# **Table A8:  Global Insight Global Risk Service (DRI)**

Global Insight

**Data Provider** Global Insight **Description** Commercial business information provider headquartered in Boston, United States **Website** www.globalinsight.com **Data Source** Global Risk Service **Type** Expert Assessment **Respondents** Staff of Global Insight, subject to regional reviews **Frequency** Quarterly since 1996 **Coverage** Global sample of countries **Public Access** Commercially available **Description**

The Global Risk Service, formerly known as the Country Risk Review, was introduced by Data Resources, Inc (DRI) in 1996. In 2001 DRI became part of Global Insight, which in 2003 also acquired the World Markets Research Center that produces the World Markets Online ratings (WMO, see Table A31). These two sets of ratings continue to be produced independently and so we continue to treat them as distinct sources as we did prior to 2003. The Global Risk Review provides assessments of the likelihood of various "risk events". We use their assessments of risk events occurring in the next five years. Although nominally these indicators measure the likelihood of future changes in dimensions of governance we find that in practice they are highly correlated with other assessments of the _level_ of governance and we interpret them in this way.

|**Voice and Accountability**<br>NA|2006 <br>..|2005 <br>..|2004 <br>..|2003 <br>..|2002 <br>..|2000<br>..|1998 <br>..|1996<br>..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Political Stability**<br>|||||||||
|Domestic Political Risks: Military Coup Risk: A military coup d’etat (or a series of such events) that reduces the<br>GDP growth rate by 2% during any 12-month period.<br>|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risks: Major Insurgency/Rebellion: An increase in scope or intensity of one or more<br>insurgencies/rebellions that reduces the GDP growth rate by 3% during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risks: Political Terrorism: An increase in scope or intensity of terrorism that reduces the GDP<br>|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|growth rate by 1% during any 12-month period.|||||||||
|<br>Domestic Political Risks: Political Assassination: A political assassination (or a series of such events) that<br>reduces the GDP growth rate by 1% during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risks: Civil War: An increase in scope or intensity of one or more civil wars that reduces the<br>GDP growth rate by 4% during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risks: Major Urban Riot: An increase in scope, intensity, or frequency of rioting that reduces<br>the GDP growth rate by 1% during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Government Effectiveness**|||||||||
|Domestic Political Risk: Government Instability: An increase in government personnel turnover rate at senior<br>levels that reduces the GDP growth rate by 2% during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risk: Government Ineffectiveness: A decline in government personnel quality at any level that<br>reduces the GDP growth rate by 1% during any 12-month period.<br>|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risk: Institutional Failure: A deterioration of government capacity to cope with national<br>problems as a result of institutional rigidity or gridlock that reduces the GDP growth rate by 1% during any 12-<br>month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Regulatory Quality**|||||||||
|<br>Policies Non-Tax: Regulations -- Exports: A 2% reduction in export volume as a result of a worsening in export<br>regulations or restrictions (such as export limits) during any 12-month period, with respect to the level at the<br>time of the assessment.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Policies Non-Tax: Regulations -- Imports: A 2% reduction in import volume as a result of a worsening in import<br>regulations or restrictions (such as import quotas) during any 12-month period, with respect to the level at the<br>time of the assessment.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Policies Non-Tax: Regulations -- Other Business: An increase in other regulatory burdens, with respect to the<br>level at the time of the assessment, that reduces total aggregate investment in real LCU terms by 10%|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Policies Non-Tax: Ownership of Business by Non-Residents: A 1-point increase on a scale from "0" to "10" in<br>legal restrictions on ownership of business by non-residents during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Policies Non-Tax: Ownership of Equities by Non-Residents: A 1-point increase on a scale from "0" to "10" in<br>legal restrictions on ownership of equities by non-residents during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Rule of Law**|||||||||
|Outcomes Non-Price: Losses and Costs of Crime: A 1-point increase on a scale from "0" to "10" in crime during<br>any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Domestic Political Risk: Kidnapping of Foreigners: An increase in scope, intensity, or frequency of kidnapping of<br>foreigners that reduces the GDP growth rate by 1% during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Policies Non-Tax: Enforceability of Government Contracts: A 1 point decline on a scale from "0" to "10" in the<br>enforceability of contracts during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Policies Non-Tax: Enforceability of Private Contracts: A 1-point decline on a scale from "0" to "10" in the legal<br>enforceability of contracts during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Control of Corruption**|||||||||
|Risk Event Outcome non-price: Losses and Costs of Corruption: A 1-point increase on a scale from "0" to "10"<br>in corruption during any 12-month period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Country Coverage**|**142**|**122**|**118**|**118**|**117**|**111**|**106**|**106**|
|**Year of Publication**|**2006 **|**2005 **|**2004 **|**2003 **|**2002 **|**2000**|**1998 **|**1996**|

46