metadata: authors: 0: author: Grossman, Gene M.
1: author: Rossi-Hansberg, Esteban
count: World
docna: 0: docna: Task trade between similar countries
docty: Policy Research Working Paper
subtopic: Adaptation to Climate Change,Airports and Air Services,International Trade and Trade Rules,Trade and Services,Transport Services
teratopic: Macroeconomics and Economic Growth,Social Protections and Labor,International Economics and Trade,Health, Nutrition and Population
abstracts: cdata!: The authors propose a theory of task
            trade between countries that have similar relative factor
            endowments and technological capabilities but may differ in
            size. Firms produce differentiated goods by performing a
            continuum of tasks, each of which generates local
            spillovers. Tasks can be performed at home or abroad, but
            offshoring entails costs that vary by task. In equilibrium,
            the tasks with the highest offshoring costs may not be
            traded. Among the remainder, those with the relatively
            higher offshoring costs are performed in the country that
            has the higher wage and higher aggregate output. The paper
            discusses the relationship between equilibrium wages,
            equilibrium outputs, and relative country size and examines
            how the pattern of specialization reflects the key
            parameters of the model.
repnme: repnme: Task trade between similar countries
display_title: Task trade between similar countries
listing_relative_url: /research/2011/09/15161201/task-trade-between-similar-countries
topicv3: Air Transport m1326010 165,Transport m1326661 135,Trade m1326924 698,Trade in Services m1326928 780,Climate Change Adaptation m1327767 574
publishtoextweb_dt: 2011-09-01T00:00:00Z
historic_topic: Macroeconomics and Economic Growth,Social Protections and Labor,International Economics and Trade,Health, Nutrition and Population
no_of_pages: 38
model_extractions: WPS5819 Policy Research Working Paper 5819 Task Trade between Similar Countries _Gene M. Grossman Esteban Rossi-Hansberg_ The World Bank Development Research Group Trade and Integration Team September 2011
Policy Research Working Paper 5819

# **Abstract**

The authors propose a theory of task trade between countries that have similar relative factor endowments and technological capabilities but may differ in size. Firms produce differentiated goods by performing a continuum of tasks, each of which generates local spillovers. Tasks can be performed at home or abroad, but offshoring entails costs that vary by task. In equilibrium, the tasks with the highest offshoring costs may not be traded. Among the remainder, those with the relatively higher offshoring costs are performed in the country that has the higher wage and higher aggregate output. The paper discusses the relationship between equilibrium wages, equilibrium outputs, and relative country size and examines how the pattern of specialization reflects the key parameters of the model.

This paper is a product of the Trade and Integration Team, Development Research Group. It is part of a larger effort by the World Bank to provide open access to its research and make a contribution to development policy discussions around the world. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http://econ.worldbank.org. The author may be contacted at grossman@princeton.edu.

_The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent._ Produced by the Research Support Team
# Task Trade between Similar Countries<sup>�</sup>

Gene M. Grossman and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg<sup>y</sup> JEL Classi...cation Codes: F12, F23 Keywords: Task Trade, O¤shoring, Fragmentation, Increasing Returns to Scale

> �We thank Aykut Ahlatç¬o1⁄4glu and Shlomi Kramer for research assistance, Daron Acemoglu, Sebastian Benz, Philipp Ehrl, Gordon Hanson, Giovanni Maggi, Marc Melitz, Jens Wrona and Kei-Mu Yi for discussions and comments, and the National Science Foundation (under grants SES 0211748 and SES 0451712) and Sloan Foundation for research support. This paper was completed while Grossman was a Visiting Research Fellow in the Development Economics Vice Presidency at the World Bank. He thanks the World Bank for support and the Trade and Integration Team (DECTI) for its hospitality. Any opinions, ...ndings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily re‡ect the views of the National Science Foundation, the World Bank Group, or any other organization.

> yPrinceton University
# 1 Introduction

Modern production assigns a prominent role to international task trade. The delivery of a good or service to a consumer typically requires the completion of a myriad of tasks. Increasingly, the performance of these tasks is spread across the globe, with an impressive share of o¤shore production in the value of many ...nal goods. As a result, international trade is less today a matter of countries’specialization in particular industries and more about their specialization in particular occupations and tasks.

Much has been written about the growth of o¤shoring between countries that stand at di¤erent levels of development, i.e., countries that have dissimilar factor endowments and disparate technological capabilities.<sup>1</sup> Yet, as important as this sort of o¤shoring is becoming in world trade, it pales in comparison to task trade between countries that are similar in terms of these characteristics. Although aggregate data on o¤shoring from one developed country to others are di¢ cult to come by, we do know that most trade in intermediate goods takes place between and among the advanced industrialized economies and that most value added generated by foreign subsidiaries of American multinational corporations originates in other OECD countries.<sup>2</sup> Both facts suggest that the advanced economies are engaged in a substantial amount of international production sharing with others at similar levels of development.

Not only does most trade ‡ow between and among the advanced industrialized economies, but these economies are engaging in an ever more intricate web of production-sharing arrangements. The Boeing 787 Dreamliner is a case in point.<sup>3</sup> The production of this new midsize jet involves 43 suppliers spread over 135 sites around the world. Boeing relies heavily on local expertise when making its sourcing decisions. The wings are produced in Japan, the engines in the United Kingdom and the United States, the ‡aps and ailerons in Canada and Australia, the fuselage in Japan, Italy and the United States, the horizontal stabilizers in Italy, the landing gear in France, and the doors in Sweden and France. O¤shore production accounts for close to 70 percent of the many thousands of parts used to assemble the jet (Newhouse, 2007, p.29). Some parts are produced in foreign a¢ liates of the Boeing Corporation while others are supplied under international outsourcing agreements. The countries that perform the various tasks display no clear pattern of technological advantage. Rather, experience and local knowledge play a central role. Apparently, expertise most often

> 1 See, for example, Jones and Kierzkowski (2001), Feenstra and Hanson (1996), Deardor¤ (2001), Yi (2004), Egger and Falkinger (2003), Kohler (2004a, 2004b), and Baldwin and Robert-Nicoud (2010), as well as our own work in Grossman and Rossi-Hansberg (2008).

> 2 Many researchers have documented production sharing for particular countries in their trade with the rest of the world; see, for example, Campa and Goldberg (1997), Hummels, Rapoport and Yi (1998), Hummels, Ishii and Yi (2001), and Hanson, Mataloni and Slaughter (2005). Among these, only Hummels, Ishii and Yi (2001) go on to consider the geographic nature of the production-sharing relationships. They ...nd that North-North specialization is the most common form of vertical specialization in world trade. The data reported in WTO and IDE-JETRO (2011, p.84) show that intra-European and European-North American trade accounts for a large share of trade in intermediate goods. The data in Barefoot and Mataloni (2010) reveal that nonbank multinational subsidiaries of American parent companies hold a large fraction of their assets in other developed countries and generate a large share of their o¤shore value added there.

> 3 The sourcing of Boeing’s parts for the 787 is detailed at http://www.boeing.com/commercial/787family /background.html. See Newhouse (2007) for further discussion.

1
derives from similar tasks being performed for other Boeing projects or for related industries, such as military aviation and automobile production.<sup>4</sup> In this paper, we formulate a theory of task trade between countries that have similar exogenous sources of comparative advantage but di¤er in size. In our model, the supply of any good requires a ...xed input of managerial e¤ort plus the completion of a continuum of production tasks. The set of required tasks is the same for all goods, yet the resulting products are di¤erentiated in the eyes of consumers. Producers of the ...nal goods engage in monopolistic competition and sell their wares to consumers who hold constant-elasticity-of-substitution (CES) preferences. We explore the links between country size and the pattern of specialization and task trade.

The Boeing Dreamliner example can help us to contrast our notion of a “task”with the commonly used concept of an intermediate good. In our formulation, a task is the ...nest possible addition to the value added of a good or service done by a particular factor of production. Of course, actual international trade transactions in general involve bundles of tasks that ...t the description of an intermediate good. Thus, a theory of task trade can be understood as a theory in which the characteristics of the bundles of tasks forming intermediate goods are determined endogenously depending on the cost of o¤shoring each task. The ‘wings’of the Dreamliner may be produced in Japan, but the particular composition of the wing–whether it includes assembly, testing, and painting, for example— is not technologically pre-determined, but rather is part of the deliberate production design by Boeing.

In keeping with the anecdotal evidence cited above, our treatment of production sharing emphasizes the role of local knowledge and specialized expertise. Our approach shares with the “new trade theory” a focus on increasing returns to scale as a force that induces concentration of production. But whereas the most familiar models in that literature feature trade in ...nal goods— for which scale economies internal to the ...rm may be most pertinent— our focus on task trade dictates a di¤erent approach. The expertise to produce a unique good may well reside in a single ...rm, but the expertise to perform a narrow task rarely does so. Rather, it is often embodied in a pool of specialized labor, be they engineers with speci...c training or workers with shared experience. This suggests that, in the absence of complete contracts, localized knowledge at the task level may re‡ect external economies of scale rather than (or in addition to) internal economies. We take this notion to the extreme by assuming that productivity in performing a task varies with the frequency with which it is performed in a particular location, irrespective of the identify of the ...rm or ...rms performing the function.

The location of each task balances two competing forces. On the one hand, the external economies of scale provide ...rms with an incentive to locate each task in the country where others are performing it. On the other hand, it is costly for ...rms to organize and monitor the performance of tasks in countries di¤erent from where their headquarters are located. Our model features heterogeneous o¤shoring costs to capture the reality that some tasks are easier to separate from ...rms’ headquarters than others. For example, routine tasks can be performed remotely at relatively little

> 4 See “A Cleverer Way to Build a Boeing,” The Financial Times, 07/08/2007.

2
extra cost, because instructions can be expressed unambiguously and conveyed easily to workers, with little need for interaction with central management. Other tasks may require greater adaptation to circumstances, so proximity to headquarters may be more important.<sup>5</sup> Our analysis links the pattern of specialization by task to the distribution of o¤shoring costs.

