Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-28. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238
2018-08-21,286.25,287.31,285.71,286.34,262.2259,67272000.0,0.0023,1.6871,287.1215,279.8505,59.65,140.6766,10.0411,282.2633,278.4603
2018-08-22,285.88,286.76,285.58,286.17,262.0703,44993300.0,-0.0006,1.722,287.4185,279.7696,59.3815,123.5755,9.1318,282.5737,278.7462
2018-08-23,285.97,286.94,285.43,285.79,261.7223,49204900.0,-0.0013,1.6995,287.6617,279.7713,58.7696,112.5542,10.2297,282.7877,278.9658
2018-08-24,286.44,287.67,286.38,287.51,263.2973,57487400.0,0.006,1.7996,288.1555,279.8865,60.6672,140.4259,14.6979,283.0517,279.242
2018-08-27,288.86,289.9,288.68,289.78,265.3761,57072400.0,0.0079,2.0387,288.9363,280.0887,62.9926,197.7058,26.6238,283.3997,279.5117

BOJ’s Suzuki Says Side-Effects of Easing Requires Further Attention
How Banker’s Message to Client Spelled Trouble for UBS
Tech Repairs Service Puls Technologies Bags $50 Million
Trade Deal Threatens Mexico’s Role as Car Hub
Former Barnes & Noble CEO Sues Company Over Firing
DSW Posts Strongest Sales Growth Since 2011
HP Enterprise Names New Finance Chief
Stocks Get Small Boost From Trade Deal
Oil Prices Settle Lower on U.S.-Mexico Trade Deal
State CIOs Hit Limits Improving Online Services, Study Finds
Blackstone Scores Profit on Dam Deal Dubbed ‘Big Mistake’ in Uganda
Tailored Brands CEO Doug Ewert Intends to Retire
Swiss Bank to Pay $60.4 Million for Helping Americans Evade Taxes
Sears Expands Amazon Tire Program
Senate Confirms Clarida as Fed Vice Chairman
J.Crew Snaps 15-Quarter Sales Slump
Dollar Gains Against Turkish, Argentine Currencies
Two Regional Fed Banks Wanted to Raise Discount Rate in July
Highflying Chip Stocks Have Their Mojo Back
Aston Martin Readies IPO
Outset Medical Scores $132 Million Series D for Dialysis Technology
Analysis: Consumer Sentiment Readings Give Conflicted Take on Economy
Bankrupt Provant Health to Sell Assets to Quest Diagnostics
Tiffany Sells More Blue Boxes as Affluent Buyers Splurge
Iran’s Oil Exports Dropping Faster Than Expected Before U.S. Sanctions
Copper Rises on Trade Optimism
Regulator Moves to Modify Lending Rules for Poorer Communities
U.S. Consumer Confidence Surged in August to Near 18-Year High
Moody’s Investors Service to Pay $16 Million to Settle SEC Probe
For Hain Celestial, Turf Battles in Health Food Dig Into Sales
Roscoe’s Chicken and Waffles Founder Asks for More Time to Make Payment
U.S. Home-Price Gains Slow
PennEnergy Resources to Buy Bankrupt Rex Energy
Brookstone Snags $35 Million Offer from Authentic Brands
Brickley’s Take: Alleged Indian Bank Fraud Reverberates in Jewelry Bankruptcies
U.S. Trade Deficit in Goods Widened to $72.2 Billion in July
Best Buy Cautions on Profit Growth, Even as Sales Swing Higher
Richmond Fed’s Manufacturing Index Jumped in August
Brexit Chilling U.S. Demand for London Property
Stocks to Watch: Best Buy, Netflix, DSW, Tiffany, Gartner, and More
Dull Skin? Restless Sleep? There’s a Drink for That
Liquid Diet: My Day of Drinks
Chernova’s Take: China’s Investments in U.S. Tech Getting Squeezed
‘Retail Real Estate Isn’t Dying,’ Says Fifth Wall Ventures
Daily Mail Leads £20 Million Funding Round for U.K.’s Yopa
Oil Giant Saudi Aramco Wants to Become a King of Patents
Timiraos’s Take: To Fight the Next Recession, the Fed Takes Inventory of Its Tool Kit
FirstEnergy to Provide $1.1 Billion in Bankruptcy Settlement
For Prosecutors, Homing In on CFOs Yields Clues to Corporate Secrets
Why China’s Yuan Will Struggle to Rally Further
Rizzo’s Take: Feud Brews Among Toys ‘R’ Us Lenders
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0054

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-08-29 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238
2018-08-21,286.25,287.31,285.71,286.34,262.2259,67272000.0,0.0023,1.6871,287.1215,279.8505,59.65,140.6766,10.0411,282.2633,278.4603
2018-08-22,285.88,286.76,285.58,286.17,262.0703,44993300.0,-0.0006,1.722,287.4185,279.7696,59.3815,123.5755,9.1318,282.5737,278.7462
2018-08-23,285.97,286.94,285.43,285.79,261.7223,49204900.0,-0.0013,1.6995,287.6617,279.7713,58.7696,112.5542,10.2297,282.7877,278.9658
2018-08-24,286.44,287.67,286.38,287.51,263.2973,57487400.0,0.006,1.7996,288.1555,279.8865,60.6672,140.4259,14.6979,283.0517,279.242
2018-08-27,288.86,289.9,288.68,289.78,265.3761,57072400.0,0.0079,2.0387,288.9363,280.0887,62.9926,197.7058,26.6238,283.3997,279.5117
2018-08-28,290.3,290.42,289.4,289.92,265.5045,46943500.0,0.0005,2.2139,289.7187,280.1653,63.1317,190.392,29.0949,283.7147,279.762

