metadata: authors: 0: author: Vu, My T.
1: author: Bos, Eduard
2: author: Bulatao, Rodolfo A.
count: Latin America,Caribbean
docna: 0: docna: Latin America and the Caribbean region
            population projections 1988-89
docty: Policy Research Working Paper
subtopic: Health Care Services Industry,Population & Development,Reproductive Health,Early Child and Children's Health,Law and Justice Institutions
teratopic: Health, Nutrition and Population
abstracts: cdata!: The report which is part of a series,
            presents population projection tables for each country in
            the Latin America and Caribbean region. The report provides
            an explanation on projection results as well as a
            description of the projection methodology, summarizing the
            main results. The projections in the report cover the period
            1985 - 2150. This time period allows countries to approach
            stability. The key elements in these projections are the
            base year (mid - 1985). Total population estimates and age -
            sex structures are for the base period (1985 - 90 ).
            Mortality, fertility and migration rates are included in the statistics.
repnme: repnme: Latin America and the Caribbean region
            population projections 1988-89
display_title: Latin America and the Caribbean
            region population projections 1988-89
listing_relative_url: /research/1988/10/700630/latin-america-caribbean-region-population-projections-1988-89
topicv3: Infant and Child Mortality m1326544 1446,Population, Aging and Health m1327736 640,Life Expectancy m1504363 2666,Mortality m1504365 3661,Health m1504661 3480
publishtoextweb_dt: 2010-07-01T00:00:00Z
historic_topic: Health, Nutrition and Population
origu: Policy Plan & Prog Review Dept
no_of_pages: 205
model_extractions: **Polao,Pnning, and Research** Popuato, **Health, and Nutritlo**

The Latin Arnerica and Caribbean region has the lowest mortality rate among the regions and, partly as a result, has a higher population growth rate than Asia.

The LAC region is more demographically homogeneous than the other regions. Life expectancy is higher than elsewhere, and fertilit' moderate, though there are exceptions. Bolivia and Guatemala have the highest fertility rates the region, and Bolivia and Haiti have the low life expectancy.

This paper is a product of the Population, Health, and Nutrition Division, Population and Human Resources Department. Copies are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433. Please contact Sonia Ainsworth, room S6-065, extension 31091.

The PPR Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work under way in the Bank's Policy, Plarming, and Research Complex. An objective of the series is to get these fndings out quickly, even if presentations are less than fully polished. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions in these papers do not necessarily represent official policy of the Bank.

Copyright 0 1988 by the International Bank for Reconstruction and DevelopmentlThe World Bank
# CONTENTS

|Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|iii|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Acknowledgements.<br>. . . . . . .|. .|.|. .<br>.|. .|.|v|
|Introduction.<br>. . . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|1|
|Projection<br>Results.<br>. . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|1|
|Methods and Data Sources.<br>. . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|2|
|Summary of Results.<br>. . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|8|
|<br>Appendix: Sources of Populatio|n Da|ta|. . .|. .|.|17|
|References. . . . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|26|
|Tables. . . . . . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|27|
|Detailed Population Projections .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|49|
|World,Geographic Regions, and Inc|ome|G|roups.|.<br>.|.|49|
|World..<br>.<br>..........||||||50|
|Less Developed Countries. . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|52|
|More Developed Countries. . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|54|
|<br>Geographic Regions|||||||
|Africa. . . . . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|56|
|East Africa..<br>.......||||||58|
|West Africa . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|60|
|North Africa. . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|62|
|America..<br>.........||||||64|
|Latin America and the Carib|bea|n .|. . .|. .|.|66|
|Northern America. . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|68|
|Asia. . . . . . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|70|
|East and Southeast Asia . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|72|
|South Asia. . . . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|74|
|Southwest Asia. . . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|76|
|Europe and U.S.S.R. . . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|78|
|i||||||80|
|Oceana..<br>.........|||||||
|Income Groups|||||||
|<br>Low-Income Economies. . . . .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|82|
|Lower-Middle-Income<br>Economie|s . .|.|. . .|. .|.|84|
|Upper-Middle-Income<br>Economie|s . .|.|. . .|. .|.|86|
|High-Income Economies (Oil Ex|port|e|rs) . .|. .|.|88|
|Industrial<br>Market Economies .|. .|.|. . .|. .|.|90|
|Nonreporting<br>Nonmember Econom|ies|. .|. . .|. .|.|92|
|Latin America and|the Ca|ribbean||Haiti . . . . . . . . . . . .|150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|(IAC) Region (and|Northe|rn||Jamaica . . . . . . . . . . .|152|
|America). . . . .|. . .|. . . .|.<br>95|Montserrat. . . . . . . . . .|154|
|||||St. Kitts and Nevis . . . . .|156|
|America . . i.|. . .|. . . .|.<br>96|St. Lucia . . . . . . . . . .|158|
|Borrowers only.|. . .|. . . .|.<br>98|St. Vincent and||
|LAC Departmen|t I. .|. . . .|. 100|the Grenadines. . . . . . .|160|
|LAC Departmen|t II .|. . . .|. 10,;|<br>Suriname. . . . . . . . . . .|162|
|LAC Departmen|t III.|. . . .|. 104|Trinidad and Tobago . . . . .|164|
|LAC Departmen|t IV .|. . . .|. 106|Venezuela . . . . . . . . . .|166|
|LAC Department I||||LAG Department IV||
|Brazil. . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 110|Argentina . . . . . . . . . .|170|
|||||Chile . . . . . . . . . . . .|172|
|LAC Department I|I|||Ecuador . . . . . . . . . . .|174|
|Costa Rica. .|. . .|. . . .|. 114|Paraguay. . . . . . . . . . .|176|
|El Salvador .|. . .|. . . .|. 116|Peru. . . . . . . . . . . . .|178|
|Guatemala . .|. . .|. . . .|. 118|Uruguay . . . . . . . . . . .|180|
|Honduras. . .|. . .|. . . .|. 120|||
|Mexico. . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 122|Nonborrowers (Latin America||
|Nicaragua . .|. . .|. . . .|. 124|and the Caribbean)||
|Panama. . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 126|Cuba. . . . . . . . . . . . .|184|
|||||Guadeloupe. . . . . . . . . .|186|
|LAC Department I|II|||Martinique. . . . . . . . . .|188|
|Antigua and Ba|rbuda|. . . .|. 130|Netherlands Antilles. . . . .|190|
|Bahamas. . .|. . .|. . . .|. 132|Virgin Islands (U.S.) . .<br>.<br>.|192|
|Barbados. . .|. . .|. . . .|. 134|Other Latin America||
|Belize. . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 136|and the Caribbean . . . . .|194|
|Bolivia . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 138|||
|Colombia. . .|. . .|. . . .|. 140|Nonborrowers (Northern America)||
|Dominica. . .|. . .|. . . .|. 142|Canada. . . . . . . . . . . .|198|
|Dominican Rep.|<br>. .|. . . .|. 144|Puerto Rico . . . . . . . . .|200|
|Grenada . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 146|United States of America. . .|202|
|Guyana. . . .|. . .|. . . .|. 148|Other Northern America. . .<br>.|204|
PRE FACE Population projections for all countries are prepared by the Population and Human Resources Department of the World Bank every year. They are published first in summary form in the Bank's World Development eRort and later in greater detail as technical notes or working papers and, in alternate years, as a separate book.

This set of projections was prepared for World DeveloRment ReRort 1988. It appears for the first time in the Policy, Planning, and Research (PPR) Working Papers series. (Last year's edition appeared as a set of Population, Health, and Nutrition (PHN) Technical Notes.) No other publication is planned this year.

As was done last year, separate working papers cover each of the Bank's four regions: Africa (sub-Saharan); Asia (and Oceania); Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa (including the U.S.S.R.); and Latin America and the Caribbean (and Northern America). Combined, these papers cover all countries of the world.

The data format of these papers generally follows previous editions. Only minor changes have been made in the specific demographic indicators included.

We intend these papers to provide a convenient and up-to-date reference on the likely demographic future of each country, to facilitate the Bank's work of assisting them in planning more productive futures. We welcome comments on their utility, and how this might be enhanced.

Anthony R. Measham Chief Population, Health and Nutrition Division iii
# ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

A number of persons provided us with important information for this work or assisted us in preparing it in other ways. The Estimates and Projections Section of the U.N. Population Division has been continually supportive in providing us with data, often prior to its publication in their own books. We are grateful to the section chief, Y. C. Yu, and to his continually accomodating staff, as well as to the head of the division, Jean-Claude Chasteland. Through the U.N. Population Division, we also received data from the Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia (Celade).

World Bank country economists and population specialists in the operating divisions have also provided us with recent population estimates, bringing to our attention government reports we might not otherwise see. Among them, we wish to particularly acknowledge Althea Hill, who has in addition provided us with important analyses of her own.

This exercise was carried out using a personal computer program, PROJPC, written by Kenneth Hill of Johns Hopkins University. For this year's work, Hill undertook various revisions and refinements of the program that have speeded up the process.

As was its predecessor, the post-reorganization Population, Health and Nutrition Division has been hospitable to this work. Dean T. Jamison, the division chief during most of the period of this exercise, showed more interest in and enthusiasm for these figures than any of us would have predicted. His successor, Dr. Anthony R. Measham, has continued in the same supportive mode.

We also wish to acknowledge the interest of the Bank's International Economics Socioeconomic Data Division (IECSE), which not only consumes our numbers and incorporates them into the databases it maintains and publications it distributes but also helps coordinate communications with country economists.

Useful comments on the introduction were provided by Dr. Fred Sai and Susan H. Cochrane. In producing the manuscript, Ella Hornsby was responsible not only for typing and some data entry but also for coordinating the paper flow.

My T. Vu Eduard Bos Rodolfo A. Bulatao v
# INTRODUCTION

Population projections are reported here for the individual countries comprising one of the four World Bank regions. Companion papers in this series report projections for each of the other regions. Each paper also reports summary results for various geographic regions and income groups.

This introduction (included, for convenience, in each paper of the series) explains what projection results are provided in the detailed tables; describes the projection methodology; and summarizes and interprets the main results.

Caution is appropriate with most projections like these. They essentially involve working out the implications of assumptions (to be discussed shortly) about particular demographic parameter levels and trends. None of the descriptions of results below should be read as indicating certitude about the future. Instead, they should be read with a universal qualifier in mind, that population will follow the indicated path if the assumptions prove to be correct.

# Projection Results

The projections cover the period 1985-2150. Separate projections were prepared for 186 countries, economies, territories, or small-country groupings, covering the entire world. The length of the projection period is chosen to allow countries to approach stability, which for several is projected to take as long as two centuries.

Only one projection is reported per country, economy, territory, or group. Other projection exercises sometimes provide high and low options. Instead of providing multiple alternatives, we choose to give only our best estimate of the likely demographic future but to update this annually.

The detailed projection tables following this introduction contain two pages for each country. The first page gives projection results for every five years between 1985 and 2030, with population figures for years ending in 5 or 0 and demographic indicators for the intervening quinquennia. This information is provided:

- Population by sex and five-year age groups

- Birth rate, death rate, and net migration rate

- Rate of natural increase and population growth rate

- Total fertility rate (TFR) and net reproduction rate (NRR)

- Expectation of life at birth (e[O]) and at age ten (e[10])

- Probability of dying before age one (x 1000), labeled here the infant mortality rate (IMR)

- Probability of dying before age five (q[5])

- The dependency ratio (for exact years rather than quinquennia)
2 The second page adds results for every 25 years from 2000 to 2150 (as well as rates for the 1985-2000 period). This page provides fewer indices, including only the population by age and sex, the birth, death, net migration, and growth rates, total fertility, life expectancy, and infant mortality.

Most of these numbers are standard demographic indicators, but the infant mortality rate requires ome qualification. More properly labeled lqo, it is an index extracted .;:om a Coale-Demeny model life table chosen to provide an appropriate life expectancy. It need not, and often will not, correspond to an observed infant mortality rate.

# Methods and Data Sources

The key elements in chese projections are base-year (mid-1985) total population estimates and age-sex structures, base-period (1985-90) mortality, fertility, and migration rates, and assumed trends in the rates. These elements and additional assumptions that are made will all be described.

The basic methodology is identical to that used last year (see Zachariah and Vu 1988). Those familiar with the previous publication may therefore wish to skip to the summary of results. Data and sources have been updated; an Appendix indicates the sources for all base-year or baseperiod estimates.

# Total Donulation and age-sex comDosition

The estimates of total population in mid-1985 come from diverse sources. Where possible, estimates are Bank projections from reasonably complete censuses or official figures from governments with comprehensive population registration. Other official figures are also used, either from the U.N. Population and Vital Statistics Report or from government publications. When these figures do not pertain to 1985, 'hey are projected forward. Other sources of estimates include the U.N. 1988 revision of world population prospects (forthcoming), the U.N. 1984 assessment (published in 1986), Eurostat (1987), the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985), and Celade (1987). The specific source for each country is listed in the Appendix.

The 1985 population of each country was distributed by age and sex using a percentage distribution from either the latest census, adjusted for errors in age reporting, or the U.N. 1984 assessment (the 1988 revision was not yet available for this purpose).

# Mortality level and trend

The base-period mortality levels in the projections are represented by life expectancies obtained, sometimes indirectly, from a variety of sources. Most commonly, figures are based on official or other estimates appearing in PoRulation and Vital Statistics ReRort or government publications. Other figures are taken from the U.N. 1988 revision or the
3 Figure _L High Female Primary School Enrollment_ <!-- Start of picture text -->
1.2<br>1.0<br>-8*<br>-0.6  *<br>0.4<br>-- 0.202<br>O~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~l<br>0*0L0  I  I  I<br>30  35  40  45  50  55  60  65  70  75 80<br>Original (1965-69) female life expecancy<br>Vote:  Raw  data and fitted values based on regression equation.<br><!-- End of picture text -->

Figure 2. _Low Female Primary School Enrollment_ <!-- Start of picture text -->
1.2<br>1.0<br>0.8<br>.0.6  0<br>00<br>0<br>II  III<br>27  30  33  36  39  42  45  48  51  54<br>Original (1965-69) female life expectancy<br>Note:  Raw data and fitted values based on regression equation.<br><!-- End of picture text -->

Figure 3. _Expected Change in Female Life Expectancv Based on Initial Female Life Expectancy and Level of tnitisl Female Primary School Enrollment_ Figure _4. Age-Speci,pc Fertilry Patterns by Fertillty Level_ <!-- Start of picture text --> 0.6<br>0.5-<br>0<br>o 0<br>0.4,<br>20<br>0O.3<br>4 4iheaermrvshoerlm<br>A A~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~g<br>&H 0.2<br>01 0Lowfemaleprimarvschoolenrolmetmen,\<br>A Hi8h femaleprimarv school enrollment<br>0 I I I I t I 1 I 1<br>35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 8S<br>Initial female life expect.ancyAg<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> 30<br>25<br>I<br>I,<br>20<br>U I I<br>- -TF .0,<br>10<br>TFR mc 4.0<br>- T R > 6.0<br>0 I<br>15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49<br><!-- End of picture text -->
4 U.N. 1984 assessment. Other sources of mortality data include Eurostat (1987), the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985), Celade (1987), and various surveys. These sources often report mortality levels for periods other than 1985-90, or give indices other than life expectancies, or both. Some estimation and projection is then necessary to obtain the right index. In some cases, a mortality estimate is made first for an earlier period, and an estimate for 1985-90 obtained by applying the projection methodology being described here. Some Bank sources are also cited in the Appendix: Bank sector reports; Bank assessments, involving unpublished analysis of census or survey data; and Bank estimates, or informed judgments for which no further source can be cited (see Appendix).

The future trend in mortality in all countries was represented by steady increments to life expectancy, with smaller increases at higher life expectancy levels, and with different schedules of increments where few or where many females are in school.

The schedules of increments for female life expectancy were developed in earlier analysis involving regressions of change in female life expectancy between 1965-69 and 1975-79 on initial life expectancies in 196569, separately for countries with different levels of female enrolment. Life expectancies were obtained from Bank files and female primary school enrolment in 1965-69 from Unesco (1977). Female enrolment was used as a control because preliminary analysis confirmed a strong relationship (R<sup>2</sup> _ 0.50 over 30 developing countries) of female enrolment with current life - expectancy and a slightly stronger relationship (R<sup>2</sup> 0.53) with life expectancy lagged ten years. Countries were divided into two female enrolment groups: those with female primary school enrolment of 70 percent or more and those with female primary school enrolment of less than 70 percent.

Figures 1 and 2 plot changes in female life expectancy against initial levels for the two groups of countries. Also plotted are lines estimated through quadratic regression. The line for the low female enrolment group is almost linear. Female life expectancy was below 55 in al; countries in this group (with the exception of Saudi Arabia, which was considered an anomaly and is not represented). We assumed that the increments to life expectancy in this group would increasingly approximate the increments in the high female enrolment group once life expectancy passed 55. This produced a single unified schedule of increments diagrammed in Figure 3 and listed in Table 1.

Male life expectancies were projected either by applying roughly the same schedule of increments as female life expectancies or by first selecting female life tables and then adopting for males the parallel life tables of the same level and family. In either case, the maximum life-table level for males was set at one below the equivalent female level, imposing a slower improvement in male life expectancies. Life tables were chosen from among the Coale-Demeny models to provide the age distribution of deaths. These model life tables come in four families--North, South, East, and West--each of which has 25 levels. A
5 Table 1. Anrwat Increment In Femalo Life Expectancy

||Fannle primary<br>schoot enrollment|
|---|---|
|Female life||
|expectancy|Loss than<br>70 percent|
|at birth|70 percent<br>or more|
|35.0|0.33<br>0.39|
|37.5|0.35<br>0.44|
|40.0|0.38<br>0.47|
|42.5|0.41<br>0.50|
|45.0|0.43<br>0.52|
|47.5|0.45<br>0.53|
|50.0|0.47<br>0.54|
|52.5|0.47<br>0.54|
|55.0|0.48<br>0.53|
|57.5|0.48<br>0.51|
|60.0|0.47<br>0.48|
|62.5|0.45<br>0.45|
|65.0|0.41<br>0.41|
|67.5|0.36<br>0.36|
|69.4|0.31<br>0.31|
|71.1|0.27<br>0.27|
|72.6|0.23<br>0.23|
|73.9|0.20<br>0.20|
|75.0|0.16<br>0.16|
|.75.9|0.13<br>0.13|
|76.6|0.11<br>0.11|
|77.5|0.09<br>0.09|
|78.5|0.07<br>0.07|
|79.5|0.06<br>0.06|
|80.5|0.05<br>0.05|
|81.5|0.04<br>0.04|
|82.5|0.03<br>0.03|
6 26th level corresponding to a female life expectancy of 82.5 was added. The appropriate level for each time period was chosen given life expectancy, with interpolation if necessary between adjacent levels. Choice among life table families was based on region and mortality level, as follows: Region and mortality level Life table family Sub-Saharan Africa Below 12 South 12-17 North 18 and above West North Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, and the Caribbean Below 18 South 18 and above West Northern America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania All levels West Over time, countries in particular regions may therefore switch from one life table family to another. To avoid discontinuities, the switch is made gradually, using life tables linearly interpolated between the two families involved for five intervening periods.

# Fertility level and trend

Base-period total fertility rates (TFRs) are derived from the same mix of sources as mortality rates, including the U.N. 1988 revision; official sources, as cited in Population and Vital Statistics Reports or in government publications; the U.N. 1984 assessment; the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985); Eurostat (1987); and Celade (1987). We relied on two sources more frequently for information on fertility than mortality: various surveys, especially Demographic and Health Surveys and World Fertility Surveys; and the Institut National d'ttudes Demographiques (Monnier 1987). Often, all these sources give fertility for a different period or in terms of the crude birth rate, and corresponding TFRs had to be estimated using available data on age-sex composition and age-specific fertility, or obtained from a projection using an estimated TFR for an earlier period. Where no reliable source was available, an unattributed Bank estimate may be indicated in the Appendix.

Future fertility trends are specified by selecting a year when the net reproduction rate (NRR) reaches unity, i.e., when the average woman's fertility results in exactly replacing herself. (This is referred to here as the replacement year.) We explain below how the replacement year was selected; what was done for countries with NRR already below replacement; how the path of fertility between the present and the replacement year was specified; and what patterns of fertility by age were applied.

For all countries, the replacement year is assumed to be before
7 2050. Selecting the specific year was essentially a matter of collective judgment, aided by a particular regression procedure.

The regression involved predicting judgments of the replacement year from last year's exercise. These predictors were<sup>included in a</sup> stepwise regression: 1980-85 female life expectancy; 1980-85<sup>TFR; change in</sup> the crude birth rate from 1970 to 1980; family planning<sup>status; and a dummy</sup> variable for region, distinguishing East and Southeast Asia from other regions. Family planning status was coded as 3 for a<sup>strong family</sup> planning program (or contraceptive prevalence rate for the latest available date of 31 percent or higher); 2 for a moderate program<sup>(or contraceptive</sup> prevalence of 16-30 percent); or 1 for a weak program (or contraceptive prevalence of 15 percent or lower). All variables contributed significantly, except change in the crude birth rate, which was dropped from the equation.

This equation and a similar but not identical equation estimated for previous exercises (Zachariah and Vu 1988) were used to predict the replacement year. Results were very close between the two equations.<sup>The</sup> predictions were examined and chAnged where warranted, in our<sup>judgment, and</sup> after comparison with U.N. Population Division projected fertility<sup>trends</sup> (from the forthcoming 1988 revision).

For countries with fertility already below replacement level, the alternative assumptions applied were that fertility would remain at its current level up to 2000, and then gradually rise to<sup>replacement level by</sup> 2030.

For the replacement year, TFR is simply determined from the country's mortality level, and TFR for periods beyond that was kept at replacement. TFR for earlier periods was determined through<sup>a more</sup> complicated procedure. The entire period between 1985-90 and the replacement year was divided conceptually into three phases: an early, an intermediate, and a late phase. All countries were assumed to pass through the late phase, but some were assumed to skip the early phase, the intermediate phase, or both.

In the early phase, covering 1985-95, TFR remains constant or actually rises. Such a phase was defined for some subN-Saharan countries, particularly in the zone of high sterility in Central Africa. All other countries skip this phase.

In the intermediate phase, TFR declines at an accelerating pace, following a reverse geometric curve. This phase lasts up to 1995 or 2000 ,or many countries in Asia, Latin America, and North Africa. For all subSaharan African countries (whether or not they have an early phase), the intermediate phase lasts until halfway between 1995 and the replacement year.

In the late phase, the TFR decline decelerates, following a geometric curve, or TFR may actually rise (if fertility is below replacement), also following a geometric curve. This phase covers the
8 entire period to the replacement year not covered by the other phases. All countries with initial TFR under 3.0 exhibit only this phase. All other countries also go through this phase, though it may begin later.

The age pattern of fertility was allowed to change with its level. The age patterns when TFR is 7.6, 4.1, or 2.8 are shown in Figure 4. The - mean age at childbirth declines from 28.86 years when TFR 7.6, to 28.45 years when TFR - 4.1, to 27.98 years when TFR - 2.8. For intermediate TFRs, the age pattern falls between these curves.

# Migration level and trend

Estimates of international migration come from the U.N. 1984 assessment and the U.N. 1988 revision, documents prepared by the U.N. for the 1984 International Conference on Population, the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1985), Eurostat (1987), and Bank sources. To deal with the volatility of refugee movements in various parts of the developing world, only those are counted as migrants who are believed likely to remain permanently in the receiving countries.

Available data seldom include age-sex distributions of migrants, which were instead chosen in this manner. For each country, some estimate was made of the sex ratio among migrants. Based on this sex ratio, an appropriate age-sex distribution was chosen from among alternative models. This distribution was assumed to be constant over time, regardless of the total number of migrants.

Trends in the volume of migration are based on past trends, but are still essentially speculative. For most countries, net migration is assumed to decline to zero by the year 2000; for the remainder, net migration declines to zero by the year 2025.

# Summary of Results

Summary projection results are provided in Tables 2-12. (Tables 4-12 appear at the end of this Introduction.) In discussing these tables, we will summarize world population growth; note changes in these projections from previous versions; compare Oie four World Bank regions and 19 country departments; note other comparisons among geographic regions and groups of countries by income level; observe the results for some individual countries; and essay a brief conclusion.

# World poRulation

The projections show world population rising from 4.843 billion in 1985 to 6.205 billion in 2000 and 8.262 billion in 2025 (Table 2). From 1985 to 2025, the birth rate per thousand population will decline by 10 points, but the death rate will decline by less than 2 points. As a consequence, the annual growth rate will fall from 1.7 percent to less than 1 percent.
9 TabLe 2. Population Growth by Geographic Region, 1985-2025

||Poput<br>(millio|ation<br>ns)|Growt<br>(perc|h rate<br>ent)|Birth<br>(per|rate<br>1,000)|Death<br>(per|rate<br>1,000)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region|1985|2025|1985-90|2020-25|1985-90|2020-25|1985-90|2020-25|
|World|4,843|8,262|1.73|0.96|27.1|17.8|9.8|8.2|
|Africa|560|1,508|<br>3.06|<br>1.76|<br>44.8|<br>24.3|<br>14.2|<br>6.6|
|America|667|1,040|1.55|0.72|23.2|15.3|7.9|8.1|
|Asia|2,821|4,815|1.84|0.91|27.7|17.2|9.2|8.0|
|Europe, U.S.S.R.|771|864|0.48|0.14|15.0|12.9|10.3|11.5|
|Oceania|25|35|1.41|0.56|19.9|14.7|8.1|9.1|

Note: In all tables, figures may not add up to given totals because of rounding.

more people are now being added to the planet every year than ever before, even though the peak population growth rate (2.1 percent in 1965-70) is past. In 1987, about 88 million people were added, and this number will increase for another decade, eventually reaching about 92 million.

In the next century, the projections indicate that world population will continue to grow, though more slowly. Not until the 22nd century do the projections show population stabilizing. At that point, world population will probably be well above 10 billion. Changes in the oroiections Table 3 indicates that these projections involve important changes since the 1980 projections, but only minor changes since last year.

Since 1980, the world population for the year 2000 has been revised upward by 2 percent, because of a substantial upward revision for Africa and a smaller upward revision for Asia, only partly balanced by downward revisions for America and Europe. The current projections give a population for the entire continent of Africa in the year 2000 that is 8 percent larger than in the 1980 projections. This is based on ample recent evidence that fertility levels are more resistant to change than had earlier been assumed. For Asia, the change in the projections mainly concerns China. A recent upswing in the birth rate makes it less likely that Chinese fertility will soon dip below replacement and stay below for an appreciable period. In contrast to Africa, Latin America has shown larger fertility declines than previously projected. For Europe and other developed countries, the revision has mainly involved stretching out the period of below-replacement fertility.
10 Tabte 3. Population In 2000 and Stationary Population by Geographic Region and for Selected Countries (mifllins)

||Projection|<br>of 1980|Projection|of 1987-88|Current|projection|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Geographic region<br>or country|Population<br>in 2000|Stationary<br>population|Population<br>in 2000|Stationary<br>population|Population<br>in 2000|Stationary<br>population|
|World|6.075|9,867|6,176|10,650|6,205|10,806|
|Africa|805|2,071|875|2,531|**872**|2,506|
|America|847|1,267|824|1,216|825|1,224|
|Asia|3,561|5,569|3,634|5,974|3,657|6,087|
|**Europe and**U.S.S.R.|833|**922**|**818**|**888**|**821**|882|
|**Oceania**|28|38|29|41|29|40|
|Selected countries|||||||
|China|1,251|1,555|1,274|1,683|1,279|1,695|
|India|973|1,644|996|1,678|1.002|1,698|
|**Indonesia**|**203**|350|212|363|211|356|
|Brazil|201|345|178|292|**180**|306|
|Nigeria|153|425|163|529|163|529|

These revisions have affected the projected stationary populations dramatically. The eventual stationary world population now appears almost 10 percent greater than it did in 1980. For Africa in particular, the projected stationary population is now 21 percent larger than in the 1980 projections.

Aggregate changes since last year's projections, on the other hand, are minor. Projected world population in the year 2000 is up half of 1 percent this year as compared with last year. The largest revision for a geographic region is for Asia, but is barely above half of 1 percent.

Projections for practically all countries have changed, but in the majority of cases only minimally, and about as often upward as downward. The larger changes have been due more often to revisions in current demographic indicators rather than to revisions in assumed future trends. Current indicators may have changed, for instance, because of new data or new analysis of census or survey data. Revised current population estimates account for new projections for countries lilSe Swaziland, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Peru, and Papua New Guinea. Revised fertility estimates, often from Demographic and Health Surveys, account for new projections for countries like Nepal, Pakistan, Bolivia, Guatemala, and Nicaragua.

# ComRarisons among World Bank regions

The four World Bank regions, comprising all the borrower countries
11 Figure 5 Annual Growth Rates, 1985-90 and 2000 for World and Bank Regions <!-- Start of picture text --> 3.4<br>3.2<br>3.0<br>c 2.8<br>* 2.6<br>2.4<br>2.2<br>2.0<br>Li 1.8<br>1.6<br>1.4-<br>z 1.2-<br>1.0-<br>0.6-<br>0.4-<br>0.2-<br>World Africa EMN LAC Asia<br>Za 1985-90 2000<br><!-- End of picture text -->

# Figure 6 Contribution to World Population Growth by Bank Region. 1985-2150

<!-- Start of picture text --> 60<br>50<br>0<br>40-<br>o 30 -<br>1<br>Li 20 -[MN<br>0<br>(L<br>0-<br>1 980 2 000 2 020 2 040 2 060 2 080 2 100 2 120 2 140<br><!-- End of picture text -->
12 (listed in Table 14), together include 75 percent of the world's population. The regions have markedly different demographic characteristics and growth prospects (Tables 4-7).

At one extreme is the Africa region: with projected high fertility, mortality, and growth rates, it should double in population in 20 years. The stationary population will be four-and-a-half times the present total, assuming that all the sub-Saharan countries reach replacement level (essentially two-child families) within 50 years. If this goal is not reached, the eventual stationary population could be too large for any planner to contemplate. If, after 50 years, four-child rather than twochild families are attaired, the African population in the mid-21st century would instead be eight times its current size.

At the other extreme from Africa is the Asia region. As a result of low fertility in China, the Asian growth rate is low. With projected trends, the population will not double for 120 years.

The Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region has the lowest mortality among the regions, and, partly as a result, has higher growth than Asia. Its total population is likely to double by around 2040. Its stationary population will be more than twice the current total.

The Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa (EMN) region is demographically two distinct subregions. The European part has fertility and growth rates among the lowest in the world, but crude mortality slightly higher than in other subregions because of an older age structure. The Afro-Asian part has growth rates closer to those of the Africa region. Here, however, the fast pace of population growth is attributable to relatively high birth and low death rates. The total population of the EMN region is expected to double by 2025.

Population growth rates today and in the year 2000 are shown in Figure 5. The African growth rates stand out. Like rates in the other three regions, African growth rates decline, but less than elsewhere. By the year 2000, Africa will still be growing substantially faster than any other region is growing today. Eventually, the Africa region, despite now comprising only 9 percent of the world's population, will be contributing more to world population growth than any other region.

The Asia region now has more than half the world's population and contributes half the world's annual population growth. By the year 2000, Asia will be contributing 4 percentage points less of annual growth, and Africa's share will have increased by 5 percentage points. These relative contributions can be traced out further into the future (Figure 6). The Asian contribution is projected to drop until the mid-21st century, to 30 percent, and then rebound slightly. The African contribution will be rising until the mid-21st century, approaching 45 percent, before falling and rising again. These fluctuations essentially reflect the lag in Africa's demographic transition. Late in the 22nd century, by these projections, most world population growth will be taking place in Africa.
13 <!-- Start of picture text --> Figure 7<br>Crude Birth and Death Rates, 1 985-90<br>by Cou.nry Deporlmonl<br>50 ~_<br>Cs 40<br>Z W<br>IM~~~~~~W<br>SO~~~~~~ O- U- T r P ^ R T -<br>o-f~<br>Ar A2 A76 £r5 AFI £73 CM1 CMS &SI EIM2 AS4 LA2 LAS ASZ ASS LAl LA& AS3 EM4<br>7 Bleth %gt' D-ath rat.<br>Figure 8<br>Total Fertility Rate. 1 985-90<br>b;y Cou.nt.y Oopartn.n-n<br>7-<br>4<br>A4 A2 £ re rl £rS A£ EM3 CuI ASI EU2 AS4 LA2 LA3 ASS AS2 LAA LAI ASS EMu<br>C OU N T R Y O E P A R T M S N T<br><!-- End of picture text --> <!-- Start of picture text --> Figure 9<br>Life Expectancy, 1 985-90<br>80 - by Co..nfty Deportnm*nt<br>'0<br>z<br>A 50<br>40<br>3' 0<br>20<br>10<br>7F5 Ar2 Ar4 Ar3 AFI Ar6 ASI CMI AS ASS EM3 EMS2 AS2 LAI LAS LA2 LA4 AS5 EMb<br>C O U N T R Y D C P A R T M r N T<br><!-- End of picture text -->
14 Country departments within regions are fairly homogeneous in the Africa and LAC regions, more varied in Asia and EMN. Tables 4-7 provide the numbers and Figures 7-9 represent selected demographic indicators (see Table 14 for the countries in each department). The six Africa country departments have higher total fertility rates and lower life expectancies than any other country departments. Among these others, relatively high total fertility rates and low life expectancies are shown in three of the four EMN country dep_rtments (excluding the European department) and in the India and Other South Asia departments. Although fertility and mortality are projected to fall across the board, changes in these rankings of the country departments are expected to be minor for many decades.

# GeograRhic regions and income groups

Tables 8 to 10 present summaries for geographic regions, defined similarly to those used by the U.N., and for income groups (Table 15 lists countries by group). The geographic summaries are parallel to those just discussed, and require no further elaboration. A brief comment is appropriate on the low-income countries.

Of the 186 countries, economies, territories, or small-country groupings in these projections, 46 are classified as low income, with per capita incomes of US$425 or less (World Bank 1988). These low-income countries, most of them in sub-Saharan Africa and South and Southeast Asia, include almost half the world's population. If China and India are excluded from the group, the remaining countries will have a population growth rate of 2.8 percent, doubling in 25 years. Total fertility is very high in these remaining countries, averaging above six and likely to decline only to five by the year 2000. In that year, all developing countries combined will have a total fertility rate of 3.2. The potential for substantial and sustained population growth in the low-income countries is considerable, and may impose a growing and long-lasting burden on their economies.

# Some country results

Table 11 summarizes the population estimates by country, and Figures 10 and 11 show the ten countries in each Bank region with the highest fertility and the lowest life expectancy. (To complete the picture, the smallest countries or territories, those grouped under "Other," are listed in Table 12.) The current picture across countries--to pick out highs and lows-is this:

- China has; i.v largest population.

- O India concri.jn,A:ns most to the world's population growth.

- O Rwanda, Kenya, and Malawi have the highest total fertility. O Qatar has the highest growth rate.

- O Afghanistan and Guinea-Bissau have the lowest life expectancy.

As a result of differential growth, the demographic picture will be somewhat different in the future. For instance, by 2025, Nigeria should replace the
T O T A L F E R T I L I t Y R A T E L IF E E XP EC TA NC Y 0 0 - ~~~0 p.j **_be~_** 0 0 **_S. LA_** 0 0 0 0 **40 -0 te** **_5 A1_ 01 .** co GuineaBiSsau Sierra _ L'one _ Rvwanda _''k,kcl4 ._ ~ ~ - _N''\N_ Cuinea -alawi . _? -_ Cambia. Niger The : _ T )> Comoros N Niger zsr:rx _S_ 7 _&..A =-S N_ ' S -<m' r ---. _C_ Eq. 3 **t** cameo **JIl** . XrT7-TXTS'T7 _'2&ISSTS*_ Chlaid r Tanzanla ,XTE Ž.5 Sr 'CS__3 I Durrbiu 4 cW M-> 0UgandJaw¶r1 Nigeria -,;; _r_ R _Tr's-_ - ; -j5 'r' sy9. Aeen Yemen. Pakistan AnR. PD.b._ ________________________M_ Yemen A., __ n_ __4_~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ma A Af ,^llanistD Oman Afghanistan Saudi Arab4i Libya _X S._ ,_ '- >1 __r_ C->_ **r-** _v'cs_ . . Iran Itoran ° ca O On a= _a_ O _c_ f"°'5 **-** Syrian Pakeistan Pkstr anJO Yemn. A. A.R R. - kTrVW53STISXSXXI~WqS As '--- _l_ ' _. rrs-' x r_ 2?ZI53SS] _'r \s'_ Morocco :3 IQ Algeria Egypt Libya _ :3 - t\\ **_r1_** m Yemen, PD Algeria D.. _' rS t z SrcIS_ - **_9-_** - Bolivia - gCuatemala r _: AW\CJJ_ **Haeru** 0 0 Honduras &5SJSIC Guatemala El Sslvador \ 'a _ '-s - Niargu B~~~~~~~~~~~~elize El Salvadur - _Y XTT~IE_ \X **N** Rbondur-s~^ a Paraguay ;1 \\ J brazil = _ ux':rU Plyuad S Colombia Dumi<sup>4</sup> Lican Rep. **--** Pep. Yr **u.-** ' '\ \ amchean, solomon Island (J1 UUYNSX53SLX¶ZSXT2ŽX_XN XOXd Bhutan _ Nepal Nepal~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ea k0 t4aldtvvs i\C S.T_S.E S Z Z \ ' __3 Ban&gladesh La. **P.P.R** D.~ _tO_ Vaut .2UC.STTDZE.Mc 'T 'u rr Kiribati bnl.1 Indi . **sa** Kaldives ~ **~** ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - **~~~Ws** ccSmo P.9-1 SAM _rli . NN5Xw7N7 L.inJ _Solomon._ Island _'-_ **Kamlcu** _ :. _ Ur_ T¶a.

_-I_ 3 _(0_ CD (E _5_C)_ **P1** CZ) -.\1 Jr **ID** .

co
16 U.S.A. as the 4th largest country in the world, and the population of the African continent (including North Africa), now only 75 percent of that of Europe and the U.S.S.R. combined, will instead become 75 percent larger than Europe and the U.S.S.R.

Table 13 represents a more distant future, some time in the 22nd century, when all countries are projected to have reached stationary populations. At this point, India will be slightly larger than China (excluding Taiwan). Nine of the ten largest countries today will still be among the ten largest, but rankings will have changed. The U.S.S.R. will have fallen from 3rd to 5th and the U.S.A. from 4th to 9th, just ahead of Ethiopia. Nigeria and Pakistan, now 9th and 10th, will replace the U.S.S.R. and the U.S.A. as 3rd and 4th. Japan will fall all the way fromr 7th to 19th. Its stationary population will be smaller than that of countries like the Philippines, Iran, Kenya, and Tanzania.

Projected regional changes are also substantial, with the African continent accounting for 24 instead of its current 12 oercent of the world total, and Europe and the U.S.S.R. for only 8 instead of 16 percent. Clearly, some countries will grow tremendously if this scenario is attained. Rwanda will be six-and-a-half times its current size; Kenya and Malawi will be about six times their current sizes; and 19 other sub-Saharan countries will have at least five times as many people as they have now. Outside sub-Saharan Africa, only two small countries are projected to achieve such growth.

# Conclusion

These projections have been showing for several years that an increasing number of people are being added to the world population. World population growth rates may have fallen off slightly, but, as the base enlarges, the numbers added every year still continue to rise.

For Africa in particular, growth rates remain very high. Even assuming eventual declines in fertility similar to those in other regions-as these projections assume--African countries will soon have to cope with much larger populations, and the world as a whole with substantial rearrangement of demographic potential and demographic problems among .countries.

Like all projections, these depend on various assumptions that have been spelled out above. Some demographic trends could certainly be altered, but the scope for alteration is not unlimited, and in many cases very substantial effort will be required.
17 Appendix: Sources of Population Data

|ountry,<br>conomy,<br>or|Last cublis<br>P|hed censu<br>opulation|s<br>Source for population|Source for fertility|Source for mortality|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|erritory|Date|(1000)*|(mid-1985)|(1985-90, unless indicated)|(1985-90,<br>unless indicated)|
|anistan|Jun 79|13051 F|Bank projection from census,<br>adding refugees, assumed<br>to be abroad temporarity|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|lkbania|Oct 60|1626 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|ria|Sep87|22971 J|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|BasedonU.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|anerican Sam|oa Apr 80|32 J|USBOC<br>1985|||
|%ndorra|Nov 54|6 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86|--|--|
|ingola|Dec 70|5646 F|U.N. 1988 revisiorn (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|nguilla|--|-- -|UNPVSR<br>1/88|||
|iguaand<br>arbuda|Apr70|66 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)|1980-85, based on UNPVSR<br>7/86; 1985-90, Bank<br>projection|1980-85, based on UNPVSR<br>7/86; 1985-90, Bank<br>projection|
|entina|Oct 80|27947 F|CELADE<br>printout 2/87|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90. Bank<br>i|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>|
|||||projecton|projection|
|Aruba|Feb 81|60 J|UNPVSR<br>1/8B (official<br>est.)|||
|Australia|Jun 81|14576 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Austria|May81|7555 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Bascd on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|*amas|May80|223F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR<br>est., UNPVSR<br>7/86|Based on official<br>CMR<br>est., UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|,rain|Apr 81|351 F|Bank projection<br>from official<br>1986 est., UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|.gladesh|Mar 81|87120 F|Bank projection from census|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment and contra-<br>ceptive prevalence rate|Bank est.|
|rbados|may 80|244 F|Bank projection from<br>official<br>1984 est.|<br>1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank|
|||||projection|projection|
|Belgiui|Mar 81|9849J|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|Belize|may80|143 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on USBOC 1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|
|Benin|Mar79|3331 F|Bank projection from census|Bank assessment of 1961<br>survey and World Fertility|Bank assessment of Uorld<br>Fertility<br>Survey child|
|||||Survey|survival rates|
|Bermuda|May 80|68 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|--||
|Bhutan|Dec 69|1035 F|Bank projection from<br>official<br>1986 est.|Based on U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|Bank est.|
|BoLivia|Sep 76|4613 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Botswana|Aug 81|941 F|Bank projection from census|Based on official<br>est.,<br>Statistical<br>Bulletin<br>3/85,<br>Central Statistical<br>Office|Based on official<br>est.,<br>Statistical<br>Bulletin3/85,<br>Central Statistical<br>Office|
|Brazil|Sep 80|121149 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87(official<br>est.)|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>projection|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>projection|
18

|Country,<br>ta<br>economy, or<br>territory|stclubtis<br>P<br>Date|hedcensus<br>opulation<br>(1000) *|Source for population<br>(mid-1985)|Source for fertility<br>(1985-90, unless indicated)|Source for mortality<br>(1985-90, unless irdicated)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|British<br>Virgin|May80|12 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|--||
|islands||||||
|Brunei|Aug81|193 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Bulgaria|Dec 85|8948 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based onINED10/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Burkina Faso|Dec 85|7747 F|Bankprojection from census|Bank est.|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Burma|Mar83|35308 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on U.N. 1988 revision<br>(pretim.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Bururdi|Aug79|4114 F|Bank projection from census|Bank assessment of 1965,<br>1970-71, and 1979 censuses<br>and 1979 postcensal<br>|Bank est.|
|||||demographic survey||
|Cameroon|Apr 76|7090 F|Bank projection<br>from census,<br>adjusted for 7.4X undercount|1980-85, world Fertility<br>Survey; 1985-90, Bank<br>projection assuming<br>reduced sterility|Bank assessment of Uorld<br>Fertility<br>Survey child<br>survival<br>rates|
|Canada|Jun 86|25309 J|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)|Official<br>est.,<br>Population<br>Projections for Canada,<br>1984-2006|Official<br>est. (population<br>projections<br>for Canada,<br>1984-2006)|
|Cape Verde<br>|Jun 80<br>|296 F<br>|Bank projection<br>from census<br> <br> <br>|Bank assessment of official<br>CBR est.|Bank assessment of official<br>CDR est.|
|Cayman Islands|Oct 79|17 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|--|--|
|Central African<br>Rep.|Dec 75|2055 F|Bank projection<br>from census,<br>adjusted for 11.3XLradercount|Bank est.|Bank assessment of census<br>data on child survival|
|Chad|--|--<br>-|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Chamnel Islards|Mar86|136 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>7/86|Based on UNPVSR<br>7/86|
|Chile|Apr 82|11330 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|China (excl.<br>Taiwan)|Jul 82|1031883 F|Bank projection<br>from official<br>1984 est. using official<br>grouth rate of 1.08X|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Colarbia|Oct 85|27867 J|Official<br>est.|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Camoros|Sep 80|335 F|Bank projection from census,<br>excluding Mayotte Island<br>(population 50.74 thousand)|Bank sector report|Bank sxctor report|
|Congo, People's<br>Rep. of the|Jan 85|1854 F|Bank projection from census|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Cook Islands|Dec 81|18 F|USBOC<br>1985|||
|Costa Rica|Jun 84|2417 J|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|1980-85, Celade printout<br>2/87; 1985-90, Bank<br>projection|
|C6te dlvoire|Apr 75|6710 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>projection|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|CLba|Sep 81|9724 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on official<br>CBR|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Cyprus|Sep 76|613 J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on U.N. 1984|Based on U.N. 1984|
||||<br>|assessment|assessment|
19

|ountry,ka<br>econom<br>or|st publis<br>P|hed censu<br>lti|s<br> <br>S<br>f lti|<br>|<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|y,<br> <br>territory|<br>Date|pua<br>(1000) *|n<br>ource<br>or popuaon<br>(mid-1985)|Source<br>for fertitity<br>(1985-90,<br>unless<br>indicated|Source<br>for mortality<br>) (1985-90.<br>unless<br>indicated)|
|Czechoslovaki<br>|a Nov 80<br>|15283 F<br>|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)<br> <br> <br>|Basedon INED 10/87<br>|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|perierk<br>|Jan 81|5124 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Eurostat<br>1987|Eurostat<br>1987|
|Djibouti|60-61|<br>81 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|
|*inica|Apr 81|75 F|Bank projection<br>from census|1980-85,<br>based on official<br>data, Ministry<br>of Health;<br>1985-90,<br>Bank projection|1980-85,<br>based on official<br>data, Ministry<br>of Health;<br>1985-90,<br>Bank projection|
|Dominican<br>Rep.|Dec 81|5648 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim..)|
|Ecuador|Nov 82|8051 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|Based<br>on1987 DNS|1980-85.<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90;<br>Bank<br>projection|
|.-<br>pt, Arab<br>|Nov 86|48205 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on U.N. 1984<br>|
|Rep. of<br>|||||assessment|
|Salvador<br>|Jun 71<br>|3555 F<br>|U.N. 1980 revision (prelim.)<br>|Celade printout 2/87<br>|Celade printout 2/87<br>|
|Equatorial<br>|Dec 60|246 F|Bank projection from census<br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Guinea<br>|||and 1982 household listing<br>(350 thousand)<br>|||
|Ethiopia|May 84|42169 F|Bank projection from census|Bank assessment<br>of U.N.<br>data, with correction<br>for<br>1984 famine|Bank sector report, taking<br>into account 1984 famine|
|Faeroe Islands|Sep 77|42 J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|||
|Falkland<br>Island|s<br>Dec 80|2 F|UNPVSR 1/88 (official<br>est.)|||
|Fiji|Aug 86|715 F|Bank projection<br>from<br> <br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|
||||official<br>1986 est.|||
|Finland|Nov 80|4785 J|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>es..)|Based on UNPVSR 4/87|Based on UNPVSR 4/87|
|France|Mar 82|54335<br>F|Eurostat<br>1987|Eurostat<br>1987|Eurostat<br>1987|
|French<br>Guiana|Mar 82|73J|UNPVSR 1/88 (official<br>est.)|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|French<br>Polynes|ia<br>Oct 83|167 F|USBOC 1985|Based on USBOC 1985|Based on UNPVSR 4/87|
|Gabon|Oct 60|449 F|Bank projection<br>from<br> <br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|
||||unpublished<br>8/80 census|||
|abia,The<br>|Apr83<br>|696 F<br>|Bank projection<br>from census<br> <br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|aza Strip|Sep 67|356 F|U.N.1988<br>revision<br>(prelim.)|Based<br>an U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based<br>on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|ermanDem.Rep<br>|. Dec 81<br>|16706J<br>|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)<br>|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87<br>|Based<br>on UNPVSR<br>4/87<br>|
|Germany, Federa<br>R f|l May 70|60651J|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|ep. o||||||
|Ghana|Mar 84|12206<br>F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|<br>1980-85,<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90,<br>Bank<br>projection|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|
|Gibrattar|Nov 81|30 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86<br>(official<br>est.)|||
|Greece|Apr 81|9740 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86<br>(official<br>est.)|Eurostat<br>1987|Eurostat<br>1987|
|Greenland<br>|Oct 76<br>|50 J<br>|UNPVSR<br>7/86<br>(official<br>est.)<br>||--<br>|
|Grenada|Apr 81|89 F|Bank projection from<br> <br> <br>|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Guadeloupe|Mar 82|327J|official<br>1983<br>est.<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|U.N. 1988<br>revision<br>(prelim.|) Based<br>on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
20

|Country,<br>L<br>econowy, or<br>territory|ast olishe<br>P<br>Date|d<br>censu<br>opulation<br>(1000)*|s<br> Sourceforpopulation<br>(mid-1985)|Source for fertility<br>(1985-90, unless indicated)|Source for mortality<br>(1985-90, unless indicated)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Guam|Apr 80|106 J|Bank projection from official<br>1984 est., UNWPVSR<br>4/87|Bank est.|Based on USBOC<br>1985|
|Guatemala|Mar 81|6054 J|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>projections|
|Guinea|Feb 83|5781 F|Bank projection from census|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Guinea-Bissau|Apr 79|768 F|Bank projection frorm census|Bank est.|Bank eat.|
|Guyana|may 80|759 F|UIPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision(prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (preli'i.)|
|Haiti|Aug 82|5054 J|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Celade printout<br>2/87|Celade printout 2/87|
|Hoty See|Apr 48|1 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|--|-|
|Noncdras|Mar 74|2657 J|CELADE printout 2/87|Celade printout<br>2/87|Celade printout 2/87|
|Hong Kong|Mar 86|5396 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Bank est.|Based on U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|
|angary|Jan 80|10709 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on INED 10/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|celand|Dec 70|205 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on INED 10/87<br>|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87<br>|
|ndia|Mar 81|685185 F|Bank projection from census,<br>adjusted for 1.83X undercount|Bank assessment of Sample<br>Registration System data|Based on SwapLe Registration<br>System data|
|ndonesia|Oct 80|147490 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|1987 DHS|Bank assessment of 1985<br>intercensat survey|
|ran, Islamic<br>Rep. of|Nov 76|33709 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Iraq|Oct 77|12000 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Irelard|Apr 81|3443 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|Isle of M4an|Apr 86|64 J|UNPVSR<br>7/86|||
|Israel|Jun 83|4038 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Italy|Oct 81|56557 F|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|Jamaica|Jun 82|2206 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Japan|Oct 85|121049 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on INED 10/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Johnston Island|Apr 70|1 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|||
|Jordan|Nov 79|2133 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.);<br>11/79 census covered East<br>|Based on 1983 Family<br>Health Survey|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
||||Bank only|||
|Kampuchea, Den.|Apr 62|5729 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Kenya|Aug 79|15327 F|Bank projection from census,<br>adjusted for SX undercount|1980-85, based on various<br>national surveys; 1985-90,<br>Bank projection|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>projection|
|ribati|May 85|64 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (officiat<br>est.)|Based on USBOC<br>1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|
|Korea, People's|May 44|a F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on U.N. 1984|Based on U.N. 1984|
|Dem. Rep. of||||assessment|assessment|
|Korea, Rep. of|Nov 85|40432 F|Official<br>est., Economic|Based on U.N. 1984|Based on U.N. 1984|
||||Planning Board|assessmmnt|assessment|
|Kuwait|Apr 85|1697 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>1/88|Based on U.N. 1984|
||||||assessment|
21

|ountry,<br> <br>economy,<br>or<br>territory|Last owbtis<br>P<br>Date|hed censu<br>opulation<br>(1000) *|s<br>Source for population<br>(mid-1985)|Source<br>for fertility<br>(1985-90, unless indicated)|Source formortality<br>(1985-90, unless indicated)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,aoPeople's|Mar 85|3585 F|Bank projection from census|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Dem.Rep.||||||
|Lebanon|Nov 70|<br>2126 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Basedon U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|.esotho|Apr 76|<br>1217 F|Bank projection<br>from|Based on 1977 World|Based on 1977 WorLd|
||||urpwtlished<br>4/86 census|Fertility<br>Survey|Fertility<br>Survey|
|Liberia|Feb 84|<br>2102 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|1986 DhS|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|
|Libya|Jul 84|<br>3637 J|Bank projection<br>from census|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Liechtenstei|n Dec 81|<br>26 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86|||
|Luxeatourg|Mar 81|365J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|Macao|Mar 81|242J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|Based on USBOC<br>1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|
|Madagascar|74-75|7604 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank assessment of|Bank assessment of|
||||and 1980 budget survey|1980 survey|1980 and 1984 surveys|
|malaii|Sep 87|7983 F|Bank projection from census,<br>after excluding<br>refugees|Based on 1977 census<br>Analytical<br>Report|U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.)|
|laysia|Jun 80|13183 F|Official<br>est.|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Idives|Mar 85|<br>181 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Ii|Dec 76|6395 J|Bank projection from census|Bank assessment of 1960-61<br>survey and age data from<br>1976 census|Bank assessment of 1960-61<br>survey and age datafrom<br>1976 census|
|tta|Nov 67|316 F|Bank projection from<br>official<br>1982 est.|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|rtinique|Mar 82|<br>327 J|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|1980-85.<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90,<br>Bank<br>|<br>1980-85,<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90,<br>Bank<br>|
|||||projection|projection|
|Mauritania|Jan 77|<br>1420 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(pretim.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(preLim.)|
|Mauritius|Jul 83|<br>1000 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR 7/86|Based on UNPVSR 7/86|
|Mexico|Jun 80|66847 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(preLim.)|1980-85,<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>|
||||||projection|
|dway Island|s Apr 70|<br>2 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|||
|Monaco|Mar 82|<br>27 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|--|--|
|Mongolia|Jan 79|<br>1595 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|<br>Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1988 revision<br>(preLim.)|
|Montserrat|May 80|<br>12 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|<br>Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Morocco|Sep 82|20420 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|1987DHS|Bank est.|
|Mozambique|<br>Aug 80|11674 F|Bank projection from census,<br>adjusted for4Xurdercount|Bank est.|Based on official<br>CDR|
|Namibia|May 70|<br>762 F|Bank projection<br>from<br>unpublished 5/81 census|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.|) U.N. 1988 revision<br>(pretim.)|
|Nauru|Jan 77|<br>7 F|UNPVSR 4/87 (official<br>est.)|||
|Nepal|Jun81|15023J|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on 1986-87|Based on 1986-87|
|||||Demographic Sample Survey|Demographic Sample Survey|
22

|Country,<br>L|ast publis|hed censu|s|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|economy, or|P|opulation|Source for population|Source for fertility|Source for mortality|
|territory|Date|(1000) *|(mid-1985)|(1985-90, unless indicated)|(1985-90, unLess indicated)|
|Netherlands<br>Antilles|Feb 81|172 J|Bank est.|Based on USSOC<br>1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|
|Netherlands, Th|e Feb 71|13060 J|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|New Caledonia|Apr 83|145 F|USBOC<br>1985|Based on JNPVSR<br>1984<br>Special Supplement|Based on UNPVSR<br>1984<br>SpeciaL Supplement|
|New Zealand|Mar 86|3307 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|icaragua|Apr 71|1878 J|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|iger|Nov 77|5098 F|Bank projection from census|Bank assessment of 1959-60<br>survey and age data from<br>1977 census|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|igeria|Nov 63|55670 F|Bank projection from<br>official<br>data|Official<br>est.,<br>based on<br>U.N. 1980 assessment|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|
|Niue|Sep 76|4 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (officiat<br>est.)|||
|Norway|Nov 80|4091 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Oman|--|-.<br>-|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Pacific Islands,<br>Trust Terr.|Sep 80|133 J|Bank projection from official<br>1983est., UIMPVSR<br>4/87|Based on USBOC<br>1985|Bank est.|
|Pakistan|Mar 81|84254 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Panama|May 80|1825 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|1980-85, U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90, Bank<br>projection|
|Papua New Guine|a Sep 80|3011 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Paraguay|Jul 82|3030 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Celade printout<br>2/87|Celade printout<br>2/87|
|Peru|Jul 81|17005 F|Bank projection from census,|1980-85, Bank assessment;|1980-85. Bank assessment;|
||||adjusted for 4.1X undercount|1985-90, Bank projection|1985-90, Bank projection|
|.ilippines|May 80|48098 J|Bank projection from census,|Based on 1986 Contraceptive|Based on 1983 National|
||||adjusted for 1.9X undercount|Prevalence Survey|Demographic Survey|
|Pitcairn<br>Island|<br>Dec 85|b F|UNPVSR<br>4/87|||
|Poland|Dec 78|35061 J|Official<br>est.. StatisticaL<br>Year Book|Based on INED 10/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Portugal|Mar 81|9833 F|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|Puerto Rico|Apr 80|3197 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|1980-85, UNPVSR<br>1984<br>Special Supplement;<br>|1980-85, UNPVSR<br>1984<br>Special Supptement;<br>|
|||||1985-90, Bank projection|1985-90, Bank projection|
|Qatar|Mar 86|369 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based an U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|
|Reunion|Mar 82|516 J|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.)|
|Romania|Jan 77|21560 F|Bank projection from officiat<br>1984 est.. UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Rwanda|Aug78|4800 J|Bank projection from census<br>|Bank est.|U.N. 1988 revision (pretim.)|
||||and 1970 survey|||
|San Marino|Nov 76|19 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|||
23

|ountry,<br>L<br>conmny,<br>or<br>erritory|ast oubli<br>P<br>Date|shed<br>censu<br>opulation<br>(1000)*|s<br>Source for population<br>(mid-1985)|Source<br>for fertility<br>(1985-90,<br>unless indicated)|Source for mortality<br>(1985-90,<br>unless indicated)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Sao Tomeand|Aug 81|97 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|1980-85, based on UNPVSR|1980-85, based on UNPVSR|
|Principe||||1984 Special cupplement;<br>1985-90. Bank projection|1984 Special Supplefent;<br>1985-90, Bank projection|
|Saudi Arabia|Sep 74|7013 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Senegal|Apr 76|5069 F|Official<br>est.,<br>Situation<br>Economnique<br>duSenegalt 1985|1986 D4S|Estimatedfromcountry life<br>table prepared byD.Ewbank,<br>University of PemsyLvania|
|Seychtelles|Aug 77|62 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87|1980-85, based on UNPVSR<br>1984 Special Supplement;<br>1985-90, Bank projection|Based on UNPVSR<br>1984<br>Special Supplement|
|Sierra Leone|Dec 85|3516 F|Bank projection from census,<br>adjusted for 5% urdercount|Based on 1974 census|U.N. 1988revision<br>(pretim.)|
|Singapore|Jun80|2414 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86(official<br>est.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|SolomanIslands|Feb 76|197 F|USBOC<br>1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|USBOC<br>1985|
|Somalia|Feb 75|3253 F|Bank projection from census,<br>adjusted for 20%undercount|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|South Africa|May 80|25017 F|<br>U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|U.N. 1988 revision (preLim.)|
|Spein|Mar 81|37746 F|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|Sri Lanka|Mar 81|14847 F|UNPVSR<br>7/86 (official<br>est.)|1987DHS|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|St. Helena|Feb 87|<br>6 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 (official<br>est.)|--|-|
|St. Kitts<br>and Nevis|may 80|<br>44 F|Official<br>est., Statistics<br>Office,<br>Plarting<br>Unit|Based on official<br>data,<br>Statistics<br>office,<br>Planning<br>Unit|Based on official<br>data,<br>Statistics<br>Office,<br>Planning<br>Unit|
|St. Lucia|May 80|<br>115 F|Bank projection<br>from<br>official<br>1984 est.|Based on official<br>data,<br>Goverrnmen**t**<br>S atistical<br>Office|Based on officiaL<br>data,<br>Government<br>Statistical<br>Office|
|St. Pierre<br>and<br>Niquelon|Mar 82|<br>6 F|UNPVSR 1/88 (official<br>est.)|||
|St. Vincent|May 80|<br>98 F|Bank projection<br>from<br>official<br>1983 est.|1980-85,<br>Bank sector<br>report;<br>1985-90,<br>Bank projection|1980-85,<br>Bank sector report;<br>1985-90,<br>Bank projection|
|Sudan|Feb 83|20564 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Suriname|Jul 80|<br>352 F|Official<br>est., Central<br>Bureau<br>of Civil Affairs|Based on official<br>CBR|Based on official<br>CDR|
|Swaziland<br>Sweden|Aug 86<br>Sep 80|<br>676 F<br> <br>8320 J|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)<br>UNPVSR 7/86 (official<br>est.)|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)<br>Based on INED 10/87|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(pretim.)<br>Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Switzerland|Dec 80|<br>6366 J|Bank projection<br>from official<br>1984 est., UNPVSR<br>7/86|<br>Based on INED 10/87|Based on UNPVSR 4/87|
|Syrian<br>Arab Rep|. Sep 81|<br>9053 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Taiwan, China|Dec 80|17969F|Bank projection<br>from census|Based on USBOC 1985|Based on USBOC 1985|
|Tanzania|Aug 78|17513 F|Bank projection from census|Bank est.|Bank est.|
24

|Country,<br>L<br>economy, or<br>territory|ast ukbl<br>P<br>Date|ished<br>censu<br>opulation<br>(1000) *|s<br>Source for population<br>(mid-1985)|Source for fertility<br>(1985-90, unless indicated)|Source for mortality<br>(1985-90, unless Indicated)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Thailand|Apr 80|44825 F|Official<br>est., National<br>Economic<br>and Social|Official<br>est., National<br>Economic<br>and Social|Official<br>est., National<br>Economic<br>and Social|
||||Development<br>Board|Development<br>Board|Development<br>Board|
|Togo|Nov 81|2705 F|Bank projection<br>from census|Bank assessment<br>of 1961<br>and 1971 censuses|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|
|Tokelau|Oct 82|2F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|-|--|
|Tonga|Nov 76|<br>90 J|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Trinidad<br>and<br>Tobago|May 80|<br>1080 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|Based on 1987 OHS|1980-85,<br>U.N. 1984<br>assessment;<br>1985-90,<br>Bank projection|
|Tunisia|Mar 84|6966 F|Bank projection from census|Bank est.|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Turkey|Oct 85|50664 F|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|Turks and Caico<br>Islands|s Nay 80|7 F|UNPVSR<br>1/88 assessment|--|--|
|Tuvalu|may 79|7 F|UNP;3R 4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank est.|Bankest.|
|Uganda|Jan 80|12637 F|Official<br>est.|U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)|Bankest.|
|United<br>Arab<br>Emirates|Dec 80|<br>1043 F|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|Based on U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.)|<br>Based on U.N. 1984<br>assessment|
|United Kingdom|Apr 81|55678 F|Eurostat1987|Eurostat 1987|Eurostat 1987|
|United States<br>of America|Apr 80|226546 F|UNPVSR<br>1/87 (official<br>est.)|Based on 1981-84TFR, USBOC<br>1985,<br>and 1985 CBR, UNPVSR<br>4/87|Based on UNPVSR 4/87|
|Uru%ay|Oct 85|<br>2931 F|Bank projection<br>from<br>official<br>1986 est.|1980-85,<br>Celade<br>printout<br>2/87; 1985-90,<br>Bank<br>projection|1980-85,<br>Celade<br>printout<br>2/87; 1985-90,<br>Bank<br>projection|
|U.S.S.R.|Jan 79|262436<br>F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on INED 10/87|Based on official<br>1984-85<br>life table|
|Vanuatu|Jan 79|<br>111 F|USSOC 1985|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Venezuela|Oct 81|14517 F|Official<br>est.|1980-85,<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90,<br>Bank<br>projection|<br>1980-85,<br>U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelim.);<br>1985-90,<br>Bank<br>projection|
|Viet Nam|Oct 79|52742 F|Bank projection<br>from census,<br>adjusted<br>for 0.96X undercount|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Virgin Island<br>(U.S.)|s Apr 80|<br>97J|USBOC<br>1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|Based on USBOC<br>1985|
|Wake Island|Apr 70|<br>2 F|UNPVSR<br>4/87 (official<br>est.)|Bank est.|Bank est.|
|Watlis and<br>Futuna|Mar69|<br>9 F|USBOC 1985|--|-|
|Western Sahara|Dec 70|<br>76 F|UNPVSR 4/87|--|--|
|Western<br>Samoa|Nov 81|<br>156 F|U.N. 1984 assessment|Based on USBOC 1985|USBOC 1985|
|Yemen Arab Rep|. Feb 86|<br>9274 F|Bank projection<br>from|Bank assessment<br>of World|Bank assessment<br>of World|
||||6/80 census|Fertility<br>Survey|Fertility<br>Survey|
25

|Coumtry,<br>Last m ils<br>economy,<br>or<br>P<br>territory<br>Date|hed censu<br>opulati<br>(1000) *|s<br>on<br>Source<br>for population<br>(mid-1985)|Source<br>for fertility<br>(1985-90,<br>unlessIndicated)|Source<br>for mortality<br> (1985-90,<br>unlessindicated)|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|Yeen, People'sKay73<br>Dem.Rep. of|1590 F|U.N. 1988revision<br>(prelim.)|<br>Basedon U.N. 1984<br>assessment|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87|
|Yugoslavi<br>Mar 81<br>Zaire<br>Jut 84<br>Zambia<br>Sep 80|22425 J<br>29671F<br>**5680**F|WIPVSR 7/86 (officiat<br>est.)<br>U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)<br>Bank projection from census|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87<br>U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)<br>1980-85, Bank sector report;<br>1985-90, Bank projection|Based on UNPVSR<br>4/87<br>U.N. 1988 revision (prelim.)<br>1975-80, Bank sector report;<br>1985-90, Bank projection|
|Zimbabwe<br>Aug 82|7550 F|Bank projection<br>from<br>census|Bank est.<br>based<br>on officiat<br>contraceptive prevalence<br>rate<br>of 26X|U.N. 1988 revision<br>(prelir.)|

Notes: When a source for an estimate is directly cited (e.g.. UNPVSR 4/87), the estimate is taken as is from that publication. When an estimate Is "based on" a source, the estimate is not reported in but derived using data in that publication. When a source is given for a fertility or mortality estimate prior to 1985-90, the source for t e corresponding 1985-90 estimate is a projection usirg the earlier estimate. Citations for the main documents referred to here (usually by abbreviations) arein the list of references.

Nature of population estimate: F a de facto; J = de jure.

No census, or no fertility or mortality estimates and no projections made (the latter for small countries).

a Census was for entire peninsula. b 55 people.

CBR Crude birth rate. CDR Crude death rate.

Celade Centro Latino Americano de Demograffa (1987). DNS Demographic and Health Survey.

INED Institut National d'&tudes D6mographiques (Momier 1987).

TFR Total fertility rate.

UNPVSR United Nations, Population and Vital Statistics Report. USBOC United States, Bureau of the Census (1985).
26

# References

# Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia (Celade). 1987. 'Population projections.' Computer printouts. Santiago, Chile.

- Coale, Ansley J., and Paul Demeny (with Barbara Vaughn). 1983. Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations. 2nd ed. New York: Academic Press.

- Eurostat. 1987. DemograRhic Statistics. Luxembourg: Statistical Office of the European Communities.

- Monnier, Alain. 1987. "La conjoncture demographique: L'Europe et les pays developpes d'outre-mer,n Population 42(4-5):719-736.

- Unesco. 1977. Statistics of Educational Attainment and Literacy. 19451NA. Statistical Reports and Studies, no. 22. Paris: Unesco.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1984. Pooulation and Vital Statistics Report: 1984 SRecial SuppRement. New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. 1986. World Population Prosoects: Estimates and Proiections as Assessed in 1984. New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Dep&rtment of International Economic and Social Affairs. Forthcoming. World Population Prospects: 1988. New York: United Nations.

- United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Various years PoRulation and Vital Statistics Report. New York: United Nations.

- United States, Bureau of the Census. 1985. World PoRulation: Recent Demographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World. Washington, D.C.: U. S. Government Printing Office.

- World Bank. 1988. World Development ReDort. New York: Oxford University Press.

- Zachariah, K. C., and My T. Vu. 1988. World Population Projections: 1987-88 Edition. Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press.
27 Table 4. Population and Percentage Distribution by World Bank Region and Coamtry Department, 1985-2100

|Region and||Pop|ulation|(million|s)||Perc|entage|<br>of w|orld|populati|on|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|country<br>department|1985|1990|20 .|2025|2050|2100|1985|1990|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World total|4,843|5,2N:|6,au5|8,262|9,639|10,560|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|
|Borrowersandnon-borrowers|||||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|457|535|724|1,287|1,774|2,168|9.4|10.1|11.7|15.6|18.4|20.5|
|AsiaandOceania|2,573|2,803|3,272|4,185|4,713|4,997|53.1|53.1|52.7|50.7|48.9|47.3|
|Europe. Middle East,<br>and North Africa|1,147|1,224|1,383|1,750|2,003|2,190|23.7|23.2|22.3|21.2|20.8|20.7|
|Amierica|667|721|825|1,040|1,150|1,205|13.8|13.7|13.3|12.6|11.9|11.4|
|Borrowers only|||||||||||||
|Africa<br>Region|415|487|664|1,195|1,658|2,035|8.6|9.2|10.7|14.5|17.2|19.3|
|1Occidental and Central|40|47|64|113|155|<br>187|0.8|0.9|1.0|1.4|1.6|1.8|
|2Eastern|106|124|169|303|422|520|2.2|2.3|2.7|3.7|4.4|4.9|
|3South-Central<br>and|||||||||||||
|Irdian ocean|52|61|83|149|205|251|1.1|1.2|1.3|1.8|2.1|2.4|
|4Western|119|141|194|351|486|<br>593|2.5|2.7|3.1|4.2|5.0|5.6|
|S Sahetian|36|41|55|98|138|<br>173|0.7|0.8|0.9|1.2|1.4|1.6|
|6Southern|62|73'|<br>100|181|253|<br>310|1.3|1.4|1.6|2.2|2.6|2.9|
|Asia Region|2,382|2.603|3,056|3,948|4,473|4,756|49.2|49.3|49.3|47.8|46.4|45.0|
|1 other South|134|151|190|291|367|<br>423|2.8|2.9|3.1|3.5|3.8|4.0|
|2 Southeast|274|304|367|500|581|<br>626|5.7|5.8|5.9|6.1|6.0|5.9|
|3China|1,040|1,117|1,279|1.544|1,648|1,695|21.5|21.1|20.6|18.7|17.1|16.1|
|4 India|765|844|1,002|1,323|1,542|1,655|15.8|16.0|16.1|16.0|16.0|15.7|
|5 Indonesia and Pacific|168|184|218|290|335|358|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.5|3.4|
|_EWA_Region|476|536|667|997|1,249|1,425|9.8|10.1|10.7|12.1|13.0|13.5|
|1 Pakistan and Turkey|147|169|217|343|443|<br>519|3.0|3.2|3.5|4.2|4.6|4.9|
|2 North Africa|55|<br>63|81|123|<br>154|<br>172|1.1|1.2|1.3|1.5|1.6|1.6|
|3 Middle East|170|197|258|411|530|<br>609|<br>3.5|3.7|4.2|5.0|5.5|5.8|
|4 Europe|105|107|112|120|<br>122|<br>125|2.2|2.0|1.8|1.5|1.3|1.2|
|LAC Region|388|430|517|706|821|<br>879|8.0|8.1|8.3|8.5|8.5|8.3|
|1 Brazil|136|150|180|242|<br>278|<br>287|2.8|2.8|2.9|2.9|2.9|2.7|
|2 Central America|104|116|143|205|244|<br>263|<br>2.1|2.2|2.3|2.5|2.5|2.5|
|3 Caribbean ard Other|70|78|95|130|151|<br>159|1.4|1.5|1.5|1.6|1.6|1.5|
|4 Tenperate and Tropical|78|85|100|130|<br>148|<br>158|1.6|1.6|1.6|1.6|1.5|1.5|

Note: World Bark regions and coumtry departments are defined in Table 14.
28 Table 5. Annual Population Inereass and Growth Rate by Wsrld BSnk Reglon and Country Department, 1985-2100

||Arnual p|opulatio|n<br>ircre|ase (|millions)|Annu|al growt|h rate|(perce|nt)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Regionand<br>country<br>departmit|_<br>1985-90|2000|2025|2050|2100|1985-90|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World total|87.6|90.6|74.4|40.5|6.9|1.73|1.46|0.90|0.42|0.07|
|Borrowersandnon-borrowers|||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|15.7|20.8|22.5|16.9|2.2|3.17|2.87|1.75|0.95|0.10|
|Asia and Oceania|46.0|44.2|31.4|13.2|3.0|1.71|1.35|0.75|0.28|0.06|
|Europe, Middle East,|||||||||||
|and North Africa|15.3|15.8|13.0|<br>8.0|<br>1.3|1.29|1.14|0.74|0.40|0.06|
|America|10.8|10.0|<br>6.9|2.6|<br>0.7|1.55|1.21|0.66|0.23|0.06|
|Borrowers only|||||||||||
|Africa Region|14.5|19.5|21.5|16.1|2.0|3.22|2.94|1.80|0.97|0.10|
|I Occidental<br>and Central|<br>1.4|1.9|<br>1.9|<br>1.5|<br>0.2|3.31|2.91|1.69|0.94|0.10|
|2Eastern|3.7|4.9|5.5|4.1|<br>0.5|3.19|2.92|1.80|0.98|0.10|
|3 South-Central<br>and|||||||||||
|Indian Ocean|1.8|2.4|<br>2.7|2.0|<br>0.2|3.12|2.88|1.79|0.97|0.09|
|4 Western|4.4|5.8|<br>6.3|4.7|<br>0.6|3.36|3.01|1.80|0.97|0.10|
|5Sahelian|1.1|1.5|1.8|1.4|0.2|2.75|2.75|1.83|1.00|0.12|
|6 Southerm|2.2|3.0|<br>3.3|2.5|<br>0.3|3.32|2.99|1.82|0.98|0.09|
|Asia Region|44.4|42.5|31.2|13.4|<br>2.9|1.78|1.39|0.79|0.30|0.06|
|1 Other South|3.4|4.1|<br>3.6|2.4|<br>0.4|2.38|2.14|1.25|0.66|0.09|
|2 Southeast|6.0|6.1|<br>4.6|2.1|<br>0.6|2.08|1.67|0.92|0.36|0.09|
|3China|15.4|14.1|8.6|2.0|0.0|1.43|1.10|0.56|0.12|0.00|
|4 India|16.2|14.9|11.6|5.9|1.5|2.01|1.49|0.88|0.38|0.09|
|5 Indonesioa md Pacific|3.2|3.4|2.5|1.1|0.3|1.83|1.54|0.87|0.32|0.09|
|EDN Region|11.9|13.5|12.1|7.7|1.3|2.36|2.03|1.21|0.62|0.09|
|1 Pakistan and Turkey|4.5|4.8|4.9|3.4|0.4|2.84|2.23|1.42|0.76|0.08|
|2 North Africa|1.6|1.9|<br>1.5|<br>0.9|<br>0.2|2.66|2.29|1.22|0.57|0.10|
|3 Middle East|5.4|6.4|5.5|3.7|0.6|2.94|2.47|1.34|0.70|0.10|
|4 Europe|0.5|0.5|0.2|0.0|0.0|0.49|0.42|0.15|0.04|0.03|
|LAC Region|8.5|8.6|6.6|2.8|0.7|2.07|1.66|0.93|0.34|0.08|
|1Brazil|2.9|2.9|2.1|0.9|0.3|2.05|1.61|0.87|0.33|0.12|
|2 Central America|2.5|2.8|2.2|1.0|0.2|2.26|1.93|1.06|0.39|0.08|
|3Caribben<br>and Other|1.6|1.6|1.2|0.5|0.1|2.14|1.65|0.94|0.33|0.04|
|4 Tewperate and Tropical|1.5|1.4|1.0|0.5|0.1|1.79|1.38|0.79|0.32|0.06|

Note: World Bank regions and country departnents are defired in Table 14.
29 Tablo 6. Demographic Trends In World Bank Regions and Country Departments

||Popula|tion (milli|ons)|Stationary|Year||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||||population|when||
|Region and<br>couLntry<br>department|1965|2100|Station-<br>ary|asXof<br>1965<br>population|popula-<br>tion<br>douiles|Year<br>when<br>NRR=I|
|World total|4,843|10.560|10,837|224|2052|2045|
|Borrommrs and non-borrowers|||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|457|2,168|2,264|474|2009|2045|
|**AsIa**andOceania|2,573|4,997|5,115|199|(a)|2035|
|Europe, Middle East,|||||||
|and North Africa|1,147|2,190|2,233|203|2160|2045|
|Aerica|667|1,205|1,224|184|(a)|2030|
|Borrowers only|||||||
|Afrfca<br>Region|415|2,035|2,125|513|2008|2040|
|1Occidental and Central|40|187|<br>195|496|2008|2040|
|2 Eastern|106|520|544|515|2008|2040|
|3South-Central<br>and|||||||
|Indian Ocean|52|251|262|500|2009|2040|
|4 Western|119|593|619|519|2007|2040|
|S Sdielian|36|173|182|504|2011|2040|
|6Southern|62|310|323|525|2008|2040|
|**Asia**Region|2,382|4.756|4,843|203|2107|2035|
|IOther Swuth|134|423|439|327|2019|2035|
|2Southeaut|274|626|641|235|2036|2035|
|3 China|1,040|<br>1.695|<br>1,695|<br>163|(a)|2000|
|4Indio|765|1,655|<br>1,698|<br>222|2048|2010|
|5 Indonesia<br>and Pacific|168|358|<br>370|220|2052|2035|
|Ehk Region|476|1,425|<br>1,466|<br>308|2022|2045|
|1PakIstanand Turkey|147|519|<br>535|365|2016|2045|
|2Norn<br>Africa|55|172|177|322|2016|2025|
|3 NiddleEast|170|609|629|370|2013|2040|
|4Europ|105|125|125|120|(a)|2020|
|**LACRegion**|388|879|898|232|2038|2025|
|1Br ail|136|287|306|226|2044|2015|
|2 Contral America|104|263|267|258|2027|2025|
|3Caribbean and Other|70|159|165|234|2035|2030|
|4 Tmperate and Tropical|78|158|160|205|2087|2015|

Note: World Bank regions and country departments are defined In Table 14.

(a) Population will not double with projected rates.

M~ .
Table 7. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by World Bank Region and Country Department, 1985-2025 0

|Region and|||1|985-90|||||20|00|||||20|25|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|country<br>department|CBR|CDR|TFR|NRR|<br>e0|IR|CUR|CDR|TFR|NRR|eO|IhR|<br>CBR|CDR|TFR|NRR|<br>eO|INR|
|World total|27.1|9.8|3.435|t.450|64.6|67|23.2|8.6|2.964|1.300|67.3|51|17.3|8.3|2.266|1.059|71.9|28|
|Borrowers and rno-borrowers|||||||||||||||||||
|Sub-Saharan Africa|47.0|15.3|6.497|2.396|51.5|105|40.0|11.2|5.489|2.196|57.1|80|24.1|6.5|2.747|1.251|66.8|42|
|Asia and Oceania|26.1|8.9|3.232|1.367|64.0|64|21.5|7.9|2.617|1.157|67.3|47|16.0|8.5|2.149|1.008|72.2|25|
|Europe, Middle East,|||||||||||||||||||
|and North Africa|23.5|10.7|3.116|1.365|68.1|60|21.0|9.6|2.900|1.304|69.7|47|16.5|9.2|2.246|1.052|72.9|27|
|America|23.2|7.9|2.827|1.315|7C.1|<br>44|19.3|7.3|2.462|1.164|72.2|34|15.1|8.5|2.084|1.000|75.1|21|
|Borrowers only|||||||||||||||||||
|Africa Region|48.0|15.7|6.669|2.442|50.9|106|40.8|11.5|5.649|2.249|56.6|81|24.4|6.5|2.776|1.263|66.7|42|
|1 OccidentalandCentral|47.3|15.4|6.586|2.453|52.0|103|40.0|11.3|5.644|2.279|57.5|77|23.2|6.4|2.618|1.200|67.5|40|
|2 Eastern|48.3|16.1|6.736|2.435|50.1|108|41.1|11.9|5.698|2.240|55.6|84|24.7|6.8|2.820|1.270|65.9|45|
|3 South-Centralard|||||||||||||||||||
|Indian ocean|46.1|14.8|6.407|2.394|52.0|101|39.5|10.8|5.443|2.203|57.8|77|24.0|6.2|2.759|1.271|67.7|**38**|
|4Westerm|48.9|15.3|6.806|2.513|51.2|104|41.0|11.0|5.676|2.280|57.2|78|24.2|6.2|2.736|1.252|67.1|40|
|5 Sahelian|47.3|18.8|6.477|2.217|46.8|127|42.3|14.3|5.875|2.198|52.3|99|26.2|7.9|3.031|1.326|63.1|55|
|6 Southern|48.0|14.8|6.689|2.482|52.2|99|40.6|10.7|5.700|2.254|57.9|76|24.3|6.1|2.764|1.271|67.7|39|
|Asia Region|26.9|9.1|3.323|1.392|63.0|66|21.9|8.0|2.653|1.168|66.6|49|16.2|8.3|2.155|1.008|71.9|25|
|1 Other South|38.4|14.3|5.194|1.867|52.4|114|32.6|11.1|4.065|1.598|56.9|90|20.2|7.7|2.432|1.087|65.9|47|
|2 Southeast|29.0|7.8|3.598|1.56|6 64.2|56|23.5|6.7|2.826|1.290|67.9|40|16.6|7.4|2.123|1.008|72.5|22|
|3 China|21.1|6.7|2.400|1.090|69.5|33|17.9|6.9|2.161|1.001|72.0|25|14.5|8.9|2.099|1.00|075.2|15|
|4 India|31.6|11.4|4.261|1.67|7 57.1|84|24.0|9.1|2.958|1.256|62.0|62|17.0|8.2|2.159|1.00|0 69.5|31|
|5 Irdonesi**a**nd Pacific|29.0|10.7|3.637|1.475|57.3|84|23.9|8.5|2.760|1.200|63.0|58|16.7|8.1|2.145|1.00|2 69.8|30|
|EMN Region|34.7|11.1|4.747|1.94|7 60.9|83|29.0|8.8|3.866|1.659|64.4|62|19.3|7.3|2.362|1.08|7 70.1|34|
|1 Pakistan and Turkey|41.0|12.3|5.559|2.178|56.3|96|31.7|9.3|4.232|1.738|60.5|75|21.1|6.9|2.553|1.16|6 68.1|39|
|2 North Africa|35.7|9.1|5.056|2.121|61.7|72|29.7|6.8|3.740|1.678|66.0|46|18.1|5.9|2.114|1.01|6 72.0|23|
|3 Middle East|40.4|11.3|5.740|2.287|58.4|87|32.9|8.4|4.429|1.887|63.1|65|20.0|6.6|2.337|1.06|6 69.5|38|
|4Europe|15.0|10.0|2.040|0.964|71.6|<br>25|14.3|10.2|1.993|0.945|73.6|18|13.1|11.6|2.074|0.994|75.9|12|
LAC Region 28.7 7.2 3.602 1.618 66.4 56 23.1 6.2 2.762 1.285 69.6 42 16.4 7.2 2.102 1.005 73.5 25 1 Brazil 28.0 7.5 3.415 1.531 65.3 63 22.6 6.5 2.730 1.270 68.8 48 16.3 7.6 2.090 1.000 73.1 28 2 Central America 30.4 6.0 3.909 1.786 67.6 49 25.0 5.1 2.863 1.343 70.7 35 16.7 6.1 2.093 1.004 74.0 22 3 Caribboan and Other 30.2 7.5 3.725 1.623 65.3 60 23.4 6.5 2.795 1.275 68.5 42 16.7 7.3 2.149 1.021 72.6 26 4 Temperate and Tropical 26.2 8.2 3.416 1.559 67.7 51 21.1 7.2 2.633 1.231 70.5 35 15.9 7.9 2.090 1.000 73.9 18 Note: Crude birth rates (CBR)<sup>**and**crude</sup> death rates (CDR) are per<sup>1,000 population; total fertility</sup> rates (TFR) and net reprodcktion<sup>rates</sup> {"RR) are per woan 15-49 years of<sup>age; life expectancy at birth, E(0),isgiven in years; and infant mortality rates (INR) are per 1.000 live</sup> births. (See definitions in World Bank<sup>1988.) World Bank regions and country departments are defined in Table 14.</sup>
32 Table 8. Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region and Income Group, 1985*2100

|||Pop|ulation|(miLt|ions)|||Percen|tage<br>of|world p|opulat|ion|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region|1985|1990|<br>2000|2025|2050|2100|1985|1990|2000|2025|<br>2050|2100|
|World|4,843|5,282|6,205|8,262|9,639|10,560|<br>100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|100.0|
|Less developed (a)|3,665|4,069|4,938|6,925|8,311|9,226|75.7|77.0|79.6|83.8|86.2|87.4|
|More developed (a)|1,179|1,213|1,267|1,337|1,328|1,332|24.3|23.0|20.4|16.2|13.8|12.6|
|Africa|560|<br>652|<br>872|1,508|2,046|2,469|11.6|12.3|14.1|18.3|21.2|23.4|
|East Africa|231|<br>270|<br>365|<br>644|<br>885|1,078|4.8|<br>5.1|<br>5.9|7.8|<br>9.2|<br>10.2|
|West Africa|204|<br>239|<br>326|<br>585|<br>810|<br>994|4.2|<br>4.5|<br>5.3|<br>7.1|<br>8.4|<br>9.4|
|North Africa|125|<br>143|<br>181|<br>279|<br>356|<br>404|2.6|<br>2.7|<br>2.9|<br>3.4|<br>3.7|<br>3.8|
|America|667|<br>721|<br>825|1,040|1,150|1,205|13.8|13.7|13.3|12.6|11.9|11.4|
|Latin America and Caribbea|n 399|<br>442|<br>530|<br>721|<br>835|<br>894|8.2|<br>8.4|<br>8.5|<br>8.7|<br>8.7|<br>8.5|
|Northern America|268|279|295|320|315|311|5.5|5.3|4.8|<br>3.9|<br>3.3|<br>2.9|
|Asia|2,821|3,093|3,657|4,815|5,540|5,967|58.2|58.6|58.9|58.3|57.5|56.5|
|East and Southeast<br>Asia|1,648|1,779|2,050|2,535|2,765|2,879|34.0|33.7|33.0|30.7|28.7|27.3|
|South Asia|1,058|1,182|1,437|2,021|2,449|2,722|21.8|22.4|23.2|24.5|25.4|25.8|
|Southwest<br>Asia|115|<br>132|<br>170|<br>259|<br>325|<br>367|2.4|<br>2.5|<br>2.7|<br>3.1|<br>3.4|3.5|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|771|789|821|864|865|879|15.9|14.9|13.2|10.5|9.0|8.3|
|Oceania|24|26|29|35|38|40|0.5|0.5|0.5|0.4|0.4|0.4|
|Income group (b)|||||||||||||
|Low|2,447|2,703|3,250|4,481|5,341|5,927|50.5|51.2|52.4|54.2|55.4|56.1|
|Lower-middle|680|<br>766|<br>953|1,411|1,749|1,959|14.0|14.5|15.4|17.1|18.1|18.6|
|Upper-middle|592|<br>649|<br>769|1,031|1,194|1,287|12.2|12.3|12.4|12.5|12.4|12.2|
|High (oil exporters)|19|<br>23|<br>32|<br>54|<br>70|<br>80|0.4|<br>0.4|<br>0.5|<br>0.7|<br>0.7|<br>0.8|
|Industrial<br>market|741|<br>760|<br>787|<br>807|<br>774|<br>754|15.3|14.4|12.7|<br>9.8|<br>8.0|<br>7.1|
|Nonreporting<br>normwiter|364|<br>381|<br>414|<br>478|<br>517|<br>552|7.5|<br>7.2|<br>6.7|<br>5.8|<br>5.4|<br>5.2|

(a) "More developed"t comprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States ard Canada), AustraLia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

(b) Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1988. See listing in TabLe 15 of this paper.
33 TablO 9. Anmuul Population Increase and Growth **Rate** by Geographic Region and IncOne Group, 1985-2100

||AnnUal po|pulatio|n inCr|ease (m|illions)||Annt|Ual grow|th rate|(perce|nt)|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region|1985-90|2000|2025|2U50|2100||1985-90|2000|2025|2050|2100|
|World|87.6|90.6|74.4|40.5|6.9||1.73|1.46|0.90|0.42|0.07|
|Less developed(a)|80.8|86.4|_n.7_|40.7|6.9||2.09|1.75|1.05|0.49|0.08|
|More developed(e)|6.8|4.6|1.2|-0.5|0.1||0.57|0.36|0.09|-0.04|0.01|
|Africa|18.5|23.9|25.0|18.4|2.3||3.06|2.74|1.66|0.90|0.10|
|East Africa|7.9|10.3|11.2|8.2|1.0||3.15|2.83|1.74|0.93|0.10|
|West Africa|7.1|9.6|10.4|7.9|1.0||3.22|2.93|1.78|0.97|0.10|
|North Africa|3.6|4.1|3.5|2.3|0.4||2.66|2.24|1.27|0.64|0.09|
|America|10.8|10.0|6.8|2.6|0.7||1.55|1.21|0.66|0.23|0.06|
|Latin America and Caribb|ean 8.6|8.7|6.6|2.8|0.7||2.04|1.64|0.91|0.34|0.08|
|Northern America|2.2|1.3|0.4|-0.2|0.0||0.80|0.45|0.11|-0.07|0.00|
|Asia|54.4|53.8|40.4|19.4|3.6||1.84|1.47|0.84|0.35|0.06|
|EastandSouthOaSt Aaia|26.0|26.4|17.0|5.0|1.4||1.52|1.29|0.67|0.18|0.05|
|South Asia|24.9|25.1|21.4|11.9|2.4||2.22|1.75|1.06|0.49|0.09|
|Southwest Asia|3.4|3.8|3.3|2.0|0.3|4|2.73|2.26|1.26|0.62|0.09|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|3.7|2.7|1.0|0.0|0.0||0.48|0.33|0.11|0.00|0.00|
|Oceania|0.4|0.3|0.2|0.1|0.0||1.41|0.98|0.51|0.17|0.04|
|Income groUP(b)||||||||||||
|Low|51.2|53.6|45.7|25.6|4.7||1.99|1.65|1.02|0.48|0.08|
|Lower-middte|17.2|19.3|16.9|10.0|1.8||2.38|2.03|1.20|0.57|0.09|
|Upper-middle|11.4|11.8|8.9|4.4|1.0||1.84|1.54|0.86|0.37|0.08|
|High(oil exporters)|0.7|0.9|0.7|0.5|0.1||3.27|2.94|1.35|0.76|0.09|
|IndUStrial market|3.6|2.0|-0.4|-1.4|0.0||0.48|0.26|-0.05|-0.18|0.00|
|Nonraportin9nOnmem,er|<br>3.5|3.1|2.2|1.2|0.2||0.93|0.74|0.46|0.24|0.05|

Ca) "Wore developed" cO0Wrises EurOPe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "LeSS devOloped" cOaprises the rest of the world. Cb) Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1988. See listing In Table 15 of this paper.
TabLe 10. Estimted Fertility and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region ard Inco e Group, 1985-90, 2000. and 2025

||||1985-9|0||||2000|||||2025||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Region or|||||||||||||||||
|Incone<br>group|CBR|CM|R TFR|<br>NRR|<br>eO|INR|<br>C8R|CMR TfR|<br>NRR|<br>eO|INR|<br>CBR|CMR TFR|<br>NRR|<br>eOI|R|
|World|27.1|9.8|3.435|1.450|64.6|67|23.2|8.6 2.964|1.300|67.3|<br>51|17.3|8.3 2.266|1.059|<br>71.9|28|
|Less developed(a)|30.9|9.8|3.924|1.608|61.5|74|25.8|8.3 3.199|1.379|65.1|<br>56|18.2|7.6 2.300|1.070|<br>70.8|30|
|Nore developed(a)|14.8|9.6|1.919|0.931|74.3|19|13.3|9.9 1.924|0.923|<br>75.5|<br>14|12.6|11.1 2.046|0.988|<br>77.3|10|
|Africa|44.8|14.2|6.178|2.323|53.3|100|38.0|10.5 5.136|2.090|58.7|<br>75|23.1|6.5 2.659|1.217|67.6|40|
|East Africa|46.1|14.5|6.326|2.373|52.7|99|39.0|10.6 5.292|2.146|<br>58.2|<br>76|23.7|6.4 2.721|1.247|67.5|40|
|West Africa|48.3|16.2|6.684|2.431|50.3|110|41.1|11.8 5.713|2.259|<br>56.1|<br>83|24.4|6.7 2.775|1.257|66.2|44|
|North Airica|37.1|10.5|5.150|2.100|59.4|78|30.3|7.9 3.960|1.720|64.2|<br>55|19.0|6.3 2.270|1.065|<br>70.8|28|
|America|23.2|7.9|2.827|1.315|<br>70.1|44|19.3|7.3 2.462|1.164|72.2|<br>34|15.1|8.5 2.084|1.000|<br>75.1|21|
|Latin America and Caribbean|28.4|7.2|3.550|1.598|66.6|56|22.9|6.3 2.738|1.275|69.8|<br>42|16.3|7.2 2.100|1.004|<br>73.5|25|
|Northern America|15.2|8.8|1.866|0.899|75.5|12|12.9|9.1 1.880|0.908|<br>76.5|<br>10|12.3|11.3 2.037|0.987|<br>78.6|7|
|Asia|27.7|9.2|3.471|1.453|63.2|68|22.8|8.1 2.810|1.228|66.6|<br>51|16.7|8.2 2.199|1.026|<br>71.7|27|
|East and Southeast Asia|22.6|7.3|2.673|1.205|68.0|43|19.2|7.1 2.333|1.073|70.8|<br>31|15.0|8.7 2.105|1.001|<br>74.3|18|
|South Asia|34.6|12.2|4.704|1.803|55.8|94|27.2|9.6 3.376|1.411|60.5|<br>72|18.5|7.8 2.298|1.050|68.4|37|
|Southwest Asia|36.0|8.7|4.998|2.143|63.4|63|29.4|6.9 3.797|1.720|67.1|<br>47|18.7|6.3 2.228|1.046|<br>71.9|27|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|15.0|10.3|1.975|0.951|73.2|22|13.6|10.4 1.958|0.936|<br>74.6|<br>17|12.9|11.8 2.052|0.989|<br>76.5|12|
|Oceania|19.9|8.1|2.517|1.139|<br>72.0|39|17.9|8.3 2.398|1.115|73.3|<br>30|14.5|9.4 2.118|1.010|<br>75.9|16|
|Incose<br>group<br>(b)|||||||||||||||||
|Low|30.3|I0.3|3.821|1.540|61.1|78|25.3|8.8 3.149|1.334|64.6|<br>61|18.2|8.0 2.337|1.080|<br>70.4|32|
|Lower-middle|34.3|10.2|4.437|1.811|59.6|77|28.4|8.0 3.491|1.517|64.2|<br>56|18.9|6.9 2.200|1.078|<br>70.5|30|
|Upper-middle|26.5|7.8|3.355|1.523|67.5|45|22.4|6.9 2.810|1.308|70.2|<br>33|16.2|7.6 2.109|1.008|<br>73.8|18|
|High (olt exporters)|39.8|7.1|6.604|2.891|64.2|54|33.9|5.7 5.096|2.325|67.8|<br>39|19.2|5.7 2.179|1.038|<br>72.6|21|
|Industrial nerket|13.3|9.3|1.72|3 0.841|76.3|12|12.1|9.8 1.77|4 0.856|77.|2 9|<br>11.9|12.42.026|0.981|<br>78.7|7|
|Nonreporting nonenber|19.5|10.1|2.503|1.168|69.9|38|17.1|9.7 2.386|1.121|71.7|<br>31|14.9|10.4 2.133|1.018|<br>74.3|19|

Note: Crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDR) are per 1,000 popuLation; total fertility rates (TFR) and net reproduction rates (NRR) are per woman 15-49 years of age; life expectancy at birth, E(O), is given in years; and infant mortality rates (IMR) are per 1,000 live births. (a) 9W,'e developed" cooprises Europe, U.S.S.R., Northern America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealar,d, and Japan. "Less developed" comprises the rest of the world.