When small ...rms operate in an environment with external economies of scale, they face an obvious coordination problem. If other ...rms are performing an activity in some location, it may be most pro...table to join them there, even if all other economic forces point to a di¤erent outcome. As a result of the potential coordination failures, multiple equilibria can arise. Multiplicity of equilibrium has plagued models with production externalities, where “history”and “expectations” play a role in determining ...nal outcomes. With a continuum of tasks and the possibility for self-ful...lling expectations for each of them, it might appear that little could be said about the equilibrium allocation of tasks across countries. Yet the environment with many tasks suggests a solution to the coordination problem that narrows the set of equilibria dramatically. In particular, we recognize that ...rms can perform tasks on behalf of others. The opportunity for a ...rm to perform a task for many producers means that it potentially can internalize the externalities of locational choice. Such a supplier need not be large in relation to its industry, because even if it dominates the performance of a particular task, there are many other tasks to be done. By introducing the possibility for outsourcing tasks, we can cut through the coordination issues and say quite a lot about the pattern of specialization in equilibrium.<sup>6</sup> Our approach then suggests that in the presence of local externalities and global trade the scope for multiplicity will be narrowed by outsourcing, because it allows agents to pro...t from any coordination failures that might otherwise arise.

Our main proposition relates the pattern of specialization by task to equilibrium relative wages and equilibrium aggregate outputs. It states that all ...rms perform the tasks that are most costly to o¤shore in the country of their headquarters. Among the remaining tasks, those that are easiest to o¤shore concentrate in the country that has lower wages and lesser aggregate output, while those that are more di¢ cult to o¤shore concentrate in the country that has higher wages and greater aggregate output. Depending on the overall level of o¤shoring costs, the general equilibrium may be unique or not. With o¤shoring costs su¢ ciently high that identical-sized countries would engage in no production sharing, the unique equilibrium with unequal-sized countries has higher wages in the larger country. When o¤shoring costs are not so high, there will be multiple equilibria in a world with countries of nearly identical size, but a unique equilibrium when country sizes diverge. In the former case, there is one equilibrium in which wages are higher in the (slightly) larger country, another in which wages are higher in the (slightly) smaller country, and a third equilibrium with equal wages. In the latter case, the (much) larger country enjoys the higher wages.

We are not aware of other e¤orts to explain the pattern of task trade between similar countries

> 5 Autor et al. (2003) have emphasized this distinction between routine and non-routine tasks and provided a measure of this concept. Levy and Murnane (2004) and Grossman and Rossi-Hansberg (2008) have applied the concept to explain variation in the costs of o¤shoring.

> 6 As we argue in Grossman and Rossi-Hansberg (2010), a similar set of assumptions can also be used in a context with only ...nal goods to eliminate equilibrium multiplicity.

3
in the nascent literature on o¤shoring. Markusen and Melvin (1981) and Ethier (1982) were the ...rst to explore the determinants of the trade pattern in general-equilibrium settings with Marshallian production externalities.<sup>7</sup> Although their results are super...cially similar to ours, the underlying economics are quite di¤erent. In their models, stability (and e¢ ciency) dictate concentration of the increasing-returns industry in a single country. The smaller country may lack su¢ cient resources to satisfy world demand for this good, even if it is completely specialized, whereas the larger country always can do so.<sup>8</sup> In our context of task trade, the ability to accommodate world demand never is at issue, because any small task can easily be concentrated in either location. The pattern of specialization does not rest on country size per se, but rather on the interplay between the scale of aggregate production of ...nal goods and the o¤shoring costs.

Our results resemble some in the literature on market-size e¤ects.<sup>9</sup> In both cases, locational advantages give rise to factor-price di¤erences, as the country that bears higher transport costs must o¤set this disadvantage in order that its factors be fully employed. In the literature on the home-market e¤ect, scale economies are internal to the ...rm and cost di¤erences stem solely from market size. In contrast, external economies of scale seem more pertinent for modeling production sharing. The recognition of such externalities requires us to address coordination issues and the role of producers who potentially can internalize these bene...ts. Also, for task trade, the scale of ...nalgoods production and not the location of ...nal demand determines the pattern of specialization. The country that produces more ...nal goods need not be the one with the greater factor endowments.

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we develop our model of o¤shoring, discuss the equilibrium allocation of tasks given factor prices and aggregate outputs, and lay out the conditions for a general equilibrium. Section 3 studies the general equilibrium of the model and discusses uniqueness of equilibrium and other equilibrium properties. The section proceeds to a discussion of the relationship between country size, aggregate output of ...nal goods, and relative wages, and presents our main result on the pattern of specialization. Section 4 concludes.

# 2 The Model

Production requires many “tasks.” Each task can be performed close to a ...rm’s national headquarters or at a foreign location. If a task is performed o¤shore, the ...rm bears an extra cost of coordinating production and communicating with distant workers. The cost of o¤shoring varies by task. Some tasks require more frequent and intense interaction between workers and managers, while others are easier to perform from a distance.

We study an environment with external economies at the task level. A ...rm’s productivity in performing a task in a particular location increases with the total scale of performance of the task

> 7 See, also, Melvin (1969) for an early contribution and Helpman (1984) for a survey and further discussion.

> 8 In Grossman and Rossi-Hansberg (2010), we study a trade model with Marshallian externalities in a continuum of ...nal-goods industries. In such a setting, country size plays no role in determining the chain of comparative advantage. It does, however, a¤ect the cut-o¤ between goods that are produced in each country.

> 9 See Krugman (1980) for an early contribution and Hanson and Xiang (2004) for a study of market-size e¤ects in an economy with many industries and heterogeneous transport costs.

4
by all ...rms in that same location. As in the literature on increasing returns to scale at the industry level, the external economies are meant to capture the presence of localized knowledge spillovers.<sup>10</sup> There are two countries, East and West. Each country is endowed with ...xed supplies of two primary factors, managers and workers. In East, the supplies of these factors are H and L, respectively; in West, they are H<sup>�</sup> and L<sup>�</sup> . The similarity of the two countries is re‡ected in their identical relative factor supplies and identical technological capabilities . Although H=L = H<sup>�</sup> =L<sup>�</sup> , the sizes of the two countries typically will not be the same.

A producer must perform (or procure) a unit measure of tasks to generate ...nal output. The set of tasks that is performed by di¤erent producers is the same, but their resulting outputs are di¤erentiated in the eyes of consumers. Let �> 1 be the elasticity of substitution between any pair of ...nal products. The world market for these consumption goods is characterized by monopolistic competition, with (constant) mark-up pricing and zero pro...ts. We abstract from any cost of transporting ...nal goods in order to highlight the costliness of o¤shoring.

The tasks that comprise a ...rm’s variable cost are performed by workers alone. A ...rm can perform a task locally or o¤shore, and it can do so either in-house or by outsourcing the task to another ...rm. Before incurring any production (or procurement) costs, each ...rm must hire managers to oversee production and coordinate the performance of the various tasks. A ...rm requires f managers in the country of its headquarters as a ...xed cost of doing business.

We model the siting of each task as a two-stage game. After a set of ...rms has borne the ...xed cost of entry, market participants engage in a location-and-pricing stage, when each ...rm locates its productive capacity for each task i and posts a set of prices at which it is willing to perform the task for others. Since the tasks are performed on behalf of particular ...nal producers, we allow for price discrimination; that is, a ...rm may quote one price to perform the task on behalf of other ...rms headquartered in East and a di¤erent price to perform the task for ...rms headquartered in West.<sup>11</sup> These price quotes include any o¤shoring costs (which are described further below). In the subsequent, production stage, each ...rm decides whether to perform each task in house, in the location that it previously selected, or whether to contract for the task under an outsourcing arrangement. The make-or-buy decisions are made simultaneously by all producers. We con...ne attention to sub-game perfect equilibria of this two-stage game.

There are external economies in the performance of every task. These economies generate national increasing returns to scale. Suppose that task i is performed a total of Xij times in some country j. Then a ...rm that has its headquarters in country j and that chooses country j as its location for task i can perform the task in-house with 1=A(Xij) workers per unit of output, where A(�) is positive, increasing, concave, and limX!1 A<sup>0</sup> (X) = 0. The labor requirement is the same when a ...rm performs the task for itself or on behalf of another. If a ...rm performs task i in country j for a producer (itself or another) with headquarters in country j<sup>0</sup> = j, then it bears the higher

> 10 On this point, see for example the discussions in Marshall (1920), Helpman (1984), Romer (1986), and Lucas (2002), among many others.

> 11 It could quote a richer set of prices, but since the ...rms headquartered in a given location are symmetric, it has no reason for doing so.

5
per unit labor requirement �t(i)=A(Xij). Here, �t(i) > 1 re‡ects the cost of o¤shoring task i.

Our modeling of o¤shoring costs mirrors that in Grossman and Rossi-Hansberg (2008). The schedule t(i) captures the heterogeneity of these costs across tasks. We index tasks so that t<sup>0</sup> (i) > 0. Tasks with low indexes are those for which instructions can be communicated internationally with little loss of information. In contrast, remote performance of tasks with high indexes is problematic, because these tasks must be monitored closely by headquarters and require intensive interaction between managers and workers. The parameter � is a technological parameter that re‡ects the state of communications technology and other technological conditions that determine the ease of coordinating economic activities across countries.

The outcomes of the location-and-production games for all of the tasks give each ...rm its perunit cost of ...nal output. Firms mark up their costs to maximize pro...ts. The general equilibrium determines the measure of producers in each country, the outputs and prices of all varieties of the ...nal good, and the factor prices in each country.

In the remainder of this section, we analyze the siting of each task i 2 [0; 1], taking the numbers of di¤erentiated products, the aggregate output levels, and the factor prices in each country as given. In Section 2.3, we link the quantities and prices to the locations of the various tasks, thereby completing the conditions for a general equilibrium.