California Moves to Mandate Female Board Directors
SEC Accuses Former Playgirl Magazine Owner of Defrauding Investors
Papa John’s Independent Board Members Dispute Founder’s Claims
Pro VC Exclusive: Fitness Startup Mirror Lands $200 Million Pre-Launch Valuation
Global Car Sales Hit Speed Bump
Bank of Mexico Cuts Economic Growth Outlook for 2018, 2019
Salesforce Revenue Rises as New Leadership Structure Takes Shape
Calpers Names Former California Finance Director as New CFO
More Than 700 North Carolina Jobs at Risk at Heritage Home
New York Life Tests New Pitch for an Unpopular Insurance Policy
Small Stocks Hang On to Big Gains, for Now
Colorado Measure Would Make Most of State Off Limits to Drillers
BNP Paribas to Pay $90 Million Fine for Benchmark Manipulation
Argentina’s Peso Plunges to Record Low
Mattress Firm’s Ex-Supplier Opens New Front in Trademark Fight
Tech Sector Drives U.S. Stocks Higher
Biswas’s Take: Verscend Debt Deal Highlights Growing Loopholes
Tempus Gathers $110 Million Series E for Precision Medicine Decision-Support
Home-Builder Shares Miss Out on Stock Rally
Pacific Drilling Lines Up $85 Million in New Bankruptcy Financing
Aston Martin Revs Up IPO Plans
Oil Hits Four-Week High as U.S. Crude Inventories Fall
NFL Linebacker, Ex-Goldman Analyst Charged in $1.2 Million Insider Trading Case
Sales Soar 27% at American Eagle’s Aerie, Still Short of Investors’ Hopes
Aston Martin to Drill Down on Debt, Capital Spending After IPO
Copper Pressured by Dollar’s Climb
Publisher Peter Brant Buys Interview Magazine Out Of Bankruptcy
U.S. Corporate Profits Soared in Second Quarter
Argentine Peso Hits New Low
Jack Daniel’s Maker Feels Sting of Higher Tariffs
Nebula Seeded for Consumer Genomics Marketplace
A Portuguese Old-Money Enclave Goes Modern Luxury
U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up in Second Quarter
Hospital Operator Curae Health Files for Bankruptcy
Danone’s Manifesto Ventures Invests in German Startup Mitte
Stocks to Watch: Amazon.com, Alphabet, General Motors, Dick’s Sporting Goods, and More
Ruling in Johnny Depp Suit Threatens Hollywood Lawyers’ Handshake Culture
Indiegogo’s First Token Offering Is Scrapped
Zinsli’s Take: Corporates Go It Alone on Megadeals
Amid Crypto Selloff, $2 Billion Token Project Raises Eyebrows
Derby’s Take: The Challenges of Divining Potential Growth
Iceland Stands Pat on Key Interest Rate
In America’s Hottest Drilling Spot, Gas Is Going Up in Smoke
Biotech Boom Built Wall Street’s $3 Million Analyst
Chinese Megalenders Weather Beijing’s Credit Crunch
Freight Marketplace DrayNow Loads Up $5 Million Series A
Liquid I.V. Gulps $5 Million for Wellness Drinks
Very Good Security Raises $8.5 Million From Andreessen
Avegant Logs $12 Million for AR Displays
Indegy Gets $18 Million Series B for Cybersecurity
Lacework Raises $24 Million for Cloud Security
Brickley’s Take: Alleged Indian Bank Fraud Reverberates in Jewelry Bankruptcies
Dick’s Says Under Armour, New Gun-Sales Policy Dragged on Results
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0040

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-08-30. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238
2018-08-21,286.25,287.31,285.71,286.34,262.2259,67272000.0,0.0023,1.6871,287.1215,279.8505,59.65,140.6766,10.0411,282.2633,278.4603
2018-08-22,285.88,286.76,285.58,286.17,262.0703,44993300.0,-0.0006,1.722,287.4185,279.7696,59.3815,123.5755,9.1318,282.5737,278.7462
2018-08-23,285.97,286.94,285.43,285.79,261.7223,49204900.0,-0.0013,1.6995,287.6617,279.7713,58.7696,112.5542,10.2297,282.7877,278.9658
2018-08-24,286.44,287.67,286.38,287.51,263.2973,57487400.0,0.006,1.7996,288.1555,279.8865,60.6672,140.4259,14.6979,283.0517,279.242
2018-08-27,288.86,289.9,288.68,289.78,265.3761,57072400.0,0.0079,2.0387,288.9363,280.0887,62.9926,197.7058,26.6238,283.3997,279.5117
2018-08-28,290.3,290.42,289.4,289.92,265.5045,46943500.0,0.0005,2.2139,289.7187,280.1653,63.1317,190.392,29.0949,283.7147,279.762
2018-08-29,290.16,291.74,289.89,291.48,266.933,61485500.0,0.0054,2.4504,290.6808,280.2652,64.6624,198.4029,35.0317,284.062,280.035

Fresh Stress Grips World’s Weakest Emerging-Market Currencies
Stryker Agrees to Buy Spinal-Device Maker K2M
Signet Surges After Surprise Sales Growth
Boeing Wins Big Navy Contract for Drones
Dollar-Store Sales Rise, Though Shoppers Feel Pressure of Rising Costs
Microsoft to Require Its Suppliers, Contractors to Give Paid Family Leave
Scurria’s Take: Kentucky Pension’s Bankruptcy Battle Shifts to State Court
Pipeline Stocks Stage a Comeback
Scurria’s Take: Kentucky Pension’s Bankruptcy Battle Shifts to State Court
Analysis: Fed Is Finally Getting What It Wants on the Inflation Front
Consumer Lawyers Win Class Treatment for Think Finance Borrowers
SEC Chairman Wants to Let More Main Street Investors In on Private Deals
U.S. Stocks Fall on Tariff Plans
Copper Edges Lower as Investors Eye Trade
Wells Fargo Fires Bankers Amid Probe of Dinner Receipts
J.Crew’s New CEO Rolls Out Strategy
Oil Approaches Six-Week High
Applebee’s Franchisee Misses Goal of Filing Details on Roads Out of Bankruptcy
U.S. Division Boosts TD Bank’s Profit
Archdiocese of San Juan Files for Bankruptcy Amid Pension Fight
Dollar Climbs Amid Emerging-Market Selloff
China’s ZTE Reports $1.1 Billion Loss
U.K. Recruiter Hays Plans to Raise Capital Expenditures
Campbell Soup to Sell Global Business and Fresh Unit
Wait to Collect Social Security? Readers Say We Got It Wrong
U.S. Consumer Spending Rose 0.4% in July
Merrill to Resume Commissions on Retirement Accounts
Core Inflation Hits Fed’s 2% Target as Spending Heats Up
Stocks to Watch: Salesforce, Microsoft, Guess, Tilly’s, Semtech
Bidding War Brewing Over Brookstone Brand
Shares in MTN Sink After Nigeria Demands It Return $8 Billion
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Slightly Less Than Expected Last Week
ICBC, World’s Biggest Bank, Posts 4.9% Net-Profit Rise
VW Earnings to Be Hit by Delays in Meeting New Emissions Rules
Swedish Krona: A Painful Trade That Markets Missed
Davis’s Take: Andreessen Horowitz Opens Up the GP Club
New Samsonite CEO’s Lessons From the Short-Selling Crisis
Timiraos’s Take: Clarida’s Warning Global Rate Divergence Could Prove Prescient
Starbucks’ Frappuccino Gets a Sugar Makeover
SoftBank Pulls Plug on Plans to Invest in Chinese Tesla Rival
Indexers Help Cram China Into World’s Investment Portfolios
Vodafone Hutchison Australia and TPG Telecom to Merge
More Shareholders Vote Against Executive Pay Proposals in U.K.
Biswas’s Take: Verscend Debt Deal Highlights Growing Loopholes
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0000

