Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-10-11 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728
2018-10-02,291.56,292.36,291.14,291.56,268.215,47258200.0,-0.0006,1.2215,293.2994,287.3166,59.3737,88.9561,16.2848,289.7857,285.9005
2018-10-03,292.74,293.21,291.32,291.72,268.3622,64694600.0,0.0005,1.1975,293.4339,287.4511,59.5935,103.5012,22.5453,289.965,286.1142
2018-10-04,291.18,291.24,287.66,289.44,266.2647,111545900.0,-0.0078,0.9832,293.343,287.67,55.192,-32.6767,8.835,290.074,286.3238
2018-10-05,289.69,290.27,286.22,287.82,264.7745,105951700.0,-0.0056,0.6748,293.3079,287.7271,52.35,-115.0835,17.6986,290.1417,286.4647
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018
2018-10-09,287.39,288.86,286.77,287.4,264.388,74339000.0,-0.0015,0.1918,293.5261,287.3159,51.6126,-128.5733,16.3052,290.0727,286.7362
2018-10-10,286.83,286.91,277.88,278.3,256.0168,214731000.0,-0.0317,-0.7193,296.1236,283.6364,39.228,-369.8759,49.7546,289.6853,286.7

Singapore’s Central Bank Tightens as Growth Stays Steady
China’s $3 Billion Bond Sale Defies Global Markets Slump
Jittery Investors Deepen Stock Fall
RBA Says External Risks to Australia Rising
Gormley’s Take: Clarus Moves Beyond Biotech Venture-Capital Roots
Late-Day Trading Activity Continues to Increase
Bidding Wars Break Out Over Midtown South Office Space
Dollar Slips as Investors Reassess Outlook for Growth, Rates
Lithium Producer Livent Ends First Day Flat as Markets Fall
Judge to Approve Applebee’s Franchisee’s Disclosure Statement
Pentagon Grounds F-35s After Crash
SEC Says Quarterly Reporting Won’t Change ‘Anytime Soon’
Fed Officials See Strong Economy Justifying Interest Rate Rises
Big Lenders Make Push to Liquidate Sears
Estée Lauder Sues Deciem After Founder Shuts Stores
Analysis: Tightening in Financial Conditions Could Affect Fed Outlook
SEC Revives Push to Finish Swaps Rules
OPEC, Russia Hike Oil Output as Iran Production Falters
Oil Hits Two-Week Low as U.S. Supplies Rise
Gold Hits 2½-Month High on Stock Selloff
Consumer Prices Rise 0.1%, Less Than Forecast
Social Security Benefits to Get 2.8% Boost, Largest Since 2012
New U.S. Plant to Help Plastics Maker Covestro Balance Out Production Capacity
Lucky Dragon Headed to Foreclosure Auction
Activist Pushes Japanese Insurer Dai-ichi Life to Sell Stock Portfolio to Fund Buyback
Biswas’s Take: Wilmington Savings Sues Bain, Thomas H. Lee Over iHeart Plan
Walgreens Sales Growth Falls Short
Fed’s George Says Gradual Rate Rises Seem Appropriate
Analysis: Fed’s Kaplan on How Inversions Can Hurt an Economy
Last-Minute Trades Accelerate U.S. Share Declines
Delta Revenue Jumps, Helping Offset Fuel Costs
Mortgages Fast Approaching 5%, a Fresh Blow to Housing Market
How To Thrive in Early Retirement
Nafta Rewrite Won’t Boost U.S. Growth, Economists Say
Economists Increasingly Confident of Fed Rate Hikes
HSBC Names Former JPMorgan Banker as Co-Head of Global Banking
What to Watch as Markets Open
Eddie Lampert Won’t Give Sears Another Lifeline
U.S. Jobless Claims Edge Higher
L Brands Explores Options for La Senza Chain
ECB Staff Urged Indebted Eurozone Members to Cut Debt
American Airlines’ Trans-Atlantic Partnerships Under Review
Walmart Cuts Online Video Deals in Bid to Become Entertainment Hub
Investor Fears Drive Up Hedging Costs
Worst Hit in Global Markets Rout: Tech and China
CFOs Fret About Loans Ahead of New Accounting Rule
Hurricane Michael to Test Florida’s Insurance Market
Timiraos’s Take: Powell and Williams Outline the Fed’s Baseline Rate Strategy
Naming of Jailed Banker’s Wife Sends Warning as U.K. Fights Money Laundering
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0139

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-10-15. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-05,289.69,290.27,286.22,287.82,264.7745,105951700.0,-0.0056,0.6748,293.3079,287.7271,52.35,-115.0835,17.6986,290.1417,286.4647
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018
2018-10-09,287.39,288.86,286.77,287.4,264.388,74339000.0,-0.0015,0.1918,293.5261,287.3159,51.6126,-128.5733,16.3052,290.0727,286.7362
2018-10-10,286.83,286.91,277.88,278.3,256.0168,214731000.0,-0.0317,-0.7193,296.1236,283.6364,39.228,-369.8759,49.7546,289.6853,286.7
2018-10-11,277.08,278.9,270.36,272.17,250.3775,274840500.0,-0.022,-1.914,299.0047,278.8893,33.6083,-470.2744,63.0924,289.0417,286.5518
2018-10-12,276.77,277.09,272.37,275.95,253.8549,183186500.0,0.0139,-2.5267,299.7585,276.6425,39.1675,-328.9833,63.0924,288.5633,286.4843

Twilio to Buy SendGrid
U.S. Deficit Swells in Fiscal 2018 as Tax Cuts Take Bite
Bankruptcy Filing Shifts Spotlight to Sears’s Pension Plans
Top Wall Street Executives Shun Saudi Conference
Sears, a Onetime Retail Giant, Now Banks on Bankruptcy
CFPB to Define ‘Abusive’ Acts by Financial Firms
Chernova’s Take: Risk and Benefits of Corporate Funding
Mission Coal Files for Bankruptcy, Blaming Costly Repairs
Steelworkers, U.S. Steel Reach Tentative Contract Agreement
Seritage Seeks to Reassure Shareholders After Sears Bankruptcy
Hollywood Talent Agency Seeks to Cancel Investment From Saudi Arabia
Fidelity Says It Will Trade Bitcoin for Hedge Funds
U.S. Dollar Down Amid Weaker Data, Uncertain Stock Markets
Icahn to Oppose Dell’s Purchase of DVMT Tracking Shares
Growth Stocks Lead U.S. Indexes Lower
Gold Extends Rally With Dollar Sliding
Oil Prices Rise on U.S.-Saudi Tensions
An Election Likely to Extend, Not Close, Political Divides
Yerak’s Take: Whirlpool: Sears’s Bankruptcy To Have ‘Very Limited’ Impact on Results
Yellen Calls Trump’s Attack on Fed Counterproductive
Canadian Firms Optimistic Even Before New Trade Deal: Survey
U.S. Retail Sales Rose Less Than Expected in September
Superdry Loses Its Cool as Warm Weather Hits Sales
U.S. Tax Changes Hit Global Investment Flows
Firm Retention Summary: Product Quest Manufacturing LLC
Sears Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Bank of America Profit Rises 32%
Emerging-Markets Selloffs: This One Is Different
Delta Signs Up as First Big U.S. Customer for Airbus Data-Tracking
Another Victim of the Trade Spat: U.S. Oil to China
Stocks to Watch: Bank of America, Sears, American Airlines, and More
Attention Shoppers: The Background Music You Hear May Not Be Licensed
Porsche Slams the Brakes on IPO Speculation
More Bad News for the Orange Juice Market
Upstart Exchange Looks to Profit From Wall Street Fear
Berkeley Lights Raises $95 Million to Speed Cell-Therapy Drug Discovery
Chinese Drugmaker’s IPO Tests a Slumping Biotech Market
Draghi Says Threats to Central Bank Independence Are a Big Risk
Accelerator Funding Keeps Rising
Small Caps Become Latest Winning Trade to Collapse
Companies With Newly Flush Pensions See Chance to Unload the Risk
‘Thank You, Sears, for Being There When No One Else Was’
Sears, Onetime Retail Giant, Reshaped America
Derby’s Take: Latest Expectations Data Point to Tame Inflation Outlook
A Drama CBS Can’t Cancel—the One in Its Boardroom
PBOC Chief: China Has Tools to Deal With Trade Risks
RBA’s Harper Sees Cloud Over Consumer Outlook
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0219

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-10-16. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018
2018-10-09,287.39,288.86,286.77,287.4,264.388,74339000.0,-0.0015,0.1918,293.5261,287.3159,51.6126,-128.5733,16.3052,290.0727,286.7362
2018-10-10,286.83,286.91,277.88,278.3,256.0168,214731000.0,-0.0317,-0.7193,296.1236,283.6364,39.228,-369.8759,49.7546,289.6853,286.7
2018-10-11,277.08,278.9,270.36,272.17,250.3775,274840500.0,-0.022,-1.914,299.0047,278.8893,33.6083,-470.2744,63.0924,289.0417,286.5518
2018-10-12,276.77,277.09,272.37,275.95,253.8549,183186500.0,0.0139,-2.5267,299.7585,276.6425,39.1675,-328.9833,63.0924,288.5633,286.4843
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963

Trump Seeks Political Points for Pastor’s Release
Netflix Reports Strong User Growth
Davis’s Take: A Bet on Mexico’s Rising Middle Class
Fed’s Daly Says Gradual Rate Rises Seem Prudent
Dollar Softens as Investors Favor Emerging Markets
Stocks Surge, Erasing Recent Losses
President’s Sustained Criticism of the Fed Complicates a Tricky Balancing Act
BlackRock Posts First Investor Outflow in Three Years
United Boosts Profit Outlook as Fares Climb
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Show Wall Street Charging Ahead
SEC Ruling Takes Aim at Stock-Exchange Profits
SEC Calls for Better Accounting Controls as Cyber Scams Increase
Sears Chief Restructuring Officer Mohsin Meghji Has Long History in Restructuring
Corrigan’s Take: Intrepid, Rothschild Advisories Form Latest Restructuring Partnership
Sears Closing Stores Is a Blessing for Some Landlords, a Curse for Others
Copper Edges Lower After Sluggish Chinese Economic Data
Oil Prices Gain for Third Session in a Row
Elizabeth Warren Takes Aim at Firms That Pulled the Plug on Toys ‘R’ Us
What’s a Service Business? That’s the Multibillion-Dollar Tax Question
U.S. Manufacturing Capacity Increases for 16th Month in a Row
Federal Judge Approves Musk, Tesla Settlements With SEC
U.S. Job Openings Topped 7 Million for the First Time
U.S. Sanctions Give Russian Economy an Unintended Boost
Bruce Willis Sells Idaho Retreat for Reduced Price
Lyft Picks Underwriters for Offering
Goldman Sachs Rides Deals to Improved Results
European Bank Officials Pull Out of Saudi Conference
Australia’s Central Bank Sees Aussie Dollar Now Supporting Economy
Private-Equity Firm Abraaj Raised Billions Pledging to Do Good—Then It Fell Apart
UnitedHealth Raises Full-Year Earnings Projection
Lampert’s Many Roles at Sears Could Spur Lawsuits
Eddie Lampert Fights for Control as Sears Fights for Survival
Prescription Drugs Power Johnson & Johnson Results
Instacart Valued at $7.6 Billion
Morgan Stanley’s Profit Jumps 20%
The New Movie Soundtrack: A Spotify Playlist
Will Corporate Earnings Calm the Stock Market’s Nerves?
Walmart’s Largest Acquisition Ever Will Dent Retailer’s Profit
Thirty Madison Raises Funding to Expand Beyond Hair-Loss
Eurozone Trade Surplus With U.S. Widened In August
By Adding Patents, Drugmaker Keeps Cheaper Humira Copies Out of U.S.
The Strategies AbbVie Employed to Protect Humira From Copycats
Banks That Gave Mozambique Covert Loans Propose Restructuring
Derby’s Take: Growth Trackers Point to a Hot Third Quarter for U.S.
Tumbling Car and House Sales Pose Fresh Challenge to Chinese Markets
Brexit Could Press European Companies to Move Financial Contracts
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0002

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-17. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018
2018-10-09,287.39,288.86,286.77,287.4,264.388,74339000.0,-0.0015,0.1918,293.5261,287.3159,51.6126,-128.5733,16.3052,290.0727,286.7362
2018-10-10,286.83,286.91,277.88,278.3,256.0168,214731000.0,-0.0317,-0.7193,296.1236,283.6364,39.228,-369.8759,49.7546,289.6853,286.7
2018-10-11,277.08,278.9,270.36,272.17,250.3775,274840500.0,-0.022,-1.914,299.0047,278.8893,33.6083,-470.2744,63.0924,289.0417,286.5518
2018-10-12,276.77,277.09,272.37,275.95,253.8549,183186500.0,0.0139,-2.5267,299.7585,276.6425,39.1675,-328.9833,63.0924,288.5633,286.4843
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963
2018-10-16,276.6,280.82,276.07,280.4,257.9485,118255800.0,0.0219,-3.038,300.2643,273.5917,45.3328,-156.4718,40.2358,287.7193,286.3997

