|**Table 36**|**Mean Expo**<br>|**rt Crop Re**<br>_Cocoa Farm_<br>|**venue of H**<br>_ers_<br>|**ouseholds G**<br> <br>|**rowing Ex**<br>_Coffee Farm_<br>|**port Crops**<br>_ers_<br>|_(in 1985C _<br>_C_|_FAFper ye_<br>_otton Farme_|_ar)_<br>_r_<br>|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|_Region_|_Mean cocoa_<br>_revenue per_<br>_capita_|<br>_Weighted_<br>_population_|_Share in_<br>_regional_<br>_population_|_Mean coffee_<br>_revenue per_<br> <br>_capita_|<br>_Weighted_<br>_population_|_Share in_<br>_regional_<br>_population_|_Mean cotton_<br>_revenue per_<br>_capita_|<br>_Weighted_<br>_population_|_Share_**_in_**<br>_regional_<br>_population_|
|East Forest||||||||||
|1993|20444|7148|58.4|6097|4408|36.0|9292|30|0.2|
|1995|23968|853|64.6|21134|524|39.7||||
|West Fores|t|||||||||
|1993|25590|6391|63.3|11882|5090|50.4|21771|206|2.0|
|1995|31693|440|50.6|35894|306|35.2|64075|55|6.3|
|Savannah||||||||||
|1993|15257|1026|10.2|8728|1434|14.3|26965|2729|27.1|
|1995|7599|111|11.2|9758|127|12.8|32460|164|16.5|

It is highly unlikely that there would be no growth in cocoa revenues in the region of West Forest as a whole, in view of the fact that there was about a 10 percent increase in the real producer price of cocoa, and a 30 percent increase in cocoa production West Forest according to the CSSPA data. Thus, we conclude that cocoa-growing households are likely to have been undersampled in the West Forest.<sup>3</sup> ' If in fact cocoa-growing households were undersampled, it is likely that the households producing as much or more cocoa than the mean that were undersampled, since the increase in mean cocoa revenues among cocoa-growing households seems if anything understated, given the reported increase in production and producer prices.

Even if cocoa growing households were undersampled in the West Forest, however, it would not explain the drop in food shares, controlling for total expenditure, within the population of cocoagrowing households (and other export crop -growing households) that were sampled. Thus, it is an unresolved question as to why food shares dropped so significantly among this group. The drop in food shares seems to result from an underestimation of consumption of home production, leading to a downward bias in total expenditure. If so, then the incidence of poverty as indicated by the survey results would be biased upwards. However, we do not have a clear hypothesis about why home consumption fell precipitously among West Forest export crop farmers.

# **Poverty reduction among export crop farmers in the Savannah and East Forest**

Mean household expenditure per capita of export crop farm households increased by 2.5 percent in East Forest, and by 9.2 percent in the Savannah (table 17). In view of the relatively large increase in household expenditure in the Savannah, it is surprising to find that export crop revenues from cocoa, coffee and cotton earned by export crop farm households in the Savannah actually declined by 7 percent, while export crop revenues increased by 55 percent in East Forest (table 37). What accounts, then, for the increase in mean household expenditure?

**31** Coffee-growing households show a similar drop, not surprisingly, since there is a great deal of overlap between the two.

39