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-04. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-27,288.86,289.9,288.68,289.78,265.3761,57072400.0,0.0079,2.0387,288.9363,280.0887,62.9926,197.7058,26.6238,283.3997,279.5117
2018-08-28,290.3,290.42,289.4,289.92,265.5045,46943500.0,0.0005,2.2139,289.7187,280.1653,63.1317,190.392,29.0949,283.7147,279.762
2018-08-29,290.16,291.74,289.89,291.48,266.933,61485500.0,0.0054,2.4504,290.6808,280.2652,64.6624,198.4029,35.0317,284.062,280.035
2018-08-30,290.94,291.36,289.63,290.3,265.8524,61229500.0,-0.004,2.5136,291.2876,280.4494,62.6277,164.7298,32.6923,284.4053,280.25
2018-08-31,289.84,290.81,289.29,290.31,265.8615,66140800.0,0.0,2.5353,291.8575,280.5505,62.638,143.5948,29.5549,284.7597,280.4657

Australia’s Record-Beating Economic Growth Continues
Australia’s RBA Does Nothing, Again
Dolan Family Sues Altice Over News 12 Staffing Levels
Bullard Says Fed Shouldn’t Raise Rates Right Now
Nike’s Kaepernick Deal Puts Risk on Display
Necco Bankruptcy Trustee Sues Former Owner ACAS
U.S. Dollar Rises Following Strong Economic Data
U.S. Stocks Slip as Materials, Industrial Sectors Fall
ADT’s CEO to Retire in November
Citigroup Finance Chief to Retire March 1
Agios Pharmaceuticals Plans to Pump Cash Into R&D
Nordam and Gulfstream Reach Deal on Business Jet Parts Dispute
Oil Gains as Tropical Storm Churns in Gulf
Bluestar Raises Bid for Bankrupt Brookstone Brand
Slow-Motion Crash Sees Chinese Auto Stocks Skid 40% This Year
Sanofi Pays $25 Million to Settle Bribery Charges
Judge Approves PennEnergy Purchase of Bankrupt Rex
Gold Prices Sink as Dollar Strengthens
Yerak’s Take: Oaktree Follows Through on Rival Bid for Claire’s
BOE’s Carney Open to Extending Term for Brexit Stability
Yerak’s Take: Oaktree Follows Through on Rival Bid for Claire’s
U.S. Factory Sector Clocks Strongest Growth in 14 Years
Firm Retention Summary: Curae Health Inc.
Nike Shares Fall on Plans to Use Colin Kaepernick in Ads
Europe Goes Harder on Money Laundering With Record ING Fine
U.S. Manufacturing PMI Falls to Nine-Month Low
Stocks to Watch: Conn’s, RH, Boeing, Caterpillar
How Argentina’s Evolving Economic Crisis Unfolded
Ten Years After Crisis, Central Banks Are at a Crossroads
Chernova’s Take: Trump Shakes Things Up for Savings-Plan Startups
Meet Skip, the Scooter Startup That Jumped to the Front of the Line
RBA Governor Says Rate Increase Still Seems to Be ‘Way Off’
Lego Tempers Ambitions for a New, Slow-Growth Era
Derby’s Take: Shaking Off Summer Doldrums, Heavy Slate of Fed Speak Lies Ahead
Flood of Sand Points to Shakeout for Shale Suppliers
Move to Semiannual Reporting Would Benefit Small Companies the Most
Calpers’ Bet on Sacramento’s Tallest Tower Splits Board
Corrigan’s Take: Pacific Drilling Wins Approval of Second Set of Executive Bonuses
Corrigan’s Take: Pacific Drilling Wins Approval of Second Set of Executive Bonuses
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0027

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-09-05 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-27,288.86,289.9,288.68,289.78,265.3761,57072400.0,0.0079,2.0387,288.9363,280.0887,62.9926,197.7058,26.6238,283.3997,279.5117
2018-08-28,290.3,290.42,289.4,289.92,265.5045,46943500.0,0.0005,2.2139,289.7187,280.1653,63.1317,190.392,29.0949,283.7147,279.762
2018-08-29,290.16,291.74,289.89,291.48,266.933,61485500.0,0.0054,2.4504,290.6808,280.2652,64.6624,198.4029,35.0317,284.062,280.035
2018-08-30,290.94,291.36,289.63,290.3,265.8524,61229500.0,-0.004,2.5136,291.2876,280.4494,62.6277,164.7298,32.6923,284.4053,280.25
2018-08-31,289.84,290.81,289.29,290.31,265.8615,66140800.0,0.0,2.5353,291.8575,280.5505,62.638,143.5948,29.5549,284.7597,280.4657
2018-09-04,289.84,290.21,288.68,289.81,265.4036,57594400.0,-0.0017,2.4835,292.2852,280.6398,61.7571,118.9586,23.9347,285.08,280.6593

