metadata: authors: 0: author: Bos, Eduard
1: author: Stephens, Patience W.
2: author: My T. Vu
3: author: Bulat
count: East Asia and Pacific,South Asia
docna: 0: docna: Asia region population projections : 1990-91 edition
docty: Policy Research Working Paper
subtopic: Public Sector Management and Reform,Population & Development,Demographics,Law and Justice Institutions
teratopic: Health, Nutrition and Population
abstracts: cdata!: Almost half the worlds population lives
            in Asia. This proportion is expected to decline to 40
            percent by the end of the next century, mainly because of
            slowing growth in China. Other countries will continue to
            grow rapidly, and India, which adds more people every year
            than any other country, is project to surpass China in total
            population. Recent contraceptive prevalence surveys in
            several countries in the region show increasing proportions
            of couples using birth control. Fertility in these
            countries, mostly in Southeast Asia, has consequently
            declined rapidly. Population growth rates started to drop in
            many countries in the region in the past decade, but the
            momentum built in to the age structures of the populations
            will ensure continued population growth for many decades.
            Other countries in the region are lagging in fertility
            decline, and their populations will continue to grow at high
            rates. Infant and child mortality are the lowest in
            countries where fertility has declined.
repnme: repnme: Asia region population projections :
            1990-91 edition
display_title: Asia region population projections :
            1990-91 edition
listing_relative_url: /research/1991/02/700058/asia-region-population-projections-1990-91-edition
topicv3: Human Resources m1326304 1211,Population, Aging and Health m1327736 640,Life Expectancy m1504363 2666,Mortality m1504365 3661,Population Projections m1504366 3662
publishtoextweb_dt: 2010-07-01T00:00:00Z
historic_topic: Health, Nutrition and Population
origu: Policy, Research & Ect Affairs
no_of_pages: 200
model_extractions: <!-- Start of picture text --> Polbvy, Re"veh, anid Extert Maim,<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# WPS 599

- This paper a product of the Population, IJcalth, and Nutrition Division, Population and Human Resources Departmentis part of a larger effort in PRE to update denaographic estimates on an annual basis. Copies are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433. Please contact Otilia Nadora, room S6-065, extension 31091 (202 pages with graphs and tables).

Almost half the world's population lives in Asia. This proportion is projected to decline to 40 percent by the end of the next century, mainly because of slowing growth in China. Other countries will continue to grow rapidly, and India, which adds more people every year than any other country, is projected to surpass China in total population.

Recent contraceptive prevalence surveys in several countries in the region show increasing proportions of couples using birth control.

Fertility in these countries, mostly in Southeast Asia, has consequently declined rapidly.

Population growth rates started to drop in many countries in the region in the past decade, but the momentum built into the age structures of the populations wiU ensure continued population growth for many decades. Other countries in the region are lagging in fertility decline, and their populations will continue to grow at high rates. Infant and child mortality are lowest in countries where fertility has declined to low levels.

The PRE Working Paper Scries disseminates the findings of work under way in the Bank's Policy, Research, and Extcmal Affairs Complcx. An objective of the scrics is to get these findings out quickly, even if presentations are less than fully polished. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions in these papers do not necessarily represent official Bank policy.

Produced by the PRE Dissemination Ccnter
# CONTENTS

|Prefce<br>.............v|
|---|
|Acknowidgments .vii|
|Introduction.......................ix|
|Format of Tables .ix|
|Overview of Trends and Projecions .xiv<br>|
|World and Regi ns.xiv|
|Population Size and Growth .xiv|
|Fetlity<br>..<br>xix|
|Mortality ..<br>xxvi|
|Age Structurm ..<br>xxvii|
|Long-run Trends ..<br>xxvii|
|World Bank Regions and Income Groups . xxviii|
|Some Country Results ..<br>xxx<br> <br>|
|Conclusion ..<br>xxxvi|
|Appendix: Data and Methods .l.<br>xvi|
|Nature and Sources of Data .l.<br>xvi|
|Population and Age-Sex Structure ..<br>l xvi|
|Mortality Data .l.<br>xvi|
|Fertility Data ..<br>lxvii|
|Migration Data ..<br>lxvii|
|OtherD ata ..<br>lxvii|
|Projection Methodology ..<br>lxvii|
|Projecting Mortality ..<br>lxxxii|
|Future trends in life expectancy.<br>..<br>lxxxii|
|Future trends in infant mortality<br>.<br>lxxxiii|
|Selection of life tables .l.<br>xxxiv|
|Comparison with other projections .<br>lxxxiv|
|Projecting Fertility ...<br>lxxxiv|
|Projecting Migration ..<br>.<br>lxxxvi|
|References ..<br>.<br>lxxxviii|

Detailed Population Projections .......... 1

## World, Geographic Regions, and Icomme Groups 1

|World.|2|
|---|---|
|Less developed countries.|3|
|More developed countries.<br>Geographic Regions|4|
|Africa......................|_5_|
|East Africa**.**East.Afric|6|
|West Africa. .West.Afric|7|
|North Africa**.**North.Afric|8|
|America ...<br>........|9|
|Latin America and the Caribbean..|10|
|Northern America ..<br>.........|11|
|Asia.<br>......................|12|
|East and. Southeast Asiao ..........|13|
|South Asia ......<br>South.As<br>i<br>a|i4|
|Southwest Asia ...............|15|
|Europe ......................|16|
|Oceania .<br>....................|17|
|Income Groups<br>Low-income economies .....<br>.......|18|
|Lower-middle-income economis .19||
|.'<br>Upper-middle-income economis .20||
|Higb-income economies ...|21|
|Nonreporting nonmember economies....|22|

## Income Groups

i
**Ads Regoa** (and Oceaa) ........ 25

|**Regoa**(and Oceaa)<br>........<br>25|Kiribati ..........<br>.....<br>64|
|---|---|
||Kore,<br>Dem. People's Rep. of<br>66|
|Asia**and Oceania**Region<br>.......<br>26|<br>Korea, Rep. of ..........<br>68|
|Bomroves only .............<br>27|Lao People's Dem. Rep ...<br>.<br>70|
|**Asia**Department I .........<br>28|Macao .<br>.......<br>......<br>72|
|<br>Asia Department<br>.........<br>29|Malaysia .74|
|<br>Asia Depattmentm ........<br>30|<br>Maldives .............<br>76|
|<br>Asia Department IV ........<br>31|Mongolia .......<br>......<br>78|
|<br>A<br>Deptmnt<br>V ........<br>32|<br>Myanmar .......<br>......<br>80|
||Nepl<br>...............<br>82|
|Countries, Economies, and Territories 35|New Caledonia...........<br>84|
|Austlia<br>..............<br>36|New Zealand. .......<br>86|
|Balnladesh ..<br>...<br>38|Other MicronesiaO....<br>.<br>88|
|Bhutn ..<br>40|Other Polynesia .........<br>90|
|buni..<br>42|Papua New Guinea.......92|
|Chin(excludingTaiwan)<br>....<br>44|Philippines............<br>94|
|Federated States of Micronesia. 46|Singaore..<br>..<br>96|
|Fiji.................48<br> <br>|Solomon IslandsS........<br>98<br> <br>|
|French Polynesia .........<br>50|Sri Lnka ......<br>..<br>100|
|Guam .52.. ...|Taiwan, China ........<br>102|
|Hong Kong.............54|Thhailand.<br>.104|
|<br>India.....<br>.....<br>6|Tonga.....<br>....<br>106|
|Indonesia .........<br>. 58|Vanuatu ......<br>...<br>108|
|Japan ..........<br>60|VietNam .........<br>110|
|Kampuchea, Dem ..........<br>62|Western Samoa .........<br>112|
# TABLES, FIGURES, AND BOXES

|Toblo 1|Popuation and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region .xxxviii||
|---|---|---|
|Tabe 2|Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by Geographic Region .xxxvii|i|
|TabLs 3|<br>Fertility ad Mortality Rates by Geographic Region, 1985-90, 2000-05,<br>and 2020-25|<br>x|
|'Tabl 4|....................<br>Population Age 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for the World, LAs<br>Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents, 1985, 2000,<br>and 2025 (millions) .xl|.......|
|Table5|Long-run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, ad Year<br>||
||When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by Geogphic Region .xl||
|Tabe 6|Population and Percentage Distribution by World Bank Region, Country||
||Departmcnt, and Income Group, 1985-2100 .xli||
|Table 7|Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by World Bank Region,||
||Country Department, r,d Income Group, 1985-2100 .xlii||
|Table 8|<br>Fordlity and Mortality Rates by World Bak Region, Country Department,<br>||
||and Income Group, 1985 '), 2000-05, and 2025-30 .xliii||
|Table 9|<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Doubling Year, and**Year**When Net<br>Reproduction Rate Reaches I by World Bank Region, Country Department|,|
||**and**IcomeGroup<br>xv.v||
|Table 10|<br>Population Projections for All Countries and Economies, 1985-2025 .xlv||
|Table 11|<br>Population of Countries and Economies in the 'Other" Categories<br>.<br>.xx||
|Table 12|Population Age 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for All Countries and||
||Economies, 1985-2025 .....................................|I|
|Table 13|<br>Stationary Population, Momentum, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate<br>Reaches 1 for All Countries and Economies ......................|xiv|
|Table Al|Sources of Population Data .lxviii||
|Table A2|Assumed Annual Increments to Life Expectancy<br>.lxxxiii||
|<br>Table A3|<br>Assumed Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate<br>.lxxxiii||
|Figure I|Projected Population (billions) in Less Developed Countries, 1985-2025,<br>||
||Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections .xvi||
|Figure 2|<br>Projected Population (billions) in More Developed Countries, 1985-2025,<br>||
||Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections .xvi||
|Figure 3|<br>Projected Population Growth Rates, 1990-2000 .xviii||
|<br>Figure 4|<br>Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 1985, 2000,<br>||
||and 2025 .xx||
|Figure 5<br>|Population Densities in East, South, and Southeast Asia .xxii<br>||
|Figure 6<br>|Population Densities in Africa .xxiii<br>||
|Figure 7<br>|Total Fertility Rates, 1990 .xxiv<br>||
|Figure 8|Life Expectancy at Birth 1990 xxv||
|<br>Figure 9|, .<br>Pecentage Distribution to World Population Gkvowth<br>from World Bank<br>||
||Regions and Nonborrowers 1985-2100 xxix||
|Figure Al|, .<br>Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, Less Developed Counties, and U.N.<br> <br>||
||and Previous World Bank Trends<br>.lxxxv||
|Figure A2|Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends .lxxxv||
|Figure A3|Assumed Medium Trend and Alternative Slow and Rapid Trends in<br>Ttl Ftilit Di th Ftilit Titi i||
||oa ery urng e ery ranson .xxxv||
|FigureA4|Assumed Trends in Total Fertility at the End of the Fertility Transition ....|Lxxxvi|

|x................XX.iuh|
|---|

..
# **rv TAlU. FKIU,** AwD **BoxEs**

|**Figure AM**|Pomeatge of Total Fertility Assigned to Different Ages,<sup>1</sup>vIevel of<br>TOlFertility ..........................|l.......<br>Ixxxvi|
|---|---|---|
|Figur A6|<br>Assumed Total FetiUity Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>**and**Previous World Bank Trends<br>I.lxxxvii||
|Fipgu A7|Assumed Total Fertility Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends<br>.lxxxvii||
|Box 1|Illustrative Table with Population Trends.|x|
|Box 2|<br>Illustrative Table with Population Projections .xii||
|Box 3|<br>Trends in Urbanization .xvii||
|Box 4|Contraceptive Prevalence Levels and Trends .xxi||
|Box S|<br>Countries and Economies Classified by Income Group (Based on||
||GNP per Capita in 1988 U.S. Dollars) .xxx||
|Box 6|<br>Countries and Economies Classified by World Bank Region and<br>Country Depgrtment .|xxxii|
|Box 7|<br>Government Assessments of Population Growth .|xxxv|
# PREFACE

Populator projections for all countries and econories are prepared annually by the PopIation **and Human** Resources Department of the World Bank. They are published first in summary form in th& Bank's _World Developmwnt Report_ and later in greater detail as working papers and, in alternate year, as a book. This set of projections, the thirteenth in the series, was prepared for _World Developmcn Report 1990._ No other publication is planned this year.

Separte working papers cover each of the Dank's four regions. Africa (Sub-Saharan), **Asia** (including Oceania); Europe, the Middle East and North Africa (including the U.S.S.R.); and Latin America ad the Caribbean (and Northern America). Each of the papt ;ncludes tables on regional and global aggregates, and together they cover all countries of the world.

hno preaentStion of the data has undergone a major revision in this edition. Included as a new ftature are selective demographic indicators for the recent past, as well as information on contracpdve use ar1 on population policy where this is available.

We intend these papers to provide a convenient and up-to-date reference on the recent demographic past and likely future of each country. We welcome comment on their utility, and how this might be enhanced.

Anthony R. Measham Chief Population, Health, and Nutrition Division v
# ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

A number of persons provided us with important information for<sup>this work or assisted</sup> us in **preing** it in other ways. The Estimates and Projections Section of<sup>the U.N. Population</sup> Division has bw continually supportive in providing us with<sup>data, even before their publication as</sup> U.N. assossmC.L.. Partly as a result, nonessential differences<sup>between these projections and the</sup> biennial U.N. ixssessments have been minimized. We<sup>are grateful to the section chief, Larry</sup> Heligman, and to his continually accommodating staff, as well as to the<sup>head of the Division,</sup> Shunichi Inoue. We hope that the collaboration will continue.

Leo Morris, chief of the Behavioral Epidemiology and Demographic<sup>Research Branch</sup> of the Division of Reproductive Health at the Centers<sup>for Disease Control, kindly provided us with</sup> preliminary data from the most recent contraceptive prevalence<sup>surveys. World Bank country</sup> economists, demographers, and population specialists in the operating<sup>divisions have also provided</sup> US with reoent population estimates, bringing to our attention<sup>government reports we might not</sup> otherwse see.

Toe exercise was carried out using a personal computer program,<sup>Proj3L, written by</sup> KeLneth Hill of Johns Hopkins University. A documented<sup>version of this program on 5.25" diskettes</sup> was issued in late 1990 as a World Bank publication, _Proj3S: A Computer_<sup>_Programfor Population_</sup> **_Projections:_** _Diskenes and_ **_Reference_** _Guide._ Both the Population, Health, and Nutrition Division and the Population<sup>and Human</sup> Resources Department have been supportive of this work, despite the<sup>time required. We are grateful</sup> to the division chief, Dr. Anthony R. Measham, and the department<sup>diiector, Ann 0. Hamilton.</sup> We also wish to acknowledge the in\erest of the Bank's International<sup>Economics</sup> Socioeconomic Data Division (IECSE), which utilizes these<sup>figures--for such purtposes as estimating</sup> per capita GNP--and incorporates them into the databases it maintains<sup>and publications it distributes,</sup> and also helps coordinate communications with country economists.

In producing tht manuscript, Coni Benedicto was responsible for coordinating<sup>the paper</sup> flow.

Eduard Bos Patience W. Stephens MyT. Vu Rodolfo A. Bu!atao vii
# INTRODUCTION

**his ppe** provides populatior projections for each country, economy, or territory in one World **Dak** region, as well as for notuorrower countries in the same geographic<sup>area. Three</sup> companion papers provide similar projections for the other Bank regions. Each paper also contains projections for groups of countries in the same geographic region, or at the same income<sup>level.</sup>

These projections are updated annually. In this 1990-91 edition, projections are provided in a pew formal to permit the inclusion of data on recent demographic trends.<sup>lhis introducti--</sup> (similar across the four regional papers) explains the format of the data tables<sup>and summarizes</sup> main demographic trends and projection results.

Projection methods have changed only marginally since the previous edition. Essentially, recent country-specific data about levels and trends in fertility, mortaliiy, and international migration are appliod to available age-sex distributions in order to obtain short-run orojections.<sup>Long-run</sup> projections, up to 2150, are also made under the assumptions that fertility<sup>and mortality eventually</sup> become stable and net international migration declines to zero. One change in procedures<sup>from last</sup> year involves allowing a slightly higher long-run level of life expectancy. This and<sup>other details of</sup> the methodology amre described in an appendix, which also provides an cxplanation o; C.ta sources.

Caution is appropriate with all projections like these. They essentially involve working out the implications of assumptions about demographic trends. None<sup>of the results should be</sup> interpreted as indicating certitude about the future. Instead, they should be red4 with the universal qualifier that population will follow the indicated path if the assumptions prove to be<sup>cor.ict.</sup>

## FORMAT OF TABLES

Each country, economy, or territory is covered in two pages: the first to provide recent demographic trends and the second to provide population projections.

The first page (illustrated and explained in Box 1) provides estimates of total population and population composition for 1980, 1985, and 1990, as well as estimates of vital rates for the fiveyear pericds preceding each of these dates (1975-80, 1980-85, and 1985-90).

The second page (illustrated and explained in Box 2) provides projections for every five years from 1990 to 2025, and for every 25 years from 2025 to 2150. Various indicators<sup>of vital rates</sup> are given for the intervening five-year or 25-year periods. The second page<sup>also includes population</sup> pyramids and graphical comparisons between the country and the region and the income group<sup>to</sup> which it belongs.

Unlike previous editions, this edition does not provide detailed age-sex<sup>structures. (Bank</sup> staff can still obtain these from the authors.) Instead, the population pyramids illustrated<sup>in Box 2</sup> show the current and a projected age-sex distribution.

The countries covered are 181 in all, tol'ther with six groups of "other" countries too small to allow independent treatment. Two changes in international boundaries--the unification<sup>of the</sup> Yemens and the Germanys--are too recent to be reflected in these tables, which still treat<sup>them as four</sup> separate entities.

ix
_Box I_ x _IroucnON_

## KENYA

# _1._ ROcont, Trends

Region: SU-Saaeran Africa Incame Groupi Low

|**_A_**<br>a|t rtf<br>e<br>ms,AL.7<br>_up_perapiw 4tl<br>_delltws._1|9): 15328<br>988):<br>369||Region: SU-S<br>Inc|aaeran Africa<br>ameGroupiLo|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||paupstiorI**_w__**<br>stnxtw|LUnit ofmasure|190|1905|199|
|_C_|Totat Poputation<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|_632_|20096|24133|
|_D_|Ae Structure|||||
||0-4<br>514*|.'.;usands<br>Thd|3541<br>4792|433<br>5925|477<br>7480|
||<br>15-64|ousans<br>Thousards|<br>7736|<br>9194|11200|
||<br>65+|<br>Thousands|562|614|674|
|_E_|mlty|Pop. per sq.km.|29|35|43|
|_F_|U.Antsttion:|Percent urban|16|20|24|
|R|iScoe-e<br>pop,ulation|||||
||6tl<br>0.12-17E ::<br>0|Thouanb<br>Thoa|2996<br>2309|3706<br>2763|4700<br>4U|
|_N_|Womsnof ohiledarirW<br>age15-49|Thousands|3364|4042|4980|
||Vittt<br>at_ aid policy|Unit ofme_nwe|1975-8U|13m0-U|13-90|
|!|AnnwuIgrowthrate|Percent|3.8|3.8|3.7|
|J|Fortility<br>Totel fertility<br>rate(TFR)|Births per woman|6.1|7.9|7.0|
|_K_|Crude birth**rate**(CBR)|Births per 1000 pop.|54|53|48|
||Nortality<br> <br>|||||
|_L_|Life expectancy<br>**at**birth Ceo)|||||
||<br>Nalt*|Years|51.5|54.0|56.5|
||Fassles|Years|55.5|57.8|60.5|
|_M_|Infint<br>mortaflity<br>rate tIR)|Per 10CO live births|88|80|72|
|_N_|Under5mortality<br>risk (q1)|1000q6|143|_128_|113|
|_O_|Crude deathrate(CDR)|Deathsper 1000 pop.|16|14|11|
|_P_|**Net**migration|Thousands||10|10|
|_o_|Govt.ssesamentof|||||
||Peulstion<br>growth rato||Too high|Too high|Too high|
||<br>Fortility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
||Contrecqpt-f<br>.|Unit of***ewr**||**Prvious**|**Latest**|
|R|Contracaptiw prevslene|percent ofmarried||17|27|
||<br>**Year**|<br>women 15-49 u.ing||1984|1989|
|S|Ctti<br>i|Percenti||||
||onracepve<br>sx|usng||||
||Pilt<br>|||3<br>|5<br>|
||**lud**<br>F_le str Itzation<br>|||3<br>3<br>|4<br>5<br>|
||Notesterilization<br>|||0<br>|0<br>|
||Cndom<br>|||0<br>|1<br>|
||Other modern<br>TraditIonal|||1<br>a|4<br>9|
_Ilbadve tabk with population trends_ _l,C>._ x

# _Explanation_

**_A._** thousnds as of the official date of the last census. **0i**

- ThimW g8 ross national product (in U.S. dollars) per capita, from World Bank sourco9.

- Estimated de facto total population at mid-year, in thousands. A

0. Pouation In four non-overiapping age groups, in thousands.

- _._ opulation **pr** squaro kilometer ' land area.

- f total population living In urban areas. definition of urtn areas varies

- sMoewht from country to count.y. See U.N. 1988, p. 1.

- _¢._ **Popuation aged** 611 and 12-17 years, in thousands.

- K _Number_ of womrn'; of reproductive ago (15.49), In thousands.

- **_L._** Annual wth rate for populatiorn in the quinquennium, in percent.

- . Total number of births that each woman would have if, at each age she had 8S many births as women of that age in the current population, i.e., if current age-specific feIitty schedules ware applied.

- **_K._** Annual births par thousar.d persons in the population.

- _L._ Average number of years tha woLid be lived by those born into the population, if they experienced prevailing age-specific mortality risks (separate estimates provided for males and females).

- V. Of very thousand live births, the number that would die before their first birthday.

- _N._ Of every thousand live births, the number that would die before their fifth binhday.

_0._ Annual deaths per thousand persons in the population.

- P. Amount of net intemational migration in thousands (i.e., number of immigrants minus emirabnts over the quinquennium).

_0._ Officil ovemment evaluation of the population growth rate and of fertility as too high or too low, as reported to the U.N.

- _R._ Percentage of currently ii.arried women aged 15 to 44 (or 49) who are using contraception, in the year given immediately below. This is the year of a specific survey or Investigation.

- **S.** O 11a cuirently married women, percent using specified contraceptive methods. For many developing countries, these data are not available or are available for only one period only. All contraceptive mix data are given for the latest period for which data are available.
_Box 2_ xu iwh^oouvnON KENYA

## 2. Prnjectia6 **_-_** NRR-1 by 2035

|_A_<br>eter|Population|rtio|_D_<br>_E_<br>Period|_F_<br>Growth<br>rate|a<br>C8|_H_<br>CD4|I<br>TFR|'0<br>**Natet**|'0<br>Fltes|I|**45**<br>xlO1O|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>200S<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|<br>24133<br> <br>2&99<br> <br>33679<br> <br>**39344**<br> <br>45274<br>51090<br>**56364**<br>61610<br>66516<br> <br>102492<br>108576<br> <br>111371<br>112665|115.S<br>107.3<br>**96.**<br>$6.?<br>81.1<br>72.3<br>62.3<br>54.6<br>46.4<br>60.4<br>69.1<br> <br>71.5<br>n7.1|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>200O-04<br> 2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075.99<br>2100-24<br> 2125-49|3.40<br>3.27<br> <br>3.11<br>2.81<br>2.42<br>1.96<br>1.84<br>1.35<br>0.68<br>0.23<br>0.10<br>0.05|43.3<br>40.7<br>38 0<br>34.3<br>29.7<br>24.6<br>23.0<br>18.0<br>13.9<br>12.5<br>12.0<br>11.8|9.4<br>"1<br>6.9<br>6.2<br>5.5<br>4.9<br>4.6<br>4.8<br>7.2<br>10.2<br>11.0<br>11.4|4.32<br>5.64<br>4.95<br>4.24<br>3.53<br>2.82<br>2.58<br>2.14<br>2.05<br>2.05<br>2.04<br>2.04|56.1<br>59.'9<br>61.7<br>63.2<br>64.8<br>66.4<br>68.0<br>71.9<br>76.3<br>79.0<br>8t1.<br>81.8|62.3<br>64.2<br>66.3<br>67.9<br>69.6<br>71.3<br>73.1<br>77.3<br>82.2<br>85.2<br>87.6<br> <br>88.5|62<br>52<br>43<br>39<br>35<br>30<br>26<br>15<br>5<br>3<br>2<br>2|96<br>79<br>63<br>55<br>48<br>40<br>33<br>18<br>7<br>5<br>4<br>3|

## 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 70-74-L--- + 75 .. _<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-64<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>~0-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br><!-- End of picture text --> 10 **oe** 4 2 0 **2 4 6** tO 10 C 84 2 0 2 4 * 810

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region arnd Income Group, 1985-90

# TFR

<!-- Start of picture text --> eo Growth rate<br><!-- End of picture text --> Co4atry Reion T'ncom group Country Reston Incoume group Country Region Income grou.p
_Illustrave table with population projecnons_ _looucroN x,,_

# _Explanation_

- _A._ Year to which point estimates pertain.

- _B._ Population of country or aggregate in thousands.

- _C._ Population aged 0 to 14 years and 65 years and above, as a percentage of those aged 15 to 64, i.e., the number of dependent persons per 100 in the working age group.

- _D._ Five or 25-year period to which rates pertain.

- _E._ Annual population growth rate, in percent.

- F. Annual births per thousand population.

0. Annual deaths per thousand population.

- _H._ Total number of births that each woman would have if, at each age she had as many biths as women of that age In the current population, I.e., if current age-specific fertility schedules were applied.

- _;._ Average number of years that would be lived by male babies born into the population, if they experienced prevaling age-specific mortality risks.

- _J._ Average number of years that would be lived by female baoies born into the population, if they experienced prevaling age-specific mortality risks.

- _K._ Of every thousand live births, the number that would die before their first birthday.

- _L._ Of every thousand live births the number that would die before their fifth birthday.

## _Age structure:_

The population pyramids in the center of the page show the distribution of the population by age and sex in 1990 and in 2025. Each bar is the percentage of the population in a given five-year age-sex group, with meles on the left of the center line, females on the right, the youngest age group at the bottom, and the oldest age group at the top. Populations with high fertility and mortality generally have broad-based pyramids with narrow tips. Populations that have had stable low fertility and mortality for some time generally have pyramids that are increasingly rectangular.

## _Comparison of country with region and income group_

Charts at the bottom of the page compare the country with the region or income group to which it belongs, with respect to total fertility, life expectancy at birth, and population growth rate. The comparison region or income group is indicated at the top of the preceding page.
**xiv INTroucrioN**

# **OVERVIEW** OF TRENDS AND PROJECI1ONS

We eview recet trends and projections for the future, focusing, fist, on the world and geogmphic regions; and second, on World Bank regions and on countries grouped by income; and finaly on petcular countries or economies.

Rewen **t** rends, from 1975 to 1990, are striling because of the rapid changes occurring in some countrie and the absence of change in others. Some sountries, especially in Southeast Asia and Latin America, experienced sharp declines in fertility, large increases in life expectancies, and a slowdown in population growth. Others, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, saw persistent high levels of fertility, mortality, and population growth. Still others, mainly in Europe, had stable fertility below replacemnt (i.e., below the level required for each generation to replace itself in the succeeding generation) and slow population growth during the enti-e period.

The projections carry forward, and work out the future implications of these trends country by country but also iniroduce some dramatic changes, such as eventual fertility transition in **Sub-Sahamn Africa.**

# World and Regions

The aggreptes we consider here, besides the world u a whole, are more developed and les developed countries; five major geographic regions, corresponding roughly to continents, but with North and South America considered together, the U.S.S.R. combined with Europe, and the Pacific treated with Australia s Oceania; and some subcontinental regions. For all these aggregates, Tables 1-5 give estimates of current and projected population size and growth; current and projected fertility **and** mortality rates; current and projected age structure and dependency ratios; and projected long-run treads. These subjects will be considered in order.

# **_Pepulaoi Sim_** _and Growth_

The world population in mid-1990 is estimated at 5.28 billion. It is growing at almost the same rate as in 1975, but the number of people added each year has risen continuously since then. Since the mid-1970s, world population growth has been virtually constant at just over 1.7 percent annually, but the number of people added in 1990 is up 20 million from 1975, to 91 million. The rate of growth will fall to 1.4 percent annually at the beginning of the 21st century. In spite of this, the annual net increase in the number of people will be larger in the year 2000 than in 1990, around 92 million people. Average annual additions to the world population are projected to increase between 1990 and 2005. They will begin a steady decline around 2020. Annual additions will be esentially stable at around 91.5 million between 2005 and 2015.

Of the 440 million increase in the world population between 1985 and 1990, 406 million (92 percent) was contributed by less developed countries which, in 1990, contained 77 percent of the world populition. The 1985-90 growth rates for less developed and more developed countries were widely different, **at** 2.1 and 0.6 percent respectively. The less developed country growth rate is falling and by the beginning of the 21st century will have declined by close to 20 percent, to 1.7 percent per annum. Nevertheless, the differences in growth rates between less developed and more developed countries mean that 79 percent of the world population will be living in what are currently less developed countries by the beginning of the 21st century, up from 77 percent in 1990. By 2025, **84 percet** of the world population will be living in areas currently classified **as** less developed.

At these levels of aggregation, these projections differ only slightly from the U.N. (1990) **_an_ lat** year's World Bank projections (Bulatao et al. 1990), as Figure 1 shows. The projected **less**
INThOCUCTiON XV developed ceoy populaton in 2025 is only 0.3 percent higher than Ist year's projection and 1 pI omd lower ta d U.N. projection. **As** shown in Figure 2, the differncs are wider for more doveoped coutoe. The current projection for 2025 is 3 percent higher than lst year's projection **and** 1.2 _percePt_ higor than the U.N. projetion. Thee differences are due not only to differences in procedur for projecting vital rtes but also to slightly different estimates of current population **and** vital rae.

Since 1975, major world regions have been growing at quite different rates, which are changing in differt directions. In Sub-Sahan Africa, the population growth rate has been iwtOinc stdily from anD ady high 2.8 percent in the 197o to 3.1 perent in the most reent five-year perio (1985-90). In the Asia reion (excluding developed countries), growth rates declined betwoe 1975 and 1985 from 1.9 to 1.8 percent, but have inched up recently a China's fertility tition stopped short of replacement. In North Africa and the Middle East, population growth rates show a slight inrease, from 2.8 peret in 1975-80 to 3.0 percent annually in 1985-90. Slowing population growth rate are observed in the les developed counts of Latin America and the Caribbea (down from 2.3 to 2.0 percent annually) **and** for the more developed countries (from 0.7 to 0.5 percnt annually). Growth is spread unevenly, with urban areas generaly growing faster than rural areas, as Box 3 decribes.

hes differential growth rats will continue for the next decade (as Figure 3 illustrates) **an** for some time into the future. Current and projected population and growth rates for five major rgions are shown in Tabls 1 and 2. (All tables appear at the end of this section, beginning on page xxxviii.) The prcentage distribution of world population by these regions is represented for 1985, 2000, **and** 2025 in Figure 4.

Asia, with the two most populous countries in the world, accounts for 59 percent of the world population, and currently contributes 61 percent of the annual increse, or about 56 million people. By 2025, Asia will still be adding some 48 million people annually to the world population. Averge annual contributions of other major regions between 1990 and 2025 will be much less: 27.3 million for Africa, 9.6 million for America, 2.6 million for Europe, and 0.3 million for Oceania. Asia's annual contribution to world population growth will undergo the most rapid decline (14 percent between 1990 and 2025). However, even with a reduced rate of growth and a decline in its averge contribution to world population increase, Asia's population by 2025 will be just about 5 billion-approximately the size of the entire world population in 1987. The rising population densities reulting from this growth are shown in Figure _5._ Two major Asian subregions have opposite prospects. East and Southeast Asia (which includes China) now contains one-third of the world population. Its share will fail to 30 percent in 2025 **nd** to 25 percent by 2100. South Asia (which include India) ranks second in population and contains 22 percent of the world population. Its share will increase to 25 percent by 2100.

Africa currently is the fourth largest among the five major regions, with about 12 percent of the world population. With an annual growth rate of 2.9 percent in 1990, Africa by the year 2000 will be the second lgest region, with 14 percent of the world population. The growth rate will fall slowly to 2.1 percent by 2020-25, and the region will have 19 percent of world population by 2025. Afiica's contribution to world population growth will increae by 58 percent between 1990 and 2025. By that time, its population will be two and a half times its current size. Africa's population is now 20 parcent the size of Asia's, and will be 32 percent by 2025. As Figure 6 shows, Africa is considebly le dense than Asia, but densities will rise rapidly.

Among African subregions, East, West, and North Africa have 42, 37, and 22 percent
**xm l T -urm**

_Rprn I Projected Popudatlon (billions) in Less Developed Countries, 1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections_ <!-- Start of picture text --> 7, 0<br>645 .S<br>4. ,<br>3.5<br>1965 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025<br><!-- End of picture text --> _igure 2 Projected Population (billions) in More Developed Countries 1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections_ <!-- Start of picture text --> 1 39<br>I, 37-<br>1 36 -<br>1 35 -<br>1 34<br>1 33 -CUARE U N<br>1 32 -PREVIOUS<br>1 31<br>1 30<br>1 29-<br>1 29-<br>1 27-<br>1 26-<br>1 25-<br>1 24-<br>1 23-<br>1 22-<br>1 21-<br>1 20-<br>18 19~<br>1995 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INToaUcno xvw <!-- Start of picture text --> Sox s iiwuk *1 Urw*nano<br>,'',i" m deveop Count's". u.a"n populo Prowth ee oVer<br>ppaon .Sub-Sahran Africa is do s urbaized regi, but is urban<br>le grlu ser tha dhe urboan pmprto*n In mny othe reg ion pcpt Arile,<br>havig Ieresedftl 24 to 31 pwert in l 90. Urba pwt ae are paiculaly<br>bg ST=401160, MoxAmblq., mAd Swauiland. At tk. sme time, sevmra counttieo--<br>90nd Sidad Paso, Rwa, Ugada-n ovwhelmingly rural, with lk tban 10<br>pecent of total popiation in urban are.<br>The Asa population HIving in uran areas ha iseued fm 22 to 41 p¢rn<br>of th total i the put 15 yea. his rapid _n is largely du to China, whee the<br>dudulon of whet: conti an wur am ha been libeld duriqg t perod. In<br>Midle Nut and North Afde combined, 46 pae of the popuaton i. urban, la: La:<br>Amere m tX Caribben, the propordon of Xt populaon in urban aoos is quat; tlat<br>in dh doveoped codutries, 72 pet.<br>Urba,', ation in the developed AuutrIw No oome to a vizta standt at 72<br>peret A hw countrls-tomania ad Austriaha declng urban populatons, whie<br>th percn urbiIn &0 U.S.A. haa not changed s' thw 1970s.<br><!-- End of picture text --> of the Afican population respectively. North Africa's share is forecast to decline to 18 percent by 2025, while the shares of East and West Africa will each increase by two percentage points.

America, with 14 percent of world population, includes both more developed and less developed countries and is growing, as a whole, more slowly than Africa and Asia (1.1 percent annually). By 2025, its population will have increased by 46 percent, but its share of world population will have fallen to 13 percent. Northern America's share of the population of the whole region will shrink rapidly. By 2025, 335 million more people should be living in America than in 1990. Of this increase, 271 million (81 percent) will be added to Latin America and the Caribbean and only 64 million to Northern America.

The population of Oceania, estimated at about 27 million in 1990, will also increase about 45 percent by 2025. Growth rates will be roughly similar in level and trend to those for America, declining from 1.6 percent annually in 1985-90 to 0.7 percent in 2025. Europe and the U.S.S.R., now second in size to Asia, will be only the fourth largest major region by 2000. Its shire of world population will shrink from 15 to 10 percent of world population by 2025. Its population in 2025 will be only 12 percent larger than it is today, reflecting annual growth rtes of 0.2 to 0.4 percent between now and 2025. These rates assume that fertility will rise from below-replacement levels in several countries. Should this not occur, even this modest projected growth will not be achieved.

# _FeflWJy_

Figure 7 shows the current level of the total fertility rate (1FR) by country. For the world . a whole, total fertility is 3.3 in 1990. Countries with high TFRs are found mainly in Africa and the Middle Eat, with only one country (Laos) with a TFR above 6 outside these regions. Asian and Latin American countries have mostly intermediate levels, with the notable exception of China,
xvw **wmxA**

**_JRgre_** _3 Projected populion growth rates, 1990-2000_

<!-- Start of picture text --> A l growth<br>Under 1%<br>1% to 1.9%<br>2% to 2.9% Billions<br>3X or .nore J~~~~~~~~~~~ 32 -5<br>Population,<br>30 -_ {20D''<br>2% t2.9X m2.5- 3illions<br>Increase in populationon1 0<br>from 199u 1990-2000<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 05- Increase in population<br>from 1990 to 2000<br>0.5 -<br>00 Americe Africa E.rope/USSO Alsk Oceamia<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ,.5 -<br>10 -7<br>0. °-<br>Am~eriK AfIMa EuropeIUSSR ASIa OceamIA<br><!-- End of picture text -->
IKTNOouCO xIx _wh&Is_ lIn dho low-fertlity category. AUl developed ountries are in the low-fetility group.

Rcet trends in TFRs indicate remarkably little chane from the mid-1970. to the peet in Sub-Saaan Africa. Only haf a dozen countrs show declinig ferility, an equal number _owe_ ncaing fertility, **ad** the majority shows no change at all. Those with declining fetiliy **dsnc** the mid-97 are small islands (Mauritius, Seychellsc, Rdunion), recntly Joined by some counrie in EAst Africa (Botwna, Zimbabwe, Kenya). In North Africa, except in Libya, fertlity decline tuted some time in the past two decades. The Middle Eat is similar to Sub-Saharan Africa, with f.rility constat at high lovels, with a few exceptions where fertility **has** declined to intermediate keve (Bahain, Kuwait, the United Aab Emirates).

In Asia, almost all countries experienced at lest some ferdlity decline. In Latin America and te Caribbean, trends in most countries are downward, but not **as** rpidly as in Southeat Asia. both **Asia d** Latin America include countries that statd the tranition before the 1970s (e.g., Cuba **and** Taiwan), countries that started during the 1970s (e.g., Ecuador **and** Indonesia), **and** countries which have yet to stat the fertlity trition (Bolivia **and** Las). Among the more developed countries, frtdlity coninued to decline from levels aldy bdow replacen_t, or fluctuAod in a nurow renge. Vaiations in contraceptive prevalence are largely responsible for the differenca in fertiliy lovels. The data on contraceptive levels nd trends are summarized in Box 4.

The projetions of fertility extend country-specific fertility trends into the fture, unde the **goneal** sumption that each country has gone, is going, or will go through a tnition **procs** from high ferdlity to stable low fertility. Recent trends are used to define th tieming and the paco of this tranition **proces** (see the appendix). Projected fertlity departs radically from reoent trends in tW cirma . For countries with rising or stable high fertility (such as in Sub-Sabuan Africa) subsantial fertlity decline is eventually projected. And for counti with fatiliy below _replaemnt,_ a gradual return to and stabilization at replcement level is eventually projected.

Projcted fertility rtes are summarized in Table 3 for the wodrd, les developed **and** more developed oountries, and geographic regions. The world total fertility rae is projecte to decline by half a point to around 2.9 at the beginning of the 21st century and to decline an additional _0.5_ points by 2025-30. These declines of less than 1 percent annually incorporate substantial reduction in les developed countries and a stable or even rising trend for many more developed countries. For more developed countries as a whole, TFR begins to increase after 1995-2000 te a level of 2.0 by 2025. For les developed countries, in contrast, TFR will decline from 3.9 in 1985-90 to 2.5 in 2025-30, or about 1 percent annually over the whole period.

Given that fertility is not likely to decline much further in China and a few other large es developed countries, the overall reduction expected to occur in other countries will be subsantial. In Africa ad Southwest and South Asia, these projections imply that over the next 40 years or sofrom 1985-90 to 2025-30--fertility will decline to half its current level. For Africa, total fertility is projected to decline from 6.2 to 3.1. (For West Africa in particular, decline will be from 6.6 to 3.2.) In Southwet Asia, the projected fertility decline is from _5.1_ to 2.7, and for South Asia from 4.7 to 2.3.

Other world regions will experience smaller changes in fertility. East and Southeat Asia, including China, is expected to experience a fertility decline of 0.5 children per woman between 1985-90 **and** 2025-30. Since this region has 58 pecent of Asia's population, the decline for Asia a **a** whole will be modest, from 3.4 to 2.2. Decline in total fertility in Latin America ad the Caribbean will be ffom 3.6 to 2.1 children. The decline in Ooeania will be from 2.5 to 2.1 children. On the other _hand,_ North America **and** Europe will experience increses in fertility from below repacement lvels.
xx **lmneLTWN**

# **_FlRup_** _4 Percemage Distrnbution of World Population by Major Region, 1985, 2000, and 2025_

<!-- Start of picture text --> 1985<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 2000<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text -->
*,ram  am  u  s  R  A* 03  an  A/  go  t<br>Omw  Co  M<br><!-- End of picture text -->

**Euroce and** U **S.S** P. C1O **4 %J**

<!-- Start of picture text --> 2025<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ,l<br>X, g~~~~~~~~~~~Ae c"i. co C 2s)<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTrOOucTOtN XxU _: ;ez g. :4 Conraceptive Prewdence Level and Trends_ Dt oa contacpdon ame fidy extsivo. Surveys such **_s_ the** World **FUility** ftrv in hew I9 **and** ealy 1980., the Conftaoepdve Prvalec Srveys, and the Demov l **ad** Hah Surveys from the _w;,'_ 980, have<sup>moered the proportion of</sup> cos usg coontepdon. Out of 181 oouanziw,<sup>126 hv</sup><sup>_had_at es two surveys.</sup> Trohrfor, may of the country table show<sup>two estmate of the concepive prevalence</sup> re (CPR), Howevr, trends should be intpmsd<sup>with caution,</sup><sup>**as**snmpling, coverge,</sup> ad defitions usd in the surveys may be different.<sup>Fetility rtes sugest that nany</sup> colsa widwout aontaeptive use data glenly have low prclenoe. In particular ountrie witout dta, however, both contwreve<sup>us and fertility oe</sup><sup>_low,_</sup><sup>**and**abortion is</sup> used to prevent births (e.g., in the U.S.S.R.<sup>_and_the German Democratic Republic).</sup> Co4tmeptive prevalnce is highest in developed outre, whew 700 peoret of _mad_ coup&w us _some_ method. Method mix in thee<sup>ad other counr</sup> with Upg prvalnc vies a grt dal: in Eastern Europe, couph use tradidon methods such u wifdtal **and** abstnenc; in the Ntherlands, over half of all wcupl<sup>uwe conracedve</sup> pO;: in Canad, feme stbrilizaton is dte most<sup>common ma thod; in</sup><sup>_Cuba,_the IUD is the</sup> _mt._ pevaln metod4; ix Finland, condoms ar rlid on most. Tb. higs conooteptve prevaeanc ra In Sub,Sham Afra ar 43 percent fr Zim In 196S, and 30 prcent for Botwaa in 99. Por<sup>most oher coun</sup> in the region, uontraptive pevance is below 5 poeret<sup>Seval couniea in Asia</sup><sup>**and**the</sup> **Middl st** have sa miy low levels of prevalenc. The method mlx in low coceptive **prevalence** coune shows as much variety as that in high prevaene counte. In Asia, RIDeare widely used, but couple in India rely moniy<sup>on female seilizao.</sup> In Lati Amaei ad the Caribbean, fale eilizaon W an importat method, but not in Chile, where the IUD is most popular. Over time, a few countries<sup>with low or ln,nmediat CPRs</sup> bow decliinW use: Hgiti, Fii, Guatemala, and Guya. The majoriy sbow inces. Ovenll, contraceptive pill use has beow declining,<sup>whereas all other metbods--IU=s and</sup> fhmale stelizatn in particular--have been gaining.

Levels and projected trends in crude birth rates are a<sup>result of the assumptions about the</sup> trend in total fertility rates in combination with assumptions<sup>about age structure. The current crude</sup> birth rate for the world is 26.3 and the projected<sup>rate for 2025 is 18.0. Tne crude birth rate in less</sup> developed countries, currently more than twice as<sup>high as in more developed countries, is projected</sup> to decline by 36 percent by 2025, % .ile the rate for<sup>more developed countries drops only 15 percent.</sup> The diffeetial between more developed country<sup>and less developed cointry crude birth rtes is</sup> expected to decline from 16 per thousand in 1985-90<sup>to 8 per thousand by 2020-25.</sup> Unlike total fertfility, the crude birth rate will decline<sup>in every region without exception.</sup> These declines will be larger where the rate is now<sup>higher. From 45 per thousand in Africa, it will</sup> fall to 26 per thousand in 2025-30. From 15 per<sup>thousand in Europe, it will fall to 12 per thousand</sup> in 2025-30. Wherea the African crude birth rate is<sup>now three times the European rate, by 2025-30</sup> it will be about double the European rate.
**xx.** kTnom

# **_RPrw_** _5 Population densides_<sup>_in East, South, and Southeast Asia_</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> 1960<br>sP w sq k<br>WU' s<br><!-- End of picture text -->
4 _k7gure 6 Population densities in Africa_ <!-- Start of picture text --> 1960<br>I---<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 1990<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 2020<br><!-- End of picture text -->
**Xxiv INTRODUCTION**

**_Flgure 7 Total fertilit. rates, 1990_**

<!-- Start of picture text --> Total fertility<br>3.0 to 4.4<br>4.5 to 5.9<br>6.0 or higher<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Under 3<br>4 9%<br>6 or more<br>or more ~~~~~12%<br>e3 to 4a4 4.5 to 5.9<br>32% 7%<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> under 3<br>3 to 4.4<br>19%<br>1 7 % to o2r 6 % o r<br>17 2%<br><!-- End of picture text --> Distribution of countries by total fertility level Distribution of world population **by** national total fertility level
INThOCUCTION XXV

# _FIgure 8 Life apectancy at birth, 1990_

<!-- Start of picture text --> Life expectancy<br>75 to /9<br>65 to 75<br>_ 55 to 65<br>40 to 55<br>65- 24 75 or more 43%<br>42%~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~1<br>,.;:::::I * .u...<br>Under 55<br>55-64 24%<br>18%6 55- 64<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 43% *75 or miiore<br>* .u... Im<br>Under 55<br>12%<br>55- 64<br>31%<br><!-- End of picture text --> Distribution of countries by life expectancy at birth Distribution of world population by national life expectancy at birth
LIvl of Ulf oxpctancy at birth aound the world are rprest in Fgure 8. For the world **a** a wbol, the current estimate is 66 year. Sub-Saharn<sup>Africa</sup><sup>**ha**the lowest lifeexpectancy</sup> (50 _yea_ for mal, **54** _yas_ for females), traing the Middle<sup>Eat</sup><sup>**and**North Africa combined by</sup> more th 10 yea. Despite subsantial improvemnts in the past 15<sup>yea, current Sub-S3aharan</sup> life expctacy is st below the level that the Middle East and North Africa attaiad<sup>in the 1970,.</sup> Morbtity condition bady improved during the 1980. in Tanzania,<sup>Mada_cr,</sup> Ethiopia, Ghana, **and** _Senegal,_ but life expectancy did rise faster than the region's<sup>averge in Botuwan, Zimbabwe,</sup> Kenya, Cape Verde, Gabon, and Swaziland.

Avoege life expectcies for the leu developed countrieo in<sup>Norti Africa, thc Middle</sup> Eat, Asia, **an** Latin America are quite similar, with life<sup>expectacy for mal betweec 61 and 63</sup> year **and** life expectancy for females between 64 **ad** 68 _yar._ Mm developd countries have life expctancies of at leat 65<sup>year for mals and at least</sup> 74 y.An for females. The highest observed life expectancies<sup>are in Japan--75 year for males, 81 for</sup> femae. Trends in most countries are sti upward, but the rate of<sup>Inrea</sup> is considerobly slower at high levels. In Easer Europe and the Soviet Union, life expectacy<sup>has remained vitually</sup> consta at 1970. levels due to incresing adult motlity rat.

Table 3 provides projected mortality trends fr aggrega. asr riec in ife expectancy are projectd whoe it is now lower than where it is now higher. However,<sup>some differtiation</sup> in projections is intoduced among countries with the same life expectancy<sup>lvels based on recent trends</sup> _(o_ the appendix).

For the world as a whole, life expectancy at birth is projected to<sup>reach 70 around 2010.</sup> This mar will actually be attained by les developed countries **a**<sup>a group around 2015, at which time</sup> more developed countries should have exceeded it by about 10 yea.<sup>This gap in life expectancy is</sup> **smaller** than the current 12-year gap but still substantial. Current crude<sup>death rat are identical for</sup> **ls and** more developed countries because less developed countries have<sup>a</sup><sup>**smallr**proportion of their</sup> populations in older age groups.

Substantial differentials exist, and are projected to remain, in<sup>the levels of mortality</sup> across major regions. Currently life expectancy is lowest and infsnt<sup>mortality highest for Africa.</sup> Life expectancy for this region as a whole is 53 years and infant<sup>mortality is 105 per 1000 live births.</sup> Asia occupies an intermediate position with a life expectancy of<sup>64 years, whereas levels in Europe</sup> and Oceania ae generally around 72 to 73 ye.rs Within major regions, differences in mortality can be large.<sup>Life expectancy in South</sup> Asia is 12 yes shorter than in East and Southeast Asia; Latin America's<sup>levels ar some 10 years</sup> shorter than Northern America's; and West Africans can expect a 10-year<sup>shorter life span than North</sup> Africans.

Differentials within and between regions will narrow slowly over<sup>tne projection period,</sup> but remain substantial even by 202S-30. By that time, differentials<sup>between South Asia and Eas and</sup> Southeast Asia, and between West Africa and North Africa, will<sup>have been reduced to eight year.</sup> Levols of life expectancy within America will be more similar,<sup>with only a five-year difference</sup> between Latin America and the Caribbean and Northern America.
INThOOLU'oN XXW Of the 5.3 billion people in 1990, 61 percent were in the woring ges of 15-64, giving a depednc ado (of those younger and older combined per hundred members of this group) of 63. By 2025, the world dpedency ratio is projected to fall to 55. Children and youth under 15 will have filenfrom 32 to 2 perowt of the population, while the aged 65 and over wil have risen from 6 to 10 percet (ble 4).

Prjojed trends in more developed and less developed countries are quite different. In more developgl countries, the number of children and youth will actually decline from 259 to 247 million between 1990 and 2025, reflecting the impact of falling fertility. They will fall from 21 to 18 percent of the total. Thoe ged will almost double in number, and by 2025 will outnumber children **ad** youth. The depandecy ratio in more developed countries will rise from 50 to 63 between 1990 **and** 2025.

To dependency ratio in loe developed countries will docline from 67 in 1990 to 53 in 2025. This dacline will be a result of a reduction in the proportion of the population **aged** 0-14 (from 38 to 27 percent) and the rapid growth in the woring-age population, which will almost double in sie. The **_aged_** will incrase much fater in less developed countrie than in more developed countries, multiplying three-fold between 1990 and 2025. However, they are now only 4 percent of the population, ad will increas to only 8 percent.

Of the major regions, Africa **has** the larget proportion of total population under _15:_ 45 peet in 1990. Those under 15 will **still** be 36 percent of the Afican population by 2025. Corresponding percentages in other regions are much lower: the next highest is 33 percent for Asia, **and** this is projected to decline to ?2 percent by 2025. Only 22 percent of Europe and the U.S.S.R.'s population is under 15, and this will decline to 18 percent by 2025.

Consistent with these changes, the dependency ratio will decline in Africa, Asia, and America. Bdween 1990 **and** 2025, the rato will fall from 94 to 66 in Africa, from 61 to 54 in America, and from 61 to 51 in Asia. On the other hand, in Europe and the U.S.S.R. the dependency ratio will increase from 51 to 62 as the population ages. The dependency ratio for Oceania will stay almost unchanged close to .5.

# _Lo.u-AR Treud_

The long-run implications of the projection assumptions are illustt in Table 5, which shows projection up to 2100 - well as other indicators. With every country and economy projected to reach replac t-level fardlity by or before 2060, world population will be over 12 billion by the **end** of the net conury. Another **S00** million will be added before the population bocomes stationary, i.e., before the growth rase falls to zero. Table 5 shows the ratios to the 1990 population of the projected stationary population and of the projected population under the special assumptions that fertility drops to replacement<sup>level</sup> immedialy, mortality stays constat at current leves, and no migration takes place. The latter ratio, labdo population momentum, indicates the amount of future population growth attributable<sup>to the</sup> currmt **age** stu e of a population. An illusration of the importc of momentum is that more than two billion parons will be added to the world population after replaement ferdlity is achieved.

Ftpultion momentum is lower for more developed than for les developed countries (1. I **ad** 1.5, res pctively). For more developed countries, the main source of growth until stationary population is _atd_ is momentum. Hence the two rtios for more developed countriesare almost
**xxvI ITrnoCuc7)**

equal. For _eu developed counies, the two ratios differ. Momentum will lead to considerable grwth, but hiSg feility will add even more growth. Across major regions, population momentum is higbet for Africa at 1.6 and for America at 1.4.

# World Bank Regions and Income Groups

The World Bank divide-s borrower countries, which account for three-fourths of world population, into four regions: Africa, essentially Sub-Saharan; Asia, excluding Southwest Asia, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, but including the Pacific; Europe, the Middle East (up to Pakistan), and North Africa (EMN); and Latin America and dhe Caribbean (LAC). Within regions, countries<sup>are</sup> grouped into four to six country departments, most of which include more than one country (Box<sup>5).</sup> Independently of this classification, the Bank also assigns all countries, more developed<sup>and less</sup> developed, for which data are available into one of four income groups (Box 6). This<sup>section</sup> consides the population and vita rates of Bank regions, country departments, and countries<sup>grouped</sup> by inoome. The discussion of Bank regions overlaps somewhat with the preceding discussion of geographic regions, which might oe consulted for further details.

The division into Bank regions puts about half the world population in the Asia region _and_ 8 to 10 percent of the population in each of the other regions. If China and India were excluded, the remainder of the Asia region, at 12 percent of world population, would be somewhat comparable in size to the other regions.

The relative contributions of the regions to world population growth are shown in Figure 9 **(see** also Tables 6-7). The Asia egion is now contributing half of world population growth, and the other throe regions are each contributing 10 to 16 percent. The contribution to growth of the Asia region is projected to decline relative to the contributions of other regions. Around 2030, the Asia region's contribution to world population growth will fall below that of the Africa region and around 2065 below the contribution of the EMN region.

The contributions of both the EMN and Africa regions are projected to rise, even with expected fertility transition. Around 2075, the Africa region will have only 22 percent of world population, but will be responsible for twice as much growth as the EMN region, the next largest contributor. In 2035, the EMN region will have 15 percent of world population, but will be responsible for a quarter of world population growth. Even with eventual fertility decline assumed, the Africa region will double in size in 25 years and the EMN region in 31 years.

Population grwth in the LAC region is not insignificant either. This region is growing faster than the Asia region and has the same momentum as the Africa region. Even if the LAC region could attain replacement fertility immediately, population would still increase by 60 percent becaue of the young age structure.

The country departments generally have growth prospects similar to those of the regions to which they belong. The departments covering the largest populations are the single-country China and India departments and the Southeast Asia department, the latter covering 300 million people. The remaining departments each cover between 42 and 194 million people. By 2025,<sup>these other</sup> departments, assuming they will still exist in the same form, will each cover between 114 and 466 million people. By 2000, both the smallest department, the Sahel, and the largest, the Middle East, will have gron 33 percent larger. Within the Africa region, which has the highest growth rates,<sup>the</sup> South Central-Indian Ocean and Western Africa departments will lead the tansition to slower popultio growth. The annual growth rates in these department will decline to under 3 in 2000 and under 2 by _2025._ These departments do not include the recent leaders in the fertility transition in Africa. Two of those leaders, Botswaa and Zimbabwe, are included in the Southern Africa
<!-- Start of picture text --> INTnoUCTION XXIx<br><!-- End of picture text -->

**Fgww** _9 Percentage Contrbuwon to World Popuatlon Growth from Bank Regions and Nonborrowers, 1985-210(_

<!-- Start of picture text --> so<br>40 . . A<br>20-<br>30 -<br>LAC<br>1985 2000 2015 2030 2045 2080 207S 2090<br><!-- End of picture text --> department, which will still experience annual growth rates above 3 percent in 2000 and above 2 perent by 2025.

Average annual population growth rates vaqr considerbly across Bank regions and country departments, as shown in Table 7. Growth ates are around 3 perent in all the Africa departments, and will remain generally around 3 untl after 2000. Growth rates in Asia depatments ar somewhat more variable. but generally around 2 percent, except for China with 1.4 percent. In the EMN departments, growth rates are around 3 percent exct for Europe, which has substantially lower growth and different growth prospects.

The differences between regions and simirties within them are mainly rooted in fertility pattems (Table 8). Total fertility is above _6.5_ in each Africa department; above _5.0_ for three of the four EMN depatments; between 3.4 and 3.9 in each LAC department; and more variable only in the Asia region, where it ranges from 2.4 to 5.0 across departments. Mortality patterns are also quite similar among departments in each region. InIfnt morlity per thousand is over 100 in each Africa department; between 72 _and_ 101 in three of the four EMN departments; between 50 and _65_ in each LAC department; and more variable again in the Asia region, where it ranges from 32 to 114. Projcted trends will introduce only slightly more heterogeneity within regions: the Sahelian department, for instance, is expected to lag behind other Africa departments in both mortality and fertility decline.

The long-run stationary population for each Africa department is at least five times and as much as seven times its curreat population (Table 9). The Middle East department comes close to the lower end of this range: its stationary population is 4.7 times its current population. In the log nnm, the population for the Turkey-Pakistan department is expocted to quadruple an the populaion for the North Africa department to triple. For most of the remaining departments, roughly a doubling of the population is projected.
XXX INTROOUCTION _Box S Countries and Economies Classifled by Income Group_ Lo lrn 150 or ts} Cast **Africoa** West Africa South **Asia Uutrumni** Benin Afghanistan CarC Burkina **Fas** Bangladesh Ethiopia Central African Rep. Bhutan Kesy Chad India Leotho Equatorial **Cuirna** M Mdfve Madp"acor Gambi, The Nepal Wooesl Ghan Pakistan 01i0 tqJe Guinea Sri Lanka RAande Guirn. irssau **tot I A** Liberia East and Southeast Asia Tnanf na Kat Kwpuchea Ugido: Nauritanim Chirn (exctuding Taiwan) XSro h Niger Indonesia 2uIbS Nigeria Lao **Peopicls** DM. Rep. **Sao** Tome **ad** Principe I1a1ar North Af ries Sferra. Le"n VIet Mam Togo Southwst **Asfa Latin** Awrica _wd_ **the** Carilbean Yemn **Peopits D_M. Rap.** of Guyan Haiti Low-_e inoe, ($SU-S2,2OO) fest Africa Latin Amerca and the Caribbean Southwest Asia Sotswsn Boill2 Gaza Strip Djlbouti Bolivis Jordan lluritius Brazil Lanon Swaila1d Chile Syrian Arab Rep. Zi lbDbwe Colombia Turkey Costa Rica West Bank Wet Africa Dominica Yemen Arab Rep. **Angola** Dominican Rep. C_aroon Ecuador East and Southeast Asia Cape Verde El Satvador Mloaysic Congo, Peop"l's Rep. of the Grena Philippines Cotc d'lvolre Guatemla Thailand Senegal Horduras Jamaica Oceania North Africa Mexico Fiji Egypt, Arab Rep. of Hicaragua Kiribati Morocco Panea Other MIcrcnesia Tuniesi Patrguay Papua New Guinea Other North Africa Peru Solomon Islands St. Luwla Togsa Europe St. Vincent and the Grenadines Vanuatu Pot ed Western **Samoa**
INRooucnoN xxx

# _(bwed on GNP per capta in 1988 U.S. dollars)_

<!-- Start of picture text --> EFt Aflisa Latin Amrie wnd the Caribben Southwest Asia<br>Se0f aMAntlga and Barbuda Iraq<br>Sezbetl Argntine<br>* Xi;* iSrlc ~ ~~~~GO"toupe<br>m:rtinfiQw East ard Southeast Asia<br>"t: Africe Kontrroot koro, Rep. of<br>CO Other Latin Aeric M4cao<br>.O. v.St Afrita Puerto RIco<br>Unh AfelCA St. Kittts en Mavis OCania<br>SaSurlr me Othor Palyqiei<br>Trfnidad aHd Tobeot<br>UruSy<br>Venezuela<br>Europe ~~V2 ¢<br>de"" South Asif<br>ta~gary Iran, toemic Rop. of<br>haltt<br>i~Tss e¢t<br>.I *1* lt_ <, O r0 mar Euroe Co ont.) Sotlibmt Asia<br>(wop. Lux_ourg<br>WelOW Norway Kuaiait<br>Criil Istand, Spain Qatar<br>Omr;k Sweden Saudi Arabia<br>Finlad Switzerland United Arab ES rates<br>Prance United Kingdom<br>Germany, Federt Rcp, of East and Southest Asia<br>Icoland Northern America Iruwnl<br>treland Canada Hong Kong<br>Other Europe United States of America Japwn<br>Other llorthern America Sineapor.<br>Taiwan, Chime<br>Latin America and the Caribbean<br>Bahams, Tho Oceanir<br>Sarbedos Australis<br>Nethwaords Antilles Fed. States of icronesie<br>Virgin Isands (U.S.) French Polynesta<br>GuM<br>New Caledonia<br>Ne Zealand<br>Africa Latin Americe and the Caribbean Europe<br>Namibia Cuba Albania<br>Bulgarfa<br>East and Southeast Asia Czechoslovakia<br>Korea, Om. Peoples Rep. of Gerwan Dm. Rep.<br>Mong i a U.S.S.R.<br><!-- End of picture text -->
XXXU INThODOCN

# _Box 6 Countries and Economies Classifled_

Afrime ONO :lcrm} South-Central and Indian Ocean Southarn Africa Department (A06) Department (AF3) Angola **occidntatl** d Central **Africs** Burundi **Botsawa** Dqpartment (AFI) Comoroe Lesotho enin Dlibouti MaLawi C _.o~ ZMadagascar Nozmbuiqu. **Central** African Rep. Rwanda Swaziland Congo, People's Rep. of the SeycheLtea Tanzania **Cot0 d'lvoire Zaire** Zambia EqJetorat Guinea Zimboabu G ben Western Africa Department CAF4) _Cuiln_ GhanO Nonborrowers Togo Guineasirsau Western Africa Department CAF4) GhanO Guineasirsau Liberia Nigeria Sao Tome **and** Principe Sierra Leone Sub-Saharan Africa Namibia Reunion South Africa Other UWet Africa

**Eastern** Africa Department (AF2) Nigeria Ethiopia Sao Tome **and** Principe **Keny** Sierra Leone Naurltiuu S **tlIe** Sahelian Deagrtment CAIS) Sudan Burkina Faso Uganda Cape Verde Chad Gambia, The **MaLi** Mauritania ligpr Seneral

**Asia Rsfan (and Ocania)**

Country Department I Banglade Bhutan Nepal Sri Lanka Country Department 1I Kaepuchoa Korea, **lep.** of Lao Peopltua Dum. Rep. Malaysia 4yarmar Philippines **Thailand** Viet **NM** Country Department III China (excluding Taiwan)

## Nonborrowers

Country Department IV India East and Southeast Asia Srwiei Nong **tong** Japan Country Department V Srwiei Fiji Nong Indonesis Japan Ki-ibati **Korea,** Maldives Macao Papua **New** Guinea Solomon Islands Tonga Vanuatu Western Samoa Oceania

**Korea,** _Om._ People s Rep. of Macao Mongotia Singapore Taiwan, China

## Australia

Fed.States of Micronesia French Polynesia Guam New Caledonia New Zealand Other Micronesia Other Polynesis
INTROOUCTION XXXIII

# _by World Bank Region and Country Department_

_Eurpo,_ 11ft at _gC und_ NortN Africa CBS) Region **(md** U.S.S.R.) Country Departmnt I Country Department III (cont.) Pakistan **Oate.** Turkty Saudi Arabia Syria Country Department 11 Unitod Arab Emfrates AtWr Yremen Arab Rep. Libya Yemn, **Peopl'sr** Dem. Rep. of Melts morCCo Country Department IV Tunisia Cyprus Hungary Country Department III Poland Afghanistan Portugal **3ehrain** Romania **Egypt** Arab Rep. of Yugoslavia Iran, Islamic **Rsp.** of Nonborrowers North Africa Other North Africa Southwest Asia Gaza Strip Israet West Bank Kuwait Lebanon omwn Eurpe and U.S.S.R. AtIbani a Austria **Belgiu*** Bulgaria Chmnrwl IsLands Czechoslovakia Denmark Finlnd Fronce GCrnwn Dem. Rep. Germany, Federat Rep. of Greece **Icelond Irealnd** itaty **Luxbourg** Netherlands Norway "Spin Sweden Switzerland United Kingdo Other Europe U.S.S.R.

Latin **Amricc and** the Caribb"n (LAC) Region (and Northern Amrica) Country Department IV Argentina Country Deportment I Com.,try Department III Chile **reazil** Antigua and Barbuda EcuadKr Bahamas, The Paraguay Country Department I1 Barbados Peru Costa Rica Belize Uruguay **Et** Salvador Bolivia Guatematc Colombia Nonborrowers Honduras Dominica Mexico Dominican Rep. Latin America and the Caribbean Nicaragua Grenada Cuba Panama Guyana Guadetoupe Haiti Martinique Jamaica Netherlands Antilles Montserrat Virgin Islands (U.S.) St. Kitts and Nevis Other Latin America St. Lucia St. Vincent wnd the Grenadines Northern America Surinaee Canada Trinidad and Tobago Puerto Rico Venezuela United States of America Other Northern America
**Xxmwv -_**

Of t 187 countrie or economie, 49 have low per capita incomes of **_$545_** or las (in 19 U.S. **dom).** Most of thae countria or economies ae in Sub-Sahaan Africa, South Asia, **and** Soutemi Aul they aso include the majority of the ten lrgest countries in the world and contain **S7 pwsoet** of world population. At the other extrewe, high-income countrie or economies, with per capita incomes of $6,000 or more, number 43, and contain 15 percent of world population. At **pIea', the** lw-Income populations **a** a group are growing by almost 60 million people a year, while the hig-income populations as a group are growing by only 5 million people a year. By 2025, the currety low-income countries will make up 61 percent of world popuation, with over 5 billion peron. The currently high-income countries will make up 11 percent of world popuation, with 945 million persons.

The lower-middle-income economies, with per capita incomes up to $2,200, are u _nm_ **_a_** the lw-income countries but have only 15 percent of world population. In this group **are cloe** to half of the Latin American and Caribbean countries. The upper-middle-income **economies,** with 6 pecent of world population, have lower fertility and are mostly on the way to **sower** populaton grwth. Nevertheless, even this group of countries will still grow considerably. **Their** sadooary populations in the aggregate are expected to be more than double their present poplaion.

# Some Country **Results**

**Countries and** economies provide a much more complex demographic mosaic than these regio, and only some highlights of their pic--,4 demographic future wiU be given (see Tables 1013).

China is now the most populous country or economy, as it has been for some time and will continue to be in these projections until early in the 22nd century, when it will be overtaken by India. Both China **and** India will have populations of 1.8-1.9 billion persons by 2160. Nigeria, currently the eighth largest country in the world, wil steadily increase in size and by 2160 wil **become** the tbird lrgest country, overtaking the U.S.S.R., the United Stae, Indonesia, Brazil, and Japan. Nigeria's population in 2160 will be equal to 96 percent of the 1990 population of Africa as a whole. India **and** China together will be larger than the total 1990 population of Asia by some 610 million persons. Rankings by size among other large countries will be changing well before 2160. Nigeria and Pacistan, in particular, will be moving up, from eighth and ninth today to seventh and eighth by the turn of the century and to fifth and sixth by 2025.

The largest countries in the world will experience very different growth rates. China's population will be growing at only 0.9 percent annually between 1990 and 2030. The U.S.S.R., currently the third laest country, will grow at an annual rate of 0.5 percent in the same period. In contat, Paksta **and** Nigeria will grow significantly faster, at 2.5 and 2.6 percent annually in this period, a rts which is nevertheless slower than their current growth rates of 3.1 and 3.2.

Growing even faster will be some other countries or economies in a high-growth belt that extends roughly from Nigeria eastward to Pakistan. In this belt, 3 to 14 percent growth rates are expected to continue in countries such as Libya, Niger, and Mali and a cluster of countries around the Gulf of Guinea; in East African countries from Ethiopia and Somalia south to Mozambique; and in Southwest **and** South Asia except in Afghanistan, Democratic Yemen, and the United Arab mirate. **Stading** out in this belt of countries are Rwanda and C6te d'Ivoire, growing at 3.9 and 3.7 **peren annually;** Oman, growing at 3 ) percent annually; and Saudi Arabia, the Yemen Arab **RIublic, the Wet Bank, nd** Syria, all growing at around 3.6 percent annually. Concern among **governmet** about such high grwth rates has clearly grown in the last two decades (Box **7).**
**ImmoouaunoN** xxxv

<!-- Start of picture text --> Gtwmaen Aw svm,Of POPUIAvkr GA7"h:<br>::::si..g respons,l por peodic U.N. e a dicee.tha man<br>QvwmuWs 5 the 1 Ihn 1*the 1970. comMuted PaPulIdOR grOWtk AS thir counrie<br>b* be t L Otl 160 gO pv_mmu sp , 75 deabe.e couri<br>p is gr im too ldgb, up fom SS a decade Mot of th ontil<br>'M~I t: Utic view'e bh Sob-Saharan Afica, wbere do masbor cOer*ins POP laton<br>rothtohet o oblimctd tm 13 nl 19n to 20 I 193 ad to 26 in. IM th<br>29: auty conider elit h ir cout yt be hIh. In Ask, the<br>- opf gpovemmaits rqed populaton Srowth as too hih IM 1978e d aoe 0 hoe<br>c asd t_0sassaft. In the emxain deveopin ooeuim-from to Middle But to<br>Nort Mic the Caribbean an d AsLatin Ac.-goamf mabt qbauy dvde<br>b~vees 'toe high' antftory' wements of** the td of poplatio gr**, wit a<br>:: respodn "to 1.w." Fr more developed coatu *6 maot of governm :t<br>tsp*to ppulllo gowth as sUatlfetoy, bu the natbet toportlag thetIM tbeoooW<br>dtblid : F 1 121. t2 le lat *suvy.<br><!-- End of picture text --> The lowest **growth rates** (under 1 percent), **generally** are **in tho** nortern **hemisphere-** Northen America, **the** U.S.S.R., and Europe. Five countris-the U.S. **Virgin Islands, Hungry, the German** Democaic Republic, Bulgaria, and St. **Kitts** and **Nevis-ae** curently experiencing declining **popultons. By** 2030, 13 countries will have neptive growth rates, not including **Bulgaria** and the U.S. **Virgi slands,** which are projected to regain positive growth. Countries with **declining** population **in** 2030 will include Japan, **curmntly** the seventh largest country in the world, Luxembourg, the Federal Republic of Germany, the Netherlands, the **Channel slnds,** Greece, Belgium, **Ftland,** Switzland, **Demaruk,** and Austria. Rwcent political **events** in Europe, including **mm** migrations from **east** to **west,** the economic unification of the Germanys and **progres toward** economic **unity** in the European Community, are **likely** to affect the demogrphic future of the region in **ways** that are still unpredictable.