# 2.1 Location of Tasks

Suppose there are n ...rms headquartered in East and n<sup>�</sup> ...rms headquartered in West. All ...rms generate their output by performing or procuring a continuum of tasks. We focus on some particular task i and ask where the ...rms locate their capacities for performing this task and whether they ultimately perform it for themselves or engage in outsourcing. In addressing the citing of capacities for a particular task i and the associated make-or-buy decisions, we take the per-...rm output levels x and x<sup>�</sup> and the wage rates w and w<sup>�</sup> in East and West, respectively, as given. If the n Eastern ...rms each produce x units of ...nal output, then task i must be performed a total of nx times by these ...rms or by others on their behalf. Similarly, task i must be performed n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> times by or on behalf of the Western producers. Following the discussion above, we de...ne a location equilibrium for task i as follows.

De...nition 1 Given n; n<sup>�</sup> ; x; x<sup>�</sup> ; w; and w<sup>�</sup> , a location equilibrium for task i is a set of ...rm-speci...c capacity location choices (East or West) and price pairs (price for Eastern ...rms and price for Western ...rms) in the ...rst stage, and a set of procurement choices (self-procure or buy from a particular seller) in the second stage, such that these strategies constitute a sub-game perfect Nash equilibrium of the two-stage game.

De...nition 1 rules out, of course, any placements of task i or any subsequent procurement decisions that allow for a pro...table deviation by some ...rm. In order to characterize the location equilibrium for all of the tasks in the unit interval, we ...rst derive a trio of thresholds that identify 6
the sets of tasks that are immune to certain types of deviations. Then, in Proposition 1 below, we use these thresholds to characterize a location equilibrium for each task i 2 [0; 1].

We will see that the pricing competition is standard and familiar from Bertrand models. The novel element here concerns the capacity location choices. In general, a prospective equilibrium with all ...rms placing their capacities for task i in some location is susceptible to two types of deviations. First, some ...rm might locate in the opposite country and price in such a way as to attract as customers all ...rms (and only ...rms) that have their headquarters there. We shall refer to this strategy as a local deviation inasmuch as the deviant pursues only local sales in the country where it locates. Second, a deviant might locate its capacity for task i in the opposite location and price in such a way as to attract all ...rms worldwide as outsourcing customers. We shall refer to this strategy as a global deviation. For any conceivable location equilibrium with concentrated placement of task i, we must check that neither a local deviation nor a global deviation is pro...table. If a task cannot be concentrated in East or in West— due to the existence of pro...table deviation opportunities of some sort— then we must entertain the possibility that Eastern ...rms locate their capacity for that task in East and Western ...rms do so in West. Again, we allow for alternative pricing strategies that involve competing for (only) local sales and competing for global sales.

Let us explore ...rst the possibility that all ...rms locate their capacity to perform task i in East. If each ...rm expects the others to locate similarly, Bertrand competition leads them to price at expected cost. Let p<sup>j</sup> i<sup>bethepricepostedbyatypical...rmforperformingtaskiforanotherthat</sup> is headquartered in location j. Then our conjectured equilibrium prices for task i are where w is the wage in East, x is ...nal output of a typical Eastern producer, and symbols with asterisks are the corresponding variables for West. Note that if task i is concentrated in East, it will be performed there a total number of nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> times, so A (nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) is the anticipated productivity of any ...rm performing the task there. Note too that the price quoted to Western ...rms includes the anticipated cost of o¤shoring, since a subcontractor with its capacity for task i in East will incur such a cost if it performs the task on behalf of a ...rm headquartered in West.

Now consider a local deviation by a ...rm that instead locates its capacity for task i in West. ~ Let the deviant quote the prices p<sup>E</sup> i<sup>=1andp~W</sup> i = p<sup>W</sup> i � �, for some small �. At these prices, the deviant will attract as second-stage customers all of the Western ...rms but none of the Eastern ...rms, and so it will achieve a scale of n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> and a productivity of A (n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ). This local deviation will be pro...table unless Therefore, a necessary condition for all ...rms to locate task i in East is i � I, where I is de...ned by 7
The minimum and maximum in (1) guarantee that I = 0 if no task can be concentrated in East without threat that a deviant ...rm would switch its location in order to serve Western ...rms, and that I = 1 if all tasks are immune to local deviations of this sort. Equation (1) provides a limit on what tasks can be concentrated in East. For i > I, the o¤shoring costs are too high relative to the potential productivity gains from a greater scale of production, A (nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) =A (n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ), and the bene...t or cost of any di¤erences in wages, w<sup>�</sup> =w, to support an equilibrium with capacities for task i concentrated in East. The threshold task I (if internal) is the task that is equally costly to perform for all Western ...rms in East at productivity A (nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ), or in West at productivity A(n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ). Clearly, the threshold I decreases with the relative wage w=w<sup>�</sup> , increases with aggregate output nx in the East, and decreases with aggregate output n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> in West.<sup>12</sup> An increase in aggregate output in East reduces the attractiveness of “going it alone” in West, whereas an increase in aggregate output in West makes such a strategy more palatable.

Next consider a global deviation by some ...rm when all others locate task i in East. Under this strategy, the deviant prices so as to be able to perform the task at global scale; i.e., it undercuts the prices set by the others in the conjectured equilibrium (which equal their expected costs of ~ self-provision). By setting prices p<sup>E</sup> i<sup>=pE</sup> i<sup>��andp~W</sup> i = p<sup>W</sup> i � �, the deviant can sell to everyone and achieve the productivity A (nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ). The global deviation will be pro...table if considering that the deviant will need to pay o¤shoring costs for serving Eastern ...rms but not for serving Western ...rms.

Let us de...ne a task J by Suppose for concreteness that w > w<sup>�</sup> ; i.e., that East is the country with the higher wage rate. We prove the following lemma.<sup>13</sup> Lemma 1 If w > w<sup>�</sup> , either (i) �~(i) > 0 or �~(i) < 0 for all i, or (ii) J > 0 and �~(i) > 0 for i < J ~ while �(i) < 0 for i > J.

Hence, i � J is necessary for concentration of task i in the high-wage East.<sup>14</sup> If interior, the threshold J is the task for which concentrated performance in East yields the same aggregate cost as concentration in West. For this task, a global deviation is marginally unpro...table, because a deviant cannot achieve any cost savings by switching locations. The threshold J increases with w=w<sup>�</sup> , because a higher relative wage in East raises the relative cost of performing tasks there. The threshold also increases with n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> , because the greater the aggregate output in West the greater are

> 12 The last statment follows from the fact that A (�) is increasing and concave.

> 13 Proofs of the three lemmas are provided in an Online Appendix.

> 14 If East were the low-wage country, the necessary condition would instead be i � J.

8
the o¤shoring costs that result from performing a task in East. By similar reasoning, the threshold J declines with nx.

If neither a local deviation nor the global deviation is pro...table for some task i, then there exists a location equilibrium in which all ...rms site that task in East. Evidently, the necessary and su¢ cient conditions for this are i � I and i � J.

Now consider the possibility that all ...rms locate their capacity to perform task i in West. By analogous reasoning, a deviant might locate in East with the intention of serving only Eastern ...rms or with the intention of serving all ...rms. The local deviation will be pro...table unless where the left-hand side is the per-unit cost of serving the Eastern ...rms from East and the righthand side is what they expect to pay by o¤shoring this task in West. We can express a necessary condition for concentration of task i in West as i � I<sup>�</sup> , where I<sup>�</sup> is de...ned by The threshold task I<sup>�</sup> , if interior, is the one that is equally costly to perform for all Eastern ...rms in East or in West, considering that the former avoids o¤shoring costs but sacri...ces scale economies. This threshold increases with w=w<sup>�</sup> , because the relative cost of performing tasks in East increases with the relative wage there. I<sup>�</sup> increases with n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> and declines with nx, inasmuch as the former expands the bene...t to Eastern ...rms from joining the others in West whereas the latter reduces the cost of “going it alone”in East.

~ When all ...rms locate task i in West, a global deviation will be pro...table if �� (i) > 0; i.e., if the task can be performed at lesser total cost in East than in West. Again assuming for concreteness that w � w<sup>�</sup> , we can write the necessary condition as i � J, where J is de...ned as before. The necessary and su¢ cient conditions for existence of a location equilibrium for task i with all ...rms concentrated in West are i � I<sup>�</sup> and i � J.

Now consider Figure 1(a), which shows one possible ordering of the threshold tasks I; I<sup>�</sup> , and J. The ...gure is drawn under the assumption that w > w<sup>�</sup> . We have seen that there exists a location equilibrium for each task i 2 [0; J] in which the task is concentrated in West and performed there by or on behalf of all ...rms. There exists no location equilibrium with concentration in East for any task in this range, because such an outcome would be undermined by a global deviation. For a task with index i 2 (J; I), there exists a location equilibrium with concentration in East, but none with concentration in West, because the latter allocation would be susceptible to a global deviation. Finally, a task with index i > I cannot be concentrated in East or in West in the location-and-pricing stage, because a local deviation would undermine either such placement. For such a task, we must now examine the possibility that Eastern ...rms site their capacities in East and Western ...rms do so in West.

9
Figure 1: Profitable Local and Global Deviations <!-- Start of picture text --> (a)<br>Global deviation to West profitable Global deviation to East profitable<br>J<br>0 I * I 1<br>Local deviation to West profitable<br>Local deviation to East profitable<br>(b)<br>Global deviation to West profitable Global deviation to East profitable<br>J<br>0 I * I 1<br>Local deviation to West profitable<br>Local deviation to East profitable<br><!-- End of picture text --> Suppose that all ...rms locate their capacities for task i in the country of their headquarters and that all ...rms price with the intention of serving only ...rms that share their country of origin. Let the Eastern ...rms quote the price p<sup>E</sup> i<sup>= w=A(nx)foroutsourcingtaskitootherEastern...rms,</sup> while setting a prohibitive price for ...rms in West. Similarly, let the Western ...rms quote the price p<sup>W</sup> i = w<sup>�</sup> =A (n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) to other Western ...rms but a prohibitive price for serving those headquartered in East. With these locations and prices, the subsequent production pattern is dispersed; the Eastern ...rms perform or procure the task in East, while the Western ...rms do so in West. A postulated equilibrium with dispersed production of task i is susceptible to a deviation by a ...rm that locates in East and prices to achieve global scale or by one that locates in West and does similarly. It is readily seen that performing task i in East with prices just below those indicated above will be pro...table if i < I and that performing the task in West at such prices will be pro...table if i < I<sup>�</sup> . Therefore, the necessary and su¢ cient conditions for existence of an equilibrium for task i with dispersed locations and production are i � I and i � I<sup>�</sup> .