BOJ’s Kataoka Voices Opposition to Latest Policy Tweaks
Tencent Bets on China Housing Boom With Stake in Property Brokerage
Blackstone Doesn’t Plan to Raise Bid for Hotel Owner
Caffeine Powers Up With $100 Million From Fox
SEC Is Back at Full Strength With Five Members
Wages Growing Faster Than You Think, White House Says
U.S. Dollar Falls as Report on Brexit Talks Pushes Pound, Euro Higher
Firm Retention Summary: Little River Healthcare Holdings LLC
California’s Verity Health System Gets Approval for Emergency Loan
U.S. Trade Deficit Posted Biggest Increase in July Since 2015
Internet Stocks Pull Down S&P 500
Oil Falls as Gulf Coast Storm Weakens
Rizzo’s Take: What Will Holiday Toy Sales Look Like Without Toys ‘R’ Us?
Rizzo’s Take: What Will Holiday Toy Sales Look Like Without Toys ‘R’ Us?
ING Says SEC Ends Probe Into Bank Without Enforcement Action
SEC Protests iHeart Media’s Grants of Legal Immunity
No Silver Lining: A Precious Metal ‘Hit From Two Sides’
Paramount Names New TV Studio Chief
FBI Investigating American Express Foreign-Exchange Pricing
Roblox’s Valuation Soars as Online Videogame Hub Raises $150 Million
Metals Prices Rise on Weaker Dollar
Walmart Tries Out Own Home-Delivery Service
Bankrupt Applebee’s Franchisee Pitches Investment By Private Equity Owner
WeWork Fails in Bid to Lease Space in New York’s World Trade Center
Europe Is the Most Likely Place of the Next Lehman Moment
Two Years Ago, India Lacked Fast, Cheap Internet—One Billionaire Changed All That
Bullard Says Fed Should Look More Closely at Market Data
Bayer: More Americans Alleging Weedkillers Cause Cancer
J.Crew Alters Amazon Approach, Will Sell Some Items on Site
Biotech’s Serial Entrepreneur Worth Watching
Gormley’s Take: New Investor Springhood Takes On Childhood Diseases
Nielsen Hires Former Honeywell Finance Chief
Emerging-Market Rout Rattles Indonesia
Banks Stick With Oil-Price Forecast but Lower 2019 Projection
Latham & Watkins Pulls in New Bankruptcy Partner
Derby’s Take: New Views on a Flattening Yield Curve
Malaysia’s Central Bank Stands Pat
Asian Junk Bonds Can’t Catch a Break
Bank Sues New York Fed Over Lack of Account
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0030

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-06. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-27,288.86,289.9,288.68,289.78,265.3761,57072400.0,0.0079,2.0387,288.9363,280.0887,62.9926,197.7058,26.6238,283.3997,279.5117
2018-08-28,290.3,290.42,289.4,289.92,265.5045,46943500.0,0.0005,2.2139,289.7187,280.1653,63.1317,190.392,29.0949,283.7147,279.762
2018-08-29,290.16,291.74,289.89,291.48,266.933,61485500.0,0.0054,2.4504,290.6808,280.2652,64.6624,198.4029,35.0317,284.062,280.035
2018-08-30,290.94,291.36,289.63,290.3,265.8524,61229500.0,-0.004,2.5136,291.2876,280.4494,62.6277,164.7298,32.6923,284.4053,280.25
2018-08-31,289.84,290.81,289.29,290.31,265.8615,66140800.0,0.0,2.5353,291.8575,280.5505,62.638,143.5948,29.5549,284.7597,280.4657
2018-09-04,289.84,290.21,288.68,289.81,265.4036,57594400.0,-0.0017,2.4835,292.2852,280.6398,61.7571,118.9586,23.9347,285.08,280.6593
2018-09-05,289.41,289.64,287.89,289.03,264.6894,72452400.0,-0.0027,2.3524,292.5512,280.7188,60.3866,93.5574,16.9137,285.3273,280.8338

Broadcom Profit Surges as Enterprise Storage Business Grows
Off the Scale: S&P’s China-Ratings Plan Risks Too Many Triple-A’s
Twitter Bans Alex Jones After New Violations
Emerging-Market Stocks Enter Bear Territory
Fed’s Evans Says He Favors Tightening Beyond Neutral
Toys ‘R’ Us to Put Chapter 11 Plans to Creditor Votes
Mattel, After Years Toying With Big Screen, Creates Film Division
Gormley’s Take: Digital Medical Data Needs to Fill Connectivity Gap
CFPB Issues First Supervision Report Under Mulvaney
Barnes & Noble Sales Slide Continues As It Looks to Stabilize Business
Clark Bar Finds a New Owner After Candy Company Bankruptcy
Transcript: Media Q&A With New York Fed’s John Williams in Buffalo
Weak Tech Shares Pull Down S&P 500
Top Oracle Software Executive to Take Extended Leave
Randles’s Take: Ruby’s Diner Describes Bankruptcy Exit Plan
Randles’s Take: Ruby’s Diner Describes Bankruptcy Exit Plan
Open Road Films Is Placed in Chapter 11 by New Owner
Oil Falls as Total Fuel Inventories Rise
Orianna, Creditors Oppose Landlord’s Credit Bid Request
Transcript: Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Speaks in Chicago
House Republicans Push to Lock In Tax Cuts Past 2025
Celebrity Chef Puts Restaurant Group Into Bankruptcy
Marijuana Company Is Pressed to Make Deal by Activist Investor
Nordam Gets Court OK on Stage One of Settlement With Gulfstream
CBS Directors Negotiating Exit of Chief Executive Moonves
Weaker Dollar Boosts Copper
Why Luxury Brands Burn Their Own Goods
Firm Retention Summary: The Nordam Group Inc.
Dollar Drops as Investors Await Economic Data
Walgreens to Offer Allergy Treatment Auvi-Q as EpiPen Shortage Persists
Fed’s Williams Says Yield Curve Not Deciding Factor in Setting Rates
Columbia Property Trust Explores Sale After Receiving Buyout Interest
U.S. Worker Productivity Rose in Spring at Best Pace Since 2015
PagerDuty Secures $1.3 Billion Valuation
Whole Foods Workers Push to Unionize
EU Clears Apple to Acquire Song-Recognition App Shazam
Service-Sector Businesses Are Getting Increasingly Jittery About Tariffs
LaSalle Hotel Properties Agrees to Merge With Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
The Unreality of Reality TV Home Shows
Upwork Moves Ahead With Plans to Go Public
A Home in an Affluent Copenhagen Suburb Keeps Getting Better
Layoffs Reach a Half-Century Low
Why the 4% Retirement Rule Is Just a Starting Point
Financial Services Software Company SS&C to Buy Intralinks for $1.5 Billion
DOJ Probing Wells Fargo’s Wholesale Banking Unit
Private Sector Adds 163,000 New Jobs in August
Stocks to Watch: Dell Technologies, Amazon.com, Facebook, CVS Health, Lands’ End, CBS, American Express, Cushman & Wakefield, DocuSign, Tilray, Cloudera
The Phenom Behind Blackstone’s Real-Estate Machine
Emerging Markets Rout Serves Coffee Producers a Cold Cuppa
Geron’s Take: Hope for Tech Inclusion, With Tax Breaks for Investors
VCs Bet on Digital Link for Clinical Trials
Doctors’ Voice-Based ‘Smart Assistant’ Gets Funding
Companies Grapple With Rise in Bankruptcy Fees
How Bankruptcy Professionals Are Dealing With Higher Chapter 11 Fees
The Fed Moves Global Asset Prices
Derby’s Take: St. Louis Fed’s Bullard Makes a Case for Focusing on Markets
Billionaire Founder Locked Up? JD.com’s Board Can’t Meet Without Its Mighty Boss
Sweden’s Riksbank Rules Out October Rate Rise
Novartis to Sell Parts of Sandoz for $1 Billion
Trade Disputes Yet to Disrupt Export-Dependent Switzerland
U.K. Court Reverses Ruling Narrowing Attorney-Client Privilege
China’s Investors Export Pessimism to Hong Kong Stocks
After 78 Countries and 25,000 Stores, Starbucks Tries Italy
SEC Trading Move May Cost Investors $300 Million
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0019