The countries with most **rapid** growth are **also** among those with the highest fertility levels (cf. **Figures** 3 **and 7). Total** fertility is 8 in **Rwanda and** the Yemen **Arab** Republic, **and** between 7 and **8** in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kenya, Malawi, C8te d'Ivoire **and** Ethiopia.

**Over** the next decade, the largest declines in fertility **are** projected for Zimbabwe, Botrswa, Kenya, **and** Algeria, where total fertility will **fall** by an average of about 1.4 children. Tunisia **and Vietnam** will experience almost **as** large fertility declines. Unlike these countries, **Guinea, Afghanistan,** The Gambia, Mauritania, Guinea-Bissau **and** Sierra Leone are **projected** to have contant **high** frtility. Constant fertility, but at low levels, is also projected for The Bahamas, Romania, Puland, the Nethrlands, Guadaloupe, Macao, **and Ireland.** The country with the lowest current expectation of life at birth, barely 40 years, is Guine-Bisu. Twenty-three other countries have life expectancies under **50** years; all except Afghanistan, the Yemen Arab Republic, **and** Bhutan are in Sub-Saharan **Africa.** The **longest** life expectancy **in** the Sub-Saharan region, at about 67 years, is in Botswana. Within the region, only the **small island** countries of Mauritius, Seychelles, **and** R6union have comparable levels of life **e.pectancy.** By contmrt, the longest life expectancies, between 78 and 79 year, are in Japan, **Iceland,** Hong Kong, **and** Switzerland. No country in Europe **has** a life expectancy below 70 **years, with** the lowest being Hungary and RLmani **a** t around 71 years. In Oceania, Kiribti **and** Papua New Guinea **are outLiers,** with life expectanies similar to **those** found in Africa--around **54 years, in**
xxxm lupoATO

# oontrt **to** 76 **yr** for Austrlia and 74 year for Now Zealand.

Concurrent with future changes in fertility<sup>and mortality will be changes in dependency</sup> acro countries. In Kenya, previous<sup>high fertility partly accounts for a ratio as high as 116</sup> **dependents por** 100 people of working age. Fertility decline<sup>will reduce the ratio to 55 by 2025.</sup> Singapore already has a low dependency ratio<sup>of 41; this will rise to 62 in the next 35 years. Another</sup> contrast is provided by India and Switzerland.<sup>India's dependency</sup><sup>_ratio_will decrease from 70 to 46</sup> between 1990 and 2025, while Switzerland's<sup>ratio will increase from 47 to 71.</sup>

## Conclusion

The world population in 1990 is growing at about<sup>the same rate as in 1975. But there</sup> are some 1.2 billion more people now, and<sup>the number of people added each year is greater now than</sup> ever before. Between 1975 and 1990, an<sup>average of 80 million people were addee .o world</sup> population every year. Between 1990 and 2000,<sup>an average of 91 million people will be added to</sup> world population every year.

This annual increase in world population<sup>projected for this decade will exceed the current</sup> population of Mexico, the world's eleventh<sup>largest country. The total increase for the decade as a</sup> whole will exceed the current population<sup>of India.</sup> India itself will be the leading contributor to these<sup>increases. Asia as a whole, in fact,</sup> will be responsible for more than half<sup>the annual increase--SS million more people will be added</sup> every year on this continent. More than<sup>half the annual increase in Asia, in turn, will be due to the</sup> combined increases in India (15.7 million<sup>annually) and China (15.3 million annually). Every year</sup> of the decade, the Asian population will add<sup>to itself the equivalent of the current population of</sup> Thailand.

The African continent has only a fifth of<sup>the population of Asia, but its annual increase</sup> in this decade will be disproportionately large:<sup>22 million people, or almost as many people added</sup> every year as now live in Kenya. The annual<sup>increase in the Americas will be half that in Africa,</sup> or roughly equivalent to the current populations<sup>of Ecuador or Cuba. As elsewhere, the increases</sup> in this region will be unevenly distributed,<sup>and some countries, where the average woman still has</sup> more than four children, will experience growth<sup>more typical of other regions. The annual increase</sup> in Europe and the U.S.S.R. will not be<sup>entirely insignificant either, adding up to roughly the</sup> population of Albania.

Two-thirds of the increase in world population<sup>in this decade will come in low-income</sup> countries. High-income and upper-middle-income<sup>countries combined will account for only 12</sup> percent of the decadal increase.

These large increases are projected despite<sup>expected moderation in population growth</sup> rates. For 1990-2000, the annual rates<sup>of growth in Asia, the Araericas, and Oceania will each be</sup> close to 1.5 percent, lower than the respective<sup>growth rates for 1975-90 (though only marginally so</sup> for Oceania). For Europe and the U.S.S.R.,<sup>the growth rate will be 0.4 percent annually, also lower</sup> than previously. Only for Africa is the<sup>growth rate for the decade, at close to 3 percent, expected</sup> to be slightly higher than it was in 1975-90.

In the first quarter of the next century, growth<sup>rates will fall further. Even in Africa,</sup> the annual rate will decline to _2.5_ percent. Nevertheless,<sup>annual increments to world population will</sup> remain at roughly the same levels: about<sup>91 million people added annually. The difference in growth</sup> rates between Africa and the rest of<sup>the world will have significant effects. The African population,</sup>
INTROOUCTION XXXVII

**now saller tha tht of the Americas** nr<sup>Europe, will be larger than them by 2000,</sup><sup>**will surpass one**</sup> **billion by 2006, and** will reach two billion by 2038.

How likely, in fact, are the projected increases?<sup>For this decade, the size of the increases</sup> **depends** largely on the expanding base<sup>of the population, and there can be little doubt about the rough</sup> magnitudes. For the next century,<sup>the projections depend on guesses about future fertility and</sup> mortality.

Continued fertility decline is assumed<sup>in these projections, and for some countries,</sup> fertility decline is expected to begin--and<sup>to progress at a good pace--even though no evidence for this</sup> is visible to date. If this decline does<sup>not take place, or is retarded because of slower socioeconomic</sup> development and limited access to fertility<sup>regulation, these projections will turn out, if anything, to</sup> understate future population growth. The<sup>one possible counterbalancing factor is that the projections</sup> for some developed countries do assume<sup>an eventual rebound from below-replacement fertility,</sup> evidence for which is also limited so far.<sup>If this does not happen, their populations could be slightly</sup> smaller, but the effect on world population<sup>will be small.</sup> If there is one area of considerable uncertainty<sup>in these projections, it concerns the future</sup> course of mortality. Continued improvements<sup>in life expectancy are assumed, following trends in</sup> many countries over the past decades.<sup>However, the possibility of catastrophic mortality events</sup> always exists. We refer not to localized<sup>famines and similar disasters, or even to major wars, which</sup> tend to have temporary and relatively limited<sup>effects on total population, whatever effects they may</sup> have on particular social groups. Rather<sup>we refer to even more apocalyptic events, on the scale of</sup> a major nuclear exchange, a wide-reaching<sup>environmental catastrophe, or an unchecked and extensive</sup> plague. Mass mortality could upset the<sup>projections, but whether this will happen is quite uncertain.</sup> Consider, for instance, the possible impact<sup>of the Autoimmune Deficiency Syndrome</sup> (AIDS) epidemic on population (abstracting<sup>from its other health and economic impacts). The impact</sup> on population numbers in the developed countries<sup>is minor. For Sub-Saharan Africa, the impact in</sup> this decade will also be minor, given the<sup>long latency of the infection. Sometime in the next century,</sup> some undetermined effect on population<sup>numbers in specific countries may become visible. This</sup> effect may be minor, as some models suggest,<sup>or slightly larger, but negative population growth is</sup> quite unlikely. And this effect will depend<sup>to an mportant extent on measures that are taken now and</sup> on changes in individual behavior that<sup>are not possible to predict.</sup> One important point about these projections,<sup>therefore, is the way they rest on predictions</sup> about individual and institutional behavior.<sup>For instance, they implicitly assume that efforts to</sup> moderate growth will not only continue but<sup>expand to cover areas of the world where population</sup> growth now appears largely unchecked.<sup>Maintaining the growth path indicated by these projections,</sup> and not exceeding it, will therefore<sup>require considerable effort from many quarters. Whether even</sup> more reduction in growth can be achieved<sup>is uncertain, but if so, it would certainly require</sup> considerable human commitment, resources,<sup>and ingenuity.</sup>
X1XXI INThOOUCT)O TOM **I Poputatin and Pircentae** Distribution **by** Geographic Region, 19M-2100

|||Pop|ulati|on<br>(mill|ions)|||Percen|tage<br>of|world p|opula|tion|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or<br>incoe group|195|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|<br>1965|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World<br>**Leos**developed<br>(a)<br>More deseloped<br>(a)<br>Africa<br>East Africa<br>WestAfrica<br>NorthAfrica<br>**America**<br>Latin<br>**Aoericaand**Caribbea<br>Northern<br>Anerica<br>Arsi<br>East nd Southeast<br>Asia<br>South**Asia**<br>Southwest Asia<br>Europe**nd**U.S.S.R.<br>Oceania|4842<br>3665<br>1177<br>556<br>230<br>202<br>123<br>668<br>n 400<br>268<br>2825<br>1652<br>1058<br>115<br>769<br>25|5282<br>4071<br>1211<br> <br>646<br> <br>269<br>237<br> <br>141<br>723<br> <br>443<br> <br>280<br>3099<br> 1781<br>1187<br>132<br>787<br>27|6192<br>4919<br>1273<br> <br>865<br> <br>364<br>320<br>180<br>829<br> <br>527<br> <br>302<br>3648<br>2034<br>1442<br>173<br>**819**<br>31|8479<br>7099<br>1380<br>1603<br> <br>701<br> <br>619<br>282<br>1058<br> <br>714<br> <br>344<br>4902<br>2531<br>2080<br>292<br>878<br> <br>39|10319<br>8921<br>1398<br>2369<br>1078<br> <br>925<br> <br>366<br>1193<br> <br>845<br> <br>348<br>5817<br> 2818<br>2597<br>402<br>**897**<br> <br>43|12036<br>10633<br>1404<br>3251<br>1533<br>1283<br> <br>435<br>1274<br> <br>925<br> <br>349<br>6561<br> <br>2981<br>3062<br>517<br> <br>906<br> <br>45|100.0<br> <br>75.7<br> <br>24.3<br> <br>11.5<br> <br>4.8<br> <br>4.2<br>2.5<br> <br>13.8<br>8.3<br>5.5<br>58.3<br> <br>34.1<br>21.9<br>2.4<br>15.9<br>0.5|100.0<br>77.1<br>22.9<br>12.2<br> <br>5.1<br> <br>4.5<br> <br>2.7<br>13.7<br> <br>8.4<br> <br>5.3<br>58.7<br> 33.7<br>22.5<br>2.5<br>14.9<br> <br>0.5|100.0<br>79.4<br>20.6<br>14.0<br> <br>5.9<br> <br>5.2<br> <br>2.9<br>13.4<br> <br>8.5<br> <br>4.9<br>58.9<br>32.8<br>23.3<br>2.8<br>13.2<br> <br>0.5|100.0<br>63.7<br>16.3<br>18.9<br> <br>8.3<br> <br>7.3<br> <br>3.3<br>12.5<br> <br>8.4<br> <br>4.1<br>57.8<br>29.8<br>24.5<br>3.4<br>10.4<br> <br>0.5|100.0<br>86.5<br>13.5<br>23.0<br>10.5<br> <br>9.0<br> <br>3.5<br>11.6<br> <br>8.2<br> <br>3.4<br>56.4<br>27.3<br>25.2<br>3.9<br> <br>8.7<br> <br>0.4|100.0<br>88.3<br>11.7<br>27.0<br>12.7<br>10.7<br> <br>3.6<br>10.6<br> <br>7.7<br> <br>2.9<br>54.5<br>24.8<br>25.4<br>4.3<br> <br>7.5<br> <br>0.4|

**a. '%ore developoe** comprises Euro e, the U.S.S.R., Northern Americs (the United States **and** Canada), Australia, Now **Zealand, and** Japan. "Lesti **developed"** coNprises ths rest of the wortl.

**Tb1e** 2 AP-ual Population Increase and Growth Rate by Geographic Region, 1985-2100

||Amiusl|populat|ion<br>incre|ase<br>(milli|ons)|An|mual gro|wthrate|(percent|)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or<br>incomegroup|1985-90|2000-05 2|025-30 2|050-75 2|100-Z5|1985-90 2|000-05 2|025-30|2050-75 2|100-25|
|WorLd<br>|87.9<br>|92.0<br>|87.5<br>|44.6<br>|12.'<br>|1.74<br>|1.43<br>|1.01<br>|0.41<br>|0.10<br>|
|Less developed(),<br>|81.1<br>|86.3<br>|85.0|44.9<br>|11.6<br>|2.10|1.68|1.16|0.47|0.11|
|Moredevetoped**(a)**<br>Africa<br>|**6.8**<br>18.1|5.7<br>26.0|2.5<br>33.0|-3.2<br>22.7|0.4<br>5.5|0.57<br>3.01|0.44<br>2.80|0.18<br>1.96|-0.02<br>0.86|0.03<br>0.17|
|East Africe<br>West**Africa**<br>|7.7<br>6.9|11.5<br>10.4|<br>15.9<br>13.3|<br>11.5<br>9.3|<br>2.8<br>2.3|3.09<br>3.15|<br>2.92<br>3.00|<br>2.14<br>2.04|<br>0.94<br>0.89|0.18<br>0.17|
|North Africa|3.5|4.2|3.8|2.0|0.4|2.64|2.19|1.30|0.51|0.09|
|America|11.0|<br>9.8|7.3|2.2|0.6|1.58|<br>1.14|<br>0.67|<br>0.18|0.05|
|Latin Amrica andCaribbea<br>|n 8.5<br>|<br>7.8<br>|6.4<br>|2.3<br>|0.5<br>|2.03<br>|<br>1.43<br>|<br>0.88<br>|<br>0.26<br>|0.06<br>|
|horthern**America**<br>|2.5<br>|2.0<br>|0.9<br>|-0.1<br>|0.1|0.90|0.64|0.25|-0.02|0.02|
|Asia<br>**East nd**Southeeat**Asia**<br>|54.9<br>25.8|52.7<br> <br>22.3|45.3<br> <br>16.6|19.6<br> <br>4.2|5.5<br>1.5|1.86<br>1.50|1.40<br> <br>1.07|0.90<br>0.64|<br>0.32<br> <br>0.15|0.08<br>0.05|
|South**Asia**<br>|25.7<br>|26.1<br>|23.8|12.3|3.5|2.29|1.73|1.11|0.45|0.11|
|Southwest<br>**Asia**<br>|3.5|4.4|4.9|3.1|0.5|2.85|2.39|<br>1.61|0.71|0.10|
|Europe**andU.S.S.R.**<br>|**3.5**<br>|**3.1**<br>|1.7|0.0|0.3|0.45|0.37|0.20|0.00|0.03|
|**Oceania**|**0.4**|0.4|**0.2**|0.1|0.0|1.57|1.19|0.59|0.14|0.05|

**a. "Nore developed** cor"ises Europe, the U.S.S.R., Northern Awrica (the United **States and Canada),** Austratia, New Zealand, **and** Jn. **"Leo.s** developed" comprises the rest of **the** world.
# T11e 3 FertiLity wnd Nortality Rates by Geographic Region, 1965-90, 2000-OS, nd 2025-30

||||1985-9|0||||2000-0|5||||2025-3|0||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or<br>incomegroup|COR|<br>TFR|<br>CDR|e(O)|IUR|<br>CUR|<br>TFR|<br>CDR|eCO)|IRE|CBP|<br>TFR|<br>CDR|e(O)|lUS|
|World<br>Less developed (a)<br>Noredeveloped(a)<br>Africa<br>East Africa<br>WestAfrica<br>North Africa|27.1<br>30.9<br>14.7<br>44.7<br>46.3<br>47.7<br>367|3.41<br>3.89<br>1.90<br>6.22<br>6.43<br>6.63<br>514|9.7<br>9.7<br>9.6<br>14.5<br>15.3<br>16.3<br>101|64.9<br>62.0<br>74.2<br>53.1<br>52.2<br>49.8<br>602|7U<br>78<br>15<br>105<br>107<br>112<br>84|22.3<br>24.7<br>12.8<br>38.3<br> <br>40.2<br>41.5<br>|2.89<br>3.11<br>1.89<br>5.14<br>5.49<br>5.63<br>|8.0<br>7.8<br>8.8<br>10.3<br>10.9<br>11.5<br>|69.0<br>66.7<br>77.9<br>58.9<br>57.6<br>56.2<br>|49<br>54<br>9<br>74<br>77<br>78<br>|17.5<br>18.6<br>11.9<br>26.0<br>28.1<br>27.0<br>|2.40<br>2.45<br>2.06<br>3.11<br>3.36<br>3.18<br>|7.4<br>6.9<br>10.1<br>6.5<br> <br>6.6<br>6.6<br>|74.6<br>73.2<br>81.7<br>67.4<br>66.3<br>65.8<br>|24<br>26<br>4<br>45<br>49<br>48<br>|
|<br>America<br>Latin America and Caribbe|.<br>23.4<br>n 285|.<br>2.84<br>356|.<br>7.9<br>73|.<br>70.3<br>668|<br>44<br>55|28.9<br>1 .8<br>206|3.67<br>2.28<br>|6.9<br>6.6<br>|66.7<br>74.2<br>|52<br>27<br>|18.7<br>14.1<br>|2.30<br>2.06<br>|5.7<br>7.3<br>|73.8<br>79.1<br>|19<br>7<br>|
|<br>Northern Aerice<br>Asia<br>East and Southeast Asia|.<br>15.4<br>27.6<br>222|.<br>1.87<br>3.43<br>261|.<br>8.7<br>8.9<br>70|.<br>75.7<br>63.8<br>664|<br>10<br>71<br>|.<br>12.8<br>21.5<br>|2.45<br>1.90<br>2.71<br>|5.8<br>8.0<br>7.5<br>|71.6<br>78.8<br>68.4<br>|34<br>6<br>47<br>|15.1<br>11.9<br>16.4<br>|2.09<br>2.06<br>2.24<br>|6.4<br>9.4<br>7.3<br>|77.5<br>82.3<br>74.8<br>|8<br>3<br>18<br>|
|<br>South Asia|.<br>349|.<br>466|.<br>119|.<br>568|39<br>102|17.3<br>262|2.17<br>2|6.6<br>|72.7<br>|21<br>|14.0<br>|2.06<br>|7.6<br>|75.3<br>|7<br>|
|<br>Southwest Asia|.<br>367|.<br>511|.<br>88|.<br>|<br>|.<br>|3.3<br>|8.8<br>|62.6<br>|71<br>|18.4<br>|2.34<br>|7.3<br>|70.7<br>|29<br>|
|<br>Europe nd USSR|.<br>149|.<br>197|.<br>105|63.5<br>729|72<br>18|30.2<br>130|3.99<br>|6.4<br>|68.4<br>|46<br>|21.4<br>|7.70<br>|5.2<br>|74.9<br>|17<br>|
|....<br>Oceania|.<br>194|.<br>246|.<br>79|.<br>|<br>|.<br>|1.91<br>|9.2<br>|77.0<br>|11<br>|12.1<br>|2.06<br>|10.7<br>|81.1<br>|4<br>|
||.|.|.|72.1|28|17.1|2.31|7.4|75.2|17|14.0|2.11|8.1|79.3|12|

Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) are per Women 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, e(O), is given in years; and infant morwlity rates (IRE) **are** per 1000 live births.

a. *Nore developedr corises Europe. the U.S.S.R., Northern America (the Uknit.d States and Canada), Australia, Nem Zealand, nd Japan. Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.
xL iNmmoOucnow

**TcIte4 Population Age** 0-14, 15-64, **nd** **_65_ and** Over for ths World, **Lees** Developed **nd** More Developed Countries, **nd** ajor Geographic Regions, 1985, 2000, **nd** 2025

|Year<br>***nd**<br>**age**group|**World**|Less<br>**developed**|More<br>**developed**|Africa|America|Asia|Europe,<br>U.S.S.R.|Oceania|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>0-14<br>15-64<br>65.|1714<br>3242<br>326|<br>1455<br> <br>2436<br> <br>180|<br>259<br> <br>806<br> <br>140|294<br>333<br>20|220<br>449<br>54|1023<br>1922<br>155|<br>171<br> <br>521<br> <br>95|7<br>17<br>2|
|2000<br>0-14<br>15-64<br>65+|1918<br>3850<br>424|<br>1667<br> <br>3007<br> <br>245|<br>251<br> <br>842<br> <br>179|382<br>456<br>26|229<br>535<br>66|1135<br>2301<br>212|<br>164<br> <br>538<br> <br>117|8<br>20<br>3|
|2025<br>0-14<br>15-64|2156<br>5475|<br>1909<br> <br>4627|<br>247<br> <br>848|577<br>965|228<br>689|1183<br>3253|<br>160<br> <br>544|8<br>25|
|65+|**848**|<br>564|<br>285|62|140|467|174|6|

Note: **"More developed"** comprises Europe, the U.S.S.R., l4orthern America (the United States **and** Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

**Tablo** 5 Long-Run **nd** Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Yeur, **and** Year When Net Reproduction Rate **Reaches 1** by Ceographic Region

|||Population|(millio|ns)|Stationary<br>populatio|<br>n|Year<br>When<br>|<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region<br>or<br>incomgroup|1990|2050|2100|Station<br> <br>ary|over<br>-<br>1990<br>population|Populatio<br>momnntum|popula-<br>n tion<br> doubles|<br>Year<br>when<br>WRRx1|
|World<br>Less developed<br>(a)<br> <br>|5282<br>4071<br>|10318<br>8920<br>|12036<br>10633<br>|<br>12537<br> <br>11115<br> <br>|<br>2.4<br> <br>2.7<br>|<br>1.4<br> <br>1.5<br> <br>|2054<br>2038<br>|2060<br>2060<br>|
|More developed<br>(a)<br>Africa|1211<br>646|1398<br>2369|1404<br>3251|<br>422<br> <br>3481|1.2<br> <br>5.4|<br>1.1<br> <br>1.6|(b)<br>2015|2030<br>2060|
|East Africa<br>West Africa<br>|269<br>237<br>|1078<br>925<br>|1533<br>1283<br>|<br>1649<br> <br>1379<br> <br>|<br>6.1<br> <br>5.8<br>|<br>1.5<br> <br>1.5<br> <br>|2014<br>2014|2055<br>2060|
|North Africa<br>|141|366|435|<br>452|3.2|<br>1.6|2025|2050|
|America<br> <br>|723<br> <br>|1193<br>|1273<br>|<br>1300<br> <br>|<br>1.8<br>|<br>1.4<br> <br>|(b)<br>|2030<br>|
|Latin America<br>and Caribbean<br> <br>|<br>443<br>|845<br>|924<br>|<br>947<br> <br>|2.1<br>|<br>1.6<br> <br>|2064|2030<br>|
|Northern<br>America|280|348|349|<br>353|1.3|<br>1.1|(b)|2030|
|Asia<br> <br>|3099<br>|5817<br>|6561<br>|<br>6791<br>|<br>2.2<br>|<br>1.4<br>|2068<br>|205S<br>|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia<br>|1781|2818|2981|3046|1.7|1.4|(b)|2U.5|
|South Asia|1187|2597|3062|<br>3208|<br>2.7|<br>1.5|2038|2055|
|Southwest<br>Asia<br>|132<br>|402<br>|517<br>|<br>537<br> <br>|4.1<br>|<br>1.6<br> <br>|2020<br>|2055<br>|
|Europe**and**U.S.S.R.<br>|787<br>|897<br>|906<br>|<br>919<br>|1.2<br>|<br>1.1<br>|(b)<br>|2030<br>|
|Oceania|27|43|45|46|1.7|1.3|(b)|2040|

a. "More developed" comprises Europe, the U.S.S.R., Northern America (the United States and Canada), Australia, New **Zealand,** and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world. b. Population will not double with projected rates.
INTAOUCnTION XU

> Teb4 **6** Population **nd** Percentog Distribution by World Bank Region, Country Departmnt, **and** Incom Group, 1985-2100

|R"lion<br>and<br>country<br>||Popu<br> <br>|latio<br> <br>|n<br>(milti<br>|ons)<br>||Per|centa|ge<br>of w|orld p|opule|tion|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|department|1985|<br>1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World|4842|5282|6192|8479|10319|12036|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|
|Borrowers**and**rncnborrowers<br>||<br>|||||||||||
|sub-Saharan Africa<br>Asia**and**Oconia<br>Europe Middle Eeat|454<br>2576|<br>530<br>2808|717<br>3255|1378<br>4183|2082<br>478|2917<br>5199|9.4<br>53.2|10.0<br>53.2|11.6<br>52.6|16.3<br>49.3|20.2<br> 46.4|24.2<br>43.2|
|, ,<br>**and**WorthAfrica<br>|1144<br>|1221<br>|1390<br>|1860<br>|2256<br>|2647<br>|23.6<br>|23.1<br>|22.5<br>|21.9<br>|21.9<br>|22.0<br>|
|Americs|668|723|829|1058|1193|1274|13.8|13.7|13.4|12.5|11.6|10.6|
|Borrowers only<br>|||||||||||||
|Africa Regifn<br>|421<br>|492<br> <br>|670<br>|1309<br>|1996<br>|2817<br>|8.7<br>|9.3<br>|10.8<br>|15.4<br>|19.3<br>|23.4|
|1Occidental**and**Central<br>|38<br>|<br>45<br>|61<br>|123<br>|188<br> <br>|265<br>|0.8<br>|0.9<br>|1.0<br>|1.4<br>|1.8<br>|2.2<br>|
|2**Eastern**<br>3South-Central**wnd**|106|124|171|345|<br>549|802|2.2|2.4|2.8|4.1|5.3|6.7|
|Indian Ocean<br>|52<br>|61<br>|31<br>|152<br>|223<br>|304<br>|1.1<br>|1.1<br>|1.3<br>|1.8<br>|2.2<br>|2.5|
|4Westerm<br>|119<br>|140<br>|189<br>|356<br>|511<br>|683<br>|2.5<br>|2.6<br>|3.1<br>|4.2<br>|5.0<br>|5.7<br>|
|5Sahelian|36|42|56|114|183|272|07|08|09|13|18|23|
|6Southern|<br>69|81|<br>111|<br> <br>220|<br> <br>342|<br> <br>492|.<br>1.4|.<br>1.5|.<br>1.8|.<br>2.6|.<br>3.3|.<br>4.1|
|Ac/s Region<br>|2386<br>|2610<br>|3043<br>|3949<br>|4552<br>|4966<br>|<br>49.3<br>|49.4<br>|49.1<br>|46.6<br>|44.1<br>|41.3<br>|
|1 Other South<br>2|134<br>|151<br>|184<br>|263<br>|323<br>|375<br>|2.8<br>|2.9<br>|3.0<br>|3.1<br>|3.1<br>|3.1<br>|
|**Southeast**<br>3Chi|272<br>|300<br>|356<br>|477<br>|562<br>|614<br>|5.6<br>|5.7<br>|i.8<br>|5.6<br>|5.4<br>|5.1<br>|
|na<br>4Idi|1045<br>|1122<br>|1275<br>|1566<br>|1721<br>|1804<br>|21.6<br>|21.2<br>|20.6<br>|18.5<br>|16.7<br>|15.0<br>|
|na<br>|765|850|1007|1350|1604|1798|15.8|16.1|16.3|15.9|15.5|149|
|5**Inboes**<br>**iaend**Pacific|170|187|220|292|343|<br>376|<br>3.5|<br>3.5|<br> 3.6|<br>3.4|<br>3.3|.<br>3.|
|EMI Region<br>|473|<br>534|675|1092|1471|1854|<br>9.8|10.1|10.9|12.9|14.3|15.4|
|1Pakistanand Turkey<br>|146|<br>170|<br>222|<br>376|<br>512|648|3.0|3.2|3.6|4.4|5.0|5.4|
|2North Africa<br>|55<br>|63<br>|U<br>|128<br>|166|197|<br>1.1|<br>1.2|<br>1.3|<br>1.5|<br>1.6|<br>1.6|
|**3Middle**<br>**East**<br>|167|194|259|466|665|878|3.4|3.7|4.2|5.5|6.4|7.3|
|4 Europe|105|<br>107|<br>112|<br>122|<br>128|<br>132|2.2|2.0|1.8|1.4|1.2|1.1|
|LAC Region|389|431|514|699|829|908|8.0|8.2|8.3|8.2|8.0|7.5|
|1 Brazil|136|<br>150|178|236|274|297|2.8|2.8|2.9|2.8|2.7|2.5|
|2 Centrat<br>America|104|<br>116|142|201|246|272|<br>2.1|<br>2.2|<br>2.3|<br>2.4|<br>2.4|<br>2.3|
|3 Caribbeon<br>**and**Other|72|80|9|131|<br>157|174|1.5|1.5|1.5|1.5|1.5|1.4|
|4 Teperate**anid**<br>Tropical|78|85|W|130|<br>152|166|<br>1.6|<br>1.6|<br>1.6|<br>1.5|<br>1.5|<br>1.4|
|Income<br>group<br>L|||||||||||||
|ow|2711|3003|3611|5178|649|7784|56.0|56.9|58.3|61.1|63.0|64.7|
|Lower-middlq|695|775|941|1357|1694|1973|<br>14.3|<br>14.7|<br>15.2|<br>16.0|<br>16.4|<br>16.4|
|Upper-middle<br>Hih|295<br>|523<br>|385<br>|549<br>|684<br>|805<br>|<br>6.1<br>|<br>6.1<br>|<br>6.2<br>|<br>6.5<br>|<br>6.6<br>|<br>6.7<br>|
|g|787|814|863|945|956|966|16.3|15.4|13.9|11.1|9.3|8.0|
|Yonreporting<br>noimaembr|354|367|392|450|485|507|<br>7.3|<br>6.9|<br>6.3|<br>5.3|<br>4.7|<br>4.2|

> Note: Income groups **are** defined in Box 6. World lank regions and country departments are defined in Box 5.
**XLN** INTmomUCO

T&te 7 Amuei Popuiation Introe- end Growth **Rote** by World Mank Negion, Coumtry<sup>Department,cn</sup> Incoms Group 190S-2100

|**Region*nd_**<br>country|**_Rgnnual_**<br>p<br>_<br>_|<br>opulat<br>_<br>_<br>_<br>|ion<br>inc<br>__<br>_<br>_|rese Ca<br>_<br>_<br>_<br>_|ilLion<br>_<br>__|s)**Annul**<br>_<br>_<br>_<br>_<br>|grow<br>_<br>_<br>_<br> <br>|th rate<br>__<br>_<br>_<br>|(perc<br>_<br>_<br>_<br>_<br>|ent)<br> <br>_<br>_<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|dprtment|1965-90|2000|2025|2050|2100|1985-90|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World|87.9|92.0|87.5|44.6|12.0|1.74|1.43|1.01|0.41|0.10|
|Borrowrs and nan-borrow**re**<br>Sub-SshorenAfrica<br>Asia**nd**Ocania<br>Europa<br>iddlt East|15.2<br>46.3|22.7<br>41.2|30.1<br>31.6|21.3<br>10.7|5.3<br>3.8|3.10<br>1.7|2.94<br>1.23|2.07<br>0.74|0.91<br>0.22|0.16<br>0.07|
|,<br>,<br>andNorth Africa|15.4<br>|18.3<br>|16.5<br>|10.4<br>|2.3<br>|1.30<br>|1.27<br>|0.97<br>|0.44<br>|0.06<br>|
|Aerics|11.0|9.8|7.3|2.2|0.6|1.58|1.14|0.67|0.16|0.05|
|Borrowers<br>only<br>Africa Region<br> <br>|14.3<br>|21.6<br>|29.3<br>|21.0<br>|5.2<br>|3.14<br>|3.01<br>|2.12<br>|0.93<br>|0.18<br>|
|1Occidental<br>ndCentral<br>|1.4<br>|2.1<br>|2.8<br>|2.0<br>|0.4<br>|3.37<br>|3.11<br>|2.16<br>|0.94<br>|0.16<br>|
|2Easten<br>3South-Contral<br>**nd**|3.6|5.7|8.4|6.3|1.6|3.13|3.11|2.31|1.01|0.20|
|<br><br>IndIan**Ocoen**<br>|1.7<br>|2.5<br>|3.0<br>|2.1<br>|0.5<br>|3.11<br>|2.65<br>|1.91<br>|0.85<br>|0.17<br>|
|4**Western**<br>5Sahelian<br>6**Southen**|4.2<br>1.1<br>2.3|6.0<br>1.9<br>3.6|6.9<br>2.9<br>5.2|4.5<br>2.2<br>3.8|1.1<br>0.6<br>0.9|3.21<br>2.80<br>3.09|2.94<br>3.06<br>3.03|1.86<br>2.39<br>2.25|0.80<br>1.06<br>0.97|0.16<br>0.22<br>0.18|
|**Asia**Region<br>|**44.6**<br>|39.9<br>|31.3<br>|10.6<br>|3.8<br>|1.79<br>|1.27<br>|0.73<br>|0.23<br>|0.06<br>|
|**1**Other**South**|3.2|3.4|2.8|1.3|0.5|2.28|1.79|1.04|0.39|0.13<br>|
|2 Southeast<br>3Chine<br>4 IndIa|5.6<br>15.5<br>16.9|5.2<br>13.1<br>15.1|4.3<br>9.7<br>12.0|1.4<br>2.1<br>5.2|0.4<br>0.8<br>1.8|1.96<br>1.43<br>2.10|1.42<br>1.00<br>1.4"|0.88<br>0.61<br>0.87|0.25<br>0.12<br>0.31|0.07<br>0.04<br>0.10|
|5Indonesend<br>Pecific|3.5|3.0|2.5|0.9|0.3|1.97|1.32|0.83|0.24|0.07|
|ENNR"ion<br>|12.2<br>|15.5<br>|17.0<br>62|10.4<br>|2.0<br>08|2.43<br>297|2.18<br>240|1.50<br>157|0.65<br>066|0.11<br>012|
|I PakistanandTurkey|4.7|5.7|.|3.7<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.|
|<br>2 North Africa<br>3Middle East|1.6<br>5.4<br>|1.9<br>7.5<br>|1.8<br>8.7<br>|0.9<br>5.7<br>|0.2<br>1.0<br>|2.71<br>3.02<br>|2.17<br>2.70<br>|1.34<br>1.78<br>|0.50<br>0.78<br>|0.08<br> 0.12<br>|
|4 Europe|0.5|0.5|0.4|0.1|0.1|0.46|0.45|0.28|0.06|0.04|
|LAC Rfgion<br>|8.4<br>|7.7<br>|6.3<br>|2.3<br>|0.5<br>|2.06<br>|1.44<br>|0.89<br>|0.26<br>|0.06<br>|
|1 razil<br>|2.9<br>|2.4<br>|1.9<br>|0.6<br>|0.2<br>|2.05<br>|1.32<br>|0.78<br>|0.22<br>|0.06<br>|
|2 Central Amerieo<br>|2.5<br>|2.4<br>|2.1<br>|0.8<br>|0.1<br>|2.26<br>|1.65<br>|1.03<br>|0.31<br>|0.05<br>|
|3CaribbeanndOther|1.6|1.5|1.2|0.5<br>|0.1<br>|2.09<br>|1.51<br>|0.93<br>|0.29<br>|0.07<br>|
|4 Teperete and Tropical|1.4|1.3|1.1|0.4|0.1|1.76|1.31|0.80|0.25|0.06|
|Incomegroup<br>|||||||||||
|Low<br>|58.3<br>|61.9<br>|61.7<br>|33.2<br>|9.3<br>|2.04<br>|1.64<br>|1.16<br>|0.48<br>|0.12<br>|
|Lower-middle<br>|16.1<br>|16.6<br>|15.7<br>|7.6<br>|1.7<br>|2.19<br>|1.69<br>|1.13<br>|0.43<br>|0.08<br>|
|Upper-middlo<br>Hih|5.6<br>54|6.5<br>42|6.3<br>18|3.4<br>-01|0.6<br>03|1.81<br>067|1.63<br>049|1.12<br>019|0.46<br>-001|0.07<br>003|
|g|.|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|<br>Nti b|26|27|19|06|02|071|067|042|011|004|
|onreporng normn r|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|

Note: Income group **are** def In d in ox 6. World Bank resions and country departments **are** defIned in Box 5.
INTRODUCTION XLII

**Table** I Fortility ond Nortlaity **Rates** by Uortd **lank** egNion, Country Department,<sup>**and**IrcomGroup,1985-90, 2000-05,</sup> **and 202540**

|Roofan nd<br>||1|98S-9|0|||2|000-05||||2|020-25|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|country||||||||||||||||
|dortment|ClR|TFI|CDR|**.40)**|IMR|Cli|TFR|CDR|SCO)|I[R|CUR|TFR|CMR|0(O)|ItR|
|World|27.1|3.41|9.7|64.9|70|22.3|2.89|8.0|69.0|49|17.5|2.40|7.4|74.6|24|
|Borrowers**and**non-borrowers<br>Sub-Aharon<br>Africa<br>Asia nd_Oceania_<br>Euroe Middle loot|46.8<br>26.0|6.52<br>3.18|15.8<br>8.7|51.0<br>64.4|109<br>67|40.7<br>19.7|5.54<br>2.47|11.2<br>7.4|56.8<br>69.1|78<br>42|27.4<br>15.1|3.26<br>2.11|6.7<br>7.6|66.0<br>75.5|4<br>1|
|p,<br>**and**North Africa<br>America|23.5<br>23.4|3.13<br>2.84|10.5<br>7.9|68.4<br>70.3|60<br>44|21.2<br>.7.8|2.97<br>2.28|8.5<br>6.6|72.0<br>74.2|44<br>27|17.4<br>14.1|2.45<br>2.08|7.7<br>7.3|76.5<br>79.1|11|
|lorrowers<br>only<br>Africa Reion<br>1 Occidental nd Contral<br>2 Eastern<br>3 South-Centralaid|47.7<br>47.6<br>48.5|6.70<br>6.66<br> 7.05|16.2<br>15.4<br>16.8|50.3<br>51.8<br>S0.2|111<br>106<br>114|41.7<br>41.8<br>42.9|5.71<br>5.82<br>6.03|11.5<br>10.9<br>11.7|56.1<br>57.5<br>55.6|79<br>72<br>81|27.9<br>27.7<br>29.8|3.32<br>3.32<br>3.59|6.7<br>6.1<br>6.7|65.5<br>67.0<br>6<sup>5.0</sup>||
|<br>Indian Ocoen<br>4 western<br>5 Sahetlin<br>6 Southern|46.2<br>47.7<br>47.9<br>47.3|6.38<br>6.65<br>6.61<br>6.58|15.1<br>15.5<br>18.8<br>16.3|51.0<br>50.5<br>46.6<br>50.4|103<br>106<br>132<br>116|39.5<br>40.1<br>45.1<br>42.4|5.35<br>5.31<br>6.37<br>5.81|11.0<br>10.7<br>14.1<br>12.1|56.3<br>57.2<br>52.3<br>55.8|70<br>71<br>101<br>8T|25.7<br>24.9<br>31.7<br>29.6|3.02<br>2.88<br>3.86<br>3.58|6.6<br>6.3<br>7.8<br>7.0|65.9<br>66.7<br>62.3<br>64.9|_L_<br>5|
|Asia Refion<br>1Other South<br>2Southoeat<br>3 China<br>4 India<br>S Indone sa<br>nd Paciffc|27.0<br>36.9<br>28.0<br>21.0<br>32.4<br>28.9|3.29<br>4.96<br>3.42<br>2.40<br>4.26<br>3.54|8.9<br>13.6<br>7.8<br>6.6<br>11.4<br>9.1|63.5<br>53.0<br>64.4<br>69.5<br>57.8<br>60.1|69<br>114<br>49<br>32<br>99<br>71|20.2<br>28.6<br>20.7<br>16.6<br>23.0<br>20.1|2.50<br>3.44<br>2.45<br>2.11<br>2.88<br>2.32|7.4<br>10.4<br>6.2<br>6.5<br>8.5<br>6.9|68.4<br>57.7<br>69.6<br>73.3<br> 63.9<br>67.9|*4<br>84<br>28<br>18<br>65<br>**34**|15.3<br>18.4<br>15.4<br>13.7<br>16.4<br>15.3|2.11<br>2.26<br>2.10<br>2.08<br>2.12<br>2.10|7.5<br>8.0<br>6.5<br>7.7<br>7.6<br>7.0|75.1<br>66.9<br>76.2<br>78.9<br>71.9<br>75.1|1<br>4<br>1<br>2<br>1|
|EINRegion<br>1 Pakistan nd Turkey<br>2North Africa<br>3Middle East<br>4 !urope|34.8<br>41.3<br>35.7<br>40.5<br>15.0|4.78<br>5.64<br>5.12<br>5.78<br>2.04|10.5<br>11.3<br>8.6<br>10.5<br>10.1|62.0<br>57.9<br>62.8<br>59.8<br>71.5|84<br>101<br>72<br>86<br>21|29.6<br>31.9<br>27.4<br>34.5<br>14.2|3.97<br>4.32<br>3.40<br>4.68<br>2.01|7.7<br>7.9<br>5.7<br>7.6<br>9.4|66.7<br>63.3<br>68.9<br>65.5<br>75.0|58<br>69<br>42<br>61<br>12|21.0<br>21.5<br>18.4<br>23.4<br>12.7|2.65<br>2.64<br>2.26<br>2.89<br>2.08|6.0<br>5.7<br>5.0<br>5.5<br>9.9|73.2<br>71.2<br>75.8<br>72.5<br>80.0|2<br>2<br>1<br>2|
|LAC Region|28.8<br>|3.61<br>|7.3<br>|66.5<br>|56<br>|20.7<br>|2.46<br>|5.8<br>|71.4<br>|35<br>|15.2<br>|2.09<br>|6.3<br>|77.4<br>||
|<br>1 Brazil|28.4<br>|3.46<br>|7.9<br>|64.9<br>|63<br>|19.0<br>|2.26<br>|5.8<br>|71.1<br>|37<br>|14.7<br>|2.08<br>|6.8<br>|77.3<br>||
|2 Contral Amrica<br>3Caribbean<br>**and**Other<br>|30.8<br>29.7<br>|3.91<br>3.69<br>|6.2<br>7.1<br>|68.0<br>66.1<br>|50<br>57<br>|22.4<br>22.0<br>|2.60<br>2.61<br>|4.8<br>6.1<br>|72.3<br>69.9<br>|29<br>40<br>|15.7<br>15.6<br>|2.09<br>2.11<br>|5.4<br> <br>6.3<br>|78.1<br>76.2<br>|1|
|4 Temperate<br>**and**Tropical|26.0|3.40|8.1|67.8|52|20.0|2.47|6.8|71.8|33|15.0|2.08|6.9|77.6||
|Incomegroup||||||||||||||||
|Low|30.8<br>|3.89<br>|10.2<br>|61.1<br>|84<br>|25.2<br>|3.18<br>|8.5<br>|6S.3<br>|58<br>|20.1<br>|2.58<br>|8.2<br>|68.5<br>|4<br>|
|Lower-middle|31.5<br>|4.05<br>|8.4<br>|64.0<br>|63<br>|24.5<br>|3.00<br>|6.7<br>|68.1<br>|38<br>|19.2<br>|2.41<br>|6.9<br>|71.0<br>|2<br>|
|U-iddl|267|339|81|673|53|216|273|69|709|32|18.0|2.39|7.5|73.0|2|
|pperme|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>||
|Hifk|13.9<br>|1.79<br>|9.4<br>|76.1<br>|12<br>|12.7<br>|1.90<br>|9.6<br>|77.5<br>|10<br>|12.6<br>|2.10<br>|11.6<br>|77.9<br>||
|Nonreporting nono_ber_|19.6|2.52|10.6|69.1|32|16.4|2.28|9.9|72.1|24|15.3|2.22|10.2|73.8|2|

Note: Crude birth rates (CMR) nd crude death<sup>rates(CDR)</sup> **are** per 1,000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) **are** per woman 15-49 **years** of **age; life expectncy at** birth, 5(0), is given in years; **and** infant mortality rates (INR) **are** per 1,000 live births. (Sea definitions in World 8ank 1988.) Income groups are defined in Box 6. World lank regions **and** country departm_nts **are** deffned in lox 5.
xuv INTROOUCTI4 TI 9 Logrtm mi 3taticnary Population, Doubling Yere, **nd** Year WIhen Net Reproduction late Reaches I by World an Region, Country Departmnt **and** Incom Group

|||Population|(millions)||Stationar|y|Year||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||||population||wihn||
|R"ionnd<br>country<br>department|1990|2050|2100|Station-<br>**cry**|<br>over<br>1990<br>population|PopuLation<br>uoentum|popu-<br>lation<br>doubles|Year<br>when<br>HRR-1|
|World total|5282|10318|12036|<br>12537|2.4|1.4|2054|2060|
|**Borroers and**non-borrowrs|||||||||
|Sub-Sharan<br>Africa<br>|5<br>|2082|2917|3137|5.9|1.5|2014|2060|
|Asia**_nd_**Ocenis<br> Middl|280d|4788|5199|5360|1.9|1.4|**(r)**|2030|
|Eurpe,oEost,<br>andNorthAfrica<br>|1221<br>|2256<br>|2647<br>|2741<br>|2.2<br>|1.3<br>|2066|2055|
|Armpe|723|1193|1274|1300|1.8|1.4|(C)|2030|
|Borrowrs only|||||||||
|Africa egion<br>|493<br>|1996|2818|3033|6.2|1.5|2013|2060|
|1 Occiental<br>ad Central<br>|45<br>|188<br>|265<br>|283<br>|6.3<br>|1.6<br>|2013<br>|2055<br>|
|2**Eastern**<br>|124|549|802|**868**|7.0|1.5|2012|2060|
|3South-Central ad|||||||||
|Indian_Ocen_<br>|61|223|304|326|5.3|1.5|2n13|2060|
|4**Western**<br>|140|511|683|729|5.2|1.6|2013|2055|
|5**Sahelan**<br>|42|183|272|297|7.1|1.5|2014|2060|
|6**Southern**|81|342|492|<br>530|6.5|1.4|2013|2055|
|Asia Region|2610|4553|4967|5131|2.0|1.4|**(a)**|2035|
|<br>1Othor South<br>|151|323|375|397|2.6|1.5|<br>2039|2035|
|2Southeat|300|562|614|631|2.1|1.5|2080|2030|
|3China<br>|1122|1721|1804|1839|1.6|1.4|**(a)**|2000|
|4 India<br>|850|1604<br>|1798|1876|2.2|1.4|<br>2065|2015|
|S Indonns<br>and Pacific|187|343|376|**388**|2.1|1.5|2095|2035|
|ENN legion<br>|534|1471|1855|1937|3.6|1.5|2023|2055|
|1Pakistan**ad**Turkey<br>|170<br>|512|648<br>|679<br>|4.0<br>|1.6<br>|2018|2040<br>|
|2NorthAfrica<br>|63<br>|166<br>|197<br>|203<br>|3.2<br>|1.7<br>|2024<br>|2050<br>|
|3 Middlo**East**<br>|194<br>|665<br>|878<br>|921<br>|4.7<br>|1.6<br>|2018<br>|2055<br>|
|4Europe|107|128|132|134|1.3|1.1|**(a)**|2030|
|LAC Region<br>|431|829|909|931|2.2|1.6|2062|2030|
|<br>1**Brazil**<br>|150|274|297|<br>304|2.0|1.5|2126|2005|
|2CentralAmrica|116|246|272|278|2.4|1.7|2040|2030|
|3Caribbean<br>andOther|s0|157|174|179|2.2|1.6|2058|2030|
|4TeqwrateandTropical|85|152|166|170|2.0|1.5|2160|2025|
|incoegroup|||||||||
|Low|3003|6499|7784|8172|2.7|1.4|2039|2060|
|Lower-middle<br>|77m|1694|1973|<br>2043|2.6|1.6|2038|20<5|
|Upper-middle|323<br>|684<br>|805|28|2.6|1.4|2042<br>|20J|
|_High_<br>|814<br>|956|966<br>|978<br>|1.2<br>|1.1|**(a)**|2045|
|Nonreportingnoeaweer|367|485|507|516|1.4|1.2|<br>**(a)**|2030|

Note: Incn groups **are** defined In Box 6. World Bank reions and country departments **are** definrd In Box 5. **(a) Population** will not double with projected rates.
INTrooucToN xLv T **lt** 10 Peputltion Projections for Alt Countries **and** Econoies, 1985-2025 (thousands)

|**Country**<br>or econy|1965|1990|1995|2000|2005|<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|WorLd|4,842,303|5,281,929|5,735,527|6,191,710|6,651,503|7,109,156|7,567,055|8,026,087|8,479,143|
|**Africa**|555,811|646,073|748,173|864,598|994,593|1,135,176|1,284,856|1,441,089|1,602,864|
|East Africa<br>|230,286<br>|268,723<br>|312,978<br>|364,079<br>|421,409<br>|484,228|552,294<br>|624,722<br>|701,369|
|gotawan<br>|1,070<br>|1,254<br>|1,41<br>|1,615<br>|1,799<br>|1,984<br> <br>|<br>2,157<br>|2,324<br>|2,489<br>|
|Burundi<br>|4,696<br>|5,461<br>|6,363<br>|7,431<br>|8,605<br>|<br>9,921<br>|11,392<br>|12,986<br>|14,635<br>|
|Comoros<br>Djibouti<br>|395<br>354<br>|477<br>428<br>|565<br>502|665<br>585|778<br>678|905<br>778|1,045<br>885|1,191<br>**995**|1,338<br>1,106|
|Ethiopia<br>|43,350<br>|50,461<br>|59,113<br>|70,132<br>|83,010<br>|97,912|115,037|134,467|156,060|
|**Kenya**<br>|20,096<br>|24,133<br>|28,599<br>|33,679<br>|39,344<br>|45,274<br>|51,090<br>|56,364<br>|61,810|
|Lesotho<br>Madaascar|1,545<br>9985|1,771<br>11503|2,016<br>13098|2,278<br>|2,561<br> <br>16762|2,857<br>17|3,154<br>|3,us<br>|3,720<br>|
|g<br>malawi|,<br>7,188|,<br>8,504|,<br>10,126|14,850<br>12,070|<br>,<br>14251|8,68<br>16741|20,763<br>19606|22,680<br>22871|24,475<br>26498|
|Mauritius<br>|<br>1,020<br>|<br>1,074<br>|<br>1,119<br>|<br> <br>1,162<br>|,<br> <br>1,206<br>|,<br>1,249|,<br>1,289|,<br>1,323|,<br>1,353|
|Mozmabique<br>ii|13,791<br>|15,788<br>|18,398<br>|21,367<br>|24,M<br>|28,475<br>|<br>32,509<br>|36,854<br>|41,401<br>|
|MNmba<br>Rdunion<br>|1,143<br>547<br>|1,342<br>593<br>|1,554<br>639<br>|1,792<br>683<br>|2,057<br> <br>727<br>|2,340<br> <br>769<br>|2,628<br>**8O**|2,906<br>846<br>|3,163<br>882<br>|
|R,'nda<br>|6,026<br>|7,146<br>|8,662|10,337|12,242|14,43|17.017|<br>19,967|23,231|
|Seychelles<br>|66<br>|69<br>|73<br>|77<br>|<br>8l<br> <br>|85<br>|89<br>|94<br>|99<br>|
|Sot fa|5,384|6,284|7,286|8,510|<br>9,880|11,403|13,088|14,929|16,892|
|South Africa<br>|31,569<br>|35,921<br>|40,353<br>|**44,837**|49,293<br>|53,615<br>|<br>57,769<br>|<br> <br>61,567|65,247|
|Swaziland<br>Tanzania|664<br>21161|789<br>24869|923<br>29362|1,077<br>34794|<br>1,252<br>40859|1,443<br>47640|1,641<br>55233|1,837<br>63649|2,027<br>|
|<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|s|,<br>|72,m|
|Uganda<br>**Zaire**|14,680<br>30398|17,358<br>35565|20,663<br>41133|24,390<br>47497|28,627<br>54788|33,420<br>|**38,829**<br> <br>|<br>44,793<br>|51,148<br>|
|<br>_Zbia_<br>|,<br>6,753<br>|,<br>8,126<br>|,<br>9,666<br>|,<br>11,451<br>|,<br> <br>13,546<br>|62,581<br>15,885<br>|<br>70,740<br> <br>18,464<br> <br>|79,047<br>21,235<br>|87,235<br>24,131<br>|
|Zimsabwe|8,406|9,809|11.325|12,800|14,294|15,739|<br>17,060|18,351|19,655|
|West Africa|202,094|236,516|274,997|320,053|371,842|428,579|489,539|553,630|619,428|
|Angola<br>Benin|8,754<br>|10,011<br>|<br>11,545<br>|13,505<br>|15,755<br>|18,213<br> <br>|20,921<br>|23,906<br>|27,142<br>|
|<br>|4,043|4,741|5,486|6,318|7,248|<br>8,253|9,294|10,323|11,325|
|Burkina**Faso**<br>C|7,888<br>|9,024<br>|10,393<br>|12,062<br>|13,907<br>|15,949<br>|18,191<br>|<br>20,618<br>|23,164<br>|
|amroon|10,166|11,941|13,911|16,282|19,159|22,382|25,878|29,568|33,382|
|Cap Verde<br> <br>|334<br>|378<br>|436<br>|496<br>|557<br>|<br>617<br>|<br>680<br>|<br>746<br>|808<br>|
|**CentraL**<br>Africwn Rep.|2,646|3,036|3,451|3,925|4,462|5,022|5,602|6,195|6,783|
|Chad<br>|5,018<br>|5,679<br>|6,456<br>|7,414<br>|<br>8,487<br>|<br> <br>9,643<br>|<br>10,894<br>|<br>12,233|13,627|
|Congo,**Peoples**Rep. of the|1,938|2,277|2,674|3,159|3,750|4,409|5139|5941|6806|
|C6te d'Ivoire<br>|9,933<br>|<br>12,233<br>|<br>14,715<br>|<br>17,561|<br>20,842|<br>24,49|,<br>28,516|,<br>32,882|,<br>37,533|
|Equatoriat**Guine**|315|352|394|443|495|<br>549|605|662|718|
|<br>Gabon<br>|997|1,135|1,295|<br>1,487|<br>1,721|<br> <br> <br>1,975|<br>2,257|<br>2,568|2,904|
|**Gambia,**<br>The<br>|748<br>|875<br>|1,012<br>|1,166<br>|1,344<br> <br>|1,539<br>|1,753<br>|1,987<br>|2,240<br>|
|Ghana|12,620|14,870|17,258|19,899|<br>22,804|25,920|29,156|32,373|35,528|
|**Guine**<br>|4,987<br>|5,697<br>|6,456<br>|7,340<br>|8,413<br>|9,596<br>|10,909<br>|12,349<br>|13,895<br>|
|Guinea-Bissau|**U86**|981|1,088|1,217|1,371|1,536|1,712|1898|2091|
|Liberia<br>|2,199<br>|2,543<br>|<br>2,920<br>|<br>3,345<br>|<br>3,823<br>|<br>4,337<br>|<br>4,870<br>|,<br>5,398<br>|,<br>5,912|
|Mali|7,389|8,461|9,m|11,427|13,339|15,527|18008|20785|23827|
|Mauritania|1766|<br>2003|<br>2286|<br>2638|<br>3074|<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|
|<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,|,|,|3,553|4,084|4,671|5,311|
|Niger|6593|7704|9014|10649|12715|15051|17707|<br>20736|24176|
|<br>Nigeria<br>|,<br>9,669|,<br>117,229|,<br>136,619|,<br>158,971|,<br>184,492|,<br>212,261|,<br>241,605|<br>,<br>271,713|,<br>301,660|
|SaGTomi**ad**Principe|108|124|141|159|178|<br>197|217|235|252|
|<br>Senegal|<br>6,395|<br>7,433|<br>8,693|<br>10,229|<br>11,930|<br> <br>13,809|<br> <br>15,881|<br>18,143|20538|
|Sierra**Leone**|3657|4145|<br>469|<br>5372|<br>6196|<br>7093|<br> <br>8074|<br>9144|,<br>10297|
|<br>**Togo**|,<br>3,038|,<br>3,638|,<br>4,275|,<br>4,982|,<br>5,771|,<br>6,641|,<br>7,578|,<br>8544|,<br>9498|
|Other**West**Africa (a)|7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>|<br>|,<br>|,<br> <br>|
|||||||10|10|11|<br>11|
|North<br>Africa<br>|123,430|140,834<br>|160,198|180,466|201,342|222,369|243,023|262,737|282,067|
|**Algeric**|21,848|25,174|29,183|33359|37463|41462|45244|48732|<br>52171|
|<br>Egypt, Arab Rep. of<br>Libya|<br>46,497<br>3786|<br>52,621<br>4546|<br>59,011<br>5450|,<br>65,664<br>6492|,<br>72,588<br>7693|,<br> <br>79,449<br>9052|,<br>85,898<br>10570|,<br>91,648<br>12236|<br>,<br>97,139<br>14026|
|<br>Morocco|,<br>22,061|,<br>25,076|,<br>28,430|,<br>3,784|,<br>35,015|,<br>38,198|,<br>41,267|,<br>44,140|,<br>46,949|
XLM bWYOSCIION

**TIe 16 (Centiruml)**

|**Country**or***eonmo**<br>sudn<br>**Tunisia**<br>Other NorthAfrica (a)|195<br>21,622<br>7,261<br>15S|<br>1990<br>25,065<br> <br>8,174<br> <br>179|<br>595<br> 28,749<br> <br>9,169<br> <br>207|<br>2000<br>32,J25<br> <br>10,10<br> <br>237|<br>2005<br>37,345<br>6 10,967<br> <br>270|<br>2010<br>42,166<br>11,73<br> <br>307|<br>201S<br>47,194<br>7 12,504<br> <br>347|<br>202<br>52,267<br>13,30<br> <br>389|0<br>2025<br>57,255<br>5 14,097<br> <br>431|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|America|66,055|723,006|777,56|1 629,07|9 877,909|92S,09|2 971,77|6<br>1,016,69|4<br>1,057,762|
|Latin**An ric**<br>**and**Caribben<br> <br>|<br>400,015<br>|442,670<br>|46,651<br> <br>|527,03<br> <br>|0 5S6,011<br> <br>|604,10<br>|3 642,22<br> <br>|5 679,39<br> <br>|9 714,215<br> <br>|
|Antiguwnd<br>5rbuda<br>|76|79|<br>**65**|<br>91|<br>96|104|<br>110|<br>11|<br>119|
|Argntina<br> <br>|30,331<br>|32,293<br> <br>|34,096<br> <br>|35,62<br> <br>|0 37,444<br> <br>|39,09<br> <br>|5 40,726<br> <br>|42,29<br> <br>|6 43,76'<br> <br>|
|Oams<br>The<br>**Berbedos**|232<br>253|<br>249<br> <br>**256**|<br>267<br> <br>260|<br>267<br> <br>262|<br>307<br> <br>26S|<br>326<br> <br>26|<br>342<br> <br>272|<br>35<br> <br>27|<br>372<br> <br>280|
|<br>**Sell:e**|<br>166|<br> <br> <br>169|<br> <br> <br>217|<br> <br> <br>247|<br> <br> <br>_277_|<br> <br>305|<br> <br> <br>331|<br> <br> <br>356|<br><br> <br>382|
|Bolivit|6,371|<br>7.310|<br>8,371|<br>9,510|<br>10,731|12,00|7 13,300|14,57|0 1S,771|
|iraglt<br>Chilt|135,56<br>12.121|4 150,197<br>13,166|164,60<br>14,11|9 177,93<br>6 14,94|2 190,067<br>6 15,733|201,95<br>16,S3|1 214,01<br>9 17,355|7 225.66<br>16,13|2 236,353<br>1 16,631|
|Colobla|29,879|32,607|35,667|36,152|40,6S0|43,26|6 45,M5|<br>46,27|8 50,469|
|<br>Costs tica<br>Cubs|<br>2,489<br>10090|<br> <br>2,807<br>10637|<br> <br>3,106<br>1120|<br> <br>3,377<br>1171|<br> <br>3,623<br>12190|<br> <br>3,867<br>1258|<br> <br>4.117<br>6 1295|<br> <br> <br>4.36<br>1330|<br>0<br>4,583<br>9 13629|
|<br>Dominic.|,<br>**sO**|,<br>82|,<br> <br>**67**|,<br> <br>91|,<br> <br>96|,<br> <br>102|,<br> <br>106|,<br> <br>113|,<br> <br>116|
|Dominican Rep.<br>|6,416<br>|<br>7,140<br>|<br>7,641<br>|<br>6,506<br>|<br>9.139<br>|<br>9,716<br>|<br>10,291<br>|10, 79<br>|<br>11,454<br>|
|**Ecumdor**|9,317|10,550|11,65|13,13|14,403|1S,60|5 16,69|17,76|1 16,613|
|El Salvador<br>|4,767<br>|<br>5,256<br> <br>|<br>5,623<br> <br>|<br>6,465<br> <br>|<br>7.206<br> <br>|<br>7,932<br> <br>|<br>6, 44<br> <br>|<br>9,33<br> <br>|6 10,003<br> <br>|
|Greneda<br>edetlowe|94<br>333|<br>94<br> <br>341|<br>97<br> <br>349|<br>103<br> <br>359|<br>110<br> <br>370|<br>117<br> <br>3J2|<br>125<br> <br>398|<br>133<br> <br>413|<br>141<br> <br>427|
|<br>OGatemta|<br>7.963|<br> <br> <br>9,214|<br> <br> <br>10,59|<br> <br>5 12,11|<br> <br>4 13,770|<br> <br>15,50|<br> <br>5 17,245|<br> <br>18,97|<br><br>4 20,642|
|_<br>-Gyano<br>|790<br>|<br> <br>795<br> <br>|<br> <br> <br>**6O0**<br> <br>|<br> <br>823<br> <br>|<br> <br>647<br> <br>|<br>**U**<br> <br>|<br>935<br> <br>|<br> <br>981<br> <br>|<br> <br>1,023<br> <br>|
|Haiti|S,922|<br>6,462|<br>7,155|<br>7,641|<br>8,536|<br>9,209|<br>9,869|<br>10,512|<br>11,11s|
|Norduror<br>Jamaica|4,363<br>2,311|<br>5,119<br> <br>2,413|<br>5,938<br> <br>2,488|<br>6,623<br> <br>2,549|<br>7,744<br> <br>2,625|<br>8,658<br> <br>2,715|<br>9,557<br> <br>2,814|<br>10,415<br> <br>2,919|<br>11,204<br> <br>3,034|
|<br>Martinique|<br>331|<br> <br> <br>333|<br> <br>338|<br> <br> <br>344|<br> <br> <br>350|<br> <br>357|<br> <br> <br>366|<br> <br> <br>376|<br><br> <br>386|
|Mexico<br>|78,524<br>|<br>87,290<br>|<br>96,388<br>|105,011<br>|112,722<br>|120,138<br>|127,677<br>|135,164<br>|142,327<br> <br>|
|mntsorrat<br>Notherlands Antilles<br>|12<br>182<br>|12<br> <br>13<br> <br>|12<br>190<br> <br>|12<br> <br>200<br> <br>|12<br> <br>212<br> <br>|13<br>224<br>|14<br> <br>235<br> <br>|14<br> <br>246<br> <br>|<br>1S<br> <br>256<br> <br>|
|Nicargua|3,272|<br>3,853|<br>4,475|<br>5,148|<br>5,86|6,599|<br>7,320|<br>6,000|<br>8,618|
|<br>Panam|<br>2,160<br>|<br> <br>2,416<br>|<br>2,634<br>|<br>2,26|3,012|<br>3,205|<br>3,396|<br>3,578|<br>3,745|
|**_Poraguy_**|3,693|4,280|4,905|5,539|<br>6,179|6,823|<br>7,459|<br>8,066|<br>8,618|
|<br>P|<br>19383|<br> <br>21631|<br> <br>24056|<br> <br>26433|<br> <br> <br>28699|<br> <br>30724|<br> <br> <br>32681|<br> <br> <br>34634|<br><br> <br>36512|
|eru<br>St. Kitts nd Nevis|,<br>43|<br>,<br>40|<br>,<br>37|<br>,<br>35|<br>,<br>34|<br>,<br>34|<br>,<br>35|<br>,<br>37|<br>,<br> <br>39|
|<br>St. Lucia<br>St. Vincent**ndthe**Grenadin|<br>137<br>es<br>109|<br> <br>150<br> <br>115|<br> <br>162<br> <br>121|<br> <br>176<br> <br>127|<br> <br>190<br> <br>134|<br>202<br>142|<br> <br>215<br> <br>151|<br> <br>228<br> <br>159|<br><br> <br>241<br> <br>167|
|<br>Surin<br>_am_|<br> <br>398|<br> <br> <br>445|<br> <br>495|<br> <br>543|<br> <br> <br>586|<br>626|<br> <br> <br>667|<br> <br> <br>709|<br><br> <br>751|
|Trinidad**wnd**Tobago|1,178<br>|<br>1,287<br> <br>|<br>1,381<br> <br>|<br>1,461<br> <br>|<br>1,533<br> <br>|<br>1,607<br>|<br>1,689<br> <br>|<br>1,772<br>|<br>1,849<br> <br>|
|Uruguay|3,008|<br>3,099|<br>3,193|<br>3,290|<br>3,396|3,500|<br>3,597|3,686|<br>3,778|
|Venezuela<br>Virgin lslands (U.S.)|17,317<br>107|<br>19,737<br> <br>106|<br>22,107<br> <br>105|<br>24,356<br> <br>107|<br>26,454<br> <br>109|<br>28,364<br>113|<br>30,238<br> <br>117|<br>32,121<br> <br>122|<br>33,926<br> <br>126|
|<br>Other Latin America (a)|194|<br>214|234|<br>253|<br>270|287|<br>303|<br>318|<br>332|
|Northern America|266,039|260,336|291,730|302,049|311,898|320,989|329,551|337,295|343,547|
|Canada<br> <br>|25,359<br>|<br>26,658<br>|<br>27,850<br>|<br>28,878<br>|<br>29,818<br>|<br>30,648<br>|<br>31,376<br>|<br>31,993<br>|<br>32,457<br>|
|United**S$stoo**<br>of America<br>P Ri|239,263<br>3282|250,181<br>3376|260,313<br> <br>3441|269,550<br> <br>3491|278,39S<br> <br>3550|286,588<br>3615|294,351<br> <br>3683|301,407<br> <br>3751|307,124<br> <br>3820|
|uerto co<br>Other Northern America**(a)**|,<br>115|,<br> <br>121|<br>,<br>126|<br>,<br> <br>131|<br>,<br> <br>135|,<br>138|<br>,<br> <br>141|<br>,<br> <br>144|<br>,<br> <br>146|
|**Asia**|2,624,765|3,099,483|3,37,725|3,668,496|3,912,188 4|,166,876|4,415,473|4,661,808|4,901,771|
|**ast end**Southeast Asia|1651840|1780635|910874|2033654|2145133 2|246473|2343843|2439353|2,530,533|
|<br>rurwi|,,<br>219|,, <br>256|,,<br>294|,, <br>330|,,<br>361|,,<br>386|,,<br>408|,,<br> <br>430|<br> <br>451|
|hi (ldi Ti)|1044584|121980|201556|1275464|1341017|399864|1456442|151242|1566159|
|na excung awon<br>Taiwan, China<br>K|,,<br>19,135<br>5456|,,<br> <br>20,313<br>5779|,,<br> <br>21,230<br> <br>6069|,,<br> <br>22,065<br> <br>6313|,,<br> <br>22,918<br> <br>6523|,,<br> <br>23,743<br>6698|,,<br> <br>24,495<br> <br>6846|,,<br> <br>25,142<br> <br>6967|,,<br> <br>25,708<br>7062|
|ong ong<br>ndono**ia**|,<br>164,630|,<br>181,580|<br>,<br>197,878|<br>,<br>213,456|<br>,<br>227,756|,<br>241,568|<br>,<br>255,492|<br>,<br>269,086|,<br> 281,910|
INThOOUCflON XLVN

