
|10-14<br>167|148|148|153|158|152|_142_|142||148|<br>151|
|15-19<br>161|157|142|145|153|157|151|142||142|<br>148|
|20-24<br>135|143|146|136|144|152|157|151||142|<br>142|
|25-29<br>116|114|129|139|136|144|152|156||150|<br>141|
|30-34<br>89|99|103|124|138|135|143|151||156|<br>150|
|35-39<br>65|77|92|99|123|137|134|142||151|<br>155|
|40-44<br>54|58|73|89|98|122|136|133||141|<br>150|
|45-49<br>53|50|55|71|88|97|120|134||132|<br>140|
|50-54<br>53|50|48|53|69|86|95|118||132|<br>130|
|55-59<br>48|50|48|46|51|67|83|92||115|<br>129|
|60-64<br>37|44|47|45|43|49|63|79||88|<br>110|
|65-69<br>23|F3|40|42|41|39|45|59||74|<br>82|
|70-74<br>24|19|27|34|36|35|34|39||51|<br>65|
|75+<br>28|31|29|35|43|50|53|54||60|<br>73|
|TOTAL<br>1379|1393|1446|1520|1615|1706|1800|1894||1983|<br>2064|
|BIRTH RATE<br>2|7.7|26.2|23.0|20.0|18.7|18.3|17.6||16.6|15.5|
|DEATH RATE|8.0|7.6|7.1|6.8|6.7|6.6|6.4||<br>6.3|6.6|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|1.97|1.86|1.60|1.32|1.20|1.17|1.12||1.03|.89|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-|20.7|-11.9|-5.7|.0|.0|.0|.0||.0|.0|
|GROWITH<br>RATE<br>|-.10|.67|1.03|1.32|1.20|1.17|1.12||1.03|89|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.|380|2.946|2.567<br>2|.237<br>2|.118<br>2|.112<br>2|<br>.105|2|<br>.099|.<br>2.093|
|NRR<br>1|.531|1.358|1.198<br>1|.053<br>1|.000<br>1|<br>.000<br>1|<br>.000|<br>1|<br>.000|1.000|
|**e(0)**<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>6|7.03|68.61|70.04<br>7|1.28<br>7|1.85<br>7|2.43<br>7|3.03|7|3.64|74.25|
|e(tO)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|0.83|61.69|62.52<br>6|3.30<br>6|3.75<br>6|4.21<br>6|4.68|6|5.16|65.66|
|**INR**<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>4|0.0|32.8|26.8|21.9<br>|20.5|19.2|17.8||16.4|15.0|
|q(5) - **BOTH**<br>SEXES<br>.|0501|.0401|.0320<br>.|0258<br>.|0241<br>|0224<br>|0207||0190|0174|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>74.2|70.8|<br>69.7|<br> <br>65.8|<br> <br>58.2|<br>.<br>50.6|<br>.<br>46.2|<br>44.9|.<br>|<br>44.4|.<br> <br>44.6|
93 LEBANON Projection t000s) with NRRul by 2005 Sumrory for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~......... .....<br>....<br>....<br>|...<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>._.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.|_<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>2668|<br>2890|<br>3870|<br>4538|<br>4710|<br>4762|<br>4786|<br>4794|
|PALES<br>||||||||
|0-4<br>173|<br>159|<br>157|<br>155|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|5-9<br>161|<br>164|<br>157|<br>154|<br>153|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|10-14<br>171|<br>159|<br>154|<br>152|<br>153|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|15-19<br>165|<br>148|<br>147|<br>152|<br>153|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|20-24<br>120|<br>138|<br>147|<br>153|<br>154|<br>153|<br>153|<br>153|
|25-29<br>81|<br>138|<br>155|<br>155|<br>154|<br>153|<br>153|<br>153|
|30-34<br>71|<br>118|<br>161|<br>155|<br>152|<br>152|<br>152|<br>153|
|35-39<br>58|<br>70|<br>155|<br>151|<br>150|<br>151|<br>152|<br>152|
|40-44<br>46|<br>40|<br>143|<br>144|<br>149|<br>151|<br>151|<br>152|
|45-49<br>48|<br>41|<br>131|<br>142|<br>149|<br>150|<br>150|<br>150|
|50-54<br>51|37|129|<br>148|<br>149|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|55-59<br>47|32|105|<br>148|<br>145|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|60-64<br>35|36|58|134|<br>'33|<br>134|<br>135|<br>136|
|65-69<br>21|<br>36|<br>30|<br>112|<br>116|<br>121|<br>124|<br>124|
|70-74<br>21|<br>29|<br>25|<br>87|<br>98|<br>105|<br>106|<br>106|
|75+<br>21|<br>27|<br>32|<br>105|<br>158|<br>165|<br>167|<br>168|
|TOTAL<br>1289|<br>1370|<br>1887|<br>2245|<br>2321|<br>2341|<br>2350|<br>2354|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>169|<br>152|<br>151|<br>149|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|5-9<br>158|<br>158|<br>151|<br>148|<br>147|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|<br>10-14<br>167|<br> <br> <br>153|<br> <br> <br>148|<br> <br> <br>146|<br> <br> <br>147|<br> <br> <br>148|<br> <br> <br>148|<br><br> <br>148|
|15-19<br>161|<br>145|<br>142|<br>146|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|20-24<br>135|<br>136|<br>142|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|25-29<br>116|<br>139|<br>150|<br>150|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|30-34<br>89|<br>124|<br>156|<br>150|<br>148|<br>147|<br>147|<br>148|
|35-39<br>65|<br>99|<br>151|<br>147|<br>146|<br>147|<br>147|<br>147|
|40-44<br>54|<br>89|<br>141|<br>140|<br>145|<br>147|<br>147|<br>147|
|45-49<br>53|<br>71|<br>132|<br>139|<br>146|<br>147|<br>147|<br>147|
|50-54<br>53|<br>53|<br>132|<br>146|<br>148|<br>147|<br>146|<br>146|
|55-59<br>48|<br>46|<br>115|<br>149|<br>146|<br>144|<br>144|<br>145|
|60-64<br>37|<br>45|<br>88|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>142|<br>142|
|65-69<br>23|<br>42|<br>74|<br>125|<br>128|<br>134|<br>137|<br>138|
|70-74<br>24|<br>34|<br>51|<br>105|<br>117|<br>126|<br>128|<br>128|
|75+<br>28|<br>35|<br>60|<br>164|<br>238|<br>255|<br>263|<br>266|
|TOTAL<br>1379|<br>1520|<br>1983|<br>2293|<br>2389|<br>2421|<br>2435|<br>2440|
|SIRTH<br>RATE|25.6|18.2|14.4|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.5|6.6|8.1|11.6|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-12.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.53|1.17|.64|.15|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.939|2.132|2.081|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|68.59|72.51|75.59|77.80|78.41|78.83|78.94|
|IMR BOTHSEXES|33.5|19.1|12.2|7.8|7.0|6.5|6.4|
94

|CUAM<br>..<br>.<br>....<br>.................................................................||Proj|ection (000s|)|with NRR-1 b|y 2045<br>..............................................|..................................................|.............|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROIP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|<br>2000||2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL M+F<br>1242|1517|<br>1811|<br>2125||2465|2845|3259|3691|<br>4126|<br>4544|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>118|142|<br>162|<br>183||207|231|253|267|<br>273|<br>270|
|5-9<br>92|116|<br>139|<br>159||179|203|228|249|<br>264|<br>270|
|10-14<br>71|92|<br>115|<br>138||158|178|202|226|<br>248|<br>263|
|15-19<br>56|72|<br>92|<br>114||137|157|177|201|<br>225|<br>247|
|20-24<br>52|60|<br>74|<br>92||113|136|155|175|<br>199|<br>223|
|25-29<br>54|58|<br>63|<br>74||91|ill|134|153|<br>173|<br>197|
|30-34<br>50|59|<br>60|<br>63||73|89|110|132|<br>151|<br>172|
|35-39<br>43|53|<br>60|<br>60||62|72|88|108|<br>130|<br>150|
|40-44<br>35|45|<br>53|<br>59||59|61|70|86|<br>106|<br>128|
|45-49<br>27|35|<br>44|<br>52||57|57|59|68|<br>84|<br>104|
|50-54<br>20|26|<br>34|<br>42||49|54|54|56|<br>66|<br>81|
|55-59<br>15|19|<br>24|<br>31||39|46|51|51|<br>53|<br>62|
|60-64<br>10|13|<br>17|<br>22||28|35|41|46|<br>46|<br>49|
|65-69<br>7|8|<br>11|<br>14||18|24|30|35|<br>40|<br>40|
|70-74<br>4|5|<br>6|<br>9||11|14|18|23|<br>28|<br>32|
|75.<br>3|4|5|<br>6||9|11|15|19|<br>25|<br>31|
|TOTAL<br>659|807|<br>960|<br>1119||1289|1479|1684|1899|<br>2113|<br>2319|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>113|138|<br>157|<br>177||200|223|244|258|<br>263|<br>260|
|5-9<br>88|111|<br>136|<br>154||174|197|220|241|<br>255|<br>261|
|10-14<br>68|88|<br>110|<br>135||153|173|196|219|<br>240|<br>255|
|15-19<br>55|67|<br>88|<br>110||134|152|172|195|<br>218|<br>239|
|20-24<br>48|55|<br>68|<br>87||108|132|151|170|<br>193|<br>216|
|25-29<br>44|49|<br>56|<br>67||86|107|130|149|<br>168|<br>191|
|30-34<br>38|**44**|49|55||66|84|105|128|<br>147|<br>166|
|35-39<br>32|38|<br>44|<br>48||54|65|83|103|<br>127|<br>145|
|40-44<br>25|31|<br>37|<br>43||47|53|63|81|<br>101|<br>125|
|45-49<br>19|24|<br>30|<br>36||41|45|51|61|<br>79|<br>99|
|50-54<br>16|18|<br>23|<br>29||34|40|43|49|<br>60|<br>77|
|55-59<br>13|15|<br>17|<br>22||27|32|38|41|<br>47|<br>57|
|60-64<br>10|12|<br>14|<br>15||20|25|30|35|<br>39|<br>44|
|65-69<br>7|9|<br>10|<br>12||13|17|22|27|<br>31|<br>35|
|70-74<br>5|6|<br>7|<br>8||9|11|14|18|<br>22|<br>26|
|75+<br>4|5|<br>6|<br>8||9|11|13|17|<br>22|<br>27|
|TOTAL<br>583|710|<br>851|<br>1006||1176|1367|1574|1793|<br>2012|<br>2225|
|8IRTH RATE<br>|45.8|42.4|39.7||38.0|36.5|34.5|31.9|28.8|25.5|
|DEATH RATE|12.4|10.7|9.3||8.2|7.8|7.4|6.9|6.5|6.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|3.34|3.18|3.05||2.98|2.87|2.71|2.49|2.22|1.93|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br> <br> <br>|6.5<br>|3.6|1.5||.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>|4.00|3.54|3.20||2.98|2.87|2.71|2.49|2.22|1.93|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>7|.180|6.670|6.160|5|.650<br>|5.140<br>|4.630<br>4|<br>.120|<br>3.610|3.100|
|NRR<br>2|.790|2.693|2.567|2|.421<br>|2.229<br>|2.032<br>1|.830|1.623|1.411|
|e(O)B<br>9OTH SEXES<br>5|5.43|57.71|59.87|6|1.92<br>|63.07<br>|64.26<br>6|5.48|66.74|68.03|
|elIO)- BOTH SEXES<br>5|5.47|56.13|56.80|5|7.52<br>|58.28<br>|59.07<br>5|9.89|60.72|61.59|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>1|00.0|84.5|70.3||57.9|53.4|48.9|44.4|39.9|35.4|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES<br>|1438|1192|0970||0775<br>|0713<br>|0651<br>|0589|0526|0463|
|<br>.<br>DEP. RATIO<br>87.9|<br>91.4|.<br> <br>91.|.<br>6<br>89.|<br>3|.<br> <br>86.1|.<br> <br>83.3|.<br>.<br>80.6|<br>76.|.<br>6<br>71.|.<br>0<br>63.|
95 OMAN Projection (0008) uith NRR=I by 2045

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|.............................................<br>AGE GROUIP<br>1985|.........................<br>2000|........................<br>2025|.........<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..................|.........................|.........................|........................|..||||
|TOTAL 19F<br>1242|<br>2125|<br>4126|<br>6083|<br>7520|<br>8074|<br>8189|<br>8230|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>118|183|273|260|263|265|265|265|
|5-9<br>92|159|264|258|264|265|265|265|
|10-14<br>71|<br>138|<br>248|<br>267|<br>266|<br>265|<br>265|<br>265|
|15-19<br>56|114|225|269|266|264|264|264|
|20-24<br>52|<br>92|<br>199|<br>265|<br>263|<br>262|<br>263|<br>264|
|25-29<br>54|<br>74|<br>173|<br>266|<br>257|<br>261|<br>263|<br>263|
|30-34<br>50|<br>63|<br>151|<br>257|<br>254|<br>261|<br>263|<br>263|
|35-39<br>43|<br>60|<br>130|<br>240|<br>262|<br>262|<br>262|<br>262|
|40-44<br>35|59|106|216|262|261|260|260|
|45-49<br>27|52|84|188|256|256|257|258|
|~<br>- -54<br>20|42|66|160|253|247|252|254|
|55-59<br>15|31|53|134|236|237|245|247|
|60 64<br>10|22|46|108|208|231|233|234|
|65-69<br>7|14|40|78|169|211|213|213|
|70-74<br>4|9|28|52|125|176|180|181|
|75+<br>3|6|25|52|140|255|276|286|
|TOTAL<br>659|1119|2113|3069|3746|3980|4024|4042|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>113|177|263|251|253|254|254|254|
|5-9<br>88|154|<br>255|249|254|255|254|254|
|10-14<br>68|135|240|257|256|255|254|254|
|15-19<br>55|110|218|260|257|254|254|254|
|20-24<br>48|87|193|257|255|253|254|254|
|25-29<br>44|67|168|258|250|252|254|254|
|30-34<br>38|55|147|250|248|253|254|254|
|35-39<br>32|48|127|234|256|255|255|254|
|40-44<br>'5|-43|101|210|257|256|254|253|
|45-49<br>19|36|79|184|253|252|252|252|
|50-54<br>16|29|60|158|252|246|250|251|
|55-59<br>13|22|47|135|240|241|248|249|
|60-64<br>10|15|39|111|218|243|245|245|
|65-69<br>7|12|31|83|186|234|236|236|
|70-74<br>5|8|22|57|147|211|216|218|
|75+<br>4|8|22|60|195|379|430|449|
|TOTAL<br>583|1006|2012|3015|3774|4094|4164|4187|
|BIRTH RATE|42.3|33.3|21.0|15.3|13.3|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.6|7.3|5.7|7.0|10.5|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|3.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|*0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.58|2.65|1.55|.85|.28|.06|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.623|4.452|2.483|2.075|2.066|2.060|2.059|
|eCO)- BOTHSEXES|57.93|64.61|71.01|75.81|77.37|78.46|78.74|
|IHR- BOTHSEXES|83.9|48.3|?6.6|11.9|8.9|7.0|6.7|
96

|CATAR<br>.<br>.................................................................|......................................|ProJ<br>..........................|ection (OWs|) w|ith NRR-|1 by|2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000||2005||2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>299|389|460|523||579||636|691|741|<br>785|<br>822|
|HALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>23|27|30|32||34||36|37|37|36|<br>34|
|5-9<br>1S|<br>25|28|30||32||34|36|37|37|<br>36|
|10-14<br>13|16|25|28||30||32|34|36|37|<br>37|
|15-19<br>15|15|17|25||28||30|32|34|36|<br>37|
|20-24<br>16|20|17|17||25||28|30|31|34|<br>36|
|25-29<br>21|23|23|18||17||25|28|30|31|<br>33|
|30-34<br>24|27|25|24||18||17|25|28|30|<br>31|
|35-39<br>21|29|29|26||24||18|17|<br>25|27|<br>30|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>14|<br>24|<br>29|<br>29||<br>26||<br>23|<br>17|<br> <br> <br>17|<br> <br>25|<br><br> <br>27|
|45-49<br>11|15|24|29||29||25|23|17|<br>17|<br>24|
|50-54<br>6|11|15|24||28||28|25|23|17|<br>16|
|55-59<br>5|6|11|15||22||27|27|24|22|<br>16|
|60-64<br>2|5|6|10||13||21|25|25|22|<br>20|
|65-69<br>2|2|4|5||9||12|18|<br>22|22|<br>20|
|70-74<br>1|2|1|3||4||7|10|1S|<br>19|<br>18|
|75+<br>0|1|1|2||3||4|7|11|<br>17|<br>22|
|TOTAL<br>191|248|286|317||343||368|391|411|<br>427|<br>438|
|FEMALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>22|26|29|30||32||35|35|36|35|<br>33|
|5-9<br>14|24|27|29||30||32|35|35|36|<br>35|
|10-14<br>13|14|24|27||29||30|32|35|35|<br>36|
|15-19<br>11|13|15|25||27||29|30|32|35|<br>35|
|20-24<br>10|12|14|15||25||27|29|30|32|<br>35|
|25-29<br>9|11|13|14||15||25|27|29|30|<br>32|
|30-34<br>8|10|12|13||14||15|24|27|29|<br>30|
|35-39<br>7|9|10|12||13||14|15|<br>24|27|<br>29|
|40-44<br>6|7|9|10||12||13|14|<br>15|<br>24|<br>27|
|45-49<br>4|6|7|9||10||12|13|<br>14|<br>15|<br>24|
|50-54<br>2|4|6|7||9||10|12|<br>13|<br>14|<br>15|
|55-59<br>2|2|4|6||7||8|10|<br>11|<br>12|<br>14|
|60-64<br>1|2|*<br>2|4||5||7|8|9|11|<br>12|
|65-69<br>0|1|2|2||3||5|6|7|9|<br>10|
|70-74<br>0|0|1|1||1||3|5|6|7|<br>8|
|75+<br>1|0|0|1||2||2|3|5|7|<br>10|
|TOTAL<br>108|<br>142|<br>174|<br>206||236||268|299|330|<br>358|<br>384|
|BIRTH RATE|30.7|28.0|25.7||24.5||23.7|22.2|20.7|18.8|16.9|
|DEATH RATE|4.4|4.0|4.0||4.3||5.0|5.7|6.5|7.2|7.8|
|RATEOF NAT. INC.|2.64|2.39|2.16||2.02||1.87|1.65|1.42|1.16<br>|.91<br>|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|26.1|9.4|4.1||.0||.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|5.28|3.34|2.57||2.02||1.87|1.65|1.42|1.16|.91|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.640|5.130|4.620|4|.110|3|.600|3.090|2.749|2.446|2.176|
|NRR|2.611|2.404|2.184|1|.956|1|.717|1.477|1.316|1.173|1.046|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|69.30|70.87|72.21|7|3.36|7|3.80|74.23|74.68|75.13|75.58|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|62.22|63.23|64.12|6|4.94|6|5.29|65.64|65.99|66.36|66.73|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|31.0|25.2|20.7||17.1||16.1|15.2|14.2|13.3|12.3|
|q(5) - BOTHSEXES|.0377|.0300|.0242|.|0197|.|0185|.0174|.0163|.0151|.0140|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>53.5|<br>54.9|<br>60.4|<br>57.|5|57.|1|57.|7<br>60.|0<br>61.|7<br>60.|4<br>57.0|
97 Projection (000s) with NRRa1 by 2030 QATAR SuUmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGRCUP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|......................................<br>....|.<br>........<br>.|.......................................|...............................|||||
|TOTAL M.F<br>299|523|785|<br>962|1078|<br>1099|<br>1104|<br>1106|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>23|32|36|36|36|36|36|36|
|15-9<br>15|30|37|36|36|35|35|35|
|10-14<br>13|<br>28|<br>37|<br>36|35|35|35|35|
|15-19<br>15|25|36|34|35|35|35|35|
|20-24<br>16|17|34|34|35|35|35|35|
|25-29<br>21|18|31|36|36|35|35|<br>35|
|30-34<br>24|24|30|37|36|35|35|35|
|35-39<br>21|26|27|36|35|35|35|<br>35|
|40-44<br>14|<br>29|<br>25|<br>35|<br>34|<br>34|<br>35|<br>35|
|45-49<br>11|29|17|<br>33|33|34|35|<br>35|
|50-54<br>6|24|17|30|34|34|34|<br>34|
|55-59<br>5|<br>15|<br>22|<br>28|<br>34|<br>34|<br>33|<br>33|
|60-64<br>2|10|22|24|32|31|31|<br>31|
|65-69<br>2|5|22|20|29|28|28|<br>29|
|70-74<br>1|3|19|<br>11|23|23|24|<br>25|
|75+<br>0|2|17|<br>21|31|39|39|<br>39|
|TOTAL<br>191|317|427|<br>485|533|540|<br>542|<br>543|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>22|30|35|35|34|34|34|34|
|5-9<br>14|29|36|35|34|34|34|34|
|10-14<br>13|<br>27|<br>35|<br>34|<br>34|<br>34|<br>34|<br>34|
|15-19<br>11|25|35|33|34|34|34|34|
|20-24<br>10|15|32|33|34|34|34|34|
|25-29<br>9|14|30|34|34|34|34|34|
|30-34<br>8|<br>13|<br>29|<br>36|<br>35|<br>34|<br>34|<br>34|
|35-39<br>7|12|27|35|34|34|34|34|
|40-44<br>6|10|24|34|33|34|34|34|
|45-49<br>4|9|15|<br>32|33|34|34|34|
|50-54<br>2|<br>7|14|30|34|34|34|34|
|55-59<br>2|6|12|28|35|34|33|<br>33|
|60-64<br>1|4|11|25|34|33|33|33|
|65-69<br>0|2|9|22|32|31|31|<br>32|
|70-74<br>0|1|7|12|27|28|29|<br>30|
|75+<br>1|1|7|19|46|60|62|62|
|TOTAL<br>108|206|358|<br>477|545|559|<br>562|<br>563|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|27.8|21.7|16.0|13.6|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|4.1|5.9|7.9|9.1|12.0|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|11.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.73|1.62|.81|.45|.08|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|5.068|3.083|2.090|2.061|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|o(O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|70.97|74.31|76.57|78.17|78.60|78.90|78.98|
|<br>IMR<br>- BOTH SEXES|25.3|15.2|10.4|7.4|6.8|6.5|6.4|
98

|SAUDIARABIA<br>,....................................................................|.....................................|Proje<br>.........................|ction(000|s)<br>withNRR=I|by2045|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGRO1P<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|......................................................................|.....................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTALN*F<br>11595|<br>14126|<br>17036|20335|<br>24041|28077|32446|<br>37042|<br>41710|<br>46250|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1082|<br>1281|<br>1541|1797|<br>2067|2308|2521|2686|<br>2779|<br>2774|
|5-9<br>887|1077|<br>1276|1534|<br>1789|2055|2296|2509|<br>2675|<br>2768|
|10-14<br>67?|<br>£..|<br>1078|1276|<br>1532|1784|<br>2050|2291|<br>2504|<br>2669|
|15-19<br>559|<br>684|<br>891|<br>1078|<br>1273|<br>1526|<br>1778|<br>2043|<br>2283|<br>2496|
|20-24<br>540|<br>589|<br>700|<br>898|<br>1077|<br>1265|<br>1517|<br>1768|<br>2032|<br>2273|
|25-29<br>598|<br>563|<br>614|<br>713|<br>900|<br>1069|<br>1256|<br>1507|<br>1757|<br>2020|
|30-34<br>547|<br>634|<br>605|<br>625|<br>715|<br>893|<br>1061|<br>1247|<br>1497|<br>1746|
|35-39<br>399|<br>572|<br>647|<br>611|<br>625|<br>708|<br>885|<br>1052|<br>1237|<br>1486|
|40-44<br>285|<br>413|<br>576|<br>645|<br>606|<br>617|<br>700|<br>874|<br>1040|<br>1225|
|45-49<br>215|<br>289|<br>410|<br>567|<br>633|<br>594|<br>605|<br>687|<br>859|<br>1024|
|50-54<br>165|<br>211|<br>280|<br>396|<br>548|<br>612|<br>575|<br>586|<br>667|<br>836|
|55-59<br>124|<br>156|<br>199|<br>264|<br>374|<br>517|<br>579|<br>545|<br>558|<br>636|
|60-64<br>93|<br>112|<br>141|<br>181|<br>241|<br>342|<br>474|<br>533|<br>503|<br>516|
|65-69<br>63|<br>80|<br>96|<br>122|<br>156|<br>209|<br>298|<br>416|<br>469|<br>445|
|70-74<br>43|<br>49|<br>63|<br>76|<br>97|<br>125|<br>169|<br>242|<br>339|<br>384|
|75+<br>38|<br>45|<br>53|<br>66|<br>83|<br>105|<br>136|<br>183|<br>258|<br>367|
|TOTAL<br>6315|<br>7665|<br>9170|<br>10848|<br>12716|<br>14729|<br>16898|<br>19167|<br>21457|<br>23665|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1045|<br>1239|<br>1487|<br>1731|<br>1987|<br>2219|<br>2424|<br>2582|<br>2671|<br>2666|
|5-9<br>860|<br>1043|<br>1237|<br>1484|<br>1726|<br>1978|<br>?211|<br>2415|<br>2575|<br>2665|
|10-14<br>653|<br>862|<br>1045|<br>1238|<br>1483|<br>1723|<br>1975|<br>2207|<br>2412|<br>2572|
|15-19<br>524|<br>655|<br>863|<br>1045|<br>1236|<br>1479|<br>1719|<br>1971|<br>2203|<br>2408|
|20-24<br>425|<br>530|<br>659|<br>865|<br>1043|<br>1231|<br>1473|<br>1713|<br>1965|<br>2197|
|25-29<br>347|<br>433|<br>536|<br>662|<br>863|<br>1037|<br>1224|<br>1466|<br>1706|<br>1958|
|30-34<br>297|<br>353|<br>437|538|<br>660|<br>857|<br>1030|<br>1218|<br>1459|<br>1698|
|35-39<br>253|<br>299|<br>353|<br>436|<br>535|<br>655|<br>850|<br>1023|<br>1210|<br>1450|
|40-44<br>208|<br>252|<br>298|<br>351|<br>432|<br>528|<br>648|<br>842|<br>1014|<br>1200|
|45-49<br>170|<br>205|<br>249|<br>293|<br>345|<br>425|<br>520|<br>638|<br>832|<br>1002|
|50-54<br>159|<br>165|<br>200|<br>242|<br>286|<br>337|<br>415|<br>509|<br>626|<br>817|
|55-59<br>1ll|<br>133|<br>158|<br>192|<br>233|<br>2W5|<br>325|<br>402|<br>494|<br>609|
|60-64<br>90|<br>103|<br>124|<br>148|<br>IO1|<br>219|<br>260|<br>309|<br>382|472|
|65-69<br>65|<br>80|<br>92|<br>111|<br>133|<br>163|<br>199|<br>238|<br>284|<br>353|
|70-74<br>48|<br>53|<br>65|<br>76|<br>92|<br>112|<br>137|<br>170|<br>205|<br>246|
|75+<br>47|<br>55|<br>63|76|<br>90|<br>111|<br>137|<br>172|<br>217|<br>270|
|TOTAL<br>5280|<br>6462|<br>7865|<br>9487|<br>11325|<br>13348|<br>15548|<br>17875|<br>20253|<br>22585|
|BIRTH RATE|42.3|41.4|39.8|38.1|36.2|33.9|31.4|28.5|25.4|
|DEATH RATE|7.9|6.8|6.0|5.3|5.1|5.0|4.9|4.8|4.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.44|3.45|3.38|3.28|3.10|2.89|2.65|2.37|2.07|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|5.1|2.9|1.6|.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.95|3.75|3.54|3.35|3.10|2.89|2.65|2.37|2.07|
|TOTALFERTILITY|7.180|6.670|6.160|5.650|5.140|4.630|4.120|3.610|3.100|
|NRR|3.107|2.958|2.783|2.592|2.371|2.148|1.922|1.694|1.463|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|63.43|65.28|66.96|68.50|69.25|70.03|70.82|71.62|72.45|
|e(7O)- BOTH SEXES|59.87|60.44|61.14|61.86|62.38|62.91|63.46|64.02|64.60|
|IMR<br>- BOTHSEXES|70.9|58.5|47.8|38.8|35.8|32.8|29.8|26.8|23.9|
|q(5)* BOTH SEXES|.0877|.0698|.0560|.0447|.0413|.0378|.0343|.0308|.0274|
|DEP. RATIO<br>90.5|<br>91.6|<br>90.6|89.2|<br>87.7|84.9|81.3|<br>77.0|<br>71.5|<br>64.8|
99 Projection (000s) with NRR=I by 2045 ...

# SALDI ARABIA

# Summery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUJP|<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>215C|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,....... .........|...............|...........|.........................||..........|........................................|.................||
|TOTAL<br>M+F|11595|<br>20335|<br>41710|<br>62701|<br>77943|<br>83518|<br>84306|<br>84547|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1082|<br>1797|<br>2779|<br>2656|<br>2696|<br>2716|<br>2721|<br>2721|
|5-9|887|1534|<br>2675|<br>2637|<br>2705|<br>2720|<br>2719|<br>2717|
|10-14|677|1276|<br>2504|<br>2740|<br>2732|<br>2723|<br>2716|<br>2714|
|15-19|559|1078|<br>2283|<br>2777|<br>2741|<br>2712|<br>2708|<br>2709|
|20-24|540|898|2032|<br>2745|<br>2707|<br>2689|<br>2699|<br>2705|
|25-29|598|713|1757|<br>2737|<br>2630|<br>2673|<br>2695|<br>2701|
|30-34|547|625|1497|<br>2631|<br>2607|<br>2679|<br>2697|<br>2696|
|35-39|399|611|1237|<br>2452|<br>2702|<br>2699|<br>2693|<br>2687|
|40-44|285|645|1040|<br>2223|<br>2727|<br>2698|<br>2673|<br>2670|
|45-49|215|567|859|1959|<br>2676|<br>2646|<br>2634|<br>2645|
|50-54|165|<br>396|667|<br>1662|<br>2626|<br>2535|<br>2582|<br>2605|
|55-59|124|<br>264|558|<br>1366|<br>2446|<br>2441|<br>2517|<br>2536|
|60-64|93|181|<br>503|<br>1060|<br>2157|<br>2400|<br>2410|<br>2408|
|65-69|63|122|<br>469|<br>802|1779|<br>2213|<br>2207|<br>2191|
|70-74|43|76|339|558|1338|<br>1865|<br>1865|<br>1862|
|75+|38|66|258|<br>585|1516|<br>2726|<br>2884|<br>2955|
|TOTAL|6315|<br>10848|<br>21457|<br>31588|<br>38784|<br>41136|<br>41419|<br>41522|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1045|<br>1731|<br>2671|<br>2553|<br>2588|<br>2604|<br>2608|<br>2607|
|5-9|860|<br>1484|<br>2575|<br>2537|<br>2601|<br>2612|<br>2610|<br>2607|
|10-14|653|<br>1238|<br>2412|<br>2639|<br>2629|<br>2617|<br>2608|<br>2606|
|15-19|524|1045|<br>2203|<br>2679|<br>2643|<br>2610|<br>2603|<br>2604|
|20-24|425|865|1965|<br>2654|<br>2616|<br>2594|<br>2600|<br>2604|
|25-29|347|662|1706|<br>2652|<br>2548|<br>2585|<br>2602|<br>2606|
|30-34|297|<br>538|1459|<br>2555|<br>2532|<br>2597|<br>2609|<br>2607|
|35-39|253|<br>436|<br>1210|<br>2386|<br>2631|<br>2624|<br>2613|<br>2605|
|40-44|208|'351|1014|<br>2170|<br>2665|<br>26S3|<br>2603|<br>2597|
|45-49|170|<br>293|832|<br>1922|<br>2630|<br>2599|<br>2581|<br>2588|
|50-54|139|<br>242|<br>626|<br>1650|<br>2608|<br>2516|<br>2559|<br>2577|
|55-59|111|<br>192|494|1384|<br>2479|<br>2473|<br>2546|<br>2561|
|60-64|90|148|<br>382|<br>1112|<br>2260|<br>2519|<br>2527|<br>2521|
|65-69|65|111|284|<br>879|1964|<br>2454|<br>2447|<br>2427|
|70-74|48|76|205|<br>646|1591|<br>2238|<br>2244|<br>2239|
|75+|47|<br>76|<br>217|<br>695|<br>2176|<br>4106|<br>4526|<br>4668|
|TOTAL|528,|0<br>9487|<br>20253|<br>31113|<br>39159|<br>42382|<br>42886|<br>43025|
|BIRTH RATE||41.0|32.9|20.7|15.2|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||6.8|5.0|4.7|6.6|10.4|12.4|12.6|
|'AET<br>MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|3.0|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|rSROWTH<br>RAT|E|3.75|2.87|1.63|.87|.28|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|6.603|4.444|2.464|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|e(0)- BOT|H<br>SEXES|65.44|70.26|74.34|77.28|78.14|78.73|78.88|
|IMR- BOTH<br>S|<br>EXES|57.9|32.4|18.0|8.5|7.4|6.7|6.5|
100

|SYRIAN ARAB R|EP.|||Proje|ction<br>(000s)|with<br>NRR-i|**by**2040|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP|1985||1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|......<br>..........|.<br>.<br>.|.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTALM+F|10458||12558|15075|17958|21223|24813|28659|32625|36523|40329|
|MALES||||||||||||
|0-4|1028||1253|1463|1646|1842|2028|2187|2281|2286|2289|
|5-9|846||1009|1237|1450|1637|1832|201|2178|2273|2278|
|10-14|680||838|1002|1232|<br>1446|<br>1632|<br>1828|<br>2014|<br>2173|<br>2268|
|15-19|562||672|831|996|<br>1227|<br>1440|<br>1627|<br>1822|<br>2008|<br>2167|
|20-24|521||549|661|822|989|1219|1432|1618|1813|1999|
|25-29|407||504|536|651|814|982|1211|1423|1609|1803|
|30-34|292||393|492|527|644|808|975|1203|1414|1600|
|35-39|213||281|383|484|521|638|801|967|1194|1405|
|<br>40-44|<br>161||<br>204|<br>272|<br>375|<br>477|<br>514|<br>631|<br>792|<br>956|1182|
|45-49|139||153|197|265|367|467|504|619|778|941|
|50-54|129||132|146|189|256|355|453|490|602|758|
|55-59|110||120|123|138|179|242|337|431|467|576|
|60-64|82||99|108|112|126|164|223|311|399|434|
|65-69|55||70|84|93|97|110|144|197|275|354|
|70-74|38||43|55|67|75|79|89|117|161|227|
|75+|45||46|50|61|75|88|98|111|138|184|
|TOTAL|5306||6365|7641|9107|10771|12600|14558|16574|18547|20465|
|FEMALES||||||||||||
|0-4|997||1197|1396|1568|1752|1930|2081|2170|2175|2178|
|5-9|813||981|1185|1386|1562|1746|1924|2075|2165|2170|
|10-14|667||806|976|1181|1383|1559|1744|1921|2073|2163|
|15-19|532||660|801|971|1177|1380|1556|1740|1918|2070|
|20-24|486||522|651|794|967|1173|1376|1551|1736|1914|
|25-29|369||475|512|644|789|962|1168|1370|1546|1731|
|30-34|279||360|466|506|539|784|956|1162|1364|1540|
|35-39|210||272|352|459|501|634|778|950|1155|1357|
|40-44|172||204|266|347|454|496|628|771|943|1147|
|45-49|153||167|199|260|341|447|489|620|762|933|
|50-54|135||147|161|193|254|333|437|479|608|749|
|55-59|109||128|141|155|186|244|322|423|465|592|
|60-64|79||101|119|132|145|176|232|306|404|446|
|65-69|57||70|90|107|119|132|161|213|283|375|
|70-74|42||47|58|75|91|101|114|139|186|248|
|75.|53||56|61|73|93|116|137|159|193|249|
|TOTAL|5152||6194|7434|8851|10452|12213|14100|16052|17976|19864|
|BIRTHRATE|||45.2|43.4|40.4|37.8|35.4|32.8|29.7|26.4|23.7|
|OEATH RATE|||7.0|5.8|4.9|4.3|4.1|3.9|3.8|3.8|3.9|
|RATEOFNAT|.INC.||3.82|3.75|3.55|3.35|3.13|2.88|2.59|2.26|1.98|
|NETMIGRATI|ONRATE||-1.6|-1.0|-. 5|-. 1|.0|,0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTHRATE|||3.66|3.65|3.50|3.34|3.13|2.88|2.59|2.26|1.98|
|TOTAL FERTIL|ITY|6|.760|6.250|5.740|5.230|4.720|4.210|3.700|3.190|2.816|
|NRR||2|.983|2.820|2.633|2.429|2.?21|1.971|1.739|1.505|1.334|
|e(0)<br>B<br>BOTH|SEXES|6|5.02|66.97|68.72|70.25|70.89|71.55|72.21|72.90|73.59|
|**et1O) -** BOT|HSEXES|5|9.65|60.64|61.65|62.61|63.10|63.60|64.12|64.65|65.19|
|IHR- BOTHS|EXES||48.0|38.9|31.4|25.5|23.8|22.1|20.4|18.7|16.9|
|q(5)-<br>BOTH|SEXES||0621|0485|0382|0304|0283|0262|.0241|.0219|.0198|
|<br> <br>OEP. RATIO|<br>103.5|<br>|<br>104.5|.<br> <br>103.2|.<br> <br>99.1|.<br> <br>92.0|.<br> <br>84.4|.<br> <br>77.6|<br> <br>71.3|<br> <br>64.9|<br>59.1|
101 SYRIAN ARAB REP. ProJection (000s) with NRR=i by 2040 Sumrry for 25 Year Pe*iods

|.............................................<br>AGE GROUP|1985|<br>2000|.....<br> <br>2025|.................................................<br> <br>2050|.........................<br> <br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>215G|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...<br>**..**<br>. ...|..............**...........**..........|..........||....<br>......<br>|...............|...............................||.|
|TOTAL<br>M"F|10458|<br>17958|<br>36523|<br>53462|<br>64718|<br>68121|<br>68616|<br>68759|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1028|<br>1646|<br>2286|<br>2232|<br>2209|<br>2215|<br>2220|<br>2221|
|5-9|846|1450|<br>2273|<br>2163|<br>2196|<br>2214|<br>2219|<br>2219|
|10-14|680|1232|<br>2173|<br>2143|<br>2205|<br>2220|<br>2219|<br>2218|
|15-19|562|996|2008|<br>2229|<br>2229|<br>2222|<br>2216|<br>2214|
|20-24|521|822|!513|2267|<br>2238|<br>2211|<br>2207|<br>2208|
|25-29|407|651|1609|<br>2253|<br>2212|<br>2191|<br>2198|<br>2204|
|30-34|292|527|1414|<br>2237|<br>2141|<br>2176|<br>2195|<br>2201|
|35-39|213|U84|<br>1194|<br>2131|<br>2115|<br>2179|<br>2196|<br>2196|
|40-44|161|<br>375|956|1958|<br>2192|<br>2195|<br>2191|<br>2185|
|45-49|139|<br>265|778|1751|<br>2212|<br>2189|<br>2166|<br>2163|
|50-54|129|<br>189|602|1526|<br>2166|<br>2133|<br>2117|<br>2126|
|55-59|110|<br>138|467|1295|<br>2086|<br>2006|<br>2045|<br>2065|
|60-64|82|112|399|1028|<br>1881|<br>1882|<br>1947|<br>1964|
|65-69|55|93|275|744|1575|<br>1783|<br>1797|<br>1797|
|70-74|38|67|161|<br>512|1206|<br>1547|<br>1545|<br>1533|
|75+|45|61|138|<br>506|1430|<br>2321|<br>2390|<br>2418|
|TOTAL|5306|<br>9107|18547|<br>26977|<br>32292|<br>33684|<br>33866|<br>33930|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|997|1568|<br>2175|<br>2124|<br>2100|<br>2103|<br>2107|<br>2109|
|5-9|813|1386|<br>2165|<br>2061|<br>2091|<br>2105|<br>2109|<br>2109|
|10-14|667|1181|<br>2073|<br>2044|<br>2101|<br>2113|<br>2111|<br>2109|
|15-19|532|971|1918|<br>2129|<br>2127|<br>2118|<br>2110|<br>2108|
|20-24|486|794|1736|<br>2169|<br>2140|<br>2112|<br>2106|<br>2106|
|25-29|369|644|1546|<br>2162|<br>2121|<br>2098|<br>0102|<br>2106|
|30-34|279|506|1364|<br>2151|<br>2057|<br>2088|<br>2103|<br>2108|
|35-39|210|459|1155|<br>2053|<br>2038|<br>2397|<br>2110|<br>2108|
|40-44|12|347|943|1893|<br>2119|<br>2120|<br>2112|<br>2105|
|45-49|153|260|762|1702|<br>2152|<br>2127|<br>2102|<br>2096|
|50-54|135|<br>193|608|1500|<br>2129|<br>2096|<br>2077|<br>2082|
|55-59|109|155|465|1300|<br>2092|<br>2012|<br>2048|<br>2065|
|60-64|79|132|404|1068|<br>1953|<br>1955|<br>2021|<br>2036|
|65-69|57|107|283|825|1724|<br>1957|<br>1973|<br>1970|
|70-74|42|75|186|<br>601|1423|<br>1840|<br>184t|1826|
|75*|53|73|i93|<br>703|2060|<br>3495|<br>3717|<br>3786|
|TOTAL|5152|8851|17976|<br>26485|<br>32426|<br>34436|<br>34750|<br>34829|
|BIRTH RATE||42.7|31.6|19.4|14.6|13.0|12.7|12.?|
|DEATII RATE||5.8|4.0|4.4|7.1|11.0|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-1.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|3.60|2.84|1.52|.76|.20|.03|.01|
|TOlAL<br>FERT|ILITY|6.180|4.033|2.306|2.072|2.070|2.069|2.069|
|eCO)- BOT|H SEXES|67.13|71.74|75.16|77.61|78.31|78.79|78.91|
|<br>INR*BOTH S|EXES|38.8|21.9|13.6|8.0|7.2|6.6|6.4|