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-09-10 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-31,289.84,290.81,289.29,290.31,265.8615,66140800.0,0.0,2.5353,291.8575,280.5505,62.638,143.5948,29.5549,284.7597,280.4657
2018-09-04,289.84,290.21,288.68,289.81,265.4036,57594400.0,-0.0017,2.4835,292.2852,280.6398,61.7571,118.9586,23.9347,285.08,280.6593
2018-09-05,289.41,289.64,287.89,289.03,264.6894,72452400.0,-0.0027,2.3524,292.5512,280.7188,60.3866,93.5574,16.9137,285.3273,280.8338
2018-09-06,289.15,289.49,287.0,288.16,263.8926,65909900.0,-0.003,2.1535,292.6966,280.8434,58.879,72.0649,9.4466,285.4657,280.9878
2018-09-07,286.98,288.7,286.71,287.6,263.3798,73524800.0,-0.0019,1.9285,292.7781,281.0149,57.9161,54.3279,7.0648,285.6077,281.1473

CBS Board Was Warned of Les Moonves Allegations
Could Oil Demand Peak in Just Five Years?
Companies Find Benefits in Streamlining Authority
Elevian Seeded With $5.5 Million to Develop Therapies for Diseases of Aging
U.S. Dollar Weakens on Brexit Progress
Weakness Against Major Rivals Dims Dollar’s Shine
Chernova’s Take: Congressional Scrutiny Isn’t Just a ‘Big Tech’ Problem
Drug Distributor AmerisourceBergen Names New Finance Chief
White House Corrects Trump Tweet on GDP, Unemployment
S&P 500 Rises Ahead of Economic Data
States Face Crunch If Fed’s Tool Kit Is Limited in Next Recession
ITT Bankruptcy Trustee Sues Lenders, Department of Education
U.S. Crude Edges Lower as Investors Weigh Supply Signal
Yerak’s Take: Boston Globe’s Claim in Herald Bankruptcy Slashed to $2.5 Million
Yerak’s Take: Boston Globe’s Claim in Herald Bankruptcy Slashed to $2.5 Million
Lucky Dragon Lender Casts Doubt on Proposed Auction
Mike Isabella Restaurant Group Wins Approval to Pay Employees
Borrowers Struggle to Raise Funds as Emerging Markets Tumble
Reforms Haven’t Eliminated Risk of Another Lehman-Type Failure
Firm Retention Summary: Heritage Home Group LLC
SAIC to Buy Engility for $1.5 Billion in Stock
Banks’ Sharing of Financial Crime Data Raises Questions on Ethics
Lions in Winter: Bush, Dole, McCain and the Party They Led
HCA Healthcare Names New CEO
Stocks to Watch: CBS, Snap, Apple, Nike, Tesla, and More
A Dangerous Time of Year for Oil Prices
The RBI Should let the Rupee Fall
Derby’s Take: The Yield Curve Could Rattle Fed’s Rate Consensus
Volvo Extends CEO’s Contract as It Hits Brakes on IPO
Turkish Economy Cooled in Second Quarter
OECD Leading Indicators Flash Growth Warning
Trump’s Apple Tweet Takes a Bite Out of Asian Suppliers
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren
Boston Fed President Backs Quarterly Rate Increases
Scurria’s Take: Patriot National Owner Challenges $4.9 Million Bankruptcy Bill
Scurria’s Take: Patriot National Owner Challenges $4.9 Million Bankruptcy Bill
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0033

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-11. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-04,289.84,290.21,288.68,289.81,265.4036,57594400.0,-0.0017,2.4835,292.2852,280.6398,61.7571,118.9586,23.9347,285.08,280.6593
2018-09-05,289.41,289.64,287.89,289.03,264.6894,72452400.0,-0.0027,2.3524,292.5512,280.7188,60.3866,93.5574,16.9137,285.3273,280.8338
2018-09-06,289.15,289.49,287.0,288.16,263.8926,65909900.0,-0.003,2.1535,292.6966,280.8434,58.879,72.0649,9.4466,285.4657,280.9878
2018-09-07,286.98,288.7,286.71,287.6,263.3798,73524800.0,-0.0019,1.9285,292.7781,281.0149,57.9161,54.3279,7.0648,285.6077,281.1473
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035