Bank of Korea Keeps Base Rate Unchanged at 1.50%
Nine West Files Amended Plan of Reorganization
Geron’s Take: A16z Crypto Wades Into A Public Market
An M&A Bonanza Takes Shape
Flatiron Health Founders Create Seed Fund Quaker Health
Investors Change Tack as Rates Rise
Campbell Soup-Maker Descendants  Say They Support Board
Alcoa Raises Profit Outlook as Tariffs Lift Aluminum Prices
Fed Minutes Point to Continued, Gradual Interest-Rate Increases
U.S. Dollar Rises on Fed Optimism, China Trade Concerns
Gold Prices Edge Down
Randles’s Take: October Brings Two New Coal Miner Bankruptcies
Court Upholds Open-Space Rules at Upper West Side Development
U.S. Stocks Finish Slightly Lower
Nine West Creditors Committee Seeks Court OK to Sue Sycamore Partners
Risk of Bank-Like Regulation Fades for Big Financial Firms
Fund Managers Increasingly Wary on Global Growth
Constellation CEO Rob Sands to Step Down From Corona Brewer
Oil Tumbles on Jump in Inventories
Analysis: From ‘Long and Variable Lags’ to Tactical Rate Moves
U.S. Bancorp’s Loan Growth Lifted by Consumers
United, Delta Climb on Business-Class Demand
U.S. Boosts Credit Line to Mexico in Gesture of Ties
China, Robots Main Factors Behind Long-Term U.S. Employment Drop
Edward Lampert, the Hedge-Fund Star Who Bet on Sears, Is Unrepentant
U.S. Housing Starts Fell in September
Ties to Saudi Prince Weigh on SoftBank Fund’s Future
SEC Charges Former Insurance Wunderkind With Fraud
The Dying Art of Creating a Home With Pen and Paper
Funds Back Proposal to Remove Zuckerberg as Facebook Chairman
Germany’s Second City Hits New High in Modern Luxury Living
Sears Bankruptcy Focuses Spotlight on Underfunded Pension Plans
Emerging Market Currencies Rebound, but Risks Remain
Fate of Journalist Heightens Saudi Debt Worries
Banks Take Fight Against New Loan-Loss Rule to Washington
Advanced Tech, Crossover Investors Drive Biopharma IPO Surge
Fed Minutes Watched for Clues on Further Rate Rises, Economic Outlook
Derby’s Take: A Warning on the Fed’s Balance-Sheet Unwinding
China’s Financial Institutions Increase Lending in September
Judge Clears Genesis Healthcare to Take Over Preferred Care Facilities
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0144

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-18. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018
2018-10-09,287.39,288.86,286.77,287.4,264.388,74339000.0,-0.0015,0.1918,293.5261,287.3159,51.6126,-128.5733,16.3052,290.0727,286.7362
2018-10-10,286.83,286.91,277.88,278.3,256.0168,214731000.0,-0.0317,-0.7193,296.1236,283.6364,39.228,-369.8759,49.7546,289.6853,286.7
2018-10-11,277.08,278.9,270.36,272.17,250.3775,274840500.0,-0.022,-1.914,299.0047,278.8893,33.6083,-470.2744,63.0924,289.0417,286.5518
2018-10-12,276.77,277.09,272.37,275.95,253.8549,183186500.0,0.0139,-2.5267,299.7585,276.6425,39.1675,-328.9833,63.0924,288.5633,286.4843
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963
2018-10-16,276.6,280.82,276.07,280.4,257.9485,118255800.0,0.0219,-3.038,300.2643,273.5917,45.3328,-156.4718,40.2358,287.7193,286.3997
2018-10-17,280.44,281.15,277.56,280.45,257.9946,110626000.0,0.0002,-2.9495,299.8651,272.9139,45.3897,-127.0277,38.4254,287.4333,286.3803

Central Banks’ Unconventional Policies Mostly Worked, IMF Economists Find
DowDuPont to Record $4.6 Billion Charge as Agriculture Unit Suffers
Rocket Developer Vector Launch Lands $70 Million
Companies Split on U.S. Exit From Postal Pact Benefiting China
Bitcoin Ponzi Schemer Must Pay $2.5 Million, Court Rules
Higher Costs Hit PPG
Coca-Cola Names Company Veteran as New CFO in Leadership Shuffle
AmEx Raises Forecast, as Card Business, Merchant Count Grows
StarKist to Plead Guilty in Price-Fixing Probe
Dow Falls More Than 300 Points Amid Concerns Over Global Growth
Analysis: Fed’s Quarles Says Rise in Education Could Push Natural Jobless Rate Down
CFPB Asks for Investigation Into Official’s Racial Remarks
Travelers Profit Rises as Catastrophe Losses Shrink
Oil Prices Could Fall Further on Rising U.S. Supplies, OPEC Says
Brent Crude Falls Below $80 as U.S. Inventories Grow
Noble Seeks U.S. Bankruptcy Protection As It Pursues Debt Restructuring
U.S. Dollar Pushes Higher
Biswas’s Take: Canada’s Sun Life Could Bring Unusual Approach to Direct Lending to U.S. Investors
Copper Dragged Down by Chinese Stock Selloff
Malaysia’s Petronas Set to Buy 10% Stake in Giant Oman Gas Field
Creditors Committee Reaches Deal With iHeartMedia on Chapter 11 Plan
Inflation Is Back—and Unilever, Nestlé Are Taking Advantage
U.S.-Saudi Defense Ties on Track to Weather Controversy
Nine West Settles Potential Lawsuits Against Sycamore Partners
Uber IPO: A Lot Will Ride on CFO’s Choice of Metrics, Timing
Investors Are Digging Gold Again
Quarles Backs Fed’s Gradual Policy Course
Signal Search: Cellphone Service After Major Hurricanes
Fed’s Bullard Says It Is Still a Mistake for Central Bank to Project Rate Rises
Blackstone Profit Jumps, Helped by Rising Markets
Invesco to Buy OppenheimerFunds
Sears Owner Eddie Lampert Is Unrepentant
Manufacturing Activity Expands, Future Outlook Optimistic
America Struggles to Take Its Pigs to World’s Biggest Market
Uber Borrows $2 Billion in Debut Bond Sale
Stocks to Watch: Amazon, Constellation Brands, Alcoa, Visa
U.S. Jobless Claims Dropped Last Week
Novartis to Buy Cancer-Drug Maker Endocyte for $2.1 Billion
Derby’s Take: Minutes Highlight Deficit-Related Pressure on Short-Term Rates
Estée Lauder’s Tracey Travis Puts Stock in Developing Talent
Banker Who Drives for Uber Puts Morgan Stanley in Lead to Land IPO
Publicis Plans to Sell Part of Health-Care Unit
Australia’s Jobless Rate Is Lowest Since 2012
China’s Blowout Bond Sale Is Little Comfort to Junk Issuers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0005

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-22. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-12,276.77,277.09,272.37,275.95,253.8549,183186500.0,0.0139,-2.5267,299.7585,276.6425,39.1675,-328.9833,63.0924,288.5633,286.4843
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963
2018-10-16,276.6,280.82,276.07,280.4,257.9485,118255800.0,0.0219,-3.038,300.2643,273.5917,45.3328,-156.4718,40.2358,287.7193,286.3997
2018-10-17,280.44,281.15,277.56,280.45,257.9946,110626000.0,0.0002,-2.9495,299.8651,272.9139,45.3897,-127.0277,38.4254,287.4333,286.3803
2018-10-18,279.4,280.07,274.97,276.4,254.2689,134557500.0,-0.0144,-3.1697,299.264,271.797,41.7512,-145.2588,44.4429,287.0413,286.2535
2018-10-19,277.13,279.3,275.47,276.25,254.1309,139901600.0,-0.0005,-3.3181,298.7202,270.7668,41.6234,-128.5051,44.4429,286.663,286.1353

New York Mulls Bill to Limit Empty Storefronts
Search for Amazon HQ2 Sparks Real-Estate Speculation
Lenders Turn Their Loan-Approval Secrets Over to Credit Karma
Payment Dispute Pushes Pipeline Contractor Into Chapter 11
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Fell in September
Housing Woes Lift Apartment, Home-Rental Stocks
Sorenson Media Seeks Bankruptcy Protection, Looks to Reject Sinclair Contract
U.S. Stocks Drop Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Dollar Edges Higher
U.S. Oil Prices Little Changed Near $69 a Barrel
Medicines Co. Spinout Qpex Biopharma Raises $33 Million Series A
Corrigan’s Take: Moody’s Warns of Weak LBO Credit Quality
Copper Continues Rebound Alongside Chinese Stocks
M&G USA Seeks Court Approval of Settlement With Mexican Affiliates
Total CEO Confirms Decision to Attend Saudi ’Davos in the Desert’
Wells Fargo Agrees to $65 Million Settlement With N.Y. Attorney General Over Cross-Selling
The Steel Industry Gets What It Wants on Tariffs
American Tire Distributors Outlines Debt-Slashing Plan
Firm Retention Summary: Westmoreland Coal Co.
Mnuchin’s Sears Ties Resurface Over Pension Debt
Hasbro Still Feels Sting From Loss of Toys ‘R’ Us Business
Goldman Unit Buys its First Stake in Real-Estate Management Industry
Kellogg Returning Honey Smacks to Shelves After Salmonella Recall
Kimberly-Clark Names Michael Hsu as CEO, Successor to Thomas Falk
Stocks to Watch: Hasbro, Halliburton, Goldman Sachs, Polaris Industries, and More
New Rule Would Ease Small Firms’ Path to Joint 401(k) Plans
Battle for the GOP’s Soul? Trump Has Won
Halliburton Profit Beats Forecasts Despite Softness in Demand
Icahn-Backed American Railcar Is Selling Itself
Airlines Face Rising Fuel Costs. Blame Cruise Ships.
Bank Indonesia Seen Holding Rates Steady Tuesday
Italy’s Debt Predicament, in Seven Charts
Timiraos’s Take: How the Market Selloff Could Keep the Fed on Track
Treasury Leak Case Could Chill Banks’ Reporting of Suspicious Activities
Banks’ Golden Deposits Are Heading Out the Door
Chinese Stocks Soar for Second Day After Leaders Talk Up Economy
Fiat Chrysler Unloads Parts Unit in $7.1 Billion KKR Deal
Ryanair Earnings Hit by Staff and Fuel Costs
Wide Recalls Jolt Food-Supply Chain
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0051

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-10-23. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963
2018-10-16,276.6,280.82,276.07,280.4,257.9485,118255800.0,0.0219,-3.038,300.2643,273.5917,45.3328,-156.4718,40.2358,287.7193,286.3997
2018-10-17,280.44,281.15,277.56,280.45,257.9946,110626000.0,0.0002,-2.9495,299.8651,272.9139,45.3897,-127.0277,38.4254,287.4333,286.3803
2018-10-18,279.4,280.07,274.97,276.4,254.2689,134557500.0,-0.0144,-3.1697,299.264,271.797,41.7512,-145.2588,44.4429,287.0413,286.2535
2018-10-19,277.13,279.3,275.47,276.25,254.1309,139901600.0,-0.0005,-3.3181,298.7202,270.7668,41.6234,-128.5051,44.4429,286.663,286.1353
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285