<!-- Start of picture text --> .................. .... ...<br><!-- End of picture text -->
102

|UNITED ARAB EMIRATES<br>.............................................................................|............................|Proj<br>........................|ection(000s)<br>|<br>with NRR|-1 b|y 2020|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005||2010|2015|<br>2020|202|5<br>2030|
|.............................................................................|.............................|........................|||||||||
|TOTAL M.F<br>1350|1592|<br>1792|<br>1979|2149||2310|2442|<br>2538|261|3<br>2679|
|4ALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>86|86|92|101|109||111|106|<br>98|98|<br>103|
|5-9<br>76|90|88|93|100||109|111|<br>106|98|<br>98|
|10-14<br>55|78|91|89|93||100|109|<br>111|106|<br>97|
|15-19<br>53|58|79|91|89||93|100|<br>109|111|<br>106|
|20-24<br>66|63|63|81|91||88|92|100|108|<br>110|
|25-29<br>118|81|70|66|81||90|88|92|99|<br>108|
|30-34<br>158|130|86|72|65||80|90|87|91|<br>99|
|35-39<br>121|i66|<br>134|88|72||65|80|89|87|<br>91|
|<br> <br>40.44<br>78|<br>126|<br> <br>167|<br>134|<br>87||<br>71|<br>64|<br>79|<br>89|<br><br> <br>86|
|45-49<br>50|80|125|165|132||86|70|<br>64|78|<br>88|
|50-54<br>28|50|78|122|161||128|84|69|62|<br>77|
|55-59<br>16|27|48|75|117||154|123|<br>80|66|<br>60|
|60-64<br>8|15|25|44|69||109|144|<br>115|75|<br>62|
|65-69<br>5|7|13|22|39||62|97|129|103|<br>68|
|70-74<br>3|4|6|11|18||32|51|81|107|<br>86|
|75+<br>3|4|5|6|11||19|33|54|86|<br>123|
|TOTAL<br>923|1065|1170|1260|1334||1399|1443|<br>1462|1465|<br>1461|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>82|83|88|96|105||107|102|<br>94|94|<br>99|
|5-9<br>71|86|85|89|96||105|107|<br>102|94|<br>94|
|10-14<br>49|73|87|e6|89||96|104|<br>107|101|<br>94|
|15-19<br>33|51|74|88|86||89|96|104|106|<br>101|
|20-2.<br>30|36|53|75|88||85|89|96|104|<br>106|
|25-29<br>38|34|39|54|75||87|85|89|96|<br>104|
|30-34<br>39|41|36|39|54||75|87|85|89|<br>96|
|35-39<br>26|41|42|36|39||54|75|87|85|<br>89|
|40-44<br>18|27|41|42|36||39|53|74|87|<br>85|
|45-49<br>11|18|27|41|42||36|39|53|74|<br>86|
|50-54<br>8|11|18|27|40||41|'5|<br>38|52|<br>73|
|55-59<br>7|8|11|18|26||39|40|34|38|<br>51|
|60-64<br>4|7|8|10|17||25|38|39|33|<br>36|
|65-69<br>4|4|6|7|10||16|23|36|36|<br>31|
|70-74<br>2|3|3|5|6||8|14|21|32|<br>33|
|75.<br>3|3|4|5|7||8|11|17|26|<br>41|
|TOTAL<br>427|527|622|719|815||911|999|1076|1147|<br>1218|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|23.0|21.5|21.2|21.1||19.9|17.7|15.6|15.1|15.4|
|DEATH RATE|3.7|3.7|4.0|4.5||5.5|6.6|<br>7.9|<br>9.2|10.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|1.93|1.78|1.72|1.65||1.44|1.11|.77|.58|.50|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>|13.6|5.9|2.7|.0||.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>|3.29|2.37|1.98|1.65||1.44|1.11|.77|.58|.50|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>4|.820|4.365|3.910<br>3|.455|2|.976<br>2|.563|2.208<br>|2.080|2.077|
|NRR<br>2|.252|2.060|1.859<br>1|.651|1|.424<br>1|.229|1.060<br>|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) BOTH SEXES<br>7|0.72|72.04|73.15<br>7|4.11|7|4.49<br>7|4.87|75.26<br>|7',.65|76.05|
|e(IO)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|3.14|64.01|64.76<br>6|5.46|6|5.77<br>6|6.09|66.41<br>6|6.74|67.07|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|26.0|21.2|17.5|14.7||14.0|13.2|12.5|11.8|11.0|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0310|.0249|.0202<br>.|0168|.|0159<br>|0150|.0142<br>|0133|.0124|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>48.3|48.7|<br>46.5|<br> <br>44.6|<br>46.7|<br>|<br> <br>50.4|<br>55.|<br> <br>2<br>60.2|<br>60.|2<br>56.4|
103

# UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

# Projection (000s) with NRRul by 2020

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROLP<br>1985|2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............................................................................................|............|||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>1350|1979|2613|2947|3162|3188|3198|3202|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>86|101|98|101|103|103|103|103|
|5-9<br>76|93|98|<br>103|<br>103|<br>103|<br>103|<br>103|
|10-14<br>55|89|106|<br>105|<br>103|<br>103|<br>103|<br>103|
|15-19<br>53|91|111|<br>105|<br>103|<br>102|<br>102|<br>103|
|20-24<br>66|81|108|<br>102|<br>101|<br>102|<br>102|<br>102|
|25-29<br>118|<br>66|99|<br>97|<br>100|<br>102|<br>102|<br>102|
|30-34<br>158|<br>72|91|<br>96|<br>102|<br>102|<br>102|<br>102|
|35-39<br>121|<br>88|87|<br>104|<br>104|<br>102|<br>102|<br>102|
|40-44<br>78|134|<br>89|<br>109|<br>104|<br>101|<br>101|<br>101|
|45-49<br>50|165|<br>78|<br>105|<br>100|<br>99|<br>100|<br>100|
|50-54<br>28|122|<br>62|<br>95|<br>93|<br>97|<br>99|<br>99|
|55-59<br>16|75|66|<br>85|<br>90|<br>95|<br>96|<br>96|
|60-64<br>8|44|75|<br>76|<br>93|<br>93|<br>92|<br>91|
|65-69<br>5|22|103|<br>71|<br>88|<br>85|<br>83|<br>83|
|70-74<br>3|11|<br>107|<br>53|<br>74|<br>70|<br>70|<br>71|
|75+<br>3|6|86|<br>78|<br>100|<br>108|<br>112|<br>113|
|TOTAL<br>923|<br>1260|<br>1465|<br>1487|<br>1561|<br>1567|<br>1571|<br>1572|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>82|96|94|<br>97|<br>98|<br>99|<br>99|<br>99|
|5-9<br>71|89|94|<br>99|<br>99|<br>99|<br>99|<br>99|
|10-14<br>49|86|101|101|99|99|98|99|
|15-19<br>33|88|106|<br>101|<br>99|<br>98|<br>98|<br>99|
|20-24<br>30|75|104|<br>99|<br>97|<br>98|<br>98|<br>99|
|25-29<br>38|54|96|<br>93|<br>97|<br>98|<br>99|<br>99|
|30-34<br>39|39|89|<br>93|<br>98|<br>99|<br>99|<br>99|
|35-39<br>26|36|85|<br>101|<br>101|<br>99|<br>99|<br>98|
|40-44<br>18|-42|87|106|101|98|98|98|
|45-49<br>11|<br>41|74|<br>103|<br>98|<br>97|<br>98|<br>98|
|50-54<br>8|27|52|94|92|96|97|98|
|55-59<br>7|18|<br>38|<br>86|<br>91|<br>96|<br>97|<br>97|
|60-64<br>4|10|3'|<br>80|97|97|96|95|
|65-69<br>4|7|<br>36|<br>78|<br>97|<br>94|<br>92|<br>92|
|70-74<br>2|5|<br>32|<br>61|<br>88|<br>84|<br>84|<br>85|
|75+<br>3|5|<br>26|<br>68|<br>148|<br>168|<br>177|<br>179|
|TOTAL<br>427|719|1147|1460|1601|1620|1627|1630|
|BIRTH RATE|21.8|17.7|14.8|13.2|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATHRATE|3.8|6.9|10.0|10.4.|12.4|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|6.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.55|1.11|.48|.28|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTALFERTILITY|4.317|2.584|2.070|2.060|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|72.07|74.92|76.90|78.30|78.67|78.92|78.99|
|INR- BOTHSEXES|21.4|13.3|9.6|7.2|6.7|6.4|6.4|
104 YEMEN ARAB REP. Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2055

|.......<br>..........<br>..<br>. .........<br>ACE_GROUIP_<br>1985|..<br>............<br>1990|.......<br> <br>1995|...............................<br> <br>2000|..........<br> <br>2005|2010|............<br>2015|..............................................<br>2020|............................<br> <br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>7661|9103|10973|<br>13140|<br>15665|18583|21965|<br>25804|<br>30025|<br>34518|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>744|965|1196|<br>1358|<br>1550|1771|2030|<br>2289|<br>2511|<br>2680|
|5-9<br>621|702|918|1147|<br>1314|1504|1724|<br>1982|<br>2241|<br>2465|
|10-14<br>507|611|691|906|1134|1300|1490|<br>1710|<br>1967|<br>2226|
|15-19<br>407|497|600|680|894|1120|1286|<br>1474|<br>1694|<br>1950|
|20-24<br>331|394|484|585|665|876|1100|<br>1265|<br>1453|<br>1672|
|25-29<br>159|317|380|468|569|649|857|1078|<br>1242|<br>1430|
|30-34<br>114|151|304|<br>366|454|553|633|838|1057|<br>1220|
|35-39<br>123|107|143|292|353|439|537|616|818|<br>1034|
|40-44<br>125|115|101|136|<br>279|339|423|520|598|<br>796|
|45-49<br>122|116|108|95|129|265|324|405|499|<br>577|
|50-54<br>115|111|107|99|88|120|249|305|383|<br>474|
|55.59<br>95|102|99|96|90|80|110|229|281|<br>356|
|60-6<br>76|81|87|85|83|78|70|97|203|<br>252|
|65-69<br>54|60|64|70|69|68|65|59|81|<br>172|
|70-74<br>34|38|43|47|52|52|51|49|45|<br>63|
|75+<br>28|31|36|41|46|52|55|57|57|<br>56|
|TOTAL<br>3655|4399|5361|6474|<br>7r70|9268|11003|<br>12971|<br>15131|<br>17423|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>719|941|1162|1318|<br>1502|1715|1964|<br>2214|<br>2427|<br>2589|
|5-9<br>599|678|896|1117|<br>1278|1461|1674|<br>1923|<br>2173|<br>2389|
|10-14<br>490|588|667|883|1105|1266|1448|<br>1661|<br>1909|<br>2160|
|15-19<br>402|478|576|655|870|1090|1250|<br>1432|<br>1645|<br>1894|
|20-24<br>346|<br>389|464|561|640|852|1070|<br>1230|<br>1412|<br>1625|
|25-29<br>244|331|374|449|544|623|832|1048|<br>1208|<br>1390|
|30-34<br>218|232|317|360|434|528|606|813|1026|<br>1186|
|35-39<br>206|207|221|304|347|419|512|590|794|<br>1005|
|40-44<br>176|194|196|211|292|334|405|497|574|<br>775|
|45-49<br>157|165|183|186|<br>201|279|321|391|481|<br>558|
|50-54<br>133|145|154|172|<br>175|190|265|306|374|<br>462|
|55-59<br>103|120|132|141|<br>158|162|177|248|288|<br>354|
|60-64<br>81|89|105|116|125|142|147|<br>161|<br>227|<br>266|
|65-69<br>60|65|73|87|98|106|121|127|141|<br>200|
|70-74<br>40|44|49|55|67|76|84|97|103|<br>115|
|75+<br>33<br> <br>|38<br>|43<br>|50<br>|58<br> <br>|70<br>|84<br>|97<br> <br>|114<br>|<br>128|
|TOTAL<br>4006|4704|5612|6666|<br>7895|9315|10961|<br>12833|<br>14894|<br>17095|
|BIRTH RATE|53.9|54.5|50.4|47.1|46.9|43.1|40.9|38.1|34.8|
|OEATH<br>RATE|19.1|16.9|14.2|11.9|10.7|9.7|8.7|7.8|6.9|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|3.48|3.76|3.62|3.52|3.42|3.34|3.22|3.03|2.79|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.. 4|-. 3|-. 2|-.1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.45|3.74|3.60|3.51|3.42|3.34|3.22|3.03|2.79|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|8.000|8.000|7.490|6.980<br>|6.470|5.960|5.450|4.940|4.430|
|NRR|2.746|2.891|2.828|2.743<br>|2.592|2.434|2.270|2.098|1.918|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|47.00|49.58|52.17|54.70<br>|56.20|57.75|59.36|61.04|62.79|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|49.09|50.40|51.67|52.86<br>|53.83|54.84|.5.90|56.99|58.12|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|130.0|115.4|100.5|86.0|79.4|72.8|66.2|59.6|53.0|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1927|.1686|.1446|.1216<br>|.1120|.1024|.0927|.0829|.0731|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>105.3|<br>109.6|<br>113.7|<br>116.9|<br>111.9|103.3|<br>96.6|<br>90.6|<br>84.7|<br>79.1|
105

**YEMEN ARAB** REP.

# Projection (000S) with NRR-1 by 2055

Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>1985|2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|............................................................|||..............................................|............||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>7661|13140|<br>30025|<br>52660|<br>70787|<br>80816|<br>8S339|<br>84100|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>744|1358|<br>2511|<br>2749|<br>2745|<br>2729|<br>2719|<br>2717|
|5-9<br>621|1147|<br>2241|<br>2798|<br>2756|<br>2715|<br>2709|<br>2712|
|10-14<br>507|906|1967|<br>2786|<br>2716|<br>2691|<br>2702|<br>2710|
|15-19<br>407|680|1694|<br>2731|<br>2614|<br>2673|<br>2701|<br>2709|
|20-24<br>331|585|1453|<br>2594|<br>2588|<br>2682|<br>2705|<br>2706|
|25-29<br>159|468|1242|<br>2396|<br>2698|<br>2711|<br>2705|<br>2697|
|30-34<br>114|366|1057|<br>2147|<br>2742|<br>2718|<br>2688|<br>2685|
|35-39<br>123|292|818|1865|<br>2717|<br>2670|<br>2657|<br>2671|
|40-44<br>125|136|598|1583|<br>2645|<br>2557|<br>2630|<br>2661|
|45-49<br>122|95|499|1333|<br>2485|<br>2510|<br>2620|<br>2647|
|50-54<br>115|99|383|1106|<br>2248|<br>2573|<br>2609|<br>2610|
|55-59<br>95|96|281|895|1937|<br>2530|<br>2540|<br>2521|
|60-64<br>76|85|203|639|1573|<br>2365|<br>2365|<br>2366|
|65-69<br>54|70|81|411|<br>1196|<br>2087|<br>2068|<br>2143|
|70-74<br>34|47|45|281|<br>843|<br>1666|<br>1740|<br>1837|
|75.<br>28|41|57|238|<br>861|2046|<br>2793|<br>2901|
|TOTAL<br>3655|6474|<br>.5131|<br>26553|<br>35365|<br>39924|<br>40953|<br>41296|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>719|1318|<br>2427|<br>2650|<br>2641|<br>2621|<br>2609|<br>2605|
|5-9<br>599|1117|<br>2173|<br>2706|<br>2658|<br>2612|<br>2603|<br>2604|
|10-14<br>490|883|1909|<br>2699|<br>2624|<br>2592|<br>2598|<br>2604|
|15-19<br>402|655|1645|<br>2650|<br>2531|<br>2580|<br>2601|<br>2607|
|20-24<br>346|561|1412|<br>2525|<br>2514|<br>2596|<br>2611|<br>2609|
|25-29<br>244|449|1208|<br>2338|<br>2631|<br>2632|<br>2618|<br>2607|
|30-34<br>218|360|1026|<br>2098|<br>2683|<br>2647|<br>2608|<br>2600|
|35-39<br>206|304|794|<br>1823|<br>2668|<br>2609|<br>2586|<br>2594|
|40-44<br>176|'211|<br>574|1550|<br>2608|<br>2510|<br>2570|<br>2594|
|45-49<br>157|186|<br>481|1311|<br>2466|<br>2481|<br>2578|<br>2596|
|50-54<br>133|172|<br>374|1100|<br>2254|<br>2575|<br>2598|<br>2589|
|55-59<br>103|141|<br>288|906|1979|<br>2587|<br>2584|<br>2554|
|60-64<br>81|116|<br>227|667|<br>1659|<br>2507|<br>2495|<br>2486|
|65-69<br>60|87|141|<br>444|<br>1324|<br>2334|<br>2306|<br>2382|
|70-74<br>40|55|103|<br>320|<br>996|2010|<br>2104|<br>2217|
|75+<br>33|50|114|<br>319|<br>1186|<br>2997|<br>4315|<br>4555|
|TOTAL<br>4006|6666|<br>14894|<br>26107|<br>35422|<br>40892|<br>42385|<br>42804|
|BIRTH RATE|52.7|42.1|27.6|17.4|14.1|13.0|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE|16.4|9.4|5.7|5.7.|8.8|11.8|12.4|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.60|3.31|2.25|1.18|.53|.12|.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|7.805|5.762|3.325|2.117|2.074|2.061|2.060|
|e(O)- BOTH<br>SEXES|49.90|58.33|67.01|73.71|76.25|78.04|78.50|
|**INR**<br>**-** BOTH<br>SEXES|113.9|71.3|39.9|17.6|11.5|7.6|7.0|
106

|YEHEN, PEOPLE'S DEM. RE<br>...........................................................................................|P. OF<br>........................................|Projection|<br>(000s)wi|th NRRIby|2035||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010<br>2015|2020<br>2025<br>2030|
|TOTAL +PF<br>2137|2.490|2899|3338|3809|4313<br>48/.5<br>.|<br>387<br>5915<br>6408|
|MALES|||||||
|0-4<br>191|240|272|293|314|334<br>352|362<br>359<br>345|
|5*9<br>147|181|229|261|283|305<br>325|344<br>354<br>353|
|10-14<br>139|145|178|226|258|280<br>302|322<br>342<br>352|
|15-19<br>118|136|142|175|222|254<br>277|299<br>319<br>339<br> <br>|
|20-24<br>100|113|132|138|170|217<br>249|272<br>294<br>315|
|25-29<br>66|94|108|12?|133|165<br>211|244<br>267<br>289|
|30-34<br>so|61|89|103|122|128<br>160|206<br>239<br>262|
|35-39<br>46|46|57|85|98|117<br>124|<br>156<br>201<br>234|
|40-44<br>38|43|43|54|81|94<br>112|<br>119<br>151<br>196|
|45-49<br>38|35|40|40|51|77<br>90|108<br>115<br>146|
|50-54<br>30|35|33|37|37|47<br>72|84<br>102<br>109|
|55-59<br>25|27|32|29|33|34<br>43|66<br>78<br>95|
|60-64<br>19|21|24|27|25|29<br>30|38<br>59<br>70|
|65-69<br>13|1S|17|19|22|21<br>24|25<br>32<br>50|
|70-74<br>8|9|11|13|14|17<br>16|18<br>19<br>25|
|75+<br>6|7|9|10|12|14<br>17|17<br>20<br>22|
|TOTAL<br>1035|1209|1415|1637|1877|2133<br>2404|<br>2681<br>2950<br>3201|
|FEMALES|||||||
|0*4<br>192|233|264|284|304|323<br>341|350<br>347<br>334|
|5-9<br>150<br>|182<br>|223<br>|254<br>|276<br>|296<br>316<br> <br>|334<br>344<br>342<br> <br> <br>|
|10-14<br>141|147|179|220|251|273<br>293<br> <br>|313<br>332<br>342<br> <br> <br>|
|15-19<br>119|139|144|176|216|248<br>270|290<br>310<br>329|
|20-24<br>103|116|135|141|172|212<br>243|265<br>286<br>307<br>|
|25-29<br>74|99|112|131|136|167<br>207|238<br>261<br>282|
|30-34<br>61|71|96|108|127|132<br>163|<br>203<br>234<br>257|
|35-39<br>57|59|69|92|104|123<br>129|<br>159<br>198<br>230|
|40-44<br>49|55|56|66|89|101<br>119|<br>125<br>155<br>194|
|45-49<br>41|47|52|54|63|85<br>97|115<br>121<br>151|
|50-54<br>34|38|44|49|51|60<br>81|93<br>110<br>117|
|55-59<br>26|31|36|41|46|47<br>56|76<br>88<br>105|
|60-64<br>21|24|28|32|36|41<br>43|51<br>70<br>81|
|65-69<br>15|18|20|24|27|31<br>35|37<br>45<br>62|
|70-74<br>10|12|14|16|18|21<br>25|29<br>30<br>37|
|75+<br>8<br> <br>|10<br>|12<br>|15<br>|17<br>|20<br>24<br> <br>|28<br>34<br>38<br> <br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>1102|1280|1484|1701|1933|2180<br>2441|2706<br>2965<br>3207|
|BIRTHRATE|47.9|45.7<br>4|1.8<br>|38.3<br>|35.5<br>33.0|30.0<br>26.7<br>23.4|
|DEATH RATE|15.5|14.2<br>|12.6<br>|11.2<br>|10.2<br>9.4|8.6<br>7.9<br>7.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.24|3.15<br>|2.92<br>|2.71<br>|2.53<br>2.36|2.14<br>1.88<br>1.60|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-1.8|-1.1<br>|-1.0|-. 7|-. 5<br>-. 3|-. 2<br>-. 1<br>.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.05|3.04<br>|2.82<br>|2.64<br>|2.48<br>2.33|2.12<br>1.87<br>1.60|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.660|6.150<br>5|.640<br>5|.130<br>4|.620<br>4.110|3.600<br>3.118<br>2.700|
|NRR|2.429|2.318<br>2|.189<br>2|.050<br>1|.881.<br>1.705|1.521<br>1.342<br>1.182|
|e(0) * 8OTH SEXES|50.88|52.50<br>5|4.09<br>5|5.66<br>5|7.12<br>58.63|60.19<br>61.82<br>63.51|
|e(10)-<br>BOTH SEXES|52.60|53.08<br>5|3.33<br>5|3.48<br>5|4.44<br>55.42|56.45<br>57.51<br>58.61|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|120.0|108.6<br>|95.6<br>|82.1<br>|75.8<br>69.5|63.2<br>56.9<br>50.6|
|q(5)<br>BOTH SEXES<br>DEP. RAT;O<br>91.6|.1761<br>93.0|.1576<br>.1<br>97.0|368<br>.1<br>95.8|155<br>.<br>89.2|1064<br>.0972<br>81.3<br>74.5|.0879<br>.0787<br>.0693<br>68.0<br>61.7<br>56.0|
107 YEMEN, PEOPLE'S DEN. REP. OF Projection (000s) with NRRuI by 2035 Summery for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGR0JP<br>1985<br>. ..................<br>......|<br>2000<br>...........|<br>2025<br>..........................|<br>2050|<br>2075<br>.................................|<br>2100<br>.................|<br>2125|<br>2150<br>. .........**.**.................|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N.F<br>2137|<br>3338|<br>5915|<br>8154|<br>9664|<br>10183|<br>10379|<br>10460|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>191|<br>293|<br>359|<br>344|<br>338|337|337|338|
|5-9<br>147|<br>261|<br>354|<br>339|<br>335|<br>336|<br>337|<br>338|
|10-14<br>139|<br>226|<br>342|<br>326|<br>332|<br>336|<br>337|<br>337|
|15-19<br>118|175|319|320|333|336|337|337|
|20-24<br>100|138|<br>294|<br>335|<br>335|<br>336|<br>336|<br>336|
|25-29<br>66|127|<br>267|<br>343|<br>338|<br>334|<br>334|<br>335|
|30-34<br>50|103|239|340|333|330|332|334|
|35-39<br>46|85|201|<br>324|<br>318|<br>326|<br>331|<br>333|
|40-44<br>38|54|151|299|310|325|331|332|
|45-49<br>38|40|115|<br>270|<br>321|<br>325|<br>329|<br>329|
|50-54<br>30|37|102|238|322|323|322|323|
|55-59<br>25|29|78|<br>203|<br>307|<br>307|<br>309|<br>312|
|60-64<br>19|27|59|158|274|277|289|295|
|65-69<br>13|<br>19|32|104|<br>227|<br>245|<br>263|<br>270|
|70-74<br>8|13|19|<br>65|171|<br>216|<br>226|<br>231|
|75+<br>6|10|20|66|<br>193|<br>318|<br>346|<br>358|
|TOTAL<br>1035|1637|2950|4074|4788|5008|5096|5136|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>192|<br>284|<br>347|<br>332|<br>326|<br>324|<br>324|<br>324|
|5-9<br>150|<br>254|<br>344|<br>328|<br>323|<br>323|<br>324|<br>324|
|10-14<br>141|220|332|316|321|323|324|324|
|15-19<br>119|<br>176|<br>310|<br>310|<br>322|<br>325|<br>324|<br>324|
|20-24<br>103|141|286|326|326|326|324|324|
|25-29<br>74|131|261|335|330|325|323|323|
|30-34<br>61|<br>108|<br>234|<br>333|<br>326|<br>322|<br>323|<br>323|
|35-39<br>57|92|198|318|313|319|323|324|
|40-44<br>49|66|155|294|306|320|323|323|
|45-49<br>41|54|121|268|319|322|323|322|
|50-54<br>34|49|110|240|324|323|321|320|
|55-59<br>26|41|88|209|315|314|314|316|
|60-64<br>21|32|70|168|291|295|305|310|
|65-69<br>15|24|45|121|253|275|294|300|
|70-74<br>10|16|30|82|206|261|274|278|
|75+<br>8|15|34|98|276|479|540|564|
|TOTAL<br>1102|1701|2965|4080|4876|5175|5283|5324|
|BIRTH RATE|44.8|32.1|19.6|14.9|13.4|13.0|12.8|
|DEATH RATE|13.9|9.3|7.0|8.2|11.3|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.3|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.97|2.29|1.28|.68|.21|.08|.03|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.093|3.971|2.295|2.090|2.072|2.061|2.060|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|52.65|59.03|67.41|74.00|76.39|78.09|78.54|
|<br>IHR- BOTH SEXES|107.4|69.2|38.0|16.8|11.1|7.5|6.9|
# EMN DEPARTMENT IV
110

|CYPRUS<br>......................................................................................||Projec|tion|<br>(000s)w|ith**NRRa1**by|1995|................................|............||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995||2000|2005|2010|2015|2020<br>2025|2030|
|...<br>..<br>**.**..<br>**.**.<br>...<br>.<br>.|...<br>..<br>...|..<br>...<br>..<br>..|...|<br>..<br>...<br>..|....................................|||...|..<br>...<br>..<br>..|
|TOTAL M.F<br>665|698|m2||751|775|80|824|844<br>859|870|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>33|32|29||28|28|29|30|30<br>29|29|
|5-9<br>27|33|32||29|28|28|29|30<br>30|29|
|10-14<br>26|27|33||32|29|27|28|29<br>30|30|
|15-19<br>28|26|27||33|32|29|27|28<br>29|30|
|20-24<br>32|28|26||27|33|32|29|27<br>28|<br>29|
|25-29<br>30|32|28||26|27|33|32|29<br>27|<br>28|
|30-34<br>24|30|31||27|26|27|32|31<br>29|27|
|35-39<br>24|24|29||31|27|25|26|32<br>31|28|
|40-44<br>19|24|24||29|31|27|25|26<br>32|31|
|45-49<br>18|19|23||23|29|31|27|25<br>26|32|
|50-54<br>14|18|18||23|23|28|30|26<br>25|26|
|55-59<br>13|13|17||18|22|22|28|29<br>26|24|
|60-64<br>12|12|13||16|17|21|21|26<br>28|24|
|65-69<br>11|11|1||11|14|15|19|19<br>24|25|
|70-74<br>10|9|9||9|10|12|13|16<br>16|<br>20|
|75.<br>12|13|14||14|14|14|16|18<br>21|23|
|TOTAL<br>333|349|363||375|388|400|412|422<br>429|434|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>31|30|27||26|26|28|28|28<br>27|27|
|5-9<br>25|31|30||27|26|26|28|<br>28<br>28|27|
|10-14<br>25|25|31||30|27|26|26|28<br>28|28|
|15-19<br>26|25|25||31|30|27|26|26<br>28|28|
|20-24<br>30|26|25||25|31|30|27|26<br>26|28|
|25-29<br>28|30|26||25|25|30|30|27<br>26|26|
|30-34<br>25|28|29||26|25|25|30|30<br>27|26|
|35-39<br>24|25|28||29|25|25|25|30<br>30|27|
|40-44<br>20|24|25||27|29|25|24|25<br>30|30|
|45-49<br>18|20|24||24|27|29|25|24<br>24|30|
|50-54<br>16|18|19||23|24|27|29|25<br>24|24|
|55-59<br>15|16|17||19|23|24|27|;9<br>25|24|
|60-64<br>13|14|15||17|19|22|23|26<br>28|24|
|65-69<br>12|12|14||14|16|18|21|22<br>25|27|
|70-74<br>11|11|11||12|13|15|16|19<br>20|23|
|75-<br>16|18|18||19|21|23|**25**|<br>28<br>32|36|
|TOTAL<br>332|349|363||375|388|400|412|422<br>430|436|
|**BIRTM**RATE|18.5|16.0||14.7<br>|14.4|14.5|14.4|13.9<br>13.3|13.0|
|DEATH RATE|8.2|8.0||7.9|7.9|8.1|8.5|9.1<br>9.8|10.6|
|RATEOF NAT.INC.|1.03|.80||.68|.65|.64|.59|.48<br>.36|.24|
|**NET**MIGRATION RATE|-. 6|-. 3||.0|.0|.0|.0|.0<br>.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.97|.77||.68|.65|.64|.59|.48<br>.36|.24|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.310|2.144|2.|082<br>2.|079<br>2.|078<br>2|.077|2.076<br>2.075|2.074|
|**NRR**|1.105|1.028|1.|000<br>1.|000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000<br>1.000|1.000|
|e(O)*BOTH SEXES|75.71|76.32|76|.81<br>7|7.23<br>7|7.37<br>7|7.52|77.66<br>77.81|77.96|
|e(10)**-** BOTH SEXES|66.81|67.23|67|.61<br>67|.96<br>6|8.09<br>6|8.22|68.36<br>68.49|68.63|
|**INR**-<br>BOTH SEXES|12.0|10.0||8.8|8.0|7.9|7.7|7.6<br>7.5|7.3|
|q(5)<br>**-**BOTH SEXES|.0134|0111|0|0)7<br>0|088<br>|087<br>|0085|0083<br>0082|0080|
|<br> <br>DEP.RATIO<br>55.7|<br>56.0|.<br>55.2|.|<br>.<br>50.5|<br>.<br>48.1|<br>.<br>48.4|<br>51.3|.<br>.<br>53.6<br>56.5|.<br> <br>59.1|
111 CYPRUS Projection (000s) with NRRIl by 1995 Summary for 25 Year Periods

|................<br>.........................<br>AGE GRCUJP<br>1985<br>..<br>...<br>....<br>v.................................................|.......<br>2000<br>..................................................|2025<br>.................|..........<br>2050|....................<br>2075|..<br>........<br>2100|.<br>................<br>2125|............<br>2150<br>.....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>665|751|859|889|894|896|897|898|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>33|28|29|29|29|29|29|29|
|5-9<br>27|29|30|29|29|29|29|29|
|10-14<br>26|32|30|29|29|29|29|29|
|15-19<br>28|33|29|29|29|29|29|29|
|20-24<br>32|27|28|28|29|29|29|29|
|25-29<br>30|26|27|29|29|29|29|29|
|30-34<br>24|27|29|29|29|29|29|29|
|35-39<br>24|31|31|29|29|29|29|29|
|40-44<br>19|29|_32_|29|28|28|<br>28|28|
|45-49<br>18|23|26|27|28|28|28|28|
|50-54<br>14|23|25|26|28|28|28|28|
|55-59<br>13|18|26|27|28|27|27|27|
|60-64<br>12|16|<br>28|28|26|26|26|26|
|65-69<br>11|11|24|26|23|23|23|23|
|70-74<br>10|9|16|18|19|20|20|20|
|75+<br>12|14|21|29|31|32|32|32|
|TOTAL<br>333|375|429|"41|442|443|443|443|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>31|26|27|28|28|27|27|27|
|5-9<br>25|27|28|28|28|27|27|27|
|10-14<br>25|30|28|28|27|27|27|27|
|15-19<br>26|31|28|27|27|27|27|27|
|20-24<br>30|25|26|27|27|27|27|27|
|25-29<br>28|25|26|27|28|28|27|27|
|30-34<br>25|26|27|28|28|27|27|27|
|35-39<br>24|29|30|28|27|27|27|27|
|40-44<br>20|27|30|27|27|27|27|27|
|45-49<br>18|24|24|26|27|27|27|27|
|50-54<br>16|23|24|26|27|27|27|27|
|55-59<br>15|19|25|27|27|27|27|27|
|60-64<br>13|17|28|29|27|27|26|26|
|65-69<br>12|14|25|28|26|25|25|26|
|70-74<br>11|12|20|21|23|23|24|24|
|75+<br>16|19|32|43|48|50|50|50|
|TOTAL<br>332|375|430|448|452|454|454|455|
|BIRTH RATE|16.4|14.1|12.9|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|8.0|8.7|11.6|12.5-|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 3|.0|.0|co|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.81|.54|.14|.02|.01|.00|.00|
|TOAL FERTILITY|2.190|2.077|2.072|2.069|2.069|2.068|2.068|
|etO)- BOTH SEXES|76.30|77.53|78.26|78.77|78.91|79.01|79.03|
|<br>IHR- BOTH SEXES|10.3|7.7|7.1|6.6|6.4|6.3|6.3|
112 HLJGARY Projection (OOOs) with NRR-1 by 2030

|.....................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|......................................<br>1990|.......................<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTALN+F<br>10657|<br>10543|<br>10460|<br>10409|<br>10353|<br>10283|<br>10196|<br>10101|<br>10006|<br>9917|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>310|309|315|320|328|<br>320|<br>309|304|<br>308|<br>316|
|5-9<br>430|309|308|314|320|<br>327|<br>319|308|<br>304|<br>308|
|10-14<br>406|429|308|307|314|<br>319|<br>327|319|<br>308|<br>303|
|15-19<br>365|<br>404|427|307|306|<br>313|<br>318|326|318|<br>307|
|20-24<br>330|<br>361|<br>400|<br>423|<br>304|<br>304|<br>311|<br>316|<br>324|<br>317|
|25-29<br>397|<br>325|<br>356|<br>395|<br>419|<br>302|<br>302|<br>309|<br>314|<br>322|
|30-34<br>452|<br>391|<br>321|<br>352|<br>391|<br>415|<br>299|<br>299|<br>306|<br>312|
|35-39<br>385|<br>444|<br>385|<br>316|<br>348|<br>387|<br>411|<br>296|<br>297|<br>304|
|40-44<br>351|<br>376|<br>435|<br>378|<br>311|<br>343|<br>382|<br>406|<br>293|<br>294|
|45-49<br>308|<br>340|<br>365|<br>423|<br>368|<br>304|<br>335|<br>374|<br>398|<br>288|
|50-54<br>314|294|325|351|408|<br>355|<br>294|<br>325|<br>363|<br>387|
|55-59<br>309|292|275|305|330|<br>385|<br>337|279|<br>309|<br>346|
|60-64<br>282|<br>277|<br>264|<br>249|<br>278|<br>302|<br>353|<br>310|<br>258|<br>286|
|65-69<br>154|239|237|227|215|<br>241|<br>263|309|273|<br>228|
|70-74<br>170|<br>120|<br>188|<br>187|<br>180|<br>172|<br>194|<br>213|<br>252|<br>224|
|75+<br>210|<br>207|<br>174|<br>208|<br>225|<br>230|<br>229|<br>247|<br>271|<br>314|
|TOTAL<br>5172|5117|5081|5062|<br>5045|<br>5019|<br>4983|4941|<br>4896|<br>4856|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>298|<br>292|<br>298|<br>302|<br>309|<br>302|<br>292|<br>287|<br>291|<br>299|
|5-9<br>409|<br>297|<br>291|<br>297|<br>302|<br>309|<br>302|<br>291|<br>287|<br>291|
|10-14<br>384|<br>408|<br>297|<br>291|<br>297|<br>302|<br>309|<br>301|<br>291|<br>287|
|15-19<br>344|383|407|296|291|<br>296|<br>301|309|301|<br>291|
|20-24<br>312|342|381|406|295|<br>290|<br>296|301|308|<br>301|
|25-29<br>383|<br>310|<br>341|<br>380|<br>405|<br>W9|4<br>289|<br>295|<br>300|<br>308|
|30-34<br>442|<br>380|<br>308|<br>339|<br>378|<br>403|<br>294|<br>289|<br>295|<br>300|
|35-39<br>380|<br>439|<br>378|<br>306|<br>337|<br>377|<br>402|<br>293|<br>288|<br>294|
|40-44<br>356|376|435|375|304|335|<br>374|400|291|<br>286|
|45-49<br>335|351|371|429|370|<br>301|<br>332|371|396|<br>289|
|50-54<br>343|327|343|364|421|364|<br>296|327|366|<br>391|
|55-59<br>350|331|317|333|353|410|<br>355|289|319|<br>358|
|60-64<br>346|331|315|302|317|338|<br>393|341|278|<br>308|
|65-69<br>203|316|304|289|278|<br>294|<br>314|366|319|<br>262|
|70-74<br>240|174|272|262|251|243|<br>258|277|325|<br>285|
|75+<br>362<br> <br>|<br>367<br>|<br>322|<br>376|<br>399|<br>407|<br>408|<br>425|<br>453|<br>512|
|TOTAL<br>5485|5426|5379|5347|<br>5309|<br>5264|<br>5213|5161|<br>5109|<br>5061|
|BIRTH RATE|11.6|11.9|?.1|12.4|12.2|11.9|11.8|12.0|12.5|
|DEATH RATE|13.6|13.3|13.0|13.5|13.6|13.6|13.6|13.9|14.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|-. 20|-. 15|-. 09|-. 10|-. 14|-. 17|-. 19|-. 19|-. 18|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-.22|-.16|-.10|-.11|-.14|-.17|-.19|-.19|-.18|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.750|1.750|1.750|1.807|1.862|1.915|1.967|2.018|2.067|
|NRR|.827|.827|.830|.860|.887|.913|.939|.965|.990|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|70.17|71.00|71.76|72.45|72.94|73.43|73.94|74.45|74.98|
|e(10)<br>- BOTH SEXES|61.67|62.27|62.85|63.40|63.87|64.34|64.82|65.32|65.82|
|IHR - BOTHSEXES|17.0|14.5|12.5|10.9|10.6|10.3|10.0|9.7|9.5|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0196|.0165|.0141|.0121|.0118|.0115|.0111|0108|0105|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.5|<br>49.0|<br>46.3|<br> <br>48.1|<br> <br>49.3|<br> <br>50.8|<br> <br>52.8|<br> <br>56.6|.<br> <br>58.2|.<br> <br>57.7|
113 Projection **(OOOs)** with NRRa1 by 2030

# HUNGARY

Summary for 25 Year Periods

|........................................<br>AGE GROCP|.................................<br>1985|................................<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................|................................|...............................|||||||
|TOTALM+F|10657|<br>10409|<br>10006|<br>9654|<br>9555|9595|<br>9629|<br>9645|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|310|320|308|309|311|312|312|<br>312|
|5-9|430|314|304|309|312|312|312|<br>312|
|10-14|406|<br>307|<br>308|<br>313|<br>312|<br>312|<br>312|<br>312|
|15-19|365|<br>307|<br>318|<br>316|<br>312|<br>311|<br>311|<br>311|
|20-24|330|<br>423|<br>324|<br>314|<br>309|<br>309|<br>310|<br>311|
|25-29|397|<br>395|<br>314|<br>304|<br>306|<br>309|<br>310|<br>310|
|30-34|452|<br>352|<br>306|<br>299|<br>306|<br>309|<br>309|<br>309|
|35-39|385|<br>316|<br>297|<br>302|<br>309|<br>309|<br>308|<br>308|
|40-44|351|<br>378|<br>293|<br>310|<br>311|<br>307|<br>306|<br>307|
|<br>45-49|<br>308|<br> <br> <br>423|<br> <br> <br>398|<br> <br> <br>313|<br> <br> <br>306|<br> <br> <br>302|<br> <br> <br>303|<br><br> <br>304|
|50-54|314|<br>351|<br>363|<br>297|<br>293|<br>296|<br>298|<br>300|
|55-59|309|<br>305|<br>309|<br>280|<br>279|<br>287|<br>290|<br>291|
|60-64|282|<br>249|<br>258|<br>255|<br>267|<br>275|<br>276|<br>276|
|65-69|154|<br>227|<br>273|<br>227|<br>250|<br>253|<br>251|<br>251|
|70-74|170|<br>187|<br>252|<br>261|<br>216|<br>215|<br>213|<br>215|
|**756**|210|<br>208|<br>271|<br>333|<br>320|<br>327|<br>337|<br>341|
|TOTAL|5172|<br>5062|<br>4896|<br>4742|<br>4719|<br>4713|<br>4760|<br>4769|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|298|<br>302|<br>291|<br>293|<br>294|<br>295|<br>295|<br>295|
|5-9|409|<br>297|<br>287|<br>293|<br>295|<br>295|<br>295|<br>295|
|10-14|384|<br>291|<br>291|<br>296|<br>296|<br>295|<br>295|<br>295|
|15-19|344|<br>296|<br>301|<br>300|<br>296|<br>295|<br>295|<br>295|
|20-24|312|<br>406|<br>308|<br>298|<br>294|<br>294|<br>295|<br>295|
|25-29|383|<br>380|<br>300|<br>290|<br>292|<br>294|<br>295|<br>295|
|30-34|442|<br>339|<br>295|<br>286|<br>293|<br>295|<br>295|<br>295|
|35-39|380|<br>306|<br>288|<br>290|<br>296|<br>296|<br>295|<br>295|
|40-44|356|-375|291|299|<br>299|295|<br>294|<br>294|
|45-49|335|<br>429|<br>396|<br>304|<br>296|<br>293|<br>293|<br>293|
|50-54|343|364|366|294|<br>287|289|<br>291|<br>292|
|55-59|350|<br>333|<br>319|<br>284|<br>279|<br>287|<br>289|<br>290|
|60-64|346|<br>302|<br>278|<br>270|<br>277|<br>285|<br>285|<br>285|
|65-69|203|<br>289|<br>319|<br>261|<br>275|<br>278|<br>275|<br>275|
|70-74|240|262|325|323|259|255|<br>254|<br>255|
|75+|362|<br>376|<br>453|<br>530|<br>507|<br>511|<br>528|<br>534|
|TOTAL|5485|<br>5347|<br>5109|<br>4912|<br>4836|<br>4852|<br>4869|<br>4876|
|BIRTH RATE||11.8|12.1|12.5|12.8|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||13.3|13.6|14.0|13.2.|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE||-.16|-.16|-.14|-.04|.02|.01|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|1.732|1.909|2.079|2.076|2.074|2.074|2.073|
|etO) - BOTH|SEXES|70.97|73.43|76.07|78.00|78.51|78.85|78.94|
|<br>INR- BOTH S|EXES|14.7|10.3|8.9|7.7|7.0|6.5|6.4|
114

|POLAND<br>. .................................................................|......................................|Proj<br>..........................|ection<br>(000|s)<br>with NRRa|1 by 1990|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROtJP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTALH+f<br>37203|38343|39294|40240|41184|<br>42115|42959|<br>43670|<br>44257|<br>44663|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1761|1547|1464|<br>1474|1540|1587|<br>1575|<br>1534|<br>1508|<br>1514|
|5.9<br>1655|1752|1541|<br>1458|1469|<br>1536|<br>1583|<br>1571|<br>1531|<br>1506|
|10-14<br>1463|<br>1649|<br>1747|<br>1556|<br>1454|<br>1466|<br>1533|<br>1580|<br>1569|<br>1529|
|15-19<br>1286|<br>1454|<br>1640|<br>1739|<br>1530|<br>1449|<br>1461|<br>1528|<br>1576|<br>1565|
|20-24<br>1415|<br>1272|<br>1440|<br>1626|<br>1725|<br>1519|<br>1439|<br>1452|<br>1520|<br>1569|
|25-29<br>1694|<br>1395|<br>1255|<br>1423|<br>1610|<br>1710|<br>1506|<br>1429|<br>1443|<br>1512|
|30-34<br>1680|<br>1670|<br>1376|<br>1240|<br>1408|<br>1595|<br>1696|<br>1495|<br>1419|<br>1435|
|35-39<br>1376|<br>1653|<br>1646|<br>1358|<br>1225|<br>1393|<br>1579|<br>1681|<br>1483|<br>1410|
|40-44<br>903|<br>1347|<br>1623|<br>1618|<br>1337|<br>1208|<br>1375|*<br>1560|<br>1663|<br>1469|
|45-49<br>1003|<br>877|<br>1312|<br>1583|<br>1582|<br>1309|<br>1184|<br>1350|<br>1534|<br>1637|
|50-54<br>1015|<br>961|<br>842|<br>1264|<br>1529|<br>1530|<br>1268|<br>1149|<br>1312|<br>1494|
|55-59<br>922|951|903|794|<br>1195|<br>1449|<br>1454|<br>1208|<br>1096|<br>1255|
|60-64<br>713|834|863|823|726|1096|<br>1334|<br>1342|<br>1119|<br>1019|
|65-69<br>407|<br>611|<br>717|<br>747|<br>716|<br>634|<br>962|<br>1175|<br>1187|<br>994|
|70-74<br>420|320|483|572|599|577|514|784|963|<br>979|
|75+<br>491|508|451|543|653|729|<br>756|731|919|<br>1149|
|TOTAL<br>18205|18801|<br>19304|<br>19798|20299|<br>20787|<br>21219|<br>21569|<br>21844|<br>22036|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1663|1461|1381|1390|1451|<br>1496|<br>1485|<br>1447|<br>1423|<br>1430|
|5-9<br>1570|1656|1456|<br>1376|1386|<br>1448|<br>1493|<br>1483|<br>1446|<br>1423|
|10-14<br>1390|<br>1566|<br>1653|<br>1453|<br>1374|<br>1384|<br>1447|<br>1492|<br>1482|<br>1445|
|15-19<br>1223|<br>1385|1561|1649|1449|<br>1371|<br>1382|<br>1445|<br>1491|<br>1482|
|20-24<br>1336|<br>1215|<br>1377|<br>1554|<br>1642|<br>1444|<br>1367|<br>1379|<br>1443|<br>1490|
|25-29<br>1612|1325|1206|'368|1546|<br>1635|<br>1439|<br>1363|<br>1376|<br>1441|
|30-34<br>1631|1601|1316|<br>1198|1361|<br>1540|<br>1630|<br>1435|<br>1360|<br>1371.|
|35-39<br>1356|<br>1620|<br>1591|<br>1308|<br>1191|<br>1355|<br>1534|<br>1624|<br>1431|<br>1357|
|40-44<br>917|1344|1608|1580|1300|<br>1184|<br>1347|<br>1527|<br>1618|<br>1426|
|45-49<br>1044|<br>906|<br>1330|<br>1591|<br>1565|<br>1288|<br>1174|<br>1337|<br>1516|<br>1638|
|50-54<br>1076|<br>1025|<br>890|<br>1308|<br>1567|<br>1542|<br>1271|<br>i159|<br>1321|<br>1500|
|55-59<br>1069|<br>1046|<br>997|<br>868|<br>1276|<br>1530|<br>1509|<br>1244|<br>1137|<br>1298|
|60-64<br>933|<br>1021|<br>-1001|956|<br>833|<br>1228|<br>1475|<br>1457|<br>'204|<br>1102|
|65-69<br>568|<br>863|<br>946|<br>930|<br>890|<br>778|<br>1150|<br>1386|<br>i.;|73<br>1138|
|70-74<br>653|<br>495|<br>754|<br>829|<br>817|<br>786|<br>690|<br>1025|<br>121.|1<br>1235|
|75+<br>960|<br>1014|<br>924|<br>1084|<br>1236|<br>1317|<br>1348|<br>1297|<br>1551|<br>1880|
|TOTAL<br>18998|<br>15 42|<br>19990|<br>20442|<br>20885|<br>21328|<br>21740|<br>22101|<br>22413|<br>22627|
|BIRTH RATE|16.3|14.9|14.6|14.9|15.0|14.6|13.9|13.5|13.4|
|DEATH RATE|9.9|9.7|9.6|10.0|10.3|10.5|10.6|10.8|11.6|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|.64|.52|.50|.49|.46|.41|.34|.27|.18|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.3|-.3|-.3|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.60|.49|.48|.46|.45|.40|.33|77|.18|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.200|2.111|2.104|2.099|2.097|2.095|2.092|2.090|2.088|
|NRR|1.039|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|71.41|72.13|72.80|73.40|73.82|74.25|74.68|75.13|75.58|
|e(10)<br>- BOTHSEXES|62.98|63.47|63.94|64.38|64.78|65.18|65.59|66.01|66.44|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES|17.5|14.9|12.9|1:|10.8|10.5|10.2|9.8|9.5|
|(5) *BOTH SEXES|0202|0171|0145|0125|0121|0117|0113|0109|0105|
|q <br>DEP. RATIO<br>53.7|.<br> <br>54.0|.<br> <br>52.4|.<br> <br>49.9|.<br> <br>49.2|.<br> <br>48.|.<br>4<br>51.|.<br>1<br>55.|.<br>1<br>57.|.<br>7<br>57.0|
115 POLAND ProJection (0009) with NRRuI by 1990

# Surmmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGRCJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................||..............|.......................................|........................|||........<br>...........................|
|TOTALM+F<br>37203|40240|44257|45977|467m|47092|47259|47328|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1761|<br>1474|<br>1508|<br>1528|<br>1533|<br>1533|<br>1532|<br>1532|
|5-9<br>1655|<br>1458|<br>1531|<br>1538|<br>1532|<br>1530|<br>1530|<br>1530|
|10-14<br>1463|<br>1536|<br>1569|<br>1542|<br>1528|<br>1527|<br>1528|<br>1529|
|15-19<br>1286|<br>1739|<br>1576|<br>1529|<br>1519|<br>1523|<br>1527|<br>1527|
|20-24<br>1415|<br>1626|<br>1520|<br>1503|<br>1512|<br>1521|<br>1524|<br>1525|
|25-29<br>1694|<br>1423|<br>1443|<br>1491|<br>1514|<br>1520|<br>1521|<br>1521|
|30-34<br>1680|<br>1240|<br>1419|<br>1510|<br>1522|<br>1519|<br>1517|<br>1517|
|35-39<br>1376|<br>1358|<br>1483|<br>1540|<br>1523|<br>1511|<br>1511|<br>1512|
|40-44<br>903|<br>1618|<br>1663|<br>';37|<br>1504|<br>1497|<br>1502|<br>1506|
|45-49<br>1003|<br>1583|<br>1534|<br>l..|1469|<br>1480|<br>1490|<br>1494|
|50-54<br>1015|<br>1264|<br>1312|<br>1370|<br>1lS5|<br>1462|<br>1470|<br>1471|
|55-59<br>922|<br>794|<br>1096|<br>1302|<br>.10|<br>1428|<br>1428|<br>1427|
|60-64<br>713|<br>823|<br>1119|<br>1281|<br>1364|<br>1357|<br>1350|<br>1352|
|65-i9<br>407|<br>747|<br>1187|<br>1299|<br>1243|<br>1226|<br>1226|<br>1232|
|70-74<br>420|<br>572|<br>963|<br>1015|<br>1018|<br>1031|<br>1046|<br>1055|
|75+<br>491|<br>543|<br>919|<br>1260|<br>1506|<br>1624|<br>1667|<br>1679|
|TOTAL<br>18205|<br>19798|<br>21844|<br>22715|<br>23134|<br>23289|<br>23370|<br>23411|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1663|<br>1390|<br>1423|<br>1444|<br>1449|<br>144:|'<br>1447|<br>1446|
|5-9<br>1570|<br>1376|<br>1446|<br>1455|<br>1450|<br>1'.7|<br>1446|<br>1446|
|10-14<br>1390|<br>1453|<br>1482|<br>1460|<br>1448|<br>1445|<br>1445|<br>1446|
|15-19<br>1223|<br>1649|<br>1491|<br>1449|1442|1444|1445|1446|
|20-24<br>1336|1554|1443|1428|1438|1445|1446|1446|
|25-29<br>1612|1368|1376|1U20|<br>1443|1447|1447|1446|
|30-34<br>1631|<br>1198|<br>1360|<br>1442|<br>1453|<br>1449|<br>1V.4|6<br>1445|
|35-39<br>1356|1308|1431|1476|1457|1446|1443|1444|
|40-44<br>917|1580|1618|1481|1444|1438|1441|1442|
|45-49<br>1044|1591|1516|1427|1419|1431|1438|1440|
|50-54<br>1076|<br>1308|<br>1321|<br>1351|<br>1403|<br>1428|<br>1434|<br>1434|
|55-59<br>1069|<br>868|<br>1137|<br>1317|<br>1409|<br>1425|<br>1423|<br>1420|
|60-64<br>933|<br>956|<br>1204|<br>1353|<br>1415|<br>1403|<br>1396|<br>1394|
|65-69<br>568|<br>930|<br>1373|<br>1462|<br>1367|<br>1342|<br>1341|<br>1345|
|70-74<br>653|<br>829|<br>1241|<br>1254|<br>1219|<br>1225|<br>1243|<br>1251|
|75+<br>960|<br>1084|<br>1551|<br>2042|<br>2381|<br>2541|<br>2609|<br>2626|
|TOTAL<br>18998|20442|22413|23Z62|23637|23804|23838|23917|
|BIRTH RATE|15.3|14.4|13.3|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|9.7|10.4|11.8|12.2|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.3|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|_.5e_|.38|.15|.07|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.133|2.095|2.083|2.076|2.075|2.075|2.074|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.13|74.27|76.53|78.15|78.59|78.88|78.95|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|15.2|1a-5|8.8|7.6|6.9|6.5|6.4|
116

# PORTUGAL

Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2030

|..........................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|................................<br>1990|....................<br> <br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|_.. ..<br> <br>2010|_.<br>.......<br>2015|...........<br> <br>2020|................<br> <br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>..<br>........<br>..............|<br>..........................|<br>|<br> <br>..............................|<br> <br>.......................|<br>||<br> <br>...........|<br> <br>....|<br>|
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>10157|<br>10167|<br>10195|<br>10231|<br>10278|<br>10300|<br>10293|<br>10262|<br>10224|<br>10176|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>367|<br>297|<br>305|<br>307|<br>315|<br>307|<br>294|<br>288|<br>292|<br>302|
|5-9<br>414|<br>364|<br>294|<br>303|<br>305|<br>314|<br>307|<br>294|<br>288|<br>292|
|10-14<br>442|<br>412|<br>362|<br>293|302|<br>305|314|306|293|<br>288|
|15-19<br>437|439|<br>409|<br>360|<br>291|<br>301|<br>304|<br>313|<br>306|<br>293|
|20-24<br>430|<br>431|<br>434|<br>405|<br>357|<br>290|<br>300|303|<br>312|<br>305|
|25-29<br>378|<br>422|<br>425|<br>429|<br>401|<br>354|<br>288|<br>299|<br>302|<br>311|
|30-34<br>334|<br>371|<br>417|<br>420|<br>425|<br>399|<br>353|<br>287|<br>298|<br>301|
|35-39<br>304|328|366|412|416|<br>422|<br>397|<br>351|2S6|<br>296|
|40-44<br>e66|298|323|361|407|<br>412|<br>419|<br>394|<br>348|<br>284|
|45-49<br>273|260|292|317|355|<br>401|407|413|389|<br>344|
|50-54<br>272|264|251|284|309|<br>347|392|398|404|<br>380|
|55-59<br>256|258|251|240|271|<br>296|333|<br>377|<br>383|<br>389|
|60-64<br>232|235|238|232|223|<br>253|276|311|353|<br>359|
|65-69<br>176|203|207|210|206|<br>199|226|247|279|<br>317|
|70-74<br>152|142|165|169|<br>173|<br>171|165|188|207|<br>234|
|75*<br>168|186|190|<br>211|226|<br>238|243|242|260|<br>284|
|TOTAL<br>4902|4909|4928|4952|<br>4986.|<br>5008|5016|5011|<br>4999|<br>4980|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>345|<br>280|288|23i|'<br>297|<br>290|278|272|276|285|
|5-9<br>396|342|278|286|288|<br>296|289|277|272|276|
|10-14<br>425|394|<br>340|277|285|<br>288|296|289|27r|<br>272|
|15-19<br>422|423|392|339|<br>276|285|288|296|289|277|
|20-24<br>425|418|419|389|337|<br>275|285|287|296|289|
|25-29<br>379|<br>420|414|416|387|<br>336|275|284|287|296|
|30-34<br>343|375|<br>417|411|414|386|336|<br>274|284|287|
|35-39<br>323|<br>340|372|414|409|413|386|335|<br>274|284|
|40-44<br>294|320|337|<br>370|412|408|412|384|334|273|
|45-49<br>304|291|317|334|<br>367|410|406|410|383|333|
|50-54<br>307|299|287|313|331|363|406|402|406|379|
|55-59<br>297|<br>300|293|281|307|325|357|<br>399|<br>396|<br>400|
|60-64<br>274|285|289|283|272|298|316|348|389|386|
|65-69<br>218|256|268|272|267|258|283|300|331|371|
|70-74<br>207|<br>192|<br>227|<br>239|<br>244|241|233|256|272|301|
|75+<br>297|<br>324|<br>330|<br>365|<br>397|<br>421|<br>434|<br>436|<br>459|<br>488|
|TOTAL<br>5255|<br>5258|<br>5267|<br>52?9|<br>5293|<br>5292|<br>5276|<br>5251|<br>5225|<br>519?|
|BIRTH RATE|11.6|11.9|11.9|12.1|11.7|11.2|11.0|11.2|11.6|
|DEATHRATE|10.4|10.5|10.5|10.8|11.1|11.4|<br>11.6|11.9|12.6|
|RATEOFNAT. INC.|.12|.13|.13|.13|.C|-.01|-. 06|-. 07|-. 09|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.0|-. 8|-. 6|-. 4|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.02|.05|.07|.09|.04|-.01|-.06|-.07|-.09|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.50G|1.500|1.500|1.604|1.702|1.796|1.885|1.970|2.050|
|NRR|.711|.714|.716|.767|.815|.860|.904|.945|.984|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|73.34|74.21|74.97|75.62|75.88|76.15|76.42|76.70|76.97|
|e(lO) - BOTH SEXES|64.79|65.42|65.99|66.52|66.76|67.00|67.25|67.50|67.75|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES|15.9|13.3|11.3|10.0|9.7|9-4|9.1|8.8|8.5|
|q(5) - BOTHSEXES|.0182|.0150|.0127|.0111|.0107|.0104|.0101|.0097|.0094|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>55.1|50.0|46.9|45.9|<br>47.4|<br>47.7|48.5|<br>49.5|52.2|<br>57.4|
117

# PORTUGAL

# ProJection **(000s)** with NRRui by 2030

# **Sun1ary** for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.**.**_______**...**<br>....<br>... ..........................||..............................................|........................||||________|
|TOTAL**N+F**<br>10157|<br>10231|10224|9655|9215|9186|9198|9205|
|KALES||||||||
|0-4<br>367|307|292|294|297|298|298|298|
|5-9<br>414|303|288|295|298|298|298|297|
|10-14<br>442|293|<br>293|299|299|298|297|297|
|15-19<br>437|<br>360|306|303|298|297|297|297|
|20-24<br>430|405|312|300|295|295|296|296|
|25-29<br>378|429|302|290|292|295|296|296|
|30-34<br>334|420|298|285|292|295|295|295|
|35-39<br>304|412|286|289|296|295|294|291|
|40-44<br>266|361|348|300|299|294|293|293|
|45-49<br>273|<br>317|389|304|294|289|289|290|
|50-54<br>272|284|404|289|279|282|285|286|
|55-59<br>255|<br>240|383|277|267|275|277|278|
|60-64<br>232|232|353|251|258|264|264|263|
|65-69<br>176|210|279|279|244|244|241|240|
|70-74<br>152|169|207|266|213|207|204|205|
|75+<br>168|211|260|411|330|318|324|327|
|TOTAL<br>4902|4952|4999|4733|4550|4543|4548|4552|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>345|289|276|278|281|281|281|281|
|5-9<br>396|286|272|<br>279|282|282|281|281|
|10-14<br>425|277|277|283|283|282|281|281|
|15-19<br>422|339|289|287|283|281|<br>281|281|
|20-24<br>425|389|296|285|280|280|281|281|
|25-29<br>379|416|287|275|278|280|281|281|
|30-34<br>343|411|284|271|279|281|_23._|<br>2i1|
|35-39<br>323|414|<br>274|277|283|282|281|281|
|40-44<br>294|*-370|334|288|287|282|281|280|
|45-49<br>304|334|383|294|283|279|279|280|
|50-54<br>307|313|406|283|272|275|278|279|
|55-59<br>297|281|396|277|266|273|276|276|
|60-64<br>274|283|389|261|266|272|273|272|
|65-69<br>218|272|<br>331|<br>306|267|267|263|<br>262|
|70-74<br>207|239|272|323|253|246|243|243|
|75+<br>297|365|459|654|524|498|507|511|
|TOTAL<br>5255|5279|5225|4922|4665|4643|4649|4653|
|BIRTH RATE|11.8|11.5|11.7|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.5|11.4|14.0|14.3.|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION RATE|-. 8|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.05|-. 00|-.23|-. 19|-.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.503|1.778|2.073|2.075|2.074|2.073|2.073|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|74.18|76.15|77.54|78.51|78.77|78.94|78.98|
|**IMR**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|13.5|9.4|8.0|7.0|6.6|6.4|6.4|
**118**

|ROANIA<br>................................<br>I..........................|..............................................|Proje<br>.........................|ction (000s|) with NRR-|1 by1985|||_.............|...................|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|TO'ALM+F<br>22725|23250|23844|24461|24952|25327|25670|26032|26422|26760|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>882|883|938|961|945|915|912|926|935|929|
|5-9<br>1016|876|877|934|**958**|942|912|909|924|933|
|10-14<br>971|1012|873|875|931|955|940|911|908|923|
|15-19<br>1018|966|1007|869|871|928|952|<br>937|908|906|
|20-24<br>725|<br>1009|957|<br>999|<br>862|865|922|<br>947|932|904|
|25-29<br>884|716|998|947|990|855|858|916|942|928|
|30-34<br>886|<br>873|<br>707|987|938|981|848|<br>852|910|937|
|35-39<br>731|874|862|698|977|929|<br>973|841|<br>846|<br>905|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>614|726|<br>859|<br>849|<br> <br>688|964|<br>918|962|833|838|
|45-49<br>741|<br>598|708|<br>840|<br>831|675|947|902|947|820|
|50-54<br>708|712|576|684|813|805|655|920|878|923|
|55-59<br>643|666|672|545|648|<br>772|<br>767|625|879|<br>841|
|60-64<br>503|584|608|615|500|<br>597|<br>713|710|580|819|
|65-69<br>248|<br>433|506|529|538|439|<br>526|<br>630|<br>630|516|
|70-74<br>309|<br>197|346|406|427|436|358|430|519|521|
|75+<br>341|370|308|386|468|525|563|529|570|658|
|TOTAL<br>11230|11495|11804|12125|12386|12584|12762|12948|<br>13140|13301|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>840|840|893|914|898|<br>869|<br>866|880|<br>888|884|
|5-9<br>968|835|837|889|911|895|<br>868|865|<br>879|887|
|10-14<br>925|965|833|<br>835|888|910|<br>894|<br>867|864|879|
|15-19<br>976|922|962|831|832|886|908|893|866|864|
|20-24<br>689|970|916|957|<br>1327|<br>829|<br>883|906|891|864|
|25-29<br>852|683|964|910|9W2|822|825|880|<br>903|889|
|30-34<br>865|845|<br>678|957|<br>905|947|819|822|877|<br>901|
|35-39<br>728|<br>857|838|672|<br>951|<br>899|942|815|819|874|
|40-44<br>620|720|849|<br>830|666|943|893|936|810|815|
|45-49<br>762|611|710|<br>837|820|658|933|884|927|804|
|50-54<br>728|745|597|<br>695|<br>821|805|647|<br>918|871|915|
|55-59<br>684|703|720|578|<br>674|797|783|631|897|852|
|60-64<br>605|64?|<br>*666|684|550|643|763|751|607|865|
|65-69<br>340|552|592|611|629|508|596|<br>710|702|569|
|70-74<br>422|290|473|<br>509|527|546|444|524|628|624|
|75+<br>491|570|513|627|717|786|845|804|85'|.<br>973|
|TOTAL<br>11495|<br>11756|12040|12336|12566|12744|12908|<br>13084|13283|13459|
|BIRTH RATE|15.4|15.9|15.9|15.2|14.4|14.2|14.2|14.1|13.8|
|DEATH RATE|10.6|10.6|10.5|11.0|11.3|11.4|11.3|11.1|11.3|
|RATE OFNAT.<br>INC.|.48|.53|.54|.42|.31|.28|.29|.30|.25|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.3|-.3|_-. 2 _|-.2|-.2|-. 1|-.1|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.46|.50|.51|.40|.30|.27|.28|.30|.25|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.136|2.124|2.113|2.104|2.101|2.097|2.094|2.090|2.087|
|NRA|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0) - BOTH SEXES|70.22|71.04|71.80|72.49|72.97|73.47|73.97|74.49|75.01|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES|62.52|63.00|63.43|63.86|64.28|64.71|65.16|65.61|66.07|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|25.0|21.4|18.0|15.2|14.5|13.8|13.0|12.3|11.5|
|qC5)-**BOTH**<br>SEXES|0297|0252|0208|0174|0165|0156|0148|0139|0130|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.8|.<br>5J.7|.<br>50.4|.<br>53.0|.<br> <br>54.8|.<br>52.6|.<br>51.5|.<br>52.7|.<br>54.3|.<br> <br>53.2|
119 ROMANIA Projection (00Os) with NRRuI by 1985

# Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,,,,,,,,,,,,,..,................|................................|.....................||||,...<br>_|<br>_...........||
|TOTAL M.F|22725|24461|26422|27683|28253|28480|28591|<br>28635|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|882|961|935|926|924|924|924|924|
|5-9|1016|934|924|922|922|923|923|923|
|10-14|971|875|908|917|920|921|922|922|
|15-19|1018|869|908|917|919|920|921|921|
|20-24|725|999|932|922|918|919|919|919|
|25-29|884|947|942|924|918|917|917|91?|
|30-34|886|987|910|911|913|913|915|915|
|35-39|739|698|846|892|906|909|912|913|
|40-44|614|849|833|887|902|905|907|908|
|45-49|741|840|947|903|901|899|900|901|
|50-54|708|684|878|896|889|886|886|887|
|55-59|643|545|879|837|852|856|859|860|
|60-64|503|615|580|733|790|807|813|816|
|65-69|248|529|630|653|717|736|742|744|
|70-74|309|406|519|630|626|632|635|637|
|75+|341|386|570|845|948|987|1005|1012|
|TOTAL|11230|12125|13140|13714|13963|14054|14099|<br>14121|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|840|914|888|881|879|878|878|878|
|5-9|968|889|879|878|878|878|878|878|
|10-14<br>|925<br>|835<br>|864<br>|874<br>|877<br>|878<br>|878<br>|878<br>|
|15-19|97..|831|866|875|877|878|878|878|
|20-24|689|957|891|882|879|878|878|878|
|25-29|852|910|903|885|880|878|878|878|
|30-34|865|957|877|876|877|877|877|877|
|35-39|728|672|819|859|872|875|876|877|
|40-44|620|*830|810|858|872|875|876|876|
|45-49|762|837|927|879|876|874|874|874|
|50-54|728|695|871|883|874|870|870|870|
|55-59|684|578|897|84|854|859|861|861|
|60-64|605|684|607|767|821|<br>839|<br>845|<br>846|
|65-69|340|611|702|722|788|808|815|817|
|70-74|422|509|628|752|744|753|758|760|
|75+|491|627|854|1255|1444|1528|<br>1573|<br>1588|
|TOTAL|11495|<br>12336|13283|13970|14290|<br>14426|14491|<br>14513|
|BIRTH RATE||15.8|14.4|13.4|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||10.6|11.2|11.6|12.2.|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATI|ON<br>RATE|-. 3|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.h9|.31|.19|.08|.03|.02|.01|
|TOTALFERTI|LITY|2.124|2.097|2.080|2.069|2.068|2.067|2.067|
|e(O) - BOTH|SEXES|71.03|73.49|76.12|78.01|78.52|78.86|78.94|
|<br>**I1R**- BrJTH S|EXES|21.4|13.8|10.1|7.6|6.9|6.5|6.4|
120

|YuGOSLAVIA||Proje|ctfon**(000**|**s)**<br>with NRR=|1 b|y2030||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**AGE GRCUP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005||2010|2015||2020|2025|2030|
|......<br>........<br>.........|................|...<br>...<br>..|....<br>...<br>..............|........|.......|............||....|<br>.....<br>.......|<br>............|...<br>...<br>.. .....**.**......**.**...|
|TOTALK+f<br>23123|23844|24562|25276|25906||26383|26731||27007|27251|27459|
|MALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>962|907|909|910|915||912|904||899|899|904|
|5-9<br>967|955|902|905|907||912|909||902|897|897|
|10-14<br>936|963|952|899|903||905|910||908|900|895|
|15-19<br>949|931|959|949|896||900|902||908|906|899|
|20-24<br>967|941|924|953|944||892|896||899|905|903|
|25-29<br>982|957|932|917|947||938|887||892|895|902|
|30-34<br>942|971|948|925|911||941|933||883|888|891|
|35-39<br>698|930|962|940|918||905|935||928|878|884|
|40-44<br>714|687|918|951|931||910|897||928|921|872|
|45-49<br>770|698|674|903|937||918|898||886|916|910|
|50-54<br>744|743|676|655|880||914|897||878|866|897|
|55-59<br>565|703|706|645|628||844|878||862|845|835|
|60-64<br>392|516|647|654|601||585|788||821|807|792|
|65-69<br>222|340|453|572|582||536|523||706|737|726|
|70-74<br>287|178|276|371|473||483|446||436|591|618|
|75+<br>305|342|289|338|436||561|632||643|<br>645|763|
|TOTAL<br>11403|11764|12128|12488|12809||13056|13236||13377|13496|13590|
|FEMALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>908|£55|856|856|860||857|850||845|846|851|
|5-9<br>919|904|851|853|854||858|855||849|844|845|
|10-14<br>888|917|902|849|852||852|857||855|848|844|
|15-19<br>907|886|915|900|848||851|851||856|854|848|
|20-24<br>927|903|883|912|898||846|849||850|855|854|
|25-29<br>938|923|900|879|909||895|844||848|S49|855|
|30-34<br>90;!|933|919|896|877||907|893||843|846|848|
|35.39<br>686|897|929|915|894||874|905||892|841|845|
|40-44<br>718|680|892|925|912||891|871||902|889|839|
|45-49<br>781|710|674|885|919||907|886||867|898|885|
|50-54<br>772|767|699|666|875||910|898||877|859|890|
|55-59<br>689|750|<br>749|685|654||860|895||884|864|847|
|oD-64<br>528|658|721|723|664||635|836||870|861|843|
|65-69<br>304|488|613|677|683||629|602||794|828|820|
|70-74<br>389|264|430|546|<br>609||616|568||545|722|755|
|75+<br>462|545|502|621|790||940|1035||1053|1050|1199|
|TOTAL<br>11720|12080|12433|12788|13097||13327|13495||13630|13755|13868|
|BIRTH RATE|15.4|14.9|14.5|14.1||13.7|13.4||13.2|13.0|13.0|
|DEATH RATE|9.1|8.8|8.5|9.0||10.0|10.7||11.0|11.2|11.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.64|.61|.59|.51||.38|.27||.21|.18|.15|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 2|-. 2|-. 2||-. 1|-. 1||-. 1|-. 0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|.61|.59|.57|.49||.37|.26||.21|.18|.15|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.000|2.000|2.000|2.C14||2.029|2.043||2.057|2.071|2.085|
|NRR||||||||||||
||.933|.939|.945|.956||.964|.972||.980|.988|.996|
|e(O)**-** BOTH SEXES|71.33|72.89|74.18|75.22||75.52|75.82||76.12|76.43|76.74|
|**e0(1)**BOTH SEXES|63.72|64.89|65.83|66.61||66.83|67.06|6|7.30|67.53|67.77|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|25.4|21.3|17.7|14.9||14.1|13.4||12.6|11.8|11.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0303|.0250|.0204|.0170||.0161|.0152||.0143|.0134|.0124|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>48.5|47.3|47.7|49.8|52.0||52.3|51.5||53.7|<br>56.2|<br>58.4|
121 YUGOSLAVIA Projection (000.) with NRRuI by 2030 Su ry for 25 Year Periods

|.<br>...<br>_........................<br>AGE GROJP|.................................<br>1985|.............<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....<br>.........|.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|._.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>_|.<br>.<br>...<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTALH.F|23123|25276|27251|27626|27669|2.752|27810|27834|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|962|910|899|900|901|902|902|902|
|5-9|967|905|897|900|901|901|901|901|
|10-14|936|899|900|902|901|901|901|901|
|15-19|949|949|906|903|899|**_899_**|899|900|
|20-24|967|953|905|898|895|897|898|898|
|25-29|982|917|895|890|893|895|896|896|
|30-34|942|925|888|886|891|893|894|894|
|35-39|698|940|_b78_|887|891|891|891|891|
|40-44|714|951|921|889|889|886|887|887|
|45-49|770|903|916|881|879|877|879|880|
|50-54|744|655|866|858|858|862|865|866|
|55-59|565|645|845|825|831|837|840|841|
|60-64|392|654|807|772|789|796|797|797|
|65-69|222|572|737|736|723|727|727|728|
|70-74|287|371|591|626|616|619|621|623|
|75+|305|338|645|117|954|972|986|991|
|TOTAL|11403|12488|13496|13670|13713|13756|13784|13797|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|908|856|846|84?|848|849|849|849|
|5-9|919|853|844|848|849|849|849|849|
|10-14|888|849|848|850|850|849|848|848|
|15-19|907|900|854|852|849|848|848|848|
|20-24|927|912|855|849|847|848|848|848|
|25-29|938|879|849|844|846|848|848|848|
|30-34|902|896|846|842|847|848|848|848|
|35-39|686|915|841|846|849|848|848|847|
|40-44|718|"925|889|850|850|847|846|847|
|45-49|781|885|898|849|845|843|844|845|
|50-54|m|666|859|837|834|838|840|841|
|55-59|689|685|864|a25|825|831|833|833|
|60-64|528|723|861|803|813|818|819|819|
|65-69|304|677|828|814|788|791|791|791|
|70-74|389|546|722|757|730|731|733|735|
|75+|462|621|1050|1442|1487|1509|1533|1542|
|TOTAL|11720|12788|13755|13956|13956|13996|14026|14037|
|BIRTH RATE||14.9|13.5|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||8.8|10.4|12.3|12.7|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|-. 2|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.59|.30|.05|.01|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTALFERTI|LITY|2.005|2.e43|2.087|2.080|2.079|2.078|2.078|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|72.83|75.83|77.37|78.45|78.74|78.93|78.97|
|**IMR-** BOTH S|EXES|21.5|13.4|9.5|7.1|6.7|6.4|6.4|
# NONBORROWERS

# (NORTH AFRICA)
124 OTHER NRTH AFRICA Projection (O0Os) with NRR=l by 2050

|AGE GROtP<br>1985<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>201|5<br>202|0<br>202|5|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TCTAL<br>NF<br>lSS<br>179|<br>205|<br>234|<br>268|<br>306|<br>347|<br>393|<br>44|0|490|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>13<br>17|<br>18|<br>20|<br>22|<br>25|<br>27|<br>29|<br>31||32|
|59<br>11<br>12|<br>16|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|<br>24|<br>26|<br>29||30|
|10-14<br>10<br>11|<br>11|<br>15|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|<br>24|<br>26||28|
|15-19<br>8<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>15|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|<br>23||26|
|20-24<br>7<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>15|<br>16|<br>18|<br>21||23|
|25-29<br>5<br>7|<br>7|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>14|<br>16|<br>1|8|20|
|30-34<br>S<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>14|<br>1|6|18|
|35-39<br>4<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|<br>1|4|1S|
|40-44<br>3<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|<br>6|<br>7|<br>8|<br>9|<br>1|0|13|
|45-49<br>3<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>8|<br>8||9|
|50-54<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7||8|
|55-59<br>2<br>3|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6||7|
|60-64<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4||5|
|65-69<br>1<br>2|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3||4|
|70.74<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2||2|
|753<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||2|
|TOTAL<br>78<br>90|<br>102|<br>117|<br>134|<br>152|<br>173|<br>195|<br>21|9|243|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>13<br>17|<br>18|<br>20|<br>22|<br>24|<br>27|<br>29|<br>31||32|
|5-9<br>11<br>12|<br>16|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|<br>24|<br>26|<br>28||30|
|10-14<br>9<br>'I|<br>12|<br>15|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|<br>23|<br>26||28|
|15-19<br>8<br>9|<br>10|<br>12|<br>15|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|<br>'3||26|
|20-24<br>7<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>15|<br>16|<br>18|<br>21||23|
|25-29<br>5<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>10|<br>11|<br>15|<br>16|<br>18||20|
|30.34<br>5<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>10|<br>11|<br>14|<br>16||18|
|35.39<br>4<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>8|<br>10|<br>11|<br>14||16|
|40.44<br>3<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|<br>6|<br>7|<br>8|<br>9|<br>10||14|
|45-49<br>3<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>9||10|
|50-54<br>2<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7||9|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6||7|
|60-64<br>2<br>2|<br>* 2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5||6|
|65-69<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3||4|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3||3|
|75+<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3||3|
|TOTAL<br>77<br>89|<br>102|<br>117|<br>134|<br>153|<br>175|<br>198|<br>222||247|
|BIRTH RATE<br>47.3|43.6|41.1|39.1|37.5|35.9|34.0|31.6||29.1|
|DEATH RATE<br>18.9|16.4|14.1|12.3|11.3|10.3|9.5|8.7||8.0|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>2.85|2.72|2.70|2.68|2.63|2.56|2.45|2.30||2.11|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0||.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>2.85|2.72|2.70|2.68|2.63|2.56|2.45|2.30||2.11|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>6.500|6.135|5.770|5.405|5.040|4.675|4.310|3.945|3|.580|
|NRR<br>2.259|2.228|2.195|2.145|2.041|<br>1.931|<br>1.816|<br>1.695|1|.568|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES<br>47.49|50.07|52.64|55.17|56.67|58.23|59.84|61.51|6|3.24|
|e(10)<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>51.31|52.20|53.01|53.88|54.81|55.78|56.77|57.80|5|8.86|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>120.0<br> <br>|105.4<br>|90.7<br>|76.8<br>|71.1<br>|65.4|59.7|54.0||48.3|
|q(5)BOTH SEXES<br>.2016|.1741|.1469|.1217|.1120|.1024|.0926|.0828|.0|730|
|OEP. RATIO<br>88.0<br>91.6|<br>92.0|<br>93.4|88.4|<br>83.9|<br>80.4|<br>77.1|<br>72.5||68._|
125 OTHER NORTH AFRICA ProJectfon t000s) with NRRzi by 2050 Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|.............................<br>ACE GROUP<br>1985|.................<br> <br>2000|.......................................<br> <br>2025|......<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|.........<br> <br>2125|..................................................<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..<br>_. ................<br>.........|....................||.................................|........||................|.....................................|
|TOTAL<br>MF<br>155|<br>234|<br>440|<br>o72|849|<br>936|<br>f58|<br>966|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>13|20|31|30|31|31|<br>31|<br>31|
|5-9<br>11|<br>17|<br>29|<br>31|<br>31|<br>31|<br>31|<br>31|
|10-14<br>10|<br>15|26|32|31|31|<br>31|<br>31|
|15-19<br>8|11|23|32|31|31|<br>31|<br>31|
|20-24<br>7|10|21|31|30|30|<br>31|<br>31|
|25-29<br>5|9|18|29|29|30|<br>31|<br>31|
|30-34<br>5|7|16|27|30|31|<br>31|<br>31|
|35-39<br>4|6|14|24|31|31|<br>30|<br>30|
|40-44<br>3|4|10|22|31|30|<br>30|<br>30|
|45-49<br>3|4|8|19|<br>29|29|<br>30|<br>30|
|50-54<br>3|3|7|16|27|28|<br>29|<br>30|
|55-59<br>2|2|6|13|<br>24|28|<br>29|<br>29|
|60-64<br>2|2|4|11|<br>21|27|<br>27|<br>27|
|65-69<br>1|2|3|7|16|24|<br>24|<br>24|
|70-74<br>1|1|2|5|12|20|<br>20|<br>21|
|75+<br>1|1|2|5|13|26|<br>31|<br>33|
|TOTAL<br>78|117|<br>219|332|<br>417|456|<br>466|<br>470|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>13|20|31|29|30|30|<br>30|<br>30|
|5-9<br>11|17|28|30|31|30|<br>30|<br>30|
|10-14<br>9|15|26|31|31|30|<br>30|30|
|15-19<br>8|12|23|31|30|30|<br>30|<br>30|
|20-24<br>7|10|21|31|29|30|<br>30|<br>30|
|25-29<br>5|8|18|29|29|30|<br>30|30|
|3,<br>-'94<br>5|<br>7|<br>16|<br>27|<br>30|<br>30|<br>30|<br>30|
|35-39<br>4|<br>6|<br>14|<br>25|<br>31|<br>31|<br>30|<br>30|
|40-44<br>3|4|<br>10|<br>22|<br>31|<br>30|<br>30|<br>30|
|45-49<br>3|<br>4|<br>9|<br>19|<br>30|<br>29|<br>30|<br>30|
|50-54<br>2|<br>3|<br>7|<br>17|<br>28|<br>28|<br>30|<br>30|
|55-59<br>2|<br>3|<br>6|<br>14|<br>26|<br>29|<br>30|<br>30|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>5|<br>12|<br>23|<br>29|<br>29|<br>29|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>8|<br>19|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>6|<br>15|<br>25|<br>25|<br>26|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>7|<br>19|<br>40|<br>50|<br>53|
|TOTAL<br>77|<br>117|<br>222|<br>339|<br>432|<br>480|<br>493|<br>497|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|43.7|35.2|23.4|16.3|13.7|13.0|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE|16.2|10.2|6.9|7.0.|9.9|12.1|12.4|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.76|2.52|1.69|.94|.39|.09|.04|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|6.104|4.567|2.791|2.070|2.052|2.041|2.039|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|50.30|58.68|67.27|73.87|76.35|78.10|78.55|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|104.7|64.5|37.1|17.3|11.4|7.5|7.0|

.....
# NONBORROWERS

(SOUTHWEST ASIA)
128

|GAZA STRIP<br>**..**..................................................................|......................................|Proje<br>.........|ctio|n<br>(OO0s) w|ithMRRulby|2040<br>...............|...........................||||,,,........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGRGOP<br>1985|1990|<br>199S||20C0|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025||2030|
|..........<br>......................||..<br>.......||...<br>..|..<br>....|.<br>.<br>.<br>...|..<br>.....|.<br>.......||...|...|
|TOTtL<br>490|568|658||756|870|998|1141|1292|1444||1597|
|KAL!S||||||||||||
|0-4<br>48|58|64||69|75|82|89|92|92||91|
|5-9<br>36|46|56||63|68|74|81|88|92||91|
|10-14<br>33|35|<br>45||55|62|67|74|81|88||91|
|15-19<br>27|<br>32|<br>34||44|54|61|67|73|81||87|
|20-24<br>22|<br>25|30||33|43|53|60|66|73||80|
|25-29<br>9|<br>20|<br>23||28|31|41|52|59|65||72|
|30-34<br>6|<br>7|<br>17||21|26|29|40|51|58||64|
|35-39<br>7|<br>4|<br>5||16|19|25|28|39|50||58|
|40-44<br>8|<br>6|<br>3||4|15|19|24|28|39||49|
|45-49<br>8|<br>7|<br>5||3|4|14|18|24|27||38|
|50-54<br>8|<br>7|<br>7||5|3|4|14|17|23||26|
|55-59<br>7|<br>7|<br>7||6|4|2|3|13|16||22|
|60-64<br>5|<br>6|<br>7||6|5|4|2|3|12||15|
|65-69<br>4|<br>4|<br>5||6|5|5|3|2|3||10|
|70-74<br>2|<br>3|<br>3||4|4|4|4|3|1||2|
|75+<br>2|<br>2|<br>3||4|4|5|5|5|4||3|
|TOTAL<br>232|271|315||366|424|490|564|643|722||802|
|FEMALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>46|55|61||66|72|78|84|88|_88_||87|
|5-9<br>35|44|53||59|64|71|78|84|87||87|
|10-14<br>32|34|43||52|58|64|70|77|83||87|
|15-19<br>27|31|33||42|51|58|63|70|77||83|
|20-24<br>22|25|30||32|41|50|57|63|69||77|
|25-29<br>15|20|24||28|30|39|49|56|_62_||69|
|30-34<br>14|14|19||22|26|29|39|48|56||62|
|35-39<br>14|13|13||18|21|26|28|38|48||55|
|40-44<br>12|13|12||12|17|21|25|28|38||47|
|45-49<br>11|11|13||12|12|17|20|25|27||37|
|50-54<br>9|10|11||12|11|11|16|20|24||27|
|55-59<br>7|8|10||10|12|11|11|16|19||23|
|60-64<br>6|6|a8||9|10|11|10|10|15||18|
|65-69<br>4|5|6||7|8|9|10|9|9||14|
|70.74<br>3|3|4||5|6|7|7|9|8||8|
|75+<br>2<br> <br>|3|4||5|6|7|9|10|12||13|
|TOTAL<br>258|298|343||391|44S|508|577|650|722||795|
|BIRTH RATE|45.9|43.4|4|0.1<br>3|7.7<br>3|5.7<br>3|3.4<br>|30.4<br>|26.9||24.0|
|DEATH RATE|8.8|7.6||6.5<br>|5.7|5.3|4.9|<br>4.5|<br>4.1||3.9|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|3.72|3.59|3|.36<br>3|.20<br>3|.04<br>2|.86<br>|2.60<br>|2.28||2.01|
|NETMIGRATtON<br>RATE|-7.6|-6.5|-|5.7<br>-|4.1<br>-|2.9<br>|-1.9<br>|-1.1|-.5||0|
|GRoWTH<br>RATE|2.96|2.93|2|.79<br>2|<br>.79<br>2|<br> <br>.76<br>2|<br> <br>.67<br>|<br>2.49<br>|<br>2.23||.<br>2.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.760|6.250|5.|740<br>5.2|30<br>4.|720<br>4.|210<br>3.|700<br>3|.190|2|.816|
|NRR|2.877|2.745|2.|582<br>2.3|97<br>2.|176<br>1.|952<br>1.|725<br>1|.496|1|.328|
|e(O) *BOTH SEXES|62.99|65.06|66|.93<br>68|.59<br>69|.34<br>70|.11<br>7|0.89<br>7|1.70|7|2.52|
|e(10)<br>- BOTH SEXES|58.87|59.59|60|.47<br>61|.39<br>61|.95<br>62|.54<br>6|3.13<br>6|3.74|6|4.37|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|59.0|46.8|3|7.5<br>3|0.1<br>2|8.0<br>2|5.9<br>|23.7<br>|21.6||19.5|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0796|.0608|.|0469<br>.|0366<br>.|0339<br>.|0312<br>.|0286<br>.|0259||0232|
|<br>OEP. RATIO<br>101.3|106.1|112.0||108.4|99.5|90.3|82.2|<br>73.5|<br>64.6||58.0|
129 Projection (0001) with NRR-t by 2040

