metadata: authors: 0: author: Bulatao, Rodolfo A.
1: author: Bos, Eduard
2: author: Stephens, Patien
count: Latin America,Caribbean
docna: 0: docna: Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region
            population projections : 1989-90 edition
docty: Policy Research Working Paper
subtopic: Public Sector Management and Reform,Population & Development,Demographics,Reproductive Health,Early Child and Children's Health,Law and Justice Institutions
teratopic: Health, Nutrition and Population
abstracts: cdata!: The Latin America and Caribbean region
            contributes about 10 percent of the 90 million people added
            to world population every year. This is slightly greater
            than its 8 percent share of world population. This paper
            studies population projections, covering almost two
            centuries from 1985 to 2150. The length of the projection
            period was chosen to allow populations to approach
            stability, which for several takes essentially the entire
            period. The paper begins with an introduction which explains
            what projection results are provided in the detailed tables,
            describes the projection methodology, and summarizes and
            interprets the main results.
repnme: repnme: Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)
            region population projections : 1989-90 edition
display_title: Latin America and the Caribbean
            (LAC) region population projections : 1989-90 edition
listing_relative_url: /research/1989/11/700404/latin-america-caribbean-lac-region-population-projections-1989-90-edition
topicv3: Human Resources m1326304 1211,Infant and Child Mortality m1326544 1446,Life Expectancy m1504363 2666,Mortality m1504365 3661,Population Projections m1504366 3662
publishtoextweb_dt: 2010-07-01T00:00:00Z
historic_topic: Health, Nutrition and Population
origu: Policy Plan & Prog Review Dept
no_of_pages: 233
model_extractions: **Policy, Planning, and Reserch PoulatUon, Health, and Nutrition**

To the 5.1 billion people in the world in mid1988, about 90 million were added in the following year, and about 91 million more will be added by mid-1990. The annual increase will be greater every year until almost the end of the decade.

Latin Arrierica and the Caribbean contributes 10 percent of annual world population growth, slightly above its 8 percent share of world population. Although demographically advanced, the region is growing fastcr than the Asia region.

Previous high fertility, which continues in some countries, has left many young people and high population momentum: even if the young only reproduce themselves, their large numbers ensure that population will grow 60 percent.

This paper is a product of the Population, Health,<sup>and Nutrition Division, Population</sup> and Human Resources Department. Copies are available<sup>free from the World Bank-,</sup> 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433. Please contact<sup>Sonia Ainsworth, room</sup> S6-065, extension 31091 (238 pages with tables).

The PPR Working Paper Series disseminates the of work under way in the Bank's Policy, Planning, and ResearchDindings Complex. An objective of the series is to get these<sup>findings out quickly, even if presentations are less than fully polished.</sup> The findings, interpretations, and conc!usions in these papers<sup>do not necessarily represent of ficial policy of the Bank.</sup> i Produced at the PPR Dissemination Centcr
# CONTENTS

|Preface .....................................<br>'<br>v|
|---|
|Acknowledgements.<br>vii|
|Introduction.<br>ix|
|Projection Results .ix|
|Data and Methods .x|
|Total population and age-sex composition.<br>x|
|Mortality level and trend.<br>x|
|Fertility level and trend<br>i.xi|
|Migration level and trend .xviii|
|Summary of Results .xxi|
|World and continents..<br>xx|
|Geographic regions and income groups .xxxi|
|World Bank regions.<br>xxxi|
|Some country results .xxxvi|
|References .xxix|
|Appendix: Sources of Population Data .xl|
|Tables .lii|
|Detailed Population<br>Projections .|
|World, Geographic<br>Regions, and Income Groups .1|
|World.<br>2|
|Less developed countries.<br>4|
|More developed countries .6|
|Geographic Regions|
|Africa.<br>8|
|East Africa .10|
|West Africa .12|
|North Africa .14|
|America ....<br>16|
|Laiin America and the Caribbean ......<br>..........<br>18|
|Northern America ...........................<br>20|
|Asia................................<br>22|
|East and Southeast Asia .........<br>.............<br>24|
|South Asia ...............................<br>26|
|Southwest Asia ............................<br>28|
|Europe and U.S.S.R . ...........................<br>30|
|<br>Oceania ...................................<br>32|
|Income Groups|
|<br>Low-income economies<br>.<br>........................<br>34|
|Lower-middle-income economies .......<br>............<br>36|
|Upper-middle-income economics .........<br>.<br>.....<br>38|
|High-income economics .........................<br>40|
|<br>Nonreporting nonmember economics .......<br>.........<br>42|
|latin America and the|
|---|
|Caribbean (>AC) Region|
|(and Northern America) ........<br>45|
|America ....<br>48|
|Borrowers only<br>.........<br>48|
|LAC Department I .........<br>50|
|<br>LAC DepartmentII........<br>52|
|LAC Department IV ........<br>54|
|<br>LAC DepartmentIV<br>.<br>_56_<br>|
|L.AC Department IArgentir.a<br>LAC<br>Depaxrtment I|
|Brazil<br>.<br>.....<br>60|
|LAC Department 11|
|Costa Rica .<br>....<br>...<br>64|
|El Salvador ....<br>...<br>66|
|Guatemala ..<br>....<br>70|
|Monduras ......<br>70|
|**Mexico.72**<br>'72GuaCuba.134|
|Nicaragua................74|
|Panama ...<br>76|
|LAC Department III|
|<br>Antigua and Barbuda<br>80|
|<br>Bahamas<br>....<br>82|
|Barbados ....<br>84|
|Belize<br>'...<br>.86|
|Bolivia<br>.<br>.<br>88|
|Colombia<br>.....<br>90|
|Dominica............<br>92|
|DominicanRep<br>9|
|Grenada .....<br>.....<br>96<br> <br>|
|Guyana.....<br>.....<br>98|

|Haiti ....<br>......<br>100|
|---|
|Jamaica.<br>102|
|<br><br>St.Kitts an Nevis.<br>106|
|St. Lucia .108<br>|
|St. Vincent and the Grenadines 110<br>i|
|Surname .112<br> <br>|
|Trinidad and Tobago.<br>114<br> <br>|
|Venezuela<br>..............<br>116|
|LAC Department IV<br>..............<br>120<br>Chil<br>122|
|e .........<br><br>Ecuador .124|
|Paraguay .126<br> <br>|
|Peru ..................<br>128<br>|
|Uruguay .130|
|Nonborrowers (Latin America<br>and the Caribbean)<br>34<br> <br>|
|Guadeloupe<br>....<br>...<br>136<br>|
|Martinique .138|
|Netherlands Antilles .140<br> <br>|
|Virgin Islands (U.S.) .......<br>142<br> <br>|
|O........<br>ther Latin America and the<br>|
|Caribbean .144|
|Nonborrowers (Northern America)<br>|
|Canata .148<br> <br>|
|Pueno Rico .............<br>150<br> <br>|
|UnitedStates of America....<br>152<br>O..........<br>94<br>ther Northern America<br>....<br>154|
# **TABLES, FIGURES, AND** EXHIBITS

|Table 1|Assumed Annual Increments to Life Expectancy (in years) ......|x.........<br>Xii|
|---|---|---|
|Table 2<br>Table 3<br>Table 4<br>Table 5<br>Table 6|Assumed Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand) ......<br>Assumed Net International Migration by Sex, 1985-90 (thousands) ....<br>.<br>Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for the World<br>and Less Developed and More Developed Countries, 1%95-2025.<br>Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for Continents,<br>1985-2025 .xxii<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and<br>Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 for the World, Less<br>|xiii<br>....<br>xix<br>xxi<br>|
|Table 7<br>Table 8<br>Table 9<br>Table 10<br>Table 11|Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents.<br>Population Age 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for the World, Less<br>Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents, 1985, 2000,<br>and 2025 (millions) ........................................<br>Fertility and Mortality Rates for the World and Les.; Developed and<br>More Developed Countries, 1985-2030 .............................<br>Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region and by<br>Income Group, 1985-2100 ................................<br>Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by Geographic Region<br>and by Income Group, 1985-210...............................<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and<br>Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by Geographic Region<br>|xxv<br>Xviii<br>Xx<br>lii<br> <br>Iiii<br>|
|Table 12<br>Table 13|and by Income Group ...............................<br>Fertility and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region and by Income<br>Group, 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25 ..............................<br>Population and Percentage Distribution by World Bank Region and<br>Country Department, 1985-2100 ................................|liv<br>lv<br>lvi|
|Table 14<br>Table 15|<br>Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by World Bank Region<br>and Country Department, 1985-2100 ..............................<br>Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and<br>Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by World Bank Region<br>and Countr Deartment|Ivii<br>lviii|
|Table 16|y p ................................<br>Fertility and Mortality Rates by World Bank Region and Country<br>Department, 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25 ...........................|lix|
|Table 17|Population Projections for All Countries and Economies, 1985-2025<br>(thousands)|Ix|
|Table 18<br>Table 19|.<br>Population of Countries and Economies in the "Other" Categories .xv<br>Population Aged 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for All Countries and<br> <br>||
|Table 20|Economies, 1985-2025 (percent)<br>.Lxvi<br>Stationary Population, Momentum, and Year When Net Reproduction<br>Rate Reaches 1 for All Countries and Economies ..<br>.<br>.i||
|Figure 1<br>Figure 2|Annual Increments to Female LIfe Expectancy (in years), by Initial<br>Level, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Patterns .xiv<br>Annual Decremcnts to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand), by Initial<br>Rate, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Patterns .xiv||
|Figure 3|<br>Assumed Medium Trend and Alternative Slow and Rapid Trends in<br>Total Fertility During the Fertility Transition.|XVi|
|Figure 4|<br>Assumed Trends in Total Fertility at the End of -the Fcrtility Transition .xvi||
|Figure 5|Percentage of Total Fertility Assigned to Different Ages, by Lcvcl of<br>Tl Fili||
||ota ertty.|xvi|
I

|Figure 6|Projected Population (billions) in Less Developed Countries,<br>1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections ......|xxiii|
|---|---|---|
|Figure 7|Projected Population (billions) in More Developed Countries;<br>1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections ......|xxiii|
|Figure 8|<br>Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 1985 ....<br>..|....<br>xxiv|
|Figure 9|Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2000 ....<br>..|....<br>xxiv|
|Figure 10|Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2025 ....<br>.|..... xxdv|
|Figure 11|Population in Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 ....|v......<br>Aii|
|Figure 12|Population in Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 ....<br>...|...<br>xxvii|
|Figure 13|Population in More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 ....<br>...|...<br>xvii|
|Figure 14|Population in More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 ....<br>...|...<br>xvii|
|Figure 15|<br>Assumed Total Fertility Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends ................................|xxx|
|Figure 16|Assumed Total Fertility Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends ................................|xxx|
|Figure 17|Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends .................................|xxx|
|Figure 18|Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N.<br>and Previous World Bank Trends .x.xx ...........||
|Figure 19|Percentage Contribution to World Population Growth from World Bank<br>Regions and Nonborrowers, 1985-2100 ...........................|xvii|
|Exhibit 1|Countries and Economies Classified by Income Group (based on GNP<br>per capita in 1987 U.S. dollars) ................................|xdii|
|Exhibit 2|Countries and Economies Classified by World Bank Region and Country<br>Department ..............................................|xxxiv|
# PREFACE

Population projections for all countries are prepared annuall) by the Population and Human Resources Department of the World Bank. They are published first in summary form in the Bank's _World Development Report_ and later in greatcr detail as technical notes or working papers and, in alternate years, as a separate book.

This set of projections was prepared for _World Development Report 1989._ It appears for the second time in the Policy, Planning, and Research (PPR) Working Papers scries. The tables will also be published shortly, somewhat differently organized, in book form.

As was done last year, separate working papers cover each of the Bank's four regions: Africa (sub-Saharan); Asia (and Oceania); Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa (including the U.S.S.R.); and Latin America and the Caribbean (and Northern America). Combined, these papers cover all countries of the world.

The data format of these papers genera;ly follows the prev:ous edition and is consistent in the demograph.c indicators provided, except for minor changes, with the series of preceding reports.

We intend these papers to provide a convenient and up-to-date reference on the likely demographic future of each country, to facilitate the 13ank's work of assisting them in planning more productive futures. We welcome comments on thfir utility, and how this might be enhanced.

Anthony R. Measham Chief Population, Health and Nutrition Division
# ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

A number of persons provided us with important information for this work or assistcd us in preparing it in other ways. The Estimates and Projections Section of the U.N. Population Division has been continually supportive in pro'.ridin- us with data, even before their publication as U.N. assessments. Partly as a result, nonessendia. ..lferences between these projections and the biannual U.N. assessments have beep minimized. We are grateful to the former acting section chief, Shunichi Inoue, and to his continually accommodating staff, as well as to the head of the division, Jean-Claude Chasteland, and hope that the collaboration will continue.

World Bank country economists, population specialists, and the few demographers in the operating divisions have also provided us with recent population estimates, bringing to our attention government reports we might not otherwise see.

This exercise was carried out using a personal compu._r program, ProjPC-II, written by Kenneth Hill of Johns Hopkins University.

Both the Population, Health, and Nutrition Division and the Population and Human Resources Department have been supportive of this work, despite the time required. We are grateful to the division chief, Dr. Anthony R. Measham, and the department director, Ann 0. Hamilton.

We also wish to acknowledge the interest of the Bank's International Economics Socioeconomic Data Division (IECSE), which not only utilizes our figures--for such important Bank purposes as estimating per capita GNP--and incorporates them into the databases it maintains and publications it distributes but also helps coordinate communications with country economists. Sulekha Patel of that division has been particularly helpful in the past year.

In producing the manuscript, Inga Schweiger was responsible for some typing and coordinating the paper flow.

Rodolfo A. Bulatao Eduard Bos Patience W. Stephens My T. Vu
# INTRODUCTION

Population projections are reported here for the individual countries comprising one of the four World Bank regions. Companion papers in this series report projections for cach of the other regions. Each paper also reports population summaries for various geographic regions and income groups.

This introduction (included, for conveniencc, in each paper of the series) explains what projection results are provided in the detailed tables; describes the base data and the projection methodo!ogy, which has been revised since the last edition of these reports; and summarizes and interprets the main results.

Caution is appropriate with projections like these. They essentially involve working out the implications of assumptions (to be discussed shortly) about particular demographic parameter levels and trends. None of the descriptions of results below should be read as indicating certitude about the future.<sup>T</sup> nstead, they should be read with the universal qualifier that population will follow the indicated path if the assumptions prove to be correct.

## PROJECTION RESULTS

TMe projections cover almost two centuries, from 1985 to 2150. With data available as of mid-1989, separate projections were prepared for 187 countries, economies, territories, or small-country groupings, covering the entire world. The length of the projection period was chosen to allow populations to approachi stability, which for several takes essentially the entire period.

Only one projection is reported per country, economy, territory, or group. Other projection exercises sometimes provide high and low options. Instead of alternative projections, we choose to give only our best estimate of the likely demographic future but to update this annually. Approaches to defining high and low options are described in the methodology section for those interested in implementing them.

The detailed projection tables following this introduction contain two pages for each country. The first page gives projection results for every five years between 1985 and 2030, with population figures for years ending in 0 or 5 and demographic indicators for the intervening quinquennia. This information is provided:

- Population by sex and five-year age groups, in thousands

- Birth rate, death rate, and net migration rate per thousand

- Rate of natural increase and population growth rate in percent

- Total fertility rate (TFR) and net reproduction rate (NRR)

- Expectation of life at birth (eo) and at age ten (e10) in years

- Infant mortality rate (IMR) per thousand, and probability of dying before age five (q5)

- Dependency ratio (for exact years rather than quinquennia).

The second page adds results for every 25 years from 2000 to 2150 (as well as rates for the 19852000 period). This page provides fewer indices, including only the population by age and sex, the birth, death, net migration, and growth rates, total fertility, life expectancy, and infant mortality.
X INTRODUCTnON

## DA'A **AND METHODS**

The key elements in these projections art: base-year (mid-1985) total population estimates and age-sex structures, base-period (1985-90) mortality, fcrtility, and m, iration rates, and assumed trends in the rates. These clemcnts will each be described. N' data have been incorporated since the previous edition; an appendix to this Introduction ndicates the sources for all base-year or base-period estimates. Revised methodology for projecting vital rates is described and some of the relatively modest effects of the revision shown.

## **_Total Population and Age-Sex Composition_**

Estimates of the total population in mid-1985 are obtained from the most recent reliable sources. Where possible these are recent censuses, with appropriate adjustments for underreporting, projected to mid-1985. A number of such estimates made by the United Nations (U.N.) Population Division (in _World Population Prospects 1988)_ i;ave been adopted. (Prepublication versions of the estimates were generally used.) For couatries with dated or unreliable census data, other official estimates may be taken, often from the U.N. _Population and Vital Statistics Report_ and occasionally from government publications. Other sources of estimates include Eurostat (1987) and the United States Burean of the Cziesus (1985; Jarrnison, Johnson, and Engels 1987). The specific sources of information are listed by country in the appendix.

Tle mid-1985 population of each country is distributed by age and sex using a percentage distribution often obtained from _World Population Prospects 1988._ These distributions were estimated by the U.N. Population Division from census data adjusted for age misreporting or using stable population analysis. For most Sub-Saharan countries, World Bank estimates of current age-sex distribution were adopted instead.

# **_Mortality Level and Trend_**

This section considers the sources of mortality data used for the base period and the manner in which future trends in mortality are defined. Future trends are specified through projections of life expectancy by sex, projections of infant mortality, and the choice of appropriate model life tables. Each of these elements will be described. Comparisons will also be made with the previous method for projecting mortality.

**Data.** Base-period mortality levels in the projections are represented by life expectancies by sex and infant mortality rates for both sexes combined. Life expectancies were obtained from a variety of sources. A preliminary version of _World Population Prospects 1988_ was a common source. Other figures are based on official or other estimates appearing in _Population and Vital Statistics R.port_ or government publications. A few figures are taken from the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and Engels 1987), Eurostat (1987), and Monnier (1988). These sources often report mortality levels for periods other than 1985-90, or give indices other than life expectancies, or both. Some estimation and projection is then necessary to obtain the right index. In some cases a mortality estimate is first made for an earlier period, and an estimate for 1985-90 obtained by applying the projection methodology being described here. Some Bank sources are also cited in the appendix: Bank sector rcports; Bank assessments, involving unpublished analysis of census or survey data; and Bank estimates, or informed judgmcnts for which no further source can be cited.

Infant mortality rates come about as often as life expectancies from the preliminary version of _World Population Prospects 1988._ However, a number are drawn from _Population and_
INTRODUCTION Xi

# _Vital Statistics Report_ and others are estimated from diverse data.

Future trends In life expectancy. Life expectancy is projected from year 0 to year t using a logistic function ovc.v time of the form e, = ko + k / {1 + exp [logit(eo) + rt]}, with logit(e0 ) = log, j(ko + k - eo) / (eo - ko)).

The logistic function is set to rise most rapidly from a level of 50 years or so and increasingly slowly at higher levels. The minimum (kl) for the logistic functions for both sexes is assumed to be 20 years, and the maxima (kI + k) are assumed to be 82.5 years for females and 75.8 years for males. The rate of change (r) for the logistic function is allowed to vary across countries, and for a given country to vary over time.

For the first quinquennium (1985-90), the rate of change (rJ) is estimatcd from the rate of change in the previous quinquennium (ro) and from the female secondary enrolmcnt ratio (so), using the equations = .00379 + .723 i, - .000n54 so for females, and = .01159 + .885 to - .000318 s. for males.

Percent urban is used in a few cases, with a different equation (see Bulatao and Bos 1989), where secondary enrolment is not available, and in fewer cases still the rate of change in the previous decade is used instead of the rate of change in the previous quinquennium when the latter appears to have been affected by exceptional circumstances. Limits are imposed on the rate of change for the first quinquennium (and for all other quinquennia), such that it cannot be greater than -.017 (which would give slow mortality decline) or less than -.053 (which would give rapid mortality decline).

For the second quinquennium, the rate of change is estimated as a function of the rate of change for the first quinquennium: r2 = -.007 + .8 rl.

The rate of change for the third quinquennium is estimated from the rate of change for the second quinquennium in the same manner. This equation allows rates of change to converge toward the uniform pattern imposed for subsequent quinquennia.

For these subsequent quinquennia for all countries, the rate of change in life expectancy is constant at -.035 for both sexes. At this rate, the annual increments to life expectancy vary by initial levels as indicated by the medium pattern in Table 1. Minimum and maximum increments corresponding to the slow and rapid limits imposed o n .ates of change in the first three quinquennia are also shown.

Future trends in infant mortality. i &.nt mortality is projected using a similar logistic function. The rate of change for each o' the first three quinquennia is obtained from the equation rt = .03 + .5 r,.,, with the restriction that this rate must be in the range [.024, .1301. These limits provide schcdi" of minimum and maximum annual dccrements to infant morl;.lity, varying ',; : -nit
# Xii INTRODUCT ON

Table 1 Assumed Annual Increments to Life Expectancy (in years) in Table 2. A set of medihm decrements is also provided, representing the typical schedule of impr. mncnts toward which rates of change converge when the preceding equation is applied successively.

|Initfal<br>||Hates|||Females||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|life||_|||||
|expec-|||||||
|tancy|Minimun|Nedfu|m Ma4imu|m Mlninui|m Medium M|aximum|
|40|0.22|0.45|<br>0.69|0.23|0.48|0.73|
|45|0.23|0.4b|0.73|<br>0.26|0.53|0.80|
|50|0.24|0.48|<br>0.73|<br>0.27|0.55|0.83|
|55|0.22|0.45|0.69|0.26|0.54|0.81|
|60|0.19|0.39|<br>0.59|0.24|0.50|0.76|
|65|0.15|0.30|<br>0.45|<br>0.21|0.44|0.66|
|70|0.09|0.18|0.27|0.17|0.35|0.52|
|75|0.01|0.03|0.04|0.11|0.23|0.34|
|80|--|--||0.04|0.08|0.12|

Selection of life tables. tancy Minimun Nedfum Ma4imum Mlninuim Medium Maximum Those Ufe tables are selected from tI'Coale-Demeny models (Coale and Demeny1983)thatprovidetheprojected 40 0.22 0.45 0.69 0.23 0.48 0.73 life expectancy and infant mortality rates 45 0.23 0.4b 0.73 0.26 0.53 0.80 for the first three quinquennia. First, 50 0.24 0.48 0.73 0.27 0.55 0.83 level of the life tables is chosen to give 55 0.22 0.45 0.69 0.26 0.54 0.81 the desired infant mortality rate 60 0.19 0.39 0.59 0.24 0.50 0.76 (interpolation is used if necessary). 65 0.15 0.30 0.45 0.21 0.44 0.66 Mortality rates up to age 14 are taken 70 0.09 0.18 0.27 0.17 0.35 0.52 from this life table. Second, another 75 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.11 0.23 0.34 level of the life table is chosen to give 80 -- -- 0.04 0.08 0.12 - rates for ages 15 and older such that the desired level of life expectancy is obtained. Among the four Coale-- not applicable. Demeny families (North, South, East, and West), that family is chosen which minimizes the divergence between the two chosen levels.

For subsequent quinquennia, only life expectancy is used in determining levels, and the West family is used consistmntly.

Survivorship ratios from these model life tables were specified for the first three quinquennia and for 2025-30, 2050-55, and 2100-05. The projection program used, ProjPC-II (Hill n.d.), was allowed to interpolate linearly for intervening periods, to facilitate a smooth transition across life table families where this was necessary.

Comparison with other mortality projections. These procedures may be compared with the previous procedures with regard to their rationale and to their effects on projected mortality and population. The change in procedures does produce generally minor, expected differences in results.

These procedures were developed from analysis of trends in life expectancy and infant mortality in available national data (Bulatao and Bos 1989). Logistic functions are used because these fit past trends best, country by country. The schedules of medium change in life expectancy and infanL mortality reflect median trends across countries, and the schedules for minimum and maximum change reflect the 10th and 90th percentile when country trends are ranked from slowest to fastest. The equations to predict short-term trends in life expectancy and infant mortality were estimated using these data; other socioeconomic factors, like per capita income, did not improve prediction.

The procedures used for projecting mortality in the previous edition were based on earlier da-a and involved two separate schedules of increments to life expectancy, for countries with high and with low female primary enrolmeint. Infant mortality was not projected separately, and life tables were chosen based on life expectancies alone.
INTRODUCTION xiii The current schedule of medium increments to life expectancy is compared with the previous schedule for high-enrolment countries, as well as with the medium schedule used by the U.N. (1989), in Figure 1. (Only female life expectancy is shown.). The three schedules are close to each other, the main difference occurring at high levels of li'e expectancy, where the U.N. permits substantially more improvement. Given the long-run nature of these projections, the current schedule cannot permit rapid improvements at high levels without either higher maxima or an abrupt slowdown in improvements at some future point.

A similar comparison is made in Figure 2 of decrements to infant mortality. Neither the previous procedures nor the U.N. procedures are based on explicit schedules for infant mortality change. To allow comparison, actual decrements were calculated from country projections and curves were fitted to represent their dependence on initial level of infant mortality. Figure 2 shows that the medium decrements are generally larger than those implicit in previous World Bank and current U.N. projections (though never by more than one per thousand), possibly reflecting recent, more rapid improvements captured by the revision in methodology.

**Table** 2 .Assumed Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand)

|Initial<br>infant<br>mortality<br>|||
|---|---|---|
|rate|Hinimun|MediumMaxinum|
|150|-0.90|-2.26<br>-4.97|
|140|-1.00|-2.51<br>-5.52|
|130|-1.08|-2.71<br>-5.92|
|120|-1.13.|-2&;<br>-6.17|
|¶10|-1.16|-2.90<br>-6.29|
|100|-1.16|-2.90<br>-6.28|
|90|-1.14|-2.85<br>-6.13|
|80|-1.10|-2.73<br>-5.85|
|70|-1.03|-2.55<br>-5.45|
|60|-0.93|-2.31<br>-4.92|
|50|-0.81|-2.01<br>-4.27|
|40|-0.67|-1.65<br>-3.49|
|3c|-0.50|-1.23<br>-2.60|
|20|-0.31|-0.76<br>-1.60|
|10|-0.09|-0.23<br>-0.48|

In addition to the new schedules, the current procedures involve some individualization of country trends.

The effects of this are more difficult to assess. Bulatao and Bos (1989) report simulations for eight countries with widely varying mortality levels, which provide some impression of tne changes. For these eight countries, the new projected trends for life expectancy generally remain close to trends projected by the previous procedures, as well as to trends projected by the U.N. The main differences are in two areas. First, for countries like Norway, the current and the previous procedures agree, but the U.N. projects faster improvements, following their schedule shown in Figure 1. Second, for countries like Ghana and Bolivia, the slowness of past improvements in life expectancy is reflected in projected levels that, after two or three decades, are as much as but no more than 4-5 percent lower than those previously projected.

Infant mortality trends differ more than life expectancies from those previously produced, because the previous procedures relied on models to give infant mortality levels. The new estimates of future infant mortality are sometimes lower and sometimes higher than the previous estimates, with no consistent pattern.

The simulations showed that the crude death rate is affected by these changes, rising or falling as much as 10 percent relative to previous estimates for specific periods. On the other hand, total population is affected much less, varying from previous estimates for future periods by 2.5 percent at most.

# _Fertility Level and Trend_

After briefly describing the sources of fertility data, this section explains how future trends in fertility are determined. It then considers how the procedures compare with previous
# XIV INTRODUCTION

Flgure 1 Annual Increments to Female Life Expectancy (In years), by Initial Level, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Patterns <!-- Start of picture text --> 0.9<br>0.8 -<br>0.7<br>0.6<br>CUPRENT<br>0.5 -U<br>0.4<br>6.3-<br>0.2 -<br>0.1<br>35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85<br>INITIAL LIFE EXPECTANCY<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 2 Annual Decrements to Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand), by Initial Rate, Compared with the U.N. and Previous World Bank Pattems <!-- Start of picture text -->
-0.2-<br>-0.4-<br>-0.6<br>-0.8<br>w . u  ~  ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~~~PV<br>-1.4<br>-1.6<br>-1.68<br>-2.0<br>-2.2<br>-2.4-<br>-2.6-<br>-2.6<br>-3.0 -.  ,,.,..  -....,,,,,<br>160  150  140  130  120  110  100  90  80  70  60  50  40  30  20  10<br>INITIAL INFANT MORTALITY PATE<br><!-- End of picture text -->
## INTRODUCTION **XV**

# procedures for projecting fertility.

**_Data._** Base-period total fertility rates (TFRs) are derived from the same mix of sources as mortality rates, including _World Population Prospects 1988;_ official sources, as cited in _Population and Vital Statistics Report_ or in government publications; the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and Engels 1987); and Monnier (1988). We also relied on various surveys, especially Demographic and Health Surv-vs, which were available for two dozen countries. Often, these sources give fertility estimates for a different period or in terms of the crude birth rate, and appropriate total fertility rates were obtained by projection of earlier estimates or approximated using available data on age-sex composition and age-specific fertility. The appendix lists the specific source for each country, and also indicates some cases where an informal Bank estimate was made in the absence of reliable data.

Future trends. Future fertility trends are specified by quinquepnial total fertility and by a year when the net reproduction rate reaches unity, i.e., when the average woman's fertility results in exactly replacing herself. (This is referred to here as the replacement year.) Separate procedures are applied for three stages of the fertility transition: the pretransition stage, when fertility is high and sustained fertility decline has riot started; the transition stage, when fertility is high to medium and sustained fertility decline is in progress; and the late-transition and posttransition stage. We discuss procedures for determining total fertility in each stage and then explain what age-specific patterns of fcrtility were applied.

Fot current purposes, a fertility transition is assumed to have started if a country has experienced a drop in total fertility of at least .5 points over any five-year period, or if total fertility is already below 4.5 after a more gradual decline (Bulatao and Elwan 1985). The pretransition stage is the stage before any such decline is evident. The late-transition and posttransition stage is defined by a total fertility rate one point above replacement level (about 3.15) or lower.

Countries in the pretransition stage are assumed to start a fertility transition in the quinquennium after combined male and female life expectancy reaches 50 years, but in no case later than 2005. The life expectancy threshold is slightly lower than the threshold of 53 years previously shown to be a universal precondition, though not a sufficient condition, for the start of fertility transition (Bulatao and Elwan 1985). Until a transition starts, total fertility is assumed to be constant. The one exception is where sterility is a significant factor, sterility is then assumed to decline linearly to 6 percent over three quinquennia, with each percentage point drop in sterility raising total fertility by .11 points (Frank 1983).

In the transition stage, the rate of fertility decline is based on the rate in the preceding quinquennium, assuming transition had already started in that period. With previous annual change represented by DTn, annual change during the transition is set at (-.05 + .5 DwF). However, limits are set on this change: it must be at least -.073 points and at most -.210 points, which may be taken to define slow and rapid fertility decline. (Previous analysis in Bulatao and Elwan 19S5 defined rapid decline as an annual total fertility change of -.2164 points, which is consistent.) If the formula does not apply because transition has just started, an average annual decline in total fertility of .102 points is imposed. Figure 3 shows the patterns of fertility decline implied by this average and by the slow and rapid limits. In the early part of the transition stage, the sterility adjustment is applied if appropriate to raise total fertility slightly.

In the late-transition and posttransition stage, fertility approaches replacement level, either from slightly above or slightly below it. Four alternative patterns, represented in Figire 4, are applied in this stage.
# XVi INTRODUCTION

Figure 3 Assumed Medium Trend and Alternative<sup>Slow and Rapid Trends in</sup> Total Fertility During the Fertiiity Transition <!-- Start of picture text --> . 5<br>4.0 4. 5<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 2.5<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 3.0<br>2 . 2.07 9 _<br>2. a -<br>2.4 -<br>2.6S<br>2.3-<br>2.2-<br>2.0-<br>1. -<br>12. 6 -t l wrItcDno<br>1.6<br>1. 7<br>1900-95 1990-95 2000-05 2012-15 2020-25 2030-35<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 5 Percentage of Total Fertility Assigned to Different<sup>Ages, by Level of</sup> Total Fertility <!-- Start of picture text --> 25 - Tr-R-8<br>26 -<br>24<br>22-<br>20-<br>16<br>14<br>12<br>10<br>4<br>2<br>15- 19 20- 24 25- 29 30- 34 35- 39 40-44 45- 49<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTION XVii

* Generally, a geometric function is imposed on total fertility.decline from<sup>one point</sup> above replacement level to replacement level, with this decline assumed to take 15 years.

* Where total fertility has shown unusually slow decline, it is assumed to take 20 rather than 15 years for total fertility to fall one point to replacement.

* Where, toward the end of a fertility transition, total fertility is still recording rapid declines even though it is close to or even below replacement level (2.25 to 1.75), it is assumed to fall further for one period, generally going below replacement, to stay constant in the next period, and then to return to replacement.

* Where the transition has been completed and total fertility is below replacement, it is assumed to stay at the current level for two quinquennia, and then to<sup>return gradually to</sup> replacement, along a linear path, by 2030.

In applying late-transition procedures, the level of total fertility that provides replacement<sup>is</sup> approximated by a quadratic formula based on female life expectancy (e(,)) in<sup>the replacement year:</sup>

**T1RNRR.I** = 6.702 - .1107 e(Y) + .0006592 e(,<sup>2</sup> .

The replacement year is first approximated in order to determine life expectancy<sup>and then calculated</sup> given this formula and whichever pattern of fertility change above is appropriate.

For all stages of fertility transition, the age pattern of fertility is determined in<sup>the same</sup> fashion, depending on the level of total fertility (Figure 5). Two basic schedules<sup>of age-specific</sup> fertility are defined: for total fertility levels greater than six and for<sup>total fertility levels of three</sup> and lower. In between, age patterns are obtained by interpolation between the two<sup>schedules. At</sup> a tota! fertility level of six, a greater proportion of births are at younger and<sup>older ages of the</sup> reproductive span, and the mean age of childbearing is 28.9 years. At a total<sup>fertility level of three,</sup> births are concentrated in a narrower band of ages, and the mean age of childbearing<sup>is 28.0.</sup> Comparison with other fertility projections. These procedures contrast with the procedures previously used, which depended essentially on subjective judgments<sup>of the</sup> replacement year for each country. 'Ne explain some of the basis for the procedures<sup>and contrast</sup> the results.

These procedures were developed from analysis of total fertility trends in cross-national data (Bos and Bulatao 1989). In the pretransition stage, countries showed<sup>mostly stable fertility.</sup> The transition stage was more interesting. Across 42 countries which started<sup>a fertility transition</sup> between 1955 and 1983, the average annual decline in total fertility ranged from 0.06 to 0.25 points. Countries which had initial sharp declines in fertility tended to continue declining rapidly,<sup>while</sup> those that started with more gradual declines continued along the same<sup>path. Rapid and slow</sup> decline were found in all regions. The rate of decline was predicted best<sup>by the rate in preceding</sup> periods; socioeconomic factors added little to this prediction. Other than<sup>the mortality threshold,</sup> socioeconomic factors also failed to predict the start of fertility transition.

The previous procedures involved a regression equation for the replacement<sup>year,</sup> derived after initial subjective judgments of this year. Reverse geometric and<sup>geometric curves</sup> were then fit between current fertility and replacement level. By contrast, the current procedures focus on the pace of change in total fertility, determining the replacement<sup>year as the outcome</sup> rather than the first step in the process.
## XViiI INTRODUCTION

Comparisons of results are provided for selected countries in Bos and Bulatao (1989). Overall, the new procedures have slight effects on the projected future course of fertility and on projected population. However, they do delay the start of fertility transition relative to the previous procedures in countries with high mortality levels. They also tend to slow fertility decline in Africa, which under the previous procedures was faster than has generally been experienced by countries passing through the fertility transition. These changes have a lasting effect on projected population for the affected countries, which tends to be somewhat higher in the lGng run. Other smaller effects also exist. For instance, the provision that allows some countries to continue fertility decline below replacement level leads to projections of slightly lower fertility in some parts of East Asia.

# _Migration Level and Trend_

Estimates of net international migrants in the base period, by sex, were made from a review of international migration statistics published by national immigration agencies, statistical organizations, and other officiii and unofficial sources; from country population estimates and projections produced by international and regional agencies, national census and statistics offices, other government organizations, interagency task forces, and research institutions; and from discussions with experts in the subject (Arnold 1989). These estimates constitute a substantial revision of estimates used in the previous edition, and involve somewhat higher levels of net migration (Table 3).

For purposes of these estimates, individuals are counted as migrants who have resided in countries different from their previous residences for at least a year. An exception is refugees living in officially designated camps, who continue to be counted in their countries of origin regardless of period of residence. Only net estimates by quinquennium were made; immigration and emigration were not estimated separately, and single-year figures were not assessed.

Estimates of future net migrants by quinquennium up to the year 2000 were also made as part of the same examination of data and sources (Arnold 1989). These estimates are strongly affected by official policies and plans in the major receiving countries. The figures were designed to total zero in each quinquennium for the whole world. After the year 2000, the number of net migrants is assumed to approach zero linearly in each country, at the estimated rate of change in their number from the period 1990.95 to the period 1995-2000, or at a rate that would make their number zero by 2025-30, whichever rate is faster. For these later periods, a zero total for worldwide net international migration was obtained by adjusting initial estimates of net migrants in three major receiving countries-the United States, Australia, and Canada--upward or downward as necessary by a proportion constant across these countries, but vary.-g by quinquennium. These adjustments were of 1 or 2 percent for the earlier periods, negligible compared to the volume of migration assuraed for these countries, but were up to 10 percent for later periods.

The age-sex distributions of migrants are determined from alternative models based on their sex ratios. If migration is heavily male, migrants are assumed to be concentrated in the age group 15-30, with few children and elderly. If migration is more balanced between males and females, proportionally more migrants are assumed to be children and elderly (Hill n.d.).

The revised migration estimates are higher than the previous estimates, particularly for the near future. In the base period, annual total net moves (i.e., not counting any moves that are balanced by moves in the opposite direction) were 900 thourand in the previous cstimates and are 1.1 million in the revised estimates. For the following two quinquennia, the changes are larger, from 630 to 990 thousand moves and from 380 to 890 thousand moves. However, even the largcst of these figures is only 1 percent of annual world growth, or the equivalent of annual increase in a single moderate-fertility country like Turkey.
INTRODUCTION XiX Table 3 Assumed Net Intemational Migration by Sex, 1985-90 (thousandsl

|Country|Hales|Females|Total|Country|Hales F|emales|Totat|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Afghanistan|-13|<br>-12|<br>-25|Ethiopia|-120.6|<br>-60|-180.6|
|ALbania|0|0|0|Fiji|-13|-13|<br>-26|
|Algeris|0|0|0|Finland|7.5|7.5|<br>15|
|Angola|0|0|0|France|57.8|46.9|104.7|
|Antigua and Barbuda|1|1|2|French Polynesia|2.5|2.5|5|
|Argentina|0|0|0|Gabon|0|0|0|
|Australia|306|305|611|Gambia, The|8|7|<br>15|
|Austria|0|0|0|Gaza Strip|-12|-8|<br>-20|
|Bahamas|I|1|2|German Dem. Rep.|-4|<br>-3|<br>-7|
|Bahrain|12|4|16|Germany, Federal Rep. of<br>*|<br>27|23|50|
|Bangladesh|-20|-15|-35|Ghana|-1|-1|-2|
|Barbados|-4|-4|-8|Greece|10|10|20|
|Belgiun|8|7|15|Grenada|-1|-1|-2|
|Belize|-1.5|-1.5|-3|Guadeloupe|-9|-7|-16|
|Benin|-3|-2|-5|Guam|0|0|0|
|Bhutan|0|0|0|Guatemala|-69|-61|-130|
|Bolivia|-26|-14|-40|Guinea|4|7|11|
|Botswana|0|0|0|Guinea-Bissau|-3|-2|-5|
|Brazil|-5|-5|-10|Guyana|-35|-35|-70|
|Brunei|9|4|13|Haiti|-60|-50|-110|
|Bulgaria|0|0|0|Honduras|-11|-9|-20|
|Burkina Faso|-62|-28|-90|Hong Kong|49|26|75|
|Burundi|-8|-7|-15|Hungary|-3|-3|-6|
|Cambodia|0|0|0|Iceland|0|0|0|
|Cameroon|0|0|0|India|-133|-117|-250|
|Canada|175|195|<br>370|Indonesia|-14|<br>-11|<br>-25|
|Cape Verde|-6.6|-4.4|<br>-11|Iran,<br>Islamic Rep. of|-27|-14|-41|
|Central African Rep.|0|0|0|Iraq|0|0|<br>0|
|Chad|0|0|0|Ireland|-25|<br>-25|<br>-50|
|Charnel Islands|0|0|0|Israel|17|<br>10|<br>27|
|Chile|-6|<br>-6|-12|Italy|0|0|<br>0|
|China (excluding<br>Taiwan)|-166|-108|-274|Jamaica|-60|<br>-50|-110|
|Colombia|.- 115|-85|-200|Japan|-8|<br>-7|<br>-15|
|Comoros|0|0|0|Jordan|0|0|0|
|Congo, People's Rep. of the|0|0|0|Kenya|6|4|10|
|Costa Rica|0|0|0|Kiribati|-0.6|-0.7|-1.3|
|Cote dllvoire|191|105.7|296.7|Korea, Dem.People'sRep. of|0|0|0|
|Cuba|-26|-24|-50|Korea, Rep. of|-79|-96|-175|
|Cyprus|-1.2|-0.8|-2|<br>Kuwait|50|22|72|
|Czechoslovakia|-2.5|-2.5|-5|Lao People's Dem. Rep.|-3|<br>-2|-5|
|Dernark|0|0|0|Lebanon|-160|-115|-275|
|Djibouti|13.6|4|17.6|Lesotho|-7|-3|-10|
|Dominica|-1|-1|-2|Liberia|3|2|5|
|Dominican Rep.|-60|-50|-110|Libya|30|<br>10|<br>40|
|Ecuador|-10|<br>-10|<br>-20|Luxembourg|0|0|0|
|Egypt, Arab Rep. of|-60|-40|-100|Macao|32|<br>16|<br>48|
|El Salvador|-122|-90|-212|Madagascar|0|0|0|
|Equatorial Guinea|0|0|0|Malawi|-17|-5|-22|
XX INTRODUCTnON

# Table 3 (continued)

|Country|Hales|Female|s Total|Country|Males|Female|s Total|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Malaysia|-8|*7|<br>-15|SaOTom6 and Principe|0|0|0|
|Haldives|0|<br>0|<br>0|Saudi<br>Arabia|245|80|325|
|Mali|-87|-54.7<br>|<br>-141.7|Senegal|35|<br>15|<br>50|
|Malta|-5|<br>-5|<br>-10|Seychelles|-1.5|-1.5|<br>-3|
|Martinique|-8|<br>-6|<br>-14|Sierra<br>Leone|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|Mauritania|-20|<br>-10|<br>-30|Singapore|-6|<br>-4|<br>-10|
|Mauritius|-6|-4|<br>-10|Solomon<br>Islands|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|Mexico|-445|-305|-750|Somalia|19.6|6.5|26.1|
|Mongolia|0|0|0|South Africa|11|9|20|
|<br>Montserrat|-0.3|-0.3|-0.6|Spain|19|16|35|
|Morocco|-21|-14|-35|<br>Sri Lanka|-120|-70|-i90|
|Mozambique|-6|-4|-10|St. Kitts and Nevis|-3|-3|<br>-6|
|Myamnar|-5|-5|-10|St. Lucia|-1.5|-1.5|-3|
|Namibia|0|0|0|St. Vincent and the Grenadine|s<br>-1|-1|<br>-2|
|Nepal|0|<br>0|<br>0|Sudan|15.4|9.5|24.9|
|Netherlands|30|20|50|Suriname|-3|-2|-5|
|Netherlands<br>Antilles|-4|<br>-3|<br>-7|Swaziland|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|New Caledonia|-1.8|-1.2|<br>-3|Sweden|17.5|17.5|35|
|New Zealand|0|0|<br>0|SwItzerland|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|Nicaragua|-10|-10|-20|Syrian Arab Rep.|-54|-36|-90|
|NIger|0|<br>0|<br>0|Taiwan|-50|<br>-50|-100|
|Nigeria|0|<br>0|<br>0|Tanzania|6|<br>4|<br>10|
|Norway|12|<br>8|<br>20|Thaltand|-15|<br>-15|<br>-30|
|Oman|33|<br>12|<br>45|Togo|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|Other Europe|4|<br>4|<br>8|Tonga|-2.2|-2.2|-4.4|
|Other Latin America-Caribbean|<br>1|1|2|Trinidad<br>and Tobago|-12|<br>-8|<br>-20|
|Other<br>Micronesia|0|<br>0|<br>0|Tunisfa|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|Other North<br>Africa|0|<br>0|<br>0|Turkey|-36|<br>-31|<br>-67|
|Other North<br>America|0|<br>0|<br>0|Uganda|-25|<br>-20|<br>-45|
|other Polynesia|-1.5|-1.5|<br>-3|United<br>Arab Emirates|75|<br>25|<br>100|
|Other<br>West Africa|0|<br>0|<br>0|United<br>Kingdom|-75|<br>-75|-150|
|Pacific<br>Islands|-2.3|-1.7|<br>-4|United<br>States<br>of America|1537|1363|2900|
|Pakistan|.*153|-103|-256|Uruguay|-9|-7|-16|
|Panama|-15|<br>-15|<br>-30|U.S.S.R.|-20|<br>-20|<br>-40|
|Papua New Guinea|0|<br>0|<br>0|Vanuatu|-1.5|-1.5|-3|
|Paraguay|12|8|20|Venezuela|45|30|<br>75|
|Peru|-10|-10|-20|VietNam|-57|<br>-43|-100|
|Philippines|-130|-160|-290|Virgin Islands<br>(U.S.)|-1.3|-1.1|-2.4|
|Poland|-29|<br>-36|<br>-65|Western<br>Samoa|-7|<br>-7|<br>-14|
|Portugal|-27|<br>-23|<br>-50|Yemen,<br>People's Den. Rep. of|-16|-5|-21|
|Puerto Rico|-25|-33|<br>-58|Yemen Arab Rep.|-11|<br>-4|<br>-15|
|Qatar|35|<br>10|<br>45|Yugoslavia|-13|<br>-12|<br>-25|
|Reunion|0|<br>0|<br>0|Zaire|3|<br>2|<br>5|
|Romania|-15|<br>-15|<br>-30|Zambia|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|Rwanda|-6|-4|<br>-10|Zimbabwe|0|<br>0|<br>0|

Source: Arnold 1989.
INTRODUCTION XXi The estimates assign to the United States more net immigrants in 1985-90 than all other countries of the world combined. Other major destination countries are Australia, Saudi Arabia, Canada, and Cote d'Ivoire. Mexico has by far the largest net emigration, and its dominance in this area is expected to increase in the 1990s.

# SUMMARY OF RESULTS

A brief discussion of projection results in this section will focus, first, on the population of the world and continents; second, c l the population of subcontinental geographic regions and of countries grouped by income; third, on the population in World Bank regions, which differ from the U.N. geographic regions; and, finally, on the population of particular countries or economies.

## _World and Continents_

For the world and the continents, we consider population totals and medium-term growth; long-run growth; age structure and dependency; and the fertility and mortality rates underlying the projections.

World population. The population of the world is estimated at 4.84 billion in 1985. It surpassed 5.0 billion in mid-1987, and is projected to reach 5.3 billion in 1990 (Table 4). The annual rate of growth in 1985-90 has been 1.74 percent. This rate is projected to decline to 1.66 percent in the first half of the 1990s, and to 1.54 percent toward 2000. In spite of this, the annual net increase in the number of people will be larger each year until the late 1990s, averaging Table 4 Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for the World and Less Developed and More Developed Countries, 1985-2025

||Popul|ation (mill|ions)||Annual|Increase(m|illIons)|<br>Growth|rate (per|cent)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||Less|More|||Less|More||Less|More|
|Year|World d|eveloped d|eveloped|<br>Period|World|developed d|eveloped|<br>World d|eveLoped d|eveloped|
|1985|<br>4,844|<br>3,666|<br>1,179|1985-1990|<br>88.2|<br>81.7|6.5|1.74|<br>2.11|<br>0.54|
|1990|<br>5,285|<br>4,074|<br>1,211|1990-1995|<br>91.7|<br>85.9|5.8|1.66|<br>2.00|<br>0.47|
|1995|<br>5,744|<br>4,504|<br>1,240|1995-2000|<br>92.1|<br>87.0|5.1|1.54|<br>1.84|<br>0.41|
|2000|6,204|4,939|1,265|2000-2005|<br>91.7|<br>87.4|4.3|1.43|1.70|0.34|
|2005|6,663|5,376|1,287|2005-2010|<br>89.9|<br>86.4|3.5|1.31|1.55|0.27|
|2010|<br>7,112|<br>5,808|<br>1,304|2010-2015|<br>88.7|<br>85.7|2.9|1.21|<br>1.42|<br>0.22|
|2015|<br>7,556|<br>6,237|<br>1,319|2015-2020|<br>87.5|<br>85.3|2.1|1.13|<br>1.32|<br>0.16|
|2020|<br>7,993|<br>6,663|<br>1,330|2020-2025|<br>84.4|<br>83.0|1.4|<br>1.03|<br>1.21|<br>0.10|
|2025|8,415|7,078|1,336||||||||

Note: "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.
# XXii INTRODUCanON

close to 92 million people annually, with a projected all-time high increase of ovcr 92 million around 1998. Thc projections show that it will take only 11 years to add anothcr billion to the five billion people of 1987. Despite a declining trend in fertilityt population growth in the short term will clearly be very high.

After the turn of the century, population will continue to grow, although at a somewhat slower rate. The seven billion mark will be reached before the end of the first decade of the 21st century. Because of differences in growth rates between less developed and more developcd countries, 84.1 percent of world population will be living in what are currcntly less developcd countries by 2025, up from 75.7 percent in 1985.

These projections differ only slightly from U.N. (1989) and previous World Bank projections (Zachariah and Vu 1988). Figure 6 shows that the estimate of the popuilation in less developed countrics by 2025 is .5 percent lower than the U.N. estimate and 3 percent higher than the previous World Bank estimate. Figure 7 shows that the estimate of the po.pulation in more developed countries by 2025 is I percent lower than the U.N. estimate and identical to the previous World Bank estimate. These differences are due not only to differences in procedures for projecting vital rates but also to slightly different current population and vital rate estimates.

Continents. Current and projected population and growth rates by continent are shown in Table 5. In these groupings of countries, North and South America are considered together, the U.S.S.R. is combined with Europe, and Australia is combined with the Pacific under oceania. (The population of Antarctica is insignificant.) The percentage distribution of world population by continent is represented for 1985, 2000, and 2025 in Figures 8-10.

Asia, with the two most populous countries in the world, accounts for 58 percent of world population, and currently contributes 63 percent of the annual increase, or about 55 million people. By 2025, Asia will still be adding to world population about 45 million people annually. However, by that year, the proportion of world population in Asia is expected to be no different from the 1985 proportion, despite a projec:ed 74 percent increase in the Asian population from 1985 to 2025.

Table 5 Total Population, Annual Increase, and Growth Rates for Continents, 1985-2025

|||Popula|tion<br>(mil|lions)|||Ann|ual inc|rease<br>(|<br>millio|ns)||Growth|rate (p|ercen|t)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||Ame-|<br>|Europe,||||Ame-||Europe,|||Ame-||Europe|,|
|Year|Africa|rica|Asia|USSR|Oceania|Period|Africa|rica|Asia|USSR|Oceania|Africa|rica|Asia|USSR|Oceania|
|1985|<br>559|667|2,823|771|25|1985-1990|<br>18.2|10.9|55.4|3.3|0.4|3.02|1.57|1.87|0.42|1.63|
|1990|<br>651|721|3,100|787|27|1990-1995|<br>20.5|10.9|57.1|2.7|0.4|2.93|1.45|1.76|0.34|1.59|
|1995|<br>753|775|3,385|801|29|1995-2000|<br>23.3|10.2|55.7|2.4|0.4|2.88|1.27|1.58|0.30|1.40|
|2000|870|826|3,664|813|31|2000-2005|<br>26.0|9.4|53.9|2.0|0.4|2.79|1.10|1.42|0.25|1.21|
|2005|1,000|873|3,934|823|33|2005-2010|<br>27.8|9.0|51.1|1.6|0.4|2.60|1.00|1.26|0.20|1.04|
|2010|1,139|918|4,190|831|35|2010-2015|<br>29.2|8.8|48.9|1.4|0.3|2.41|0.94|1.14|0.17|0.89|
|2015|1,285|962|4,434|838|36|2015-2020|<br>30.1|8.3|47.8|1.1|0.3|2.21|0.84|1.05|0.13|0.72|
|2020|1,435|1,003|4,673|844|38|2020-2025|<br>30.4|7.2|45.6|0.8|0.2|2.02|0.71|0.95|0.10|0.59|
|2025|1,587|1,040|4,901|848|39||||||||||||
INTRODUCTION XXiii Figure 6 Projected Population (billions) in Less Developed-Countries, 1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections <!-- Start of picture text --> 7.5 _<br>7 in _<br>6.5 -.<br>Preyvious<br>6.0 ,<br>5 5 - X 2 > / ~~~~~~~~~Current<br>5.5-<br>5. 0<br>4. 5<br>4.0<br>3.w- 5 I I I I I I<br>1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025<br>Figure 7 Projected Population (billions) in More Developed Countries,<br>1985-2025, Compared with U.N. and Previous World Bank Projections<br>1.36<br>1.35-<br>1 .34 -<br>1.33 N.<br>1 ;32 - Previous<br>1.31<br>1.30 Current<br>1.29<br>1 .28<br>1.27<br>1 .26<br>1 .25<br>1 .24<br>1.23<br>1.22<br>1.21<br>1 .20<br>1.19<br>1.18<br>1.17<br>1985 1990 1995 2000 200S 2010 2015 2020 2025<br><!-- End of picture text -->
# XXIV INTRODUCTION

Figure 8 Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 1985 <!-- Start of picture text --> Eircpe arn U.S.S.R. (1S.9.) Africa (il 5%)<br>icoanl (C0.5%)<br>ASIG (se 3)<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 9 Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2000 <!-- Start of picture text --> EWrope non U.S.S.R. (13.1i) AfriCa (14 0t<br>AaW Ica (`13 3X)<br>Oceania (0.5%)<br>AsiB (59.<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 10 Percentage Distribution of World Population by Continent, 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> Europe ancd U.S.S.R. C10.1%0<br>AawIca C12 4%)<br>OMeanis (0.5%)<br>Asla (59 2 / /<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTnON XXV Table 6 Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, arld Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 for the World, Less Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents

|||Populati|on (milt|ions)|Station-||Year||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||||ary over|Popu-|<br>when||
|Region|1985|<br>2050|<br>2100|Station-<br> <br>ary|1985<br>popula-<br>tion|tation<br> <br>mo-<br>mentum|popula-<br>tion<br>doubles|<br>Year<br>when<br>NRR=1|
|World|4,844|10,035|11,330|11,514|<br>2.4|1.4|2044|2060|
|Less developed|3,666|<br>8,716|10,020|10,200|<br>2.8|1.5|<br>2028|2060|
|More devetoped|1,179|<br>1.319|<br>1,310|<br>1,314|<br>1.1|1.1.|<br>(a)|2030|
|Africa|559|<br>2.275|<br>2,962|<br>3,049|<br>5.5|1.6|<br>2009|2060|
|America|667|<br>1,146|<br>1,192|<br>1,201|<br>1.8|1.4|<br>(a)|2030|
|Asia|2,823|<br>5,728|<br>6,288|<br>6,374|<br>2.3|1.5|<br>2047|2045|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|771|<br>843|<br>842|<br>846|<br>1.1|1.1|<br>(a)|2030|
|Oceania|25|42|44|<br>45|1.8|1.3|<br>(a)|2030|

Note: "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United states and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the Aorld.

a. Population wiLt not double with projected rates.

Africa is growing much faster, at over 3 percent annually, as opposed to only 1.9 percent for Asia. Africa currently has a smaller population than Asia, Europe and the U.S.S.R., and the Americas, but by the year 2000 will be second in size only to Asia. Annual growth rates in Africa are projected to stay above 2 percent at least up to 2025, by which year the continental population will have almost tripled.

America, with 14 percent of world population, includes both more developed and less developed countries and is growing as a whole more slowly than Africa and _Asii._ By 2025, its population will have increased by half, but its share of world population will h ave fallen to 12 percent. The small Oceania group is projected to experience growth essentially similar to America.

Europe and the U.S.S.R., now second in size to Asia, will be only fourth among these continents by 2025. Its share of world population will shrink from 16 to 10 percent. This projection assumes that fertility, currently below replacement level for the group and for many countries, will rise to replacement level by 2030. Should this not happen, the projected 10 percent increase in the population by 2025 could be smaller, or could even become a decrease.

Long-run trends. The long-run implications of the projection assumptions are illustrated in Table 6, which shows projections up to 2100 as well as other indicators. If every country and economy reaches replacement-level fertility by or before 2060, world population will be over 11 billion by the end of the next century. Another 300 million will be added before the population becomes stationary, i.e., before the growth rate falls to zero.

Table 6 shows two ratios, that of the projected stationary population to the 1985 population, and that for population momentum. The latter is the ratio to the 1985 population of
# XXVi INTRODUCTION

the eventual stationary population under the special assumptions that fertility drops to replacement level immediately, mortality stays constant at current levels, aad no migration takes place. (Previous estimates of momentum in _World Development Report_ have allowed mortality to decline.) It is effectively an indicator of the amount of future population growth that can be attributed solely to the current age structure of a population. An illustration of the importance of momentum is the fact that more than one billion of the stationary world population will be added because of momentum after replacement fertility is achieved.

Population momentum is considerably lower for more developed than for less developed countries. For more developed countries, only 10 percent growth can be expected because of the age structure. Nevertheless, this will still be the main source of growth for these countries, as indicated by the stationary population being only 10 percent larger than the current population.

Across continents, population momentum is highest for Africa at 1.6, but is clearly only a small part of future growth. The projected stationary African population is more than five times its 1985 population.

Age structure. Of the 4.84 billion people in 1985, 60 percent were in the working ages of 15-64, giving a dependency ratio (of those younger and older combined per hundred members of this group) of 67. By 2025, the world dependency ratio is projected to fall to 53. Children and youth under 15 will have fallen from 34 to 26 percent of the population, while the aged 65 and over will have risen from 6 to 9 percent (Table 7; see Table 19 for percentages).

Projected trends in more developed and less developed countries are quite different. In more developed countries, the number of children and youth will actually decline from 260 to 248 million, and as a proportion of the population they will fall to only 19 percent. The aged, on the other hand, will almost double, and by 2025 should be almost as numerous as children and youth. Thus, the dependency ratio in more developed countries will rise from 50 to 58.

In less developed countries, children and youth will continue to increase, from 1.4 to 1.9 billion, though as a proportion of the population they will fall from 37 to 27 percent. The aged, who are far fewer, will be increasing much faster, from 153 to 514 million, or from 4 to 7 percent of the population. The dependency ratio will fall from 71 to 52, as the working-age population also grows very fast, at a 2.3 percent annual rate up to 2000 and at a 1.7 percent rate from 2000 to 2025.

These contrasts are summarized in four population pyramids, for more developed and less developed countries for 1985 and 2025 (Figures 11-14). The pyramids for the two groups of countries are drawn to different scales. For more developed countries, growth will be modest and mainly involve the pyramid becoming increasingly rectangular. For less developed countries, all age groups will increase, but, given previous high fertility and high infant and child mortality and expected declines in these parameters, the pyramid will become bulkier in the middle, among working-age adults.

Across continents, Africa stands out with 45 percent of its population--0 points more than any other continent--under 15. Consequently, Africa has a dependency ratio of 94, as opposed to only 57-66 in Asia, America, and Oceania and only 51 in Europe and the U.S.S.R. All three age groups--the young, those of working age, and the aged--will grow considersbly faster between 1985 and 2025 in Africa than anywhere else. The older age groups will grow somewhat faster than the younger age groups in Africa, as will also be true in all other continents. However, by 2025, those under 15 will still be 36 percent of the population of Africa, as opposed to 19-25 percent of the population of other continents.
INTRODUCTION XXVii Figure 11 Population In Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 <!-- Start of picture text --> L<br>m 3 22<br>1S~~<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 13 Population In More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 1985 <!-- Start of picture text --> 2~ N/7S<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 12 Population in Less Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> S 0 20<br>///9t 2 RSXZ/<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 14 Population in More Developed Countries by Age and Sex, 2025 <!-- Start of picture text --> 2/S / a agMS2<br><!-- End of picture text -->
# OViii INTRODUCMON

Table 7 Population Aged 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for the World, Less Developed and More Developed Countries, and Continents, 1985, 2000, and 2025 (millions)

|Year and||Less|More||||Europe,||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|age group|Wortd<br>d|<br>eveloped de|veloped|Africa|Amertca|Asia|USSR|Oceania|
|1985|||||||||
|0-14|1,634|1,374|260|253|208|994|171|7|
|15-64|2,924|<br>2,139|784|<br>289|<br>409|1,699|511|16|
|65.|287|<br>153|134|<br>17|<br>49|131|<br>88|<br>2|
|2000|||||||||
|0-14|1,937|<br>1,685|252|<br>382|<br>230|1,154|<br>164|<br>8|
|15-64|3,860|<br>3,015|845|<br>462|<br>534|2,305|<br>540|<br>20|
|65+|407|239|168|<br>26|<br>62|206|<br>110|<br>3|
|2025|||||||||
|0-14|2,163|<br>1.915|248|<br>564|<br>229|1,202|<br>160|<br>9|
|15-64|5,498|<br>4,649|848|<br>964|<br>688|3,279|<br>541|<br>25|
|65.|754|514|240|<br>60|<br>122|420|<br>147|<br>5|

Note: "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New ZeaLand, and Japan. "Less developed" conprises the rest of the Fertility and mortality. Underlying these projections are fertility and mortality rates summarized in Table 8 for the world, less developed countries, and more developed countries. (Rates for continents are in Table 12.) The expected reduction in the world population growth rate of .2 percentage points in the next decade is based on simultaneous reductions in the crude birth rate of 3 points per thousand and in the crude death rate of 1 point per thousand, the bulk of these reductions taking place in less developed countries. The crude birth rate in less developed countries, 31 per thousand (double the rate in more developed countries), will decline 4 points per thousand in each of the next two decades. In more developed countries this rate will decline at a considerably slower pace. The crude death rate, on the other hand, is actually lower in less developed countries, with their younger populations, than in more developed countries, and will decline in the former while it rises in the latter.

Unlike the crude birth rate, the total fertility rate is not affected by differences in age structure. This rate for the world as a whole, estimated at 3.4 for 1985-90, will fal' 1 percent a year until 2000 and .8 percent a year between 2000 and 2025. The decline will be almost entirely in less developed countries, where total fertility will go from 3.9 in 1985-90 to 3.1 in 2000-05 to 2.5 in 2020-25. In effect, the average woman in less developed c3untries will have one-and-a-half fewer children in 2025 than in 1985. These declines may appear relat.vely moderate. Howevcr, given that fertility is unlikely to decline much further in China and a few other large countries, the reductions required in other countries will still be fairly substantial. For instance, for Africa a substantial reduction in total fertility from 6.1 to 5.1 is expected within 15 years, and an even larger reduction to 3.3 within the following 20 years. Such reductions are possible, on the basis of past experience with fertility transition, but in the recent past have not happened automatically but required
INTRODUCTION XXiX and More Developed Table 8 Fertility and Mortality Rates for the World and Less Developed Countries, 1985-2030

|||W|orld|||Less|devel|oped||More|devel|oped||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Period|CBR|TFR|CDR|e(O)|IMR|CBR TFR|CDR|eCO) IMR|CBR|TFR|CDR|e(O)|IMR|
|1985-1990|27.1|3.43|9.7|64.9|70|31.0 3.92|<br>9.6|62.1 78|14.7|1.90|9.9|74,1|15|
|1990-199r|5 25.8|3.23|9.1|66.1|62|29.1 3.61|<br>8.9|63.6 69|13.9|1.86|<br>9.7|74.8|13|
|1995-2000|<br>24.1|3.05|8.6|67.1|55|27.0 '.34|<br>8.4|64.9 61|13.2|1.85|<br>9.6|75.5|12|
|2000-2005|<br>22.6|2.91|8.3|68.2|48|25.0 3.13|<br>7.9|66.2 32|12.9|1.89|10.0|76.0|10|
|2005-2010|<br>21.4|2.78|8.3|68.7|45|23.4 2.95|<br>7.8|i6.9 49|12.8|1.93|10.5|76.2|10|
|2010-2015|<br>20.4|2.66|<br>8.3|69.2|41|22.1 2.79|<br>7.8|67.7 45|12.8|1.97|10.8|76.5|10|
|2015-2020|<br>19.6|2.57|<br>8.4|69.9|38|21.0 2.66|<br>7.8|68.5 42|12.6|2.00|11.2|76.7|10|
|2020-2025|<br>18.7|2.48|<br>8.4|70.6|35|19.9 2.55|<br>7.8|69.3 38|12.5|2.03|11.6|77.0|<br>9|

Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, etO), is given in years; and infant mortality rates (IER) are per 1000 live births. (See definitions in world Bank 1989.)

# deliberate intervention to lower fertility.

Figures 15 and 16 show that these assumptions about total fertility are close to those used by the U.N. and those used in the previous edition of these projections. Estimates of current fertility agree across the different projection exercises. For less developed countries, the current assumed trend initiall; matches the previous trend, and then slows down relative to it. This slower decline takes into account evidence that fertility changes slowly, even when transition has started, in regions like South Asia. For more developed countries, the current trend allows fertility to stay below replacement longer than the previous trend or the U.N. trend.

The assumed declines in mortality are also significant, though they will have less effect on population growth. Life expectancy at birth in the world as a whole is projected to increase five-and-a-half years by 2025, with a greater gain in less developed countries (seven years) than in more developed countries.(three years). The gap in life expectancies between less developed and more developed countries will diminish but stay substantial; it is now 12 years, and will be eight years by 2025. Some differences among continents will also shrink, but remain large. Life expectancy in Africa is now 53, as contrasted with life expectancy of 73 in Europe and the U.S.S.R. By 2025, life expectancy in Africa should be considerably extended to 64, but this will still be a dozen years shorter than life expectancy in Europe.

Figures 17 and 18 compare assumed trends in different projection exercises. Because judgments for individual countries differ, the current base estimates of life expectancy are slightly higher than those assumed by the U.N. The current assumed trend involves less rapid improvement than the U.N. trend, particularly at higher levels of life expectancy. This is partly due to the imposed maxima for life expectancy (82.5 for women and 75.8 for men), which are lower than those imposed by the U.N. (87.5 for women and 82.5 for men). It is also partly due to the long-run nature of these projections, which requires that gains in life expectancy be sprcad out over a longer period of time.
# **XXX** INTRODUCTON

Figure 15 Assumed Total Fertiliy Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> 3.8-<br>37<br>3.6 -2<br>N,<br>3.4<br>3.3<br>3.2 -<br>31.11<br>3.0 -IU<br>2.9<br>2.8<br>2.7<br>2.6 .18<br>2.5 -18<br>2.4<br>2.3<br>1059 96-51252 635 22.8 031 2015.20 2O202<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 17 Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, Less Developed Countries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> 10<br>69<br>W!EIl8S 2010 199s95 n 1995BX00 2015O20 2Dal: alOrOS 2005s10<br>68<br>66-<br>65<br>63<br>I ~~~~~U.N.<br>62<br>61<br>60-<br>59<br>¶M9059 1920.5 199526 2WO-8 2005. t 2010.-6 2015.20 2020:<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 16 Assumed Total Fertility Trend, More Developed dountries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> 2.0<br>02<br>2 W<br>11292<br>1<br>1<br>1M965 19929 19920D3 2OW(5 2005.02 201015 20`1520 MD-0:<br><!-- End of picture text --> Figure 18 Assumed Life Expectancy Trend, More Developed Countries, and U.N. and Previous World Bank Trends <!-- Start of picture text --> 73<br>1985B90 95 1b2000 2alO-05 2110S10 XtIS 20 2'U.N.<br>76<br>75-<br>74-<br>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~73<br>19r5-90 199295 1925209 2 03)-OS 2005-10 209D-1i 2015.20 W&20232<br><!-- End of picture text -->
INTRODUCTION XXi

# _Geographic Regions and Income Groups_

Population, population growth, and vital rates for subcontinental geographic regions and for groups of countries at different income levels are shown in Tables 9-12. (These and all succeeding tables appear at the end of this introduction.) The classification by region distinguishes East, West, and North Africa; Latin America and the Caribbean from Northern America; and East and Southeast, South, and Southwest Asia (see Table 17 for the countries in each region). East and Southeast Asia, which includes China, and South Asia, which includes India, are far larger than the other regions, which each contain 100 to 400 miion people. The high growth rates for Africa as a whole apply especially to Fast and West Africa, which are growing at 3.1 percent a year and should have six times as mar.y people when their populations become stationary. Southwest Asia and North Africa come next, with total fertility rates above **_5_** and high growth rates of 2.6-2.8 percent The dassification by income (Exhibit 1) shows that 52 of the 187 countries or economies have low per capita incomes of $480 or less (in 1987 U.S. dollars). Most of these countries or economies are in Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Southeast Asia; they also include the majority of the ten largest countries in the world and contain 56 percent of world population. At the other extreme, high-income countries or economies, with per capita incomes of S6,000 or more, number 38, and contain 16 percent of world population. At present, the lowincome populations as a group are growing by almost 60 million a year, while the high-income populations as a group are growing by only 4 million a year. By 2025, the currently low-income countries will make up 61 percent of world population, and the currently high-income countries will make up 11 percent.

The lower-middle-income countries, with per capita incomes up to $2,000, are as numerous as the low-income countries but have only 12 percent of world population. In this group are half of the Latin American and Caribbean countries and a variety of countries from every other region except South Asia. Population growth in these countries is actually faster at present than in low-income countries; total fertility is slightly higher (because fertility i,i low-income China is so low), and mortality is lower. The 35 upper-middle-income countries, on the other hand, with 9 percent of world population, have lower fertility and are mostly on the way to slower population growth. Nevertheless, even this group of countries will still grow considerably. Their stationary populations in the aggregate are expected to be more than double their present populations.

# _World Bank Regions_

The World Bank divides borrower countries, which account for three-fourths of world population, into four regions: Africa, essentially Sub-Saharan; Asia, excluding Southwest Asia, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, but including the Pacific; Europe, the Middle East (up to Pakistan), and North Africa (EMN); and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). Within regions, countries are grouped into four to six country departments, most of which include more than one country (Exhibit 2). We consider the regional populations and their growth, and then the populations covered by departments, which prove to be substantially homogeneous within regions.

The division into regions puts about half the world population in the Asia region and 8 to 10 percent of the population in each of the other regions. If China and India were excluded, the remainder of the region, at 12 percent of world population, would be more comparable in size to the other regions.
# XOVdi INTRODUCTnON

ExhlbIt 1 Countries and Economies Classified by Income Group (based 4n GNP per capita in 1987 U.S. dollars) _Low Income ($480 or less)_ Oceania Kiribati East Africa SoLorno Islands Burundi Vanuatu East Africa Burundi Careros Ethiopia Kenya Lesotho Madagascar _Maltwi_ Mozambique Rwanda Somalia Tanzania Ugarda Zaire Zambia Latin America and the CaribLean Guyana Haiti _Lower.middle Sncome ($481.$2,oo0)_ East Africa Botswana Djibouti Mauritius South Africa Swaziland ZibbeSt.

West Africa Bestn nenin Fnsabwe Central African Rep. Chad Equatorial Guinea Gambia, The Ghana t-uinea Guinea-Bissau Liberia Mali Mauritania Niger Nigeria Sao Tome and Principe Sierra Leone Togo West Africa Cameroon Cape Verde Congo, People's Rep. of the C6te d'Ivoire Senegal North Africa Egypt, Arab Rep. of Morocco Tunisia Other North Africa Europe Poland Southwest Asia Gaza Strip Jordan Lebanon Syrian Arab Rep. Turkey West Bank Yemen Arab Rep.

North Africa Sudan Southwest Asia Yemen. People s Den. Rep. of .

South Asia Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Naldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka East and Southeast Asia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Oceania Fiji Other Micronesia Pacific Islands Papua New Guinea Tonga Western Samoa East and Southeast Asia Cambodia China (excluding Taiwan) Indonesia Lao People's Den. Rep. Nyarnmat Viet Nam Latin America and the Caribbean Belize Bolivia Chi le Colobia Costa Rica Dominica Dominican Rep. Ecuador El Salvador Grenada Guatenlla Hondu-as Jamaica Mexico Nicaragua Paraguay Peru St. Kitts and Nevis St Vincent and the Grenadines Lucia _Upper-middle Income ($2,000-S5,999)_ East Africa Reunion Seychelles West Africa Gabon Other West Africa North Africa Algeria ibya Europe Greece Hungary Malta Portugal Romania Yugoslavia Southwest Asia Cyprus Iraq Oman South Asia Iran, Islamic Rep. of East and Southeast Asia Korea, Rep. of Macao Taiwan, China
INTRODUCTnON XXXiii Exhlbt 1 (continued) Oceania Norway Guam Spain Other Polynesia Sweden Switzertand Latin America and the Caribbean United Kingdom Antigua and Barbuda Other Europe ArgentIna Barbados Southwest Asia grazil Bahrain Guadeloupe Israel Martinique Kuwait Kontserrat Qatar Other Latin Auerice Saudi AIabia Panama United Arab Emirates Puerto Rico Suriname East and Southeast AsiaAsia Trinidad and Tobago Brunei Uruguay Hong Kong Venezuela East and Southeast AsiaAsia Brunei Hong Kong Japan Singapore _High Income ($6,000 or more)_ Oceania Australia French Polynesia New Caledonia New Zealand Europe Austria Belgius Chanmel Islands Denmark Finland France Northern America Canada United States of America Other Northern America

# _Nonreporting nonmember economies_

East Africa Namico West Africa Angola Europe Albania Bul9aria Caechostovakia German Dem. Rep. U.S.S.R Latin America and the Caribbean Cuba East and Southeast Asia Korea, Dem. Peoptes Rep. of Mongolia Gerany. Federal Rep. of Latin America and the Caribbean tceland Bahamas Itreand Netherlands Antilles Italy Virgin Islands (U.S.) Netherlands
## XOXiV INTRODUCTnON

# ExhlbIt 2 Countries and Economies Classifed by World Bank Region and Country Departments

# _Africa Region (Sub-Saharan)_

#### Nonborrowers

Occidental and Central Africa Department CAFI) Benin Cameroon Central African Rep. Congo, People's Rep. of the C6te d'Ivoire Equatorial Guinea Gabon Guinea Togo Sub-Saharan Africa AngoLa Namibia Reunion South Africa Other West Africa

# _Asia Region (and Oceania)_

Togo Country Department I Bangladesh Eastern Africa Department (AF2) Bhutan Ethiopia NepaL Kenya Sri Lanka Mauritius Somalia Country Department 11 Sudan Cambodia Uganda Korea, Rep. of Lao People's DOem. Rep. South-Centr **a** l nd Indian Ocean Malaysia Department (AF3) Hyarmar Burundi PhiLippines Comoros Thailand Djibouti Viet Nam Madagascar Rwanda Country Department III Seychelles China (excluding Taiwan) Rwanda Country Department III Seychelles China (excluding Taiwan) Countr Department IV Western Africa Department (AF4) India Ghana Guinea-Bissau Country Department V Liberia Fiji Nigeria Indonesia Sao Tome and Principe Kiribati Sierra Leone Maldives Papua New Guinea Sahelian Department (AF5) Department (AF5) (AF5) Solomon Islands Burkina Faso Faso Tonga Cape Verde Vanuatu Chad Western Samna Sahelian Department (AF5) Department (AF5) (AF5) Burkina Faso Faso Cape Verde Chad Gambia, The Mali Mauritania Niger Senegal

### Nonborrowers

East and Southeast Asia Brunei Hong Kong Japan Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of Macao Mongolia Singapore Taiwan, China Southern Africa Department (AF6) Botswana Lesotho Malawi Mozambique Swaziland Tanzania Zambia Ziababwe Oceania Australia French PoLynesia Guam New Caledonia New Zealand Pacific Islands Other Micronesia Other Polynesia _Europe, Middle East, and North Africa (EMN) Region (and U.S.S.R.)_ Country Department I Pakistan Turkey Country Department II Atgeria Libya MaLta Morocco Tunisia Tunisia Country Department III Bahrain Egypt, Arab Rep. of Iran, Islamic Rep. of Iraq Jordan Lebanon Lebanon Oman West Bank Qatar Saudi Arabia Syria United Arab Emirates Yemen Arab Rep. Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. of Country Department IV Cyprus Hungary Potand Portugan Romania Yugoslavia
INTRODUCTION XXXV

# Exhlbit 2 (continued)

Nonborrouers _Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) Region_ Worth Africa Other Worth Africa _(and Northem America)_

### Nonborrouers

Southwest Asiea Country Department I Gaza Strip Brazi Israel Country Department It Europe and U.S.S.R. Costa Rica Albania El Salvador Austria Guatemala Belgium Honduras Bulgaria Mexico Channel Islands Nicaragua Czechoslovakia Panama Denmark Finland Country Department III France Antigua and Barbuda German Dem. Rep. Bahamas Germany, Federal Rep. of Barbados Greece Belize Iceland Bolivia Ireland Colombia Italy Dominica Luxembourg Dominican Rep. Netherlands Grenada Norway Guyana Spain Haiti Sweden Jamaica Switzerland Montserrat United Kingdom St. Kitts and Nevis Other Europe U.S.S.R.

St. Lucia St. Vincent and the Grenadines _Saurban(nameeio_ STrinid **a** d nd Tobago VenezueLa Country Department IV Argentina Chile Ecuade. Paraguay Peru Uruguay

## Nonborrowers

Latin America and the Caribbean Cuba Guadeloupe Martinique Netherlands AntiLLes Virgin Islands (U.S.) Other Latin America Northern America Canada Puerto Rico United States of America Other Northern America
## xxxCVi INTRODUCTION

The relative contributions of the regions to world population growth are shown in Figure 19 (see also Tables 13-15). The Asia region is now contributing half of world population growth, and the other three regions are each contributing 10 to 16 percent. The contribution to growth of the Asia region is projected to decline relative to the contributions of other regions: around 2030 it will actually fall below the contribution of the Africa region, and around 2060 below the contnbution of the EMN region.

The contributions of both these regions are projected to rise rapidly, even with expected fertility transition in all their countries. Around 2075, the Africa region will have only a fifth of world population, but will be responsibie for more population growth than all the rest of the world. The EMN region will have 15 percent of world population, but will be responsible for a quarter of the growth. Even with fertility decline taken into account, the Africa region will double in size in 23 years, the EMN region (despite including some countries of Eastern and Southern Europe) in 32 years.

Population growth in the LAC region is not insignificant either. This region is growing. faster than the Asia region and has marginally higher population momentum than any other region. Ever, should the LAC region attain replacement fertility immediately, population would still grow 60 percent because of the young age structure.

the country departments generally have growth prospects similar to those of the regions to which they belong. The departments covering the largest populations are the singlecountry China and India departments and the Southeast Asia department, the latter covering 270 million people. The remaining departments each cover between 40 and 170 million people. By 2025, these other departments, assuming they will still exist in the same form, will each cover between 110 and 460 million people. Annual population growth rates for the entire 1985-2025 period will be between 2.6 and 2.8 percent in all the Africa departments; between 2.2 and 2.4 percent -n three of the four EMN departments, excluding the Europe department; between 1.3 and 1.6 percent in all the LAC departments; and 1.4 percent in three of the five Asia departments, China being lower at 1.0 percent and Other South Asia (excluding India) higher at 1.9 percent.

These differences between regions and similarities within them are mainly rooted in fertility patterns (Table 16). Total fertility is between 6.4 and 6.7 in each Africa department; between 5.2 and 5.8 in three of the four EMN departments; between 3.4 and 3.9 in each LAC department; and more variable only in the Asia region, where it ranges from 2.4 to 5.2 across departments. Mortality patterns are also quite similar among departments in each region. Infant mortality per thousand is over 100 in each Africa department; between 70 and 100 in three of the four EMN departments; between 50 and 65 in each LAC department; and more variable only in the Asia region, where it ranges from 30 to 110. Projected trends will introduce only slightly more heterogeneity within regions: the Sahelian department, for instance, is expected to lag behind other Africa departments in both mortality and fertility decline.

Much more heterogeneity does exist among countries in particular regions. However, the similarities across the occasionally arbitrary groupings of countries that form departments suggest that underlying demographic regimes may be broadly shared within regions, with country variations reflecting haphazard influences that distort these regimes in different directions.

# _Some Countiy Results_

Countries and economies provide a much more complex demographic mosaic than these regions, and a detailed account of their projected demographic future will not be given here. Instead, we focus on some highlights that emerge when countries are contrasted on population
INTRODUCTION XXXVii Figure 19 Percentage Contribution to World Population Growth-from World Bank Regions and Nonborrowers, 1985-2100 <!-- Start of picture text --> 60<br>50<br>30 AF<br>20 -<br>10<br>LAC<br>1985 2000 2015 2030 2045 2060 2075 2090<br><!-- End of picture text --> growth (Tables 17 and 18), age structure (Table 19), and vital rates.

China is the most populous country or economy, and remains so in these projections almost until the end, not quite 200 years in the future. Rankings by size among other large countries will be changing well before that point. Nigeria and Pakistan, in particular, will be moving up, from ninth-tenth today to seventh-eight by the turn of the century and to fifth-sixth by 2025. Japan will fall out of the group of ten largest countries, and by 2025 will have fewer people than Mexico, Iran, or Viet Nam.

India presently contributes more to world population growth than China or any other country, and will continue to do so throughout the projection period. After India and China, the leading contributors to world population growth are Pakistan and Nigeria. At the other extreme, the Federal Republic of Germany is contracting by 100,000 people a year. Even recent mass migrations from the German Democratic Republic--which occurred too recently to be incorporated in these estimates--are unlikely to produce substantial population growth. Hungary is also losing population, but only a fifth as much as the Federal Republic of Germany.

Despite contributing so much to growth, none of the large countries is growing as fast as some states in the Persian Gulf and in Sub-Saharan Africa. In the Gulf, Qatar and Oman are growing by more than 4 percent a year, and Saudi Arabia, Djibouti, and Kuwait by more than 3.7 percent. In Africa, Cote d'lvoire and Kenya are growing by more than 4 percent, and Zambia by about 3.7 percent.

Rapid growth partly accounts for Kenya having a dependency ratio as high as 120, well above any other national ratio. Other countries with, ratios above 104 (other than small islands) are Botswana, the Yemen Arab Republic, and Zambia. By contrast, exceptionally low dependency ratios, indicating relatively large working-age populations, characterize such vigorous
## xxxviii INTRODUCTON

economies as Singapore (the lowest at 42), the Federal Republic of Germany, Hong Kong, and Japan. This is projected to change: by 2025, atl these low-dependency countries w.ll have only middling dependency ratios, as their aged populations increase relative to those of working age. The highest proportions of the aged are currently in Sweden, Norway, the United Kingdom, and Denmark, where dependency ratios are at least 10 points higher than in Singapore.

The countries with most rapid growth are also among those with the highest fertility levels. Total fertility is above 7.2 in Rwanda, the Yemen Arab Republic, Kenya, Malawi, and Cote d'lvoire, and just below this level in Saudi Arabia and Oman. At the other end are some European countries now reporting very low fertility, chief among them Italy and the rederal Republic of Germany.

The shortest life expectancies, barely 40 years, are estimated for Afghanistan and in West Africa, particularly for Guinea-Bissau, Sierra Leone, Guinea, and the Gambia. Other West African countries follow close behind. At the other end of the scale, life expectancies in Japan, France, and Iceland are almost twice as long.

# _Conclusion_

Increasing numbers of people continue to be added to world population every year. To the 5.1 billion people in mid-1988, about 90 million were added within a year, and about 91 million more are expected to be added by mid-1990. A few developing countries have demonstrated that fairly rapid fertility decline is possible; others have exhibited gradual, long-term fertility decline. Nevertheless, the resulting lower population growth rates have not compensated for the steadily enlarging population base. The world will enter the next century with at least a billion more people than today, and will add another billion in the following decade.

Regions and individual countries do face different demographic prospects. For SubSaharan Africa, and even more for particular countries in the region, the likelihood of population doubling within 25 years, within the span of a generation, is sobering for anyone attempting to deal with societal problems. By the middle of the next century, the region could be more than four times its current size.

For the large countries of Asia, the numbers of people being added each year are so large as to be difficult to visualize. India adds to its population every year as many people as live in Nepal or Australia, while the annual increase in Pakistan is equivalent to one-and-a-half Singapores. _._ The situation for the Middle East and North Africa may appear on the surface less immediately alarming. Nevertheless, the region contains some of the fastest growing populations in the world, and eventually is likely to outstrip Asia in the number of people added each year.

Latin American and Caribbean countries are more advanced in demographic transition than Africa or South Asia. Nevertheless, 2 percent annual growth is not quite over for the region, and certainly not for particular countries. The legacy of past rapid growth, in young age structures, provides considerable momentum for further growth.

The more developed regions do not face problems of rapid growth, but they do face other demographic dilemmas. Only a few are actually experiencing population decline, but most will experience further aging of the population and rising dependency burdens.

Like all projections, these varied prospects depend on the assumptions that have been
INTRODUCl ION XXXiX made, which were specified above. The assumed trends in vital rates partly reflect the efforts that have been made throughout the developing world to restrain fertility, as well as to reduce mortality, in effect actually taking into account some exceptional past experiences at reducing growth. Altering these trends and producing more rapid deceleration of population growth is possible, but would probably require at least as much, and probably much more, demographic intervention as in the recent past.

# REFERENCES

- Arnold, Fred. 1989. Revised estimates and projecticns of international migration. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Papers, No. 275. Washington, D.C: World Bank.

- Bos, Eduard, and Rodolfo A. Bulatao. 1989. Projecting fertility for all countries. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Papers. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Forthcoming.

- Blum, Alain, and Roland Pressat. 1987. Une nouvelle table de mortalitd pour l'URSS (19841985). _Population_ 42(6):843-862.

- Bulatao, Rodolfo A., and Eduard Bos. 1989. Projecting mortality for all countries. Policy, Planning, and Research Working Papers. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Forthcoming.

- Bulatao, Rodolfo A., and Ann Elwan. 1985. Fertility and mortality transition: Patterns, projections, and interdependence. World Bank Staff Working Paper No. 681. Washington, D.C

- Coale, Ansley J., and Paul Demeny (with Barbara Vaughn). 1983. _Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations._ 2nd ed. New York: Academic Press.

- Eurostat. 1987. _Demographic Stati&tics._ Luxembourg: Statistical Office of the European Communities.

Hill, Kenneth. n.d. ProjPC-II: User's manual. Washington, D.C: World Bank.

- Jamison, Ellen, Peter D. Johnson, and Richard A. Engels. 1987. World Population Profile: 1987. Washington, D.C: Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

Monnier, Alain. 1988. "La conjoncture ddmographique: L'Europe et les pays ddveloppds d'outremer,a _Population_ 43(4-5):893-904.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1984. _Population and Vital Statistics Report. 1984 Special Supplement._ New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1989. _World Population Prospects 1988._ New York. United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. _Demographic Yearbook._ New York: United Nations.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years. _Population and Vital Statistics Report._ New York: United Nations.

- U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1983. _World Population 1983--Recent Demographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World._ Washington, D.C.

- U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1985. _World Population: Recent Demographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World._ Washington, D.C.

- World Bank. 1989. _World Development Report 1989._ New York: Oxford University Press. Zachariah, K C., and My T. Vu. 1988. _World Population Projections: 1987-88 Edition._ Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press.
Xl INTRODUCTION

# APPENDIX: SOURCES

|Country,|Last oubli|shed census<br>|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or<br>territory|Date|Population<br>(1000)*|Total population.<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|Afghanistan|Jun 79|13051 F|Bank projection<br>from census, IncL.<br>f|U.N. 1989 (preLim. version)|
||||reugees assumed absent tenporarily||
|Altbania|Oct 60|1626 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Algeria|Apr87|22971 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank sector report 6/88|
|American Samoa|Apr 80|32 J|Based on UNPVSR<br>1/88|-|
|Andorra|_NoWv_<br>54|6F|USBOC 1983||
|Angola|Dec 70|5646 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Anguilla||--<br>-|<br>UNPVSR 1/87|<br>|
|Antigua and<br>Barbuda|Apr 70|66F|UNPVSR<br>7/86(official<br>est.)|6ased on official<br>COR|
|Argentina|Oct 80|27947 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Aruba|Feb 81|60 J|Based on UNPVSR<br>1987-89|--|
|Australia|Jun 81|14576 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|
|||||and U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Austria|may81|7555 J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|<br><br>Monnier 1988|
|Bahamas|may80|223 F|UNDY 1986|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87 (officiaL<br>est.)|
|Bahrain|Apr 81|351 F|Official<br>est.,<br>Central Statistics|<br><br>U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
||||Orgqnization, 10/89||
|Bangladesh|Mar81|87120 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989Cprelim.version)|
|Barbados|may80|252 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88 (officiaL<br>est.)|
|Belgium|Mar81|9849 J|Based on Eurostat 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Belize|may80|143 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on USSOC 1985|
|Benin|Mar79|3331 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank assessment of 1961 survey and WFS|
|Bermuda|May80|68 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Bhutan|Dee 69|1035 F|Based on 1980and1986 official<br>est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Bolivia<br>|Sep 76|4613 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim. version)|
|Botswana<br>|Aug 81<br>|941 F<br>|Bank projection<br>from 1981 census|DHS 1988|
|Brazil|Sep 80|121149 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|British<br>Virgin|Nay80|12 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)|<br>--|
|Islands|||<br>||
|Brunei|Aug 81|193 F|Based on 1981 census|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88|
||||and 1986 official<br>est.|(officiel<br>est.)|
|Bulgaria|Dec85|8948 F|UNPVSR<br>3/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Burkina Faso|Dec 85|7747F|Based on 1985 census|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Burundi|Aug79|4028 F|Bank projection<br>from census|DHS 1987|
|Canfbodia|Apr 62|5729 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Cameroon|<br>Apr 76|7090 F|<br>Bank projection<br>from census|<br><br>Based on WFS|
||||adjusted for 7.4X undercount||
|Canada|Jun 86|25309 J|<br>UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Official<br>est.,<br>Population Projections|
|||||for Canada, 1984-2006|
|Cape Verde|Jun 80|289 F|UNPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.)|Bank assessment|
|Cayman Islands|Oct89|17 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)||
|Central African|Dec 75|2055 F|Bank projection<br>from 1975 census|Bank est.|
|Rep.<br>|||adjusted for 11.3X undercount||
|Chad|Dec 63|3254_f_|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Channel Islands|MarL6|135 F|Based on 1981and1986 censuses|Based on UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)|
INTRODUCTION Xli OF POPULATION DATA

|Life expectancy,<br>1985-90|infant<br>mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>riid-1985|Country,<br>economy,<br>Of<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Afghanhct.n|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Albania|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Algeria|
||||American Samoa|
|||- ..|<br>Andorra|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version;|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>versionr)|Angola<br>Anguilla|
|Based on official<br>CDR|UNPVSR (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1978|Antigua and<br>Barbuda|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>.|Argentina|
||--<br>-|--|Aruba|
|U.N. 19a9 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Australia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>es|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>t.) UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNDY 1986|Austria<br>Bahamas|
|U.N. 1989 (preti.m.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (<-etim.<br>version)|Bahrain|
|U.N. 1989 (preltm.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR 10/88|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on official IR|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank est.|Bangladesh<br>Barbados|
|(official<br>est.)||||
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Belgiun|
|Based on USBOC 1985|Based on USBOC 1985|Based on UNDY 1978|Belize|
|Bank assessment ofqbfromUfS|Bank assessment of_aS_from|eS<br>Based on 1979 census|Benin<br>|
||--<br>from<br>FS|-.|B-Bermuda|
|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bhutan|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bolivia|
|OHS 1988|OHS 1988|Bank assessment|Botswana|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Brazil|
||||British<br>Virgin<br>Islands|
|Bank est.|Bank est.|Bank est.|Brunei|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bulgaria|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank .,ssessment|Burkina Faso|
|Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank -st.|Burundi|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelin.<br>version)|Bank est.|Cambodia|
|Bank assessment<br>of ol from JFS|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on 1976 census|Cameroon|
|Official<br>est., Pop. Projections<br>for Canada,<br>1984-2006|<br>UNPYSR 10i88 (official<br>est.)|Official<br>est., Pop. Projection<br>for Canada, 1984-2006|s Canada|
|Based on official<br>CDR|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|Cape Verde|
||||Cayman Islands|
|Bank assessment<br>of o% from|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>vee on)|Bank assessment|<br>Central African|
|census|||Rep.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Chad|
|Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1981|Channel Islands|
XlIi INTRODUCTnON

# Appendix (continued)

|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|Last oublis<br>Date|hed census<br>Population<br>(1000)<br>*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Chile|Apr 82|11330 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|China (excl.<br>Taiwan)|Jul 72|1031883<br>F|Bank projection<br>from Sank report<br>report 3/88|Based on CBR from 1987 survey|
|rolombia|Oct 85|27838 J|Based on official<br>data|Based on official<br>data|
|Comoros|Sep 80|386F|Bank projection<br>from census, excl.|Bank sector report|
||||Mayotte<br>(pop 50.74 thousand)||
|Congo, People$s<br>Rep. of the|Dec 84|1843 F|<br> <br>Bank projection<br>from 1984 census|Bank est.|
|Cook Islands|Dec 86|17 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (offical<br>est.)||
|Costa Rica|Nov 84|2417 J|Official<br>est., Direcci6n<br>General<br>de Estadistica<br>yCensos|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|C6te dlIvoire|Apr 75|6709 F|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Cuba|Sep 81|9724 F|UNPVSR 10/86 (official<br>eat.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Cyprus|Sep 76|613 J|Based on UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|
|Czechoslovakia|Nov 80|15283 F|<br>U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Dernark|Jan 81|5123 J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Djibouti|60-61|81 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Dominica|Apr 81|74 F|Bank projection<br>from official<br>1978-|<br><br>Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
||||83 est., Ministry<br>of Health 10/84||
|Dominican<br>Rep.|Dec 81|5648 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Ecuador|Nov 82|8061 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br><br>DHS 1987|
|Egypt|Nov 86|48205 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on 4/89 DHS prelim. result|
|El Salvador|Jin 71|3555 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Equatorial|Jul 83|300 F|Bank projettion<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Guinea|||and 1982 household<br>Listing||
|Ethiopia|Sep 84|42169 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>of U.N. data,|
|||||with correction<br>for 1984 famine|
|Faeroe Islands|Sep 77|42 J|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Falk!and Island|s Dec 80|2 F|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Fiji|Aug 86|715 F|Based on 1986 census|USBOC 1987|
|Finland|Nov 85|4911-J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|France|Mar 82|54335 F|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|Honnier 1988|
|French<br>Guiana|Mar 82|73J|UNPVSR 1/87||
|French<br>Polynesi|a Oct 83|167 F|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|USBOC 1987|
|Gabon|Oct 60|449 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Gambia. The|Apr 83|688 F|<br>Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Gaza Strip|Sep 67|356 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|
|Germany,<br>Federa|l may 87|61028 J|<br> <br>Bi.sed<br>on Eurostat 1987|Monnier 1988|
|Rep. of|||||
|GermanDem.Rep.|Dec 81|16706 J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>eat.)|Based onCBR|
|Ghana<br>|Har 84|12296 F|Official<br>est.|DHS 1988|
|Gibraltar<br>|Nov 81<br>|30 F|UNPVSR 1/87||
|Greece|Apr 81|9740 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Greenland|Oct 76|50 J|UNPVSR 1/87|<br>|
|Grenada|May 81|89 F|Bank projection<br>from official|Based on official 1980-85 est.,|
||||1983 est., Ministry<br>of Finance|<br>Ministry<br>of Finance|

U.N. 1989 (prelim. version) Based on official 1980-85 est., Ministry of Finance
INTRODUCTION xliii

|Life expectancy,<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure.<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br>Based on Bank report<br>3/88|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank assessment|Chile<br>China texcL.<br>Taiwan)|
|Based on official<br>data<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Colombia|
|Bank assessment|U.W. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|Comoros|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prolim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Congo, Peopte's<br>Rep. of the|
||--|--|Cook<br>Islands|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Costa Rica|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|Bank assessment<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|CMte d'lvoire<br>Cuba|
|(official<br>est.)||||
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bank est.<br>|Cyprus|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (pselim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Czechoslovakia<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Denmark|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>UNDY 1970|Djibouti<br>Dominica|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Dominican<br>Rep.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Ecuador|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Egypt|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>verslon)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank est.|El Salvador<br>Equatorial<br>Guinea|
|Bank sector report,<br>which<br>corrected for1984 famine|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Ethiopia|
||||Faeroe Islandxs|
||||Falkland Islands|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|USBOC1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)<br>|Fiji|
|Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br> <br>|Homier 1988|U.N.1989 (prelim. version)|Finland|
|(official<br>est.)||||
|Homier 1988|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|France<br>French Guiana|
|USBOC 1987<br>|USBOC 1987|Bank est.|French<br>Polynesia|
|Bank est.<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Bank assessment|Gabon|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Gambia, The|
|USBOC 1987|USBOC 1987|Bank est.|Gaza Strip|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Homier 1988<br>*|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Germany, Federal<br>Rep. of|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|German Dem. Rep.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>-|Ghana<br>Gibraltar|
|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Greece<br>|
||||Greenland|
|Based official<br>1980-85<br>est.,<br>Ministry<br>of Finance|Bank projection|Bank est.|Grenada|
Xliv INTRODUCnON

# Appendix (continued)

|Country,|Last-ublish|ed<br>census<br>|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or<br>territory|Date|Population<br>(1000)*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertitity,<br>1985-90|
|Guadeloupe|Mar 82|327 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Guam|Apr 80|106 J|USBOC 1987|USBOC 1987|
|Guatemala|Mar 81|6054 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|U.N. 1989 (pretim. version)|
|Guinea|Feb 83|4533 F|Bank projection from census|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Guinea-Bissau|Apr 89|753 F|Bank projection<br>from census|<br>Bank est.|
|Guyana|may 80|759 F|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR|
|Haiti|Aug 82|5054 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Holy See|<br>Apr 48|1 F|<br> <br>UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)|<br>|
|Honduras|Mar 74|2657 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Hong Kong|Mar 86|5396 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Hungary|Jan 80|10709 F|Official<br>est., Pocket Book, Hungary|<br>Monnier 1988|
|Iceland|Dec 70|205 J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|India|Mar 81|685185 F|Bank projection<br>from|USBOC 1987|
||||adjusted '981 census||
|Indonesia|Oct 80|147490 F|Official<br>est., Biro|Based on Contraceptive<br>Prevalence|
||||Pusat Statistik<br>1/88|Survey (DHS) 1987|
|Iran. Islamic<br>Rep. of|Sep 86|49445 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|<br>Iraq|Oct 87|16278 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Ireland|Apr 86|3541 F|Based on 1981 and 1986 censuses|<br>Based on Eurostat 1987|
|Isle of Man|Apr 86|62 J|USBOC 1985||
|Israel|Jun 83|4038 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|italy|Oct 81|56557 F|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|Based on Eurostat 1987|
|Jamaica|Jun 82|2206 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Japan|Oct 85|121049 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Johnston<br>Island|Apr 70|1 F|Based on UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)|--|
|Jordan|Nov 79|2100 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|
|Kenya|Aug 79|15327 F|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Projected<br>from 1980-85 Bank est.|
|||||based on various national<br>surveys|
|Kiribati|May 85|64 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|USBOC 1987|
|Korea,<br>People's<br>Dem. Rep. of|May 44|a_F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Korea. Rep. of|Nov 85|40449 F|Official<br>est.,<br>Economic|Bank assessment|
||||Planning<br>Board||
|Kuwait|Apr 85|1697 F|<br>UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Lao People's|Mar 85|3585 F|<br>UN 1989 (prelim version)|<br><br>UN 1989 (relim<br>version)|
|<br>Dem. Rep.|||.. .|.. p.<br>|
|Lebanon|Nov 70|2126 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Lesotho|Apr 76|1216 F|Bank projection<br>from 1986 census|Based on WFS 1977|
|Liberia|Feb 84|2102 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|OHS 1986|
|Libya|Jul 84|3637 J|<br> <br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>vers5ion)|<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|<br>Liechenstein|Dec 80|25 F|<br> <br>UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)|<br>|
|Luxenbourg|Mar 81|364 J|<br><br>UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Monnier 1988|
|Macao|Mar 81|248 J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988|
|Madagascar|74*75|7604 F|Bank projection<br>from census<br>|Bank assessment<br>of 1980 survey|
||||and 1980 budget survey||
|Halawi|Sep 87|7983 F|<br>Bank projection<br>from census|Based on 1977 census|
INTRODUCTION xlv

|Life expectancy,<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality.<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy,or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Guadit.;<br>.'pe|
|USBOC 1987<br> <br>|USBOC 1987<br> <br>|Bank est.|Guam|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Guatemala|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Guinea|
|Bank est.<br> <br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank assessment<br>|Guinea-Bissau|
|Based on official<br>CDR<br> <br>|Bank projection<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Guyana|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Haiti|
|<br>||-.<br>.|Holy<br>See|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Honduras|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Hong Kong|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|1980 census|Hungary|
|Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br> <br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Iceland|
|(official<br>est.)<br> <br>||||
|U.N. 1989 (prslim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank projection<br>based on<br>1981 census|India|
|Based on Contraceptive<br> <br>|8ased on Contraceptive|Biro Pusat Statistik<br>1/88|Indonesia|
|Prevalence<br>Survey (DHS) 1987|Prevalence<br>Survey (DHS) 1987|||
|Sank est.|Bank est.|Bank est.|Iran, Istamic|
||||Rep. of|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on Eurostat<br>1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Iraq<br>Ireland<br>|
||||*Ise of Man|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|IsraeL|
|Based on Eurostat<br>1987<br> <br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Italy|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Jamaica|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Monnier<br>1988|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Japan|
||||Johnston Island|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|Jordan|
|Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Kenya|
|USBOC 1987<br>|USBOC 1987<br>|Bank est.|Kiribati|
|USBOC 1987|USBCK;<br>1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Korea, People's<br>|
||||Dem. Rep. of|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Korea, Rep. of|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Kuwait|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Lao People's<br>Dem. Rep.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Lebanon|
|Based on WFS 1977|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Lesotho|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Liberia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Libya|
||||Liechenstein|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Luxeabourg|
|Based on Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988<br> <br>|Based on Pop. Ref. Bureau 1988<br> <br>|Bank est.<br> <br>|Macao|
|Bank assessment<br>of 1980 and<br>1984 surves|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Madagascar|
|y<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Malawi|
## XlVi INTRODUCTON

# Appendix (continued)

|Country,|Last rublis|hed census|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or<br>territory|Date|Population<br>(1000)*|Total population.<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|Malaysia|Jun 80|13183 F|Official<br>est.,<br>Dept.ofStatistics|Bank est.|
|Haldives<br>|Mar85<br>|180 F<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bankprojection<br>|
|Hali|Apr 87|7620 J|sankprojection<br>from census|DHS 1987|
|Malta<br>|Nov85<br>|345 F<br>|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Martinique|Mar 82|327i|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Mauritania|Jan 77|1339 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Rauritius<br>|Jul 83<br>|1000 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|UNPVSR<br>7/86|
|Mexico|Jun 80|66847 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|midway Islands|Apr 70|2 F|Based on UNWPVSR<br>7/89 cofficial<br>est.)||
|Monaco<br>|Mar82|27 J|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Mongolia<br>|Jan 79|1595 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Montserrat|may80|12 F|UNPVSR<br>10/88 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>1/87 (officiaL<br>est.)|
|Morocco|Sep 82|20450 F|U.N. 1989 (preLim. version)|Based on DHS 1987 (revised pretim.)|
|Mozaubique|Aug 80|11674 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Hyanmar<br>|Mar83<br>|35308 F<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim. version)|
|Namibia|May70|762 F|Bank projection<br>from|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
||||unpublished 5/81 census||
|Nauru<br>|Jan77<br>|7F|Based on UNPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.)|-|
|Nepal|Jun 81|15023 J|Official<br>est.,<br>Cen. Bur.ofStat.|Based on Goverrnent survey|
|Netherlands|Feb 71|13060 J|Based on Eurostat 1987|Honnier 1988|
|Netherlands|Mar81|172J|Based on 1971. 1981 censuses (excl.|Based on USBOC 1985|
|Antilles|||Aruba), adjustedfor 22undercount||
|New Caledonia|Apr 83|145 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|USBOC 1987|
|NewZealand<br>|Apr 83<br>|3307 F<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Homier 1988|
|Nicaragua|Apr 71|1877 J|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Niger|May88|7250 F|Bank projection<br>from 1988 census|Bank assessment|
|Nigeria|Nov 63|55670 F|Bank projection<br>from official<br>data|Based on DHS resutt for OndoState|
|Niue|Sep 86|3 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Norway|Nov 80|4091 J|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Oman|||U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Pacific<br>Islands,|Sep 80|133 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>vers7 n)|USBOC 1987|
|Trust Terr.|||||
|Pakistan|Har 81|84254F|Bank assessmentof1981 census|Bank est.|
|Panama|may80|1831 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|PapuaNewGuinea|Sep 80|3011F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Paraguay|Jul 82|3030 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Peru|Jul 81|17005 F|Bank projection<br>from census.|Projected<br>from Bank assessment|
||||adjusted<br>for4.1X undercount|for<br>1980-85|
|Philippines|May80|48C98 J|Bank projection<br>from census,|Based on 4/86 Contraceptive<br>Prevalence|
||||adjusted<br>for 1.9X undercount|Survey estimate<br>of CBR|
|Pitcairn|Dec 87|b F|UNPVSR 4/87||
|Poland|Dec 78|35061J|UNPVSR7/86(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Portugal|Mar81|9833 F|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Puirto<br>Rico<br>|Apr80<br>|3197F<br>|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|Based on UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br>|
|Qatar|Mar86|369 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Reunion|Mar82|516 J|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
INTRODUCTION xlvii

|Life expectancy.<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy,<br>or<br> <br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>Malaysia|
|Bank est.|USB0C 1987|Bank est.|Maldives|
|Bank assessment<br>of 1960-61<br>survey|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Mali|
|and age data from 1976 census||||
|U.N. 1989 tprelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>Malts|
|U.N. 1989 (preltm.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>Martinique|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank<br>assessment|Maurilqnia|
|UNPVSR 7/86 (officiet<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>.|Mauritius|
|U.N. 1989 (prellm.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prellim.<br>version)|<br>Mexico|
|--<br>--||--|Midway Islands|
|- -|- -|- -|<br>Monaco|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>Mongolia|
|BasedonUNPVSR 1/87 tofficial<br>est|.) Bank projection|UNDY 1984|Mntlserrat|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|DHS est. for 1982-86|U.N. 1989 (prellm.<br>version)|<br>Morocco|
|Based on official<br>CDR|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Mozambique|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|<br>Myanmar|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>based on<br>stable population<br>models|Namibia|
|- -|--|<br>--|Nauru|
|U.W. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on government<br>survey|Bank est.|Nepal|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Netherlands|
|Based on USBOC 1987|Based on USBOC 1987|UNDY 1980|Netherlands<br>AntiLles|
|USBOC 1987|USBOC 1987|Bank est.|New CaLedonia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|<br>New Zealand|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Nicaragua|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment<br>based on<br>|Niger|
|||1977 de jure population||
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Nigeria|
||||Niue|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Norway|
|U.N. 1989 (prellm.<br>version)|U.N. J989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Oman|
|USBOC 1987|Based on eo, USBOC 1987|Bank est.|Pacific Islands,|
||||Trust Terr.|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|Pakistan|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Panama|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1939 (prelim.<br>version)|Papua New Guinea|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N..<br>1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Paraguay|
|Projected<br>froa Bank assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Peru|
|for 1980-85||||
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Phitippines|
||||Pitcairn|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Potand|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Portugal|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Puerto Rico|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Oatar|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Rcunion|
# XMii INTRODUCMON

# Appendix (continued)

|Country.<br>econromy,<br>or<br>territory|Last oubl<br>Date|ished<br>censu3<br>Population<br>(1000)<br>*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Romnnla|Jan 77|21560 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Rwanda|Aug 78|4800 J|Bank projection<br>from census<br>and|Bank est.|
||||1970 survey||
|San Marino|Nov 76|19 F|UNPVSR 1/87 (officiaL<br>est.)||
|Sa6 Tom6 and|Aug 81|97 F|UMPVSR 1/88 (officiaL<br>est.)|Based on U.N. 1984|
|Principe|||||
|Saudi Arabia|Sep 84|7012 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|SenegaL|Jun 88|6882 F|Official<br>est.. Sit -ion<br>Economique<br>du Ser iL|DHS 198E|
|Seychlles|Aug 77|62 F|<br>UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank proje.tion|
|Sierra Leone|Dec 85|3516 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Based on 1974 census|
|Singapore|Jun 80|2414 F|<br>UNPVSR<br>6/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Solomon<br>Island|s Nov 86|285 F|USBOC<br>1985|USBOC<br>1987|
|Somalia|Feb 75|3253 F|Bank projection<br>from census,|Bank est.|
||||adjusted for20X undercour.t||
|South Africa|mar 85|23385 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preiim.<br>version)|
|Spain|Mar 81|37746 F|Based on Eurostat<br>1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>v.ersion)|
|Sri Lanka|Mar 81|14847 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on DHS 1987|
|St. Helena|Feb 87|6 F|UNPVSR 1/89 (officiaL<br>est.), Inct.<br>Ascencion<br>and Tristan<br>da Cunha||
|St. Kftts and<br>Nevis|May 80|44 F|Official est., Statistical<br>office,<br>Planning<br>Unit|Based on o:ficial<br>CBR, Statistical<br>Office, Panning Unit|
|St. Lucia|May 80|115 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (officiaL<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR, Stat. Office|
|St. Vincent<br>and|May 80|98 F|Based on official<br>data for 1980-83|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|the Grenadine|s||projected with 1.2X growth rate||
|St. Pierre and<br>NiqueLon|Mar 82|6 F|<br>UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)||
|Sudan|Feb 83|20564 F|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Suriname|Jul 80|352 F|Official<br>est., Central Bureau|Based on official<br>CBR, Central|
||||of Civil Affairs|Bureau of Civil Affairs|
|Swaziland|Aug 86|676.F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Sweden|Nov 85|8360 J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UMPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Switzerland|Dec 80|6366J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Syrian Arab Rep.|Sep 81|9046 F|U.N. 1989(prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|
|Taiwan, China|Dec 80|17513 F|Based on USBOC 1987|Based on USBOC 1987|
|Tanzania|Aug 88|17969 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank est.|
|Thailand|Apr 80|44825 F|Official<br>est., National<br>Economic|Official<br>projection,<br>1985|
||||and Social<br>Development<br>Board 1985||
|Togo|Nov 81|2705F|<br> <br>,<br>Bank projection<br>from census|Bank assessment|
|Tokelau Islands|Oct 82|2 F|<br>Based on UNPVSR<br>7/89 (official<br>est.)|--|
|Tonga|Nov 86|95J|<br> <br>Based on 1984 mini-census|USBOC 1987|
|<br>Trinidad<br>and|May 80|1080 F|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|<br>Based on DHS 1987|
|Tobago|||||
|Tunisia|Mar 84|6966 F|UNPVSR 1/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Turkey|Oct 85|50665 F|Official<br>est.|Based on official<br>est.|
|Turks and Caico<br>Istards|s May 80|7 F|UNPVSR 1/87||
INTRODUCTION xlix

|Life expectancy,<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on UNPVSR 10/88<br>(official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Romania|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Rwanda|
|||--<br>-|San Marino|
|Bank assessment|Bank assessment|Bank assessment|Sao Tomb and<br>Principe|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Estimated<br>from country life table|U.N.1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>versi0n)<br>Official<br>est.|Saudi Arabia<br>Senegal|
|prepared<br>by D. Ewbank,<br>U. Penn.||||
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|IJNPVSR<br>7/88 (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1984|Seychelles|
|Banx assessment|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bankassessment|Sierra Leone|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on USSOC 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>USBOC 1987|U.N.1989 (prelim. version)<br>Bank est.|Singapore<br>Solomon Istands|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Somalia|
|U.N. 1989 (preLlm.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on 1980 census|South Africa|
|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on DHS 1987|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N.1989 (prellm. version)|Spain<br>Sri Lanka|
|--|--|UNDY 1981|St.Helena|
|Based on official<br>CDR, Statistical<br>Office.<br>Planning<br>Unit|Based on official IMR, Statistic<br>Office,<br>Planning<br>Unit|al<br>UNDY 1980 census|St. Kitts and<br>Nevis|
|Based on official<br>CDR. Stat. Office<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|Based on official IMR, Stat. Off.<br>UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|UNDY 1980 census<br>UNDY 1983|St. Lucia<br>St. Vincent and<br>the Grenadines|
||||St. Pierre and<br>Miquelon|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Based on official<br>CDR, Central<br>Bureau of Civil Affairs|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>Bank projection|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Sudan<br>Suriname|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Swaziland|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989(prellm. version)|Sweden|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Switzerland|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Syrian Arab Rep.|
|Based on USBOC 1987|Based on USBOC 1987|Bank est.|Taiwan, China|
|Bank est.|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Tanzania|
|Official<br>projection,<br>1985|Based on 1985 survey|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Thailand|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank assessment|Togo|
||||Tokelau Islands|
|Based on USBOC 1987|USBOC 1987|Bank est.|Tonga|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Trinidad<br>and<br>Tobago|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989(prelim.version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Tunisia|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N..1989<br>(prelim.<br>version)|<br>Turkey<br>|
|||-**.** .|Turks and Caicos<br>Islands|
# I INTRODUCTION

## Appendix (continued)

|Country,<br>ecorlnoy'<br>or|Last wubli|shed census<br>Population|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|territory|Date|(1000)<br>*|Total population,<br>mid-1985|Total fertility,<br>1985-90|
|Tuvalu|May 79|7 F|Based on UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)|--|
|Uganda|Aug 69|9549 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|United Arab<br>Emirates|Dec 80|1043 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|United Kingdom|Apr 81|55678 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|United States<br>of America|Apr 80|226546 F|UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Uruguay|Oct 85|2955 F|Official<br>est. from 1985 census|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|U.S.S.R.|Jan 89|286717 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Based on Monnier 1988|
|Vanuatu|Jan 79|111 F|Based on official<br>1987 est.|USBOC 1987|
|Venezuela|Oct 81|14517 F|UNPVSR 1/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Viet Nam|Apr 89|64411 F|Bank projection<br>from 1977 census|Bank est.|
|Virgin Islards<br>|Apr 80|97 J|USBOC 1985|Based on USBOC 1987|
|(U.S.)|||||
|Wake Island|Apr 70|2 F|Based on UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)||
|waltis and|Har 76||Based on UNPVSR 7/89 (official<br>est.)|-|
|Futuna|||||
|West Bank||---|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Western Sahara|Dec 70|76425 F|UNPVSR 1/87|--|
|Western<br>Samoa|Nov 81|156 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|Bank est.|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|Feb 86|9274 J|Bank assessment|Bank est.|
|Yemen, People's|Mar 88|2345 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Dem. Rep. of|||||
|Yugoslavia|Mar 81|22425 J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)|
|Zaire|Jul 84|29441 F|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|
|Zambia<br>|Aug 80|5662 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Basedon Bank sector report|
|Zimbabwe|Aug82|7546 F|Bank projection<br>from census|DHS 1988|

Notes: When a source for an estimate is directly cited (e.g., UNPVSR 7/86). the estimate is taken as is from that publication. An estimate "based on" a source is not reported in that publication but derived from data contained in it. When a source is given for a fertitity or mortatity estimate prior to 1985-90, the corresponding 1985-90 estimate is a projection from the eartier estimate. Citations for the main documents referred to here (usually by abbreviations) are in the list of references.