Geron’s Take: Tech Fixes for Fake News Will Take Time
Manufacturers See Signs of New Risks
Pixar Co-Founder to Retire
Verizon Adds Phone Customers But Oath Revenue Weakens
Stock Market Whiplash Rattles Investors
Dollar Falls Against Yen as Investors Seek Safety
Endeavor Energy Resources Explores Potential Sale
Former Uber Executive Hired By Hedge-Fund Firm
Rising U.S. Oil Output Forced GOL Airlines to Change Its Hedging Method
Target Undercuts Amazon With Free Two-Day Shipping
Orianna Loses Document Dispute Ahead of Major Hearing
Chinese Shoppers Power Gucci’s Sales Growth
Stech’s Take: Creditors Take Aim at Elements Behavioral Health’s Potential Buyer
Oil Drops More Than 4% on Prospect of Higher Saudi Output
AmEx Discloses Currency Probes
Foreign Buying of U.S. Treasurys Softens, Unsettling Financial Markets
Tempur-Pedic Seeks to Lift Bankruptcy Stay Shielding Mattress Firm
Digital Publisher Refinery29 to Lay Off About 10% of Workforce
Union Pacific to Lay Off Nearly 500 Workers
Trump Attacks ‘Inept’ Puerto Rico Leaders Over Disaster Aid
Richmond Fed’s Manufacturing Index Fell in October
U.S. ‘Unbanked’ Population Continues to Fall
Capital One Fined Over Anti-Money-Laundering Program
Lockheed Martin Eyes Higher Sales
Stoke Therapeutics Nabs $90 Million to Attack Rare Form of Epilepsy
Fed’s Bostic Sees Growth, Need for ‘Gradual’ Rate Rises
Behind Bayer’s Tough Defense of Roundup
Guitar Maker Gibson Names Former Levi Strauss Executive as CEO
Firm Retention Summary: Sorenson Media Inc.
Tax Reform and U.S. Effective Profit Taxes: From Low to Lower
Higher Prices for Burgers Help McDonald’s Sales
Pfizer, Bain Create Company Focused on Nervous System Diseases
United Tech Raises Targets, Waits on Rockwell Merger
Battle for Control of Mexico’s Oro Negro Heats Up
How One Stubborn Banker Exposed a $200 Billion Russian Money-Laundering Scandal
Bank of Canada Widely Expected to Raise Interest Rates
Big Oil’s Flood of Cash Underwhelms Investors
Gold Gains as Stocks Slump
Gas From $40 Billion Project Begins Shipping in Milestone for Japan
AstraZeneca Adds Cancer Drugs to Pipeline
Caterpillar Pushes Profit Higher
GAM Leaks Billions After Fund Manager Suspension
The Silver Lining of Recent Market Volatility: It Sets Up Buybacks
Developers Look to Hit Tax-Break ‘Jackpot’ in Opportunity Zones
Aqua America to Buy Pennsylvania Gas Company
Investor Disquiet at Nestlé Grows Beyond Activist Third Point
Bright Machines Raises $179 Million for Manufacturing Automation
Gene-Editing Revolution’s Picks and Shovels
Stocks to Watch: Cadence Design Systems, Crane, SS&C Technologies
Asian Markets Sell Off as Geopolitical Concerns Rise
Derby’s Take: Fed’s Kaplan Sees a Reason for M&A Surge
SoftBank CEO Cancels Speech at Saudi Conference
China Moves to Support Bond Financing by Private Firms
Judge Reduces Jury Award Against Bayer’s Roundup to $78.5 Million
Eurozone Business Lending Standards Ease
Bank Indonesia Holds Rates Steady
Forerunner Ventures Isn’t Afraid of the Amazon Effect
Chernova’s Take: Fending Off Fintech Disruption
3M Trims Earnings Forecast as Sales Sputter
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0303

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-24. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963
2018-10-16,276.6,280.82,276.07,280.4,257.9485,118255800.0,0.0219,-3.038,300.2643,273.5917,45.3328,-156.4718,40.2358,287.7193,286.3997
2018-10-17,280.44,281.15,277.56,280.45,257.9946,110626000.0,0.0002,-2.9495,299.8651,272.9139,45.3897,-127.0277,38.4254,287.4333,286.3803
2018-10-18,279.4,280.07,274.97,276.4,254.2689,134557500.0,-0.0144,-3.1697,299.264,271.797,41.7512,-145.2588,44.4429,287.0413,286.2535
2018-10-19,277.13,279.3,275.47,276.25,254.1309,139901600.0,-0.0005,-3.3181,298.7202,270.7668,41.6234,-128.5051,44.4429,286.663,286.1353
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285
2018-10-23,270.95,274.87,268.61,273.61,251.7022,146352700.0,-0.0051,-3.7062,297.7125,268.4595,39.3875,-146.0371,57.6876,285.712,285.9228

South Korea Posts Lackluster GDP Growth
Dow, S&P 500 Turn Negative for the Year; Nasdaq Drops 4.4%
Ford Profit Sinks on Weak Overseas Sales
Wells Fargo’s Chief Administrative Officer, Auditor on Leaves of Absence
AT&T’s Entertainment, Wireless Assets Make Up for Satellite Slump
Visa Reports Record Annual Profit and Revenue
CFPB Fines Payday Lender for ‘Abusive’ Practices
Mack’s Take: Can Tackling Climate Change Be a Real Business?
U.S. Dollar Rises as Investors Seek Safety, Discount Trump’s Fed Criticism
Big Asset Managers Want Exchanges to Clamp Down on Dual-Class Shares
Boeing Climbs on Jet Demand
Randles’s Take: Westmoreland Faces Legal Challenge to Plan to Modify Retiree Benefits
Verity Health Proposes Bonuses for Workers Amid Sale Process
New York Sues Exxon Over Climate-Change Disclosures
U.S. Oil Prices Rise as Fuel Demand Rises
Risky Deals Return to Leveraged-Buyout Market
Mester: Trump’s Criticism Doesn’t Affect Rate-Setting Discussions
Bankrupt Studio Open Road Nabs $87.5 Million Stalking Horse
Defense Firms Gear Up for Price Clash
Markets Moving in Lockstep Are Latest Warning Sign
Fed Report Sees Optimism About Growth, but Growing Concerns About Tariffs
Investors Inject $46 Million More Into Biotech Startup XtalPi
Orianna Opens Hearing on Hotly Contested Restructuring Plan
Deutsche Bank’s Trading Revenue Weighs on Quarter
SEC Won’t Release ‘Speed Bump’ Study It Promised Two Years Ago
Fed’s Kaplan Sees ‘Neutral’ Rate Lower Than Colleagues
Harley-Davidson Expects Tough Market in 2019
Firm Retention Summary: Mattress Firm Inc.
Gold Prices Lower as Dollar Climbs
New Home Sales Fall, Inventories Rise on Faltering Demand
Trump Attacks Puerto Rico Leaders Over Disaster Aid
UPS Plans for Busy Holiday Shipping Season, Raises Prices
How Harvey Transformed House-Hunting in Houston
The Multimillion-Dollar ‘Homes’ NFL Fans Visit Almost Weekly
Dunkin’ Takes Shot at Starbucks With Less-Expensive Espresso
Stocks to Watch: Boeing, AT&T, UPS, Capital One, and More
The $10 Billion Tussle Over Walmart’s Credit Cards
Barclays CEO Reassures Investors Over Strategy as Activist Looms
Sweden’s Riksbank Says Rate Rise Is Near
Investors Pour $3.5 Billion Into Food-Delivery Startups
Chinese Stocks Pledged to Lenders Raise ‘Doom Loop’ Fears
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Falls to Lowest Level for Two Years
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0179

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-10-25 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-15,275.55,277.04,274.3,274.4,252.4289,102263700.0,-0.0056,-3.1015,300.5325,274.3745,37.824,-260.5628,63.0924,288.033,286.3963
2018-10-16,276.6,280.82,276.07,280.4,257.9485,118255800.0,0.0219,-3.038,300.2643,273.5917,45.3328,-156.4718,40.2358,287.7193,286.3997
2018-10-17,280.44,281.15,277.56,280.45,257.9946,110626000.0,0.0002,-2.9495,299.8651,272.9139,45.3897,-127.0277,38.4254,287.4333,286.3803
2018-10-18,279.4,280.07,274.97,276.4,254.2689,134557500.0,-0.0144,-3.1697,299.264,271.797,41.7512,-145.2588,44.4429,287.0413,286.2535
2018-10-19,277.13,279.3,275.47,276.25,254.1309,139901600.0,-0.0005,-3.3181,298.7202,270.7668,41.6234,-128.5051,44.4429,286.663,286.1353
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285
2018-10-23,270.95,274.87,268.61,273.61,251.7022,146352700.0,-0.0051,-3.7062,297.7125,268.4595,39.3875,-146.0371,57.6876,285.712,285.9228
2018-10-24,273.33,273.76,264.7,265.32,244.076,177806700.0,-0.0303,-4.4904,298.1158,265.6002,33.4566,-167.9435,63.1011,284.9187,285.656

WWE’s Saudi Arabia Show To Go On Despite Reputation Risk
Chilean Court Refuses Challenge to Chinese Firm’s Purchase of Stake in Lithium Miner
Third Point Sues Campbell, Alleging Misinformation
Ackman’s Pershing Square Takes 3.7% Stake in Hilton Worldwide
Fuel Costs Cut American’s Profit
Whirlpool Raises Prices to Offset Costs
StandardAero Explores a Sale
Expedia Buys Pillow and ApartmentJet
Gold Edges Higher as Stock Markets Calm
Legacy Bondholders and iHeartMedia Face Off Over Plan
Sears Moves Forward in Bankruptcy Financing Discussions
Chipotle Posts Sales Increase
Dollar Closes at Highest Level Since 2017
Milestone Pharma Picks Up $80 Million for Heart-Drug Trials
KKR Profit Rises on Investment Wins
Brickley’s Take: Woodbridge Group Awaits Ruling on Chapter 11 Plan
Asset Managers Have Led Market Decline, a Bad Sign for Stocks
Transport Stocks Join Small Caps, Banks in Correction Territory
Transcript: Q&A With Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida in Washington
Gormley’s Take: Cybersecurity Focus Turns to Health Care
Stocks Surge Following Rout
Tech Stocks Rebound as Nasdaq Logs Best Day Since March
Snap Loses Users but Wrings More Money From Those Who Stayed
Mattel Sales Fall Despite Strong Showing From Barbie
At Netflix, Radical Transparency and Blunt Firings Unsettle the Ranks
Deutsche Bank Dismisses Asset-Management Chief
Oil Edges Up as Equity Turmoil Eases
Wall Street Fractures Over Stock Exchanges’ Data Sales
Fed Vice Chairman: Strong Growth Supports Continued Rate Rises
Altria Will Pull Its E-Cigarette Pods From the Market
ECB to Press Ahead With QE Taper, Despite Weaker Growth
AB InBev Halves Dividend as Beer Remains Out of Favor
A $180 Million Lotto Winner’s Massive Mountain Estate
British Airways Says Data Breach Larger Than Estimated
Bankrupt Midwest KFC Franchise Looks for Buyers
Trade and Manufacturing Data Point to Slower Fourth-Quarter Growth
Trump Creates Task Force to Free Up More Wireless Spectrum
Manufacturing Activity Continues to Slow in October, Kansas City Fed Survey Says
Union Pacific Defends Slow-and-Steady Turnaround Plan
WPP Dives After World’s No. 1 Ad Group Cuts Guidance
Hershey Fights Higher Costs by Charging More for Chocolate
Neiman Marcus and Creditors Begin Restructuring Talks
ZTE Profits Sink, But Sales Are Recovering ‘Rapidly’ After U.S. Ban
A Top Chinese Oilman Vanishes, and a Manhattan Buying Binge Ends
BlackRock’s Next Hub Will Be Far From Wall Street
Sears Creditors Committee Hires Law Firm Akin Gump
National Wholesale Liquidators Files for Bankruptcy
Stocks to Watch: Tesla, Microsoft, Ford, Advanced Micro Devices, Whirlpool
U.S. Jobless Claims Edged Higher Last Week
Eight Tips for Making Work Better for Men and Women
Nokia to Cut Thousands of Jobs Amid Shift to 5G
Dunkin’ Brands Sales Get Lift From Beverages
Bristol-Myers Squibb Raises Full-Year Profit Forecast
UBS Sharpens Focus on Well-Heeled Clients for Growth
Comcast Profit Rises as It Looks Beyond U.S. for Growth
The African Media Giant That Wants to Create the New Craigslist
South Korea’s Kospi Joins Chinese Shares in Bear Market
Norges Bank Signals First-Quarter Rate Rise Still on the Cards
A Big Reason U.S. Economy Is Accelerating: Military Spending
Betting on Synthetic Collagen to Meet Consumer Demand
Former Forest City CEO Albert Ratner to Oppose Brookfield Acquisition
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0176

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-10-29. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-19,277.13,279.3,275.47,276.25,254.1309,139901600.0,-0.0005,-3.3181,298.7202,270.7668,41.6234,-128.5051,44.4429,286.663,286.1353
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285
2018-10-23,270.95,274.87,268.61,273.61,251.7022,146352700.0,-0.0051,-3.7062,297.7125,268.4595,39.3875,-146.0371,57.6876,285.712,285.9228
2018-10-24,273.33,273.76,264.7,265.32,244.076,177806700.0,-0.0303,-4.4904,298.1158,265.6002,33.4566,-167.9435,63.1011,284.9187,285.656
2018-10-25,267.38,271.81,266.23,270.08,248.4548,138061500.0,0.0179,-4.6739,297.3389,264.3161,38.9197,-137.1941,63.1011,284.227,285.4763
2018-10-26,265.92,271.0,262.29,265.33,244.0852,201574600.0,-0.0176,-5.1434,296.7569,262.3591,35.8789,-148.3136,67.8391,283.3753,285.192

