# **Table A8:  Global Insight Global Risk Service (DRI)**

Global Insight

**Data Provider** Global Insight **Description** Commercial business information provider headquartered in Boston, United States **Website** www.globalinsight.com **Data Source** Global Risk Service **Type** Expert Assessment **Respondents** Staff of Global Insight, subject to regional reviews **Frequency** Quarterly since 1996 **Coverage** Global sample of countries **Public Access** Full dataset is commercially available.  Averages of sub-indicators are publicly available in this spreadsheet. **Description** The Global Risk Service, formerly known as the Country Risk Review, was introduced by Data

The Global Risk Service, formerly known as the Country Risk Review, was introduced by Data Resources, Inc (DRI) in 1996. In 2001 DRI became part of Global Insight, which in 2003 also acquired the World Markets Research Center that produces the World Markets Online ratings (WMO, see Table A31). These two sets of ratings continue to be produced independently and so we continue to treat them as distinct sources as we did prior to 2003. The Global Risk Review provides assessments of the likelihood of various "risk events". We use their assessments of risk events occurring in the next five years. Although nominally these indicators measure the likelihood of future changes in dimensions of governance we find that in practice they are highly correlated with other assessments of the _level_ of governance and we interpret them in this way.

|**V oice and Accountability**<br>NA|2007<br>..|200 6<br>..|200 5<br>..|200 4<br>..|20 03<br>..|20 02<br>..|20 00<br>..|1 998<br>..|1 996<br>..|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|**P o litical Stabi lity and Ab sence of Vi ol ence**||||||||||
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris ks : Milit ary C oup Ris k : A m ilita ry c ou p d’eta t (or a s eries of su ch<br>ev ent s) th at red uc es the G DP growth rat e by 2% during a ny 12-m onth period.<br>Dom es tic Po litic al Ris ks : Major Ins urge nc y/R ebellion: An in crea se in s co pe o r int ens it y o f|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|<br>on e or m ore ins urgen cies /rebe llion s that reduc es t he G D P grow th rate by 3% d uring any 12 -<br>m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris ks : Politic al Terroris m : A n inc re as e in s c ope or in tens ity of t erroris m<br>tha t redu ce s the GD P g ro wth rate by 1% durin g an y 1 2-mo nth p erio d.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris ks : Politic al A ss as s in ation: A p olitic al as sa ss ination (o r a s erie s of s uc h<br>ev ent s) th at red uc es the G DP growth rat e by 1% during a ny 12-m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris ks : Civ il W a r: An in crea se in s co pe o r inte ns ity o f on e or m ore c ivil<br>wars tha t redu ce s the G DP growt h rate by 4% d uring any 1 2-m on th p eriod .<br>|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris ks : Major U rban Rio t: A n inc reas e in s c ope , inten sity , or f re quen cy of<br>rio tin g tha t redu ce s the GD P g ro wth rate by 1% durin g an y 1 2-mo nth p erio d.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**G overnment Effe ctiveness**<br>Dom es tic Po litic al Ris k: G ove rn m e nt In s tability : A n inc re as e in go ve rn m en t pe rs on nel<br>turno ve r rat e at s enior le vels tha t redu ce s the GD P g ro wth rate by 2% durin g an y 1 2-mo nth<br>pe riod.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris k: G ove rn m e nt In effe ct iv ene ss : A d ec line in g ov ern me nt p erso nnel<br>qu ality at any le ve l th at red uc es the G DP growth rate by 1% during a ny 12-m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris k: Ins titution al Fa ilure: A d eterioration o f gov ernm ent c apac ity to c op e<br>wit h na tio nal problem s as a re su lt of ins titutiona l rigid ity or g ridloc k that reduc es th e G D P<br>growth rate by 1% du ring any 12 -m ont h pe riod.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Regulatory Quality**||||||||||
|<br>P olic ie s N on-Tax: Reg ula tio ns -- E xp orts : A 2% re duc tion in e xpo rt volum e a s a res ult of a<br>wors ening in e xpo rt regulations o r re st ric tio ns (s uc h as ex port lim its) d uring any 1 2-m on th<br>pe riod, with res pec t t o th e leve l a t th e time of the as se ss m ent.<br>|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|P olic ie s N on-Tax: Reg ula tio ns -- I mp orts : A 2% red uc tio n in im p ort v olu m e as a res ult o f a<br>wors ening in im port reg ula tio ns or res tric tions (s uc h as im port q uota s) du ring any 12 -m ont h<br>pe riod, with res pec t t o th e leve l a t th e time of the as se ss m ent.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|P olic ie s N on-Tax: Reg ula tio ns -- O th er B us ine ss : An inc reas e in othe r re gulatory burde ns ,<br>wit h res pec t to t he lev el at t he tim e of the as s es sm ent , th at red uc es tota l a ggrega te<br>inve stm e nt in real LC U term s by 10%|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|P olic ie s N on-Tax: O w ners hip of Bus ines s by Non -Re s ide nts : A 1-po int in crea se on a s ca le<br>from "0" to "1 0" in lega l res tric tion s o n own ersh ip of b us ine ss b y n on-res ide nts du ring any 12 -<br>m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|P olic ie s N on-T ax: O w ners hip of Equ ities by No n-Res id ents : A 1 -p oin t inc re as e on a s c ale<br>from "0" to "1 0" in lega l res tric tion s o n own ersh ip of e quitie s by non-res id ents d uring any 1 2-<br>m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Rule of Law**||||||||||
|O utc om es N o n-Pric e: Los s es an d Cos ts o f C rim e: A 1-point inc reas e o n a sc ale f ro m "0 " to<br>"10 " in c rim e du ring any 12-m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|Dom es tic Po litic al Ris k: Kidna pping of Foreigne rs : An inc reas e in sc op e, inte ns ity , o r<br>frequ enc y of k idna pping o f foreign ers t hat re duc es th e G D P grow th ra te b y 1 % du ring any 12-<br>m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|<br>P olic ie s N on-Tax: En forc eability of G ove rn m e nt C o ntrac ts : A 1 point d ec line o n a sc ale f ro m|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|"0" to "1 0" in th e en forc eability of co ntrac ts du ring any 12-m onth period.||||||||||
|P olic ie s N on-Tax: En forc eability of Privat e Co ntrac ts : A 1-point dec line on a s ca le from "0" to<br>"10 " in the le gal enf orce ability of c on trac ts during a ny 12-m onth period.|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Control of C orruption**||||||||||
|<br>Risk E v ent Ou tc om e non -p ric e: L os se s and Cos ts of Corru ption: A 1 -p oint inc re as e on a<br>s c ale from "0" to "10 " in c orru ption d uring any 1 2-m on th p eriod .|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|X|
|**Co untry Co ve rag e**|**142**|**142**|**12 2**|**11 8**|**1 18**|**1 17**|**1 11**|**106**|**106**|
|46<br>**Ye ar of P u blic ation**|**2007**|**200 6**|**200 5**|**200 4**|**20 03**|**20 02**|**20 00**|**1 998**|**1 996**|

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