# GAZA STRIP

Summary for 25 Year Periods

|.....<br>........................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|......<br> <br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|....<br> <br>2100|.........<br> <br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|................<br>...<br>....<br>..<br>.......|....<br>...........|.........|.......................|.......................|||.<br>----|
|TOTAL WF<br>490|756|1444|<br>2133|<br>2583|<br>2718|<br>2739|<br>2745|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>48|69|92|89|88|88|88|<br>88|
|5-9<br>36|63|92|86|87|88|88|<br>88|
|10-14<br>33|55|88|d5|<br>88|88|88|<br>88|
|15-19<br>27|44|81|89|88|88|88|<br>88|
|20-24<br>22|33|73|90|89|88|88|<br>88|
|25-29<br>9|28|65|90|88|87|87|<br>88|
|30-34<br>6|21|58|90|85|86|87|<br>87|
|35-39<br>7|16|50|86|84|87|<br>87|87|
|40-44<br>8|4|39|78|87|87|87|87|
|45-49<br>8|3|27|70|88|87|86|86|
|50-54<br>8|5|23|61|87|85|84|84|
|55-59<br>7|6|16|53|84|80|81|82|
|60-64<br>5|6|12|43|75|75|77|<br>78|
|65-69<br>4|6|3|30|63|71|71|<br>71|
|70-74<br>2|4|1|17|48|61|61|61|
|75+<br>2|4|4|17|57|92|95|96|
|TOTAL<br>232|366|722|1075|<br>1286|<br>1339|<br>1345|<br>1348|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>46|66|<br>88|85|84|84|85|85|
|5-9<br>35|59|87|83|84|84|85|85|
|10-14<br>32|52|83|82|84|85|85|85|
|15-19<br>27|42|77|85|85|85|85|85|
|20-24<br>22|32|69|87|86|85|85|85|
|25-29<br>15|28|62|87|85|84|84|85|
|30-34<br>14|22|56|87|83|84|84|85|
|35-39<br>14|18|48|82|82|84|85|85|
|40-44<br>12|12|38|76|85|85|85|84|
|45-49<br>11|12|27|68|86|85|84|84|
|50-54<br>9|12|24|60|85|84|83|84|
|55-59<br>7|10|19|53|84|81|82|83|
|60-64<br>6|9|15|44|78|78|81|82|
|65-69<br>4|7|9|32|68|78|79|79|
|70-74<br>3|5|8|21|56|73|74|73|
|75+<br>2|5|12|27|81|138|<br>148|<br>151|
|TOTAL<br>258|391|722|1058|<br>1297|<br>1379|<br>1393|<br>1397|
|B;RTH<br>RATE|42.9|32.1|19.5|14.6|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|<br>DEATH<br>RATE|7.5|4.8|4.2|7.1|11.0|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-6.5|-1.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.89|2.59|1.56|.77|.20|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.206|4.039|2.304|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|e(O) - BOTH<br>SEXES|65.18|70.33|74.38|77.30|78.15|78.73|78.88|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|47.2|25.7|15.3|8.5|7.4|6.7|6.5|
ISRAEL Projection (000s) With NRRu1 by 2005

|**...**..........................................<br>................<br>AGE GROLP<br>1985|........|..............................<br>1990|.....................................<br>19A5|....................................<br> <br>2000|<br> <br>2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>.....................................................................|........|<br>..............................|<br>........................|<br>|<br>|||<br>|<br>|<br>|
|TOTAL M+F<br>4233||4581|4914|5239|<br>5543|5839|6128|<br>6395|<br>6631|<br>6820|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0.4<br>248||241|238|237|233|236|241|242|<br>240|<br>238|
|5-9<br>239||249|241|239|238|233|236|241|<br>242|<br>240|
|<br> <br>10-14<br>224||<br>239|249|<br>242|<br>239|<br>238|<br>233|236|<br>241|<br>241|
|15-19<br>194||224|240|249|242|239|238|233|<br>236|<br>241|
|20-24<br>177||195|225|N41|<br>250|242|240|238|<br>233|<br>235|
|<br> <br>25-29<br>163||<br>179|<br>197|<br>227|<br> <br> <br>242|<br>251|<br>243|<br>240|<br> <br> <br>237|<br><br> <br>232|
|30-34<br>161||166|<br>181|<br>199|<br>228|242|<br>2S1|<br>243|<br>239|<br>237|
|35-39<br>139||163|<br>167|<br>182|<br>199|228|<br>242|251|<br>242|<br>239|
|40-44<br>92||140|<br>163|<br>167|<br>181|199|<br>227|<br>241|<br>249|<br>241|
|45-49<br>86||92|<br>139|<br>162|<br>165|180|<br>197|<br>225|<br>239|<br>247|
|50-54<br>79||85|<br>90|<br>137|<br>159|163|<br>177|<br>194|<br>221|<br>235|
|55-59<br>72||76|<br>82|<br>88|<br>132|154|<br>157|<br>171|<br>187|<br>214|
|60-64<br>71||68|<br>72|<br>77|83|125|<br>145|<br>149|<br>162|<br>177|
|<br> <br>65-69<br>52|<br>|<br>64|<br> <br> <br>61|<br> <br> <br>65|<br> <br>70|<br>75|<br> <br> <br>113|<br> <br> <br>132|<br> <br> <br>135|<br><br> <br>147|
|<br> <br>70-74<br>54|<br>|<br>44|<br> <br> <br>54|<br> <br> <br>52|<br> <br> <br>55|<br>59|<br> <br> <br>63|<br> <br> <br>96|<br> <br> <br>112|<br><br> <br>115|
|<br> <br>7'5<br>66|<br>|<br>73|<br> <br> <br>70|<br> <br>76|<br> <br> <br>77|<br>81|<br> <br> <br>86|<br> <br> <br>92|<br> <br> <br>120|<br><br> <br>146|
|TOTAL<br>2118||2297|2469|2637|<br>2793|2944|3090|<br>3222|<br>3336|<br>3425|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>232||230|<br>228|<br>227|<br>223|225|<br>231|<br>231|<br>230|<br>228|
|5-9<br>225||233|<br>231|<br>229|<br>227|223|<br>226|<br>231|<br>231|<br>229|
|10-14<br>211||226|<br>234|<br>232|<br>229|228|<br>223|<br>226|<br>231|<br>231|
|15-19<br>181||212|<br>226|<br>234|<br>232|229|<br>228|<br>223|<br>226|<br>231|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>164|<br>|<br>182|<br> <br> <br>213|<br> <br> <br>227|<br> <br> <br>235|<br>233|<br> <br> <br>230|<br> <br> <br>228|<br> <br> <br>223|<br><br> <br>226|
|25-29<br>161||166|<br>184|<br>214|<br>228|235|<br>233|<br>230|<br>228|<br>223|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>162|<br>|<br>162|<br> <br> <br>166|<br> <br> <br>184|<br> <br> <br>214|<br>228|<br> <br> <br>236|<br> <br> <br>233|<br> <br> <br>230|<br><br> <br>228|
|35-39<br>142||163|<br>163|<br>167|<br>184|214|<br>228|<br>235|<br>233|<br>230|
|40-44<br>95||142|<br>162|<br>162|<br>167|184|<br>214|<br>228|<br>235|<br>232|
|45-49<br>90||94|<br>141|<br>162|<br>162|166|<br>183|<br>213|<br>227|<br>234|
|50-54<br>86||88|<br>93|<br>140|<br>160|160|<br>164|<br>182|<br>211|<br>225|
|55.59<br>84||84|<br>87|<br>91|<br>138|157|<br>158|<br>162|<br>179|<br>208|
|60-64<br>83||80|<br>81|<br>84|<br>89|134|<br>153|<br>154|<br>158|<br>175|
|65-69<br>60||77|76|76|80|84|127|146|<br>146|<br>151|
|70-74<br>64||53|<br>69|<br>68|<br>69|72|<br>76|<br>115|<br>133|<br>134|
|75+<br>76||91|92|107|115|121|128|136|<br>I74|<br>210|
|TOTAL<br>2115||2284|2445|2603|<br>2750|2895|3038|<br>3173|<br>3295|<br>3395|
|BIRTHRATE||21.6|19.8|18.4|17.0|16.3|15.9|15.2|14.5|14.0|
|DEATH RATE||7.0|6.7|6.3|6.3|6.4|6.5|6.9|7.4|8.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||1.46|1.31|1.21|1.07|.99|.93|.84|.71|.56|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE||1.2|.9|.7|.6|.4|.3|.2|.1|.0|
|GRC4TH<br>RATE||1.58|1.40|1.28|1.13|1.04|.97|.86|.72|.56|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2|.880|2.613|2.371|2.152<br>2|.070|2.069|2.068|2.066|2.065|
|NRR|1|.382|1.258|1.143|1.039<br>|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|7|5.39|76.03|76.57|77.00<br>7|7.17|77.33|77.49|77.66|77.82|
|e(l0)- 8O0HSEXES|6|6.47|66.97|67.42|67.77<br>6|7.92|68.07|68.21|68.36|68.51|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES||11.9|10.4|9.3|8.5|8.3|8.1|7.9|7.7|7.5|
|q(5)<br>BOTHSEXES||0133|0116|0103|0093<br>|0091|0089|0087|0085|08|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.5|.<br>|<br>65.9|.<br> <br>60.0|.<br> <br>54.|.<br>.<br>5<br>50.3|<br>47.|.<br>3<br>47.|.<br>9<br>49.|.<br>7<br>50.|.<br>8<br>51.2|
131 ISRAEL Projection (000s with NRRuI by 2005'

# Sumwary for 25 Year Periods

I

|.......<br>............<br>.................<br>AGE GROJP|........<br>.<br>1985|...........................<br>2000|........................................<br>2025|............<br>2050|2075|21G0|<br>2125|2'50|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~~.............|............|................|.................|.............||.............................|.....||
|TOTAL M+F|4233|5239|6631|7299|7402|7422|7430|74j3|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|248|237|240|239|239|239|239|239|
|5-9|239|239|242|239|238|238|238|238|
|10-14|224|242|241|38|<br>238|238|238|238|
|15-19|194|<br>249|<br>236|<br>p7|<br>237|<br>238|<br>238|<br>238|
|20-24|177|241|233|is?|237|238|<br>237|<br>237|
|25-29|163|227|237|238|238|237|237|237|
|30-34|161|199|239|239|237|236|236|236|
|35-39|139|182|242|238|236|235|236|236|
|40-44|92|167|249|232|233|234|235|235|
|45-49|86|162|239|228|232|233|233|233|
|50-54|79|137|221|229|230|230|229|229|
|55-59|72|<br>b8|<br>187|<br>224|<br>225|<br>223|222|222|
|60-64|71|<br>77|162|216|213|211|211|211|
|65-69|52|<br>65|<br>135|<br>203|<br>190|<br>iY2|<br>192|<br>193|
|70-74|54|<br>52|<br>112|<br>168|<br>161|<br>164|<br>165|<br>165|
|75+|66|<br>76|<br>120|<br>222|<br>262|<br>263|<br>263|<br>263|
|TOTAL|2118|<br>2637|<br>3336|<br>36Zd|<br>3647|<br>3649|<br>3650|<br>3651|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|G-';|232|227|230|229|229|229|229|229|
|5-9|225|229|231|229|4Z9|229|229|229|
|10-14|211|232|231|228|228|228|229|229|
|15-19|181|234|226|227|228|229|229|229|
|20-24|164|<br>227|<br>223|<br>227|<br>229|<br>229|<br>229|<br>229|
|25-29|161|<br>214|<br>228|<br>229|<br>229|<br>229|<br>c29|<br>228|
|30-34|162|<br>184|<br>230|<br>231|<br>229|<br>228|<br>228|228|
|35-39|142|<br>167|<br>233|<br>230|<br>228|<br>228|<br>228|<br>228|
|40-44|95|<br>-162|<br>235|<br>225|<br>227|<br>228|<br>228|<br>228|
|45-49|90|<br>162|<br>227|<br>222|<br>226|<br>228|<br>228|<br>228|
|50-54|86|<br>140|<br>211|<br>225|<br>227|<br>227|<br>227|<br>226|
|55-59|84|<br>91|<br>179|<br>224|<br>226|<br>225|<br>224|<br>224|
|60--|83|<br>84|<br>158|223|222|220|220|220|
|6_i",|60|<br>76|<br>146|<br>216|<br>209|<br>211|<br>213|<br>213|
|to-74|64|<br>68|<br>133|<br>192|<br>191|<br>196|<br>198|<br>198|
|75+|76|<br>107|<br>174|<br>313|<br>399|411|<br>415|<br>416|
|TOTAL|2115|2603|3295|3672|3755|3773|3780|3782|
|BIRTH RATE||19.9|15.7|13.4|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||6.7|6.7|9.6|12.2|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|1.0|.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.42|.94|.38|.06|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTIL|ITY|2.609|2.084|2.063|2.059|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|etO)- BOTH|SEXES|76.02|77.34|78.17|78.75|78.90|79.01|79.03|
|<br>IMR- BOTH S|EXES|10.5|8.1|7.2|6.6|6.6k|6.3|6.3|
132

|WEST BANK<br>.**.....**..........<br>........................................|..............................................|Pro<br>................................|jection<br>(000s|)<br>with NRR-l|by 2035||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROIP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL H+F<br>887|<br>1060|<br>1272|<br>1508|<br>1764|<br>2036<br>2322|<br>2614|<br>28W|3165|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>78|99|119|<br>134|145|155<br>165|171|172|<br>166|
|5-9<br>71|77|98|119|133|144<br>155|165|171|<br>171|
|10-14<br>63|<br>70|<br>77|<br>98|118|<br>133<br>144|<br>15)|<br>164|<br>170|
|15-19<br>54|<br>63|<br>70|<br>76|97|118<br>132|<br>144|<br>154|<br>164|
|20-24<br>46|54|63|69|76|97<br>117|131|143|<br>153|
|25-29<br>43|46|53|62|69|75<br>96|116|130|142|
|30 34<br>23|42|45|53|61|68<br>74|95|115|130|
|35-39<br>19|22|42|<br>44|52|<br>61<br>67|<br>74|<br>94|<br>115|
|40-44<br>17|19|22|41|44|51<br>60|67|73|93|
|45-49<br>15|<br>17|<br>19|<br>21|40|<br>43<br>50|<br>59|<br>65|<br>72|
|50-54<br>12|<br>15|<br>16|<br>18|<br>20|<br>39<br>41|<br>49|<br>57|<br>63|
|55-5S<br>9|11|<br>14|<br>15|<br>17|<br>19<br>37|<br>39|<br>46|54|
|60-64<br>6|a|10|<br>13|<br>14|<br>15<br>18|<br>34|<br>36|<br>43|
|65-69<br>5|5|<br>7|<br>9|11|<br>12<br>13|<br>16|<br>30|<br>32|
|70-74<br>3|4|<br>4|<br>6|7|9<br>10|<br>11|<br>13|<br>24|
|75.<br>2|3|4|5|6|8<br>10|11|13|<br>16|
|TOTAL<br>468|<br>556|<br>663|<br>782|<br>910|<br>1047<br>1190|<br>1335|<br>1477|<br>1608|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>75|95|115|<br>128|S39|<br>149<br>159|164|165|<br>159|
|5-9<br>65|75|95|114|128|139<br>149|158|164|<br>165|
|10-14<br>58|65|74|95|114|128<br>139|149|158|<br>164|
|15-19<br>50|**58**|<br>65|74|94|114<br>128|138|148|<br>158|
|20-24<br>38|49|57|64|74|94<br>114|12;|<br>138|<br>148|
|25-29<br>29|38|49|57|64|73<br>94|113|127|138|
|30-34<br>20|29|37|48|56|63<br>73|93|113|126|
|35-39<br>18|19|28|37|48|56<br>63|73|93|112|
|40-U<br>15|17|19|28|37|47<br>55|62|72|92|
|45-49<br>14|15|17|<br>19|27|36<br>47|55|<br>62|71|
|50-54<br>9|14|15|16|18|27<br>35|46|54|61|
|55-59<br>8|9|13|14|16|18<br>26|34|44|52|
|60-64<br>6|8|8|13|13|15<br>17|25|33|43|
|65-69<br>5|6|7|7|11|12<br>14|15|23|30|
|70-74<br>3|4|S|<br>6|6|10<br>10|12|13|<br>20|
|75+<br>5|5|5|6|7|8<br>12|14|17|<br>19|
|TOTAL<br>4'9|505|609|727|854|989<br>1132|1279|<br>1423|<br>1558|
|BIRTH RAME|42.0|41.9|39.0|35.7|32.9<br>30.4|.7.8|24.9|21.8|
|DEATH RATE|6.3|5.5|4.9|4.4|4.2<br>4.1|4.1|4.1|4.2|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|3.57|3.63|3.41|3.13|2.86<br>2.63|2.37|2.08|1.76|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0<br>.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.57|3.64|3.41|3.14|2.86<br>2.63|2.37|2.07|1.76|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.490|5.980|5.470|4.960|4.450<br>3.940|3.430|2.962|2.558|
|NRR|2.906|2.730|2.533|2.323|2.091<br>1.858|1.624|1.408|1.220|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|65.97|67.48|68.84|70.09|70.74<br>71.40|72.08|72.77|73.48|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|60.18|60.79|61.47|62.18|62.71<br>63.25|63.80|64.37|64.95|
|IMRBOTNSEXES|440|35.5|28.6|23.0|21.6<br>20.1|18.7|17.2|15.8|
|q(5)<br>BOTHSEXES|.0560|.0437|.0344|.0272|.0254<br>.0236|.0219|.0201|.0183|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>95.7|<br> <br>91.8|<br> <br>92.3|<br> <br>92.8|<br>88.2|<br> <br>80.3<br>72.9|<br> <br>66.2|<br> <br>61.3|<br>56.0|
133

# WEST BANK

# Projection (0OOs) with NRR-i by 2035

Sumnary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE UROJP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|._<br>...<br>_<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>_.<br>...<br>_..._.._.|_.<br>_|..<br>..<br>..<br>.<br>_.<br>_<br>..<br>|**.**.<br>..<br>_._._...._._ _.......|...||..|...<br>_.<br>_.. _|
|TOTALMhF<br>887|1508|<br>2899|<br>4078|<br>4833|5026|<br>5061|<br>5072|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>78|134|172|<br>167|<br>163|163|<br>163|<br>163|
|5-9<br>71|119|171|164|<br>161|<br>162|<br>163|<br>163|
|10-14<br>63|98|164|157|<br>160|162|<br>163|<br>163|
|15-19<br>54|<br>76|<br>154|<br>155|<br>162|<br>163|<br>163|<br>163|
|20-24<br>46|<br>69|<br>143|<br>164|<br>164|<br>163|<br>162|<br>162|
|25-29<br>43|<br>62|<br>130|<br>169|<br>165|<br>162|<br>161|<br>162|
|30-34<br>23|<br>53|<br>115|<br>168|<br>162|<br>160|<br>161|<br>161|
|35-39<br>19|<br>44|<br>94|<br>161|<br>155|<br>158|<br>161|<br>161|
|40-44<br>17|<br>41|<br>73|<br>150|<br>152|<br>159|<br>161|<br>161|
|45-49<br>15|<br>21|<br>65|<br>138|<br>160|<br>160|<br>160|<br>159|
|50-54<br>12|<br>18|<br>57|<br>123|<br>163|<br>159|<br>156|<br>156|
|55-59<br>9|<br>15|<br>46|<br>105|<br>156|<br>152|<br>150|<br>151|
|60-64<br>6|<br>13|<br>36|<br>81|<br>142|<br>137|<br>142|<br>144|
|65-69<br>5|<br>9|<br>30|<br>56|<br>120|<br>124|<br>130|<br>132|
|70-74<br>3|<br>6|<br>13|<br>43|<br>95|<br>112|<br>113|<br>113|
|75.<br>2|<br>5|<br>13|<br>48|<br>115|<br>174|<br>177|<br>178|
|TOTAL<br>468|<br>782|<br>1477|<br>2047|<br>2395|<br>2471|<br>2485|<br>2491|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>75|128|165|<br>160|<br>157|<br>156|<br>156|<br>156|
|5-9<br>65|<br>114|<br>164|<br>157|<br>155|<br>156|<br>156|<br>156|
|10-14<br>58|<br>95|<br>158|<br>151|<br>154|<br>156|<br>156|<br>156|
|15-19<br>50|<br>74|148|<br>149|<br>156|<br>157|<br>157|<br>156|
|**_20-.7_**<br>38|<br>64|<br>138|<br>159|<br>158|<br>157|<br>156|<br>156|
|25-29<br>29|<br>57|<br>127|<br>164|<br>160|<br>157|<br>156|<br>156|
|30-34<br>20|48|113|<br>163|<br>157|<br>155|<br>156|<br>156|
|35-39<br>18|<br>37|93|157|<br>150|<br>154|<br>156|<br>156|
|40-44<br>15|- 28|<br>72|<br>146|<br>149|<br>155|<br>156|<br>156|
|45-49<br>14|19|62|135|<br>157|<br>157|<br>156|<br>156|
|50-54<br>9|16|54|123|<br>161|<br>158|<br>155|<br>154|
|55-59<br>8|14|44|107|<br>159|<br>154|<br>152|<br>153|
|60-64<br>6|<br>13|<br>33|<br>86|<br>149|<br>144|<br>148|<br>150|
|65-69<br>5|<br>7|<br>23|<br>63|<br>133|<br>137|<br>144|<br>146|
|70-74<br>3|<br>6|<br>13|<br>49|<br>113|<br>134|<br>136|<br>136|
|75+<br>5|<br>6|<br>17|<br>62|<br>169|<br>267|<br>278|<br>281|
|TOTAL<br>419|<br>727|<br>1423|<br>2031|<br>2438|<br>2555|<br>2576|<br>2582|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|40.8|29.6|18.3|14.3|13.0|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.5|4.2|4.9|7.6|11.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.54|2.61|1.36|.68|.16|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.897|3.786|2.186|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|e(O)<br>- BOTHSEXES|67.60|71.59|75.08|77.59|78.30|78.79|78.92|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|35.3|20.0|12.8|8.1|7.2|6.6|6.4|
# NON BORROWERS

# (EUROPE AND U.S.S.R.)
136

|ALBANIA<br>...-.................................................................................|..............................................|Proj|ection(0009)<br>|<br>with NRRx1 b|y 2005|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.........................................||.................|........................................................|..........|||||...|
|TOTAL H.F<br>2962|<br>3281|3596|<br>3881|4131|4369|4608|<br>4838|<br>5046|<br>5223|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>183|202|203|<br>192|180|181|190|<br>198|<br>193|<br>189|
|5-9<br>174|182|<br>201|<br>202|192|179|181|<br>190|<br>194|<br>193|
|10-14<br>162|174|182|<br>200|202|191|179|<br>181|<br>190|<br>194|
|15-19<br>159|161|<br>173|<br>181|200|202|191|<br>179|<br>180|<br>189|
|20-24<br>155|158|<br>160|<br>173|181|199|201|190|<br>178|<br>180|
|25-29<br>135|154|157|<br>160|172|180|199|<br>200|<br>190|<br>178|
|<br>30-34<br>104|<br>134|<br>153|<br> <br> <br>157|<br>159|<br>171|<br>179|<br> <br> <br>198|<br> <br> <br>200|<br><br> <br>189|
|35-39<br>81|103|134|<br>152|156|158|171|<br>178|<br>197|<br>199|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>73|<br>81|<br>102|<br> <br> <br>133|<br>151|<br>155|<br>157|<br> <br> <br>169|<br> <br> <br>_177_|<br><br> <br>196|
|45-49<br>68|72|79|101|131|150|153|<br>155|<br>168|<br>175|
|50-54<br>55|66|71|78|99|128|146|<br>150|<br>152|<br>164|
|55-S9<br>46|52|63|68|74|95|123|<br>141|<br>146|<br>147|
|60-64<br>31|43|49|59|63|69|89|115|<br>132|<br>135|
|65-69<br>27|<br>28|<br>38|<br>43|52|56|<br>62|<br>80|<br>104|<br>119|
|70-74<br>22|23|23|31|36|44|47|52|67|<br>87|
|75+<br>22|26|29|31|**38**|45|<br>55|62|70|<br>85|
|TOTAL<br>1497|1658|1817|<br>1961|2086|2205|2323|<br>2436|<br> <br>2535|<br><br> <br>2619|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>178|192|193|<br>183|171|172|181|185|<br>183|<br>179|
|5-9<br>169|177|191|<br>193|182|170|172|181|<br>185|<br>183|
|10-14<br>155|168|177|<br>191|193|182|170|172|<br>180|<br>185|
|15-19<br>149|155|168|<br>176|191|192|182|170|<br>172|<br>180|
|20-24<br>145|<br>149|<br>155|<br>168|176|191|192|182|<br>170|<br>172|
|25-29<br>128|<br>145|<br>149|<br>155|168|176|<br>191|<br>192|<br>182|<br>170|
|30-34<br>100|127|144|<br>148|154|16|176|190|<br>192|<br>181|
|35-39<br>78|<br>100|<br>127|<br>140|148|154|<br>167|<br>175|<br>190|<br>191|
|40-44<br>70|7?|99|126|143|147|153|166|<br>175|<br>189|
|45-49<br>**66**|**70**|**77**|**98**|**125**|**142**|146|152|<br>165|<br>174|
|50-54<br>54|65|69|76|97|124|141|145|<br>151|<br>164|
|55-59<br>51|53|64|67|74|95|122|138|<br>142|<br>148|
|60-64<br>35|49|51|62|65|72|93|118|<br>134|<br>139|
|65-69<br>31|32|46|6<br>48|58|62|68|88|112|<br>128|
|70-74<br>27|27|29|41|43|52|55|61|79|101|
|75.<br>30<br> <br>|36<br>|40|44|0<br>**56**|65|77|87|98|120|
|TOTAL<br>1465|1623|1779|1920|204S|2164|2285|2403|2511|<br>260S|
|BIRTH RATE|26.3|23.9|20.6|17.9|17.0|16.9|16.4|15.5|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.9|5.6|5.4|5.4|5.8|6.2|6.6|7.1|7.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.05|1.83|1.52|1.25|1.12|1.07|.97|.84|.69|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRO4TH<br>RATE|2.05|1.83|1.52|1.25|1.12|1.07|.97|.84|.69|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.320|2.906|2.544<br>2|.227<br>2|.112|<br>2.107|<br>2.103|<br>2.098|2.093|
|WRR|1.531|1.354|1.194<br>1|.052<br>|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|**e(O)**- BWTH<br>SEXES|71.68|72.73|73.64<br>7|4.43<br>|74.78|75.14|75.51|75.88|76.25|
|e(1O) - BOTH SEXES|65.23|65.67|66.04<br>6|6.38<br>6|6.61|66.85|67.08|67.33|67.57|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES<br>|39.0|32.7|26.9|22.1|20.6|19.1|17.7|16.2|14.7|
|q(S) - BOTH SEXES|.0450|.0372|.0303<br>.|0245<br>.|0229|.0212|.0196|.0179|.0163|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>66.1|62.9|60.2|<br>56.4|51.4|47.2|45.4|46.4|<br> <br>48.8|<br>50.9|
137 ALBANIA Projection (000s) with NRRal by 2005

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............<br>.........................||..<br>.........|...............|......|..........<br>.......|............|...................................... .....................|
|TOTALN+F<br>2962|3881|5046|5659|5801|5837|5854|5859|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>183|<br>192|<br>193|<br>190|<br>189|<br>189|<br>189|<br>189|
|5-9<br>174|<br>202|<br>194|<br>189|<br>188|<br>189|<br>189|<br>189|
|10-14<br>162|<br>200|<br>190|<br>187|<br>188|<br>188|<br>189|<br>189|
|15-19<br>159|<br>181|<br>180|<br>186|<br>188|<br>189|<br>189|<br>189|
|20-24<br>155|<br>173|<br>i|187|<br>189|<br>188|<br>188|<br>188|
|25-29<br>135|<br>160|<br>190|<br>191|<br>189|<br>188|<br>188|<br>188|
|30-34<br>104|157|200|192|187|187|187|187|
|35-39<br>81|152|197|187|185|<br>186|187|187|
|40-44<br>73|<br>133|<br>177|<br>177|<br>183|<br>185|<br>186|<br>186|
|45-49<br>68|101|168|174|183|185|185|184|
|50-54<br>55|78|152|182|184|<br>183|182|181|
|55-59<br>46|68|144|186|180|176|176|176|
|60-64<br>31|59|132|173|166|165|166|167|
|65-69<br>27|43|104|142|144|149|152|153|
|70-74<br>22|31|67|115|122|<br>129|131|131|
|75,<br>22|31|70|154|203|207|207|208|
|TOTAL<br>1497|<br>1961|<br>2535|<br>2813|<br>2869|<br>2882|<br>2888|<br>2891|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>178|<br>183|<br>183|<br>181|<br>180|<br>179|<br>179|<br>179|
|5-9<br>169|193|185|180|179|<br>179|179|179|
|10-14<br>155<br> <br>|<br>191<br>|<br>180<br>|<br>178<br>|<br>179<br>|<br>1719<br> <br>|<br>179<br>|<br>179<br>|
|15-19<br>149|176|172|177|179|<br>180|180|179|
|20-24<br>145|168|170|179|180|'180|<br>179|179|
|25-29<br>128|155|182|183|181|<br>180|179|179|
|30-34<br>100|148|192|184|180|179|179|179|
|35-39<br>78|144|190|180|177|178|179|179|
|40-44<br>70|-126|175|171|176|179|179|179|
|45-49<br>66|98|165|169|178|179|179|179|
|50-54<br>54|76|151|179|181|<br>179|178|178|
|55-59<br>51|67|142|186|180|176|176|176|
|60-64<br>35|62|134|<br>180|172|171|172|173|
|65-69<br>31|48|112|159|158|164|167|167|
|70-74<br>27|41|79|138|144|153|156|156|
|75+<br>30|44|98|224|309,|<br>320|324|325|
|TOTAL<br>1465|<br>1920|<br>2511|<br>2846|<br>2932|<br>2955|<br>2965|<br>2968|
|BIRTH RATE|23.5|16.7|13.8|12.9|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|5.6|6.3|9.2|11.9.|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.80|1.05|.46|.10|.03|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.891|2.127|2.084|2.070|2.069|2.068|2.068|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.74|75.19|77.03|78.32|78.69|78.93|78.98|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|33.0|19.1|11.8|7.2|6.7|6.4|6.4|
138

|AUSTRIA<br>................................................................||Proj|ectfon**(000**|**s)**<br>with NRR-<br>.............|1**by**2030<br>.........|.....................................|....|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROIP<br>1985|<br>l990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.........................................||................|................................<br>..........|.............................||||||
|TOTALH.F<br>7555|7520|7493|7460|7409|7344|7272|7183|7075|<br>6959|
|**HALES**||||||||||
|0-4<br>240|218|212|198|196|194|194|194|195|<br>197|
|5-9<br>224|240|217|211|198|195|194|194|<br>194|<br>195|
|10-14<br>257|224|240|217|211|198|195|<br>193|<br>193|<br>194|
|15-19<br>313|257|223|239|217|211|197|195|193|<br>193|
|20-24<br>330|311|255|222|238|216|210|197|194|<br>193|
|25-29<br>295|328|309|254|221|237|215|209|196|<br>194|
|30-34<br>257|m|325|307|253|220|236|214|209|<br>195|
|35-39<br>258|255|290|323|306|251|219|235|213|<br>208|
|40-44<br>261|255|252|287|321|303|250|218|<br>233|<br>212|
|45-49<br>228|256|250|248|<br>283|316|299|246|<br>215|<br>231|
|50-54<br>197|221|249|244|242|277|309|293|241|<br>211|
|55-59<br>198|186|210|238|234|232|266|297|282|<br>233|
|60-64<br>171|l8|172|<br>19|221|218|217|249|279|265|
|65-69<br>99|149|160|<br>152|<br>174|198|195|15|224|<br>251|
|70-74<br>119|80|121|<br>131|<br>126|144|165|163|<br>163|<br>1B3|
|75+<br>l55|157|132|<br>151|<br>170|<br>177|194|219|231|238|
|TOTAL<br>3602|3608|3618|3619|3610|3588|3555|3511|3456|<br>3396|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>226|207|201|188|<br>186|184|184|185|186|<br>187|
|5-9<br>211|226|207|201|18s|185|184|184|185|<br>186|
|10-14<br>244|211|226|207|201|188|185|184|184|<br>185|
|15-19<br>299|2"4|211|226|206|201|188|185|184|<br>184|
|20-24<br>318|298|244|211|226|206|201|188|185|<br>184|
|25-29<br>285|317|298|244|211|226|206|201|188|<br>185|
|30-34<br>252|284|317|298|244|210|225|206|200|187|
|35-39<br>251|252|283|316|297|243|210|225|206|200|
|40-44<br>259|250|251|282|315|296|243|210|225|205|
|45-49<br>228|257|249|249|281|314|295|242|209|224|
|50-54<br>203|225|254|246|247|279|311|293|240|207|
|55-59<br>225|199|221|250|242|243|274|307|289|236|
|60-64<br>258|217|192|<br>214|<br>243|236|237|267|299|282|
|65-69<br>158|242|204|182|<br>203|231|224|226|255|286|
|70-74<br>202|140|216|184|164|184|210|204|206|234|
|75+<br>332<br>|342<br>|301<br>|<br>344<br>|344<br>|330<br>|340<br>|368<br>|380<br>|391<br>|
|TOTAL<br>3953|3912|3875|3841|3798|3756|3717|3673|3620|3563|
|BIRTH RATE|11.4|11.1|10.4|10.3|10.3|10.4|10.6|10.8|11.0|
|DEATH RATE|12.3|11.8|11.3|11.7|12.1|12.4|13.0|13.8|14.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|-.09|-.07|-.09|-.4|-. 18|-. 20|-. 25|-. 30|-.33|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|**.0**|**0**|.|.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**<br>RATE|-.09|-.07|-.09|-. 14|-. 18|-. 20|-. 24|-. 30|-. 33|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.470|1.470|1.470|1.578|1.680|1.777|1.868|1.955|2.038|
|NRR|.706|.707|.708|.760|.810|.857|.902|.944|.984|
|**e(0)**- BOTH SEXES|74.12|75.01|75.73|76.35|76.56|76.77|76.99|77.21|77.43|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|64.99|65.77|66.42|66.99|67.20|67.42|67.63|67.85|68.07|
|**INR**- BOTH SEXES|9.9|8.6|7.8|7.2|7.2|7.2|7.2|7.1|7.1|
|q(5)-**BOTH**SEXES|.0110|.0095|.0086|.0079|.0079|.0079|.0078|.0078|.0077|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>48.5|<br>47.9|<br>48.2|<br>46.5|<br> <br>46.8|<br>48.8|<br>51.2|<br>53.6|<br>58.0|<br>64.6|
139 AUSTRIA Projection (00Os) with NRR=I by 2030 Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................................................|...............................|||||||
|TOTALN+F<br>7555|7460|7075|<br>6382|<br>6065|<br>6043|<br>6048|<br>6051|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>240|198|195|<br>195|<br>195|<br>195|<br>195|<br>195|
|5-9<br>224|211|194|194|<br>194|<br>195|<br>195|<br>195|
|10-14<br>257|<br>217|<br>193|<br>194|<br>195|<br>195|<br>195|<br>195|
|15-19<br>313|239|193|<br>195|<br>195|<br>194|<br>194|<br>194|
|20-24<br>330|222|194|196|<br>194|<br>194|<br>194|<br>194|
|25-29<br>295|254|<br>196|<br>194|<br>193|<br>193|<br>193|<br>194|
|30-34<br>257|307|209|192|192|193|193|193|
|35-39<br>258|323|213|191|192|193|193|193|
|40-44<br>261|287|233|190|193|192|192|192|
|45-49<br>228|248|215|189|192|190|190|190|
|50-54<br>197|244|241|188|187|187|187|187|
|55-59<br>198|238|282|194|180|181|<br>181|182|
|60-64<br>171|195|279|188|170|171|172|172|
|65-69<br>99|<br>152|224|187|155|158|157|157|
|70-74<br>119|131|163|148|133|135|135|135|
|75+<br>155|151|231|282|224|212|213|214|
|TOTAL<br>3602|3619|3456|<br>3116|<br>2982|<br>2977|<br>2979|<br>2981|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>226|188|<br>186|185|<br>185|<br>186|<br>186|<br>186|
|5-9<br>211|201|185|185|<br>185|<br>186|<br>186|<br>186|
|10-14<br>244|207|184|185|<br>186|<br>186|<br>186|<br>186|
|15-19<br>299|<br>226|<br>184|<br>187|<br>186|<br>186|<br>186|<br>186|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>318|<br> <br>211|<br> <br>185|<br> <br>187|<br> <br> <br>186|<br> <br> <br>185|<br> <br> <br>185|<br><br> <br>186|
|25-29<br>285|244|188|185|<br>185|<br>185|<br>185|<br>185|
|30-34<br>252|298|200|184|<br>185|<br>185|<br>I15|<br>185|
|35-39<br>251|316|206|184|<br>185|<br>185|<br>185|<br>185|
|40-44<br>25C|<br>t282|225|183|<br>186|<br>186|<br>185|<br>185|
|45-49<br>228|249|209|184|<br>186|<br>185|<br>185|<br>185|
|50-54<br>203|246|240|185|<br>183|<br>183|<br>184|<br>184|
|55-59<br>225|250|289|196|<br>181|<br>181|<br>182|<br>182|
|60-64<br>258|214|299|<br>197|<br>177|<br>178|<br>179|<br>179|
|65-69<br>158|182|255|207|<br>170|<br>173|<br>173|<br>173|
|70-74<br>202|184|206|178|<br>159|<br>162|<br>161|<br>161|
|75+<br>332|344|380|454|<br>358|<br>334|336|<br>337|
|TOTAL<br>3953|3841|3620|3265|<br>3083|<br>3066|<br>3069|<br>3070|
|BIRTH RATE|11.0|10.5|11.4|12.4|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|11.8|12.6|*5.5|14.4.|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|-.08|-.21|-. 41|-. 20|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.482|1.762|2.062|2.066|2.066|2.065|2.065|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|74.95|76.77|77.87|78.65|78.84|78.97|79.00|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|8.8|7.2|7.0|6.8|6.6|6.4|6.3|
140

|KLGItM<br>..................||I...........|Proj<br>. ...|ection(000<br>.......<br>..........|s)<br>with NRR<br>....<br>......|=1 t-y 2030<br>....<br>..<br>..|.....................|...|..<br>.|..................|...|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE CROUP<br>1985||1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020||2025|<br>2030|
|....<br>....<br>..<br>..<br>. ......<br>....|.....|<br>...<br>...<br>.|.<br>..<br>...........|...................|.....|...........||.........||........||
|TOTALK+F<br>9858||9876|9885|9880|<br>9846|<br>9787|<br>9714|<br>9632||9535|<br>9405|
|KALES||||||||||||
|**0-4**<br>311||294|285|270|<br>269|<br>268|268|268||269|<br>271|
|5-9<br>310||311|294|285|<br>271|<br>269|268|268||268|<br>269|
|10-14<br>341||310|311|295|<br>285|<br>271|269|268||268|<br>268|
|15-19<br>375||340|310|311|<br>295|<br>285|271|269||268|<br>267|
|20-24<br>402||375|340|310|<br>311|<br>294|285|270||269|<br>267|
|25-29<br>393||401|374|340|<br>310|<br>311|294|284||270|<br>268|
|30-34<br>372||392|400|374|<br>339|<br>309|310|293||284|<br>269|
|35-39<br>357||370|390|399|<br>372|<br>338|308|309||292|<br>282|
|40-44<br>280||354|367|388|<br>396|<br>370|336|306||307|<br>290|
|45-49<br>288||275|349|363|<br>383|<br>392|366|333||303|<br>304|
|50-54<br>300||280|268|341|<br>355|<br>375|384|359||326|<br>297|
|55-59<br>289||285|267|257|<br>328|<br>341|361|370||346|<br>315|
|60-64<br>265||267|265|249|<br>241|<br>307|320|339||348|<br>326|
|<br> <br>65-69<br>163||<br>233|<br>236|<br>236|<br> <br>223|<br> <br>216|<br>276|<br>288||<br>306|<br><br> <br>314|
|70-74<br>164||133|192|196|<br>197|<br>187|181|232||243|<br>258|
|75+<br>202||214|200|239|<br>263|<br>277|277|274||312|<br>340|
|TOTAL<br>4812||4835|4849|4851|<br>4838|<br>4811|4774|4731||4676|<br>4605|
|FEMALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>295||280|271|257|<br>256|<br>255|255|255||256|<br>258|
|5-9<br>296||295|280|271|<br>257|<br>256|255|255||255|<br>256|
|10-14<br>324||296|<br>296|280|<br>272|<br>258|256|255||255|<br>255|
|15-19<br>359||325|296|296|<br>281|<br>272|258|256||255|<br>255|
|20-24<br>387||360|326|297|<br>297|<br>281|272|258||257|<br>255|
|25-29<br>379||388|361|327|298|<br>297|282|273||258|256|
|30-34<br>357||380|388|362|327|<br>299|298|282||273|258|
|35-39<br>344||357|379|388|362|<br>327|299|298||282|<br>272|
|40-4<br>275||343|356|379|388|<br>361|327|298||297|<br>7R1|
|45-49<br>290||273|341|354|377|<br>386|359|325||297|<br>296|
|50-54<br>308||286|270|338|351|<br>374|383|357||323|<br>295|
|55-59<br>308||301|281|265|333|<br>346|369|378||352|<br>319|
|60-64<br>297||297|292|273|258|<br>324|338|360||369|<br>344|
|65-69<br>202||279|280|276|259|<br>246|309|322||344|353|
|70-74<br>234||180|250|253|251|<br>236|224|282||295|315|
|75+<br>392||402|369|411|441|458|457|448||493|531|
|TOTAL<br>5046||5041|5036|5028|5008|<br>4976|4940|4902||4859|<br>4800|
|BIRTH RATE||11.7|11.3|10.7|10.7|10.7|10.8|10.9||11.0|11.3|
|DEATH RATE||11.7|<br>11.4|<br>11.2|<br>11.7|<br>12.1|<br>12.4|<br>12.7||<br>13.1|14.0|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||.01|-.01|-.04|-.09|-.14|-.17|-.18||-.21|-.28|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE||.3|.3|.3|.3|.2|.2|.1||.1|.0|
|<br> <br>GROWTH<br>RATE||<br>.04|<br>.02|<br>-.01|<br>-.07|<br>-.12|<br>-.15|<br>-.17||<br>-.20|-.28|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1|.550|1.550|1.550|1.641|1.728|1.812|1.891|1|.968|2.040|
|NRR||.745|.746|.747|.791|.834|.874|.913||.950|.986|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|.|4.76|75.55|76.22|76.75|76.93|77.12|77.30|7|7.49|77.68|
|edlO)- BOTH SEXES|6|5.62|66.32|66.92|67.41|67.59|67.77|67.95|6|8.14|68.32|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES||9.7|8.6|7.9|7.4|7.3|7.2|7.2||7.1|7.1|
|q(5) -80TH SEXES||0108|0095|0086|0081|0080|0079|0079||0078|0077|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>48.8|.|<br>48.5|.<br>49.3|.<br>49.5|.<br> <br>49.1|.<br> <br>48.5|.<br>51.3|.<br> <br>54.9|.<br>|<br>59.6|.<br> <br>64.5|
141 Projection (000s) with NRR=l by 2030 BELGItW