Investors Flee Tech Stocks, Dragging Down U.S. Indexes
J.C. Penney Names Another Interim CFO
Crude Falls on Dollar’s Rise, Rig Count
Tame Inflation Keeps Fed on Track
IBM’s Rometty Bets Her Legacy on Red Hat Deal
Mondelez Will Raise Prices Next Year
Lion Air Crash Puts Boeing’s Popular 737 Max in Spotlight
Options Suggest Big Moves in Facebook and Apple Stock
Australian Startup Unlockd Files for Bankruptcy, Blaming Google
Campbell Executive Departs After Social Media Posts
Rising Libor Troubles Fragile Markets
Supreme Court to Review Bankrupt Company’s Trademark Dispute
Treasury Expects to Issue Over $1 Trillion in Debt in 2018
Battery Maker EnerSys Tees Up $750 Million Deal in Diversification Push
Violence That Changes Everything—and Nothing
Gastar to File Prepackaged Bankruptcy With Financing From Ares
Fed Prepares New Way to Tailor Rules for Big Banks
Texas Manufacturing Activity Falls, Amid Lower Usage and Shipments
U.S. Dollar Gets Boost From Strong Economic Data
Yerak’s Take: Bankrupt Applebee’s Franchisee Considering Closing 26 More Locations
Storied Chicago Retailer Sears Picks a Court, and a Judge, in New York
Venezuela’s Citgo Is Pushed One Step Closer to Sale
Stronger Dollar Hurts Gold
Firm Retention Summary: NSC Wholesale Holdings LLC
Food Maker Hain Replaces CEO
Global Stocks Haven’t Looked This Cheap Since 2016
Goldman, JPMorgan Hit Pause on Intern Recruiting ‘Madness’
Stocks to Watch: IBM, Amazon.com, General Electric, Ford Motor, Kroger, and More
Carlyle’s Acosta Hires PJT for Talks on Debt Restructuring
Intel Hits an Internal Goal for Workforce Diversity
HSBC Reins in Costs, Logs Strong Profit Growth
Grocers Enlist Robots to Chase E-Commerce
Warren Buffett’s Firm Invests Millions in Fintech
Travelers Profit by Skirting Customs When Using Delivery Apps
Credit-Card Spending Limits in Focus as Issuers Grow Cautious
Chinese Liquor Maker’s Earnings Make Investors Queasy
David Sacks Looks to Raise Up to $500 Million for Second Craft Ventures Fund
Roof’s Take: The High Price of Fun and Gaming
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0148

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-30. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285
2018-10-23,270.95,274.87,268.61,273.61,251.7022,146352700.0,-0.0051,-3.7062,297.7125,268.4595,39.3875,-146.0371,57.6876,285.712,285.9228
2018-10-24,273.33,273.76,264.7,265.32,244.076,177806700.0,-0.0303,-4.4904,298.1158,265.6002,33.4566,-167.9435,63.1011,284.9187,285.656
2018-10-25,267.38,271.81,266.23,270.08,248.4548,138061500.0,0.0179,-4.6739,297.3389,264.3161,38.9197,-137.1941,63.1011,284.227,285.4763
2018-10-26,265.92,271.0,262.29,265.33,244.0852,201574600.0,-0.0176,-5.1434,296.7569,262.3591,35.8789,-148.3136,67.8391,283.3753,285.192
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863

This Is How China Keeps a Firm Grip on the Yuan
Forget Airline Miles. Retailers Pile on Perks for Big Spenders.
GE Slashes Payout, Discloses Inquiry; Shares Tumble
Barnes & Noble Details Why Former CEO Parneros Was Fired
GE’s $22 Billion Charge Intensifies Regulatory Scrutiny
U.S. Stocks Bounce Back During Wild Session
T-Mobile Reports Surge in New Customers
Dollar Climbs as Investors Embrace Risk
Canadian Province Changes Rules, Benefiting Insurers in Dispute
Another Insurer to Cease Selling Life Insurance to Individuals
Former Valeant Executive and Co-Defendant Sentenced
Oil Drops to Lowest Since August
Corrigan’s Take: Bankruptcy Judges Called to Quell Armed Conflict in Gulf of Mexico
Terns Pharmaceuticals Collects $80 Million to Fight Common Liver Disease
Creditors Challenge ‘Measly’ Nine West Settlement of Sycamore Suit
Former KPMG Partner Pleads Guilty in Scheme to Obtain Secret Regulatory Information
Musk Spends $10 Million on Tesla Shares, Plans $20 Million More
Toys ‘R’ Us Asian Business to Be Sold to Bondholders
Gold Slips as Broader Markets Calm
Credit Union’s Employees Saw Anti-Money-Laundering Gaps
A New Target in the Fight Against Plastic: Paper Cups
Fiat Chrysler’s Quarterly Profit Slumps
Pfizer Narrows Guidance on Tougher Pricing, Generic Competition
Third Point Wants Campbell to Explore a Split
Judge Sets Dec. 5 Bid Deadline for Two Verity Health Hospitals
Woodbridge Group Gets Court OK on Bankruptcy Payout Plan
U.S. Consumer Confidence Surged to 18-Year High
Firm Retention Summary: Sears Holdings Corp.
Bunge Nears Settlement Agreements With Activists
Q&A With GE CEO Larry Culp on His Fix-It Plan
Kate Spade Brand Boosts Profits at Tapestry
Building an Alpine Chalet for the Low-Lying Netherlands
Coca-Cola Gets Lift From a Perennial Laggard: Diet Coke
Eurozone Growth Stutters as U.S. Economy Powers Ahead
Chesapeake Energy Strikes $4 Billion Deal for WildHorse
Home Prices Continue to Lose Momentum
Under Armour Gets Boost From International Sales
Arconic Profits, Sales Rise as It Weighs Future
With ‘A Star Is Born,’ Live Nation Gains Hollywood Clout
Transaction Growth Lifts Mastercard Revenue, Profit
Chicago’s Sears Picks a Court, and a Judge, in New York
Hedge Funds Lose Confidence in Once-Hot Oil Market
Deliv Raises $40 Million in Home-Delivery Arms Race
Volkswagen Profit Rises Despite Emissions Headwinds
China Sets Official Yuan Rate at Weakest in a Decade
BP Swims in Cash as Earnings Soar on High Oil Prices
Rising Rates Threaten a Bull-Market Mantra
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0107

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-31. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285
2018-10-23,270.95,274.87,268.61,273.61,251.7022,146352700.0,-0.0051,-3.7062,297.7125,268.4595,39.3875,-146.0371,57.6876,285.712,285.9228
2018-10-24,273.33,273.76,264.7,265.32,244.076,177806700.0,-0.0303,-4.4904,298.1158,265.6002,33.4566,-167.9435,63.1011,284.9187,285.656
2018-10-25,267.38,271.81,266.23,270.08,248.4548,138061500.0,0.0179,-4.6739,297.3389,264.3161,38.9197,-137.1941,63.1011,284.227,285.4763
2018-10-26,265.92,271.0,262.29,265.33,244.0852,201574600.0,-0.0176,-5.1434,296.7569,262.3591,35.8789,-148.3136,67.8391,283.3753,285.192
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863
2018-10-30,263.67,268.12,263.12,267.77,246.3298,157116000.0,0.0148,-5.5286,293.9257,260.0243,39.093,-121.2598,70.3587,281.7547,284.5818

EPA Allows Farmers to Keep Using Bayer’s Controversial Weedkiller
China’s Monster Money Fund Shrinks, and Rivals Reap Rewards
BHP to Return $10.4 Billion to Shareholders
U.S. Dollar Rises as Labor Data Signal Continued Growth
Brazil’s Central Bank Leaves Benchmark Rate Unchanged
Bankrupt Kaiser Gypsum Clashes With Regulators Over Plant Cleanup
Mack’s Take: Startups Seek to Get a Jump on Climate Change
Boston Firms Move Tech Partners to California
Treasury Department to Increase Size of Debt Auctions
Workers’ Pay Rises at Fastest Rate in a Decade
AIG’s Loss Narrows, But Catastrophe Claims Still Sting
Oil Rebounds After Inventory Data
PatientPop Boosts Funding to $75 Million With Leerink Transformation Investment
Stocks Get a Lift After Bruising Month for Investors
Nine West Directors Caught in Bankruptcy Crossfire
October’s Market Rout Leaves Investors With No Place to Hide
Fed Proposes Looser Rules for Large U.S. Banks
Drugmaker Egalet Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Estée Lauder Rides Demand for Skin Care, Sales in Asia
That Big Mac and Coke Now Comes With a Side Order of Inflation
GM’s Profit Jumps on Sales of Pricier Pickups, SUVs
Gold Prices Decline on Stronger Dollar, Stock Rebound
Pacific Drilling Chapter 11 Plan Wins Court Confirmation
Swiss Central Banker Warns on Dangers of Protectionism
Older Americans Would Work Longer if Jobs Were Flexible
Biotechs With No Drugs in Trial Are Raising Millions in IPOs
Kellogg Takes Hit to Profits With New Bet on Single-Serve Snacks
U.S. Falls to Eighth in World’s Best Places to Do Business
Bunge CEO Says New Board Committee to Consider All Options
U.S. Steps Up Scrutiny of Funds for Asbestos Exposure Victims
GM Offers Buyout to 18,000 Workers in Cost-Cutting Move
Firm Retention Summary: Westmoreland Coal Co.
Glaxo’s Shingles Vaccine Gave Earnings a Shot in the Arm
No Experience? No Problem. Private Equity Lures Newbie Bankers With $300,000 Offers.
Anthem Reports Earnings Growth, Raises Outlook
Creditors Challenge Nine West Settlement of Sycamore Suit
Private Sector Added 227,000 Jobs in October
Apollo’s Economic Net Drops as Performance Fees Fall
India’s Government Loses Patience With Central Bank
Bitcoin Turns 10: Still Not All Grown Up
Panic in Stocks? Options Signal No
Coca-Cola to Take It Slow on Marijuana
Yields Over 13% and a Boss Chipping In $1 Billion: China Stress Shows in Bond Market
Market Cheats Getting Caught in Record Numbers
Carlyle Group Hit by Slower Fund Growth
Eurozone Jobless Numbers Inch Up in September
Airbus’s Big Problem: It Can’t Make Jets Fast Enough
CFOs Tap Cheap Euro Funding Ahead of ECB Policy Change
Turkey Lifts Inflation Forecast
Bank of Japan Warns of Pressures From Global ‘Protectionist Moves’
Glynn’s Take: Australia’s Inflation Is a Matter of Faith
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0106

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-11-01 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-22,277.0,277.36,274.41,275.01,252.9901,82415800.0,-0.0045,-3.4954,298.2364,269.6496,40.5613,-128.9582,46.871,286.2267,286.0285
2018-10-23,270.95,274.87,268.61,273.61,251.7022,146352700.0,-0.0051,-3.7062,297.7125,268.4595,39.3875,-146.0371,57.6876,285.712,285.9228
2018-10-24,273.33,273.76,264.7,265.32,244.076,177806700.0,-0.0303,-4.4904,298.1158,265.6002,33.4566,-167.9435,63.1011,284.9187,285.656
2018-10-25,267.38,271.81,266.23,270.08,248.4548,138061500.0,0.0179,-4.6739,297.3389,264.3161,38.9197,-137.1941,63.1011,284.227,285.4763
2018-10-26,265.92,271.0,262.29,265.33,244.0852,201574600.0,-0.0176,-5.1434,296.7569,262.3591,35.8789,-148.3136,67.8391,283.3753,285.192
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863
2018-10-30,263.67,268.12,263.12,267.77,246.3298,157116000.0,0.0148,-5.5286,293.9257,260.0243,39.093,-121.2598,70.3587,281.7547,284.5818
2018-10-31,270.65,273.23,270.12,270.63,248.9609,128296300.0,0.0107,-5.2051,291.5841,260.2569,41.861,-77.3998,43.4619,281.0683,284.3327