We return to Figure 1(a). We previously identi...ed (concentrated) location equilibria for all tasks with i 2 [0; I] and we have now veri...ed that a location equilibrium with dispersed capacity locations and task performance exists for all tasks i 2 [I; 1]. Therefore, we have established the existence of a location equilibrium for every task in the unit interval for the case of J < I<sup>�</sup> < I, and we have ruled out alternative sitings of any task except those at the thresholds. In the location equilibria that we have just described, every producer is indi¤erent between performing any task in house or procuring it via outsourcing. But the country in which each task is performed by (or for) every ...rm is fully determined.

10
Now consider Figure 1(b), which depicts an alternative ordering of I; I<sup>�</sup> and J. By familiar reasoning, there exists a location equilibrium for all tasks i 2 [0; I<sup>�</sup> ] that has concentrated capacity location and task performance in West. For these tasks (except the threshold task I<sup>�</sup> ), concentration in East would be undermined by a local deviation. Tasks with i 2 [J; I] have a location equilibrium with concentration in East, but those in the interior of this interval cannot be concentrated in West. And for tasks with index i 2 [I; 1]; there exists a location equilibrium with dispersed location and production. But note that none of these outcomes is possible for any task i 2 (I<sup>�</sup> ; J). For a task in this range, if all ...rms were to locate capacity in East, a global deviation to West would be pro...table. But if all ...rms were to locate in West, a local deviation to East would be pro...table. And, since i < I, if all ...rms were to locate in the country of their headquarters and price to serve only their compatriots, an Eastern ...rm could pro...tably deviate by pricing to capture sales to Western ...rms. Evidently, for any task i 2 (I<sup>�</sup> ; J), there is no location equilibrium with concentrated location and production and no equilibrium with dispersed location and production.

But there is a further possibility that we have yet to consider. Suppose that all ...rms locate capacity for task i 2 [I<sup>�</sup> ; J] in the country of their headquarters. Let the Eastern ...rms price at cost assuming global scale, namely Let the Western ...rms price to compete only for local sales; i.e., they set a price equal to w<sup>�</sup> =A(n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) for sales to Western ...rms and a prohibitive price for sales to Eastern ...rms. In the subsequent production stage, each Western ...rm prefers to procure task i from one of its Eastern counterparts than to perform it in-house or to procure from another ...rm in West. Clearly, no Eastern ...rm has an incentive to deviate, because all ...rms are pricing at cost. As for the Western ...rms, a deviant must price below p<sup>E</sup> i<sup>in order to attract sales from East.If it did so, it could not cover the associated</sup> losses with any pro...ts on sales to fellow Western ...rms, because these other ...rms have the option to self-provide and they can perform the task for themselves at the same cost as could the deviant.<sup>15</sup> If the deviant ...rm were to price above the anticipated cost of serving ...rms in West, it would ...nd no takers for its o¤er.

Evidently, there exists a location equilibrium for any task i 2 [I<sup>�</sup> ; J] that has dispersed location of capacities but concentrated production. For tasks in this range, Eastern ...rms locate capacity in East and either self-provide or procure from another Eastern ...rm, whereas Western ...rms locate in West but ultimately procure the task from an Eastern ...rm under an outsourcing arrangement.

Using a similar approach, we can now describe the location equilibrium for every task under all possible orderings of the threshold tasks. We do so with the aid of Figure 2, which is drawn under the assumption that w > w<sup>�</sup> . In the appendix, we prove:

> 15 The fact that a Western ...rm pricing at pEi<sup>=w=A (nx + n�x�) �"su¤erslossesonitssalestoEastern...rms</sup> follows directly from the fact that i > I<sup>�</sup> . Even if productivity in East were only A(nx), it would be more costly to serve these ...rms from West than from East, based on the de...nition of I<sup>�</sup> in (3). A fortiori, it is more costly to serve them from the West when the Eastern cost re‡ects the productivity of global scale.

11
# Lemma 2 If w > w<sup>�</sup> , then J < I implies I > I<sup>�</sup> .

This lemma rules out the possibility that I; I<sup>�</sup> and J are ordered such that J < I < I<sup>�</sup> . The ...gure depicts the remaining ...ve possible orderings of the threshold tasks.

Figure 2(a) reproduces the ordering of Figure 1(a). As we have seen, the tasks with the lowest o¤shoring costs have concentrated location and production in the low-wage West. These tasks are indicated in the ...gure by W<sup>c</sup> (where the superscript c denotes that for these tasks capacity and production are concentrated in West). The tasks with intermediate o¤shoring costs have concentrated location and production in the high-wage East and are indicated by E<sup>c</sup> . And the tasks with the highest o¤shoring costs have dispersed location and production, as indicated by D.

Figure 2: Location Equilibrium for All Tasks <!-- Start of picture text --> I * ≤ I<br>(a)<br>0 J I * I 1<br>W c E c D<br>(b)<br>0 I * J I 1<br>W c E o E c D<br>(c)<br>0 I * I J 1<br>W c E o D<br>I < I *<br>(d)<br>0 I J I * 1<br>W c W o D<br>(e)<br>0 I I * J 1<br>W c D<br><!-- End of picture text --> 12
Similarly, Figure 2(b) reproduces the ordering of Figure 1(b). There are ranges with concentrated location and production in East and in West, and a range with dispersed location and production. In addition, there is a range of tasks with i 2 (I<sup>�</sup> ; J) for which location is dispersed but production is concentrated in East. We denote this range by E<sup>o</sup> , to indicate that they are performed in East, but with o¤shore outsourcing by ...rms in West.

The remaining panels can be understood similarly. When I<sup>�</sup> < I < J, as in Figure 2(c), some tasks are performed only in West and some only in East, but Western ...rms never locate their capacity for any task in East. When I < I<sup>�</sup> , there is no task that is performed only in East. In Figure 2(d), Eastern ...rms do locate their capacity in East for tasks with i 2 (J; I<sup>�</sup> ), but they outsource the performance of these task to Western partners in the subsequent, production stage (region W<sup>o</sup> ). In Figure 2(e), tasks with low o¤shoring costs have location and production concentrated in West, while those with high o¤shoring costs have location and production dispersed.

In what follows, we denote by E �E<sup>c</sup> [ E<sup>o</sup> and W �W<sup>c</sup> [ W<sup>o</sup> the sets of all tasks performed in East and West, respectively.<sup>16</sup> We summarize the allocation of tasks to countries more formally in the following proposition.

Proposition 1 Suppose w > w<sup>�</sup> and that I; I<sup>�</sup> and J are de...ned by (1), (3) and (2), respectively. Then: (i) If I � I<sup>�</sup> , performance of every task i 2 W<sup>c</sup> = [0; min fI<sup>�</sup> ; Jg) is concentrated in West, performance of every task i 2 E = (min fI<sup>�</sup> ; Jg ; I) is concentrated in East, and performance of every task i 2 D = (I; 1] is dispersed. Moreover, if I<sup>�</sup> < J, each Western ...rm outsources the performance of every task i 2 E<sup>o</sup> = (I<sup>�</sup> ; min fJ; Ig) to some Eastern ...rm.

(ii) If I < I<sup>�</sup> , performance of every task i 2 W = [0; I<sup>�</sup> ) is concentrated in West and performance of every task i 2 D = (I<sup>�</sup> ; 1] is dispersed. Moreover if J < I<sup>�</sup> , each Eastern ...rm outsources the performance of tasks i 2 W<sup>o</sup> = (J; I) to some Western ...rm.

We conclude this section with a comment about the pattern of specialization revealed by Figure 2 and described in Proposition 1. Recall that we have arbitrarily tabbed West as the low-wage country. For all possible orderings of I; I<sup>�</sup> and J, the set of tasks performed in West has lower o¤shoring costs than the set of tasks performed in East, which in turn has lower o¤shoring costs than the set that is dispersed. After we develop the conditions for a general equilibrium, we will (in Proposition 6) tie this pattern of specialization to the relative amounts of ...nal output produced in each country.

> 16 We characterize the location of tasks using only open intervals so as to exclude the boundaries of the sets de...ned by the thresholds I; I<sup>�</sup> ; and J. At these boundaries there can be two sub-game perfect equilibria of the location game. Since this only happens in a set of measure zero that contains a maximum of three points in the set [0; 1] ; the multiplicity of outcomes at the boundaries is irrelevant for the general equilibrium of the model or any of our substantive results.

13
# 2.2 E¢ ciency of Task Allocation

In this section, we characterize the e¢ cient allocation of tasks given wages and aggregate outputs, and describe the ine¢ ciencies inherent in the market allocation.

It is clear from the symmetry of the various ...rms headquartered in a country that an e¢ cient allocation requires all Western ...rms to perform (or procure) a given task in the same location, and that Eastern ...rms should do likewise. The remaining issues that must be addressed are (i) whether performance of a task i should be concentrated or dispersed, and (ii) if concentrated, in which country it should be performed. We begin with the latter question ...rst.

If performance of task i is concentrated in a country, the productivity with which it is performed is A (nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) no matter which location is chosen. The total cost of performing the task inclusive of o¤shoring costs is if performed in East, and if performed in West. The former exceeds the latter if and only if i < J, where J is de...ned in (2). In other words, if J is interior in [0; 1], then task J can be performed at the same aggregate cost in either location. Considering the di¤erent scales of ...nal output in the two countries, tasks with smaller o¤shoring costs than J are more cheaply performed in the low-wage West, and tasks with higher o¤shoring costs than J are more cheaply performed in the high-wage East.

