Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-11-29 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-19,273.05,273.38,268.07,269.1,247.5534,103061700.0,-0.0169,-1.8561,281.1765,262.8695,43.0266,-68.2651,37.1505,273.9063,282.0292
2018-11-20,265.36,267.0,263.15,264.12,242.9721,136021300.0,-0.0185,-2.4258,281.3187,261.7783,39.9741,-159.0965,45.9839,273.1303,281.6015
2018-11-21,265.86,267.15,265.01,265.02,243.8,75563700.0,0.0034,-2.7728,281.3448,261.7222,40.7598,-132.7121,45.3183,272.6877,281.1865
2018-11-23,263.18,264.82,263.07,263.25,242.1717,42807900.0,-0.0067,-3.1542,281.6692,260.7148,39.7025,-152.4037,48.5609,272.3903,280.716
2018-11-26,265.78,267.75,265.34,267.5,246.0815,79981400.0,0.0161,-3.078,281.5649,261.0361,43.3525,-90.0936,35.5807,272.1087,280.336
2018-11-27,266.34,268.4,265.66,268.4,246.9094,75502400.0,0.0034,-2.9115,281.2875,261.7675,44.0939,-73.822,32.8286,271.9087,279.9708
2018-11-28,269.6,274.58,268.33,274.58,252.5946,127629600.0,0.023,-2.2548,281.5509,262.1851,48.8491,13.779,10.1116,271.7147,279.717

Bank of Korea Raises Base Rate by a Quarter Point to 1.75%
Deutsche Bank Raided in Money-Laundering Probe
Gormley’s Take: Wall Street Threatens to Snatch Away Biotech IPO Punch Bowl
Boxer Mayweather Jr., Producer DJ Khaled Agree to Settle SEC Crypto Charges
AT&T Plans 3-Tiered WarnerMedia Streaming Service to Take On Netflix
Fed Minutes Signal December Rate Increase Likely, But Less Certain Path Next Year
U.S. Lawmakers Propose New Bankruptcy Process for Small Businesses
Dollar Extends Decline After Powell Comments
Slumping Semiconductor Stocks Don’t Bode Well for Broader Market
Stocks Slip as Fed Signals Less Certain Policy Path
Bank of Mexico Minutes Suggest Interest Rates Could Go Higher
J. Crew Scraps Cheaper Brand, Putting Deal With Amazon in Doubt
Crude Oil Recovers After Dipping Below $50
Judge, Watchdog Call for More Insight Into Relativity Bankruptcy Plan
SEC to Take Up Trump’s Request on Quarterly Reports
Fed Board Could Tweak a Key Interest Rate Before Next Meeting If Needed, Minutes Show
Copper Ticks Lower Following Wednesday Surge
China’s Ctrip to Use Discounts to Lure Travelers as Economy Slows
U.S. Consumers Step Up Spending to Start Fourth Quarter
ViaCyte Grabs $80 Million Series D for Diabetes Cell Therapy
Mester Says Community-Development Work Helps Fed Shape Decisions
Dollar Tree Sales Rise
Bayer to Cut 12,000 Jobs, Shed Coppertone and Dr. Scholl Brands
Firm Retention Summary: Welded Construction LP
Germany Opens Amazon Antitrust Probe, Adding to European Scrutiny
ESL, Cyrus Prepare Sears Takeover as Liquidators Circle
The Hamptons Home Market Cools
Abercrombie Shares Surge as Sales Reflect Turnaround Progress
U.S. Pending Home Sales Fell 2.6% in October
Brookfield Pulls Multibillion-Dollar U.K. Deal as Brexit Uncertainty Bites
Falling Crude Prices Test Big Oil’s New Financial Discipline
Stocks to Watch: Altria, Facebook, Guess
U.S. Core Inflation Ticked Down in October
Jobless Claims Increased Last Week
Goldman Sachs Promotes Asia Bankers
TD Bank Reports Higher Profit, Boosted by U.S. Retail Business
OK, Computer: How Much Is My House Worth?
ECB Warns of Risks to Finance Sector
Wall Street Banks Line Up to Lend to Bytedance, One of China’s Hottest Startups
CFOs Face a Tough Task: Freeing Cash Trapped on Their Balance Sheets
Amazon Makes Inroads Selling Medical Supplies to the Sick
Investors to Analyze Fed Minutes for Signs of Economic Risks
Distress Signal: Risky Chinese Bonds Leave Investors Underwater
Eurozone Business Confidence Steadied in November
Battered Indian Energy Giant Digs In With Scaled-Back Australian Mine
Banks Come Off Best in Ugly Year for Chinese Stocks
Get Paid Well But Don’t Let It Show? Nissan Probe Reveals Contours of Ghosn Case
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0061

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-12-03. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-23,263.18,264.82,263.07,263.25,242.1717,42807900.0,-0.0067,-3.1542,281.6692,260.7148,39.7025,-152.4037,48.5609,272.3903,280.716
2018-11-26,265.78,267.75,265.34,267.5,246.0815,79981400.0,0.0161,-3.078,281.5649,261.0361,43.3525,-90.0936,35.5807,272.1087,280.336
2018-11-27,266.34,268.4,265.66,268.4,246.9094,75502400.0,0.0034,-2.9115,281.2875,261.7675,44.0939,-73.822,32.8286,271.9087,279.9708
2018-11-28,269.6,274.58,268.33,274.58,252.5946,127629600.0,0.023,-2.2548,281.5509,262.1851,48.8491,13.779,10.1116,271.7147,279.717
2018-11-29,273.71,275.55,272.43,273.98,252.0426,82346400.0,-0.0022,-1.7625,281.7441,262.3269,48.4354,45.3415,7.04,271.499,279.4662
2018-11-30,273.81,276.28,273.45,275.65,253.5789,98204200.0,0.0061,-1.2235,281.966,262.319,49.663,68.7124,4.6907,271.474,279.2577

Australia’s RBA Stands Pat, Flags Concern on Tightening Credit
Data Breach at Q&A Site Quora Affects 100 Million
Pork Producers Are Hog Wild About the U.S.-China Trade Truce
Goldman Sachs to Buy $200 Million Stake in General Catalyst
Chernova’s Take: More Startups Passed Over by VC’s Go-Big-Or-Go-Home Stance
China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buses, Taxis and Trucks
RH Raises Forecast as Organizational Changes Improve Profits
Judge Voices Concerns About DOJ Approval of CVS-Aetna Deal
South Korea November Inflation Keeps Solid Pace
Fed Chairman Testimony Canceled Due to President Bush Ceremonies
SpaceX Launches 19th Rocket in a Year, a Company Record
Disney Raises the Bar Robert Iger Has to Clear to Win Bonus
Qatar to Leave OPEC as Cartel Pressured to Cut Production
Powell Says Fed Has Made Progress in Promoting a Strong Economy, but Not All Have Benefited
Dollar Weakens After U.S.-China Trade Truce
Stocks, Oil Rise as Trade Tensions Ease; Bonds Signal Worry
Brainard: Fed Close to Finalizing Deal on Treasury Market Data Collection
Former Appvion Directors, Advisers Sued Over Employee Stock Plan
Oil Prices Jump 4%
Regulators Look More Closely at CLO Boom
U.S. Factory-Sector Growth Accelerated in November
Long-Term Care Insurance Policies Weigh Down GE and Other Companies
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Minneapolis Fed’s Neel Kashkari
Canada’s Heavy Crude Prices Jump
Egalet Gets Approval to Put Reorganization Plan to Creditor Vote
Copper Rises on Trade Detente
Ernst & Young Chairman, CEO to Step Down
Judge Dismisses Market-Manipulation Case Against Prominent Trader
IKEA Takes On Manhattan With Showroom Coming This Spring
Firm Retention Summary: LBI Media Inc.
U.S. Watchdog Says McKinsey Misled Bankruptcy Court
GlaxoSmithKline to Acquire Tesaro for $4.16 Billion
iHeartMedia Says It Has Substantial Support for Restructuring Plan
Trump Pleased With Fed Chairman’s Speech on Rates, Says Mnuchin
Probe Into Glencore Copper Business Nears Settlement
Fed’s Quarles: Economy Shows Fed Is Doing A Good Job With Monetary Policy
Oil’s Swings Hit Junk Bonds, Prompting Fresh Concerns
Saudi Arabia’s Bankruptcy Court Gets a $6 Billion Test
Stocks to Watch: Tesaro, GM, Microsoft
The Courage of George H.W. Bush: Avoiding the Easy Path
Tencent Music Moves Forward With IPO After Delay
Shell to Link Carbon Emissions Targets to Executive Pay
Nexstar Confirms Deal to Buy Tribune Media
Options Investors Eye December Rally in Stocks
ECB Set to Buy Less Italian, Spanish Government Debt
Unilever to Buy Horlicks, One of India’s Biggest Brands, From GSK
Fed’s Kashkari Still Believes Rate Increases Are a Bad Idea
Stock Exchanges Are Beating Other Stocks
Smaller Films Finding Big Problems in China
Chinese Markets Enjoy a Rare Surge After Trump-Xi Meeting
Fusion of AI and Pathology Sparks New Crop of Medical Upstarts
Russia’s Putin Agrees With Saudis to Renew OPEC Pact
British Metals Magnate Bets on American Steel
How to Trade a Trade Truce: The Market Implications of the U.S.-China Thaw
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0324

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-12-06. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-26,265.78,267.75,265.34,267.5,246.0815,79981400.0,0.0161,-3.078,281.5649,261.0361,43.3525,-90.0936,35.5807,272.1087,280.336
2018-11-27,266.34,268.4,265.66,268.4,246.9094,75502400.0,0.0034,-2.9115,281.2875,261.7675,44.0939,-73.822,32.8286,271.9087,279.9708
2018-11-28,269.6,274.58,268.33,274.58,252.5946,127629600.0,0.023,-2.2548,281.5509,262.1851,48.8491,13.779,10.1116,271.7147,279.717
2018-11-29,273.71,275.55,272.43,273.98,252.0426,82346400.0,-0.0022,-1.7625,281.7441,262.3269,48.4354,45.3415,7.04,271.499,279.4662
2018-11-30,273.81,276.28,273.45,275.65,253.5789,98204200.0,0.0061,-1.2235,281.966,262.319,49.663,68.7124,4.6907,271.474,279.2577
2018-12-03,280.28,280.4,277.51,279.3,256.9366,103176300.0,0.0132,-0.4961,282.8423,262.1837,52.2343,138.6533,7.5509,271.5757,279.1193
2018-12-04,278.37,278.85,269.9,270.25,248.6112,177986000.0,-0.0324,-0.6425,282.7246,261.9874,46.1833,29.4195,12.6226,271.417,278.8218

Broadcom Raises Dividend, Share-Buyback Plan
Boeing Backs Out of Satellite Order Financed by China
Fed Weighs Wait-And-See Approach on Future Rate Rises
Fed’s Williams: Managing Soft Landing Is Fed’s Biggest Task Right Now
U.S.-China Trade Worries Drag Down Yuan
Startups Building on Ride-Hailing Industry
Oil Slides After OPEC Delays Decision on Level of Output Cuts
Gormley’s Take: Biotech Pairing of Venture Fund, Children’s Hospital Bears Fruit
Senior Care Centers Wins Approval to Use Cash
Raj Rajaratnam Settles Bankruptcy Lawsuit Over 2010 Galleon Payments
Stocks Stage Recovery After Dow Drops Over 700 Points
Government Faces Skeptical Judges in AT&T Appeal
Regulators Will Move to Rein In Proxy Advisers in 2019, SEC Chairman Says
Fed’s Bostic: Interest Rates ‘Within Shouting Distance’ of Neutral
Oil Drops Sharply as OPEC Struggles to Agree on Cuts
CBS Acting CEO Says Moonves Probe Nearly Done
Congress to Drug Makers: Why Stock Buybacks Over Lowered Drug Prices?
HSBC Monitor Flagged Suspicious Huawei Transactions to Prosecutors
U.S. Household Net Worth Rose by $2.07 Trillion in 3rd Quarter
Base Metals Follow Stocks, Oil Lower
What Explains the Trade Deficit Hitting a Decade-High?
Kroger’s Profit Squeezed by Investments to Transform Business
Mission Coal Receives $145 Million Purchase Offer From Lenders
Firm Retention Summary: Advanced Sports Enterprises Inc.
Coca-Cola CEO to Add Chairman’s Role
Deutsche Bank Defends Itself With Stock Near All-Time Low
U.S. Service-Sector Growth Accelerates in November
Kaplan Says Fed Has ‘Luxury of Patience’ on Further Rate Rises
Fiat Chrysler Appoints Auto Veteran to Lead North American Operations
USA Gymnastics Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Lampert’s Hedge Fund Makes Bid for Sears Stores and Assets
Activist Investor to Push Del Frisco’s to Sell Itself
U.S. Productivity Revised Upward to 2.3% in Third Quarter
Walgreens, FedEx Launch Next-Day Prescription Home Delivery
Brexit Stockpiling Frenzy Leaves Firms With Few Warehouses
Stocks to Watch: Goldman Sachs, Caterpillar, Boeing and UPS
Education Corporation of America Collapses
U.S. Private Sector Adds 179,000 Jobs in November
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell Last Week
MiMedx to Shed Jobs as Part of Overhaul
Activist Investors Are Spending More, Shifting Their Strategies
Singapore Bars Noble Group From Listing New Entity
For Walmart and Target, the Fed Holds Keys to Faster Payments
Derby’s Take: Bond-Market Signals Hard to Square With Fed’s Outlook
Fed Chief Powell Draws Congressional Support
RBA’s Debelle Says Rate Cut Remains an Option
Foreigners Dive Back Into Stocks and Bonds in Asia
U.S. Becomes Net Exporter of Oil, Fuels
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0232