Gulfport Energy CEO Steps Down After Review
Walmart Files Lawsuit Against Credit-Card Issuer Synchrony
CBS Profit, Revenue Beat Expectations
SoftBank Deal Values Food Startup Zume at $2.25 Billion
WW International Shares Slide on Drop in  Subscribers
Dollar Slips as Stocks Rally
Ex-Goldman Bankers Face U.S. Charges in 1MDB Fund Scandal
Longtime McKesson CEO to Step Down
Strong Earnings Bolster Stocks
Caesars Entertainment CEO to Leave Next Year
Barclays Names Rothschild Veteran to Succeed Departing Chairman
Starbucks Gets Jolt From Stronger Sales
Kraft Heinz’s Profit Suffers as Costs Rise
Activist Takes Deutsche Bank Stake, Betting on CEO’s Strategy
MetLife Swings to Profit
Scurria’s Take: Venezuela’s Citgo Payments Puzzle Wall Street
Tesla Investor Group Calls for Board Overhaul, More Oversight of Musk
Unlike Stock Pickers, Active Bond Managers Are Beating the Market
Digital Currency Volatility Has Crypto Startups Playing Wealth Managers
Worker-Productivity Gains Coming Up Short in Stronger Economy
CryptoKitties Startup Raises $15 Million to Expand
U.S. Oil Prices Fall to Lowest Since April
Wayfair Shares Fall as Losses Widen
UPS Tells Shippers to Prepare for Freight Strike
Gold Rebounds With Dollar Sliding
IntelyCare Raises $10.8 Million to Tackle Nursing Shortage
BT to Explore Further Cost Savings as Revenue Sags
Gastar Exploration Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Trump Hasn’t Called Fed Chairman About Rates, Kudlow Says
Firm Retention Summary: Verity Health System of California Inc.
DOJ Appeals Hiring of Duro Dyne Asbestos Expert
Smaller Banks Await Potential Fed Ally
Factory-Sector Growth Retreated in October. Tariffs Could Be to Blame.
Icahn Sues Dell Technologies Over Tracking-Stock Deal
Danish Insulin Maker Novo Nordisk Cuts Jobs, Shifts R&D Spending
A Secluded Ski Destination Gets a Luxury Home Lift
The Global Debt Boom Looks Like It’s On Borrowed Time
DowDuPont Sees Strong Economy, Despite Market ‘Skittishness’
Spotify Reports Profit but Tempers Outlook for New Users
On Hold for 45 Minutes? It Might Be Your Secret Customer Score
Nine West Directors Caught in Bankruptcy Crossfire
Credit Suisse Shares Drop After Results Miss Mark
Scientists Find ‘Clear Evidence’ Cellphone Radiation Can Cause Cancer in Rats
Taxpayers Can Put More Into Retirement Accounts in 2019, IRS Says
A 21st-Century Frontier Home That Lives Off the Land
Sears Expands Kenmore, DieHard Brands With Licensing Deals
Stocks to Watch: DowDuPont, Newfield Exploration, Spotify and More
Investors Buoyed by Teva’s Turnaround Progress
As New Iran Sanctions Loom, Oil Smuggling Gets Harder
U.S. Jobless Claims Dropped Last Week
Dominion to Sell Stake in Natural-Gas Services Venture Blue Racer
BOE Warns on Trade, Brexit
Czech National Bank Raises Key Rate
Shell Lifts Profit, Reinforcing Industry Strength
Encana to Buy Newfield Exploration in a Stock Swap
The Man Who Bet It All on Bitcoin, and Still Believes
Yuan’s Drop Pressures Chinese Companies Borrowing Overseas
South Korea’s Inflation Speeds Up to 13-Month High
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0059

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-11-05 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-26,265.92,271.0,262.29,265.33,244.0852,201574600.0,-0.0176,-5.1434,296.7569,262.3591,35.8789,-148.3136,67.8391,283.3753,285.192
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863
2018-10-30,263.67,268.12,263.12,267.77,246.3298,157116000.0,0.0148,-5.5286,293.9257,260.0243,39.093,-121.2598,70.3587,281.7547,284.5818
2018-10-31,270.65,273.23,270.12,270.63,248.9609,128296300.0,0.0107,-5.2051,291.5841,260.2569,41.861,-77.3998,43.4619,281.0683,284.3327
2018-11-01,271.6,273.73,270.38,273.51,251.6103,99495000.0,0.0106,-4.6626,289.4565,260.7915,44.4891,-63.9037,41.1313,280.3993,284.1335
2018-11-02,274.75,275.23,269.59,271.89,250.12,122634100.0,-0.0059,-4.3136,287.4048,261.2502,43.3489,-62.4866,34.1428,279.7293,283.9138

China’s Neighbors Could Win From U.S. Tariff Tussle
Competition for Tech Talent Is Tight
Conagra Recalls Certain Duncan Hines Cake Mixes
Sears, Lenders Nearing Larger Financing Deal Without Lampert
Chernova’s Take: Silicon Valley Readily Offers Second Chances to Some
China Trade Talks Triggers Bets on Rebound
Oncology Analytics Raises $21 Million to Offer Second Opinions for Health Plans
Dow Industrials Rise While Tech Stocks Slip
Sears Nabs $60 Million Bid for Home Improvement Business
National Wholesale Liquidators Cleared for November Auction
Hedge Fund D1 Capital Partners Stumbles
Oil Prices Mixed as Iran Sanctions Take Effect
Under Armour’s #MeToo Moment: No More Strip Clubs on Company Dime
Copper Weakens as Hopes for Trade Deal Fade
Turkish Lira Moves Up on Waiver News
Promise Healthcare Files for Bankruptcy
Sysco’s Shares Take Hit as Costs Grow
Bank of Canada Chief Warns on Undermining Central-Bank Independence
Rollback Begins on Postcrisis Swaps-Trading Rules
Papa Gino’s Closes Locations, Files for Bankruptcy Protection
Service-Sector Activity Cools Slightly in October
Verizon to Break Up Wireless Unit in Reorganization
Ex-Woodbridge CEO Shapiro Reaches Consent Pact with SEC
Firm Retention Summary: Welded Construction LP
Toys ‘R’ Us to Pop Up in Kroger Supermarkets
FedEx to Raise Rates in January
Lowe’s to Close Nearly 50 Stores
Trump vs. Democratic Women: Headline Fight of the 2018 Campaign
Subaru Struggles Amid Recalls, Production Delays
Stocks to Watch: Amazon, Apple, GE, Starbucks
Citigroup to Keep Chairman, CEO Roles Separate
Dollar Tree’s $9 Billion Problem: Family Dollar
New Funds Take Pay Cut If They Can’t Beat the Market
Renters Could Be an Emerging Swing Vote This Election
Refining Becomes Driver of Oil Profits
Kuroda: Economy Strong Enough That No More Shock Stimulus Needed
23andMe Reveals Long-Term Plans on Health Care
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0063

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-11-06. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863
2018-10-30,263.67,268.12,263.12,267.77,246.3298,157116000.0,0.0148,-5.5286,293.9257,260.0243,39.093,-121.2598,70.3587,281.7547,284.5818
2018-10-31,270.65,273.23,270.12,270.63,248.9609,128296300.0,0.0107,-5.2051,291.5841,260.2569,41.861,-77.3998,43.4619,281.0683,284.3327
2018-11-01,271.6,273.73,270.38,273.51,251.6103,99495000.0,0.0106,-4.6626,289.4565,260.7915,44.4891,-63.9037,41.1313,280.3993,284.1335
2018-11-02,274.75,275.23,269.59,271.89,250.12,122634100.0,-0.0059,-4.3136,287.4048,261.2502,43.3489,-62.4866,34.1428,279.7293,283.9138
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751

Trump Did What He Needed to Do in the Midterms
Alleged Fraud Surprises Activist Investors in Shipping Fuel Company
New CenturyLink CFO Brings Integration Experience To New Post
Geron’s Take: Once-Apathetic Tech Industry Dives Into Politics
Judge Rules Against Qualcomm in Antitrust Lawsuit
More Factories Crop Up Closer to Customers
Oil Teeters on Brink of a Bear Market
Marriott Sees Weaker Demand in North America
Not Just Midterms: Investors Bracing for Packed November
U.S. Dollar Slips on Eve of Congressional Elections
Weinstein Co. Creditors Committee Takes Lead in Drafting Liquidation Plan
One Aviation Backs Down in Confrontation Over Financial Reports
New Jersey Lender Explores Sale as Banks Consolidate
Group Tied to Foreign Investors Buys Record Share of Treasury Auction
Etsy Raises Revenue Outlook
Papa John’s Sales Fall for Fourth Consecutive Quarter
Lawyer Group Pushes for Student Loan Cancellations in Bankruptcy Cases
U.S. Stocks Gain Ahead of Election Results
Shares of Gun Makers Rally Ahead of Election Outcome
Foxconn Considers Bringing Chinese Workers to Wisconsin as U.S. Labor Market Tightens
CVS Lays Out Vision for Future as Aetna Merger Looms
Aegean Marine Files for Chapter 11, Targets Potential Sale
Wells Fargo’s Private Bank Head to Retire
Amazon HQ2 Change Leaves Cities in a Bind
Gold Edges Lower With Dollar, Treasury Yields Stable
Job Openings Outnumbered the Unemployed by More Than One Million
Sports-Betting Analytics Startup Names New CEO
Ralph Lauren Weighed Down by Sluggish Store Sales
Firm Retention Summary: Sears Holdings Corp.
Sears, Lenders Nearing Bankruptcy Financing Deal Without Lampert
Stocks to Watch: GE, Facebook, CVS, Sears, Mylan, Marriott, Avis, Eli Lilly
Petrobras Results Jump on Rising Oil Prices
Banks Push for Regulators to Ease Up
GE to Sell LED Business to American Industrial Partners
Cloudy Skies in China for Small U.S. Aircraft Makers
Supply Crunch Looms in Commodities Markets
Co-Founder Selling Stake in Wall Street Gatekeeper
Chief Executive Departs Troubled GAM
Chinese Insurer Overtakes BlackRock as HSBC’s Biggest Shareholder
Train Stopping: BHP Derails Runaway Locomotive From 800 Miles Away
RBA Holds Rates Steady, Revises Some Forecasts
Facebook Takes Down Accounts Engaged in Misinformation on Eve of Midterms
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0214

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-11-07. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863
2018-10-30,263.67,268.12,263.12,267.77,246.3298,157116000.0,0.0148,-5.5286,293.9257,260.0243,39.093,-121.2598,70.3587,281.7547,284.5818
2018-10-31,270.65,273.23,270.12,270.63,248.9609,128296300.0,0.0107,-5.2051,291.5841,260.2569,41.861,-77.3998,43.4619,281.0683,284.3327
2018-11-01,271.6,273.73,270.38,273.51,251.6103,99495000.0,0.0106,-4.6626,289.4565,260.7915,44.4891,-63.9037,41.1313,280.3993,284.1335
2018-11-02,274.75,275.23,269.59,271.89,250.12,122634100.0,-0.0059,-4.3136,287.4048,261.2502,43.3489,-62.4866,34.1428,279.7293,283.9138
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751
2018-11-06,273.32,275.3,273.25,275.12,253.0914,60085900.0,0.0063,-3.3428,282.4535,263.5305,46.243,-36.8638,27.9181,278.6207,283.6347

Indonesia Crash Probe Zeroes In on Faulty Flight-Control Gear
Mack’s Take: Pot Taxes Raise the Stakes for VC Backers
News Corp’s Revenue, Profit Rise
Sears Swap Holders on Collision Course With Bankruptcy Lender
Dollar Slips as Midterms Result in Split Congress
Adidas Struggles on Home Turf as Nike Muscles In
Guam’s Archdiocese of Agana to File for Bankruptcy
Five Things to Know About Junk-Bond CDOs
New Sanctions, New Hurdles for Western Firms Doing Business in Iran
Dow Surges Nearly 550 Points
Taco Bueno Files for Bankruptcy With Deal to Hand Control to Sun Holdings
New Winners and Losers Emerge in Stock Market After Midterms
Fed Could Move Again to Keep Short-Term Rates in Check by End of Year
U.S. Oil Falls for 8th Day in a Row as Supplies Surge
Tyson Foods CEO Looks Overseas for Acquisitions
These New Goldman Partners Are Happiest People on Wall Street Today
Virtu Financial to Buy Brokerage ITG in Almost $1 Billion Deal
PetroQuest Energy Files for Bankruptcy With Creditor Deal in Place
Creditors Put Sears Debt Deals With Lampert Under Microscope
GreenTech Unveils Recoveries Under Latest Bankruptcy Plan
Gold Prices Drift Higher as Dollar Weakens
No Charges Brought in Sexting Scandal
Nasdaq to Delist MiMedx Amid Financial Probe
Coty Stumbles Amid Supply-Chain Disruptions
Viewpoint: Rural Hospitals Shape Health-Care Financial Distress
Democratic House Threatens Trump’s Business Agenda
Michael Kors Fumbles Sales Opportunity
Firm Retention Summary: One Aviation Corp.
Regulators Take Aim at Wells Fargo Technology Oversight
Amazon HQ2 Plans Could Make Defense Hiring Even More Competitive
Sinclair Settles with Justice Department, Posts Higher Profit
A Hamlet Hideaway for Wealthy New Yorkers
Wall Street Analysts Are Now Selling More Data, Less Analysis
BlackRock Offices Raided in German Tax Probe
Newell to Sell Pure Fishing, Josten Businesses for About $2.6 Billion
Alleged Fraud Surprises Activist Investors in Shipping-Fuel Company
Stocks to Watch: Zillow, Etsy, Match, Papa John’s, Twilio, Virtu Financial
21st Century Fox Posts Higher Profit
BMW Gets Caught in Perfect Storm of Politics and Economics
Hedge Funds Revive the Junk Bond CDO
Strong Dollar Hits China’s Foreign-Exchange Reserves
Derby’s Take: Next Year, Every FOMC Meeting’s Live
Boeing Issues Safety Alert Following Lion Air Crash
PBOC Chief Vows Support for Private Firms
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0018