Davis’s Take: Cleantech Getting Some Action
Hong Kong’s $2.1 Trillion Benchmark Stock Index Enters Bear Market
Australia Antitrust Regulator Clears $9 Billion Bid for Pipeline Company
FCC Pauses Clock for Reviewing T-Mobile, Sprint Deal
Activist Marathon Partners Pushes e.l.f. Beauty to Sell Itself or Cut Costs
Startup Uses ‘Mini Brains’ and Software to Power Drug Research
Judge Lets Cryptocurrency Fraud Case Go Forward, In Win for SEC
Carpet Maker Kraus Group Files for Bankruptcy in U.S. and Canada
Dollar Treads Water as Investors Await Trade News
U.S. Stocks Gain Despite Trade Worries
U.S. Crude’s Discount to Global Prices Opens Taps to Exports
A Return to Normalcy Will Be the Fed’s Biggest Test
Chinese Imports and Domestic Employment Across 18 OECD Countries
Oil Climbs as U.S. Exports Seen Rising
Brickley’s Take: Law Firm Seeks to Withdraw From Cambridge Analytica Case
ING Groep CFO Koos Timmermans Steps Down After Settlement
Brickley’s Take: Law Firm Seeks to Withdraw From Cambridge Analytica Case
Finra Wades Into Cryptocurrency Enforcement
SEC Takes First Action Against Hedge Fund Over Crypto Investments
Transcript: Eric Rosengren Presents Paper at Boston Fed Conference
Transcript: Q&A With Eric Rosengren at Boston Fed Conference
Transcript: Cleveland Fed’s Loretta Mester Speaks in Boston
Transcript: Eric Rosengren Opens Boston Fed Economic Conference
Product Quest Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy After Ending Operations
Rex Energy Outlines Plan to Pay Off Creditors
Nine West Directors in Settlement Talks With Sycamore Partners
Firm Retention Summary: The Nordam Group Inc.
Bank of England’s Mark Carney Extends Tenure
Stocks to Watch: Sonos, Francesca’s, Amazon.com, Pentair, Halliburton, Integrated Device Technology, Nutanix
Steel Workers Demand Higher Pay as Tariffs Lift Profits
Hudson’s Bay Strikes European Merger Agreement
German Economy Is Within Reach of Key Goal
Timiraos’s Take: What If Markets Are Wrong About ‘Lower for Longer’?
New Way to Play FANG Stocks Falls Short for Some Investors
Casino Stocks’ Tumble Helps Push Hong Kong Into Bear Market
Renesas to Buy Integrated Device for $6.7 Billion
New Partners in Weed Startup: Jimmy Buffett and Wrigley Scion
WSJ Pro VC Newsletter for Monday, Sept. 10, 2018
VCs Turn Focus On Device-Based Treatments for Neurological Disorders
Job Openings Exceed Unemployed Americans Again in July
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0002

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-09-12. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-04,289.84,290.21,288.68,289.81,265.4036,57594400.0,-0.0017,2.4835,292.2852,280.6398,61.7571,118.9586,23.9347,285.08,280.6593
2018-09-05,289.41,289.64,287.89,289.03,264.6894,72452400.0,-0.0027,2.3524,292.5512,280.7188,60.3866,93.5574,16.9137,285.3273,280.8338
2018-09-06,289.15,289.49,287.0,288.16,263.8926,65909900.0,-0.003,2.1535,292.6966,280.8434,58.879,72.0649,9.4466,285.4657,280.9878
2018-09-07,286.98,288.7,286.71,287.6,263.3798,73524800.0,-0.0019,1.9285,292.7781,281.0149,57.9161,54.3279,7.0648,285.6077,281.1473
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035
2018-09-11,287.37,289.55,286.98,289.05,264.7077,50530500.0,0.0033,1.7015,292.6489,282.3331,59.7203,66.4775,1.8786,286.1337,281.5022

AT&T CEO Q&A: Trump, Taxes and Moonves
Hershey to Buy Pirate’s Booty Maker for $420 Million
AT&T Boss Is Arming HBO for Battle
Geron’s Take: Recipe for Trouble in Redefining Food Products
Fed Should Raise Rates for the Next Year or Two, Brainard Says
U.S. Dollar Slides as Demand Grows for Emerging-Market Currencies
S&P 500 Gains Amid Trade Hopes
FTSE 100 Sets Unilever’s Departure Date
Fidelity Doubles Down on Free Fund Strategy
Kraus Group to Proceed With Sale of Carpet Tile Unit
Biswas’s Take: A Few Industry Giants Dominate Private Debt Fundraising
Transcript: Q&A With Fed’s Lael Brainard in Detroit
Biswas’s Take: A Few Industry Giants Dominate Private Debt Fundraising
New Highs for Transport Stocks Suggest Dow Rebound Ahead
Judge Extends Payment Deadline for Roscoe’s House of Chicken and Waffles Founder
Oath CEO Tim Armstrong to Leave the Verizon Unit
Oil Prices Rise as U.S. Inventories and Output Fall
Oaktree Lines Up $1.1 Billion in Financing for Claire’s Stores, Seeks More
IEX Exchange Wins Its First Listing
What J.P. Morgan Says Could Cause the Next Financial Crisis
United Technologies to Pay $13.9 Million to Settle SEC Bribery Case
Prudential CEO to Retire in November
Economy Grows Moderately, But Trade Fears Rise, Fed’s Beige Book Says
Weaker Dollar Lifts Gold Prices
Carlyle Group to Buy Majority Stake in Sedgwick
HDL Trustee Sues to Block Discharge of Ex-Salesman’s Debts
Biotech Startup Atreca Collects $125 Million for Cancer Clinical Trials
Investors Get CODA Biotherapeutics Off the Ground With $19 Million
China’s Sovereign-Wealth Fund Interested in Buying HNA’s Deutsche Bank Stake
Chef Traci Des Jardins’ Winning Real-Estate Strategy
Fed’s Bullard Sees Trump Agenda Improving Economic Outlook
JPMorgan’s Dimon Said He Could Beat Trump in a Presidential Election
Firm Retention Summary: Product Quest Manufacturing LLC
Before It Was Hacked, Equifax Had a Different Fear: Chinese Spying
Aramco Fights $70 Billion Price Tag for Saudi Chemicals Giant
Resideo Names CFO, Board Ahead of Spinoff From Honeywell
A Celebrity Chef’s Winning Real-Estate Strategy
FDA Chief Considers Ban of All Flavored E-Cigarettes
‘Fintech Charter’ Has No Early Takers as Lawsuit Looms
The Return of the Luxurious Retro Kitchen
The Luxurious Second Life of Defunct English Pubs
Business Prices Declined in August
Fed’s Bullard Reiterates Fed Should Listen More to Market
Bargain Hunters in Turkey, Argentina Struggle With Inflation
Tech Investors Prepare to Say Goodbye to Facebook, Google
Nielsen Exploring Options, Including Sale or Spinoff
Zara’s Upbeat Outlook Eases Concerns About Online Rivals
Repo Activity and the Leverage Ratio
Derby’s Take: New York Fed Offers a Look at R-Star
Eurozone Industrial Output Falls for Second Month
Judge Who Oversaw Silk Road Case Rejoins Cravath
‘Crypto Tourists’ Flee Slumping Bitcoin
Cars, Pigs and Handset Parts: Firms Show Troubles For Chinese Stocks
Epic Sciences Gets $52 Million for Cancer Blood Tests
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0059