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-12-10 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-11-30,273.81,276.28,273.45,275.65,253.5789,98204200.0,0.0061,-1.2235,281.966,262.319,49.663,68.7124,4.6907,271.474,279.2577
2018-12-03,280.28,280.4,277.51,279.3,256.9366,103176300.0,0.0132,-0.4961,282.8423,262.1837,52.2343,138.6533,7.5509,271.5757,279.1193
2018-12-04,278.37,278.85,269.9,270.25,248.6112,177986000.0,-0.0324,-0.6425,282.7246,261.9874,46.1833,29.4195,12.6226,271.417,278.8218
2018-12-06,265.92,269.97,262.44,269.84,248.234,204185400.0,-0.0015,-0.7825,282.4331,261.7509,45.934,-70.239,26.9758,271.2913,278.5017
2018-12-07,269.46,271.22,262.63,263.57,242.4661,161018900.0,-0.0232,-1.3835,281.3335,261.1065,42.3189,-96.3212,23.3466,271.233,278.0758

Huawei Finance Chief Won’t Be a Flight Risk, Her Lawyer Says
Huawei CFO Case Hinges on an Offshore Puzzle
Oil-Dri Corporation of America Appoints New CFO
Chernova’s Take: General Catalyst Deal Provokes Questions Over Incentives
Fast-Growing 10x Genomics Acquires Swedish Startup for Tissue-Level Gene Mapping Tools
Macquarie Reaches Deal to Buy Waypoint Helicopter-Leasing Business
Stocks Finish Higher, Erasing Earlier Losses
Anxious Businesses Make Plans for ‘No-Deal’ Brexit
Fear Gauge Warns That This Selloff Is Different
Investors Pile Into U.S. Dollar
Manager of Silicon Valley’s Wealth Turns to BlackRock for Investment Chief
Oil’s Sharp Swings Are a Symptom of a Changing Market
InterTouch Holdings Files for Bankruptcy
Banner Days No Longer Come Easy for Stocks
U.S. Judge Approves Protections for Brazil’s Constellation Group
Oil Slumps Following OPEC Production Cut Deal
Tivity Health to Buy Nutrisystem for $1.4 Billion
Under Armour Ousts Two Executives After Review of Expenses
Sears Proposed Bonuses Draw Fire From Bankruptcy Watchdog
Layoffs Become the Latest Thing in Cryptocurrency
Copper Falls on Lingering Trade Fears
Brexit Jitters Hit Markets as U.K. Prepares for ‘No Deal’
Climate Change Emerging From the Political Shadows
Bunge CEO To Step Down
Rice Brothers Frustrated With EQT’s Operations
USA Gymnastics Bankruptcy Could Help Victims
Firm Retention Summary: Fairway Energy LP
First Round of Checks to Woodbridge Investors Will Be Delayed
Verizon to Shed More Than 10,000 Workers in Voluntary Separations
Real-Estate Broker Eastdil Hires Allianz Executive for N.Y. Sales
Nissan, Ghosn Charged With Underreporting His Compensation
Businesses Less Optimistic About Coming Year Than 12 Months Ago
Travelport Agrees to Go Private in $2 Billion Deal with Siris, Evergreen
Court TV Plots a Revival After a Decade Off the Air
Cheaper Oil Ripples Through the Global Economy
Roche Taps Genentech Chief to Lead Pharmaceuticals Division
Rising Rates Revitalize Convertible-Bond Sales
Banks and Electronics Giants Lead Selloff in Asia
Turkish Economic Growth Stutters as Inflation Hits Confidence
Roof’s Take: Sexual Misconduct on Radar for M&A Lawyers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0002

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-12-11 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-03,280.28,280.4,277.51,279.3,256.9366,103176300.0,0.0132,-0.4961,282.8423,262.1837,52.2343,138.6533,7.5509,271.5757,279.1193
2018-12-04,278.37,278.85,269.9,270.25,248.6112,177986000.0,-0.0324,-0.6425,282.7246,261.9874,46.1833,29.4195,12.6226,271.417,278.8218
2018-12-06,265.92,269.97,262.44,269.84,248.234,204185400.0,-0.0015,-0.7825,282.4331,261.7509,45.934,-70.239,26.9758,271.2913,278.5017
2018-12-07,269.46,271.22,262.63,263.57,242.4661,161018900.0,-0.0232,-1.3835,281.3335,261.1065,42.3189,-96.3212,23.3466,271.233,278.0758
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298

Fertility Concierge Future Family Secures $100 Million Credit Line to Finance Customers
Geron’s Take: New York’s Minimum Wage for Ride Hailing Could Be Just the Beginning
Glynn’s Take: No RBA Rate Cut in the Offing
Huawei’s Meng Wanzhou Granted Bail by Canadian Judge
Hain Celestial Settles SEC Charges
McDonald’s to Trim Antibiotics From Its Beef
U.S. Dollar Rises Amid Market Turmoil
Construction Tech Specialist Procore Seeks $2.8 Billion Valuation
Applebee’s Franchisee Gets Court Approval of Bankruptcy Plan
Oil Rebounds on Libyan Supply Outage
MiMedx Called on Two Lawmakers for Help Before Its Accounting Scandal
Dow, S&P Close Lower After Volatile Session
Westmoreland Restructuring May Leave Unsecured Creditors With No Recovery
Clear Channel Settlement Delays iHeartMedia’s Bankruptcy Exit
Unpublished Report Revealed High Campus Banking Fees
Aro Biotherapeutics Gathers $13 Million for New Protein Medications
Santa Clara County to Pay $235 Million for Two Verity Health Hospitals
WPP Sets Turnaround Plan in Motion
Firm Retention Summary: Oklahoma ProCure Management LLC
Labor Market Flexibility During Financial Crises
Sears Proposed Bonuses Draw Fire From Bankruptcy Watchdog
Producer Prices Edge Up in November
Venture-Backed Project Would Cut Out Middlemen in Freelance Work
New Accounting Rules Drove Up U.S. Audit Fees in 2017
Market Volatility Leads to Fresh Focus on Machinery Beneath Trading
Rupee Tumbles After India’s Central Bank Chief Quits
Australian Markets Catch a Cold as China Sneezes
The Five Deals That Defined the Year
Loan Investors Head for the Exits
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0050

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-12-12. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-03,280.28,280.4,277.51,279.3,256.9366,103176300.0,0.0132,-0.4961,282.8423,262.1837,52.2343,138.6533,7.5509,271.5757,279.1193
2018-12-04,278.37,278.85,269.9,270.25,248.6112,177986000.0,-0.0324,-0.6425,282.7246,261.9874,46.1833,29.4195,12.6226,271.417,278.8218
2018-12-06,265.92,269.97,262.44,269.84,248.234,204185400.0,-0.0015,-0.7825,282.4331,261.7509,45.934,-70.239,26.9758,271.2913,278.5017
2018-12-07,269.46,271.22,262.63,263.57,242.4661,161018900.0,-0.0232,-1.3835,281.3335,261.1065,42.3189,-96.3212,23.3466,271.233,278.0758
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298
2018-12-11,267.66,267.87,262.48,264.13,242.9813,121504400.0,0.0002,-2.0988,279.0434,260.3906,42.7368,-100.4383,22.3023,270.9927,277.184

Mack’s Take: Have VCs Missed the Boat on Cannabis?
Battered in 2018, Crypto Market Looks to New Beginnings in 2019
Dollar Falls After Release of Inflation Data
Tailored Brands Trims Outlook
Boy Scouts Weighs Bankruptcy Amid Sex-Abuse Lawsuits
Harry and Meghan’s Move Puts Suburban Windsor in Spotlight
Trade-Talk Progress Lifts U.S. Stocks
New York’s Russian Samovar Restaurant Files for Bankruptcy
Parker Drilling Files for Bankruptcy With Bondholder Deal in Place
U.S. Soybean Farmers Work to Loosen China’s Grip
Cryptocurrency Startup Settles Fraud Accusations
P&G Buys Walker to Expand Offerings to African-Americans
What Do Some Investors Fear More Than Brexit? Jeremy Corbyn
SeLux Diagnostics Picks Up $25 Million for Infectious-Disease Testing
Brazil’s Central Bank Leaves Rates Unchanged, With Inflation Under Control
Oil Falls as OPEC Doubts Rise
Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar
CBS News Settles Harassment Suit From Three Colleagues of Charlie Rose
U.K. Electricity-Network Operator National Grid Names CFO
GM CEO Is Under Fire From Trump, Lawmakers Over Restructuring
U.S. Consumer Prices Flat in November, Posing Dilemma for Fed
Lowe’s Adds $10 Billion to Stock Buyback Program
Bausch Health Agrees to Buy Synergy Pharmaceuticals for $200 Million
Banks Get Kinder, Gentler Treatment Under Trump
Venezuela Creditor Hires Bankers to Auction Off Citgo
Firm Retention Summary: PetroQuest Energy Inc.
Corporate Brexit Plans Take Shape
Where a Single-Family House and 100+ Luxury Apartments Cost the Same
Bankers Hired for Citgo Auction After Scrapped Deal With Venezuela
Plastic Water Bottles, Which Enabled a Drinks Boom, Now Threaten a Crisis
Kuwait, Saudis Close to Oil-Field Pact After U.S. Intervention
Elliott Takes Big Stake in Pernod, Maker of Absolut, Chivas Regal
As Brexit Nears, European Firms Look to Change Legal Structure
Catalina Marketing Files for Bankruptcy With Plan to Slash Debt
Walmart, Express Scripts Extend Prescription-Services Agreement
OPEC Oil Production Dips Despite Surge in Saudi Arabia’s Output
Brexit or Not, Britain’s Oil and Gas Business Is Booming
Credit Suisse to Buy Back up to $3 Billion in Shares
Many U.S. Financial Officers Think a Recession Will Hit Next Year
Derby’s Take: Some Unusually Rough Words From a Former Central Banker
Small-Cap Stocks on Edge of a Bear Market
Iceland Central Bank Keeps Key Rate at 4.5%
The Great Cheapening: Global Stock Valuations Now at Five-Year Lows
Verizon Takes $4.5 Billion Charge Related to Digital Media Business
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0003

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-12-13. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-03,280.28,280.4,277.51,279.3,256.9366,103176300.0,0.0132,-0.4961,282.8423,262.1837,52.2343,138.6533,7.5509,271.5757,279.1193
2018-12-04,278.37,278.85,269.9,270.25,248.6112,177986000.0,-0.0324,-0.6425,282.7246,261.9874,46.1833,29.4195,12.6226,271.417,278.8218
2018-12-06,265.92,269.97,262.44,269.84,248.234,204185400.0,-0.0015,-0.7825,282.4331,261.7509,45.934,-70.239,26.9758,271.2913,278.5017
2018-12-07,269.46,271.22,262.63,263.57,242.4661,161018900.0,-0.0232,-1.3835,281.3335,261.1065,42.3189,-96.3212,23.3466,271.233,278.0758
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298
2018-12-11,267.66,267.87,262.48,264.13,242.9813,121504400.0,0.0002,-2.0988,279.0434,260.3906,42.7368,-100.4383,22.3023,270.9927,277.184
2018-12-12,267.47,269.0,265.37,265.46,244.2048,97976700.0,0.005,-2.2038,278.7716,259.9514,43.7685,-73.5723,19.0866,271.046,276.786