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-11-08 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-29,268.8,270.25,259.85,263.86,242.7329,160749100.0,-0.0055,-5.5698,295.7233,260.6057,35.0034,-145.4293,70.3587,282.526,284.863
2018-10-30,263.67,268.12,263.12,267.77,246.3298,157116000.0,0.0148,-5.5286,293.9257,260.0243,39.093,-121.2598,70.3587,281.7547,284.5818
2018-10-31,270.65,273.23,270.12,270.63,248.9609,128296300.0,0.0107,-5.2051,291.5841,260.2569,41.861,-77.3998,43.4619,281.0683,284.3327
2018-11-01,271.6,273.73,270.38,273.51,251.6103,99495000.0,0.0106,-4.6626,289.4565,260.7915,44.4891,-63.9037,41.1313,280.3993,284.1335
2018-11-02,274.75,275.23,269.59,271.89,250.12,122634100.0,-0.0059,-4.3136,287.4048,261.2502,43.3489,-62.4866,34.1428,279.7293,283.9138
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751
2018-11-06,273.32,275.3,273.25,275.12,253.0914,60085900.0,0.0063,-3.3428,282.4535,263.5305,46.243,-36.8638,27.9181,278.6207,283.6347
2018-11-07,277.56,281.1,277.08,281.01,258.5097,102752100.0,0.0214,-2.4207,282.9787,263.2763,51.0361,11.6918,4.5914,278.325,283.5865

FDA Plans to Sharply Restrict Sales of Flavored E-Cigarettes
P&G Moves to Streamline Its Structure
Gormley’s Take: Biotech Bull Market Puts Entrepreneurs in Driver Seat
U.S. Sues UBS Over Mortgage Securities
Supergroup of Puerto Rico Bondholders Hires Davis Polk and Ducera
Yelp Shares Plummet as Company Cuts Revenue Forecast
Oil Enters Bear Market With a 20% Drop From High
Aegean Marine Urgently Seeks Bankruptcy Financing
Disney Posts Record Annual Profit
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Signals More Rate Increases Ahead
U.S. Stocks Retreat as Oil Prices Slump
Coke’s New Drinks May Violate Deal, Monster Says
FTC Says MoneyGram to Pay $125 Million to Settle Fraud Allegations
Judge Clears Tops Markets to Leave Bankruptcy
D.E. Shaw Is a Quant King. Its Humans Are Losing Money
SEC Charges EtherDelta Founder for Operating Unregistered Exchange
U.S. Dollar Up as Fed Signals December Rate Rise
Copper Falls on Fresh Demand Fears
Swiss Central Bank Unlikely to Raise Rates Soon
ECB President Calls on Eurozone Nations to Cut Debt
Firm Retention Summary: Welded Construction LP
Bombardier to Cut 5,000 Jobs, Sell Units in Restructuring
Creditors Put Sears Debt Deals With Lampert Under Microscope
Carlyle Group Reinvests in CommScope to Help Fund Acquisition
Stocks to Watch: Qualcomm, Roku, Take-Two, Wynn Resorts, Albemarle
Turkey Bond Issue Signals Brighter Outlook for Stricken Economy
U.S. Jobless Claims Edged Lower Last Week
Toshiba to Get Out of U.K. Nuclear, U.S. Gas Businesses
Partnership to Buy Anadarko Petroleum’s Midstream Assets
In Russia, McDonald’s Serves Local Fries and a Side of Realpolitik
Fed Likely to Keep Rates Steady
Malaysia’s Central Bank Holds Rates Steady
Postelection Stock Rally Extends Into Asia
Ford Buys Electric-Scooter Startup, Looking to Diversify Beyond Autos
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0098

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-11-12 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-02,274.75,275.23,269.59,271.89,250.12,122634100.0,-0.0059,-4.3136,287.4048,261.2502,43.3489,-62.4866,34.1428,279.7293,283.9138
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751
2018-11-06,273.32,275.3,273.25,275.12,253.0914,60085900.0,0.0063,-3.3428,282.4535,263.5305,46.243,-36.8638,27.9181,278.6207,283.6347
2018-11-07,277.56,281.1,277.08,281.01,258.5097,102752100.0,0.0214,-2.4207,282.9787,263.2763,51.0361,11.6918,4.5914,278.325,283.5865
2018-11-08,280.11,281.22,279.22,280.5,258.0405,65584900.0,-0.0018,-1.7114,283.9154,263.1726,50.6317,21.4332,4.1713,277.9853,283.5652
2018-11-09,279.03,279.24,276.18,277.76,255.52,98812600.0,-0.0098,-1.3547,284.1252,263.1438,48.4962,0.6077,13.5728,277.5533,283.4602

Chernova’s Take: Can Shared Experiences Make for a Viable Business Model?
Halliburton Names a Chief Financial Officer
Macy’s Radical Plan to Save Itself: Shrink
Kellogg Considers Selling Its Fruit-Snacks and Cookies Businesses
U.S. Expected to Produce Half of Global Oil and Gas Growth by 2025
OPEC Defends Itself After Saudi Study Questions Its Future
McKinsey, Turnaround Veteran Alix to Face Off in Another Coal Bankruptcy
Creditors Question Viability of Sears Stores
GE Shares Fall Again, Hit New Low
Dow Falls 600 Points as Tech Drags Stocks Lower
Sears Offers to Sell Bonds to Hedge Funds That Bet on Its Default
Banks Have a Solution for Their Identity-Fraud Woes: The DMV
San Francisco Fed Chief Supports Gradual Rate Rises
Oil Falls in Longest Losing Streak on Record
Stronger Dollar Hurts Gold
SEC Calls For More Detailed Disclosure on Brexit Impact
All American Oil & Gas Files for Bankruptcy Protection
Harpoon Therapeutics Gets $70 Million Series C for Prostate Cancer Treatment
Donor-Advised Fund Contributions Jump on Tax Overhaul
California Utilities Plummet on Wildfire Fears
Labor Department Clears Path for Automatic 401(k) Transfers
Coty’s Names New CEO
Firm Retention Summary: Mission Coal Company LLC
Democrats Built a Big Tent; Can They Keep It?
Lampert’s ESL Fires Back at Sears Creditors
Athenahealth to Sell Itself for $5.47 Billion
Kodak Expects $390 Million in Printing Business Deal
Oil’s Ugly Stretch Is Latest Blow to Commodity Investors
Small Airlines Stall on High Fuel Costs
Buyout Bids Return for U.S.-Listed Chinese Companies
Pets or People, Big Food Faces the Same Supermarket Battle
Derby’s Take: Fed’s Former Second-in-Command Warns on Regulation Rollback
PBOC Ready to Fine-Tune Policy if Necessary
Foreign Buying of Chinese Bonds Slows as Yuan Falls
Crypto Investor Pantera Alters a Fund Amid Downturn
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0019

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-11-13 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751
2018-11-06,273.32,275.3,273.25,275.12,253.0914,60085900.0,0.0063,-3.3428,282.4535,263.5305,46.243,-36.8638,27.9181,278.6207,283.6347
2018-11-07,277.56,281.1,277.08,281.01,258.5097,102752100.0,0.0214,-2.4207,282.9787,263.2763,51.0361,11.6918,4.5914,278.325,283.5865
2018-11-08,280.11,281.22,279.22,280.5,258.0405,65584900.0,-0.0018,-1.7114,283.9154,263.1726,50.6317,21.4332,4.1713,277.9853,283.5652
2018-11-09,279.03,279.24,276.18,277.76,255.52,98812600.0,-0.0098,-1.3547,284.1252,263.1438,48.4962,0.6077,13.5728,277.5533,283.4602
2018-11-12,277.19,277.46,271.99,272.57,250.7455,99673600.0,-0.0187,-1.4739,284.0375,263.0485,44.7941,-34.4495,24.4877,276.9147,283.252

FAA Launches Review of Boeing’s Safety Analyses
PG&E Says Equipment Failed Just Before California Wildfire
Amazon Could Be ‘Massive Win’ for Two Rising Tech Hubs, VCs Say
Oil Prices Fall Most Since 2015 on Fears of Oversupply
Blue Apron Lays Off More Workers
Tesla’s New Chairman Faces Governance Challenges
Dollar Weakens Slightly as U.S., China Resume Talks
Toys ‘R’ Us Wins Confirmation of Chapter 11 Payment Plan
Home Depot Ratchets Up Fiscal-Year Guidance
GE to Sell $4 Billion Stake in Baker Hughes
Stocks’ Rebound Attempt Falters, as Crude Oil Falls
GreenTech Automotive Gets OK to Put Plan to a Vote
Juul Says It Will Quit Social Media
Judge Approves Outline of Nine West’s Bankruptcy-Exit Plan
SEC Wants Companies To Boost Cybersecurity, Brexit, Libor Phaseout Disclosures
All American Oil & Gas Alleges ‘Loan to Own’ Scheme
Copper Climbs on Hopes for U.S.-China Trade Thaw
Banks Left Standards for Business Lending Unchanged in Third Quarter
Walmart’s Flipkart CEO Steps Down After Misconduct Allegations
Johnson Controls to Sell Auto Battery Unit to Brookfield Business Partners
Boeing Withheld Information on 737 That Crashed in Indonesia, According to Safety Experts and Others
Better Family Policies Could Draw Millions of Workers Into Labor Force
U.S. Dollar Surges Amid Political Turbulence Abroad
Amazon’s Move to Long Island City Sparks Condo Frenzy
Starbucks to Lay Off 5% of Corporate Workforce
Firm Retention Summary: One Aviation Corp.
Tyson Says Pressure on Meat Prices Likely to Persist
Sears Creditors Question the Viability of Retailer’s Stores
Travel Boom Fuels Bond Bet Tied to Airplanes
A Ticket to Ride: HNA Unit Offers Investors Air Vouchers in Lieu of Cash
Growth in Quick-Service Restaurants Outpacing Sit-Down Eateries, USDA Says
Capex Spending Is Booming, but Pace of Growth Is Slowing
In Battle for Workers, Walmart Promises Steadier Schedules
San Francisco’s Daly Backs Rate Rises | Two Senators Warn Trump Over Attacks on Fed | Bank of Japan’s Bond and Stock Holdings Exceed GDP
New Tax Law Spurs Debt Repayments
Apartment Developers Are Slowing Construction. That Could Mean Higher Rents.
Watch Sellers Fear Their Hour Has Come
As Brexit Date Approaches, EU Workers Kiss Goodbye to U.K. in Record Numbers
OPEC, Russia Crude Production Offsets Iran Losses
Small-Business Confidence Stays at Near-Record High
Big Oil Is Now Thrifty—but That Comes at a Cost
Bayer Hit by More Lawsuits Over Safety of Weedkiller
Diageo to Sell 19 Brands Amid Focus on Premium Spirits
Bank of Japan’s Bond and Stock Holdings Top 100% of GDP
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0068

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-11-14. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751
2018-11-06,273.32,275.3,273.25,275.12,253.0914,60085900.0,0.0063,-3.3428,282.4535,263.5305,46.243,-36.8638,27.9181,278.6207,283.6347
2018-11-07,277.56,281.1,277.08,281.01,258.5097,102752100.0,0.0214,-2.4207,282.9787,263.2763,51.0361,11.6918,4.5914,278.325,283.5865
2018-11-08,280.11,281.22,279.22,280.5,258.0405,65584900.0,-0.0018,-1.7114,283.9154,263.1726,50.6317,21.4332,4.1713,277.9853,283.5652
2018-11-09,279.03,279.24,276.18,277.76,255.52,98812600.0,-0.0098,-1.3547,284.1252,263.1438,48.4962,0.6077,13.5728,277.5533,283.4602
2018-11-12,277.19,277.46,271.99,272.57,250.7455,99673600.0,-0.0187,-1.4739,284.0375,263.0485,44.7941,-34.4495,24.4877,276.9147,283.252
2018-11-13,273.09,275.33,271.25,272.06,250.2764,98176600.0,-0.0019,-1.5911,283.1243,263.1277,44.4491,-43.2379,26.2462,276.2647,283.0252