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUJP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....<br>...<br>...<br>...<br>...............|<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL MWF<br>9858|<br>9880|<br>9535|<br>8746|<br>8376|<br>8349|<br>8355|<br>8359|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>311|<br>270|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|
|5-9<br>310|285|268|<br>268|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|
|10-14<br>341|295|<br>268|<br>268|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|<br>269|
|15-19<br>375|<br>311|268|<br>270|<br>269|<br>268|<br>268|<br>268|
|20-24<br>402|310|269|<br>270|<br>268|<br>268|<br>268|<br>268|
|25-29<br>393|<br>340|<br>270|<br>267|<br>267|<br>267|<br>267|<br>267|
|30-34<br>372|<br>374|<br>284|<br>265|<br>265|<br>266|<br>267|<br>267|
|35-39<br>357|<br>399|<br>292|<br>264|<br>265|<br>266|<br>266|<br>266|
|40-44<br>280|388|307|263|266|265|265|265|
|45-49<br>288|363|303|262|264|262|262|262|
|50-54<br>300|341|326|<br>259|<br>258|<br>258|<br>258|<br>258|
|55-59<br>289|257|346|265|<br>249|<br>250|<br>251|<br>251|
|60-64<br>265|249|348|258|<br>236|<br>237|<br>238|<br>238|
|65-69<br>163|<br>236|<br>306|<br>248|<br>215|<br>218|<br>218|<br>217|
|70-74<br>164|196|243|210|185|187|186|186|
|75+<br>202|<br>239|<br>312|<br>373|<br>307|<br>294|<br>295|<br>296|
|TOTAL<br>4812|4851|4676|4279|4120|4112|4114|4116|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>295|<br>257|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|5-9<br>296|<br>271|<br>255|<br>255|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|10-14<br>324|<br>280|<br>255|<br>256|<br>257|<br>257|<br>256|<br>256|
|15-19<br>359|<br>296|<br>255|<br>258|<br>257|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|20-24<br>387|<br>297|<br>257|<br>258|<br>257|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|25-29<br>379|<br>327|<br>258|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|30-34<br>357|<br>362|<br>273|<br>255|<br>255|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|35-39<br>344|<br>388|<br>282|<br>254|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|40-44<br>275|<br>'379|<br>297|<br>254|<br>257|<br>256|<br>256|<br>256|
|45-49<br>290|<br>354|<br>297|<br>255|<br>257|<br>255|<br>255|<br>255|
|50-54<br>308|<br>338|<br>323|<br>255|<br>253|<br>253|<br>254|<br>254|
|55-59<br>308|<br>265|<br>352|<br>266|<br>250|<br>251|<br>251|<br>252|
|60-64<br>297|<br>273|<br>369|<br>270|<br>245|<br>247|<br>248|<br>248|
|65-69<br>202|<br>276|<br>344|<br>274|<br>236|<br>240|<br>239|<br>239|
|70-74<br>234|<br>253|<br>295|<br>253|<br>220|<br>223|<br>222|<br>222|
|75+<br>392|<br>411|<br>493|<br>592|<br>489|<br>462|<br>465|<br>467|
|TOTAL<br>5046|<br>5028|<br>4859|<br>4467|<br>4256|<br>4237|<br>4241|<br>4243|
|BIRTH RATE|11.3|10.8|11.6|12.4|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.4|12.4|15.0|14.2|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.3|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|.01|-.14|-.35|-. 17|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.556|1.801|2.062|2.065|2.065|2.064|2.064|
|etO) - BOTH SEXES|75.51|77.12|78.06|78.72|78.89|79.00|79.03|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|8.7|7.2|7.0|6.7|6.5|6.3|6.3|
1 2

|iULGARIA||Proj|ection (00Os)|with NRRai b|y2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**CROUP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|**TOTAL.+F**<br>8960|9020|9066|9115|9135|9130|9110|9092|9075|c953|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>302|292|292|295|299|296|291|288|290|293|
|5-9<br>338|<br>301|292|291|295|299|296|290|288|289|
|10-14<br>338|338|301|291|291|294|298|295|290|287|
|15-19<br>312|337|337|300|291|290|294|298|295|290|
|20-24<br>309|310|335|335|299|289|289|293|297|294|
|25-29<br>312|307|308|333|333|297|288|<br>288|291|295|
|30-34<br>326|309|304|306|331|331|296|287|287|290|
|35-39<br>337|323|307|302|<br>304|<br>329|<br>329|<br>294|<br>285|285|
|40-44<br>280|332|318|303|299|301|326|326|291|283|
|45-49<br>274|274|325|313|298|294|296|321|322|288|
|50-54<br>308|264|265|316|304|290|286|289|313|314|
|55 59<br>296|291|251|252|301|290|277|274|277|301|
|60-64<br>265|270|267|231|233|279|270|258|256|259|
|65-69<br>137|230|236|234|204|206|248|240|231|229|
|70-74<br>153|<br>110|<br>185|<br>192|192|167|170|205|200|192|
|75+<br>164|<br>183|163|209|238|254|<br>245|245|272|<br>282|
|TOTAL<br>4455|4472|<br>4485|4503|4510|4508|4499|4491|4483|4473|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>286|277|276|279|283|280|275|273|<br>274|278|
|5-9<br>323|285|276|276|279|283|<br>280|275|272|<br>274|
|10-14<br>318|<br>323|285|276|276|279|<br>282|280|275|272|
|15-19<br>296|317|<br>322|285|276|276|279|282|280|275|
|20-24<br>295|295|<br>317|<br>322|285|276|275|278|282|279|
|25-29<br>305|294|294|316|321|284|275|275|278|282|
|30.34<br>323|304|293|<br>294|315|320|284|275|275|278|
|35-39<br>336|321|302|m|293|314|320|283|274|274|
|40-44<br>281|333|319|300|290|291|313|318|<br>282|273|
|45-49<br>280|277|330|316|298|288|289|III|316|<br>280|
|50-54<br>314|274|272|<br>324|311|294|284|285|307|313|
|55-59<br>303|304|267|265|316|304|287|278|280|302|
|60-64<br>288|288|291|256|255|305|293|<br>278|270|272|
|65-69<br>160|<br>265|266|270|23W'|239|286|276|262|255|
|70-74<br>177|138|230|233|238|211|212|255|<br>'48|<br>236|
|75+<br>222<br> <br>|251<br>|239<br>|308<br>|350<br>|379<br>|377<br>|379<br>|418<br>|437|
|TOTAL<br>4505|4548|4580|4612|4624|46Z2|4411|4601|4592|4579|
|**BIRTH**RATE|12.9|12.7|12.8|12.9|12.7|12.5|12.4|12.5|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.5|11.7|11.7|12.4|12.9|13.0|12.8|12.9|13.2|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|.13|.10|.11|.04|-.01|-. 04|-. 04|-. 04|-.05|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**CROW7H**<br>RATE|.13|.10|.11|.04|-.01|-.04|-.04|-. 04|-.05|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.900|1.900|1.900<br>|1.929<br>|1.958|1.986|2.014|2.042|2.069|
|NRR|.900|.904|.907|.923|.937|.952|.966|.980|.994|
|**e(O)**- BOTH SEXES|72.07|72.96|73.78<br>7|4.49<br>7|4.84|75.19|75.54|75.90|76.27|
|e(lO) - BOTH SEXES|63.41|64.09|64.76<br>6|5.35<br>6|5.68|66.01|66.35|66.69|67.04|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|15.0|12.7|11.0|9.7|9.4|9.2|9.0|8.7|8.5|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0171|.0143|.0123<br>.|0107<br>.|0105|.0102|.0099|.0097|.0094|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>48.3|49.7|50.5|<br>53.0|<br>53.5|<br>53.6|<br>55.7|<br>57.0|<br>57.6|58.1|
143 BJLCARIA Projection (0009) with NRR-1 by 2030

# Summry for 25 Year Perfods

|................<br>.....................<br>AGE GR0JP<br>1985|........................................<br> <br>2000|............................<br> <br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................................................|...............................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>8960|<br>9115|9075|<br>8993|<br>8965|<br>8992|<br>9013|<br>9023|
|FL; S||||||||
|0-4<br>302|<br>295|<br>290|<br>290|<br>291|<br>291|<br>292|<br>291|
|5-9<br>338|<br>291|<br>288|<br>290|<br>291|<br>291|<br>291|<br>291|
|10-14<br>33R|<br>291|<br>290|<br>292|<br>291|<br>291|<br>291|<br>291|
|15-19<br>312|<br>300|<br>295|<br>293|<br>291|<br>290|<br>290|<br>291|
|20-24<br>309|<br>335|<br>297|<br>291|<br>289|<br>289|<br>290|<br>290|
|25-29<br>312|<br>333|<br>291|<br>287|<br>288|<br>289|<br>289|<br>289|
|30-34<br>326|<br>306|<br>287|<br>284|<br>287|<br>289|<br>289|<br>289|
|35-39<br>337|<br>302|<br>285|<br>286|<br>288|<br>288|<br>288|<br>288|
|40-44<br>280|<br>303|<br>291|<br>289|<br>289|<br>287|<br>286|<br>287|
|45-49<br>274|<br>313|<br>322|<br>288|<br>285|<br>283|<br>284|<br>284|
|50-54<br>308|<br>316|<br>313|<br>279|<br>277|<br>278|<br>279|<br>280|
|55-59<br>296|<br>252|<br>277|<br>265|<br>266|<br>270|<br>271|<br>272|
|60-64<br>265|<br>231|<br>256|<br>249|<br>254|<br>257|<br>258|<br>258|
|65-69<br>137|<br>234|<br>231|<br>232|<br>235|<br>236|<br>23S|<br>235|
|70-74<br>153|<br>192|<br>200|<br>218|<br>201|<br>201|<br>200|<br>201|
|75+<br>164|<br>209|<br>272|<br>311|<br>309|<br>312|<br>318|<br>320|
|TOTAL<br>4455|<br>4503|<br>4483|<br>4444|<br>4432|<br>4443|<br>4451|<br>4456|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>286|<br>279|<br>274|<br>275|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|5-9<br>323|<br>276|<br>272|<br>275|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|10-14<br>318|<br>276|<br>275|<br>277|<br>277|<br>?76|<br>276|<br>276|
|15-19<br>296|<br>285|<br>280|<br>279|<br>277|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|20-24<br>295|<br>322|<br>282|<br>277|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|25-29<br>305|<br>316|<br>278|<br>274|<br>275|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|30-34<br>323|<br>294|<br>275|<br>272|<br>275|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|35-39<br>336|<br>292|<br>274|<br>274|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|40-44<br>281|<br>-300|<br>282|<br>278|<br>278|<br>276|<br>275|<br>275|
|45-49<br>280|<br>316|<br>316|<br>279|<br>276|<br>274|<br>274|<br>275|
|50-54<br>314|<br>324|<br>307|<br>273|<br>270|<br>272|<br>273|<br>274|
|55-59<br>303|<br>265|<br>280|<br>266|<br>266|<br>270|<br>271|<br>271|
|60-64<br>288|<br>256|<br>270|<br>260|<br>263|<br>266|<br>267|<br>267|
|65-69<br>160|<br>270|<br>262|<br>255|<br>257|<br>258|<br>257|<br>257|
|70-74<br>177|<br>233|<br>248|<br>262|<br>239|<br>238|<br>238|<br>239|
|75+<br>222|<br>308|<br>418|<br>473|<br>478|<br>486|<br>497|<br>501|
|TOTAL<br>4505|<br>4612|<br>4592|<br>4549|<br>4533|<br>4549|<br>4562|<br>4567|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|12.8|12.6|12.7|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.7|12.8|13.1|12.9|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.11|-.02|-.04|-.01|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.901|1.985|2.075|2.072|2.071|2.071|2.070|
|eCO)- BOTHSEXES|72.94|75.19|77.03|78.34|78.68|78.91|78.97|
|<br>IHRBOTH SEXES|12.9|9.2|8.1|7.2|6.7|6.5|6.4|
144 CHANNEL ISLANDS ProJection (000s) with NRRul by 2030

|....<br>.....................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|..............................................<br> <br>1990|...........<br> <br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL H.P<br>134|<br>135|<br>135|<br>135|<br>134|<br>133|<br>131|<br>129|<br>128|<br>125|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|5-9<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|
|10-14<br>4|4|4|4|4|4|4|<br>3|3|<br>4|
|15-19<br>5|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|
|20-24<br>5|5|4|4|4|4|4|<br>4|3|<br>3|
|25-29<br>5|5|5|4|4|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|
|30-34<br>6|5|5|5|4|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|35-39<br>5|6|5|5|5|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|40-44<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|45-49<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|50-54<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>X|<br>5|<br>4|
|60-64<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|65-69<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>3|
|75+<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|YOTAL<br>65|65|66|65|65|64|64|<br>63|<br>62|<br>61|
|FEkALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|5-9<br>4|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|10-14<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|15-19<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|20-24<br>5|5|4|4|3|4|4|<br>3|3|<br>3|
|25-29<br>5|5|5|4|4|3|4|4|3|<br>3|
|30-34<br>6|5|5|5|4|4|3|4|4|<br>3|
|35-39<br>5|6|5|5|5|4|4|3|4|<br>4|
|40-44<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>4|
|45-49<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|
|50-54<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|
|60-64<br>3|4|4|4|4|5|6|5|5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|
|70-74<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|
|75+<br>5|5|5|5|6|6|6|6|7|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>69|69|69|69|69|68|67|67|66|<br>64|
|BIRTH RATE|12.2|11.5|10.6|10.3|10.1|10.3|10.7|10.9|11.2|
|DEATH RATE|11.4|11.2|11.2|11.3|12.1|12.6|13.2|13.9|15.0|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|.08|.03|-.06|-.11|-.20|-.23|-.25|-.30|-.39|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.08|.03|-.05|-.11|-.20|-.23|-.25|-.30|-.39|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.553|1.553|1.553|1.644|1.730|1.813|1.892|1.968|2.040|
|NRR|.749|.750|.750|.794|.836|.876|.915|.951|.986|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|75.59|76.16|76.63|77.01|77.18|77.34|77.51|77.68|77.85|
|edlO)- BOTH SEXES|66.06|66.62|67.10|67.48|67.65|67.81|67.98|68.15|68.32|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|.0058|.0058|.0058|.0058|.0058|.0058|.0058|.0058|.0058|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>46.7|<br> <br>45.9|<br> <br>47.|<br>2<br>49.|<br>0<br>48.|<br>6<br>48.|<br>3<br>51.|<br>8<br>59.|<br>3<br>63.|8<br>67.7|
145 Projection (000*) with NRRUl by 2030

# CHANNEL ISLANDS

# Sumrary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1955<br>............<br>......................................|<br>2000<br>..................................|<br>2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>...............................................................|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>134|<br>135|<br>128<br>115<br>110|<br>109|<br>109|<br>109|
|MALES||||||
|0-4<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|5-9<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|10-14<br>4|<br>4|<br>3<br>3<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|15-19<br>5|<br>4|<br>3<br>4<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|20-24<br>5|<br>4|<br>3<br>4<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|25-29<br>5|<br>4|<br>4<br>6<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|30-34<br>6|<br>5|<br>4<br>4<br>3|3|<br>4|<br>4|
|35-39<br>5|<br>5|<br>4<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|40-44<br>4|<br>5|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|45-49<br>4|<br>6|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|50-54<br>4|<br>5|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|55-59<br>4|<br>4|<br>5<br>4<br>3|J|3|<br>3|
|60-64<br>3|3|4<br>4<br>3|3|3|3|
|65-69<br>3|<br>3|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|70-74<br>2|<br>3|<br>4<br>3<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>2|
|75+<br>3|<br>3|<br>4<br>5<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|TOTAL<br>65|<br>65|<br>62<br>56<br>54|<br>54|<br>54|<br>54|
|FEMALES||||||
|0-4<br>3|3|3<br>3<br>3|3|3|3|
|5-9<br>4|<br>4|<br>3<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|70-14<br>4|4|3<br>3<br>3|3|3|3|
|15-19<br>5|<br>3|<br>3<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|20-24<br>5|<br>4|<br>3<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|25-29<br>5|<br>4|<br>3<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|30-34<br>6|<br>5|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|35-39<br>5|<br>5|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|40-44<br>4|<br>-<br>5|3<br>3<br>3|3|3|3|
|45-49<br>4|<br>6|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|50-54<br>4|<br>5|<br>4<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|55-59<br>4|<br>4|<br>5<br>4<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|60-64<br>3|<br>4|<br>5<br>4<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|65-69<br>3|<br>4|<br>5<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|70-74<br>3|<br>3|<br>5<br>3<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|
|75+<br>5|<br>5|<br>7<br>8<br>7|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>69|<br>69|<br>66<br>59<br>56|<br>55|<br>55|<br>55|
|BIRTH RATE|11.5|10.4<br>11.5<br>12.4|12.7|i2.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.3|12.6<br>15.7<br>14.2|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0<br>.0<br>.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|.02|-. 22<br>-.43<br>-. 17|-. 02|.00|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.552|1.803<br>2.062<br>2.067|2.067|2.067|2.067|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|76.13|77.34<br>78.18<br>78.75|78.83|78.90|78.96|
|INR-BOTH SEXES|5.4|5.4<br>5.4<br>5.4|5.4|5.4|5.4|
146 CZECHOSLOVAKIA Projection **(000s)** with **NRRam** by 2030

|..........<br>.................<br>**AGE**GROLP<br>1985|...............<br> <br>1990|..................<br>1995|...........<br>2000|2005|_......................................<br>2010|................<br>2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,....................................................................................|..............................................|||||||||
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>15500|<br>15684|15885|16147|16406|16647|16850|17020|<br>17150|<br>17248|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>607|551|562|582|603|599|582|571|573|582|
|5-9<br>711|605|549|561|581|602|598|581|570|<br>572|
|10-14<br>625|709|604|548|560|580|601|597|581|5s9|
|15-19<br>551|622|706|601|546|558|578|599|596|579|
|20-24<br>551|546|616|700|597|543|554|575|596|593|
|25-29<br>606|<br>*44|<br>540|609|<br>693|591|538|550|571|<br>592|
|30-34<br>643|;97|537|533|603|681|586|534|546|567|
|35-39<br>587|632|588|530|526|596|679|580|529|542|
|40-44<br>469|575|620|578|521|518|587|<br>670|573|523|
|45-49<br>383|455|559|604|563|<br>509|<br>507|<br>575|<br>657|<br>563|
|50-54<br>411|366|436|<br>537|580|542|<br>491|<br>490|557|<br>638|
|55-59<br>397|<br>384|343|<br>409|<br>504|547|513|465|466|531|
|60-64<br>364|358|347|311|372|460|soo|471|429|431|
|65-69<br>183|<br>310|306|298|268|322|400|<br>438|<br>414|379|
|70-74<br>240|144|244|242|236|213|258|323|356|339|
|75,<br>241|270|219|266|288|297|288|319|383|441|
|TOTAL<br>7568|7669|7777|7909|8040|8162|8261|8338|8396|8442|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>575|524|535|553|573|570|554|543|545|555|
|5-9<br>677|574|523|534|553|572|569|5S4|543|545|
|10-14<br>593|677|574|523|334|552|572|569|553|543|
|15-19<br>525|592|676|**573**|522|533|552|572|569|553|
|20-24<br>523|523|591|674|**572**|<br>521|532|551|571|568|
|25-29<br>580|520|521|589|672|571|520|531|550|570|
|30-34<br>622|578|518|519|587|670|569|519|530|549|
|35-39<br>577|619|574|515|517|584|668|567|518|529|
|40-44<br>473|<br>573|614|570|512|513|581|664|565|516|
|45-49<br>399|467|566|607|564|507|509|577|659|561|
|50-54<br>439|391|458|556|597|556|500|502|569|<br>652|
|55-59<br>454|425|379|445|541|582|542|489|492|558|
|60-64<br>447|<br>431|= 405|362|426|519|559|523|472|476|
|65-69<br>240|410|397|**374**|336|396|484|524|491|445|
|70-74<br>343|207|<br>355|345|327|295|350|430|467|440|
|75+<br>464<br>|503<br>|422<br>|498<br>|534<br>|543|528|568|659|745<br>|
|TOTAL<br>n32|8015|810s|8238|<br>8366|8485|8589|8682|8754|8sos|
|BIRTH RATE|14.0|14.1|14.3|14.6|14.3|13.7|13.3|13.2|13.3|
|DEATH RATE|11.6|11.5|11.0|II.#|11.3|11.3|11.3|11.7|12.2|
|RATEOF MAT. INC.|.24|.26|.33|.32|.29|**_.2;_**|.20|.15|.11|
|MET NIGRATION<br>RATE|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRCOITH<br>RATE|.24|.26|.33|.32|.29|.24|.20|.15|.11|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.000|2.000|2.000|2.012|2.024|2.035|2.047|2.059|2.070|
|NRR|.954|.955|.957|.964|.971|.977|.984|.990|.997|
|e(O)**-** BOTHSEXES|71.18|71.74|72.27|72.76|73.23|73.70|74.18|74.68|75.18|
|**elO)-** BOTH SEXES|62.32|62.74|63.15|63.56|64.02|64.48|64.96|65.45|65.94|
|**I1R**- BOTH SEXES|13.1|11.5|10.2|9.2|9.1|8.9|8.8|8.7|8.6|
|q(5) *BOTH SEXES|.0148|.0129|.0114|.0102|.0100|.0099|.0097|.0096|**.0095**|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>55.0|<br>5s.8|<br> <br>49.9|<br>49.2|<br> <br>48.9|<br> <br>49.9|<br>52.3|<br>54.7|<br> <br>55.7|<br>55.5|
147 CZECHOSLOVAKIA Projection (000.) with NRR-1 by 2030

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|..........................................................................<br>AGE GRG1JP<br>1985|...............................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>15500|16147|17150|17589|17807|17922|17988|<br>18017|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>607|**582**|573|<br>576|579|581|581|581|
|5-9<br>711|561|570|578|580|580|580|580|
|10-14<br>625|548|58:|583|580|579|579|579|
|15-19<br>551|601|596|585|578|578|578|579|
|20-24<br>551|700|596|578|574|576|577|578|
|25-29<br>606|609|571|566|571|575|576|r76|
|30-34<br>643|533|546|561|572|575|575|575|
|35-39<br>587|530|529|569|576|574|573|573|
|40-44<br>469|578|573|579|575|569|570|570|
|45-49<br>383|604|657|574|564|561|564|566|
|50-54<br>411|537|557|<br>539|544|551|555|557|
|55-59<br>397|409|466|498|524|536|540|541|
|60-64<br>364|311|429|453|503|512|512|513|
|65-69<br>183|298|414|443|467|469|466|467|
|70-74<br>240|242|356|429|396|395|396|399|
|75+<br>241|266|383|508|573|609|628|635|
|TOTAL<br>7568|7909|8396|8620|8757|8819|8852|8869|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>575|553|545|550|553|553|553|553|
|5-9<br>677|534|543|552|554|554|553|553|
|<br>10-14<br>593|523|553|557|555|<br>553|553|553|
|1S-19<br>525|573|<br>569|560|554|553|553|353|
|20-24<br>523|674|571|554|551|552|553|553|
|25-29<br>580|589|550|544|549|552|553|553|
|30-34<br>622|519|530|541|552|554|553|553|
|35-39<br>577|515|518|551|556|554|253|552|
|40-44<br>473|*570|565|565|558|552|551|552|
|45-49<br>399|607|659|564|551|548|550|550|
|50-54<br>439|556|569|540|538|544|547|548|
|55-59<br>454|445|492|513|529|541|543|543|
|60-64<br>447|362|472|<br>488|<br>528|535|535|534|
|65-69<br>240|374|491|508|520|518|515|515|
|70-74<br>343|345|467|542|481|475|476|478|
|75+<br>464|498|659|839|922|965|993|1003|
|TOTAL<br>7932|8238|8754|8969|9051|9104|9136|9148|
|BIRTH RATE|14.1|13.8|13.2|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATfr|11.4|11.4|12.2|12.4|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.27|.24|.10|.05|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.982|2.035|2.071|2.066|2.065|2.065|2.064|
|e(O)<br>BOTH SEXES|71.74|73.72|76.24|78.06|78.55|78.88|78.96|
|I-<br>BOTH SEXES|11.6|8.9|8.4|7.7|7.0|6.5|6.4|
148

|DENMARK||Proje|ction(000s|)<br>with NRR-1|by 2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROLP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.................................................|....................................|.................................................|....................|||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>5114|5097|5084|5063|5039|5002|4953|4887|4802|<br>4704|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>141|143|141|135|134|130|128|129|<br>131|<br>133|
|5-9<br>161|141|143|141|135|133|130|128|<br>129|<br>131|
|10-14<br>187|<br>161|<br>141|<br>143|141|135|133|130|<br>128|<br>129|
|15-19<br>202|<br>186|<br>160|<br>140|<br>142|<br>141|<br>135|<br>133|<br>130|<br>128|
|20-24<br>202|<br>201|<br>186|<br>160|<br>140|<br>142|<br>140|<br>134|<br>133|<br>129|
|25-29<br>188|201|200|185|159|140|142|140|<br>134|<br>132|
|30-34<br>190|187|200|199|184|159|139|141|<br>140|<br>134|
|35-39<br>209|189|186|199|199|184|158|139|<br>141|<br>139|
|40"44<br>188|<br>207|<br>187|<br>185|<br>198|<br>197|<br>183|<br>157|<br>138|<br>140|
|45-49<br>148|<br>185|<br>204|<br>185|<br>182|<br>196|<br>195|<br>181|<br>156|<br>136|
|50-54<br>131|<br>144|<br>181|<br>200|<br>181|<br>179|<br>192|<br>191|<br>177|<br>153|
|55-59<br>128|<br>125|<br>138|<br>174|<br>192|<br>175|<br>173|<br>185|<br>185|<br>171|
|60-64<br>127|<br>119|<br>117|<br>129|<br>163|<br>181|<br>164|<br>162|<br>174|<br>174|
|65-69<br>109|<br>113|<br>106|<br>105|<br>117|<br>147|<br>163|<br>148|<br>147|<br>158|
|70-74<br>90|<br>90|<br>94|89|88|<br>98|<br>124|<br>138|<br>125|<br>124|
|75+<br>120|<br>124|<br>127|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|<br>140|<br>164|<br>187|<br>190|
|TOTAL<br>2519|<br>2514|<br>2510|<br>2501|<br>2488|<br>2468|2439|<br>2401|2354|<br>2302|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>135|<br>137|<br>135|<br>129|<br>128|<br>124|<br>123|<br>123|<br>125|<br>127|
|5-9<br>154|<br>135|<br>136|<br>135|<br>129|<br>128|<br>124|<br>123|<br>123|<br>125|
|10-14<br>179|<br>154|<br>135|<br>136|<br>135|<br>129|<br>128|<br>124|<br>123|<br>123|
|15-19<br>190|<br>179|<br>154|<br>135|<br>136|<br>135|<br>129|<br>128|<br>124|<br>123|
|20-24<br>195|190|178|154|135|136|135|129|<br>127|<br>124|
|25-29<br>182|194|189|178|<br>153|134|136|135|<br>129|<br>127|
|30-34<br>183|181|194|189|178|153|134|136|<br>135|<br>129|
|35-39<br>201|182|181|194|189|178|153|134|<br>136|<br>135|
|40-44<br>181|<br>200|<br>182|<br>181|<br>193|<br>188|<br>178|<br>153|<br>134|<br>136|
|45-49<br>146|<br>179|<br>199|<br>181|<br>180|<br>193|<br>188|<br>177|<br>152|<br>133|
|50-54<br>134|<br>144|<br>177|<br>197|<br>179|<br>178|<br>191|<br>186|<br>176|<br>151|
|55-59<br>134|131|141|175|194|177|176|188|<br>184|<br>173|
|60-64<br>141|129|127|137|170|189|172|172|184|<br>180|
|65-69<br>126|<br>132|<br>122|<br>120|<br>131|<br>162|<br>180|<br>165|<br>164|<br>176|
|70-74<br>115|112|119|110|109|119|148|165|<br>151|<br>150|
|75+<br>203<br> <br>|203<br>|204<br>|212<br>|211<br>|211<br>|219<br>|249<br> <br>|<br>281<br> <br>|<br>289<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>2595|2582|2574|2562|2551|2534|2514|<br>2486|<br>2448|<br>2402|
|BIRTHRATE|11.0|11.0|10.5|10.4|10.2|10.2|10.3|10.6|11.0|
|DEATH RATE|11.7|11.4|11.3|11.4|11.7|12.2|13.0|14.2|15.1|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|-. 07|-. 05|-. 08|-. 10|-. 15|-. 20|-. 27|-. 35|-. 41|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROYTH**<br>RATE|-. 07|-. 05|-. 08|-.10|-. 15|-. 20|-. 27|-.35|-.41|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.500|1.500|1.500|1.600|1.,95|1.786|1.872|1.954,|2.032|
|**NRR**|.724|.725|.725|.774|.821|.865|.907|.947|.985|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|75.42|76.11|76.66|77.12|77.28|77.43|77.59|77.74|77.90|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|66.14|66.79|67.31|67.75|67.90|68.06|68.21|68.36|68.52|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|8.0|7.6|7.3|7.0|6.9|6.9|6.9|6.9|6.8|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0088|.0084|.0080|.0076|.0076|.0075|.0075|.0075|.0074|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.6|<br> <br>47.6|<br> <br>46.0|<br>45.7|<br>46.1|<br> <br>49.2|<br> <br>54.2|<br> <br>57.6|<br> <br>60.7|<br>65.1|
149 DEIARK ProJection (0009) with NRRa1 by 2030' Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,.....<br>........<br>...................|........|................................|||..................|||
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>5114|<br>5063|4802|<br>4304|<br>4087|<br>4068|<br>4070|<br>4071|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>141|<br>135|131|130|<br>130|<br>131|<br>131|<br>131|
|5-9<br>161|<br>141|129|<br>130|<br>130|<br>131|<br>131|<br>131|
|10-14<br>187|143|128|<br>130|<br>131|<br>131|<br>130|<br>130|
|15-19<br>202|<br>140|<br>130|<br>132|<br>131|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|20-24<br>202|<br>160|<br>133|<br>132|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|25-29<br>188|<br>185|<br>134|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>130|<br>13C|
|30-34<br>190|<br>199|<br>140|<br>128|<br>128|<br>129|<br>130|<br>130|
|35-39<br>209|<br>199|<br>141|<br>127|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|40-44<br>188|<br>185|<br>138|<br>128|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|45-49<br>148|<br>185|<br>156|<br>130|<br>130|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|
|50-54<br>131|<br>200|<br>177|<br>129|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|55-59<br>128|<br>174|<br>185|<br>131|<br>120|<br>121|<br>122|<br>122|
|60-64<br>127|<br>129|<br>174|<br>125|<br>113|<br>115|<br>116|<br>116|
|65-69<br>109|<br>105|<br>147|<br>112|<br>104|<br>107|<br>106|<br>106|
|70-74<br>90|<br>89|<br>125|<br>108|<br>92|<br>92|<br>90|<br>90|
|75+<br>120|<br>132|<br>187|<br>201|<br>*52|<br>143|<br>143|<br>144|
|TOTAL<br>2519|<br>2501|<br>2354|<br>2101|<br>2005|<br>1998|<br>1998|<br>1999|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>135|<br>129|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|5-9<br>154|<br>135|<br>123|<br>124|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|10-14<br>179|<br>136|<br>123|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|15-19<br>190|<br>135|<br>124|<br>126|<br>126|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|20-24<br>195|<br>154|<br>127|<br>127|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|25-29<br>182|<br>178|<br>129|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|30-34<br>183|<br>189|<br>135|<br>123|<br>124|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|35-39<br>201|<br>194|<br>136|<br>123|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|40-44<br>181|<br>_181|<br>134|<br>124|<br>126|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|45-49<br>146|<br>181|<br>152|<br>127|<br>126|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|50-54<br>134|<br>197|<br>176|<br>127|<br>124|<br>123|<br>124|<br>124|
|55-59<br>134|<br>175|<br>184|<br>132|<br>121|<br>122|<br>123|<br>123|
|60-64<br>141|<br>137|<br>184|<br>130|<br>118|<br>120|<br>121|<br>121|
|65-69<br>126|<br>120|<br>164|<br>124|<br>115|<br>118|<br>117|<br>117|
|70-74<br>115|<br>110|<br>151|<br>130|<br>110|<br>110|<br>109|<br>108|
|75+<br>203|<br>212|<br>281|<br>312|<br>242|<br>225|<br>227|<br>228|
|TOTAL<br>2595|<br>2562|2448|<br>2203|<br>2082|<br>2070|<br>2071|<br>2072|
|BIRTH RATE|10.8|10.4|11.4|12.4|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|11.5|12.5|15.7|14.5|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-. 07|-. 21|-. 44|-.21|-. 02|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.496|1.772|2.055|2.059|2.W5y|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|76.06|77.43|78.22|78.77|78.91|79.01|79.04|
|<br>**IER**<br>- BOTH SEXES|7.7|6.9|6.8|6.6|6.4|6.3|6.3|
150

|FINLAND||Proj|ection(000s)<br>|<br>withNRR=l b|y2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GRCJP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................................|.............................................|||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>4908|4974|5015|<br>5032|5034|5024|<br>4999|<br>4953|<br>4882|<br>4783|
|"ALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>167|<br>149|141|<br>133|135|137|<br>137|<br>136|<br>135|<br>136|
|5-9<br>167|<br>167|149|<br>141|133|135|<br>137|<br>137|<br>135|<br>134|
|10-14<br>1S6|<br>167|168|<br>149|141|133|<br>135|<br>137|<br>137|<br>135|
|iS-19<br>180|<br>156|<br>167|<br>168|149|141|<br>133|<br>135|<br>137|<br>137|
|20-24<br>194|<br>180|<br>156|<br>167|167|149|<br>140|<br>133|<br>135|<br>136|
|25-29<br>198|<br>194|<br>180|<br>156|167|_67_|<br>148|<br>140|<br>132|<br>134|
|30-34<br>211|<br>198|<br>194|<br>180|155|16|<br>166|<br>148|<br>1|<br>|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>278|<br> <br> <br>211|<br> <br>197|<br> <br> <br>193|<br>179|<br>155|<br> <br> <br>165|<br> <br> <br>165|<br>3<br> <br>147|<br>132<br> <br>139|
|40-44<br>162|227|209|196|192|178|<br>154|<br>164|16.|<br>146|
|45-49<br>143|160|224|<br>207|194|190|<br>176|<br>152|<br>162|<br>163|
|50-54<br>131|139|156|<br>219|202|190|<br>186|<br>172|149|<br>159|
|55-59<br>129|125|133|<br>150|211|195|<br>183|179|166|<br>144|
|60-64<br>105|<br>119|<br>116|<br>12S|140|198|<br>183|<br>172|<br>169|<br>157|
|65-69<br>75|<br>93|<br>106|<br>104|112|126|<br>178|<br>165|<br>155|<br>153|
|70-74<br>66|<br>62|<br>77|<br>89|87|94|<br>106|<br>150|<br> <br>139|<br><br> <br>131|
|75+<br>74|<br>84|<br>86|<br>99|115|123|<br>132|<br>146|<br>186|<br>198|
|TOTAL<br>2386|2430|2460|2475|2480|2475|<br>2459|2430|<br>2387|<br>2334|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>159|142|134|127|129|131|<br>131|129|128|<br>130|
|5-9<br>158|159|142|<br>135|127|129|<br>131|<br>131|<br>129|<br>128|
|10-14<br>148|158|160|143|135|127|<br>129|131|131|<br>129|
|15-19<br>172|148|159|160|143|135|<br>127|<br>129|131|<br>131|
|20-24<br>185|173|149|159|160|143|<br>135|127|129|<br>131|
|25-29<br>187|186|173|149|159|160|<br>142|134|127|<br>129|
|30-34<br>199|187|186|174|149|159|<br>160|142|134|<br>127|
|35-39<br>214|199|188|186|173|149|<br>159|159|142|<br>134|
|40-44<br>155|214|199|187|186|173|<br>149|<br>158|<br>159|<br>142|
|45-49<br>141|<br>154|<br>213|<br>198|187|185|<br>173|<br>148|<br>158|<br>159|
|50-54<br>133|139|153|212|196|185|<br>18h|<br>171|147|<br>157|
|55-59<br>141|<br>130|<br>137|<br>150|209|194|<br>183|<br>182|<br>169|<br>146|
|60-64<br>138|136|-<br>127|134|147|204|<br>190|179|178|<br>166|
|65-69<br>115|130|129|121|128|141|<br>196|182|172|<br>171|
|70-74<br>112|103|118|118|111|117|<br>129|180|167|<br>158|
|75+<br>170<br> <br>|185|189|205|217|218|<br>225|239|291|311|
|TOTAL<br>2522|2544|2555|2557|2555|2549|<br>2541|2523|2494|<br>2449|
|BIRTH RATE|11.8|11.1|10.4|10.6|10.7|10.8|10.7|10.8|11.1|
|DEATH RATE|9.7|9.8|10.0|10.5|11.1|11.7|12.6|13.7|15.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.21|.12|.05|.01|-. 04|-. 10|-. 19|-. 29|-. 41|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.6|.4|.2|.0|.0|.0|0|0|0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.27|.16|.07|<br>.01|<br>-. 04|<br>-. 10|.<br>-. 19|.<br>-. 29|.<br>-.41|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.570|1.570|1.570<br>1|.656<br>|1.739|1.818|1.893|<br>1.966|2.035|
|NRR|.759|.760|.761|.803|.843|.881|.918|.953|.987|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|75.70|76.45|77.05<br>7|7.51<br>7|7.63|77.75|77.87|77.99|78.11|
|eClO)- BOTH SEXES|66.26|67.00|67.57<br>6|8.02<br>6|8.14|68.26|68.38|68.50|68.62|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|6.5|6.2|5.9|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.0070|.0067|.0064<br>|0062<br>|0062|0062|0062|0062|0062|
|<br>OEP. RATIO<br>46.8|<br>47.4|<br>46.8|<br> <br> <br>45.1|<br> <br>45.3|<br>47.2|.<br> <br>54.6|.<br> <br>60.2|.<br> <br>64.1|.<br> <br>66.8|
151 Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030

# FINLAND

Swrory for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|........................................||..........................|.................................................|.||||
|TOTAL M.F<br>4908|5032|4882|4422|4231|4216|4219|4221|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>167|133|135|136|136|136|136|136|
|5-9<br>167|141|135|136|136|136|136|136|
|10-14<br>156|149|137|136|136|136|136|136|
|s5-19<br>180|168|137|136|136|136|136|136|
|20-24<br>194|167|135|135|135|135|135|135|
|25-29<br>198|<br>156|<br>132|<br>134|<br>135|<br>135|<br>135|<br>135|
|30-34<br>211|<br>180|<br>139|<br>134|<br>135|<br>135|<br>135|<br>135|
|35-39<br>228|<br>193|<br>147|<br>135|<br>135|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|40-44<br>162|<br>196|<br>164|<br>14|134|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|45-49<br>143|<br>207|<br>162|<br>131|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|<br>133|
|50-54<br>131|<br>219|<br>149|<br>127|<br>129|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|55-59<br>129|<br>150|<br>166|<br>130|<br>126|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|
|60-64<br>105|<br>125|<br>169|<br>130|<br>120|<br>120|<br>120|120|
|65-69<br>75|104|<br>155|<br>132|<br>109|<br>109|<br>109|<br>109|
|70-74<br>66|89|139|112|92|93|93|93|
|75+<br>74|99|186|177|150|145|147|148|
|TOTAL<br>2386|2475|2387|2155|2074|2072|2075|2075|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>159|127|128|130|130|130|130|130|
|5-9<br>158|135|129|130|130|130|130|130|
|10-14<br>148|143|131|130|130|130|130|130|
|15-19<br>172|160|131|130|130|130|130|130|
|20-24<br>185|159|129|130|129|130|130|130|
|25-29<br>187|149|127|128|129|130|130|130|
|30-34<br>199|174|134|129|130|130|130|130|
|35-39<br>214|186|142|131|130|130|130|130|
|40-44<br>155|<br>187|159|<br>130|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|45-49<br>141|<br>198|<br>158|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|50-54<br>133|212|147|126|127|128|128|129|
|5S-59<br>141|150|169|132|127|127|127|127|
|60-64<br>138|134|178|137|126|125|125|125|
|65-69<br>115|121|172|148|122|121|121|121|
|70-74<br>112|<br>118|<br>167|<br>136|<br>111|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|75+<br>170|<br>205|<br>291|<br>293|<br>248|<br>234|<br>235|<br>236|
|TOTAL<br>2522|<br>2557|<br>2494|<br>2267|<br>2157|<br>2144|<br>2145|<br>2146|
|BIRTH RATE|11.1|10.7|11.5|12.4|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|9.9|11.9|15.5|14.2|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.17|-. 12|-. 40|-. 18|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.572|1.807|2.057|2.062|2.062|2.062|2.062|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|76.40|77.75|78.35|78.77|78.87|78.95|78.98|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|6.2|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|
152 FRANCE Projection (000s) wIth **NRRal** by 2030

|,............................................................<br>**AGE GROUP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|................................<br>2005|.....................................<br>2010|..............................<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>....................................................................|<br>......................................|<br>........................|||||||<br>|
|TOTAL M+F<br>55170|56339|57490|58579|59374|59958|60417|60782|60983|<br>60848|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1940|1953|<br>1938|1886|1857|<br>1844|1849|1862|1871|<br>1877|
|5-9<br>1896|1943|1955|1940|1887|1858|1844|1849|1861|<br>1870|
|10-14<br>2160|1898|1944|1956|1940|1887|1858|1843|1848|<br>1860|
|15-19<br>2180|2160|1898|1944|1956|<br>1940|1886|1857|1842|<br>1846|
|20-24<br>2160|2181|2161|1898|1944|1954|1938|1864|<br>1853|<br>1838|
|25-29<br>2107|2163|2182|216.|1899|1943|1952|1935|1880|<br>1849|
|30-34<br>2148|2108|2162|2181|2159|1897|1940|1949|1930|<br>1875|
|35-39<br>2165|2145|2105|2159|2177|2155|1893|1935|1943|<br>1924|
|40-44<br>1517|2156|2136|2096|2150|2168|2145|1884|1926|<br>1933|
|45-49<br>1499|1503|2135|2116|2077|2130|2148|2125|1867|<br>1908|
|50-54<br>1553|1470|1475|2096|2079|2041|2093|2111|2089|<br>1835|
|55-59<br>1477|1498|1419|1425|2028|2012|1975|2026|2044|<br>2023|
|60-64<br>1350|1387|1409|1338|1345|1914|1900|1866|1915|<br>1932|
|65-69<br>722|1215|1252|1275|1213|1220|1737|1725|<br>1695|<br>1740|
|70-74<br>843|606|1024|1059|1081|1029|1036|1475|1466|<br>1442|
|75*<br>1184|1222|1072|1315|1471|1569|1581|1594|1936|<br>2106|
|TOTAL<br>26900|27608|28267|28845|29262|29559|297M|29920|29965|29857|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1848|1861|1846|1797|1769|1756|1761|1773|<br>1782|<br>1788|
|5-9<br>1806|1852|1864|1849|1799|1771|1757|1762|1773|<br>1781|
|10-14<br>2048|1809|1854|1866|1850|1800|1772|1757|1762|<br>1773|
|15-19<br>2085|2051|1811|1856|1868|1852|1801|1772|1758|<br>1762|
|20-24<br>2137|2091|2056|1816|1860|1870|1854|1802|1772|<br>1757|
|25-29<br>2101|2144|2097|2061|1820|1863|1873|1855|1802|<br>1772|
|30-34<br>2122|2106|2148|2100|2063|1822|1865|1873|1855|<br>1802|
|35-39<br>2091|2124|2107|2149|2101|2064|1822|1864|1873|<br>1854|
|40-44<br>1458|2089|2122|2105|2147|2099|2062|1820|1862|<br>1870|
|45-49<br>1471|1453|2082|2115|2099|2141|2093|2056|1815|<br>1857|
|50-54<br>1577|1460|1443|2068|2102|2087|2129|2081|2045|<br>1805|
|55-59<br>1578|1555|1441|1425|2045|2079|2064|2106|2060|<br>2024|
|60-64<br>1554|1539|*1519|1410|1397|2005|2039|2025|2067|2022|
|65-69<br>891|1481|1472|1457|1355|1343|1929|1963|1950|<br>1991|
|70-74<br>1188|811|1356|1353|1344|1251|1241|1783|1816|<br>1806|
|75+<br>2316|2307|2007|2308|<br>2493|2596|2581|2568|3025|3326|
|TOTAL<br>28270|28732|29223|29734|30112|30399|30642|30862|31018|30991|
|BIRTH RATE|13.8|13.4|12.8|12.4|12.1|12.1|12.1|12.1|12.1|
|DEATH RATE|9.9|9.6|9.3|9.9|10.3|10.7|10.9|11.5|12.6|
|RATE OF**NAT.**INC.|.38|.38|.35|.25|.18|.14|.11|.06|-.04|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.4|.3|.2|.2|.2|.1|.1|.0|.0|
|**CRWTH**RATE|.42|.40|.38|.27|.20|.15|.12|.07|-.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.820|1.820|1.820|1.861|1.900|1.939|1.977|2.015|2.051|
|NRR|.879|.80|.880|.900|.919|.938|.957|.975|.993|
|0(0)- BOTH SEXES|77.19|77.63|77.97|78.23|78.30|78.37|78.44|78.50|78.57|
|e(IO)- BOTH SEXES|67.88|68.26|68.57|68.81|68.88|68.94|69.01|69.07|69.14|
|**IYR**- BOTH SEXES|7.6|6.9|6.6|6.4|6.4|6.3|6.3|6.2|6.2|
|**q(S)**-BOTH SEXES|0083|0075|0072|0070|0069|0069|0068|0068|0067|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.9|.<br>50.7|.<br>51.7|.<br>52.1|.<br>51.0|.<br>49.8|.<br>53.1|.<br>56.5|.<br> <br>59.7|.<br> <br>62.3|
**153**