California Girds for Higher Power Prices After Fires
Adobe Raises Revenue Forecast
Craig Donohue to Step Down as Options Clearing Chief
New Treasury Rules Extend Tax Relief to Foreign Banks
Sales Rise at Costco, but Fall Short of Expectations
Sears Goes Under and Sales Go Up
Virgin Galactic Rockets Out of Atmosphere for First Time
Gold Slips, Weighed Down by Stronger Dollar
Gormley’s Take: Second Act for ‘Population Genomics’
Foreign Toys ‘R’ Us Businesses Win Approval of Chapter 11 Plan
Dollar Rises as ECB Cuts Growth Forecasts
Growth Fears Pinch Commodities Prices
Blue Chips Edge Higher in Choppy Session for U.S. Stocks
Battle Over Shareholder Suits Pulls In J&J
U.S. Budget Deficit Widened to $305 Billion in First Two Months of Fiscal 2019
Caterpillar Puts CEO Back in Charge of Board
GE Shares Rebound After JPMorgan Upgrade
Oil Rises After U.S. Inventories Decline
‘Stablecoin’ Project Basis Is Shutting Down After Raising $135 Million
Volkswagen CFO: Cautious About Trade, Optimistic About China
Westmoreland Coal CFO Resigns
Saudi Arabia Pumps Up Stock Market After Bad News
Whole Foods, Instacart Go Separate Ways
Renault Sticks With Carlos Ghosn as Internal Probe Finds No Illegality
Deutsche Bank Faces Fresh Calls for Scrutiny in Congress
U.S. Companies Asked to Disclose More About Their Workers
ECB Cuts Growth Forecasts as It Ends Bond-Buying Program
Boy Scouts of America Considering Bankruptcy Protection
L Brands Sells La Senza Lingerie to Private-Equity Firm
BlackRock, Microsoft to Build Retirement-Planning Platform
Big Four Accounting Firms’ Revenue Rises 10.4%, Strongest Growth In Years
Economists See U.S.-China Trade War as Biggest Threat in 2019
Economists Scale Back Their Projections for Fed Rate Increases
SoftBank-backed Zymergen Adds $400 Million
What Does $3 Trillion Buy in Europe? Higher Inflation, Uneven Growth
U.S. Jobless Claims Post Largest Weekly Drop Since 2015
GE to Sell Part of Digital Business
Arts Marketplace Minted Closes $208 Million Round
Turkish Central Bank Keeps Money Tap Tight Despite Economic Slowdown
Shares in Troubled Asset Manager GAM Plunge
Indian Stocks Surge as Investors Bet Central-Bank Independence Is Overrated
Norway Central Bank Signals Rate Rise in March 2019
OPEC Boosts Output Before Deal Kicks In, IEA Says
Swiss National Bank Leaves Rates Unchanged
Philippine Central Bank Keeps Overnight Rates Unchanged
Justice Department Closes Criminal Investigation of SeaWorld
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0185

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-12-17 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-07,269.46,271.22,262.63,263.57,242.4661,161018900.0,-0.0232,-1.3835,281.3335,261.1065,42.3189,-96.3212,23.3466,271.233,278.0758
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298
2018-12-11,267.66,267.87,262.48,264.13,242.9813,121504400.0,0.0002,-2.0988,279.0434,260.3906,42.7368,-100.4383,22.3023,270.9927,277.184
2018-12-12,267.47,269.0,265.37,265.46,244.2048,97976700.0,0.005,-2.2038,278.7716,259.9514,43.7685,-73.5723,19.0866,271.046,276.786
2018-12-13,266.52,267.49,264.12,265.37,244.122,96662700.0,-0.0003,-2.2682,278.5086,259.5454,43.7134,-88.5399,21.5264,270.966,276.3603
2018-12-14,262.96,264.03,259.85,260.47,239.6143,116961100.0,-0.0185,-2.6836,278.74,258.341,40.8176,-140.9394,29.3098,270.6273,275.8478

China’s U.S. Bonds Shrink for Fifth Straight Month
T-Mobile Takeover of Sprint Clears U.S. Security Panel
Goldman Sachs Ignored 1MDB Warning Signs
UBS Fined $15 Million Over Anti-Money-Laundering Systems
Whirlpool CEO Named Board Chairman
Chernova’s Take: Cleantech 2.0 Is Winning Over Venture Investors
Kroger’s Longtime Finance Chief to Depart Next Year
Dollar Declines as Fed Meeting Looms
Gold Becomes Fourth-Quarter Standout
J&J Slammed by Concern Over Baby Powder Safety
Mission Coal Creditors Object to Lead Bid, Proposed Bid Procedures
Court to Appoint Guardian for Sumner Redstone
U.S. Treasurys Gain as Fed Direction Remains Uncertain
Oversupply Fears Drag U.S. Crude Under $50
Offers for Lucky Dragon Property Due Next Month
Canada Says Glencore Unit Hid Congo Risks From Investors
Germany’s BASF Plans More Price Increases to Offset Higher Raw Material Costs
Trump: ‘Incredible’ That Fed Is Considering Another Rate Increase
Carlyle Nears Deal to Buy StandardAero for About $5 Billion, Including Debt
Investors See Opportunity in Beaten Down Bonds
Fed Faces Communication Challenge on Rates
Moonbug Raises $145 Million In Funding For Kids’ Programs
Neiman Marcus Asks Court to Dismiss Lawsuit by Marble Ridge
Jack in the Box Explores Selling Itself
Could an Amy Klobuchar Solve Democrats’ Dilemma?
Readers React to WSJ’s Article on GE’s Decline
Chinese Stocks Outrun Wall Street After Trade Truce
Hitachi to Take On GE With $6.4 Billion Power Deal
Derby’s Take: One Research Firm Is Ready to Talk About Fed Rate Cuts
America Can’t Move Its Cheese
U.S. Stocks Need a Santa Rally
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0011

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-12-18 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298
2018-12-11,267.66,267.87,262.48,264.13,242.9813,121504400.0,0.0002,-2.0988,279.0434,260.3906,42.7368,-100.4383,22.3023,270.9927,277.184
2018-12-12,267.47,269.0,265.37,265.46,244.2048,97976700.0,0.005,-2.2038,278.7716,259.9514,43.7685,-73.5723,19.0866,271.046,276.786
2018-12-13,266.52,267.49,264.12,265.37,244.122,96662700.0,-0.0003,-2.2682,278.5086,259.5454,43.7134,-88.5399,21.5264,270.966,276.3603
2018-12-14,262.96,264.03,259.85,260.47,239.6143,116961100.0,-0.0185,-2.6836,278.74,258.341,40.8176,-140.9394,29.3098,270.6273,275.8478
2018-12-17,259.4,260.65,253.53,255.36,234.9135,165492300.0,-0.0196,-3.3862,279.1942,256.1208,38.095,-188.965,38.8984,270.0223,275.2108

Roof’s Take: Have VCs Gone Overboard With the ‘Partner’ Title?
Micron Cuts Plans for Spending, Chip Production
Companies Must Disclose Executive Hedging Strategies
FedEx Starts Buyout Program as Express Struggles
CBS Shifts to Hunt for Next CEO
Westmoreland Coal Authorized to Poll Creditors on Bankruptcy Exit Plan
Sears Pushes for More Offers as ESL Bid Takes Heat
Conagra Finds New Buyer for Wesson
Barclays Fined $15 Million Over Anti-Whistleblower Push
U.S. Dollar Weakens as Fed Meeting Begins
U.S. Oil Prices Down Almost 40% From High
Rice Brothers Seek CEO Post, Board Shakeup at EQT
Payout Approved for Women Injured by Dow Corning Breast Implants
CVS Urges Judge Not to Halt Integration of Aetna
U.S. Stocks Close Higher as Oil Prices Slide
Darden Says Diners Are Trading Up Amid Strong Labor Market
As Fed Begins Meeting, Trump Again Calls for No Rate Increase
Charter Reaches Settlement With New York Over Internet Service Quality
Some Academics Warn Fed on Risks of Current Rate-Control Tools
Precision-Medicine Startup Erasca Raises $42 Million Series A
Copper Slips Further on Concerns About Demand
Rent-A-Center Ends Deal to Be Acquired by Vintage Capital
Firm Retention Summary: Fairway Energy LP
Regulator Fines Glencore Copper Unit $21.3 Million
Banks Get a Break on Soured-Loan Accounting
Foodborne Illness Outbreaks in Spotlight as Technology Improves
IHeart Settlement Wins Bankruptcy Court Approval
Regulators Propose Overhaul of U.K. Audit Industry
U.S. Housing Starts Grew in November
Investors Push Venezuela for Payment on $1.5 Billion Defaulted Bond
‘It’s Been a Rout’: Apple’s iPhones Fall Flat in World’s Largest Untapped Market
The Worst Redemptions on Record Add to Global Markets’ Pain
Smaller Fed Moves Have Bigger Market Impacts
American Tire Gets Support for Bankruptcy-Reorganization Plan
Want a Better Credit Score? Your Cellphone Could Help
Timiraos’s Take: Trump’s Outburst Gives Powell a Gimme to Show Independence
Glynn’s Take: RBA Hawks Still Flying
Stocks Fall Sharply as Investors Fret Over Growth Outlook
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0150

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-12-19. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298
2018-12-11,267.66,267.87,262.48,264.13,242.9813,121504400.0,0.0002,-2.0988,279.0434,260.3906,42.7368,-100.4383,22.3023,270.9927,277.184
2018-12-12,267.47,269.0,265.37,265.46,244.2048,97976700.0,0.005,-2.2038,278.7716,259.9514,43.7685,-73.5723,19.0866,271.046,276.786
2018-12-13,266.52,267.49,264.12,265.37,244.122,96662700.0,-0.0003,-2.2682,278.5086,259.5454,43.7134,-88.5399,21.5264,270.966,276.3603
2018-12-14,262.96,264.03,259.85,260.47,239.6143,116961100.0,-0.0185,-2.6836,278.74,258.341,40.8176,-140.9394,29.3098,270.6273,275.8478
2018-12-17,259.4,260.65,253.53,255.36,234.9135,165492300.0,-0.0196,-3.3862,279.1942,256.1208,38.095,-188.965,38.8984,270.0223,275.2108
2018-12-18,257.2,257.95,253.28,255.08,234.6559,134515100.0,-0.0011,-3.9204,279.1739,254.2761,37.9515,-179.1397,39.2468,269.462,274.5957

Bank of Japan Leaves Policy Unchanged
Pfizer, Glaxo Strike Deal to Put Focus on Prescription Drugs
Pier 1 Cuts Spending, Appoints New CEO as Retailer Posts 9-Month Loss
Gymboree Shops for Bankruptcy Financing as It Prepares Filing
Powell’s Bet: The Data Is Right, the Market Is Wrong
Fed Raises Rates, but Signals Slightly Milder Path of Future Increases
Stock Exchanges to Test Trading Minus Rebates Seen as Posing Conflict
SoftBank Fuels Driver-Analytics App With $500 Million Round
Mack’s Take: Do Consumer-Health Startups Have Staying Power?
Judge Raises Stakes in McKinsey, Alix Disclosure Dispute
Prolonged Economic Expansion Poses Market Risks, Panel Says
Former ‘Project Runway’ Producer Strikes Deal With Weinstein Co.
Analysis: Powell Absolves Balance Sheet of Blame for Market Woes
Coffee Farmers Move On as Growing Beans Gets Too Costly
ABInBev to Partner With Canadian Pot Company
Marlboro Maker Nears Deal That Values Juul at $38 Billion
Transcript: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s Postmeeting Press Conference
Stocks Slide After Fed Lifts Rates
Dollar Reverses Losses Following Fed’s Policy Statement
Air Canada Promotes CFO as Part of Management Shuffle
Biotech Startup Annexon Rounds Up $75 Million Series C
Oil Prices Rise on U.S. Inventory Decline, Saudi Pledge
Current-Account Deficit Widened in Third Quarter
Buyer Cleared to Take Over Bankrupt Legal Coverage Group’s Accounts
Berkshire Hathaway Reduces Home Capital Investment
Home Sales Post Steepest Decline in Over Seven Years
Judge Approves American Tire Chapter 11 Plan
Square Revives Request to Start a Bank
General Mills Gets Boost From Charging More for Its Food
Edward Lampert Won’t Serve as Stalking Horse for Sears
Suspension of Latvian Central Bank Governor Violates European Law, EU Legal Adviser Says
Fight Brews in Houston’s Port Over Energy Exports
Ahead of Fed’s Move, Borrowing Costs Rise Unevenly
Boeing Faces Escalating Feud With Lion Air Over Plane Crash
ECB Economists See Little Scope for Rate Increases
Fed Set to Raise Rates, Signal Future Pace of Increases
Sears Bankruptcy Battle Tests Credit Default Swaps Market
Derby’s Take: Economist Warns Fed  Already May Have Stepped Over the Neutral Rate
With a Pinch of Innovation, Food Makers Raise Prices
Australian Banks Head for Worst Year Since Financial Crisis
MetLife Reaches Pension Settlement With Massachusetts
Thai Central Bank Raises Key Policy Rate
Blythe Masters, a Former Wall Street Star, Resigns From Blockchain Startup
Bank Indonesia Is Expected to Keep Rates Unchanged Friday
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0163