Bitcoin Plunges Below $6,000, Hits New Lows for the Year
Macy’s Reports Strong Sales Growth, Raises Guidance
Fed Tracking World Growth Worries, Powell Says
Steve Wynn Seeks to Stop Release of Massachusetts Investigation
Libya’s Oil Production Has More Than Doubled Since June, Oil Chief Says
Global Economy Shows Strain as U.S. Steams Ahead
California’s Largest Utility Pummeled by Wildfire Risks
Stock-Market Supercomputer to Launch With Glitches
Mack’s Take: ‘Death by Pilot’ Isn’t the Only Hazard Facing Health Tech
Berkshire Now Has a $4 Billion Stake in Largest U.S. Bank
Lockheed Martin Lands $23 Billion Pentagon Contract
Metals Rise as Dollar Ticks Lower
Bankrupt Oil Producer Gets Approval to Spend Cash on California Plant Repairs
U.S. Stocks Lose Gains Amid Growth Worries, Tech Declines
U.S. Oil Prices Rise From 2018 Lows
U.S. Dollar Inches Lower After Consumer Price Data
Uber Posts Slower Sales Gains, Widening Loss Ahead of 2019 IPO
Dragonfly Therapeutics Gets $50 Million Through Celgene Alliance
JPMorgan Wants Card Customers to Pay With a Tap
Fed Nominee Bowman Moves Closer to Confirmation
PG&E Stock Tanks on Wildfire Liability Concerns
As Natural Gas Gets More Expensive, So Could Heating
Victoria’s Secret Chief Is Out Amid Declining Sales
Inflation Jumps, but Is Likely to Slow
Global Companies in U.S. See Auto Tariffs as Biggest Threat: Survey
David’s Bridal to Seek Bankruptcy Protection in Coming Days
Sears Customers Could Soon Be Taking Their Business to Home Depot
Mexico’s New Leader Set to Broaden Stamp on Central Bank Leadership
Firm Retention Summary: Westmoreland Coal Co.
Toys ‘R’ Us Wins Confirmation of Chapter 11 Payment Plan
Walmart to Send Employees Traveling for Spine Surgery
Stocks to Watch: PG&E, Edison International, Facebook, and More
Emerging Markets Coming Back in Favor
Lawmakers Study Further Adjustments to Bill for Bank Failures
Be Ready to Pay More to Lease Your Next Car
Vehicle Leases: Behind the Numbers
Geron’s Take: Can Shopping Rewards Bring Bitcoin to Mainstream?
Global Oil Supply to Outstrip Demand on Record Production
Rich Investors Eye Tax-Favored Development Funds
Pot Marketplace Eaze Launches CBD-by-Mail Offering
Wells Fargo Executive in Regulator’s Crosshairs
Derby’s Take: Ready For 3% Unemployment? Goldman Sachs Says It’s Possible
More Signs of Trouble in China’s Auto Market
Bank of Thailand Keeps Benchmark Rate Unchanged
Bank Indonesia Likely to Keep Interest Rate Unchanged
Startups Backed by Alibaba, Tencent Slash Planned IPOs
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0104

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-11-15. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-05,272.44,274.01,271.35,273.39,251.4999,65622500.0,0.0055,-3.8714,285.0377,262.1743,44.7063,-53.6021,34.1428,279.1417,283.751
2018-11-06,273.32,275.3,273.25,275.12,253.0914,60085900.0,0.0063,-3.3428,282.4535,263.5305,46.243,-36.8638,27.9181,278.6207,283.6347
2018-11-07,277.56,281.1,277.08,281.01,258.5097,102752100.0,0.0214,-2.4207,282.9787,263.2763,51.0361,11.6918,4.5914,278.325,283.5865
2018-11-08,280.11,281.22,279.22,280.5,258.0405,65584900.0,-0.0018,-1.7114,283.9154,263.1726,50.6317,21.4332,4.1713,277.9853,283.5652
2018-11-09,279.03,279.24,276.18,277.76,255.52,98812600.0,-0.0098,-1.3547,284.1252,263.1438,48.4962,0.6077,13.5728,277.5533,283.4602
2018-11-12,277.19,277.46,271.99,272.57,250.7455,99673600.0,-0.0187,-1.4739,284.0375,263.0485,44.7941,-34.4495,24.4877,276.9147,283.252
2018-11-13,273.09,275.33,271.25,272.06,250.2764,98176600.0,-0.0019,-1.5911,283.1243,263.1277,44.4491,-43.2379,26.2462,276.2647,283.0252
2018-11-14,274.16,274.61,268.45,270.2,248.5653,125335900.0,-0.0068,-1.8132,282.0671,263.1599,43.1943,-61.9337,32.5951,275.5473,282.7562

Oscar Sues Florida Health Plan Provider
Southwest Air Replaced Flight-Control Sensors of the Kind Implicated in Lion Air Crash
California to Conduct Review of PG&E, Including Possible Breakup
Walmart Posts Strong Sales Gains Ahead of Holidays
Post Holdings Plans IPO for Nutrition Unit
David’s Bridal Reaches Restructuring Deal With Lenders
Gormley’s Take: Medicaid ‘Value-Based’ Deals Turn Up Heat on Drugmakers
Dollar Dips Amid Oil Rebound, Brexit Fears
U.S. Stocks Close Higher Following Tech Rebound
Natural Gas Falls Nearly 17% One Day After Meteoric Rise
MoviePass Sheds Subscribers as Troubles Mount
Brexit Fallout Slams Pound, U.K. Banks
Sears Swap Seller Looks to Salvage Bad Bankruptcy Bet
Mission Coal Creditors Seek to Investigate Principal Tom Clarke Over Payments
Retailers Sink Despite Strong Earnings
Firm Tied to Cryptocurrency Entrepreneur Faces SEC Investigation
Fed’s Kashkari Still Opposes More Fed Rate Rises
Dell Sweetens Tracking-Stock Deal After Facing Shareholder Pressure
Sears Gets Court Approval to Sell Stores
Oil Prices Rise for Second Straight Session
Senate Confirms Ally of Smaller Banks to Fed Board
Starion Energy Files for Bankruptcy
Companies, Large Investors Weigh Ways to Curb Activist Shareholders
Youth Use of E-Cigarettes Jumped 78%, Government Study Shows
Bank of Mexico Raises Interest Rates
Fed’s Jerome Powell Says U.S. Economy Is in ‘Good Shape’
Companies Prepare for Currency Gyrations Amid Brexit Turmoil
Atlanta Fed’s Bostic Says Fed Should Follow ‘Tentative’ Approach to Monetary Policy
FDA Seeks Ban on Menthol Cigarettes
Trump Tax Cut to Be Eroded by Inflation Switch
Transcript: Q&A With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in Dallas
U.S. Retail Sales Rose in October
Chinese Exodus From U.S. Real Estate Accelerates With L.A. Sale
J.C. Penney’s Revenue, Comparable Sales Fall
David’s Bridal to Seek Bankruptcy Protection in Coming Days
Revitalizing a Michigan Midcentury Marvel
Metals Climb on Cooling Trade Tensions, Chinese Data
Economists Expect Fed to Continue Raising Rates Through 2019
Economists Split on Whether Midterms Outcome Will Increase or Decrease Uncertainty
Stocks to Watch: Walmart, PG&E, Lockheed Martin, JPMorgan Chase
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Oil Giants Start to Dominate U.S. Shale Boom
Activist Investor Gets Important Backing in Campbell Soup Fight
Standard Cognition Raises $40 Million for Autonomous Checkout
SoftBank, Joining Robotics Race, Gives Automation Startup $2.6 Billion Valuation
The Case of the Disappearing Collateral
The ‘Prosperity Bomb’ of an Amazonian Invasion
Airtable Raises $100 Million at $1.1 Billion Valuation
Philippines Raises Rates as Inflation Stays High
Favorite Stock Market Crystal Ball May Have a Crack in It
Tencent Stock Rallies on Strong Earnings
Bank Indonesia Raises Benchmark Rate, Surprising Forecasters
Dell Sweetens Key Deal Terms in Path Back to Public Markets
Glynn’s Take: Roaring Aussie Job Market Defies the Odds
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0026

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-11-19. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-09,279.03,279.24,276.18,277.76,255.52,98812600.0,-0.0098,-1.3547,284.1252,263.1438,48.4962,0.6077,13.5728,277.5533,283.4602
2018-11-12,277.19,277.46,271.99,272.57,250.7455,99673600.0,-0.0187,-1.4739,284.0375,263.0485,44.7941,-34.4495,24.4877,276.9147,283.252
2018-11-13,273.09,275.33,271.25,272.06,250.2764,98176600.0,-0.0019,-1.5911,283.1243,263.1277,44.4491,-43.2379,26.2462,276.2647,283.0252
2018-11-14,274.16,274.61,268.45,270.2,248.5653,125335900.0,-0.0068,-1.8132,282.0671,263.1599,43.1943,-61.9337,32.5951,275.5473,282.7562
2018-11-15,268.78,273.54,267.01,273.02,251.1594,135101400.0,0.0104,-1.7416,281.7325,263.1565,45.6029,-57.384,35.6409,275.0,282.537
2018-11-16,271.79,274.75,271.21,273.73,251.8126,126668000.0,0.0026,-1.609,281.4563,263.1807,46.1971,-22.6685,30.3503,274.5303,282.336

Chinese Approval Keeps Disney-Fox on Track to Close Early
David’s Bridal Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Fed Official Quarles Poised to Lead Financial Stability Board
Chernova’s Take: Employee Activism Could Be a Minefield for Defense Work
Sears Proposes Bonus Package for Top Executives
GE Veteran John Rice Returns to Troubled Power Unit
Dollar Slips to Start the Week
Colfax to Buy DJO Global from Blackstone Funds for $3.15 Billion
U.S. Stocks Extend Losses as Tech Worries Deepen
Ghosn’s ‘Bigger-Than-Life’ Personality Increasingly Rare in Global Car Business
Cimarex Energy to Buy Resolute Energy
Hedge Fund Offers Truce to Save Sears Swaps Wager
Marijuana Dispensary Harborside Raises $25 Million
L Brands Slashes Dividend, Picks Chief for Victoria’s Secret Lingerie
Oklahoma ProCure Files for Bankruptcy
Apple Stock Flirts With Bear-Market Territory
Taylor Swift Tries to Help Fellow Artists With Universal Music Deal
Oil Closes Higher as Traders Weigh OPEC Meeting
GE Seeks Power Sales in Iraq, but Report Spotlights Corruption Concerns
Inflazome Banks $46 Million Series B to Curb Harmful Inflammation
Gold Edges Higher as Dollar Falls
L’Oréal Names New CFO in Management Makeover
Former College Basketball Player Sues Adidas Over Payments
New York Fed Chief Expects Gradual Rate Rises
Firm Retention Summary: Aegean Marine Petroleum Network Inc.
How Democrats’ Rust Belt Success Alters 2020 Picture
U.S. Home-Builder Sentiment Fell in November
Mattress Firm Wins Court Approval of Chapter 11 Plan
Vanguard Ratchets Up Index-Fund Price Battle
The Price of a Bad Year for Money Managers: Fewer Jobs, Less Pay in 2019
Foreign Investors Invade China’s Cozy Treasury Market
Novartis CEO Bets on Cutting-Edge Science to Remake Drug Giant
Derby’s Take: Some Cracks Appear in the Case for a December Rate Rise
Eurozone’s Current-Account Surplus Narrowed in September
Yuan Under Pressure as U.S. Treasury Yields Top Chinese Rates
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0185

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-11-20. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-12,277.19,277.46,271.99,272.57,250.7455,99673600.0,-0.0187,-1.4739,284.0375,263.0485,44.7941,-34.4495,24.4877,276.9147,283.252
2018-11-13,273.09,275.33,271.25,272.06,250.2764,98176600.0,-0.0019,-1.5911,283.1243,263.1277,44.4491,-43.2379,26.2462,276.2647,283.0252
2018-11-14,274.16,274.61,268.45,270.2,248.5653,125335900.0,-0.0068,-1.8132,282.0671,263.1599,43.1943,-61.9337,32.5951,275.5473,282.7562
2018-11-15,268.78,273.54,267.01,273.02,251.1594,135101400.0,0.0104,-1.7416,281.7325,263.1565,45.6029,-57.384,35.6409,275.0,282.537
2018-11-16,271.79,274.75,271.21,273.73,251.8126,126668000.0,0.0026,-1.609,281.4563,263.1807,46.1971,-22.6685,30.3503,274.5303,282.336
2018-11-19,273.05,273.38,268.07,269.1,247.5534,103061700.0,-0.0169,-1.8561,281.1765,262.8695,43.0266,-68.2651,37.1505,273.9063,282.0292