|Contry or eon_|1905|<br>1990|<br>199f|2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Jan<br>_KIAuhe_<br>D"|120,754<br>7284|123,504<br>8243|<br>126,112<br>9156|128J723<br>9893|130,776<br>12|<br>131,888<br> <br>|<br>132,024<br>|<br>131,543<br> <br>|<br>130,795<br> <br>|
|_,_<br>.<br>'|,<br>|,<br>"|,<br>|,<br>|0,59<br>|<br>tl,,77?<br> <br>|11,832<br> <br>|<br>12,50<br> <br>|<br>13,132<br>|
|Kom, DO. Peoples Rap. of<br>Kor"<br>Re of|19,886<br>40806|21,2<br>42790|23,067<br>44770|24,806<br>46720|26,632<br>|<br>28,396<br>|<br>29,989<br> <br>|<br>31,408<br> <br>|<br>32,716<br> <br>|
|,<br>p.<br>Laoopla's Dem.top.|.<br>3594|,<br>4186|,<br>4831|,<br>5532|_4,544_<br>6304|50,107<br> <br>7144|<br>51,417<br>8044|<br>52,543<br> <br>8963|<br>53,561<br> <br>9849|
|<br>Mbeso|,<br>392<br>|,<br>465<br>|,<br>513<br>|,<br>547<br>|,<br>568|<br>,<br> <br>5S8|,<br> <br>608|<br>,<br> <br>628|<br>,<br> <br>645|
|Malats<br>|15,682<br>|17,783<br>|19,959<br> <br>|21,93<br>|23,75<br>|525,392<br>|<br>27,045<br>|<br>28,761<br> <br>|<br>30,421<br> <br>|
|Mongolil|1,909|2,186|<br>2,497|2,817|3,134|3,439|3,728|<br>3,993|<br>4,255|
|qyur|37544|41609|46075|<br>50377|<br>54353|<br> <br>57863|<br> <br>61339|<br> <br> <br>64946|<br><br> <br>68523|
|<br>Philippine<br>SIMOWM|,<br>51,619<br>Z558|,<br>62,609<br>2722|,<br>68,865<br>2871|,<br>74,894<br> <br>2992|,<br>80,753<br>3099|<br>,<br> 86,259<br> <br>3196|<br>,<br> <br>91,727<br>3287|<br>,<br> <br>97,214<br> <br>3370|<br>,<br> <br>102,507<br> <br>3438|
|<br>Tha{I tww51,683<br>|,|,<br>55,801|,<br>59,765|<br>,<br>63,802|,<br> 67,994|<br>.<br> <br>72,065|,<br> 75,851|<br>,<br> <br>79,336|<br>,<br> <br>82,584|
|VietNan|59,903|67,389|75,348|82,967|90,116|<br>96,677|<br>103,269|<br> <br> <br>110,095|<br><br> <br>116,817|
|Suth Asia<br>|1,058,207<br>|1,186,526<br>|1,314,996<br>|1,442,164<br>|1,572,428<br>|1,70,006<br>|1,830,214<br>|1,956,044<br>|2,079,666|
|Afonistan|18,087|20,369|23,270|26,699|30,834|35,334|40242|<br>45615|<br>51439|
|bnladeh<br>|<br>100,593<br>|<br>113,134|<br>125,869|<br>138,736|<br>152,071|<br>165,185|,<br>177,388|<br>,<br>188,321|<br>,<br>199,061|
|8hJtan|1286|1434|1616|1826|2039|2255|2478|2704|2933|
|Idi|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|
|no<br>Iran_Ilsmic_<br>Rep.of|765,147<br>44212|849,651<br>51940|930,639<br>60690|,0071,22<br>70192|1,082,479<br>80529|1,154,841<br>91767|1,221,692<br>103849|1,286,806<br>116440|1,350,430<br>129021|
|, <br> <br>Neldives|,<br>183|,<br>217|,<br>256|,<br>299|,<br>346|,<br>**395**|,<br>u|,<br>499|,<br> <br>551|
|Nepa<br>|16,682<br>|19,102<br>|21,562<br>|24,119<br>|26,799<br>|**29,5S39**<br>|<br>32,216<br>|34,824<br>|37,272<br>|
|Pakistan<br>SriLunkr|6,l180<br>15837|113,725<br>16956|133,170<br>17923|154,317<br>18854|177,476<br>19857|202,815<br>20876|230,058<br>21845|258,104<br>22732|285,410<br>2349|
||,|,|,|,|,|,|,|,|,5|
|Southwest**Asia**<br>|114,718<br>|132,319<br>|151,856|172,678<br>|194,627|217,395|241,416|266,411|291,571|
|Bahrain|425|502|576|643|703|<br>760|816|865|<br>910|
|cypu|666|701|<br>730|<br>737|<br> <br>784|<br> <br>812|<br>|<br>|<br><br>|
|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br> <br>||840|865|**886**|
|**Gaza**Strip|490|556|64|736|u47|975|<br>111?|1269|1423|
|<br>Iraq<br>|15,896<br>|<br>18,914<br>|22,374|<br>26,234<br>|<br>30,485|<br>35,027|<br>,<br>39,724|,<br>44,392|,<br>48,978|
|Ilrael<br>Jordan(Eat onlt)|4,233<br>2642|4,653<br>3158|5,057<br>3792|5,448<br>|5,816<br> <br>|6,171<br> <br>|<br>6,525<br>|6,863<br>|7,172<br>|
|y<br>|,|,|,|4,505|<br>5,282|<br>6,109|6,965|7,889|8,783|
|Kualt|1712|2081|2414|2728|3017|3261|3469|3664|3841|
|L|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|
|enon<br>Oan|2,668<br>1242|2,681<br>1554|2,806<br>1891|2,982<br>2257|3,209<br>2662|3,415<br>3127|3,627<br>3644|3,857<br>4193|4,089<br>4752|
|<br>**Qatar**<br>|,<br>**355**|,<br>453|,<br>532|,<br>604|,<br>668|,<br>736|,<br>801|,<br> <br>863|,<br> <br>919|
|Sadi Arabia<br>|11,595<br>|14,127<br>|17,028<br>|20,320<br>|24,030<br>|28,095<br>|32,523<br>|37,210<br>|<br>42,011<br>|
|Syrian Arab Rep.<br>|10,458|12,538|15,019|17,857|21,075|24,624|28,443|32,410|36,350|
|Turkey<br>|50,310<br>|56,190<br>|62,141<br>|<br>67,810<br>|<br>n,963<br>|<br>77,504<br>|<br> <br>81,963<br>|<br>u6,522<br>|<br>90,931<br>|
|United ArabEmirates<br>Wt**5k**|1,349<br>864|1,591<br>1033|1,791<br>1238|1,978<br>1469|2,151<br>1719|2,316<br>|2,459<br>|2,570<br>|2,666<br>|
|es**an**<br>|<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|1,987<br>|2,270<br>|2,560<br>|2,347<br>|
|YemenArabtsp.|7661|9083|10908|12989|15373|18112|21294|24934|<br>28973|
|<br>Yemen,PeopLe'sDm.Rep. of|,<br>2,150|,<br>2,505|,<br>2,917|,<br>3,361|,<br>3,843|,<br>4,362|,<br>4,915|,<br>5,484|<br>,<br>6,042|
|Europe**nd**U.S.S.R.|769,038|786,717|803,251|818,717|834,101|47,592|859,005|869,232|<br>878,243|
|Albanis<br>Austria|2,962<br>7555|3,261<br> <br>7600|3,558<br>7635|3,832<br>7643|<br>4,080<br>7664|4,322<br>7649|4,566<br>7623|4,804<br>7591|5,025<br>7544|
|<br>|,<br>|<br>,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,<br>|,|,<br>|
|Selgfus<br>buLaria|9,858<br>8941|9,699<br>8636|9,%28<br>8490|9,931<br>8442|9,940<br>8461|9,931<br>|9,901<br> <br>8436|9,867<br>8418|<br>9,832<br>41|
|g<br>Chant**Istands**|,<br>134|,<br>**138**|,<br>141|,<br> <br>142|,<br> <br>143|8,455<br> <br>143|<br>,<br> <br>144|,<br> <br>144|8,8<br> <br>144|
|<br>**Czechoslowvkia**|<br>15500|<br>15635|<br>15807|<br> <br>11|<br> <br>|<br> <br>|<br> <br>|<br> <br>|<br><br> <br>|
|<br>Denrmrk|,<br>5114|,<br>5134|,<br>5148|6,09<br> <br>5155|16,420<br>5150|16,723<br>5137|16,997<br>5119|17,257<br> <br>510|<br>17,523<br> <br>5077|
|<br>Finland<br>**France**|,<br>4,908<br>55170|,<br>4,998<br>56371|,<br>5,064<br>57644|<br>,<br>5,107<br>58839|,<br>5,145<br>59917|,<br>5,173<br>60810|,<br> <br>5,193<br>61495|<br>,<br>5,203<br>62109|<br>,<br>5,199<br>62672|
|<br>German Oem.top.<br> <br>|,<br>16,644|,<br>15,996|,<br>15,761|,<br>15,615|,<br>15,654|,<br> <br>15,672|,<br> <br>15,670|,<br> <br>15635|,<br> <br>15568|
|<br>**Germany,**<br>Fed. Rep. of<br>**G**|<br>61,024<br>|<br>61,533<br>|<br>61,658<br>|<br>61,440<br>|<br>60,921<br>|<br> <br>60,260<br>|<br> <br>59,487<br>|<br>,<br>58,720<br>|<br>,<br>57,921<br>|
|**rece**|9,934|10,080|10,212|10,317|10,414|10,470|10,467|10,424|10,373|
|higry<br>Iceland|10,657<br>241|10,520<br>255|10,408<br>269|10,365<br>282|<br>10,340<br>294|<br>10,309<br>305|<br>10,271<br>316|<br>10,238<br> <br>326|10,214<br> <br>335|
|Ireland|3,540|3,536|3,563|<br>3,646|<br>3,779|<br>3,927|<br>4,064|<br> <br>4,191|<br><br>4,313|
**Tote 10 (contifnud)**

|Caoutry or**econ**|195|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Itoly<br>Lux u ourg<br>Nolte<br>**Netherlands**<br>Norway<br>Polan<br>Portugal<br>Rommnis<br>**Spin**<br>Sweden<br>witzertlad<br>**United**lUngdm<br>Yugoslvi<br>Other Europe**(C)**<br>U.S.S.R.|57,141<br>367<br>344<br>14,492<br>4,153<br>37,203<br>10,157<br>22,725<br>38,505<br>8,350<br>6,472<br>56,618<br>23,123<br>260<br>276,946|57,651<br> <br>382<br> <br>350<br>14,899<br>4,235<br>38,257<br>10,374<br> <br>23,255<br>39,319<br>8,536<br>6,643<br>57,441<br>23,856<br>271<br>287,657|<br>57,981<br>394<br>358<br>15,279<br>4,321<br>39,119<br> <br>10,602<br>23,868<br>40,144<br>8,703<br>6,792<br>58,240<br>24,609<br>282<br>297,273|<br>58,072<br>404<br>36?<br>15,572<br>4,397<br>39,93<br>10,813<br>24,511<br>40,903<br> <br>8,836<br>6,892<br>58,847<br>25,358<br>293<br>306,613|<br>57,95<br>411<br>377<br> <br>15,752<br>4,463<br>40,997<br>11,012<br>25,122<br>41,564<br>8,921<br>6,950<br>59,335<br>26,100<br>303<br>316,478|57,666<br>416<br> <br>386<br>15,856<br>4,516<br> <br>4199<br>11,150<br>25,613<br>42,016<br>8,963<br>C,962<br>59,746<br>26,706<br>313<br>325,999|57,023<br>418<br>39<br>15,916<br>4,570<br>42,924<br> <br>11,241<br>26,070<br>42,278<br>9,022<br>6,965<br> <br>60,168<br>27,182<br>322<br>334,762|56,266<br>419<br>402<br>15,959<br>4,627<br>43,762<br>11,309<br>26,557<br>42,465<br>9,094<br>6,962<br>60,647<br>27,571<br>331<br>342,835|55,511<br>419<br>407<br> <br>15,973<br>4,679<br>44,546<br>11,375<br>27,070<br>42,669<br>9,154<br>6,944<br>61,099<br>27,933<br>338<br>349,966|
|Ocenia|24,634|26,651|28,797|30,819|32,711|34,420|35,945|37,264|38,502|
|Australia<br>Fed.StatesofNicronesia<br>Fiji<br>French Polynesia<br>Gum<br>Kiribti<br>New CaLedonfa<br>NewZealand<br>Papu**New**Guirne<br>Solomn lstlds<br>Tongp|15,758<br>91<br>700<br>171<br>123<br>64<br>152<br>3,290<br>3,460<br>274<br>95|17,010<br>105<br>752<br>197<br>136<br>70<br>162<br>3,394<br>3,904<br>324<br> <br>99|18,327<br>121<br>795<br>226<br>146<br>77<br>1n<br>3,509<br>4,376<br>386<br>105|19,506<br>138<br>89<br>255<br>156<br>84<br>181<br>3,625<br>4,855<br>458<br>112|20,551<br>156<br>861<br>281<br>167<br>91<br>191<br>3,734<br>5,337<br>537<br>118|21,434<br>172<br>896<br>302<br>177<br>98<br>202<br> <br>3,830<br> <br>5,0s5<br> <br>623<br>124|22,158<br>187<br>935<br>322<br>la8<br>104<br>213<br> <br>3,919<br> <br>6,251<br>713<br>130|22,715<br>201<br>975<br>342<br> <br>195<br>1II<br>223<br>4,004<br>6,662<br>806<br>138|23,198<br>216<br>1,013<br>362<br>203<br>117<br>232<br>4,081<br>7,079<br>898<br>147|
|Vanuatu<br>|136|156|182|210|240|271|302|332|361|
|Western<br>Samom<br> <br>|157<br>|<br>160|171|184|200|217|235|252|268|
|Oh Mii<br>|85|97||122|1|||||
|ter croresa<br>**a**|||110||35|147|157|168|179|
|<br>Other Polyesia**(a)**|8O|85|94|103|114|<br>123|131|140|149|

a. For a Listing of countries in the mother" categories, see Toble 11.
lNTRODUCTION XUX

> **Tdle 11 Populatfen** of Comtries **an** Econmies in the "Other" Categories

|Coumtry or<br>*comry|Population<br>1985<br>(thousards)|Country or<br>economy|Population<br>1985<br>(thousands)|Country or<br>economy|Population<br>1985<br>(thousands)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Other WestAfrica<br>St.**Helen**<br>Ascenion<br>Tristan de Cunha<br>Other NorthAfrica<br>Western<br>Sahara<br>Othor Latin Amrica<br>andthoCaribbean<br>Anguilla<br>Arub<br>Sritish<br>VirginIslands<br>CaymanIslands<br>Faikland<br>Islands<br>Fronch Guinaa<br>Turks and CaicosIsland|6.9<br>**5.6**<br>1.0<br>0.3<br>155.0<br>194.0<br>7.0<br>60.0<br> <br>12.0<br>22.0<br>2.0<br>83.0<br>s<br>8.0|OtherNorthern Amrica<br>**Beruida**<br>Greenland<br>St. Pierre and<br>a<br>Mquelon<br>Other Europe<br>Andorra<br>Faeroe<br>Islands<br>Gibraltar<br>HolySee<br>Isle of Man<br>Liechtwntein<br>Monaco<br>San Marino|115.0<br>56.0<br>53.0<br>6.0<br>260.0<br>45.0<br>460<br>29.0<br>1.0<br>63.0<br>27.0<br>27.0<br>22.0|Other micronesia<br>Nauru<br>Johnston Isiand<br>_Marshall_<br>slands<br>Midwayslands<br>NorthernMariana Island<br>Palau,<br>Rep.of<br>WakeIslnd<br>OthorPolynesia<br>America<br>Samo<br>Cook Islands<br>Niue<br>Pitcairn<br>Tokolau<br>Tuvalu<br>Waltis and FutunaIslan|85.0<br>8.0<br>1.0<br>36.0<br>2.0<br>s<br>20.0<br>16.0<br>2.0<br>80.1<br>35.0<br>20.0<br>3.0<br>0.1<br>2.0<br>8.0<br>ds12.0|
L INO0UCf0

**To 1 PopulIation Age** 0-14, **1S-64, d** 65 ***nd Ovor** for Alt Countries and Economies, 1952025 (percent)

|country or *eonWo<br>w*roup|1965|1990|199S|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|World||||||||||
|0-14<br>|33.5|32.4<br>|31.9<br>|31.0<br>|29.6<br>|28.3<br>|27.2<br>|26.3<br>|25.4<br>|
|156s<br>"0.5<br>||61.4<br>|61.6<br>|62.2<br>|63.2<br>|64.3<br>|64.8<br>|64.7<br>|AL.6<br>|
|65+|6.0|6.2|6.5|6.9|7.2|7.5|8.1|9.0|10.0|
|**Africa**||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.3<br>|45.5<br>|45.0<br>|44.2<br>|43.1<br>|41.7<br>|40.0<br>|38.0<br>|36.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|51.6<br>|51.5<br>|52.0<br>|52.8<br>|53.9<br>|55.2<br>|56.8<br>|58.5<br>|60.2<br>|
|65+|3.2|3.1|3.0|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.3|3.5|3.8|
|East Africa||||||||||
|<br>0-14|45.4|46.0|45.9|45.6|4.S|43.1|41.4|39.6|37.7|
|15.64|51.3|51.0|51.2|51.6|52.6<br>|53.9<br>|55.5<br>|57.2<br>|58.8<br>|
|65*<br>Sotwuu|3.3|3.0|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.1|3.2|3.5|
|0-14<br>|48.4<br>|46.8<br>|44.7<br>|39.1<br>|35.2<br>|32.1<br>|29.6<br>|27.4<br>|25.3<br>|
|15 -6<br>|47.8<br>|49.7<br>|52.0<br>|57.6<br>|61.4<br>|64.4<br>|66.2<br>|67.9<br>|69.0<br>|
|65.<br>wd|3.8|3.5|3.3|3.3|3.4|3.5|3.9|4.7|s.7|
|0-14|43.4|46.5|48.5|49.0|47.6|45.8|43.7|41.8|39.6|
|15-4<br>|52.9<br>|50.6<br>|49.1<br>|48.8<br>|50.3<br>|52.2<br>|54.3<br>|S6.0<br>|57.8<br>|
|65*<br>Comoroe|3.7|2.8|2.4|2.2|2.1|2.0|2.0|2.2|2.6|
|0-14<br>|46.1<br>|47.3<br>|47.6<br>|47.0<br>|44.7<br>|43.1<br>|41.7<br>|39.8<br>|37.4<br>|
|15-64|51.0|49.8|49.6|50.3|52.5|54.3|55.4|57.0|59.2|
|65+<br>|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.8|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|
|Dj Iboutl||||||||||
|<br>0-14|45.7|44.7|44.7|44.1|43.4|42.1|40.6|38.9|36.8|
|1S-64<br>|52.0<br>|52.9<br>|52.8<br>|53.2<br>|53.8<br>|55.0<br>|56.2<br>|57.6<br>|59.4<br>|
|65+<br>EthioplI|2.3|2.4|2.6|2.7|2.8|3.0|3.2|3.5|3.8|
|0-14|462|476|475|489|48.5|48U|46.6|45.3|43.7|
|<br>is-64|.<br>49.7|.<br>49.1|.<br>49.6|.<br>48.5|<br>48.9|<br>4P|<br>50.8|<br>52.2|53.8|
|65*<br>**Kenya**|4.1|3.3|2.9|2.7|2.6|2.u|2.6|2.5|2.5|
|0-14|51.2|50.8|49.1|46.5|44.5|42.4|39.4|33.4|31.9|
|IS-64<br>|45.8<br>|46.4<br>|48.2<br>|50.9<br>|53.0<br>|55.2<br>|58.0<br>|61.6<br>|64.7<br>|
|65.|3.1|2.8|2.7|2.6|2.5|2.4|2.6|3.0|3.5|
|<br>Lesotho||||||||||
|0-14<br>|42.7<br>|43.3<br>|43.0<br>|41.5<br>|39.5<br>|37.5<br>|35.4<br>|33.1<br>|30.5<br>|
|15-64|53.6|53.1|53.4|54.9|56.7|58.5|60.4|62.5|64.7|
|65+<br>|3.7|3.7|3.6|3.?|3.8|4.0|4.2|4.4|4.8|
|**Madagascar**||||||||||
|0-14|46.3|46.1|44.7|42.4|40.7|39.2|37.1|34.5|31.6|
|15-64<br>|50.5<br>|50.8<br>|52.2<br>|54.6<br>|56.4<br>|58.1<br>|60.1<br>|62.3<br>|64.7<br>|
|65+|33|32|31|30|29|27|28|32|38|
|<br>maltei|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>|46.0<br>|46.7<br>|48.1<br>|48.8<br>|48.3<br>|47.1<br>|45.6<br>|44.5<br>|43.4<br>|
|15-64|51.4|50.7|49.5|48.8|49.2|50.4|51.8|52.9|54.0|
|<br>65+|<br>2.6|<br>2.5|<br>2.5|<br>2.5|<br>2.5|<br>2.5|<br>2.6|<br>2.6|2.6|
|Witi||||||||||
|wurus<br>0-14|30.6|28.8|25.4|23.1|21.7|21.2|20.7|20.0|19.3|
|<br>15-64|65.8|66.9|69.6|71.1|71.6|70.9|70.0|69.1|67.5|
|65|37|43|50|58|67|79|93|109|132|
|.<br>mozabique|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>|43.7<br>|44.0<br>|44.9<br>|45.0<br>|45.1<br>|43.8<br>|42.2<br>|40.4<br>|38.6<br>|
|15-64<br>|53.1<br>|52.8<br>|52.0<br>|51.9<br>|51.8<br>|53.2<br>|54.7<br>|56.5<br>|58.2<br>|
|65.|3.2|3.2|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.0|3.1|3.1|3.3|
INrnoouTeo u ToUn 12 tcor*nt4im

|Country Or ocono"<br>so<br>group<br>**1905**|**1990**|**199**|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|N_1bis|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.1<br> <br>|45.8<br>|44.8<br>|43.0<br>|40.9<br>|39.3<br>|37.3<br>|34.8<br>|31 .r<br>|
|Is-*4<br>51.6<br>65<br>33|51.1<br>32|52.1<br>32|53.8<br>32|5S.8<br>|57.3<br>|59.0<br>|61.3<br>|63.9<br>|
|+<br>.<br>R ufn1O|.|.|.|3.3|3.4|3.6|4.0|4.4|
|<br>014<br>333|310|289|268|22|236||||
|-<br>.<br> <br>|.<br>|.<br>|.|5.|.|22.5|21.5|20.7|
|15-*4<br>61.9<br> <br>|63.8<br>|6S.4<br>|66.9<br>|67.8<br>|68.7<br>|69.5<br>|69.?<br>|67.8<br>|
|65#<br>4.9<br>1twd|5.3|5.n|6.3|7.0|7.6|8.1|9.2|11.6|
|0-14<br>46.8|4S3.2|49.9|50.2|49.8|47.8|46.4|45.3|44.0|
|15-*4<br>50.4<br> <br>|49.0<br>|47.4<br>|47.2<br>|47.8<br>|50.0<br>|51.6<br>|52.6<br>|53.6<br>|
|6*5<br>2.9|2.9|2.7|2.5|2.4|2.2|2.0|2.2|2.5|
|soyhttlZ|||||||||
|0-14<br>36.7|35.3|33.8|31.8|28.9|26.1|24.4|23.7|23.1|
|15-6*<br>57.0<br> <br>|58.4<br>|60.0<br>|62.0<br>|64.8<br>|67.8<br>|69.7<br>|70.2|69.2|
|65*<br>6.4|6.3|6.2|6.2|6.3|6.1|5.9|6.2|7.7|
|$tf|||||||||
|oe<br>0-14<br>45.5|46.0|46.1|46.2|45.9|45.1|43.5|41.9|40.2|
|15-44<br>51.7<br>|51.1|50.9|50.8|51.2|52.0|53.5|55.1|56.7|
|6SJ<br>2.9<br>Sth Afi|?.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|
|ou rca<br>0-14<br>37.8<br> <br>|38.3<br>|38.1<br>|37.2<br>|34.3<br>|31.7<br>|29.4<br>|27.1<br>|25.3<br>|
|Is5-"<br>58.1|57.8|57.9|58.5|61.0|63.1|64.8|66.2|67.1|
|65+<br>4.1<br>wi^ I<br>n|4.0|4.1|4.3|4.7|5.2|5.8|6.7|7.6|
|<br>0-14<br>48.3<br> <br>|48.5<br>|46.8|44.4|42.7|41.4|39.7|37.2|34.2|
|Is-"4<br>49.2|49.3|1;0.7|53.1|54.6|55.9|57.4|59.6|62.2|
|65<br>2.5<br>Tanzania|<br>2.3|<br>2.5|<br>2.1|<br>2.7|<br>2.7|<br>3.0|<br>3.2|3.6|
|0-14<br>46.5|47.5|48.3|48.6|48.3|47.1|45.3|43.5|41.8|
|15-6<br>504|496|489|489|492|504|521|540|556|
|<br>.<br>65+<br>3.1|.<br>2.9|.<br>2.8|.<br>2.5|.<br>2.6|.<br>2.S|.<br>2.7|.<br>2.5|.<br>2.6|
|0-14<br>47.9|48.7|49.S|49.7|48.7|46.8|4S.2|43.4|41.5|
|15-64<br>49.6<br> <br>|48.9<br>|48.2<br>|48.1<br>|49.3<br>|51.1<br>|52.7<br>|54.3<br>|56.2<br>|
|65+<br>2.5|2.4|2.3|2.2|2.1|2.1|2.1|2.2|2.4|
|Zi|||||||||
|are<br>0B-14<br>46.1|46.1|45.2|44.5|43.4|42.2|40.5|38.1|35.4|
|I5-64<br>51.3|51.3|52.1|52.8|53.8|54.8|56.4|58.6|61.0|
|655*<br>2.5<br>:Zembf|2.6|2.7|2.7|2.8|3.0|3.1|3.3|3.6|
|0-14<br>48.7<br> <br>|49.3<br>|49.5<br>|48.7<br>|47.3<br>|45.9<br>|44.3<br>|42.1<br>|39.7<br>|
|I5-64<br>49.0|48.4|48.3|49.1|50.6|51.9|53.4|55.4|57.6|
|625+<br>2.3<br>ZimW|2.3|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.3|2.4|2.7|
|0-14<br>47.3<br>|45.5|44.5|39.9|36.5|33.0|30.0|27.3|25.4|
|15-64<br>50.2|52.0|52.9|57.3|60.4|63.5|66.0|67.8|68.7|
|65+<br>2.5|<br>2.5|<br>2.6|<br>2.8|<br>3.1|<br>3.5|<br>4.0|<br>4.9|5.9|
|West<br>_Atfrica_|||||||||
|0-14<br>46.7<br> <br>|47.0<br>|46.5<br>|45.8<br>|44.9<br>|43.9<br>|42.2<br>|40.1<br>|37.8<br>|
|15-*4<br>50.5|50.3|50.7|51.4|52.3|53.3|54.9|56.9|59.1|
|65<br>28|28|28|28|2|2||||
|+<br>.<br>Anoto|.|.|.|.8|.8|2.9|3.0|3.2|
|0-14<br>44.6|44.8|44.9|4S.8|46.2|45.6|44.0|42.2|40.6|
|15-64<br>524|522|520|511|507|513|530|547|563|
|<br>.<br>65+<br>3.0|.<br>3.1|.<br>3.1.|.<br>3.1|.<br>3.1|.<br>3.1|.<br>3.1|.<br>3.1|.<br>3.2|
|Bnn0-14<br>46.7<br>lS<br>504|47.6<br>497|46.8<br>505|45.1<br>523|43.2<br>42|41.7<br>|39.8<br>4|37.3<br>|34.5<br>|
|-o<br>.<br>65*<br>2.9|.<br>2.7|.<br>2.7|.<br>2.7|5.<br>2.7|55.6<br>2.7|57.<br>2.8|59.7<br>3.0|62.2<br>3.3|
LII INTROCLICTION T110 I (centtnuOd)

|Counatry orecooww.*pgroup|1985|19|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Burkina<br>F*no||||||||||
|0-14|44.3|45.5|46.0<br>|46.1<br>|45.5<br>|44.4<br>|42.6<br>|40.9<br>|39.0<br>|
|**15-64**<br>|52.5<br>|51.4<br>|51.0<br>|S1.0<br>|51.7<br>|52.7<br>|54.6<br>|56.4<br>|58.3<br>|
|65.<br>Cawroon|3.2|3.1|3.0|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.8|2.8|2.8|
|0-14|45.5|47.3|46.2|45.3|4".8|4.3|43.1|40.8|38.3|
|15-64<br>|50.5<br>|49.0<br>|50.3<br>|51.4<br>|52.1<br>|;".7<br>|53.9<br>|56.0<br>|58.3<br>|
|65+|3.9|3.7|3.5|3.3|3.1|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.4|
|C Vd||||||||||
|ape er<br>0-14|45.2|44.3|44.9|44.2|41.6|37.1|33.4|30.6|28.4|
|<br>15-"4|<br>49.7|<br>51.7|51.5|52.1|54.7|59.8|64.2|66.8|67.8|
|65+<br>Central<br>African<br>tep.|5.2|4.0|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.1|2.5|2.6|3.8|
|0-14|43.1|42.1|42.6|43.0|42.4|41.5|39.7|37.2|34.7|
|15-"4|54.6|54.9|53.8|53.0|53.5|54.5|56.4|59.1|61.7|
|65+<br>**Chad**|2.3|3.0|3.6|4.0|4 1|4.1|3.9|3.7|3.7|
|0-14|41.0|41.9|42.9|43.6|43.5|42.8|41.2|**39.O**|37.7|
|1S-64|55.5|54.5|53.4|52.7|52.7|53.4|55.0|56.6|58.3|
|<br>65+|3.5|3.6|3.7|3.7|3.8|3.8|3.8|3.9|4.0|
|Congo, Peopleos<br>Rep. of the<br>0-14|_46.7_|45.2|45.9|46.3|46.1|45.5|**44.2**|42.2|40.3|
|<br>15-64|51.3<br>|50.9<br>|50.3<br>|50.1<br>|50.6<br>|51.4<br>|53.0<br>|54.9<br>|56.7<br>|
|65.<br>etcd ivolre|4.0|3.9|3.8|3.6|3.3|3.0|2.9|2.8|3.0|
|0-14|48.9|48.9|48.4|47.6|46.7|45.8|_46.6_|42.8|40.7|
|<br>15-l4|<br>48.9|<br>48.8|<br>49.3|<br>50.0|<br>50.9|51.7|53.0|54.6|56.5|
|65+<br>Equatorial<br>Guinwe|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.5|2.6|2.8|
|<br><br>0-14|381|395|408|418|408|395|374|356|336|
|<br>15-64|.<br>57.6|.<br>56.4|.<br>55.0|.<br>53.9|.<br>54.8|.<br>56.1|.<br>58.1|.<br>59.9|.<br>61.6|
|65+|4.3|4.2|4.2|4.2|4.4|4.4|4.5|4.6|4.8|
|o0-14|36.9|39.1|41.4|43.4|43.8|43.5|42.6|40.9|39.4|
|15-64<br>|58.1<br>|5S.0<br>|53.9<br>|51.8<br>|51.6<br>|52.1<br>|53.1<br>|54.8<br>|56.4<br>|
|65o|_5.n_|4.9|4.8|4.7|4.6|4.4|4.3|4.3|4.2|
|GbiTh||||||||||
|ama,e<br>0-14|42.7|43.8|44.3|44.8|_44.9_|44.6|43.6|42.0|40.5|
|<br>15-64|<br>55.0|<br>53.6|<br>53.0|<br>52.3|<br>52.1|<br>52.3|<br>53.1|<br>54.7|56.1|
|65+|2.3|2.5|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.4|
|0-14|46.7|46.8|46.0|44.7|42.8|41.1|39.1|36.7|34.0|
|15-64|50.5|50.3|51.1|52.4|54.3|55.9|57.7|60.0|62.4|
|65+<br>Gui**_rla_**|2.9|:.9|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.4|3.7|
|<br>0-14|40.8|43.0|44.7|45.2|45.0|44.6|43.8|42.2|40.6|
|15-64<br>|55.7<br>|53.5<br>|;1.8<br>|51.4<br>|51.7<br>|52.1<br>|53.0<br>|54.6<br>|56.2<br>|
|65+|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.4|3.3|3.3|3.2|3.2|3.2|
|<br>Guinea- Bisau||||||||||
|0-14|429|435|437|444|444|439|425|403|38.2|
|<br>15-64|.<br>53.6|.<br>53..|.<br>53.3|.<br>52.8|.<br>52.9|.<br>53.4|.<br>54.8|.<br>57.1|59.2|
|65|35|32|31|29|27|27|26|26|27|
|+<br>Liberia|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14<br>|45.1<br>|45.2<br>|44.5<br>|43.2<br>|41.8<br>|40.6<br>|38.8<br>|36.5<br>|33.9<br>|
|15-64|51.7|51.6|52.4|53.7|55.0|56.1|57.8|59.9|62.3|
|<br>65.|<br>3.2|<br>3.2|<br>3.1|<br>3.2|<br>3.2|<br>3.3|<br>3.4|<br>3.6|3.8|
|0-14<br>|46.1<br>04|46.6<br>03|47.1<br>500|47.4<br>499|47.0<br>503|46.1<br>510|44.7<br>526|43.3<br>541|41.8<br>557|
|15-64<br>65+|5.<br>3.5|5.<br>3.2|.<br>2.9|.<br>2.8|.<br>2.8|.<br>2.8|.<br>2.8|.<br>2.6|.<br>2.5|
INTROUCnO UU

**TIe** 12 CGantinUad)

|Couatry or eoOneM,**ag**Browp|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|MAuritania||||||||||
|0-14<br>|43.5<br>|44.3<br>|45.2<br>|46.4<br>|46.6<br>|46.1<br>|44.9<br>|42.9<br>|41.2<br>|
|1S 64<br>|53.2<br>33|52.3<br>34|51.5<br>34|50.3<br>33|50.2<br>32|50.9<br>30|52.2<br>29|54.3<br>28|56.1<br>27|
|65.<br>Niger|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>|46.2<br>|47.2<br>|47.7<br>|48.3<br>|48.)<br>|48.9<br>|48.0<br>|46.3<br>|44.8<br>|
|15*64<br>|51.3<br>|50.2<br>|49.7<br>|49.2<br>|48.6<br>|48.7<br>|49.6<br>|51.3<br>|52.8<br>|
|65.|2.5|2.6|2.6|2.5|2.5|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.5|
|Nigeria||||||||||
|0-14|48.3|48.0|47.0|45.7|44.4|43.2|41.4|39.1|36.4|
|15-64<br>|49.3<br>|49.6<br>|50.5<br>|51.7<br>|52.9<br>|54.1<br>|55.7<br>|58.0<br>|60.4<br>|
|65.<br>_Sio_Ta<br>and Principe|2.4|?.5|2.5|2.6|2.7|2.8|2.8|3.0|3.2|
|<br> <br>0-14|40.7|41.8|41.5|39.5|37.0|35.1|33.1|30.6|27.8|
|15-64<br>|53.7<br>|53.6<br>|53.6<br>|55.7<br>|58.2<br>|59.5<br>|61.3<br>|63.6<br>|65.7<br>|
|65+<br>St|5.6|4.6|4.9|4.9|4.8|5.4|5.7|5.8|6.5|
|0-14|46.5|47.0|47.9|48.4|48.2|46.9|44.7|42.5|40.2|
|15-64<br>|50.7<br>|50.4<br>|49.7<br>|49.4<br>|49.7<br>|51.0<br>|53.2<br>|55.3<br>|57.4<br>|
|65+<br>Sierra Lee|2.9|2.6|2.4|2.2|2.1|2.1|2.1|2.2|2.4|
|0-14<br>|42.5<br>|43.3<br>|43.8<br>|44.3<br>|44.5<br>|44.3<br>|43.4<br>|41.8<br>|40.2<br>|
|15-U|54.6|53.6|53.0|52.4|52.2|52.3|53.2|54.8|56.4|
|65.<br>Tog.|3.0|3.1|3.3|3.3|3.4|3.4|3.4|3.4|3.4|
|0-14<br>|46.9<br>|48.1<br>|48.3<br>|47.2<br>|44.9<br>|43.2<br>|41.4<br>|39.2<br>|36.5<br>|
|15-6<br>65|50.0<br>32|48.9<br>31|48.7<br>30|49.9<br>29|52.2<br>29|53.9<br>30|55.7<br>29|57.9<br>30|60.4<br>31|
|+<br>Other West Africa (a)|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14|35.3|33.2|29.8<br>|28.6<br>|27.0<br>|25.5<br>|24.3<br>|23.2<br>|22.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|55.6<br>|58.1<br>|61.9<br>|63.3<br>|65.2<br>|66.6<br>|67.7<br>|67.9<br>|67.9<br>|
|65+|9.1|8.7|8.3|8.1|7.8|8.0|8.0|9.0|9.9|
|North Africa||||||||||
|0-14<br>|42.6<br>|41.9<br>|40.6<br>|38.6<br>|36.7<br>|34.4<br>|32.1<br>|29.9<br>|27.9<br>|
|15-U|53.8|54.5|55.7|57.5|59.2|61.4|63.3|64.8|65.9|
|65+<br>|3.6|3.6|3.7|3.9|4.1|4.2|4.4|5.3|6.3|
|Algeria||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|43.5|41.9|39.6|37.5|34.1|30.9|28.0|25.7|
|15-64<br>|50.7<br>|53.1<br>|54.7<br>|56.9<br>|58.8<br>|62.1<br>|65.0<br>|67.0<br>|68.4<br>|
|65.|3.7|3.4|3.4|3.6|3.8|3.8|4.2|5.0|5.9|
|Egypt Arab Rep of||||||||||
|, .<br>0-14|40.5|40.5|38.7|35.8|33.6|31.6|29.5|27.1|24.9|
|15-64<br>|55.6<br>|55.5<br>|57.1<br>|59.7<br>|61.6<br>|63.4<br>|64.9<br>|66.2<br>|67.1<br>|
|65+|3.9|4.1|4.3|4.6|4.8|5.0|5.6|6.8|8.0|
|Li bye||||||||||
|0-14|46.4|46.0|46.0|45.7|45.1|43.9|42.7|41.2|39.5|
|15-64|51.3<br>|51.6<br>|51.5<br>|51.7|52.1<br>|52.9<br>|54.0<br>|55.2|56.7|
|65|23|24|25|27|29|31|34|36|38|
|.<br>Morocco|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>|42.2<br>|41.0<br>|39.8<br>|38.0<br>|35.5<br>|32.5<br>|29.9<br>|27.6<br>|25.7<br>|
|15-64|53.9|55.4|56.4|58.2|60.5|63.5|65.8|67.3|68.0|
|65|39|36|38|38|40|40|43|51|63|
|.<br>Sudan|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>|45.0<br>|44.8<br>|44.2<br>|43.6<br>|42.7<br>|41.2<br>|39.4<br>|37.2<br>|34.7<br>|
|15-64|52.2|52.3|52.9|53.4|54.3|55.6|57.3|59.4|61.6|
|<br>65+|<br>2.8|<br>2.9|<br>2.9|<br>3.0|<br>3.1|<br>3.2|<br>3.3|<br>3.5|3.7|
|Tunisis||||||||||
|0-14<br>15-64|39.6<br>565|38.1<br>579|36.8<br>589|34.7<br>607|31.9<br>630|28.3<br>666|25.7<br>690|24.3<br>693|23.7<br>683|
|<br>65.|.<br>3.8|.<br>4.0|.<br>4.3|.<br>4.7|.<br>5.1|.<br>5.0|.<br>5.3|.<br>6.4|.<br>8.0|
UV INT30OC0ot TdAb **1i (cor** ifd)

|Cosntry<br>or ocono,oo<br>group|1965|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|202S|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Other north Afriec tca||||||||||
|0-14|43.0|43.9|44.9|45.6|44.3<br>|42.4<br>|40.7<br>|39.0<br>|36.9<br>|
|15-64|53.2|52.2<br>|51.6<br>|51.0<br>|52.4<br>|54.5<br>|56.1<br>|57.7<br>|59.6<br>|
|65.|3.9|3.9|3.6|3.4|3.3|3.1|3.1|3.3|3.4|
|Amnrica||||||||||
|0-14<br>|31.3<br>|30.4<br>|29.3<br>2|27.6<br>645|25.7<br>661|24.0<br>671|23.0<br>670|22.3<br>662|21.6<br>652|
|15-64|61.4|62.1|6.9<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|65+|7.4|7.5|7.7|7.9|8.3|8.9|10.0|11.5|13.3|
|Latin<br>Aerica nd Caribbean||||||||||
|0-14|37.6|35.9|34.2|31.8|29.3|27.0|25.4|24.3<br>|23.4<br>|
|15-64|57.9|59.5|61.0|63.0<br>|65.1<br>|66.8<br>|67.5<br>|67.4<br>|67.1<br>|
|65+<br>Antigum<br>and Barbuda|4.5|4.6|4.8|5.2|5.7|6.3|7.1|8.2|9.6|
|<br>0-14|44.1|35.3|28.2|23.3<br>|25.6<br>|26.0<br>|24.5<br>|22.1<br>|20.2<br>|
|15-64|508|58.6|64.8|68.9|66.3|65.8|67.2|69.7|71.1|
|<br>65.|.<br>5.1|<br>6.1|<br>7.1|<br>7.7|8.1|6.2|8.3|8.2|8.6|
|Arentinr||||||||||
|g<br>0-14|30.5|29.8|27.9|26.1|24.6|23.5|2;.7<br>|22.2<br>|21.5<br>|
|15-64|60.9|61.2|62.6<br>|64.0<br>|65.2<br>|65.8<br>|65.8<br>|65.3<br>|65.0<br>|
|65+<br>WaiaThe|8.6|9.0|9.5|9.9|10.2|10.7|11.5|12.5|13.5|
|,<br>0-14|38.0<br>|31.7<br>|28.2<br>|26.3<br>|26.2<br>|25.5<br>|23.8<br>|22.1<br>|21.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|58.5<br>|64.3<br>|67.4<br>|68.6<br>|67.9<br>|67.6<br>70|68.1<br>81|68.7<br>92|69.1<br>100|
|65+<br>|3.5|4.0|4.5|5.1|5.9|.|.|.|.|
|**inarbedos**||||||||||
|0-14|27.7|24.6|23.3|21.9|20.9<br>|19.7<br>|18.7<br>|17.9<br>|17.5<br>|
|15-64|62.1<br>|65.3<br>|66.5<br>|67.6<br>|68.5<br>|69.0<br>|68.3<br>|66.3<br>|63.3<br>|
|65+<br>|10.3|10.0|10.3|10.5|10.6|11.3|13.0|15.9|19.2|
|Belize<br>0-14|45.6<br>|42.4<br>|40.3<br>|41.3<br>|39.3<br>|35.9<br>|31.9<br>|28.2<br>|25.9<br>|
|15-64|50.6|53.5|55.7|54.8|56.5|59.7|63.7|67.5|69.2|
|<br>65+|3.8|4.1|4.1|3.9|4.2|4.4|4.4|4.3|4.9|
|olivia||||||||||
|0-14|43.8|44.0|43.7|42.7|41.1|39.0<br>|36.7<br>|34.3<br>|31.5<br>|
|15-64|53.1<br>|52.8<br>|53.0<br>|54.0<br>|55.6<br>|57.6<br>|59.6<br>|61.8<br>|64.2<br>|
|65+|3.2|3.3|3.3|3.3|3.3|3.4|3.6|3.q|4.3|
|<br>UraziL||||||||<br>||
|0-14|36.4<br>|35.3<br>|33.6<br>|30.9<br>|27.9<br> <br>|25.5<br>|24.1<br>|23.5<br>|22.8<br>|
|15-64|59.3|60.3|61.8|64.0|(.i.<br>4|68.2|68.5|67.3|67.0|
|<br>65+|4.3|4.4|4.7|5.1|5.7|6.4|7.4|8.7|10.3|
|Chitl||||||||||
|0-14<br>|31.5<br>627|30.5<br>636|29.7<br>640|27.4<br>657|24.7<br>678|23.1<br>686|22.4<br>681|22.0<br>669|21.3<br>657|
|15-64|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|65+<br>Cotombia|5.8|5.9|6.3|6.9|7.4<br>|8.4<br>|9.5<br>|11.1<br>|13.0<br>|
|0-14|37.2<br>|35.2<br>|32.8<br>|29.2<br>|26.7<br>|24.9<br>|24.1<br>|23.3<br>|22.3<br>|
|15-64|59.1|60.7|62.8|66.0|68.0|69.2|69.0|68.2|67.5|
|<br>|<br>|41|44|48|53|60|70|84|102|
|65+<br>|3.8|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|**CostsNica**||||||||||
|<br>0-14|36.8|36.0|33.9|30.7|27.3<br>|24.8<br>|23.5<br>|22.9<br>|22.1<br>|
|15-64|59.3|59.7|61.4<br>|64.0<br>|66.8<br>|68.5<br>|68.6<br>|67.6<br>|66.3<br>|
|65+<br>|3.9|4.2|4.7|5.3|6.0|6.7|7.9|9.5|11.6|
|Cua||||||||||
|0-14|25.7<br>|22.5<br>|22.7<br>|23.0<br>|21.7<br>|20.0<br>|18.9<br>|18.3<br>|18.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|66.4<br>|69.1<br>|68.3<br>|67.2<br>|67.1<br>|67.2<br>|66.7<br>144|65.$ 158|64.8<br>170|
|65+|8.0|8.4|9.1|9.8|11.2|12.8|.|.|.|
INTRODUCTION LV TdAe 12 **(eontiImld)**

|Countryor*conoW.<br>Y*<br>**group**|<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Dominice||||||||||
|0-14|44.7|41.1|35.1|26.3|25.8<br>|26.2<br>|26.0<br>|24.4<br>|22.1<br>|
|15-64|498|528|582|660|65.7|64.8|64.8|66.4|68.3|
|<br>65+|.<br>5.5|.<br>6.0|.<br>6.7|.<br>7.7<br>|<br>8.5<br>|<br>9.1<br>|<br>9.2<br>|<br>9.2<br>|9.6<br>|
|Do0inefn|39.7|37.8|35.9|33.3|30.3|27.5|25.3|24.0|23.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|57.1<br>|58.8|60.2<br>|62.4<br>|64.8<br>|67.0<br>|68.3<br>|68.7<br>|68.0<br>|
|**65'**|3.3|3.4|3.9|4.3|4.9|5.5|6.3|7.4|8.8|
|<br>Edi||||||||||
|cuso-<br>0-14|41.8|39.~|38.0|35.2|32.8|30.1|27.6|25.5|24.0|
|<br>15-64|<br>54.5|<br>56.4|58.3|60.9<br>|62.9<br>|65.1<br>|67.0<br>|68.1<br>|68.5<br>|
|65*<br>ItSalvador|3.7|3.6|3.7|3.9|4.3|4.7|5.4|6.4|7.5|
|<br>0-14|46.1<br>|44.2<br>|41.8<br>|40.3<br>|38.6<br>|36.5<br>|33.6<br>|30.5<br>|27.7<br>|
|15-64|50.6|52.3|54.5|55.8|57.4|59.3|62.0|64.8|67.4|
|<br>**65,**<br>Orenat|<br>**3.4**|<br>3.6|3.7|3.9|4.0|4.3|4.4|4.6|5.0|
|0-14|35.1|36.4|37.0|32.8|28.5|25.6|24.5<br>|24.1<br>|23.3<br>|
|15-64|587|577|568|60.8|65.1|68.3|70.0|69.5|68.8|
|<br>65+|.<br>6.2|.<br>5.9|.<br>6.2|<br>6.4|<br>6.4|<br>6.1|<br>5.5|6.4|7.9|
|0-14|2£.2|26.4|27.1|25.4|23.3|22.1|21.2|20.7|20.3|
||640|652|637|649|661|666|662|660|650|
|15-64|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|65+|7.8|8.3|9.2|9.8|10.6|11.4|12.6|13.3|14.7|
|<br>Uat11cla<br>0-14|45.9|45.7|44.6|43.0|40.9|38.8|36.2|33.5|30.7|
|<br>15-64|<br>51.2|<br>51.3|<br>52.2<br>|53.7<br>|55.7<br>|57.8<br>|60.2<br>|62.5<br>|64.8<br>|
|65+|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.3|3.3|3.4|3.6|4.0|4.6|
|0-14|369|359|329|294|262|24.7|24.3|23.8|22.7|
|<br>15-64|.<br>59.1|.<br>59.7|.<br>62.3|.<br>65.3|.<br>68.3|<br>69.6|<br>69.2|<br>68.4|67.5|
|<br>65+|<br>4.0|<br>.4|4.8|5.3|5.6|5.7|6.5|7.9|9.8|
|0-14|40.2|38.8|38.3|37.5|36.3|33.9|31.4<br>|29.1<br>|27.1<br>|
|15-64|560|S74|578|585|594|616|63.8|65.8|67.3|
|<br>65o|.<br>3.8|.<br>3.8|.<br>3.9|.<br>4.1|.<br>4.3|.<br>4.5|<br>4.8|<br>5.1|5.7|
|**Honduras**<br>||||||||||
|0-14|46.3|44.7|43.5|41.r|39.4|36.7|33.8|30.8|28.1|
|<br>15-64|<br>50.4|52.1|53.4|55.3|57.4|59.9|62.5<br>|64.9<br>|66.9<br>|
|65+<br>**'**|3.3|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.2|3.5|3.8|4.3|5.0|
|**J-_ica**<br>0-14|366|34.2|31.8|28.2|25.9|24.5|23.5|22.3|21.1|
|<br>1S-64|.<br>57.3|<br>59.6|<br>61.8|<br>65.1|<br>67.4|68.8|69.6|69.8|68.2|
|<br>|61|62|64|67|67|67|70|78|107|
|65+<br>Mtii|.<br>245|.<br>22|.<br>240|.<br>231|.<br>220|.<br>202|.<br>190|.<br>187|.<br>187|
|rn<br>0-14245||.<br>_27_|.<br>240|.<br>21|.<br>220|.<br>22|.<br>190|.<br>`.7|.<br>17|
|15-64|659|667|649|649|652|66.3|66.6|66.1|64.0|
|<br>654|.<br>9.7|.<br>10.6|.<br>11.1|.<br>12.1|.<br>12.7|<br>13.5|<br>14.4|<br>15.2|17.3|
|Mexico<br>0-14|40.9|37.1|34.8|32.2|29.4|26.6|24.6|23.6|22.8|
|<br>15-64|<br>55.5|59.2|61.2|63.3|65.6<br>|67.7<br>|69.0<br>|68.9<br>|68.2<br>|
|65+<br>|3.6|3.7|4.0|4.4|5.0|5.7|6.5|7.6|9.0|
|**Nontstrrat**<br>0-1'|305|283|264|277|260|24.1|22.5|21.6|21.1|
|<br>15-64|.<br>56.7|.<br>59.8|.<br>62.5|.<br>62.3|.<br>65.1|<br>67.6|<br>68.7|<br>68.4|67.3|
|<br>'|<br>12|119|111|100|89|84|88|101|117|
|65<br>|.7|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|NetherLank AntiLtes<br>0-14|34.7|30.5|29.2|26.4|26.8<br>|25.9<br>|24.3<br>|22.7<br>|21.6<br>|
|15-64|596|637|649|675|666|66.8|67.6|68.2|68.5|
|<br>65'|.<br>S.7|.<br>5.8|.<br>5.9|.<br>6.1|.<br>6.6|<br>7.3|<br>8.1|9.0|9.9|
LMd INTRODUCTION

**T(eu 12 (conttnud)**

|Country Of ocrnoW.**a"**<br>proup|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Nicaragu**||||||||||
|0-14<br>|46.8<br>|45.9<br>|44.4<br>|42.2<br>|39.6<br>|37.1<br>|34.5<br>|31.5<br>|28.4<br>|
|1s-64|50.7|51.5|52.8|54.9|57.4|59.6|61.9|64.1|66.4|
|65.<br>Panams|2.5|2.6|2.8|2.9|3.1|3.3|3.7|4.4|5.2|
|0-14<br>|37.5<br>|35.0<br>|32.4<br>|29.5<br>|26.4<br>|24.5<br>|23.6<br>|22.9<br>|21.9<br>|
|1564|58.0|60.5|62.7|65.2|67.7|68.7|68.5|67.9|67.2|
|<br>65.|<br>4.5|<br>4.6|<br>4.9|<br>5.3|<br>5.9|6.8|7.9|9.2|10.9|
|0-14|41.0|40.5|40.0|38.4|36.2<br>|33.6<br>|31.4<br>|29.2<br>|26.9<br>|
|15-6<br>|55.5<br>|56.0<br>|56.5<br>|58.1<br>|60.2<br>|62.5<br>|64.3<br>|65.2<br>|66.3<br>|
|65+|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.6|3.9|4.4|5.6|6.9|
|Peru||||||||||
|0-14|40.5|38.2|36.2|33.5|31.3|28.4|26.1|24.5|23.7|
|15-64<br>|55.9<br>|58.0<br>|59.8<br>|62.1<br>|63.9<br>|66.3<br>|68.0<br>|68.6<br>|68.3<br>|
|65+<br>St.Kitta**Nd Nov1a**|3.6|3.8|4.0|4.4|4.8|5.3|6.0|6.9|8.0|
|0-14|37.3|34.9|32.2|29.7|28.3|27.1|25.5|23.9|22.5|
|15-64|53.1|54.6|57.1|59.4|61.3|63.6|66.9|70.0<br>|71.2<br>|
|65.<br>St.**LUCia**|9.6|10.5|10.7|10.9|10.4|9.3|7.7|6.2|6.3|
|0-14|46.0<br>|40.2<br>|35.2<br>|33.2<br>|30.8<br>|28.4<br>|25.9<br>|24.2<br>|23.0<br>|
|15-64|48.1|54.5|59.3|60.9|63.0|65.2|67.8|69.8|70.6|
|65.<br>St.Vincent**and**theGredine.|5.8|5.4|5.5|5.9|6.2|6.4|6.3|6.0|6.4|
|<br>0-14|37.7<br>|35.6<br>|32.2<br>|28.9<br>|26.7<br>|25.0<br>|24.0<br>|23.0<br>|21.8<br>|
|15-6|57.4|59.3|62.6|65.9|68.2|69.6|69.6|69.1|67.6|
|65.<br>Surinam|4.9|5.2|5.2|5.2|5.1|5.4|6.4|7.9|10.6|
|.<br>0-14|37.1|35.7|36.4|34.9|31.2|27.6|25.1|24.0|23.5|
|15-64<br>|58.7<br>|60.1<br>|59.2<br>|60.1<br>|63.2<br>|66.6<br>|68.8<br>|69.3<br>|68.5<br>|
|65-|4.3|4.2|4.5|5.1|5.6|5.8|6.1|6.7|8.0|
|Trinidad**and Tobago**||||||||||
|<br>0-14|32.9|33.1|32.2|30.2|26.4|24.0|22.9|22.6|22.1|
|15-64<br>|61.6<br>|61.5<br>|62.2<br>|64.0<br>|67.2<br>|68.7<br>|68.5<br>|67.2<br>|65.6<br>|
|65+|5.5|5.4|5.6|5.8|6.4|7.3|8.6|10.2|12.3|
|Uruguay||||||||||
|0-14|26.9|25.8|24.3|22.9|22.1|21.9|21.5|20.9|20.1|
|15-64|62.4<br>|62.8<br>|63.3<br>|63.8<br>|64.1<br>|64.1<br>|64.2<br>|64.4<br>|64.1<br>|
|65+|108|114|124|132|138|14.0|14.4|14.8|15.8|
|<br>**venzuela**|.|.|.|.|.|||||
|014<br>|39.5<br>|38.3<br>|36.3<br>|33.5<br>|30.4<br>|27.5<br>|25.4<br>|24.0<br>|23.3<br>|
|iS-(4|57.1|58.2|59.8|62.3|64.9|67.1|68.1|68.2|67.5|
|<br>65.<br>|3.4|3.6|3.9|4.3|4.7|5.4|6.5|7.8|9.2|
|Virgin**IsLand**(U.S.)||||||||||
|<br>0-14|36.0|32.1|28.4|26.2|24.7|24.6|23.8|22.4|21.2<br>|
|15-64|594|625|652|664|667|653|63.9|63.'|65.0|
|<br>65.|.<br>4.6|.<br>5.4|.<br>6.5|.<br>7.4|.<br>8.6|.<br>10.1|<br>12.3|<br>14.2|13.8|
|Other Latin Amrica (a)||||||||||
|<br>0-14|36.4|34.0|30.8|29.3|27.2|25.4|24.2|23.2|22.3|
|15-64<br>|58.7<br>|61.8<br>|64.4<br>|65.7<br>|67.3<br>|68.4<br>|69.1<br>|69.0<br>|68.3<br>|
|65+|5.0|4.3|4.8|5.0|5.5|6.2|6.7|7.8|9.5|
|Northern America||||||||||
|<br>0-14|21.8|21.7|21.3|20.3|19.2|18.5|18.3<br>|18.2<br>|17.9<br>|
|15-64|665|662|661|670|679|677|660|637|612|
|<br>65+<br>Carnada|.<br>11.7|.<br>12.2|.<br>12.6|.<br>12.7|.<br>13.0|.<br>1-J.8|.<br>15.7|.<br>18.2|.<br>20.9|
|0-14<br>15-64|21.5<br>681|20.9<br>678|20.2<br>676|19.1<br>680|17.9<br>685|17.2<br>679|17.1<br>659|17.1<br>635|16.9<br>607|
|<br>65.|.<br>10.4|.<br>11.3|.<br>12.2|.<br>13.0|.<br>13.6|.<br>14.8|.<br>17.0|.<br>19.5|.<br>22.3|
**rNTNocuCnmO** LVN

# **TAe 12** (contimwed)

|Country<br>or**econry,aeoroup**|1965|19|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|United State of A rica||||||||||
|0-14|21.7|21.6|21.4<br>|20.4<br>|19.3<br>|18.6<br>|18.4<br>|18.2<br>|18.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|66.4<br>|66.1<br>|66.0<br>|67.0<br>|67.9<br>|67.7<br>|66.0<br>|63.7<br>|61.2<br>|
|65+|119|123|126|12.7|12.9|13.7|15.6|18.1|20.8|
|<br>Puerto Rico|.|.|.|||||||
|0-14|29.7<br>|28.2<br>|26.1<br>|23.7<br>|22.0<br>|21.1<br>|20.4<br>|19.7<br>|19.1<br>|
|15.6'<br>65|62.1<br>83|63.1<br>87|64.5<br>94|65.9<br>104|66.5<br>116|65.9<br>130|64.8<br>148|64.1<br>162|63.4<br>176|
|+<br>Other Northern Amrica**(a)**|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14|23.6|23.1|23.4|22.6|21.1|1S.9|19.5|19.3<br>|19.3<br>|
|15-64<br>|70.1<br>|70.4<br>|69.4<br>|69.2<br>|69.7<br>|69.5<br>|67.9<br>|65.9<br>|63.8<br>|
|65+|6.3|6.5|7.2|8.2|9.2|10.6|12.7|14.8|16.9|
|Asia<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|34.8<br>|33.0<br>|32.2<br>|31.1<br>|29.3<br>|27.5<br>|26.1<br>|25.0<br>|24.1<br>|
|15i-<br>|60.5<br>|62.0<br>|62.4<br>|63.1<br>|64.5<br>|65.9<br>|66.7<br>|66.6<br>|66.4<br>|
|65.|4.7|5.0|5.4|5.8|6.2|6.6|7.3|8.4|9.5|
|**Eastwnd**Southoest**Asia**<br>||||||||||
|0-14|31.5|28.6|27.8|27.1|25.5|23.6|22.2|21.4|21.0|
|15-64<br>|63.3<br>|65.7<br>|65.9<br>|65.9<br>|66.9<br>|68.1<br>|68.5<br>|67.6<br>|66.6<br>|
|65+<br>*ru.f|5.2|5.8|6.4|7.0|7.6|8.2|9.3|11.0|12.4|
|0-14|36.0|33.4|31.8<br>|29.4<br>|27.8<br>|25.4<br>|23.2<br>|21.7<br>|21.1<br>|
|15-u|60.9|63.1|64.2|65.9|66.6|67.8|68.7|68.1|66.1|
|65+|3.2|3.4|4.1|4.7|5.6|6.8|8.1|10.2|12.8|
|China (excludin<br>Taiwan)||||||||||
|g<br><br>0-14|29.7|26.4|26.2|26.3|24.8|22.9|21.5|20.8|20.5|
|15-64<br>|65.0<br>|67.7<br>|67.3<br>|66.6<br>|67.6<br>|68.9<br>|69.2<br>|67.8<br>|66.6<br>|
|65+|5.3|5.9|6.4|7.1|7.6|8.2|9.3|11.4|13.0|
|<br>**_Taiwan,_**China|||||||<br>|||
|<br>0-14<br>|30.4<br>|28.2<br>|25.0<br>|21.5<br>|20.2<br>|19.9<br>|19.7<br>|19.0<br>|18.2<br>|
|15-64|64.7|65.7|67.5|70.0|70.5|70.2|69.2|67.0|64.7|
|65+|4.9|6.1|7.5|8.5|9.3|9.9|11.1|14.0|17.0|
|Hon Kon||||||||||
|g g<br>0-14|23.1|21.3|19.8|18.5|17.2|16.4|16.1|16.0|16.0|
|15-64<br>|69.3<br>|69.8<br>|69.8<br>|69.8<br>|70.3<br>|70.9<br>|68.8<br>|65.7<br>|61.3<br>|
|65+|7.6|8.9|10.4|11.7|12.5|12.8|15.1|18.3|22.7|
|<br>1**ndones**<br>i**a**||||||||||
|0-14<br>|38.8<br>|36.3<br>|33.5<br>|31.3<br>|28.7<br>|26.5<br>|24.9<br>|24.0<br>|23.3<br>|
|15-64|57.8|59.8|62.1|63.9|66.0|67.7|68.7|68.7|68.2|
|65+|3.4|3.9|4.3|4.8|5.3|5.8|6.4|7.3|8.6|
|Japan||||||||||
|0-14|21.5|18.4|16.9|16.5|16.6|16.5|16.0|15.7|15.7|
|15-6<br>|68.2<br>|69.7<br>|69.0<br>|66.9<br>|64.7<br>|62.5<br>|60.1<br>|59.0<br>|58.8<br>|
|65+|103|119|142|165|187|210|239|253|255|
|<br>**Kampuchea Dn.**|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|**,**<br>0-14<br>|32.6<br>|34.8<br>|41.5<br>|37.6<br>|32.7<br>|28.9<br>|27.1<br>|26.6<br>|26.0<br>|
|15-64|64.8|62.2|55.3|58.9|63.4|66.9|67.8|67.1|66.6|
|<br>65+|<br>2.6|<br>2.9|<br>3.2|<br>3.6|<br>3.9|<br>4.3|<br>5.1|<br>6.3|7.4|
|**Korea,Doem.PeopLe's Rep.**of<br>0-14|38.7|34.2|29.9|25.8|25.4|24.8|23.8|22.3|20.9|
|<br>15-64|<br>57.7|<br>61.7|<br>65.4|<br>68.9|<br>68.4|<br>68.2|<br>68.2|68.3|67.4<br>|
|65+<br>|3.6|4.1|4.7|5.4|6.2|7.0|8.0|9.4|11.7|
|**KOres**Rep. of||||||||||
|**,** <br>0-14|30.0|25.6<br>|23.2<br>|21.7<br>|21.0<br>|20.2<br>|19.2<br>|18.4<br>|18.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|65.7<br>|69.4<br>|71.1<br>|71.4<br>|70.6<br>|70.2<br>|69.7<br>|68.5<br>|66.0<br>|
|65+|4.3|5.0|5.7|6.9|8.4|9.6|11.1|13.0|16.0|
TWO I IentNOSCTW

|Comtsy<br>w *eonw<br>_- Fe<br>195|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Leo<br>eople's<br>Dm. Rep.|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>42.7<br> <br>|44.3<br>|45.1<br>|44.8<br>|42.6<br>|40.7<br>|39.1<br>|37.4<br>|35.0<br>|
|15-6<br>54.5<br>65.<br>2.9|52.7<br>3.0|51.8<br>3.1|52.0<br>3.2|5s.0<br>3.4|s5.8<br>3.5|57.2<br>3.6|58.8<br>3.8|60.9<br>4.1|
|0-14<br>23.1<br> <br>|24.2<br>|24.4<br>|23.7<br>|21.1<br>|19.8<br>|19.3<br>|19.3<br>|19.2<br>|
|15-6<br>69.3<br>*<br>|68.5<br>|67.9<br>|".2<br>|70.2<br>|71.2<br>|69.4<br>|66.3<br>|62.4<br>|
|65<br>7.7<br>Malaysia|7.3|7.7|8.1|8.6|9.0|11.3|14.4|18.4|
|0-14<br>37.8|36.9|36.6|34.5|31.0|27.3|25.0|23.9|23.4|
|15-"<br>58.5<br> <br>|59.3<br>|59.4<br>|61.3<br>|64.1<br>|67.1<br>|68.4<br>|68.3<br>|67.2<br>|
|65+<br>3.8|3.8|4.0|4.3|5.0|5.6|6.6|7.9|9.4|
|Mongolifa|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.7|40.8|40.2|38.9|36.7|33.7|30.8|28.0|25.9|
|15-6<br>55.1|55.8|56.3|57.3<br>|59.3|61.9<br>|".3<br>|66.6|67.9<br>|
|65.<br>3.3|3.4|3.6|3.8|4.1|4.5|4.9|5.4|6.2|
|_NW~_|||||||||
|_u_<br>0-14<br>39.2|37.1|35.8|34.0|31.7|28.5|26.0|24.5|23.9|
|15-"<br>57.0|58.8|59.8|61.3|43.2|"6.2|68.4|69.1|68.6|
|**_65+_**<br>3.8<br>Philippines|4.1|4.3|4.8|5.1|5.3|5.6|6.3|7.6|
|0-14<br>41.1<br> <br>|39.9<br>|37.3<br>|33.9<br>|30.7<br>|28.2<br>|26.3<br>|24.9<br>|23.9<br>|
|15-6<br>55.5|56.|59.2|62.4|65.2|67.1|68.3|68.6|68.4|
|65.<br>3.4<br>Singpore|3.4|3.5|3.8|4.2|4.7|5.4|6.5|7.7|
|0-14<br>24.5<br>|23.6|23.5|22.4<br>|20.2|18.7<br>|18.2<br>|18.1|18.0|
|1S-"<br>70.3<br> <br>|70.8<br>|70.0<br>|70.0<br>|70.7<br>|71.0<br>|68.7<br>|65.4<br>|61.5<br>|
|**_65+_**<br>5.2<br>Thaland|5.7|6.5|7.6|9.1|10.4|13.2|16.6|20.4|
|<br>0-14<br>36.5|33.1|30.0|27.3|26.0|25.1|24.0|22.8|21.6|
|15-6<br>59.9<br> <br>|63.1<br>|65.8<br>|67.9<br>|68.6<br>|68.9<br>|69.1<br>|68.9<br>|68.2<br>|
|65.<br>3.6|3.8|4.2|4.8|5.4|6.0|6.9|8.3|10.2|
|Viet<br>m|||||||||
|<br><br>0-14<br>40.6|39.4|37.7|35.2|32.1|28.8|26.3|24.8|24.0|
|15-"<br>54.9<br> <br>|56.1<br>|57.9<br>|60.2<br>|63.3<br>|6.6<br>|69.0<br>|69.5<br>|68.8<br>|
|65*<br>4.5|4.5|4.5|4.7|4.6|4.6|4.8|5.7|7.2|
|South Asia|||||||||
|0-14<br>39.4|38.8|37.8|35.8|33.5|31.6|29.9|28.3|26.9|
|15-6<br>56.7<br> <br>|5s.2<br>|58.1<br>|59.9<br>|62.0<br>|63.7<br>|65.1<br>|66.0<br>|66.6<br>|
|65+<br>3.9|4.0|4.1|4.3|4.5|4.7|5.1|5.7|6.5|
|Afhanistan|||||||||
|g<br>0-14<br>45.4|4S.2|45.7|45.3|46.1|45.7|44.6|42.8|41.2|
|15-6<br>52.3<br>|52.5|52.1|52.5|51.7|52.1<br>|53.1<br>|54.8<br>|56.3|
|65+<br>2.3<br>Bldh|2.3|2.3|2.2|2.2|2.3|2.3|2.4|2.6|
|angaes<br>0-14<br>45.7|43.6|40.8|37.7|35.6|33.6|31.4|28.8|26.6|
|<br> <br>15-"<br>51.2|<br>53.4|<br>56.2|<br>59.3|<br>61.3|<br>63.1|<br>65.0|<br>67.2|68.6|
|65+<br>3.1<br>Bhutan|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.2|3.3|3.6|4.0|4.8|
|0-14<br>40.0<br> <br>|39.9<br>|40.S<br>|41.5<br>|41.2<br>|39.5<br>|37.1<br>|34.9<br>|33.0<br>|
|15-.6<br>56.7|S6.7|S6.1|55.1|55.3|S6.9|59.2|61.1|62.7|
|65<br>33|34|34|34|35|36|38|40|43|
|+<br>.<br>_Irisa_|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>37.7|36.9|35.8|33.4|30.8|28.6|26.8|2S.2|24.0|
|15-64<br>581|587|596|617|641|660|673|682|684|
|<br>.<br>65.<br>4.3|.<br>4.4|.<br>4.6|.<br>4.9|.<br>5.1|.<br>5.4|.<br>5.9|.<br>6.6|.<br>7.6|
|I<br>Ili<br>Rf|||||||||
|ran,<br>smc<br>ep.o<br>0-14<br>43.6<br>14<br>|43.6<br>4|43.6<br>4|42.8<br>42|41.0<br>|39.1<br>S7|37.5<br>S|35.9<br>|34.0<br>1|
|5-6<br>53.3<br>65+<br>3.2|53.<br>3.1|53.<br>3.0|5.<br>3.0|55.9<br>3.1|.6<br>3.2|8.9<br>3.6|59.9<br>4.1|6.3<br>4.7|
ImcurN ux

# Td.e 12 (continuid)

|Country or_wAonow so_group|1995|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Naldives||||||||||
|0-14<br>|.444<br>|44.6<br>|45.3<br>|45.0<br>|43.1<br>|41.0<br>|38.7<br>|36.3<br>|33.7<br>|
|15-64<br>|53.4<br>|53.0<br>|51.8<br>|51.5<br>|53.1<br>|55.1<br>|57.7<br>|60.4<br>|62.5<br>|
|65+<br>Nal|2.2|2.4|2.9|3.5|3.8|4.0|3.5|3.3|3.8|
|0-14<br>|42.3<br>|42.5<br>|41.9<br>|40.1<br>|37.9<br>|36.1<br>|34.1<br>|32.0<br>|29.8<br>|
|15-64<br>|54.7<br>|54.4<br>|54.8<br>|56.3<br>|58.3<br>|59.9<br>|61.5<br>|63.3<br>|65.2<br>|
|65+|3.0|3.1|3.3|3.5|3.8|4.0|4.4|4.7|5.0|
|Pakistan||||||||||
|0-14<br>|44.4|45.3|45.7|45.2|42.9|40.8|39.1|37.2|34.9|
|1s-6"<br>|52.9<br>|52.0<br>|51.7<br>|52.2<br>|54.5<br>|56.5<br>|58.2<br>|59.6<br>|61.5<br>|
|65+|2.8|2.6|2.7|2.7|2.7|2.7|2.7|3.2|3.7|
|Sri Lanka||||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>|34.1<br>|32.3<br>|29.3<br>|25.9<br>|24.3<br>|23.6<br>|23.1<br>|22.1<br>|21.0<br>|
|15-64<br>|61.2<br>|62.7<br>|65.0<br>|67.8<br>|68.7<br>|68.5<br>|67.5<br>|66.8<br>|65.9<br>|
|65*|4.7|5.0|5.7|6.3|7.0|7.9|9.5|11.1|13.1|
|Southwest Asli||||||||||
|0-14<br>|40.9<br>|40.4<br>|40.1<br>|39.3|37.8|35.9|34.3|32.9|31.5|
|15-64<br>|55.4<br>|56.0<br>|56.0<br>|56.5<br>|57.9<br>|59.6<br>|60.8<br>|61.7<br>|62.4<br>|
|65.<br>Uahrain|3.7|3.7|3.9|4.2|4.4|4.6|4.9|5.4|6.1|
|0-14|33.3|35.0|35.8|34.1|30.9|28.5|27.0|25.6|24.1|
|I5-6<br>|64.4<br>|62.7<br>|61.6<br>|62.8<br>|65.2<br>|66.5<br>|66.4<br>|64.9<br>|63.9<br>|
|65+|2.3|2.3|2.7|3.1|3.9|5.0|6.7|9.5|11.9|
|0-14|25.0|25.3|24.9|22.7|21.0|20.3|20.2|20.0|19.5|
|15-64<br>|64.2<br>|63.9<br>|64.0<br>|65.8<br>|66.6<br>|66.2<br>|_64.7_<br>|63.5<br>|61.9<br>|
|65+<br>G Sti|10.8|10.9|11.1|11.5|12.4|13.5|15.1|16.6|18.6|
|aza rp<br>0-14<br>|46.9<br>|48.0<br>|49.0<br>|47.9<br>|45.9<br>|43.9<br>|42.0<br>|39.7<br>|36.9<br>|
|15-64|49.7|48.2|47.1|48.1|50.1|52.3|54.6|57.3|60.5|
|65+|35|38|39|40|40|38|35|30|27|
|<br>Iraq|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>|46.9<br>|46.5<br>|45.3<br>|44.0<br>|42.4<br>|40.5<br>|38.4<br>|35.8<br>|33.1<br>|
|15-64<br>65+|50.4<br>2.7|50.8<br>2.7|51.9<br>2.8|53.1<br>2.9|54.5<br>3.1|56.2<br>3.3|S8.1<br>3.5|60.3<br>3.9|62.5<br>4.4|
|0-14<br>|32.6<br>|31.2<br>|29.4<br>|27.5<br>|25.4<br>|23.8<br>|22.7<br>|22.0<br>|21.3<br>|
|I5-64|58.7|59.9|61.8|63.9|65.8|67.3|67.0|66.0|65.2|
|**_65._**<br>Jordan|<br>8.8|<br>8.9|<br>8.8|<br>8.7|<br>8.8|<br>8.9|<br>10.3|<br>12.0|13.5|
|0-14<br>|_46.6_<br>|45.5<br>|45.6|45.7|44.3|41.8|39.3|36.9|34.3|
|15-64<br>|50.7<br>|51.9<br>|51.7<br>|51.4<br>|52.6<br>|55.0<br>|57.4<br>|59.7<br>|61.7<br>|
|f65|2.8|2.6|2.7|2.9|3.1|3.3|3.3|3.4|4.0|
|0-14<br>1564|40.1<br>586|37.1<br>614|33.2<br>_649_|29.2<br>681|27.0<br>2|25.4<br>|23.8<br>|22.4<br>|21.3<br>|
|-<br>|.<br>|.<br>|_._<br>|.<br>|69.<br>|69.0<br>|68.5<br>|67.5<br>|65.8<br>|
|65.<br>Lobanon|1.4|1.5|1.9|2.7|3.8|5.6|7.7|10.2|12.8|
|0-14<br>"|37.4<br>|36.5<br>|36.5<br>|35.7<br>|32.7<br>|29.1<br>|26.5<br>|25.1<br>|24.5<br>|
|1s-4|57.4|57.8|57.3|57.8|61.0|65.0|67.8|68.9|69.0|
|65+|5.2|5.6|6.2|6.5|6.3|5.9|5.7|5.9|6.5|
|0-14<br>|44.4<br>|46.3<br>|46.8<br>|46.2<br>|44.4<br>|43.1<br>|41.9<br>|40.4<br>|38.1<br>|
|15-64|53.2|51.3|50.6|51.1|52.7|53.7|54.4|55.5|57.3|
|65.|2.4|<br>2.4|<br>2.5|<br>2.7|<br>2.9|<br>3.3|<br>3.7|<br>4.2|4.6|
|0-14<br>15-l4|33.5<br>652|34.2<br>643|35.7<br>621|34.0<br>633|32.5<br>634|31.4<br>631|30.4<br>620|29.1<br>613|27.3<br>617|
|<br>65+|.<br>1.3|.<br>1.5|.<br>2.2|.<br>2.7|.<br>4.0|.<br>5.5|.<br>7.6|.<br>9.6|.<br>11.1|
LX INTROUCTION