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-12-20. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-10,263.37,265.16,258.62,264.07,242.9261,151445900.0,0.0019,-1.7987,279.994,260.803,42.691,-139.4842,30.1891,271.0327,277.6298
2018-12-11,267.66,267.87,262.48,264.13,242.9813,121504400.0,0.0002,-2.0988,279.0434,260.3906,42.7368,-100.4383,22.3023,270.9927,277.184
2018-12-12,267.47,269.0,265.37,265.46,244.2048,97976700.0,0.005,-2.2038,278.7716,259.9514,43.7685,-73.5723,19.0866,271.046,276.786
2018-12-13,266.52,267.49,264.12,265.37,244.122,96662700.0,-0.0003,-2.2682,278.5086,259.5454,43.7134,-88.5399,21.5264,270.966,276.3603
2018-12-14,262.96,264.03,259.85,260.47,239.6143,116961100.0,-0.0185,-2.6836,278.74,258.341,40.8176,-140.9394,29.3098,270.6273,275.8478
2018-12-17,259.4,260.65,253.53,255.36,234.9135,165492300.0,-0.0196,-3.3862,279.1942,256.1208,38.095,-188.965,38.8984,270.0223,275.2108
2018-12-18,257.2,257.95,253.28,255.08,234.6559,134515100.0,-0.0011,-3.9204,279.1739,254.2761,37.9515,-179.1397,39.2468,269.462,274.5957
2018-12-19,255.17,259.4,249.35,251.26,231.1418,214992800.0,-0.015,-4.599,280.003,251.663,36.0359,-182.6306,44.5598,268.7243,273.933

Sears’s $82.5 Million Note Sale to Cyrus Is Thrown Into Doubt
Merrill Sanctioned for Selling IPO Shares to Family Members, Customers
Campbell Names Clouse New CEO
Major U.K. Airport Still Shut After Drones Are Used to Disrupt Travel
Conagra Feels Freezer Burn After Pinnacle Deal
Stocks Fall Sharply as Nasdaq Closes Near Bear Market
Dollar Falls as Traders Interpret Fed Guidance
McKinsey Advised GenOn Energy About Bankruptcy Case While Having Interest in Outcome
Nike Strides to Strong Sales Growth
Investors, Fed Officials Are Out of Sync
Regulators Warn of ‘Living Will’ Shortcomings at Four Banks
Neil Young Launches Subscription Streaming Service
Gormley’s Take: Biotech VCs Push Upstream in Search of Bigger Paydays
Energy Future Cleared to Send Out a Wave of Checks
Boosted’s Battery-Powered Skateboard Recharges With $60 Million
Oil Drops to 17-Month Low
FirstEnergy Solutions Wins Approval to Auction Ohio Power Plant
Bank of Mexico Raises Interest Rates
USDA Gives Food Makers Until 2022 to Label Products With GMOs
Saudis to Cut More Oil Than Planned as OPEC Drums Up Pact
Gold Climbs as Equities, U.S. Dollar Weaken
Gatwick Mayhem Shows Limits of Drone-Monitoring Efforts
Big Pharma Wins Drug Approval in China Ahead of West for First Time
Treasury Secretary Says Market Has Overreacted to Fed
Juul Looks to Marlboro Maker for More Sway in Washington
Walgreens to Shed $1 Billion in Annual Costs
SoftBank Leads $400 Million Funding of Relay Therapeutics
Luxury Homeowners Discover the Delight of Sicily Living
Gymboree Shops for Bankruptcy Financing as It Prepares Filing
Some Global Banks Break Ties With Huawei Technologies
Major Banks Suspected of Collusion in Bond-Rigging Probe
U.S. to Allow Swap Trades at German Clearinghouse
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Brexit Brings Out the Contrarian Bulls
A Forgettable Year for Energy Stocks Takes Another Pinch
Four Seasons CEO Is Leaving, as Search for Successor Continues
BOE Sees Intensifying Market Unease Over Brexit
Oil Demand Flashes Red, Sending Crude Prices Even Lower
Sweden’s Riksbank Raises Rates
First Futures Contract to Pay Out in Bitcoin Poised for Green Light
Goodwill Impairments Climb Despite Strong Economy
Derby’s Take: Fed Rate Rise Gets Blasted by Those Worried About Wages
Why Israel Is Becoming Scooter Paradise
Taiwan’s Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged
Why the Yen Hasn’t Been a Safe Bet
Bank Indonesia Stands Pat After November’s Surprise Rate Increase
Warburg-Backed Glansaol Files for Chapter 11, Plans Sale
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0262

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-12-26 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-17,259.4,260.65,253.53,255.36,234.9135,165492300.0,-0.0196,-3.3862,279.1942,256.1208,38.095,-188.965,38.8984,270.0223,275.2108
2018-12-18,257.2,257.95,253.28,255.08,234.6559,134515100.0,-0.0011,-3.9204,279.1739,254.2761,37.9515,-179.1397,39.2468,269.462,274.5957
2018-12-19,255.17,259.4,249.35,251.26,231.1418,214992800.0,-0.015,-4.599,280.003,251.663,36.0359,-182.6306,44.5598,268.7243,273.933
2018-12-20,249.86,251.62,244.65,247.17,227.3792,252053400.0,-0.0163,-5.4045,281.4316,248.5394,34.1279,-219.4453,50.1347,267.7927,273.2067
2018-12-21,246.74,249.71,239.98,240.7,222.7204,255345600.0,-0.0262,-6.4901,283.4777,244.0613,31.4067,-239.5905,54.9466,266.449,272.387
2018-12-24,239.04,240.84,234.27,234.34,216.8354,147311600.0,-0.0264,-7.774,286.0283,238.6197,29.0511,-266.5181,59.9926,264.9103,271.4478

Dow Industrials Leap More Than 1,000 Points
Investors Fret Over Khashoggi Killing but Maintain Saudi Ties
Commerce Department Won’t Publish Data During Shutdown
JPMorgan to Settle SEC Claims About Handling of ADRs
Oil Rises by Most in Two Years as Wall Street Rebounds
AMC Movie-Subscription Service Surpasses 600,000 Members
Dollar Rises on Upbeat Economic News
Utility Stocks Miss Out on Stock Rally
Gold Pares Gains as Dollar Strengthens
Verizon Warns Fios Customers About Possible Blackout of ESPN, Disney Channels
Home-Price Growth Kept Pace in October
Oklahoma ProCure Nears Sale to Lead Bidder
Firm Retention Summary: Russian Samovar Inc.
Richmond Fed’s Manufacturing Index Weakened in December
Blue Apron Links With Dieters in Comeback Effort
ETFs, Mutual Funds See Sudden Drop in Money Flowing In
Miners Say They Dig AI but the Gold Rush Hasn’t Come
Crypto Craze Drew Them In; Fraud, in Many Cases, Emptied Their Pockets
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0077

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-12-27. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-17,259.4,260.65,253.53,255.36,234.9135,165492300.0,-0.0196,-3.3862,279.1942,256.1208,38.095,-188.965,38.8984,270.0223,275.2108
2018-12-18,257.2,257.95,253.28,255.08,234.6559,134515100.0,-0.0011,-3.9204,279.1739,254.2761,37.9515,-179.1397,39.2468,269.462,274.5957
2018-12-19,255.17,259.4,249.35,251.26,231.1418,214992800.0,-0.015,-4.599,280.003,251.663,36.0359,-182.6306,44.5598,268.7243,273.933
2018-12-20,249.86,251.62,244.65,247.17,227.3792,252053400.0,-0.0163,-5.4045,281.4316,248.5394,34.1279,-219.4453,50.1347,267.7927,273.2067
2018-12-21,246.74,249.71,239.98,240.7,222.7204,255345600.0,-0.0262,-6.4901,283.4777,244.0613,31.4067,-239.5905,54.9466,266.449,272.387
2018-12-24,239.04,240.84,234.27,234.34,216.8354,147311600.0,-0.0264,-7.774,286.0283,238.6197,29.0511,-266.5181,59.9926,264.9103,271.4478
2018-12-26,235.97,246.18,233.76,246.18,227.791,218485400.0,0.0505,-7.7469,285.882,236.634,38.0057,-186.4269,43.8826,263.8577,270.7055

Chinese Property Stocks Get a Shot of Adrenaline
Former AmEx Boss Chenault Leaving IBM, P&G Boards
Dow Industrials Storm Back in Record Rebound
Dollar Falls as Market Tumult Continues
Startup Equity Platform Carta Valued at $800 Million
Oil Declines in Volatile, Thin Trading
From Tardy to On Time: Spirit Airlines Tries to Shed Old Image
Gold Settles at Its Highest Level Since June 14
The Investment That Cost Apple $9 Billion in 2018
Evercore Says Proposed Fees in David’s Bridal Bankruptcy are Reasonable
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell Last Week
Markets Are Already Volatile. A Long Shutdown Could Make It Worse.
John Stockman’s Medical Bills Topped $1 Million. What Happened?
U.K. Investigates Leaks in Insider Trading Probe
PBOC Aims to Stabilize Market Expectations, Prevent Financial Risks
U.S. Consumer Confidence Fades in December
The Hidden System That Explains How Your Doctor Makes Referrals
A Perfectionist Architect’s Experimental Home
Stocks to Watch: Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Kohl’s
Amazon, Walmart Foiled as India Tightens E-Commerce Rules
McDonald’s Bets on Breakfast—Again
Vanadium Is Used to Strengthen Steel and China Can’t Get Enough of It
To Beat the Trade War, Companies Get Creative Breaking the Rules
European Banks Hope 2019 Won’t Be Another Year to Forget
In Booming Oil Field, Natural Gas Can Be Free
Shareholder Retreats From Chinese Companies Signal More Gloom
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0013

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-01-02 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-24,239.04,240.84,234.27,234.34,216.8354,147311600.0,-0.0264,-7.774,286.0283,238.6197,29.0511,-266.5181,59.9926,264.9103,271.4478
2018-12-26,235.97,246.18,233.76,246.18,227.791,218485400.0,0.0505,-7.7469,285.882,236.634,38.0057,-186.4269,43.8826,263.8577,270.7055
2018-12-27,242.57,248.29,238.96,248.07,229.5399,186267300.0,0.0077,-7.4866,285.2987,235.1842,39.2714,-141.7097,38.0129,263.041,269.9778
2018-12-28,249.58,251.4,246.45,247.75,229.2437,153100200.0,-0.0013,-7.2228,283.5953,234.2047,39.1314,-103.628,29.6776,262.2307,269.2477

Atlas Venture Rounds Up $250 Million for Later-Stage Biotech Fund
New Netflix CFO to Tackle Cash Flow Conundrum
Mack’s Take: Neuroscientist Enke Bashllari Turns to VC to Advance Medicine
Investors Are Betting That the Fed Hits Pause on Rate Hikes
Canadian Court Slams Uber’s Arbitration Process
Blake Nordstrom, a Scion of Retail Dynasty, Has Died
Qatar’s National Airline Buys Stake in Chinese Carrier
U.S. Dollar Advances as Stocks Fall
PG&E Is Sued Over 2013 California Wildfire
Sears Swap Holders Make Peace With $82.5 Million Cyrus Deal
U.S. Stocks Inch Higher in Wobbly Start to the Year
Lumber Prices Collapse After Record-Breaking Rally
Oil Prices Bounce Back From Early Decline
New Barrick Gold Chief Looks to End Tanzania Dispute
Circuit Judges Rule Against U.S. Coal Corp. Lenders Over Adviser Fees
Gold Gains as Investors Seek Safe Assets
Angel Medical Files for Bankruptcy
Lampert to Bid for Sears Real Estate If Rescue Attempt Fails
Trade War, Interest Rates Loom Large for Restructuring Pros in 2019
Firm Retention Summary: USA Gymnastics
Sears Chairman Lampert Makes Last-Minute Bid to Save Chain
Counterdrone Technologies Face Slow Ramp-Up at Airports Globally
Virtual-Cash Treasure in Zimbabwe Sparks Fight Over Billions
Fracking’s Secret Problem—Oil Wells Aren’t Producing as Much as Forecast
Insurers Push Back Against Paying More for Their Own Insurance
Tariff Exclusions for Certain Steel Imports Sow Confusion
The Battered Bull Market Is Limping Into 2019
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0239

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-03. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-24,239.04,240.84,234.27,234.34,216.8354,147311600.0,-0.0264,-7.774,286.0283,238.6197,29.0511,-266.5181,59.9926,264.9103,271.4478
2018-12-26,235.97,246.18,233.76,246.18,227.791,218485400.0,0.0505,-7.7469,285.882,236.634,38.0057,-186.4269,43.8826,263.8577,270.7055
2018-12-27,242.57,248.29,238.96,248.07,229.5399,186267300.0,0.0077,-7.4866,285.2987,235.1842,39.2714,-141.7097,38.0129,263.041,269.9778
2018-12-28,249.58,251.4,246.45,247.75,229.2437,153100200.0,-0.0013,-7.2228,283.5953,234.2047,39.1314,-103.628,29.6776,262.2307,269.2477
2019-01-02,245.98,251.21,245.95,250.18,231.4922,126925200.0,0.001,-6.301,279.0084,233.8386,40.7947,-82.5025,31.9722,260.7933,267.8967

