Table 16: Disaster fatalities, aid and institutional quality

||Sto|rms|Flo|ods|Earth|quakes|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||Coeff.|ZI Probit|Coeff.|ZI Probit|Coeff.|ZI Probit|
|Ln(_AIDjt-1_)|0.377***|-0.150|-0.394***|-0.200|-0.603***<sup>~~a~~</sup>|-0.942|
|_,_|(0.129)|(0.131)|(0.139)|(0.229)|(0.193)|(1.726)|
|_CORR CONTjt_|0.623**|0.478|-1.199***|-0.562|-1.923***|-7.954*|
||(0.253)|(0.355)|(0.232)|(0.820)|(0.430)|(4.195)|
|_CORR CONTjt* AIDjt-1_|-0.317***|-0.264|0.323***|0.172|0.219|3.462|
|_,_|(0.117)|(0.218)|(0.101)|(0.216)|(0.321)|(2.481)|
|Ln(_AIDjt-1_)|0.379***|-0.493|-0.269**|-0.377**|-0.462**|-0.352|
|_,_|(0.145)|(0.476)|(0.124)|(0.177)|(0.230)|(0.255)|
|_GOV EFFjt_|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|
||n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|n.a.|
|_GOV EFFjt* AIDj,t-1_|<br>-0.442***|<br>-0.720*|<br>0.030|<br>0.005|<br>-0.870***|<br>-0.625**|
||(0.106)|(0.391)|(0.086)|(0.096)|(0.208)|(0.303)|
|Ln(_AIDj,t-1_)|<br>0.149^a|<br>-0.329|<br>-0.277***|<br>-0.345**|<br>-0.163|<br>65.008***|
||(0.162)|(0.642)|(0.075)|(0.131)|(0.446)|(0.518)|
|_POL STABjt_|<br>0.153|<br>0.644|<br>-1.076***|<br>0.183|<br>-2.256***|<br>-93.576|
||(0.305)|n.a.|(0.181)|(0.242)|(0.773)|(0.835)|
|_POL STABjt* AIDj,t-1_|-0.413***|-0.431***|0.360***|-0.087|0.633|-17.019***|
||(0.103)|(0.155)|(0.070)|(0.089)|(0.464)|(0.835)|
|Ln(_AIDj,t-1_)|<br>0.373**|<br>-0.176|<br>-0.427***|<br>-0.308*|<br>-0.243|<br>-0.184|
||(0.162)|(0.123)|(0.146)|(0.180)|(0.187)|(0.736)|
|_REG QALjt_|0.243|-0.180|-1.536***|-0.058|-1.802***|-0.194|
||(0.329)|(0.565)|(0.467)|(0.343)|(0.669)|(1.464)|
|_REG QALjt* AIDjt-1_|-0.313*|-0.093|0.461***|0.006|0.532|-0.690|
|_,_|(0.182)|(0.187)|(0.139)|(0.104)|(0.474)<br>|(0.772)|
|Ln(_AIDj,t-1_)|0.370**|-0.086|-0.366***|-0.357***|-0.449***<sup>a</sup>|0.467|
||(0.161)|(0.141)|(0.128)|(0.179)|(0.179)|(13.840)|
|_RULE LAWjt_|<br>0.293|<br>0.435|<br>-1.048***|<br>0.053|<br>-1.371***|<br>-16.037***|
||(0.263)|(0.607)|(0.228)|(0.317)|(0.479)|(3.634)|
|_RULE LAWjt* AIDj,t-1_|-0.312**|-0.188|0.330***|-0.102|0.016|5.938***|
||(0.149)|(0.148)|(0.101)|(0.116)|(0.327)|(5.626)|
|Ln(_AIDjt-1_)|<br>0.429**|<br>0.023|<br>-0.363***|<br>-0.352**|<br>-0.265|<br>696.449***|
|_,_|(0.184)|(0.245)|(0.138)|(0.173)|(0.224)|(17.202)|
|_VOICE ACCjt_|<br>0.644*|<br>1.214|<br>-0.868***|<br>-0.009|<br>0.546|<br>613.177***|
||(0.337)|(1.522)|(0.282)|(0.383)|(0.437)|(14.891)|
|_*_|<br>-0393*|<br>-0448|<br>0287**|<br>0045|<br>0546|<br>-674046***|
|_VOICE ACCjt AIDjt-1_|.|.|.|.|.|.|
|_,_|(0.215)|(0.851)|(0.129)|(0.120)|(0.437)|(16.594)|
|Ln(_AIDj,t-1_)|<br>.207|<br>11.926***|<br>-0.272*|<br>-0.501**|<br>-0.492|<br>10.489|
||(0.139)|(0.308)|(0.159)|(0.208)|(0.397)|(30.378)|
|_DEMOCRACYjt_|0.013|14.300***|0.052|-0.082*|-0.103^a|1.224|
||(0.033)|(0.270)|(0.039)|(0.043)|(0.119)|(17.077)|
|_DEMOCRACYjt* AIDj,t-1_|<br>0.001|<br>-5.037***|<br>0.012|<br>0.021|<br>0.049|<br>-0.909|
||(0.017)|(0.123)|(0.014)|(0.013)|(0.054)|(4.648)|

_Notes:_ ZINB-estimates. Dependent variable is _DEATHijt_ . Standard errors (in parentheses) are adjusted for clustering on country-level. The<sup>1st</sup> stage probit regression estimates the probability that nobody in nation and year died from the specific natural disaster. The 2<sup>nd</sup> stage negative-binomial estimates the number of disaster deaths. Covariates from the ZINB baseline specification (Table 11), continent dummies, time trend and constant term included in all 2<sup>nd</sup> stage negative-binomial specifications. ***, **, * indicate significance at the 1, 5 and 10%-level, respectively.<sup>a</sup> indicates that ZINB model did not converge.

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