Dollar Rises as Stocks and Oil Sink
SpaceX Launches First Loan
Retail Stocks Get Crushed Despite Hopeful Sales
Geron’s Take: Privacy Alternatives to Big Tech’s Cloud Services
Barnes & Noble Trims Losses Despite Weaker Sales
Gap Looking to Close Hundreds of Weaker Stores
Renault Names Interim Leaders After Carlos Ghosn’s Arrest
Federal Reserve Not Likely Swayed by Market Declines
Bank of Canada Studying Alternatives to Inflation-Targeting
Campbell Shows Signs of Improving Sales Ahead of Shareholder Vote
Trade and Tech Threaten a Stock-Market Streak
David’s Bridal Has First Date in Court
Oil Prices Fall Further After Trump’s Saudi Arabia Remarks
Small Banks to Get Relief From Postcrisis Rules
Crypto Markets Take Steep Dive
Digital Advertising Platform Visto Files for Bankruptcy
Stocks Skid as Major Indexes Shed 2018 Gains
Bond Traders Are Starting to Doubt the Fed Again
Walgreens, Humana in Preliminary Talks to Take Stakes in Each Other
Amazon’s HQ2s Could Pressure Seattle’s Office Market
Gold Edges Down as Dollar Gains
U.S. Housing Starts Increased in October
Lowe’s to Exit Mexico Retail Business, Shed Contracting Service
‘I Can Be the Bank’: Individual Investors Buy Busted Mortgages
Firm Retention Summary: Promise Healthcare Group LLC
Japan Investigation Looks at Ghosn’s Stock-Related Pay
Building a Home Over the Office to Achieve Work-Life Balance
Hedge Fund Offers Truce to Save Sears Swaps Wager
Deutsche Bank Handled $150 Billion of Potentially Suspicious Flows Tied to Danske
South Korea’s Coupang Gets $2 Billion in New Funding from SoftBank
Stocks to Watch: Intuit, L Brands, Urban Outfitters
Bain, KKR Set Up Toys ‘R’ Us Severance Fund
Energy Shares Shed Crude Relationship With Oil Prices
Russian Banks Find Ways to Profit in Face of Sanctions
Carlos Ghosn Faces Weeks of Interrogation in Japan Without Lawyer
Boston Scientific Acquires U.K.’s BTG for $4.2 Billion
Merrill Brokers Say Pay Plan Urges Customer Debt
U.S. Manufacturers Push FTC to Crack Down on False ‘Made in America’ Labels
RBA Governor Lowe: Keeping Eye on House Price Declines
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0034

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-11-26 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-16,271.79,274.75,271.21,273.73,251.8126,126668000.0,0.0026,-1.609,281.4563,263.1807,46.1971,-22.6685,30.3503,274.5303,282.336
2018-11-19,273.05,273.38,268.07,269.1,247.5534,103061700.0,-0.0169,-1.8561,281.1765,262.8695,43.0266,-68.2651,37.1505,273.9063,282.0292
2018-11-20,265.36,267.0,263.15,264.12,242.9721,136021300.0,-0.0185,-2.4258,281.3187,261.7783,39.9741,-159.0965,45.9839,273.1303,281.6015
2018-11-21,265.86,267.15,265.01,265.02,243.8,75563700.0,0.0034,-2.7728,281.3448,261.7222,40.7598,-132.7121,45.3183,272.6877,281.1865
2018-11-23,263.18,264.82,263.07,263.25,242.1717,42807900.0,-0.0067,-3.1542,281.6692,260.7148,39.7025,-152.4037,48.5609,272.3903,280.716

China Works to Look Open to Foreign Business as G-20 Summit Nears
Weinstein Must Keep Email Senders’ Identities Under Wraps
Hundreds of Flights Canceled After Snowstorm Socks the Midwest
United Tech to Break Itself Into Three Companies
Bitcoin Continues Steep Fall as Crypto Collapse Worsens
GE Bonds Rebound as Bargain Hunters Swoop In
GM Closings Are a Fresh Sign of Worry for Economy
Khosla Investor Ben Ling Departs, Raises Debut Funds
GM’s Plan to Close Oshawa Plant Is Setback for Canada’s Auto Sector
Natural-Gas Rally Leaves Producers Behind
Gormley’s Take: Innovative Drug Trial Takes On Cancer Menace
Oklahoma ProCure Bankruptcy Case to Remain in Delaware
Airbnb Hires New CFO From Amazon
Copper Edges Lower as Investors Await Trade Update
Stocks Rise, Led by Retailers
Michelle Bowman Sworn In on Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors
Oil Rebounds After Sharp Selloff
San Francisco Fed Paper Says Inflation May Again Slip Under Target
Greece’s Eurobank to Acquire Grivalia Properties
Mexican Peso Falls to Lowest Level Against Dollar in Over a Year
Mario Draghi: QE Program to End in December
Newell Brands Appoints New CFO as Divestitures Loom
Campbell Soup, Third Point Settle Proxy Fight
Firm Retention Summary: Gastar Exploration Inc.
Carlos Ghosn Was Too Powerful, Nissan’s CEO Says
How a History of Discord Fuels Today’s U.S.-China Trade Tensions
The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas
Paychex to Buy Human-Resources Firm Oasis for $1.2 Billion
Pay Taxes With Bitcoin? Ohio Says Sure
Samsonite Names New CFO
Spanish Language Broadcaster LBI Media Files for Bankruptcy
Oil’s Fall Threatens U.S. Shale Drillers
UPS’s Holiday Wish: Handling the Delivery Surge
America’s Pensions Embrace Riskier Real-Estate Bets
Russia Flexes Muscles as Natural Gas Industry Booms
French Caterer Sodexo Seeks Bolt-On Deals
Oil Giant PetroChina Hits Eight-Month Low as Crude Slumps
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0034

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-11-27. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-19,273.05,273.38,268.07,269.1,247.5534,103061700.0,-0.0169,-1.8561,281.1765,262.8695,43.0266,-68.2651,37.1505,273.9063,282.0292
2018-11-20,265.36,267.0,263.15,264.12,242.9721,136021300.0,-0.0185,-2.4258,281.3187,261.7783,39.9741,-159.0965,45.9839,273.1303,281.6015
2018-11-21,265.86,267.15,265.01,265.02,243.8,75563700.0,0.0034,-2.7728,281.3448,261.7222,40.7598,-132.7121,45.3183,272.6877,281.1865
2018-11-23,263.18,264.82,263.07,263.25,242.1717,42807900.0,-0.0067,-3.1542,281.6692,260.7148,39.7025,-152.4037,48.5609,272.3903,280.716
2018-11-26,265.78,267.75,265.34,267.5,246.0815,79981400.0,0.0161,-3.078,281.5649,261.0361,43.3525,-90.0936,35.5807,272.1087,280.336

Trump-Xi Meeting Risks Roiling Markets
Ghosn’s Lawyer, a Former Prosecutor, Knows His Way Around a Courtroom
Real-Estate Tech Startup to Set Up Online Office Marketplace
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Eases Mortgage Restrictions
Genomics Medicine Hits on $400 Million Investment—and a Buyer
Backlog and Revenue Growth Power Salesforce Results
Sears Finds New Bankruptcy Loan Lender in Swap Seller
Geron’s Take: Startups Prepare for Crypto Winter
Westchester County Loses Triple-A Rating From S&P
Campbell Eyes Ex-Pinnacle Foods Chief for CEO Job
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher as Fed Signals Are Scrutinized
Black Friday Loses Its Appeal for Some Shoppers
Stocks Up After White House Official Leaves Open Possibility of Trade Breakthrough
Oil Prices Edge Lower on Oversupply Concerns
Tiger Woods Signs Deal With Golf Streaming Service
Investors Confront Growth Fears Ahead of G-20 Summit
Fed’s Evans Says Time to Get Back Toward More Normal Interest-Rate Levels
Under Armour CEO Pledges to Improve Company’s Culture
All American Oil & Gas Lender Calls for Investigation Into Company Payments
Deutsche Bank Weighs New Shake-Up
Exelon Sues to Preserve $140 Million FirstEnergy Deal
Fairway Energy Files for Bankruptcy
Nissan-Renault Alliance Faces Biggest Test Yet—Without Its Architect
GM Workers Are Distressed by Detroit Plant’s Shutdown
Copper Falls on Tariff Fears
Papa John’s Loses a Potential Bidder
Bondholders Go on the Offensive as LBI Media Seeks to Restructure
Google and Facebook Face European Vexation
Fed Vice Chairman Signals Another Interest-Rate Increase in December
To Boost Your Home’s Value, Live Near a Highway
Firm Retention Summary: Egalet Corp.
U.S. Consumer Confidence Slips From 18-Year High
Teva Releases Generic EpiPen in Limited Doses in the U.S.
Drugmakers Gain More Access to China, but at a Price
Home-Price Gains Continue to Slow in September
OPEC Open to Risking Trump’s Ire, Prompted by Budgets and Shale
Weinstein Must Keep Email Senders’ Identities Under Wraps
Why Oil Prices Took Such a Tumble, and What Comes Next
Hedge Fund Offers Sears $80 Million to Salvage Soured Bet
Investors Prepare for Another Brexit Surprise
Lithium Boom Raises Question: What Is Its Price?
Amazon, With Little Fanfare, Emerges as Advertising Giant
Why GM Is Likely to Keep Producing in China Despite Trump’s Pleas
Hotel Developers Fight NYC Proposal That Would Reduce New Building
Silicon Valley’s Stock Exchange Hits Roadblock
China’s Steel Glut Sinks Iron Ore
Derby’s Take: A Big Week for Fedspeak May Define December Rate Plans
New Lenders Secretly Track Your Car to Make Sure You Pay
India Can Thank Crude’s Slump for a Soaring Stock Market
Huawei to Complete Network Project Despite Opposition
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0230

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-11-28. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-19,273.05,273.38,268.07,269.1,247.5534,103061700.0,-0.0169,-1.8561,281.1765,262.8695,43.0266,-68.2651,37.1505,273.9063,282.0292
2018-11-20,265.36,267.0,263.15,264.12,242.9721,136021300.0,-0.0185,-2.4258,281.3187,261.7783,39.9741,-159.0965,45.9839,273.1303,281.6015
2018-11-21,265.86,267.15,265.01,265.02,243.8,75563700.0,0.0034,-2.7728,281.3448,261.7222,40.7598,-132.7121,45.3183,272.6877,281.1865
2018-11-23,263.18,264.82,263.07,263.25,242.1717,42807900.0,-0.0067,-3.1542,281.6692,260.7148,39.7025,-152.4037,48.5609,272.3903,280.716
2018-11-26,265.78,267.75,265.34,267.5,246.0815,79981400.0,0.0161,-3.078,281.5649,261.0361,43.3525,-90.0936,35.5807,272.1087,280.336
2018-11-27,266.34,268.4,265.66,268.4,246.9094,75502400.0,0.0034,-2.9115,281.2875,261.7675,44.0939,-73.822,32.8286,271.9087,279.9708

Pabst, MillerCoors Settle Legal Fight Over Partnership
Hedge Fund Calls for Board Shakeup at Ad Holding Firm MDC Partners
Fed Chairman’s Remarks Spark Market Rally
Medical-Robotics Startup Auris Health Amasses $220 Million Financing
Sears Entertaining Offers From Liquidators as ESL, Cyrus Prepare Takeover Bid
Houston’s Fairway Energy Gets Approval for Bankruptcy Loan
Fed Chairman Says Interest Rates Are Just Below Estimates of Neutral
Orianna Health Bankruptcy Battle Turns to Fees
Bond Indexes Bend Under Weight of Treasury Debt
UPS Passes Early Holiday-Season Test
Slowing Global Economy Weighs on U.S. Profits, Trade
October New-Home Sales Are Hit by Sharpest Drop Since 2017
Investors Keep Oil at Arm’s Length
Altria in Talks to Take Significant Minority Stake in Juul Labs
Banks to Get Slimmed-Down ‘Living Will’ Requirements
Transcript: Q&A With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in New York
Oil Prices Slide as U.S. Inventories Swell
Royal Bank of Canada Earnings Jump on Higher Rates, Fees
Former American Apparel Wraps Up Second Bankruptcy Proceeding
Tiffany Shares Fall as Sales Slow
Bank of Mexico Trims Growth Estimates
CVS Completes $70 Billion Acquisition of Aetna
Dollar Falls After Fed Chairman’s Comments
Dick’s Sporting Goods Sales Hit by Tougher Stance on Guns
Smucker’s Pet Foods Lag Behind Expectations
Louis Dreyfus Suffers Another Coffee-Warehouse Suspension
Transcript: Q&A With Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida in New York
Firm Retention Summary: Sorenson Media Inc.
In Ghosn Case, Japanese Prosecutors Face a Hurdle
Fed Identifies Top Vulnerabilities Facing U.S. Financial System
Wall Street Rainmaker Shells out $62 Million for Manhattan Penthouse
Sears Wins OK for Junior DIP Loan Provided by Cyrus Capital
Real-Estate Lending Change Boosts Banks
Lion Air Crash Probe Focuses on Possible Mistakes by Mechanics
U.S. Brands Squeeze Chinese Suppliers as Tariffs Start to Bite
Derby’s Take: Clarida Reflects on What He Thought About Fed Before Joining It
Celebrities Are Upending the $52 Billion Beauty Industry
Biggest Pay Raise on Wall Street Goes to Stock Derivatives Traders
Chinese Drug Researcher Kicks Off $1 Billion Hong Kong Listing
Charities: Better at Giving Out Your Money Than Investing It
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0022

Rejected response: Fall