# **Table 2. First child arrival in Turkey**

|**Table: Probability of 1st chil**|**Model 1**<br>**d arrival**<br>c|**Model 2**<br>**in Turkey**<br>hildless wom|**Model 3**<br> **(logit re**<br>en aged 16|**Model 4**<br>**gression**<br>‐45|**Model 5**<br>**s with ro**|**Model 6**<br>**bust sta**|**Model 7**<br>**ndard err**|**Model 8**<br>**ors)**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**Woman's activity status**|||||||||
|_Stable employment_<br>|‐0.342*<br>|_Ref._|‐0.273<br>|‐0.315*<br>|‐0.439*<br>|‐0.364*<br>|‐0.409*<br>|‐0.284+<br>|
|_(ft & pt, employed and self‐employed)_|(‐2.38)||(‐1.38)|(‐2.03)|(‐2.31)|(‐2.04)|(‐2.45)|(‐1.48)|
|_Stable unemployment_||‐0.516<br>(‐1.04)|||||||
|_Stable inactivity_||0.543***<br>(3.85)|||||||
|_Stable student_||‐2.407***<br>(‐4.04)|||||||
|_Other (unstable, retirement...)_||0.698**<br>(2.91)|||||||
|**Partner information**|||||||||
|_Partner in stable employment_|||‐0.0215<br>(‐0.09)||||||
|_Partner not in stable employment_|||<br>_Ref._||||||
|_No partner_<br>|‐3.022***<br>(‐21.66)|‐2.738***<br>(‐19.95)|‐3.072***<br>(‐12.91)|‐3.019***<br>(‐21.66)|‐3.010***<br>(‐16.97)|‐3.019***<br>(‐21.66)|‐3.020***<br>(‐21.68)|‐3.019***<br>(‐21.63)|
|**Women's education**|||||||||
|_no graduate (less than primary completed)_||||0.319<br>(1.88)|||||
|**Household labour income**|||||||||
|_zero and lowest tercile_|||||‐0.0574<br>(‐0.29)||||
|**Women's type of employment**|||||||||
|_family worker_||||||‐0.142<br>(‐065)|||
|_agricultural work_||||||.|‐0.192<br>(‐0.86)||
|_not registered in social security_||||||||‐0.292+<br>(‐146)|
|**Interaction terms**||||||||.|
|_stable employment and stable employed partner_|||‐0.131<br>||||||
|_stable employment and no graduation_|||(‐0.47)|0.0500<br>(012)|||||
|_stable employment and low household income_||||.|0.269<br>(0.88)||||
|**Woman's age**|||||||||
|_16‐24_|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|_Ref._|
|_25‐34_|‐0.426**<br>(‐2.73)|‐0.507***<br>(‐3.44)|‐0.422**<br>(‐2.69)|‐0.396*<br>(‐2.55)|‐0.411**<br>(‐2.60)|‐0.416**<br>(‐2.64)|‐0.407**<br>(‐2.60)|‐0.438**<br>(‐2.76)|
|_35‐45_|‐3.077***|‐3.160***|‐3.079***|‐3.067***|‐3.063***|‐3.088***|‐3.081***|‐3.082***|
||(‐7.15)|(‐7.37)|(‐7.15)|(‐7.12)|(‐7.12)|(‐7.15)|(‐7.14)|(‐7.16)|
|**"Second event" fixed effects**|0.252*<br>(1.98)|0.226+<br>(1.77)|0.251*<br>(1.97)|0.254*<br>(1.99)|0.256*<br>(2.01)|0.248+<br>(1.95)|0.254*<br>(1.99)|0.246<br>(1.93)|
|**Intercept**|‐0.331*|‐0.747***|‐0.297|‐0.414**|‐0.306*|‐0.360**|‐0.337*|‐0.353**|
||(‐2.52)|(‐4.45)|(‐1.29)|(‐3.02)|(‐2.07)|(‐2.78)|(‐2.57)|(‐2.72)|
|Number of observations||||54|94||||
|Number of events||||3|47||||
|Pseudo R2|0.2289|0.2577|0.2290|0.2306|0.2292|0.2284|0.2292|0.2281|
|Test of joint significance:|||||||||
|p (employed ifpartner employed)<br>1<br>|||0.0436<br>||||||
|p (partner employed if employed)<br>p (employed if nograduate)|||0.6327|0.4978|||||
|p (nograduate if employed)<br>p (employed if low household labour income)||||0.3364|0.4730||||
|robust standard errors inparentheses;+p<0.15*p<0.0|5**p<0.01*|**p<0.001|||||||
|"stable employment": employed and self‐employed(ft &<br>1test H0:(βstable employment+βinteraction: stable employment and stable e<br> ,|pt)during3 m<br>mployedpartner)=0<br>, ,|onths beforepr<br><br>|ocreation||||||

Table 2 shows regression results for the determinants of first child arrival in Turkey. Model 1 shows that being in stable employment is significantly negatively correlated with the probability of having a 17