Now consider the e¢ cient choice of concentration versus dispersion. Let us compare the option of concentrated performance of task i in East with the option of serving Eastern ...rms from East and Western ...rms from West. The former yields lower aggregate costs if and only if or i < I<sup>^</sup> , where I<sup>^</sup> is de...ned by By comparing (1) and (4), we see that I<sup>^</sup> > I; i.e., the marginal task that is immune to a pro...table local deviation by Western ...rms has a lower o¤shoring cost than the marginal task that can be more cheaply performed only in East compared to the alternative of dispersed production. This re‡ects the fact that a local deviant siting its capacity in West can pro...t from sales to Western ...rms without taking into account the negative externality that its action imposes on Eastern ...rms. We can de...ne analogously a task I<sup>^�</sup> such that the aggregate cost of concentrating task I<sup>^�</sup> in West equals the aggregate cost of performing the task in dispersed locations. By similar reasoning, I<sup>^�</sup> > I<sup>�</sup> .

14
The e¢ cient allocation is readily characterized. Tasks with i > maxfI;<sup>^</sup> I<sup>^�</sup> g are optimally dispersed; Eastern ...rms should be served from East and Western ...rms from West. Among the rest, those with i < J (if any) are optimally concentrated in West and those with i > J are optimally concentrated in East.

It should now be apparent that, in general, the equilibrium allocation exhibits two types of ine¢ ciency. First, the margin between concentration and dispersion generates too little o¤shoring relative to what would be globally e¢ cient. In equilibrium, the tasks with i > maxfI; I<sup>�</sup> g are dispersed, whereas it is e¢ cient to separate performance of only those tasks with i > maxfI;<sup>^</sup> I<sup>^�</sup> g. Since I<sup>^</sup> > I and I<sup>^�</sup> > I<sup>�</sup> , the equilibrium has dispersed tasks that optimally would be concentrated. This ine¢ ciency re‡ects the negative externality that producers in one country impose on those in the other when they choose to “go it alone.” Second, e¢ ciency requires that the division of tasks concentrated in West versus East be governed by J. The same is true of the equilibrium allocation in Figure 2(a), but not so in Figures 2(b), 2(c), or 2(d). In each of these latter cases, there exists a range of tasks that optimally would be concentrated in one country, but concentration there is undermined by a pro...table local deviation to the other. Instead, these tasks are concentrated in the “wrong”country, with ...rms in the other locations served by outsourcing. Take, for example, the tasks i 2 (I<sup>�</sup> ; J) in Figure 2(b). Since i < J, it would be less costly to perform these tasks in West than in East. But these tasks are not performed in West in the equilibrium, because a deviant would move the task to East and attract other Eastern producers as customers. Instead, performance of the task is concentrated in East, with Western ...rms served by their Eastern counterparts.

We summarize our discussion of the e¢ ciency of task allocation in the following proposition.

Proposition 2 (i) For any task in D that lies in the interval (maxfI; I<sup>�</sup> g; maxfI;<sup>^</sup> I<sup>^�</sup> g) aggregate cost would be reduced by concentrating production in some country. (ii) Aggregate cost would be reduced by concentrating production of tasks i 2 E<sup>o</sup> in West and of tasks i 2 W<sup>o</sup> in East.

# 2.3 General Equilibrium

In Section 2.1 we described the location of every task for given n; n<sup>�</sup> ; x; x<sup>�</sup> ; w; and w<sup>�</sup> . Of course, the locations of the various tasks a¤ect costs, pro...tability, and factor demands. Therefore, the equilibrium numbers of ...rms in each country, the per-...rm output levels, and the factor prices are in turn functions of where the various tasks are performed. In this section, we provide the remaining requirements for a general equilibrium. These conditions are more familiar. They re‡ect the fact that ...rms practice mark-up pricing, relative outputs match relative demands, free entry drives pro...ts to zero, and factor markets clear in every country.

Let c and c<sup>�</sup> denote the unit cost of a typical ...nal good for a ...rm headquartered in East and West, respectively. As de...ned before, E denotes the set of tasks performed only in East, including those (if any) that are performed by Eastern ...rms on behalf of Western counterparts. Similarly, W represents the set of tasks performed only in West (including W<sup>o</sup> ). D denotes the set of tasks 15
that are performed locally by ...rms in both countries. All tasks in E represent o¤shoring for ...rms headquartered in West, while tasks in W represent o¤shoring for ...rms headquartered in East. There is no o¤shoring of the tasks in D. In view of the costs of o¤shoring and the di¤erent scales of output for tasks that are traded and not, we have and where M (Z) is the Lebesgue measure of Z for Z = fE; W; Dg and T (Z) � Ri2Z<sup>�t(i)diforZ= E</sup> and W. So T (Z) =A(nx + n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) is the total amount of labor per unit of output needed to perform the tasks in Z for an o¤shore ...rm when labor productivity is A(nx+n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ).<sup>17</sup> In (5), the three terms are the total per-unit cost to a ...rm headquartered in East of the tasks that are performed only in East, the tasks that are performed only in West, and the tasks that are dispersed, respectively. The interpretation of (6) is similar.

Given c and c<sup>�</sup> , the ...rms practice mark-up pricing. This yields, via the demand functions, a relationship between relative costs of Eastern and Western ...rms and relative quantities produced (and consumed) of the di¤erent varieties, namely where, as de...ned before, �> 1 denotes the elasticity of substitution between any pair of varieties. Free entry drives variable pro...ts to the level of ...xed costs, which are sf for a ...rm headquartered in East and s<sup>�</sup> f for a ...rm headquartered in West, where s and s<sup>�</sup> are the salaries of managers in East and West, respectively. By familiar calculations, the zero-pro...t conditions imply and Finally, we have the factor-market clearing conditions. Managers are employed only in headquarters, where they perform activities that are independent of scale. In each country f managers are needed per ...rm, which implies

> 17 We assume E, W, and D are elements of the Borel ��algebra and that t(�) is Lebesgue measurable. For the case in which w = w<sup>�</sup> , we will ...nd that the sets E, W, and D are connected intervals, so the integral that de...nes T (�) is a standard Riemann integral. If w = w<sup>�</sup> ; the theory imposes no structure on the sets E and W (D is still a connected interval). In this case, we restrict attention to sets E and W that are elements of the Borel �-algebra and use the Lebesgue integral. Of course, this restriction has no e¤ect on the general equilibrium properties of our economy.

16
and Workers in each country are employed in tasks that are performed locally by national ...rms and in a¢ liates of foreign ...rms. Tasks in E do not use any Western labor and tasks in W do not use any Eastern labor. Considering the demands by local and foreign ...rms for the tasks that are concentrated in one country and for those that are dispersed, we have and The three terms on the right-hand side of (12) are, respectively, the labor employed in East to perform concentrated tasks (tasks in E) by or on behalf of Eastern ...rms, the labor employed in East to perform concentrated tasks by or on behalf of Western ...rms, and the labor employed by Eastern ...rms in tasks that are not traded (tasks in D). The interpretation of the terms in (13) is analogous.

Let w<sup>�</sup> = 1 be the numeraire. Then, a general equilibrium is de...ned as follows.

De...nition 2 A general equilibrium comprises numbers of ...rms, n and n<sup>�</sup> , output levels, x and x<sup>�</sup> , unit costs, c and c<sup>�</sup> , managers’wages, s and s<sup>�</sup> , and the relative workers’wage w, as well as capacity location and procurement decisions, E<sup>c</sup> , E<sup>o</sup> , W<sup>c</sup> , W<sup>o</sup> , and D, and sets of task prices, fp<sup>E</sup> i<sup>g</sup> and fp<sup>W</sup> i<sup>g,suchthat:</sup>

- (ii) agents maximize utility, ...rms maximize pro...ts, there is free entry, and factor markets clear. Namely, equations (5) to (13) are satis...ed.

Our next task is to characterize the patterns of specialization that can emerge in general equilibrium. Before doing so, we conclude this section by reporting the existence of a general equilibrium for this economy.<sup>18;19</sup> Proposition 3 A general equilibrium exists.

# 3 Patterns of Specialization

In this section, we explore the patterns of specialization and associated wages that can emerge when o¤shoring takes place between countries with similar relative factor endowments and technological

> 18 The solution to the nine equations in part (ii) of De...nition 2 is unique for given E, W and D. However, the sets E, W and D are themselves determined by the equilibrium values of the other variables. This suggests the possibility of multiple equilbria, which we discuss further below.

> 19 Proofs of propositions not found in the text are provided in the Appendix.

17
capabilities. We characterize the general equilibrium analytically and use numerical examples to illustrate the outcomes that can arise.

We denote the world aggregate endowment of managers by H<sup>�</sup> and the world aggregate endowment of labor by L<sup>�</sup> . We will consider the trade equilibria that can arise for various divisions of H<sup>�</sup> and L<sup>�</sup> across East and West, always assuming that H=L = H<sup>�</sup> =L<sup>�</sup> . When East and West are equal in size, L=L<sup>�</sup> = 1. When East is much larger, L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 1. We are interested in how the relative size of the two countries a¤ects the pattern of specialization and relative wages. It turns out that the country with the greater output of the ...nal good always enjoys a higher wage. We record this result in the following lemma and use it repeatedly in our characterization of the equilibrium below.

Lemma 3 w > 1 if and only if nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> .

The magnitude of o¤shoring costs— as captured by the parameter �— has an important bearing on the nature of the general equilibrium. The following proposition characterizes equilibria for economies with high o¤shoring costs.

Proposition 4 There exists a ...nite �NO such that for �> �NO: (i) there exists an `H > 1 such that for `H > L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1=`H there is a unique equilibrium characterized by w = 1, x = x<sup>�</sup> , and n = n<sup>�</sup> for L=L<sup>�</sup> = 1; w > 1, x > x<sup>�</sup> , and n > n<sup>�</sup> for L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1; and w < 1, x < x<sup>�</sup> , and n < n<sup>�</sup> for L=L<sup>�</sup> < 1.

(ii) as L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 1, any equilibrium is characterized by w > 1 and nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> . As L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 0; any equilibrium is characterized by w < 1 and nx < n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> .

We discuss this proposition with the aid of an example, as depicted in Figure 3. This ...gure shows equilibrium values of I; I<sup>�</sup> and J (in the upper panel) and of the relative wage w (in the lower panel) for di¤erent values of L. It is drawn for a large enough value of � such that there is no o¤shoring between equal-sized countries.<sup>20</sup> For ease of visual interpretation, we have distinguished the outcomes that correspond to equilibria with w > 1 from those with w < 1; the former are depicted with thick, dark curves, the latter with curves that are thinner and lighter in shade.