- Nature of poputation estimate: F = de facto, J * de jure.

- -- Not appticabte. No census has been taken, or no estimates uere used because no projections were made for these small countries.

- a Census was for entire peninsula.

- b 55 people.
INTRODUCTION li

|Life**_expectancy,_**<br>1985-90|Infant<br>mortality,<br>1985-90|Age-sex structure,<br>mid-1985|Country,<br>economy, or<br>territory|
|---|---|---|---|
||<br>||Tuvalu<br>|
|8ank est.<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Bank assessment<br> <br>|Uganda<br>i b|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prellm.<br>version)<br> <br>|Unted Ara<br>Emirates<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|UnitedKingdom<br>i|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Unted States<br>of America<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Uruguay<br>|
|Based on Blun and Pressat 1987<br>|Based on Stun and Pressat 1987<br>|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)<br>|U.S.S.R.<br>|
|Bank est.<br> <br>|Bank est.<br> <br>|Bank est.<br> <br>|Vanuatu<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Venezueta<br>|
|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|Bank est.<br>|Viet Nam<br>|
|Based on USsoC 1987|USSOC 1987|UNDY 1980 census|Virgin Istands<br>(U.S.)<br>k<br>|
|- -|-.|--|Wae<br>Island<br>|
||.-|--<br>..|Wallis and<br>|
||||Futuna<br>|
|8ank est.<br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|West Bank<br>|
|-D<br>|--<br>|--<br>|Western Sahara<br>|
|USBOC 1987<br>|USeC= 1987<br>|Bank est.<br>|Western Samoa<br>|
|Bank est.<br> <br>|Bank est.<br> <br>|Sank est.<br> <br>|Yemen Arab Rep.<br>'|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)|Yemen, Peoples<br>Dm R f|
|<br>|<br>|<br>|e. ep. o<br>|
|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|UNPVSR 10/88 (official<br>est.)<br> <br>|YugosLavia<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)<br> <br>|U.N. 1989 (preLim.<br>version)<br> <br>|Zaire<br>|
|U.N. 1989 (pretim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|U.N. 1989 (prelim.<br>version)<br>|Zambia<br>|
|OHS 1988|OHS 1988|Bank assessment|Zimbabwe|
|C5R<br>Crude birth rate<br>||||
|COR<br>Crude death rate<br> <br>||||
|OHS<br>Dimographic and Hea<br> <br>|lth Survey<br>|||
|IHR<br>Infant mortality<br>rat|e|||
|TFR<br>Total fertility<br>rat|e|||
|UNOY<br>United Nations,<br>Dem<br>|oqraphic<br>Yearbook<br>(year is given in<br> <br> <br> <br>|the table)<br> <br> <br>||
|UNPVSR<br>United Nations Pop<br> <br>|ulation<br>and Vitat Statistics<br>Reflor<br> <br>|t<br>(month<br>and year are given in table<br>|)|
|USBOC<br>U.S. Bureau of the<br>WFS<br>World Fertility<br>Surv|ensus (1985; Jamison, Johnson, and<br>ey|ngels, 1987)||
lIi INTRODUCnON Table 9 Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region and by Income Group, 1985-2100

|||Po|pulation|(mill|ions)|||Perce|ntage<br>of|<br>world<br>p|<br>opula|tion|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region<br>or|||||||||||||
|income<br>group|1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|<br>1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World|4,844|5,285|6,204|8,415|10,03|5<br>11,330|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|
|Less devetoped<br>(a)|3,666|4,074|4,939|7,078|8.71|6 10,020|<br>75.7|77.1|79.6|84.1|86.9|88.4|
|More devetoped<br>(a)|1,179|1,211|1,26|5 1,336|1,31|9 1,310|<br>24.3|22.9|20.4|15.9|13.1|11.6|
|Africa|559|<br>651|<br>870|1.587|2,27|5 2,962|<br>11.5|12.3|14.0|18.9|22.7|26.1|
|East Africa|231|<br>271|<br>367|<br>700|1,03|4 1,383|<br>4.8|<br>5.1|<br>5.9|<br>8.3|10.3|12.2|
|West Africa|204|<br>238|<br>320|<br>602|<br>873|1,152|<br>4.2|<br>4.5|<br>5.2|<br>7.2|<br>8.7|10.2|
|North<br>Africa|124|<br>142|<br>182|<br>286|<br>368|<br>427|<br>2.6|<br>2.7|<br>2.9|<br>3.4|<br>3.7|<br>3.8|
|America|667|<br>721|<br>826|1,040|1,14|6 1,192|<br>13.8|13.6|13.3|12.4|11.4|10.5|
|Latin<br>America<br>and Caribbe|an 399|<br>441|<br>525|<br>703|<br>814|<br>864|<br>8.2|<br>8.3|<br>8.5|<br>8.4|<br>8.1|<br>7.6|
|Northern<br>America|268|<br>280|<br>302|<br>336|<br>332|<br>328|<br>5.5|<br>5.3|<br>4.9|<br>4.0|<br>3.3|<br>2.9|
|Asia|2.823|3,100|3,664|4,901|5,72|8 6,288|<br>58.3|58.6|59.1|58.2|57.1|55.5|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|1,65|0 1,781|2,038|2,503|2,71|9 2,822|<br>34.1|33.7|32.8|29.7|27.1|24.9|
|South<br>Asia|1,05|8 1,186|1,45|4 2,108|2,61|4 2,977|<br>21.8|22.4|23.4|25.1|26.0|26.3|
|Southwest<br>Asia|115|<br>132|<br>172|<br>290|<br>396|<br>490|<br>2.4|<br>2.5|<br>2.8|<br>3.4|<br>3.9|<br>4.3|
|Europe<br>and U.S.S.R.|771|<br>787|<br>813|<br>848|<br>843|<br>842|<br>15.9|14.9|13.1|10.1|8.4|<br>7.4|
|Oceania|25|<br>27|31|<br>39|42|<br>44|0.5|0.5|0.5|0.5|0.4|0.4|
|Income group(b)|||||||||||||
|Low|2,711|3,004|3,627|5,165|6,343|7,315|56.0|56.8|58.5|61.4|63.2|64.6|
|Lower-middLe|580|<br>648|<br>792|1,145|1.416|1,609|12.0|12.3|12.8|<br>13.6|14.1|14.2|
|Upper-middle|422|<br>462|545|<br>748|<br>891|<br>989|8.7|8.7|8.8|8.9|8.9|8.7|
|High|767|<br>789|<br>830|<br>884|869|<br>869|15.8|14.9|13.4|<br>10.5|8.7|7.7|
|Nonreporting norgnember|365|<br>382|<br>410|<br>474|515|<br>548|7.5|7.2|6.6|5.6|5.1|4.8|

a. "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zeatand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

b. Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1989. See tisting in Exhibit 1.
INTRODUCTION liii Table 10 Annual Population Increase and Growth<sup>Rate by Geographic Region and by Income Group,</sup> 198S-2100

|Region<br>or<br> <br>|Arc l p<br> <br>|opulati<br> <br> <br>|on<br>incre<br> <br> <br>|ase<br>(milt<br> <br> <br>|ions)<br>|<br>Ann<br> <br>|ual<br>grow<br> <br> <br>|th<br>rate<br> <br> <br>|(percen<br> <br> <br>|t)<br> <br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|income<br>group<br>|985-90<br>2|<br>000-05<br>2|<br>025-30<br>2|<br>50-75<br>21|00-25|1985-90<br>2|<br>00-05<br>2|<br>025-30<br>2|<br>050-75<br>2|<br>00-25|
|wortd|88.2|91.7|78.5|37.2|4.9|1.74|1.43|0.91|0.35|0.04|
|Less developed<br>(a)|81.7|87.4|78.2|37.7|4.8|2.11|1.70|1.08|0.41|0.05|
|More developed<br>(a)|6.5|4.3|0.3|-0.5|0.1|0.54|0.34|0.02|-0.04|0.01|
|Africa|18.2|26.0|30.0|19.4|2.3|3.02|2.79|1.81|0.77|0.08|
|East Africa|7.9|11.6|14.6|9.7|1.1|3.15|2.94|1.98|0.84|0.08|
|West Africa|6.8|10.1|11.7|7.9|1.0|3.10|2.93|1.86|0.81|0.09|
|North<br>Africa|3.5|4.3|3.7|1.8|0.2|2.65|2.21|1.26|0.47|0.05|
|America|10.9|<br>9.4|6.0|1.4|0.2|1.57|1.10|0.57|0.12|0.02|
|Latin<br>America<br>and Caribbea|n 8.5|7.6|5.7|1.5|0.2|2.02<br>|1.40<br>|0.80<br>|0.19<br>|0.02<br>|
|Northern<br>America|2.4|1.8|0.2|-0.1|0.0|0.87|0.59|0.e7|-0.04|0.00|
|Asia|55.4|53.9|41.9|16.5|2.2|1.87|1.42|0.84|0.28|0.04|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|26.3|21.8|13.5|3.0|0.5|1.53|1.04|0.53|0.11|0.02|
|South<br>Asia|25.6|27.7|23.7|10.7|1.5|2.29|1.82<br>|1.09<br>|0.39<br>|0.05<br>|
|Southwest<br>Asia|3.5|4.4|4.7|2.7|0.2<br>|2.81<br>|2.39<br>|1.57<br>|0.64<br>|0.05<br>|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|3.3|2.0|0.4|-0.1|0.1|0.42|0.25<br>|0.05<br>|-0.02<br>|0.01<br>|
|Oceania|0.4|0.4|0.2|0.1|0.0|1.63|1.21|0.49|0.16|0.02|
|Income group(b)|||||||||||
|Low|58.7|63.1|56.4|27.8|3.8|2.05|1.67|1.06|0.42|0.05|
|Lower-middle|13.6|14.4|12.9|5.7|0.6|2.23|1.74|1.09<br>|0.38<br>|0.04<br>|
|Upper-middLe|8.1|8.2|7.0|3.0|0.3|1.84|1.45|0.91<br>|0.32<br>|0.01<br>|
|High|4.4|3.3|0.2<br>|-0.2<br>|0.0<br>|0.57<br>|0.39<br>|0.02<br>|-0.02<br>|0.01<br>|
|;onreporting nomeffber|3.3|2.7|2.1|0.9|0.1|0.89|0.65|0.44|0.17|0.03|

a. "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R.,<sup>Northern</sup> America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less de,,-loped" comprises the rest<sup>of the world.</sup> b. Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1989. See listing in Exhibit 1.
## liV INTRODUCTION

# Table 11 Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Y,er, and Year Whtn Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 by Geographic Region and by Income Group

|||Populat|ion<br>(mill|ions)|Station<br>ary over|-<br>Popu-|Year<br> <br>when||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region<br>or<br>income<br>group|1985|<br>2050|<br>2100|Statio<br> <br>ary|1985<br>n- popula<br>tion|lation<br>- mo-<br>mentun|popula-<br>tion<br>doubles|Year<br>when<br>NRR=1|
|World|4,844|10.035|11.33|0 11.514|<br>2.4|<br>1.4|<br>2044|<br>2060|
|Lessdeveloped<br>(a)|3.666|8,716|10020|10,200|<br>2.8|<br>1.5|<br>2028|<br>2060|
|More developed<br>(a)|1,179|1.319|1,31|0 1,314|<br>1.1|<br>1.1|<br>(c)|<br>2030|
|Africa|559|<br>2,275|2,962|3.049|<br>5.5|<br>1.6|<br>2009|<br>2060|
|East Africa|231|<br>1.034|1,38|3 1,424|<br>6.2|<br>1.6|<br>2008|<br>2055|
|West Africa|204|<br>873|<br>1,152|1,190|<br>5.8|<br>1.5|<br>2008|<br>2060|
|North<br>Aff<br>ica|124|<br>368|<br>427|<br>435|<br>3.5|<br>1.6|<br>2016|<br>2050|
|America|667|<br>1,146|1,19|2 1,201|<br>1.8|<br>1.4|<br>cc)|<br>2030|
|Latin<br>America<br>and Caribbea|n 399|<br>814|<br>864|<br>872|<br>2.2|<br>1.6|<br>2043|<br>2030|
|Northern<br>America|268|<br>332|<br>328|<br>329|<br>1.2|<br>1.2|<br>tc)|<br>2030)|
|Asia|2,823|5,728|6.288|6,374|<br>2.3|<br>1.5|<br>2047|<br>2045|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|1,650|2,719|2.822|2,842|<br>1.7|<br>1.4|<br>(c)|<br>2030|
|South<br>Asia|1.058|2.614|2,977|3,034|<br>2.9|<br>1.5|<br>2025|<br>2040|
|Southwest<br>Asia|115|<br>396|<br>490|<br>498|<br>4.3|<br>1.6|<br>2013|<br>2055|
|Europe<br>and U.S.S.R.|771|<br>843|<br>842|<br>846|<br>1.1|<br>1.1|<br>Cc)|<br>2030|
|Oceania|25|<br>42|<br>44|<br>45|<br>1.8|<br>1.3|<br>tc)|<br>2030|
|Income<br>group (b)|||||||||
|Low|2.711|6,343|7.315|7,458|<br>2.8|<br>1.5|<br>2030|<br>2060|
|Lower-middle|580|<br>1.416|1.60|9 1,632|<br>2.8|<br>1.6|<br>2026|<br>2055|
|Upper-middle|422|<br>891|<br>989|<br>999|<br>2.4|<br>1.5|<br>2040|<br>2050|
|High|767|<br>869|<br>869|<br>871|<br>1.1|<br>1.2|<br>(c)|<br>2030|
|Nonreporting<br>norinember|365|<br>515|<br>548|<br>554|<br>1.5|<br>1.2|<br>(c)|<br>2030|

a. "More developed" comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealandr-and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world. b. Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1989. See listing in Exhibit 1.

c. Population will not double with projected rates.
tNTRODUCTION Iv Table 12 Fertility and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region and by Income Group, 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25

||||1985-90|||||2000-05|||||2020-25|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or||||||||||||||||
|income<br>group|COR|<br>**TFR**|<br>CDR|e(0)|**IHR**|<br>COR|<br>TFR|<br>**CDR**|e(O)|**IMR**|<br>CBR|<br>TFR|<br>**CDR**|e(0)|IMR|
|World|27.1|3.43|9.7|64.9|70|22.6|2.91|8.3|68.2|48|18.7|2.48|8.4|70.6|35|
|Less devetoped<br>(a)|31.0|3.92|9.6|62.1|78|25.0|3.13|7.9|66.2|52|19.9|2.55|7.8|69.3|I8|
|More developed (a)|14.7|1.90|9.9|74.1|15|12.9|1.89|10.0|76.0|10|12.5|2.03|11.6|77.0|9|
|Africa|44.4|6.14|14.2|53.4|107|38.1|5.09|10.2|58.8|73|27.8|3.36|7.6|64.0|52|
|East Africa|46.1|6.31|14.4|53.0|110|39.9|5.39|10.4|58.4|78|29.7|3.62|7.6|63.8|54|
|West Africa|47.0|6.52|16.1|50.2|113|40.8|5.52|11.5|56.1|78|29.1|3.51|8.2|62.2|55|
|North Africa|37.1|5.19|10.4|59.4|84|29.6|'80|7.4|64.6|50|20.7|2.46|6.6|u8.5|36|
|America|23.4|2.84|8.1|70.2|44|17.9|2.28|7.1|73.0|27|15.3|2.11|8.2|74.6|19|
|Latin America<br>and||||||||||||||||
|Caribbean|28.6|3.57|7.4|66.6|56|20.6|2.46|6.1|70.5|33|16.6|2.15|<br>7.1|73.0|'3|
|Northern<br>America|15.4|1.87|9.0|75.7|10|12.9|1.90|8.7|77.4|8|12.5|2.03|10.5|78.0|7|
|Asia|27.7|3.47|8.9|63.9|71|22.0|2.76|7.7|67.8|45|17.7|2.32|8.1|70.7|32|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|22.6|2.66|7.1|68.4|40|17.5|2.21|<br>7.0|71.8|21|15.1|2.10|8.5|73.9|16|
|South Asia|34.6|4.70|11.6|57.0|102|<br>27.1|3.38|8.8|62.3|67|20.0|2.47|8.0|66.9|46|
|Southwest<br>Asia|36.6|5.11|8.8|63.4|73|30.3|4.00|6.4|67.9|43|23.8|2.94|6.0|70.8|31|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|14.9|1.96|10.7|72.8|18|13.1|1.91|10.6|75.0|12|12.7|2.04|11.7|76.2|10|
|Oceania|20.1|2.55|<br>8.1|72.1|28|17.8|2.41|7.9|73.7|17|15.0|2.15|9.0|74.8|14|
|tncome group (b)||||||||||||||||
|Low|30.8|3.89|10.2|61.1|84|25.2|3.18|8.5|65.3|58|20.1|2.58|8.2|68.5|41|
|Lower-middle|31.5|4.05|8.4|64.0|63|24.5|3.00|6.7|68.1|38|19.2|2.41|6.9|71.0|28|
|Upper-middle|26.7|3.39|8.1|67.3|53|21.6|2.73|<br>6.9|70.9|32|18.0|2.39|7.5|73.0|23|
|High|13.9|1.79|9.4|76.1|12|12.7|1.90|9.6|77.5|10|12.6|2.10|11.6|77.9|9|
|Nonreporting<br>nonm,embe|r19.6|2.52|10.6|69.1|32|16.4|2.28|9.9|72.1|24|15.3|2.22|10.2|73.8|20|

Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDP) are per 1000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) are per **woman** 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, **e(O),** is given in years; and infant mortaLity rates (IMR) are per 1000 live births. (See definitions in World Bank 1989.) a. "More developed" comprises Europe. U.S.S.R.. Nor hern America (United States and Canada), AustraLia, New Zeatand. and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

b. Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1989. **See** listing in Exhibit 1.
# IVi INTRODUCnON

Table 13 Population and Percentage Distribution by World<sup>Bank Region and Country Department,</sup> 1985-2100

|Region and<br>country||Pop|ulati|on<br>(iill|ions)|<br>_|Per<br> <br>_|centa|ge<br>of w|orld<br>p|<br>opula|tion|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|department|1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|1985|1990|2000|<sup>2025</sup>|<sup>2050</sup>|<sup>2100</sup>|
|World|4,844|5,285|6,204|8,415|10,035<br>|<br>11,330|100.0|100.0<br>|<br>100.0|100.0<br>|<br>100.0|100.0|
|Borrowers andnon-borrower|s||||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan<br>Africa|457|<br>534|<br>720|1,359|1,986|2.634|9.4|10.1|11.6|16.2|19.8|23.2|
|Asia and Oceania|2,574|2,808|3,270|4,186|4,715|5,001|53.1|53.1|<sup>52.7</sup>|<sup>49.7</sup>|<sup>47.0</sup>|<sup>44.1</sup>|
|Europe,<br>Middle<br>East,|||||||||||||
|and North<br>Africa|1,147|1,223|1,388<br>|1,831<br>|2,187<br>|2,502<br>|23.7<br>|23.1<br>|22.4<br>|21.8<br>|<sup>21.8</sup><br>|<sup>22.1</sup><br>|
|America|667|<br>721|<br>826|1,040|1,146|1,192|13.8|13.6|13.3|12.4|11.4|10.5|
|Borrowers<br>only|||||||||||||
|Africa<br>Region|415|<br>486|<br>660|1,263|1,858|2,480|<br>8.6|9.2|10.6|15.0|18.5|21.9|
|IOccidental<br>and Central|40|<br>47|<br>63|<br>123|<br>185|<br>250|0.8<br>|0.9<br>|1.0<br>|1.5<br>|1.8<br>|2.2<br>|
|2 Eastern|106|<br>124|<br>169|<br>328|<br>486|<br>654|2.2|2.3|2.7|3.9|4.8|5.8|
|3South-Centr**a**l<br>nd|||||||||||||
|Indian<br>Ocean<br>|52<br>|<br>61<br>|<br>84<br>|<br>163<br>|<br>245<br>|<br>333<br>|1.1<br>|1.2<br>|1.3<br>|1.9<br>|2.4<br>|2.9<br>|
|4 Western|119|139|187|341|472|592|2.5|2.6|3.0|4.0|4.7|5.2|
|5 Sahelian|36|<br>1.2|<br>56|<br>111|<br>175|<br>252|0.7|0.8|0.9|1.3|1.7|2.2|
|6 Southern|62|<br>73|<br>101|<br>197|<br>295|<br>400|1.3|1.4|1.6|2.3|2.9|3.5|
|Asia Region|2,384|2,608|3,055|3,952|4,483|4,771|49.2|49.4|49.2|<sup>47.0</sup>|<sup>44.7</sup>|<sup>42.1</sup>|
|1 Other South|134|<br>152|<br>190|<br>282<br>|<br>351<br>|<br>401<br>|2.8<br>|2.9<br>|3.1<br>|3.3<br>|3.5<br>|3.5<br>|
|2 Southeast<br>|274<br>|<br>304<br>|<br>364<br>|<br>488<br>|568<br>|609<br>|5.7<br>|5.8<br>|5.9<br>|5.8<br>|5.7<br>|5.4<br>|
|3China|1,040|1,117|1,269|1,530|1,626|1,672|21.5|21.1|20.5|18.2|<sup>16.2</sup>|<sup>14.8</sup>|
|4 India|765|848|1,011|1,361|1,602<br>|1,732<br>|15.8<br>|16.0<br>|16.3<br>|16.2<br>|16.0<br>|15.3<br>|
|5 Indonesia and Pacific|170|<br>187|221|291|335|356|3.5|3.5|3.6|3.5|3.3|3.1|
|EMN Region|474|536|678|1,090|1,451|1,766|9.8|10.1|10.9<br>|13.0<br>|14.5<br>|15.6<br>|
|1 Pakistan and Turkey|.146|170|223|375|502|607|3.0|3.2<br>|3.6<br>|4.5<br>|5.0<br>|5.4<br>|
|2 North Africa|55|63|83|131|170|<br>197|1.1|1.2|1.3|1.6|1.7<br>|1.7<br>|
|3 Middle East|168|<br>195|<br>260|464|657|839|3.5|3.7|4.2|5.5|6.5|7.4<br>|
|4 Europe|105|<br>107|111|119|121|<br>123|2.2|2.0|1.8|1.4|1.2|1.1|
|LAC Region|387|429|512|689|800|850|8.0|8.1|8.3|8.2<br>|8.0<br>|7.5<br>|
|1Brazil|136|<br>150|178.<br>|<br>233<br>|265<br> <br>|278<br> <br>|2.8<br>|2.8<br>|2.9<br>|2.8<br>|2.6<br>|2.4<br>|
|2 Central America<br>|104|<br>116|<br>141<br>|199<br>|<br>237<br> <br>|<br>254<br> <br>|2.1<br>|2.2<br>|2.3<br>|2.4<br>|2.4<br>|2.2<br>|
|3Caribbean<br>and Other|70|<br>78|<br>94|128|<br>150|<br>162|1.5|1.5<br>|1.5<br>|1.5<br>|1.5<br>|1.4<br>|
|4 Temperate<br>and Tropical|<br>78|<br>85|<br>99|<br>129|<br>148|<br>156|1.6|1.6|1.6|1.5|1.5|1.4|

Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Exhibit 2.
INTRODUCinON lVii Table 14 Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by World Bank Region and Country Department. 1985-2100

|Region<br>and<br>country<br>department|Annual<br>p<br>1985-90<br>2|<br>opulati<br> <br>000-05<br>2|on<br>incre<br> <br>025-30<br>2|ase<br>(mill<br> <br>050-75<br>2|ions)<br> <br>100 25|<br>An<br>1985-90<br>2|nual<br>gro<br> <br>000-05<br>2|wth<br>rate<br> <br>025-30<br>|(perce<br> <br>2050-75<br>|nt)<br> <br>2100-25|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|World|88.2|91.7|78.5|37.2|4.9|<br>1.74|1.43|0.91|0.35|0.04|
|Borrowers and non-borrowers|||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|15.4|22.6|27.2|18.2|2.2|3.11|2.92|1.91|0.82|0.08|
|Asia and Oceania|46.7|42.4|28.7|8.5|1.5|1.74|1.26|0.68|0.18|0.03|
|Europe, Middle East,|||||||||||
|and North Africa|15.2|17.3|16.6|9.1|1.0|1.29|1.21|0.88|0.40|0.04|
|America|10.9|9.4|<br>6.0|1.4|0.2|1.57|1.10|0.57|0.12|0.02|
|Borrowers only|||||||||||
|Africa Region|14.2|21.2|25.8|17.4|2.1|3.17|2.98|1.94|0.84|0.08|
|<br>1 Occidental and Central|1.4|2.1|2.6|1.8|0.2|3.32|3.03|2.03|0.89|0.08|
|2Eastern|3.6|5.5|<br>6.9|4.7|0.5|3.18|3.00|2.01|0.86|0.08|
|3South-Central and|||||||||||
|Indian Ocean|1.8|2.8|3.5|<br>2.4|0.3|3.13|3.06|2.04|0.89|0.08|
|4Western|4.1|5.8|5.8|3.5|0.4|3.15|2.86|1.63|0.69|0.07|
|5Sahelian|1.1|1.8|2.7|2.0|0.3|2.79|3.00|2.27|1.02|0.12|
|6Southern|2.2|3.3|<br>4.3|<br>2.9|0.3|3.33|3.05|2.06|0.88|0.08|
|Asia Region|45.0|41.1|28.6|8.6|1.5|1.80|1.30|0.71|0.19|0.03|
|<br>1Other South|3.5|<br>4.0|3.1|1.5|0.3|2.44|2.01|1.07|0.41|0.06|
|2 Southeast|6.0|<br>5.5|<br>4.1|1.3|0.2|2.08|1.46|0.83|0.22|0.03|
|3China|15.4|12.5|7.1|1.3|0.2|1.43|0.96|0.46|0.08|0.01|
|4India|16.5|16.1|12.0|3.9|0.7|2.05|1.53|0.86|0.24|0.04|
|5Indonesia and Pacific|3.5|<br>3.0|2.3|0.6|0.1|1.98|1.32|0.76|0.18|0.03|
|EMN Region|12.3|15.6|16.2|9.3|0.9|2.44|2.17|1.43|0.59|0.05|
|IPakistan and Turkey|*4.8|5.7|<br>5.8|3.2|0.3|3.01|2.40|1.50|0.59|0.05|
|2 North<br>Africa|1.6|<br>2.0|<br>1.8|<br>0.8|0.1|<br>2.76|2.29|1.31|0.46|0.04|
|3 Middle<br>East|5.4|<br>7.4|<br>8.4|<br>5.2|0.5|<br>2.99|2.68|<br>1.74|0.73|0.06|
|4 Europe|0.5|<br>0.4|<br>0.2|<br>0.0|0.0|<br>0.44|0.37|0.14|0.03|0.01|
|LAC Region|8.4|<br>7.5|<br>5.7|<br>1.6|0.2|<br>2.02|<br>1.40|0.80|0.19|0.02|
|1 Brazil|2.9|<br>2.4|<br>1.7|<br>0.4|0.1|<br>2.05|<br>1.28|0.71|0.14|0.02|
|2 Central<br>America|2.5|<br>2.4|<br>1.9|<br>0.6|0.1|<br>2.25|<br>1.61|0.96|0.23|0.02|
|3 Caribbean<br>and Other|1.5|<br>1.5|<br>1.1|<br>0.4|0.1|<br>2.08|<br>1.49|0.87|0.23|0.03|
|4 Teperate and Tropical|<br>1.4|<br>1.3|<br>1.0|<br>0.3|0.0|<br>1.77|1.28|0.73|0.17|0.02|

Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Exhibit 2.
Iviii INTRODUCTnON Table 15 Long-Run and Stationary Population, Momentum, Doubling Year, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches I by World Bank Region and Country Department

|||Populat|ion<br>(miLl|ions)|Station|-|Year||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||||ary over|Popu-|<br>when||
|Region and<br>country<br>department|1985|<br>2050|<br>2100|Statio<br> <br>ary|1985<br>n- popula<br>tion|lation<br>- mo-<br>mentum|popula<br>tion<br>double|- Year<br>when<br>s NRR=1|
|World|4,844|10,035|11,33|0 11,514|<br>2.4|<br>1.4|<br>2044|<br>2060|
|Borrowers andnon-borrowers|||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|457|1,986|2,634|<br>2,716|5.9|1.6|2008|2060|
|Asia and Oceania|2,574|4,715|5,001|<br>5,058|2.0|1.5|(a)|<br>2055|
|Europe,<br>Middle<br>East,<br>and North Africa|1,147|2.187|2,502|2,539|<br>2.2|<br>1.3|<br>2059|<br>2055|
|America|667|<br>1,146|1,192|1,201|<br>1.8|<br>1.4|<br>(a)|<br>2030|
|Borrowers<br>only|||||||||
|Africa<br>Region|415|<br>1,858|2,480|2,559|<br>6.2|<br>1.6|<br>2008|<br>2060|
|1 Occidental<br>and Central|40|<br>185|<br>250|<br>258|<br>6.5|<br>1.5|<br>2008|<br>2050|
|2 Eastern|106|<br>486|<br>654|<br>674|<br>6.4|<br>1.6|<br>2008|<br>2050|
|3South-Central and|||||||||
|Indian<br>Ocean|52|<br>245|<br>333|<br>343|<br>6.5|<br>1.5|<br>2008|<br>2055|
|4 Western|119|<br>472|<br>592|<br>608|<br>5.1|<br>1.6|<br>2009|<br>2050|
|5 Sahelian|36|<br>175|<br>252|<br>263|<br>7.3|<br>1.5|<br>2009|<br>2060|
|6Southern|S2|<br>295|400|<br>412|6.7|1.6|2007|2055|
|Asia Region|2,384|4,483|4,771|<br>4,827|2.0|1.5|2099|2040|
|1 Other South|134|351|401|<br>412|3.1|1.6|2021|2030|
|2Southeast|274|568|609|<br>616|2.2|1.6|2042|2030|
|3China|1,040|1,626|1,672|<br>1,681|1.6|1.5|(a)|2000|
|4 India|765|<br>1,602|1,732|1,759|<br>2.3|<br>1.4|<br>2041|<br>2015|
|5 Indonesia<br>and Pacific|170|<br>335|<br>356|<br>360|<br>2.1|<br>1.5|<br>2055|<br>2040|
|EMN Region|474|1,451|1,766|<br>1,800|3.8|1.5|2017|2055|
|1 Pakistan<br>and Turkey|146|<br>502|<br>607|<br>618|<br>4.2|<br>1.6|<br>2012|<br>2040|
|2 North Africa|55|170|197|<br>199|<br>3.6|1.6|2014|2050|
|3Middle<br>East|168|<br>657|<br>839|<br>859|<br>5.1|<br>1.6|<br>2010|<br>2055|
|4 Europe|105|<br>121|<br>123|<br>124|<br>1.2|<br>1.2|<br>(a)|<br>2030|
|LAC Region|387|<br>800|<br>850|<br>857|<br>2.2|<br>1.6|<br>2043|<br>2030|
|1 Brazil|136|<br>265|<br>278|<br>280|<br>2.1|<br>1.6|<br>2061|<br>2005|
|2 Central<br>America|104|<br>237|<br>254|<br>256|<br>2.5|<br>1.7|<br>2029|<br>2030|
|3Caribbean<br>and Other|70|<br>150|<br>162|<br>164|<br>2.3|<br>1.6|<br>2037|<br>2030|
|4 Temperate<br>and Tropical|78|<br>148|<br>156|<br>157|<br>2.0|<br>1.5|<br>2101|<br>2025|

Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Exhibit 2. a. Populatlon will not double with projected rates.
INTRODUCTION liX Table 16 Fertility and Mortality Rates by World Bank Region and Country Department. 1985-90, 2000-05, and 2020-25

|Region and|||1985-9|0||||2000-0|5|||2|020-2<br>-|5||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>country||||_||||||||||||
|department|CUR|<br>TFR|<br>CDR|6(0)|IHR|<br>CBR|<br>TFR|<br>CDR|e(0)|INR|CUR|<br>TFR|CDR|eCO)|IMR|
|World|27.1|3.43|9.7|64.9|<br>70|22.6|2.91|<br>8.3|68.2|48|18.7|2.48|8.4|70.6|35|
|Borrowers and non-borrowers||||||||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|46.4|6.41|15.2|51.6|111|40.2|5.44|11.0|57.2|78|29.3|3.55|7.9|62.9|55|
|Asiaand Oceania|26.1|3.23|8.7|64.5|67|20.3|2.52|7.7|68.5|41|16.3|2.16|8.4|71.3|28|
|Europe, Middle East,||||||||||||||||
|and North Africa|23.5|3.13|10.6|68.4|60|21.4|2.98|9.3|70.5|43|18.7|2.58|8.9|72.1|32|
|America|23.4|2.84|8.1|70.2|44|17.9|2.28|7.1|73.0|27|15.3|2.11|8.2|74.6|19|
|Borrowers only||||||||||||||||
|Africa Region|47.3|6.57|15.5|51.1|113|41.0|5.59|11.2|56.6|79|29.8|3.62|7.9|62.6|55|
|IOccidental and Central|47.2|6.60|15.5|51.8|106|41.2|5.77|11.3|57.0|72|30.5|3.76|7.8|63.0|50|
|2 Eastern<br>|48.2|6.72|16.0|50.5|121|41.8|5.76|11.7|55.6|87|30.7|3.77|8.1|62.0|59|
|3South-Central and||||||||||||||||
|<br>Indian ocean|46.3|6.44|14.9|52.0|107|41.3|5.74|10.7|57.5|70|30.5|3.75|7.6|63.3|49|
|4 Western|46.6|6.48|15.1|51.2|105|39.1|5.15|10.5|57.4|68|26.5|3.13|7.6|63.3|48|
|S Sahelian|48.0|6.58|19.1|46.7|141|45.1|6.34|14.6|51.6|106|34.6|4.33|9.8|58.6|74|
|6Southern|47.5|6.59|14.1|53.0|109|40.8|5.50|10.2|58.2|78|30.5|3.71|7.5|63.5|55|
|Asia Region|27.0|3.32|8.8|63.5|69|20.7|2.55|7.6|67.8|42|16.5|2.17|8.3|70.9|29|
|1 Other south|38.6|5.20|13.9|53.0|114|30.9|3.85|10.5|57.5|78|20.3|2.43|8.6|63.0|54|
|2 Southeast|29.2|3.62|7.9|64.3|49|21.4|2.58|6.6|68.5|27|16.9|2.13|7.3|71.5|20|
|3 China|21.1|2.40|6.7|69.5|32|16.6|2.11|6.9|72.7|18|14.6|2.09|8.7|74.6|14|
|4 India|31.6|4.26|11.0|57.9|99|23.8|2.89|8.5|63.7|61|17.7|2.20|8.2|68.0|42|
|5 Indonesia and Pacific|29.0|3.55|9.1|60.2|71|20.2|2.34|7.0|67.8|34|16.6|2.14|7.7|71.1|24|
|ENNRegion|35.0|4.80|10.4|62.2|84|29.8|4.01|8.0|65.9|56|23.0|2.87|7.0|69.1|40|
|1Pakistan andTurkey|41.3|5.65|10.9|59.1|101|31.9|4.33|7.9|63.4|67|23.6|2.89|6.7|67.5|46|
|2 North Africa|36.6|5.25r|8.9|62.2|73|29.0|3.67|6.1|67.4|40|20.1|2.37|5.7|70.9|28|
|3 Middle East|40.5|5.78|10.6|59.4|86|34.5|4.68|7.8|64.3|58|25.9|3.18|6.5|68.1|42|
|4 Europe|15.0|2.03|10.3|71.4|21|14.3|2.00|10.4|73.9|13|13.2|2.07|11.3|75.5|11|
|LAC Region|28.9|3.62|7.4|66.3|57|20.8|2.47|6.1|70.3|34|16.7|2.15|7.1|72.9|24|
|1Braxil|28.4|3.46|7.9|64.9|63|19.1|2.27|6.2|69.9|37|16.1|2.12|7.5|72.7|25|
|2 Central America|30.9|3.91|6.2|67.7|50|22.5|2.59|5.1|71.1|29|17.3|2.16|6.1|73.5|21|
|3 Caribbean and Other|30.0|3.73|7.5|65.3|59|22.3|2.67|6.4|68.9|39|17.4|2.20|7.1|71.7|27|
|4Temperate and Tropical|26.1|3.41|8.3|67.7|52|20.0|2.47|7.1|71.1|32|16.2|2.12|7.7|73.4|22|

Note: Crude birth rates (CUR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1000 population; total fertility rates (TFR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, e(O), is given in years; and infant mortality rates (IMR) are per 1000 live births. (See definitions in World fank 1989.) World Bank regions and country dopartments are defined in Exhibit 2.
IX INTRODUCTION Table 17 Population Projections for All Countries and Economies. 1985-2025 (tbousands)

|Country<br>or ecomny|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|202|0<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|World|4,844.423 5|,285,340|5,743,829 6|,204,370|6,662,986|7,112.318|7,555,643|7,992,926|8,414,779|
|Africa|559,416|650,556|753,142|869,770|999,722|1,138,624|1,284,714|1,435,140|1,587,366|
|East AfrIca|231,239|270,645|315,563|367,295|425,501|488,579|556,041|626,929|699,967|
|Botswana|1,070|1,212|1,358|1,514|1,675|1,824|1,965|<br>2,102|2,233|
|**Burundl**|4,696|5,483|6,460|7,487|<br>8,602|9,838|11,213|12,686|14,178|
|Comoros<br>|395|474|<br>562|661|m|898|1,033|<br>1,173|<br>1,313|
|Djibouti|350|<br>424|498|580|<br>672|<br>770|<br>874|980|1,084|
|Ethiopia|42,271|48,784|56,551|65,919|75,985|86,728|<br>98,264|110,568|123,302|
|Kenya|20,353|24,987|30,288|36,609|44,105|52,664|62,181|72,491|83,389|
|Lesotho|1,545|1,764|2,006|2,265|2,541|2,827|3,111|3,392|3,657|
|Madagascar|10,212|11,983|13,890|16,023|18,398|20,947|23,567|26,127|28,608|
|matawi|7,369|<br>8,700|10,339|12,333|14,592|17,168|20,116|23,453|27,137|
|Mauritius|1,020|1,078|1,139|1,200|1,262|1,321|1,375|1,424|1,468|
|Mozambique|13,791|15,861|18,589|21,671|25,137|28,849|32,864|37,170|41,647|
|Namibia|1,143|1,345|1,559|1,795|2,053|2,327|2,604|2,872|<br>3,119|
|aRuilon|546|594|639|681|719|754|787|817|843|
|Rwanda|6,026|7,147|8,661|10,331|12,226|14,401|16,928|19,804|22,958|
|Seychettes|66|69|73|<br>77|<br>81|85|89|94|99|
|SomaLia|5.384|6,285|7,287|8,510|9,875|11,383|13,041|14,840|16,742|
|South Africa|31.593|35,746|40,097|44,670|49,373|<br>53,953|58,224|62,039|65,703|
|Swazitand|665|790|925|1,080|1,254|1,443|1,631|1,827|2,011|
|Tanzania|22,242|26,673|31,594|<br>37,315|43,972|51,364|59,364|67,784|76,397|
|Uganda|14,68u|17,479|20,467|23,839|27,651|31,849|36,328|40,917|45,426|
|Zaire|30,712|35,775|41,523|48,409|56,641|65,499|74,936|84,869|95,125|
|Zanbia|6,704|8,067|9,597|11,365|13,426|15,711|18,206|20,864|23,605|
|Zimbabwe|8,406|9,925|11,461|12,961|14,488|15,976|17,334|18,636|19,923|
|West Africn|203,741|237,877|275,932|320,245|370,679|425,111|482,615|541,984|601,836|
|Angola|8,754|10,013|11,540|13,474|15,675|18,060|20,671|23,531|26,604|
|Benin<br> <br>|4,043|4,741|5,486|6,316|7,241|8,232|9,249|10,245|11,20?|
|Burkina<br>faso|7,881|9,016|10,386|12,055|13,895|15,920|18,131|20,512|22,992|
|Cameroon|10,191|11,971|13,951|16,324|19,188|22,370|25,792|29,372|<br>33,032|
|Cape Verde|334|377|<br>434|495|554|612|673|<br>736|796|
|Centrat<br>African<br>Rep.|2,583|2,961|3,365|3,828|4,351|4,892|5,443|5,994|6,535|
|Chad<br>|5,018|5,679|6,449|7,391|8,431|9,542|10,737|12,006|13,312|
|Congo, Peopte's Rep. of the<br>|1,945|2,327|2,768|3,297|3,937|4,653|5,450|6,326|7.:2|
|**Cote**<br>d'lvoire|10,252|12,604|15,065|17,828|20,985|24,509|28,380|32,554|36 ;S3|
|Equatorial Guinea|373|<br>417|467|525|584|646|710|<br>**774**|<br>**°**|
|Gabon|997|<br>1,135|1,296|1,488|1,721|1,972|2,248|2,550|_2,S72_|
|Gambia,<br>The|748|875|1,012|1,167|1,346|1,540|1,753|1,986|<br>2_235|
|Ghana|12,620|14,870|17,258|19,892|22,777|<br>25,844|28,998|<br>32,093|35,102|
|Guinea|6,166|6,972|7,837|8,843|10,053|11,362|12,778|14,291|15,5SS|
|Guinea-Bissau|886|<br>981|1,088|1,217|1,371|1,535|1,711|1,896|2,C38|
|Liberia|2,178|2,563|2,969|3,416|3,915|4,457|5,020|5,576|6,110|
INTRODUCTION IXi Table 17 (continued)

|Country or economy|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Mall|7,389|8,501|9,809|11,450|13,331|<br>15,477|17,900|20,597|<br>23,530|
|Mauritania|1,764|2,001|2.283|2,634|3,068|3,543|4,065|4,640|5,263|
|Niger|6,573|7.659|8,938|10,525|12,519|14,748|17,254|20.083|<br>23,258|
|Nigeria|99,669|116,738|135,627|157,311|181,M|207,804|234,592|261,282|<br>287,027|
|**Sa5**<br>**Tem**and Principe|108|124|140|158|<br>**177**|196|214|232|<br>247|
|SenegaL|6,56?|7,593|8,852|10,372|12,012|13,767|15,652|17,676|<br>19,793|
|Sierra Leone<br>|3,657|4,145|4,696|5,358|6,163|7,031|7,978|9,005|10,105|
|**togo**|3,038|3,606|4,208|4,872|<br>5,603|6,389|7,206|8,016|8,802|
|Other West Africa (a)|7|8|8|9|9|10|<br>.<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|
|North Africa<br>|124,436|142,034|161,647|182,230|203,542|224,934|246,058|266,227|285,563|
|Atgeria|21,718|25,260|29,605|34,243|38,983|43,564|48,087|52,437|<br>56,421|
|Egypt, Arab Rep. of|47,578|53,686|59,980|66,439|73,096|<br>79,728|85,970|91,508|<br>96,743|
|Libya|3,786|4,546|5,450|6,489|7,685|9,029|10,520|<br>12,146|<br>13,880|
|Morocco|22,120|25,128|28,511|31,920|35,226|38,422|41,469|44,270|46,994|
|Sudan|21,818|25,095|28,817|32,930|37,484|42,354|47,423|52,507|<br>57,416|
|Tunisia<br>|7,261|8,140|9,079|9,975|10,800|11,531|12,242|12,966|<br>13,669|
|Other North Africa**(a)**|155|<br>179|205|234|<br>268|<br>306|347|393|<br>440|
|America|666,651|721,070|775,396|826,354|873,255|918,029|961,972|1,003,328|1,039,520|
|Latin America and Caribbean|<br>398,592|441,027|483,986|524,799|562,733|599,299|635,687|670,840|703,166|
|Antigua<br>and Barbuda|80|86|93|100|<br>108|115|<br>121|126|<br>130|
|Argentina|30,331|32,254|34,037|35,725|<br>37,293|38,821|40,337|41,759|43,036|
|Bahamas<br>|232<br>|258<br>|284|308|330|350|369|386|<br>402|
|Barbados|253|257|259|261|263|264|265|267|<br>268|
|Belize|166|189|216|246|276|304|329|353|<br>378|
|BoLivia|6,371|7,309|8,374|9,511|10,720|11,969|13,224|14,456|<br>15,615|
|Brazil|135,564|150,195|164,508|177,627|189,390|200,797|212,325|223,322|233,171|
|ChiLe|12,121|13,204|14,188|15,027|15,801|16,575|17,337|18,040|<br>18,639|
|Cotombia|28,418|31,105|33,883|36,478|38,868|41,215|43,553|45,773|<br>47,772|
|Costa Rica|2,489|2,803|3,098|3,363|3,600|3,832|4,06|4,293|4,492|
|Cuba<br>|10,090|10,600|11,110|<br>11,600|12,017|12,349|12,636|12,895|<br>13,112|
|0omir.-a|78|83|87|91|96|102|107|112|<br>117|
|Dominican<br>Rep.|6,416|7,140|7,843|8,512|9,139|9,707|10,268|10,839|<br>11,389|
|Ecuador<br>|9,378|10,640|11,944|13,183|14,409|15,580|16,650|17,673|<br>18,668|
|**El**<br>SaLvador|4,768|5,257|5,822|6,482|7,197|7,911|8,607|9,280|9,922|
|Grenada|96|105|115|124|132|140|1S0|<br>159|<br>167|
|Guadeloupe|334|339|347|356|365|376|390|402|<br>413|
|Guatemala|7,963|9,215|10,597|12,114|13,760|15,470|17,170|18,849|<br>20,452|
|Guyana|790|800|791|765|744|734|732|736|<br>745|
|Haiti|5,922|6,4 3|7,154|7,831|8,502|9,144|9,777|10,398|<br>10,986|
|Honduras|4,383|5,119|5,940|6,824|7,740|8,640|9,525|10,365|<br>11,133|
|Jamaica|2,336|2,468|2,582|2,660|2,739|<br>2,833|2,942|3,060|3,180|
|Martinique|328|330|336|343|349|356|366|376|<br>386|
|Mexico|78,524|87,262|96,301|104,801|112,294|119,436|126,662|133,766|<br>140,425|
bdi INIRODUCnON

# Table 17 (continued)

|Country<br>or ecornmy|1985|1990|1995|<br>**2000**|<br>2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Montserrat|12|12|12|12|12|13|<br>13|14|<br>14|
|Netherlands Antilles|182|183|190|199|210|222|<br>232|241|<br>250|
|Nicaragu|3,272|<br>3,853|4,475|5,148|5,863|6,588|7.298|7,962|<br>8,561|
|Panama|2,180|2,396|2.586|<br>2,749|2,907|3,070|<br>3,233|3,385|<br>3,521|
|Paraguay|3,693|4,280|4.906|5,539|6,173|<br>6,804|7,424|8,009|8,533|
|Peru|19,383|21,627|24,063|26,456|28,724|<br>30,728|32,643|34,551|36,377|
|St. Kitts<br>**mnd**Nevis|44|41|38|36|35|35|36|38|<br>40|
|St. Lucia|137|150|<br>162|176|189|201|213|225|<br>238|
|St. Vincent<br>**and**Grenadine|s<br>**11?**|<br>126|134|142|151|161|<br>170|179|<br>187|
|Surinam|398|445|495|<br>542|583|622|660|70|0<br>739|
|Trinidad<br>and Tobago|1,185|1,283|1,364|1,429|1,491|1,559|1,629|1,696|<br>1,754|
|Uruguay|2,940|3,051|3,154|3,250|3,348|3.446|3,543|3,636|3,722|
|Venezuela|17,317|19,751|<br>22,144|24,410|26.512|<br>28,403|30,234|32,049|33,744|
|Virgin Islands<br>(U.S.)|107|<br>114|<br>120|126|133|140|<br>147|15|3<br>158|
|Other Latin**America(a)**|194|<br>214|234|253|270|<br>287|302|317|<br>330|
|Northern<br>America|268,0S9|280,043|291,410|301,555|310,522|318,73|0326.285|332,488|336,354|
|Canada|25,379|26,635|27,749|28,705|29,513|30,207|30,796|31,231|31,428|
|United<br>States|239,283|249,841|259,956|269,020|277,052|284,441|291,288|296,95|0300,529|
|Puerto<br>Rico|3,282|3,446|3,579|3,699|<br>3,822|3,944|4,060|4,163|<br>4,252|
|Other**Northern**<br>America**(a)**|<br>115|121|126|131|135|138|<br>141|<br>144|<br>145|
|Asia|2,822,98<br>|7<br>3,099,78|9<br>3,385,460|3,664,203|3.933,803|4,189,524|4,434,170|4,673,078|4,901,248|
|East**and**Southeast<br>Asia|1,650,096|1,781,418|1,914,49|9<br>2,037,84|8<br>2,147,098|2,244,255|2,335,258|2,422,679|2,503,060|
|Brunei|219|259|296|329|357|380|401|421|<br>439|
|Burma<br>|37,544<br>|41,979<br>|46,827<br>|51,445<br>|55,804<br>|59,817<br>|63,489<br>|67,147<br>|70,829<br>|
|China (excluding Taiwan)|1,040,035|1,117,001|1,196,245|1,268,914|1,331,301|1,385,439|1,436,068|1,485,075|1,529,780|
|Taiwan, China|19,408|20,647|21,561|22,401|23,235|24,033|24,738|25,302|25,730|
|Hong Kog|5,456|5,828|6.148|<br>6,420|6,644|6,833||7,0<br>7,141|<br>7,237|
|**Indonesia**|164,630|181,593|197,937|213,566|227,844|241,409|254,894|267,844|<br>279,779|
|Japan|120,754|123,343|<br>125,748|127,670|128,89|9129,071|128,319|127,006|<br>125,350|
|Kaqxjchea,<br>Dem.|7,284|b,263|<br>9,212|9,995|10,674|11,420|12,243|<br>13,045|<br>13,721|
|Korea.<br>Dem. People's<br>Rep. o|f20,385|22,876|25,433|27,865|30,118|32,138|34,086|36,020|37,847|
|Korea, Rep. of|41,056|43,749|45,948|48,078|50,093|<br>51,863|<br>53,374|54,627|55,667|
|Lao People's<br>Dem. Rep.|3,594|<br>4,073|<br>4,650|5,256|5,895|6,558|7,233|7,891|<br>8,504|
|Macao|392|471|szo|553|<br>572|<br>591|610|628|<br>641|
|Mataysia|15,682|17,780|19,957|21,939|23,714|25,301|26,882|28,492|30,018|
|**Mongolia**|1,908|2,225|2.582|2.949|3.319|3,685|4,048|4,397|4,711|
|Philippines|55,819|62,154|68,413|74,433|80,206|85,486|90,595|95,643|100,432|
|Singapore|2,558|2.692|2,808|2,901|2.978|3,040|3,091|3,12|4<br>3,138|
|Thailand|51,683|56,280|60,785|64,864|68,740|72,51|0<br>76,089|79,394|<br>82,370|
|Viet**Nam**|61,689|70,205|79,429|88,270|96,705|104,681|<br>112,097|119,482|<br>126.867|
|South Asia|1,058,212|1,186.390|1,319,460|1,454,021|1,5*2,467|1,728,38|6<br>1,858,233|1,985,107|2,108,300|
|Afghanistan|18,087|20.370|23,309|26,792|30,967|35,506|40,461|45,899|<br>51,810|
INTRODUCTION lXiii Table 17 (continued)

|Country or economy|1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Bangladesh|100,593|114,403|129,243|145,168|161,443|177,121|<br>192,112|<br>206,101|<br>218,806|
|Bhutan|1,286<br>|1,434<br>|1,619<br>|1,804<br>|1,989<br>|2,171<br>|2,350<br>|2,529<br>|<br>2,699<br>|
|India|765,147|847,728|930,518|1,010,768|1,091,192|1,166,648|1,234,0,4|1,298,370|1,361,318|
|Iran, Islamic<br>Rep. of|44,212|51,942|60,711|70,199|80,447|91,498|103,295|<br>115,490|<br>127,545|
|Naldives|183|<br>217|256|<br>299|344|392|442|491|<br>540|
|Nepal|16,687|19,004|21,516|24,171|26,887|29,572|<br>32,141|34,674|37,086|
|Pakistan|96,180|114,290|134,313|155,933|179,343|204,651|231,599|259,011|<br>285,264|
|Sri Lanka|15,837|17,002|17,975|18,887|<br>19,855|20,827|21,739|<br>22,542|<br>23.232|
|Southwest<br>Asia|114,679|131,981|151,501|172,334|194,238|216,883|240,679|265,292|<br>289,888|
|Dahrain|425|497|566|626|681|730|<br>m|812|<br>846|
|Cyprus|665|<br>698|725|<br>751|775|<br>800|824|<br>844|<br>859|
|Gaza Strip|490|568|<br>658|<br>756|<br>870|998|1,141|1,292|<br>1,444|
|Iraq|15,898|18,923|22,408|26,286|30,525|<br>35,017|39,628|44,175|48,617|
|**Israel**|4,233|4,581|4,914|5,239|<br>5,543|<br>5,839|<br>6,128|6,395|<br>6,631|
|Jordan|2,649|3,171|3,814|4,539|<br>5,326|6,161|7,041|7,943|8,827|
|Kuwait|1,712|2,063|2,422|2,782|<br>3,136|3,464|3,752|3,999|4,225|
|Lebanon|2,668<br>|2,655|<br>2,745|2,890|3,087|3,277|3,475|3,676|3,870|
|Oman<br>|1,242<br>|1,517|1,811<br>|2,125|2,465|2,845|<br>3,259|<br>3,691|4,126|
|Qatar|299|389|<br>460|523|<br>579|<br>636|691|741|<br>785|
|Saudi Arabia|11,595|14,126|17,036|20,335|24,041|28,077|32,446|37,042|41,710|
|Syrian Arab Rep.|10,458|12,558|15,075|17,958|21,223|24,813|28,659|<br>32,625|36,523|
|Turkey|50,310|55,990|61,931|67,559|<br>72,600|76,984|81,288|<br>85,714|89,973|
|United Arab Emirates|1,350|1,592|1,792|1,979|2,149|2,310|2,442|2,538|2,613|
|West Bank|887|1,060|1,272|<br>1,508|1,764|2,036|2,322|2,614|2,89|
|Yeen Arab Rep.|7,661|9,103|10,973|<br>13,140|15,665|18,583|21,965|25,804|<br>30,025|
|Yemen,<br>People's<br>**Dem.**Rep. of|<br>2,137|2,490|2,899|3,338|3.809|4,313|4,845|<br>5,387|<br>5.915|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|770,723|787,186|800,881|813,000|823,231|831,407|838,473|843,737|847,875|
|Albania|2,962|3,281|3,596|<br>3,881|4,131|4,369|4,608|4,838|5,046|
|Austria|7,555|<br>7,520|7,493|7,460|7,409|7,344|7,272|7,183|<br>7,075|
|**Belgiun**|s9,858|9,876|9,885|<br>9,880|9,846|9,787|9,714|9,632|9,535|
|BuLgaria|8,960|9,020|9,066|9,115|9,135|9,130|9,110|9,092|9,075|
|Channel<br>Islands|134|135|135|<br>135|<br>134|133|131|129|<br>128|
|Czechoslovakia|**15,500**|15,684|15,885|16,147|16,406|16,647|16,850|17,020|17,150|
|**Dernark**|5,114|5,097|<br>5,084|5,063|5,039|<br>5,002|4,953|<br>4,887|4,802|
|FinLand|4,908|4,974|5,015|5,032|5,034|5,024|4,999|4,953|<br>4,882|
|France|55,170|56,339|57,490|<br>58,579|<br>59,374|59,958|60,417|60,782|60,983|
|German<br>Dem. Rep.|16,644|16,708|16,791|16,873|16,919|16,929|16,910|16,843|<br>16,768|
|Germany,<br>Fed. Rep. of|61,035|60,487|59,976|59,351|58,463|57,315|56,042|54,624|53,184|
|Greece|9,919|10,054|10,173|10,259|10,323|10,334|10,296|10,237|10.185|
|Hungary|10,657|10,543|10,460|10,409|10,353|10,283|10,196|10,101|10,006|
|Icetand|241|253|265|276|287|297|306|314|<br>322|
|**Iretand**|3,521|3,609|3,698|3,801|3,920|4,037|4,143|4,239|4,329|
|Itaty|57,141|57,178|57,136|56,966|56,563|55,861|54,920|53,850|<br>52,761|
# iv INTRODUCnON

Table **17** (continud)

|Country oreconomy|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Luxeffbourg<br>|366|366|<br>361|<br>361|<br>357|352|345|<br>339|<br>332|
|Nalta|345|<br>344|<br>344|<br>347|<br>351|356|360|<br>362|<br>362|
|Netherlands|14,491|14,815|15,092|15,278|15,388|15,429|15,414|15,349|15,213|
|Norway|4,153|<br>4,214|<br>4,275|<br>4,330|<br>4,375|<br>4,414|<br>4,450|<br>4,477|<br>4,486|
|Poland|37,203|38,343|39,294|40,240|41,184|42,115|42,959|43,670|44,257|
|Portugal|10,157|10,167|10,195|10,231|10,278|10,300|10,293|10,262|10,224|
|Romania|22,725|%3,250|23,8K4|24,461|24,952|25,327|25,670|26,032|26,422|
|Spain|38,523|39,148|39,810|40,385|40,833|41,073|41,158|41,200|41,177|
|Sweden|8,350|8,362|8,378|8,377|8,356|8,321|8,288|8,246|8,175|
|Switzerland|6,472|6,501|6,514|6,499|6,457|6,391|6,308|<br>6,208|<br>6,085|
|United Kingdom|56,618|56,890|57,178|57,333|57,345|57,309|57,304|57,285|57,161|
|Yugoslavia|23,123|23,844|24,562|25,276|25,906|26,383|26,731|27,007|27,251|
|Other Europe(a)|260|271|282|293|303|313|321|329|336|
|U.S.S.R.|278,618|289,913|298,601|306,362|313,810|320,874|328,005|334,247|340,163|
|Oceania|24,646|26,739|28,950|31,043|32,975|34,734|36,314|37,643|38,770|
|Australta|15,758|17,013|18,326|19,507|20,523|21,371|22,053|22,532|22.889|
|Fiji|700|<br>752|<br>795|<br>828|<br>858|891|<br>927|<br>963|<br>996|
|French<br>Polynesia|171|<br>197|<br>225|<br>254|<br>279|<br>301|<br>319|<br>338|<br>356|
|caum|123|<br>136|<br>146|<br>156|<br>167|<br>177|<br>186|<br>194|<br>200|
|Kiribati|64|70|<br>77|<br>84|91|98|105|<br>111|<br>117|
|New Caledonia|153|<br>163|<br>173|<br>182|<br>192|<br>202|<br>212|<br>221|<br>229|
|New Zealand|3,247|<br>3,366|<br>3,485|<br>3,598|<br>3,699|<br>3,786|<br>3,863|<br>3,929|<br>3,979|
|Pacific<br>Islands|154|<br>172|<br>194|<br>219|<br>247|<br>274|<br>300|<br>322|<br>344|
|Papua<br>New Guinea|3,511|<br>4,010|<br>4,546|<br>5,090|<br>5,640|<br>6,195|<br>6,744|<br>7,262|<br>7,725|
|Solomon<br>Islands|273|<br>325|<br>391|<br>467|<br>551|<br>641|<br>737|835|<br>931|
|Tongs|97|105|<br>115|<br>125|<br>135|<br>144|<br>154|<br>164|<br>175|
|Vanuatu|141|<br>161|<br>186|<br>213|<br>241|<br>271|<br>30"|<br>330|<br>359|
|Western<br>Samoa|163|<br>171|<br>184|<br>202|<br>221|<br>242|<br>263|<br>282|<br>301|
|Other<br>Micronesia<br>(a)|15|<br>17|<br>18|<br>20|<br>22|23|24'|<br>26|<br>27|
|Other<br>Polynesia<br>(a)|76|<br>81|<br>89|98|<br>109|<br>118|<br>126|<br>134|<br>142|

(a) For a listing of countries in the "other" categories, see Table 18.
INTRODUCTION bCV Table 18 Population of Countries and Economies In the 'Other Categories,

|Country or<br>economy<br>(|Population<br>1985<br>thousands)|Country or<br>economy<br>|Population<br>1985<br>(thousands)|Country or<br>economy|Population<br>1985<br>(thousands)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|OtherVestAfrica|7|Other NorthernAmerica|115|Other Micronesia|15|
|St. Helena|6|Bermuda|56|Nauru|8|
|Ascencion|1|Greenland|53|Johnston Island|I|
|Tristan daCunha|0.3|St. Pierre<br>and Miquel|on<br>6|Midway IsLands<br>Pitcairn|2<br>0.1|
|Other<br>North<br>Africa||Other<br>Europe|260|Tokelau<br>Islands|2|
|Western<br>Sahara|155|Andorra|45|Wake Island|2|
|||Faeroe<br>Islands|46|||
|Other<br>Latin<br>America||Gibraltar|29|||
|and the Caribbean|194|Holy See|1|Other Polynesia|76|
|Anguilla|7|Isle of man|63|America<br>Samoa|35|
|Aruba|60|Liechtenstein|27|Cook Islands|.8|
|British<br>Virgin<br>Islands|<br>12|Monaco|27|Niue|3|
|Cayman<br>Islards|22|San Marino|22|Tuvalu|8|
|Falkland<br>Islands|2|||Wallis<br>and Futuna<br>I|<br>slands 12|
|French<br>Guianp|83|||||
|Turks<br>end Caicos Islan|ds<br>8|||||
lxvi INTRODUCnON Table 19 Population Aged 0-14, 15-64, and 65 and Over for All Countries and Economies. 1985-2025 (percent)

|Country<br>or econoiy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|World||||||||||
|0-14<br>|33.7<br>|32.6<br>|32.0<br>|31.2<br>|30.0<br>|28.7<br>|27.5<br>|26.6|25.7|
|15-64<br>|60.4|61.4|61.7|62.2|63.2|64.4|65.1|65.3|65.3|
|65+|5.9|6.0|6.3|6.6|6.8|6.9|7.4|8.2|9.0|
|Africa<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.3|45.3|44.8|43.9|42.8|41.5|39.7|37.6|35.5|
|15-64<br>|51.7<br>|51.7<br>|52.2<br>|53.1<br>|54.2<br>|55.5|57.1|58.9|60.7|
|65+|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.4|3.8|
|EastAfrica||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.7<br>|45.9<br>|45.5<br>|44.9<br>|43.9|42.7|41.0|39.0|37.0|
|15-64<br>|51.4<br>|51.3<br>|51.7<br>|52.2<br>|53.2|54.4<br>|56.0<br>|57.7<br>|59.5|
|65+<br>|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.a|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|
|Botswanla||||||||||
|0-14<br>|48.5|44.8|40.3|34.6|32.5|30.3|27.8|25.6|24.0|
|15-64<br>|47.9<br>|51.6<br>|56.2<br>|61.9<br>|63.8<br>|65.8|67.8|69.3|69.8|
|65+<br>|3.7|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.7|3.9|4.4|5.2|6.1|
|Burundi<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|43.4<br>|45.5|47.4|47.6|46.1|43.7|42.0|40.6|38.8|
|15-64<br>|52.9<br>|51.3<br>|49.7<br>|49.7<br>|51.3<br>|53.8<br>|55.5<br>|56.7<br>|58.1<br>|
|65+<br>|3.7|3.1|2.8|2.7|2.7|2.5|2.5|2.7|3.2|
|Comoros<br>||||||||||
|0-14|48.1|47.2|48.8|47.7|45.6|44.0|42.3|40.2|37.6|
|15-64<br>|47.9<br>|49.9<br>|48.2<br>|49.7|51.5|53.2|54.9|57.0|59.4|
|65+|4.1|2.9|3.0|2.7|2.9|2.8|2.9|2.9|3.0|
|DJfbout i||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.7<br>|44.8|44.8|44.3|43.5|42.0|40.5|38.6|36.5|
|15-64<br>|52.0<br>|52.8<br>|52.7<br>|53.1<br>|53.8<br>|55.0<br>|56.3<br>|57.8<br>|59.6<br>|
|65+<br>|2.3|2.4|2.6|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.2|3.6|3.9|
|Ethiopia<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|44.2<br>|43.8<br>|43.3<br>|44.4<br>|44.0|42.8|40.7|38.9|37.2|
|15-64<br>|53.1<br>|53.5<br>|53.9<br>|52.7<br>|53.1<br>|54.2<br>|56.1<br>|57.6|59.1|
|65+<br>|2.7|2.7|2.8|2.8|2.9|3.1|3.2|3.4|3.7|
|Kenya<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|52.3<br>|52.9<br>|51.6<br>|50.1<br>|48.8<br>|47.7|46.1|4i-.0|41.7|
|15-64<br>|45.2<br>|44.9<br>|46.3<br>|47.9<br>|49.2<br>|50.4<br>|51.9<br>|53.8<br>|55.9<br>|
|65+<br>|.<br>2.5|2.2|2.1|2.1|2.0|2.0|2.0|2.2|2.4|
|Lesotho<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|41.9<br>|42.7<br>|42.8<br>|41.7<br>|39.9<br>|37.8<br>|35.6<br>|33.2<br>|<br>30.7<br>|
|15-64<br>|53.8<br>|53.1<br>|53.1<br>|54.2<br>|56.1|58.2|60.5|62.6|64.7|
|65+<br>|4.3|4.2|4.1|4.0|4.0|3.9|4.0|4.3|4.6|
|Madagascar||||||||||
|0-14<br>|46.3<br>|46.7<br>|45.9<br>|44.1|42.3|40.8|38.8|36.3|33.5|
|15-64<br>|50.5<br>|50.2<br>|51.1<br>|53.0<br>|54.9<br>|56.6<br>|58.5<br>|60.6<br>|62.9<br>|
|65+|3.3|3.1|3.0|2.9|2.8|2.6|2.7|3.1|3.6|
|Matawi||||||||||
|0-14|47.0|47.8|48.5|49.2|48.8|47.7|46.1|44.8|43.4|
|15-64<br>|50.4<br>|49.6<br>|49.0<br>|48.4<br>|48.8<br>|50.0<br>|51.5<br>|52.9<br>|54.2<br>|
|65+|2.6|2.6|2.5|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.4|.4|2.4|
|Mauritius<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|32.6<br>|30.7<br>|28.0<br>|26.0<br>|25.3<br>|24.4<br>|23.4<br>|22.5<br>|21.6<br>|
|15-64<br>|63.2<br>|64.6<br>|66.9<br>|68.4<br>|68.8<br>|69.4<br>|69.4<br>|68.8<br>|67.6|
|65+|4.3|4.7|5.1|5.7|6.0|6.3|7.1|8.8|10.7|
INTRODUCTION Ixvii Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Nozarbique|||||||||
|0-14<br>44.3|44.2|45.1|45.6|45.7|44.1|42.3|40.4|38.5|
|15-64<br>52.9|52.9|52.1|51.7|51.5|53.1|54.8|56.7|<br>58.3|
|65+<br>2.9|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.0|3.2|
|Namibia|||||||||
|0-14<br>44.4|45.3|44.7|43.2|40.9|39.1|37.1|34.6|31.6|
|15-64<br>52.4|51.6|52.2|53.6|55.9|57.6|59.4|61.6|64.1|
|65+<br>3.2|3.1|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.3|35|39|43|
|<br>RMunion||||||.|.|.|
|0-14<br>30.3|28.7|27.5|27.0|24.8|23.1|22.0|21.4|<br>21.0|
|15-64<br>.5.5|66.8|67.6|67.5|68.9|69.6|69.5|68.8|<br>67.1|
|65+<br>4.2<br>Rwanda|4.5|4.9|5.6|6.4|7.3|8.5|9.9|12.0|
|0-14<br>46.8|48.2|49.9|50.3|49.9|47.8|46.4|45.2|43.9|
|15-64<br>50.4|49.0|47.4|47.2|47.8|50.0|51.6|52.6|<br>53.6|
|65+<br>2.9|2.9|2.7|2.5|2.4|2.2|2.0|2.2|<br>2.5|
|Seycheltes|||||||||
|0-14<br>36.7|35.3|33.8|31.8|28.9|26.1|24.4|23.7|<br>23.0|
|15-64<br>57.0|58.3|60.0|62.0|64.9|67.9|69.8|70.3|<br>69.3|
|65+<br>6.4|6.3|6.2|6.2|6.3|6.0|5.8|6.1|7.6|
|Somatia|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.5|46.0|46.2|46.3|46.0|45.2|43.5|41.8|<br>40.0|
|15-64<br>51.7|51.1|50.9|50.7|51.1|51.9|53.5|55.2|<br>56.8|
|65+<br>29|30|30|30|29|29|30|30|<br>32|
|<br>.<br>South Africa|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|<br>.|
|0-14<br>41.0|40.4|39.1|36.8|34.8|32.7|30.4|27.8|<br>25.6|
|15-64<br>55.0|55.6|56.8|59.0|60.9|62.6|64.6|66.5|<br>68.0|
|65+<br>4.0|4.0|4.1|4.2|4.4|4.7|5.0|5.7|<br>6.4|
|Swaziland|||||||||
|0-14<br>48.3|48.5|46.9|44.6|42.9|41.6|39.8|37.1|<br>34.1|
|15-64<br>49.2|49.3|50.6|53.0|54.4|55.8|57.4|59.8|<br>62.4|
|65+<br>2.5<br>|2.3|2.5|2.4|2.7|2.6|2.9|3.1|<br>3.5|
|Tanzanif|||||||||
|0-14<br>48.6|49.1|48.6|47.5|46.2|45.1|43.5|41t4|38.9|
|15-64<br>49.1|48.7|49.2|50.3|51.5|52.5|54.0|56.1|<br>58.3|
|65+<br>2.3|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.4|2.5|2.6|<br>2.7|
|Uganda|||||||||
|0-14<br>47.9|48.i|48.0|46.8|44.8|43.4|41.7|39.6|<br>37.0|
|15-64<br>-<br>49.6|49.0|49.6|50.8|52.9|54.3|55.9|57.8|<br>60.1|
|65+<br>2.5|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.3|2.3|2.4|2.6|<br>2.9|
|Zaire|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.2|45.2|45.0|44.9|44.8|44.2|42.7|40.4|<br>38.2|
|15-64<br>51.9|51.8|52.0|52.1|52.1|52.7|54.1|56.3|<br>58.3|
|65+<br>2.9|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|<br>35|
|<br> <br>Zamfbia||||||||<br>.|
|0-14<br>48.7|49.3|49.5|48.7|47.3|46.0|44.4|42.3|<br>39.9|
|15-64<br>49.0|48.4|48.3|49.1|50.5|51.8|53.4|55.4|57.5|
|65+<br>2.3|2.3|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.4|<br>2.6|
|Zimbabwe|||||||||
|0-14<br>47.3|46.2|45.2|40.5|36.4|33.0|30.2|27.6|<br>25.6|
|15-64<br>50.2|51.4|52.4|57.0|60.8|63.9|66.2|68.0|<br>69.1|
|65+<br>25|23|24|25|28|31|36|44|<br>53|
|<br>.<br>West Africa|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|<br>.|
|0-14<br>46.5|46.6|46.0|45.3|44.4|43.3|41.6|39.4|37.0|
|15-64<br>50.7|50.6|51.1|51.9|52.7|53.8|55.4|57.5|59.7|
|65+<br>2.8|2.8|2.8|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.3|
**txv** ii INTRODUCTION

Table 19 (continuac)

|Country<br>or economy<br>and ago group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Angola||||||||||
|0-14|44.6|44.8|45.0|45.9|46.4|45.8|44.0|42.1|40.5|
|15-64|52.4|52.2|51.9|51.0|50.7|51.3|53.1|54.9|56.5|
|<br>65+<br>Benin|<br>3.0|<br>3.1|<br>3.1|<br>3.0|<br>3.0|<br>3.0|<br>3.0|<br>3.0|3.1|
|0-14|46.7|47.6|46.8|45.1|43.3|41.8|39.9|37.3|34.5|
|15-64|50.4|49.7|50.5|52.3|54.1|55.6|57.3|59.7|62.2|
|65+|2.9|2.7|2.7|2.6|2.7|2.7|2.8|3.0|3.3|
|Burkina Faso||||||||||
|<br>0-14|44.3|45.5|46.0|46.2|45.6|44.6|42.7|40.9|39.0|
|15-64|52.5|51.4|51.0|50.9|51.6|52.6|54.5|56.4|58.3|
|65+|3.2|3.1|3.0|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.8|2.7|2.8|
|Cameroon||||||||||
|0-14|45.5|47.2|46.2|45.4|44.9|44.4|43.1|40.8|38.2|
|15-64|<br>50.5|<br>49.0|<br>50.3|<br>51.3|<br>52.0|<br>52.7|<br>53.9|<br>56.1|58.5|
|65.|3.9|3.7|3.5|3.3|3.1|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.3|
|Cape Verde||||||||||
|<br>0-14|45.2|43.9|44.3|43.6|41.1|36.8|33.1|30.3|28.2|
|15-64|49.7|52.0|52.0|52.7|55.1|60.1|64.5|67.1|68.1|
|65+|5.2|4.1|3.7|3.8|3.8|3.2|2.4|2.5|3.7|
|Central African Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|43.1|41.8|42.0|42.1|41.6|40.7|39.0|36.5|33.9|
|15-64|54.6|55.2|54.5|54.0|54.4|55.3|57.1|59.8|62.3|
|65.|2.3|3.0|3.6|3.9|4.1|4.1|3.9|3.8|3.8|
|Chad||||||||||
|0-14|41.0|41.9|43.0|43.7|43.7|42.9|41.1|39.4|37.5|
|<br>15-64|<br>55.5|<br>54.5|<br>53.4|<br>52.6|<br>52.7|<br>53.5|<br>55.1|<br>56.9|58.6|
|65+|3.5|3.6|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.7|3.8|3.9|
|Cono Peole's Re of the||||||||||
|g, p p.<br>0-14|44.7|45.8|47.0|47.7|47.0|46.1|44.7|42.7|40.7|
|15-64|51.3|50.2|49.0|48.5|49.5|50.7|52.3|54.3|56.2|
|65-<br>|4.0|4.1|4.0|3.8|3.5|3.2|3.0|3.0|3.1|
|**CMte**d'lvoire||||||||||
|0-14|45.1|46.3|47.0|47.4|46.2|45.3|44.2|42.7|40.7|
|15-64|52.3|51.2|50.4|50.0|51.1|51.9|52.7|54.1|56.0|
|65+|2.6|2.6|2.7|2.7|2.8|2.8|3.1|3.2|<br>3.2|
|Equatorial Guinea||||||||||
|<br>0-14|38.1|39.5|40.9|41.9|40.9|39.5|37.4|35.4|33.5|
|15-64<br>-|57.6|56.3|54.9|53.9|54.8|56.2|58.2|60.0|61.o|
|65.<br>|4.3|4.2|4.2|4.2|4.3|4.3|4.4|4.6|4.8|
|Gabon||||||||||
|0-14|36.9|39.1|41.4|43.5|43.9|43.5|42.5|40.8|39.2|
|15-64|58.1|56.0|53.9|51.8|51.6|52.1|53.1|54.9|56.5|
|65+|5.0|<br>4.9|4.8|4.7|4.5|4.4|4.3|4.3|4.3|
|**Gambia,**<br>The||||||||||
|<br>0-14|42.7|43.8|44.3|44.9|45.0|44.7|43.7|42.1|40.5|
|15-64|55.0|53.6|53.0|52.3|52.0|52.2|53.1|54.6|56.1|
|65+|2.3|2.5|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.4|
|Ghana||||||||||
|0-14|46.7|46.8|46.0|44.8|42.9|41.2|39.2|36.7|34.0|
|15-64|50.5|50.3|51.1|52.3|54.2|55.8|57.7|60.0|62.3|
|65+|29|29|29|29|29|30|31|33|37|
|<br>Guinea|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14|40.8|42.5|43.8|44.0|44.1|43.8|42.9|41.1|39.2|
|15-64<br>|55.7<br>|54.0|52.7|52.5|52.5|52.9|53.9|55.6|57.4<br>|
|65+|3.5|3.6|3.6|3.5|3.4|3.3|_3.3_|3.3|3.4|
INTRODUCTION lxix Table 19 (continued)

|Country oreconomy<br>||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|andagegroup|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|Guinea-Bissau||||||||||
|0-14|42.9|43.5|43.7|44.4|44.6|44.1|42.9|40.8|38.8|
|15-64<br>|53.6|53.3|53.3|52.7|52.8|53.3|54.6|56.7|58.6|
|65+<br>|3.5|3.2|3.1|2.8|2.7|2.6|2.6|2.5|2.6|
|Liberfa||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.7|46.4|46.1|44.1|42.4|41.1|39.5|37.2|34.4|
|15-64|51.5|50.6|50.8|52.7|54.3|55.5|57.1|59.2|61.6|
|65+|28|30|31|32|33|34|35|37|39|
|<br>Mali|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14|46.1|46.9|47.3|47.6|47.0|46.2|44.7|43.1|41.4|
|15-64<br>|50.4|50.0|49.8|49.7|50.3|51.1|52.7|54.4|56.1|
|65+|3.5|3.1|2.9|2.7|2.7|2.7|2.7|2.5|2.5|
|Mauritania||||||||||
|0-14|43.5|44.3|45.2|46.5|46.7|46.3|45.0|43.1|41.3|
|15-64<br>|53.2|52.3|51.5|50.2|50.2|50.8|52.2|54.2|56.0|
|65+<br>Niger|3.3|3.4|3.4|3.3|3.1|3.0|2.9|2.8|2.7|
|0-14|46.2|47.0|47.5|48.0|48.7|48.7|47.7|45.9|44.4|
|15-64<br>|51.3|50.4|50.0|49.5|48.8|48.9|49.9|51.7|53.2|
|65+|2.5|2.6|2.6|2.5|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.4|2.5|
|Nigeria||||||||||
|0-14|48.3|47.6|46.4|44.8|43.7|42.3|40.4|37.8|35.0|
|15-64|49.3|49.9|51.1|52.5|53.6|54.8|56.6|59.0|61.6|
|65+<br>Sa5 Tom6 and Principe|2.4|2.5|2.6|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|
|0-14|40.7|41.8|41.6|39.5|37.1|35.2|33.2|30.8|28.1|
|15-64|53.7|53.6|53.6|55.7|58.2|59.7|61.5|63.9|66.1|
|65+|5.6|4.6|4.8|4.8|4.7|5.1|5.2|5.3|5.8|
|Senegal||||||||||
|0-14|46.5|45.3|45.1|45.4|45.8|44.7|42.5|40.5|38.6|
|15-64<br>|50.7|51.8|52.0|51.7|51.4|52.5|54.6|56.4|58.1|
|65+<br> <br>|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.8|2.9|3.1|3.3|
|Sierra<br>Leone||||||||||
|0-14|42.5|43.3|43.8|44.4|44.7|44.4|43.4|41.7|:.0.0|
|15-64|54.6|53.6|53.0|52.3|52.1|52.3|53.3|55.0|56.6|
|65+|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.3|3.3|3.3|_3w3_|3.3|3.4|
|TogO||||||||||
|0-14|46.9|47.6|47.5|46.1|43.9|42.1|40.1|37.6|34.8|
|15-64<br>|.<br>50.0|49.3|49.5|51.0|53.1|54.9|56.9|59.3|61.8|
|65+<br> <br>|3.2|3.1|3.0|3,0|! 0|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.4|
|other West Africa<br>(a)||||||||||
|0-14|35.3|33.2|29.8|28.7|27.0|25.5|24.3|23.3|22.3|
|15-64<br>|55.6|58.1|62.0|63.4|65.4|66.8|68.0|68.2|68.5|
|65+|9.1|8.7|8.2|8.0|7.6|7.7|7.7|8.5|9.3|
|North Africa||||||||||
|0-14|42.6|42.2|41.2|39.4|37.6|35.4|33.2|30.9|28.8|
|15-64|53.8|54.3|35.3|57.0|58.7|61.0|62.9|64.5|65.9|
|65+|3.6|3.5|3.5|3.6|3.7|3.6|3.9|4.6|5.4|
|Algeria||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|44.3|43.6|42.2|40.4|37.1|33.9|31.0|28.4|
|15-64|50.7|52.4|53.3|54.6|56.4|59.8|62.8|65.2|67.0|
|65+<br>|3.7|3.3|3.1|3.1|3.2|3.1|3.3|3.9|4.6|
|Egypt, Arab Rep. of||||||||||
|0-14|40.5|40.7|39.0|36.2|34.0|32.1|30.1|27.7|25.6|
|15-64<br>|55.6<br>|55.4<br>|57.0|59.7|61.8|63.6|65.2|66.5|67.7|
|65+|3.9|3.9|4.0|4.1|4.2|4.3|4.8|5.8|6.8|
# txx INTRODUCniON

Table 19 (continued)

|Cwxntry or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Libya||||||||||
|0-14|46.4|46.0|46.0|45.7|45.1|43,9|42.6|41.0|39.3|
|15-64|51.3|51.6|51.5|51.7|52.1|53.0|54.1|55.5|57.1|
|65+|23|24|2.5|2.7|2.9|3.1|3.3|3.5|3.6|
|<br>Morocco|.|.||||||||
|0-14|42.2|41.0|39.9|38.3|36.1|33.2|30.4|28.0|26.1|
|15-64|53.9|55.5|56.3|58.0|60.0|63.1<br>|65.5<br>|67.2<br>|68.1<br>|
|65+|3.9|3.6|3.8|3.7|3.9|3.8|4.1|4.8|5.9|
|Sudan||||||||||
|0-14|45,0|45.4|45.1|44.4|43.4|42.0|40.2|37.9|35.3|
|15-64|52.2|51.9|52.3|53.0|54.0|55.4|57.1|59.2|61.5|
|65+|2.8|2.7|2.7|2.6|2.6|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.2|
|TUnisia||||||||||
|0-14|39.6|37.7|36.0|33.7|31.3|28.2|25.8|24.3|23.6|
|15-64|56.5|58.2|59.6|61.5|63.6|66.8|69.1|69.6|68.8|
|65+<br>|3.8|4.1|4.4|4.8|5.1|5.0|5.1|6.1|7.6|
|Other North Africa(a)||||||||||
|0-14|43.0|43.9|44.3|44.8|43.5|42.4|41.3|40.1|38.6|
|15-64|53.2<br>|52.2<br>|52.1<br>|51.7<br>|53.1<br>|54.4<br>|55.4<br>|56.5<br>|58.0<br>|
|65+|3.9|3.9|3.6|3.5|3.4|3.2|3.2|3.4|3.4|
|America||||||||||
|0-14|31.3|30.4|29.5|27.9|26.0|24.3|23.2|22.6|22.0|
|15-64<br>|61.4<br>|62.2<br>|63.0<br>|6..6<br>|66.3<br>|67.5<br>|67.7<br>|67.1<br>|66.2<br>|
|65+|7.4|7.4|7.5|7.5|7.7|8.2|9.1|10.4|11.8|
|Latin America and Caribbean||||||||||
|0-14|37.6|35.9|34.3|32.0|29.5|27.2|25.6|24.6|23.7|
|15-64<br>|57.9<br>|59.5<br>|61.0<br>|63.0<br>|65.1<br>|67.0<br>|67.9<br>|68.0<br>|67.7<br>|
|65+|4.5|4.5|4.7|5.0|5.4|5.8|6.5|7.5|8.6|
|Antigua and Barbuda||||||||||
|<br>0-14|44.1|35.1|28.0|23.3|25.4|26.0|24.6|22.2|20.3|
|15-64|50.8<br>|59.0<br>|65.4<br>|69.6<br>|67.3<br>|66.7<br>|68.1<br>|70.6<br>|71.9<br>|
|65+|5.1|5.9|6.6|7.1|7.3|7.3|7.3|7.2|7.8|
|Argentina||||||||||
|0-14|30.5|29.9|28.0|26.3|24.7|23.7|23.0|22.5|21.8|
|15-64|60.9<br>|61.2<br>|62.8<br>|64.2<br>|65.6<br>|66.4<br>|66.5<br>|66.2<br>|66.1<br>|
|65+|8.6|8.9|9.2|9.5|9.7|10.0|10.5|11.3|12.0|
|Bahamas||||||||||
|0-14|38.0|33.2|30.8|29.2|27.1|25.2|23.8|22.8|22.0|
|15-64|58.5<br>|62.9<br>|64.8<br>|65.8<br>|67.2<br>|68.2<br>|68.6<br>|68.8<br>|69.1<br>|
|65+|35|40|44|50|58|67|76|84|90|
|<br>Barbados|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14|26.7|23.7|22.8|21.9|20.7|19.4|18.3|17.7|17.6|
|15-64|63.5|66.3|66.9|67.9|68.6|69.6|69.4|67.6|64.8|
|65+|9.8|<br>10.0|10.3|10.2|10.7|11.0|12.3|14.7|17.6|
|<br>Belize||<br>||||||||
|0-14|45.6|42.4|40.3|41.4|39.5|36.1|32.0|28.4|<br>26.1|
|15-64|50.6|53.5|55.7|54.9|56.5|59.9|64.0|67.8|69.5|
|<br>65+|3.8|4.1|4.0|3.8|4.0|4.1|4.0|3.8|4.3|
|Bolivia||||||||||
|0-14|43.8|44.0|43.8|42.9|41.3|39.2|36.9|34.4|<br>31.7|
|15-64|531|528|529|539|554|575|596|619|<br>641|
|<br>65+|.<br>3.2|.<br> <br>3.2|.<br> <br>3.3|.<br> <br>3.3|.<br> <br>3.3|.<br> <br>3.3|.<br> <br>3.5|.<br> <br>3.8|<br>.<br> <br>4.1|
INTRODUCTION bCXi Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Brazil|||||||||
|0-14<br>36.4|35.3|33.6|31.0|28.0|25.6|24.3|23.7|23.1|
|15-64<br>59.3|60.3|61.8|64.1|66.6|68.5|69.0|68.4|67.7|
|65<br>43|44|46|49|54|59|68|79|93|
|+<br>.<br>Chile|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>31.5|30.5|29.7|27.5|24.9|23.2|22.6|22.3|21.7|
|15-64<br>62.7|63.6|64.1|65.9|68.1|69.0|68.7|67.7|66.7|
|65+<br>5.8|5.9|6.2|6.6|7.0|7.8|8.7|10.0|11.6|
|Cotombia|||||||||
|0-14<br>37.2|35.4|33.3|30.5|28.2|25.9|24.5|23.7|23.0|
|15-64<br>59.1|60.6|62.4|65.0|66.9|68.7|69.3-|68.9|68.2|
|65+<br>3.8|4.1|4.3|4.6|4.9|5.4|6.2|7.4|8.8|
|Costa Rica|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>36.8|36.1|34.0|30.9|27.5|25.0|23.8|23.2|22.6|
|15-64<br>59.3|59.8|61.6|64.2|67.2|69.1|69.4|68.6|67.5|
|65+<br>3.9|4.1|4.5|4.9|5.3|5.9|6.9|8.2|10.0|
|Ci )a|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>25.7|22.4|22.4|22.8|21.7|20.2|19.0|18.4|18.5|
|15-64<br>66.4|69.4|69.0|68.0|68.1|68.3|68.3|67.8|66.8|
|65+<br>8.0|8.2|8.6|9.1|10.2|11.5|12.8|13.8|14.7|
|Dominica|||||||||
|0-14<br>44.7|40.9|35.2|26.6|26.0|26.3|26.1|24.6|22.4|
|15-64<br>49.8|53.3|58.6|66.3|66.3|65.7|65.9|67.5|69.3|
|65+<br>5.5<br>Dominican Rep.|5.8|6.3|7.1|7.7|8.0|8.0|7.9|8.3|
|<br>0-14<br>39.7|37.9|36.1|33.5|30.5|27.7|25.5|24.1|23.4|
|15-64<br>57.1|58.8|60.2|62.3|64.9|67.2|M8.6|69.1|68.5|
|65.<br>3.3|3.3|3.8|4.2|4.7|5.2|5.9|6.8|8.1|
|Ecuador|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.8|40.1|38.2|35.3|32.6|30.0|2T.7|25.8|24.3|
|15-64<br>54.5|56.3|58.2|61.0|63.4|65.6|67.3|68.4|68.9|
|65+<br>3.7<br>El Salvador|3.6|3.6|3.7|4.0|4.4|5.0|5.9|6.8|
|0-14<br>46.1|44.2|41.8|40.3|38.6|36.5|33.7|30.6|27.9|
|15-64<br>50.6|52.3|54.5|55.8|57.4|59.3|62.1|65.0|67.5|
|65+<br>3.4|3.5|3.7|3.8|4.0|4.2|4.2|4.4|4.6|
|Grenada|||||||||
|0-14<br>35.1|35.9|36.5|33.1|29.0|25.7|24.2|23.9|23.3|
|15-64<br>58.7|58.7|58.1|61.5|65.7|69.2|71.0|70.2|69.1|
|65+<br>6.2|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.3|5.1|4.8|5.9|7.6|
|Guadeloupe|||||||||
|0-14<br>28.2|26.1|26.9|25.2|23.7|22.4|21.5|21.1|20.7|
|15-64<br>64.0|65.6|64.2|65.6|66.7|67.4|67.4|67.4|66.7|
|65+<br>7.8|8.3|8.9|9.2|9.6|10.2|11.1|11.5|12.6|
|Guatemala|||||||||
|0-14<br>45.9|45.7|44.6|43.0|41.0|38.8|36.3|33.5|30.7|
|15-64<br>51.2|51.3|52.2|53.7|55.7|57.9|60.3|62.6|65.0|
|65+<br>2.9|3.0|3.2|3.3|3.3|3.3|3.5|3.9|4.3|
|Guyana|||||||||
|0-14<br>36.9|36.0|33.2|29.5|25.7|23.8|23.5|23.2|22.2|
|15-64<br>59.1|59.6|61.9|64.7|68.1|69.6|68.8|67.4|66.4|
|65+<br>4.0<br>|4.4|5.0|5.7|6.3|6.7|7.7|9.4|11.5|
|Haiti|||||||||
|0-14<br>40.2|38.8|38.3|37.6|36.5|34.1|31.6|29.3|27.4|
|15-64<br>56.0|57.4|57.8|58.4|59.4|61.6|63.9|65.8|67.2|
|65+<br>3.8|3.8|3.9|4.0|4.1|4.3|4.6|4.9|5.4|
# txxij INTRODUCTION

