**Figure 1. Scatter plots of self-reported food insecurity, economic growth, and various inflation indicators.**

<!-- Start of picture text --> TZA BWA TZA BWA<br>TURSEN AZE TURSEN AZE<br>AGO AGO<br>ARM BFA UGA ETH ARM BFAUGA ETH<br>LVA LTUUKREST ECUIRL MEXHRVITAMDASWETURGBRDNKDEUJPNESPVENTCDCANSLVGEOESTHNDNERUSAKHMCHLCRIFRALVAMYSMRTNICSGPZAFTHABHRTCDGTMAREBCMRCZEITAISRKWTA R BLRARGCMRCOLDNKCOMIRQJPNKWTKORJORNZLNZLPRYESWEGBRUAE S DZAAUSBELBOLBDICMRCANGHAKENJOKAZKGZKENMRTPAKSENSGPTJKSYRPADZACMRCRIDOMDEUGTMGIKENMLIMEXMRTMNPLPAKROMSAUSDNUGATUNURY RR AUSBFACOLEEEGYSLVHNDISRIDNKORJPNLBNLBRMARNICNLD P ZAFSDNLKATTUNTHAUSAUGALT GC HLAKBGDBOLBGDBFAKHMCHLFRGEOINDKAZMYSNPL N NZLNGANGATZUKRVNMZMBUOYPLGABOLBRADOMGHAHTIIDNISRLTUMYSMDANORSERSENPHLSGPCHEYEMVNMZMB A AFGBGDCHLECUSLVFRAGHAHNDGTMIDNIND L MOZ N SLELKATHAVNMZMBBNKAPLGAARGBGDKHMCOLIDNJORKORLAONERPRYPHLZAFTJKUZBARMAZEBENCANCYPCRIINDITA L LBNMNGTJKAOKAAUSCHNDOMESTKGZKGZMDAPERURY A BELDNKFININDJPNKAZPERESPGBRURYUTRGAZEBLRHUNUKRKHMDEUMDGMEXPANPANSWELVALTUNLDSGPBLRBRAMARPAKVENGEOMWI ALBCZEJORAFGPOLTTOLBNUZB MAR BOLBFASENMDAJPNDEUCHNJPNJPNJOR S SENSLVLBNZAFIRQMYSAZPERBOLFRACZENLDGPSGPCMRPOLWCANNGAKHMNZLDKWTESTISRPHLBHRFRAITAARGJPNGBRSGPNLDMRTSWEUSAYEMDZA E NERAUSBRACMRCHEUKRIRLESPITAUFRAISRLKAECUZMBIDNTUNMRTIBELUCADNKPANTUNGADNK T CHUBEEDOM S CVNMDNKFINOCANALBNPHLHA S ALVGTMLVAAUS M ESPIRLKHMNZLBGD N BDOMBGD L PACMRBLRSLEURYMARCOLRMEXMYSYSJORMEXSWETZMBESTSYRALBAUT R GHAGBRBGDCONPLKAZLAOARGSGPIDN BH AUSKHMCHLHNDTHAAMRTECUBDEUGTMMEXLTUGBRNGAINDMDAENCRILTUOLGRCANDINDMRTLVATCD L IDNLAOCOLINDNZLRURYNICMLIDZAARMZAFNPLISREGYPAKTURSLVGEONPLCZEBGDJORLTUARGKAZECUHUNCRIBRAESTGEOGHAMOZNPLGTMDOMUGAROMPERTCDPAKLKAHRVMWITGOINDPAKCHLJORPRYIDNHNDCYPPHLURYLKALVAKWTUKRBFAUKRCRIGHAKAZPAKMDAZMBTZANGANERPRYBLRPANMDGEGYKHMKENUGAVNMAZENICLKAKENZAFSAUHTIVENSERVNM MNGTTO VEN<br>IRQ KENMOZTZAUGA VEN ROM ROMTZAUGAMOZIRQ KEN VEN<br>TCD RWA TCD RWA<br>DJI CHN ARM ARM CHN<br>MWI MWI<br>MLI MLI<br>-20 0 20 40 -20 0 20 40 60<br>Economic growth Food inflation<br>TZA BWA TZA BWA<br>SEN TUR AZE AZE TUR SEN<br>AGO AGO<br>BFA ARM UGA ETH ARM UGA ETHBFA<br>NER TGO THA DOMIRQVNMCHNJPNLAOCMRISRJORJPNCANUSACMRMYSCMRJPNJPNBHRMYSDEU SGP SENSWEGBRPERFRALBNIDNKWTSLVTHAMRTMARDNKIRLPHLLBNMRTITANLDIDNJORTUNDZBFNPLMRTECUMRTESPITATCDUSASWESWEPANNICFRACANPOLNLSGDEUESFRAAUSNERISRBELLKASENCHLBFANZLNZLCHEPRYNZLCOLCMRLTU A LAOCEGYDNKNORBELYEMIDNKGTMKHMTZAITACHLCOLZMYS D