Proposition 4(i) implies that when o¤shoring costs are su¢ ciently great, ...rms in equal-sized countries engage in no task trade. The economies of scale provide as always an incentive to concentrate tasks, because ...rms are more productive when tasks are performed at world scale than at national scale. But, when � is su¢ ciently large, this potential source of productivity gain is outweighed by the extra cost of performing tasks far from headquarters, even for the tasks that are easiest to o¤shore. The fact that I = 0 means that a potential equilibrium with concentrated performance of task 0 in East would be upset by a local deviation to West. And the fact that I<sup>�</sup> = 0 means that a potential equilibrium with concentrated performance of this task in West would be upset by a local deviation to East. The only equilibrium in the location game for task 0 has dispersed location and production; i.e., Eastern ...rms perform the task in East and Western ...rms perform it in West. The same is true a fortiori for all tasks with indexes i > 0.

> 20 The numerical example uses H� = 2, L� = 2, t (i) = 1 + i, A (X) = X � for � = 0:8, f = 1; � = 2, and � = 2.

18
<!-- Start of picture text --> Figure 3: Equilibria and the Relative Size of Countries: High Offshoring Costs<br>( β = 2, σ = 2, θ =.8, f = 1)<br>1<br>0.9 I (w > 1 Equilibrium)<br>I* (w > 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.8 J (w > 1 Equilibrium)<br>I (w < 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.7 I* (w < 1 Equilibrium)<br>J (w < 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.6<br>0.5<br>0.4<br>0.3<br>0.2<br>0.1<br>0<br>0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5<br>L = H = 2 - L * = 2 - H *<br>2.4<br>2.2<br>w < 1 Equilibrium<br>2 w > 1 Equilibrium<br>1.8<br>1.6<br>1.4<br>1.2<br>1<br>0.8<br>0.6<br>0.4<br>0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5<br>L = H = 2 - L * = 2 - H *<br>I, I* and J<br>w<br><!-- End of picture text --> The remainder of Proposition 4(i) for L=L<sup>�</sup> = 1 follows readily from this observation. The countries share the same technologies and the same relative factor endowments, and by the predicate of the proposition, they are equal in size. With no o¤shoring, if wages and scales of production are the same, so too will be unit costs and optimal prices. With similar prices, ...rms face similar demands and make similar pro...ts. So per-...rm outputs indeed are the same in both countries and the numbers of producers are the same as well. It is intuitive that there exists a fully symmetric equilibrium in this case, which mimics the one described by Krugman (1979). The proof in the appendix establishes the uniqueness of this equilibrium.

For � large and L=L<sup>�</sup> close to but not equal to one, it is still true that the costliness of o¤shoring outweighs the bene...t of agglomeration in both countries, even for task 0. Accordingly, I = I<sup>�</sup> = 0 when �> �NO and East and West are relatively similar in size. There is no task trade, but the 19
countries are not symmetric. The larger country has a greater scale of production and consequently it is more productive in performing all tasks. The lower production costs spell lower prices, greater factors demands, and greater pro...ts. Of course, entry dissipates the higher pro...ts and factor prices adjust to eliminate excess factor demands. As Proposition 4(i) indicates, the larger country must have higher wages, greater output per ...rm, and more producers in equilibrium.

When L=L<sup>�</sup> is su¢ ciently large, however, some task trade must take place for any value of �. In the ...gure, when L=L<sup>�</sup> is su¢ ciently large, J > I > I<sup>�</sup> > 0. According to Proposition 1, this con...guration implies that all tasks with i < I<sup>�</sup> are performed in West and all tasks with I<sup>�</sup> < i < I are performed in East, while those with i > I remain dispersed.<sup>21</sup> The asymmetry in size means that Western ...rms stand to bene...t greatly from performing the tasks (or having them performed) in the same location as their more-numerous Eastern counterparts. They can do so either by locating their capacity for some tasks in East or by procuring these tasks from East under outsourcing arrangements. But notice too that the task trade can ‡ow in both directions. Indeed, we have two-way task trade in the example illustrated in Figure 3. When the Western ...rms perform or procure tasks from East, they create an incipient excess demand for Eastern labor. As the Eastern (relative) wage rises, the ...rms headquartered in East may ...nd an incentive to locate their capacity for some tasks in West, or to procure from there.

The bottom panel of Figure 3 illustrates another feature of equilibrium, as mandated more generally by Proposition 4(ii). As L=L<sup>�</sup> grows large, the equilibrium wage is greater in the large country than in the small country, even when task trade takes place. There are two reasons for this. First, performance of the tasks with i > I is dispersed in equilibrium; the cost of o¤shoring these tasks is su¢ ciently great that all ...rms prefer to perform or procure them in the country of their headquarters. Since the larger country has a larger scale of output— as also required by Proposition 4(ii)— this country is more productive in performing these tasks. Second, the tasks with the smallest o¤shoring costs are performed in the smaller country while those with a moderate o¤shoring cost are performed in the larger country. This pattern of task trade lowers costs for the ...rms in the large country relative to those in the smaller country. The greater productivity of ...rms in the large country translates, in general equilibrium, into greater numbers of ...rms and higher wages.

We turn next to settings with less onerous o¤shoring costs, as arise when �< �NO. The following proposition characterizes the outcomes.

Proposition 5 Suppose that �< �NO. Then there exists a ...nite `L > 1 such that: (i) If `L > L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1=`L, there are multiple equilibria. In one set of equilibria, w = 1, nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> , and the pattern of task trade is indeterminate. Generically, there also exist an equilibrium with w > 1 and nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> and an equilibrium with w < 1 and nx < n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> : (ii) If L=L<sup>�</sup> > `L or L=L<sup>�</sup> < 1=`L, then w = 1 and nx 6= n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> : As L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 1 any equilibrium is characterized by w > 1 and nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> . As L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 0 any equilibrium is characterized by w < 1 and nx < n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> .

> 21 In this particular case, the tasks with i 2 (I �; I) are performed by Eastern ...rms inasmuch as the Western ...rms locate their capacities in West. These ...rms procure the tasks in this range from Eastern suppliers.

20
Again we use a graphical example to aid in explaining the result.<sup>22</sup> In keeping with the proposition, Figure 4 depicts three equilibria that exist when resources are almost evenly divided between the countries. For H and L signi...cantly greater than H<sup>�</sup> and L<sup>�</sup> (or vice versa) the equilibrium is unique.

The various equilibria depicted in Figure 4 again are distinguished by the thickness and shading of the curves. Consider the three curves in the top panel that are thickest and darkest— which represent equilibria that have w > 1. Here, even when the countries are similar in size, some o¤shoring takes place. The fact that 0 < J < I<sup>�</sup> < I when L = L<sup>�</sup> implies that tasks with i 2 [0; J) are carried out by all ...rms in West, while those with i 2 (J; I) are carried out by all ...rms in East. In this equilibrium, East has a higher wage and greater ...nal output, despite the fact that the two countries are identical in size and in all other (exogenous) respects. A qualitatively similar equilibrium exists for all L � L<sup>�</sup> , as represented by the thick and dark curves to the right of L = L<sup>�</sup> = 1.

But notice that the thick curves continue into the region where L < L<sup>�</sup> = 1. In other words, we have an equilibrium in which the country that has the smaller factor endowment has the higher wage and exports the tasks that have intermediate o¤shoring costs. For L slightly smaller than L<sup>�</sup> and w > 1, the ordering of the boundary values is J < I<sup>�</sup> < I, just as before. Again, West alone performs the tasks with i 2 [0; J), East alone performs the tasks with i 2 (J; I), and both countries perform tasks with i 2 (I; 1]. East generates greater aggregate output than West (i.e., nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) despite its smaller size and correspondingly smaller endowment of managers. The shortfall in the number of its ...rms compared to West (n < n<sup>�</sup> due to H < H<sup>�</sup> ) is more than made up by greater sales per ...rm (x > x<sup>�</sup> ). Because East has a greater scale of output, it enjoys a productivity advantage in the tasks that are performed locally by all ...rms. It also bene...ts by capturing the tasks that are more di¢ cult to o¤shore among those that are traded. Its overall cost advantage (c < c<sup>�</sup> ) underlies its superior sales per variety, which in turn justi...es its higher wage and the pattern of specialization.

The requirement for East to perform the tasks with intermediate o¤shoring costs for producers worldwide strains its small resource base. If L is very much smaller than L<sup>�</sup> , East will lack the workers it would need to perform a su¢ ciently large range of tasks that are relatively costly to o¤shore, and then its costs would not be low enough to justify its larger scale and higher wage. In such circumstances, an equilibrium in which the smaller country has the higher wage and the higher aggregate output does not exist.

The curves of medium shade and thickness depict a second equilibrium, analogous to the one we just described except for the reversal of country names and so with w < 1. Finally, the ...gure depicts a third type of equilibrium that exists for exactly the same range of L and L<sup>�</sup> that admits the coexistence of a thick equilibrium with w > 1 and a medium-thick equilibrium with w < 1. For a given L and L<sup>�</sup> in this range, there exists a set of equilibria, all with equal wages in the two countries. Equilibria of this type are represented in the ...gure by the thinnest set of curves.

> 22 Figure 4 adopts the same parameter values and technologies as Figure 3, except that � = 1:1.