Hudson’s Bay Chairman Buys Stake Held by Ontario Pension Fund
Intense Growth Fears Pummel Stocks After Apple Cuts Revenue Forecast
GameStop Struggles to Boost Sales
Delta Cuts Revenue Forecast, Sparking Airline Selloff
Hassett Warns Other Firms Could Join Apple in Seeing Weaker Sales
Stocks Fall After Apple Sales Warning
USAA to Pay $12 Million in Restitution to Customers, $3.5 Million Fine
U.S. Dollar Falls as Weak Data Fuels Risk Aversion
Inflation Was a Bad Bet Last Year
Daniel Loeb’s 11% Loss in 2018 Was Worst Since the 2008 Crisis
Oil Rises for Fourth Day Despite Declines on Wall Street
Apple’s Stock Drops on Revenue Warning
Wall Street’s Big Landlords Are So Hungry for Houses They’re Building Them
KKR to Invest $1 Billion in Commercial Aircraft
Petrobras’s New CEO Promises to Continue Cutting Costs
Shutdown Delays Payouts to Bankruptcy Creditors
U.S. Factory Activity Decelerates Sharply Amid Global Slowdown
Analysis: Bad News Barrage Dims Hopes Fed Can Deliver 2019 Rate Hikes
Parker Drilling Cleared to Tap Full $50 Million Bankruptcy Loan
Sticky Inflation Behind Mexico’s Rate Increase
Testing the Resilience of Europe’s Inclusive Growth Model
Firm Retention Summary: Waypoint Leasing Holdings Ltd.
Bank Accounts Designed for Low-Income Customers Find Broader Audience
The Twilight Trading Hour Strikes Currency Markets Again
Bristol-Myers Squibb to Buy Celgene, Combining Two Cancer-Drug Leaders
Trade War, Interest Rates Loom Large for Restructuring Pros in 2019
Copper Slide Continues on New China Fears
U.K. Calls in the Navy to Deter Illegal Migrants Crossing the Channel
U.S. Private Sector Adds 271,000 New Jobs in December
Fed’s Kaplan Says It’s Time to Hold Off on Interest-Rate Rises
Jobless Claims Increased Last Week
Derby’s Take: China’s Bite Out of Apple Is Worth the Fed’s Attention
Yen Surges After Apple Upsets the Currency Cart
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0335

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-01-07 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-12-28,249.58,251.4,246.45,247.75,229.2437,153100200.0,-0.0013,-7.2228,283.5953,234.2047,39.1314,-103.628,29.6776,262.2307,269.2477
2019-01-02,245.98,251.21,245.95,250.18,231.4922,126925200.0,0.001,-6.301,279.0084,233.8386,40.7947,-82.5025,31.9722,260.7933,267.8967
2019-01-03,248.23,248.57,243.67,244.21,225.9682,144140700.0,-0.0239,-6.3452,275.1225,234.2155,38.0697,-98.4573,35.3543,259.8093,267.1698
2019-01-04,247.59,253.11,247.17,252.39,233.5372,142628800.0,0.0335,-5.6549,272.8802,234.6718,43.4263,-57.079,22.4011,259.2523,266.5793

Ghosn: ‘I Have Been Wrongly Accused and Unfairly Detained’
New Netflix CFO to Earn Almost Twice as Much as Predecessor
Signs Point to Strong January for Stocks
Starbucks CEO Reins In Predecessor’s Ambitions: ‘I’m Not Howard’
Dry Conditions in Brazil Lift Sugar Prices Globally
Dollar Falls After Fed Chairman’s Comments
SF Fed Paper Warns Tariffs Could Raise Prices
Bankruptcy Cases Move Forward, With or Without Government Watchdog Oversight
PG&E Shares Slump as Bankruptcy Fears Grow
Wells Fargo Adds Manufacturing Executive to Board
Elliott Management Proposes Buying Oil-and-Gas Producer QEP
Fed’s Bostic Projects One Rate Increase in 2019
Cleveland Fed’s Mester Expects Higher Rates, But Sees No Urgency
Stocks Climb as U.S.-China Trade Talks Begin
Oil Rises for Sixth Straight Session as Saudis Cut More
Gold Rebounds on Dollar Weakness
Fed Official Advocates Modifying Inflation Target
Edward Lampert Scrambles to Keep Sears Alive
The Five Top Experts Posts of 2018 on Protecting Your Financial Future
Saudis to Cut Crude Exports in Bid to Boost Prices, Cover Rise in Spending
Activist Bramson Seeks Shareholder Vote to Shake Up Barclays Board
Wall Street Firms Plan Exchange to Challenge NYSE, Nasdaq
Hedge-Fund Pros Offer Their Investment Tips for 2019
U.S. Service-Sector Growth Slowed in December
U.S. Buyout Firm Takes Major Stake in U.K. Restaurant Operator
As U.S. Footprint Shrinks, Others Happily Fill the Void
AstraZeneca Appoints Controversial Cancer Doctor to Head Research Unit
Bank Indonesia: Benchmark Rate Already Near Its Peak
Activist Investor Starboard Seeks Changes at Dollar Tree
Netflix Opens Eyes in Hollywood as ‘Bird Box’ Soars
Stock-Exchange President Now at Bond Platform
Falling Mortgage Rates Raise Hopes for Battered Housing Market
How Estimates of the Gig Economy Went Wrong
Trouble in Paradise: Coconut Oil Prices Are Slipping and Sliding
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0094

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-01-08 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-02,245.98,251.21,245.95,250.18,231.4922,126925200.0,0.001,-6.301,279.0084,233.8386,40.7947,-82.5025,31.9722,260.7933,267.8967
2019-01-03,248.23,248.57,243.67,244.21,225.9682,144140700.0,-0.0239,-6.3452,275.1225,234.2155,38.0697,-98.4573,35.3543,259.8093,267.1698
2019-01-04,247.59,253.11,247.17,252.39,233.5372,142628800.0,0.0335,-5.6549,272.8802,234.6718,43.4263,-57.079,22.4011,259.2523,266.5793
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029

China’s Currency Proves a Surprise Oasis of Calm
Sears Gets Another Lifeline: Lampert’s $4.4 Billion Bid Still Alive
Sumner Redstone, Family Settle Legal Dispute With Former Companion
The U.S. Has Always Chosen World Bank Presidents—Will It This Time?
Stocks Advance for a Third Session
Dollar Climbs as Investors Reconsider Rate Outlook
PG&E Replaces Head of Electric System
Oil Extends Rebound as Oversupply Fears Ease
Small-Cap Stocks Take On New Shine
Boeing, Airbus Miss 2018 Jet Delivery Targets
China Approves DowDuPont’s Genetically Modified Soybeans
Carlos Ghosn’s Lawyer Launches Campaign to Clear His Client
Saudi Arabia Edges Toward Bet on Booming U.S. Energy Sector
U.S. Job Openings Fell in November
MetLife CEO Steven Kandarian to Retire in April
Germany Shows Symptoms of Deeper Economic Pain
Mattel Plans Live-Action Barbie Film
AmEx Suspends a Director in Foreign-Exchange Pricing Probe
Hulu Reports More Than 25 Million Subscribers in 2018
After 50 Long Days in Jail, Ghosn Is Sharp as He Prepares His Defense
Investors Poised for Subtle Signs of De-Escalation as Trade Talks Proceed
Volatility Signal Flashes Red, Even as Stocks Rebound
Small-Business Confidence in U.S. Economy Weakens
Chinese Bond Yields Hit Two-Year Low
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0047

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-09. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-02,245.98,251.21,245.95,250.18,231.4922,126925200.0,0.001,-6.301,279.0084,233.8386,40.7947,-82.5025,31.9722,260.7933,267.8967
2019-01-03,248.23,248.57,243.67,244.21,225.9682,144140700.0,-0.0239,-6.3452,275.1225,234.2155,38.0697,-98.4573,35.3543,259.8093,267.1698
2019-01-04,247.59,253.11,247.17,252.39,233.5372,142628800.0,0.0335,-5.6549,272.8802,234.6718,43.4263,-57.079,22.4011,259.2523,266.5793
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029
2019-01-08,256.82,257.31,254.0,256.77,237.5899,102512600.0,0.0094,-4.046,269.6099,235.7161,46.0592,-17.9416,11.6033,258.6527,265.6702

Stock Disconnect: Mainland Chinese Investors Buy Fewer Shares in Hong Kong
Manhattan’s Famed Chrysler Building Is Put Up for Sale
Stocks Finish Day With Gains After Fed Minutes
Judge Reopens Bankruptcy Case, Citing Allegations McKinsey Hid Investments
U.S. Dollar Falls After Dovish Fed Comments
Fed Is Unlikely to Raise Rates in Next Months
ABB Bets Simplified Structure Will Cut Costs, Boost Profit
Utilities Speed Up Closure of Coal-Fired Power Plants
Treasury Yields Hold Below 2018 Highs as Rate Doubts Mount
Beware the 5G Hype: Wireless Rivals Fuel Confusion
Most New Voting Members of Fed Back Rate Pause
For Some CEOs, Divorce Spilled Into Corporate Realm
Oil Surges 5% on Saudi Support, U.S.-China Talks
Health-Care CEOs Outline Strategies
Constellation Lowers Outlook After Earnings Miss
Saudi Arabia Sells More Than $7 Billion in Bonds
Former U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown to Advise Private-Equity Firm
Rosengren Says Fed Can Wait for Clarity Before Next Rate Move
Fed’s Evans: Fed Has Time to Take Stock Before Next Rate Hike
A Historic Tuscan Manor Changing Hands After Centuries
What GE Needs to Do to Avoid Junk Territory
Fed’s Bostic: It’s Time for Fed to Be Patient With Monetary Policy
Riches to Rags: Swiss Central Bank Swings from Record Profit to Large Loss
Computer Models to Investors: Short Everything
Business Lobby Gains Sway in Bid for U.S.-China Trade Peace
China-Led AIIB Stays Cautious as It Commits $500 Million for Infrastructure Bonds
As Unemployment Shrinks in Europe, Big Disparities Linger
Fed’s Bullard Warns More Rate Rises Could Lead to a Recession
Fed Meeting Minutes Will Show How Officials Judged Economic Risks
U.S. Government Shutdown Paralyzes IPOs, Imperiling Expectations for 2019
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0035

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-01-10 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-02,245.98,251.21,245.95,250.18,231.4922,126925200.0,0.001,-6.301,279.0084,233.8386,40.7947,-82.5025,31.9722,260.7933,267.8967
2019-01-03,248.23,248.57,243.67,244.21,225.9682,144140700.0,-0.0239,-6.3452,275.1225,234.2155,38.0697,-98.4573,35.3543,259.8093,267.1698
2019-01-04,247.59,253.11,247.17,252.39,233.5372,142628800.0,0.0335,-5.6549,272.8802,234.6718,43.4263,-57.079,22.4011,259.2523,266.5793
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029
2019-01-08,256.82,257.31,254.0,256.77,237.5899,102512600.0,0.0094,-4.046,269.6099,235.7161,46.0592,-17.9416,11.6033,258.6527,265.6702
2019-01-09,257.56,258.91,256.19,257.97,238.7003,95006600.0,0.0047,-3.2422,268.6473,236.0687,46.7721,-5.2851,7.5629,258.4767,265.4335

Dollar Notches Gains as Stocks Slip
Fed’s Clarida Says Monetary Policy Isn’t on a Preset Course
Strong Economy Can’t Save Retailers From Holiday Blues
Junk-Bond Sale Ends 40-Day Market Drought
Copper Edges Lower After More Weak China Data
Fed’s Powell Affirms Flexible Rate Outlook
New Target CFO Will Have to Sustain Retailer’s Turnaround Pace
U.S. Stocks Regain Ground Despite Concerns About Global Growth
BlackRock Cutting Roughly 500 Jobs
Mortgage Rates Hit Lowest Point in Nine Months
Oil Extends Gains in Longest Winning Streak Since 2010
A Bohemian Neighborhood in Peru Gets a Luxury Lift
Fed Sent Lower Remittances to U.S. Treasury in 2018
Trump Administration Nears Release of New Overtime Proposal
Lampert’s Revised Bid for Sears Tops $5 Billion
American Airlines’ Profit Warning Sends Carrier Shares Lower
One Way Shutdown is Hindering Business: Inaccessible IRS Numbers
Federal Employee Unemployment Claims Jump in Wake of Shutdown
Most Economists Expect Fed Will Hold Rates Steady at Least Until June
Economists See U.S. Recession Risk Rising
Barnes & Noble Could Cut Earnings Outlook by Up to 10%
How the U.S. Can Protect Corporate America’s Tech Secrets From China
Stocks to Watch: Macy’s, Barnes & Noble, L Brands, Target, WD-40, Ford
CFOs Should Provide More Insight Into Natural Disaster Risks, Analysis Says
Nike’s Dutch Tax Deals Under Scrutiny in Europe
Target Sales Surged at Year-End,  Capping Strong Holiday Season
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0004