Projection **(COOs)** with NRROI bY 2030 FRANCE

# Swumiry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|._,................<br>...<br>....|..............|...........................|..|....|......<br>......|...........<br>.|.<br>._. ..<br>._._............. ..................**...**..<br>_|
|TOTAL<br>K.F<br>55170|58579|<br>60963|<br>59148|<br>58005|<br>57894|<br>57895|<br>57898|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1940|1886|1871|1865|1864|1865|1866|1866|
|5-9<br>1896|1940|<br>1861|<br>1859|<br>1863|<br>1864|<br>1865|<br>1864|
|10-14<br>2160|1956|18.8|1857|<br>1863|<br>1864|<br>1864|<br>1863|
|15-19<br>2180|1944|1842|<br>186S|<br>1864|<br>1862|<br>1861|<br>1861|
|20-24<br>2160|1898|1853|<br>1869|<br>1861|<br>1858|<br>1857|<br>1857|
|25-29<br>2107|2161|1880|<br>1858|<br>1852|<br>1852|<br>1853|<br>1853|
|30-34<br>2148|2181|1930|<br>1845|<br>1843|<br>1847|<br>1849|<br>1849|
|35-39<br>2165|2159|1943|<br>1827|<br>1837|<br>1844|<br>1844|<br>1844|
|40-44<br>1517|2096|1926|<br>1814|<br>1838|<br>1838|<br>1836|<br>1835|
|45-49<br>1499|2116|1867|<br>1813|<br>1830|<br>1822|<br>1820|<br>1819|
|50-54<br>1553|2096|2089|<br>1813|<br>1794|<br>1789|<br>1789|<br>1790|
|55-59<br>1477|1425|<br>2044|<br>1809|<br>1732|<br>1731|<br>1736|<br>1737|
|60-64<br>1350|1338|1915|<br>1728|<br>1629|<br>1640|<br>1646|<br>1647|
|65-69<br>722|1275|<br>1695|<br>1566|<br>1481|<br>1503|<br>1504|<br>1503|
|70-74<br>843|1059|<br>1466|<br>1305|<br>1275|<br>1289|<br>1285|<br>1284|
|75+<br>1184|1315|<br>1936|<br>2315|<br>2086|<br>2026|<br>2030|<br>2033|
|TOTAL<br>26900|28845|<br>29965|<br>29007|<br>28512|<br>28494|<br>28504|<br>28508|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1848|1797|<br>1782|<br>1776|<br>1775|<br>1776|<br>1777|<br>1777|
|5-9<br>1806|1849|<br>1m|1771|<br>1775|<br>1776|<br>1776|<br>1776|
|10-14<br>2048|1866|<br>1762|<br>1770|<br>1776|<br>1777|<br>1776|<br>1776|
|15-19<br>2085|1856|<br>1758|<br>1779|<br>1778|<br>1777|<br>1776|<br>1775|
|20-24<br>2137|1816|<br>1772|<br>1786|<br>1778|<br>1775|<br>1775|<br>1775|
|25-29<br>2101|2061|<br>1802|<br>1780|<br>1774|<br>1773|<br>1774|<br>1775|
|30-34<br>2122|2100|1855|<br>1771|<br>1769|<br>1773|<br>1774|<br>1775|
|35-39<br>2091|2149|<br>1873|<br>1759|<br>1768|<br>1774|<br>1774|<br>1774|
|40-44<br>1458|2105|1862|<br>1753|<br>1775|<br>1m|1773|<br>1772|
|45-49<br>1471|2115|<br>1815|<br>1764|<br>1779|<br>1771|<br>1768|<br>1767|
|50-54<br>1577|2068|2045|<br>1785|<br>1764|<br>1759|<br>1758|<br>1759|
|55-59<br>1578|1425|<br>2060|<br>1821|<br>1740|<br>1738|<br>1742|<br>1743|
|60-64<br>1554|1410|<br>2067|<br>1807|<br>1700|<br>1708|<br>1714|<br>1715|
|65-69<br>891|1457|<br>1950|<br>173Y|<br>1639|<br>1659|<br>1658|<br>1657|
|70-74<br>1188|1353|<br>1816|<br>1574|<br>1537|<br>1549|<br>1543|<br>1540|
|75+<br>2316|2308|<br>3025|<br>3708|<br>3366|<br>3241|<br>3233|<br>3234|
|TOTAL<br>28270|<br>29734|<br>31018|<br>30141|<br>29493|<br>29400|<br>29391|<br>29390|
|BIRTHRATE|13.3|12.1|12.2|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|9.6|10.7|13.4|13.3|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.3|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0||
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.40|.6|-. 12|-.08|-.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.820|1.937|2.063|2.065|2.065|2.065|2.065|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|77.60|78.37|78.71|78.94|78.96|78.98|78.99|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|7.0|6.3|6.1|6.0|6.0|6.0|6.0|
154

|GERMAN<br>OEM. REP.<br>................................................................||Proje|ction**(OO**|**0s)**<br>WithNRR<br>..|=I by 2030<br>|...................|......................|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROWL<br>1985|<br>1990|1995|2000|2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.................<br>....................|..............||,_______._.__.|<br>....................................||||||
|TOTAL N+F<br>16644|16708|16791|16873|<br>16919|<br>16929|<br>16910|<br>16843|<br>16768|<br>16701|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>596|573|546|513|507|514|523|<br>524|<br>519|<br>516|
|5-9<br>551|595|572||545512|506|514|<br>522|<br>523|<br>518|
|10-14<br>502|551|594|571|544|512|506|<br>513|<br>522|<br>523|
|15-19<br>632|<br>501|<br>549|<br>592|<br>570|<br>543|511|<br>505|<br>512|<br>521|
|20-24<br>729|<br>628|<br>498|<br>546|<br>590|<br>568|541|<br>509|<br>503|<br>511|
|25-29<br>663|<br>723|<br>623|<br>494|<br>543|587|<br>565|<br>539|<br>507|<br>501|
|30-34<br>649|<br>657|<br>717|<br>619|<br>491|<br>540|<br>584|<br>562|<br>536|<br>505|
|35-39<br>450|642|<br>651|<br>712|615|488|<br>537|<br>581|<br>559|<br>534|
|40.44<br>566|<br>443|<br>634|<br>644|<br>705|<br>609|<br>484|<br>533|<br>576|<br>556|
|45-49<br>633|553|435|623|634|695|601|<br>478|<br>526|<br>569|
|50-54<br>495|611|536|423|608|619|679|<br>587|<br>467|<br>515|
|55-59<br>404|468|581|512|405|582|594|<br>652|<br>565|<br>450|
|60-64<br>291|370|431|538|476|377|543|<br>555|<br>610|<br>530|
|65-69<br>173|254|324|381|478|424|336|<br>486|<br>498|<br>549|
|70-74<br>230|139|206|265|314|395|352|<br>280|<br>406|<br>417|
|75+<br>343|321|251|269|324|388|481|<br>498|<br>456|<br>530|
|TOTAL<br>7906|8027|8148|8247|8315|<br>8347|<br>8349|<br>8323|<br>8286|<br>8245|
|FE4ALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>563|542|516|485|480|487|495|<br>496|<br>492|<br>490|
|5-9<br>521|562|542|516|485|479|487|<br>495|<br>496|<br>492|
|10-14<br>474|520|561|541|516|485|479|<br>486|<br>495|<br>496|
|15-19<br>595|473|520|561|541|515|484|<br>479|<br>486|<br>495|
|20-24<br>689|594|472|519|560|540|515|484|<br>478|<br>486|
|25-29<br>628|687|592|471|518|559|540|<br>514|<br>484|<br>478|
|30-34<br>620|626|685|591|470|517|558|<br>539|<br>513|<br>483|
|35-39<br>438|617|623|682|589|469|516|<br>557|<br>538|<br>513|
|40-44<br>564|435|614|620|680|587|467|<br>514|<br>556|<br>536|
|45-49<br>632|557|431|608|616|675|583|<br>465|<br>511|<br>553|
|50-54<br>504|621|549|425|601|609|668|577|<br>460|<br>507|
|55-59<br>500|490|605|536|416|589|597|<br>656|<br>568|<br>453|
|60-64<br>501|477|470|583|s51|<br>403|571|<br>580|<br>637|<br>552|
|65-69<br>318|463|444|439|548|488|380|<br>541|<br>550|<br>606|
|70-74<br>453|276|406|392|391|490|438|342|<br>489|<br>499|
|75+<br>739|740|613|654|675|690|782|<br>796|<br>730|<br>818|
|TOTAL<br>8738|<br>8681|<br>8642|<br>8626|<br>8603|<br>8582|<br>8561|<br>8521|<br>8482|<br>8455|
|BIRTH RATE|13.5|12.8|12.0|11.8|11.9|12.1|12.2|12.1|12i|
|DEATH RATE|12.7|11.8|10.9|11.2|11.8|12.3|12.9|13.0|12.9|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|.09|.10|.10|.06|.02|-. 02|-. 08|-. 09|-.08|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|<br>GRCWTH<br>RATE|<br>.08|<br>.10|<br>.10|<br>.05|<br>.01|<br>-.C2|<br>-.08|<br>-.09|-.08|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.800|1.800|1.800|1.845|1.890|1.933|1.976|2.017|2.058|
|NRR|.863|.863|.865|.s8s|.909|.931|.951|.972|.992|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|73.25|74.17|74.94|75.62|75.88|76.15|76.42|76.70|76.97|
|**e(lO)**- BOTH SEXES|63.99|64.83|6556|66.21|66.48|66.75|67.03|67.31|67.59|
|IHR - 8OTHSEXES|8.5|7.5|7.0|6.7|6.7|6.8|6.8|6.8|6.9|
|q(S)-BOTH SEXES|0094|0083|0077|0073|0073|0074|0074|0075|0075|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>48.8|.<br> <br>49.5|.<br> <br>49.7|.<br> <br>49.3|.<br> <br>51.|.<br>8<br>52.|.<br>9<br>51.|.<br>8<br>55.|.<br>0<br>58.|.<br>3<br>63.0|
155 GERMA DEN. REP. Projection (000s) with NRR-I by 2030 Swmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUWP<br>1965|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N F<br>16644|16873|16768|16181|15967|15987|16014|<br>16025|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>596|513|519|518|517|517|517|517|
|5-9<br>551|545|523|517|516|516|516|516|
|10-14<br>502|571|522|515|515|516|516|516|
|15-19<br>632|<br>592|<br>512|514|514|515|516|515|
|20-24<br>729|<br>546|503|514|<br>514|514|515|514|
|25-29<br>663|494|<br>507|<br>514|514|513|513|<br>513|
|30-34<br>649|619|536|518|513|512|512|512|
|35-39<br>450|712|559|515|509|510|510|511|
|40-44<br>**566**|644|576|503|506|507|508|509|
|45-49<br>633|623|526|490|503|504|504|504|
|50-54<br>495|<br>423|467|486|<br>496|497|496|496|
|55*59<br>404|512|<br>565|499|<br>486|482|<br>481|<br>482|
|60-64<br>291|538|610|492|458|455|456|457|
|65-69<br>173|381|498|461|410|415|416|417|
|70-74<br>230|265|406|360|344|355|357|357|
|75+<br>343|269|456|568|567|564|568|568|
|TOTAL<br>7906|8247|8286|7983|7883|7892|7902|7906|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>563|485|<br>492|492|491|491|491|491|
|5-9<br>521|516|496|492|491|491|491|491|
|10-14<br>474|541|495|<br>490|490|491|491|491|
|15-19<br>595|<br>561|486|489|<br>490|491|491|491|
|20-24<br>6B9|519|478|489|<br>491|491|491|491|
|25-29<br>628|471|484|<br>491|492|491|491|490|
|30-34<br>620|591|513|495|491|490|490|490|
|35-39<br>438|682|538|493|489|<br>489|<br>490|490|
|4044<br>564|<br>-620|556|484|487|<br>48Q|<br>490|490|
|45-49<br>632|608|511|474|487|<br>489|489|<br>489|
|50-54<br>504|425|460|476|486|<br>487|<br>486|<br>486|
|55-59<br>500|536|568|500|485|<br>482|<br>481|432|
|60-64<br>501|583|637|512|474|471|473|473|
|65-69<br>318|439|550|507|448|454|456|4!7|
|70-74<br>453|392|489|<br>429|<br>408|421|<br>425|425|
|75+<br>739|<br>654|730|<br>885|885|<br>879|888|892|
|TOTAL<br>8738|8626|8482|8198|8084|8096|8112|8118|
|BIRTH RATE|12.8|12.0|12.3|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.8|12.2|13.7|13.2|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|**-.1**|-.0|.0|.0|.0|0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|.09|-. 02|-. 14|-.05|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.826|1.931|2.069|2.070|2.069|2.068|2.068|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|74.12|76.15|77.54|78.53|78.79|78.96|78.99|
|<br>IMR**-** BOTHSEXES|7.7|6.8|7.0|6.9|6.6|6.4|6.3|
156 GERMANY, FEDERAL REP. OF Projection (tOOs) with NRRx1 by 2030

|AGE GR0UP<br>1985<br>..................<br>.,,<br>|<br>1990<br>__._..........,,.,,..............,____...|1995<br>......._._...|<br>2000|<br>2005<br>_..<br>...<br>..|<br>2010<br>...<br>..|2015<br>..<br>.<br>..<br>...|<br>2020<br> <br>.<br>.<br>...|<br>2025<br>..<br>.<br>......|<br>2030<br>..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL H.F<br>61035|60487|59976|59351|58463|<br>57315|56042|54624|53184|<br>51814|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1535|<br>1614|1577|1428|<br>1367|<br>1330|1345|<br>1378|<br>1397|<br>1402|
|5-9<br>1474|1536|1614|1577|1428|<br>1366|1329|<br>1344|<br>1377|<br>1395|
|10-14<br>1859|1474|1536|1614|1576|<br>1427|1365|<br>1328|<br>1343|<br>1376|
|15-19<br>2625|1856|1473|<br>1534|<br>1612|<br>1574|1425|<br>1363|<br>1326|<br>1341|
|20-24<br>2666|2616|1852|1469|<br>1530|1608|1570|1421|1359|<br>1323|
|25-29<br>2350|2654|2605|l846|1465|1526|1602|1565|1416|1355|
|30-34<br>2172|2339|2642|2596|1840|1460|1520|1597|15S9|<br>1412|
|35-39<br>1915|2158|2326|2629|2584|1832|1454|1513|1590|1553|
|40-44<br>2332|1896|2139|2308|2611|2566|1819|1444|1504|1580|
|45-49<br>2352|2292|1867|2110|2280|2580|2536|1799|1429|1488|
|50-54<br>1827|2284|2232|1823|2064|2231|2526|2485|1764|1401|
|55-59<br>1655|1740|2183|2141|1753|1987|2149|2435|2398|1703|
|60-64<br>1324|1528|1614|2036|2004|1643|1864|2019|2290|2258|
|65-69<br>794|1165|1354|1440|1825|1799|1478|1679|1822|2070|
|70-74<br>1016|647|957|1122|<br>1202|<br>1527|1509|<br>1242|<br>1414|<br>1538|
|75+<br>1288|<br>1340|lia|1251|<br>1451|<br>1615|1945|<br>2104|<br>1993|<br>2073|
|TOTAL<br>29185|29139|29090|<br>28925|<br>28594|<br>28072|27437|26716|<br>25980|<br>25267|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1460|1528|1493|1352|<br>1294|<br>1259|1274|<br>1306|<br>1323|<br>1329|
|5-9<br>1411|1461|1529|1493|<br>1352|<br>1294|1259|<br>1273|<br>1305|<br>1323|
|10-14<br>1780|1412|1462|1530|<br>1494|<br>1352|1293|1259|1273|<br>1305|
|15-19<br>2478|1781|1413|1463|1530|<br>1494|1352|<br>1293|<br>1258|<br>1273|
|20-24<br>2515|2480|1782|1415|<br>1464|<br>1530|1493|<br>1351|<br>1293|<br>1258|
|25-29<br>2205|2516|2481|1784|1416|<br>1464|1530|<br>1492|1351|<br>1292|
|30-34<br>2091|2204|2516|2481|<br>1784|1415|1463|<br>1529|<br>1492|<br>1350|
|35-39<br>1828|_2087_|2201|2513|<br>2478|1782|1414|<br>1461|<br>1527|<br>1490|
|40-44<br>2225|1821|2081|2196|2508|<br>2473|<br>1779|<br>1411|<br>1459|<br>1525|
|45-49<br>2262|2209|1811|2071|<br>2187|<br>2498|2463|17m|1406|1454|
|50-54<br>1801|2233|2185|1794|<br>2054|2170|2479|2445|<br>1759|<br>1396|
|55-59<br>1917|1763|2193|2150|<br>1768|<br>2026|2140|2446|<br>2414|<br>1738|
|_60-64_<br>2019|1850|-1709|2132|<br>2096|<br>1725|1978|<br>2091|<br>2392|<br>2362|
|65-69<br>1305|1895|1747|1622|<br>2032|2000|1648|<br>1891|<br>2002|<br>2292|
|70-74<br>1791|1160|1701|1580|1476|1853|1827|1508|<br>1734|<br>1839|
|75+<br>2766|2949|2582|2850|2935|2906|3213|3378|3215|<br>3321|
|TOTAL<br>31850|31348|30887|30426|<br>29869|<br>29242|28605|27908|<br>27204|<br>26546|
|BIRTHRATE|10.4|10.3|9.4|9.1|9.0|9.3|9.8|10.2|10.5|
|OEATHRATE|12.4|12.1|11.6|12.2|13.0|13.8|14.9|15.5|15.7|
|RATE OFHAT.INC.|-.20|-. 18|-. 22|-. 31|-. 40|-. 45|-.51|-. 53|-. 52|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.2|.1|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-.18|-.17|-.21|-. 30|-.40|-.45|-.51|-.53|-.52|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.380|1.380|1.380|1.507|1.627|1.739|1.845|1.943|2.036|
|NRR|.662|.664|.664|.726|.784|.838|.890|.937|.983|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|74.83|75.72|76.43|77.02|77.18|77.34|77.51|77.67|77.54|
|e(1o) - BOTH SEXES|65.56|66.37|67.05|67.61|67.77|67.94|68.11|68.27|68.44|
|IHR - BOTHSEXES|8.3|7.4|6.9|6.6|6.7|6.7|6.7|6.7|6.7|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|0091|0081|0076|0072|0072|0073|0073|0073|0073|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>43.4|.<br> <br>43.0|.<br>45.2|.<br>46.6|.<br> <br>49.8|.<br>52.5|.<br>53.3|.<br> <br>56.4|.<br> <br>61.2|.<br> <br>69.6|
157

# GERMANY FEDERAL REP. OF ProJection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030

Summery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRQJP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|................................|.......|.......................................|.......................||||......<br>....**.**..............................|
|TOTALM+F<br>61035|<br>59351|<br>53184|<br>45666|<br>42841|<br>42603|<br>42614|<br>42630|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1535|<br>1428|<br>1397|<br>1376|<br>1372|<br>1373|<br>1375|<br>1375|
|5-9<br>1474|<br>1577|<br>1377|<br>1362|<br>1368|<br>1373|<br>1374|<br>1374|
|10-14<br>1859|<br>1614|<br>1343|<br>1357|<br>1371|<br>1374|<br>1373|<br>1373|
|15-19<br>2625|1534|<br>1326|<br>1375|<br>1376|<br>1373|<br>1371|<br>1371|
|20-24<br>2666|1469|<br>1359|<br>1394|<br>1375|<br>1368|<br>1367|<br>1368|
|25-29<br>2350|<br>8'46|<br>1416|<br>1385|<br>1365|<br>1362|<br>1364|<br>1365|
|30-34<br>2172|2596|<br>1559|<br>1363|<br>1350|<br>1357|<br>1361|<br>1362|
|35-39<br>1915|<br>2629|<br>1590|<br>1326|<br>1342|<br>1356|<br>1359|<br>1359|
|40-44<br>2332|2308|<br>1504|<br>1304|<br>1355|<br>1357|<br>1354|<br>1353|
|45-49<br>2352|2110|<br>1429|<br>1327|<br>1365|<br>1348|<br>1341|<br>1341|
|50-54<br>1827|<br>1823|<br>1764|<br>1363|<br>1338|<br>1320|<br>1317|<br>1319|
|55-59<br>1655|<br>2141|<br>2398|<br>1456|<br>1280|<br>1270|<br>1277|<br>1281|
|60-64<br>1324|2036|<br>2290|<br>1407|<br>1184|<br>1200|<br>1214|<br>1217|
|65-69<br>794|1440|<br>1822|<br>1215|<br>1066|<br>1111|<br>1114|<br>1112|
|70-74<br>1016|<br>1122|<br>1414|<br>989|<br>935|<br>965|<br>955|<br>951|
|75+<br>1288|1251|<br>1993|<br>2266|<br>1641|<br>1512|<br>1508|<br>1512|
|TOTAL<br>29185|<br>28925|<br>25980|<br>22266|<br>21085|<br>21018|<br>21025|<br>21033|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1460|1352|<br>1323|<br>1306|<br>1302|<br>1304|<br>1305|<br>1305|
|5-9<br>1411|1493|<br>1305|<br>1294|<br>1301|<br>1305|<br>1305|<br>1305|
|10-14<br>1780|1530|<br>1273|<br>1290|<br>1304|<br>1306|<br>1306|<br>1305|
|15-19<br>2478|1463|<br>1258|<br>1307|<br>1310|<br>1307|<br>1305|<br>1305|
|20-24<br>2515|1415|<br>1293|<br>1328|<br>1312|<br>1305|<br>1304|<br>1304|
|25-29<br>2205|1784|<br>1351|<br>1322|<br>1305|<br>1302|<br>1303|<br>1304|
|30-34<br>2091|2481|<br>1492|<br>1303|<br>1293|<br>1300|<br>1304|<br>1304|
|35-39<br>1828|2513|1527|<br>1271|<br>1288|<br>1302|<br>1305|<br>1304|
|40-44<br>2225|2196|1459|<br>1254|<br>1304|<br>1307|<br>1304|<br>1303|
|45-49<br>2262|2071|1406|<br>1285|<br>1321|<br>1307|<br>1300|<br>1298|
|50-54<br>1801|1794|<br>1759|<br>1335|<br>1309|<br>1293|<br>1290|<br>1292|
|55-59<br>1917|2150|<br>2414|<br>1459|<br>1278|<br>1269|<br>1277|<br>1281|
|60-64<br>2019|2132|2392|<br>1465|<br>1225|<br>1243|<br>1258|<br>1261|
|65-69<br>1305|1622|<br>2002|<br>1348|<br>1167|<br>1216|<br>1221|<br>1219|
|70-74<br>1791|1580|<br>1734|<br>1203|<br>1112|<br>1148|<br>1137|<br>1132|
|75+<br>2766|2850|3215|<br>3630|<br>2623|<br>2370|<br>2365|<br>2374|
|TOTAL<br>31850|<br>30426|<br>27204|<br>23400|<br>21756|<br>21585|<br>21589|<br>21597|
|BIRTH RATE|10.0|9.5|10.9|12.3|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|12.0|13.8|17.0|14.9|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTN<br>RATE|-. 19|-.44|-. 61|-. 26|-. 02|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.372|1.721|2.064|2.069|2.069|2.068|2.068|
|eCO) - BOTH<br>SEXES|75.66|77.33|78.17|78.75|78.90|79.00|79.02|
|<br>IMR - BOTH SEXES|7.6|6.7|6.7|6.7|6.5|6.3|6.3|
158 GREECE Projection (000s) with NRRa1 by 2030

|....................................................................................<br>ACE GROUP<br>1985|1990|.................<br>1995|..............................................<br>2000|.........................<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>........<br>...............|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br><br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|<br> <br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br> <br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br><br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTALI+F<br>9919|10054|10173|10259|<br>10323|<br>10334|<br>10296|<br>10237|<br>10185|<br>10125|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>355|304|<br>308|308|313|310|303|299|301|<br>306|
|5-9<br>367|356|305|308|308|313|310|303|299|<br>300|
|10.14<br>368|<br>368|<br>356|<br>305|<br>308|<br>307|<br>313|<br>31U|<br>302|<br>298|
|15-19<br>401|368|368|356|305|307|307|312|309|<br>302|
|20-24<br>377|401|369|368|355|304|307|306|312|<br>308|
|<br> <br>25-29<br>337|<br>378|<br>402|<br>368|<br>367|<br>354|303|306|305|<br>311|
|<br>30-34<br>330|338|378|401|367|365|353|302|305|<br>305|
|35-39<br>332|330|337|377|400|366|364|352|301|<br>304|
|40-44<br>271|331|329|336|375|398|364|362|350|<br>300|
|45-49<br>325|268|328|326|333|371|394|361|<br>359|<br>347|
|50-54<br>327|319|263|322|320|326|365|387|354|<br>353|
|55-59<br>293|315|307|253|310|308|315|352|374|<br>343|
|60-64<br>213|275|296|288|238|292|290|297|332|<br>353|
|65-69<br>203|191|248|267|261|216|265|264|<br>270|<br>302|
|70-74<br>169|170|161|210|226|221|183|<br>225|<br>224|<br>229|
|75,<br>209|230|243|243|281|313|326|305|326|<br>337|
|<br>TOTAL<br>4879|4942|4997|5037|5066|5073|5062|<br>5042|<br>5023|<br>4998|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>332|<br>285|<br>288|<br>288|<br>293|<br>291|<br>284|<br>280|<br>282|<br>288|
|5-9<br>343|332|286|289|288|293|290|<br>284|<br>280|<br>282|
|10-14<br>347|<br>343|<br>333|<br>286|<br>289|<br>288|<br>293|<br>290|<br>284|<br>280|
|15-19<br>373|347|344|333|286|289|288|<br>293|<br>290|<br>284|
|20-24<br>348|374|349|345|333|286|289|<br>288|<br>293|<br>290|
|25-29<br>346|349|375|349|344|333|286|<br>288|<br>288|<br>293|
|30-34<br>329|347|350|376|349|344|333|<br>286|<br>288|<br>288|
|35-39<br>335|329|347|350|375|349|344|<br>332|<br>286|<br>288|
|40-44<br>294|334|329|347|350|375|348|<br>343|<br>332|<br>285|
|45-49<br>352|<br>292|<br>333|<br>328|<br>345|<br>348|<br>373|<br>347|<br>342|<br>331|
|50-54<br>356|<br>348|<br>290|<br>330|<br>325|<br>343|<br>346|<br>371|<br>345|<br>340|
|55-59<br>315|350|344|286|327|321|339|<br>342|<br>367|<br>341|
|60-64<br>236|<br>306|<br>342|<br>336|<br>281|<br>320|<br>315|<br>333|<br>336|<br>360|
|65-69<br>243|224|293|328|323|270|308|<br>303|<br>320|<br>323|
|70-74<br>202|<br>220|<br>205|<br>269|<br>302|<br>298|<br>249|<br>284|<br>280|<br>296|
|75+<br>295|329|368|381|<br>446|<br>512|<br>548|<br>529|<br>548|<br>557|
|TOTAL<br>5040|<br>5112|<br>5176|<br>5222|<br>5258|<br>5261|<br>5234|<br>5195|<br>5162|<br>5126|
|BIRTH RATE|11.9|11.9|11.8|11.9|11.7|11.5|11.4|11.5|11.8|
|DEATH RATE|9.6|10.0|10.3|10.6|11.5|12.2|12.5|12.5|13.0|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|.23|.20|.15|.13|.02|-. 07|-. 11|-. 10|-. 12|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.4|.4|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.27|.23|.17|.13|.02|-. 07|-. 11|-. 10|-. 12|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.700|1.700|1.700|1.765|1.828|1.889|1.949|2.006|2.062|
|NRA|.810|811|.812|.844|.875|.905|.934|.962|.989|
|eCO)<br>- 80THSEXES|76.38|76.94|77.39|77.74|77.84|77.95|78.05|78.16|78.26|
|e0O) - BOTH SEXES|67.47|67.89|68.22|68.49|68.58|68.67|68.76|68.85|68.94|
|INR- BOTHSEXES|12.6|10.9|9.7|8.8|8.6|8.3|8.1|7.9|7.7|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0136|.0117|.0104|.0093|.0091|.0089|.0087|.0084|.0082|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>52.9|<br> <br>50.0|<br> <br>50.1|<br> <br>51.4|<br>54.4|<br>54.|2<br>55.|4<br>56.|0<br>57.|5<br>60.1|
159 Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030 GREECE Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**..**_**.**.................................... ..............................|..............||...|.............|........<br>...|............|.........|
|TOTAL M4F<br>9919|<br>10259|<br>10185|<br>9730|9402|<br>9367|<br>9369|<br>9372|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>355|308|<br>301|<br>302|<br>303|<br>304|<br>304|<br>304|
|5-9<br>367|308|<br>299|<br>302|<br>304|<br>304|<br>303|<br>303|
|10-14<br>368|305|<br>302|<br>305|<br>304|<br>303|<br>303|<br>303|
|15-19<br>401|356|<br>309|<br>307|<br>303|<br>303|<br>303|<br>303|
|20-24<br>377|368|312|<br>305|<br>301|<br>302|<br>302|<br>302|
|25-29<br>337|368|<br>305|<br>298|<br>300|<br>301|<br>302|<br>302|
|30-34<br>330|401|305|<br>296|<br>300|<br>301|<br>301|<br>301|
|35-39<br>332|377|<br>301|<br>299|<br>301|<br>301|<br>300|<br>300|
|40-44<br>271|336|350|<br>305|<br>303|<br>299|<br>299|<br>299|
|45-49<br>325|326|359|<br>305|<br>299|<br>296|<br>296|<br>296|
|50-54<br>327|322|354|<br>295|<br>288|<br>290|<br>291|<br>292|
|55-59<br>293|253|374|<br>286|<br>278|<br>282|<br>283|<br>283|
|60-64<br>213|288|<br>332|<br>268|<br>267|<br>270|<br>269|<br>269|
|65-69<br>203|267|270|<br>285|<br>250|<br>248|<br>246|<br>245|
|70-74<br>169|210|224|<br>251|<br>215|<br>211|<br>210|<br>210|
|75+<br>209|243|326|<br>399|<br>343|<br>331|<br>334|<br>335|
|TOTAL<br>4879|5037|<br>5023|<br>4807|<br>4660|<br>4645|<br>4645|<br>4646|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>332|288|282|<br>284|<br>285|<br>286|<br>286|<br>286|
|5-9<br>343|289|280|<br>284|<br>286|<br>286|<br>286|<br>286|
|10-14<br>347|286|284|<br>287|<br>286|<br>286|<br>286|<br>285|
|15-19<br>373|333|290|<br>289|<br>286|<br>285|<br>285|<br>285|
|20-24<br>348|345|293|287|<br>285|<br>285|<br>285||
|25-29<br>346|349|288|282|<br>284|<br>285|<br>285|<br>LS5|
|30-34<br>329|376|288|280|<br>284|<br>286|<br>286|<br>285|
|35-39<br>335|350|286|283|<br>286|<br>286|<br>285|<br>285|
|40-44<br>294|"347|332|289|<br>288|<br>286|<br>285|<br>285|
|45-49<br>352|328|342|291|<br>286|<br>284|<br>284|<br>284|
|50-54<br>356|330|345|285|<br>279|<br>281|<br>282|<br>283|
|55-59<br>315|286|367|282|<br>275|<br>279|<br>281|<br>281|
|60-64<br>236|336|336|275|<br>273|<br>276|<br>276|<br>276|
|65-69<br>243|328|320|308|<br>270|<br>269|<br>267|<br>266|
|70-74<br>202|<br>269|<br>280|<br>295|<br>253|<br>249|<br>247|<br>247|
|75+<br>295|381|548|620|536|<br>514|<br>518|<br>520|
|TOTAL<br>5040|5222|<br>5162|<br>4922|<br>4742|<br>4722|<br>4724|<br>4726|
|BIRTH RATE|11.9|11.6|11.9|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|10.0|11.9|13.7|13.8-|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.22|-. 03|-. 18|-. 14|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.703|1.882|2.078|2.079|2.078|2.078|2.078|
|o(O)- BOTH SEXES|76.91|77.95|78.47|78.84|78.94|79.00|79.02|
|INR<br>- BOTH SEXES|11.1|8.3|7.2|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
160 ICELASD Projection (000s) iIth NRRsI by 2030

|.....................................................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985<br>........<br>.......................<br>................|.....................................<br>1990<br>.....................................|........................<br> <br>1995<br>................................................|2000<br>............|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**N+F**<br>241|<br>253|<br>265|276|287|297|30M|314|322|<br>327|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4||||11|11111|111111111||||
|5-9<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|11|11|11|11|11|11|<br>11|
|10-14<br>11||10|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|15-19<br>I|61|<br>I|10|11|<br>11|<br>1|<br>11|<br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|20-24<br>11|<br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br>II|<br>11|<br>I1|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|25-29<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|11|11|11|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br><br> <br>61|
|30-34<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|11|11|II|11|11|11|<br>11|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>a|<br> <br>10|<br> <br> <br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|40-44<br>6|<br>8|<br>10|11|11|11|11|11|ll|<br>10|
|45 49<br>5|<br>6|<br>a|10|t1|11|11|11|II|11|
|50-54<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|8|9|10|10|10|10|<br>10|
|55-59<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|6|7|9|10|10|10|<br>10|
|60-64<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|4|5|7|9|9|9|<br>9|
|65-69<br>4|<br>4|<br> <br>4|5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>8|<br>9|<br><br> <br>9|
|70-74<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|3|4|3|4|5|7|<br>7|
|75+<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|5|5|6|5|6|7|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>121|<br>127|<br>133|138|143|148|153|157|160|<br>162|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|10|10|10|10|10|10|<br>10|
|5-9<br>10|<br>11|<br>10|10|10|10|10|10|10|<br>10|
|10-14<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|10|10|10|10|10|10|<br>10|
|15-19<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|11|10|10|10|10|10|<br>10|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>1U|<br><br> <br>10|
|25-29<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|10|10|11|10|10|10|<br>10|
|30-34<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|11|10|10|11|10|10|<br>10|
|35-39<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|11|11|10|10|11|10|<br>10|
|40-44<br>6|<br>8|<br>9|10|11|11|10|10|11|<br>10|
|45-49<br>5|<br>6|<br>8|9|10|11|11|10|10|<br>11|
|50-54<br>6|<br>5|6|8|9|10|11|11|10|<br>10|
|55-59<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|6|8|9|10|11|11|<br>10|
|60-64<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|5|6|8|9|10|10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|5|5|5|7|8|9|<br>10|
|70-74<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|4|5|4|5|7|8|<br>8|
|75+<br>6|<br>6|6|7|8|9|9|9|11|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>120|<br>126|<br>132|138|143|149|153|158|162|<br>165|
|BIRTH RATE|16.9|16.5<br>1|5.8<br>|15.2<br>|14.6<br>|14.2|13.7|13.4|13.2|
|DEATH RATE|7.4|7.3|7.4|7.6|7.7|8.1|8.3|8.9|9.9|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.95|.92|.84|.76|.69|.61|.55|.45|.32|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|CROWTH<br>RATE|.95|.92|.84|.76|.69|.61|.55|.45|.32|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.050|2.050<br>2|.050<br>2|.053<br>2|.057<br>2|.1060<br>2|.063<br>2|.067|2.070|
|NRR|.789|.989<br>.|989<br>|.991<br>|.993<br>|.994|.996|.998|.999|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|77.03|77.33<br>7|7.59<br>7|7.81<br>7|7.91<br>7|8.01<br>7|8.11<br>7|8.22|78.32|
|eClO) - BOTH SEXES|67.37|67.67<br>67|.93<br>6|8.15<br>6|8.25<br>6|8.35<br>6|8.46<br>6|8.56|68.66|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|
|q(S) -BOTH SEXES|.0042|.0042<br>.0|042<br>.0|042<br>0|042<br>|042<br>|0042<br>|0042|0042|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>57.1|<br>55.1|<br> <br> <br>53.0|<br> <br>51.3|<br>.<br>48.9|<br>.<br>47.6|<br>.<br>48.6|<br>.<br>51.2|<br>54.3|.<br> <br>57.3|
161 Projection (COrO) with NRRal by 2030

# ICELAND

Surmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N.F<br>241|<br>276|<br>322|<br>334|<br>336|<br>336|<br>337|<br>37|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|5-9<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>1|
|10-14<br>tl1||1|<br>11||1|11||
|45-19<br>I|10|11|<br>11|11|11|11|11|
|20-24<br>6|<br>1|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|25-29<br>1|6|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|30-34<br>10|<br>II|II|111|11111||||
|3S-39<br>5|<br>4|<br>9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|40 44<br>6|II|II|111|11111||||
|45-49<br>5|10|<br>11|<br>II1||1|11||
|50-54<br>6|<br>a|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>lo|
|55-59<br>5|6|1O|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>1O|
|60-64<br>5|4|9|<br>9|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>1O|
|65-69<br>4|<br>5|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|70-74<br>3|<br>3|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|75+<br>4|<br>5|<br>7|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|TOTAL<br>121|<br>138|<br>160|<br>165|<br>166|<br>166|<br>166|<br>166|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|5-9<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|10-14<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|15-19<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|20-24<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|25-29<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|30-34<br>9|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|35-39<br>8|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|40-44<br>6|<br>10|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|45-49<br>5|<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|50-54<br>6|<br>8|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|55-59<br>5|<br>6|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|60-64<br>5|<br>5|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>4|<br>5|<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|70-74<br>3|<br>4|<br>8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|75+<br>6|<br>7|<br>11|<br>18|<br>18|<br>19|<br>19|<br>19|
|TOTAL<br>120|<br>138|<br>162|<br>169|<br>170|<br>170|<br>170|<br>170|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|16.4|14.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.4|8.1|11.4|12.5.|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0||.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWNH<br>RATE|.90|.61|.15|.02|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.054|2.060|2.071|2.071|2.071|2.071|2.071|
|eCO) - BOTH<br>SEXES|77.33|78.02|78.53|78.88|78.94|79.00|79.03|
|I[R- BOTH SEXES|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|4.1|
162

|IRELAND<br>. ...............................|..........|Proje<br>.................................|ction**(000**<br>..........|**s)**<br>with**NRR**<br>.........................|**X1****_b_**|**_y_**1990|;...................|.........|............................|.......|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005||2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>3521|3609|3698|3801|3920||4037|4143|4239|4329|<br>4415|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>180|150|151|158|162||159|152|148|<br>148|<br>151|
|5-9<br>177|177|148|<br>14|156||160|158|151|148|<br>148|
|10-14<br>178|175|175|146|146||155|159|157|151|<br>147|
|15-19<br>167|176|173|173|<br>144||145|153|158|156|<br>151|
|20-24<br>146|163|172|169|170||141|143|152|157|<br>156|
|25-29<br>131|141|158|167|<br>165||166|139|141|151|<br>157|
|30-34<br>121|127|137|154|163||162|164|137|140|<br>150|
|35-39<br>110|118|123|133|<br>150||160|159|162|136|<br>139|
|40-44<br>93|106|115|120|131||148|158|158|161|<br>135|
|45-49<br>81|90|104|112|<br>118||128|146|156|156|<br>159|
|50-54<br>75|78|87|100|<br>109||115|125|142|153|<br>153|
|55-59<br>71|71|74|83|96||104|110|<br>120|137|<br>147|
|60-64<br>67|65|66|69|77||90|98|103|113|<br>129|
|65-69<br>61|59|58|58|61||69|81|88|93|<br>102|
|70-74<br>49|50|48|48|48||51|58|67|74|<br>78|
|75+<br>53|60|65|67|68||_es_|72|79|90|<br>100|
|TOTAL<br>1761|'S06|1852|1904|<br>1964||2023|2075|2120|2163|<br>2203|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>171|142|142|150|<br>153||150|144|140|141|<br>143|
|5-9<br>169|169|140|140|<br>147||151|149|143|140|<br>141|
|10-14<br>170|167|167|138|<br>138||146|150|148|143|<br>140|
|15-19<br>160|168|165|165|<br>136||137|145|150|148|<br>143|
|20-24<br>141|156|164|161|161||133|135|144|149|<br>148|
|25-29<br>128|136|151|159|<br>157||158|131|133|143|<br>149|
|30-34<br>119|124|132|147|<br>156||154|156|<br>129|132|<br>143|
|35-39<br>107|117|122|130|<br>145||154|153|155|129|<br>132|
|40-44<br>90|104|114|120|<br>128||143|153|152|154|<br>128|
|45-49<br>78|88|103|113|118||127|142|151|151|<br>153|
|50-54<br>74|76|86|101|<br>111||117|125|<br>141|150|<br>150|
|55-59<br>74|72|74|84|99||109|115|123|138|<br>148|
|60-64<br>72|70|-<br>69|71|81||96|106|11|120|<br>135|
|65-69<br>68|66|65|64|67||77|90|100|106|<br>114|
|70-74<br>58|59|58|58|57||60|69|82|91|<br>96|
|75+<br>82|88|94|97|100||102|106|116|132|<br>150|
|TOTAL<br>1760|1803|1846|1897|<br>1956||2014|2068|2118|2166|<br>2212|
|BIRTH RACE|16.7|16.3|16.7|16.5||15.7|14.7|13.9|13.6|13.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.9|8.7|8.5|8.2||8.2|8.3|8.5|9.0|9.6|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.78|.76|.82|.83||.76|.64|.54|.46|.40|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.8|-2.7|-2.7|-2.2||-1.7|-1.2|-. 8|-.4|.0|
|GRoWTH<br>RATE|.49|.48|.55|.62||.59|.52|.46|.42|.39|
|luTALFERTILITY|2.310|2.083|2.080|2.078|2|.077|2.077|2.076|2.075|2.074|
|NRR|1.105|1.000|1.000|1.000|1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|**e(O)**- **BOTH**SEXES|73.90|74.73|75.42|76.02|7|6.25|76.49|76.73|76.97|77.22|
|**e(10) -**BOTH SEXES|64.55|65.32|65.99|66.58|6|6.82|67.07|67.31|67.56|67.81|
|**IMR**- BOTH SEXES|7.4|6.8|6.5|6.4||6.4|6.5|6.5|6.6|6.6|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|0081|0074|0071|0069||0070|0070|0071|0072|0072|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>67.3|.<br>60.6|.<br>54.9|.<br>50.2|.<br> <br>49.9|.<br>|<br>50.2|.<br> <br>50.4|.<br> <br>50.4|.<br> <br>50.|.<br>7<br>52.0|
163 IRELAND Projection (000s) with NRR=I by 1990 Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+f<br>3521|3801|4329|<br>460L|4650|4660|<br>4667|<br>4671|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>180|158|143|<br>150|151|<br>151|<br>151|<br>151|
|5-9<br>177|148|148|<br>150|151|151|<br>151|<br>151|
|10-14<br>178|146|151|<br>152|h15|<br>150|<br>150|<br>150|
|15-19<br>167|173|156|<br>152|150|150|<br>150|<br>150|
|20-24<br>146|<br>169|<br>157|<br>150|<br>149|<br>150|<br>150|<br>150|
|25-29<br>131|<br>167|151|<br>147|148|<br>149|<br>150|<br>150|
|30-34<br>121|<br>154|<br>140|<br>146|<br>149|<br>150|<br>149|<br>149|
|35-39<br>110|<br>133|<br>136|<br>149|<br>150|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|40-44<br>93|<br>120|<br>161|<br>154|<br>150|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|45-49<br>81|<br>112|<br>156|<br>153|<br>147|<br>146|<br>147|<br>147|
|50-54<br>75|<br>100|<br>153|<br>145|<br>142|<br>144|<br>144|<br>145|
|5-59<br>71|<br>83|<br>137|<br>130|<br>137|<br>140|<br>141|<br>141|
|60-64<br>67|<br>69|<br>113|<br>120|<br>133|<br>134|<br>134|<br>133|
|65-69<br>61|<br>58|<br>93|<br>129|<br>125|<br>123|<br>122|<br>122|
|70-74<br>49|<br>48|<br>74|<br>107|<br>108|<br>104|<br>104|<br>104|
|75.<br>53|67|<br>90|<br>151|<br>159|<br>163|<br>165|<br>166|
|TOTAL<br>1761|1904|<br>2163|<br>2286|<br>2301|<br>2302|<br>2303|<br>2305|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>171|<br>150|<br>141|<br>142|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|5-9<br>169|140|<br>140|<br>143|143|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|10-14<br>170|<br>138|<br>143|<br>144|<br>144|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|15-19<br>160|165|<br>148|<br>145|143|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|20-24<br>141|161|<br>149|<br>143|142|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|25-29<br>128|159|<br>143|<br>140|142|143|<br>143|<br>143|
|30-34<br>119|<br>147|<br>132|<br>140|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|35-39<br>107|130|<br>129|<br>143|144|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|40-44<br>90|<br>-120|<br>154|<br>147|<br>144|<br>143|<br>143|<br>143|
|45-49<br>78|113|151|<br>148|142|142|<br>142|<br>142|
|50-54<br>74|<br>101|<br>150|<br>141|<br>139|<br>141|<br>142|<br>142|
|55-59<br>74|84|138|<br>129|137|<br>140|<br>141|<br>141|
|60-64<br>72|71|120|<br>123|137|139|<br>138|<br>138|
|65-69<br>68|64|106|<br>141|137|<br>134|<br>133|<br>133|
|70-74<br>58|58|91|127|127|<br>123|<br>123|<br>124|
|75+<br>82|97|132|<br>225|242|253|<br>258|<br>260|
|TOTAL<br>1760|<br>1897|<br>2166|<br>2320|<br>2349|<br>2359|<br>2364|<br>2366|
|BIRTH RATE|16.5|14.9|13.2|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|8.7|8.5|10.7|12.4,|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.7|-1.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.51|.52|.25|.04|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.150|2.077|2.072|2.070|2.069|2.068|2.068|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH<br>SEXES|74.70|76.51|77.73|78.58|78.81|78.96|79.00|
|IHR<br>- BOTH<br>SEXES|6.9|6.5|6.8|6.8|6.6|6.4|6.3|
164

|ITALY<br>.<br>..**....**..<br>........<br>........................|...............................................|Proje<br>...........................................|ction(000|s)<br>with NRR-|1 bV 2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGRouP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.......<br>...........<br>...<br>....|<br>......<br>.....|........<br>.........|.........|...............................|.....||................|||
|TOTALN+F<br>57141|<br>57178|57136|56966|<br>56563|<br>55861|<br>54920|<br>53850|<br>52761|<br>51634|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1568|1418|1452|<br>1410|<br>1432|<br>1383|<br>1332|<br>1319|<br>1346|<br>1390|
|5-9<br>1903|1567|1417|<br>1451|<br>1409|<br>1431|<br>1382|<br>1331|<br>1319|<br>1345|
|10-14<br>2266|1902|1566|<br>1416|<br>1451|<br>1409|<br>1431|<br>1382|<br>1330|<br>1318|
|15-19<br>2414|2263|1899|<br>1564|<br>1414|<br>1449|<br>1407|<br>1429|<br>1380|<br>1329|
|20-24<br>2343|2408|2257|1895|<br>1561|<br>1411|<br>1446|<br>1404|<br>1426|<br>1377|
|25-29<br>2047|2336|2401|2251|<br>1890|<br>1556|<br>1408|<br>1442|<br>1401|<br>1423|
|30-34<br>1902|2040|2328|2393|<br>2244|1884|<br>1552|<br>1404|<br>1438|<br>1397|
|35-39<br>1965|1895|2033|2320|<br>2385|2237|<br>1878|<br>1547|<br>1399|<br>1434|
|40-44<br>1759|1954|1884|<br>2022|<br>2308|2373|<br>2226|<br>1869|<br>1540|<br>1393|
|45-49<br>1813|1741|1934|<br>1866|<br>2003|2287|<br>2352|<br>2206|<br>1853|<br>1526|
|50-54<br>1734|1777|1707|<br>1898|<br>1832|<br>1967|<br>2246|<br>2310|<br>2168|<br>1821|
|55-59<br>1643|1670|1712|<br>1647|<br>1832|1769|<br>1901|<br>2172|<br>2235|<br>2098|
|60-64<br>1477|1541|1569|<br>1611|<br>1550|1726|<br>1668|<br>1793|<br>2051|<br>2112|
|65-69<br>857|1332|1393|<br>1420|<br>1460|<br>1407|<br>1567|<br>1516|<br>1630|<br>1865|
|70-74<br>988|723|1127|<br>1181|<br>1207|<br>1242|<br>1197|<br>1334|<br>1291|<br>1390|
|75+<br>1085|1283|1190|<br>1452|<br>1631|1744|<br>1831|<br>1844|<br>1958|<br>1987|
|TOTAL<br>27766|27548|27870|27797|<br>27610|<br>27276|<br>26823|<br>26303|<br>25764|<br>25203|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1487|1341|1373|<br>1333|<br>1354|1308|<br>1260|<br>1249|<br>1274|<br>1316|
|5-9<br>1807|1486|1341|<br>1373|<br>1333|1353|<br>1308|<br>1260|<br>1249|<br>1274|
|10-14<br>2159|1806|1485|<br>1340|<br>1373|1333|<br>1353|<br>1307|<br>1260|<br>1249|
|15-19<br>2327|2158|1806|1485|<br>1340|1372|<br>1332|<br>1353|<br>1307|<br>1260|
|20-24<br>2275|2325|2157|1805|<br>1485|1340|<br>1372|<br>1332|<br>1353|<br>1307|
|25-29<br>2021|2273|2324|2156|1804|1484|<br>1339|<br>1371|<br>1331|<br>1352|
|30-34<br>1907|2019|2271|2322|<br>2154|1803|<br>1483|<br>1338|<br>1371|<br>1331|
|35-39<br>1979|1904|2016|2268|2320|2152|1801|<br>1482|<br>1337|<br>1369|
|40-44<br>1797|1973|1899|2012|2264|2315|2148|1,'|98<br>1479|<br>1335|
|45-49<br>1880|1787|1964|<br>1891|<br>2004|2256|2307|2141|<br>1792|<br>1475|
|50-54<br>1835|1862|1773|1950|<br>1878|1990|<br>2241|2293|<br>2128|<br>1781|
|55-59<br>1796|1807|1837|1751|<br>1927|1857|<br>1968|<br>2216|<br>2268|<br>2105|
|60-64<br>1761|1750|'765|1798|<br>1716|1889|<br>1821|<br>1930|<br>2174|<br>2225|
|65-69<br>1084|1678|1674|<br>1694|<br>1730|1651|<br>1818|<br>1753|<br>1859|<br>2094|
|70-74<br>1339|984|1533|<br>1537|<br>1562|1596|<br>1524|<br>1679|<br>1620|<br>1719|
|75+<br>1925|2176|2048|2454|2711|2886|3021|3044|<br>3195|<br>3239|
|TOTAL<br>29375|29330|29266|29169|<br>28953|<br>28584|28097|<br>27547|<br>26997|<br>26431|
|BIRTH RATE|9.8|10.0|9.7|9.9|9.7|9.4|9.5|9.9|10.4|
|DEATH RATE|9.6|10.1|10.3|11.3|12.2|12.8|13.5|14.0|14.8|
|PATE OF NAT. INC.|.01|-.01|-.06|-.14|-.25|-. 34|-. 39|-. 41|-. 43|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|<br> <br>GROWTH<br>RATE|<br>.01|<br>-. 01|<br>-. 06|<br>-. 14|<br>-. 25|<br>-. 34|<br>-. 39|<br>-. 41|-. 43|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.310|1.310|1.310|1.453|1.587|1.711|1.826|1.934|2.034|
|NRR|.628|.630|.630|.700|.764|.824|.880|.933|.981|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|76.83|77.33|77.72|7a.03|78.11|78.19|78.27|78.35|78.44|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|67.70|68.08|68.39|68.65|68.73|68.81|68.89|68.97|69.04|
|IHR - BOTHSEXES|10.1|8.7|7.9|7.4|7.3|7.2|7.1|7.0|6.9|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0108|.0092|.0083|.C077|.0077|.0076|.0075|.0075|.0074|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>47.8|<br> <br>44.8|<br> <br>44.5|<br> <br>46.|<br>4<br>49.2|<br> <br>50.|<br>5<br>53.|<br>0<br>54.|<br>6<br>57.|8<br>64.2|
165 Projection (000s) with NRR31 by 2030 ITALY

# Surumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL .FF<br>57141|<br>56966|<br>52761|<br>46071|<br>42539|<br>42170|<br>42151|<br>42161|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1568|1410|1346|<br>1347|<br>1355|<br>1359|<br>1360|<br>1360|
|5.9<br>1903|1451|<br>1319|<br>1345|<br>1358|<br>1360|<br>1359|<br>1358|
|10-14<br>2266|1416|<br>1330|<br>1361|<br>1364|<br>1360|<br>1357|<br>1357|
|15-19<br>2414|1564|<br>1380|<br>1386|<br>1364|<br>1356|<br>1355|<br>1355|
|20-24<br>2343|1895|<br>1426|<br>1383|<br>1352|<br>1349|<br>1352|<br>1353|
|25-29<br>2047|2251|1401|<br>1337|<br>1337|<br>1345|<br>1350|<br>1350|
|30-34<br>1902|2393|1438|<br>1307|<br>1333|<br>1346|<br>1349|<br>1348|
|35-39<br>1965|2320|1399|<br>1316|<br>1346|<br>1349|<br>1346|<br>1344|
|40-44<br>1759|2022|1540|<br>1360|<br>1367|<br>1345|<br>1333|<br>1337|
|45-49<br>1813|1866|<br>1853|<br>1396|<br>1356|<br>1326|<br>1323|<br>1325|
|50-54<br>1734|1898|2168|13M2|<br>1292|<br>1293|<br>1301|<br>136|
|55-59<br>1643|1647|<br>2235|<br>1350|<br>1230|<br>1254|<br>1267|<br>1269|
|60-64<br>1477|1611|<br>2051|<br>1247|<br>1177|<br>1205|<br>1208|<br>1205|
|65-69<br>857|1420|<br>1630|<br>1255|<br>1115|<br>1122|<br>1105|<br>1099|
|70-74<br>988|1181|<br>1291|<br>1300|<br>988|960|940|<br>938|
|75+<br>1085|1452|1958|<br>2437|<br>1618|<br>1482|<br>1491|<br>1498|
|TOTAL<br>27766|27797|<br>25764|<br>22478|<br>20951|<br>20813|<br>20800|<br>20802|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1487|<br>1333|<br>1274|<br>1278|<br>1286|<br>1290|<br>1291|<br>1291|
|5-9<br>1807|1373|<br>1249|<br>1277|<br>1290|<br>1292|<br>1291|<br>1291|
|10-14<br>2159<br> <br>|1340<br>|<br>1260<br> <br>|<br>1292<br> <br>|<br>1297<br> <br>|<br>1293<br> <br>|<br>1291<br> <br>|<br>1290<br> <br>|
|15-19<br>2327|1485|<br>1307|<br>1317|<br>1298|<br>1291|<br>1290|<br>1290|
|20-24<br>2275|1805|<br>1353|<br>1316|<br>1290|<br>1287|<br>1289|<br>1290|
|25-29<br>2021|2156|1331|<br>1273|<br>1278|<br>1286|<br>1290|<br>1290|
|30-34<br>1907|2322|1371|<br>1247|<br>1275|<br>1289|<br>191|19|
|35-39<br>1979|2268|1337|<br>1258|<br>1290|<br>1295|<br>1291|<br>1289|
|40-44<br>1797|2012|1479|<br>1303|<br>1314|<br>1295|<br>1288|<br>1287|
|45-49<br>1880|1891|<br>1792|<br>1345|<br>1310|<br>1284|<br>1281|<br>1283|
|50-54<br>1835|1950|<br>2128|<br>1317|<br>1261|<br>1266|<br>1274|<br>1278|
|55-59<br>1796|4751|<br>2268|<br>1343|<br>1224|<br>1253|<br>1267|<br>1269|
|60-64<br>1761|1798|<br>2174|<br>1287|<br>1213|<br>1246|<br>1252|<br>1248|
|65-69<br>1084|1694|<br>1859|<br>1374|<br>1215|<br>1227|<br>1210|<br>1204|
|70-74<br>1339|1537|<br>1620|<br>1547|<br>1167|<br>1139|<br>1118|<br>1117|
|75+<br>1925|2454|3195|<br>3819|<br>2579|<br>2324|<br>2338|<br>2351|
|TOTAL<br>29375|<br>29169|<br>26997|<br>23593|<br>21587|<br>21357|<br>21352|<br>21358|
|BIRTH RATE|9.8|9.7|10.8|12.2|12.6|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|10.0|12.7|16.2|15.4-|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-.02|-.31|-.54|-.32|-.03|-.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.307|1.681|2.063|2.069|2.068|2.068|2.068|
|e(O)**-** BOTH SEXES|77.29|78.19|78.60|78.89|78.96|79.02|79.03|
|<br>IMR**-** BOTH SEXES|8.9|7.2|6.8|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
166 LtUXENBOIRG Projection (000s) with NRRal by 2030

|.........<br>AGE GROWP<br>1985<br>..................................................|.........<br>1990<br>.......................|**.................**.<br>1995<br>.......................|................<br>2000<br>.......................|...................<br>2005<br>...........|2010|.<br> <br>2015|.........<br>|........<br>2020|................<br> <br>2025|.<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM.F<br>366|366|364|361|357|352|345||339|<br>332|<br>324|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0*4<br>11|10|10|9|9|9|9||9|9|<br>9|
|5-9<br>11|11|10|10|9|9|9||9|9|<br>9|
|10-14<br>11|11|11|10|10|9|9||9|9|<br>9|
|15-19<br>13|11|11|11|10|10|9||9|9|<br>9|
|20-24<br>15|13|11|11|11|10|10||9|9|<br>9|
|25.29<br>15|15|13|11|11|11|<br>10|<br>|<br>10|<br> <br>9|<br><br> <br>9|
|30-34<br>15|15|15|13|11|11|11||10|<br>10|<br>9|
|35-39<br>14|15|15|15|13|11|11||11|<br>10|<br>10|
|40-44<br>12|14|15|15|15|13|11||11|<br>11|<br>10|
|45-49<br>12|12|14|14|14|14|12||11|<br>11|<br>11|
|50-54<br>12|12|11|13|14|14|14||12|<br>10|<br>10|
|55-59<br>11|11|11|11|13|14|14||14|<br>12|<br>10|
|60o64<br>8|10|11|10|10|12|13||13|<br>13|<br>11|
|65-69<br>6|7|9|9|9|9|11||11|<br>11|<br>11|
|70-74<br>6|5|6|7|8|8|8||9|10|<br>10|
|75.<br>7|8|7|8|9|10|11||11|<br>12|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>179|179|179|177|175|173|169||166|<br>162|<br>158|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>10|10|9|8|8|8|8||8|8|<br>8|
|5-9<br>10|10|10|9|8|8|8||8|8|<br>8|
|10-14<br>11|10|10|10|9|8|8||8|8|<br>8|
|15-19<br>13|11|10|10|10|9|8||8|8|<br>8|
|20-24<br>15|13|11|10|10|10|9||<br>8|<br>8|<br><br> <br>8|
|25-29<br>15|15|13|11|10|10|10||9|8|<br>8|
|30-34<br>14|15|15|13|11|10|10||10|<br>9|<br>8|
|35-39<br>13|14|15|15|13|11|10||10|<br>10|<br>9|
|40-44<br>12|13|14|15|15|13|11||10|<br>10|<br>10|
|45-49<br>12|12|13|14|15|15|13||11|<br>10|<br>10|
|50-54<br>12|12|12|13|14|15|15||13|<br>11|<br>10|
|55-59<br>12|12|11|11|12|13|14||14|<br>12|<br>11|
|6-64<br>11|11|11|11|11|12|13||14|<br>14|<br>12|
|65-69<br>7|10|11|11|11|11|11||12|<br>13|<br>13|
|70-74<br>9|6|9|10|10|10|10||10|<br>11|<br>12|
|75+<br>13|14|13|14|16|17|17||18|<br>19|<br>20|
|TOTAL<br>187|187|186|184|182|179|176||173|<br>170|<br>166|
|BIRTH RATE<br>1|1.3<br>1|0.5|9.7|9.6|9.7|10.0||10.2|10.4|10.7|
|DEATH RATE<br>1|1.4<br>1|1.4<br>1|1.2<br>|11.9<br>|12.8|13.5||14.1|14.8|15.6|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>-.|01<br>-|. 09<br>-|. 16<br>-|. 23<br>|-.31|-. 36||-. 39|-. 43|-. 49|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0||.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>-.|01<br>-|.09<br>-|. 16<br>-|. 23<br>-|. 31|-. 36||-. 39|-. 43|-.49|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>1.|450<br>1.|450<br>1.|450<br>1.|562<br>1.|667|1.767|1|.862|1.952|2.036|
|NRR<br>.|696<br>.|698<br>.|699<br>.|753<br>|.804|.853||.899|.943|.984|
|e(0) - BOTHSEXES<br>74|.29<br>75|.13<br>75|.81<br>76|.39<br>7|6.60|76.81|7|7.02|77.24|77.45|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES<br>65|.12<br>65|.85<br>66|.48<br>67|.02<br>67|.23|67.44|6|7.65|67.87|68.08|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|9.4|8.2|7.S|7.1|7.1|7.0||7.0|7.0|7.0|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES<br>.0|104<br>.0|090<br>.0|083<br>.0|077<br>.|0077|_.0077_|.|0077|.0076|.0076|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>43.7|44.1|45.9|47.1|47.9|48.9|<br>52.4||57.5|<br>63.4|<br>69.1|
167 LUXEMVoURG Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|..**..**.........<br>.........................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|....<br> <br>2000|.......................................<br> <br>2025|...........<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|2100|..................<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~~~~,........**....**.<br>.. . .. . ...|.....<br>.......|.......<br>....|.........<br>.|...<br>....<br>.......|...<br>...............|||
|TOTAL M+F<br>366|361|332|291|<br>276|275|275|<br>275|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|10-14<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|15-19<br>13|11|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|20-24<br>15|11|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|25-29<br>15|11|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>15|<br>13|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|9|
|35-39<br>14|15|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|40-44<br>12|15|11|9|9|9|9|9|
|<br> <br>45-49<br>12|<br>14|<br>11|<br>8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|9|
|50-54<br>12|13|10|8|9|8|8|9|
|55-59<br>11|11|12|9|8|8|8|8|
|60-64<br>8|10|13|9|8|8|8|8|
|65-69<br>6|<br>9|<br>11|<br>9|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|70-74<br>6|<br>7|<br>10|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|75+<br>7|<br>8|<br>12|<br>13|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|TOTAL<br>179|<br>177|<br>162|<br>142|<br>136|<br>135|<br>135|<br>135|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>S|<br>8|
|5-9<br>10|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|<br> <br>10-14<br>11|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>8|<br><br> <br>8|
|15-19<br>13|<br>10|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|20-24<br>15|<br>10|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|25-29<br>15|<br>11|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|30-7?<br>14|<br>13|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>13|<br> <br> <br>15|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|40-44<br>12|<br>15|<br>10|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|45-49<br>12|<br>14|<br>10|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|50-54<br>12|<br>13|<br>11|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|55-59<br>12|<br>11|<br>12|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|60-64<br>11|<br>11|<br>14|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|65-69<br>7|<br>11|<br>13|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|70-74<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|75+<br>13|14|19|21|16|15|15|<br>15|
|TOTAL<br>187|<br>184|<br>170|<br>149|<br>140|<br>139|<br>140|<br>140|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|10.5|10.0|11.2|12.4|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|11.3|13.4|16.4|14.6.|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-.09|-.34|-.52|-.22|-.02|.00|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.453|1.752|2.061|2.065|2.065|2.064|2.064|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|75.08|76.81|77.88|78.65|78.84|78.98|79.01|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|8.4|7.0|7.0|6.8|6.5|6.4|6.3|
168

|NETHERLANDS<br>.........................................................................................|..........................................|Proje|ction(000s|)<br>withNRR'1|_by_2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>**1985**|1990|1995|20G0|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|................................|............|...............................................|......||||^-......|-..........<br>||
|TOTAL MF<br>¶4491|14815|15092|15278|15388|15429|15414|15349|15213|14987|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>446|471|461|431|418|411|414|420|424|426|
|5-9<br>455|448|473|462<br>|432<br>|418<br>|410<br>|413<br>|419<br>|423<br>|
|10-14<br>539|456|449|474|462|432|418|410|413|419|
|15-19<br>630|540|457|450|474|462|431|418|410|412|
|20-24<br>648|632|542|458|450|473|461|430|417|409|
|25-29<br>615|651|634|543|459|450|472|459|429|416|
|30-34<br>587|618|652|635|543|458|448|471|458|428|
|35-39<br>616|588|617|652|633|541|457|447|469|457|
|40-44<br>473|614|586|615|649|630|53e|454|444|467|
|45-49<br>411|469|608|580|609|642|624|533|450|440|
|50-54<br>377|403|459|596|569|598|631|613|524|442|
|55-59<br>345|343|388|443|576|550|578|610|593|507|
|60-64<br>319|323|340|365|417|543|519|545|576|560|
|65-69<br>245|286|290|307|330|378|492|470|495|523|
|70-74<br>198|204|239|244|259|279|320|417|399|421|
|75.<br>259|274|289|324|348|371|399|445|543|581|
|TOTAL<br>7167|7340|7485|7577|7628|7638|7612|7556|7463|7330|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>427|451|440|412|400|393|395|401|405|407|
|5-9<br>434|429|452|441|413|400|392|395|401|405|
|10-14<br>516|436|431|453|442|413|400|392|395<br>|401<br>|
|15-19<br>602|518|437|431|454|442|413|400|392|395|
|20-24<br>623|605|520|439|433|454|442|413<br>|400<br>|392<br>|
|25-29<br>594|626|608|522|440|433|454|442|413<br>|400<br>|
|30-34<br>562|596|628|609|523|440|433|454|442|413|
|35-39<br>582|563|597|629|609|523|440|1.33|454|441|
|40-44<br>443|582|563|597|628|609|sd2|439|432|453|
|45-49<br>393|442|580|561|595|626|607|521|438<br>|431|
|50-54<br>374|390|439|576|558|592|623|603|517<br>|43.<br>|
|55-59<br>364|369|385|433|570|552|585|616|597|512<br>|
|60-64<br>361|355|-<br>360|377|424|558|541|574|604|585|
|65-69<br>299|344|339|345|362|408|537|520|552|581|
|70-74<br>273|272|315|312|318|334|376|495|481|510|
|754<br>475|497|514<br>|562<br>|591<br>|614<br>|641<br>|694<br>|828<br>|894<br>|
|TOTAL<br>7324|7475|7608|7701|7760|7m|7802|7793|7750|7657|
|BIRTH RATE|12.7|12.1|11.2|10.7|10.5|10.6|10.8|10.9|11.1|
|DEATH RATE|8.9|8.9|9.1|9.6|10.1|10.8|11.6|12.7|14.1|
|RATE OFNAT. INC.|.37|.32|.21<br>|.12<br>|.04<br>|-.02<br>|-.08<br>|-.18<br>|-.30<br>|
|NETMIGRATION RATE|.7|.5|.4|.3|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.44|.37|.24|.14|.05|-. 02|-.08|-. 18|-. 30|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.550|1.550|1.550|1.640|1.726|1.808|1.886|1.961|2.033|
|NRR|.750|.750|.750|.794|.836|.876|.914|.951|.986|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|76.84|77.33|77.70|78.01|78.10|78.19|78.27|78.36|78.44|
|e(lO)-<br>BOTH SEXES|67.52|67.97|68.32|68.62|68.70|68.78|68.87|68.95<br>|69.04<br>|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|7.6|7.1|6.9|6.6|6.6|6.6|6.6|6.6<br>|6.6<br>|
|q(S)-BOTH SEXES|.0083|.0078|.0075|.0072|.0072|.0072|.0072|.0071|.0071|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>46.0|44.6|45.1|45.4|45.0|45.9|50.8|55.4|60.8|66.6|
169 NETHERLANDS Projection (OOO) with NRR-1 by 2030

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|~~~~~~~~~,<br>|,,,,,,,,,,,,,,...|................|................|..**.**........**.....**<br>. .<br>P. . . . . .|**.....**.<br>. . . .|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GRCJP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|.......................................|.....<br>......|.................................|....................................|||||
|TOTAL<br>HF<br>14491|<br>15278|<br>15213|<br>137m|<br>13133|<br>13070|<br>13068|<br>13070|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>446|431|424|419|419|419|419|<br>419|
|5-9<br>455|462|419|417|418|<br>419|419|<br>419|
|10-14<br>539|474|413|416|419|<br>419|419|<br>419|
|15-19<br>630|450|410|420|419|419|418|<br>418|
|20-24<br>648|458|417|423|419|<br>417|417|<br>417|
|25-29<br>615|543|429|420|416|416|416|<br>416|
|30-34<br>587|635|458|416|413|<br>415|415|<br>416|
|35-39<br>616|652|469|408|411|<br>414|415|<br>415|
|40-44<br>473|615|444|403|414|414|413|<br>413|
|45-49<br>411|580|450|408|415|<br>411|409|<br>409|
|50-54<br>377|596|524|414|406|<br>403|402|<br>403|
|55 59<br>345|443|593|429|391|<br>389|<br>390|<br>391|
|60-64<br>319|365|576|417|365|<br>368|371|<br>371|
|65-69<br>245|307|495|<br>362|331|<br>340|340|<br>339|
|70-74<br>198|244|399|315|288|<br>294|291|<br>290|
|75+<br>259|324|543|630|495|<br>463|461|<br>462|
|TOTAL<br>7167|7577|7463|<br>6718|<br>6439|<br>6417|<br>6416|<br>6417|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>427|412|405|402|401|402|402|<br>402|
|5-9<br>434|441|401|399|401|<br>402|402|<br>402|
|10-14<br>516|453|395|<br>399|402|<br>402|402|<br>402|
|15-19<br>602|431|392|403|403|402|402|<br>402|
|20-24<br>623|439|400|407|403|<br>402|402|<br>402|
|25-29<br>594|522|413|405|402|<br>401|401|<br>402|
|30-34<br>562|609|442|401|399|<br>401|402|<br>402|
|35-39<br>582|629|454|394|398|<br>401|402|<br>402|
|40-44<br>443|'597|432|391|402|<br>402|401|<br>401|
|45-49<br>393|561|438|398|405|<br>402|400|<br>400|
|50-54<br>374|576|517|409|401|<br>398|398|<br>398|
|55-59<br>364|433|597|433|<br>393|<br>392|394|<br>395|
|60-64<br>361|377|604|437|381|<br>385|388|<br>388|
|65-69<br>299|345|552|402|365|375|376|<br>375|
|70-74<br>273|<br>312|481|378|345|<br>353|350|<br>349|
|75+<br>475|562|828|1001|<br>792|<br>733|731|<br>732|
|TOTAL<br>7324|7701|7750|<br>7059|<br>6694|<br>6652|<br>6652|<br>6652|
|BIRTH RATE|12.0|10.7|11.4|12.4|12.6|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RA'E|9.0|10.9|15.4|14.3.|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.5|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.35|-.02|-.40|-.19|-.02|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.543|1.798|2.055|2.058|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|77.30|78.19|78.61|78.91|78.99|79.04|79.05|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|7.2|6.6|6.5|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
170

|NORWAY||Proje|ction (000s|)|withNRR-|Iby 2030||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROIP<br>1985|¶990|19ff|<br>2000||2005|<br>2010||2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>203r|
|;TALK+F<br>..............<br>3,......<br>TOTALN*F<br>4153|.......<br>4.......-14.......<br> <br>4214|..................<br>4..2.7 _ ------<br> <br>4275|_330<br>....<br> <br>6330|......<br>|4.3......------<br>4375|---...<br>_4__-<br> <br>4414|.........<br>|.......<br>.--<br>4450|----<br>_-_<br>____ _ ...<br> <br>4477|.......<br>_<br>_ _._<br>..<br> <br>4486|6<br>...<br>___.... 4469<br> <br>4469|
|XALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>132|137|139|137||134|<br>132||131|<br>133|<br>135|<br>136|
|5-9<br>139|<br>133|<br>138|<br>140||138|<br>135||132|<br>132|<br>133|<br>135|
|10-14<br>166|<br>139|<br>133|<br>139||141|<br>138||135|<br>132|<br>132|<br>133|
|15.19<br>173|166|140|134||139|<br>141||138|135|<br>132|<br>131|
|20-24<br>161|<br>174|<br>167|<br>141||134|<br>140||141|<br>138|<br>135|<br>132|
|25-29<br>161|<br>162|<br>175|<br>169||142|<br>135||140|<br>142|<br>138|<br>135|
|30-34<br>158|<br>162|<br>164|<br>177||170|<br>143||136|<br>141|<br>141|<br>138|
|35-39<br>164|<br>158|<br>163|<br>164||177|<br>170||143|<br>136|<br>140|<br>141|
|40-44<br>122|164|158|<br>163||164|<br>176||169|142|<br>135|<br>140|
|45-49<br>100|121|162|157||161|<br>163||175|168|<br>141|<br>134|
|50-54<br>100|98|118|159||154|<br>158||160|172|<br>165|<br>138|
|55-59<br>107|<br>96|<br>94|<br>114||154|<br>149||153|<br>155|<br>166|<br>160|
|60-64<br>114|100|90|88||108|<br>145||141|145|<br>146|<br>157|
|65-69<br>96|102|<br>90|<br>81||80|<br>97||131|<br>128|<br>131|<br>133|
|70-74<br>77|<br>80|<br>85|<br>75||68|<br>68||82|<br>111|<br>108|<br>111|
|75+<br>99|106|<br>112|<br>120||117|<br>111||107|<br>117|<br>144|<br>156|
|TOTAL<br>2065|2097|2129|2158||2182|2201||2216|<br>2225|<br>2224|<br>2209|
|FEAALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>123|<br>131|<br>133|<br>130||128|<br>125||125|127|<br>129|<br>130|
|5-9<br>131|<br>124|<br>132|<br>133||131|<br>128||126|<br>125|<br>127|<br>129|
|10-14<br>156|132|125|132||134|131||129|126|<br>125|<br>127|
|15-19<br>162|<br>157|<br>132|<br>126||133|<br>134||132|<br>129|<br>126|<br>125|
|20-24<br>152|<br>163|<br>158|<br>134||127|<br>134||135|<br>132|<br>129|<br>126|
|25-29<br>152|<br>153|<br>164|<br>159||135|<br>128||135|<br>136|<br>132|<br>129|
|30-34<br>147|<br>153|<br>154|<br>166||160|<br>136||128|<br>135|<br>136|<br>132|
|35-39<br>152|<br>148|<br>154|<br>155||166|<br>161||136|<br>128|<br>135|<br>136|
|40-44<br>115|<br>152|<br>148|<br>154||155|<br>166||161|<br>136|<br>128|<br>135|
|45-49<br>97|115|<br>152|<br>148||154|<br>155||166|<br>160|<br>136|<br>128|
|50-54<br>98|97|<br>114|<br>151||147|<br>153||154|<br>165|<br>159|<br>135|
|55-59<br>107|<br>97|<br>95|<br>113||149|<br>145||151|<br>152|<br>163|<br>158|
|60-64<br>121|<br>105|<br>-<br>95|<br>93||111|<br>146||142|<br>148|<br>149|<br>160|
|65-69<br>111|<br>116|<br>100|<br>91||90|<br>106||140|<br>137|<br>142|<br>144|
|70-74<br>97|101|<br>106|<br>92||84|<br>83||98|<br>130|<br>126|<br>132|
|75+<br>163|<br>174|<br>184|<br>196||191|<br>182||176|<br>186|<br>219|<br>236|
|TOTAL<br>2088|2117|2146|2172||2194|2214||2234|<br>2252|<br>2263|<br>2260|
|BIRTH RATE|12.9|12.9|12.5||12.1|11.7||11.6|11.7|1'J|12.0|
|DEATH RATE|10.9|10.9|10.9||10.8|10.6||10.5|10.8|11.6|12.7|
|RATEOF NAT INC|19|20|16||13|12||11|09|03|- 08|
|. .<br>NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.<br>1.0|.<br>.9|.<br>.9||.<br>.8|.<br>.6||.<br>.5|.<br>.3|.<br>.1|.<br>.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.29|.29|.25||.21|.18||.16|.12|.04|-. 08|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.750|1.750|1.750|1|.803|1.854|1|.905|1.954|2.001|2.048|
|NRR|.844|.845|.845||.871|.896||.921|.945|.968|.991|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|76.79|77.27|77.65|7|7.97|78.06|7|8.15|78.23|78.32|78.41|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|67.49|67.93|68.28|6|8.57|68.66|6|8.75|68.83|68.92|69.01|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|7.8|7.4|7.0||6.6|6.6||6.6|6.6|6.6|6.6|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0086|0081|0076||0072|0072||0072|0072|0072|0072|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>56.0|<br> <br>53.8|.<br> <br>52.8|.<br> <br>51.2|.<br>|<br>48.8|.<br> <br>48.3|.<br>|<br>51.|.<br>6<br>54.|.<br>7<br>58.|.<br>3<br>61.4|
..............................

NORWAY

# ProJectfon (000s) with NRR-l by 2030

Summry for 25 Year Perfods

|............................................<br>AGE GR0UJP|<br>1965|2000|........<br>2025|.......................................<br>2050|...............................<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>.............................................|<br>..............................|<br>..............................|||||||
|TOTAL MF|4153|<br>4330|4486|<br>4296|<br>4180|<br>4168|<br>4168|<br>4169|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|132|137|135|134|4.74|134|134|134|
|5-9|139|140|133|133|134|134|134|134|
|10-14|166|139|132|133|134|134|134|134|
|15-19|173|134|<br>132|135|134|134|134|134|
|20-24|161|141|135|135|134|133|133|133|
|25-29|161|169|138|134|133|133|133|133|
|<br>30-34|<br>158|<br>177|<br>141|<br>132|<br>132|<br>133|<br>133|133|
|35-39|164|164|140|130|132|133|133|133|
|<br>40-44|<br>122|<br>163|<br>135|<br>130|<br>133|<br>132|<br>132|132|
|<br>45-49|100|<br>157|<br>141|<br>132|<br>133|<br>131|<br>131|131|
|50-54|100|159|165|133|130|129|129|129|
|55-59|107|114|166|133|124|124|125|125|
|60-64|114|88|146|125|116|118|119|119|
|65-69|96|81|131|110|107|109|109|108|
|70-74|77|75|108|99|93|94|93|93|
|75+|99|120|144|183|154|147|147|148|
|TOTAL|2065|2158|2224|2111|2056|2052|2051|2052|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|123|130|129|128|128|128|128|128|
|<br>5-9|<br>131|<br>133|<br>127|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|128|
|10-14|156|132|125|127|128|128|128|128|
|15-19|162|<br>126|<br>126|<br>129|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|20-24|152|134|129|130|128|128|128|128|
|25-29|152|<br>159|<br>132|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|30-34|147|<br>166|<br>136|<br>127|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|35-39|152|<br>155|<br>135|<br>125|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|_40-44_|115|<br>-154|128|<br>126|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|45-49|97|148|<br>136|<br>128|<br>129|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|
|50-54|98|151|<br>159|<br>131|<br>127|<br>126|<br>126|<br>127|
|55-59|107|<br>113|<br>163|<br>133|<br>124|<br>125|<br>125|<br>126|
|60-64|121|<br>93|149|<br>130|<br>121|<br>123|<br>124|<br>124|
|65-69|111|<br>91|142|<br>119|<br>117|<br>120|<br>120|<br>119|
|70-74|97|92|126|<br>117|<br>112|<br>112|<br>111|<br>111|
|75+|163|<br>196|<br>219|<br>280|<br>244|<br>232|<br>232|<br>233|
|TOTAL|2088|<br>2172|<br>2263|<br>2185|<br>2124|<br>2116|<br>2117|<br>2117|
|BIRTH RATE||12.7|11.8|12.0|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||10.9|10.8|13.7|13.6|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|.9|.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.28|.14|-. 17|-. 11|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTIL|ITY|1.751|1.901|2.062|2.064|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|e(O)- BOTH S|EXES|77.24|78.15|78.59|78.89|78.98|79.03|79.05|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|7.4|6.6|6.6|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
**172**

SPAIN Projection (000s) with hRRml by 2030

|AGEGRllP<br>1985<br>.............................................|<br>1990|<br>1995<br>....|<br>2000<br>.............................................|<br>2005<br>..............................................|<br>2010<br>.......................................|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALH.F<br>38523|<br>39148|<br>39810|<br>40385|<br>40833|<br>41073|41158|<br>41200|<br>41177|<br>41078|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1306|<br>1204|<br>1258|<br>1259|<br>1265|<br>1224|<br>1185|<br>1178|<br>1200|<br>1230|
|**5-9**<br>1543|<br>1307|<br>1204|<br>1258|<br>1259|<br>1264|<br>1223|<br>1184|<br>1177|<br>1199|
|10-14<br>1693|<br>1544|<br>1307|<br>1204|<br>1257|<br>1258|<br>1264|<br>1223|<br>1184|<br>1177|
|15-19<br>1683|<br>1691|<br>1542|<br>1305|<br>1202|<br>1255|<br>1257|<br>1262|<br>1221|<br>1182|
|20-24<br>1651|<br>1680|<br>1688|<br>1539|<br>1303|<br>1200|<br>1253|<br>1254|<br>1259|<br>1218|
|25-29<br>1473|<br>1648|1677|<br>1684|<br>1535|<br>1299|<br>1196|<br>1249|<br>1250|<br>1256|
|**30-34**<br>1268|<br>1470|1S44|<br>1672|<br>1679|<br>1530|<br>1295|<br>1193|<br>1246|<br>1247|
|**35-39**<br>1218|<br>1265|1465|<br>1638|<br>1666|<br>1673|<br>1525|<br>1291|<br>1189|<br>1242|
|40-44<br>1106|<br>1211|<br>1258|<br>1457|<br>1630|<br>1657|<br>1664|<br>1517|<br>1284|<br>1183|
|45-49<br>977|1094|1198|<br>1245|<br>1443|<br>1614|<br>1642|<br>1649|<br>1503|<br>1273|
|**50-54**<br>1119|<br>956|1072|<br>1175|<br>1222|<br>1416|<br>1584|<br>1612|<br>1620|<br>1477|
|55-59<br>1051|<br>1075|920|1033|<br>1133|<br>1179|<br>1367|<br>1531|<br>1559|<br>1567|
|60-64<br>910|982|1007|<br>864|971|<br>1066|<br>1110|<br>1289|<br>1444|<br>1471|
|65-69<br>650|816|885|909|782|<br>879|967|1007|<br>1170|<br>1312|
|70-74<br>528|544|687|747|<br>771|<br>663|746|821|<br>857|<br>996|
|75.<br>723|748|779|906|1021|<br>1099|<br>1059|<br>1104|<br>1S86|<br>1257|
|TOTAL<br>18899|<br>19235|<br>19589|<br>19897|<br>20137|<br>20277|20338|<br>20364|<br>20348|<br>20287|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1231|<br>1128|1179|<br>1180|<br>1185|<br>1147|1111|<br>1105|<br>1126|<br>1155|
|5-9<br>1465|<br>1232|1129|1179|<br>1179|<br>1185|<br>1147|<br>1111|<br>1105|<br>1125|
|10-14<br>1572|1466|1233|1129|<br>1179|<br>1179|1184|<br>1146|<br>1111|<br>1104|
|15-19<br>1593|1573|1466|1233|<br>1129|<br>1178|1179|<br>1184|<br>1146|<br>1110|
|20-24<br>1606|1595|1573|1466|<br>1233|<br>1128|<br>1178|<br>1179|<br>1184|<br>1146|
|25-29<br>1458|1608|1595|1573|<br>1466|<br>1232|1128|<br>_1177_|<br>1178|<br>1183|
|30-34<br>1254|1459|1608|1595|<br>1572|<br>1465|1231|<br>1127|<br>1177|<br>1178|
|35-39<br>1216|1254|1458|1606|<br>1593|<br>1571|1463|<br>1230|<br>1126|<br>1176|
|40-44<br>1119|1214|1251|1455|<br>1603|<br>1590|1568|<br>1461|<br>1228|<br>1125|
|45-49<br>1010|1114|1209|12U|1449|<br>1597|1584|<br>1563|<br>1456|<br>1224|
|50-54<br>1169|1002|1105|<br>1200|<br>1238|<br>1439|1586|<br>1574|<br>1553|<br>1447|
|55-59<br>1133|1152|988|1091|<br>1186|<br>1223|1423|<br>1569|<br>1557|<br>1536|
|60-64<br>1015|1105|'1126|967|1069|<br>1162|1199|<br>17,95|<br>1538|<br>1527|
|65-69<br>833|969|1058|1080|<br>930|1028|1118|<br>1154|<br>1343|<br>1481|
|70-74<br>**744**|757|885|971|<br>995|857|948|1032|<br>1066|<br>1241|
|75+<br>1203|1287|1357|1517|<br>1690|<br>1814|1772|<br>1829|<br>1937|<br>2032|
|TOTAL<br>19624|19914|20220|20488|<br>20695|<br>20795|20821|20836|<br>20829|<br>20791|
|BIRTH RATE|12.1|12.5|12.3|12.2|11.7|11.3|11.2|11.4|11.7|
|DEATH RATE|9.1|9.2|9.5|10.0|10.5|10.8|11.0|11.5|12.2|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|.30|.33|.28|.22|.12|.04|.02|-. 01|-. 05|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.2|.1|.1|.0|.0|0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.32|.33|.29|.22|.12|.04|.02|-. 01|-. 05|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.600|1.600|1.600|1.684|1.765|1.842|1.916|1.988|2.056|
|bRR|.764|.765|.766|.806|.845|.883|.919|.954|.987|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|76.58|77.10|77.51|77.82|77.92|78.01|78.11|78.21|78.31|
|e(IO) - BOTH SEXES|67.44|67.87|68.22|68.48|68.57|68.66|68.75|68.85|68.94|
|IHR- BOTHSEXES|10.0|9.1|8.4|7.8|7.6|7.5|7.4|7.3|7.2|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0107|.0097|.0088|.0082|.0081|.0080|.0079|.0077|.0076|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>53.9|49.7|48.3|<br>49.3|<br>49.5|<br>49.5|50.|0<br>50.9|<br>54.1|<br>59.4|
173