21
<!-- Start of picture text --> Figure 4: Equilibria and the Relative Size of Countries: Low Offshoring Costs<br>( β = 1.1, σ = 2, θ =.8, f = 1)<br>1<br>0.9 I (w > 1 Equilibrium)<br>I* (w > 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.8 J (w > 1 Equilibrium)<br>I (w < 1 Equilibrium)<br>I* (w < 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.7<br>J (w < 1 Equilibrium)<br>I = I* (w = 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.6 M ( E ) (w = 1 Equilibrium)<br>M ( W ) (w = 1 Equilibrium)<br>0.5<br>0.4<br>0.3<br>0.2<br>0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5<br>L = H = 2 - L * = 2 - H *<br>1.4<br>1.3 w > 1 Equilibrium<br>w < 1 Equilibrium<br>w = 1 Equilibrium<br>1.2<br>1.1<br>1<br>0.9<br>0.8<br>0.7<br>0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5<br>L = H = 2 - L * = 2 - H *<br>I, I* and J<br>w<br><!-- End of picture text --> When wages are the same in the two countries, all tasks can be performed at lower cost in whichever country has the larger scale of production. No task could be concentrated in the country with the smaller aggregate output, because such an allocation would be undermined by a global deviation to the country with the greater aggregate output. But if the countries are not too di¤erent in size and all traded tasks were concentrated in one country, then the two labor markets could not both clear. It follows that an equilibrium with equal wages also must have equal aggregate outputs (see Lemma 3); that is, nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> .

With wages and aggregate outputs equalized as they are in the equilibrium depicted by the thin curves, there is nothing to determine the siting of any task for which specialization is viable. Nonetheless, the unit cost equations (5) and (6) and the labor market clearing conditions (12) and (13) determine the measures of traded tasks that are performed in each country and the aggregate 22
o¤shoring costs borne by producers of either nationality. Also, with w = w<sup>�</sup> and nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> , the incentives for a deviant supplier to upset an equilibrium with concentrated task performance are the same for both countries. Therefore, I = I<sup>�</sup> and this common value represents the boundary between traded and non-traded tasks. The ...gure shows M (E) and M (W) for the equal-wage equilibrium, as well as I = I<sup>�</sup> .

Although the equal-wage equilibrium has an indeterminate pattern of specialization, there are two constraints on the allocation of the traded tasks. First, an equilibrium allocation must satisfy T (E) � T ([0; M (E)]), because the total o¤shoring costs for tasks concentrated in East must be at least the cost of o¤shoring the measure M (E) of tasks that are least costly to o¤shore. Second, the allocation of tasks must obey T (E) � T ([0; I]) � T ([0; M (W)]), because the o¤shoring costs for tasks concentrated in East can be at most the cost of o¤shoring the measure M (E) of traded tasks that are most costly to o¤shore; i.e., it is maximized when the measure M (W) of tasks with the lowest o¤shoring costs locate in West. An equilibrium with equal wages in which the measure M (E) of tasks that are least costly to o¤shore is concentrated in East is identical to the limiting equilibrium with w < 1 as w ! 1. And the equilibrium with equal wages in which the measure M (E) of tasks that are most costly to o¤shore is concentrated in East is identical to the limiting equilibrium with w > 1 as w ! 1. This explains the convergence of the various thin and thicker curves in Figure 4. When the gap between L and L<sup>�</sup> grows too large, one of the constraints must be violated, and so the equal-wage equilibrium ceases to exist. The ...gure shows that when this equilibrium fails to exist, neither does an equilibrium exist in which the smaller country has the greater wage.<sup>23</sup> Let us recapitulate. Proposition 4 characterizes the general equilibrium when o¤shoring costs are high even for the tasks that are easiest to perform at a distance. The country with more resources has higher wages, has more ...rms, and produces more output per ...rm. If the size asymmetry is su¢ ciently great, there is task trade in equilibrium, possibly in both directions. In the example we showed, the smaller country performs the tasks that are easiest to o¤shore whereas the larger country performs tasks with intermediate costs of o¤shoring. Proposition 5 characterizes outcomes when the schedule of o¤shoring costs is lower. Then, if the countries are close in size, there are multiple equilibria. In one set of equilibria, the countries have equal wages and equal aggregate outputs. Generically, there also exist an equilibrium in which the larger country (in terms of resources) has the greater volume of ...nal output and the higher wage and an equilibrium in which the smaller country has the greater volume of ...nal output and the higher wage.

The equilibria with unequal wages that we have seen in our numerical examples share a common

> 23 We o¤er one further observation about the equal-wage equilibrium. Although our model lacks explicit dynamics, the equal-wage equilibrium has a knife-edge property that suggests instability under plausible adjustment mechanisms. Suppose we perturb such an equilibrium by misallocating a few tasks in such a way that total production costs in the two countries remain unchanged. Then the labor markets will fail to clear, which will exert pressure on the relative wage. As soon as the wage equality is broken, the remaining traded tasks will relocate so that those with low o¤shoring costs are concentrated in the low-wage country and those with intermediate o¤shoring costs are concentrated in the high-wage country. In other words, a small perturbation creates incentives for a large reallocation of resources and moves the economy into the neighborhood of one of the two equilibria with unequal wages.

23
pattern of task trade. In all of these equilibria, the tasks (if any) that are concentrated in the country with the higher equilibrium wage are more di¢ cult to perform o¤shore than those (if any) that are concentrated in the country with the lower equilibrium wage. We have also seen in Lemma 3 that the high wage country also has greater aggregate output. The following proposition characterizes more generally the links between relative wages, relative outputs, and the allocation of tasks to countries.

Proposition 6 In any equilibrium with w = 1, the pattern of specialization is characterized by (i) concentrated performance of tasks with the lowest o¤shoring costs in the country with low wages and low aggregate output, (ii) concentrated performance of tasks with intermediate o¤shoring costs in the country with high wages and high aggregate output, and (iii) dispersed performance of tasks with the highest o¤shoring costs in both countries.

The proposition does not exclude the possibility that no tasks are concentrated in one of the countries, or that no tasks are dispersed; i.e., one or more of the sets E; W and D may be empty.

The pattern of specialization described by Proposition 6 holds intuitive appeal in the light of our previous discussion. Tasks that are very costly to o¤shore are performed locally, for obvious reasons. For the other tasks, ...rms in the country with the smaller aggregate output have the most to gain from moving tasks abroad, while those in the country with the larger aggregate output have the most to lose from the communication and coordination costs.<sup>24</sup> Market forces drive the tasks that are most di¢ cult to o¤shore (among those that are traded) to the country with the larger aggregate output to reap the cost savings. In the process, the wage there is bid up, creating incentives for ...rms in the high-output country to o¤shore tasks that can readily be moved to the low-wage location. Although this pattern of specialization conforms qualitatively to the dictates of global e¢ ciency, allocation of some tasks will not be e¢ cient due to presence of national externalities, as we showed in Section 2.2.

Proposition 6 leaves open the possibility that the performance of some tasks is concentrated in one country but that no task is performed solely in the other. The extent of product di¤erentiation plays a crucial role in determining which country has the greater incentive to engage in o¤shoring. If, for example, � = 2, then any equilibrium with task trade must have two-way task trade. In this case, the set of parameters (besides �) for which I > 0 is exactly the same as the set of parameters for which I<sup>�</sup> > 0. The reason is, perhaps, not transparent. A higher wage w directly increases the incentive to o¤shore in West compared to East. In fact it does so with an elasticity of 2, because it boosts the incentive to o¤shore in West while dampening the incentive to o¤shore in East. But a higher w also goes hand in hand with stronger scale economies in East (see Lemma 3), which reduces the relative incentive to o¤shore in West with an elasticity of �=(� � 1): For � = 2; these

> 24 Aggregate output need not correspond to country size, as the smaller country may produce more per brand if its lower costs generate greater demand. The equilibrium in Figure 4 in which the smaller country has higher wages is one in which its aggregate output of ...nal goods exceeds that in the larger country.

24
e¤ects exactly o¤set one another, which means that the strength of the incentive to shift tasks to the country with larger scale is matched by the strength of the incentive to shift tasks to the country with the lower wage. When �< 2, by contrast, there exists a range of relative country sizes for which ...rms in the low-wage country perform or procure some tasks in the high-wage country, but not vice versa. And when �> 2, there exists a range of relative country sizes for which ...rms in the high-wage country perform or procure some tasks in the low-wage country, but not vice versa. In either of these situations, the direction of task trade is fully determined by the extent of product di¤erentiation, without regard to the other parameters or functional forms. We record this observation formally in the next proposition.

Proposition 7 Suppose �> �NO. Then there exists a set of values of L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1 for which: (i) if �< 2, I > I<sup>�</sup> = 0; (ii) if �> 2, I<sup>�</sup> > I = 0; and if � = 2, I > 0 if and only if I<sup>�</sup> > 0.

We have also studied numerically the link between the pattern of specialization and the extent of increasing returns to scale, the extent of product di¤erentiation, and the size of o¤shoring costs. For a large set of parameter values we ...nd that larger size di¤erences between countries generate a broader range of traded tasks and imply larger wage di¤erentials as long as some tasks are performed in both countries. Stronger external economies of scale and higher elasticities of substitution have similar implications for the extent of production sharing and for relative wages. Not surprisingly, a reduction in o¤shoring costs induces more task trade and tends to improve welfare.

# 4 Concluding Remarks

We have developed a theory of task trade between similar countries. When o¤shoring costs are not too high, ...rms concentrate certain tasks in particular locations in order to realize external economies of scale. The potential for outsourcing allows them to overcome some aspects of the coordination problem inherent in this. Our theory predicts the pattern of specialization by task for countries that di¤er only in size. We ...nd that there always exists an equilibrium in which the larger country has higher wages and greater aggregate output of ...nal goods. If o¤shoring costs are low enough and the countries are not too di¤erent in size, there may exist another equilibrium in which the smaller country has the higher wages and greater aggregate output. In either case, the country with the higher wages and output performs the tasks— among those that are concentrated— that are more di¢ cult and costly to o¤shore.

Our main empirical prediction links the pattern of specialization in tasks to relative wages. To test this prediction, we would need to identify the characteristics of tasks performed in di¤erent countries, which is by no means an easy thing to do. However, Autor et al. (2003) have shown that it is possible to distinguish the tasks performed in a country using data on the distribution of workers across occupations and information about the type of work performed by individuals in each narrowly-de...ned occupational category. They have measured the specialization of the U.S. economy across ...ve task categories: routine and manual, routine and cognitive, non-routine and 25
interactive, non-routine and analytic, and non-routine and manual. Since the 1980’s, the United States has been specializing more in tasks that are non-routine and either interactive or analytic, and less in the other three categories of tasks.