# **Tale** 12 (entinuad)

|Country or eono,<br>Sp<br>rop|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Sauf Arabia**||||||||||
|<br>0-14|44.9|45.2|_44.9_|44.4|43.9|42.8|41.5|39.6|37.5|
|1564|52.5<br>|52.2<br>|52.5<br>|52.9<br>|53.4<br>|54.1<br>|55.1<br>|56.3<br>|58.0<br>|
|65.<br>Syrian Arab Rep.|2.6|2.6|2.6|2.6|2.8|3.1|3.5|4.1|4.6|
|<br>0-14<br>|48.1<br>|48.3<br>|47.9<br>|47.0<br>|45.2<br>|43.2<br>|41.0<br>|38.7<br>|36.0<br>|
|15.64|49.1|49.0|49.2|50.1|51.9|54.1|56.1|58.1|60.3|
|65.<br>Turkey|2.8|2.8|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.9|3.2|3.7|
|0-14|36.4|34.8|34.2|32.7|30.1|27.1|24.9|23.7|23.2|
|15.64<br>|59.4<br>|61.0<br>|61.0<br>|61.8<br>|63.9<br>|66.6<br>|68.3<br>|68.5<br>|67.7<br>|
|65+<br>Unitod Arab**Emirsteo**|4.3|4.3|4.9|5.5|6.0|6.4|6.9|7.8|9.1|
|0-14<br>|31.1<br>|31.2<br>|29.7<br>|28.0<br>|27.5<br>|27.1<br>|26.0<br>|24.0<br>|22.2<br>|
|15-64|67.4|67.2|68.2|69.1|68.1|66.3|64.0|61.7|61.2|
|65+|1.5|1.6|2.1|2.9|4.4|6.6|10.0|14.4|16.7|
|mest**lank**||||||||||
|<br>0-14|46.2|45.3|45.4|4S.5|44.0|41.6|39.1|36.7|34.2|
|15-64<br>|51.1<br>|52.1<br>|52.0<br>|51.9<br>|53.2<br>|55.5<br>|57.8<br>|60.1<br>|61.8<br>|
|65|2.7|2.5|2.5|2.6|2.8|3.0|3.1|3.2|4.0|
|.<br>YomenArab Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|48.1|48.5|49.4|50.4|49.7|48.0|46.5|45.2|43.7|
|**15-64**|48.7<br>|48.2<br>|47.5<br>|46.5<br>|47.4<br>|49.4<br>|51.1<br>|52.7<br>|54.3<br>|
|65.<br>|3.2|3.3|3.2|3.1|2.9|2.7|2.4|2.2|2.0|
|Yemen Poople's Don Rap. of||||||||||
|, .<br>0-14|45.0|45.3|46.3|45.9|44.0|41.8<br>|39.7<br>|37.5<br>|35.1<br>|
|15-64<br>|52.2<br>|51.8<br>|50.8<br>|51.2<br>|53.0<br>|55.3<br>|57.3<br>|59.5<br>|61.8<br>|
|65+|2.8|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.2|
|Europoed U.S.S.R.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|22.3|21.7|20.9|20.0|19.2|18.7|18.6|18.4|18.2|
|15-64<br>|66.1<br>|66.2<br>|65.8<br>|65.7<br>|65.3<br>|65.4<br>|64.7<br>|63.4<br>|61.9<br>|
|65+|11.6|12.1|13.3|14.3|15.5|15.9|16.7|18.1|19.8|
|**ALbanfi**||||||||||
|0-14|34.5|33.2|31.6|29.6|26.9|24.6|23.2|22.6|22.0|
|15-64<br>|60.2<br>|61.5<br>|62.6<br>|64.1<br>|65.9<br>|67.5<br>|68.2<br>|67.6<br>|66.4<br>|
|65.|5.3|5.3|5.8|6.3|7.2|7.9|8.6|9.8|11.7|
|<br>Austria||||||||||
|0-14<br>|18.6<br>|17.6<br>|17.3<br>|16.2<br>|15.6<br>|15.?<br>|15.2<br>|15.3<br>|15.4<br>|
|15-64|67.3|67.2|66.6|67.2|66.6|65.4|63.9|62.5|60.4|
|65.|14.1|15.2|16.0|16.6|17.8|19.5|20.9|22.3|24.3|
|**Eelgiun**||||||||||
|0-14|18.8|18.1|17.6|17.0|16.3|15.9|15.9|16.0|16.1|
|<br>15-64|67.4|67.0|66.3|65.9|65.8<br>|65.8<br>|64.1<br>|62.3<br>|60.1<br>|
|63+|138|150|160|171|179|184|200|217|23.9|
|<br>BuLgeria|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.||
|0-14<br>|21.3<br>|19.8<br>|18.2<br>|17.8<br>|17.9<br>|18.3<br>|18.3<br>|18.1<br>|17.9<br>|
|15-64|67.4|66.5|66.0|64.7|63.9|63.3|61.9|61.3|61.1|
|<br>65+|<br>11.3|<br>13.7|15.8|17.5|18.1|18.5|19.7|20.6|21.1|
|Charnl Islands||||||||||
|<br>0-14|17.4|17.9|18.2|18.7|17.4|16.4|16.0|16.2|16.5|
|15-64|68.2|67.7|66.4|64.8|65.0|65.2|63.7|60.5|58.5<br>|
|65+<br>|14.4|14.3|15.5|16.6|17.6|18.4|20.3|23.3|24.9|
|Czechoslovakia||||||||||
|0-14<br>|24.4<br>|23.2<br>|21.0<br>|20.5<br>|20.7<br>|20.8<br>|20.2<br>|19.6<br>|19.1<br>|
|15-64|645|650|666|668|66.6|66.0|65.0|63.7|62.8|
|<br>65.|.<br>11.0|.<br>11.9|.<br>12.4|.<br>12.7|<br>12.6|<br>13.2|<br>14.8|<br>16.7|18.1|
INTROOUCTION **LXI**

# T1.* 12 (continued)

|Country or ecoao,<br>**ag9**group|1985|1990|199S|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Dermark||||||||||
|0-14<br>|18.4|17.1|16.6|16.9|16.5|15.9|15.5|15.5|15.7|
|15-64<br>|66.5<br>|67.6<br>|68.0<br>|67.6<br>|67.4<br>|66.0<br>|63.8<br>|62.0<br>|60.2<br>|
|65|15.1|15.4|15.4|15.5|16.2|18.1|20.7|22.5|24.1|
|Finland<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|19.4<br>|19.3<br>|18.6<br>|17.5<br>|16.7<br>|16.3<br>|16.4<br>|16.4<br>|16.4|
|15-64<br>65+|68.1<br>125|67.4<br>133|67.2<br>143|67.6<br>150|67.4<br>19|66.5<br>|63.2<br>|60.7<br>|58.9<br>|
|<br>France|.|.|.|.|5.|17.2|20.4|22.9|24.7|
|0-14<br>|21.2<br>|20.1<br>|19.8<br>|19.3<br>|18.6<br>|17.9<br>|17.5<br>|17.4|17.3|
|15-64<br>|65.9<br>|66.2<br>|65.5<br>|65.2<br>|65.3<br>|65.4<br>|63.8<br>|62.1<br>|60.6<br>|
|65+<br>GermnDom Rep|13.0|13.8|14.7|15.6|16.2|16.6|18.7|20.5|22.1|
|. .<br>0-14|19.3<br>|19.6<br>|19.0<br>|17.6|16.8|16.8|17.2|17.3|17.3|
|15-64<br>|67.2<br>|66.5<br>|66.5<br>|66.7<br>|155.0<br>|63.7<br>|63.6<br>|61.9<br>|60.7<br>|
|65+<br>Germany Fed Repof|13.6|13.9|14.6|15.7|18.2|19.5|19.2|20.7|22.0|
|, . .<br>0-14<br>|15.1|15.3|16.1|16.1|15.2|14.2|14.0|14.4|15.0|
|1S-64<br>|70.0<br>|69.3<br>|67.7<br>|66.6<br>|64.9<br>|64.2<br>|63.5<br>|61.7<br>|59.0<br>|
|65+|14.9|15.5|16.3|17.3|19.9|21.6|22.6|24.0|26.0|
|Greece||||||||||
|0-14|20.9|19.2|17.5|16.4|16.4|16.4|16.3|16.1|16.0|
|15-64<br>|65.8<br>|66.7<br>|66.5<br>|65.6<br>|_64.1_<br>|63.7<br>|62.6|<br>61.9|61.0|
|_65+_<br>Hnsar|13.4|14.2|16.0|18.0|19.5|20.0|21.1|22.0|23.1|
|uy<br>0-14|21.0|19.4|17.3|17.6|18.0|18.1|17.9|175|174|
|15-64<br>|66.5<br>|67.1<br>|68.2<br>|<br>67.2|<br>66.5|<br>65.6|<br>64.6|.<br>62.7|.<br>61.7|
|65+<br>|12.6|13.6|14.5|15.2|15.5|16.3|17.5|19.8|21.0|
|Icelnd<br>0-14<br>|26.4<br>|25.0<br>|24.0<br>|22.7<br>|21.9<br>|21.1<br>|20.3<br>|19.7<br>|19.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|63.6|64.3|64.9|65.4|66.2|66.6|66.0|_64.7_|62.9|
|65+<br>|9.9|10.7|11.1|11.9|11.9|12.3|13.7|15.6|17.9|
|Ireland<br>0-14<br>|79.2<br>|26.7<br>|24.2<br>|22.8<br>|22.6<br>|22.5<br>|21.8<br>|20.7<br>|19.8<br>|
|15-64|60.0|62.1|_64_4|65.8|65.8|65.4|65.1|65.0|64.9|
|65+<br>|10.8|11.3|11.4|11.4|11.5|12.1|<br>13.2|<br>14.3|15.3|
|I taly<br>0-14<br>|19.3<br>|16.4<br>|15.1<br>|14.6<br>|14.6<br>|14.3|14.1|14.0|14.1|
|15-64|67.8|68.8|68.3|672|656|647|633|622|605|
|65+<br>Luxembourg|<br>12.9|<br>14.8|<br>16.6|.<br>18.2|.<br>19.9|.<br>20.9|.<br>22.6|.<br>23.8|.<br>25.4|
|0-14<br>|17.2<br>|17.6|17.9|17.5|16.6|15.9|15.9|16.2|16.3|
|15-64<br>|69.5<br>|69.0<br>|67.7<br>|67.3<br>|67.2<br>|67.0<br>|65.4<br>|63.1<br>|60.4<br>|
|65+|13.3|13.4|14.4|15.2|16.2|17.1|18.7|20.8|23.3|
|0-i4|24.4|23.4|21.7|20.5|20.0|19.8|19.7|19.3|18.8|
|15-64<br>|66.1<br>|66.4<br>|67.5<br>|67.8<br>|67.5|<br>66.4|<br>63.9|<br>62.5|61.3|
|65.|9.6|10.2|108|117|126|138|164|183|200|
|Nth Ld|||.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|eer ana<br>0-14<br>1564|18.6<br>|17.6<br>|17.5<br>|17.8<br>|16.9<br>|15.8<br>|15.2<br>|15.3<br>|15.6<br>|
|-<br>|68.9|69.1|68.5|67.5|67.5|67.2|64.9|62.5|59.7|
|65+<br>|12.5|13.3|14.0|14.6|15.6|17.1|19.9|22.2|24.7|
|Norway<br>0-14<br>|20.4<br>|19.0<br>|18.9<br>|19.0<br>|18.5<br>|17.9<br>|17.4<br>|17.1<br>|17.1<br>|
|15-64|64.1|64.6|64.6|64.8|65.7|66.0|64.4|62.9|611|
|65+|15.5|16.5|16.6|16.2|<br>15.8|<br>16.2|<br>18.2|<br>20.0|.<br>21.8|
|014|2|||||||||
|-<br>15-64|5.5<br>651|25.1<br>649|23.4<br>655|21.5<br>665|20.8<br>665|20.9<br>667|20.8<br>653|20.4<br>634|19.7<br>620|
|<br>65+|.<br>9.4|.<br>10.0|.<br>11.1|.<br>12.0|.<br>12.6|.<br>12.5|.<br>13.9|.<br>16.3|.<br>18.3|
> T Ms **1Z** CoUtimad)

|Cowtryor eeWOMS**-**|1965|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Portugal<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>156"|23.5<br>|20.7<br>|18.5<br>|17.8<br>|17.9<br>|17.6<br>|17.2<br>|16.7<br>|16.4|
|-<br>|66.5|66.3|67.3|67.3|66.4|66.2|65.7|650|635|
|65U|120|130|140|149|157|162|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|<br>**mom.".**|.|.|.|.|.|.|17.1|18.3|20.1|
|0-14|247|2||||||||
|<br>|.<br>|3.3<br>|22.0<br>|22.1|22.0|21.5|20.7|20.2|20.0|
|15-64<br>65|65.9<br>|66.4<br>|66.5<br>|65.3<br>|66.3<br>|65.0<br>|65.2<br>|66s|63.6|
|.<br>|9.5|10.4|11.5|12.6|13.7|13.6|14.1|153|164|
|Spwin||||||||.|.|
|0-14<br>15|23.1<br>_66_|20.2<br>|18.1<br>|17.7<br>|17.8<br>|17.5<br>|17.0<br>|16.4<br>|16.3<br>|
|s-<br>|_.9_<br>|66.6|67.2|66.3|65.6|65.4|64.9|64.4|63.0|
|65.<br>S$eden|12.0|13.3|14.7|16.1|16.6|17.2|18.1|19.1|20.6|
|0-14<br>"|17.5<br>|17.5<br>|16.3<br>|19.4|1s.7|17.9|17.4|17.3|17.6|
|Is-<br>65+|_66.6_<br>1T9|64.4<br>|_66.1_<br>|63.5<br>|66.0<br>|63.2<br>|61.7<br>|60.5<br>|59.3<br>|
|<br>switzertan|.|18.0|17.6|17.1|17.2|18.9|21.0|22.2|23.1|
|0-14s<br>led<br>|16.9|17.0|17.5|17.9|16.8|15.8|15.5|15.7|161|
|15.66<br>|68.5<br>|66.0<br>|66.9<br>|65.5|65.3<br>|66.2|<br>62.4|<br>60.5|.<br>58.4|
|65.<br>UnitedKtfnd|14.6|15.0|15.6|16.6|17.9|20.0|22.2|23.6|25.5|
|g<br>0-14<br>|19.3<br>|18.9<br>|19.4<br>|19.2<br>|18.5<br>|17.6<br>|17.3<br>|17.3|17.4|
|15-66|65.6|65.4|66.6|66.6|65.0|651|636|626|612|
|65|151|157|160|<br>162|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|.<br>**Y'uoslavia**|.|.|.|.|16.5|17.3|16.9|20.0|21.4|
|014||||||||||
|-<br>|24.1<br>|23.1<br>|21.8|20.7|20.2|19.6|19.4|19.0|15.7|
|15-64<br>|67.4<br>|67.8<br>|67.5<br>|66.S<br>|65.2<br>|66.7<br>|64.8<br>|<br>63.6|62.4|
|65.<br>|8.5|9.1|10.7|12.8|14.6|15.5|158|174|189|
|OthorEurwe**a)**|||||||.|.|.|
|p<br>0-14<br>1S6|20.8<br>|20.4<br>|21.1<br>|21.4<br>|21.3<br>|20.8<br>|20.3<br>|19.9|19.7|
|-<br>|62.7|63.5|63.3|63.6|66.6|65.3|6S.3|667|640|
|65|166|161|156|150||<br>|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|
|.<br>U.S.S.R.|.|.|.|.|14.2|13.9|14.4|15.4|16.3|
|014||||||||||
|-<br>|25.2<br>|25.5<br>|24.5|22.8|21.2|20.8|20.8|20.6|20.1|
|15-6<br>|65.2<br>|65.1<br>|66.5<br>|65.2<br>|65.0<br>|65.7<br>|65.7<br>|66.4|63.0|
|65.|9.6|9.4|11.0|12.1|13.8|13.5|13.5|15.0|16.9|
|**Oceanfa**||||||||||
|0-14<br>|27.7<br>|26.4|26.0|25.2|24.4|23.4|22.4|21.5|20.7|
|15-6<br>65|63.8<br>|66.6<br>|66.5<br>|65.2<br>|65.6<br>|66.0<br>|65.6<br>|65.1|66.2|
|+|8.5|9.1|9.5|9.6|10.0|10.6|12.0|13.5|15.1|
|**o'jatratla**||||||||||
|0-14<br>15-64|23.6<br>663|22.1<br>671|21.6<br>670|20.8<br>|20.3<br>|19.6<br>|19.0<br>|18.5<br>|18.1<br>|
|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|67.6<br>|67.8|67.6|66.4|64.9|63.0|
|65+|10.1|10.6|114|115|119|129|146|167|189|
|FdSttf Nii|||.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|e.aeso crornes<br>0-14<br>|44.1<br>|41.3<br>|38.7<br>|38.2<br>|36.4<br>|33.6<br>|30.3|27.1|24.8|
|1S-64|52.3|54.7|57.2|57.5|592|620|668|669|679|
|65.|3.6|3.9|4.1|<br>4.3|.<br>4.4|.<br>4.5|.<br>4.9|.<br>6.0|.<br>7.3|
|0-14<br>15-66|37.3<br>593|36.5<br>596|33.9<br>616|29.9<br>|26.6<br>|24.5<br>|23.6<br>|23.0<br>|22.2<br>|
|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.|66.9|67.2|68.2|67.9|66.8|65.7|
|65+<br>Fh|3.5|3.9|4.5|5.3|6.3|7.3|8.6|10.2|12.1|
|renc Poltyeli<br>0-14|411|368|333|||||||
|<br>|.<br>|.<br>|.<br>|33.0<br>|31.4<br>|28.3<br>|25.2|23.3|22.5|
|15-64<br>65|55.8<br>|59.4<br>|62.6<br>|62.5<br>|63.3<br>|65.4<br>|67.6<br>|68.6<br>|68.6<br>|
|+|3.1|3.8|4.1|4.5|5.4|6.3|7.2|8.2|8.9|
WrTR0rOUTN UOU Ta1. 12 (eontinsd)

|Country oreconoyN<br>nou|1965|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Gullm<br>0-14<br>15-64<br>65.<br>Kirfbsti|34.9<br>62.3<br>2.8|33.0<br>63.7<br>3.3|29.6<br>66.2<br>4.3|26.4<br>6.3<br>5.4|24.0<br>69.7<br>6.3|23.3<br>69.4<br>7.3|22.9<br>66.6<br>6.5<br>|22.0<br>67.1<br>11.0<br>|20.6<br>65.8<br>13.4<br>|
|0-14<br>15-64<br>65.<br>NwCatedonis|39.3<br>5S.0<br>2.7|39.6<br>57.0<br>3.3|39.3<br>S6.7<br>4.0|38.2<br>57.6<br>4.2|35.6<br>60.3<br>4.1|32.8<br>63.4<br>3.9|30.2<br>65.0<br>4.8|27.6<br>66.8<br>5.4|26.0<br>68.3<br>5.7|
|<br>0-14<br>15-64<br>65+<br>NW Zeelai|36.2<br>59.1<br>4.7|33.2<br>61.6<br>5.2|30.3<br>64.3<br>5.4|27.6<br>66.0<br>6.2<br>|25.9<br>67.0<br>7.1<br>|24.6<br>67.3<br>3.1<br>|23.6<br>67.2<br>9.0<br>|22.9<br>67.2<br>9.9<br>|21.9<br>67.4<br>10.3<br>|
|0-14<br>15-64<br>65+<br>Pau<br>NWQuin"|24.4<br>65.2<br>10.5|22.5<br>64.5<br>11.1|21.9<br>66.5<br>11.6|21.3<br>*6.6<br>11.6|20.6<br>67.0<br>12.4|19.7<br>66.9<br>13.4|19.0<br>65.7<br>15.3|18.5<br>64.<br>17.1<br>|16.3<br>62.S<br>18.9<br>|
|<br> <br>0-14<br>1s-"4<br>**65**<br>|41.6<br>S6.0<br>2.4|41.1<br>56.0<br>3.0|41.1<br>55.5<br>3.4|39.9<br>56.6<br>3.3|38.0<br>58.6<br>3.4|35.4<br>61.1<br>3.4|32.7<br>63.4<br>3.9|29.6<br>66.0<br>4.2|27.4<br>67.9<br>4.7|
|IlatownIstar||||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>15-64<br>65.|48.7<br>48.7<br>2.7|4.8<br>50.5<br>2.7|45.5<br>51.5<br>2.9|45.2<br>51.6<br>3.0|4.5<br>52.4<br>3.0|425.<br>54.4<br>3.1|40.2<br>56.5<br>3.3|37.7<br>58.9<br>3.5|35.0<br>61.1<br>3.9|
|*0-14<br>I5-6<br>65.<br>Vfnuetu|39.6<br>56.6<br>3.3|37.6<br>58.5<br>4.0|38.0<br>56.3<br>3.8|37.4<br>57.9<br>4.7|34.2<br>60.5<br>5.3|30.2<br>64.2<br>5.6|27.0<br>67.1<br>5.9|25.1<br>66.6<br>6.3|24.2<br>66.9<br>7.0<br>|
|0-14<br>15-64<br>65<br>|45.5<br>51.7<br>2.9|44.0<br>53.2<br>2.8|42.8<br>54.3<br>3.0|41.6<br>55.5<br>2.9|40.2<br>56.5<br>3.3|37.7<br>58.7<br>3.5|35.1<br>60.6<br>4.1|32.5<br>63.0<br>4.5|30.0<br>64.3<br>5.2|
|Western<br>Samoa||||||||||
|0-14<br>1S-"|41.1<br>55.6|39.8<br>56.2|39.1<br>56.4<br>|38.1<br>5T.1<br>|34.8<br>60.2<br>|31.5<br>63.5<br>|26.9<br>66.3<br>|27.0<br>68.1<br>|25.3<br>69.2<br>|
|*|34|40|44|48|50|50|48|49|55|
|65<br> <br>|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|Other NIcroAisa<br>(a)||||||||||
|<br><br>0-14<br>|40.6<br>|39.6<br>|38.8<br>|37.1<br>|34.3<br>|31.1<br>|28.0<br>|25.8<br>678|24.4<br>682|
|15-64<br>|55.7<br>|56.9<br>|57.5<br>|58.9<br>|61.2<br>|64.0<br>|66.5<br>|.<br>64|.<br>|
|65.<br>|3.7|3.5|3.8|4.0|4.5|4.9|5.5|.|7.4|
|Other Polltyuio<br>(a)||||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>|45.7<br>|41.2<br>|37.4<br>|34.3<br>|32.6<br>|29.7<br>|26.7<br>|24.6<br>|23.5<br>|
|154|50.8|55.1|58.4<br>|61.2|62.2|64.9<br>|67.1<br>|68.9<br>|69.5<br>|
||35|37|41|45|53|54|62|66|70|
|65+|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|

a. For a listing of countries in the lotherm categories, **see** Tabte 11.
LXIV INTROOUCTION

**Rate Reaches 1** for **All** Countries<sup>**and**Economies</sup>

**Tble 13 Stotlonary POpulation** _Mommntum,_ nd Year ihen **Net** Reproduction

||Stationary|populat|ion<br>||Stationery p|opulati|on<br>Poula-||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||Popula-<br>tion|**Year**|||p<br>tion|Year|
|||Ratioto|<br>momen-|<br> ihen|Ra|tio to|<br>momen-|when|
|Country or_econow_|<br>M llions|<br> 1990|<br>tum|<br>MARNZ|Country or econoy<br>"Millions|1990|tum|NRRO1|
|WorLd|12537|2.4|1.4|2060|North<br>Africa<br>452<br> <br>|3.2<br>|1.6<br>|2050<br>|
||||||Algeria<br>78|3.1|1.7|2020|
||||||Egypt, Arab Rep. of<br>141<br>|2.7<br>|1.6<br>|2020<br>|
|Africa|3481|5.4|1.6|2060|Libya<br>36<br>Morocco<br>70|7.8<br>2.8|1.7<br>1.6|2050<br>2020|
|**EastAfrica**|1649|6.1|1.5|2055|<br> <br>Sudan<br>108<br>|<br>4.3<br>|<br>1.5<br>|2035<br>|
|lota ans|4<br>|2.9|1.8|2015|**Tunfisi**<br>19<br> <br>|2.3<br>|1.6<br>|2010<br>|
|Burundi<br>|33<br>3|6.1<br>59|1.4<br>16|2045<br>2040|Other North Africa (a)<br>1|4.9|1.4|2040|
|Comoroe<br>DJibouti|<br>2|.<br>5.4|.<br>1.5|2040|Aoerics<br>1300|1.8|1.4|2030|
|<br>Ethiopia|474|9.4|1.5|2055|||||
|<br>Kenya|113|4.7|1.7|2035<br>|Latin America**nd**Caribben 947<br> <br>|2.1<br>|1.6<br>|2030<br>|
|Lesotho|6|3.6|1.5|2030|Antiguo nnd**Barbuda**<br>0.1|1.8<br>|1.7<br>|2030<br>|
|Madaoscar|42|3.7|1.5<br>|2030<br>|Argentina<br>54<br> <br>|1.7<br>|1.3<br>|2005<br>|
|Malaow|79|9.3|1.6|2055|Bahwzas, The<br>0.5|1.8|1.5|1990|
|<br>Mauritius|2|1.4|1.3|2030<br>|Barbdbs<br>0.3<br> <br>|1.1<br>|1.4<br>|2030<br>|
|Mozbique|93|5.9|1.5|2045|**Belize**<br>1|3.1|1.8|2020|
|<br>Hasibia|<br>6|4.1|1.6|2030|Bolivia<br>28<br>|3.8<br>|1.5<br>|2030<br>|
|R-union|1|18|1.5|1995|Brazil<br>304|2.0|1.5|2005|
|<br>|<br>|.<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>23|17|14|2000|
|awnC|71|9.9|1.6|2055|Chile<br> <br>|.<br>|.<br>||
|Shll|01|17|16|2005|Coloabia<br>64|1.9|1.6|2000|
|eycee<br>Somalti|.<br>41|.<br>6.6|.<br>1.5|<br>2050|<br>Costs Rica<br>6|2.0|1.7<br>|2005<br>|
|South Africa<br>|96<br>|2.7<br>|1.5<br>|2020<br>|Cubs<br>14<br> <br>|1.4<br>|1.3<br>17|2030<br>2000|
|**Sw zIland**|4|4.9|1.7|2035|Dominica<br>0.2|1.8|.||
|<br>Tanzanf1|189|7.6|1.5<br>|2050<br>|Dominican Rep.<br>15<br> <br>|2.1<br>|1.7<br>|2010<br>|
|**Uganda**|129|7.5|1.5|2050|Ecuador<br>26|2.5|1.7|2015|
|<br>**Zaire**|175<br>|4.9|1.5|2040|El Salvador<br>16<br> <br>|3.0<br>|1.7<br>|2025<br>|
|**Zadb1c**<br>|**5?**<br>|7.0<br>|1.6<br>|2045<br>|Grenada<br>0.2<br>Gdl<br>05|1.9<br>14|1.6<br>14|2005<br>1990|
|Zimbabu|29|3.0|1.7|2015|uaoupe<br>.<br>Guat emt<br>35|.<br>3.8|.<br>1.7|2030<br>|
|West Africa|1379|5.8|1.5|2060|Guyana<br>1<br> <br>|1.6<br>|1.5<br>|2000<br>|
|**Angolt**<br>|69<br>|6.9<br>|1.5<br>|2050<br>|Haiti<br>17<br>Hd<br>18|2.7<br>35|1.5<br>17|2025<br>2025|
|Benin<br>ki F|21<br>52|4.5<br>58|1.6<br>15|2035<br>2045|onuras<br> <br>Jamaica<br>4|.<br>1.5|.<br>1.6|1995|
|Burna aso<br>Cameroon|<br>75|.<br>6.3|.<br>1.6|<br>2045|<br>Martinique<br>0.4<br>|1.2<br>|1.3<br>|2030<br>|
|Cap Verde<br> <br> <br>|1<br>|3.4<br>|1.8<br>|2025<br>|Mexico<br>184<br> <br>|2.1<br>|1.7<br>|2005<br>|
|Central<br>Afrficn<br>Rep.|13|4.2|1.4|2035|Montserrat<br>0.02|1.5|1.4|2000|
|<br> <br> <br>Chad|30|5.3|1.4|2045|Netherlands Antilles<br>0.3<br> <br>|1.8<br>|1.5<br>|2030<br>|
|Congo,People'sRep. o<br>|f the<br>17<br>|7.7<br>|1.6<br>|2050<br>|Nicaragua<br>14<br> <br>5|3.6<br>19|1.7<br>16|2025<br>2000|
|Cote dlIvoire|95|7.7|1.6|2050|Panaen<br> <br>|.<br>|.<br>||
|Equatorial Guinea|1|3.8<br>|1.3<br>|2035<br>|Paraguay<br>13<br> <br>|3.1<br>|1.6<br>|2025<br>|
|Gabon|7|6.0|1.4|it45|Peru<br>50|2.3|1.6|2010<br>|
|<br>**Gambie,**The<br>|5<br>|6.3|1.4|2050<br>|St. Kitts nd Nevis<br>0.05<br> <br>|1.3<br>|1.6<br>|2000<br>|
|**Ghana**<br>|67<br>|4.5<br>|1.6<br>14|2035<br>2050|St. Lucie<br>0.3<br>St Vincent nd Grenadins<br>02|2.1<br>18|1.8<br>16|2005<br>2000|
|Guinea|34|5.9|.||.<br>.<br> <br>|.<br>|.<br>||
|Guiner-Sissau|4|4.5|1.3|2045|Surinwae<br>1|2.3|1.6|2010|
|<br>Liberif|<br>11|<br>4.4|<br>1.5|<br>2035|Trinidad and Tobago<br>2<br>|1.8<br>|1.5<br>|2005<br>|
|ti|63|75|15|2050|Uruguay<br>4|1.4|1.3|1995|
|ma<br>Mauritania|<br>14|.<br>6.8|.<br>1.4|<br>2050|<br>Virgin Islands (U.S.)<br>0.2|1.5<br>|1.5<br>|1995<br>|
|Niger<br>|83<br>|10.8<br>|1.5<br>|2060<br>|Venezuela<br>45<br> <br>|2.3<br>18|1.6<br>15|2010<br>2000|
|Nigeria|622|5.3|1.6|2040|Other Latin America (a)<br>0.4|.|.||
|<br> dii|<br>04|32|16|2025|||||
|SacTomanPrncpe<br>Senegal|<br>.<br>48|.<br>6.5|.<br>1.4|2045|Northern America<br>353|1.3|1.1|2030|
|<br>Sierra Leon|25|6.1|1.4|2050<br>|Canada<br>32<br> <br>|1.2<br>|1.2<br>|2030<br>|
|Togo<br>|19<br> <br>|5.3<br>|1.6<br>|2040<br>|United States of America<br>317<br> <br>4|1.3<br>12|1.1<br>14|2030<br>1995|
|OtherWestAfrica (c)|<br>0.01|1.6|1.4|2000|Puerto Rico<br> <br>Other Northern America (Ca)<sup>0.1</sup>|.<br>1.2|.<br>1.2|2030|
INTroaUCTION LXV

# **Tale** 13 (continued)

|Stationery|popula|tion<br>Popul|||Utstionary|populatio|n<br>Popula|-|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||<br>tion|Year||||tion|Yser|
||i<br>t|<br>|h||R|tft||- h|
|Countryoreconmy<br>Million|Rato<br>o<br>1990|<br> mamm<br>tun|-wen<br>NIRUI|Country or econmy|<br>lillione|aoo<br>1990|omar<br>tue|wen<br>NRRuI|
|Asia<br>6791|2.2|1.4|2055|EuropeandU.S.S.R.|919|1.2|1.1|2030|
|**East ad**SoutheastAsia<br>3046<br> <br>|1.7<br>|1.4<br>|2035<br>|Albania<br>|6<br>|1.9<br>|1.5<br>|2005<br>|
|Bruiei<br>1<br> <br>|2.2<br>|1.5<br>|2010<br>|Austria<br>|7<br>|0.9<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|China(exol.Taiwan)<br>1839<br> <br> <br>|1.6<br>|1.4<br>|2000<br>|Selgius<br>|9<br>|0.9<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Taiwon,<br>China<br>27<br> <br>|1.3<br>|1.4<br>|2030<br>|Bulpgari<br>|9<br>|1.0<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|longKong<br>6<br>|1.1<br>|1.2<br>|2030<br>|Chwwel Islsnd<br>|0.1<br>|1.0<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Indonesis<br>371<br> <br>|2.0<br>|1.5<br>|2005<br>|Czechoslovakia<br>|19<br>|1.2<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|
|Japan<br>121<br> <br>|1.0<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|Drmark<br>|5<br>|0.9<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Katuchea,DM.<br>19|2.3|1.3|2015|Finland|5|1.0|1.0|2030|
|Korea,**Dm.**Peopl's<br>Rep.of<br>40<br> <br>|1.9<br>|1.6<br>|1995<br>|Franee<br>|63<br>|1.1<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|
|<br>Korea,Rep.<br>56<br> <br>|1.3<br>|1.3<br>|2030<br>|German<br>Dm.Rep.<br>|15<br> <br>|1.0<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Lao**People's**DO. Rep.<br>19<br>|4.5|1.5|2035|Germany,Fed. Rep.of|<br>50<br>|0.8<br>|0.9<br>|2030<br>|
|<br>Hugo<br>1<br> <br>|1.5<br>|1.2<br>|1990<br>|Greo<br>|10<br>|1.0<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|
|**Molaysia**<br>40<br> <br>|2.3<br>|1.6<br>|2010<br>|Hungary<br>|10<br>|1.0<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Mongolia<br>6<br> <br>|2.9<br>|1.6<br>|2020<br>|Icoland<br>|0.4<br>5|1.5<br>14|1.3<br>|2030<br>1990|
|Nyarur<br>94|2.3|1.5|2010|Ireland|<br>|.<br>|1.3||
|<br>Philippines<br>140<br> <br>|2.2<br>|1.6<br>|2010<br>|Italy<br>|46<br>|0.8<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|singapore<br>4<br> <br>|1.3<br>|1.3<br>|2030<br>|Luxembourg<br>|0.4<br>|1.0<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Thailatd<br>103<br>|1.8|1.5|1995|Matta|0.4|1.3<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|
|Viet**lim**<br>160|2.4|1.6|2010|Netherlands<br>|14<br>|1.0<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|
|<br>||||Norway<br>|5<br>|1.1<br>|1.1<br>|2030<br>|
|South Asia<br>3208|2.7|1.5|2055|Poland|50<br>|1.3<br>|1.2<br>|1990<br>|
|Afghanistan<br>134<br> <br> <br>|6.6<br>|1.4<br>|2055<br>|Portugal<br>|11<br>|1.1<br>|1.2<br>|2030<br>|
|la<br>tgadesh<br>302<br> <br>|2.7<br>|1.5<br>|2020<br>|Romania<br>|31<br>|1.3<br>|1.1<br>|1985<br>|
|Bhutan<br>S|3.7|1.4|2035|Spain|41|1.0|1.2|2030|
|India<br>1870|2.2|1.4|2015|<br>Swden<br>|9<br>|1.1<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Iran,<br>Islaic<br>Rep.of<br>248<br> <br>|4.8<br>|1.6<br>|2040<br>|Switzerland<br>|6<br>|1.0<br>|1.0<br>|2030<br>|
|Matdives<br>1<br> <br>|4.8<br>|1.6<br>|2035<br>|UnitedKingdom<br>|61<br>30|1.1<br>13|1.1<br>2|2030<br>2030|
|Npepl<br>61|3.2|1.5|2030|YugosLavia||.|1.||
|<br>Pakistan<br>559<br> <br>|4.9<br>|1.6<br>|2040<br>|Other Europe**'a)**<br>|0.3<br>|1.3<br>|1.1<br>|1990<br>|
|SriLanka<br>28|1.7|1.5|1995|U.S.S.R.|400|1.4|1.2|1995|
|SouthwestAsi.<br>537<br>|4.1<br>|1.6<br>|2055<br>|Oceania|46|1.7|1.3|2040|
|Bahrain<br>1<br> <br>|2.5<br>|1.4<br>|2020<br>|||||'|
|Cyprus<br>1<br> <br>|1.4<br>|1.3<br>|1995<br>|Australia<br>|24<br> <br>1|1.4<br>1|1.2<br>16|030<br>2005|
|GazaStrip<br>3|5.3|1.7|2040|Fed.Statesof Micrones|a<br> <br>|.7<br>|.<br>||
|<br>Iraq<br>90<br> <br>|4.8<br>|1.7<br>|2035<br>|Fiji<br>|0.5<br>|2.4<br>|1.7<br>|2010<br>|
|Isrool<br>9<br> <br>|1.9<br>|1.5<br>|2005<br>|FrenchPolynesia<br>|0.2<br>|1.8<br>|1.5<br>|1995<br>|
|Jordan<br>17|5.3|1.7|2035|Gum|0.2|2.5|1.4|2020|
|Kwait<br>5<br>|2.3<br>|1.6<br>|2010<br>|Kiriboti<br>|0.3<br>|1.8<br>|1.5<br>|2000<br>|
|Lebanon<br>6<br> <br>|2.1<br>|1.6<br>|2010<br>|NewCaledonia<br>|4<br>|1.3<br>|1.2<br>|2030<br>|
|0an<br>11|6.8|1.6|2045|New**Zealand**|0.3|3.0|1.8|2020|
|<br>1|31|1|2030|Gi|11|29|14|2020|
|Qatar<br>|.|.3||Paa Newunea|<br>|.<br>|.<br>||
|SaudiArabla<br>93<br> <br>|6.6<br>|1.6<br>|2045<br>|Solomonlgad<br>|2<br>|5.5<br>|1.7<br>|2040<br>|
|Syrian Arab Rep.<br>74<br> <br>|5.9<br>|1.8<br>|2040<br>'|Tongs<br>|0.2<br>|2.1<br>|1.6<br>|2015<br>|
|Turkey<br>120|2.1|1.5|200|Vanuatu|1|3.9|1.7|2030|
|<br>United ArabEmirates<br>3<br>|2.2<br>|1.2<br>|2020<br>|Western Samoa<br> <br>|0.4<br>|2.4<br>|1.6<br>|2020<br>|
|West Sank<br>5<br> <br>|5.2<br>|1.7<br>|2035<br>|OtherMicronesia<br>(a)<br> <br>|0.3<br>|2.o<br>|1.6<br>|2015<br>|
|YemenArab Rep.<br>87|9.5|1.6|2055|OthorPolynesia<br>(a)|0.2|2.4|1.7|2010|
|<br>Yemen,<br>**People's**<br>**Dm.**Rep.<br>12|4.6|1.6|203:||||||

Note: Populations of more than 1 million have been rounded to the nearest million.

**a.** For listings of countries in the "other" categories, see Table 11.
**LU It4NTC"ON**

# APPENDIX: DATA AND<sup>METHODS</sup>

# Nature and Sources of Data

The key data for these projections are<sup>base-year (mid- 1985) total population estimates and</sup> age-ex structures, base-period (1985-90)<sup>mortality, fertility, and migration rates, and assumed trends</sup> in the rate. The sources of these<sup>data will be described, as well as the sources for similar data going</sup> beck to 1975 and for recent trend<sup>data on other indicators. A country-by-country listings of the</sup> sources of **base** data is in Table Al.

## _Popuiaon_ **_and Age-Sex Structure_**

Estimates of the total mid-year population<sup>in 1980 and 1985 are obtained from the most</sup> roeent reliable sources. As far as<sup>possible these are recent census totals projected to the desired</sup> year, with appropriate adjustments for<sup>under-reporting. A number of such estimates made by the</sup> United Nations (U.N.) Population Division<sup>(in the forthcoming</sup><sup>_World Population Prospects 1990)_</sup> have been adopted. For countries<sup>with dated or unreliable census data, other official estimates may</sup> be taken, often from the U.N. _Population_<sup>_and Vital Statistics Report_and occasionally from</sup> Sovernment publications. Other<sup>sources of estimates include Eurostat (1989) and the U.S. Bureau</sup> of the Cenwus (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and<sup>Engels 1987). The specific source of information for</sup> each country is listed in Table Al.

The mid-1985 population of each<sup>country is distributed by age and sex using a</sup> percentage distribution obtained<sup>from one of a few sources. One source is</sup><sup>_World Population_</sup> _Prospects 1988,_ which has distributions<sup>calculated by the U.N. Population Division from census data</sup> adjusted for age misreporting or estimated<sup>using stable population analysis. Other sources include,</sup> for most Sub-Saharan and a few<sup>other countries, World Bank or official estimates of curmnt age-sex</sup> distribution, frequently derived by<sup>stable population analysis. The age and sex distribution for 1980</sup> is based mainly on _World Population Prospects_<sup>_1988._</sup>

## **_Mortlty Data_**

Base-period mortality levels in<sup>the projections are represented by life expectancies at birth</sup> by sex and infant mortality rates<sup>for both sexes combined. Life expectancies for the quinquennia</sup> 1975-80, 1980-85 and 1985-90<sup>were obtained from a variety of sources. A preliminary version of</sup> _World Population Prosnects 1990_<sup>was a common source. Other figures are based on official or other</sup> estimates appearing ini _Population_<sup>_and Vital Statistics Report_orgovernment publications. A few</sup> figures are taken from the U.S. Bureau<sup>of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and Engels 1987),</sup> Eurostat (1989), and Monnier (1988).<sup>These sources often report mortality levels for periods other</sup> than the desired quinquennium, or<sup>give indices other than life expectancies, or both. Some estimation</sup> and projection is then necessary<sup>to obtain the right index. In some cases, a mortality estimate is first</sup> made for an earlier period, and<sup>an estimate for 1985-90 obtained by applying the projection</sup> methodology described below.<sup>Some Bank sources are also cited in Table Al: Bank sector reports;</sup> Bank assessments, involving unpublished<sup>analysis of census or survey data; and Bank estimates, or</sup> informed judgments for which no<sup>further source can be cited.</sup> Infant mortality rates, like life<sup>expectancies, were commonly taken from the preliminary</sup> version of _World Population_<sup>_Prospects 1990._However, a number are drr,wn from</sup><sup>_Population and_</sup> _Vital Statistics Report,_ and others<sup>are estimated from diverse data. In particular, several estimates</sup> are derived frcn recent Demographic<sup>and Health Surveys. Tke mortality risk for children under age</sup> S for the current period is derived<sup>from a model described below. For earlier periods, this indicator</sup>
**INTlOOUCaON LXW**

## **is of?n** ddived **hom** the U.N. publication _Mortalty of 0didren Under Age 5._

# **_F.adWy Dab_**

> Total felity rates for the qtlenquennia 1975-80, 1980-85 and 1985-90 are derived from the same mix of sources **as** mortality raes, including _World Population Prospects 1990;_ official sours, **as** cited in _Population and Vital Statiscs Report_ or in government publications; the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and Engels :987); and Monnier (1988). We also relied on various surveys, especially in the Demographic and Health Surveys series. Often, these sources give fertility estimates for a different period or in terms of the crude birth rate, and appropriate total fertility rates were obtained by projection of earlier estimat or approximated using **availabl data on** age-sex composition and age-specific fertility. Table Al lists the specific source of the bis dat for each country and also indicates some case where an informal Bank estimate was made in the absnce of reliable data.

## **_M1gradon Data_**

Estimates of net international migration in recent periods, by sex, were made from a review of international migration statistics published by national immigration agencies, statistical orgnizations, and other official and unofficial sources; from country population estimates and projctions produced by international and regional agonies, national census and statistics offices, other government organizations, interagncy task forces, and research insdtutions; and from discions with expert in the subject. Arnold (1989) summarizes all these estimates. Subsequent revisions have been made in a number of cases for consistency with other projection parameters or because of recent events. For instance, the numbers of migrants for European countries have been adjusted because of substantial flows out of Eastern Europe.

For purposes of these estimates, those who have resided in countries different from their previous residences for at least a year or who are believed likely to remain permanently in receiving countries are considered migrants. An exception are refugees living in officially designated camps, who continue to be counted in their countries of origin regardless of period of residence. Only net estimates by quinquennium were made; immigration and emigration were not estimated separately, and single-year figures were not assessed.

# _Other_ **_Daka_**

Data on 1988 GNP per capita are from the World Bank Socioeconomic Data Base, and are as of mid-1990. Density is calculated as population per square kilometer of land area. The data on urbanization (urban population as a percentage of total population) are from the U.N. publication _Prospects of World Urbanization 1988,_ supplemented by data from the World Bank. Government assessments cf population growth rate and fertility are from the population policy data bank maintained by the U.N. Population Division. The sources for contraceptive prevalence and contraceptive method mix data are given for each country in Table Al.

## Projection Methodology

Population projections were run by quinquennium using the cohort-component method (Shryock and Siegel 1975), as implemented in a microcomputer program, PROJ3L, developed for the Bank. (Hill 1990 documents PROJ3S, which is the same program except for allowing only 75-year rather than longer projections.) We describe here what assumptions were made about future trends in vital rates--mortality, fertility, and migration--for purposes of these projections.
LxVI INhOn OfuON Table Al Sources Country, conjeJy or territory Total population, mid-1955 Total fertility, 1985-90 Life expectancy, 1985-90 Afghanistan Bank projection from 1979 census, U.N. 1990 revision nc. Afghan refuge*s abroad Albania UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) **Based** on CBR, UNPVSR 10/89 Algeria lank projection from official 1/85 Bank sector report 6/88 est. American Samoa Samoa **U90C** 19e8 Based on CBR, UNPVSR 10/89 10/89 (official est.)est.) Bank **est.** U.N. 1990 rev'sion U.N. 1990 revision American Samoa Samoa **U90C** 19e8 Based on CBR, UNPVSR 10/89 10/89 USBOC 1988 (official est.)est.) Andorra US **OC 1963 Angola** U.N. 1990 rev!sion U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision Anguilla UNPVSR 1/87 Antfu **and U.N.** 1990 **revision Based** on **official CBR Based on official CMR Barbuda** Argentina U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision Aruba lased **on** UNPVSR 1987-89 - - Australia UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.) Based **on MR,** UNPVSR 10/88 U.N. 1990 revision (officiat est.) Austria UNPVSR 7/86 (official **est.)** Based on **onnier** 1988 Based on CDR (official **est.)** Bahamas, The UNDY 1986 Based on CBR, UNPVSP 4/87 Based **on** CDR, UNPVSR 10/89 (official **est.)** (official aet.) Bahrain Official est., Central Stat. Official **est.** (Central Stat. Based on official **est.,** Central Organization, 10/e9 Organization) Stat. Organization Bangladesh Bank projection from 1981 census Based on 1989 Fertii'zy Survey U.N. 1990 revision Barbados UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on CBR, UNPVSR 10/89 Based on CR, UNPVSR 10/89 (official est.) (official est.) Belgium Eurostat 1989 Based on CdR, rostat 1989 U.N. 1990 revision Belize UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Based on L 985 Based on USBOC 1985 lenin Bank projection from census Based or .1 survey and WFS Based on UFS Bermuda UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) Bhutan Official est. (Statistical Hand- U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision book of Bhutan 1985) Bolivia U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision Botswana Bank projection from 1981 census Based on OHS 1988 Based on OHS 1988 Brazil U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revisior British Virgin UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.) Istands Brunei Bank est. based on 1981 census Based on CBR, UNPVSR 10/88 Based on official est, for 1971 and and 1986 official est. (official est.) 1981, Economic Planning Unit Bulgaria Bank projection from 1985 census U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision Burkina Faso U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision Burundi Bank projection from 1979 census DHS 1987 Bank est. Cameroon Bank projection frou 1976 and 1987 Bank est. Based on WFS censuses **and** official 1987 est. Canada UWPVSR 7/86 (official est.) Official est., Population Official est., Population Projections for Canada, 1984-2006 Projections for Canada, 1984-2006 Cape Verde UNPVSR 10/89 Based on official CBR Based on official CDR Cayman Islands Central African U.N. 1990 revision Bank est. Based on 1975 census chiLd Rep. survival data
INTROoUCTION LXIX of Populatlo Data

|Infant<br>mortality<br>1985-90|**Age*seax**structure,<br>1985|Most recent<br>contraceptive<br>**prevalence**|_Cciuntry,_<br>econom<br>or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N.1990 revision|ank est.|Ross et**al.**<br>1988|Afghanistan|
|UUPVSR 10/89 (official<br>eat.)|U.N. 1988revision|-|Albania|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N.1988 revision|Mauldinand Segal 1988|Algeria|
|USEOC 1968|Bank est.|--|American Samoa|
||||Andorra|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N.1988 revision|Ross etal.1988|AngoLa<br>Angui l**la**|
|**Based**on officlal<br>est.|UNDY 1978|U.N. 1988|Antigua and<br>Barbuda|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N.1988 revision|-m|Argentina|
||||Aruba|
|_UNPVSS_4/87 (official<br>**est.)**|U.N.1988 revision|Pop. Ref. Bureau 1990|Australia|
|UIPV.I<br>10/88(official<br>est.)|U.N.1988 revision|U.N.1988|Austria|
|UhPVSR 10/89 (official<br>**set.)**|**Easedon**1980 census||Bahams,The|
|Official<br>**est.,**Central<br>Stat.|U.N.1988 revision||Bahrain|
|Organization||||
|U.N.1990 revision<br>|U.N.1988 revision<br>|Fertility<br>Survey 1989<br>|Banr'adesh<br>|
|**lased**onUNPVSR<br>10/89,<br>(off'ciatast.)|U.N.1988 revision|U.N.1988|Barbados|
|Euroi tat 1989|Eurostat<br>1989|U. N.1988|BeLgium|
|**Base**on USB8C 1985|**Based**on UNDY 1978|Pop.Ref.Bureau 1990|BeLize|
|Babedon**UFS**|Based**on**1979 census|Ross etal.1988|Benin<br>|
||||Bermuda|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N.1988 revision||Bhutan|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 1988revision|DHS 1989|Bolivia|
|**lased**onDNS 1988|U.N.1988 revision|DHS1988|Botswana<br>|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 1988revision|DHS 1986|Brazil|
||||British<br>Virgin<br>IsLands|
|Bank est.|Based on 1981 censusand<br> <br>||Brunei|
||official<br>projection|||
|UNPVSR 10/89 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988revision|U.N.1988|Bulgaria|
|U.N.1990 revision|Bank st.|--|Burkina faso|
|BasedonDHS 1987|U.N.1988 revision|DHS 1987|Burundi|
|U.N. 199revision|**Based**on 1976 census|iFS 1978|Cameroon|
|UlPVSR 10/89 (official<br>est.)|Official<br>ast.,Population<br>Projections<br>for Canada,1984-2006|Mauldin<br>and 3egal1988|**Canada**|
|U.N.1990 revIsion|<br>**lased**on 1980 censu|--|Cape Verde|
||||Cayman IsLands|
|U.N.1990revision|**Based**on 1975 cenwus|-|Central<br>African<br>Rep.|
LXX INThoCUCTION

# Td1t Al (continued)

|Country,<br>econr.,or<br>territory|Totalpopulation,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985 90|Lifo expectancy,<br>1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|
|Chad<br>Channl Islandb<br>|U.N.1990revision<br>Bonk_eat._**based**on 1981 and 1986<br>**cenaes**<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based on C8R, UNPVSR<br>10/89<br>(officiaL<br>.st.)<br>|U.N. 1990 rovision<br>Basedon CDR,UNPVSR10/89<br>(official<br>eSt.)<br>|
|Chilo<br>China (exel.<br>Taiwan)<br>Coloabis<br>CrmoroS<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Bankeat. based on official<br>est.,<br>Statistical<br>Yearbook,<br>1989<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br>Bank projection<br>from census,<br>excl<br>Nayotte (pop.<br>50.14 thousand)<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based onCBR from 1987<br>DemographicSurvey<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br>. Banksector report|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based on Bank report<br>3/88<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based on**Bank**<br>sector report|
|Congo,<br>Peopleos<br>Rep. of the<br>|Bank projection<br>from 1984 census<br> <br> <br>|Bank estimate|U.N. 1990 revisIon|
|Cook Islands<br>|USPVSR<br>4/90 (official<br>eat.)<br> <br> <br>|--<br>||
|Costa RICa|Official<br>est.,<br>Direccion General<br>de Estadistica<br>y Censos|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|C6te d'Ivoire<br>Cubs|U.N. 1990 revision<br>UNPVSR 10/86 (efficial<br>eat.)<br> <br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>Based on CBR, UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1988 revision<br>Based on CDR, UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|
|Cyprus|Based on PVSR 4/87 (official<br>*st.)|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Czechoslovakia<br>Dsourk<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Eurostat<br>1989<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Eurostat<br>1989<br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>Eurostat<br>1989<br>|
|Djibouti<br>Dominica|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Official<br>est., OECS Stat.<br>Digest<br>1)87|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based on CBR, UNPVSR10/89|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based on CDR, UNPVSR10/89<br>(officiat<br>est.)|
|Dominican<br>Rep.<br>Ecuador<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>,HS 1987<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Egypt|Bnk**est.**<br>based on de facto est.<br>of census 11/86|Based onprelim. report,DHS 4/89|Based on prelim.<br>report,<br>OHS 1988|
|El Salvador<br>Equatorila<br>Guines<br>|U.N. 1990revision<br>Bankprojection from 1983 census<br>and 1982 household listing<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Bank est.|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Bank**est.**|
|Ethiopis<br>|Official<br>est.,CentraL Stat.<br>Authority1988<br>|Official<br>est., Central Stat.<br>Authority1988|Bank sector report|
|Faeroe IsLands<br> <br>|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>**ost.)**<br> <br>|||
|Fatkiand<br>Islands|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)|||
|Federated<br>States<br>of Micronesis<br>FiJi|Official<br>est., ESCIA Stot. Year-<br>book for Asia and Pacific,<br>1988<br> <br>|Based on USSOC 1988 est. for<br>PacificIslands<br>|Based on USBOC 1988 for Pacific<br>Islands<br>|
||Bank est. based on census<br>8/86|USBOC 1988|U.N. 1990revision|
|Finland|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on CBR, UNPVSR 10/89<br>(officiat<br>**est.)**|Based on COR, UNPVSR 10/89<br>(official<br>eSt.)|
|Francs|Eurostat<br>1989|Eurostat<br>1989|Eurostat<br>1989|
|French Guiana<br>|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>**est.)**<br> <br>|||
|Frenchnolynesf|a**Based**<br>**on**PVSR10/83(of'icial<br>est.)|USBOC19S8|USBOC1988|
|Gabon<br>|Bank projection<br>from1960 census<br> <br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank**est.**<br>|
|Gmbia, The<br> <br>|Bankprojection<br>from 1983census<br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank**et.**<br>|
|**Gaza**<br>Strip|Bank est.|Based or CBRfromWest Bank**Data**<br>Base Project 1987|USBOC1988|
INOOUC1nON UCxI Country, Most recent *concm,- or Infant mrtality, 1965-90 **Age-sex** structure, 1985 contraceptive prevalence territory U.N. 1990 rovisIon Bank est. IPPF Chad UNPYSA 10/89 (official est.) UNDY 1981 - Chanoi Islands U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision Ross et al. 1988 Chile U.N. 19O revision Bcsed on Bank report 1988 Ross *t al. 1988 China (exeL. Tai wan) U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision DHS 1986 Colombio U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision Comoros Sased on 1984 census Bank st. -- Congo, Peoples Rep. of the Cook Island U.N. 199 revilson U.N. 1988 revision Ross *t at. 1988 Costs Rica U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision Ross et at. 1988 Cote d'Ivoire UNPVYS 10/U (officiol est.) U.N. 1988 revision Ross et **et.** 1988 Cuba **BSed** on ULLPVU 10/89 U.N. 1988 revision Cyprus (officat est.) _UNPVYS_ 10/t (official est.) U.N. 1988 revision Survey 1977 Czechoslovskia Euroetat 1969 Eurostat 1989 U.N. 1988 Donmark U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision -- Djibouti Based on official INK Based on UNDY 1970 -- Dominica U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision DHS 1986 Dominican Rep. U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision DHS 1987 Ecuador U.N. 198 revision U.N. 1988 revision DHS 1988 Egypt U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision CPS 1988 El Salvador U.N. 1990 revisicn Bank st. -- Equatorial Guinea U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1988 revision Ross et a*. 1988 Ethiopia -FVroe Islnds Falkland Islands **Based on** US=OC 1968 for Pacific Bank est. Federated States Isarnds of Micronesia USOCC 1968 U.N. 1988 revision Ross et **Al.** 1988 Fiji Nonnitr 1966 U.N. 1988 revision U.N. 1968 Finland Eurostat 1989 Eurostat 1989 U.N. 1988 France French Guian USSC 1966 Bank est. French Polynesia U.N. 1990 revision Bank **est.** Gabon U.N. 1990 revision Bank est. IPPF Gambia, The USSOC 1986 Bank est -. **Gaza** Strip U.N. 1990 revision U.N. 1990 revision USSOC 1986
LJCXN INTRODUCTION

# TdeI Al (continued)

|Country,<br>ecow<br>,or<br>territory|**Total**<br>population, mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|Lifeexpectancy,<br>1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|
|Germn Dm.lRp.<br>Ger_any,<br>**Federal**<br>|UkPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)<br> Eurostst 1989|Based onCBR,UNPVSR<br>10/88<br>Monnier1988|U.N.1990 revision<br>U.N. 1990 revision|
|Rep. of<br>||||
|**_Ghwn_**<br>|Official<br>est.<br>|DHS1988|U.N.1990 revision|
|Gibraltor<br>|UNPYSI1/87 (official<br>est.)<br>|||
|Grece<br>|Eurostat 1989<br> <br> <br>|Based on Eurostat 1989|**Based**on CDR|
|Grenland|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (offIcial<br>est.)|||
|Grende<br>|Official<br>est.,OECS Statistical<br>Diest1987<br>|Based on official<br>1980-85**est.,**<br>Ministry ofFinance<br>|Based on official<br>1980-85 est.,<br>Ministry of Finance<br>|
|Guadoloupe<br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>|Basedon CBR<br> <br>|U.N.1990 revision<br> <br>|
|Guam<br>|U#O 1968<br>|USBOC<br>1988<br>|USBOC<br>1988<br>|
|**Guateasla**<br>|U.N. 1i90 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Guina<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 19<br>revision<br>|U.N. 1988 revision<br>|
|**Guinra-BisCu**|Sank projection<br>from fS/9 census|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|
|Guyan<br>|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>sst.)<br>|Basedon official<br>CBR<br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>|
|Haiti<br>|U.N.1968 revision<br>|U.N.1988 revision|U.N.1990 revision|
|NolySee<br>|UliPVR 1/87 (official<br>eat.)<br>|||
|Nordura.|U.N.1990 revision<br>|U.N.1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>|
|Hong Kcng|U.N.1990 revision<br> <br>|Based on CBR, UNPVSR<br>4/90<br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>|
|;ungary|Official<br>**at.,**Stat.Pocket Book<br>|Monnier 1988|U.N.1990 revision|
||1987|||
|Iceland<br>India|UIPVSR 7/86 (official<br>e*t.)<br>Sankprojection from adjusted<br>1981cenus|U.N.1990 revision<br>Based on USBOC<br>1988|U.N.1990 revision<br>U.N.1990 revision|
|Indonesis|Official<br>est., Biro Pusat<br>Statistik<br>1988|Based on OHS 1987|Based on UHS 1987|
|Iran, Islmic<br>|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>**est.)**|U.N. 1988 revision|Bank est.|
|Rep. of||||
|<br>Iraq<br>Ireltnd|U.N. 1990 evision<br>Eurostat 1989|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Eurostat 1989|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Based on CDR|
|**!sle**ofMan|US80C 19S|||
|Isroel|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N.1990 revision|U.N.1990 revision|
|Italy|Eurostat 1989<br>|Eurostat 1989<br>|Basedon CDR, Eurostat 1989<br>|
|Jamics|U.N.1990 revision<br> <br> <br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>|U.N.1990 revision<br>|
|Japan<br>|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N.1990 revicton|U.N. 190revision|
|Johnston**IsLand**|**Based**on UNPVSR<br>4/90|||
|Jordan ;East<br>|**Based**on o'ficial<br>**est.,**Stat.<br>|Bank**est.**|U.N.1990 revision|
|Bank)|Yearbook 1987|||
|Kaspuches,Dem.|U.N.1990 revision|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|**Kenya**|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 190revision|U.N.1990 revision<br>|
|Kiribati|Bank projection from 1985census|USBOC<br>1988|USBOC<br>1988|
|**Korea,**Peoplo's<br>|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 190revision|U.N.10<br>revision|
|Dam. Rep.of||||
|<br>Korea,lap.Of|Official<br>**eat.,**Economic Planning<br>|Based on CBR from Continuous<br>|U.N. 1990revision|
||**Board**1968|Seapting Survey 1989||
|**Kuwait**|UIIPVSR<br>4/87 (OfficisL<br>est.)|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|**Lao People's**<br>Dam. Rlp.|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
INTROOUCTuON LX)4N

|Infant<br>moetality,<br>196-90|**Age-sex**structure,<br>1985|Most recent<br>contraceptive<br>prevasence|Country,<br>**economy,**or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|UNPVSR_10/68_(official<br>**est.)**|<br>U.N. 1988 revision|--|German<br>Dam. Rep.|
|Ewuo.tat1989|Eurostat<br>1989|U.N. 1988|Germny, Federal<br>Rep. of|
|U.N. 1990 revision|Blsed on 1970 census|DHS 1988|<br>Ghana|
||||Gibraltar|
|UNPVSR 10/89 (official<br>*t.)|Eurostat 1989|-|Greece|
||||**Greenland**|
|Bank**st.**|Bank est.|U.N. 1990|Grenada|
|U.N. 1990revision|U.N. 1988 revision|U.N. 1990|Guadeloupe|
|US40C1966|Bank**est.**|-|Guam|
|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1988 revision<br>|DHS 1997<br>|Guatemala<br>|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|IPPF|Guinea|
|Bankst.|Bankest.|IPPF|Guinea-Bissau|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|Pop. Ref. Bureau 1990|Guyan|
|U.N. 196revision|U.N. 1988 revision|Ross et**at.**1988|Naiti|
||||NoLySee|
|U.N. 1990 revIsion<br>|U.N. 19<br>revision<br>|Ross**atat.**1988<br>|Honduras|
|UNPVSR10/89 (official<br>ast.)|U.N. 1988 revision|Ross at***L.**1988|Hong Kong|
|<br>UNYWSI 10/88 (offfcial<br>ast.)|1980 census|CPS 1986|Nungary|
|UNPVSR 10/89(official<br>st.)|U.N. 1988 revision||Iceland|
|U.N. 1990revision|Bamed on 1981 census|Ross at aL. 1988|India|
|Basedon ONS 1987|OfficiaL<br>**est.,**<br>Biro Pus.t|DNS 1987|Indonesia|
||Statistik<br>1988|||
|lank st.|Bank est.|Ross**at**aL. 1988|Iran, Islamic<br>|
||||Rep. of|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|Ross et at. 1988|<br>Iraq|
|Eurostat<br>19j19|Eurostat<br>1989|Pop. Ref. Bureau 1990|Ireland|
||||Isle of Man|
|UNPVSR 10/89<br>(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision|--|Israel|
|Eurostat<br>1989<br>|Eurostat<br>1989|U.N. 1988|Italy|
|**oased**on UIPVSR1/88|U.N. 1988 revision|CPS 1989|Jamaica|
|U.N. 1990revision|U.N. 1988 revision|CPS 1986|Japan|
||||Johnston<br>Island|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|Ross**at**aL. 1988|Jordan (East<br>lank)|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|--|KBanukheDe.|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|DNS 1989|Kenya|
|<br>USBOC 1988|<br>Bankest.|-|Kiribati|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|--|Korea,People's|
||||Dem. Rep. of|
|U.N. 990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|CPS 1985|<br>Korea, Rep. Of|
|Based on official<br>1986**est.**|U.N.1988revision|--|**Kuwait**|
|U.N. 1990revision|U.N.1988 r.<br>vision|--|Lao**People's**|
||||Dem.Rep.|
LXXav IN

# **1dAo Al Countinu** d)

|Country,<br>econom,or<br>territory|Total<br>populaton, mid-1965|Total_fertility,_19M-90|Life expectancy, 1965-90|
|---|---|---|---|
|Lb non|U.N. 1990**revision**<br>|U.N. 1990revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Lesotho<br>|**atnk**<br>projection<br>from 1966 census<br>|**Eased**onUFS1977<br>OHS 196|WFS 1977<br>Iank**est**|
|Liberia|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|<br>|**.**<br>|
|Libya<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Llechtenstein|UNPVSU 1/87 (Official<br>est.)<br> <br>||<br>|
|LuxJedourg|lurostat<br>1989|EurostAt 1989<br>|Eurostat<br>1989<br>|
|"tcoo|UNPVYS 4;87 (offieial est.)|Eased on CON,UNPMSI10/89<br>(official est.)|Based onPop. Ref. Bureau 1988|
|**Madagasear**<br>Malass<br>Malaysia|UNPVSP 10/89 (official est.)<br>Iankprojection<br>from 1967nonsus<br>Official<br>at.,<br>Dept. of<br>Statistics<br>1967<br>|**Eases on**1960**survey**<br>**Eased on**1977 census<br>Based on CU, UNPVSR 10/89<br>(official<br>st.)<br>|**Easd on**1980**and**1984 surveys<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br>U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Naldives|**Bank**projection<br>from 1965 cenus|**Eased**on officialCIA for<br>1960-05|US=oc 1966<br> <br>|
|ali|Bank projection<br>from 1967 census|OHS 1987<br>|Basd<br>on 1960-61 survey**and**1976<br>cenus<br>|
|lta|U.N. 1990 revision|**Based**on**CIR,**UNPVS 10/89<br>(officiat est.)<br>|U.N. 1990revision<br>|
|Nartinle|U.N. 1990revision<br>|**Based on**official CIO<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Mauritania|U.N. 1990 -evision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Mauritiue|UNPVSI 4/67 (official est.)|U.N. 1990 revision|Eased on CDR,UMPVSR 7/86<br>(official at.)|
|Mexico|UNPVSR 4/87 (official est.)<br>|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Midway Islands|**sexd on**UNPVSR 4/90<br>|||
|Monaco|UNPVSR 1/67 (officilt est.)|||
|Mongolia|U.N.1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Montearrat|UNDY 1966<br> <br>|Eased on UNPVSR1/87<br>|**Eased**on CDR, UNPVSR 1/87<br>|
|Norocco|Bank projection<br>from 1909<br>official<br>est.<br>|**Based on**DNS1967<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|
|Mozazique<br>|_Bank_projection<br>from 1980 census<br>|Bank**est.**<br>|**Eased on**official<br>CDR<br>1<br>ii|
|Myiv*-r<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 99<br>revson<br>UN 1990 ii|
|Namibia|Bank projoction<br>fromunpublished<br>|<br>U.N. 1990 revision|.. revson|
||5/a1cesus|||
|Nauru|Basod onUNPVSR<br>4/90|||
|Nepal|Bank est. based on official ast.|**Eased**on**governmn**t survey|U.N. 1990 reviJion<br>|
|Notherlands|surostat 1909|Eurostat 1989<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Notherlndo|Bank est. based on adjusted 1971|Eased**on**USBOC 1967|**Eased on**US8OC1987|
|Antills|and 1961 censuss (exel. Arube)|||
|New Caledonio|Bank**set. based**on 193 ceonsus<br> <br>|USROC 1966|USBOC1988|
||**rnd6/86 official**<br>est.|||
|Now Zoeland|**Bank**projection from official<br>3/65 *et.|Eased on official *st.,Official<br>Yearbook1987-88<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Nicoragus|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990revision<br> <br>|
|Niger|**Bank**projection<br>from 1986 census<br>|U.N.1990revision<br>|U.N. 190<br>revision<br>|
|Migerif|Bankproj etionfromofficial<br>|Based on DNS resultfor Ondo<br>|U.N. 1990revision|
||dots|State||
|Niue|UNPVSR1/67 (official<br>est.)|||
INTROoUCTION LXXV

|Infant owtality,<br>I96590|Age*sex structure, 196|fMetrecent<br>contraceptive preval,nce|Country,<br>eonosy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 19<br>revision<br>|RoseSt**at.**1986<br>|Lebanon<br>|
|U.N. 1990 roviefon<br>|U.N. 19M revision<br>|WFS1977<br>|Lesotho<br>|
|SMnket.<br>|U.N. 196 revision<br>|ONS1966|Liberia|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1968 revision|--|Libyo|
||||Liechtenstein|
|Euroetat1969|Eurostat1989|--|Luxowbourg<br>|
|S**oed on**Pop.**Ref.**Bureeu1966|lank *st.||MaCoa|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision||_Madagascar_|
|U.N. 1990 revision|lank<br>ct.|_U.N._198|Malawi|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 196 revision|_Room_ct al. 1968|MaLovio|
|ESCM**Stat.**Yerbook for Asia|Sank St.||M-ldivyes|
|and the Paefie 1966||||
|U.N. 1990revision|Sank<br>*st.|OHS 1967|Roli|
|U.N. 196 revision|U.N.198 revision|-N|M ta|
|U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 196 revision|**lcesat at.**19<br>|Martinique|
|U.N.1990 rovision|Sankest.|**urS**19J1|Mauritania|
|U.N.1990revision|U.N.1V8revision|CPS1965|Mauritius|
|U.N. 1968rovision|U.N.1M revision|OHS 1967|iexico|
||||Midway Islands|
||||<br>Monaco|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N.198revision|-|Mongolia|
|**Sank**projection<br>|**Eased**on UNOY 19U4<br>|U.N. 1968|Monterrat|
|**Basd**onONS1987|U.N.196revision|OHS 1987|Morocco|
|U.h. 1990revision|U.N. 1968 revision||Mozaeb que|
|U.N.1990revision<br>|U.N. 196 revision<br>|Rossetat.198t|Myarwr<br>|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1968 revision|-|_Namibia_|
||||L.uru<br>|
|GoverwmInt Survey|Sank est.|Ross et**L.**198|Nepal|
|<br>Eurootat 1969|Eurostat 1989|U.N.1968|Netherliads|
|Easodon USSOC 1987|Basedon UNDY 1960|-|Netherlands|
||||Ant**lies**|
|USOC198|Sa* et.||New Caledonia|
|U.m.1990revision|U.m. 19<br>revision|U.N. 1988|New ZeaLan|
|U.N.1990revision|U.N. 198 revision|Ross etL.198|Nicaregu|
|U.N.1990revision|**Basedon**1977 de jure poputation|IPPF|Niger|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N.16 revision|OHS 1986-87<br>for Ondo State|Nigoerf|
||||Niue|
LXXM INTRODUCTION

