I POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 2322

# Summary findings

The Egyptian food subsidy system is an untargeted system that is essentially open to all Egyptians. For this reason, the budgetary costs of this system have been high and the ability of this system to improve the welfare status of the poor has been questioned.

Since the food riots of 1977, Egyptian policymakers have been reluctant to make large changes in their food subsidy system. Rather, their strategy has been to reduce the costs and coverage of this system gradually. For example, since 1980 policymakers have reduced the number of subsidized foods from 20 to just four.

Despite these cutbacks, Adams uses new 1997 household survey data to show that the Egyptian food subsidy system is self-targeted to the poor, because it subsidizes "inferior" goods. In urban Egypt, for instance, the main subsidized food - coarse baladi bread - is consumed more by the poor (the lowest quintile group of the population) than by the rich (the highest quintile). So subsidizing baladi bread is a good way of improving the welfare status of the urban poor. But in rural Egypt where the poor do not consume so much baladi bread, the poor receive less in income transfers than the rich.

In many countries, administrative targeting of food subsidies can do a better job of targeting the poor than self-targeting systems. In Jamaica, for example, poor people get food stamps at health clinics, so the Jamaican poor receive double the income transfers from food subsidies that the Egyptian poor receive. But starting a comparable system in Egypt would be costly both in financial and political terms, because many nonpoor households currently receiving food subsidies would have to be excluded.

For these reasons, it is likely that the government will continue to refine the present food subsidy system, perhaps by eliminating current subsidies on sugar or edible oil. Neither of these foods is an "inferior" good, so eliminating these subsidies will have only a minimal impact on the welfare status of the poor.

- This paper a product of the Poverty Division, Poverty Reduction and Economic MIanagement Network -is part of a larger effort in the network to identify the impact of transfer programs on the urban and rural poor. Copies of the paper are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433. Please contact Moira Coleridge-Taylor, room MC4-554, telephone 202-4733704, fax 202-522-3283, email address mcoleridgetaylor@Cworldbank.org. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at w-w.worldbank.org/research/workingpapers. The author may be contacted at radams(2worldbank.org. April 2000. (42 pages)

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