Table 19 (continued)

|Country oreconomy<br>andage group<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Honduras|||||||||
|0-14<br>46.3|44.7|43.6|41.8|39.6|36.9|33.9|31.0|28.3|
|15-64<br>50.4|52.1|53.3|55.2|57.2|59.8|62.5|65.0|67.1|
|65+<br>3.3|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.1|3.3|3.6|4.0|<br>4.6|
|Jamaica|||||||||
|0-14<br>36.6|34.7|33.0|29.8|26.7|24.4|23.4|22.7|21.8|
|15-64<br>57.3|59.2|60.6|63.6|66.7|69.2|<br>70.2|70.2|68.6|
|65+<br>6.1|6.2|6.4|6.6|<br>6.5|<br>6.4|<br>6.5|<br>7.1|<br>9.7|
|<br> <br>Martinique||||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|
|0-14<br>24.5|23.3|25.1|24.7|23.5|21.5|20.3|20.0|20:2|
|15-64<br>65.9<br>|66.5<br>|64.5<br>|64.5<br>|65.4<br>|67.0<br>|67.8'<br>|67.6<br>|65.8<br>|
|65+<br>9.7<br>Nexico|10.2|10.4|10.8|11.1|11.5|11.9|12.4|14.1|
|0-14<br>40.9|37.1|34.9|32.4|29.6|26.8|24.8|23.8|23.2|
|15-64<br>55.5|59.2|61.2|63.4|65.8|68.0|69.4|69.4|68.9|
|65+<br>3.6|3.7|3.8|4.2|4.6|5.2|5.8|6.8|8.0|
|Montserrat|||||||||
|0-14<br>30.5|28.3|26.4|27.6|25.7|23.5|21.9|21.1|20.8|
|15-64<br>56.7<br>|59.3<br>|61.8<br>|61.6<br>|64.7<br>|67.5<br>|68.7<br>|68.5<br>|67.4<br>|
|65+<br>12.7|12.4|11.8|10.8|9.7|9.0|9.4|10.5|11.9|
|Netherlands<br>Antitles|||||||||
|<br><br>0-14<br>34.7|30.5|29.2|26.5|26.9|26.0|24.5|23.0|22.0|
|<br> <br>5-64<br>59.6<br> <br>|<br>63.7<br>|64.9<br>|67.6<br>|66.8<br>|67.1<br>|68.0<br>|68.8<br>|69.3<br>|
|65.<br>5.7|5.8|5.9|6.0|6.3|6.9|7.5|8.2|8.8|
|<br> <br>Nicaragua|||||||||
|0-14<br>46.8|46.0|44.4|42.2|39.6|37.2|34.5|31.5|28.5|
|5-64<br>50.7|51.5|52.8|54.9|57.4|59.7|62.0|64.3|66.6|
|65.<br>2.5|2.6|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|4.2|4.9|
|Panama|||||||||
|0-14<br>37.5|35.0|32.4|29.5|26.3|24.5|23.7|23.0|22.1|
|15-64<br>58.0|60.4|62.7|65.3|67.9|69.0|68.9|68.5|68.0|
|65+<br>4.5<br>|4.6|4.9|5.3|5.8|6.5|7.4|8.5|9.9|
|Paraguay|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.0|40.5|40.0|38.5|36.3|33.8|31.5|29.4|27.1|
|15-64<br>55.5<br> <br>|56.0<br>|56.5<br>|58.1<br>|60.1<br>|62.5<br>|64.3<br>|65.4<br>|66.5<br>|
|65.<br>3.5|3.5|3.5|3.4|3.6|3.8|4.2|5.3|6.4|
|Peru|||||||||
|0-14<br>40.5|38.2|36.3|33.6|31.5|28.6|26.2|24.6|23.8|
|15-64<br>-<br>55.9<br> <br>|58.0<br>|59.8<br>|62.1<br>|63.8<br>|66.1<br>|67.9<br>|68.7<br>|68.5<br>|
|65+<br>3.6<br>|3.7|4.0|4.4|4.8|5.3|5.9|6.7|7.7|
|St. Kitts andNevis|||||||||
|0-14<br>37.3|34.9|32.3|29.9|28.6|27.3|25.7|24.1|22.8|
|15-64<br>53.1<br> <br>|54.7<br>|57.4<br>|60.0<br>|62.1<br>|64.6<br>|67.9<br>|70.9<br>|72.0<br>|
|65+<br>9.6|10.4|10.|10.1|9.4|8.1|6.4|5.0|5.3|
|St. Lucia|||||||||
|0-14<br>46.0|40.2|35.3|33.3|30.9|28.6|26.1|24.4|23.3|
|15-64<br>48.1|54.5|59.3|61.0|63.3|65.6|68.4|70.4|71.3|
|65+<br>5.8|5.4|.5.4|5.7|5.8|<br>5.8|S.5|5.2|5.4|
|St. Vincent and the Grenadines|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>37.7|35.4|31.6|28.3|26.2|25.2|24.3|23.1|21.9|
|15-64<br>57.4|59.5|63.4|66.9|69.2|70.1|70.1|69.9|68.7|
|65+<br>4.9<br>|5.1|5.0|4.9|4.6|4.7|5.6|7.0|9.5|
|Suriname|||||||||
|0-14<br>37.1|35.7|36.4|35.0|31.4|27.8|25.3|24.3|23.8|
|15-64<br>5S.7<br>|60.1<br>|59.2<br>|60.1<br>|63.3<br>|66.8<br>|69.1<br>|69.8<br>|69.1<br>|
|65+<br>4.3|4.2|4.5|4.9|5.3|5.4|5.5|6.0|7.0|
INTRODUCTION bCxiii Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Trinidad and Tobago||||||||||
|<br>0-14|32.9|32.7|31.4|28.8|25.4|23.6|23.1|22.9|22.2|
|15-64|61.6|61.9|63.1|65.6|68.5|69.6|69.0|67.9|66.8|
|65+|5.5|5.4|5.5|5.6|6.1|6.9|7.9|9.3|11.1|
|Uruguay||||||||||
|0-14|26.9|26.3|25.3|24.2|23.0|22.3|22.0|21.7|21.1|
|<br>15-64|62.4|62.7|63.0|63.7|64.9|65.7|66.0|66.2|65.9|
|65+<br>|10.8|11.1|11.7|12.1|12.2|12.1|12.0|12.2|12.9|
|Venezuela||||||||||
|0-14|395|38.3|36.3|33.6|30.5|27.6|25.5|24.1|23.4|
|<br>15-64|.<br>57.1|<br>58.2|<br>59.8|<br>62.3|<br>65.0|<br>67.3|<br>68.4'|68.6|68.1|
|65+|3.4|3.5|3.9|4.2|4.6|5.1|6.1|7.3|8.5|
|Virgin Islands (U.S.)||||||||||
|<br>0-14|36.0|31.7|28.3|26.4|24.8|24.4|23.6|22.4|21.3|
|15-64|59.4|63.1|65.7|66.9|67.8|67.1|66.2|65.7|66.7|
|65+|4.6|5.2|6.0|6.6|7.4|8.5|10.2|11.9|12.0|
|Other Latin America**(a)**||||||||||
|<br>0-14|36.4|34.0|30.8|29.3|27.2|25.4|24.2|23.3|22.4|
|15-64|58.7|61.8|64.4|65.7|67.3|68.5|69.2|69.2|68.7|
|65+|5.0|4.3|4.8|5.0|5.5|6.2|6.6|7.6|9.0|
|Northern America||||||||||
|0-14|21.8|21.7|21.6|20.7|19.6|18.9|18.6|18.6|18.6|
|15-64|66.5|66.4|66.4|67.4|68.5|68.6|67.3|65.2|63.1|
|65.<br>|11.7|12.0|12.1|11.9|11.8|12.5|14.1|16.2|18.4|
|Canada||||||||||
|0-14|21.5|21.0|20.3|19.3|18.2|17.6|17.5|17.5|17.5|
|<br>15-64|68.1|68.0|68.0|68.7|69.5|69.2|67.5|65.3|63.0|
|65+<br>|10.4|11.1|11.6|12.0|12.3|13.2|15.1|17.2|19.5|
|United<br>States||||||||||
|0-14|21.7|21.7|21.6|20.8|19.7|19.0|18.7|18.7|18.6|
|15-64|66.4|66.2|66.3|67.3|68.4|68.6|67.2|65.2|63.0|
|65+|11.9|12.1|12.1|11.9|11.8|12.4|14.1|16.2|18.3|
|Puerto<br>Rico||||||||||
|0-14|29.7|28.4|26.6|24.5|22.8|22.0|21.4|20.8|20.1|
|3-"64|62.1|63.2|64.8|66.4<br>|67.4<br>|67.3<br>|66.5<br>|66.2<br>|65.8<br>|
|65+|8.3|8.4|8.7|9.1|9.8|10.8|12.1|13.0|14.1|
|Other<br>Northern<br>America<br>**(a)**||||||||||
|<br> <br> <br><br>0-14|23.6|23.1|23.5|22.8|21.4|20.1|19.5|19.5|19.6|
|15-i'4|70.1|70.4|69.3|69.0|69.5|69.5|68.2|66.4|64.6<br>|
|65+|6.3|6.5|7.2|8.2|9.1|10.4|12.3|14.1|15.9|
|Asia||||||||||
|0-14|35.2|33.3|32.3|31.5|29.9|28.1|26.6|25.4|24.5|
|15-64|60.2|61.9|62.4|62.9|64.2|65.7|66.6|66.9|66.9<br>|
|65+|4.6|4.9|5.2|5.6|5.9|6.2|6.8|7.7|8.6|
|Eastand Southeast<br>Asia||||||||||
|0-14|31.4|28.6|27.9|27.5|25.9|24.0|22.6|21.8|21.5|
|15-64|63.4|65.7|65.9|65.6|66.8|68.3|68.9|68.2|67.4|
|65+|5.2|5.7|6.3|6.9|7.3|7.7|8.6|10.0|11.1|
|<br>Brunei||||||||||
|0-14<br>|35.0<br>|34.2<br>|32.9<br>|30.0<br>|27.5<br>|25.3<br>|23.6<br>|22.6<br>|22.0<br>|
|15-64|619|618|625|649|667|68.4|68.9|68.1|66.4|
|<br>65+|.<br>3.1|.<br>4.0|.<br>4.6|.<br>5.1|.<br>5.7|<br>6.4|<br>7.5|<br>9.3|11.6|
lxxiv INTRODUCTION Table 19 (continued)

|Country or economy<br> <br>|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group<br>1985|190|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|Cambodia|||||||||
|0-14<br>39.2<br>|37.7|37.0|35.7|33.4|30.4|27.8|25.9|24.8|
|15-64<br>57.0<br> <br>|58.3<br>|58.8<br>|59.8<br>|61.8<br>|64.8<br>|67.2|68.5|68.7|
|65+<br>3.8<br> <br>|4.1|4.2|4.6|4.8|4.9|5.0|5.6|6.6|
|China(excluding<br>Taiwan)|||||||||
|<br><br>0-14<br>29.6|26.2|26.0|26.4|24.9|23.0|21.6|20.9|20.8|
|15-64<br>65.1<br> <br>|67.9<br>|67.6<br>|66.6<br>|67.6|69.2|69.7|68.5|67.4|
|65+<br>5.3|5.9|6.4|7.0|7.5|7.8|8.8|10.6|11.8|
|Taiwan China|||||||||
|,<br>0-14<br>30.4<br>|28.4|25.2|21.7|20.2|20.1|19.9|19.4|18.6|
|15-64<br>64.7|65.6<br>|67.5|70.2|71.0|70.8|69.9'|68.0|66.1|
|65+<br>4.9|6.0|7.3|8.2|8.8|91|101|127|153|
|Hong Kong|||||.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14<br>23.1|22.2|21.5|20.8|19.2|18.2|17.8|17.8|17.9|
|15-64<br>69.3<br> <br>|69.3<br>|69.0<br>|68.8<br>|70.1<br>|71.3|69.8|67.1|63.5|
|65+<br>7.6<br>|8.6|9.6|10.4|10.7|10.5|12.3|15.1|18.7|
|Indonesia|||||||||
|0-14<br>38.8|36.3|33.5|31.4|28.7|26.5|25.0|24.1|23.4|
|15-64<br>57.8<br> <br>|59.8<br>|62.1<br>|63.9<br>|66.0<br>|67.7<br>|68.7<br>|68.8|68.4|
|65+<br>3.4|3.9|4.3|4.8|5.3|5.8|6.3|7.1|8.2|
|Japan|||||||||
|0-14<br>21.5|18.5|17.2|16.9|17.1|17.0|16.7|16.5|16.6|
|15-64<br>68.2<br> <br>|69.9<br>|69.4<br>|67.8<br>|66.0<br>|64.4<br>|62.2<br>|61.6<br>|61.8|
|65+<br>10.3<br>K D Pl' R f|11.5|13.4|15.4|17.0|18.7|21.1|21.9|21.6|
|orea, em. eopes ep. o<br>0-14<br>32.6|35.0|41.8|38.4|33.8|30.4|29.3|29.3|28.1|
|15-64<br>64.8<br> <br>|62.1<br>|55.0<br>|58.2<br>|62.5<br>|65.6<br>|65.9<br>|65.0|65.1|
|65+<br>2.6<br>Korea, Rep. of|2.9|3.2|3.5|3.7|4.0|4.7|5.8|6.8|
|<br>0-14<br>38.7|36.8|34.9|32.6|30.0|27.2|25.1|23.8|23.1|
|<br>15-64<br>57.7<br> <br>|<br>59.3<br>|<br>60.9<br>|<br>62.7<br>|<br>64.8<br>|<br>67.1<br>|<br>68.6<br>|<br>69.0|<br>68.0|
|65.<br>3.6|3.9|4.2|4.7|5.2|5.7|6.4|7.3|8.8|
|Lao People's Den. Rep.|||||||||
|0-14<br>30.0|27.5|24.7|23.5|21.8|21.1|20.4|19.7|19.3|
|<br>15-64<br>65.8<br> <br>|<br>67.7<br>|<br>69.7<br>|<br>69.9<br>|<br>70.4|<br>70.2|<br>70.1|<br>69.2|<br>67.3|
|65+<br>4.3<br>Macao|4.9|5.6|6.6|7.8|8.8|9.6|11.0|13.5|
|0-14<br>-<br>42.7<br>|43.4|44.1|43.4|42.3|40.1|38.0|35.7|33.1|
|15-64<br>54.5<br> <br>|53.7<br>|53.0<br>|53.8<br>|54.9<br>|56.9<br>|59.0<br>|61.1|63.3|
|65+<br>2.9|2.9|2.9|2.8|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.3|3.6|
|Malaysia|||||||||
|0-14<br>23.1|25.1|25.6|24.9|21.4|19.9|19.8|20.1|20.1|
|15-64<br>69.3<br> <br>|67.7<br>|67.0<br>|67.4<br>|70.7|72.0|70.2|67.2|63.8|
|65+<br>7.7<br>Mongolia|7.2|7.5|7.8|8.0|8.1|10.0|12.7|16.1|
|0-14<br>37.8<br> <br>|36.9|36.6|34.5|31.0|27.4|25.1|24.1|23.6|
|15-64<br>58.5|59.3|59.4|61.3|64.1|67.2|68.7|68.7|67.9|
|65+<br>3.8|3.8|4.0|4.3|4.9|5.4|6.2|7.2|8.5|
|Hyanmar|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.7|42.0|42.3|41.8|39.2|36.1|33.4|31.0|28.5|
|15-64<br>55.1|54.7|54.3|54.7|57.1|59.9|62.3|64.5|66.4|
|65+<br>3.3<br>|3.3|3*S|3.6|3.7|4.0|4.3|4.6|5.1|
|Philippines|||||||||
|0-14<br>41.1<br>|39.4|36.9|33.5|30.9|28.4|26.4|25.0|24.1|
|15-64<br>55.5<br> <br>|57.2<br>|59.6<br>|62.8<br>|65.0<br>|67.0<br>|68.4|68.9|68.7|
|65+<br>3.4|3.4|3.5|3.7|4.1|4.6|5.2|6.2|7.3|
> INTRODUCTION bocv

Table 19 (continued)

|Countryoreconomy<br>and age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Singapore||||||||||
|0-14|24.5|22.9|22.1|20.6|18.9|17.8|17.4|17.4|17.5|
|15-64|70.3|71.5|71.5|72.1|72.5|72.6|70.4|67.3|63.6|
|65+<br>|5.2|5.6|6.4|7.3|8.6|9.6|12.2|15.3|18.9|
|Thailand||||||||||
|0-14|36.5|33.6|31.3|29.0|27.1|25.5|24.4|23.6|22.7|
|15-64|59.9|62.7|64.6|66.5|67.9|69.1|69.4|69.1|68.5|
|65+|3.6|3.8|4.1|4.6|5.1|5.5|6.2|7.3|8.7|
|Viet Nam||||||||||
|0-14|40.6|40.0|39.0|37.2|34.3|30.9|28.1|26.0|24.7|
|15-6|54.9|55.6|56.7|58.3|61.4|64.9|67.6|68.C|69.0|
|65+|4.5|4.5|4.4|4.5|4.3|4.2|4.3|5.1|6.3|
|South Asia||||||||||
|0-14|40.5|39.5|37.9|36.1|34.2|32.4|30.6|28.7|27.2|
|15-64|55.7|56.8|58.2|59.9|61.5|63.1|64.6|66.0|66.9|
|65+|3.8|3.7|3.9|4.1|4.3|4.5|4.9|5.3|6.0|
|Afghanistan||||||||||
|0-14|45.4|45.2|45.7|45.4|46.3|46.0|44.8|43.0|41.4|
|15-64|52.3|52.5|52.1|52.4|51.5|51.8|52.9|54.6|56.1|
|65+|2.3|2.3|2.3|2.2|2.2|2.2|2.3|2.4|2.5|
|Bangledesh||||||||||
|0-14|45.7|44.2|42.2|40.4|38.7|36.5|33.9|31.1|28.6|
|15-6<br>|51.2|52.9|54.9|56.8|58.4|60.5|62.9|65.4|6?.2|
|65.<br>|3.1|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.5|4.2|
|Bhutan||||||||||
|0-14|40.0|39.9|40.6|40.8|39.9|37.4|34.9|32.8|30.8|
|15-64|56.7|56.7|56.0|55.7|56.6|59.0|61.2|63.1|64.7|
|65+<br>|3.3|3.4|3.4|3.5|3.5|3.7|3.9|4.1|4.5|
|India||||||||||
|0-14|39.2|37.7|35.7|33.4|31.4|29.4|27.5|25.6|24.2|
|15-64|56.8|58.2|60.0|62.0|63.7|65.4|66.9|68.2|68.9|
|65.<br> <br> <br>|4.1|4.1|4.2|4.6|4.9|5.2|5.7|6.2|6.9|
|Iran,<br>Islamic<br>Rep.of||||||||||
|<br>0-14|43.6|43.6|43.7|42.9|41.2|39.3|37.6|36.0|34.1|
|15-64|53.3|53.4|53.3|54.1|55.8|57.6|58.9|60.1|61.5|
|65.|3.2|3.1|3.0|3.0|3.0|3.1|3.5|4.0|4.5|
|Naldives||||||||||
|0-14|.'44.4|44.4|45.0|44.7|43.0|40.8|38.5|36.1|33.5|
|15-64|53.4|53.2|52.1|51.8|53.2|55.2|57.9|60.6|62.8|
|65-|2.2|2.4|2.9|3.5|3.9|4.0|3.6|3.3|3.7|
|Nepal||||||||||
|0-14|42.9|42.2|41.5|40.4|38.8|36.8|34.3|31.9|29.7|
|15-64<br>|54.2<br>|54.7<br>|55.1<br>|56.0|57.4|59.3|61.6|63.9|65.8|
|65.|2.9|3.2|3.4|3.6|3.8|3.9|4.0|4.1|4.5|
|Pakistan||||||||||
|0-14|44.4|45.2|45.5|45.0|42.8|40.7|38.9|36.9|34.5|
|15-64|52.9<br>|52.1<br>|51.8<br>|52.2<br>|54.5<br>|56.6<br>|58.4|59.9|61.8|
|65+|2.8|2.7|2.8|2.8|2.7|2.7|2.8|3.2|3.7|
|Sri Lanka||||||||||
|0-14<br>|34.1<br>|32.5<br>|29.6<br>|26.2<br>|24.3|23.7|23.3|22.4|21.4|
|15-64|61.2|62.6|64.8|67.6|68.9|68.9|680|675|669|
|<br>65+|<br>4.7|<br>5.0|<br>5.6|<br>6.2|<br>6.7|<br>7.5|.<br>8.8|.<br>10.1|.<br>11.7|
# LxAvi INTRODUCTION

Table 19 (continued)

|Countryor econom<br>and age group|y<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Southiest<br>Asia||||||||||
|<br><br>0-14|40.9|40.5|40.3|39.6|38,1|36.3|34.6|33.2|31.7|
|15-64|<br>55.4|<br>55.9|<br>55.9|<br>56.4|<br>57.8|<br>59.5|<br>60.9|<br>61.9|<br>62.8|
|65.|3.7|3.6|3.8|<br>4.U|4.1|4.2|4.5|4.9|5.5|
|Bahrain||||||||||
|0-14|33.3|33.9|33.9|31.4|28.6|26.4|24.9|23.7|22.7|
|15 64|64.4|63.6|63.2|65.2|67.1|68.2|67.9|66.2|64.8|
|65+|23|24|29|34|43|55|73|102|125|
|<br>Crus|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|yp<br>0-14|25.0|25.4|25.0|22.9|21.2|20.6|20.5|20.4|20.0|
|15-64|64.2<br>|64.1<br>|64.5<br>|66.5<br>|67.5<br>|67.4<br>|<br>66.1<br>|<br>65.1<br>|63.9<br>|
|65+<br>|10.8|10.5|10.5|10.7|11.3|12.1|13.4|14.5|16.1|
|Gaza Strip||||||||||
|<br>0-14|46.9|47.8|49.0|48.1|46.0|43.8|41.7|39.4|36.6|
|15-64|49.7|48.5|47.2|48.0|50.1|52.6|54.9|57.6|60.7|
|65+|3.5|3.7|3.9|_t.0_|3.9|3.7|3.4|2.9|2.6|
|Iraq||||||||||
|0-14|46.9|46.6|45.5|44.3|42.8|40.8|38.5|35.9|33.2|
|15-64|50.4|50.7|51.8|53.0|54.4|56.2|58.2|60.6|62.9|
|65+|2.7|2.7|2.7|2.8|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.6|3.9|
|Israee||||||||||
|0-14|32.6|30.9|28.9|26.8|25.1|23.7|22.7|22.0|21.3|
|15-64<br>|58.7<br>|60.3<br>|62.5|64.7|66.5|67.9|67.6|66.8|66.3|
|65+<br>Jordan|8.8|8.8|8.6|8.5|8.4|8.4|9.7|11.2|12.4|
|0-14|46.6|45.7|45.7|45.9|44.3|41.9|39.4|36.9|34.4|
|15-64|50.7|51.8|51.7|51.4|52.8|55.1|57.6|<br>59.9|62.0|
|65+|2.8|2.5|2.5|2.7|2.9|3.0|3.1|3.2|3.6|
|Kuwaft||||||||||
|0-14|40.1|39.3|37.8|35.9|33.9|31.7|29.4|26.8|24.6|
|15-64|58.6|59.2|60.4|61.7|62.8|63.6|64.5|65.5|66.2|
|65+<br>|1.4|1.5|1.8|2.5|3.3|4.7|6.1|7.7|9.2|
|Lebarmn||||||||||
|0-14|37.4|35.7|34.6|32.7|29.9|27.2|25.4|24.5|23.7|
|15-64|57.4|58.6|58.9|60.3|63.2|66.4|68.4|69.0|69.3|
|65+|5.2|5.7|6.5|7.0|6.9|6.4|6.2|6.5|7.0|
|Onan||||||||||
|0-14|44.4|45.3|45.3|44.5|43.4|42.4|41.2|39.6|37.4|
|15-64<br>|.<br>53.2<br>|52.3<br>|52.2<br>|52.8<br>|53.7<br>|54.6<br>|55.4<br>|56.6<br>|58.5<br>|
|65.<br>|2.4|2.4|2.5|2.7|2.8|3.1|3.4|3.8|4.1|
|Qatar||||||||||
|0-14|33.5|34.0|35.5|33.8|32.5|31.3|30.3|29.1|27.4|
|15-64|65.2|64.6|62.4|63.5|63.7|63.4|62.5|61.9|62.3|
|65+|1.3|1.4|2.2|2.7|3.9|5.3|7.2|9.0|10.2|
|Saudi Arabia||||||||||
|0-14|44.9|45.3|45.0|44.6|44.0|43.0|41.5|39.7|37.4|
|15-64|52.5|52.2|52.5|52.9|53.3|54.1|55.2|56.5|58.3|
|65+|2.6|2.6|2.5|2.6|2.7|2.9|3.3|3.8|4.3|
|Syrian Arab Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|48.1|48.5|48.2|47.1|45.3|43.2|41.1|38.7|36.0|
|15-64|49.1|48.9|49.2|50.2|52.1|54.2|56.3|58.4|60.6|
|65+<br>|2.8|2.6|2.6|2.7|2.6|2.5|2.6|2.9|14|
|Turkey||||||||||
|0-14|36.4|34.9|34.4|33.0|30.5|27.4|25.2|24.0|23.5|
|15-64|594|609|609|616|639|667|685|689|682|
|<br>65+|.<br>4.3|.<br>4.2|.<br>4.7|.<br>5.3|.<br>5.7|.<br>5.9|.<br>6.3|.<br>7.1|.<br>8.2|
INTRODUCTION Ixxvii Table 19 (continued)

|Coumtry or economy<br>and age group<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|United Areb Emirates|||||||||
|0-14<br>31.1|31.2|29.7|28.0|27.6|27.2|26.2|24.3|22.6|
|15-64<br>67.4|67.3|68.2|69.2|68.2|66.5|64.4|62.4|62.4|
|65+<br>1.5|1.6|2.1|2.9|4.2|6.3|9.4|13.3|150|
|West Bank||||||||.|
|0-14<br>46.2|45.3|45.5|45.6|44.1|41.7|39.2|36.8|34.3|
|15-64<br>51.1|52.1|52.0|51.9|53.1|55.5|57.8|<br>60.2|62.0|
|65+<br>2.7|2.5|2.5|2.6|2.8|2.9|3.0|3.0|3.7|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>48.1<br>|49.3|50.4|51.2|50.3|48.5|47.0|45.6|44.1|
|15-64<br>48.7|47.7|46.8|46.1|47.2|49.2|50.9'|52.5|54.1|
|65+<br>3.2|3.0|2.8|2.7|2.5|2.3|2.1|1.9|1.8|
|Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. of|||||||||
|<br>0-14<br>45.0|45.3|46.4|46.0|44.3|42.0|39.8|37.6|35.1|
|15-64<br>52.2<br>|51.8|50.8|51.1|52.9|55.2|57.3|59.5|61.8|
|65.<br>2.8|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.9|3.1|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|||||||||
|0-14<br>22.2|21.7|21.0|20.1|19.4|19.1|19.1|19.0|18.9|
|15-64<br>66.3|66.5|66.2|66.4|<br>66.2|<br>66.6|<br>66.0|<br>65.1|63.8|
|65+<br>11.4|11.8|12.8|13.5|14.4|14.4|14.9|15.9|17.3|
|Atbania|||||||||
|0-14<br>34.5|33.4|31.9|29.9|27.1|24.7|23.3|22.8|22.3|
|15-64<br>60.2|61.4|62.4|63.9|66.0|67.9|68.8|68.3|67.2|
|65+<br>5.3<br>|5.2|5.7|6.1|6.9|7.4|7.9|8.9|10.5|
|Austrfa|||||||||
|0-14<br>18.6|1;.6|17.4|16.4|15.9|15.6|15.6|15.8|16.1|
|15-64<br>67.3|<br>67.6|<br>67.5|<br>68.3|<br>68.1|<br>67.2|<br>66.1|<br>65.1|63.3|
|65+<br>14.1|14.8|*5.2|15.3|16.0|17.2|18.3|19.1|20.6|
|Belgiumn|||||||||
|0-14<br>19.0|18.1|17.6|16.8|16.4|16.1|16.2|16.3|16.5|
|15-64<br>67.2|<br>67.3|<br>67.0|<br>66.9|<br>67.1|<br>67.3|<br>66.1|<br>64.5|62.7|
|65+<br>13.8|14.6|15.5|16.3|16.6|16.5|17.8|19.2|20.9|
|Bulgaria|||||||||
|0-14<br>21.3|20.1|19.0|18.8|18.9|19.0|18.9|18.7|18.6|
|15-64<br>67.4|66.8|66.4|65.4|65.2|65.1|64.2|63.7|63.4|
|65+<br>11.3|13.0|14.6|15.9|16.0|16.0|16.9|17.6|18.0|
|Chamnel Islands|||||||||
|0-14<br>17.4|17.4|17.0|17.1|16.2|15.6|15.4|15.7|16.2|
|15-64<br>68.2<br>|68.5<br>|68.0|67.1|67.3|67.5|65.9|62.8|61.0|
|65+<br>14.4<br>|14.1|15.0|15.8|16.5|17.0|18.7|21.6|22.8|
|Czechoslovakia|||||||||
|0-14<br>24.4|23.2|21.1|20.5|20.7|20.9|20.6|20.1|19.6|
|15-64<br>64.5|65.0|66.7|67.0|67.2|66.7|65.7|64.7|64.2|
|65.<br>11.0|11.8|12.2|12.5|121|124|137|153|162|
|<br> <br>Denmark||||.|.|.|.|.|
|0-14<br>18.7|17.1|16.3|16.2|15.9|15.6|15.5|15.5|15.8|
|15-64<br>66.4<br>|67.8<br>|68.5<br>|68.6|68.5|67.0|64.9|63.5|62.2|
|65+<br>14.9|15.2|15.2|15.2|15.6|17.4|19.7|210|220|
|Finland|||||||.|.|
|0-14<br>19.4<br> <br>|19.0<br>|17.8<br>|16.5|15.9|15.8|16.0|16.2|16.3|
|15-64<br>68.1<br> <br>|67.9<br>|68.1<br>|68.9<br>|68.8<br>|67.9<br>|64.7<br>|62.4<br>|61.0<br>|
|65+<br>12.5|13.2|14.1|14.6|15.3|16.3|19.3|21.4|22.8|
lxxviii IN'ODUCnON Table 19 (continued)

|Catntry or economy<br>||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|and age group|1985|199M|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|France||||||||||
|0-14|21.2|20.1|19.8|19.3|18.7|18.2|17.9|17.9|17.9|
|_15-64_|65.9|66.4|65.9|65.8|66.2|66.8|65.3|63.9|62.6|
|65+<br>|13.0|13.6|14.2|15.0|15.1|15.0|16.7|18.3|19.5|
|Cerman Dem. Rep.||||||||||
|<br>0-14|19.3|20.0|19.8|18.8|18.0|17.6|17.8|18.0|18.2|
|15-64<br>|67.2<br>|66.9<br>|66.8<br>|67.0|65.9|65.4|65.9|64.5|63.2|
|65+|13.6|131|13.4|142|161|170|164|175|187|
|Germany. Fed. Rep. of||||.|.|.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14|15.6|14.9|15.4|15.2|14.6|14.0|14.0|14.4|15.1|
|15-64|69.7|69.9|68.9|68.2|66.8|65.6|65.2'|64.0|62.0|
|65+<br>|14.7|15.1|15.8|16.6|18.7|20.4|20.7|21.6|22.9|
|Greece<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|21.3|19.8|18.4|17.4|17.4|17.4|17.4|17.3|17.2|
|15-64<br>|65.4<br>|66.6<br>|66.6<br>|66.1<br>|64.8|64.9|64.3|64.1|63.5|
|65+<br>Huhgary|13.3|13.6|14.9|16.6|17.8|17.7|18.3|18.7|19.3|
|0-14|21.0|19.4|17.4|17.6|18.1|18.3|18.2|17.9|17.9|
|15-64<br>|66.5<br>|67.1<br>|68.3<br>|67.5<br>|67.0<br>|66.3<br>|65.4|63.9|63.2|
|65+<br>Iceland|12.6|13.5|14.3|14.9|15.0|15.4|16.3|18.2|18.9|
|0-14<br>|26.4|25.2|24.2|22.9|22.2|21.5|20.8|20.3|19.8|
|15-64<br>|63.6<br>|64.5<br>|65.4<br>|66.1<br>|67.2<br>|67.8<br>|67.3|66.2|64.8|
|65+<br>ireland|9.9|10.4|10.5|11.0|10.6|10.8|11.9|13.6|15.4|
|0-14|29.7|27.2|24.9|23.1|23.0|22.8|22.0|21.0|20.1|
|15-64|59.8<br>|62.3|64.6|66.6|66.7|66.6|66.5|66.5|66.4|
|65+<br>Ital|10.5|10.6|10.5|10.3|10.3|10.6|11.5|12.5|13.5|
|y<br>0-14|19.6|16.7|15.1|14.6|14.8|14.7|14.7|14.6|14.7|
|15-64|67.7<br>|69.1|69.2|68.3|67.0|66.5|65.4|64.7|63.4|
|65+<br>Luxembourg|12.7|14.3|15.7|17.1|18.2|18.8|20.0|20.7|21.9|
|0-14<br>|17.4|17.0|16.5|15.7|15.0|14.6|14.9|15.2|15.7|
|i5-64<br>|69.6<br>|69.4<br>|68.6<br>|68.0<br>|67.6|67.2|65.6|63.5|61.2|
|65.|13.0|13.6|14.9|16.3|17.4|18.2|19.5|21.3|23.1|
|Malta<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|24.4<br>|23.1<br>|21.0<br>|19.3<br>|18.9<br>|19.1<br>|19.2<br>|19.0|18.7|
|15-64<br>|66.1<br>|66.6<br>|67.9<br>|68.7<br>|68.4<br>|67.2<br>|64.6|63.4|62.6|
|65+<br>|9.6|10.4|11.1|12.0|12.7|13.7|16.2|17.6|18.7|
|Netherlands<br>-||||||||||
|0-14<br>|19.5<br>|18.2|17.9|17.5|16.7|16.0|15.8|15.8|16.2|
|15-64<br>|68.5<br>|69.2<br>|68.9<br>|68.8<br>|69.0<br>|68.6<br>|66.3|64.3|62.2|
|65+|12.1|12.7|13.2|13.7|14.4|15.5|17.9|19.8|21.7|
|Norway||||||||||
|0-14<br>|20.4<br>|18.9<br>|18.7<br>|18.8<br>|18.4<br>|17.9|17.5|17.3|17.4|
|15-64|64.1|65.0|65.5|66.1|67.2|67.5|66.0|64.6|63.2|
|65.<br>|15.5|16.1|15.8|15.1|14.4|14.7|16.5|18.1|19.4|
|Poland||||||||||
|0-14|25.5|25.1|23.5|21.6|21.1|21.2|21.2|20.9|20.2|
|15-64|65.1|64.9|65.6|66.7|67.0|67.4|66.2|64.5|63.4|
|65+<br>|9.4|9.9|10.9|11.7|11.9|11.5|12.6|14.7|16.4|
|Portugal||||||||||
|0-14<br>|23.5|20.5|18.3|17.2|17.5|17.5|17.3|16.8|16.6|
|15-64<br>|64.5<br>|66.7<br>|68.1<br>|68.5<br>|67.8<br>|67.7<br>|67.4<br>|66.9<br>|65.7<br>|
|65+|12.0|12.8|13.6|14.3|14.7|14.8|15.4|16.3|17.7|
INTRODUCTION IXXiX Table 19 (continued)

|Country<br>or economy<br>**wnd**age group|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Romania||||||||||
|0-14|24.7|23.3|22.0|22.1|22.2|21.7|21.0|20.6|20.4|
|<br>15-64|65.9|<br>66.4|<br>66.5|65.4|o4.6|6c.e|<br> 66.0|<br>65.5|64.8|
|65+|9.5|10.4|11.5|12.5|13.3|12.8|13.0|13.9|14.8|
|Spain||||||||||
|0-14|22.9|20.1|18.4|17.9|17.9|17.7|17.3|16.9|16.8|
|15-64|65.0|66.8|67.5|67.0|66.9|66.9|66.7|66.3|64.9|
|65+<br>Sweden|12.2|13.1|14.2|15.2|15.2|15.4|16.1|16.9|18.4|
|0-14|17.5|17.2|17.6|18.4|17.9|17.3|17.1|17.2|17.6|
|<br>15-64|<br>64.6|<br>65.1|<br>65.3|<br>65.2|<br>65.8|<br>64.8|<br>63.2|<br>62.3|61.6|
|<br>65+|<br>17.9|<br>17.8|<br>17.1|<br>16.4|<br>16.3|<br>17.8|<br>19.7|<br>20.5|20.8|
|Switzerland||||||||||
|0-14|16.9|16.5|16.4|16.4|15.5|15.0|15.0|15.3|15.8|
|<br>15-64|<br>68.5|<br>68.7|<br>68.3|<br>67.4|<br>67.2|<br>65.9|<br>64.0|<br>62.4|60.7|
|65+|14.6|14.8|15.4|16.2|17.3|19.1|21.0|22.3|23.5|
|United Kingdom||||||||||
|<br>0-14|19.3|18.9|19.3|19.1|18.4|17.7|17.5|17.5|17.8|
|<br>15-64|<br>65.6|<br>65.6|<br>65.2|<br>65.5|<br>66.1|'6.4|<br>65.2|<br>64.4|43.2|
|65+|15.1|15.5|15.5|15.4|15.5|15.9|17.4|18.0|19.0|
|Yugoslavia||||||||||
|0-14|24.1|23.1|21.9|20.9|20.4|20.1|19.8|19.5|19.2|
|15-64|67.4|67.9|67.7|66.8|65.8|65.7|66.0|65.1|64.0|
|65+<br>|8.5|9.1|10.4|12.4|13.8|14.3|14.2|15.5|16.8|
|Other Europe(a)||||||||||
|<br>0-14|20.8|20.5|21.2|21.4|21.3|20.8|20.3|20.0|19.8|
|<br>15-64|<br>62.7|<br>63.6|63.6|64.0|<br>65.0|<br>65.8|<br>65.9|<br>65.4|64.9|
|65+|16.6|15.9|15.2|14.6|13.8|13.4|13.8|14.6|15.3|
|U.S.S.R.||||||||||
|0-14|24.8|25.3|24.6|23.2|21.7|21.4|21.5|21.4|20.9|
|15-64|65.9|65.5|64.7|65.5|65.6|66.7|66.7|65.8|64.6|
|65+|9.2|9.2|10.7|11.4|12.8|11.9|11.9|12.8|14.5|
|Oceania||||||||||
|0-14|27.8|26.8|26.6|26.1|25.3|24.4|23.5|22.7|21.9|
|15-64|63.8|64.4|64.4|65.0|65.7|66.2|65.9|65.6|65.1|
|65+|8.5|8.8|9.0|8.9|9.0|9.5|10.6|11.7|13.0|
|Australia||||||||||
|0-14|23.6|22.3|22.0|21.4|20.8|20.1|19.5|19.1|18.8|
|15-64|66.3|67.2|67.2|67.9|68.3|68.3|67.4|66.2|64.7|
|65+<br>|10.1|10.5|10.8|10.7|10.8|11.6|13.1|14.7|16.4|
|Fiji||||||||||
|0-14|37.3|36.5|33.9|30.0|26.7|24.6|23.7|23.3|22.5|
|15-64|59.3|59.6|61.6|64.9|67.3|68.5|68.3|67.5|66.6|
|65+|35|39|45|51|60|69|80|92|108|
|<br>French Polynesia|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|<br>0-14|41.1|36.8|33.3|33.1|31.6|.85|25.5|23.5|22.9|
|15-64|55.8|59.4|62.7|62.6|63.5|65.8|68.1|69.3|69.5|
|65+|3.1|3.8|4.0|4.3|5.0|5.7|6.4|7.2|7.7|
|Guam||||||||||
|0-14|34.9|33.0|29.6|26.3|24.0|23.3|22.9|22.1|21.0|
|15-64|623|637|662|684|700|698|691|677|667|
|<br>65+|.<br>2.8|.<br>3.3|.<br>4.2|.<br>5.3|.<br>6.1|.<br>6.9|.<br>8.0|.<br>10.2|.<br>12.3|
lxxx INTRODUCT ON

# Table 19 (continued)

|Coutry or economy<br>**and**age group|1985|1990|19r5|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Kiribati<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|39.3<br>|40.0<br>|39.7<br>|38.6<br>|35.9<br>|33.1<br>|30.7<br>|28.5<br>|26.7<br>|
|15-64|58.0|56.8|56.5<br>|57.6<br>|60.4<br>|63.5<br>|65.0<br>|66.7<br>|68.2<br>|
|65+<br>|2.7|3.2|3.8|3.9|3.7|3.4|4.3|4.8|5.1|
|New Caledonia||||||||||
|0-14|36.2|33.1|30.4<br>|27.9<br>|26.0<br>|24.8<br>|24.0<br>|23.2<br>|22.2<br>|
|15-64|59.1|61.6|64.3<br>|66.0<br>|67.1<br>|67.5<br>|67.6<br>|67.8<br>|68.2<br>|
|65+<br>|4.7|5.2|5.3|6.1|6.9|7.7|8.4|9.0|9.7|
|**New**Zealand||||||||||
|0-14|24.4|22.5|22.0|21.5<br>|20.8<br>|20.0<br>|19.3<br>|18.9<br>|18.8<br>|
|15-64<br>|65.2<br>|66.6<br>|66.9<br>|67.4<br>|67.8<br>|67.9<br>|66.9<br>|65.9<br>|64.6<br>|
|65+<br> <br>|10.5|10.8|11.1|11.1|11.4|12.1|13.8|15.2|16.6|
|Pacific<br>**Islands**||||||||||
|0-14|46.7|43.9<br>|40.9<br>|37.6<br>|36.7<br>|34.7<br>|31.6<br>|28.0<br>|25.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|49.6<br>|52.0<br>|54.8<br>|58.1<br>|59.0<br>|61.1<br>|64.1<br>|67.0<br>|68.9<br>|
|65+<br>|3.7|4.1|4.3|4.3|4.3|4.2|4.3|5.0|5.9|
|Papua<br>New Guinea||||||||||
|0-14<br>|41.j<br>|41.8<br>|42.6<br>|42.1<br>|40.1<br>|37.7<br>|35.3<br>|32.9<br>|30.2<br>|
|15-64<br>|Sf.0<br>|55.3<br>|54.2<br>|54.8<br>|56.8<br>|59.2<br>|61.2<br>|63.5<br>|65.8<br>|
|65+|2.4|2.9|3.3|3.2|3.2|3.1|3.4|3.6|4.0|
|**Sotoimon**<br>Istands||||||||||
|0-14<br>|48.7<br>|47.1<br>|45.9<br>|45.6<br>|44.8<br>|42.6<br>|40.3<br>|37.7<br>|35.0<br>|
|15-64|48.7<br>|50.3<br>|51.3<br>|51.5<br>|52.3<br>|54.3<br>|56.6<br>|58.9<br>|61.3<br>|
|65+<br>|2.7|2.6|2.8|2.9|2.9|3.0|3.2|3.4|3.7|
|Tongs||||||||||
|0-14<br>|39.6<br>|37.4<br>|37.9<br>|37.5<br>|34.3<br>|30.3<br>|27.1<br>|25.3<br>|24.4<br>|
|15-64|56.6<br>|58.8<br>|58.5<br>|58.2<br>|60.9<br>|64.8<br>|67.7<br>|69.2<br>|69.4<br>|
|65+<br>|3.8|3.8|3.6|4.3|4.8|4.9|5.2|5.5|6.3|
|Vanuatu||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.5<br>|44.4<br>|43.5<br>|42.3<br>|40.8<br>|38.2<br>|35.6<br>|33.0<br>|30.5<br>|
|15-64|51.7<br>|52.9<br>|53.7<br>|54.9<br>|56.2<br>|58.5<br>|60.7<br>|62.9<br>|64.9<br>|
|65+<br> <br>|2.9|2.8|2.9|2.8|3.1|3.3|3.8|4.1|4.6|
|Western<br>Samoa<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|44.5<br>|42.5<br>|41.0<br>|38.7<br>|36.5<br>|33.5<br>|30.6<br>|28.1<br>|26.0<br>|
|15-64|52.5<br>|54.1<br>|55.1<br>|57.0<br>|59.1<br>|62.1<br>|65.2<br>|67.9<br>|69.9<br>|
|65+|3.0|3.4|3.9|4.4|4.5|4.5|4.2|3.9|4.1|
|Other<br>Nicronesia<br>(a)||||||||||
|0-14|40.4<br>|37.0<br>|33.8<br>|30.0<br>|28.4<br>|26.6<br>|25.1<br>|23.9<br>|22.9<br>|
|15-64<br>|56.3<br>|59.2<br>|61.8<br>|65.2<br>|66.1<br>|67.6<br>|68.5<br>|68.7<br>|68.7<br>|
|65+|3.3|3.8|4.4|4.9|5.5|5.8|6.4|7.4|8.4|
|Oth<br>Pli<br>**(a)**||||||||||
|er<br>oynesa<br>||||||||||
|0-14<br>|45.7<br>|40.7<br>|36.7<br>|33.7<br>|33.1<br>61|30.9<br>639|27.9<br>663|25.2<br>688|23.5<br>702|
|15-64|50.8|55.6|59.1|61.8|.8|.|.|.|.|
|65+|3.5|3.7|4.2|4.5|5.2|5.2|5.8|6.0|6.3|

a. For a listing of countries in the "other" categories, see **Table** 18.
INTRODUCTION Ix'xXi Table 20 Stationafy Population, Momentum, and Year When Net Reproduction Rate Reaches 1 for **All** Countries and Economies

|Statio|nary||||Station|ary|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|popul|ation||||popula|tion|||
|||Popula-|||||Popula-||
|||ti|Y||||i|Y|
|Country or economy<br>Millions|Ratio<br>to 1985|on<br>momen<br> <br>tun|ear<br>when<br>NRR=1|Country or economy|Miltions|Ratio<br>to 1985|ton<br>=oxe<br> <br>turn|ear<br>nwhen<br>NRR-1|
|Wo'ld<br>11514|2.4|1.4|2060|Gabon|6|6.2|1.4|2045|
|||||Gambia, The|5|6.9|1.4|2050|
|Africa<br>3049|5.5|1.6|2060|Ghana|61|4.8|1.6|2035|
|||||Guinea|33|5.4|1.3|2045|
|EastAfrica<br>1424|6.2|1.6|2055|Guinea-Bissau|4|4.8|1.3|2045|
|Botswana<br>3|2.7|1.8|2010|Liberia|11|4.9|1.5|2035|
|Burundi<br>29|6.2|1.5|2045|Mali|57|7.7|1.5|2050|
|Comoros<br>3|6.5|1.6|2040|Mauritan'a|13|7.1|1.4|2050|
|Djibouti<br>2|5.8|1.5|2040|Niger|72|10.9|1.5|2060|
|Ethiopia<br>246|5.8|1.5|2045|Nigeria|509|5.1|1.6|2035|
|Kenya<br>200|9.8|1.8|2050|SaoTom6and Principe|0|3 4|1.5|2025|
|Lesotho<br>6|3.7|1.5|2030|Senegal|41|6.3|1.5|2045|
|Madagascar<br>49|4.8|1.6|2035|Sierra Leone|23|6.2|<br>1.3|2050|
|Halawi<br>75|10.2|1.5|2055|Togo|16|5.1|1.6|2035|
|Mauritius<br>2|1.7|1.5|1985|Other West Africa(a)|0.01|1.9|1.6|2000|
|Mozambique<br>86|6.3|1.5|2045||||||
|Namibia<br>5|4.4|1.6|2030|North Africa|435|3.5|1.6|2050|
|Rlunion<br>1|1.?|<br>1.5|1995|Algeria|84|3.9|1.7|2025|
|Rwanda<br>64|10.6|1.6|2055|Egypt, Arab Rep. of|132|2.8|1.5|2020|
|Seychelles<br>0|1.8|1.6|2005|<br>Libya|32|8.5|1.6|2050|
|Somalia<br>38|7.0|1.5|2050|Morocco|66|3.0|1.6|2020|
|South Africa<br>91|2.9|1.5|2020|Sudan|102|4.7|1.4|2035|
|Swaziland<br>4|5.3|1.7|2035|Tunisia|17|2.3|1.6|2010|
|Tanzania<br>160|7.2|1.6|2045|Other North Africa (a)|1|6.3|1.4|2050|
|Uganda<br>87|5.9|1.6|2040||||||
|Zaire<br>196|<br>6.<br>4|1.5|2045|America|1201|1.8|1.4|2030|
|Zambia<br>51|7.6|1.6|2045||||||
|Zimbabwe<br>27|3.3|1.7|2015|Latin America and Caribbea|n<br>872|2.2|1.6|2030|
|||||Antigua and Barbuda|0.1|1.8|1.8|2030|
|West Africa<br>1190|5.8|1.5|2060|Argentina|49|1.6|1.3|2005|
|AngoLa<br>61|7.0|1.4|2050|Bahamas|0.5|2.0|1.6|2000|
|Benin<br>20|4.9|1.6|2035|Belize|1|<br>3.3|1.8|2020|
|Burkina Faso<br>48|6.1|1.4|2045|Bolivia|25|<br>4.0|1.5|2030|
|Cameroon<br>68|6.7|1.6|2045|Brazil|280|2.1|1.6|2005|
|Cape Verde<br>1|3.5|1.9|2025|Chile|21|1.7|1.5|2000|
|Central African Rep.<br>11|4.4|1.5|2035|Colombia|57|2.0|1.6|2005|
|Chad<br>27|5.3|1.4|2045|Costa Rica|5|2.1|1.7|2005|
|Congo, People's Rep. of the<br>17|8.8|1.6|2050|Cuba|13|1.3|<br>1.4|2C30|
|C6tedlivoire<br>85|8.3|1.5|2050|Dominica|0|1.8|1.8|2000|
|Equatorial Guinea<br>1|3.8|1.3|2035|Dominican Rep.|14|<br>2.2|1.7|2010|
lxxxii I INTRODUCTION

# Table 20 (continued)

||Stati<br>popul|onary<br>ation||||Stati<br>popul|onary<br>ation|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||Popula|-||||Popula|-|
|Country<br>or economy|Million|Ratio<br>s to 1985|tion<br> <br>momen<br> <br>tum|Year<br>when<br>NRRuI|Country or ecot.zmy|Million|Ratio<br>s<br>to 1985|tion<br> <br>momen<br> <br>tum|<br>Year<br>when<br>NRRn1|
|Ecuador|24|2.6|1.7|2015|Indonesia|343|<br>2.1|1.5|2005|
|El Salvador|15|3.1|1.7|2025|Japan|113|<br>0.9|1.1|2030|
|Grenada|0.2|2.1|1.7|2005|Korea, Dem. People's<br>Rep|. of<br>46|2.3|1.4|2010|
|Guadeloupe|0.5|1.3|1.5|1990|Korea, Rep.|57|1.4|<br>1.6|2030|
|Guatemala|32|4.1|1.7|2030|Lao People's<br>Dem. Rep.|14|<br>3.9|1.4|2030|
|Guyana|1|1.1|1.6|2000|Macao|1|<br>1.7|<br>1.4|1995|
|Haiti|16|2.7|1.5|2025|Malaysia|37|2.4|1.2|2010|
|Honduras|17|3.8|1.7|2025|Mongolia|7|<br>3.7|1.6|2025|
|Jamaica|4|1.5|1.7|2C00|Myanmar|94|2.5|1.6|2015|
|Martinique|0.4|1.2|1.4|2030|Philippines|128|<br>2.3|<br>1.6|2010|
|Mexico|170|<br>2.2|1.7|2005|Singapore|3|1.1|<br>1.3|2030|
|Montserrat|0.02|<br>1.3|1.5|2000|Thailand|98|1.9|<br>1 i|2000|
|Netherlands<br>Antilles|0.3|1.6|1.5|2030|Viet Nam|168|<br>2.7|1.7|2015|
|Nicaragua|13|3.9|1.8|2025||||||
|Panama|4|1.9|1.7|2000|South Asia|3034|<br>2.J|<br>1.5|2055|
|Paraguay|12|3.3|1.7|2025|Afghanistan|130|<br>7.2|<br>1.4|2055|
|Peru|46|2.4|1.6|2010|Bangladesh|325|<br>3.|1.6|2025|
|St. Kitts and Nevis|0.05|<br>1.1|1.7|2000|Bhutan|4|3.3|1.4|2030|
|St. Lucia|0.3|2.2|1.8|2005|India|1759|<br>2.3|1.5|2015|
|St. Vincent<br>and the Grena|dines<br>0.z|<br>1.8|1.7|1995|Iran. Islamic<br>Rep. of|226|<br>5.1|i.6|<br>2040|
|Suriname|1|2.3|1.6|2010|Maldives|1|<br>5.1|<br>1.7|2035|
|Trinidad<br>and Tobago|2|1.7|1.5|2000|Nepal|56|3.4|<br>1.5|2030|
|Uruguay|4|1.4|1.2|2000|Pakistan|506|<br>5.3|1.6|2040|
|Virgin Islands<br>(U.S.)|42|2.4|1.7|2010|Sri Lanka|26|1.7|<br>1.5|<br>1995|
|Venezuela|0.2|1.7|1.6|1995||||||
|Other Latin America<br>(a)|0.4|<br>2.0|1.6|2000|Southwest<br>Asia|498|<br>4.3|<br>1.6|<br>2055|
||||||Bahrain|1|<br>2.4|<br>1.5|<br>2015|
|Northern<br>America|329|<br>1.2|1.2|2030|Cyprus|1|<br>1.4|<br>1.3|<br>1995|
|Canada|29|1.1|1.2|2030|Gaza Strip|3|5.6|<br>1.7|<br>2040|
|United States (50 states)|<br>295|<br>1.2|1.2|2030|Iraq|83|5.2|<br>1.7|2035|
|Puerto<br>Rico|5|1.4|1.5|1995|Israel|7|<br>1.8|<br>1.5|<br>2005|
|Other Northern<br>America<br>(a)|<br>0.1|<br>1.3|1.2|2030|Jordan|15|<br>5.8|<br>1.7|<br>2035|
||||||Kuwait|6|3.3|<br>1.6|2020|
|Asia|6374|<br>2.3|1.5|2955|Lebanon|5|<br>1.8|<br>1.6|<br>2005|
||||||Oman|8|6.6|1.5|<br>2045|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|2842|<br>1.7|1.4|2030|Qatar|1|<br>3.7|1.3|<br>2030|
|Brunci|1|2.3|1.5|2010|Saudia<br>Arabia|85|<br>7.3|<br>1.6|<br>2045|
|Cambodia|19|2.7|1.5|2025|Syrian ArabRep.|69|6.6|1.8|2040|
|China (excl. Taiwan)|1681|1.6|1.4|2000|Turkey|112|2.2|1.6|2010|
|Taiwan9<br>China|25|1.3|1.5|2030|United Arab Emirates|3|2.4|1.1|2020|
|Hong Kong|7|1.2|1.3|2030|West Bank|5|5.7|1.7|2035|
INTRODUCTION IXXXiii Table 20 (continued)

||Statio<br>popula|nary<br>tion||||Station<br>populat|ary<br>ion|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||Popula-<br>|<br>||_||Popula-<br>||
||||tion|Year||||tion|Year|
|||Ratio|momen|when|||Ratio|momen|when|
|Country or econoay|NilLions|to 1985|<br>tun|NRR=1|Country or economy|Millions|to 1985|<br>tun|NRR=1|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|84|11.0|1.5|2055|PoLand|47|1.3|1.2|1990|
|Yemen. People's Dem. Rep.|<br>10|4.9|1.6|2035|Portugal|9|0.9|1.2|2030|
||||||Romania|29|1.3|1.2|1985|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|846|1.1|1.1|2030|Spain|37|1.0|1.2|2030|
||||||Sweden|8|0.9|1.0|2030|
|Albania|6|2.0|1.6|2005|Switzerland|5|0.8|1.0|2030|
|Austria|6|0.8|1.1|2030|United Kingdom|54|1.0|1.1|2030|
|Belgium|8|0.8|1.1|2030|Yugoslavia|28|1.2|1.2|2030|
|Bulgaria|9|1.0|1.0|2030|Other Europe (a)|0.4|1.4|1.1|1990|
|Charnel Islands|0.1|0.8|1.0|2030|U.S.S.R.|372|1.3|1.2|1995|
|Czechoslovakia|18|1.2|1.1|2030|Oceania|45|1.8|1.3|20X0|
|Oenmark|4|0 S|1.0|2030||||||
|Finland|4|0.9|1.1|2030|Australia|23|1.5|1.2|2030|
|France|58|1.0|1.2|2030|fiji|1|1.7|1.6|2005|
|German Dem. Rep.|16|1.0|1.0|2030|French Polynesia|0.4|2.6|1.7|2010|
|Germany, Fed. Rep. of|43|0.7|1.0|2030|Guam|0.2|1.8|1.6|1995|
|Greece|9|0.9|1.1|2030|Kirabati|0.2|2.6|1.4|2020<br>|
|Hungary|10|0.9|1.0|2030|New Caledonia|0.3|1.8|1.5|2000|
|Iceland|0.3|1.4|1.4|2030|New Zealand|4|1.2|1.3|2030|
|Irelard|5|1.3|1.4|1990|Pactfic Islands|0.5|3.1|1.8|2020|
|ItaLy|42|0.7|1.1|2030|Papua New Guinea|12|3.4|1.4|2025|
|Luxemrbourg|0.3|0.8|1.0|2030|Solomon IsLands|2|6.3|1.7|2040|
|Malta|0.4|1.0|1.2|2030|Tonga|0.2|2.4|1.6|2015|
|Netherlands|13|0.9|1.1|2030|Vanuatu|1|4.0|1.6|2030|
|Norway|4|1.0|1.1|2030|Western Samoa|0.4|2.6|1.7|2020|
||||||Other Micronesia (a)|0.03|2.1|1.7|2005|
||||||Other Polynesia (a)|0.2|2.4|1.7|2015|

Note: PopuLations of more than 1 mitlion have<sup>been rounded to the nearest million.</sup> a. For listings of countries ini the<sup>"other" categories, see Table 18.</sup>
# DETAILED POPULATION PROJECTIONS

# WORLD, GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS,

AND INCOME GROUPS
2

|**WORLD**|||Popul|ation projecti|on (thousan|ds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROLP|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|....<br>..<br>.....|.<br>...<br>...|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|...<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|...<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL M+F|4844423|5285341|;743830|6204364|6662984|7112311|7555644|7992929|8414779|8807147|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|294221|321566|335863|343199|350534|,56050|363192|371249|375696|375905|
|5-9|272724|287486|315364|330458|338603|346015|351753|359168|367547|372389|
|10-14|269179|270770|285623|313598|328851|336994|344430|350238|357742|366225|
|15-19|255277|267161|268832|283703|311674|326918|335083|342568|348471|356088|
|Z0-24|224081|252513|264426|266126|280933|308806|324060|332288|339870|345940|
|25-29|195509|221192|249524|261402|263079|277802|305586|320880|329209|336937|
|30-34|176547|192845|218433|246614|258439|260103|274761|302479|317837|326293|
|35-39|145246|173844|190072|215497|243488|255254|256926|271533|299198|314646|
|40-44|120136|142384|170708|186786|211974|239703|251409|253118|267683|295287|
|45-49|112211|1167M|138736|166595|182423|207232|234587|246218|248003|262511|
|50-54|99009|107552|<br>112234|133665|160771|176187|200417|227194|238708|240618|
|55-59|85597|92883|101161|105848|126395|152313|<br>167110|190432|<br>216279|227573|
|60-64|66089|77668|84591|92369|96937|116128|140272|154148|176073|<br>200460|
|65-69|48784|57010|67274|73546|80548|84840|<br>102052|<br>123642|<br>136175|<br>156025|
|70-74|35917|38673|45603|54036|59317|65198|68996|83429|101478|<br>112106|
|75+|37652|42214|46606|53951|63733|72504|81303|88781|103464|<br>124420|
|TOTAL|2438179|2662533|2895050|3127393|3357700|3582046|3801937|4017366|4223432|4413422|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|281600|<br>309337|323130|330250|337348|342845|349891|357784|362178|362452|
|5-9|260613|275028|303396|318062|326061|333283|339044|34640|354659|359475|
|10-14|255547|258751|273300|301808|316672|324684|331948|337798|345269|353646|
|15-19|241224|253813|257105|271716|300271|315145|323196|330528|336494|344103|
|20-24|217182|239116|251739|255077|269683|298194|313107|321241|328696|334847|
|25-29|189450|214921|236800|249413|252758|267340|295808|310792|319055|326684|
|30-34|171548|<br>187205|212591|234385|246972|250321|<br>264893|293343|308427|316856|
|35-39|140488|169245|<br>184852|210114|231798|244343|247724|262308|290759|305980|
|40-44|116422|138208|166720|182235|207332|228868|241386|244831|259452|287916|
|45-49|109252|113964|135543|163700|179081|203941|225296|237795|241346|256017|
|50-54|97304|<br>106125|110865|132114|159771|174955|199488|<br>220603|233085|236790|
|55-59|87730|93322|101996|106728|127499|154436|169348|193420|<br>214202|226657|
|60-64|73276|82443|87864|96272|100968|121015|146909|<br>161425|<br>184819|<br>205113|
|65-69|56704|66380|74943|80038|87996|92574|111469|135751|149621|<br>171913|
|70-74|46969|<br>47906|56674|64230|68786|75965|80279|<br>97292|<br>1190;5|131763|
|75s|60934|67045|71263|80827|922a2|102355|<br>113921|124244|144269|<br>173512|
|TOTAL|2406243|2622808|2848781|3076971|3305284|3530264|3753707|3975563|4191347|4393725|
|BIRTH RATS||27.1|25.8|24.1|22.6|21.4|20.4|19.6|18.7|17.8|
|DEATH RATE||9.7|9.1|8.6|8.3|8.3|8.3|8.4|8.4|8.7|
|RATE OFNA|T.INC.|1.74|1.66|1.54|1.43|1.31|1.21|1.13|1.03|.91|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRCWTH<br>RAT|E|1.74|1.66|1.54|1.43|1.31|1.21|1.13|1.03|.91|
|<br>TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.427|3.232|3.045|<br>2.911|2.783|2.663|2.567|<br>2.477|2.389|
|NRR||1.460|1.388|1.327|1.296|1.254|1.206|1.167|1.135|1.105|
|e(O)**-** BOT|H SEXES|64.90|66.06|67.14|68.15|68.66|69.22|69.86|70.56|71.32|
|eClO)*****<br>BO|TH SEXES|60.31|60.84|61.28|61.67|62.04|62.45|62.89|63.38|63.91|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|70.2|62.3|54.9|47.7|44.8|41.4|38.0|34.5|30.9|
|q(5)<br>BOT|H SEXES|.0967|.0850|.0742|.0634|.0596|.0552|.0505|.0456|.0405|
|DEP. RATIO|<br>65.7|63.0|62.0|60.7|58.2|55.3|53.7|<br>53.2|53.1|<br>53.2|
3 .............. ...............

# **WORLD**

## Poputation projectlon (thousands)

## Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRCtJP|1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....<br>.......<br>..|........<br>.|...................|_..........|.......................................|...................................||||
|TOTAL M.F|4844423|<br>i204364|<br>8414779|<br>10034944|10964953|<br>11329942|<br>1145135|3 11499182|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|294221|<br>343199|<br>375696|<br>368884|<br>368850|<br>369327|<br>369593|<br>369702|
|5-9|272724|<br>330458|<br>367547|<br>367046|<br>368211|<br>368915|<br>369191|<br>369274|
|10-14|269179|<br>313598|<br>357742|<br>367089|<br>368195|<br>368619|<br>368862|<br>368942|
|15-19|255277|<br>283703|<br>348471|<br>368466|<br>367749|<br>367926|<br>368268|<br>368431|
|20-24|224081|<br>266126|<br>339870|<br>369253|<br>36600C|<br>366676|<br>367342|<br>367662|
|25-29|195509|<br>261402|<br>329209|<br>366125|<br>364331|<br>365322|<br>366435|<br>366839|
|30-34|176547|<br>246614|<br>317837|<br>358529|<br>362015|<br>364244|<br>365569|<br>365996|
|35-39|145246|<br>215497|<br>299198|<br>346918|<br>360819|<br>363237|<br>364447|<br>364876|
|40-44|120136|<br>186786|<br>267683|<br>335279|<br>360392|<br>361346|<br>362506|<br>363082|
|45-49|112211|<br>166595|<br>248003|<br>323489|<br>358105|<br>357022|<br>358883|<br>359846|
|50-54|99009|<br>133665|<br>238708|<br>307420|<br>349092|<br>350052|<br>352543|<br>354048|
|55-59|85597|<br>105848|<br>216279|<br>286293|<br>330782|<br>337491|<br>341631|<br>343486|
|60-64|66089|<br>92369|<br>176073|<br>253010|<br>302031|<br>318624|<br>323535|<br>325466|
|65-69|48784|<br>73546|<br>136175|<br>203772|<br>264882|<br>290227|<br>294556|<br>296622|
|70-74|35917|<br>54036|<br>101478|<br>159537|<br>217632|<br>247018|<br>250447|<br>253096|
|75+|37652|<br>53951|<br>103464|<br>213001|<br>304193|<br>368820|<br>390827|<br>399315|
|TOTAL|2438179|<br>3127393|<br>4223432|<br>4994110|<br>5413279|<br>5564866|<br>5614635|<br>5636683|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|281600|<br>.S0250|<br>362178|<br>355889|<br>355554|<br>355548|<br>355610|<br>355589|
|5-9|260613|<br>318062|<br>354659|<br>354628|<br>355544|<br>355648|<br>355617|<br>355554|
|10-14|255547|<br>301808|<br>345269|<br>354952|<br>355967|<br>355751|<br>355584|<br>355511|
|15-19|241224|<br>271716|<br>336494|<br>356712|<br>356156|<br>355638|<br>355454|<br>355449|
|20-24|217182|<br>255077|<br>328696|<br>358246|<br>355397|<br>355274|<br>355268|<br>355395|
|25-29|189450|<br>249413|<br>319055|<br>356016|<br>354643|<br>354898|<br>355241|<br>355360|
|30-34<br>|171548|<br>234385|<br>308427|<br>349261|<br>353189|<br>354779|<br>355250|<br>355290|
|35-39|140488|<br>210114|<br>290759|<br>338582|<br>352935|<br>354858|<br>355141|<br>355077|
|40-44|116422|<br>182235|<br>259452|<br>328077|<br>353734|<br>354438|<br>354610|<br>354579|
|45-49|109252|<br>163700|<br>241346|<br>318080|<br>353536|<br>352471|<br>353303|<br>353S36|
|50-54|97304|<br>132114|<br>233085|<br>305355|<br>348286|<br>349414|<br>351033|<br>351755|
|55-59|87730|<br>106728|<br>214202|<br>289847|<br>336534|<br>343833|<br>347390|<br>348457|
|60-64|73276|<br>96272|<br>184819|<br>264809|<br>317825|<br>336314|<br>341131|<br>342351|
|65-69|56704|<br>80038|<br>149621|<br>223107|<br>293428|<br>323463|<br>328469|<br>330075|
|70-74|46969|<br>64230|<br>119015|<br>186947|<br>259468|<br>297841|<br>303013|<br>305829|
|75+|60934|<br>80827|<br>144269|<br>300325|<br>449479|<br>564907|<br>614605|<br>632691|
|TOTAL|2406243|<br>3076971|<br>4191347|<br>5040834|<br>5551674|<br>5765075|<br>5836718|<br>5862499|
|BIRTH RATE||25.6|20.4|16.1|13.9|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.1|8.4|9.1|10.4|11.8|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.65|1.22|.70|.35|.13|.04|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.224|2.669|2.229|2.071|2.061|2.056|2.055|
|eCO)- BOT|H SEXES|66.09|69.36|73.17|76.56|77.78|78.69|78.93|
|**IHR**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|62.4|41.2|23.5|11.3|8.6|6.9|6.6|
4

|LESS DEVEL<br>....<br>....<br>..........|OPED<br>COLWN<br>..................|TRIES<br>|Popul<br>.......................|ation projectio<br>|n (thousa<br>............................................|nds)<br>||.....|........<br>.......|<br>.........<br>..............|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL**M+F**|3665881|4074392|4503981|4939037|5376111|<br>5807948|<br>6236652|6663234|7078333|<br>7469234|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|250149|277272|292902|301478|308693|<br>313886|320753|328823|333405|<br>333581|
|5-9|228920|243355|271004|287418|296820|<br>304138|<br>309578|<br>316744|<br>325159|<br>330159|
|10-14|223898|226911|241435|269180|285767|<br>295183|<br>302544|<br>308072|<br>315344|<br>323880|
|15-19|208z89|<br>221892|224973|239509|<br>267262|<br>283851|<br>293303|<br>300727|<br>306368|<br>313768|
|20-24|174702|206150|219155|222252|<br>236749|<br>264433|<br>281051|<br>290588|<br>298140|<br>303974|
|25-29|146907|171874|<br>203145|216094|219198|<br>233651|<br>261284|<br>277969|<br>287638|<br>295371|
|30-34|130764|144378|<br>169193|200251|213164|<br>216287|<br>230708|<br>258308|<br>275075|<br>284894|
|35-39|103736|128309|<br>141824|166429|197263|<br>210132|<br>213281|<br>227673|<br>255238|<br>272098|
|40-44|85609|101255|<br>125568|<br>138915|<br>163252|<br>193788|<br>206600|<br>209789|<br>224147|<br>251653|
|45-49|76632|82819|98233|122117|135218|<br>159159|<br>189253|<br>201972|<br>205219|<br>219514|
|50-54|67324|<br>73100|<br>79189|94181|117389|<br>130124|<br>153460|<br>182864|<br>19542|1<br>198750|
|55-59|55133|62786|68359|74217|88534|110717|<br>122910|<br>145306|<br>173613|<br>185878|
|60-64|42441|49643|56751|61956|67437|80779|101431|<br>112826|<br>133800|<br>160410|
|65-69|32261|36195|<br>42550|48839|53494|58453|<br>70384|<br>88836|99085|<br>117980|
|70-74|20437|<br>25180|28496|33677|38842|<br>42759|46962|56930|72334|<br>s8082|
|75+|19036|22224|<br>27118|31888|<br>37921|44657|50925|<br>57259|67903|<br>84751|
|TOTAL|1866838|2073342|2289894|2508400|2727001|<br>2941997|<br>3154426|<br>3364686|<br>3567890|<br>3757645|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|239299|267094|282186|290506|297506|<br>302681|<br>309453|<br>317348|321864|<br>322097|
|5-9|218774|232622|261043|277003|286224|<br>293373|<br>298836|<br>305948|314224|<br>319184|
|10-14|212552|216816|230798|259363|275539|<br>284791|<br>291999|<br>297568|<br>304805|<br>313223|
|15-19|196821|210711|215063|229112|257746|<br>273952|<br>283262|<br>290556|<br>296261|<br>303655|
|20-24|169459|194500|<br>208421|212832|226927|<br>255551|<br>271830|<br>281259|288712|<br>294636|
|25-29|142109|166965|<br>191938|205861|210332|<br>224445|<br>253074|<br>269464|<br>279061|<br>286729|
|30-34|126499|139T.r,|164487|189372|203305|<br>207816|<br>221952|<br>250592|267111|<br>276901|
|35-39|99166|124174|<br>137345|161971|186754|<br>200665|<br>205228|<br>219395|248054|<br>264722|
|40-44|81465|96981|121744|134820|159276|<br>183905|<br>197793|<br>202428|216639|<br>245315|
|45-49|72536|79232|94552|118972|131914|<br>156124|<br>180545|<br>194405|<br>199141|<br>213400|
|50-54|63781|69903|76516|91540|115485|<br>128241|<br>152106|<br>176238|<br>190057|<br>194930|
|55-59|52896|60527|66510|72980|87589|110874|<br>123375|<br>146751|<br>170470|<br>184222|
|60-64|42445|48885|56154|61905|68157|82180|<br>104515|<br>116651|<br>139309|<br>162417|
|65-69|33804|37468|43383|50076|55456|61377|74498|<br>95378|106929|<br>128438|
|70-74|22934|27528|30816|35908|41729|46549|<br>51910|<br>63603|82203|<br>92761|
|75+|24503|27915|33129|38416|45169|53426|<br>61850|70962|85603|<br>108958|
|TOTAL|1799043|2001049|2214087|2430637|2649109|<br>2865951|<br>3082226|<br>3298547|3510443|<br>3711589|
|SIRTH RATE||31.0|29.1|27.0|25.0|23.4|22.1|21.0|19.9|18.8|
|DEATH RATE||9.6|8.9|8.4|7.9|7.8|7.8|7.8|7.8|8.0|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|2.13|2.02|1.86|1.71|1.55|1.43|1.33|1.21|1.08|
|NETMIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.1|-. 1|-. 0|-. 0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.11|2.00|1.84|1.70|**1.S5**|1.42|1.32|1.21|1.08|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.918|3.608|3.336|3.133|2.951|2.789|2.661|2.545|2.436|
|NRR||1.627|1.517|1.426|1.377|1.318|1.252|1.200|1.158|1.120|
|**e(O)80T**|**H**SEXES|62.06|63.55|64.93|66.20|66.90|67.65|68.45|69.31|70.23|
|**e(IO)**<br>**-** BO|TH SEXES|58.77|59.38|59.90<br>|60.38|60.87|61.39|61.94|62.54|63.17|
|**IUR -**BOT|H SEXES|78.3|69.0|64s5|52.4|49.2|45.4|41.5|37.6|33.6|
|q(5) -BOT|H SEXES|.1083|.0945|.0820|.0700|.0657|.0607|.0554|.0499|.0443|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>71.4|<br>67.4|<br>65.6|<br>63.8|<br>60.3|<br> <br>56.7|<br> <br>54.1|<br> <br>53.0|<br> <br>52.2|<br>S2.0|
5

# LESS DEVELOPED CQJNTRIES

# Population projection (thousands)

# Surmmry for 25 Year Periods

|..........................<br>AGEGOUJP|....................<br>1985|.........................<br> <br>2000|........................<br> <br>2025|..........<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|-- - - -|- - -- -|- -- - -- -|- -- - - --|- -- - - --<br>....|...--<br>- -- - - --<br>.-.|--......-.<br>.|||
|TOTALN+F|3665881|<br>4939037|<br>7078333|<br>8715841|<br>9657538|<br>1001992|7 1013886|6<br>10185564|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|250149|<br>301478|<br>333405|<br>326613|<br>326585|<br>327047|<br>327307|<br>327413|
|5-9|228920|<br>287418|<br>325159|<br>324815|<br>326003|<br>326686|<br>326950|<br>327028|
|10-14|223898|<br>269180|<br>315344|<br>324909|<br>326031|<br>326427|<br>326652|<br>326727|
|15-19|208889|<br>239509|<br>306368|<br>326312|<br>325647|<br>325789|<br>326108|<br>326267|
|20-24|174702|<br>222252|<br>298140|<br>327195|<br>323988|<br>324626|<br>325265|<br>325580|
|25-29|146907|<br>216094|<br>287638|<br>324236|<br>322396|<br>323372|<br>324457|<br>324851|
|30-34|130764|<br>200251|<br>275075|<br>316634|<br>320177|<br>322404|<br>323694|<br>324105|
|35-39|103736|<br>166429|<br>255238|<br>305162|<br>319130|<br>321535|<br>322698|<br>323104|
|40-44|85609|<br>138915|<br>224147|<br>294013|<br>318877|<br>319845|<br>320948|<br>321495|
|45-49|76632|<br>122117|<br>205219|<br>282909|<br>316964|<br>315878|<br>317674|<br>318603|
|50-54|67324|<br>94181|<br>195421|<br>267630|<br>308699|<br>309550|<br>3.1989|<br>313455|
|55-59|55133|<br>74217|<br>173613|<br>246624|<br>291534|<br>298201|<br>302286|<br>304092|
|60-64|42441|<br>61956|<br>133800|<br>214472|<br>264905|<br>281423|<br>286249|<br>288115|
|65-69|32261|<br>48839|<br>99085|<br>169040|<br>231330|<br>256295|<br>260539|<br>262526|
|70-74|20437|<br>33677|<br>72334|<br>130369|<br>189264|<br>218050|<br>22135'|<br>223924|
|75+|19036|<br>31888|<br>67903|<br>166436|<br>258907|<br>323185|<br>344667|<br>352955|
|TOTAL|1866838|<br>2508400|<br>3567890|<br>4347369|<br>4770438|<br>4920313|<br>4968842|<br>4990239|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|239299|<br>290506|<br>321864|<br>315537|<br>315215|<br>315215|<br>315279|<br>315258|
|5-9|218774|<br>277003|<br>314224|<br>314285|<br>315214|<br>315323|<br>315291|<br>315228|
|10-14|212552|<br>259363|<br>304805|<br>314641|<br>315647|<br>315429|<br>315261|<br>315187|
|15-19|196821|<br>229112|<br>296261|<br>316390|<br>315843|<br>315319|<br>315134|<br>315129|
|20-24|169459|<br>212832|<br>288712|<br>317940|<br>315087|<br>314958|<br>314953|<br>315080|
|25-29|142109|<br>205861|<br>279061|<br>315776|<br>314327|<br>314588|<br>314934|<br>315053|
|30-34|126499|<br>189372|<br>267111|<br>308910|<br>312892|<br>314486|<br>314956|<br>31I')|
|35-39|99166|<br>161971|<br>248054|<br>298238|<br>312691|<br>314595|<br>314869|<br>314802|
|40-44|81465|<br>134820|<br>216639|<br>28B.27|313526|<br>314222|<br>314378|<br>314343|
|45-49|72536|<br>118972|<br>199141|<br>278408|<br>313448|<br>312353|<br>313165|<br>313395|
|50-54|63781|<br>91540|<br>190057|<br>265924|<br>308475|<br>309486|<br>311090|<br>311807|
|55-59|52896|<br>72980|<br>170470|<br>249581|<br>297011|<br>304295|<br>307820|<br>308876|
|60-64|42445|<br>61905|<br>139309|<br>224059|<br>279023|<br>297503|<br>302244|<br>303438|
|65-69|33804|<br>50076|<br>106929|<br>183868|<br>256283|<br>286008|<br>290923|<br>292486|
|70-74|22934|<br>35908|<br>82203|<br>151243|<br>225315|<br>263099|<br>268120|<br>270877|
|75+|24503|<br>38416|<br>85603|<br>225645|<br>377103|<br>492736|<br>541608|<br>559370|
|TOTAL|1799043|<br>2430637|<br>3510443|<br>4368472|<br>4887100|<br>5099613|<br>5170024|<br>5195325|
|BIRTHRATE||28.9|22.1|16.7|14.1|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.9|7.8|8.5|10.0|11.7|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.2|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RAT|E|1.99|144|.83|.41|.13|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.596|2.796|2.252|2.072|2.061|2.055|2.054|
|e(O)BOT|H SEXES|63.61|67.81|72.40|76.26|77.63|78.64|78.90|
|INR- BOTH S|EXES|69.1|45.1|25.5|11.9|8.9|7.0|6.6|
# NGRE DEVELOPED COMTRIES Population projection (thousands)

|-....<br>..<br>........<br>AGE**GRCUP**<br>______________________|..............<br>1985<br>____________..................|...........<br>1990<br>........._....___........._...............|.....................<br>1995<br>....................................|2000|...<br>.......<br>2005|..........<br>..<br>2010|<br>..<br>..<br>......................<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**N+F**|1178542|<br>1210949|<br>1239849|1265327|1286874|<br>1304363|<br>1318993|<br>1329695|<br>1336447|<br>1337914|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|44072|44294|42961|41721|41841|42164|42438|42426|<br>42290|<br>42324|
|5-9|43805|44131|44361|43040|41783|41877|42175|42424|<br>42388|<br>42230|
|10-14|45282|43859|44188|44419|43084|41811|41887|42166|<br>42398|<br>42345|
|15-19|46389|45269|43859|44194|44412|43067|41781|41840|<br>42103|<br>42320|
|20-24|49378|46363|45272|43874|44185|44374|43009|41700|<br>41730|<br>41965|
|25-29|48602|49318|46379|45308|43881|44152|44302|42911|<br>41571|<br>41565|
|30-34|45783|48468|49240|46363|45275|43816|44053|44172|<br>42762|<br>41399|
|35-39|41510|45535|48248|49069|46226|45121|43644|43859|<br>43960|<br>42547|
|40-44|34528|41128|45140|47871|48722|45915|44810|43329|<br>43537|<br>43634|
|45-49|35579|33954|40503|44478|47205|48073|45333|44246|<br>42783|<br>42998|
|50-54|316P|34452|33046|39484|43383|46062|46958|44330|<br>43286|<br>41868|
|55-59|304|30098|32803|31631|37861|41596|44200|45126|<br>42666|<br>41695|
|60-64|23647|28024|27840|30413|29500|35350|38841|41322|<br>42273|<br>40050|
|65-69|16523|20815|24723|24706|27054|26387|31668|34807|<br>37090|<br>38045|
|70-74|15480|13493|17107|20360|20475|22439|22034|26498|<br>29143|<br>31124|
|75+|18615|19990|<br>19488|22062|25811|27846|30378|31522|<br>35561|<br>39669|
|TOTAL|571342|589190|<br>605156|618993|630698|640050|<br>647511|<br>652679|<br>655543|<br>655777|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|42301|42243|40944|39744|39842|40164|40438|40436|<br>40315|<br>40355|
|5-9|41839|42406|42352|41059|39836|39911|40209|<br>40459|<br>40435|<br>40292|
|10-14|42996|41935|42502|Q7"A5|41133|39893|39950|40230|<br>40464|<br>40423|
|15-19|44403|43102|42043|42604|42525|41193|39934|39972|<br>40233|<br>40449|
|20-24|47722|44616|43318|42246|42761|42643|41276|39983|<br>39984|<br>40211|
|25-29|47341|47956|44862|43553|42426|42895|42734|41328|<br>39994|<br>39955|
|30-34|45049|47475|4;104|45013|43667|42505|42941|42750|<br>41317|<br>39955|
|35-39|41322|45071|47506|48143|45044|43678|42496|42912|<br>42705|<br>41258|
|40-44|34957|41227|44975|47415|48056|44963|43593|42403|<br>42813|<br>42601|
|45-49|36716|34733|40991|44727|47167|47817|44750|<br>43390|<br>42205|<br>42617|
|50-54|33523|36223|34349|40574|44286|46714|47382|44366|<br>43029|<br>41859|
|55-59|34834|32795|35486|33748|39910|43562|45973|<br>46669|<br>43732|<br>42435|
|60-64|30831|33558|31710|34367|32811|38835|42393|44774|<br>45510|<br>42696|
|65-69|22899|28912|31560|29962|32539|31197|36971|<br>40372|<br>42692|<br>43475|
|70-74|24036|20378|25858|28322|27057|29416|28369|<br>33688|<br>36812|<br>39002|
|75+<br>|36431<br>|39130<br>|38134<br> <br>|42411<br>|47113<br>|48929<br>|52071<br> <br>|<br>53283<br> <br>|<br>58666<br> <br>|<br>64554<br> <br>|
|TOTAL|607200|621758|<br>634693|646334|656175|664313|<br>671481|<br>677016|<br>6S0904|<br>682136|
|BIRTH RAT|E|14.7|13.9|13.2|12.9|12.8|12.8|12.6|12.5|12.5|
|DEATH RAT|E|9.9|9.7|9.6|10.0|10.5|10.8|11.2|11.6|12.3|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|.48|.41|.35|.30|.24|.20|.15|.09|.02|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.6|.6|.5|.4|.3|.2|.2|.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.54|.47|.41|.34|.27|.22|.16|.10|.02|
|TOTALFERT|ILITY|1.902|1.864|1.846|1.890|1.932|1.970|2.003|2.033|2.061|
|NRR||.919|.888|.881|.907|.931|.949|.965|.979|.994|
|e(O)**-** BOT|HSEXES|74.08|74.82|75.47|76.01|76.24|76.47|76.71|76.95|77.21|
|eClO)**-** BO|TH SEXES|65.32|65.94|66.46|66.90|67.10|67.31|67.5k|67.74|67.97|
|**INR**- BOT|H SEXES|15.2|13.3|11.7|10.4|10.2|9.9|9.5|9.1|8.8|
|**q(5)**<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|.0176|.0152|.0133|.0117|.0114|.0110|.0106|.0101|.0097|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>50.3|<br>49.6|<br>50.2|49.7|49.8|<br>49.5|<br>51.5|<br>54.4|<br>57.6|<br>60.4|
7

# **MORE** DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

# Poputation projection (thousands)

# Suiary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|._._,_,<br>**.....**<br>...............<br>........||....|.......................................|............||....|....................||
|TOTAL<br>M4F|1178542|1265327|1336447|<br>1319103|1307415|<br>1310015|<br>1312487|<br>1313618|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|44072|41721|42290|42271|<br>42264|42280|42286|42289|
|5-9|43805|43040|42388|<br>42230|<br>42208|42229|42241|42246|
|10-14|45282|44419|42398|<br>42180|42164|42192|42210|42215|
|15-19|46389|44194|42103|<br>42154|<br>42102|42137|<br>42160|42165|
|20-24|49378|43874|41730|42058|<br>42012|42050|42076|42082|
|25-29|48602|45308|<br>41571|41889|41935|41949|41978|41988|
|30-34|45783|46363|42762|41895|41838|41840|41875|41891|
|35-39|41510|49069|43960|41756|41689|41702|41748|41772|
|40-44|34528|47871|43537|41266|41515|41501|41558|<br>41587|
|45-49|35579|44478|42783|<br>40579|41141|41144|41209|41244|
|50-54|31685|39484|43286|39791|40392|40503|40554|40593|
|55-59|30463|31631|42666|39669|39248|39290|39345|39394|
|60-64|23647|30413|42273|<br>38538|37126|37201|37286|37351|
|65-69|16523|24706|37090|34732|33553|33932|34017|34095|
|70-74|15480|20360|29143|29168|28368|28968|29089|<br>29173|
|75+|18615|22062|35561|46564|45286|45634|46160|<br>46360|
|TOTAL|571342|618993|655543|646741|642841|644553|645793|64644|
|**FEMALES**|||||||||
|0-4|42301|39744|40315|40352|40339|40333|40331|40331|
|5-9|41839|41059|40435|40343|40330|40326|40326|40326|
|10-14|42996|42445|40464|40311|40320|<br>40322|40323|40323|
|15-19|b4403|42604|40233|40322|40313|40319|40320|40320|
|20-24|4m2|42246|39984|40306|40310|40316|40315|40315|
|25-29|47341|43553|39994|40240|40316|40310|40307|40307|
|30-34|45049|45013|41317|40351|40298|40293|40293|40295|
|35-39|41322|48143|42705|40344|40243|40264|40272|40275|
|40-44|34957|47415|42813|40050|40209|40216|40232|40236|
|45-49|36716|44727|42205|39672|40088|40118|40138|40142|
|50-54|33523|40574|43029|39432|39810|39928|39943|39948|
|55-59|34834|33748|43732|4026c;|39523|39538|<br>39569|39581|
|60-64|30831|34367|45510|49751|38)302|<br>38811|38887|38913|
|65-69|22899|29962|42692|39238|37145|37454|37547|37589|
|70-74|24036|28322|36812|35705|34153|34742|34893|34952|
|75+|36431|42411|58666|74680|72376|72172|72997|73321|
|TOTAL|607200|MM33|4<br>680904|672362|664574|665462|666694|667174|
|BIR' RATE||13.9|12.7|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.7|10.8|13.0|13.0|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|MET MIGRAT|TION<br>RATE|.6|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.47|.22|-. 05|-. 04|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|i.876|1.965|2.067|2.064|2.064|2.063|2.063|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|74.80|76.48|77.73|78.66|78.92|79.10|79.14|
|IMR**-** BOTH S|EXES|13.5|9.8|8.1|6.9|6.6|6.3|6.3|
8 AFRICA Population projection (thousands)

|...<br>..<br>.<br>......... ..............<br>**AGE GR0**<br>P<br>1985|..............<br>1990|..................<br>1995|.......<br>2000|.......<br>2005|............<br>2010|............<br>2015|.......................<br>2020|2025|..........<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>oX........<br>....<br>......<br>-... .|.........<br>........|..........|X**.**<br>..<br>*........|......<br>.......|....................||....<br>...<br>.........|................|...<br>............|
|TOTAL M+F<br>559416|650556|753144|869768|999722|1138621|1284716|1435139|1587365|<br>1737425|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>51646|58799|65629|73869|81917|87902|93051|96835|99448|100228|
|5-9<br>41546|48855|56026|63034|71474|79479|85525|90784|94739|<br>97579|
|10-14<br>34445|40815|48101|55272|<br>62311|70710|78697|<br>84761|90055|94066|
|15-19<br>29338|33886|40209|47446|54575|61581|69942|77912|83995|89327|
|20-24<br>24359|28676|33169|39400|46538|53599|60565|68881|76838|<br>82959|
|25-29<br>20298|23689|27939|32347|38458|45516|52508|59440|67721|75680|
|30-34<br>16641|19704|23040|27204|31523|37559|44543|51476|58387|<br>66644|
|35-39<br>13426|16097|19103|22362|26434|30696|36654|43569|50448|57341|
|40-44<br>10885|12894|15508|18434|<br>21603|25603|29801|35674|42511|<br>49331|
|45-49<br>9284|10343|12293|14822|<br>17648|20738|24646|<br>28763|34529|<br>41263|
|50-54<br>7714|8687|9703|11561|<br>13977|<br>16700|<br>19683|<br>23468|27472|<br>33084|
|55-59<br>6213|7047|7961|8909|10645|<br>12930|<br>15509|<br>18343|21951|<br>25785|
|60-64<br>4742|5468|6226|7053|7910|9501|11603|<br>13980|16603|<br>19952|
|65-69<br>3460|3929|4556|5207|5918|6672|8067|9917|12015|<br>14342|
|70-74<br>2285|2608|2982|3476|3992|4569|5186|6323|7838|<br>9564|
|75+<br>2055|2330|2679|3092|3619|4234|4940|5726|6925|8606|
|TOTAL<br>278335|323829|375124|433488|<br>498541|567990|<br>640919|715852|791474|<br>865753|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>50767|57965|64588|72590|<br>80377|86248|91298|95013|97568|98314|
|5-9<br>41011|48162|55402|62226|70450|78224|84174|89350|93241|96023|
|10-14<br>34037|40305|47448|54701|6s572|69769|77537|<br>83514|88733|<br>92687|
|15-19<br>28946|33510|39743|46855|54084|60937|69112|76882|82893|88163|
|20-24<br>24158|28395|32916|39085|46133|53317|60152|68312|76096|82160|
|25-29<br>20532|23612|27791|32249|38332|45330|52469|59295|67449|75261|
|30-34<br>17063|20006|23042|27153|31543|37568|44516|51617|58443|66602|
|35-39<br>13983|16567|19460|22442|26478|30825|36794|43695|<br>50764|57596|
|40-44<br>11473|13514|16046|18876|21797|25780|30082|35993|42847|49886|
|45-49<br>9856|11025|13014|15481|18239|<br>21116|25038|29289|35132|41930|
|50-54<br>8208|9381|10510|12429|14817|17511|20331|24178|28362|34118|
|55-59<br>6752|7676|8793|9867|11696|<br>14003|16613|<br>19359|23104|<br>27197|
|60-64<br>5203|6124|6984|8021|9022|10753|12949|<br>15442|18083|<br>21685|
|65-69<br>3890|4475|5294|6059|6985|7908|9498|11529|13847|<br>16326|
|70-74<br>2641|3068|3551|4224|4860|5659|6466|7847|9627|11677|
|75+<br>2561<br>|2943<br>|3437<br>|4022<br>|4795<br>|5682<br>|6765<br>|7974<br>|9703<br>|12046<br>|
|TOTAL<br>281081|326727|378020|436280|501180|570631|643796|719287|795891|<br>871672|
|BIRTH RATE|44.4|42.1|40.3|38.1|35.5|32.9|30.3|27.8|25.3|
|DEATH<br>RATE|14.2|12.7|11.4|10.2|9.4|8.8|8.2|7.6|7.2|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|3.03|2.93|2.88|2.79|2.60|2.42|2.22|2.02|1.81|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 1|-.1|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|**-.0**|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.02|2.93|2.88|2.79|2.60|2.41|2.21|2.02|1.81|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.142|5.825|5.495|5.092|4.624|4.179|3.751|3.362|3.006|
|NRR|2.314|2.259|2.195|2.095|1.928|1.770|1.617|1.474|1.340|
|e(O) - BOTH**SEXES**|53.38|55.22|57.04|58.82|60.05|61.32|62.65|64.03|65.48|
|**e(10)**- BOTH SEXES|54.49|55.11|55.59|56.06|56.83|57.63|58.47|59.33|60.24|
|IMR**-**BOTH SEXES<br>|106.5<br>|96.1<br>|85.0<br>|73.3<br>|68.0<br>|62.7<br>|57.5<br>|52.0<br>|46.4<br>|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.1649|.1471|.1282|.1084|.1003|.0922|.0842|.0756|.0666|
|DEP. RAT;O<br>93.5|93.4|91.4|88.3|84.6|80.3|75.1|69.7|64.7|<br>60.0|
9 AFRICA

# Population proJection (thousands)

Sunmmry for 25 Year Periods

|. ..<br>...<br>_**.**.<br>...<br>..<br>AGE**GROUP**|..<br>...<br>_...<br><br>1985|....<br>_**.**<br>.. .....<br>2000|.<br>. .<br>. ..<br>_.<br>2025|.........................<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|..<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..<br>**..**<br>. ..<br>. .<br>....|................|.............|..........................||||||
|TOTAL M+F|559416|869768|1587365|2275248|2760723|2962347|3019815|3042161|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|51646|73869|99448|96466|97005|97301|97409|97448|
|5-9|41546|63034|94739|96248|96971|97211|97286|97316|
|10-14|3445|55272|90055|97030|97066|97066|97153|97207'|
|15-19|29338|47446|83995|97114|96719|96714|96943|97060|
|20-24|24359|39400|76838|97012|95647|96222|96678|96860|
|25-29|20298|32347|67721|94898|94806|95857|96474|96649|
|30-34|16641|27204|58387|90901|94462|95711|96261|9648|
|35-39|13426|22362|50448|85656|94794|95490|95882|<br>96059|
|40-44|10885|18434|42511|78924|94264|94697|95182|<br>95522|
|45-49|9284|14822|34529|71100|93183|92884|94040|94635|
|50-54|7714|11561|27472|61142|89344|90559|92317|93119|
|55-59|6213|8909|21951|50481|82435|87356|89505|90313|
|60-64|4742|7053|16603|40565|72830|82763|84683|85441|
|65-69|3460|5207|12015|30456|60347|74702|76702|77635|
|70-74|2285|3476|7838|20488|45715|62851|64563|66019|
|75+|2055|3092|6925|19794|51040|87448|99099|103463|
|TOTAL|278335|433488|791474|1128274|1356630|1444832|1470177|1481152|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|50767|72590|97568|94556|94890|94946|94954|<br>94928|
|5-9|41011|62226|93241|94601|95089|95031|94954|<br>94910|
|10-14|34037|54701|88733|95523|95349|95030|94912|94887|
|15-19|28946|46855|82893|95816|95235|94877|94838|94869|
|20-24|24158|39085|76096|96048|94510|94672|94785|94869|
|25-29|20532|32249|67449|91317|93999|94619|94845|94878|
|30-34|17063|27153|58443|90657|93974|94784|94901|94855|
|35-39|13983|22442|50764|85734|94654|94915|94833|94759|
|40-44|11473|:8876|42847|79375|94572|94585|94551|94578|
|45-49|9856|15481|35132|72049|94178|93466|94067|94282|
|50-54|8208|12429|28362|62852|91435|92236|93463|93851|
|55-59|6752|9867|23104|53125|86224|90939|92610|92986|
|60-64|5203|8021|18083|44297|78967|89392|9092%.|.<br>91259|
|65-69|3890|6059|13847|34835|69017|85307|87172|87765|
|70-74|2641|4224|9627|25064|56302|77698|79647|81070|
|75+|2561|4022|9703|28125|75698|135018|158177|166261|
|TOTAL|281081|436280|795891|1146974|1404093|1517515|1549638|1561008|
|BIRTH RATE||42.0|32.3|20.9|15.4|13.5|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH RATE||12.6|8.7|6.7|7.8|10.7|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE||2.94|2.41|1.44|.77|.28|.08|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|5.786|4.076|2.484|2.072|2.054|2.044|2.043|
|**e(O)-** BOTH|SEXES|55.39|61.68|68.90|74.66|76.81|78.35|78.75|
|<br>**IMR**<br>**-** BOTH S|EXES|95.2|62.3|35.1|15.8|10.7|7.4|6.9|
10

# EAST AFRICA

Population projection (thousands)

|..<br>.....................................<br>AGE GRGP<br>1985|1990|..<br>. ........<br>1995|..<br>................<br>2000|..<br>2005|2010|...<br>. ..<br>2015|.<br>.................<br>2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>.**...**<br>...<br>. ... .<br>.<br>|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>**.**<br>....... .|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br><br>-.|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>...........|<br>.....|....|
|TOTAL M+F<br>231239|270644|315565|367295|<br>425500|488579|556041|626928|699966|772785|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>21433|25088|28296|32229|36057|39149|42031|44483|46342|47058|
|5-9<br>17277|<br>20267|23887|27143|31155|34965|38077|40997|43515|45469|
|10-14<br>14324|<br>16986|<br>19973|<br>23585|26849|30841|34643|37759|40688|43223|
|15-19<br>**12100**|<br>14094|16738|<br>19709|<br>23298|26543|30517|34310|37430|40370|
|20-24<br>10138|<br>11817|13795|16405|19340|<br>22891|26115|30065|33849|36979|
|25-29<br>8358|9845|11510|<br>13456|16018|1B925|<br>22437|<br>25639|<br>29569|33351|
|30-34<br>6792|8098|9570|11207|<br>13119|15649|<br>18528|22005|<br>25190|29106|
|35-39<br>5504|6556|7843|9286|10891|12779|15274|18126|21569|24740|
|40-44<br>4495|5278|6310|7563|8969|10548|12407|14864|<br>17685|21091|
|45-49<br>3731|4268|5030|6027|7236|8605|<br>10150|<br>11972|14382|17162|
|50-54<br>3073|3488|4004|4729|5679|6840|8162|9659|11429|<br>13772|
|55-59<br>2448|2803|3195|3677|4353|<br>5248|<br>6344|7598|9026|10719|
|60-64<br>1878|2149|2472|2827|3262|3880|<br>4700|5707|6865|8192|
|65-69<br>1367|1551|1786|<br>2062|2367|2747|3286|4005|4890|5915|
|70-74<br>897|1026|1173|<br>1357|1575|1821|2130|2567|3152|3877|
|75.<br>816|911|1044|1203|1399|1645|1936|2296|<br>2782|3439|
|TOTAL<br>114629|134228|156627|182466|211565|243076|276738|312053|348365|384463|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>21224|24806|27937|31767|35483|38518|41346|43750|45571|46268|
|5-9<br>17162|20121|23681|26873|30793|34506|37571|40447|42922|44842|
|10-14<br>14275|16879|19839|23397|26602|30510|34219|37293|40183|42680|
|15-19<br>12026|14058|16649|19599|<br>23141|26334|30230|33938|37023|39931|
|20-24<br>10156|11796|1381s|16379|19304|22820|26000|29885|33597|36701|
|25-29<br>8534|9925|11553|13544|16072|18978|22466|25636|29514|33234|
|30-34<br>7002|8316|9693|11297|13257|<br>15760|<br>18648|<br>22110|<br>25273|29149|
|35-39<br>5745|6803|8097|9450|11026|12967|<br>15445|<br>18314|21754|24913|
|40-44<br>4751|5559|6598|7863|9187|10746|12665|15117|17968|21386|
|45-49<br>3983|4573|5362|6373|7605|8908|<br>10445|12339|14763|17591|
|50-54<br>3310|3797|4368|5129|6106|7307|8583|10092|<br>11954|14340|
|55-59<br>2693|3101|3565|4109|4834|5776|<br>6937|8176|9648|11467|
|60-64<br>2100|2447|- 2827|3259|3764|4451|5346|6451|7639|9057|
|65-69<br>1562|1811|2120|2458|2843|3307|3937|4763|5786|6898|
|70-74<br>1054|1237|1443|1696|1976|2308|2710|3257|3979|4878|
|75+<br>1033|1186|1392|1637|1939|2308|2757|3306|4027|4985|
|TOTAL<br>116610|136415|158939|184830|213934|245502|279303|314875|351601|388322|
|BIRTH RATE|46.1|43.8|42.1|39.9|37.2|34.7|32.2|29.7|26.9|
|DEATH RATE|14.4|13.1|11.7|10.4|9.6|8.8|8.2|7.6|7.1|
|RATE OFHAT.INC.|3.16|3.08|3.04|2.95|2.77|2.59|2.40|2.20|1.98|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.15|3.07|3.04|2.94|2.76|2.59|2.40|2.20|1.98|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.311|6.077|5.790|5.394|4.923|4.469|4.033|3.624|3.224|
|NRR|2.373|2.342|2.294|2.209|2.047|1.886|1.736|1.588|1.435|
|**e(O) -**BOTH SEXES|53.00|54.78|56.59|58.39|59.66|60.98|62.35|63.77|65.26|
|e(10)**-**BOTH SEXES|54.56|55.18|55.67|56.12|56.89|57.68|58.50|59.36|60.26|
|IMR**-** BOTH SEXES|110.3|101.0|90.1|77.9|71.9|66.1|60.3|54.3|48.1|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|1715|1554|1365|1153|1060|0972|0883|0790|0693|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>94.6|.<br>95.0|.<br>93.6|.<br>91.4|.<br>87.9|.<br>83.7|.<br> <br>78.6|.<br>73.2|.<br> <br>68.2|.<br> <br>63.3|
11 Poputation projection (thousands)

# EAST AFRICA

**-**

Sunmry for 25 Year Periods

|. ................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>...................................|............................<br>1985|<br>2000|2025<br>...............................................|2050<br>.................................................|<br>2075<br>......|..<br>...<br> <br> <br>2100|...<br>..........<br> <br>2125|.<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>MF|231239|<br>367295|<br>699966|<br>1034226|<br>1277359|<br>1382928|<br>141017|7<br>1420681|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|21433|<br>32229|<br>46342|<br>44656|<br>45133|<br>45378|<br>45444|<br>45455|
|5-9|17277|<br>27143|<br>43515|<br>44480|<br>45244|<br>45389|<br>45393|<br>45390|
|10-14|14324|<br>23525|<br>40688|<br>45531|<br>45472|<br>45335|<br>45316|<br>45331|
|15-19|12100|<br>19709|<br>37430|<br>46005|<br>45297|<br>45107|<br>45190|<br>45258|
|20-24|10138|<br>16405|<br>33849|<br>45568|<br>445S6|<br>44785|<br>45056|<br>45172|
|25-29|8358|<br>13456|<br>29569|<br>44253|<br>43890|<br>44600|<br>44993|<br>45089|
|30-34|6792|<br>11207|<br>25190|<br>41796|<br>43656|<br>44656|<br>44945|<br>44984|
|35-39|5504|<br>9286|21569|<br>38736|<br>44484|<br>44734|<br>44782|<br>44806|
|40-44|4495|7563|17685|<br>35201|<br>44657|<br>44351|<br>44393|<br>44528|
|45-49|3731|<br>6027|14382|<br>31340|<br>43770|<br>43270|<br>43769|<br>44105|
|50-54|3073|<br>4729|11429|<br>26691|<br>41660|<br>41923|<br>42954|<br>43428|
|55-59|2448|<br>3677|9026|21750|<br>37893|<br>40371|<br>41761|<br>42169|
|60-64|1878|<br>2827|6865|<br>17311|<br>32915|<br>38837|<br>39672|<br>39906|
|65-69|o367|2062|4890|<br>12628|<br>26885|<br>35386|<br>35925|<br>36210|
|70-74|897|1357|<br>3152|8477|<br>20108|<br>29517|<br>30078|<br>30728|
|**75i**|816|1203|<br>2782|<br>8090|<br>21951|<br>40219|<br>46021|<br>48239|
|TOTAL|114629|<br>182466|<br>348365|<br>512513|<br>627569|<br>673860|<br>685694|<br>690798|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|21224|<br>31767|<br>45571|<br>43882|<br>44262|<br>44395|<br>44414|<br>44396|
|5-9|17162|<br>26873|<br>42922|<br>43826|<br>44479|<br>44486|<br>44421|<br>44384|
|10-14|14275|<br>23397|<br>40183|<br>44931|<br>44781|<br>44499|<br>44386|<br>44365|
|15-19|12026|<br>19599|<br>37023|<br>45495|<br>44715|<br>44364|<br>44324|<br>44352|
|20-24|10156|<br>16379|<br>33597|<br>45212|<br>44137|<br>44176|<br>44289|<br>44359|
|25-29|8534|<br>13544|<br>29514|<br>44067|<br>43625|<br>44137|<br>44348|<br>44378|
|30-34|7002|<br>11297|<br>25273|<br>41760|<br>43537|<br>44336|<br>44425|<br>44374|
|35-39|5745|<br>9450|21754|<br>38844|<br>44524|<br>44577|<br>44406|<br>44315|
|40-44|4751|<br>7863|17968|<br>35472|<br>44906|<br>44410|<br>44211|<br>44202|
|45-49|3983|<br>6373|14763|<br>31830|<br>44331|<br>43649|<br>43893|<br>44054|
|50-54|3310|<br>5129|11954|<br>27515|<br>42715|<br>42805|<br>43597|<br>43883|
|55-59|2693|<br>4109|9648|22978|<br>39706|<br>42127|<br>43318|<br>43528|
|60-64|2100|<br>3259|7639|<br>189I0|35757|<br>42044|<br>42703|<br>42731|
|65-69|1562|<br>2458|5786|<br>14611|<br>30812|<br>40497|<br>40926|<br>41036|
|70-74|1054|<br>1696|<br>3979|10516|<br>24828|<br>36559|<br>37190|<br>37825|
|75+|1033|<br>1637|<br>4027|<br>11782|<br>32675|<br>62007|<br>73631|<br>77701|
|TOTAL|116610|<br>184830|<br>351601|<br>521.13|<br>649790|<br>709069|<br>724483|<br>729882|
|BIRTH RATE||43.8|34.1|21.8|15.7|13.6|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE||12.9|8.7|6.5|7.3|10.4|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRATI|ON<br>RATE|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|0|**°0**|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|3.08|2.58|1.56|.84|.32|.08|.03|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|6.031|4.354|2.578|2.069|2.051|2.041|2.040|
|eCO)- BOTH|SEXES|54.97|61.37|68.77|74.62|76.79|78.36|78.76|
|**IMR**- BOTH S|EXES|99.7|65.5|36.2|15.7|10.6|7.4|6.9|
12

|WEST AFRICA<br>.|....<br>.....<br>.....<br>.....<br>.....|Poputa<br>**...**..<br>..<br>.....|tion<br>pro!cctio<br>.....<br>. ...|n<br>(thousan<br>.....<br>.....|ds),<br>.....<br>.....|.....<br>.....|.....<br>.....|.....<br>.....|.....<br>....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|1990|1995|200u|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|......................................................................................|............................................|||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>203741|237878|275932|320243|370680|425109|482616|541984|601837|660437|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>19553|22359|24830|28473|32125|34727|36849|38342|39145|39084|
|5-9<br>15265|18212|21027|23589|27315|309.'4|33566|35749|37332|38252|
|10-14<br>12568|14904|17828|20643|23222|26925|30533|33176|35381|36997|
|15-19<br>10534|12318|14627|17519|20312|22878|26559|30158|32812|35038|
|20-24<br>8487|10260|12006|14267|17099|19861|22410|26068|29659|32332|
|25-29<br>6901|8223|9947|11642|13839|16625|19355|21896|25534|29124|
|30-34<br>5694|6673|7955|9626|11270|13432|16177|18885|21421|25046|
|35-39<br>4846|5483|6431|7670|9286|10902|13030|15739|18427|<br>20961|
|40-44<br>4093|463|5248|6159|7350|8928|10514|12610|15280|<br>17946|
|45-49<br>3434|3872|4389|4977|5846|6999|8534|10086|12140|14761|
|50-54<br>2789|3197|3611|4099|4653|5487|6595|8073|9579|11574|
|55-59<br>2223|2536|2915|3298|3749|4274|5061|6107|7504|8945|
|60-64<br>1693|1949|2232|2570|2912|3327|3811|4533|<br>5495|6787|
|65-69<br>1204|1398|1617|1856|2143|2443|2807|3234|3868|4714|
|70-74<br>770|904|1056|1226|1412|1642|1886|2183|2534|-2|
|75+<br>626|753|901|1068|1255|1473|1738|2037|2395|2822|
|TOTAL<br>100679|117674|136619|158681|183787|210856|219424|268875|293508|327433|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>19404|22191|24592|28142|31685|34242|36326|37791|38575|38509|
|5-9<br>15316|18152|20961|23463|27109|30634|33229|35379|36936|37835|
|10-14<br>12627|14966|17789|20605|23132|26761|30281|32890|35066|36657|
|15-19<br>10605|12389|14707|17511|20315|22836|26452|29971|32597|34798|
|20-24<br>8535|10376|12132|14420|17189|19974|22490|26096|29619|32269|
|25-29<br>7173|8319|10120|11845|14093|16835|19601|22117|25717|29250|
|30-34<br>6023|6963|8083|9845|11536|13760|16475|19228|<br>21747|25346|
|35-39<br>5146|5819|6737|7831|9551|11223|13422|16115|18856|21381|
|40-44<br>4325|4945|5602|6495|7561|9251|10902|13078|15748|18478|
|45-49<br>3602|4133|4735|5372|6239|7285|8941|10570|12720|15363|
|50-54<br>2962|3409|3919|4497|Sil|5957|6980|8596|10196|12312|
|55-59<br>2403|2752|3176|3659|4207|4802|5620|6613|8178|9739|
|60-64<br>1870|2163|-2487|2878|3324|3843|4411|5192|6143|7636|
|65-69<br>1368|1595|1854|2140|2485|2892|3368|3896|4621|5507|
|70-74<br>905|1068|1254|1466|1700|1995|2344|2757|3222|3862|
|75.<br>797|965|1164|1392|1654|1965|2350|2820|3389|4062|
|TOTAL<br>103062|120204|139313|161561|186893|214254|243192|273109|303329|333004|
|BIRTHRATE|47.0|44.1|42.7|40.8|38.0|35.1|32.1|29.1|26.1|
|DEATH RATE|16.1|14.4|13.0|11.5|10.6|9.7|8.9|8.2|7.6|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|3.09|2.97|2.98|2.93|2.74|2.54|2.32|2.10|1.86|
|NET MICRATION RATE|.1|.0|.0|**-.0**|**-.0**|**-.0**|**-.0**|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.10|2.97|2.98|2.93|2.74|2.54|2.32|2.10|1.86|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.517|6.223|5.916|5.518|5.008|4.501|3.998|3.513|3.071|
|NRRR|2.366|2.326|2.290|2.209|2.042|1.871|1.695|1.518|1.352|
|**e(0)-** BOTH**sExEs**|50.21|52.15|54.11|56.08|57.53|59.03|60.58|62.17|63.82|
|**e(10)**<br>**-** BOTHSEXES|52.82|55.47|53.94|54.38|55.29|56.23|57.19|58.18|59.20|
|**IHR**- BOTHSEXES|112.9|102.1|90.0|77.5|71.7|66.1|60.6|55.0|49.4|
|**q(5)**<br>**-**<br>BOTH SEXES|.1825|.1630|.1413|1192|1098|1006|0915|0824|0730|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>97.2|<br>97.6|<br>95.6|<br>92.7|.<br>89.7|.<br>86.1|.<br>80.5|.<br>73.9|.<br>67.5|.<br>61.4|
13