**ale** A1 (continued)

|**ountry,**<br>**.ronn,**or<br>erritory|Total population, mid-1985|Total fertility, 1985-90|Life expectancy, 1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|
|orway|UNPVSR 7/86(official<br>est.)|Based**on**CBR,UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official est.)<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|omn<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|akistan|lank projection from 1981<sup>census</sup><br>|Bankest.<br>|Bank est.<br>|
|en<br>m|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|**apus**New**CGirne**|U.N. 1990<sup>revision</sup>|U.N. 1990revision|U.N.1990 revision|
|**Paraguay**|**U.N. 1990**revision<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|_U.N._1990 revision<br> !Bank assessment<sup>for</sup>|
|Peru|lankprojection<br>from adjusted<br>1981**census**|Projected from Bank assessment<br>for<br>1980-85<br>|Projectedrom <br>1980-85<br>|
|**Phitliwppns**|Bank projection from adjusted<br>1960 census|Bank est. based on**CBR**|BankoSL.|
|itcnirn**Island**|Bank**est.**<sup>**based on**12/89 census</sup><br>|||
|Polnd|UWPVSR<br>7/86 (officiaL<br>est.)|U.W. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|
|**Portugal**<br>|**Eurostat 1989**<br>|Eurostat1989<br>|Eurostat<br>1989<br>|
|Puerto Rico|UNOY1986 (officiaL est.)<br>|Based on CBR<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|**Qatar**|**Sankest.**based on1986 census|U.N.1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|Rdunion|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N 1990 revision<br>1990 ii|
|**Ro~nia**|UNPVSR 10/89 (official est.)<br>|U.W. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. revson<br>UN1 ii|
|ewanda<br>|Bank**est.**<br> <br>|Bank**est.**<br>|..990 revson|
|son harino|UNPVSR 1/87 (OfficiaL estL<br>)|-e||
|Sob Tomd**and**<br>Principe|UNPVSR10/89 (officiaL est.)|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|
|Saudi Arabia|**U.N.**1990 revision|U.N. 1990 r*vi*ion<br>|U.W. 1990 revision<br>|
|**_negal**|Bank projection from 1988 census<br>|DHS 1986|Based on country life table by<br>Abank, D. (unpubl. manuscript)<br>|
|zychelles|UNPVSR4/87(officiaL<br>est.)<br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|
|**ierra Leone**|Bank projection from 12/85 census<br>|<sup>Based on 1974 census</sup><br>|Bank est.<br>|
|ingapore|UNPVSR**6/86**(official est.)|Based on CSR, UNPVSR 1/89<br>(official est.)|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|clomon Islands|Bank p ojection<sup>from 1986 census</sup><br>|USBOC 1988<br>|Based on official 1980-84<sup>est.,</sup><br>Statistical Bulletin, Honiara<br>|
|-mlmia|Bank projection from adjusted<br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|
||1975 cansus|||
|auth Africa|U.N.**1"99**revision|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|.N. 99C revision<br>|
|Spain|Eurostat 1989|Based on Eurostat 1989<br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|ri**Lanka**|UhPVSR 4/87 (official est.)|Brsed on DHS 1987|_U.N._1990 revision|
|t.**HeLena**|UNPVSR 1/89 (official**est.),**<sup>incl.</sup><br>**Ascencfon**and Tristan da<sup>**Cunha**</sup><br>|||
|t.Kitts**and**|Official est., Statistics<sup>office,</sup>|<sup>Based on official CBR, Statistics</sup><br>|<sup>Based on official CDR, Statistics</sup><br>|
|**Nevis**|Platning Unit|Office, Planning Unit|Office, Planning Unit<br>|
|t. Lucia|UNPVSR 7/66 (official est.)<br>|Based on official CBR|Based on official COR|
|t. Pierre<br>and|UWPVSR 1'87 (Official<br>est.)|||
|Miquelon||||
|t. Vincent<br>nd<br>|Bankest.from adjusted<br>1980<br> <br>|Based on UNFVSR 10/89|Based on CDR, UNPVSR 10/89|
|the Grenadines<br>Sudan|censuswndofficial<br>1988est.<br>U.N.1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
INThCOLCT1ON LXXvI

|Infant mortatity,<br>198-90|**Ago-sox**<br>structure,<br>1985|Mostrecent<br>contraceptive<br>prevalence|Country,<br>aconmy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|UNPVSR<br>10/89 (offIeial<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision|U. . 1988|Norway|
|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|U.N. 1988 revision<br>||_Owmn_|
|U.N. 1990 revision|Bankest.|CPS 1984485|Pakistan|
|U.M. 1990 revision|U.N.1988 revision|RossSte.l1988|Pan<br>am|
|ESCUAStat.<br>Yearbookfor Asia<br>|U.N. 1988 revision|Pop,Ref.Bureau 1990|Papua New Guinea|
|nd the Paeffic 1968||||
|U.N. 1990 revisIon|U.N. 1988 revision|Ross at at. 1988|Paraguay|
|U.N. 1990 ravlalon|U.N. 1988 revision|OHS 1986|Peru|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|CPS1986|PhilIppines|
||||Pltcalrn<br>Island|
|UNPVSi 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision|U. . 1988|Poland|
|Eurostat<br>1989|Eurostat<br>1989|U.N. 1988|Portugal|
|UWPVSI 10/89|U.N. 1988 revision|Aess St at. 198|Puerto<br>Rico|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|-|Octcr|
|U.N. 1990 revisIon|U.N. 1988 revision||Reunion|
|Based on officiat<br>est.|U.N. 1988 revision|U.N. 1988|Romwnia|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|Ross et aL. 1988|Rwanda|
||||San Marino|
|8Snkest.|Bankest.||Sa TomTand|
||||Principe|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N.1988revision||SaudiArabia|
|Bnk est.|Official<br>est.|DHS1986|SenegcL|
|UNPVSR<br>7/1988|Based on UNDY 1984||Seychelles|
|U.N. 1990 ravislon|Bank<br>.st|Ross etcL.1988|SIerra Leon|
|UWPVSR 1/89 (officlat<br>est.)|U.N. 1988revision|Ross at at. 1988|Singapore|
|Bank**est.**|Bank est.|Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988|SoLomon<br>Islands|
|U.N. 1990 revision|Bank est.|RossStaL.1988|Somatia|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 19U8 revision|U.N. 1988|South<br>Africa|
|Based on Eurostat 1989|Eurostat1989|U.N. 1988|Spain|
|Based on DHS 1987|UN. 1988 revision|OHS1987|Sri**Lanka**|
||||St. Helena|
|**Based**on official<br>MR, StatistIc|s<br>Based or 1980 census|U.N. 1988|St. KItts and|
|Office,<br>Plaaning<br>Unit|||Nevis|
|<br> <br>Based on officiel<br>eat.|Based on 1980 census|U.N.198|St. Lucia|
||||St. Pierre<br>and<br>|
||||Niquelon|
|UNPVSR 10/89|Based on UNDY 1983|U.N. 1988|St. Vincent<br>and<br>|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision|WFS 1979|the Granadines<br>Sudan|
# **Table Al (cntinued)**

|Conmtry,<br>econoWy or<br>territory|Total population, mid-1965|Total fortility, 195-90|Life expectancy, 1M5-9|
|---|---|---|---|
|Surirnm|Official est., Central Sureau of<br>Civil Affairs|**laced**on officiaL CM, Central<br>Bureau of Civit Affairs|aosd on official CDR, Central<br>Bureau of Civil Affairs|
|Swaziland<br>S-eden|U.N. 1990 revision<br>UNPVSh 4/87(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1990 revision<br>acsedon CER, UNPVSR 10/89<br>(officiat et.)|U.N. 1990 revision<br>U.N. 1990 revision|
|Switzerland|UNPYS 4/87 (official ect.)|**Based**on CSR, UNPVSR 10/89<br>(official est.)|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Syrian ArabRep.<br>Taiwan, China|U.N. 1990 revision<br>**_Base_**on offieial<br>est.,Stat.<br>Data**ook**1967|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Baeed onCR,Taiwan Stat.<br>**DOta**<br>look 1957|U.N. 1990 revision<br>**Based on**CDR**Taiwn Stat. Data**<br>Book 1967|
|Tan4znia|**Bank**projection from 1978 and<br>19"<br>censs|Sank ast.|**Bank**est.|
|Thailand|Official**est.,**<br>National Econ.<br>**and So. Devlopment**Board.1985|U.N. 190 revision<br>|Based on government projection,<br>1965|
|Togo<br>Toketou Islands|<br>**Bank**projection<br>from 1961 census<br>BSed on UNPVSR 4/90|OHS<br>ON<br>7|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Tongs|Bank projection from 1984<br>|USIOC 1968|Sank**est.**|
||mini -csnsu4|||
|Trinidd<br>nd<br>Tobao|U.N. 1990 revision|lasedon OHS1967|U.N. 1990 revisian|
|Tunisca|UNPSMt 1/88 (official<br>cst.)|Based on OHS 1966|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Turkey|Official est.|Based on Population and Health<br>Survey,<br>1968|U.N. 1990 revision|
|Turks**and**Caicos<br>**Istands**|UNPVS4 1/87 (Official est.)|||
|Tuvalu|Based on UNPVSR 4/90|||
|Ugand|Official<br>est.|OHS 1988/69|lankest.|
|United Arab<br>Emirates|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|United Kingdom|Eurostat 1989|Eurostat 1989|U.N. 1990 revision|
|United States of<br>America|UNPVSR 7/86 (official est.)|lased on CBR (official est.)|U.N. 190 revision|
|Uruguay|Official**est.**of 198S census|**lasee**on official est. from 198S<br>cenus|**Based**on 1965 census|
|U.S.S.R.<br>Vanuatu|Sank projection from 1989 census<br>Official set.,**Stat.**Office,<br>1988|lasedonNonnier 1988<br>USBOC 1988|U.N. 1990 revision<br>Bank**est.**|
|Venezuela|UNPVSR 1/87 (official est.)|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|
|VietaM|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1990 revision|**Eased**on Sank report|
|Virgin Islands<br>(U.S.)|USIOC 1905|Basedon CBR from USIOC 1987|Based on CDR, UHPVSR 10/89<br>(officiat est.)|
|Wake Island|**Bsed**on UNPVSR 4/90|||
|<br>Wallis**and**|<br>**Based**on UNPVSR 4/90|||
|Futuna||||
|West Bank|**lankest.**|**Based**onCURfrom West Bank Data<br>|Sank est.|
|||**Base**Project 1987||
|Western Sahara|Based**on**UWPVSR4/90|||
INTroGucTION LXXIX

|Infantwortality<br>1905M90|**Age-sex**structuro,1985|NMetrecent<br>contraceptive<br>**prevatlnce**|Country,<br>eonxy,or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|Bank<br>projection|U.N. 19U revision|-|Surin_|
|U.N.1990<br>revision<br>UNPVSN<br>10/6U (official<br>est.)|**SBkest.**<br>U.N.<br>1968<br>revision|Pop.<br>Ref.Bureau<br>1990<br>U.N.<br>1968|Swaziland<br>Sweden|
|WIPYIR<br>10/P9<br>(official<br>oet.)|U.N.<br>19<br>revision|U.N. 1966|Switzerlnd|
|U.N. 19O revision<br>**Bad**on U-lOC<br>1967|U.N. 19 revision<br>Taiwan<br>Stt. Date<br>Book<br>1967|IfS<br>1976<br>Ross<br>et al. 19|Syrian<br>Arab<br>Rep.<br>Taiwan,<br>Chin.|
|**nkoot.**|**Bnkest.**|Roes<br>at**el.**1966|Tanzania|
|_Based_onOD$1967|U.N. 1966 revision|DNS1967|Thailand|
|U.N. 1990 revieon|Onk**est.**|DNA19U6|Togo<br>|
||||Tok*lau lslands|
|USUOC191|Bnkest.|-|Toa|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1966 revision|DSN 1967|Trinided**and**<br>Tobogo|
|_Based_on DM 1906<br>|U.N. 1968 revision<br>|**DhS196**<br> <br>|Tunisia<br>|
|Based on Popultion_w*_HeaLth<br>Survey 1966|U.N.1966 revision|Fertility<br>and Health Survey 1968|Turkey|
||||Turks and Caicos<br>IstIes<br>|
||||Tuvalu|
|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|Sutet.<br>|DhS1986-89|Uganda|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1968 revision|-|United Arab<br>E irate|
|Eurostat<br>1969<br> <br>|Eurostat<br>1989|U.N. 1988|United Kingdom|
|UNPYSS<br>10/89(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1968 revision|Ross et *.1 19|United States<br>of<br>America|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1968 revision|--|Uruguay|
|_sum_**andPressat**1987<br>|U.N. 196 revision|-|U.S.S.R.|
|**Based on**official<br>1960.64<br>***t.**|But* st.|Pop. Ref. Bureau 1990|Vanuatu|
|U.N.1990revision<br>|U.N. 1966revision|UFS1977|Venzue la|
|**Based on But**study<br>|U.N. 1966 revision|Ross et**al.**1966|VietNam|
|**ased on**UNPVSR 10/69|Based on 1980 census||Virgin lslands<br>(U.S.)|
||||Wake Island|
||||Wallis and<br>Futuna|
|**B*t**est.|Bunk est.||WestBatnk|
||||W.etern<br>Sahara|
LXXX INouclON

# **_Toft_ Al** (continued)

|Country,<br>colnomm, or<br>territory|Total<br>popultion,<br>mid-1985|Total<br>fertility,<br>1985-90|Life<br>expectancy,<br>1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|
|**West.,rlSamoa**<br>|**Bon**projection from prelim.<br>1966 census<br>|Based on prelim. 1986 census<br>|**lased**onCR, ESCWA<br>Stat.<br>Yearbook<br>forAsiaand the Pacific 1988<br>|
|Yemn,Peoples<br>**De.**Rep.<br>of<br>|**Bon***projection bosed on 1988<br>**census**<br> <br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br> <br>|U.N. 1990 revision<br>|
|YemnArabRep.|mani<br>projection<br>fromadjusted<br>1986 census<br> <br>|Based<br>onSank<br>mission report 1989|lased on lank mission report1989|
|Yugoslovia<br>|UNPVSR<br>4/87<br>(official<br>est.)<br> <br>|lased<br>on CBR,<br>UNPVSR<br>10/88<br>(officiatest.)|Based<br>on CDR,<br>UNPVSR<br>10!88<br>(official<br>**est.)**<br>|
|**Zaire**<br>|U.N.<br>1990<br>revision<br> <br> <br> <br>|U.N.<br>1990<br>rovision|U.N.1990<br>revision|
|Zambia<br>|tank<br>projection<br>from<br>1980<br>census<br>**and officiat**1988<br>***St.**|lased<br>on Bank<br>sector<br>report|**Blsed**<br>on Bank<br>sector<br>report|
|Ziabobse|**8ank**<br>projection<br>from<br>1982<br>census|DHS 1988|DNS 1988|

**Notes:** When **a** source for en estimate is directly cited (e.g., UNPVSR 7/86), the estimate is taken as is from that pubtication. An estimate "based on" a source is not reported in that publication but derived from **data** contained in it. When **a** source is given for a fertility or mortality estimate prior to 1985-90, the corresponding 1985-90 estimate is a projection from the earlier estimate. Citations for the main documents referred to here (usually by **abbreviations) are** in the **list** of references.

Not applcable. No estimates were used because no projections were made for these smalL countries.
INTmOOUCfnON Lxxxi

|Infant**nortsllty,**1965-90|**Age-sex**structure, 1985|Most recent<br>contraceptive prevalence|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|ESC%A Stat.YearbookforAsia<br>**and**the Pacific<br>**196**|Basedon 1986 census|Pop. Ref. Bureau 1990|WesternSamoa|
|U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988 revision||_Yeen,_**People's**<br>**Dem.**Rap.of|
|**Based**onSankmission report 19|89 Bank est.|WFS 1979|Yemen Arab Rep.|
|UkPVSA 10/ U (official<br>est.)|U.N.1988 revision|U.N. 1988|YugosLavia|
|U.N. 1988 revIsion<br>U.N. 1990 revision|U.N. 1988revision<br>U.N. 1988 revision|IRD/Westinghouse<br>1984<br>Rosset at.<br>1988|Zaire<br>Zambia|
|DNS**196**|Bank est.|DHS 1988|Ziwbabwe|
|CBR<br>Crude birthrate||||
|CDR<br>Crude death rate||||
|DHS<br>Demographic**and**Hea<br>INR<br>Infant mortality ra|lth Survey<br>te|||
|TFR<br>Total fertilityrate||||
|UNOY<br>UnitedNations,<br>Dem<br>UhPVSR<br>UnitAd Nations, PoE<br>USBOC<br>U.S.Bureau of the<br>WFS<br>World Fertility Sur|ographic Yearbook (year is given<br>utstion and Vital Statistics Rec<br> Censw (1985;Jamison,Johnson,<br>vey|in the table)<br>ort (month and yeararegiven in table)<br>andEngels,1987)||
**LxxxI** INnROOucTiON

# **_PrAjea Meoulty_**

Motlity is projected by extrapolating recent<sup>trends in male life expectancy, female life</sup> expectancy, and infant mortality and applying<sup>appropriate model life tables. The procedure is</sup> identical to that used last year, except that life<sup>expectancy is allowed to reach higher levels in the long</sup> rn. We explain this change and then discuss the elements<sup>of the procedure. Analysis of recent</sup> trends that provides some empirical basis<sup>for the procedure is reported by Bulatao and Bos (1989),</sup> who also provide further details.

Maximum male and female life expectancies<sup>are assumed to be 83.3 and 90 years,</sup> respectively, _7.5_ years higher in each case than<sup>the levels used last year. The previous maxima are</sup> berely above current levels for the lowest-mortality<sup>countries. Life expectancy in Japan, for instance,</sup> is now estimated at 75.6 years for males<sup>and 81.4 years for females. Some research (discussed in</sup> Bulatao and Bos 1989) suggests that much higher<sup>life expectancies are theoretically attainable, but the</sup> issue is still controversial. Since these projections<sup>cover almost 200 years, limiting life expectancy</sup> to current maximum levels did not seem appropriate.<sup>Using higher life expectancies was facilitated</sup> by the recent extension of the Coale-Demeny life<sup>tables (Coale and Cuo 1990), though the extended</sup> tables still needed further extension.

Future trends in life expectancy. Life expectancy<sup>at birth et by sex is projected from</sup> year 0 to year t using a logistic function over<sup>time of the form</sup> et = k0 + k / (I + exp [logit(, ) + rt]}, with logit(e.) = loL [(ko + k - _eo)_ / **(ej** - ko'l.

The minima (ko) for the logistic functions for<sup>both sexes are assumed to be 20 years, and the maxima</sup> (X0 + k) are assumed to be 90 years for females<sup>and 83.3 years for males. This allows the function</sup> to rise most rapidly from a level of SC years<sup>or so and increase more slowly at higher as well as</sup> lower levels. However, the key parameter is the<sup>rate of change (r). This is allowed to vary across</sup> countries, and for a given country to vary over<sup>time.</sup> The rate of change (r,) for the first quinquennium<sup>(1985-90) is estimated from the rate</sup> of change in the previous quinquennium (ro) aud<sup>from the female secondary enrolment ratio (so), using</sup> the equations r; - .00379 + .723 ro - .000254 S for female., and r, = .01 159 + .885 ro - .000318 so for males.

Percent urban is used in a few cases where<sup>secondary enrollment is not available; in fewer cases still</sup> the rate of change in the previous decade is<sup>used instead of the rate of change in the previous</sup> quinquennium, when the latter appears<sup>to have been affected by exceptional circumstances (see</sup> Bulatao and Bos 1989). Limits are imposed<sup>on the rate of change for the firs quinquennium (and for</sup> all other quinquennia), such that it cannot<sup>be greater than -.017 (which would give slow mortality</sup> decline) or less than -.053 (which would give<sup>rapid mortality decline).</sup> For the second quinquennium, the rate of change<sup>is estimated as a function of the rate</sup> of change for the first quinquennium: r2 - -0.007 + 0.7 r,.

The rate of change for the third quinquennium<sup>is estimated from the rate of change for the second</sup>
INKTOoUanOt LXXw

**Table** AZ Assuimd **Anmus** Incre_ents to **Life** Expeetncy

|Initial<br>Life||**Mates**|||FamLes||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|tancy|Minima|Medium|_M"xima_|Minima|Mdi|Max<br>xi_mm_|
|40<br>45<br>50<br>55<br>60<br>65<br>70<br>75<br>80<br>**as**|0.14<br>0.15<br>0.16<br>0.16<br>0.15<br>0.13<br>0.10<br>0.07<br>0.03<br>--|0.34<br>0.38<br>0.39<br>0.39<br>0.37<br>0.32<br>0.26<br>0.18<br>0.08<br>--|0.55<br>0.61<br>n.63<br>0.62<br>0.59<br>0.52<br>0.'2<br>0.28<br>0.12|0.14<br>0.16<br>0.17<br>0.17<br>0.17<br>0.16<br>0.14<br>0.12<br>0.09<br>0.05|0.36<br>0.40<br>0.43<br>0.44<br>0.43<br>0.40<br>0.36<br>0.27<br>0.21<br> <br>0.11|0.58<br>0.65<br>0.69<br>0.70<br>0.66<br>0.69<br>0.57<br>0.47<br>0.34<br>0.18|

not **applicoble.** qui'quewnium in the same manner. This equation allows rates of change to converge toward the uniform pattern imposed for subsequent quinquennia.

For these subsequent quinquennia for all countries, the rate of change in life expectancy is constant at -.035 for both sexes. At this rate, the annual increments to life expectancy vary by initial levels **as** indicated by the medium patterns in Table A2. Minimum and maximum increments oor.esponding to the slow and rapid limits imposed on rates of change in the first three quinquennia ae also shown.

Future trends in infant mortality. Infant mortality is projected using a similar logistic fAnction. The rate of cbange for each of the first three quinquennia is obtained from the equation r, - .0275 + .5 r,., with the restriction that this rate must be in the interval [.024, .130]. These limits provide schedules of minimum and maximum annual decrements to infant mortality, varying by the initial rate, shown in Table A3. A set of medium decrements is also provided, repressnting the typical schedule of Tabte A3 _Ass,med_ Annual **Decrements** to Infant "ortaLity Rate

|Initial<br>infant<br>mortality<br>rote|Minimua|Medium|Maxima|
|---|---|---|---|
|150<br>140<br>130<br>120<br>110<br>100<br>90<br>80<br>70<br>60<br>SO<br>40<br>30<br>20<br>10|0.83<br>0.92<br>1.00<br>1.13<br>1.16<br>1.16<br>1.14<br>1.10<br>1.03<br>0.93<br>0.81<br>0.67<br>0.50<br>0.31<br>0.09|2.08<br>2.32<br>2.50<br>2.63<br>2.69<br>2.71<br>2.66<br>2.56<br>2.41<br>2.20<br>1.94<br>1.62<br>.26<br>0.84<br>0.36|4.02<br>4.47<br>4.81<br>5.03<br>5.15<br>5.16<br>5.07<br>4.86<br>4.56<br>4.16<br>3.65<br>3.05<br>2.35<br>1.36<br>0.68|
**LXXXIV INTRODUCTION**

**improvements toward** which rates of change<sup>converge when the preceding equation is applied</sup> sucoemively. A minimum attaitiable level of infant mortality<sup>of 3 per thousand was used, consistent</sup> with **the higher** life expectancies allowed, instead<sup>of the previously assumed 6 per thousand.</sup>

Selectian of life rables. Those life tables are selected<sup>from the Coale-Demeny-Guo</sup> models (Coale and Demeny 1983; Coale and Guo 1990) that<sup>provide the projected life expectancy and</sup> infant mortality rates for the first three quinquennia.<sup>First, a level of the life tables is chosen to give</sup> the desired infant mortality rate (an interpolated<sup>table is constructed if necessa.y). Mortality rates</sup> up to age 14 are taken from this life tatle. Second,<sup>another level of the life tables is chosen to give</sup> rates for ages 15 and older such that the desired level<sup>of life expectancy is obtained. Among the four</sup> Coale-Demeny-Guo families (No,rth, South, East, and<sup>West), that family is chosen which minimizes</sup> the divergence between the two chosen levels.

yond the first three quinquennia, the procedure is<sup>simpler. Life expectancy is</sup> piqojc*d to 2025-30, 2050-55, and 2100-05 as described<sup>above and used in selecting levels of the</sup> West family.

The projection program used, PROJ3L (Hill 1990),<sup>is allowed to interpolate linearly</sup> across survivorship rates for intervening periods, to<sup>facilitate a smooth transition across life table</sup> families where this is necessary.

No specific attempt is made in these projections to incorporate<sup>mortality due to infection</sup> with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The<sup>1IV epidemic could have important effects on</sup> mortality in particular countries. However data are still too scant,<sup>and projection models sufficiently</sup> controversial, to allow incorporation of demographic effects<sup>into worldwide projections. Mortality</sup> from HIV infection should be considered an extraneous<sup>factor so far neglected in this work.</sup> Comparison with other mortality projections. Figures Al<sup>and A2 compare assumed</sup> trends in different projection exercises. Because judgments for<sup>individual countries differ, the current</sup> base estimates of life expectancy are slightly higher than those<sup>assumed by the U.N. An important</sup> result of the higher maxima for life expectancy is the marked<sup>divergence between the end points of</sup> last year's and the curreDt mortality projections. For less developed<sup>countries, the current path is</sup> virtually identical to that of the U.N. For more developed<sup>countries, the current trend is well above</sup> last year's: by 2020-25 life expectancy is four years<sup>above last year's estimate.</sup>

# _Projecing Fenility_

Future totzl fertility trends are specified by selecting a year<sup>when the net reproduction</sup> rate reacLes unity, i.e., when the average woman's fertility<sup>results in exactly replacing herself. (In</sup> this replacement y^ar, the net reproduction rate must equal<sup>1.) The pace at which fertility avproaches</sup> replacement level varies across stages of the fertility transition.<sup>After explaining how stages are</sup> distinguished, we discuss procedures for determiiuing total<sup>fertility trends in the pretransition stage,</sup> wben fertility is high and sustained fertility declin- has not started;<sup>the transition stage, when fertility</sup> is high tc medium and sustained fertility decline is in progress;<sup>and the late-transition and</sup> posttrAnsition stage. We then discuss what age-specific patterns<sup>of fertility were appli'd and make</sup> comparisons with other projections.

For curaent purposes, a fertility transition is assumed to have<sup>started if a cou. try has</sup> experienced a drop in total fertility )f at least 0.5 points over<sup>any five-year peiod, or if total fertility</sup> is **already** below 4-5 after a more gradual decline (Bulatao and<sup>Elwan 1985). The pretransition stage</sup> is the stage before any such decline is evident. The late-transition<sup>and posttransition stage is defined</sup> by a otal fertility rate one point above replacement level<sup>(about 3.15) or lower.</sup>
**INTROOUCTION LXXXV**

<!-- Start of picture text --> Fgum Al Asumed Life Expectancy Figure A2 Assumed Life Expectancy<br>Trend, Len Developed Countres, and Trend, More Developed Countres, and<br>U.N and Prevows World Bank Trends U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends<br>72 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~83 -<br>71- - 2 -,<br>70 -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~9-<br>661<br>65 -<br>62 7<br>us9-Ig.05 SI30 ,02O0 2 20005 on io 15 M2ts 2020-2 tsss. 1 19.5 1995-^ 20 805 25-10 2010.15 2015-20 20&2.5<br><!-- End of picture text --> Countries in the pretransition stage are assumed to start a fertility transition<sup>in the</sup> quinquennium after combined male and female life expectanc.y reaches 50 years, but in no case later than 2005. This life expectancy threshold is slightly lower than the threshold of 53<sup>years previousl)</sup> shown to be a universal precondition, though not a sufficient condition, for<sup>the start of fertility</sup> transition (Bulatao and Elwan 1985). Until a transition starts, total fertility is assumed<sup>to be constant.</sup> The one exception is where sterility is a significant factor; sterility is then assumed to<sup>decline linearly</sup> to 6 percent over three quinquennia, with each percentage point drop in sterility<sup>raising total fertility</sup> by 0. 11 points (Frank 1983).

In the transition stage, the rate of fertility decline is based on the rate in the preceding quinquennium, assuming transition had already started in that period. With previous<sup>annual change</sup> represented by Am, annual change during the transition is set at (-.05 + .5 ATM).<sup>However, limits</sup> are set on this change: it must be at least -.073 points and at most -.210 points,<sup>which may be taken</sup> to define slow and rapid fertility decline. (Previous analysis in Bulatao and Elwan<sup>1985 defined rapid</sup> decline **as** an annual total fertility change of -.2164 points, which is consistent.)<sup>If the formula does</sup> not apply because transition has just started, -n average annual decline in total fertility<sup>of 0.102 points</sup> is imposed. Figure A3 shows the patterns of fertility decline implied by<sup>this average decline and by</sup> the slow and rapid limits. In the early part of the transition stage, the sterility adjustment<sup>is applied</sup> if appropriate to raise total fertility slightly.

In the late-transition and posttransition stage, fertility approaches replacement level,<sup>either</sup> from slightly above or slightlv below it. Four alternative patterns, represented in<sup>Figure A4, Pre</sup> applied in this stage.

*eplw Generally, a geometric function is imposed on total fertility decline<sup>from one point above</sup> replacerent level to replacement level, with this decline assumed to take<sup>15years.</sup>
uaxxx INTROOUGTBa <!-- Start of picture text --> fl-ww 43 Asuwned Medium Trend and Alternaeve Slow and Rapid Trends in<br>Total Fertility During the Ferdlity Transition<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> F8ue A4 Assud Trends in Total Ferality at the End of the Ferrity TramitioR<br>mou<br>245<br>a.0<br>SlOgOO_OS 19O_-aS 2000-0 2010- 1S 20O- 25 202-<br>#:gur AS Percentage of Total Fem'irty Asrwgned to Different Ages, by Level of<br>Total Fer'lity<br>_-SO so-so 0 5-290 m0-o moms-a 40-44 4m-49<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRooucTnoN uLXXvU

* Where total fertility h.- shown unusually slow decline, it is assumed to take 20 rather ta 15 _yea_ for total fertility to fall one point to replacement.

* Where, toward the end of a fertility transition, total fertility is still recording rapid declines even though it is close to or even below replacement level (2.25 to 1.75), it is assumed to fall further for one period, generally going below replacement, to stay constant in the next period, and then to return to replacement.

* Where the transition has been completed and total fertility is below replacement, it is assumed to stay at the current level for two quinquennia, and then to return gradually to replacement, along a linear path, by 2030.

In applying late-transition procedures, the level of total fertility that provides replacement is approximated by a quadratic formula based on female life expectancy (e(fn) in the replacement year: TFRmm. I = 6.702 - .1l07 e;r) + .0006592 **e(f)**<sup>**2**</sup> **.** The replacement year is first approximated in order to determine life expectancy and then calculated given this formula and whichever pattern of fertility change above is appropriate.

For all stages of fertility tiansition, the age pattern of fertility is determined in the same fashion, depending on the level u*' total fertility (Figure AS). Two basic schedules of age-specific fertility are defined: for total (ertility levels greater than six and for total fertility levels of three and lower. In between, age pattemns are obtained by interpolation between the two schedules. At a total fertility level of six, a greater proportion of births are at younger and older ages of the reproductive span, and the mean age of childbearing is 28.9 years. At a total fertility level of three, births are concentrated in a narrower band of ages, and the mean age of childbearing is 28.0. The only period

**_Fiure_** _A6 Assumed Total Fernlity Trend, Less Developed Countres, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends_

_Figure_ **_A7_** _Assumed Total Fernlity Trend, More Developed Counnes, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends_ <!-- Start of picture text --> 20*<br>--<br>60 1<br>. 3 ,,,<br>32-2 33.. F MD 5 D Dtt ?DliPO ^ g % tXD 0 ?iF8D tD$t 3tt9<br>20- g- HAE<br>2~~~~~~~~~~'<br>26~~~~~~~~~~~~~<br>iUj ~ aa//<br>i 4 11 A~-N XNf/<br>23-). ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~<br><!-- End of picture text -->
**XuoXVI INTOROUC1ON**

in which me model patterns are not applied is the base period, for which current or recent fertility data **an** used.

These procedures were developed from analysis of total fertility trends in cross-national data (see Bos and Bulatao 1989). Their application results in only minor deviations from fertility trends projected in last year. Fertility trends from the current and last year's projections and<sup>the</sup> U.N. projections are compared in Figures A6 and A7 for low developed countries and<sup>more</sup> developed countries. Bank fertility projections show little change from last year, with the current projection for low developed countries being only slightly slower until around 2025. The U.N. projects higher levels of fertility for low developed countries between 1990 and 2005, and lower levels thereafter. The U.N. and Bank projections differ more for more developed countries trends. The U.N. projects that fertility, now below replacement level for these countries as a whole, will not fall much further but will return to replacement level more slowly than in the current projections.

## _Prviedln Migrwtox_

Estimates of future net migrants by quinquennium up to the year 2000 are those prepared by Arnold (1989) as part of an examination of data and sources, with subsequent minor revisions. These estimates are strongly affected by official policies and plans in the major receiving countries. The figures were designed to total zero in each quinquennium for the whole world. After the year 2000, the number of net migrants is assumed to approach zero linearly in each country, at the estimated rate of change in their number from the period 1990-95 to the period 1995-2000, or at a rate that would make their number zero by 2025-30, whichever rate is faster. For these later periods, **a** zero total for worldwide net international migration was obtained by adjusting initial estimates of net migats in three major receiving countries--the United States, Australia, and Canada--upward or **downwrd as** necessary by a proportion constant across these countries, but varying by quinquennium. These adjustments were of I or 2 percent for the earlier periods, negligible compared to the volume of migration assumed for these countries, but were up to 10 percent for '-ter periods.

The age-sex distributions of migrants are determined rrom alternative models based on their sex ratios. If migration is heavily male, migrants are assumed to be conceitrated in the age group 15-29, with few children and elderLy. If migration is more balanced oetween males and females, proportionally more migrants are assumed to be children and elderly (Hill 1990).

# REFERENCES

Arnold, Fred. 1989. Revised estimates and projections of international migration. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Papers, No. 275. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Bour-eois-Pichat, Jean. 1952. Essai sur !la mortalite biologique de l'homme. Population 7(3) Bourgeois-Pichat, Jean. 1978. Future outlook for mortality decline in the world. _Population BuUetin of the United Nations._ 11: 12-41.

Bos, Eduard, and Rodolfo A. Bulatao. 1989. Projecting fertility for all co; ntries. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Pape1s. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Blum, Alaiim, **and** Roland Pressat. 1987. Une nouvelle table de mortalite pour l'URSS (1984-1985). _Population_ 42(6):843-862.

Bultac, Rodol;o A., and Eduard Bos, with Patience VW. Stephens and My T. Vu 1989. Prc,ecting mortality for all countries. Policy, Planning, and Research VWorking Papers. 'Nashington, D.C.: World Bank.

Bulatao, Rodolfo A., Eduard Bos, Patience Stephens and My T. Vu 1990. _World Population Projections. 1985L90 Edision._ Jobns Hopkins University Press. Baltimore Maryland. **Bulatw, Rodolfo** A., **and** Ann Elwan. 198S5. Fertility and mortality transition: Patterns, projections, and interdependence. World Bank Staff Working Paper No. 681.
**INThooucTnoN** LXXXIX

Washington, D.C.

- Coale, Ansley J., and Paul Demeny, with Barbara Vaughan. 1983. _Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations._ 2nd ed. New York: Academic Press.

- Coale, Ansley J., and Guang Guo. 1989. Revised regional model life tables at very low levels of mortality. _Population Index 55(4),_ pp 613-643.

- Eurostat. 1989. _Denographic Statistics._ Luxembourg: Statistical Office of the European Communities.

- Hill, Kenneth. 1990. Proj3S: A Computer Program for Population Projections Diskettes and Reference Guide. Washington, D.C. World Bank.

- Jamison, Ellen, Peter D. Johnson, and Richard A. Engels. 1987. World Population Profile: 1987. Washington, D.C.: Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

- Monnicr, Alain. 1988. "La conjoncture demographique: L'Europe et les pays developpes d'outre- _mer," Population_ 43(4-S):893-904.

- Shryock, Henry S., Jacob S. Siegel and Associates. 1975. The Methods and Materials of Demography. Washington, D.C.: Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of

- Commerce.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1984. _Popultion and Vital Statistics Report: 1984 Special Supplement._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic :nd Social Affairs. 1988. _Mortality of Children Under Age 5: World Estimates and Projections, 1950-2025.._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1989. _Prospects of World Urbanization 1988._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1990. _World Population Prospects 1990._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. _Demographic Yearbook._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. _Population and Vital Statistics Report._ New York: United Nations.

- U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1983. _World Population 1983--Recent Demographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World._ Washington, D.C.

- U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1985. _World Population: Recent Demographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World._ Washington, D.C.

- World Bank. 1990. _World Development Report 1990._ New York: Oxford University Press. Zachariah, K. C., and My T. Vu. 1988. _World Population Projections: 1987-88 Edition._ Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press.
# DETAILED POPULATION PROJECTIONS

# WORLD, GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS,

# AND INCOME GROUPS
WORLD

# **1.** Estimates and Projections

|**Towr**|**IpuLti**|DP.<br>**ratio**|**Period**|Growth<br>**rate**|cm|CD|TFt|*o<br>**Itais**|*0<br>**F_mLm**|I|qs<br>x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965|4842303|65.3|1985-89|1.74|27.1|9.7|3.41|63.0|66.7|70|97|
|1990|5281929|62.9|1990-94|1.65|25.5|9.0|3.21|64.2|68.1|63|86|
|1995|5735527|62.4|1W5-99|1.53|23.8|8.5|3.02|65.5|69.6|56|76|
|2000|6191710|60.8|2000-04|1.43|22.3|8.0|2.89|66.8|71.1|49|66|
|2005|6651503|58.2|2005-09|1.33|21.2|7.8|2.77|67.7|72.1|44|60|
|2010|71091S6|5S.6|2010-14|1.25|20.2|7.7|2.65|68.7|73.2|39|53|
|2015|7567055|54.3|2014-19|1.18|19.4|7.6|2.56|69.7|74.4|34|46|
|2020|8026087|54.5|2020-24|1.10|18.5|7.5|2.48|70.8|75.7|29|38|
|2025|8479143|54.9|2025-49|0.79|15.9|8.1|2.24|73.6|78.9|18|23|
|2050|10318509|56.7|2050-74|0.41|13.5|9.5|2.J8|77.0|82.7|8|10|
|2075|11433912|62.1|2075-99|0.21|12.5|10.5|2.06|79.2|85.3|5|6|
|2100|12036362|_(A.3_|2100-24|0.10|12.0|11.1|2.06|81.1|87.5|3|4|
|212S<br>2150|12336567<br>12484984|<br>71.4<br>72.9|2125-49|0.05|11.8|11.4|2.06|81.8|88.5|2|3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> ! ; -1l 75 +<br>70-74<br>65.69<br>55.59<br>>2 zB 1 ~~~50-541 2<br>su ! ~~~~45-49 i<br>@91 SB 1 ~~40-44 122<br>E2XX EBaS ! ~35-39| 5 BE<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>2 _ _1 1 1 ~~~~5-9b1~~~~~~0-4 ! 5<br>0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> AST AFICA (S *1 EAST ACQ'CA '5 3%)<br>45T APRICA (4 SW)<br>9uIA < \ IE5T | \ 00 IA CA C7 34)<br>N 'C1 ICA CS ) \ \ 5 I A a) 051<br>/ \ \\ | \ ~~~~ESE ASIA t33 7%) SVEST ASIA C3 \<br>moprm AfllCA C2 7) O OCEANIA COD ) \<br>') kAA , CA Co 1%)<br>I.AC (S 4*) j . AS:,CA C3 M)<br>\ \ ,/ LLAC Cs'm /<br>US4 1. \ /<br>RA 10 M JSP * O AS IA C2 55)<br>XSJTw *$ A,22 55)<br><!-- End of picture text -->

2
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

# 1. Estimates and Projections

|vear|putatiun|0".<br>ratio|Pertid|Growth<br>rt<br> rate|<br>cm|cm|TFR|SO<br>**Holm**|00<br> Finale|<br>R|X1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965|<br>3665423|70.6|1985-89|2.10|30.9|9.7|3.89|60.8|63.2|78|109|
|1990|4070968|67.1|1990-94|1.97|28.9|9.0|3.58|62.2|64.9|70|96|
|1995|492598|65.8|1995-99|1.81|26.6|8.3|3.31|63.6|66.6|62|84|
|2000<br>2005|<br>4919089<br> <br>5350443|63.6<br>59.,|2000-04<br>2005-09|1.68<br>1.56|24.7<br>23.2|7.8<br>7.5|3.11<br>2.93|65.0<br>66.1|68.5<br>69.7|54<br>49|73<br>66|
|2010|<br>57U424|56.4|2010-14|1.46|21.9|7.3|2.77|67.2|71.0|43|58|
|2015|<br>6220396|54.2|2014-19|1.37|20.9|7.1|2.65|68.4|f2.4|38|50|
|2020|<br>6661296|53.7|2020-24|1.27|19.8|7.0|2.55|69.6|73.9|32|42|
|2025|<br>7099278|53.4|2025-49|0.91|16.6|7.5|2.27|72.7|77.6|20|25|
|2050|<br>8920513|54.5|2050-74|e!.47|13.8|9.1|2.08|76.4|81.9|8|11|
|2075<br>2100|10042148<br>10632609|60.8<br>67.7|2075-99<br>2100-24|0.23<br>0.11|12.6<br>12.1|10.4<br>11.0|2.06<br>2.06|78.9<br>80.9|84.9<br>87.3|5<br>3|6<br>4|
|2125<br>2150|10922198<br>11065164|71.0<br>72.7|2125-49|0.05|11.9|11.3|2.05|81.7|88.3|2|3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 754.<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>Dr s ! ~~~55.59 E<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>1 5-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br>3. Distributioni of population (percent): 1990 and 2025<br>hCCC22)<br>LD. C' 7 7<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distributioni of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

3
MORFE **DEVELOPED COUNTRIES**

# **1. zstiuates**

# **and** Projections

|To|**_papatim_ **|**_atl**|**Ped**|**rtoe**|_U_|_U_|TF4 ll|tlm|**FPmtl**|In|KIM|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|195<br>1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>**2005**<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|117679<br>1210961<br>1242929<br>1272611<br>1301060<br>1325732<br>134657<br>1364789<br>137965<br>13979<br>13914<br>'403753<br>1414370<br>1419620|50.6<br>50.2<br>51.0<br>51.1<br>51.6<br>52.2<br>54.6<br>58.5<br>62.7<br>72.4<br>72.0<br>73.0<br>74.0<br>74.6|1965-09<br>1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>20so-74<br>207n-s9<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.57<br>0.52<br>0.47<br>0.44<br>0.36<br>0.31<br>0.27<br>0.22<br>0.05<br>-0.02<br>0.03<br>0.03<br>0.02|14.7<br>13.7<br>13.0<br>12.6<br>12.6<br>12.4<br>12.2<br>12.1<br>11.9<br>11.9<br>11.6<br>11.7<br>11.7|9.6<br>9.1<br>6.9<br>6.8<br>9.2<br>9.6<br>9.7<br>9.9<br>11.3<br>12.0<br>11.5<br>11.4<br>11.5|1.90<br>1.6<br>1.86<br>1.69<br>1.93<br>1.97<br>2.00<br>2.03<br>2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|70.5<br>71.7<br>73.0<br>74.1<br>74.9<br>73.6<br>76.4<br>77.3<br>79.0<br>60.7<br>61.6<br>6.3<br>42.6|77.7<br>79.0<br>00.3<br>51.5<br>62.2<br>62.9<br>83.6<br>64.3<br>66.0<br>67.7<br>U.6<br>89.3<br>_69.6_|Is<br>13<br>11<br>9<br>6<br>7<br>6<br>5<br>3<br>3<br>2<br>2<br>2|ls<br>16<br>13<br>12<br>10<br>9<br>a<br>6<br>5<br>4<br>3<br>3<br>3|

2. **Aqe** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.5,<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>mxxx~~~~~~~ 5-9<br>. . . , 04.. . . . . mgrm-l . . ~ ~~~0-4 . . . . .<br>10 8 * * 2 0 2 * * | 10 10 6 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 6 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent):

1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> WX Cc l 3M)<br><!-- End of picture text --> 4
AFRICA

# 1. **Estimates and** Projections

|Teo|_PAiIm_|I".<br>Mi.|Peeeriod|rluth<br> <br>**rots**|U|cm|TPU|GO<br>bfir|F_l_ts|11|XlM|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|¶965<br>190<br>19"<br>**2000**<br>**20**<br>2010<br>2015<br>202<br>2025<br>2CSO<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|<br>555811<br>"6073<br> <br>173<br>8645"<br>9"95<br>1135176<br>1265<br>14109<br>1602664<br> 2369105<br>293n09<br>3250912<br>33N644<br>34SM2|93.9<br>94.2<br>92.5<br>9.6<br>as.67<br>61.3<br>76.2<br>71.0<br>".2<br>49.1<br>5.0<br>64.1<br>69.0<br>71.5|1905-89<br>1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br> 2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>20so-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|3.01<br>2.93<br>2.69<br>2.60<br>2.64<br>2."<br>230<br>2.13<br>1.6<br>0.66<br>0.41<br>0.17<br>0.06|".7<br>42.4<br>40.6<br>36.3<br>35.6<br>33.3<br>30.7<br>26.4<br>21.5<br>15.6<br>13.3<br>12.3<br>12.0|14.5<br>13.0<br>11.6<br>10.3<br>9.4<br>6.5<br>7.6<br>7.1<br>6.1<br>7.1<br>9.3<br>10.7<br>11.2|_6.22_<br>5.91<br>5.57<br>5.14<br>4."<br>4.23<br>3.61<br>3.4<br>2.5?<br>2.03<br>2.06<br>2.05<br>2.04|51.4<br>53.0<br>54.6<br>56.6<br>58.1<br>59.6<br>61.2<br>62.6<br>67.2<br>72.7<br>76.6<br>79.6<br>61.0|54.7<br>56.8<br>59.0<br>61.2<br>62.9<br>6.6<br>6.3<br>68.2<br>72.9<br>75.8<br>62.6<br>86.2<br>67.6|105<br>95<br>as<br>74<br>**66**<br>63<br>57<br>51<br>34<br>15<br>a<br>3<br>3|164<br>147<br> <br>129<br>110<br>100<br>91<br>I1<br>ro<br>U<br>16<br>10<br>4<br>4|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>- 65-69<br>60-64<br>55.5.<br>50.54<br>45-49<br>40-"_<br>35-35<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>R%#EzV%^ _ o~~~~~~04 kMAMMM l<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 6 10 10 J 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> AMICA Cie a)<br>AhGOICA (42 M 440K~~~~~~~~~UIA CI2 55)<br>oc"NIA Ca NO ~~~~~~~~~~~~OULANIA Ca Iso<br>GkOWS C(14 We<br>GL~~~~~~~, 4% csw<br>ASIA (S7 aS)<br><!-- End of picture text --> S
EAST AFRICA

# **1.** Estimates and Projections

|**Yl**r|**PpAlatfn**|**Dp.**<br>rt to|Period|Growth<br>rate|Cm|CDR|TF9|*0<br>_N_**lt**|**so**<br>F_ml|in|q5<br>x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|195<br>|230286<br>|94.8|1985-89|3.09|46.3|15.3|6.43|50.3|54.0|107|167|
|1990<br>|268723<br>|96.1<br>|1990-94<br>|3.05<br>|44.3<br>|17 8|6.23|51.8|55.8|98|152|
|1995<br>|312978<br>|95.5<br>|1995-99<br>|3.02<br>|42.6<br>|12.3<br>|5.93<br>|53.5|57.7|**88**|134|
|2000<br>|364079<br>|93.9<br>|2000-04<br>|2.92<br>|40.2|10.9|5.49|55.3|5V.A|77|116|
|2005<br>|421409<br>|°0.0<br>|2005-09<br>|2.78<br>|37.7<br>|9.9<br>|5.01<br>|56.9|61.5|72|106|
|2010<br>|484228<br>|85.4<br>|2010-14<br>|2.63<br>|35.3<br>|9.0<br>|4.54|58.4|63.2|67|96|
|2015<br>|552294<br>|80.1<br>|2014-19<br>|2.46|32.8|8.1|4.09|60.1|65.0|61|87|
|2020<br>|624722<br>|74.8<br>|2020-24<br>|2.31<br>|30.5|7.4|3.72|61.8|66.9|55|76|
|2025<br>|701369<br>|70.0|2025-49|1.72|23.0|6,1|2.74|66.4|71.8|37|48|
|2050<br>|1076497<br>|50.0<br>|2050-74<br>|0.94<br>|16.1<br>|6.7<br>|2.09<br>|72.2<br>|77.9|16|20|
|2075<br>|**136564S**<br>|51.6<br>|2075-99<br>|0.46<br>|13.5<br>|8.9<br>|2.06<br>|76.3<br>|82.2<br>|8|10|
|2100<br>|1532778<br>|63.0<br>|2100-24<br>|0.18<br>|12.4<br>|10.6<br>|2.04|79.6|85.9|3|4|
|2125<br>2150|160386o<br>1637662|68.6<br>71.3|2125-49|0.08|12.0|11.2|2.04|80.9|87.4|3|4|

### 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65.89<br>80-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>a a 1 ~~~40-44<br>= ! ~~~~35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9 2EEEf EZR<br>EExmxxa FEEEEZ=ES] c0-4 ox 7m<br>10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> P4Th C21 |4Ip g /<br>EASY (.' 6%)<br><!-- End of picture text -->

<!-- Start of picture text --> /<br>EAST (42 n)<br>.T (36 n<br><!-- End of picture text --> 6
WEST AFRICA

# 1. Estimates and Projections

|_Yvo_|pqnlotlon|**Sep.**<br>ratio|Period|**Growth**<br>rate|<br>cm|CDR|rn|**00**<br>_maim_|**Famtm**|**in**|is<br>xlooo|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|196S|202094|97.9|l'85-89|3.15|47.7|16.3|6.63|48.2|51.4|112|180|
|1990<br>19|236516<br>274997|98.9<br>97.3|1990-94<br>1995-99|3.01<br>3.04|44.7<br>43.4|14.6<br>13.0|6.34<br>6.03|49.6<br>51.4|53.8<br>56.4|101<br>90|161<br>141|
|2000<br>2005<br>2010|320053<br>37182<br>426579|94.5<br>91.T<br>87.6|2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14|3.00<br>2.84<br>2.66|41.5<br>38.8<br>35.9|11.5<br>10.3<br>9.2|5.63<br>5.12<br>4.61|53.3<br>S5.0<br>56.8|59.0<br>60.9<br>62.8|7d<br>72<br>66|120<br>108<br>97|
|2015|48939|82.2|2014-19|2.46|32.9|8.3|4.11|58.6|64.8|60|86|
|2020|5S3630|75.6|2020-24|2.25|29.8|7.4|3.61|60.5|66.8|54|74|
|2025|619428|69.2|2025-49|1.60|21.9|6.1|2.53|65.4|72.0|37|47|
|2050|924971|47.2|2050-74|0.89|15.8|6.9|2.08|71.6|78.3|6|20|
|2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|1156376<br>1283075<br>1339625<br>1369072|51.5<br>63.9<br>68.7<br>71.2|205-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.42<br>0.17<br>0.09|13.4<br>12.4<br>12.0|9.2<br>12.7<br>11.2|2.06<br>2.04<br>2.04|76.0<br>79.5<br>80.8|82.6<br>86.1<br>87.6|8<br>3<br>3|10<br>4<br>4|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 199o and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> EE5XbTffiSiZZ _<br><!-- End of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 lO <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>80.84<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>~~5-9 S>>>><br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population

### (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> NonIrm c2 C'' BS)<br>P QTW C: E C 60) P ASrC43 *0<br>WEST (36 i<br><!-- End of picture text -->
NORTH AFRICA

# 1. **Ustizates** and Projectioz,s

|Tow|PeGPAtimn|ow.<br>ratlo|Period|c,dw<br>**rate**|Cm|cm|TFI|00<br>tm"|Femle|_INN_|15<br> a100|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|19M<br>1990|123430<br>140834|86.0<br>83.6|1985-89<br>1990-94|2.64<br>2.58|36.7<br>34.8|10.1<br>8.9|5.14<br>4.66|58.7<br>60.9|61.7<br>63.9|84<br>72|121<br>102|
|**1995**|160196|79.7|1995-9|2.3t|31.7|7.8|4.16|63.0|66.2|62|**86**|
|**2000**|180466|73.9|2000-04|2.19|28.9|6.9|3.67|65.0|68.4|52|71|
|2005<br>2010|201342<br>222369|68.8<br>62.8|2005-09<br>2010-14|1.99<br>1.78|26.4<br>23.9|6.5<br>6.2|3.26<br>2.90|66.2<br>67.5|69.8<br>71.3|46<br>40|62<br>54|
|2015|243023|58.0|2014-19|1.56|21.5|5.9|2.58|68.8|72.8|33|45|
|2020|262737|54.3|2020-24|1.42|20.0|5.8|2.41|70.1|74.4|27|35|
|2025|282067|51.7|2025-49|1.04|16.5|6.3|2.18|73.4|7?.2|15|19|
|2050|365637|51.3|2050-74|0.51|13.5|8.5|2.08|77.2|82.6|7|9|
|2075|41S287|62.5|2075-99|0.19|12.5|10.6|2.07|79.4|85.4|4|6|
|2100|43SO9|68.5|2100-24|0.09|12.0|11.1|2.06|81.2|87.6|2|4|
|2125<br>2150|465253<br>450298|7).5<br>73.1|2125-49|0.05|11.8|11.4|2.06|81.9|88.5|2|3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br><§ :2 ~~~~45-49 g§ E<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30*34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>2468 Ol 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br>8 ~~~~~~~~~EAST C41 ES) %ETZ 3t76X) IArC4<br>WEST86<br><!-- End of picture text --> lo 80 6 2468 Ol

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

83
AMERICA

# 1. Estimates and Projections

|TYa|P_Atfat|S".<br>ratfo|Perfid|Stoinh<br>rate|C|cm|TFR|b<br>kim|**Fmim**|**In**|axl00|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965<br>1.J0|666055<br>723006|63.0<br>61.0|1965-89<br>1990-94|1.58<br>1.46|23.4<br>21.5|7.9<br>7.3|2.84<br>2.63|67.1<br>68.3|73.4<br>74.8|44<br>38|55<br>48|
|1995<br>2000<br>**2005**<br>2010<br>2015|r77581<br>829079<br> <br>6r779<br>925092<br>971776|58.9<br>55.1<br>51.4<br>49.1<br>49.3|1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19|1.28<br>1.14<br>1.05<br>0.96<br>0.90|19.4<br>17.8<br>16.9<br>16.4<br>15.7|6.8<br>6.6<br>6.6<br>6.7<br>6.8|2.43<br>2.28<br>2.18<br>2.15<br>2.12|69.5<br>70.7<br>71.6<br>72.6<br>73.5|76.2<br>77.6<br>78.4<br>79.4<br>80.3|33<br>27<br>23<br>19<br>15|40<br>33<br>Zs<br>23<br>18|
|2020<br>**205**|101669<br>1057762|51.1<br> <br>53.5|2020-24<br>2025-49|o.79<br>0.48|14.8<br>13.4|<br>7.0<br> <br>8.6|2.10<br>2.07|<br>74.6<br> <br>76.9|<br>81.3<br> <br>83.6|11<br>5|<br>14<br> <br>7|
|2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|1193246<br>1248391<br>1273526<br>1269142<br>1296853|<br>62.7<br> <br>68.8<br> <br>71.6<br> <br>n.3<br> <br>74.1|2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.18<br>0.0<br>0.05<br>0.02|12.4<br>12.0<br>11.8<br>11.7|<br>10.6<br> <br>11.2<br> <br>11.3<br> <br>11.5|<br>2.06<br>2.06<br> <br>2.06<br> <br>2.06|<br>79.5<br> <br>80.9<br> <br>81.9<br> <br>82.3|<br>66.1<br> <br>87.6<br> <br>88.8<br> <br>69.3|3<br>3<br>2<br>2|<br>4<br> <br>4<br> <br>3<br> <br>3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 754.<br>70-74<br>05.69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>- ~~~~0-4<br>.... .. _ ... ~~~~~~~~......... . . .... 0 .. ,./.<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> A~~~~OICA C1AFIC3C2 %<br>6l c 14 so<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ASIA -(57 M)<br><!-- End of picture text --> 9
**LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN**

# **1. Estimates** and Projections

|**Tw**|**Pepiatim**|**.Gro**<br>ratio|**wth**<br>**Peiod**|**rate**|**cm**|CD|TFt|**0c**<br>**Nitm**|Fnlm|lo|**x100O**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965|400015|72.7|1985-89|2.03|28.5|7.3|3.56|64.0|69.5|55|70|
|1990|"2670|68.0|1990-94|1.86|26.1|6.7|3.13|65.3|71.4|48|60|
|1995|**485S51**|63.9|1995-99|1.63|23.1|6.1|2.76|66.7|73.2|41|51|
|2000|527030|58.7|2000-04|1.43|20.6|5.8|2.45|68.1|75.0|34|42|
|2005|S66011|53.7|2005-09|1.30|19.2|5.8|2.29|69.2|76.1|29|36|
|2010|604103|49.8|2010-14|1.22|18.3|5.9|2.22|70.4|77.2|24|29|
|2015|**64222X**|48.1|2014-19|1.13|17.4|6.0|2.17|71.6|78.4|18|23|
|2020|679399|48.3|2020-24|1.00|16.2|6.1|2.12|72.8|79.6|13|17|
|2025|714215|49.1|2025-49|0 67|14.1|7.4|2.08|75.7|82.4|6|8|
|2050|845000|59.0|2050-74|0.26|12.6|10.0|2.07|78.8|85.4|3|5|
|2075|901675|67.4|2075-99|0.10|12.1|11.1|2.06|80.5|87.2|3|4|
|2100|924514|70.9|2100-24|0.06|11.8|11.3|2.06|81.7|88.6|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|937966<br>944567|73.0<br>73.9|2125-49|0.03|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.2|89.1|2|3|

# **2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025**

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>; S 1 ~~~70-74 3<br>E B | BO~~8-69 § E<br>;3 2 1 ~~~55-59 2 SA<br>60-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>3% .34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>Ir<3ggEEg2 15-19<br>FXXXRRRX SggaSBBBU 10-14<br>5-9<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0<br><!-- End of picture text -->

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# **3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025**

<!-- Start of picture text --> ,wiEa c's<br>LAC C6I 31)<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> LC CS, 51<br><!-- End of picture text --> 10
NORTHERN AMERICA

# 1. **Estimates** and Projections

|_Yaw_|rPpulation|**Dep.**<br>**rwtt.**|**Pfriod**|**Growth**<br>**,ate**|<br>O|Cm|TF8|tO<br>**MElot**|Folo|**Io**|**X1000**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|I965|268039|50.4|1985-89|0.90|15.4|8.7|1.87|72.0|79.2|10|12|
|1990|280336|51.1|1990-94|0.80|14.1|8.3|1.86|73.2|80.1|9|1|
|1995|291730|51.2|1995-99|0.70|13.0|8.1|1.86|74.3|81.2|7|9|
|2000|302049|49.2|2000-04|0.64|12.8|8.0|1.90|75.4|82.1|6|8|
|2005|311898|47.3|2005-09|0.57|12.6|8.2|1.93|76.1|82.8|6|8|
|2010|320989|47.8|2010-14|0.53|12.6|8.3|1.96|76.8|83.5|5|7|
|2015|329551|51.6|2014-19|0.46|12.4|8.4|1.99|77.5|84.1|4|6|
|2020|337295|57.0|2020-24|0.37|12.1|8.7|2.03|78.3|84.8|4|5|
|2025|343547|63.4|2025-49|0.05|11.8|11.2|2.06|79.7|86.4|3|4|
|2050|348247|72.3|2050-74|-0.02|11.8|12.0|2.06|81.1|87.9|2|4|
|2075|346716|72.4|2075-99|0.03|11.8|11.5|2.06|81.9|88.7|2|3|
|2100|349012|73.4|2100-24|0.02|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.4|89.4|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|351157<br>352286|74.2<br>74.7|2125449|0.01|11.6|<br>11.5|2.06|<br>82.7|89.6|2|3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>ED 22 8~~~~5-89 4Xm<br>> gB 1 6~~~0-84 g S||<br>:gm |2 1 ~~55.59 IR% ||<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>URiZ 1 ~~~~40-44 1<br>bEZ^D g«g2 1 ~35-39 1>xwB<br>RRZZ2U UEZER 1 30.341 oA//M<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>gR22Z g2 1 1~~~~15-1 9<br>10-14<br>RSEGYY BUBgS $ ~5-9 1>50BB<br>55555 ZW 1 ~~0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> NMOO CX 71)<br>/ ~ ~~~ Z 7AC c CAC < ~ ; /a^| 735S1<br>11~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 6 X<br><!-- End of picture text -->
ASIA

# 1. **Estimates** and Projections

|Y_|Ppsa^tion|PW.<br> ratio|Pwriod|Gra<br>rat|CO|CD|TFt|40<br>elo|SO<br>Femles|_Ei_|Z100O|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965|2824765|65.3|196M-89|1.86|27.6|8.9|3.43|62.8|64.8|71|95|
|1990|3099413|61.3|1990-94|1.72|25.7|8.4|3.14|64.2|66.4|63|82|
|1995<br>2000|337725<br>3648496|60.3<br>58.6|1995-99<br>2000-04|1.54<br>1.40|23.4<br>21.5|7.9<br>7.5|2.88<br>2.71|65.6<br>67.0|68.1<br>69.9|54<br>47|70<br>60|
|2005<br>2010|3912188<br>4166876|SS.1<br>51.0|2005-09<br>2010-14|1.26<br>1.16|20.0<br>18.9|7.3<br>7.3|2.56<br>2.43|68.1<br>69.2|71.1<br>72.4|42<br>36|53<br>4|
|2015|415473|50.0|2014-19|1.09|18.1|7.2|2.35|70.3|73.8|30|38|
|2020<br>2025|4661806<br>4901771|50.1<br>50.7|2020-24<br>202S-49|1.00<br>0.68|17.3<br>15.0|7.2<br>8.2|2.29<br>2.16|71.5<br>74.5|75.3<br>78.9|24<br>14|31<br>17|
|2050<br>|5816905<br>|56.7|2050-74|0.32|13.1|9.9|2.08|77.8|82.9|6|8|
|2075<br>2100|630740<br>6560572|64.0<br>69.1|205-?9<br>2100-24|0.16<br>0.08|12.4<br>12.0|10.8<br>11.1|2.07<br>2.06|79.8<br>81.4|85.6<br>87.7|4<br>2|5<br>4|
|2125<br>2150|6696718<br>6766687|71.9<br>73.2|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.0|88.6|2|3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74 1<br>65-09<br>60-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-" 4<br>5.9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text -->
*ItcA  C13 %)  FRICA (12  2?)  AeI  C12  5%)<br>/  \  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~CAW.A^ (O SS)/<br>OWAUIA  Co  m<br>ELO  C  14 60<br>AS2  C57 M<br><!-- End of picture text -->

12
EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA

# 1. **Estimates** and Projections

|ver|.1uution|Do.<br>rtio|Period|Growth<br>rate|co|C|TF|0<br>**Nhtes**|40<br>**FmaLes**|Im|**q5**<br>alIOO|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965|1651340|57.9|1985-89|1.50|22.2|7.0|2.61|66.9|69.9|39|51|
|1990|1780635|52.3|1990-94|1.41|21.1|6.9|2.43|68.3|71.3|32|40|
|1995|1910874|51.8|1995-99|1.25|19.3|6.7|2.27|69.7|?.7|26|32|
|**2000**|2033654|51.8|2000-04|1.07|17.3|6.6|2.17|71.1|74.3|21|26|
|**2005**|2145133|49.5|2005-09|0.92|16.0|6.7|2.12|72.0|75.4|18|23|
|2010|2246473|46.8|2010-14|0.85|15.4|6.9|2.10|73.0|76.5|16|19|
|2015|2343843|46.0|2014-19|0.80|15.1|7.1|2.09|74.0|77.7|13|16|
|**2020**|2439353|47.9|2020-24|0.73|14.7|*.3|2.09|75.0|79.0|10|12|
|**2025**|**2530533**|50.2|2025-49|0.43|13.2|9.0|2.08|77.3|82.0|5|7|
|2050|**2817380**|62.9|2050-74|0.15|12.4|10.9|2.07|79.7|85.2|3|5|
|2075|2921997|68.6|2075-99|0.08|12.0|11.2|2.06|81.0|87.1|3|4|
|2100|2961117|71.4|2100-24|0.05|11.8|11.3|2.06|82.0|U8.5|2|3|
|2125<br>**2150**|3019642<br>3039230|73.1<br>74.0|2125-49|0.03|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.1|2|3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 751+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>.... . = _5 ~~~~0-4 S<br>108 6420246 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> SWE.T C4 Iw) SV5T CS C)<br>OWN CU 3U)<br>'.I CS i Co 4a) am cli SI)<br><!-- End of picture text --> 13
SOUTH ASIA

# 1. **Estimatoe** and Projections

|TYa|Poputation|OP.<br>ratio|Pwrad|Groth<br>rate|W|co|TFt|oO<br>**Mlet**|Fmstes|lo<br>l|q5<br>1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|¶965|1058207|76.5|1985-89|2.29|34.9|11.9|4.66|56.8|56.9|102|136|
|1990|<br>1186528|74.7|1990-94|2.06|31.4|10.7|4.16|58.2|59.0|93|122|
|1995|<br>1314996|72.3|1995.99|1.85|28.2|9.6|3.67|59.8|61.3|82|106|
|2000|<br>14216|67.0|2000-04|1.73|26.2|8.8|3.32|61.5|63.6|71|90|
|2005|<br>1572428|61.3|2005-09|1.60|24.3|8.3|3.00|62.9|65.3|62|80|
|2010|<br>1703008|5f.9|2010-14|1.44|22.4|7.9|2.71|64.3|67.0|54|69|
|2015|<br>1¶30214|53.7|2014-19|1.33|20.9|7.6|2.54|65.8|68.8|46|58|
|2020|<br>156044|51.5|2020-24|1.23|19.7|7.4|2.43|67.3|70.6|37|48|
|2025|2079666|50.1|2025-49|0.89|16.4|7.6|2.20|71.2|75.2|21|27|
|2050|2596619|51.2|2050-74|0.45|13.7|9.3|2.09|75.8|80.6|8|10|
|2075|2905338|60.5|2075-99|0.21|12.7|10.6|2.07|78.7|84.1|5|6|
|2100|3062192|67.1|2100-24|0.11|12.1|11.0|2.06|80.8|86.9|3|4|
|2125<br>2150|3149368<br>3192437|70.7<br>72.5|2125-49|0.05|1'.9|11.3|2.06|81.7|88.1|2|3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 <!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>1 5-1 9<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>1 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> sowv Cd U)<br>Jla^ 4<br>IN C17 Sr soJ'YwC42'UI<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> swt' sr-<br><!-- End of picture text --> 14
SOUTHWEST ASIA

# 1. **zsti5ates** and Projections

|**_Yw_**|pr puAetin|rtlto|<br>P7riod|**Growth**<br>rate|<br>Cm|Cm|TF4|01<br>Note|F_L.|_in_|alOcG|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|19M|1147i|60.6|1985-89|2.83|36.7|8.8|5. 1|62.1|64.9|72|_lC_|
|1990|<br>132319|78.7|1990-94|2.75|35.'|8.0|4.75|63.6|66.5|6a|**s8**|
|1995<br>|<br>151556<br>|78.6|1995-99|2.57|32.6|7.1|4.35|65.2|68.2|55|74|
|2000<br>**2005**|<br>¶72678<br> <br>194627|77.0<br>72.6|2000-04<br>2005-09|2.39<br>2.21|30.2<br>28.2|6.4<br>6.1|3.99<br>3.65|66.8<br>67.9|70.0<br>71.3|46<br>40|62<br>54|
|2010|21739|67.9|2010-14|2.10|26.8|5.8|3.40|69.0|72.7|34|46|
|2015|<br>241416|64.4|2014-19|1.97|25.3|5.6|3.17|70.2|74.1|28|38|
|2020|266411|62.0|2020-24|1.80|23.4|5.4|2.93|71.4|75.6|22|30|
|2025|291571|60.2|2025-49|1.29|18.3|5.6|2.36|74.3|79.1|13|17|
|2050|402478|51.4|2050-74|0.71|14.2|7.2|2.08|77.7|83.1|6|8|
|2075|48073|58.6|2075-99|0.30|12.6|9.6|2.07|79.8|85.6|4|5|
|2100|517262|68.7|2100-24|0.10|12.0|11.G|2.06|81.4|87.7|2|4|
|2125<br>2150|529705<br>535220|71.9<br>73.3|212S-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|62.0|88.6|2|3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>* e-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025<br>snaw C' 3) swsr Co M<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> on<br>Cy51<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> an C SU)15<br><!-- End of picture text --> 15
EUROPE AND U.S.S.R.