AUTMEXDEUISR A BRABOLSLVEST P HNDUSATHAMLIBRA A NARMNCOLUSTUNIDNPERMEXAZEPANFBENBGDUSFINUGAECUGBRSGPNPLURYHNDMDABGDBOLVNMLVASLVCYPCRIECUBGDVNMESTCZEGBRNPLHNDDOMESPMEXESTGTMLTUURYGRCCZEINDPHLKHMNGASYRMOZDZAURYINDCHLBGDBLRINDCRIKENGTMTTOHUNZAFPHLNGAKHMBRBLRPAKUGAALBKAZLTUHRV AR NPLKAZGEOJORIARGJORGEOLVATURDOMSLEGNGALPRYNICAZEKHMZMBARGPAKKAZTCDCRINGAKENINDPAKLKALVAROMGHALKAMNGUKRMDASAUBLREGYVENPAKUKRZMBHTIVENZAFMDGMDASERLKAKWTUKRMWIZMBGHAMARGHABOL MAR ZMBBOLBOL UKRMDAGHANGMDABFA A MWIKHMRGGHASENCZEBRAGHAAZELVAESTSLESLVIRLZMBZAFCRISENGBRNGATCDSWEISRCMRJORKHMDEUFRANLDITAPOLBLRNZLKWTKAZARGCANPHLTUNVNMAUSSDEUAYEMLBNUKRLKAJPNJPNSGPJPNURY L PERSGPNERESPFINPAKCHEUSALTUSWEUSALKABELVBFRAPHLKWTDOMSYRCHLCANNLDSGPDNKDZAESPMRTMYSBGDBGDECUMEXNGAAUCHNFRAROMLKADNKITANPLGBRBLRBELNORITAPANESPBGDKIRLTURBHRPAKBRAGTMTUNHINDMRT A IDNKHMGTMGEODNKIBOL S COLNZLGRCTHAINDEST ND JPNMEXECUHNDRGJORZBENCMRMYSIRQAUTZAFINDGPCOLLBNUSAMEXLVAMDGDOMTHAZMBURYGEODZAPAKISRIDNNPLDEUBGDMARAUSCHLMYSUKRLTUHUNCMRHRVCANCRICZEGTMMRTBLRCOLARMLVALTUMLIMDASWELAONPLEGYMOZCMRMRTJORESTNZLEGYIDNECUISRDOMNICJORPAKGBRLAONGANPLUGABRACHLPERZAFSERSLVPHLHTIPRYKAZCYPTCDIDNURYHNDTHALKAPRYSAUAZECRIVENKENUGANICKENKHMBFAPANTZAVNM MNGTGO TTO NERVNM VEN<br>IRQ KENVENUGAMOZTZA ROM ROM TZA UGAMOZ KEN VEN IRQ<br>TCD RWA TCD RWA<br>CHN ARM ARM CHN<br>MWI MWI<br>MLI MLI<br>-10 0 10 20 30 40 -20 0 20 40<br>Non-food inflation Relative food inflation<br>20 20<br>10 10<br>0 0<br>-10 -10<br>Change in food insecurity Change in food insecurity<br>-20 -20<br>-30 -30<br>20 20<br>10 10<br>0 0<br>-10 -10<br>Change in food insecurity Change in food insecurity<br>-20 -20<br>-30 -30<br><!-- End of picture text --> _Sources_ : The Y-axis variable is from the GWP (Gallup 2011) . Economic growth data are from the IMF (2010), and food inflation data are from the ILO (ILO, 2011).

Turning to some results, we begin with descriptive statistics and correlations for our dependent and independent variables (tables 4 and 5). Over the entire period, the mean change in the first difference of the food insecurity measure was close to zero (0.2), although the standard deviation and range of this variable is quite large. The statistics for the percentage change in food insecurity show a similar pattern and indicate the presence of some of the previously mentioned problems with the use of percentages of a prevalence variable. There is a tendency to inflate 19