Table 5: Channels - Spillovers and sector of activity

|_Dependent var_|_iable:_ ∆_Lo_|_g total cons_|_umptionpe_|_r AE in 201_|_0_||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||(1)|(2)|(3)|(4)|(5)|(6)|
|_Ex-combatant return in HH_|||||||
|CNDD+factions (_R_<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>)|0.233|0.137|0.213|0.114|0.143|0.047|
||(0.160)|(0.161)|(0.157)|(0.158)|(0.149)|(0.146)|
|FNL factions (_R_<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>)|-0.045|-0.075|-0.032|-0.072|-0.001|-0.040|
|_Demobilized in HH_|(0.257)|(0.237)|(0.251)|(0.234)|(0.219)|(0.204)|
|CNDD+factions (_D_<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>)|-0.611<sup>∗</sup>|-0.569|-0.524<sup>∗</sup>|-0.512<sup>∗</sup>|-0.687<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.678<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.349)|(0.345)|(0.304)|(0.295)|(0.238)|(0.230)|
|FNL factions (_D_<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>)|0.488<sup>∗</sup>|0.494<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.496<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.511<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.587<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.597<sup>∗∗</sup>|
||(0.252)|(0.243)|(0.245)|(0.242)|(0.243)|(0.242)|
|_# of demobilized in the hill (per 10_|_00 inhab.)_||||||
|CNDD+factions (_S _<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>)|-0.020<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.023<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.017<sup>∗∗</sup>|-0.019<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.017<sup>∗∗</sup>|-0.020<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.006)|(0.006)|(0.007)|(0.007)|(0.006)|(0.006)|
|FNL factions (_S _<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>)|0.018<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.015<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.018<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.016<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.018<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.016<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.004)|(0.004)|(0.004)|(0.004)|(0.004)|(0.004)|
|_Channel_|||||||
|_S _<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>×Small business|0.066<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.064<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.048<sup>∗</sup>|0.051<sup>∗∗</sup>|0.014|0.016|
||(0.029)|(0.028)|(0.025)|(0.023)|(0.026)|(0.025)|
|_S _<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>×Construction|-0.104|-0.096<sup>∗</sup>|-0.108|-0.094|-0.092|-0.083|
||(0.068)|(0.058)|(0.067)|(0.058)|(0.083)|(0.080)|
|_S _<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>×Public sector|0.066<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.061<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.078<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.069<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.071<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.060<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.016)|(0.014)|(0.016)|(0.016)|(0.015)|(0.016)|
|_S _<sup>_CNDD_+</sup><br>_i_<br>×Extractive activities|0.046|0.047|0.042|0.042|0.014|0.016|
||(0.042)|(0.041)|(0.042)|(0.041)|(0.026)|(0.025)|
|_S _<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>×Small business|-0.022<sup>∗∗</sup>|-0.015|-0.018<sup>∗∗</sup>|-0.013|-0.009|-0.004|
||(0.011)|(0.011)|(0.008)|(0.009)|(0.008)|(0.008)|
|_S _<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>×Construction|0.283<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.281<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.292<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.281<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|0.134|0.125|
||(0.079)|(0.073)|(0.082)|(0.078)|(0.110)|(0.109)|
|_S _<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>×Public sector|-0.041<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.032<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.042<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.034<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.026<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.015<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.004)|(0.005)|(0.005)|(0.005)|(0.004)|(0.005)|
|_S _<sup>_FNL_</sup><br>_i_<br>×Extractive activities|-0.021<sup>∗</sup>|-0.008|-0.021<sup>∗</sup>|-0.009|-0.021<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.013<sup>∗</sup>|
||(0.011)|(0.011)|(0.011)|(0.011)|(0.008)|(0.008)|
|_Lag_|||||||
|Log consumption per AE in 2006|-0.796<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.822<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.816<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.840<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.821<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|-0.847<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.054)|(0.055)|(0.052)|(0.053)|(0.044)|(0.045)|
|Constant|7.339<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|7.963<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|7.506<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|8.034<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|7.552<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|8.119<sup>∗∗∗</sup>|
||(0.519)|(0.578)|(0.504)|(0.566)|(0.430)|(0.516)|
|Controls|No|Yes|No|Yes|No|Yes|
|Province FE|No|Yes|No|Yes|No|Yes|
|Observations|858|853|909|904|963|958|
|_R_<sup>2</sup>|0.097|0.133|0.088|0.121|0.070|0.102|

_Notes:_ Authors’ analysis based on data described in the text. This table reports OLS estimates for the second definition of demobilization ( _D_<sup>_CNDD_</sup> _i_<sup>+2</sup> and _Di_<sup>_FNL_2</sup> ). We grouped households into five employment categories: farming, small business, construction, public sector, and extractive activity. We define as the main occupation the one which generated the highest income the year before the survey. Constructing this variable was problematic for households that did not report the revenue associated with their activities. These households are therefore excluded in columns (1) and (2). In columns (3) and (4), households that did not report their revenue but only engaged in one type of activity are included. In columns (5) and (6), we also add the households that did not report their revenue and engaged in multiple activities by assuming that their main income generating activity was the nonagricultural one. In all columns, the dummy for farming activity - the main activity for 79% of households - is omitted. There are no controls in columns (1), (3), and (5). In the remaining columns, controls include whether the household head has changed, as well as the head’s sex, age, matrimonial status, and education. Outliers are excluded (as explained in Appendix). Sampling weights are accounted for. Clustered-robust standard errors are in parentheses. * _p_ < 0.10, ** _p_ < 0.05, *** _p_ < 0.01 26