- (b) Criteria for income groups are given in World Bank 1988. See listing in Table 15 of this paper.
35 Table 11. Population Projections for **Atl** Countries or Economies, 1985-2025 (thousands)

|Country or econony|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Africa|559,m|652,164|756,939|872,085|995,825|1.124.517<br>|1,252,230<br>|1,380,274|1,507,611|
|Botswana|1,070|1,267|1,502|1,746|2,000|2,262|2,523|2,7M|2,997|
|Bururdi|4,696|5,435|6,321|7,374|8,491|9,666|10,855|<br>12,041|13,246|
|Comoros|395|474|565|665|773|<br>883|<br>994|1,106|1,215|
|Djibouti|350|405|473|550|637|733|835|940|1,046|
|Ethiopia|42,271|49,114|56,748|65,117|74,105|83,576|93,259|103,020|112,991|
|Kenwya|20,353|24,972|30,398|36,599|43,424|50,413|57,340|64,336|71,074|
|Lesotho|1,545|1,765|2,024|2,302|2,600|2,903|3,209|3,522|3,822|
|Madagascar|10,212|11,991|14,034|16,331|18,868|21,561|24,223|26,966|29,683|
|Malawi|7,141|8,443|10,002|11,719|13,595|15,619|17,690|19,777|<br>21,934|
|Mauritius|1,020|1,082|1,147|1,212|1,281|1,345|1,403|1,456|1,501|
|Mozairbique|13,791|<br>15,878|18,430|21,503|24,829|28,338|<br>31,971|35,561|39,321|
|Namibia|1,143|<br>1,342|1,561|1,800|2,059|2,333|2,607|2,891|3,172|
|**Reunion**|546|594|644|<br>690|<br>729|764|797|828|855|
|k4anda|6,026|7,156|8,634|10,248|12,022|13,940|15,937|17,979|20,111|
|Seychattes|65|68|72|<br>76|80|84|88|93|98|
|Somalt|5,384|6,239|7,280|8,464|9,796|11,248|12,768|14,245|15,772|
|South Africa|31,593|35,862|40,223|44,653|49,119|53,557|57,777|<br>61,580|65,199|
|SwaziLand|665|791|923|1,067|1,225|1,396|1,572|1,750|1,920|
|Tanzania|22,242|26,577|31,545|37,056|43,095|49,498|55,797|62,381|69,038|
|Uganda|14,680|17,240|20,151|23,452|27,149|31,142|35,244|39,399|43,666|
|Zaire|30,712|35,789|<br>41,459|47,715|54,497|61,615|68,657|75,965|83,184|
|Zambia|6,704|8,002|9,485|11,127|12,922|14,819|16,693|18,655|20,606|
|Ziffbabw.|8,406|9,949|11,565|13,243|15,001|16,812|18,606|20,288|21,786|
|East Africa total|231,010|270,435|315,186|364,709|418,297|474,507|530,845|587,552|644,242|
|Angota|8,754|<br>10,014|11,556|13,264|15,114|17,078|19,097|21,040|23,031|
|Benin|4,043|4,758|<br>5,641|6,636|7,716|8,866|10,033|11,199|12,391|
|Burkina Faso|7,881|<br>9,055|10,498|12,124|13,924|15,892|17,963|19,993|22,091|
|**camroon**|10,191|12,146|14,299|16,702|19,352|22,119|24,874|27,653|30,326|
|Cape Verde|327|369|421|477|541|604|667|730|<br>788|
|Central African<br>Rep.|2,583|2,963|3,420|3,942|4,489|5,056|5,627|6,204|6,799|
|Chad|5,018|5,672|6,414|7,251|8,155|9,116|10,101|11,0(7|12,038|
|Congo, People's Rep. of the|1,884|2,255|2,686|3,182|3,715|4,276|4,819|5,376|5,919|
|C6t- dl voire|10,252|12,428|14,827|17,393|20,082|22,757|25,360|28,017|30,559|
|Equxtorial<br>Guinea|373|417|473|534|598|665|735|<br>804|876|
|Gabon|997|1,135|1,309|1,496|1,690|1,896|2,114|2,338|2,564|
|Ganbia, The|748|<br>874|1,006|1,142|1,282|1,429|1,576|1,721|1,867|
|Ghana|12,737|14,974|17,506|20,291|23,266|26,290|29,309|32,328|35,215|
|Guinea|6,166|6,937|7,829|8,794|9,832|10,937|12,072|13,173|14,304|
|**Guinea-Bissau**|886|981|1,097|1,226|1,365|1,512|1,664|1,815|1,964|
|Liberia|2,178|2,565|2,999|3,479|4,010|4,576|5,137|5,721|6,301|
|**Kati**|7,389|8,374|9,610|11,030|12,631|14,399|16,294|18,170|20,134|
|Mauritania|1,764|2,012|2,315|2,675|3,079|3,514|3,969|4,417|4,882|
|Niger|6,391|7,447|8,727|10,164|11,757|13,493|15,304|17,053|18,861|
|Nigeria|99,669|118,271|139,600|163,507|189,424|216,518|242,920|270,343|297,915|
36 Table 11 (continued)

|Country or economy|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Sao**Tom6 and Prinmipe|108|124|140|157|173|190|207|221|235|
|SenegaL|6,567|7,601|8,826|10,168|11,596|13,054|14,453|15,894|17,336|
|Sierra Leone|3,657|4,139|4,713|5,338|6,020|6,758|7,538|8,319|9,088|
|Togo|3,038|3,606|4,251|4,962|5,738|6,558|7,373|<br>8,226|<br>9,073|
|OtherwestAfrica**(a)**|7|7|8|8|9|9|10|10|11|
|West Africa totaL|203,608|239,124|280,171|325,942|375,558|427,562|479,216|531,822|584,568|
|Algeria|21,718|25,290|29,215|33,388|37,731|42,172|46,541|50,646|54,340|
|Egypt, Arab Rec. of|48,503|54,780|61,022|67,333|73,881|80,408|86,594|92,101|97,271|
|Libya|3,764|4,538|5,447|6,410|7,391|8,309|9,241|10,149|10,978|
|Morocco|21,941|24,542|27,457|30,489|33,491|36,319|38,966|41,389|43,747|
|Sudan|21,931|25,268|29,287|33,685|38,409|43,303|48,092|53,091|58,143|
|Tunisia|7,143|8,008|8,947|9,890|10,793|11,627|12,388|13,141|13,902|
|Other North Africa**(a)**|155|179|207|239|274|310|347|383|420|
|North Africa total|125,155|142,605|161,582|181,434|201,970|222,448|242,169|260,900|278,801|
|America|666,926|720,623|774,334|825,459|873,797|919,493|962,711|1,003,424|1,040,364|
|Antigua**ard**Barbuda|80|86|93|99|105|<br>112|117|121|125|
|Argentina|30,564|32,686|34,586|36,335|37,949|39,568|41,209|42,749|44,118|
|Bahamas|231|257|284|310|332|352|371|389|406|
|Barbados|253|257|261|267|275|283|290|297|302|
|Belize|166|193|223|254|284|310|334|358|384|
|Bolivia|6,378|7,330|8,337|9,406|10,549|11,739|12,950|<br>14,136|15,231|
|BraziL|135,564|150,190|165,151|179,804|193,889|207,192|219,345|230,860|241,857|
|ChiLe|12.074|12,937|13,749|14,490|15,193|15,871|16,507|17,064|17,525|
|CoLombia|28,418|<br>31,171|34,147|37,003|39,628|41,981|44,252|46,498|48,610|
|Costa Rica|2,489|2,837|3,153|3,423|3,662|3,897|4,137|4,366|4,568|
|Cuba|10,090|10,500|10,943|11,379|11,771|12,088|12,351|12,570|12,747|
|Dominica|78|83|87|93|100|107|115|121|127|
|Dominican Rep.|6,420|7,180|7,961|8,731|9,469|10,169|10,821|11,461|12,081|
|Ecuador|9,378|10,682|12,038|13,406|14,749|16,016|17,158|18,254|19,335|
|**El**SaLvador|4,781|5,269|5,802|6,384|6,993|7,603|8,178|8,763|9,365|
|Grenada|96|105|115|125|134|143|152|162|170|
|Guadeloupe|334|340|349|361|374|389|404|418|431|
|GuatemaLa|7,973|9,209|10,523|11,930|13,436|14,989|16,529|18,008|19,338|
|**Guyana**|790|831|877|929|996|1,060|1,122|1,183|1,239|
|Haiti|5,933|6,518|7,191|7,932|8,711|9,497|10,282|11,041|11,762|
|**Horduras**|4,382|5,156|5,984|6,835|7,689|8,526|9,323|10,046|10,747|
|Jamaica|2,336|2,500|2,688|2,872|3,040|3,207|3,384|3,567|3,748|
|Mortinique|<br>328|<br>331|<br>330|<br>325|<br>320|<br>319|<br>322|<br>326|327|
|Mexico|78,524|87,279|96,855|106,776|116,269|124,853|132,934|140,871|148,442|
|Montserrat|12|12|12|12|12|13|14|14|15|
|NetherLands<br>Antilles|190|193|200|209|218|230|240|249|257|
|Nicaragua|3,276|3,865|4,486|5,135|5,807|6,489|7,163|7,798|8,367|
|**Panam**|2,180|2,412|2,638|2,854|3,053|3,245|3,432|3,608|3,765|
|Paraguay|3,696|4,283|4,862|5,423|5,960|6,472|6,942|7,396|7,841|
37 Table 11 (continued)

|Country or economy|1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Peru|19,383|21,706|<br>24,178|<br>26,661|<br>29,015|<br>31,184|<br>33,163|<br>35,106|<br>37,029|
|St. Kitts and Nevis|43|<br>40|<br>38|<br>37|<br>36|<br>37|37|39|<br>41|
|St. Lucia|137|<br>152|<br>168|<br>186|<br>203|<br>218|<br>233|<br>249|<br>265|
|St. Vincent and Grenadines|<br>117|<br>128|<br>138|<br>149|<br>161|<br>172|<br>182|<br>193|<br>202|
|Suriname|393|<br>440|<br>489|<br>535|<br>576|<br>614|<br>654|<br>694|<br>733|
|Trinidad and Tobago|1,185|<br>1,273|<br>1,354|<br>1,431|<br>1,511|<br>1,590|<br>1,670|<br>1,749|<br>1,019|
|Uruguay|2,970|<br>3,080|<br>3,189|<br>3,291|<br>3,399|<br>3,486|<br>3,576|<br>3,664|<br>3,745|
|Venezuela|17,317|<br>19,762|<br>22,116|<br>24,172|<br>25,999|<br>27,797|<br>29,643|<br>31,39S|<br>32,93|
|Virgin Islands (U.S.)|107|<br>120|<br>133|<br>145|<br>156|<br>166|<br>174|<br>181|<br>18|
|Other Latin America (a)|201|<br>222|<br>245|<br>267|<br>2a9|<br>307|<br>323|<br>340|<br>355|
|Latin America**and**the||||||||||
|Caribbean total|398,867|441,615|485,973|529,976|572,312|612,291|650,033|686,303|720,542|
|Canada|25,379|26,621|27,603|28,311|28,862|<br>29,335|<br>29,740|<br>30,036|<br>30,158|
|United States|239,283|248,814|257,020|263,278|268,576|273,663|278,577|282,581|285,038|
|Puerto Rico|3,282|<br>3,452|<br>3,611|<br>3,762|<br>3,912|<br>4,066|<br>4,220|<br>4,361|<br>4,482|
|Other Northern America (a)|<br>115|<br>121|<br>127|<br>132|<br>135|<br>138|<br>141|<br>143|<br>144|
|Northern America total|268,059|279,008|288,361|295,483|301,485|307,202|312,678|317,121|319,822|
|Asia|2,821,424|3,093,320|3,374,995|3,650,246|3,907,143|4,143,412|4,371,074|4,594,341|4,805,976|
|Bruiel|224|267|307|343|374|<br>397|420|442|<br>462|
|Burma|37,153|41,622|46,872|52,110|57,023|61,595|66,042|70,247|74,271|
|China (excluding Taiwan)|1,040,035|1,117,317|1,200,936|1,278,860|1,340,564|1,391,387|1,442,119|1,495,465|1,544,365|
|Taiwan, China|19,408|20,754|22,034|23,234|24,424|25,565|26,590|27,472|28,227|
|Hong Kong|5,337|5,707|5,988|6,197|6,362|6,510|6,650|6,774|6,864|
|Indonesia|163,393|178,901|195,076|211,a78|227,119|<br>241,152|254,315|267,175|<br>279,519|
|Japan|120,754|123,899|126,882|129,335|131,021|<br>131,655|131,385|130,577|<br>129,426|
|Kampuchea, Dem.|7,284|8,176|9,037|9,759|10,406|11,134|11,970|12,822|<br>13,588|
|Korea, Dem. People's Rep. o|f<br>20,385|22,797|25,326|27,837|30,222|32,445|34,463|36,398|<br>38,281|
|Korea, Rep. of|41,055|43,771|46,624|49,373|51,854|53,982|55,831|57,525|<br>59,050|
|Lao People's Dam. Rep.|3,594|4,059|4,674|5,369|6,101|6,834|7,549|8,305|9,092|
|Macao|392|446|490|523|547|<br>564|582|<br>599|<br>612|
|Malaysia|15,676|<br>17,523|<br>19,318|<br>20,929|<br>22,360|<br>23,7M|25,215|<br>26,592|<br>27,808|
|Mongolia|1,908|<br>2,173|<br>2,456|<br>2,748|<br>3,039|<br>3,321|<br>3,584|<br>3,823|<br>4,052|
|Philippines|55,819|62,258|68,991|75,965|82,839|89,221|94,876|100,236|<br>105,463|
|Singapore|2,558|2,687|2,801|2,890|2,967|3,032|3,084|3,116|3,128|
|Thailand|51,683|56,305|60,972|65,287|69,448|73,482|77,280|80,757|<br>83,862|
|VietNam|61,689|70,240|79,254|88,158|96,758|104,874|112,345|119,675|<br>126,966|
|East andSoutheast||||||||||
|Asia total|1,648,347|1,778,902|1,914,289|2,043,354|2,157,802|2,258,958|2,352,234|2,441,91|3<br>2,525,622|
|Afghanistan|18,087|20,352|22,779|25,398|<br>28,249|31,319|34,525|37,786|<br>41,032|
|Bangladesh|100,592|114,040|128,923|144,820|<br>161,17|8177,563|193,738|209,46|5 224,356|
|Bhutan|1,313|1,447|1,613|1,785|1,963|<br>2,145|2,319|2,496|<br>2,667|
|India|765,147|846,056|925,500|1,001,859|1,073,72|5<br>1,137,98|0<br>1,200,46|7 1,262,91|2<br>1,323,317|
|Iran, Islamic<br>Rep. of|44,212|<br>51,557|<br>60,138|<br>69,062|<br>78,042|<br>86,632|<br>95,391|103,94|6 111,719|
38 Table 11 (continued)

|Countryor ecornomy|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|2020|<br>2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Maldives|183|214|248|284|320|358|396|434|470|
|Nepal|16,625|<br>18,721|21,224|23,943|26,788|29,656|32,417|35,247|38,092|
|Pakistan|96,180|112,908|131,043|149,923|168,919|189,216|210,803|232,767|253,856|
|SriLanka|15,837|<br>17,124|<br>18,520|19,853|21,064|22,236|23,376|24,467|25,458|
|South Asia total|1,058,176|1,182,419 1|,309,988|1,436,927|1,560,248|1,677,105|1,793,432|1,909,520|2,020,967|
|Bahrain|417|486|556|:15|<br>661|701|<br>739|776|810|
|Cyprus|665|697|725|750|774|799|<br>823|842|857|
|Gaza Strip|510|586|<br>684|807|945|1,092|1,232|1,375|1,516|
|Iraq|15,898|19,086|22,929|27,096|31,405|35,495|39,631|43,654|47,331|
|Israel|4,233|4,579|4,912|5,237|5,542|5,836|6,111|6,375|6,608|
|Jordan|3,506|4,144|4,826|5,531|6,239|6,925|7,566|8,145|8,709|
|Kuwait|1,710|2,037|2,352|2,654|2,942|3,200|3,410|3,600|3,780|
|Lebanon|2,668|2,650|2,778|2,964|3,156|3,339|3,539|3,751|3,964|
|Oman|1,242|1,511|1,772|2,030|2,298|2,572|2,850|3,114|3,354|
|Qatar|299|<br>390|462|<br>526|<br>587|<br>641|<br>694|<br>741|<br>779|
|Saudi Arabia|11,508|<br>14,015|<br>16,935|<br>20,046|<br>23,191|<br>26,115|<br>29,051|<br>31,875|<br>34,419|
|Syrian Arab Rep.|10,458|<br>12,545|<br>14,741|<br>17,027|<br>19,382|<br>21,768|<br>24,052|<br>26,093|<br>28,060|
|Turkey|50,345|<br>55,967|<br>61,634|<br>67,034|<br>71,964|<br>76,385|<br>80,726|<br>85,102|<br>89,262|
|United Arab Enirates|1,350|<br>1,618|<br>1,851|<br>2,064|<br>2,253|<br>2,431|<br>2,588|<br>2,708|<br>2,804|
|Yemen Arab Rep.|7,955|<br>9,184|<br>10,691|<br>12,338|<br>14,113|<br>15,984|<br>17,884|<br>19,800|<br>21,757|
|Yemen, People's Dem.Rep|. of<br>2,137|<br>2,504|<br>2,870|<br>3,246|<br>3,641|<br>4,066|<br>4,512|<br>4,957|<br>5,377|
|Southwest Asia total|114,901|131,999|150,718|169,965|189,093|207,349|225,408|242,908|259,387|
|Europe and U.S.S.R.|770,751|789,462|806,032|820,746|832,740|842,577|851,013|857,722|863,673|
|Albania|2,962|3,291|3,614|3,904|4,159|4,401|4,647|4,883|5,097|
|Austria|7,555|7,533|7,495|7,452|7,385|7,309|7,230|7,137|7,027|
|BeLgium|9,858|9,847|9,813|9,755|9,665|9,562|9,450|9,336|9,209|
|Bulgaria|8,960|9,062|9,150|9,234|9,283|9,309|9,324|9,342|9,358|
|Channel Islands|130|<br>131|<br>131|<br>130|<br>129|<br>127|<br>126|<br>124|<br>122|
|Czechoslovakia|15,500|15,710|15,966|16,289|16,591|16,857|17,081|17,268|17,407|
|Dernark|5,114|5,089|5,061|5,022|4,979|4,928|4,866|4,790|4,696|
|Finland|4,908|5,000|5,057|5,081|5,086|5,082|5,071|5,042|4,989|
|France|55,170|56,269|57,345|58,357|59,081|59,646|60,122|60,539|60,821|
|German Dem. Rep.|16,644|16,627|16,637|16,636|16,596|16,529|16,436|16,302|16,163|
|Germany, Fed. Rep. of|61,035|60,466|59,771|58,807|57,569|56,238|54,676|53,027|51,438|
|Greece|9,919|10,105|10,250|10,367|10,448|10,480|10,476|10,463|10,460|
|Hungary|10,649|10,583|10,539|10,518|10,485|10,427|10,345|10,249|10,146|
|Iceland|241|252|263|272|282|291|299|306|311|
|Ireland|3,552|3,689|3,834|3,978|4,140|4,302|4,452|4,585|4,698|
|Italy|57,141|<br>57,550|<br>57,814|<br>57,894|<br>57,653|<br>57,139|<br>56,461|<br>55,716|<br>54,987|
|Luxembourg|366|365|362|358|353|346|339|331|323|
|Maltt|360|<br>359|<br>359|<br>364|<br>368|<br>370|<br>371|<br>370|<br>368|
|metherlands|14,491|<br>14,778|<br>14,982|<br>15,099|<br>15,149|<br>15,151|<br>15,115|<br>15,034|<br>14,890|
|Noniay|4,153|<br>4,206|<br>4,249|<br>4,279|<br>4,298|<br>4,309|<br>4,319|<br>4,322|<br>4,308|
|Poland|37,203|<br>38,548|<br>39,622|<br>40,688|<br>41,737|<br>42,761|<br>43,569|<br>44,238|<br>44,858|
39 Table 11 (continued)

|Country or ecomyW|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Portugal|10,157|10,271|10,408|<br>10,548|10,677|10,775|10,846|10,901|10,948|
|Romania|22,740|23,235|23,760|24,334|24,909|25,361|25,706|26,003|26,312|
|Spain|38,523|39,373|40,255|41,061|41,701|42,135|42,438|42,738|43,023|
|Sweden|8,350|8,367|8,363|8,343|8,306|8,267|8,227|8,171|8,085|
|Switzerland|6,458|<br>6,494|<br>6,496|<br>6,478|<br>6,435|<br>6,372|<br>6,294|<br>6,202|<br>6,090|
|United Kingdom|56,618|<br>57,205|<br>57,641|<br>57,913|<br>58,010|<br>58,077|<br>58,173|<br>58,250|<br>58,218|
|Yugoslavia|23,123|<br>23,816|<br>24,461|25,066|25,561|25,941|<br>26,229|<br>26,463|<br>26,667|
|Other Europe (a)|253|<br>264|<br>275|<br>287|<br>297|<br>307|<br>317|<br>328|<br>335|
|U.S.S.R.|278,618|290,977|302,059|312,232|321,408|329,778|338,008|345,262|352,319|
|Oceania|24,458|26,244|27,896|29,381|30,763|32,060|33,300|34,420|35,392|
|Australio|15,758|<br>16,813|<br>17,677|<br>18,336|<br>18,894|<br>19,379|<br>19,813|<br>20,170|<br>20,444|
|FiJi|700|<br>750|<br>805|<br>860|<br>912|<br>964|<br>1,019|<br>1,073|<br>1,123|
|French Polynesia|175|204|235|<br>266|<br>294|<br>318|<br>339|<br>360|<br>380|
|Guam|123|<br>138|<br>152|<br>166|<br>179|<br>191|<br>203|<br>213|<br>223|
|Kiribati|64|<br>69|75|<br>81|88|<br>95|<br>101|<br>108|<br>114|
|New Catedonia|150|<br>161|<br>172|<br>t85|<br>198|<br>210|<br>221|<br>231|<br>241|
|New Zealand|3,254|<br>3,354|<br>3,450|<br>3,548|<br>3,639|<br>3,715|<br>3,790|<br>3,855|<br>3,907|
|Pacific<br>Islands|48|164|182|202|224|246|265|283|301|
|Papua New Guinea|3,329|3,740|4,186|4,652|5,113|5,579|6,037|6,468|6,856|
|SolomonIslands|273|325|383|448|519|595|674|753|830|
|Tonga|97|104|113|122|132|142|153|164|174|
|Vawatu|131|151|174|198|225|254|285|317|<br>347|
|WesternSamoa|163|171|183|199|216|233|251|268|286|
|other MicronesIa (a)|23|25|28|30|33|35|38|40|42|
|Other Polynesia (a)|70|<br>75|<br>81|88|97|<br>104|<br>111|<br>117|<br>124|
|World total|4,843,331|5,281,816<br>|<br>5,743,944<br>|<br>6,204,958<br>|<br>6,645,894|7,064,02|2<br>7,472,393<br>|<br>7,876,265<br>|<br>8,262,434|
|Growth rate (percent) (b)|1.73|<br>1.68|<br>1.54|<br>1.37|<br>1.22|<br>1.12|<br>1.05|<br>0.96||

(a) For a listing of countries in the "otheru categories, see Table 12. (b) Average amuial growth rate over each five-year period. The projected average amuol growth rate for 1985-2000 is 1.64 percent. The projected rate for 2000-2025 is 1.15 percent.
40 _Table_ 12. Poplation of Countries **and** Economies in the Other" Categories

|Countries or<br>economies|Populatfon<br>1985<br>(thousands)|<br>Countries or<br>economies|Population<br>1985<br>(thousands)|
|---|---|---|---|
|other West Africa||Other Europe|250|
|St. Helena|7|Andorra|35|
|||FaeroeIslands|46|
|Other North Africa||Gibraltar|29|
|Western Sahara|155|Holy See|1|
|||Isle of Man|62|
|Other Latin America||Liechtenstein|28|
|and the Caribbean|201|Uonaco|27|
|Anguilla|7|San Narino|22|
|Aruba|67|||
|British Virgin Islands|12|Other licronesfa|23|
|Caymen Islands|22|Nauru|8|
|Falkland Islands|2|Tuvalu|8|
|French Guinana|83|Johnston Island|1|
|Turks and Caicos Island|s<br>8|Midsay Islands|2|
|||Pitcai<br>m|0.1|
|other Northern America|115|Tokelau Islands|2|
|Bernuda|56|wake Island|2|
|Greenland|53|||
|St. PierreandMiquelon|<br>6|Other PoLynesia|70|
|||Amwrica Samoa|36|
|||Cook Islands|18|
|||Niue|3|
|||Wallis and Futuna|Islands<br>13|
41 Table 13. Stationary Population for All Coumtries or Economies

|Stationary p|opulation|<br>Year||Stationary p|opulatio|n<br>Year|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>Country or econowy<br>Millions 1|AsX of<br>985 pop|<br>Wien<br>NRR-1|Couatry or econony|A<br> <br>Millions 1|s X of<br>985 pop|when<br>NRR=1|
|Africa<br>2573|460|2045|Kati|39|522|2040|
|Botsawna<br>5|441|2025|Nmiritania|9|527|2040|
|Burundi<br>24|504|2035|Niger|36|570|2040|
|Cooros<br>2|522|2030|Nigeria|529|530|2035|
|DJibouti<br>2|613|2045|Sia Tome and Principe|<br>0.3|<br>310|<br>2020|
|Ethiopia<br>205|486|2040|<br>Senegal|<br>30|454|2035|
|Kenya<br>124|608|2030|Sierra Leone|18|480|2045|
|Lesotho<br>6|398|2030|Togo|16|527|2035|
|Madagascor<br>52|506|2035|Other West Africa|0.01|186|2010|
|Malaui<br>42|590|2040|West Africa total|1038|510|2045|
|matwitius<br>2|168|2000|||||
|Nozaabique<br>74|537|2040|Algeria|81|374|2025|
|Namibia<br>5|478|2035|Egypt, Arab Rep. of|132|273|2020|
|Reunion<br>1|176|2005|Libya|17|463|2025|
|Rwanda<br>40|658|2040|Morocco|59|270|2020|
|Seychelles<br>0.1|186|2010|Sudbn|101|459|<br>2035|
|Somalia<br>30|565|2040|Tunisia|18|256|2015|
|South Africa<br>90|283|2020|Other North Africa|1|483|2035|
|Swaziland<br>3|495|2035|North<br>Africa<br>total|410|328|<br>2035|
|Tanzania<br>123|555|2035|||||
|Ugwxid<br>82|561|2040|America|1224|183|2030|
|<br>Zaire<br>142|464|2035|Antigua and Barbuda|0.1|170|2030|
|Zaibia<br>37|545|2035|Argentina|52|169|2005|
|Ziffabwe<br>33|394|2025|Bahamas|0.5|209|2005|
|East Africa total<br>1125|487|1045|Barbados|0.3|119|2030|
||||Belize|1|319|<br>2015|
|Angoloa<br>43|486|2040|Bolivia|24|372|2030|
|Benin<br>22|554|2035|Brazil|306|225|<br>2015|
|Burkina Faso<br>42|532|2040|Chile|20|162|2000|
|Camrroon<br>51|503|2030|Colarbia|59|209|<br>2010|
|Cape Verde<br>1|355|2025|Costa Rica|5|216|2005|
|Central African Rep.<br>**12**|461|2035|Cuba|12|124|2030|
|<br>Chad<br>22|431|2040|Deminica|0.2|197|2005|
|Congo, People's Rep. of the<br>10|541|2030|Dominican Rep.|13|205|2015|
|Cote d'lvoire<br>51|499|2030|Ecuador|26|274|2015|
|Equatorial Guinea<br>2|424|2040|El Salvador|13|276|2015|
|<br>Gabon<br>4|450|2035|Grenada|0.2|220|2010|
|Cabia,The<br>3|443|2040|Guedeloupe|0.5|'43|2010|
|_Ghan_<br>58|455|<br>2030|<br> <br>Guatemsla|29|369|2025|
|Guinea<br>26|417|<br>2040|<br>Guyana|2|192|2010|
|Guinea*Bissau<br>4|404|2045|Haiti|17|294|2030|
|Liberia<br>11|507|<br>2035|<br>ondouras|16|355|<br>2020|
42 Table 13 (continued)

||Stationary<br>po|pulation|||Stationary|population||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||Year||||Year|
|Country or economy|A<br>Millions<br>19|s X of<br>85pop|<br>when<br> NRR=1|Country or economy|Millions|As X of<br>1985 pop|when<br>NRRs1|
|Jamaica|4|189|2005|Philippines|137|246|2015|
|Martinique|0.3|87|2000|Singapore|3|114|2030|
|Mexico|187|238|2010|Thailand|99|191|2000|
|Montserrat|0.02|150|2015|Viet Nam|168|273|2015|
|Netherlands Antilles|0.3|157|2010|East and Southeast||||
|Nicaragua|13|382|2025|Asia total|2938|178|2035|
|Panam|4|205|2005|||||
|Paraguay|10|281|2015|Afghanistan|76|418|2045|
|Peru|48|250|2015|Bangladesh|342|340|2030|
|St. Kitte<br>and Nevis|0.1|128|2015|Bhutan|4|323|2035|
|St. Lucia|0.4|257|2015|India|1698|222|2010|
|St. Vincent and Grenadines|<br>0.2|209|2010|Iran, Islanic<br>Rep. of|169|382|2025|
|Suriname|1|235|2010|Maldives|1|411|2030|
|Trinidad and Tobago|2|182|2010|NepaL|63|377|2035|
|Uruguay|4|142|2000|Pakistan|423|440|2035|
|Virgin<br>Islands (U.S.)|40|231|2005|Sri Lanka|30|189|2005|
|Venezuela|0.2|204|2005|South Asia total|2805|265|2045|
|Other Latin America|0.4|216|2010|||||
|LatinAmerica and the||||Bahrain|1|237|2010|
|Caribbean total|912|229|2030|Cvprus|1|137|2005|
|||||Gaza Strip|3|517|2030|
|Canada|28|109|2030|Iraq|75|471|2025|
|United States (50 states)|279|116|2030|Israel|7|176|2005|
|Puerto Rico|5|148|2000|Jordan|13|357|2020|
|Other Northern America|0.1|130|2030|Kuiait|5|281|2015|
|Northern America total|311|116|2030|Lebanon|5|190|2010|
|||||Oman|5|427|2030|
|Asia|6118|217|2045|Qatar|1|363|2025|
|Brunei|1|246|2010|Saudia Arabia|54|471|2025|
|Burma|102|275|2020|Syrian Arab Rep.|42|401|2020|
|China (excl.<br>Taiwan)|1695|163|2000|Turkey|112|222|2010|
|Taiwan, China|31|160|1985|United Arab Emirates|4|270|2020|
|Hong Kong|7|124|2030|Yemen Arab Rep.|39|491|2040|
|Indonesia|356|218|2010|Yemen, People's Dem. Rep.|<br>9|410|2035|
|Japan|119|99|2030|<br>Southwest Asia total|<br>375|327|2040|
|<br>Kampuchea, Oem.|20|277|2035|||||
|Korea, Dem. People's Rep.|of<br>49|239|2015|Europe and U.S.S.R.|881|114|2030|
|Korea, Rep.|65|159|1985|Albwuie|6|204|2005|
|Lao People's Dem. Rep.|15|428|2035|AusWt a|6|80|2030|
|Macao|1|166|2005|Belgium|8|80|2030|
|Malaysia|33|213|2005|Bulgaria|10|107|2030|
|Mongolia|6|293|2020|Charnel Islands|0|80|2030|
43 Tabte 13 (continued)

||Stationary<br>p|<br>opulati|on||Stationary<br>po|pulati|on|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||||Year||||Year|
|Country or economy|<br> <br>Millions 1|As X of<br>965 pop|when<br>NRR=1|Country or economy|A<br> <br>MilLions 1|s X of<br>985 pop|<br>when<br>NRRr1|
|Czechoslovakia|19|120|2030|Yugoslavia|27|118|2030|
|Dernmark|4|77|2030|Other Europe|0.4|142|2020|
|Finland|4|91|2030|U.S.S.R.|398|143|2020|
|France|58|105|2030|||||
|GermanDen. Rep.|15|93|2030|Oceania|40|165|2030|
|Germany, Fed. Rep. of|40|66|2030|.ustralia|20|130|2030|
|Greece|10|102|2030|Fiji|1|193|2010|
|Hungary|10|92|2030|French Polynesia|0.5|284|2015|
|Iceland|0.3|<br>131|2030|Guam|0.3|221|2020|
|Ireland|5|144|2020|Kirabati|0.2|245|2025|
|Italy|4|81|2030|New Caledonia|0.3|198|2010|
|Luxembourg|0.3|<br>73|2030|New Zealard|4|123|2030|
|talta|0.3|<br>96|2030|Pacific Islands|0.4|270|2015|
|Netherlands|13|88|2030|PapuaNew Guinea|10|298|2025|
|Norway|4|94|2030|Solomon Islands|1|529|2035|
|Polard|48|130|2020|Tonga|0.2|245|2025|
|Portugal|11|104|2030|Vanuatu|1|441|2035|
|Romania|28|123|2030|WesternSamoa|0.4|240|2015|
|Spain|41|106|2030|Other Micronesia|0.1|230|2020|
|Sweden|7|87|2030|Other Polynesia|0.2|224|2010|
|Switzerland|5|79|2030|||||
|United Kingdom|56|9a|2030|World total|10837|224|2045|

Note: Populations of more than 1 million have been rounded to the nearest miltion.

(a) For a listing of countries in the "other" category, see Table 12.
44 Table 14. Countries and Econoeies Classified by World Ba* Region wnd Country Department

|Africa Region**(Sub-Sdarn)**|South-Central<br>and Indian Ocean<br>Department (AF3)|Southern Africa Department (AF6)<br>Botswana|
|---|---|---|
|Occidental and Central Africa|Burundi|Lesotho|
|Department (AFI)|Comoros|Malawi|
|Benin|Djibouti|Nozambique|
|Cmeroon|Madagascar|Swaziland|
|Central African Rep.|Rwanda|Tanzania|
|Congo, People's Rep. of the|Seychelles|Zorbia|
|CMted'Ivoire|Zaire|Zimbabwe|
|Equatorial<br>Guinea|||
|Gabon|Western AfricaDepartment<br>UAF4)|Nortorrowers|
|Guinea|Ghan||
|Togo|Guinea-Bissau<br>Liberia|Sub-Saharan Africa<br>Angola|
|Easte-n Africa<br>Department (AF2)<br>Ethiopia<br>Kenya<br>Mauritius<br>somalia<br>Sudan<br>Uganda|Nigeria<br>SboToneand Principe<br>Sierra Leone<br>Sohelian Department<br>(AFS)<br>Burkins Faso<br>CapeVerde<br>Chad<br>Gambia, The<br>Mali<br>Mauritania<br>Niger<br>Senegal|Nomibia<br>R6union<br>South Africa<br>Other West Africa|
|**Asia Region**and**emnia)**|Countr, Department<br>IV<br>India|East and Southeast<br>Asia<br>Brunei|
|Comtry Department I||Hong Kong|
|Bangladesh|Country Department V|Japan|
|Bhutan|Fiji|Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of|
|Nepal|Indonesia|Macao|
|Sri Lanka|Kiribati|Mongolia|
||Maldives|Singapore|
|Country Department II|Papus New Guinea|Taiwan, China|
|Burme|Somon Islands||
|Kampaches,<br>Dem.|Tongs|Oceania|
|Korea, Rep. of|Vanustu|Australia|
|Lao People'sDe<br>m Rep.|western Samel|French Polynesia|
|Malaysia||Guam|
|Philippines|Nonborrowers|NewCaledonia|
|Thailand||New Zealand|
|Viet Nam|Southwest<br>Asia|Pacific Islands|
||Gaza Strip|Other Micronesia|
|Country Department III|Israel|Other Polynesia|
|Chine (excluding<br>Taiwan)|||
45 Table 14 (contimued) Euatps **Niddie Ernt, ad** Nos d **Africm (EM) 9egihn Caw U.S.S.R.)** Europe and U.S.S.R. Albania Country Department I Country Departmnnt III (cant.) Austria Pakistan Oatar Belgium Turkey Saudi Arabia Bulgaria Syria Chamnel Islands Country Department 11 United Arab Emirates Czechoslovakia Algeria Yemen Arab Rep. 13 Denmrk Libya Yemen, PeopLes DOm. Rep. of finland Nalta France Morocco Country Department IV Germsn Dem. Rep. Tunisia Cyprus Germnry Federal Rep. of Hungry Greece Country Department III Poland Iceland Afghanistan Portugal Ireland BShrain Romania Italy Egypt, Arab Rep. of Yugoslavia Luxembourg Iran, slsmic Rep. of Netherlands Iraq Nonborrowers Norway Jordan Spain Kuaiat North Africa Sweden Lebanon Other North Africa Switzerland Omen United Kingdom Other Europe U.S.S.R.

Latin wci awd_ the Caewihbn C(AC) Region (C _O_ karthe _mn_ ric)_ Country Department IV Argentina Country Department I Country Department III Chile Brazil Antigua and Barbuda Ecuador Bah Paraguay Country Department 11 Barbados i Peru Costa Rics Belize Uruguay El Salvador Bolivia Guatem6la Colarbia Nonborrowers HNndiras Doomnica Mexico Dominican Rep. Latin America and the Caribbean Nicaragua ren da Cuba Panama Guyana Guadeloupe Hafti Nartinique Jamaica Netherlands Antilles Montserrat Virgin Islands (U.S.) St. Kitts and NeMis Other Latin America St. Lucia St. Vincent and the Mrenadines Northern America Suriname Canada Trinidad and Tobago Puerto Rico Venezuela United States of America Other Northern America
46 Table 15. Countries and Econmlies Classified by Income Group (based on GNP per capita In 1986 U.S. dollars)

**Lou incrm CS42 ar leo** t)

|East Africa|West Africa|South Asia|
|---|---|---|
|Burundi|Benin|Afghanistan|
|Comoros|BurkinaFaso|Bangladesh|
|Ethiopia|Central African Rep.|Bhutan|
|Kenya|Chad|India|
|Lesotho|Equatorial<br>Guinea|Maldives|
|Hadagascar|Gambia,The|Nepal|
|Malaui|Ghana|Pakistan|
|Mozambique|Guinea|Sri Lanka|
|Rwanda|GuineaBlissau||
|Somalia|mali|East and Southeast Asia|
|Tanzania|Mauritania|Burma|
|Uganda|Niger|China (excluding<br>Taiwan)|
|Zaire|Soo Tome andPrincipe|Kampuchea,Dem.|
|Zambia|Senegal|Lao People's Dem.Rep.|
||Sierra Leone|Viet Nam|
|North Africa|Togo||
|Sudan||Oceania|
||Latin Ainrica andthe Caribbean<br>Haiti|Vanuatu|
|Lomm-mnddtlelntme(**42-$1,8JO)**<br>East Africa|Latin America and the Caribbean|Southwest Asia|
|Botswana|Belize|Gaza Strip|
|Djibouti|Bolivia|Jordan|
|Mauritius|Chile|Lebanon|
|Numibia|Colaobla|Syrian Arab Rep.|
|Swazitland|Costa Rica|Turkey|
|Ziebabwe|Dominica|Yemen Arab Rep.|
||Dominican Rep.|Yeaen People'sDem.Rep. of|
|Uest Africa|Ecuador||
|Cameroon|El Salvador|East and Southeast Asia|
|Cape Verde|Grenada|Irdoresia|
|Congo. People's Rep. of the|Guatemata|Philippines|
|C6te dlIvoire|Guyana|Thailand|
|Liberia|Honduras||
|Nigeria|Jamaice|Oceania|
||Nicaragua|Kiribati|
|North Africa|Paraguay|Other Micronesia|
|Egypt, Arab Rep. of|Peru|Pacific<br>Islands|
|Morocco|St. Kitts ard Nevis|Papua New Guinea|
|Tunisia|St. Lucia|SolotonIslands|
|Other North Africa|St. Vincentandthe Greradines|Tonga|
|||WesternSamoa|
47 Table 15 (cantinued)

# 4U-.iddte Inc (mmro then **11b00)**

East Africa Latin America and the Caribbean Southwest Asia Reunion Antigua and Barbuda Cyprus Seychelles Argentina Iraq South Africa Bahanas Israel Barbados _omen_ West Africa Brazil Gabon Guadeloupe East and Southeast Asia Other West Africa M4artinique Brunei Mexico Hong Kong North Africa Montserrat Korea, Rep. of Algeria Netherlands Antilles Macao other Latin America Malaysia Europe Panam Singapore Greece Suriname Taiwan, China Hungary Trinidad and Tobago oalta Uruguay nceania Other Europe Venezuela Fiji Poland Virgin Islands (U.S.) French Polynesia Portugal Guam Romania Sauth Asia New Caledonia Yugoslavia Iran, Islamic Rep. of Other Polynesia **Nigh uneoit** e2qprters) Southwest Asia Southwest Asia (cont.) Bahrain Saudi Arabia North Africa Kuwait United Arab Emirates Libya Qatar instriat **mrket rcas** Europo (cont.) Northern America Italy Canada Europe Luxmadbeog United States of America Austria Netherland Puerwo Rico Belgiul Norway Other Northern America Charnel Islands Spain Denmark Sweden Asia Fintand Switzerlard Japan France United Kingdam Germany, Federal Rep. of Oceania Icelard Australia Ireland New Zealand soi tins rh_r eoe les Latin Awerica and the Caribbean Eurpe Cuba Albania West Africa Bulgaria Angola East and Southeast Asia Czechoslovakia Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of German Dem. Rep. Mongolia U.S.S.R.
# DETAILED

POPULATION PROJECTIONS WORLD, GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS, AND INCONE GROUPS
50 WORLD Population projection (thousands)

|.............................................<br>AGE GROUP|<br>1985|1990|....<br>1995|..............................................<br>2000|.............................................<br>2005|...................................<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N*F|4843331|5281816|5743944|6204958|6645894|7064022|7472393|7876265|8262434|8610781|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|2937m|322276|339712|344549|342236|338798|342657|349964|352037|347883|
|5-9|271971|286388|315196|333126|338638|337075|334415|339035|347005|349684|
|10-14|269115|269744|284222|313028|331058|336744|335397|332972|337805|345959|
|15-19|255939|266859|267600|282095|310881|328990|334826|333674|331453|336461|
|20-24|224350|252925|263911|264763|279277|308032|326236|332275|331381|329417|
|25-29|195212|221245|249709|260740|261725|276274|305011|323349|329631|329017|
|30-34|176440|192365|218296|246623|257708|258833|273423|302171|320662|327178|
|35-39|146076|173541|189435|215214|243389|254528|255794|270440|299210|317846|
|40-44|120095|143027|170237|186035|211603|239568|250736|252168|266875|295626|
|45-49|112478|116571|139237|166005|181622|206847|234446|245618|247254|<br>26196|
|50-54|9a882|<br>107748|111959|<br>134108|160164|175452|200086|227103|238240|2400137|
|55-59|85480|92749|101369|105597|126871|151792|166495|1902.a|216293|227255|
|60-64|65957|m99|84496|92618|96750|116641|139810|153639|175943|<br>200550|
|65-69|48709|56918|67272|73508|<br>80826|84710|102533|123234|133798|155989|
|70-74|35571|38673|<br>45627|54159|59395|<br>65536|68945|83916|101249|<br>111945|
|75+|37512|42343|47068|<br>54570|64528|73336|<br>82282|89560|104657|<br>125360|
|TOTAL|2437563|2660968|2895347|3126740|;346670|3553158|3753094|3949320|4135495|4302225|
|FEKALES|||||||||||
|0-4|281799|309669|326715|332000|330352|327464|331350|338444|340304|336036|
|5-9|260781|274428|302745|320584|32673|325977|323933|328600|336324|338719|
|10-14|255715|258600|272389|<br>300811|318817|325189|324693|322903|327784|335682|
|15-19|240868|253646|256689|270624|299113|317283|323850|323579|321990|327035|
|20-24|216046|238428|251296|254556|268614|297196|315533|322335|322299|320921|
|25-29|189062|213485|235874|248888|252311|266521|295180|313711|320743|320941|
|30-34|171720|186539|210952|233401|246472|250093|264433|293191|311896|319139|
|35-39|141721|169160|184013|208455|230862|244022|247814|262304|291129|309977|
|40-44|116650|139224|166481|181388|205739|228110|241316|245295|259892|288730|
|45-49|109680|114029|136445|163491|178312|202537|224786|238017|242137|256774|
|50-54|97240|106457|110857|133057|159678|174385|198356|220415|233603|237813|
|55-59|87575|93249|102333|106812|128566|154617|169089|192683|214418|227457|
|60-64|73169|8s23|87905|96824|101251|122365|147528|161630|184611|205786|
|65-69|56746|66455|75083|80451|88866|93223|113228|136973|150414|172292|
|70-74|46538|48179|57012|64810|69601|m54|81345|r9462|120839|133064|
|754|60459|66925|71807|82066|93946|104627|116864|127404|148555|178192|
|TOTAL|2405768|2620848|2848597|3078218|3299223|3510863|3719299|3926945|4126938|4308557|
|BIRTH RATE||27.1|26.0|24.2|22.2|20.5|19.4|18.7|17.8|16.7|
|DEATH RATE||9.8|9.2|8.7|8.5|8.3|8.2|8.1|8.2|8.4|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.73|1.68|1.54|1.37|1.22|1.12|1.05|.96|.83|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.435|3.270|3.065|2.b62|2.658|2.507|2.403|2.309|2.223|
|NRR||1.450|1.389|1.327|1.272|1.206|1.146|1.106|1.073|1.045|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|64.55|65.70|66.83|67.77|68.74|69.63|70.56|71.47|72.31|
|e(10)- BO|TH SEXES|60.01|60.65|61.32|61.82|62.38|62.89|63.44|64.00|64.52|
|INR- BOTH|SEXES|66.8|59.8|54.1|48.8|43.8|38.8|34.0|29.7|25.9|
|q(5)- BOT|H SEXES|.0970|.0859|.0767|.0684|.0604|.0523|.0446|.0379|.0322|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>65.6|63.0|62.3|61.1|58.2|54.4|52.0|51.4|51.3|51.|
51

**WARLD** PopuLation projection (thousands)

Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR0JP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|..<br>.<br>..........|...|.<br>.<br>....................||...<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL**M+F**|4843331|62049S8|8262434|9639483|10309803|10559541|10713734|10793800|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|23777|344549|352037|346880|345153|345060|345276|345426|
|5-9|271971|333126|347005|342917|343183|344155|344814|345166|
|10-14|269115|313028|337805|3388646|342204|343893|344663|345025|
|15-19|255939|282095|331453|338783|342694|343917|344422|344729|
|20-24|224350|264763|331381|3427V#8|343443|343416|343729|344101|
|25-29|195212|260740|329631|344461|342343|341827|342602|343307|
|30-34|176440|246623|320662|3395.28|338074|339516|341418|342538|
|35-39|146076|215214|299210|3281304|332905|337642|340471|341817|
|40-44|120095|186035|266875|320266|331132|336805|339461|340683|
|45-49|112478|166005|247254|316782|332202|335186|336996|338173|
|50-54|96882|134108|238240|308932|328224|329291|331217|333058|
|55-59|ss480|<br>105597|216293|289572|313090|315855|320478|323709|
|60-64|65957|92618|175941;|253359|286069|295083|303688|308149|
|65-69|48709|73508|1357M3|203253|252781|268238|278541|283212|
|70-74|35571|<br>54159|<br>101249|<br>159137|213148|231184|240041|244277|
|75+|37512|<br>54570|<br>104657|<br>213906|<br>307412|<br>355265|<br>380081|<br>394824|
|TOTAL|2437563|3126740|4135495|<br>478s242|<br>5094057|<br>5206333|<br>5277899|<br>5318194|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|281799|332000|340304|334360|332094|331521|331335|331323|
|5-9|260781|320584|336324|331191|330726|331061|331208|331290|
|10-14|255715|300811|327784|327749|330183|331139|331325|331332|
|15-19|240868|270624|32199O|328505|331225|331639|331488|331352|
|20-24|216046|254556|322299|333470|332886|331867|331426|331266|
|25-29|189062|248888|320743;|336294|332732|331121|331006|331088|
|30-34|171720|233401|311896,|332506|329419|329648|330528|330925|
|35-39|141721|208455|29112S9|322894|325340|328692|330383|330894|
|40-44|116650|181388|259892|315489|325033|329034|330466|330749|
|45-49|109680|163491|242137|313336|328117|329386|329818|329955|
|50-54|97240|133057|233603|307977|327700|326851|327344|328025|
|55-59|87575|106812|214418|293467|318655|319430|322673|324668|
|60-64|73169|96824|184611|264728|300709|308352|315963|319243|
|65-69|56746|80451|150414|222434|278896|294971|305070|308804|
|70-74|46538|64810|120839|186348|251468|273478|283572|287294|
|75+|60459|82066|148555|300493|440562|<br>525018|<br>572229|<br>597399|
|TOTAL|2405768|3078218|4126938|4851242|5215746|5353207|5435835|5475606|
|BIRTH RATE||25.7|19.6|15.4|13.7|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||9.2|8.2|9.2|11.0|12.1|12.2|12.4|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.65|1.15|.62|.27|.10|.06|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.246|2.533|2.135|2.077|2.068|2.060|2.056|
|**e(O)**- BOTH|SEXES|65.75|69.74|73.69|76.15|77.62|78.91|79.55|
|**INR**- BOTH|SEXES|60.1|39.0|20.6|12.7|9.5|7.0|5.5|
2 LESS DEVELOPED COtNTRLES Poputation projection (thouseifds)

|...............<br>...<br>AGE GROUP|....<br>.................<br>1985|.......................<br>1990|1995|<br>2000|..............<br>2005|.<br>...<br>...<br>..<br>....<br>2010|...<br>..........<br>2015|-......<br>......<br>2020|....<br>.............<br>2025|...<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>.......<br>...............|<br>..|<br>..................................|||<br>..............|<br>..........|<br>.......<br>. ...|<br>...<br>....<br>_**.**. ..........|<br>.........|<br>|
|TOTAL M+F|3664755|4069279|4501542|4937509|5358114|5759494|6153714|6546824|6925160|7270440|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|249739|278211|296260|302268|300067|296443|300101|307423|309500|305190|
|5-9|228049|242433|271224|289779|296462|295006|<br>292157|296573|304549|<br>307227|
|10-14|224491|225827|<br>240291|269100|287763|294618|293378|290765|295391|303551|
|15-19|209885|222275|223741|238242|267039|285778|292779|291733|289321|294121|
|20-24|175086|206897|219388|221011|235551|264320|283149|290350|289556|287402|
|25-29|146541|172007|203734|216324|.218108|232691|261442|280403|287837|287325|
|30-34|130641|143775|169175|200784|.!13441|215371|229995|258756|277858|285521|
|35-39|103724|127920|141066|166332|197765|210465|212533|227209|255980|<br>275216|
|40-44|85622|100987|124979|138061|163101|194269|206979|209202|223923|252662|
|45-49|76609|82586|97780|121385|13'4305|158968|189693|202368|204769|219/477|
|50-54|67141|72861|78805|93628|11,6591|129212|153246|183262|195839|<br>198415|
|55-59|54942|62438|68008|73780|8s975|109914|122018|145068|173972|<br>186284|
|60-64|42255|49313|56309|61552|66093|80204|100576|111906|133491|160649|
|65-69|32216|35905|42149|48364|530,79|57987|69748|87908|98137|117564|
|70-74|20227|25067|28213|33321|38441|42379|46497|56294|71451|80097|
|75+|19039|22086|27008|31711|376EV9|<br>44307|50444|56618|67071|83642|
|TOTAL|1866205|2070587|2288130|2505642|2714370|2911933|3104736|3295837|3478645|3644342|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|239285|267105|284829|291301|289802'|286766|290482|297635|299546|295168|
|5-9|218712|231828|260127|278677|286019|285427|283237|287740|295524|297974|
|10-14|213190|216459|229742|258171|276902|.284480|284141|282209|286927|294889|
|15-19|196723|211045|214499|227957|256468|;!75365|283142|283031|281302|286187|
|20-24|168702|194135|208595|212319|225929|;54542|273613|281630|281758|280247|
|25-29|141572|165983|191472|206137|210060|M23|832<br>252530|271802|280052|280422|
|30-34|126561|138973|163409|188993|203735|P07862|221770|250571|270015|278479|
|35-39|99558|124017|136489|160974|186515|201342|205640|219698|248562|268149|
|40-44|81770|97180|121480|134020|158405|183886|198747|203227|217388|246259|
|45-49|72666|79384|94675|118785|131237|155471|180792|195656|200266|214458|
|50-54|63747|69941|76622|91759|115458|127793|151740|176810|191596|196278|
|55-59|52811|60489|66583|73229|88005|111163|123264|146788|171443|186027|
|60-64|42182|48889|56270|62260|68682|82968|105286|117030|139872|163830|
|65-69|33799|37421|43650|50654|56244|62357|75802|96798|107915|129567|
|70-74|22679|27767|31117|36710|42828|47860|53372|<br>65426|84240|94247|
|75+|24592|28075|33852|39920|47455|56447|65421|74937|90109|113915|
|TOTAL|1798549|1998691|2213412|2431866|2643744|2847561|3048977|3250986|3446515|3626097|
|IRTH RATE||30.9|29.4|27.1|24.5|22.2|20.9|19.9|18.8|17.5|
|EATH RATE||9.8|9.1|8.5|8.1|7.8|7.6|7.5|7.5|7.7|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|2.11|2.03|1.85|1.64|1.45|1.33|1.24|1.12|.97|
|ET MIGRAT|ION RATE|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.09|2.02|1.85|1.64|1.44|1.32|1.24|1.12|.97|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.924|3.636|3.339|3.058|2.793|2.599|2.467|2.352|2.247|
|RR||1.610|1.511|1.417|1.341|1.256|1.179|1.128|1.087|1.052|
|(0)- BOT|H SEXES|61.54|63.08|64.57|65.79|61'.01|68.13|69.26|70.34|71.32|
|(10)<br>BO|TH SEXES|58.20|59.05|59.91|60.56|61.24|61.88|62.54|63.20|63.81|
|IMR - BOTH|SEXES|73.9|65.7|59.2|53.5|4.5.1|42.5|37.0|32.3|28.2|
|(s)<br>-BOT|H SEXES|1080|0950|0845|0754|0t66|0575|0488|0415|0352|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>71.4|.<br>67.4|.<br>65.9|.<br>64.2|.<br>60.2|.<br>55.4|.<br>52.0|.<br>50.6|.<br>50.1|.<br> <br>50.0|
53

# LESS DEVELOPED CCJNTRIES Population projection (thousands)

# Suumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRWJP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL1FF|3664755|4937509|6925160|8311204|8983632|9225709|9377618|9457117|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|249739|302268|309500|304156|302337|302220|302435|302585|
|5-9|228049|289779|304549|300287|300417|301344|302003|302356|
|10-14|224491|269100|295391|296297|299477|301103|301876|302239|
|15-19|209885|238242|289321|296245|300025|301167|301676|301983|
|20-24|175086|221011|289556|300377|300874|300739|301050|301420|
|25-29|146541|216324|287837|302319|299904|299243|299995|300698|
|30-34|130641|200784|277858|297516|295771|297025|298881|300002|
|35-39|103724|166332|255980|286946|290747|295258|298024|299373|
|40-44|85622|138061|223923|278847|289128|294588|297164|298389|
|45-49|76609|121385|204769|275949|290555|293293|294995|296170|
|50-54|67141|93628|195839|268717|287369|288019|289805|291622|
|55-59|54942|73780|173972|249569|273415|275729|280173|283361|
|60-64|42255|61552|133491|215046|248405|256908|265308|269712|
|65-69|32216|48364|98137|168462|218515|233172|243295|247899|
|70-74|20227|33321|71451|129549|183895|200971|209647|213806|
|75+|19039|31711|67071|165829|259714|306414|330582|345100|
|TOTAL|1866205|2505642|3478645|4136109|4440548|4547191|4616908|4656715|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|239285|291301|299546|293565|291308|290731|290544|290531|
|5-9|218712|278677|295524|290418|289942|290272|290419|290502|
|10-14|213190|258171|286927|286982|289392|290349|290538|290546|
|is-19|196723|227957|281302|287681|290430|290853|290706|290570|
|20-24|168702|212319|281758|m643|292099|291093|290650|290489|
|25-29|141572|206137|280052|295597|291971|290357|290237|290318|
|30-34|126561|188993|270015|291781|288689|288894|289768|290165|
|35-39|99558|160974|248562|282148|284638|287948|289640|290153|
|40-44|81770|134020|217388|274976|284321|288322|289764|290049|
|45-49|72666|118785|200266|273103|287503|288772|289216|289351|
|50-54|63747|91759|191596|267854|287420|286448|286938|287613|
|55-59|52811|73229|171443|252651|278736|279413|282630|284619|
|60-64|42182|62260|139872|224112|261471|269013|276580|<br>279859|
|65-69|33799|50634|107915|183493|241245|256916|267012|270751|
|70-74|22679|36710|84240|150957|216719|238089|248176|<br>251904|
|75+|24592|39920|90109|227134|367201|451048|497890|<br>522983|
|TOTAL|1798549|2431866|3446515|4175095|4543084|4678518|4760709|4800402|
|BIRTH RATE||29.0|21.1|15.8|13.8|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||9.1|7.7|8.6|10.7|12.1|12.2|12.3|
|NET NIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.99|1.35|.73|.31|.11|.07|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.610|2.630|2.145|2.079|2.068|2.060|2.055|
|**e(O)**<br>**- BOT**|**H**<br>SEXES|63.16|68.26|72.94|75.71|77.33|78.81|79.54|
|INRBOTH|SEXES|66.1|42.6|22.3|13.6|10.1|7.2|5.5|
54 MORE DEVELOPED COU3TRIES Popuiltion projection (thowad)

|,,,,,,,,.............................<br>AGE GROUP<br>.....................................|.<br> <br>1985<br>.................................|.<br>.<br>1990<br>.......................................|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>1995<br>.....................|,<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>_<br>2000|,<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2005|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>2010|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br><br>2015|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2020|.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>2025|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M*F|1178576|<br>1212537|1242402|<br>1267449|1287780|1304528|<br>1318679|<br>1329441|<br>133727|4<br>1340342|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|44038|44065|43452|42281|42169|42356|42556|42540|<br>42538|<br>42692|
|5-9|43922|43955|43972|43347|42176|42069|42258|42462|<br>42456|<br>42457|
|10-14|44625|43916|43931|43928|43296|42126|42019|42207|<br>42414|<br>42408|
|15-19|46054|44585|43858|43853|43842|43213|42047|41941|<br>42133|<br>42340|
|20-24|49264|46028|44523|43752|43726|43712|43087|41926|<br>41825|<br>42015|
|25-29|48671|49238|45975|44417|43616|43583|43569|42947|<br>41794|<br>41692|
|30-34|45799|48590|49121|45839|44267|43462|43428|43415|<br>42804|<br>41657|
|35-39|42352|45621|48369|48882|45624|44063|43261|43231|<br>43230|<br>42629|
|40-44|34473|42040|45258|47974|48502|45298|43757|42966|<br>42952|<br>42964|
|45-49|35868|33985|41457|4/.621|47317|47879|44753|43250|<br>42485|<br>424G1|
|50-54|31741|34887|33154|40480|43573|<br>46241|46841|43840|<br>42401|<br>41672|
|55-59|30538|30311|33360|31817|38896|41878|44478|45134|<br>42321|<br>40971|
|60-64|23702|28286|28187|31066|29757|36437|39234|41733|<br>42453|<br>39901|
|65-69|16494|21012|25123|25144|27748|26723|32785|35326|<br>37661|<br>38425|
|70-74|15344|13606|17414|20838|20953|23157|22448|27623|<br>29798|<br>31848|
|75+|18473|<br>20257|20060|<br>22859|26839|<br>29029|31838|32942|<br>37587|<br>41719|
|TOTAL|571358|590381|607217|<br>621097|632300|641226|648357|653482|<br>656850|<br>657882|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|42514|42564|41885|40699|<br>40549|40698|40868|40809|<br>40758|<br>40867|
|5-9|42069|42599|42617|41906|40704|40550|40696|40861|<br>40800|<br>40745|
|10-14|42526|42141|42647|42640|41916|40709|40552|40694|<br>40858|<br>40793|
|15-19|44144|42601|42190|42668|42645|41918|40709|40548|40688|<br>40848|
|20-24|47344|44m|42702|42237|42685|42654|41920|40704|40540|<br>40674|
|25-29|47490|47502|44402|<br>42751|42251|42689|42650|41909|40691|<br>40519|
|30-34|45159|47566|47543|44408|42736|42231|42663|42621|41881|<br>40659|
|35-39|42163|45143|47524|47481|44347|42680|42175|42606|42567|<br>41828|
|40-44|34881|42044|45001|47368|47334|44224|42569|42068|42504|<br>42471|
|45-49|37013|34645|41770|44706|47075|470M6|<br>43994|42361|41871|<br>42316|
|50-54|33493|36516|34235|41299|44220|46592|46617|43605|42007|<br>41535|
|55-59|34764|32760|35750|33584|40561|43454|45824|45896|42976|<br>41430|
|60-64|30987|33484|31636|34564|32569|39397|42242|44600|44739|<br>41955|
|65-69|22947|29034|31433|29797|32622|308M6|<br>37427|40175|42499|<br>42725|
|70-74|23859|20412|25896|28100|26774|29394|27974|34036|36600|<br>38817|
|75.<br>|35866<br>|38851<br>|37956|42145<br>|46491<br>|48181<br>|51443|52467|58446|<br>64277|
|TOTAL|607219|622156|635185|<br>646352|655479|663302|670322|675959|680424|<br>682460|
|BIRTH RATE||14.8|14.1|13.4|13.1|13.0|12.9|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||9.6|9.6|9.6|10.1|10.5|10.8|11.2|11.5|12.2|
|RATE OF MA|T. INC.|.52|.45|.38|.31|.25|.21|.16|.11|.05|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.5|.3|.2|.1|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.57|.49|.40|.32|.26|.22|.16|.12|.05|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|1.919|1.917|1.908|1.940|1.969|1.991|2.009|2.032|2.059|
|NRR||.931|.916|.912|.934|.951|.962|.970|.981|.995|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|74.28|74.85|75.30|75.75|76.16|76.47|76.82|77.18|77.51|
|e(1O)- BO|TH SEXES|65.86|66.26|66.59|66.92|67.23|67.48|67.76|68.05|68.31|
|IMR- BOTH <br> <br>|SEXES<br>|18.8|16.7|15.2|13.8|12.7|12.0|11.1|10.2|9.4|
|q(5)<br>BBOT|H SEXES|.0222|.0195|.0176|.0159|.0146|.0136|.0125|.0114|.0105|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>50.0|<br>49.7|50.4|<br>50.2|50.5|50.2|52.3|55.1|<br>58.3|<br>61.0|
55 ...... .............. **.** .

# **MORE** DEVELOPED COUMTRIES Population projection (thousands)

# Suwary for 25 Year Periods

|,....................................................<br>**AGE**GROUP|.........................................<br>1985|.............................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........<br>...............|..|.<br>..............|.......................|....|. .....|....<br>.................||..<br>..<br>..<br>....|
|TOTAL**IMF**|1178576|1267449|1337274|1328279|1326172|1333832|1336117|1336683|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|44038|42281|42538|42724|42816|42840|42841|42841|
|5-9|43922|43347|42456|42630|42766|42811|42811|42810|
|10-14|44625|43928|42414|42567|42727|42791|42787|42786|
|15-19|46054|43853|42133|42538|42669|42750|42746|42746|
|20-24|49264|43752|41825|42421|42568|42677|42680|42681|
|25-29|48671|44417|41794|42142|42439|42584|42607|42609|
|30-34|45799|45839|42804|42013|42303|42491|42537|42536|
|35-39|42352|4882|43230|41858|42157|42384|42447|42444|
|40-44|34473|47974|42952|41420|42004|42218|42298|42294|
|45-49|35868|44621|42485|40833|41647|41894|42001|42003|
|50-54|31741|40480|42401|40215|40855|41272|41412|41435|
|55-59|30538|31817|42321|40003|39676|40126|40305|40348|
|60-64|23702|31066|42453|38313|37664|38175|38381|38438|
|65-69|16494|25144|37661|34791|34267|35066|35246|35313|
|70-74|15344|20838|29798|2589|29253|30214|30393|30471|
|75+|18473|22859|37587|48077|47697|48851|49499|49723|
|TOTAL|571358|621097|656850|652133|653509|659142|660991|661479|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|42514|40699|40758|40796|40786|40790|40792|40792|
|5-9|42069|41906|40800|40773|40784|40789|40789|40788|
|10-14|42526|42640|40858|40768|40791|40790|40787|40786|
|15-19|4444|42668|40688|40824|40796|40785|40782|40782|
|20-24|47344|42237|40540|40827|40787|40774|40776|40777|
|25-29|47490|42751|40691|40698|40761|40764|40769|40770|
|30-34|45159|44408|41881|40725|40730|40755|40760|40760|
|35-39|42163|47481|42567|40746|40702|40744|40744|40741|
|40-44|34881|47368|4250|40513|40712|40712|40702|40700|
|45-49|37013|44706|41871|40233|40614|40614|40602|40604|
|50-54|33493|41299|42007|40124|40280|40403|40406|40412|
|55-59|34764|33584|42976|40815|39920|40017|40043|40050|
|60-64|30987|34564|44739|40616|39238|39339|39383|39384|
|65-69|22947|29797|42499|38940|37652|38054|38058|38053|
|70-74|23859|28100|36600|35391|34749|35389|35395|35390|
|75+|35866|42145|58446|73359|73361|73970|74339|74416|
|TOTAL|607219|646352|680424|676147|672662|674690|675126|675205|
|BIRTH RATE||14.1|12.9|12.6|12.7|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||9.6|10.8|12.9|12.8|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|**NET**MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.3|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.48|.21|-. 03|-. 01|.02|.01|.00|
|TOTALFERTI|LITY|1.920|1.988|2.065|2.064|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|eCO)**-** BOT|H SEXES|74.82|76.48|78.03|79.05|79.60|79.60|79.60|
|<br>**INR-**BOTH|SEXES|16.9|12.0|8.3|6.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
56 AFRICA Population projection (thouswinds)

|AGE GROUP|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F|559772|652164|756951|872158|996022|1124974|1252923|1381279|1509036|1631988|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|51054|59796|66934|73064|78318|81819|82220|83381|84284|83518|
|5-9|41267|48104|56778|64021|70360|75887|79751|80589|82120|83350|
|10-14|34558|40445|47263|55897|63157|69549|75167|79144|80104|81740|
|15-19|29406|33956|39808|46601|55196|62457|68886|74560|78606|79648|
|20-24|24441|28712|33221|39029|45793|54340|61607|68077|73810|77929|
|25-29|20366|23743|27966|32436|38211|44950|53460|60746|67263|73058|
|30-34|16747|19754|23090|27272|31717|<br>37463|44187|52672|<br>59974|66532|
|35-39|13503|16188|19154|22452|26601|31017|36736|43444|51896|59203|
|40-44|10975|12963|15603|18526|21786|25887|30268|35947|42619|51012|
|45-49|9364|10429|12374|14958|17824|21021|25053|29372|34973|41563|
|50-54|7785|8769|9807|11689|14189|16961|20063|23980|28188|33648|
|55-59|6280|7127|8069|9064|10848|13213|15843|18791|22523|26540|
|60-64|4797|5549|6336|7212|8131|9764|11932|14346|17063|20508|
|65-69|3515|3998|4664|5360|6129|6933|8354|10246|12363|14751|
|70-74|2330|2670|3069|3614|4179|4798|5448|6592|8125|9847|
|75+|2090|2402|2803|3286|3900|4583|5338|6151|7349|<br>901|
|TOTAL|278478|324604|376940|434480|496338|560643|624312|688037|751255|81185|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|50254|58901|65858|71818|76927|80349|80716|81838|82717|8194|
|5-9|40756|47531|56155|63247|69436|74832|78611|79393|80873|82061|
|10-14|34102|39978|46750|55353|62475|68730|74224|78121|79028|8061|
|15-19|28973|33546|39404|46170|54755|61899|68206|73770|77747|7874|
|20-24|24227|28410|32964|38805|45564|54129|61299|67658|73290|7734|
|25-29|20635|23671|27827|32365|38189|44942|53496|60693|67108|7280|
|30-34|17204|20095|23115|27248|31771|37582|44337|52882|60112|6658|
|35-39|14083|16689|19558|22564|26673|31181|36982|43739|52276|59533|
|40-44|11541|13594|16171|19013|22000|26080|30572|36356|43106|51619|
|45-49|9914|11080|13098|15636|18440|21397|25436|29894|35640|4235|
|50-54|8269|9433|10575|12546|15027|17777|20686|24659|29055|34723|
|55-59|6819|7735|8861|9969|11871|14274|16943|19779|23651|27943|
|60-64|5257|6194|7064|8135|9189|10993|13281|15832|18554|22265|
|65-69|3943|4533|5387|6186|7166|8137|9796|11908|14277|16811|
|70-74|2684|3124|3631|4360|5047|5891|6735|<br>8173|<br>10017|12089|
|75+|2632|3043|3593|4263|5156|6137|7291|<br>8547|10326|12703|
|TOTAL|281294|327560|380011|437678|499684|564331|628610|693241|757778|820128|
|BIRTHRATE||44.8|42.4|39.5|36.4|33.1|29.4|26.6|24.3|22.0|
|DEATH RATE||14.2|12.6|11.1|9.8|8.8|7.8|7.1|6.6|6.3|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|3.06|2.98|2.83|2.66|2.44|2.16|1.95|1.77|1.57|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROaTH RAT|E|3.06|2.98|2.83|2.66|2.43|2.15|1.95|1.77|1.57|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|6.178|5.894|5.414|4.864|4.260|3.614|3.152|2.808|2.522|
|NRR||2.323|2.289|2.172|2.009|1.803|1.568|1.402|1.275|1.165|
|**e(O)-** BOT|HSEXES|53.32|55.53|57.66|59.66|61.51|63.35|65.14|66.82|68.34|
|**e(1O)* **BO|THSEXES|54.24|55.33|56.37|57.34|58.27|59.20|60.12|60.99|61.80|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|99.5|89.4|79.7|71.0|63.4|56.2|49.3|42.9|37.0|
|q(5)<br>-BOT|H SEXES|1606|1426|1252|1094|0954|0820|0692|0577|0474|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>92.6|.<br>93.2|.<br>92.1|.<br>88.9|.<br>83.2|.<br>76.5|.<br>69.5|.<br>63.0|.<br>57.6|.<br>53.|
57

# **AFR'IS.** ^aputation projecticn (thousards)

# Su mry for 25 Year Periods

|**AGE**ltOP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........<br>................|...........................||......................|.................|.........<br>.....|............|e...........<br>...|
|TOTAL<br>N.F<br>559772|<br>872158|1S09036|<br>2049483|2370051|<br>2474498|<br>2532396|<br>2572476|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>51054|73064|84284|<br>82001|81378|81609|<br>81914|<br>82047|
|5-9<br>41267|64021|82120|80464|80764|81383|<br>81818|<br>82002|
|10-14<br>34558|55897|80104|79275|80638|81359|<br>81751|<br>81954|
|15-19<br>29406|46601|78606|80071|<br>80918|81297|<br>81587|<br>81841|
|20-24<br>24441|39029|73810|81703|81025|8s09|81269|<br>81649|
|25-29<br>20366|32436|67263|81566|80379|80260|<br>80894|<br>81450|
|30-34<br>16747|27272|59974|79578|78788|79552|<br>80590|<br>81281|
|35-39<br>13503|<br>22452|51896|77080|77228|79129|<br>80363|<br>81077|
|40-44<br>10975|18526|42619|74885|77436|78980|<br>80008|<br>80699|
|45-49<br>9364|14958|<br>34973|69293|78112|78383|79129|<br>79954|
|50-54<br>7785|11689|25188|.61535|<br>76324|7e407|77390|<br>78638|
|55-59<br>6280|9064|22523|52401|<br>71566|72 407|<br>74578|<br>76405|
|60-64<br>4797|7212|<br>17063|42016|64763|66872|70475|<br>72723|
|65-69<br>3515|5360|12363|3;0553|<br>56314|606l0|64403|<br>66730|
|70-74<br>2330|3614|8125|20627|43545|5189 5|55033|<br>57327|
|754<br>2090|3286|7349|19940|49886|74291'|83996|<br>91620|
|TOTAL<br>278478|434480|751258|1012.987|<br>1159064|<br>1205439|1235197|<br>1257395|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>50254|71818|82717|80528|79721|79645|79656|<br>79680|
|5-9<br>40756|63247|80873|79258|79363|79613|79685|<br>79687|
|10-14<br>34102|55353|79028|78'192|79409|79741|79733|<br>79684|
|15-19<br>289n|46170|77747|<br>79144|79905|79878|79730|<br>79655|
|20-24<br>24227|38805|73290|<br>81026|<br>80343|79798|79636|<br>79623|
|25-29<br>20635|32365|67108|81Z26|<br>80017|79434|79507|<br>79608|
|30-34<br>**1704**|27248|<br>60112|79539|78705|79031|79453|<br>79624|
|35-39<br>14083|22564|52276|77340|77439|78942|79508|<br>79637|
|40-44<br>11541|19013|43106|7553.3|78045|79213|79517|<br>79560|
|45-49<br>9914|15636|35640|70451|79330|79246|79184|<br>79290|
|50-54<br>8269|12546|29055|63436.|78559|78214|;78339|<br>78796|
|55-59<br>6819|9969|23651|55320|75367|75733|77066|78047|
|60-64<br>5257|8135|18554|46061|70800|72517|7.;436|7686|
|65-69<br>3943|6186|14277|35251|65036|69491|72762|<br>74297|
|70-74<br>2684|4360|10017|25485|54206|64167|67241|68957|
|75.<br>2632|4263|10326|28704|74741|114395|13074.6|<br>142108|
|TOTAL<br>281294|437VII|75777|1036496|1210987|1269059|1 297199'|1315080|
|BIRTH RATE|42.0|29.3|18.6|14.7|13.5|13..0|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|12.5|7.9|6.6|9.0|11.7|12.1|12.1|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|
|**GROWH**RATE|2.96|2.19|1.22|.58|.17|.C19|.06|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.789|3.590|2.221|2.072|2.058|2.049|2.042|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|55.72|63.68|70.59|73.97|76.08|78.1.2|79 .53|
|<br>**I-R**BOTH SEXES|89.0|56.5|29.0|17.5|12.4|8..'|5s.4|
58 EAST AFRICA Papulation projection **(thousnds's**

|AGE GROUP|<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|20G5|<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALNFt|231010|270435|31S187|364710|418295|474505|<br>530847|<br>587554|<br>644245|<br>698899|
|KALES|||||||||||
|0-4|21362|25407|28452|31213|33590|35285|35707|<br>36273|<br>36785|<br>36464|
|5-9|17130|20086|24078|27171|30031|32537|34402|<br>35022|<br>35737|<br>36374|
|10-14|14357|16760|19714|23687|26795|29682|32232|<br>34149|<br>34815|<br>35571|
|15-19|12080|14089|16481|19428|23382|26494|29399|<br>31976|<br>33919|<br>34615|
|20-24|10085|11776|13768|16145|1908.4|<br>23014|26133|<br>29058|<br>31655|<br>33625|
|25-29|8335|9776|11450|13428|15795|18729|22640|<br>25771|<br>28711|<br>31330|
|30-34|6833|8064|949cj|11152|131 20|15478|18411|<br>22307|<br>25443|<br>28395|
|35-39|5505|6588|<br>7so3|9215|10867|12824|<br>15173|<br>18102|<br>21977|<br>25112|
|40-44|4511|5273|63 37|7534|8931|10567|12509|<br>14843|<br>17757|<br>21597|
|45-49|3751|4279|5f325|6064|7239|8610|10220|<br>12133|<br>14436|<br>1T;13|
|50-54|3091|3505|'.019|4739|5744|6880|8210|9776|11638|<br>13881|
|55-59|2461|2825|3221|3710|4393|5342|6418|7681|<br>9174|<br>10951|
|60-64|l889|2171|**2509**|<br>2874|3326|3950|4816|5802|<br>6967|<br>8346|
|65-69|1374|1572|1823|2118|24.40|<br>2833|3374|4128|4992|<br>6015|
|70-74|902|1043|1206|1409|1649|1908|<br>2222|2657|<br>3267|<br>3968|
|75+|839|945|1099|1287|11521|<br>1796|<br>2104|2470|<br>2952|<br>3614|
|TOTAL|114506|134157|156473|181175|207907|<br>235928|<br>263972|<br>292146|<br>320225|<br>347171|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|21160|25136|28105|30794|33i101|34749|35148|<br>35687|<br>36191|<br>35872|
|5-9|17037|1998l|23924|26955|29752|32190|34005|<br>34590|<br>35278|<br>35901|
|10-14|14274|16687|19635|23566|24618|29446|31931|<br>33800|<br>34435|<br>35164|
|15-19|11980|14026|16435|19383|23304|26368|29220|<br>31737|<br>33639|<br>34308|
|20-24|10081|11733|13772|16175|19123|23032|26109|<br>28984|<br>31530|<br>33463|
|25-29|8518|9835|11481|<br>13512|15911|18857|22757|<br>25848|<br>28746|<br>31320|
|30-34|7053|828'j|9592|11232|13257|<br>15651|<br>18599|<br>22491|<br>25597|<br>28516|
|35-39|5768|68;#9|8047|9353|10987|<br>13004|<br>15394|<br>18345|<br>22228|<br>25345|
|40-44|4760|55 58|6606|7812|9110|10735|12743|<br>15128|<br>18076|<br>21944|
|45-49|3990|4 J.3|5347|6379|?569|8853|10462|<br>12455|<br>14823|<br>17755|
|50-54|3326|3,789|4350|5116|6124|7289|<br>8551|10134|<br>12097|<br>14435|
|55-59|2716|:510|3554|4096|4837|5810|6938|8166|9710|<br>11627|
|60-64|2120|2461|2831|3257|<br>3772|<br>4473|<br>5396|6471|<br>7649|<br>9132|
|65-69|1575|<br>1e25|2136|2474|2865|<br>3336|3978|4827|<br>5821|<br>6920|
|70-74|1067|1245|1460|1724|<br>2014|2350|<br>2755|3310|<br>4047|<br>4918|
|75.|1078<br>|1226<br>|1439<br>|<br>1707<br>|2044|2434|2888|<br>3435|<br>4152|<br>5107|
|TOTAL|116503|136278|158714|<br>183535|210388|<br>238577|<br>266875|<br>295407|<br>324020|<br>351728|
|BIRTH RATE||4 6.1|43.5|40.5|37.4|34.0|30.2|27.3|24.9|22.5|
|DEATH RATE||'14.5|12.8|11.3|9.9|8.8|7.8|7.0|6.5|6.2|
|RATE OFNA|T.<br>INC.|3.16|3.07|2.92|2.74|2.52|2.24|2.03|1.84|1.63|
|**NET**MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|3.15|3.06|2.92|2.74|2.52|2.24|2.03|1.84|1.63|
|TOTAL FERT<br>|ILITY|6.326|6.060|5.572|5.012|4.388|3.723|3.230|2.873|2.569|
|**lRR**||2.373|2.345|2.226|2.066|1.856|1.615|1.439|1.306|1.187|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOT|HSEXES|52.74|55.01|57.11|59.20|61.15|63.11|65.00|66.70|68.19|
|edIO)**-** BO|THSEXES|53.81|54.97|56.03|57.09|58.07|59.04|59.99|60.89|61.71|
|IMR**-** BOTH|SEXES|99.'.|89.5|80.6|71.9|64.2|56.7|49.5|43.0|37.3|
|(5)-BOT|SEXES|161;|1433|1268|1107|0963|0823|0688|0575|0477|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>'94.|.<br>4<br>95.2|.<br> <br>94.4|.<br>91.3|.<br>85.2|.<br> <br>78.4|.<br> <br>71.2|.<br> <br>64.5|.<br> <br>58.8|.<br> <br>54.3|
59

**EAST** AFRICA Poputation projection (thoauLads)

# **Suo** ry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGtOJP|1965|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~~~~|~~**..**<br>. .. ................|.....<br>........|....................................||||||
|TOTAL N4F|231010|364710|644245|885186|1030532|1077617|1102501|1121614|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|21362|31213|36785|35691|35416|35536|35679|35747|
|5-9|17130|27171|35737|34923|35151|35442|35636|35728|
|10-14|14357|23687|34815|34517|35131|35441|35602|35705|
|15-19|12080|19428|33919|35031|35298|35409|35523|35650|
|20-24|10085|16145|31655|35679|35339|35227|35374|35563|
|25-29|8335|13428|28711|35596|34982|34909|35206|35475|
|30-34|6833|11152|25443|34629|34185|34603|35077|35400|
|35-39|5505|9215|21977|33496|33612|34448|34983|35306|
|40-44|451l|7534|1M7|32306|33861|34420|34818|35133|
|45-49|3751|6064|14436|29706|34090|34147|34405|34798|
|50-54|3091|4739|11638|26247|33280|33202|33613|34219|
|55-59|2461|3710|9174|22204|31105|31349|32376|33251|
|60-64|1889|2874|6967|17758|28092|29017|30596|31650|
|65-69|1374|2118|4992|12698|24230|26424|27960|29031|
|70-74|902|1409|3267|8472|18594|22524|23849|24914|
|75+|839|1287|2952|8115|21018|31979|36110|39732|
|TOTAL|114506|181175|320225|437067|503386|524079|536808|547301|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|21160|30794|36191|35155|34807|34795|34804|34814|
|5-9|17037|26955|35278|34496|34657|34789|34820|34818|
|10-14|14274|23566|34435|34139|34714|34855|34842|34815|
|15-19|11980|19383|33639|34715|34960|34912|34835|34801|
|20-24|10o81|16175|31530|35479|35135|34856|34786|34786|
|25-29|8518|13512|28746|35538|34930|34675|34728|34782|
|30-34|7053|11232|25s97|34694|34251|34503|34711|34793|
|35-39|5768|9353|22228|33694|33805|34499|34743|34800|
|40-44|4760|7812|18076|32672|<br>34226|34643|34740|34759|
|45-49|3990|6379|14823|30294|<br>34726|<br>34635|34568|34633|
|50-54|3326|5116|12097|27151|<br>34356|34115|34170|34416|
|55-59|2716|4096|<br>9710|2352S|<br>32853|32917|33606|34095|
|60-64|2120|3257|<br>7649|19543|30811|<br>31598|32907|33568|
|65-69|1575|2474|5821|<br>14741|28082|<br>30390|31735|32454|
|70-74|1067|1724|<br>4047|10541|23241|27973|<br>29268|30096|
|75+|1078|1707|4152|11740|31592|49384|56430|61884|
|TOTAL|116503|183535|324020|448118|527146|553538|565694|574312|
|BIRTH RATE||43.1|30.1|18.9|14.8|13.5|13.1|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||12.7|7.8|6.4|8.8|11.7|12.1|12.1|
|MET NIGRATI|ON RATE|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.04|2.28|1.27|.61|.18|.09|.07|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|5.946|3.654|2.236|2.070|2.057|2.047|2.040|
|eCO)- BOT|H SEXES|55.17|63.45|70.48|73.87|75.89|77.91|79.51|
|IMR - BOTH|SEXES|89.3|56.9|29.1|17.7|12.8|8.7|5.5|
60 WEST AFRICA Population projection (thausards)

|AGE GROIP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|200|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALK+F<br>203607|239124|280184|326012|37578|428020|479906|532825|585989|<br>637203|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>19314|23076|26274|29057|31452|33096|33242|34065|34534|<br>33962|
|5-9<br>15192|17979|21701|24928|27776|<br>30285|32087|32435|33442|<br>34097|
|10-14<br>12536|14837|17605|21304|24526|27393|29939|31792|32202|<br>33269|
|15-19<br>10470|12286|14568|17316|<br>20992|24209|27089|29658|31545|<br>32000|
|20-24<br>8559|10191|11983|14240|16962|20612|23826|26723|29321|<br>31247|
|25-29<br>6944|8285|9688|11655|13887|16590|20220|23439|26358|<br>28992|
|30-34<br>5720|6710|8025|9602|11349|13564|16253|19872|23098|<br>26042|
|35-39<br>4871|5508|6479|7769|9323|11054|13254|15931|19537|<br>22769|
|40-44<br>4126|4658|5285|6237|7501|9032|10745|12927|<br>15586|<br>1917.|
|45-49<br>3466|3907|4428|_E_5043|5970|7204|8705|10389|<br>12539|<br>1516.|
|50-54<br>2817|3232|<br>3659|4165|4760|5654|6846|8299|9936|<br>12029|
|55-59<br>2245|2568|2962|3370|3849|4413|5258|6385|7763|<br>9320|
|60-64<br>1713|1975|2275|2640|3014|3453|3969|4741|5772|<br>7034|
|65-69<br>1221|1420|1652|1918|2236|2561|2942|3390|4061|<br>4958|
|70-74<br>784|919|1083|1275|1489|1743|2003|2308|2668|<br>3207|
|75+<br>637|768|929|1127|1353|1606|1899|2214|2575|<br>2997|
|TOTAL<br>100614|118319|138795|161646|186438|212469|238276|264568|290938|<br>316258|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>19144|22856|25981|28695|<br>31039|32640|32765|33565|34017|<br>33449|
|5-9<br>15231|17897|21591|24761|27551|30015|31M|32092|33069|<br>33697|
|10-14<br>12585|14889|17545|21224|<br>24396|27210|<br>29714|31526|31908|<br>32945|
|15-19<br>10541|12348|14639|17286|<br>20951|24126|26960|29494|31344|<br>31772|
|20-24<br>8612|10308|12101|14380|17014|20665|23847|26702|29267|<br>31157|
|25-29<br>7238|8389|10065|11846|14110|16734|20376|23567|26446|29045|
|30-34<br>6075|7024|8163|9621|11588|13841|16461|20097|23300|<br>26206|
|35-39<br>5187|5870|6808|7937|9576|11332|13577|16193|19826|<br>2304|
|40-44<br>4361|4987|5663|6590|7706|9326|11071|133G6|<br>15916|<br>1954|
|45-49<br>3630|4172|4787|5453|6364|7464|9061|10790|13006|<br>156|
|50-54<br>2984|3440|3967|4568|5218|6109|7187|8751|10451|<br>1263|
|55-59<br>2421|2779|3217|3725|4303|4933|5795|6840|8357|1001|
|60-64<br>1885|2185|2524|2938|3417|3964|4562|5382|6378|782|
|65-69<br>1380|1610|1884|2193|2569|3005|3505|4056|4811|<br>573|
|70-74<br>912|1077|1274|1509|<br>1772|2092|2463|2892|3371|4028|
|75+<br>809|973|1182|1440|1744|2095|2512|3004|3585|4256|
|TOTAL<br>102993|120804|141389|164366|189319|215550|241630|268257|295051|320944|
|BIRTH RATE|48.3|46.0|42.8|39.5|35.8|31.5|28.6|25.9|23.1|
|DEATH RATE|16.2|14.3|12.5|11.1|9.7|8.6|7.6|6.9|6.3|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|3.21|3.17|3.03|2.84|2.61|2.29|2.09|1.90|1.68|
|METMIGRATION RATE|.1|.0|.0|-. 0|-. 0|**-.0**|.0|.0|.0|
|GRCUTH<br>RATE|3.22|3.17|3.03|2.84|2.60|2.29|2.09|1.90|1.68|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.684|6.508|6.032|5.411|4.702|3.917|3.386|2.971|2.609|
|NRR|2.431|2.452|2.350|2.174|1.944|1.665|1.480|1.331|1.196|
|e(o)- BOTHSEXES|50.29|52.72|55.11|57.15|59.21|61.25|63.27|65.25|67.18|
|edlO)- BOTH SEXES|52.88|54.04|55.20|56.16|57.15|58.15|59.14|60.12|61.09|
|IMR<br>**-** BOTH SEXES<br>|109.7|98.4|87.4|78.5|70.1|62.4|54.5|47.3|40.5|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.1817|.1609|.1407|.1241|.1082|.0935|.0788|.0654|.0527|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>96.0|97.9|98.0|95.7|89.9|<br>82.7|<br>74.5|<br> <br>66.8|<br>60.2|<br>55.2|
61