Spitz-Oener (2006) has conducted a similar exercise using German data. She ...nds that the pattern of specialization across tasks has evolved similarly in Germany as in the United States, except that Germany is performing more tasks that are non-routine and manual over time, unlike the United States. The evidence supports the plausible conclusion that routine tasks are migrating to low-income countries like China, India and Mexico, with the high-income countries specializing increasingly in the set of non-routine tasks. But the evidence also suggests that Germany is specializing in a di¤erent set of non-routine tasks than the United States, namely, those that are more manual in nature. Given that Germany is smaller than the United States in terms of aggregate output and it has lower wages, our theory predicts that it should specialize in tasks that are relatively easier to o¤shore. Our prediction accords with the available evidence to the extent that (non-routine) manual tasks can more readily be organized and coordinated from a distance than interactive or analytic tasks. This ranking of relative o¤shoring costs seems plausible to us, but we could ...nd no direct evidence to con...rm it.

Ideally, empirical research on task trade would begin by classifying tasks according to the relative ease of o¤shoring. More data on o¤shoring are becoming available as awareness of this phenomenon grows, so it may soon be possible to measure the o¤shoring costs for di¤erent tasks. Once that is possible, it will also be possible to study the pattern of specialization by task. We hope that our theory can help guide such e¤orts.

# 5 Appendix

In this Appendix, we prove Propositions 3, 4, 5, and 7.

Proof of Proposition 3. Equations (1), (3) and (2) de...ne thresholds I; I<sup>�</sup> ; and J as continuous functions of the two triplets (n; x; w) and (n<sup>�</sup> ; x<sup>�</sup> ; w<sup>�</sup> ) : For values of w such that w = w<sup>�</sup> ; Proposition 1 uses these thresholds to determine uniquely the three sets fE; W; Dg as functions of (n; x; w) and (n<sup>�</sup> ; x<sup>�</sup> ; w<sup>�</sup> ). Furthermore, M (Z) and T (Z) for Z = fE; W; Dg are continuous functions of the set of thresholds (I; I<sup>�</sup> ; J) by the Theorem of the Maximum. We can then use the eight equations (5) to (11) plus (13) to solve for n; n<sup>�</sup> ; x; x<sup>�</sup> ; s; s<sup>�</sup> ; c and c<sup>�</sup> as functions of the wage in East w, after normalizing w<sup>�</sup> = 1. Substituting these solutions into what results from dividing equation (12) by (13) yields an expression of the form �(w; L; L<sup>�</sup> ) = L=L<sup>�</sup> , where �(w; L; L<sup>�</sup> ) denotes the relative quantity of labor demanded in East as a function of the relative wage (given endowments). To show existence, we need to guarantee that there exists a value of w (including, possibly, w = 1)such that this equation is satis...ed. Given that all expressions in the eight equations (5) to (11) plus (13) are continuous in all variables, �(w; L; L<sup>�</sup> ) is continuous as long as w = 1.

For w = 1, the task allocation is not pinned down by Proposition 1. In this case, it must be that nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> , because otherwise all tasks would be performed in the same country, which is 26
0 (1) 0 (1) : .

e( = e(1) e( Oo (1 |

0 (1) 0 ( /

|

O( O( O( 1) O( O( 6 (1) 0 ( 6 (1) <mark>;</mark> : ~~7~~
Proof of Proposition 4. Proposition 3 guarantees existence of an equilibrium, the rest of the proposition is proven in parts.

Part (ia): We ...rst show that if H = H<sup>�</sup> and � is high enough a symmetric equilibrium exists. We then show that this equilibrium is unique. Since H = H<sup>�</sup> , equations (10) and (11) imply that n = n<sup>�</sup> . Now consider a symmetric equilibrium with x = x<sup>�</sup> and w = 1. Then equations (1) and (3) imply that I = I<sup>�</sup> . Furthermore, the concavity of A implies that A(2nx) < 2A(nx) and so �t (I) < 2. Let �NO = 2=t (0) : Since t(�) is an increasing function this implies that for any �> �NO, I = I<sup>�</sup> = 0. So if �> �NO, we obtain that E; W = ? and D = [0; 1]. This implies that the labor market clearing conditions (12) and (13) are given by �(nx) � nx=A (nx) = L = L<sup>�</sup> . This equation is guaranteed to have a unique solution with positive output since A(0) > 0; A(�) is increasing and concave and limnx!1 A<sup>0</sup> (nx) = 0; so �(�) is a monotonically increasing function with �(0) = 0 and limnx!1 �(nx) = 1. Equations (5) and (6) then imply that c = c<sup>�</sup> = 1=A(nx): Hence in this case there exists a unique symmetric equilibrium.

To show, by contradiction, that this symmetric equilibrium is the unique equilibrium of this economy for � su¢ ciently high, suppose there exists an asymmetric equilibrium. Now suppose that for any �, the asymmetric equilibrium exhibits E and W such that M (E) > 0 and M (W) > 0. Then lim�!1 T (E) = lim�!1 T (W) = 1. But then equations (12) and (13) can only be satis...ed for x = x<sup>�</sup> = 0, which contradicts our assumption that we are in an asymmetric equilibrium. Hence, there exists a � high enough such that M (E) = M (W) = 0. Consider a value of � such that this is the case. Then equations (12) and (13) imply that �(nx) = L and �(nx<sup>�</sup> ) = L; which given the assumption on A (�) implies that x = x<sup>�</sup> . A contradiction with our assumption that the equilibrium is asymmetric. Hence, there exists a high enough � such that the unique equilibrium of this economy is symmetric and exhibits no o¤shoring.

Part (ib): Fix �> �NO and suppose that L=L<sup>�</sup> is such that M (E) = M (W) = 0. We will show below that such an equilibrium exists and is unique. Combining equations (5) to (13) we obtain that the equilibrium is implicitly determined by the following three equations, namely L = �(nx), <u>�</u> L<sup>�</sup> = �(n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ) and x=x<sup>�</sup> = w ��1 , where n = H=f and n<sup>�</sup> = H<sup>�</sup> =f . As for part (ia), given L and H, the ...rst equation gives a unique solution for x, the second for x<sup>�</sup> and therefore the third for w. Now nx = �<sup>�1</sup> (L) so for w to be increasing in L, given L<sup>�</sup> and L=H = L<sup>�</sup> =H<sup>�</sup> , we need �<sup>�1</sup> (L) =L to be an increasing function. Now In order for this allocation to be the unique equilibrium we still have to verify that there exists an `H > 1 such that L=L<sup>�</sup> < `H the resulting nx and n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> imply that I = I<sup>�</sup> = 0 and so M (E) = M (W) = 0. Since �> �NO, �t (0) > 2: But note that as L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 1, the equilibrium above implies that nx=n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ! 1 and w ! 1; and so in the limit I = I<sup>�</sup> = 0. Hence there exists some `H > 1 such that L=L<sup>�</sup> < `H implies that<sup>A</sup> wA<sup><u>(nx</u></sup> (<sup><u>+</u></sup> n<sup>n�</sup> x<sup>��x</sup> )<sup>�)</sup> < 2 and<sup>wA(</sup> A<sup>nx</sup> (nx<sup><u>+n</u></sup> )<sup>�x�)</sup> < 2 and so I = I<sup>�</sup> = 0.

28
Part (ii): We now show that if L=L<sup>�</sup> is large enough then the equilibrium exhibits nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> and w > 1 for any �. Take the limit as L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 1: Towards a contradiction assume that w < 1 and so n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> > nx. Then by equations 10 and 11, n=n<sup>�</sup> ! 1 and so it must be that x=x<sup>�</sup> ! 0: But this requires c=c<sup>�</sup> ! 1. Note that by (5) and (6) which is bounded unless n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> =nx ! 1 and M (D) > 0. Suppose that is the case, then since M (D) > 0 which implies that I < 1 and so T (E) < M (E)�t (I) < 1. A contradiction with L=L<sup>�</sup> ! 1 and (12) and (13).

Proof of Proposition 5. For any values of L and L<sup>�</sup> , Proposition 3 and Lemma 3 ensure that an equilibrium exists and that whenever w = 1 either w > 1 and nx > n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> or w < 1 and nx < n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> . Here, we prove that there exists a ...nite `L such that an equilibrium with w = 1 and nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> exists if `L > L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1=`L and does not exist if L=L<sup>�</sup> > `L or L=L<sup>�</sup> < 1=`L. We then show that, if an equilibrium with w = 1 exists for some factor endowments then, generically, equilibria with w > 1 and with w < 1 also exist for these same factor endowments. The proof of the remainder of part (ii) is identical to the proof of part (ii) in Proposition 4.

For � low enough and H=H<sup>�</sup> = L=L<sup>�</sup> = 1, the existence of an equilibrium with w = 1 and nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> is immediate, because I = I<sup>�</sup> in such circumstances and we can let M (E) = M (W) and T (E) = T (W). The low value of � guarantees that M (E) = M (W) > 0. This implies, using the notation for the relative demand for labor de...ned in the proof of Proposition 3, that �(1) = 1 = L=L<sup>�</sup> .<sup>26</sup> Now consider the possible existence of an equal-wage equilibrium for L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1. If w = 1 and nx = n<sup>�</sup> x<sup>�</sup> ; we still have by equations (1) and (3) that I = I<sup>�</sup> , and so we are free to choose E and W in any way so as to satisfy the remaining equilibrium conditions. In particular, we need to choose E and W so as to satisfy (12), (13), (5), (6) and (7). Together with 1 � M (D) = M (E) + M (W); R 10 �M (D) �t (i) di = T (E) + T (W); and �t (1 � M (D)) = A (2nx) =A (nx), we arrive at a system of six equations in six unknowns. There exists an `L > 1 such that this system of equations has a unique solution for `L > L=L<sup>�</sup> > 1=`L: On the other hand, for L=L<sup>�</sup> su¢ ciently large there can be no solution, because T (W) < M (W) �t (I) < 2M (W) and so (5), (6) and (7) imply that

> 26 Again, we will again write the relative labor demand as �(w) ,while stressing that this function depends on L and L<sup>�</sup> , as well as on all of the other parameters.

29
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