# WEST AFRICA

# Population projection (thousands)

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE CRWOP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....................................||..................................|...................|||..............|......<br>. .,|
|TOTAL M.F<br>203741|<br>320243|601837|873173|1069803|1152147|1177389|<br>1187280|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>f9553|<br>28473|<br>39145|37873|37887|37927|37968|37993|
|5-9<br>15265|23589|37332|3776|37747|37846|37914|37944|
|10-14<br>12568|20643|35381|37512|37636|37781|37875|**37906**|
|15-19<br>10534|17519|32812|37184|37530|37695|37812|37850|
|20-24<br>8487|14267|29659|<br>37587|37308|37564|37708|37763|
|25-29<br>6901|11642|25534|37023|37153|37406|37596|37667|
|30-34<br>5694|9626|21421|35564|37008|37226|37466|37567|
|35-39<br>4846|7670|18427|33381|36562|36986|37308|37442|
|40-44<br>4093|6159|15280|30525|35988|36697|37082|37250|
|45-49<br>3434|4977|12140|27119|35978|36172|36693|36901|
|50-54<br>2789|409')|9579|22735|<br>34707|35415|3599|36274|
|55-59<br>2223|37Z8|7508|18213|32068|34124|34774|35132|
|60-64<br>1693|2570|!.495|14527|28156|31790|32747|33218|
|65-69<br>1204|1856|3868|10678|23075|28355|29654|30211|
|70-74<br>770|1226|2534|6996|17154|24081|25060|25716|
|75+<br>62u|<br>1068|2395|6519|18111|33400|38286|40092|
|TOTAL<br>100679|158681|298508|431213|524066|560463|571942|<br>576928|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>19404|28142|38575|37290|37215|37146|37141|37137|
|5-9<br>15316|23463|<br>36936|37315|37180|37141|37138|37133|
|10-14<br>12627|20605|35066|37121|37143|37137|37136|37130|
|15-19<br>10605|17511|32597|36889|37136|37134|37127|37125|
|20-24<br>8535|14420|29619|37437|37058|37122|<br>37108|37119|
|25-29<br>7173|11845|25717|37045|37038|37095|37105|37110|
|30-34<br>6023|9845|21747|35747|37033|37047|37087|37098|
|35-39<br>5146|7831|18856|<br>33722|36737|36955|<br>37056|37074|
|40-"4<br>4325|6495|15748|31040|36350|36857|37001|37023|
|45-49<br>3602|5372|12720|27848|36632|36615|36876|36907|
|50-54<br>2962|4497|10196|23753|35818|36299|36628|36709|
|55-59<br>2403|3659|8178|19549|33877|357M|36175|36328|
|60-64<br>1870|2878|6143|16225|<br>30897|34601|35367|35642|
|65-69<br>1368|2140|4621|1266|267m|32655|33913|34318|
|70-74<br>905|1466|3222|<br>8857|21489|<br>30045|31123|31742|
|75+<br>797|1392|3389|9557|<br>27360|<br>52062|61466|64757|
|TOTAL<br>103062|161561|303329|441959|545736|591685|605447|<br>610352|
|BIRTH RATE|44.4|34.3|21.4|15.6|13.6|13.0|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE|14.3|9.6|6.8|7.6|10.6|12.1|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**<br>RATE|3.01|2.52|1.49|.81|.30|.09|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI.ITY|6.186|4.353|2.494|2.076|2.052|2.041|2.039|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH<br>SEXES|52.35|59.46|67.65|74.06|76.50|78.24|78.70|
|**IIR**<br>- BOTH SEXES|100.9|65.7|37.8|17.4|1.4|7.6|7.0|
14 NORTH AFRICA

|Population projection (thousands)|
|---|

|...<br>..<br>...................<br>AGE GROWJP<br>1985|......................................<br>1990|1995|2000|...<br>...<br>..<br>..<br>2005|<br>. ......................<br>2010|....................<br>2015|................................<br>2020|2025|.<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....**...**........<br>....<br>.|.....<br>......<br>..|........<br>..........|..............................................|...............................................|...|||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>24436|142034|161647|182230|203542|224933|<br>246059|<br>266228|<br>285562|<br>30420U|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10640|<br>11352|12502|<br>13167|13735|<br>14026|14171|14010|13961|<br>14085|
|5-9<br>9004|10375|<br>11112|12302|13005|13579|13881|14037|13892|<br>13858|
|10-14<br>7553|8925|10300|<br>11044|12240|12945|13521|13826|13986|<br>13846|
|15-19<br>6704|7475|8844|10d18|10965|12160|12866|13444|13754|<br>13919|
|20-24<br>5733|6598|7368|8729|10099|10847|12040|12748|13331|<br>13648|
|25-29<br>5039|5621|6482|7248|8600|9967|10715|11906|<br>12618|<br>13206|
|30-34<br>4156|4934|5515|6371|7133|8478|9839|10587|11776|<br>12493|
|35-39<br>3077|4057|4829|5407|6257|7015|8350|9704|10452|<br>11641|
|40-44<br>2297|2983|3949|4712|5285|6127|6879|8200|9546|<br>10295|
|45-49<br>2119|2204|2874|3818|4567|5133|5962|6705|8007|<br>9340|
|50-54<br>1852|2003|2087|2733|<br>3645|4373|4926|5736|6464|<br>7737|
|55-59<br>1543|1708|1852|1934|2544|3409|4104|4638|5417|<br>6121|
|60-64<br>1171|1369|1522|1656|1735|2295|3092|3740|4242|<br>4974|
|65-69<br>888|980|1153|1288|1409|1482|<br>1974|2678|3256|<br>3713|
|70-74<br>619|678|<br>753|893|<br>1005|1106|<br>1171|1573|<br>2152|<br>2635|
|75+<br>613|666|734|822|965|1116|1266|1392|1748|<br>2345|
|TOTAL<br>63027|71927|81878|92341|103189|<br>114057|<br>124758|<br>134924|<br>144602|<br>153856|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10138|10969|12059|12680|13209|13489|<br>13627|13472|<br>13422|<br>13537|
|5-9<br>8534|9888|10760|11890|12548|<br>13084|13374|13524|13383|<br>13346|
|10-14<br>7134|8461|9820|10700|11837|12498|13037|13330|13485|<br>13349|
|15-19<br>6314|7064|8387|9746|10628|11766|<br>12430|12973|<br>13272|<br>13433|
|20-24<br>5467|6223|6970|8285|9640|10523|11662|12331|12881|<br>13190|
|25-29<br>4825|5368|6118|6860|8167|9517|<br>10402|11542|12218|<br>12778|
|30-34<br>4038|4727|<br>5266|6011|6749|8048|9394|10279|11423|<br>12107|
|35-39<br>3093|3945|4626|5161|5900|6636|7927|9267|10154|<br>11302|
|40-44<br>2397|3009|<br>3847|4518|5048|5784|6516|7797|9131|<br>10022|
|45-49<br>2270|2319|2917|3736|<br>4396|<br>4923|5652|6380|7649|<br>8977|
|50-54<br>1936|2175|2223|2803|3599|4247|4768|5489|6211|<br>7465|
|55-59<br>1657|1823|2051|2099|2655|3425|4056|4569|5278|<br>5991|
|60-64<br>1233|1514|1670|1884|<br>1933|<br>2460|3192|3799|4300|<br>4991|
|65-69<br>959|1069|1319|1461|<br>1657|1710|2194|2870|3440|<br>3921|
|70-74<br>682|763|854|1061|<br>1184|1356|1412|1833|2426|<br>2937|
|75+<br>731<br>|<br>792<br>|881|993|1201|1409|1658|184s|2288|<br>2999|
|TOTAL<br>63409|<br>70108|79769|89889|<br>100353|110875|<br>121301|<br>131304|<br>140960|<br>150346|
|BIRTH RATE|37.1|35.2|32.2|29.6|27.1|24.8|22.4|20.7|19.4|
|DEATH RATE|10.4|9.2|8.2|7.4|7.1|6.8|6.7|6.6|6.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.67|2.60|2.41|2.22|2.00|1.80|1.58|1.40|1.27|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.65|2.59|2.40|2.21|2.00|1.80|1.58|1.40|1.26|
|TOTALFERTILITY|5.101|4.726|4.256|3.795|3.363|2.999|2.673|2.455|2.332|
|NRR|2.128|1.995|1.844|1.675|1.491|1.342|1.208|1.119|1.074|
|e(0)<br>- BOTHSEXES|59.36|61.25|63.01|64.62|65.54|66.49|67.48|68.51|69.59|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|57.14|57.74|58.31|58.93|59.57|60.24|60.93|61.66|62.42|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|84.4|71.7|60.2|50.2|46.7|43.1|39.4|35.6|31.6|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1126|.0937|.0768|.0629|.0586|.0540|.0493|.0443|.0390|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>85.9|84.2|80.8|75.3|70.3|64.0|59.0|54.9|<br>51.8|<br>49.4|
15

# NORTH AFfJCA

Population projection **(thousands)** Sum9ry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N+F|124436|<br>182230|<br>285562|<br>367850|<br>413561|<br>427272|<br>432249|<br>434201|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|10660|<br>13167|<br>13961|<br>13936|<br>13985|<br>13996|<br>13998|<br>13999|
|5-9|9004|12302|<br>13892|<br>13992|<br>13980|<br>13976|<br>13978|<br>13982|
|10-14|7553|11044|<br>13986|<br>13987|<br>13959|<br>13950|<br>13962|<br>13969|
|15-19|6704|10218|<br>13754|<br>13924|<br>13891|<br>13912|<br>13941|<br>13952|
|20-24|5733|<br>8729|<br>13331|<br>13856|<br>13783|<br>13874|<br>13913|<br>13925|
|25-29|5039|7248|<br>12618|<br>13622|<br>13763|<br>13851|<br>13886|<br>13893|
|30-34|4156|6371|<br>11776|<br>13541|<br>13799|<br>13829|<br>13849|<br>13857|
|35-39|3077|5407|<br>10452|<br>13539|<br>13748|<br>13770|<br>13791|<br>13811|
|40-44|2297|4712|<br>9546|<br>13198|<br>13620|<br>13649|<br>13706|<br>13744|
|45-49|2119|3818|<br>8007|<br>12641|<br>13434|<br>13443|<br>13578|<br>13629|
|50-54|1852|<br>2733|<br>6464|<br>11717|<br>12978|<br>13221|<br>13365|<br>13416|
|55-59|1543|<br>1934|<br>5417|<br>10517|<br>12475|<br>12860|<br>12969|<br>13012|
|60-64|1171|<br>1656|<br>4242|<br>8727|<br>11760|<br>12137|<br>12264|<br>12316|
|65-69|888|1288|<br>3256|<br>7151|<br>10388|<br>10962|<br>11123|<br>11215|
|70-74|619|893|2152|<br>5015|<br>8453|<br>9253|<br>9426|<br>9575|
|75+|613|822|<br>1748|<br>5185|<br>10978|<br>13829|<br>14791|<br>15132|
|TOTAL|63027|<br>92341|<br>144602|<br>184548|<br>204995|<br>210510|<br>212541|<br>213427|
|**'EMALES**|||||||||
|0-4|10138|<br>12680|<br>13422|<br>13383|<br>13412|<br>13405|<br>13399|<br>13395|
|5-9|8534|11890|<br>13383|<br>13461|<br>13430|<br>13404|<br>13395|<br>13393|
|10-14|7134|<br>10700|<br>13485|<br>13471|<br>13425|<br>13394|<br>13390|<br>13392|
|15-19|6314|9746|<br>13272|<br>13432|<br>13384|<br>13379|<br>13387|<br>13391|
|20-24|5467|<br>8285|<br>12881|<br>13400|<br>13316|<br>13374|<br>13387|<br>13391|
|25-29|4825|6860|<br>12218|<br>13206|<br>13335|<br>13387|<br>13393|<br>13369|
|30-34|4038|6011|<br>11423|<br>13151|<br>13404|<br>13400|<br>13389|<br>13383|
|35-39|3093|5161|<br>10154|<br>13168|<br>13393|<br>13382|<br>13370|<br>13371|
|40-44|2397|<br>1.51|8<br>9131|<br>12863|<br>13317|<br>13317|<br>13339|<br>13353|
|45-49|2270|<br>3736|<br>7649|<br>12371|<br>13215|<br>13202|<br>13298|<br>13321|
|50-54|1936|<br>2803|<br>6211|<br>11583|<br>12901|<br>13132|<br>13239|<br>13260|
|55-59|1657|<br>2099|<br>5278|<br>10598|<br>12641|<br>13039|<br>13117|<br>13131|
|60-64|1233|<br>1884|<br>4300|<br>9082|<br>12313|<br>12748|<br>12859|<br>12885|
|65-69|959|1461|<br>3440|<br>7658|<br>11432|<br>12156|<br>12332|<br>12411|
|70-74|682|1061|<br>2426|<br>5691|<br>9985|<br>11094|<br>11335|<br>11503|
|75+|731|993|2288|<br>6785|<br>15663|<br>20949|<br>23079|<br>23804|
|TOTAL|61409|<br>89889|<br>140960|<br>183301|<br>208566|<br>216762|<br>219708|<br>220774|
|BIRTH RATE||34.6|24.5|17.2|14.1|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.2|6.9|7.2|9.4|11.8|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.54|1.80|1.01|.47|.13|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|4.678|2.983|2.196|2.075|2.067|2.061|2.C61|
|e(O)- **BOTH**|SEXES|61.36|66.70|72.06|76.26|77.65|78.65|78.90|
|**IMR**- BOTH S|EXES|71.7|43.0|23.9|11.4|8.7|6.9|6.6|
16

|AMERICA||Poput|ation project|ion<br>(thousa|nds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.....................||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>666650|<br>721071|<br>775399|<br>826354|<br>873255|<br>918029|<br>961972|1003329|<br>103952|0<br>1069401|
|MALES||||||||||
|Cp-4<br>37838|39407|39801|<br>38718|<br>37648|<br>37820|<br>38810|39308|39019|<br>38504|
|<br>5-9<br>34615|37531|39164|<br>39624|<br>38591|<br>37531|<br>37707|38698|39192|<br>38903|
|10-14<br>33325|34539|37462|<br>39111|<br>39577|<br>38545|<br>37485|37659|38642|<br>39130|
|15-19<br>32127|33211|34435|<br>37365|<br>39017|<br>39482|<br>38454|37398|37568|<br>38545|
|20-24<br>31573|31956|33055|<br>34298|<br>37219|<br>38866|<br>39329|38305|<br>37246|<br>37409|
|23-29<br>28628|<br>31385|31790|<br>32910|<br>34148|<br>37054|<br>38692|39150|<br>38120|<br>3705|
|30-34<br>25067|<br>28446|31206|<br>31635|<br>32751|<br>33981|<br>36871|38500|<br>38948|<br>3791|
|35-39<br>20940|24859|28236|<br>30999|<br>31431|<br>32539|<br>33763|36637|<br>38256|<br>387z|
|40-44<br>16860|<br>20683|24583|<br>27951|<br>30699|<br>31128|<br>32230|-<br>33449|<br>36303|<br>3791|
|45-49<br>14100|<br>16518|<br>20304|<br>24166|<br>2,302|30212|<br>30641|31737|<br>32951|<br>35784|
|50-54<br>12458|<br>13622|<br>16003|<br>19716|<br>23498|<br>26761|<br>29415|29847|<br>30934|<br>32146|
|55-59<br>11543|<br>11779|<br>12920|<br>¶5225|<br>18805|<br>22437|<br>25582|28145|<br>28583|<br>2965|
|60-64<br>10052|<br>10573|10829|<br>11917|<br>14092|<br>17445|<br>20848|23809|<br>26'29|<br>26671|
|65-69<br>7931|8771|9273|9535|10531|<br>12490|<br>15509|18573|<br>21258|<br>23462|
|70-74<br>5953|6392|7124|7571|7816|<br>8656|<br>10308|12850|<br>15433|<br>1771|
|75.<br>7038|7487|8112|9017|9839|<br>10448|<br>11395|13124|<br>15918|<br>19292|
|TOTAL<br>330048|357160|384297|<br>409758|<br>433163|<br>455396|<br>477040|497190|<br>51460|2<br>52881|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>36599|37869|38210|<br>37132|<br>36066|<br>36235|<br>37189|37671|37399|<br>3691|
|5-9<br>33607|36360|37691|38090|<br>37052|<br>35995|<br>36169|37125|37605|<br>3733|
|10-14<br>32380|33567|36328|<br>37674|<br>38077|<br>37038|<br>35981|36153|37103|<br>37576|
|15-19<br>31300|32350|33543|36310|<br>37656|<br>38055|<br>37016|35958|36124|<br>37066|
|20-24<br>31110|31299|32350|<br>33548|<br>36302|<br>37640|<br>38032|36989|35918|<br>36070|
|25-29<br>28438|31113|31302|32357|<br>33539|<br>36278|<br>37607|37990|36932|<br>35848|
|30-34<br>25124|28406|31074|<br>31269|<br>32313|<br>33486|<br>36214|37538|37909|<br>36844|
|35-39<br>21180|25049|28325|<br>30989|<br>31179|<br>32216|<br>33384|36104|37424|<br>37791|
|40-44<br>17217|<br>21058|24914|<br>28182|<br>30833|<br>31021|<br>32056|33222|35936|<br>37258|
|45-49<br>14555|<br>17042|20863|<br>24696|<br>27947|<br>30579|<br>30769|31803|32971|<br>35680|
|50-54<br>13086|<br>14308|16778|<br>20565|<br>24360|<br>27579|<br>30185|30379|31414|<br>32587|
|55-59<br>12445|<br>12740|13952|<br>16391|<br>20123|<br>23853|<br>27023|29590|29793|<br>30830|
|60-64<br>11242|<br>11929|.12233|<br>13424|<br>15812|<br>19444|<br>23070|26164|28671|<br>28890|
|65-69<br>9316|10463|<br>11132|<br>11441|<br>12588|<br>14866|<br>18327|21779|24740|<br>2714|
|70-74<br>7581|8193|9247|9872|<br>10173|<br>11218|<br>13301|<br>16460|<br>19608|<br>22333|
|75+<br>11423<br>|<br>12164|13159|<br>14656|<br>16072|<br>17129|<br>18609|<br>21213|<br>2537|2<br>30423|
|TOTAL<br>336603|363911|391102|<br>416596|<br>440093|<br>462633|<br>484932|506139|524918|<br>540584|
|BIRTH RATE|23.4|21.7|19.6|17.9|17.0|16.6|16.0|15.3|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|7.5|7.2|7.1|7.2|7.4|7.7|8.2|8.9|
|RATEOFNAT. INC.|1.53|1.42|1.24|1.08|.98|.92|.83|.70|.57|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.4|.3|.3|.2|.2|.2|.1|.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.57|1.45|1.27|1.10|1.00|<br>.94|<br>.84|<br>.71|.57|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.839|2.671|2.465|2.280|2.183|2.152|2.132|2.111|2.097|
|NRR|1.307|1.233|1.153|1.074|1.029|1.016|1.010|1.004|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|70.17|71.20|72.13|72.97|73.35|73.75|74.18|74.63|75.10|
|eClO)<br>- BOTH SEXES|63.49|64.08|64.57|65.02|65.29|65.59|65.90|66.23|66.57|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|43.9|38.1|32.2|26.7|24.7|22.9|21.0|19.1|17.3|
|qCS) -BOTH SEXES|0542|0462|0383|0313|0289|0266|0244|0222|0199|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>63.0|.<br> <br>60.8|.<br>58.7|.<br> <br>54.8|.<br> <br>50.8|.<br> <br>48.|.<br>1<br>47.7|.<br>49.1|.<br>51.0|.<br> <br>52|
17

# AMERICA

Population projection (thousands) Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUJP<br>|<br>1985<br>|<br>2000<br>|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~~~<br>..............|~~~~~~<br>.|~**..**.**..**...<br>...... . .... . ..|........|....|....|..<br>.......|....|..|
|TOTAL<br>N+F|666650|<br>826354|<br>1039520|<br>1146188|<br>1181226|<br>1192473|<br>1197887|<br>1200026|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|37838|38718|<br>39019|<br>38696|<br>38574|<br>38564|<br>38575|<br>38584|
|5-9|34615|<br>39624|<br>39192|<br>38559|<br>38450|<br>38494|<br>38531|<br>36544|
|10-14|33325|39111|<br>38642|<br>38284|<br>38352|<br>38461|<br>38509|<br>38517|
|15-19|32127|<br>3/365|37568|<br>38083|<br>38324|<br>38437|<br>38471|<br>38470|
|20-24|31573|34298|<br>37246|38166|<br>38339|<br>38379|<br>38390|<br>38389|
|25-29|28628|<br>32910|<br>38120|<br>38511|<br>38345|<br>38264|<br>.<br>38279|<br>38296|
|30-34|25067|<br>31635|<br>38948|<br>3B621|<br>38159|<br>3B804|<br>38164|<br>38208|
|35-39|20940|<br>30999|<br>38256|<br>37923|<br>37789|<br>37910|<br>38049|<br>38106|
|40-44|16860|<br>27951|<br>36303|<br>36662|<br>37444|<br>37748|<br>37901|<br>37945|
|45-49|14100|<br>24166|<br>32951|<br>36025|<br>37255|<br>37512|<br>37602|<br>37627|
|50-54|12458|<br>19716|<br>30934|<br>36234|<br>37027|<br>36990|<br>36979|<br>37013|
|55-59|11543|<br>15225|<br>28583|<br>35799|<br>36031|<br>35771|<br>35804|<br>35898|
|60-64|10052|<br>11917|<br>26229|<br>33149|<br>33516|<br>33633|<br>33870|<br>34035|
|65-69|7931|9535|21258|<br>28487|<br>29550|<br>30489|<br>30908|<br>31086|
|70-74|5953|7571|15433|<br>21947|<br>24870|<br>26091|<br>26481|<br>26608|
|75s|7038|9017|15918|<br>29958|<br>39004|<br>41084|<br>41864|<br>42174|
|TOTAL|330048|<br>409758|<br>514602|<br>5651C4|<br>581029|<br>585922|<br>588378|<br>589502|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|36599|<br>37132|<br>37399|<br>37118|<br>36978|<br>36934|<br>36932|<br>36936|
|5-9|33607|<br>38090|<br>37605|<br>37027|<br>36909|<br>36913|<br>36929|<br>36934|
|10-14|32380|<br>37674|<br>37103|<br>36788|<br>36853|<br>36915|<br>36935|<br>36935|
|15-10|31300|36310|<br>36124|<br>36638|<br>36880|<br>36944|<br>36941|<br>36933|
|20-24|31110|33548|<br>35918|<br>36796|<br>36981|<br>36968|<br>36933|<br>36923|
|25-29|28438|<br>32357|<br>36932|<br>37223|<br>37070|<br>36945|<br>36910|<br>36911|
|30-34|25124|<br>31269|<br>37909|<br>37426|<br>36965|<br>36867|<br>36881|<br>36900|
|35-39|21180|<br>30989|<br>37424|<br>36861|<br>36697|<br>36789|<br>36865|<br>36889|
|40-44|17217|<br>23182|<br>35936|<br>357B8|<br>36491|<br>367m|36857|<br>36860|
|45-49|14555|<br>24696|<br>32971|<br>35415|<br>36530|<br>36774|<br>36793|<br>36769|
|50-54|13086|<br>20565|<br>31414|<br>36115|<br>36720|<br>36665|<br>36591|<br>36572|
|55-59|12445|<br>16391|<br>29793|<br>36543|<br>36493|<br>36194|<br>36176|<br>36214|
|60-64|11242|<br>13424|<br>28671|<br>35199|<br>35202|<br>35275|<br>35486|<br>35598|
|65-69|9316|11441|<br>24740|<br>32254|<br>32821|<br>33816|<br>34262|<br>34400|
|70-74|7581|9872|19608|<br>27032|<br>29952|<br>31402|<br>31884|<br>31986|
|75+|11423|<br>14656|<br>25372|<br>46864|<br>60655|<br>64380|<br>66133|<br>66762|
|TOTAL|336603|<br>416596|<br>524018|<br>581084|<br>600197|<br>606551|<br>60950|9<br>610524|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||21.5|16.5|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.6|7.5|10.0|11.8|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.3|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRO4TH<br>RATE||1.43|.92|.39|.12|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|2.650|2.170|2.084|2.063|2.061|2.060|2.060|
|etO)- BOTH|SEXES|71.21|73.81|76.16|78.03|78.60|78.99|79.09|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|38.1|22.8|13.7|7.9|7.1|6.5|6.4|
18

|LATIN AMERI<br>.........<br>..........|CA AND THE<br>.....|CARIBBEAN<br>..<br>...<br>..<br>..............|Popula<br>..............................................|tion<br>projectio<br>.....................................|n<br>(thousand|s)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|201S|2020|2025|2030|
|.................|.........................|.................|.................................|...............................................|............||||||
|TOTAL M+F|398591|44102P|483988|524799|562.i3|599298|635687|670841|703166|731896|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|27485|28608|29194|28534|27547|27543|28271|28632|28369|27920|
|5-9|24921|27039|28232|28883|28299|27343|27366|28118|28503|28265|
|10-14|23466|24744|26872|28081|28758|28190|27251|27288|28051|28449|
|15-19|21467|23259|24547|26685|27916|28608|28059|27139|27191|27969|
|20-24|19486|21126|22932|24239|26402|27659|28377|27862|26976|27059|
|25-29|16327|19079|20737|22559|23903|26092|27380|28133|27660|26819|
|30-34|13717|15967|18721|20393|22244|23614|25823|27139|27923|27490|
|35-39|11049|13401|15650|18402|20095|21960|23347|25569|26907|27718|
|40-44|9075|10760|13097|15338|18086|19784|21653|-<br>23051|25278|26635|
|45-49|7691|8781|10447|12754|14976|17694|19385|21247|22649|24870|
|50-54|6486|7347|8418|10e44|12296|14468|17128|18797|20639|22036|
|55-59|5513|6059|6889|7919|9477|11631|13719|*6281|17908|19706|
|60-64|4351|4976|5493|6271|7235|8686|10691|12649|15058|16611|
|65-69|3228|3723|4284|4754|5454|6317|7613|9406|11171|13352|
|70-74|2377|2532|2943|3411|3810|4395|<br>5118|6,I98|7696|9187|
|75.|2542|2734|2961|3379|3930|4499|5218|6118|7376|<br>9126|
|TOTAL|199183|220134|241417|261645|280426|298481|316400|333628|349355|363213|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|26724|27580|28106|27434|26449|26449|27151|27500|27249|26821|
|5-9|24361|26337|27260|27845|2r.39|26285|26312|27037|27411|27186|
|10-14|22996|24212|26200|27139|27748|27157|26219|26259|26998|27384|
|15-19|21063|22843|24068|26066|27027|27651|27077|<br>26155|26210|26963|
|20-24|19260|20832|22620|23856|25881|26869|27518|26972|26077|26159|
|25-29|16242|18995|20574|22371|23639|25691|26708|27386|26872|26010|
|30-34|13737|16010|18761|20348|22170|23460|25531|26572|27273|26789|
|35-39|11102|13537|15807|18554|20159|21994|3299|25382|26443|27165|
|40-44|9174|10927|13350|15612|18359|19970|21812|23126|25217|26295|
|45-49|7856|9003|10740|13143|15395|<br>18127|19738|<br>21581|22902|24996|
|50-54|6731|7657|8791|10506|12878|15106|17810|19417|21256|22582|
|55-59|**5806**|6486|7396|8510|10190|12513|14702|173fl|18960|20789|
|60-64|4712|5479|- 6141|7024|8108|9732|11978|14106|16701|18279|
|65-69|3613|4277|4998|5628|6467|7492|9023|11145|13172|15653|
|70-74|2777|3052|3639|4281|4853|5608|6535|7913|9827|11680|
|75|3255|3666|4120|4837|5745|6713|7876|9299|11243|13933|
|TOTAL|199408|220894|242570|263154|282307|300817|319288|337213|353811|368683|
|BIRTH RATE||28.6|26.2|23.3|20.6|19.3|18.5|17.7|16.6|15.6|
|DEATH RATE||7.4|6.8|6.3|6.1|6.3|6.5|6.8|7.1|7.6|
|RATE OFNA|T. INC.|2.12|1.94|1.69|1.45|1.30|1.21|1.09|.95|.80|
|NETMIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 9|-. 8|-. 7|-. 5|-. 4|-.3|-. 2|-. 1|.0|
|<br>GROWTH<br>RAT|<br>E|<br>2.02|<br>1.86|1.62|<br>1.40|1.26|1.18|1.08|.94|.80|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.568|3.150|2.776|2.457|L.293|2.230|2.187|2.145|2.113|
|NRR||1.589|1.426|1.275|1.142|1.070|1.045|1.029|1.013|1.003|
|e(O)**-** BOT|H SEXES|66.56|68.00|69.30|70.47|71.08|71.70|72.34|73.00|73.68|
|**e(10)- BO**|**TH**SEXES|61.46|62.14|62.73|63.28|63.70|64.14|64.59|65.06|65.54|
|IHR-<br>BOTH|SEXES|55.8|48.0|40.2|33.3|30.8|28.3|25.9|23.4|21.0|
|q(5)<br>**-**BOT|HSEXES|0692|0584|0481|0392|0362|-0332|0303|0273|0243|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>72.7|.<br>68.0|.<br>64.0|.<br>58.7|.<br>53.6|.<br>49.3|<br>47.2|.<br> <br>47.1|.<br>47.7|.<br> <br>48.5|
19 LATIN AMEr.CA AND THE CARIBBEAN Poputatlon projection **(thousards)**

# Sumiury for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~|~~~~~~|~~~~~~~~<br>_.............................|~~~~**..**<br>......................... .. .................|||....................|||
|TOTALM+F|398591|524799|703166|814391|853076|864277|869430|871444|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|27485|28534|28369|28098|28005|27999|28008|<br>28016|
|5-9|24921|28883|28503|27996|27907|27944|27975|<br>27986|
|10-14|23466|28081|28051|27774|27825|27916|27959|<br>27967|
|15-19|21467|26685|27191|27587|27798|27898|<br>27931|<br>27932|
|20-24|19486|24239|26976|27640|27811|27858|<br>27872|<br>27872|
|25-29|16327|22559|27660|27946|27827|27T7|.<br>27789|<br>27804|
|30-34|13717|20393|27923|28034|27687|27640|27701|<br>27738|
|35-39|11049|18402|26907|27462|27392|27493|27613|<br>27664|
|40-44|9075|15338|25278|26454|27097|27367|27504|<br>27547|
|45-49|7691|12754|22649|25992|26945|27194|27288|<br>27315|
|50-54|6486|10044|20639|26165|26822|26821|26831|<br>26865|
|55-59|5513|7919|17908|25494|26087|25923|25966|<br>26050|
|60-64|4351|6271|15058|23091|24178|24336|24547|<br>24691|
|65-69|3228|4754|11171|19565|21203|22006|22386|<br>22546|
|70-74|2377|3411|7696|14795|17801|18800|19170|<br>19294|
|75+|2542|3379|7376|18129|27255|29465|30235|<br>30537|
|TOTAL|199183|261645|349355|402222|419641|<br>424434|426774|<br>427825|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|26724|27434|27249|27003|26889|26851|26849|<br>26851|
|5-9|24361|27845|27411|26938|26835|26833|26846|<br>26850|
|10-14|22996|27139|26998|26746|26786|26834|26851|<br>26851|
|15-19|21063|26066|26210|26602|262|26856|26856|<br>26850|
|20-24|19260|23856|26077|26715|26880|26878|26851|<br>26842|
|25-29|16242|22371|26872|<br>27085|26961|26862|<br>26833|<br>26832|
|30-34|13737|20348|27273|27245|26885|26800|<br>26809|<br>26824|
|35-39|11102|18554|26443|26774|26669|26733|26796|<br>26816|
|40-44|9174|15612|25217|25904|26479|26716|26790|<br>26796|
|45-49|7856|13143|22902|<br>25630|26498|26719|26746|<br>26729|
|50-54|6731|10506|21256|26166|26681|26649|26598|<br>26583|
|55-59|5806|a510|<br>18960|26133|26506|26296|26287|<br>26319|
|60-64|4712|7024|16701|24649|25477|25593|25769|<br>25866|
|65-69|3613|562B|13172|22329|<br>23618|24472|24866|<br>24991|
|70-74|2m|4281|9827|18389|21477|22682|23126|<br>23232|
|75+|3255|4837|11243|27861|41991|46069|47783|<br>48386|
|TOTAL|199408|263154|<br>353811|412169|433435|<br>43984|442656|443619|
|BIRTH RATE||25.9|18.4|14.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||6.8|6.6|8.8|11.3|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 8|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RAT|E|1.83|1.17|.59|.19|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.131|2.256|2.091|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(0)<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|68.04|71.79|75.17|77.68|78.42|78.93|79.06|
|**IMR**<br>**-** BOTH S|EXES|48.1|28.3|16.1|8.4|7.3|6.6|6.5|
20

|NORTHERN<br>AMERICA<br>.....<br>......<br>.........................||Poput<br>........................................|ation projecti<br>...........|on (thousan|ds)|.....<br>.......|.<br>........................|..|......<br>.......**..**...........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROIP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|2025|2030|
|.......<br>...........<br>.....|................|.........|..<br>...<br>..<br>.............|....|....<br>......<br>..|...<br>............|.......|.......||
|TOTALM+F<br>268059|280043|<br>291411|301554|310522|318731|326285|<br>332488|<br>336355|<br>337505|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10353|10798|<br>1Of08|10184|10101|10276|10539|<br>10675|<br>10650|<br>10584|
|5-9<br>9693|10492|<br>10932|10741|10292|10188|10341|<br>10580|<br>10690|<br>10638|
|10-14<br>9859|9795|10590|11029|10819|10354|10234|<br>10371|<br>10591|<br>10681|
|15-19<br>10660|9952|9887|10681|11101|10875|10395|<br>10259|<br>10376|<br>10576|
|20-24<br>12086|10830|<br>10122|10059|10818|11207|10952|<br>10443|<br>10270|<br>10350|
|25-29<br>12301|12306|<br>11053|10351|10245|10962|11311|<br>11017|<br>10460|<br>10240|
|30-34<br>11350|12480|<br>12485|11242|10506|10368|11048|<br>11361|<br>11025|<br>10428|
|35-39<br>9891|11458|<br>12585|12598|11336|10579|10416|<br>11068|<br>11349|<br>10983|
|40-44<br>778|9923|11485|'2613|12613|11345|10576|*<br>10398|<br>11025|<br>11284|
|45-49<br>6410|7737|9857|11412|12525|12519|11257|<br>10489|<br>10302|<br>10913|
|50-54<br>5972|6275|7585|9672|11202|12293|12287|<br>11050|<br>10296|<br>10111|
|55-59<br>6030|5720|6031|7306|9328|10806|11863|<br>11863|<br>10674|<br>9950|
|60-64<br>5701|5597|5336|5646|6856|8760|10157|<br>11160|<br>11170|<br>10060|
|65-69<br>4704|5049|4989|4781|5077|6173|7897|<br>9168|<br>10087|<br>10110|
|70-74<br>3576|3860|4180|4160|4006|4261|5191|<br>6652|7738|<br>8529|
|75+<br>4496|4753|5152|5639|5909|5949|6177|<br>7006|<br>8543|10166|
|TOTAL<br>130865|137026|<br>142879|<br>148113|<br>152736|156915|160640|<br>163562|<br>165247|<br>165603|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9875|10.89|10105|9698|9617|9786|10038|<br>10171|<br>10149|<br>10088|
|5-9<br>9246|10023|<br>10432|10245|9813|9710|9858|<br>10088|<br>10194|<br>10146|
|10-14<br>9384|9355|10128|10535|10329|9881|9762|<br>9894|10105|<br>10192|
|15-19<br>10238|9507|9474|10244|10629|10405|9939|9803|9914|10103|
|20-24<br>11850|10467|<br>9730|9692|10421|10771|10514|<br>10017|<br>9841|9911|
|25-29<br>12196|12118|10728|9986|9900|10587|10899|<br>10605|<br>10060|<br>9837|
|30-34<br>11387|12396|<br>12313|10921|10143|10026|10683|<br>10966|<br>10635|<br>10055|
|35-39<br>10078|11512|<br>12518|12434|11020|10222|10085|<br>10723|<br>10981|<br>10626|
|40-44<br>8043|10131|<br>11564|12569|12474|11051|10244|<br>10097|<br>10720|<br>10964|
|45-49<br>6699|8040|10123|11553|12552|12453|11031|<br>10222|<br>10069|<br>10684|
|50-54<br>6354|6651|7987|10059|11482|12473|12375|<br>10962|<br>10158|<br>10005|
|55-59<br>6639|6254|6556|7881|9933|11340|12321|<br>12227|<br>10834|<br>10041|
|60-64<br>6529|6450|.6092|6399|7703|9712|11092|<br>12057|<br>11971|<br>10611|
|65-69<br>5703|6186|6135|5813|6122|7374|9304|<br>10634|<br>11568|<br>11494|
|70-74<br>480|5141|5609|5591|5321|5610|6766|8547|9781|10654|
|75+<br>8168<br> <br>|8498<br>|9039<br> <br>|9819<br> <br>|10327<br> <br>|10416<br>|n1'03<br>|11914<br> <br>|<br>14129<br> <br>|<br>16491<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>137195|143017|<br>148531|<br>153442|<br>157786|161816|165644|<br>168926|<br>171108|<br>171901|
|BIRTH RATE|15.4|14.5|13.4|12.9|12.8|12.8|12.7|12.5|12.4|
|DEATH RATE|9.0|8.7|8.6|8.7|8.9|9.1|9.6|10.5|11.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.64|.58|.48|.42|.39|.37|.31|.20|.07|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|2.3|2.2|2.0|1.6|1.3|1.0|.7|.3|.0|
|GRCWTH<br>RATE|.87|.80|.68|.59|.52|.47|.38|.23|.07|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.867|1.864|1.863|1.897|1.930|1.962|1.994|2.025|2.055|
|HRR|.898|.898|.898|.915|.932|.948|.963|.979|.994|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|75.70|76.38|76.95|77.40|77.54|77.68|77.82|77.97|78.13|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|66.60|67.22|67.71|68.10|68.23|68.36|68.50|68.63|68.77|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|10.2|9.4|8.6|7.9|7.8|7.7|7.6|7.4|7.3|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.0114|.0104|.0095|.0087|.0086|.0084|.0083|.0081|.0080|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.4|<br>50.7|<br> <br>50.6|<br>48.3|<br> <br>45.9|<br>45.7|<br>48.7|<br> <br>53.4|<br> <br>58.6|<br>62.5|
21

# NORTHERN AMERICA

PopuLation **projecticn** (thousands) Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRWJP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**TOTALH+f**|268059|301554|336355|331798|328150|328196|328457|328582|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|10353|10184|10650|<br>10598|10569|10565|10567|10569|
|5-9|9693|10741|10690|10563|<br>10543|<br>10551|10556|10558|
|10-14|9859|11029|10591|10511|10527|10545|10550|10551|
|15-19|10660|10681|10376|10496|10526|10539|10539|10538|
|20-24|12086|10059|10270|10526|10528|10522|10517|10516|
|25-29|12301|10351|10460|10565|10518|10492|10490|10492|
|30-34|11350|11242|11025|10587|10471|10454|10463|10469|
|35-39|9891|12598|11349|10461|10396|10416|10436|10442|
|40-44|7784|12613|11025|10208|10347|10381|10397|<br>10398|
|45-49|6410|11412|10302|10033|10310|10318|10315|10312|
|50-54|5972|9672|10296|10070|10206|10169|10148|<br>10148|
|55-59|6030|7306|10674|10305|9944|9848|9838|9849|
|60-64|5701|5646|11170|10058|9338|9296|9324|9344|
|65-69|4704|4781|10087|8922|8347|8483|8523|8539|
|70-74|3576|4160|7738|7151|7069|7291|7311|<br>7314|
|75+|4496|5639|8543|11829|11749|11619|11629|<br>11637|
|TOTAL|130865|148113|165247|162882|161388|161488|161604|<br>161676|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|9875|9698|10149|10115|10089|10083|1008|4<br>10085|
|5-9|9246|10245|10194|10089|<br>10075|10079|10083|<br>10084|
|10-14|9384|10535|10105|10042|10068|10081|10084|<br>10084|
|15-19|10238|10244|9914|10036|10078|10087|10085|<br>10083|
|20-24|11850|9692|9841|10080|10100|10090|10083|<br>10081|
|25-29|12196|9986|10060|10137|10109|10083|<br>10077|<br>10078|
|30-34|11387|10921|10635|10180|10080|10067|10072|<br>10076|
|35-39|10078|12434|10981|10086|<br>10028|10055|<br>10070|<br>10073|
|40-44|8043|12569|10720|9864|10012|10056|10066|<br>10065|
|45-49|6699|11553|10069|9785|10032|10055|10047|<br>10040|
|50-54|6354|10059|10158|9949|10039|10016|<br>9993|9989|
|55-59|6639|7881|10834|10410|9987|9898|9889|9896|
|60-64|6529|6399|11971|10550|9725|9683|9716|9733|
|65-69|5703|5813|11568|<br>9925|9203|9344|9397|9409|
|70-74|4804|5591|9781|8643|8475|8720|8757|8755|
|75+|8168|9819|14129|19002|18664|18311|18350|<br>18376|
|TOTAL|137195|153442|171108|168915|166762|166708|<br>166854|<br>166905|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||14.4|12.8|12.4|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||8.8|9.4|12.9|13.0|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|2.2|1.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.78|.44|-. 05|-. 04|.00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|1.873|1.962|2.064|2.063|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|**e(O)-** BOTH|SEXES|76.36|77.69|78.43|78.93|79.06|79.16|79.18|
|<br>**IMR-** BOTH S|EXES|9.4|7.7|7.1|6.6|6.5|6.3|6.3|
22 ASIA Population projection (thousands)

|...........<br>....<br>AGE CROP|...............<br>198S|,,...,,,....<br>1990|..,.,.............,...,.,............<br>1995|2000|........<br>2005|..........<br>2010|...........................<br>2015|..........<br>2020|2025|,,,,..,<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F|2822987|30W790|3385458|3664203|3933802|4189523|4434170|4673077|4901249|<br>5110807|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|174385|<br>192891|201248|202267|202423|201505|202375|206289|208612|<br>208541|
|5-9|166428|<br>170835|<br>189778|<br>198673|200241|200512|199753|<br>200788|204852|<br>207338|
|10-14|170767|<br>165329|<br>169837|<br>188861|197871|199477|<br>199792|199090|<br>200183|<br>204299|
|15-19|162355|<br>169526|16419|4<br>168755|l87807|196837|<br>198499|<br>198874|198248|<br>199417|
|20-24|134751|<br>160619|167832|<br>162591|167187|186213|195285|<br>197042|197522|<br>197023|
|25-29|114007|132999|158740|165965|160815|165422|184437|193574|195455|<br>196069|
|30-34|104780|112431|131325|156923|164172|159092|163722|182735|191945|<br>193957|
|35-39|84492|103180|110791|129554|155000|162246|157253|161914|180926|<br>190217|
|40-4|70075|82814|101316|108852|127443|152657|159902|155026|159729|<br>178724|
|45-49|63631|68086|80666|98863|106278|124581|149449|156684|15197r|<br>156731|
|50-54|56955|60977|65391|77669|95373|102588|<br>120447|144765|1s19(|'512|
|55-59|46731|53396|57304|61584|73357|90290|97210|<br>114372|<br>137802|<br>4908|
|60-64|**35666**|42348|<br>48550|52230|56268|67279|83056|89545|<br>105642|<br>127688|
|65-69|27310|30654|36580|42087|1.5404|49090|58979|<br>73090|**78956**|<br>93485|
|70-74|17256|21520|24372|29239|33m79|36598|39755|<br>48062|59857|<br>64845|
|75+|16237|19208|23660|27917|33531|39644|44827|49875|58694|<br>71985|
|TOTAL|1445826|1586813|1731583|1872030|2006949|2134031|2254742|2371725|<br>2482365|<br>2582739|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|165008|18438|192515|193528|193727|192907|193811|<br>197633|<br>199930|<br>199926|
|5-9|157183|<br>161331|181278|189960|191583|191913|<br>191275|<br>192370|196371|<br>198859|
|10-14|160061|<br>156083|160361|180421|189249|190915|<br>191294|<br>190721|<br>191885|<br>195952|
|15-19|150879|<br>158903|155040|159406|179538|188399|<br>190127|<br>190575|<br>190088|<br>191341|
|20-24|129830|149347|<br>157439|153688|158136|178277|187202|189036|18959,|189l1W|
|25-29|o1093|128153|147655|155804|152166|156657|<br>176819|<br>185835|187809|<br>188525|
|30-34|loo15|107377|<br>126485|145961|154163|150601|155145|<br>175333|<br>184453|<br>186586|
|35-39|79242|98379|105747|124782|144214|152422|148954|153565|<br>173785|<br>183026|
|40-44|65268|77699|96658|104001|122929|142254|150477|<br>147131|151826|<br>172076|
|45-49|58845|63643|75946|94651|101945|120686|139865|148109|144926|<br>149725|
|50-54|52749|56864|61630|73730|92075|99277|117755|136725|144996|<br>142037|
|55-59|43837|50230|54281|58977|70782|88607|<br>95684|<br>113789|<br>132456|<br>140757|
|60-64|35486|40711|<br>46820|50748|55326|66689|83766|<br>90667|108226|<br>126439|
|65-69|28667|31555|36391|42042|45758|50125|60797|76740|83355|<br>100036|
|70-74|19548|23583|26247|30457|35403|38764|42758|52320|66499|<br>72609|
|75+|21559|24680|29382|34018|39859|46998|53698|60801|72679|<br>90922|
|TOTAL|1377160|1512977|1653874|1792173|1926853|2055492|2179428|2301351|2418884|<br>2528068|
|BIRTH RATE||27.7|26.1|23.9|22.0|20.4|19.2|18.5|17.7|16.9|
|DEATH RATE||8.9|8.4|8.0|7.7|7.7|7.8|7.9|8.1|8.5|
|RATE OF HA|T. INC.|1.88|i.77|1.59|1.43|1.26|1.14|1.05|.95|.84|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-*.1|-.|-|.1|-.0|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|
|GROJTH RAT|E|1.87|1.76|1.58|1.42|1.26|1.14|1.05|.95|.84|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.466|3.184|2.924|2.755|2.606|2.469|2.385|2.318|2.265|
|NRR||1.477|1.370|1.276|1.231|1.181|1.125|1.092|1.068|1.051|
|e(0)- BOT|H SEXES|63.87|65.30|66.62|67.84|68.49|69.18|69.92|70.71|71.54|
|e(IO) - BO|TH SEXES|59.69|60.30|60.83|61.34|61.80|62.30|62.82|63.38|63.96|
|IMR - BOTH|SEXES|71.1|61.5|52.9|45.3|42.3|38.8|35.3|31.8|28.5|
|q(5) - BOT|H SEXES|.0939|.0799|.0676|.0567|.0530|.0485|.0440|.0395|.0352|
|<br>DEP.RATIO|<br>66.2|61.6|60.2|59.0|55.8|52.3|50.1|<br>49.5|49.5|<br>50.2|
23 ASIA Population projection (thousunds)

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|..<br>...<br>....<br>AGt-<br>GROUP|...<br>....<br>.......<br>1985|..........<br> <br>2000|...............................<br>2025|.....<br> <br>2050|2075|...........<br>2100|....................<br>2125|.. . ................................<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>.....<br>.....|.............<br>..............|..........................||.|....<br>........|..<br>........<br>....|.........<br>.|...<br>......<br>.|
|TOTAL N+F|2822987|<br>3664203|<br>4901249|<br>5728310|<br>6139758|<br>6288284|<br>6344356|<br>6366618|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|174385|<br>202267|<br>208612|<br>205069|<br>204610|<br>204793|<br>204937|<br>204995|
|5-9|166428|<br>198673|<br>204852|<br>203582|<br>204167|<br>204578|<br>204735|<br>204771|
|10-14|170767|<br>188861|<br>200183|<br>20314|204197|<br>204495|<br>204584|<br>204596|
|15-19|162705|<br>168755|<br>198248|<br>204706|<br>204192|<br>204220|<br>204273|<br>204313|
|20-24|134751|<br>162591|<br>197522|<br>205645|<br>203571|<br>203575|<br>203746|<br>203881|
|25-29|114007|<br>165965|<br>195455|<br>204406|<br>202767|<br>202761|<br>203220|<br>203426|
|30-34|104780|<br>156923|<br>191945|<br>200622|<br>201017|<br>202072|<br>202756|<br>202980|
|35-39|84492|<br>129554|<br>180926|<br>194977|<br>199956|<br>201579|<br>202221|<br>202393|
|40-44|70075|<br>10852|159729|<br>191683|<br>200573|<br>200801|<br>201263|<br>201422|
|45-49|63631|<br>98863|<br>151978|<br>188977|<br>199879|<br>198780|<br>199314|<br>199621|
|50-54|56955|<br>77669|<br>151965|<br>183443|<br>195452|<br>195075|<br>195757|<br>196393|
|55-59|46731|<br>61584|<br>137802|<br>173670|<br>185769|<br>187733|<br>189651|<br>190569|
|60-64|35666|<br>52230|<br>105642|<br>153567|<br>170529|<br>177018|<br>179722|<br>180677|
|65-69|27310|<br>42087|<br>78956|<br>121807|<br>152290|<br>162094|<br>163921|<br>164798|
|70-74|17256|<br>29239|<br>59857|<br>97884|<br>127994|<br>138552|<br>139727|<br>140702|
|75+|16237|<br>27917|<br>58694|<br>133459|<br>184267|<br>209601|<br>218644|<br>222268|
|TOTAL|1445826|<br>1872030|<br>2482365|<br>2866644|<br>3041232|<br>309m6|3118470|<br>3127805|
|FEMALFS|||||||||
|0-4|165008|<br>193528|<br>199930|<br>196858|<br>196331|<br>196322|<br>196382|<br>196385|
|5-9|157183|<br>189960|<br>196371|<br>195617|<br>196192|<br>196365|<br>196398|<br>196372|
|10-14|160061|<br>180421|<br>191885|<br>195273|<br>196429|<br>196475|<br>196404|<br>196353|
|15-19|150879|<br>159406|<br>190088|<br>196928|<br>196729|<br>196492|<br>196342|<br>196314|
|20-24|129830|<br>153688|<br>189599|<br>198143|<br>196604|<br>196306|<br>196218|<br>196272|
|25-29|108993|<br>155804|<br>187809|<br>197262|<br>196245|<br>196000|<br>196157|<br>196246|
|30-34|100005|<br>145961|<br>184453|<br>193816|<br>194902|<br>195802|<br>196151|<br>196220|
|35-39|79242|<br>124782|<br>173785|<br>188555|<br>194269|<br>195860|<br>196147|<br>196128|
|40-44|65268|<br>104001|<br>151826|<br>185696|<br>195428|<br>195839|<br>195937|<br>195866|
|45-49|58845|<br>94651|<br>144926|<br>183804|<br>195732|<br>195065|<br>195237|<br>195272|
|50-54|52749|<br>73730|<br>144v96|<br>179979|<br>193230|<br>193458|<br>193897|<br>194249|
|55-59|43837|<br>58977|<br>132456|<br>173362|<br>187052|<br>189884|<br>191m|192427|
|60-6.|35486|<br>50748|<br>138226|<br>157987|<br>177327|<br>185329|<br>188365|<br>189124|
|65-69|28667|<br>42042|<br>63355|1297m7|<br>166428|<br>179003|<br>181618|<br>182444|
|70-74|19548|<br>30457|<br>66499|<br>111145|<br>150248|<br>165314|<br>167879|<br>169095|
|75.|21559|<br>34018|<br>72679|<br>177464|<br>265380|<br>317042|<br>340979|<br>350046|
|TOTAL|1377160|<br>1792173|<br>2418884|<br>2861666|<br>3098525|<br>3190557|<br>3225887|<br>3238813|
|BIRTH RAlE||25.8|19.4|15.4|13.6|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.4|7.9|9.2|10.8|12.1|12.4|12.6|
|NETNIGRAT|IcN<br>RATE|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.74|1.16|.62|.28|.10|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.170|2.496|2.171|2.072|2.064|2.060|2.059|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|65.34|69.31|73.43|76.80|77.93|78.75|78.95|
|<br>INR- BOTH|SEXES|61.8|38.7|21.7|10.4|8.2|6.8|6.6|
24 EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA Poputation projection (thousands)

|..........<br>.......<br>AGE**GRtUP**|..........<br>1985|....<br>.....<br>1990|.....<br>...................<br>1995|2000|_...<br> <br>2005|.....<br>2010|....................<br>2015|2020|2025|..<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|........<br>.............|.....|.............|............................|.......||...<br>.|.........................................|.|||
|TOTAL**N+F**|16500%|1781418|1914497|2037847|2147096|2244253|2335259|2422678|2503060|2570460|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|82504|94207|97780|95558|91295|88854|89668|91947|93102|92416|
|5-9|85911|81541|93407|97161|95105|90894|8.994|89337|91643|92828|
|10-14|98724|<br>85509|<br>81215|<br>93108|96908|94876|90692|88313|89171|91490|
|15-19|97554|98179|85076|80845|92753|96565|94564|90415|88064|88943|
|20-24|79834|96751|97438|84467|80314|92203|96036|94086|<br>89995|87692|
|25-29|-8501|79033|95894|96642|83820|79719|91590|95452|93565|89545|
|30-34|66753|67764|78276|95086|95908|83197|79147|91002|94895|93073|
|35-39|52602|#.5956|67002|77490|94252|95109|82519|78527|90362|94289|
|40-44|42392|51781|65016|66102|?6555|93192|94090|81660|m42|89542|
|45-49|39177|41421|50697|63749|64878|75207|91644|92594|80399|76589|
|50-54|35715|37810|40064|49147|61899|63030|73153|89256|90272|<br>78439|
|55-59|29713|33794|35857|38088|46840|59061|60190|69968|85515|86608|
|60-64|23123|27238|31078|33065|35224|43415|54826|55944|65170|79831|
|65-69|16806|20163|23872|27341|29184|31172|38536|48764|49849|58235|
|70-74|11627|13536|16339|<br>19461|<br>22386|23967|25691|31880|40454|41461|
|75'|10090|12980|15800|<br>19270|<br>23334|27552|30899|33f59|40193|49794|
|TOTAL|841019|907663|974811|1036580|1090654|1138015|1181738|1223103|<br>1260391|<br>1290775|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|78128|90696|94007|91761|87577|85242|86029|88220|89333|888|
|5-9|8028t|7373|90093|93562|91451|87311|85011|85826|88044|89186|
|10-14|?2354|79979|77131|89881|93395|91305|87187|84906|85736|<br>87969|
|15-19|92149|91933|79658|76867|89645|93177|91116|87029|847n3|<br>85625|
|20-24|79033|91509|91375|79224|<br>76507|89286|92849|90836|86801|84590|
|25-29|63742|78312|90793|90759|78752|76081|88861|92464|90515|86545|
|30-34|63618|65046|77597|90095|90166|78263|75641|88420|92068|90188|
|35-39|48860|62864|64338|76873|89385|89514|77732|75166|87942|9164|
|40-44|39062|48154|62033|63561|76069|88532|88730|77097|74603|87370|
|45-49|36176|38300|47302|_61016_|62604|75009|87395|87682|76251|73852|
|50-54|33585|35173|37316|46186|59671|61286|73538|85809|86216|75067|
|55-59|28489|32232|33839|35999|44683|57798|59449|71477|83576|84143|
|60-64|23853|26756|30375|31995|34173|42538|55119|56819|68513|80347|
|65-69|18559|21556|24304|27717|29343|31474|39339|51104|52855|64001|
|70-74|13927|15678|18339|20816|23902|25444|27458|34519|45006|46778|
|75*<br>|15257|18193|21185|24958|29119|33977|38069|42202|50439|6370|
|TOTAL|8090s6|873755|939685|1001267|<br>1056442|1106238|1153522|1199575|1242669|<br>1279684|
|**BIRTH**RATE||22.6|21.5|19.5|17.5|16.2|15.7|15.4|15.1|14.5|
|DEATI; RATE||7.1|7.0|6.9|7.0|7.3|7.7|8.1|8.5|9.2|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|1.54|1.45|1.26|1.05|.89|.80|.74|.65|.53|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.53|1.44|1.25|1.04|.89|.80|.74|.65|.53|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|2.662|2.474|2.307|2.205|2.150|2.1l7|2.104|2.098|2.094|
|NRR||1.221|1.138|1.070|1.035|1.015|1.002|.998|.999|1.000|
|e(0) - BOT|H SEXES|68.38|69.65|70.80|71.84|72.33|72.83|73.36|73.90|74.47|
|**e(lO)**<br>- BO|TH SEXES|61.83|62.44|63.05|63.67|64.06|64.47|64.89|65.33|65.79|
|**INR**- BOT|HSEXES|39.6|32.0|26.0|21.2|20.0|18..|17.4|16.0|14.7|
|q(5)-BOT|H SEXES|0508|0399|0315|0251|0236|0220|0204|0187|0171|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>57.8|.<br> <br>52.3|.<br>51.8|.<br>52.4|.<br>49.7|.<br>46.5|.<br>45.2|.<br>46.7|.<br>48.4|.<br> <br>50.9|
25

# EAST **AND** SOUTHEAST ASIA

# Population projection **(thousands)**

Su mry for 25 Year Periods

|**AGE**<br>GROUP|1985|2ir0|<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALF|11650096|<br>2037847|2503060|2718791|2793141|<br>2821530|2834915|<br>2840027|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|82504|95558|93102|91389|91112|91197|91267|<br>91292|
|5-9|85911|97161|91643|90603|90849|91103|91192|<br>91202|
|10-14|98724|<br>93108|89171|90132|90873|91111|91148|<br>91133|
|15-19|97554|80845|88064|<br>90582|91067|91058|9102u|<br>91009|
|20-24|79834|84467|89995|91606|91027|90801|90790|<br>90813|
|25-29|68501|96642|93565|91893|90579|90391|90530|<br>90612|
|30-34|66753|95086|<br>94895|90307|89679|90018|90326|<br>90428|
|35-39|52602|.749Z3|<br>90362|87517|88964|<br>89834|90139|<br>90193|
|40-44|42392|6;102|m42|85953|89086|89711|89791|<br>89782|
|45-49|39172|63.449|<br>80399|87067|89451|8V077|<br>88967|<br>88985|
|50-54|35715|4917|90272|<br>8897|88395|<br>87396|<br>87359|<br>87533|
|55-59|29713|38088|85515|87253|<br>84306|84094|<br>84612|<br>84959|
|60-64|23123|33065|65170|78306|77418|<br>79233|80270|<br>80623|
|65-69|16806|27341|<br>49849|<br>60959|69374|72584|73467|<br>73638|
|70-74|11627|19461|40454|53628|60232|62701|62896|<br>62945|
|75s|O190|19270|<br>40193|85177|94996|97352|<br>98910|<br>99720|
|TOTAL|841019|103658|01260391|1351343|<br>1377429|<br>1387661|<br>1392689|<br>1394867|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|78128|91761|89333|87716|87402|87418|87464|<br>87477|
|5-9|80287|93562|a8m".|87062|87260|87429|87478|<br>87476|
|10-14|92354|89881|85736|86675|87364|<br>87512|<br>87498|<br>87471|
|15-19|92149|76867|84m|87215|<br>87672|87577|87481|<br>8745"|
|20-24|79033|79224|<br>86801|88381|87826|87511|87417|<br>87424|
|25-29|65742|90759|90515|88853|87585|87315|<br>87357|<br>87409|
|30-34|63618|90095|92068|87490|86899|87150|87348|<br>87407|
|35-39|48860|76873|<br>87942|84967|86434|87197|87388|<br>87386|
|40-44|39062|<br>63561|74603|83692|86827|87396|<br>87362|<br>87285|
|45-49|36176|61016|76251|85193|87682|87305|<br>87085|<br>87021|
|50-54|33585|46186|86216|87965|87554|86583|86460|<br>86547|
|55-59|28489|35999|83576|87967|85156|85013|85486|<br>85753|
|60-64|23853|31995|68513|<br>81625|80906|82972|<br>A4061|<br>84358|
|65-69|18559|<br>27717|52855|65651|76399|80284|81356|<br>81498|
|70-74|13927|<br>20816|45006|60836|71525|75108|75585|<br>75648|
|75+|15257|24958|<br>50439|116159|<br>141222|150099|<br>155399|<br>157549|
|TOTAL|809076|1001267|1242669|1367448|<br>1415712|<br>1433869|<br>1442226|<br>1445160|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||21.1|15.9|13.8|13.0|12.8|12.7|121|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.0|7.8|10.5|12.0|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET NIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||**1.41**|.82|.33|.11|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|2.465|2.134|2.082|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOT<br>|H<br>SEXES|69.67|72.89|75.72|77.89|78.53|78.97|79.07|
|**IMR**<br>**-** BOTH S|EXES|32.5|18.6|12.1|7.8|7.0|6.5|6.4|
26 SCUTN ASIA Population proJectlin (thmBsanci)

|.... ....<br>*....<br>AGEGRWP|......<br>................<br> <br>1985|........<br>1990|1995|2000|........<br>2005|2010|.......<br>2015|....<br>....<br>2020|..<br>...<br>2025|....<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............................................|.........................................|............................................||||||||<br>|
|TOTAL M+F|1058212|1186390|1319460|1454021|1592466|1728385|l858233|1985106|2108300|2226760|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|82860|8116|91597|93992|97632|98442|97597|98475|99262|99867|
|5-9|72710|80448|85963|8978|92537|96242|97169|96457|97454|98364|
|10-14|65027|72065|79824|85391|89276|92048|95771|96733|96063|97097|
|15-19|58621|64377|71409|79159|84743|88643|91439|95187|96195|95580|
|20-24|49459|57720|63472|70471|7o183|8376|n7703|<br>90544|94338|95424|
|25-29|40767|48529|56740|62456|69404|77089|82699|8666|89569|93424|
|30-34|34105|39946|47652|55782|61455|68375|76037|81669|85682|88651|
|35-39|28715|33326|39111|4m|-|60401|67290|74931|80589|84656|
|40-44|25150|27897|32455|38137|.|<br>53556|<br>59166|<br>66018|<br>73631|79319|
|45-49|22258|24192|26905|31353|. AZ|44218|<br>52014|<br>57572|<br>64365|71930|
|50-54|19?36|21054|22948|25568|29839|35188|42305|49897|55369|62062|
|55-59|15405|17724|19463|21256|23725|27785|32873|39664|46946|52268|
|60-64|11409|13651|5770|17359|18997|21303|25061|297m|36092|42909|
|65-69|9775|9519|11452|13273|14651|16130|18198|21534|25727|31372|
|70-74|5022|7411|7265|87m|10213|11367|12617|14351|17116|20604|
|75+|5546|5544|7158|7795|9109|10758|12408|14163|16345|19491|
|TOTAL|546064|611518|679183|747277|817025|88S321|950347|1013639|1074744|1133018|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|7890|83573|87103|89567|93222|94055|3308|94210|95026|95664|
|5-9|69349|75327|81158|85116|U8031|9im|92750|92161|93210|94178|
|10-14|60939|68605|74642|80552|84605|87545|91313|92336|91798|92896|
|15-19|52891|60250|67927|73992|79944|84018|86990|90795|91875|91403|
|20-24|4673|52058|59400|6762|73133|79101|83212|86239|90106|91276|
|25-29|39072|U780|51143|5441|66070|72144|78138|82301|85403|89351|
|30-34|32893|38208|43887|50205|57452|65057|71138|77165|81389|84577|
|35-39|27528|32076|37343|42970|49230|56431|64012|70106|76172|80468|
|40-44|23041|26745|31242|36435|41989|48196|55348|62904|69013|75123|
|45-49|205t3|23034|25906|30321|35410|40892|47034|54125|61644|67766|
|50-54|17314|19634|22077|24886|29179|34158|39547|45601|52607|60071|
|55-59|13770|16233|18477|20Z38|23548|27704|32536|37796|43729|50617|
|60-64|10521|12487|J4801|16917|19146|21748|25712|30339|35415|41173|
|65-69|9293|9011|l0778|12854|14763|16837|19272|22950|27272|32063|
|70-74|4940|7237|7093|8554|10273|11931|<br>13761|<br>15930|19173|<br>23022|
|75+<br>|5491<br>|5615|729|8036|9447|11475|<br>13814|<br>16510|19724|<br>24093|
|TOTAL|512148|574872|640276|706743|775441|843065|907885|971467|1033556|1093741|
|BIRTH RATE||34.6|31.8|29.0|27.1|24.9|22.7|21.3|20.0|18.9|
|DEATH RATE||11.6|10.4|9.5|8.8|8.5|8.2|8.0|8.0|8.0|
|RATE OF NAT|.'|2.30|2.14|1.95|1.82|1.64|1.45|1.32|1.21|1.09|
|NETMIGRATI|ON':".E|-. 1|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>P,TF||2.29|2.13|1.94|1.82|1.64|1.45|1.32|1.20|1.09|
|TOTALFEf>'<br>i.|<br>1Y|4.699|4.211|3.726|3.381|3.056|2.767|2.596|2.470|2.376|
|SRR||1.841|1.699|1.545|1.433|1.310|1.207|1.149|1.104|1.073|
|e(C) - BOTH|SEXES|57.03|58.91|60.67|62.33|63.40|64.51|65.66|66.86|68.10|
|e(lO)<br>- BOT|H SEXES|56.38|57.13|57.66|58.A1|58.80|59.50|60.24|61.01|61.81|
|IHR<br>BOTH|SEXES|102.4|90.8|78.8|67.0|61.8|56.7|51.5|46.2|40.9|
|q(5)<br>* BOTH|SEXES|.1368|.1200|.1025|.0852|.0786|.0721|.0654|.0584|0516|
|<br>OEP.RATIO|79.6|76.0|71.8|<br>67.1|62.7|58.6|<br>54.8|<br>51.6|<br>49.5|.<br> <br>48.6|
27

# SUTH ASIA

# Pepulation projection (thousdo)

Sunmry for 25 Year Periods

|. .....................<br>AGE GROUP|.<br>1985|...<br>.....<br>..<br>.....<br>2000|<br>......<br>........<br>2025|...........<br>2050|.........................<br>2075|...............<br>2100|2125|..<br>. ........<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,,. .....<br>.................|................................|..........||....<br>......<br>.|..............|...............................||.|
|TOTALM4F|1058212|<br>1454021|<br>2108300|<br>2613592|<br>2882086|<br>2976635|<br>3013602|<br>3028917|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|2860|93992|<br>99262|<br>97589|97472|<br>97564|97632|<br>97660|
|5-9|72710|<br>89783|<br>97454|<br>97025|97333|<br>97469|97523|<br>97543|
|10-14|65027|85391|<br>96063|<br>97139|<br>97742|<br>97393|97428|<br>97451|
|15-19|58621|<br>79159|<br>961f9|98192|<br>97202|<br>97191|<br>97259|<br>p13|
|20-24|49459|70471|<br>94338|<br>98010|<br>96635|<br>96839|97005|<br>971iO|
|25-29|40767|62456|<br>89569|<br>96594|96277|<br>96487|<br>96782|<br>96894|
|30-34|34105|55782|<br>85682|<br>94879|95585|<br>96232|<br>96567|<br>96669|
|35-39|28715|<br>46723|<br>80589|<br>92885|<br>95346|<br>95987|<br>96268|<br>96363|
|40-44|25150|<br>38137|<br>73631|<br>92181|<br>95877|<br>95431|<br>95732|<br>95875|
|45-49|22258|<br>31353|<br>64365|<br>89262|<br>94848|<br>94167|<br>94746|<br>95008|
|50-54|19236|<br>25568|<br>55369|<br>82878|<br>91833|<br>92373|<br>93064|<br>93487|
|55-59|15405|<br>21256|<br>46946|<br>76101|<br>87164|<br>88930|<br>90191|<br>90700|
|60-64|11409|<br>17359|<br>36092|<br>66758|<br>80352|<br>83955|<br>85403|<br>85925|
|65-s|9775|13273|<br>257n7|<br>54425|<br>72134|<br>76897|<br>77671|<br>78271|
|70-74|5022|8779|17116|<br>39583|<br>59177|<br>65053|<br>65911|<br>66742|
|75'|5546|7795|<br>16345|<br>42854|<br>78236|<br>96328|<br>102628|<br>10. 150|
|TOTAL|546064|<br>747277|<br>1074744|<br>1316356|<br>1432832|<br>1468296|<br>1481808|<br>1488162|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|78090|<br>89567|<br>95026|<br>93720|<br>93582|<br>93571|<br>93586|<br>93576|
|5-9|69349|<br>85116|<br>93210|<br>93241|<br>93602|<br>93609|<br>93588|<br>93565|
|10-14|60939|<br>80552|<br>91798|<br>93345|<br>93739|<br>93633|<br>93574|<br>93552|
|15-19|52891|<br>73992|<br>91875|<br>94386|<br>93744|<br>93582|<br>93531|<br>93534|
|20-24|45673|<br>67062|<br>90106|<br>94311|<br>93441|<br>93462|<br>93476|<br>93522|
|25-29|39072|<br>58441|<br>85403|<br>93033|<br>93282|<br>93363|<br>93480|<br>93515|
|30-34|32893|<br>50205|<br>81389|<br>91393|<br>92743|<br>93351|<br>93491|<br>93496|
|35-39|27528|<br>42970|<br>76172|<br>89468|<br>92656|<br>93380|<br>93454|<br>93432|
|40-44|23841|<br>36435|<br>69013|<br>68849|<br>93384|<br>93199|<br>93284|<br>93287|
|45-49|20543|<br>30321|<br>61644|<br>86274|<br>92780|<br>92540|<br>92901|<br>92999|
|50-54|17314|<br>24886|<br>52607|<br>80587|<br>90604|<br>91713|<br>92279|<br>92531|
|55-59|13770|<br>20838|<br>43729|<br>75027|<br>87469|<br>90000|<br>91301|<br>91652|
|60-64|10521|<br>16917|<br>35415|<br>67531|<br>83118|<br>87872|<br>89603|<br>90008|
|65-69|9293|12854|<br>27272|<br>57049|<br>78205|<br>84775|<br>86121|<br>86706|
|70-74|4940|8554|<br>19173|<br>44878|<br>68598|<br>77300|<br>79190|<br>80237|
|75+|5491|8036|<br>19724|<br>54146|<br>108305|<br>142991|<br>158934|<br>165143|
|TOTAL|512148|<br>706743|<br>1033556|<br>1297236|<br>1449254|<br>1508339|<br>1531794<br>'F|<br>55|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||31.6|22.9|16.8|14.0|13.2|12.8||
|DEATH<br>RATE||10.4|8.3|8.3|10.1|11.9|12.4|12.5|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.12|1.49|.86|.39|.13|.05|.02|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|4.169|2.817|2.228|2.081|2.068|2.060|2.060|
|e(O)<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|59.00|64.72|70.89|75.71|77.36|78.54|78.84|
|IHR**-** BOTH S|EXES|90.5|56.7|30.4|12.7|9.3|7.1|6.7|
28

# **SCUTHIEST** ASIA

_Poputation_ projectlon _(thousanUd)_

|.<br>.<br>.....................................<br>AGE GROWP<br>1985<br>;OTAL... N'......<br>146.9----|<br>1990<br>.198.|<br>1995<br>---<br>S....----------|.<br>.<br>........<br>2000<br>-|..................<br>2005<br>1--1|..............<br> <br>2010<br>------<br>I----.......|2015<br>... I--|<br>2020<br>-------------------|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**TOTAL**<br>M.F<br>114679|131982|<br>**151501**|<br>172335|<br>194240|216884|240678|<br>265292|289889|313588|
|PALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9C21|<br>10568|11871|12717|<br>13496|<br>14208|15110|<br>15866|16248|<br>16258|
|5-9<br>7808|8845|10407|<br>11729|<br>12599|<br>13375|14090|<br>14994|15755|<br>16146|
|10-14<br>7016|7756|8798|10362|<br>11686|<br>12554|13330|<br>14045|<br>14949|<br>15712|
|15-19<br>6181|6971|7709|8751|10312|11630|12496|<br>13273|13988|<br>14894|
|20-24<br>5458|6148|6922|7653|8689|10235|11547|<br>12412|13190|<br>13907|
|25-29<br>4739|5437|6106|6867|7591|8614|10149|<br>11455|<br>12321|<br>13100|
|30-34<br>3922|4721|5397|6055|<br>6809|7521|<br>8538|<br> <br>10065|<br> <br> <br>11367|<br><br> <br>12233|
|35-39<br>3175|3898|4678|<br>5341|<br> <br>5993|<br>6736|<br>7444|<br>8457|<br> <br>9974|<br><br> <br>11272|
|40-44<br>2533|3136|3844|4613|5266|5909|6645|<br>7348|<br>83M6|<br>9863|
|45-49<br>2201|2474|3064|3762|4518|5156|5790|6517|7214|8212|
|50-54<br>2005|2113|2379|2954|3635|4371|4989|5611|6325|7011|
|55-59<br>1614|1878|1984|<br>2241|<br>2792|3444|4147|4740|5341|6032|
|60-64<br>1135|1459|<br>1703|1806|2048|2561|3169|3826|4379|4948|
|65-69<br>729|972|1255|1473|1570|1787|2246|2791|3380|3878|
|0 74<br>607|573|769|999|1179|<br>1264|1447|<br>1830|2287|2780|
|75+<br>601|<br>684|703|852|<br>1088|<br>1334|1520|<br>1753|<br>2156|2700|
|TOTAL<br>58743|67632|77589|88173|<br>992m7|0<br>110695|<br>122657|<br> <br> <br>134983|<br> <br>147230|<br>158946|
|**FEHALES**||||||||||
|0-4<br>8790|<br>10169|11404|12199|12928|13610|14475|15203|15571|15582|
|5-9<br>7547|8630|10027|11283|12101|12829|13514|14383|15117|15495|
|10-14<br>6768|7499|<br>8588|9989|11249|12065|12794|13480|14351|15087|
|15-19<br>5839|6720|<br>7455|8547|9949|11205|12022|12751|13440|14313|
|20-24<br>5125|5780|6663|7402|8496|<br>9890|11142|11961|<br>12693|13386|
|25-29<br>4179|5061|5719|6604|7344|8432|<br>9820|11070|11891|12628|
|30-34<br>3494|4123|5001|5661|6545|7280|<br> <br>8365|<br>9748|<br>10996|11821|
|35-39<br>2854|3440|4067|4940|5599|6477|7210|<br>8293|<br>9670|10918|
|40-44<br>2366|2800|3382|4006|4871|5526|6399|<br>7130|8210|9583|
|45-49<br>2127|2309|2738|3314|3931|4785|5435|6302|7031|8107|
|50-54<br>1851|2057|2237|2659|3225|<br>3833|4671|5315|6174|6899|
|55-59<br>1!8|1764|1965|2141|2552|<br>3105|3699|<br>4516|5151|5998|
|60-64<br>1112|<br>1468|.1644|1836|<br>2007|2403|2936|3509|4298|4919|
|65-69<br>815|<br>988|1309|1472|<br>1651|<br>1815|2186|2687|3229|3972|
|M0-74<br>682|<br>669|815|1087|1228|1389|1539|1871|2320|<br>2809|
|75.<br>811<br>|872<br>|<br>897|<br>1024|1293|1547|1815|2090|<br>2516|3124|
|TOTAL<br>55936|64350|73913|<br>84162|<br>94969|106189|118021|130309|142659|154642|
|BIRTH RATE|36.6|35.3|32.7|30.3|28.3|27.0|25.6|238|218|
|DEATH RATE|8.8|7.8|7.0|6.4|6.3|<br>6.2|<br>6.1|.<br>6.0|.<br>6.1|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|2.79|2.75|2.57|2.39|2.21|2.08|1.95|1.77|1.57|
|**NET**HIGRATION<br>RATE|.2|.1|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|<br>.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.81|2.76|2.58|2.39|2.21|2.08|1.95|1.77|157|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.107|4.762|4.364|4.002|3.670|3.413|<br>3178|<br>2944|.<br>2717|
|NRR|2.168|2.066|1.930|1.815|<br>1.680|<br>1.561|.<br>1.461|.<br>1.362|.<br>1.265|
|**e(0)-** BOTH SEXES|63.42|65.04|66.52|67.87|68.56|69.27|70.02|70.80|71.62|
|**e(10)**0<br>BOTH SEXES|59.98|60.45|60.97|61.52|61.98|62.46|62.97|63.50|64.06|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br> <br>|73.1|62.2|52.1|43.3|40.4|37.4|34.5|31.4|28.3|
|q(5)<br>BOTHSEXES|**.0i62**|.0793|.0653|.0536|.0501|.0465|.0428|.0390|0350|
|DEP. RATIO<br>80.6|78.9|<br>79.0|77.4|73.2|<br>68.0|64.2|<br>61.5|<br>59.3|.<br>56.8|
29 .... ........ ........

# SOUTHWEST ASIA

# Population projection (thousands)

Su,mry for 25 Year Periods

|......<br>............<br>AGEGROUP|..............<br>1985|........<br>2000|......................<br>2025|.........................<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|w..................<br> <br>2125|.............<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......<br>............|6.......|......<br>........|......<br>..|...........................||...<br>..<br>. ....|..........||
|TOTAL<br>19F|114679|<br>172335|<br>289889|<br>395927|<br>464531|<br>490119|<br>495840|<br>497673|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|9021|12717|<br>16248|<br>16091|<br>16027|<br>16031|<br>16038|<br>16043|
|5-9|7808|11729|<br>15755|<br>15953|<br>15985|<br>16006|<br>16020|<br>16025|
|10-14|7016|10362|<br>14949|<br>15876|<br>15963|<br>15991|<br>16008|<br>16012|
|15-19|6181|8751|13988|<br>15932|<br>15923|<br>15971|<br>15988|<br>15991|
|20-24|5458|7653|<br>13190|<br>16029|<br>15910|<br>15935|<br>15951|<br>15958|
|25-29|4739|<br>6867|<br>12321|<br>15919|<br>15911|<br>15883|<br>15908|<br>15920|
|30-34|3922|6055|11367|<br>15436|<br>15752|<br>15821|<br>15863|<br>15883|
|35-39|3175|5341|9974|14575|<br>15626|<br>15758|<br>15813|<br>15837|
|40-44|2533|4613|8356|13549|<br>15610|<br>15659|<br>15740|<br>15765|
|45-49|2201|3762|7214|12648|<br>15580|<br>15536|<br>15601|<br>15628|
|50-54|2005|2954|<br>6325|11594|<br>15224|<br>15307|<br>15334|<br>15374|
|55-59|1614|<br>2241|<br>5341|<br>10316|<br>14299|<br>14710|<br>14849|<br>14910|
|60-64|1135|1806|<br>4379|8503|12759|<br>13831|<br>14049|<br>14129|
|65-69|729|1473|<br>3380|6422|10781|<br>12613|<br>12783|<br>12889|
|70-74|607|999|2287|4673|8586|10797|<br>10921|<br>11014|
|75+|601|852|2156|5427|11035|<br>15921|<br>17106|<br>17398|
|TOTAL|58743|<br>a8173|147230|<br>198945|<br>230972|<br>241769|<br>243972|<br>244775|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|8790|<br>12199|<br>15571|<br>15422|<br>15346|<br>15332|<br>15332|<br>15332|
|5-9|7547|<br>11283|<br>15117|<br>15313|<br>15330|<br>15328|<br>15331|<br>15331|
|10-14|6768|<br>9989|<br>14351|<br>15253|<br>15325|<br>15330|<br>15332|<br>15331|
|15-19|5839|<br>8547|<br>13440|<br>15328|<br>15312|<br>15334|<br>15331|<br>15329|
|20-24|5125|7402|12693|<br>15451|<br>15337|<br>15333|<br>15326|<br>15326|
|25-29|4179|6604|11891|<br>15377|<br>15378|<br>15322|<br>15320|<br>15322|
|30-34|3494|5661|<br>10996|<br>14933|<br>15261|<br>15301|<br>15312|<br>15317|
|35-39|2854|<br>4940|<br>9670|<br>14120|<br>15179|<br>15283|<br>15305|<br>15310|
|40-44|2366|<br>.400|6<br>8210|<br>13155|<br>15216|<br>15245|<br>15291|<br>15294|
|45-49|2127|<br>3314|<br>7031|<br>12337|<br>1527G|<br>15223|<br>15251|<br>15252|
|50-54|1851|<br>2659|<br>6174|<br>11427|<br>15072|<br>15163|<br>15159|<br>15171|
|55-59|1578|<br>2141|<br>5151|<br>10368|<br>14427|<br>14871|<br>1498|8<br>15022|
|60-64|1112|<br>1836|<br>4298|<br>8831|<br>13303|<br>14485|<br>1470|0<br>14758|
|65-69|815|<br>1472|<br>3229|<br>7077|<br>11824|<br>13944|<br>14142|<br>14239|
|70-74|682|<br>1087|<br>2320|<br>5431|<br>10125|<br>12906|<br>1310|4<br>13211|
|75+|811|<br>1024|<br>2516|<br>7160|<br>15853|<br>23951|<br>26646|<br>27354|
|TOTAL|55936|<br>84162|<br>142659|<br>196982|<br>233559|<br>248349|<br>25186|7<br>252898|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||34.7|26.7|18.7|14.6|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.8|6.2|6.4|8.3|11.1|12.3|12.6|
|NETMIGRAT|IONRATE|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.J2|2.08|1.25|.64|.21|.05|01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|4.705|3.379|2.373|2.076|2.066|2.062|2.062|
|etO)- BOTH|SEXES|65.13|69.46|73.56|76.85|77.95|78.75|78.95|
|<br>IMR BOTH S|EXES|61.9|37.1|21.5|10.2|8.1|6.8|6.6|
30

|EUROPE<br>AND U<br>..<br>...............|.S.S.R.<br>...................|....................<br>........<br>...|Popula<br>...........|tfon projectf<br>.................................|on**(thousa**<br>.....................................|**nds)**<br>............|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|TOTAL M+F|770724|787184|800880|812998|823232|831404|838473|<br>843741|847874|<br>849785|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|29134|29171|27806|26930|27107|27371|27493|27358|27175|27186|
|5-9|29001|29029|29077|27731|26869|27049|27314|27440|27308|27130|
|10-14|29453|28935|28968|29023|27687|26827|27009|27277|27405|27277|
|15-19|30281|29333|28827|28870|28936|27609|26757|26943|27215|27348|
|20-24|32291|30061|29140|28650|28711|28784|27476|26637|26832|27112|
|25-29|31546|31977|29818|28922|28453|28523|28608|27324|26502|26708|
|30.34|29119|31205|31690|29592|28722|28261|28341|28438|27178|26375|
|35-39|2549t|28750|30863|31396|29359|28501|28049|28141|28253|27019|
|40-44|21593|25095|28334|30464|31046|29058|28217|27778|27884|28012|
|45-49|24572|21103|24580|27784|29922|30531|28611|27795|27374|27498|
|50-54|21333|23655|20431|23846|26985|29090|29732|27906|27128|26735|
|55-59|20563|20138|22393|19452|22753|25755|27803|28478|26785|<br>26063|
|60-64|15160|1s875|18499|20628|18036|21123|23924|25874|26577|25064|
|65-69|9724|13243|16418|16285|18213|16023|18798|21308|23103|23816|
|70-74|10158|7859|10786|13382|13372|14974|13275|15610|17716|1927|
|75.|12045|12862|11780|13491|16257|17670|19591|19430|21177|23684|
|TOTAL|371470|381190|389408|396446|402426|407150|410998|413737|415612|416299|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|28085|27829|26503|25651|25808|26071|26198|26076|25908|25924|
|5-9|27758|28015|27768|2645r|25613|23773|26039|26171|26054|25890|
|10-14|27962|27725|27985|27741|26432|25593|25756|26024|26159|26044|
|15-19|29004|27921|27687|27950|27711|26407|25571|25737|26009|26146|
|20-24|31065|28943|27866|27635|27903|27668|26371|25542|25713|25990|
|25-29|30506|30979|28872|27801|27574|27847|27619|26332|25511|25689|
|30-34|28443|30401|30889|28797|27735|27512|27790|27570|26292|25479|
|35-39|25222|28317|30284|30788|28715|27659|27440|2M4|27512|26245|
|40-44|21780|25070|28161|30135|30657|28603|27556|27342|27633|27430|
|45-49|25410|21571|24855|27934|29914|30451|28425|27391|27184|<br>27484|
|50-54|22745|24994|21270|24535|27592|29565|30121|28138|27125|26930|
|5559|24172|22172|24405|20831|24060|27065|29025|29607|27688|2670|
|60-64|20868|23175|-21341|23534|20168|23318|26242|28178|28794|26970|
|65-69|14432|19441|21653|20039|22151|19068|22079|24866|26752|27409|
|70-74|16873|12706|17230|19253|17938|19860|17205|<br>19969|22521|24299|
|75+|24929|26736|24703|27475|30835|31794|34038|33336|35408|38849|
|TOTAL|399254|405994|411472|416551|420806|424254|427474|430003|432262|433486|
|BIRTH RAT|E|14.9|13.9|13.2|13.1|13.1|13.0|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RAT|E|10.7|10.4|10.2|10.6|11.1|11.3|11.6|11.7|12.2|
|RATE OF M<br>|AT. INC.<br> <br>|.43|.35|.31|.25|.20|.17|.13|.10|.05|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|-.0|-.0|**-.0**|-.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.42|.34|.30|.25|.20|.17|.13|.10|.05|
|TOTALFERT|ILITY|1.960|1.887|1.861|1.905|1.948|1.985|2.016|2.043|2.066|
|**NRR**||'940|.893|.882|.913|.937|.955|.968|.982|.995|
|**e(0)-** BOT|H SEXES|72.79|73.63|74.37|75.02|75.30|75.59|75.90|76.22|76.55|
|e(10)**-** BO|TH SEXES|64.28|64.96|65.53|66.03|66.28|66.55|66.82|67.10|67.40|
|**IMR**- BOTH|SEXES|18.3|15.9|13.9|12.1|11.7|11.3|10.8|10.3|9.8|
|**q(5)-** BOT|H SEXES|.0214|.OlK|.0158|.0137|.0132|.0127|.0121|.0115|.0109|
|DEP. RATIO|<br>50.8|<br>50.3|51.1|<br>50.7|51.1|<br>50.3|51.4|53.7|<br>56.7|<br>59|
31 EUROPE **AND** U.S.S.R.

Population projection (thousands)

# Suamry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N.F<br>770724|812998|847874|842933|839312|842354|844574|<br>845556|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>29134|26930|27175|27211|27216|27225|27227|27229|
|5-9<br>29001|27M31|<br>27308|27213|27180|<br>27188|27196|27200|
|10-14<br>29453|29023|27405|27182|27137|27157|27174|27180|
|15-19<br>30281|28870|27215|<br>27117|<br>27078|27117|<br>27142|<br>27148|
|20-24<br>32291|28650|26832|26998|27012|27065|27091|27095|
|25-29<br>31546|28922|26502|26890|26984|27008|27028|<br>27033|
|30-34<br>29119|29592|27178|26956|26951|26938|26958|<br>26970|
|35-39<br>25498|31396|28253|26942|26854|26835|26869|<br>26891|
|40-44<br>21593|30464|27884|26612|26691|26685|26743|26773|
|45-49<br>24572|27784|27374|26016|26391|26446|26522|<br>26555|
|50-54<br>21333|23846|27128|25274|25904|260S2|<br>26107|<br>26136|
|55-59<br>20563|19452|<br>26785|25087|25217|25294|25327|<br>25360|
|60-64<br>15160|<br>20628|26577|24598|23905|23943|23988|<br>24039|
|65-69<br>9724|16285|23103|22038|21571|<br>21788|21866|21940|
|70-74<br>10158|<br>13382|<br>17716|18433|18109|18549|18689|<br>18774|
|75+<br>12045|13491|<br>21177|28567|28480|29172|29661|<br>29832|
|TOTAL<br>371470|396446|415612|413135|412681|414459|415589|<br>416157|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>28085|25651|25908|25980|25977|25968|25964|25963|
|5-9<br>27758|26455|26054|26004|25974|25961|25959|<br>25959|
|10-14<br>27962|27741|26159|25986|25957|25953|25957|<br>25958|
|15-19<br>29004|27950|26009|25947|25935|25949|25956|25957|
|20-24<br>31065|27635|25713|<br>25886|25929|25953|<br>25955|<br>25954|
|25-29<br>30506|27801|25511|25850|25955|25958|25951|<br>25948|
|30-34<br>28443|28797|26292|25988|25972|25949|25940|<br>25939|
|35-39<br>25222|307B8|27512|26064|25938|25919|25920|<br>25925|
|40-44<br>21780|30135|27633|25866|25868|25870|25892|25901|
|45-49<br>25410|27934|27184|25479|25736|<br>25801|25836|25842|
|50-54<br>22745|24535|27125|25104|<br>25558|25697|25719|<br>25719|
|55-59<br>24172|<br>20831|27688|25551|25429|25471|25478|<br>25479|
|60-64<br>20868|23534|28794|26140|25028|24996|25024|<br>25042|
|65-69<br>14432|<br>20039|26752|25161|<br>23928|24067|24140|24185|
|70-74<br>16873|<br>19253|<br>22521|22774|21846|22261|22422|<br>22488|
|75*<br>24929|27475|35408|46019|45600|46122|46872|47141|
|TOTAL<br>399254|416551|432262|429798|426631|427895|<br>428985|<br>429399|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|14.0|13.0|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|10.4|11.3|12.9|12.9|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.36|.17|-.02|-.02|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.909|1.978|2.070|2.065|2.064|2.064|2.064|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH<br>SEXES|73.61|75.61|77.25|78.49|78.83|79.06|79.12|
|**IMR-** BOTH<br>SEXES|16.1|11.3|8.9|7.3|6.8|6.4|6.3|
32

|OCEANIA||Poput|ation projecti|on (thousan|ds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....<br>......<br>........................................<br>**AGECROUP**<br>1985|.........<br>1990|1995|2000|.....................................<br>2005|..............................................<br>2010|......<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL**I+F**<br>24646|26740|28950|3041|32974|34734|36314|37643|38770|<br>39730|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1218|1298|1379|1416|1438|1452|1463|1460|<br>1442|<br>1446|
|5*9<br>1134|1237|1319|1396|1428|1445|1454|1459|<br>1455|<br>1438|
|10-14<br>1190|1151|1255|1332|1405|1434|1447|1451|<br>1456|<br>1453|
|15-19<br>1176|1204|1167|1266|1339|1408|1432|¶441|<br>1446|<br>1451|
|20-24<br>1107|1201|1231|1187|1279|1344|1405|1422|<br>1432|<br>1437|
|25-29<br>1030|1142|1238|1258|1205|1287|1341|1393|<br>1410|<br>1421|
|30-34<br>939|1060|1172|1259|1271|1211|1284|1329|<br>1380|<br>1399|
|35-39<br>890|958|1080|1186|1265|1271|1205|1271|<br>1315|<br>1367|
|4044<br>724|897|968|l084|1184|1258|1260|1191|<br>1256|<br>1300|
|45-49<br>625|722|893|961|1073|1169|1239|1239|<br>1171|<br>1235|
|50-54<br>549|610|707|873|939|1047|1140|1208|<br>1208|<br>1142|
|55-59<br>547|524|583|677|836|901|1005|1094|<br>1159|<br>1160|
|60-64<br>468|505|486|542|631|780|841|939|1023|<br>1085|
|65-69<br>359|413|447|432|482|564|698|755|844|<br>920|
|70-74<br>265|293|340|369|358|401|471|584|633|<br>709|
|75+<br>277|327|374|433|487|507|550|626|751|<br>853|
|**TOTAL**<br>12500|<br>13541|14637|15671|16621|17479|18237|<br>18861|<br>19379|<br>19814|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1141|1235|1314|1349|1370|1384|<br>1394|<br>1391|<br>1374|<br>1379|
|5-9<br>1054|1160|1257|1332|1362|1378|<br>1387|1391|<br>1388|<br>1372|
|10-14<br>1108|1071|1179|1271|1342|1369|<br>1381|1385|<br>1389|<br>1387|
|15-19<br>1095|1128|1092|1195|1282|1347|<br>1370|<br>1377|<br>1381|<br>1386|
|20-24<br>1019|1132|1167|1123|1215|1292|<br>1349|<br>1362|<br>1370|<br>1375|
|25-29<br>982|1064|1179|1202|1146|1228|<br>1294|1340|<br>1353|<br>1362|
|30-34<br>913|1015|1099|1204|1218|1155|<br>1228|<br>1284|<br>1330|<br>1345|
|35-39<br>860|932|1036|1115|1212|1221|1152|<br>1219|<br>1275|<br>1321|
|40-4<br>684|868|941|1041|1116|1209|1215|1143|<br>1209|<br>1265|
|45-49<br>586|683|866|938|1035|1109|<br>1199|<br>1203|<br>1133|<br>1198|
|50-54<br>516|579|676|855|927|1023|<br>1096|<br>1184|<br>1188|<br>1118|
|55-59<br>524|504|566|662|837|909|1004|<br>1076|<br>1162|<br>1166|
|60-64<br>477|504|486|546|641|810|881|975|1045|<br>1129|
|65-69<br>399|447|473|457|514|606|767|836|926|<br>995|
|70-74<br>326|355|399|424|412|463|549|695|761|<br>844|
|75+<br>463|522|583|657|722|751|812|921|1107|<br>1273|
|TOTAL<br>12146|<br>13199|14313|15370|16352|17255|<br>18077|<br>18782|<br>19392|<br>19915|
|BIRTH RATE|20.1|19.7|18.7|17.8|17.0|16.3|15.7|15.0|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|8.0|7.9|7.9|8.0|8.1|8.5|9.0|9.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.20|1.17|1.08|.99|.90|.82|.72|.59|.49|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|4.3|4.2|3.1|2.2|1.4|.7|.0|-.0|.0|
|**GROJTH**RATE|1.63|1.59|1.40|1.21|1.04|.89|.72|.59|.49|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.546|2.507|2.447|2.407|2.359|2.298|2.225|2.149|2.124|
|NRR|1.159|1.146|1.134|1.124|1.106|1.080|1.049|1.016|1.007|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.11|72.76|73.29|73.74|73.95|74.19|74.46|74.77|75.13|
|eClO)- BOTH SEXES|63.83|64.26|64.60|64.88|65.07|65.29|65.54|65.83|66.16|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|27.5|23.7|20.1|17.1|16.4|15.7|14.8|13.8|13.1|
|q(S)-BOTH SEXES|0355|.0298|.0245|.0203|.0194|.0185|.0173|.0161|.0152|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>56.9|.<br> <br>55.2|<br>55.4|<br>53.9|<br> <br>52.3|<br>51.2|<br> <br>51.7|<br> <br>52.5|<br> <br>53.6|<br>54|
33

# OCEANIA Population projection (thousands)

Summery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRUJP<br>1985|2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**...**_ .......................................................................|........................................|.............|||||.....|
|TOTAL M'F<br>24646|<br>31041|<br>38770|<br>42265|<br>43935|<br>44484|<br>44722|<br>44822|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1218|1416|<br>1442|<br>1442|<br>1444|<br>1.45|1445|<br>1445|
|5-9<br>1134|<br>1396|<br>1455|<br>1443|<br>1443|<br>1443|<br>1443|<br>1443|
|10-14<br>1190|1332|<br>1456|<br>1446|<br>1442|<br>1441|<br>1442|<br>1442|
|15-19<br>1176|1266|<br>1446|<br>1445|<br>1437|<br>1438|<br>1440|<br>1440|
|20-24<br>1107|1187|<br>1432|<br>1433|<br>1431|<br>1435|<br>1437|<br>1438|
|25-29<br>1030|<br>1258|<br>1410|<br>1421|<br>1428|<br>1432|<br>1434|<br>1434|
|30-34<br>939|1259|<br>1380|<br>1428|<br>1427|<br>1429|<br>1430|<br>1U31|
|35-39<br>890|1186|<br>1315|<br>1420|<br>1426|<br>1424|<br>1426|<br>1426|
|40-44<br>724|<br>1084|<br>1256|<br>1399|<br>1419|<br>1415|<br>1418|<br>1420|
|45-49<br>625|<br>961|<br>1171|<br>1371|<br>1397|<br>1399|<br>1406|<br>1408|
|50-54<br>549|<br>873|<br>1208|<br>1326|<br>1364|<br>1377|<br>1384|<br>1386|
|55-59<br>547|<br>677|1159|<br>1256|<br>1330|<br>1337|<br>1343|<br>1345|
|60-64<br>468|542|1023|<br>1130|<br>1251|<br>1267|<br>1272|<br>1275|
|65-69<br>359|<br>432|844|985|1124|<br>1154|<br>1158|<br>1163|
|.0-74<br>265|<br>369|<br>633|<br>785|<br>943|<br>976|<br>986|<br>994|
|75+<br>277|<br>433|<br>751|<br>1222|<br>1401|<br>1515|<br>1560|<br>1577|
|TOTAL<br>12500|<br>15671|<br>19379|<br>20952|<br>21707|<br>21927|<br>22022|<br>22068|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1141|<br>1349|<br>1374|<br>1377|<br>1378|<br>1378|<br>1378|<br>1378|
|5-9<br>1054|<br>1332|<br>1388|<br>1379|<br>1379|<br>1378|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|10-14<br>1108|<br>1271|<br>1389|<br>1382|<br>1379|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|15-19<br>1095|<br>1195|<br>1381|<br>1383|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|20-24<br>1019|<br>1123|<br>1370|<br>1373|<br>1373|<br>1376|<br>1377|<br>13U77|
|25-29<br>982|1202|<br>1353|<br>1364|<br>1374|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1377|
|30-34<br>913|<br>1204|<br>1330|<br>1374|<br>1376|<br>1377|<br>1377|<br>1376|
|35-39<br>860|<br>1115|<br>1275|<br>1368|<br>1377|<br>1376|<br>1375|<br>1375|
|40-44<br>684|.1041|<br>1209|<br>1352|<br>1375|<br>1372|<br>1373|<br>1374|
|45-49<br>586|938|1133|<br>1333|<br>1361|<br>1365|<br>1369|<br>1371|
|50-54<br>516|855|1188|<br>1307|<br>1342|<br>1358|<br>1363|<br>1364|
|55-59<br>524|<br>662|1162|<br>1267|<br>1335|<br>1345|<br>1351|<br>1351|
|60-64<br>477|<br>546|<br>1045|<br>1186|<br>1301|<br>1321|<br>1326|<br>1328|
|65-69<br>399|<br>457|<br>926|<br>1080|<br>1233|<br>1271|<br>1277|<br>1281|
|70-74<br>326|<br>424|<br>761|<br>933|<br>1121|<br>1165|<br>1181|<br>1189|
|75+<br>463|<br>657|<br>1107|<br>1854|<br>2146|<br>2346|<br>2444|<br>2481|
|TOTAL<br>12146|<br>15370|<br>19392|<br>21312|<br>22228|<br>22557|<br>22699|<br>22754|
|BIRTH RATE|19.5|16.3|14.1|13.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|8.0|8.3|10.6|11.6|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|3.9|.8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.54|.89|.35|.16|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.498|2.284|2.101|2.072|2.067|2.064|2.064|
|eCO)<br>- BOTHSEXES|72.75|74.25|76.02|77.78|78.42|78.92|79.05|
|I<br>- BOTHSEXES|23.7|15.5|11.7|9.0|7.6|6.6|6.5|
34 LOW-INCC4E ECCNCO4IES Poputation projection (thousands)

|....<br>....<br>..<br>........<br>AGE GROUP|...<br>.....<br>1985|..............<br>1990|..<br>...<br>..<br>1995|............<br>2000|...<br>2005|...<br>..<br>2010|.......<br>2015|.............<br>2020|2025|..<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.................................||......|...........|.......<br>.....|...<br>........|. ..<br>..........|...............||||
|TOTAL M+F|271095|3004297|3313194|3626589|3942186|4253046|4559773|4865769|5164720|5446546|
|KALES|||||||||||
|0-4|180163|202484|214218|221017|226854|230253|234365|240573|244467|244717|
|5-9|166886|<br>174697|197377|209721|217167|223073|226673|231033|237525|241763|
|10-14|167186|165329|173207|195950|208421|215869|221797|225462|229905|236490|
|15-19|157223|165653|163860|171743|194468|206932|214396|220362|224111|228653|
|20-24|128550|155148|163596|161820|169652|192300|204772|212280|218325|222215|
|25-29|107254|126449|152907|161308|159517|167307|189885|20238s|209971|216132|
|30-34|97711|105385|124475|150740|159084|157307|<br>165064|187586|<br>200134|207810|
|35-39|77605|95877|103504|<br>122417|<br>148457|156759|155006|162738|<br>185206|197812|
|40-44|64604|75740|93830|101341|120014|145784|154039|-<br>152331|160044|182440|
|45-49|58338|62483|73466|91232|98568|116922|<br>142300|150489|<br>148864|156553|
|50-54|51856|55642|59724|70409|87662|94776|112650|137423|145509|144020|
|55-59|42211|48362|52023|55946|66150|82649|89448|106583|130404|138309|
|60-64|32533|38009|43710|47130|50790|60316|7s686|82036|98062|<br>120419|
|65-69|25037|27746|32572|37600|40653|43974|52510|66251|71963|86376|
|70-74|15211|19536|21841|25763|29871|32454|35280|42430|53910|58735|
|75+|13823|16392|20656|24375|28974|34230|38775|43214|50817|63225|
|TOTAL|1386192|1534932|1690967|1848511|2006301|2160906|2312645|2463179|2609217|2745671|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|171701|194838|206266|212958|218716|222151|226261|232352|236193|236490|
|5-9|158851|166175|189780|201908|209337|215204|218878|223275|229686|<br>233898|
|10-14|15736|157280|164712|188423|200720|208164|214070|217825|222322|<br>228843|
|15-19|146930|156285|<br>155902|163383|187129|199441|206921|212886|216745|221364|
|20-24|124378|145146|154523|154184|161679|185394|197749|205303|211377|215401|
|25-29|103289|122486|143188|152553|152239|159736|183426|195851|203519|209744|
|30-34|94104|101473|120583|141191|<br>150535|150249|157758|<br>181433|193948|201753|
|35-39|73475|92296|99632|118619|139113|148428|148187|155722|179391|192016|
|40-44|60564|71762|90393|97666|116495|136842|146134|145963|<br>153543|177205|
|45-49|53996|58802|69860|88219|<br>95404|114025|<br>134184|143455|143389|151026|
|50-54|47981|51929|56670|67510|85494|92572|110907|130806|140053|140138|
|55-59|39468|45413|49276|53903|64433|81908|88848|106783|126315|135525|
|60-64|31947|36338|-41983|45693|50145|60252|76995|83743|101097|<br>120089|
|65-69|25803|28059|32084|37253|40716|44921|54375|70006|76449|92884|
|70-74|16914|20872|22930|<br>26379|30838|33945|37739|46161|60060|65978|
|75+<br>|17668|20210<br>|24445<br>|28235|32893<br>|38907<br>|44696<br>|51024<br>|61417<br>|78521<br>|
|TOTAL|1324804|1469365|1622228|1778077|1935885|2092140|2247127|2402590|2555502|2700875|
|BIRTH RATE||30.8|29.2|27.1|25.2|23.6|22.2|21.2|20.1|18.9|
|DEATH RATE||10.2|9.5|8.9|8.5|8.3|8.2|8.2|8.2|8.3|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|2.07|1.97|1.82|1.68|1.52|1.40|1.30|1.19|1.06|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|**-.1**|-.1|-.1|-.1|**-.0**|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.05|1.96|1.81|1.67|1.52|1.39|1.30|1.19|1.06|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.889|3.603|3.350|3.178|3.006|2.834|2.701|2.579|2.462|
|NRR||1.588|1.487|1.406|1.376|1.329|1.259|1.204|1.162|1.123|
|e(0)<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|61.11|62.59|63.97|65.25|65.97|66.74|67.59|68.50|69.47|
|**e(10)**<br>**-** BO|TH<br>SEXES|58.30|58.90|59.39|59.82|60.32|60.85|61.43|62.04|62.70|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|84.4|74.8|66.1|57.6|54.1|50.0|45.6|41.2|36.8|
|q(5)**-** BOT|HSEXES|.1183|.1039|.0909|.0780|.0733|.0678|.0617|.0554|.0491|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>70.1|<br> <br>65.9|<br>64.6|<br>63.6|<br> <br>60.4|56.9|54.3|53.2|52.4|<br>52.2|
35