# **_WEST_** AFRICA Population projection (thousands)

# Suuiry for 25 Year Periods

|..........................<br>AERMIP|...............<br>1965|........................................<br>2000|................................<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................................|................................|..............................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>NF|203607|<br>326012|<br>**585989**|<br>812833|<br>953062|<br>999105|<br>1023933|<br>1041415|
|NALES|||||||||
|0-4|19314|<br>29057|<br>34534|33272|<br>32886|32963|<br>33100|<br>33162|
|5-9|15192|<br>24928|<br>33442|<br>32530|<br>32572|<br>32857|<br>33061|<br>33146|
|10-14|12536|<br>21304|<br>32202|31779|<br>32495|32859|<br>33040|<br>33130|
|15-19|10470|<br>17316|<br>31545|<br>32083|<br>32675|<br>32863|<br>32977|<br>33083|
|20-24|8559|14240|<br>29321|<br>33142|<br>32798|32727|<br>32838|<br>32998|
|25-29|6944|11655|<br>26358|<br>33309|<br>32566|<br>32416|<br>32665|<br>32912|
|30-34|5720|9602|23098|<br>32320|<br>31816|32064|<br>32527|<br>32844|
|35-39|4871|7769|19537|<br>30883|<br>30914|<br>31863|<br>32445|<br>32767|
|40-44|4126|6237|15586|<br>29928|<br>30972|<br>31863|<br>32327|<br>32618|
|45-49|3466|<br>5043|12539|<br>27386|<br>31618|<br>31692|<br>31979|<br>32307|
|50-54|2817|4165|9936|23958|<br>31084|<br>30907|<br>31234|<br>31754|
|55-59|2245|3370|7763|20011|<br>28957|<br>29172|<br>30028|<br>30839|
|60-64|1713|2640|5772|15639|<br>25806|<br>26676|<br>28336|<br>29361|
|65-69|1221|1918|<br>4061|10991|<br>22335|<br>24152|<br>25927|<br>26963|
|70-74|784|1275|<br>2668|7240|17026|<br>20869|<br>22186|<br>23168|
|75*|637|1127|<br>2575|6701|18742|<br>29642|<br>33634|<br>36918|
|TOTAL|100614|<br>161646|<br>29098|401172|<br>465263|<br>485585|<br>498305|<br>507971|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|19144|<br>28695|<br>34017|<br>32813|<br>32357|<br>32303|<br>32311|<br>32326|
|5-9|15231|<br>24761|<br>33069|<br>32193|<br>32151|<br>32280|<br>32326|<br>32332|
|10-14|12585|<br>21224|<br>31908|<br>31493|<br>32145|<br>32345|<br>32355|<br>32332|
|15-19|10541|<br>17286|<br>31344|<br>31858|<br>32410|<br>32432|<br>32360|<br>32319|
|20-24|8612|14380|<br>2926'|33008|<br>32695|<br>32414|<br>32315|<br>32302|
|25-29|7238|11846|<br>26446|<br>33306|<br>32586|<br>32234|<br>32244|<br>32291|
|30-34|6075|9821|23300|<br>32448|<br>31950|<br>32010|<br>32211|<br>32301|
|35-39|5187|7937|<br>19826|<br>31134|<br>31166|<br>31946|<br>32247|<br>32317|
|40-44|4361|6590|15916|<br>30340|<br>31384|<br>32116|<br>32280|<br>32291|
|45-49|3630|5453|<br>13006|<br>28004|<br>32274|<br>32229|<br>32156|<br>32174|
|50-54|2964|4568|10451|<br>24852|<br>32155|<br>31822|<br>31777|<br>31956|
|55-59|2421|3725|8357|21277|<br>30667|<br>30698|<br>31194|<br>31641|
|60-64|1885|2938|<br>6378|17284|<br>28387|<br>29116|<br>30497|<br>31159|
|65-69|1380|<br>2193|4811|12806|<br>25967|<br>27842|<br>29456|<br>30160|
|70-74|912|1509|<br>3371|9092|21346|<br>25964|<br>27285|<br>28002|
|75+|809|<br>1440|<br>3585|9753|28158|<br>45768|<br>52615|<br>57542|
|TOTAL|102993|<br>164366|<br>295051|<br>411661|<br>487798|<br>513520|<br>525629|<br>533444|
|BIRTH<br>RATE||45.4|31.5|19.3|14.9|13.5|13.1|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||14.1|8.5|6.4|8.6|11.6|12.1|12.1|
|MET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.14|2.35|1.31|64|.19|.10|.07|
|TOTAL<br>FERT|ILITY|6.372|3.882|2.242|2.071|2.055|2.045|2.038|
|eCO)- **BOTH**|SEXES|52.96|61.69|69.73|73.59|75.84|77.99|79.54|
|<br>**INR**- BOTH|**SEXES**|97.8|62.4|31.7|18.5|12.8|8.4|5.4|
62 NORTH AFRICA **Populetion** projection (thousands)

|.......................................................................................<br>AGE**GROLIP**<br>1985|...........................................<br> <br>1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N.F<br>125155|142606|161580|181435|201970|222449|242169|260900|278802|<br>295886|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10378|11313|12209|12794|13276|13438|13271|13043|12965|<br>13091|
|5-9<br>8946|10040|10998|11922|<br>12553|13065|13262|13132|12941|<br>12878|
|**10-14**<br>7665|8848|9945|10906|11836|12474|12996|13203|13087|<br>12901|
|15-19<br>6855|7580|8759|9657|108m|11754|12398|12926|13143|<br>13032|
|20-24<br>5797|6745|7470|8645|9747|10713|11647|12297|12834|<br>13057|
|25-29<br>5087|**5682**|6627|7352|8529|9632|10599|11536|12194|<br>12736|
|30-34<br>4194|4979|5575|6517|7247|8421|9523|10493|11433|<br>12095|
|35-39<br>3127|4092|4872|5468|6410|7140|8309|9411|10382|<br>11322|
|40.44<br>2337|3032|3982|t4755|5353|6287|7015|<br>8177|9275|10244|
|45-49<br>2148|2243|2922|3852|4616|5207|6128|6849|7998|<br>9J86|
|50-54<br>1876|2032|2129|2785|3686|4428|5007|5906|6614|7737|
|55-59<br>1574|1734|1886|1s84|2605|3458|4167|4724|5585|6269|
|60-64<br>1195|1403|1553|1697|1792|2361|3146|3803|4324|5128|
|65-69<br>920|1006|1189|1323|1453|1539|2038|2728|3310|3n7|
|70-74<br>644|709|780|929|1041|1148|1222|1627|2190|2672|
|75+<br>614|690|775|<br>872|<br>1027|1181|1335|1467|1822|<br>2403|
|TOTAL<br>63358|72128|<br>81672|<br>91659|101992|112246|122064|131323|140096|<br>148430|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9950|<br>10913|117m|12329|12788|12960|12803|12586|12509|<br>12621|
|5-9<br>8488|<br>9653|10640|11530|12132|12627|12833|12710|<br>12526|<br>12462|
|10-14<br>7243|<br>8402|9570|<br>10563|11461|12074|12579|12796|12685|<br>12505|
|15-19<br>6452|7172|<br>8330|9501|<br>10500|<br>11405|12026|12538|12764|<br>12659|
|20-24<br>5535|6369|7091|<br>8250|9426|10432|11343|11972|12493|<br>12725|
|25-29<br>4879|5447|6281|7006|8168|9351|10363|11279|11916|<br>12443|
|30.34<br>4076|4791|5360|6195|6925|8090|9277|<br>10293|11216|<br>11858|
|35-39<br>3128|3991|4703|5274|6110|6845|8011|9200|10222|11146|
|40-44<br>2420|3049|3903|4611|5184|6020|6757|7923|9113|<br>10133|
|45-49<br>2294|2346|2964|3805|4507|5080|5913|6650|7811|<br>8994|
|50-54<br>1958|2204|2258|2862|3685|4378|4948|5774|<br>6507|7653|
|55-59<br>1682|1851|2090|2147|2731|3531|4210|4773|5584|<br>6304|
|60-64<br>1252|1548|1710|1939|2000|2557|3322|3979|4528|5310|
|65-69<br>989|1098|1368|1519|1732|1796|2313|3026|3644|4159|
|70-74<br>705|801|<br>897|1127|1261|1450|1517|<br>1971|2599|<br>3143|
|75+<br>746|845|972|1116|1367|1608|1891|2108|2589|3339|
|TOTAL<br>61797|70478|79909|89776|<br>99977|110203|120105|129577|138706|147456|
|BIRTH RATE|36.6|34.3|31.5|28.9|26.2|23.5|21.2|19.5|18.4|
|DEATH RATE|10.4|9.3|8.3|7.4|6.9|6.5|6.3|6.3|6.5|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|2.62|2.50|2.32|2.15|1.93|1.70|1.49|1.33|1.19|
|**NET**MIGRATIONRATE|-. 1|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRMJTH RATE|2.61|2.50|2.32|2.14|1.93|1.70|1.49|1.33|1.19|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.076|4.606|4.126|3.670|3.234|2.827|2.517|2.316|2.214|
|NRR|2.073|1.932|1.775|1.618|1.448|1.285|1.160|1.080|1.040|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|59.43|61.33|63.25|65.17|66.62|67.98|69.20|70.36|71.16|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|57.30|58.20|59.10|59.99|60.82|61.63|62.35|63.04|63.54|
|**IMR-** BOTH SEXES|77.4|68.4|59.1|50.1|44.2|38.8|34.5|30.1|26.6|
|q(5)<br>-BOTH SEXES|.1130|0989|0841|0695|0600|0514|0443|0371|0322|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>84.4|<br>82.2|.<br>78.6|.<br>73.6|.<br>68.2|.<br>62.3|.<br>57.1|.<br>53.0|.<br>49.9|.<br> <br>48.|
63

**NORTH** AFRICA Population projection (thousands)

# Suwyry for 25 Year Periods

|.......<br>............<br>AGE**GROUP**|..............<br>1985|..<br>2000|..................................<br>2025|2050|.....<br>2075|............<br>2100|............................<br>2125|..... .... ........ ............Z.... ......<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................|........................................|............|||||||
|TOTAL M.F|125155|181435|278802|351464|386457|<br>3976|405962|409447|
|HALES|||||||||
|0-4|10378|12794|12965|13038|13075|13111|13135|13138|
|5-9|8946|11922|12941|13011|13040|13084|13121|13128|
|10-14|7665|<br>10906|13087|<br>12980|13012|13058|13109|13120|
|15-19|6855|9857|13143|12957|12945|13024|13088|13108|
|20-24|5797|86.5|12834|12881|12887|12980|13057|13088|
|25-29|5087|7352|12194|12661|12831|12934|13023|13063|
|30-34|4194|6517|11433|<br>12630|12757|12885|12985|13037|
|35-39|3127|5468|10382|12700|12702|12818|12935|<br>13003|
|40-44|W7|4755|9275|12651|12603|12697|<br>12862|12948|
|45-49|2148|3852|7998|12201|12405|12544|12745|12850|
|50-54|1876|2785|6614|11330|11959|12298|12542|12664|
|55-59|1574|1984|5585|10187|11505|<br>11886|<br>12174|12316|
|60o64|1195|<br>1697|4324|8619|<br>10864|11179|11543|11712|
|65-69|920|1323|3310|6864|9749|10105|<br>10516|10736|
|70-74|644|929|2190|4915|7925|8503|8998|9244|
|75+|614|872|1822|5123|10127|12670|14252|14970|
|TOTAL|63358|91659|140096|174747|190415|195776|<br>200085|202123|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|9950|12329|12509|12560|12557|12547|12541|12539|
|5-9|8488|11530|12526|12570|12555|12545|12539|12538|
|10-14|7243|<br>10563|12685|12561|<br>12551|12541|12535|12537|
|15-19|6452|9501|<br>12764|12570|12534|12534|12535|12536|
|20-24|5535|8250|12493|12540|12512|12529|12536|12536|
|25-29|4879|<br>706|11916|12382|12501|12525|12535|12534|
|30-34|4076|6195|<br>11216|12397|<br>12503|12518|12530|12530|
|35-39|3128|5274|10222|12512|12468|12498|12518|12521|
|40-44|2420|4611|9113|12522|12435|12454|12497|12510|
|45-49|2294|<br>3805|7811|12153|12330|12381|12460|12483|
|50-54|1958|<br>2862|6507|11433|<br>12047|12278|12393|12425|
|55-59|1682|2147|5584|10518|11848|12117|12266|12311|
|60-64|1252|1939|4528|9233|11602|11804|12032|12100|
|65-69|989|<br>1519|3644|<br>7704|10987|11260|11570|<br>11683|
|70-74|705|1127|<br>2599|5851|9618|10230|10688|10859|
|75+|746|<br>1116|2589|7211|<br>14991|19242|21702|22682|
|TOTAL|61797|89776|138706|176716|196043|202000|205877|207324|
|BIRTH RATE||33.9|23.5|16.5|14.0|13.2|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.2|6.6|7.4|10.2|12.0|12.0|12.3|
|**NET**MIGRAT|ION RATE|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**<br>RAT|E|2.48|1.72|.93|.38|.12|.08|.03|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|4.554|2.841|2.129|2.082|2.071|2.063|2.060|
|etO)- BOT|H<br>SEXES|61.50|68.09|72.73|75.16|77.17|79.01|79.59|
|<br>**IIR**- BOTH|SEXES|68.0|39.7|21.4|14.4|10.0|6.4|5.3|
64 AMERICA Population projection (thousa,xds)

|**.....**...................................<br>AGE**GROIP**|.....<br>1985|.......<br>..........<br>1990|...............................................<br>1995|.........................................<br>2000|2005|1010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F|666926|720622|774337|825458|873799|919495|962710|1003423|1040366|1072030|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|38367|39088|39816|39407|38968|38621|38556|38945|39180|39126|
|5-9|35130|37962|38740|39509|39144|38744|38431|38392|38797|39041|
|10-14|32782|35001|37838|38620|39394|39042|38652|38349|38317|38726|
|15-19|31956|32625|34849|37681|38470|39254|38914|38535|38241|38215|
|20-24|31243|31730|32407|34624|37451|38255|39053|38727|38362|38080|
|25-29|28677|30994|31490|32164|34377|37207|38029|38836|38526|38174|
|30-34|24992|28437|30749|31245|31921|34140|36976|37808|38625|38327|
|35-39|21535|24738|28170|30469|30970|31658|33883|36717|37559|38383|
|40-44|16987|21236|24417|27824|30111|30626|31324|33547|36374|37226|
|45-49|14257|16621|20817|2*A56|27327|29597|30123|30826|33039|35349|
|50-54|12392|13769|16091|20193|23268|26578|28812|29344|30048|32237|
|55-59|11425|11724|13061|15305|19255|22220|25424|27589|28122|28818|
|60-64|9977|10478|10780|12043|14160|17870|20662|23689|25740|26264|
|65-69|7867|8721|9189|9481|10630|12548|15902|18431|21187|23058|
|70-74|5920|6377|7104|7510|777|8750|10382|13223|15370|17725|
|75+|6678|7460|8224|9171|9974|10595|11663|13460|16545|19769|
|TOTAL|330184|356962|383740|409202|433195|455707|476787|496417|514031|529019|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|37121|7894|38566|38131|37681|37326|<br>37241|<br>37596|37801|37722|
|5-9|34122|36880|37701|38405|38C04|37583|37253|37186|37551|37759|
|10-14|31885|34054|36821|37645|38355|37964|37552|37228|37165|37531|
|15-19|31096|31812|33991|36757|37587|38306|37923|37518|37200|<br>37139|
|20-24|30674|31011|31736|33909|36676|37518|38246|37873|37477|37162|
|25-29|28560|30573|30920|31637|33812|36588|37442|38179|37816|37423|
|30-34|25119|28439|30454|30798|31520|33707|36491|37355|<br>38101|37743|
|35-39|21769|24974|28291|30298|30652|31386|33581|36372|37246|37998|
|40-44|17340|21592|24786|28091|30097|30466|31210|33413|36208|37090|
|45-49|14683|17120|21347|24517|27809|29814|30195|<br>30949|33157|35949|
|50-54|13008|14392|16809|20991|24130|274W|29395|<br>29790|30553|32757|
|55-59|12348|12616|13984|16364|20478|23569|26799|28775|29185|29951|
|60-64|11276|11782|12054|13389|15712|19720|22734|25895|27836|28257|
|65-69|9351|10441|10929|11197|12476|14699|18522|21402|24439|26304|
|70-74|7607|8194|9183|9625|9885|11063|13104|16602|19240|22038|
|75+<br>|10782<br>|11886|13025|14504|15731|16679|18235|20872|25360|30187|
|TOTAL|336742|363659|390597|416256|440604|463788|485923|507006|526335|543011|
|BIRTH RATE||23.2|21.8|20.0|18.6|17.4|16.5|15.9|15.3|14.8|
|DEATH RATE||7.9|7.5|7.3|7.2|7.2|7.3|7.6|8.1|8.8|
|RATE OFNA|T.INC.|1.53|1.43|1.27|1.14|1.02|.92|.83|.72|.60|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|.2|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.55|1.44|1.28|1.14|..02|.92|83|.72|.60|
|TOTAL FERTIL|ITY|2.827|2.706|2.542|2.382|2.238|2.137|2.098|2.086|2.081|
|NRR||1.315|1.261|1.198|1.129|1.062|1.018|1.003|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)**-**<br>BOTH|SEXES|70.13|71.04|71.82|72.58|73.25|73.86|74.40|74.89|75.29|
|**e(10)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|63.17|63.71|64.19|64.67|65.12|65.54|65.92|66.29|66.60|
|IMR**-** BOTH S|EXES|37.7|33.2|29.3|25.6|22.6|20.0|18.0|16.4|15.2|
|qC5)<br>- BOTH|SEXES|.0488|.0421|.0366|.0314|.0273|.0238|.0211|.0190|.0177|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|62.9|61.3|58.9|55.1|51.8|49.3|48.7|49.4|50.9|52.5|
65

> AMERICA Popiuation projection (thousand)

# Suwtry for 25 Year **Periods**

|...................................<br>AGE GROUP|...........................<br>1985|.................................<br> <br>2000|..........<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...................................|...........................|.................................|..........||||||
|TOTAL<br>N4F|666926|825458|1040366|<br>115001|01185896|<br>1205005|<br>121699|41222126|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|38367|39407|39180|39182|39205|39265|39257|39240|
|5-9|35130|39509|<br>38797|38966|39066|39148|39187|39205|
|10-14|32782|38620|38317|38865|39021|39109|39152|<br>39179|
|15-19|31956|37681|38241|38709|38960|39048|39098|39134|
|20-24|31243|34624|38362|38705|38876|38934|39009|39060|
|25-29|28677|32164|38526|38581|38 5|38785|38895|38976|
|30-34|24992|31245|38625|38158|38436|38635|38792|38892|
|35-39|21535|30469|37559|37534|38210|38492|38674|38787|
|40-44|16987|<br>27824|36374|37240|37879|38310|38495|38625|
|45-49|14257|23956|33039|37002|37575|37961|38161|38323|
|50-54|12392|20193|30048|36484|36866|37269|37548|37754|
|55-59|11425|<br>15305|28122|35343|35351|<br>36031|3646|1<br>36718|
|60-64|9977|12043|<br>25740|32377|32905|34078|34655|34939|
|65-69|7867|9481|21187|28389|29720|30998|31771|32054|
|70-74<br>|5920<br>|7510<br>|15370<br>|21885<br>|25241|26560|27329|27605|
|75+|6678|91i'1|16545|<br>29433|38346|41583|43917|44808|
|TOTAL|330184|409202|514031|566852|584364|594204|600400|603300|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|37121|38131|37801|37611|37577|37588|37546|37507|
|5-9|34122|38405|37551|37473|<br>37499|37516|37512|b7502|
|10-14|31885|37645|37165|37424|37496|37508|37505|37500|
|15-19|31096|36757|37200|<br>374.2|37514|<br>37495|<br>37492|37494|
|20-24|30674|33909|37477|3n578|<br>37503|37458|37469|37481|
|25-29|28560|31637|37816|<br>37600|37416|37396|<br>37423|37463|
|30-34|25119|30798|38101|37320|37271|<br>37333|37390|<br>37443|
|35-39|21769|30298|37246|<br>36856|37158|37290|37356|<br>37415|
|40-44|17340|<br>28091|36208|36764|37077|37245|<br>37298|<br>37362|
|45-49|14683|24517|33157|36816|37042|37118|37171|<br>37252|
|50-54|13008|20991|30553|36766|36762|36813|36931|37034|
|55-59|12348|16364|29185|36411|35970|36272|<br>36531|36674|
|60-64|11276|<br>13389|<br>27836|34579|34648|35458|35874|36040|
|65-69|9351|11197|24439|31896|32972|<br>34048|34620|<br>34793|
|70-74|7607|9625|19240|<br>26462|30172|<br>31484|<br>32123|32314|
|75+|10782|<br>14504|<br>25360|44159|57454|62778|66353|67553|
|TOTAL|336742|416256|526335|583158|601532|610800|616593|618827|
|BIRTH RATE||21.6|16.7|14.1|13.3|13.0|L2.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||7.5|7.5|10.1|12.1|12.4|12.4|12.5|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**RATE||1.42|.93|.40|.12|.06|.04|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|2.684|2.183|2.084|2.083|2.081|2.076|2.065|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH|SEXES|71.04|73.85|75.68|76.78|78.16|79.09|79.36|
|**IR-**BOTH S|EXES|33.4|20.5|14.3|12.5|11.4|9.6|6.8|
66 LATIN AMERICA **AND** THE CARIBBEAM Population projection (thousands)

|AGE GROCI<br>1985|1990|1995|**2000**|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|203|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**H+F**<br>398867|4"1614|485976|529974|572313|612293|650031|686302|n0543|751576|
|HALES||||||||||
|**0-4**<br>27946|28581|29605|29724|29378|28857|28579|28903|29200|29193|
|5-9<br>25309|27469|28181|2M72|29450|29148|28665|28418|28760|29070|
|10-14<br>23434|25121|27301|28039|29148|29342|29054|28583|28345|28694|
|15-19<br>21416|23223|24931|27129|27886|29008|29216|28942|28482|28254|
|20-24<br>19388|21083|22924|24669|2688s|27669|28809|29036|28779|28338|
|25-29<br>16305|18997|20737|22624|24398|26636|27440|28598|28B44|<br>28609|
|30-34<br>13677|15955|18674|20454|22365|24158|26408|27230|28400|28664|
|35.39<br>11087|13363|15659|18394|20191|22115|23918|26171|27005|28185|
|40-44<br>**9000**|10794|13068|15365|18094|19896|21822|23625|25873|<br>26717|
|45-49<br>7675|8701|10479|12729|15004|17704|19497|21410|23203|<br>25434|
|50-54<br>6480|7330|<br>8342|10078|12274|14499|17141|18906|20788|<br>22553|
|55-59<br>5468|6057|6878|7855|9518|11621|13759|16299|18007|<br>19830|
|60-64<br>4317|4939|5495|<br>6264|7180|8728|<br>10686|12682|15059|<br>16671|
|65-69<br>3178|3696|4251|4752|5443|6265|7642|9386|11173|<br>13306|
|70-74<br>2310|2501|2927|3387|3809|4385|5072|<br>6212|7658|<br>9150|
|75*<br>2329|2631|2926|3384|3949|4540|5259|6124|7392|<br>9086|
|TOTAL<br>199320|220440|242379|264118|284973|304572|<br>322966|340524|356968|<br>371753|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>27084|27771|<br>28745|28833|28483|27970|27691|27994|28270|<br>28245|
|5-9<br>24718|26741|27500|28536|28677|28365|27881|27626|27943|28228|
|10-14<br>22940|24577|26625|27410|28465|28622|28321|27848|27600|<br>27922|
|15-19<br>20987|22786|24450|26523|27329|28399|28568|28280|27815|<br>27573|
|20-24<br>19179|20752|22592|24296|26399|27229|28316|28503|28227|<br>27774|
|25-29<br>16271|18905|20525|22409|24150|26276|27125|28232|28433|28171|
|30-34<br>13728|16025|18688|20345|22259|24021|26162|27028|28147|<br>28360|
|35-39<br>11139|13509|15824|18505|20186|22115|23891|26042|26921|28048|
|40-44<br>9129|10943|13313|15634|18319|20012|21950|23734|25891|26778|
|45-49<br>7831|8932|10737|13096|15409|18085|19782|21722|23509|2:663|
|50-54<br>6732|7603|8696|10482|12812|15106|17759|19453|21386|23168|
|55-59<br>5782|6451|7309|8387|10139|12424|14679|17291|18972|<br>20885|
|60-64<br>4690|5418|6071|6908|7957|9654|11865|14055|16599|<br>18246|
|65-69<br>3579|4224|4908|5530|6327|7325|8925|11010|13088|<br>15501|
|70-74<br>**2722**|3006|3576|4188|4753|5475|6376|7811|9683|11558|
|75+<br>3036|3532|4036|4776|5677|6643|7774|9149|11093|<br>13702|
|TOTAL<br>199547|221174|243597|265856|287340|307721|327065|345778|363576|379822|
|BIRTH RATE|28.4|26.4|24.0|21.7|19.8|18.3|17.4|16.7|15.9|
|DEATH RATE|7.2|6.7|6.3|6.2|6.1|6.3|6.5|6.9|7.5|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|2.11|1.97|1.77|1.56|1.36|1.21|1.09|.98|.84|
|MET MIGRATION RATE|-. 8|-.5|-. 3|-.2|-.1|-|-.0|-..||
|GROWTH RATE|2.04|1.91|1.73|1.54|1.35|1.20|1.09|.97|.84|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.550|3.201|2.879|2.597|2.364|2.205|2.137|2.108|2.092|
|**IRR**|1.598|1.464|1.334|1.215|1.113|1.045|1.018|1.007|1.001|
|eCO)*****BOTH**SEXES**|66.64|68.01|69.23|70.33|71.24|72.03|72.71|73.30|73.76|
|e(10)**-** BOTH SEXES|60.86|61.64|62.38|63.05|63.65|64.17|64.62|65.04|65.38|
|INRB<br>BOTH SEXES|46.0|40.0|34.9|30.4|27.0|23.9|21.4|19.4|18.1|
|q(5)**-**BOTH SEXES|0603|0513|0440|0376|0328|0287|0252|0228|0212|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>73.2|.<br>68.7|.<br>64.5|.<br>59.6|.<br>55.2|.<br>51.1|.<br>48.1|.<br>46.9|.<br>46.9|.<br> <br>48.0|
67

# LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARI8EN Poputation projection (thou'wds)

# Suamry for 25 Year Periods

|.....<br>.......<br>...<br>AGE GROUP|.<br>......<br>...<br>1985|...<br>...........<br>2000|.....................<br>2025|2050|...................................<br>2075|..........<br>2100|2125|.....<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**..**........................................|................|..|........................................|.............................|||||
|TOTAL W4F|396867|529974|72543|834917|<br>874500|<br>893678|<br>905606|<br>910743|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|27946|29724|29200|29174|<br>29219|<br>29286|<br>29280|<br>29261|
|5-9|25309|29272|28760|25977|<br>29100|<br>29181|<br>29216|<br>29233|
|10-14|23434|28039|28345|28926|<br>29071|<br>29147|<br>29186|<br>29212|
|15-19|21416|27129|28482|**28809**|<br>29034|<br>**29089**|<br>29139|<br>29176|
|20-24|19388|<br>24669|28779|28810|<br>28923|<br>28984|<br>29065|<br>29118|
|?5-29|16305|<br>22624|28844|28658|<br>28731|<br>28853|<br>28971|<br>29053|
|30-34|13677|<br>20454|28400|28187|<br>28511|<br>28732|<br>**28888**|<br>28985|
|<br>35-39|<br>11087|<br> <br> <br>18394|<br> <br>27005|<br>27645|<br> <br> <br>28351|<br> <br> <br>28621|<br> <br> <br>28791|<br><br> <br>28901|
|<br>40-44|<br>9000|<br> <br>15365|<br> <br>25873|<br>27589|<br> <br> <br>28084|<br> <br> <br>28468|<br> <br> <br>28641|<br><br> <br>28771|
|<br>45-49|<br>7675|<br>12729|<br> <br>23203|<br>27574|<br> <br> <br>27837|<br> <br> <br>28165|<br> <br> <br>28369|<br><br> <br>28537|
|50-54|6480|10078|<br>20788|27074|<br>27216|<br>27588|<br>27890|<br>28103|
|55-59|5468|7855|18007|<br>25653|<br>25893|<br>26617|<br>27068|<br>27324|
|<br>60-64|<br>4317|<br>6264|<br>15059|<br> <br> <br>22834|<br> <br> <br>23950|<br> <br> <br>25150|<br> <br> <br>25716|<br><br> <br>25990|
|65-69|3178|4752|11173|19644|<br>21663|<br>22821|<br>23555|<br>23828|
|70-74|2310|3387|7658|14775|<br>18402|<br>19495|<br>20222|<br>20501|
|75+|2329|3384|7392|17528|<br>26634|<br>29997|<br>32311|<br>33213|
|TOTAL|199320|<br>264118|<br>356968|<br>411858|<br>430620|<br>440196|<br>446309|<br>449207|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|27084|28833|28270|28082|<br>28069|<br>28087|<br>28045|<br>28005|
|5-9|24718|<br>28536|27943|27956|<br>28002|<br>28019|<br>28012|<br>28001|
|10-14|22940|<br>27410|<br>27600|27950|<br>28010|<br>28011|<br>28005|<br>28000|
|15-19|20987|<br>26523|<br>27815|27988|<br>28025|<br>27994|<br>27990|<br>27993|
|20-24|19179|<br>24296|<br>28227|28105|<br>27994|<br>27951|<br>27969|<br>27982|
|25-29|16271|<br>22409|<br>28433|28072|<br>27891|<br>27893|<br>27927|<br>27968|
|30-34|13728|<br>20345|<br>28147|27717|<br>27760|<br>27844|<br>27900|<br>27950|
|35-39|11139|<br>18505|<br>26921|27301|<br>27695|<br>27815|<br>27870|<br>27925|
|40-44|9129|15634|<br>25891|27394|<br>27642|<br>27774|<br>27816|<br>27879|
|45-49|7S31|<br>13096|<br>23509|27601|<br>27609|<br>27648|<br>27704|<br>27791|
|50-54|6732|10482|<br>21386|27464|<br>27318|<br>27372|<br>27511|<br>27621|
|55-59|5782|838t|18972|<br>26633|<br>26535|<br>26927|<br>27207|<br>27349|
|60-64|4690|6908|16599|<br>24605|<br>25411|<br>26310|<br>26714|<br>26870|
|65-69|3579|5530|13088|<br>22264|<br>24212|<br>25227|<br>25766|<br>25927|
|70-74|2722|4188|9683|18072|<br>22140|<br>23261|<br>23869|<br>24062|
|75+|3036|4776|11093|<br>25855|<br>39567|<br>45349|<br>48993|<br>50212|
|TOTAL|199547|<br>265856|<br>363576|<br>423059|<br>443880|<br>453482|<br>459297|<br>461536|
|BIRTH RATE||26.1|18.6|14.8|13.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE||6.7|6.4|9.0|11.7|12.3|12.4|12.5|
|METNIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 5|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROTH**RAT|E|1.89|1.23|.59|.19|.09|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.180|2.270|2.092|2.090|2.088|2.080|2.066|
|eCO) - BOT|H SEXES|68.05|72.01|74.19|75.75|77.65|78.91|79.27|
|<br>**IR**- BOTH|SEXES|40.3|24.4|17.2|15.0|13.5|11.1|7.3|

..... **..** . **..** ............... **...........** ..
68 NORTHERN AMERICA Poputation projection (thousands)

|.............................<br>AGE GROLIP<br>1985<br>.............<br>.......................|.............<br>1990|...............................................<br>1995<br>.........|<br>2000<br>................|2005<br>...<br>...<br>......|2010<br>.......................|...<br>2015|...<br>....<br>...<br>....<br>2020<br>...............................|......<br>...<br>.<br>2025<br>...............|..<br>.........<br>....... ......................<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>268059|<br>279008|288361|295484|301486|307203|312679|<br>317121|<br>319823|<br>320454|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10421|10507|10210|9683|9590|9764|9977|10042|<br>9979|<br>9934|
|5-9<br>9621|10494|10559|10236|<br>9694|9595|9766|9974|<br>10038|<br>9971|
|0-14<br>9348|9880|10536|10582|<br>10246|9700|9598|9766|<br>9972|<br>10032|
|5-19<br>10540|9403|9918|10552|<br>10584|10245|9698|9593|<br>9759|<br>9962|
|20-24<br>11855|10647|9482|9956|10563|10586|10244|<br>9691|9584|<br>9742|
|25-29<br>12371|11998|10753|9540|9979|10571|10589|<br>10238|<br>9682|<br>9566|
|30-34<br>11315|12483|<br>12075|10791|<br>9556|<br>9982|10568|<br>10578|<br>10225|<br>9663|
|35-39<br>10447|11375|12511|12075|<br>10779|9543|<br>9966|10545|<br>10554|<br>10198|
|40-44<br>7987|10442|11349|12459|<br>12018|10730|9502|<br>9922|<br>10500|<br>10509|
|45-49<br>6582|7920|<br>10337|11227|<br>12324|11894|10626|<br>9416|<br>9837|<br>104'5|
|0-54<br>5911|6438|7749|10115|<br>10994|12079|<br>11671|<br>10438|<br>9260|<br>9683|
|5-59<br>5957|5667|6182|7450|<br>9737|10599|11665|<br>11290|<br>10115|<br>8988|
|60-64<br>5660|5539|5285|5779|<br>6980|9143|9977|11008|<br>10681|<br>9592|
|65-69<br>4689|5025|4938|4729|<br>5187|6284|8260|9045|<br>10015|<br>9752|
|70-74<br>3610|3876|4177|4123|<br>3964|4365|5311|<br>7011|<br>7711|<br>8575|
|75.<br>4349|4829|5298|5787|<br>6025|6055|6404|7335|<br>9152|<br>10683|
|TOTAL<br>130865|<br>136522|<br>141361|145084|<br>148221|<br>151135|<br>153820|<br>155893|<br>157063|<br>157266|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>10037|<br>10123|<br>9822|9298|<br>9198|9356|9549|<br>9602|<br>9531|<br>9477|
|5-9<br>9404|10139|<br>10201|9869|<br>9327|9219|9372|9560|<br>9608|<br>9532|
|0-14<br>8945|9478|10196|10236|<br>9890|9342|9231|9380|9565|<br>9609|
|5-19<br>10109|<br>9026|9540|<br>10234|<br>10258|9907|9355|9239|9386|<br>9566|
|20-24<br>11496|<br>10259|<br>9144|9613|<br>10276|10290|9930|9370|9250|<br>9388|
|25-29<br>12289|<br>11669|<br>10395|<br>9228|9662|10312|10316|<br>9948|<br>9383|<br>9252|
|0-34<br>11392|<br>12414|<br>11766|10453|<br>9262|9686|10329|<br>10327|<br>9954|<br>9382|
|5-39<br>10630|<br>11465|<br>12466|'1793|10466|9271|9691|10330|<br>10326|<br>9950|
|0-44<br>8211|10649|<br>11472|12457|<br>11778|10454|9261|9679|10317|<br>10312|
|5-49<br>6852|8188|10609|11421|<br>12400|11728|<br>10413|<br>9228|9647|<br>10286|
|0-54<br>6275|6789|8113|10509|<br>11317|12294|11636|<br>10337|<br>9167|<br>9589|
|5-59<br>6565|6165|6675|7977|<br>10339|11145|12120|<br>11484|<br>10213|<br>9066|
|60-64<br>6585|6363|5984|<br>6481|<br>7755|10066|10870|<br>11840|<br>11238|<br>10011|
|65-69<br>5772|<br>6217|6021|5666|<br>6149|7374|9598|<br>10392|<br>11351|<br>10803|
|70-74<br>4885|5188|5606|5438|<br>5133|5587|6727|8791|9557|<br>10480|
|75+<br>7746|8354|8989|9728|<br>10054|10036|10461|<br>11723|<br>14267|<br>16484|
|TOTAL<br>137195|<br>142486|<br>147000|<br>150399|<br>153264|<br>156067|158858|<br>161228|<br>162759|<br>163189|
|IRTH RATE|15.2|14.3|13.1|12.7|12.7|12.7|12.6|12.3|12.2|
|EATH RATE|8.8|8.9|9.0|9.1|9.2|9.4|9.9|10.8|11.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|.64|.54|.41|.36|.34|.33|.27|.16|.04|
|ET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.6|1.2|.7|.4|.3|.2|_.2_|.1|.0|
|GRCOTH<br>RATE|.80|.66|.49|.40|.38|.35|.28|.17|.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.866|1.865|1.864|1.896|1.929|1.961|1.992|2.022|2.052|
|NRR|.899|.899|.899|.916|.933|.948|.964|.979|.994|
|(0)- BOTH SEXES|75.49|75.98|76.33|76.75|77.16|77.57|77.98|78.40|78.82|
|(10)- BOTH SEXES|66.72|67.09|67.35|67.67|67.99|68.33|68.68|69.04|69.40|
|**IMR**- BOTH SEXES|13.8|12.5|11.5|10.4|9.4|8.7|8.0|7.3|6.6|
|q(5) -BOTHSEXES|.0158|.0142|.0130|.0117|.0104|.0096|.0088|0079|0071|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>49.7|<br> <br>50.9|<br> <br>50.3|<br>47.7|<br> <br>45.6|<br> <br>45.9|<br>50.0|<br> <br>55.1|.<br> <br>60.7|.<br> <br>64.2|
69

# NORTHERN A NERICA Population projection (thousards)

# Sunmary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROWP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MF<br>26859|295484|319823|315093|<br>311395|<br>311327|<br>311388|<br>311384|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10421|9683|9979|10008|<br>9985|9978|9978|<br>9979|
|5-9<br>9821|10236|10038|<br>9989|9967|9967|9970|<br>9972|
|10-14<br>9348|10582|9972|9939|9951|9962|9966|<br>9967|
|15-19<br>10540|10552|9759|98$9|9946|9959|9959|<br>9958|
|20-24<br>11855|9956|9584|9895|9953|9950|9944|<br>9942|
|25-29<br>12371|9540|9682|9923|9954|9931|9924|<br>9924|
|30-34<br>11315|10791|10225|<br>9972|9925|9903|9903|<br>9906|
|35-39<br>10447|12075|10554|<br>9889|9859|9871|9882|<br>9886|
|40-44<br>7987|12459|10500|<br>9651|9795|9841|9854|<br>9854|
|45-49<br>6582|11227|9837|9427|9738|<br>9795|9792|<br>9786|
|50-54<br>5911|10115|9260|9410|9650|<br>9680|9658|<br>9651|
|55-59<br>5957|7450|10115|<br>9690|9458|<br>9414|9393|<br>9394|
|60-64<br>5660|5779|10681|<br>9543|8954|<br>8928|8938|<br>8949|
|65-69<br>4689|4729|10015|<br>8745|8057|<br>8177|8216|<br>8226|
|70-74<br>3610|4123|7711|7110|6839|<br>7065|<br>7106|<br>7104|
|75+<br>4349|5787|9152|11904|<br>11712|<br>11586|<br>11606|<br>11595|
|TOTAL<br>130865|<br>145084|<br>157063|<br>154994|<br>153744|<br>154008|<br>154091|<br>154093|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10037|9298|9531|9530|<br>9508|<br>9501|<br>9501|<br>9501|
|5-9<br>9404|9869|9608|9517|9496|<br>9497|<br>9500|<br>9501|
|10-14<br>8945|10236|<br>9565|9475|9486|<br>9497|<br>9501|<br>9501|
|15-19<br>10109|10234|<br>9386|9454|<br>9489|<br>9502|<br>9502|<br>9500|
|20-24<br>11496|9613|9250|9473|<br>9509|<br>9506|<br>9501|<br>9498|
|25-29<br>12289|9228|<br>9383|952T|<br>9525|<br>9503|<br>9496|<br>9496|
|30-34<br>11392|10453|<br>9954|<br>9602|<br>9511|<br>9490|<br>9490|<br>9493|
|35-39<br>10630|11793|<br>10326|<br>9555|<br>9464|<br>9475|<br>9486|<br>9490|
|40-44<br>8211|<br>12457|<br>10317|<br>9370|<br>9435|<br>9470|<br>9482|<br>9483|
|45-49<br>6852|11421|<br>9647|9214|<br>9434|<br>9469|<br>9466|<br>9461|
|50-54<br>6275|10500|<br>9167|9302|<br>9444|<br>9442|<br>9420|<br>9413|
|55-59<br>6565|7977|<br>10213|<br>9779|<br>9435|<br>9345|<br>9324|<br>9325|
|60-64<br>6585|6481|<br>11238|<br>9974|<br>9237|<br>9149|<br>9159|<br>9170|
|65-69<br>57m|5666|11351|<br>9633|<br>8760|<br>8821|<br>8854|<br>8866|
|70-74<br>4885|5438|<br>9557|<br>8390|<br>8032|<br>8223|<br>8254|<br>8252|
|75+<br>7746|<br>9728|14267|<br>18304|<br>17887|<br>17429|<br>17360|<br>17341|
|TOTAL<br>137195|<br>150399|<br>162759|<br>160099|<br>157652|<br>157318|<br>157297|<br>157291|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|14.2|12.6|12.3|12.5|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|8.9|9.7|12.9|13.0|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|**MET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.2|.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|.65|.32|_-. O0_|-. 05|.00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.871|1.959|2.061|2.063|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|75.94|77.59|79.38|79.61|79.60|79.60|79.60|
|<br>**IN-** BOTH SEXES|12.6|8.7|5.6|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
70 ASIA Populatian projection (thousalb)

|.............................................<br>AGE GROUP|...<br>1985|1990|1995|..........................................<br>2000|..............................................<br>2005|...<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>............................||<br>...........................|<br>..............................................|<br>.............................|||||||
|TOTAL M+F|2821424|3093323|3378743|3657286|3912770|4145375|4373140|4600428|4815390|5005220|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|174215|193089|203149|202968|1958%|189236|192654|198523|199533|196121|
|5-9|165467|170347|189531|199924|200146|193499|187211|190918|197053|198323|
|10-14|171277|164258|169216|188433|198897|199221|192686|186507|190294|196499|
|15-19|163322|169674|162999|168003|187227|197731|198170|191758|185700|<br>189569|
|20-24|135211|161361|168019|161311|166361|185580|196171|196728|190492|184599|
|25-29|113579|133223|159291|166040|159496|164595|183808|194494|195218|189179|
|30-34|104595|111776|131366|157317|164132|157744|162888|182119|192917|<br>193811|
|35-39|84381|102740|109960|129438|155228|162101|155869|161077|180341|<br>191257|
|40-44|70104|82460|100669|107868|127165|152732|159646|153610|158907|<br>178'87|
|45-49|63562|67881|80123|98034|105156|124166|149365|156315|150552|<br>155937|
|50-54|56766|60695|65022|76992|94411|101386|119916|144547|151534|<br>146125|
|55-59|46506|53031|56891|61118|72611|89255|95960|113758|137511|144471|
|60-64|35455|41968|48076|S1731|55742|66484|81942|88261|104977|<br>127355|
|65-69|27246|30325|36122|41563|44870|48524|58141|71943|m717|92830|
|70-74|17026|21371|24039|28816|33315|36103|39206|47284|58839|63796|
|75+|16310|19027|23456|27603|33126|39134|44182|49131|57795|<br>70884|
|TOTAL|1445022|1583424|1727930|1867159|1993778|2107509|2217815|2326973|2429378|2518941|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|165283|183545|193501|193978|187758|181761|185277|191037|191922|<br>188465|
|5-9|157076|160906|179599|190178|191240|185601|180061|183924|189943|<br>191049|
|10-14|160719|155747|159721|178539|189247|190464|184967|179557|183503|189587|
|15-19|150834|159289|154491|158621|<br>1M57|188355|189705|184354|179057|<br>183079|
|20-24|129072|149051|157620|153068|157327|176319|187287|188809|183614|178446|
|25-29|108348|127191|147204|155949|151575|155978|175047|186168|187852|182815|
|30-34|99965|106541|125394|145487|154293|150115|154637|173800|185049|<br>186880|
|35-39|79536|98155|104797|123694|143744|152634|148624|153284|172506|<br>183862|
|40-44|65588|77839|96329|103060|121872|141879|150811|146992|151758|<br>171003|
|45-49|58973|<br>63848|76020|94375|101066|119766|139650|148617|144966|149806|
|50-54|52665|56932|61797|73878|91915|98570|117053|136758|145713|142224|
|55-59|43722|50176|54391|59265|71085|88716|95265|113442|132846|<br>141723|
|60-64|35207|40713|46923|51110|55838|67311|84313|90704|108385|<br>127286|
|65-69|28626|31513|36649|42568|46488|51029|61886|77905|83994|100805|
|70-74|19250|23791|26523|31184|36367|39940|44084|53897|68283|73813|
|75.|21536|24663|29656|35173|41659|49427|56656|64206|76621|95435|
|TOTAL|1376402|1509899|1650813|1790127|1918992|2037866|2155325|2273455|2386011|2486279|
|BIRTHRATE||27.7|26.4|24.1|21.5|19.4|18.6|18.0|17.2|16.1|
|DEATH RATE||9.2|8.7|8.2|8.0|7.8|7.8|7.9|8.0|8.4|
|RATE OFMA|T.INC.|1.85|1.77|1.59|1.35|1.16|1.07|1.01|.91|.77|
|NETMIGRAT|ION RATE|-. 1|-. 0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRWfH RAT|E|1.84|1.77|1.58|1.35|1.15|1.07|1.01|.91|.77|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.471|3.200|2.931|2.688|2.472|2.363|2.296|2.228|2.169|
|NRR||1.453|1.351|1.262|1.194|1.123|1.081|1.055|1.034|1.017|
|e(0)- BOT|H SEXES|63.19|64.2|66.02|67.10|68.22|69.22|70.25|71.23|72.13|
|e(10)<br>- BO|TH SEXES|59.08|59.88|60.72|61.29|61.95|62.53|63.16|63.79|64.38|
|INR- BOTH|SEXES|68.2|60.0|53.9|48.6|43.5|38.4|33.4|29.1|25.4|
|q(5)<br>-BOT|H SEXES|.0958|.0831|.0734|.0654|.0576|.0500|.0427|.0365|.0313|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>66.2|<br>61.6|<br>60.3|<br>59.3|<br>5S.7|<br>51.2|<br>48.4|<br>48.1|<br>48.6|<br>49.5|
71 ASIA Population projection (thusards)

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|......<br>.........<br>AGEGROUP<br>....................................................|................................<br>1965<br>.........................................|..................................................<br>2000<br>............|.................................................<br>2025|......<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N4F|2821424|3657286|4815390|5539653|**5848868**|5967109|6048966|6083199|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|174215|202968|199533|l96459|195217|194813|194734|194771|
|5-9|165467|199924|197053|194281|194030|194272|194462|<br>194613|
|10-14|171277|188433|190294|191527|193268|194096|194431|<br>194561|
|15-19|163322|168003|185700|190918|193595|194278|194436|<br>194450|
|20-24|135211|161311|190492|193493|194438|194299|194191|<br>194132|
|25-29|113579|166040|195218|195598|194256|19350|193599|<br>193669|
|30-34|104595|157317|192917|193119|191888|192197|192873|193207|
|35-39|84381|129438|180341|185554|188577|190981|192340|192859|
|40-44|70104|107868|1S8907|179814|187127|190626|191974|192367|
|45-49|63562|98034|150552|182564|188182|190202|190921|191100|
|50-54|56766|76992|151534|180521|187242|187393|187889|188256|
|55-59|46506|61118|137511|174797|179161|179949|181805|<br>182924|
|60-64|35455|S1731|104977|153181|162728|167978|172261|<br>174141|
|65-69|27246|41563|7717|121204|143432|152614|158248|<br>160230|
|70-74|17026|28816|58839|97056|124505|132177|136900|138462|
|75+|16310|27603|57795|133668|187405|206195|218320|224321|
|TOTAL|1445022|1867159|2429378|2766754|2905050|2955659|2989385|3004063|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|165283|193978|191922|188281|186844|1S6337|186186|18690|
|5-9|157076|190178|189943|186488|185904|185984|186068|186158|
|10-14|160719|178539|183503|184121|185323|185949|186147|186206|
|15-19|150834|158621|l79057|183951|185875|186333|186328|186263|
|20-24|1290n|153068|183614|186995|187132|186683|186384|186225|
|25-29|108348|155949|187852|189661|187388|186355|186141|<br>186085|
|30-34|99965|145487|185049|187760|185508|185345|185758|<br>185934|
|35-39|79536|123694|172506|180712|182785|184538|185610|<br>185933|
|40-44|65s58|103060|151758|175365|182030|184704|185776|<br>185946|
|45-49|58973|94375|144966|178418|184035|185234|185654|<br>185593|
|50-54|52665|73878|145713|180280|184881|184160|184384|<br>184503|
|55-59|43722|59265|132846|173954|180020|179983|181625|182506|
|60-64|35207|51110|108385|156510|168372|173362|177666|<br>179399|
|65-69|28626|42568|a3994|129160|155117|165379|171635|<br>173655|
|70-74|19250|31184|68283|11O795|143341|153688|159992|161784|
|75.|21536|35173|76621|180447|259263|297416|324228|336755|
|TOTAL|1376402|1790127|2386011|2772899|2943818|3011450|3059581|3079136|
|BIRTH RATE||25.9|18.8|14.9|13.5|13.0|12.8|12.6|
|**DEATH**RATE||8.7|7.9|9.4|11.3|12.2|12.2|12.4|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.73|1.10|.56|.22|.08|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.181|2.399|2.122|2.080|2.070|2.061|2.059|
|**eSO)**- BOT|H SEXES|64.69|69.32|73.72|76.47|77.84|79.09|79.58|
|<br>INR - BOTH|SEXES|60.6|38.6|19.9|11.5|8.5|6.2|5.3|
72 EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA Population projection (thousands)

|AGE GROUIP<br>..<br>............|1985<br>.......................|1990|1995<br>..............|2000<br>...........................|2005<br>|2010<br>.<br>I.........|2015<br>..................|2020|2025<br>........................................|203<br>......|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F|1648347|1778903|1918039|2050395|2163430|2260922|2354300|2448001|2535035|260652|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|82598|93994|100775|99454|93143|88651|90393|94500|95768|9382|
|5-9|85693|81561|93060|99948|98755|92574|88171|89968|94112|9542|
|10-14|98733|85287|81210|92725|99633|98476|92332|87962|89776|93932|
|15-19|97955|98176|84838|80818|92334|99253|98128|92031|87698|89530|
|20-24|80612|97122|97415|84228|80278|91783|98709|97631|91598|8731|
|25-29|68580|79779|96241|96617|83587|79702|91190|98126|97100|91137|
|30-34|66407|67822|79001|95418|95865|872|79143|90619|97566|96592|
|35-39|52334|65583|67043|78191|94540|95048|82296|78532|89990|96948|
|40-44|42233|51485|64616|66116|77199|93437|94002|81430|77747|<br>8917.|
|45-49|38930|41228|50372|63308|64832|75789|91829|92470|80153|76581|
|50-54|35457|37527|39836|48784|61388|62922|73648|89371|90106|70172|
|55-59|29521|33493|35539|37821|46422|58491|60006|70368|85563|8641|
|60-64|22922|27000|30747|32715|34907|42957|54195|<br>55695|<br>65477|79835|
|65-69|16611|19930|23607|26994|28801|30825|38047|48120|49567|58470|
|70-74|11391|13331|16101|19194|22038|23587|25332|31422|39873|<br>41199|
|75+|10168|12774|15493|18885|<br>22868|<br>26980|30226|33294|39506|<br>49054|
|TOTAL|840145|906092|975892|1041216|1096590|1143448|1187646|1231539|1271598|1303601|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|78685|89752|96349|95249|89353|85140|86884|90819|92028|90154|
|5-9|80532|77608|88795|95574|<br>94616|88877|84769|86572|<br>90547|91800|
|10-14|92476|80160|77301|88536|95335|<br>94419|88720|<br>84644|86463|<br>90452|
|15-19|91877|92010|79807|77029|88271|95096|94216|88558|84512|86350|
|20-24|78546|91227|91449|79416|76684|87943|94794|93961|88353|<br>84347|
|25-29|65287|77843|90540|90906|78978|76308|87578|94459|93677|88126|
|30-34|63329|64613|77165|89925|90331|78534|75921|87202|<br>94111|93382|
|35-39|49046|62610|63952|76540|89252|89730|78059|75509|86798|<br>93735|
|40-44|39338|48378|61847|63285|75797|88480|<br>89021|77499|75018|86308|
|45-49|36300|38639|47612|61002|62432|74872|<br>87491|88107|76762|74361|
|50-54|33497|35408|37765|46679|59837|61298|73614|<br>86140|86846|<br>75729|
|55-59|28422|32324|34244|36656|45369|58254|59735|<br>71874|84256|85065|
|60-64|23577|26914|30712|32696|35043|43513|55987|57491|69355|81501|
|65-69|18385|21559|24732|28443|30312|32623|40681|52493|54011|65391|
|70-74|13639|15738|18604|21595|<br>24878|26656|28845|36180|46878|48380|
|75+|15267|18029|21273|25646|30351|35732|40338|44954|53822|67840|
|TOTAL|808202|872812|942147|1009179|1066840|1117474|1166654|1216462|1263437|1302922|
|BIRTH RATE||22.6|22.3|20.4|17.9|16.2|15.8|15.8|15.4|4.6|
|DEATH RATE||7.3|7.2|7.0|7.2|7.4|7.7|8.0|8.4|9.0|
|RATEOFNA|T.INC.|1.53|1.51|1.34|1.08|.88|.81|.78|.70|.56|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE||1.52|1.51|1.33|1.07|.88|.81|.78|.70|.56|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|2.673|2.538|2.388|2.277|2.188|2.145|2.129|2.113|2.097|
|NRR||1.205|1.143|1.088|1.058|1.034|1.012|1.003|1.001|1.001|
|e(0)**-** BOTH|SEXES|68.03|69.16|70.42|71.12|71.95|72.65|73.34|73.99|74.62|
|edlO)**-** BOT|H SEXES|61.94|62.60|63.44|63.79|64.30|64.75|65.23|65.71|66.17|
|**INR**- BOTH|SEXES|43.3|37.7|33.2|29.4|26.0|23.1|20.6|18.6|16.8|
|q(5)<br>-<br>BOT|H SEXES|.0578|.0495|.0425|.0373|.0325|0285|0252|0225|0202|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>57.9|<br>52.1|<br>52.1|<br>53.2|<br>50.9|<br>47.2|.<br>45.4|.<br>46.8|.<br>48.9|.<br> <br>51.5|
73 EAST **AND** SOITHEAST ASIA Popul1tion projection **(thaouswds)**

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|~~~~<br>..............<br>|~~~~~~<br>...<br>|~~~~~~~**.**<br>.............................................. ..<br>|**.......**<br>.. .. .. .. .. .. ........................<br>||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GROUP**|1985|2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|<br>.....................................................|<br>.........................................|<br>...........|||<br>|||<br>|
|TOTAL NF|1648347|<br>2050395|<br>2535035|<br>2764884|<br>2848242|<br>2878787|<br>2897418|<br>2905743|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|82598|99454|95768|<br>93880|<br>93190|<br>92997|<br>92974|<br>92976|
|5-9|85693|99948|94112|<br>92539|<br>92417|<br>92610|<br>92794|<br>92883|
|10-14|98733|92725|89776|<br>90849|<br>91862|<br>92459|<br>92768|<br>92876|
|15-19|97955|80818|87698|<br>90860|<br>92137|<br>92652|<br>92838|<br>92864|
|20-24|80612|84228|<br>91598|<br>92900|<br>92960|<br>92840|<br>92779|<br>92728|
|25-29|**68580**|96617|97100|<br>94399|<br>93027|<br>92519|<br>92448|<br>92466|
|30-34|66407|95418|<br>97566|<br>92670|<br>91602|<br>91657|<br>91973|<br>92195|
|35-39|52334|78191|<br>89990|<br>88048|<br>89695|<br>90915|<br>91661|<br>92019|
|40-44|42233|66116|<br>77747|<br>85528|<br>89364|<br>90902|<br>91603|<br>91851|
|45-49|38930|63308|<br>80153|<br>88548|<br>90754|<br>91164|<br>91285|<br>91303|
|50-54|35457|48784|<br>90106|<br>92285|<br>90930|<br>90052|<br>89869|<br>89897|
|55-59|29521|37821|<br>85563|<br>89691|<br>86752|<br>86333|<br>86800|<br>87229|
|60-64|22922|<br>32715|<br>65477|<br>77962|<br>78228|<br>80483|<br>82140|<br>82990|
|65-69|16611|<br>26994|<br>49567|<br>60862|<br>69482|<br>73653|<br>75647|<br>76458|
|70-74|11391|<br>19194|<br>39873|<br>53463|<br>61940|<br>64707|<br>65847|<br>66206|
|75.|10168|<br>18985|<br>39506|<br>85738|<br>100039|<br>103129|<br>105814|<br>107289|
|TOTAL|840145|1041216|<br>1271598|<br>1370222|<br>1404379|<br>1419074|<br>1429239|<br>1434227|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|78685|<br>95249|<br>92028|<br>90098|<br>89301|<br>89005|<br>88917|<br>88907|
|5-9|80532|<br>95574|<br>90547|<br>88949|<br>88680|<br>88727|<br>88812|<br>88875|
|10-14|92476|<br>88536|<br>86463|<br>87432|<br>88239|<br>88660|<br>88846|<br>88914|
|15-19|91877|<br>77029|<br>84512|<br>87585|<br>88632|<br>88960|<br>89003|<br>88980|
|20-24|78546|<br>79416|<br>88353|<br>89760|<br>89626|<br>89313|<br>8904|88975|
|**25-29**|65287|<br>90906|<br>93677|<br>91426|<br>89907|<br>89194|<br>88942|<br>88869|
|30-34|6329|89925|<br>94111|<br>89959|<br>88743|<br>88550|<br>88647|<br>88748|
|**35-39**|49046|<br>76540|<br>86798|<br>85712|<br>87141|<br>88048|<br>88536|<br>88744|
|40-44|39338|<br>63285|<br>75018|<br>83491|<br>87139|<br>88327|<br>88747|<br>88821|
|45-49|36300|<br>61002|<br>76762|<br>86817|<br>88999|<br>89072|<br>88893|<br>88717|
|50-54|33497|<br>46679|<br>86846|<br>91229|<br>90075|<br>88865|<br>88350|<br>88159|
|55-59|28422|<br>36656|<br>84256|<br>90262|<br>87599|<br>86823|<br>86915|<br>87096|
|60-64|23577|<br>32696|<br>69355|<br>81065|<br>81711|<br>83684|<br>84976|<br>85575|
|65-69|18385|<br>28443|<br>54011|<br>66589|<br>76396|<br>80657|<br>82378|<br>82959|
|70-74|13639|<br>21595|<br>46878|<br>62234|<br>73318|<br>76432|<br>77358|<br>77467|
|75.|15267|<br>25646|<br>53822|<br>122053|<br>148359|<br>155395|<br>159765|<br>161710|
|TOTAL|808202|<br>1009179|<br>1263437|<br>1394662|<br>1443863|<br>1459713|<br>1468179|<br>1471516|
|BIRTH RATE||21.7|16.2|13.8|13.0|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||7.1|7.7|10.4|11.8|12.4|12.4|12.5|
|**NET**MIGRAT|ION RATE|**-. 1**|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROfTH**<br>RAT|E|1.46|.85|.35|.12|.04|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|2.523|2.168|2.086|2.065|2.062|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- **BOT**|**H**SEXES|69.26|72.67|75.79|78.09|78.84|79.39|79.59|
|<br>**INR**- BOTH|SEXES|38.0|23.5|13.9|8.5|6.8|5.7|5.3|

.... .............
74 SOUTH ASIA Poplaticn projectfon (thlousnd)

|..............................................<br>AGE GROCW|.........................................<br>1985|..........................................<br>1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br>,............................................|<br>.........................................|<br>............................................|||||||||
|TOTAL M.F|1058176|1182419|1309988|1436926|1s60248|1677103|1793432|1909520|2020969|2123864|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|82344|86616|90924|91625|90696|88721|90211|91936|91812|<br>90388|
|5-9|ri265|79706|86182|88706|89664|890I1|87303|89012|90951|<br>91031|
|10-14|65557|71313|<br>7?980|85472|88?|89066|<br>88484|86848|<br>88617|<br>90612|
|15-19|59194|64739|<br>70551|78212|84713|87336|<br>88418|87909|86354|<br>88183|
|20-24|49176|58103|<br>63714|69529|77179|<br>83692|<br>863s0|<br>87550|<br>87151|<br>85702|
|25-29|40175|48046|56956|62586|68422|76064|82597|85372|86656|<br>86379|
|30-34|34219|39157|47009|55859|61497|67351|74992|81561|8441|85841|
|35-39|28870|<br>33221|<br>38173|<br>45952|<br>54719|<br>60357|<br>66231|<br>73879|.<br>80504|<br>83493|
|40-44|25347|27845|32179|37087|44758|53417|59044|64937|72605|<br>79235|
|45-49|22443|24197|26703|30949|35773|43288|51788|57384|63297|<br>70959|
|50-54|19334|21075|22832|25278|29386|34075|41355|49617|55168|<br>61064|
|55-59|15392|17697|19393|21085|23427|27327|31802|3874|46670|<br>52103|
|60-64|11414|13536|15666|1739|18821|21000|24596|28753|35215|<br>42651|
|65-69|9916|9445|11292|13140|14533|15950|17889|21065|24806|<br>30590|
|70-74|5042|7480|7194|8657|10142|11287|12466|14078|16724|<br>19872|
|75+|5559|5594|7287|7901|9218|l0883|12501|14157|16219|<br>19230|
|TOTAL|546047|609790|675035|739276|800995|858826|916057|972791|1027191|1077386|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|77652|a3684|a6112|67267|86783|85191|86778|88566|88373|86838|
|5-9|69046|74512|80846|83701|85283|85204|83948|85810|87803|<br>87774|
|10-14|61493|68133|73674|**80a82**|83044|84733|84753|83591|85516|87558|
|15-19|53096|60574|67269|72884|79361|82424|84206|84328|83241|85224|
|20-24|45397|52020|59516|66282|71978|78533|81697|83601|83824|82826|
|25-29|**38804**|44279|50915|58439|65273|71051|77671|80957|82967|83288|
|30-34|33125|3M7|43215|49665|57408|64304|70145|76846|80231|82332|
|35-39|27639|32088|36696|42195|4s848|56401|63337|69255|76010|<br>79472|
|40-41|**23863**|26663|31080|35687|41176|47816|55349|<br>62326|<br>68283|<br><br>75062|
|45-49|20559|22899|25670|30036|34616|40070|46653|54150|61119|67078|
|50-54|17326|19480|21794|24536|28823|33346|38717|45219|52622|<br>59530|
|55-59|1373|16098|18195|20463|23154|27320|31731|36988|43343|50578|
|60-6|10532|12335|14577|16586|18775|21373|25343|29595|34656|40762|
|65-69|9433|8978|10609|12655|14520|16567|18984|22664|26639|31355|
|70-74|4942|**738**|7109|8493|10247|11873|13659|15795|19011|<br>22507|
|75+|5476|5768|7675|8480|9963|12071|14404|17037|20135|24295|
|TOTAL|512129|s72629|634953|697650|759253|818277|877376|936728|993778|1046478|
|BIRTH RATE||34.6|31.5|28.6|25.7|23.1|21.7|20.6|19.2|17.8|
|DEATH RATE||12.2|10.9|10.0|9.2|8.6|8.3|8.0|7.8|7.8|
|RATE OF MA|T. INC.|2.23|2.06|1.85|1.65|1.45|1.34|1.25|1.13|.99|
|NiETMIGRAT|IONIRATE|-..|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.22|2.05|1.85|1.65|1.44|1.34|1.25|1.13|.99|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|4.704|4.159|3.648|3.183|2.789|2.588|2.463|2.348|2.248|
|MRR||1.803|1.647|1.490|1.332|1.193|1.135|1.103|1.067|1.033|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|55.77|57.85|59.61|61.36|63.05|64.59|66.19|67.70|69.03|
|e(1o)<br>- BO|TH SEXES|54.70|55.82|56.78|57.74|58.67|59.52|60.43|61.32|62.14|
|IMR- BOTH|SEXES|93.7|83.9|75.7|67.9|60.7|53.6|46.4|39.9|34.2|
|q(5)<br>-BOT|H SEXES|1346|1189|1059|0935|0821|0711|0602|0507|0427|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO|<br>79.5|.<br>76.0|<br>71.9|.<br>66.9|.<br>61.2|.<br>55.8|.<br>51.7|.<br>49.3|.<br> <br>48.1|.<br> <br>47.3|
75

# SOUTH ASIA Population projection CthcasAwds)

# Sumnry for 25 Year Periods

|**AGE GRCIP**|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...................|.............|..........................|||....<br>......<br>....|......<br>.....|........<br>..<br>..|"...<br>....<br>..<br>...|
|TOTALM4F|1058176|1436926|2020969|2449346|2643951|2721604|2778766|2802504|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|82344|91625|91812|90607|90039|89803|89735|89768|
|5-9|72065|88706|90951|89813|89657|89670|89653|89712|
|10-14|65557|85472|88617|88767|89476|89663|89657|89674|
|15-19|59194|78212|86354|88178|89561|89676|89607|89586|
|20-24|49176|69529|87151|88859|89625|89543|89444|89422|
|25-29|40175|**62586**|86656|89505|89424|89193|89213|89243|
|30-34|34219|55859|8444l|88714|88537|88707|88993|89073|
|35-39|28870|45952|80504|85916|<br>87194|<br>88290|<br>88811|88931|
|40-44|25347|37087|72605|83024|86170|88026|88560|<br>88652|
|45-49|22443|30949|63297|82788|86079|87463|87924|88019|
|50-54|19334|25278|55168|80505|85200|85975|86489|86749|
|55-59|15392|21085|46670|75282|81630|82625|83807|84401|
|60-64|11414|17239|35215|66927|74468|77117|79492|80406|
|65-69|9916|13140|24806|53881|65125|69548|72880|<br>73913|
|70-74|5042|8657|16724|39103|55095|59552|62709|63761|
|75+|5559|7901|16219|42797|77303|90879|99167|103243|
|TOTAL|546047|739276|1n27191|1234666|1324582|1355729|<br>1376141|1384553|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|77652|87267|88373|86688|86061|85861|85802|85816|
|5-9|69016|83701|87803|86057|85750|85788|85790|85818|
|10-14|61493|80082|85516|85206|85616|85822|85836|85827|
|15-19|53098|72884|83244|84883|85780|85909|85861|85820|
|20-24|45397|66282|83824|85834|86051|85908|85827|85786|
|25-29|38804|58439|82967|86826|86034|85704|85738|85755|
|30-34|33125|49865|80231|86313|85339|85349|85654|85727|
|35-39|27639|42195|76010|83615|84237|85061|85624|85737|
|40-44|23883|<br>35687|68283|80762|83521|84976|<br>85594|<br>85684|
|45-49|20559|30036|61119|80436|83807|84809|85357|85462|
|50-54|17326|24536|52622|78244|83677|84026|84690|84983|
|55-59|13723|20463|43343|735n|81397|82045|<br>83483|<br>84153|
|60-64|10532|16586|34656|66595|76041|78818|81670|82757|
|65-69|9433|12655|26639|55312|<br>68877|<br>74336|78638|80006|
|70-74|4942|8493|19011|43130|61049|67810|72794|74377|
|75+|5476|8480|20135|51200|96133|123652|144267|154241|
|TOTAL|512129|697650|993778|<br>1214680|<br>1319369|1365876|1402625|1417950|
|BIRTH RATE||31.4|21.8|16.1|13.9|13.2|12.9|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||11.0|8.4|8.5|10.9|12.1|12.0|12.3|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE||2.04|1.36|.77|.31|.12|.08|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|4.125|2.644|2.161|2.096|2.078|2.064|2.059|
|**e(O)-** BOTH|SEXES|57.87|64.79|71.26|74.77|76.78|78.76|79.57|
|**ItR-** BOTH S|EXES|84.4|53.7|26.1|14.5|10.2|6.7|5.3|
76 SQJTNWEST ASIA Poputation projection (thousandB)

|AGEOR"JP<br>1985|**1990**|**1995**|**2000**|**2005**|<br>2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>20|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|......................................................................................|.........................................|||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>114901|<br>132001|<br>150716|<br>169966|<br>169093|<br>207350|<br>225408|<br>242907|<br>259386|<br>274834|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9274|10480|11450|11889|<br>12058|<br>11863|<br>12050|<br>12087|<br>11952|<br>119|
|5-9<br>7710|9079|10289|11270|<br>11727|<br>11915|<br>11737|<br>11938|<br>11igl|118|
|10-14<br>6987|7657|9026|10236|<br>11218|<br>11679|<br>11870|<br>11696|<br>11901|<br>119|
|15-19<br>6173|6940|7610|8974|10180|<br>11161|<br>11624|<br>11818|<br>11648|<br>118|
|20-24<br>5422|6136|6891|7554|<br>8903|<br>10105|<br>11082|<br>11547|<br>11743|<br>115|
|25-29<br>4823|5398|6094|6836|7487|<br>8829|<br>10022|<br>10996|<br>11462|<br>116|
|30-34<br>3969|**4796**|5356|6041|6771|<br>7420|<br>8752|9939|10910|<br>113|
|35-39<br>3177|3936|4744|5295|<br>5969|<br>6696|<br>7343|<br>8666|9846|<br>108|
|40-44<br>2524|3129|3873|4666|5208|<br>5878|<br>6599|7243|<br>8555|<br>97|
|45-49<br>2189|2456|3049|37m|4551|<br>5088|<br>5748|6462|7101|<br>_83_|
|50-54<br>1975|2093|2354|2931|<br>3637|<br>4389|<br>4913|5559|6259|<br>688|
|55-59<br>1593|1842|1959|<br>2211|<br>2762|<br>3437|<br>4152|4656|<br>5279|<br>5955|
|60-64<br>1118|1431|1663|<br>17m|2013|<br>2526|<br>3152|3813|4285|<br>4869|
|65_4_<br>718|950|1223|<br>1429|<br>1535|<br>1749|<br>2204|2758|<br>3345|<br>3769|
|70-74<br>593|559|745|965|1135|<br>1228|<br>1407|<br>1784|<br>2242|<br>2725|
|75+<br>583|659|676|817|1040|<br>1271|<br>1456|<br>1680|<br>2070|<br>2599|
|TOTAL<br>58830|67542|77003|668|96194|<br>105235|<br>114112|<br>122643|<br>130589|<br>137955|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8946|10109|<br>11040|<br>11461|<br>11622|<br>11430|<br>11614|<br>11651|<br>11521|<br>11473|
|5-9<br>7496|8786|9958|10902|<br>11342|<br>11520|<br>11344|<br>11543|<br>11594|<br>11476|
|10-14<br>6750|7455|8746|9920|10868|<br>11312|<br>11494|<br>11323|<br>11524|<br>11578|
|15-19<br>5859|6705|7415|8708|<br>9685|<br>10835|<br>11283|<br>11469|<br>11301|<br>11505|
|20-24<br>5129|5803|6655|7370|<br>8665|<br>9843|<br>10795|<br>11247|<br>11437|<br>112|
|25-29<br>4257|5069|5749|6604|7324|<br>8619|<br>9798|10752|<br>11208|<br>11401|
|30-34<br>3511|4200|5014|5697|<br>6554|<br>7278|<br>8572|9751|10706|<br>11166|
|35-39<br>2851|3457|4146|4ff9|5644|<br>6503|<br>7227|8520|9699|<br>10655|
|40-44<br>2368|2796|3402|4088|<br>4899|<br>5584|<br>6441|7167|<br>8457|<br>9633|
|45-49<br>2115|2310|2738|3337|<br>4018|<br>4824|<br>5506|6360|7084|<br>8367|
|50-54<br>1842|2043|2239|2662|<br>3254|<br>3926|<br>4722|5399|6245|<br>6965|
|55-59<br>1577|1753|1952|<br>2146|<br>2562|<br>3142|<br>3799|4580|5246|<br>6080|
|60-64<br>1098|1464|1634|<br>1829|<br>2020|<br>2424|<br>2984|3618|4374|<br>5023|
|65-69<br>808|975|1308|<br>1470|<br>1656|<br>1840|<br>2221|2748|3344|<br>4059|
|70-74<br>668|665|810|1096|<br>1242|<br>1412|<br>1580|<br>1922|<br>2393|<br>2926|
|75+<br>793<br> <br>|866<br> <br>|908<br>|1047<br>|<br>1345<br> <br>|<br>1624<br> <br>|<br>1915<br> <br>|<br>2215<br> <br>|2664<br> <br>|<br>3299<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>56071|<br>64459|73713|83297|<br>92899|<br>102115|<br>111295|<br>120264|<br>128797|<br>136879|
|BIRTH RATE|36.0|34.1|30.9|27.8|24.7|22.8|21.0|19.3|18.0|
|DEATH RATE|8.7|7.8|7.1|6.6|6.3|6.1|6.1|6.2|6.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.73|2.62|2.39|2.13|1.84|1.67|1.49|1.31|1.16|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.4|.3|.2|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.77|2.65|2.40|2.13|1.84|1.67|1.50|1.31|1.16|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.998|4.579|4.086|3.587|3.064|2.735|2.474|2.278|2.177|
|NRR<br>|2.143|1.996|1.813|1.627|1.401|1.258|1.149|1.066|1.025|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|63.43|65.03|66.45|67.74|68.89|69.84|70.71|71.51|72.27|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES|59.22|60.11|60-92|61.70|62.42|62.99|63.52|64.02|64.49|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES<br>|62.5|56.1|50.0|44.8|40.6|36.1|32.1|28.6|25.1|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0882|.0779|.0684|.0604|.0540|.0474|.0417|.0366|.0315|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>80.7|<br>79.0|<br> <br>78.3|<br> <br>74.4|<br> <br>68.4|<br> <br>61.4|<br> <br>56.0|<br> <br>52.2|<br> <br>50.1|<br>48.4|
77

**8** UTWiEST ASIA Population projection **(thousads)**

# **Su** mry for 25 Year Periods

|...........................................<br>AEGRtP|.................................<br>1985|.............................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>**HIF**|114901|169966|259386|325422|356675|366717|372782|374952|
|NALES|||||||||
|0-4|9274|11889|11952|<br>11971|11989|12013|12026|12028|
|5-9|mo|11270|11990|11929|11956|<br>11992|12015|12019|
|10-14|6987|10236|11901|11911|11930|11974|12006|12012|
|15-19|6173|8974|11648|11880|11897|11950|11991|12000|
|20-24|5422|7554|11743|11734|11853|11917|11968|11982|
|25-29|4823|6116|11462|11693|`1805|<br>11877|11939|11960|
|30-34|3969|6041|10910|11735|11749|11832|11907|11938|
|35-39|3177|5295|9846|11589|11688|11776|11867|11909|
|40-44|2524|4666|8555|11261|11594|11698|11811|11864|
|45.49|2189|3777|<br>7101|11229|11349|11575|11712|11778|
|50-54|1975|2931|6259|10732|11111|11365|11531|11610|
|55-59|1593|2211|5279|9824|10780|10990|11198|11294|
|60-64|1118|lm|4285|8292|10031|10378|10622|10746|
|65-69|718|1429|3345|6460|8825|9413|9722|9859|
|70-74|593|965|2242|4491|7470|7919|8344|8496|
|75+|583|817|2070|5133|10063|<br>12187|13339|13789|
|TOTAL|58830|8668|130589|161865|176089|180855|184005|<br>185283|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|8946|11461|11521|11496|11482|11471|11467|11467|
|5-9|7498|10902|11594|11482|11475|11468|11466|11466|
|10-14|6750|9920|11524|11484|11469|11467|11465|11465|
|15-19|5859|8708|11301|11482|11462|11465|11464|11464|
|20-24|5129|7370|'11437|<br>11402|11455|11462|11463|11463|
|25-29|4257|6604|11208|11409|11447|11457|11461|11461|
|30-34|3511|5697|10706|11488|11427|11446|11456|11458|
|35-39|2851|4959|9699|11385|11407|11428|11449|11452|
|40-44|2368|4088|8457|11112|11370|11400|11435|11441|
|45-49|2115|3337|7084|11165|11229|11353|11405|11414|
|50-54|1842|2662|6245|10807|11129|11269|11344|11360|
|55-59|1577|2146|5246|10112|11024|11114|11228|11257|
|60-64|1098|1829|4374|8850|<br>10620|10860|11020|11067|
|65-69|B08|1470|3344|7259|9844|10385|10619|10690|
|70-74|668|1096|2393|5431|8974|9447|9840|9940|
|75+|793|1047|2664|7195|14770|18369|20195|20804|
|TOTAL|56071|83297|128797|163557|180586|185861|188777|<br>189669|
|BIRTH RATE||33.5|22.8|16.3|13.8|13.1|12.8|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.8|6.2|7.3|10.2|12.0|12.1|12.4|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWlTH<br>RAT|E|2.61|1.69|.91|.37|.11|.07|.02|
|TOTAL FERT<br>|ILITY<br>|4.506|2.759|2.122<br>|2.081|2.070|2.063|2.061|
|eCO)- BOT|H SEXES|65.10|69.89|73.66|75.89|77.80|79.27|79.59|
|<br>**IIR**- BOTH|**SEXES**|56.0|36.5|19.5|12.9|8.8|5.9|5.3|
78 EUROPE AND U.S.S.R Population projection (thousands)

|AGE GRaP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N+F<br>770751|789463|s80632|820747|832740|842576|851013|857719|863674|<br>867278|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>28951|29068|28542|27846|27832|27966|28057|27981|27972|28095|
|5-9<br>28985|28785|28918|28412|27732|27730|27869|27970|27905|27904|
|10-14<br>29297|28914|28716|28853|28353|27679|27679|27822|<br>27926|27865|
|15-19<br>30121|29199|28817|28625|28767|28275|27606|27611|27758|27867|
|20-24<br>32320|29972|e9054|28678|28492|28641|28157|27499|27512|27665|
|25-29<br>31566|32126|29804|28896|28525|28348|28502|28031|27385|27405|
|30-34<br>29175|31353|31925|29635|28739|28375|28203|28367|27910|27275|
|35-39<br>25766|28930|<br>31104|<br>31695|<br>29443|<br>28560|<br>28201|<br>28040|<br>28217|27774|
|.0-44<br>21320|25472|28606|30778|31392|29187|28317|27969|27823|2801?|
|45-49<br>24681|20935|25037|28129|30290|30930|28784|27939|27610|27480|
|50-54<br>21388|23916|20350|24369|27390|295?7|30187|28135|27329|27Q20J|
|55-59<br>20722|20338|22774|19451|23327|26232|28305|28997|27082|26326|
|60-64<br>15260|19097|18812|21097|18101|21747|24456|26437|27160|25430|
|65-69<br>9735|13459|16847|16666|18720|16151|19437|21877|23712|24441|
|70-74<br>10033|7968|11070|13844|13762|15485|13445|16228|18292|198s3|
|75.<br>12162|13127|12214|14072|17033|18503|20537|20185|22202|24828|
|TOTAL<br>371482|382659|392591|401046|407898|413336|417742|421089|423795|425271|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>28002|28140|27571|26861|26817|26924|27000|26894|26847|26936|
|5-9<br>27769|27969|28107|27543|26837|26797|26906|26983|26879|26834|
|10-14<br>27873|27758|27955|28094|27531|26827|26787|26897|26975|26872|
|15-19<br>28900|27857|27738|27936|28076|27516|26813|26775|26886|26965|
|20-24<br>31027|28881|27831|27711|27910|28053|27495|26794|26757|26870|
|25-29<br>30552|30991|28843|27795|27676|27877|28022|27468|26770|26735|
|30-34<br>28534|30489|30928|28791|27748|27633|27836|27985|27434|26740|
|35-39<br>25483|28439|30392|30842|28721|27687|27574|27781|27935|27389|
|40-44<br>21518|25350|28296|30254|30718|28618|27594|27486|27698|27857|
|45-49<br>25529|21324|25139|28073|30035|30517|28447|27436|27335|27553|
|50-54<br>22778|25128|21026|24813|27727|29690|30191|28163|27175|2708|
|55-59<br>24159|22215|24538|20580|24321|27196|29150|29675|27711|26752|
|60-64<br>20948|23177|21374|23652|19899|23557|26365|28295|28852|26980|
|65-69<br>14443|19518|21643|20041|22230|18779|22283|24966|26846|27435|
|70-74<br>16679|12730|17275|19217|17891|19907|16903|20121|22582|24342|
|75+<br>25076|26837|24784|27496|30704|31661|33905|32910|35199|38666|
|TOTAL<br>399269|406804|41344l|419700|424842|429240|433271|436630|439879|442006|
|BIRTH RATE|15.0|14.4|13.7|U.5|13.3|13.2|13.0|12.9|12.9|
|DEATH RATE|10.3|10.3|10.1|10.6|11.0|11.2|11.5|11.5|12.0|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|.47|.41|.36|.29|.23|.20|.16|.14|.08|
|NETMIGRATION RATE|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTN<br>RATE|.48|.42|.36|.29|.23|.20|.16|.14|.08|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.975|1.956|1.942|1.973|1.997|2.012|2.021|2.040|2.063|
|NRR|.951|.929|.924|.948|.963|.970|.974|.983|.995|
|e(0)* BOTH SEXES|73.20|73.80|74.34|74.85|75.30|75.61|75.98|76.36|76.68|
|el1O)<br>- BOTH SEXES|65.06|65.48|65.86|66.23|66.57|66.80|67.09|67.38|67.63|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|22.3|19.8|18.0|16.3|15.0|14.1|13.0|11.9|11.1|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES|.0266|.0234|.0210|.0189|.0173|.0162|.0149|.0135|.0125|
|DEP. RATIO<br>50.6|50.3|51.4|51.5|<br>52.2|51.0|<br>51.9|54.0|56.9|59|
79 EUROPE **AND** U.S.S.R. Population projection (thousands)

# Sulury for 25 Year Periods

|....................<br>AGE GROUP<br>..............|.......................................<br>1985<br>...........................|..................................................<br>2000|.................................................<br>2025<br>....<br>......|.....<br>2050<br> <br>..<br>. ...<br>....|2075<br>....<br>.....<br>.|2100<br>.....<br>...<br>....|2125<br>...............|...<br>2150<br>......................<br>... ..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N F|770751|820747|863674|865251|870352|878531|880799|881371|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|28951|27846|27972|28134|28234|286|28256|28256|
|5-9|28985|28412|27905|28070|28198|28238|28236|28235|
|10-14|29297|28853|27926|28029|28164|28223|28220|28219|
|15-19|30121|28625|27758|27991|28109|28193|2819?|28193|
|20-24|32320|28678|27512|27880|28024|28144|28149|28151|
|25-29|31566|28896|27385|27659|27928|28081|28103|28103|
|30-34|29175|29635|27910|27557|27837|28017|28057|28055|
|35-39|25766|31695|28217|27490|27736|27937|27996|27993|
|40-44|21320|30778|27823|27202|27610|27812|27895|27894|
|45-49|24681|28129|27610|26752|27337|27580|27698|27703|
|50-54|21388|24369|27329|26209|26769|27160|27308|27330|
|55-59|20722|19451|27082|25887|25965|26404|26575|26613|
|60-64|15260|21097|27160|24735|<br>24654|25116|25299|25352|
|65-69|9735|16666|23712|22186|22398|23050|23219|23288|
|70-74|10033|13844|18292|18827|19038|19832|20009|20095|
|75+|12162|14072|<br>22202|29659|30467|31949|32559|32779|
|TOTAL|371482|401046|423795|424268|428469|433991|435772|<br>436260|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|28002|26861|26847|26891|26889|26892|26892|26892|
|5-9|27769|27543|26879|26888|26892|26892|26890|26889|
|10-14|27873|28094|26975|26897|26896|26890|26888|26888|
|15-19|28900|27936|26886|26922|26892|26885|26885|<br>26885|
|20-24|31027|27711|26757|26901|26879|26877|26881|<br>26883|
|25-29|30552|277m|26770|26793|26864|26874|26878|26878|
|30-34|28534|28791|27434|26813|26855|26873|<br>26872|<br>26871|
|35-39|25483|<br>30842|27935|26878|26847|26865|<br>26860|26857|
|40-44|21518|30254|27698|26736|26839|26837|26830|26830|
|45-49|25529|28073|27335|26506|26747|26765|26763|26768|
|50-54|22778|<br>24813|27175|26325|26497|26627|26638|26643|
|55-59|24159|20580|27711|<br>26625|26250|26383|26402|26404|
|60-64|20948|23652|2852|2642|25833|25946|25966|25963|
|65-69|14443|20041|26846|25115|24771|25083|25085|25083|
|70-74|16679|19217|22582|22745|22783|23301|23323|23327|
|75.|25076|27496|35199|45465|47149|48549|<br>48973|<br>49052|
|TOTAL|399269|419700|439879|440963|441883|444539|445027|445112|
|BIRTH RATE||14.4|13.2|12.8|12.8|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||10.2|11.2|12.8|12.6|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|.1|.0|.0|**.0**|**.0**|.0|.0|
|**GROWTH**RATE||.42|.20|.01|.02|.04|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|1.963|2.008|2.069|2.066|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|eCO)**-** BOTH|SEXES|73.79|75.63|77.28|78.75|79.59|79.60|79.60|
|**IN- 90TH**S|EXES|20.0|14.1|9.7|6.8|5.3|5.3|5.3|
80 OCEANIA Population projection (thousards)

|..<br>.............................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|...............................................<br>1990|....<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>24458|26244|27895|29380|30763|32060|33298|34419|35391|36205|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1190|<br>1235|<br>1277|1293|1288|<br>1288|<br>1292|<br>1293|<br>1285|<br>1287|
|5-9<br>1121|<br>1189|<br>1229|1267|1284|<br>1280|<br>1282|<br>1286|<br>1288|<br>1281|
|10-14<br>1201|<br>1126|<br>1190|1225|1264|<br>1281|<br>1278|<br>1279|<br>1283|<br>1286|
|15-19<br>1134|<br>1205|<br>1126|1186|1221|<br>1260|<br>1277|<br>1274|<br>1276|<br>1280|
|20-24<br>1134|<br>1151|<br>1210|1121|1180|<br>1216|<br>1255|<br>1272|<br>1269|<br>1271|
|25-29<br>1023|<br>1159|<br>1159|1205|1116|<br>1175|<br>1211|<br>1248|<br>1265|<br>1263|
|30-34<br>931|<br>1045|<br>1166|1154|1199|<br>1111|<br>1170|<br>1205|<br>1242|<br>1260|
|35-39<br>893|<br>945|<br>1048|1159|1147|<br>1192|<br>1104|<br>1162|<br>1198|<br>1235|
|40-44<br>708|<br>897|<br>942|1038|1149|<br>1136|<br>1182|<br>1095|<br>1153|<br>1169|
|45-49<br>613|<br>705|<br>886|928|1024|<br>1133|<br>1121|<br>1166|<br>1080|<br>1139|
|50-54<br>553|<br>600|<br>688|864|906|1000|<br>1108|<br>1096|<br>1141|<br>1058|
|55-59<br>546|<br>529|<br>574|659|829|871|<br>963|<br>1067|<br>1056|<br>1101|
|60-64<br>467|<br>507|<br>492|535|616|776|817|905|1004|<br>994|
|65-69<br>347|<br>415|<br>451|439|478|553|<br>699|<br>738|<br>818|<br>909|
|70-74<br>263|<br>286|<br>344|375|366|400|<br>465|<br>589|<br>624|<br>694|
|75+<br>272|<br>327|<br>371|438|496|521|<br>561|<br>633|<br>767|<br>866|
|TOTAL<br>12397|<br>13320|<br>14153|<br>14887|<br>15563|<br>16193|<br>16784|<br>17308|<br>17749|<br>18109|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1139|<br>1185|<br>1226|1240|1234|<br>1233|<br>1235|<br>1237|<br>1229|<br>1230|
|5-9<br>1058|<br>1142|<br>1182|1218|1233|<br>1229|<br>1229|<br>1232|<br>1234|<br>1227|
|10-14<br>1137|<br>1064|<br>1143|1180|1216|<br>1232|<br>1227|<br>1227|<br>1231|<br>1233|
|15-19<br>1064|<br>1141|<br>1065|1141|1178|<br>1214|<br>1230|<br>1226|<br>1226|<br>1229|
|20-24<br>1045|<br>1075|<br>1145|1062|1138|<br>1176|<br>1212|<br>1227|<br>1223|<br>1224|
|25-29<br>966|<br>1059|<br>1080|1142|1060|<br>1135|<br>1174|<br>1209|<br>1225|<br>1221|
|30-34<br>898|<br>976|<br>1062|1077|1139|<br>1056|<br>1132|<br>1170|<br>.205|<br>1222|
|35-39<br>850|<br>902|<br>976|1057|1072|<br>1134|<br>1053|<br>1128|<br>1166|<br>1202|
|40-44<br>662|<br>849|<br>899|970|1052|1066|1128|<br>1047|<br>1122|<br>1161|
|45-49<br>581|658|842|891|962|1043|1057|1120|1040|1115|
|50-54<br>521|572|649|829|879|950|1031|1045|1107|1028|
|55-59<br>527|<br>508|<br>559|634|812|861|<br>932|<br>1012|<br>1026|<br>1088|
|60-64<br>481|<br>507|<br>489|538|613|784|<br>834|<br>904|<br>983|<br>997|
|65-69<br>382|<br>450|<br>475|.459|506|577|<br>741|<br>791|<br>858|<br>936|
|70-74<br>318|<br>339|<br>401|423|411|453|<br>520|<br>669|<br>718|<br>782|
|75+<br>433|<br>497|<br>550|630|696|723|<br>777|<br>868|<br>1050|<br>1202|
|TOTAL<br>12061|<br>12925|<br>13742|14493|<br>15200|<br>15867|<br>16513|<br>17111|<br>17642|<br>18096|
|BIRTH RATE|19.9|19.2|18.4|17.3|16.5|15.8|15.3|14.7|14.3|
|DEATH RATE|8.1|8.2|8.2|8.3|8.4|8.4|8.6|9.1|9.7|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|1.18|1.11|1.02|.91|.81|.75|.66|.56|.45|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|2.3|1.1|.2|.1|.1|.1|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|1.41|1.22|1.04|.92|.83|.76|.66|.56|.45|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.517|2.477|2.427|2.368|2.313|2.251|2.190|2.130|2.106|
|NRR|1.139|1.136|1.126|1.104|1.085|1.061|1.038|1.014|1.006|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|72.02|72.54|73.03|73.58|74.02|74.59|75.11|75.62|76.10|
|e(CO)- BOTH SEXES|64.58|64.90|65.20|65.57|65.85|66.23|66.60|66.96|67.32|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|39.3|35.6|32.1|28.4|25.2|22.0|19.2|16.8|15.0|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES|.0536|.0480|.0427|.0370|.0322|.0274|0234|0200|0176|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>56.8|54.5|54.5|<br>53.1|<br>51.6|<br>50.6|<br>51.4|.<br>52.5|.<br>53.8|.<br> <br>55.6|
81