# '. **.stiuates** and Projections

|**T1w**|**PauIst2i.**|Im.<br>**ratio**|<br>**Perlod**|**Iraof**<br>rate|-|m|**TFC**<br>**rtem**|b|**Famt**|INN|x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Ii<br>1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>**2005**<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>212S<br>2150|769036<br> <br>766717<br>803251<br>18717S<br>U4101<br>67392<br>659005<br>669232<br>876243<br>6967S4<br>69740<br>903W<br>914173<br>918117|51.3<br>51.1<br>51.9<br>52.1<br>53.2<br>52.9<br>54.5<br>57.7<br>61.5<br>71.4<br>71.4<br>72.?<br>73.9<br>74.5|19M-89<br>1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>200s-09<br>2010-14<br> 2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>20S0-74<br>2073-9I<br> 2100-24<br>2125-49|0.45<br>0.42<br>0.36<br>0.37<br>0.32<br>0.27<br>0.24<br> 0.21<br>0.06<br>o.o<br>0.04<br>0.03<br> 0.02|14.9<br>14.0<br> <br>13.2<br> <br>13.0<br>12.6<br>12.7<br>12.5<br>12.3<br> <br>12.0<br>11.9<br> <br>11.9<br>11.7<br>11.7|10.5<br>9.8<br> <br>9.4<br> <br>9.2<br>9.6<br>10.0<br>10.1<br>10.2<br> <br>11.2<br> <br>11.9<br> <br>11.4<br>11.4<br> <br>11.5|1.97<br>1.90<br>1.66<br>1.91<br>1.95<br>1.99<br>2.01<br>2.04<br> <br>2.07<br> <br>2.07<br> <br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|69.1<br>70.4<br> <br>71.7<br> <br>73.0<br>73.6<br>74.6<br>75.5<br>76.4<br> <br>78.4<br> <br>60.3<br>11.4<br> <br>62.2<br> <br>62.5|76.5<br>78.1<br>M9.S<br>60.6<br>1.5<br>82.3<br>63.0<br>63.9<br>65.6<br>67.4<br>6.5<br>69.2<br>89.5|la<br>15<br>13<br>11<br>iO<br>a<br>7<br>5<br>3<br>3<br>2<br>2<br>2|22<br>19<br>16<br> <br>14<br>12<br>10<br>9<br>7<br>5<br>4<br>3<br>3<br>3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 756+<br>70.74<br>65-6B<br>60-64<br>55.5,<br>50-54<br>4549<br>40-4<br>35.39<br>30.34<br>25-20<br>20.24<br>15.19<br>10-14<br>5.,<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> oaiiiiiIiilcA C13 -s:* APOICA (12 ><br>('4t~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~A~C<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> MMICA CI2 SI<br>*' CoX^O 4U) c\<br>ASIA CS7 CU<br><!-- End of picture text --> 1 6
OCEANIA

# 1. **Estimates** and Projections

|**lw**<br>|PwuSthm|**route**||**Gouttd**<br>**ot**||**W**|**Tn**|**I**|**40I**|**Im**<br>1|im|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|19<br>1990<br>199<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025|24634<br>26651<br>28797<br>30119<br>32711<br>34420<br>35945<br>**37264**<br>38502|%. 7<br>54.9<br>55.1<br>53.5<br>52.4<br>51.5<br>52.4<br>53.7<br>5S.6|:95-89<br>)0-94<br>i995-99<br>20C-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49|1.57<br>1.55<br>1.36<br>1.19<br>1.02<br>0.5?<br>0.72<br>0.65<br>0.40|19.4<br>19.0<br>17.9<br>17.1<br>16.2<br>15.4<br>14.7<br>14.3<br>13.3|7.9<br>7.7<br>7.5<br>7.4<br>7.4<br>7.5<br>7.5<br>7.7<br>9.3|2.4<br>2.40<br>2.33<br>2.31<br>2.26<br>2.20<br>2.13<br>2.11<br>2.10|69.2<br>70.2<br>71.3<br>72.3<br>73.<br>73.6<br>74.6<br>75.5<br>77.4|7r.0<br>76.0<br>77.0<br>73.1<br>78.8<br>79.9<br>80.4<br>61.3<br>63.3|28<br>24<br>20<br>17<br>16<br>Is<br>14<br>13<br>9|37<br>31<br>26<br>21<br>20<br>19<br>17<br>16<br>11|
|2050<br>207<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|42519<br>**44065**<br>4974<br>4559<br>4690|64.?<br>66.6<br>71.3<br>73.0<br>73.9|2050-.<br>20?5-,.<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.14<br>0.08<br>0.05<br>0.03|12.4<br>12.1<br>11.8<br>11.7|11.0<br>11.2<br>11.3<br>11.3|2.07<br>2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06|79.4<br>80.6<br>61.9<br>62.3|63.7<br>67.3<br>66.6<br>69.1|4<br>3<br>2<br>2|5<br>4<br>3<br>3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> Ea<br>e s<br>%3 2 lD lX<br>526555 _<br>10 3 6 4 2 0 2 * 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ~~~~~70-74 (ll<br>eS~~~6.69<br>~~~~60.64 6~~~~5-ag 332:<br>55.56 E =<br>50.54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-¶4<br>542<br>O~ ~ ~~-4 1<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> AWN'CA C43 71 AFAICA (12 21<br>CIA CO 0)<br>\ S (14 t ~E<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> OCsMUA Co 940ICA C`12~<br>O CA C<br>am*) <<br>ASIA C17 W<br><!-- End of picture text --> 17
LOW-INCOME **ECONOMIES**

# **1.** Eztimates and Projections

|Tow|pquiat2in|**Sp.**<br>ratio|Period|Growth<br>rate|Ca|CDR|**TFE**|O<br>_Note_|0<br>Femals|**IRE**|qS<br>**xlOO0**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**1905**|2711235|69.2|1985-89|2.04|30.9|10.3|3.88|60.2|61.7|84|118|
|1990|3002970|65.7|1990-94|.. 92|29.0|9.7|3.59|61.4|63.3|75|105|
|1995|**330s546**|65.1|1995l-9|<br>1.77|26.8|9.0|3.33|62.8|65.0|67|93|
|2000|3611290|63.5|2000-04|1.64|24.9|8.4|3.15|64.2|66.9|59|_1_|
|2005|3920688|60.0|2005-09|<br>1.52|23.4|8.1|2.99|65.3|68.2|5i|74|
|2010|4231067|56.5|2010-14|1.43|22.1|7.8|2.U2|66.4|69.5|48|66|
|2015|4543920|54.4|2014-19|1.3i|21.1|7.6|2.70|67.6|71.0|42|57|
|2020|4861230|53.9|2020-24|1.26|20.1|7.4|2.59|68.8|72.6|36|48|
|2025|5178125|53.6|2025-49|0.91|16.8|7.8|2.29|72.0|76.5|23|29|
|2050|6499395|54.i|2050-74|0.48|13.9|9.2|2.08|75.8|81.1|10|12|
|2075|7323357|60.0|2075-99|0.24|12.7|10.3|2.06|78.5|84.3|5|7|
|2100|7734287|67.0|2100-24|0.12|12.1|11.0|2.06|80.7|8Y.0|3|4|
|212S<br>2150|8015877<br>8131561|70.6<br>72.5|2125-49|0.06|11.9|11.3|2.05|81.6|88.1|2|3|

### 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 6 2 1 ~~~~75 +<br>70-4<br>2 B f e~~~O-e4<br>] 1 ~~~~55-59 iss2<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35.39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10.14<br>S2ES SXn ~~~ ~~5-9 R2<br>.. WfiMM.M. _ jo0-4 ________<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> H4IS C1 4C 'i': 11 1%)<br>hwassom Co 'U0)<br>"l°~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~.,uoCl'. LOW-ID Ce M-tt<br>LOW<br>Loop-mlo ~ ci4 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 1<br><!-- End of picture text -->
LOWER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES

# 1. Estiaates and Projections

|vow|<br>_Pepaltation_|~~~~~S<br> ratio|.<br>-<br>Pwrlod|rt<br>rate|Co|cm|TFN|Nlot|'_<br>Flm|1s<br>t|x 009|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965<br>1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>215<br>2150|694678<br>moo5<br>**6t5oJ**<br>941339<br>1024526<br>1107554<br>1191494<br>1273192<br>1356994<br>1693991<br>1664105<br>1973496<br>20i5499<br>20Z5627|75.4<br>71.6<br>68.0<br>63.1<br>58.5<br>54.5<br>52.3<br>51.7<br> <br>51.9<br>56.0<br> <br>63.4<br>69.3<br> <br>_2.0_<br>73 4|1965-89<br>1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>12-49|2.19<br>2.04<br>1.85<br>1.69<br>1.56<br>1.46<br>1.36<br>1.2*<br>0.89<br>0.43<br>0.19<br>0.03<br>0.04|30.8<br>28.5<br>25.9<br>23.6<br>22.1<br>21.0<br>19.3<br>18.6<br>15.8<br>13.3<br>:Z, 4<br>12.0<br>118|8.3<br>7.5<br>6.8<br>6.3<br>6.2<br>6.2<br>6.1<br>6.1<br>7.0<br>9.1<br>10.5<br>11.1<br>11.4|3.91<br>3.51<br>3.17<br>2.87<br>2.67<br>2.55<br>2.46<br>2.39<br>2.20<br>2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|62.0<br>63.5<br>65.0<br>66.5<br>67.6<br>68.8<br>70.0<br>71.2<br>74.3<br>77.7<br>79.7<br>81.3<br>62.0|66. 7<br>68.6<br>70.5<br>72.3<br>73.5<br>74.6<br>75.9<br>77.2<br>60.3<br>83.9<br>86.1<br>86.0<br>8.6|62<br>35<br>47<br>40<br>35<br>30<br>26<br>21<br>12<br>6<br>4<br>2<br>2|4<br>73<br>S3<br>53<br>47<br>40<br>34<br>28<br>16<br>7<br>5<br>4<br>3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>60-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>n 22WiM 35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>oxooo _ ~~~~10-14' 3<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>2 0 2 * s 8 10 l¶ 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> 10 D 6 4 2 0 2 * s 8 10

## 3. Distribution of po-alation (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> tsicH (is 4%)WIH )lM<br>iM04 Cs "ll I (S<br>LO10~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~O C14<br>LOW-MID (14 7U1<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 7 - \<br>FPMOCS ar)<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 1%<br><!-- End of picture text --> 19
UPPER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES

# 1. **lstiuates**

# and Pro4ections

|_1wr_|**PgMIaUS**|**nail.**|Pftrd|at.||WEm|TME|**ftm**|**Pmilm**|In|0=N|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965<br>1990<br>199<br>**2000**<br>**2005**<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>205|**29482**<br>322M<br>33157<br>38470<br>4W370<br>40S325<br>4574<br>516502<br> <br>549026|67.1<br>65.4<br>64.4<br>63.5<br>61.<br>59.3<br>51.6<br>s6.7<br>56.2|1965-69<br>190-94<br>199-9"<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49|1.61<br>1.79<br>1.72<br>1.63<br>1.52<br>1.42<br>1.32<br>1.22<br>0.66|26.5<br>26.0<br>24.6<br>23.2<br>22.0<br> <br>30.9<br>19.7<br>16.6<br>15..|3.5<br>7.9<br>7.3<br>6.6<br>6.7<br>6.6<br>6.5<br>6.4<br>7.0|3.50<br>3.36<br>3.20<br>3.04<br>2.9<br>2.75<br>2.59<br>2.47<br>2.17|64.6<br>66.1<br>6.4<br>66.6<br>69.6<br>70.5<br>71.9<br>73.1<br>75.6|69.9<br>71.3<br>72.'<br>74.4<br>75.3<br>76.4<br>77.5<br>73.7<br>61.6|53<br>46<br>39<br>33<br>29<br>24<br>19<br>1 4<br>7|70<br>60<br>50<br>41<br>36<br>30<br>24<br>1<br>9|
|2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>21SO|_66459_<br>7645<br>**305364**<br>1963<br> 62132|55.5<br>63.3<br>70.4<br>72.7<br>73.!|2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100.24<br>2125-49|0.4<br>0.19<br>0.07<br>0.0Q|13.3<br>12.3<br>11.9<br>I.(|6.7<br>10.4<br>11.2<br> <br>11.4|2.27<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|76.6<br>6.5s<br>1.r7<br>62.2|4.6<br>6.<br> *.4<br>69.0|4<br>3<br>2<br>2|5<br>4<br>3<br>3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>60.64<br>55-59<br>50.54<br>45-4,<br>40.44<br>z>>2o sBaa 30 34<br>omz maa 26 25 29<br>20.24<br>16- i9_<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br><!-- End of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 <!-- Start of picture text --> to 8 6 * 2 C 2 * 6 * 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> woom cis 4m~~~ear c<br>WPW*Nlo Cs "ID-IOCS *<br>LOW CMi W)<br>LW-* S Cis U) LON Col. go<br>L-Io C14 m<br><!-- End of picture text --> 20
HIGH-IWCOME ECONOMIES

# 1. **Zatiates and** Projections

|_Tow_|Pvip:Im|**rvito**|Sip<br>Pu -,ad|.<br>e|8m|-~~<br>ml|~~~~~~~~~~~'~~~<br>TrR|~%<br>fim|%q<br>FitnI|IE|1<br>XINS|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|19M<br>199M<br>194<br>20am<br>2005<br>2010<br>3015<br>2020<br>**202**<br>**5a**<br>207<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|787471<br> <br>614201<br>**JY902**<br>661577<br>665412<br>90273<br>916037<br>932599<br>9467M3<br>**955942**<br>94470<br>**9612**<br>9726J<br>976646|50.0<br>49.5<br>50.2<br>50.7<br>51.2<br>52.5<br>56.1<br>60.2<br>66.7<br>**73.3**<br>71.5<br>**73.2**<br>74.1<br>74.6|1965-39<br>1990-94<br>I995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2073-9<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.67<br>0.61<br>0.54<br>0.49<br>0.41<br>0.35<br>0.31<br>0.26<br>0.05<br>-0.01<br>0.05<br>0.03<br>0.01|14.0<br>13.5<br>12.9<br>12.6<br>12.4<br>12.3<br>12.3<br>12.2<br>11.9<br>11.9<br>11.6<br>11.7<br>11.6|6.6<br>6.6<br>6.5<br>**6.5**<br>8.6<br>9.2<br>9.4<br>9.7<br>11.4<br>12.0<br>11.3<br>11.4<br>11.5|1.60<br>1.61<br>1.64<br>1.90<br>'.96<br>2.02<br>2.06<br>2.10<br>2.10<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|72.7<br>73.6<br>74.6<br>73.6<br>76..<br>77.1<br>MT.7<br>78.4<br>79.6<br>61.1<br>81.6<br>62.4<br>62.7|79.2<br>60.1<br>61.2<br>62.1<br>u.r<br>U.3<br>64.0<br>84.6<br>66.1<br>07.7<br>66<br>69.3<br>09.6|12<br>11<br>10<br>9<br>8<br>7<br>6<br>5<br>3<br>3<br>2<br>2<br>2|15<br>14<br>12<br>11<br>10<br>9<br>a<br>6<br>5<br>4<br>3<br>3|

# 2. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-60<br>60-64<br>55.5.<br>50-54<br>45-4.<br>40-44<br>3e-39<br>30.34<br>25.29<br>20-24<br>10-14<br>5..<br>0-4<br>lo _0 2 a 0 6 4 2 2 4 6 S<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution or population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> MGM C"AID ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ L~CUU<br>L.mIoo Co 1m<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> wom-W10 Ca *. 1c<br><!-- End of picture text --> 21
NONREPORTING NONMEMBER ECONOMIES

# 1. Estimates and Projections

|**_To_**|**PepAsatin**|**Sep.**<br>**rotis**|**Peiod**|**_GcO_t **<br>**rato**|Ca|**cm**|TFt|**NoLm**|b<br>Fi_lo|**1in**|**xlO00**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1995|<br>3S4023|54.3|1985-89|0.7.|18.2|10.4|2.35|65.8|74.2|25|31|
|1990|<br>366790|54.0|1990-94|0.67|16.2|9.2|2.18|67.3|76.4|22|27|
|1995|<br>379235|54.4|1995-99|0.65|15.2|8.6|2.11|68.9|78.2|19|23|
|**2000**<br>2005|<br>391724<br> <br>405W?T|S2.8<br>53.3|2000-04<br>200S-09|0.67<br>0.62|15.0<br>15.0|8.3<br>8.7|2.10<br>2.10|70.5<br>71.5|79.9<br>80.7|16<br>14|19<br>17|
|2010|<br>417q37|52.0|2010-14|0.56|14.6|9.0|2.09|72.5|81.5|11|14|
|2015|<br> <br>429)29|52.3|2014-19|0.50|14.0|9.0|2.08|73.6|82.4|9|12|
|2020|<br> <br>440565|54.8|2020-24|0.44|13.4|9.1|2.07|74.7|83.2|7|9|
|2025|.50264|57.8|2025-49|0.29|12.8|9.9|2.07|77.2|85.2|4|5|
|2050|<br>484722|66.8|2050-74|0.11|12.2|11.0|2.06|79.7|87.2|3|4|
|2075|496515|64.9|2075-99|0.07|11.9|11.3|2.06|81.0|88.3|2|4|
|2100|50696|72.1|2100-24|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.0|89.1|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|512240<br>514817|73.6<br>74.4|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.S|2|3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

10 S 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65.69<br>80-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent):

# 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> LOMA-Woos Cs- "'wC"z/~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~"I \Nl ) Cs<br>NIG cis§ 47/"\ *4I~~4 ~~~.9-M,OLt Cl' CS 7<br>LOW-MIID C CO / (81<br>ww lo C i X / ,/ 2<br><!-- End of picture text --> 22
# ASIA REGION

(and Oceania)
ASIA AND OCEANIA REGION

## 1. Estimates and Projections

|**Year**|**Population**|De.<br>**ratio**|**Period**|Growth<br>rate|**C4**|CDR|TFR|'I<br>**NaLes**|00<br>**Ftes**|**INN**|**x1o00**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**198S**|2576202|63.3|1985-89|1.72|26.0|8.7|3.18|63.4|65.5|67|88|
|**1990**|2807781|58.8|1990-94|1.57|24.0|8.2|2.89|64.8|67.1|58|75|
|**1995**|3037537|57.6|1995-99|1.39|21.7|7.8|2.63|66.2|68.8|50|63|
|2000|3255429|55.7|2000-04|1.23|19.7|7.4|2.47|67.7|70.5|42|53|
|**2005**|3461433|52.2|2005-09|1.08|18.2|7.3|2.33|68.8|71.8|37|47|
|2010|3653986|49.0|2010-14|0.97|17.1|7.3|2.21|69.9|73.1|31|39|
|2015|3835854|47.3|2014-19|0.90|16.4|7.4|2.15|71.0|74.5|26|32|
|2020|4012503|47.7|2020-24|0.83|15.8|7.5|2.13|72.2|76.0|20|25|
|2025|4182831|48.8|2025-49|0.54|14.0|8.7|2.09|75.1|79.5|11|14|
|2050|4787708|58.6|2050-74|0.22|12.7|10.6|2.07|78.3|83.4|5|6|
|2075|5055299|66.3|2075-99|<br>0.11|12.2|11.1|2.06|80.2|85.9|3|4|
|2100|5199264|69.8|2100-24|0.07|11.9|11.2|2.06|81.6|87.9|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|5295063<br>5342583|72.3<br>73.5|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.1|88.7|2|3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>80-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>SXX<D U ~~~30-34 12z EU<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>SX{>X4 gEgE%l 1 10-14 RU S|<br>ERRZ9Z gUn 1 ~~~5-9| 22 %E!<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 02 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> LAC Ci3 ) AFQICA (10 01)<br>OM C23 It)<br>ASIA (53 21)<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> LAC C12 5%) AF41A (18 1)<br>EM(21 88)<br><!-- End of picture text --> 26
ASIA AND OCEANIA, BORROWERS ONLY

# 1. Estimates **and** Projections

|**_yaw_**|**PtpAetin**|**kp.**<br>**ratio**|Period|**Grth**<br>**rate**|C4|CDR|TF4|'o<br>Not"|**0**<br>**Fmtft**|in|xlO00|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1965|2366143|64.4|1985-89|1.79|27.0|8.9|3.29|62.7|64.4|69|91|
|1990|2609929|59.8|1990-94|1.63|24.8|8.3|2.97|64.1|66.0|60|78|
|1995|2832160|58.4|1995-99|1.43|22.3|7.8|2.68|65.6|67.8|51|65|
|2000|3042748|56.2|2000-04|1.27|20.2|7.4|2.50|67.1|69.7|44|55|
|2005|324205|52.3|2005-09|1.12|18.6|7.?|2.35|68.2|71.0|38|48|
|2010|**3429263**|48.7|2010-14|1.01|17.4|7.2|2.22|69.4|72.4|32|41|
|2015|**3607194**|46.7|2014-19|0.94|16.7|7.3|2.16|70.6|73.9|27|33|
|2020|3781033|47.0|2020-24|0.87|16.1|7.3|2.13|71.8|75.4|21|26|
|2025|3949143|48.0|2025-49|0.57|14.2|8.5|2.10|74.8|79.1|11|14|
|2050|4552196|57.9|2050-74|0.23|12.8|10.5|2.07|78.2|83.2|5|6|
|**207**|**4823248**|66.0|2075-99|0.12|12.3|11.1|2.06|80.1|85.8|3|5|
|2100|4966048|69.7|2100-24|0.08|11.9|11.2|2.06|81.6|87.9|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|5060340<br>5107063|72.2<br>73.4|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.1|**88.7**|2|3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> I0 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>80-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20.24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> AN (92 n)<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> : ( am C94<br><!-- End of picture text --> 27
ASIA DEPARTMENT I

## 1. zstimates and Projections

|Tow|PupAltts|**I".**<br>"etie|Paled|**el-ON ,4**<br>rate||WI|TUE|ftm|**F**<br>**tmti**|IM|xi=|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|195<br>1o9<br>1¶99<br>2000<br>**200**<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>21n<br>2150|136396<br> <br>150626<br>1¶6971<br>¶M34<br>200765<br>21756<br>233927<br>248581<br>26Is81<br>323011<br>355763<br>374662<br>387518<br>394210|89.2<br>83.1<br>73.4<br>67.4<br>62.4<br>58.4<br>54.5<br>50.3<br>47.5<br>50.3<br>59.1<br>65.0<br>69.4<br>71.8|1965-89<br>1990-96<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|2.26<br>2.06<br>1.39<br>1.79<br>1.63<br>1.42<br>1.22<br>1.11<br>0.62<br>0.39<br> 0.21<br>0.13<br>0.07|36.v<br>33.4<br>30.6<br>26.6<br>26.2<br>23.4<br>20.7<br>19.4<br>16.6<br>13.9<br>12.9<br>42.3<br>12.0|13.6<br>12.5<br>11.3<br>10.4<br>9.7<br>9.0<br>8.5<br>6.2<br>8.4<br>10.1<br>10.6<br>10.9<br>11.3|4.9<br>4.37<br>3.82<br>3.44<br>3.09<br>2.76<br>2.48<br>2.35<br>2.19<br>2.10<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|53.1<br>54.3<br>55.7<br>57.4<br>59.0<br>60.6<br>62.3<br>64.0<br>68.4<br>73.8<br>_77.4_<br>60.3<br>81.3|52.9<br>54.4<br>56.1<br>S8.1<br>59.9<br>61.7<br>63.7<br>65.7<br>71.1<br>77.5<br>82.0<br>05.3<br>87.4|114<br>106<br>95<br>4<br>76<br>67<br>59<br>51<br>32<br>12<br>7<br>3<br>2|167<br>154<br>137<br>116<br>106<br>94<br>61<br>69<br>41<br>1s<br>s<br>4<br>4|

# 2. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>40--4<br>35.39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>569<br>0-4<br>4 2 6 S 0<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

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ASIA DEPARTMENT **11**

# **1.** Estimates **and** Projections

|**_Vow_**|pqmAa&tiu|D.<br>m rtio|Pwled|Growth<br>**rate**|<br>cm|CDR|TF3|go<br>ftLm|0<br>**Firn**|to|9s<br>XIOOO|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|im<br>**1990**<br>1995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>**2050**<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>**2150**|272315<br> <br>300409<br>32876<br>3S6139<br>382349<br>406685<br>**.30524**<br>454359<br>4M94<br>561862<br>597573<br>613859<br>624166<br>**629270**|71.4<br>**66.3**<br>62.4<br>57.3<br>52.8<br>48.5<br>45.8<br>45.6<br>47.2<br>58.3<br>66.8<br>70.4<br>n.6<br>73.7|1985-89<br>1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|1.96<br>1.80<br>1.60<br>1.42<br>1.23<br>1.14<br>1.08<br>0.99<br>0.65<br>0.25<br>0.11<br>0.07<br>0.03|28.0<br>2S.6<br>23.0<br>20.7<br>18.7<br>17.7<br>17.1<br>16.3<br>14.1<br>12.7<br>12.2<br>11.9<br>11.8|7.8<br>7.2<br>6.6<br>6.2<br>6.2<br>6.2<br>6.3<br>6.4<br>7.7<br>10.2<br>11.1<br>11.2<br>11.4|3.42<br>3.00<br>2.70<br>2.45<br>2.23<br>2.14<br>2.13<br>2.11<br>2.06<br>2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|62.3<br>63.7<br>65.3<br>66.9<br>68.1<br>69.3<br>70.5<br>71.8<br>74.9<br>78.3<br>80.2<br>81.6<br>82.1|66.5<br>68.4<br>70.4<br>72.3<br>73.6<br>74.8<br>76.2<br>77.6<br>80.9<br>84.S<br>86.6<br>88.3<br>88.9|49<br>41<br>34<br>28<br>24<br>21<br>18<br>14<br>8<br>4<br>3<br>2<br>2|6S<br>54<br>43<br>35<br>31<br>26<br>22<br>18<br>10<br>5<br>4<br>3<br>3|

## 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>65.69<br>60-84<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10.14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

### 3. Distribution of population (percent): 199C and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> ASS CS C 7. M AS 2 cli M<br>AN~( C3.<br>A CW<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ~~~~~~~ASS C7 41) S sA2C1 %<br>AS, (3 )<br>a2<br><!-- End of picture text --> 29
ASIA DEPARTMENT III

# 1. **Eutimates** and Projections

|Towr|pqutatlm|**IW.**<br>ratio|Pwad|growth<br>**rate**|**cm**|cm|TFU|**@0**<br>Nlut|GO0q<br>**Fmtm**|**In**|XlOOG|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|195|1044554|53.9|1985-89|1.43|21.0|6.6<br>|2.40<br>|68.4<br>|70.6<br>|32<br>|39<br>|
|**1990**|1121960|47.7|1990-94|1.37|20.4|6.7<br>|2.28<br>|69.6<br>|71.7<br>|27<br>|32<br>|
|**1995**<br>**2000**|1201556<br>1275464|48.5<br>50.1|1995-99<br>2000-04|1.19<br>1.00|18.6<br>16.6<br>|6.6<br>6.5<br>|2.16<br>2.11<br>|70.9<br>72.2<br>|73.0<br>74.4<br>|22<br>18<br>|26<br>22<br>|
|**2005**|13410i7|48.0|2005-09|0.86<br>|15.3<br>|6.7<br>|2.10<br>|73.1<br>|75.5<br>|15<br>|19<br>|
|2010|**1399MN4**|45.1|2010-14|0.79|14.8|6.9<br>|2.10<br>|74.1<br>|76.7<br>|13<br>|16<br>|
|2015|1456442|44.4|2014-19|0.75<br>|14.7<br>|7.1<br>|2.09<br>|75.1<br>|77.9<br>|10<br>|13<br>|
|**2020**|**1512424**|47.4|2020-24|0.70<br>|14.3<br>|7.3<br>|2.08<br>|76.1<br>|79.3<br>|8<br>|10<br>|
|**2025**|1566159|50.2|2025-49|0.38<br>|13.0<br>|9.2<br>|2.07<br>|78.2<br>|U.3<br>|4<br>|6<br>|
|**2zS0**|**1720696**|6A.0|2050-74|0.12<br>|12.3<br>|11.1<br>|2.06<br>|80.3<br>|85.4<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2075|1774?|69.3|2075-99|0.07|12.0<br>|11.3<br>|2.06<br>|81.3<br>|87.2<br>|2<br>|4<br>|
|2100|1604227|71.9|2100-24|0.04|11.8<br>|11.3<br>|2.06<br>|**82.2**<br>|**88.6**<br>|**2**<br>|3<br>|
|**2125**<br>2150|16474<br>1834915|73.4<br>74.2|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|U.5|89.1|2|3|

# 2. **Age** structure (percent):<sup>1990 and 2025</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>E sS ~~~~45-49<br>4044<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>g§2ES{ FUmPUn 1 25-29 6 l<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution **of** population<sup>(percent): 1990 and 2025</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> A C7.M) AB s t, 3 C, c7 41, Al.. CS ,<br>£34 CN 2_,4<br>0 A4 ()' 25)<br><!-- End of picture text --> 30
ASIA DEPARTMENT IV

# 1. Estimates and Projections

|_vow_|Population|Dop.<br>**rtio**|Priod|Growth<br>rate|Ca|CDR|TFt|*0**0**<br>**Mats**|0<br>**Fmles**|Io|qS<br>xtO00|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|195|765147|72.1|1985-89|2.10|32.4|11.4|4.26|57.8|57.9|99|128|
|1990|849651|70.3|1990-94|1.82|28.5|10.2|3.74|59.3|60.2|**88**|113|
|1995|930639|67.8|IM5-9|1.58|25.1|9.2|3.22|61.0|62.6|77|96|
|**2000**|1007122|62.1|2000-04|1.44|23.0|8.5|2.88|62.8|65.0|65|79|
|**2005**|1082479|56.1|2005-09|1.29|21.1|8.1|2.57|64.2|66.7|57|69|
|2010|1154J41|51.6|2010-14|1.13|19.1|7.8|2.29|65.6|68.4|48|58|
|2015|1221692|48.5|2014-19|1.04|18.1|7.7|2.19|67.0|70.2|39|48|
|2020|128660|46.7|2020-24|0.97|17.3|7.6|2.15|68.4|72.0|31|37|
|2025|1350430|6.2|2025-49|0.69|15.0|8.2|2.11|72.3|76.5|16|19|
|20^0|1603593|53.2|2050-74|0.31|13.1|10.0|2.08|76.8|81.6|5|7|
|207|132544|64.0|2075-W|0.15|12.4|11.0|2.07|79.3|84.8|3|5|
|2100|1797519|68.3|2100-24|0.10|12.0|11.1|2.06|81.2|87.4|2|4|
|2125<br>2150|**1841296**<br>1862220|71.4<br>73.0|2125-49|0.05|11.8|11.4|2.06|81.9|88.4|2|3|

# 2. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>{ S es~~~6-69<br>gD ~~~~~55-59 IE l<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>4 6 J 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 J 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> ASS C7 1) S1 Cs t)<br>A84 C)! so<br>S3 C43 01<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ASS C' 44) 41 Csi 7sM<br>AS) C )<br><!-- End of picture text --> 31
ASIA DEPARTMENT V

# 1. **gtimates** and Projections

|**Tow**|Pwietuio|So.<br>ratio|Psi-fed|Growth<br>**ratd,**|cm|cm|TFR|@0<br>**Mates**|@0<br> Fmotme|<br>in|q<br>£1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|19l5|169699|73.3|1965-89|1.97|28.9|9.1|3.54|58.3|61.9|71|97|
|**1990**|16726|67.6|1990-94|1.73|25.7|8.3|3.05|61.2|64.6|55|_n_|
|**1995**<br>**2000**<br>2005|20422?<br>**220429**<br>23S485|61.4<br>57.1<br>52.0|1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09|1.53<br>1.32<br>1.20|22.9<br>20.1<br>18.8|7.5<br>6.9<br>6.8|2.66<br>2.32<br>2.19|63.9<br>66.3<br>67.5|67.1<br>69.5<br>70.9|43<br>34<br>30|55<br>42<br>36|
|2010|24999|48.1|2010-14|1.14|18.2|6.8|2.17|68.8|72.4|25|31|
|2015|264409|46.0|2014-19|1.05|17.3|6.8|2.14|70.1|74.0|20|25|
|2020|276863|45.9|2020-24|0.94|16.3|6.9|2.12|71.4|73.6|16|19|
|2025|292345|46.8|2025-49|0.64|14.3|7.9|2.09|74.6|79.4|8|10|
|2050|343013|57.4|2050-74|0.24|12.8|10.4|2.07|78.2|83.5|4|5|
|2075|364520|65.2|2075-99|0.12|12.3|11.0|2.06|80.1|86.1|3|4|
|2100|375781|69.5|2100-24|0.07|11.9|11.2|2.06|81.6|88.0|2|3|
|212<br>2150|382885<br>38448|72.1<br>n.4|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.1|88.8|2|3|

# 2. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20.24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>1 _---- 5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 * s a~~~. 4 6 . 810 . 10 8 . . . 6 . . 4 . . 2 . . 0 2 4 o . . . . . . . .l*A&I 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 3. Distribution of population (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> AN C, UO<br>AS~~ CU.-~~ S<br>AN MU)3 t 0<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> ASS c C 4.)<br>p.54 CI 2A)<br>£, CU T<br><!-- End of picture text --> 32
# COUNTRIES, ECONOMIES, AND TERRITORIES
AUSTRALIA

# 1. **Recent** Trends

Not recent _cwA (OSM,_ JH. SI): 14576 pr capita (U.S. dotll , 196): 12341 N"gin: Dveo ed Co tri e Income group: Nis

|**Poplatio**<br>_mid_<br>structu|**liit**<br>of||lo<br>_<br>**1**<br>f|f<br>**19**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Poputation<br>**(mid-yew)**|Thousad|14692|1575|17010|
|**Age**structure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thouands<br>|1137<br>|1234<br>|1245<br>|
|5-14<br>15-6|Thousds<br>Thouands|250<br>9568|24<br>104"s|250<br>11417|
|65+|Thousands|140|1594|1140|
|Delty|Pp. per sq._Im._|2|2|2|
|Urbanizatfon|Pecent urban|14|14|14|
|School-age population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousmd|1535|1454<br>|149<br>|
|12-17|Thousade|1555|1609|1535|
|Woman of childbearing<br>**ao**15-49|Thousands|3664|4012|4462|
|Vitalratom d palieV|UnlI of _mu|1975-U|1966-|16-3|
|Aavual growth rate|Percent|1.1|1.4|1.5|
|Fertility|||||
|Totat fertility<br>rate (TFR)|Births<br>per woman<br> <br>|2.0<br>|2 0<br>|1.9<br>|
|Crudc birth rate (CM)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|16|16|15|
|mortality<br>|||||
|Life expectancy<br>at birth (e.)|||||
|oales<br>|Years<br>|70.1<br>|71.9<br>|72.9<br>|
|Females|Years<br>|77.0<br>|7s.7<br>|79.5<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (CI)<br> <br>|Per 1000 liv births<br>|12<br>|10<br>|10<br>|
|Under5mortaLity<br>risk (q5)<br>Crude deathrate (CDA)|1000 q5<br>**Deaths**per 1000 pop.|15<br>a|12<br>8|12<br>7|
|Netmigration|Thousands||425|611|
|Govt.<br>**assessment**<br>of|||||
|Population growth-ate||Satisfactory<br>|Satisfactory<br>|Satisfactory<br>|
|Fertility||Satisfactory|Satisfactory|Satisfactory|
|Contr<br>a<br>tion|**Uhit**of memwe||**Previas**|Latmt|
|Contraceptive prevalence<br>|percent of married<br>|||67<br>|
|**Year**|womn 15-49using|||1971|
|Contraceptive<br>**mix**<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill|||||
|lud|||||
|F ele a<br>staritation|||||
|alte<br>steritization<br>|||||
|Condom<br>|||||
|Other mod rn<br>Traditionl|||||

**36**
AUSTRALIA

# 2. Projections - NRR-l by 2030

|Tow|**PgaWatIin**|SW.<br> rtio|w'i|rwth<br>rote|<br>C|CR|TFR|Note|o<br>**Fmtsin**|1|a1|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>20Th<br>2020<br>|17010<br>16327<br>19506<br>20551<br>21434<br>22158<br>22715<br>|49.0<br>49.2<br>47.9<br>47.5<br>48.0<br>50.6<br>54.1<br>|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>|1.49<br>1.25<br>1.04<br>0.84<br>066<br>0.50<br>0.42|14.8<br>14.1<br>13.7<br>13.2<br>12.8<br>12.5<br>12.3|7.1<br>7.1<br>7.1<br>7.3<br>7.5<br>7.7<br>8.1|1.85<br>1.85<br>1.89<br>1.92<br>1.96<br>1.99<br>2.03|74.0<br>75.0<br>76.0<br>76.6<br>77.3<br>77.9<br>78.6|80.4<br>81.4<br>82.3<br>82.9<br>83.6<br>84.i<br>85.0<br>|9<br>8<br>7<br>6<br>5<br>s<br>4|11<br>10<br>9<br>a<br>7<br>6<br>5|
|2025<br>|23196|58.7<br>|2025-49|0.14|11.9|10.4|Z.07|80.0|86.4|3|4|
|2050|24043|73.6<br>|2050-74|-0.03<br>|11.8|12.0|2.07|81.3|87.9|2|3|
|2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|**23886**<br>24031<br>24173<br>2424|72.9<br>73.7<br>74.3<br>74.7|2075-99<br>2100-24<br>21;3-49|0.02<br>0.02<br>0.01|11.8<br>11.7<br>11.6|11.5<br>11.5<br>11.5|2.07<br>2.07<br>2.07|82.0<br>U2.5<br>U2.7|8.8<br>89.4<br>89.6|2<br>2<br>2|3<br>3<br>3|

# 3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> E% llllB ~~~75 + 2R Z l<br>70-74<br>EMM llX 65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50.54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>lo8 I . T 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 .. .. 6 4 . .. 2 . 0 2 4 .... 6 al1<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR **eO** Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> CoLotry Region Icmem grou.p<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country legian Incomw group Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 37
BANGLADESH

# 1. **Recent** Trends

ee0t recent cesu COOOs, Nar. 81): 87120 _CUW_ per capita (U.S. dollars, 1966): 168 Regfon: Asia Incom Group: Low

|pulation<br>-w<br>structure|Unit of massure|1900|1905|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Total**Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousads|67510|100593|113134|
|**Ag**structure|||||
|0-4|Thouands|16081|1m7|17538|
|5-14|Thouswads<br>|24321<br>|28247<br>|31817<br>|
|15-U|Thousands|4125|51488|60432|
|65.|Thousands|2984|3101|3347|
|Density|Pop. per sq. km.|653|751|845|
|Urbanization|Percint<br>urban|10|12|14|
|School-age population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|15135|17448|19698|
|i2-17|Thousands|12341|14342|16675|
|Woen of childbearing<br>**age**15 -49|Thousands|18720|21914|25781|
|Vital<br>**rates**wWpolicy|Unitof measure|1975-80|1960-85|1905-90|
|Austu<br>growth rate|Percent|2.7|2.8|2.4|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFR)|Births<br>per women|6.3|6.0|5.2|
|Crude birth<br>rate<br>(CUR)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|47|45|38|
|Mor al ity<br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancy at birth<br>(e.)|||||
|<br><br>males|Years|47.4|49.1|51.1|
|Feales|Years|46.1|48.2|50.4|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)|Per 1000Livebirths|137|128|119|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk (qS)|1000 qS|221|204|475|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|19|18|15|
|Net migration|Thousands||-35|-130|
|Govt.**asessment**of|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||Too high|Toohigh|Too high|
|Fertility||Toohigh|Too high|Toohigh|
|Contraception|**Unit**of measure||Previous|Latest|
|Contraceptive<br>prevslence|percent of married||25|31|
|<br> <br>Yer|<br>women 10-49 using||1985|1989|
|Contraceptive<br>mix<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill<br>Lud|||5<br>1|9|
|**Fmle**<br>sterilzation|||8|9|
|**Male**sterilization|||2|1|
|Condom|||2|2|
|Gther modern<br>Tradition<br>l|||1<br>6|1<br>8|

38
BANGLADESH

## - 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2015

|_Year_|Populatio|DW.<br>ratio|p1a-d|g6e-th<br>rate|CIO|cm|TFR|G<br>Nm|SO<br>0<br>Frm-tem|IM|x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|113134|87.2|1990.94|2.13|34.7|13.1|4.55|52.3|52.0|111|161|
|1995<br>|125869|77.8|1995-99|1.95|31.5|11.9|3.90|53.9|53.8|100|143|
|2000|138736|68.6|2000-04|184|29.3|10.9|3.46|55.6|55.9|87|124|
|2005<br>|152071|63.2|2005-09|1.65|26.6|10.0|3.06|57.3|57.8|79|111|
|2010|165185|58.4|2010-14|1.43|23.6|9.3|2.73|59.1|59.8|71|98|
|2015<br>|177388<br>|53.8|2014-19|1.20|20.7|8.7|2.42|60.9|61.9|63|86|
|2020<br>|188321<br>|48.8|2020-24|1.11|19.5|8.3|2.31|62.7|64.1|55|73|
|2025<br>|199061<br>|45.7|2025-49|0.83|16.8|8.6|2.20|67.4|69.8|3.|44|
|2050<br>|244895<br>|49.4<br>|2050-74|0.38|14.0|10.2|2.10|73.2|76.7|13|16|
|2075<br>|269515<br>|58.6<br>|2075-99<br>|0.21|13.0|10.8|2.08|77.1|81.5|7|9|
|2100<br>|284241<br>|66.1<br>|2100-24<br>|0.14|12.3|10.9|2.06|80.1|85.6|3|4|
|2125<br>2150|294580<br>300001|69.0<br>71.5|2125-49|0.07|12.0|11.3|2.06|81.2|87.2|3|4|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 86 4 2024 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10.14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR **eO** Growth rate Countr-y Region Incom group Country Region Income 2roup Counwtry Region Income group 39
# BHUTAN

## 1. Recent Trends

Most rwcat _ceam_ (M0 Dec. 69): 1QS _UW_ per capt (U.S. dollars, 1968): ¶78

*ejion: Asi Incim Oroi: Low

|PetaOtili<br>d aGetrUt$Ae|Uitofn<br>ur|190|195|190W|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|TotalP',putltion<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|1165|1286|1434|
|Apstructur.<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|180<br>|19<br>|223<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands|289|321|350|
|15-6<br>|Thousands|657|729|814|
|65+|Thousands|38|42|48|
|Deity|Pop. per sq.km.|25|27|31|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|4|4|S|
|School-oa<br>population<br>|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousnds|190|196<br>|21S<br>|
|12-17|Thousnds|162|170|189|
|Women of chitdbearing**age**15-49|Thousands|289|302|335|
|Vital<br>rates wi<br>policy|Unit<br>of ensure|1975-30|1960-5|¶9-90|
|Avujalgrowth ratc|Percent|2.1|2.0|2.2|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (Trt)<br>|Births por woman<br> <br>|6.0<br>|6.2<br>|5.5<br>|
|Crude birth**rate**(CH)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|40|39|39|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Lift<br>expectency atbirth (co)<br>|||||
|Nolte<br>|**Years**<br>|44.6<br>|46.6<br>|48.6<br>|
|Fislte<br> <br>|Years<br>|45.1|45.1|47.1|
|Infant mortality<br>rate (INR)<br> <br>|Per 1000 Live births<br>|147|13V<br>|128<br>|
|_Under_5mortality<br>risk (qS)<br>|1000q1<br>|30<br>|215|190|
|Crude death rOte (CDR)|Deathsper 1000 pop.|20|18|17|
|etoigration|Thousands||0|0|
|Govt.**assessment**of<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growth**rate**||Too low|Too Low|Toolow|
|Fertility||Satisfactory|Satisfactor|y Satisfactory|
|Cantr.<br>**option**|Lkni<br>t of**oeur**||Previou|**Lato**t|
|Contraceptive**prevaolnce**<br>|percent of married<br>||||
|**Year**|wommn 15-49 using||||
|Contraeptive<br>**mix**<br>|Percent<br>using||||
|Pill<br>|||||
|lid<br>|||||
|F**_lo**xtrization|||||
|**Nale sterilization**<br> <br>|||||
|Other<br>modern<br>Traditionel|||||

40
BHUTAN

# 2. Projections **NRR-1** by 2035

|**_Tow_PpAeftiu**|ratio|Peiod|rate|C|CD|TF9|**Naim**|**Fmit**|**iM**|xlO00m|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1434<br>1995<br>1616<br>2000<br>1U26<br>2005<br>2039|76.3<br>78.4<br>81.4<br>W0.8|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09|2.39<br>2.44<br>2.21<br>2.02|40.2<br>59.6<br>35.7<br>32.5|16.3<br>15.2<br>13.7<br>12.3|5.54<br>5.54<br>S.03<br>4.52|49.7<br>51.2<br>53.0<br>54.7|48.4<br>50.1<br>52.1<br>54.0|120<br>109<br>97<br>89|177<br>158<br>138<br>127|
|2010<br>2255|75.8|2010-14|1.86|30.1|11.3|4.01|56.5|56.0|61|115|
|2015<br>2478|69.0|2014-19|1.75|27.8|10.3|3.50|58.4|58.2|74|103|
|2025<br>2704|63.7|2020-24|1.62|25.7|9.5|3.06|60.3|60.5|66|91|
|2025<br>2933|59.4|2025-49|1.13|19.4|8.2|2.34|65.0|66.6|46|60|
|2050<br>3893|45.3|2050-74|0.63|15.0|8.8|2.13|70.9|74.2|22|26|
|2075<br>4555<br>?100<br>4903<br>2125<br>5106<br>2150<br>5221|53.2<br>64.1<br>68.0<br>70.8|2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.30<br>0.16<br>0.09|13.3<br>12.5<br>12.1|10.4<br>10.9<br>11.2|2.09<br>2.07<br>2.06|75.8<br>79.6<br>60.8|79.8<br>64.6<br>86.6|10<br>3<br>3|13<br>5<br>4|

3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-es<br>80-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>1-159<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>o______ _______ 0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR **e** Growth rate Counmtry Region Income group Country legion Income group Country legion Income groW 41
BRUNEI

# **1. Recent Trends**

Meet reent **cenuA (000..** Aug. 81): 193 _OMP_ per capita (U.S. dollars, 1988): ..

Region: Asia Income Group: hih

|**PeuAbtn**<br>***m**<br>**_nd_**<br>**strueture**|**Unit**of measure|1940|**1985**|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|186|219|256|
|**Ago**structure|||||
|0-4|Thousands||30<br>|29<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>||50<br>|56<br>|
|15-|Thousands||133|162|
|65.|Thousands||7|9|
|Density|Pop. per sq. km.|35|42|49|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|60|58|58|
|School-ag<br>population|||||
|<br><br>6-11|Thousands||30<br>|35|
|12-17|Thousands||27|30|
|Women of childbearing<br>age 15-49|Thousands||43|53|
|**Vitalrate**<br>***ndpolicy**|**Unit**of<br>**esure**|**1975-80**|1980-US|19US-90|
|**Amual**growth rate|Percent|3.5|3.3|3.1|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFR)|Births<br>per woman||4.|3.8<br>|
|Crude birth<br>rate (CSR)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|32|30|24|
|Mortality<br> <br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancy at birth<br>(eo)|||||
|<br>Males|Years|66.8|70.9|72.8|
|**Females**|Years|68.5|73.8|76.3|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate(IMR)|Per 1000 livu<br>births|24|17|13<br>|
|Under5mortality<br>risk<br>(%)|1000 q5|||16|
|<br> <br>Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|4|4|4|
|Wotmigration|Thousands||14|13|
|Govt. assessment of|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||||Satisfactory<br>|
|<br>FertiLity||||Satisfactory|
|Contraception|Unit of measure||Previous|**Latnst**|
|Contraceptive<br>prevalence|percent of married||||
|<br>Year|women 15-49 using||||
|Contraceptive<br>mix|Percent using||||
|<br>Pill|||||
|lud|||||
|F**m le**sterilzation|||||
|**Male**sterilization|||||
|**Condom**|||||
|Other**modern**<br>Traditional|||||

42
BRUNEI

# - 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2010

|**irsPopulatio**|**DO.**<br>ratio|**Priod**|_Growth_<br>rate|Cm|CDR|**TFr**|0<br>**Nale**|**F_mmt**|**In**|1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>256|58.4|1990*94|2.75|23.6|3.3|3.25|74.3|78.3|10|13|
|1995<br>294|55.8|1995<br>-99|2.28|21.7|3.3|2.85|75.6|80.1|9|11|
|2000<br>330|51.7|2000-04|1.81|19.2|3.4|2.50|76.8|81.6|7|9|
|2005<br>361|50.2|2005-09|1.33|16.6|3.8|2.19|77.3|82.3|6|8|
|2010<br>386|47.4|2010-14|1.13|15.6|4.3|2.07|77.9|83.0|6|7|
|2015<br>408|45.5|2014-19|1.05|15.3|4.8|2.07|78.5|83.7|5|6|
|2020<br>430|46.9|2020-24|0.95|14.9|5.4|2.07|79.1|84.4|4|5|
|2025<br>451|51.3|2025-49|0.54|13.2|7.9|2.06|80.4|86.0|3|4|
|2050<br>516|63.5|2050-74|0.18|12.1|10.3|2.06|81.5|87.7|2|3|
|2075<br>540|71.6|2075-99|0.05|11.8|11.3|2.06|82.1|88.6|2|3|
|2100<br>547|73.5|2100-24|0.03|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.6|89.3|2|3|
|2125<br>550<br>2150<br>552|74.3<br>74.6|2125-49|0.01|11.6|11.5|2.06|82.8|89.6|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>85-69<br>80-84<br>55-5 9<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>R2RRERERE BBB 1 ~~5-9 Rgg<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR **eO** Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Income *atu<br><!-- End of picture text --> Cowmtry Region Income grou.p _Co,atry_ Region Ircome group '3
**CHINA (excluding Taiwan)**

# 1. Recent Trends

**mte** reeont **cnsui** (00tc Jul. U2) 1031665 _W_ P _air_ capita (U.S. dttars, 16): 334

lgion: Asia Incom Grosp: Low

|PapmAatlen<br>ad no struture|**UnIt**of***awur**|**1900**|**1906**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population**(mid-year)**|Thousands|981235|104456|1121960|
|**Age**structure<br>0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|96995<br>|9196J<br>|109593<br>|
|5-14<br>15-64|ThousHwn<br>Thousands|251160<br>586730|218664<br>678705|166U1<br>759660|
|65+|Thousando|46330|55267|65906|
|Donsity|Pop. per sq. km.|106|112|121|
|Urbanlautfon|Percent<br>urban|19|37|56|
|School-age<br>population|||||
|<br><br>6-11|Thousands|149611|124518|107373<br>|
|12-1T|Thouswnds|115315629||130809|
|Wmenofchildbaring<br>**a**<br>15-49|Thousands|236649|271336|306297|
|vital**ratmond**pDOicy|unit of**maourm**|1975-OO|1960-5|195-90|
|Annual growth<br>rate|Percent|1.4|1.3|1.4|
|Fertillty|||||
|Total fortilfty<br>rate(TFI)<br>|Births<br>perwomen<br> <br>|2.7<br>|2.3<br>|2.4<br>|
|Crude birthrate(C4P)|B1rtho<br>per 1000 pop.|19|21|21|
|Nortality<br> <br>|||||
|Lifeexpectancy<br>at birth(es)|||||
|NMtes|Years<br>|65.0<br>|66.4<br>|68.4<br>|
|FemaeLs|Yers|67.2<br>|69.3<br>|70.6<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (INN)<br> <br>|Per 1000livebirths<br>|39<br>|39<br>|32<br>|
|UnderS ortatity<br>risk (q,)|1000qS|S|55|39|
|Crude deathrate(CDO)|Deathsper 1000 pop.|7|7|7|
|Met<br>migration|Thourande||-250|-325|
|Govt*asessmentof<br>|||||
|Population growth rate<br>||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Too high<br>|
|Fertftity||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|**Contra**eption|**Unit**of***our**||PrevioLs|Lato t|
|Contraeptive<br>prevatlnce<br>|percent of married<br>||69<br>|81|
|YeTr|women15-49using||1982|1965|
|Contraceptive mix<br>|Porcent using||||
|Pilt|||6|5|
|lud<br>|||35<br>|32<br>|
|f_mt<br>stertlzation|||16<br>|30<br>|
|Male starilisation<br>|||7<br>1|9<br>3|
|Condom|||||
|Other odern<br>Traditional|||0<br>0|0<br>0|

66
CHINA (excluding Taiwan)

# **-** 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2000

|Tow.|PuIAtlon|Sap.<br>ratio|Period|c<br>rate|0|Cm|TF4|Nl_n|Fol|**Io**<br>to|sGith<br>lO00|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1W0|1121960|47.7|1990-94|1.37|20.4|6.7|2.28|69.6|71.7|27|32|
|1995|<br>1201556|48.5|199S-9|1.19|18.6|6.6|2.16|70.9|73.0|22|26|
|2000|1275464|50.1|2000-04|1.00|16.6|6.5|2.11|72.2|74.4|18|22|
|2005|1341017|48.0|2005-09|0.86|15.3|6.7|2.10|73.1|75.5|15|19|
|2010|1399864|45.1|2010-14|0.79|14.8|6.9|2.10|74.1|76.7|13|16|
|2015|14S6442|*4.4|2014-19|0.75|14.7|7.1|2.09|75.1|77.9|10|13|
|2020|1S12424|47.4|2020-24|0.70|14.3|7.3|2.08|76.1|79.3|8|10|
|2025|1566159|50.2|2025-49|0.38|13.0|9.2|2.07|78.2|82.3|4|6|
|2050|1720696|64.0|2050-74|0.12|12.3|11.1|2.06|80.3|85.4|3|4|
|2075|M7847|69.3|2075-W|0.07|12.0|11.3|2.06|81.3|87.2|2|4|
|2100|1804227|72.2|2100-24|0.04|11.8|11.3|2.06|82.2|88.6|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|1824474<br>**1834915**|73.4<br>74.2|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.5|89.1|2|3|

# 3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>i lB eo~~~8-64 12gE<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>36-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br>6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 1<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR **eo** Growth rate Country Region Income group Country RegicAl icmem group Country Region Income group 45
FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA

# **1. Recent** Trends

## oct recent newon **AMP** per capita **(U.S.** dollers, **1966):**

R gion: Asfa Income roup: High

|Poutation n<br>*<br>stnxture|Unitofmeasure|1960|195|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|**_Total_**<br>Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|76|91|105|
|Age structure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>||13<br>|16<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>||28<br>|28<br>|
|15-64|ThousXd||48|58|
|65.|Thousards||3|4|
|Density|Pop. per sq. km.||||
|Urbanization|Percent urban||||
|School-ag population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands||17|17|
|12-17|Thousands||14|16|
|Womsn of childboering**ag**15-49|Thousonds||20|25|
|vital<br>**rat"***nd poicy|Unit of measur|1975-80|1960-85|1965-90|
|Amual growth rate|Percent||3.5|2.9|
|Fertitity|||||
|TotaL fertility<br>rate(TFR)|Births<br>per woman<br>n||4.5<br>|4.5<br>|
|<br>Crude birth rate(CBR)|Births per 1000 pop.||32|33|
|MortaLity|||||
|Lifeexpectancyat birth (es)|||||
|<br>_Nales_|Years||68.8|70.1|
|Fles|Years||72.8|76.1|
|_<br>Infant mortaLity rate(IMR)|Per 1000 Live births||30|2S|
|<br>Under 5 mortalityrisk (q5)|1000q5|||31|
|<br>Crude deathrate (CDR)|<br>Deaths per 1000 pop.||5|4|
|Net migration|Thousands||||
|Govt. assessment<br>of|||||
|Population<br>growth rate|||||
|Fertility|||||
|Contraception|Unit of meaur||Previous|Latast|
|Contraceptive<br>prevelmnce|percent<br>of nerried||||
|<br> <br>Year|<br>womn 15-49<br>using||||
|Contraceptive**oIx**<br>|Percent<br>using||||
|Pitt|||||
|Iud|||||
|F mele sterilization|||||
|Male steritizatfon|||||
|<br>CondoM|||||
|Other modern<br>TraditionsL|||||

46
FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2020

|_Towi_<br>**Pi**|**puatimn**|.<br>ratio|**Period**|Growth<br>rate|<br>**CU**|CDt|TFR|**ales**|*0<br>**Fimta**|**in**|x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|105|82.7|1990-94|2.84|32.4|4.0|4.14|70.8|77.9|21|25|
|1995|121|74.9|1995-99|2.64|30.2|3.8|3.77|71.6|79.5|17|20|
|2000|138|73.8|2000-04|2.36|27.2|3.6|3.41|72.6|80.9|14|17|
|2005|156|69.0|2005-09|1.99|23.5|3.6|2.94|73.5|81.7|12|14|
|2010|172|61.4|2010-14|1.70|20.5|3.6|2.54|74.4|82.4|10|12|
|2015|187|54.3|2014-19|1.45|18.2|3.6|2.20|75.4|83.2|a|10|
|2020|201|49.4|2020-24|1.36|17.3|3.7|2.07|76.3|84.0|6|7|
|2025|216|47.4|2025-49|0.98|15.0|5.3|2.06|78.4|85.7|3|5|
|2050|275|54.4|2050-74|0.40|12.6|8.6|2.06|80.4|87.5|3|4|
|2075|305|69.9|2075-99|0.09|11.9|11.1|2.06|81.4|88.5|2|3|
|2100|311|73.1|2100-24|0.04|11.7|11.3|2.06|82.2|89.2|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|315<br>316|73.7<br>74.4|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.5|89.5|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>80.64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>E>xxXx2Rxx ZUgUgggl10-14 |RR U<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eo Growth rate<br>Country Rgion Incom group Country Region Income group Country Region Incom group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 47
FIJI keoion: Aio Incom Group: Lower-middle

# **1. Recent** Trends

**Noet** recent censu (000., Au. 6): 715 me pr cpita (U.S. dotors, 1968): 1518

|**PopALation****_wo_o structure**|**Unitof meure**|**1900**|**19**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|634|700|752|
|Age structure|||||
|0-4|Thousands|8|9|92|
|5-14<br>|Thousonds<br>|149<br>|161<br>|182<br>|
|15-64|Thousands|376|415|448|
|65+|Thousands|21|24|30|
|Dansity|Pop. per sq. km.|35|38|41|
|Urbanizatian|Percent urban|39|41|44|
|School-age population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands|90|99|112|
|12-17|Thousands|87|8S|94|
|Womenofchfldbearing**ag**15-49|Thousands|16S|180|191|
|Vital rat *ndpolicy|Unitofmovure|1975-0|19130-15|10-90|
|Auuso growth rate|Percent|1.9|2.0|1.4|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFP)|Births<br>per women|3.6|3.5|3.3|
|Crude birth**rate**(C4R)|ifrtha<br>per 1000 pop.|27|31|27|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Lifeexpectancy<br>at birth(e,)|||||
|<br><br>Nales|Years|65.5|67.0|68.2|
|F iles|Tears|69.0|71.0|72.7|
|Infant mortalfty<br>rate (INN)|Per 1000 live births|37|31|21|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk(q5)|1000qS|45|37|26|
|Crude death rate<br>(CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.||7|5|
|Net migration|Thouands||-10|-26|
|Govt.**assssmnt**<br>of|||||
|Populationgrowth rate||Too high|Too high|Satisfactory|
|Fertility||Toohigh|Toohigh|Too high|
|Contrqctpion|**Unit**of measur||**Previom**|Lat_ t|
|Contraceptive<br>provalence|percent of m_rried||41|38|
|<br> <br>Tear|<br>women 15-44 using||1974|1978|
|Contraceptive<br>mix|Percent using||||
|<br> <br>Pill|||9|8|
|<br>lud|||<br>5|S|
|F me t<br>sterilzation|||15|17|
|alae<br>sterilization|||0||
|<br> <br>Condom|||6|6|
|Other modern<br>Tradition<br>lS|||0|2|

48
**FIJI**

# 2. **Projections -** NRR-1 by 2005

|TowP|pel.|**lap.**<br>sei.|<br>Polled|**sr**<br>-<br>**m**<br>**"to**|Wi||TR|ktim<br>|**Fmm**|lo|zIO S|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1995<br>**2000**<br>**2005**<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>2025<br>2050<br>207n<br>2100<br>2125<br>21S0|732<br>795<br>***29**<br>**"I1**<br>696<br>**9S**<br>973<br>1013<br>1164<br>1218<br>1239<br>**1253**<br>1259|67.8<br>62.3<br>54.1<br>**48.9**<br>46.6<br>47.4<br>49.7<br>52.2<br>62.6<br>69.0<br>72.2<br>73.5<br>74.3|¶990-94<br>199-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>207n-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|1.11<br>0.63<br>0.76<br>0.60<br>0.65<br>0.63<br>0.77<br>0.55<br>0.18<br>0.07<br>0.04<br>0.02|22.3<br>19.7<br>17.6<br>17.4<br>17.1<br>16.2<br>15.0<br>13.4<br>12.2<br>12.0<br>¶1.6<br>11.7|4.9<br>5.0<br>5.1<br>5.4<br>s.7<br>6.0<br>6.4<br>7.9<br>10.4<br>11.2<br>11.4<br>11.5|2.35<br>2.51<br>2.20<br>2.09<br>2.09<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|69.1<br>70.2<br>71.5<br>72.4<br>73.4<br>74.4<br>75.5<br>77.6<br>60.0<br>61.2<br>62.1<br>62.5|74.0<br>75.4<br>76.9<br>77.9<br>78.9<br>80.0<br>81.1<br>63.6<br>66.3<br>67.6<br>66.9<br>69.3|17<br>14<br>12<br>10<br>9<br>7<br>6<br>4<br>3<br>2<br>2<br>2|21<br>17<br>14<br>13<br>11<br>9<br>6<br>5<br>4<br>4<br>3<br>3|

# 3. Age structure (percent):<sup>1990 and 2025</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50.54<br>45.49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25629<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10.14<br>5-9<br>. . . , , . . 0 4.. . . . . . . . . . 0-4 . . . . . . .<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison **of** Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 TFR so Growth rate

TFR <!-- Start of picture text --> S~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~<br>ComtIy Rtegion Incam roup Cosmtry legion Incom group Country Region Incem gru<br><!-- End of picture text --> '9
FRENCH POLYNESIA

# 1. Recont Trends

Meat recent cens4s (000.. Oct. 83): 167 CP per capita (U.S. doLlars, 196U): ..

Regions **Asia** Income Group: High

|Population<br>**nd *e structuro**|**Unit**ofwmasur|1960|195|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|1SV|171|197|
|Age structure<br>|||||
|0-4|Thousnds||21<br>|25<br>|
|5-14|Thouand||51<br>|49|
|15-64|Thousands||95|117|
|65.|Thouands||5|7|
|Donsity|Pop. per sq. km.|43|47|54|
|Urbanization|Percent<br>urban|60|62|65|
|School-oe population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands||31|29|
|12-11|Thousndb||27|30|
|_Woman_of chilcbearing<br>**ao**15-49|Thousands||40|S0|
|**Vital rato**<br>ad policy|**Unit**of_mwure_|1975-80|19We-05|1965-90|
|Amuolgrcwth**rate**|Percent|3.0|1.7|2.8|
|Fertility|||||
|Total<br>fertility<br>rate(TFR)|Births perwom n<br>|||3.6|
|Crudeiirth<br>rate (CUR)|Births per1000pop.|33|30|27|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life expectancy<br>at birth (eo)|||||
|<br>les|Years|..|..|70.1|
|Femles|years|||74.0|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)<br>|<br>Per 1000Live<br>births<br>|||23<br>|
|Under5mortalityrisk (q5)|1000q5|||28|
|<br>Crude deathrate (CDR)|<br>Deaths per 1000 pop.|7|5|4|
|NHt migration|Thousands|||5|
|Govt. assessment<br>of<br>|||||
|Population growth rate<br>|||||
|Fertility|||||
|Contraception|**Unit**ofwaour||Previeu|Latest|
|Contraceptive prevalence|percent of married||||
|<br>**Year**|woman 15-49 using||||
|**Contraceptive mix**<br>|Percent using||||
|PILL|||||
|lud|||||
|F emlo steritzatiOn|||||
|**Nalesterilization**<br>|||||
|**Condm**|||||
|Other modern<br>Troditioral|||||

50
FRENCH POLYNESIA 2. Projections - NRR-1 by **2010**

|**Ywr**<br>**Pplatiln**|Di.<br>ratfo|friud|-Au<br>t<br>rate|C|CW|TFR|b<br>Ws|b<br>**Fmtm**|**in**|**1x1040**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>197|66.4|190-94|**2.72**|27.4|4.0|3.19|71.3|76.4|19|23|
|199<br>226|59.7|M5-9|2.41|25.4|3.9|2.81|72.5|78.4|1S|19|
|2000<br>255|60.1|2000-04|1.95|21.9|3.9|2.48|73.8|W0.1|13|15|
|2005<br>2d1|58.1|2005-09|1.50|18.3|4.0|2.19|74.6|80.9|11|13|
|2010<br>302|52.9|2010-14|1.26|16.8|4.2|2.08|75.4|81.7|9|11|
|2015<br>322|48.0|2014-19|1.20|16.6|4.6|2.08|76.3|82.6<br>|7<br>|9<br>|
|2020<br>342|45.8|2020-24|<br>1.13|16.2|4.9|2.07|77.2|83.4|5<br>|7<br>|
|2025<br>362|45.8|2025-49|0.74|13.8|6.5|2.06|79.0|85.3|3|5|
|2050<br>435|60.4|2050-74|<br>0.24|12.3|9.9|2.06|80.7|87.3|3<br>|4<br>|
|207S<br>462|70.8|2075-99|<br>0.07|11.9|11.3|2.06<br>|81.6|88.4<br>|2<br>|3|
|2100<br>470|73.0|2100-24|0.03|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.3|89.2|2|3|
|2125<br>474<br>2150<br>476|73.9<br>74.4|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.6|89.5|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>| gXX<e:EEEim//////Zffl5-9 555 §B<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0 Growth rate<br>Cowmtry Region Inca= group~ Country Region Income group Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 51
GUAM

# _1._ **Recent** Trends

Neet reent c*mi (000., Apr. 0) : 106 _UW_ per **capita** (U.S. dolters, 196): ..

1090n: ASia Income Gro: Wis

|**PWputlani**anddp<br>structure|Wit**Of**_|19||1900|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total<br>Ppulotion(mid-yer)|Thouands|107|123|**136**|
|**Age**structure<br>||||15|
|0-4<br>|Thoudcs<br>||Is5<br>28|29|
|5-14|Thouands||<br>||
|15-"|Thousands<br>||77<br>|_0_<br>|
|**653**|Thousnds||3|4|
|Deity|Pop.persq. km.|19|224|247|
|Urbenization|Percent urban|40|47|53|
|Uehool-age population|||||
|6-11|Thous<br>||17<br>|1<br>|
|12-17|Tloun||15|17|
|Womanofchildbearing**ag**15-49|Thousand||31|35|
|vital<br>ratm<br>NW P<br>picwy|Unft of<br>_masre|1975-U0|InS-U|IN-N0|
|AnAlgrowth**rate**|Percent|1.0|2.6|2.0|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fortility rate tTFR)|Births per woman<br>|3.5<br>|3.1<br>|2.7<br>|
|Crude birth rate (CUP)|Births per 1000 pop.|30|27|24|
|Nortality|||||
|Life expectancy at birth**Ce1 )**|||||
|<br>al3es|Years<br>|||70.0<br>750|
|_les|Years|..|..|.|
|Infant mortality rate (INR)|Per 1000 live births|I5|14|12<br>|
|Under5mortality<br>risk(qs)|1000q5|||IS<br>|
|Crude death rate (CON)|Deaths per 1000 pop.||4|4|
|Net migration|Thouands||-4|0|
|Govt. ass*ammnt of|||||
|Population growth rate|||||
|Fertility|||||
|Contraception|thiit<br>of<br>_||Prevoa|Latest|
|Contraceptive<br>provalence|percent of m_rried|||7<br>|
|Year|women15-49 using|||1979|
|Contrceptive<br>mix<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill|||||
|lud|||..||
|Fm le sterilzation|||||
|**Male steriLization**|||||
|Other mudern<br>Traditional|||||

52
GUAM

# 2. Projections - NRR-1 by 1995

|TowP|wAstlu|ratIo|Pcaed|rate|U|W|TFU|**_Nim_**|Faml<br>1|1|X1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>|136<br>1.6<br>15<br>167<br>177<br>16a<br>195|57.0<br>51.1<br>46.5<br>47'.4<br>44.0<br>45.8<br>49.1<br>|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24|1.50<br>1.32<br>1.29<br>1.20<br>1.07<br>0.91<br>0.77|18.9<br>17.4<br>17.3<br>16.9<br>16.0<br>14.8<br>13.9|4.0<br>4.2<br>4.4<br>4.9<br>5.4<br>5.7<br>6.2|2.25<br>2.09<br>2.08<br>2.08<br>2.08<br>2.07<br>2.07|71.3<br>72.5<br>73.7<br>74.5<br>75.3<br>76.2<br>77.1|76.4<br>77.7<br>79.1<br>79.9<br>60.8<br>81.7<br>62.7|1<br>a<br>7<br>7<br>6<br>5<br>4|12<br>11<br>9<br>6<br>6<br>7<br>6|
|2025<br>|**203**<br>|52.1<br>|2025-49<br>|0.44<br>|13.0<br>|8.6<br>|2.07<br>|78.9|64.8|3|5|
|2050<br>|227<br>|66.6<br>|2050-74<br>|0.12<br>|12.1|10.9|2.06|80.7|86.9<br>|3|4|
|2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|234<br>237<br>239<br>241|70.0<br>72.7<br>73.6<br>74.4|2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.06<br>0.04<br>0.02|11.9<br>11.7<br>11.7|11.3<br>11.4<br>11.5|2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|81.6<br>82.3<br>82.6|88.2<br>89.1<br>89.4|2<br>2<br>2|3<br>3<br>3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>- 65-69<br>60-64<br>55-5,<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 TFR eO Growth rate Coun~try legfon Income gro..