# LOU-INCOME ECONOMIES

# Poputation projection (thousands)

SuTmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP|1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..<br>........<br>.........|......|...........|..<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL<br>1+F|2710995|<br>3626589|<br>5164720|<br>6343304|<br>7038728|<br>7314711|<br>7409003|<br>7446666|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|180163|<br>221017|<br>244467|<br>238825|<br>238729|<br>239066|<br>239276|<br>239362|
|5-9|166886|<br>209721|<br>237525|<br>237307|<br>238272|<br>238808|<br>239016|<br>239079|
|10-14|167186|<br>195950|<br>229905|<br>237446|<br>238322|<br>238631|<br>238795|<br>238854|
|15-19|15722|3<br>171743|<br>224111|<br>238663|<br>238074|<br>238157|<br>238384|<br>238509|
|20-24|128550|<br>161820|<br>218325|<br>239564|<br>236813|<br>237266|<br>237745|<br>238001|
|25-29|107254|<br>161308|<br>209971|<br>237090|<br>235560|<br>236296|<br>237149|<br>237467|
|30-34|97711|<br>150740|<br>200134|<br>230797|<br>233740|<br>235560|<br>236595|<br>236923|
|35-39|77605|<br>122417|<br>185206|<br>221904|<br>233003|<br>234934|<br>235873|<br>236185|
|40-44|64604|<br>101341|<br>160044|<br>214413|<br>232954|<br>233706|<br>234578|<br>234990|
|45-49|58338|<br>91232|<br>1488b4|<br>206458|<br>231741|<br>230729|<br>232133|<br>232848|
|50-54|51856|<br>70409|<br>145509|<br>194629|<br>225313|<br>225973|<br>227907|<br>229071|
|55-59|42211|<br>55946|<br>130404|<br>178677|<br>211970|<br>217432|<br>220762|<br>222216|
|60-64|32533|<br>47130|<br>98062|<br>154842|<br>191973|<br>205125|<br>209014|<br>210523|
|65-69|25037|<br>37600|<br>71963|<br>119859|<br>167946|<br>186799|<br>190190|<br>191783|
|70-74|15211|<br>25763|<br>53910|<br>93930|<br>137334|<br>15891|9<br>16146|8<br>163512|
|75+|13823|<br>24375|<br>50817|<br>123272|<br>186234|<br>233974|<br>250745|<br>257398|
|TOTAL|1386192|<br>1848511|<br>2609217|<br>3167678|<br>3477977|<br>3591376|<br>3629630|<br>3646721|
|FEKALES|||||||||
|0-4|171701|<br>212958|<br>236193|<br>230978|<br>230674|<br>230662|<br>230718|<br>230703|
|5-9|158851|<br>201908|<br>229686|<br>229861|<br>230656|<br>230754|<br>230733|<br>230682|
|10-14|157736|<br>188423|<br>222322|<br>230170|<br>231009|<br>230849|<br>230712|<br>230650|
|15-19|14693|0<br>16338|3<br>216745|<br>231613|<br>231196|<br>230770|<br>230631|<br>230603|
|20-24|124378|<br>154184|<br>211377|<br>232978|<br>230613|<br>230476|<br>230460|<br>230565|
|25-29|103289|<br>152553|<br>203519|<br>231068|<br>229969|<br>230163|<br>230447|<br>230548|
|30-34|94104|<br>141191|<br>19394|8<br>225286|<br>228712|<br>230071|<br>230474|<br>230511|
|35-39|73475|<br>118619|<br>179391|<br>216921|<br>228572|<br>230167|<br>230422|<br>230368|
|40-44|60564|<br>97666|<br>15354|3<br>210010|<br>229287|<br>229911|<br>23005|5<br>230018|
|45-49|53996|<br>88219|<br>143389|<br>203037|<br>229381|<br>228476|<br>22912|4<br>229300|
|50-54|47981|<br>67510|<br>14005|3<br>193069|<br>225314|<br>22623|6<br>22754|1<br>228127|
|55-59|39468|<br>53903|<br>126315|<br>180256|<br>216041|<br>222153|<br>225094|<br>225974|
|60-64|31947|<br>45693|<br>101097|<br>160926|<br>202170|<br>217072|<br>22097.|<br>221978|
|65-69|25803|<br>37253|<br>76449|<br>128958|<br>185840|<br>208591|<br>212624|<br>213914|
|70-74|16914|<br>26379|<br>60060|<br>107500|<br>153030|<br>19174|8<br>19577|1<br>198008|
|75+|17668|<br>28235|<br>61417|<br>162995|<br>268286|<br>355236|<br>393612|<br>407995|
|TOTAL|1324804|<br>1778077|<br>2555502|<br>3175627|<br>3560751|<br>3723335|<br>3779372|<br>3799945|
|BIRTH RATE||28.9|22.3|16.9|14.2|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|OEATH<br>RATE||9.5|8.3|8.7|10.0|11.7|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWrH<br>RATE||1.94|1.41|.82|.42|.15|.05|.02|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|3.592|2.839|2.266|2.074|2.061|2.054|2.053|
|e(O)- BOTH|SEXES|62.65|66.92|71.79|75.95|77.46|78.58|78.87|
|IMR<br>- BOTH S|EXES|74.9|49.6|27.8|12.7|9.2|7.1|6.7|
36 LOWER-NIDDLEINCOSE ECONOMIES Population projection (thousands)

|............<br>.....................<br>AGE GROP<br>1985|...<br>1990|..<br>..................<br>4995|2000|.............<br>2005|....................<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>579809|<br>648045|719861|792115|864199|935452|<br>1006590|1076680|1144579|1208904|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>43391|45532|47907|48786|49463|50136|51292|52144|52638|52819|
|5-9<br>38005|42465|44732|47231|48238|48947|49656|50850|51748|<br>52293|
|10-14<br>34935|37679|42.55|44451|46988|48010|48734|49462|50675|51594|
|15-19<br>31540|34585|37341|41825|44150|46698|4778|48482|49233|50470|
|20-24<br>27344|31008|34063|36835|41344|43691|46262|47335|48119|<br>48913|
|25-29<br>23546|26743|30403|33472|36285|40808|43183|45787|46908|47744|
|30-34<br>19611|23001|26194|29853|32956|35789|40318|42722|45358|46527|
|35-39<br>15409|19120|22497|25683|29349|32461|35304|39834|42263|44929|
|40-44<br>12238|14952|18624|21978|25159|28804|31912|34758|39279|41731|
|45-49<br>10861|11784|14449|18057|21374|24515|28117|31207|34045|38539|
|50-54<br>9394|10321|11233|13818|17326|20561|23632|27160|30209|33020|
|55-59<br>736|8728|9620|10505|12966|16310|19413|22371|25777|28747|
|60-64<br>5875|7025|7858|<br>8693|9530|<br>11807|14909|17511|<br>20594|23806|
|65-69<br>4152|4981|5990|6736|7487|8246|10266|13026|15635|18155|
|70-74<br>3141|3220|3894|4716|5338|5968|6613|8284|10578|12774|
|75+<br>3205|3512|3732|4327|5205|6092|7000|7946|f566|<br>12211|
|TOTAL<br>290484|324655|360693|396965|433159|468845|504351|539181|572714|<br>604272|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1931|44019|46255|47051|47656|48315|49435|50264|50748|50926|
|5-9<br>36717|41119|43328|45683|46600|47238|47934|49094|49967|50501|
|10-14<br>33719|36431|40854|43093|45487|46420|47074|47789|48969|<br>49865|
|15-19<br>30402|33428|36152|40589|42861|45270|46221|46898|47637|48843|
|20-24<br>26882|29983|33018|35759|40230|42528|44965|45953|<br>46668|47451|
|25-29<br>23412|26412|29512|32564|35343|39834|42163|44635|45669|46435|
|30-34<br>19621|22984|25978|29083|32166|34963|39466|41822|44327|45406|
|35-39<br>15425|19242|22586|25578|28695|31790|34596|39104|41485|44023|
|40-44<br>12428|15094|18873|22195|25187|28297|31395|34205|38714|41119|
|45-49<br>11247|12114|14741|18469|21762|24736|27830|30924|33734|<br>38237|
|50-54<br>9693|10877|11736|14308|17966|21211|24155|27225|30307|33113|
|55-59<br>8348|9249|10397|11243|13741|17302|<br>20477|23375|26406|29467|
|60-64<br>6445|7779|<br>*8641|9738|10564|12958|<br>16378|<br>19451|22279|25249|
|65-69<br>4771|5759|6974|77.7|8798|9595|11830|15031|17940|20650|
|70-74<br>3779|3950|<br>4805|5845|6556|7467|8204|10191|13048|15685|
|75+<br>4506|4950|<br>5318|6175|<br>7428|8682|10114|11539|13965|17660|
|TOTAL<br>289325|323389|359168|395150|<br>431040|466607|502239|537499|571864|604632|
|BIRTHRATE|31.5|29.4|26.8|24.5|22.8|21.6|20.4|19.2|18.2|
|DEATHRATE|8.4|7.7|7.1|6.7|6.7|6.7|6.8|6.9|7.2|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|2.30|2.17|1.97|1.78|1.61|1.49|1.36|1.23|1.09|
|NETNIrRATIONRATE|-. 8|-.6|-.5|-.4|-.3|_-. 2 _|-.1|-.1|.0|
|GROTHRATE|2.23|2.10|1.91|1.74|1.58|1.47|1.35|1.22|1.09|
|TOTALFERTILITY|4.046|3.663|3.305|2.999|2.764|2.610|2.492|2.405|2.336|
|NRR|1.750|1.614|1.480|1.365|1.264|1.200|1.154|1.119|1.094|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|64.00|65.48|66.86|68.12|68.80|69.5c|70.25|71.03|71.84|
|e(1O)- BOTHSEXES|59.55|60.13|60.70|61.29|61.79|62.32|62.87|63.45|64.05|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES|62.5|53.6|45.5|38.2|35.9|33.4|30.8|28.1|25.4|
|q(S)*BOTHSEXES|0833|0702|0587|0486|0457|0425|0391|0357|0320|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>77.0|.<br>73.1|.<br>69.8|.<br>64.9|.<br>60.3|.<br>55.8|.<br>52.9|.<br>51.4|.<br>50.8|.<br>50.4|
37

# LOER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES Population projection (thousands)

Sumwmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>......................................................|.............................|||.....................|....................|||
|TOTAL<br>M#F<br>579809|<br>792115|<br>1144579|<br>1416287|<br>1558213|<br>1608826|<br>1624538|<br>1630349|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>43391|<br>48786|<br>52638|<br>52205|<br>52307|<br>52381|<br>52402|<br>52410|
|5-9<br>38005|<br>47231|<br>51748|<br>52154|<br>52267|<br>52316|<br>52338|<br>52347|
|10-14<br>34935|<br>44451|<br>50675|<br>52223|<br>52235|<br>52244|<br>52284|<br>52301|
|15-19<br>31540|<br>41825|<br>49233|<br>52228|<br>52061|<br>52123|<br>52205|<br>52234|
|20-24<br>27344|<br>36835|<br>48119|<br>52042|<br>51761|<br>51966|<br>52094|<br>52131|
|25-29<br>23546|<br>33472|<br>46908|<br>51511|<br>51621|<br>51835|<br>51978|<br>52015|
|30-34<br>19611|<br>29853|<br>45358|<br>50620|<br>51497|<br>51730|<br>51849|<br>51889|
|35-39<br>15409|<br>25683|<br>42263|<br>49296|<br>51403|<br>51564|<br>51663|<br>51725|
|40-44<br>12238|<br>21978|<br>39279|<br>47539|<br>51171|<br>51196|<br>51368|<br>51477|
|45-49<br>10861|<br>18057|<br>34045|<br>45975|<br>50578|<br>50541|<br>50878|<br>51040|
|50-54<br>9394|13818|<br>30209|<br>43961|<br>49245|<br>49662|<br>50045|<br>50234|
|55-59<br>7836|<br>10505|<br>25_m_|40981|<br>46862|<br>48090|<br>48551|<br>48735|
|60-64<br>5875|8693|20594|<br>35824|<br>43108|<br>45496|<br>45973|<br>46162|
|65-69<br>4152|6736|15635|<br>29974|<br>37767|<br>41337|<br>41792|<br>42065|
|70-74<br>3141|4716|10578|<br>21852|<br>31134|<br>35034|<br>35526|<br>35921|
|75+<br>3205|4327|9656|25469|<br>43553|<br>52578|<br>55m|56833|
|TOTAL<br>290484|<br>396965|<br>572714|703854|<br>768568|<br>790093|<br>796723|<br>799521|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>41931|<br>47051|<br>50748|<br>50323|<br>50368|<br>50370|<br>50364|<br>50356|
|5-9<br>36717|<br>45683|<br>49967|<br>50357|<br>50414|<br>S0377|<br>50357|<br>50349|
|10-14<br>33719|<br>43093|<br>48969|<br>50481|<br>50445|<br>50363|<br>50345|<br>50343|
|15-19<br>30402|<br>40589|<br>47637|<br>50565|<br>50364|<br>50324|<br>50330|<br>50339|
|20-24<br>26882|<br>35759|<br>46668|<br>50511|<br>50202|<br>50291|<br>50321|<br>50336|
|25-29<br>23412|<br>32564|<br>45669|<br>50127|<br>50196|<br>50295|<br>50330|<br>50330|
|30-34<br>19621|<br>29083|<br>44327|<br>49374|<br>50203|<br>50325|<br>50325|<br>50313|
|35-39<br>15425|<br>25578|<br>41485|<br>48209|<br>50259|<br>50314|<br>50283|<br>50276|
|40-44<br>12428|<br>22195|<br>38714|<br>46658|<br>50226|<br>50157|<br>50187|<br>50210|
|45-49<br>11247|<br>18469|<br>33734|<br>45390|<br>49954|<br>49836|<br>50025|<br>50082|
|50-54<br>9693|14308|<br>30307|<br>43937|<br>49179|<br>49521|<br>49768|<br>49846|
|55-59<br>8348|<br>11243|<br>26406|<br>41873|<br>47760|<br>48964|<br>49309|<br>49378|
|60-64<br>6445|<br>9738|22279|<br>37981|<br>45496|<br>48019|<br>48418|<br>48496|
|65-69<br>4771|<br>_77m_|17940|<br>33501|<br>42039|<br>46107|<br>46559|<br>46753|
|70-74<br>3779|<br>5845|13048|<br>26239|<br>37391|<br>42326|<br>42957|<br>43358|
|75+<br>4506|<br>6175|13965|<br>36907|<br>65148|<br>81143|<br>87937|<br>90063|
|TOTAL<br>289325|<br>395150|<br>571864|<br>712433|<br>789644|<br>818733|<br>827815|<br>830828|
|BIRTH RATE|29.0|21.5|16.3|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.7|6.8|7.9|10.1.|11.8|12.4|12.6|
|NETMIGRATICN<br>RATE|-. 6|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.08|1.47|.85|.38|.13|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.638|2.633|2.211|2.067|2.060|2.057|2.056|
|etO)- BOTH<br>SEXES|65.55|69.65|73.72|76.96|78.02|78.79|78.98|
|INR<br>- BOTH SEXES|53.7|33.2|19.6|10.0|8.1|6.8|6.6|
38

|UPPER-NIDD|LE-INCOM<br>EC|E<br>ONOMIES|Popul|ation project|ion (thousard|)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP|<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|2030|
|.....................................|................................|......................................|......................||||||||
|TOTAL NF|421516|<br>462037|503719|545369|586461|627411|668806|709352|747583|782534|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|26548|28244|29227|29694|30099|30924|32087|32676|32626|32352|
|5-9|24708|26207|27951|28987|29508|29924|30761|31933|32537|32505|
|10-14|22541|24585|26093|27846|28895|29422|29844|30686|31863|32473|
|15-19|21114|22398|24446|25960|27720|28773|29307|29738|30586|3177|
|20-24|19808|20907|22196|24245|25767|27529|28590|29136|29580|30440|
|25-29|17654|19573|20679|21971|24024|25552|27317|28389|28951|29412|
|.¶0-34|15339|17434|19351|<br>20463|21763|23817|25350|_27118_|<br>28201|28779|
|35-39|12331|15120|17210|<br>19124|20245|21548|23601|25136|26908|28001|
|40-44|10179|12102|14868|<br>16948|18S60|19983|21286|23333|24871|26644|
|45-49|9420|9908|11808|<br>14537|16600|18492|<br>19612|2n911|22947|24483|
|50-54|8300|9042|9536|11392|14057|16076|<br>17933|<br>19045|<br>20333|22345|
|55-59|7139|7790|8515|9004|10786|1333?|15282|<br>_170a8_|<br>18173|<br>19437|
|60-64|5627|6476|7098|7787|8260|9917|<br>12298|<br>141211|<br>15829|<br>16884|
|65-69|3936|4841|5609|6179|6810|7242|<br>8723|10855|<br>12513|<br>14065|
|7P-74|3202|3111|3859|4506|4995|5526|5898|7134|8920|10329|
|75+|3349|3706|3853|4487|5290|6057|6843|7530|8804|<br>10785|
|TOTAL|211196|231445|252300|273129|293678|314119|334731|35428|373640|<br>390705|
|FEKALES|||||||||||
|0-4|25571|27157|28068|284822|<br>28834|29629|30749|31319|31273|31013|
|5-9|23826|25285|26916|27877|28338|28703|29510|30642|31226|31198|
|10-14|21769|23728|25197|26838|27811|28278|28650|29463|30600|31192|
|15-19|20416|21666|23632|25107|26756|27734|28208|28588|29409|30554|
|20-24|19205|<br>20274|21531|23501|24985|26639|27625|28112|28504|<br>29339|
|25-29|17217|19040|20118|21379|23358|24849|26508|27505|28007|<br>28416|
|30-34|15054|17057|18884|<br>19967|21236|23220|24716|26380|27387|27904|
|35-39|12211|14896|16899|<br>18726|19817|21090|23075|24575|26244|<br>27262|
|40-44|_10189_|12056|14727|<br>16726|18553|19645|<br>20921|22906|24410|26083|
|45-49|9551|10018|11869|<br>14519|<br>16511|18328|<br>19420|<br>20696|22680|<br>24187|
|50-54|8553|9323|9794|11622|14239|16210|18012|19103|20378|22357|
|55-59|7517|8252|9016|9490|11282|13844|<br>15783|<br>17561|<br>18649|<br>19921|
|60-64|6178|7107|,7830|8581|9056|10785|<br>13263|<br>15154|16894|<br>17976|
|65-69|4494|5625|6508|7204|7929|8388|10016|12358|14167|<br>15843|
|70-74|3889|<br>3821|4820|<br>5620|6262|6921|7349|<br>8814|10930|<br>1593|
|75+<br>|4678|5288|<br>5608|6603|7818|9031|10269|11350|13186|<br>15993|
|TOTAL|210318|230592|251419|272240|292784|313292|334075|354525|373943|391829|
|BIRTH RATE||26.7|25.0|23.2|21.6|20.6|20.0|19.1|18.0|16.9|
|DEATH RATE||8.1|7.5|7.1|6.9|7.0|7.1|7.3|7.5|7.8|
|RATE OFNA|T.INC.|1.85|1.75|1.61|1.47|1.36|1.29|1.18|1.05|.91|
|**NET**<br>MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 2|-. 2|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|*.0|<|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.84|1.73|1.59|1.45|1.35|1.28|1.18|1.05|.91|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.385|3.140|2.924|2.734|2.618|2.553|2.477|2.387|2.299|
|NRR||1.522|1.425|1.350|1.273|1.221|1.198|1.168|1.127|1.090|
|eCO)- 80T|H SEXES|67.34|68.64|69.81|70.88|71.37|71.89|72.45|73.04|73.68|
|**e(10)**- **BO**|**TH**<br>SEXES|61.61|62.29|62.87|63.40|63.76|64.14|64.55|64.98|65.44|
|**INR**<br>- BOTH<br>|SEXES<br>|53.2|46.0|38.4|31.7|29.6|27.5|25.3|23.0|20.6|
|q(5)-**BOT**|**H**<br>SEXES|.0663|.0561|.0459|.0372|.0348|.0323|.0296|.0268|.0240|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br> <br>66.6|<br>64.8|<br>62.5|<br>59.9|<br>56.9|<br>54.0|<br> <br>52.7|<br> <br>52.7|<br> <br>52.9|<br>52.8|
39

# UPPER-NIDDLE-INCW4E ECONOHIES Population proJection (thousands)

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|....................................................................<br>AGE**GRJUP**|.........<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|............................<br>2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......................||......................................|...........|||..<br>X...........|..||
|TOTAL M+F|421516|545369|747S83|890742|965161|989431|996026|998365|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|26548|29694|32626|32198|32081|32098|32120|32130|
|5-9|24708|28987|32537|31947|31974|32052|32089|32097|
|10-14|22541|27816|31863|31710|31943|32043|32072|32073|
|15-19|2114|25960|30586|31864|31980|32024|32032|32030|
|20-24|19808|24245|29580|320Z4|31975|<br>31947|31953|31960|
|25-29|17654|21971|28951|3213'|31891|<br>31816|31858|31886|
|30-34|15339|2-0463|<br>28201|3204|I599|31671|31i74|31818|
|35-39|12331|<br>19124|26908|31201.|<br>31279|31564|31696|31734|
|40-44|10179|16948|<br>24871|29776|31283|31487|31572|31592|
|45-49|9420|14537|22947|<br>28527|31225|31Z69|31294|31315|
|50-54|8300|11392|<br>20333|27416|30851|30742|30738|30800|
|55-59|7139|9004|18173|25783|29790|29591|<br>29754|<br>29881|
|60-64|5627|7787|15829|23138|27488|27797|28184|28342|
|65-69|3936|6179|12513|19321|23888|25414|25759|<br>25882|
|70-74|3202|4506|8920|<br>15079|19566|<br>21794|22046|<br>22128|
|75'|3349|4487|<br>8804|18564|<br>28091|33597|3464l|35014|
|TOTAL|211198|273129|373640|442672|476904|486904|489584|490680|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|25571|28482|31273|30874|30737|30723|30733|30737|
|5-9|23s826|<br>27877|<br>31226|30669|30678|30718|30735|30736|
|10-14|21769|26838|30600|30467|30680|30738|30742|30736|
|15-19|20416|25107|29409|<br>30636|30764|30763|30740|30730|
|20-24|19205|<br>23501|28504|30877|30831|30757|30723|<br>30721|
|25-29|17217|21379|28o07|31061|30822|30704|30701|30714|
|30-34|15054|<br>19967|<br>27387|31002|30605|30637|30689|30710|
|35-39|12211|18726|244|30300|30373|30618|30693|30702|
|40-44|10189|<br>16726|24410|29009|30486|30660|30686|30671|
|45-49|9551|14519|22680|<br>27955|30611|30639|30605|30582|
|50-54|8553|11622|20378|27205|30576|30456|30399|30415|
|55-59|7517|9490|18649|26170|30129|29921|30045|<br>30W26|
|60-64|6178|8581|16894|24395|28788|29126|29506|<br>29625|
|65-69|4494|7204|14167|21573|<br>26396|28141|28524|<br>28620|
|70-74|3889|5620|10930|18198|2?362|26151|26500|<br>26575|
|75+|4678|6603|13186|27681|42419|<br>517m|54422|<br>55287|
|TOTAL|210318|272240|373943|448071|488257|50?527|506443|507685|
|BIRTH RATE||24.8|19.8|15.5|13.6|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.6|7.2|8.6|10.4|l.9|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-.2|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROWrH**<br>RAT|E|1.72|1.26|.70|.32|.10|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.134|2.545|2.161|2.065|2.063|2.061|2.060|
|e(0)**-** BOT|H SEXES|68.67|71.99|75.12|77.61|78.38|78.91|79.05|
|<br>**IR-**BOTH|SEXES|45.8|27.3|15.9|8.4|7.3|6.6|6.5|
40

|HIGH-INCOME<br>ECONOMIE<br>.......................................................................................|S<br>..........................................|Popita|tion r?ojectl|on (thousan|s)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|.................................||_..____..|..................||____<br>..........|......|.......|_____<br>...............||
|TOTAL K+F<br>767138|789298|810894|830231|846556|859895|<br>870948|<br>879372|884304|885067|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>26997|27369|27643|27104|27153|27267|27586|27933|28169|28286|
|5-9<br>27045|27166|27529|277m|27217|27230|27315|27605|27924|28134|
|10-14<br>29495|27171|27286|27640|27875|27276|27268|27331|<br>27601|27900|
|15-19<br>31140|29603|27274|2738|27706|27915|27296|27267|<br>27310|<br>27560|
|20-24<br>32251|31359|29803|27459|27511|27m|27957|27300|27233|<br>27240|
|25-29<br>31094|32547|31627|30050|27643|27630|27853|27970|27265|27151|
|30-34<br>29880|31330|32753|31817|30188|27733|27674|27852|27925|27181|
|35-39<br>28967|**29995**|31422|32831|31862|30201|27722|27630|27776|<br>27820|
|40-44<br>24241|28926|29944|31363|32746|31760|30091|*<br>27605|27493|27619|
|45-49<br>21689|24020|28664|29682|31085|32445|31464|29808|27338|27217|
|50-54<br>20315|21224|23533|28109|29118|30493|31834|30880|29262|26838|
|55-59<br>19291|19509|20421|22681|27124|28099|29435|30746|29843|28294|
|60-64<br>16907|17997|18263|19161|21319|25512|26438|27712|28971|<br>28146|
|65-69<br>123T4|15080|16136|16438|17285|19247|23057|23905|25079|<br>26257|
|70-74<br>10930|10254|12583|13541|13848|14574|16246|19489|20222|<br>21242|
|75+<br>13572|<br>14662|14848|16792|18594|19784|20975|22878|<br>26337|28704|
|TOTAL<br>376186|388211|399731|<br>409840|418272|<br>424956|430211|433912|435749|435582|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>25671|26067|26321|25804|258"4|25961|26273|26610|26641|26957|
|5-9<br>25722|25860|26246|26487|25932|25939|26027|26311|26621|26826|
|10-14<br>27986|25864|25995|26371|26584|26005|25991|26059|26323|26614|
|15-19<br>29660|28142|26015|26135|26479|26665|26062|26026|26072|26314|
|20-24<br>31119|29956|28427|26281|26341|26634|26775|26131|26053|26059|
|25-29<br>30088|31463|30288|28738|26522|26522|26763|26855|26162|26037|
|30-34<br>29083|30337|31704|30515|28915|26653|26613|26816|26870|26142|
|35-39<br>28423|29224|30476|31834|30614|28984|26698|26633|26811|26841|
|40-44<br>24025|2MK50|<br>29255|30505|31846|30612|28972|26676|26597|26762|
|45-49<br>21764|23947|28365|29175|30420|31750|30517|28879|26585|26502|
|50-54<br>20817|21574|23760|28161|28976|30212|31535|30313|28689|26410|
|55-59<br>20775|20482|21256|23438|27805|28613|29838|31152|29952|28355|
|60-64<br>20076|20191|.19958|20749|22912|27194|27991|29199|30497|29336|
|65-69<br>15650|19033|19223|19064|19863|21948|26068|26844|28019|29285|
|70-74<br>15248|<br>14123|17281|17547|17477|18224|20158|23973|24706|25811|
|75.<br>24845|26377|26594|29586|31752|33021|34453|36984|41757|45232|
|TOTAL<br>390952|401087|411163|420390|428284|434939|440737|445460|448555|449485|
|BIRTHRATE|13.9|13.6|13.0|12.7|12.6|12.6|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|9.4|9.3|9.2|9.6|10.0|10.4|10.9|11.6|12.4|
|RATEOFMAT.INC.|.45|.43|.38|.32|.26|.22|.17|.10|.02|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.2|1.1|1.0|.7|.5|.4|.3|.;|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.57|.54|.47|.39|.31|.26|.19|.11|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.788|1.817|1.830|1.902|1.966|2.021|2.064|2.098|2.121|
|NRR|.868|.868|.875|.916|.951|.9.S|.996|1.012|1.024|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|76.09|76.65|77.10|77.46|77.56|77.66|77.76|77.88|78.01|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|66.96|67.45|67.85|68.17|68.26|68.36|68.46|68.57|68.68|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|12.2|11.3|10.5|9.7|9.7|9.5|9.3|9.0|8.6|
|qC5) -BOTHSEXES|0140|0127|0117|0108|.0108|.0106|.0103|.0099|.0094|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>49.9|.<br>48.8|.<br> <br>49.3|.<br>49.3|.<br>49.3|<br>50.|<br>0<br>52.9|<br> <br>56.1|<br>59.4|<br>62.7|
41

# HIGH-INCOME ECONOMIES

# Poputatton projection (thousands)

Suimary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROJtP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................|||...........|..........................||..|.....|
|TOTAL MF<br>767138|830231|884304|869275|864770|868890|<br>870033|<br>870521|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>26997|27104|28169|277i7|27970|28009|28023|<br>28025|
|5-9<br>27045|27792|27924|27100|27952|27996|28000|<br>27997|
|10-14<br>29495|27640|27601|27930|27992|27992|27980|<br>27975|
|15-19<br>31140|27380|27310|28100|28008|27952|27939|<br>27940|
|20-24<br>32251|274S9|27233|28128|27917|27862|27874|<br>27885|
|25-29<br>31094|30050|27265|27934|27727|27768|27812|<br>27827|
|30-34<br>29880|31817|27925|27645|27584|27715|27764|<br>27769|
|35-39<br>28967|32831|27776|27250|27620|27692|27700|<br>27690|
|40-44<br>24241|31363|27493|26856|27691|27616|27570|<br>27360|
|45-49<br>21689|29682|27338|26592|27536|27350|27308|<br>27323|
|50-54<br>20315|28109|29262|26237|26966|26794|26847|<br>26895|
|55-59<br>19291|22681|<br>29843|26094|25942|25923|26066|<br>26119|
|60-64<br>16907|19161|28971|24613|24291|24672|24766|<br>24782|
|65-69<br>12374|16438|25079|22254|21921|22667|22645|<br>22620|
|70-74<br>10930|13541|20222|19003|18694|<br>19430|19347|<br>19333|
|75+<br>17572|16792|26337|32867|30059|30377|30600|<br>30732|
|TOTAL<br>376186|409840|435749|427271|425869|427813|428240|<br>428472|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>25671|25804|26841|26649|26680|26711|26721|<br>26722|
|5-9<br>25722|26487|26621|26564|26689|26723|26723|<br>267,9|
|10-14<br>27986|26371|26323|26670|26746|26737|26721|<br>26714|
|15-19<br>29660|26135|26072|26855|26793|26729|26710|<br>26709|
|20-24<br>31119|26281|26053|26926|26758|26695|26696|<br>26705|
|25-29<br>30088|28738|26162|26794|26626|26661|26693|<br>26704|
|30-34<br>29083|30515|26870|26570|26536|<br>26665|26701|<br>26702|
|35-39<br>28423|31834|26811|26253|26628|26710|26704|<br>26689|
|40-44<br>24025|30505|26597|25967|26783|26730|26672|<br>26654|
|45-49<br>21764|29175|26585|25875|26786|26633|26578|<br>26582|
|50-54<br>20817|28161|28689|25838|26518|26375|26420|<br>26456|
|55-59<br>20775|23438|29952|26264|26042|26044|26189|<br>26231|
|60-64<br>20076|20749|30497|25719|25279|25692|25801|<br>25806|
|65-69<br>15650|19064|28019|24585|24132|24966|24963|<br>24923|
|70-74<br>15248|17547|24706|22792|22352|<br>23240|<br>23174|<br>23148|
|75.<br>24845|gw586|<br>41757|51682|<br>47553|47766|48325|48584|
|TOTAL<br>390952|42039O|<br>448555|442004|438901|441077|441793|<br>442049|
|BIRTH RATE|13.5|12.6|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|9.3|10.5|13.3|13.0|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|1.1|*4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|.53|.25|-. 07|-. 02|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.814|2.009|2.096|2.064|2.064|2.063|2.063|
|e(O)**-** BOlH SEXES|76.62|77.67|78.30|78.83|79.00|79.12|79.15|
|INR- BOTHSEXES|11.3|9.4|7.8|6.6|6.4|6.2|6.2|
42

|NONREPORTING<br>kOINENSE<br>......................<br>.|R<br>kCONONIES<br>..........................................|<br>Popul|ation project|ion (thousan<br>..<br>. ...........|ds)<br>...............||....<br>......<br>...|...<br>. .............|..<br>....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE 0ROLIP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>2030|
|..........<br>.......<br>I...........|...............................................|..............................................|.....|||||||
|TOTAL .FP<br>364964|<br>381664|<br>396162|<br>410060|<br>423582|436506|<br>449528|<br>461755|<br>473595|<br>484097|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>17121|<br>17937|<br>16867|<br>16598|<br>16965|17469|<br>1782|17923|<br>17795|<br>17731|
|5-9<br>16080|<br>16951|<br>17m|16727|<br>16472|16840|<br>17348|<br>17746|<br>17813|<br>17694|
|10-14<br>15024|<br>16006|<br>16881|<br>17711|<br>16672|16418|<br>16787|<br>17297|<br>17697|<br>17767|
|15-19<br>14261|<br>14922|<br>15911|<br>16794|<br>17630|16598|<br>16347|<br>16718|<br>17231|<br>17635|
|20-24<br>16127|<br>14092|<br>14768|<br>15767|<br>16660|17499|<br>16480|<br>16237|<br>16613|<br>t7132|
|25-29<br>15962|<br>15880|<br>13908|<br>14601|<br>15610|16505|<br>1347|16347|<br>16113|<br>16497|
|30-34<br>14004|<br>15695|<br>15659|<br>13742|<br>14448|15457|<br>16355|<br>17202|<br> <br>16219|<br><br> <br>15996|
|35-39<br>10934|<br>13732|<br>15439|<br>15443|<br>13576|14284|<br>15292|<br>16194|17046|<br>16084|
|40-44<br>8874|10663|<br>13442|<br>15156|<br>15196|13373|<br>14082|<br>15090|<br>15996|<br>16854|
|45-49<br>11903|<br>8577|10348|<br>13087|<br>14795|14857|<br>13093|<br>13803|<br>14809|<br>15719|
|50-54<br>9143|11323|<br>8207|9937|12608|14280|<br>14369|<br>12686|<br>13396|<br>14395|
|55-59<br>9120|8494|10581|<br>7712|9370|11918|<br>13531|<br>13652|<br>12083|<br>12786|
|60-64<br>5146|8161|7662|9599|7039|8575|<br>10941|<br>12461|<br>12618|<br>11205|
|65-69<br>3285|4361|6966|6594|8314|6131|<br>7496|<br>9605|10986|<br>11176|
|70-74<br>3433|2553|3425|5511|5264|6675|<br>4959|<br>6091|7848|<br>9027|
|75.<br>3702|3943|3517|3969|5669|6341|<br>7710|<br>7214|7850|<br>9495|
|TOTAL<br>174119|<br>183290|<br>191358|<br>198947|<br>206291|213220|<br>219999|<br>226266|<br>232113|<br>237192|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>16727|<br>17256|<br>16221|<br>15955|<br>16298|16788|<br>17173|<br>17239|<br>17123|<br>17067|
|5-9<br>15497|<br>16589|<br>17126|<br>16107|<br>15854|16199|<br>16695|<br>17085|<br>17158|<br>17051|
|10-14<br>14338|<br>15447|<br>16542|<br>17083|<br>16070|15817|<br>16163|<br>16661|<br>17055|<br>17131|
|15-19<br>13816|<br>14293|<br>15404|<br>16502|<br>17046|16035|<br>15783|<br>16131|<br>16632|<br>17028|
|20-24<br>15599|<br>13757|<br>14238|<br>15352|<br>16453|16999|<br>15992|<br>15743|<br>16093|<br>16598|
|25-29<br>15444|<br>15520|<br>13694|<br>14180|<br> <br>15296|<br>16399|<br> <br> <br>16947|<br> <br> <br>15945|<br> <br> <br>15699|<br><br> <br>16052|
|30-34<br>13686|<br>15354|<br>15442|<br>13629|<br>14119|15236|<br>16340|<br>16891|<br> <br>15895|<br><br> <br>15652|
|35-39<br>10954|<br>13587|<br>15259|<br>15357|<br>13559|14051|<br>15168|<br>16273|<br>16828|<br>15839|
|4-44<br>9215|10846|<br>13472|<br>15143|<br>15252|13471|<br>13965|<br>15082|<br>16188|<br>16747|
|45-49<br>12694|<br>9084|10708|<br>13317|<br>14984|15102|<br>13344|<br>13841|<br>14957|<br>16065|
|50-54<br>10261|<br>12423|<br>8906|10514|<br>13095|14748|<br>14879|<br>13157|<br>13659|<br>14773|
|55-59<br>11622|<br>9925|12051|<br>8655|10238|12770|<br>14401|<br>14549|<br>12881|<br>13388|
|60-64<br>8629|11028|,9452|11512|<br>8291|9826|<br>12283|<br>13879|<br>14051|<br>12463|
|65-69<br>5986|7904|<br>10153|<br>8740|10691|7723|<br>9179|<br>11511|<br>13047|<br>13251|
|70-74<br>7140|<br>5140|6838|8839|7654|9408|<br>6828|<br>8152|10272|<br>11695|
|75+<br>9237<br>|10220|<br>9298|10228|<br>12391|12714|<br>14388|<br>13347|<br>13945|<br>16107|
|TOTAL<br>190845|<br>198374|<br>204804|<br>211113|<br>217292|223286|<br>229529|<br>235489|<br>241482|<br>246905|
|BIRTH RATE|19.6|17.6|16.7|16.4|16.4|16.2|15.8|15.3|14.S|
|DEATH RATE<br>|10.6<br>|10.1<br>|9.7<br>|9.9<br>|10.3<br>|10.3|10.4|10.2|10.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.90|.75|.69|.65|.60|.59|.54|.51|.44|
|NET MIGRATIOH RATE|-.1|-.1|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRCWTH<br>RATE|.89|.75|.69|.65|.60|.59|.54|.51|.44|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.520|2.364|2.300|2.275|2.250|2.238|2.233|2.221|2.203|
|NRR|1.168|1.093|1.073|1.067|1.054|1.049|1.050|1.052|1.047|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|69.09|70.18|71.16|72.05|72.46|72.89|73.35|73.83|74.34|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|61.60|62.47|63.17|63.79|64.15|64.53|64.93|65.34|65.78|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|32.4|30.2|27.5|24.1|22.9|21.8|20.8|19.7|18.2|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0428|.0403|.0369|.0320|.0305|.0290|0276|0260|0238|
|<br>OEP.RATIO<br>53.7|54.3|<br>55.6|<br> <br>54.2|<br> <br>53.9|<br>51.6|<br> <br>51.4|.<br> <br>53.0|.<br> <br>55.3|.<br> <br>56.|
43

# NONREPORTING NONMENBER **ECONOMIES** Population projection (thousands)

# Sumery for 25 Year Periods

|.,.........................<br>AGE**GRCWP**<br>1985|.........................<br> <br>2000|2025|........................<br> <br>2050|..............................<br> <br>2075|<br>2100|2125|_ ................**....**........<br>..................<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>NMF<br>364964|<br>410060|<br>473595|<br>515335|<br>538081|<br>548084|<br>551753|<br>553281|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17121|<br>16598|<br>17795|<br>17719|<br>17763|<br>17772|<br>17773|<br>17775|
|5-9<br>16080|<br>16727|<br>17813|<br>17808|<br>17745|<br>17743|<br>17749|<br>17754|
|10-14<br>1502,4|<br>17711|<br>17697|<br>1770|17703|<br>17710|<br>17730|<br>17739|
|15-19<br>14261|<br>16794|<br>17231|<br>17631|<br>17626|<br>17671|<br>17708|<br>718|
|20-?4<br>16127|<br>15767|<br>16613|<br>17495|<br>17535|<br>17635|<br>17676|<br>17684|
|25-29<br>15962|<br>14601|<br>16113|<br>17453|<br>17532|<br>17608|<br>17637|<br>17643|
|30-34<br>14004|<br>13742|<br>16219|<br>17463|<br>17596|<br>17569|<br>17586|<br>17598|
|35-39<br>10934|<br>15443|<br>17046|<br>17264|<br>17515|<br>17483|<br>17515|<br>17542|
|40-44<br>8874|<br>15156|<br>15996|<br>16695|<br>17293|<br>17342|<br>17418|<br>17463|
|45-49<br>11903|<br>13087|<br>14809|<br>15936|<br>17026|<br>17133|<br>17270|<br>17321|
|50-54<br>9143|<br>9937|13396|<br>15177|<br>16718|<br>16882|<br>17005|<br>17049|
|55-59<br>9120|<br>7712|12083|<br>14759|<br>16217|<br>16454|<br>16497|<br>16535|
|60-64<br>5146|<br>9599|12618|<br>14592|<br>15171|<br>15534|<br>15598|<br>15656|
|65-69<br>3285|<br>6594|10986|<br>12362|<br>13361|<br>14010|<br>14171|<br>14272|
|70-74<br>3433|<br>5511|7848|<br>9674|<br>10905|<br>11842|<br>12061|<br>12203|
|75+<br>3702|<br>3969|7850|<br>12828|<br>16256|<br>18294|<br>19064|<br>19338|
|TOTAL<br>174119|<br>198947|<br>232113|<br>252636|<br>263961|<br>268680|<br>270458|<br>271290|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>16727|<br>15955|<br>17123|<br>17065|<br>17095|<br>17082|<br>17074|<br>17071|
|5-9<br>15497|<br>16107|<br>17158|<br>17176|<br>17106|<br>17077|<br>17069|<br>17069|
|10-14<br>14338|<br>17083|<br>17055|<br>17163|<br>17086|<br>17063|<br>17065|<br>17068|
|15-19<br>13816|<br>16502|<br>16632|<br>17044|<br>17040|<br>17052|<br>17064|<br>17068|
|20-24<br>15599|<br>15352|<br>16093|<br>16955|<br>16994|<br>17056|<br>17067|<br>17067|
|25-29<br>15444|<br>14180|<br>15699|<br>16965|<br>17030|<br>17074|<br>17070|<br>17064|
|30-34<br>13686|<br>13629|<br>15895|<br>17028|<br>17134|<br>17081|<br>17061|<br>17055|
|35-39<br>10954|<br>15357|<br>16828|<br>16899|<br>17102|<br>17049|<br>17038|<br>17043|
|40-44<br>9215|<br>15143|<br>16188|<br>16433|<br>16952|<br>16980|<br>17009|<br>17026|
|45-49<br>12694|<br>13317|<br>14957|<br>15823|<br>16802|<br>16886|<br>16972|<br>16989|
|50-54<br>10261|<br>10514|<br>13659|<br>15307|<br>16699|<br>16827|<br>16905|<br>16911|
|55-59<br>11622|<br>8655|12881|<br>15285|<br>16562|<br>16752|<br>16752|<br>16748|
|60-64<br>8629|<br>11512|<br>14051|<br>15789|<br>16092|<br>16404|<br>16431|<br>16446|
|65-69<br>5986|<br>8740|13047|<br>14490|<br>15021|<br>15658|<br>15799|<br>15865|
|70-74<br>7140|<br>8839|10272|<br>12218|<br>13333|<br>14375|<br>14610|<br>14740|
|75+<br>9237|<br>10228|<br>13945|<br>21060|<br>26073|<br>28989|<br>30309|<br>30762|
|TOTAL<br>1Q0845|<br>211113|<br>241482|<br>262699|<br>274120|<br>279404|<br>281295|<br>281991|
|BIRTH RATE|17.9|16.0|14.3|13.3|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|10.1|10.2|10.9|11.6|12.2|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.78|.58|.34|.17|.07|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.399|2.243|2.143|2.064|2.059|2.057|2.056|
|**e(O)**<br>**- BOTH**SEXES|70.17|72.94|75.52|77.65|78.36|78.90|79.04|
|**IHR**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|30.1|21.8|14.9|9.3|7.7|6.7|6.5|
# LATIN AMERICA AND THE

# CARIBBEAN (LAC) REGION

(and Northern America)
46

|AI4ERICA||Popula|taln projectio|n (thousan|ds)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|...........................|.....................................|||,,,,,,,,,,..,,,,..,,.........|.................................|||,<br>|.-<br>...........<br>|
|TOTALM+F<br>666650<br>|721071|775399|826354|873255|918029|961972|1003329|1039520|1069401|
|MALES<br>||||||||||
|0-4<br>37838|39407|39801|38718|37648<br>|37820<br>|38810<br>|39308<br>|39019<br>|38504<br>|
|5-9<br>34615<br> <br>|37531<br>|39164<br>|39624<br>|38591<br>|37531<br>|37707<br>|38698<br>|39192<br>|38903<br>|
|10-14<br>33325|34539<br>|37462|39111<br>|39577<br>|38545<br>|37485<br>|37659<br>|38642<br>|39130<br>|
|15-19<br>32127|33211|**31435**|37365|39017|39482|38454|37398|37568|38545|
|20-24<br>31573|31956|33055<br>|34298<br>|37219<br>|38866<br>|39329<br>|38305<br>|37246<br>|37409<br>|
|25-29<br>28628|31385|31790|32910|34148|37054|38692|39150<br>|38120<br>|37059<br>|
|30-34<br>25067|28446|31206|31635|32751|33981|36871|38500|3s948|37918<br>|
|3539<br>20940|24859|28236|30999|31431|32539|33763|36637|38256|38702|
|40-44<br>16860|20683|24583<br>|27951<br>|30699<br>|31128<br>|32230<br>|*<br>33449<br>|36303<br>|37919<br> <br>|
|45-49<br>14100|16518|20304|24166|27502|30212|30641|31737<br>|32951<br>|<br>35784<br>|
|50-54<br>12458|13622|16003|19716|23498|26761|29415<br>|29847|30934<br>|32146<br> <br>|
|55-59<br>11543|11779|12920|15225|188a5|22437|25582|28145<br>|<br>28583<br>|<br>29656<br> <br>|
|60-64<br>10052<br>|10573<br>|10829<br>|11917<br>|14092<br>|17445<br>|20848<br>|23809<br>|26229<br>|<br>26671<br> <br>|
|65-69<br>7931|8771|9273<br>|9535<br>|10531<br>|12490<br>|15509<br>|18573<br>|21258<br>|<br>23462<br> <br>|
|70-74<br>5953|6392|7124|7571|7816|8656|10308<br>|12850<br>|15433<br>|<br>_17717_<br> <br>|
|75+<br>7038|7487|8112|9017|9839|10448|11395|13124|15918|<br>19292<br>|
|TOTAL<br>330A48|357160|384297|409758|433163|455396|477040|497190|514602|<br>528817|
|FEMALES|||||||||<br>|
|0-4<br>36599|37869|38210|37132|36066|36235|37189|37671|37399|<br>36910|
|5-9<br>33607|36360|37691|38090|37052|35995|36169|37125|37605|37331|
|10-14<br>32380|33567|36328|37674|38077|37038|35981|36153|37103|<br>37576|
|15-19<br>31300|32350|33543|36310|37656|38055|37016|35958|36124|<br>37066|
|20-24<br>31110|31299|32350<br>|33548<br>|36302<br>|37640<br>|38032<br>|36989<br>|35918<br>|<br>36070<br> <br>|
|25-29<br>28438|31113|31302|32357|33539|36278|37607<br>|37990<br>|36932<br>|<br>35848<br> <br>|
|30-34<br>25124|28406|31074|31269|32313|33486|36214<br>|37538<br>|37909<br>|<br>36844<br> <br>|
|35-39<br>21180|<br>25049<br>|28325<br>|30989<br>|31179<br>|<br>32216<br>|33384<br>|36104<br>|37424<br>|<br>37791<br> <br>|
|40-44<br>17217|21058|24914|28182|30833|31021|32056|33222|35936<br>|<br>37258<br> <br>|
|45-49<br>14555|17042|20863|24696|27947|30579|30769|31803|32971|<br>35680<br>|
|50-54<br>13086|14308|16778|20565|24360|27579|30185|30379|31414|<br>32587|
|55-59<br>12445<br> <br>|12740<br>|13952<br>|16391<br>|20123<br>|23853<br>"|27023<br>|29590<br>|29793<br>|<br>30830<br> <br>|
|60-64<br>11242|11929|12233|13424|15812<br>|1944<br>|23070<br>|26164<br>|28671<br>|<br>28890<br> <br>|
|65-69<br>9316|10463|11132|11441|12588|14866|18327|21779|24740<br>|<br>27147<br> <br>|
|i0-74<br>7581|8193|9247|9872|10173|11218|13301<br>|16460<br>|19608<br>|<br>22333<br> <br>|
|75+<br>11423<br> <br>|12164<br>|13159<br>|14656<br>|16072<br>|17129<br>|18609<br>|21213<br>|25372<br>|<br>30423<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>336603|363911|391102|416596|440093|462633|484932|506139|524918|<br>540584|
|BIRTH RATE|23.4|21.7|19.6|17.9|17.0|16.6|16.0|15.3|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|7.5|7.2|7.1|7.2|7.4<br>|7.7<br>|8.2<br>|8.9<br>|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.53|1.42|1.Z4|1.08|.98|.92|.83|.70|.57|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br> <br>|.4<br>|.3<br>|.3<br>|.2<br>|.2<br>|.2<br>|.1<br>|.1<br>|.0<br>|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.57|1.45|1.27|1.10|1.00|.94|.84|.71|.57|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.839|2.671|2.465|2.280|2.183|2.152|2.132|2.111|2.097|
|NRR|1.307|1.233|1.153|1.074|1.029|1.016|1.010|1.004|1.000<br>|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|70.17|71.20|72.13|72.97|73.35|73.75|74.18|74.63|75.10<br>|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES<br>|63.49|64.08<br>|64.57<br>|65.02<br>|65.29<br>|65.59<br>|65.90<br>|66.23<br>|66.57<br>|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|43.9<br>|38.1<br>|32.2<br>|26.7<br>|24.7<br>|22.9<br>|21.0<br>|19.1<br>|17.3<br>|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>DEP. RATIO<br>63.0|.0542<br>60.8|.0462<br>58.7|.0383<br>54.8|.0313<br> <br>50.8|.0289<br> <br>48.1|.0266<br>47.7|.0244<br> <br>49.1|.0222<br> <br>51.0|.0199<br> <br>52.6|
47

# AMERICA

# Poputation projection (thousands)

# Suimury for **25** Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>666650|826354|1039520|<br>1146188|<br>1181226|<br>1192473|<br>1197887|<br>1200026|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>37038|38718|39019|38696|38574|38564|38575|<br>38584|
|5-9<br>34615|39624|39192|38559|38450|<br>38494|38531|<br>38544|
|10-14<br>33325|<br>39111|38642|38284|38352|38461|38509|<br>38517|
|15-19<br>32127|37365|37568|30a83|38324|38437|38471|<br>38470|
|20-24<br>31573|34298|37246|38166|38339|38379|38390|<br>38389|
|25-29<br>28628|32910|38120|38511|38345|38264|38279|<br>38296|
|30-34<br>25067|31635|38948|38621|38159|38094|38164|<br>38208|
|35-39<br>20940|30999|38256|37923|37789|37910|38049|<br>38106|
|40-44<br>16860|<br>27951|36303|36662|37444|37748|37901|37945|
|45-49<br>14100|24166|32951|36025|37255|37512|37602|37627|
|50-54<br>12458|19716|30934|36234|37027|36990|36979|<br>37013|
|55-59<br>11543|15225|28583|35799|36031|35771|35804|<br>35898|
|60-64<br>10052|<br>11917|26229|33149|33516|33633|33870|<br>34035|
|65-69<br>7931|9535|21258|28487|29550|30489|30908|<br>31086|
|70-74<br>5953|7571|15433|<br>21947|24870|26091|26481|<br>26608|
|75+<br>7038|9017|15918|<br>29958|39004|41084|41864|<br>42174|
|TOTAL<br>330048|409758|514602|565104|581029|585922|588378|<br>589502|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>36599|37132|37399|37118|36978|36934|36932|<br>36936|
|5-9<br>33607|38090|37605|37027|36909|36913|36929|<br>36934|
|10-14<br>32380|<br>37674|37103|36788|36853|36915|36935|<br>36935|
|15-19<br>31300|36310|36124|36638|36880|36944|36941|<br>36933|
|20-24<br>31110|33548|35918|36796|36981|36968|36933|<br>36923|
|25-29<br>28438|32357|36932|37223|37070|<br>36945|36910|<br>36911|
|30-34<br>25124|31269|37909|37426|36965|36867|36881|<br>36900|
|35-39<br>21180|30989|37424|36861|36697|36789|36865|<br>36889|
|40-44<br>17217|<br>28182|35936|35788|36491|36772|36857|36860|
|45-49<br>14555|<br>24696|32971|35415|36530|36774|36793|36769|
|50-54<br>13O06|20565|31414|36115|36720|36665|36591|36572|
|55-59<br>12445|<br>16391|<br>29793|36543|36493|36194|36176|36214|
|60-64<br>11242|<br>13424|<br>28671|35199|35202|35275|35486|35598|
|65-69<br>9316|11441|<br>24740|32254|32821|33816|34262|34400|
|70-74<br>7581|9872|19608|27032|29952|31402|31884|<br>31986|
|75+<br>11423|14656|<br>25372|46864|<br>60655|<br>64380|<br>66133|<br>6676?|
|TOTAL<br>336603|416596|524918|581084|600197|606551|609509|<br>610524|
|BIRTH RATE|21.5|16.5|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.6|7.5|10.0|l1.8,|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.3|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.43|.92|.39|.12|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.650|2.170|2.084|2.063|2.061|2.060|2.060|
|etO)**-** BOTH SEXES|71.21|73.81|76.16|78.03|78.60|78.99|79.09|
|**IER**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|38.1|2.8|13.7|7.9|7.1|6.5|6.4|
48 LATIN AMERIC AND THE CARIBBEAN (LAC), BORRGERS ONLY PopuLation projection (thousardi)

|. ....................<br>..<br>AGE GRP<br>¶985<br>...........<br>...................|........<br>............<br>1990<br>.....|<br>......<br>1995<br>.....<br>..<br>...<br>......|..........<br>2000<br>..............................................|........<br>.....<br>2005<br>................|.......<br>2010|....<br>2015|.............<br> <br>2020|2025|..<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>387357|429247|<br>471651|511923|549389|585569|<br>621614|<br>656457|<br>688517|<br>717048|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>27055|28099|28675|28021|27064|27086|27815|28162|<br>27886|<br>27436|
|5-9<br>24471|26614|2m8|28368|27788|26862|<br>26910|27661|<br>28032|<br>27783|
|10-14<br>22850|24297|26450|27579|28245|27681|<br>26771|26831|<br>27595|<br>27979|
|15-19<br>20803|22648|24104|26265|27416|28096|27550|26659|<br>26736|<br>27514|
|20-24<br>18857|20471|22328|23800|25986|27162|<br>27867|27355|<br>26498|<br>26604|
|25-29<br>15899|_184+6_|_0_<br>20091|21962|23470|25680|26886|27625|<br>27154|<br>26341|
|30-34<br>13322|15547|<br>18110|19754|21652|23134|<br>25413|26546|<br>27416|<br>26986|
|35-39<br>10676|13014|<br>15238|17797|19461|21372|22920|25161|<br>26416|<br>27213|
|40-44<br>8737|10393|<br>12716|14931|17486|19154|<br>21069|*<br>22626|<br>24872|<br>26146|
|45-49<br>7397|8448|10086|1z378|14574|17101|<br>18762|<br>20669|<br>22228|<br>24468|
|50-54<br>6252|7061|8093|9690|11927|14074|<br>16546|<br>18186|<br>20070|<br>21622|
|55-59<br>5300|5834|6614|7607|9136|11276|<br>13338|<br>15719|<br>17317|<br>19157|
|60-64<br>4174|4777|5283|6013|6942|8365|10357|<br>12290|<br>14528|<br>16054|
|65-69<br>3071|3564|4105|4564|5220|6052|7322|<br>9102|10845|<br>12871|
|70-74<br>2251|2401|2810|3260|3650|4197|4892|5952|7438|<br>8910|
|75+<br>2379|2560|2776|3186|3718|4271|4953|5813|7033|<br>8756|
|TOTAL<br>193494|<br>214186|<br>235204|255176|273736|291612|<br>309371|<br>326457|<br>342066|<br>355840|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>26310|27096|27613|26947|25991|26015|<br>26717|27053|<br>26790|<br>26361|
|5-9<br>23928|25928|26780|27355|26754|25828|25878|26604|<br>26964|<br>26727|
|10-14<br>22403|23782|25794|26662|27260|26674|25762|25825|<br>26564|<br>26937|
|15-19<br>20425|22254|23642|25662|26552|27164|26594|25699|<br>25777|<br>26530|
|20-24<br>18656|20202|22038|23434|25481|26396|27032|26489|<br>25621|<br>25725|
|25-29<br>15829|18400|<br>19952|21795|23222|25294|26237|26901|<br>26389|<br>25555|
|30-34<br>13349|15604|<br>18173|19731|21597|23045|<br>25135|26101|<br>26789|<br>26306|
|35-39<br>10733|13154|<br>15405|17970|19544|<br>21424|22885|24986|<br>25972|<br>26681|
|40-44<br>8841|10562|<br>12970|15214|.17777|19358|<br>21243|22713|<br>24822|<br>25825|
|45-49<br>7566|8673|10379|12767|14999|17548|<br>19129|<br>21015|<br>22490|<br>24603|
|50-54<br>6495|7372|8466|10149|12506|14713|<br>17236|<br>18813|<br>20694|<br>22173|
|55-59<br>5591|6255|7116|8190|9839|12146|<br>14315|<br>16797|<br>18364|<br>20235|
|60-64<br>4533|5272|- 5918|6753|7797|9389|11620|<br>13729|<br>16148|<br>17696|
|65-69<br>3458|4109|4803|5416|6207|7195|8696|10803|<br>12811|<br>15123|
|70-74<br>2652|2915|3489|4105|4660|5372|6264|7614|9514|<br>11349|
|75+<br>3093|3482|3910|4598|5466|6397|7501|8860|10742|<br>13383|
|TOTAL<br>193862|<br>215061|<br>236446|256747|275652|293957|<br>312243|<br>329999|<br>346450|<br>361208|
|BIRTH RATE|28.9|26.4|23.4|20.8|19.4|18.7|17.8|16.7|15.7|
|DEATH RATE|7.4|6.8|6.3|6.1|6.2|6.4|6.7|7.1|7.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.14|1.96|1.71|1.47|1.31|1.22|1.11|.96|.81|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 9|-. 8|-.7|-.5|-.4|-. 3|-.2|-.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.88|1.64|1.41|1.28|1.19|1.09|.95|.81|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.618|3.187|2.800|2.470|2.300|2.235|2.190|2.147|2.114|
|NRR<br>|1.610|1.443|1.286|1.147|1.072|1.046|1.030|1.014|1.003|
|**e(o)-** BOTH SEXES|66.32|67.79|69.11|70.31|70.93|71.56|72.22|72.90|73.59|
|**e(10)-** BOTH SEXES<br>|61.32|62.02|62.61|63.17|63.60|64.04|64.51|64.98|65.47|
|IMR*****BOTHSEXES<br>|56.5|48.6|40.8|33.7|31.2|28.6|26.2|23.7|21.2|
|q(5)**-** BOTHSEXES|.0702|.0592|**.0488**|.0397|.0367|.0336|.0306|.0276|.0246|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>73.4|<br>68.7|<br>64.5|59.1|53.7|49.4|<br>47.3|<br>47.1|<br> <br>47.7|<br>48.3|
49 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBEAN (LAC), BORRWERS ONLY Population projectios (thousands) Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GROJP**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............................................................................................|............|||||||
|TOTAL M.F<br>387357|511923|688517|799574|838401|849608|854752|856762|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>27055|28021|27886|27626|27534|27527|27535|27543|
|5-9<br>24471|28368|28032|27528|27436|27472|27503|27514|
|10-14<br>22850|27579|27595|27307|27354|27444|27487|27495|
|15-19<br>20803|262 :5|26736|27113|27324|27426|27460|27461|
|20-24<br>18857|238O0|26498|27158|27338|27387|27402|27402|
|25-29<br>15899|21962|27154|27467|27358|27305|27320|27335|
|30-34<br>13322|19754|27416|27568|27224|27174|27233|27270|
|35-39<br>10676|17797|26416|27011|26931|27027|27146|27197|
|40-44<br>8737|14931|24872|26005|26630|26900|27038|27082|
|45-49<br>7397|12378|22228|25524|26474|26730|26826|26854|
|50-54<br>6252|9690|20070|25677|26359|26367|26378|26412|
|55-59<br>5300|7607|17317|25020|25649|25488|25527|25609|
|60-64<br>4174|6013|14528|22655|23776|23923|24129|24272|
|65-69<br>3071|4564|10845|19236|20835|21623|22002|22164|
|70-74<br>2251|3260|7438|14502|17470|18466|18841|18967|
|75+<br>2379|3186|7033|17515|26711|28945|29716|30017|
|TOTAL<br>193494|255176|342066|394912|412402|417203|419544|420594|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>26310|26947|26790|26553|26440|26401|26399|26401|
|5-9<br>23928|27355|26964|26492|26386|26383|26395|26400|
|10-14<br>22403|26662|26564|26301|26335|26383|26400|26401|
|15-19<br>20425|25662|25M|26150|26349|26405|26406|26399|
|20-24<br>18656|23434|25621|26256|26427|26427|26401|26392|
|25-29<br>15829|21795|26389|26627|26511|26413|26383|26382|
|30-34<br>13349|19731|26789|26799|26440|26352|26359|26374|
|35-39<br>10733|17970|25972|26342|26225|26284|26345|26366|
|40-44<br>8841|¶5214|24822|25472|26029|26264|26340|26347|
|45-49<br>7566|12767|22490|25177|26041|26268|26298|26281|
|50-54<br>6495|10149|20694|25690|26228|26203|26153|26138|
|55-59<br>5591|8190|18364|25660|26069|25860|25847|25877|
|60-64<br>4533|6753|16148|24198|25061|25164|25335|25431|
|65-69<br>3458|5416|12811|21966|23217|24052|24444|24570|
|70-74<br>2652|4105|9514|18039|21086|22285|22734|22841|
|75+<br>3093|4598|10742|26942|41154|45260|46969|47568|
|TOTAL<br>193862|256747|346450|404662|425998|432405|435209|436168|
|BIRTH RATE|26.1|18.6|14.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.8|6.6|8.7|11.3|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-. 8|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.86|1.19|.60|.19|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.167|2.262|2.092|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|67.83|71.66|75.11|77.66|78.41|78.93|79.05|
|**IIR-** BOTH SEXES|48.7|28.6|16.3|8.4|7.3|6.6|6.5|
50

|LAC DEPARTM<br>. . ....<br>...<br>...<br>...|ENT<br>I<br>..<br>......|........<br>..<br>..|Popul<br>..<br>.......<br>........|ation<br>projec<br>..<br>....<br>...|tion<br>(thousan<br>..<br>.......|ds)<br>..........................||||...|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROLP**|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|.<br>.<br>..........|.. ..<br>...<br>......|...............................||...|...<br>.....<br>.....|.............|.............||||
|TOTALM+F|135564|15019o|164508|177627|189390|200797|212325|223322|233171|241557|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|9115|9616|**9536**|9064|8576|8705|9117|9258|9141|8945|
|5-9|8213|8993|9518|9462|9013|8532|8664|9077|9222|9109|
|10-14|7473|8173|8957|9486|9437|8990|8511|8645|9058|9205|
|15-19|6991|7425|8128|8914|9447|9400|8957|8482|8617|9032|
|20-24|6836|6919|7359|8065|8853|9386|9343|8907|8439|8576|
|25-29|5830|6752|6846|7290|7998|8785|9318|9281|8852|8391|
|30-34|49W7|<br>5754|6676|6778|7227|7933|8718|9252|9221|<br>8800|
|35-39|3971|4853|5679|6599|6708|7157|7861|8645|9181|9155|
|40-44|3144|3891|4768|5591|6507|6620|7068|77mI|8551|<br>9089|
|45-49|2718|3053|3790|4655|5470|6374|6492|6939|7637|8414|
|50-54|2249|2596|2927|3646|4490|5285|6168|6293|6737|7427|
|55-59|1926|2095|2429|2749|3436|4241|5004|5354|5987|6426|
|60-64|1514|1729|1891|2204|2505|3140|3889|4604|5403|5544|
|65-69|1105|1285|1478|1628|1908|2178|2742|3411|4054|4778|
|70-74|818|855|1005|<br>1167|1296|1528|1754|2221|2778|3321|
|75+|840|903|970|1116|1308|1498|1763|2064|2559|3220|
|TOTAL|67670|74891|81956|88413|94177|99750|105370|110703|115438|119431|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|8957|9284|9193|8725|8242|8366|8762|8898|8785|8598|
|5-9|8155|8856|9206|9137|8687|8210|8337|8735|<br>8875|8766|
|10-14|7453|8124|8830|9186|9121|8674|8198|8327|8726|<br>8867|
|15-19|6942|7422|8098|8807|9168|9105|8660|8186|8316|8716|
|20-24|6797|6903|7390|<br>8070|<br>8782|9144|9083|8641|8171|8303|
|25-29|5832|6751|6867|7358|<br>8040|8753|9116|9059|8621|8155|
|30-34|4955|5786|6707|6830|7325|<br>8008|8721|9086|9032|8599|
|35-39|3984|4906|5738|<br>6661|6790|7286|<br>7968|8682|9050|9001|
|40-44|3155|3932|4852|5683|6605|6738|<br>7234|<br>7917|8632|9003|
|45-49|2742|3098|3870|4783|5612|6528|6664|7161|7844|8559|
|50-54|2291|2670|3024|3786|4690|5509|6416|6557|7055|7736|
|55-59|1983|2201|2573|2925|3673|4557|5361|6254|6402|6899|
|60-64|1583|1860|- 2075|2439|2785|3506|4360|5142|6012|6170|
|65-69|1179|1422|1684|1893|2240|2567|3244|4050|4794|5627|
|70-74|899|978|1193|1429|1623|1932|2228|2833|3558|4238|
|75+|987|1112|1251|1502|1830|2166|2602|3091|3860|4890|
|TOTAL|67894|75305|82552|89214|95213|101046|106955|112620|117733|<br>122126|
|BIRTH RATE||28.4|25.3|21.8|19.1|18.2|17.9|17.2|16.1|15.1|
|DEATH RATE||7.9|7.0|6.5|6.2|6.4|6.7|7.1|7.5|8.1|
|RATE OF NAT|.INC.|2.05|1.82|1.54|1.28|1.17|1.12|1.01|.86|.71|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 0|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.05|1.82|1.53|1.28|1.17|1.12|1.01|.86|.71|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.460|3.006|2.612|2.270|2.146|2.136|2.127|2.117|2.108|
|NRR||1.531|1.357|1.197|1.053|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|64.91|66.76|68.42|69.91|70.58|71.26|71.96|72.67|73.40|
|**e(1O)**<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|60.55|61.52|62.36|63.11|63.55|64.01|64.47|64.95|65.44|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|63.0|53.6|44.5|36.5|33.7|30.9|28.1|25.4|22.6|
|q(S) BOTH|SEXES|0762|0636|0519|0418|.0386|.0354|.0322|.0290|.0258|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>68.7|.<br>65.8|.<br>61.8|.<br>56.0|.<br>50.2|<br>46.1|<br>45.0|<br>46.2|<br> <br>47.8|<br>49.1|
51 LAC DEPARTMENT I

# Population projection Cthousands)

Suuiry for 25 Year Periods

|......<br>......<br>_ ...........................<br>AGEGROJP<br>1985|........................................<br>2000|................<br>2025|2060|2075|2100|......................<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>........................................||<br>....................|<br>........................................|<br>.................|||__ ...,___|
|TOTALN+F<br>135564|177627|<br>233171|264613|274173|277577|279246|279890|
|MALES||||||||
|0-:<br>9115|9n64|9141|9041|8998|<br>8992|8995|8998|
|5-9<br>8213|9462|9222|9000|8957|<br>8971|8984|8989|
|10-14<br>7473|9486|9058|8892|8922|<br>8963|_8980_|<br>8983|
|i5-19<br>6991|8914|8617|8811|8918|8962|8973|8972|
|20-24<br>6836|8065|8439|8856|8942|_SIs3_|<br>8954|8952|
|25-29<br>5830|7290|8852|9007|8959|8923|8924|<br>8929|
|30-34<br>4927|6778|9221|9072|8901|<br>8871|8893|8908|
|35-39<br>3971|6599|9181|8872|8770|8815|8865|8885|
|40-44<br>3144|5591|8551|8389|8654|8780|8835|8849|
|45-49<br>2718|4655|7637|8137|8634|8743|8770|8774|
|50-54<br>2249|3646|6737|8379|8644|8635|8620|8627|
|55-59<br>1926|<br>2749|5987|8419|8440|8334|8333|8362|
|<br> <br>60-64<br>1514|<br> <br> <br>2204|<br>5403|<br>7870|<br>7808|<br>7790|<br>7869|<br>7926|
|65-69<br>1105|<br>1628|4054|6601|6720|7026|7180|7241|
|70-74<br>818|1167|2778|4962|5566|6020|6162|6199|
|75.<br>840|1116|2559|5981|8877|9480|9711|9800|
|TOTAL<br>67670|88413|115438|130294|134709|136257|<br>137049|137394|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>8957|8725|8785|8696|8641|8623|8623|8624|
|5-9<br>8155|9137|8875|8663|8614|8615|8622|8624|
|10-14<br>7453|9186|8726|8567|8590|8616|8624|8625|
|15-19<br>6942|8807|8316|8501|8601|8628|8628|8624|
|20-24<br>6797|8070|8171|8567|8645|S640|8626|8621|
|25-29<br>5832|7358|8621|8738|8684|8632|8617|8617|
|30-34<br>4955|6830|9032|8828|8647|8603|8607|8615|
|35-39<br>3984|6661|9050|8664|8543|8574|8604|8614|
|40-44<br>3155|-5683|8632|8233|8463|8574|8607|8608|
|45-49<br>2742|4783|7844|8046|8499|8594|8598|8587|
|50-54<br>2291|3786|7055|8409|8610|8584|8548|8538|
|55-59<br>1983|<br>2925|<br>6402|<br>8667|<br>8592|<br>8459|<br>8439|<br>8450|
|60-64<br>1583|<br>2439|<br>6012|<br>8444|<br>8248|<br>8201|<br>8265|<br>8306|
|65-69<br>1179|<br>1893|4794|<br>7646|<br>7511|<br>7824|<br>7981|<br>8029|
|70-74<br>899|<br>1429|<br>3558|<br>6289|<br>6746|<br>7277|<br>7439|<br>7469|
|75+<br>987|1502|<br>3860|9361|13829|<br>14876|15371|15546|
|TOTAL<br>67894|<br>89214|<br>11773|3<br>13431|9<br>139464|<br>14132|0<br>142198|<br>142496|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|25.0|17.6|14.3|13.1|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.1|6.8|9.3|11.7.|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.80|1.09|.51|.14|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.992|2.157|2.090|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(0)- BOTHSEXES|66.80|71.35|74.95|77.55|78.28|78.79|78.91|
|<br>IMR- BOTHSEXES|54.0|30.8|17.0|8.3|7.3|6.6|6.5|
52 LAC DEPARTMENT 11 Population projection (thousands)

|---............ ..<br>AGEGROUP|....<br>.........<br>1985|.....................<br>1990|....................<br>1995|.....................<br>2000|..........<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALH+F|103579|115905|128820|141481|153361|164948|176563|187901|198506|<br>208225|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|7791|8116|8487|8472|8164|8150|8336|8412<br>|8308<br>|8180<br>|
|5-9|7141|7652|7996|8383|8390|8093|8090|8288|8375|8283|
|10-14|7101|7074|7588|7936|8332|8346|8057|8061|8266|8360|
|15.19|6083|7021|6999|7516|7873|8276|8298|8018|8030|8243<br>|
|20-24|4988|5941|6884|6870|7401|777Z|8188|8226|7964|7992|
|25-29|4037|4817|_sm_|6719|6727|7275|7664|8099|8158<br>|7918<br>|
|30-34|3246|38E8|4673|5631|6585|6612|7175|7579|8031|8109|
|35-39|2471|3127|3771|4555|5517|6478|6519|7092|7510|7974|
|40-44|2120|2375|3028|3669|4454|5415|6376|6428|7009|7435|
|45-49|1m9|2034|2288|2932|3569|4347|5299|6252<br>|6315<br>|6898<br>|
|50-54|1438|1644|1942|2192|2820|3443|4204<br>|5136<br>|6073<br>|6145<br>|
|55-59|1165|<br>1339|<br>1537|<br>1823|<br>2064|2664|3262|3994|4893|5799|
|60-64|901|105I|<br>1212|<br>1397|<br>1662|<br>1889|<br>2447|<br>3007|<br>3693|<br>4538|
|65-69|633|770|<br>903|1047|<br>1212|<br>1449|<br>1654|<br>2152|<br>2655|<br>3274|
|70-74|477|496|608|717|836|973|<br>1171|<br>1345|<br>1759|<br>2183|
|75+|551|566|592|686|<br>810|<br>959|<br>1134|<br>1368|<br>1617|<br>2051|
|TOTAL|51872|<br>57910|<br>64283|<br>70542|<br>76417|<br>82140|<br>87874|<br>93459|<br>98655|<br>103382|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|7494|<br>7820|<br>8166|<br>8141|<br>7835|<br>7822|<br>8003|<br>8076|<br>7978|<br>7856<br>|
|5-9|6883|7372|7714|8074|8069|7775|7774|7965|8050|7964|
|10-14|6867|6824|<br>7317|<br>7663|<br>8032|<br>8034|<br>7747|<br>7753|<br>7952|<br>8044|
|15-19|5902|<br>6807|<br>6767|<br>7262|<br>7617|<br>7993|<br>8002|<br>7723|<br>7737|<br>7943|
|20-24|4927|<br>5807|<br>6710|<br>6673|<br>7182|<br>7550|<br>7939|<br>7961|<br>7697|<br>7724|
|25-29|4040|<br>4819|<br>5696|6600|6579|7102|7485|7889|7928|7680|
|30-34|3293|<br>3952|<br>4729|5605|6519|6510|7044|<br>7439|<br>7855|<br>7908|
|35-39|2539|3225|3882|4657|5539|<br>6457|<br>6458|7000|7403|7829|
|40-44|2203|2489|3171|3825|4601|5483|6403|6411|<br>6957|7366|
|45-49|1821|2159|2443|3119|3771|4543|5422|6340|6354|6902|
|50-54|1522|1776|2110|2391|3058|3703|4468|5340|6251<br>|6271<br>|
|55-59|1241|1470|1719|2046|2322|2976|3610|4363|<br>5222|6122|
|60-66|995|1176|- 1397|1638|1954|2223|2856|3473|<br>4206|5045|
|65-69|719|910|1079|1286|1513|1811|2068|2666|3254|3954|
|70-74|563|614|<br>780|<br>929|<br>1113|<br>1317|<br>1587|<br>1821|<br>2361|<br>2898|
|75.|697|774|<br>856|1031|<br>1242|<br>1507|<br>1822|<br>2221|<br>2645|<br>3335|
|TOTAL|51706|57995|64537|70938|76944|82808|88689|94443|99851|<br>104842|
|BIRTH RATE||30.9|28.6|25.6|22.5|20.7|19.7|18.6|17.3|16.1|
|DEATH RATE||6.2|5.7|5.3|5.1|5.2|5.4<br>|5.7<br>|6.1<br>|6.5<br>|
|RATE OF NAT|. INC.|2.46|2.30|2.04|1.74|1.55|1.43|1.29|1.12|.96|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-2.1|-1.8|-1.6|-1.2|-.9|-.6|-.4|-.2|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.25|2.11|1.87|1.61|1.46|1.36|1.24|1.10|.96|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.905|3.400|2.965|2.593|2.410|2.325|2.244|2.163|2.110|
|NRR||1.763|1.556|1.370|1.214|1.136|1.098|1.062|1.027|1.005|
|e(O)- BOTH|SEXES|67.73|68.98|70.10|71.13|71.69|72.27|72.87|73.49|74.13|
|e(10) - BOT|H SEXES|62.15|62.66|63.11|63.57|63.98|64.40|64.84|65.29|65.76|
|INR - BOTH|SEXES|49.7|41.9|34.8|28.6|26.6|24.6|22.5|20.5|18.5|
|q(5)- BOTH<br>DEP. RATIO|SEXES<br> <br>82.8|.0605<br>73.2|.0500<br>67.9|.0408<br>62.4|.0330<br> <br>56.8|.0307<br> <br>51.7|.0282<br> <br>48.2|.0258<br> <br>47.1|.0234<br> <br>46.7|.0211<br> <br>46.8|
53 Population projection (thousands) LAC DEPARTMENT **11** Su mry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP|1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........................|||.......|.<br>,.........|___._**_.**<br>..<br>............|..__.<br>|_......................|_<br>_,-|
|TOTAL M+F|103579|<br>¶41481|<br>198506|<br>236971|<br>250863|<br>254201|<br>255599|<br>256137|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|7791|<br>8472|<br>8308|<br>8253|<br>8231|<br>8229|<br>8231|<br>8233|
|5-9|7141|<br>8383|<br>8375|<br>8235|<br>8205|<br>8213|<br>8221|<br>8224|
|10-14|7101|<br>7936|<br>8266|<br>8179|<br>8180|<br>8203|<br>8216|<br>8219|
|15-19|6083|<br>7516|<br>8030|<br>8113|<br>8166|<br>8197|<br>8208|<br>8209|
|20-24|4988|<br>6870|<br>7964|<br>8104|<br>8167|<br>8186|<br>8191|<br>8191|
|25-29|4037|<br>6719|<br>8158|<br>8193|<br>8175|<br>8164|<br>8168|<br>8171|
|30-34|3246|<br>5631|<br>8031|<br>8242|<br>8146|<br>8128|<br>8142|<br>8152|
|35-39|2471|<br>4555|<br>7510|<br>8098|<br>8069|<br>8083|<br>8115|<br>8129|
|40-44|2120|<br>3669|<br>7009|<br>7818|<br>7973|<br>8041|<br>8081|<br>80W'5|
|45-49|1729|<br>2932|<br>6315|<br>7680|<br>7904|<br>7987|<br>8019|<br>8028|
|50-54|1438|<br>2192|<br>6073|m75|7868|<br>7882|<br>7888|<br>7897|
|55-59|1165|<br>1823|<br>4893|<br>7343|<br>7676|<br>7631|<br>7637|<br>7657|
|60-64|901|1397|<br>3693|<br>6454|<br>7139|<br>7173|<br>7219|<br>7257|
|65-69|633|1047|<br>2655|<br>5434|<br>6278|<br>6480|<br>6579|<br>6626|
|70-74|477|717|1759|<br>4132|<br>5272|<br>5521|<br>5633|<br>5672|
|75+|551|<br>686|1617|<br>5062|<br>7923|<br>8681|<br>8902|<br>8985|
|TOTAL|51872|<br>70542|<br>98655|<br>117064|<br>123373|<br>124799|<br>125448|<br>125745|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|7494|<br>8141|<br>7978|<br>7930|<br>7903|<br>7891|<br>7890|<br>7890|
|5-9|6883|<br>8074|<br>8050|<br>7922|<br>7889|<br>7886|<br>7889|<br>7890|
|10-14|6867|<br>7663|<br>7952|<br>7875|<br>7873|<br>7885|<br>7890|<br>7890|
|15-19|5902|<br>7262|<br>m7|7822|<br>7873|<br>7890|<br>7891|<br>7890|
|20-24|4927|<br>6673|<br>7697|<br>7831|<br>7892|<br>7897|<br>7891|<br>7888|
|25-29|4040|<br>6600|<br>7928|<br>7939|<br>7919|<br>7895|<br>7886|<br>7885|
|30-34|3293|<br>5605|<br>7855|<br>8009|<br>7909|<br>7880|<br>7879|<br>788?|
|35-39|2539|<br>4657|<br>7403|<br>7896|<br>7854|<br>7859|<br>7874|<br>783u|
|40-44|2203|<br>-3825|<br>6957|<br>7659|<br>77'89|<br>7849|<br>7871|<br>7874|
|4v-49|1821|<br>3119|<br>6354|<br>7580|<br>7772|<br>7847|<br>7859|<br>7855|
|50-54|1522|<br>2391|<br>6251|<br>m9|7828|<br>7831|<br>7819|<br>7813|
|55-59|1241|<br>2046|<br>5222|<br>7551|<br>7803|<br>7740|<br>7731|<br>7736|
|60-64|995|1638|<br>4206|<br>6929|<br>7528|<br>7545|<br>7579|<br>7602|
|65-69|719|1286|<br>3254|<br>6198|<br>7004|<br>7210|<br>7310|<br>7344|
|70-74|563|<br>929|2361|<br>5146|<br>6381|<br>6669|<br>6799|<br>6829|
|75+|697|1031|<br>2645|<br>7881|<br>12272|<br>13628|<br>14095|<br>14243|
|TOTAL|51706|<br>70938|<br>99851|<br>119907|<br>127489|<br>129402|<br>130151|<br>130392|
|BIRTH RATE||28.2|19.6|14.9|13.2|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||5.7|5.6|7.9|11.0,|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-1.8|-.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.08|1.35|.71|.23|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTI|LITY|3.377|2.337|2.086|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|69.02|72.37|75.51|77.83|78.50|78.96|79.07|
|**IMR-** BOTH S|EXES|42.1|24.5|14.5|8.1|7.2|6.6|6.4|
54

|LAC DEPARTMENT<br>III||Popula|tionprojec|tion<br>(thous|ands)|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,. ..<br>,................................................|||.....<br>........|..<br>. ....|..<br>......<br>..<br>...|...<br>. ..................|||..|
|AG£ GROUP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL H.F<br>70368<br>|78091|<br>86031|<br>93634|<br>100891|<br>107870|<br>114792|<br>121565|<br>127866|<br>133521|
|MALES|||||||||<br>|
|0-4<br>5134|5272|5468|5386|5275|5222|5318|5399|5355|<br>5262|
|5-9<br>4545<br> <br>|5023<br>|5171<br>|5379<br>|5315<br>|5214<br>|5170<br>|5273<br>|5362<br>|<br>5326<br> <br>|
|10-14<br>4124|4499|4977|5129|5344|5286|5189|5149|5256|<br>5349|
|15-19<br>3959|4073|4449|4929|5088|5307|5253|5161|5125|<br>5236|
|20-24<br>3560|3874|3991|4371|4858|5026<br>|5251<br>|5206<br>|5122<br>|<br>5095<br> <br>|
|23-29<br>2942|3458|3772|3897|4287|4783|4960|5193|5158|<br>5085|
|30-34<br>2413|2852|3366|3685|3820|4218|4720|4904|5145|<br>5119|
|35-39<br>1940|2337|2774|3288|3613|3756|4158|4663|4853|<br>5099|
|40-44<br>1526|1873|2267|2702<br>|3217<br>|3544<br>|3692<br>|*<br>4095<br>|4601<br>|<br>4796<br> <br>|
|45-49<br>1254|1464|1806|2195|2627|3136|3462|3613|4015|<br>4519|
|50-54<br>1054|1190|1396|1728|2108|2530|3028<br>|3349<br>|3501<br> <br>|<br>3899<br> <br>|
|55-59<br>884|979|1110|1306|1623|1988|2393|2872|<br>3184|<br>3336|
|60-64<br>686|794|883|1005|1187|1481|1821|2200|2650|<br>2946|
|65-69<br>511|583|679|759|868|1030|1291|1595|<br>1937|<br>2343|
|70-74<br>352|399|458|537|603|694|828|1046|<br>1300|<br>1588|
|75+<br>329|383|442|514|605|699|814|970|1209|<br>1519|
|TOTAL<br>35213<br>|39052|43009|46810|50437|53914|57349|60690|63773|<br>66518|
|F&IALES||||||||<br>|<br>|
|0-4<br>4985|5091|5275|5188|5075|5025|5117|5195|<br>5152|<br>5062|
|5-9<br>4436|4885|5002|5197|5128|5024|4982|5081|5167|<br>5132<br>|
|10-14<br>4030|4394|484|4966|5167|5103|5004|4966|5069|<br>S158<br>|
|15-19<br>3892|3987|43S2|4803|4931|5137|5078|4983|4950|<br>5058|
|20-24<br>3526|3824|3919|4286|4746|4883|5096|5045|4958|<br>4933|
|25-29<br>2916|3447|3744|3842|4218|4688|4834|5055|<br>5013|<br>4937|
|30-34<br>2404|2849|3377|3675|3782|4165|4640|4794|5021|<br>4988|
|35-39<br>1934<br>|2349<br>|2792<br>|3318<br>|3620<br>|3733<br>|4120<br>|4599<br>|4758<br>|<br>4990<br> <br>|
|40-44<br>1527|1890|2301|2741|3266|3570|3688|4076|4557|<br>4721|
|45-49<br>1275|1488|1846|2252|2689|3210|3515|3636|4025|<br>4506<br>|
|50-54<br>1100|1233<br>|1442<br>|1793<br>|2194<br>|2625<br>|3140<br>|3443<br>|<br>356-<br>|3956<br> <br>|
|55-59<br>939|1051|1181|1384|1725|2117|2539|3045|3346|<br>3474|
|60-64<br>751|877|-<br>985|1109|1303|1631|2009|2419|<br>2910|<br>3207|
|65-69<br>581|673|788|888|1004|1187|1495|1851|<br>2239|<br>2707|
|70-74<br>414|483|562|663|751|855|1019|1294|<br>1614|<br>1967|
|75+<br>445<br> <br>|519<br>|610<br>|719<br>|855<br>|1002<br>|1168<br>|<br>139<br>|1747<br>|<br>2209<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>35155|39038|43021|46825|50454|53955|57443|60875|64092|<br>67003|
|BIRTH RATE|30.0|27.9|24.9|22.3|20.5|19.5|18.6|17.4|16.2|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|7.0|6.6|6.4|6.5|6.6|6.8|7.1|7.6|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|2.25|2.09|1.82|1.59|1.40|1.29|1.17|1.02|.87|
|NET HIGRATION<br>RATE<br>|-1.7<br>|-1.5<br>|-1.3<br>|-. 9<br>|-. 6<br>|-. 4<br>|-. 3<br>|-.1<br>|.0<br>|
|GROwTH<br>RATE|2.08|1.94|1.69|1.49|1.34|1.24|1.15|1.01|.87|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.726|3.336|2.976|2.665|2.442|2.332|2.265|2.197|2.141|
|NRR|1.622|1.478|i.343|1.218|1.119|1.075|1.052|1.026|1.006|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|65.25|66.57|6716|68.85|69.51|70.20|70.92|71.68|72.46|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|60.42|61.02|61.50|61.96|62.44|62.94|63.46|64.0.|64.58|
|INR - BOTH SEXES<br>|59.0|52.5<br>|45.5<br>|38.7<br>|36.0<br>|32.9<br>|29.9<br>|26.9<br>|24.0<br>|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0766|.0673|.0576|.0483|.0449|.0409<br>|.0370<br> <br>|.0331<br> <br>|.0293<br> <br>|
|DEP. RATIO<br>73.8|70.2|66.2|60.6|55.5|50.8|<br>48.3|<br>47.6|<br>47.9|<br>48.5|
55

# LAC DEPARTMENT III

Population projection (thousands) Suurry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..............................|..............|........................................|.................|||||
|TOTAL**IMF**<br>70368|93634|127866|150379|159476|162192|163448|163955|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>5134|5386|5355|5287|5270|5269|5271|5273|
|5-9<br>4345|5379|5362|5267|5252|5259|5265|5267|
|10416<br>4124|51VA|5256|5227|5237|5253|5261|5263|
|15-19<br>3959|4929|5125|5189|5229|5249|5256|5256|
|20-24<br>3560|4371|5122|5195|5227|5240|5244|5245|
|25-29<br>2942|3897|5158|5255|5230|5224|5229|5232|
|30-34<br>2413|3685|5145|5256|5204|5199|5212|5220|
|35-39<br>1940|3288|4853|5124|5148|5171|5195|5205|
|40-44<br>1526|2702|4601|4960|5089|5145|5173|5183|
|45-49<br>1254|2195|4015|4905|5054|5107|5131|5139|
|50-54<br>1054|1728|3501|4846|5030|5035|5045|5054|
|5-59<br>884|1306|3184|4662|4874|4864|4882|4900|
|60-64<br>686|1005|2650|4131|4489|4563|4613|4643|
|65-69<br>511|759|1937|3530|3949|4119|4203|4239|
|70-74<br>352|537|1300|2595|3330|3511|3594|3625|
|73+<br>329|514|1209|3088|4930|5463|5651|<br>5730|
|TOTAL<br>35213|46810|63m|74516|78543|79670|80225|<br>80476|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4985|5188|5152|5086|5065|5057|5056|5057|
|5-9<br>4436|5197|5167|5075|5055|5054|5056|<br>5056|
|10-14<br>4030|4966|5069|5041|5046|5054|5056|<br>5057|
|15-19<br>3892|4803|4950|5012|5048|5057|5057|<br>5056|
|20-24<br>3526|4286|4958|5029|5058|5061|5056|5055|
|25-29<br>2916|3842|5013|5101|5075|5058|5053|<br>5053|
|30-34<br>2404|3675|5021|5116|5061|5047|5049|<br>5051|
|35-39<br>1934|3318|4758|5001|5021|5034|5046|<br>5050|
|40-44<br>1527|.2741|4557|4860|4982|5028|5044|<br>5046|
|45-49<br>1275|2252|4025|4836|4979|5024|5035|<br>5033|
|50-54<br>1100|1793|3567|483|5011|5009|5006|5005|
|55-59<br>939|1384|3346|4761|4957|4941|4947|4955|
|60-64<br>751|1109|2910|4380|4730|4805|4847|<br>486|
|65-69<br>581|888|2239|3972|4392|4584|4672|<br>4701|
|70-74<br>414|663|1614|3162|4001|4235|4336|<br>4367|
|75+<br>445|719|1747|4594|7451|8473|8906|<br>9069|
|TOTAL<br>35S55|46825|64092|75862|80933|82522|83223|<br>83479|
|BIRTH RATE|27.4|19.5|15.0|13.4|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|7.0|6.7|8.6|11.0|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|**MET**MIGRATION RATE|-1.5|-. 5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.90|1.25|.65|.23|.07|.03|O1|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.312|2.369|2.107|2.066|2.061|2.058|2.058|
|etO)<br>-<br>BOTH SEXES|66.61|70.32|74.21|77.21|78.16|78.84|79.01|
|**IR-** BOTH SEXES|52.3|32.8|18.5|9.5|7.8|6.7|6.5|
56 LAC DEPARTMENT IV Poputatfon projection (thousands)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>.......................................................................................|1990<br>...........................................|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN+F<br>77846|85056|92292|99181|<br>105748|<br>111954|117934|<br>123668|<br>128974|<br>133746|
|4ALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5014|5096|5184|5099|<br>5049|5009|5044|5093|5082|<br>5C50|
|5-9<br>4571|4946|5043|5144|<br>5070|5023|4986|5023|5074|<br>5065|
|10-14<br>4152|4551|4921|5028|<br>5132|5059|5013|4976|5015|<br>5066|
|15-19<br>3771|4129|4528|4906|<br>5009|5114|5043|4998|4963|<br>5002|
|20-24<br>472|<br>3736|4094|<br>495|<br>4874|4979|5085|5016|<br>4974|<br>4941|
|25-29<br>3090|3433|3698|4056|<br>4458|4837|4944|5052|4987|<br>4947|
|30-34<br>2735|3053|3395|<br>3661|<br>4020|4421|4800|4910|5020|<br>4958|
|35-39<br>2294|269?|3015|3355|<br>3622|3981|4382|4760|4873|<br>4985|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>1947|<br>2254|<br>2653|<br>2969|<br> <br> <br>3309|<br>3575|<br>3933|<br>-<br>4333|<br>4710|<br><br> <br>4825|
|45-49<br>1696|<br>1897|<br>2201|2595|<br>2908|3244|3508|3864|4262|<br>4638|
|50-54<br>1512|<br>1630|1828|2125|<br>2510|2817|3146|3408|3758|<br>4151|
|55-59<br>1325|1421|1537|1728|<br>2013|2382|2679|2998|3253|<br>3595|
|60-64<br>1073|<br>1204|1297|1407|<br>1588|1854|2199|2479|2782|<br>3026|
|65-69<br>822|926|1045|1131|<br>1233|1395|'635|1945|<br>2200|<br>2476|
|70-74<br>605|651|740|840|915|1002|1139|1340|<br>1601|<br>1819|
|75+<br>659|709|771|870|996|1115|1242|1411|<br>1648|<br>1965|
|TOTAL<br>38739|42333|<br>45956|49410|<br>52706|55847|58778|<br>61606|<br>64200|<br>66509|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4875|4901|4980|4893|<br>4839|4802|4837|4885|4875|<br>484f|
|5-9<br>4455|4816|4858|4947|<br>4870|4819|4785|4822|4872|<br>4865|
|10-14<br>4053|4440|4803|4847|<br>4939|4863|4813|4780|4818|<br>4868|
|15-19<br>3689|4038|4425|4790|4837|4929|4854|4806|4m7|4813|
|20-24<br>3406|3668|4017|4406|<br>4772|4820|4915|4842|4795|<br>4765|
|25-29<br>3040|3383|3645|3994|<br>4384|4751|4802|4897|4827|<br>4703|
|30-34<br>2697|3017|3359|3621|<br>3971|4362|4729|4782|480|4812|
|35-39<br>2276|2674|2992|3334|<br>3596|3947|4338|4705|4761|<br>4861|
|40-44<br>1956|2252|2647|2965|<br>3305|3567|3917|4308|4676|<br>4735|
|45-49<br>1729|1928|2221|2613|<br>2928|3266|3528|3878|4268|<br>4636|
|50-54<br>1582|1692|1890|2178|<br>2565|2877|3212|3473|3821|<br>4211|
|55-59<br>1428|1533|1642|1835|<br>2118|2496|2804|3135|3393|<br>3740|
|60-64<br>1203|1359|- 1461|1567|<br>1755|2029|2395|2695|3019|<br>3275|
|65-69<br>979|1105|1251|1349|<br>1450|1629|1889|2236|<br>2524|<br>2835|
|70-74<br>776|841|953|1085|<br>1173|1267|1430|1666|<br>1980|<br>2245|
|75+<br>964<br>|1077|1192|1347|<br>1540|1723|1908|2152|2490|<br>2948|
|TOTAL<br>39107|42723|<br>46336|49770|<br>53042|56147|59156|<br>62062|<br>64774|<br>67237|
|BIRTH RATE|26.1|24.2|21.8|20.0|18.6|17.7|17.0|16.2|15.4|
|DEATH RATE|8.3|7.7|7.3|7.1|7.2|7.3|7.5|7.7|8.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.78|1.65|1.45|1.29|1.15|1.04|.95|.84|.73|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|
|GRCWTH<br>RATE|1.77|1.63|1.44|1.28|i.14|1.04|.95|.84|.73|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.414|3.082|2.737|2.467|2.278|2.184|2.146|2.121|2.106|
|NRR|1.540|1.404|1.261|1.147|1.064|1.025|1.011|1.003|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|67.74|68.96|70.08|71.10|71.64|72.22|72.82|73.43|74.07|
|*t0O)- BOTH SEXES|62.30|62.83|63.30|63.74|64.13|64.53|64.95|65.39|65.84|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|52.4|46.1|38.9|32.1|29.2|26.7|24.6|22.4|20.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0673|.0574|.0471|.0378|.0343|.0313|.0287|.0261|.0233|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>69.5|<br>66.8|<br>63.2|58.4|<br>54.3|50.8|48.9|<br>'8.4|48.6|<br>49.1|
# LAC DEPARTMENT IV

# Population projectian (thouands)

# Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|...<br>..<br>..<br>......-<br>@<br>.<br>.. .....<br> <br>|...............<br>|<br>. -<br>-<br>|-.... .................... -<br>|.-.........<br>|.-<br>.<br><br>|.<br>...**.**.<br>.<br>|.<br>.<br>..<br>..<br>.-<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|20/5|2100|2125|2150|
|.....<br>........<br>a-.... .<br>---........|.......<br>-|--........<br>-----.<br>-w**.**- ....|.........|.....<br>...|..<br>-<br>|........|.....|
|TOTALN4F<br>77846|<br>99181|128974|147611|153889|155638|156458|<br>156779|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>5014|5099|5082|5040|5034|5037|5039|5040|
|5-9<br>4571|5144|5074|5026|5023|5029|5033|5034|
|10-14<br>4152|5028|5015|5009|<br>5016|5025|5030|5030|
|15-19<br>3771|4906|4963|5000|<br>5011|5019|<br>5023|5024|
|20-24<br>3472|4495|4974|5003|5002|5008|5013|5014|
|25-29<br>3090|4056|4987|5013|4993|4993|4999|5002|
|30-34<br>2735|3661|5020|4998|4972|4976|4986|4991|
|35-39<br>2294|3355|4873|4918|4943|4957|4971|4977|
|40-44<br>1947|2969|4710|4837|4915|4935|4949|4955|
|45-4<br>1696|2595|4262|4802|4882|4893|4907|4913|
|50-54<br>1512|2125|3758|4728|4817|4816|4825|4834|
|55-59<br>1325|1728|3253|4597|4658|4659|4676|4690|
|60-64<br>1U0r|1407|2782|4200|4340|4396|4428|4446|
|65-69<br>822|1131|2200|3671|3890|3998|4039|4058|
|70-74<br>605|840|1601|2812|3302|3414|3453|3471|
|75+<br>659|870|1648|3384|4980|5321|5452|5502|
|TOTAL<br>38739|<br>49410|64200|73037|<br>757s7|76476|76822|76979|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4875|4893|4875|4841|<br>4832|<br>4830|4830|4830|
|5-9<br>4455|4947|4872|4832|4828|4828|4829|4829|
|10-14<br>4053|4847|4818|4818|4826|4829|4830|4829|
|15-19<br>3689|4790|4773|4816|4828|4830|4829|4829|
|20-24<br>3406|4406|4795|4829|4832|4830|4828|4828|
|25-29<br>3040|3994|4827|4849|4834|4827|4826|4827|
|30-34<br>2697|3621|4880|4845|4823|4822|4824|4825|
|35-39<br>2276|3334|4761|4781|4805|4817|4822|4823|
|40-44<br>1956|2965|4676|4720|4795|4813|4818|4819|
|45-49<br>1729|2613|4268|4716|4791|4803|4807|4806|
|50-54<br>1582|2178|3821|4703|4778|4779|4780|4782|
|55-59<br>1428|1835|3393|4680|4717|4719|4730|4736|
|60-64<br>1203|1567|3019|4446|4554|4614|4644|4655|
|65-69<br>979|1349|2524|4151|4310|4434|4481|4495|
|70-74<br>776|1085|1980|3442|3958|4104|4159|4176|
|75+<br>964|1347|2490|5107|<br>7602|8282|8598|8710|
|TOTAL<br>39107|<br>49770|64774|74574|78112|79162|79637|<br>79801|
|BIRTH RATE|23.9|17.8|14.4|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.7|7.4|9.1|11.5|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-.1|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|1.61|1.05|.54|.17|.05|.02|.o1|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.054|2.232|2.088|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|**e(O)-** ROTHSEXES|68.99|72.30|75.45|77.80|78.49|78.96|79.07|
|<br>IHR- BOTH SEXES|45.8|27.0|15.4|8.1|7.2|6.6|6.4|
# LAC DEPARTMENT I
60

|BRAZIL<br>.<br>,<br>,_<br>.<br>.........|.........................................|Popul<br>.**.**<br>.<br>.<br>..-.<br>- .|ation<br>proje<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|ction<br>(thousan<br>.<br>.<br>.|ds)<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>..-.<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>..-|-.<br>.<br>.|..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GR0LP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|..............................|.................|...........................................||||....|...<br>...................|....|.....<br>............................|
|TOTAL II+F<br>135564|150195|<br>164508|<br>177627|189390|200797|<br>212325|<br>223322|<br>233171|<br>241557|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9115|9616|9536|9064|8576|8705|<br>9117|<br>9258|<br>9141|<br>8945|
|5-9<br>8213|8993|9518|9462|9013|8532|<br>8664|<br>9077|<br>9222|<br>9109|
|10-14<br>7473|8173|8957|9486|9437|8990|8511|<br>8645|<br>9058|<br>9205|
|15-19<br>6991|7425|8128|8914|9447|9400|<br>8957|<br>8482|<br>8617|<br>9032|
|20-24<br>6836|6919|7359|8065|8853|9386|<br>9343|<br>8907|<br>8439|<br>8576|
|25-29<br>5830|6752|6846|7290|7998|8785|<br>9318|<br>9281|<br>8852|<br>8391|
|30-34<br>4927<br> <br>|5754<br>|6676<br>|6778<br>|72?7<br>|7933<br>|<br>8718<br> <br>|<br>9252<br> <br>|<br>9221<br> <br>|<br>8800<br> <br>|
|35-39<br>3971|4853|5679|6599|6708|7157|<br>7861|<br>8645|<br>9181|<br>9155|
|40-44<br>3144|3891|4768|5591|6507|6620|<br>7068|<br>7770|<br>8551|<br>9089|
|45-49<br>2718|3053|3790|4655|5470|6374|<br>6492|<br>6939|<br>7637|<br>8414|
|50-54<br>2249|2596|2927|3646|4490|5285|<br>6168|<br>6293|<br>6737|<br>7427|
|55-59<br>1926|2095|2429|2749|3436|4241|<br>5004|<br>5854|<br>5987|<br>6426|
|60-64<br>1514|1729|1891|2204|2505|3140|<br>3889|<br>4604|<br>5403|<br>5544|
|65-69<br>1105|1285|1478|1628|1908|2176|<br>2742|<br>3411|<br>4054|<br>4776|
|70-74<br>818|855|1005|1167|1296|1528|<br>1754|<br>2221|<br>2778|<br>3321|
|75+<br>840|903|970|1116|1308|1498|<br>1763|<br>2064|<br>2559|<br>3220|
|TOTAL<br>67670|74891|81956|88413|94177|99750|<br>105370|<br>110703|<br>115438|<br>119431|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8957|9284|9193|8725|8242|8366|<br>8762|<br>8898|<br>8785|<br>8598|
|5-9<br>8155|8856|9206|9137|8687|8210|8337|<br>8735|<br>8875|<br>8766|
|10-14<br>7453|8124|8830|<br>9186|9121|8674|<br>8198|<br>8327|<br>8726|<br>8867|
|15-19<br>6942|7422|8098|8807|9168|9105|<br>8660|<br>8186|<br>8316|<br>8716|
|20-24<br>6797|6903|<br>7390|<br>8070|<br>8782|9144|<br>9083|<br>8641|<br>8171|<br>8303|
|25-29<br>5832|6751|6867|7358|<br>8040|8753|<br>9116|<br>9059|<br>8621|<br>8155|
|30-34<br>4955|<br>5786|6707|6830|7325|<br>8008|<br>8721|<br>9086|<br>9032|<br>8599|
|35-39<br>3984|4906|5738|6661|6790|7286|<br>7968|<br>8682|<br>9050|<br>9001|
|40-44<br>3155|3932|4852|5683|6605|6738|<br>7234|<br>7917|<br>8632|<br>9003|
|45-49<br>2742|3098|3870|4783|5612|6528|<br>6664|<br>7161|<br>7844|<br>8559|
|50-54<br>2291|2670|3024|3786|4690|5509|<br>6416|<br>6557|<br>7055|<br>7736|
|55-59<br>1983|2201|2573|2925|3673|4557|5361|<br>6254|<br>6402|<br>6899|
|60-64<br>1583|1860|2075|2439|2785|3506|<br>4360|<br>5142|<br>6012|<br>6170|
|65-69<br>1179|1422|1684|1893|2240|2567|<br>3244|4050|<br>4794|<br>5627|
|70-74<br>899|978|1193|1429|1623|1932|<br>2228|<br>2833|<br>3558|<br>4238|
|75+<br>987<br>|11I<br>|1251<br>|1502<br>|1830|2166<br>|<br>2602<br> <br>|<br>3091<br> <br>|<br>3860<br> <br>|<br>4890<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>67894|75305|82552|89214|95213|<br>101046|<br>106955|<br>112620|<br>117733|<br>122126|
|BIRTH RATE|28.4|25.3|21.8|19.1|18.2|17.9|17.2|16.1|15.1|
|DEATH RATE|7.9|7.0|6.5|6.2|6.4|6.7|7.1|7.5|8.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.05|1.82|1.54|1.28|1.17|1.12|1.01|.86|.71|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.0|**-.0**|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|***.0**|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.82|1.53|1.28|1.17|1.12|1.01|.86|.71|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.460|3.006|2.612|2.270|2.146|2.136|2.127|2.117|2.108|
|NRR|1.531|1.357|1.197|1.053|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|**e(O)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|64.91|66.76|68.42|69.91|70.58|71.26|71.96|72.67|73.40|
|e(IO)- BOTH SEXES|60.55|61.52|62.36|63.11|63.55|64.01|64.47|64.95|65.44|
|**IHR**<br>- BOTH SEXES|63.0|53.6|44.5|36.5|33.7|30.9|28.1|25.4|22.6|
|qC5)<br>BOTH SEXES|0762|0636|0519|0418|0386|0354|0322|0290|0258|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.7|.<br>65.8|.<br> <br>61.8|.<br>56.0|.<br>50.2|.<br>46.1|.<br> <br>45.0|.<br> <br>46.2|.<br> <br>47.8|.<br> <br>49.|
61