# OCEANIA Populatfon projection (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|.........................................<br>AGE GROUP|.................<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|.....................................<br>2075|........................................<br> <br>2100|.........<br> <br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL WF|24458|<br>29380|35391|<br>38240|<br>39351|<br>39829|<br>40149|<br>40237|
|KALES|||||||||
|0-4|1190|1293|1285|<br>1288|<br>1289|<br>1290|<br>1291|<br>1291|
|5-9|1121|1267|1288|<br>1285|<br>1286|<br>1289|<br>1290|<br>1290|
|10-14|1201|1225|1283|<br>1282|<br>1285|<br>1287|<br>1289|<br>1289|
|15-19|1134|1186|1276|<br>1280|<br>1282|<br>1285|<br>1288|<br>1288|
|20-24|1134|1121|1269|<br>1275|<br>1279|<br>1283|<br>1286|<br>1286|
|25-29|1023|1205|1265|<br>1268|<br>1276|<br>1280|<br>1283|<br>1284|
|30-34|931|1154|1242|<br>1270|<br>1271|<br>1276|<br>1280|<br>1282|
|35-39|893|1159|1198|<br>1260|<br>1266|<br>1272|<br>1277|<br>1279|
|40-44|708|1038|1153|<br>1247|<br>1259|<br>1265|<br>1272|<br>1274|
|45-49|613|928|1080|<br>1230|<br>1245|<br>1255|<br>1262|<br>1265|
|50-54|553|864|<br>1141|<br>1207|<br>1220|<br>1235|<br>1244|<br>1248|
|55-59|546|659|1056|<br>1149|<br>1186|<br>1198|<br>1210|<br>1214|
|60-64|467|535|1004|<br>1050|<br>1117|<br>1136|<br>1151|<br>1156|
|65-69|347|439|818|922|1010|<br>1038|<br>1056|<br>1062|
|70-74|263|375|624|742|857|888|909|<br>916|
|75+|272|438|767|1206|<br>1320|<br>1410|<br>1473|<br>1492|
|TOTAL|12397|<br>14887|<br>17749|<br>18962|<br>19448|<br>19688|<br>19860|<br>19916|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1139|<br>1240|1229|<br>1229|<br>1229|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1228|
|5-9|1058|<br>1218|1234|<br>1229|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1228|
|10-14|1137|<br>1180|1231|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1228|
|15-19|1064|1141|1226|<br>1228|<br>1227|<br>1228|<br>1228|<br>1226|
|20-24|1045|<br>1062|1223|<br>1226|<br>1227|<br>1227|<br>1227|<br>1227|
|25-29|966|<br>1142|1225|<br>1223|<br>1227|<br>1227|<br>1227|<br>1227|
|30-34|898|10T7|<br>1205|<br>1228|<br>1226|<br>1226|<br>1227|<br>1227|
|35-39|850|1057|1166|<br>1222|<br>1224|<br>1225|<br>1226|<br>1226|
|40-44|662|970|1122|<br>1214|<br>1221|<br>1223|<br>1225|<br>1225|
|45-49|581|891|1040|<br>1206|<br>1215|<br>1220|<br>1222|<br>1222|
|50-54|521|829|1107|<br>1197|<br>1204|<br>1213|<br>1216|<br>1217|
|55-59|527|634|1026|<br>1162|<br>1193|<br>1199|<br>1205|<br>1206|
|60-64|481|<br>538|983|1097|<br>1162|<br>1175|<br>1184|<br>1185|
|65-69|382|459|858|1010|<br>1107|<br>1131|<br>1143|<br>1145|
|70-74|318|423|718|<br>861|1013|<br>1044|<br>1062|<br>1065|
|75+|433|630|1050|<br>1717|<br>1972|<br>2119|<br>2214|<br>2237|
|TOTAL|12061|<br>14493|<br>17642|<br>19278|<br>19903|<br>20141|<br>20289|<br>20321|
|BIRTH RATE||19.1|15.9|13.8|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.1|8.6|10.7|11.9|12.3|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|1.2|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.22|.74|.31|.11|.05|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERT<br>|ILITY<br>|2.474|2.248|2.088|2.072|2.067|2.064|2.064|
|eCO)- BOT|H SEXES|72.55|74.62|76.86|77.96|78.82|79.53|79.60|
|<br>INR- BOTH|SEXES|35.6|22.4|12.5|8.8|6.8|5.4|5.3|

.............
82

**LOW-INCOME** ECONCIIES Population projection (thous4un)

|,,_,_,....................................<br>AGE GROLP|..........................................<br>1985|..............................................<br>1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..............................................|..........................................|..........................................|||||||||
|TOTAL M*F|2447215|2703223|2976817|3250042|3508187|3752300|3995581|4242087|4480607|4695836|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|158418|180932|192749|195412|¶91532|l88295|192497|199002|200840|196856|
|5-9|147030|153548|176184|188270|191365|188004|185315|190030|197005|199255|
|10-14|151014|145578|152138|174745|186893|190106|186903|184374|189230|196327|
|15-19|144119|149539|144207|1som|173347|185544|l88865|l85800|183414|188383|
|20-24|117232|142097|147606|142393|148987|171508|183774|187237|184361|182151|
|25-29|97109|115177|139953|145529|140455|147079|169567|181926|185564|182892|
|30-34|89696|95276|113282|137924|143560|138616|145282|167752|180224|184031|
|35-39|71059|87852|93476|111355|135833|141519|<br>136715|143427|165894|178474|
|40-44|59066|69197|85853|91460|109157|133407|139136|134497|141277|163706|
|45-49|53432|56980|67008|83388|88941|106354|130245|136006|131597|138425|
|50-54|47576|50832|54372|64158|80094|85537|102493|125824|131625|127506|
|55-59|38844|44265|47456|50895|60276|75508|<br>80748|97008|119487|125269|
|60-64|29991|34881|39938|42951|46202|54944|69100|74050|89298|110448|
|65-69|23382|25502|29831|34315|37038|39978|<br>47775|60428|64979|78741|
|70-74|14048|18198|20057|23594|27286|29574|32050|38579|49191|53131|
|75.|13132|15313|19297|22607|26779|31486|35486|39400|46346|57866|
|TOTAL|1255149|1385165|1523407|1659772|<br>1787745|1907460|2025953|<br>2145339|2260331|2363461|
|FEHALES|||||||||||
|0-4|150628|17286|184298|187553|184432|181756|186001|192361|194039|190017|
|S-9|140064|145255|167470|179753|183635|181195|179147|183951|190767|192816|
|10-14|142077|138476|143775|166056|178460|182515|180263|178399|183350|190284|
|15-19|133128|140559|137085|142501|164815|177338|<br>181540|179455|177734|182796|
|20-24|111937|131324|138829|135545|141054|163419|176067|180441|178528|176956|
|25-29|92574|110075|129448|137084|133933|139558|161964|174751|179290|177548|
|30-34|85909|90795|108273|127679|135347|132358|138086|160543|173452|178142|
|35-39|67038|84126|89066|106555|125887|133618|130773|136618|159098|172106|
|40-44|54954|65371|823|87353|104738|124002|131766|<br>129080|135008|<br>157470|
|45-49|48973|53292|63621|80455|85442|102704|121825|129607|127053|133025|
|50-54|43545|47092|51379|61616|78152|83117|<br>100158|<br>119072|<br>126823|124383|
|55-59|35955|41296|44789|49062|59049|75213|s0o1o|96829|115410|123064|
|60-64|29114|33268|38395|41864|45970|55636|71224|75994|92228|110275|
|65-69|23949|25825|29695|34584|37802|41709|50819|65505|70049|85442|
|70-74|15488|<br>19653|21473|25006|29250|32164|35682|43867|57059|61190|
|75+|16730|19065|23483|27604|32478|38536|44212|50274|60387|76860|
|TOTAL|1192066|1318057|1453410|1590270|1720442|1844840|1969627|2096747|2220275|2332375|
|BIRTH RATE||30.3|29.0|26.6|23.9|21.7|20.6|19.9|18.9|17.5|
|DEATH RATE||10.3|9.6|9.0|8.6|8.3|8.1|7.9|7.9|8.1|
|RATE OF MAT|. INC.|2.00|1.94|1.76|1.53|1.35|1.26|1.20|1.09|.94|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 1|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRCOTHRAT|E|1.99|1.93|1.76|1.53|1.35|1.26|1.20|1.09|.94|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.821|3.548|3.276|3.021|2.783|2.619|2.503|2.393|2.280|
|NRR||1.540|1.444|1.362|1.305|1.240|1.177|1.132|1.097|1.060|
|eCO)*****BOTH|SEXES|61.05|62.51|63.98|65.12|66.35|67.51|68.70|69.87|70.95|
|**e(dO)**BO|THSEXES|579.7|58.77|59.64|60.22|60.91|61.54|62.24|62.94|63.60|
|INR<br>BOTH|SEXES|78.1|69.7|63.4|57.9|52.4|46.1|40.0|34.7|30.2|
|q(5)<br>- **BOT**|**HSEXES**|.1152|.1017|.0914|.0826|.0735|.0632|.0533|.0450|.0381|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>68.6|<br>64.5|<br>63.9|<br>63.3|<br>59.4|<br>54.6|<br>51.4|<br>50.6|<br>50.5|50.6|
83 LOU-INCOE EO*N"iES Population projection (thousmnds)

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|...<br>...<br>............<br>AGE**GROUP**|..........<br>1985|....................<br>2000|2025|. .....<br>.<br>2050|..<br>...<br>.<br>2075|..<br>.......<br>2100|........<br>2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......<br>............|. .......|..........|......|.....<br>|.....<br>.<br>.|...<br>...|.<br>.<br>..<br>.|..<br>.<br>..<br>.|
|TOTAL**N+F**|2447215|3250042|4.80607|5340690|5773327|5927161|6020366|6070781|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|158418|195412|200840|196147|194347|193986|194032|194150|
|5-9|147030|188270|197005|193073|192901|193390|193746|194001|
|10-14|151014|174745|189230|189765|192172|193276|193714|193947|
|15-19|14.119|150777|183414|189874|192837|193524|193683|193811|
|20-24|117232|142393|184361|193742|193963|193463|193342|193451|
|25-29|97109|145529|185564|196116|193592|192489|192637|192958|
|30-34|89696|137924|180224|192473|190368|190832|191855|192487|
|35-39|71059|111355|165894|183826|186445|189595|191349|192136|
|40-44|59066|91460|141277|176781|185596|189497|191007|191605|
|45-49|53432|83388|131597|175774|187768|189255|189826|190246|
|50-54|47576|64158|131625|173452|186894|186127|186471|187301|
|55-59|38844|50895|119487|162236|177497|177705|180049|181934|
|60-64|29991|42951|89298|139836|159880|165006|170388|173212|
|65-69|23382|34315|64979|106755|139441|149970|156505|159380|
|70-74|14048|23594|49191|<br>83962|<br>118294|<br>130224|<br>135263|<br>137615|
|75+|13132|<br>22607|<br>46346|<br>114179|<br>171522|<br>199736|<br>213204|<br>222005|
|TOTAL|1255149|1659m|2260331|2667992|<br>2863517|<br>2928073|<br>2967071|<br>2990239|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|150628|187553|194039|188953|187013|186502|186375|186394|
|5-9|140064|<br>179753|<br>190767|<br>186286|<br>185865|<br>186139|<br>186281|<br>186370|
|10-14|142077|<br>166056|183350|183333|185341|186194|186392|186417|
|15-19|133128|<br>142501|<br>177734|<br>183844|<br>186249|<br>186675|<br>186574|<br>186462|
|20-24|111937|<br>135545|<br>178528|<br>18lS10|187834|186985|186573|186411|
|25-29|92574|137084|179290|191099|187908|186441|186256|186270|
|30-34|85909|<br>127679|173452|188055|185161|185211|185857|186144|
|35-39|67038|<br>106555|<br>159098|179930|181806|184425|185779|186174|
|40-44|54954|87353|135008|173294|181648|184893|186013|186186|
|45-49|48973|<br>80e45|<br>127053|172561|184784|185669|185807|185775|
|50-54|43545|<br>61616|<br>126823|<br>171010|<br>185742|<br>184294|<br>184258|<br>184608|
|55-s9|35955|<br>49062|<br>115410|<br>161856|<br>179557|179099|181184|182591|
|60-64|29114|<br>41864|92228|143008|166604|171631|177096|179544|
|65-69|23949|<br>34584|<br>70049|<br>113428|<br>151858|<br>163837|171129|173848|
|70-74|15488|**25006**|57059|95537|136840|152618|159407|161878|
|75+|16730|27604|60387|152355|235602|288475|318313|335471|
|TOTAL|1192066|1590270|2220275|2672699|2909810|2999087|3053295|3080541|
|BIRTH RATE||28.5|20.9|15.8|13.8|13.1|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||9.6|8.1|8.8|**10.7**|12.1|12.2|12.3|
|NETMIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.89|1.28|.70|.31|.11|.06|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.527|2.644|2.159|2.080|2.067|2.058|2.054|
|**e(O)**- BOT|H<br>SEXES|62.60|67.66|72.81|75.91|77.37|78.78|79.56|
|**INR**- **BOTH**|SEXES|70.3|46.1|23.3|13.0|9.5|6.8|5.4|
84 LOWER-NIDDLE-INCOE ECONOMIES Population projection (thousands)

|AGEGRtlUP|1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**.**.........................................<br>TOTAL M+F|......................<br>679724|765501|<br>857397|952954|....................<br> <br>1049766|..............................................<br> <br>1144614|...............................................<br> <br>1235456|..........<br> <br>1324810|<br>141145|5<br>1492775|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|52999|56980|60572|63021|64556|64729|<br>64082|<br>64812|<br>65294|<br>65000|
|5-9|46642|51178|55297|59077|<br>61703|63409|<br>63755|<br>63310|<br>64190|<br>64827|
|10-14|42201|46083|50646|54798|<br>58617|61285|<br>63035|<br>63439|<br>63051|<br>63979|
|15-19|37355|41682|45586|50171|<br>54343|<br>58183|<br>60878|<br>62668|<br>63115|<br>62775|
|20-24|31691|36672|41014|44952|<br>49563|<br>53749|<br>57610|<br>60346|<br>62182|<br>62686|
|25-29|26692|3068|35955|40326|44299|48925|<br>53123|<br>57018|<br>59797|<br>61686|
|30-34|21716|26041|30326|35321|39709|43699|<br>48330|<br>52549|<br>56471|<br>59291|
|35-39|17365|21124|25437|29723|<br>34709|<br>39092|<br>43085|<br>47724|<br>51955|<br>55900|
|40-44|14305|16794|20526|24813|29076|34024|<br>38381|<br>42372|<br>47004|<br>51238|
|45-49|12545|13707|16172|19851|<br>24071|28274|<br>33145|<br>37454|<br>41419|<br>46018|
|50-54|10687|11847|13007|15415|<br>18989|<br>23090|<br>?7180|<br>31927|<br>36145|<br>40046|
|55-59|8674|9861|10987|12120|<br>14419|<br>17820|<br>21725|<br>25636|<br>30181|<br>34237|
|60-64|6408|7716|8824|9885|10948|<br>13075|<br>16211|<br>19825|<br>23461|<br>27691|
|65-69|4572|5382|6529|7515|<br>8460|9413|71288|<br>14053|<br>17253|<br>20487|
|70-74|3142|3510|4171|5102|<br>5909|<br>6688|7479|<br>9015|<br>11283|<br>13917|
|75+|2935|3347|3819|4524|5518|6567|7633|<br>8731|<br>10385|<br>12838|
|TOTAL|339929|382891|<br>428869|476615|<br>524887|<br>572022|<br>616937|<br>660877|<br>703189|<br>742617|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|51639|55441|58912|61271|62768|62956|<br>62340|<br>63064|<br>63528|<br>63214|
|5-9|45448|50027|53991|57659|<br>60197|61869|<br>62229|<br>61804|<br>62671|<br>63276|
|10-14|40824|44942|49563|53573|<br>57288|59877|<br>61598|<br>62018|<br>61649|<br>62563|
|15-19|36052|40367|44522|49183|<br>53229|56980|<br>59607|<br>61375|<br>61841|<br>61517|
|20-24|31356|35496|39847|44055|48759|52842|<br>56631|<br>59309|<br>61126|<br>61642|
|25-29|27022|30761|34936|39332|43587|48325|<br>52441|<br>56278|<br>59004|<br>60871|
|30-34|22131|26454|30224|34433|38857|43141|<br>47905|<br>52058|<br>55936|<br>58707|
|35-39|17656|<br>21614|25936|29731|33955|38390|<br>42694|<br>47485|<br>51668|<br>55579|
|40-44|14792|17182|21121|25430|<br>29229|33451|<br>37883|<br>42205|<br>47012|<br>51215|
|45-49|13073|14320|16699|20599|<br>24868|28651|<br>32852|<br>37271|<br>41594|<br>46397|
|50-54|11111|12538|13785|16134|<br>19965|<br>24169|<br>27912|<br>32074|<br>36459|<br>40755|
|55-59|9161|10487|11887|13123|<br>15416|<br>19145|<br>23246|<br>26925|<br>31020|<br>35331|
|60-64|6826|8415|9687|11039|<br>12242|<br>14450|<br>18023|<br>21971|<br>25547|<br>29516|
|65-69|5133|5981|7434|8616|9878|11021|<br>13085|<br>16419|<br>20123|<br>23501|
|70-74|3650|4158|4894|6143|<br>7176|<br>8292|9319|11153|<br>14106|<br>17394|
|75+<br>|3923<br>|4425<br>|5092<br> <br>|6019|7464|9034|10755|<br>12524|<br>14981|<br>18683|
|TOTAL|339795|382610|<br>428528|476340|<br>524880|<br>572592|<br>618519|<br>663932|<br>708267|<br>750159|
|BIRTH RATE||34.3|32.1|29.6|27.1|24.6|22.3|20.9|19.5|18.2|
|DEATH RATE||10.2|9.1|8.3|7.7|7.3|7.0|6.9|6.8|7.0|
|RATE OF NA|T. INC.|2.41|2.29|2.13|1.94|1.74|1.53|1.40|1.27|1.12|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-.4|-.2|-.2|-.1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.38|2.27|2.11|1.94|1.73|1.53|1.40|1.27|1.12|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|4.437|4.054|3.666|3.316|2.978|2.676|2.496|2.359|2.245|
|NRR||1.811|1.702|1.578|1.456|1.330|1.217|1.151|1.099|1.057|
|e(O) - BOT|H SEXES|59.63|61.61|63.45|65.00|66.36|67.57|68.81|69.96|70.99|
|e(lO) - BO|TH SEXES|57.15|58.20|59.19|60.02|60.79|61.48|62.18|62.86|63.47|
|INR - BOT<br>|H SEXES<br>|76.6<br>|67.7<br>|59.6<br>|52.9<br>|47.3<br>|41.8<br>|36.7|31.9|27.7|
|q(S) - BOT|H SEXES|.1134|.0988|.0855|.0747|.0654|.0566|.0482|.0406|.0337|
|DEP. RATIO|<br>80.5|<br>76.4|72.7|<br>68.5|64.0|<br>59.1|<br>54.7|<br>51.5|<br>49.?|<br>48.8|
85 LOWER-NIOWLE-INCO4E EC0ONMIES Population projection (thouwsib6)

# summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**.....** **..........**.........|...............|.....................................||||...<br>....<br>,X....<br>.|..<br>-----------||
|TOTALM+F|679724|952954|1411455|1743946|1901977|1958549|1997677|2019837|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|52999|63021|65294|64463|64364|64546|64678|64702|
|5-9|46642|<br>59077|<br>64190|63792|63980|64322|64570|64654|
|10-14|42201|54798|63051|63131|63833|64246|64507|64617|
|15-19|37355|50171|63115|63179|63831|64144|64395|64541|
|20-24|31691|44952|62182|63864|63738|63898|64197|64409|
|25-29|26692|40326|59797|<br>63655|63330|63509|63939|64258|
|30-34|21716|35321|56471|62542|62597|63081|63706|64112|
|35-39|17365|29723|<br>51955|<br>61060|61669|62724|63483|<br>63938|
|40-44|14305|24813|47004|60598|61321|62421|63167|63654|
|45-49|12545|19851|41419|58935|61345|61829|62539|63112|
|50-54|10687|15415|36145|55361|59948|60455|61352|62109|
|55-59|8674|12120|30181|50105|56755|57907|<br>59332|60352|
|60-64|6408|<br>9885|23461|42906|51974|53950|56171|57408|
|65-69|4572|7515|17253|34573|<br>46399|<br>48804|51341|52656|
|70-74|3142|5102|11283|25285|37975|41674|43970|45295|
|75+|2935|4524|10385|27626|49358|61751|68723|72945|
|TOTAL|339929|476615|<br>703189|861075|932418|959262|980069|992763|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|51639|<br>61271|<br>63528|<br>62651|<br>62357|<br>62325|<br>62272|<br>62241|
|5-9|45448|<br>57659|<br>62671|<br>62194|<br>62150|<br>62230|<br>62245|62240|
|10-14|40824|53573|<br>61649|61658|62127|62255|62254|62239|
|15-19|36052|<br>49183|<br>61841|<br>61871|<br>62284|<br>62288|62245|62223|
|20-24|31356|<br>44055|<br>61126|<br>62763|<br>62426|<br>62237|<br>62202|<br>62199|
|25-29|27022|<br>39332|<br>59004|<br>62832|<br>62281|<br>62065|62112|62176|
|30-34|22131|<br>34433|<br>55936|<br>61977|<br>61795|<br>61855|<br>62050|62159|
|35-39|17656|<br>29731|<br>51668|<br>60742|<br>61124|61741|62024|62136|
|40-44|14792|<br>25430|<br>47012|<br>60583|<br>61115|<br>61749|<br>61970|<br>62065|
|45-49|13073|<br>20599|<br>41594|<br>59366|<br>61615|<br>61624|<br>61746|61881|
|50-54|11111|16134|36459|56503|61021|61000|61241|61508|
|55-59|9161|<br>13123|<br>31020|<br>52342|<br>59095|<br>59689|60415|60905|
|60-64|6826|<br>11039|<br>25547|<br>46532|<br>56143|<br>57627|<br>59195|<br>59887|
|65-69|5133|<br>8616|<br>20125|<br>39606|<br>52926|<br>55043|<br>57063|<br>57862|
|70-74|3650|<br>6143|<br>14106|<br>31045|<br>46712|<br>50770|<br>52820|<br>53740|
|75+|3923|<br>6019|<br>14981|<br>4020e|<br>74389|94791|105755|<br>111615|
|TOTAL|339795|<br>476340|<br>708267|<br>882871|<br>969560|<br>999287|<br>10176C8|<br>1027074|
|BIRTH RATE||31.8|22.6|16.3|14.0|13.3|13.0|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||9.1|7.1|8.0|10.6|**12.1**|12.2|12.3|
|NETMIGRAT|IONRATE|-. 2|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRWJTH<br>RAT|E|2.25|1.57|.85|.35|.12|.08|.04|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|4.016|2.725|2.135|2.080|2.074|2.065|2.056|
|eCO) - BOTH|SEXES|61.71|67.73|72.40|74.86|76.76|78.56|79.46|
|IIR- BOTH S|EXES|67.7|42.2|22.8|16.0|12.9|9.3|6.2|
86

# UPPER-MIDDLE-INCOO **E** CONOMIES Population projection (thousands)

|**AGE**GROUP|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F|591880|648988|708911|768900|827198|882363|934974|984881|1031092|1072949|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|38447|39565|41487|42099|42185|41704|41689|41729|41508|41512|
|5-9|35317|37899|39090|41072|41752|41893|41454|41471|41536|41337|
|101O1|32319|35112|37710|38922|40920|41615|<br>41769|<br>41344|41371|41446|
|15-19|29697|32089|34895|37507|38734|40741|41448|41617|_il1_|41244|
|20-24|27604|29364|3177|34604|37226|38469|40484|41209|41395|41006|
|25-29|24779|27225|29018|31459|34298|36928|38183|40210|40952|41162|
|30-34|21565|24424|26890|28711|31165|34012|36643|37912|39946|40708|
|35-39|17313|21218|24085|26562|28399|30859|33703|36336|37615|39657|
|40-44|13742|16962|20842|23704|26178|28022|30476|33316|35943|37271|
|45-49|12r58|13354|16534|20361|23197|25652|27489|29928|32745|<br>35.s57|
|50-54|11301|<br>12242|12846|15948|<br>19684|22465|24868|26687|29092|31867|
|55-59|9s35|<br>10615|11535|12132|15108|<br>18691|<br>21361|<br>23684|25460|27791|
|60-64|7663|8844|9682|10552|11130|13907|17236|<br>19742|21934|23622|
|65-69|5203|6606|7670|8429|9222|9756|12224|15199|17462|19442|
|70-74|4187|4127|5283|6171|6817|7487|7937|9990|12475|14377|
|75+|4442|4943|5179|6148|7292|8347|9359|10216|12180|15002|
|TOTAL|296072|<br>324588|354522|384381|413307|440548|<br>466323|490590|512821|532762|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|37073|<br>38307|40137|40712|40772|40292|40279|40301|40082|40074|
|5-9|34073|<br>**36673**|37973|39867|40504|40612|40171|40182|40225|40024|
|10-14|31225|33925|36545|**37868**|39779|40433|40554|40124|40144|40195|
|15-19|28729|<br>31065|**33788**|36428|**37769**|**39694**|40360|40494|40075|40105|
|20-24|26770|28505|30874|33628|36289|37647|39585|<br>40268|40417|40015|
|25-29|24204|26510|28283|**30688**|33467|36142|37514|39467|40168|40336|
|30-34|21230|23951|26281|28088|30515|33309|35993|37380|39345|40064|
|35-39|17208|<br>20981|23716|26066|27894|30335|33138|.35830|37229|39206|
|40-44|13833|16964|20727|23469|25828|27669|30117|';2926|35622|37032|
|45-49|13026|13572|16681|20420|23158|25514|27362|<br>29811|<br>32620|35313|
|50-54|11723|12686|13241|16313|20010|22728|25071|26919|29361|32156|
|55-59|10338|11279|12234|12798|15811|19437|22117|24431|26270|28689|
|60-64|8601|9745|10665|11606|121I7|15094|18604|21217|23481|25291|
|65-69|6073|7813|8892|9778|10687|11252|14002|17318|19810|21971|
|70-74|5241|5156|6684|7661|8478|9314|9845|12316|15302|17566|
|75+|6460|7267|7666|9128|10751|12344|13941|15307|18119|22150|
|TOTAL|**295808**|324401|354389|384519|413891|441815|468651|494291|518271|540187|
|BIRTH RATE||26.5|25.2|23.3|21.5|19.8|18.5|17.5|16.5|15.8|
|DEATH RATE||7.8|7.4|7.0|6.8|6.8|6.9|7.1|7.3|7.9|
|RATE OFNA|T.INC.|1.87|1.78|1.63|1.47|1.30|1.16|1.04|.92|.80|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|-.2|-. 2|-. 1|-.1|-.0|-.0|-.0|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.84|1.77|1.62|1.46|1.29|1.16|1.04|.92|.80|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.355|3.165|2.927|2.693|2.466|2.315|2.208|2.127|2.091|
|NRR||1.523|1.452|1.359|1.257|1.160|1.098|1.052|1.016|1.000|
|e(O)**-** BOT|H SEXES|67.48|68.63|69.69|70.70|71.58|72.27|72.93|73.51|73.99|
|e(10)<br>**-** BO|TH SEXES|61.33|62.01|62.66|63.30|63.87|64.33|64.78|65.20|65.55|
|**IMR-** BOTH<br>|SEXES<br>|45.0<br>|39.8|34.9|30.4|26.6|23.7|21.1|19.1|17.6|
|q(5)<br>*BOT|HSEXES|.0588|.0510|.0439|.0375|.0322|.0282|.0249|.0223|.0204|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>68.2|65.7|63.1|59.8|56.7|52.8|<br>50.4|<br>49.4|<br>49.2|49.5|
87

**U** PKR-NIDOLE-INCCGE ECONOMIES Population projection

(thousands) Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|GE GRCUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MF|591880|766900|1031092|1193750|1259729|1286994|<br>1303749|<br>1309241|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|38447|42099|41508|41766|41859|41902|41926|41931|
|5-9|35317|41072|41536|41695|41784|41852|41891|41900|
|10-14|32319|38922|41371|41675|41719|41806|41862|41876|
|15-19|29697|37507|41205|41425|41600|41733|<br>41811|41a35|
|20-24|27604|34604|<br>41395|<br>41031|41428|41627|41733|41768|
|25-29|24779|31459|40952|40811|41267|41516|41651|41694|
|30-34|21565|28711|39946|40786|41144|41399|41561|41618|
|35-39|17313|<br>26562|37615|40443|40988|41237|41441|41520|
|40-44|13742|23704|35943|40026|40549|40977|41254|41362|
|45-49|12758|20361|32748|<br>39798|39837|40546|40922|41063|
|50-54|11301|15948|29092|38599|38975|39841|40317|40494|
|55-59|9735|12132|25460|36272|37716|38634|39194|39407|
|60-64|7663|10552|21934|32030|35321|36588|37241|37506|
|65-69|5203|8429|17462|27551|31752|33174|34080|34415|
|70-74|4187|6171|12475|21150|26897|28101|29260|29658|
|75+|4442|6148|12180|25580|38535|43745|46981|48192|
|TOTAL|296072|384381|512821|590636|621369|634677|643125|646238|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|37073|40712|40082|40139|40132|40098|40091|40089|
|5-9|34073|<br>39867|40225|40155|40126|40096|40087|40086|
|10-14|31225|37868|40144|40204|40117|40091|40085|40084|
|15-19|28729|<br>36428|40075|40132|40078|40079|40080|40080|
|20-24|26770|33628|40417|39916|40021|40065|40072|40074|
|25-29|24204|30688|40168|39846|39984|40055|40068|40068|
|30-34|21230|28088|39345|39951|39977|40038|40059|40057|
|35-39|17208|26066|37229|39769|39956|39991|40033|40038|
|40-44|13833|23469|<br>35622|39541|<br>39773|39885|39980|39996|
|45-49|13026|20420|32620|39605|39362|39699|39872|39899|
|50-54|11723|16313|29361|38897|38943|39415|39669|39711|
|55-59|10338|12798|26270|37351|38443|38961|39289|39351|
|60-64|8601|11606|23481|34191|37256|38155|38582|38685|
|65-69|6073|9778|19810|30862|35253|36507|37179|37358|
|70-74|5241|7661|15302|25383|32129|33374|34449|34727|
|75*|6460|9128|<br>18119|37171|56811|65806|71028|72698|
|**TOTAL**|295808|384519|518271|603114|638360|652317|660624|663003|
|BIRTH RATE||24.9|18.6|14.9|13.5|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||7.4|7.0|9.1|11.3|12.1|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-.2|-.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROMTH RATE||1.74|1.17|.59|.22|.09|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.134|2.347|2.086|2.076|2.066|2.060|2.059|
|**e(O)-** BOTH|SEXES|68.66|72.28|74.68|76.44|78.20|79.33|79.56|
|**1R-**BOTHS|EXES|39.8|24.2|15.6|11.5|8.0|5.8|5.3|
88 HIGH-INCOME ECONOMIES (OIL EXPORTERS) Poputat1on projection (thouSands)

|AGEGROLIP<br>195|**1990**|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>19048|<br>23085|<br>27603|32315|<br>37024|<br>41397|<br>45722|<br>49849|<br>53570|<br>57063|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1688|2020|2400|<br>2606|<br>2713|<br>2619|<br>2678|<br>2667|2556|<br>2535|
|5-9<br>1406|1685|2009|<br>2383|<br>2586|<br>2694|<br>2602|<br>2662|2653|<br>2544|
|I0-14<br>1102|<br>1410|1685|<br>2005|<br>2376|<br>2578|<br>2686|<br>2595|2655|<br>2646|
|15-19<br>900|<br>1115|<br>1415|<br>1683|<br>1998|<br>2367|<br>2568|<br>2675|<br>2585|<br>2646|
|20-24<br>817|<br>954|<br>1145|<br>1428|<br>1681|<br>1990|<br>2354|<br>2553|<br>2660|<br>2571|
|25-29<br>955|<br>897|<br>1001|<br>1170|<br>1430|<br>1676|<br>1979|<br>2338|<br>2535|<br>2643|
|30-34<br>1001|<br>1020|<br>936|<br>1022|<br>1171|<br>1425|<br>1666|<br>1964|<br>2321|<br>2518|
|35-39<br>795|<br>VI4I|<br>1044|<br>948|<br>1019|<br>1161⁄2|<br>1413|<br>1651|<br>1947|<br>2302|
|40-44<br>583|<br>817|<br>1049|<br>1041|<br>939|<br>1008|<br>1150|<br>1396|<br>1631|<br>1c25|
|45-49<br>433|<br>586|<br>808|<br>1031|<br>1020|<br>9'}|<br>988|<br>1128|<br>1369|<br>602|
|50-54<br>310|423|568|781|<br>996|<br>986|<br>889|956|1093|1329|
|55-59<br>221|<br>293|<br>399|<br>536|<br>738|<br>942|934|<br>844|<br>909|<br>1041|
|60-64<br>149|<br>200|<br>266|<br>364|<br>489|<br>675|865|<br>859|<br>778|<br>839|
|65-69<br>99|127|172|229|315|425|590|<br>759|<br>755|<br>685|
|70-74<br>67|<br>77|100|136|182|<br>253|344|<br>479|618|<br>61|
|75+<br>55|<br>70|<br>84|<br>107|<br>143|<br>194|<br>269|<br>372|<br>520|<br>695|
|TOTAL<br>10581|<br>12739|<br>15081|17470|<br>19796|<br>21916|<br>23975|<br>25898|<br>27586|<br>2914|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1623|<br>1946|<br>2312|<br>2513|<br>2620|<br>2532|<br>2589|<br>2580|<br>2472|<br>245|
|5-9<br>1353|<br>1625|<br>1940|<br>2302|<br>2502|<br>2611|<br>2524|<br>2582|<br>2574|<br>2468|
|10-14<br>1056|<br>1358|<br>1626|<br>1939|<br>2298|<br>2498|<br>2607|<br>2521|<br>2580|<br>2572|
|15-19<br>842|<br>1059|<br>1357|<br>1623|<br>1934|<br>2293|<br>2493|<br>2603|<br>2517|<br>2577|
|20-24<br>687|<br>854|<br>1064|<br>1357|<br>1619|<br>1929|<br>2287|<br>2487|<br>2597|<br>251|
|25-29<br>601|<br>703|<br>861|<br>1065|<br>1353|<br>1614|<br>1922|<br>2280|<br>2480|<br>259|
|30-34<br>529|<br>611|<br>706|<br>860|<br>1060|<br>1346|<br>1606|<br>1914|<br>_2272_|<br>2473|
|35-39<br>434|<br>533|<br>610|<br>703|<br>**854**|<br>1053|<br>1338|<br>1598|<br>1905|<br>2262|
|40-44<br>342|<br>433|<br>529|<br>604|<br>696|<br>846|<br>1044|<br>1328|<br>1587|<br>1894|
|45-49<br>268|<br>337|<br>426|<br>520|<br>594|<br>685|<br>834|<br>1031|<br>1313|<br>157|
|50-54<br>211|<br>261|<br>328|<br>414|<br>507|<br>581|<br>671|<br>818|<br>1012|<br>129|
|55-59<br>166|<br>201|<br>249|<br>314|<br>398|<br>489|<br>562|<br>651|<br>795|<br>986|
|60-64<br>127|<br>154|<br>188|<br>233|<br>296|<br>377|<br>464|<br>535|<br>621|<br>762|
|65-69<br>94|<br>113|<br>138|<br>168|<br>211|<br>269|<br>345|<br>428|<br>495|<br>577|
|70-74<br>66|<br>77|<br>93|<br>115|<br>142|<br>179|<br>231|<br>299|<br>373|<br>434|
|75+<br>66|<br>79|<br>94|<br>115|<br>143|<br>179|<br>229|<br>298|<br>389|<br>501|
|TOTAL<br>8467|<br>10345|<br>12522|<br>**14846**|<br>17228|<br>19481|<br>21747|<br>23951|<br>25984|<br>27923|
|BIRTH RATE|39.8|39.1|35.8|32.0|27.2|24.9|22.6|19.9|18.4|
|DEATH RATE|'.1|6.4|5.9|5.5|5.2|5.2|5.3|5.5|5.8|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|3.27|3.27|2.99|2.66|2.20|1.97|1.72|1.44|1.26|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|5.7|3.0|1.6|.6|.3|.1|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|3.84|3.58|3.15|2.72|2.23|1.99|1.73|1.44|1.26|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|6.614|6.265|5.527|4.665|3.663|3.100|2.639|_2.261_|2.096|
|NRR|2.891|2.795|2.504|2.145|1.701|1.453|1.248|1.075|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|64.18|65.81|67.20|68.42|69.56|70.60|71.47|72.24|72.95|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|59.28|60.21|61.01|61.73|62.45|63.13|63.72|64.25|64.76|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|53.7<br>|47.0<br>|41.1<br>|36.0|31.4|27.7|24.6|22.0|19.8|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0711|.0608|.0521|.0446|.0383|.0333|.0293|.0259|.0232|
|DEP. RATIO<br>83.6|<br>84.7|<br>84.6|<br>82.6|<br>78.1|<br>69.9|<br>63.1|<br>57.7|<br>53.4|<br>48.|
89

> HIGH-INC E ECONa IES (OIL EXPORTERS) PoaplatIon projection Cthomatds)

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|.................<br>AGE**GR.JP**|......................<br>1985|.............<br>2000|2025|.........................<br>2050|.........<br>2075|2100|................................<br>2125|.................<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....<br>.....<br>...............|......|..................|...........................|||...........|.....................||
|TOTAL M F|19048|32315|53570|69826|78223|80286|81710|82122|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|1688|2606|2556|2610|2625|2628|2630|<br>2629|
|5-9|1406|2383|2653|2627|2621|2622|2627|<br>2627|
|10-14|1102|2005|2655|2630|2608|2614|2624|<br>2626|
|15-19|900|1683|2585|2592|2586|2606|2621|<br>2624|
|20-24|817|1428|2660|2502|2570|2602|2618|<br>2621|
|25-29|955|1170|2535|2508|2575|2601|2613|<br>2616|
|30-34|1001|1022|2321|2599|2588|2595|2604|<br>2610|
|35-39|795|948|1947|2589|2581|2574|2592|<br>2603|
|40-44|583|1041|1631|2503|2531|2543|2577|<br>2594|
|45-49|433|1031|1369|2546|2421|2510|2559|<br>2576|
|50-54|310|781|1093|2376|2385|2479|2528|<br>2541|
|55-59|221|536|909|2091|2388|2421|2459|2470|
|60-64|149|364|778|1641|2240|2291|2328|2347|
|65-69|99|229|755|1232|1960|2053|2119|2151|
|70-74|67|136|618|864|1690|1689|1816|<br>1857|
|75.|55|107|520|922|2137|2652|2934|3023|
|TOTAL|10581|17470|27586|34833|38508|39479|40249|40515|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1623|2513|2472|2517|2523|2518|2515|2514|
|5-9|1353|2302|2574|2541|2525|2516|2514|2514|
|10-14|1056|1939|2580|2549|2517|2511|2512|2514|
|15-19|842|1623|2517|2520|2502|2509|2513|2514|
|20-24|687|1357|2597|2442|2495|2512|2515|2515|
|25-29|601|1065|2480|2458|2508|2518|2516|2514|
|30-34|529|860|2272|2558|2531|2520|2514|2512|
|35-39|434|703|1905|2557|2534|2509|2508|2509|
|40-44|342|604|1587|2485|2498|2490|2503|2508|
|45-49|268|520|1313|2546|2409|2474|2501|2505|
|50-54|211|414|1012|2402|2403|2471|2495|2494|
|55-59|166|314|795|2156|2461|2464|2475|2470|
|60-64|127|233|621|1748|2394|2416|2423|2425|
|65-69|94|168|495|137,|2212|2287|2325|2340|
|70-74|66|115|373|1014|2057|2033|2153|2180|
|75*|66|115|389|1132|3145|4058|4479|4579|
|TOTAL|8467|14846|25984|34993|39715|40807|41461|41607|
|BIRTH RATE||38.0|24.8|16.8|13.9|13.1|12.8|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||6.4|5.4|6.3|9.4|12.0|12.1|12.4|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|3.2|.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.52|2.02|1.06|.45|.10|.07|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|6.070|3.078|2.086|2.074|2.065|2.059|2.058|
|**e(O)**- BOT|H<br>SEXES|65.91|70.65|74.10|76.07|77.88|79.41|79.61|
|**IM**- **BOTHS **|**EXES**|46.8|28.4|16.7|12.1|8.5|5.6|5.3|

....

............................................
90 INDUSTRIAL MARKET EOMO IES Population projection (thousands)

|.......................................................................................<br>AGE**CROLP**<br>1985|..........................................<br>1990|l995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.................<br>.....................|...........||.......<br>..........|..<br>..........|........|...............................|.......||..............................|
|TOTALM+F<br>741488|759689|775303|716982|795261|801233|805322|807370|806836|<br>803067|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>25283|25268|25142|<br>24231|23941|23806|23896|24050|24161|<br>24278|
|5-9<br>25590|25362|25314|25154|24224|23930|<br>23792|23878|24031|<br>24139|
|10-14<br>27482|25656|<br>25402|25327|25152|24219|23922|23781|23865|<br>24015|
|15-19<br>29669|27530|25682|25400|25311|<br>25132|24198|23898|<br>23757|<br>23839|
|20-24<br>30921|<br>29773|<br>27590|25693|25382|25282|25100|24162|23861|<br>23715|
|25-29<br>29759|31071|29857|27613|25681|25355|25250|25059|24121|<br>23813|
|30-34<br>28477|?9371|31119|29852|27585|25646|25316|25204|25013|<br>24071|
|35-39<br>28619|28508|29854|31057|2977|27516|25582|25249|25139|<br>24946|
|40-44<br>23531|28529|28398|29710|30899|29632|27390|25467|25140|<br>25033|
|45-49<br>21419|23306|28247|28110|29408|30598|29358|<br>27152|25254|<br>24938|
|50-54<br>19893|20980|22847|27704|27578|28866|30058|28865|26720|<br>24869|
|55-59<br>18902|<br>19148|20225|22052|26762|26660|27929|29118|<br>27998|<br>25951|
|60-64<br>16593|17692|17981|<br>19024|20769|25240|25173|<br>26407|27580|<br>26567|
|65-69<br>12156|14861|15922|16236|17205|18818|<br>22917|22897|24068|25197|
|70-74<br>10720|<br>10147|12477|<br>13426|13735|<br>14584|<br>15993|<br>19533|<br>1956|4<br>20620|
|75.<br>13184|<br>14600|14993|16984|18792|20027|21373|23226|26983|<br>29064|
|TOTAL<br>362199|372303|381048|387573|<br>392203|395310|397247|<br>397947|397255|<br>395056|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>24211|24238|24082|23181|<br>22889|22748|22821|22953|23043|<br>23138|
|5-9<br>24431|24342|24328|24133|23208|22908|22762|22828|2295|7<br>23042|
|10-14<br>26216|24525|24409|24366|24153|23223|22918|22768|22832|<br>22957|
|15-19<br>28351|26318|24598|24449|24387|24168|23233|22924|22771|22831|
|20-24<br>29723|28540|26453|24675|24491|24417|24188|23245|22931|<br>22771|
|25-29<br>2926s|29940|28693|26539|24721|24522|24438|24200|23252|<br>22929|
|30-34<br>28260|29416|30041|28744|26563|2476|24531|24439|24199|<br>23245|
|35-39<br>28444|28334|29457|30048|28735|<br>26554|24726|<br>24518|24426|<br>24183|
|40-44<br>23523|28428|28305|29407|2999l|28684|26511|<br>24689|24483|24393|
|45-49<br>21664|23423|28301|28173|<br>29272|<br>29863|28571|26417|24608|<br>24408|
|50-54<br>20428|21456|23207|28045|27929|29032|29634|28369|26247|24462|
|55-59<br>20361|2O78|21103|<br>22837|27621|27528|28637|29257|28034|25962|
|60-64<br>19880|19758|19513|<br>20523|22239|26935|26876|27994|28639|27480|
|65-69<br>15511|<br>18799|<br>18732|<br>18532|19526|<br>21202|<br>25736|<br>25731|<br>26854|<br>27531|
|70-74<br>15027|13970|16980|16968|16845|17805|<br>19386|<br>23614|23681|24789|
|75,<br>23995<br>|25821|26054|28789|30488|31598|33104|35478|40624|43890|
|TOTAL<br>379290|387386|394255|399409|403059|405923|408075|409423|409581|408011|
|BIRTH RATE|13.3|12.9|12.3|11.9|11.8|11.7|11.8|11.8|11.9|
|DEATH RATE|9.3|9.4|9.6|10.0|10.4|10.8|11.3|12.0|12.8|
|RATE OFIAT.INC.|.41|.35|.27|.19|.14|.09|.04|-.02|-.09|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.8|.5|.3|.2|.1|.1|.1|.0|.0|
|GROWTN<br>RATE|.48|.41|.30|.21|.15|.10|.05|-.01|-.09|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|**1.723**|1.742|1.744|1.803|1.859|1.911|1.959|<br>2.004|<br>2.048|
|NRR|.841|.838|.840|.872|.900|.925|.948|.970|.992|
|**e(O)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|76.25|76.68|76.99|77.31|77.64|77.93|78.24|78.56|78.88|
|e00) - **BOTH**SEXES|67.28|67.61|67.85|68.11|68.38|68.62|68.89|69.16|69.43|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|11.8|10 6|9.7|9.0|8.4|7.9|7.4|6.9|6.4|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0133|0119|0109|0100|0093|0087|0081|0075|0069|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>49.0|<br>48.3|.<br>48.7|.<br>48.6|.<br>48.6|.<br>49.4|.<br>52.|.<br>9<br>56.3|.<br> <br>60.0|.<br> <br>63.8|
91

# INDUSTRIN **A** RKET L ECONOMIES PopuLatian projection (thousands)

## Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRUP<br>1985|2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..**...................**................................||......................................|..............................|||||
|TOTAL M4F<br>741488|<br>786982|<br>806836|<br>773699|<br>755262|<br>753762|<br>753782|<br>753811|
|MULES||||||||
|0-4<br>25283|<br>24231|<br>24161|<br>24153|<br>24148|<br>24160|<br>24166|<br>24167|
|5-9<br>25590|<br>25154|<br>24031|<br>24070|<br>24128|<br>24149|<br>24152|<br>24150|
|10-14<br>27482|<br>25327|<br>23865|<br>24051|<br>24140|<br>24146|<br>24140|<br>24136|
|15-19<br>29669|<br>25400|<br>23757|<br>241b4|<br>24151|<br>24126|<br>24115|<br>24112|
|20-24<br>30921|<br>25693|<br>23861|<br>24180|<br>24114|<br>24077|<br>24072|<br>24075|
|25-29<br>29759|<br>27613|<br>24121|<br>24019|<br>24021|<br>24017|<br>24029|<br>24035|
|30-34<br>28477|<br>29852|<br>25013|<br>23866|<br>23916|<br>23973|<br>23994|<br>23997|
|35-39<br>28619|<br>3105-|25139|<br>23659|<br>23857|<br>23946|<br>2395|2<br>23946|
|40-44<br>23531|<br>29710|<br>25140|<br>23487|<br>23888|<br>23896|<br>23871|<br>23860|
|45-49<br>21419|<br>28110|<br>25254|<br>23461|<br>23797|<br>23732|<br>23695|<br>23691|
|50-54<br>19893|<br>27704|<br>26720|<br>23428|<br>23358|<br>23360|<br>23357|<br>23368|
|55-59<br>18902|<br>22052|<br>27998|<br>23681|<br>22637|<br>22685|<br>22740|<br>22759|
|60-64<br>16593|<br>19024|<br>27580|<br>22700|<br>21423|<br>21604|<br>21684|<br>21690|
|65-69<br>12156|<br>16236|<br>24068|<br>20899|<br>19607|<br>19943|<br>19950|<br>19929|
|70-74<br>10720|<br>13426|<br>19564|<br>18214|<br>17019|<br>17264|<br>17217|<br>17191|
|?75<br>13184|<br>16984|<br>26983|<br>32688|<br>28905|<br>27983|<br>28041|<br>28069|
|TOTAL<br>362199|<br>387573|<br>397255|<br>380699|<br>373108|<br>373062|<br>373175|<br>373176|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>24211|<br>23181|<br>23043|<br>22986|<br>22979|<br>22990|<br>22996|<br>22997|
|5-9<br>24431<br> <br>|<br>24133<br> <br>|<br>22957<br> <br>|<br>22925<br> <br>|<br>22974<br> <br>|<br>22994<br> <br>|<br>22997<br>|<br>22995|
|10-14<br>26216|<br>24366|<br>22832|<br>22921|<br>22997|<br>23002|<br>22997|<br>22994|
|15-19<br>28351|<br>24449|<br>22771|<br>23043|<br>23027|<br>23003|<br>22992|<br>22990|
|20-24<br>29723|<br>24675|<br>22931|<br>23128|<br>23025|<br>22988|<br>22984|<br>22987|
|25-29<br>29265|<br>26539|<br>23252|<br>23029|<br>22974|<br>22966|<br>22978|<br>22984|
|30-34<br>28260|<br>2B744|<br>24199|<br>22938|<br>22908|<br>22957|<br>22977|<br>22980|
|35-39<br>28444|<br>30048|<br>24426|<br>22803|<br>22894|<br>22970|<br>22976|<br>22971|
|40-44<br>23523|<br>29407|<br>24483|<br>22721|<br>22995|<br>22979|<br>22956|<br>22946|
|45-49<br>21664|<br>28173|<br>24608|<br>22827|<br>23029|<br>22927|<br>22891|<br>22887|
|50-54<br>20428|<br>28045|<br>26247|<br>23033|<br>22825|<br>22771|<br>22764|<br>227m7|
|55-59<br>20361|<br>22837|<br>28034|<br>23747|<br>22534|<br>22506|<br>22555|<br>22576|
|60-64<br>'98S0|20523|<br>28639|<br>23560|<br>22034|<br>22126|<br>22201|<br>22209|
|65-69<br>15511|<br>18532|<br>26854|<br>22806|<br>21230|<br>21490|<br>21479|<br>21461|
|70-74<br>15027|<br>16968|<br>23681|<br>21331|<br>19880|<br>20061|<br>19977|<br>19951|
|75+<br>23995|<br>28789|<br>40624|<br>49201|<br>43850|<br>41968|<br>41887|<br>41930|
|TOTAL<br>379290|<br>399409|<br>409581|<br>393000|<br>382154|<br>380699|<br>380608|<br>380635|
|BIRTH RATE|12.8|11.8|12.0|12.4|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|9.4|10.9|13.7|13.4|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRTION<br>RATE|.6|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.40|.10|-. 17|-. 10|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.739|1.905|2.061|2.063|2.063|2.063|2.063|
|eCo)- BOTHSEXES|76.64|77.94|79.28|79.59|79.59|79.59|79.60|
|IIIR- BOTH SEXES|10.7|7.9|5.7|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
92

# NONREPORTING NOIEMUER ECONOMIES Population projection (thousnd')

|.....................................................................<br>AGE**GRCUP**<br>1985|........................................<br>1990|...................<br>1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>203|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|........................................|...................||||||||
|TOTAL HF<br>363821|381152|397706|413525|<br>428184|441805|454992|..66886|<br>478454|<br>488636|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>16930|17495|1n42|¶759|1728S|<br>17622|17791|<br>17679|<br>17654|<br>17677|
|5-9<br>15974|16705|17287|17152|<br>16988|17124|17475|<br>17661|<br>17567|<br>17558|
|10-14<br>14988|¶5894|16630|17215|<br>17084|16921|17062|<br>17418|<br>17609|<br>17522|
|15-19<br>14191|14896|**15805**|16545|<br>**17134**|<br>17006|16849|<br>16994|<br>1735|4<br>17551|
|20-24<br>16077|14058|14770|15683|<br>16428|`7019|16896|<br>16749|<br>16901|<br>¶7266|
|25-29<br>15912|15901|13917|14636|<br>15552|16300|16895|<br>16782|<br>16642|<br>16801|
|30-34<br>13980|15n7|15736|13785|<br>14509|15425|16177|<br>16776|<br>16671|<br>16540|
|35-39<br>10920|13790|15535|15562|<br>136s|14369|15287|<br>16042|<br>16646|<br>16550|
|40-44<br>8865|10724|13565|15302|<br>15348|13468|14194|<br>15112|<br>15871|<br>16479|
|45-49<br>11887|8636|10465|13261|<br>14980|15045|13216|<br>13942|<br>14857|<br>15617|
|50-54<br>9113|11421|8317|100S9|<br>12820|14505|14593|<br>12836|<br>13558|<br>14.62|
|55-59<br>9101|8565|10763|7860|<br>9565|<br>12168|<br>13795|<br>13907|<br>12253|<br>'2959|
|60-64<br>5150|8263|780T|9641|7210|8797|11222|<br>12753|<br>12888|<br>11378|
|65-69<br>3297|4437|7148|6783|8584|6317|7734|9896|<br>11278|<br>11433|
|70-74<br>3407|2613|3538|_5728_|<br>5464|6948|<br>5141|6319|8115|<br>9281|
|75+<br>3763|4069|**3695**|4199|6003|6714|8159|7613|<br>8241|<br>9892|
|TOTAL<br>173555|<br>183192|192317|200810|<br>208596|215748|222486|<br>228478|<br>234105|<br>238963|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>16612|17135|16955|16748|<br>16848|17156|17296|<br>17161|<br>17115|<br>17117|
|5-9<br>15402|16494|17026|1¶652|<br>16656|16761|17078|<br>17228|<br>17106|<br>17069|
|10-14<br>14308|15364|16460|16993|<br>16821|16624|16732|<br>17052|<br>17206|<br>17088|
|15-19<br>13757|14268|15328|16428|<br>16964|16792|16597|<br>16707|<br>17029|<br>17186|
|20-24<br>15565|13701|14221|15286|<br>16390|16928|16758|<br>16565|<br>16678|<br>17002|
|25-29<br>15391|15490|13644|14171|<br>15241|16348|16887|<br>16719|<br>16529|<br>16644|
|30-34<br>13655|15308|15420|13590|<br>14121|15193|16302|<br>16842|<br>16676|<br>16489|
|35-39<br>10938|13566|15224|15346|<br>13529|14063|15135|<br>16245|<br>16787|<br>16624|
|40-44<br>9203|10841|13462|15120|<br>15252|13451|13987|<br>15059|<br>16169|<br>16713|
|45-49<br>12672|<br>9082|10713|<br>13320|<br>14973|15114|13335|13872|<br>14941|<br>16050|
|50-54<br>10220|12421|8914|10532|<br>13111|14753|14904|<br>13157|<br>13694|<br>14757|
|55-59<br>11592|9906|12069|8676|10268|12802|14423|<br>14585|<br>12883|<br>13418|
|60-64<br>8618|11031|9456|11557|<br>8324|9871|12332|<br>13914|<br>14089|<br>12455|
|65-69<br>5984|7922|10192|8771|10760|7768|<br>9238|11569|<br>13079|<br>13265|
|70-74<br>7066|5164|6887|8916|7708|9498|688e|8211|10316|<br>11690|
|75.<br>9285<br>|10268<br> <br>|<br>9417<br>|10408<br>|<br>12621<br>|12935|14622|13521|<br>14052|<br>16106|
|TOTAL<br>190266|<br>197960|205389|212715|<br>219587|226058|232506|238408|<br>244349|<br>249673|
|BIRTH RATE|19.5|18.4|17.4|16.8|16.5|16.1|15.5|15.0|14.7|
|DEATH RATE|10.1|9.8|9.5|9.8|10.2|10.2|10.3|10.2|10.5|
|RATE OF HAT.INC.|.94|.86|.78|.70|.63|.59|.52|.49|.42|
|NET**IGRATION**<br>RATE|-. 1|-.0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROWH**RATE|.93|.85|.78|.70|.63|.59|.52|.49|.42|
|TOTAI FERTILITY|2.503|2.471|2.415|2.356|2.293|2.227|2.163|2.139|2.126|
|**NRR**|1.168|1.149|1.132|1.109|1.082|1.053|1.028|1.019|1.016|
|**eCO)-** BOTH SEXES|69.87|70.69|71.42|72.05|72.62|73.14|73.61|74.06|74.47|
|e(lO)<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|62.87|63.42|63.91|64.32|64.70|65.07|65.41|65.72|66.00|
|**I5¶R- BOTH**SEXES|37.7|34.9|32.0|29.0|26.0|23.7|21.7|19.9|18.3|
|qt5)- ROTHSEXES|.0504|.0469|.0429|.0386|.0342|.0309|.0278|0252|0226|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>53.6|<br>53.9|<br>55.9|<br>55.1|<br> <br>55.5|<br>52.7|<br>51.8|<br> <br>52.8|.<br> <br>54.8|.<br> <br>56.1|
93

# MONREPORTING NOMIEUER EC0MONIES Poputetion projection (thoumands)

# **Su ry** for 25 Year Per1ods

|AGEGRCP<br>1985|**2000**|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>fNF<br>363821|413525|478454|516995|540606|552077|555721|557264|
|VALES||||||||
|0-4<br>16930|17159|17654|1M7|17787|17813|17819|17822|
|5-9<br>15974|17152|17567|17637|17745|17796|17804|17809|
|10-14<br>14968|17215|17609|17590|17708|17783|17793|17799|
|15-19<br>14191|16545|17354|17548|17665|17761|17774|<br>17782|
|20-24<br>16077|15683|16901|17454|17605|1M6|17744|17754|
|25-29<br>15912|14636|16642|17328|17535|17672|17710|17722|
|30-34<br>13960|13785|16671|17239|17439|17613|17675|17690|
|35-39<br>10920|15562|16646|17205|17343|17543|17631|17650|
|40-44<br>8865|15302|15871|16850|17227|17450|17562|17586|
|45-49<br>11887|13261|14857|16248|17012|17291|17432|17462|
|50-54<br>9113|10099|13558|15699|16642|17007|17169|17222|
|55-59<br>9101|7860|12253|15172|16077|16483|16684|16765|
|60-64<br>5150|9841|12888|14235|15212|15625|15856|15965|
|65-69<br>3297|6783|11278|12236|13606|14277|14529|14661|
|70-74<br>3407|5728|8115|9657|11262|12219|12498|12645|
|75*<br>3763|4199|8241|12905|16941|19375|20175|20564|
|TOTAL<br>173555|<br>200810|234105|252722|264806|271434|273856|274900|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>16612|16748|17115|17091|17067|17064|17063|17063|
|5-9<br>15402|16852|17106|17066|17063|17062|17062|17062|
|10-14<br>14308|16993|17206|17062|17062|17062|17061|17061|
|15-19<br>13757|16428|17029|17073|<br>17062|17061|17060|17059|
|20-24<br>15565|15286|16678|17047|17061|17056|17057|17057|
|25-29<br>15391|14171|16529|17005|17054|17052|17053|17054|
|30-34<br>13655|13590|16676|17004|17025|17044|17048|17050|
|35-39<br>10938|15346|16787|17071|17003|17033|17040|17042|
|40-44<br>9203|15120|16169|16845|16982|17014|17021|17025|
|45-49<br>12672|13320|14941|16410|16896|16970|16978|16985|
|50-54<br>10220|10532|13694|16114|16743|16878|16893|16904|
|55-59<br>11592|8676|12883|16001|16544|16689|16733|16751|
|60-64<br>8618|11557|14089|15678|16259|16378|16443|16471|
|65-69<br>5984|8771|13079|14354|.15400|15788|15875|15914|
|70-74<br>7066|8916|10316|12031|13835|14603|14747|14799|
|75+<br>9285|10408|14052|20420|26745|29888|32730|31066|
|TOTAL<br>190266|212715|244349|264273|275800|280643|281865|<br>282364|
|BIRTH RATE|18.4|16.0|14.2|13.3|12.8|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|9.8|10.1|11.1|11.5|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|**NET**MIGRATIONRATE|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.85|.58|.31|.18|.08|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.468|2.232|2.093|2.065|2.059|2.058|2.057|
|0(0)- BOTHSEXES|70.68|73.13|75.38|77.67|79.21|79.45|79.60|
|**I*- BOTH**SEXES|34.9|24.1|15.2|9.4|6.1|5.6|5.3|
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN (LAC) REGION (and Nor 4_hern America)
96 AMERICA Population projection (thousanrs)

|. ...............<br>AGE GROUP<br>....<br>........<br>...<br>..<br>...|..<br>...<br>..<br>1985<br>..<br>. ...<br>...<br>....|..<br>. ......<br>........<br>1990<br> <br>...<br>..<br>...<br>. ...|.....<br>.......<br>1995<br>........<br>...|<br>.............<br>2000<br>....<br>. ....<br>...|.....................<br>2005<br>..............|....<br>2010<br>...........................|...............<br>2015|......<br>2020<br>.....|2025<br>.......<br>................|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**M+F**|666926|720622|774337|825458|873799|919495|962710|1003423|1040366|<br>1072030|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|38367|39088|39816|39407|38968|38621|38556|38945|39180|39126|
|5-9|35130|37962|38740|39509|39144|38744|38431|38392|38797|<br>39041|
|10-14|32782|35001|37838|38620|39394|39042|38652|38349|38317|38726|
|15-19|31956|32625|34849|37681|38470|39254|38914|38535|38241|38215|
|20-24|31243|31730|32407|34624|37451|38255|39053|38727|38362|38080|
|25-29|286n7|30994|31490|32164|34377|37207|38029|38836|38526|38174|
|30-34|24992|28437|30749|31245|31921|34140|36976|37808|38625|38327|
|35-39|21535|24738|28170|30469|309710|<br>31658|33883|36717|37559|38383|
|40-44|16987|21236|24417|27824|30111|30626|31324|33547|36374|372:6|
|45-49|14257|16621|20817|23956|27327|29597|30123|30826|33039|3s849|
|50-54|12392|13769|16091|20193|23268|26578|28812|29344|30048|32237|
|55-59|11425|11724|13061|15305|19255|22220|25424|27589|28122|28818|
|60-64|9977|10478|10780|12043|14160|17870|20662|23689|25740|26264|
|65-69|7867|8721|9189|9481|10630|12548|15902|18431|21187|23058|
|70-74|5920|6377|7104|7510|7773|8750|10382|13223|15370|<br>17725|
|75+|6678|7460|8224|9171|9974|10595|11663|13460|16545|<br>19769|
|TOTAL|330184|356962|383740|409202|433195|455707|476787|496417|514031|529019|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|37121|37894|38566|38131|37681|37326|s7241|<br>37596|37801|37722|
|5-9|34122|36880|37701|38405|38004|37583|37253|37186|37551|37759|
|10-14|31885|34054|36821|37645|38355|37964|37552|37228|37165|37531|
|15-19|31096|31812|33991|36757|37587|38306|37923|37518|37200|31139|
|20-24|30674|31011|31736|33909|36676|37518|38246|37873|37477|37162|
|25-29|28560|30573|30920|31637|33812|36588|37442|38179|37816|37423|
|30-34|25119|28439|30454|30798|31520|33707|36491|37355|38101|37743|
|35-39|21769|24974|k8291|30298|30652|31386|33581|36372|37246|37998|
|40-44|17r40|21592|24786|28091|30097|30466|31210|33413|36208|37090|
|45-49|14683|17120|21347|24517|27809|29814|30195|<br>30949|33157|35949|
|50-54|13008|14392|16809|20991|24130|27400|29395|<br>29790|30553|32757|
|55-59|12348|12616|13984|16364|20478|23569|26799|28775|29185|29951|
|60-64|11276|11782|12054|13389|15712|19720|22734|25895|27836|28257|
|65-69|9351|10441|10929|11197|12476|14699|18522|21402|24439|26304|
|70-74|7607|8194|9183|9625|9885|11063|13104|16602|19240|22038|
|75+|10782<br>|11886<br>|13025|14504|15731|16679|18235|20872|25360|30187|
|TOTAL|336742|363659|390597|416256|440604|463788|485923|507006|526335|543011|
|BIRTH RATE||23.2|21.8|20.0|18.6|17.4|16.5|15.9|15.3|14.8|
|DEATH RATE||7.9|7.5|7.3|7.2|7.2|7.3|7.6|8.1|8.8|
|RATE OF MA|T. INC.|1.53|1.43|1.2?|1.14|1.02|.92|.83|.72|.60|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|.2|.1|.t|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.55|1.44|1.28|1.14|1.02|.92|.83|.72|.60|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|2.827|2.706|2.542|2.382|2.238|2.137|2.098|2.086|2.081|
|NRR||1.315|1.261|1.198|1.129|1.062|1.018|1.003|1.000|1.000|
|**e(O)-** BOT|HSEXES|70.13|71.04|71.82|72.58|73.25|73.86|74.40|74.89|75.29|
|**e(10)**<br>**-** ROT|H SEXES|63.17|63.71|64.19|64.67|65.12|65.54|65.92|66.29|66.60|
|IMR BOTH<br>|SEXES|37.7|33.2|29.3|25.6|22.6|20.0|18.0|16.4|15.2|
|q(5)<br>ROT|H SEXES|.0488|.0421|.0366|.0314|.0273|.0238|.0211|.0190|.0177|
|DEP. RATIO|<br>62.9|61.3|58.9|55.1|51.8|49.3|48.7|49.4|50.9|<br>52.5|
97

# AMERICA Population projection (thousands)

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRGJP|1985|2000|2025|2050|20z7|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F|666926|825458|1040366|1150010|1185896|1205005|1216994|1222126|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|38367|39407|39180|39182|39205|39265|39257|39240|
|5-9|35130|39509|38797|38966|39066|39148|39187|39205|
|10-14|32782|38620|<br>38317|<br>38865|<br>39021|<br>39109|<br>39152|39179|
|15-19|31956|<br>37681|38241|38709|38980|39048|39098|39134|
|20-24|31243|34624|38362|38705|38876|38934|39009|39060|
|25-29|28677|32164|38526|38581|38685|38785|38895|38976|
|30-34|24992|31245|38625|38158|38436|38635|38792|38892|
|35-39|21535|30469|37559|37534|38210|38492|38674|38787|
|40-44|16987|27824|36374|37240|37879|38310|38495|38625|
|45-49|14257|23956|33039|37002|37575|37961|38161|38323|
|50-54|12392|20193|30048|36484|36866|37269|37548|37754|
|55-59|11425|15305|28122|35343|35351|36031|36461|36718|
|60-64|9977|12043|25740|32377|32905|34078|34655|34939|
|65-69|7867|9481|21187|28389|29720|30998|31771|32054|
|70-74|5920|7510|15370|21885|25241|26560|27329|27605|
|75+|6678|9171|16545|29433|38346|41583|43917|44808|
|TOTAL|330184|409202|514031|566852|584364|594204|600400|603300|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|37121|38131|37801|37611|37577|37588|37546|37507|
|5-9|34122|38405|37551|37473|37499|37516|37512|37502|
|10-14|31885|37645|37165|37424|37496|37508|37505|37500|
|15-19|31096|36757|37200|37442|37514|37495|37492|37494|
|20-24|30674|33909|37477|37578|37503|37458|37469|37481|
|25-29|28560|31637|37816|37600|37416|37396|37423|37463|
|30-34|25119|30798|38101|37320|37271|3733|37390|3743|
|35-39|21769|30298|37246|36856|37158|37290|37356|37415|
|40-44|17340|28091|36208|36764|37077|37245|37298|37362|
|45-49|14683|24517|33157|36816|37042|37118|37171|37252|
|50-54|13008|20991|30553|36766|36762|36813|36931|37034|
|55-59|12348|16364|29185|36411|35970|36272|36531|36674|
|60-64|11276|13389|27836|34579|34648|35458|35874|36040|
|65-69|9351|11197|24439|31896|32972|<br>34048|34620|34793|
|70-74|7607|9625|19240|26462|30172|31484|32123|32314|
|75+|10782|14504|25360|44159|57454|62778|66353|67553|
|TOTAL|336742|416256|526335|583158|601532|610800|616593|618827|
|BIRTH RATE||21.6|16.7|14.1|13.3|13.0|12.8|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||7.5|7.5|10.1|12.1|12.4|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|.1|.0|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTHRAT|E|1.42|.93|.40|.12|.06|.04|.02|
|TOTALFERTI|LITY|2.684|2.183|2.084|2.083|2.081|2.076|2.065|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOT|H SEXES|71.04|73.85|75.68|76.78|78.16|79.09|79.36|
|**IMR-** BOTH|SEXES|33.4|20.5|4.3|12.5|11.4|9.6|6.8|
98 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN (LAC), BORRUIWERS ONLY Population projection (thousands)

|AGE GROUP|1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F|387617|429908|473771|517288|559185|598794|63628s|672220|706239|<br>737107|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|27467|28115|29131|29252|28922|28420|28146|28462|28750|<br>28738|
|5-9|24864|26998|27720|28800|28979|28694|28229|27985|28320|<br>28621|
|10-14|22822|24681|26834|27579|28677|28871|28600|28147|27913|<br>28254|
|15-19|20754|22617|24495|26664|27427|28538|28746|28488|28047|<br>27822|
|20-24|18761|20432|22326|24236|26425|27211|28339|26567|28327|<br>27904|
|25-29|15877|18383|20095|22031|23968|26174|26984|28130|28376|<br>28158|
|30-34|13284|15538|18068|19817|21775|23r70|25948|26775|27933|<br>28198|
|35-39|10718|12980|15248|17793|191558|<br>?1527|23491|25713|26552|<br>27720|
|40-44|8665|10432|12690|14959|17497|19267|21237|23201|25418|<br>2626S|
|45-49|7384|8374|10124|12356|14602|17113|18874|20832|22783|<br>24c'83|
|56-54|6247|7046|8022|9730|11908|14106|16562|18294|20220|<br>22141|
|55-59|5256|5833|6606|7546|9182|11268|13379|15738|17415|<br>19280|
|60-64|4141|4740|5284|6008|6890|8412|<br>10353|12323|14530|<br>16112|
|65-69|3023|3538|4072|4562|5212|6003|7356|<br>9084|<br>10847|<br>12825|
|70-74|2188|2372|<br>2795|3237|3649|4190|4850|5970|7403|<br>8873|
|75+|2173|2463|2746|3195|3741|4315|<br>4998|5824|7055|<br>8718|
|TOTAL|193623|214542|236255|257765|278412|297839|316092|333535|349887|364612|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|26628|27299|<br>28270|28367|28037|27538|27261|<br>27556|27823|27796|
|5-9|24292|26292|27033|28064|28213|27919|27450|27196|27505|27781|
|10-14|22352|24156|26179|26943|27993|28157|27875|27417|27170|27484|
|15-19|20352|22204|24033|26078|26863|27928|28104|27834|27384|<br>27144|
|20-24|18578|20128|22017|23882|25956|26764|27845|28040|27782|27343|
|25-29|15860|18316|19909|21838|23737|25834|26661|27761|27970|27726|
|30-34|13342|15623|18106|19733|21688|23608|25720|26564|27677|27898|
|35-39|1073|13131|15427|17926|19575|21546|23479|25601|26458|27579|
|40-44|8798|10582|12939|15240|17743|19404|21383|23324|25452|26316|
|45-49|7543|<br>8606|10381|12724|15018|17513|19178|21159|23102|25226|
|50-54|6497|7320|8375|10131|12446|<br>14719|17194|18855|20829|22764|
|r5-s9|5566|6221|7033|8073|9794|12065|14300|16736|<br>18385|20336|
|60-64|4511|5211|5849|6642|7654|9321|11517|13688|16059|17675|
|65-69|3423|4057|4714|5323|6077|7040|8611|mu680|12739|<br>14988|
|70-74|2600|2869|3428|4016|4568|5252|<br>6120|7529|9386|11241|
|75.|2879|3351|**3829**|4544|5411|6347|7427|8745|10633|13195|
|TOTAL|193993|215366|237522|259523|280m|300955|320125|338685|356352|372495|
|BIRTH RATE||28.7|26.7|24.2|21.9|19.9|18.4|17.5|16.8|16.0|
|DEATH RATE||7.2|6.7|6.3|6.1|6.1|6.2|6.5|6.9|7.4|
|RATE 07 MA|T. INC.|2.14|1.99|1.79|1.58|1.38|1.22|1.11|.99|.86|
|NET MIGRATI|ON RATE|-. 7|-.5|-. 3|-. 2|-.1|-.1|-.1|-.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE||2.07|1.94|1.76|1.56|1.37|1.21|1.10|.99|.86|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.602|3.241|2.908|2.615|2.374|2.211|2.141|2.111|2.093|
|NRR||1.618|1.482|1.348|1.222|1.117|1.047|1.019|1.008|1.002|
|e(O)**-** BOTH|SEXES|66.41|67.82|69.07|70.19|71.13|71.94|72.63|73.23|73.68|
|e(lO)- BOT|H SEXES|60.71|61.52|62.27|62.95|63.57|64.09|64.56|64.98|65.33|
|INR- BOTH|SEXES|46.6|40.5|35.3|30.7|27.2|24.1|21.5|19.6|18.3|
|q(5)<br>- BOT|HSEXES|.0610|.0519|.0444|.0380|.0332|.0289|.0255|.0230|.0214|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>73.9|<br>69.4|65.1|60.0|55.5|51.2|48.2|<br>46.9|<br>46.9|<br>47.8|
99 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN (LAC), BORROERS ONLY Population projection (thousands) Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|...<br>**..**<br>_....... .........<br>AGE**GROJP**|..<br>1985|....<br>........<br>2000|...................<br>2025|...............<br>2050|............<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...<br>..<br>.....<br>.........|..............|....|...........|......................|..|.<br>.....|..<br>........||
|TOTALN4F|387617|517288|706239|820568|860331|879499|891415|896548|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|27467|29252|28750|28729|28774|28840|28833|28815|
|5-9|24864|28800|28320|28536|28655|28735|28770|28787|
|10-14|22822|27579|27913|28484|28625|28700|28740|28766|
|15-19|20754|26664|28047|28361|28587|28643|28693|28731|
|20-24|18761|24236|28327|28358|28477|28539|28621|28674|
|25-29|15877|22031|28376|28211|28289|28411|28528|28609|
|30-34|13284|19817|27933|27750|28073|28290|28445|28542|
|35-39|10718|17793|26552|27218|27913|28178|28349|28459|
|40-44|8665|14959|25418|27160|27641|28026|28200|28330|
|45-49|7384|12356|22783|27132|27393|27m76|27931|28100|
|50-54|6247|9730|20220|26623|26783|27158|27460|27671|
|55-59|5256|7546|17415|25215|25480|26201|26649|26904|
|60-64|4141|6008|14530|22430|23565|24754|25316|25589|
|65-69|3023|4562|10847|19271|21306|22452|23185|23460|
|70-74|2188|3237|7403|14479|18083|19173|19904|20184|
|75+|2173|3195|7055|16904|26100|29484|31796|32695|
|TOTAL|193623|257765|349887|404861|423743|433313|439419|442315|
|FENALES|||||||||
|0-4|26628|28367|27823|27641|27629|27646|27604|27564|
|5-9|24292|28064|27505|27518|27562|27578|27571|27560|
|10-14|22352|26943|27170|27512|27569|27570|27563|27558|
|15-19|20352|26078|2734|27545|27582|27552|27549|27552|
|20-24|18578|23882|27782|27657|27551|27510|27528|27541|
|25-29|15860|21838|27970|27627|27451|27453|27487|27527|
|30-34|13342|19733|27677|27280|27323|27404|27459|27509|
|35-39|1om|17926|26458|26873|27258|27374|27429|27484|
|40-44|8798|15240|25452|26966|27201|27332|27375|27439|
|45-49|7543|12724|23102|27161|27163|27207|27265|27352|
|50-54|6497|10131|20829|27009|26877|26935|27075|27185|
|55-59|5566|8073|18385|26177|26106|26498|26m|26916|
|60-64|4511|6642|16059|24165|24998|25888|26289|26444|
|65-69|3423|5323|12739|21864|23813|24814|25352|25515|
|70-T4|2600|4016|9386|1m1|21759|22873|23484|23679|
|75+|2879|4544|10633|24982|38748|44551|48191|49408|
|TOTAL|193993|259523|356352|415706|436588|446186|451996|454234|
|BIRTH RATE||26.4|18.8|14.9|13.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|
|DEATH RATE||6.7|6.4|9.0|11.7|12.3|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-. 5|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.92|1.25|.60|.19|.09|.05|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|3.219|2.277|2.093|2.091|2.089|2.081|2.067|
|**e(O)**- BUT|H SEXES|67.85|71.91|74.11|75.69|77.62|78.90|79.27|
|<br>**INR**- BOTH|SEXES|40.7|24.7|17.3|15.1|13.6|11.2|7.3|
100 LAC DEPARTMENT I Poputation projection (thousands)

|....<br>....<br>.............<br>......<br>AGF GROUP<br>1985|.................<br>1990|......<br>1995|........<br> <br>2000|...<br>...<br>........................<br>2005|.........................<br>2010|2015|2020|................<br>2025|...................................................<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>...............<br>............................|<br>|<br>....|<br>.....<br>.......................|<br>...............................................|<br>...................||||<br>|
|TOTAL M+F<br>135564|150190|165151|179604|193889|207192|219345|230860|241857|251850|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9314|9590|9894|_9909_|9848|9720|9456|9527|9727|9781|
|5-9<br>8269|9175|9474|9793|9825|9774|9657|9402|9479|9682|
|10-14<br>7477|8221|9129|9432|9755|9791|9744|9630|9378|9456|
|15-19<br>6982|7424|8169|9077|9384|9710|9749|9706|9595|9346|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>6822|<br>6906|<br>7351|<br>8097|<br>9005|<br>9316|<br>9645|<br>9689|<br>9651|9545|
|25-29<br>5826|6733|6826|7275|8021|<br>8928|<br>9243|<br>9576|<br>9625|9592|
|30-34<br>4937|5743|6648|6749|7201|7947|8853|<br>9172|<br>9509|<br>9563|
|35-39<br>3983|4853|5657|6558|6667|7121|7867|8771|9094|9434|
|40-44<br>3154|3894|4757|5554|6450|6565|7022|7765|8666|<br>89r3|
|45-49<br>2722|3055|3783|4631|5417|6301|6424|6880|7618|<br>8512|
|50-54<br>2243|2597|2925|3631|**4454**|5223|608'|6217|6669|7396|
|55-59<br>1906|2091|2429|2744|3416|4202|4940|5771|5907|6349|
|An-64<br>1480|1713|1887|2201|2494|3117|3847|4535|5313|5453|
|65-69<br>1060|1257|1463|1620|1898|2161|2712|3360|3977|4676|
|70-74<br>763|825|986|1154|1285|1515|1735|2187|2724|3239|
|75+<br>7rl|838|936|1099|1298|1493|<br>1756|2048|2523|3151|
|TOTAL<br>67670|74914|82313|89524|<br>96417|102884|108735|<br>114235|119453|124167|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9058|9315|9610|9625|9563|<br>9436|9176|<br>9239|9426|9472|
|5-9<br>8182|8968|9248|9559|<br>9586|<br>9532|<br>9414|9158|9224|9414|
|10-14<br>7451|8149|8941|9226|9541|<br>9571|9521|<br>9404|9151|<br>9218|
|15-19<br>6932|7415|8119|8914|9205|9523|<br>9557|9509|<br>9395|<br>9143|
|20-24<br>6786|6883|7374|<br>8082|<br>8883|<br>9178|<br> <br>9501|<br>9539|<br> <br> <br>9494|<br><br>9382|
|25-29<br>5827|6725|6833|7331|<br>8045|8849|<br>9150|9476|9518|<br>9476|
|30-34<br>4957|5764|6666|674|7289|<br>8007|8815|<br>9120|9449|9495|
|35-39<br>3990|4892|5702|6606|6734|<br>7243|<br>7965|8775|9084|9417|
|40-44<br>3164|3924|4823|5633|6538|6674|7188|7912|8723|9036|
|45-49<br>2753|3093|<br>3846|4739|<br>5547|6449|6593|7110|<br>7834|8646|
|50-54<br>2298|2665|3004|3747|<br>4629|5430|6326|6478|6996|7718|
|55-59<br>1987|2193|2552|2888|<br>3614|4478|5268|6151|<br>6312|6829|
|60-64<br>1578|1850|2051|2400|2728|3429|4265|5034|5895|<br>6065|
|65-69<br>1163|1407|<br>1660|1854|2183|2497|3156|3945|4676|5496|
|70-74<br>869|964|1176|1400|1578|1874|2159|2748|3456|4117|
|75+<br>898|1067|<br>1233|1492|1812|<br>2136|2556|3028|3770|4758|
|TOTAL<br>67894|75275|82838|90280|97472|<br>104309|110609|116626|122404|127683|
|BIRTH RATE|28.0|25.9|23.6|21.5|19.7|18.0|17.1|16.6|15.9|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|6.9|6.6|6.4|6.4|6.6|6.9|7.3|7.8|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|2.05|1.90|1.70|1.51|1.33|1.14|1.02|.93|.81|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|2.05|1.90|1.70|1.51|1.33|1.14|1.02|.93|.81|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.415|3.121|2.853|2.607|2.383|2.178|_2.101_|2.093|2.087|
|NRR|1.531|1.475|<br>1.320|<br>1.219|<br>1.122|<br>1.032|<br>1.000|<br>1.000|1.000|
|etO)- BOTH SEXES|65.28|66.87|68.22|69.40|70.42|71.33|72.11|72.80|73.41|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|59.91|60.81|61.63|62.36|63.05|63.65|64.19|64.68|65.12|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|47.9|41.3|36.0|31.5|28.0|24.8|22.3|20.2|18.3|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES|.0619|.0520|.0445|.0382|.0336|0295|0262|0236|0213|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.8|<br>66.1|<br>62.9|<br>58.2|<br>54.2|<br>50.5|.<br>47.9|.<br>46.9|.<br>47.2|.<br> <br>48.7|
101 LAC DEPARTMEUT I Population projection (thousands)

# Surmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|202S|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL NsF<br>135564|17sao4|241857|277584|291334|299c32|304664|305564|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9314|9909|9777|9761|9767|9771|9776|9777|
|5-9<br>8269|9793|9479|9710|9754|9768|9772|9769|
|10-14<br>7477|9432|9378|9735|9761|9765|9766|9763|
|15-19<br>6982|9077|9595|9655|9754|9750|9753|9753|
|20-24<br>6822|8097|9651|9658|9709|9720|9732|9738|
|25-29<br>5826|7275|9625|9548|9635|9688|9718|9723|
|30-34<br>4937|6749|9509|9293|9572|9666|9705|9709|
|35-39<br>3983|6558|9094|9149|9563|9650|9687|9688|
|40-44<br>3154|5554|8666|9297|9436|9609|9647|9650|
|45-49<br>2722|4631|7618|9249|9357|9505|9566|9578|
|50-54<br>2243|3631|6669|9032|9094|9308|9421|9450|
|55-59<br>1906|2744|5907|8579|8560|8996|9169|9206|
|60-64<br>1480|2201|5313|7669|7947|8546|8738|8772|
|65-69<br>1060|1620|3977|6543|7316|7730|8022|8054|
|70-74<br>763|1154|2724|4806|6179|6611|6896|6940|
|75+<br>731|1099|2523|5638|8849|10084|11069|11304|
|TOTAL<br>67670|89524|119453|137322|144252|148168|150437|150874|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9058|9625|9426|9356|9351|9345|9348|9349|
|5-9<br>8182|9559|9224|9320|9350|9351|9350|9348|
|10-14<br>7451|9226|9151|9354|9365|9355|9349|9346|
|15-19<br>6932|8914|9395|9373|9371|9352|9345|9344|
|20-24<br>6786|8082|9494|9421|9348|9340|9338|9343|
|25-29<br>5827|7331|9518|9352|9298|9327|9340|9344|
|30-34<br>4957|6784|9449|9136|9256|9325|9344|9343|
|35-39<br>3990|6606|9084|9034|9267|9329|9345|9339|
|40-44<br>3164|5633|8723|9228|9250|9318|9333|9326|
|45-49<br>2753|4739|7834|9247|9240|9263|9301|9299|
|50-'t<br>2298|3747|6996|9138|9074|9155|9246|9259|
|55-<br>1987|2888|6312|8860|8703|9007|9162|9181|
|60-i<br>1578|2400|5895|8188|8343|8832|9018|9034|
|65-6<br>1163|1854|4676|7M39|8058|8468|8712|8726|
|70-74<br>869|1400|3456|5823|7277|75|8074|8108|
|75+<br>898|1492|3770|8092|12532|14892|16620|17003|
|TOTAL<br>67894|90280|122404|140262|147082|151464|154226|154691|
|BIRTH RATE|25.7|18.4|14.9|13.6|13.1|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.0|6.7|9.4|11.7|11.9|12.0|12.5|
|MET NIGRATIONRATE|.0|**.0**|.0|**.0**|.0|.0|**.0**|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.88|1.19|.55|.19|.11|.07|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.105|2.259|2.096|2.088|2.069|2.058|2.058|
|**e(O)**- BOTHSEXES|66.88|71.31|73.54|75.34|77.8e|79.50|79.50|
|**INR**- BOTH SEXES|41.7|25.4|17.6|13.6|8.4|5.3|5.3|
102 LAC DEPARTMENT If Populatlon projection (thousands)

|....<br>....<br>.....<br>.......<br>........<br>AGE GROW<br>1985|....<br>.........<br>1990|..............<br>1995|........<br>2000|..............<br> <br>2005|..........<br>2010|..................<br>2015|...<br> <br>2020|.............<br> <br>2025|.........................<br>...............<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>..................................|<br>.|<br>...............................................|<br>.....................|<br>|||<br> <br>...|<br> <br>...<br>...<br>...<br>.....|<br><br>...........<br>... ......................|
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>103605|<br>116028|<br>129441|143337|<br>156910|<br>169603|<br>181695|<br>193460|<br>204594|<br>214957|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>8183|8033|8526|8779|<br>8718|8407|8332|<br>8440|<br>8494|8534|
|5-9<br>7490|8034|7913|8429|<br>8696|8652|8353|<br>8287|<br>8400|8461|
|10-14<br>6977|7422|7975|7866|<br>8389|8664|8623|<br>8329|<br>8266|8383|
|15-19<br>5966|6900|7355|7919r|<br>7818|8347|8626|<br>8590|<br>8300|8242|
|20-24<br>4923|5837|6785|7261|<br>7835|7749|8284|<br>8571|<br>8541|8262|
|25-29<br>3999|4769|5702|6673|<br>7162|77M0|<br>7677|<br>8221|<br>8513|<br>8495|
|30-34<br>3234|3864|4652|5603|<br>o580|7082|7679|<br>7617|<br> <br>Pe64|<br><br> <br>8465|
|35-39<br>2491|3123|3766|4566|<br>5519|6502|7010|<br>7611|<br>7555|<br>8108|
|40-44<br>2003|2399|3036|3685|<br>4485|5438|6418|<br>6928|<br>7528|<br>74'.0|
|45-49<br>1677|1921|2318|2952|<br>3597|4391|5334|<br>6304|<br>610|7409|
|50-54<br>1413|1594|<br>1836|2228|<br>2848|3482|4259|<br>5181|<br>6128|6629|
|55-59<br>1102|1317|1494|1729|<br>2107|2704|3314|<br>4059|<br>4943|5856|
|60-64<br>888|993|1194|1361|<br>1584|1939|2495|<br>3064|<br>3759|4587|
|65-69<br>614|758|854|1033|<br>1186|1388|1705|<br>2201|<br>2708|3332|
|70-74<br>453|482|600|681|831|<br>960|1129|<br>1393|<br>1803|<br>2227|
|75+<br>474|522|569|680|796|966|1146|<br>1360|<br>1658|2110|
|TOTAL<br>51885|57968|64575|71446|<br>78152|84422|90385|<br>96156|<br>101570|<br>106579|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>7914|7823|8289|8520|<br>8452|8140|8060|<br>8161|<br>8211|8243|
|5-9<br>7239|7812|7743|8229|8474|8418|8113|<br>8041|<br>8146|8201|
|10-14<br>6746|7188|7771|7712|<br>8205|8456|8403|<br>8103|<br>8033|8141|
|15-19<br>5802|6692|7144|m7|7686|8184|8438|<br>8390|<br>8093|8026|
|20-24<br>4821|5716|6619|7089|<br>7693|7652|8155|<br>8417|<br>8374|8083|
|25-29<br>3978|4723|5633|6554|7036|7651|7617|<br>8129|<br>8395|8359|
|30-34<br>3265|3896|4652|5575|<br>6505|6996|7614|<br>7589|<br>8104|8377|
|35-39<br>2550|3198|3837|4602|5529|6463|6957|<br>7581|<br>7560|8079|
|40-44<br>2081|2497|3148|3790|<br>4557|5484|6418|<br>6915|7540|7523|
|45-49<br>1768|2033|2450|3098|<br>3739|4503|5426|<br>6356|6854|7478|
|50-54<br>1502|1717|1981|2394|3036|3672|4427|5341|6263|6760|
|55-59<br>1191|1441|1653|1915|<br>2321|2950|3575|<br>4317|5216|6123|
|60-64<br>990|1118|1359|1567|<br>1822|2216|2824|<br>3430|<br>4152|5023|
|65-69<br>708|894|1016|1243|<br>1441|1684|2056|<br>2629|<br>3202|3885|
|70-74<br>543|596|760|870|1073|1253|1472|<br>1806|<br>2319|2836|
|75+<br>622<br>|715|812|996|1188|1460|1756|<br>2100|<br>2564|3241|
|TOTAL<br>51720|58059|64866|71891|<br>78757|85181|91311|<br>97304|103024|<br>108378|
|BIRTH RATE|30.4|28.6|26.3|23.6|20.8|19.1|18.1|17.1|16.3|
|DEATH RATE|6.0|5.5|5.2|5.0|4.9|5.1|;.4|5.8|6.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.44|2.31|2.11|1.86|1.59|1.40|1.27|1.13|.99|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.7|-1.2|-. 7|-.5|-. 3|-. 2|-.1|-.1|.0|
|GRt.TH<br>RATE|2.26|2.19|2.04|1.81|1.56|1.38|1.25|1.12|.99|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.909|3.445|3.039|2.686|2.383|2.228|2.156|2.102|2.084|
|NRR|1.786|1.594|1.420|<br>1.266|<br>1.129|<br>1.062|<br>1.031|<br>1.007|1.000|
|**e(O)**- BOTH SEXES|67.57|68.90|70.13|71.24|72.16|72.80|73.35|73.82|74.25|
|**e(10)**- BOTH SEXES|61.29|62.11|62.89|63.60|64.23|64.67|65.05|65.39|65.72|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|41.2|35.6|30.7|26.5|23.5|21.1|19.1|17.5|16.4|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0526|.0445|.0377|.0320|.0279|.0249|.0223|.0203|.0189|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>86.2|<br>76.5|<br>69.0|62.3|<br>57.8|<br>52.6|48.3|<br>45.9|<br>45.3|<br>45.9|
103 LAC DEPARTMENT **11** Population projection **(thousmncb)**