Country legion Income group Counatry Region Ir-ome grou.p 53
HONG KONG

# 1. Recent Trends

Most recent census (000s. Nar. 86): 5396 **_61W_** per capita **(U.S. dollars,** 1988): 9220 Rgion: Developed Countries Ineome Group: Nigh

|**Pqpulttfn*n _ structure**|**tnit**<br>**of measure**|**1960**|**1965**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (mid-yeor)|Thousands|5039|5456|5779|
|Age structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|412<br>|398<br>|399<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>|875<br>|863<br>|829<br>|
|15-64|Thousands|3427|3783|4034|
|65.|Thousands|325|412|517|
|Density|Pop. per sq. km.|5090|5511|5837|
|Urbenization|Percent urban|92|92|93|
|School-ag population|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>|523<br>|515<br>|492<br>|
|12-17|Thousands|613|532|524|
|womenofchildbearing age 15-49|Thousands|1281|1426|1531|
|**vItalratemn policy**|**Unit**of massure|1975-80|**1980-85**|1985-90|
|Annual growth rate|Percent|**2.9**|1.6|1.2|
|**ertility**|||||
|Total fortility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Births per_womnn_<br>|2.3<br>|1.8|1.6|
|Crude birth rate (CBR)|Births per 1000 pop.|18|16|14|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life expectancy<br>**at**birth (o0)|||||
|Males|Years|68.8|72.6|74.3|
|FemaLes|Years|75.5|78.3|79.8|
|Infait<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)<br> <br>|Per 1000 Live births<br>|14<br>|10<br>|7<br>|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk (q5)|1030 q5|16|12|9|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|5|5|5|
|Netmigration|Thousands||130|75|
|Govt.**assessment**of<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growthrate|||||
|Fortility|||||
|Contreception|**Unit**of**ure**||Previous|Latest|
|Contraceptive**provalence**|percent<br>of mrried||77|73|
|Year|women 15-44<br>using||1982|1984|
|Contraceptive<br>mix|Percent<br>using||||
|<br>PiLl|<br>||21|22|
|lud|||4|4|
|F eleo steriltzation|||22|21|
|Male sterilization|||0||
|Condo|||16|13|
|Othor modern<br>Traditional|||3<br>0|4<br>0|

54
HONG KONG

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2030

|_YTo_|Pqputatfin|DW.<br>**ratio**|p*ood|caAth<br>**rate**|**W**|CDR|**TFR**|**Nalot**|**Fmets**|it|S<br>x10O0|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|5779|43.3|1990-94<br>|0.96<br>|13.0<br>|5.6<br>|1.55<br>|75.6<br>|80.9<br>|6<br>|8<br>|
|1995|6069|43.3<br>|1995-99<br>|0.79<br>|11.6<br>|6.0<br>|1.55<br>|76.7<br>|82.0<br>|5<br>|7<br>|
|2000|6313<br>|43.2<br>|2000-04<br>|0.65<br>|11.1<br>|6.4<br>|1.64<br>|77.7<br>|83.0<br>|5<br>|6<br>|
|2005|6523<br>|42.3<br>|200S -09<br>|0.53<br>|11.0<br>|7.1<br>|1.73<br>|78.2<br>|83.6<br>|4<br>|6<br>|
|2010|6696<br>|41.1<br>|2010-14<br>|0.44<br>|11.0<br>|7.6<br>|1.81<br>|78.7<br>|84.2<br>|4<br>|5<br>|
|2015<br>|6846<br>|45.3<br>|2014-19<br>|0.35<br>|10.9<br>|8.1<br>|1.89<br>|79.2<br>|84.5<br>|4<br>|5<br>|
|2020<br>|6967<br>|52.3<br>|2020-24<br>|0.27<br>|10.8<br>|8.4<br>|1.96<br>|79.7<br>|85.4<br>|3<br>|5<br>|
|2025|7062|63.1|202S-49<br>|-0.15<br>|10.7<br>|12.2<br>|2.06<br>|80.7<br>|86.8<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2050|6800<br>|80.6<br>|2050-74<br>|-0.21<br>|11.4<br>|13.5<br>|2.06<br>|81.7<br>|88.2<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2075|6453<br>|74.4<br>|2075-99<br>|-0.01<br>|11.7<br>|11.8<br>|2.06<br>|82.2<br>|88.9<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2100|6437<br>|74.0<br>|2100-24<br>|0.02<br>|11.7<br>|11.5<br>|2.06<br>|82.6<br>|89.5<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>21S0|6466<br>6483|74.5<br>74.8|2125-49|0.G1|11.6|11.5|2.06|82.8|89.7|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>86-89<br>80-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. comparison of Country with Region<sup>and Income Group, 1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eO Growth rate<br>S~~~~~~~~ a<br>Country Region Income group Country Region Incose group Country Region<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 5S
# INDIA

## **1. Recent** Trends

Neat recent cens (000 , Nar. S1): 685185 UP per capita (U.S. doltrs, 19i8): 338 Region: **Asfi** Income GroW: Lo

|Pepsiation<br>**_*wd_**apstruture|**UnIt**of**meaure**|1960|**195**|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|687332|765147|649651|
|Age structure<br>0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|96491<br>|108932<br>|116408<br>|
|5-14|Thousands|166471|179173<br>|197007<br>|
|15-4|Thouands|394534|444513|499044|
|65+|Thousands|27835|32527|37193|
|Donsity|Pop. per sq. km.|231|257|26|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|23|26|26|
|School-age population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands|102681|108197|120653|
|12-17|Thousands|90859|100241|106227|
|Womn of childbearing<br>agO 15-49|Thousands|159835|179356|201206|
|Vital<br>rat<br>ndpoticy|Unfit ofmnure|1975-80|1910-U6|1715-90|
|Anntal growth rate|Percent|2.3|2.1|2.1|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility rate (TFR)|Births<br>per woman|5.2|4.8|4.3|
|<br>Crude birth<br>rate (CBA)|Births per 1000 pop.|36|34|32|
|Mortality|||||
|Life<br>expectancy at birth<br>(eo)|||||
|<br> <br><br>NaLes|Years|52.3|55.5|57.8|
|F ma les|Years|51.1|54.4|57.9|
|<br>Infantmortality<br>rate (INR)|Per 1000 live births|126|110|99|
|Under 5mortalityrisk<br>(q5)|1000q5|199|167|128|
|<br> <br>Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|14|13|11|
|Not migration|Thousands|..|-250|-350|
|Govt.assessment<br>of|||||
|Popuiation growth rate||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|<br>Fertility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Centr ceptIon|Unit of *amurePrvious|||Latoet|
|Contraceptive<br>provalence|percent of married||32|35|
|<br> <br>**Year**|<br>woman 15-44 using||1985|1986|
|Contraeptive<br>**mix**<br>|Percentusing||||
|Pill<br>lud|||4<br>3|5<br>4|
|F_le sterilastion|||25|26|
|aloe sterilization|||||
|Condr||||0|
|Othermodern<br>Traditional|||..<br>*-|0<br>0|

56
INDIA

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2015

|**_T1w_**|PapiAtiUon|trati|P_ad_|**rate**|Cmi|Cmi|TF9|**tm**|FmLo|la|Zion|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1995|849651<br>930639|70.3<br>67.8|1990-94<br>1995I 9|1.82<br>1.58|28.S<br>25.1|10.2<br>9.2|3.74<br>3.22|59.3<br>61.0|60.2<br>62.6|U<br>77|113<br>96|
|2000<br>2005|1007 22<br>1062479|62.1<br>56.1|2000-04<br>2005-09|1.44<br>1.29|23.0<br>21.1|6.5<br>8.1|2.88<br>2.57|62.8<br>64.2|65.0<br>66.7|65<br>57|79<br>69|
|2010|11S4861|51.6|2010-14|1.13|19.1|7.8|2.29|65.6|68.4|48|S8<br>|
|2015<br>2020|1221692<br>1286806|48.5<br>46.7|2014-19<br>2020-24|1. 4<br>0.97|18.1<br>17.3|7.7<br>7.6|2.19<br>2.15|67.0<br>68.4|70.2<br>72.0|39<br>31<br>|**48**<br>37<br>|
|2025|1350430|46.2|2025-49|0.69|15.0|8.2|2.11|72.3|76 5|16|19|
|2050|1603S93|53.2|2050-76|0.31|13.1|10.0|2.08|76.8|81.6|5|7|
|2075|1732544|6.0|207S-99|0.15|12.4|11.0<br>|2.07<br>|79.3<br>|64.8<br>|3<br>|5<br>|
|2100|1797519|69.2|2100-24|0.10|12.0|11.1|2.06|81.2<br>|87.4<br>|2<br>|4<br>|
|2125<br>**2150**|1841296<br>**1662220**|71.4<br>73.0|2125-49|0.05|11.8|11.4|2.06|81.9|88.4|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-689<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35.39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income<sup>Group, 1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0<br>Co.mtry legion Incams iroip Country RegIon Income groW<br><!-- End of picture text --> Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Income gro..<br><!-- End of picture text --> 57
INDONESIA

# 1. Recent Trends

**Iect** recent cersu (000s, Oct. 80): 147490 _aw_ per capita (U.S. dollars 1965): 468

Region: Asia Incom Group: Low

|P<br>tlatien<br>**_ud_**<br>structure|**tnit**<br>ofmeaure|**19O**|1905|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total PopulatIon<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|148303|164630|181580|
|**Age**structure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thouswds<br>|21980<br>|21898<br>|22825<br>|
|5-14<br>15-64|Thousands<br>Thousands|38844<br>82520|42041<br>95073|43133<br>108525|
|<br>65+|<br>Thousands|<br>4958|<br>5617|?098|
|Denity|Pop.per sq. km.|**82**|91|100|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|22|25|29|
|School-age population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|24112<br>|25848<br>|26087<br>|
|12-17|Thousands|20560|22353|252S1|
|Lmn<br>of chilLbearing<br>**age**15-49|Thousands|36417|41061|46638|
|Vital**ratesuW**policy<br>**U**|**nit**ofmeaure|1975-80|1980-85|1985-90|
|AnnuaLgrowth rate|Percent|2.2|2.1|2.0|
|Fortility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFR)<br> <br>|Births<br>perwoman<br> <br>|4.8<br>|4.1<br>|3.5<br>29|
|Crude birth<br>rate SCUR)|Births<br>per1000 pop.|36|33||
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancyatbirth<br>Ce0)|||||
|Hales|Years<br>|51.1<br>|54.1<br>|58.4<br>|
|Femeles|Years<br>|54.4<br>|57.9<br>|62.0<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate(IMR)|Per 1000 live births|105<br>|95<br>|71<br>|
|Under5 mortality<br>risk<br>(q%)<br>|1000 q5<br>|155<br>|135<br>|98<br>|
|Crudedeathrate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|14|11|9|
|Netmigration|Thousands||0|-25|
|Govt. assessmentof<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growthrate||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Too high<br>|
|Fertility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Contraception|**Unit**ofmesure||Previous|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive<br>prevalene|percent of mrrild||40<br>|48<br>|
|Year|women 15-49 using||1985|1987|
|Contraceptive<br>**mix**|Percent using||||
|<br>Pill|||16|16|
|lud|||12<br>|13<br>|
|Fmle<br>sterilzation|||1<br>|3<br>|
|**Nale**sterilization|||0|0<br>|
|Corn|||1|2<br>|
|Other modrn<br>Traditional|||8<br>0|10<br>2|

58
INDONESIA

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2005

|**Te r**|Paputltion|Op.<br>rftio|Perlod|Growth<br>rate|CR|CDR|TFR|*o<br>**0**<br>**lotes**|*o<br>**Fmles**|**It**|**xlO00**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|181580|67.3|190-94|1.72|25.4|8.2|3.00|61.3|64.7|55|73|
|1995|<br>197878|60.9|1995 99|1.52|22.6|7.4|2.62|64.0|67.3|43|55|
|2000|213458|56.5|2000-04|1.30|19.8|6.8|2.28|66.5|69.7|34|42|
|2005|227756|51.4|200509|1.18|18.6|6.8|2.16|67.7|71.1|29|36|
|2010|241568|47.7|2010-14|1.12|18.0|6.8|2.14|68.9|72.6|25|30|
|2015|255492|45.6|2014-19|1.04|17.2|6.8|2.13|70.2|74.2|20|24|
|2020|269088|45.7|2020-24|0.93|16.2|6.9|2.11|71.6|75.8|15|18|
|2025|281910|46.6|2025-49|0.63|14.2|8.0|2.08|74.8|79.5|8|10|
|2050|329595|57.7|2050-74|0.23|12.7|10.4|2.07|78.4|83.7|4|5|
|2075|i49352|65.4|2075-99|0.12|12.2|11.1|2.06|80.2|86.1|3|4|
|2100|359854|70.2|2100-24|0.07|11.9|11.2|2.06|81.6|88.0|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|366507<br>369852|72.2<br>73.5|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.2|88.8|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>80-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>3C-34<br>(>§iDg 2U§§m22 25-29 54 Wm<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0 Growth rate<br>Coun~try Region Income group Coun~try Region Income group Country Region Income grou.p<br><!-- End of picture text --> 59
JAPAN

# 1. **Recent** Trends

Nest recent censu (0CCs, Oct. 85): 121049 IMP per capita (U.S. doltars, 1968): 21022 Region: Dveloped Countrfeo Income Group: Nigh

|Poputationond *<br>structure|Uit of *mewe|19JO|1965|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|116782|120754|123504|
|Agestructure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|8591<br>|7445<br>|6826<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands|18915|18538|15942<br>|
|15-64|Thousands|78718|82333|86048|
|65+|Thousands|10558|12440|14688|
|Doenity|Pop. per sq. km.|310|321|328|
|Urbaniuztion|Percent<br>urban|76|77|77|
|School-ge population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|11446|10910|9158|
|12-17|Thousands|10362|11579|11315|
|Women of chilcbearing<br>age15-49|Thousands|30624|30746|31392|
|Vitel ratesand policy|Unit of measure|1975-60|19l8-65|1965-90|
|_Arnal_<br>growth<br>rate|Percent|0.8|0.7|0.5|
|FertiLity|||||
|Total fortility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Births per women|1.8|1.8|1.7|
|Crude birthrate(CBR)|Births per 1000 pop.|15|13|11|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life expectancy<br>at birth (a0)|||||
|MaLos|Years|72.6|74.2|75.4<br>|
|FereOew|Years|77.8|79.7|81.1|
|InfantmortaLity<br>rate (INR)|Per1000 live births|9|7|5|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk (q5)|1000 q5|12|9|7|
|Crude death rate (CMR)|Deaths<br>per 1000 pop.|6|6|7|
|Notmigration|Thousands||0|-15|
|Covtassessment<br>of|||||
|Population growth rate<br>||Satisfactory|Satisfactory|Satisfactory|
|Fortility||Satisfactory|Satisfactory|Satisfactory|
|Contraception|Unit of*o||Previou|Lat_ t|
|Contraceptive prevalence|percentof merried<br>||56|64|
|Year|womn 15-49 using||1981|1986|
|Contraceptive<br>mix|Percent using||||
|<br>Pill|||..|1|
|lud||||4<br>|
|F _mlo sterfization<br> <br>||||8|
|aloe<br>sterilization<br>Cd||||2<br>|
|onom||||45|
|Othermodern<br>Traditional||||I<br>15|

60
JAPAN

## **-** 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2030

|**Tes**|**Pepd atin**|**Se.**<br>**ratlo**|**Period**|**GSrot**<br>rate|Ca|c|**TFR**|Holm|**sO**<br>b<br>**Fmtes**|**IF**|xlO00|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|123504|43.5|1990-94|0.42|11.4|7.2|1.68|76.4|82.2|4|6|
|1995|126112|45.0|1995-99|0.41|11.7|7.6|1.68|77.4|83.2|4|6|
|2000<br>2005|128723<br>130776|49.4<br>54.7|2000-04<br>**2005-09**|0.32<br>0.17|11.3<br>10.8|8.1<br>9.1|1.75<br>1.81|78.2<br>78.7|84.1<br>84.6|4<br>4|5<br>5|
|2010|131888|60.0|2010-14|0.02|10.4|10.2|7.87|79.1|85.1|3|5|
|2015|132024|66.5|2014-19|-0.07|10.4|11.1|1.93|79.6|85.7|3|4|
|2020|131543|69.5|2020-24|-0.11|10.6|11.8|1.98|80.1|86.2|3|4|
|2025|130795|70.1|2025-49|-0.19|11.0|12.9|2.06|81.0|87.3|3|4|
|2050|124749|80.2|2050-74|-0.15|11.5|13.0|2.06|81.8|88.5|2|3|
|2075|120197|75.0|2075-99|0.00|11.7|11.7|2.06|82.3|89.1|2|3|
|2100|120073|74.4|2100-24|0.02|11.6|11.5|2.06|82.7|89.5|2|3|
|2125<br>**2150**|120579<br>**120868**|74.5<br>74.9|2125-49|0.01|11.6|11.5|2.06|82.8|89.7|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>60-84<br>55-59<br>50.54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>32g %m 25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 81l<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Regi.on and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TPR e0<br>. *.a<br>Coun~try Region Income group Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Growth rate<br>Coantry Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 61
KAMPUCHEA, DEM.

# 1. Ree¢nt **Trends**

**est** recent _CenA_ (CM, Apr. 62): S729 UP psr capita (U.. dollars, 1968): ..

Region: Asie Income Group: Low

|**Pepulation*nd * structure**|Unit ofmeasure|**lUg**|**1965**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|6400|7284|8243|
|Agestructurw<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|359<br>|1259<br>|1357<br>11|
|514<br>|Thousands<br>|1748<br>|1112<br>|55<br>|
|15-64|Thousnds|4133<br>|4721<br>|5131<br>|
|65+|Thousands|160|192|240|
|Doenity|Pop. per sq. km.|36|41|47|
|Urbanization|Percent<br>urban|10|11|12|
|School-ao population|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>|993<br>|502<br>|956<br>|
|12-17|Thousands|1052|1093|595|
|Am-n<br>of childbearing**age**15-49|Thousands|1813|2060|2228|
|Vital**rates*n**policy|Unit of measure|1975-80|**1900-J5**|1965-90|
|Amvusl growth**rate**|Percent|-2.1|2.6|2.5|
|Fertility|||||
|Totcl fortility<br>rate(TFR)<br>|Births per woman<br>|4.1<br>|5.1<br>|4.7<br>|
|Crude birth rate (CBR)|Births per 1000 pop.|30|46|41|
|Mortality|||||
|Life expectancy<br>atbirth (eo)|||||
|Malos<br>|Years<br>|30.0<br>|42.0<br>|47.0<br>|
|Females|Years|32.5|44.9|49.9<br>|
|Infant ortality rate CIMR)|Per 1000 live births|263|160<br>|130<br>|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk (q5)<br>|1000 qS<br> <br>|387<br>|239<br>|193<br>|
|Crude deathrate(CDR)|Deaths<br>per 1000 pop.|40|20|17|
|Net migretion|Thousands||0|0|
|Govt.**assesment**of<br>|||||
|Population<br>growth rate<br>||Too Low<br>|Too low<br>|Too low<br>|
|Fortility||Too Low|Too Low|Too low|
|Cantr<br>msption|Unit of***mure**||Previoue|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive**provalence**|percent ofmarried<br>||||
|Yar|womn 15-49 using||||
|Contraceptive**mix**<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill<br>|||||
|lud<br>|||||
|Finlesterltzation|||||
|olte<br>sterilization<br>|||||
|_CMA_<br>|||||
|Other**modern**<br>Troditional|||||

62
KAMPUCHEA, **DEM.** 2. Projections - **NRR-1** by 2015

|Yewr|Population|00-<br>ratio|Ptriod|to*o<br>**rote**|cm|CDR|TF4|**ma"**<br>**i**|8<br>**Fmlte**|lo|X1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|<br>8243|60.7|1990-94|2.10|34.9|13.9|4.20|50.1|53.4|108|156|
|199S|<br>9156|80.7|1995-99|1.55|27.0|11.5|3.69|53.2|56.8|89|127|
|2000|9893|69.8|2000-04|1.25|22.5|10.0|3.20|56.2|60.1|74|103|
|2005|10529|57.6|2005-09|<br>1.19|21.7|9.7|2.77|57.9|61.9|67|92|
|2010|11177|49.5|2010-14|1.14|20.9|9.5|2.40|59.6|63.8|60|81|
|2015<br>|11832|47.5<br>|2014-19|1.10|20.4|9.4|2.27|61.3|65.8|53|70|
|2020<br>|12501<br>|49.0<br>|2020-24<br>|0.98<br>|19.0<br>|9.2<br>|2.23<br>|63.2<br>|67.9|46<br>|59<br>|
|2025|13132<br>|50.1<br>|2025-49<br>|0.67<br>|15.9<br>|9.2<br>|2.14<br>|67.8|73.0<br>|28<br>|35<br>|
|2050<br>|<br>15536<br>|47.4<br>|2050-74<br>|0.37<br>|13.7<br>|10.0<br>|2.09<br>|73.4<br>|79.1<br>|10<br>|12<br>|
|2075<br>|17045<br>|59.4<br>|2073-W<br>|0.20<br>|12.8<br>|10.8<br>|2.07<br>|77.2<br>|83.2<br>|6<br>|7<br>|
|2100|17934|66.7|2100-24<br>|0.13|12.2|10.9|2.06|80.2|86.5|3|4|
|2125<br>2150|18547<br>18857|70.0<br>72.1|212S-49|0.07|11.9|11.3|2.06|81.3|87.8|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 70-74<br>65-69<br>430-654<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>R S5 R gm30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>lO 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eO<br><!-- End of picture text --> Growth rate Coun~try Region Income group <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Income group Coun~try Region Income grou.p<br><!-- End of picture text --> 63
KIRIBATI

# **1. Recent Trends**

## Nast recent censA _(OMOt,_ Nay. 5): 464 _UHF_ per capita (U.S dollars. 19o): 649

Pgioni **Asia** Income Groups: **Lower-middle**

|**Pputlatin *wn o structure**|**Unt of m*mr**|**1980**|**195**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(omd-year)|Thosnd|58|64|70|
|Agestructure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>||_9_<br>|11<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>||15<br>|17<br>|
|15-s4|Thousands||37|40|
|65+|Thousando||2|2|
|Don Ity|Pop.persq. km.|2|90|9|
|Urbmnization|Percent urban|32|34|36|
|School-age population|||||
|6-11|Thousands||10||
|12-17|Thouands||10|9|
|Wmn of childbearing**ag**15-49|Thousands||16|17|
|**Vitel rst and**policy|lnitof<br>**ammur**|**1975-0**|I<br>-U|**1906-90**|
|Armuol growth**rate**|Percent|1.8|1.9|1.9|
|Fertility<br> <br>|||||
|Totalfertility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Birthsper women<br>|||4.4|
|Crude birth rate (CUR)|Birthsper 1000 pop.|||35|
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Life expetancy at birth (so)|||||
|<br>mates|Years|||52.0|
|Females|Years|||57.0|
|Infantmortality<br>rate (IMR)<br>|Per 1000live<br>births<br>|||62<br>|
|Under 5mortalityrisk (qc)|1000q5|||95|
|<br>Crude deathrate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|||12|
|Metmigration|Thousands|||-1.3|
|Govt. assessment<br>of|||||
|Population growth rate<br>|||roo high|Toohigh|
|Fertility|||Too high|Too high|
|ContreoptIon|UnItof*oo||Previou|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive prevalnco<br>|percent of married||||
|Year|women<br>15-49 using||||
|Contraceptive**mix**<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill|||||
|lud|||||
|F _ lo steriIzation|||||
|**Nloe sterilization**<br>|||||
|Condom<br>|||||
|Other modern<br>Traditional|||||

64
KIRIDATI 2. Projections - NRRil by 2020

|T1r<br>p|_iLtIa|**tatio**|**Peiod**|rate||C|TFR|lbn|**Fmir**|In|s^i|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|70|75.5|199094|1.67|32.4|10.7|4.04|53.6|60.4|53|so|
|199|77|76.4|1995-99|1.72|29.0|9.6|3.67|55.4|63.7|45|65|
|2000|64|73.6|2000-06|1.56|26.0|8.8|3.31|57.3|66.7|37|51|
|2005|91|65.9|2005-09|1.40|23.4|8.3|2.91|56.9|_A.3_|35|48|
|2010|96|57.8|2010-14|1.31|21.5|7.6|2.56|60.5|70.0|33|44|
|2015|104|53.9|2014-19|1.21|19.5|7.4|2.25|62.3|71.7|32|41|
|2020|1II|49.8|2020-24|1.14|18.5|7.1|2.14|".61|3.s|30|**3**|
|2025|117|W.5|2025-49|0.66|16.0|7.s|2.10|68.6|77.7|20|25|
|2050|1"|48.9|205074|0.41|13.6|9.5|2.07|74.0|82.4|7|9|
|2075|161|62.4|2075-99|0.16|12.7|10.9|2.07|77.6|65.3|4|6|
|2100|169|6.1|2100-24|0.12|12.1|10.9|2.06|60.4|67.6|3|4|
|2125<br>2150|174<br>_177_|70.6<br>72.5|2125-49|0.06|11.9|11.3|2.06|M1.4|6.5|2|3|

# 3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 a 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49 40-44 ES93 _<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19 R5<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-9o

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR *0 Growth rate<br>*~ 9.S<br>. . . .. .~~~~~~~~6<br>Comatry Regfon Income group Cointry RegIon Income groupC Co~mtry Rtegfon Income group<br><!-- End of picture text -->
KOREA, DEM. PEOPLE'S REP. OF

# **1. Recent** Trends

**16ost rceWnt** CenA **(0005 ay. 4)** UM per capita **(U.S. dollars 196):**

Region: **Asia** Incom Group: No **date**

|**Poplotion**w<br>_u_<br>p**structure**|Unit**of****__mmur_**|**1960**|**195**|i990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|TotalPopulatlon<br>(mid-year)|Thousad|18260|19888|21442|
|Ag*structure|||||
|0-4|Thousands|2678|2767|2028|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>|4685<br>|4921<br>|5307<br>|
|15.64|Thousands|10254|11483|13225|
|65.|Thouans|662|717|Sa1|
|Denity|Pop.per sq.**km.**|152|_165_|178|
|Urbonization|Percent urban|60|64|67|
|School-ae<br>population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|2809|3000|3235|
|12-17|Thousands|2489|2712|2942|
|Woman ofchildbotring<br>**age**15-49|Thousnds|4425|4984|5701|
|Vital**ratm**<br>erd policy|Unit of<br>ssure|1975-80|1960-85|191l-90|
|Amumtl growth rate|Percent|2.0|1.7|1.5|
|Fertility|||||
|Total<br>fertility<br>rate (TFR)|Births<br>perwoman|3.4|2.8|2.5|
|Crude birth<br>rate (CBM)|Births<br>per1000 pop.|23|22|20|
|Mortlifty<br> <br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancyatbirth<br>to)|||||
|MaLso|Years|62.4|64.6|66.2|
|Fmemles|Years|68.8|71.0|72.7|
|Infantmortality<br>rateCINR)<br>|Per 1000livebirths|35|30|28|
|Under5mortality<br>risk<br>(q5)|1000 q5|48|39|34|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deathsper1000 pop.|6|6|5|
|**Net**migration|Thousands||0|0|
|Govt.**assessment**of|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||Toolow|Tooow|TooLow|
|Fertility||Satisfactory|Satisfactory|Satisfactory|
|**Contraceptifn**|**init**<br>of<br>eu||Previous|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive<br>prevalerce|percentofmrried||||
|Year|womn15-49 using||||
|Contraceptive<br>mix<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill|||||
|lud|||||
|**Feale**steriLzation|||||
|**Kale**sterflization<br>|||||
|**Condom**|||||
|Other modern<br>Traditional|||||

66
KOREA, DEN. PEOPLE'S REP. OF

# 2. Projections

- NRR-1 by 1995

|Yer|**fqpuItuin**|kp.<br>ratio|Pwriod|Growth<br>**_rats_**|D|Cm|TFU|_N_**_lm_**|**F_lm**|**in**|**x1000**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|2i442|62.1|1990-94|1.48|19.7|**5.0**|2.22|67.6|75.2|24|29|
|1995|23087|52.8|IM-99|1.44|19.2|4.8|2.11|69.1|77.3|20|24|
|2000|24806|45.2|2000-04|1.42|19.0|4.8|2.10|70.6|79.2|17|20|
|2005|26632|46.2|2005-09|1.28|17.9|5.0|2.09|71.6|80.0|14|17|
|2010|28396|46.6|2010-14|1.09|16.2|5.3<br>|2.09<br>|72.6<br>|80.9<br>|12<br>|15<br>|
|2015<br>|29989<br>|46.6<br>|2014-19<br>|0.92<br>|14.9<br>|5.6<br>|2.08<br>|73.7<br>|81.8<br>|9|12<br>|
|2020|31408|46.4|2020-24|0.82|14.2|6.0|2.07|74.8|82.8|7|9|
|2025<br>|32716<br>|48.3<br>|2025-49<br>|0.53<br>|13.2<br>|7.9<br>|2.07<br>|77.3<br>|84.9<br>|4<br>|5<br>|
|2050<br>|37322<br>|69.0<br>|2050-74<br>|0.12<br>|12.2<br>|11.0<br>|2.06<br>|79.8<br>|87.0<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2075<br>|38423<br>|70.4<br>|2075-99<br>|0.07<br>|11.9<br>|11.2<br>|2.06<br>|81.1<br>|88.2<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2100<br>|39090<br>|72.7<br>|2100-24<br>|0.04<br>|11.8<br>|11.3<br>|2.06<br>|82.0<br>|89.1<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>2150|39511<br>39712|73.5<br>74.3|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.5|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>& SS do~~~6-64 3 E<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>{ RD{{§§ UUgU2 0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

# TFR

<!-- Start of picture text --> eo Growth rate<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region income grow<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> Cowatry Region Income group 67
KOREA, REP. OF

# 1. Recent **Trend.**

Nest rcent ceus (000s, Nov. 85): 4JM4 _IW_ p-r capits (U.S. delwas 1966): 360 legione **Asia** Income Grop: **Upper-midte**

|Peatimn<br>_ud_M<br>struture<br>_|n ht of<br>_|19|1o0<br>19||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Totat Populttion<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|38M12|40806|42790|
|**Age**structure|||||
|0-4|Thousnds<br>|492<br>|3718<br>8511|3332<br>7636|
|5-14<br>|Thousnds<br>|69<br>23710|<br>26828|29695|
|13-64|Thousnds||<br>||
|65|Thousnds|1453|149|2127|
|Dnity|Pop. per<br>q. km.|8|413|433|
|Urbanization|Percent uran|57|65|72|
|School<br>population|||||
|6-11|Thousnb<br>|5194<br>|5006<br>|453<br>5126|
|12-17|Thousnds|59|5391||
|_wme_<br>of childbeerinr<br>age15-49|_Thoua_|99"66|11113|1206|
|vital<br>rates<br>widpolicy|Uift<br>of**_ur**|**1979-U0**|**19-**|**1U-0**|
|AAl<br>growth rate|Percent|1.5|1.4|1.0|
|Fertility|||||
|Totalfertility<br>rate(TCF)<br> <br> <br>|Births<br>per woman<br> <br>|2.8<br>|2.4<br>21|1<br>16|
|Crud<br>birth<br>rate(CUM)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|24|||
|itortlity<br> <br>|||||
|Lifeexpectancy at<sup>birth</sup><br>Coo)|||||
|<br>_altes_|Years|62.4<br>|6.6<br>|66.2<br>|
|Feletos|Years|68.8<br>|71.0<br>|72.5<br>|
|infant<br>mortality<br>rate(INS)<br> <br> <br>|Per1000livebirths<br>|35<br>|30<br>|25<br>30|
|Undlr 5 mortality<br>risk<br>(q5)|1000 q5<br>|48<br>|39<br>||
|Crude dsth<br>rate (CDR)|Doeths per 1000pap.|7|6|6|
|Netmigration|Thousnds||17S|-17S|
|Govt. assessmentof|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Too high<br>|
|Fertility||Too high|Too high|Satisfactory|
|cntrc<br>Iton|Unitof<br>_Preious|||**Latmt**|
|Contraceptive<br>pretvce|percent of mrried||55<br>|70<br>|
|<br>Year|women 15-44 usirn||1979|19|
|Contraceptive**mix**<br>|Percent msing||7|4|
|Pill<br>lud|||<br>10<br>|7<br>|
|**Filo**<br>steriltiation|||14<br>|**32**<br>9|
|Male sterilization|||6<br>||
|Condm|||5|a<br>|
|Oth<br>modern<br>Traditfl|||12|2|

68
KOREA, REP. OF

## 2. Projections - NRR-1 by 2030

|Ya|PuAstio|SIP.<br>ratio|Pwid|anut<br>rote|||TFR|o<br>kt"|0<br>S<br>Femo|In|q5<br>xlOSO|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>|42790<br>|44.1|1990-94|0.90|16.0|6.1|1.75|67.8|74.0|21|25|
|1995|44770<br>|40.7<br>|1995-99<br>|0.85|15.5|6.2|1.75|69.4|7!.6|17|20|
|Z000<br>|46720<br> <br>|40.0<br>|2000-04<br>|0.77|14.6|6.3|1.60|71.0|77.1|14|17|
|2005<br>|<br>484<br>|41.7<br>|2005-09<br>|0.63|13.6|6.8|1.86|72.0|78.1|12|15|
|2010<br>|50107<br>|42.5<br>|2010-14<br>|0.52<br>|12.8<br>|7.3<br>|1.91<br>|73.0<br>|79.1|10<br>|13|
|2015<br>2020<br>|51417<br>52543|43.5<br>45.9|2014-19<br>2020-24|0.43<br>0J6|12.5<br>12.4|7.9<br>8.4|1.96<br>2.00|74.0<br>71.1|80.1<br>81.3|8<br>6|10<br>8|
|2025|53561|51.6<br>|2025-49|0.13|12.0|10.7|2.06|77.5|83.8|4|5|
|2050|55320|_n.8_|20o-74|-0.05|12.0|12.5|2.06|79.9|86.3|3|4|
|2075<br>|545<br>|71.2<br>|2075-99<br>|0.04|11.9|11.5|2.06|81.1|87.8|2|4|
|2100<br>|S5263<br>|n.6<br>|2100-24<br>|0.04<br>|11.8|11.3|2.06|82.0|88.9|2|3|
|2S<br>2150|SS862<br>56173|73.5<br>74.2|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.3|2|3|

# **3. Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 756+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>23; ||3 40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e 0 Growth rate<br>Countr-y Region lnIn -ups Country Region Income grow~ Country ReIion lincome group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 69
LAO PEOPLE'S DEM. REP.

# 1. Recent Trends

Nest recent **census (00s** _Nar._ 85): 35U **0MP** per capita (U.S. dollars, 1966): 219 Region: **Asia** Income Group: Low

|Population<br>***n**<br>**_**structure|**Unit**of measure|195|1965|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Totat<br>Population<br>**(mid-year)**|Thouwsnds|3205|3594|4186|
|Age structure|||||
|0-4|Thousands|532<br>|622<br>|799<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>|816<br>|912<br>|1055<br>|
|15-64|Thousands|1769|1957|2206|
|65+|Thousands|as|103|125|
|Dons ity|Pop. per sq.<br>km.|14|16|18|
|Urbanization|Percent<br>urban|13|16|19|
|School-age<br>population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands|501|560|657|
|12-17|Thousands|429|471|531|
|Women of childcbering<br>**ae**<br>15-49|Thousands|751|834|942|
|**Vital**<br>**rtoo and**policy|Unit of**_mesure_**|1975-80|1960-5|**1986-90**|
|Amualgrowth rate|Percent|1.2|2.3|3.1|
|Fortility|||||
|Total fertility rate(TFR)|Births<br>perwoman|6.7|6.7|6.7|
|Crude birth rate (CBR)|Births per 1000pop.|45|45|48|
|Mortality|||||
|Life expectoncy at birth (c0)|||||
|Males|Years|42.1|44.5|47.0|
|**Femles**|Years|45.0|47.5|50.0|
|infant mortality rate (IMR)|Per 1000 live births|135|122|110<br>|
|Under 5 mortality risk (q5)|1000 q5|201|192|183|
|<br>Crude deathrate<br>(CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|21|19|17|
|Net migration|Thousands||-20|-5|
|Govt.**ass*ssment**<br>of|||||
|Population growth rate||Too low|Too Low|Too low|
|Fertility||Too low|Too low|Satisfactory|
|Contraeption|Unit of**measur**||Previous|**Lat_t**|
|Contraceptive<br>**prevalence**|percent of worried||||
|<br> <br>Yoer|women 15-49 using||||
|Contraceptive mix|Percent using||||
|<br>PiLL|||||
|lud|||||
|F**em e**sterillation|||||
|Nate**steritization**|||||
|Condom|||||
|Other modern|||||
|<br>Traditional|||||

70
LAO PEOPLE DEN. REP.

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2035

|**_1wr_**|**Pqutitlan**|**IQP.**<br>ratio|Paiod|_ErmAth_<br>rate|CU|CDR|TFU|0<br>Nal_.|Oq<br>F_ls|In|zINO|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|4186|89.7|1990-94<br>|2.87<br>|43.5<br>|14.7<br>|6.18<br>|50.1<br>|53.1<br>|97<br>|159<br>|
|1995|4831<br>|93.1<br>|1995 -99<br>|2.71<br>|39.6<br>|12.5<br>|5.67<br>|53.1<br>|56.3<br>|84<br>|135<br>|
|2000|5532<br>|92.3<br>|2000-04<br>|2.61<br>|36.8<br>|10.7<br>|5.16<br>|56.1<br>|59.4<br>|72<br>|112<br>|
|2005|6304|85.1<br>|2005-09<br>|2.50<br>|34.8<br>|9.7<br>|4.65<br>|57.8<br>|61.2<br>|65<br>|100<br>|
|2010|7144<br>|79.3<br>|2010-14<br>|2.37<br>|32.6<br>|8.9<br>|4.14<br>|59.5<br>|63.2<br>|59<br>|**88**<br>|
|2015|8044<br>|74.7<br>|2014-19<br>|2.16<br>|29.7<br>|8.0<br>|3.63<br>|61.3<br>|65.2<br>|53<br>|75<br>|
|2020|8963|70.0<br>|2020-24<br>|1.88<br>|26.1<br>|7.2<br>|3.11<br>|63.1<br>|67.3<br>|46<br>|63<br>|
|2025|9849<br>|64.1<br>|2025-49<br>|1.30<br>|19.2<br>|6.3<br>|2.26<br>|67.7<br>|72.5<br>|29<br>|36<br>|
|2050|13641|45.4<br>|2050-74<br>|0.73<br>|14.7<br>|7.5<br>|2.09<br>|73.3<br>|78.7<br>|11<br>|13<br>|
|2075|16364<br>|54.2<br>|2075-99<br>|0.31<br>|13.0<br>|9.9<br>|2.07<br>|77.2<br>|82.9<br>|6<br>|7<br>|
|2100<br>|1W678<br>|66.1<br>|2100-24<br>|0.14<br>|12.3<br>|10.9<br>|2.06<br>|60.2<br>|86.3<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2125<br>2150|18294<br>18602|70.0<br>72.0|2125-49|0.07|12.0|11.3|2.06|81.2|87.7|2|4|

## 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>E § 5~~~60-64 {<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and<sup>Income Grour:, 1985-90</sup>

TFR **eo** Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Income group~<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Coun~try Region Income grou.p<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Coun~try Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 7 1
MACAO

# **1. Recent** Trends

Nest recent _ensA (000u_ . Mor. 81): 248 UP pOf capita (U.S. dollarse 1966): ..

Region: Asia Incom Group: Upper-middle

|Pcaptatien<br>**_*W__ structure**|**Unit**of***mwure**|1960|**1966**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-yer)|Thousands|323|392|46S|
|**Age**structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>||31<br>|45<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thouands<br>|.|o8<br>|68<br>|
|15-64<br>|Thousands<br>|.|271<br>|319<br>|
|65.|Thousands||30|34|
|Denslty|Pop.persq.**km.**|16150|19600|23250|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|98|99|99|
|School-ag population|||||
|6-11|Thousandc|.|36|41|
|12-17|Thousands|.|36|38|
|Wmanof childearlng<br>ag15-49|Thousrnd||102|116|
|Vital rateswdpolicy|Unitof**mssure**|1973-U0|1960C|1966-90|
|Anmal growthrate|Percent|4.3|3*9|3.4|
|Fertility<br> <br>|||||
|Total fortility<br>rate(TFR)<br>|Birthe per woman<br>||3.8|2.2<br>|
|Crude birthrate(CMA)|Births per 1000 pop.|27|25|20|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life expectncy<br>et<br>birth (eo)|||||
|Males|Years|62.0|65.6|68.2|
|Fmlto<br>|Yoers<br>|67.6|69.5|73.5|
|Infantmortalityrate (mIM)<br>|Per 1000livebirths<br>|||12<br>|
|Under5 mortLityrisk (q5)|¶000q|||15|
|<br>Crude death rate (CDR)|<br>Deaths per 1000 pop.|8|7|8|
|Metmigration|Thousands|||48|
|Govt. assessment of<br>|||||
|Population growth rate|||||
|Frtitity|||||
|**Contr**cep**itn**|**Unit**of***o ur**||Previou|Lato t|
|Controceptive prevalence|percent of m_rried<br>||||
|Yoor|women<br>15-49using||||
|Contraceptive<br>mix<br>|Percent<br>using||||
|Pill|||||
|lud|||||
|Fmlester<br>lIzation|||||
|aloe<br>sterilization<br>|||||
|Ce...|||||
|Other modern<br>Traditional|||||

72
MACAO

# 2. Projections **-** NRR-1 by **1990**

|Ya<br>ID|Astion|1101.<br>ratio|Pwid|_Growth_<br>rote|<br>E|c|TF4|**Nias**|**a,41**<br>**FUlms**|**In**|q<br>xurn|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>l995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020<br>|665<br>S13<br>547<br>s5<br>su<br>606<br>628<br>|46.0<br>47.2<br>46.7<br>42.4<br>40.4<br>4.0<br>50.6<br>|1990-94<br>199S-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24<br>|1.96<br>1.30<br>0.75<br>0.69<br>0.68<br>0.63<br>0.53<br>|16.7<br>14.9<br>13.7<br>13.6<br>13.8<br>13.6<br>13.0<br>|6.9<br>6.4<br>6.2<br>6.7<br>7.0<br>7.3<br>7.7<br>|2.09<br>2.09<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.07<br>2.07<br>|70.4<br>72.3<br>73.9<br>74.7<br>75.5<br>76.4<br>77.2<br>|76.0<br>78.1<br>79.6<br>80.6<br>61.5<br>82.3<br>83.2<br>|10<br>8<br>7<br>6<br>6<br>5<br>4<br>|12<br>11<br>9<br>a<br>7<br>7<br>6<br>|
|2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|665<br>664<br>676<br>665<br>691<br>694|60.3<br>66.2<br>69.9<br>72.7<br>73.9<br>74.5|2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.12<br>0.07<br>0.06<br>0.03<br>0.02|12.2<br>12.0<br>11.9<br>11.7<br>11.7|11.0<br>11.3<br>11.3<br>11.4<br>11.5|2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|79.0<br>60.7<br>81.6<br>62.3<br>62.6|65.2<br>67.2<br>66.3<br>69.1<br>89.5|3<br>3<br>2<br>2<br>2|5<br>4<br>3<br>3<br>3|

3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 6 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>85.69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 TFR e 0 Growth rate Casatry **legfon** Incasi grou.p Cos.untry legIon Incomi group Country legion Income gr.p 73
# MALAYSIA

## 1. Recent Trends

NMot recent canon (OO0e Jun. 80): 13183 OW per capita (U.S. **dollers, 1966):** 1936 Region: Asia Income Grop: Lower-middle

|Population**m*d a**<br>**structur**|**Unit**of**_m* re_**|1960|19U5|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (mid-year)|Thousands|13764|15682|17783|
|Age structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|1868<br>|2202<br>|2511<br>|
|5.14<br>|Thousnds<br>|3545<br>|3721<br>|4050|
|15-64<br>|Thousands<br>|7848|9166|10549|
|65.|Thousands|503|593|673|
|Density|Pop. per sq. km.|42|48|54|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|34|38|42|
|School-ae population|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands|2149|2228|2462|
|12-17|Thouswnds|1957|2146|2220|
|Wome of childbarirng<br>ae 15-49|Thousands|3406|3985|4543|
|**Vitalrat"**<br>**wnd**policy|**unit**ofsmaure|1975-80|1980-U5|19U5-90|
|Arnual growth rate|Percent|2.3|2.6|2.5|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Births<br>per woman<br>|4.2|3.9|3.8|
|Crude birth rate (CMS)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|30|30|31|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life**expectancy**<br>**at**birth (a0)|||||
|<br><br>Males|Years|63.5|66.0|67.5|
|Fe ales|Years|67.1|70.0|71.6|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)|Per 1000 live births|34|28|24|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk (q5)|1000 q5|46|41|29|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|7|6|6|
|Net migration|Thousands|||-15|
|Govt. assessment<br>of<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||Satisfactory|Too high|Satisfactory|
|Fertility||Satisfactory|Too high|Too high|
|Contraception|**Unit**of**mauwe**||Previoum|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive prevalence|percent of married||35|51|
|Year|women 15-44<br>using||1974|1984|
|Contraceptive<br>**mix**|Percent<br>usin||||
|<br> <br>Pill|<br>g||17|12|
|lud|||<br>1|2|
|Female<br>sterilzation|||4|8|
|**Me**sterilization|||**0**|**0**|
|**Condm**|||<br>3|6|
|Other modern<br>Traditional|||0<br>10|1<br>13|

74
MALAYSIA

# 2. Projections - NRR=1 by 2010

|**_Tow_**|Poputation|Dp.<br>ratio|Period|Grout<br>rate|CCt|CDR|FR|Go<br>**Natm**|O<br>**F_mla**|lO|S<br>x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|17783|68.6|1990-94|2.31|28.4|5.1|3.44|68.7|72.9|20|24|
|1995|19959|68.3|1995-99|1.90|24.0|4.8|2.97|70.0|74.4|16|20|
|2000|21953|63.3|2000-04|1.58|20.5|4.6|2.56|71.3|75.9|13|16|
|2005|23755|56.1|2005-09|1.33|18.1|4.7|2.21|72.3|76.9|12|14|
|2010|25392|49.1|2010-14|1.26|17.6|4.9|2.09|73.3|78.0|10|12|
|2015|27045|46.2|2014-19|1.23|17.4|5.1|2.08|74.3|79.1|8|10|
|2020|28761|46.5|2020-24|1.12|16.6|5.3|2.08|75.4|80.4|7|9|
|2025|30421|48.8|2025-49|0.72|14.0|6.8|2.07|77.7|83.1|4|6|
|2050|36414|57.2|2050-74|0.27|12.4|9.7|2.06|80.0|85.9|3|4|
|2075|38948|69.0|2075-99|0.07|12.0|11.3|2.06|81.2|87.5|2|4|
|2100|39670|72.2|2100-24|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.1|88.8|2|3|
|2q25<br>2150|40097<br>40320|73.5<br>74.2|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.2|2|3|

3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>85-89<br>80-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40.44<br>35.39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR <!-- Start of picture text --> e0 Growth rate<br><!-- End of picture text --> Counmtry Ragion Incoas group Coun~try Region Income grou Coistry Region Income grou~p 75
MALDIVES

# 1. **Recent** Trends

loet recent ensA _(OOO00_ Mar. 5): 160 _Iw_ per capita cU.S. dollars 1966): 407 N"ion: Asia Incom Group: Low

|Populatiow ad<br>struture|**Unfit**of**m_ureai**|190|**5**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (aid-year)|Thousands|155|183|217|
|Agestructure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousans<br>||32<br>50|41<br>S|
|5-14|Thousands||<br>||
|15-64|Thousands<br>||98<br>|115<br>|
|65+|Thousands||4|5|
|Denity|Pop.per sq. km.|517|610|723|
|Urbanization|Percenturban|21|20|21|
|Schoolt-a<br>population<br>|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousand<br>||30<br>|35<br>|
|12-17|Thouswas||26|29|
|Wmanof childbearing**agO**15-49|Thousands||40|47|
|Vital**rate**<br>_wW_policy|**Unit**ofmeasure|1975-0|19110.5|1985-90|
|Anmutgrowth**rate**|Percent|3.1|3.3|3.4|
|Fertftity<br> <br>|||||
|Totalfortility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Birthsperwomen<br>||7.1<br>|6.5<br>|
|Crudebirth rate (CN)|Sirthsper1000 pop.||45|44|
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Lifeexpectancy at birth (to)<br>|||||
|Mloes<br> <br>|Years<br>|||58.0<br>|
|Fmes<br>t<br>|Years<br>|||61.0<br>|
|Infantmortalityrate (IMR)<br> <br>|Per 1000 Live births<br>|||77<br>|
|UnderS mortality<br>isk(q5)|1000 q.|||108|
|<br> <br>Crude death rate (CDI)|<br>**Deaths**per 1000 pop.||14|10|
|letmigration|Thouands|||0|
|Govt. asesmntof<br>|||||
|Population growth**rate**<br>Fertility||Satisfactory<br>Satisfactory|Satisfactory<br>Satisfactory|Satisfactory<br>Satisfactory|
|**Contracsption**|Unit of __||Previou|Lat_t|
|Contraceptive preaLene|percent of mrriad<br>||||
|Year|woman 15-49 using||||
|Contraceptivesix<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill<br>|||||
|lud|||||
|**Fmlto**steritIation|||||
|**alte**sterilization<br>|||||
|Condm<br>|||||
|Othermoden<br>Traditialt|||||

76
MALDIVES 2. Projections - NRR-1 **by** 2035

|**Tour**|**Pq.AIt1ou**|DW.<br>**ratio**|**Period**|**crauth**<br>rate|t|CD|**TFr**|all<br>**kim**|**Famet**|In|**a1QOO**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>|<br>217<br>|88.6<br>|1990-94<br>|3.31<br>|41.9<br>|8.8<br>|5.97<br>|59.9<br>|63.1<br>|65<br>|89<br>|
|199f<br>|256<br> <br>|93.1<br>|1995-99<br>|3.10<br>|38.7<br>|7.7<br>|5.43<br>|61.8<br>|65.3<br>|54<br>|72<br>|
|**2000**<br>|<br>299<br>|94.1<br>|2000-04<br>|2.88<br>|35.6<br>|6.7<br>|4.90<br>|63.8<br>|67.5<br>|45<br>|57<br>|
|2005<br>|346<br>|66.4<br>|2005-09<br>|2.67<br>|32.9<br>|6.3<br>|4.36<br>|65.2<br>|69.1<br>|39<br>|50<br>|
|2010<br>|39f<br>|81.5<br>|2010-14<br>|2.46<br>|30.3<br>|5.7<br>|3.83<br>|66.6<br>|70.7<br>|34<br>|43<br>|
|2015<br>2020|447<br>499<br>|73.2<br>65.6<br>|2014-19<br>2020-24<br>|2.21<br>1.98<br>|27.3<br>24.5<br>|5.2<br>4.7<br>|3.29<br>2.88<br>|68.1<br>69.7<br>|72.4<br>74.1<br>|28<br>23<br>|35<br>28<br>|
|2025<br>|551<br>|60.0<br>|2025-49<br>|1.37<br>|18.2<br>|4.7<br>|2.19<br>|73.3<br>|78.2<br>|12<br>|i5<br>|
|2050<br>|776<br>|46.3<br>|2050-74<br>|0.72<br>|14.1<br>|6.9<br>|2.07<br>|77.2<br>|82.8<br>|4<br>|6<br>|
|2075<br>|930<br>|58.0<br>|2075-99<br>|0.26<br>|12.5<br>|1.0<br>|2.06<br>|79.6<br>|85.6<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2100<br>|992<br>|68.6<br>|2100-24<br>|0.10<br>|12.0<br>|11.0<br>|2.06<br>|81.3<br>|87.7<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>21M0|1016<br> <br>1027|71.7<br>73.2|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.0|88.6|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>e5-69<br>80-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with<sup>Region and Income Group, 1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR<br><!-- End of picture text --> Cowmtry Region Income group <!-- Start of picture text --> Growth rate<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> e0<br>.§ Z _~~~~~~~~~~~7<br>Country Region Income group Coiuntry Region Incom group<br><!-- End of picture text -->
MONGOLIA

# 1. Recent **Trends**

Nst recant c A (000, Jun. 79): 1S95 0 **per capita** (U.S. **dollars,** 1988): -Region: Asia Incom Group; No date

|**Palation**<br>**d**<br>**stcture**|**Unit of****_m_sswr_**|**1980**|**1915**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|_Thouswas_|1663|1909|2186|
|Agestructure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands|267<br>|29<br>|340<br>|
|5S14<br>|Thousands|449|496<br>|553<br>|
|15.64|Thousawds|894|1052|1219|
|65+|Thousands|53|62|74|
|Density|Pop.per sq. km.|I|1|1|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|51|51|51|
|School-oa<br>poputation|||||
|6-11|Thousands|273|303|340|
|12-17|Thousands|233|269|294|
|Womn ofchil*.ering age15-49|Thouswa|384|**453**|522|
|**Vital**<br>**ratmandpolicy**|**Unit**of measure|1975-60|**1980-85**|1985-90|
|**AmnuaL growth**rate|Percent|2.8|2.8|2.7|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate CTFR)|Births<br>per woman|5.5|5.3|5.0|
|Crude birth<br>rate (CUR)|Births<br>per1000 pop.|39|38|36|
|Mortality<br> <br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancy**at**birth<br>(o)|||||
|**Kale***|Years|55.0|57.5|60.0|
|Feales|Years|57.5|60.0|62.5|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)<br> <br> <br>|Per 1000 Live births<br>|**88**|78|68<br>|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk<br>(q5)|1000 q5|||93|
|<br>Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|11|10|9|
|Net migration|Thouswas||0|0|
|**Govt.**assessmnt<br>of|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||Too Low|Too low|Satisfactory|
|Fertility||Satisfactory|Satisfactory|Toohigh|
|Contriceptifn|Unitof<br>e||Previs|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive<br>prevalence|percent of mrried||||
|Yer|women15-49 using||||
|Contraceptlv<br>mix<br>|Percentusing||||
|Pitt|||||
|lud<br>|||||
|F nltsterilzation|||||
|altesterftization<br>|||||
|Condom<br>|||||
|Other**moern**<br>Traditiornl|||||

78
MONGOLIA

**-** 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2020

|ToerPeputation|O p..<br>ratio|Period|UGrot<br>**rat**|h<br>Ca|CD4|TFt|b<br>MaIm|*o<br>F_lt|it|qs<br>**X10OO**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>2186|79.3|1990-94|2.66|34.6|7.9|4.49|62.3|64.7|58|77|
|1995<br>2497|77.7|1995-99|2.41|31.1|6.9|3.98|64.5|67.0|48|62|
|2000<br>2817|74.5|2000-04|2.13|27.3|6.1|3.47|66.6|69.2|39|49|
|2005<br>3134|68.7|2005-09|1.86|24.4|5.8|3.00|67.8|70.6|34|42|
|2010<br>3439|61.7|2010-14|1.61|21.7|5.6|2.59|69.0|72.1|28|35|
|2015<br>3728|55.5|2014-19|1.38|19.2|5.5|2.24|70.3|73.7|22|27|
|2020<br>3993|50.2|2020-24|1.27|18.2|5.5|2.12|71.7|75.4|,6|20|
|2025<br>4255|47.2|2025-49|0.96|15.6|6.1|2.09|74.9|79.2|8|10|
|2050<br>5413|50.8|2050-74|0.44|13.0|8.7|2.07|78.4|83.4|4|5|
|2075<br>6044|66.1|2075-99|0.12|12.2|11.0|2.06|80.2|86.0|3|4|
|2100<br>6234|70.8|2100-24|0.07|11.9|11.2|2.06|81.6|88.0|2|3|
|2125<br>6349<br>2150<br>6406|72.2<br>73.5|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.2|88.8|2|3|

3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>56-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>60-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR <!-- Start of picture text --> eO<br><!-- End of picture text --> Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> Co.utry Region Incom group<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Incom group Country Region .ncom group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 79
MYANMAR

# 1. Recent Trends

Moot rent _ownAg (00S,_ Mar. 83): 35306 _wp_ per capita (U.S. dollar 19M): 24 tegin; 4Jle Income Group: Low

|**Ppulationand _ otnetur**|**Unit**<br>.of<br>**ure**|**1900**|**190**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population**(mid-year)**|Thousnds|33821|37544|41609|
|Agestructure|||||
|0-4<br>|**Thousrnds**<br>|4801<br>|5297<br>|5512<br>|
|5-14<br>15-64|Thousads<br>Thousande<br>|8603<br>19071<br>|9435<br>21391<br>|9917<br>24465<br>|
|65+|thousands|1346|1422|1714|
|Denity|Pop. persq. km.|*1|S7|63|
|Urbanization|Percenturbon|24|24|25|
|School-oa<br>population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|5237<br>|5704<br>|6013<br>|
|12-17|Thousands|4550|5266|5635|
|Wnun of chil*ering<br>age 15-49|Thojewnds|7973|9079|10384|
|Vital rato_un_policy|**Unit**of**_mosure_**|**1975-J**|**IlD-a**|19U490|
|Amust growth rate|Percent|2.1|2.1|2.1|
|Fortility|||||
|Total fortilityrate(TFR)<br>|Births perwoman<br> <br>|5.0<br>|4.6<br>|4.0<br>|
|Crude birthrate(CIA)|lirths<br>per 1000 pop.|36|34|30|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectency at birth<br>(to)|||||
|Mates<br>|Years<br>|53.4<br>|5.8<br>|58.3<br>|
|Females|Years|56.7|59.3<br>|61.8<br>|
|Infant mortality rate (INN)|Per 1000 live births|90<br>|s0<br>|70<br>|
|Under 5 mortaifty risk (q5)|1000 q5|105|101|97|
|Crude death rote (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|12|11|10|
|Net migration|Thousands||-10|-10|
|Govt<br>*assesant<br>of|||<br>|<br>|
|Population growth rate<br>Fertility||Satisfactory<br>Satisfactory|<br>Satisfactory<br> <br>Satisfactory|<br>Satisfactory<br> <br>Satisfactory|
|Contr<br>a_ption|Unit of *<br>**ur**||Previouc|Lotot|
|contraceptive<br>provalenc<br>|percent of marriod<br>|||5<br>|
|Year|womn 15-44 using|||1980|
|Contraceptive<br>mix<br>|Percent using||||
|Pill<br>|||||
|lud|||||
|F elosteritlation|||||
|ale sterilization<br>|||||
|Condo<br>|||||
|Other moern<br>Traditional|||||

so
NYANNAR

# 2. Projections - NRR-1 by 2010

|wt|PepAastilm<br>**ott**|Peied|rate|C|en|TFU|**NLtm**|Feml|In|xmooo|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>|41609<br>70.1<br> <br>|1990-94<br>|2.04<br>|29.2<br>|8.8<br>|3.51<br>|60.1<br>|64.6<br>|60<br>|s0<br>|
|1995|46075<br>67.1<br> <br>|1995-99<br>|1.79<br>|25.7<br>|7.6<br>|3.04<br>|61.9<br>|67.6<br>|50<br>|AS<br>|
|2000|50377<br>63.2<br> <br>|2000-04<br>|1.52<br>|22.3<br>|7.1<br>|2.63<br>|63.8<br>|70.2<br>|41<br>|51<br>|
|200a|54353<br>56.1<br>|2005-09<br>|1.25<br>|19.3<br>|6.8<br>|2.26<br>|65.2<br>|71.6<br>|36<br>|45<br>|
|2010|57663<br>51.1|2010-14<br>|1.17<br>|14.3<br>|6.6<br>|2.1S<br>|6.6<br>|73.1<br>|30<br>|38<br>|
|2015|61339<br>46.2|2014-19|1.14<br>|18.0<br>|6.6<br>|2.13<br>|68.1<br>|74.6<br>|25<br>|31<br>|
|2020<br>|**64946**<br>44.6<br> <br>|2020-24<br>|1.07<br>|17.2<br>|6.5<br>|2.11<br>|69.7<br>|76.2<br>|20<br>|25<br>|
|2025|61523<br>45.6<br>|2025-49<br>|o.72<br>|14.6<br>|7.5<br>|2.06<br>|73.3<br>|79.6<br>|11<br>|13<br>|
|2050|61969<br>55.1|2050-74<br>|0.29<br>|12.9<br>|10.0<br>|2.07<br>|77.3<br>|G3.6<br>|4<br>|6<br>|
|2075<br>|6164<br>65.9<br> <br>|2075-99<br>|0.12<br>|12.3<br>|11.1<br>|2.06<br>|79.6<br>|66.2<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2100<br>|90933<br>70.2<br> <br>|2100-24<br>|0.06<br>|11.9<br>|11.1<br>|2.06<br>|81.3<br>|66.1<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>2150|9276<br>72.2<br>93652<br>n3.5|2125-49|0.04|11.8|11.4|2.06|62.0|66.6|2|3|
|Age|structure<br>|(percent)|:199|0<br>and<br>75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-84<br>55.59<br>|2025||||||
|||||50-54<br>4e-49<br>|||||||
|||||40-44|||||||
|||||35-39<br>|||||||
|||||30-34|||||||
|||||25-29|||||||
|||||20-24|||||||
|||||16-19|||||||
|||||10-14|||||||
|||||5.9<br> <br>|||||||
|||M=W|.|RRUR<br>.<br>0-4|RRR||||||
||10<br>o<br>4<br>0|2 4 6<br>8|10|||I108<br>6|4<br>2<br>0|<br>2 4<br>6|8 10||

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90<br>TFR e0 Growth rate<br>. _ _nc group _ _ ._ ,. _ I<br>Country Rlegon Incmo group Countr~y Region Incom group Country legion Incoo group~<br><!-- End of picture text --> 61
# NEPAL

## 1. Recent Trends

Meet recent cenw **(000t ,** Jun. 81): 15023 P per **capita** (U.). dollars, 1968): 174

### Region: Asia Income Group: Low

|**Poulatlon**<br>**d**<br>**stntut**|**UnIit of m_ure**|196|1966|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population(Nid-year)|Thousands|14640|16682|19102|
|Ago structure|||||
|0-4|Thousands<br>|2385<br>|2844<br>|3218<br>|
|5-14<br>|_Thousands_<br>|3649<br>|4207<br>|4904<br>|
|15-6|Thousands|8162|9129|10381|
|65.|Thousands|443|502|600|
|Denity|Pop. per sq. km.|107|122|140|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|6|8|10|
|School-oge population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|2287|2585|3U54|
|12-17|Thuands|189|2150|2475|
|oe=n of chltdearing**age**15-49|Thousnds|3561|3927|4415|
|**vital**<br>**rates**NWpolicy|Unit ofmeasu|1975-30|1980-U5|1966-90|
|Amiut<br>growth**rate**|Percent|2.6|2.6|2.7|
|Fertility|||||
|ToVal fortility rate (TFR)|Births per won|6.5|6.3|5.9<br>|
|Cru6o birth<br>rate (CUR)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|45|43|43|
|Mortality|||||
|Life<br>expectwicy at birth (c0)|||||
|Males|Years|46.5|49.0|51.5|
|Fmles|Years|45.0|47.5|50.3|
|Infant mortalityrate<br>(INN)<br> <br>|Per1000live births<br>|147<br>|139<br>|128<br>|
|Under5wrtality<br>risk(q5)|1000 q5|230|215|190<br>|
|<br>Crude**dsath rate(CDR)**|<br>**Doaths**per<br>1000pop.|19|17|15|
|Notmigration|Thousands||0|0|
|Govt.**assessment**of|||||
|Population growth rate||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Fertility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Contrweptien|Unitofm<br>u||Previof.|Latest|
|Contraceptive prevalence|percent of married||7|ti|
|<br>Year|<br>wom_n15-49using||1981|1986|
|Contraceptive<br>**six**<br>|Percentusing|||I|
|**Pill**<br>hud<br>|||I<br>0<br>|0<br>|
|f<br>**ltosterltzation**|||2<br>|7<br>|
|**Male sterillastion**|||3|6|
|**Condom**|||0|1|
|Other**modern**|||0|0|
|<br>Traditionrl|||0|0|

**82**
NEPAL

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2030

|**_Yow_**o|rp.latimt|OW.<br>ratio|Period|grth<br>rate|O|CD4|TFt|tM|s**O**<br>FFmLs|**In**|**x1000**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|19102|84.0|1990-94|2.42<br>|38.1<br>|13.8<br>|;."<br>|53.1<br>|52.2<br>|118<br>|173<br>|
|1995|21562|82.4|1995-99<br>|2.24<br>|34.8<br>|12.4<br>|4.84<br>|54.9<br>|54.3<br>|106<br>|154<br>|
|2000|24119|77.5|2000-04|2.11<br>|32.3<br>|11.2<br>|4.33<br>|56.9<br>|56.6<br>|93<br>|133<br>|
|2005|26799|71.5|2005-09<br>|<br>1.95|29.8<br>|10.3<br>|3.82<br>|58.6<br>|58.5<br>|83<br>|117<br>|
|2010|29539|67.0<br>|2010-14<br>|1.73<br>|26.8<br>|9.5<br>|3.31<br>|60.3<br>|60.5<br>|73<br>|102<br>|
|2015|32216|62.5<br>|2014-19<br>|1.56<br>|24.3<br>|8.8<br>|2.94<br>|62.0<br>|62.6<br>|63<br>|86<br>|
|2020|34824<br>|56.1<br>|2020-24<br>|1.36<br>|21.8<br>|8.2<br>|2.62<br>|63.8<br>|64.8<br>|53<br>|71<br>|
|2025<br>|37272<br>|53.5<br>|2025-49<br>|1.00<br>|17.6<br>|7.7<br>|2.20<br>|68.3<br>|70.4<br>|31<br>|39<br>|
|2050|47810|47.3|2050-74|0.52<br>|14.2<br>|9.0<br>|2.10<br>|73.7<br>|77.2<br>|11<br>|14<br>|
|2075|54417|57.0<br>|2075-99<br>|<br>0.24<br>|12.9<br>|10.5<br>|2.08<br>|77.4<br>|81.8<br>|6<br>|8<br>|
|2100|5774|66.0<br>|2100-24<br>|0.14<br>|12.3<br>|10.9<br>|2.06<br>|80.3<br>|8S.8<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2125<br>2150|59761<br>6076|69.4<br>71.8|2125-49|0.07|12.0|11.3|2.06|81.3|87.4|2|4|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and<sup>2025</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>4b-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 lO<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region<sup>and Income Group, 1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0 Growth rate<br>Region Incom group Country Region Income group Country Region Incom group<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Incom group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 83
NEW CALEDONIA

# 2. Recent Trends

Meet rent **_ow_** _(000M,_ p. 33): 145 UP per **capit (U.S.** dellts, 191): ..

