**Table 10: Impact of a change in the price of cereals on consumers and producers-National**

||**-25%**|**-12.5%**|**No change **|<br>**12.5%**|**25%**|**50%**|**100%**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||||**Rice**||||
|**Poverty, population as a whole**||||||||
|Headcount index of poverty|46.85|47.13|**47.45**|47.72|48.34|49.11|51.04|
|Poverty gap|16.73|16.63|**16.66**|16.75|16.90|17.27|18.23|
|<br>Squared poverty gap|8.15|8.01|**8.01**|8.05|8.11|8.28|8.78|
|**Poverty, rice consumers**||||||||
|Headcount index of poverty|42.85|43.39|**43.99**|44.63|45.43|46.76|49.44|
|Poverty gap|14.03|14.12|**14.29**|14.50|14.75|15.32|16.66|
|Squared poverty gap|6.34|6.36|**6.43**|6.54|6.65|6.92|7.63|
|**Poverty, rice producers**||||||||
|<br>Headcount index of poverty|48.13|46.57|**43.31**|40.71|40.20|38.09|35.16|
|<br>Poverty gap|18.89|16.82|**15.59**|14.84|14.31|13.50|12.37|
|<br>Squared poverty gap|10.42|8.74|**8.08**|7.72|7.44|6.99|6.36|
|**Poverty, population as a whole**|||**Millet**|**and sorghu**|**m**|||
|Headcount index of poverty|46.87|47.16|**47.45**|47.98|47.91|48.78|50.12|
|<br>Poverty gap|16.54|16.59|**16.66**|16.73|16.82|17.02|17.61|
|Squared poverty gap|7.98|7.99|**8.01**|8.03|8.07|8.16|8.47|
|**Poverty, millet and sorghum consumers**||||||||
|<br>Headcount index of poverty|35.09|35.70|**36.37**|37.21|37.51|39.18|41.87|
|Poverty gap|10.48|10.67|**10.87**|11.09|11.33|11.84|13.09|
|Squared poverty gap|4.43|4.52|**4.62**|4.73|4.85|5.11|5.79|
|**Poverty, millet and sorghum producers**||||||||
|Headcount index of poverty|68.92|68.78|**67.90**|67.90|66.23|65.07|62.37|
|<br>Poverty gap|26.42|25.95|**25.52**|25.11|24.71|23.96|22.70|
|Squared poverty gap|13.64|13.30|**13.00**|12.71|12.45|11.99|11.28|
|||||**Corn**||||
|**Poverty, population as a whole**||||||||
|<br>Headcount index of poverty|47.44|47.46|**47.45**|47.39|47.39|47.39|47.38|
|Poverty gap|16.77|16.71|**16.66**|16.60|16.57|16.51|16.42|
|Squared poverty gap|8.16|8.07|**8.01**|7.96|7.93|7.88|7.81|
|**Poverty, corn consumers**||||||||
|Headcount index of poverty|35.60|35.80|**35.80**|36.09|36.09|36.46|37.93|
|<br>Poverty gap|11.33|11.42|**11.52**|11.61|11.71|11.92|12.37|
|<br>Squared poverty gap|5.17|5.22|**5.28**|5.34|5.40|5.52|5.79|
|**Poverty, corn producers**||||||||
|Headcount index of poverty|80.13|79.95|**79.83**|78.27|78.27|77.35|73.26|
|Poverty gap|36.05|35.08|**34.12**|33.19|32.52|31.19|28.94|
|Squared poverty gap|21.17|19.92|**18.94**|18.23|17.66|16.66|15.12|
||||**All iden**|**tified cerea**|**ls**|||
|**Poverty, population as a whole**||||||||
|Headcount index of poverty|45.96|46.73|**47.45**|48.32|49.19|50.89|55.13|
|Poverty gap|16.66|16.58|**16.66**|16.83|17.11|17.81|19.90|
|Squared poverty gap|8.23|8.03|**8.01**|8.06|8.17|8.48|9.65|
|<br>**Poverty, cereals consumers**||||||||
|<br>Headcount index of poverty|44.44|45.26|**46.05**|47.04|47.96|49.83|54.40|
|<br>Poverty gap|15.75|15.71|**15.83**|16.05|16.37|17.17|19.44|
|<br>Squared poverty gap|7.63|7.47|**7.47**|7.56|7.70|8.08|9.36|
|<br>**Poverty, cereals producers**||||||||
|<br>Headcount index of poverty|59.45|58.89|**58.07**|57.61|57.51|56.60|55.99|
|Poverty gap|23.18|21.92|**21.07**|20.47|20.07|19.44|18.91|
|Squaredpoverty gap|12.32|11.14|**10.51 **|10.10|9.80|9.34|8.92|

Source: Authors’ estimation using ELIM 2006.