**Figure 1A: All Respondents' Population Estimates and Actual Population**

<!-- Start of picture text --> Population and claims across all respondents<br>20<br>25<br>20 15<br>15<br>10<br>10<br>5<br>5 Actual<br>Estimated<br>0 Median population in sample<br>0<br>0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 -400000 -200000 0 200000 400000<br>Population Error<br>Only claims below 500,000 shown Only errors for claims below 500,000 shown<br>Percent<br><!-- End of picture text -->

**Notes:** Figure 1A shows the histograms of actual populations (black) and population claims (blue dashed) for all claims on the left-hand panel;  the right-hand panel show histograms of actual errors for all claims.  Actual errors are the claim of the respondent minus the actual population value.  The black dashed line represents the median actual population in the sample of districts.  All claims refers to claims over the 75th percentile, 50th percentile, and 25th percentile district in terms of population within the (chosen) region for the federal and regional respondents; and claims over own districts for district level respondents.  The sample includes all employees and managers in the Ethiopian Civil Servants Survey that were asked the information module.  In both panels, observations corresponding to populaton claims over 500,000 are not included for presentation purposes.

# **Figure 1B: Federal and Regional Respondent Population Estimates and Actual Population**

<!-- Start of picture text --> Population error for 25th percentile district Population claim for 25th percentile district<br>25 as a percentage of the actual population<br>25<br>20<br>20<br>15 15<br>10 10<br>5 5<br>0 0<br>-200000 -100000 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000<br>Error Population claim over actual population (%)<br>Only errors for claims below 500,000 shown Only errors for claims below 500,000 and up to 10 times the value of the data shown<br>Population error for 50th percentile district Population claim for 50th percentile district<br>25 as a percentage of the actual population<br>25<br>20<br>20<br>15 15<br>10 10<br>5 5<br>0 0<br>-200000 -100000 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000<br>Error Population claim over actual population (%)<br>Only errors for claims below 500,000 shown Only errors for claims below 500,000 and up to 10 times the value of the data shown<br>Population error for 75th percentile district Population claim for 75th percentile district<br>25 as a percentage of the actual population<br>25<br>20<br>20<br>15<br>15<br>10 10<br>5 5<br>0 0<br>-200000 -100000 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000<br>Error Population claim over actual population (%)<br>Only errors for claims below 500,000 shown Only errors for claims below 500,000 and up to 10 times the value of the data shown<br>Percent Percent<br>Percent Percent<br>Percent Percent<br><!-- End of picture text -->

**Notes:** Figure 1B left-hand panels show histograms of actual errors for the 25th percentile district, 50th percentile district, and 75th percentile district.  Actual errors are the claim of the respondent minus the actual population value.  The black dashed line represents the median actual population in the sample of districts.  The sample is all federal and regional employees and managers in the Ethiopian Civil Servants Survey that were asked the information module.  The right-hand panel shows histograms of the population claim divided by the actual population of the district multiplied by 100 to convey the size of the population claim relative to the data in percentage terms.  The solid gray line at 100 represents an accurate claim.  In both panels, observations corresponding to populaton claims over 500,000 are not included for presentation purposes.  In the right-hand panel, observations where the claim is more than 10 times (1000% of) the actual data are not shown.