Egion: sf Incin Groip: Nig

|_patiem_mi"_<br>struct|tUhit<br>of<br>**s**|1|1|190|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total<br>PWulation<br>(mid-yes)|Thuuande|1N|152|162|
|Ag structwu<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thouand<br>|..||s<br>|
|5-14<br>15-64|Thads<br>Thounds|..|36<br>90|36<br>100|
|<br>65|<br>Tho nde|..|<br>7|a|
|D1eity|op.<br>per q. Io.|7|S|9|
|Urbanization|Percentrban|69|76|e1|
|Schol-age<br>population|||||
|6-11|Thoud|..|22|22|
|12-17|Thoud|..|21|22|
|Vomen<br>of childesarln<br>o9 15-4|9 Thomanc|.|35|40|
|Vitatl<br>re<br>t *d poticy|Unit<br>of_owre_|1975-|1 -05|190S-9|
|Amuso growth<br>rate|Percent|0.9|1.9|1.3|
|Fertility|||||
|Total<br>fortility<br>rate_CTFI)_<br> <br> <br> <br>|lirths<br>per wino<br> <br>|4.0<br>|3.6<br>|3.1|
|Crude<br>birth<br>rate<br>(CCU)|lirthc<br>per 1000<br>pop.|29|27|24|
|Mortality|||||
|Lift<br>expectancy<br>atbirth<br>(C0)<br>|||||
|MalS<br>|Years<br>|64.0<br>|64.6<br>|65.7<br>|
|Fotles<br> <br> <br>|Ybar|64.0|68.5|70.1<br>|
|infant<br>mortality<br>rateCIN)<br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br>|||36<br>|
|Under5mortality<br>risk(q5)|1000|..||44|
|<br> <br>Crude<br>death<br>rate(CDI)|Doeth per 1000 pop.|7|6|7|
|Net migratlon|Thousands||5|-3|
|Govt. aseasament<br>of<br> <br> <br>|||||
|Poputotlon<br>growth<br>rate<br>|||||
|FortiLity|||||
|**Contr ctpion**|**Unit**<br>of mesum||**PreviAu**|**Latet**|
|Contraceptive provelence|percent of mrrlod<br>||||
|Year|women<br>15-49using||||
|Contraceptivesix<br>|Porcent<br>usine||||
|Pill|||||
|lud<br>|||||
|Famleosterilzation<br>|||||
|Male sterilization<br>|||||
|Cane<br> <br>J|||||
|Othor<br>moorn<br>Traditivoel|||||
NEW CALEDONIA

# 2. Projections

# - NRRl1 by 2000

|TowP.***Aitimn**|Itp.<br>**ais**|**_P-ed_**|Gram<br>h<br>ate|-|cS|TFP|6<br>kim|**F_mi**|**In**|XaIm|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>162<br>1995<br>172|62.2<br>55.5|1990-94<br>1995-99|1.15<br>1.07|21.3<br>19.2|6.6<br>6.3|2.65<br>2.25|66.9<br>68.2|72.9<br>75.3|29<br>24|35<br>26|
|2000<br>161<br>**2005**<br>191|51.6<br>49.3|2000-04<br>2005-09|1.06<br>1.10|18.3<br>17.3|6.1<br>6.2|2.11<br>2.10|69.6<br>70.7|77.3<br>76.3|19<br>16<br>|23<br>20|
|2010<br>202<br>|48.7<br>|2010-14|1.03|16.5<br>|6.5<br>|2.09|71.6|79.3|14|17|
|2015<br>213<br> <br>|46,9<br>|2014-19<br>|0.91<br>|15.7<br>|6.6<br>|2.09<br>|72.9<br>|30.4<br>|11|13|
|2020<br>223<br>|48.9<br>|2020-24<br>|0.60<br>|14.8<br>|6.9<br>|2.06|74.1<br>|61.5<br>|S|10<br>|
|2025<br>232<br> <br>|48.5<br>|2025-49<br>|0.56<br> <br>|13.5<br>|6.0<br>|2.07<br>|76.7<br>|63.9<br>|4<br>|6<br>|
|2050<br>266<br> <br>|63.5<br>|2050-74<br>|<br>0.17<br>|12.4<br>|10.7|2.06<br>|79.4<br>|66.4<br>|3|4|
|2075<br>278<br> <br>|66.6<br>|2075.99<br>|0.0<br>|12.0<br>|11.2<br>|2.06<br>|80.9<br>|67.6<br>|2<br>|4<br>|
|2100<br>263<br> <br>|71.9<br>|2100-24<br>|0.05<br>|11.8<br>|11.3<br>|2.06<br>|81.9<br>|u.9<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>267<br>2150<br>29|73.2<br>74.1|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.3|2|3|

## 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 756+<br>70-74<br>65.69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>WM= lB 40-44<br>t2222MM 35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0.4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 I0 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

### 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 TFR **e0** Growth rate

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0 Growth rate<br>C an<br>, I .<br>.mir .eio Inom gop Cwly ego mgo ncgr..p<br><!-- End of picture text -->
# NEW ZEALAND

## **1.** Racent Trends

### Meet recent **coumn** (000. **ApW.**<sup>6): 3307</sup> _WP_ per capita (U.S. dollars, 195): 10003

### Region: Developed Countris Incom Group: Nigh

|P_ tatiun<br>**_un_**a**structure**|**Un**t of<sup>memsur</sup>|1950|**196**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total<br>Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|3113|3290|3394|
|Age structure<br>||||258|
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|247<br>584|251<br>550|503|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>Thosands|<br>1971|<br>_2144_|2256|
|15-64|u<br>|<br>|<br>|376|
|65+|Thouswnds|310|344||
|Donsity|Pop. per sq.km.|12<br>|12<br>|13<br>|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|83|84|U4|
|School-age popuLatian|||321|296|
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>|346<br>|<br>363|328|
|12-17|Thousands|358|||
|Aomen<br>of chilcbering<br>age 15-49|Thousands|763|840|889|
|Vitat**retw nd poticy**|**Unit**ofmeasure|**1975-8O**|1900-U5|19UC-90|
|Awmulgrowth<br>**rate**|Percent|0.2|1.1|0.6|
|Fortility<br> <br>||||19|
|Total fertility<br>rate (YFR)<br>|Births<br>per woman<br>|2.2<br>17|2.0<br>16|.<br>16|
|Crude birth rate (C6R)|Birthsper 1000 pop.||||
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Life expectancy**at**birth('n)<br>||||718|
|Males|Years<br>|69.3<br>|70.7<br>|.<br>779|
|Females<br> <br>|Years<br>|75.7<br>|76.9<br>12|.<br>11|
|infant mortality<br>rate (INA)<br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br>|14<br>|<br>1|14|
|Under 5mortality<br>risk(q)<br>|1000%<br>|17<br>8|5<br>8|8|
|Crude death rate (COR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.||||
|Netmigration|Thousandr||O|-20|
|Govt.*assmantof<br>|||Sif|Stift|
|Population growth rate<br>||Satisfactory<br>Satistactor|atsactory<br>Satisfactor|asacory<br>Satisfactory|
|iertflity||y|y||
|**Cantr**captifn|Unit of***osure**||Previous|Latest|
|Contraceptive prevalence|percentofmarried<br>|||70<br>16|
|Year|womenover 15using|||97|
|Contraceptive mix<br>|Percentusing|||29|
|Pill<br>||||4|
|lud<br>||||11|
|Femilesterilsation<br>||||9|
|Male<br>sterilization<br>|||||
|Condom<br>||||O|
|Othermodern<br>Traditional||||2|

86
NEW ZEALAND

# 2. Projections **NRR-1** by 2030

|**_To_**<br>**PfpUatimn**|IW.<br>ratio|Perfiod|**Growth**<br>rate|**SO**<br>**CII**|Cm|**TFR**|_Nlo_|'O4<br>**Fmtes**|**tR**|u1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>3394|50.4|1990-94|0.67|15.4|8.1|1.92|72.9|78.9|10|12|
|1995<br>3509|50.3|1995-99|0.65|14.5|6.0|1.92|73.9|80.0|8|11|
|2000<br>3625|49.6|2000-04|0.59|13.8|7.9|1.94|75.0|81.1|7|9|
|2005<br>3734|49.2|2005 09|0.51|13.1|8.1|1.97|75.7|81.8|6|8|
|2010<br>3830|49.4|2010-14|0.46|12.8|8.2|1.99|76.5|82.5|6|7|
|2015<br>3919|52.2|2014-19|0.43|12.6|8.3|2.02|77.2|63.3|5|6<br>|
|2020<br>4004|55.2|2020-24|0.38|12.5|8.1|2.04|78.0|84.1<br>|4<br>|6<br>|
|2025<br>4081|59.2|2025-49|<br>0.14|12.0|10.6|2.07|79.6|85.8|3|4|
|2050<br>4224|71.4|2050-74|0.00|11.9|i'.9|?.07|81.0|87.6|2|4<br>|
|2075<br>4225|72.3|2075-W|0.03|11.8|11.5|2.06|81.8|**U.6**|2|3|
|2100<br>**420**|73.5|<br>2100-24|0.03|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.4|89.3|2|3|
|2125<br>4287<br>2150<br>4303|74.1<br>74.6|2125-49|0.01|11.6|11.5|2.06|62.6|89.6|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>e za 1 ~~~70-74 § E<br>65-69<br>a0-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>RRRERS BEE2gl 25-29 05 B<br>20-24<br>15.19<br>10-14<br>5-9 I<br>0-4j<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br>4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90<br>TFR eO Growth rate<br>.~~~~~ .. . - -|....<br>Country Region Incom groW Country Region Income grai Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

87
# OTHER MICRONESIA

## **1. Recent** Trends

Nest recent cnus: _.. UW_ per cpita (U.S. dollsrs 193):

**Pegion:** Asi Incom Group: o date

|**PtIpAtionwnd* structur**|**Unit**of**somure**|1960|1965|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (mid-year)|Thousands||8S|97|
|Age structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>||12<br>|14<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousnds<br>||22<br>|24<br>|
|15-64|Thousands||47|55|
|65+|Thousands||3|3|
|Donsity|Pop. per sq. km.||||
|Urbanization|Percenturban||||
|Sehool-age population|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousndsb<br>||13<br>|14<br>|
|12-17|Thousands||12|13|
|Womsn of childsbaring**ag**15-49|Thousands||19|23|
|Vital ratt<br>***n**policy|UWit of**mour**|1975-10|**196-aU**|1985-90|
|Annuslgrowth rate|Percent|||2.7|
|Fertility<br>|||||
|Totalfertility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Births<br>per won n<br> <br>|||4*5<br>|
|Crude birth rate (ClR)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|||33|
|Mortality|||||
|Life expectancy<br>at birth|||||
|males<br>|Years|||_64.5_|
|Fmles|Years|||69.5|
|Infantmortality<br>rate (INN)<br>|Per 1000live<br>births|||32|
|Jnder<br>5 mortality<br>risk(q)|1000 q.|||39<br>|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|||**7**|
|Net migration|Thousands|||0|
|Govt.**ssessmant**of<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growth rate|||||
|Fertility|||||
|Cantr cwption|Unit of *ur||Prsv iou|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive<br>**prevelece**|percent ofmrried||||
|**Year**|women15-49 using||||
|**Contracaptiv4 mix**<br>|Percent using||||
|**Pill**|||||
|lud|||||
|**F_mlo**sterilzation|||||
|**aloesterilization**<br>|||||
|Condm|||||
|Othermodern<br>Traditional|||||

as
OTHER MICRONESIA

# **2. Projections** - NRR-1 by 2015

|_Taw_P|opulation|3tp.<br>ratio|Pgriod|Gromm<br>h<br>rate|<br>C E||TFR|O<br>Natow|F_lito|**1**|**x1000**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>|97<br>|75.8<br>|1990-94<br>|2.52<br>|31.1<br>|5.8<br>|4.00<br>|66.1<br>|71.2|26|31|
|1995<br>|110<br>|74.0<br>|195ff99<br>|2.24<br>|27.6<br>|5.3<br>|3.49<br>|67.7<br>|73.0|21|**25**|
|2000<br>|122<br>|69.8<br>|2000-04<br>|1.94<br>|24.2<br>|4.8<br>|3.00<br>|69.4<br>|74.8<br>|17|21|
|2005<br>|135<br>|63.4<br>|2005-09<br>|1.65<br>|21.3<br>|4.8<br>|2.58<br>|70.4<br>|75.9<br>|15|18|
|2010<br>|147<br>|5.3<br>|2010-14<br>|1.40<br>|18.9<br>|4.8<br>|2.22<br>|71.5<br>|77.0<br>|13|1S|
|2015<br>|157<br>|SO.5<br>|2014-19<br>|1.30<br>|18.0<br>|5.0<br>|2.09<br>|72.7<br>|78.3<br>|10|13|
|2020<br>|168<br>|47.5<br>|2020-24<br>|1.25<br>|17.5<br>|5.1<br>|2.08<br>|73.9<br>|79.6<br>|8<br>|10|
|2025<br>|179<br>|46.6<br>|2025-49<br>|0.87<br>|14.8<br>|6.2<br>|2.07<br>|76.6<br>|82.5<br>|5|6|
|2050<br>|222<br>|53.5<br>|2050-74<br>|0.35<br>|12.7<br>|9.2<br>|2.06<br>|79.3<br>|85.5<br>|3|4|
|2075<br>|242<br>|68.1<br>|2075-99<br>|0.10<br>|12.1<br>|11.1<br>|2.06<br>|80.8<br>|87.3<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2100<br>|248<br>|71.7<br>|2100-24<br>|0.06<br>|11.8<br>|11.3<br>|2.06<br>|81.9<br>|88.6<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>21S0|252<br>**254**|73.0<br>n.9|2125-49|0.03|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.3|89.2|2|3|

## 3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65.69<br>60-64<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>t222S QESlS 35-39 2222g; BBB5.3<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 s 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 <!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eo Growth rate<br>Country Region incom group Country tRofan Income group Country RegIon Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 89
OTHER POLYNESIA

# 1. Recent Trends

Nest recent canus: . GMP per capita (U.S. dotllrs, 1968): Rgion: Asia Incom Group: No dats

|**Populatimn**<br>***n**q<br>**structure**|thit of**asawe**|**U90**|1985|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population(mid-year)|ThousAnds||80|85|
|Ai*structure<br>||||11|
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>||13<br>25|23|
|S-14<br>15-66|Thousands<br>Thousands||<br>40<br>|47<br>|
|65+|Thousands||3|3|
|Donsity|Pop, persq. km.||||
|Urbanization|Percent urban||||
|school-ago population|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>||14<br>|15<br>|
|12-17|Thousands||13|14|
|Womn ofchildbesring<br>age15-49|Thousands||18|20|
|Vitat rato***ndpoliy**|tiit<br>of**mesure**|**1975-80**|19K0-U5|1985-90|
|Annualgrowth rate|Percent|||1.6|
|Fertility<br> <br>||||4|
|'otal<br>fertility<br>rate(TFR)<br>|Births per women<br>Bih|||.0<br>28|
|Crude birthrate CCBR)|rtsper 1000 pop.||||
|Mortality|||||
|Life expectancy<br>at birth (eo)|||||
|aes,<br>|Years<br>|||66.9<br>727|
|Fewmles|Years<br>|||.<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)|Per 1000 Live births|||26<br>|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk(q5)|1000 `5<br>|||31<br>|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deathsper 1000 pop.|||S|
|Netmigration|Thousands|||-3|
|Govt.assessmentof<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growth rate|||||
|Fertility|||||
|Contraception|**Unit**of<br>**aswure**||**Previous**|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive<br>prevalence|percent<br>of married<br>||||
|Year|women 15-49 using||||
|sontraceptive<br>**mix**<br>|Percent using||||
|Pitt|||||
|lud<br>|||||
|F _le sterilzetfon|||||
|Male sterilization<br>|||||
|Condom<br>|||||
|Other modern<br>Traditionol|||||

90
OTHER POLYNESIA

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2010

|Yaor ftpultioan|Dp.<br>ratio|Pwriod|**Gth**<br>rate|C8|CDR|TFP|'IO<br>**Mai_**|o<br>F_ml_|**li**|**x1000**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>85|81.4|1990-94|1.87|28.1|4.9|3.50|68.4|74.3|21|25|
|1995<br>94|71.1|1995 -99|1.96|26.2|4.6|3.00|69.9|75.9|17|21|
|2000<br>103|63.4|2000-04|1.89|23.2|4.3|2.58|71.4|77.5|14|17|
|2005<br>114|60.9|2005-09|1.53|19.7|4.4|2.22|72.3|78.4|12|15|
|2010<br>123|54.1|2010-14|1.35|18.0|4.4|2.09|73.3|79.4|10|13|
|2015<br>131|49.0|2014-19|1.28|17.4|4.6|2.08|74.3|80.4|8|10|
|2020<br>140|45.2|2020-24|1.22|16.8|4.6|2.08|75.4|81.5|6|8|
|2025<br>149|43.9|2025-49|0.85|14.2|5.8|2.07|77.7|83.9|4|5<br>|
|2050<br>184|59.7|2050-74|0.25|12.4|9.9|2.06|80.0|86.4|3|4<br>|
|2075<br>196|69.5|2075-99|0.08|12.0|11.2|2.06<br>|81.2<br>|87.9<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2100<br>200|72.3|2100-24|0.04|11.8|11.3|2.06|U.1<br>|88.9<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>202<br>2150<br>203|73.4<br>74.2|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.3|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>80-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34 22RRU21UgE<br>25-29<br>{§2ES2 %gm 1 ~20-24 2{ m<br>§2g§§2zS Zm%gEUB 1~15-19 1E2%m<br>10-14<br>5.9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 1 0<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0 Growth rate<br>Country Region Incor group Country Region Incor gr Country<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country Region Incowa group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 91
PAPUA NEW GUINEA

# 1. **Recent** Trends

weet r eent census _(000,_ Sep. s): 3011 UiP per capita (U.J. dotlorsc 1988): 810 legion: Asia Income Group: Lower-siddlt

|Population<br>***n * structurs**|**Unit ofmeaure**|**195**|19S5|**199**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|3070|3460|3904|
|Age structure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|481<br>|550<br>|613<br>|
|5-14<br>|_Thousaro_<br>|837<br>'|889<br>|991<br>|
|15.64|Thousanrs|170|1938|2184|
|65+|Thousands|48|84|116|
|Donity|Pop.perq.km.||8|9|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|13|14|16|
|School-ag popuLation|||||
|<br>6-11|Thousands|509|536|609|
|12-17|Thousands|427|497|524|
|Momn of childbearing**ag**15-49|Thousnds|687|782|885|
|Vitalrt_**_*d_**policy|Unitofmosur|1975-U|190-95|195-90|
|**Aninum**growth<br>rate|Percent|2.4|2.4|2.4|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>**rate**(TFR)|Births per womn|5.9|5.6|5.3|
|Crude birth rate (CUR)|Births per 1000 pop.|40|35|36|
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Life expectancy atbirth (o)|||||
|<br>Moese|Years|49.5|51.2|53.2|
|Fimoles|Years|50.0|52.7|54.8|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (IMR)|Per 1000 live births|85|74|63|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk (q5)|1000 q5|121|103|86|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|**Deaths**<br>per 1000 pop.|15|13|12|
|Mot migration|Thousands||0|0|
|Govt.**assessment**<br>of|||||
|Population<br>growth rate<br>||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|fertility||Toohigh|Toohigh|T,o high|
|**Contr**<br>**weption**|**ni**t of***s**||**Previou**|Lato t|
|Contraceptive**prevaLelne**|percent of m_rried|||5|
|Yoer|wmann<br>15-49 using|||1960|
|Contraceptive**mix**|Percent using||||
|Pilt|||||
|lud|||||
|F _**le**steriltation|||||
|**aloe**<br>**sterilifation**<br>|||||
|**Cor..m**|||||
|Othr modern<br>Traditional|||||

92
PAPUA NEW GUINEA

## 2. Projections - **NRR-1** by 2020

|**Tw**<br>|**Pepu4stin**|hp.<br>ratio|**Pealed**|crnIk<br>**rate**|Uc4|cm|**TFt**|Not7|0<br>b<br>**Famle**|im|s<br>**x1o0**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|3904|78.7<br>|1990-94|2.28<br>|34.1<br>|11.2<br>|4.74<br>|54.5<br>|56.3<br>|54<br>|71<br>|
|1995<br>2000<br>2005|4376<br>4855<br>5337|W.1<br>76.2<br>70.8|199S-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09|2.08<br>1.89<br>1.68<br>|31.2<br>28.5<br>25.8<br>|10.4<br>9.6<br>9.0<br>|4.23<br>3.72<br>3.19<br>|56.0<br>57.7<br>59.2<br>|58.1<br>60.1<br>61.8<br>|45<br>37<br>36<br>|57<br>45<br>45<br>|
|2010|5805|63.6<br>|2010-14<br>|1.48<br>|23.2<br>|8.4<br>|2.74<br>|60.8<br>|63.6<br>|36<br>|45<br>|
|2015|6251|57.7<br>|2014-19<br>|1.27<br>|20.6<br>|7.8<br>|2.35<br>|62.6<br>|65.6<br>|36<br>|45<br>|
|2020|6662|51.5<br>|2020-24<br>|1.21<br>|19.5<br>|7.4<br>|2.21<br>|64.4<br>|67.7<br>|36<br>|44<br>|
|2025<br>|7079<br>|47.3<br>|2025-49<br>|0.97<br>|16.9<br>|7.3<br>|2.15<br>|68.9<br>|73.0<br>|26<br>|31<br>|
|2050|9019|47.1|2050-74|0.46<br>|13.8<br>|9.2<br>|2.09<br>|74.2<br>|79.1<br>|9<br>|11<br>|
|2073|10124|60.7<br>|2075-99<br>|0.19<br>|12.8<br>|10.8<br>|2.07<br>|77.7<br>|83.2<br>|5<br>|7<br>|
|2100|10626|67.4<br>|2100-24<br>|0.13<br>|12.2<br>|10.9<br>|2.06<br>|80.5<br>|86.5<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2125<br>2150|10977<br>11150|70.0<br>72.1|2125-49|0.06|11.9|11.3|2.06|81.4|$7.8|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 lo<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 -<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>60-84<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 TFR **eO** Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> .- . *s<br>. ~~- I<br>Country Ragian mInc group Country Region Inc gup Country Ragion Inc UP<br><!-- End of picture text --> 93
PHILIPPINES

# **1.** Recont Trends

Most recent censu _(O0Os,_ May. 80): **48098** amP **per capita (U.S.** dollersc 1988): 629 Region: **Asio** Inco. Group: Lower- middte

|**Populationw*_ structur**|**Uniit**<br>of *moure|1960|1985|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total<br>Population<br>(aid-year)|Thousnds|49253|55819|62609|
|Aestructure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|7850<br>|8701<br>|8448<br>|
|5-14<br>15.64|Thousand<br>Thousands|12856<br>26871<br>|14247<br>30974<br>|16108<br>35536<br>|
|65S|Thouswnd|1676|1897|2114|
|Donsity|Pop.<br>per sq. km.|165|187|210|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|37|40|42|
|Schootl-e9population|||||
|6-11|Thousands|7688<br>|8744<br>|9924<br>|
|12-17|Thousands|6757|7579|8440|
|Woman<br>of chitdbearing<br>ag15-49|Thousxnds|11593|13547|15394|
|Vital rete<br>**wnd**policy|**Un!t**<br>of mesure|1975-80|1960-15|1965-90|
|Annucl<br>growth rate|Percont|2.7|2.5|2.3|
|Fertility|||||
|Total<br>fertility<br>rate<br>(TFR)<br> <br> <br>|Births<br>per_woman_<br> <br>|5.0<br>|4.7<br>|3.9<br>|
|Crude<br>birth<br>rate<br>(CIR)|Births<br>per 1000<br>pop.|36|35|32|
|Mortality<br> <br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancy<br>atbirth<br>(en)|||||
|<br><br>"ales<br>|Years<br>|58.3<br>|60.0<br>|61.5<br>|
|F mate|Years|61.5<br>|63.7<br>|65.3<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate<br>(IMR)|Per 1000<br>Live<br>births<br>|54<br>|51<br>|45<br>|
|Under<br>5 mortality<br>risk<br>(q%)|1000<br>q5|89|83|58<br>|
|Crude<br>death<br>rate<br>(CDR)|Deaths<br>per 1000<br>pop.|9|8|8|
|Net migratfon|Thousands||-250|-290|
|Govt. &ssesswmetof|||||
|Population<br>growth rate||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Too high<br>|
|Fertility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Cantr weption|Unit of**eeur**||Previwu|Latest|
|Contraceptive prevatence|percent of married<br>||33<br>|44<br>|
|Year|women 15-44 using||1983|1986|
|Contraceptive six<br>Pill|Percentusing||5|6|
|Ilud|||3<br>|2<br>|
|Feale steritzation<br>|||9<br>|10<br>|
|aloe sterilization|||1|1|
|Condom|||2|1|
|Othwr<br>modern<br>Traditional|||0<br>9|0<br>23|

94
PHILIPPINES

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2010

|Y**SW**|**_PuAatimn_**|D.<br>r tlo|krlod|gth<br>**rat,**|4|CDR|TFN|b<br>Nota|b<br>Fames|**Ia**|51000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|<br>62609|76.2|1990-94|1.90|26.8|6.9|3.31|63.0|66.9|38|47|
|1995|<br>68865|69.0|1995-99|1.68|24.0|6.4|2.91|64.5|68.6|31|38|
|2000|74894|60.3|2000-04|1.51|21.7|6.0|2.55|66.2|70.4|26|31|
|2005|80753|53.5|2005-09|1.32|19.6|5.9|2.24|67.4|71.8|23|27|
|2010|86259|49.0|2010-14|1.23|18.6|6.0|2.13|68.6|73.2|19|24|
|2015|91727|46.4|2014-19|1.16|17.8|6.0|2.12|69.9|74.7|16|20|
|2020|97214|45.7|2020-24|1.06|16.8|6.1|2.10|71.3|76.3|13|16|
|2025|102507|46.3|2025-49|0.73|14.5|7.2|2.08|74.6|79.9|8|10|
|2050|123088|56.3|2050-74|0.28|12.7|10.0|2.07|78.3|83.9|4|5|
|2075|131981|66.2|2075-99|0.11|12.2|11.1|2.06|80.2|86.3|3|4|
|2100|135796|70.7|2100-24|0.07|11.9|11.2|2.06|1l.6|88.1|2|3|
|2125<br>2150|138179<br>139340|72.5<br>73.6|2125-49|<br>0.03|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.1|88.9|2|3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> I~ ~ ~ ~~~7 +<br>70-74<br>65-89<br>60.654<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25.29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>Dooo>xXe EEEE2gg ~10-1 4 2z gl<br>2222>>>§§] UFZZZZUl 0-4 5-9 Lt Rgg mE<br>10 a 6 42 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income 4roup, 1985-90

TFR e0 Growth rate .. Country Region Income group Countlry Reglon Income grou.p Country liagion <!-- Start of picture text --> ..<br>Country liagion Iicome group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 95
SINGAPORE

# 1. **Recent** Trends

Noet recant _cms_ (000. Jun. 80): 2414 **_SW_ pS** capita **(U.S.** dollars **196):** 9058 Reion: Deeloped Countries Income Group: Nigh

|Poplatlft<br>ad _s structum|Unlt of m_<br>se|196|lU|¶990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (mid-year)|Thousands|2415|2558|2722|
|Age structure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thouswad<br>|194<br>|209<br>|_241_<br>|
|5-14<br>15-"|Thousands<br>Thouswds|460<br>166|415<br>1799|400<br>1927<br>|
|65.|Thousand|115|132|_154_|
|Dcomity|Pop.per sq. km.|3959|4193|442|
|Urbanization|Percenturban|100|100|100|
|School-a<br>population|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>|275<br>|243<br>|237<br>|
|12-17|Thouands|314|274|250|
|woman of childbearlng<br>**age**15-49|Thousand|695|755|792|
|Vital rat *<br>md policy|Unit ot**meaure**|197S-10|190-U6|19JS-90|
|Amu sl growth<br>rate|Percent|1.3|1.2|1.3|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>**rate**(TFf)|irthc peromon<br>|1.0<br>|1.7<br>|1.9<br>|
|Crude birth rate (CIA)|lirths<br>per 1000 pop.|17|17|19|
|Mortality|||||
|Life expectoncy<br>et birth (to)|||||
|<br>Nalas|Years|65.0|69.5|70.5<br>|
|Fm_es|Years|73.2|74.7<br>|76.4<br>|
|Infant nortality<br>rate (IMP)<br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br>|12<br>|11<br>|7<br>|
|rider<br>S mortality<br>risk (qS)|1000 q5|16|12|9|
|<br> <br>Crjde death rate (CDR)|<br>Deaths<br>per 1000 pop.|5|5|5|
|Net migration|Thousands||-10|-10|
|Govt. asaesoment of|||||
|Population<br>growthrate||Satisfactory<br>|Satisfactory<br>|Satisfoctory<br>|
|Fertilfty||Satisfactory|Satisfactor|y Too low|
|Cvtnr_ation|Unit of *ou||Praviom|**Lato**t|
|Contraceptivt prcealence|percent of m_rried||71|74<br>|
|Year|woman 1S-44<br>using||1977|1963|
|Contrceptive<br>mix|soercont using||||
|<br> <br>Pill|||17|12|
|l.i|||3|0|
|F**mle**steritlation|||21<br>|22<br>|
|**Palo sterilization**|||**I**|I|
|Conod|||21|24|
|Other omdae<br>Traditional|||0<br>0|0<br>0|

96
SINGAPORE

# 2. Projections - NRR-1 by 2030

|**Tw**|P.pqatim|ratio|Puwfod|**rate**|C|C|TIR|Ft|F_lot|i|x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>.995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020|<br>22<br> <br>2871<br>29Y2<br>3099<br>3196<br>3267<br>3370|41.3<br>42.9<br>42.8<br>41.4<br>40.9<br>45.6<br>53.0|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2014-19<br>2020-24|1.06<br>0.63<br>0.70<br>0.61<br>0.56<br>0.50<br>0.40|16.3<br>14.1<br>13.0<br>12.6<br>12.7<br>12.6<br>12.2<br>|5.3<br>5.5<br>5.7<br>6.3<br>6.9<br>7.5<br>6.2<br>|1.65<br>1.65<br>1.89<br>1.92<br>1.95<br>1.99<br>2.02<br>|72.0<br>73.2<br>74.3<br>75.1<br>75.6<br>76.7<br>M.5<br>|77.6<br>79.1<br>80.4<br>61.1<br>81.9<br>62.7<br>63.6<br>|6<br>5<br>5<br>4<br>4<br>4<br>4<br>|**8**<br>7<br>6<br>6<br>6<br>5<br>5<br>|
|2025<br>|3430<br>|62.5<br>|2025-49<br>|0.03<br>|11.7<br>|11.5<br>|2.06<br>|79.3<br>|85.5<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2050|346'|7',1|2050-74<br>|-0.01<br>|11.6<br>|12.0<br>|2.06<br>|60.9<br>|87.4<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|207S<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|344':<br>3*.1<br>3500<br>3513|.7<br>73.2<br>74.1<br>74.6|2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.03<br>0.03<br>0.02|11.6<br>11.7<br>11.7|11.5<br>11.4<br>11.5|2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|61.7<br>62.3<br>62.6|6A.4<br>89.2<br>89.5|2<br>2<br>2|3<br>3<br>3|

3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55.5,<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-4<br>35.39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> Comparison of Country with Region<sup>and Income Group, 1985-90</sup> TFR **eO** Growth rate ~~~~~~~~~~~~~97" Country A..'gln Incom groW Coma try R.gien Incom3 **group** Country Region I nc. grou~p
# SOLOMON ISLANDS

## 1. Recent Trends

40st recent cenus _(000._ Nov. **86):**<sup>**285**</sup> UP per **capita** (U.S. **dollars,** 1968): S Region: **Asia** Incom Group: Lower-middlo

|**Papulationwnd _ structuro**|**Unit**ofmea**.r**|1980|1965|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (mid-yror)|Thousacnf|230|274|324|
|Age structure<br>|Thd||o0|57|
|0-4<br>|ousans<br>||<br>84|94|
|5-14<br>15-64|Thousands<br>Thousands||<br>133|163|
|<br>|<br>||<br>|9|
|65+|Thousonds||7||
|Domnity|Pop.prsq.**km.**|**8**|10|12|
|Urbonfzation|Percenturban|9|10|11|
|SchooL-ag population<br>|||||
|6-11|Thousands||52<br>|58<br>|
|12-17|Thousands||39|50|
|Uinn of ohiIb*.rfrg**ag15-49**|**Thousonds**||57|69|
|**Vital ratesnd**pDpticy|**Uint**of***umuare**|1975-80|1910-85|1965-90|
|Annust growth**rate**|Percent|3.4|3.5|3.3|
|Fertility|||||
|Total fertility<br>**rats**(TFU)<br>|Births per_wom_n<br> <br>|7.4<br>45|7.0<br>47|6.6<br>41|
|Crude birth rate(CUI)|lirths<br>per 1000pop.||||
|Miortality<br>|||||
|Life expectancy<br>**at**birth (eO)|||||
|Males|**Years**<br>||59.9<br>|62.6<br>|
|Foemes<br>Ir<br>|**Years**<br>||61.4<br>|64.1<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate(IMI)<br> <br>|Per 1wive births<br>|46|64|53<br>80|
|Under S mortality<br>risk(qO)<br>|1000 qo<br>||11|8|
|CruJe death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|1|||
|Net migration|Thousnds||0|0|
|Govt.**ssescment**of<br> <br>|||||
|Poi%uletion<br>growth**rate**<br>|||Too high<br>Thih|Too high<br>T hih|
|Fertility|||oog|oo g|
|Contrception|Unit of maure||Provious|Latest|
|Contraceptive<br>**prevalence**|percent ofmrried<br>|||23<br>|
|Vear|women1549using|||1979|
|Cent.ceptive<br>six<br>|Percentusing||||
|Pill<br>|||||
|lud|||||
|**Fmle**<br>**sterilzation**<br>|||||
|**MAle sterilization**<br>Cendem<br>|||||
|Other modern<br>Traditionl|||||

96
SOLOMON ISLANDS

- 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2040

|_YVo_|Pqpulatfon|DGP.<br>ratio|<br>Pwied|Smith<br>rate|C|Cm|TFR|INoe|go<br>Feml|in|xlO00|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|<br>324|98.2|1990-94<br>|3.54|42.3|6.9|6.13|64.3|66.4|44<br>|63<br>|
|1995|<br>386|94.0|1995-9|3.40|39.9|6.0|5.62|66.1|68.7|35<br>|48<br>|
|2000|<br>458|93.2|2000-04|3.21|37.2|5.1|5.11|67.8|71.0|29<br>|37<br>|
|200S|<br>537|90.7|2005-09|2.95|34.2|4.7|4.60<br>|69.0<br>|72.4|24<br>|32<br>|
|2010|<br>623|84.0|.010-14|2.71|31.4|4.3|4.09|70.2<br>|73.8<br>|20<br>|26<br>|
|2015|<br>713|76.9|2014-19|2.45<br>|28.5<br>|4.0<br>|3.58<br>|71.4<br>|75.3<br>|16<br>|21<br>|
|2020|<br>806|69.9|2020-24|2.16|25.4|3.7|3.07|72.6|76.8|12|16<br>|
|2025|<br>896|63.6|2025-49|1.52|18.9|4.0|2.28|75.6|80.3|6|8|
|2050|<br>1312|47.3|2050-74|<br>0.81|14.2|6.2|2.07|78.8|84.1|4|5|
|2075|<br>1608|57.5|2075-99|0.30|12.4|9.5|2.06<br>|80.5|86.4<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2100|<br>1733|70.2|2100-24|0.06|11.9|11.1|2.06|61.8|U.2<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>2150|<br>1769<br> <br>1734|72.5<br>73.6|<br>2125-49|0.03|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.2|88.9|2|3|

3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70.74<br>85-69<br>80.84<br>55.59<br>50-54<br>EFM 45.49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30.34<br>] §RR EmA ~~~~25-29 1U<br>I R2422 g7Ul ~~~20-24 R5R E<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 d 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 a 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text --> 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group, 1985-90 <!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eo Growth rate<br>Income group Country Region Income group Country Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Country "egion Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 99
SRI LANKA

# 1. Recont Troends

**Nast** rcet _Cows_ (000., fr. 1): 1484 IM per **copita (U.S.** dottan, 196): 423

## ltgion: Alsa Incom GroW: Lo

|P_Aathn tu<br>_"astnetwe_|unit of<br>_e|l9|19|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population(mid-year)|Thousads|14738|15837|1956|
|Agestructure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thouands<br>|1843<br>|1962<br>|1745<br>|
|5-14<br>|Thousands<br>|3354<br>|3436<br>|3724<br>|
|15.64<br>|Thousands<br>|91<br>|96<br>|10634<br>|
|65+|Thousands|639|741|852|
|Demity|Pop. per sq. km.|225|245|262|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|22|21|21|
|schol-<br>population<br>|||||
|6-11<br>|Thouands<br>|2025<br>|2091<br>|2279<br>|
|12-17|Thouands|199|1952|2029|
|Wmn uf childering<br>as15-49|Thouawds|3765|4106|4511|
|Vital**rate**and policy|**Unit**of<br>**_en**|**1975-U**|1910-1|**19|-9**|
|Anmal growth rate|Percent|1.8|1.4|1.4|
|Fortility<br> <br>|||||
|Total<br>fhrtility<br>**rate**<br>(TFE)<br>* <br>|lirthsperwmn<br> <br>|3.8<br>|3.3<br>|2.6<br>|
|Crud birthrate<br>(CM)|Irthr<br>per 1000 pop.|28|27|22|
|Nortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life<br>expectancyatbirth (y|||||
|aleo|Years|65.0|67.0|66.3|
|Finles|Years|6.5|71.0|72.5|
|Infant ertatity<br>rate (IN)<br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br> <br>|41<br>|30<br>|22<br>|
|Under 5 mrtality<br>risk (q<br>|_IO)_<br>_IW_q<br>|66|52|26|
|Crude death rate (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|7|6|6|
|Net migration|ThoussAds||-125|-190|
|Govt. uumnt<br>of<br>|||||
|Population growth rate<br>||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Toohigh|
|Fertility||Too high|Toohigh|Too high|
|**Contration**|**Unit of**||Previo|**Latet**|
|Contraceptive pralence|percent of mrpiod||sr|62|
|<br>Ver|<br>women<br>'5-49<br>using||1962|"96?|
|Contraceptivemix|Percent<br>using||||
|<br>**Pill**|||3|4|
|lud|||3|2<br>|
|FPme steritIatien|||1T|25|
|<br>Nlet sterItization|||<br>4|5|
|Cede.|||4|2|
|Other<br>mdrn|||0|3|
|<br> <br>Traditinal|||<br>19|21|

100
SRI LANKA

**-** 2. Projections NRR-1 by 1995

|**Tw**<br>|**PapmAnti.n**|_p.<br> **ratft**|**_Pwled_**|6ut<br>**rate**<br>tC|en||**TFN**|O<br>**Iwim**|Ob<br>**Fmline**|In|q<br>x000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>1995<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>2020|16956<br>17923<br>10354<br>19657<br>2076<br>21845<br>22732|59.4<br>53.8<br>47.6<br>45.5<br>46.0<br>8.2<br>49.7|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>a014-19<br>2020-24|1.11<br>1.01<br>1.04<br>1.00<br>0.91<br>0.80<br>0.71|19.0<br>17.7<br>17.5<br>17.1<br>16.1<br>14.9<br>14.1|S.8<br>5.7<br>S.?<br>5.9<br>6.2<br>6.4<br>6.8|2.23<br>2.10<br>2.09<br>2.09<br>2.09<br>2.0S<br>2.08|69.5<br>70.8<br>72.0<br>73.0<br>73.9<br>74.9<br>75.9|7n.9<br>75.3<br>76.8<br>77.8<br>78.8<br>79.9<br>81.0|18<br>14<br>12<br>10<br>9<br>7<br>6|21<br>17<br>14<br>13<br>11<br>9<br>a|
|2025<br>2050<br>2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|23549<br>26414<br>_277_<br>27m<br>2S071<br>2U20|51.7<br>66.6<br>_69.6_<br>72.4<br>73.5<br>74.3|2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.46<br>0.13<br>0.07<br>0.04<br>0.02|13.1<br>12.2<br>11.9<br>11.8<br>11.7|8.6<br>10.9<br>11.2<br>11.3<br>11.5|2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|78.1<br>80.2<br>81.3<br>82.2<br>82.5|83.6<br>86.2<br>87.7<br>U.9<br>89.3|4<br>3<br>2<br>2<br>2|5<br>4<br>3<br>3<br>3|

# 3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 70-74<br>65.69<br>60-84<br>55-be<br>50-54<br>45.49<br>40-44<br>35.39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 S 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and In-ome Group, **1985-30**

TFR **e0** Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> Country legfon Income group<br><!-- End of picture text --> _Cewmtry_ Region IncOme grotp Country Region Income group 101
TAIWAN, CHINA

# 1. Recent Trends

## Moat recent conus (000.. Dec. 80): 17513 P per capita (U.S. dollars5<sup>1966):</sup> 5651

Region: ALt£ Incam Group: Upper-middle

|**Pepulatinn**<br>**nd**<br>**structure**|**Unit**<br>ofmaseure|1980|1965|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population<br>**(mid-year)**|Thousands|17641|19135|20313|
|Agestructure|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>||2093<br>|1721<br>4014|
|**5-14**|Thousands||3719<br>||
|15-64|Thousands||12384<br>|13339<br>|
|65+|Thousands||938|1241|
|_Dns_ity|Pop.<br>per sq. km.|496|540|574|
|Urbanisation|Percent<br>urban|66|67|68|
|School-sge<br>population|||||
|<br><br>6-11|Thousands||2257<br>|2455<br>|
|12-17|Thousands||2167|2198|
|Womon<br>of childbarfng<br>**ag**15-49|Thousands||5006|5387|
|**Vital ratm*****_wd_**policy|Unit of issure|1975-80|1910-U1|1916-90|
|**Amusl**growthrate|Percent|2.0|1.6|1.2|
|Fertility|||||
|Totel<br>fertility<br>rate<br>(TFR)<br> <br>|Births<br>per woman<br> <br>|2.7<br>|2.5<br>|2.0<br>|
|Crudebirth<br>rate<br>(CBS)|Births<br>per 1000<br>pop.|24|22|16|
|Mortality<br> <br>|||||
|life<br>expectancy<br>atbirth<br>(e0)|||||
|Noles|Years<br>|69.2<br>|71.5<br>|72.0<br>|
|F emsto|Years|74.2|75.2<br>|76.2<br>|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate<br>(INN)<br> <br>|Per 1000<br>live<br>births<br>||18|17<br>|
|Under 5mortality<br>risk (q5)|1000 q5|||21|
|<br> <br>Crude<br>dsath<br>rate<br>(CDR)|<br>Deaths<br>per 1000<br>pop.|5|5||
|Netmigration|Thousands||-100|-100|
|Govt.**assossmnt**of<br>|||||
|Population**growth rate**<br>|||||
|Fertility|||||
|Cantr<br>optifn|Unit of *eour||Previous|Latest|
|Contraceptive prevaelnce|percent ofmwrried<br>||70<br>|75<br>|
|**Year**|woman<br>22-39 using||1981|1986|
|Contreceptive mix|Percent using||||
|<br>Ptll|||6|6<br>|
|<br>lud|||25<br>|24<br>|
|F mle sterilzation<br>|||18<br>|23<br>|
|**Pile**sterilization|||2|2<br>|
|**Condom**||||12<br>|
|Othermodern<br>Traditior<br>l|||19|0<br>0|

102
TAIWAN, CHINA

## - 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2030

|_Vow_|**PspAdtion**|De.<br>ratie|**Pwied**|**Growth**<br>rate|Cm|CDt|**TFR**|**Naes**|**Fmlt**|It|q5<br>X1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990|20313|52.3|1990-94|0.86<br>|b.1<br>|5.3<br>|1.75<br>|**72.8**<br>|77.2<br>|**15**<br>|18<br>|
|1995|21230|48.2|1995-9<br>|0.77<br>|14.3<br>|5.6<br>|1.7S<br>|73.7<br>|78.3<br>|13<br>|16<br>|
|2000|22065|42.8|2000-04|0.76<br>|14.4<br>|6.1<br>|1.bO<br>|74.6<br>|79.5<br>|11<br>|13<br>|
|2005|22918|41.8<br>|2005-09<br>|0.71<br>|14.2<br>|6.6<br>|1.86<br>|75.3<br>|80.3<br>|9<br>|12<br>|
|2010|23743<br>|42.'|2010-14<br>|0.62<br>|13.5<br>|6.8<br>|1.91<br>|76.1<br>|81.2<br>|8<br>|10<br>|
|2015|24495<br>|4.6<br>|2014-19<br>|0.52<br>|12.7<br>|7.2<br>|1.Y5<br>|76.9<br>|82.0<br>|6<br>|a<br>|
|2020|25142|49.3<br>|2020-24<br>|0.45<br>|12.1<br>|7.5<br>|2.00<br>|77.7<br>|83.0<br>|5<br>|7<br>|
|2C25|<br>25708|54.5|2025-49<br>|0.15<br>|11.9<br>|10.4<br>|2.06<br>|79.4<br>|85.0<br>|3<br>|5<br>|
|2050|<br>26711|74.4<br>|2050-74<br>|-0.04<br>|11.8<br>|12.2<br>|2.06<br>|80.9<br>|87.0<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2075|26442<br>|72.0|2075-99<br>|0.03<br>|11.8<br>|11.5<br>|2.06<br>|81.7<br>|88.2<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2100|26635|73.1|2100-24<br>|0.03<br>|11.7<br>|11.4<br>|2.06<br>|82.4<br>|89.1<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>2150|268U4<br>26965|73.7<br>74.4|2125-49|0.02|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.6|89.5|2|3|

## 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>865-68<br>60-84<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Coun.try with<sup>Region and Income Group, 1985-90</sup>

TFR eo Growth rate Co.untr-y legfon Incos group Country Region Incom group Country legion Income grou,p 103
# THAILAND

## **1.** Recont Trends

Neet reoent Cens (000u . Apr. 80): **44825** **_WP_** per **capIta (U.S.** dolctrs, 1968): 1000 Rgion: **Asif** Income Group: **Lower-middle**

|**Pamtatiuon*nd**_**structure**|Unitof**me***ure|**lU**|1905|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (aid-year)|Thousands|46700|S1683|55801|
|**Age**structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>514|Thousands<br>Thd|6341<br>|6410<br>|5860<br>|
|-<br>15-64|ousane<br>Thousands|12364<br>26365|12440<br>30951|1M583<br>35235|
|<br>**65+**|<br>Thousands|<br>1649|<br>1882|2119|
|Oinwity|Pop. per sq.**km.**|91|101|109|
|UriMnizetion|Percent urban|17|20|23|
|School-og population<br>|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>|7386<br>|7460<br>|7583<br>|
|12-17|Thousands|6812|7432|7410|
|Women<br>of childbearing*915-49|Thousands|11407|13326|15050|
|Yital rates<br>nd_policy_|Unitofmaoure|1975-80|1900-85|19J-90|
|Arnuol growth rate|Percent|2.4|2.0|1.5|
|FertiLity|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Sirtha<br>per womn<br> <br>|4.3<br>|3.5<br>|2.6<br>|
|Crude birth rate (CM)|Births<br>per 1000 pop.|30|28|23|
|Mortal<br>ity<br> <br>|||||
|Life expectaony<br>at birth**(ea)**<br>|||||
|Males<br>|**Years**<br>|59.3<br>|61.0<br>|63.0<br>|
|Females<br> <br> <br>|Years<br>|63.2|6".8|_67.1_|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (INR)<br> <br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br>|53<br>|38<br>|31|
|Under 5 mortality<br>risk<br>(q5)<br>|1000 qS|75|61|37|
|Crude death rate (CDP)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|8|8|7|
|Net migration|Thousands||-30|-30|
|Govt.<br>**assessment**of<br> <br>|||||
|Population<br>growth rate<br>||Too high<br>|Satisfactory<br>|Too high|
|Fortility||Toohigh|Toohigh|Too high|
|Centr coptien|unit of measur||Previous|**Latot**|
|Contraceptive prevalenee<br>|percent of mnrriad<br>||65|**68**|
|Tear|women 15-44 using||1984|1987|
|Contrauaptive nix|Percent using||||
|<br>Pill|||20|20|
|lhd<br>|||5|7<br>|
|F**_m**o stritzation<br>|||24|22|
|**Msle**esterilzatiin<br>Condm|||4<br>2|6<br>1|
|Othor modern||||9|
|<br>Traditional|||a<br>0|2|

104
THAILAND 2. Projections **NRR-1** by 1995

|Tw|PapAstamn|_".<br> ratio|Period|**Crmi**<br>rote|**ds**<br>**COF**|Cm|TR|_oinl_|**0**<br>F_mlo|In|xl00N|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>|55801<br>|S8.4<br>|1990-94<br>|1.37<br>|20.5<br>|6.7<br>|2.25<br>|64.3<br>|69.6<br>|25<br>|30<br>|
|1995<br>**2000**<br>2005|59765<br> <br>63802<br> <br>67994|52.0<br>47.2<br>45.8|1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09|1.31<br>1.27<br>1.16|19.5<br>18.8<br>17.8|6.3<br>6.0<br>6.1|2.13<br>2.11<br>2.10|65.8<br>67.3<br>68.5|72.0<br>74.2<br>75.3|20<br>16<br>14|24<br>20<br>18|
|2010|n726|4S.1|201U-14|1.02|16.6|6.3|2.10|69.7|76.S|13|15|
|2015|75851|44.7|2014-19|0.90|15.5|6.5|2.09|70.9|77.8|11|13|
|2020|79336<br>|45.2|2020-24|0.80|14.8|6.7|2.08|722<br>|79.1|9|11|
|2025|**82584**|46.7|2025-49|0.52|13.5|8.4|2.07|7S.3|82.2<br>|6|7|
|2050<br>|94065<br>|63.8<br>|2050-74<br>|0.16<br>|12.5<br>|10.8<br>|2.06<br>|78.7<br>|8S.3<br>|3|5|
|2075<br>2100<br>|96035<br>100400<br>|68.0<br>71.5<br>|2075-99<br>2100-24<br>|0.10<br>0.06<br>|12.1<br>11.8<br>|11.1<br>11.2<br>|2.06<br>2.06<br>|80.4<br>8.7<br>|87.2<br>88.6<br>|3<br>2<br>|4<br>3<br>|
|2125<br>2150|101912<br>102649|72.9<br>73.9|2125-49|0.03|11.7|11.4|2.06|82.2|89.1|2|3|

# 3. **Age** structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60.64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>E 2232222FAW!l 25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Councry with Region and Income Group, 1985-90

TFR **eO** Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text -->
*~  .<br>. l_ w _ .. _~~~~~~~io<br>Coimtr'y  leglon  Income group  Country Region Income grou.p  CutyRa  Incamgroup<br><!-- End of picture text -->
# TONGA

## 1. Recent Trends

Moat recent canoue **(000,** Nov. 86): 95 GNP **per** capits **(U.S.** dollars, **1910): 632** Region: **Asia** Income Group: Lower-middle

|**Papulation**<br>**and*o structur**|**Unitof**mesure|**19800**|**195**|**1990**|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|TotalPopulation<br>(mid-year)|Thousands|94|95|99|
|Age structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousand<br>||12<br>|14<br>|
|5-14|Thousands||24<br>|23<br>|
|15-64|Thousands||54|58|
|65+|Thousands||4|4|
|Donsity|Pop. per sq. km.|131|132|138|
|Urbanization|Percent<br>urban|20||21|
|School-g population<br>|||||
|6-11|Thousands||15|13|
|12-17|Thousands||16|14|
|Woman of childbeoring**age**15-49|Thousands||23|24|
|**Vital ratesndpolicy**|**Wnit**ofmeasure|1975-80|iNO-as|19UC-90|
|Annual growth<br>rate|Percent|0.9|0.2|0.8|
|Fertility|||||
|**Total**fertility<br>rate (TFR)<br>|Births per woman<br>|5.1<br>|4.7<br>|4.2<br>|
|Crude birth rate (CBR)|Births**per**1000 pop.|30|29|32|
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Life expectancy**at**birthCe0)<br>|||||
|**Moles**<br>|Years<br>||61.0<br>|63.9|
|**Females**|**Years**||64.0|67.6|
|Infant<br>mortality<br>rate (INN)<br>|Per 1000 live births|60|43|26|
|Under 5mortality<br>risk**(%)**|1000 q.|||31|
|Crude deathrate(CMR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|10|8|7|
|**met**migration|Thousands|||-8|
|Govt. assessment<br>of<br>|||||
|Populationgrowth rate<br>||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Too high|
|Fertility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Contraception|**Wnit**of**esmure**||**P-evious**|**Latest**|
|Contrace'tive**prevalence**<br>|percentof mnrried<br>||||
|**Year**|women 15-49 using||||
|Contrwceptiv,<br>**mix**<br>|Percent<br>using||||
|Pill|||||
|lud<br>|||||
|F**emale**sterfltation<br>|||||
|**Malesterilization**<br>|||||
|Conrs<br>|||||
|Other**modrn**<br>Traditional|||||

106
TONGA

**-** 2. Projections NRR-1 by 2015

|**_Toer_**|Pqpultion|**Dip.**<br>ratio|Period|**_CGrwth_**<br>rate|Cm|CDR|TF4|00<br>**M4les**|Fmtes|iX|**q5**<br>x1000|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**1990**|99|71.0|1990-94|1.27|30.5<br>|6.1<br>|3.78<br>|66.0<br>|70.5<br>|18<br>|22<br>|
|1995|105|71.7|1995-99|1.19|26.6|5.5<br>|3.31<br>|67.9<br>|73.1<br>|14<br>|17<br>|
|2000|112|72.6|2000-04|1.08|22.7|4.9|2.89|69.8<br>|75.5<br>|11<br>|14<br>|
|2005|1Ia|65.2|2005-09|1.02|20.0|4.9<br>|2.52<br>|70.8<br>|76.5<br>|10<br>|12<br>|
|2010|124|55.7|2010-14|1.00|18.3<br>|5.1<br>|2.20<br>|71.9<br>|77.6<br>|9<br>|11<br>|
|2015|130|49.1|2014-19<br>|1.13<br>|17.9<br>|5.1<br>|2.08<br>|73.0<br>|78.8<br>|8<br>|10<br>|
|2020|138|45.7|2020-24|1.25|17.5|5.0|2.08<br>|74.2<br>|80.1<br>|7<br>|8<br>|
|2025|147|45.2|2025-49|0.84<br>|14.5<br>|6.2<br>|2.07<br>|76.8<br>|82.9<br>|5<br>|6<br>|
|2050|181|53.2|2050-74|0.33|12.6<br>|9.4<br>|2.06<br>|79.5<br>|85.8<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2075|197|68.3|2075-99|0.09<br>|12.1<br>|11.1<br>|2.06<br>|80.9<br>|87.4<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2100|201|71.8|2100-24<br>|0.05<br>|11.8<br>|11.3<br>|2.06<br>|81.9<br>|88.7<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125|204|73.2|2125-49|0.03|11.7|11.5|2.06|82.4|89.2|2|3|
|2150|205|74.0||||||||||

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>36-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>.. . gwg1 ~~~ ~~0-4 1 >5 m<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# 4. Comparison of Country with Region and<sup>Income Group, 1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eO Growth rate<br>Coun~try Region Income grou.p grou.p COMAntry Region Income groW<br><!-- End of picture text --> Country Region Imoee group Coun~try Region Income grou.p grou.p 107
# VANUATU

## 1. Recent Trends

Mbct recent cucm _(000._ Jan. 79): III _UW_ per capita (U.S **dollars,** 19): 837 Regon: Asia Income Grcu: Lower-niddlo

|**Pultation**_and_**so**<br>**trustue**|**Unit**of_m_sure_|**190**|196|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Poputation(mid-year)|Thousands|117|136|156|
|Agestructure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousad.<br>||23<br>|**25**<br>|
|5S14<br>15-64|Thousads<br>Thouads.||38<br>70|44<br>'<br>3|
|<br>65.|<br>Thouands||<br>4|<br><br>4|
|Deity|Pop. persq. km.|10|11|13|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|18|19|20|
|School-sp population|||||
|6-11<br>|Thous||24|27|
|12-17|Thousands||20|23|
|Wmn ofchildbsaring<br>agc15-49|Thousands||30|35|
|Vitalratmmipolicy|Unit of m_ur|J<br>75|-190-U|1965-90|
|Amustgrowth**rate**|Percent|4.0|3.0|2.7|
|Fertility<br>|||||
|Total<br>fortility<br>rats tTFR)<br>|Birthsperman<br>|||5.<br>|
|Crude birth**rats**(CUR)|Birthsper 1000 pop.|||38|
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Lifo expectancyatbirth (to)|||||
|<br>altes|Years|||61.6|
|FmsIt<br>|Years<br>|||65.4|
|Infantmortalityrate (IMR)<br> <br>|Per1000livebirths<br>|||75<br>|
|Under<br>5mortalityrisk(q5)<br>|1000 q.|||100|
|Crude death rats (CDR)|Deaths per 1000 pop.|||a|
|Not migration|Thoands|-||-2|
|zvt.***ssem**<br>.<br>of|||||
|Poputation growth rats<br>|||Satisfactory<br>|Satisfactory|
|Fortitity|||Satisfactory|Satisfactory|
|Contricwption|**unit**of<br>**r**||**Prwiou**|**Latet**|
|Cant rcept i vs provalence<br>|percent of mrri<br>d|||13|
|Year|womn15-49 using|||1979|
|Contraceptive mix<br>|Percent usinr||||
|Pitt<br>|||..|..|
|lud|||||
|F_lto<br>strilustionf|||||
|Maesteriliztion<br>|||||
|Conm<br> <br>|||||
|Oth<br>modern<br>Traditional|||||

108
VANUATU 2. Projections - NFRR-1 by 2030

|_'Fw_|Pepaa&tIin|1P.<br>#,,tio|fttio|**Growth**<br>**rate**|cm|cm|TFR|o<br>HoLes|o<br>Fanmte|IM|XlOOO|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|1990<br>|<br>156<br> <br>|87.9<br>|1990-94<br>|3.04<br>|38.5<br>|7.0<br>|5.32<br>|63.1<br>|68.2<br>|63<br>|81<br>|
|1995<br>2000<br>2005|<br>182<br>210<br>240<br>|84.3<br>80.2<br>76.9<br>|1995-90<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>|2.88<br>2.69<br>2.43<br>|35.4<br>32.3<br>29.1<br>|6.0<br>5.2<br>4.8<br>|4.81<br>4.30<br>3.79<br>|64.8<br>66.6<br>67.8<br>|70.8<br>73.1<br>74.4<br>|52<br>43<br>36<br>|66<br>54<br>45<br>|
|2010<br>|271<br>|70.2<br>|2010-14<br>|2.16<br>|26.1<br>|4.5<br>|3.28<br>|69.<br>|75.7<br>|29<br>|37<br>|
|2015<br>|302<br>|64.4<br>|2014-19<br>|1.92<br>|23.6<br>|4.4<br>|2.87<br>|70.J<br>|77.0<br>|22<br>'|28<br>|
|2020<br>|332<br>|58.8<br>|2020-24<br>|1.67<br>|21.1<br>|4.4<br>|2.51<br>|71.6<br>|78.4<br>|5<br>|19<br>|
|2025<br>|361<br>|54.2<br>|2025-49<br>|1.17<br>|16.6<br>|5.1<br>|2.10<br>|74.8<br>|81.5<br>|7<br>|8<br>|
|2050<br>|484<br>|49.8<br>|2050-74<br>|0.59<br>|13.4<br>|7.6<br>|2.07<br>|78.4<br>|84.9<br>|4<br>|5<br>|
|2075<br>|561<br>|62.7<br>|2075-99<br>|0.18<br>|12.3<br>|10.4<br>|2.06<br>|W0.2<br>|86.9<br>|3<br>|4<br>|
|2100<br>|587<br>|70.3<br>|2100-24<br>|0.07<br>|11.9<br>|11.2<br>|2.06<br>|81.6<br>|88.4<br>|2<br>|3<br>|
|2125<br>2150|596<br>603|72.4<br>73.7|2125-49|0.0|11.8|11.4|2.06|82.2|89.0|2|3|

# 3. Age structure !percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>60.64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>.t0-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 , -.... 8 ,. 10 ......... ~~........ 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group,<sup>1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> T"l. e0<br>incom grou. Country ReIon Incom group<br><!-- End of picture text --> Country R.Ion incom grou.

Growth rate Count-y Region Income group 109
VIET NAM

# 1. Recent Trends

Hat recent census **(000.** Apr. 89): 64412 _WP_ per capita **(U.S. dollers,** 1968): ..

Rlion: **Asia** Income roup: Low

|**Pepulationm*d**p**structure**|**tnit**of***seure**|190|**¶9**|1990|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population (mid-year)|Thousands|53700|59903|67389|
|**Age**structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousands<br>|8392<br>|9013<br>|9600<br>|
|5-14<br>1564|Thousands<br>|14453<br>|15323<br>|16973<br>|
|-<br>|Thousands<br>|28284<br>|32890<br>|377M3<br>|
|65+|Thousands|2570|2677|3043|
|Density|Pop.per sq. km.|165|184|207|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|19|20|22|
|Schoolt-ae population<br>|||||
|6-11<br>|Thousands<br>|8671<br>|9361<br>|10442<br>|
|12-17|Thousnds|7921|8529|9051|
|Women<br>of childbearing age 15-49|Thousands|12487|14406|16609|
|**Vitatrates wd**policy|**Unit**of**aseure**|1975-80|1960-85|1905-90|
|Amnual growthrate|Percent|2.2|2.2|2.4|
|Fertility<br> <br>|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate (TFR)<br> <br>|Births per woman<br>|5.6<br>|4.8<br>|4.1<br>|
|Crude birthrate<br>(CSR)|Birthsper 1000 pop.|38|35|32|
|Mortality<br>|||||
|Life expectancy atbirth(es)<br>|||||
|males<br>|Years<br>|60.1<br>|62.2<br>|63.8<br>|
|_Feales_<br> <br>|Years|63.8|66.0|67.9|
|Infant mortality<br>rate (IMR)<br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br>|62|53|46|
|Under 5 ortality<br>risk (%)<br>|1000 q5<br> <br>|128|105|59|
|Crude deathrate (CDR)|Deaths<br>per 1000 pop.|9|8|8|
|Metmigration|Thousands||-500|-250|
|Govt.assessmentof|||||
|Population<br>growth rate<br>||Toohigh|Too high|Too high|
|Fertility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Contraception|**Unit**of***ur**||Previao|**Latest**|
|Contraceptive prevalene<br>|percentofmarried<br>||44|58|
|Year|women 15-U using||1985|1986|
|Contraceptive mix<br>|Percent<br>using||||
|Pitt<br>|||1|1|
|lud<br>|||32<br>|46|
|Finle steritastion<br>|||1|2|
|Matesterilization|||..|0|
|Cndom<br>|||9|**9**|
|Other modern|||0|0|
|<br>Traditonat|||<br>0|0|

110
VIET **NAM** 2. Projections **NRR-1** by 2010

|Tow|Peputation|**DW.**<br>ratio|Pwied|**_roA_h **<br>rate|Ca|CDR|TFt|**_Nlm_**|Famete.|**JR**|**x1000**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**1990**<br>**1995**<br>2000<br>2005<br>2010|**67389**<br>75348<br>**82967**<br>90116<br>96677|78.4<br>72.9<br>66.2<br>58.1<br>50.1|1990-94<br>1995-99<br>2000-04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14|2.23<br>1.93<br>1.65<br>1.41<br>1.32|29.4<br>25.6<br>22.2<br>19.4<br>18.5|6.8<br>6.2<br>5.6<br>5.4<br>5.3|3.49<br>3.01<br>2.60<br>2.24<br>2.12|64.9<br>66.3<br>67.7<br>68.8<br>70.0|69.4<br>71.0<br>72.7<br>73.9<br>75.2|39<br>32<br>26<br>23<br>19|49<br>39<br>32<br>27<br>23<br>|
|2015<br>2020|103269<br>110095|45.0<br>43.9|2014-19<br>2020-24|1.28<br>1.19|18.0<br>17.1|5.2<br>5.2|2.10<br>2.09|71.2<br>72.5|76.6<br>78.0<br>|15<br>11<br>|18<br>14<br>|
|2025|116817|45.3|2025-49|0.75|14.4|6.7|2.08|75.5<br>|81.3<br>|6<br>|8<br>|
|2050|141810|56.3|2050-74|0.29|12.6|9.8|2.07|78.8<br>|84.8<br>|3<br>|5<br>|
|2075<br>2100<br>2125<br>2150|152379<br>156185<br>158507<br>159675|67.4<br>71.3<br>72.9<br>73.8|2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|0.10<br>0.06<br>0.03|12.1<br>11.9<br>11.7|11.1<br>11.3<br>11.4|2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|80.5<br>81.7<br>82.2|86.9<br>88.4<br>89.0|3<br>2<br>2|4<br>3<br>3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75+<br>70-74<br>55-69<br>80-64<br>55-59<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>1QwmRe 04 4...... mwEZ 1Mwy Zm ..-<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 810<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region and Income Group,<sup>1985-90</sup>

Growth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> TFR eo Growth rate<br>.ty Region Ic gocS .. . I<br>Csuntry legion Income group Country Region Income group Country Region Ineonr group<br><!-- End of picture text --> 111
WESTERN **SAMOA**

# 1 . **Recent Trends**

Net roeent census (00t, llo. 61): 156 _IW_ per capita (U.S. dollarw 191): 6K legIn: Asia Inca" Grspt Lowr-middle

|**Psiletiu**<br>_u_<br>ap<br>**stnatwe**<br>*|P *t<br>**of**<br>**es**|||19_0|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Total Population(mid-year)|Thousad|155|157|160|
|Age structure<br>|||||
|0-4<br>|Thousw<br>|..|22<br>|24<br>|
|5-14<br>15-"|Thousads<br>Tho<br>nd||43<br>7|40<br>90|
|<br>65+|<br> <br>Thound|..<br>..|<br>5|6|
|Densty|Pop. per sq. km.|55|55|57|
|Urbanization|Percent urban|21|22|23|
|sthool-<br>population<br>|||||
|6-11<br>|Thounds<br>|..|25<br>|24<br>|
|12-1?|Thounds|..|26|24|
|o mn of ehildtearing<br>**ag**15-49|Thousands|**.36**||**36**|
|Vital rota md policy|Unitof mows|1975-2|19-1|Sm-90|
|Anuatl growth<br>rate|Percent|0.7|0.3|0.4|
|Fert it Ity|||||
|Total fertility<br>rate YTFE)<br>|lirtha<br>per w n<br> <br>||5.S|4.8|
|Crude birth rate (CUR)|lirths<br>per 1000 pop.||38|34|
|Nortality<br> <br>|||||
|Life expectancy<br>at birth (C0)|||||
|Nales|Years|61.0|62.0|63.0|
|Fem_les|Years|64.3|66.2|6.0|
|Infant ortality<br>rate (IU)<br> <br> <br>|Per 1000 live births<br>|||S0<br>|
|Under<br>5ortality<br>risk (q5)|1000 qs|||65|
|<br> <br>Crude death rate (CDR)|<br>Deaths per 1000 pop.|||7|
|Net migration|Thouands||-6|-18|
|Govt<br>*as<br>osmnt<br>of|||||
|Populationgrowth rate<br>||Too high<br>|Too high<br>|Too high<br>|
|Fortility||Too high|Too high|Too high|
|Ce trmuot<br>p<br>**n**|**Unit**of<br>**aos**||PrevisA|Latest|
|Contraceptive<br>prevaleneo|percent<br>of m_rrild|||19|
|Year|wmen 15-49 uring|||1962|
|Contracptive<br>mix<br>|Percent<br>using||||
|Pilt|||||
|Iud<br> <br>|||||
|Fmte<br>steriltstion<br>|||||
|**Kale****_st_rilIiztIon**<br>|||||
|Cand.<br>|||||
|Othermodrn<br>traditional|||||

112
WUSTRN SAMOA

## - 2. Projections NRR=l by 2020

|w<br>**vow**PopetiotIm|e _***<br>r.<br> <br>tio|<br>Period|S.-<br>rate|U|cmn|**_iFt_**|fim|Femle|la|**_q_**r<br>**_5_** <sup>_z s</sup><br>XIm|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|10<br>160<br>l19<br>171<br>2000<br>184<br>2005<br>200<br>2010<br>217<br>201S<br>235<br>2020<br>252<br>22<br>26"<br>2050<br>337<br>2075<br>369<br>2100<br>30<br>2125<br>37<br>215<br>390|78.1<br>77.2<br>75.2<br>6.1<br>57.s<br>S0.6<br>66.9<br>".6<br>53.0<br>.6<br>71.0<br>726<br>n.7|1990-9<br>1995-99<br>2000.04<br>2005-09<br>2010-14<br>2016-19<br>2020-24<br>2025-49<br>2050-74<br>2075-99<br>2100-24<br>2125-49|1.26<br>1.52<br>1.6<br>1.69<br>1.55<br>1.36<br>i.27<br>0.91<br>0.36<br>0.12<br>0.07<br>0.03|31.7<br>26.2<br>24.3<br>22.4<br>20.0<br>18.8<br>17.6<br>15.0<br>12.9<br>12.2<br>'1.9<br>11.7|6.3<br>6.3<br>5.6<br>s.5<br>SJ<br>S.1<br>5.0<br>6.0<br>9.2<br>.1.0<br>11.2<br>11.6|4.26<br>3."<br>3.10<br>2.76<br>2.46<br>2.19<br>2.09<br>2.07<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06<br>2.06|63.8<br>".6<br>66.1<br>67.3<br>68.6<br>69.9<br>71.2<br>74.5<br>73.2<br>30.1<br>61.6<br>u.1|70.2<br>72.5<br>74.6<br>75.7<br>76.9<br>75.1<br>79.6<br>82.3<br>65.4<br>57.2<br>86.6<br>39.1|U2<br>3s<br>29<br>25<br>21<br>17<br>13<br>7<br>3<br>3<br>2<br>2|<br>53<br> <br>43<br>34<br>30<br>25<br>20<br>16<br>a<br>3<br>4<br>3<br>3|

# 3. Age structure (percent): 1990 and 2025

<!-- Start of picture text --> 75 +<br>70-74<br>65-69<br>s l ~~60-64 55-59 E8s<br>50-54<br>45-49<br>40-44<br>35-39 -------<br>30-34<br>25-29<br>Ws22222220 _20-24<br>15-19<br>10-14<br>5-9<br>0-4<br>10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 6 10 10 b 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10<br><!-- End of picture text -->

## 4. Comparison of Country with Region and<sup>Income Group, 1985-90</sup>

<!-- Start of picture text --> .<br><!-- End of picture text --> Grodth rate <!-- Start of picture text --> TFR e0 Grodth rate<br>.<br>113 .<br>Coun,try Region I ncome grmp Co.atry Region Inome grmp * Caumtry Region Income group<br><!-- End of picture text -->
PRE Wofrkng Par Series

||vb|Athor|DA|Contact<br>for gsQape|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|WPS581|How Successful is World Bank<br>Lending for Structural Adjustment?|Patrick Conway|January 1991|S. Fallon<br>37947|
|WPS582|Adjustment Programs and Bank<br>Support: Rationale and Main<br>Results|Vittorio Corbo<br>Stanley Fischer|January 1991|L. Oropesa<br>39075|
|WPS583|World Bank Lending for Education<br>Research, 1982-89|Marlaine E, Lockheed<br>Alastair G. Rodd|January 1991|C. Cristobal<br>33640|
|WPS584|Whither Hungary and the European<br>Communities?|Alfred Tovias<br>Sam Laird|January 1991|G. Ilogon<br>33732|
|WPS585|Financial Innovation and Money<br>Demand: Theory and Empirical<br>Implementation|Patricio Arrau<br>Jose De Gregorio|January 1991|S. King-Watson<br>31047|
|WPS586|The Challenging Akithmetic of Povert<br>in Bangladesh|y Martin Ravallion|February 1991|WDR Office<br>31393|
|WPS587|Quantifying the Magnitude and<br>Severity of Absolute Poverty in the<br>Developing World in the Mid-1980s|Martin Ravallion<br>Gaurav Datt<br>Dominique van de Walle<br>Elaine Chan|February 1991|WDR Office<br>31393|
|WPS588|Obstacles to Developing Small and<br>Medium-Sized Enterprises: An<br>Empirical Assessment|Brian Levy|February 1991|E. Madrona<br>37496|
|WPS589|To Prescribe or Not to Prescribe:<br>On the Regulation of Pharmaceutiral<br>in Developing Countries|Jeffrky S. Hammer<br>s|February 1991|0. Nadora<br>S6-065|
|WPS590|The Domestic Financial Market and<br>the Trade Liberalization Outcome;<br>The Evidence from Sri Lanka|Premachandra Athukorala<br>Sarath Rajapatirana|February 1991|M. Kienzle<br>30733|
|WPS591|Global Indicators of Nutritional Risk|Rae Galloway|February 1991|0. Nadora<br>31091|
|WPS592|Official Credits to Developing<br>Countries: Implicit Transfers to the<br>Banks|Asli Demirguc-Kunt<br>Harry Huizinga|February 1991|S. King-Watson<br>33730|
|WPS593|Risk Management in Sub-Saharan<br>Africa|Stijn Claessens<br>Ying Oian|February 1991|J. Carroll<br>33715|
|WPS594|Size Rationalization and Trade<br>Exposure in Developing Countries|Mark J. Roberts<br>James R. Tybout|February 1991|S. Fallon<br>37947|
**PRE** Wowkna-Pane Serie

||33b<br>|~~~~~~A|Zho|Contact<br>for2a2er|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|WPS595|Hungary: Financia! Sector Reform<br>in a Socialist Economy|Mario I. Blejer<br>Silvia B. Sagari|February 1991|Z. Sequis<br>37665|
|WPS596|The Mexican Sugar Indus?ry:<br>Problems and Prospects|Brent Borrell|February 1991|P. Kokila<br>33716|
|WFS597|Rent Sharing in the Multi-Fibre<br>Arrangement: Theory and Evidence<br>from U.S. Apparel Imports from<br>Hong Kong|Refik Erzan<br>Kala Krishna|February 1991|G. Ilogon<br>33732|
|WPS598|Africa Region Population Projections<br>1990-91 Edition|: Patience W.<sup>Stephens</sup><br>Eduard Bos<br>My T. Vu<br>Rodolfo A. Bulatao|February 1991|0. Nadora<br>31091|
|WPSS99|Asia Region Population Projections:<br>1990-91 Edition|Eduard<sup>Bos</sup><br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu<br>Rodolfo A. Bulatao|February 1991|0. Nadora<br>31091|
|WPS600|Latin America and the Caribbean<br>Region Population Projections:<br>1990-91 Edition|My T. Vu<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>Rodofo A. Bulatao|February 1991|0. Nadora<br>31091|
|WPS601|Europe, Middle East, and North<br>Africa Region Population Projections<br>1990-91 Edition|Educard Bos<br>: Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu<br>Rodolfo A. Bulatao|February 1991|0. Nadora<br>31091|