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-01-14. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-04,247.59,253.11,247.17,252.39,233.5372,142628800.0,0.0335,-5.6549,272.8802,234.6718,43.4263,-57.079,22.4011,259.2523,266.5793
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029
2019-01-08,256.82,257.31,254.0,256.77,237.5899,102512600.0,0.0094,-4.046,269.6099,235.7161,46.0592,-17.9416,11.6033,258.6527,265.6702
2019-01-09,257.56,258.91,256.19,257.97,238.7003,95006600.0,0.0047,-3.2422,268.6473,236.0687,46.7721,-5.2851,7.5629,258.4767,265.4335
2019-01-10,256.26,259.16,255.5,258.88,239.5424,96823900.0,0.0035,-2.5029,267.7426,236.4484,47.3183,-2.1802,9.0803,258.1893,265.149
2019-01-11,257.68,259.01,257.03,258.98,239.6349,73858100.0,0.0004,-1.8872,266.4945,237.0485,47.3797,3.6746,9.0803,257.8753,264.892

Better Value Than U.S. Stocks: Asian Shares Hit Fire-Sale Valuations
NYC Developer Extell Names New CEO
FedEx to Pay $35 Million to Settle Cigarette-Shipment Lawsuits
PG&E Was a Hedge-Fund Darling. That Bet Flopped.
Newmont to Buy Goldcorp, Creating World’s Largest Gold Miner
NBCUniversal to Offer Streaming
Big Wage Gains Are Unlikely, San Francisco Fed Says
PG&E Bond Trading Suggests Some Investors Fear Losses
TSA Staffing Shortages Spread Amid Government Shutdown
Natural Gas Jumps By Most Since November on Cold Weather
Dollar Weakens Slightly on New China Worries
All Eyes on Corporate Guidance After Weak Economic Data
Stocks Slip on Signs of Slowing Growth
Conditions Ripe for Deals Among Financial Advisers, Report Says
Clarida Says Fed Can Be Patient With Rate Increases
Oil Price Dips on Weak Chinese Data
Weak Chinese Data Drags on Copper Prices
Ghosn Lost 15 Pounds in Two Weeks Due to Harsh Treatment, Wife Says
Chairman of Company Behind Krispy Kreme, Dr Pepper Resigns
Citigroup Swings to Profit Despite Trading Weakness
Taking a Gap Year? Fill Out the Financial-Aid Forms Anyway
Hemp Bets Grow After Crop Is Legalized
Democratic Narrative Misses the Reality of 2018
PG&E Prepares for Bankruptcy Amid Wildfire Fallout
Glencore Gave Loans to Businesses Linked to Suspect Congo Dealings
Lululemon Raises Fourth-Quarter Guidance for Profit, Revenue
OECD Sees Further Slowdown in Global Economy This Year
Apple Rattled Markets With China Warning. Who’s Next?
Jakarta, Manila Lead Recent Rebound in Emerging Asian Stocks
Blackstone to Start Growth-Investing Business
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0115

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-15. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029
2019-01-08,256.82,257.31,254.0,256.77,237.5899,102512600.0,0.0094,-4.046,269.6099,235.7161,46.0592,-17.9416,11.6033,258.6527,265.6702
2019-01-09,257.56,258.91,256.19,257.97,238.7003,95006600.0,0.0047,-3.2422,268.6473,236.0687,46.7721,-5.2851,7.5629,258.4767,265.4335
2019-01-10,256.26,259.16,255.5,258.88,239.5424,96823900.0,0.0035,-2.5029,267.7426,236.4484,47.3183,-2.1802,9.0803,258.1893,265.149
2019-01-11,257.68,259.01,257.03,258.98,239.6349,73858100.0,0.0004,-1.8872,266.4945,237.0485,47.3797,3.6746,9.0803,257.8753,264.892
2019-01-14,256.86,258.3,256.41,257.4,238.1729,70908200.0,-0.0061,-1.5093,264.9316,237.8144,46.4942,0.2219,10.5873,257.3027,264.5087

Delta Expects Shutdown to Hurt Revenue
How to Make Money Trading: Hack Into SEC, Peek at 157 Secret Earnings Reports
Meketa and Pension Consulting Alliance to Merge
Takeover Bid Interrupts Gannett’s Quest For Gizmodo
Big Banks Find Sweet Spot
Dollar Rises After Weak German Data, Brexit Deal Defeat
Gold Prices Lower as Dollar Strengthens
Activist Investor Jana to Close Two Underperforming Hedge Funds
Apollo Nears Deal to Buy Arconic for More Than $10 Billion
Fed’s Dovish Shift Buoys Markets in 2019’s First Weeks
Oil Rebounds on Chinese Stimulus
Tech Shares Lead U.S. Stocks Higher
More Than Half of IRS Employees to Work During Tax-Filing Season
UnitedHealth Sales Rise Across Segments
Fed’s Regional Banks Split Over Whether to Raise Discount Rate in December
Shares of Italian Banks Fall as ECB Urges Bad-Loans Protection
Kansas City Fed President Says Central Bank Can Pause Rate Increases
Puerto Rico Board Says Debt Is $6 Billion Over Limit
JPMorgan Profit Rises 67% Despite Trading Decline
Reviving the Heart of Rome by Adding Nordic Style
Bayer Faces New Setback for Roundup Weedkiller in France
Wells Fargo Expects Asset Cap to Last Longer Than Expected
Germany’s Sharp Slowdown Fans Fears That China Woes Are Spreading
Business Inflation Moderates in December
Ghosn Loses Request for Release on Bail
In New York, a Glitzy New Mall Devotes a Floor to Online Retailers
PG&E Bankruptcy Threatens Wildfire Suits, Green Contracts
Shutdown Ties Companies’ Hands on Unwanted Shareholder Proposals
U.S. Casts Global Dragnet in Mozambique Corruption Probe
Snap Finance Chief Joins Executive Exodus
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0024

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-16. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029
2019-01-08,256.82,257.31,254.0,256.77,237.5899,102512600.0,0.0094,-4.046,269.6099,235.7161,46.0592,-17.9416,11.6033,258.6527,265.6702
2019-01-09,257.56,258.91,256.19,257.97,238.7003,95006600.0,0.0047,-3.2422,268.6473,236.0687,46.7721,-5.2851,7.5629,258.4767,265.4335
2019-01-10,256.26,259.16,255.5,258.88,239.5424,96823900.0,0.0035,-2.5029,267.7426,236.4484,47.3183,-2.1802,9.0803,258.1893,265.149
2019-01-11,257.68,259.01,257.03,258.98,239.6349,73858100.0,0.0004,-1.8872,266.4945,237.0485,47.3797,3.6746,9.0803,257.8753,264.892
2019-01-14,256.86,258.3,256.41,257.4,238.1729,70908200.0,-0.0061,-1.5093,264.9316,237.8144,46.4942,0.2219,10.5873,257.3027,264.5087
2019-01-15,257.82,260.7,257.81,260.35,240.9026,85208300.0,0.0115,-0.9607,264.9088,237.8252,48.3583,23.0702,3.4893,256.8483,264.1737

WeWork’s CEO Makes Millions as Landlord to WeWork
Transparency Gets Fresh Look in Bankruptcy Court
Sears to Stay Open After Lampert Prevails in Bankruptcy Auction
Regional Banks Brush Off Yield-Curve Worries
U.S. Dollar Little Changed as Investors Watch Brexit
Alcoa’s Fourth-Quarter Revenue In Line With Expectations
Fed Says Student Debt Has Hurt the U.S. Housing Market
What Betting Markets Say About Brexit’s Next Steps
France Asks Renault to Name Successor to Carlos Ghosn
PG&E Shares Stem Decline Even as California Rescue Chances Dim
Schwab Says Clients Boosted Cash
Bankers Shine, Traders Stumble as Goldman Profit Jumps
Bank of America Profit Rises Sharply, Lifted by Higher Rates
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Kansas City Fed President Esther George
Jewelry Retailer Accused of Opening Fake Store Credit-Card Accounts
U.S. Stocks Edge Higher for Second Straight Session
Fed Says Lehman Chapter 11 Case Is Costliest in History
Fed’s Beige Book Shows Concerns Mounting Among U.S. Businesses
Tribune Publishing Recently Tried to Rekindle Merger Talks With Gannett
Oil Prices Edge Higher on Rising U.S. Stocks
Fiserv to Acquire First Data in $22 Billion All-Stock Deal
Gold Picks Up Over Brexit Uncertainty
Apple’s Guidance on Its Services Revenue Left Analysts With More Questions
Fed’s George Now Among Officials Favoring Patience in Raising Rates
Sprint Vows to Wind Down Location Sharing
Waterton Seeks to Replace Board, CEO at Canadian Miner Hudbay
‘They Own the System’: Amazon Rewrites Book Industry by Marching Into Publishing
Muhammad Ali’s Former L.A. Mansion Lists for $17 Million
Lime Looks to Peddle Its Bicycles in Australia
Aluminum Scrap Abounds Thanks to Tariffs
Results Diverge at Two Big Regional Banks
After a Strong 2018 for Retail Sales, Caution Flags Pop Up
‘Pokémon Go’ Maker Niantic Eyes Acquisitions After Fundraising
Employers Need to Address ‘Caregiving Crisis,’ Study Finds
Dollar-Hungry Chinese Borrowers Flock to Junk Bond Market
Owner of Durex Condoms Is Looking for a New CEO
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0076

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-01-17. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-07,252.69,255.95,251.69,254.38,235.3785,103139100.0,0.0079,-4.891,270.5588,235.4472,44.6315,-33.5186,15.0393,258.9277,266.029
2019-01-08,256.82,257.31,254.0,256.77,237.5899,102512600.0,0.0094,-4.046,269.6099,235.7161,46.0592,-17.9416,11.6033,258.6527,265.6702
2019-01-09,257.56,258.91,256.19,257.97,238.7003,95006600.0,0.0047,-3.2422,268.6473,236.0687,46.7721,-5.2851,7.5629,258.4767,265.4335
2019-01-10,256.26,259.16,255.5,258.88,239.5424,96823900.0,0.0035,-2.5029,267.7426,236.4484,47.3183,-2.1802,9.0803,258.1893,265.149
2019-01-11,257.68,259.01,257.03,258.98,239.6349,73858100.0,0.0004,-1.8872,266.4945,237.0485,47.3797,3.6746,9.0803,257.8753,264.892
2019-01-14,256.86,258.3,256.41,257.4,238.1729,70908200.0,-0.0061,-1.5093,264.9316,237.8144,46.4942,0.2219,10.5873,257.3027,264.5087
2019-01-15,257.82,260.7,257.81,260.35,240.9026,85208300.0,0.0115,-0.9607,264.9088,237.8252,48.3583,23.0702,3.4893,256.8483,264.1737
2019-01-16,260.83,261.97,260.6,260.98,241.4855,77636700.0,0.0024,-0.4697,265.7599,237.5361,48.7527,42.4783,0.1364,256.3593,263.9167

Carlos Ghosn to Stay in Jail After Tokyo Court Denies Bail Again
Apple Supplier Issues Profit Warning, Blames Weak Chinese Demand
Stocks Jump on Trade Hopes
New on Parents’ To-Do List: Checking Kids’ Credit History
Be Careful What You Wish For: Wall Street Hit by Fourth-Quarter Volatility
JPMorgan CEO Dimon’s Compensation Tops Pre-Crisis Record
Sears Creditors Oppose Sale to Edward Lampert
PPG Says U.S. Attorney’s Office Investigating Paint Giant’s Accounting Practices
Netflix Reports Paid Customers Rise on Strength Overseas
In Canada, Oil Output Cuts Pay Off as Prices Rally
Bid to Create European Train Champion on Verge of Collapse
The U.S. and China Are Hatching a Plan to Reopen Chicken Trade
Midcap Stocks Try to Shed the ‘Orphaned Index’ Label
American Express More Than Doubles Annual Profit
U.S. Dollar Loses Earlier Gains
Oil Declines on Worries Over Rising U.S. Inventories
Bank of America’s Wealth-Management Business Bucks Trend
BlackRock’s Assets Fall Sharply
Gymboree Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection Again
Germany Weighs Banning Huawei From 5G
John C. Bogle, Founder of Vanguard Group, Dies at 89
Moonves to Fight CBS Decision to Deny $120 Million Severance
As Americans Drink Less Alcohol, Booze Makers Look Beyond the Barrel
The Labor Market Is Strong, Despite Concerns About a Hiccuping Economy
Fed’s Quarles Upbeat on U.S. Economy
Byron Trott’s Firm Orders a Double, Adds Whiskey to Tequila Bet
Morgan Stanley Earnings Fall Short as Trading Hampers Results
Berkshire, NetJet Pilots Reach Labor Deal
OPEC Production Falls as Saudis Slash Output
PG&E Shareholder BlueMountain Protests Bankruptcy Decision
As China Slows, Sneakers and Noodles Beat Jewelry and Liquor Stocks
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0133