# BRAZIL

# Population projection (thousands)

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|......................................<br>AGE GROUP|.................................<br>1985|.................................<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>M F|135564|177627|233171|264613|274173|277577|279246|279890|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|9o,5|9064|9141|9046|8998|8992|8995|8998|
|5-9|8213|9462|9222|9000|8957|8971|8984|8989|
|10-14|7473|9486|9058|8892|8922|8963|8980|8983|
|15-19|6991|8914|8617|8811|8918|8962|8973|<br>8972|
|20-24|6836|8065|8439|8856|8942|8953|<br>8954|<br>8952|
|25-29|5830|7290|8852|9007|8959|8923|8924|8929|
|30-34|4927|6778|9221|9072|8901|8871|8893|8908|
|35-39|3971|6599|9181|8872|8770|8815|8865|8885|
|40-44|3144|5591|8551|8389|8654|8780|8835|8849|
|45-49|2718|4655|7637|8137|8634|<br>8743|8770|8774|
|50-54|2249|3646|6737|a379|8644|8635|8620|8627|
|55-59|1926|2749|5987|8419|8440|8334|8333|8362|
|60-64|1514|2204|5403|7870|7808|7790|7869|7926|
|65-69|1105|1628|4054|6601|6720|7026|7180|7241|
|70-74|818|1167|2778|4962|5566|6020|6162|6199|
|75+|840|1116|2559|5981|8877|9480|9711|9800|
|TOTAL|67670|B413|115438|130294|134709|136257|137049|<br>137394|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|8957|8725|8785|8696|8641|8623|8623|8624|
|5-9|8155|9137|8875|8663|8614|8615|8622|8624|
|10-14<br>|7453<br>|9186<br>|8726<br>|<br>8567<br>|8590<br>|8616<br>|8624<br>|8625<br>|
|15-19|6942|8807|8316|8501|8601|8628|8628|8624|
|20-24|6797|8070|8171|8567|8645|8640|8626|8621|
|25-29|5832|7358|8621|8738|8684|8632|8617|8617|
|30-34|4955|6830|9032|8828|8647|3603|<br>8607|8615|
|35-39|3984|6661|9050|8664|8543|8574|<br>8604|8614|
|40-44|3155|5683|8632|8233|8463|8574|8607|8608|
|45-49|2742|4783|7844|8046|8499|<br>8594|8598|8587|
|50-54|2291|3786|7055|8409|8610|8584|8548|8538|
|55-59|1983|2925|6402|8667|8592|8459|8439|8450|
|60-64|1583|2439|6012|8444|8248|8201|8265|8306|
|65-69|179|1893|4794|7646|7511|7824|7981|8029|
|70-74|899|1429|3558|6289|6746|7277|<br>7439|7469|
|75+|987|1502|3860|9361|13829|14876|15371|<br>15546|
|TOTAL|67894|89214|117733|<br>134319|139464|141320|142198|142496|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||25.0|17.6|14.3|13.1|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.1|6.8|9.3|11.7|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETNIGRAT|ICr<br>RATE|-.0|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.80|1.09|.51|.14|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|2.992|2.157|2.090|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)**-** BOTH|SEXES|66.80|71.35|74.95|77.55|78.28|78.79|78.91|
|**IER-** BOTH S|EXES|54.0|30.8|17.0|8.3|7.3|6.6|6.5|
# LAC DEPARTMENT 11
64 COSTA RICA Projectfon (000n) with NRR=l by 2005

|........................................................................<br>AGEGROWP<br>1985|..............................<br>1990|..........................<br> <br>1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>............................................................................|<br>..............................|<br> <br>........................||<br>||||<br>|<br>|
|TOTALHeF<br>2489|2803|3098|3363|<br>3600|3832|4068|4293|<br>4492|<br>4658|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>175|185|179|168|<br>159|163|172|175|172|<br>167|
|5-9<br>157|175|184|178|<br>168|159|163|<br>172|174|<br>171|
|10-14<br>135|157|174|184|<br>178|167|159|<br>163|172|<br>174|
|15-19<br>139|134|<br>157|<br>174|<br>1<br>P4|<br>178|<br>167|<br>158|<br>162|<br>171|
|20-24<br>135|139|134|156|<br>173|183|177|<br>167|158|<br>162|
|25-29<br>116|134|138|133|<br>155|172|182|<br>176|<br>166|<br>157|
|30-34<br>91|115|133|137|<br>132|154|172|<br>182|176|<br>165|
|35-39<br>71|91|<br>114|<br>132|<br>136|<br>132|<br>154|<br>171|<br>181|<br>175|
|40-44<br>55|70|<br>90|113|<br>131|<br>135|<br>131|<br>152|<br>170|<br>179|
|45-49<br>44|54|<br>69|89|<br>112|<br>129|<br>134|<br>129|151|<br>168|
|50-54<br>39|43|<br>52|67|<br>86|<br>109|<br>126|<br>131|<br>126|<br>147|
|55-59<br>32|37|<br>41|50|<br>64|<br>83|<br>105|<br>121|<br>126|<br>121|
|60-64<br>24|30|<br>34|38|<br>47|<br>60|<br>77|<br>98|<br>114|<br>118|
|65-69<br>19|22|<br>26|30|<br>34|<br>42|<br>54|<br>69|<br>88|<br>102|
|70-74<br>13|15|18|22|25|28|<br>35|<br>45|<br>58|<br>74|
|75+<br>13|16|<br>19|<br>22|<br>27|<br>31|<br>36|<br>43|<br>55|<br>71|
|TOTAL<br>1258|1415|<br>1563|<br>1694|<br>1812|<br>1926|<br>2042|<br>2151|<br>2246|<br>2323|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>168|177|<br>171|<br>161|<br>152|<br>156|<br>165|<br>167|<br>164|<br>160|
|5-9<br>151|168|<br>177|<br>171|<br>161|<br>152|<br>156|<br>165|<br>167|<br>164|
|10-14<br>129|151|<br>167|<br>177|<br>171|<br>161|<br>152|<br>156|<br>165|<br>167|
|15-19<br>134|129|<br>151|<br>167|<br>177|<br>171|<br>160|<br>152|<br>156|<br>164|
|20-24<br>130|134|<br>129|<br>150|<br>167|<br>177|<br>171|<br>160|<br>152|<br>156|
|25-29<br>112|130|<br>134|<br>129|<br>150|<br>167|<br>176|<br>170|<br>160|<br>152|
|30-34<br>90|112|<br>130|<br>133|<br>128|<br>150|<br>167|<br>176|<br>170|<br>160|
|35-39<br>70|89|<br>112|<br>129|<br>133|<br>128|<br>150|<br>166|<br>176|<br>170|
|40-44<br>54|69|<br>89|111|<br>129|<br>132|<br>128|<br>149|<br>166|<br>175|
|45-49<br>45|53|<br>69|88|<br>110|<br>128|<br>131|<br>127|<br>148|<br>165|
|50-54<br>39|45|<br>53|68|<br>87|<br>109|<br>126|<br>130|<br>126|<br>147|
|55-59<br>32|38|<br>44|51|<br>66|<br>85|<br>107|<br>124|<br>128|<br>124|
|60-64<br>25|31|<br>36|42|<br>50|<br>64|<br>82|<br>104|<br>120|<br>124|
|65-69<br>20|24|29|34|39|47|<br>61|<br>78|<br>98|<br>114|
|70-74<br>15|17|<br>21|25|<br>30|<br>35|<br>42|<br>54|<br>70|<br>89|
|75+<br>17|21|<br>25|30|<br>37|<br>45|<br>53|<br>63|<br>80|<br>103|
|TOTAL<br>1231|1388|<br>1535|1668|<br>1788|1906|2027|2142|<br>2246|<br>2334|
|BIRTH RATE|28.0|24.2|20.7|18.1|17.4|17.3|16.5|15.5|14.5|
|DEATH RATE|4.2|4.2|4.3|4.5|4.9|5.3|5.8|6.4|7.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.38|2.00|1.64|1.36|1.25|1.20|1.08|.90|.73|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRO4TH<br>RATE|2.38|2.00|1.64|1.36|1.25|1.20|1.08|.90|.73|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3|.260|2.856|2.503|2.193|2.080|2.078|2.076|2.073|2.071|
|NRR<br>|1.552|1.364|1.199|1.053|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES<br>|73.70|74.19|74.62|75.03|75.34|75.66|75.98|76.30|76.63|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|5.38|65.65|65.88|66.12|66.39|66.66|66.94|67.22|67.50|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|18.0|15.9|13.8|12.0|11.5|11.0|10.5|10.1|9.6|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>|0208|.0182|.0156|.0134|.0129|.0123|.0118|0112|0106|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.5|<br>67.3|<br> <br>62.5|<br>55.7|<br> <br>48.8|<br>44.8|<br>44.1|<br> <br>45.9|.<br> <br>48.3|.<br> <br>50.2|
65 COSTA RICA Projection (000s) with NRR=I by 2005 Summary for 25 Year Periods

|......................<br>.<br>ACEGROUP<br>1985|........................................<br> <br>2000|.....<br>2025|2050|.......<br> <br>2075|.............<br> <br>2100|...................<br> <br>2125|.................<br>___<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..............<br>............................||......|........<br>.......|...................||||
|TOTAL M4F<br>2489|<br>3363|4492|5077|<br>5207|<br>5239|<br>5251|<br>5256|
|MALES<br>|<br>|||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|
|0-4<br>175|<br>168|172|170|<br>169|<br>169|<br>169|<br>169|
|5-9<br>157|<br>178|174|170|<br>168|<br>168|<br>169|<br>16Q|
|10-14<br>135|<br>184|172|167|<br>168|<br>168|<br>168|<br>168|
|15-19<br>139|<br>174|162|165|<br>167|<br>168|<br>468|<br>168|
|20-24<br>135|<br>156|158|166|<br>168|<br>168|<br>168|<br>168|
|25-29<br>116|<br>133|166|170|<br>169|<br>168|<br>167|<br>167|
|30-34<br>91|137|176|172|<br>168|<br>167|<br>167|<br>167|
|35-39<br>71|132|181|169|<br>165|<br>166|<br>166|<br>167|
|40-44<br>55|113|170|159|<br>163|<br>165|<br>166|<br>166|
|45-49<br>44|89|151|154|<br>163|<br>165|<br>165|<br>165|
|50-54<br>39|67|126|159|<br>164|<br>163|<br>162|<br>162|
|55-59<br>32|50|126|163|<br>162|<br>158|<br>157|<br>157|
|60-64<br>24|38|114|159|<br>150|<br>148|<br>148|<br>149|
|65-69<br>19|30|88|136|<br>130|<br>133|<br>135|<br>136|
|70-74<br>13|22|58|103|<br>108|<br>115|<br>117|<br>117|
|75+<br>13|22|55|130|<br>180|<br>185|<br>185|<br>185|
|TOTAL<br>1258|<br>1694|<br>2246|2512|<br>2562|<br>2574|<br>2578|<br>2581|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>168|161|164|163|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|5-9<br>151|171|167|163|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|10-14<br>129|<br>177|165|161|<br>161|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|15-19<br>134|167|156|159|<br>161|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|20-24<br>130|<br>150|152|160|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|25-29<br>112|129|160|164|<br>163|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|30-34<br>90|<br>133|<br>170|<br>167|<br>163|<br>161|<br>161|<br>162|
|35-39<br>70|<br>129|<br>176|<br>164|<br>160|<br>161|<br>161|<br>162|
|40-44<br>54|<br>111|<br>166|<br>155|<br>158|<br>161|<br>161|<br>161|
|45-49<br>45|<br>88|<br>148|<br>150|<br>159|<br>161|<br>161|<br>161|
|50-54<br>39|<br>68|<br>126|<br>158|<br>162|<br>161|<br>160|<br>160|
|55-59<br>32|<br>51|<br>128|<br>165|<br>163|<br>159|<br>158|<br>159|
|60-64<br>25|42|120|167|<br>157|<br>154|<br>155|<br>156|
|65-69<br>20|<br>34|<br>98|<br>151|<br>143|<br>147|<br>150|<br>151|
|70-74<br>15|<br>25|<br>70|<br>124|<br>129|<br>138|<br>140|<br>140|
|75+<br>17|<br>30|<br>80|<br>195|<br>279|<br>290|<br>293|<br>294|
|TOTAL<br>1231|<br>1668|<br>2246|<br>2565|<br>2645|<br>2665|<br>2673|<br>2675|
|BIRTH RATE|24.0|16.9|13.8|12.9|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|4.2|5.4|8.9|11.9.|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET!'!RATIONRATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.01|1.16|.49|.10|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.848|2.098|2.067|2.060|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|74.20|75.70|77.31|78.45|78.75|78.95|79.00|
|<br>IHR<br>- BOTH SEXES|16.0|11.0|8.6|7.0|6.7|6.4|6.3|
66

|EL SALVADOR<br>**..** **........**.................................................................||Proje|ction(OO|s)with NRRul b|y 2025<br>..<br>...........|..................|.....|..<br>............|.....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.<br>.<br>..............................|........|.................................................||||. ..<br>....|...<br>...................|||
|TOTALH+F<br>4768|5257|5822|6482|<br>7197|7911|<br>8607|9280|9922|<br>10579|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>402|427|449|487|507|501|<br>489|474|457|464|
|5-9<br>381|384|413|437|478|498|<br>494|484|470|454|
|10-14<br>3.5|<br>371|376|406|431|47n|<br>494|491|481|469|
|15-19<br>277|324|362|**368**|399|426|<br>467|490|488|480|
|20-24<br>189|256|307|347|355|388|<br>417|460|485|485|
|25-29<br>143|163|235|288|331|342|<br>377|408|454|481|
|30-34<br>120|121|145|219|274|319|<br>332|369|402|450|
|35-39<br>99|103|107|133|<br>207|264|<br>310|325|363|398|
|40*44<br>93|86|92|98|125|199|<br>256*|<br>302|319|358|
|45-49<br>78|83|78|85|92|119|<br>192|246|295|312|
|50-54<br>66|70|76|72|80|87|<br>114|184|239|285|
|55-59<br>55|59|64|70|67|74|<br>81|107|174|<br>227|
|60-64<br>43|48|52|57|63|60|<br>67|74|98|160|
|65-69<br>32|35|39|43|48|53|<br>52|sa|<br>64|86|
|70-74<br>22|24|27|30|34|38|<br>42|41|47|52|
|75+<br>18|21|25|28|33|38|<br>43|49|52|<br>58|
|TOTAL<br>2353|2576|2 46|3169|<br>3523|3878|<br>4227|4565|<br>4888|<br>5219|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>387|413|433|469|487|482|<br>470|456|439|446|
|5-9<br>367|370|399|422|<br>460|480|<br>476|466|453|438|
|10-14<br>324|358|363|393|<br>417|456|<br>476|474|464|452|
|15-19<br>269|315|350|356|<br>387|412|<br>452|474|472|464|
|20-24<br>205|254|301|338|<br>346|379|<br>406|448|471|471|
|25-29<br>159|187|238|288|<br>326|336|<br>371|401|444|<br>470|
|30-34<br>136|145|175|227|<br>278|318|<br>330|367|397|443|
|35-39<br>III|126|137|168|<br>220|272|<br>313|326|364|396|
|40-44<br>101|105|120|131|<br>163|216|<br>268|310|323|362|
|45-49<br>86|96|100|116|<br>128|159|<br>212|264|306|320|
|50-54<br>72|82|93|97|113|125|<br>156|208|259|<br>301|
|55-59<br>61|68|78|89|93|109|<br>120|151|202|<br>253|
|60-64<br>48|57|-<br>64|74|84|88|<br>104|115|144|<br>194|
|65-69<br>37|43|51|57|67|77|<br>81|96|106|<br>135|
|70-74<br>26|31|36|43|49|57|<br>66|70|84|94|
|75+<br>26|32|38|45|55|65|<br>78|92|104|<br>122|
|TOTAL<br>2414|2681|2977|3313|<br>3674|4032|<br>4381|4716|<br>5035|<br>5360|
|BIRTH RATE|36.4|34.1|32.8|30.4|27.1|24.1|21.4|19.2|18.2|
|DEATH RATE|8.4|7.3|6.5|5.8|5.5|5.4|5.3|5.3|5.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.80|2.68|2.63|2.46|2.15|1.87|1.62|1.39|1.28|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-8.5|-6.3|-4.9|-3.7|-2.6|-1.8|-1.1|-.5|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.95|2.04|2.15|2.09|1.89|1.69|1.50|<br>1.34|1.28|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.859|4.435|4.011|3.587<br>|3.163|2.808|2.492|2.212|2.109|
|NRR|2.129|1.986|1.831|1.663<br>|1.473|1.314|1.171|1.044|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|62.19|64.54|66.68|68.56<br>|69.32|70.09|70.88|71.69|72.51|
|e(lO) - BOTH SEXES|57.95|59.22|60.44|61.59<br>|62.14|62.71|63.29|63.89|64.50|
|IHR- BOTHSEXES|59.0|48.7|39.8|32.3|30.0|27.7|25.4|23.2|20.9|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|0792|0632|0498|0394|0366|0337|030B|0279|0250|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>97.|.<br>8<br>91.3|.<br> <br>83.4|.<br> <br>79.1|.<br> <br>74.2|.<br>68.6|.<br> <br>61.0|.<br> <br>53.9|.<br> <br>48.1|.<br> <br>44.7|
67 EL SALVADOR

# Projection t0WOs) with NRR=l by 2025

# Sumrery for 25 Year Periods

|..................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|.<br> <br>2000|.......................................<br>2025|........................................<br> <br>2050|...............................<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>M.F<br>4768|6482|9922|<br>12881|14280|14546|<br>14657|<br>14703|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>402|487|457|468|472|473|473|473|
|5-9<br>381|437|470|<br>474|473|472|472|472|
|10-14<br>335|406|481|479|472|471|471|472|
|15-19<br>277|368|488|475|468|469|<br>471|<br>471|
|20-24<br>189|<br>347|<br>485|458|463|468|470|471|
|25-29<br>143|<br>288|454|448|463|468|-<br>470|470|
|30-34<br>120|219|402|460|468|469|468|468|
|35-39<br>99|133|363|469|.72|<br>466|466|466|
|40-44<br>93|98|319|472|466|460|462|464|
|45-49<br>78|85|295|463|446|452|458|461|
|50-54<br>66|72|<br>239|424|429|446|452|454|
|55-59<br>55|70|174|362|427|437|440|44a|
|60-64<br>43|57|98|306|410|418|416|416|
|65-69<br>32|43|64|241|375|377|376|379|
|70-74<br>22|30|47|187|314|310|318|324|
|75.<br>18|28|52|175|396|476|505|514|
|TOTAL<br>2353|3169|4888|6360|7014|7133|7189|7215|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>387|469|439|450|454|454|453|453|
|5-9<br>367|422|453|457|456|454|453|453|
|10-14<br>324|393|464|462|455|453|453|453|
|15-19<br>269|356|472|<br>459|452|452|453|453|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>205|338|471|<br>444|448|452|453|453|
|25-29<br>159|<br>288|444|.36|<br>450|454|454|453|
|30-34<br>136|227|397|450|456|455|453|453|
|35-39<br>1II|168|<br>364|<br>460|461|<br>454|452|452|
|40-44<br>101|- 131|<br>323|466|457|450|451|452|
|45-49<br>86|116|306|463|441|446|450|451|
|50-54<br>72|97|259|432|430|445|449|449|
|55-59<br>61|<br>89|202|380|438|446|446|445|
|60-64<br>48|74|144|<br>337|438|442|438|437|
|65-69<br>37|57|106|<br>284|425|422|419|420|
|70-74<br>26|43|84|242|387|377|386|391|
|75+<br>26|45|104|<br>298|621|758|805|818|
|TOTAL<br>2414|3313|5035|6521|7266|<br>7413|7468|7487|
|BIRTH RATE|34.3|24.0|16.5|13.6|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|<br>7.3|<br>5.4|<br>6.2|<br>9.5.|<br>12.2|<br>12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-6.4|-1.8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.70|1.04|.41|.07|.03|.01|
|TOTALFERTILITY|4.393|2.787|2.091|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|etO)**-** BOTH<br>SEXES|64.62|70.24|74.33|77.29|78.15|78.74|78.89|
|**I[R**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|48.8|27.9|16.3|8.8|7.6|6.7|6.5|
68

# GL.ATEIALA

Projection (000s) with NRR=i by 2030

|.......................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|...........................................<br>1990|..<br>1995|<br>2000|..<br>.<br>2005|.<br>...............<br>201n|.....<br>.......<br>2015|.................<br>2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>7963|9215|10597|12114|13760|15470|17170|18849|20452|21929|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>728|825|896|970|1037|1078|1081|1081|1056|1011|
|5-9<br>616|708|808|881|<br>958|1026|1068|1073|<br>1075|1051|
|10-14<br>511|607|699|800|874|951|1021|1064|1069|1072|
|15-19<br>427|<br>502|598|690|792|866|945|1015|1059|1065|
|20-24<br>352|412|488|584|677|779|855|935|1006|<br>1052|
|25-29<br>28K|334|395|471|568|663|766|844|925|998|
|30-34<br>236|268|319|380|457|555|651|755|834|917|
|35-39<br>183|223|256|307|368|446|545|641|746|826|
|40-44<br>150|173|213|245|296|358|436|534|630|735|
|45-49<br>131|141|164|203|236|286|348|424|522|617|
|50-54<br>117|122|132|155|193|225|274|334|410|505|
|55-59<br>96|107|112|122|144|180|211|259|316|389|
|60-64<br>71|85|95|100|110|130|164|193|237|291|
|65-69<br>48|59|71|80|85|94|112|142|168|207|
|70-74<br>32|36|45|55|63|67|74|89|114|136|
|75.<br>34|35|39|48|58|69|78|88|104|130|
|TOTAL<br>4015|4637|5328|6089|<br>6916|7776|<br>8629|9470|10270|<br>11003|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>705|797|864|934|998|1037|<br>1040|<br>1040|1016|<br>973|
|5-9<br>598|687|782|851|<br>924|989|1029|<br>1034|<br>1036|1013|
|10-14<br>498|590|680|775|846|919|985|1026|1032|1034|
|15-19<br>416|489|581|672|768|840|914|981|1023|1030|
|20-24<br>346|403|475|568|660|758|831|907|975|1020|
|25-29<br>282|331|387|460|555|649|748|823|901|971|
|30-34<br>236|269|318|375|449|545|640|740|816|896|
|35-39<br>184|226|259|308|366|441|537|632|733|811|
|40-44<br>150|176|218|252|301|359|434|530|625|727|
|45-49<br>129|145|170|212|245|294|352|426|522|617|
|50-54<br>116|124|139|164|205|238|286|343|417|511|
|55-59<br>96|110|117|132|156|196|228|276|332|404|
|60-64<br>72|89|'101|109|123|146|184|216|261|316|
|65-69<br>49|63|78|90|97|111|133|168|<br>198|241|
|70-74<br>33|40|52|64|75|81|94|113|144|<br>172|
|75+<br>37|41|48|61|77|93|108|126|152|192|
|TOTAL<br>3948|<br>4578|5269|6025|6844|7695|<br>8541|9379|10182|10926|
|BIRTHRATE|40.7|37.8|35.2|32.7|30.0|26.9|24.3|21.7|19.2|
|OEATHRATE|8.5|7.3|6.4|5.8|5.5|5.3|5.2|5.1|5.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.22|3.05|2.88|2.70|2.45|2.16|1.91|1.65|1.40|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.0|-2.5|-2.0|-1.5|-1.1|-. 7|-. 4|-. 2|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.92|2.80|2.68|2.55|2.34|2.08|1.87|1.63|1.40|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.770|5.260|4.750|4.240|3.730|3.220|2.843|2.510|2.216|
|NRR|2.494|2.328|2.146|1.947|1.723|1.496|1.328|1.178|1.046|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|62.03|64.02|65.83|67.49|68.30|69.14|70.00|70.88|71.79|
|e(1O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|57.78|58.66|59.54|60.46|61.09|61.73|62.39|63.07|63.77|
|IIR - BOTH SEXES|59.0|48.7|39.8|32.3|30.1|27.8|25.5|23.2|20.9|
|q(S)<br>BOTH SEXES|.C792|.0632|.0498|.0394|.0366|.0337|.0308|0279|0251|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>95.5|<br>95.0|<br>91.4|<br>86.2|<br>79.4|<br>72.8|<br> <br>65.9|<br>59.7|.<br>53.9|.<br> <br>49.2|
69

# GVATEKALA

# Projection (000s) with WRRnI by 2030

# Summry for 25 Year Periuds

|.<br>......<br>_........................................<br>AGE GR0UP<br>1985|.......................................<br> <br>2000|.................<br> <br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.................................................|||..............................|........................................|.......................................|.||
|TOTAL K+F<br>7963|<br>12114|<br>20452|<br>27351|<br>31204|<br>32058|<br>32338|<br>32441|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>728|<br>970|<br>1056|<br>1050|<br>1047|<br>1044|<br>1043|<br>1043|
|5-9<br>616|<br>881|<br>1075|<br>1057|<br>1042|<br>1040|<br>1041|<br>1042|
|10-14<br>511|<br>800|<br>1069|<br>1045|<br>1034|<br>1037|<br>1041|<br>1042|
|15-19<br>427|690|<br>1059|<br>1012|<br>1027|<br>1037|<br>1040|<br>1041|
|20-24<br>352|<br>584|<br>1006|<br>999|1028|1038|1039|<br>1039|
|25-29<br>284|<br>471|<br>925|<br>1037|<br>1039|<br>1038|<br>1036|<br>1136|
|30-34<br>236|<br>380|<br>834|<br>1053|<br>1044|<br>1032|<br>1031|<br>1033|
|35-39<br>183|<br>307|<br>746|<br>1041|<br>1030|<br>1021|<br>1026|<br>1030|
|40-44<br>150|<br>245|<br>630|<br>1023|<br>992|<br>1010|<br>1022|<br>1026|
|45-49<br>131|<br>203|<br>522|<br>961|<br>972|<br>1005|<br>1016|<br>1018|
|50-54<br>117|<br>155|<br>410|<br>865|<br>993|1001|1002|<br>1001|
|55-59<br>96|122|316|751|976|976|969|969|
|60-64<br>71|100|237|628|912|913|911|917|
|65-69<br>48|80|168|477|814|803|825|837|
|70-74<br>32|55|114|331|652|675|707|718|
|75+<br>34|48|104|319|808|1081|1123|<br>1135|
|TOTAL<br>4015|<br>6089|<br>10270|<br>13648|<br>15410|<br>15750|<br>15873|<br>15927|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>705|<br>934|<br>1016|<br>1010|<br>1006|<br>1001|<br>1000|<br>1000|
|5-9<br>598|<br>851|<br>1036|<br>1018|<br>1003|<br>999|<br>1000|<br>1000|
|10-14<br>498|_m_|1032|<br>1008|<br>996|<br>998|<br>1000|<br>1000|
|15-19<br>416|<br>672|<br>1023|<br>977|<br>991|<br>998|<br>1000|<br>1000|
|20-24<br>346|568|975|<br>968|<br>995|<br>1002|<br>1001|<br>1000|
|25-29<br>282|460|901|1007|1008|1004|1001|<br>1000|
|30-34<br>236|375|816|1026|1016|1002|998|9|
|35-39<br>184|<br>308|<br>733|1018|1005|994|996|_ssa_|
|40-44<br>150|<br>252|<br>625|<br>1005|<br>972|<br>988|<br>996|<br>998|
|45-49<br>129|<br>212|<br>522|<br>9f1|<br>958|<br>988|<br>997|<br>997|
|50-54<br>116|<br>164|<br>417|<br>868|<br>990|<br>996|<br>994|<br>991|
|55-59<br>96|<br>132|<br>332|<br>771|<br>995|<br>992|<br>982|<br>980|
|60-64<br>72|<br>109|<br>261|<br>670|<br>964|<br>962|<br>957|<br>961|
|65-69<br>49|<br>90|198|<br>538|<br>908|<br>895|<br>918|<br>928|
|70-74<br>33|<br>64|144|<br>402|<br>786|<br>815|<br>854|<br>865|
|75.<br>37|<br>61|152|<br>466|<br>1200|<br>1674|<br>1772|<br>1797|
|TOTAL<br>3948|<br>6025|<br>10182|<br>13702|<br>15794|<br>16308|<br>16465|<br>16515|
|BIRTH RATE|37.6|26.5|17.3|13.9|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|7.3|5.3|5.8|8.7.|11.9|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.5|-.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.80|2.09|1.16|.53|.11|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.204|3.191|2.115|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|e(0) - BOTH SEXES|64.14|69.34|73.81|77.08|78.04|78.70|78.87|
|<br>IMR - BOTH SEXES|48.7|27.a|16.3|9.0|7.6|6.7|6.5|
70

|**OHNDURAS**<br>,.................................................|................|Proje|ction**(000**|**s)**<br>with**NRRu1**by<br>.................|2025<br>.....................|..........................|||.....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.................................................|...........................|...........................|..........................|.||||||
|TOTAL N.F<br>4383|<br>5119|<br>5940|<br>6824|<br>7740|8640|<br>9525|<br>10365|<br>11133|<br>1187?|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>398|<br>443|<br>492|<br>530|<br>552|551|<br>552|<br>541|<br>518|<br>522|
|5-9<br>334|<br>390|<br>437|<br>487|<br>526|548|<br>548|<br>549|<br>539|<br>516|
|10-14<br>302|<br>331|<br>388|<br>435|<br>485|524|<br>546|<br>546|<br>548|<br>538|
|15-19<br>246|<br>299|329|385|432|482|<br>521|<br>54'|<br>544|<br>546|
|20-24<br>195|242|295|325|<br>381|428|<br>478|<br>518|<br>541|<br>542|
|25-29<br>154|<br>191|<br>237|<br>290|<br>320|377|<br>424|<br>474|<br>514|<br>537|
|30-34<br>123|<br>150|<br>187|<br>233|<br>286|316|<br>373|<br>420|<br>471|<br>511|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>100|<br> <br> <br>120|<br> <br> <br>147|<br> <br> <br>183|<br> <br> <br>230|<br>282|<br> <br> <br>312|<br> <br> <br>369|<br> <br> <br>416|<br><br> <br>467|
|40-44<br>82|<br>97|<br>117|<br>144|<br>180|226|<br>278|<br>308|<br>365|<br>412|
|45-49<br>69|<br>79|<br>94|<br>114|<br>140|176|<br>221|<br>272|<br>302|<br>358|
|50-54<br>57|<br>66|<br>76|<br>90|<br>109|135|<br>169|<br>214|<br>264|<br>294|
|55-59<br>47|<br>53|<br>61|<br>71|<br>85|103|<br>127|<br>161|<br>203|<br>251|
|60-6!<br>37|<br>42|<br>48|<br>55|<br>64|77|<br>94|<br>117|<br>148|<br>187|
|65-69<br>29|<br>31|<br>36|<br>41|<br>48|56|<br>67|<br>82|<br>103|<br>130|
|70-74<br>21|<br>23|<br>25|<br>28|<br>32|38|<br>44|<br>54|<br>66|<br>84|
|75-<br>20<br>|<br>23|<br>25|<br>28|<br>32|37|<br>43|<br>51|<br>62|<br>77|
|**TOTAL**<br>2212|2580|2993|3439|3901|4355|<br>4800|<br>5221|<br>5604|<br>5972|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>384|<br>428|<br>474|<br>s5o|<br>530|530|531|520|498|<br>502|
|5-9<br>322|<br>378|<br>423|<br>470|<br>507|527|<br>527|<br>529|<br>519|<br>496|
|10-14<br>292|320|376|421|469|506|526|526|528|<br>518|
|15-19<br>239|<br>290|318|374|<br>419|467|504|525|525|<br>527|
|20-24<br>193|236|287|315|371|417|464|502|523|<br>524|
|25-29<br>153|190|233|<br>283|<br>311|368|414|461|499|<br>521|
|30-34<br>123|1SO|<br>187|229|280|308|365|411|459|497|
|35-39<br>99|<br>121|148|184|226|277|305|362|408|456|
|40-44<br>82|97|<br>118|145|181|223|273|302|358|<br>405|
|45-49<br>69|8o|<br>95|<br>116|142|178|220|270|298|<br>354|
|50-54<br>57|<br>67|78|<br>92|113|139|174|<br>215|264|<br>293|
|55-59<br>47|<br>55|<br>64|<br>74|<br>88|109|134|<br>168|<br>209|<br>257|
|60-64<br>38|<br>44|<br>51|60|70|83|103|<br>127|160|<br>199|
|65-69<br>30|34|<br>39|<br>46|<br>54|63|76|94|<br>117|<br>148|
|70-74<br>21|25|28|32|<br>38|45|<br>53|<br>64|81|<br>101|
|75+<br>22|25|29|<br>33|<br>39|46|56|68|84|<br>105|
|TOTAL<br>2171|2539|<br>2947|<br>3385|3839|4286|4725|5144|<br>5530|<br>5905|
|BIRTH RATE|39.8|37.3|34.4|31.0|27.5|24.7|22.1|19.5|18.3|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.9|6.8|6.0|5.4|5.1|5.0|5.0|5.1|5.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|3.19|3.05|2.84|2.57|2.23|1.97|1.71|1.44|1.29|
|NET MICRATION<br>RATE|-. 8|-.7|-. 6|-. 5|-. 3|-. 2|-. 1|-.1|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|3.10|2.98|2.77|2.52|2.20|1.95|1.69|1.43|1.29|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.550|4.997|4.444|3.891<br>3|.338|2.921|2.555|2.236|2.119|
|NRR|2.422|2.225|2.012|1.787<br>|1.542|1.356|1.193|1.049|1.000|
|**e(O)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|63.99|65.52|66.94|68.25<br>6|9.01|69.80|70.61|71.43|72.28|
|e(10)<br>- BOTH SEXES|60.26|60.60|61.06|61.56<br>6|2.10|62.65|63.22|63.81|64.41|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|69.0|57.6|47.2|38.4|35.5|32.6|29.6|26.7|23.8|
|qCS)-BOTHSEXES|.0849|.0687|.0553|.0443<br>.|0409|.0375|.0341|.0306|.0272|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>98.4|<br> <br>91.8|<br> <br>87.5|<br> <br>81.3|<br> <br> <br>74.7|<br>67.|<br>1<br>60.|<br>0<br>53.|<br>8<br>49.|0<br>45.9|
71 HONLDUAS ProJection (0009) with NARuI by 2025

# sumary for 25 Year Periods

|..........................................................................<br>AGE GRQJP<br>1985|...............................<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|........................................||.....................|.......................................|........................................|.........|||
|TOTALN+F<br>4383|<br>6824|<br>11133|<br>14483|<br>16115|<br>16421|<br>16548|<br>16597|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>398|530|518|531|534|534|534|534|
|5-9<br>334|<br>487|<br>539|<br>537|<br>535|<br>533|<br>533|<br>533|
|10-14<br>302|435|548|540|533|532|532|<br>533|
|15-19<br>246|385|544|534|528|530|532|<br>532|
|20-24<br>195|<br>325|<br>541|<br>516|<br>524|<br>529|<br>531|<br>531|
|25-29<br>154|<br>290|<br>514|<br>510|<br>525|<br>530|<br>530|<br>530|
|30-34<br>123|<br>233|<br>471|<br>529|<br>531|<br>530|<br>529|<br>529|
|35-39<br>100|<br>183|<br>416|<br>536|<br>533|<br>526|<br>526|<br>527|
|40-44<br>82|<br>144|<br>365|<br>529|<br>525|<br>520|<br>522|<br>524|
|45-49<br>69|<br>114|<br>302|<br>520|<br>503|<br>512|<br>518|<br>520|
|50-54<br>57|<br>90|<br>264|<br>485|<br>489|<br>506|<br>512|<br>513|
|55-59<br>47|71|203|428|492|497|497|<br>497|
|<br>60-64<br>37|55|<br>148|<br>355|<br>471|<br>473|<br>470|<br><br> <br>470|
|65-69<br>29|41|103|<br>280|423|425|425|<br>428|
|70-74<br>21|28|66|195|<br>355|350|361|<br>366|
|75+<br>20|28|62|208|462|547|574|<br>582|
|TOTAL<br>2212|3439|5604|<br>7235|<br>7961|<br>8075|<br>8127|<br>8150|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>384|510|498|510|513|512|<br>512|<br>512|
|5-9<br>322|470|519|517|514|512|<br>512|<br>512|
|10-14<br>292|421|528|521|<br>513|511|511|<br>511|
|15-19<br>239|374|525|515|509|510|511|<br>512|
|20-24<br>193|315|523|499|506|511|<br>512|<br>512|
|25-29<br>153|<br>283|<br>499|<br>494|<br>509|<br>512|<br>512|<br>512|
|30-34<br>123|<br>229|<br>459|<br>515|<br>516|<br>514|<br>512|<br>511|
|35-39<br>99|<br>184|<br>408|<br>522|<br>519|<br>512|<br>510|<br>511|
|40-44<br>82|<br>*145|<br>358|<br>517|<br>513|<br>507|<br>509|<br>510|
|45-49<br>69|<br>116|<br>298|<br>51|495|<br>503|<br>508|<br>509|
|50-54<br>57|<br>92|<br>264|<br>483|<br>486|<br>503|<br>507|<br>507|
|55-59<br>47|<br>74|<br>209|<br>435|<br>499|<br>504|<br>503|<br>502|
|60-64<br>38|<br>60|<br>160|<br>375|<br>495|<br>497|<br>493|<br>492|
|65-69<br>30|<br>4|117|<br>310|<br>468|<br>472|<br>472|<br>474|
|70-74<br>21|<br>32|<br>81|<br>231|<br>423|<br>421|<br>434|<br>441|
|75+<br>22|<br>33|<br>84|<br>291|<br>676|<br>844|<br>903|<br>920|
|TOTAL<br>2171|3385|<br>5530|<br>7248|<br>8154|<br>8346|<br>8421|<br>8447|
|BIRTH RATE|36.9|24.4|16.6|13.6|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.8|5.1|6.2|9.4.|12.2|12.4|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 7|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.95|1.96|1.05|.43|.08|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.929|2.889|2.097|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|65.63|69.97|74.16|77.21|78.11|78.72|78.88|
|IHR<br>- BOTHSEXES|57.4|32.7|17.9|8.6|7.5|6.7|6.5|
72 MEXICO Projection (fMs) with NRR=I by 2005

|,,,,,,.................<br>....<br><br>AGEGROWP<br>1985|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br><br>1990|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>1995|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2000|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2005|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2010|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2015|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br><br>2020|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2025|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>78524|87262|<br>96301|104801|112294|119436|126662|13370|140425|<br>146401|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5637|5738|5961|5790|5359|5290|5474|5588|5580|5487|
|5-9<br>5261|5553|5664|5896|5739|<br>5317|<br>5255|<br>5446|5567|<br>5566|
|10-14<br>5466|5219|5512|5625|5863|5711|<br>5295|<br>5238|5433|5559|
|15-19<br>4689|5413|5169|5463|5583|<br>5826|<br>5680|<br>5271|5219|<br>5419|
|20-24<br>3862|4593|5318|5080|5384|5514|5767|5633|5237|5196|
|25-29<br>3126|3746|4478|5201|4979|<br>5296|<br>5440|<br>5706|5589|<br>521)9|
|30-34<br>2502|3025|3645|4374|5105|4899|5226|5383|5661|5558|
|35-39<br>1882|2421|2943|3560|4292|5027|4834|<br>5170|5336|5624|
|40-44<br>1633|1817|2351|2869|3486|4218|4952|4770|5112|5286|
|45-49<br>1318|<br>1573|<br>1756|2281|'794|3405|4131|4861|4690|5034|
|50-54<br>1086|1257|1506|1684|2196|2697|3295|<br>4006|4724|<br>4566|
|55-59<br>875|1014|<br>1178|<br>1415|<br>1587|<br>2076|<br>2557|<br>3132|3818|<br>4512|
|60-64<br>677|<br>791|<br>920|1072|<br>1291|<br>1453|<br>1907|<br>2357|2897|3542|
|65-69<br>468|581|<br>681|<br>796|931|1126|<br>1273|1677|<br>2082|<br>2569|
|70-74<br>363|368|460|542|636|749|911|<br>1035|1372|<br>1712|
|75+<br>442|442|450|520|613|727|<br>867|<br>1056|1245|<br>1591|
|TOTAL<br>39287|43551|47992|52167|55838|59330|62864|66330|69561|72432|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5416|5525|5731|5559|5139|5073|5251|5362|5355|5267|
|S-9<br>5067|5343|5460|5673|5514|5102|5044|5229|5347|5348|
|10-14<br>5283|5032|5309|542;|5646|5491|5085|5032|5221|5344|
|15-19<br>4544|5247|4996|5274|5398|5622|547?|5071|5023|5217|
|20-24<br>3798|4487|5187|4937|5223|5356|5589|5448|5056|5017|
|25-29<br>3123|3733|4418|5115|4877|5173|5316|5559|5429|5049|
|30-34<br>2535|3070|3676|4358|5063|4833|5137|5289|5540|5419|
|35-39<br>1941|2494|3026|3630|4315|5023|4801|5110|5268|5525|
|40-44<br>1707|1910|2459|2988|3592|4278|4987|4771|5084|5247|
|45-49<br>1402|1679|1880|2424|2951|3553|4236|4943|4734|5049|
|50-54<br>1163|1373|1646|1844|2381|2903|3499|4178|4880|4678|
|55-59<br>942|1128|1334|1601|1796|2323|2836|3423|4092|4787|
|60-64<br>762|898|-1078|1276|1534|1725|2236|2735|330o|3962|
|65-69<br>545|701|829|997|1184|1429|1611|2095|2571|3118|
|70-74<br>442|469|606|719|869|1036|1257|1425|1862|2297|
|75.<br>566|622|675|811|974|1185|1440|1766|2093|2644|
|TOTAL<br>39237|43711|48309|52634|56456|60106|<br>63798|<br>67436|70864|73968|
|BIRTH RATE|28.7|26.7|23.5|20.0|18.4|17.9|17.2|16.3|15.3|
|DEATH RATE|5.8|5.4|5.1|5.0|5.2|5.6|5.9|6.4|7.0|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.29|2.14|1.84|1.50|1.32|1.24|1.13|.99|.83|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.8|-1.6|-1.5|-1.2|-.9|-.6|-.4|-.2|.0|
|KOWTH<br>RATE|2.11|1.97|1.69|1.38|1.23|1.17|1.09|.97|.83|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.580|3.068|2.629|2.253|2.118|2.111|2.105|2.099|2.092|
|NRR|1.637|1.419|1.228|1.061|1.009|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|68.65|69.75|70.74|71.65|72.21|72.77|73.34|73.92|74.51|
|**e(dO)**B O0TH<br>SEXES|62.85|63.28|63.63|64.00|64.40|64.81|65.22|65.65|66.08|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|47.0|39.8|33.0|27.0|25.1|23.3|21.4|19.5|17.6|
|q(5)BOTH SEXES|.0550|.0460|.0376|0304|0282|0261|0240|0219|0197|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>80.2|<br> <br>68.9|<br> <br>63.3|<br> <br>57.7|.<br> <br>52.1|.<br> <br>47.1|.<br> <br>44.1|.<br> <br>44.1|.<br> <br>45.2|.<br> <br>46.5|
73 Projection (000) with NRR=1 by 2005' MEXICO

# Svymary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>....................|1985<br>........|<br>2000<br>.................................|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075<br>.......<br>.......|<br>2100<br>......<br>...|<br>2125<br> <br>....<br>..<br>.........|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>M.F|78524|<br>104801|<br>140425|<br>162035|<br>167549|<br>169186|<br>169956|<br>170256|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|5637|<br>5790|<br>5580|<br>5493|<br>5465|<br>5466|<br>5469|<br>5471|
|5-9|5261|<br>5896|5567|<br>5451|<br>5442|<br>5456|<br>5464|<br>5466|
|10-14|5466|<br>5625|5433|<br>5398|<br>5431|<br>5454|<br>5462|<br>5462|
|15-19|4689|<br>546S|<br>5219|<br>5386|<br>5439|<br>5454|<br>5456|<br>5455|
|20-24|3862|<br>5080|5237|<br>5441|<br>5450|<br>5444|<br>5443|<br>5443|
|25-29|3126|<br>5201|<br>5589|<br>!509|<br>5442|<br>5421|<br>5425|<br>5430|
|30-34|2502|<br>4374|5661|<br>5485|<br>5394|<br>5391|<br>5409|<br>5418|
|35-39|1882|<br>3560|5336|<br>5329|<br>5327|<br>5368|<br>5396|<br>5404|
|40-44|1633|<br>2869|5112|<br>5090|<br>5295|<br>5357|<br>5377|<br>5381|
|45-49|1318|<br>2281|4"90|5060|<br>5310|<br>5332|<br>5333|<br>5335|
|50-54|1086|<br>1684|<br>4724|5304|<br>5295|<br>5249|<br>5238|<br>5246|
|55-59|875|<br>1415|<br>3818|<br>5189|<br>5114|<br>5055|<br>5067|<br>5088|
|60-64|677|<br>1072|<br>2897|<br>4599|<br>4705|<br>4739|<br>4795|<br>4826|
|65-69|468|<br>796|<br>2082|<br>3975|<br>4096|<br>4308|<br>4385|<br>4410|
|70-74|363|<br>542|<br>1372|<br>3079|<br>3485|<br>3714|<br>3763|<br>3774|
|75+|442|<br>520|<br>1245|<br>3954|<br>5579|<br>5821|<br>5923|<br>5972|
|TOTAL|39287|<br>52167|<br>69561|<br>79743|<br>82270|<br>83028|<br>83405|<br>83581|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|5416|<br>5559|<br>5355|<br>5277|<br>5246|<br>5241|<br>5242|<br>5244|
|5-9|5067|<br>5673|<br>5347|5242|<br>5232|<br>5238|<br>5243|<br>5244|
|10-14|5283|<br>5427|<br>5221|<br>5194|<br>5227|<br>5242|<br>5245|<br>5244|
|15-19|4544|<br>5274|<br>5023|<br>5189|<br>5242|<br>5249|<br>5245|<br>5243|
|20-24|3798|<br>4937|5056|5254|<br>5266|<br>5251|<br>5243|<br>5241|
|25-29|3123|<br>5115|5429|5335|<br>5270|<br>5242|<br>5238|<br>5239|
|30-34|2535|<br>4358|5540|5327|<br>5234|<br>5226|<br>5234|<br>5239|
|35-39|1941|<br>3630|5268|5194|<br>5182|<br>5218|<br>5235|<br>5238|
|40-44|1707|<br>-2988|<br>5084|4984|<br>5170|<br>5227|<br>5237|<br>5234|
|45-49|1402|<br>2424|4734|4994|<br>5218|<br>5237|<br>5227|<br>5219|
|50-54|1163|<br>1844|<br>4880|<br>5318|<br>5265|<br>5214|<br>5192|<br>5190|
|55-59|942|<br>1601|<br>4092|<br>5347|<br>5197|<br>5126|<br>5128|<br>5139|
|60-64|762|<br>1276|<br>3308|<br>4957|<br>4963|<br>4983|<br>5034|<br>5055|
|65-69|545|<br>997|2570|4561|<br>4575|<br>4793|<br>4872|<br>4888|
|70-74|442|<br>719|<br>1862|<br>3870|<br>4229|<br>4489|<br>4542|<br>4544|
|75+|566|<br>811|<br>2093|<br>6248|<br>8765|<br>9182|<br>9395|<br>9475|
|TOTAL|39237|<br>52634|<br>70864|<br>82292|<br>85279|<br>86158|<br>86552|<br>86675|
|BIRTH RATE||26.1|17.9|14.2|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||5.4|5.7|8.5|11.7|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-1.6|-. 6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.92|1.17|.57|.13|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.046|2.135|2.080|2.061|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|69.78|72.84|75.77|77.87|78.46|78.85|78.95|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|39.9|23.2|13.9|7.9|7.1|6.6|6.4|
74

|UICARAGLA||Proj|ection (000s|) i|ith<br>URRaI b|y 2025|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROWP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000||2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.......................................................................................|...........................................||||||||||
|TOTAL MQ<br>3272|3853|4475|5148||5863|6588|,298|7962|<br>8561|<br>9141|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>308|348|371|399||423|434|433|419|396|<br>400|
|5-9<br>254|301|342|366||395|419|431|430|416|<br>394|
|10-14<br>216|251|298|339||364|394|417|429|429|<br>416|
|15-19<br>180|214|249|296||337|362|392|416|428|<br>428|
|20-24<br>148|177|210|24||293|335|360|390|<br>414|<br>426|
|25-29<br>121|145|174|207||243|290|332|357|<br>387|<br>412|
|30-34<br>99|118|142|171||205|241|288|330|<br>355|<br>385|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>73|<br>96|<br>115|<br>139|<br>|<br>168|<br>202|<br>238|<br>285|<br> <br> <br>327|<br><br> <br>353|
|40-44<br>57|71|94|113||137|166|200|236|<br>283|<br>324|
|45-49<br>48|55|69|92||111|134|163|196|<br>232|<br>279|
|50-54<br>39|46|53|66||89|107|130|158|<br>191|<br>226|
|55-59<br>32|36|43|50||63|84|102|124|<br>152|<br>183|
|60-64<br>24|29|33|39||46|58|78|95|116|<br>141|
|65-69<br>17|20|25|29||34|40|51|69|84|103|
|70-74<br>11|13|16|20||23|28|33|42|57|<br>70|
|75+<br>9|11|14|18||23|28|33|40|50|66|
|TOTAL<br>1635|1931|2248|<br>2591||2954|3322|3682|4017|<br>431.|4606|
|FEHALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>297|336|358|385||407|417|417|403|381|<br>384|
|5-9<br>246|291|331|354||382|404|415|415|401|<br>379|
|10-14<br>210|244|289|329||353|380|403|414|414|<br>401|
|15-19<br>178|208|242|287||327|351|379|402|413|<br>413|
|20-24<br>149|175|205|239||284|325|349|377|400|<br>412|
|25-29<br>123|145|171|<br>201||236|282|323|347|376|<br>399|
|30-34<br>102|120|142|168||199|233|279|321|345|<br>374|
|35-39<br>75|99|117|140||166|197|231|277|319|<br>344|
|40-44<br>59|73|97|115||138|164|194|<br>229|<br>275|<br>317|
|45-49<br>49|57|71|<br>95||113|136|162|192|<br>226|<br>272|
|50-54<br>42|47|55|69||93|110|133|158|<br>188|<br>223|
|55-59<br>35|40|45|53||66|89|107|128|<br>154|<br>183|
|60-64<br>27|32|37|42||50|63|85|101|<br>123|<br>147|
|65-69<br>19|24|29|33||38|45|57|78|94|114|
|70-74<br>13|16|20|24||28|32|39|50|68|82|
|75+<br>13<br> <br>|15<br>|19<br>|24||30|36|44|53|67|<br>89|
|TOTAL<br>1637|1922|2227|2558||2909|3265|3616|3945|<br>4244|<br>4534|
|BIRTHRATE|41.4|37.2|34.2||31.3|28.3|25.3|22.2|19.3|18.1|
|DEATH RATE|7.6|6.3|5.4||4.7|4.6|4.5|4.6|4.7|5.0|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|3.38|3.09|2.88||2.66|2.37|2.08|1.76|1.46|1.31|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.1|-1.0|-. 8||-. 6|-.4|-.3|-. 2|-. 1|.0|
|GRWTHRATE|3.27|3.00|2.80||2.60|2.33|<br>2.05|<br>1.74|<br>1.45|1.31|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.500|4.990|4.480|3|.970<br>3|.460<br>|2.992|2.588|2.238|2.112|
|NRR|2.375|2.214|2.035||1.835<br>|1.607<br>|1.397|1.214|1.055|1.000|
|eC0)- BOTH SEXES|63.30|65.82|68.03|6|9.95<br>|70.62<br>|71.30|72.00|72.71|73.43|
|e(1O) - BOTH SEXES|59.55|60.80|61.97|6|3.09<br>6|3.54<br>|63.99|64.46|64.94|65.42|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES<br>|62.0|50.3|40.7||32.8|30.4|27.9|25.5|23.0|20.6|
|q(5) - BOTHSEXES|.0839|.0656|.0512|.|0401<br>|.0370<br>|.0339|.0309|.0278|.0247|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>97.2|94.3|89.3|<br>82.1||74.3|<br>67.6|<br>61.3|<br> <br>55.5|<br> <br>50.1|<br>46.4|
75

# ICARAWUA

# Projection **(O0Os)** with NRR-1 by 2025

# Sutmary for 25 Year Periods

|.-.......................................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|....<br> <br>2000|......<br>..............<br>2025|........................................<br> <br>2050|.........<br> <br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....<br>.......<br>..................................|....||...........................|.......................................|....|||
|TOTALMXF<br>3272|5148|8561|11203|<br>12491|<br>12710|<br>12796|<br>12828|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>308|399|396|410|413|413|413|<br>412|
|5-9<br>254|366|416|417|414|412|412|<br>412|
|10-14<br>216|<br>339|429|420|412|411|411|<br>412|
|15-19<br>180|<br>296|<br>428|<br>413|<br>407|<br>409|<br>411|<br>411|
|20-24<br>148|<br>246|<br>414|<br>395|<br>404|<br>409|<br>410|<br>411|
|25-29<br>121|<br>207|<br>387|<br>390|<br>406|<br>410|<br>410|<br>410|
|30-34<br>99|<br>171|355|410|412|410|409|<br>408|
|35-39<br>73|139|327|421|414|407|406|<br>407|
|SO-44<br>57|113|283|418|406|401|403|<br>405|
|45-49<br>48|92|232|400|386|395|401|<br>402|
|50-54<br>39|66|191|368|375|392|396|<br>396|
|55-59<br>32|50|152|327|382|386|386|<br>384|
|60-64<br>24|39|116|283|372|369|364|<br>363|
|65-69<br>17|29|84|221|336|330|329|<br>331|
|70-74<br>11|20|57|154|<br>276|<br>270|279|<br>283|
|75+<br>9|18|50|162|<br>361|428|447|<br>452|
|TOTAL<br>1635|<br>2591|4317|5610|<br>6177|<br>6253|6286|<br>6300|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>297|385|381|394|397|396|395|<br>395|
|5-9<br>246|354|401|401|398|396|395|<br>395|
|10-14<br>210|329|414|404|396|395|395|<br>395|
|15-19<br>178|287|413|398|393|394|395|<br>395|
|20-24<br>149|239|400|382|390|394|395|<br>395|
|25-29<br>123|<br>201|<br>376|<br>378|<br>393|<br>396|<br>396|<br><br> <br>395|
|30-34<br>102|168|345|<br>398|400|397|395|<br>395|
|35-39<br>75|140|319|410|403|396|394|<br>394|
|40-44<br>59|115|275|408|396|391|393|<br>394|
|45-49<br>49|<br>95|226|393|379|388|392|<br>394|
|50-54<br>42|69|188|365|372|'89|392|<br>392|
|55-59<br>35|53|154|329|387|391|390|<br>388|
|60-64<br>27|42|123|295|389|386|381|<br>380|
|65-69<br>19|33|94|240|370|366|364|<br>366|
|70-74<br>13|24|68|178|<br>327|324|335|<br>341|
|75+<br>13|24|67|221|522|659|702|<br>713|
|TOTAL<br>1637|<br>2558|4244|5594|<br>6314|<br>6457|<br>6510|<br>6528|
|BIRTHRATE|37.3|24.7|16.6|13.6|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.3|4.6|5.9|9.3|12.2|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.0|-.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.02|2.03|1.08|.44|.07|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.934|2.942|2.092|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|65.95|71.45|75.01|77.56|78.29|78.79|78.92|
|INR<br>- BOTHSEXES|50.6|28.0|15.7|8.0|7.2|6.6|6.4|

.... **.** ... **.** ... **.** ...............
76

|PANAMA<br>....................................................||Proje|ction (OOs<br>...................|)<br>.........|with NRRIb<br>.....................................|y2000<br>............|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000||2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|.....................................................................|...........|...................|....................................|.........|.........................||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>2180|2396|2586|2749||2907|3070|<br>3233|<br>3385|<br>3521|<br>3640|
|KALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>144|150|140|128||127|132|<br>135|<br>133|<br>130|<br>129|
|5-9<br>138|142|148|138||127|126|<br>131|<br>134|<br>133|<br>130|
|10-14<br>136|137|141|147||137|126|<br>125|<br>131|<br>134|<br>133|
|15-19<br>125|<br>135|<br>135|<br>139||146|136|<br>125|<br>125|<br>130|<br>133|
|20-24<br>108|<br>123|<br>132|<br>133||137|144|<br> <br>134|<br> <br> <br>124|<br> <br> <br>124|<br><br> <br>130|
|25-29<br>93|<br>105|<br>119|<br>129||130|135|<br>142|<br>133|<br>123|<br>123|
|30*34<br>75|<br>90|<br>102|<br>117||127|128|<br>133|<br>141|<br>132|<br>123|
|35-39<br>63|<br>73|<br>88|<br>100||115|125|<br>127|<br>132|<br>140|<br>132|
|40-44<br>51|<br>61|<br>71|<br>86||98|113|<br>123|<br>125|<br>131|<br>139|
|45-49<br>41|<br>49|<br>60|<br>69||84|96|<br>111|<br>122|<br>124|<br>129|
|50-54<br>35|<br>40|<br>48|<br>58||67|82|<br>94|<br>109|<br>119|<br>121|
|55-59<br>29|<br>33|<br>38|<br>46||55|65|<br>79|<br>90|<br>105|<br>115|
|60-64<br>24|<br>27|<br>31|<br>35||U2|52|<br>60|<br>74|<br>85|<br>98|
|65-69<br>20|<br>21|<br>24|<br>27||31|38|<br>46|<br>54|<br>66|<br>76|
|70-74<br>14|16|17|19||23|26|<br>32|<br>39|<br>45|<br>56|
|75+<br>15|<br>17|<br>20|<br>22||25|29|<br>33|<br>40|<br>49|<br>58|
|TOTAL<br>1112|<br>1219|<br>1314|<br>1394||1472|1552|<br>1632|<br>1705|<br>1770|<br>1826|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>137|<br>144|<br>134|<br>123||122|127|<br>129|<br>128|<br>125|<br>123|
|5-9<br>132|<br>135|<br>143|<br>132||122|121|<br>126|<br>128|<br>127|<br>125|
|10-14<br>131|<br>131|<br>134|<br>141||131|121|<br>120|<br>125|<br>128|<br>127|
|15-19<br>122|<br>129|<br>129|<br>132||140|130|<br>120|<br>119|<br>125|<br>128|
|20-24<br>106|<br>119|<br>127|<br>127||130|138|<br>129|<br>119|<br>119|<br>125|
|25-29<br>88|<br>103|<br>116|<br>124||124|128|<br>137|<br>128|<br>119|<br>119|
|30-34<br>72|<br>85|100|<br>114||122|122|<br>127|<br>136|<br>127|<br>118|
|35-39<br>60|<br>70|<br>84|<br>98||112|120|<br>121|<br>126|<br>135|<br>127|
|40-44<br>49|<br>59|69|<br>82||97|111|<br>119|<br>120|<br>125|<br>135|
|45-49<br>40|<br>48|58|<br>68||81|96|<br>110|<br>118|<br>119|<br>124|
|50-54<br>33|<br>39|47|<br>56||66|80|<br>95|<br>108|<br>117|<br>118|
|55-59<br>28|<br>32|38|<br>46||55|65|<br>78|<br>93|<br>106|<br>115|
|60-64<br>23|<br>27|30|<br>36||44|53|<br>62|<br>75|<br>90|<br>103|
|65-69<br>19|<br>21|24|<br>28||34|41|<br>49|<br>59|<br>71|<br>85|
|70-74<br>13|<br>16|<br>18|<br>21||25|30|<br>36|<br>44|<br>52|<br>64|
|75+<br>16|<br>18|<br>22|<br>26||31|36|<br>43|<br>53|<br>65|<br>79|
|TOTAL<br>1068|<br>1176|<br>1272|<br>1354||1435|1518|<br>1601|<br>1680|<br>1751|<br>1815|
|BIRTH RATE|26.6|22.6|19.3||18.0|17.7|17.0|16.0|15.0|14.2|
|DEATH RATE<br>|5.1<br>|4.9<br>|4.9||5.0|5.3|5.7|6.2|6.8|7.6|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.15|1.77|1.44||1.30|1.23|1.13|.98|.81|.67|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.6|-2.4|-2.3||-1.8|-1.3|-1.0|-.6|-.3|.0|
|GRO4TN<br>RATE|1.89|1.53|1.22||1.12|1.10|1.03|.92|.79|.67|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.140|2.650|2.237|2|.091<br>2|.088|2.085|2.082|2.079|2.076|
|NRR|1.480|1.257|1.066|1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.09|72.98|73.77|7|4.46<br>7|4.81|75.17|75.53|75.90|76.27|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|64.25|64.80|65.31|6|5.75<br>6|6.04|66.34|66.64|66.94|67.25|
|INR - BOTH SEXES<br>|23.0|19.6|16.6||14.1|13.4|12.7|12.0|11.3|10.6|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0272|.0229|.0191||.0160<br>.|0152|.0144|.0136|.0127|.0119|
|DEP. RATIO<br>72.3|<br>65.6|<br>59.5|<br>53.2||47.3|44.9|<br>45.2|<br>46.|1<br>47.|0<br>48.3|
77 Projection (000s) with NRR=I by 2000

# PANAMA

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|..<br>_*.............................................................<br> <br>|................................<br>||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|...............................<br>.....................|........................................|............................||||||
|TOTAL1+F<br>2180|2749|3521|<br>3942|<br>4017|<br>4041|<br>4053|<br>4057|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>144|128|130|<br>131|<br>131|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|5-9<br>138|138|133|<br>131|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|10-14<br>136|147|134|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|15-19<br>125|139|130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|20-24<br>108|133|124|<br>128|<br>129|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|25-29<br>93|129|123|<br>129|<br>130|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|
|30-34<br>75|117|132|<br>131|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|35-39<br>63|100|140|<br>132|<br>129|<br>128|<br>128|<br>129|
|40-44<br>51|<br>86|<br>-131|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|
|45-49<br>41|<br>69|<br>124|<br>121|<br>125|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|50-54<br>35|<br>58|<br>119|<br>118|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|55-59<br>29|<br>46|<br>105|<br>123|<br>123|<br>122|<br>121|<br>121|
|60-64<br>24|<br>35|<br>85|<br>123|<br>117|<br>115|<br>115|<br>115|
|65-69<br>20|<br>27|<br>66|<br>105|<br>104|<br>104|<br>104|<br>105|
|70-74<br>14|<br>19|<br>45|<br>85|<br>85|<br>88|<br>90|<br>90|
|75,<br>15|<br>22|<br>49|<br>113|<br>137|<br>142|<br>143|<br>143|
|TOTAL<br>1112|<br>1394|<br>1770|<br>1957|<br>1980|<br>1987|<br>1991|<br>1992|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>137|<br>123|<br>125|<br>126|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|5-9<br>132|<br>132|<br>127|<br>126|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|10-14<br>131|<br>141|<br>128|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|15-19<br>122|<br>132|<br>125|<br>124|<br>124|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|20-24<br>106|<br>127|<br>119|<br>123|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|25-29<br>88|<br>124|<br>119|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|30-34<br>72|<br>114|<br>127|<br>127|<br>126|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|35-39<br>60|<br>98|<br>135|<br>128|<br>125|<br>124|<br>125|<br>125|
|40-44<br>49|<br>82|<br>125|<br>124|<br>123|<br>124|<br>124|<br>125|
|45-49<br>40|<br>68|<br>119|<br>118|<br>122|<br>124|<br>124|<br>124|
|50-54<br>33|<br>56|<br>117|<br>116|<br>123|<br>124|<br>124|<br>124|
|55-59<br>28|<br>46|<br>106|<br>123|<br>124|<br>123|<br>123|<br>122|
|60-64<br>23|<br>36|<br>90|<br>128|<br>122|<br>120|<br>120|<br>120|
|65-69<br>19|<br>28|<br>71|<br>113|<br>115|<br>114|<br>116|<br>116|
|70-74<br>13|<br>21|<br>52|<br>99|<br>100|<br>106|<br>108|<br>108|
|75+<br>16|<br>26|<br>65|<br>162|<br>208|<br>221|<br>225|<br>226|
|TOTAL<br>106&|<br>1354|1751|<br>1985|<br>2037|<br>2055|<br>2062|<br>2065|
|BIRTH RATE|22.7|16.7|13.7|12.9|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|4.9|5.9|9.2|12.1|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.4|-1.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.54|.99|.45|.08|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.652|2.085|2.070|2.060|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.99|75.21|77.05|78.35|78.70|78.93|78.99|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|19.9|12.7|9.3|7.1|6.7|6.4|6.4|
# LAC DEPARTMENT III
80

# ANTIGU **A** ND BARSBDA

Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2030

|.**..............**......<br>.........<br>................<br>AGEGROLP<br>1985|.....<br>1990|........<br> <br>1995|..........................<br> <br>2000|2005|........................................<br>2010|...........<br>2015|2020|<br>2025|..<br>...<br> <br>203|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...............<br>............................||...........|<br>...............|......|.........|................|..<br>........|............|...<br>...............................|
|TOTALM+F<br>80|86|93|100|108|115|121|126|<br>130|<br>13|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6|3|4|5|5|5|5|4|<br>4||
|5-9<br>6|6|3|4|5|5|5|5|<br>4||
|10-14<br>6|6|6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5||
|15-19<br>4|6|6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>3|4|6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2|3|5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>1|2|3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|3|<br>4|<br>5|
|35-39<br>1|1|2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|6|<br>3|<br>4|
|40-44<br>1|1|1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>3|
|45-49<br>2|1|2|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|50-54<br>1|2|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|4|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|3|<br>4|<br>5|
|60-64<br>1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|
|70-74<br>0|0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|75+<br>0|0|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>38|<br>41|<br>45|<br>49|<br>52|<br>56|<br>59|<br>62|<br>64|<br>67|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6|3|4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>5|
|5-9<br>6|6|3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>S|<br>5|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|10-14<br>6|6|6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>4|<br>4|
|15-19<br>4|6|6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>4|
|20-24<br>3|5|6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2|4|5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>2|2|4|<br>5|6|<br>6|<br>6|3|<br>4|<br>5|
|35-39<br>2|2|2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|6|<br>3|<br>4|
|40-44<br>2|2|2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>3|
|45-49<br>2|2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|50-54<br>2|2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|5|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>1|<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|4|<br>5|<br>6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>3|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|
|75.<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>3|
|TOTAL<br>42|<br>45|<br>48|<br>52|<br>55|<br>59|<br>62|<br>64|<br>66|<br>69|
|BIRTH RATE|15.0|17.3|19.6|20.3|18.5|15.8|14.1|13.8|14.2|
|DEATH RATE|5.0|5.3|5.6|5.8|5.9|6.0|6.1|6.3|6.8|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|.99|1.20|1.41|1.45|1.26|.98|.80|.75|.74|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|4.8|4.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.48|1.64|1.40|1.45|1.26|.98|.80|.75|.74|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.900|1.900|1.900|1.928|1.955|1.982|2.008|2.034|2.060|
|NRR|.899|.904|.908|.925|.939|.953|.967|.980|.994|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|73.03|73.66|74.24|74.74|75.07|75.41|75.75|76.09|76.44|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|65.07|65.32|65.61|65.90|66.18|66.47|66.76|67.06|67.36|
|IHR B<br>BOTHSEXES|21.6|17.8|14.9|12.7|12.1|11.6|11.1|10.5|10.0|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0254|.0206|.0170|.0143|.0137|.0130|.0124|.0118|.0111|
|<br>DEP- RATIO<br>96.7|<br> <br>69.4|<br> <br>52.|<br>1<br>43.|<br>7<br>48.|<br>6<br>49.|<br>8<br>46.|<br>8<br>41.|<br>6<br>39.|1<br>41.6|
81

# ANTIGU **A** ND SARBUDA

Projection (000s) with NRRal by 2030 Summary for 25 Year Periov4s

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~~~~|~~~~~~~<br>........................|~~~~~~~~<br>**..............**.............<br>.....................|~~~~~~~|~~~~~~~~|~~~~.|. .....<br>...|...<br>......|
|TOTALH+F<br>80|100|<br>130|<br>146|<br>146|<br>146|<br>146|<br>147|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>6|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>4|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|2G-24<br>3|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2|<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>1|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>1|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|40-44<br>1|<br>2|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|45-49<br>2|<br>1|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|75+<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|TOTAL<br>38|<br>49|<br>64|<br>72|<br>72|<br>72|<br>72|<br>72|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>4|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>3|<br>6|<br>S|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2|<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>2|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>2|<br>4|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|40-44<br>2|' 2|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|45-49<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|60-64<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1||5<br>S|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|75+<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>42|<br>52|<br>66|<br>74|<br>74|<br>74|<br>75|<br>75|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|17.4|16.3|13.4|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DrATH<br>RATE|5.3|6.0|8.9|12.8|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|3.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.51|1.05|.45|-.00|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|1.911|1.978|2.065|2.060|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|73.67|75.45|77.18|78.39|78.72|78.94|79.00|
|IIR- BOTH SEXES|17.6|11.7|8.9|7.1|6.7|6.4|6.3|
82

|BAHAMAS<br>..............................|................|Proj<br>.............................................|ectio|n (OO0|s) w|ithNRRI1by|2000|__._.,........___|_..............|..<br>._|__.........._-..-|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROLP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995||2000||2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALM+F<br>232|258|284||308||330|350|369|386|402|<br>417|
|MALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>14|15|15||15||15|1S|15|15|15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>14|14|15||15||15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>16|14|14||15||15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|15-19<br>14|16|14||14||15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>10|14|16||14||<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br><br>15|
|25-29<br>7|10|14||16||14|14|15|15|15|15|
|30-34<br>7|7|10||14||16|14|14|15|15|15|
|35-39<br>7|7|7||10||14|16|14|14|15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>6|<br>7|<br> <br>7||<br>7||<br>10|<br>14|<br>16|<br>14|<br>14|<br><br>15|
|45-49<br>5|<br>6|<br>7||7||7|10|14|16|14|<br>14|
|50-54<br>4|<br>5|<br>6||7||7|7|10|14|15|<br>13|
|55-59<br>3|4|5||6||6|7|7|9|13|<br>15|
|60-64<br>2|3|4||4||5|6|6|6|9|12|
|65-69<br>2|2|2||3||4|5|5|5|5|8|
|70-74<br>1|2|1||2.||3|3|4|4|4|5|
|75+<br>1|1|2||2||2|3|4|4|5|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>116|<br>129|<br>142||154||164|174|183|192|200|<br>207|
|FEMALES||||||||||||
|0-4<br>13|15|15||15||14|14|14|14|14||
|5-9<br>14|13|15||15||15|14|14|14|14|<br>1..|
|10-14<br>16|14|13||15||15|15|14|14|14|<br>14|
|15-19<br>14|16|14||13||15|15|15|14|14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>11|14|16||14||13|15|15|15|14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>8|11|14||16||14|13|15|15|14|14|
|30-34<br>8|8|11||14||16|14|13|15|15|<br>14|
|35-39<br>7|8|8||11||14|16|14|13|15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>6|7|8||8||11|14|16|14|13|<br>14|
|45-49<br>5|6|7||8||8|11|<br>14|16|<br>14|<br><br> <br>13|
|50-54<br>4|5|6||7||8|8|11|14|16|<br>14|
|55-59<br>3|4|5||6||7|8|8|11|14|<br>15|
|60-64<br>3|3|4||5||5|6|7|7|10|<br>13|
|65-69<br>2|3|3||3||4|5|6|7|7|10|
|70-74<br>1|2|2||2||3|4|4|5|6|6|
|75+<br>1|1|2||3||3|4|5|6|8|9|
|TOTAL<br>116|129|142||154||165|176|185|194|203|210|
|BIRTH RATE|24.9|22.8|2|0.4||18.6<br>1|7.5<br>|16.6<br>|15.9|15.2|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.1|5.0||5.1||5.2|5.6|6.0|6.6|7.1|7.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.99|1.78|1|.53||1.34<br>1|.19<br>|1.05|.93|.81|.69|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.6|1.2||.7||.4|.0|.0|J|0|0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|2.15|1.90|1|.60||<br>1.38<br>1|<br>.19<br>|<br>1.05|.<br>.93|.<br>.81|.<br>.69|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.906|2.535|2.|211|2.|093<br>2.|090<br>2|.087<br>2|.084<br>2|.080|2.077|
|NRR|1.358|1.196|1.|051|1.|000<br>1.|000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|69.99|71.27|7|2.38|7|3.37<br>7|3.80<br>7|4.23<br>7|4.68<br>7|5.13|75.58|
|eClO)<br>- BOTH SEXES|62.43|63.23|63|.98|6|4.70<br>65|.07<br>6|5.44<br>6|5.82<br>6|6.21|66.61|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|26.4|21.3|1|7.5||14.6<br>|13.9<br>|13.2<br>|12.5|11.8|11.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0315|.0250|.|0202|.|0167<br>.|0159<br>.|0150<br>.|0142<br>|0134|0125|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.9|59.1|54.4|<br>|<br>51.9|<br>|<br> <br>48.9|<br> <br>46.7|<br> <br>45.8|<br> <br>45.4|<br>44.8|.<br> <br>46.3|
83 BAHAMAS

# Projection (0O0s) with WRR-1 by 2000

Summary f or 25 Year Periods

|AGF~GROP<br>1985|<br>_2000_|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM.F<br>232|308|402|452|462|465|<br>467|<br>468|
|VALES||||||||
|0-4<br>14|Is|15|15|15|Is|15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>14|15|Is|15|15|15|15|<br>i5|
|10-14<br>16|15|15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|15-19<br>14|14|15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>10|14|1s|15|15|15|1s|<br>15|
|25-29<br>7|16|15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|30-34<br>7|14|15|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>7|10|15|15|15|Is|15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>6|7|14|15|15|15|15|<br>15|
|45-49<br>5|7|14|14|15|15|15|<br>15|
|50-54<br>4|7|15|14|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|
|55-59<br>3|6|13|14|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|
|60-64<br>2|4|9|13|13|13|<br>13|<br>13|
|65-69<br>2|3|5|II|12|12|12|<br>12|
|70-74<br>1|2|4|9|10|10|10|<br>10|
|75+<br>1|2|5|13|16|16|16|<br>16|
|TOTAL<br>116|154|200|223|<br>227|229|<br>229|<br>230|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>13|15|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>14|15|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|10-14<br>16|15|14|14|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|
|`15-19<br>14|13|14|14|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>II|14|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>8|16|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|30-34<br>a|14|15|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|35-39<br>7|11|15|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|40-44<br>6|-8|13|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|45-49<br>5|8|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|50-54<br>4|7|16|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|55-59<br>3|6|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|60-64<br>3|5|10|14|14|1t.|14|<br>14|
|65-69<br>2|3|7|12|13|13|13|<br>13|
|70-74<br>1|2|6|II|12|12|12|<br>12|
|75.<br>1|3|8|20|24|25|26|26|
|TOTAL<br>116|154|203|229|235|237|<br>238|<br>238|
|BIRTH RATE|22.6|16.7|13.8|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.0|6.1|9.2|12.0|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|CROUH RATE|1.89|1.07|.46|.09|.03|.01|.01|
|TOVIA. FERTILITY|2.530|2.087|2.07i|2.061|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)-BOTH<br>SEXES|71.29|74.29|76.55|78.17|78.6i|78.91|78.98|
|IHRBOIN1<br>SEXES|21.8|13.2|9.7|7.4|6.8|6.5|6.4|
84

|BARBADOS||Pro|jection<br>(000|s)<br>with NRRD|1 by 2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALN.F<br>253|257|259|261|263|264|265|267|268|<br>270|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11|10|10|10|9|8|8|8|8|<br>8|
|5-9<br>10|11|10|10|9|9|8|8|8|<br>8|
|10-14<br>13|10|10|10|9|9|8|8|8|<br>8|
|15-19<br>13|13|9|10|9|9|9|8|8|<br>8|
|20-24<br>13|12|12|9|9|9|9|9|8|<br>8|
|25-29<br>12|12|12|11|8|9|9|9|8|<br>8|
|30-34<br>9|11|12|11|11|8|9|8|9|<br>8|
|35*39<br>7|8|11|11|11|10|8|9|8|<br>9|
|40-44<br>5|7|8|10|11|10|10|<br>7|8|<br>8|
|45-49<br>5|5|6|8|10|11|10|<br>10|<br>7|<br>8|
|50-54<br>4|5|<br>5|6|8|10|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>7|
|55-59<br>4|4|5|4|6|7|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|60-64<br>4|4|3|4|4|5|7|9|9|<br>9|
|65-69<br>3|4|3|3|4|4|S|6|8|<br>8|
|70-74<br>3|2|3|3|3|3|3|4|5|<br>7|
|75.<br>4|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>7|
|TOTAL<br>119|<br>121|<br>123|<br>124|<br>125|<br>126|<br>127|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|5-9<br>11|<br>10|10|10|9|8|8|8|8|<br>8|
|10-14<br>13|<br>11|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|15-19<br>13|13|10|9|9|9|9|8|8|<br>8|
|20-24<br>14|<br>12|<br>12|<br>10|<br>3|<br>9|<br>9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|25-29<br>12|13|12|11|9|8|8|8|8|<br>8|
|30-34<br>11|11|13|11|11|9|8|8|8|<br>8|
|35-39<br>8|11|11|12|11|10|8|7|8|<br>8|
|40-44<br>6|8|10|11|12|10|10|<br>8|7|8|
|45-49<br>6|6|8|10|11|12|10|<br>10|<br>8|<br>7|
|50-54<br>5|6|6|7|10|10|12|<br>10|<br>10|<br>8|
|55-59<br>6|5|6|6|7|<br>10|10|<br>12|<br>10|<br>1J|
|60-64<br>5|6|S|<br>6|5|7|10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>10|
|65-69<br>5|5|5|**4**|5|5|7|9|<br>10|<br>11|
|70-74<br>4|4|4|5|4|5|5|6|a|9|
|75.<br>6|6|7|7|8|8|9|<br>9|10|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>134|136|137|137|<br>138|138|<br>138|<br>139|<br>140|<br>140|
|BIRTH RATE|16.6|16.0|15.0|13.8|12.8|12.3|12.1|12.2|12.1|
|DEATH RATE|7.9|7.6|7.5|7.6|7.9|8.2|8.9|9.7|11.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.87|.84|.74|.62|.48|.40|.32|.24|.11|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-6.3|-6.2|-6.1|-5.0|-4.1|-3.0|-2.0|-1.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.25|.22|.13|.12|.07|.10|.13|.14|.11|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.750|1.750|1.750|1.798|1.844|1.890|1.934|1.978|2.020|
|NRR|.852|.853|.855|.880|.903|.926|.948|.970|.991|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|74.93|75.86|76.58|77.17|77.32|77.48|77.63|77.79|77.95|
|et1O)- BOTHSEXES|66.06|66.88|67.49|67.99|68.12|68.26|68.39|68.53|68.67|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|12.4|11.1|10.0|9.0|8.8|8.5|8.3|8.1|7.8|
|qtS)-BOTH SEXES|0139|0124|0111|0099|0097|0094|0091|0089|0086|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>57.4|.<br> <br>50.8|.<br> <br>49.|.<br>6<br>47.|.<br>3<br>45.|.<br>9<br>43.|.<br>6<br>44.|.<br>1<br>48.|.<br>0<br>54.|.<br>3<br>61.5|
85

# BARBADOS

# Projection (000s) with NRR-1 by 2030

Suimmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL H.F<br>253|261|268|260|253|253|253|253|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|10|8|8|8|8|a|8|
|5-9<br>10|10|<br>8|8|8|8|8|J|
|10-14<br>13|10|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|15-19<br>13|10|<br>8|8|8|8|8|8|
|20-24<br>13|9|8|8|8|8|8|a|
|25-29<br>12|<br>11|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|30-34<br>9|11|<br>9|8|8|8|8|8|
|35-39<br>7|11|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|40-44<br>5|10|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|45-49<br>5|8|7|8|8|8|8|8|
|50-54<br>4|6|10|8|8|8|8|8|
|55-59<br>4|4|10|8|7|7|7|7|
|60-64<br>4|4|9|7|7|7|7||
|65-69<br>3|3|8|7|6|7|6|6|
|70-74<br>3|3|5|5|6|6|6|6|
|75+<br>4|4|5|11|9|9|9|9|
|TOTAL<br>119|124|129|126|123|123|123|123|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10|9|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|5-9<br>11|10|8|8|a|8|8|a|
|10-14<br>13|9|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|15-19<br>13|9|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|20-24<br>14|10|8|8|8|8|8||
|25-29<br>12|11|8|8|8|8|8||
|30-34<br>11|11|8|8|8|8|8||
|35-39<br>8|12|8|8|8|8|8||
|40-44<br>6|11|7|8|8|8|8|8|
|45-49<br>6|10|8|8|8|8|8|8|
|50-54<br>5|7|10|8|8|8|8|8|
|55-59<br>6|6|10|8|8|8|8|8|
|60-64<br>5|6|11|8|7|8|8|8|
|65-69<br>5|4|10|7|7|7|7|7|
|70-74<br>4|5|8|7|7|7|7|7|
|75+<br>6|7|10|<br>18|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>134|<br>137|<br>140|<br>134|<br>131|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|BIRTH RATE|15.9|12.6|12.0|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.7|8.5|13.3|13.5|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|*6.2|-3.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.20|.11|-. 13|-. 10|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOAL FERTILIT-|1.763|1.884|2.032|2.032|2.031|2.031|2.031|
|e6C)- BOTH SEXES|75.80|77.48|78.27|78.81|78.96|79.05|79.08|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|11.2|8.5|7.4|6.6|6.4|6.3|6.3|
86 BELIZE Projection (000s) with NRR=l by 2020

|...............................................................|...............................................||......................|.........|...............<br>I.................................................<br>|...<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>1990|<br>19ff|2000<br>2005|<br>2010||2015<br>2020<br>2025|2030|
|....<br>,.............<br>..................|.................|..................................|||.................................|.|
|TOTALM1oF<br>166<br>189|216|246<br>276|304||329<br>353<br>378|405|
|IALES|||||||
|0-4<br>12<br>16|18|19<br>19|<br>18||17<br>17<br>17|18|
|5-9<br>14<br>11|'S|17<br>19|<br>19||18<br>17<br>16<br>|17<br>|
|10-14<br>13<br>13|11|15<br>17|<br>19||19<br>18<br>17|16|
|15-19<br>11<br>12|13|11<br>15|17||19<br>19<br>is|17|
|20-24<br>7<br>10|12|13<br>11|<br>15||17<br>19<br>19<br>|18<br>|
|23-29<br>5<br>7|10|12<br>13|<br>11||15<br>17<br>19<br> <br>|19<br>|
|30-34<br>3<br>5|7|10<br>12|12||10<br>14<br>17|18|
|35*39<br>3<br>3|5|7<br>9|11||12<br>10<br>14|17|
|40-44<br>3<br>3|3|5<br>6|9||11<br>12<br>10|14|
|45-49<br>3<br>3|3|3<br>4|6||9<br>11<br>12|10|
|50-54<br>2<br>3|3|3<br>3|4||6<br>9<br>11|12|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|3|3<br>3|2||4<br>6<br>8|10|
|60-64<br>a<br>2|2|3<br>2|2||2<br>4<br>5|8|
|65-69<br>1<br>2|2|2<br>2|2||2<br>2<br>3|5<br>|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|1|1<br>1|2||2<br>2<br>2|3|
|75*<br>1<br>1|1|1<br>2|2||2<br>2<br>2<br>|2<br>|
|TOTAL<br>83<br>95|108|123<br>138|<br>152||165<br>177<br>189|202|
|FEKALES|||||||
|0-4<br>12<br>15|17|19<br>18|<br>1?||16<br>16<br>16|17|
|5-9<br>14<br>11|15|17<br>18|<br>18||17<br>16<br>16|16|
|10-14<br>13<br>14|11|15<br>17|<br>18||18<br>17<br>16|16|
|15-19<br>11<br>12|13|11<br>15|<br>17||18<br>18<br>17|16|
|20-24<br>7<br>10|12|13<br>11|<br>14||16<br>18<br>18<br> <br> <br>|17<br>|
|25-29<br>5<br>7|10|12<br>13|11||14<br>16<br>18|18|
|30-34<br>3<br>5|7|10<br>12<br>|<br>13<br>||10<br>14<br>16<br> <br> <br>|18<br>|
|35-39<br>3<br>3|5|7<br>9|11||12<br>10<br>14|16<br>|
|40-44<br>3<br>3|3|5<br>6|9||11<br>12<br>10|14|
|45-49<br>3<br>3|3|3<br>5|6||9<br>11<br>12|10|
|50-54<br>2<br>3|t|3<br>3|4||6<br>9<br>11|12|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|3|3<br>3|3||4<br>6<br>9|11|
|60-64<br>2<br>2|2|3<br>3|<br>3||3<br>4<br>6<br>|9<br>|
|65-69<br>1<br>2|2|2<br>3|<br>3||2<br>2<br>4|5<br>|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|2|2<br>1|2||2<br>2<br>2<br>|3<br>|
|75+<br>1<br>1<br> <br> <br>|1<br>|2<br>2<br> <br>|2<br>||3<br>3<br>3<br> <br> <br>|3<br>|
|TOTAL<br>83<br>95|108|123<br>138|152||164<br>177<br>189|202|
|BIRTH RATE<br>36.6|36.0<br>3|4.0<br>29.7|25.0||21.8<br>19.4<br>18.7|18.2|
|DEATH RATE<br>7.0<br>|6.2<br> <br>|5.S<br>5.0<br> <br>|4.7<br>||4.5<br>4.6<br>4.7<br> <br> <br>|4.9<br>|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.<br>2.96|2.98<br>|.85<br>2.47|2.03||1.72<br>1.48<br>1.40|1.34|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-3.4|-3.0<br>-|2.6<br>-2.0|-1.4||-1.0<br>-. 6<br>-. 3|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>2.63|2.68<br>|2.60<br>2.27|1.90||1.62<br>1.42<br>1.37|1.34|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>5.000|4.500<br>4.|000<br>3.500|3.013|2.|593<br>2.232<br>2.02<br>2|.095|
|NRR<br>2.259|2.065<br>1.|859<br>1.644|1.420|1|.226<br>1.058<br>1.000<br>|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES<br>66.74|68.29<br>6|9.69<br>70.94|71.53|7|2.14<br>72.76<br>73.39<br>7|4.04|
|e(lO)<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>61.14|61.87<br>6|2.58<br>63.27|63.72|6|4.17<br>64.64<br>65.12<br>6|5.61|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>50.1|41.1<br> <br>|33.4<br>27.1<br> <br>|25.2<br>|<br>|23.4<br>21.5<br>19.6<br> <br> <br> <br>|17.7<br>|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>.0590<br>DEP. RATIO<br>97.5<br>87.0|.0476<br>.0<br> <br>79.7|381<br>.0305<br>82.3<br>76.|.0284<br>9<br>67.1|.<br>|0262<br>.0241<br>.0220<br><br>56.3<br>47.5<br>43.8|.0199<br>43.4|
87 Projection (000s) with NRRuI by 2020 BELIZE Summary for 25 Year Periods

|...**...**<br>...<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|......<br>.....<br>......<br>..<br>2000|...<br>......<br>2025|.....<br>......<br>2050|......<br>..<br>p.<br>2075|......<br>......<br>2100|.....<br>......<br>2125|<br>.....<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN+F<br>166|246|378|486|531|537|540|:41|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12|19|17|17|17|17|17|17|
|5-9<br>14|17|16|17|17|17|17|17|
|10-14<br>13|15|17|17|17|17|17|17|
|15-19<br>11|11|18|18|17|17|17|17|
|20-24<br>7|13|19|18|17|1?|17|17|
|25-29<br>5|12|19|17|17|17|17|17|
|30-34<br>3|10|17|16|17|17|17|17|
|35-39<br>3|7|14|17|17|17|17|17|
|40-44<br>3|5|10|17|17|17|17|1.|
|45-49<br>3|3|12|18|17|17|17|17|
|50-54<br>2|3|11|18|16|16|17|17|
|55-59<br>2|3|8|15|15|16|16|16|
|60-64<br>2|3|5|12|1S|<br>15|15|15|
|65-69<br>1|2|3|8|14|14|14|14|
|70-74<br>1|1|2|8|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|75',<br>1|1|2|8|17|18|19|19|
|TOTAL<br>83|123|189|241|261|264|265|266|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12|<br>19|16|<br>16|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|
|5-9<br>14|<br>17|16|<br>16|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|
|10-14<br>13|15|16|17|17|i7|17|17|
|15-19<br>11|11|17|17|17|17|17|17|
|20-24<br>7|13|18|17|17|17|17|17|
|25-29<br>5|12|18|<br>16|<br>16|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|
|30-34<br>3|10|16|<br>16|<br>16|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|
|35-39<br>3|7|14|16|17|17|17|17|
|40-44<br>3|v<br>5|10|17|17|17|17|:7|
|45-49<br>3|3|12|<br>18|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|
|50-54<br>2|3|11|18|16|16|16|17|
|55-59<br>2|3|9|16|15|16|16|16|
|60-64<br>2|3|6|13|15|16|16|16|
|65-69<br>1|2|4|9|15|16|16|16|
|70-74<br>1|2|2|10|15|15|14|14|
|75+<br>1|2|3|13|25|28|30|30|
|TOTAL<br>83|123|189|245|270|273|275|275|
|BIRTH RATE|35.4|22.5|15.9|13.4|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.2|4.7|6.1|9.9|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION RATE|-2.9|-1.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTHRATE|2.63|1.72|1.00|.36|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.438|2.616|2.082|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|68.37|72.26|75.46|77.75|78.39|78.83|78.94|
|<br>IHR- BOTH SEXES|41.0|23.5|14.0|8.0|7.1|6.6|6.4|
88 BOLIVIA Projection **(000s)** with _NRRn1_ by 2030

|ACE**GROUP**<br>1985<br>............<br>.......................|1990|1995<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|2000<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|2005<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.|2010<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|2015<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|2020<br>...<br>.<br>.<br>.|2025<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|2030<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N+F<br>6371|7309|8374|9511|10720|11969|13224|<br>14456|<br>15615|16665|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>559|641|717|768|**815**|845|859|858|835|793|
|5-9<br>456|532|615|693|747|795|828|84S|845|823|
|10-14<br>385|449|524|607|686|741|789|822|838|840|
|15-19<br>326|378|441|516|599|678|733|<br>782|815|832|
|20-24<br>273|315|367|429|505|587|<br>666|722|772|<br>806|
|25-29<br>227|260|303|353|416|491|574|653|710|<br>761|
|30-34<br>190|216|249|291|341|404|479|562|642|699|
|35-39<br>163|181|206|239|280|330|393|467|550|630|
|40-44<br>132|154|171|197|228|269|319|381|455|538|
|45-49<br>109|124|145|162|186|218|258|307|368|441|
|50-54<br>93|101|115|135|151|175|205|244|292|351|
|55-59<br>79|84|91|104|123|138|161|<br>191|227|<br>273|
|60-64<br>60|68|73|79|91|108|122|<br>143|170|<br>204|
|65-69<br>42|49|56|60|65|76|90|<br>103|122|<br>145|
|70-74<br>28|31|36|41|45|49|58|70|80|95|
|75+<br>23|27|30|35|41|46|52|61|74|88|
|TOTAL<br>3146|3609|4140|4710|5321|5952|6586|7207|<br>7792|8319|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>548|623|696|743|788|817|830|829|806|765|
|5-9<br>454|522|599|674|726|771|802|817|818|797|
|10-14<br>386|447|51.|592|668|720|<br>766|<br>797|812|815|
|15-19<br>329|380|440|507|584|661|713|759|792|808|
|20-24<br>279|321|371|430|497|575|651|704|752|785|
|25-29<br>236|271|312|361|420|487|564|641|695|743|
|30-34<br>202|229|263|503|351|410|477|554|631|686|
|35-39<br>172|19|222|255|294|342|400|467|544|622|
|40-44<br>140|166|188|214|246|285|333|391|457|534|
|45-49<br>118|134|159|181|206|238|276|<br>323|381|447|
|50-54<br>101|112|127|151|172|197|<br>228|<br>266|312|369|
|55-59<br>85|94|10'.|119|141|161|185|<br>216|253|298|
|60-64<br>66|77|-85|94|108|129|<br>148|<br>171|200|<br>236|
|65-69<br>48|57|66|73|81|93|113|<br>131|152|<br>180|
|70-74<br>33|38|45|52|58|65|76|<br>92|108|<br>127|
|75+<br>30|36|42|50|58|67|77|<br>91|111|<br>135|
|TOTAL<br>3225|3700|4234|4800|5399|6017|6638|<br>7248|<br>7824|<br>83"|
|BIRTH RATE|42.6|40.7|37.5|34.5|31.7|28.8|26.0|23.1|20.3|
|DEATH RATE|13.9|12.5|11.1|9.9|9.2|8.5|8.0|7.6|7.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.87|2.82|2.64|2.46|2.25|2.03|1.80|1.55|1.30|
|NETMIGCATION<br>RATE|-1.2|-1.0|-. 9|-*.7|-. 5|-.3|-.2|-.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.75|2.72|2.55|2.39|2.20|1.99|1.78|1.54|1.30|
|TOTAt FERTILITY|6.060|5.550|5.040|4.530|4.020|3.510|3.061|2.670|2.328|
|NRR|2.293|2.178|2.038|1.884|1.697|1.504|1.332|1.178|1.042|
|**e(O)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|53.12|54.98|56.78|58.54|59.87|61.24|62.65|64.12|65.64|
|**etlO)**- BOTH SEXES|54.01|54.51|54.89|55.26|56.14|57.04|57.98|58.95|59.96|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|110.0|96.7|83.0|69.9|64.5|59.1|53.7|48.3|42.9|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1598|.1386|.1170|.0963|.0886|.0809|.0732|.0654|.0576|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>88.5|<br>89.4|88.9|85.7|<br> <br>80.4|73.|<br>9<br>67.7|<br>61.7|<br>55.9|<br>50.6|
89

# BOLIVIA

Projection (000s) with NRRd1 by 2030' Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRCUP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>6371|<br>9511|15615|<br>20656|<br>23757|<br>24686|<br>25091|<br>25257|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>559|768|835|821|<br>817|815|<br>814|<br>815|
|5-9<br>456|693|845|825|<br>313|812|<br>813|<br>814|
|10-14<br>385|607|838|814|<br>806|809|<br>812|<br>813|
|15-19<br>326|516|815|786|<br>799|808|812|<br>812|
|20-24<br>273|429|772|772|<br>798|808|<br>811|<br>811|
|25-29<br>227|353|710|804|<br>808|808|<br>808|<br>808|
|30-34<br>49J|<br>291|642|815|<br>811|803|<br>804|<br>806|
|35-39<br>163|<br>239|550|801|<br>797|793|<br>799|<br>803|
|40-44<br>132|<br>197|455|769|<br>765|<br>783|<br>795|<br>800|
|45-49<br>109|162|368|716|<br>744|776|<br>790|<br>794|
|50-54<br>93|135|292|642|<br>759|773|<br>779|<br>780|
|55-59<br>79|104|227|554|<br>742|<br>751|<br>752|<br>755|
|60-64<br>60|79|170|439|<br>683|698|704|<br>713|
|65-69<br>42|60|122|322|<br>591|608|<br>635|<br>649|
|70-74<br>28|41|80|214|<br>462|504|<br>541|<br>556|
|75+<br>23|35|74|200|<br>543|781|<br>847|<br>872|
|TOTAL<br>3146|<br>4710|7792|<br>10293|<br>11737|<br>12130|<br>12316|<br>12399|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>548|743|806|791|<br>786|782|<br>781|<br>781|
|5-9<br>454|674|818|797|<br>784|781|<br>781|<br>781|
|10-14<br>386|592|812|789|<br>778|<br>779|<br>781|<br>781|
|15-19<br>329|507|792|763|<br>773|779|<br>781|<br>781|
|20-24<br>279|430|752|752|<br>775|782|<br>782|<br>781|
|25-29<br>236|361|695|785|<br>788|785|<br>782|<br>781|
|30-34<br>202|303|<br>631|798|<br>793|782|<br>780|<br>780|
|35-39<br>172|<br>255|544|787|<br>782|_m_|777|<br>779|
|40-44<br>140|<br>-214|457|759|<br>754|769|<br>777|<br>779|
|45-49<br>118|181|381|712|<br>739|767|<br>778|<br>778|
|50-54<br>101|<br>151|312|647|<br>763|774|<br>775|<br>773|
|55-59<br>85|119|253|573|762|769|<br>765|<br>764|
|60-64<br>66|94|200|473|<br>727|741|<br>743|<br>749|
|65-69<br>48|73|152|368|<br>663|683|709|<br>722|
|70-74<br>33|52|108|268|<br>559|612|<br>655|<br>671|
|75+<br>30|50|111|301|<br>793|1196|<br>1329|<br>1377|
|TOTAL<br>3225|<br>4800|7824|<br>10363|<br>12020|<br>12556|<br>12775|<br>12858|
|BIRTH RATE|40.0|28.3|18,2|14.4|13.3|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH<br>RATE|12.4|8.5|<br>7.1|8.9|11.7|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.0|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.67|1.98|1.12|.56|.15|.07|.03|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|5.503|3.437|2.190|2.081|2.068|2.060|2.059|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|55.12|61.56|69.08|74.89|76.88|78.28|78.64|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|96.0|59.1|32.1|14.3|10.0|7.3|6.8|
90

|COLOMBIA||Proje|ction<br>(000|s)<br>withNRRa|1by|2005|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......................|....................................|.........||.......|.......|..................|||||
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005||2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|..................................|..|.....................................|..............................|||||............|..||
|TOTAL M+F<br>28418|31105|33883|36478|38868||41215|43553|457M|47772|49493|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>1974|1882|1955|1878|1791||1803|1860|1884|1869|<br>1841|
|5-9<br>1765|1939|1855|1935|1864||1781|1794|1852|1876|<br>1863|
|10-14<br>1598|1750<br>|1924<br>|1844<br>|1927<br>||1858<br>|lm<br>|1790<br>|1848<br>|<br>1873<br> <br>|
|15-19<br>1620|1580|1733|1910|1834||1918|1851|1771|1784|<br>1843|
|20-24<br>1495|1589|1553|1710|1891||1821|1906|1841|1761|<br>1775|
|25-29<br>1238|1456|1554|1526|1689||1875|1807|1893|1829|<br>1751|
|30-34<br>1031|1204|1424|1528|1506||1673|1860|1793|1880|<br>1817|
|35-39<br>807|1001|1176|1399|1506||1489|1657|1843|1779|<br>1866|
|40-44<br>639|781|975|1151|1374||1484|1469|1636|1822|<br>1760|
|45-49<br>520|615|755|947|1122||1344|1453|1441|1606|<br>1791|
|50-54<br>428|495|587|724|912||1084|1300|1408|1398<br>|<br>1562<br> <br>|
|55-59<br>352|398|463|551|683||862|1027|1235|1341|<br>1335|
|60-64<br>283|316|360|420|503||625|792|946<br>|1141<br>|<br>1243<br> <br>|
|65-69<br>213<br> <br>|241<br>|271<br>|310<br>|364<br>||437<br>|546<br>|695<br>|833<br>|<br>1010<br> <br>|
|70-74<br>143|167|190|214|247||292|353|443|567|<br>684|
|75+<br>120|150|182|213|247||288|342|413|516|<br>659|
|TOTAL<br>14226|15564|16957|18261|19460||20634|21793|22883|23851|<br>24672|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>1924|1815|1883|1806|1720||1732|1787|1809|1796|<br>1769|
|5-9<br>1729|1894|1792|1867|1795||1714|1726|1782|1805|<br>1792|
|10-14<br>1567|1715|1882|1784|1861||1792|1711|1724|1780|<br>1803|
|15-19<br>1598|1553|1702|1871|1776||1856|1788|1708|1721|<br>177|
|20-24<br>1483|1574|1531|1685|<br>1858||1768|1849|1782|1703|<br>1717|
|25-29<br>1222|1455|1547|1511|1669||1847|1759|1841|1775|<br>1697|
|30-34<br>1011|1198|1430|1527|1496||1657|1836|1750|1832|<br>1768|
|35-39<br>784|990|1176|1410|1510||1482|1645|1823|1739|<br>1822|
|40-44<br>618|766|971|1157|1391||1493|1467|1629|1808|<br>1727|
|45-49<br>513|602|748|951|1136||1368|1470|1447|1609|<br>1788|
|50-54<br>443|496|583|727|925||1108|1337|1439|1419|<br>1581|
|55-59<br>383|423|474|559|698||891|1070|1294|1397|<br>1381|
|60-64<br>319|356|-<br>394|443|525||658|843|1016|1234|<br>1336|
|65-69<br>250|285|319|354|400||476|601|774|<br>938|<br>1144|
|70-74<br>177|<br>207|<br>237|<br>267|<br>298||340|<br>407|<br>518|<br>672|<br>821|
|75.<br>171<br> <br>|<br>211<br>|<br>255<br>|<br>300<br>|<br>348<br>|<br>|400<br>|<br>463<br> <br>|<br>554<br>|<br>694<br>|<br>898<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>14192|15540|16925|18218|19407||20581|<br>21759|22890|23921|<br>24820|
|BIRTH RATE|26.3|24.7|21.7|19.2||18.1|17.6|16.9|16.0|151|
|DEATH RATE|6.9|6.5|6.3|6.1||6.3|6.6|7.0|7.4|8.0|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.94|1.82|1.55|1.31||1.18|1.10|.99|.86|.71|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.3|-1.1|-.7|-.4||-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.81|1.71|1.48|1.27||1.17|1.10|.99|.86|.71|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.187|2.833|2.518|2.238|2|.135|2.127|2.119|2.111|2.103|
|NRR|1.424|1.291|1.163|1.044||1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|65.74|67.22|68.54|69.77|7|0.44|71.12|71.83|72.54|73.28|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|60.18|60.85|61.48|62.14|6|2.67|63.20|63.75|64.31|64.89|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|46.0|38.4|31.6|25.8||24.1|22.4|20.6|18.9|17.2|
|q(5) - BOTP SEXES|.0590|.0478|.0384|.0308||.0287|.0265|.0244|.0223|.0201|
|DEP. RATIO<br>69.3|<br>65.0|<br>60.3|<br>53.|9<br>49.|5|45.6|<br>44.3|<br>45.1|<br>46.|6<br>48.5|
91 Projection (OOOs) with NRR=l by 2005

**OLOMBIA**

**SuLmrry** for 25 Year Periods

|.....................<br>_AMAE_<br>_GRQP_|.....<br>1985|.......................................<br> <br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|...<br>. ....<br> <br>2075|<br>...............<br> <br>2100|...<br>....<br> <br>2125|...<br>....<br>....................<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........<br>.......|..............|.......|.......<br>|.................................|||||
|TOTALM+F|28418|<br>36478|<br>477 7|54091|<br>56152|<br>56891|<br>57239|<br>57376|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1974|<br>1878|<br>1869|<br>1851|<br>1844|<br>1843|<br>18K4|<br>1845|
|5-9|1765|<br>1935|<br>1876|<br>1843|<br>1837|<br>1840|<br>1842|<br>1843|
|10-14|1598|<br>1844|<br>1848|<br>1827|<br>1832|<br>1838|<br>1841|<br>1841|
|15-19|1620|<br>1910|<br>1784|<br>1816|<br>1831|<br>1837|<br>1839|<br>1839|
|20-24|1495|<br>1710|<br>1761|<br>1823|<br>1833|<br>1835|<br>1835|<br>1835|
|25-29|1238|<br>1526|<br>1829|<br>1842|<br>1833|<br>1829|<br>1830|<br>1831|
|30-34|1031|<br>1528|<br>1880|<br>1845|<br>1823|<br>1820|<br>1824|<br>1826|
|35-39|807|1399|<br>1779|<br>1810|<br>1803|<br>1811|<br>1818|<br>1822|
|40-44|639|<br>1151|<br>1&12|<br>1736|<br>1785|<br>1803|<br>1812|<br>1814|
|45-49|520|<br>947|<br>1606|<br>1697|<br>1778|<br>1792|<br>1797|<br>1799|
|50-54|428|<br>724|<br>1398|<br>1730|<br>1769|<br>1768|<br>1767|<br>1769|
|55-59|352|<br>551|<br>1341|<br>1716|<br>1719|<br>1707|<br>1710|<br>1716|
|60-64|283|<br> <br>420|<br> <br> <br>1141|<br> <br> <br>1525|<br> <br> <br>1595|<br> <br> <br>1602|<br> <br> <br>1617|<br><br> <br>1626|
|65-69|213|<br>310|<br>833|1409|<br>1394|<br>1451|<br>1476|<br>1485|
|70-74|143|<br>214|<br>567|<br>1048|<br>1165|<br>1242|<br>1264|<br>1271|
|75+|120|<br>213|<br>516|<br>1282|<br>1831|<br>1947|<br>1994|<br>2013|
|TOTAL|14226|<br>18261|<br>23851|<br>26800|<br>27672|<br>27966|<br>28110|<br>28173|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1924|<br>1806|<br>1796|<br>1778|<br>1770|<br>1768|<br>1768|<br>1766|
|5-9|1729|<br>1867|<br>1805|<br>1773|<br>1766|<br>1767|<br>1767|<br>1768|
|10-14|1567|<br>1784|<br>1780|<br>1759|<br>1763|<br>1767|<br>1768|<br>176-|
|15-19|1598|<br>1871|<br>1721|<br>1751|<br>1765|<br>1768|<br>1768|<br>1763|
|20-24|1483|<br>1685|<br>1703|<br>1762|<br>1770|<br>1770|<br>1768|<br>1767|
|25-29|1222|<br>1511|<br>1775|<br>1784|<br>1775|<br>1768|<br>1766|<br>1766|
|30-34|1011|<br>1527|<br>1832|<br>1792|<br>1769|<br>1764|<br>1765|<br>1766|
|35-39|784|1410|<br>1739|<br>1762|<br>1754|<br>1760|<br>1764|<br>1766|
|40-44|618|1157|1808|<br>1697|<br>1743|<br>1759|<br>1764|<br>1761.|
|45-49|513|951|1609|<br>1668|<br>1747|<br>1759|<br>1761|<br>1760|
|50-54|443|727|1419|<br>1720|<br>1757|<br>1754|<br>1751|<br>1750|
|55-!9|383|559|1397|<br>1743|<br>1742|<br>1730|<br>1730|<br>1732|
|60-64|319|443|1234|<br>1604|<br>1674|<br>1682|<br>1696|<br>1703|
|65-69|250|354|938|1576|<br>1543|<br>1609|<br>1637|<br>1645|
|70-74|177|267|672|1262|<br>1391|<br>1492|<br>1522|<br>1529|
|75+|171|300|694|<br>1860|<br>2749|<br>3009|<br>3136|<br>3182|
|TOTAL|14192|<br>18218|<br>23921|<br>27291|<br>28480|<br>28925|<br>29129|<br>29201|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||24.1|17.5|14.3|13.1|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||6.5|6.7|9.3|11.7.|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-1.0|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.66|1.08|.50|.15|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|2.812|2.144|2.087|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|**e(O)-** BOTH|SEXES|67.25|71.21|74.85|77.51|78.26|78.78|78.92|
|1-<br>BOTH S|EXES|38.7|22.3|13.7|8.2|7.2|6.6|6.4|
92

|DQGINICA||Proje|ction (0OO|s) with NRR=I. by 2000||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GRW<br>1985<br>...................................................|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000<br>.........................|<br>2005<br>2010<br>2015<br>.......<br>............|<br>2020<br>.....<br>......|<br>2025<br>........<br>..............|<br>2030<br>...<br>...........**.**.....|
|TOTAL M+F<br>78<br>|<br>83|<br>87|<br>91|<br>96<br>102<br>107|<br>112|<br>117|<br>121|
|MALES<br>||||||||
|0-4<br>7|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5<br>5<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|5-9<br>6<br> <br>|7<br>|4<br>|4<br>|4<br>5<br>5<br>|5|4|4|
|10-14<br>5|6|7|4|4<br>4<br>5|5|5|4|
|15-19<br>3|5|5|7|4<br>4<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|5|
|20-24<br>3|3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>7<br>4<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5<br>7<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|30-34<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>3|4<br>5<br>7|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|35-39<br>2|2|2|2|3<br>4<br>5|7|4|4|
|40-44<br>2|1|2|<br>2|<br>2<br>3<br>4|<br>5|<br>7|<br>4|
|45-49<br>2|2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2<br>2<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>7|
|50-54<br>1<br>|2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>2<br>2|<br>3|4|5|
|55-59<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|4|
|60-64<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|
|65-69<br>1<br>|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|
|70-74<br>1|0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|75+<br>1|1|1|1|1<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|
|TOTAL<br>37|40|<br>42|<br>44|<br>47<br>50<br>53|<br>55|<br>58|<br>60|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|4|4|<br>4|4<br>5<br>5|<br>4|4|4|
|5-9<br>6<br>|7|<br>4|<br>4|4<br>4<br>5|<br>5|4|4|
|10-14<br>4|5|<br>7|<br>4|4<br>4<br>4|<br>5|5|4|
|15-19<br>4|4|<br>5|<br>7|<br>4<br>4<br>4|<br>4|5|5|
|20-24<br>3<br>|3|4|<br>5|7<br>4<br>4|<br>4|4|5|
|25-29<br>3<br>|3|3|<br>4|5<br>7<br>4|<br>4|4|4|
|30-34<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>3|4<br>5<br>6|<br>4|4|4|
|35-39<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>3|3<br>4<br>5|<br>6|4|4|
|40-44<br>2|2|2|<br>2|3<br>3<br>4|<br>5|6|4|
|45-49<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>2|2<br>3<br>3|<br>4|5|6|
|50-54<br>2<br>|2|<br>2|<br>2|2<br>2<br>3|<br>3|4|5|
|55-59<br>1<br> <br>|2|<br>2|<br>2|2<br>2<br>2|<br>3|3|4|
|60-64<br>1|1|<br>2|<br>2|2<br>2<br>2|<br>2|3|3|
|65-69<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>2<br>2|<br>2|2|2|
|70-74<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|
|75.<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2<br>2<br>2|<br>2|3|3|
|TOTAL<br>41|43|<br>45|<br>47|49<br>52<br>55|<br>57|<br>59|<br>61|
|BIRTH RATE|21.6|19.9|19.0|20.0<br>20.3<br>18.2|16.0|14.6|14.3|
|DEATH RATE|5.1|5.1|5.2|5.4<br>5.7<br>5.9|6.0|6.2|6.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br> <br>|1.65<br>|1.48<br>|1.38<br>|1.46<br>1.46<br>1.23<br>|.99|.84|.79|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-5.0|-4.7|-4.5|-3.4<br>-2.8<br>-1.9|-1.1|-. 7|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.15|1.00|.93|1.12<br>1.17<br>1.04|.88|.77|.79|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.125|2.638|2.227|2.081<br>2.079<br>2.077|2.075|2.073|2.070|
|NRR|1.486|1.260|1.067|1.000<br>1.000<br>1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES<br>|74.09|74.76|75.34|75.86<br>76.10<br>76.36|76.61|76.87|77.13|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES<br>|65.77<br>|66.21<br>|66.58|66.93<br>67.13<br>67.34|67.55|67.76|67.98|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES<br>|18.0|15.6|13.5|11.7<br>11.2<br>10.7|10.2|9.8|9.3|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0208|.0179|.0153|.0131<br>.0125<br>.0120|0114|0108|0103|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>100.7|87.6|70.8|<br>50.8|<br> <br> <br> <br>50.8<br>52.1<br>51.8|.<br> <br>48.3|.<br>44.2|.<br> <br>42.7|
93 ProJectlon (O0Os) with NRR=1 by 2000

# DO4M1ICA

Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....<br>.......<br>..................|.............|.........................||..|..........................|..............................<br>.....................|
|TOTAL M+F<br>78|91|117|136|<br>138|<br>138|<br>139<br>139|
|MALES|||||||
|0-4<br>7|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|5-9<br>6|4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|10-14<br>5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|15-19<br>3|<br>7|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|4|4<br>4|
|20-24<br>3|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|25-29<br>2|4|4|4|4|4|4<br>4|
|30-34<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|35-39<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|40-44<br>2|2|7|5|4|4|4<br>4|
|45-49<br>2|<br>1|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3<br>3|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5<br>5|
|TOTAL<br>37|44|<br>58|<br>68|<br>68|<br>68|<br>68<br>68|
|FEMALES|||||||
|0-4<br>7|4|4|4|4|4|4<br>4|
|5-9<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|10-14<br>4|4|5|4|4|4|4<br>4|
|15-19<br>4|7|5|4|4|4|4<br>4|
|20-24<br>3|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|25-29<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|30-34<br>2|3|4|4|4|4|4<br>4|
|35-39<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|40-44<br>2|<br>' 2|<br>6|5|<br>4|4|<br>4<br>4|
|45-49<br>2|<br>2|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|55-59<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4<br>4|
|60-64<br>1|2|3|3|4|4|4<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|1|2|6|4|4|4<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|1|1|4|4|4|4<br>4|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>41|<br>47|<br>59|<br>68|<br>70|<br>70|<br>70<br>71|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|20.1|17.7|13.8|12.8|12.7|12.7<br>12.7|
|reATH<br>RATE|5.2|5.9|7.8|12.3-|12.6|12.6<br>12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-4.7|-1.9|.0|.0|.0|.0<br>.0|
|GROWrH<br>RATE|1.03|1.00|.61|.05|.01|.01<br>.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.622|2.077|2.066|2.060|2.059|2.058<br>2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH<br>SEXES|74.75|76.38|77.68|78.57|78.81|78.98<br>79.02|
|IHRBOTHSEXES|15.7|10.8|8.3|6.8|6.5|6.3<br>6.3|
94

|DOMINICAN<br>REP.||Proj|ection<br>(00W|s)<br>with NRR:|1 by 2010|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|,.....................................................................................|.............................................|||||||||
|TOTAL H.F<br>6416|<br>7140|<br>7843|<br>8512|<br>9139|<br>9707|<br>10268|<br>10839|<br>11389|<br>11893|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>473|<br>499|<br>494|483|<br>463|<br>440|<br>444|<br>459|<br>462|<br>457|
|5-9<br>421|<br>461|<br>489|485|<br>476|<br>457|<br>435|<br>440|<br>456|<br>461|
|10-14<br>399|<br>415|<br>455|484|<br>480|<br>472|<br>454|<br>433|<br>439|<br>455|
|15-19<br>381|<br>393|<br>409|450|<br>479|<br>476|<br>469|<br>452|<br>431|<br>438|
|20-24<br>339|<br>370|<br>383|399|<br>441|<br>471|<br>470|<br>464|<br>449|<br>429|
|25-29<br>274|<br>326|<br>357|370|<br>388|<br>432|<br>464|<br>464|<br>460|<br>447|
|30-34<br>214|<br>263|<br>314|346|<br>360|<br>380|<br>425|<br>458|<br>460|<br>458|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>172|<br> <br> <br>205|<br> <br>253|<br>305|<br> <br>338|<br> <br> <br>353|<br> <br> <br>374|<br> <br>420|<br> <br>454|<br><br> <br>458|
|40-44<br>136|<br>165|<br>198|246|<br>.'9|8<br>332|<br>348|<br>370|<br>416|<br>451|
|45-49<br>115|130|159|191|<br>240|<br>292|<br>325|342|364|<br>410|
|50-54<br>94|109|125|153|<br>185|<br>232|<br>283|316|333|<br>355|
|55-59<br>83|88|103|118|<br>145|<br>176|<br>221|270|303|<br>319|
|60-64<br>55|75|80|94|108|<br>133|<br>163|205|251|<br>282|
|65-69<br>43|47|65|70|83|<br>95|<br>118|144|<br>183|<br>225|
|70-74<br>32|34|38|53|57|<br>68|<br>78|97|119|<br>152|
|75+<br>29|35|40|45|59|<br>69|<br>82|96|117|<br>145|
|TOTAL<br>3260|3616|3962|4291|4599|<br>4877|<br>5152|5431|5698|<br>5942|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>457|482|476|465|445|<br>422|<br>427|441|444|<br>439|
|5-9<br>408|446|473|468|458|<br>440|<br>418|424|439|<br>443|
|10-14<br>388|402|441|468|464|<br>455|<br>437|416|423|<br>438|
|15-19<br>370|382|397|436|464|<br>460|<br>452|435|415|<br>422|
|20-24<br>327|360|373|388|<br>428|<br>457|<br>455|449|433|<br>415|
|25-29<br>263|316|350|363|379|<br>421|<br>452|451|446|<br>432|
|30-34<br>205|254|307|341|355|<br>373|<br>416|448|449|<br>445|
|35-39<br>166|198|248|301|335|<br>350|<br>369|413|445|<br>447|
|40-44<br>132|161|194|243|<br>296|<br>331|<br>347|366|410|<br>443|
|45-49<br>112|128|158|190|<br>239|<br>292|<br>327|343|363|<br>406|
|50-54<br>93|109|125|154|<br>186|<br>234|<br>287|322|338|<br>358|
|55-59<br>79|89|105|121|<br>149|<br>180|<br>228|279|314|<br>330|
|60-64<br>53|74|84|99|115|<br>142|<br>173|219|269|<br>303|
|65-69<br>42|48|67|77|91|<br>106|<br>132|161|<br>204|<br>252|
|70-74<br>30|35|40|57|66|<br>79|<br>92|115|<br>141|<br>181|
|75.<br>33|38|44|52|69|<br>86|<br>105|127|<br>158|<br>197|
|TOTAL<br>3156|<br>3524|<br>3881|<br>4221|<br>4540|<br>429|<br>5116|<br>5408|<br>5691|<br>5952|
|BIRTH RATE|31.4|27.7|24.5|21.5|19.1|18.1|17.6|16.8|15.8|
|DEATH RATE|6.7|6.0|5.5|5.2|5.5|5.7|6.1|6.5|7.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.47|2.17|1.91|1.63|1.36|1.24|1.15|1.02|.87|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.2|-2.9|-2.7|-2.1|-1.6|-1.1|-.7|- 3|0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|<br>2.14|<br>1.88|<br>1.64|<br>1.42|<br>1.21|<br>1.13|<br>1.08|.<br>.99|.<br>.87|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.751|3.271|2.886|2.546|2.246|2.136|2.127|2.118|2.108|
|NRR|1.661|1.475|1.322|1.181|1.047|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|65.98|67.81|69.42|70.84|71.45|72.07|72.71|73.35|74.01|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|61.96|62.76|63.47|64.11|64.49|64.87|65.26|65.65|66.06|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|65.0|54.7|45.1|36.8|33.9|31.1|28.2|25.4|22.5|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.0792|.0649|.0526|.0423|.0390|.0357|.0323|.0290|.0257|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>75.2|<br>70.1|<br>66.1|60.4|<br> <br>54.2|<br> <br>48.9|<br> <br>45.7|<br> <br>44.8|<br> <br>45.9|<br>47.8|
95 DOMINICAN REP.