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP|1985|2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................|.........................................|...........|||||||
|TOTAL<br>M4F|103605|<br>143337|<br>204594|<br>243924|<br>25731|263229|<br>266281|<br>267006|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|8183|8779|8494|8489|<br>8513|<br>8539|<br>8544|<br>8544|
|5-9|7490|8429|8400|8443|8497|<br>8531|<br>8539|<br>8538|
|10-14|6977|7866|8266|844|8496|<br>8525|<br>8534|<br>8533|
|15-19|5966|7919|8300|8452|<br>8486|<br>8509|<br>8524|<br>8524|
|20-24|4923|7261|8541|8436|8448|<br>8481|<br>8508|<br>8511|
|25-29|3999|6673|8513|8354|<br>8388|<br>8450|<br>8492|<br>8498|
|30-34|3234|5603|8164|8250|8332|<br>8426|<br>8476|<br>8484|
|<br>35-39|<br>2491|<br>4566|<br>7555|<br> <br>8082|<br> <br>8305|<br> <br> <br>8406|<br> <br> <br>8455|<br><br> <br>8466|
|40-44|2003|3685|7528|<br>8064|8275|<br>8369|<br>8418|<br>8434|
|45-49|1677|2952|6810|8214|<br>8193|<br>8282|<br>8345|<br>8373|
|50-54|1413|2228|6128|8029|<br>7962|<br>8117|<br>8216|<br>8258|
|55-59|1102|1729|<br>4943|7419|<br>7635|<br>7850|<br>7991|<br>8040|
|60-64|888|1361|<br>3759|6438|<br>7066|<br>7449|<br>7610|<br>7657|
|65-69|614|1033|<br>2708|<br>5775|<br>6406|<br>6815|<br>6985|<br>7028|
|70-74|453|681|1803|<br>4395|<br>5564|<br>5833|<br>6006|<br>6054|
|75+|474|680|1658|<br>5015|<br>7969|<br>9039|<br>9665|<br>9854|
|TOTAL|51885|<br>71446|<br>101570|<br>120297|<br>126556|<br>129619|<br>131306|<br>131795|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|7914|8520|8211|<br>8169|<br>8167|<br>8167|<br>8170|<br>8170|
|5-9|7239|8229|8146|8145|<br>8167|<br>8171|<br>8170|<br>8169|
|10-14|6746|7712|8033|<br>8161|<br>8178|<br>8174|<br>8170|<br>8169|
|15-19|5802|m77|8093|<br>8199|<br>8186|<br>8173|<br>8167|<br>8167|
|20-24|4821|7089|<br>8374|<br>8215|<br>8174|<br>8164|<br>8164|<br>8166|
|25-29|3978|6554|8395|<br>8170|<br>8142|<br>8155|<br>8163|<br>8166|
|30-34|3265|5575|8104|<br>8098|<br>8114|<br>8154|<br>7,165|<br>8165|
|35-39|2550|4602|7560|<br>7967|<br>8117|<br>8159|<br>3i65|8161|
|40-44|2081|3790|7540|<br>7997|<br>8135|<br>8155|<br>8156|<br>8151|
|45-49|1768|3098|6854|<br>8224|<br>8114|<br>8120|<br>8130|<br>8130|
|50-54|1502|2394|<br>6263|<br>8155|<br>8003|<br>8044|<br>8084|<br>8091|
|55-59|1191|1915|<br>5216|<br>m7|7816|<br>7934|<br>8011|<br>8023|
|60-64|990|1567|<br>4152|<br>6982|<br>7495|<br>7789|<br>7885|<br>7893|
|65-69|708|<br>1243|<br>3202|<br>6583|<br>7175|<br>7522|<br>7623|<br>7625|
|70-74|543|870|2319|<br>5384|<br>6738|<br>6958|<br>7076|<br>7087|
|75+|622|996|2564|<br>7451|<br>12041|<br>13771|<br>14677|<br>14879|
|TOTAL|51720|<br>71891|<br>103024|<br>123626|<br>130762|<br>133610|<br>134974|<br>135211|
|BIRTHRATE||28.3|19.5|15.0|13.4|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||5.5|5.3|8.0|11.3|12.0|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|-1.2|-.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|2.16|1.42|.70|.21|.09|.05|.01|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.418|2.295|2G82|2.073|2.063|2.058|2.058|
|**e(O)**- BOT|H SEXES|68.96|72.76|74.92|76.67|78.58|79.57|79.61|
|<br>**1**<br>- BOTH|SEXES|35.7|21.6|14.9|11.1|7.3|5.3|5.3|
104 LAC DEPARTMENT III Poputation projection (thousamls)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>**...** **.....**..........<br>....<br>|1990<br>......<br>.....<br>....|1995<br>.<br>..<br>...<br>..<br>...|<br>2000<br>...<br>......<br>....|<br>2005<br>......<br>............|2010<br>............|2015<br>...........|<br>2020<br>...............|<br>2025<br>.............|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN+F<br>70383|<br>78317|<br>86583|94541|<br>102120|109401|<br>116622|<br>123666|<br>130195|<br>135846|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4969|5317|5504|<br>5391|<br>5259|5221|5334|5437|<br>5416|<br>5313|
|5-9<br>4583|4852|5215|5418|<br>5323|5202|5175|5297|<br>5405|<br>5384|
|10-14<br>4162|4540|815|<br>5182|<br>5390|5299|5182|5158|<br>5282|<br>5390|
|15-19<br>4003|4116|4499|4779|<br>5150|5361|5273|5159|<br>5137|<br>5262|
|20-24<br>3597|3926|4050|4442|<br>4730|5105|5319|5236|<br>5127|<br>5107|
|25-29<br>2948|3504|3846|3984|<br>4386|4679|5057|5275|<br>5198|<br>5092|
|30-34<br>2417|2867|3431|3782|<br>3932|4336|4633|5014|<br>5235|<br>5160|
|35-39<br>1941|2347|2803|<br>3370|<br>3728|3882|4288|4587|<br>4969|<br>5190|
|40-44<br>1527|1879|2287|2744|<br>3311|3668|3825|4231|<br>4530|<br>49'9|
|45-49<br>1257|1470|1819|<br>2223|<br>2675|3235|3590|3748|<br>4151|<br>4446|
|50-54<br>1058|1197|1406|<br>1746|<br>2140|2581|3128|3476|<br>3634|<br>4026|
|55-59<br>888|987|1120|<br>1320|<br>1645|2023|2446|2969|<br>3305|<br>3456|
|60-64<br>686|801|894|1018|<br>1203|1504|1855|<br>2250|<br>2737|<br>3049|
|65-69<br>510|586|688|770|<br>880|1046|1313|<br>1625|<br>1977|<br>2409|
|70-74<br>352|400|462|545|<br>614|706|842|1062|<br>1321|<br>1611|
|75.<br>322|381|445|521|<br>618|717|833|990|1228|<br>1531|
|TOTAL<br>35219|39171|43284|47235|<br>50984|54563|58094|61513|<br>64652|<br>67332|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4811|<br>5146|5329|5219|<br>5092|<br>5056|5166|5265|<br>5245|<br>5145|
|5-9<br>4458|4712|5064|5263|<br>5171|5055|5029|5147|<br>5251|<br>5231|
|10-14<br>4058|4421|4683|5039|<br>5245|5156|5044|5020|<br>5140|<br>5245|
|15-19<br>3926|4019|4389|4656|5019|5228|5143|5033|<br>5012|<br>5133|
|20-24<br>3559|**3864**|3970|4349|<br>4626|4994|5207|5126|<br>5021|<br>5001|
|25-29<br>2941|3487|3805|3923|<br>4313|4596|4969|5187|<br>5110|<br>5006|
|30-34<br>2415|2879|3434|3760|3887|4282|4571|4946|5167|<br>5092|
|35-39<br>1942|2364|2834|3391|<br>**3723**|3856|4254|4545|<br>4922|<br>5143|
|40-44<br>1535|1900|2323|2793|3351|3686|3822|4221|4514|<br>4890|
|45-49<br>1280|1497|1860|<br>2281|<br>2748|3304|3638|3777|<br>4176|<br>4467|
|50-54<br>1104|1240|1454|<br>1811|<br>2227|2690|3239|3572|<br>3713|<br>4107|
|55-59<br>947|1056|1189|<br>1398|<br>1747|2155|2609|3148|<br>3477|<br>3616|
|60-64<br>757|884|990|1119|<br>1321|1658|2052|2491|<br>3014|<br>3332|
|65-69<br>582|677|797|897|1018|1209|1526|1896|<br>2311|<br>2802|
|70-74<br>415|484|568|674|764|874|1045|1327|<br>1659|<br>2028|
|75+<br>434|515|613|732|882|1039|1216|1453|<br>1813|<br>2276|
|TOTAL<br>35163|39146|43299|47306|<br>51136|54838|58528|62153|65543|<br>68514|
|BIRTHRATE|30.2|27.9|24.7|22.0|20.2|19.2|18.3|17.2|16.1|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|7.0|6.6|6.3|6.2|6.3|6.5|6.9|7.6|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.27|2.10|1.82|1.57|1.40|1.29|1.18|1.03|.85|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.4|-. 9|-.6|-. 3|-.7|-. 1|-. 1|-. 0|.0|
|GROCTH<br>RATE|2.14|2.01|1.76|1.54|1.38|1.28|1.17|1.03|.85|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.725|3.333|2.951|2.639|2.419|2.302|2.233|2.174|2.124|
|NRR|1.623|1.484|1.338|1.212|1.121|1.078|1.054|1.032|1.009|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|65.31|66.70|67.95|69.08|70.10|71.03|71.84|72.50|72.64|
|e(1O)- BOTH SEXES|60.50|61.21|61.85|62.45|63.05|63.59|64.05|64.50|64.66|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|55.9|49.3|43.8|38.5|33.8|29.1|25.1|22.7|22.2|
|qt5) - BOTH SEXES|.0775|.0673|.0589|.0506|.0436|.0365|.0303|.0270|.0269|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>72.8|<br>69.2|65.2|<br>60.5|<br>55.0|<br>50.2|<br>47.8|<br>47.2|<br>47.7|<br>48.5|
105 LAC DEPAMTENT III Pqpulation projection (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MF<br>70383|94541|130195|150945|157121|158967|161083|163964|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4969|5391|5416|5387|5391|5414|5391|5372|
|5-9<br>4583|5418|5405|5323|5314|5325|5342|5361|
|10-14<br>4162|5182|5282|5260|5283|5303|5325|5355|
|15-19<br>4003|4779|5137|5206|5268|5284|5309|5343|
|20-24<br>3597|4412|5127|5215|5258|5255|5283|5322|
|25-29<br>2948|3984|5198|5282|5234|5210|5232|5294|
|30-34<br>2417|3782|5235|5263|5174|5153|5188|5.|
|35-39<br>1941|3370|4969|5112|5082|5094|5143||
|40-44<br>1527|2744|4530|4929|4988|5041|5093|1..|
|45-49<br>1257|2223|4151|4857|4939|4980|5021|5132|
|50-54<br>1058|1746|3634|4815|4902|4870|4903|5016|
|55-59<br>8a8|1320|3305|4655|4707|4657|4710|4843|
|60-64<br>686|1018|2737|4120|4285|4316|4422|4575|
|65-69<br>510|770|977|3366|3710|3847|4010|4168|
|70-74<br>352|545|1321|2565|3077|3252|3419|3563|
|75+<br>322|521|1228|2977|4421|4947|5317|5644|
|TOTAL<br>35219|47235|64652|74321|77032|77948|79107|80677|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4811|5219|5245|5212|5213|5237|5189|5147|
|5-9<br>4458|5263|5251|5166|5151|5159|5153|5145|
|10-14<br>4058|5039|5140|5114|5127|5140|5146|5146|
|15-19<br>3926|4656|5012|5073|5120|5127|5140|5144|
|20-24<br>3559|4349|5021|5100|5126|5109|5130|5136|
|25-29<br>2941|3923|5110|5186|5121|5080|5090|5123|
|30-34<br>2415|3760|5167|5188|5081|5040|5057|5107|
|35-39<br>1942|3391|4922|5062|5013|5000|5026|5092|
|40-44<br>1535|2793|4514|4910|4950|4974|4998|5075|
|45-49<br>1280|2281|4176|488o|4945|4954|4961|5048|
|50-54<br>1104|1811|3713|4905|497|4908|4900|4984|
|55-59<br>947|1398|3477|4857|4889|4797|4805|4903|
|60-64<br>757|1119|3014|4463|4619|4608|4668|4788|
|65-69<br>**582**|897|2311|3843|4226|4333|4460|4593|
|70-74<br>415|674|1659|3172|3783|3952|4102|4237|
|75+<br>434|732|1813|4492|6749|7602|8152|8619|
|TOTAL<br>35163|47306|65543|f' <.4|80089|81020|81976|83287|
|BIRTH RATE|27.4|19.3|15.2|14.1|14.1|13.8|13.2|
|DEATH RATE|7.0|6.5|9.3|12.5|13.6|13.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-. 9|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GROrH**RATE|1.97|1.28|.59|.16|.05|.05|.07|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.302|2.341|2.116|2.144|2.189|2.182|2.106|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** B0THSEXES|66.74|71.02|72.7|73.48|74.47|75.94|77.73|
|<br>INR<br>B0THSEXES|49.7|29.8|22.7|28.1|38.0|35.4|16.1|
106 LAC DEPARTMENT IV Population projection (thousands)

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>203|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................................................................<br>TOTAL**M+F**<br>78065|85374|..............................<br>92602|................................................<br>99606|............<br>106266|112597|118555|124233|129593|<br>13445|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5002|5175|5207|5172|5098|5072|<br>5024|5059|5114|<br>511|
|5-9<br>4522|4937|5119|5160|5134|<br>5065|5044|4999|5036|<br>509|
|10-14<br>4206|4498|4914|5098|5142|5118|5051|5031|4988|<br>502|
|15-19<br>3803|4178|4472|<br>4889|5075|<br>5120|5098|5034|5014|<br>4972|
|20-24<br>3419|3763|4139|4436|4855|5042|5090|5070|5008|<br>4990|
|25-29<br>3104|3377|3722|4099|4399|4818|5007|5057|5039|<br>4980|
|30-34<br>2696|3064|3338|3683|4062|4364|4783|4973|<br>5025|<br>5009|
|35-39<br>2304|2656|3023|3299|3644|4023|4326|4744|4935|<br>4989|
|40-44<br>1981|2260|2610|2976|3252|3595|3973|4277|4693|<br>48s5|
|45-49<br>172|1928|2203|_2550_|2913|3186|3526|3900|4203|<br>4616|
|50-54<br>1532|<br>1659|<br>1855|<br>2126|2466|2819|3088|3421|3789|<br>4090|
|55-59<br>1360|<br>1438|1562|<br>1753|2014|2339|2679|2940|3261|<br>3618|
|60-64<br>1087|1234|<br>1310|<br>1428|1609|1852|<br>2156|2474|2721|<br>3023|
|65-69<br>839|936|1068|<br>1139|<br>1248|1408|<br>1626|<br>1899|<br>2186|<br>2410|
|70-74<br>620|665|746|857|920|1010|<br>1144|<br>1327|<br>1555|<br>1797|
|75.<br>646|721|<br>795|894|1028|1139|<br>1262|<br>1426|<br>1646|<br>1927|
|TOTAL<br>38849|42488|46083|49559|<br>52858|55970|58879|61631|64212|<br>66534|
|IENIALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4845|5015|5042|5004|4929|4906|4860|<br>4891|4942|<br>4937|
|5-9<br>4414|4800|4978|5013|4982|4913|4894|<br>4850|4884|<br>4936|
|10-14<br>4097|4397|4785|4966|5003|4974|4907|4890|4847|<br>4881|
|15-19<br>3692|4078|438l|4771|4954|4994|4967|4901|4885|<br>4842|
|20-24<br>3411|3666|4054|4362|4754|4940|4982|4957|4894|<br>4878|
|25-29<br>3114|3382|3639|4030|4342|4737|4926|4970|4947|<br>4884|
|30-34<br>2706|3084|3354|3614|4007|4323|4720|4910|4956|<br>4935|
|35-39<br>2292|2676|3055|3327|3589|3984|4303|4701|4892|<br>4940|
|40-44<br>2019|2262|2645|3023|3297|3560|3956|4277|4675|<br>4867|
|45-49<br>1742|<br>1982|<br>2226|2606|2983|3257|3521|3916|4238|<br>4636|
|50-54<br>1592|<br>1698|1936|2178|2555|2928|3201|3464|3856|<br>4179|
|55-59<br>1441|<br>1532|<br>1639|<br>1873|2113|2482|2849|3119|3380|<br>3768|
|60-64<br>1186|<br>1359|<br>1449|1556|1784|2018|2375|2732|2998|<br>3254|
|65-69<br>9s0|<br>1078|<br>1242|1330|1434|1649|1873|2211|2550|<br>2805|
|70-74<br>m|825|925<br>|1072<br>|1153|1250|1444|<br>1648|<br>1952|<br>2260|
|75+<br>924<br>|1053|**1171**|<br>1323|1529|1712|1898|<br>2165|2486|<br>2920|
|TOTAL<br>39216|42886|46519|50047|53408|56627|59677|62603|65381|67920|
|BIRTH RATE|26.2|24.1|22.0|20.1|18.8|17.5|16.8|16.2|15.5|
|DEATH RATE|8.2|7.7|7.3|7.1|7.2|7.2|7.4|7.7|8.1|
|RATE OFNAT.<br>INC.|1.80|1.64|1.47|1.30|1.16|1.03|.94|.85|.74|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 1|-.1|-.1|-. 0|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.79|1.63|1.46|1.29|1.16|1.03|.94|.84|.74|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.416|3.082|2.772|2.494|2.299|2.153|2.098|2.092|2.087|
|NRR|1.559|1.424|1.293|1.168|1.084|1.022|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|67.69|68.91|70.01|71.00|71.72|72.43|73.03|73.59|74.10|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|61.44|62.17|62.86|63.49|63.94|64.43|64.86|65.27|65.64|
|INR- BOTHSEXES|42.5|37.3|32.6|28.3|25.0|22.3|20.4|18.7|17.2|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0550|.0474|.0406|.0345|.0300|.0264|.0239|.0218|.0200|
|<br>DEP.<br>RATIO<br>68.9|66.5|63.6|59.2|54.8|51.4|49.1|48.2|48.3|<br>48.8|
107

# LAC DEPARTMENT IV Poputation projection Cthousandb)

# **Summry** for 25 Year Perfods

|........<br>..............<br>..<br> <br>|...<br>........<br>|0.......................<br>|. <br>|.....<br>......<br>.<br>|.....<br>...............<br>|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE**GRWOP**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|.....<br>.......<br>......<br>...........|........|...............|....<br>....|...<br>....<br>......|...........|..<br>. .........||
|TOTALMiF<br>78065|<br>99606|<br>129593|<br>148115|<br>154558|<br>157671|<br>159388|<br>160014|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>5002|5172|<br>5114|<br>5092|<br>5103|<br>5117|<br>5122|<br>5122|
|5-9<br>4522|5160|<br>5036|<br>5060|<br>5090|<br>5111|<br>5118|<br>5119|
|10-14<br>4206|5098|<br>4988|<br>5045|<br>5085|5108|5114|5116|
|15-19<br>3803|4889|<br>5014|<br>5048|<br>5080|<br>5100|<br>5108|<br>5111|
|20-24<br>3419|4436|<br>5008|<br>5050|<br>5062|<br>5084|<br>5098|<br>5103|
|25-29<br>3104|4099|5039|5027|5031|5064|5086|5094|
|30-34<br>2696|3683|5025|4944|4994|5045|5076|5085|
|35-39<br>2304|3299|4935|4875|4963|5029|5064|5073|
|40-44<br>1961|2976|4693|4870|4943|5007|5042|5054|
|45-49<br>1729|2550|4203|4813|4904|4959|4999|5017|
|50-54<br>1532|2126|3789|4748|4804|4863|4919|4947|
|55-59<br>1360|1753|3261|4562|4578|4698|4779|4815|
|60-64<br>1087|<br>1428|<br>2721|<br>4203|<br>4268|<br>4443|<br>4545|<br>4585|
|65-69<br>839|1139|2186|3598|3874|4059|4168|4210|
|70-74<br>620|857|1555|2714|3263|3477|3584|3627|
|75+<br>646|894|1646|3274|4862|5414|5745|5893|
|TOTAL<br>38849|<br>49559|<br>64212|<br>72921|<br>75903|<br>77577|<br>78568|<br>78969|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4845|5004|4942|4905|4898|4897|4897|4898|
|5.9<br>4414|5013|4884|4888|4895|4898|4898|4898|
|10-14<br>4097|4966|4847|4884|4899|4900|4898|4897|
|15-19<br>3692|4771|4885|4900|4905|4900|4897|4897|
|20-24<br>3411|4362|4894|4921|4904|4896|4896|4896|
|25-29<br>3114|4030|4947|4918|4890|4891|4894|4895|
|30-34<br>2706|3614|4956|4857|4871|4886|4893|4894|
|35-39<br>2292|3327|4892|4810|4861|4886|4893|4893|
|40-44<br>2019|3023|4675|4831|4866|4885|4888|4887|
|45-49<br>1742|2606|4238|4810|4865|4870|4874|4875|
|50-54<br>1592|2178|3856|4810|4824|4829|4845|4851|
|55-59<br>1441|1873|3380|4732|4698|4760|4797|4808|
|60-64<br>1186|1556|2998|4531|4541|4660|4717|4730|
|65-69<br>970|1330|2550|4099|4354|4491|4558|4570|
|70-74<br>773|1072|1952|3352|3962|4158|4232|4248|
|754<br>924|1323|2486|4946|7425|8286|8742|8907|
|TOTAL<br>39216|50047|65381|75195|78655|80093|80820|81045|
|BIRTH RATE|24.0|17.8|14.5|13.3|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.7|7.3|9.2|11.6|12.1|12.3|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 1|-. 0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROITH RATE|1.62|1.05|.53|.17|.08|.04|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.068|2.218|2.081|2.071|2.063|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)**- BOTH**SEXES|68.93|72.42|74.98|76.84|78.56|79.38|79.61|
|<br>**INR- BOTH**SEXES|37.5|22.9|15.0|10.9|7.4|5.7|5.3|
# LAC DEPARTMENT I
110 BRAZIL Projection with NRR31 by 2015 (thousands)

|AGE**GROLP**<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALNF<br>135564|150190|<br>165151|<br>17960.|193889|<br>207192|<br>219345|<br>230860|<br>241857|<br>251850|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9314|9590|<br>9894|9909|9648|<br>9720|9456|<br>9527|<br>9727|<br>9781|
|5-9<br>8269|9175|9474|9793|9625|9774|9657|<br>9402|<br>9479|<br>9682|
|10-14<br>7477|8221|9129|9432|9755|9791|9744|<br>9630|<br>9378|<br>9456|
|15-19<br>6982|7424|8169|9077|9384|9710|9749|<br>9706|<br>9595|<br>9346|
|20-24<br>6822|6906|7351|8097|9005|9316|9645|<br>9689|<br>9651|<br>9545|
|25-29<br>5826|6733|6826|7275|<br>8021|8928|9243|<br>9576|<br>9625|<br>9592|
|30-34<br>4937|5743|6648|6749|7201|<br>7947|8853|<br>9172|<br>9509|<br>9563|
|35-39<br>3983|4853|5657|6558|6667|7121|7867|<br>8771|<br>9094|<br>9434|
|40-44<br>3154|3894|4757|5554|6450|6565|7022|<br>7765|<br>8666|<br>8993|
|45-49<br>2722|3055|3783|4631|5417|6301|6424|<br>6880|<br>7618|<br>85|
|50-54<br>2243|2597|2925|3631|4454|5223|6087|<br>6217|<br>6669|<br>7396|
|55-59<br>1906|2091|2429|2744|3416|4202|4940|<br>5771|<br>5907|<br>6349|
|60-64<br>1480|1713|1887|2201|2494|<br>3117|3847|<br>4535|<br>5313|<br>5453|
|65-69<br>1060|1257|1463|1620|<br>1898|<br>2161|2712|<br>3360|<br>3977|<br>46|
|70-74<br>763|825|986|1154|<br>1285|<br>1515|<br>1735|<br>2187|<br>2724|<br>3239|
|75<br>731|838|936|1099|<br>1298|<br>1493|<br>1756|<br>2048|<br>2523|<br>3151|
|TOTAL<br>67670|74914|82313|89524|<br>96417|<br>102884|<br>108735|<br>114235|<br>119453|<br>124167|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>9058|9315|9610|9625|9563|<br>9436|9176|<br>9239|<br>9426|<br>94|
|5-9<br>8182|8968|9248|9559|<br>9586|<br>9532|<br>9414|<br>9158|<br>9224|<br>94|
|10-14<br>7451|8149|8941|9226|9541|<br>9571|<br>9521|<br>9404|<br>9151|<br>92|
|15-19<br>6932|7415|8119|8914|9205|9523|<br>9557|<br>9509|<br>9395|<br>9143|
|20-24<br>6786|6883|7374|<br>8082|8883|<br>9178|9501|<br>9539|<br>9494|<br>9382|
|25-29<br>5827|6725|6833|7331|<br>8045|<br>8849|9150|<br>9476|<br>9518|<br>94|
|30-34<br>4957|5764|6666|6784|7289|<br>8007|8815|<br>9120|<br>9449|<br>9495|
|35-39<br>3990|4892|5702|6606|6734|<br>7243|<br>7965|<br>8775|<br>9084|<br>94|
|40-44<br>3164|3924|4823|5633|6538|<br>6674|7188|<br>7912|<br>8723|<br>9036|
|45-49<br>2753|3093|3846|4739|5547|<br>6449|6593|<br>7110|<br>7834|<br>8646|
|50-54<br>2296|2665|3004|3747|4629|<br>5430|6326|<br>6478|<br>6996|<br>77|
|55-59<br>1987|2193|2552|2888|3614|<br>4478|5268|<br>6151|<br>6312|<br>6829|
|60-64<br>1578|1850|<br>2051|2400|278|3429|4265|<br>5034|<br>5895|<br>6065|
|65-69<br>1163|1407|<br>1660|1854|<br>2183|<br>2497|3156|<br>3945|<br>4676|<br>5496|
|70-74<br>869|964|1176|1400|<br>1578|<br>1874|<br>2159|<br>2748|<br>3456|<br>41|
|75+<br>898<br> <br>|1067<br>|<br>1233<br>|1492<br> <br>|<br>1812<br> <br>|<br>2136<br> <br>|2556<br> <br>|<br>3028<br> <br>|<br>3770<br> <br>|<br>4758<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>67894|75275|82838|<br>90280|<br>97472|<br>104309|<br>110609|<br>116626|<br>122404|<br>127683|
|BIRTH RATE|28.0|25.9|23.6|21.5|19.7|18.0|17.1|16.6|15.9|
|DEATH RATE<br>|7.5|6.9|6.6|6.4|6.4|6.6|6.9|7.3|7.8|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|2.05|1.90|1.70|1.51|1.33|1.14|1.02|.93|.81|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.90|1.70|1.51|1.33|1.14|1.02|.93|.81|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.415|3.121|2.853|2.607|2.383|2.178|2.101|2.093|2.087|
|NRR|1.531|1.425|1.320|1.219|1.122|1.032|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|**eCO)**- BOTH SEXES|65.28|66.87|68.22|69.40|70.42|71.33|72.11|72.80|73.41|
|edIO)- BOTH SEXES|59.91|60.81|61.63|62.36|63.05|63.65|64.19|64.68|65.12|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|47.9|41.3|36.0|31.5|28.0|24.8|22.3|20.2|18.3|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0619|.0520|.0445|.0382|.0336|.0295|.0262|.0236|.0213|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.8|<br>66.1|<br>62.9|<br>58.2|<br>54.2|<br>50.5|<br>47.9|<br>46.9|<br>47.2|<br>48.7|
111 BRAZIL Projection with **NRR-1** by 2015 (thousards)

# Suamry for 25 Year Per1ods

|AGE GRO<br>JP<br>1965|2000|2025|21W5O|<br>2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**MNF**<br>135564|179804|241857|277584|291334|299632|304664|305564|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9314|9909|9727|9761|9767|9771|9776|9777|
|5-9<br>8269|9793|9479|9710|9754|9768|9772|9769|
|10-14<br>7477|9432|9378|9735|9761|9765|9766|9763|
|15-19<br>6982|9077|9595|9655|9754|9750|9753|9753|
|20-24<br>6822|8097|9651|9658|9709|9720|9732|9738|
|25-29<br>5826|7275|9625|9548|9635|9688|9718|9723|
|30-34<br>4937|6749|9509|9293|9572|9666|9705|9709|
|35-39<br>3983|6558|9094|9149|9563|9650|9687|9688|
|40-44<br>3154|5554|8666|9297|9436|9609|9647|9650|
|45-49<br>2722|4631|7618|9249|9357|9505|9566|9578|
|50-54<br>2243|3631|6669|9032|9094|9308|9421|9450|
|55-59<br>1906|2744|5907|8579|8560|8996|9169|9206|
|60-64<br>1480|2201|5313|7669|7947|8546|8738|8772|
|65-69<br>1060|1620|3977|6543|7316|7730|8022|8054|
|70-74<br>763|1154|2724|4806|6179|6611|6896|6940|
|75+<br>731|1099|2523|5638|8849|10084|11069|11304|
|TOTAL<br>67670|89524|119453|137322|144252|148168|150437|150874|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9058|9625|9426|9356|9351|9345|9348|9349|
|5-9<br>8182|9559|9224|9320|9350|9351|9350|9348|
|10-14<br>7451|9226|9151|9354|9365|9355|9349|9346|
|15-19<br>6932|8914|9395|9373|9371|9352|9345|9344|
|20-24<br>6786|8082|9494|9421|9348|9340|9338|9343|
|25-29<br>5827|7331|9518|9352|9298|9327|9340|9344|
|30-34<br>4957|6784|9449|9136|9256|9325|9344|9343|
|35-39<br>3990|6606|9084|9034|9267|9329|9345|9339|
|40-44<br>3164|5633|8723|9228|9250|9318|9333|9326|
|45-49<br>2753|4739|7834|9247|9240|9263|9301|9299|
|50-54<br>2298|3747|6996|9138|9074|9155|9246|9259|
|55-59<br>1987|**2888**|6312|8860|8703|9007|9162|9181|
|60-64<br>1578|2400|5895|8188|8343|8832|9018|9034|
|65-69<br>1163|1854|4676|7339|8058|8468|8712|8726|
|70-74<br>869|1400|3456|5823|7277|7805|8074|8108|
|75+<br>898|1492|3770|8092|12532|14892|16620|17003|
|**TOTAL**<br>67894|90280|122404|140262|147082|151464|154226|154691|
|BIRTH RATE|25.7|18.4|14.9|13.6|13.1|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.0|6.7|9.4|11.7|11.9|12.0|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROJTH RATE|1.88|1.19|.55|.19|.11|.07|.01|
|TOTAL**FERTILITY**|3.105|2.259|2.096|2.088|2.069|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)**-** BOTH SEXES|66.88|71.31|73.54|75.34|77.88|79.50|79.50|
|IM**- BOTH**SEXES|41.7|25.4|17.6|13.6|8.4|5.3|5.3|
LAC DEPARTMENT II
114 COSTA RICA Projection with NRR=1 _bv_ 2005 (thousands)

|AGE GROLtP<br>1985<br>**.**...............................|...|1990<br>.<br>...<br>........|1995<br>..............|2000<br>.............|<br>2005<br>..............|<br>2010<br>...........|<br>2015<br>...........|2020<br>............................|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>2489||2837|3153|3423|3662|<br>3897|<br>4137|4366|<br>4568|<br>4735|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>175||188|182|170|<br>160|<br>164|<br>174|<br>177|<br>174|<br>170|
|5-9<br>156||176|188|181|<br>169|<br>159|<br>164|<br>174|<br>177|<br>174|
|10-14<br>134||157|176|188|<br>181|<br>169|<br>159|164|<br>173|<br>177|
|15-19<br>139||134|<br>157|<br>176|<br>187|<br>181|<br>169|<br>159|<br>163|<br>173|
|20-24<br>136||140|<br>135|<br>156|<br>175|<br>187|<br>180|<br>168|<br>158|<br>163|
|25-29<br>117||138|141|134|<br>155|<br>174|<br>186|179|<br>167|<br>158|
|30-34<br>92||119|138|140|<br>134|<br>155|<br>173|185|<br>179|<br>167|
|35-39<br>70||93|119|138|<br>139|<br>133|<br>154|<br>173|<br>184|<br>178|
|40-44<br>55||71|<br>93|<br>118|<br>136|<br>138|<br>132|<br>153|<br>171|<br>1P3|
|45-49<br>45||55|<br>70|<br>92|<br>117|<br>135|<br>137|<br>131|<br>151|<br>170|
|50-54<br>39||44|53|68|90|114|<br>132|<br>134|<br>128|<br>148|
|55-59<br>32||37|43|51|66|86|<br>110|<br>127|<br>129|<br>123|
|60-64<br>25||30|34|40|48|61|<br>81|103|<br>119|<br>121|
|65-69<br>18||22|26|31|35|43|<br>55|73|93|<br>107|
|70-74<br>13||15|18|22|25|29|<br>36|46|61|<br>78|
|75.<br>13||15|18|22|27|32|<br>38|45|57|<br>75|
|TOTAL<br>1258||1433|1593|1727|<br>1845|<br>1961|<br>2078|2189|<br>2285|<br>2364|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>168||181|175|163|<br>154|<br>158|<br>167|170|<br>167|<br>163|
|5-9<br>149||169|<br>182|<br>175|<br>163|<br>154|<br>158|<br>167|<br>170|<br>167|
|10-14<br>128||150|<br>169|<br>181|<br>175|<br>163|<br>154|<br>158|<br>167|<br>170|
|15-19<br>134||129|<br>151|<br>169|<br>181|<br>175|<br>163|<br>153|<br>158|<br>167|
|20-24<br>130||136|<br>130|<br>150|<br>169|<br>181|<br>175|<br>163|<br>153|<br>157|
|25-29<br>114||132|<br>136|<br>130|<br>150|<br>169|<br>181|<br>175|<br>163|<br>153|
|30-34<br>91||115|<br>133|<br>136|<br>129|<br>150|<br>168|<br>181|<br>174|<br>163|
|35-39<br>70||92|<br>116|<br>132|<br>136|<br>129|<br>150|<br>168|<br>180|<br>174|
|40-44<br>55||70|<br>92|<br>115|<br>132|<br>135|<br>129|<br>149|<br>167|<br>180|
|45-49<br>45||54|<br>70|<br>91|<br>114|<br>131|<br>134|<br>128|<br>148|<br>166|
|50-54<br>38||44|<br>54|<br>69|<br>90|<br>113|<br>129|<br>133|<br>126|<br>147|
|55-59<br>33||37|<br>43|<br>52|<br>67|<br>88|<br>111|<br>127|<br>131|<br>124|
|60-64<br>26||31|<br>36|<br>42|<br>51|<br>65|<br>85|<br>107|<br>123|<br>127|
|65-69<br>19||24|<br>29|<br>34|<br>39|<br>48|<br>61|<br>80|<br>101|<br>117|
|70-74<br>14||17|21|26|30|35|<br>43|55|72|<br>92|
|75+<br>16<br> <br>||20<br>|<br>24<br>|<br>30<br> <br>|<br>37<br> <br>|<br>44<br> <br>|<br>53<br> <br>|<br>64<br>|<br>81<br> <br>|<br>105<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>1231||1404|1560|<br>1696|<br>1817|<br>1937|<br>2059|2177|<br>2283|<br>2372|
|BIRTH RATE||28.1|24.2|20.6|18.0|17.3|17.2|16.6|15.5|14.5|
|DEATH RATE||4.1|4.1|4.2|4.4|4.8|5.3|5.8|6.4|7.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||2.41|2.02|1.64|1.35|1.25|1.20|1.08|.90|.72|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE||2.1|.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRONTH<br>RATE||2.62|2.11|1.64|1.35|1.25|1.20|1.08|.90|.72|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3|.260|2.856|2.501|2.191|2.078|2.076|2.075|2.073|2.071|
|NRR|1|.558|1.369|1.202|1.054|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|etO) - BOTH SEXES|7|3.67|74.21|74.70|75.02|75.34|75.66|75.99|76.32|76.66|
|eClO) - BOTH SEXES|6|5.25|65.65|66.01|66.27|66.54|66.80|67.07|67.34|67.62|
|INR - BOTHSEXES||17.1|15.6|14.2|13.6|13.0|12.3|11.7|11.0|10.4|
|q(S) -BOTH SEXES||0197|0179|0162|0154|0147|0139|0132|0124|0117|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>67.6|.<br>|<br>66.6|.<br> <br>62.2|.<br> <br>55.6|.<br> <br>48.5|.<br> <br>44.4|.<br> <br>43.8|.<br> <br>45.9|.<br> <br>48.6|.<br> <br>50.7|
115 COSTA RICA Projection with NRRm=1 by 2005 (thousards) Sumrry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GRCUP**<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|................<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>..|<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>|.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL NIF<br>2489|3423|4568|5155|<br>5322|<br>5364|5372|<br>5373|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>175|170|174|173|<br>172|172|172|<br>172|
|5-9<br>156|181|177|<br>172|<br>171|<br>171|172|<br>172|
|10-14<br>134|188|173|<br>170|<br>171|<br>171|172|<br>172|
|15-19<br>139|176|163|<br>167|<br>171|<br>172|172|<br>171|
|20-24<br>136|156|158|<br>169|<br>172|<br>172|171|<br>171|
|25-29<br>117|134|167|<br>173|<br>172|<br>171|171|<br>171|
|30-34<br>92|140|179|<br>175|<br>171|<br>170|<br>170|<br>171|
|35-39<br>70|138|184|<br>171|<br>168|<br>169|<br>170|<br>170|
|40-44<br>55|118|171|<br>160|<br>166|<br>169|170|<br>170|
|45-49<br>45|92|151|<br>154|<br>166|<br>169|<br>169|<br>169|
|50-54<br>39|68|128|<br>161|<br>168|<br>167|<br>167|<br>166|
|55.59<br>32|51|129|<br>167|<br>166|<br>162|<br>162|<br>162|
|60-64<br>25|40|119|<br>163|<br>154|<br>152|<br>153|<br>154|
|65-69<br>18|31|93|138|<br>133|<br>138|<br>141|<br>142|
|70-74<br>13|22|61|105|<br>111|<br>120|<br>122|<br>123|
|75+<br>13|22|57|136|<br>193|<br>200|200|<br>200|
|TOTAL<br>1258|<br>1727|<br>2285|<br>2554|<br>2624|<br>2646|<br>2652|<br>2653|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>168|163|167|<br>166|<br>165|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|
|5-9<br>149|175|<br>170|<br>165|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|
|10-14<br>128|181|<br>167|<br>163|<br>163|<br>164|<br>164|<br>164|
|15-19<br>134|169|<br>158|<br>161|<br>164|<br>164|164|<br>164|
|20-24<br>130|150|<br>153|<br>163|<br>165|<br>165|<br>164|<br>164|
|25-29<br>114|130|<br>163|<br>167|<br>166|<br>165|<br>164|<br>164|
|30-34<br>91|136|<br>174|<br>170|<br>165|<br>164|164|<br>164|
|35-.'9<br>70|132|<br>180|<br>167|<br>163|<br>163|<br>164|<br>164|
|40-44<br>55|115|<br>167|<br>157|<br>161|<br>163|<br>164|<br>164|
|45-49<br>45|91|148|<br>152|<br>162|<br>164|164|<br>164|
|50-54<br>38|69|126|<br>160|<br>165|<br>164|<br>163|<br>163|
|55-59<br>33|52|131|<br>169|<br>167|<br>162|<br>161|<br>161|
|60-64<br>26|42|123|<br>171|<br>161|<br>157|<br>158|<br>158|
|65-69<br>19|34|101|<br>152|<br>146|<br>150|<br>153|<br>153|
|70-74<br>14|26|72|123|<br>132|<br>141|<br>143|<br>143|
|75+<br>16|30|81|196|<br>290|<br>302|301|<br>300|
|TOTAL<br>1231|<br>1696|<br>2283|<br>2601|<br>2697|<br>2717|<br>2720|<br>2720|
|BIRTH RATE|24.1|16.8|13.8|12.8|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|4.1|5.4|9.0|11.6|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.12|1.15|.48|.13|.03|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.47|2.096|2.068|2.060|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)**-** BOTH<br>SEXES|74.23|75.70|77.36|79.06|79.50|79.50|79.50|
|INR**-** BOTH SEXES|15.7|12.3|9.I|6.0|5.3|5.3|5.3|
116 EL SALVADOR Projection with NRR=1 by 2015 (thousands)

|**..............**..........................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|...................<br>1990|..............................................<br>1995|...................................<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>4781|5269|5802|6384|6993|7603|<br>8178|8763|<br>9365|<br>9961|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>403|421|427|<br>435|<br>433|<br>420|<br>396|<br>401|<br>420|<br>428|
|5-9<br>382|382|403|<br>413|<br>424|<br>426|<br>415|<br>393|<br>399|<br>418|
|10-14<br>336|372|37'|<br>396|<br>408|<br>421|<br>423|<br>413|<br>392|<br>398|
|15-19<br>278|325|362|<br>366|<br>390|<br>403|<br>418|<br>421|<br>411|<br>391|
|20-24<br>189|257|307|<br>348|<br>356|<br>383|<br>399|<br>415|<br>419|<br>409|
|25-29<br>143|164|<br>236|<br>290|<br>334|<br>347|<br>377|<br>395|<br>411|<br>416|
|30-34<br>120|122|146|220|278|326|342|374|<br>392|<br>409|
|35-39<br>99|103|<br>107|<br>134|<br>210|<br>270|<br>321|<br>338|<br>370|<br>389|
|40-44<br>93|87|93|99|<br>128|<br>204|<br>265|<br>316|<br>333|<br>3f6|
|45-49<br>78|84|79|86|<br>93|<br>123|<br>198|<br>258|<br>309|<br>327|
|50-54<br>66|71|77|73|<br>81|<br>89|117|<br>191|<br>250|<br>300|
|55-59<br>55|60|65|71|<br>68|<br>75|<br>83|<br>111|<br>81|<br>238|
|60-64<br>43|48|53|57|<br>63|<br>61|<br>68|<br>76|<br>101|<br>167|
|65-69<br>32|36|40|44|<br>49|<br>54|<br>52|<br>59|<br>66|<br>89|
|70-74<br>22|24|27|31|<br>34|<br>38|<br>43|<br>42|<br>47|<br>54|
|75+<br>18|22|25|29|<br>34|<br>38|<br>43|<br>49|<br>52|<br>59|
|TOTAL<br>2359|2578|2822|3093|3383|3679|3960|4251|<br>4554|<br>4857|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>388|418|424|432|429|413|389|392|408|<br>414|
|5-9<br>368|373|405|415|425|425|411|388|391|<br>407|
|10-14<br>325|359|366|400|411|423|424|411|387|<br>391|
|15-19<br>270|316|352|360|396|409|422|423|410|<br>387|
|20-24<br>206|254|303|342|353|392|407|421|422|<br>410|
|25-29<br>159|188|239|292|334|349|389|405|420|<br>421|
|30-34<br>136|145|176|230|285|330|346|388|404|<br>419|
|35-39<br>111|126|137|169|225|281|327|344|386|<br>402|
|40-44<br>101|105|120|132|166|222|278|325|342|<br>384|
|45-49<br>86|96|100|117|129|163|219|275|321|<br>339|
|50-54<br>72|82|93|97|113|126|159|214|270|<br>316|
|55-59<br>61|68|78|89|93|109|122|154|209|<br>263|
|_60-4_<br>48|56|63|73|<br>83|88|104|116|148|<br>200|
|65-69<br>37|42|50|57|66|76|81|96|108|<br>137|
|70-74<br>26|30|35|42|48|56|65|70|83|<br>94|
|75+<br>26|31|37|44|53|63|76|90|102|<br>120|
|TOTAL<br>2422|2691|2981|3291|3610|3925|4218|4512|<br>4811|<br>5104|
|BIRTH RATE|36.4|33.2|30.3|27.2|23.9|20.6|19.3|18.7|17.8|
|DEATH RATE|8.5|7.7|7.0|6.4|6.0|5.6|5.5|5.4|5.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.79|2.55|2.34|2.08|1.79|1.50|1.38|1.33|1.23|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|-8.5|-6.2|-4.2|-2.6|-1.2|-. 4|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|1.95|1.93|1.91|1.82|1.67|1.46|1.38|1.33|1.23|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>4|.859|4.163|3.566|3.055|2.617|2.242|2.108|2.099|2.093|
|NRR<br>2|.152|1.880|1.636|1.417|1.225|1.057|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|2.15|63.84|65.41|66.88|68.24|69.52|70.80|71.98|73.09|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES<br>5|8.27|59.20|60.09|60.96|61.77|62.55|63.34|64.12|64.88|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|62.2|54.9|48.2|42.4|36.9|31.9|27.0|22.8|19.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0838|.0726|.0624|.0539|.0460|.0390|.0324|.0270|.0223|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>97.8|91.0|82.0|75.1|<br>67.3|<br>60.1|<br>52.6|<br>47.0|<br>43.9|<br>43.3|
117 EL SALVADOR Projection with NRR=1 by 2015 tthousands) Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALH+F<br>4781|6384|9365|11753|12631|13008|13166|13202|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>403|435|420|417|420|422|422|423|
|5-9<br>382|413|399|413|419|422|422|422|
|10-14<br>336|396|392|416|421|422|422|422|
|15-19<br>278|<br>36b|411|<br>422|<br>421|<br>421|<br>421|<br>421|
|20-24<br>189|<br>348|419|<br>423|<br>417|<br>419|<br>420|<br>421|
|25-29<br>143|<br>290|411|<br>412|<br>412|<br>417|<br>420|<br>420|
|30-34<br>120|220|392|390|407|416|419|420|
|35-39<br>99|134|370|382|408|416|419|419|
|40-44<br>93|99|333|398|412|415|416|417|
|45-49<br>78|86|309|401|409|409|412|414|
|50-54<br>66|73|250|386|392|398|405|408|
|55-59<br>55|71|181|353|360|384|394|398|
|60-64<br>43|57|101|312|332|367|377|379|
|65-69<br>32|44|66|251|314|340|346|348|
|70-74<br>22|31|47|195|269|292|297|299|
|75+<br>18|29|52|<br>181|<br>371|<br>438|<br>475|<br>486|
|TOTAL<br>2359|3093|4554|5752|6186|6397|6490|6516|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>388|432|408|402|403|404|404|404|
|5-9<br>368|415|391|400|403|404|404|404|
|10-14<br>325|400|387|403|405|405|404|404|
|15-19<br>270|360|410|410|407|404|404|404|
|20-24<br>206|<br>342|<br>422|<br>412|<br>405|<br>403|<br>403|<br>404|
|25-29<br>159|<br>292|<br>420|<br>405|<br>400|<br>402|<br>403|<br>404|
|30-34<br>136|230|404|388|398|403|404|404|
|35-39<br>111|169|386|384|400|405|404|404|
|40-44<br>101|132|342|405|406|405|404|403|
|45-49<br>86|117|321|413|407|402|402|402|
|50-54<br>72|97|270|406|396|396|399|400|
|55-59<br>61|<br>89|<br>209|<br>383|<br>374|389|396|397|
|60-64<br>48|73|148|354|360|385|391|391|
|65-69<br>**37**|57|108|295|362|376|379|**377**|
|70-74<br>26|42|83|248|337|350|351|350|
|75+<br>26|44|102|293|582|678|725|736|
|TOTAL<br>2422|3291|4811|6001|6446|6611|6676|6686|
|BIRTH RATE|33.1|21.6|15.8|13.6|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.7|5.7|6.8|10.8|11.8|12.2|12.5|
|NET HIGRATION RATE|-6.2|-. 7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.93|1.53|.91|.29|.12|.05|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.133|2.384|2.088|2.076|2.063|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|63.90|69.68|73.97|76.15|78.51|79.50|79.50|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|55.1|32.4|17.1|12.2|7.2|5.3|5.3|
118

# GUATEMALA Projection with NRR-1 by 2025 (thousands)

|, .**...**.....<br>..........<br>......<br> <br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|..........|<br>.....<br>1990|........<br>....<br>1995|.......................................<br> <br>2000|<br>2005|2010|......<br>2015|..........<br>...<br> <br>2020|...<br>.......<br>..<br> <br>2025|........<br>..<br>.<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>7973||9209|10523|<br>11930|<br>13436|14989|<br>16529|<br>18008|<br>19338|<br>20622|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>727||815|854|899|942|971|972|941|<br>891|<br>898|
|5-9<br>621||703|794|837|<br>885|930|961|965|<br>936|<br>886|
|10-14<br>516||612|695|<br>786|<br>830|880|925|958|<br>962|<br>933|
|15-19<br>431||507|603|686|779|824|874|921|<br>954|<br>958|
|20-24<br>359||416|493|590|675|768|815|868|<br>915|<br>948|
|25-29<br>286||341|400|478|576|663|758|<br>808|<br>861|<br>909|
|30-34<br>236||271|327|387|466|566|653|751|<br>801|<br>855|
|35-39<br>181||223|259|316|<br>377|457|557|646|<br>744|<br>794|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>148||<br>171|<br>213|<br>249|<br> <br>307|<br>368|<br>448|<br>548|<br> <br> <br>637|<br><br> <br>_734_|
|45-49<br>128||139|162|204|<br>240|297|358|438|<br>537|<br>625|
|50-54<br>116||120|131|154|<br>19f|230|286|345|<br>423|<br>520|
|55-59<br>94||106|110|122|<br>143|182|216|270|<br>327|<br>401|
|60-64<br>69||83|<br>95|<br>99|110|130|166|<br>198|<br>247|<br>300|
|65-69<br>46||**58**|70|80|85|94|112|144|<br>172|<br>216|
|70-74<br>31||35|44|55|63|67|75|90|116|<br>139|
|75+<br>29||33|38|47|58|70|78|88|104|<br>131|
|TOTAL<br>4020||4633|5286|5988|<br>6731|7496|8254|8979|<br>9626|<br>10247|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>708||793|829|871|918|946|946|916|<br>866|<br>872|
|5-9<br>603||689|776|816|862|912|941|944|<br>914|<br>864|
|10-14<br>499||594|681|<br>770|<br>811|<br>859|909|940|<br>943|<br>913|
|15-19<br>419||490|586|674|<br>764|807|855|908|939|942|
|20-24<br>349||405|477|575|666|758|802|853|906|937|
|25-29<br>280||333|390|465|565|658|751|799|<br>851|904|
|30-34<br>233||268|321|380|457|559|652|748|<br>797|<br>849|
|35-39<br>181||223|258|313|373|451|553|649|745|794|
|40-44<br>148||174|216|252|307|368|446|549|644|741|
|45-49<br>130||142|168|210|246|301|362|440|543|638|
|50-54<br>117||124|137|162|<br>204|240|295|<br>355|432|534|
|55-59<br>96||110|118|130|<br>156|197|232|286|<br>345|421|
|60-64<br>72||88|102|110|<br>122|147|186|221|273|331|
|65-69<br>49||63|<br>78|91|99|111|134|171|204|254|
|70-74<br>34||40|52|64|76|84|95|<br>116|149|179|
|75+<br>34<br>||40<br>|48<br>|<br>61<br>|78<br>|97|114|132|160|<br>202|
|TOTAL<br>3953||4576|5237|5942|<br>6705|7493|8275|9029|9712|<br>10375|
|BIRTH RATE||40.7|36.6|33.4|30.7|28.1|25.2|22.2|19.3|18.1|
|DEATH RATE||8.8|7.6|6.6|5.8|5.4|5.1|5.0|5.0|5.3|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||3.19|2.90|2.68|2.50|2.27|2.00|1.71|1.43|1.29|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE||-3.0|-2.3|-1.7|-1.2|-. 8|-.5|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||2.88|2.67|2.51|2.38|2.19|1.96|1.71|1.43|1.28|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5|.770|5.031|4.387|3.826|3.336|2.909|2.536|2.212|2.094|
|NRR|2|.470|2.208|1.966|1.767|1.558|1.369|1.201|1.052|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|6|1.18|63.34|65.39|67.70|68.95|70.03|70.98|71.79|72.53|
|e(tO)- BOTH SEXES|5|7.66|58.84|59.96|61.34|62.10|62.81|63.43|63.99|64.50|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES<br>||65.6|56.1|47.4|38.3|33.4|29.5|26.2|23.4|21.1|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.|0894|.0746|.0610|.0477|.0408|.0356|.0313|.0277|.0248|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>95.6||94.5|89.1|<br>82.0|<br>73.9|67.1|61.0|55.2|<br>49.7|<br>45.9|
119 GUATENALA Projection with **NRR*1** by 2025 (thousands) Su mry for 25 Year Perlods

|**AGE GRCUP**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............................................................................|............................|||||||
|TOTALMIF<br>7973|11930|19338|25022|27679|28598|29247|29388|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>727|**_899_**|891|939|945|942|941|940|
|5-9<br>621|837|936|953|945|940|940|940|
|10-14<br>516|786|962|959|940|937|938|939|
|15-19<br>431|686|954|926|928|934|937|938|
|20-24<br>359|590|915|885|920|933|938|938|
|25-29<br>286|478|861|872|925|936|937|936|
|30-34<br>236|387|801|914|937|935|934|934|
|35-39<br>181|316|744|935|940|927|929|931|
|4-44<br>148|249|637|920|901|912|924|927|
|45-49<br>128|204|537|87n|854|898|918|923|
|50-54<br>116|154|423|802|826|890|910|911|
|55-59<br>94|122|327|716|836|876|857|886|
|60-64<br>69|99|247|620|804|834|839|841|
|65-69<br>46|80|172|474|715|731|761|771|
|70-74<br>31|55|116|332|573|595|651|666|
|75+<br>29|47|104|315|727|927|1059|1088|
|TOTAL<br>4020|5988|9626|12434|13715|14148|14442|14510|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>708|871|866|900|905|901|900|899|
|5-9<br>603|816|914|915|907|901|899|899|
|iO-14<br>499|770|943|923|902|898|898|899|
|15-19<br>419|674|939|901|892|896|898|899|
|20-24<br>349|575|906|866|887|897|900|900|
|25-29<br>280|465|851|858|893|901|901|899|
|30-34<br>233|380|797|903|907|903|900|898|
|35-39<br>181|313|745|928|912|897|897|897|
|40-44<br>148|252|644|919|887|885|894|896|
|45-49<br>130|210|543|879|846|876|893|896|
|50-54<br>117|162|432|813|828|876|893|893|
|55-59<br>96|130|345|742|855|879|887|884|
|60-64<br>72|110|273|666|850|863|867|867|
|65-69<br>49|91|204|536|793|803|827|836|
|70-74<br>34|64|149|397|680|704|763|779|
|75+<br>34|61|160|441|1018|1368|1588|<br>1637|
|**TOTAL**<br>3953|5942|9712|12588|13964|14451|14805|<br>14879|
|BIRTH RATE|36.6|24.5|16.8|14.1|13.2|12.8|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.6|5.2|6.7|10.1|11.9|11.9|12.4|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.3|-.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.69|1.93|1.03|.40|.13|.09|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.985|2.866|2.105|2.097|2.075|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)**-** BOTH SEXES|63.49|70.09|72.68|74.56|77.21|79.38|79.50|
|<br>**1**R- BOTH SEXES|56.1|30.3|20.4|15.9|10.0|5.5|5.3|
120 HONDURAS Projectfon wlth NRRSl by 2020 (thousands)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|l990|1995|2000|2005|2010<br>2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||....<br>...<br>**...**.<br>...|.**..**<br>...<br>**.**...<br>..<br>..<br>...|....<br>...<br>...|.<br>...<br>...<br>....|...<br>...<br>....<br>...<br>...|............|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL**N+F**<br>4382|5156|5984|6835|7689|8526<br>9323|10046|<br>10747|<br>11444|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>398|457|488|504|511|510<br>499|475|478|496|
|5-9<br>334|391|451|482|soo|507<br>507|496|472|476|
|10-14<br>302|**332**|<br>**389**|<br>449|<br>480|496<br>505|505|495|<br>471|
|15-19<br>246|299|329|387|446|478<br>496|503|503|493|
|20-24<br>195|243|296|326|384|443<br>475|492|500|S00|
|2529<br>154|192|240|293|323|380<br>439|471|489|<br>497|
|30-34<br>123|152|<br>190|237|290|320<br>377|436|467|486|
|35-39<br>100|121|<br>149|<br>187|<br>234|287<br>317|<br>n7|3<br>432|464|
|40-44<br>82|98|118|<br>146|<br>184|230<br>282|312|<br>368|<br>427|
|45-49<br>69|79|95|<br>115|143|179<br>225|276|306|362|
|50-54<br>57|66|76|91|<br>110|137<br>173|<br>218|<br>268|<br>297|
|55-59<br>47|53|61|<br>71|<br>85|104<br>130|<br>164|<br>207|255|
|60-64<br>37|42|48|<br>55|64|78<br>95|<br>119|150|190|
|65-69<br>29|31|<br>36|41|<br>48|56<br>67|83|104|132|
|70-74<br>21|22|24|<br>28|<br>32|38<br>45|54|67|84|
|75+<br>20|23|25|28|32|37<br>44|52|63|77|
|TOTAL<br>2212|2600|3015|3441|3867|4282<br>4675|5029|5370|5708|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>360|442|472|<br>488|<br>494|494<br>484|460|463|480|
|5-9<br>319|375|438|468|<br>486|492<br>493|483|459|463|
|10-14<br>289|317|374|436|467|485<br>491|492|483|459|
|15-19<br>257<br>|287|316|372|<br>435|466<br>484|491|492|482|
|20-24<br>191|254|285|314|371|433<br>465|483|490|491|
|25-29<br>152|189|<br>252|283|312|369<br>432|463|481|<br>489|
|30-34<br>122|1SO|<br>187|250|281|310<br>367|430|462|480|
|35-39<br>98|120|<br>148|185|<br>248|279<br>308|365|428|460|
|40-44<br>81|96|l18|<br>146|<br>183|245<br>277|306|363|426|
|45 49<br>68|79|94|116|<br>143|180<br>242|273|<br>303|359|
|50-54<br>**56**|66|77|<br>91|<br>113|140<br>176|<br>237|<br>269|298|
|55-59<br>47|54|63|73|88|109<br>135|171|231|262|
|60-64<br>38|43|<br>50|<br>59|<br>69|83<br>103|129|<br>163|221|
|65-69<br>30|33|38|45|53|63<br>76|95|<br>119|152|
|70-74<br>21|24|28|32|38|45<br>54|66|83|104|
|75+<br>22|25|30|35|41|50<br>60|73|<br>89|112|
|TOTAL<br>2170|2556|2969|3394|3822|4244<br>4648|5018|5378|5737|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|40.2|36.4|32.4|28.8|25.r<br>22.7|19.8|18.6|18.0|
|DEATH RATE<br>|7.6|6.6|5.8|5.2|5.0<br>4.9|4.9|5.1|5.4|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.<br>|3.25|2.98|2.66|2.35|2.07<br>1.79|.50|1.35|1.26|
|**NET**MIGRATION<br>RATE|0||||<br>||||
|<br>|.|.0|.0|.0|.0<br>.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>|3.25|2.98|2.66|2.35|2.07<br>1.79|1.50|1.35|1.26|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>5|.550|4.768|4.097|3.520<br>3|.024<br>2.598|2.232|2.101|2.094|
|NRR<br>2|.441|2.142|1.873|1.629<br>|1.414<br>1.224|1.058|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)<br>BOTHSEXES<br>6|3.97|65.72|67.25|68.62<br>6|9.64<br>70.58|71.43|72.22|72.92|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES<br>5|9.17|60.15|61.02|61.84<br>|62.51<br>63.14|63.71|64.26|64.76|
|IMR**-** BOTH SEXES<br> <br> <br>|53.3<br>|46.0|39.6|34.2|30.6<br>27.3|24.4|21.8|19.7|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0703|.0589|.0495|.0419<br>.|0370<br>.0328|.0289|.0257|.0230|
|DEP. RATIO<br>97.5|92.2|87.5|80.0|70.6|62.4<br>55.4|49.7|45.8|44.2|
121

# HODURAS Projection with WRRaI by 2020 (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|.........<br>................<br>AGEGROUP<br>1965|.................<br>2000|...............<br>2025|.....................<br>2050|2075|.....<br> <br>2100|......<br>...<br>....<br> <br>2125|....<br>.....<br>.... .<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...................<br>............|...........................||.|..<br>....<br>.....<br>.|.......<br>............|..............|....<br>...|
|TOTAL<br>NF<br>4382|6835|10747|<br>13632|<br>14811|<br>15181|<br>15454|<br>15526|
|IALES||||||||
|0-4<br>398|504|478|489|494|497|497|497|
|5-9<br>334|482|472|490|495|496|497|497|
|10-14<br>302|449|495|496|495|495|<br>496|496|
|15-19<br>246|387|503|498|492|493|<br>495|496|
|20-24<br>195|326|500|489|486|491|495|495|
|25-29<br>154|293|489|469|482|490|494|495|
|30-34<br>123|237|467|<br>462|482|490|493|<br>494|
|35-39<br>100|187|432|<br>482|486|489|491|492|
|40-44<br>82|146|368|486|485|484|<br>488|<br>490|
|45-49<br>69|115|306|478|472|475|483|<br>487|
|50-54<br>57|91|268|457|445|464|476|480|
|55-59<br>47|71|207|420|424|451|<br>464|468|
|60-64<br>37|55|150|362|416|432|<br>44Z|445|
|65-69<br>29|41|104|276|380|394|<br>404|407|
|70-74<br>21|28|67|192|316|330|<br>344|<br>350|
|75+<br>20|28|63|203|425|493|553|<br>571|
|TOTAL<br>2212|3441|5370|6747|7276|<br>7464|<br>7613|<br>7661|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>380|488|463|472|475|476|476|475|
|5-9<br>319|468|459|474|477|476|<br>475|475|
|10-14<br>289|436|483|481|<br>478|476|<br>475|475|
|15-19<br>257|372|<br>492|484|476|475|<br>475|475|
|20-24<br>191|314|490|478|472|474|<br>475|475|
|25-29<br>152|283|481|460|470|474|<br>475|475|
|30-34<br>122|250|462|456|472|476|<br>476|475|
|35-39<br>98|185|428|478|478|476|<br>475|475|
|40-44<br>81|146|363|485|479|474|<br>474|474|
|45-49<br>68|116|303|479|471|468|<br>472|473|
|50-54<br>56|91|269|465|449|463|<br>470|471|
|55-59<br>47|73|<br>231|437|<br>438|459|467|467|
|60-64<br>38|59|163|391|446|455|<br>460|459|
|65-69<br>30|<br>45|119|312|430|439|443|443|
|70-74<br>21|32|83|232|386|398|<br>408|411|
|75+<br>22|35|89|300|_638_|<br>758|<br>845|<br>865|
|TOTAL<br>2170|<br>3394|5378|6885|7535|<br>7717|<br>7841|<br>7865|
|BIRTH RATE|35.9|22.7|16.1|13.7|13.1|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.6|5.0|6.8|10.5|12.1|12.0|12.4|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWlTH<br>RATE|2.96|1.81|.95|.33|.10|.07|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.715|2.613|2.090|2.078|2.067|2.059|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH<br>SEXES|65.81|70.66|73.71|75.65|77.73|79.41|79.50|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|46.1|27.8|17.9|13.4|8.9|5.4|5.3|
122 MEXICO Projection with NURRU by 2010 (thousands)

|.............<br>............................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|......................................<br> <br>1990|.....................................<br> <br>1995|...<br> <br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|......................................|.......................||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>78524|87279|<br>96855|<br>106776|<br>116269|<br>124853|<br>132934|<br>140871|<br>148442|<br>155384|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6037|5653|6059|6240|6133|5791|5731|<br>5895|6002|<br>6015|
|5-9<br>5605|5946|5584|6004|6193|6095|5759|5703|5869|<br>5982|
|10-14<br>5338|5561|5909|5557|5980|6172|6076|5743|5689|<br>5858|
|15-19<br>4569|5286|5518|5874|5528|5954|6147|6054|5724|<br>5674|
|20-24<br>3785|4481|5210|5458|5819|5483|5912|<br>6109|6020|<br>5699|
|25-29<br>3083|3680|4391|5138|5393|5762|5436|5868|6068|<br>5990|
|30-34<br>2484|2991|3601|4327|5076|5339|5713|5394|5827|<br>6036|
|35-39<br>1903|2408|2924|3544|4270|5022|5289|<br>5665|5351|<br>5790|
|40-44<br>1514|1839|2347|2869|3487|4212|4961|5230|5606|<br>53'Z|
|45-49<br>1266|1457|1782|<br>2288|2805|3418|4136|4877|5145|<br>5320|
|50-54<br>1060|1207|1396|<br>1717|<br>2211|<br>2719|<br>3320|<br>4022|<br>4745|<br>5012|
|55-59<br>813|991|1134|<br>1318|<br>1626|2103|2591|<br>3168|3841|<br>4539|
|60-64<br>664|735|900|1036|<br>1210|1500|1944|<br>2400|2937|<br>3568|
|65-69<br>451|570|634|782|905|1063|1323|<br>1718|<br>2124|<br>2606|
|70-74<br>342|355|452|507|631|736|868|1083|<br>1410|<br>1749|
|75+<br>373|402|430|515|600|736|881|1049|<br>1289|<br>1648|
|TOTAL<br>39287|43561|<br>48271|53173|<br>57865|62106|66089|69977|<br>73647|<br>76986|
|FEKALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5842|5508|5891|6054|5938|5597|5535|<br>5692|5797|<br>5805|
|5-9<br>5421|5785|5467|5861|6030|5919|5581|<br>5522|5682|<br>5791|
|10-14<br>5164|5390|5762|5451|5848|6019|5909|<br>5573|<br>5516|<br>5679|
|15-19<br>4426|5131|5365|5743|5436|5836|6008|5900|5567|<br>5512|
|20-24<br>3694|4373|<br>5089|5335|5718|5417|5817|<br>5992|5888|<br>5561|
|25-29<br>3062|3633|4324|5053|5305|5693|5394|5798|5977|<br>5880|
|30-34<br>2505|3010|3591|4291|5023|5280|5669|5374|<br>5781|<br>5965|
|35-39<br>1954|2463|2973|<br>3561|4263|4995|5254|5645|<br>5355|<br>5765|
|40-44<br>1586|<br>1920|2430|2944|3531|4232|4964|<br>5224|5617|<br>5332|
|45-49<br>1348|<br>1554|1887|<br>2396|2908|3492|4190|4919|5181|<br>5573|
|50-54<br>1140|<br>1312|<br>1518|<br>1849|<br>2352|<br>2858|<br>3437|4128|4851|<br>5112|
|55-59<br>892|<br>1097|<br>1267|<br>1470|<br>1795|<br>2289|<br>2786|<br>3355|<br>4035|<br>4746|
|60-64<br>754|840|1038|<br>1205|<br>1402|1718|2195|2678|3230|<br>3891|
|65-69<br>534|684|767|953|<br>1111|<br>1300|<br>1597|<br>2047|<br>2504|<br>3027|
|70-74<br>420|452|585|661|827|971|1141|<br>1407|<br>1810|<br>2221|
|_75._<br>496|565|632|776|918|1133|1369|<br>1639|<br>2006|<br>2539|
|TOTAL<br>39237|43718|<br>48585|<br>53603|<br>58404|62748|66845|70894|<br>74795|<br>78398|
|BIRTH RATE|28.1|26.9|24.9|22.2|19.3|17.9|17.3|16.6|15.8|
|DEATH RATE|5.5|5.1|4.9|4.8|4.8|5.1|5.5|6.0|6.7|
|RATE OFHAT.INC.|2.26|2.18|2.01|1.75|1.46|1.28|1.18|1.06|.91|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.5|-1.0|-. 5|-. 4|-.3|-. 2|-. 2|-. 1|.0|
|GRWiTH<br>RATE|2.11|2.08|1.95|1.70|1.42|1.25|1.16|1.05|.91|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.580|3.168|2.804|2.481|2.196|2.091|2.086|2.082|2.080|
|NRR|1.665|1.487|1.325|1.179|1.047|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|68.61|69.85|70.99|71.95|72.84|73.41|73.84|74.19|74.52|
|e10)- BOTH SEXES|61.90|62.68|63.42|64.06|64.69|65.09|65.40|65.66|65.92|
|INR - BOTHSEXES|34.7|30.0|26.0|22.6|19.8|18.1|16.8|15.8|15.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.0427|.0363|.0310|.0266|.0232|.0210|.0194|.0181|.0173|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>84.8|<br>73.1|<br>65.0|<br>58.4|<br>54.7|<br>49.8|<br>45.8|<br>44.0|<br>44.5|<br>45.9|
123

# **KEXICO** Projection with **NRR-1** by 2010 (thousards)

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|**GE****_GRPOW_**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALFIF<br>78524|106776|148442|173344|180635|184476|186178|186564|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6037|6240|6002|5930|5940|5963|5968|5969|
|5-9<br>5605|6004|5869|5871|5924|5960|5966|5965|
|10-14<br>5338|5557|5689|5859|5930|5959|5964|5962|
|15-19<br>4569|5874|5724|5905|5939|5951|5957|5955|
|20-24<br>3785|5458|6020|5950|5921|5928|5944|5945|
|25-29<br>3083|5138|6068|5910|5864|5899|5931|5936|
|30-34<br>2484|4327|5827|5770|5799|5878|5922|5928|
|35-39<br>1903|3544|5351|5570|5769|5872|5911|5916|
|40-44<br>1514|2869|5606|5571|5788|5863|5888|5894|
|45-49<br>1266|22e8|5145|5801|5787|5811|5835|5849|
|50-54<br>1060|1717|4745|5737|<br>5657|5684|5737|<br>5768|
|55-59<br>813|1318|3841|5313|5354|5475|5576|5617|
|60-64<br>664|1036|2937|4580|4888|5190|5317|5353|
|65-69<br>451|782|2124|4320|4448|4786|4895|4916|
|70-74<br>342|507|1410|3339|3955|<br>4142|4216|4233|
|75+<br>373|<br>515|1289|3919|5783|<br>6427|67m|6884|
|TOTAL<br>39287|53173|<br>73647|<br>85345|88746|90790|91799|92091|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>5842|6054|5797|5709|5699|5702|5707|5708|
|5-9<br>5421|5861|5682|5666|5695|5706|5709|5708|
|10-14<br>5164|5451|5516|5666|5710|5713|5710|5707|
|15-19<br>4426|<br>5743|5567|5724|<br>5731|<br>5715|5707|5706|
|20-24<br>3694|5335|5888|5789|5730|<br>5707|5703|5704|
|25-29<br>3062|5053|5977|5773|5694|5693|5699|5704|
|30-34<br>2505|4291|5781|5655|5649|5688|5702|5705|
|35-39<br>1954|3561|5355|5479|5641|5700|5707|5703|
|40-44<br>1586|2944|5617|5511|5687|5714|5704|5696|
|45-49<br>1348|2396|5181|5796|5728|<br>5698|5683|<br>5679|
|50-54<br>1140|1849|4851|5824|5669|5634|5643|5650|
|55-59<br>892|1470|4035|5534|5477|5535|5589|5603|
|60-64<br>754|1205|3230|4974|5181|5430|5510|5517|
|65-69<br>534|953|<br>2504|4938|4981|5282|5342|5333|
|70-74<br>420|661|<br>1810|4107|4795|4943|4967|4954|
|75+<br>496|776|2006|5854|8823|9825|10298|<br>10397|
|TOTAL<br>39237|53603|74795|87999|91889|93686|94380|94473|
|BIRTH RATE|26.5|18.5|14.5|13.3|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.1|5.3|8.4|11.6|12.0|12.3|12.5|
|**NET**MIGRATIOI<br>RATE|-1.0|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.32|.62|.16|.08|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.142|2.180|2.077|2.069|2.061|2.058|2.058|
|**e(O)**<br>**-** BOTH SEXES|69.90|73.32|75.20|76.91|78.74|79.50|79.50|
|<br>**INR-** BOTH SEXES|30.1|18.7|13.7|10.2|6.7|5.3|5.3|
124

# NICARAGtA Projection with NREuI by 2025 (thousands)

|. .,......<br>___.............................<br>**AGE**<br>GROUP<br>1985|1990|...<br>....<br>._...<br>1995|................<br>2000|.............................<br>2005|2010|..<br> <br>2015|.....<br>2020|..<br>..........<br> <br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|............................................||..........|...............................................|................................|||||_.___|
|TOTAL N+F<br>3276|3865|4486|5135|5807|6489|7163|7r98|8367|<br>8910|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>301|350|370|386|401|413|415|405|384|<br>385|
|5-9<br>253|295|344|365|383|396|410|413|403|<br>382|
|10-14<br>218|251|293|342|363|381|<br>397|408|412|<br>402|
|15-19<br>182|216|249|<br>291|340|361|379|395|<br>407|<br>410|
|20-24<br>151|<br>179|213|246|288|337|359|377|393|<br>404|
|25-29<br>122|<br>148|<br>176|<br>210|<br>244|285|334|356|374|<br>390|
|30-34<br>99|119|<br>145|<br>174|<br>208|241|<br>283|332|353|<br>371|
|35-39<br>73|<br>**97**|117|<br>143|171|205|<br>238|280|<br>328|<br>350|
|40-44<br>s7|71|95|114|140|168|<br>202|235|<br>276|<br>325|
|45-49<br>48|55|69|92|111|137|<br>165|198|<br>230|<br>271|
|50-54<br>39|46|52|<br>66|88|107|<br>132|159|<br>191|<br>223|
|55-59<br>32|36|42|<br>49|62|83|101|125|<br>151|<br>1|
|60-64<br>24|29|32|38|44|56|76|92|114|<br>1|
|65-69<br>17|20|24|28|33|38|48|66|81|1|
|70-74<br>11|13|16|19|22|26|30|39|53||
|75.<br>9|11|14|17|20|24|29|35|44||
|TOTAL<br>1637|1935|2249|2578|2918|3261|359s|3913|4194|<br>44|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>291|338|<br>357|373|<br>387|396|<br>401|391|371|<br>3|
|5-9<br>245|285|333|353|370|385|396|400|390|<br>3|
|10-14<br>212|243|284|332|352|369|384|396|399|<br>3|
|15-19<br>180|210|241|282|330|351|368|383|395|<br>3|
|20-24<br>1SO|<br>177|208|239|280|329|349|367|382|<br>3|
|25-29<br>123|147|<br>175|205|238|279|<br>327|348|366|<br>381|
|30-34<br>102|121|145|173|204|236|277|326|347|<br>364|
|35-39<br>75|100|<br>119|143|171|202|234|275|324|<br>345|
|-44<br>59|73|9g|117|<br>141|169|<br>199|232|273|<br>322|
|45-49<br>so|57|71|96|114|138|<br>166|197|<br>229|<br>270|
|50-54<br>43|48|55|69|93|111|<br>135|162|<br>193|<br>225|
|55-59<br>35<br>|41<br>|46<br>|<br>53<br>|66<br>|89<br>|107|130|<br>157|<br>187|
|60-64<br>28|32|38|43|49|62|84|102|<br>124|<br>150|
|65-69<br>20|25|29|34|38|44|56|77|94|1|
|70-74<br>13|16<br>|20<br>|24|28|32|38|48|67|81|
|75+<br>12<br>|15|<br>19|24|29|35|42|so|63|85|
|TOTAL<br>1639|1930|2237|2557|2889|3228|3565|3884|4174|<br>4451|
|BIRTH RATE|41.7|37.2|33.3|30.2|27.4|24.8|21.9|19.2|18.0|
|DEATH RATC|8.4|7.2|.6.2|5.6|5.2|5.0|5.0|5.1|5.4|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|3.33|3.00|.71|2.46|2.22|1.98|1.70|1.41|1.26|
|**NET**<br>MIGRATION<br>RATE|<br>-. 3|_-. 2_|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|3.31|2.98|2.70|2.46|2.22|1.97|1.70|1.41|1.26|
|**TOTAL**<br>FERTILITY|**5.S00**|4.830|4.241|3.724<br>3|.271|2.8n<br>2|.522|2.215|2.102|
|HRR|2.352|2.115|1.897|1.695<br>|1.509|1.339<br>|1.186|1.048|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|61.45|63.56|65.53|67.27<br>6|8.55|69.70<br>|70.69|71.58|72.36|
|**e{10)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|57.79|58.94|60.02|61.01<br>6|1.78|62.53<br>6|3.1i|63.80|64.34|
|**INR**- BOTH SEXES|64.2|54.9|46.7|39.4|34.4|30.2|26.7|23.7|21.3|
|q(S)- BOTHSEXES|.0873|.0729|.0599|.0492<br>.|0421|.0365<br>.|0320|.0280|.0250|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>95.7|<br>93.0|88.0|80.8|71.7|64.5|<br>58.6|53.8|<br>49.2|<br>46.0|
125

## HICARAUA Projection with **NIRRal** by 2025 (thouswns)

# Su u.ry for 25 Year Periods

|......<br>.........<br>**AGEGRCUP**|.........................<br> 195|........................................<br>2000|...........................<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>**NIF**|3276|5135|8367|10776|<br>11864|<br>12155|<br>12402|<br>12490|
|HALES|||||||||
|0-4|301|<br>386|384|<br>397|400|400|400|<br>400|
|5-9|253|365|403|401|<br>399|399|400|<br>400|
|10-14|218|<br>342|412|<br>402|397|397|399|<br>400|
|15-19|182|291|407|395|393|396|399|<br>399|
|20-24|151|<br>246|393|380|<br>390|<br>395|398|<br>399|
|25-29|122|210|374|376|391|396|397|<br>398|
|30-34|99|174|<br>353|394|<br>395|395|396|<br>397|
|35-39|73|143|<br>328|401|<br>394|391|<br>394|<br>396|
|40-44|57|114|<br>276|393|385|386|391|<br>394|
|45-49|48|92|230|<br>375|<br>367|380|388|<br>392|
|50-54|39|66|191|<br>350|357|375|384|<br>386|
|ss-59|32|49|151|317|361|367|374|<br>376|
|60-64|24|38|114|275|345|348|353|<br>357|
|65-69|17|<br>28|81|206|305|309|320|<br>327|
|70-74|11|<br>19|<br>53|143|<br>246|253|274|<br>282|
|75+|9|17|44|146|318|391|440|<br>459|
|TOTAL|1637|2578|4194|5351|<br>5841|<br>5978|<br>6107|<br>6161|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|291|373|371|383|384|383|383|<br>383|
|5-9|245|353|390|388|385|383|382|<br>383|
|10-14|212|332|399|390|383|382|382|<br>383|
|15-19|180|282|395|384|380|381|382|<br>383|
|20-24|150|239|382|371|379|382|383|<br>383|
|25-29|123|205|366|369|381|383|383|<br>383|
|30-34|102|173|347|388|386|384|383|<br>382|
|35-39|75|143|324|395|387|382|382|<br>382|
|40-44|59|117|273|389|380|378|381|<br>382|
|45-49|50|96|229|374|365|375|380|<br>381|
|50-54|43|69|193|353|360|375|380|<br>380|
|55-59|35|53|157|328|372|375|377|<br>376|
|60-64|28|43|124|295|<br>368|<br>367|368|<br>369|
|65-69|20|34|94|234|'344|<br>345|352|<br>356|
|70-74|13|24|67|174|<br>a98|304|325|<br>331|
|75+|12|24|63|211|470|<br>597|<br>672|<br>695|
|TOTAL|1639|<br>2557|<br>4174|5425|<br>6023|<br>6177|<br>6294|<br>6329|
|BIRTH RATE||37.0|24.2|16.5|13.9|13.1|12.8|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.1|5.1|6.5|10.0|12.2|12.0|12.4|
|METNIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||3.00|1.95|1.01|.38|.10|.08|.03|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|4.784|2.833|2.090|2.076|2.068|2.060|2.058|
|**e8O)**<br>**- BOTH**<br>|<br>SEXES|63.72|69.77|73.59|75.51|77.25|79.04|79.50|
|**IR-** BOTH S|EXES|55.0|31.0|17.8|13.0|9.5|6.1|5.3|
126 PAWA Projection with MRR-1 by 2005 (thousands)

|,.....<br>........<br>. ....<br>...........<br>AGEGR0UP<br>1985|.....................<br>1990|1995|....<br>.....<br>**2000**|.......................................<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................................................................|........................................|||||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>2180|2412|2638|2854|3053|3245|3432|3608|3765|<br>3901|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>142|149|147|144|138|138|144|145|<br>144|<br>142|
|5-9<br>139|141|148|146|144|137|138|143|<br>145|<br>144|
|10-14<br>133|138|140|148|146|144|137|138|<br>143|<br>145|
|15-19<br>122|132|138|140|147|146|143|<br>137|<br>137|<br>143|
|20-24<br>108|121|131|137|139|147|145|143|<br>136|<br>137|
|25-29<br>93|107|120|<br>130|<br>136|<br>139|<br>146|<br>144|<br>142|<br>136|
|30-34<br>79|92|105|<br>119|<br>129|<br>135|<br>138|<br>146|<br>144|<br>142|
|35-39<br>64|78|91|104|<br>118|<br>129|<br>135|<br>137|<br>145|<br>143|
|40-44<br>53|63|77|90|<br>104|<br>117|<br>128|<br>134|<br>136|<br>1V4|
|45-49<br>42|52|62|75|<br>88|<br>102|<br>115|<br>126|<br>132|<br>134|
|50-54<br>36|41|50|60|<br>73|<br>86|<br>100|<br>113|<br>123|<br>129|
|55-59<br>29|34|39|48|<br>57|<br>70|<br>83|<br>96|<br>108|<br>11|
|60-U<br>25|27|32|36|45|53|<br>66|<br>77|<br>90|<br>101|
|65-69<br>20|22|24|28|<br>32|<br>40|<br>48|<br>59|<br>69|<br>80|
|70-74<br>14|16|18|19|<br>23|<br>26|<br>33|40|<br>49|<br>58|
|75+<br>13|16|19|22|<br>25|<br>29|<br>34|<br>41|<br>50|<br>61|
|TOTAL<br>1112|<br>1228|<br>1340|<br>1446|<br>1544|<br>1638|<br>1731|<br>1817|<br>1894|<br>195|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>137|143|141|<br>139|<br>133|<br>133|<br>138|<br>139|<br>138|<br>136|
|5-9<br>134|136|<br>143|<br>141|<br>139|<br>132|<br>133|<br>137|<br>139|<br>138|
|10-14<br>129|133|<br>136|<br>142|<br>141|<br>139|<br>132|<br>133|<br>137|<br>139|
|15-19<br>117|128|<br>133|<br>135|<br>142|<br>141|<br>138|<br>132|<br>133|<br>13|
|20-24<br>102|116|<br>128|<br>132|<br>135|<br>142|<br>140|<br>138|<br>132|<br>132|
|25-29<br>88|101|<br>115|<br>127|<br>132|<br>135|<br>142|<br>140|<br>138|<br>132|
|30-34<br>75|87|100|<br>114|<br>127|<br>132|<br>135|<br>141|<br>140|<br>138|
|35-39<br>60|74|86|99|114|<br>126|<br>131|<br>134|<br>141|<br>139|
|40-44<br>50|59|73|86|<br>99|<br>113|<br>125|<br>131|<br>133|<br>140|
|45-49<br>40|49|**58**|**73**|85|<br>98|<br>112|<br>124|<br>129|<br>132|
|50-54<br>35|39|48|57|<br>71|<br>83|<br>96|<br>110|<br>122|<br>128|
|55-59<br>28|34|38|47|<br>56|70|<br>81|<br>94|<br>108|<br>120|
|60-64<br>24|27|32|36|45|54|<br>67|<br>78|<br>90|<br>104|
|65-69<br>19|22|24|30|34|<br>42|<br>50|<br>62|<br>73|<br>84|
|70-74<br>14|16|19|21|26|30|37|44|55|<br>64|
|75+<br>16|19|23|27|31|38|43|52|63|<br>78|
|TOTAL<br>1068|<br>1184|<br>1298|<br>1407|<br>1509|<br>1607|<br>1701|<br>1790|<br>1871|<br>1942|
|BIRTH RATE|26.2|23.4|21.1|18.6|17.5|17.1|16.4|15.6|14.8|
|DEATH RATE|5.1|5.0|5.0|5.1|5.3|6.0|6.4|7.0|7.7|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|2.11|1.84|1.60|1.35|1.22|1.12|1.00|.86|.71|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.9|-.5|-.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.02|1.79|1.57|1.35|1.22|1.12|1.00|.86|.71|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.140|2.784|2.468|2.188|2.085|2.096|2.093|2.090|2.087|
|MRR|1.482|1.322|1.176|1.046|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|71.89|72.66|73.32|73.92|74.44|74.19|74.53|74.88|75.24|
|e(1O)- COTH SEXES|63.99|64.52|64.99|65.43|65.82|65.61|65.89|66.18|66.47|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|22.5|20.0|18.0|16.3|14.9|15.4|14.7|14.0|13.3|
|q(5) -BOTH SE'Z5|.0265|.0233|.0209|.0188|.0170|.0177|.0168|.0159|.0151|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>71.7|<br> <br>65.3|<br> <br>59.3|<br> <br>54.6|<br> <br>49.4|<br> <br>46.|<br>3<br>45.|<br>0<br>45.|<br>8<br>47.|1<br>48.|
127 PANAMA Projection with NRRul by 2005 (thousands)