# SPAIN Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030

Sumry for 25 Year Pertods

|AGE CROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|............................................||I....|........................................|.................||||
|TOTAL<br>M*F<br>38523|<br>40385|<br>41177|<br>39128|<br>37456|<br>37266|<br>37262|<br>37271|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1306|<br>1259|<br>1200|<br>1198|<br>1204|<br>1207|<br>1208|<br>1208|
|5-9<br>1543|<br>1258|<br>1177|<br>1196|<br>1206|<br>1208|<br>1207|<br>1207|
|10-14<br>1693|<br>1204|<br>1184|<br>1208|<br>1210|<br>1207|<br>1206|<br>1205|
|15-19<br>1683|<br>1305|<br>1221|<br>1227|<br>1210|<br>1204|<br>1203|<br>1204|
|20-24<br>1651|<br>1539|<br>1259|<br>1225|<br>1201|<br>1199|<br>1201|<br>1202|
|25-29<br>1473|<br>1684|<br>1250|<br>1191|<br>1190|<br>1195|<br>1199|<br>1199|
|30-34<br>1268|<br>1672|<br>1246|<br>1167|<br>1186|<br>1196|<br>1198|<br>1197|
|35-39<br>1218|<br>1638|<br>1189|<br>1170|<br>1195|<br>1198|<br>1195|<br>1193|
|40-44<br>1106|<br>1457|<br>1284|<br>1203|<br>1210|<br>119;|<br>1188|<br>1187|
|45-49<br>977|<br>1245|<br>1503|<br>1233|<br>1200|<br>1178|<br>1176|<br>1177|
|50-54<br>1119|<br>1175|<br>1620|<br>1207|<br>1152|<br>1150|<br>1156|<br>1160|
|55-59<br>1051|<br>1033|<br>1559|<br>1168|<br>1097|<br>1116|<br>1126|<br>1127|
|oO-64<br>910|<br>864|<br>1444|<br>1058|<br>1046|<br>1070|<br>1072|<br>1070|
|65-69<br>650|<br>909|<br>1170|<br>1045|<br>966|<br>993|<br>980|<br>976|
|70-74<br>528|<br>747|<br>857|<br>1052|<br>871|<br>850|<br>835|<br>834|
|75+<br>723|<br>906|<br>1186|<br>1746|<br>1394|<br>1317|<br>1325|<br>1330|
|TOTAL<br>18899<br>|<br>19897|<br>20348|<br>19295|<br>18559|<br>18482|<br>1847|4<br>18477|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1231|<br>1180|<br>1126|<br>1127|<br>1132|<br>1135|<br>1136|<br>1136|
|5-9<br>1465|<br>1179|<br>1105|<br>1125|<br>1135|<br>1137|<br>1136|<br>1136|
|10-14<br>1572|<br>1129|<br>1111|<br>1136|<br>1140|<br>1137|<br>1136|<br>1135|
|15-19<br>1593|<br>1233|<br>1146|<br>1155|<br>1141|<br>1136|<br>1135|<br>1135|
|20-24<br>1606|<br>1466|<br>1184|<br>1154|<br>1135|<br>1133|<br>1134|<br>1135|
|25-29<br>1458|<br>1573|<br>1178|<br>1124|<br>1126|<br>1132|<br>1135|<br>1135|
|30-34<br>1254|<br>1595|<br>1177|<br>1103|<br>1124|<br>1134|<br>1136|<br>1135|
|35-39<br>1216|<br>1606|<br>1126|<br>1109|<br>1135|<br>1139|<br>1136|<br>1134|
|40-44<br>1119|<br>1455|<br>1228|<br>1143|<br>1152|<br>1139|<br>1133|<br>1133|
|45-49<br>1010|<br>1246|<br>1456|<br>1177|<br>1149|<br>1130|<br>1128|<br>1129|
|50-54<br>1169|<br>1200|<br>1553|<br>1165|<br>1114|<br>1116|<br>1122|<br>1125|
|55-59<br>1133|<br>1091|<br>1557|<br>1152|<br>1083|<br>1104|<br>1114|<br>1116|
|60-64<br>1015|<br>967|<br>1538|<br>1083|<br>1069|<br>1096|<br>1100|<br>1098|
|65-69<br>833|<br>1080|<br>1343|<br>1140|<br>1065|<br>1076|<br>1C64|<br>1059|
|70-74<br>744|<br>971|<br>1066|<br>1255|<br>1021|<br>999|<br>984|<br>983|
|75+<br>1203|<br>1517|<br>1937|<br>2684|<br>2175|<br>2042|<br>2058|<br>2069|
|TOTAL<br>19624|<br>20488|<br>20829|<br>19834|<br>18897|<br>18784|<br>18788|<br>18794|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|12.3|11.5|11.7|12.4|12.6|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|9.3|10.8|13.7|14.2|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.31|.08|-.20|-.17|-.02|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.599|1.831|2.076|2.079|2.078|2.078|2.078|
|e(O)- B0TH SEXES|77.07|78.02|78.51|78.85|78.94|79.00|79.02|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|9.1|7.5|6.9|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
174 SWEDEN Projection (0009) with bRR-I by 2030

|.....................................................................<br>AGE GROLP<br>1985|.....................................<br>1990|........................<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|.....................................|........................||||||||
|TOTALN#F<br>f<br>1350|83m2|<br>8378|8377|8356|8321|8288|8246|8175|<br>8085|
|PALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>220|268|266|256|246|239|242|248|251|<br>250|
|5.9<br>249|222|269|266|257|246|239|242|247|250|
|10.14<br>285|<br>251|223|269|267|256|<br>246|239|242|247|
|15-19<br>29s|285|251|223|269|266|256|245|239|<br>241|
|20-24<br>302|299|286|252|223|268|265|255|24S|<br>238|
|25-29<br>288|303|300|287|251|222|267|264|254|244|
|30-34<br>297|289|304|300|286|251|221|267|264|254|
|35-39<br>336|297|289|304|299|285|249|220|265|262|
|40-44<br>319|<br>334|296|287|302|97s|<br>283|248|<br>219|<br>264|
|;5-49<br>242|315|331|292|284|298|294|280|245|217|
|50.54<br>214|237|308|323|286|278|292|288|274|240|
|55-59<br>218|205|227|296|311|275|268|281|277|265|
|60-64<br>233|203|192|213|277|291|258|251|264|261|
|65-69<br>213|208|182|172|190|249|262|232|226|238|
|70-74<br>181|176|172|151|143|159|208|220|195|<br>91|
|715<br>252|256|255|253|238|224|231|271|300|298|
|TOTAL<br>4148|4148|4150|4144|4129|410S|4081|4050|4008|3960|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>2a7|253|251|242|233|226|229|234|237|237|
|5-9<br>234|208|254|252|243|233|226|229|234|237|
|10-14<br>268|236|209|255|252|243|232|226|229|234|
|15-19<br>280|270|237|210|255|252|243|232|226|229|
|20-24<br>285|283|272|238|211|255|252|243|232|226|
|25-29<br>271|288|285|274|239|211|255|252|243|232|
|30-34<br>281|274|290|287|274|239|211|255|252|242|
|35-39<br>319|282|275|291|287|274|239|210|255|252|
|40.44<br>298|319|283|275|291|286|274|239|210|255|
|45-49<br>232|297|318|282|274|290|286|273|238|210|
|50-54<br>213|230|295|316|280|272|288|284|271|236|
|55-59<br>225|209|227|291|312|277|269|285|281|268|
|_60-U4_<br>245|.19|204|221|285|306|271|263|279|275|
|65-69<br>233|233|209|196|212|273|293|260|253|268|
|70-74<br>215|<br>212|213|191|<br>180|<br>195|<br>252|271|<br>240|234|
|75+<br>395<br> <br>|1.01<br>|<br>405|411|<br>399|384|388|439|486|489|
|TOTAL<br>4202|4214|4227|4233|<br>4228|4216|<br>4208|4196|4167|4125|
|BIRTH RATE|12.5|12.4|12.0|11.5|11.2|11.4|11.7|12.0|12.1|
|DEATH RATE|13.1|12.7|12.4|12.2|12.1|12.2|12.8|13.7|14.3|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|*.06|-.03|-.05|-.07|-.08|.08|.10|-.17|-.22|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.8|.7|.5|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.03|.04|-.00|-.05|-.08|-. 08|-.10|-.17|-*.22|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.850|1.850|1.850|1.886|1.922|1.957|1.992|2.026|2.059|
|NRR|.892|.892|.892|.910|.927|.944|.961|.977|.994|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES<br>|76.58|76.93|77.23|77.48|77.61|77.74|77.86|77.99|78.12|
|**eX10)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|67.08|67.43|67.73|67.99|68.12|68.24|68.37|68.50|68.63|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0061|.0061|.0061|.0061|.0061|.0061|.0061|.0061|.0061|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>54.7|<br>53.7|53.2|53.4|52.0|54.3|58.2|<br>60.6|<br>62.4|64.6|
175

# SWEDEN

# rIjection (000s) wIth NRR-1 by 2030

Sumnry tor 25 **Year** Perlods

|...................<br>...........<br>|.....................<br>|, i.<br>....<br>|.......................................<br>|........................<br>|||....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|................................................|..................................|.......................................|........|||||
|TOTALH+F<br>8350|8377|8175|7762|7640|7635|7639|7640|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>220|256|251|247|247|247|247|?47|
|5-9<br>249|266|247|245|246|247|247|247|
|10-14<br>285|269|242|244|247|247|247|247|
|15-19<br>298|223|239|246|247|247|247|247|
|20-24<br>302|252|245|249|247|246|246|246|
|25-27<br>288|287|254|249|246|245|I.S|<br>245|
|30-34<br>297|300|264|245|243|244|245|245|
|35-39<br>336|304|265|239|242|244|244|244|
|40-44<br>319|287|219|235|243|244|*.3|<br>243|
|45-49<br>242|292|245|238|244|242|241|241|
|50-54<br>214|323|274|244|240|237|237|237|
|55-59<br>218|296|277|245|229|228|229|230|
|60-64<br>233|213|264|234|212|215|218|218|
|65-69<br>213|172|226|176|191|198|199|199|
|70-74<br>181|151|195|168|166|171|170|170|
|75+<br>252|253|S10|301|274|266|267|268|
|TOTAL<br>4148|4144|4008|3806|3763|3769|37m|3774|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>207|242|237|234|233|234|234|234|
|5-9<br>234|252|234|232|233|234|234|234|
|10-14<br>268|255|229|231|233|234|234|234|
|15-19<br>280|210|226|233|234|234|234|234|
|20-24<br>285|238|232|237|235|234|233|234|
|25-29<br>271|274|243|237|234|233|233|233|
|30-34<br>281|287|252|234|232|233|233|233|
|35-39<br>319|291|255|228|231|233|233|233|
|40-44<br>298|'275|210|226|233|234|233|233|
|45-49<br>232|282|238|231|235|234|233|232|
|50-54<br>213|316|271|240|235|232|231|231|
|55.59<br>225|291|281|247|230|228|229|229|
|60-64<br>245|221|279|246|221|223|225|226|
|65-69<br>233|196|253|195|211|218|218|218|
|70-74<br>215|191|240|206|201|205|<br>203|203|
|75+<br>395|411|486|497|446|426|424|425|
|TOTAL<br>42b2|4233|4167|3955|3877|3867|3866|3866|
|BIRTH RATE|12.3|11.6|12.2|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|12.7|12.6|14.2|13.2|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.02|-. 10|-. 21|-. 06|-. 00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.846|1.956|2.069|2.072|2.072|2.072|2.072|
|e(0) - BOTHSEXES|76.91|77.74|78.38|78.82|78.90|78.96|78.98|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|5.7|
176

|SWITZERLAN||Proje|ction (0009)|with HRR-a_by_2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|............<br>......................|.,,|........,...................,....,...|......,.......,....,,...,,..||||||
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|199S|2000|2005<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|.........................................................................|.....................................|....................|||||||
|TOTAL N.F<br>6472|6501|6514|6499|6457<br>6391|6308|6208|6085|5946|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>171|194|184|169|<br>163<br>160|163|166|167|167|
|5-9<br>186<br>|171<br>|194<br>|184<br>|169<br>163<br> <br>|160<br>|162<br> <br>|165<br>|<br>167<br>|
|10-14<br>207|186|170|194|184<br>169|163|<br>160|162|165|
|15-19<br>248|207|18S|170|193<br>183|169|162|160|162|
|20-24<br>264|247|206|185|170<br>193|183<br>|168<br>|162<br>|159<br>|
|25-29<br>248|263|246|205|184<br>169|192|183|168|162|
|30-34<br>242|247|262|246|205<br>184|<br>169|192|182|167<br>|
|35-39<br>258|24.|246|261|245<br>204|183|168|191|181|
|40-44<br>245|256|239|244|260<br>243<br>|203<br>|<br>182<br>|<br>167<br>|190<br> <br>|
|4S-49<br>204|242|253|237|242<br>257|241|201|180|<br>166<br>|
|50-54<br>190|199|237|248|232<br>238|252|237|197|177<br>|
|55-59<br>170|183|192|229|240<br>224|230<br>|244<br>|229|191<br>|
|60-64<br>153|159|171|181|21:<br>226|212|217<br>|231<br>|<br>216<br>|
|65-69<br>120<br> <br>|137<br>|143<br>|155<br>|163<br>195<br> <br>|<br>205<br>|192<br>|197<br>|209<br>|
|70-74<br>107|101|115|120|131<br>138|165|174<br>|163<br>|167<br>|
|75+<br>154|156|153|163|173<br>186|199|227|248|251<br>|
|TOTAL<br>3166|3187|3197|3190|3169<br>3133|3088|3034|2970|2899|
|FEMALES||||<br>|||||
|0-4<br>161|184|174|160|154<br>151|154|157|<br>158|158<br>|
|5-9<br>176|161<br>|184<br>|174<br>|160<br>154<br> <br>|151<br>|154<br>|157<br> <br>|<br>158<br> <br>|
|10-14<br>195|176|161|183|174<br>160|154<br>|151<br>|<br>154|<br>157|
|15-19<br>235|195|176|161|183<br>174|160|154|151|<br>154|
|20-24<br>255|235|195|176|161<br>183|174|160|154|151|
|25-29<br>245|255|235|195|<br>176<br>161|183<br>|<br>174<br>|160<br>|154<br> <br>|
|30-34<br>239|245|255|235|195<br>176|161<br>|183<br>|174|<br>160<br>|
|35-39<br>250|239|245|255|235<br>195|<br>176|161|183|<br>174|
|40-44<br>235|250|238|244|254<br>234|195|<br>176|161|<br>183|
|45-49<br>201|234|249|238|244<br>253|234|194|175|<br>160|
|50-54<br>192|200|232<br>|247<br>|236<br>242<br> <br>|252<br>|232<br>|193<br>|<br>174<br>|
|!5-59<br>183|190|197|230|244<br>233|239<br>|249<br>|230<br>|191<br> <br>|
|60-44<br>174|179|185|193|225<br>239<br>|229<br>|235<br>|244<br>|<br>225<br> <br>|
|65-69<br>143|166|171|178|185<br>216|230|220<br>|226<br>|<br>235<br>|
|70-74<br>143|130|152|157|164<br>171|200<br>|213<br>|204<br>|209<br> <br>|
|75+<br>276<br> <br>|275<br>|267<br>|283<br>|298<br>312<br> <br>|328<br>|361<br>|392<br>11|<br>403<br> <br>3047|
|TOTAL<br>3306|3314|3317|3308|328<br>3257|3219|3174|36|<br>|
|BIRTH RATE|11.7|11.1|10.2|9.9<br>9.8|10.0|10.4|10.6|10.9|
|DEATH RATE|10.8|10.7|10.7|11.1<br>11.8|12.7|13.6|14.7|15.5<br>|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.09|.04|-.05|-.13<br>-.21|-.26|-.32|-.40|-.46<br>|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|**.0**<br>.0|.0|0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.09|.04|-.05|-.13<br>-.21|-.26|-.32|-.40|-.46|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.550|1.550|1.550|1.642<br>1.729|1.813|1.893|1.969|2.042|
|NRR|.747|.747|.747|.792<br>.834|.875|.913|.951|.986<br>|
|**e(O)**- BOTH SEXES|76.99|77.44|77.81|78.10<br>78.18|78.25<br>|78.33<br>|78.41<br>|78.48<br>|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|67.60|68.02|68.38|68.66<br>68.74<br> <br>|68.82<br>|68.90<br>|68.98<br>|69.06<br>|
|INR- BOTH SEXES<br>|6.8<br>|6.5<br>|6.3<br>|6.2<br>6.2<br> <br>|6.3<br>|6.3<br>|6.3<br>|6.4<br>|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES<br>DEP. RATIO<br>46.0|.0074<br>45.6|.0070<br>46.5|.0069<br>48.4|.0067<br>.0068<br>48.8<br>51.6|.0068<br> <br>56.3|.0068<br> <br>60.3|.0068<br> <br>64.8|.0069<br> <br>69.9|
177 Projection (O0Gs) with **MRRia** by 2030 SWITZERLAND

# Surmmry for 25 Year Perfods

|..<br>. ..........<br>.................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|....<br>.<br> <br>2000|.....<br>......<br> <br> <br>2025|...........<br>...<br> <br>2050|..<br>..............<br> <br>2075|I...........<br> <br>2100|................<br> <br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL4+F<br>642|6499|<br>6085|<br>5391|<br>5130|<br>5105|<br>5104|<br>5104|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>171|<br>169|<br>167|<br>165|<br>164|<br>164|<br>165|<br>165|
|5-9<br>186|<br>184|<br>165|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|
|10-14<br>207|<br>194|<br>162|<br>163|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|
|15-19<br>248|<br>170|<br>160|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|
|20-24<br>264|185|162|166|16|164|164|<br>164|
|25-29<br>248|205|168|166|164|163|163|<br>163|
|30-34<br>242|246|182|164|162|163|163|<br>163|
|35-39<br>258|<br>261|<br>191|<br>160|<br>161|<br>162|<br>163|<br>163|
|40-44<br>245|<br>244|<br>167|<br>157|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|45-49<br>204|237|180|159|163|161|161|<br>161|
|50-54<br>190|248|197|162|160|158|158|<br>158|
|55-59<br>170|229|229|171|154|153|153|<br>153|
|60-64<br>153|181|231|170|143|<br>14|145|<br>146|
|65-69<br>120|155|197|136|129|133|133|<br>133|
|70-74<br>107|120|163|126|112|115|114|<br>114|
|75+<br>154|163|248|245|<br>195|182|181|<br>181|
|TOTAL<br>3166|3190|2970|2638|2527|2518|2518|2518|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>161|160|158|156|156|156|156|<br>156|
|5-9<br>176|174|157|155|156|156|156|<br>156|
|10-14<br>195|183|154|155|156|156|156|<br>156|
|15-19<br>235|161|151|156|157|156|156|<br>156|
|20-24<br>255|176|154|158|157|156|156|<br>156|
|25-29<br>245|195|160|158|156|456|<br>156|<br>156|
|30-34<br>239|235|174|157|155|156|156|<br>156|
|35-39<br>250|255|183|154|155|156|156|<br>156|
|40-44<br>235|244|161|151|156|156|156|<br>156|
|45-49<br>201|238|175|153|157|156|156|<br>155|
|50-54<br>192|247|193|158|156|155|155|<br>155|
|55-59<br>183|230|230|170|154|152|153|<br>153|
|60-64<br>174|193|244|176|148|149|151|<br>151|
|65-69<br>143|178|226|150|141|146|146|<br>146|
|70-74<br>143|157|204|151|133|137|136|<br>136|
|75+<br>276|283|392|394|310|286|284|285|
|TOTAL<br>3306|3308|3116|2753|2603|2586|2586|2586|
|BIRTH RATE|11.0|10.1|11.3|12.3|12.6|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.7|12.7|16.1|14.3|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.03|-. 26|-.4U|-. 20|-. 02|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.549|1.803|2.064|2.068|2.068|2.068|2.068|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|77.41|78.25|78.64|78.91|78.98|79.03|79.04|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|6.5|6.3|*.4|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
178 UNITED KINGDOM Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030

|...............<br>......................<br>**AGE**GROLP<br>1985|......<br>1990|.....<br> <br>1995|.....<br>. .........<br> <br>2000|2005|............................<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>56618|56890|57178|57333|57345|<br>s7309|S7304|57285|<br>57161|<br>56854|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>l850|1928|<br>1902|<br>1798|1723|1695|1715|1744|1752|<br>1745|
|5-9<br>1746|1840|<br>1919|<br>1893|1790|<br>1716|<br>1689|<br>1711|<br>1741|<br>1750|
|10-14<br>1997|1739|1833|1912|1887|1785|1712|1686|1709|<br>1739|
|15-19<br>2328|1987|1730|1825|1905|1880|1780|1708|1683|<br>1707|
|20-24<br>2412|2309|1971|1715|1812|1893|1871|1772|1702|<br>1679|
|25-29<br>2073|2388|2287|1951|1699|<br>1797|<br>1881|<br>1861|<br>1765|<br>1697|
|30-34<br>1899|2051|2366|2267|1935|<br>1686|<br>1786|1871|1853|<br>1759|
|35-39<br>2075|1879|2032|2346|2250|1921|<br>1675|<br>1776|<br>1862|<br>1846|
|40-44<br>1722|<br>2050|1858|<br>2011|2326|2231|1906|<br>1663|<br>1765|<br>1852|
|45-49<br>1589|<br>1692|2018|1831|1985|<br>2297|2205|l885|1645|<br>1747|
|50-54<br>1514|1546|1650|1972|1791|<br>1943|<br>2250|2162|1848|<br>1614|
|55-59<br>1507|<br>1447|1482|<br>1586|l899|1726|<br>1874|<br>2172|2088|1787|
|60-64<br>1494|1399|1349|1386|1487|1782|1622|1763|2045|1968|
|65-69<br>1150|<br>1325|1248|1208|1246|1339|<br>1607|1464|1593|<br>1851|
|70-74<br>1016|946|1098|1041|1012|1046|<br>1126|<br>1354|1236|<br>1348|
|75.<br>1201|1319|1342|1477|1512|1513|1543|<br>1623|1839|<br>1866|
|TOTAL<br>27574|27847|28085|28219|28257|28251|28241|28212|28124|27954|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1760|1840|1814|1715|1642|1617|1637|<br>1664|1673|<br>1667|
|5-9<br>1653|1752|1832|1806|1708|1637|<br>1612|1634|1663|<br>1672|
|10-14<br>1891|1647|1746|1826|1801|<br>1704|1634|<br>1610|<br>1633|<br>1662|
|15-19<br>2212|1883|1640|<br>1738|1820|<br>1796|<br>1700|<br>1631|<br>1609|<br>1632|
|20-24<br>2335|2198|1870|<br>1627|1728|l8ll|1790|1696|1629|<br>1608|
|25-29<br>2030|2318|2182|1855|1614|1717|<br>1803|<br>1784|<br>1692|<br>1628|
|30-34<br>1870|2016|2304|2169|1844|1606|1711|1798|1781|<br>1691|
|35-39<br>2069|1858|2004|2293|2160|1837|<br>1600|<br>1706|<br>1795|<br>l779|
|40-44<br>1701|2056|1847|1991.|2284|2152|1831|<br>1595|<br>1702|<br>1792|
|45-49<br>1582|1686|2041|1835|1983|2272|2141|1822|<br>1589|<br>1696|
|50-54<br>1526|1561|1667|<br>2020|1818|1965|<br>2253|2124|1809|<br>1577|
|55-59<br>1573|1494|1531|1638|1988|1791|1937|<br>2221|2096|1785|
|60-64<br>1651|1518|-1446|1487|1594|1937|<br>1746|<br>1890|<br>2169|2048|
|65-69<br>1390|1549|1432|1370|1413|1517|1846|1666|1806|<br>2076|
|70-74<br>1385|1236|1388|<br>1291|<br>1241|<br>1284|<br>1381|<br>1684|<br>1523|<br>1655|
|75.<br>2416|2432|2349|2451|2449|2416|2442|2546|2869|2930|
|TOTAL<br>29044|29044|29093|29113|29088|29058|29063|29073|29037|28900|
|BIRTH RATE|13.4|13.2|12.4|11.9|11.7|11.8|12.0|12.1|12.1|
|DEATH RAIE|12.0|11.6|11.3|11.4|11.4|11.6|11.9|12.4|13.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.15|.15|.11|.05|.02|.02|.01|-. 03|-.11|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.5|-.5|-.5|-.4|-.3|-. 3|-. 2|-.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.10|.10|.05|.00|-.01|<br>-.00|<br>-.01|<br>-.04|-.11|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.800|1.800|1.800|1.844|1.887|1.928|1.969|2.010|2.049|
|NRR|.867|.868|.869|.891|.912|.933|.953|.973|.992|
|**e()**<br>- BOTH SEXES|75.21|75.93|76.51|76.97|77.14|77.31|77.47|77.64|77.81|
|**e(10)**- BOTH SEXES|66.03|66.66|67.18|67.61|67.77|67.94|68.10|68.27|68.44|
|IHR - BOTH SEXES<br>|9.1|8.1|7.5|7.1|7.0|7.0|7.0|6.9|6.9|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0101|.0089|.0082|.0077|.0077|.0076|.0076|.0076|.0075|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>52.4|52.4|53.4|52.7|51.2|50.6|53.4|55.2|58.2|<br>62.9|
179 ProJection (000s) with NRRau by 2030

# UNITED KINGDON

# Summary for 25 Year PeriodB

|AGEGROJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>.....................................................................|...................................|||||||
|TOTALHeF<br>56618|57333|57161|54771|537M3|<br>53730|53769|53792|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1850|1798|1752|1732|1726|1727|1728|<br>1728|
|5-9<br>1746|1893|1741|1720|1722|1725|1726|<br>1727|
|10-14<br>1997|1912|1709|1713|1722|1725|1726|<br>1725|
|15-19<br>2328|1825|1683|1721|1725|1725|1723|<br>1723|
|20-24<br>2412|1715|1702|1736|1725|1720|1719|<br>1719|
|25-29<br>2073|1951|1765|1738|1719|1714|1715|<br>1716|
|30-34<br>1899|2267|1853|1724|1705|1708|1711|<br>1712|
|35-39<br>2075|2346|1862|1688|1694|1704|1708|<br>1708|
|40-44<br>1722|2011|1765|1656|1697|1702|1701|<br>1700|
|45-49<br>1589|1831|1645|1663|1700|1691|1687|<br>1686|
|50-54<br>1514|1972|1848|1699|1679|1662|1658|<br>1659|
|55-59<br>1507|1586|2088|1732|1620|1604|1607|<br>1611|
|60-64<br>1494|1386|2045|1651|1507|1515|1525|<br>1529|
|65-69<br>1150|<br>1208|<br>1593|<br>1429|<br>1354|<br>1391|<br>1397|<br>1397|
|70-74<br>1016|<br>1041|<br>1236|<br>1142|<br>1172|<br>1202|<br>1198|<br>1196|
|75+<br>1201|1477|1839|2165|1970|1902|1899|<br>1902|
|TOTAL<br>27574|28219|28124|26908|26439|26417|26428|26438|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1760|1715|1673|1657|1652|1652|1653|<br>1653|
|5-9<br>1653|<br>1806|<br>1663|<br>1647|<br>1649|1652|1653|<br>1653|
|10-14<br>1891|<br>1826|<br>1633|<br>1640|<br>1651|<br>1653|<br>1653|<br>1653|
|15-19<br>2212|<br>1738|<br>1609|<br>1649|<br>1656|<br>1654|<br>1653|<br>1653|
|20-24<br>2335|1627|1629|1666|1659|1654|1652|<br>1652|
|25-29<br>2030|1855|1692|1671|1655|1651|1651|<br>1652|
|30-34<br>1870|2169|1781|1660|1645|1648|1651|<br>1652|
|35-39<br>2069|2293|1795|1629|1638|1649|1651|<br>1651|
|40-44<br>1701|1994|1702|1603|<br>1645|1652|1651|<br>1650|
|45-49<br>1582|<br>1835|<br>1589|<br>1618|<br>1657|<br>1651|<br>1647|<br>1645|
|50-54<br>1526|<br>2020|<br>1809|<br>1672|<br>1654|<br>1640|<br>1636|<br>1637|
|55-59<br>1573|<br>1638|<br>2096|<br>1740|<br>1628|<br>1615|<br>1619|<br>1622|
|60-64<br>1651|<br>1487|2169|1720|1569|1580|1593|<br>1596|
|65-69<br>1390|<br>1370|<br>1806|<br>1569|1491|1534|1543|<br>1543|
|70-74<br>1385|1291|1523|1354|1398|1439|1437|<br>1434|
|75+<br>2416|<br>2451|<br>2869|<br>3368|<br>3088|<br>2989|<br>2998|<br>3008|
|TOTAL<br>29044|29113|29037|27862|27334|27313|27341|27353|
|BIRTH RATE|13.0|11.9|12.1|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.6|11.7|13.8|13.3|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 5|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.08|-. 01|-. 17|-. 07|-. 00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.801|1.926|2.060|2.061|2.061|2.060|2.060|
|e(O) -BOTH SEXES|75.89|77.31|78.15|78.75|78.90|79.01|79.04|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|8.3|7.0|6.8|6.7|6.5|6.3|6.3|
180

|OTHER EUROPE||Proje|ction(000s)<br>w|<br>ithNRR=|Iby|1990|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GR0LP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005||2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|...............|.....................................|......................................|.................||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>260|271|282|293|303||313|321|329|336|<br>341|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>10|10|11|11|11||11|11|11|<br>12|<br>11|
|5-9<br>9|10|10|11|11||11|11|11|11|<br>12|
|10-14<br>10|9|10|<br>10|11||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>11|10|9|11|11||11|1,|<br>11|11|<br>11|
|20-24<br>10|9I|<br>10|<br>10|11||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|25-29<br>9|10|12|<br>11|10||11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|30-34<br>10|9|10|12|11||10|<br>11|11|<br>11|<br>11|
|35-9<br>9|10|10|<br>11|12||11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|;<br> <br>40-44<br>a|<br>9|<br>10|<br> <br>10|<br>11||<br>12|<br> <br>I1|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br> <br>II|<br><br>11|
|45-49<br>a|a|9|10|10||11|12|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|
|50-54<br>8|7|8|9|10||10|<br>11|<br>12|<br>11|<br>10|
|55-59<br>8|7|7|7|8||10|<br>9|<br>11|<br>12|<br>11|
|60-64<br>6|7|7|7|7||8|9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|
|65-69<br>6|6|6|6|6||6|7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>9|
|70-74<br>5|5|5|5|5||5|5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|75+<br>6|7|7|7|8||8|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>9|
|TOTAL<br>131|137|<br>142|<br>148|153||157|<br>162|<br>165|<br>168|<br>170|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>8|9|10|10|10||10|11|11|11|<br>11|
|5-9<br>8|9|10|<br>10|11||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|10-14<br>9|9|9|10|10||11|11|11|11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>9|10|9|9|10||11|11|11|11|11|
|20-24<br>9|10|10|9|10||10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|25-29<br>8|10|11|<br>11|10||10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|30*34<br>8|9|11|<br>11|11||10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|35-39<br>8|9|9|11|11||11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|
|40-44<br>7|8|9|9|11||11|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|
|45-49<br>6|7|8|9|9||11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|
|50-54<br>7|6|7|8|9||9|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|
|55-59<br>7|7|6|7|8||9|9|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|60-64<br>7|7|7|6|7||8|8|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|
|65-69<br>7|7|7|7|6||7|8|<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|
|70-74<br>7|6|6|6|6||5|6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|
|75.<br>10|12<br>|12<br> <br>|<br>12<br> <br>|11<br>|<br>|11<br>|<br>11<br> <br>|<br>11<br> <br>|<br>12<br> <br>|<br>13<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>129|<br>134|<br>140|<br>145|150||155|<br>160|<br>164|<br>168|<br>171|
|BIRTH RATE|14.4|14.8|14.7<br>|14.2||13.9|13.7|13.7|13.6|13.3|
|DEATH RATE|12.3|11.9|11.3<br>|10.6||10.3|10.1|9.9|10.2|10.7|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|.21|.29|.35|.36||.35|.36|.38|.34|.27|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|6.0|5.1|4.2|3.4||2.6|1.9|1.2|.6|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.82|.80|.76|.70||.61|.55|.50|.40|.27|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.100|2.090|2.085<br>2.|082|2|.081|2.080|2.078|2.077|2.076|
|NRR|1.002|1.000|1.000<br>1|.000|1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|75.03|75.64|76.17<br>7|6.61|7|6.79|76.98|77.17|77.36|77.55|
|e(1O) - BOTH SEXES<br>|66.29<br>|66.72<br>|67.11<br>6<br>|7.45<br>|6|7.62<br>|67.78<br>|67.95<br>|68.12<br>|68.29<br>|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES<br>|13.7<br>|11.8<br>|10.3<br> <br>|9.2<br>||9.0<br>|8.8<br>|8.5<br>|8.3<br>|8.1<br>|
|q(5)- ROTH SEXES|.0156|.0132|.0114<br>.|102|.|100|.0097|.0094|.0091|.0089|
|DEP. RATIO<br>59.6|57.2|57.3|56.2|53.8||51.9|<br>51.7|<br>52.9|<br>54.0|<br>56.6|
||||,,~~~~~~-<br>q|-p|||||||
181 Projection (000s) with NRRx1 by 1990

# OTHER EUROPE

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|**..................**.<br>..<br>....<br>AGE GROJP<br>1985|...<br>...........<br>2000|.......<br>2025|...........<br>..<br>2050|........................<br>2075|2100|......<br>..........<br>2125|......<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~~~~~..........<br>...........<br>....|..<br>...<br>...<br>....|<br>............|...........................||...<br>............|........||
|TOTALM+F<br>260|293|336|348|351|353|353|353|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10|<br>11|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|5-9<br>9|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|10-14<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|20-24<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11||11|1<br>1|<br>11|
|<br>25-29<br>9|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|30-34<br>10|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|35-39<br>9|<br>7|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|40-44<br>a|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|<br>45-49<br>a|<br>10|<br> <br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br> <br>11|<br><br> <br>II|
|50-54<br>a|9|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|55-59<br>a|7|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|60-64<br>6|7|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>6|6|<br>a|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|70-74<br>5|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|75+<br>6|7|<br>8|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>131|<br>148|<br>168|<br>172|<br>174|<br>174|<br>174|<br>174|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|5-9<br>8|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|10-14<br>9|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>9|<br>9|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|<br>20-24<br>9|<br> <br> <br>9|<br> <br>10|<br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|25-29<br>6|9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|50-34<br>7|<br>8|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>8|<br> <br> <br>7|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br><br> <br>11|
|40-64<br>7|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|
|45-49<br>6|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>I1|<br>11|<br>11|<br>II|
|50-54<br>7|<br>a|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>I1|<br>II|
|55-59<br>7|<br>7|<br>11|<br>II|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>I1|
|60-64<br>7|<br>6|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>7|<br>7|<br>9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|70-74<br>7|<br>6|<br>7|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|75+<br>10|12|12|18|19|19|20|20|
|TOTAL<br>129|<br>145|<br>168|<br>176|<br>178|<br>179|<br>179|<br>179|
|BIRTH RATE|14.7|13.8|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|11.8|10.2|11.6|12.4|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|5.1|1.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.79|.55|.14|.03|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.089|2.080|2.073|2.069|2.069|2.068|2.068|
|6(0)<br>- BOTH SEXES|75.63|76.99|77.94|78.61|78.83|78.97|79.01|
|<br>IMR- BOTHSEXES|11.9|8.8|7.6|6.8|6.6|6.4|6.3|
182

|U.S.S.R.<br>................................................................||Pro|jection<br>**(000**|**s)**iith**NRR-**<br>......................|**1**by1995<br>.................................................|.................................||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**AGE GROLP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|...........................................................||||.........................................|.................................................|..................||||
|TOTALN+F<br>278618|289913|298601|306362|313810|320874|328005|334247|340163|345003|
|**PALES**||||||||||
|0-4<br>12552|<br>13119|11812|11351|11616|12078|12308|12161|11894|<br>11775|
|5-9<br>11696|12482|13056|11766|11316|11582|12044|12276|12131|<br>11867|
|10-14<br>10900|11657|12445|13023|11741|11293|11560|12023|12256|12113|
|15-19<br>10302|10829|11593|12387|12971|11698|11254|11523|11988|<br>12223|
|20-24<br>12367|10177|10718|11493|12295|12882|11623|11188|11460|<br>11929|
|25-29<br>12536|12169|10041|<br>10598|11384|12187|12777|11536|11112|<br>11391|
|30-34<br>10893|12318|11995|9921|10491|<br>11276|12081|12676|11453|<br>11040|
|35-39<br>8282|10669|12110|11825|9800|10372|11159|<br>11966|12565|<br>11363|
|40-44<br>6166|8065|10434|11882|11631|9650|10225|11012|11821|<br>12427|
|45-49<br>9680|6234|7815|10149|11591|11363|9442|10019|10806|11617|
|50-54<br>7184|9187|5951|<br>7492|9766|11177|10978|9140|9717|10502|
|SS-59<br>7410|6652|8565|5577|7053|9217|10577|10416|8695|<br>9269|
|60-64<br>3737|<br>6606|5979|7748|<br>5073|6439|844S|9724|9611|8051|
|65-69<br>2413|3145|5615|<br>5124|<br>6687|4400|<br>5611|7394|<br>8555|8495|
|70-74<br>2541|1857|2450|4420|4070|5346|3540|4542|6023|7012|
|75.<br>2677|2850|2516|2808|4338|4845|6026|5362|5812|7151|
|TOTAL<br>131638|138017|143098|147562|151824|155806|159649|162958|165900|168222|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>12362|12611|11348|10897|11141|11588|11812|11674|11421|11310|
|5-9<br>11312|12314|12570|11318|10875|11121|11569|11795|11660|11409|
|10-14<br>10365|11292|12295|12554|11307|10865|11112|11561|11788|11654|
|15-19<br>**9990**|10342|11271|12276|12538|11294|10853|11102|11552|11780|
|20-24<br>11914|9958|10315|<br>11246|12253|12517|11277|10839|11089|11540|
|25-29<br>12065|11866|9924|10284|11217|12225|12491|11256|10822|11074|
|30-34<br>10631|12005|11817|9U87|<br>10252|11186|12194|12463|11234|10803|
|35-39<br>8334|10563|11941|11762|9847|10213|11147|12156|12428|11206|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>**6803**|<br>8259|<br>10482|<br>11859|<br>11690|<br>9791|<br>10160|<br>11094|<br>12104|12380|
|45-49<br>10408|6711|8159|10367|11741|11582|9706|10079|11012|12022|
|50-54<br>8178|10189|6583|8016|10199|11562|11416|9577|9953|10886|
|5S-59<br>9667|7913|9886|6400|7809|9949|11295|11167|9381|9764|
|60-64<br>6834|9174|7538|<br>9445|6132|7498|9573|10891|10790|9083|
|65-69<br>4824|6259|8447|6970|8770|<br>5712|7006|8974|10242|10180|
|70-74<br>5840|4143|5414|7351|6102|7715|5049|6224|8010|9185|
|75.<br>7452|8295|7515|8168|10112|10251|11693|10437|10777|<br>12504|
|TOTAL<br>146980|151895|155503|S180|161986|165068|168355|171289|174263|176781|
|**BlRtH**RATE|18.6|16.2|15.0|15.0|15.2|15.1|14.6|14.0|13.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.6|10.2|9.9|10.1|10.7|10.7|10.8|10.5|10.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.80|.59|.52|.48|.45|.44|.38|.35|.28|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.0|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|-.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GRWtH**RATE|**.JV**|.59|.51|.48|.45|.44|.38|.35|.28|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.400|2.187|2.107|2.097|2.093|2.089|2.086|2.082|2.078|
|NRR|1.129|1.032|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|CO<br>0<br> SEXES|6891|7015|7127|22||||||
|e)<br> <br>BOTH|.|.|.|7.7|72.77|73.28|73.81|74.34|74.88|
|**e(10)**- BOTH SEXES|61.22|62.22|63.03|63.75|64.19|64.63|65.08|65.54|66.01|
|**liR -**BOTH SEXES|25.4|22.7|19.5|16.4|15.6|14.8|14.0|13.1|12.3|
|q(S)**-** BOTH SEXES|.0302|.0268|.0226|.0189|.0179|.0169|.159|.0149|.0139|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.7|<br>52.7|<br>54.6|<br>52.7|<br>52.5|<br>49.9|<br>50.0|<br> <br>52.1|<br>54.9|56.6|
183 Projection (000s) with **NRR-1** by 199f

# U.S.S.R.

## Suary **for** 25 Year Perfiod

|.<br>.............................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|....<br>2050|......................................<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,........................................................................|.................................|||||||
|TOTAL*OF<br>278618|306362|340163|358272|366371|369736|371388|37207n|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12552|11351|11894|11970|11959|11950|11947|<br>11949|
|5-9<br>11698|11766|12131|12009|11932|11923|11930|<br>11936|
|10-14<br>10900|13023|12256|11950|11879|11900|11921|<br>11927|
|1S-19<br>10302|12387|11968|l1793|11826|11884|11911|<br>11914|
|20-24<br>12367|11493|11460|11675|11814|11876|11892|11891|
|25-29<br>12536|10598|11112|11740|11860|11862|11862|<br>11861|
|30-34<br>10893|9921|11453|11940|11883|11821|11821|11830|
|35-39<br>8282|11825|12565|12001|11793|11741|11772|<br>11796|
|40-44<br>6466|11882|11821|11660|11593|11647|11718|11748|
|45-49<br>9680|<br>10149|<br>10806|<br>11037|<br>11394|<br>11557|<br>11635|<br>11656|
|50-54<br>7184|<br>7492|<br>9717|<br>10503|<br>11283|<br>11438|<br>11463|<br>11469|
|55-59<br>7410|<br>5577|<br>8695|<br>10446|<br>11132|<br>11136|<br>11108|<br>11119|
|60-64<br>3737|7748|9611|10769|<br>10596|<br>10491|<br>10488|<br>10530|
|65-69<br>2413|<br>5124|<br>8555|<br>9138|<br>9383|<br>9433|<br>9534|<br>9611|
|70-74<br>2541|4420|6023|7049|7600|7970|8155|8232|
|75+<br>2677|2808|5812|9337|11S55|<br>12616|12964|<br>13065|
|TOTAL<br>131638|147562|165900|175016|179482|181247|182122|182533|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12362|<br>10897|<br>11421|<br>11s09|<br>11492|<br>11471|<br>11463|<br>11463|
|5-9<br>11312|11318|<br>11660|<br>11559|<br>11482|<br>11459|<br>11459|<br>11461|
|10-14<br>10365|<br>12554|<br>11788|<br>11510|<br>11444|<br>11448|<br>11458|<br>11462|
|15-19<br>9990|<br>12276|<br>11552|<br>11373|<br>11411|<br>11450|<br>11462|<br>11463|
|20-24<br>11914|<br>11246|<br>11089|<br>11287|<br>11427|<br>11467|<br>11466|<br>11462|
|25-29<br>12065|<br>10284|<br>10822|<br>11385|<br>11497|<br>11483|<br>11463|<br>11457|
|30-34<br>10631|<br>9887|<br>11234|<br>11620|<br>11543|<br>11470|<br>11450|<br>11450|
|35-39<br>8334|<br>11762|<br>12428|<br>11732|<br>11485|<br>11426|<br>11433|<br>11444|
|40-44<br>6803<br>m|<br>n859|12104|<br>11470|<br>11333|<br>11380|<br>11424|<br>1143S|
|45-49<br>10408|,10367|11012|10962|11213|11356|11414|11416|
|50-54<br>8178|<br>8016|<br>9953|<br>10612|<br>11243|<br>11376|<br>11375|<br>11360|
|55-59<br>9667|<br>6400|<br>9381|<br>10860|<br>11'50|1<br>11310|<br>11258|<br>11245|
|60-64<br>6834|<br>9445|<br>l0790|<br>11719|<br>11233|<br>11053|<br>11026|<br>11043|
|65-69<br>4824|<br>6970|<br>10242|<br>10891|<br>10561|<br>10521|<br>10610|<br>10667|
|70-74<br>5840|<br>7351|<br>8010|<br>9050|<br>9327|<br>9665|<br>9865|<br>9929|
|75n<br>7452|<br>8168|<br>lom|s<br>1715|18846|20142|20637|20780|
|TOTAL<br>146980|158800|174263|183256|186889|188489|189265|189539|
|BIRTH RATE|16.6|14.8|13.5|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.2|10.6|11.4|12.1.|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET NIGRATION RATE|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.63|.42|.21|.09|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.239|2.089|2.071|2.060|2.058|2.058|2.057|
|**e(O)**- BOTHSEXES|70.14|73.32|76.02|77.97|78.50|78.87|78.96|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|22.7|14.8|10.6|7.9|7.1|6.5|6.4|
# PPR Working Paper Series

||Title|Author|Dae|Contact<br>for paper|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|WPS307|On the Accuracy of Economic<br>Observations: Do Sub-Saharan<br>Trade Statistics Mean Anything|Alexander J. Yeats|November 1989|J. Epps<br>33710|
|WPS308|Harmonizing Tax Policies in Central<br>America|Yalcin M. Baran|November 1989|T. Watana<br>31882|
|WPS309|Honduras-Public Sector Finances,<br>Issues, and Policy Suggestions<br>to Resolve Them|Yalcin M. Baran|November 1989|T. Watana<br>31882|
|WPS310|A Macroeconomic Consistency<br>Framework for Zimbabwe|Ali Khadr<br>Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel|||
|WPS311|Macroeconomic Performance<br>Before and After Disinflation in<br>Israel|Leonardo Leiderman<br>Nissan Liviatan|November 1989||
|WPS312|Improving Public Enterprise<br>Performance: Lessons from<br>South Korea|Mary M. Shirley|October 1989|R. Malcolm<br>61708|
|WPS313|The Evolution of Paradigms of<br>Environmental Management in<br>Development|Michael E. Colby|||
|WPS314|Primary Commodity Prices and<br>Macroeconomic Variables: A Long-<br>run Relationship|Theodosios Palaskas<br>Panos Varangis|November 1989|D. Gustafson<br>33714|
|WPS315|Notes on Patents, Distortions,<br>and Development|Julio Nogu6s|||
|WPS316|The Macroeconomics of Populism<br>in Latin America|Rudiger Dornbusch<br>Sebastian Edwards|||
|WPS317|Price and Quality Competitiveness<br>of Socialist Countries' Exports|Zdenek Drabek<br>Andrzej Olechowski|||
|WPS318|Debt Buybacks Can Indicate<br>Sovereign Countries' Willingness<br>to Raise Investment and Repay<br>Debt When Partial Debt Relief is<br>Offered: Theory and Tests|Sankarshan Acharya<br>Ishac Diwan|||
|WPS319|Trends in South-South Trade and<br>the Potential in Non-Discriminatory<br>Liberalization of Barriers|Refik Erzan<br>|||
|iki|PPR Working Paper Series<br>_AuIXhor_|<br>Afor|Contact<br>aper|
|---|---|---|---|
|WPS320 Protection Facing Exports from<br>Sub-Saharan Africa in the EEC,<br>Japan, and the U.S.|Refik Erzan<br>Peter Svedberg|||
|WPS321 Economic and Policy Determinants<br>of Public Sector Deficits|Jorge Marshall<br>Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel|||
|WPS322 The Earmarking of Govemment<br>Revenues: A Review of Some<br>World Bank Experience|William McCleary|||
|WPS323 The Old and the New is Heterodox<br>Stabilization Programs: Lessons<br>from the Sixties and the Eighties|Miguel A. Kiguel<br>Nissan Liviatan|||
|WPS 324 Ethics and Human Values in Family<br>Planning: The African Perspective|F. Sai<br>K. Newman|||
|WPS325 Manufacturers' Responses to Infra-<br>structure Deficiencies in Nigeria|Kyu Sik Lee<br>Alex Anas|||
|WPS326 Do Exporters Gain from VERs?|Jaime de Melo<br>L. Alan Winters|||
|WPS327 Making Noisy Data Sing: Estimating<br>Production Technologies in<br>Developing Countries|James R. Tybout|||
|WPS328 Europe, Middle East, ano North<br>Africa (EMN) Region Population<br>Projections, 1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS329 Latin America and the Caribbean<br>(LAC) Region Population<br>Projections, 1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS330 Africa Region Population<br>Projections, 1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS331 Asia Region Population Projections,<br>1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|