64 keeping it at the same level for 1985-1990, and then reducing it more slowly to 180,000 in 1990-1995 and finally to 125,000 for 1995-2000.

# Haiti

From FY1980 to FY1984, 40,265 Haitians legally immigrated to the United States. Since that time legal immigration has increased to an annual level of 12,550 (or 62,750 for 1985-1990 if that level were to remain constant fnr 1988 and 1989). Haitian immigration to Canada has also been substantial -- ls,137 total immigrants in 1980-1987. In addition, illegal migration from Haiti to the United States has been very substantial and the treatment of such migrants continues to be highly controversial. Given the extent of both legal and illegal immigration, I would recommend a net migration figure of -100,000 for 1980-1985. Moreover, in the light of rapidly increasing levels of legal immigration to the United States over the last three years (10,165 in FY1985, 12,666 in FY1986, and 14,819 in FY1987), I would recommend an increase in the level of net emigration to 110,000 for each subsequent five-year period.

# Other Latin American and Caribbean Countries

For Guatemala, the World Bank's net emigration level for 1980-1985 (15,000) is only one tenth as high as the United Nations estimate and it is out of line with the estimates for other years. Unless there are special circumstances that were taken into account for that period, I would think an emigration level at least as large as the 1985-1990 figure (130,000) would be more appropriate. For 1990-2000, I would recommend a less rapid reduction to -124,000 in 1990-1995 and -116,000 in 1995-2000. For Guyana, immigration to both the United States and Canada has been increasing rapidly in the 1985-1987 period. In all, 8,531 persons born in Guyana immigrated to the United States in FY1985, compared to 10,367 in FY1986 and 11,384 in FY1987. Similarly, 2,301 persons born in Guyana immigrated to Canada in 1985, 3,905 in 1986, and 6,073 in 1987. This would suggest gross immigration to those two countries alone of 75,000 or more for 1985-1990. I would recommend net emigration of 70,000 for 1985-1990, 1990-1995, and 1995-2000. Jamaican legal immigration to the United States and Canada is currently averaging nearly 25,000 persons per year and illegal migration is also substantial. Therefore, I would increase net emigration to 110,000 for 1985-1990 and maintain that level through the year 2000. For Brazil, immigration to the United States and Canada is currently about 2,500 persons per year. I would recommend a small amount of net emigration (10,000 persons) for each five-year period from 1985 to 2000. For the Dominican Republic, legal immigration to the United States alone averaged nearly 25,000 persons per year in FY1985-FY1987 and illegal immigration is also substantial. I would recommend net emigration of at least 110,000 persons for 1985-1990, 1990-1995, and 1995-2000. For Honduras, a small net outflow (20,000 per five-year period) seems most likely for the rest of the century. For the net emigration countries of Bolivia, Belize, Barbados, Chile, Nicaragua, Panama, Puerto Rico, and Trinidad and Tobago, I would recommend holding net emigration steady at the 1985-1990 level for the rest of the century. If there is any decline at all, it should be much more gradual than the previously proposed World Bank assumptions.