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>198,|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>2180|2854|3765|4242|4375|4447|4461|4462|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>142|144|144|143|143|143|143|143|
|5-9<br>139|146|145|143|142|142|143|143|
|10-14<br>133|<br>148|<br>143|<br>142|<br>142|<br>142|<br>143|<br>143|
|15-19<br>122|<br>140|<br>137|<br>141|<br>142|142|142|142|
|20-24<br>108|137|136|141|142|142|142|142|
|25-29<br>93|130|142|143|142|142|142|142|
|30-34<br>79|119|144|143|142|141|142|142|
|35-39<br>64|104|145|141|140|141|141|141|
|40-44<br>53|90|136|<br>135|<br>139|<br>141|<br>141|<br>141|
|45-49<br>42|75|132|<br>133|<br>138|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|
|50-54<br>36|60|123|<br>136|<br>138|<br>138|<br>138|<br>138|
|55-59<br>29|48|108|<br>133|<br>135|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|60-64<br>25|36|90|127|<br>126|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|
|65-69<br>20|28|69|<br>108|<br>110|<br>116|<br>117|<br>118|
|70-74<br>14|19|<br>49|<br>89|<br>94|<br>100|<br>102|<br>102|
|75+<br>13|22|50|<br>116|<br>153|<br>163|<br>165|<br>166|
|TOTAL<br>1112|<br>1446|<br>1894|<br>2114|<br>2168|2196|2203|2203|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>137|139|138|137|137|136|136|136|
|5-9<br>134|141|139|137|136|136|136|136|
|10-14<br>129|142|137|136|136|136|136|136|
|15-19<br>117|135|133|135|136|136|136|136|
|20-24<br>102|<br>132|<br>132|<br>136|<br>137|<br>137|<br>136|<br>136|
|25-29<br>88|<br>127|<br>138|<br>138|<br>137|<br>137|<br>136|<br>136|
|30-34<br>75|114|<br>140|<br>138|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|35-39<br>60|99|141|136|135|136|136|136|
|40-44<br>50|86|<br>133|<br>131|<br>134|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|45-49<br>40|73|129|130|135|136|136|136|
|50-54<br>35|57|<br>122|<br>134|<br>135|<br>136|<br>135|<br>135|
|55-59<br>28|<br>47|<br>108|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|60-64<br>24|<br>36|<br>90|<br>131|<br>130|<br>131|<br>131|<br>132|
|65-69<br>19|<br>30|<br>73|<br>117|120|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|
|70-74<br>14|<br>21|<br>55|<br>103|<br>**109**|<br>117|<br>119|<br>119|
|_75n_<br>16|<br>27|<br>63|<br>156|<br>220|<br>244|<br>248|<br>249|
|TOTAL<br>1068|<br>1407|1871|2128|2208|2250|2258|2259|
|BIRTH RATE|23.4|17.0|14.0|13.0|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.0|6.0|9.3|11.8|12.1|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|1.80|1.11|.48|.12|.06|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2. 7|2.109|2.082|2.069|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|72.67|74.41|75.99|77.88|79.42|79.50|79.50|
|<br>INR-BOTH SEXES|20.Z|15.1|11.8|8.2|5.4|5.3|5.3|
LAC DEPARTMENT III
130 ANTIGUA AND BARBUOA Projection with NRR-1 by 2030 (thousnds)

|.........................................................................................................<br>AGE GROLIP<br>1985<br>1990<br>,....<br>.........................................................................................|.........................<br> <br>1995<br>....................................|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>80<br>86|<br>93|<br>99|<br>105|<br>112|<br>117|<br>121|<br>125|<br>129|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>6<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|5-9<br>6<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|10-14<br>6<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|15-19<br>4<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|
|20-24<br>3<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|30-34<br>1<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|
|35-39<br>1<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|
|40-44<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|
|45-49<br>2<br>1|<br>2|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|50-54<br>1<br>2|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|60-64<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|
|70-74<br>0<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|75+<br>0<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>38<br>41|<br>45|<br>48|<br>51|<br>55|<br>57|<br>60|<br>62|<br>64|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>6<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|5-9<br>6<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|10-14<br>6<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|
|15-19<br>4<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>4|
|20-24<br>3<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2<br>4|<br>5|6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|30-34<br>2<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|
|35-39<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|<br>4|
|40-44<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>3|
|45-49<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|50-54<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|
|55-59<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|3|5|6|
|60-64<br>1<br>1|2|2|2|2|2|2|3|4|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|1|1|2|<br>2|2|2|2|3|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|2|
|75+<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|
|TOTAL<br>42<br>45|<br>48|<br>51|<br>54|<br>57|<br>60|<br>62|<br>63|<br>65|
|BIRTH RATE<br>15.0|16.4|17.7|18.9|17.7|15.3|13.6|13.2|13.6|
|DEATH RATE<br>5.1|5.3|5.6|6.1|6.2|6.3|6.4|6.7|7.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>.99|1.11|1.21|1.28|1.15|.90|.72|.65|.64|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>4.8|4.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>1.47|1.56|1.21|1.28|1.15|.90|.72|.65|.64|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>1.900|1.800|1.700|1.765|1.827|1.888|1.947|2.004|2.059|
|NRR<br>.903|.858|.813|.842|.873|.903|.932|.961|.988|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES<br>72.99|73.63|74.21|74.16|74.48|74.81|75.15|75.48|75.83|
|eClO) - BOTHSEXES<br>64.74|65.21|65.64|65.59|65.85|66.12|66.39|66.67|66.95|
|INR - BOTH SEXES<br>18.9|17.1|15.5|15.5|14.8|14.1|13.5|12.8|12.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.0219|.0197|.0177|.0177|.0169|0161|0153|0145|0137|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>96.7<br>69.5|<br> <br>52.2|<br> <br>41.7|<br> <br>45.4|<br> <br>46.6|.<br> <br>44.8|.<br> <br>40.4|.<br> <br>38.1|.<br> <br>40.8|
131 ANTIGJA AND BARUDA ProJection with NRRnl _bV_ 2030 (thousands) Sunry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRWJP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|. .<br>.....<br>......<br>..........|....................|....|......<br>..<br>......|......<br>.............|........|||
|TOTAL<br>MF<br>80|99|125|<br>137|135|<br>136|136|<br>136|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|4|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|5-9<br>6|4|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|10-14<br>6|3|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|15-19<br>4|6|5|5|4|4|4|4|
|20-24<br>3|6|5|4|4|4|4|4|
|25-29<br>2|6|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|30-34<br>1|5|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|35-39<br>1|3|3|4|4|4|4|4|
|40-44<br>1|2|6|5|4|4|4|4|
|45-49<br>2|1|6|5|4|4|4|4|
|50-54<br>1|1|6|4|4|4|4|4|
|55-59<br>1|1|4|3|4|4|4|4|
|60-64<br>1|1|3|3|4|4|4|4|
|65-69<br>1|1|2|5|4|4|4|4|
|70-74<br>0|1|1|4|3|3|3|3|
|75+<br>0|<br>1|1|5|5|5|5|5|
|TOTAL<br>38|48|62|68|67|67|67|67|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|4|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|5-9<br>6|4|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|10-14<br>6|3|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|15-19<br>4|6|5|4|4|4|4|4|
|20-24<br>3|6|5|4|4|4|4|4|
|25-29<br>2|6|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|30-34<br>2|5|4|4|4|4|4|4|
|35-39<br>2|4|3|4|4|4|4|4|
|40-44<br>2|2|<br>6|5|4|4|4|4|
|45-49<br>2|2|6|5|4|4|4|4|
|50-54<br>2|2|6|4|4|4|4|4|
|55-59<br>1|2|5|3|4|4|4|4|
|60-64<br>1|2|3|3|4|4|4|4|
|65-69<br>1|1|2|5|4|4|4|4|
|70-74<br>1|1|1|5|4|4|4|4|
|75+<br>1|1|2|7|7|7|8|8|
|TOTAL<br>42|51|63|69|68|69|69|<br>69|
|BIRTH RATE|16.4|15.6|13.1|12.7|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.3|6.3|9.6|13.2|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|3.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.41|.94|.36|-.05|.02|01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.795|1.876|2.073|2.066|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|e(O) - WOTi SEXES|73.64|74.85|76.54|78.35|79.50|79.50|79.50|
|<br>IIR - BOTH SEXES|17.0|14.2|10.7|7.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
132 BAHAMAS Projection with NRR=1 by 2005 (thousands)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>...........|<br>1990<br>......................................|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005<br>.........|2010<br>...............|<br>2015<br>..|<br>...|2020<br>....|<br>2025<br>......|<br>2030<br>..<br>..<br>....|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>231|257|284|310|332|352|<br>371||389|<br>406|<br>421|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>14|15|16|16|15|15|<br>15||15|<br>16|<br>16|
|5-9<br>14|14|15|16|16|15|<br>15||15|<br>15|<br>16|
|10-14<br>16|14|14|15|16|16|<br>15||15|<br>1S|<br>15|
|15-19<br>14|16|14|14|15|16|<br>16||15|<br>15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>10|14|16|14|14|15|<br>16||16|<br>15|<br>15|
|25-29<br>7|10|14|16|14|14|<br>15||16|<br>16|<br>15|
|30-34<br>7|7|10|14|16|14|<br>14||15|<br>16|<br>16|
|35-39<br>7|7|7|10|14|16|<br>14||14|<br>15|<br>16|
|40-44<br>6|7|7|7|10|14|<br>16||14|<br>14|<br>15|
|45-49<br>5|6|7|7|7|10|<br>14||16|<br>14|<br>14|
|50-54<br>4|5|6|7|7|7|10||13|<br>15|<br>13|
|55-59<br>3|4|5|6|6|6|7||9|<br>13|<br>15|
|60-64<br>2|3|4|4|5|6|6||6|<br>9|<br>12|
|65-69<br>2|2|2|3|4|5|5||5|<br>5|<br>8|
|70-74<br>1|2|1|2|3|3|4||4|<br>4|<br>4|
|75*<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|2|3|<br>4||4|<br>5|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>115|<br>128|<br>141|<br>154|165|175|<br>184||193|<br>201|<br>208|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>13|<br>15|<br>15|<br>16|15|14|<br>14||15|<br>15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>14|<br>13|<br>15|<br>15|16|15|<br>14||14|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>16|<br>14|<br>13|<br>15|15|16|<br>15||14|<br>14|<br>15|
|15-19<br>14|<br>16|<br>14|<br>13|15|15|<br>16||15|<br>14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>11|<br>14|<br>16|<br>14|13|15|<br>15||16|<br>15|<br>14|
|25-29<br>8|11|<br>14|<br>16|14|13|<br>15||15|<br>16|<br>15|
|30-34<br>8|8|<br>11|<br>14|16|14|<br>13||15|<br>15|<br>16|
|35-39<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>11|14|16|<br>14||13|<br>14|<br>15|
|40-44<br>6|7|<br>8|<br>8|11|14|<br>16||14|<br>13|<br>14|
|45-49<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>8|8|I1|<br>14||16|<br>14|<br>13|
|50-54<br>4|5|<br>6|<br>7|8|8|<br>11||14|<br>16|<br>14|
|55-59<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>6|7|8|<br>8||11|<br>13|<br>15|
|60-64<br>3|3|4|<br>5|5|6|<br>7||7|<br>10|<br>13|
|65-69<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|4|5|<br>6||7|<br>7|<br>10|
|70-74<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|3|4|<br>4||5|<br>6|<br>6|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|3|4|<br>5||6|<br>8|<br>9|
|TOTAL<br>116|<br>129|<br>143|<br>156|167|177|<br>187||196|<br>205|<br>213|
|BIRTH RATE|25.1|23.8|22.1|19.2|17.4|16.6||16.2|15.7|15.0|
|OEATH RATE|5.1|5.1|5.3|5.4|5.7|6.1||6.6|7.2|7.8|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.00|1.87|1.68|1.38|1.17|1.05||.95|.85|.72|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.6|1.1|.7|.0|.0|.0||.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.16|1.98|1.75|1.37|1.17|1.05||.95|.85|.72|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.906|2.639|2.397<br>2|.177<br>2|.095|2.088|2|.086|2.084|2.082|
|NRR|1.356|1.241|1.134<br>1|.035<br>1|.000|1.000|1|.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|69.95|70.91|71.79<br>7|2.55<br>7|3.21|73.78|7|4.13|74.48|74.84|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|62.68|63.33|63.93<br>6|4.47<br>6|4.94|65.35|6|5.63|65.91|66.20|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|29.2|25.8|23.0|20.6|18.6|16.9||16.1|15.3|14.6|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.0352|.0308|.0271<br>.|0241<br>.|0216|.0195|.|0186|.0176|.0167|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.9|<br>59.1|<br>55.0|<br>53.7|51.0|47.|9<br>45.|6|45.|0<br>44.|8<br>46.6|
133

# BANAPAS Projection with NRRa1 by 2005 (thousands)

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRUJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|. ................<br>..............|..............|.............|.|...<br>......<br>.........|...........................||........................................................|
|TOTALN+F<br>231|310|406|456|470|479|482|482|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>14|16|16|15|15|15|15|15|
|5-9<br>14|16|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>16|15|15|15|15|15|15|15|
|15-19<br>14|14|15|15|15|15|15|15|
|20-24<br>10|14|15|15|15|15|15|15|
|25-29<br>7|16|16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|30-34<br>7|14|16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>7|10|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>6|7|14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|45-49<br>5|7|14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|50-54<br>4|7|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|55-59<br>3|6|13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|
|60-64<br>2|4|9|13|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|65-69<br>2|3|5|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|
|70-74<br>1|2|4|9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|754<br>1|2|5|<br>13|<br>16|<br>17|<br>18|<br>18|
|TOTAL<br>115|<br>154|<br>201|<br>225|<br>232|<br>236|<br>238|<br>238|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>13|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>16|<br>15|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|15-19<br>14|<br>13|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>11|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>1s|
|25-29<br>8|16|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|30-34<br>8|14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>7|11|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>6|8|13|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|45-49<br>5|8|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|50-54<br>4|7|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>S5|<br>15|<br>15|
|55-59<br>3|6|<br>13|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|60-64<br>3|5|<br>10|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|65-69<br>2|3|<br>7|<br>11|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|70-74<br>1|<br>2|<br>6|<br>11|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|75+<br>1|<br>3|<br>8|<br>19|<br>24|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|
|TOTAL<br>116|<br>156|<br>205|<br>231|<br>239|<br>243|<br>244|<br>244|
|BIRTH RATE|23.5|16.9|14.0|13.1|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.2|6.3|9.4|11.9|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATIONRATE|1.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GR0VTH RATE|1.96|1.08|.47|.12|.08|.02|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.636|2.106|2.078|2.068|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|70.94|73.68|75.59|77.48|79.25|79.50|79.50|
|<br>IMR- BOTH SEXES|25.9|17.5|13.0|9.1|5.7|5.3|5.3|
134

|BARBADOS<br>..................................................|Projection w<br>...............................................|ith NRR-<br>.................................|1by2030 (th|ousands)|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP|1985|1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|2025|<br>2030|
|TOTALM+F|253|257|261|<br>267|275|283|<br>290|<br>297|302|<br>306|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|11|10|10|<br>10|10|9|9|9|9|<br>10|
|5-9|10|11|10|<br>10|10|10|<br>9|9|9|<br>9|
|10-14|13|10|10|<br>10|10|10|<br>10|<br>9|9|<br>9|
|15-19|13|13|9|10|10|10|<br>10|<br>9|9|<br>9|
|20-24|13|12|12|<br>9|10|10|<br>10|<br>10|9|<br>9|
|25-29|12|12|12|<br>12|9|10|<br>10|<br>10|10|<br>9|
|30-34|9|11|<br>12|<br>11|12|9|<br>10|<br>10|10|<br>10|
|35-39|7|8|<br>11|<br>11|11|12|<br>9|<br>10|10|<br>10|
|40-44|5|7|<br>8|<br>11|11|11|<br>12|<br>9|10|<br>'0|
|45-49|5|5|<br>6|<br>8|11|11|<br>11|<br>11|9|<br>10|
|50-54|4|5|<br>5|<br>6|8|10|<br>11|<br>11|11|<br>9|
|55-59|4|4|<br>5|<br>4|6|8|<br>10|<br>11|11|<br>11|
|60-64|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|4|6|<br>7|<br>9|10|<br>10|
|65-69|3|4|<br>3|<br>3|4|4|<br>5|<br>6|8|<br>9|
|70-74|3|2|<br>3|<br>3|3|3|<br>3|<br>4|5|<br>7|
|75+|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|4|4|<br>4|<br>5|6|<br>7|
|TOTAL|119|121|<br>124|<br>127|131|136|<br>140|<br>143|14|6<br>148|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|10|10|<br>10|<br>10|9|9|<br>9|<br>9|9|<br>9|
|5-9|11|10|<br>10|<br>10|10|9|<br>9|<br>9|9|<br>9|
|10-14|13|11|<br>9|<br>10|10|10|<br>9|<br>9|9|<br>9|
|15-19|13|13|<br>10|<br>9|10|10|<br>10|<br>9|9|<br>9|
|20-24|14|12|<br>12|<br>10|9|10|<br>10|<br>10|9|<br>9|
|25-29|12|13|<br>12|<br>12|10|9|<br>10|<br>10|10|<br>9|
|30-34|11|11|<br>13|<br>11|12|10|<br>9|<br>10|10|<br>10|
|35-39|8|11|<br>11|<br>12|11|12|<br>10|<br>9|10|<br>¶0|
|40-44|6|8|<br>10|<br>11|12|11|<br>12|<br>10|9|<br>10|
|45-49|6|6|<br>8|<br>10|11|12|<br>11|<br>12|10|<br>9|
|50-54|5|6|<br>6|<br>7|10|11|<br>12|<br>11|11|<br>10|
|55-59|6|5|<br>6|<br>6|7|10|<br>10|<br>12|11|<br>11|
|60-64|5|6|5|<br>6|5|7|<br>10|<br>10|12|<br>11|
|65-69|5|5|5|<br>4|5|5|<br>7|<br>9|10|<br>11|
|70-74|4|4|4|<br>5|4|5|<br>5|<br>6|8|<br>9|
|75+|6|6|7|7|8|8|8|8|10|<br>13|
|TOTAL|134|136|<br>138|<br>140|144|147|<br>151|<br>154|156|<br>158|
|BIRTH RATE||16.6|16.1|15.1|14.2|13.3|12.9|12.8<br>|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE||7.9|7.9|7.8|7.8|7.8|7.9|8.4|9.0|10.1|
|RATE OF NAT|. INC.|.87|.82|.73|.64|.55|.50|.44|.37|.25|
|NET MIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|-6.3|-4.6|-3.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.25|.36|.43|.64|.55|.50|.44|.37|.25|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY<br>1|.750|1.750|1.750<br>1|.798<br>1|.845|1.890|1.935<br>1|.978|2.021|
|NRR||.853|.854|.854|.878|.902|.925|.947<br>.|969|.991|
|e(0) - BOTH|SEXES<br>7|4.88|75.22|75.55<br>7|5.89<br>7|6.23|76.58|76.94<br>7|7.29|77.66|
|e(10) - BOT|H SEXES<br>6|6.17|66.44|66.71<br>6|6.99<br>6|7.27|67.56|67.85<br>6|8.15|68.45|
|IMR- BOTH S|EXES|13.9|13.2|12.5|11.9|11.2|10.6|9.9|9.2|8.6|
|q(5)-BOTH|SEXES<br>|0158|0150|0142<br>|0134<br>|0126|0119|0111<br>0|103|0095|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br>.<br>57.4|<br>50.|.<br>7<br>49.3|.<br>.<br> <br>46.9|<br>.<br>45.1|<br>42.|.<br>9<br>43.|.<br>.<br>2<br>46.3|<br>51.|.<br>6<br>57.8|
135 BARB4DOS ProJectlon with **NRRUl** by 2030 (thousands)

# Sumary for 25 Year Perlods

|..........................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|...............................<br>2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>253|267|302|304|300|299|299|<br>299|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>10|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|10-14<br>13|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|15-19<br>13|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|20-24<br>13|<br>9|9|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|25-29<br>12|12|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|30-34<br>9|11|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|35-39<br>7|11|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|40-44<br>5|11|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|45-49<br>5|<br>8|9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|50-54<br>4|<br>6|<br>11|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|55-59<br>4|<br>4|<br>11|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|60-64<br>4|<br>4|10|9|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|65-69<br>3|3|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|70-74<br>3|<br>3|5|6|7|7|7|7|
|75.<br>4|<br>4|<br>6|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>119|<br>127|<br>146|<br>147|<br>146|<br>146|<br>146|<br>146|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9<br>11|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|10-14<br>13|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|15-19<br>13|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|20-24<br>14|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|25-29<br>12|<br>12|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|30-34<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|35-39<br>8|<br>12|<br>10|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|40-44<br>6|11|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|45-49<br>6|10|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|50-54<br>5|7|11|10|9|9|9|9|
|55-59<br>6|6|11|10|9|9|9|9|
|60-64<br>5|<br>6|<br>12|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|65-69<br>5|<br>4|<br>10|<br>8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|70-74<br>4|<br>5|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|75+<br>6|<br>7|<br>10|<br>19|<br>18|<br>17|<br>17|<br>17|
|TOTAL<br>134|<br>140|<br>156|<br>157|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|15.9|13.2|12.3|12.5|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.9|8.2|12.1|13.1|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-4.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRsUTH<br>RATE|.34|.50|.02|-. 05|-. 00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.763|1.887|2.032|2.031|2.031|2.031|2.031|
|etO) -BOTH SEXES|75.22|76.61|78.40|79.54|79.54|79.54|79.54|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|<br>13.2|<br>10.6|<br>7.2|<br>5.2|<br>5.2|<br>5.2|5.2|
136 BELIZE Projection with NRR=I by 2015 (thousands)

|....<br>....<br>..<br>...<br>.........<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|.....**...**<br>........................<br> <br>1990|**......**.................<br>.......<br> <br>1995|<br>2000|.........<br>2005|................<br>2010|........<br> <br>2015|......<br> <br>2020|.....................<br> <br>2025|..<br>.<br>..<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>166|193|<br>223|<br>254|284|310|334|358|<br>384|<br>408|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>12|16|<br>18|19|18|17|<br>16|<br>16|<br>17|<br>17|
|5-9<br>14|11|<br>16|18|18|18|17|16|<br>16|<br>17|
|10-14<br>13|14|11|16|18|18|18|16|<br>15|<br>16|
|15-19<br>11|13|<br>14|11|16|18|18|18|<br>16||
|20-24<br>7|10|<br>12|13|11|16|17|18|<br>18|<br>16|
|25-29<br>5|7|10|12|13|11|16|17|<br>18|<br>17|
|30-34<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|12|13|<br>11|<br>15|<br>17|<br>18|
|35-39<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|10|12|<br>13|<br>11|<br>15|<br>17|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>3|<br> <br>3|<br> <br>3|<br> <br>5|<br>7|<br>10|<br> <br>12|<br> <br>13|<br> <br> <br>11|<br><br> <br>1S|
|45-49<br>3|3|3|3|5|7|10|12|<br>13|<br>11|
|50-54<br>2|3|3|3|3|5|7|9|11|<br>1Z|
|55-59<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|3|3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>9|<br>11|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|3|3|<br>2|<br>4|<br>6||
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|_2_|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>4||
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|75.<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|2|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|TOTAL<br>83|<br>96|111|<br>127|142|155|167|179|<br>191|<br>203|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>12|<br>15|<br>17|<br>18|17|16|<br>15|<br>16|<br>:7|<br>1|
|5-9<br>14|<br>11|<br>15|<br>17|18|17|<br>16|<br>15|<br>16|<br>1|
|10-14<br>13|<br>14|<br>11|<br>15|17|18|<br>17|<br>16|<br>15|<br>1|
|15-19<br>11|<br>13|<br>14|<br>11|15|17|<br>18|<br>17|<br>16|<br>1|
|20-24<br>7|10|<br>12|<br>14|11|15|<br>17|<br>18|<br>17|<br>1|
|25-29<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>12|13|11|<br>15|<br>17|<br>18|<br>1|
|30-34<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|12|13|<br>11|<br>15|<br>17|<br>1|
|35-39<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|10|12|<br>13|<br>11|<br>15|<br>1|
|40-44<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|7|10|<br>12|<br>13|<br>11|<br>1|
|45-49<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|5|7|<br>10|<br>12|<br>13|<br>1|
|50-54<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|3|5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>12|<br>1|
|55-59<br>2|<br>_2_|<br>3|<br>3|3|3|<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>1|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|3|3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6||
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|3|3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4||
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>1|1|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|2|2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3||
|TOTAL<br>83|<br>96|<br>111|<br>127|142|155|<br>167|<br>180|<br>193|<br>20|
|BIRTHRATE|36.8|35.2|31.8<br>|27.0<br>|22.6|19.5|18.7|18.6|_17.7_|
|DEATH RATE|6.9|6.2|5.5|5.1|4.8|4.6|4.8|4.9|5.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.99|2.90|2.63<br>|2.19<br>|1.78|1.49|1.40|1.37|1.24|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.99|2.90|2.63<br>|2.19<br>|1.78|1.49|1.40|1.37|1.24|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.000|4.257|3.624<br>3|.085<br>2|.626|2.236|2.096|2.089|2.087|
|NRR|2.267|1.958|1.686<br>1|.448<br>1|.241|1.062|_1.050_|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|66.73|68.06|69.28<br>7|0.33<br>7|1.25|72.06|72.76|73.40|_73.77_|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|60.71|61.49|62.27<br>6|2.97<br>6|3.58|64.14|64.64|65.10|65.39|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|41.7|36.3|31.8<br>|28.1<br>|24.9|22.2|20.1|18.2|17.4|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0526|0448|0387<br>|0337<br>|0296|0262|0236|0212|0201|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>97,5|<br> <br>86.|.<br>5<br>78.|.<br>.<br>4<br>78.8|<br>.<br>70.8|<br>60.2|.<br> <br>50.3|.<br> <br>43.|.<br>7<br>42.|.<br>1<br>43|
137 ....................... .

# BELIZE ProJection with NRR=1 by 2015 (thousands)

# Summory for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1965|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................................||..........|........................................|.......................................|.|||
|TOTAL<br>MNF<br>166|<br>254|384|<br>477|511|523|<br>529|<br>530|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12|19|17|<br>17|17|17|17|<br>17|
|5-9<br>14|18|16|16|17|17|17|<br>17|
|10-14<br>13|16|15|<br>17|17|17|1?|<br>17|
|15-19<br>11|11|16|17|17|17|17|<br>17|
|20-24<br>7|13|18|<br>17|17|17|17|<br>17|
|25-29<br>5|12|18|17|17|17|17|<br>17|
|30-34<br>3|10|17|<br>16|16|17|17|<br>17|
|35-39<br>3|7|15|<br>15|16|17|17|<br>17|
|40-44<br>3|5|11|<br>16|17|17|17|<br>17|
|45-49<br>3|3|13|<br>17|17|17|17|<br>17|
|50-54<br>2|3|11|<br>17|16|16|16|<br>16|
|-5-59<br>2|3|9|16|15|15|16|<br>16|
|60-64<br>?|3|6|13|13|15|1S|<br>15|
|65-69<br>1|2|4|8|13|14|14|<br>14|
|70-74<br>1|1|2|8|11|12|12|<br>12|
|75+<br>1|1|2|9|16|18|19|<br>20|
|TOTAL<br>83|127|191|<br>235|251|257|261|<br>262|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12|18|17|<br>16|16|16|16|<br>16|
|5-9<br>14|17|16|<br>16|16|16|16|<br>16|
|10-14<br>13<br> <br>|15<br>|15<br>|<br>16<br> <br>|16<br>|16<br>|16<br>|<br>16<br>|
|15-19<br>11|11|16|<br>16|16|16|16|<br>16|
|20-24<br>7|14|17|<br>17|16|16|16|<br>16|
|25-29<br>5|12|18|<br>17|16|16|16|<br>16|
|30-34<br>3|10|17|<br>15|16|16|16|<br>16|
|35-39<br>3|7|15|<br>15|16|16|16|<br>16|
|40-44<br>3|5|11|<br>16|16|16|16|<br>16|
|45-49<br>3|3|13|<br>17|17|16|16|<br>16|
|50-54<br>2|3|12|<br>17|16|16|16|<br>16|
|55-59<br>2|3|10|<br>16|15|16|16|<br>16|
|60-64<br>2|3|6|14|14|15|16|<br>16|
|65-69<br>1|2|4|10|14|15|15|<br>15|
|70-74<br>1|1|2|10|14|14|14|<br>14|
|75+<br>1|2|3|13|25|27|29|29|
|TOTAL<br>83|127|193|<br>242|260|266|268|<br>268|
|BIRTH RATE|34.4|21.0|15.5|13.5|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.2|4.8|6.9|10.8|12.0|12.3|12.5|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWUN<br>RATE|2.34|1.65|.87|.27|.10|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.197|2.383|2.083|2.073|2.062|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTHSEXES|68.14|72.08|74.56|76.51|78.62|79.50|79.50|
|INR<br>- BOTH SEXES|36.4|22.8|15.7|11.3|7.0|5.3|5.3|
138

**BOLIVIA** Projection with NRR=I by 2030 (thousands)

|..................................................<br>A(a GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|.................................<br>2i00|..............................................<br>2005|...............................................<br>2010|.....<br>2015|2020|2025|2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,..............................................................................................|...................................|||||||||
|TOTALM*F<br>6378|7330|8337|9406|10549|11739|12950|<br>14136|<br>15231|<br>16208|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>562|636|670|706|744|778|798|797|767|728|
|5-9<br>454|531|607|644|685|726|765|790|790|761|
|10-14<br>386|**447**|525|601|639|680|722|761|787|787|
|15-19<br>327|30|442|519|595|634|676|718|758|<br>783|
|20-24<br>274|318|371|434|512|588|628|670|712|752|
|25-29<br>227|263|308|362|427|505|581|621|663|<br>706|
|30-34<br>190|218|254|300|356|420|499|575|615|<br>657|
|35-39<br>162|182|210|247|294|350|414|492|567|608|
|<br> <br>40-44<br>132|<br>155|<br>175|<br>203|<br>241|<br>287|<br>343|<br>406|<br>483|<br>559|
|45-49<br>109|125|148|168|196|234|279|334|396|472|
|50-54<br>94|103|119|140|160|188|224|268|321|382|
|55-59<br>80|87|95|110|131|1SO|175|210|252|302|
|60-64<br>60|71|77|85|99|118|135|159|<br>191|<br>229|
|65-69<br>42|SO|60|65|72|84|101|116|137|165|
|70 74<br>28|32|38|46|51|56|66|79|92|109|
|75+<br>23|27|31|38|47|54|62|73|88|104|
|TOTAL<br>3149|3625|4131|4670|5249|5853|6466|7067|7617|<br>8104|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>543|615|647|681|717|750|769|768|740|703|
|5-9<br>448|515|587|624|662|702|739|763|763|<br>737|
|10-14<br>387|441|509|582|619|659|699|737|761|<br>762|
|15-19<br>331|381|436|504|577|615|655|696|734|<br>759|
|20-24<br>282|324|375|430|499|572|611|651|693|<br>732|
|25-29<br>238|274|317|368|424|493|567|606|647|689|
|30-34<br>201|231|268|311|363|419|488|561|601|643|
|35-39<br>172|195|226|262|305|357|413|482|556|596|
|40-44<br>140|167|190|221|257|300|351|407|476|550|
|45-49<br>119|135|162|185|215|251|293|344|400|468|
|50-54<br>102|114|130|156|179|208|243|285|335|390|
|55-59<br>87|97|108|124|149|171|199|233|273|323|
|60-64<br>68|80|89|100|115|138|159|186|219|258|
|65-69<br>49|59|70|79|89|102|123|142|167|198|
|70-74<br>34|39|48|57|64|73|85|103|120|142|
|75+<br>30|36|43|52|64|76|89|106|129|155|
|TOTAL<br>3229|374|4206|4736|5300|5886|6483|7069|7613|8104|
|BIRTH'ATE|42.7|38.6|35.2|32.4|29.8|27.1|24.2|21.4|18.8|
|DEATH FATE|13.8|12.1|10.7|9.4|8.4|7.4|6.7|6.4|6.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.90|2.65|2.46|2.29|2.14|1.96|1.75|1.49|1.24|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.2|-. 8|-. 5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GRONTH**<br>RATE|2.78|2.58|2.41|2.29|2.14|1.96|1.75|1.49|1.24|
|TOTALFERTILITY<br>6|.060|5.350|4.724|4.171|3.682|3.251|2.870|2.534|2.237|
|NRR<br>2|.267|2.071|1.891|1.725|1.573|1.433|1.304|1.168|1.042|
|**e(O)**- BOTH SEXES<br>5|4.03|56.04|58.11|60.24|62.45|64.73|67.10|68.41|69.57|
|eClO)- BOTH SEXES<br>5|6.50|57.19|57.90|58.63|59.37|60.13|60.91|61.69|62.45|
|**IHR**- BOTHSEXES<br>|116.3|103.6|90.9|78.2|65.5|52.8|40.1|34.9|30.6|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|1790|.1582|.1371|.1158|.0942|.0724|.0503|.0428|.0371|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>88.0|87.9|85.2|79.8|73.1|67.7|63.3|58.8|<br>54.0|<br>49.3|
139

# BOLIVIA Projection with **NRRa1** by 2030 (thousands)

# Surary for 25 Year Periods

|.............................................................................................<br>AGE GROJP<br>1985|............<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.........<br>.......................||._.<br>....|......|..<br>_<br>_..|<br>.....|..<br>...<br>.|.....|
|TOTAL N4F<br>6378|9406|15231|19755|22153|22827|23305|23666|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>562|706|767|764|760|758|759|760|
|5-9<br>454|644|790|<br>766|755|755|758|760|
|10-14<br>**386**|601|787|754|747|752|757|759|
|15-19<br>327|519|758|725|741|751|756|759|
|20-24<br>274|434|712|714|743|752|755|757|
|25-29<br>227|362|663|747|751|751|752|755|
|30-34<br>190|300|615|768|752|745|747|753|
|35-39<br>162|247|567|761|737|734|743|750|
|40-44<br>132|203|483|726|704|724|739|748|
|45-49<br>109|168|396|673|<br>686|720|<br>735|<br>743|
|50-54<br>94|140|321|611|703|715|724|731|
|55-59<br>80|110|<br>252|541|696|693|698|709|
|60-64<br>60|85|191|463|645|641|654|672|
|65-69<br>42|65|137|<br>350|552|555|<br>591|617|
|70-74<br>28|46|92|236|428|459|506|533|
|75+<br>23|38|88|228|<br>520|714|791|856|
|TOTAL<br>3149|4670|7617|9828|10919|11219|11466|11662|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>543|<br>681|740|<br>738|<br>733|<br>728|<br>727|<br>727|
|5-9<br>448|624|763|743|729|<br>726|<br>726|727|
|10-14<br>387|582|761|733|723|<br>725|<br>727|<br>727|
|15-19<br>331|504|734|<br>706|719|726|<br>727|<br>727|
|20-24<br>282|430|693|697|724|<br>729|<br>728|<br>727|
|25-29<br>238|368|647|731|<br>734|<br>730|<br>727|<br>726|
|30-34<br>201|311|601|754|<br>739|<br>727|<br>725|<br>726|
|35-39<br>172|<br>262|556|749|727|<br>719|723|<br>726|
|40-44<br>140|<br>221|<br>476|<br>718|698|713|723|<br>726|
|45-49<br>119|<br>185|400|670|685|714|723|<br>725|
|50-54<br>102|156|335|616|710|719|720|<br>721|
|55-59<br>87|124|273|558|718|712|709|712|
|60-64<br>68|100|<br>219|494|<br>690|<br>682|687|699|
|65-69<br>49|79|167|393|623|623|655|675|
|70-74<br>34|57|120|290|521|556|606|630|
|75+<br>30|52|129|338|764|1077|1206|1303|
|TOTAL<br>3229|<br>4736|<br>7613|9928|11234|<br>11608|11839|12003|
|BIRTH RATE|38.6|26.4|17.3|14.2|13.3|13.0|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|12.0|7.5|7.0|9.7|12.1|12.2|12.1|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|2.59|1.93|1.04|.46|.12|.08|.06|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|5.314|3.205|2.134|2.081|2.072|2.064|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|56.23|64.99|71.46|74.49|76.24|78.01|79.42|
|<br>**IM -**BOTH SEXES|103.4|54.4|24.5|15.2|11.4|8.0|5.4|
140

|COLOMBIA<br> <br>|Projection|with NRRa|l by 2010(tho|usands)<br>|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGRR18<br>9<br>.......................<br>AGE GROLIP|......................<br> <br>1985|........<br>199|1995|19 o<br>**2000**|.......................<br> <br>2005|..................<br>2010|2015|2....................<br>2020|...........<br>2025|<br>2030|
|........<br>.............|_..|...<br>..............|.........................|..|..<br>.....|.................|............|............................||.......|
|TOTAL N+F|28418|31171|34147|37003|39628|41981|44252|<br>46498|<br>48610|<br>50460|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4|1802|1917|2037|1990|1905|1812|1831|1896|1922|<br>1907|
|5-9|1803|1769|18BP|<br>2014|1970|l869|1799|1819|<br>1886|<br>1914|
|10-14|1629|1787|1756|1878|**2004**|1962|1882|1793|1814|<br>1882|
|15-19|1658|1611|1m|1743|l666|1m|192|1874|1786|<br>1808|
|20-24|1527|1625|1585|r1749|123|l848|1976|1938|1862|<br>1777|
|25-29|1247|1487|1591|1558|1724|1702|1829|1959|1924|<br>1851|
|30-34|1035|1212|1455|1565|1536|1703|1684|1812|1945|<br>1913|
|35-39|810|1005|1184|1430|1541|1515|1683|1667|1796|<br>1930|
|40-44|642|784|979|1159|1403|1516|1492|1661|1647|<br>1777|
|45-49|525|617|758|951|1130|1371|1483|1462|1630|<br>1619|
|50-54|432|499|590|727|915|1089|1325|1436|1419|<br>1584|
|55-59|354|402|467|554|685|865|1032|1258|1366|<br>1352|
|60-64|284|318|364|424|505|626|793|949|1160|<br>1264|
|65-69|213|242|273|313|366|438|546|694|834|1023|
|70-74|143|<br>166|190|216|249|<br>**293**|<br>353|442|564|681|
|75+|122|151|182|<br>213|248|289|<br>342|411|511|650|
|TOTAL|14226|15593|17071|188u|19770|20910|22000|<br>23071|<br>24068|<br>24932|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4|1738|1851|1969|1925|1844|1754|1772|1835|1860|<br>1843|
|5-9|1753|1710|1830|1954|1913|1835|1747|1767|1831|<br>1857|
|10-14|1590|1739|1700|1822|1948|1908|1831|1744|1765|<br>1830|
|15-19|1627|1576|1728|<br>1692|1816|1942|1904|1828|1742|<br>1763|
|20-24|1513|1603|1558|1714|1682|1807|1935|1898|1823|<br>1739|
|25-29<br>|1249<br>|1485<br>|1581|1542|1701|1672|1798|1927|1892|<br>18|
|30-34|1028|1225|1464|i<br>1565|1529|1690|1663|1790|1921|<br>18|
|35-39|794|1007|1206|1447|1550|1517|1680|1654|1782|<br>19|
|40-44|628|7m|990|1189|1431|1535|1505|1667|1643|<br>17|
|45-49|520|612|760|971|<br>1170|1410|1516|1488|1651|<br>16|
|50-54|448|502|593|739|948|1145|1383|1489|1464|<br>16|
|55-59|**386**|427|481|570|713|917|111o|1344|1451|<br>14|
|60-64|321|359|399|452|538|676|873|1060|1288|<br>13|
|65-69|250|286|322|360|411|492|622|807|985|12|
|70-74|177|207|239|271|306|352|425|541|707|867|
|75+<br>|172|212|256|305|359|418|489|588|737|955|
|TOTAL|14192|15578|17076|<br>18519|19857|21071|22252|<br>23427|24543|255|
|BIRTHRATE||26.8|25.7|22.9|20.3|18.0|17.2|16.9|16.3|15.4|
|DEATH RATE||6.9|6.6|6.3|6.1|6.2|6.4|6.8|7.3|8.0|
|RATEOFNA|T. INC.|1.98|1.92|1.66|1.41|1.19|1.08|1.01|.90|.75|
|NET MIGRA|TION<br>RATE|-1.3|-.9|-. 6|-.4|-.3|-2|-2|-1|0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|<br>1.85|<br>1.82|<br>1.61|<br>1.37|<br>1.15|.<br>1.05|.<br>.99|.<br>.89|.<br>.75|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|3.187|2.902|2.643|2.407|2.192|2.112|2.102|2.094|2.087|
|NRR||1.426|1.325|1.222|1.125|1.032|1.OO|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOT|H SEXES|65.72|67.22|68.50|69.65|70.64|71.51|72.27|72.99|73.59|
|eClO) - BO|TH SEXES|60.14|60.99|61.77|62.51|63.18|63.75|64.29|64.80|65.23|
|INR - BOT|H SEXES|45.9|39.7|34.7|30.4|27.0|24.0|21.6|19.5|17.7|
|q(5) - BOT|H SEXES|.0588|.0497|.0425|.0368|0323|0284|0254|0227|0205|
|<br>DEP. RATIO|<br> <br>66.9|<br>62.9|<br> <br>58.8|<br> <br>55.8|<br> <br>51.8|.<br>47.1|.<br> <br>44.5|.<br> <br>44.6|.<br> <br>46.4|.<br> <br>49.1|
141

# CDLOUIA Projection with NRRM1 by 2010 (thousands)

# Stmmery for 25 Year Periods

|AGE CROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M4F<br>28418|37003|48610|54949|57094|58389|<br>59173|<br>59349|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1802|1990|1922|1892|1890|1896|<br>1899|<br>1899|
|5-9<br>1803|2014|1886|1869|1881|1894|<br>1898|<br>1898|
|10-14<br>1629|1878|1814|1854|1881|1894|<br>1898|<br>1897|
|15-19<br>1658|1743|1786|1861|1885|1892|<br>1896|<br>1895|
|20-24<br>1527|1749|1862|1884|1884|1886|<br>1891|<br>1892|
|25-29<br>1247|1558|1924|1889|1869|1875|<br>1886|<br>1889|
|30-34<br>1035|1565|1945|1851|1843|1865|<br>1882|<br>1886|
|35-39<br>810|1430|1796|17M|1822|1860|<br>1878|<br>1883|
|40-44<br>642|<br>1159|<br>1647|1733|1820|1857|<br>1872|<br>1876|
|45-49<br>525|951|1630|l188|1827|1845|<br>1856|<br>1861|
|50-54<br>432|727|1419|1810|1802|<br>1806|<br>1823|<br>1834|
|55-59<br>354|554|1366|1760|1708|1733|<br>1769|<br>1785|
|60-64<br>284|424|1160|1521|1543|<br>1630|<br>1684|<br>1701|
|65-69<br>213|313|834|1250|1368|1493|<br>1551|<br>1563|
|70-74<br>143|216|564|1036|1200|<br>1293|<br>1339|<br>1346|
|75+<br>122|213|511|1243|1799|<br>1995|<br>2141|<br>2185|
|TOTAL<br>14226|<br>18484|<br>24068|<br>27014|<br>28022|<br>28712|<br>29162|<br>29290|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1738|1925|<br>1860|1824|1815|<br>1814|<br>1816|<br>1816|
|5-9<br>1753|1954|<br>1831|1806|1811|<br>1815|<br>1816|<br>1816|
|10-14<br>1590|1822|<br>1765|1796|1813|<br>1817|<br>1817|<br>1816|
|15-19<br>1627|1692|<br>1742|1808|1821|<br>1819|<br>1817|<br>1816|
|20-24<br>1513|1714|<br>1823|1838|<br>1826|<br>1818|<br>1815|<br>1815|
|25-29<br>1249|1542|<br>1892|1851|1819|<br>1812|<br>1813|<br>1815|
|30-34<br>1028|1565|<br>1921|1821|1800|<br>1808|<br>1814|<br>1815|
|35-39<br>794|1447|<br>1782|1751|1787|<br>1809|<br>1815|<br>1815|
|40-44<br>628|1189|<br>1643|1722|1795|<br>1815|<br>1816|<br>1813|
|45-49<br>520|971|1651|<br>1791|<br>1816|<br>1814|<br>1810|<br>1807|
|50-54<br>448|739|1464|<br>1838|<br>1814|<br>1796|<br>1797|<br>1798|
|55-59<br>386|570|1451|<br>1830|<br>1758|<br>1759|<br>1776|<br>1782|
|60-64<br>321|452|1288|<br>1644|<br>1647|<br>1713|<br>1749|<br>1755|
|65-69<br>250|360|985|1429|<br>1544|<br>1657|<br>1697|<br>1697|
|70-74<br>177|271|707|1287|<br>1463|<br>1552|<br>1582|<br>1578|
|75.<br>172|305|737|1897|<br>2743|<br>3058|<br>3263|<br>3306|
|TOTAL<br>14192|<br>18519|<br>24543|<br>27935|<br>29072|<br>29677|<br>30011|<br>30059|
|BIRTH RATE|25.0|17.6|14.4|13.3|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.6|6.6|9.5|11.8|12.1|12.2|12.5|
|NETMIGRATIONRATE|-. 9|-. 2|.0|.03|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.76|1.09|.49|.15|.09|.05|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.881|2.176|2.080|2.071|2.063|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|67.23|71.50|74.51|76.37|78.29|79.50|79.50|
|<br>i- BOTH SEXES|40.0|24.5|15.2|11.1|7.5|5.3|5.3|
142 DOHINICA Projection with NRRri by 2005 (thousands)

|ACEGROIP<br>1985<br>1990<br>1995|2000|2005|<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**N+F**<br>78<br>83<br>87|93|100|<br>107|<br>115|<br>121|127|<br>132|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7<br>4<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>6<br>7<br>4|4|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>5<br>6<br>7|4|4|5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>3<br>5<br>5|7|4|45||5|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>3<br>3<br>5|5|7|4|4|5|5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2<br>2<br>3|4|5|7|4|4|5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>2<br>2<br>2|3|4|5|7|4|4|<br>5|
|35-39<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|3|4|5|7|<br>4|<br>4|
|40-44<br>2<br>1<br>2|2|2|3|4|5|<br>7|<br>4|
|45-49<br>2<br>2<br>1|1|2|2|3|4|5|<br>7|
|50-54<br>1<br>2<br>1|1|1|2|2|3|4|5|
|55-59<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|2|2|3|<br>4|
|60-64<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|2|2|<br>3|
|65-69<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>2|
|70-74<br>1<br>0<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|75+<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>37<br>40<br>42|45|49|53|56|60|63|<br>66|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7<br>4<br>4|4|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>6<br>7<br>4|4|4|5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|10-14<br>4<br>5<br>7|4|4|4|5|5|5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>4<br>4<br>5|7|4|4|4|5|5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>3<br>3<br>4|5|7|4|4|4|5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>3<br>3<br>3|4|5|7|4|4|4|<br>5|
|30-34<br>2<br>2<br>3|3|4|5|7|<br>4|4|4|
|35-39<br>2<br>2<br>2|3|3|4|5|7|4|4|
|<br> <br> <br> <br>40-44<br>2<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>7|<br>4|
|45-49<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|3|3|4|5|7|
|50-54<br>2<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|3|3|4|5|
|55-59<br>1<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|3|3|4|
|60-64<br>1<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|3|3|
|65-69<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|70-74<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>2|
|75+<br>1<br>1<br>1|1|2|2|2|2|3|3|
|TOTAL<br>41<br>43<br>45|48|51|55|58|61|64|66|
|BIRTH RATE<br>21.6<br>20.8|20.7|20.7|20.1|18.3|16.4|15.2|14.8|
|DEATH RATE<br>4.8<br>5.0|5.1|5.3|5.5|5.6|5.7|5.8|6.0|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.<br>1.68<br>1.59|1.56|1.54|1.46|1.27|1.07|.94|.88|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-5.0<br>-4.7|-4.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**CROWTH**<br>RATE<br>1.18<br>1.12|1.11|1.54|1.46|1.27|1.07|.94|.88|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.125<br>2.m|2.458|2.180|2.078|2.076|2.074|2.073|2.071|
|NRR<br>1.498<br>1.330|1.181|1.048|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTHSEXES<br>75.12<br>75.39|75.66|75.93|76.21|76.49|76.78|77.07|77.36|
|**e(0i)**<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>66.30<br>66.52|66.75|66.98|67.21|67.45|67.68|67.93|68.17|
|IMR -<br>BOTH SEXES<br>12.9<br>12.4|11.9|11.4|10.8|10.3|9.8|9.3|8.8|
|q(5)<br>- BOTH SEXES<br>.0145<br>.0139|.0133|.0128|.0122|.0116|.0110|.0104|.0098|
|<br> <br> <br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>100.7<br>87.7<br>71.8|<br>53.2|<br>53.4|<br>53.4|<br>51.3|<br> <br>47.5|<br> <br>44.1|<br>42.8|
143 DOMINICA Projection with NRRu- by 2005 **(thousands)** Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR0JP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>.<br>...................................................................|.................................................|..................................|||||.<br>.......|
|TOTALH+F<br>78|<br>93|<br>127|<br>150|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|5|<br>5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>6|4|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|10-14<br>5|4|5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>3|7|<br>5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>3|5|<br>5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>2|4|<br>5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>2|3|4|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>2|2|<br>4|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|40-44<br>2|2|<br>7|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|45-49<br>2|1|<br>5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|50-54<br>1|1|4|4|5|5|5|5|
|55-59<br>1|1|3|4|5|5|5|5|
|60-64<br>1|1|2|4|5|5|4|4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|6|'4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|4|4|3|<br>3|<br>4|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|4|5|6|<br>6|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>37|<br>45|<br>63|74|<br>76|<br>76|<br>76|<br>76|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|4|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|5-9<br>6|4|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|10-14<br>4|4|<br>5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>4|7|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|20-24<br>3|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|25-29<br>3|4|4|5|5|5|5|5|
|30-34<br>2|3|4|5|5|5|5|5|
|35-39<br>2|3|4|5|5|5|5|5|
|40-44<br>2|2|7|5|5|5|5|5|
|45-49<br>2|2|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|50-54<br>2|<br>2|<br>4|4|4|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|55-59<br>1|2|3|4|5|5|5|5|
|60-64<br>1|2|3|4|5|5|5|5|
|65-69<br>1|1|2|6|5|4|4|4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|4|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|75*<br>1|1|3|5|8|8|9|9|
|TOTAL<br>41|<br>48|<br>64|<br>75|<br>78|<br>78|<br>78|<br>78|
|BIRTH RATE|21.0|18.0|14.0|12.8|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.0|5.6|7.3|11.8|12.4|12.5|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-4.7|.0|.0|.0<br>'|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|1.14|1.25|.67|.10|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.755|2.096|2.067|2.059|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|75.40|76.53|77.98|79.31|79.50|79.50|79.50|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|12.4|10.4|7.8|5.6|5.3|5.3|5.3|
144 OOMINICAN REP. Projection with **NRR=1** by 2015 _(thotsuuvi)_

|.......<br>...........<br>..............<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|.......|..................<br>1990|1995|....<br> <br>2000|.....................................<br>2005|..................................<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|.....<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|. ..................................................................|........|..............................|.....................................|...............|||||||
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>6420||7180|7961|8731|9469|10169|<br>10821|<br>11461|<br>12081|<br>12647|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>473||512|521|516|505|<br>493|479|485|498|<br>501|
|5-9<br>421||464|504|514|511|500|<br>490|476|483|<br>496|
|10-14<br>399||416|460|500|<br>511|508|498|489|475|<br>482|
|15-19<br>381||394|412|,a456|<br>496|508|506|496|487|<br>473|
|20-24<br>339||374|388|406|451|492|504|<br>503|494|<br>484|
|25-29<br>274||331|366|381|401|446|<br>487|<br>501|500|<br>491|
|30-34<br>214||267|324|360|376|396|441|484|<br>497|<br>496|
|35-39<br>172||208|260|318|354|371|392|437|48G|<br>493|
|40-44<br>136||166|202|255|312|349|365|387|432|<br>475|
|45-49<br>115||131|161|196|248|305|341|<br>358|380|<br>425|
|50-54<br>94||109|125|154|189|239|294|330|348|<br>369|
|55-59<br>83||88|102|117|145|179|<br>227|279|314|<br>331|
|60-64<br>55||75|79|93|107|133|164|208|258|<br>290|
|65-69<br>43||47|64|68|81|93|116|143|183|<br>227|
|70-74<br>32||34|37|51|55|65|75|94|116|<br>149|
|75.<br>29||35|39|43|55|64|75|88|109|<br>135|
|TOTAL<br>3262||3649|4043|430|4796|5139|<br>5454|<br>5759|<br>6053|<br>6318|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>457||493|502|498|488|478|464|470|482|<br>484|
|5-9<br>408||449|487|<br>497|494|485|<br>476|463|469|<br>481|
|10-14<br>388||404|U5|484|495|493|484|<br>475|462|<br>469|
|15-19<br>370||382|399|442|481|<br>493|491|483|<br>475|<br>462|
|20-24<br>327||360|374|392|436|477|490|490|483|<br>474|
|25-29<br>263||315|350|366|386|432|474|489|489|<br>482|
|30-34<br>205||253|307|'343|360|382|429|472|488|<br>488|
|35-39<br>166||198|247|"301|**338**|356|379|427|470|486|
|40-44<br>132||161|193|242|296|334|353|376|424|<br>468|
|45-49<br>112||128|156|188|238|292|330|349|372|<br>420|
|50-54<br>93||108|124|152|184|232|286|324|344|<br>367|
|55-59<br>79||88|103|119|146|178|225|278|315|<br>335|
|60-64<br>53||73|83|97|112|139|169|215|266|<br>303|
|65-69<br>42||47|66|75|88|102|128|156|200|<br>248|
|70-74<br>30||35|39|55|<br>63|75|88|111|137|<br>175|
|75+<br>33<br>||38|U|51<br>|68<br>|83|101|122|152|<br>189|
|TOTAL<br>3158||3531|3918|4301|<br>4673|5030|<br>5367|<br>5702|6028|<br>6330|
|BIRTH RATE||31.2|28.3|25.3|22.6|20.4|18.5|17.6|17.0|16.3|
|DEATH RATE||6.6|6.0|5.6|5.5|5.6|5.8|6.1|6.5|7.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||2.47|2.23|1.97|1.71|1.48|1.27|1.15|1.05|.92|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE||-2.3|-1.6|-1.2|-. 8|-.5|-. 2|.0|.0|.0|
|GROITH<br>RATE||2.24|2.07|1.85|1.62|1.43|1.24|1.15|1.05|.92|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3|.751|3.369|3.027|2.719|2.442|2.194|2.101|2.095|2.092|
|NRR|1|.687|1.540|1.400|1.270|1.149|1.039|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)<br>- BOTH SEXES|6|6.02|67.46|68.82|69.81|70.68|71.50|72.23|72.89|73.26|
|**e(dO)**<br>- BOTH<br>SEXES|6|0.30|61.12|61.96|62.61|63.20|63.75|64.27|64.73|65.02|
|INR<br>- BOTH SEXES||44.6|38.6|33.3|29.8|26.9|24.1|21.8|19.8|18.9|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.|0569|0481|0407|0360|0322|0285|0256|0231|0220|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>75.2|<br>|<br>70.7|.<br> <br>67.5|.<br>62.4|.<br> <br>56.4|.<br> <br>51.1|.<br> <br>47.3|.<br> <br>45.3|.<br> <br>45.3|.<br> <br>46.9|
145

# DONINICAN REP. Projection **wIth NRR=1** by 2015 (thousands)

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>6420|8731|12081|14171|14909|15268|15489|<br>15541|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>473|516|'98|493|495|497|497|497|
|5-9<br>421|514|483|489|493|496|497|497|
|10-14<br>399|500|475|488|494|496|497|497|
|15-19<br>381|456|487|492|494|495|496|496|
|20-24<br>339|406|494|494|492|493|495|495|
|25-29<br>274|381|500|489|487|491|494|495|
|30-34<br>214|360|497|473|481|49|493|494|
|35-39<br>172|318|480|463|479|488|492|493|
|40-44<br>136|255|432|471|480|487|490|491|
|45-49<br>115|196|380|472|478|481|£85|487|
|50-54<br>94|154|348|468|465|470|477|480|
|55-59<br>83|117|314|448|435|452|464|468|
|60-64<br>55|93|258|405|402|428|442|446|
|65-69<br>43|68|183|327|371|393|406|409|
|70-74<br>32|51|116|240|316|338|349|352|
|75.<br>29|43|109|292|461|515|558|572|
|**TOTAL**<br>3262|4430|6053|7005|7324|7509|7634|7670|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>457|498|482|475|475|475|476|476|
|5-9<br>408|497|469|472|475|476|476|476|
|10-14<br>388|484|462|473|476|476|476|476|
|15-19<br>370|442|475|478|477|476|475|475|
|20-24<br>327|392|483|482|477|475|475|475|
|25-29<br>263|366|489|479|474|474|475|475|
|30-34<br>205|343|488|466|470|474|475|475|
|35-39<br>166|301|470|458|470|475|476|475|
|40-44<br>132|242|424|468|474|475|475|475|
|45-49<br>112|188|372|473|475|473|473|473|
|50-54<br>93|152|344|474|468|467|470|471|
|55-59<br>79|119|315|463|448|459|466|467|
|60-64<br>53|97|266|432|429|450|459|460|
|65-69<br>42|75|200|366|418|437|445|444|
|70-74<br>30|55|137|2e8|384|406|413|413|
|75+<br>33|51|152|418|693|789|852|866|
|TOTAL<br>3158|4301|6028|7166|7585|m9|7856|7871|
|BIRTH RATE|28.1|19.0|14.9|13.5|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|6.0|5.9|8.6|11.5|12.1|12.1|12.5|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.7|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.o|
|GR(MfH RATE|2.05|1.30|.64|.20|.10|.06|.01|
|TOTALFERTILITY|3.356|2.290|2.088|2.076|2.065|2.058|2.058|
|**e(O)**<br>**- BOTH**<br>**SEXES**|67.53|71.52|74.05|76.03|78.16|79.50|79.50|
|**I-**BOTH SEXES|38.9|24.5|17.1|12.5|8.0|5.3|5.3|
146

# GRENADA Projection with NRR-1 by 2010 (thousands)

|AGE GROIP<br>1985<br>1990<br>.......................<br>. .....<br>.....<br>.................|<br>1995<br>..............................|<br>2000<br>....|2005<br>...|2010<br>2015<br>...<br>...................................................|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>96<br>105|115|<br>125|134|143<br>152|<br>162|<br>170|<br>178|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|6|6<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>5<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|6<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>5<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|7|7<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7<br>5|<br>5|<br>7|7|7<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|20-24<br>6<br>7|<br>5|<br>5|7|7<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>4<br>6|<br>7|<br>5|5|7<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|30-34<br>3<br>4|<br>6|<br>7|5|5<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>1<br>3|<br>4|<br>6|6|5<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|40-44<br>1<br>1|<br>3|<br>4|5|6<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|
|45-49<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|4|5<br>6|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|
|50-54<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|3|5|<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|2<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>4|
|60-64<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|
|75+<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|
|TOTAL<br>46<br>51|<br>56|<br>61|65|70<br>75|<br>80|<br>84|<br>88|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|6|6<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|5-9<br>5<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|7|6<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>5<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|7|7<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|
|15-19<br>7<br>5|<br>5|<br>7|7|7<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|20-24<br>6<br>7|<br>5|<br>5|7|7<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|
|25-29<br>4<br>6|<br>6|<br>5|5|7<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|30-34<br>3<br>4|<br>6|<br>6|5|5<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>2<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|6|5<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|40-44<br>2<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|5|6<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|
|45 -;9<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|4|5<br>6|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|
|50-54<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|3|3<br>5|<br>6|<br>4|<br>4|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|3<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|<br>4|
|60-64<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|2<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|2|2<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|
|75+<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|2|2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|
|TOTAL<br>50<br>55|<br>60|<br>64|69|73<br>77|<br>82|<br>86|<br>90|
|BIRTH RATE<br>30.1|27.5|23.2<br>2|0.0<br>|18.3<br>17.9|17.6|16.6|15.4|
|DEATH RATE<br>7.5|6.7|5.9|5.5|5.4<br>5.4|5.5|5.9|6.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>2.27|2.08|1.72<br>1|.45<br>|1.29<br>1.25|1.21|1.07|.88|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-4.0|-2.9|-1.7|.0|.0<br>.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRORTH<br>RATE<br>1.87|1.79|1.56<br>1|.45<br>|1.29<br>1.25|1.21|1.07|.88|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.284|2.965|2.677<br>2|.417<br>2|.182<br>2.095|2.088|2.083|2.079|
|NRR<br>1.516|1.384|1.259<br>1|.144<br>1|.038<br>1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES<br>68.62|69.76|70.75<br>7|1.62<br>7|2.38<br>73.07|73.66|74.19|74.64|
|eClO) - BOTH SEXES<br>61.83|62.57|63.24<br>6|3.82<br>6|4.36<br>64.85|65.27|65.65|65.99|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>34.1<br>|29.9|26.5<br>2|3.6<br>2|1.2<br>19.1|17.3|15.8|14.6|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES<br>.0417|.0362|.0317<br>.0|279<br>.0|249<br>.0223|.0201|.0181|.0166|
|DEP. RATIO<br>70.2<br>70.3|<br>72.6|<br>64.0|54.6|46.4<br>41.8|<br>42.2|<br>44.3|<br>48.5|
147

# GRENADA Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands)

Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR**WJP**<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL**MFF**<br>96|125|170|196|204|209|210|210|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|5-9<br>5|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|10-14<br>5|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|15-19<br>7|7|s|7|7|7|7|7|
|20-24<br>6|5|6|7|7|7|7|7|
|25-29<br>4|5|7|7|7|7|7|<br>7|
|30-34<br>3|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|35-39<br>1|S|7|6|6|7|7|7|
|40-44<br>1|4|6|6|6|7|7|7|
|45-49<br>1|3|5|6|6|7|7|7|
|50-54<br>1|1|4|6|7|6|6|7|
|55-59<br>1|1|6|7|6|6|6|6|
|60-64<br>1|1|5|6|6|6|6|6|
|65-69<br>1|1|3|5|5|5|6|6|
|70-74<br>1|1|2|3|4|5|5|5|
|75+<br>1|1|1|5|7|7|8|8|
|TOTAL<br>46|61|84|97|100|103|104|<br>104|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>7|7|7|7|6|6|6|6|
|5-9<br>5|7|7|6|6|6|6|6|
|10-14<br>5|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|15-19<br>7|7|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|20-24<br>6|5|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|25-29<br>4|5|7|7|6|6|6|6|
|30-34<br>3|6|7|7|6|6|6|6|
|35-39<br>2|5|7|6|6|6|6|6|
|40-44<br>2|4|6|6|6|6|6|6|
|45-49<br>2|3|5|6|6|6|6|6|
|50-54<br>2|2|4|6|7|6|6|6|
|55-59<br>2|2|6|7|6|6|6|6|
|60-64<br>1|2|5|6|6|6|6|6|
|65-69<br>1|2|3|6|5|6|6|6|
|70-74<br>1|1|2|4|5|6|6|6|
|75+<br>1|1|2|7|10|11|12|12|
|TOTAL<br>50|64|86|99|104|106|107|<br>107|
|BIRTH RATE|26.7|18.0|14.3|13.2|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|6.7|5.6|8.8|11.6|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-2.8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.74|1.25|.56|.16|.09|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.968|2.163|2.076|2.068|2.060|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)**-** BOTH SEXES|69.77|73.07|75.36|77.16|79.02|79.50|79.50|
|<br>**I-**<br>BOTH SEXES|30.3|19.3|13.1|9.6|6.1|5.3|5.3|
148 GUYANA Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands)

|. .........<br>..............<br>...<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|...........<br>1990|...........................<br>1995|<br>2000|.......<br>2005|...............<br> <br>2010|... ...<br> <br>a01;|...<br>. .........................<br> <br>2020|2025|. ..........<br>..<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**..**...................................................|.....................|.......................................||||........|..............|.......|..........|
|TOTAL M+F<br>790|831|877|929|996|<br>1060|<br>1122|<br>1183|1239|<br>1287|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>53|52|50|<br>48|48|<br>47|<br>47|48|48|<br>48|
|5-9<br>51|50|50|48|48|47|46|47|48|48|
|10-14<br>46|49|49|49|48|47|47|46|47|48|
|15-19<br>45|44|48|48|49|48|47|47|46|47|
|20-24<br>46|42|42|46|48|48|48|47|47|46|
|25-29<br>36|42|39|40|46|47|48|47|47|46|
|30-34<br>28|33|40|37|40|46|47|47|47|46|
|35-39<br>19|25|31|38|37|39|45|47|47|47|
|40-44<br>14|17|23|30|38|36|39|45|46|.7|
|45-49<br>12|12|16|22|29|37|36|38|44|45|
|50-54<br>12|11|12|15|21|28|35|35|37|42|
|55-59<br>10|11|10|11|14|20|26|34|33|35|
|60-64<br>9|9|10|9|10|13|19|24|31|30|
|65-69<br>6|7|7|8|8|9|11|16|21|27|
|70-74<br>5|5|6|6|7|6|7|9|13|17|
|75+<br>4|5|5|6|7|8|8|9|11|15|
|TOTAL<br>395|415|438|463|496|527|557|586|612|635|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>52|51|49|47|47|46|46|47|47|47|
|5-9<br>49|50|49|48|47|47|46|46|47|47|
|10-14<br>45|47|48|48|48|47|46|46|46|47|
|15-19<br>43|43|46|47|48|48|47|46|46|46|
|20-24<br>45|40|41|44|47|48|47|47|46|46|
|25-29<br>36|41|37|39|44|47|48|47|47|46|
|30-34<br>27|33|39|35|38|44|47|48|47|46|
|35-39<br>21|25|31|37|35|38|44|47|47|47|
|40-44<br>15|19|24|30|37|34|38|43|46|47|
|45-49<br>13|14|18|23|30|36|34|37|43|46|
|50-54<br>12|12|13|18|23|29|36|34|37|42|
|55-59<br>11|11|12|13|17|22|28|35|33|36|
|60-64<br>9|10|10|11|12|16|21|27|33|31|
|65-69<br>7|8|9|9|10|11|15|20|25|31|
|70-74<br>5|6|7|8|8|9|10|13|17|22|
|75+<br>6|6|7|9|10|11|13|14|18|23|
|TOTAL<br>395|416|440|466|500|533|566|597|627|652|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|27.1|24.5|22.1|20.2|18.6|17.6|16.9|16.1|15.3|
|DEATH RATE|7.1|6.6|6.4|6.2|6.1|6.2|6.4|6.8|7.7|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|2.01|1.79|1.57|1.40|1.25|1.15|1.05|.92|.76|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-9.9|-7.0|-4.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.02|1.08|1.13|1.40|1.25|1.15|1.05|.92|.76|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3|.063|2.809|2.576<br>2|.363|2.167|2.093|2.085<br>2|.078|2.076|
|NRR<br>1|.396|1.299|1.204<br>1|.115|1.029|1.000|1.000<br>1|.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|6.12|67.56|68.81<br>6|9.93|70.89|71.72|72.47<br>7|3.13|73.47|
|eClO)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|0.38|61.22|61.98<br>6|2.71|63.36|63.91|64.45<br>6|4.92|65.18|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|44.4|38.5|33.7|29.7|26.3|23.4|21.1|19.2|18.3|
|q(S)-BOTH SEXES<br>|0566|.0480|.0412<br>|0358|.0315|.0277|.0248<br>|0224|.0214|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>71.3|<br>67.9|<br> <br>62.2|<br> <br> <br>56.2|<br>50.4|<br> <br>46.1|<br> <br>44.0|<br> <br> <br>44.0|<br>45.8|<br>48.5|
149

# GUYANA Projection with NRRuI by 2010 (thousarids)

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR<br>W P<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..........................................................................|...............................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>790|<br>929|<br>1239|<br>1403|<br>1450|<br>1483|<br>1507|<br>1513|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>53|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|
|5-9<br>51|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|
|10-14<br>46|<br>49|<br>47|<br>47|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|
|15-19<br>45|<br>48|<br>46|<br>47|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|
|20-24<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|
|25-29<br>36|<br>40|<br>_47_|<br>47|<br>47|<br>48|<br>48|<br>48|
|30-34<br>28|<br>37|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>48|<br>48|
|35-39<br>19|<br>38|<br>47|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>48|<br>48|
|40-44<br>14|<br>30|<br>46|<br>45|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|<br>48|
|45-49<br>12|<br>22|<br>44|<br>45|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|
|50-54<br>12|<br>15|<br>37|<br>44|<br>45|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|
|55-59<br>10|<br>11|<br>33|<br>42|<br>43|<br>44|<br>45|<br>45|
|60-64<br>9|9|<br>31|<br>40|<br>40|<br>41|<br>43|<br>43|
|65-69<br>6|<br>8|<br>21|<br>35|<br>35|<br>37|<br>39|<br>40|
|70-74<br>5|<br>6|<br>13|<br>28|<br>30|<br>32|<br>34|<br>34|
|75+<br>4|6|<br>11|<br>31|<br>44|<br>49|<br>54|<br>55|
|TOTAL<br>395|463|<br>612|<br>686|<br>707|<br>724|<br>738|<br>742|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>52|47|47|47|47|47|47|47|
|5-9<br>49|<br>48|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|
|10-14<br>45|48|46|46|47|47|47|47|
|15-19<br>43|<br>47|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|
|20-24<br>45|<br>44|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|
|25-29<br>36|<br>39|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|<br>47|
|30-34<br>27|<br>35|<br>47|<br>47|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|
|35-39<br>21|<br>37|<br>47|<br>46|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>47|
|40-44<br>15|<br>30|<br>46|<br>45|<br>46|<br>46|<br>47|<br>46|
|45-49<br>13|<br>23|<br>43|<br>45|<br>46|<br>46|<br>46|<br>46|
|50-54<br>12|<br>18|<br>37|<br>45|<br>46|<br>46|<br>46|<br>46|
|55-59<br>11|<br>13|<br>33|<br>45|<br>45|<br>45|<br>46|<br>46|
|60-64<br>9|<br>11|<br>33|<br>44|<br>43|<br>44|<br>45|<br>45|
|65-69<br>7|<br>9|<br>25|<br>40|<br>40|<br>42|<br>43|<br>43|
|70-74<br>5|<br>8|<br>17|<br>33|<br>37|<br>39|<br>40|<br>40|
|75+<br>6|<br>9|<br>18|<br>47|<br>68|<br>77|<br>83|<br>85|
|TOTAL<br>395|466|<br>627|<br>717|<br>744|758|<br>769|<br>771|
|BIRTH RATE|24.5|17.8|14.4|13.4|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.7|6.4|9.5|12.1|12.2|12.1|12.4|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-7.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.08|1.15|.530|.13|.09|.07|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.807|2.152|2.073|2.063|2.054|2.046|2.046|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|67.55|71.72|74.18|75.98|77.90|79.43|79.52|
|<br>I-<br>BOTH SEXES|39.1|23.9|16.7|12.6|8.5|5.4|5.2|
150 HAITI Projection with NRRul by 2030 (thousands)

|.....................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>.........<br>..................................................|........<br> <br>........|..............................<br>1990<br>..............................|.......................<br> <br>1995<br>....................................|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>5933||6518|<br>7191|<br>7932|<br>8711|<br>9497|<br>10282|<br>11041|<br>11762|<br>12416|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>441||47|509|<br>543|<br>563|<br>565|<br>565|<br>563|<br>556|<br>540|
|5-9<br>392||415|<br>445|<br>491|<br>529|<br>551|<br>556|<br>5;7|<br>556|<br>550|
|10-14<br>366||3as|<br>409|<br>440|<br>486|<br>525|<br>548|<br>553|<br>555|<br>554|
|15-19<br>333||359|<br>378|<br>403|<br>434|<br>482|<br>521|<br>544|<br>550|<br>551|
|20-24<br>271||320|<br>347|<br>369|<br>395|<br>428|<br>476|<br>515|<br>539|<br>545|
|25-29<br>214||255|306|336|359|387|<br>422|470|510|<br>533|
|30-34<br>172||201|244|296|327|352|<br>382|416|464|<br>504|
|35-39<br>149||162|192|234|287|319|<br>346|375|410|<br>458|
|40-44<br>128||141|154|184|226|<br>279|<br>312|338|368|<br>_4V3_|
|45-49<br>110||121|133|146|176|<br>218|<br>270|303|329|<br>358|
|50-54<br>94||103|113|125|138|<br>167|<br>208|258|290|<br>315|
|55-59<br>77||87|95|105|116|<br>128|<br>155|194|<br>242|<br>272|
|60-64<br>60||69|77|84|93|103|<br>115|140|<br>175|<br>219|
|65-69<br>44||51|58|65|71|<br>78|87|98|120|<br>150|
|70-74<br>30||34|39|44|49|55|61|68|77|94|
|75+<br>28||30|34|40|46|53|60|68|77|87|
|TCTAL<br>2910||3198|3533|3904|<br>4296|<br>4691|<br>5084|5462|5816|<br>6135|
|FE4ALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>433||451|492|525|545|549|<br>550|548|542|<br>526|
|5-9<br>388||408|431|476|514|53'|<br>543|546|545|<br>540|
|10-14<br>364||381|402|426|472|511|<br>535|541|544|<br>544|
|15-19<br>334||357|375|397|422|469|<br>508|533|540|<br>543|
|20-24<br>278||324|348|368|<br>391|417|<br>465|505|530|<br>538|
|25-29<br>226||267|314|340|360|386|<br>413|462|502|<br>528|
|30-34<br>185||216|258|306|333|355|<br>381|409|458|499|
|35-39<br>165||178|210|251|299|327|<br>350|377|406|455|
|40-44<br>142||160|173|204|245|293|<br>321|345|372|401|
|45-49<br>123||137|154|167|198|<br>239|<br>286|315|339|367|
|50-54<br>105||118|132|148|161|<br>190|<br>231|278|307|<br>331|
|55-59<br>86||100|112|125|140|<br>152|<br>182|221|267|295|
|60-64<br>69||79|92|103|115|<br>129|<br>142|170|208|252|
|65-69<br>52||61|70|<br>81|<br>90|<br>101|<br>115|<br>127|<br>153|<br>189|
|.; 74<br>36||42|49|<br>56|65|74|84|96|<br>107|<br>130|
|75-<br>36||40|47|<br>55|<br>66|78|<br>92|<br>107|<br>125|<br>144|
|TOTAL<br>3023||3320|3658|<br>4028|<br>4415|<br>4807|<br>5198|5580|5945|6282|
|BIRTH RATE||34.5|33.3|31.3|28.8|26.2|23.9|21.9|20.1|18.3|
|DEATH RATE||12.8|11.6|10.4|9.3|8.6|8.0|7.6|7.5|7.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.||2.17|2.17|2.09|1.95|1.76|1.59|1.43|1.26|1.08|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE||-2.9|-2.0|-1.3|-. 7|-. 3|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||1.88|1.97|1.96|1.87|1.73|1.59|1.43|1.26|1.08|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4|.740|4.309|3.916|3.560|3.236|2.942|2.674|2.430|2.209|
|NRR|1|.786|1.694|1.606|1.521|1.419|1.318|1.219|1.123|1.031|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|5|4.72|56.87|59.08|61.34|63.20|64.86|66.36|67.62|68.78|
|et1O)- BOTH SEXES|5|6.86|57.15|57.44|57.74|58.76|59.68|60.53|61.30|62.01|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|1|13.7|97.3|81.0|64.7|56.7|49.8|43.6|38.6|34.1|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES|.|1735|.1455|.1171|.0882|.0755|.0647|.0553|.0482|.0419|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>78.5||73.6|<br>70.9|<br>69.1|<br>67.1|<br>63.2|<br>58.5|<br>54.0|<br> <br>50.7|<br>48.4|
151

# HAITI Projection with NRRul by 2030 (thomde)

# Suomry for 25 Year Perlods

|.........................................<br>AGE GROP<br>1985|2000|..................<br>2025|.......................................<br>2050|.......................................<br>2075|.............<br> <br>2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...........................................................................|..............................|||||||
|TOTAL MF<br>5933|7932|11762|<br>14668|<br>16189|<br>16700|<br>17122|<br>17384|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>441|543|556|556|556|557|558|558|
|5-9<br>392|491|556|554|553|554|557|558|
|10-14<br>366|440|555|549|549|553|556|558|
|15-19<br>333|403|550|535|546|551|555|557|
|20-24<br>271|369|539|528|545|550|554|556|
|25-29<br>214|336|510|539|545|548|552|555|
|30-34<br>172|296|464|539|543|545|549|553|
|35-39<br>149|234|410|534|534|539|546|552|
|40-44<br>128|184|368|523|518|533|543|549|
|45-49<br>110|146|329|506|505|527|538|545|
|50-54<br>94|125|290|465|504|518|529|537|
|55-59<br>77|105|242|405|485|499|512|521|
|60-64<br>60|84|175|330|449|463|481|495|
|65-69<br>44|65|120|262|394|406|436|453|
|70-74<br>30|44|77|192|318|337|372|391|
|75.<br>28|40|77|202|386|505|578|<br>628|
|TOTAL<br>2910|3904|5816|7218|<br>7930|<br>8186|8416|<br>8566|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>433|525|542|538|536|535|534|534|
|5-9<br>388|476|545|540|535|534|534|534|
|10-14<br>364|426|544|537|533|533|534|534|
|15-19<br>334|397|540|526|531|533|534|534|
|20-24<br>278|368|530|522|532|534|534|534|
|25-29<br>226|340|502|536|535|534|534|534|
|30-34<br>185|<br>306|458|539|536|533|533|533|
|35-39<br>165|251|406|536|531|529|532|533|
|40-44<br>142|<br>204|372|528|519|526|531|533|
|45-49<br>123|<br>167|339|513|511|525|530|532|
|50-54<br>105|<br>148|307|478|519|523|527|529|
|55-59<br>86|125|267|426|511|<br>516|520|<br>524|
|60-64<br>69|103|208|361|491|498|507|514|
|65-69<br>52|81|153|<br>308|455|463|485|<br>496|
|70-74<br>36|56|107|246|396|415|447|462|
|75+<br>36|55|125|317|586|784|890|959|
|TOTAL<br>3023|<br>4028|5945|7450|<br>8258|<br>8514|<br>8705|<br>8818|
|BIRTH RATE|32.9|23.8|16.8|14.3|13.4|13.0|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|11.5|8.1|8.1|10.4|12.2|12.0|12.1|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.0|-.2|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.94|1.58|.88|.39|.12|.10|.06|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.284|2.920|2.129|2.089|2.0'?7|2.065|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH<br>SEXES|57.03|64.92|70.89|73.88|75.92|78.12|79.50|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|96.8|50.8|26.9|17.6|12.8|8.1|5.3|
152 JAMAICA Projection with NRR=l by 2005 (thousards)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>2336|2500|<br>2688|<br>2872|<br>3040|3207|<br>3384|<br>3567|<br>374|8<br>3907|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>155|151|154|147|<br>137|135|<br>139|<br>142|<br>142|<br>140|
|5-9<br>142|151|148|152|<br>145|135|<br>134|<br>139|<br>142|<br>142|
|10-14<br>147|139|149|147|<br>150|144|<br>135|<br>134|<br>138|<br>142|
|15-19<br>151|144|<br>136|<br>147|<br>145|149|<br>143|<br>134|<br>133|<br>138|
|20-24<br>141|145|<br>139|<br>133|<br>144|143|<br>147|<br>142|<br>134|<br>133|
|25-29<br>106|132|139|134|<br>129|141|<br>140|<br>145|<br>141|<br>133|
|30-34<br>56|99|<br>127|134|<br>131|126|<br>138|<br>138|<br>144|<br>141|
|35-39<br>39|51|<br>94|<br>123|<br>132|128|<br>124|<br>137|<br>138|<br>144|
|40-44<br>33|35|<br>48|<br>92|<br>121|129|<br>126|<br>123|<br>136|<br>1;7|
|45-49<br>33|30|<br>33|<br>46|<br>90|119|<br>127|<br>125|<br>121|<br>134|
|50-54<br>32|31|<br>29|<br>32|<br>45|07|<br>116|<br>124|<br>122|<br>119|
|55-59<br>32|30|<br>29|<br>27|<br>31|43|<br>84|<br>111|<br>120|<br>118|
|60-64<br>27|29|<br>28|<br>27|<br>25|28|<br>40|<br>78|<br>104|<br>112|
|65-69<br>24|24|<br>26|<br>24|<br>24|23|<br>25|<br>36|<br>71|<br>94|
|70-74<br>19|20|<br>20|<br>21|<br>20|20|<br>19|<br>21|<br>30|<br>59|
|75+<br>21|24|<br>26|<br>27|<br>29|29|<br>29|<br>29|<br>30|<br>38|
|TOTAL<br>1157|1235|<br>1325|<br>1414|<br>1497|1579|<br>1667|<br>1757|<br>184|7<br>1924|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>150|148|<br>151|<br>14"|<br>134|132|<br>136|<br>139|<br>139|<br>137|
|5-9<br>133|146|<br>145|<br>149|<br>143|133|<br>131|<br>136|<br>139|<br>139|
|10-14<br>139|130|<br>144|<br>144|<br>147|142|<br>132|<br>131|<br>136|<br>139|
|15-19<br>146|136|<br>128|<br>142|<br>143|146|<br>141|<br>132|<br>131|<br>136|
|20-24<br>136|140|<br>133|<br>126|<br>140|141|<br>145|<br>141|<br>132|<br>131|
|25-29<br>104|130|<br>136|<br>129|<br>123|138|<br>139|<br>145|<br>140|<br>132|
|30-34<br>63|99|<br>126|<br>133|<br>127|121|<br>137|<br>139|<br>144|<br>140|
|35-39<br>47|60|96|124|<br>131|126|<br>120|<br>136|<br>139|<br>144|
|40-44<br>40|45|<br>58|<br>95|<br>123|130|<br>125|<br>119|<br>136|<br>138|
|45-49<br>36|38|44|57|94|122|<br>129|<br>124|<br>119|<br>135|
|50-54<br>39|35|<br>37|<br>43|<br>57|93|<br>420|<br>127|<br>123|<br>118|
|55-59<br>36|37|34|36|42|55|91|118|<br>125|<br>121|
|60-64<br>31|35|36|33|35|40|53|88|114|<br>122|
|65-69<br>28|29|32|33|31|33|38|50|<br>83|<br>108|
|70-74<br>21|25|25|29|30|28|29|34|45|<br>75|
|n+<br>29|32|<br>37|<br>40|45|48|49|51|57|<br>69|
|TOTAL<br>1179|1266|1363|1458|<br>1543|1627|<br>1716|<br>1810|<br>1901|<br>1983|
|BIRTH RATE|25.6|24.2|21.5|18.7|17.5|17.0|16.4|15.6|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|5.6|5.4|5.2|5 1|5.1|5.2|5.3|5.7|6.3|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|2.00|1.87|,.62|1.36|1.23|1.18|1.11|.99|83|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-6.5|-4.2|-3.0|-2.2|-1.7|-1.1|-.6|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.36|1.45|1.32|1.14|1.07|1.07|1.06|.99|.83|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2|.856|2.595|2.357|2.141<br>2|.061|2.059|2.057|2.056|2.054|
|NRR<br>1|.376|1.254|1.142|1.038<br>|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|etO)- BOTH SEXES<br>7|3.60|74.15|74.63|74.95<br>7|5.28|75.61|75.94|76.28|76.62|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|5.21|65.61|65.97|66.23<br>6|6.50|66.77|67.04|67.32|67.60|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES|17.4|15.8|14.5|13.8|13.2|12.5|11.8|11.2|10.5|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0201|.0181|.0165|.0157<br>|.0149|.0142|.0134|.0126|.0118|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>76.0|68.8|<br>64.8|<br>58.|3<br>51.6|45.|5<br>41.|8<br>41.|2<br>44.|4<br>48.9|
153

# JAMAICA Projection with NRR-l _by_ 2005 Cthousamd)

## Sumary for 25 Year Periods

|....<br>.....<br>..............<br>AGE GROUP<br>1965|.............................<br>2000|2025|.........<br>2050|..<br>........<br>2075|.............<br>2100|...<br>......<br>.....<br>2125|.<br>..........<br>..<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**.....** **..........**..<br>....<br>.....<br>...<br>.......|.................|......|..............................................||||........|
|TOTAL N4F<br>2336|2872|3748|4251|4383|4416|4422|4423|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>155|<br>147|<br>142|<br>141|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|
|5-9<br>142|<br>152|<br>142|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|
|10-14<br>147|<br>147|<br>138|<br>138|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|
|15-19<br>151|<br>147|<br>133|<br>138|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|
|20-24<br>141|<br>133|<br>134|<br>139|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|<br>140|
|25-29<br>106|<br>134|<br>141|<br>141|<br>140|<br>140|<br>139|<br>139|
|30-34<br>56|<br>134|<br>144|<br>140|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|<br>139|
|35-39<br>39|<br>123|<br>138|<br>136|<br>137|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|
|40-44<br>33|<br>92|<br>136|<br>131|<br>136|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|
|45-49<br>33|<br>46|<br>121|<br>130|<br>137|<br>138|<br>138|<br>138|
|50-54<br>32|<br>32|<br>122|<br>136|<br>137|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|55-59<br>32|<br>27|<br>120|<br>135|<br>133|<br>132|<br>132|<br>132|
|60-64<br>27|<br>27|<br>104|<br>122|<br>123|<br>124|<br>125|<br>126|
|65-69<br>24|<br>24|<br>71|<br>110|<br>¶09|<br>114|<br>115|<br>116|
|70-74<br>19|<br>21|<br>30|<br>84|<br>94|<br>99|<br>100|<br>100|
|75+<br>21|<br>27|<br>30|<br>123|<br>158|<br>162|<br>163|<br>163|
|TOTAL<br>1157|<br>1414|<br>1847|<br>2083|<br>2142|<br>2161|2165|<br>2166|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>150|144|139|137|<br>136|<br>136|136|<br>136|
|5-9<br>133|149|139|136|<br>13S|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|10-14<br>139|144|136|135|<br>136|<br>136|136|<br>136|
|15-19<br>146|142|131|135|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|20-24<br>136|<br>126|<br>132|<br>137|<br>137|<br>137|<br>136|<br>136|
|25-29<br>104|129|140|<br>139|<br>137|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|30-34<br>63|133|144|<br>139|<br>136|<br>136|136|<br>136|
|35-39<br>47|124|139|<br>135|<br>135|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|40-44<br>40|95|136|<br>130|<br>135|<br>136|136|<br>136|
|45-49<br>36|57|119|<br>130|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|<br>136|
|50-54<br>39|43|123|<br>138|<br>137|<br>136|<br>135|<br>135|
|55-59<br>36|36|125|<br>140|<br>136|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|60-64<br>31|33|114|<br>131|<br>130|<br>130|<br>131|<br>132|
|65-69<br>28|33|83|123|<br>121|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|
|70-74<br>21|29|45|99|113|<br>118|<br>119|<br>119|
|75+<br>29|<br>40|<br>57|<br>183|<br>243|<br>249|249|<br>249|
|TOTAL<br>1179|<br>1458|<br>1901|<br>2167|<br>2241|<br>2256|<br>2257|<br>2257|
|BIRTH RAME|23.7|17.0|13.7|12.8|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.4|5.3|8.8|11.6|12.3|12.5|12.6|
|NET NIGRAT0IE<br>RATE|-4.5|-1.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.38|1.07|.50|.12|.03|.01|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.591|2.074|2.051|2.043|2.041|2.041|2.041|
|eCO) - BOTHSEXES|74.15|75.65|77.34|79.08|79.52|79.52|79.52|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|15.9|12.5|9.2|6.0|5.2|5.2|5.2|
154

|NOTSERRAT Proje|ction<br>with NR|R=1<br>by 2015 (|thousand|s)||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>201|5<br>202|0<br>202|5<br>2030|
|TOTAL<br>N+F<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>1S|<br>15|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|5-9<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|10-14<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|15-19<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|20-24<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|25-29<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|30-34<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|35-39<br>0|0|0|0|0|1|1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|
|45-49<br>0|0|0|0|0|0|0|1|<br>1|<br>0|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|
|55-59<br>0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|60-64<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|65-69<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|70-74<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75.<br>0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|<br>0|
|TOTAL<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>8|
|FENALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|5-9<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|10-14<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|15-19<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|20-24<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|25-29<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|30-34<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|35-39<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|<br>1|
|45-49<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>0|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|
|55-59<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|
|60-64<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|65-69<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|70-74<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75.<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|TOT#L<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|2-.7|22.3|21.5|19.2|16.9|15.9|15.8|15.8|15.3|
|DEATH<br>RATE|11.6|11.1|10.7|8.9|7.9|7.4|7.2|7.6|8.3|
|RATE<br>OF NAT. INC.|1.01|112|1.08|1.03|.90|.86|.86|.82|.70|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-9.4|-8.5|-6.7|-4.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRONTH<br>RATE|.07|.27|.41|.5|.90|.86|.86|.82|.70|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.638|2.526|2.419|2.316|2.217|2.123|2.087|2.085|2.083|
|NRR|1.226|1.184|1.142|1.100|1.057|1.015|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)<br>- BOTH<br>SEXES|69.10|70.17|70.07|71.91|72.63|73.23|73.76|74.11|74.46|
|e{10)<br>- BOTH SEXES|62.15|62.86|62.86|64.02|64.55|64.98|65.35|65.63|65.91|
|IMR- BOTH<br>SEXES|32.4|28.6|29.6|22.7|20.5|18.7|17.1|16.3|15.5|
|q(S5)<br>-BOTH<br>SEXES|0395|0345|0358|0268|0240|0217|0197|0188|0178|
|<br> <br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>76.3|.<br> <br>6.2|.<br>60.3|.<br> <br>61.|.<br>9<br>56.1|.<br> <br>49.|.<br>2<br>45.|.<br>0<br>44.|.<br>3<br>46.|.<br>2<br>50.|
155 MONTSERRAT ProJection with NRR-l by 2015 (thousands)

# Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985<br>, ..**..............**<br>......................|2000<br>......|2025<br>......<br>.....|2050<br>.................|2075<br>............|2100<br>............|2125<br>.............|<br>2150<br>.|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN+F<br>12|12|15|16|17|17|18|<br>18|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>0|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|5-9<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|10-14<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|15-19<br>1|0|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|20-24<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|25-29<br>0|1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|30-34<br>0|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|35-39<br>0|0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|45-49<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|55-59<br>0|<br>0|0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|60-64<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>1|<br>1|
|65-69<br>0|<br>0|0|0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|
|70-74<br>0|0|0|0|0|0|0|<br>0|
|75+<br>0|0|0|0|1|1|1|1|
|TOTAL<br>6|6|7|8|8|9|9|<br>9|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>0|1|1|1|1|1|1|<br>1|
|5-9<br>1|1|1||||||
|10-14<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|15-19<br>1|<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|20-24<br>1|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|25-29<br>0|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|30-34<br>0|<br>1|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|35-39<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|40-44<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|45-49<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|50-54<br>0|<br>0|1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|55-59<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|60-64<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|65-69<br>0|<br>a|0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|70-74<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|<br>0|
|75+<br>0|<br>0|0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|
|TOTAL<br>6|<br>6|7|8|9|9|9|<br>9|
|BIRTH RATE|21.8|16.7|14.1|13.2|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|11.1|7.8|9.9|11.8|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|-8.2|-. 9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.25|.80|.42|.15|.08|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.528|2.164|2.079|2.069|2.060|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|69.78|73.18|75.20|77.08|79.00|79.50|79.50|
|<br>INR- BOTHSEXES|30.2|19.1|13.9|10.0|6.2|5.3|5.3|
156 ST. KITTS AND NEVIS Projection uith NRal by 2015 (thousands)

|.....<br>...................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>..........<br>.................|. ...<br>. . ...............<br>1990<br>....<br>..<br>...|.................<br> <br>1995<br>2000<br>..............<br>|<br>|............................................<br>2005<br> <br>|......................<br>2010<br>2015<br> <br>|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>TOTAL N*F<br>43|<br> <br> <br>40|<br>..........<br>38<br>37|...<br>|..<br>..........<br>36|...<br>..........................<br>37<br>37|39|<br>41|<br>44|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>3|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|<br>2||
|5-9<br>3|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|<br>2||
|10-14<br>3|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|<br>2||
|15-19<br>3|3|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|<br>2||
|20-24<br>2|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|<br>2||
|25-29<br>1|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|<br>2||
|30-34<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>2||1|1<br>1|<br>2|<br>2||
|35-39<br>1|<br>0|<br>1<br>1||1|1<br>1|1|<br>2||
|40-44<br>1|<br>0|<br>0<br>0||1|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|45-49<br>1|<br>0|<br>0<br>0||0|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|50-54<br>1|<br>0|<br>0<br>0||0|0<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0||0|0<br>0|<br>1|<br>1||
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0||0|0<br>0|<br>0|<br>1||
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0||0|0<br>0|<br>0|<br>0||
|70-74<br>0|<br>1|<br>1<br>0||0|0<br>0|<br>0|<br>0||
|75+<br>0|1|1<br>1||1|1<br>0|0|0||
|TOTAL<br>20|<br>19|<br>18<br>17||17|17<br>17|<br>18|<br>20|<br>21|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>3|2|<br>2<br>2||2|2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|5-9<br>3|2|<br>2<br>2||2|2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|10-14<br>3|2|<br>2<br>2||2|2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|15-19<br>3|2|<br>2<br>2||2|2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|20-24<br>2|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>2|2|2||
|25-29<br>1|2|2<br>2||2|2<br>1|2|2||
|30-34<br>1|<br>1|<br>2<br>2||2|2<br>1|<br>1|<br>2||
|35-39<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1||1|2<br>2|<br>1|<br>1||
|40-44<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>1||1|1<br>1|<br>2|<br>1||
|45-49<br>1|<br>1|<br>0<br>0||1|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>2||
|50-54<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>0||0|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|55-59<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1||0|0<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1||0|0<br>0|<br>1|<br>1||
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1||1|0<br>0|<br>0|<br>1||
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1||1|0<br>0|<br>0|<br>0||
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>1||1|1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1||
|TOTAL<br>22|21|<br>20<br>19||20|20<br>20|21|22|<br>23|
|BIRTH RATE|25.0|25.2<br>24.5||23.0<br>|21.0<br>18.6|17.6|17.3|16.7|
|DEATH RATE|9.6|9.6<br>9.4||8.8|7.8<br>7.0|6.2|5.6|5.4|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.55|1.55<br>1.51||1.42<br>|1.32<br>1.16|1.14|1.17|1.13|
|NET NIGRATION<br>RATE|-29.1|-25.7<br>-21.4|-|16.4<br>-|11.0<br>-10.9|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|-1.36|-1.02<br>-.64||-.22|.23<br>.08|1.14|1.17|1.13|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.000|2.805<br>2.622|2|.451<br>2|.292<br>2.143|2.086|2.084|2.082|
|NRR|1.408|1.326<br>1.246|1|.170<br>1|.097<br>1.026|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|70.17|71.17<br>71.98|7|2.69<br>7|3.33<br>73.68|74.04|74.40|74.76|
|e(IO)- BOTH SEXES|62.86|63.53<br>64.08|6|4.59<br>6|5.05<br>65.33|65.61|65.89|66.18|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|28.6|25.2<br>22.5||20.4<br>|18.4<br>17.6|16.8|16.0|15.1|
|q(S)-BOTH SEXES|.0345|0300<br>0265||0239<br>|0214<br>0205|019f|0185|0175|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>88.2|<br> <br>85.2|.<br>.<br> <br>80.4<br>76.5|.<br>|<br>.<br>71.5|<br>.<br>62.0<br>52.0|.<br> <br>43.5|.<br> <br>40.5|.<br> <br>43.3|
157

# ST. KITTS AND NEVIS Projection with NRR-l by 201S (thousnd.)

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROIP<br>1985<br>2000<br>I............<br>.......................|2025<br>.............|2050<br>...........................|2075|2100<br>..<br>..........|2125<br>...............|2150<br>.................... ......**.**...........**....**.........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL MF<br>43<br>37|41|50|53|54|55|55|
|NALES|||||||
|0-4<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|5-9<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|10-14<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|15-19<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|20*24<br>2<br>a|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|25-29<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|30-34<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|35-39<br>1<br>1|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|40-44<br>1<br>0|1|<br>2|2|<br>2|2|2|
|45-49<br>1<br>0|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|50-54<br>1<br>0|1|<br>2|2|2|2|2|
|SS-59<br>1<br>0|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|60-64<br>1<br>0|1|1|1|2|2|2|
|6S-69<br>1<br>0|0|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|
|70-74<br>0<br>0|0|1|1|1|1|1|
|75+<br>0<br>1|0|1|2|2|2|2|
|TOTAL<br>20<br>17|<br>20|<br>25|<br>26|<br>27|27|<br>27|
|FEMALES|||||||
|0-4<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|5-9<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|10-14<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|i5-19<br>3<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|20-24<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|25-29<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|30-34<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|35-39<br>1<br>1|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|40-44<br>1<br>1|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|45-49<br>1<br>0|2|2|2|2|2|2|
|50-54<br>1<br>0|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|55-59<br>1<br>1|1|2|2|2|2|2|
|60-64<br>1<br>1|1|1|2|2|2|2|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|1|1|2|2|2|2|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|0|1|1|1|1|1|
|75*<br>1<br>1|1|2|3|3|3|3|
|TOTAL<br>22<br>19|22|26|27|28|28|28|
|BIRTH RATE<br>24.9|19.4|14.9|13.3|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE<br>9.5|7.0|7.3|11.0|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|METMIGRATION RATE<br>-25.6|-7.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE<br>-1.01|.48|.78|.23|.08|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2.810|2.213|2.078|2.068|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES<br>71.08|73.65|75.53|77.45|79.25|79.50|79.50|
|IM- BOTH SEXES<br>25.6|18.0|13.5|9.4|5.7|5.3|5.3|
158 ST. LUCIA Projection iith URR=l by 2015 (thousands)

|.......................................................................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|<br>2005<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......................................................................................................|||||.|.......|.....|
|TOTALN+F<br>137<br>152|<br>168|186|<br>203<br>218|<br>233|<br>249|<br>265|<br>281|
|NALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10<br>11|12|12|<br>12<br>11|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|
|5-9<br>11<br>10|11|12|<br>12<br>12|11|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|
|10-14<br>11<br>11|10|10|<br>11<br>12|12|<br>11|<br>10|<br>11|
|15-19<br>8<br>11|11|10|<br>10<br>11|12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>10|
|20-24<br>5<br>8|11|11|<br>9<br>10|11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>11|
|25-29<br>3<br>5|8|10|<br>10<br>9|10|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|
|30-34<br>2<br>3|5|7|10<br>10|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11|<br>12|
|35-39<br>2<br>2|3|4|7<br>10|10|<br>9|<br>1|<br>1|
|<br> <br> <br>40-44<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br> <br>4<br>7|<br>10|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br> <br>9|<br><br> <br>19|
|45-49<br>2<br>2|2|2|2<br>4|7|10|<br>10|<br>9|
|50-54<br>2<br>2|2|2|2<br>2|4|7|<br>10|<br>10|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|2|2|2<br>1|2|4|6|<br>9|
|60-64<br>1<br>2|2|2|2<br>1|1|2|<br>4|<br>6|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|2|2|1<br>1|1|1|<br>2|<br>3|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|1|1|1<br>1|1|1|<br>1||
|75.<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2||
|TOTAL<br>65<br>73|<br>81|<br>90|<br>99<br>106|<br>114|<br>122|<br>131|<br>139|
|FEKALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>1|
|5-9<br>11<br>9|10|11|<br>12<br>12|11|<br>10|<br>10|<br>1|
|10-14<br>11<br>11|<br>9|<br>10|<br>11<br>12|<br>12|<br>11|<br>10|<br>10|
|15-19<br>8<br>11|<br>11|<br>8|<br>10<br>11|<br>12|<br>11|<br>11|<br>10|
|20-24<br>6<br>8|<br>10|<br>10|<br>8<br>10|<br>11|<br>12|<br>11|<br>1|
|25-29<br>4<br>6|<br>7|<br>10|<br>10<br>8|<br>10|<br>11|<br>12|<br>1|
|<br> <br> <br>30-34<br>3<br>4|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>7|<br> <br> <br> <br>10<br>10|<br> <br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>10|<br> <br> <br>11|<br><br> <br>12|
|35-39<br>3<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|<br>7<br>10|<br>10|<br>8|<br>10|<br>1|
|40-44<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5<br>7|<br>10|<br>10|<br>8|<br>10|
|45-49<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>10|<br>8|
|50-54<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|<br>10|<br>10|
|5559<br>2<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|<br>7|<br>9|
|60-64<br>2<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3<br>3|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|<br>6|
|65-69<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>5|
|70-74<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|
|75+<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>r<br>3|<br>3<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4||
|TOTAL<br>72<br>79|<br>87|<br>r<br>96|<br>104<br>111|<br>119|<br>126|<br>134|<br>14|
|BIRTH RATE<br>30.6|29.7|27.9|24.9<br>21.4|18.7|17.8|17.6|16.9|
|DEATH RATE<br>5.9|5.5|5.3|5.1<br>5.0|5.0|5.0|5.0|5.2|
|RATE OFMAT.INC.<br>2.46|2.42|2.26|1.98<br>1.63|1.37|1.28|1.26|1.17|
|HETMIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-4.2|-3.5|-2.9|-2.5<br>-1.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>2.05|2.07|1.97|1.74<br>1.44|1.37|1.28|1.26|1.17|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.800|3.399|3.040|2.718<br>2.431|2.174|2.080|2.078|2.076|
|URR<br>1.817|1.629|1.457|1.304<br>1.167|1.045|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES<br>72.06|72.74|73.06|7338<br>73.71|74.04|74.38|74.72|75.06|
|edIO) - BOTH SEXES<br>64.22|64.68|64.93|65.18<br>65.43|65.69|65.95|66.22|66.48|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>22.9|20.7|19.9|19.1<br>18.2|17.4|16.6|15.8|15.0|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES<br>.0272|.0243|0233|0224<br>0214|0204|0194|0184|0174|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>107.7<br>85.|<br>7<br>74.|.<br>2<br>72.|.<br>.<br>6<br>67.2<br>59.|.<br>1<br>50.|.<br>3<br>43.|.<br>7<br>41.|.<br>1<br>42.0|
159

# ST. WLCIA Projection with NRRm1 by 2015 (thousands)

# Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|. .,.....<br>.X. .............................................<br>AGE**GROP**<br>1985|.................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|...<br>..................<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>NF<br>137|186|265|32S|<br>343|350|352|352|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>10|12|11|11|11|11|11|11|
|5-9<br>51|<br>12||11|11|11|11|11|
|10-14<br>3I|<br>10|10|11|11|11|11|11|
|15-19<br>a|10|II|II|11|11|11|II|
|20-24<br>5|11||12<br>11|<br>II|11|11|11|
|25-29<br>3|10|12|11|II|11|11|11|
|30-34<br>2||9<br>11|10|11|<br>11|11|<br>11|
|35-39<br>2|4|10|10|11|11|11|<br>11|
|40-44<br>2|2|9|II|11|II|11|11|
|45-49<br>2|2|10|II|II|11|II|11|
|50-54<br>2|2|10|11|11|11|11|<br>11|
|55-59<br>2|2|6|10|10|10|11|<br>11|
|60-64<br>1|2|4|9|9|10|10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>1|2|2|7|9|9|9|9|
|70-74<br>1|1|1|6|8|8|8|8|
|75+<br>I|1|2|7|11|12|13|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>65|90|131|160|168|172|<br>173|<br>174|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>9|12|11|11|11|11|11|<br>11|
|2-9<br>61|<br>11|10|1I|11|11|11|11|
|10-14<br>11|10|10|11|11|11|11|<br>11|
|15-19<br>3|<br>8|11|10|<br>11|11|11|<br>11|
|20-24<br>6|10|11|II|11|II|11|11|
|35-29<br>4|10|12|0I|<br>11|11|11|<br>11|
|30-34<br>3|7|11|10|11|<br>11|11|<br>11|
|35-39<br>3|<br>3|<br>10|10|11|11|<br>11|<br>11|
|40-44<br>3|3|1|11|11|11|11|<br>11|
|45-49<br>3|3|10|11|11|11|11|11|
|50-54<br>3|3|10|11|11|11|II|11|
|55-59<br>2|3|7|11|10|10|11|<br>11|
|60-64<br>2|3|5|<br>9|10|10|10|<br>10|
|65-69<br>2|3|3|7|10|10|10|<br>10|
|70-74<br>1|2|2|8|10|10|9|9|
|75+<br>2|3|4|11|17|19|19|<br>20|
|TOTAL<br>72|96|134|165|<br>175|<br>178|<br>178|<br>178|
|BIRTH RATE|29.3|19.8|15.0|13.3|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.6|5.0|6.9|11.1|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.5|-. 8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.03|1.42|.82|.22|.08|.02|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.392|2.280|2.073|2.066|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - **W**TH SEXES|72.65|74.09|75.79|77.59|79.27|79.50|79.50|
|<br>**INR**- BOTH**SEXES**|21.1|17.5|13.4|9.3|5.7|5.3|5.3|
160 ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES Projection with HRR1 by 2010 (thousands)

|..................................<br>AGEGROLP<br>1985<br>1990<br>~~~~~~~~~~~~........**....**<br>. .. .. .. .|...............................................<br> <br>1995<br>**................**<br>. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..|......................<br>2000<br>**.**..<br>.. .|2005|2010|<br>2015|_......<br> <br>2020<br>................|<br>..........<br>......<br> <br>2025<br>.........................|......................................................<br>2030<br>..... ...........|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN*F<br>117<br>128|<br>138|<br>149|161|172|<br>182|<br>193|<br>202|210|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>8<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|8|
|5-9<br>8<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|8|
|10-14<br>7<br>8|<br>7|<br>8|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|a|
|15-19<br>7<br>7|<br>8|<br>7|8|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|c|
|20-24<br>7<br>7|<br>6|<br>7|7|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|7|
|25-29<br>6<br>7|6|6|7|7|8|8|8|8|
|30-34<br>4<br>6|6|6|6|7|7|8|8|8|
|35-39<br>3<br>4|5|6|6|6|7|7|8|8|
|40-44<br>2<br>3|4|5|6|6|6|7|7|7|
|45-49<br>1<br>2|3|3|5|6|6|6|7|7|
|50-54<br>1<br>1|2|3|3|5|6|6|6|7|
|55-59<br>1<br>1|1|2|2|3|5|6|6|6|
|60-64<br>1<br>1|1|1|2|2|3|4|5|5|
|65-69<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|2|3|4|5|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|2|2|3|
|75.<br>1<br>1|1|1|1|1|1|1|2|2|
|TOTAL<br>57<br>62|68|73|79|85|90|96|100|104|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>8<br>8|8|8|8|7|7|8|8|8|
|5-9<br>8<br>7|8|a|8|8|7|7|8|8|
|10-14<br>7<br>8|7|8|8|8|8|7|7|8|
|15-19<br>7<br>7|7|7|7|8|8|8|7|7|
|20-24<br>7<br>6|6|7|7|7|8|8|8|7|
|25-29<br>6<br>6|6|6|7|7|7|8|8|8|
|30-34<br>4<br>6|6|6|6|7|7|7|8|8|
|35-39<br>3<br>4|5|6|6|6|7|7|7|8|
|40-44<br>2<br>3|4|5|6|6|6|7|7|7|
|45-49<br>2<br>2|3|4|5|6|6|6|7|7|
|50-54<br>2<br>2|2|3|3|5|6|6|6|7|
|55-59<br>2<br>2|2|2|3|3|5|6|6|6|
|60-64<br>2<br>2|2|2|2|2|3|5|6|6|
|65-69<br>1<br>2|2|2|2|2|2|3|5|5|
|70-74<br>1<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|4|
|75+<br>1<br>1|1|N<br>2|2|2|2|2|3|4|
|TOTAL<br>60<br>65|71|¶ 76|81|87|92|97|102|106|
|BIRTH RATE<br>26.8|25.1|22.6<br>|20.4<br>|18.4|17.3|16.7|16.0<br>|15.2|
|DEATH RATE<br>6.3|5.8|5.4|5.3|5.2|5.3|5.6|6.3|7.2|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.<br>2.05|1.93|1.72<br>|1.51<br>|1.32|1.21|1.11|.97|.80|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-3.3|-3.0|-2.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>1.72|1.63|1.47<br>|1.51<br>1|.32|1.21|1.11|.97|.80|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.010|2.771|2.551<br>2|.348<br>2|.162|2.092|2.085|2.084<br>2|.082|
|NRR<br>1.396|1.298|1.204<br>1|.115<br>1|.030|1.000|1.000|1.000<br>1|.000|
|e(O)- 80TH SEXES<br>69.28|70.33|71.26<br>7|2.07<br>7|2.80|73.42|73.98|74.32<br>7|4.66|
|ed1O) - BOTH SEXES<br>62.26|62.95|63.57<br>6|4.13<br>6|4.65|65.10|65.50|65.77<br>6|6.04|
|IMR- BOTHSEXES<br>31.6|27.9|24.7<br>|22.1<br>|19.9|18.0|16.3|15.6<br>|14.9|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES<br>.0385|.0335|.0294<br>.0|260<br>.0|233|.0209|.0188|.0179<br>.|0170|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>74.3<br>69.6|<br> <br>62.4|<br> <br> <br>56.6|<br> <br>50.5|<br>45.|<br>5<br>43.|<br>1<br>43.0|<br><br> <br>46.0|49.2|
161

# ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES Projection with NRRzl by 2010 Cthcusrlds)

Summry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|<br>2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>117|149|<br>202|<br>230|<br>238|<br>243|<br>245|<br>245|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|5-9<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|10-14<br>7|<br>8|<br>a|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|15-19<br>7|<br>7|<br>a|a|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|20-24<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|25-29<br>6|<br>6|<br>8|8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|30-34<br>4|<br>6|<br>8|<br>8|<br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>8|<br> <br> <br>8|<br><br> <br>8|
|35-39<br>3|<br>6|<br>8|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|40-44<br>2|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|45-49<br>1|<br>3|<br>7|<br>7|<br>a|8|<br>8|<br>8|
|50-54<br>1|<br>3|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|55-59<br>1|<br>2|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|60-64<br>1|<br>1|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>4|6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>S|<br>8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>9|
|TOTAL<br>57|<br>73|<br>100|<br>113|117|<br>120|<br>121|<br>121|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|
|5-9<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|
|10-14<br>7|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|15-19<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|
|20-24<br>7|<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>6|<br>6|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|30-34<br>4|<br>6|<br>8|<br>8|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>3|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|40-44<br>2|<br>5|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|45-49<br>2|<br>4|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|50-54<br>2|<br>3|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|55-59<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|<br>5|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>3|<br>6|<br>6|6|<br>7|<br>7|
|75+<br>1|<br>2|<br>3|<br>8|<br>12|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>60|<br>76|<br>102|<br>116|<br>121|<br>123|<br>124|<br>124|
|BIRTH RATE|24.7|17.6|14.2|13.2|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.8|5.5|9.2|11.7|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.9|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.61|1.23|.51|.15|.08|.03|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.754|2.150|2.078|2.069|2.060|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|70.34|73.39|75.38|7T.18|79.02|79.50|79.50|
|IHR- BOTHSEXES|28.1|18.4|13.4|9.7|6.1|5.3|5.3|
162 SURINAME Projection with NRRI1 by 2010 (thousards)

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|<br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015<br>2020<br>202|5<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>393|440|489|535|576|614|<br>654<br>694<br>733|<br>766|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>30|32|33|31|28|27|<br>29<br>30<br>30|<br>30|
|5-9<br>20|29|32|32|30|28|<br>27<br>28<br>30|<br>30|
|10-14<br>25|20|29|31|32|30|<br>28<br>27<br>28|<br>30|
|15-19<br>24|25|<br>20|<br>29|31|32|<br>30<br>28<br>27|<br>28|
|20-24<br>23|23|<br>24|<br>19|29|31|<br>32<br>30<br>28|<br>27|
|25-29<br>16|22|<br>23|<br>24|19|29|<br>31<br>32<br>30|<br>28|
|30-34<br>11|15|<br>22|<br>22|24|19|<br>28<br>31<br>31|<br>30|
|35-39<br>8|10|<br>15|<br>21|22|23|<br>19<br>28<br>30|<br>31|
|40-44<br>7|8|<br>10|<br>15|21|22|<br>23<br>19<br>28||
|45-49<br>6|7|<br>7|<br>10|14|21|<br>21<br>23<br>18|<br>27|
|50-54<br>7|6|<br>6|<br>7|10|14|<br>20<br>21<br>22|<br>18|
|55-59<br>6|7|<br>5|<br>6|7|9|<br>13<br>19<br>20|<br>21|
|60-64<br>4|5|<br>6|<br>5|5|6|<br>8<br>12<br>17|<br>18|
|65-69<br>3|3|<br>5|<br>5|4|5|<br>5<br>7<br>11|<br>15|
|70-74<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>4|4|3|<br>4<br>4<br>6|<br>9|
|75r<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>3|4|5|<br>5<br>5<br>5|<br>7|
|TOTAL<br>194|217|<br>241|<br>264|285|304|<br>323<br>344<br>363|<br>379|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>29|31|<br>31|<br>30|28|27|<br>28<br>29<br>29|<br>29|
|5-9<br>20|28|31|31|29|27|26<br>28<br>29|<br>29|
|10-14<br>24|20|<br>28|<br>31|31|29|<br>27<br>26<br>28|<br>29|
|15-19<br>25|24|<br>20|<br>28|30|31|<br>29<br>27<br>26|<br>28|
|20-24<br>23|24|<br>23|<br>19|28|30|<br>31<br>29<br>27|<br>26|
|25-29<br>16|22|<br>24|<br>23|19|28|<br>30<br>31<br>29|<br>27|
|30-34<br>11|16|<br>22|<br>24|23|19|<br>28<br>30<br>31|<br>29|
|35-39<br>9|11|<br>15|<br>22|24|23|<br>19<br>28<br>30|<br>31|
|40-44<br>9|9|<br>10|<br>15|22|23|<br> <br>23<br>19<br>27|<br><br> <br>30|
|45-49<br>8|9|<br>9|<br>10|15|21|<br>23<br>22<br>19|<br>27|
|50-54<br>7|8|<br>8|<br>8|10|15|<br>21<br>23<br>22|<br>18|
|55-59<br>6|7|<br>7|<br>8|8|10|<br>14<br>20<br>22|<br>22|
|60-64<br>5|6|<br>6|<br>7|8|8|<br>9<br>14<br>20|<br>21|
|65-69<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>6|6|7|<br>7<br>9<br>13|<br>18|
|70-74<br>2|2|<br>4|<br>4|5|5|<br>6<br>6<br>8|<br>11|
|75+<br>3|3|3|4|5|7|8<br>9<br>10|<br>11|
|TOTAL<br>199|223|248|270|291|310|330<br>350<br>370|<br>387|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|32.0|28.8|24.4|20.8|18.6|18.2<br>18.0<br>17.1|15.8|
|DEATH RATE|6.c|6.3|5.9|5.8|5.8|5.8<br>6.0<br>6.3|6.7|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.<br>|2.50|2.25|1.85|1.50|1.29|1.23<br>1.20<br>1.08|.91|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-2.4|-1.3|-. 8|.0|.0|.0<br>.0<br>.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE<br>|2.26|2.12|1.77|1.50|1.29|1.23<br>1.20<br>1.08|.91|
|TOTfP-<br>FERTILITY<br>3|.679|3.240|2.854<br>2|.514<br>2|.214|2.105<br>2.097<br>2.090|2.084|
|NRR<br>1|.667|1.490|1.328<br>1|.180<br>1|.046|1.000<br>1.000<br>1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|6.64|68.00|69.23<br>7|0.27<br>7|1.20|72.01<br>72.73<br>73.36|73.91|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|0.66|61.45|62.24<br>6|2.92<br>6|3.54|64.10<br>64.62<br>65.07|65.46|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES<br>|42.1|36.5|32.0|28.3<br>|25.1|22.4<br>20.2<br>18.3|16.7|
|q(S)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0532|.0451|.0389<br>.|0340<br>.|0298|.0264<br>.0237<br>.0213|.0192|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>70.6|68.1|<br>72.6|<br>65.7|56.5|48.|<br>7<br>44.2<br>43.1<br>44.|7<br>47.9|
163 SURINANE Projection with NRRui by 2010 (thousands)

# Summry for 25 Year Periods

|............................................................................<br>AGE**GRCIJP**<br>1985|.............................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................||................................|.......................................|....|||*.|
|TOTALN+F<br>393|535|733|852|890|910|921|924|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>30|31|30|30|29|30|30|30|
|5-9<br>20|32|30|29|29|29|30|30|
|10-14<br>25|31|28|29|29|29|30|30|
|15-19<br>24|29|27|29|29|29|30|30|
|20-24<br>23|19|28|29|29|a|29|29|
|25-29<br>16|24|30|30|29|29|29|29|
|<br>30-34<br>11|22|31|29|29|29|29|29|
|35-39<br>8|21|30|28|28|29|29|29|
|40-44<br>7|15|28|26|28|29|29|29|
|45-49<br>6|10|18|27|28|29|29|29|
|50-54<br>7|7|22|28|28|28|28|29|
|55-59<br>6|6|20|28|27|27|28|28|
|60-64<br>4|5|17|26|24|25|26|26|
|65-69<br>3|5|11|21|21|23|24|24|
|70-74<br>2|4|6|12|18|20|21|21|
|75+<br>2|3|5|19|29|31|33|34|
|TOTAL<br>194|264|363|420|<br>437|447|454|456|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>29|30|29|29|28|28|28|28|
|5-9<br>20|31|29|28|28|<br>28|28|28|
|i0-14<br>24|31|28|28|28|28|28|28|
|15-19<br>25|28|26|28|28|28|28|28|
|20-24<br>23|19|27|28|29|28|28|28|
|25-29<br>16|23|29|29|28|28|28|28|
|30-34<br>11|24|31|29|<br>28|28|28|28|
|35-39<br>9|22|30|27|28|28|28|28|
|40-44<br>9|15|27|26|28|28|28|28|
|45-49<br>8|10|19|27|28|28|28|28|
|50-54<br>7|8|22|28|29|28|28|28|
|55-59<br>6|8|22|29|<br>28|27|28|28|
|60-64<br>5|7|20|28|26|27|27|27|
|65-69<br>3|6|13|24|23|26|26|26|
|70-74<br>2|4|8|15|22|24|25|25|
|75+<br>3|4|10|28|43|48|<br>51|51|
|TOTAL<br>199|270|370|432|453|462|467|<br>468|
|BIRTH RATE|28.1|18.4|14.6|13.3|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.4|5.9|8.6|11.6|12.1|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RJ%TE|<br>-1.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWJTH<br>RATE|2.05|1.26|.60|.17|.09|.05|.01|
|TOTALFERTILITY|3.231|2.191|2.079|2.071|2.063|2.058|2.058|
|**e(O)-** BOTH SEXES|68.05|72.01|74.73|76.49|78.34|79.50|79.50|
|<br>**IMR-** BOTH SEXES|37.0|22.8|14.7|11.0|7.4|5.3|5.3|
164 TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO Projection with NRRu1 by 2010 (thousands)

|..........................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|............................<br> <br>1995|.................................................................<br> <br>2000<br>2005<br>2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..............................................................................|............................|........................||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>1185|1273|1354|<br>1431<br>1511<br>1590|1670|1749|1819|<br>1877|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>72|77|72|68<br>66<br>66|68|69|69|68|
|5-9<br>64|70|75|71<br>68<br>66|65|67|69|69|
|10-14<br>63|63|69|74<br>70<br>67|65|65|67|69|
|15-19<br>62|62|62|68<br>74<br>70|67|65|_65_|67|
|20-24<br>66|59|59|60<br>67<br>73|69|67|65|65|
|25-29<br>54|62|56|57<br>58<br>66|72|69|66|65|
|30.34<br>44|51|59|54<br>55<br>57|65|72|69|66|
|35-39<br>35|41|48|57<br>52<br>54|57|65|71|68|
|40-44<br>28|33|40|47<br>56<br>52|54|56|64|71|
|45-49<br>23|26|32|38<br>46<br>55|51|53|55|63|
|50-54<br>18|22|**25**|30<br>37<br>44|53|49|51|54|
|55-59<br>17|17|20|24<br>29<br>35|42|51|47|49|
|60-64<br>14|15|15|19<br>22<br>26|32|39|47|44|
|65-69<br>12|12|<br>13|<br>13<br>16<br>19|23|29|35|<br>42|
|70-74<br>9|10|<br>10|<br>11<br>11<br>13|16|19|24|<br>29|
|75+<br>9|10|11|12<br>13<br>14|16|19|23|29|
|TOTAL<br>589|629|667|702<br>740<br>778|816|854|8B8|<br>916|
|FE4ALES||||||||
|0-4<br>71|75|71|67<br>65<br>65|66|68|67|66|
|5-9<br>63|69|74|70<br>67<br>65|64|66|68|67|
|10-14<br>**58**|62|68|73<br>70<br>66|65|64|66|68|
|15-19<br>61|57|61|68<br>73<br>69|66|64|64|66|
|20-24<br>68|59|55|60<br>67<br>72|69|66|64|64|
|25-29<br>55|66|57|54<br>59<br>66|72|69|66|64|
|30-34<br>44|53|64|56<br>53<br>58|66|72|69|66|
|35-39<br>36|43|52|63<br>55<br>53|58|66|72|68|
|40-44<br>28|35|42|51<br>62<br>55|52|58|65|71|
|45-49<br>23|27|34|41<br>50<br>62|54|52|57|65|
|50-54<br>19|22|27|34<br>40<br>50|61|53|51|57|
|55-59<br>19|18|22|26<br>33<br>39|48|59|52|50|
|60-64<br>15|18|17|21<br>25<br>31|38|47|57|<br>50|
|65-69<br>12|14|16|16<br>19<br>23|29|35|44|54|
|70-74<br>12|10|12|14<br>14<br>17|20|26|31|39|
|75+<br>12<br> <br>|15<br>|16<br>|17<br>20<br>22<br> <br>|25|29|36|45|
|TOTAL<br>596|644|688|729<br>771<br>812|854|895|931|961|
|BIRTH RATE<br>|25.9|22.7|20.2<br>18.4<br>17.2<br>|16.8|16.4|15.6|14.8|
|DEATH RATE|6.7|6.5|6.2<br>6.2<br>6.3|6.6|7.1|7.7|8.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>|1.92|1.63|1.39<br>1.22<br>1.09<br>|1.02|.93|.79|.63|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>|-4.9|-3.8|-2.9<br>-1.4<br>-. 6|-. 4|.0|.0|.C|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>|1.43|1.24|1.10<br>1.08<br>1.03|.98|.93|.7°|.63|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2|.800|2.615|2.443<br>2.281<br>2.131<br>2|.073<br>2|.071<br>2|.069|2.067|
|NRR<br>1|.321|1.241|1.166<br>1.094<br>1.026<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES<br>6|9.83|70.82|71.67<br>72.44<br>73.10<br>7|3.59<br>7|3.95<br>7|4.32|74.69|
|e(1O) - BOTH SEXES<br>6|2.63|63.29|63.86<br>64.41<br>64.89<br>6|5.23<br>6|5.52<br>6|5.81|66.10|
|IXR- BOTH SEXES<br>|29.8|26.4|23.5<br>21.1<br>19.1<br>|17.6<br>|16.8<br>|16.0|15.1|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES<br>.|0361|.0316|.0278<br>.0248<br>.0223<br>.0|204<br>.|0194<br>.|0184|.0174|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>62.7|61.9|<br>60.0|<br>54.9<br>49.3<br>46.2|45.6|46.8|49.2|<br>52.2|
165

# TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO Projection with NRR*1 by 2010 (thousands)

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|<br>2125<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......................|......................................|..........|||.........<br>.......|..........<br>.....................................................|
|TOTAL<br>M4F<br>1185|1431|1819|2021|2095|2139|<br>2151<br>2154|
|MALES|||||||
|0-4<br>72|68|69|69|68|68|68<br>68|
|5-9<br>64|71|69|68|68|68|68<br>68|
|10-14<br>63|74|67|67|68|68|68<br>68|
|15-19<br>62|68|65|67|68|68|68<br>68|
|20-24<br>66|60|65|67|68|68|68<br>68|
|25-29<br>54|57|66|68|68|68|68<br>68|
|30-34<br>44|54|69|68|67|68|68<br>68|
|35-39<br>35|57|71|66|66|67|68<br>68|
|40-44<br>28|47|64|63|66|67|68<br>68|
|45-49<br>23|38|55|63|65|67|67<br>67|
|50-54<br>18|30|51|63|65|66|66<br>66|
|55-59<br>17|24|47|63|63|64|64<br>64|
|60-64<br>14|19|47|61|58|60|61<br>61|
|65-69<br>12|13|35|50|51|55|56<br>56|
|70-74<br>9|11|24|36|43|47|48<br>49|
|75*<br>9|12|23|48|69|76|79<br>79|
|TOTAL<br>589|702|888|987|1023|<br>1046|<br>1053<br>1056|
|FEMALES|||||||
|0-4<br>71|67|67|67|66|66|66<br>66|
|5-9<br>63|70|68|66|66|66|66<br>66|
|10-14<br>58|73|66|66|66|66|66<br>66|
|15-19<br>61|68|64|66|66|66|66<br>66|
|20-24<br>68|60|64|66|67|66|66<br>66|
|25-29<br>55|54|66|67|67|66|66<br>66|
|30-34<br>44|56|69|67|66|66|66<br>66|
|35-39<br>36|63|72|66|66|66|66<br>66|
|40-44<br>28|51|65|64|65|66|66<br>66|
|45-49<br>23|41|57|63|66|66|66<br>66|
|50-54<br>19|34|51|64|66|66|66<br>66|
|55-59<br>19|26|52|66|66|65|65<br>65|
|60-64<br>15|21|57|67|63|63|64<br>64|
|65-69<br>12|16|44|58|58|61|62<br>62|
|70-74<br>12|14|31|46|53|57|58<br>58|
|75+<br>12|17|36|75|106|118|<br>121<br>121|
|TOTAL<br>596|729|931|1034|<br>1072|<br>1093|<br>1098<br>1098|
|BIRTH RATE|22.8|16.8|14.1|13.2|12.8|12.6<br>12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.5|6.8|9.9|11.7|12.0|12.4<br>12.5|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.8|-. 5|.0|.0|.0|.0<br>.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.26|.96|.42|.14|.08|.02<br>.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.630|2.121|2.063|2.053|2.044|2.043<br>2.043|
|eCO)- BOTH<br>SEXES|70.81|73.52|75.46|77.42|79.26|79.52<br>79.52|
|IR- BOTH SEXES|26.7|18.1|13.5|9.4|5.7|5.2<br>5.2|
166

# VENEZUELA Projection with NRR=1 _by_ 2005 (thousands)

|**.....**<br>,<br>**.**...<br>_<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|....................**..........**........<br>1990|.............................................<br>1995|.<br>2000|2005|<br>2010|2015|......|...<br>............<br>2020|....<br>2025|.....<br>.....<br>.<br> <br>MO30|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|,,,,,.<br>. .......<br>............<br>......|...............................................|.............................................|.............|||||||.......**.**...|
|TOTALN+F<br>17317|<br>19762|22116|24172|<br>25999|<br>27797|29643||31394|32935|<br>34216|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>1302|1396|1376|1259|<br>1182|<br>1219|<br>1302||1329|<br>1303|<br>1266|
|5-9<br>1160|1296|1390|1370|<br>1255|<br>1178|<br>1214||1297|<br>1323|<br>1298|
|10-14<br>1022|1158|1294|1387|<br>1368|<br>1253|<br>1176||1212|<br>1294|<br>1321|
|15-19<br>951|1020|1156|1291|1384|<br>1365|<br>1249||1172|<br>1208|<br>1290|
|20-24<br>854|950|1019|1153|<br>1287|<br>1379|<br>1359||1243|<br>1167|<br>1202|
|25-29<br>731|854|950|1018|<br>1151|<br>1283|<br>1373||1352|<br>1236|<br>1161|
|30-34<br>635|731|853|948|1015|<br>1146|<br>1276||1365|<br>1344|<br>1229|
|35-39<br>520|633|728|849|<br>943|<br>1009|<br>1139||1267|<br>1355|<br>1334|
|40-44<br>385|515|627|721|841|<br>934|999||1127|<br>1254|<br>1342|
|45-49<br>303|378|506|616|709|827|919||982|1109|<br>1234|
|50-54<br>258|293|366|490|597|688|804||893|956|<br>1179|
|55-59<br>213|243|277|347|465|568|656||767|853|<br>913|
|60-64<br>159|194|223|254|319|429|525||607|710|<br>791|
|65-69<br>112|138|169|194|223|280|379||464|537|<br>629|
|70-74<br>74|89|110|136|157|181|229||310|380|<br>441|
|75+<br>73|85|102|125|155|186|219||270|354|<br>446|
|TOTAL<br>8751|9972|11143|<br>12158|<br>13051|<br>13925|<br>14818||15656|<br>16383|<br>16976|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>1265|1355|1335|1221|1146|<br>1181|1260||1285|<br>1260|<br>1224|
|5-9<br>1120|1264|1355|1336|1222|<br>1146|<br>1180||1259|128|4<br>1259|
|10-14<br>986|1120|1265|1356|1336|<br>1222|<br>1146||1179|1258|<br>1283|
|15-19<br>920|986|1121|1265|1356|<br>1336|<br>1221||1145|1178|<br>1257|
|20-24<br>827|921|988|1122|1266|<br>1356|<br>1335||1220|<br>1144|<br>1177|
|**25-29**<br>709|<br>829|923|989|1123|<br>1265|<br>1354||1333|1218|<br>1142|
|30-34<br>613|709|829|<br>923|989|1122|<br>1263||1351|1330|<br>1216|
|35-39<br>502|611|708|827|921|987|<br>1119||1259|1347|<br>1326|
|40-44<br>375|**499**|608|704|823|917|982||1113|1254|<br>1341|
|45-49<br>301|370|493|602|697|816|909||974|1104|<br>1244|
|50-54<br>258|**295**|363|485|592|687|804||897|961|<br>1090|
|55-59<br>216|249|286|353|472|578|671||786|877|<br>940|
|60-64<br>167|205|237|273|338|453|556||646|757|<br>845|
|65-69<br>124|153|188|219|253|315|423||520|605|<br>710|
|70-74<br>87|106|132|163|192|223|278||374|460|<br>537|
|75+<br>98<br>|116<br>|142<br>|177<br> <br>|222<br> <br>|270<br>|322||396|514|<br>649|
|TOTAL<br>8566|9789|10973|<br>12014|<br>12947|<br>13872|14825||15738|16552|<br>17240|
|BIRTH RATE|30.6|26.6|22.0|19.0|18.2|18.2||17.5|16.2|15.1|
|DEATH RATE|5.0|4.8|4.7|4.8|5.1|5.4||6.0|6.6|7.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.56|2.18|1.73|1.42|1.31|1.28||1.15|.96|.76|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.8|.7|.5|.4|.2|.1||.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.64|2.25|1.78|1.46|1.34|1.29||1.15|.96|.76|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.77J|3.265|2.664|2.239|2.089|2.084||2.083|2.082|2.081|
|NRR|1.770|1.544|1.266|1.069|<br>1.000|<br>1.000|<br>|<br>1.000|<br>1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|70.06|71.01|71.83|72.57|73.21|73.76||73.94|74.12|74.30|
|**et1O)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|62.80|63.44|63.99|64.52|64.97|65.36||65.51|65.65|65.80|
|**INR**- BOTH**SEXES**<br>|29.2<br>|25.9|23.1|20.9|18.9|17.2||16.8|16.4|16.0|
|**q(S)**- BOTH SEXES|.0353|.0309|.0273|.0245|.0221|.0199||.0194|.0189|.0185|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>75.0|72.1|66.8|<br>58.7|<br>50.4|<br>45.2|<br>44.5||46.0|47.3|<br>47.8|
167

# VENEDUELA Projection with NRRI1 by 2005 (thousands)

# Suumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GR0UP<br>1935|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>17317|24172|32935|37560|38490|38982|**39437**|39897|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1302|1259|1303|1295|1287|1285|1287|1290|
|5-9<br>1160|1370|1323|1285|1277|1280|1285|1288|
|10-14<br>1022|1387|1294|1262|1269|1278|1284|1287|
|15-19<br>9f1|1291|1208|1243|1268|1278|1282|1285|
|20-24<br>854|1153|1167|1250|1273|1277|1278|1282|
|25-29<br>731|1018|1236|<br>1280|<br>1276|<br>1271|<br>1272|<br>1278|
|30-34<br>635|948|1344|<br>1298|<br>1264|<br>1260|<br>1266|<br>1274|
|3539<br>520|849|1355|<br>1263|<br>1236|<br>1248|<br>1261|<br>1270|
|40-44<br>385|721|1254|<br>1172|<br>1211|<br>1240|<br>1255|<br>1265|
|45-49<br>303|616|1109|<br>1120|<br>1206|<br>1235|<br>1245|<br>1253|
|50-54<br>258|490|956|1162|1212|1217|1221|<br>1231|
|55-59<br>213|347|853|1215|<br>1186|<br>1167|<br>1175|<br>1193|
|60-64<br>159|254|710|1147|<br>1085|<br>1078|<br>1103|<br>1131|
|65-69<br>112|194|537|953|<br>908|958|<br>1001|<br>1034|
|70-74<br>74|136|380|706|<br>733|<br>812|<br>855|<br>886|
|75+<br>73|125|354|815|1169|1245|1314|1396|
|TOTAL<br>8751|12158|163S3|18467|18861|19129|19384|19643|
|FEtALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1265|<br>1221|<br>1260|<br>1250|<br>1239|<br>1235|<br>1234|<br>1234|
|5-9<br>1120|<br>1336|<br>124|1244|<br>1233|<br>1233|<br>1234|<br>1234|
|10-14<br>986|1356|1258|1224|1228|1233|1235|1235|
|15-19<br>920|1265|1178|1209|1229|1235|1235|1234|
|20-24<br>827|1122|1144|<br>1220|<br>1238|<br>1237|<br>1235|<br>1234|
|25-29<br>709|989|1218|<br>1255|<br>1245|<br>1235|<br>1233|<br>1233|
|30-34<br>613|923|1330|<br>1277|<br>1238|<br>1229|<br>1230|<br>1232|
|35-39<br>502|827|1347|<br>1249|<br>1216|<br>1222|<br>1229|<br>1232|
|40-44<br>375|704|1254|<br>1166|<br>1198|<br>1220|<br>1229|<br>1231|
|45-49<br>301|602|1104|<br>1124|<br>1202|<br>1224|<br>1226|<br>1227|
|50-54<br>258|485|961|<br>1184|<br>1225|<br>1221|<br>1216|<br>1219|
|55-59<br>216|353|<br>877|<br>1269|<br>1226|<br>1197|<br>1195|<br>1204|
|60-64<br>167|<br>273|<br>757|<br>1246|<br>1166|<br>1146|<br>1163|<br>1180|
|65-69<br>124|<br>219|<br>605|<br>1094|<br>1033|<br>1077|<br>1114|<br>1138|
|70-74<br>87|163|<br>460|<br>867|<br>902|<br>987|<br>1028|<br>1054|
|75+<br>98|177|<br>514|<br>1217|<br>1810|<br>1921|<br>2018|<br>2132|
|TOTAL<br>8566|<br>12014|<br>16552|<br>19093|19629|19853|20052|20254|
|BIRTH RATE|26.1|17.7|14.3|13.4|13.2|13.0|12.8|
|DEATH RATE|4.8|5.6|9.1|12.4|12.7|12.5|12.4|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|.7|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH RATE|2.22|1.24|.53|.10|.05|.05|.05|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.186|2.112|2.079|2.075|2.070|2.066|2.062|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|71.03|73.57|74.68|75.62|76.59|77.60|78.64|
|INR- BTHSEXES|26.2|18.0|15.2|13.1|11.0|9.0|6.9|
# LAC DE PARTM ENT IV
170

# ARGENTINA Projection with NRR-1 by 2005 (thousands)

|AGE**GROLP**<br>1985|1990|1995|<br>2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>..............<br>TOTAL M+F<br>30564|..........<br>.<br> <br>32686|.................<br>34586|..<br>.........<br>36335|..............<br> <br>37949|...<br>...<br> <br>39568|...........<br> <br>41209|...........<br>...<br> <br>42749|..................<br> <br>44118|....<br> <br>45313|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1m|1718|1641|<br>1601|<br>1575|<br>1621|<br>1673|<br>1671|<br>1643|<br>1624|
|5-9<br>1634|1760|1706|<br>1632|<br>1593|<br>1568|<br>1615|<br>1667|<br>1665|<br>1638|
|10-14<br>1408|1628|1754|<br>1702|<br>1628|<br>1590|<br>1565|<br>1611|<br>1664|<br>1662|
|15-19<br>1240|1402|1621|<br>1747|<br>1695|<br>1622|<br>1585|<br>1560|<br>1607|<br>1660|
|20-24<br>1175|1231|1393|<br>1611|<br>1737|<br>1687|<br>1614|<br>1577|<br>1554|<br>1600|
|25-29<br>1141|1165|1222|<br>1383|<br>1601|<br>1727|<br>1677|<br>1606|<br>1569|<br>1546|
|30-34<br>1093|1131|1155|<br>1212|<br>1373|<br>1590|<br>1717|<br>1668|<br>1597|<br>1562|
|35-39<br>988|1081|1119|<br>1145|<br>1202|<br>1362|<br>1579|<br>1705|<br>1657|<br>1587|
|40-44<br>863|973|<br>1066|<br>1105|<br>1131|<br>1189|<br>1348|<br>1563|<br>1689|<br>_16.2_|
|45-49<br>779|843|952|<br>1045|<br>1084|<br>1111|<br>1169|<br>1326|<br>1539|<br>1664|
|50-54<br>736|<br>751|814|<br>921|1013|<br>1052|<br>10*o|<br>1138|<br>1292|<br>1501|
|55-59<br>680|694|710|m|876|964|<br>1004|<br>1032|<br>1088|<br>1238|
|60-64<br>568|620|635|652|711|808|<br>892|<br>931|959|<br>1013|
|65-69<br>436|492|540|555|572|626|<br>714|<br>790|827|<br>854|
|70-74<br>322|348|395|435|450|466|<br>512|<br>586|651|<br>684|
|75,<br>349|386|424|478|536|578|<br>613|<br>666|751|<br>84|
|TOTAL<br>15185|<br>16222|17148|<br>17996|<br>18776|<br>19561|<br>20356|<br>21098|<br>21752|<br>22319|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>175|1670|1595|<br>1554|<br>1528|<br>1571|<br>1620|<br>1616|<br>1588|<br>1567|
|5-9<br>1591|1720|1666|<br>1592|<br>1552|<br>1526|<br>1569|<br>1618|<br>1614|<br>1587|
|10-14<br>1370|1588|1718|<br>1665|<br>1591|<br>1551|<br>1525|<br>1569|<br>1618|<br>1614|
|15-19<br>1209|13f,8|1586|<br>1716|<br>1663|<br>1589|<br>1550|<br>1524|<br>1568|<br>1617|
|20-24<br>1149|1206|1365|<br>1583|<br>1713|<br>1661|<br>1587|<br>1548|<br>1523|<br>1566|
|25-29<br>1117|1145|1203|<br>1362|<br>1580|<br>1710|<br>1659|<br>1585|1546|<br>1521|
|30-34<br>1072|<br>1112|1141|<br>1199|<br>1358|<br>1577|<br>1707|<br>1655|<br>1582|<br>1544|
|35-39<br>966|1066|1107|<br>1136|<br>1195|<br>1354|<br>1572|<br>1702|1651|<br>1579|
|40-44<br>855|958|1058|<br>11W|1130|<br>1189|<br>1348|<br>1565|1696|<br>1645|
|45-49<br>785|844|947|1047|<br>1090|<br>1120|<br>1179|<br>1338|1554|<br>1684|
|50-54<br>756|769|828|931|1031|<br>1074|<br>1105|<br>1164|1321|<br>1536|
|55-59<br>721|732|747|806|908|1007|<br>1050|<br>1082|1141|<br>1296|
|60-64<br>629|685|698|715|774|873|<br>970|<br>1013|1045|<br>1104|
|65-69<br>517|<br>577|<br>632|647|665|722|<br>817|910|953|985|
|70-74<br>412|445|500|<br>552|568|587|<br>640|726|812|853|
|75+<br>506<br>|<br>578|647|734|<br>827|896|<br>954|1034|1154|<br>1296|
|TOTAL<br>15379|<br>1646|17438|18339|<br>19173|<br>20007|<br>20853|<br>21651|<br>22366|<br>22994|
|BIRTH RATE|22.1|19.8|18.2|17.1|16.8|16.6|15.9|15.1|14.5|
|DEATH RATE|8.7|8.5|8.4|8.4|8.4|8.5|8.6|8.8|9.1|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.34|1.13|.99|.87|.84|.81|.73|.63|.53|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|**.0**|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.34|1.13|.99|.87|84|.81|.73|.63|.53|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.107|2.763|2.457|2.185|2.085|2.080|2.079|2.077|Z.076|
|NAR_|1.467|1.312|1.172|1.045|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.o00|
|**eCO)- BOTH SEXES**|70.66|71.53|72.29|72.96|73.53|74.05|74.41|74.77|75.13|
|e(lO) - BOTH SEXES|63.22|63.80|64.33|64.80|65.21|65.58|65.86|66.15|66.45|
|**IMR**- BOTH SEXES|27.2|24.2|21.8|19.8|18.0|16.4|15.6|14.8|14.0|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|0327|0287|0256|0231|0209|0189|0180|0170|0161|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>65.0|.<br> <br>65.3|.<br> <br>61.9|.<br>56.7|.<br> <br>52.6|.<br> <br>50.6|.<br> <br>50.4|.<br> <br>51.1|.<br> <br>51.2|.<br> <br>50.|
171 ARGENTINA Projection with NRRu1 by 2005 (thousands)

# Sumuary for 25 Year Periods

|.<br>.....<br>.<br>.....<br>AGE GROUP|.<br>..<br>.<br>1985|.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br> <br>2000|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2025|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2050|.<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br> <br>2075|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2100|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2125|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|~<br>.|~~~~~~<br>.**.**..<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|~~~~**.**..<br>....<br><br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|
|TOTAL<br>N+F|30564|<br>36335|<br>44118|<br>48960|<br>50533|<br>51463|<br>51706|<br>51761|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|17 3|<br>1601|<br>1643|<br>1655|<br>1656|<br>1656|<br>1655|<br>1655|
|5-9|1634|<br>1632|<br>1665|<br>1652|<br>1650|<br>1653|<br>1654|<br>1654|
|10-14|1408|<br>1702|<br>1664|<br>1638|<br>1643|<br>1652|<br>1653|<br>1653|
|15-19|1240|<br>1747|<br>1607|<br>1617|<br>1637|<br>1651|<br>1652|<br>1652|
|20-24|1175|<br>1611|<br>1554|<br>1607|<br>1637|<br>1650|<br>1650|<br>1649|
|25-29|1141|<br>1383|<br>1569|<br>1620|<br>1640|<br>1647|<br>1647|<br>1646|
|30-34|1093|<br>1212|<br>1597|<br>1639|<br>1635|<br>1640|<br>1643|<br>1643|
|35-39|988|<br>1145|<br>1657|<br>1632|<br>1617|<br>1629|<br>1638|<br>1640|
|40-44|863|<br>1105|<br>1689|<br>1567|<br>1590|<br>1620|<br>1634|<br>1635|
|45-49|779|<br>1045|<br>1539|<br>1501|<br>1570|<br>1611|<br>1624|<br>1624|
|50-54|736|921|1292|<br>1490|<br>1560|<br>1594|<br>1601|<br>1602|
|55-59|680|m|1088|<br>1465|<br>1534|<br>1550|<br>1555|<br>1558|
|60-64|568|652|959|<br>1430|<br>1450|<br>1464|<br>1475|<br>1484|
|65-69|436|<br>555|<br>827|<br>1318|<br>1273|<br>1327|<br>1352|<br>1364|
|70-74|322|<br>435|<br>651|<br>1017|<br>1049|<br>1138|<br>1169|<br>1178|
|75+|349|478|751|1176|<br>1660|<br>1855|<br>1904|<br>1918|
|TOTAL|15185|<br>17996|<br>21752|<br>24023|<br>24801|<br>25335|<br>25507|<br>25556|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|1725|1554|<br>1588|<br>1592|<br>1586|<br>1583|<br>1583|<br>1583|
|5-9|1591|<br>1592|<br>1614|<br>1594|<br>1584|<br>1582|<br>1582|<br>1583|
|10-14|1370|<br>1665|<br>1618|<br>1583|<br>1579|<br>1581|<br>1583|<br>1583|
|15-19|1209|<br>1716|1568|<br>1568|<br>1577|<br>1582|<br>1583|<br>1583|
|20-24|1149|<br>1583|<br>1523|<br>1564|<br>1582|<br>1584|<br>1583|<br>1583|
|25-29|1117|<br>1362|<br>1546|<br>1583|<br>1589|<br>1585|<br>1583|<br>1582|
|30-34|1072|<br>1199|<br>1582|<br>1608|<br>1590|<br>1583|<br>1581|<br>1581|
|35-39|966|<br>1136|<br>1651|<br>1609|<br>1579|<br>1577|<br>1579|<br>1581|
|40-44|855|1100|<br>1696|<br>1555|<br>1561|<br>1574|<br>1579|<br>1580|
|45-49|785|<br>1047|<br>1554|<br>1503|<br>1552|<br>1575|<br>1578|<br>1577|
|50-54|756|<br>931|<br>1321|<br>1513|<br>1561|<br>1575|<br>1571|<br>1569|
|55-59|721|<br>806|<br>1141|<br>1525|<br>1568|<br>1563|<br>1555|<br>1553|
|60-64|629|<br>715|<br>1045|<br>1549|<br>1537|<br>1526|<br>1525|<br>1527|
|65-69|517|<br>647|<br>953|<br>1513|<br>1428|<br>1459|<br>1472|<br>1476|
|70-74|412|<br>552|<br>812|<br>1261|<br>1274|<br>1352|<br>1373|<br>1375|
|75+|506|<br>734|<br>1154|<br>1816|<br>2584|<br>2846|<br>2889|<br>2890|
|TOTAL|15379|<br>18339|<br>22366|<br>24936|<br>25732|<br>26128|<br>26198|<br>26205|
|BIRTH RATE||20.0|16.3|14.0|13.1|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||8.5|8.5|9.8|11.8|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET NIGRAT|ION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|1.15|.78|.42|.13|.07|.02|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTI<br>|LITY<br>|2.759|2.100|2.072|2.064|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOT|H<br>SEXES|71.53|73.98|75.90|77.85|79.42|79.50|79.50|
|<br>INR- BOTH S|EXES|24.5|16.9|12.4|8.4|5.4|5.3|5.3|
172 CHILE Projection with NRRaI by 2000 (thousards)

|AGEGROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>203|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|..<br>___._................<br>..........<br>TOTALN+F<br>12074|.<br>.<br>.<br>12937|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>13749|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>14490|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>15193|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>15671|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>16507|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>17064|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>17525|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>47896|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>636|644|630|608|609|621|628|627|622|<br>61|
|5-9<br>640|630|639|625|605|606|619|626|625|<br>62|
|10-14<br>S5M|<br>637|627|636|623|603|605|618|625|<br>62|
|15-19<br>587|<br>584|633|<br>624|<br>633|<br>621|<br>601|<br>603|<br>616|<br>62|
|20-24<br>606|<br>580|<br>578|<br>628|<br>619|<br>629|<br>618|<br>599|601|<br>614|
|25-29<br>560|<br>598|<br>573|<br>572|<br>62-|<br>615|<br>626|<br>615|<br>596|<br>598|
|30-34<br>457|<br>552|<br>590|<br>S67|<br>567|<br>618|<br>612|<br>623|<br>612|<br>593|
|35-39<br>400|<br>450|545|<br>584|<br>561|<br>562|<br>614|<br>608|<br>619|<br>608|
|40-44<br>347|392|<br>443|<br>537|<br>577|<br>555|<br>557|<br>608|<br>602|<br>614|
|45-49<br>281|339|384|434|527|567|547|548|599|<br>594|
|50-54<br>231|<br>271|<br>328|<br>372|<br>421|<br>513|<br>552|<br>533|<br>535|<br>585|
|55-59<br>205|<br>218|<br>257|<br>312|<br>354|<br>402|<br>490|<br>528|<br>510|<br>513|
|60-64<br>155|<br>188|<br>200|<br>237|<br>285|<br>328|<br>373|<br>456|<br>492|<br>476|
|65-69<br>l18|<br>135|165|176|209|254|291|331|<br>406|<br>439|
|70-74<br>84|<br>95|109|<br>134|<br>143|<br>171|<br>209|<br>240|<br>274|<br>337|
|75+<br>M|100|114|132|159|180|211|255|300|<br>349|
|TOTAL<br>5984|<br>6412|6813|7175|7517|7846|<br>8152|8417|8633|<br>8805|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>618|625|610|589|589|601|607|606|600|<br>596|
|5-9<br>623|615|622|608|587|588|600|607|605|<br>599|
|10-14<br>571|621|612|620|607|587|558|<br>600|607|<br>605|
|15-19<br>572|568|618|611|619|606|586|588|600|<br>606|
|20-24<br>595|567|564|615|608|617|605|586|587|<br>599|
|25-29<br>554|589|562|560|612|606|616|605|585|<br>586|
|30-34<br>454|548|584|558|557|610|605|615|603|<br>584|
|35-39<br>407|449|544|**5se**|<br>555|<br>555|608|604|614|<br>602|
|40-44<br>357|402|445|540|577|552|553|606|601|<br>611|
|45-49<br>293|353|398|441|535|572|548|549|602|<br>597|
|50-54<br>245|287|346|391|434|528|565|541|542|<br>595|
|55-59<br>227|237|279|338|382|425|516|553|531|<br>532|
|60-64<br>178|216|227|268|325|368|409|499|535|<br>514|
|65-69<br>144|164|200|211|250|304|345|385|469|<br>504|
|70-74<br>112|125|143|175|186|221|270|307|344|<br>421|
|75+<br>140<br> <br>|159<br>|182<br>|210<br>|252<br>|285<br>|332<br>|399<br>|468<br>|<br>539<br> <br>|
|TOTAL<br>6090|6525|6937|7315|7675|8025|8355|8647|8892|<br>9092|
|BIRTH RATE|20.9|19.1|17.4|16.5|16.0|15.5|14.9|14.3|13.9|
|DEATH RATE|6.3|6.3|6.4|6.7|7.2|7.7|8.3|9.0|9.7|
|RATE OFHAT.INC.|1.46|1.28|1.09|.97|.89|.79|.66|.53|.42|
|METMIGRATION<br>RATE|-. 8|-. 6|-. 4|-.3|-.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|1.38|1.22|1.05|.95|.87|.79|.66|.53|.42|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.427|2.278|2.139|2.085|2.081|2.079|2.078|2.077|2.075|
|NRR|1.152|1.086|1.023|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|etO) - BOTH SEXES|71.58|72.34|73.02|73.59|74.11|74.42|74.73|75.05|75.36|
|e(t0)- BOTH SEXES|63.81|64.35|64.84|65.25|65.61|65.86|66.11|66.36|66.62|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES<br>|23.9|21.5|19.5|17.7|16.2|15.5|14.8|14.1|13.4|
|q(S) - BOTH SEXES|.0283|.0253|.0228|.0206|.0186|.0178|.0170|.0162|.0153|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>56.6|<br>5&.2|51.1|<br>48.4|46.4|<br>46.3|<br>47.|4<br>48.|8<br>51.|3<br>53.|
173 .............., ............~ .

CHILE Projection with **URRal by** 2000 (thousands)

# Sumlary for 25 Year Periods

|..<br>.,....<br>.......<br>.............<br>**GE GRtlP**<br>1985|_..........................<br>2000|.................................................<br>2025|..........................<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............................................................................................|............|||||||
|TOTAL**NtF**<br>**12074**|14490|17525|18714|19132|19472|19s73|19597|
|VALES||||||||
|0-4<br>636|608|622|625|626|627|627|627|
|5-9<br>640|625|625|624|625|626|626|626|
|10-14<br>**5s8**|636|625|621|623|626|626|626|
|15-19<br>587|624|616|616|621|625|626|625|
|20-24<br>606|628|601|613|620|624|625|625|
|25-29<br>560|572|596|613|619|623|624|623|
|30-34<br>457|567|612|616|618|621|622|622|
|35-39<br>400|584|619|614|613|618|621|621|
|40-44<br>347|537|602|601|606|**614**|618|619|
|45-49<br>281|434|599|581|598|610|614|615|
|50-54<br>251|372|535|566|590|602|605|606|
|55-59<br>205|312|510|562|576|585|589|590|
|60-64<br>155|237|492|536|544|554|559|562|
|6S-69<br>**118**|176|406|472|487|505|513|516|
|70-74<br>84|134|274|396|404|433|442|445|
|75.<br>88|132|300|524|628|698|720|726|
|TOTAL<br>5984|7175|8633|9181|9397|9588|9655|9675|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>618|589|600|601|600|600|599|599|
|5-9<br>623|608|605|602|600|599|599|599|
|10-14<br>571|420|607|600|599|599|599|599|
|15-19<br>572|611|600|597|598|599|599|599|
|20-24<br>595|615|587|59s|599|600|599|599|
|25-29<br>554|560|s5s|598|600|600|599|599|
|30-34<br>454|558|603|603|600|599|599|599|
|35-39<br>407|580|614|603|598|598|598|599|
|40-44<br>357|540|601|595|594|597|598|598|
|45-49<br>293|441|602|580|590|596|597|597|
|50-54<br>245|391|542|572|589|595|594|594|
|55-59<br>227|338|531|581|587|590|589|588|
|60-64<br>178|268|535|576|575|578|578|578|
|65-69<br>144|211|469|537|544|554|558|559|
|70-74<br>112|175|344|488|489|514|520|520|
|75.<br>140|210|468|805|971|1068|1092|1094|
|TOTAL<br>6090|m5|8892|953|9735|9884|9915|9922|
|BIRTH RATE|19.0|15.4|13.6|13.0|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|**OEATH**RATE|6.3|7.8|11.0|12.2|12.1|12.4|12.5|
|**NET**NIGRATION RATE|-. 6|-. 1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GUOWNH<br>RATE|1.22|.76|.26|.09|.07|.02|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.278|2.080|2.072|2.065|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES|72.34|74.41|76.03|77.71|79.28|79.50|79.50|
|<br>**INR**- **BOTH**SEXES|21.7|15.7|12.1|8.7|5.7|5.3|5.3|
174

**ECUODOR** Projection with **NRR=l** by 2015 (thousands)

|............................<br>**AGGROUP**<br>1985|..........................<br>1990|..............................<br>1995|2000|2005|<br>2010|. .....<br>......<br> <br>2015|...........................<br> <br>2020|<br>2025|............................. ...<br> <br>2:|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M.F<br>9378|10682|12038|13406|14749|<br>16016|<br>17158|<br>18254|<br>19335|<br>203|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>767|793|826|8a4|845|825|785|790|<br>817|<br>8|
|5-9<br>655|757|784|819|837|839|820|781|<br>786|<br>8|
|10-14<br>588|652|754|781|816|834|837|818|<br>779|<br>784|
|15-19<br>524|584|648|750|777|<br>812|831|834|<br>815|<br>776|
|20-24<br>441|519|579|643|744|<br>772|<br>807|826|<br>829|<br>8|
|25-29<br>368|435|513|573|637|<br>738|<br>767|802|<br>821|<br>825|
|30-34<br>309|363|430|508|**568**|<br>631|733|761|<br>797|<br>816|
|35-39<br>242|305|358|425|502|<br>562|625|726|<br>755|<br>791|
|40-44<br>194|237|299|352|418|495|555|618|<br>718|<br>747|
|45-49<br>162|189|231|292|343|<br>409|485|544|<br>607|<br>706|
|50-54<br>129|155|181|222|281|<br>332|396|470|<br>528|<br>590|
|55-59<br>105|121|146|170|209|<br>266|314|376|<br>447|<br>503|
|60-64<br>82|95|109|132|155|<br>191|<br>244|289|<br>347|<br>413|
|65-69<br>63|70|81|94|114|<br>135|<br>167|<br>213|<br>254|<br>306|
|70-74<br>43|49|55|64|75|<br>92|109|<br>135|<br>174|<br>208|
|75+<br>44|49|56|63|74|87|105|<br>127|<br>157|<br>200|
|TOTAL<br>4717|5372|<br>6050|6731|<br>7397|<br>8021|<br>8578|<br>9109|<br>9630|<br>10117|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>741|<br>766|800|<br>817|<br>819|<br>799|<br>760|765|<br>791|<br>800|
|5-9<br>637|734|<br>761|<br>796|814|<br>816|<br>797|759|<br>764|<br>790|
|10-14<br>572|<br>634|732|760|794|<br>812|815|<br>796|<br>758|<br>763|
|15-19<br>512|<br>569|632|730|<br>758|<br>793|<br>811|<br>814|<br>796|<br>758|
|20-24<br>433|508|566|629|727|<br>756|791|<br>810|<br>813|<br>795|
|25-29<br>360|429|505|563|627|<br>725|<br>754|789|<br>808|<br>81|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>305|<br>357|<br>425|<br>501|<br> <br>560|<br> <br> <br>624|<br> <br>72|<br>751|<br> <br> <br>787|<br><br> <br>806|
|35-39<br>241|<br>302|353|422|498|556|621|<br>719|<br>748|<br>784|
|40-44<br>194|<br>237|297|349|417|<br>493|552|617|<br>715|<br>744|
|45-49<br>164|<br>190|<br>233|292|344|412|<br>487|<br>546|<br>611|<br>708|
|50-54<br>132|<br>159|185|<br>227|286|337|404|479|<br>538|<br>602|
|55-59<br>108|<br>126|<br>152|<br>178|<br>219|<br>277|327|393|<br>467|<br>525|
|60-64<br>86|101|<br>118|143|<br>168|<br>208|264|312|<br>377|<br>449|
|65-69<br>68|77|91|107|<br>131|<br>154|<br>192|<br>244|<br>290|<br>352|
|70-74<br>49|57|64|77|91|<br>112|<br>133|<br>167|<br>214|<br>256|
|75+<br>58|64|73|<br>85|101|<br>122|150|183|<br>229|<br>293|
|TOTAL<br>4661|5310|5988|<br>6674|7352|<br>7995|<br>8580|<br>9145|<br>9705|<br>10236|
|BIRTH RATE|32.8|29.9|27.1|24.4|21.8|19.1|18.0|17.5|16.7|
|DEATH RATE|6.7|6.0|5.6|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.6|6.0|6.5|
|RATE OFNAT.<br>INC.|2.61|2.39|2.15|1.91|1.65|1.38|1.24|1.15|1.03|
|MET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.60|2.39|2.15|1.91|1.65|1.38|1.24|1.15|1.03|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.330|3.787|3.312|2.896|2.533|2.215|2.099|2.092|2.086|
|NRR|1.946|1.33|1.535|1.356|1.194|1.051|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eC0)- BOTH SEXES|66.03|67.49|68.75|69.86|70.83|71.68|72.44|73.10|73.68|
|e(1O)- BOTH<br>SEXES|60.32|61.15|61.93|62.66|63.31|63.87|64.41|64.89|65.30|
|**IMR**- BOTH SEXES|44.7|38.6|33.8|29.7|26.4|23.4|21.2|19.2|17.4|
|q(5)<br>-BOTH SEXES|.0570|.0481|.0413|.0359|.0316|.0277|.0248|.0223|.0201|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>84.1|<br>78.6|<br>73.0|<br> <br>65.5|<br>59.6|<br> <br>54.2|<br> <br>49.4|<br> <br>46.3|<br> <br>45.1|<br>45.|
175 ECUADOR ProJect;on with NRRu1 by 2015 (thousds) Suulry for 25 Year Periods

|**.......** **..**.......**...**<br>........................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|........<br>2000|...............<br>20Z5|..............<br>2050|..........<br>2075|...................<br>2100|2125|...<br>....<br>.<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL4FF<br>9378|13406|19335|23265|24694|25305|25577|25641|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>767|8a4|817|810|815|820|821|821|
|5-9<br>655|819|786|804|814|820|820|820|
|10-14<br>**588**|781|779|808|816|819|820|819|
|15-19<br>524|750|815|<br>816|816|817|818|818|
|20-24<br>441|643|829|8l8|810|<br>813|<br>817|<br>817|
|25-29<br>368|573|821|803|801|S09|815|816|
|30-34<br>309|508|797|771|<br>793|808|814|815|
|35-39<br>242|<br>425|755|761|794|808|813|813|
|40-44<br>194|352|718|791|799|<br>805|809|810|
|45-49<br>162|292|607|796|794|795|800|804|
|50-54<br>129|<br>222|528|<br>m|767|776|787|793|
|55-59<br>105|<br>170|447|721|<br>713|<br>749|766|772|
|60-64<br>82|132|<br>347|640|664|714|<br>732|<br>736|
|65-69<br>63|94|254|546|627|660|672|<br>675|
|70-74<br>43|64|174|386|<br>537|567|<br>577|581|
|75*<br>44|63|157|432|760|865|926|945|
|TOTAL<br>4717|6731|<br>9630|11476|12121|12444|12607|12656|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>741|817|791|<br>781|783|784|<br>785|785|
|5-9<br>637|<br>796|<br>764|778|<br>784|785|785|785|
|10-i4<br>572|<br>760|<br>758|783|<br>787|<br>786|<br>785|784|
|15-19<br>512|730|796|793|789|785|784|<br>784|
|20-24<br>433|629|813|<br>798|<br>786|<br>783|<br>784|784|
|25-29<br>360|563|808|787|<br>779|782|<br>784|784|
|30-34<br>305|501|787|<br>759|775|<br>783|<br>784|784|
|35-39<br>241|422|<br>748|<br>753|<br>779|<br>785|785|784|
|40-44<br>194|349|715|<br>787|788|<br>786|<br>784|<br>783|
|45-49<br>164|292|<br>611|799|789|781|780|<br>780|
|50-54<br>132|227|<br>538|<br>785|772|<br>771|<br>775|777|
|55-59<br>108|178|467|751|734|759|769|771|
|60-64<br>86|143|<br>377|691|709|749|759|759|
|65-69<br>68|107|<br>290|<br>623|<br>708|731|<br>735|<br>733|
|70-74<br>49|n7|<br>214|<br>478|656|680|<br>68l|680|
|75+<br>s8|85|229|645|1157|<br>1331|1412|1429|
|TOTAL<br>4661|6674|9705|11790|12573|<br>12861|12970|12985|
|BIRTH RATE|29.7|19.9|15.1|13.4|12.9|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|6.1|5.5|7.8|11.1|12.0|12.2|12.5|
|NET MIGRATIONRATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH**RATE**|2.38|1.46|.74|.24|.10|.04|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.755|2.336|2.080|2.070|2.062|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|67.53|71.70|74.57|76.54|78.63|79.50|79.50|
|**IlR**- BOTH SEXES|38.9|24.1|15.2|11.0|6.9|5.3|5.3|
176 PARAGUAY Projection with NRR1 by 2015 (thousancd)

|.. .<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>AGE GROWP<br>1985|.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>1990|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>1995|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2000|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2005|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br> <br>2010|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>............<br>2015|.<br>2020|..<br>.<br>..........<br>2025|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|---------**-**-<br>~ ----|-|-----~|<br>------<br>.....|<br>------<br>.........|<br> <br>---r<br>........|<br> <br>.........|<br>.........|<br>........|<br>.........|.....|
|TOTAL**M+F**<br>3S96||4283|4862|5423|5960|<br>6472|6942|7396|<br>7841|8250|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>296||338|345|341|336|331|319|323|334|335|
|5-9<br>251||294|335|342|339|334|329|317|322|332|
|10-14<br>224||251|<br>293|<br>334|<br>341|<br>338|<br>333|<br>328|<br>317|<br>321|
|15-19<br>204||224|<br>250|<br>292|<br>333|<br>340|<br>337|<br>332|<br>327|<br>316|
|20-24<br>184||204|222|248|290|331|338|335|<br>331|<br>325|
|25-29<br>162||184|<br>203|<br>221|<br>246|<br>288|<br>328|<br>335|<br>333|<br>329|
|30-34<br>144||162|<br>183|<br>201|<br>219|<br>244|<br>285|<br>326|<br>333|<br>331|
|35-39<br>92||144|<br>161|<br>181|<br>199|<br>217|<br>242|<br>283|<br>323|<br>331|
|40-44<br>72||91|<br>141|<br>158|<br>179|<br>196|<br>214|<br>239|<br>280|<br>_320_|
|45-49<br>61||71|<br>89|<br>138|<br>155|<br>175|<br>192|<br>210|<br>235|<br>275|
|50-54<br>46||59|<br>68|<br>86|<br>133|<br>150|<br>169|<br>187|<br>204|<br>228|
|55-59<br>40||43|<br>55|<br>64|<br>81|<br>126|<br>142|<br>161|<br>178|<br>194|
|60-64<br>33||36|<br>39|<br>50|<br>59|<br>74|<br>116|<br>131|<br>149|<br>164|
|65-69<br>25||28|<br>31|<br>34|<br>44|<br>51|<br>65|<br>102|<br>115|<br>131|
|70-74<br>16||20|<br>22|<br>25|<br>27|<br>35|<br>41|<br>53|<br>83|<br>94|
|75.<br>17||19|<br>22|<br>26|<br>29|<br>33|<br>40|<br>49|<br>61|<br>89|
|TOTAL<br>1870||2168|<br>2460|<br>2742|<br>3010|<br>3262|<br>3491|<br>3710|<br>3923|<br>4117|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>285||326|<br>333|<br>329|<br>325|<br>320|<br>309|<br>313|<br>322|<br>324|
|5-9<br>242||284|<br>325|<br>331|<br>328|<br>324|<br>319|<br>308|<br>312|<br>322|
|10-14<br>215||242|<br>283|<br>324|<br>331|<br>328|<br>324|<br>319|<br>308|<br>312|
|15-19<br>196||215|<br>241|<br>283|<br>323|<br>330|<br>327|<br>324|<br>319|<br>308|
|20-24<br>177||196|<br>214|<br>241|<br>282|<br>323|<br>330|<br>327|<br>323|<br>318|
|25-29<br>155||177|<br>195|<br>213|<br>240|<br>281|<br>322|<br>329|<br>326|<br>323|
|30-34<br>134||155|<br>176|<br>194|<br>212|<br>238|<br>280|<br>321|<br>328|<br>325|
|35-39<br>**88**||133|<br>153|<br>175|<br>193|<br>211|<br>237|<br>279|<br>319|<br>327|
|40-44<br>71||87|<br>132|<br>152|<br>173|<br>iQi|<br>209|<br>236|<br>277|<br>318|
|45-49<br>60||70|<br>86|<br>130|<br>150|<br>171|<br>189|<br>207|<br>234|<br>274|
|50-54<br>49||58|68|<br>84|<br>127|<br>147|<br>168|<br>186|<br>204|<br>230|
|55-59<br>45||47|<br>56|<br>65|<br>81|<br>123|<br>142|<br>163|<br>181|<br>199|
|60-64<br>37||42|<br>44|<br>53|<br>62|<br>77|<br>117|<br>136|<br>157|<br>174|
|65-69<br>28||33|<br>38|40|<br>48|<br>57|<br>71|<br>109|<br>127|<br>146|
|70-74<br>20||23|<br>28|<br>32|<br>34|<br>42|<br>49|<br>62|<br>95|<br>112|
|75+<br>23||26|<br>30|<br>36|<br>43|<br>48|<br>58|69|<br>86|<br>121|
|TOTAL<br>1826||2115|<br>2402|<br>2681|<br>2951|<br>3210|<br>3451|<br>3686|3918|<br>4133|
|BIRTH RATE||34.9|30.8|27.0|24.0|21.5|19.2|18.1|17.6|16.7|
|DEATH RATE||6.4|5.7|5.3|5.1|5.1|5.2|5.5|5.9|6.5|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.||2.85|2.51|2.17|1.89|1.65|1.40|1.27|1.17|1.02|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE||1.0|.2|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|**GRGOWTH**<br>RATE||2.95|2.53|2.19|1.89|1.65|1.40|1.27|1.17|1.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4|.579|3.962|3.429|2.967|2.567|2.222|2.097|2.091|2.089|
|NRR|2|.072|1.821|1.595|1.393|1.213|1.055|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|6|6.87|68.24|69.51|70.41|71.26|72.00|72.71|73.30|73.65|
|e0O)- BOTH SEXES|6|0.79|61.59|62.41|63.01|63.58|64.09|64.60|65.02|65.30|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES||41.1|35.5|30.8|27.7|24.8|22.4|20.3|18.5|17.7|
|q(5)- BOTH SEXES|.|0517|.0437|.0374|.0333|.0295|.0264|.0238|.0215|.0205|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>80.1||78.6|75.1|68.0|59.6|<br>53.0|48.2|46.6|<br>46.3|<br>47.1|
177

# PARAGUAY Projection with NRRMI by 2015 (thousands)

# Sumnery for 25 Year Periods

|AGEGROUJP<br>1985|2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>3696|5423|78m1|<br>9409|<br>9984|10217|<br>10355|<br>10387|
|NALES||||||||
|0-4<br>296|341|334|330|331|332|332|332|
|5-9<br>251|342|322|326|330|332|332|332|
|10-14<br>224|334|317|327|330|332|332|<br>332|
|15-19<br>204|292|327|330|331|331|332|<br>332|
|20-24<br>184|<br>248|331|331|329|330|331|331|
|25-29<br>162|221|333|328|325|328|330|331|
|30-34<br>144|201|333|316|322|327|330|330|
|35-39<br>92|181|323|309|321|327|329|329|
|40-44<br>72|158|280|317|322|326|328|328|
|45-49<br>61|138|235|317|321|322|324|326|
|50-54<br>46|86|204|313|312|314|319|321|
|55-59<br>40|64|178|302|291|303|310|313|
|60-64<br>33|50|149|274|269|287|296|298|
|65-69<br>25|34|115|213|250|264|272|273|
|70-74<br>16|25|83|1S0|<br>213|227|234|235|
|75.<br>17|26|61|173|<br>310|347|374|<br>383|
|TOTAL<br>1870|<br>2742|3923|<br>4654|<br>4908|5027|<br>5104|<br>5126|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>285|329|322|318|<br>317|318|318|<br>318|
|5-9<br>242|331|312|315|<br>317|318|318|<br>318|
|10-14<br>215|324|308|316|<br>318|318|318|<br>318|
|15-19<br>196|<br>283|319|320|<br>319|318|318|<br>318|
|20-24<br>177|<br>241|323|<br>323|<br>319|318|317|<br>318|
|25-29<br>155|<br>213|326|<br>321|<br>316|317|317|<br>318|
|30-34<br>134|<br>194|328|<br>310|<br>314|317|318|<br>318|
|35-39<br>88|175|319|<br>305|<br>314|318|318|<br>318|
|40-44<br>71|152|277|<br>315|<br>317|318|318|<br>317|
|45-49<br>60|130|234|<br>317|<br>319|316|316|<br>316|
|50-54<br>49|84|204|<br>316|<br>314|312|314|<br>315|
|55-59<br>45|65|181|<br>312|<br>299|307|311|<br>312|
|60-64<br>37|53|157|<br>294|<br>287|301|307|<br>307|
|65-69<br>28|40|127|<br>240|<br>282|293|297|<br>297|
|70-74<br>20|32|95|182|<br>259|<br>272|276|<br>276|
|75+<br>23|36|86|250|<br>465|529|570|<br>579|
|TOTAL<br>1826|<br>2681|<br>3918|<br>4754|<br>5076|<br>5190|<br>5251|<br>5261|
|BIRTH RATE|30.6|19.8|1S.2|13.5|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|5.7|5.4|8.0|11.1|12.1|12.2|12.5|
|NETNICRATICN<br>RATE|.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.56|1.47|.73|.24|.09|.05|.01|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.923|2.349|2.085|2.075|2.064|2.058|2.058|
|e(O) - BOTH<br>SEXES|68.32|72.04|74.40|76.25|78.25|79.50|79.50|
|<br>IN- BOTH SEXES|35.8|22.8|16.0|11.9|7.7|5.3|5.3|
178 PERU Projection with NRR-1 by 2015 (thounands)

|.............................<br>....................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|......................................<br>1990|.....................................<br>1995|..................<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>....... .....<br>.....<br>........<br>....|<br>......................................|<br>.....................................|<br>.............................||||<br>|<br>|<br>|
|TOTAL M+F<br>19383|21706|24178|26661|<br>29015|31184|<br>33163|<br>35106|<br>37029|<br>38824|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1391|1543|1630|1647|1600|<br>1540|<br>1483|<br>1512|<br>1565|<br>1572|
|5-9<br>1206|1359|1515|1607|1629|<br>1586|<br>1528|<br>1472|<br>1503|<br>1556|
|10-14<br>1265|1197|1350|1506|1600|<br>1623|<br>1580|<br>1523|<br>1468|<br>1499|
|15-19<br>1126|<br>1253|1187|1341|1497|<br>1591|<br>1615|<br>1573|<br>1517|<br>1463|
|20-24<br>890|<br>1110|<br>1238|<br>1174|<br>1329|<br>1485|<br>1579|<br>1604|<br>1563|<br>1508|
|25-29<br>765|<br>875|<br>1094|<br>1222|<br>1161|<br>1316|<br>1472|<br>1566|<br>1592|<br>1553|
|30-34<br>599|<br>750|<br>861|<br>1079|<br>1208|<br>1149|<br>1303|<br>1459|<br>1554|<br>1580|
|35-39<br>496|<br>586|<br>736|<br>847|<br>1064|<br>1193|<br>1136|<br>1289|<br>1445|<br>1540|
|40-44<br>423|<br>481|<br>572|<br>720|<br>831|<br>1045|<br>1174|<br>1120|<br>1272|<br>1427|
|45-49<br>364|<br>407|<br>465|<br>554|<br>700|<br>810|<br>1021|<br>1148|<br>1097|<br>1248|
|50-54<br>309|<br>344|<br>387|<br>444|<br>531|<br>673|<br>780|<br>985|<br>1110|<br>1062|
|55-59<br>252|<br>285|<br>319|<br>361|<br>416|<br>499|<br>634|<br>737|<br>933|<br>1054|
|60-64<br>184|<br>224|<br>254|<br>287|<br>326|<br>378|<br>455|<br>580|<br>676|<br>858|
|65-69<br>146|<br>154|<br>189|<br>217|<br>246|<br>281|<br>327|<br>395|<br>506|<br>592|
|70-74<br>114|<br>112|<br>119|<br>148|<br>170|<br>195|<br>224|<br>262|<br>318|<br>409|
|75+<br>102|<br>119|<br>127|<br>137|<br>162|<br>191|<br>223|<br>260|<br>306|<br>370|
|TOTAL<br>9632|<br>10799|<br>12042|<br>13290|<br>14473|<br>15554|<br>16533|<br>17486|<br>1842|5<br>19292|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>1343|<br>1491|<br>1574|<br>1589|<br>1542|<br>1486|<br>1432|<br>1462|<br>1513|<br>1521|
|5-9<br>1190|<br>1316|<br>1468|<br>1556|<br>1575|<br>1532|<br>1479|<br>1427|<br>1458|<br>1509|
|10-14<br>1241|<br>1181|<br>1308|<br>1462|<br>1550|<br>1571|<br>1529|<br>1476|<br>1425|<br>1456|
|15-19<br>1086|<br>1230|<br>1173|<br>1301|<br>1456|<br>1545|<br>1567|<br>1526|<br>1474|<br>1423|
|20-24<br>938|1073|<br>1218|<br>1164|<br>1293|<br>1448|<br>1539|<br>1562|<br>1522|<br>1471|
|25-29<br>820|<br>925|<br>1060|<br>1206|<br>1154|<br>1284|<br>1441|<br>1533|<br>1557|<br>1518|
|10-34<br>647|<br>806|<br>912|<br>1048|<br>1194|<br>1145|<br>1276|<br>1433|<br>1526|<br>1551|
|35-39<br>501|<br>635|<br>792|<br>899|<br>1035|<br>1183|<br>1136|<br>1267|<br>1425|<br>1519|
|40-44<br>457|<br>489|<br>622|<br>778|<br>885|<br>1022|<br>1170|<br>1125|<br>1257|<br>1415|
|45-49<br>356|<br>444|<br>476|<br>607|<br>762|<br>868|<br>1005|<br>1153|<br>1111|<br>1243|
|50-54<br>324|<br>342|<br>427|<br>460|<br>589|<br>741|<br>847|<br>983|<br>1130|<br>1091|
|55-59<br>257|<br>306|<br>324|<br>407|<br>440|<br>565|<br>714|<br>818|<br>952|<br>1097|
|60-64<br>184|<br>235|<br>282|<br>301|<br>380|<br>413|<br>532|<br>676|<br>778|<br>908|
|65-69<br>155|<br>161|<br>208|<br>251|<br>269|<br>342|<br>374|<br>486|<br>620|<br>718|
|70-74<br>128|<br>125|<br>131|<br>171|<br>209|<br>226|<br>290|320|<br>419|<br>538|
|75+<br>125|<br>148|<br>160|<br>172|<br>209|<br>258|<br>299|<br>373|<br>438|<br>554|
|TOTAL<br>9751|<br>10907|<br>12136|<br>13371|<br>14543|<br>15630|<br>16630|<br>17620|<br>18605|<br>19532|
|BIRTH RATE|32.0|29.9|26.9|23.7|20.9|18.8|18.0|17.5|16.7|
|DEATH RATE|9.4|8.3|7.4|6.7|6.5|6.5|6.6|6.9|7.2|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|2.26|2.16|1.96|1.69|1.44|1.23|1.14|1.07|.95|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|2.26|2.16|1.96|1.69|1.44|1.23|1.14|1.07|.95|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|4.055|3.600|3.195|2.836|2.518|2.235|2.131|2.117|2.105|
|NRR|1.715|1.565|1.422|1.286|1.158|1.040|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|60.89|63.07|65.06|66.85|68.18|69.37|70.41|71.33|72.13|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|57.48|58.67|59.77|60.77|61.55|62.32|63.01|63.62|64.18|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|66.7|57.0|48.6|41.1|35.7|31.4|27.7|24.5|22.0|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|.0912|.0761|.0630|.0518|.0439|.0381|.0333|.0291|.0258|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>76.6|<br> <br>69.6|<br> <br>67.9|<br> <br>64.6|<br> <br>59.|<br>0<br>53.|<br>2<br>48.|<br>1<br>45.|<br>4<br>45.|3<br>46.3|
179

