|**Table 4.1: Probability of Falling into**<br>Probit estimates<br> <br> <br>|**Povert**<br>**1999**<br>N<br>L<br>Pr<br>|**y**i**n Pa**<br>umber of<br>R chi2(41<br>ob > chi2<br>|**raíba**<br>obs =<br>) =47<br>= 0.0<br>|**and th**<br>10271<br>59.70<br>000<br>|**e North**|**east r**|**egion,**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|Loglikelihood = -4600.6214|Ps|eudo R2|= 0.|409||||
|P0|dF/dx S|td.Err.|Z|P>|z|||[95%|C.I.]|
|Age|-.0281|.0033|-8.47|0.000|36.65|-.0346|-.0216|
|Age_2|.0002|.0000|6.59|0.000|1469.92|.0001|.0003|
|Female*|.2153|.0164|13.08|0.000|.2191|.1830|.2476|
|Black*|.0446|.0249|1.81|0.070|.0753|-.0042|.0935|
|Mulatto*|.0713|.0134|5.24|0.000|.6428|.0449|.0976|
|Rural*|.0364|.0173|2.12|0.034|.2138|.00242|.0704|
|Family size|.1734|.0141|12.22|0.000|3.695|.1457|.2010|
|Family size2|-.0142|.0013|-10.53|0.000|16.56|-.0168|-.0116|
|_<br>Family members under the age of 5|.1833|.0113|16.33|0.000|.4849|.1611|.2055|
|<br>Family members between age 5 and 15|.1348|.0085|15.77|0.000|.9062|.1179|.1516|
|<br>Family members over the age of 65|-.2393|.0347|6.88|0.000|.0384|-.3075|-.1712|
|Completed primary school (1-4 grade)*|-.0809|.0158|-4.98|0.000|.2708|-.1120|-.0497|
|<br>Completed primary school (5-8 grade)*|-.1615|.0166|-8.91|0.000|.1697|-.1941|-.1288|
|<br>Completed secondary school*|-.3363|.0139|-19.85|0.000|.2626|-.3636|-.3090|
|Completed university*|-.4240|.0069|-13.67|0.000|.0642|-.4377|-.4103|
|<br>Signed work card*|-.1910|.0121|-15.46|0.000|-.5145|-.2148|-.1672|
|<br>Employed in agriculture*|.1761|.0304|5.85|0.000|.1696|.1164|.2359|
|Employed in services*|-.0049|.0231|-0.21|0.831|.4192|-.0502|.0403|
|<br>Employed in industry*|.0087|.0249|0.35|0.726|.2743|-.0401|.0575|
|Employed in the public sector*|-.0310|.0378|-0.81|0.419|.0359|-.1052|.0431|
|<br>Paraíba*|-.1511|.2671|-0.50|0.615|.0555|-.6747|.3724|
|Paraíba age|.0018|.0146|0.13|0.897|2.141|-.0267|.0304|
|Paraíba age_2|-.0000|.0001|-0.36|0.721|90.83|-.0003|.0002|
|Paraíba Female *|-.0928|.0702|-1.24|0.215|.0092|-.2304|.0448|
|Paraíba Black*|.0781|.1242|0.64|0.521|.0030|-.1653|.3216|
|Paraíba Mulatto*|.0698|.0621|1.14|0.252|.0285|-.0519|.1916|
|Paraíba Rural*|.1455|.0793|1.86|0.063|.0179|-.0100|.3011|
|Paraíba Family size|.1504|.0680|2.21|0.027|.2164|.0171|.2838|
|Paraíba Family size_2|-.0139|.0060|-2.29|0.022|.9963|-.0258|-.0019|
|Paraíba Family members under the age of 5|-.0322|.0501|-0.64|0.521|.0297|-.1305|.0661|
|Paraíba Family members between age 5-15|-.0263|.0392|-0.67|0.502|.0552|-.1032|.0505|
|Paraíba Family members over the age of 65|.0243|.1327|0.18|0.854|.0027|-.2358|.2845|
|<br>Paraíba Completed primary school (1-4 grade)*|-.0649|.0740|-0.84|0.399|.0134|-.2099|.0801|
|<br>Paraíba Completed primary school (5-8 grade)*|-.1170|.0782|-1.37|0.172|.0080|-.2704|.0363|
|<br>Paraíba Completed secondary school*|-.1134|.0836|-1.24|0.213|.0101|-.2772|.0504|
|<br>Paraíba Completed university*|-.0841|.1953|-0.41|0.684|.0060|-.4670|.2988|
|<br>Paraíba Signed work card*|<br>-.0549|.0603|<br>-0.88|<br>0.378|<br>.0228|<br>-.1731|<br>.0633|
|<br>Paraíba Employed in agriculture*|-.0925|.1222|-0.71|0.478|.0115|-.3321|.1470|
|<br>Paraíba Employed in services*|-.0889|.0992|-0.84|0.398|.0173|-.2833|.1055|
|Paraíba Employed in industry*|.0584|.1181|0.50|0.615|.0184|-.1731|.2900|
|Paraíba Employed in thepublic sector*|-.2158|.1128|-1.45|0.147|.0021|-.4369|.0052|

Note: obs. P | .4179729 pred. P | .3703122 (at x-bar)

(*) dF/dx is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1 z and P>|z| are the test of the underlying coefficient being 0. Source: Calculations based on PNAD 1999.

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