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-09-13 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-04,289.84,290.21,288.68,289.81,265.4036,57594400.0,-0.0017,2.4835,292.2852,280.6398,61.7571,118.9586,23.9347,285.08,280.6593
2018-09-05,289.41,289.64,287.89,289.03,264.6894,72452400.0,-0.0027,2.3524,292.5512,280.7188,60.3866,93.5574,16.9137,285.3273,280.8338
2018-09-06,289.15,289.49,287.0,288.16,263.8926,65909900.0,-0.003,2.1535,292.6966,280.8434,58.879,72.0649,9.4466,285.4657,280.9878
2018-09-07,286.98,288.7,286.71,287.6,263.3798,73524800.0,-0.0019,1.9285,292.7781,281.0149,57.9161,54.3279,7.0648,285.6077,281.1473
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035
2018-09-11,287.37,289.55,286.98,289.05,264.7077,50530500.0,0.0033,1.7015,292.6489,282.3331,59.7203,66.4775,1.8786,286.1337,281.5022
2018-09-12,289.06,289.8,288.23,289.12,264.7718,59810800.0,0.0002,1.634,292.6674,282.8366,59.8074,75.0486,3.8731,286.3933,281.7115

Fed’s Kaplan Supports Rate Increases Toward ‘Neutral’ Level
Goldman Sachs’ Next CEO Names New Finance Chief, President
WageWorks Shares Fall on Allegations Company Withheld Information From Auditors
These Investors Hope to Avoid a Direct Hit From Hurricane Florence
Henri Bendel to Close After 123 Years
Turkey Takes Action on Strained Economy With Big Rate Rise
Bird Rock Bio Makes Headway Against Liver Disease
Sears Reports Widening Losses and Tumbling Sales
Corrigan’s Take: Delaware Begins Search for Two Temporary Bankruptcy Judges
U.S. Dollar Slides as Inflation Falls Short of Expectations
Corrigan’s Take: Delaware Begins Search for Two Temporary Bankruptcy Judges
Founders of Shuttered $6 Billion Hedge Fund Planning a Comeback
Kroger Sales Fall Short, Driving Shares Down
Gormley’s Take: Los Angeles Makes Bid to Boost Biotech Startups
Coal Prices Rise as Hurricane Florence Disrupts Exports
U.S. Stocks Rise as Trade Tensions Ease
Facebook to Start Fact-Checking Photos, Videos
U.S. Budget Deficit Widened in August, Treasury Says
Bernanke: Credit Freeze to Blame for Severity of Last Recession
5G Needs a Lot More Cell Towers. Some Residents Aren’t Happy.
Judge Approves Settlement Between M&G, Creditors Over Luxembourg Units
ECB Lowers Growth Forecasts as It Confirms Stimulus Taper
Sanctions Order on Election Meddling Has Little Bite, Experts Say
Argentine Consumer Prices Increase in August
Public Firms Score a Win in Fight to Limit Reach of Proxy Advisers
Oil Falls on Rising OPEC Production
Energy Future Erases NextEra’s $275 Million Oncor Fee
Boston Fed Research Calls For Central Bank to Review Policy, Regularly
Cambridge Analytica Bankruptcy Lawyers’ Exit Bid Delayed
UPS Lays Out Plans for More-Profitable Shipping
Consumer Prices Moderate After Run-Up Earlier in 2018
Firm Retention Summary: Curae Health Inc.
Copper Prices Gain as Dollar Weakens
Atlanta Fed’s Bostic Says the Economy Needs Gradual Rate Rises
The Tricky Part of the Fed’s Next Rate Increases
ECB Takeaways: End of Stimulus Approaches, but Caution Remains
Multiemployer Pension Plans Can’t Cut Their Way to Solvency
Steven Mnuchin Asks $32.5 Million for Longtime Manhattan Home
Most Economists See Tariff Effects on U.S. Economy as Limited
Economists Split Over Path of Interest Rates in 2019
Deutsche Bank Names New Head of Anti-Financial Crime
Smartphones, Electric Cars Keep Miners Digging by Hand in Congo
Jobless Claims Remain at Half-Century Low
Bank of England Holds Key Rate as It Warns on Trade Tension Threat
Boeing Shores Up Its Defenses
Europe Targets Money Laundering After Scandals
Shift Drives Off With Debt in New Funding
Optimism Over Trade Talks Boosts Chinese Stocks
At Campbell Soup, Heirs Hold the Key as Activist Tries to Remake Board
Wessel’s Take: Returning to His Academic Roots, Bernanke Probes Origins of the Great Recession
Australia’s Job-Market Slack Is Being Eaten Up
Global Oil Supply Hits Record High as OPEC Ramps Up Production
Europe Set for Trio of Central Bank Decisions
Government Says Bankrupt Manufacturer’s Asbestos Payout Plan Is Ripe for Abuse
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0002

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-17. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-07,286.98,288.7,286.71,287.6,263.3798,73524800.0,-0.0019,1.9285,292.7781,281.0149,57.9161,54.3279,7.0648,285.6077,281.1473
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035
2018-09-11,287.37,289.55,286.98,289.05,264.7077,50530500.0,0.0033,1.7015,292.6489,282.3331,59.7203,66.4775,1.8786,286.1337,281.5022
2018-09-12,289.06,289.8,288.23,289.12,264.7718,59810800.0,0.0002,1.634,292.6674,282.8366,59.8074,75.0486,3.8731,286.3933,281.7115
2018-09-13,290.32,291.04,290.0,290.83,266.3377,51034200.0,0.0059,1.699,292.4217,283.9873,61.8889,109.9957,13.2252,286.7257,281.967
2018-09-14,291.06,291.27,290.0,290.88,266.3836,55079900.0,0.0002,1.7345,292.4424,284.6486,61.9485,105.6435,14.8673,287.0087,282.2155