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-22. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-14,256.86,258.3,256.41,257.4,238.1729,70908200.0,-0.0061,-1.5093,264.9316,237.8144,46.4942,0.2219,10.5873,257.3027,264.5087
2019-01-15,257.82,260.7,257.81,260.35,240.9026,85208300.0,0.0115,-0.9607,264.9088,237.8252,48.3583,23.0702,3.4893,256.8483,264.1737
2019-01-16,260.83,261.97,260.6,260.98,241.4855,77636700.0,0.0024,-0.4697,265.7599,237.5361,48.7527,42.4783,0.1364,256.3593,263.9167
2019-01-17,260.01,263.92,259.96,262.96,243.3176,96118400.0,0.0076,0.0783,266.9736,237.1104,49.9945,61.3464,5.5667,255.8147,263.6952
2019-01-18,264.98,266.98,263.0,266.46,246.5561,127900300.0,0.0133,0.786,269.0548,236.5492,52.1162,97.2269,13.4603,255.6883,263.5527

Walgreens to Pay $269 Million in Federal Overbilling Suit
Judge Gives iHeartMedia Green Light to Exit Bankruptcy
EQT Rejects Rice Proposal to Shake Up Management
Arconic Scuttles Deal to Sell to Apollo Global
Hedge Fund Drops Proxy Battle With Chemicals Maker Ashland
Emerging-Market Currencies Drop
Stocks Decline on Growth Worries
Stock Market’s Next Hurdle: Tech and Industrial Earnings
Home Sales Sank 6.4% in December
Cafe Chain Patisserie, Now in Administration, Will Search For Buyer
Oil Falls on Fresh Demand Worries
Starboard, Elliott Management Call On eBay to Shed StubHub, Classifieds
Johnson & Johnson Expects Sales Growth to Slow
U.K. Regulator Launches Second Investigation Into KPMG Over Carillion Audit
Travelers Posts Higher Profit Despite Larger Catastrophe Losses
CFOs Uncover Surprise Savings as They Implement New Lease- Accounting Rules
Compostables, Meant to Cut Plastic Waste, Are Stumbling
Brexit Delays Entice Sterling Investors to Rejoin the Market
Fliers Find an Old Friend on More Planes: Empty Seats
PG&E Lines Up $5.5 Billion DIP Financing
Market Volatility Tests UBS’s Pivot to the Ultrarich
Mastercard Fined $650 Million by EU
Bunge Names Heckman Acting CEO, Warns on Profits
Former Fannie Mae Chief Joins Blend, a Mortgage Startup
SoftBank Invests $100 Million in Online Marketplace Globality
The Latest Trend in Mobile Gaming: Stock-Trading Apps
Wall Street Backlash Sinks Plan to Transform Swaps Market
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0021

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-23. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-14,256.86,258.3,256.41,257.4,238.1729,70908200.0,-0.0061,-1.5093,264.9316,237.8144,46.4942,0.2219,10.5873,257.3027,264.5087
2019-01-15,257.82,260.7,257.81,260.35,240.9026,85208300.0,0.0115,-0.9607,264.9088,237.8252,48.3583,23.0702,3.4893,256.8483,264.1737
2019-01-16,260.83,261.97,260.6,260.98,241.4855,77636700.0,0.0024,-0.4697,265.7599,237.5361,48.7527,42.4783,0.1364,256.3593,263.9167
2019-01-17,260.01,263.92,259.96,262.96,243.3176,96118400.0,0.0076,0.0783,266.9736,237.1104,49.9945,61.3464,5.5667,255.8147,263.6952
2019-01-18,264.98,266.98,263.0,266.46,246.5561,127900300.0,0.0133,0.786,269.0548,236.5492,52.1162,97.2269,13.4603,255.6883,263.5527
2019-01-22,264.82,265.06,261.06,262.86,243.2251,115531200.0,-0.0135,1.0443,270.2053,236.9677,49.865,75.6606,7.3774,255.4557,263.3735

China’s Slowdown Is a Drag for Fuel Refiners
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Fires Executive for Conduct Violation
Ford Swings to a Loss, Misses Analysts’ Profit Estimates
Hydro One and Avista Terminate Deal
U.S. Dollar Weakens as Global Outlook Improves
Copper Slips on Global Growth Fears
U.S. Oil Prices Decline on Global Slowdown Fears
Assets in Lockstep Stoke Volatility Fears
Comcast Lifted by Media and Broadband Growth
United Tech’s Profit Jumps on Aerospace Strength, Tax Savings
Walmart to Drop Lawsuit Against Credit-Card Issuer Synchrony
U.K. Banking Challenger Drops One-Third in Value
White House Economist Says Economy May Not Grow in First Quarter
Einhorn’s Greenlight Hit by Investor Redemptions
P&G Raises Outlook After Another Quarter of Strong Sales
Companies Use Deals to Buy New Skills in Battle to Spur Growth
Amazon’s Pitch to Woo Shippers: Fewer Fees Than FedEx, UPS
Airlines Face Next Test With Earnings
Boeing’s Autonomous Taxi Takes Flight
Unfazed by Brexit, Apollo Strikes $4.3 Billion Deal for U.K.’s RPC
Ernst & Young to Form Independent Panel to Help Improve Audits
No Pay Stub? No Problem. Unconventional Mortgages Are Back
Chinese Brokers Rally as Market Mood Brightens
U2’s Bono and TPG Launch Company to Measure ‘Impact Investments’
U.S. Shares Rise After Earnings
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0005

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-01-24. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-14,256.86,258.3,256.41,257.4,238.1729,70908200.0,-0.0061,-1.5093,264.9316,237.8144,46.4942,0.2219,10.5873,257.3027,264.5087
2019-01-15,257.82,260.7,257.81,260.35,240.9026,85208300.0,0.0115,-0.9607,264.9088,237.8252,48.3583,23.0702,3.4893,256.8483,264.1737
2019-01-16,260.83,261.97,260.6,260.98,241.4855,77636700.0,0.0024,-0.4697,265.7599,237.5361,48.7527,42.4783,0.1364,256.3593,263.9167
2019-01-17,260.01,263.92,259.96,262.96,243.3176,96118400.0,0.0076,0.0783,266.9736,237.1104,49.9945,61.3464,5.5667,255.8147,263.6952
2019-01-18,264.98,266.98,263.0,266.46,246.5561,127900300.0,0.0133,0.786,269.0548,236.5492,52.1162,97.2269,13.4603,255.6883,263.5527
2019-01-22,264.82,265.06,261.06,262.86,243.2251,115531200.0,-0.0135,1.0443,270.2053,236.9677,49.865,75.6606,7.3774,255.4557,263.3735
2019-01-23,264.01,264.79,260.66,263.41,243.734,86030300.0,0.0021,1.2786,270.7254,238.7186,50.2049,77.0972,6.1234,255.4503,263.3417

Kudlow: White House Seeks Fed Nominees Who Understand Shift on Growth, Inflation
Test Your Smarts on...Insurance
Crypto Startup Polkadot Seeking New Token Sale Above $1 Billion Valuation
PG&E Shares Jump After California Clears Company in 2017 Fire
Starbucks Beats Expectations With Focus on Operations
Creditors Say Lampert Reaped Billions but Left Sears Insolvent
Euro Hits Lowest Level in Nearly Two Months
Home-Builder Stocks Bounce Back as Mortgage Rates Slide
Bristol-Myers Reports Higher Sales but Another Lung-Cancer Setback
U.S. Stocks End Day Mixed on Earnings, Trade Concerns
América Móvil Buys Telefónica’s Operations in 2 Nations
Spice Maker McCormick Sees Sluggish Sales Growth in 2019
Airlines Warn Shutdown Strains are Worsening
Teradyne Finance Chief to Retire Following Strong Quarter
U.S. Oil Prices Get Boost From Venezuelan Political Crisis
Gold Edges Lower as Muted Trading Continues
ECB Worries Over Economy Mount, But Officials Stand Pat on Rates
Developer of Ace and NoMad Hotels Scoops Up Midtown Park Hotel
China Counters Selloff by Cutting Markets Some Slack
Lawmakers Promise Fresh Push to Overhaul Housing Finance
Renault Picks New Leaders, Ending Ghosn’s Long Reign
Financial Abuse of Seniors Hits Record
Labor Market Powers On Despite Growth Concerns
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Fell in December
Tencent Wins Approval For Two Titles After Gaming Freeze
American Airlines Posts Profit Despite Higher Expenses
Southwest Airlines Beats Earnings Expectations
World’s Biggest Brands to Test Refillable Containers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0085

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-28. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-18,264.98,266.98,263.0,266.46,246.5561,127900300.0,0.0133,0.786,269.0548,236.5492,52.1162,97.2269,13.4603,255.6883,263.5527
2019-01-22,264.82,265.06,261.06,262.86,243.2251,115531200.0,-0.0135,1.0443,270.2053,236.9677,49.865,75.6606,7.3774,255.4557,263.3735
2019-01-23,264.01,264.79,260.66,263.41,243.734,86030300.0,0.0021,1.2786,270.7254,238.7186,50.2049,77.0972,6.1234,255.4503,263.3417
2019-01-24,263.21,264.2,262.08,263.55,243.8635,59204100.0,0.0005,1.4588,269.4519,242.9131,50.2937,79.9369,6.1234,255.433,263.2328
2019-01-25,265.61,266.7,263.66,265.78,245.9269,96883400.0,0.0085,1.7612,270.2148,244.1102,51.7118,100.7828,13.3505,255.488,263.2403

Soy Prices Are in a Trough After China’s Sick-Pig Slaughter
Yum Brands Opens Search for New CFO
Whirlpool Posts Drop in Fourth-Quarter Sales
Snap Names Interim CFO
TPG Telecom Abandons Plans for Mobile Network Using Huawei Equipment
Chernova’s Take: Time to Revalue Bets on Crypto Tokens
Dollar Flat as Traders Wait for Potential Catalysts
Bank Deal Shows Impact of 2018 Law
Stocks Decline as Earnings Woes Raise Fears Over Growth
CBO: Shutdown Will Cost Government $3 Billion of Projected 2019 GDP
Private Flood Insurance Gets Boost From Regulators
Economic Data Faces Further Delay After Shutdown
Treasury’s Borrowing to Decline in Quarter
Oil Falls by Most This Year as Wall Street Tumbles
Greece Set to Return to Bond Market
Aluminum Falls After U.S. Removes Rusal From Sanctions List
Big Railroads Don’t See Slowdown on Horizon for U.S. Economy
Iron-Ore Prices Jump on Supply Concerns After Vale Mining Disaster
Caterpillar’s Profit Outlook Dims as China Slows
Two Groups Likely Stole $1 Billion in Cryptocurrency Hacks
S&P to Begin Offering Credit-Rating Services in China
Guess to Bring Back Former Executive as Next CEO
Investing Startup Acorns Surpasses Rivals in Funding Round
For Democrats, Shutdown Success Also Brings Danger
Fed, Jobs Test Investors’ Hopes for Central Bank Caution
Companies Plan for Tariffs, More Paperwork in Case of ‘No-Deal’ Brexit
From Midwest to Far East: How China Affects America’s Top Farm Export
Food Delivery Startups Cook Up New Model That’s All About the Kitchen
Europe’s Sputtering Economy Gives Investors Jitters
Companies Fear Uncertainty Even as Government Reopens
A $4 Trillion Scapegoat for Volatility: the Fed’s Shrinking Portfolio
Investors Warm to the Firms That Underpin China’s E-Commerce Boom
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0013

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-01-29 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-22,264.82,265.06,261.06,262.86,243.2251,115531200.0,-0.0135,1.0443,270.2053,236.9677,49.865,75.6606,7.3774,255.4557,263.3735
2019-01-23,264.01,264.79,260.66,263.41,243.734,86030300.0,0.0021,1.2786,270.7254,238.7186,50.2049,77.0972,6.1234,255.4503,263.3417
2019-01-24,263.21,264.2,262.08,263.55,243.8635,59204100.0,0.0005,1.4588,269.4519,242.9131,50.2937,79.9369,6.1234,255.433,263.2328
2019-01-25,265.61,266.7,263.66,265.78,245.9269,96883400.0,0.0085,1.7612,270.2148,244.1102,51.7118,100.7828,13.3505,255.488,263.2403
2019-01-28,263.39,263.83,261.79,263.76,244.0578,85613700.0,-0.0076,1.817,270.5775,245.3165,50.3653,80.3599,6.7777,255.4313,263.2387