Projection (000s) with HRRn1 by 2010

# Sunmnry for 25 Year Periods

|..<br>.<br>.<br>............<br>AGE GRCP|..<br>1985|................<br>2000|...<br>2025|..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2050|.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br><br>2075|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2100|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2125|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......................................|..............................|....................................|||||||
|TOTAL M.F|6416|8512|11389|<br>13250|<br>13814|<br>13964|<br>14035|<br>14062|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|473|483|462|453|451|451|452|<br>452|
|5-)|421|485|456|449|449|451|451|<br>452|
|10-14|399|484|439|445|449|451|451|<br>451|
|15-19|381|450|431|447|451|451|451|<br>451|
|20-2(|339|399|449|453|451|450|450|<br>450|
|25-29|274|370|460|456|449|A,47|<br>448|<br>449|
|30-34|214|346|460|450|444|<br>445|<br>447|<br>448|
|35-39|172|<br>305|454|431|439|444|446|<br>447|
|40-44|136|246|416|421|<br>439|444|445|<br>445|
|45-49|115|191|364|435|442|441|441|<br>441|
|50-54|94|153|333|439|439|433|432|<br>433|
|55-59|83|118|303|425|<br>420|416|419|<br>421|
|60-64|55|94|251|395|381|391|397|<br>399|
|65-69|43|70|183|327|<br>340|358|363|<br>365|
|70-74|32|53|119|242|300|309|311|<br>312|
|75+|29|45|117|306|463|481|489|<br>494|
|TOTAL|3260|4291|5698|6572|6806|6864|6893|<br>6906|
|FEKALES|||||||||
|0-4|457|465|444|435|433|433|433|<br>433|
|5-9|408|468|439|431|432|433|433|<br>433|
|10-14|388|468|423|<br>428|<br>432|433|433|<br>433|
|15-19|370|436|415|430|434|434|433|<br>433|
|20-24|327|388|433|437|435|434|433|<br>433|
|25-29|263|363|446|442|434|432|433|<br>433|
|30-34|205|<br>341|449|437|431|431|432|<br>433|
|35-39|166|301|445|420|<br>427|<br>431|433|<br>433|
|40-44|132|' 243|410|411|429|433|433|<br>432|
|45-49|112|190|363|427|<br>434|433|431|<br>431|
|50-54|93|154|338|436|435|429|428|<br>429|
|55-59|79|121|314|431|425|421|423|<br>425|
|60-64|53|99|269|416|400|410|416|<br>418|
|65-69|42|77|204|363|375|396|403|<br>404|
|7074|30|57|141|291|||||
|-|||||358|371|375|375|
|75+|33|52|158|442|694|744|770|<br>780|
|TOTAL|3156|4221|5691|6677|7008|7100|7142|<br>7156|
|BIRTH RATE||27.6|18.5|14.5|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|OEATH<br>RATE||6.0|5.9|8.5|11.4.|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-2.9|-1.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.88|1.16|.61|.17|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.272|2.225|2.190|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- BOT|H SEXES|67.84|72.16|75.40|77.72|78.38|78.82|78.94|
|IMR BOTH S|EXES|55.1|31.1|16.8|7.9|7.1|6.5|6.4|
96

|GRENADA||Proje|ctfon(000|s)<br>with NRR|a1 by 2005|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|..<br>a.......................................||...............|.....................................|....................................||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>96|<br>105|<br>115|<br>124|<br>132|<br>140|<br>150|<br>159|<br>167|<br>174|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>7|7|7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|5-9<br>5|7|7|7|6|6|6|7|7|7|
|0-14<br>5|5|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7|5|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|20-24<br>6|7|5|5|7|7|7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>4|6|7|5|5|7|7|7|6|6|
|30-34<br>3|4|6|7|5|5|7|7|7|6|
|35-39<br>1|3|4|6|6|5|5|7|7|7|
|40.44<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|4|5|6|5|5|6|7|
|45-49<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|4|5|6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>6|
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|3|5|6|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|3|5|6|<br>4|
|60-64<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|2|3|5|5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|
|75*<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|
|TOTAL<br>46|51|56|60|64|<br>69|74|79|83|87|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>7|7|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|5*9<br>5|7|7|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|10-14<br>5|5|7|7|7|6|6|6|6|6|
|15-19<br>7|5|5|7|7|7|6|6|6|6|
|20-24<br>6|7|5|5|7|7|7|6|6|6|
|25-29<br>4|6|6|5|5|7|7|7|6|6|
|30-34<br>3|4|6|6|5|5|7|7|7|6|
|35-39<br>2|3|4|5|6|4|5|7|7|7|
|40-44<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|
|45-49<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>4|<br>5|6|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>2|2|2|2|2|3|3|5|6|4|
|60-64<br>1|2|2|2|2|2|2|3|5|6|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|1|1|1|2|2|2|2|2|3|
|TOTAL<br>50|<br>55|59|64|<br>68|<br>72|76|80|84|<br>88|
|BIRTH RATE|30.1|26.8|22.0|18.5|17.8|18.0|17.5|16.2|14.9|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|6.6|5.7|5.2|5.3|5.4|5.5|5.8|6.5|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|2.27|2.02|1.63|1.34|1.26|1.27|1.20|1.04|.84|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-4.0|-2.9|-1.7|-. 6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.87|1.73|1.46|1.27|1.26|1.27|1.20|1.04|.84|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.284|2.881|2.527|2.216|2.103|2.098|2.094|2.089|2.084|
|NRR|1.514|1.344|1.190|1.051|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|68.62|70.15|71.49|72.67|73.15|73.64|74.13|74.64|75.15|
|e(1O) - BOTH SEXES|61.82|62.83|63.70|64.48|64.85|65.24|65.63|66.03|66.43|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|34.0|28.6|23.7|19.6|18.4|17.2|16.0|14.9|13.7|
|q(5)-BOTHSEXES|0417|0344|0281|0227|0213|0199|0185|0171|0157|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.2|.<br> <br>70.3|.<br> <br>72.0|.<br> <br>62.6|.<br> <br>52.3|.<br> <br>44.5|.<br> <br>40.9|.<br> <br>42.4|.<br> <br>44.7|.<br> <br>48.6|
97

# GRENADA

Projection (00Os) with NRR=1 by 2005 Sumna;y for 25 Year Periods

|**.**........................................................<br>*......<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|.......................................<br> <br>2000|.........................<br> <br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|................<br> <br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL 104f<br>96|124|<br>167|<br>191|<br>198|200|200|<br>201|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|6|7|7|6|6|6|6|
|5-9<br>5|7|7|6|6|6|6|6|
|10-14<br>5|7|7|6|6|6|6|6|
|15-19<br>7|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|20-24<br>6|5|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|25-29<br>4|5|6|7|6|6|6|6|
|30-34<br>3|7|7|7|6|6|6|6|
|35-39<br>1|<br>6|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|40-44<br>1|4|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|45-49<br>1|3|4|6|6|6|6|6|
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|75+<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|TOTAL<br>46|60|83|94|97|<br>98|<br>98|<br>99|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|5-9<br>5|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|10-14<br>5|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|15-19<br>7|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|20-24<br>6|5|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|25-29<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|30-34<br>3|<br>6|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|35-39<br>2|<br>5|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|40-44<br>2|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|45-49<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|2|7|10|11|11|<br>11|
|TOTAL<br>50|64|84|97|101|<br>102|<br>102|<br>102|
|BIRTH RATE|26.1|17.6|14.0|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.5|5.5|8.7|11.7.|124|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.8|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.69|1.21|.54|.13|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.886|2.117|2.075|2.061|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|6(0)- BOTH SEXES|70.17|73.70|76.24|78.05|78.54|78.88|78.97|
|<br>IMR<br>- BOTH SEXES|29.0|17.1|11.3|7.6|6.9|6.5|6.4|
98 GUYANA Projection (00Ws) with NRRn1 by 2000

|..........................<br>.........................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|.....................................<br> <br>1990|.....................................<br> <br>1995|.................<br> <br>2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....................................................................|......................................|........................||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>790|80|791|<br>765|744|734|732|736|<br>745|<br>761|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>52|50|41|<br>34|31|31|31|29|<br>27|<br>26|
|5-9<br>50|<br>48|46|38|31|29|29|29|<br>28|<br>27|
|10-14<br>45|'4|45|44|35|29|27|28|<br>29|<br>28|
|15-19<br>44|43|<br>45|43|41|33|27|26|<br>28|<br>29|
|20-24<br>45|39|38|40|39|38|31|26|<br>25|<br>28|
|25-29<br>38|39|33|32|35|34|35|29|<br>25|<br>25|
|30-34<br>29|32|34|27|27|31|31|33|<br>28|<br>24|
|35-39<br>20|25|28|29|24|24|29|30|32|<br>27|
|40-44<br>14|17|22|25|27|22|22|27|<br>29|<br>31|
|45-49<br>12|12|15|<br>19|23|25|20|21|<br>26|<br>28|
|50-54<br>12|11|11|<br>13|18|21|23|19|<br>20|<br>26|
|55-59<br>10|10|10|<br>10|12|16|20|22|<br>18|<br>19|
|60-64<br>8|9|9|9|9|11|15|18|<br>20|<br>17|
|65-69<br>6|7|7|8|7|7|9|13|<br>16|<br>18|
|70-74<br>5|4|5|6|6|6|6|7|10|<br>13|
|75+<br>4|5|5|6|6|7|7|7|9|11|
|TOTAL<br>395|399|394|381|370|364|363|365|370|<br>377|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>51|49|40|33|30|30|30|28|26|<br>26|
|5c9<br>49|47|45|36|30|28|28|28|27|<br>26|
|10-14<br>44|46|44|42|34|28|27|28|28|<br>27|
|15-19<br>42|41|43|41|40|32|26|25|27|<br>28|
|20-24<br>45|37|35|37|36|36|29|24|74|<br>27|
|25-29<br>37|38|30|28|32|32|33|27|23|<br>24|
|30-34<br>29|32|33|25|24|28|29|31|26|<br>23|
|35-39<br>22|25|28|29|22|22|26|28|30|<br>26|
|40-44<br>15|19|23|26|27|20|20|25|27|<br>30|
|45-49<br>13|14|18|22|25|26|19|20|25|<br>27|
|50-54<br>12|12|13|17|21|24|25|19|<br>19|<br>25|
|55-59<br>10|12|12|12|16|20|23|24|18|<br>19|
|60-64<br>8|9|11|11|11|15|19|22|23|<br>17|
|65-69<br>7|7|8|10|10|10|14|17|20|<br>21|
|70-74<br>5|5|6|7|8|8|9|12|<br>15|<br>17|
|75.<br>5<br> <br>|6<br>|7<br>|8<br>|9|10|12|13|<br>16|<br>20|
|TOTAL<br>395|401|397|385|375|370|369|371|376|<br>384|
|BIRTH RATE|27.1|22.3|18.6<br>|17.5<br>|17.7<br>|17.4|16.2|14.8|14.1|
|0EATNRATE|7.0|6.9|7.1|7.6|8.0|8.4|8.7|9.2|9.9|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.01|1.53|1.15<br>|1.00|.98|.90|.75|.56|.42|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-17.6|-17.6|-18.0<br>-1|5.5<br>-1|2.6<br>|-9.6|-6.4|-3.1|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.2':|-. 23|-. 65<br>-|. 55<br>-|. 29<br>|-. 06|<br>.11|<br>.25|.42|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.06a|2.635|2.267<br>2.|135<br>2|.126<br>2|.118|2.110|2.101|2.093|
|NRR|1.392|1.210|1.052<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|66.16|67.00|67.80<br>6|8.57<br>6|9.32<br>7|0.08|70.87|71.68|72.50|
|edIO) - BOTH SEXES|60.36|60.59|60.77<br>6|0.97<br>6|1.57<br>6|2.19|62.83|63.48|64.16|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|43.8|38.2|32.1<br>2|6.5<br>|24.7<br>|23.0|21.3|19.5|17.8|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.0558|.0475|.039?<br>.0|316<br>0|295<br>|273|0252|0230|0209|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>69.3|<br>67.8|<br>61.6|<br> <br> <br>54.5|<br>.<br>46.9|<br>.<br>43.8|<br>45.3|.<br> <br>48.3|.<br> <br>50.7|.<br> <br>52.2|
99 GUYANA Projection (000s) with NRR11 by 2000 Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROJP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>790|<br>765|<br>745|<br>809|<br>832|<br>844|<br>850|<br>852|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>52|34|27|27|27|27|27|27|
|5-9<br>50|<br>38|<br>28|<br>28|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|
|10-14<br>45|44|29|27|27|27|27|27|
|15-19<br>44|43|28|27|27|27|27|27|
|20-24<br>45|40|25|26|27|27|27|27|
|25-29<br>38|<br>32|<br>25|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|
|30-34<br>29|27|28|28|27|27|27|27|
|35-39<br>20|<br>29|<br>32|<br>28|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|
|40-44<br>14|25|29|27|26|26|27|27|
|45-49<br>12|19|26|24|25|26|27|27|
|50-54<br>12|<br>13|<br>20|<br>23|<br>25|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|55-59<br>10|10|18|25|26|26|25|25|
|60-64<br>8|9|20|27|25|24|24|24|
|65-69<br>6|<br>8|<br>16|<br>22|<br>21|<br>21|<br>22|<br>22|
|70-74<br>5|6|10|17|17|18|18|<br>19|
|75+<br>4|<br>6|<br>9|<br>18|<br>26|<br>28|<br>29|<br>30|
|TOTAL<br>395|381|370|<br>400|408|412|415|<br>416|
|FE4ALES||||||||
|0-4<br>51|33|26|27|27|26|26|26|
|5-9<br>49|36|27|27|27|26|26|26|
|10-14<br>_44_|42|28|27|_26_|<br>26|26|26|
|15-19<br>42|41|27|26|26|26|26|26|
|20-24<br>45|<br>37|24|26|26|26|26|26|
|25-29<br>37|<br>28|<br>23|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|<br>26|<br>26|
|30-34<br>29|<br>25|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|35-39<br>22|<br>29|<br>30|<br>28|<br>27|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|40-44<br>15|<br>-<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|45-49<br>13|<br>22|<br>25|<br>24|<br>25|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|50-54<br>12|<br>17|<br>19|<br>23|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|55-59<br>10|<br>12|<br>18|<br>25|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|
|60-64<br>8|<br>11|<br>23|<br>28|<br>26|<br>25|<br>25|<br>25|
|65-69<br>7|<br>10|<br>20|<br>24|<br>24|<br>24|<br>24|<br>25|
|70-74<br>5|<br>7|<br>15|<br>20|<br>20|<br>22|<br>23|<br>23|
|75+<br>5|<br>8|<br>16|<br>28|<br>39|<br>45|<br>47|<br>48|
|TOTAL<br>395|<br>385|<br>376|<br>409|<br>425|<br>432|<br>435|<br>436|
|BIRTH RATE|22.7|16.7|14.0|13.1|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.0|8.4|10.7|12.0|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-17.8|-9.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-. 21|-.11|.33|.11|.05|.03|.01|
|TOtAL FERTILITY|2.660|2.119|2.076|2.051|2.048|2.047|2.046|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|66.98|70.10|74.27|77.31|78.7|7B.76|78.91|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|38.8|23.2|14.3|8.6|7.5|6.7|6.5|
1w HAITI

|Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2025|
|---|

|......................................................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|.....................................<br>1990|......................<br>1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2075|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||........<br>.......<br>.......<br>...|.......<br>....<br>.......|.......|......<br>........|.......|.......<br>.......|.......|.......<br>.......|.......|
|TOTAL M+F<br>5922|6483|7154|7B31|<br>8502|9144|<br>977|10398|<br>10986|<br>11575|
|MALES||||||||||
|0 4<br>440|466|528|543|<br>545|529|524|520|<br>.506|<br>511|
|5.9<br>391|419|446|508|<br>527|530|517|514|<br>512|<br>500|
|10-14<br>365|383|411|438|<br>502|521|525|512|<br>511|<br>510|
|15-19<br>332|357|375|403|<br>431|495|514|520|<br>508|<br>508|
|20-24<br>270|319|344|363|<br>391|420|485|506|<br>513|<br>503|
|25-29<br>214|254|302|328|<br>348|378|408|474|<br>498|<br>507|
|30-34<br>172|200|240|288|<br>315|336|368|399|<br>466|<br>491|
|35-39<br>149|161|189|229|<br>277|<br>304|327|359|<br>392|<br>459|
|40-44<br>128|140|152|179|<br>218|266|294|317|<br>351|<br>384|
|45-49<br>110|120|131|143|<br>170|208|255|284|<br>307|<br>341|
|50-54<br>94|102|111|122|<br>134|160|<br>197|<br>243|<br>271|<br>295|
|55-59<br>77|85|93|102|<br>112|123|<br>147|<br>183|<br>226|<br>253|
|60-64<br>60|67|75|82|89|99|109|<br>132|<br>164|<br>205|
|65-69<br>44|49|55|62|67|74|83|92|<br>112|<br>141|
|70-74<br>30|33|37|41|46|51|57|64|72|<br>88|
|75+<br>28|30|32|36|41|46|52|60|69|<br>79|
|TOTAL<br>2905|3185|3522|3868|<br>4212|4540|<br>4863|<br>5180|<br>5478|<br>5775|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>432|455|515|528|<br>_528_|512|508|503|<br>489|<br>494|
|59<br>38t|<br>412|436|497|513|515|502|499|<br>496|<br>485|
|1G-14<br>363|380|405|428|490|507|510|498|<br>496|<br>495|
|15-19<br>33!|355|372|397|421|483|501|506|<br>494|<br>494|
|20-24<br>277|321|343|358|384|410|474|494|<br>500|<br>491|
|25-29<br>225|263|306|327|<br>344|372|400|464|<br>487|<br>495|
|30-34<br>185|213|251|292|<br>314|333|362|391|<br>457|<br>461|
|35-39<br>165|176|204|240|281|304|324|35t|<br>384|<br>451|
|40-44<br>142|158|168|195|<br>231|273|296|316|<br>347|<br>378|
|45-49<br>123|136|151|162|<br>188|223|264|288|<br>309|<br>340|
|50-54<br>105|117|129|144|<br>154|180|215|255|<br>279|<br>300|
|55-59<br>86|98|109|121|<br>135|145|170|204|<br>243|<br>267|
|60-64<br>69|78|89|99|110|123|133|157|<br>189|<br>227|
|65-69<br>52|59|66|76|85|95|107|117|<br>139|<br>169|
|70-74<br>36|40|45|51|59|67|75|86|96|<br>115|
|75.<br>36|38|42|47|54|63|73|86|102|<br>118|
|TOTAL<br>3017|<br>3297|<br>3631|<br>3963|<br>4291|<br>4604|<br>4913|<br>5218|<br>5508|<br>5799|
|BIRTH RATE|34.4|35.0|32.2|29.1|25.9|23.7|21.9|19.9|18.9|
|DEATH RATE|12.7|12.1|11.2|10.4|9.7|9.2|8.8|8.6|8.4|
|RATE OFHAT.INC.|2.16|2.29|2.10|1.87|1.62|1.45|1.31|1.14|1.04|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.5|-3.2|-2.9|-2.2|-1.7|-1.2|-.7|-. 3|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|<br>1.81|<br>1.97|<br>1.81|1.65|<br>1.46|<br>1.34|<br>1.23|<br>1.10|1.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.740|4.361|3.982|3.603|3.197|2.878|2.591|2.332|2.236|
|NRR|1.832|1.735|1.619|1.499|1.350|1.234|1.126|1.028|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|54.75|56.10|57.41|58.71|611.02|61.38|62.79|64.25|65.75|
|ecIO) - BOTH SEXES|55.33|55.98|56.18|56.19|56.99|57.81|58.66|59.54|60.46|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|117.0|108.9|97.5|84.7|77.8|70.9|64.0|57.1|50.3|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.1536|.1421|.1258|.1075|.0987|.0899|.0810|.0721|.0632|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>78.5|<br>74.3|<br>73.0|<br>71.|2<br>68.|5<br>62.|3<br>56.|6<br>51.|9<br>48.|7<br>47.1|
101 Projection C000s) with NRR=I by 2025 hAITI aumury for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........<br>.....................|,X..|........................|.|..<br>....<br>......|............|.<br>..............||
|TOTAL**N.F**<br>5922|7831|10986|13612|15051|15513|15755|<br>15857|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>440|543|506|508|511|511|512|512|
|5-9<br>391|508|512|510|511|511|511|511|
|10-14<br>365|438|511|512|510|509|510|510|
|15-19<br>332|403|508|510|506|508|509|510|
|20-24<br>270|363|513|499|501|506|508|509|
|25-29<br>214|328|498|489|500|505|507|508|
|30-34<br>172|283|466|496|501|504|506|506|
|35-39<br>149|229|392|491|501|502|503|504|
|40-44<br>128|179|351|483|496|496|500|502|
|45-49<br>110|143|307|480|481|488|495|498|
|50-54<br>94|122|271|454|463|479|487|490|
|55-59<br>77|102|226|406|452|465|472|475|
|60-64<br>60|82|164|316|420|439|446|449|
|/.5-69<br>44|62|112|251|371|395|403|408|
|70-74<br>30|41|72|181|311|326|340|348|
|75+<br>28|36|69|191|395|482|528|547|
|TOTAL<br>2905|3868|5478|6776|7428|7626|7736|7785|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>432|528|489|490|491|&.91|<br>491|490|
|5-9<br>387|497|496|493|492|491|490|490|
|10-14<br>363|428|496|49,|492|490|490|490|
|15-19<br>333|397|494|495|490|490|490|490|
|20-24<br>277|358|500|486|487|489|490|490|
|25-29<br>225|327|487|478|487|490|490|490|
|30-34<br>185|292|457|486|490|491|490|491|
|35-39<br>165|240|384|482|492|490|489|4'|
|40-44<br>142|-195|347|476|489|487|486|489|
|45-49<br>123|162|309|476|478|482|486|488|
|50-54<br>105|144|279|456|465|479|484|485|
|55-59<br>86|121|243|417|463|475|480|481|
|60-64<br>69|99|189|336|446|465|470|471|
|65-69<br>52|76|139|281|416|443|449|453|
|70-74<br>36|51|96|218|373|396|411|420|
|75+<br>36|47|102|271|572|739|828|864|
|TOTAL<br>3017|3963|5508|6836|7623|7887|8019|8071|
|BIRTH RATE|33.8|23.8|17.0|14.1|13.2|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH RAVE|**11.9**|9.3|8.5|10.1|12.0|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-3.2|- .2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.86|1.35|.86|.40|.12|.06|.03|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.328|2.868|2.175|2.081|2.068|2.060|2.059|
|**e(O)**- **80TH**SEXES|56.17|61.62|69.13|74.93|76.90|78.29|78.65|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|107.4|71.3|36.6|14.1|9.9|7.3|6.8|
102

|JAMAICA<br>.............<br>.............|......|Projec<br>..........<br>...|tion<br>(000s)<br>.......<br>..........|with NRR=1<br>.........|by2000<br>. .............|.......|............|.................||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GR P<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|TOTALN+F<br>2336|2468|2582|2660|2739|2833|2942|3060|3180|3297|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>155|151|142|125|118|119|120|119|116|114|
|1-9<br>139|149|145|136|121|114|116|118|118|116|
|10-14<br>142|135|145|141|133|118|112|115|118|118|
|15-19<br>147|138|131|141|137|130|116|111|114|117|
|20-24<br>141|139|129|123|135|132|126|113|109|114|
|25-29<br>110|130|128|119|115|128|127|123|111|109|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>60|<br>100|<br>120|<br>119|<br>112|<br>109|123|124|121|111|
|35-39<br>41|53|93|113|113|107|105|121|122|120|
|40-44<br>35|36|48|88|109|109|104|103|119|121|
|45-49<br>33|32|33|45|85|106|107|102|101|118|
|50-54<br>32|31|30|31|43|82|103|104|100|99|
|55-59<br>31|30|29|28|29|40|79|99|100|97|
|60-64<br>27|28|27|27|26|27|38|74|93|94|
|65-69<br>24|24|25|24|24|23|24|34|66|84|
|70-74<br>18|20|20|21|20|20|19|20|29|56|
|75+<br>22|23|25|27|28|29|29|29|29|36|
|TOTAL<br>1157|1218|1270|1308|1347|1394|1449|1508|1567|1624|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>151|146|138|121|115|116|117|115|112|111|
|5-9<br>133|145|141|132|117|111|113|115|115|112|
|10-14<br>136|129|141|137|129|114|109|112|114|115|
|15-19<br>143|132|125|137|133|126|112|107|111|114|
|20-2'<br>138|135|124|116|130|127|122|109|106|111|
|25-29<br>107|129|126|114|108|123|122|118|107|106|
|30-34<br>65|100|122|118|108|103|119|120|117|107|
|35-39<br>48|6s0|<br>95|116|114|104|100|118|119|117|
|40-44<br>39|45|!7|92|113|111|102|99|117|118|
|45-49<br>36|37|43|55|O0|<br>112|110|101|98|116|
|50-54<br>38|35|36|42|54|88|110|109|100|98|
|55-59<br>36|37|34|35|41|53|87|109|107|99|
|60-64<br>31|35|-<br>36|33|34|40|52|85|<br>106|105|
|65-69<br>28|29|32|33|31|32|38|49|81|101|
|70-'4<br>21|25|26|29|30|28|29|34|45|74|
|75k<br>30|32|37|41|46|50|50|52|58|70|
|TOTAL<br>1179|1250|1312|1352|1392|1439|1493|1553|1613|1673|
|BIRTH RATE|25.7|23.0|19.5|17.8|17.4|16.8|15.9|14.8|14.0|
|DEATH RATE|5.5|5.3|5.2|5.2|5.3|5.4|5.6|6.0|6.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.02|1.77|1.4"|1.27|1.21|1.14|1.03|.88|.72|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-9.2|-8.7|-8.4|-6.8|-5.3|-3.8|-2.4|-1.2|.0|
|GROJTH RATE|1.10|.90|.59|.59|.68|.76|.79|.77|.72|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.856|2.493|2.177|2.062|2.060|2.058|2.056|2.054|2.052|
|NRR|1.373|1.203|1.053|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|elO) - BOTH SEXES|73.99|74.78|75.45|76.02|76.26|76.50|76.74|76.99|77.24|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|65.54|66.09|66.57|66.99|67.19|67.43|67.61|67.83|68.04|
|IMR -<br>BOTH SEXES|18.0|15.3|13.1|11.3|10.9|10.4|10.0|9.6|9.1|
|q(5)-<br>BOTH SEXES|.0198|.0166|.0141|.0122|.0117|.0112|.0108|.0103|.0098|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>74.7|<br>69.0|<br>65.0|<br>57.2|<br>49.8|<br>44.6|<br>42.5|<br>42.5|<br> <br>45.9|<br>50.4|
103 Projection (000s) with NRRm1 by 2000' JAMAICA

# Sumnary for 25 Year Periods

. ... ................. **.** ......................

|,.............................................................................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|..............<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|. .<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>2336|2660|3180|3535|3586|3599|3605|3607|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>155|125|116|116|115|115|115|115|
|5-9<br>139|<br>136|<br>118|<br>116|<br>115|<br>115|<br>115|<br>115|
|10-14<br>142|141|118|115|114|114|115|115|
|15-19<br>147|<br>141|<br>114|<br>113|<br>114|<br>114|<br>115|<br>115|
|20-24<br>141|<br>123|<br>109|<br>113|<br>114|<br>114|<br>114|<br>114|
|25-29<br>110|<br>119|<br>111|<br>115|<br>115|<br>114|<br>114|<br>114|
|30-34<br>60|119|<br>121|<br>117|<br>115|<br>114|<br>114|<br>114|
|35-39<br>41|113|<br>122|<br>116|<br>113|<br>113|<br>113|<br>113|
|40-44<br>35|88|119|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>113|<br>113|
|45-49<br>33|45|101|<br>107|<br>111|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|50-54<br>32|31|100|<br>107|<br>111|<br>111|<br>110|<br>110|
|55-59<br>31|28|100|<br>113|<br>109|<br>138|<br>107|<br>107|
|60-64<br>27|27|93|108|<br>103|<br>101|<br>101|<br>101|
|65-69<br>24|24|66|<br>96|92|<br>91|<br>92|<br>93|
|70-74<br>18|21|29|<br>70|75|<br>78|<br>79|<br>80|
|75+<br>22|27|29|<br>103|<br>124|<br>126|<br>126|<br>126|
|TOTAL<br>1157|<br>1308|<br>1567|<br>1735|<br>1751|<br>1754|<br>1756|<br>1757|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>151|<br>121|<br>112|<br>113|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|5-9<br>133|<br>132|<br>115|<br>113|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|10-14<br>136|<br>137|<br>114|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|15-19<br>143|<br>137|<br>111|<br>110|<br>111|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>138|<br> <br> <br>116|<br> <br> <br>106|<br> <br> <br>110|<br> <br> <br>112|<br> <br> <br>112|<br> <br> <br>112|<br><br> <br>112|
|25-29<br>107|<br>114|<br>107|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|30-34<br>65|118|<br>117|<br>114|<br>113|<br>112|<br>112|<br>112|
|35)?<br>48|116|<br>119|<br>114|<br>112|<br>111|<br>112|<br>112|
|40-44<br>39|,92|117|<br>110|<br>110|<br>111|<br>112|112|
|45-49<br>36|55|<br>98|<br>105|<br>110|<br>111|<br>112|<br>111|
|50-'4<br>38|42|100|<br>106|<br>111|<br>111|<br>111|<br>111|
|55-S9<br>36|35|<br>107|<br>114|<br>112|<br>110|<br>110|<br>110|
|60-64<br>31|33|<br>106|<br>113|<br>110|<br>108|<br>108|<br>108|
|65-69<br>28|33|<br>81|<br>107|<br>102|<br>103|<br>104|<br>104|
|70-74<br>21|29|4S|<br>83|91|95|97|97|
|75+<br>30|41|58|162|194|201|203|203|
|TOTAL<br>1179|<br>1352|<br>1613|<br>1800|<br>1835|<br>1845|<br>1849|<br>1851|
|BIRTH RATE|22.7|16.5|13.4|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|5.3|5.5|9.2|12.2|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET N!GRATION RATE|-8.8|-3.8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWrN<br>RATE|.87|.71|.42|.06|.01|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.498|2.058|2.048|2.042|2.042|2.041|2.041|
|e(0;- BOTH SEXES|74.76|76.52|77.76|78.62|78.85|79.00|79.05|
|IER- BOTH SEXES|15.6|10.5|8.2|6.8|6.5|6.3|6.3|
104

|MONTSERRAT<br>. ...................................................||Proje|ction(000<br>.....<br>...|s)<br>withURR=<br>....<br>..<br>. ..........|1by 2000<br>.....|............................||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|. ......<br>..........<br>.......|............|...<br>.<br>..<br>...<br>.|.....<br>......|....|.......|....<br>....|..<br>...|<br>....|......|
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|14|14|<br>14|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>0|1|1|1|<br>1|<br>0|0|0|1|1|
|5-9<br>1|0|1|1|1|1|0|0|0|1|
|10-14<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|15-19<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|20-24<br>1|1|1|1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|1|0|0|
|25-29<br>0|1|1|1|<br>1|<br>0|1|1|1|<br>0|
|30-34<br>0|0|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|1|1|<br>1|
|35-39<br>0|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|0|1|<br>1|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|
|45-49<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|55-59<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|60-64<br>0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|
|65-69<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|70-74<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75+<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|TOTAL<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|7|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>0|1|1|1|<br>0|0|J|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|5-9<br>1|0|1|1|1|0|0|0|0|0|
|10-14<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|15-1i<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|20-24<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|
|25-29<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|
|30-34<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>0|
|35-39<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|
|<br> <br>45-49<br>0|<br> <br> <br>0|<br> <br> <br>0|<br> <br> <br>0|<br> <br> <br>0|<br> <br> <br>0|<br> <br> <br>0|<br> <br> <br>1|<br> <br> <br>1|<br><br> <br>0|
|50-54<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|
|55-59<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|
|60-64<br>0|<br>0|<br>'<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|65-69<br>0|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|0|0|0|0|
|70-74<br>0|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|0|0|0|0|
|75+<br>0|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|0|0|0|0|
|TOTAL<br>6|6|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|7|7|7|7|
|BIRTH RATE|21.4|20.5|18.7|16.8|15.5|15.0|14.8|14.5|14.0|
|DEATHRATE|a.4|8.4|8.3|7.6|7.3|7.0|6.9|7.3|8.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.30|1.21|1.04|.92|.82|.80|.79|.73|.59|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-10.2|-10.1|-6.6|-6.5|-3.2|-3.1|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.28|.20|.38|.27|.50|.49|.79|.73|.59|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.638|2.382|2.151|2.065|2.064|2.064|2.064|2.063|2.063|
|NRR|1.276|1.153|1.041|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|76.84|77.33|77.70|78.01|78.01|78.00|78.00|77.99|77.99|
|e(IO)- BOTH SEXES|67.52|67.97|68.32|68.62|68.62|68.62|68.63|68.63|68.64|
|IMR - BOTHSEXES|7.6|7.1|6.9|6.6|6.7|6.8|6.9|7.0|7.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>DFP. RATIO<br>76.3|.0083<br> <br>68.5|.0078<br> <br>61.8|.0075<br> <br>62.3|.0072<br> <br>54.6|.0073<br> <br>48.2|.0074<br> <br>45.5|.0075<br> <br>46.1|.0076<br> <br>48.4|.0077<br> <br>52.7|
105 Projection (000s) with NRR-l by 2000

# MNTSERRAT

Summry for 25 Year Periods

|......................<br>.<br>AGE GiOUP<br>1985|.............................................<br>2000|2025|2050|..<br>.<br>2075|.....<br>......<br>2100|.........<br>...........<br>2125|....<br>.<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|__.<br>...<br>....<br>. ...<br>..<br>___.<br>..<br>..<br>.....|.<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|..<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTALM+F<br>12|<br>12|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>0|1|<br>1|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|5-9<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|10-14<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|15-19<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|20-24<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|1|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|25-29<br>0|1|<br>1|1|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|30-34<br>0|1|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|35-39<br>0|0|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|40-46<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|45-49<br>0|0|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|55-59<br>0|0|<br>0|1|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|60-64<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|65-69<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|70-74<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75+<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>6|6|<br>7|7|<br>8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>0|1|0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|5-9<br>1|1|0|0|0|0|0|0|
|10-14<br>1|<br>i|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|15-19<br>1|<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|20-24<br>1|1|0|0|0|0|0|0|
|25-29<br>0|1|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|30-34<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|35-39<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|45-49<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|55-59<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|60-64<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|65-69<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|70-74<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75+<br>0|0|0|1|1|1|1|1|
|TOTAL<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|8|<br>8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|BIRTH RATE|20.2|15.3|13.2|12.8|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|8.4|7.2|10.1|12.5|12.6|"2.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-9.0|-2.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTHRATE|.29|.56|.31|.04|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.386|2.064|2.062|2.061|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTHSEXES|77.29|78.00|77.98|78.14|78.60|78.90|78.98|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|7.2|6.8|7.3|7.3|6.8|6.4|6.4|
106 ST. KITTS AND NEVIS Projection (000s) with NRR=i by 2000

|ACE GROLP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995<br>200<br>2005<br>2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...................<br>.<br>|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.....|.......<br>...<br>..<br>.<br>.....<br>..<br>.|........|...|..<br>..<br>..|....<br>..|
|TOTALM.f<br>44<br>|41|38<br>36<br>35<br>35|36|38|40|42|
|HALES|||||||
|0-4<br>3|2|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|5*9<br>3<br> <br>|2|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|10-14<br>3<br> <br>|2<br>|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|15-19<br>3<br> <br>|3|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|20-24<br>2<br> <br>|3|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|25-29<br>1|2|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|30-34<br>1|1|1<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|35-39<br>1|0|1<br>1<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|40-44<br>1|0|0<br>0<br>1<br>1|1|2|2|2|
|45-49<br>1|0|0<br>0<br>0<br>1|1|1|2|2|
|50-54<br>1|<br>0|<br>0<br>0<br>0<br>0|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|55.59<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0<br>0<br>0|0|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0<br>0<br>0|0|0|<br>1|<br>1|
|65-69<br>1<br>|<br>1|<br>0<br>0<br>0<br>0|0|0|<br>0|<br>1|
|70-74<br>0|1|<br>1<br>0<br>0<br>0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75.<br>1|1|1<br>1<br>1<br>1|0|0|0|0|
|TOTAL<br>21<br>|<br>20|<br>18<br>17<br>17<br>17|<br>17|<br>19|<br>20|<br>21|
|FEKALES|||||||
|0-4<br>3|2|<br>2<br>2<br>2<br>2|1|1|<br>1|<br>2|
|5-9<br>3|2|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|10.14<br>3|3|<br>2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|<br>1|<br>1|
|_15-19_<br>3|2|<br>2<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|<br>2|<br>1|
|20-24<br>2|2|2<br>2<br>2<br>1|1|2|<br>2|<br>2|
|25-29<br>1<br>|<br>2|2<br>2<br>2<br>2|1|1|<br>2|<br>2|
|30-34<br>1<br> <br>|<br>1<br>|<br>2<br>2<br>2<br>2<br> <br> <br>|2|1|<br>1|<br>2|
|35-39<br>1<br>|1|1<br>1<br>2<br>1|2|2|1|1|
|40-44<br>1<br>|<br>1|<br>0<br>1<br>1<br>1|<br>1|2|1|1|
|45-49<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0<br>1<br>1|1|1|<br>2|<br>1|
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>0<br>0<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>2|
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>0<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>0<br>0|0|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|65-69<br>1|1|1<br>1<br>1<br>0|0|0|<br>1|<br>1|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1<br>1<br>0|0|0|<br>0|<br>1|
|75+<br>1<br> <br>|<br>1<br> <br>|<br>1<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>23|<br>21|20<br>19<br>19<br>18|<br>19|<br>20|<br>20|<br>21|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|23.6|22.2<br>21.4<br>20.4<br>19.2|1t.7|16.6|15.9|15.3|
|DEATH RATE|10.4|10.1<br>9.8<br>9.1<br>8.2<br> <br>|7.4|6.5|5.9|5.8|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|1.32|1.21<br>1.17<br>1.13<br>1.10|1.04|1.01|1.00|.95|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-28.3|-25.3<br>-21.5<br>-16.7<br>-11.3|-5.6|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-1.51|-1.33<br>-.98<br>-.54<br>-.03|.48|1.01|1.00|.95|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.800|2.492<br>2.217<br>2.116<br>2.111|2.105|2.100|2.094|2.089|
|NRR|1.288|1.158<br>1.040<br>1.000<br>1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|68.49|69.96<br>71.26<br>72.38<br>72.88|73.39|73.90|74.43|74.96|
|e10)- BOTH SEXES<br>|61.98<br>|62.91<br>63.70<br>64.38<br>64.75|65.14|65.53|65.93|66.33|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES<br>|40.0<br>|33.9<br>28.2<br>23.1<br>21.6<br> <br> <br> <br>|20.1|18.5|17.0|15.5|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0463|.0387<br>.0317<br>.0257<br>.0240|.0223|.0206|.0189|.0172|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>88.2|82.8|<br> <br>74.4<br>66.8<br>61.1<br>54.8|<br>47.4|<br>41.1|<br>39.0|<br>42.1|
107 ProJection (000s) with NRRu1 by 2000

# ST. KITIS AND NEVIS

Sumnry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>MF<br>44|36|40|47|48|48|49|<br>49|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>3|2|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|5-9<br>3|2|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|10-14<br>3|2|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|15-19<br>3|2|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|20-24<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|25-29<br>1|2|2|2|2|<br>2|<br>2|2|
|30-34<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|
|35-39<br>1|1|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|40-44<br>1|0|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|45-49<br>1|0|2|2|2|2|2|<br>2|
|50-54<br>1|0|1|2|1|1|1|2|
|55-59<br>1|0|<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|
|60-64<br>1|0|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|1|1|
|65-69<br>1|0|0|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|70-74<br>0|0|0|1|1|1|1|1|
|75+<br>1|1|0|1|2|2|2|<br>2|
|TOTAL<br>21|<br>17|<br>20|<br>23|<br>24|<br>24|<br>24|<br>24|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>3|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|1|
|5-9<br>3|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|1|
|10-14<br>3|<br>2|<br>1|2|2|<br>1|<br>1|1|
|15-19<br>3|2|2|2|2|1|1|l|
|20-24<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|25-29<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|
|30-34<br>1|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|1|
|35-39<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|40-44<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|2|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|45-49<br>1|<br>0|<br>2|<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|50-54<br>1|0|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|55-59<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|<br>1|
|65-69<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|
|75+<br>1|1|1|<br>2|2|3|3|3|
|TOTAL<br>23|<br>19|<br>20|<br>24|<br>24|<br>25|<br>25|<br>25|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|22.4|17.9|14.1|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|10.1|7.4|7.9|11.9|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-25.2|-6.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-1.27|.38|.63|.10|.03|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.514|2.106|2.078|2.061|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH<br>SEXES|69.84|73.42|76.11|78.00|78.52|78.87|78.95|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|34.5|20.2|12.4|7.6|6.9|6.5|6.4|
108 ST. LUCIA Projection (000s) with NRRc1 by 2005

|.........................................................................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000||2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br> <br>...............................................|<br>|<br> <br>..........................................|............|<br>...................................|||<br>|<br>|<br><br>..........<br>|
|TOTALM+F<br>137<br>150|<br>162|<br>176||189|201|213|<br>225|<br>238|__<br>___<br> <br>250|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10<br>10|<br>10|10||10|9|9|<br>9|10|<br>10|
|5-9<br>11<br>10|<br>10|10||10|10|9|9|9|10|
|10-14<br>11<br>11|<br>10|10||10|10|10|<br>9|9|9|
|15-19<br>8<br>11|<br>11|10||10|10|10|<br>10|9|9|
|20-24<br>5<br>8|11|11||10|10|9|10|10|<br>9|
|25-29<br>3<br>5|8|10||10|9|9|9|<br>10|<br> <br>10|
|30-34<br>2<br>3|5|7||10|10|9|9|9|10|
|35-39<br>2<br>2|3|4||7|10|10|<br>9|9|9|
|40-44<br>2<br>2|2|2||4|7|10|<br>10|9|9|
|45-49<br>2<br>2|2|2||2|4|7|10|<br>10|<br>9|
|50-54<br>2<br>2|2|2||2|2|4|7|10|<br>10|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|2|2||2|1|2|4|6|9|
|60-64<br>1<br>2|2|2||2|1|1|2|4|6|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|<br>2|<br>2||1|1|1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|
|75+<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||1|2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|
|TOTAL<br>65<br>72|<br>78|<br>86||92|99|105|<br>112|<br>118|<br>125|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9<br>10|<br>10|<br>10||9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|5-9<br>11<br>9|<br>9|<br>9||10|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|10-14<br>11<br>11|<br>9|<br>9||9|10|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|15-19<br>8<br>11|<br>11|<br>8||9|9|10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|20-24<br>6<br>8|<br>10|<br>10||8|<br>9|<br>9|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br> <br>9|<br><br> <br>9|
|25-29<br>4<br>6|<br>7|<br>10||10|8|9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>9|
|30-34<br>3<br>4|<br>5|<br>7||10|10|8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>1O|
|35-39<br>3<br>3|<br>4|<br>5||7|10|10|<br>8|<br>9|<br>9|
|40-44<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3||5|7|10|<br>10|<br>8|<br>9|
|45-49<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3||3|5|7|<br>10|<br>10|<br>8|
|50-54<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3||3|3|5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>10|
|<br> <br> <br>55-59<br>2<br>3|<br> <br> <br>3|<br> <br> <br>3|<br>|<br>3|<br>2|<br>3|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>7|<br><br> <br>9|
|60-64<br>2<br>2|<br>3|<br>3||3|2|2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|
|65-69<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||2|2|2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>1||2|2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|
|75.<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||2|3|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|
|TOTAL<br>72<br>78|<br>84|<br>90||96|102|10?|<br>113|<br>119|<br>125|
|BIRTH RATE<br>28.3|25.6|24.7||21.5<br>|19.3<br>|18.1|17.1|16.4|15.5|
|DEATH RATE<br>6.5|5.8|5.4||5.1|5.1|5.1|5.1|5.2|5.4|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.<br>2.18|1.98|1.93||1.64<br>|1.42<br>|1.29|1.20|1.12|1.01|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-4.2|-3.6|-3.1||-2.4<br>|-1.8<br>|-1.4|-.7|-.3|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>1.77|1.62|1.62||1.40<br>|1.23<br>|1.16|1.13|1.08|1.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.500|3.006|2.582|2|.218<br>2|.087<br>2|.084|2.081|2.078|2.076|
|NRR<br>1.649|1.424|1.230|1|.061<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES<br>70.50|71.70|72.76|7|3.67<br>7|4.07<br>7|4.48|74.90|75.33|75.76|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES<br>62.40|63.28|64.09|6|4.80<br>6|5.16<br>6|5.53|65.90|66.28|66.67|
|IUR- BOTH SEXES<br>21.0|17.5|14.8||12.6<br>|12.1<br>|11.6|11.1|10.6|10.0|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES<br>.0246|.0202|.0169|.|0142<br>.|0136<br>.|0130|.0124|.0118|.0112|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>107.7<br>83.|6<br>68.s|<br>64.1||58.1|<br>52.4|<br>46.|<br>3<br>42.|<br>0<br>40.|3<br>41.0|
109 Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2005

# ST. LUCIA

Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRIWUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|_._.................................................................||||..............|........|.......................................||
|TOTAL MF<br>137|176|238|283|291|293|294|294|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10|10|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|10-14<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|15-19<br>8|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|20-24<br>5|11|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|25-29<br>3|10|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|30-34<br>2|7|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|35-39<br>2|4|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|40-44<br>2|2|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|45-49<br>2|2|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|50-54<br>2|2|10|10|9|9|9|9|
|55-59<br>2|2|6|9|9|9|9|9|
|60-64<br>1|2|4|8|8|8|8|8|
|65-69<br>1|2|2|7|7|8|8|8|
|70-74<br>1|1|1|7|6|7|7|7|
|75+<br>1|1|2|7|10|10|10|10|
|TOTAL<br>65|86|118|141|_14_|<br>144|144|145|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>11|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|10-14<br>11|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|15-19<br>8|8|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|20-24<br>6|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|25-29<br>4|10|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|30-34<br>3|7|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|35-39<br>3|5|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|40-46<br>3|3|8|9|9|9|9|7|
|k5-49<br>3|3|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|50-54<br>3|3|10|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|55-i}<br>2|<br>3|7|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|60-64<br>2|<br>3|5|<br>8|8|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|65-69<br>2|<br>2|3|<br>7|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>8|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|75+<br>2|<br>2|4|<br>11|<br>15|<br>16|<br>16|<br>16|
|TOTAL<br>72|<br>90|<br>119|<br>142|<br>148|<br>149|<br>150|<br>150|
|BIRTH RATE|26.1|18.3|14.2|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|5.9|5.1|7.3|11.8|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-3.6|-1.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|1.67|1.20|.70|.11|.03|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.988|2.109|2.070|2.061|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|71.71|74.54|76.69|78.21|78.63|78.91|78.98|
|IHR- BCTH SEXES|17.7|11.6|9.0|7.3|6.8|6.4|6.4|
110

|ST. VINCENT<br>AND THE GR<br>.....................<br>....|ENADINES<br>.....................................|Pro|jection<br>(000|s)<br>with NRRu<br>..............................|I by ¶995<br>....||......................................|...............................................|....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROWP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL M+F<br>117|<br>126|<br>134|<br>142|<br>151|<br>161|<br>170|<br>179|<br>187|<br>193|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8|7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>V|<br>7|
|20-24<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>6|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|30-34<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|35-39<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|4044<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|45-49<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>¶|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>¶|<br>1|<br>¶|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>¶|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|
|TOTAL<br>57|<br>62|<br>66|<br>70|<br>75|<br>80|<br>85|<br>89|<br>93|<br>96|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8|<br>7|7|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>7|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|20-24<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|30-34<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|
|35-39<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|40-44<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|45-49<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|55-59<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|75*<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|TOTAL<br>60|<br>65|<br>68|<br>72|<br>77|<br>81|<br>86|<br>90|<br>94|<br>97|
|BIRTHRATE|24.6|21.0|19.4|19.0|18.2|17.0|15.8|14.8|14.3|
|DEATH RATE|6.2|5.7|5.4|5.3|5.3|5.5|5.9|6.6|7.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|1.84|1.53|1.40|1.37|1.29|1.15|.99|.83|.68|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.3|-3.1|-2.2|-1.4|-. 6|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.51|1.22|1.19|1.24|1.23|1.15|.99|.83|.68|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.750|2.274|2.107|2.096|2.093|2.089|2.086|2.082|2.079|
|NRR|1.283|1.071|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)*BOTH SEXES|0930|70.56|71.68|72.67|73.14|73.62|74.11|74.62|75.13|
|e(1O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|61.57|62.40|63.19|63.93|64.35|64.78|65.22|65.67|66.12|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES<br>|25.0|20.4|16.8|14.1|13.5|12.9|12.2|11.6|11.0|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0297|.0238|.0193|.0161|.0153|.0146|.0138|.0131|.0123|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>74.|3<br>68.0|<br>57.|8<br>49.|6<br>44.|5<br>42.|7<br>42.|7<br>43.|1<br>45.|6<br>48.9|
# ST. VINCENiT AND THE GRENADINES Projection C000s) with NRR=i by IM9

Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|_AGE_GOtP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,...............................|.................................|.......................|||.......|..................||
|TOTAL N#F<br>117|142|187|208|213|215|216|216|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>8|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>8|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|20-24<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>6|6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>-<br>7|<br>7|
|30-34<br>4|6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>3|6|<br>7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|40-44<br>2|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|45-49<br>1|<br>3|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|50-54<br>1|<br>3|<br>6|<br>6|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|55-59<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>6|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>5|<br>6|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>6|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|2|<br>6|7|7|<br>8|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>57|<br>70|<br>93|<br>103|<br>105|<br>105|<br>106|<br>106|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>8|6|7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>8|6|<br>7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|20-24<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|30-34<br>4|6|6|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>3|6|7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|40-44<br>2|-<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|45-49<br>2|4|7|<br>7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|50-54<br>2|3|6|<br>6|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|55-59<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>6|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>6|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>4|<br>s|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>6|6|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|75+<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>8|11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|TOTAL<br>60|<br>72|<br>94|<br>105|<br>108|<br>109|<br>110|<br>110|
|BIRTH RATE|21.6|16.9|13.8|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|5.8|5.7|9.5|12.0|12.5|12.5|12.6|
|NET NIGRATICN RATE|-2.8|-.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|1.31|1.09|.43|.09|.03|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.350|2.090|2.072|2.061|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|70.57|73.69|76.21|78.04|78.55|78.89|78.97|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|20.9|12.9|9.7|7.5|6.9|6.5|6.4|
112

|SURINAME<br>-....<br>.........**..**......<br>. ................|.........|Pro<br>....................|jectfon<br>(COWs)<br>w|<br>ith NRR=<br>..........|1 b<br>......|y2010<br>..........................|||.........||................|..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AG GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005||2010|<br>2015||2020||2025|<br>2030|
|...<br>..<br>....<br>.....<br>.......<br>....|...<br>....<br>......|..........|...<br>...<br>..........||..|.....|...<br>........|||.......||..<br>...|
|TOTALM+F<br>398<br>|445|495|542|583||622|<br>660||700||739|<br>774|
|MALES|||||||||||||
|0-4<br>26|33|33|32|29||28|29||30||31|<br>30|
|5-9<br>22|26|32|33|31||29|28||29||30|<br>31|
|10-14<br>25|22|26|32|33||31|29||27||29|<br>30|
|15-19<br>25|25|22|26|32||33|31||29||27|<br>28|
|20-24<br>22|25|25|21|25||32|32||31||29|<br>27|
|25-29<br>15|21|24|24|21||25|31||32||31|<br>29|
|30-34<br>11|14|21|24|24||21|25||31||32|<br>31|
|35-39<br>8|10|14|21|23||24|21||2>||31|<br>32|
|40-44<br>7|8|10|13|20||23|23|<br>-|21||24|<br>31|
|45-49<br>7|7|8|9|13||20|23||23||20|<br>24|
|50-54<br>7|7|7|7|9||13|<br>19||22||22|<br>20|
|55-59<br>6|7|7|6|7||9|12||18||21|<br>21|
|60-64<br>4|6|6|6|6||6|8||11||17|<br>19|
|65-69<br>3|4|5|5|5||5|6||7||10|<br>15|
|70-74<br>2|2|3|4|4||4|4||5||6|<br>8|
|75.<br>2|2|3|3|4||5|5||5||6|<br>7|
|TOTAL<br>196|219|<br>244|267|288||307|<br>326||346||366|<br>383|
|FEMALES|||||||||||||
|0-4<br>27|31|32|30|28||27|28||29||30|<br>29|
|5-9<br>21|26|31|32|30||28|26||28||29|<br>30|
|,0-14<br>26|<br>21|<br>26|<br>31|32||30|28||26||27|<br>29|
|15-19<br>26|<br>25|<br>21|<br>26|31||32|<br>30||28||26|<br>27|
|20-24<br>22|25|25|21|26||31|31||30||28|<br>26|
|25-29<br>16|22|25|25|20||26|31||31||30|<br>28|
|30-34<br>12|16|22|24|24||20|25||30||31|<br>30|
|35-39<br>10|11|15|21|24||24|20||25||30|<br>31|
|40-44<br>9|9|11|<br>15|21||24|<br>24||20||25|<br>30|
|45-49<br>9|8|9|<br>11|15||21|<br>24||24||20|<br>25|
|50-54<br>7|<br>8|8|<br>9|11||1S|<br>20||23||24|<br>20|
|55-59<br>5|7|8|8|9||10|14||20||23|<br>23|
|60-64<br>4|5|-<br>7|7|7||8|10||14||19|<br>22|
|65-69<br>3|4|4|<br>6|7||7|<br>8||9||13|<br>18|
|70-74<br>2|3|3|4|5||6|6||7||8|<br>11|
|75+<br>4|4|4|<br>4|5||7|<br>8||9||10|<br>12|
|TOTAL<br>202|<br>226|<br>251|<br>274|295||315|<br>334||354||373|<br>391|
|BIRTH RATE|32.0|28.9|24.8|20.9||18.4|18.0||18.0||17.2|15.9|
|DEATH RATE|7.3|6.5|5.9|5.6||5.8|6.0||6.1||6.3|6.7|
|RATE OF KAT. INC.|2.47|2.25|1.89|1.53||1.27|1.20||1.18||1.08|.92|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.4|-1.3|-. 8|-. 4||.0|.0||.0||.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.23|2.12|1.81|1.49||<br>1.27|<br>1.20||<br>1.18||<br>1.08|.92|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.679|3.218|2.844<br>2|.513|2|.220|2.113|2|.107|2|.100|2.094|
|NRR|1.665|1.480|1.325<br>1|.182|1|.048|1.000|1|.000|1|.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|66.68|68.23|69.64<br>7|0.89|7|1.49|72.11|7|2.73|7|3.37|74.02|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|60.70|61.53|62.33<br>6|3.08|6|3.55|64.02|64|.51|6|5.01|65.52|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|42.0|35.1|28.8|23.6||22.1|20.6||19.0||17.5|16.0|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.0531|.0431|.0347<br>.|0280|.|0261|.0242|.|0223|.|0205|.0186|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.5|<br>66.4|<br>69.|0<br>66.5|58.|0|49.|7<br>44.|6|43.|<br>3|<br>44.|7<br>47.7|
113

# SURINAE

Projection (000s) with NRR=l by 2010 Summry for 25 Year Periods

|..............................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|..................<br>2000|..............................................<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|....<br> <br>2125|<br>......<br>............ .......................**.**....**.**..<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|................<br>...........................|.....||w..............|......................||.........................................|........<br>..... ..._... ...|
|TOTAL IIF<br>398|542|739|<br>865|<br>907|918|<br>923|<br>925|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>26|32|31|30|30|30|30|30|
|5-9<br>22|33|30|29|29|30|30|30|
|10-14<br>25|32|29|29|29|30|30|30|
|15-19<br>25|26|27|29|30|30|30|30|
|20-24<br>22|21|29|30|30|30|30|30|
|25-29<br>15|24|31|30|30|29|29|<br>29|
|30-34<br>11|24|32|30|29|29|29|<br>29|
|35-39<br>8|21|<br>31|<br>28|<br>29|<br>29|<br>29|<br>29|
|40-44<br>7|13|24|27|29|29|29|<br>29|
|45-49<br>7|9|20|28|29|29|29|<br>29|
|50-54<br>7|7|22|29|29|29|28|<br>28|
|55-59<br>6|6|21|<br>29|<br>28|<br>27|<br>27|<br>28|
|60-64<br>4|6|17|27|25|25|26|<br>26|
|65-69<br>3|5|<br>10|<br>19|<br>21|<br>23|<br>24|<br>24|
|70-74<br>2|4|<br>6|<br>13|<br>19|<br>20|<br>21|<br>21|
|75+<br>2|3|6|<br>20|<br>31|<br>32|<br>32|<br>32|
|TOtAL<br>196|<br>267|<br>366|<br>427|<br>446|<br>451|<br>453|<br>454|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>27|30|30|29|28|28|28|28|
|5-9<br>21|<br>32|<br>29|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|10-14<br>26|31|27|28|28|28|28|<br>28|
|15-19<br>26|<br>26|<br>26|<br>28|<br>29|<br>29|<br>28|<br>28|
|20-24<br>22|<br>21|<br>28|<br>29|<br>29|<br>29|<br>23|<br>28|
|25-29<br>16|<br>25|<br>30|<br>30|<br>29|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|30-34<br>12|<br>24|<br>31|<br>29|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|35-39<br>10|<br>21|<br>30|<br>27|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|4n-44<br>9|-<br>15|<br>25|<br>26|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|45-49<br>9|11|<br>20|<br>27|<br>29|<br>29|<br>28|<br>28|
|50-54<br>7|9|<br>24|<br>29|<br>29|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|55-59<br>5|8|23|<br>30|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|<br>28|
|60-64<br>4|7|<br>19|<br>28|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|
|65-69<br>3|6|<br>13|<br>22|<br>24|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|
|70-74<br>2|4|<br>8|<br>16|<br>23|<br>25|<br>25|<br>25|
|75+<br>4|4|10|<br>31|<br>47|50|<br>51|<br>51|
|TOTAL<br>202|274|3F3|<br>438|<br>461|<br>467|<br>470|<br>471|
|BIRTH RATE|28.3|18.4|14.5|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.5|6.0|8.3|11.3.|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.4|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.24|.63|.19|.05|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.219|2.199|2.081|006Z|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|68.29|72.19|75.41|77.73|78.38|78.82|78.93|
|I-<br>BOTH SEXES|35.4|20.5|12.9|8.0|7.1|6.6|6.4|
114

|TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO||Proje|ction(000|s)<br>withNRR-1 by|2000||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010<br>201S||2020|2025<br>2030|
|...............................|............|................................................|...|||.........|..<br>..............|.......<br>.....................<br>.........|
|TOTAL M+F<br>1185|1283|<br>1364|<br>1429|<br>1491|1559<br>1629||1696|1754<br>1803|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>71|79|70|<br>63|<br>61|64<br>67||67|65<br>63|
|5-9<br>65|70|77|69|62|61<br>64||66|66<br>64|
|10-14<br>63|64|<br>69|<br>77|<br>69|61<br>60||64|66<br>66|
|15-19<br>61|62|<br>63|<br>68|<br>76|68<br>61||60|63<br>66|
|20-24<br>66|59|60|61|66|?4<br>6'||60|59<br>63|
|25-29<br>55|63|56|57|<br>59|64<br>_n_||66|59<br>59|
|30-34<br>_44_|52|60|54|<br>55|57<br>63||72|65<br>59|
|35-39<br>36|42|50|S|52|54<br>56||62|71<br>65|
|40-44<br>28|34|<br>40|49|57|51<br>53|-|55|61<br>70|
|45-49<br>23|27|33|39|47|55<br>50||52|54<br>60|
|50-54<br>18|22|**25**|31|37|46<br>54||48|50<br>53|
|55-59<br>16|17|20|24|30|35<br>43||51|46<br>48|
|60-64<br>14|14|15|19|<br>22|27<br>33||40|47<br>43|
|65-69<br>12|12|12|13|<br>16|19<br>24||29|35<br>42|
|70-74<br>9|9|9|10|<br>I|i3<br>16||20|24<br>29|
|75+<br>9|10|11|12|<br>12|ii<br>16||19|23<br>29|
|TOTAL<br>589|635|<br>673|703|732|A4<br>797||829|857<br>880|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>69|77|68|61|60|63<br>65||65|63<br>61|
|5-9<br>63|68|75|67|60|59<br>62||65|65<br>63|
|10-14<br>**58**|63|67|75|67|60<br>59||62|64<br>65|
|15-19<br>61|58|62|67|74|66<br>59||'t|62<br>64|
|20-24<br>67|60|_56_|61|66|73<br>66||59|58<br>62|
|25-29<br>55|66|58|55|59|65<br>72||65|58<br>58|
|30-34<br>44|54|64|57|<br>53|S8<br>64||72|65<br>58|
|35-39<br>36|43|53|63|56|53<br>58||63|71<br>64|
|40-44<br>29|35|42|52|62|55<br>cz||57|63<br>71|
|45-49<br>24|28|35|42|51|61<br>55||52|57<br>62|
|50-54<br>19|23|28|34|41|50<br>60||54|51<br>56|
|55-59<br>18|18|23|27|33|39<br>49||59|53<br>50|
|60-64<br>15|17|-<br>17|21|25|31<br>38||47|57<br>51|
|65-69<br>12|14|15|16|<br>20|24<br>29||35|44<br>53|
|70*74<br>11|10|<br>12|13|<br>14|17<br>21||26|31<br>39|
|75+<br>12|14|15|17|<br>19|21<br>24||29|36<br>45|
|TOTAL<br>596|648|691|726|<br>759|795<br>832||867|897<br>922|
|BIRTH RATE<br>2|5.9|21.6|18.2|16.9|17.0<br>16.8||16.0|15.0<br>14.1|
|DEATH RATE|6.7|6.3|6.1|6.1|6.4<br>6.7||7.2|7.9<br>8.6|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.<br>1|.92|1.52|1.21|1.09|1.06<br>1.01||.88|.71<br>.55|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-|3.2|-3.0|-2.9|-2.3|-1.7<br>-1.3||-.8|-.4<br>.0|
|<br> <br> <br>GROWTH<br>RATE<br>|<br>1.60|<br>1.22|<br>.93|<br>.86|<br> <br>.89<br>.88||<br>.80|<br><br>.67<br>.55|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2.|800|2.471|2.181|2.075<br>2|.072<br>2.069||2.066<br>2|.064<br>2.061|
|NRR<br>1.|331|1.180|1.047|1.000<br>1|.000<br>1.000||1.000<br>1|.000<br>1.000|
|e<O) - BOTH SEXES<br>6|9.85|70.98|72.02|72.90<br>7|3.35<br>73.82||74.30<br>7|4.78<br>75.28|
|e*(0)-B0THSEXES<br>61|.63|62.46|63.26|63.97<br>6|4.39<br>64.82||65.26<br>6|5.71<br>66.17|
|INR- BOTH SEXES<br>2|0.0|16.7|14.0|12.1|11.7<br>11.2||10.8|10.3<br>9.9|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES<br>0|233|0192|0160|0136<br>|0131<br>0126||0121<br>|0115<br>0110|
|<br>.<br>DEP. RATIO<br>62.3|<br>61.6|.<br> <br>58.4|.<br> <br>52.|.<br>.<br>6<br>46.0|<br>.<br>43.7<br>45.|<br>0|<br>.<br>47.4|<br>.<br>49.8<br>52.4|
15 TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO Projection **(000s)** with **NRR1** by **2000** Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M.F<br>1185|1429|1754|1929|1982|2000|2008|2011|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>71|63|65|65|64|64|64|64|
|5-9<br>65|69|66|65|64|64|64|64|
|10-14<br>63|77|66|64|64|64|64|64|
|15-19<br>61|68|63|63|63|64|64|64|
|20-24<br>66|61|59|63|64|64|64|64|
|25-29<br>55|57|59|64|64|64|64|64|
|30-34<br>44|54|65|65|64|63|63|63|
|35-39<br>36|58|71|65|63|63|63|63|
|40-44<br>2P|49|61|62|62|63|63|63|
|45-49<br>23|39|5'|57|61|62|63|63|
|50-54<br>18|31|50|56|62|62|62|62|
|55-59<br>16|24|46|60|61|60|60|60|
|60-64<br>14|19|47|62|58|56|56|57|
|65-69<br>12|13|35|48|50|50|51|52|
|70-74<br>9|10|24|36|40|43|44|44|
|75+<br>9|12|23|49|65|69|70|70|
|TOTAL<br>589|703|857|943|968|976|979|980|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>69|61|63|63|63|62|62|62|
|5-9<br>63|67|65|63|62|62|62|62|
|10-14<br>58|75|64|62|62|62|62|62|
|15-19<br>61|67|62|61|62|62|62|62|
|20-24<br>67|61|58|61|62|62|62|62|
|25-29<br>55|55|58|63|63|63|62|62|
|30-34<br>44|57|65|64|63|62|62|62|
|35-39<br>36|63|71|64|62|62|62|62|
|40-44<br>29|*<br>52|63|61|61|62|62|62|
|45-49<br>24|42|57|57|61|62|62|62|
|50-54<br>19|34|51|57|62|62|62|62|
|55-59<br>18|27|53|62|63|62|61|61|
|60-64<br>15|21|57|67|61|60|60|60|
|65-69<br>12|16|44|56|56|57|58|58|
|70-74<br>11|13|31|46|49|52|54|54|
|75+<br>12|17|36|78|102|110|112|113|
|TOTAL<br>596|726|897|987|1014|1025|1029|1031|
|BIRTH RATE|21.7|16.3|13.7|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.3|6.9|9.9|11.9.|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.0|-1.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.25|.82|.38|.11|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.492|2.069|2.055|2.046|2.044|2.044|2.043|
|**e(O)**- BOTH SEXES|70.99|73.87|76.33|78.11|78.59|78.91|79.00|
|**IMR**- BOTH SEXES|17.1|11.2|9.0|7.5|6.9|6.5|6.4|
116

|VENEZUELA||Proje|ction<br>**000s**|**)**with**hRR=**|**1**by 2010|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2C20|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL M+F<br>17317|19751|22144|24410|26512|28403|30234|32049|<br>33744|<br>35239|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1306|1395|1409|1382|1343|1287|1309|1360|1370|<br>1352|
|5-9<br>1159|1302|1391|1406|1379|1340|1284|<br>1306|13,7|1368|
|10-14<br>lC22|1158|1301|1389|1404|1377|'338|1283|1305|<br>1355|
|15-19<br>951|1021|1155|1298|1386|1400|1374|<br>1334|1279|<br>1302|
|20-24<br>852|951|1018|1151|1292|1379|1393|<br>1367|1329|<br>1274|
|25-29<br>727|<br>853|Q48|1014|1145|1284|<br>1371|<br>1385|1360|<br>1322|
|3034<br>630|728|850|944|1008|1137|1276|<br>1362|<br>1378|<br>1353|
|.<br> <br>35-39<br>516|<br>629|<br>724|<br>845|<br>937|<br>1000|<br>1129|<br> <br> <br>1267|<br> <br>1353|<br><br> <br>1369|
|40-44<br>383|512|622|716|835|926|989|1117|1255|<br>1341|
|45-49<br>302|377|503|611|703|821|<br>911|973|1100|<br>1237|
|50-54<br>258|292|364|486|592|<br>682|<br>796|885|948|1073|
|55-59<br>214|243|276|344|461|561|648|759|845|<br>907|
|60-64<br>160|195|<br>222|252|316|423|517|599|704|<br>786|
|65-69<br>113|138|169|193|220|277|372|457|531|<br>626|
|70-74<br>75|90|110|136|156|178|225|305|376|<br>439|
|75.<br>81|<br>88|102|123|152|181|212|262|346|<br>441|
|TOTAL<br>8751|9970|11163|12289|13327|14254|15144|<br>16022|<br>16835|<br>17545|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1254|1340|1352|1325|1286|1233|1255|<br>1304|1314|<br>1297|
|5-9<br>1115|1252|1338|1351|1324|1284|1232|<br>1253|1302|<br>1313|
|10-14<br>985|1115|1252|1338|1350|1323|1284|<br>1231|1252|<br>1302|
|15-19<br>920|985|1115|1252|1337|1349|<br>1322|<br>1283|1230|<br>1252|
|20-24<br>827|<br>922|986|1115|1251|1335|<br>1347|<br>1320|<br>1281|<br>1229|
|25-29<br>709|829|923|987|1114|1249|1333|<br>1345|<br>1318|<br>1279|
|30-34<br>615|710|830|923|985|1112|1246|<br>1330|1342|<br>1316|
|35-39<br>502|614|709|S28|<br>920|982|1108|<br>1242|<br>1327|<br>1339|
|40-44<br>377|500|<br>611|705|823|915|977|1103|<br>1237|<br>1322|
|45-49<br>302|373|495|<br>606|699|816|907|969|1095|<br>1229|
|50-54<br>259|297|367|487|597|689|805|896|958|<br>1083|
|55-59<br>216|252|289|358|476|583|674|788|879|<br>940|
|60-U<br>167|206|241|277|344|458|562|651|763|<br>852|
|65-69<br>124|154|191|224|259|322|429|528|614|<br>721|
|70-74<br>a8|107|134|167|196|228|285|381|472|<br>550|
|75+<br>109|<br>123<br>|145<br>|179<br>|223<br>|272<br>|325<br> <br>|402<br> <br>|526<br> <br>|<br>671<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>8566|<br>9780|10981|12121|13184|14150|<br>15090|<br>16027|<br>16909|<br>17694|
|BIRTH RATE|30.7|27.3|23.9|21.1|18.8|17.9|17.4|16.6|15.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.2|4.9|4.7|4.8|5.0|5.4|5.8|6.3|6.9|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.55|2.24|1.92|1.64|1.38|1.25|1.17|1.03|.87|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.8<br>|.5<br>|.3<br>|.2<br>|.0<br>|.0<br>|.0<br>|.0<br>|.0<br>|
|**GROWTH**<br>RATE|2.63|2.29|1.95|1.65|1.38|i.25|1.17|1.03|.87|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.770|3.355|2.923|2.546|2.218|2.099|2.094|2.090|2.085|
|NRR|1.752|1.570|1.378|1.207|1.054|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)<br>- BOTH SEXES|70.10|71.01|71.84|72.61|73.10|73.59|74.08|74.59|73.11|
|**etlO)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|63.26|63.73|64.10|64.47|64.85|65.23|65.62|66.01|66.42|
|**INR**- BOTH SEXES|36.0|31.1|26.1|21.6|20.3|18.9|17.5|16.2|14.8|
|**q(5)**-BOTH SEXES|.0413|.0354|.0292|.0240|.0225|.0209|.0194|.0179|.0164|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>75.1|<br> <br>71.9|<br>67.1|<br>60.6|<br>54.0|<br>48.7|<br> <br>46.2|<br> <br>45.8|<br> <br>46.8|<br>48.0|
117

# VENEZUELA

ProJection (000s) with NRRu1 by 2010 Sumnary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR<br>W P<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|. ..<br>.....<br>........<br>..........|.................|..............|.......................................|||||
|TOTALM+F<br>17317|24410|33744|39408|41100|41467|41624|41686|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1306|1382|1370|1343|1337|1338|1339|1339|
|5-9<br>1159|1406|1357|1330|1332|1336|1338|1333|
|10-14<br>vc|1389|1305|1320|1331|1336|1337|<br>1337|
|15-19<br>951|1298|1279|1324|1335|1336|1336|<br>1335|
|20-24<br>852|1151|1329|1342|1336|1333|1332|1332|
|25-29<br>727|1014|1360|<br>1355|<br>1331|<br>1326|<br>1328|<br>1329|
|30-34<br>630|944|1378|1339|1317|1319|1324|1326|
|35-39<br>516|845|1353|1281|1303|1316|1322|<br>1323|
|40-44<br>383|716|1255|1250|1302|1315|1317|1317|
|45-49<br>302|611|<br>1100|<br>1286|<br>1311|<br>1308|<br>1306|<br>1306|
|50-54<br>258|486|948|<br>1294|<br>1304|<br>1285|<br>1282|<br>1284|
|55-59<br>214|344|<br>845|<br>1267|<br>1250|<br>1235|<br>1240|<br>1246|
|60-64<br>160|<br>252|<br>704|<br>1172|<br>1134|<br>1161|<br>1176|<br>1183|
|65-69<br>113|<br>193|<br>531|<br>982|<br>1009|<br>1061|<br>1077|<br>1081|
|70-74<br>75|<br>136|<br>376|<br>729|<br>890|<br>919|<br>924|<br>924|
|75.<br>81|<br>123|<br>346|<br>860|<br>1378|<br>1436|<br>1454|<br>1464|
|TOTAL<br>8751|12289|16835|19474|20199|20359|20432|20465|
|FEvALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1254|<br>1325|<br>1314|<br>1289|<br>1283|<br>1282|<br>1283|<br>1283|
|5-9<br>1115|<br>1351|<br>1302|<br>1279|<br>1280|<br>1282|<br>1283|<br>1284|
|10-14<br>985|1338|<br>1252|<br>1269|<br>1280|<br>1284|<br>1284|<br>1284|
|15-19<br>920|1252|1230|1274|1286|1285|1284|<br>1283|
|20-24<br>827|1115|1281|1295|1290|1285|1283|<br>1283|
|25-29<br>709|987|1318|1310|1288|1282|1282|<br>1282|
|30-34<br>615|923|<br>1342|<br>1298|<br>1277|<br>1278|<br>1281|<br>12V|
|35-39<br>502|828|<br>1327|<br>1246|<br>1266|<br>1278|<br>1282|<br>Iu.|
|40-44<br>377|e705|1237|1221|1270|1282|1282|<br>1281|
|45-49<br>302|606|<br>1095|<br>1266|<br>1286|<br>1284|<br>1279|<br>1277|
|50-54<br>259|<br>487|<br>958|<br>1293|<br>1294|<br>1274|<br>1270|<br>1270|
|55-59<br>216|<br>358|<br>879|<br>1298|<br>1267|<br>125.|<br>1255|<br>1258|
|60-64<br>167|277|763|1252|1193|1218|1233|<br>1238|
|65-69<br>124|<br>224|<br>614|<br>1114|<br>1123|<br>1178|<br>1195|<br>1197|
|70-74<br>88|<br>167|<br>472|<br>901|<br>1076|<br>1108|<br>1114|<br>1113|
|75+<br>109|<br>179|<br>526|1329|2143|2256|2302|2322|
|TOTAL<br>8566|<br>12121|<br>16909|<br>19934|<br>20901|<br>21108|<br>21192|<br>21221|
|BIRTH RATE|27.0|18.2|14.4|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|4.9|5.5|8.2|11.4.|12.4|12.6|12.6|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH RATE|2.29|1.30|.62|.17|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.313|2.196|2.075|2.061|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|71.05|73.66|76.21|78.04|78.55|78.89|78.97|
|IMRvBOTH SEXES|31.1|18.9|12.0|7.6|7.0|6.5|6.4|
# LAC DEPARTMENT IV
120

|ARGENTINA<br>......<br>........<br>,,,,..........|...<br>¢v.....<br>.|Proje<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|ction (CO0<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|s) with NRR<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|nl by 2005<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|...<br>..<br>*. . ...............|v__.<br>...<br>Z*..<br>.........................|..|w......|.v..|.............................|||||
|TOTALH+F<br>30331|32254|34037|35725|<br>37293|<br>38821|<br>40337|<br>41759|43036|<br>44158|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1649|1634|1591|1575|1554|<br>1577|<br>1611|<br>1607|<br>1589|<br>1575|
|5-9<br>1639|1641|1628|1586|1571|<br>1551|<br>1574|<br>1608|<br>1604|<br>1586|
|10-14<br>1410|1635|1638|1626|1584|<br>1569|<br>1549|<br>1572|<br>1606|<br>1602|
|15-19<br>1242|1404|1629|1633|1621|<br>1580|<br>1565|<br>1545|<br>1569|<br>1603|
|20-24<br>1177|1233|1396|1620|1624|<br>1613|<br>1573|<br>1559|<br>1539|<br>1563|
|25-29<br>1144|1167|1224|1386|1610|<br>1615|<br>1605|<br>1565|<br>1551|<br>1532|
|30-34<br>1094|1133|1157|1215|1377|<br>1600|<br>1605|<br>1596|<br>1557|<br>1544|
|35-39<br>988|1082|1122|<br>1147|1205|<br>1367|<br>1588|<br>1595|<br>1586|<br>1548|
|40-44<br>859|973|1068|1109|1135|<br>1193|<br>1353|<br>1574|<br>1581|<br>1573|
|45-49<br>775|840|953|1047|1090|<br>1116|<br>1174|<br>1333|<br>1551|<br>1560|
|50-54<br>729|747|811|922|<br>1016|<br>1058|<br>1085|<br>1143|<br>1299|<br>1514|
|55-59<br>674|686|7C5|768|875|<br>966|1008|<br>1036|<br>1093|<br>1245|
|60-64<br>565|613|626|646|706|<br>807|893|<br>935|963|<br>1019|
|65-69<br>435|488|532|547|567|<br>622|713|<br>792|831|<br>859|
|70-74<br>327|344|390|<br>428|443|<br>462|509|<br>586|654|<br>689|
|75+<br>364|386|<br>414|464|520|<br>560|598|<br>654|743|<br>841|
|TOTAL<br>15069|16006|16883|<br>17719|<br>18498|<br>19255|<br>20003|<br>20698|21315|<br>21853|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1592|1569|1525|1509|<br>1487|<br>1510|<br>1543|<br>1540|<br>152|2<br>1510|
|5-9<br>1585|1586|1565|1523|1506|<br>1485|<br>1509|<br>1541|<br>1538|<br>1521|
|10-14<br>1366|1583|1584|1563|1521|<br>1505|<br>1484|<br>1508|<br>1541|<br>1538|
|15-19<br>1205|1364|1580|1583|1562|<br>1520|<br>1504|<br>1483|<br>1507|<br>1540|
|20-24<br>1145|1203|1361|1578|1580|<br>1560|<br>1518|<br>1502|<br>1482|<br>1505|
|25-29<br>1113|1142|1200|1358|1575|<br>1577|<br>1557|<br>1516|<br>1500|<br>1480|
|30-34<br>1068|1110|1139|1196|1355|<br>1571|<br>1574|<br>1554|<br>1513|<br>1498|
|35-39<br>963|1063|1105|1134|1192|<br>1350|<br>1566|<br>1570|<br>1550|<br>1510|
|40-44<br>851|956|1057|1098|1128|<br>1186|<br>1344|<br>1559|<br>1563|<br>1545|
|45-49<br>783|842|946|1047|1089|<br>1119|<br>1177|<br>1334|<br>1549|<br>1554|
|50-54<br>754|769|828|932|1032|<br>1074|<br>1104|<br>1163|<br>1319|<br>1533|
|55-59<br>720|<br>734|750|<br>808|911|<br>1009|<br>1052|<br>1083|<br>1141|<br>1296|
|60-64<br>631|689|-704|721|778|<br>8.|975|<br>1017|<br>1049|<br>1108|
|65-69<br>523|584|640|656|673|<br>729|<br>825|<br>918|961|<br>993|
|70-74<br>426|454|509|560|577|<br>595|<br>647|<br>735|822|<br>864|
|75+<br>536<br>|602|661|741|829|<br>897|955|<br>1037|<br>1162|<br>1312|
|TOTAL<br>15262|<br>16249|17154|<br>18006|<br>18795|<br>19566|<br>20334|<br>21061|21720|<br>22305|
|BIRTH RATE|21.2|19.4|18.1|17.0|16.5|16.2|15.6|14.9|14.4|
|DEATH RATE|8.9|8.6|8.4|8.4|8.5|8.6|8.7|8.9|9.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.23|1.08|.97|.86|.80|.77|.69|.60|.52|
|<br>NET PIGRATION<br>RATE|<br>.0|<br>.0|<br>.0|<br>.0|<br>.0|<br>.0|<br>.0|<br>.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.23|1.08|.97|.86|.80|.77|.69|.60|.52|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.960|2.675|2.417|2.184|2.097|2.093|2.089|2.085|2.081|
|NRR|1.383|1.259|1.145|1.039|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|70.61|71.60|72.50|73.30|73.73|74.17|74.62|75.08|75.54|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES|63.40|63.95|64.45|64.91|65.26|65.61|65.97|66.34|66.71|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|32.0|27.1|22.6|18.8|17.7|16.6|15.5|14.4|13.3|
|q(S) - BOTH SEXES|.0363|.0305|.0251|.0207|.0195|.0183|.0170|.0158|.0146|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>64.1|<br>63.3|<br>59.4|<br> <br>55.7|<br> <br>52.5|<br> <br>50.7|<br> <br>50.4|<br> <br>51.0|<br> <br>51.2|<br>50.9|
121 Projection (OOs) with NRR*1 by 2005 ARGEITINA

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|.**.** **.**..............<br>.....<br>........<br>..........<br>**AGE**GROUP<br>1985|.<br>...<br> <br>2000|.................<br>2025|..................................<br>2050|.....................<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...................................................|.......................................|.........................................||||||
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>30331|<br>35725|<br>43036|<br>47534|<br>48736|<br>49094|<br>49266|<br>49333|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1649|<br>1575|<br>1589|<br>1588|<br>1585|<br>1584|<br>1584|<br>1585|
|5-9<br>1639|<br>1586|1604|<br>1587|<br>1581|<br>1582|<br>1583|<br>1583|
|10-14<br>1410|<br>1626|1606|<br>1580|<br>1577|<br>1580|<br>',s?i|1582|
|15-19<br>1242|<br>1633|1569|<br>1569|<br>1573|<br>1578|<br>1580|<br>1580|
|20-24<br>1177|<br>1620|<br>1539|<br>1564|<br>1572|<br>1576|<br>1577|<br>1577|
|25-29<br>1144|<br>1386|1551|<br>1572|<br>1574|<br>1573|<br>1573|<br>1573|
|30-34<br>1094|<br>1215|1557|<br>1584|<br>1572|<br>1567|<br>1568|<br>1569|
|35-39<br>988|1147|1586|<br>1579|<br>1561|<br>1559|<br>156_|<br>1565|
|4G-44<br>859|1109|<br>1581|<br>1535|<br>1544|<br>1550|<br>1556|<br>1558|
|45-49<br>775|1047|<br>1551|<br>1492|<br>1528|<br>1539|<br>1544|<br>1546|
|50-54<br>729|922|1299|<br>1479|<br>1513|<br>1519|<br>1520|<br>1521|
|55-59<br>674|768|1093|<br>1436|<br>1481|<br>1475|<br>1474|<br>1475|
|60-64<br>565|646|963|1379|<br>1400|<br>1392|<br>1394|<br>1398|
|65-69<br>435|547|831|1245|<br>1242|<br>1260|<br>1271|<br>1277|
|70-74<br>327|428|654|1036|<br>1037|<br>1074|<br>1088|<br>1094|
|75+<br>364|464|743|1200|<br>1617|<br>1701|<br>1728|<br>1737|
|TOTAL<br>15069|<br>17719|<br>21315|<br>23427|<br>23959|<br>24110|<br>24185|<br>24220|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1592|<br>1509|<br>1522|<br>1524|<br>1521|<br>1519|<br>1519|<br>1519|
|5-9<br>1585|<br>1523|<br>1538|<br>1525|<br>1519|<br>1518|<br>1518|<br>1518|
|10-14<br>1366|<br>1563|<br>1541|<br>1519|<br>1516|<br>1518|<br>1518|<br>1519|
|15-19<br>1205|<br>1583|<br>1507|<br>1509|<br>1515|<br>1518|<br>1519|<br>1519|
|20-24<br>1145|<br>1578|<br>1482|<br>1507|<br>1517|<br>1!i9|1519|<br>1518|
|25-29<br>1113|<br>1358|<br>1500|<br>1518|<br>1522|<br>!320|1518|<br>1518|
|30-34<br>1068|<br>1196|<br>1513|<br>1534|<br>1523|<br>1518|<br>1517|<br>1517|
|35-39<br>963|113t|1550|<br>1534|<br>1516|<br>1514|<br>1516|<br>1517|
|40-44<br>851|-1098|<br>1563|<br>1497|<br>1504|<br>1511|<br>1515|<br>1515|
|45-49<br>783|1047|<br>1549|<br>1466|<br>1498|<br>1509|<br>1512|<br>1512|
|50-54<br>754|932|1319|<br>1473|<br>1500|<br>1506|<br>1505|<br>1504|
|55-59<br>720|808|1141|<br>1465|<br>1498|<br>1492|<br>1490|<br>1490|
|60-64<br>631|7c1|1049|<br>1466|<br>1469|<br>1459|<br>1461|<br>1464|
|65-69<br>523|656|<br>961|1413|<br>1379|<br>1397|<br>1409|<br>1414|
|70-74<br>426|560|822|<br>1281|<br>1249|<br>1292|<br>1311|<br>1316|
|75+<br>536|741|1162|<br>1876|<br>2'31|2674|<br>2734|<br>2753|
|TOTAL<br>15262|<br>18006|<br>21720|<br>24107|<br>24777|<br>24984|<br>25081|<br>25113|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|19.5|16.0|13.8|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|8.6|8.6|9.8|11.9|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.09|.74|.40|.10|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.670|2.108|2.073|2.060|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)**-**BOTH SEXES|71.61|74.21|76.52|78.16|78.61|78.91|78.98|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|27.3|16.6|11.0|7.5|6.9|6.5|6.4|
123 Projection **C00Os)** with NRRuI by 2000

**CHILE**

v............... **.....** ........Suimry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGRaP<br>1965|<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|......................................||...........................|........................................|..........-----||||
|TOTAL<br>N F<br>12121|15027|18639|<br>20320|20783|20944|21017|21045|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>699|656|682|680|677|676|676|676|
|5-9<br>613|709|693|679|674|674|675|675|
|10-14<br>633|745|<br>689|<br>672|<br>671|<br>673|<br>675|675|
|15-19<br>635|691|665|664|670|673|674|6.4|
|20-24<br>629|604|636|664|<br>671|<br>673|673|<br>673|
|25-29<br>544|619|<br>644|674|674|672|<br>671|<br>671|
|30-34<br>460|617|693|684|<br>672|<br>668|<br>669|669|
|35-39<br>373|608|<br>723|677|664|<br>664|666|668|
|40-44<br>318|523|664|<br>650|654|660|<br>664|665|
|45-49<br>253|437|<br>574|616|649|657|660|660|
|50-54<br>222|<br>346|575|613|649|651|649|649|
|55-59<br>190|<br>283|550|638|640|631|<br>628|629|
|60-64<br>146|<br>210|<br>506|627|600|592|<br>593|596|
|65-69<br>113|<br>166|389|522|526|533|541|545|
|70-76<br>81|<br>120|<br>270|382|428|456|465|467|
|75.<br>98|<br>121|<br>267|557|691|<br>729|<br>739|741|
|TOTAL<br>6007|7455|9221|10000|<br>10211|<br>10283|<br>10317|<br>10332|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>_669_|628|653|653|649|648|648|648|
|5-9<br>589|681|<br>665|652|648|<br>647|648|648|
|10-14<br>611|<br>716|<br>661|<br>646|646|647|648|648|
|15-19<br>616|<br>_665_|639|639|645|648|<br>648|648|
|20-24<br>614|<br>585|613|<br>640|648|649|648|648|
|25-29<br>536|605|623|651|<br>652|649|648|647|
|30-34<br>457|609|675|663|<br>652|647|647|647|
|35-39<br>377|606|708|658|645|645|646|647|
|40-44<br>329|526|654|635|<br>637|643|646|647|
|45-49<br>267|446|572|<br>606|636|<br>645|646|<br>645|
|50-54<br>244|364|<br>586|612|<br>644|645|643|642|
|55-59<br>215|<br>311|<br>578|653|648|<br>639|635|635|
|60-64<br>175|<br>244|557|668|<br>631|<br>621|<br>622|624|
|65-69<br>145|<br>210|<br>456|590|585|592|600|603|
|70-74<br>112|<br>166|<br>346|472|<br>517|<br>549|560|562|
|75+<br>156|<br>210|<br>433|882|1090|<br>1148|<br>1168|<br>1175|
|TOTAL<br>6114|7572|<br>9418|<br>10320|10572|10661|10700|<br>10713|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|20.6|15.9|1L3.6|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.3|7.2|10.2|12.0|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROUTH**<br>RATE|1.43|.86|.35|.09|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.447|2.081|2.068|2.060|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|e(O)<br>**- BOTH**SEXES|72.26|74.37|76.59|78.19|78.62|78.91|78.98|
|**1IE**- BOTH SEXES|17.3|11.4|9.1|7.4|6.9|6.5|6.4|
122 CHILE ProJection (0OOs) with NRR-1 by 2000

