# **Tables**

Table 1. Determinants of civil war risk: 1946-2003 Natural resource endowments _aggravating_ the problem of weak states

|Context variable|Natural resources<br>Context variable<br>Interaction|Fearon and Laitin<br>(2003) civil war|Prio \ Uppsala civil war|
|---|---|---|---|
|Anocracy|Quantitative measures of resources endowments|||
||Fearon and Laitin oil export dummy (observations 6912)<br>|0.622*(0.349)<br>|0.549**(0.238)<br>|
|Model 1|Anocracy|0.519**(0.253)|0.474*(0.186)|
||**Interaction**|**-0.091(0.489)**|**0.011(0.348)**|
||Humphreys oilproduction(observations 5139**) **|0.411(1.073)|1.509***(0.425)|
|Model 2|Anocracy|0.555**(0.271)|0.537***(0.188)|
||**Interaction**|**7.872**(3.664)**|**5.118**(2.515)**|
||Humphreys oil reserves(observations 5171)|0.001***(0.062)|0.048***(0.016)|
|Model 3|Anocracy|0.635**(0.264)|0.544***(0.187)|
||**Interaction**|**-0.350(0.830)**|**0.417(0.321)**|
||Humphreys diamondproduction(observations 5139**) **|-0.383(0.688)|-0.424(0.492)|
|Model 4|Anocracy|0.567**(0.269)|0.546***(0.187)|
||**Interaction**|**1.531(1.129)**|**0.531(1.205)**|
||Ross oil rentsper capita(observations 5634)|0.00007(0.00010)|0.0001***(0.00004)|
|Model 5|Anocracy|0.535**(0.265)|0.490***(0.186)|
||**Interaction **|**0.0007 (0.0008)**|**0.0012**(0.005)**|
|Political instability|Quantitative measures of resources endowments|||
||Fearon and Laitin oil export dummy (observations 6912)|0.731**(0.289)|0.699***(0.201)|
|Model 6|Instability|0.511**(0.248)|0.260(0.196)|
||**Interaction**|**-0.124(0.537)**|**-0.229(0.410)**|
||Humphreys oilproduction(observations 5139**)**|0.779 (0.855)|1.605***(0.391)|
|Model 7|Instability|0.599**(0.248)|0.290(0.197)|
||**Interaction**|**7.120**(3.141)**|**3.118(2.970)**|
||Humphreys oil reserves(observations 5171)|-0.011(0.087)|0.050***(0.015)|
|Model 8|Instability|0.591**(0.250)|0.334*(0.196)|
||**Interaction**|**0.780(0.745)**|**-0.509(0.681)**|
||Humphreys diamondproduction(observations 5139**) **|-0.281(0.448)|-0.860(0.860)|
|Model9|Instability|0.639**(0.249)|0.285(0.197)|
||**Interaction**|**0.438(0.536)**|**0.999(0.920)**|
||Ross oil rentsper capita(observations 5634)|0.00009(0.00008)|0.00012***(0.00004)|
|Model 10|Instability|0.501**(0.250)|0.247(0.194)|
||**Interaction**|**0.00038 (0.00069)**|**0.00013 (0.00048)**|
|Number of years with|Quantitative measures of resources endowments|||
|riots in thepast 5years||||
||Fearon and Laitin oil export dummy (observations 6442)|0.750**(0.360)|0.688***(0.253)|
|Model 11|Riots|0.236***(0.087)|0.180***(0.064)|
||**Interaction**|**-0.099(0.178)**|**-0.105(0.145)**|
||Humphreys oilproduction(observations 4893**) **|-4.281*(2.408)|-0.222(1.311)|
|Model 12|Riots|0.100(0.098)|0.081(0.070)|
||**Interaction**|**4.820***(1.324)**|**2.986***(0.948)**|
||Humphreys oil reserves(observations 4893)|-0.118(0.090)|0.037(0.028)|
|Model 13|Riots|0121(0100)|0093(0069)|
||<br>**Interaction**|..<br>**0.170**(0.077)**|..<br>**0.148***(0.048)**|
||Humphreys diamondproduction(observations 4893**) **|-0.096(0.158)|-0.987(0.962)|
|Model 14|Riots|0.139 (0.101)|0.108(0.071)|
||**Interaction**|**-0.076(0.246)**|**0.325(0.344)**|
||Ross oil rentsper capita(observations 5365)|-0.00068*(0.00038)|-0.00014(0.00015)|
|Model 15|Riots|0.126(0.095)|0.107(0.066)|
||**Interaction **|**0.00069***(0.00021)**|**0.00032**(0.00015)**|

Note: Results are from logit models where the dependent variable is 1 for years with war onset and zero otherwise. Table shows coefficients and standard errors in parentheses. Stars reflect levels of statistical significance: *** for 1%; ** for 5% and * for 10%.

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