# PERU Projection with NRR=1 by 2015 Cthouserds)

# Suun.ry for 25 Year Periods

|...........................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|..............................<br>2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|......................................<br>............|.......................................|...................................||||||
|TOTAL<br>M+F<br>19383|<br>26661|<br>37029|43747|46087|<br>47020|<br>47967|<br>48414|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1391|1647|1565|1537|1540|<br>1547|<br>1552|<br>1552|
|5-9<br>1206|1607|1503|1518|1536|<br>1545|<br>1551|<br>1551|
|10-14<br>1265|1506|1468|1518|1539|<br>1545|<br>1549|<br>1550|
|15-19<br>1126|1341|1517|1537|1541|<br>1541|<br>1546|<br>1549|
|20-24<br>890|1174|<br>1563|1550|1533|<br>1533|<br>1541|<br>1546|
|25-29<br>765|1222|<br>1592|1532|1513|<br>1523|<br>1536|<br>1543|
|30-34<br>599|1079|<br>1554|1470|1492|<br>1517|<br>1533|<br>1541|
|35-39<br>496|847|<br>1445|1428|1486|<br>1515|<br>1530|<br>1537|
|40-44<br>423|720|<br>1272|1464|1495|<br>1510|<br>1522|<br>1529|
|45-49<br>364|554|1097|1491|<br>1493|<br>1491|<br>1505|<br>1516|
|50-54<br>309|444|1110|1485|1448|<br>1448|<br>1476|<br>1494|
|55-59<br>252|<br>361|933|1391|<br>1341|<br>1385|<br>1432|<br>1454|
|60-64<br>184|<br>287|<br>676|1206|<br>1223|<br>1305|<br>1363|<br>1385|
|65-69<br>146|217|<br>506|947|1130|<br>1195|<br>1249|<br>1270|
|70-74<br>114|148|<br>318|679|971|1020|<br>1067|<br>1n92|
|75+<br>102|137|306|857|1366|<br>1498|<br>1666|<br>1764|
|TOTAL<br>9632|13290|<br>18425|<br>21610|<br>22648|<br>23118|<br>23617|<br>23875|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>1343|1589|<br>1513|<br>1483|<br>1482|<br>1484|<br>1484|<br>1484|
|5-9<br>1190|1556|<br>1458|<br>1470|<br>¶481|<br>1485|<br>1485|<br>1484|
|10-14<br>1241|1462|<br>1425|<br>1473|<br>1487|<br>1487|<br>1485|<br>1484|
|15-19<br>1086|1l3|1474|<br>1495|<br>1493|<br>1487|<br>1484|<br>1484|
|20-24<br>938|1164|<br>1522|<br>1513|<br>1490|<br>1483|<br>1483|<br>1483|
|25-29<br>820|1206|<br>1557|<br>1502|<br>1476|<br>1478|<br>1482|<br>1483|
|30-34<br>647|1048|<br>1526|<br>1446|<br>1462|<br>1476|<br>1483|<br>1484|
|35-39<br>501|899|1425|<br>1410|<br>1462|<br>1480|<br>1484|<br>1483|
|40-44<br>457|778|1257|<br>1451|<br>1479|<br>1482|<br>1482|<br>1481|
|45-49<br>356|607|1111|<br>1487|<br>1488|<br>1473|<br>1474|<br>1477|
|50-54<br>324|460|1130|<br>1501|<br>1461|<br>1448|<br>1462|<br>1469|
|55-59<br>257|407|952|1439|<br>1383|<br>1415|<br>1446|<br>1457|
|60-64<br>184|301|778|1295|<br>1308|<br>1381|<br>1424|<br>1435|
|65-69<br>155|251|620|1071|<br>1274|<br>1335|<br>1376|<br>1385|
|70-74<br>128|171|419|840|<br>1178|<br>1230|<br>1271|<br>1285|
|75.<br>125|172|438|<br>1259|<br>2036|<br>2279|<br>2545|<br>2680|
|TOTAL<br>9751|13371|<br>18605|<br>22136|<br>23439|<br>23903|<br>24350|<br>24539|
|BIRTH RATE|29.4|19.6|15.2|13.6|13.2|12.9|12.7|
|DEATH<br>RATE|8.3|6.6|8.6|11.6|12.4|12.1|12.3|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GR**NTH**<br>RATE|2.13|1.31|.67|.21|.08|.08|.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|3.571|2.343|2.093|2.081|2.071|2.062|2.058|
|e(0)**-** BOTH SEXES|63.16|69.37|73.29|75.12|76.87|78.73|79.50|
|<br>**I-**<br>BOTH SEXES|57.3|32.2|18.7|14.3|10.5|6.8|5.3|
180 URUGJAY Projection with NRR=1 by 2000 (thousands)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985<br>................................................................................................|1990<br>..................................|1995|2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL M+F<br>2970|3080|3189|3291|3399|3486|3576|3664|<br>3745|<br>3818|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>138|140|136|131|132|134|136|<br>135|<br>133|<br>133|
|5-9<br>135|136|139|135|131|131|133|<br>135|<br>134|<br>133|
|10-14<br>132|134|136|139|135|130|131|<br>133|<br>135|<br>134|
|15-19<br>121|131|133|135|139|134|130|<br>131|<br>133|<br>134|
|20-24<br>122|119|130|132|135|138|134|<br>129|<br>130|<br>132|
|25-29<br>109|120|118|129|132|134|137|<br>133|<br>129|<br>130|
|30-34<br>93|106|118|117|128|131|133|<br>136|<br>132|<br>128|
|35-39<br>86|91|105|117|116|127|130|<br>132|<br>135|<br>131|
|40-44<br>82|84|89|104|117|115|126|<br>129|<br>131|<br>134|
|45-49<br>82|80|82|88|103|114|113|<br>124|<br>127|<br>129|
|50-54<br>82|79|77|80|86|100|111|<br>110|<br>121|<br>124|
|55-59<br>77|77|75|74|77|82|95|106|<br>105|<br>115|
|60-64<br>65|70|71|70|70|71|76|88|99|<br>98|
|65-69<br>50|57|62|64|63|61|63|67|78|<br>88|
|70-74<br>40|40|46|51|54|51|50|52|<br>55|<br>65|
|75.<br>46|50|52|59|69|71|71|70|<br>72|<br>76|
|TOTAL<br>1461|1515|<br>1570|1625|1685|1726|1769|<br>1810|<br>1849|<br>1883|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>133|136|131|125|126|130|131|<br>131|<br>129|<br>128|
|5-9<br>131|132|136|130|125|126|129|<br>131|<br>130|<br>129|
|10-14<br>128|130|131|135|130|125|126|<br>129|<br>131|<br>130|
|15-19<br>117|127|130|131|135|130|125|<br>126|<br>129|<br>131|
|20-24<br>119|116|126|129|131|135|130|<br>125|<br>125|<br>129|
|25-29<br>107|118|115|126|129|131|135|<br>130|<br>125|<br>125|
|30-34<br>93|106|117|114|125|129|130|<br>134|<br>129|<br>124|
|35-39<br>89|91|105|116|114|125|128|<br>130|<br>134|<br>129|
|40-44<br>84|88|<br>91|104|115|113|124|<br>128|<br>129|<br>134|
|45-49<br>84|83|87|90|103|114|112|<br>123|<br>127|<br>129|
|50-54<br>_C6_|82|81|85|88|102|113|<br>111|<br>122|<br>125|
|55-59<br>84|83|80|79|83|86|99|110|<br>108|<br>119|
|60-64<br>72|80|79|76|76|80|83|96|106|<br>105|
|65-69<br>58|66|74|74|71|70|74|78|90|<br>100|
|70-74<br>52|50|57|64|65|62|62|66|69|<br>80|
|75+<br>72|77|80|87|97|103|<br>105|<br>107|<br>111|<br>117|
|TOTAL<br>1509|1565|<br>1618|1666|1714|1760|1807|<br>1853|<br>1896|<br>1935|
|BIRTH RATE|18.9|17.4|16.1|15.6|15.6|15.4|14.9|14.4|14.0|
|DEATH RATE|10.5|9.9|9.4|9.1|10.5|10.3|10.1|10.0|10.1|
|RATE OFNAT.INC.|.84|.75|.67|.65|.51|.51|.48|.44|.39|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.1|-.5|-. 4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROATH<br>RATE|.73|.69|.63|.65|.51|.51|.48|44|.39|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2|.610|2.379|2.169|2.091|2.089|2.084|2.082|2.080|2.078|
|NRR<br>1|.235|1.131|1.035|1.000|1.000|1.000|1O000|1.000|LOOC|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES<br>7|1.03|72.55|74.04|75.46|73.21|73.76|74.16|74.57|74.99|
|eClO) - BOTH SEXES<br>6|3.46|64.46|65.50|66.54|64.97|65.36|65.69|66.01|66.34|
|INR - BOTH SEXES|25.8|20.5|15.9|11.9|18.9|17.2|16.3|15.4|14.5|
|q(5) - BOTH SEXES<br>.|0309|.0240|.0182|.0134|.0221|.0199|.0188|.0177|.0166|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>60.3|<br>59.6|<br> <br>58.7|<br>57.0|<br>54.3|<br> <br>52.2|<br> <br>51.2|<br> <br>50.7|<br> <br>51.2|<br>52.4|
181 URUGUAY Projection with NRRv1 by 2000 **(thousands)**

# SuSury for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GRUJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>2970|3291|3745|4021|4129|4194|4210|4214|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>138|131|133|134|135|135|135|135|
|5-9<br>135|135|134|134|134|135|135|135|
|10-14<br>132|139|135|134|134|134|135|135|
|15-19<br>121|135|133|132|134|134|134|134|
|20-24<br>122|132|130|131|133|134|134|134|
|25-29<br>109|<br>129|129|<br>131|<br>133|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|30-34<br>93|'17|132|<br>132|<br>133|<br>134|<br>134|<br>134|
|35-39<br>86|117|135|<br>132|<br>132|<br>133|<br>133|<br>133|
|40-64<br>82|104|131|<br>129|<br>130|<br>132|<br>133|<br>133|
|45-49<br>82|88|127|<br>126|<br>128|<br>131|<br>132|<br>132|
|50-54<br>82|80|121|<br>122|<br>127|<br>130|<br>130|<br>130|
|55-59<br>77|74|105|<br>121|<br>124|<br>126|<br>127|<br>127|
|60-64<br>65|70|99|117|<br>118|<br>120|<br>120|<br>121|
|65 69<br>50|64|78|102|<br>106|<br>109|<br>110|<br>111|
|I74<br>40|51|55|84|<br>89|93|95|<br>96|
|'4<br>46|59|72|<br>112|<br>138|<br>152|<br>155|<br>156|
|!UTAL<br>1661|<br>1625|<br>1849|<br>1976|<br>2029|<br>2065|<br>2077|<br>2081|
|FE "'LES||||||||
|0-'',<br>133|<br>125|129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|5-9<br>131|<br>130|130|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|10-14<br>128|<br>135|<br>131|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|15-19<br>117|<br>131|129|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|20-24<br>119|<br>129|<br>125|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|25-29<br>107|<br>126|125|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|30-34<br>93|114|129|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|35-39<br>89|116|<br>134|<br>130|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|40-44<br>84|<br>104|<br>129|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|<br>129|<br>129|
|45-49<br>84|<br>90|127|<br>124|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|50-54<br>86|<br>85|122|<br>122|<br>127|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|55-59<br>84|<br>79|108|<br>125|<br>127|<br>127|<br>127|<br>126|
|60-66<br>72|<br>76|106|<br>126|<br>125|<br>124|<br>124|<br>124|
|65-69<br>58|<br>74|90|<br>115|<br>118|<br>119|<br>120|<br>120|
|70-74<br>52|<br>64|69|<br>103|<br>106|<br>110|<br>112|<br>112|
|75+<br>72|<br>87|<br>111|<br>171|<br>212|<br>232|<br>235|<br>235|
|TOTAL<br>1509|<br>1666|<br>1896|<br>2045|<br>2100|<br>2128|<br>2133|<br>2133|
|BIRTH RATE|17.4|15.2|13.6|13.0|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|10.0|10.0|10.8|12.0|12.1|12.5|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWUH RATE|.68|.52|.28|.11|.06|.02|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.380|2.085|2.074|2.064|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|72.58|74.23|75.86|78.09|79.50|79.50|79.50|
|IR- BOTH SEXES|20.9|16.0|12.6|8.0|5.3|5.3|5.3|
NONBORROWERS (LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN)
184 CUBA Projection with WRRz1 by 2030 (thousands)

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|1995|2000|<br>2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>10090|10500|10943|<br>11379|<br>11771|<br>12088|<br>12351|<br>12570|<br>12747|<br>12874|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>417|421|428|425|409|393|388|<br>395|<br>404|<br>408|
|5-9<br>392|411|418|426|424|408|392|<br>388|<br>395|<br>404|
|10-14<br>549|388|409|417|426|424|408|<br>392|<br>388|<br>395|
|15-19<br>594|<br>544|<br>385|<br>407|<br>416|<br>425|<br>423|<br>407|<br>391|<br>387|
|20-24<br>569|<br>586|<br>539|<br>383|<br>406|<br>415|<br>424|<br>422|<br>407|<br>390|
|25-29<br>382|<br>559|<br>580|<br>536|<br>382|<br>405|<br>414|<br>423|<br>421|<br>406|
|30-34<br>357|<br>373|553|<br>576|<br>534|<br>381|<br>404|<br>412|<br>421|<br>420|
|35-39<br>337|<br>350|<br>369|<br>550|<br>574|<br>532|<br>379|<br>403|<br>411|<br>420|
|40-44<br>307|<br>331|<br>346|<br>366|<br>546|<br>571|<br>529|<br>377|<br>401|<br>409|
|45-49<br>267|<br>301|<br>326|<br>342|<br>362|<br>541|<br>565|<br>524|<br>374|<br>397|
|50-54<br>213|<br>260|<br>294|<br>319|<br>335|<br>355|<br>531|<br>555|<br>515|<br>367|
|55-59<br>193|<br>205|<br>251|<br>284|<br>308|<br>324|<br>3.4|<br>514|<br>537|<br>499|
|60-64<br>160|<br>181|<br>192|<br>236|<br>267|<br>291|<br>305|<br>325|<br>486|<br>508|
|65-69<br>141|144|163|173|213|242|263|277|<br>295|<br>442|
|70-74<br>112|<br>118|<br>121|<br>137|<br>146|<br>180|<br>205|<br>223|<br>236|<br>251|
|75.<br>143|<br>155|<br>166|<br>174|<br>191|<br>207|<br>241|<br>278|<br>312|<br>340|
|TOTAL<br>5130|<br>5325|<br>5539|<br>5751|<br>5941|<br>6093|<br>6216|<br>6316|<br>6393|<br>6443|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>396|<br>400|<br>406|<br>404|<br>389|<br>373|369|<br>376|<br>384|<br>388|
|5-9<br>374|<br>390|<br>397|<br>405|<br>404|<br>389|<br>373|<br>369|<br>376|<br>384|
|10-14<br>526|370|388|396|405|<br>403|<br>388|<br>373|<br>369|<br>375|
|15-19<br>568|521|367|387|396|405|403|388|<br>373|<br>369|
|20-24<br>541|559|516|365|387|396|404|403|<br>388|<br>372|
|25-29<br>365|530|553|514|365|386|395|<br>404|<br>403|<br>388|
|30-34<br>346|357|526|551|513|364|386|395|<br>403|<br>402|
|35-39<br>330|340|353|523|550|512|364|385|<br>394|<br>403|
|40-44<br>300|325|337|351|521|547|510|<br>362|<br>384|<br>393|
|45-49<br>262|296|322|334|349|518|544|<br>507|<br>360|<br>382|
|50-54<br>212|<br>257|<br>292|318|330|345|512|<br>538|<br>502|<br>357|
|55-59<br>194|<br>207|<br>252|<br>285|<br>311|<br>324|<br>338|<br>503|<br>529|<br>494|
|60-64<br>161|<br>186|<br>199|<br>243|<br>276|<br>301|<br>314|<br>328|<br>489|<br>515|
|65-69<br>140|<br>150|<br>174|<br>187|<br>228|<br>260|<br>285|<br>297|<br>312|<br>465|
|70-74<br>110|<br>123|<br>133|<br>155|<br>167|<br>204|<br>234|<br>257|<br>269|<br>283|
|75+<br>139|162|187|209|240|268|316|369|<br>420|<br>461|
|TOTAL<br>4960|<br>5175|<br>5404|<br>5628|<br>5830|<br>5995|<br>6135|<br>6254|<br>6353|<br>6431|
|BIRTH RATE|16.3|15.8|15.1|13.9|13.0|12.5|12.5|12.6|12.5|
|DEATH RATE|6.3|6.6|6.9|7.2|7.7|8.2|9.0|9.8|10.5|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|99|.92|.82|.68|.53|.43|.35|.28|.20|
|NET NIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.9|-. 9|-.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.80|.83|.78|.68|.53|.43|.35|.28|.20|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.750|1.750|1.750|1.805|1.858|1.909|1.960|2.009|2.057|
|HRR|.838|.838|.838|.865|.892|.917|.942|.966|.990|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|75.43|75.68|75.93|76.19|76.45|76.71|76.97|77.24|77.51|
|e(lO)<br>- BOTH SEXES|66.52|66.73|66.95|67.16|67.38|67.60|67.82|68.05|68.28|
|IRR- BOTH SEXES|12.0|11.5|11.1|10.6|10.2|9.7|9.3|8.8|8.4|
|q(5)-BOTH SEXES|.0134|.0129|.0124|.0119|.0113|0108|0103|0098|0093|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>51.7|<br>44.5|<br> <br>44.9|<br> <br>44.|<br>6<br>44.8|<br> <br>45.|.<br>0<br>45.|.<br>5<br>46.|.<br>6<br>48.|.<br>4<br>55.5|
185 OJIA Projection with NRR-1 by 2030 (thousarEds)

# Sumury for 25 Year Periods

|.................<br>...................<br>AGE GRCUP<br>1985|................<br> <br>2000|<br>2025|............<br> <br>2050|..................<br> <br>2075|.<br> <br>2100|..............................<br> <br>2125|.........<br>.............**.......**....<br> <br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...............<br>I................|................|||......<br>.........|.....<br>........|......<br>....|.<br>......<br>.|
|TOTAL<br>MNF<br>10090|<br>11379|<br>12747|<br>12694|<br>12493|<br>12482|<br>12481|<br>12481|
|ALES||||||||
|0-4<br>417|<br>425|<br>404|<br>399|<br>399|<br>400|<br>400|<br>401|
|5-9<br>392|426|395|396|399|400|400|400|
|10-14<br>549|<br>417|<br>388|<br>397|<br>400|<br>401|<br>400|<br>400|
|15-19<br>594|407|391|403|402|400|400|400|
|20-24<br>569|383|407|406|401|399|399|399|
|25-29<br>382|536|421|401|397|397|398|398|
|30-34<br>357|576|421|392|394|397|398|398|
|35-39<br>337|550|411|383|394|397|397|397|
|40-44<br>307|366|401|386|398|397|396|395|
|45-49<br>267|342|<br>374|399|400|394|392|392|
|50-54<br>213|319|515|407|390|386|386|387|
|55-59<br>193|284|537|397|371|373|376|377|
|60-64<br>160|236|486|368|347|356|360|360|
|65-69<br>141|173|295|329|322|332|332|331|
|70-74<br>112|137|236|265|289|290|286|<br>285|
|754<br>143|174|312|571|485|463|463|465|
|TOTAL<br>5130|5751|6393|6299|6188|<br>6184|6184|<br>6184|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>396|404|384|379|379|380|380|380|
|5-9<br>374|405|376|377|379|380|381|380|
|10-14<br>526|396|369|378|381|381|381|380|
|15-19<br>**568**|387|373|383|382|381|380|380|
|20-24<br>541|365|388|388|382|380|380|<br>380|
|25-29<br>365|514|403|383|379|379|380|380|
|30-34<br>346|551|403|375|376|379|380|380|
|35-39<br>330|523|394|368|377|380|380|380|
|40-44<br>300|351|384|371|382|382|380|380|
|45-49<br>262|334|360|385|386|380|379|378|
|50-54<br>212|318|502|396|380|376|376|377|
|55-59<br>194|285|529|392|368|370|373|<br>374|
|60-64<br>161|<br>243|<br>489|<br>375|<br>355|<br>364|<br>368|<br>368|
|65-69<br>140|187|312|350|346|358|357|355|
|70-74<br>110|155|269|303|334|336|332|<br>330|
|75+<br>139|<br>209|<br>420|<br>793|<br>718|<br>691|<br>692|<br>694|
|TOTAL<br>4960|5628|<br>6353|6395|<br>6306|<br>6298|<br>6297|<br>6297|
|BIRTH RATE|15.7|12.9|12.3|12.5|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|6.6|8.4|12.4|13.2|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET NIGRATION<br>RATE|-1.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRUOTH<br>RATE|.80|.45|-. 02|-. 06|-. 00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.780|1.905|2.069|2.066|2.065|2.065|2.065|
|eCO) BOTH SEXES|75.69|76.72|78.06|79.31|79.49|79.49|79.49|
|IX- BOTH<br>SEXES|11.5|9.7|7.5|5.5|5.3|5.3|5.3|
186 GLUDELOtJPE Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands)

|AGE GROWP<br>1985<br>1990<br>,....................................................................................................................................|<br>1995<br>2000<br>.......................................................|<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALM+F<br>334<br>340|349<br>361|374|389|404|418|431|<br>441|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17<br>16|17<br>16|<br>15|15|15|15|<br>16|<br>15|
|5-9<br>13<br>16|16<br>16|<br>16|15|15|15|<br>15|<br>16|
|10-14<br>18<br>12|16<br>16|<br>16|16|15|15|<br>15|<br>15|
|15-19<br>20<br>17|12<br>15|<br>15|16|16|15|<br>15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>18<br>19|<br>16<br>11|<br>15|15|<br>16|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|
|25-29<br>14<br>16|<br>17<br>16|<br>11|15|<br>15|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|
|30-34<br>10<br>13|15<br>17|<br>15|11|15|15|16|<br>15|
|35-39<br>10<br>9|12<br>15|<br>16|15|11|15|<br>15|<br>16|
|40-44<br>8<br>9|8<br>11|<br>14|16|15|11|15|<br>1S|
|45-49<br>7<br>7|9<br>8|11|14|16|15|<br>11|<br>15|
|50-54<br>6<br>7|7<br>8|8|11|14|16|<br>15|<br>11|
|55-59<br>6<br>6|6<br>7|8|7|10|13|<br>15|<br>14|
|60-64<br>5<br>6|5<br>6|6|8|7|10|<br>13|<br>14|
|65-69<br>4<br>4|5<br>5|5|6|7|6|9|11|
|70-74<br>3<br>3|4<br>4|4|4|5|6|5|<br>7|
|75+<br>4<br>4|4<br>5|5|6|6|7|8|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>163<br>165|169<br>175|<br>182|190|198|205|212|<br>218|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17<br>16|<br>16<br>15|<br>14|14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>12<br>IS|<br>15<br>15|<br>15|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>17<br>12|16<br>15|<br>15|15|14|14|14|<br>15|
|15-19<br>19<br>17|<br>11<br>16|<br>15|15|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|20-24<br>18<br>18|16<br>11|<br>15|15|15|15|14|<br>14|
|25-29<br>13<br>17|17<br>15|<br>10|15|15|15|15|<br>14|
|30-34<br>11<br>12|16<br>17|<br>15|10|15|15|15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>11<br>10|12<br>16|<br>17|15|10|15|15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>9<br>11|10<br>11|<br>16|16|15|10|15|<br>15|
|45-49<br>8<br>9|10<br>10|<br>11|16|16|15|10|<br>15|
|50-54<br>7<br>8|9<br>10|<br>10|11|15|16|15|<br>10|
|55-S9<br>7<br>7|8<br>8|10|10|11|15|16|<br>14|
|60-64<br>6<br>7|7<br>7|<br>8|10|9|11|15|<br>15|
|65-69<br>5<br>6|6<br>6|7|8|9|9|10|<br>14|
|70-74<br>4<br>4|5<br>5|5|6|7|8|8|9|
|75<br>6<br>6|7<br>8|8|9|10|11|13|<br>13|
|TOTAL<br>171<br>174|<br>180<br>186|<br>192|199|<br>206|<br>213|<br>219|<br>224|
|BIRTH RATE<br>20.0|19.5<br>17.9|16.3<br>|15.4|15.1|14.9|14.5|13.9|
|DEATH RATE<br>7.1|7.1<br>7.2|7.4|7.6|7.7|8.1|8.5|9.1|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.<br>1.29|1.24<br>1.07|.89|.78|.74|.68|.60|.48|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-9.5|-7.0<br>-3.9|-1.6|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>.34|.54<br>.68|.73|.78|.74|.68|.60|.48|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2.240|2.202<br>2.165|2.129<br>2|.093|2.079|' 077|2.075|2.073|
|NRR<br>1.069|1.053<br>1.038|1.022<br>1|.006|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eCO) - BOTH SEXES<br>73.86|74.35<br>74.82|75.21<br>7|5.51|75.82|76.14|76.45|76.77|
|e(IO) - BOTH SEXES<br>65.38|65.74<br>66.08|66.37<br>6|6.63|66.88|67.14|67.41|67.68|
|IMR - BOTH SEXES<br>16.4|15.0<br>13.8|12.7<br>|12.1|11.5|11.0|10.4|9.8|
|q(5)-BOTHSEXES<br>0188|0172<br>0156|0143<br>|0136|0130|0123|0116|0109|
|<br>.<br>DEP. RATIO<br>56.3<br>52.3|.<br>.<br> <br>56.4<br>53.4|.<br>.<br> <br>51.1|<br>48.5|.<br> <br>48.1|.<br> <br>47.8|.<br> <br>49.4|.<br> <br>53.4|
187 GUADELOJPE ProJection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousuads)

# Summhry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>2000|2025|<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>N4F<br>334|361|431|463|<br>475|<br>478|<br>478|<br>478|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17|16|16|15|<br>15|<br>15|15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>13|16|15|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>18|16|15|15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|15-19<br>20|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>18|<br>11|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|25-29<br>14|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|30-34<br>10|<br>17|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>10|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>8|<br>11|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|45-49<br>7|<br>8|<br>11|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|50-54<br>6|<br>8|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|55-59<br>6|<br>7|<br>15|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|60-64<br>5|<br>6|<br>13|<br>14|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|65-69<br>4|<br>5|<br>9|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|
|70-74<br>3|<br>4|5|7|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|75+<br>4|<br>5|<br>8|<br>16|<br>17|<br>18|<br>18|<br>18|
|TOTAL<br>163|<br>175|<br>212|<br>229|<br>235|<br>236|<br>236|<br>236|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>17|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|5-9<br>12|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|10-14<br>17|<br>15|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|15-19<br>19|<br>16<br>|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|20-24<br>18|<br>II|14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|25-29<br>13|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|30-34<br>Il|<br>17|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|35-39<br>11|<br>16|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|40-44<br>9|<br>11|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|45-49<br>8|<br>10|<br>10|<br>14|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|
|50-54<br>7|<br>10|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|
|55-59<br>7|<br>8|<br>16|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|60-64<br>6|<br>7|<br>15|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|65-69<br>5|<br>6|<br>10|<br>14|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|70-74<br>4|<br>5|<br>8|<br>9|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|75+<br>6|<br>8|<br>13|<br>23|<br>26|<br>27|<br>27|<br>27|
|TOTAL<br>171|<br>186|<br>219|<br>234|<br>240|<br>242|<br>242|<br>242|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|19.1|15.2|13.4|12.8|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.1|7.9|10.5|11.8|12.4|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-6.8|-.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.52|.71|.29|.10|.02|.00|.00|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.205|2.090|2.069|2.060|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|74.35|75.85|77.44|79.08|79.50|79.50|79.50|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|15.1|11.5|8.7|5.9|5.3|5.3|5.3|
188 NARTIMIOJE ProJection with NRR1 by 2000 (thousunc)

|,...................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|.....................................<br> <br>1990|..........................<br> <br>1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.....................................................................|.....................................|......................||||||||
|TOTAL M+F<br>328|331|337|344|351|359|369|379|389|<br>397|
|KALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>15|15|16|14|13|13|13|14|14|<br>1|
|5-9<br>11|14|14|15|14|13|13|13|14|<br>1|
|10-14<br>15|10|14|14|15|14|13|13|13|<br>1|
|15-19<br>19|14|10|13|14|15|14|13|13|<br>1|
|20-24<br>19|18|13|9|13|13|15|14|13|<br>1|
|25-29<br>15|17|16|12|9|13|13|15|14|<br>1|
|30-34<br>10|14|16|16|12|8|13|13|15|<br>1|
|35-39<br>9|9|13|15|15|12|8|13|13|<br>1|
|40-44<br>8|8|a|12|15|15|12|8|12|<br>1|
|45-49<br>7|7|8|8|12|15|15|11|8|<br>1|
|50-54<br>7|7|7|8|8|12|15|14|11|<br>8|
|55-59<br>6|7|6|7|7|7|11|14|14|<br>1|
|60-64<br>6|6|<br>6|<br>6|6|7|7|11|13|<br>13|
|65-69<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|5|6|6|6|10|<br>12|
|70-74<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|5|4|5|5|5|<br>8|
|75+<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|<br>6|6|7|7|7|8|<br>8|
|TOTAL<br>159|<br>160|<br>163|<br>166|169|173|179|185|190|<br>194|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>14|<br>14|<br>15|<br>14|12|12|12|13|13|<br>13|
|5-9<br>11|<br>13|<br>14|<br>15|14|12|12|12|13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>15|<br>10|<br>13|<br>13|14|13|12|12|12|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|<br>14|<br>10|<br>13|13|14|13|12|12|<br>12|
|20-24<br>19|<br>18|<br>14|<br>10|12|13|14|13|12|<br>12|
|25-29<br>14|<br>18|<br>17|<br>13|9|12|13|14|13|<br>12|
|30-34<br>11|<br>13|<br>17|<br>17|13|9|12|13|14|<br>13|
|35-39<br>10|<br>10|<br>13|<br>17|16|13|9|12|13|<br>14|
|40-44<br>9|10|<br>10|<br>12|17|16|13|9|12|<br>13|
|45-49<br>8|9|<br>9|<br>10|12|16|16|12|9|<br>12|
|50-54<br>8|8|<br>9|<br>9|10|12|16|16|12|<br>9|
|55-59<br>7|<br>8|<br>8|<br>8|9|10|12|16|16|<br>12|
|60-64<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|8|9|9|11|15|<br>15|
|65-69<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|<br>7|7|8|8|9|11|<br>15|
|70-74<br>4|5|6|6|6|6|7|7|8|10|
|75+<br>8|<br>7|<br>8|<br>9|9|10|11|12|13|<br>14|
|TOTAL<br>169|<br>171|<br>175|<br>178|182|185|190|195|199|<br>203|
|BIRTH RATE|18.3|19.0|17.1<br>|15.1<br>|14.1<br>|14.1<br>|14.4|14.1|13.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.0|8.0|8.1|8.3|8.3|8.5|8.7|9.1|9.6|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.|1.03|1.10|.90|.68|.58|.56|.56|.51|.40|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|-8.5|-7.2|-5.0<br>|-2.9<br>|-1.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.18|.38|.40|.39|4|.56|.56|.51|.40|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.090|2.085|2.081<br>2|.079<br>2|.077<br>2|.075<br>2|.073<br>2|.071|2.069|
|NRR|1.001|1.001|1.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000<br>1|.000|1.000|
|e(0)- BOTH SEXES|75.07|75.46|75.74<br>7|6.04<br>7|6.33<br>7|6.63<br>7|6.93<br>7|7.24|77.55|
|e(10)- BOTH SEXES|66.26|66.55|66.79<br>6|7.03<br>6|7.28<br>6|7.54<br>6|7.79<br>6|8.05|68.31|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|13.0|11.9|11.4<br>|10.9<br>|10.4|9.9|9.4|8.8|8.3|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|.0147|.0134|.0128<br>.|0122<br>|0116<br>|0110<br>|0104<br>|0098|0092|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>51.8|<br> <br>50.4|<br> <br>55.|<br> <br>2<br>55.2|<br>.<br>52.8|<br> <br>49.1|<br>.<br>47.4|<br> <br>47.9|<br>51.|.<br>9<br>58.|
189 NARTIMIQIE Projection with NRR=1 by 2000 (thousards)

# Sumnry for 25 Year Periods

.................... **...........** .

|.......................................<br>AGE GR<br>WUP<br>1985|2000|...............................<br>2025|............................................<br>2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|2125|............<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.............<br>.........................||.........|..................|.........|...............|.........|...............<br>. ..........|
|TOTAL**44F**<br>328|344|<br>389|<br>407|<br>416|<br>417|<br>417|<br>417|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>15|14|14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|5-9<br>11|15|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>15|14|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|13|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|20-24<br>19|9|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|25-29<br>15|12|14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|30-34<br>10|16|<br>15|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|35-39<br>9|15|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|40-44<br>8|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|45-49<br>7|8|a|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|50-54<br>7|8|11|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|55-59<br>6|7|14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|
|60-64<br>6|6|13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|65-69<br>5|6|10|<br>10|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|70-74<br>4|4|5|<br>6|9|10|<br>10|<br>10|
|754<br>5|6|8|<br>14|<br>16|<br>16|<br>15|<br>15|
|TOTAL<br>159|166|<br>190|<br>201|<br>205|<br>206|<br>206|<br>206|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>14|14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|5-9<br>11|15|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>15|13|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>19|13|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|20-24<br>19|10|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|25-29<br>14|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|30-34<br>11|17|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|35-39<br>10|17|<br>13|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|40-44<br>9|12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|45-49<br>8|10|<br>9|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|50-54<br>8|9|12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|55-59<br>7|8|16|<br>14|<br>13|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|60-64<br>7|7|15|<br>12|<br>**A**12|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|65-69<br>6|7|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|70-74<br>4|6|8|<br>8|11|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|75+<br>8|9|13|<br>22|<br>24|<br>23|<br>23|<br>23|
|TOTAL<br>169|178|199|206|210|<br>211|211|211|
|BIRTH RATE|18.1|14.3|13.1|12.7|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|8.0|8.6|11.3|11.9|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NETMIGRATION<br>RATE|-6.9|-.8|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRoITH RATE|.32|.49|.18|.08|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.070|2.075|2.066|2.058|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES|75.43|76.65|78.19|79.43|79.50|79.50|79.50|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|12.1|9.9|7.3|5.4|5.3|5.3|5.3|
190 NETHERLANDS ANTILLES Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands)

|AGE GROLP<br>1985<br>1990<br>...............................................................|<br>1995<br>...............|<br>2000|2005|<br>2010<br>..........................|2015<br>...................................|<br>2020<br>.................<br>...|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL N+F<br>190<br>193|<br>200|<br>209|218|<br>230|240|<br>249|<br>257|<br>264|
|KALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>12<br>8|9|10|10|<br>10|9|9|9|<br>10|
|5-9<br>10<br>12|<br>8|9|10|<br>10|10|<br>9|<br>9||
|10-14<br>11<br>10|<br>11|<br>8|9|<br>10|10|<br>10|<br>9||
|15-19<br>12<br>11|<br>9|<br>11|8|<br>9|10|<br>10|<br>10||
|20-24<br>9<br>12|<br>11|<br>9|11|<br>8|9|<br>10|<br>10||
|25-29<br>6<br>8|<br>11|<br>10|9|<br>11|8|<br>9|<br>9||
|30-34<br>6<br>6|<br>8|<br>10|10|<br>9|11|<br>8|<br>9||
|35-39<br>5<br>5|<br>5|8|10|<br>10|9|<br>11|<br>7||
|40-44<br>4<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|7|<br>10|10|<br>9|<br>11||
|45-49<br>4<br>4|<br>4|5|5|<br>7|10|<br>9|<br>8||
|50-54<br>3<br>3|<br>4|<br>4|4|<br>5|7|<br>9|<br>9||
|55-59<br>3<br>3|3|4|4|<br>4|4|<br>7|<br>9||
|60-64<br>2<br>3|<br>2|<br>3|3|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>6||
|65-69<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>3|3|<br>3|<br>4||
|70-74<br>1<br>2|<br>1|<br>2|2|<br>2|2|<br>2|<br>3||
|75.<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>2|2|<br>3|<br>3||
|TOTAL<br>93<br>94|<br>97|<br>101|106|<br>111|116|<br>121|<br>125|<br>1|
|FE4ALES|||||||||
|0-4<br>11<br>8|<br>9|<br>10|10|<br>9|9|<br>9|<br>9||
|5-9<br>9<br>11|<br>8|<br>9|9|<br>10|9|<br>9|<br>9||
|10-14<br>11<br>9|11|<br>8|9|<br>9|10|<br>9|<br>9||
|15-19<br>11<br>11|<br>9|<br>11|7|<br>9|9|<br>10|<br>9||
|20-24<br>9<br>11|<br>11|<br>9|11|<br>7|9|<br>9|<br>10||
|25-29<br>7<br>9|<br>11|<br>11|8|<br>10|7|<br>9|<br>9||
|30-34<br>6<br>7|8|<br>10|10|<br>8|10|<br>7|<br>9||
|35-39<br>6<br>6|<br>6|<br>8|10|<br>10|8|<br>10|<br>7||
|40-44<br>5<br>6|<br>6|<br>6|8|<br>10|10|<br>8|<br>10||
|45-49<br>4<br>5|5|<br>6|6|<br>8|10|<br>10|<br>8||
|50-54<br>4<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|6|<br>6|8|<br>10|<br>10||
|55-59<br>3<br>3|4|5|5|5|6|<br>8|<br>10||
|60m-64<br>3<br>3|3|4|4|5|5|6|<br>7||
|65-69<br>2<br>3|<br>2|<br>3|3|<br>4|4|<br>5|<br>5||
|70-74<br>1<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|2|<br>3|3|<br>4|<br>4||
|75+<br>2<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|3|<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>6||
|TOTAL<br>97<br>99|<br>103|<br>108|113|<br>118|123|<br>128|<br>132|<br>1|
|BIRTH RATE<br>18.4|20.0|20.0<br>1|9.0|17.5<br>|16.0|15.2|14.9|14.7|
|DEATH RATE<br>8.1|7.9|7.7|7.5|7.4|7.5|7.9|8.3|8.9|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.<br>1.03|1.22|1.23<br>1|.15|1.00|.84|.73|.66|.57|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE<br>-7.3|-5.1|-3.4<br>-|2.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>.29|.71|.88|.91|1.00|.84|.73|.66|.57|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>2.180|2.163|2.146<br>2.|129|2.112<br>2|.106|2.097|2.091|2.089|
|NRR<br>.986|.994|.997<br>.|998|.997<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(C) - BOTH SEXES<br>66.10|67.55|68.79<br>6|9.91|70.87<br>7|1.70|72.45|73.11|73.45|
|e(10) - BOTHSEXES<br>60.37|61.21|61.97<br>6|2.70|63.35<br>6|3.90|64.43|64.90|65.17|
|INR- BOTH SEXES<br>44.5|38.6|33.7<br>2|9.7|26.3<br>|23.5|21.2|19.2|18.4|
|q(S) - BOTH SEXES<br>.0567|.0481|.0413<br>.|0359|.0315<br>.|0278|.0249|0224|0214|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>67.7<br>56.2|<br>52.6|<br> <br> <br>46.4|<br>48.4|<br> <br> <br>47.9|<br>46.4|<br> <br>45.0|.<br> <br>44.5|.<br> <br>47.1|
191

# NETHERLANDS ANTILLES Projection with NRRui by 2010 (thousands)

## Surmey for 25 Year Periods

|. ......................................................<br>AGE GROJP<br>.........................................................|....................................<br>1985<br>....................................|.................................................<br>2000<br>............|..<br>2025|2050|2075|2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTAL<br>M+F|190|209|257|279|286|291|296|<br>298|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|12|10|9|9|9|10|10|<br>10|
|5-9|10|9|9|9|9|10|10|<br>10|
|10-14|11|8|9|9|9|9|10|<br>10|
|15-19|12|11|10|9|9|9|9|10|
|20-24|9|9|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|25-29|6|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|30-34|6|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|35-39|5|8|7|9|9|9|9|9|
|40-44|4|5|11|9|9|9|9|9|
|45-49|4|5|8|9|9|9|?|9|
|50-54|3|4|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|55-59|3|4|9|8|8|9|9|9|
|60-64|2|3|6|6|8|8|8|9|
|65-69|2|2|4|8|7|8|8|8|
|70-74|1|2|3|5|6|6|7|7|
|ra+|1|2|3|8|9|10|11|<br>11|
|TOTAL|93|101|125|137|140|<br>143|<br>146|<br>147|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|11|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|5-9|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|10-14|11|8|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|15-19|11|11|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|20-24|9|9|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|25-29|7|11|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|30-34|6|10|9|9|9|9|9|9|
|35-39|6|8|7|9|9|9|9|9|
|40-44|5|6|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|45-49|4|6|8|9|9|9|9|9|
|50-54|4|5|10|9|9|9|9|9|
|55-59|3|5|10|8|-9|<br>9|9|9|
|60-64|3|4|7|7|8|9|9|9|
|65-69|2|3|5|9|8|8|8|8|
|70-74|1|2|4|6|8|8|8|8|
|75+|2|3|6|12|13|15|<br>16|<br>17|
|TOTAL|97|108|<br>132|143|<br>146|<br>148|<br>150|<br>151|
|BIRTH RATE||19.5|16.4|14.0|13.4|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||7.9|7.7|10.7|12.5|12.2|12.1|12.4|
|NET NIGRATI|CN<br>RATE|-5.2|-. 4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE||.63|.83|.34|.09|.08|.07|.02|
|TOTAL FERTI|LITY|2.162|2.107|2.085|2.075|2.066|2.058|2.058|
|**e(O)-** BOTH|SEXES|67.51|71.68|74.16|75.96|77.88|79.42|79.50|
|<br>INR- BOTH S|EXES|38.7|24.1|16.8|12.6|8.5|5.4|5.3|

..............
192

|VIRGIN ISLANDS (U.S.)|<br>Projec|tion wIth NRR|=1by 2005(tho|usand)||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROUP<br>1985|<br>1990|<br>1995|**2000**|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL M+F<br>107|120|133|145|156|166|174|181|<br>188|<br>194|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6|7|7|7|7|7|<br>7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>6|6|<br>7|7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|10-14<br>7|6|<br>6|7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>6|7|<br>7|6|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|20-24<br>3|6|<br>7|7|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>3|3|<br>6|7|7|6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|30-34<br>4|3|<br>4|6|7|7|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>4|4|<br>3|4|6|7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|
|40-44<br>3|4|<br>4|4|4|6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>7|
|45-49<br>2|3|<br>4|4|4|4|<br>6|<br>7|<br>7|<br>6|
|50-54<br>2|2|<br>3|4|4|3|<br>4|<br>6|<br>7|<br>6|
|55-59<br>2|2|<br>2|3|4|4|3|<br>3|<br>6|<br>7|
|60-64<br>1|1|<br>2|2|3|3|4|<br>3|<br>3|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|2|2|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|<br>3|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|1|<br>2|3|<br>3|<br>2|
|75+<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|1|2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>4|
|TOTAL<br>51|58|<br>64|70|76|81|<br>85|<br>89|<br>92|<br>95|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>6|6|<br>6|7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|5-9<br>6|6|6|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|10-14<br>7|6|<br>6|6|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|15-19<br>6|7|<br>7|6|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|20-24<br>4|6|<br>7|7|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>4|4|6|7|7|6|7|7|7|7|
|30-34<br>5|4|<br>4|6|7|7|6|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|35-39<br>4|5|4|4|6|7|7|6|6|7|
|40-44<br>3|4|<br>5|4|4|6|7|<br>7|<br>6|<br>6|
|45-49<br>2|3|4|5|4|4|6|7|7|6|
|50-54<br>2|2|<br>3|4|5|4|4|6|<br>7|<br>7|
|55-59<br>2|2|2|3|4|5|4|4|6|7|
|60-64<br>1|2|2|2|3|4|5|4|4|6|
|65-69<br>1|1|2|2|2|3|4|4|4|4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|1|2|2|2|3|<br>4|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|1|1|2|2|2|3|3|4|6|
|TOTAL<br>56|62|68|74|80|85|89|92|96|98|
|BIRTH RATE|22.8|21.1|203.<br>|18.5<br>|17.1|16.1|15.5|15.0|14.6|
|DEATH RATE|4.9|4.9|5.2|5.5|5.9|6.4|7.0|7.8|8.6|
|RATE OF NAT. INC.|1.80|1.61|1.51<br>|1.30<br>|1.12|.97|.84|.72|.60|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|49|38|26|16|10|0|0|0|0|
|<br>GROWTH<br>RATE|.<br>2.29|.<br>1.99|.<br>1.77<br>|.<br>1.46<br>|.<br>1.22|.<br>.97|.<br>.84|.<br>.72|.<br>.60|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.600|2.436|2.283<br>2.|139<br>2.|084|2.082|2.081|2.079|2.078|
|NRR|1.241|1.165|1.094<br>1|.026<br>1|.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|eC0)- BOTH SEXES|73.03|73.58|74.09<br>74|.33<br>7|4.58|74.83|75.08|75.33|75.59|
|e(lO)- BOTH SEXES|64.81|65.20|65.56<br>65|.75<br>6|5.94|66.13|66.33|66.52|66.72|
|IMR- BOTH SEXES|19.1|17.5|16.0<br>|15.3<br>|14.7|14.1|13.4|12.8|12.2|
|q(5)<br>-BOTH SEXES|0223|0202|0183<br>|0176<br>|0168|0161|0153|0145|0138|
|<br> <br>DEP. RATIO<br>68.4|.<br>57.6|.<br>52.7|.<br>.<br>50.9|<br>.<br>48.8|<br>47.8|.<br>47.9|.<br>49.1|.<br>48.5|.<br> <br>47.8|
193 VIRGIN ISLANDS (U.S.) Projection with **NRR-1** br **2005** (thouseods) Sunwry for 25 Year Periods

|.<br>...<br>..............<br>...............<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|..............<br>2000|2025|......<br>...........<br>2050|...<br>.....<br>2075|..<br>*.............<br>2100|2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>...........................................................................|<br>..............................|||||||
|TOTAL<br>**M+F**<br>107|145|18|208|213|215|216|218|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|5-9<br>6|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|10-14<br>7|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|15-19<br>6|6|7|7|7|<br>7|7|7|
|20-24<br>3|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|25-29<br>3|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|30-34<br>4|6|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|35-39<br>4|4|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|40-44<br>3|4|6|7|7|7|7|7|
|45-49<br>2|4|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|50-54<br>2|4|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|55-59<br>2|3|6|6|6|7|7|7|
|60-64<br>1|2|3|6|6|6|6|6|
|65-69<br>1|1|3|5|6|6|6|6|
|70-74<br>1|1|3|4|5|5|5|5|
|75+<br>1|1|3|6|7|8|8|8|
|TOTAL<br>51|70|92|103|106|107|108|<br>108|
|FENALES||||||||
|0-4<br>6|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|5-9<br>6|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|10-14<br>7|6|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|15-19<br>6|6|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|20-24<br>4|7|7|7|7|7|<br>7|<br>7|
|25-29<br>4|7|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|30-34<br>5|<br>6|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|35-39<br>4|4|6|7|7|7|7|7|
|40-44<br>3|4|6|7|7|7|7|7|
|45-49<br>2|5|<br>7|7|7|7|7|7|
|50-54<br>2|4|7|7|7|7|7|7|
|55-59<br>2|3|6|6|6|6|6|7|
|60-64<br>1|2|4|6|6|6|6|6|
|65-69<br>1|2|4|5|6|6|6|6|
|<br>70-74<br>1|1|4|5|S|5|6|6|
|75+<br>1|2|4|9|10|10|11|<br>12|
|TOTAL<br>56|74|96|105|<br>107|<br>108|<br>109|<br>110|
|BIRTH<br>RATE|21.3|16.4|13.8|13.1|12.8|12.7|12.7|
|DEATH RATE|5.0|6.6|9.8|12.2|12.4|12.5|12.5|
|METNIGRATIOTl<br>RATE|3.7|.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWITH<br>RATE|2.02|1.04|.40|.09|.05|.02|.02|
|TOTAL<br>FERTILITY|2.437|2.093|2.075|2.068|2.063|2.062|2.060|
|eCO)- BOTH SEXES|73.60|74.86|76.12|77.45|78.42|78.79|79.18|
|<br>IE- **BOTH**SEXES|17.5|14.1|10.9|7.7|5.7|5.6|5.4|
194 OTHER LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Projection with NRR=I by 2010 (thousands)

|**....................**.........................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|1990|..........................<br>1995|.....................................<br>2000|..........................<br>2005|2010|2015|2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>,..............................................................................|<br>..........................|<br>..........................||||||<br>|<br>|
|TOTAL N.F<br>201|222|245|267|289|307|323|340|<br>355|<br>369|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>11|13|14|15|14|13|13|14|14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>13|11|13|14|15|14|13|13|14|<br>14|
|10-14<br>11|13|<br>11|13|14|14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>14|
|15-19<br>11|11|<br>13|11|13|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>10|<br>11|<br> <br> <br>11|<br>13|<br>11|<br>13|<br> <br> <br>14|<br> <br> <br>14|<br> <br> <br>14|<br><br> <br>13|
|25-29<br>8|10|<br>12|11|13|11|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>7|<br>8|<br> <br> <br>10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>13|<br> <br> <br>11|<br> <br> <br>13|<br> <br> <br>14|<br><br> <br>14|
|35-39<br>5|7|<br>8|10|11|11|<br>13|<br>11|<br>13|<br>14|
|40-44<br>5|5|<br>7|8|10|11|<br>11|<br>13|<br>11|<br>13|
|45-49<br>5|5|<br>5|6|8|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>11|
|50-54<br>3|5|<br>5|5|6|8|<br>9|<br>11|<br>11|<br>12|
|55-59<br>3|3|<br>4|4|4|6|7|9|<br>10|<br>10|
|60-64<br>2|3|<br>3|4|4|4|5|<br>7|<br>8|<br>9|
|<br> <br>65-69<br>2|<br>1|<br> <br> <br>3|<br>2|<br>4|<br>3|<br>4|<br> <br> <br>5|<br> <br> <br>6|<br><br> <br>7|
|70-74<br>2|1|<br>1|2|2|3|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|75.+<br>2|2|<br>2|2|2|2|3|<br>3|<br>4|<br>5|
|TOTAL<br>100|110|<br>122|133|143|152|<br>160|<br>167|<br>175|<br>181|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>12|13|<br>14|14|14|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>13|12|<br>13|14|14|14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>14|
|10-14<br>12|13|<br>12|13|14|14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>12|12|<br>14|12|13|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>13|<br>13|
|20-24<br>10|12|<br>12|14|12|13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>13|
|25-29<br>8|10|<br>12|12|14|12|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|<br> <br>30-34<br>7|<br>8|<br> <br> <br>10|<br>12|<br>12|<br>14|<br> <br> <br>12|<br> <br> <br>13|<br> <br> <br>14|<br><br> <br>14|
|35-39<br>5|7|8|10|12|12|<br>13|<br>12|<br>13|<br>14|
|40-44<br>5|5|<br>7|8|10|12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>12|<br>13|
|45-49<br>3|5|<br>5|7|8|10|<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>12|
|50-54<br>3|3|<br>5|5|6|8|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>.3|
|55-59<br>3|3|<br>3|5|5|6|8|<br>10|<br>11|<br>11|
|60-64<br>2|3|<br>3|3|4|4|6|<br>8|<br>9|<br>11|
|65-69<br>2|2|<br>3|3|3|4|4|<br>6|<br>7|<br>9|
|70-74<br>2|1|<br>1|2|2|2|4|<br>4|<br>5|<br>6|
|75.<br>2|2|<br>2|2|3|3|4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>7|
|TOTAL<br>101|112|<br>123|135|146|155|164|172|180|<br>188|
|BIRTH RATE<br>2|5.6|25.0<br>|23.2<br>|20.8<br>|18.2|17.1|16.6|16.2|15.5|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|6.9|6.4|6.1|6.3|6.4|6.7|7.2|7.8|
|RATE OF NAT.INC.<br>1|.81|1.81<br>|1.68<br>|1.46<br>|1.20|1.06|.99|.90|.78|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.9|1.4|.9|.7|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE<br>2|.00|1.94<br>|1.77<br>|1.53<br>|1.20|1.06|.99|.90|.78|
|TOTAL FERTILITY<br>3.|018|2.781<br>2.|562<br>2|.361<br>2|.176|2.106|2.097|2.091|2.089|
|NRR<br>1.|365|1.278<br>1|.191<br>1|.107<br>1|.028|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O)- BOTH SEXES<br>66|.50|67.89<br>6|9.13<br>7|0.19<br>7|1.13|71.93|72.67|73.30|73.63|
|e(10) - BOTH SEXES<br>60|.58|61.39<br>62|.17<br>6|2.87<br>6|3.50|64.04|64.58|65.02|65.28|
|IXR- BOTH SEXES<br>4|2.7|37.0<br>|32.4<br>|28.6<br>|25.3|22.6|20.4|18.5|17.8|
|q(S) -BOTH SEXES<br>.0|540|.0458<br>.0|394<br>.|344<br>.|301|.0267|.0239|.0216|.0206|
|<br> <br>DEP.RATIO<br>70.4|<br>62.2|<br> <br> <br>56.8|<br> <br>55.7|<br> <br>53.1|<br>49.3|<br>45.3|<br> <br>44.2|<br> <br>45.5|<br>48.1|
195 Projection with NRR=1 by 2010 (thousands) OTHER LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Summary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALH+F<br>201|<br>267|355|402|<br>418|<br>426|433|435|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>11|15|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|5-9<br>13|14|14|14|14|14|14|14|
|10-14<br>11|13|13|14|14|14|14|14|
|15-19<br>11|11|13|14|14|14|14|14|
|20-24<br>10|<br>13|14|14|<br>14|<br>14|<br>i4|<br>14|
|25-29<br>8|11|14|14|14|14|14|14|
|30-34<br>7|11|14|13|13|14|14|14|
|35-39<br>5|10|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|40-44<br>5|8|11|<br>13|<br>13|<br>14|<br>14|<br>14|
|45-49<br>5|6|12|13|13|13|14|14|
|50-54<br>3|5|11|13|13|13|13|13|
|55-59<br>3|4|10|13|12|13|13|13|
|60-64<br>2|4|8|11|<br>11|<br>12|<br>12|<br>12|
|65-69<br>2|2|6|8|10|<br>11|<br>11|<br>11|
|70-74<br>2|2|4|8|<br>9|<br>9|<br>10|<br>10|
|75+<br>2|2|4|9|13|<br>14|<br>16|<br>16|
|TOTAL<br>100|<br>133|<br>175|<br>197|<br>205|<br>210|<br>213|<br>215|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>12|<br>14|14|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|5-9<br>13|<br>14|13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|10-14<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|15-19<br>12|<br>12|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|<br>13|
|<br> <br>20-24<br>10|<br> <br>14|<br> <br>14|<br> <br>14|<br> <br>13|<br> <br>13|<br> <br>13|<br><br>13|
|25-29<br>8|12|14|13|13|13|13|13|
|30-34<br>7|12|14|13|13|13|13|13|
|35-39<br>5|10|13|13|13|13|13|13|
|40-44<br>5|8|12|13|13|13|13|13|
|45-49<br>3|7|13|13|13|13|13|13|
|50-54<br>3|5|11|14|13|13|13|13|
|55-59<br>3|5|11|13|13|13|13|13|
|60-64<br>2|3|9|12|12|13|13|13|
|65-69<br>2|3|7|10|11|12|12|12|
|70-74<br>2|2|5|10|11|11|12|12|
|75+<br>2|2|5|14|20|22|24|24|
|TOTAL<br>101|135|180|205|213|217|220|<br>220|
|BIRTH RATE|24.5|17.7|14.4|13.4|13.0|12.7|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|6.9|6.6|9.5|11.9|12.2|121|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.4|.1|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|1.90|1.14|.50|.15|.08|.06|.02|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.766|2.163|2.085|2.075|2.066|2.058|2.058|
|6(O)**-** B0THSEXES|67.92|71.93|74.32|76.07|77.93|79.42|79.50|
|<br>I<br>- BOTH SEXES|37.2|23.1|16.2|12.3|8.4|5.4|5.3|
# NONBORROWERS

(NORTHERN AMERICA)
198 CANADA Projectifn wIth NRR=I by 2030 (thousands)

|......................................................................................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|............................................<br>1990|1995|2010|2005|<br>2010|<br>2015|2020|2025|<br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|....................................................|||.......................|..............................................|.........................|||||
|TOTAL**P+F**<br>25379|26621|27603|28311|<br>28862|<br>29335|<br>29740|30036|<br>30158|<br>30079|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>946|959|916|863|855|<br>867|<br>884|890|888|<br>888|
|5-9<br>916|961|969|922|867|<br>857|<br>868|884|890|<br>887|
|10-14<br>932|927|968|973|924|868|<br>858|868|884|<br>890|
|15-19<br>1014|943|934|971|975|<br>925|<br>869|858|868|<br>883|
|20-24<br>1217|1035|957|942|976|978|<br>927|869|858|<br>866|
|25-29<br>1170|1245|1055|969|948|<br>980|<br>980|927|869|<br>856|
|30-34<br>1075|1195|1261|1064|<br>974|<br>952|<br>981|980|927|<br>867|
|35-39<br>992|1091|1204|1265|<br>1065|<br>975|<br>951|980|979|<br>925|
|40-44<br>785|999|1094|1203|<br>1261|<br>1063|<br>972|948|977|<br>975|
|45-49<br>649|783|994|1086|<br>1192|<br>1250|<br>1054|<br>964|942|<br>970|
|50-54<br>623|639|770|975|1065|<br>1171|<br>1229|<br>1037|<br>950|<br>929|
|55-59<br>593|601|616|742|<br>941|1030|<br>1134|<br>1192|<br>1008|<br>925|
|60-64<br>529|555|563|578|697|<br>886|<br>973|1074|<br>1133|<br>960|
|65-69<br>406|474|498|506|521|<br>631|<br>805|887|983|<br>1041|
|70-74<br>325|339|398|419|427|441|<br>537|688|762|<br>848|
|**75+**<br>387|**441**|**481**|547|599|<br>634|<br>666|759|928|<br>1078|
|TOTAL<br>12559|13188|<br>13679|14024|<br>14287|<br>14508|<br>14688|<br>14810|<br>14845|<br>14790|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>899|918|<br>875|824|815|<br>825|<br>840|846|842|841|
|5-9<br>871|<br>916|<br>930|883|829|819|<br>827|842|846|842|
|10-14<br>885|882|925|935|886|831|<br>820|828|842|846|
|15-19<br>964|897|891|930|938|889|<br>833|821|<br>829|842|
|20-24<br>1181|988|914|901|936|943|<br>892|<br>835|822|829|
|25-29<br>1174|1208|1007|926|909|942|<br>947|894|836|822|
|30-34<br>1086|1194|1223|1016|<br>931|913|<br>945|949|895|<br>836|
|35-39<br>989|1099|1203|1228|<br>1019|<br>934|<br>914|946|949|894|
|40-44<br>776|995|1103|1205|<br>1228|<br>1019|<br>933|914|945|948|
|45-49<br>644|776|994|1100|<br>1201|<br>1225|<br>1016|931|912|943|
|50-54<br>619|641|771|<br>987|1093|<br>1194|<br>1217|1011|<br>926|907|
|55-59<br>615|611|632|761|<br>975|<br>1080|<br>1181|1205|1001|918|
|60-64<br>593|600|596|<br>617|<br>744|<br>954|<br>1058|1158|1183|<br>984|
|65-69<br>477|<br>565|572|<br>569|591|<br>714|<br>917|<br>1019|<br>1117|<br>1143|
|70-74<br>409|434|515|<br>524|523|544|<br>659|849|945|1039|
|75+<br>638<br> <br>|708<br>|773<br>|<br>883<br>|956<br> <br>|<br>1002<br> <br>|<br>1050<br>|<br>1180<br>|<br>1423<br>|<br>1654|
|TOTAL<br>12820|13433|<br>13924|<br>14287|<br>14575|<br>14828|<br>15053|15227|<br>15313|15289|
|BIRTH RATE|14.5|13.3|12.1|11.8|11.7|11.8|11.7|11.6|11.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.6|7.9|8.1|8.6|9.0|9.4|9.9|10.9|12.1|
|RATEOFMAT.INC.|.69|.54|.40|.32|.27|.24|.18|.07|-. 05|
|NEI MIGRATION<br>RATE|2.7|1.8|1.1|.7|.5|.3|.2|.1|.0|
|GROU<br>H RATE|.96|.73|.51|.39|.33|.27|.20|.08|- .05|
|TO-.ALtERTILITY|1.680|1.680|1.680|1.746|1.810|1.872|1.932|1.990|2.046|
|NRR|.810|.810|.811|.843|.874|.904|.934|.962|.989|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|76.62|76.95|77.28|77.60|77.96|78.34|78.72|79.10|79.49|
|ed1O) - BOTHSEXES|67.63|67.89|68.16|68.41|68.71|69.02|69.33|69.64|69.95|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|10.8|10.2|9.5|8.9|8.2|7.4|6.7|6.0|5.3|
|q(S) - BOTH SEXES|.0122|.0114|.0106|.0098|.0090|.0081|.0073|.0064|.0056|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>46.8|<br>47.1|<br>47.0|45.5|<br>43.8|<br>44.5|<br>48.6|54.1|<br> <br>60.4|<br>66.4|
199

# CANADA Projection witn NRR-l by 2030 (thousands)

# Sumry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|<br>2075|<br>2100|<br>2125|<br>2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.......<br>............<br>....|......<br>........|...............|..................||....................................||....**.**....**.**........**....**...............|
|TOTALMiF<br>25379|28311|<br>30158|<br>**28633**|<br>27691|<br>27608|<br>27605|<br>27604|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>946|863|**888**|889|887|<br>887|887|<br>887|
|5-9<br>916|92?|890|886|886|886|886|<br>886|
|10-14<br>932|973|884|883|885|886|886|<br>886|
|15-19<br>1014|971|868|883|885|885|885|<br>885|
|20-24<br>1217|942|858|885|**885**|884|884|<br>884|
|25-29<br>1170|969|869|883|884|882|882|<br>882|
|30-34<br>1075|1064|927|885|880|880|88|881|
|35-39<br>992|1265|979|877|876|<br>878|879|<br>879|
|40-44<br>785|1203|<br>977|859|8.4|876|876|<br>876|
|45-49<br>649|1086|942|4|871|<br>871|870|<br>870|
|50-54<br>623|975|950|845|859|<br>859|858|<br>858|
|55-59<br>593|742|1008|<br>879|839|<br>835|835|<br>835|
|60-64<br>**529**|578|1133|<br>886|794|<br>93|795|<br>796|
|65-69<br>406|506|983|816|717|<br>729|731|<br>731|
|70-74<br>325|419|762|683|612|<br>632|632|<br>631|
|75*<br>387|547|928|1222|<br>1071|<br>1031|<br>1031|<br>1030|
|TOTAL<br>12559|14024|<br>14845|<br>14104|<br>13705|<br>13695|<br>13696|<br>13696|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>899|824|842|842|<br>840|<br>840|<br>840|<br>840|
|5-9<br>871|883|846|840|<br>839|<br>840|840|<br>840|
|10-14<br>885|935|842|837|<br>839|<br>840|840|<br>840|
|15-19<br>964|930|829|838|<br>840|<br>840|<br>840|<br>840|
|20-24<br>1181|901|822|841|<br>841|<br>840|<br>840|<br>840|
|25-29<br>1174|926|836|842|<br>841|<br>840|<br>840|<br>840|
|30-34<br>1086|1016|<br>895|846|<br>839|<br>839|<br>839|<br>839|
|35-39<br>989|1228|<br>949|841|<br>836|<br>838|<br>839|<br>839|
|40-44<br>776|1205|<br>945|827|<br>836|<br>838|<br>839|<br>838|
|45-49<br>644|1100|<br>912|819|<br>837|<br>838|<br>837|<br>836|
|50-54<br>619|987|926|828|<br>834|<br>834|<br>832|<br>832|
|55-59<br>615|761|1001|<br>879|<br>831|<br>825|<br>824|<br>825|
|60-64<br>593|617|1183|<br>917|<br>813|<br>808|<br>810|<br>811|
|65-69<br>477|569|1117|<br>883|<br>773|<br>782|<br>784|<br>784|
|70-74<br>409|524|945|795|<br>714|<br>730|<br>730|<br>729|
|75+<br>638|883|1423|<br>1854|<br>1630|<br>1542|<br>1534|<br>1533|
|TOTAL<br>12820|<br>14287|<br>15313|<br>14529|<br>13986|<br>13914|<br>13908|<br>13907|
|BIRTH RATE|13.3|11.7|11.8|12.4|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|7.9|9.6|13.8|13.7|12.7|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.9|.4|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.73|.25|-. 21|-.13|-. 01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.688|1.867|2.064|2.068|2.068|2.068|2.068|
|e(O) - **BOTH**SEXES|76.96|78.35|79.49|79.49|79.49|79.49|79.49|
|<br>**INR**- BOTH SEXES|10.2|7.4|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
200 PUERTO Rlt Projection with NRR-1 by **2000** (thoausMns)

|..<br>.............................<br>AGEGRUCP<br>1985|.............<br> <br>1990|..............................................<br>1995|<br>204O|<br>2005|2010|...........<br> <br>2015|...................<br> <br>2020|...<br> <br>202|...<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|<br> <br>,.......................................................................................|<br> <br>...............................|||<br>||<br>|<br>|<br>|<br><br>................<br>....................|
|TOTALM+F<br>3282|3452|3611|3762|3912|4066|<br>4220|<br>4361|<br>4482|<br>4583|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>158|<br>168|<br>161|<br>155|<br>153|154|<br>156|<br>157|<br>156|<br>155|
|5-9<br>166|155|165|159|154|152|<br>154|<br>t4|157|<br>156|
|10.14<br>162|164|153|164|158|153|<br>152|<br>154|156|<br>156|
|15.19<br>166|169|<br>162|152|163|157|<br>153|<br>152|153|<br>156|
|20-24<br>161|163|157|160|150|162|<br>157|<br>153|151|<br>153|
|25-29<br>122|157|159|154|157|149|161|<br>'57|<br>152|<br>151|
|30-34<br>105|118|154|156|152|156|<br>149|<br>161|156|<br>152|
|35-39<br>102|102|116|151|155|151|<br>156|<br>140|<br>160|<br>156|
|40-44<br>87|99|<br>99|<br>114|<br>150|153|<br>150|<br>155|<br>147|<br>160|
|45-49<br>74|85|97|98|112|148|152|<br>149|153|<br>146|
|50-54<br>65|72|<br>82|<br>95|<br>95|110|<br>145|<br>149|<br>146|<br>i51|
|55-59<br>57|62|<br>69|<br>79|<br>91|92|<br>106|<br>141|<br>145|<br>142|
|60-64<br>52|53|<br>58|<br>65|<br>75|86|<br>87|<br>100|<br>153|<br>137|
|65-69<br>44|4|47|<br>52|<br>.4|67|<br>78|<br>79|<br>91|<br>121|
|70-74<br>37|37|<br>39|<br>40|<br>44|49|<br>57|<br>66|<br>67|<br>78|
|75+<br>43|49|51|54|57|62|<br>69|<br>78|<br>91|<br>98|
|TOTAL<br>1601|1688|<br>1770|1847|<br>1924|2002|<br>2081|<br>2153|<br>2216|<br>2268|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>152|<br>161|<br>155|<br>149|<br>147|148|<br>150|<br>150|<br>149|<br>148|
|5-9<br>161|150|<br>159|<br>153|<br>148|146|<br>148|<br>150|<br>150|<br>149|
|10-14<br>156|159|148|158|152|148|<br>146|<br>148|<br>150|<br>150|
|15-19<br>159|153|157|1"|157|152|148|<br>1"|148|<br>150|
|20-24<br>159|<br>154|<br>149|<br>153|<br>144|156|<br>152|<br>147|<br>146|<br>148|
|25-29<br>134|153|<br>148|<br>145|<br>151|143|<br>156|<br>152|<br>147|<br>146|
|30-34<br>117|129|<br>149|<br>145|<br>143|150|<br>143|<br>156|<br>151|<br>147|
|35-39<br>116|114|<br>126|<br>146|<br>144|143|<br>150|<br>143|<br>156|<br>151|
|40-44<br>99|114|<br>112|<br>124|<br>145|143|<br>142|<br>150|<br>143|<br>155|
|45-49<br>84|97|<br>112|<br>111|<br>123|144|<br>143|<br>142|<br>149|<br>142|
|50-54<br>73|83|<br>96|<br>111|<br>109|122|<br>143|<br>142|<br>141|<br>148|
|55-59<br>65|72|<br>81|<br>94|<br>109|108|<br>120|<br>141|<br>140|<br>139|
|60-64<br>59|63|<br>69|<br>79|<br>91|106|<br>105|<br>118|<br>138|<br>137|
|65-69<br>50|55|<br>60|<br>66|<br>74|87|101|<br>100|113|<br>133|
|70-74<br>42|45|<br>49|<br>54|<br>59|68|<br>79|<br>93|<br>92|<br>104|
|75+<br>54|64|<br>72|<br>80|<br>89|100|<br>113|<br>131|<br>153|<br>167|
|TOTAL<br>1681|<br>1764|<br>1841|<br>1915|<br>1988|2064|<br>2139|<br>2208|<br>2266|<br>2315|
|BIRTH RATE|29.0|18.2|16.8|15.8|15.3|14.9|14.4|13.9|13.5|
|DEATN RATE|6.4|6.6|6.7|6.9|7.1|7.4|7.9|8.4|9.0|
|RATE OF MAT. INC.|1.35|1.16|1.01|.90|.82|.75|.66|.55|.45|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|-3.4|-2.6|-1.8|-1.1|-.5|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GRtITH<br>RATE|1.01|.90|.82|.78|.77|.75|.66|.55|.45|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.360|2.233|2.113|2.067<br>|2.066|2.065|2.064|2.062|2.061|
|NRR|1.139|1.079|1.022|1.000<br>|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|1.000|
|e(O) - BOTH SEXES|75.73|76.09|76.46|76.78<br>|77.10|77.43|77.77|78.10|78.45|
|e(10) - BOTHSEXES|66.82|67.10|67.38|67.65<br>6|7.93|68.21|68.49|68.78|69.07|
|INR- BOTH SEXES|11.8|10.9|10.0|9.5|9.0|8.4|7.9|7.4|6.8|
|q(5) -BOTH SEXES|.0133|0123|0112|0106<br>|0099|0093|0087|0081|0074|
|<br>NEP. RATIO<br>59.6|<br>56.9|.<br> <br>53.6|.<br> <br>51.8|.<br> <br> <br>49.4|<br>48.8|.<br> <br>49.8|.<br> <br>50.4|.<br> <br>51.6|.<br> <br>54.5|
201 PUERTO RICO Projection with NRR=1 _bV_ 2000 (thunwidB)

# Suery for 25 Year Periods

|.........<br>............<br>......<br>AGEGRnWP<br>195|.............<br>2000|..........................<br>2025|.................<br>2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|......................................||.............................||.|...............................|||
|TOTAL<br>N4F<br>3282|3762|<br>4482|4814|4860|<br>4869|<br>4870|<br>4870|
|HALES||||||||
|0-4<br>158|155|156|156|156|<br>156|<br>156|<br>156|
|5-9<br>166|159|<br>157|156|156|<br>156|<br>156|<br>156|
|10-14<br>162|164|<br>156|i55|155|<br>155|<br>156|<br>156|
|15-19<br>166|152|<br>153|154|155|<br>155|<br>155|<br>155|
|20-24<br>161|160|<br>151|154|155|<br>155|<br>155|<br>155|
|25-29<br>122|154|<br>152|155|155|<br>155|<br>155|<br>155|
|30-34<br>105|156|<br>156|155|155|<br>155|<br>155|<br>155|
|35-39<br>102|151|<br>160|154|154|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|40-M<br>87|114|<br>147|152|153|<br>154|<br>154|<br>154|
|45-49<br>74|98|153|149.|<br>152|<br>153|<br>153|<br>153|
|50-54<br>65|95|146|148|<br>151|<br>151|<br>151|<br>151|
|W559<br>57|79|145|148|<br>147|<br>147|<br>147|<br>147|
|60-64<br>52|65|13.i|145|<br>140|<br>139|<br>140|<br>140|
|65-69<br>445|2|91|122|127|<br>128|<br>128|<br>128|
|70-74<br>37|40|67|III|108|<br>110|<br>Ill|Ill|
|75+<br>43|54|91|165|<br>179|<br>181|<br>181|<br>181|
|TOTAL<br>1601|<br>1847|<br>2216|2380|<br>2398|<br>24C4|<br>2405|<br>2405|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>152|<br>149|<br>149|149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|5-9<br>161|<br>153|<br>15O|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|10-14<br>156|<br>158|<br>150|149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|15-19<br>159|<br>146|<br>148|148|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|20-24<br>159|<br>153|<br>146|<br>148|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|25-29<br>134|<br>11.5|<br>147|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|30-34<br>117|<br>145|<br>151|<br>150|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|35-39<br>116|<br>146|<br>156|<br>150|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|<br>149|
|40-44<br>99|124|<br>143|<br>147|<br>148|<br>148|<br>149|<br>149|
|45-49<br>84|Ill|149|<br>145|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|50-54<br>73|Ill|141|146|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|<br>148|
|55-59<br>65|94|140|<br>149|<br>148|<br>146|<br>146|<br>146|
|60-64<br>59|79|138|<br>150|<br>145|<br>144|<br>144|<br>1"|
|65-69<br>50|661|13|133|<br>138|<br>138|<br>139|<br>139|
|70-74<br>42|54|92|129|<br>127|<br>129|<br>129|<br>129|
|75.<br>54|80|153|<br>242|<br>270|<br>272|<br>272|<br>272|
|TOTAL<br>1681|<br>1915|<br>2266|<br>2435|<br>2462|<br>2465|<br>2465|<br>2465|
|BIRTH RATE|18.3|14.9|13.1|12.6|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE|6.6|7.6|10.2|12.3|12.5|12.6|12.6|
|NET NIORATION<br>RATE|-2.6|-.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.91|.70|.29|.04|.01|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERtTILITY|2.240|2.065|2.059|2.O58|2.058|2.058|2.058|
|eCO)- BOTHSEXES|76.10|77.46|79.08|79.50|79.50|19.50|79.50|
|<br>lIM- BOTH SEXES|11.0|8.4|5.9|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
202 UNITED STATES OF AJtERICA Projection with NRRa1 **by** 2030 (thousands)

|..........<br>.................<br>AGE GROUP<br>1985|......<br>......<br>1990|....<br>. ........<br>1995|.........<br>2000|...............................<br>2005|2010|........<br>2015|....<br>........<br>2020|......|.........<br>2025|.......... .......**.**...<br> <br>2030|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TOTALN+F<br>2392a3|248814|257020|263278|268576|273663|278577|282581||285038|<br>285647|
|MALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>9312|9375|9128|<br>8660|<br>8578|8739|8932|8990||8931|<br>88a6|
|5-9<br>8734|<br>9373|9419|<br>91s1|8669|8581|8740|8929||8986|<br>8923|
|10-14<br>8249|8785|9410|<br>9439|9159|8673|<br>8584|8739||8927|<br>8981|
|15-19<br>9354|_8a2_|8818|<br>9424|<br>9441|9158|8671|8579||8733|<br>8918|
|20-24<br>10471|9444|8363|<br>8850|<br>9433|9442|9155|1664||8570|<br>8718|
|25.29<br>11073|10590|9533|<br>8413|<br>886|9438|9442|9149||8656|<br>8554|
|30-34<br>10130|11164|10655|<br>9565|<br>8425|8870|9434|<br>9432||9137|<br>8639|
|35-39<br>9348|10176|11185|<br>10653|<br>9553|<br>8413|8854|<br>9412||9410|<br>9113|
|40-44<br>7111|9339|10150|<br>11136|<br>10601|<br>9508|<br>8376|8815||9372|<br>90o9|
|45-49<br>5855|7048|9242|10039|<br>11014|10490|9414|8298||8738|9294|
|5054<br>5221|5725|6893|9041|9828|10793|10291|9246||8159|8600|
|55-59<br>5305|5001|<br>5494|6625|8701|9473|<br>10420|9952||8957|7917|
|60-64<br>507S|4929|4662|5134|6205|8166|8913|9828||9410|8490|
|65-69<br>4238|4503|4391|4169|4606|5583|7373|<br>8075||8936|8586|
|70-74<br>3247|<br>3499|<br>3739|<br>3663|3492|3872|<br>4714|6253||6879|7646|
|75+<br>3918|4338|4764|5184|5367|5357|5667|6495||8130|9503|
|TOTAL<br>116645|<br>121583|125847|129145|131941|134555|136980|138858||139930|<br>140135|
|FEMALES|||||||||||
|0-4<br>8981|9039|8787|8320|8232|8379|8555|8601||8535|8483|
|5-9<br>8368|9069|9107|8828|8345|8249|8393|8564||8607|8536|
|10-14<br>7900|8432|9119|9138|8847|8359|8260|8399||8568|8608|
|15-19<br>8980|7971|8488|9153|9158|8861|8369|8267||8405|8570|
|20-24<br>10150|9112|8076|8554|9191|9186|**8882**|8384||8277|84c7|
|25-29<br>10976|10302|9233|8152|8598|9222|9208|8897||8395|8280|
|30-34<br>10184|11086|10389|9286|8182|8619|9237|9217||8904|8395|
|35-39<br>9521|)0247|11132|10414|9298|8190|8622|9237||9217|8899|
|40-44<br>7334|9536|10254|11123|10400|<br>9286|8180|8611||9225|9204|
|45-49<br>6121|7311|9499|<br>10206|<br>11070|10354|9248|8150||8582|9197|
|50-54<br>5sso|6063|7243|9407|10111|10973|10270|9179||8095|8530|
|55-59<br>**5882**|5480|5959|7118|9251|9954|10814|10132||9067|8004|
|60-64<br>5931|5698|5316|5782|6916|9002|9702|10559||9911|8884|
|65-69<br>5244|5595|**s388**|<br>5029|5481|6570|8576|9269||10117|9523|
|70-74<br>4433|4708|5040|4859|4549|4973|5987|7846||8516|9333|
|75+<br>7053|7580|8142|8763|9006|8931|9294|10408||12686|<br>14659|
|TOTAL<br>122638|127231|131173|134134|136636|139108|141597|143723||145108|<br>145512|
|BIRTH RATE|15.2|14.3|13.2|12.8|12.7|12.0|12.6||12.4|12.3|
|DEATH RATE|9.0|9.0|9.1|9.2|9.3|9.5|9.9||10.8|11.9|
|RATEOFNAT.INC.|.62|.53|.41|.35|.34|.33|.27||.16|.04|
|NET MIGRATION<br>RATE|1.6|1.2|.7|.4|.3|.2|.2||.1|.0|
|GROUTH<br>RATE|.78|.65|.48|.40|.38|.36|.29||.17|.04|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|1.880|1.880|1.880|1.910|1.939|1.968|1.996||2.025|2.052|
|NRR|.906|.907|.907|.922|.938|.952|.966||.980|.994|
|e(O)- **BOTH**<br>SEXES|75.16|75.69|76.05|76.50|76.92|77.34|77.76||78.18|78.61|
|**e(IO)**<br>- BOTH SEXES|66.48|66.88|67.15|67.48|67.80|68.15|68.50||68.86|69.22|
|**IHR**- BOTH SEXES|14.2|12.7|11.7|10.6|9.5|8.8|8.1||7.4|6.7|
|q(5)-BOTHSEXES|0162|0145|0133|0119|0106|0097|0089||0081|0072|
|<br>DEP.RATIO<br>49.9|.<br>51.2|.<br>50.7|.<br>47.8|.<br>45.8|.<br>46.0|.<br>50.2|.<br>55.3||.<br>60.8|.<br> <br>64.2|
203

# **UNITED** STATES OF AMERICA Projection with **NRR=1** by 2030 (thousands)

Sumlmry for 25 Year Periods

|AGE**GROJP**|1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|...<br>.**..**.|... .<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>_.|.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>..|..<br>.<br>.|.<br>.<br>..<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>**.**<br>.<br>.<br>..<br>...... .|<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.<br>.|.<br>.........||
|TOTAL<br>M F|239283|263278|285038|281502|278699|278701|278764|278760|
|MALES|||||||||
|0-4|9312|8660|8931|8959|8938|8931|8930|8931|
|5-9|8734|9151|8986|8942|8921|8921|8924|8925|
|10-14|8249|9439|8927|8896|8906|8916|8920|8921|
|15-19|9354|9424|8733|8857|8901|8913|8914|8912|
|20-24|10471|8S50|8570|8851|8908|8906|8900|8898|
|25-29|11073|8413|8656|8880|8910|8889|8882|8882|
|30-34|10130|9565|9137|8927|8885|8864|8864|8867|
|35-39|9348|10653|9410|8852|8825|8834|8845|8849|
|40-44|7111|11136|9372|8637|8763|8807|3819|8820|
|45-49|5855|10039|8738|8430|8711|8767|8765|8759|
|50-54|5221|9041|8159|8413|8636|8665|8645|8638|
|55-59|5305|6625|8957|8658|8467|8428|8407|8408|
|60-64|5078|5134|9410|8507|8016|7991|8000|8009|
|65-69|4238|4169|8936|7803|7210|7316|7353|7363|
|70-74|3247|3663|6879|6314|6116|6319|6360|6359|
|75+|3918|5184|8130|10513|10456|10369|10388|10378|
|TOTAL|116645|129145|139930|138440|137569|137837|137916|137918|
|FEMALES|||||||||
|0-4|8981|8320|8535|8534|8514|8508|8507|8508|
|5-9|8368|8828|8607|8524|8503|8504|8506|8507|
|10-14|7900|9138|8568|8484|8493|8503|8507|8507|
|15-19|8980|9153|8405|8463|8496|8508|8508|8507|
|20-24|10150|8554|8277|8479|8514|8512|8507|8505|
|25-29|10976|8152|8395|8532|8530|8510|8503|8503|
|30-34|10184|9286|8904|8602|8518|8497|8498|8500|
|35-39|9521|10414|9217|8560|8475|8484|8494|8498|
|40-44|7334|11123|9225|8391|8446|8479|8491|8491|
|45-49|6121|10206|8582|8246|8444|8479|8477|8472|
|50-54|5580|9407|8095|8323|8457|8455|8435|8429|
|55-59|5882|7.18|9067|8746|8452|8369|8349|8350|
|60-64|5931|5782|9911|8902|8275|8192|8201|8211|
|65-69|5244|5029|10117|8612|7845|7897|7928|7938|
|70-74|4433|4859|8516|7463|7188|7361|7391|7389|
|75|7053|8763|12686|16202|15979|15607|15546|15528|
|TOTAL|122638|134134|145108|143063|141130|<br>140864|140848|<br>140842|
|BIRTH RATE||14.2|12.7|12.3|12.5|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH<br>RATE||9.0|9.8|12.8|12.9|12.6|12.6|12.6|
|NET MIGRAT|ION RATE|1.2|.3|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RAT|E|.64|.32|-.05|-. 04|.00|.00|.00|
|TOTAL FERT|ILITY|1.886|1.967|2.060|2.062|2.062|2.062|2.062|
|eCO)**-** BOT|H SEXES|75.64|77.35|79.23|79.49|79.49|79.49|79.49|
|<br>IMR**-** BOT|H SEXES|12.9|8.9|5.7|5.3|5.3|5.3|5.3|
204

|OTHER<br>UNTHERM<br>AMERIC<br>.................<br>................|A<br>Projecti<br>................|on with_NR_|_R-i_by2030(tho<br>..............................|uswndr)|..........|......................................|........||:|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AGE GROW<br>195|190|1995|<br>2000|2005|2010|<br>2015|<br>2020|<br>2025|<br>2030|
|TOTAL N*F<br>115<br>|<br>121|<br>127|<br>132|135|138|<br>141|<br>143|<br>144|<br>145|
|MALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|5|S|5|<br>5|<br>S|<br>5|
|5.9<br>4|<br>5|5|5|S|5|5|5|5|5|
|10-14<br>5|<br>4|5|S|5|5|5||5|S|
|15-19<br>6|5|4|5|5|5<br>5||5|S|<br>5|
|20-24<br>6|6|5|4|5|5|5|5|5|S|
|2529<br>6|6|6|S|4|5|5|S|<br>5|5|
|30-34<br>5|6|6|6|5|4|5|5|5|5|
|35-39<br>5|5|6|6|6|5|4|S|5|5|
|40-4<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|6|6|5|<br>4|<br>5|<br>5|
|45-49<br>3|4|5|5|5|6|6|S|<br>4|5|
|50-54<br>3|3|4|5|5|5|5|6|5|4|
|55-59<br>2|3|3|4|S|5|5|S|<br>5|4|
|60-64<br>2|<br>2|<br>2|<br>3|3|4|4|<br>5|<br>S|<br>5|
|65-69<br>1|<br>1|<br>2|<br>2|2|3|4|<br>4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|2|2|<br>2|<br>3|<br>3|3|
|7s5<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|<br>1|2|2|<br>2|<br>3|4|<br>4|
|TOTAL<br>59|<br>63|<br>65|<br>68|69|71|<br>72|<br>72|<br>72|<br>72|
|FEMALES||||||||||
|0-4<br>4|5|5|5|4|4|5|5|5|S|
|5-9<br>4|4|5|5|5|4|4|S|<br>5|5|
|10-14<br>5|4|4|5|5|5|4|4|5|5|
|1S-19<br>6|<br>S|<br>4|<br>4|S|5|<br>5|<br>4|<br>4|<br>5|
|20-24<br>6|6|5|4|4|5|5|5|4|4|
|25-29<br>S|6|6|5|4|4|5|5|<br>5|<br>4|
|30-34<br>5|<br>5|<br>5|<br>6|5|4|4|<br>S|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>4|5|5|5|6|4|4|4|5|5|
|40-44<br>3|4|<br>5|<br>S|5|5|4|<br>4|<br>4|5|
|4549<br>3|3|4|5.|5|5|5|4|4|4|
|50-54<br>3|3|3|4|4|5|5|5|4|4|
|SS-59<br>2|3|3|3|4|4|5|5|5|4|
|60-64<br>2|2|2|3|3|4|4|S|5|5|
|65-69<br>1|2|2|2|2|3|3|4|4|S|
|70-74<br>1|1|1|2|2|2|2|3|3|4|
|75.<br>2|2|2|2|2|3|3|4|4|5<br>|
|TOTAL<br>55|58|61|<br>64|66|68|69|71|72|<br>73|
|BIRTH RATE|17.8|16.7|15.1<br>|13.9<br>|13.4|13.5|13.5|13.4|13.1|
|DEATH RATE|7.6|7.5|7.5|8.4|9.1|9.8|10.6|11.4<br>|12.4<br>|
|RATE OF HAT. INC.|1.02|.92|.76|.56|.44|.37|.30|.19|.08|
|NETNIGRATION<br>RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROITH RATE|1.02|.92|.76|.56|.44|.37|.30|.19|.08|
|TOTAL FERTILITY|2.000|2.000|2.000<br>2.|012<br>2.|024|2.037|2.049|2.061|2.072|
|MRR|.932|.93S|.945<br>|.956<br>|.965|.974|.982|.990|.997|
|e(O) - !OTH SEXES|69.82|71.09|72.22<br>7|2.19<br>7|2.70|73.28|73.82|74.32|74.69|
|e*tO)- BOTH SEXES|62.59|63.43|64.21<br>6|4.21<br>6|4.59|65.01|65.40|65.75|66.05|
|IHR- BOTH SEXES|29.5|25.1|21.3<br>|21.7<br>|20.3|18.6|16.9|15.4|14.6|
|q(5)- BOTHSEXES|.0357|.0298|.0250<br>.|0255<br>.|0238|.0216|.0195|.0176|.0167|
|<br>DEP. RATIO<br>42.7|<br>41.9|<br>44.0|<br>44.6|43.6|43.9|<br>46.5|<br>50.5|<br>54.9|<br>58.|
205

# OTHER NORTHERN AMERICA Projection with NRR=1 by 2030 (thousmnds)

Sumnary for 25 Year Periods

|AGE GROJP<br>1985|2000|2025|2050|2075|2100|2125|2150|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|.<br>..............................................................................|...................................................|..........................||||||
|TOTALM+F<br>115|132|144|144|145|148|149|149|
|MALES||||||||
|0-4<br>5|5|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|10-14<br>5|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|15-19<br>6|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|20-24<br>6|4|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|25-29<br>6|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|30-34<br>5|6|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|35-39<br>5|6|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|4-44<br>4|6|5|4|5|5|5|<br>5|
|45-49<br>3|5|4|4|5|5|5|5|
|50-54<br>3|5|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|
|55-59<br>2|4|5|5|4|4|4|<br>4|
|60-64<br>2|3|5|4|4|4|4|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|2|4|4|4|4|4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|1|3|3|3|3|3|<br>3|
|75+<br>1|1|4|5|5|5|5|<br>6|
|TOTAL<br>59|<br>68|72|<br>71|<br>71|<br>73|<br>73|<br>74|
|FEMALES||||||||
|0-4<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|5-9<br>4|5|5|5|5|5|5|5|
|10-14<br>5|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|15-19<br>6|4|4|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|20-24<br>6|4|4|5|5|5|5|<br>5|
|25-29<br>5|5|5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|30-34<br>5|6|5|5|5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|35-39<br>4|5|5|4|5|5|5|5|
|40-44<br>3|5|4|4|4|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|45 49<br>3|5|4|4|5|5|5|5|
|30-54<br>3|4|4|5|<br>5|5|<br>5|<br>5|
|;5-59<br>2|3|5|5|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|S0-64<br>2|3|5|5|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|65-69<br>1|<br>2|4|4|<br>4|4|<br>4|<br>4|
|70-74<br>1|2|3|3|4|4|4|4|
|75+<br>2|2|4|7|7|8|8|8|
|TOTAL<br>55|<br>64|<br>72|<br>73|<br>74|<br>75|<br>75|<br>75|
|BIRTH RATE|16.5|13.6|13.0|13.0|12.8|12.6|12.6|
|DEATH RATE|7.5|9.9|13.3|12.6|12.0|12.4|12.5|
|NET MIGRATION RATE|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|.0|
|GROWTH<br>RATE|.90|.37|-. 02|.05|.08|.02|.00|
|TOTALFERTILITY|2.018|2.037|2.074|2.067|2.059|2.058|2.058|
|e(O)- BOTHSEXES|71.08|73.28|75.44|77.40|79.24|79.50|79.50|
|<br>INR- BOTH SEXES|25.4|18.6|13.1|9.2|5.7|5.3|5.3|
PPR Working Paper Series

|Title|Author|Date|Contact|
|---|---|---|---|
|WPS93The Effects of Education,<br>Health and<br>Social Seculity on Fertility in<br>Developing<br>Countries|Susan H. Cochrane|September1988|S.Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS94The World Bank's Population<br>Lending<br>and Sector Review|George B. Simmons<br>Rushikesh Maru|September1988|S.Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS95International<br>Trade and Imperfect<br>Competition: Theory and Application<br>to the Automobile<br>Trade|Junichi Goto|September1988|J. Epps<br>33710|
|WPS96 The Private Sector and Family Planning<br>in Developing<br>Countries|Maureen A. Lewis<br>Genevieve Kenney|September1988|S.Ainsworth<br>31091|
|WPS97Export-Promoting<br>Subsidies and What<br>to Do About Them|Richard H. Snape|September1988|J. Sweeney<br>31021|
|WPS98Diversification<br>in Rural Asia|Agriculture<br>and Rural<br>Development<br>Staff|October1988|S.Barghouti<br>38408|
|WPS99 Trade Policies and the Debt Cr,sis|Sam Laird<br>Julio Nogues|September1988|S.Torrijos<br>33709|
|WPS100 Public Infrastructure<br>and Private<br>Sector Profitability<br>and Productivity<br>in Mexico|Anwar Shah|September1988|A. Bhalla<br>60359|
|WPS1O1 Measuring the Impact of Minimum Wage<br>Policies on the Economy|Luis A. Riveros<br>Ricardo Paredes|October1988|R. Luz<br>61762|
|WPS102Effects of the Multifibre Arrangement<br>(MFA) on Developing<br>Countries:<br>A Survey|Junichi Goto|||
|WPS103 Macro Shocks and Industrial<br>Portfolio<br>Responses: An Econometric<br>Model<br>for LDCs|James Tybout<br>Taeho Bark|||
|WPS104Financial Crises in Developing<br>Countries|Manuel Hinds|||
# PPR Working Paper Series

|Title<br>WPS105 Securing International<br>Market Access|Author<br>Richard H. Snape|Date<br>October 1988|Contact<br>J. Sweene,<br>31021|
|---|---|---|---|
|WPS1O6 Energy Issues In the Developing<br>World|Mohan Munasinghe<br>Robert J. Saunders|||
|WPS107 A Review of World Bank Lending for<br>Electric Power|Mohan Munasinghe<br>Joseph Gilling<br>Melody Mason|||
|WPS108 Some Considerations<br>in Collecting<br>Data<br>on Household Energy Consumption|L. Leitmann|||
|WPS109 Improving<br>Power System Efficiency in<br>the Developing<br>Countries Through<br>Performance<br>Contracting|Philip Yates|||
|WPS11O Impact of Lower Oil Prices on<br>Renewable Energy Technologies|E. Terrado<br>M. Mendis<br>K. Fitzgerald|||
|WPS111 Recent World Bank Activities in Energy|!ndustry and Energy<br>Department|||
|WPS112 A Visual Overview of the World Oil<br>Markets|Kay McKeough<br>Jose Escay<br>Sompheap Sem|||
|WPS113 Public Sector Pay and Employment<br>Policy Issues in Bank Lending: An<br>Interim Review of Experience|Barbara Nunberg|||
|WPS114 Africa Region Population<br>Projections<br>1988-89 edition|My T. Vu<br>Eduard Bos<br>Rodolfo A. Bulatao|October 1988|S. Ainswor<br>31091|
|WPS115 Asia Region Population<br>Projections<br>1988-89 edition|My T. Vu<br>Eduard Bos<br>Rodolfo A. Bulatao|October 1988|S. Ainswor<br>31091|
|WPS116 Latin America and the Caribbean<br>Region Population Projections<br>1988-89 edition|My T. Vu<br>Eduard Bos<br>Rodolfo A. Bulatao|October 1988|S. Ainswor<br>31091|