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL H+F<br>12121|<br>13204|<br>14188|<br>15027|<br>15801|16575|<br>17337|<br>18040|<br>18639|<br>19120|
|HALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>699|750|712|656|644|669|<br>692|695|<br>682|<br>_669_|
|S-9<br>613|695|<br>747|709|654|642|<br>668|690|693|<br>680|
|10-14<br>633|612|694|745|708|653|<br>641|667|689|<br>693|
|15-19<br>635|629|609|691|742|706|<br>651|639|665|<br>688|
|20-24<br>629|629|624|604|686|738|<br>702|647|636|<br>_662_|
|25-29<br>544|622|623|619|599|681|<br>_m_|697|644|<br>633|
|30-34<br>460|538|615|617|613|594|<br>676|728|693|<br>640|
|35-39<br>373|454|531|608|611|608|<br>589|671|723|<br>689|
|40-44<br>318|367|446|523|600|603|<br>601|523|664|<br>716|
|45-49<br>253|310|358|437|513|<br>589|<br>592|590|574|<br>655|
|50-54<br>222|243|299|346|422|497|<br>571|576|575|<br>559|
|55-59<br>190|209|230|283|328|401|<br>473|<br>545|550|<br>551|
|60-64<br>146|173|190|210|260|302|<br>371|438|506|<br>512|
|65-69<br>113|126|1SO|<br>166|184|228|<br>266|328|389|<br>451|
|70-74<br>81|90|100|120|<br>134|149|<br>186|218|!70|<br>322|
|75+<br>98|101|109|121|142|162|<br>184|223|267|<br>328|
|TOTAL<br>6007|6547|7037|7455|7840|8222|<br>8595|8936|<br>9221|<br>9449|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>669|<br>719|682|628|616|641|<br>662|666|653|641|
|5-9<br>589|667|717|681|627|615|<br>640|662|665|6S3|
|10-14<br>611|588|666|716|680|626|<br>614|639|661|665|
|15-19<br>616|610|587|665|715|679|<br>625|614|639|661|
|20-24<br>614|614|608|585|663|713|<br>677|624|613|638|
|25-29<br>536|612|612|605|583|661|<br>711|676|623|612|
|30-34<br>457|533|609|609|603|581|<br>659|710|675|622|
|35-39<br>377|454|530|606|606|601|<br>579|657|708|<br>673|
|40-44<br>329|374|451|526|602|603|<br>597|576|<br>654|<br>70o|
|45-49<br>267|325|370|446|521|596|<br>597|593|572|<br>65.|
|50-54<br>244|262|319|364|439|514|<br>588|590|586|<br>566|
|55-59<br>215|237|255|311|355|429|<br>502|576|578|<br>575|
|60-64<br>175|205|-<br>227|<br>244|298|341|<br>413|484|557|<br>560|
|65-69<br>145|162|190|210|227|278|<br>319|387|456|526|
|70-74<br>112|126|141|166|184|200|<br>246|284|346|410|
|75+<br>156|169|187|210|243|277|<br>310|368|433|524|
|TOTAL<br>6114|6658|7151|7572|7961|8353|<br>8741|9104|<br>9418|<br>9679|
|BIRTHRATE|23.7|20.8|17.9|16.6|16.4|16.2|15.6|14.7|14.0|
|DEATH RATE|6.4|6.2|6.2|6.4|6.7|7.1|7.6|8.2|8.8|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|1.73|1.46|1.17|1.02|.97|.91|.80|.66|.52|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 2|-. 2|-. 1|-. 1|-. 1|-. 0|-. 0|.0|
|ROWTH<br>RATE|1.71|1.44|1.15|1.00|.96|.90|.80|.65|.52|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.730|2.441|2.182|2.087|2.084|2.081|2.079|2.076|2.074|
|NRR|1.294|1.162|1.043|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|71.56|72.26|72.88|73.48|73.89|74.32|74.75|75.20|75.65|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|63.38|63.80|64.19|64.58|64.96|65.35|65.75|66.15|66.56|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|20.0|17.0|14.5|12.4|11.9|11.5|11.0|10.5|10.0|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0233|.0196|.0165|.0140|.0134|.0129|.0123|.0117|.0112|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>59.5|57.2|56.0|<br>51.8|<br>46.9|44.9|<br>45.6|<br>47.7|<br>49.9|<br>52.2|
124

|**ECUAWOR**||Proj|ection (000s|) WithWRR=1**b**|**y 2015**|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALM+F<br>9378|<br>10640|<br>11944|<br>13183|<br>_14409_|15580|<br>16650|<br>17673|<br>18668|<br>19601|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>752|779|812|794|<br>805|795|<br>766|<br>769|786|<br>791|
|5-9<br>651|741|770|804|<br>788|800|<br>790|<br>762|766|<br>783|
|10-14<br>587|647|737|<br>766|<br>80l|786|<br>797|<br>788|<br>760|<br><br> <br>764|
|15-19<br>525|583|643|733|<br>763|797|<br>782|<br>794|786|<br>758|
|20-24<br>443|519|577|637|<br>727|757|<br>792|<br>77m|<br>790|<br>782|
|25-29<br>369|437|513|570|<br>630|720|<br>750|<br>786|772|<br>785|
|30-34<br>310|364|431|<br>506|<br> <br> <br>564|<br>624|<br> <br> <br>713|<br> <br> <br>_744_|<br>780|<br><br> <br>767|
|35-39<br>244|305|358|425|<br>500|557|<br>617|<br>707|n7|774|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>194|<br> <br>239|<br>299|<br>352|<br> <br> <br>418|<br>493|<br> <br> <br>550|<br> <br> <br>610|<br> <br>699|<br>730|
|45-49<br>163|<br>189|<br>233|292|<br>344|409|<br>483|<br>539|<br>599|<br><br> <br>687|
|50-54<br>130|156|181|224|<br>281|332|<br>396|<br>467|523|<br>582|
|55-59<br>106|122|147|170|<br>211|265|<br>314|<br>375|444|<br>499|
|60-64<br>84|96|110|133|<br>155|192|<br>243|<br>288|346|<br>411|
|65-69<br>65|72|82|95|115|134|<br>168|<br>213|253|<br>305|
|70-74<br>46|51|<br>57|<br>65|75|92|<br>108|<br>135|<br>173|<br>207|
|75.<br>50|53|58|65|74|86|<br>104|<br>124|155|<br>198|
|TOTAL<br>4717|5352|6009|6633|<br>7251|7839|<br>8373|<br>8880|<br>9370|<br>9825|
|FEHALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>728|752|783|765|<br>774|764|<br>736|<br>739|756|<br>761|
|5-9<br>632|719|745|777|<br>760|770|<br>761|<br> <br>734|<br>737|<br><br>754|
|10-14<br>571|629|716|742|<br>774|758|<br>768|<br>760|732|736|
|15-19<br>512|568|626|713|<br>739|772|<br>756|<br>766|758|<br>731|
|20-24<br>433|508|563|621|<br>708|735|<br>768|<br>753|764|756|
|25-29<br>3A3|428|503|558|616|703|731|<br>764|<br>750|761|
|30-34<br>30?|359|424|497|553|611|698|<br>726|<br>760|747|
|35-39<br>_212_|303|354|419|492|547|<br>606|<br>693|722|756|
|40-44<br>194|238|299|349|413|486|542|<br>600|687|716|
|45-49<br>164|190|234|293|343|406|479|<br>534|592|679|
|50-54<br>133|160|185|228|286|335|397|<br>469|524|582|
|55-59<br>110|128|153|178|<br>219|275|323|<br>385|455|510|
|60-64<br>88|103|120|144|167|206|260|<br>307|366|435|
|65-69<br>70|79|93|108|<br>130|151|<br>188|<br>238|283|339|
|70-74<br>52|58|66|77|90|109|<br>128|<br>160|<br>205|245|
|75,<br>62<br>|67<br>|73|<br>82|95|112|<br>136|<br>165|<br>207|266|
|TOTAL<br>4661|5288|5935|6550|7158|7741|<br>8277|<br>8793|9298|<br>9776|
|BIRTHRATE|32.9|30.1|26.1|23.9|21.6|19.3|18.2|175|167|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.2|6.6|6.1|5.9|<br>5.8|<br>5.9|<br>6.2|.<br>6.5|.<br>6.9|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|2.57|2.35|2.01|1.80|1.58|1.34|1.20|1.10|.98|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|*.4|-. 4|-.3|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.52|2.31|1.97|1.78|1.56|1.33|1.19|<br>1.10|98|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.330|3.745|3.160|2.818<br>2|.513|2.241|<br>2.140|<br>2.129|.<br>2.118|
|NRR|1.915|1.680|1.437|1.296<br>1|.162|1.041|1.000|<br>1.000|1.000|
|**e(0)**- BOTH SEXES|65.48|66.56|67.56|68.50<br>6|9.26|70.03|70.82|71.63|72.46|
|**e(lO)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|61.18|61.48|61.67|61.85<br>6|2.37|62.91|63.45|64.02|64.60|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|63.0|55.3|46.7|38.6|35.7|32.7.|29.7|26.8|23.8|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0762|.0657|.0547|.0446<br>.|0411|.0377|0342|0307|0273|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>83.4|77.5|71.8|63.9|<br> <br>57.9|<br>52.4|<br> <br>48.7|.<br> <br>46.2|.<br> <br>45.2|.<br> <br>45.7|
125 ECUADOR Projection (OGOs) with NRRu1 by 2015 Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|.........<br>................<br>AGE**GCROWP**<br>1985|............<br>2000|........................<br>2065|2050|...<br>....<br>.......<br>2075|...............<br>2100|............<br>2125|.............<br>..... ..................................<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALFF<br>9378|13183|18668|22363|23718|24065 -|24228|24292|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>752|794|786|m|779|781|781|781|
|5-9<br>651|804|766|774|77B|780|781|781|
|10-14<br>587|766|760|776|779|780|780|780|
|15-19<br>525|733|786|782|m|778|779|779|
|20-24<br>443|637|790|783|775|775|777|777|
|25-29<br>369|570|772|774|769|m|775|776|
|30-34<br>310|506|780|753|765|771|773|774|
|35-39<br>244|425|738|744|765|770|771|772|
|40-44<br>194|352|699|764|768|767|767|768|
|45-49<br>163|292|599|761|763|758|759|761|
|50-54<br>130|224|523|730|743|741|746|749|
|55-59<br>106|170|444|711|700|716|724|727|
|60-64<br>84|133|346|631|654|680|<br>687|690|
|65-69<br>65|95|253|538|611|623|627|629|
|70-74<br>46|65|173|<br>387|520|532|534|537|
|75+<br>50|65|155|439|748|<br>809|838|850|
|TOTAL<br>4717|6633|9370|11124|11697|11832|11899|11929|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>728|<br>765|756|747|748|<br>749|749|749|
|5-9<br>632|777|737|745|748|<br>749|749|749|
|10-14<br>571|742|732|<br>748|750|749|749|749|
|15-19<br>512|713|758|754|751|749|749|749|
|20-24<br>433|621|764|757|749|748|748|748|
|25-29<br>363|558|750|751|745|747|748|748|
|30-34<br>307|497|760|732|743|747|748|748|
|35-39<br>242|419|<br>722|<br>725|<br>745|749|748|748|
|40-44<br>194|<br>-3.9|687|747|751|749|747|747|
|45-49<br>164|293|592|748|<br>751|744|744|745|
|50-54<br>133|228|524|726|<br>738|<br>736|739|<br>741|
|55-59<br>110|<br>178|455|722|<br>710|<br>726|<br>733|<br>735|
|60-64<br>88|144|366|664|687|714|721|<br>722|
|65-69<br>70|10M|<br>283|597|676|692|696|696|
|70-74<br>52|77|205|461|620|639|643|646|
|75+<br>62|82|207|616|1108|<br>1246|1318|1344|
|TOTAL<br>4661|6550|9298|11239|12021|12233|12329|12363|
|BIRTH RATE|29.4|19.9|15.1|13.3|12.9|_12.8_|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.6|6.1|8.0|11.0|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 4|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|2.27|1.39|.72|.24|.06|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.684|2.345|2.097|2.063|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|eCO)**-** BOTH SEXES|66.61|70.15|74.27|77.28|78.15|7B.74|78.89|
|**IMR**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|55.0|32.8|17.9|8.5|7.4|6.7|6.5|
126

|PARAGUAY<br>,. ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.....|...........|Proje<br>...........<br>..|ction (00s)<br>.......,...<br>...<br>....|with WRRu<br>.<br>....<br>.|1 by 2025<br>.....<br>|J.....<br>.<br>..|<br>...<br>.<br>.|..<br>..<br>.....|.<br>..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE CRO1P<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|....................................||.................................|.....................................|...||||........<br>.|...............<br>.. ............|
|TOTAL M+r<br>3693|4280|4906|5539|6173|6804|7424|8009|8533|9024|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>296|338|371|383|393|400|404|398|381|382|
|5-9<br>251|294|335|369|381|391|398|402|397|380|
|10-14<br>224|251|293|334|368|380|390|397|402|396|
|13-19<br>204|223|249|291|332|366|379|389|396|400|
|20-24<br>184|<br>204|<br>222|<br>247|<br>289|<br>330|<br>363|<br>376|<br>386|<br>394|
|25-29<br>162|184|202|220|245|286|327|360|373|383|
|30-34<br>144|162|183|200|218|242|283|324|357|370|
|<br> <br>35-39<br>92|<br>143|<br> <br>160|<br> <br>180|<br> <br>198|<br> <br>215|<br> <br>240|<br> <br>280|<br> <br>321|<br>354|
|40-44<br>72|<br>91|<br>1'1|<br>157|<br>177|<br>194|<br>211|<br>236|<br>277|<br>317|
|45-49<br>61|71|<br>89|<br>137|<br>153|<br>173|<br>190|<br>207|<br>231|<br>271|
|50-54<br>46|59|<br>68|<br>85|<br>132|<br>147|<br>166|<br>183|<br>200|<br>224|
|55-59<br>40|43|<br>55|<br>64|<br>80|124|<br>139|<br>157|<br>174|<br>190|
|60-64<br>33|36|<br>39|<br>50|<br>58|<br>73|<br>113|<br>127|<br>145|<br>160|
|65-69<br>25|28|<br>31|<br>34|<br>43|50|<br>63|<br>99|<br>112|<br>127|
|70-74<br>16|20|22|2S|<br>27|34|<br>40|<br>51|<br>80|<br>91|
|75+<br>17|19|22|25|28|31|38|46|58|85|
|TOTAL<br>1868|2166|2483|2802|3121|3437|3745|4033|4289|4527|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>285|326|<br>357|<br>369|<br>37'|<br>384|<br>388|<br>383|<br>366|<br>367|
|5-9<br>242|283|<br>324|<br>356|<br>3f,?|<br>376|383|<br>387|<br>382|<br>366|
|10-14<br>215|242|<br>283|<br>323|<br>355|<br>367|<br>371|.<br>383|<br>387|<br>382|
|15-19<br>196|<br>215|<br>241|<br>282|<br>3!2|<br>35;|<br>31a|6<br>375|<br>382|<br>386|
|3 -24<br>177|<br>196|<br>214|<br>240|<br>281|<br>321|<br>353|<br>365|<br>374|<br>381|
|23-29<br>155|<br>177|<br>195|<br>213|<br>239|<br>279|<br>319|<br>351|<br>363|<br>372|
|30-34<br>134|<br>155|<br>176|<br>194|<br>211|<br>237|<br>277|<br>317|<br>349|<br>362|
|35-39<br>88|133|<br>153|<br>174|<br>192|<br>209|<br>235|<br>275|<br>315|<br>348|
|40-44<br>71|<br>87|<br>131|<br>151|<br>172|<br>189|<br>207|<br>233|<br>273|<br>313|
|45-49<br>60|70|<br>86|<br>129|<br>148|<br>169|<br>187|<br>204|<br>230|<br>270|
|50-54<br>49|<br>58|<br>68|<br>83|<br>126|<br>145|<br>165|<br>183|<br>200|<br>226|
|55-59<br>45|<br>47|<br>56|<br>65|<br>80|121|<br>140|<br>160|<br>177|<br>195|
|60-64<br>37|<br>42|<br>44|<br>52|<br>61|75|<br>114|<br>133|<br>152|<br>169|
|65-69<br>28|<br>33|<br>38|<br>40|<br>47|55|<br>69|<br>105|<br>122|<br>141|
|70-74<br>20|<br>23|<br>28|<br>32|<br>33|40|<br>47|<br>59|<br>91|<br>107|
|75.<br>23|<br>26|<br>30|<br>35|<br>41|46|<br>54|<br>64|<br>79|<br>114|
|TOTAL<br>1825|<br>2113|<br>2423|<br>2737|<br>3052|<br>3368|<br>3679|3976|4244|4497|
|BIRTH RATE|34.9|33.1|29.8|27.1|24.8|22.8|20.7|18.5|17.4|
|DEATH RATE|6.4|6.0|5.6|5.4|5.4|5.4|5.5|5.8|6.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.85|2.71|2.42|2.16|1.9f|1.74|1.52|1.27|1.12|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.0|.2|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|2.95|2.73|2.43|2.17|1.95|1.74|1.52|1.27|1.12|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.579|4.209|3.840|3.470|3.101|2.766|2.468|2.201|2.103|
|NRR|2.068|1.926|1.775|1.618|1.452|1.300|1.165|1.043|1.J00|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|66.90|67.70|68.46|69.19|69.89|70.62|71.36|72.12|72.90|
|edO)- BOTH SEXES|60.93|61.15|61.32|61.51|62.07|62.66|63.25|63.87|64.49|
|IHR - BOTH SEXES|42.0|36.7|30.8|25.5|23.8|22.1|20.5|18.8|17.1|
|(S)-BOTH SEXES|0531|0453|0374|0304|0283|0262|0242|0221|0201|
|q <br>DEP. RATIO<br>80.1|.<br>78.5|.<br> <br>77.0|.<br> <br>72.2|.<br> <br>66.3|.<br>60.1|.<br> <br>55.5|.<br> <br>e.0|.<br>50.3|.<br> <br>48.|
127 Prnjection **(009s)** with NRR=1 by 2025

# PARAGUAY

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|.......<br>.......................<br>AGE**GROUP**<br>1985|.<br> <br>7000|................<br>2025|............................<br> <br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|....<br>.....<br> <br>2125|..<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........................................................................|................................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>3693|<br>!539|8533|<br>10716|<br>11815|<br>12030|<br>1?116|<br>12148|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>296|<br>383|381|389|<br>391|<br>391|<br>391|<br>391|
|5-9<br>251|<br>369|397|<br>393|<br>391|<br>390|<br>390|<br>390|
|10-14<br>224|334|402|394|389|<br>389|<br>390|<br>390|
|15-19<br>204|291|<br>396|389|386|<br>388|<br>389|<br>389|
|20-24<br>184|<br>247|386|378|384|<br>388|<br>389|<br>389|
|25-29<br>162|<br>220|373|<br>375|386|<br>388|<br>388|<br>388|
|30-34<br>144|<br>200|357|390|<br>389|<br>387|<br>387|<br>387|
|35-39<br>92|180|<br>321|392|389|<br>385|<br>385|<br>385|
|40-44<br>72|157|277|384|382|<br>380|<br>382|<br>384|
|45-49<br>61|137|231|371|<br>368|<br>375|<br>380|<br>381|
|50-54<br>46|85|200|351|360|<br>372|<br>375|<br>375|
|55-59<br>40|64|174|<br>324|362|<br>364|<br>364|<br>364|
|60-64<br>33|50|145|<br>273|<br>345|<br>345|343|<br>344|
|65-69<br>25|<br>34|112|<br>212|307|<br>310|<br>311|<br>313|
|70-74<br>16|25|80|149|<br>253|<br>257|<br>265|<br>268|
|75+<br>17|25|58|171|<br>344|<br>403|421|<br>426|
|TOTAL<br>1868|<br>2802|4289|<br>5335|<br>5826|<br>5911|<br>5948|<br>5964|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>285|369|366|374|375|<br>375|<br>374|<br>374|
|5-9<br>242|356|332|<br>378|376|<br>375|374|<br>374|
|10-14<br>215|323|387|380|375|<br>374|374|<br>374|
|15-19<br>196|282|<br>382|375|372|<br>373|<br>374|<br>374|
|20-24<br>177|240|374|365|371|<br>374|374|<br>374|
|25-29<br>155|213|363|364|374|375|375|<br>374|
|30-34<br>134|194|349|379|378|<br>376|374|<br>374|
|35-39<br>88|174|315|<br>383|379|<br>374|373|<br>374|
|40-44<br>71|151|273|<br>377|<br>373|<br>371|373|<br>373|
|45-49<br>60|129|230|366|362|<br>369|372|<br>373|
|50-54<br>49|83|200|352|359|<br>369|371|<br>371|
|55-59<br>45|65|177|<br>332|368|<br>369|368|<br>367|
|60-64<br>37|52|152|<br>291|364|<br>363|360|<br>360|
|65-69<br>28|40|122|238|342|<br>345|345|<br>347|
|70-74<br>20|32|91|180|<br>305|<br>309|319|<br>323|
|75+<br>23|35|79|247|516|628|665|<br>675|
|TOTAL<br>1825|<br>2737|4244|<br>5381|<br>5989|<br>6119|<br>6168|<br>6184|
|BIRTH RATE|32.4|22.4|16.0|13.5|12.9|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.0|5.5|7.0|9.7|12.2|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.70|1.73|.91|.39|.07|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.161|2.735|2.087|2.063|2.060|2.059|2.059|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|67.76|70.76|74.61|77.41|78.22|**78.77**|78.90|
|**IMR**- BOTHSEXES|36.3|22.2|13.8|8.4|7.3|6.6|6.5|
128

|PERU||Pro|jection<br>(000|s)<br>with NRR=|1 by 2010|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|................................|.........|...............................................|.........||||"..............................|..............................................|..........|
|TOTALN+F<br>19383|21627|24063|26456|<br>28724|<br>30728|<br>32643|<br>34551|<br>36377|<br>38036|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1482|1455|<br>1565|1562|<br>1524|<br>1433|<br>1436|<br>1489|<br>1512|<br>1501|
|5-9<br>1283|1439|<br>1425|1542|<br>1547|<br>151C|<br>1422|<br>1426|<br>1480|<br>1503|
|10-14<br>1168|1274|<br>1432|1419|<br>1538|<br>1543|<br>1506|<br>1419|<br>1423|<br>1477|
|15-19<br>1045|<br>1159|<br>1266|1424|<br>1413|<br>1532|<br>1537|<br>1502|<br>1414|<br>1419|
|20-24<br>918|<br>1033|<br>1147|<br>1255|<br>1414|<br>1404|<br>1523|<br>1529|<br>1494|<br>1408|
|25-29<br>764|905|1020|<br>1135|<br>1244|<br>1402|<br>1394|<br>1512|<br>1519|<br>1485|
|30-34<br>636|751|892|1008|<br>1123|<br>1232|<br>1390|<br>1383|<br>1501|<br>1509|
|35-39<br>513|624|739|879|995|<br>1110|<br>1219|<br>1377|<br>1370|<br>1489|
|40-44<br>422|501|611|725|865|979|1094|<br>1203|<br>1360|<br>1355|
|45-49<br>363|409|487|595|708|846|959|1073|<br>1181|<br>1337|
|50-54<br>304|348|3:13|<br>4.9|575|685|819|930|1042|<br>1149|
|55.59<br>239|285|32.|371|444|546|652|780|888|<br>997|
|60-64<br>182|217|260|300|342|410|505|604|725|<br>827|
|65-69<br>134|157|189|228|265|303|364|449|538|<br>S47|
|70-74<br>95|106|126|153|<br>186|_217_|<br>249|299|370|<br>445|
|75+<br>84|100|116|139|171|210|252|296|356|<br>438|
|TOTAL<br>9632|10764|11995|<br>13207|<br>14353|<br>15362|<br>16321|<br>17271|<br>18174|<br>18987|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1469|1402|1504|1499|<br>1460|<br>1374|<br>1377|1428|<br>1450|<br>1441|
|5-9<br>1277|1431|1374|1483|<br>1486|<br>1449|<br>1365|1369|<br>1421|<br>1444|
|10-14<br>1163|1269|1424|1370|<br>1480|<br>1483|<br>1446|1363|<br>1367|<br>1419|
|15-19<br>1043|1155|1262|1418|<br>1366|<br>1476|<br>1479|1443|<br>1360|<br>1365|
|20-24<br>919|1033|1146|1254|1410|<br>1359|<br>1470|1474|<br>1439|<br>1356|
|25-29<br>766|907|1022|1136|1244|<br>1401|<br>1351|1462|<br>1467|<br>1433|
|30-34<br>638|756|897|1012|<br>1126|<br>1235|<br>1392|1343|<br>1455|<br>1461|
|35-39<br>518|<br>629|<br>746|<br>886|<br>1002|<br>1115|<br>1225|<br>1382|<br>1334|<br>1447|
|40-44<br>429|<br>509|<br>619|<br>735|<br>875|<br>990|<br>1104|<br>1213|<br>1370|<br>1325|
|45-49<br>372|420|499|608|724|862|977|1090|<br>1199|<br>1356|
|50-54<br>317|<br>362|<br>409|<br>487|<br>595|<br>708|<br>845|<br>959|<br>1071|<br>1180|
|55-59<br>255|<br>305|<br>348|<br>395|<br>471|<br>576|<br>688|<br>822|<br>934|<br>1045|
|60-64<br>200|<br>240|<br>287|<br>330|<br>375|<br>448|<br>550|<br>658|<br>788|<br>897|
|65-69<br>155|<br>181|<br>217|<br>262|<br>302|<br>345|<br>414|<br>509|<br>611|<br>735|
|70-74<br>115|<br>129|<br>152|<br>184|<br>224|<br>260|<br>298|<br>360|<br>445|<br>537|
|75+<br>115<br> <br>|<br>137<br>|<br>159<br>|<br>190|<br>231|<br>285|<br>342|<br>405|<br>491|<br>608|
|TOTAL<br>9751|10863|12067|13250|<br>14371|<br>15366|<br>16323|<br>17280|<br>18203|<br>19050|
|BIRTH RATE|31.1|29.4|26.1|23.0|19.9|18.7|18.2|174|164|
|DEATH RATE|8.9|7.9|7.0|<br>6.4|<br>6.4|<br>6.6|<br>6.8|.<br>7.1|.<br>7.4|
|RATEOF NAT. INC.|2.21|2.15|1.91|1.65|1.35|1.21|1.14|1.03|.89|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-. 2|-. 1|-.1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.19|2.13|1.90|1.64|1.35|1.21|1.14|1.03|.89|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.055|3.582|3.101|2.684|2.323|2.193|2.176|<br>2.160|2.144|
|NRR|1.681|1.534|1.363|1.206|1.051|1.000|1.000|<br>1.000|1.000|
|e(O)-BOTH SEXES|6143|6383|6602|6795||||||
||.|.|.|.|68.77|69.59|70.44|71.30|72.17|
|e(10) BOTH SEXES|60.31|61.20|61.90|62.71|63.16|63.62|64.09|64.56|65.05|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|88.0|75.8|63.7|52.7|48.3|44.0|39.6|35.3|30.9|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1218|.1001|.0806|.0640|.0586|.0533|.0480|.0426|.0372|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>78.8|<br>72.4|<br>67.3|<br>61.1|<br>56.|<br>9<br>51.2|<br> <br>47.2|<br> <br>45.|<br>5<br>46.|0<br>47.2|
129 PERU ...w...................... .........

# ProJection (000s) with NRR"l by 2010

Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUJP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>;125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|........................................||.....................|.......................................|....................||||
|TOTAL<br>N.F<br>19383|<br>26456|<br>36377|<br>42667|<br>44749|<br>45391|<br>45704|<br>45829|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1482|<br>1562|<br>1512|<br>1474|<br>1470|<br>1472|<br>1474|<br>1474|
|5-9<br>1283|<br>1542|<br>1480|<br>1459|<br>1465|<br>1471|<br>1472|<br>1473|
|10-14<br>1168|<br>1419|<br>1423|<br>1453|<br>1466|<br>1471|<br>1472|<br>1471|
|15-19<br>1045|<br>1424|<br>1414|<br>1465|<br>1470|<br>1470|<br>1469|<br>1469|
|20-24<br>918|<br>1255|<br>1494|<br>1484|<br>1468|<br>1465|<br>1465|<br>1466|
|25-29<br>764|1135|<br>1519|<br>1486|<br>1459|<br>1457|<br>1461|<br>1463|
|70-34<br>636|<br>1008|<br>150:|<br>1455|<br>1443|<br>1451|<br>1458|<br>1460|
|35-39<br>513|<br>879|<br>137(|<br>1393|<br>1433|<br>1449|<br>1455|<br>1456|
|40-44<br>422|<br>725|<br>1160|<br>1375|<br>1438|<br>1447|<br>1449|<br>1449|
|45-49<br>363|<br>595|<br>1181|<br>1437|<br>1446|<br>1435|<br>1434|<br>1436|
|50-54<br>304|<br>469|<br>1042|<br>1433|<br>1425|<br>1405|<br>1407|<br>1412|
|55-59<br>239|<br>371|<br>8B8|<br>1367|<br>1352|<br>1350|<br>1363|<br>1371|
|60-64<br>182|<br>300|<br>725|<br>1173|<br>1223|<br>1271|<br>1293|<br>1300|
|65-69<br>134|<br>228|<br>538|<br>1052|<br>1097|<br>1166|<br>S183|<br>1187|
|70-74<br>95|<br>153|<br>370|<br>773|<br>978|<br>1006|<br>1011|<br>1014|
|75+<br>84|<br>139|<br>356|<br>903|1445|<br>1537|<br>1581|<br>1602|
|TOTAL<br>9632|<br>13207|<br>18174|<br>21181|<br>2:076|<br>22321|<br>2244|6<br>22504|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1469|<br>1499|<br>1450|<br>1416|<br>1411|<br>1412|<br>1413|<br>1413|
|5.9<br>1277|<br>1483|<br>1421|<br>1404|<br>1409|<br>1412|<br>1413|<br>1413|
|10-14<br>1163|<br>1370|<br>1367|<br>1399|<br>1412|<br>1414|<br>1413|<br>1413|
|15-19<br>1043|<br>1418|<br>1360|<br>1411|<br>1418|<br>1415|<br>1413|<br>1412|
|20-24<br>919|<br>1254|<br>1439|<br>1432|<br>1419|<br>1413|<br>1412|<br>1412|
|25-29<br>766|<br>1136|<br>1467|<br>1437|<br>1413|<br>1409|<br>1411|<br>1412|
|30-34<br>638|<br>1012|<br>1455|<br>1410|<br>1400|<br>1407|<br>1411|<br>1412|
|35-39<br>518|<br>886|<br>1334|<br>1352|<br>1394|<br>1409|<br>1412|<br>1411|
|40-44<br>429|- 735|1370|<br>1338|<br>1403|<br>1412|<br>1411|<br>1410|
|45-49<br>37n|608|1199|<br>1407|<br>1419|<br>1410|<br>1406|<br>1405|
|50-54<br>317|487|1071|<br>1420|<br>1413|<br>1396|<br>1395|<br>1397|
|55-59<br>255|395|934|1383|<br>1367|<br>1368|<br>1379|<br>1385|
|60-64<br>200|330|788|1232|<br>1280|<br>1334|<br>1357|<br>1362|
|65-69<br>155|<br>262|611|1197|<br>1210|<br>1292|<br>1313|<br>1315|
|70-74<br>115|184|445|943|1162|<br>1207|<br>1217|<br>1220|
|75+<br>115|<br>190|491|1305|<br>2142|<br>2360|<br>2483|<br>2532|
|TOTAL<br>9751|13250|<br>18203|<br>21486|<br>22672|<br>23070|<br>23258|<br>23324|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|28.7|l°.'3|14.9|13.2|12.9|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.9|6.7|8.5|11.4|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 2|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|OROUTH<br>RATE|2.07|1.27|.64|.19|.06|.03|.01|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|3.529|2.294|2.112|2.064|2.061|2.059|2.059|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|63.92|69.71|74.04|77.16|78.09|78.72|78.88|
|[-<br>BOTH SEXES|75.7|44.0|22.3|8.7|7.5|6.7|6.5|
I -t

|UOL'wAY<br>. . . . . .<br>.. . .. .|.<br>.. . . .|Proje<br> . . . . . .|ction (0W0s<br> . . .<br>.. .|)<br>.|with NRR=<br>. . . . .|1 by 2000<br> .<br>..<br>.. .|.. . . . .|. . . . . .|. . ....<br>I..|...........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE_CROUP_<br>1985|1990|1995|.W||2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.................................................|...........................|............................|..........................||||||||
|TOTALM.F<br>2940|3051|3154|3250||3348|3446|3543|3636|3722|<br>3800|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>137|<br>140|<br>134|129||130|134|135|134|<br>133|<br>132|
|_5i _<br>134|135|138|134||129|130|133|135|<br>134|<br>132|
|10-14<br>131|133|134|138||133|129|129|133|<br>135|<br>134|
|'5-19<br>120|130|132|134||138|133|128|129|<br>133|<br>134|
|20-24<br>121|118|128|131||133|137|132|128|<br>129|<br>132|
|25-29<br>107|118|116|127||130|132|136|132|<br>127|<br>128|
|30-34<br>92|105|<br>117|115||126|129|132|135|<br>131|<br>127|
|3F-39<br>85|90|103|115||114|125|128|131|<br>135|<br>130|
|4L-44<br>81|83|88|102||114|113|124|127|<br>130|<br>134|
|45-49<br>81|79|<br>81|86||100|112|111|122|<br>125|<br>128|
|50-54<br>81|78|76|78||84|97|<br>109|108|<br>119|<br>122|
|55-59<br>76|76|74|72||75|80|93|104|<br>104|<br>114|
|60-64<br>64|<br>69|<br>70|68||67|<br>69|<br>74|<br>86|<br>97|<br>97|
|65-69<br>50|<br>56|<br>61|61||60|59|<br>61|<br>66|<br>77|<br>87|
|70-74<br>40|40|45|49||50|49|48|50|54|64|
|75.<br>46|<br>49|<br>51|56||62|<br>65|<br>67|<br>6a|<br>70|<br>75|
|TOTAL<br>1446|<br>1499|<br>1549|1595||1643|1693|1742|<br>1789|<br>1831|<br>1869|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>132|134|129|124||125|128|129|129|<br>127|<br>126|
|5-9<br>130|<br>130|<br>133|128||124|124|128|129|<br>129|<br>127|
|10-14<br>127|<br>129|<br>130|133||128|124|124|128|129|<br>129|
|15-19<br>116|126|128|130||133|128|123|124|<br>128|<br>129|
|20-24<br>118|115|125|128||129|133|128|123|124|<br>128|
|25-29<br>106|117|114|125||128|129|132|128|123|<br>124|
|30-34<br>92|105|<br>116|113||124|128|129|132|<br>128|<br>123|
|35-39<br>88|91|104|115||113|124|127|129|<br>132|<br>127|
|40-44<br>83|<br>87|<br>90|104||114|<br>112|<br>124|<br>127|<br>128|<br>132|
|45-49<br>83|<br>82|<br>86|89||103|<br>114|<br>112|<br>123|<br>126|<br>128|
|50-54<br>85|<br>81|<br>80|85||88|<br>101|<br>112|<br>110|<br>121|<br>125|
|55-59<br>83|<br>82|<br>79|79||83|86|<br>99|<br>110|<br>10B|<br>119|
|60-64<br>71|<br>79|<br>79|76||76|<br>80|<br>83|<br>96|<br>107|<br>105|
|65-69<br>58|<br>66|<br>74|74||71|<br>71|<br>75|<br>79|<br>91|<br>101|
|70-74<br>52|<br>50|<br>58|65||65|64|<br>64|<br>67|<br>71|<br>82|
|75+<br>71|<br>78|<br>81|89||100|<br>107|<br>111|<br>113|<br>118|<br>125|
|TOTAL<br>1494|<br>1552|<br>1606|<br>1655||1704|<br>1753|<br>1801|<br>1848|<br>1891|<br>1930|
|BIRTH RATE|18.9|17.4|16.2||15.7|15.7|15.4|14.9|14.t|13.9|
|DEATH RATE|10.4|10.1|9.9||9.8|9.9|9.8|9.7|9.6|9.8|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|.85|.73|.63||.59|.58|.56|.52|.47|.41|
|WET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.1|-.6|-.3||.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.74|.67|.60||.59|.58|.56|.52|.47|.41|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.610|2.381|2.172||2.094|2.090|2.087|2.084|2.080|.077|
|NRR|1.226|1.125|1.032||1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.0C0|.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|71.08|72.14|73.08||73.91|74.30|74.70|75.11|75.52.|75.n3|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|63.62|64.31|64.89||65.41|65.73|66.05|66.38|68.71|4.04|
|IFR- BOTH SEXES|27.0|23.1|19.5||16.3|15.4|14.6|13J7|12.8|11.9|
|q(5) - BOTH ScXES|.0323|.0273|.0226||.0187|.0177|.0166|.0156|,0146|.0135|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>60.3|<br>59.6|<br>58.7|57.0||54.2|52.3|<br> <br>51.5|<br> <br>51.2|<br> <br>51.7|<br>52.9|
131 URUGUAY Projection (0008) with NRR-1 by 2000 Sumary ;or 25 Year Periods

|,<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2000|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>....<br>2025|**.**<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>......<br>2050|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2075|.<br>.<br>.<br>....<br> <br>2100|2125|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MrF<br>2940|3250|3722|4012|4087|4114|4127|4133|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>137|129|133|133|133|133|133|133|
|5-9<br>134|134|134|133|133|132|133|133|
|10-14<br>131|138|135|133|132|132|132|132|
|15-19<br>120|<br>134|<br>133|<br>131|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|
|20-24<br>121|<br>131|<br>129|<br>131|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|
|25-29<br>107|<br>127|<br>127|<br>131|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|
|30-34<br>92|115|<br>131|<br>132|<br>132|<br>131|<br>131|<br>131|
|35-39<br>85|115|<br>135|<br>132|<br>131|<br>131|<br>131|<br>131|
|40-44<br>81|102|<br>130|<br>130|<br>129|<br>130|<br>130|<br>131|
|45-49<br>81|86|125|<br>125|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|50-54<br>81|78|119|<br>121|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|55-59<br>76|72|<br>104|<br>121|<br>124|<br>124|<br>124|<br>124|
|60-64<br>64|68|97|<br>117|<br>117|<br>117|<br>117|<br>117|
|65-69<br>50|61|77|<br>102|<br>105|<br>106|<br>106|<br>107|
|70-74<br>40|49|54|<br>84|<br>87|<br>90|<br>91|<br>92|
|75+<br>46|56|70|<br>113|<br>135|<br>142|<br>145|<br>146|
|TOTAL<br>1446|<br>1595|<br>1831|<br>1970|<br>2007|<br>2019|<br>2026|<br>2029|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>132|<br>124|<br>127|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|5-9<br>130|<br>128|<br>129|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|10-14<br>127|<br>133|<br>129|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|15-19<br>116|<br>130|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|20-24<br>118|<br>128|<br>124|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|25-29<br>106|<br>125|<br>123|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|30-34<br>92|113|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|35-39<br>88|115|<br>132|<br>129|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|40-44<br>83|104|<br>128|<br>127|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|
|45-49<br>83|89|<br>126|<br>123|<br>125|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|
|50-54<br>85|85|121|<br>121|<br>125|<br>126|<br>126|<br>126|
|55-59<br>83|79|<br>108|<br>124|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|<br>125|
|60-64<br>71|76|107|125|124|123|122|123|
|65-69<br>58|74|91|116|117|117|118|118|
|70-74<br>52|65|71|105|105|108|110|110|
|75+<br>71|89|118|181|215|225|230|231|
|TOTAL<br>1494|1655|1891|2042|2081|2095|2101|2104|
|BIRTH RATE|17.5|15.2|13.5|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.1|9.8|10.5|12.1|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTNRATE|.67|.54|.30|.07|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.381|2.087|2.070|2.060|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.12|74.73|76.80|78.26|78.66|78.92|78.99|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|23.3|14.6|10.2|7.4|6.8|6.5|6.4|
# NONBORROWERS

(LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN)
13-.

CUBA Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2030

|...<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>AC0GROUP<br>1985|..<br>..<br>.**.**<br>.<br> <br>..<br>.<br>..<br>..<br>1990|<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>.<br>1995|.<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>.<br>2000|.<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>.<br>2005|.<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>2010|..<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>2015|..<br>..<br>......<br>20:!0|..<br>..<br>..<br> <br>2025|..<br>..<br>..<br>..<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>10090|10600|<br>li1o|11600|<br>12017|<br>12349|<br>12636|<br>12895|<br>13112|<br>13270|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>370|451|460|456|427|<br>403|<br>402|<br>415|<br>427|<br>428|
|S. '<br>398|367|448|458|454|<br>426|<br>402|<br>401|<br>415|<br>426|
|10-14<br>554|396|365|446|<br>456|<br>453|<br>425|<br>402|<br>401|<br>414|
|15-19<br>597|552|394|363|<br>445|<br>455|<br>452|<br>425|<br>401|<br>401|
|20-24<br>571|592|547|390|<br>360|<br>442|<br>453|<br>451|<br>424|<br>400|
|25-29<br>382|565|586|542|387|358|440|452|450|423|
|30-34<br>359|377|560|581|538|384|356|439|451|449|
|35-39<br>341|354|373|556|578|535|382|355|438|450|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>311|<br>337|<br>350|<br>369|<br>552|<br>574|<br>532|<br>380|<br>353|436|
|45-49<br>270|307|333|346|365|546|568|527|377|350|
|50-54<br>214|263|300|326|339|358|536|558|518|370|
|55-59<br>194|205|253|289|<br>314|<br>328|<br>346|<br>518|<br>540|<br>501|
|60-64<br>161|181|193|<br>238|<br>272|<br>296|<br>309|326|489|510|
|65-69<br>143|145|164|174|216|246|269|280|296|445|
|70-74<br>116|120|122|138|148|183|210|229|239|253|
|75-o<br>150|161|171|178|195|211|246|284|319|345|
|TOTAL<br>5130|5374|5618|5851|6046|6198|6328|6444|6537|6600|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>355|428|436|432|405|382|381|394|405|<br>407|
|5-9<br>382|352|425|434|431|404|382|381|394|<br>405|
|10-14<br>531|380|350|424|433|430|404|381|381|<br>394|
|15-19<br>571|529|378|348|422|432|429|404|381|<br>381|
|20-24<br>544|567|525|374|346|421|431|429|403|<br>381|
|25-29<br>367|538|561|520|371|344|<br>419|431|429|<br>403|
|30-34<br>349|363|534|558|518|370|343|419|431|<br>429|
|35-39<br>333|345|359|531|556|516|369|342|419|<br>430|
|40-44<br>303|330|343|357|529|554|515|368|341|<br>418|
|45-49<br>264|300|328|340|355|526|551|513|366|<br>340|
|50-54<br>212|260|296|324|337|352|522|547|509|<br>364|
|55-59<br>193|208|256|291|319|332|347|515|540|<br>503|
|60-64<br>161|186|-<br>201|249|284|312|325|340|504|<br>529|
|65-69<br>139|151|176|191|237|272|298|311|326|<br>483|
|70-74<br>113|123|135|159|174|217|248|273|285|<br>299|
|75+<br>143<br> <br>|166|189|215|253|288|344|403|460|<br>504|
|TOTAL<br>4960|5226|5492|5750|5971|6150|<br>6308|<br>6451|<br>6574|<br>6670|
|BIRTHRATE|17.3|16.8|15.8|14.3|13.0|12.7|12.8|12.9|12.8|
|DEATH RATE|6.5|6.4|6.5|6.7|7.2|7.9|8.7|9.6|10.4|
|RATE OF MAT.INC.|1.08|1.03|.93|.76|.58|.48|.41|.33|.24|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-1.0|-. 9|-. 7|-. 5|-.3|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|
|GROwTH<br>RATE|.99|.94|.86|.71|.55|.46|.41|.33|.24|
|TOTALFERTILITY|1.850|1.850|1.850|1.886|1.922|1.957|1.991|2.025|2.058|
|NRR|.885|.887|.889|.908|.925|.943|.960|.977|.993|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|75.46|76.26|76.89|77.38|77.51|77.65|77.78|77.92|78.05|
|e(10)<br>BOTH SEXES|66.60|67.21|67.71|68.12|68.24|68.36|68.48|68.60|68.72|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|13.3|11.1|9.6|8.7|8.5|8.3|8.0|7.8|7.6|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0144|.0119|0103|0092|0090|0088|0086|0084|0082|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.7|<br> <br>44.0|<br> <br>44.9|.<br> <br>47.|.<br>0<br>46.|.<br>8<br>46.|.<br>4<br>46.|.<br>5<br>47.|.<br>5<br>49.|.<br>6<br>56.7|
135 Projectfon (000s) with NRR-l by 2030' CUBA

# Sumnary for 25 Year Periods

|~~~~**...**<br>.. .. .. .......................<br>....|......<br>...........|....................||....<br>......<br>.|...<br>......<br>*.....|...............|.....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|<br>2100|2125|2150|
|. ..<br>.........<br>...............|.......<br>...|..........|........................................|||||
|TOTAL14+F<br>10090|11600|13112|13150|12972|12955|12957|<br>12960|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>370|456|427|417|416|417|417|417|
|5-9<br>398|458|415|412|415|417|417|417|
|10-14<br>554|446|401|412|417|417|417|417|
|15-19<br>597|363|401|419|419|417|416|416|
|20-24<br>571|<br>390|424|<br>426|<br>418|<br>415|<br>415|<br>415|
|25-29<br>382|<br>542|450|<br>424|<br>414|<br>413|<br>-<br>414|<br>414|
|30-34<br>359|<br>581|451|<br>411|<br>409|<br>412|<br>413|<br>414|
|35-39<br>341|<br>556|<br>438|<br>397|<br>407|<br>412|<br>413|<br>413|
|40-44<br>311|<br>369|353|<br>395|<br>413|<br>413|<br>411|<br>411|
|45-49<br>270|<br>346|377|<br>415|<br>418|<br>410|<br>407|<br>407|
|50-54<br>214|<br>326|518|<br>434|<br>410|<br>400|<br>400|<br>400|
|55-59<br>194|<br>289|<br>540|<br>423|<br>387|<br>385|<br>388|<br>389|
|60-64<br>161|<br>238|<br>489|<br>390|<br>355|<br>365|<br>369|<br>370|
|65-69<br>143|174|296|288|324|339|339|338|
|70-74<br>116|138|239|264|293|296|291|289|
|75+<br>150|178|319|565|487|461|458|459|
|TOTAL<br>5130|5851|6537|6492|6401|6388|6386|6386|
|FEMALES||||||||
|P-4<br>355|<br>432|<br>405|<br>397|<br>396|<br>397|<br>397|<br>397|
|5-9<br>382|434|394|393|396|397|397|397|
|10-14<br>531|424|381|392|397|398|398|397|
|15-19<br>571|348|381|399|400|398|397|397|
|20-24<br>544|<br>374|<br>403|<br>407|<br>400|<br>397|<br>397|<br>397|
|25-29<br>367|520|429|405|397|396|397|397|
|30-34<br>349|558|431|393|392|395|397|397|
|35-39<br>333|531|419|380|391|397|397|397|
|40-44<br>303|<br>- 357|<br>341|<br>380|<br>398|<br>399|<br>397|<br>396|
|45-49<br>264|340|366|401|405|398|396|395|
|50-54<br>212|324|509|424|401|393|392|393|
|55-59<br>193|291|540|421|386|385|388|390|
|60-64<br>161|249|504|401|366|378|383|384|
|65-69<br>139|191|326|315|353|371|372|371|
|70-74<br>113|159|285|313|346|351|347|345|
|75+<br>143|215|460|838|747|716|719|722|
|TOTAL<br>4960|5750|6574|6659|6571|6566|6572|6574|
|BIRTH RATE|16.6|13.1|12.4|12.6|12.7|12.7|.2.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.5|8.1|12.3|13.1.|12.7|12.7|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 9|-.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.93|.49|.01|-. 05|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.883|1.955|2.067|2.066|2.066|2.065|2.065|
|etO)- BOTH SEXES|76.22|77.65|78.33|78.80|78.93|79.01|79.03|
|<br>IHR- BOTH SEXES|11.3|8.2|7.2|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
136

|GUADELOPE||Projection(000s)<br>w|<br>ith NRR=1 by|1990|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROWP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALM+F<br>334|339|347<br>356|365|376|390|402|413|<br>423|
|KALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>17|16|<br>16<br>15|14|14|14|15|<br>15|<br>14|
|5-9<br>13|16|16<br>15|15|14|14|14|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>18|<br>12|<br>16<br>16|15|15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|
|15-19<br>20|<br>17|<br>12<br>15|15|15|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>18|<br>19|<br>16<br>11|15|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>14|<br>16|<br>17<br>15|11|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>14|
|30-34<br>10|<br>13|<br>15<br>16|15|10|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>10|<br>9|<br>12<br>14|16|15|<br>10|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>8|<br>9|<br>8<br>11|14|16|<br>14|<br>10|<br>14|<br>15|
|45-49<br>7|<br>7|<br>9<br>8|11|14|<br>16|<br>14|<br>10|<br>14|
|50-54<br>6|<br>7|<br>7<br>8|8|10|<br>13|<br>15|<br>14|<br>10|
|55-59<br>6|<br>6|<br>6<br>7|8|7|<br>10|<br>13|<br>15|<br>13|
|60-64<br>5|<br>5|<br>5<br>6|6|7|<br>7|<br>9|<br>12|<br>14|
|65-69<br>4|<br>4|<br>5<br>5|5|6|<br>7|<br>6|<br>8|<br>11|
|70-74<br>3|<br>3|<br>4<br>4|4|4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>7|
|75+<br>4|4|<br>4<br>5|5|5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|TOTAL<br>163|<br>165|<br>168<br>_172_|176|182|<br>189|<br>196|<br>202|<br>206|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>17|<br>16|<br>15<br>14|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>12|<br>16|<br>15<br>15|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|10-14<br>17|<br>12|<br>16<br>15|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|15-19<br>19|<br>17|<br>11<br>16|15|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>18|<br>18|<br>16<br>11|15|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>13|<br>17|<br>17<br>15|10|15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|30-34<br>11|<br>12|<br>16<br>17|15|10|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|35-39<br>11|<br>10|<br>12<br>16|16|14|<br>10|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|
|40-44<br>9|<br>11|<br>10<br>11|16|16|<br>14|<br>10|<br>15|<br>14|
|45-49<br>8|<br>9|<br>10<br>10|11|15|<br>16|<br>14|<br>10|<br>15|
|50-54<br>7|<br>8|<br>9<br>10|10|11|<br>15|<br>16|<br>14|<br>10|
|55-59<br>7|<br>7|<br>8<br>8|10|10|<br>11|<br>15|<br>16|<br>14|
|60-64<br>6|<br>7|<br>-<br>7<br>7|8|10|<br>9|<br>11|<br>15|<br>15|
|65-69<br>5|<br>6|<br>6<br>6|7|8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>14|
|70-74<br>4|<br>4|<br>5<br>6|6|6|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>9|
|75+<br>6|6|7<br>8|9|9|10|12|13|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>171|<br>175|<br>179<br>184|189|194|<br>201|<br>207|<br>212|<br>216|
|BIRTH RATE|20.0|18.5<br>17.3<br>|15.9<br>|15.2|14.9|14.6|14.2|13.7|
|DEATH RATE|7.3|7.2<br>7.2|7.3|7.6|7.9|8.2|8.7|9.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.27|1.13<br>1.01|.86|.76|.71|.64|.55|.44|
|NET MIGRATIOM<br>RATE|-9.5|-7.0<br>-5.1<br>|-3.3<br>-|1.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.32|.43<br>.50|.52|.60|.71|.64|.55|.44|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.240|2.083<br>2.078<br>2|.074<br>2|.073|2.071|2.070|2.068|2.067|
|NRR|1.071|1.000<br>1.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|73.37|74.20<br>74.92<br>7|5.55<br>7|5.82|76.09|76.37|76.65|76.94|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|64.73|65.30<br>65.86<br>6|6.37<br>6|6.63|66.89|67.15|67.41|67.68|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES<br>|15.0|12.2<br>10.4|9.2|9.0|8.8|8.6|8.4|8.2|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0171|.0137<br>.0116<br>.0|102<br>.0|100|.0097|.0095|.0092|.0090|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>56.3|<br>52.4|<br>55.7<br>52.4|<br>49.9|<br>48.3|<br> <br>48.4|<br> <br>48.3|<br> <br>49.9|<br>54.0|
137

# GUADELUPE

Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 1990 Summary for 25 Year Periods

|,..._....................................................................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1985|................................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................................................................|..............................|||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>334|356|413|440|447|449|450|<br>450|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17|15|15|15|14|14|14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>13|15|15|14|14|14|14|14|
|10-14<br>18|16|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|15-19<br>20|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>18|<br>11|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|30-34<br>10|<br>16|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|35-39<br>10|<br>14|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|40-44<br>8|11|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|45-49<br>7|8|10|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|50-54<br>6|8|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|55-59<br>6|7|15|14|14|13|13|<br>13|
|60-64<br>5|6|12|13|13|13|13|<br>13|
|65-69<br>4|5|<br>8|11|11|12|12|<br>12|
|70-74<br>3|4|5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|75+<br>4|5|7|14|15|16|16|<br>16|
|TOTAL<br>163|172|202|216|220|221|221|<br>221|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17|14|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>12|15|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|10-14<br>17|15|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|15-19<br>19|16|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>18|11|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>13|15|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|30-34<br>11|17|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|35-39<br>11|16|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|40-44<br>9|-<br>11|<br>15|13|14|14|14|<br>14|
|45-49<br>8|10|10|13|14|14|14|<br>14|
|50-54<br>7|10|14|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|55-59<br>7|8|16|14|14|14|14|<br>14|
|60-64<br>6|7|15|14|13|13<br>|13<br>|<br>13<br> <br>|
|65-69<br>5|6|10|14|13|13|13|<br>13|
|70-74<br>4|6|8|8|12|12|12|<br>12|
|75+<br>6|8|13|23|24|25|25|<br>25|
|TOTAL<br>171|<br>184|<br>212|<br>224|<br>227|<br>229|<br>229|<br>229|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|18.6|15.0|13.2|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.2|8.0|10.8|12.2.|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-7.2|-. 9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.42|.60|.25|.06|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.136|2.071|2.064|2.060|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|74.17|76.11|77.53|78.53|78.79|78.96|79.00|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|12.6|8.8|7.7|7.0|6.6|6.4|6.3|
138

|KARTINIGUE<br>....................................................................................................|..............................|Projectiont000|s)<br>withNRR-1by|2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995<br>2l00|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALM*F<br>328|330|336<br>343|<br>349|356|366|376|386|<br>393|
|HALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>15|15|16<br>14|<br>13|12|13|13|14|<br>13|
|5-9<br>11|14|14<br>15|<br>14|13|12|13|13|<br>14|
|10-14<br>15|10|<br>14<br>14|<br>15|14|<br>13|<br>12|13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|14|10<br>13|<br>14|15|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>13|
|20-24<br>19|18|13<br>9|<br>13|13|<br>15|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|
|25-29<br>15|17|16<br>12|<br>9|13|13|15|14|<br>13|
|30-34<br>10|14|16<br>15|<br>12|8|12|13|15|<br>14|
|35-39<br>9|9|13<br>15|<br>15|12|8|12|13|<br>15|
|40-44<br>8|8|8<br>12|<br>15|15|12|8|12|<br>13|
|45-49<br>7|7|8<br>8|<br>12|15|<br>15|<br>11|<br>8|<br>12|
|50-54<br>7|7|7<br>7|<br>8|12|<br>15|<br>14|<br>11|<br>8|
|55-59<br>6|7|6<br>7|<br>7|7|<br>11|<br>14|<br>14|<br>11|
|60-64<br>6|5|6<br>6|<br>6|7|<br>7|11|13|<br>13|
|65-69<br>5|5|5<br>5|<br>5|6|6|<br>6|<br>10|<br>12|
|70-74<br>4|4|4<br>4|<br>5|4|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>8|
|75.<br>5|5|6<br>6|<br>6|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>159|159|<br>162<br>165|<br>168|172|<br>177|<br>182|<br>188|<br>191|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>14|14|15<br>14|<br>12|12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|5-9<br>11|13|13<br>14|<br>13|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>15|10|13<br>13|<br>14|13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|14|10<br>12|<br>13|14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>19|18|14<br>9|<br>12|13|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>14|18|17<br>13|<br>9|12|<br>13|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|
|30-34<br>11|13|17<br>16|<br>13|9|12|<br>13|<br>14|<br>13|
|35-39<br>10|10|13<br>17|<br>16|12|<br>9|<br>12|<br>13|<br>14|
|40-44<br>9|10|10<br>12|<br>16|16|<br>12|<br>9|<br>12|<br>13|
|45-49<br>8|9|9<br>10|<br>12|16|<br>16|<br>12|<br>9|<br>12|
|50-54<br>8|8|9<br>9|<br>10|12|<br>16|<br>16|<br>12|<br>9|
|55-59<br>7|8|8<br>8|<br>9|10|<br>12|<br>16|<br>16|<br>12|
|60-64<br>7|7|-<br>7<br>7|<br>8|9|9|<br>12|<br>16|<br>15|
|65-69<br>6|6|6<br>7|<br>7|8|8|<br>9|<br>11|<br>15|
|70-74<br>4|5|6<br>6|<br>6|6|7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>10|
|75+<br>8|7|8<br>9|<br>10|11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>13|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>169|171|<br>175<br>178|<br>181|184|<br>189|<br>194|<br>198|<br>201|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|18.2|19.0<br>17.1|15.0<br>|14.0|14.0|14.3|14.1|13.5|
|DEATH RATE|8.4|8.1<br>8.0|8.0|8.2|8.5|8.7|9.1|9.7|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|.98|1.09<br>.91|.69|.58|.55|.55|.49|.38|
|NETMIGRATIONRATE<br>|-8.5|-7.2<br>-5.3|-3.5<br>|-1.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.13|.37<br>.38|.35|.41|.55|.55|.49|.38|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2|.080|2.080<br>2.080|2.075<br>2|.075|2.073|2.071|2.068|2.066|
|NRR<br>|.995|.999<br>1.001|1.002<br>1|.002|1.001|1.001|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES<br>7|4.22|75.14<br>75.92|76.52<br>7|6.72|76.93|77.13|77.34|77.54|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|5.40|66.20<br>66.86|67.38<br>6|7.55|67.73|67.91|68.09|68.28|
|INR- BOTH SEXES<br>|13.0|11.7<br>10.4|9.3|9.1|8.8|8.6|8.3|8.0|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES<br>0|147|0131<br>0116|0103<br>|0100|0097|0094|0091|0088|
|<br>.<br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.8|<br>50.3|.<br>.<br>55.0<br>55.1|.<br>.<br> <br>52.8|<br>49.2|.<br> <br>47.5|.<br> <br>48.0|.<br> <br>52.1|.<br> <br>58.9|
139 Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2030 MARTINIQUE Summary for 25 Year Periods

|,........................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|.................................<br> <br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....<br>.............<br>__...............|...................................|......................................|........|||||
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>328|<br>343|<br>386|<br>401|<br>407|<br>408|<br>409|<br>409|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|5-9<br>11|<br>15|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>15|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|<br>13|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|20-24<br>19|<br>9|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|25-29<br>15|<br>12|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|30-34<br>10|<br>15|<br>15|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|35-39<br>9|1S|<br>13|13|13|13|13|<br>13|
|40-44<br>8|12|12|12|13|13|13|<br>13|
|45-49<br>7|8|8|12|13|13|13|<br>13|
|50-54<br>7|<br>7|11|13|13|13|13|<br>13|
|55-59<br>6|7|14|14|12|12|12|<br>12|
|60-64<br>6|<br>6|<br>13|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|
|65-69<br>5|<br>5|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|
|70-74<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|75+<br>5|6|7|13|15|15|14|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>159|<br>165|<br>188|<br>197|<br>200|<br>201|<br>201|<br>201|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>14|14|13|13|13|13|13|<br>3|
|5-9<br>11|14|13|13|13|13|13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>15|13|12|12|13|13|13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|12|12|12|13|13|13|<br>13|
|20-24<br>19|<br>9|12|13|13|<br>13|13|<br>13|
|25-29<br>14|13|13|13|13|13|13|<br>13|
|30-34<br>11|16|14|13|12|13|13|<br>13|
|35-39<br>10|17|13|12|12|13|13|<br>13|
|40-44<br>9|<br>-<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|45-49<br>8|10|9|12|13|13|13|<br>13|
|50-54<br>8|9|12|13|13|13|12|<br>12|
|55-59<br>7|8|16|14|13|12|12|<br>12|
|60-64<br>7|<br>7|<br>16|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|65-69<br>6|7|11|11|11|12|12|<br>12|
|70-74<br>4|6|8|7|10|11|11|<br>11|
|75+<br>8|9|13|22|23|23|23|<br>23|
|TOTAL<br>169|178|198|<br>204|207|<br>208|208|<br>208|
|BIRTH RATE|18.1|14.2|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|8.1|8.5|11.5|12.2|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-7.0|-1.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|.29|.47|.16|.06|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.064|2.073|2.064|2.059|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|75.10|76.94|77.97|78.69|78.87|79.00|79.03|
|INR<br>- BOTH SEXES|11.7|8.8|7.5|6.7|6.5|6.3|6.3|
140 NETHERLANDS ANTILLES Projection (000s) with NRR=1 by 2030

|AGEGROLP<br>1985|...<br>...|...<br>...<br>...<br>...<br>...<br>1990|<br>**.**..<br>..|<br>**...**<br>...<br>1995|...|...<br>...<br>2000|...|..<br>...<br>...<br>2005|..........................<br>2010|.<br>2015|2020|...<br>...<br>2025|.<br>......<br>.<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................................|...............|..............................||||||||||||
|TO'ALU+F<br>182||183||190||199||210|222|232|241|250|<br>258|
|YALES||||||||||||||
|0-4<br>11||8||9||10||10|10|9|9|9|<br>10|
|5-9<br>9||11||8||9||10|10|10|9|9|<br>9|
|10-14<br>11||9||11||8||9|10|10|10|9|<br>9|
|15-19<br>11||10||9||11||8|9|10|10|10|<br>9|
|4O-24<br>9||11||10||9||11|8|9|10|10|<br>10|
|25-29<br>6||8||10||9||8|10|8|9|10|<br>10|
|30-34<br>5||5||7||10||9|8|10|<br>8|<br>9|<br><br> <br>10|
|35-39<br>5||5||5||7||9|9|8|10|8|<br>9|
|40-44<br>4||4||4||5||7|9|9|8|10|<br>7|
|45-49<br>3||4||4||4||4|7|9|9|8|<br>10|
|50-54<br>3||3||3||4||4|4|6|9|9|<br>8|
|55-59<br>3||2||3||3||3|4|4|<br>6|<br>8|<br>8|
|60-64<br>2||2||2||3||3|3|3|<br>4|<br>S|<br>8|
|65-69<br>2||2||2||2||2|2|3|3|3|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1||2||1||2||1|2|2|2|2|3|
|75t<br>1||1||2||2||2|2|2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|
|TOTAL<br>88||88||91||95||101|107|<br>113|<br>118|<br>122|<br>127|
|FEMALES||||||||||||||
|0-4<br>11||8||9||9||10|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>9||11||8||9||9|10|<br>9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|10-14<br>11||9||11||8||9|9|10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|15-19<br>11||11||9||10||7|9|9|10|<br>9|<br>9|
|20-24<br>9||11||10||8||10|7|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|25-29<br>7||a||10||10||8|10|7|9|9|9|
|30-34<br>6||6||8||10||10|8|10|7|9|9|
|35-39<br>6||6||6||8||10|10|8|10|7|9|
|40-44<br>5||5||6||6||0|10|<br>10|<br>8|<br>10|<br>7|
|45-49<br>4||5||5||6||6|8|9|10|<br>8|<br>10|
|50-54<br>3||4||4||5||5|6|7|9|<br>10|<br>8|
|55-59<br>3||3||4||4||5|5|6|7|<br>9|<br>9|
|60-64<br>3||3||3||4||4|4|5|5|<br>7|<br>9|
|65-69<br>2||2||2||3||3|4|4|4|5|6|
|70-74<br>1||2||2||2||2|3|3|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|75+<br>2||2||2||2||3|3|4|4|<br>5|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>94||95||99||104||109|115|<br>120|<br>124|<br>128|<br>132|
|BIRTH RATE|1|8.3|2|0.1|2|0.2|1|9.3<br>|17.8|16.3|15.5|15.1|14.9|
|DEATH RATE||8.6||8.0||7.6||7.2|7.2|7.3|7.6|8.0|8.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||.97|1|.21|1|.26|1|.21<br>1|.07|.90|.79|.71|.65|
|NET MIGRATIONRATE|-|7.7|-|5.4|-|3.1|-|1.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE||.20||.67||.95|1|.11<br>1|.07|.90|.79|.71|.65|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.|148|2.|148|2.|148|2.|136<br>2|.125|2.114|2.102|2.091|2.080|
|NRR|1.|000|1.|012|1.|020|1|.020<br>1|.016|1.012|1.008|1.004|1.001|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|66|.12|67|.86|69|.42|70|.81<br>7|1.39|71.99|72.61|73.25|73.90|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|56|.99|58|.61|60|.10|61|.44<br>6|2.03|62.65|63.28|<br>63.92|64.59|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|1|1.0||9.2||8.2||7.6|7.6|7.7|7.8|7.9|7.9|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES|.01|23|.0|102|.0|091|.|0083<br>.|0084|.0085|.0086|.0086|.0087|
|DEP. RATIO<br>67.7||57.0||54.1||48.0||49.8|49.0|47.1|45.3|44.4|<br>46.5|
141 NETHERLANDS ANTILLES Projection (000s) with NRR.1 by 2030 Sumiwry for 25 Year Periods

|....**...........**<br>,^<br>........<br>. ......................<br>AGE;ROUP<br>1985|2000|..................................<br>2025|.......<br>2050|2075|..........<br>2100|....................<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.**....**...........<br>..........................||..............................|....................................|||||
|TOTALM+F<br>182|199|250|280|290|293|294|295|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>9|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|10-14<br>11|8|9|10|9|9|9|9|
|15-19<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|20-24<br>9|9|10|<br>10|<br>9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|25-29<br>6|9|10|<br>9|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|30-34<br>5|10|<br>9|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|35-39<br>5|7|<br>8|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|40-44<br>4|5|10|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|45-49<br>3|4|8|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|50-54<br>3|4|9|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|55-59<br>3|3|8|8|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|60-64<br>2|3|5|6|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|65-69<br>2|2|<br>3|8|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|70-74<br>1|2|2|5|7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|75+<br>1|2|3|7|9|10|<br>10|<br>10|
|TOTAL<br>88|95|122|<br>138|<br>143|<br>144|<br>145|<br>145|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>9|9|9|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|10-14<br>11|8|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|15-19<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|20-24<br>9|8|9|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|25-29<br>7|10|<br>9|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|30-34<br>6|10|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|_35-39_<br>6|8|7|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|40-44<br>5|-<br>6|10|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|45-49<br>4|6|8|9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|50-54<br>3|5|10|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|55-59<br>3|4|9|8|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|60-64<br>3|4|7|7|8|9|<br>9|<br>9|
|65-69<br>2|3|5|9|8|8|8|<br>8|
|70-74<br>1|2|4|6|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|75+<br>2|2|<br>5|12|<br>14|<br>15|<br>16|<br>16|
|TOTAL<br>94|<br>104|<br>128|<br>142|<br>147|<br>149|<br>150|<br>150|
|BIRTH RATE|19.6|16.7|14.1|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|7.5|9.7|11.7.|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-5.3|-.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.61|.92|.44|.15|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.148|2.114|2.072|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|etO)- BOTH SEXES|67.84|72.06|75.32|77.73|78.38|78.82|78.93|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|9.4|7.7|8.1|8.0|7.1|6.6|6.4|
142

|VIRGIN ISLANUDS<br>(U.S.)<br>.<br>...<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>..|..<br>.<br>..<br>......|Pro<br>......<br>,,..|jection<br>(000<br>......<br>,...<br>|s)<br>with NRRa<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|l by 1995<br>..<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGEGRWP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|<br>2003|2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALN+F<br>107|114|120|126|<br>133|140|<br>147|153|<br>158|<br>162|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6|6|5|6|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|5-9<br>6|6|6|5|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|10-14<br>7|6|6|6|5|6|6|6|6|<br>6|
|15-19<br>6|7|<br>6|<br>6|6|5|<br>6|6|6|6|
|20-24<br>3|5|7|6|6|6|5|6|6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>3|3|5|6|6|6|6|5|6|6|
|30-34<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|5|<br>6|
|35.39<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|6|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|
|40.44<br>3|<br>4|4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|5|<br>6|
|45-49<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>2|<br>5|<br>6|6|<br>5|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>3|2|S|6|6|
|55-59<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>2|<br>2|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|
|TOTAL<br>51|<br>55|<br>58|<br>61|<br>6$|<br>67|<br>71|<br>74|<br>76|<br>79|
|FE4ALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6|<br>6|5|<br>5|<br>6|6|<br>6|S|5|<br>6|
|5-9<br>6|6|6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|6|5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>7|<br>6|6|<br>6|5|<br>5|<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>5|
|15-19<br>6|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|6|6|
|20-24<br>4|<br>6|7|6|6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>7|<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|
|30-34<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>4|5|4|4|5|6|6|5|<br>6|5|
|40-44<br>3|4|5|4|4|5|6|6|5|<br>6|
|45-49<br>2|3|4|5|4|4|5|<br>6|6|5|
|50-54<br>2|2|3|4|5|4|4|5|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>2|2|2|3|4|4|4|3|5|6|
|60-64<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>3|<br>3|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>56|60|<br>63|<br>66|<br>69|<br>73|<br>76|<br>79|<br>82|<br>84|
|BIRTH RATE|22.6|18.9|18.5|18.3|17.4|16.1|15.0|14.4|14.2|
|DEATH RATE|4.9|5.0|5.4|5.7|6.2|6.6|7.2|8.0|8.7|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|1.77|1.39|1.32|1.26|1.12|.94|.78|.65|.55|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-4.3|-4.1|-2.9|-1.8|-. 9|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.33|.97|1.02|1.08|1.03|.94|.78|.65|.55|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.600|2.223|2.088|2.082|2.079|2.077|2.075|2.073|2.071|
|:RR|1.237|1.061|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(o) * BOTH SEXES|72.99|73.88|74.64|73.31|75.60|75.90|76.20|76.50|76.80|
|eClO)<br>BOTH SEXES|64.74|65.40|65.94|66.42|66.67|66.92|67.17|67.43|67.69|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|19.0|16.4|14.1|12.2|11.7|11.2|10.7|10.2|9.7|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|0220|0189|0161|0137|0131|0125|0119|0113|0107|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.4|.<br> <br>58.|.<br>6<br>52.|.<br>3<br>49.|.<br>4<br>47.|.<br>6<br>49.|.<br>0<br>51.|.<br>1<br>52.|.<br>2<br>49.|.<br>9<br>47.5|
143 Projection (000s) with NRR=I by 1995 VIRGIN ISLANDS (U.S.) Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...................<br>...........|............................|||...<br>..<br>.......|..<br>...<br>..<br>.....<br>|........<br>...<br>...|.<br>..<br>..................|
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>107|<br>126|<br>158|<br>175|<br>178|<br>179|<br>179|<br>179|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|5-9<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|10-14<br>7|6|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|15-19<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|20-24<br>3|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>3|<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|30-34<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6||6|<br>6|<br>6|
|35-39<br>4|<br>3|<br>6|<br>6|<br>t|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|40-44<br>3|3|5|6|i|6|6|6|
|45-49<br>2|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|50-54<br>2|<br>3|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|60-64<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>51|<br>61|<br>76|<br>86|<br>88|<br>88|<br>88|<br>88|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|5-9<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|10-14<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|15-19<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|20-24<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>4|<br>7|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|30-34<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|35-39<br>4|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|40-44<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>6|
|45-49<br>2|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|50-54<br>2|4|<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|55-59<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|60-64<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|75+<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|<br>10|
|TOTAL<br>56|<br>66|<br>82|<br>89|<br>91|<br>91|<br>91|<br>91|
|BIRTH RATE|19.9|16.1|13.6|12.8|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.1|6.8|9.5|12.2|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.8|-. 5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|1.11|.89|.41|.07|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.297|2.077|2.066|2.060|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|73.87|75.93|77.44|78.50|78.77|78.95|79.00|
|IMR<br>- BOTH SEXES|16.6|11.2|8.6|7.0|6.6|6.4|6.3|
144 OTHER LATIN AMERIC **A** ND CARIBBEAN Projection (0O0s) with NRR-l by 200

|,,,,,,,,,,..........................................,...,,,......<br>AGE CROuP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|.............................<br>2000|2005|...................<br>2010|...................................<br>2015|<br> <br>2020|<br>2025|..<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M.F<br>194|214|234|253|270|287|302|317|37D|<br>341|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11|13|13|12|12|13|13|13|13|<br>12|
|5-9<br>13|11|12|13|12|12|12|13|13|<br>12|
|10-14<br>11|13|11|13|13|12|12|12|13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>11|11|13|11|12|13|1^|<br>12|12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>10|11|11|13|11|12|13|12|12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>8|10|11|11|13|11|12|13|12|<br>12|
|30-34<br>6|8|10|11|11|13|11|12|13|<br>12|
|35-39<br>5|6|8|10|11|I1|13|11|12|<br>12|
|40-44<br>5|5|6|8|10|11|11|12|11|<br>12|
|45-49<br>5|5|5|6|8|9|11|11|12|<br>11|
|50-54<br>3|5|5|5|6|8|9|10|10|<br>12|
|55-59<br>3|3|4|4|4|6|7|9|10|<br>10|
|60-64<br>2|3|3|4|4|4|5|7|8|9|
|65-69<br>2|1|<br>2|<br>2|3|3|3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|
|70-74<br>2|1|<br>1|<br>2|2|3|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|75+<br>2|2|2|<br>2|2|2|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|TOTAL<br>98|<br>108|<br>118|<br>127|135|143|151|<br>158|<br>164|<br>169|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|5-9<br>1'|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|10-14<br>11|<br>13|<br>11|<br>12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|15-19<br>11|<br>11|<br>13|<br>11|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>13|11|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>8|10|<br>11|<br>11|13|11|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|30-34<br>6|8|10|<br>11|11|13|<br>11|<br> <br> <br>12|<br> <br> <br>12|<br><br> <br>12|
|35-39<br>5|6|8|<br>10|11|11|13|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|
|40-44<br>5|<br>5|6|<br>8|10|11|11|<br>13|<br>11|<br>12|
|45-49<br>3|5|5|<br>6|8|10|11|<br>11|<br>13|<br>11|
|50-54<br>3|3|5|<br>5|6|8|9|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|
|55-59<br>3|<br>3|3|<br>4|4|6|8|<br>9|<br>11|<br>11|
|60-64<br>2|<br>3|3|<br>3|4|4|6|<br>7|<br>9|<br>10|
|65-69<br>2|<br>1|<br>3|<br>3|3|4|4|<br>5|<br>7|<br>8|
|70-74<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|2|2|3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|
|75+<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>2|3|3|3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>96|<br>106|<br>116|<br>126|135|144|152|<br>159|<br>166|<br>172|
|BIRTH RATE|25.2|23.3|20.4<br>|18.9|18.0<br>|17.1|16.3|15.5|14.8|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|6.8|6.2|6.0|6.3|6.6|6.9|7.4|7.9|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.|1.77|1.64|1.42<br>|1.29|1.17<br>|1.06|.93|.81|.69|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|2.0|1.4|1.0|.6|.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.97|1.79|1.52<br>|1.35|1.20<br>|1.05|.93|.81|.69|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.018|2.607|2.252<br>2|.124<br>2|.118<br>2|.112|2.106|2.099|2.093|
|NRR|1.363|1.200|1.050<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|66.53|68.17|69.64<br>7|0.96<br>7|1.56<br>7|2.17|72.78|73.42|74.06|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|60.62|61.42|62.24<br>6|3.06<br>6|3.53<br>6|4.01|64.50|65.00|65.51|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|42.7|34.6|28.0<br>|22.8<br>|21.3<br>|19.9|18.4|17.0|15.5|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0542|.0424|.0337<br>.|0269<br>.|0251<br>.|0233|.0216|.0198|.0180|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.4|<br>61.9|<br>55.2|<br>52.1|48.6|46.1|44.5|<br>44.6|<br>45.7|<br>47.8|
145 OTHER LATIN ANERIC **A** ND CARIBBEAN Projection **(000s)** with NRR=1 by 200' Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GRCWP**<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>**2'o00**|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........................................................................|.................................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>M4F<br>194|<br>253|<br>330|<br>370|yJ2|386|<br>388|<br>389|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|12|13|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|5-9<br>13|13|13|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|10-14<br>1I|13|13|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|15-19<br>11|<br>1|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>10|13|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>8|11|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|30-34<br>6|11|13|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|35-39<br>5|10|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|40-44<br>5|8|11|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|45-49<br>5|6|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>1'|
|50-54<br>3|5|10|11|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|55-59<br>3|4|10|11|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|60-64<br>2|4|<br>8|10|11|11|<br>11|<br>11|
|65-69<br>2|2|6|8|10|10|<br>10|<br>10|
|70-74<br>2|2|4|8|8|8|9|9|
|75+<br>2|2|4|10|12|13|<br>14|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>98|127|<br>164|<br>182|<br>188|<br>189|<br>190|<br>191|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|12|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|5-9<br>13|12|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|10-14<br>11|12|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|15-19<br>11|11|12|12|12|12|12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>10|13|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>8|11|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|30-34<br>6|11|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|35-39<br>5|10|12|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|40-44<br>5|8|11|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|45-49<br>3|6|13|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|50-54<br>3|5|11|11|12|12|12|<br>12|
|55-59<br>3|4|11|12|12|12|<br>12|<br>12|
|60-64<br>2|3|9|11|11|11|12|<br>12|
|65-69<br>2|3|7|10|11|11|<br>11|<br>11|
|70-74<br>2|2|5|10|10|10|<br>10|<br>10|
|75+<br>2|2|5|15|19|21|21|<br>22|
|TOTAL<br>96|126|<br>166|<br>188|<br>194|<br>196|<br>197|<br>198|
|BIRTH RATE|22.8|17.1|14.0|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.8|6.7|9.5|11.9|12.4|12.S|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|1.4|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.76|1.07|.46|.12|.04|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.591|2.112|2.081|2.062|2.060|2.059|2.058|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|68.20|72.24|75.44|77.75|78.39|78.82|78.93|
|**INR-** BOTH SEXES|35.2|19.9|12.6|8.0|7.1|6.6|6.4|
# NONBORROWERS

# (NORTHERN AMERICA)

i
148

|CANADA||Proje|ction(OOs|)with NRR=|l by 2030|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|.......................................................................................|...........................................|||||||||
|TOTAL M.F<br>25379|26635|27749|28705|29513|30207|30796|31231|31428|<br>31358|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>946|.70|936|894|895|912|933|944|943|943|
|5-9<br>916|962|986|951|906|905|920|938|946|942|
|10-14<br>932|929|974|997|<br>_960_|<br>914|911|924|940|945|
|15-19<br>1014|944|940|985|<br>1006|967|919|914|925|939|
|20-24<br>1217|1032|962|959|<br>1000|1018|976|925|916|922|
|25-29<br>1170|1239|1055|987|<br>979|1016|1030|984|927|913|
|30-34<br>107s|<br>1189|1258|<br>1076|004|92|1026|1035|<br>985|<br>925|
|35-39<br>992|1088|1201|<br>1271|1086|1012|<br>998|<br>1029|<br>1035|<br>982|
|40-4<br>785|<br>997|1092|1206|1274|1c89|<br>1013|97|<br>1025|<br>1030|
|45-49<br>649|<br>782|992|1087|1200|1265|1081|1005|<br>989|<br>1015|
|50-54<br>623|637|768|975|1069|1179|1244|1063|<br>988|971|
|55-59<br>593|599|614|742|942|1033|<br>1140|1202|<br>1028|<br>956|
|60-64<br>529|553|561|577|<br>698|887|973|1074|<br>1134|<br>970|
|65-69<br>406|472|496|505|521|630|802|881|973|1029|
|70-74<br>325|336|394|416|425|439|532|678|746|<br>826|
|75.<br>387|428|461|524|575|609|638|725|880|1013|
|TOTAL<br>12559|<br>13157|13691|14151|14540|14868|<br>15136|<br>15318|<br>15381|<br>15320|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>899|919|886|847|847|864|884|<br>894|894|893|
|5-9<br>871|916|<br>935|902|859|858|872|<br>890|897|894|
|10-14<br>885|884|929|947|912|867|864|876|892|897|
|15-19<br>964|901|899|<br>943|959|921|875|869|879|892|
|20-24<br>1181|995|<br>930|925|964|976|934|884|<br>874|879|
|25-29<br>1174|1217|1028|961|951|<br>985|992|<br>946|890|874|
|30-34<br>1086|1201|1242|1052|980|966|997|<br>1000|<br>950|<br>889|
|35-39<br>989|1104|1218|1258|1065|990|<br>974|1002|<br>1003|<br>949|
|40-44<br>776|998|1112|1225|1264|1069|<br>994|<br>976|1002|<br>1001|
|45-49<br>644|778|999|<br>1113|1225|1263|1069|992|974|1000|
|50-54<br>619|642|775|<br>995|1108|1220|<br>1257|1063|<br>987|969|
|55-59<br>615|612|635|767|985|1097|1207|1244|<br>1053|<br>977|
|60-64<br>593|601|-<br>599|<br>622|752|966|1076|1184|<br>1221|<br>1033|
|65-69<br>477|567|576|575|<br>599|<br>724|<br>930|1036|<br>1141|<br>1176|
|70-74<br>409|<br>436|521|531|532|<br>553|669|860|959|<br>1056|
|75.<br>638|706|775|<br>891|971|1020|<br>1068|1195|<br>1434|<br>1659|
|TOTAL<br>12820|13478|14058|14553|14973|15339|<br>15660|<br>15913|<br>16047|<br>16037|
|BIRTH RATE|14.5|13.4|12.3|12.0|11.9|11.9|11.9|11.8|11.8|
|DEATH RATE|7.7|7.8|7.9|8.3|8.8|9.2|9.9|10.9|12.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.68|.56|.4|.36|.31|.27|.20|.09|-.04|
|NET HIGRATION<br>RATE|2.8|2.6|2.4|1.9|1.5|1.2|.8|.4|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.97|.82|.68|.56|.47|.39|.28|.13|-.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.680|1.680|1.680|1.747|1.811|1.873|1.934|1.992|2.049|
|NRR|.X08|.809|.809|.842|.873|.904|.933|.961|.989|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|76.68|77.23|77.64|77.96|78.05|78.14|78.22|78.31|78.40|
|e(lO)<br>80TH SEXES|67.40|67.89|68.27|68.56|68.65|68.74|68.83|68.91|69.00|
|IMR**-**BOTH SEXES|7.9|7.3|6.9|6.6|6.6|6.6|6.6|6.6|6.6|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|0087|0080|0076|0072|0072|007G2|0072|0072|0072|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>46.8|.<br> <br>47.1|.<br>47.0|.<br>45.5|.<br> <br>43.9|.<br>44.5|.<br> <br>48.3|.<br> <br>53.2|.<br> <br>58.9|.<br> <br>64.3|
149

# CANADA

# Projection (00Os) with NRRal by 2030

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|...............................<br>AGEGR0UP<br>1985|............<br>2000|.......................................<br>2025|.................<br> <br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|*<br>..<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>25379|28705|31428|<br>30051|<br>29177|<br>29104|<br>29110|<br>29116|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>946|894|943|940|939|939|939|<br>939|
|5-9<br>916|951|946|937|937|938|Q38|<br>93a|
|10-14<br>932|997|940|934|936|937|937|<br>947|
|15-19<br>1014|985|925|936|936|936|936|<br>935|
|20-24<br>1217|959|916|938|935|934|934|<br>934|
|25-29<br>1170|987|927|936|933|932|932|<br>932|
|30-34<br>1075|1076|985|937|929|929|930|<br>930|
|35-39<br>992|1271|1035|<br>929|924|926|927|<br>928|
|40-44<br>785|1206|1025|<br>910|923|923|924|<br>924|
|45-49<br>649|1087|989|896|919|917|916|<br>916|
|50-54<br>623|975|988|894|905|903|901|<br>902|
|55-59<br>593|742|1028|<br>923|881|874|874|<br>875|
|60-64<br>529|577|1134|<br>920|830|827|829|<br>830|
|65-69<br>406|505|973|833|746|757|758|<br>759|
|70-74<br>325|416|746|<br>690|632|650|650|<br>650|
|75+<br>387|524|880|1160|<br>1065|<br>1034|<br>1034|<br>1035|
|TOTAL<br>12559|14151|<br>15381|<br>14713|<br>14370|<br>14357|<br>14361|<br>14365|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>899|<br>847|894|<br>893|891|891|891|<br>891|
|5-9<br>871|902|897|<br>890|890|891|891|<br>891|
|10-14<br>885|947|892|<br>888|890|891|891|<br>891|
|15-19<br>964|943|879|<br>890|891|891|891|<br>891|
|20-24<br>1181|925|874|<br>893|892|891|891|<br>891|
|25-29<br>1174|961|890|<br>893|892|891|891|<br>891|
|30-34<br>1086|1052|<br>950|<br>896|890|<br>890|890|<br>890|
|35-39<br>989|1258|<br>1003|<br>891|88?|<br>889|890|<br>N9o|
|40-44<br>776|1225|1002|<br>877|888|889|890|<br>889|
|45-49<br>644|1113|974|<br>869|889|888|888|<br>887|
|50-54<br>619|995|987|<br>881|885|<br>884|883|<br>883|
|55-59<br>615|767|1053|<br>931|8S0|<br>874|874|<br>875|
|60-64<br>593|622|1221|<br>966|860|857|859|<br>860|
|65-69<br>477|575|1141|<br>933|818|<br>829|831|<br>832|
|70-74<br>409|531|959|<br>843|755|<br>774|774|<br>774|
|75+<br>638|891|1434|<br>1905|<br>1710|<br>1626|<br>1624|<br>1625|
|TOTAL<br>12820|<br>14553|<br>16047|<br>15338|<br>14808|<br>14747|<br>14749|<br>14751|
|BIRTH RATE|13.4|11.9|11.9|12.5|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.8|9.5|13.7|13.7|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|2.6|1.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.82|.36|-. 18|-. 12|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.688|1.869|2.066|2.068|2.068|2.068|2.068|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|77.20|78.14|78.58|78.88|78.97|79.03|79.04|
|<br>IIR- BOTH SEXES|7.4|6.6|6.6|6.5|6.4|6.3|6.3|
150 PUERTO RICO Projection (OOOs) with NRR=1 by 1995

|ACGCROLP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>3282|3446|3579|3699|3822|3944|4060|4163|4252|<br>4330|
|ALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>172|168|154|149|149|150|149|<br>146|<br>144|<br>144|
|5-9<br>165|170|165|151|147|148|149|<br>148|<br>146|<br>144|
|10-14<br>160|<br>162|<br>167|<br>163|<br>149|<br>145|<br>146|<br>148|<br>148|<br>146|
|15-19<br>164|1S8|<br>_160_|165|161|148|144|<br>145|<br>147|<br>147|
|20-24<br>159|<br>160|<br>154|<br>156|<br>162|<br>158|<br>'46|<br>142|<br>145|<br>147|
|25.29<br>122|<br>154|<br>156|<br>149|<br>153|<br>159|<br>156|<br>144|<br>141|<br>144|
|30-34<br>_10a_|<br>118|<br>15C|<br>151|<br>146|<br>150|<br>156|<br>154|<br>143|<br>141|
|35-39<br>101|<br>102|<br>115|<br>147|<br>148|<br>143|<br>148|<br>155|<br>153|<br>142|
|40-44<br>86|<br>98|<br>99|<br>112|<br>144|<br>146|<br>142|<br>146|<br>154|<br>152|
|45-49<br>72|<br>83|<br>96|<br>97|<br>110|<br>142|<br>144|<br>140|<br>144|<br>152|
|50-54<br>63|<br>70|<br>81|<br>93|<br>94|<br>107|<br>139|<br>141|<br>137|<br>142|
|55-59<br>55|<br>60|<br>67|<br>77|<br>89|<br>90|<br>103|<br>134|<br>136|<br>132|
|60-64<br>50|<br>51|<br>55|<br>62|<br>72|<br>83|<br>85|<br>97|<br>126|<br>128|
|65-69<br>43|<br>45|<br>45|<br>49|<br>56|<br>65|<br>75|<br>76|<br>87|<br>114|
|70-74<br>37|<br>35|<br>37|<br>38|<br>41|<br>47|<br>55|<br>63|<br>65|<br>74|
|75+<br>47|<br>49|<br>49|<br>51|<br>53|<br>58|<br>64|<br>73|<br>84|<br>91|
|TOTAL<br>1601|<br>1682|<br>1750|<br>1811|<br>1875|<br>1939|<br>1999|<br>2053|<br>2100|<br>2141|
|FEUtALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>164|<br>161|<br>147|<br>142|<br>143|<br>143|<br>142|<br>140|<br>138|<br>138|
|5-9<br>158|<br>161|<br>158|<br>144|<br>140|<br>141|<br>142|<br>1-2|<br>140|<br>138|
|10-14<br>154|<br>156|<br>159|<br>156|<br>142|<br>139|<br>140|<br>141|<br>141|<br>140|
|15-19<br>157|<br>151|<br>153|<br>156|<br>153|<br>141|<br>137|<br>139|<br>141|<br>141|
|20-24<br>160|<br>152|<br>145|<br>148|<br>152|<br>150|<br>138|<br>135|<br>138|<br>141|
|25-29<br>136|<br>154|<br>145|<br>139|<br>143|<br>148|<br>147|<br>136|<br>134|<br>138|
|30-34<br>119|<br>131|<br>149|<br>141|<br>135|<br>140|<br>145|<br>145|<br>135|<br>134|
|35-39<br>116|<br>115|<br>127|<br>145|<br>138|<br>133|<br>138|<br>144|<br>144|<br>135|
|40-44<br>97|<br>113|<br>113|<br>125|<br>143|<br>136|<br>131|<br>137|<br>143|<br>144|
|45-49<br>83|<br>95|<br>112|<br>111|<br>124|<br>142|<br>135|<br>131|<br>136|<br>143|
|50-54<br>72|<br>81|<br>94|<br>110|<br>110|<br>122|<br>141|<br>134|<br>130|<br>135|
|55-59<br>64|<br>71|<br>80|<br>92|<br>109|<br>109|<br>121|<br>139|<br>132|<br>128|
|60-64<br>57|<br>62|<br>69|<br>78|<br>90|<br>106|<br>106|<br>118|<br>136|<br>130|
|65-69<br>48|<br>54|<br>59|<br>66|<br>74|<br>86|<br>102|<br>102|<br>113|<br>131|
|70-74<br>42|<br>43|<br>49|<br>53|<br>60|<br>68|<br>79|<br>94|<br>94|<br>105|
|75+<br>55|<br>64|<br>71|<br>80|<br>90|<br>102|<br>116|<br>133|<br>156|<br>169|
|TOTAL<br>1681|<br>1764|<br>1829|<br>1888|<br>1947|<br>2005|<br>2061|<br>2110|<br>2152|<br>2189|
|BIRTH RATE|20.0|17.6|16.4|15.8|15.4|14.8|14.1|13.6|13.3|
|DEATH RATE|6.9|6.7|6.6|6.7|7.1|7.6|8.2|8.9|9.6|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|1.32|1.09|.98|.91|.83|.72|.60|.47|.36|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.4|-3.3|-3.2|-2.6|-2.0|-1.4|-. 9|-. 5|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.97|.76|.66|.65|.63|.58|.50|.42|.36|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.360|2.155|2.078|2.074|2.073|2.071|2.070|2.068|2.067|
|NRR|1.131|1.035|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)* BOTH SEXES|74.92|75.77|76.44|77.01|77.17|77.34|77.50|77.67|77.83|
|etlO)<br>- BOTH SEXES|66.23|66.94|67.46|67.91|68.05|68.18|68.32|68.46|68.59|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|15.3|13.5|11.9|10.4|10.1|9.7|9.3|9.0|8.6|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES|.0166|.0147|.0128|.0112|.0108|.0104|.0100|.0097|.0093|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>61.1|<br> <br>58.2|<br> <br>54.4|<br> <br>50.|<br>6<br>48.|<br>4<br>48.|<br>7<br>50.|<br>3<br>51.|<br>0<br>52.|1<br>54.8|
151

# PUERTO RICO Projection (000) with NRRUI by 1995

Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>............................................||.....|........<br>.|.......<br>...........|._...................|.|.......<br>...............**..**.................**..**.....|
|TOTAL M.F<br>3282|3699|<br>4252|4485|450'|<br>4511|4516|4518|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>172|149|144|145|145|165|14S|<br>145|
|5-9<br>165|151|146|146|145|145|145|145|
|10-14<br>160|163|148|145|145|145|145|145|
|15-19<br>164|165|147|145|144|144|145|145|
|20-24<br>159|156|145|143|144|144|<br>144|144|
|25-29<br>122|149|141|143|144|144|144|144|
|30-34<br>105|151|143|144|144|144|144|144|
|35-39<br>101|147|153|146|144|143|143|143|
|40-44<br>86|112|154|145|142|142|142|143|
|45-49<br>72|97|144|141|140|141|141|142|
|50-54<br>63|93|137|<br>136|138|139|139|139|
|55-59<br>55|77|136|133|136|136|135|135|
|60-64<br>50|62|126|136|130|129|128|128|
|65-69<br>43|49|87|124|<br>118|<br>117|<br>117|<br>117|
|70-74<br>37|38|65|100|<br>99|99|<br>100|<br>100|
|75+<br>47|51|84|145|<br>157|<br>159|<br>160|<br>160|
|TOTAL<br>1601|<br>1811|<br>2100|<br>2218|<br>2216|<br>2216|<br>2217|<br>2219|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>164|142|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|5-9<br>158|144|<br>140|<br>140|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|10-14<br>154|156|<br>141|<br>140|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|15-19<br>157|156|<br>141|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|20-24<br>160|148|<br>138|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|25-29<br>136|139|<br>134|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|30-34<br>119|141|<br>135|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|35-39<br>116|145|<br>144|<br>141|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|40-44<br>97|- 125|<br>143|<br>140|<br>138|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|
|45-49<br>83|111|<br>136|<br>13?|<br>137|<br>138|<br>138|<br>138|
|50-54<br>72|110|<br>130|<br>133|<br>136|<br>138|<br>138|<br>138|
|55-59<br>64|92|132|<br>132|<br>137|<br>137|<br>137|<br>136|
|60-64<br>57|78|136|<br>139|<br>136|<br>135|<br>134|<br>134|
|65-69<br>48|66|113|<br>133|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|70-74<br>42|53|<br>94|117|<br>119|<br>119|<br>120|<br>121|
|75,<br>55|80|<br>156|<br>225|<br>243|<br>250|<br>253|<br>253|
|TOTAL<br>1681|<br>1888|<br>2152|<br>2268|<br>2288|<br>2295|<br>2299|<br>2300|
|BIRTH RATE|17.9|14.7|13.0|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.7|7.7|10.9|12.5|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.3|-1.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|.80|.56|.21|.02|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.203|2.071|2.064|2.059|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - 80TH SEXES|75.73|77.35|78.18|78.75|78.90|79.01|79.04|
|INR- BOTHSEXES|13.6|9.7|7.9|6.7|6.5|6.3|6.3|
152 U!IITED STATES **OF** AMERICA Projection (OOOs) with NARRl by 2030

|AGE GRaLP<br>1985<br>..............<br>..............|1990<br>.............|1995<br>........|2000<br>......|<br>2005<br>........<br>....|2010<br>..............|2015<br>.............|2020<br>..............|2025<br> <br>.....|<br>2030<br>........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>239283|<br>249841|259956|269020|<br>277052|284441|291288|<br>296950|<br>300529|<br>301671|
|!tALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9230|9655|9513|9136|9052|9210|9451|9580|9558|<br>9492|
|5-9<br>8608|**9355**|<br>9776|9633|9234|9130|9268|9489|<br>9593|<br>9547|
|10-14<br>8762|8700|9444|9864|<br>9704|9290|9172|<br>9295|<br>9499|<br>9585|
|15-19<br>9477|8846|8783|**9526**|9929|9755|9327|9195|9300|<br>9485|
|20-24<br>10705|9632|9001|8940|9651|10026|9825|9371|9205|<br>9276|
|25-29<br>iioas|10906|9837|9210|9110|9783|10121|<br>9884|9387|<br>9178|
|30-34<br>10165|11167|11071|10009|<br>9352|9222|9862|10166|<br>9892|<br>9358|
|35-39<br>8793|10264|11263|11174|<br>10095|<br>9419|9266|9880|10156|<br>9854|
|_40-441_<br>6910|882|10289|11289|11190|10104|9417|9250|<br>9842|<br>10097|
|45-49<br>5685|6868|8765|10223|<br>11210|11106|10025|<br>9339|<br>9165|<br>9741|
|50-54<br>5283|5564|6733|8599|<br>10034|11001|10899|<br>9841|9166|<br>8994|
|55-59<br>5380|5059|5347|6484|8292|9678|10615|<br>10522|<br>9505|<br>8858|
|60-64<br>5120|4991|4717|5004|<br>6083|7785|<br>9094|9984|<br>9906|<br>8956|
|65-69<br>4254|4530|4447|4225|4498|5475|7016|8206|9022|<br>8963|
|70-74<br>3213|3488|3748|3705|<br>3537|3774|602|5908|<br>6924|<br>7627|
|75+<br>4061|4275|4640|<br>5062|<br>5279|5280|5473|<br>6206|7575|<br>9057|
|TOTAL<br>116645|<br>122124|127373|132082|<br>136252|<br>140037|<br>143434|<br>146118|<br>147693|<br>148069|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8807|9205|9066|8705|8622|8774|9007|9132|9113|<br>9052|
|5-9<br>8213|8941|9334|9194|<br>8809|8707|<br>8839|9052|9153|<br>9109|
|10-14<br>8341|8311|9035|9427|<br>9270|8870|<br>8754|8872|9067|<br>9151|
|15-19<br>9110|8451|8418|<br>9141|9512|<br>9338|8923|<br>8791|8890|<br>9066|
|20-24<br>10503|9314|8651|8615|<br>9300|9640|9437|8993|8825|<br>8887|
|25-29<br>10881|10741|9549|<br>8882|8803|9450|9755|9518|<br>9032|<br>8821|
|30-34<br>10178|11059|10917|9723|<br>9024|8916|<br>9537|<br>9816|9546|<br>9027|
|35-39<br>8969|10289|11168|11026|<br>9812|9095|<br>8970|<br>9572|<br>9829|<br>9538|
|40-44<br>7167|9016|10335|11214|<br>11062|9840|9114|8980|<br>9569|<br>9814|
|45-49<br>5969|7163|9007|10324|<br>11198|11042|<br>9821|9094|8955|<br>9537|
|50-54<br>5660|5925|7115|8950|<br>10260|11127|10972|<br>9760|9036|<br>8897|
|55-59<br>5957|5569|5839|<br>7019|<br>8835|<br>10130|<br>10989|<br>10839|<br>9644|<br>8931|
|60-64<br>5877|5785|- 5422|5696|<br>6858|8636|9906|10750|<br>10609|<br>9443|
|65-69<br>5176|5564|5498|5170|<br>5446|6561|8268|9492|10309|<br>10182|
|70-74<br>4352|4660|<br>5038|5005|<br>4727|<br>4986|6015|7590|<br>8725|<br>9489|
|75+<br>7474|m6|8191|8846|9263|9292|9547|<br>10582|<br>12535|<br>14657|
|TOTAL<br>122638|<br>127717|132583|136937|<br>140801|<br>14440|147854|<br>150833|<br>152836|<br>153602|
|BIRTH RATE|15.5|14.6|13.5|13.0|12.9|12.9|12.8|12.6|12.4|
|DEATHRATE|9.2|8.9|8.7|8.7|8.9|9.1|9.6|10.5|11.7|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.63|.57|.48|.42|.40|.38|.32|.21|.08|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|2.4|2.2|2.1|1.6|1.3|1.0|.7|.3|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.86|.79|.69|.59|.53|.48|.39|.24|.08|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.880|1.880|1.880|1.910|1.940|1.970|1.999|2.027|2.056|
|NRR|.904|.905|.906|.922|.937|.951|.966|.980|.994|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|75.41|76.12|76.71|77.18|77.33|77.48|77.63|77.78|77.94|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|66.35|66.99|67.50|67.91|68.05|68.19|68.33|68.47|68.61|
|IHR - BOTH SEXES|10.4|9.5|8.7|8.0|7.9|7.8|7.6|7.5|7.4|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0116|.0105|.0096|.0088|.0087|.0085|.0084|.0082|.0081|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>50.7|<br>51.0|50.9|48.6|<br>46.1|45.8|48.7|<br>53.4|<br>58.6|<br>62.4|
153 UIITED STATES OF AMERICA Prolection **(OOs)** with NRR=1 by 2030'

**Sunomry** for 25 Year Periods

|......................<br>AGE**GRWOUP**|.<br>1985|.......................................<br>2000|......<br>2025|2050|.......<br>2075|............<br>2100|........................<br>2125|.............<br>................<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N4F|239283|269020|300529|297115|294320|294432|294682|294798|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|9230|9136|9558|9508|9480|9477|9478|9480|
|5-9|8608|9633|9593|9476|9456|9464|9469|9470|
|10-14|8762|9864|9499|9426|9442|9458|9464|9464|
|15-19|9477|9526|9300|941.|9441|9453|9454|9452|
|20-2b|10705|<br>8940|9205|9440|9444|9438|9434|9433|
|25-29|11003|9210|9387|<br>94d1|9436|9411|9409|9411|
|30-34|10165|10009|9892|9500|9393|9376|9385|9391|
|35-39|8793|11174|10156|9381|9323|9342|9361|9366|
|40-44|6910|11289|9842|9149|9278|9311|9326|9327|
|45-49|5685|10223|9165|8991|9246|9256|9253|9250|
|50-54|5283|8599|9166|9035|9158|9123|9103|9102|
|55-59|5380|6484|9505|9244|8923|8833|8824|8834|
|60-64|5120|5004|9906|8998|8373|8336|8362|8381|
|65-69|4254|4225|9022|7961|7480|<br>7605|7644|7660|
|70-74|3213|3705|6924|6358|6334|6538|6558|6561|
|75+|4061|5062|7575|10519|10522|10421|10430|10438|
|TOTAL|116645|132082|147693|145879|144730|<br>144843|144952|<br>145020|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|8807|8705|9113|9079|9054|9048|9049|9050|
|5-9|8213|9194|9153|9054|9041|9045|9048|9049|
|10-14|8341|9427|9067|9010|9034|9047|9050|9049|
|15-19|9110|9141|8890|9003|9044|9052|9050|9049|
|20-24|10503|8615|8825|9045|9065|9055|9048|9047|
|25-29|10881|8882|9032|9102|9073|9048|9043|9044|
|30-34|10178|9723|9546|9140|9046|9033|9038|9042|
|35-39|8969|11026|9829|9050|8997|9022|9036|9039|
|40-44|7167|t1214|9569|8863|8981|9024|9034|9032|
|45-49|5969|10324|8955|8774|9001|9024|9016|9010|
|50-54|5660|8950|9036|8931|9013|8990|8968|8964|
|55-59|5957|7019|9644|9342|8966|8882|<br>8874|8880|
|60-64|5877|5696|10609|9441|8725|8687|8719|8734|
|65-69|5176|5170|10309|8856|8251|8381|8432|<br>8444|
|70-74|4352|5005|8725|7680|7597|7823|7859|7857|
|75+|7474|8846|12535|16865|16703|16426|16465|16489|
|TOTAL|122638|136937|152836|151236|149590|149590|149730|<br>149778|
|BIRTH RATE||14.5|12.8|12.4|12.6|12.7|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||8.9|9.4|12.9|13.0|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|**NET**MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|<br>2.2|<br>1.0|<br>.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.78|.44|-.05|-.04|.00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|1.888|1.969|2.063|2.063|2.062|2.062|2.062|
|e(O)**-** BOT|H<br>SEXES|76.10|77.49|78.25|78.77|78.92|79.01|79.04|
|<br>**IHR-** BOTH|SEXES|9.5|7.8|7.1|6.7|6.5|6.3|6.3|
154 OTHER NORTHERN AMERICA ProJection (000s) with NRRu1 by 2030

|............................................<br>AGE GR0UP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|;..............................<br> <br>2000|..........................<br> <br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|-.............<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>115|121|<br>126|<br>131|<br>135|<br>138|<br>141|<br>144|<br>145|<br>146|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5|S|<br>S|<br>S|<br>5|5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>4|S|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>S|4|<br>5|<br>S|<br>S|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>6|5|<br>4|<br>5|5|<br>S|<br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>5|<br><br> <br>5|
|20-24<br>6|6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|30J34<br>5|6|<br>6|6|<br>S|<br>4|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>5|<br><br> <br>5|
|35.39<br>5|5|<br> <br>6|<br> <br>6|<br> <br> <br>6|<br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>4|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>5|<br><br> <br>5|
|40-44<br>4|S|<br>s|5|<br> <br>6|<br> <br> <br>6|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>4|<br> <br> <br>5|<br><br> <br>5|
|45-49<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|5|<br>4|<br>5|
|50-54<br>3|3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|
|55-59<br>2|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|
|60-64<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>t|1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|1|1|1|2|2|2|3|4|<br>4|
|TOTAL<br>59|62|<br>65|<br>68|<br>69|<br>.1|<br> <br>72|<br> <br>73|<br> <br>73|<br><br> <br>73|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4|S|<br>5|<br>S|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>4|4|<br>5|<br>S|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>5|4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>6|5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|20-24<br>6|6|<br>S|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|25-29<br>5|5|6|5|4|4|5|5|5|<br>4|
|30-34<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br> <br>5|<br><br> <br>5|
|35-39<br>4|5|<br>5|<br>S|<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|40-44<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>S|<br>S|<br>4|<br>4|<br> <br>4|<br><br> <br>5|
|45-49<br>3|3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|50-54<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>2|3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|
|60-64<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|
|75+<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|TOTAL<br>55|58|61|<br>64|<br>66|<br>68|<br>69|<br>71|<br>72|<br>73|
|BIRTH RATE<br>1|7.8|16.7|15.2|13.9|13.5|13.5|13.6|13.4|13.1|
|DEATH RATE<br>|7.9|7.7|7.7|8.0|8.7|9.5|10.2|11.1|11.9|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|.99|.90|.75|.60|.48|.41|.34|.23|.12|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>|.99|.90|.75|.59|.48|.41|<br>.34|<br>.23|.12|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2.0|00|2.000|2.000|2.011|2.023|2.034|2.045|<br>2.056|2.067|
|NRR<br>.|94U|.948|.954|.964|.970|.977|<br>.983|<br>.990|.997|
|e() -BOTH SEXES<br>69.|84|71.13|72.25|73.24|73.67|74.11|74.56|75.02|75.48|
|e(1O) -BOTH SEXES<br>61.|47|62.49|63.40|64.23|64.64|65.05|65.47|65.90|66.33|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES<br>1|8.5|15.4|13.1|11.3|10.9|10.5|10.2|9.8|9.4|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES<br>.0|214|.0177|.0148|.0126|.0122|0117|0113|0109|0105|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>42.7|42.1|<br> <br>44.3|<br> <br>U4.9|<br> <br>43.|<br>8<br>44.|.<br>0<br>46.|.<br>7<br>50.|.<br>6<br>54.|.<br>9<br>58.6|
155

# OTHER NORTHERN AMERICA

# Projection (O0Os) with NRR-1 by 2030

Suimiry for 25 Year Periods

|..........<br>..................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|v.. .................<br>2000|<br>2025|.................................<br>2050|2075|...<br>2100|....<br>..<br>. ......<br>2125|. .........<br>....... . ...... .......<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..<br>. .......................................||.................|...................................................|......|||..... .................................|
|TOTAL NF<br>115|131|145|146|148|149|149'|149|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|10-14<br>5|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|15-19<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>6|4|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|25-29<br>6|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>5|<br>6|5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>5|<br>6|5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|40-44<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|45-49<br>3|<br>5|4|<br>4|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|50-54<br>3|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|55-59<br>2|<br>4|5|<br>5|5|<br>4|4|<br>4|
|60-64<br>2|<br>3|5|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>4|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|TOTAL<br>59|68|73|72|73|73|73|73|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|5-9<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>5|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|15-19<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>5|6|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|35-39<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|40-44<br>3|5|4|4|5|5|5|5|
|45-49<br>3|5|4|4|5|5|5|5|
|50-54<br>3|<br>4|4|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|55-59<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|60-64<br>2|3|5|5|4|4|4|4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>4|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|2|3|3|4|4|4|4|
|75+<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>7|8|8|8|8|
|TOTAL<br>55|<br>64|<br>72|<br>74|75|<br>76|76|<br>76|
|BIRTH RATE|16.5|13.6|13.0|12.9|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|7.8|9.5|12.7|12.4|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.88|.41|.02|.04|.03|.01|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.018|2.034|2.068|2.061|2.059|2.059|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|71.11|74.14|76.46|78.14|78.59|78.90|78.98|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|15.7|10.5|8.7|7.4|6.8|6.5|6.4|
# PPR Working Paoer Series

|1 itle|Author|Dfor|Contact<br>paer|
|---|---|---|---|
|WPS307 On the Accuracy of Economic<br>Observations: Do Sub-Saharan<br>Trade Statistics Mean Anything|Alexander J. Yeats|November 1989|J. Epps<br>33710|
|WPS308 Harmonizing Tax Policies in Central<br>America|Yalcin M. Baran|November 1989|T. Watana<br>31882|
|WPS309 Honduras-Public Sector Finances,<br>Issues, and Policy Suggestionis<br>to Resolve Them|Yalcin M. Baran|November 1989|T. Watana<br>31882|
|WPS31 0 A Macroeconomic Consistency<br>Framework for Zimbabwe|Ali Khadr<br>Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel|||
|WPS311 Macroeconomic Performance<br>Before and After Disinflation in<br>Israel|Leonardo Leiderman<br>Nissan Liviatan|November 1989||
|WPS312 Improving Public Enterprise<br>Performance: Lessons from<br>South Korea|Mary M. Shirley|October 1989|R. Malcolm<br>61708|
|WPS313 The Evolution of Paradigms of<br>Environmental Management in<br>Development|Michael E. Colby|||
|WPS314 Primary Commodity Prices and<br>Macroeconomic Variables: A Long-<br>run Relationship|Theodosios Palaskas<br>Panos Varangis|November 1989|D. Gustafson<br>33714|
|WPS315 Notes on Patents, Distortions,<br>and Development|Julio Nogues|||
|WPS316 The Macroeconomics of Populism<br>in Latin America|Rudiger Dornbusch<br>Sebastian Edwards|||
|WPS317 Price and Quality Competitiveness<br>of Socialist Countries' Exports|Zdenek Drabek<br>Andrzej Olechowski|||
|WPS318 Debt Buybacks Can Indicate<br>Sovereign Countries' Willingness<br>to Raise Investment and Repay<br>Debt When Partial Debt Relief is<br>Offered: Theory and Tests|Sankarshan<br>Acharya<br>Ishac Diwan|||
|WPS319 Trends in South-South Trade and<br>the Potential in Non-Discriminatory<br>Liberalization of Barriers|Ref ik Erzan<br>|||
||PPR Working Paper Series||Contact|
|---|---|---|---|
||Author|laor|paper|
|WPS320 Protection Facing Exports from<br>Sub-Saharan Africa in the EEC,<br>Japan, and the U.S.|Refik Erzan<br>Peter Svedberg|||
|WPS321 Econoniic and Policy Determinants<br>of Public Sector Deficits|Jorge Marshall<br>Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel|||
|WPS322 The Earmarking of Government<br>Revenues: A Review of Some<br>World Bank Experience|William McCleary|||
|WPS323 The Old and the New is Heterodox<br>Stabilization Programs: Lessons<br>from the Sixties and the Eighties|Miguel A. Kiguel<br>Nissan Liviatan|||
|WPS 324 Ethics and Human Values in Family<br>Planning: The African Perspective|F. Sai<br>K. Newman|||
|WPS325 Manufacturers' Responses to Infra-<br>structure Deficiencies in Nigeria|Kyu Sik Lee<br>Alex Anas|||
|WPS326 Do Exporters Gain from VERs?|Jaime de Melo<br>L Alan Winters|||
|WPS327 Making Noisy Data Sing: Estimating<br>Production Technologies in<br>Developing Countries|James R. Tybout|||
|WPS328 Europe, Middle East, and North<br>Africa (EMN) Region Population<br>Projections, 1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS329 Latin America and the Caribbean<br>(LAC) Region Population<br>Projections, 1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS330 Africa Region Population<br>Projections, 1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1Cd9|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS331 Asia Region Population Projections,<br>1989-90 Edition|Rodolfo A. Bulatao<br>Eduard Bos<br>Patience W. Stephens<br>My T. Vu|November 1989|S. Ainsworth<br>31091|