|**Table 5.1: Probability of**|**being p**|**oor**|**in Ru**|**ral M**|**exico**|**in 1**|**992, 1**|**996,**|**and 20**|**02**<sup>**1,**</sup>|<sup>**2**</sup>||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|||**19**|**92**|||**1**|**996**||||**2002**||
||**DF/dx**||**SE**|**P>|z|**|**dF/dx**||**SE**|**P>|z|**|**dF/dx**||**SE**|**P>|z|**|
|**Household Characteristics**<sup>**3**</sup>|||||||||||||
|Dependent below 5 years old+|0.215|***|0.017|0.000|0.234|***|0.016|0.000|0.225|***|0.016|0.000|
|<br>Dependent 6 – 11 years old+|0.174|***|0.017|0.000|0.250|***|0.015|0.000|0.218|***|0.015|0.000|
|Dependent 12 - 14 years old+|0.114|***|0.019|0.000|0.119|***|0.017|0.000|0.135|***|0.017|0.000|
|Dependent 15 - 18 years old+<br>Dependent 18 - 25 years old+|0.026<br>-0.069|***|0.019<br>0.019|0.177<br>0.000|0.053<br>-0.046|***<br>**|0.018<br>0.018|0.003<br>0.012|0.057<br>-0.059|***<br>***|0.017<br>0.017|0.001<br>0.001|
|<br>Dependent 65 and over+|0.047|**|0.020|0.018|0.051|***|0.019|0.007|0.003||0.017|0.839|
|**_Head_**|||||||||||||
|Age +|-0.008|***|0.003|0.009|-0.016|***|0.003|0.000|-0.021|***|0.003|0.000|
|Age Square +|0.000|**|0.000|0.031|0.000|***|0.000|0.000|0.000|***|0.000|0.000|
|Female Head+|-0.030||0.028|0.295|-0.089|***|0.024|0.000|-0.037|*|0.021|0.087|
|**Education**|||||||||||||
|**_Head_**|||||||||||||
|Primary Complete+|-0.102|***|0.020|0.000|-0.082|***|0.020|0.000|-0.097|***|0.016|0.000|
|Lower Secondary Complete+|-0.167|***|0.027|0.000|-0.232|***|0.027|0.000|-0.180|***|0.022|0.000|
|Upper Secondary Complete+|-0.210|***|0.042|0.000|-0.343|***|0.033|0.000|-0.239|***|0.029|0.000|
|**_Spouse_**|||||||||||||
|Primary Complete+|-0.075|***|0.021|0.001|-0.069|***|0.021|0.001|-0.095|***|0.018|0.000|
|Lower Secondary Complete+|-0.116|***|0.034|0.002|-0.182|***|0.031|0.000|-0.171|***|0.024|0.000|
|UpperSecondary Complete+|-0.213|***|0.051|0.003|-0.364|***|0.046|0.000|-0.273|***|0.032|0.000|
|**Sector of Activity and Labor Status**|||||||||||||
|**_Head_**|||||||||||||
|Unemployed+|0.083||0.095|0.365|0.205|***|0.063|0.004|0.074||0.092|0.414|
|Not in the labor force+|0.060||0.038|0.103|0.050||0.032|0.128|0.105|***|0.030|0.000|
|_Agriculture_|||||||||||||
|<br>Self employed+|0.006||0.025|0.808|0.031||0.025|0.213|0.219|***|0.024|0.000|
|Salaried worker+|0.166|***|0.026|0.000|0.155|***|0.023|0.000|0.216|***|0.023|0.000|
|Employer+|-0.156|***|0.026|0.000|-0.185|***|0.033|0.000|-0.054||0.041|0.199|
|_Off-farm Sector_|||||||||||||
|<br>Self employed+|-0.040||0.030|0.195|-0.044||0.029|0.126|0.046|*|0.027|0.083|
|Salaried worker+|||||||||||||
|Employer+|-0.255|***|0.034|0.000|-0.356|***|0.039|0.000|-0.141|**|0.051|0.015|
|Second Employment +|0.010||0.017|0.550|-0.031|*|0.017|0.070|-0.061|***|0.016|0.000|
|Social Security +<br>|-0.206|***|0.020|0.000|-0.251|***|0.024|0.000|-0.235|***|0.019|0.000|
|**_Spouse_**|||||||||||||
|Employed in agriculture +|-0.017||0.031|0.595|-0.019||0.027|0.487|0.065|***|0.026|0.010|
|Employed in off-farm activity+|-0.067|***|0.023|0.005|-0.123|***|0.021|0.000|-0.133|***|0.017|0.000|
|**Region**<sup>**4**</sup>|||||||||||||
|Norte +|-0.166|***|0.022|0.000|-0.155|***|0.026|0.000|-0.051|**|0.024|0.041|
|Golfo Region+|0.061|**|0.026|0.017|0.117|***|0.023|0.000|0.222|***|0.024|0.000|
|Pacifico+|-0.145|***|0.022|0.000|-0.152|***|0.025|0.000|-0.010||0.025|0.696|
|Sur+|0.134|***|0.029|0.000|0.161|***|0.024|0.000|0.190|***|0.023|0.000|
|Centro+|0037||0024|0113|0096|***|0025|0000|0155|***|0025|0000|
|<br>Capital+|.<br>-0.113|***|.<br>0.038|.<br>0.008|.<br>0.014||.<br>0.050|.<br>0.778|.<br>-0.086|<br>***|.<br>0.029|.<br>0.005|
|<br>Locality< 2,500 inhabitants+|0.085|***|0.020|0.000|0.132|***|0.017|0.000|0.120|***|0.015|0.000|
|**Number of observations =**|4752||||6165|||||||6481|
|**Log Likelihood=**|-2442.4||||-3176.2|||||||-3145.7|
|**LR chi2(24)=**|1360.4||||2180.1|||||||2448.7|
|**Prob>chi2=**|0.000||||0.000|||||||0.000|
|**Pseudo R2=**<br>Source: Authors estimations based on EN<br>2SEDESOL's capacity poverty line, (+) d<br>Regions are defined in footnote 3.|0.218<br>IGH 1992,<br>F/dxis for di|1996, a<br>screte|nd 2002<br>change|. Note:<sup>1</sup> <br>of dumm|0.256<br>Rural area<br>y variable|define<br>from 0|d as loca<br>to 1,**|lity with<br>* sign. at|less than<br>1%, **|15,00<br>sign. a|0 inhab<br>t 5%, *|0.280<br>itants<br>sign. at 10%|

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