||**Table 3: Leader**|**s with a S**|**tatistically **|**Significan**|**t Growth Con**|**tribution(ten**|**ure≥3y**|**rs, with c**|**omple**|**tegrowt**|**h data*)**|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
||**Name**|**Country **|**LS Leader**<br>|<br>**RMS**<br>|**Raw Growth**<br> <br>**S**|**hrinkage (ψ)**|**Sig**<br>|**Tenure**|**Dem**|**1st**<br>|**Rank (Incl.**<br>|
||||**Estimate**|**Error**|**PC Average**||**99%**|||**Year**|**Insignificant)**|
||||**Panel A: lea**|**ders with**|**a significant P**|**OSITIVE grow**|**th con**|**tribution**||||
|1|Khama|BWA|3.25%|1.01%|9.56%|0.43|1|15|0|1966|#1|
|2|Ikeda|JPN|2.84%|0.73%|8.65%|0.50|1|4|1|1961|#2|
|3|Rodriguez Lara|ECU|2.52%|1.05%|9.14%|0.39|0|4|0|1972|#3|
|4|Kishi|JPN|2.48%|0.73%|7.81%|0.50|1|4|1|1957|#4|
|5|Sato|JPN|2.48%|0.61%|7.70%|0.65|1|8|1|1965|#5|
|6|Razak|MYS|2.44%|1.01%|7.47%|0.43|0|5|0|1971|#6|
|7|Papadopoulos|GRC|2.43%|0.83%|8.21%|0.62|1|6|0|1968|#7|
|8|Medici|BRA|2.41%|0.94%|8.71%|0.51|0|4|0|1970|#8|
|9|Chun Doo Hwan|KOR|2.35%|0.85%|8.09%|0.60|1|7|0|1981|#9|
|10|Masire|BWA|2.21%|0.99%|5.87%|0.46|0|17|0|1981|#10|
|11|Lee Kuan Yew|SGP|2.11%|0.73%|6.26%|0.71|1|30|0|1961|#11|
|12|Raab|AUT|2.00%|0.51%|5.89%|0.75|1|8|1|1953|#12|
|13|Ahern|IRL|1.98%|0.55%|5.32%|0.72|1|11|1|1997|#13|
|14|Chissano|MOZ|1.96%|0.92%|4.26%|0.53|0|18|0|1987|#14|
|15|Chiang Ching-Kuo|TWN|1.94%|0.73%|6.82%|0.71|1|10|0|1978|#15|
|16|Rumor|ITA|1.82%|0.63%|6.85%|0.63|1|4|1|1969|#16|
|17|Hee Park|KOR|1.80%|0.66%|6.42%|0.76|1|19|0|1961|#17|
|18|Zhivkov|BGR|1.75%|0.66%|5.08%|0.76|1|19|0|1971|#19|
|19|Karamanlis|GRC|1.72%|0.68%|4.87%|0.75|0|13|0|1956|#20|
|20|Anerood Jugnauth|MUS|1.63%|0.80%|4.22%|0.41|0|17|1|1982|#24|
|21|Santer|LUX|1.60%|0.69%|4.72%|0.56|0|10|1|1985|#26|
|22|Yoshida, Shigeru|JPN|1.55%|0.78%|6.29%|0.43|0|3|1|1952|#29|
|23|Vargas|COL|1.49%|0.76%|2.22%|0.68|0|4|0|1987|#30|
|24|Bratteli|NOR|1.33%|0.66%|4.15%|0.60|0|4|1|1971|#38|
|25|Chiang Kai-shek|TWN|1.31%|0.61%|5.51%|0.79|0|23|0|1952|#39|
|26|Fanfani|ITA|1.31%|0.59%|4.96%|0.67|0|5|1|1958|#40|
|||**Panel B: l**|**eaders wit**|**h a signifi**|**cant NEGATIVE**|**growth cont**|**ributio**|**n (rank fr**|**om las**|**t)**||
|-1|Cedras|HTI|-3.53%|1.10%|-9.85%|0.333|-1|3|0|1992|-#1|
|-2|Lon Nol|KHM|-3.02%|1.18%|-11.12%|0.232|0|4|0|1971|-#2|
|-3|Amin|UGA|-2.74%|0.88%|-2.97%|0.576|-1|8|0|1971|-#3|
|-4|Gouled Aptidon|DJI|-2.67%|0.93%|-4.28%|0.520|-1|22|0|1977|-#4|
|-5|Mello|BRA|-2.34%|1.00%|-2.97%|0.449|0|3|0|1990|-#5|
|-6|Khalifah Ath-Thani|QAT|-2.13%|0.94%|-3.19%|0.510|0|23|0|1972|-#6|
|-7|Bandaranaike, S.W.R|<br>LKA|-2.12%|1.04%|-2.85%|0.405|0|4|0|1956|-#7|
|-8|Ferenc Gyurcsany|HUN|-2.07%|0.85%|2.48%|0.604|0|4|0|2005|-#8|
|-9|Junichiro Koizumi|JPN|-2.06%|0.66%|1.08%|0.593|-1|6|1|2001|-#9|
|-10|Mobutu|COD|-1.98%|0.84%|-3.20%|0.612|0|31|0|1966|-#10|
|-11|Arbenz Guzman|GTM|-1.86%|0.79%|-0.99%|0.657|0|4|0|1951|-#11|
|-12|Mahendra|NPL|-1.63%|0.78%|0.41%|0.664|0|11|0|1961|-#18|
|-13|A. Papandreou|GRC|-1.52%|0.73%|0.68%|0.709|0|10|0|1982|-#21|
|-14|<br> Wilson|GBR|-1.46%|0.56%|0.78%|0.709|-1|7|1|1965|-#23|
|-15|Marcos|PHL|-1.36%|0.69%|0.85%|0.739|0|20|0|1966|-#32|
|-16|Nixon|USA|-1.34%|0.58%|1.83%|0.686|0|6|1|1969|-#34|
|-17|Eisenhower|USA|-1.34%|0.53%|1.23%|0.734|0|8|1|1953|-#36|
|-18|Chirac|FRA|-0.81%|0.34%|1.72%|0.891|0|12|1|1995|-#108|

Notes: list of leaders (tenure >=3yrs, with complete growth data) who have a significant LS leader effect at the 5% level. That is where (LS leader estimate)-1.96*(RMS Err)>0 or (LS leader estimate)+1.96*(RMS Err)<0. Sig at 99% is analogous. *PWT9 Growth data runs 1951-2014 so complete grwoth data excludes leaders with part of their tenure before 1951 or after 2014.

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