Amazon, Facebook and Walmart Need to Watch Their Backs in India
Southwest Agreed to Pay FAA for Inspector’s Time During Government Shutdown
Fitch Cuts Mexico’s Pemex Rating by Two Notches
AMD Guides for Slower Growth This Year
NYSE, Nasdaq Rival Aims to Shed Light on Fee Profits
Airlines Cancel Flights as Arctic Chill Bears Down on Midwest
Bankruptcy Filing Sets PG&E Up for Overhaul
FTC Approves Staples-Essendant Merger in Split Decision
Trading of PdVSA Bonds Comes to a Halt
Former RBA Board Member Edwards Expects Rates to Rise
Clover Health Doubles Total Funding With $500 Million Round
Lockheed Martin Offloads $2.6 Billion in Pension Liabilities
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher Ahead of Fed Meeting
Harley-Davidson’s Motorcycle Sales Fall Again
Stocks Pulled Down by Tech Sector
GameStop Ends Search for a Buyer, Shares Plunge
Chinese Customers Power LVMH
U.S. Sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Giant Boost Oil
PG&E Bankruptcy Hits Green Energy Suppliers
IPS Worldwide Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Verizon’s Profit Stung by Oath Restructuring
Pfizer Results Hurt by Pricing Challenges
PG&E Files for Bankruptcy, Setting Up Complex Restructuring Case
3M Lowers Profit Outlook for 2019
PG&E Unveils Details of $5.5 Billion Bankruptcy Loan
Defense Firms Expect Higher Spending
U.S. Consumer Confidence Declines
Wynn Resorts to Settle Regulator’s Sexual-Misconduct Probe
Greece Issues First Post-Bailout Bond
Stocks to Watch: Whirlpool, PG&E, Verizon, Pfizer, Yum Brands
Home-Price Growth Continues to Slow
Landlords Relish—or Fear—J.C. Penney Store Closings
Investors Are Rewarding Earnings Season’s Winners—and Losers
Geisha Effect: Asian Skin Care Shakes Up U.S. Beauty Market
Cooling Housing Market Prompts Closer Scrutiny of Some Lenders
PG&E Bankruptcy to Be Fee Bonanza
Plain-Spoken Fed Chairman Sometimes Leaves Markets Confused
U.S. Levels Criminal Charges Against China’s Huawei
Emerging-Markets Rally Leaves Asian Bonds Behind
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0158

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-01-30. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-22,264.82,265.06,261.06,262.86,243.2251,115531200.0,-0.0135,1.0443,270.2053,236.9677,49.865,75.6606,7.3774,255.4557,263.3735
2019-01-23,264.01,264.79,260.66,263.41,243.734,86030300.0,0.0021,1.2786,270.7254,238.7186,50.2049,77.0972,6.1234,255.4503,263.3417
2019-01-24,263.21,264.2,262.08,263.55,243.8635,59204100.0,0.0005,1.4588,269.4519,242.9131,50.2937,79.9369,6.1234,255.433,263.2328
2019-01-25,265.61,266.7,263.66,265.78,245.9269,96883400.0,0.0085,1.7612,270.2148,244.1102,51.7118,100.7828,13.3505,255.488,263.2403
2019-01-28,263.39,263.83,261.79,263.76,244.0578,85613700.0,-0.0076,1.817,270.5775,245.3165,50.3653,80.3599,6.7777,255.4313,263.2387
2019-01-29,263.92,264.55,262.48,263.41,243.734,66136300.0,-0.0013,1.812,270.6187,246.8413,50.1313,85.4793,8.9507,255.366,263.166

Qualcomm Expects Another Drop in Revenue
New Details on Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Health Venture Emerge in Court Battle
PayPal’s Earnings Fell 6% in Quarter
GE Faces a Capital Dilemma Over Its Jet-Leasing Business
Stocks Extend Gains After Fed Decision
Fed Signals Hold on Rate Increases
Goldman Feasts at Expense of Food-Company Client, Suit Says
High-Wire Audit Looms as Regulators Scrutinize KPMG and GE
AT&T Sheds Pay-TV Customers, but Wireless Profits Surge
Visa Posts Strong Profit as Consumers Shift to Cards From Cash
PG&E Violated Probation, Federal Judge Says in Heated Hearing
Mondelez Continues to Raise Snack Prices
Qualcomm Tax Move Will Save Firm $570 Million
Dollar Falls After Fed Signals Pause
Consumer-Staples Stocks Fall Out of Favor
Gold Price Hits Seven-Month High
Wells Fargo Is ‘Working Hard’ to ‘Rebuild Trust’
Treasury to Scale Back Borrowing Plans in Early 2019
AT&T Wants to Be Big in Entertainment. First, It Has a $49 Billion Problem to Fix.
Foxconn Backpedals on Wisconsin Factory Plan, Shifts Focus to Research
Oil Hits Two-Month High on Venezuela Turmoil, U.S. Supplies
Boeing’s Sales Climb on Air-Travel Demand
Currency Volatility Drags on Earnings
Global Sales Buoy McDonald’s, But U.S. Traffic Drops
Government Updates Timing for Data Releases Delayed by Shutdown
U.S. Economy Is Slowing, Survey Says
U.S. Private Sector Adds 213,000 Jobs in January
New York Insurers Can Evaluate Your Social Media Use—If They Can Prove Why It’s Needed
In PG&E Bankruptcy, Another Judge May Play Key Role
From Beer to Casinos, Businesses Turn to Solar, Wind Power
Howard Schultz’s Presidential Bid Brews Trouble for Starbucks
Fed Expected to Hold Rates; Investors Seek Clues on ‘Patience’
Once Powerful PG&E Has Few Friends Left in California Capital
Ghosn Blames ‘Plot and Treason’ for Charges Against Him
Year of the Pig Lures Market Bulls in China
Tupperware Slides as China Demand Loses Steam
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0088

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-01-31. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-22,264.82,265.06,261.06,262.86,243.2251,115531200.0,-0.0135,1.0443,270.2053,236.9677,49.865,75.6606,7.3774,255.4557,263.3735
2019-01-23,264.01,264.79,260.66,263.41,243.734,86030300.0,0.0021,1.2786,270.7254,238.7186,50.2049,77.0972,6.1234,255.4503,263.3417
2019-01-24,263.21,264.2,262.08,263.55,243.8635,59204100.0,0.0005,1.4588,269.4519,242.9131,50.2937,79.9369,6.1234,255.433,263.2328
2019-01-25,265.61,266.7,263.66,265.78,245.9269,96883400.0,0.0085,1.7612,270.2148,244.1102,51.7118,100.7828,13.3505,255.488,263.2403
2019-01-28,263.39,263.83,261.79,263.76,244.0578,85613700.0,-0.0076,1.817,270.5775,245.3165,50.3653,80.3599,6.7777,255.4313,263.2387
2019-01-29,263.92,264.55,262.48,263.41,243.734,66136300.0,-0.0013,1.812,270.6187,246.8413,50.1313,85.4793,8.9507,255.366,263.166
2019-01-30,265.1,268.52,264.25,267.58,247.5925,92473700.0,0.0158,2.1202,271.3691,247.8569,52.8321,115.1983,19.949,255.603,263.1152

Intel’s New CEO Advances From CFO Spot a Second Time
Building the Next Great Startup Hub—in Buffalo
PG&E Gets Court OK to Tap $1.5 Billion of Bankruptcy Loan
Venezuela’s Citgo Weighs Bankruptcy, Other Options
House Member Presses Boeing on China-Backed Satellite Deal
Tool Company Claims IPS Worldwide ‘Misappropriated’ Millions
Dow Industrials Edge Lower on Sluggish Earnings
Germany Weighs Purchase of 45 Boeing-Made F/A-18 Warplanes
GE Cites Progress Toward Turnaround After Tough Year
Scooter Startup Lime Is Raising $400 Million at $2 Billion Valuation
Stocks Post Best January in 30 Years
U.S. Oil Prices Fall Amid Doubts Over China Trade Deal
Gold Extends Rally After Cautious Fed Comments
Dozens of Advisers Face Claims of Overcharging for Mutual Funds
Blackstone, Apollo Hurt by Falling Markets in Fourth Quarter
Why Federal Worker Jobless Claims Are Relatively Low
Love, Grandma: How Grandparents Can Help Pay for College
Emerging-Market Currencies Rise on Dovish Fed
Exchanges to Fire Company Building Stock-Market Supercomputer
Marlboro Maker Forecasts Accelerating Decline in Cigarette Sales
ECB’s Weidmann: Important Not to Waste Time in Normalizing Monetary Policy
Hershey Looks to New Candy, Higher Prices to Boost Revenue
Tips for Tapping Your Retirement Savings
DowDuPont Shares Tumble on Oil Price, Currency Pressure
UPS Results Ride the Surge in Online Shopping
Blue Apron Sheds Customers Again
New-Home Sales Surged in November
PG&E Filed for Bankruptcy. Why Did Its Shares Then Rise?
Los Angeles Rams Struggle to Win Over Hometown TV Audience
Shell Profit Doubles in Boost for Big Oil
Mastercard Reports Higher Profit, Revenue
Canada GDP Contracted 0.1% in November
U.S. Employment Costs Rose 0.7% in the Fourth Quarter
Jobless Claims Jumped Last Week
Unilever Faces Squeeze in North America
Apollo Reports Economic Net Loss as Private-Equity Funds Depreciate
Eurozone Slowdown Feeds Fears About Faltering Global Growth
Battered Oil Investors Dive Back Into Crude
Potential Deutsche Bank Deal Gains German Government Support
Brookfield Raises $15 Billion Real-Estate Fund
Ghosn in Prison: No Clock, No Computer and 30 Minutes a Day Outside
World’s Largest Money Market Fund Is Shrinking as It Battles Rival on Yields
Tesla’s Latest CFO Must Handle Complex Portfolio, Unorthodox Boss
Oil Trains Make Comeback as Pipelines Can’t Keep Up
Central Banks Shift on Plans to Pull Back Stimulus
China to Ease Up Listing Rules to Give Tech Sector a Boost
Alibaba Leads Rebound in Chinese E-Commerce Stocks
Nokia Gets Small Signal Boost From 5G
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0005

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-02-04 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-01-25,265.61,266.7,263.66,265.78,245.9269,96883400.0,0.0085,1.7612,270.2148,244.1102,51.7118,100.7828,13.3505,255.488,263.2403
2019-01-28,263.39,263.83,261.79,263.76,244.0578,85613700.0,-0.0076,1.817,270.5775,245.3165,50.3653,80.3599,6.7777,255.4313,263.2387
2019-01-29,263.92,264.55,262.48,263.41,243.734,66136300.0,-0.0013,1.812,270.6187,246.8413,50.1313,85.4793,8.9507,255.366,263.166
2019-01-30,265.1,268.52,264.25,267.58,247.5925,92473700.0,0.0158,2.1202,271.3691,247.8569,52.8321,115.1983,19.949,255.603,263.1152
2019-01-31,267.51,270.47,267.27,269.93,249.7669,104012100.0,0.0088,2.5249,272.3383,248.8627,54.2757,128.4926,24.7234,256.0887,263.0555
2019-02-01,270.15,271.2,269.18,270.06,249.8873,85782500.0,0.0005,2.8235,271.5379,252.2481,54.3557,125.679,26.4781,256.588,263.025

Out-of-State Buyers Flock to Miami
Fed’s Mester: Supported FOMC Decision to Hold Rates Steady
Chevron Names New Finance Chief in Management Shuffle
Judge Approves FullBeauty’s Record 24-Hour Bankruptcy Case
I’m Flying In That? Unloved Turboprop Gets Second Look
Island Bound: Southwest and FAA Race to Complete Approval for Hawaii Service
Sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Hit Oil Market in Vulnerable Spot
United Makes Changes After Review of Plane Stranded More Than 12 Hours
Sears and Creditors Spar at Sale Hearing
Blood-Pressure Medicine Will Be First Product for New Generic Drug Venture
Investor Starboard Installs Its CEO as Papa John’s Chairman
Chernova’s Take: Frothy, Late-Stage Market Conditions Stretch Firms to the Max
Bill Gross, Onetime Bond King, Retiring After Messy Last Act
Puerto Rico Wins Approval of $18 Billion Bond Restructuring
U.S. Stocks Close Higher, Led by Tech Sector
Fox Executive Calls Netflix’s Viewership Figures Misleading
Lloyd’s Fills CFO Seat with Executive From Allianz’s German Unit
Fed Survey Shows Tighter Lending Standards, Weakening Credit Demand
Stock-Market Rally Revives Appetite for Risky Margin Loans
Novum Pharma Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Negative Rates Would Have Sped Up Economic Recovery, Fed Paper Says
Oil Falls From Two-Month High on Stronger Dollar
AB InBev Explores IPO for Asia Business
U.K. Moves to Ease Import Regulation in Case of No-Deal Brexit
Stronger Dollar, Higher Treasury Yields Hurt Gold
Three Crew Members Killed After Train Derailment in British Columbia
Dollar Extends Friday’s Gains
As Trump Speech Nears, Democrats Dig In
Stocks to Watch: Ford, Goldman, Spotify, and More
Dockless Scooter Rides, No Longer Cheap and Easy, Increasingly End With Fines
China Fears Loom Over Stocks After January Surge
Australia to Add Muscle to Regulators After Bank Probe
Food Startup Takes Microbes From the Volcano to the Table
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0042

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty