**Table 3. Probability of 2**<sup>**nd**</sup> **child arrival in Turkey (logit regressions with robust standard errors)**

|**' **<br>**Table: Probability of 2nd chil**<br>married|**Model 1**<br>**d arrival i**<br>women aged|**Model 2**<br>**n Turke**<br>16‐45 havi|**Model 3**<br>**y (logit re**<br>ng one child|**Model 4**<br> **gression**<br>, with observ|**Model 5**<br>**s with ro**<br>ed partner|**Model 6**<br>**bust sta**|**Model 7**<br>**ndard er**|**Model 8**<br>**rors)**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Womans activity status**|||||||||
|_Stable employment_<br>_(ft & pt, employed and self‐employed)_|‐0.285+<br>(‐1.82)|_Ref._|‐0.783+<br>(‐1.49)|‐0.306+<br>(‐1.81)|‐0.279+<br>(‐1.44)|‐0.498*<br>(‐2.39)|‐0.525**<br>(‐2.64)|‐0.539*<br>(‐2.35)|
|_Stable unemployment_||‐0.889<br>(‐0.88)|||||||
|_Stable inactivity_||<br>0.328*<br>(2.08)|||||||
|_Other (unstable, retirement, student...)_||<br>‐0.220<br>(‐061)|||||||
|**Partner information**||.|||||||
|_Partner in stable employment_|||‐0.374+<br>(‐1.90)||||||
|_Partner not in stable employment_|||<br>_Ref._||||||
|**Women's education**|||||||||
|_no graduate (less than primary completed)_||||0.518*<br>(243)|||||
|**Couple's joint labour income**||||.|||||
|_zero and lowest tercile_|||||0.234+<br>(1.60)||||
|**Women's type of employment**|||||||||
|_family worker_||||||0.0944<br>(0.40)|||
|_agricultural work_|||||||0.113<br>(‐0.50)||
|_not registered in social security_||||||||‐0.138<br>(‐064)|
|**Interaction terms**||||||||.|
|_stable employment and stable employed partner_|||0.576||||||
||||(104)||||||
|_stable employment and no graduation_|||.|0.116<br>|||||
|_stable employment and low household income_||||(0.27)|0.0719||||
||||||(0.22)||||
|**Woman's age**|||||||||
|_16‐24_|0.252+<br>(1.71)|0.247+<br>(1.66)|0.257+<br>(1.73)|0.178<br>(1.17)|0.200<br>(1.33)|0.224+<br>(1.50)|0.218+<br>(1.47)|0.223+<br>(1.49)|
|_25‐34_|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|
|_35‐45_|‐1959***|‐1961***|‐1999***|‐2015***|‐1995***|‐1963***|‐1996***|‐1961***|
|**Age of first child**|.<br>(‐5.77)|.<br>(‐5.77)|.<br>(‐5.78)|.<br>(‐5.85)|.<br>(‐5.81)|.<br>(‐5.73)|.<br>(‐5.78)|.<br>(‐5.71)|
|<br>_0_|‐1.060***<br>(‐4.64)|‐1.064***<br>(‐4.65)|‐1.071***<br>(‐4.68)|‐1.082***<br>(‐4.78)|‐1.073***<br>(‐4.72)|‐1.063***<br>(‐4.65)|‐1.068***<br>(‐4.68)|‐1.062***<br>(‐4.65)|
|_1‐2_|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|
|_3‐6_|0.322*<br>(2.11)|0.334*<br>(2.19)|0.339*<br>(2.21)|0.346*<br>(2.26)|0.335*<br>(2.20)|0.327*<br>(2.14)|0.330*<br>(2.16)|0.320*<br>(2.09)|
|7+|<br>‐0.423+<br>(‐1.67)|<br>‐0.393<br>(‐1.55)|<br>‐0.431+<br>(‐1.70)|<br>‐0.403<br>(‐1.59)|<br>‐0.422+<br>(‐1.66)|<br>‐0.416+<br>(‐1.64)|<br>‐0.418+<br>(‐1.64)|<br>‐0.425+<br>(‐1.67)|
|**First child is female**|0.154<br>(1.20)|0.155<br>(1.21)|0.149<br>(1.16)|0.144<br>(1.12)|0.150<br>(1.17)|0.154<br>(1.20)|0.165<br>(1.29)|0.153<br>(1.19)|
|**"Second event" fixed effects**|<br>0.115<br>(0.89)|<br>0.121<br>(0.93)|<br>0.117<br>(0.90)|<br>0.109<br>(0.84)|<br>0.117<br>(0.90)|<br>0.117<br>(0.90)|<br>0.117<br>(0.90)|<br>0.116<br>(0.90)|
|**Intercept**|‐1.608***<br>|‐1.905***<br>|‐1.294***<br>|‐1.645***<br>|‐1.688***<br>|‐1.595***<br>|‐1.602***<br>|‐1.591***<br>|
|Number of observations<br>|(‐10.28)|(‐9.64)|(‐5.65)|(‐10.47)<br>23<br>|(‐10.17)<br>51<br>|(‐10.17)|(‐10.24)|(‐10.11)|
|Number of events||||3|03||||
|Pseudo R2|0.1064|0.1089|0.1084|0.1107|0.1083|0.1079|0.1091|0.1080|
|Test of joint significance:|||||||||
|p (employed ifpartner employed)<br>1<br> ld ifld|||0.2091<br>06961||||||
|p (partner empoye empoye)<br>p (employed if nograduate)|||.|0.6385|||||
|p (nograduate if employed)<br>p (employed if low household labour income)||||0.1007|0.4394||||
|robust standard errors inparentheses;+p<0.15,*p<0.0|5,**p<0.01,**|*p<0.001|||||||
|"stable employment": employed and self‐employed(ft &<br>1test H0:(βstable employment+βinteraction:stable employment and stable|pt)during3 mo<br>employed partner)=0|nths beforepr|ocreation||||||

Table 3 shows regression results for the determinants of second child arrival in Turkey, confirming the results found for first child arrival. Being in stable employment is significantly negatively correlated with the probability of having a second child, while women who are in inactivity have a higher 19