Web and Mobile Banking Down at SunTrust After System Upgrade
Chernova’s Take: Why LPs Might Cheer a Leaner Kleiner Perkins
FedEx Sounds Alarm on Tariffs
Oracle Revenues Up 1%, Sending Shares Lower After-Hours
Nestlé to Sell Gerber Life Insurance to Western & Southern Financial
Stech’s Take: Justice Department Breaks Its Silence on Asbestos Trusts
Stech’s Take: Justice Department Breaks Its Silence on Asbestos Trusts
Oil Prices Trade Slightly Lower
CEO of Tyson Foods to Step Down for Personal Reasons
Claire’s Reaches Settlement With Oaktree
Quick Hits: Mounting Inflation a Global Issue, Report Says
Tariff Uncertainty Drags on Stocks
NFL Players Union Joins Financing for Miach Orthopaedics
Cigna, Express Scripts Say Merger Cleared by Justice Department
Orianna Asks Judge to Resolve Standoff With Landlord
Thai Cave Diver Sues Elon Musk for Defamation
Manufacturing Activity Expansion Slows
Trump Adviser Kudlow Blames Deficits on Spending, Not Tax Cuts
Weaker Dollar Lifts Copper Despite Renewed Trade Angst
A Czar of Overseas Day Trading Is Suspended
Dollar Declines as Trade Dispute Intensifies
PetSmart Defends Chewy.com Share Transfers
Firm Retention Summary: Samuels Jewelers Inc.
In Rare Step, Saudi’s Sovereign-Wealth Fund Raises $11 Billion Loan
Democrats’ To-Do List: Translate Anger Into Actual Votes
Richard Clarida Sworn in as Vice Chairman of Federal Reserve Board
Stocks to Watch: Amazon, Boeing, United Technologies, McDonald’s, and More
Fans of Coal Are Reaping the Rewards
401(k) Plan Quality Correlates With Company Profits
Judge Will Appoint Trustee to Run Huge Oregon Dairy
Altaba Sells Remaining Yahoo Japan Shares
Election Uncertainty Spurs Investors to Hedge
Goldman’s J. Aron Era Ends With David Solomon’s Rise
Government Properties Income Trust to Buy REIT, Rename Itself
Some Investors Want a Recession in Turkey
ECB May Give More Rate Guidance
H&M Shares Soar as Recovery Efforts Boost Sales
Derby’s Take: Step by Step, Fed Leadership Diversity Edges Higher
The Fed’s Dual Mandate Trumps ECB’s Inflation Obsession
DowDuPont CEO Breen to Be Executive Chairman at Spinoff
Chinese Shares, Rattled by Trade Impasse, Hit Lowest Level Since 2014
Bertelsmann to Buy OnCourse Learning in Education Push
Biswas’s Take: iHeart Wants Releases and a Judge Asks Why?
Biswas’s Take: iHeart Wants Releases and Judge Asks Why?
Out of Stock This Holiday Season: Store Workers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0054

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-09-18. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035
2018-09-11,287.37,289.55,286.98,289.05,264.7077,50530500.0,0.0033,1.7015,292.6489,282.3331,59.7203,66.4775,1.8786,286.1337,281.5022
2018-09-12,289.06,289.8,288.23,289.12,264.7718,59810800.0,0.0002,1.634,292.6674,282.8366,59.8074,75.0486,3.8731,286.3933,281.7115
2018-09-13,290.32,291.04,290.0,290.83,266.3377,51034200.0,0.0059,1.699,292.4217,283.9873,61.8889,109.9957,13.2252,286.7257,281.967
2018-09-14,291.06,291.27,290.0,290.88,266.3836,55079900.0,0.0002,1.7345,292.4424,284.6486,61.9485,105.6435,14.8673,287.0087,282.2155
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672

It’s a Jungle Out There: Pacific Nation Braves Jittery Frontier Bond Market
One Small Step for Yusaku Maezawa, One Giant Leap for SpaceX
Japan’s Trade Deficit Doubles in August
Employers Choose Bonuses Over Raises
Roof’s Take: Rounds Aren’t Always What They Seem
Fika Preparing Sale to Coffee Chain’s Lender, Co-Owner
Ooda Health Grabs $40 Million Series A
Futures Regulator Fines NEX Group Subsidiary $50 Million
U.S. Stocks Shrug Off New Tariffs to Post Gains
SEC Commissioner Calls for Regulators to Bolster Market Oversight
Buyback ‘Blackout’ to Test Stock Market
Oil Prices Climb After Russian Plane Shot Down
SEC Proposal to Limit Big Whistleblower Awards Draws Criticism
WeWork Reaches Settlement on Noncompete Pacts
China Tariff Threatens U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas Boom
Ferrari to Launch Special Editions, SUV Rival in Bid to Boost Profit
New York Fed Turns Profit on Crisis-Bailout Facility
UBS Investors Dealt Setback Over Puerto Rico Fund Losses
Giant Debt Offer Shows Appetite for Low-Rated Companies
Former SeaWorld CEO Settles Claim He Misled Investors
Holidays Gifts May Escape Tariffs, but Retailers Won’t
Firm Retention Summary: Heritage Home Group LLC
Cryptocurrency Exchanges Vulnerable to Manipulation, Report Finds
Marsh & McLennan Aims for Growth With Acquisition of U.K. Insurer
Copper Surges on Softer-Than-Expected Tariffs
Dollar Up Slightly in Midday Trade
Tiger Global Leads $300 Million Postmates Investment
Many Investors Expect Global Growth to Slow
General Mills’ New Pet-Food Business Slows Down
U.S. Sues to Block Discharge of Ex-Salesman’s Debts
Behind Your Rising Health-Care Bills: Secret Hospital Deals That Squelch Competition
Dollar Tree to Consolidate Support Centers
Neiman Marcus Sales Rise but Losses Continue
Indigo Ag Quickly Refuels, Fetching $3.5 Billion Valuation
Bank at Center of Money-Laundering Probe Knew of Russian Blacklist Clients
Thor Industries to Acquire RV Maker Erwin Hymer Group
Mastercard, Visa Agree to Settle Merchant Antitrust Suit
Bertelsmann to Merge Unit That Moderates for Facebook With Rival
FirstMark Leads $88 Million Round in Men’s Health Startup Roman
Hedge Funds Struggle to Profit From Choppy Markets in Asia
Draghi Calls for More Action to Shore Up Banking Sector
Hannon’s Take: Wage Moves to Decide Timing of ECB Rate Rise
The Rise of Macroprudential Policies
Facebook and Financial Firms Tussled for Years Over Access to User Data
NYC Housing Prices Have Surpassed Pre-Crisis Peak in 2006
SpaceX’s First Moon Tourist Is a Japanese Billionaire
RBA Downplays Risks Around Mortgage Rate Increases
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0011

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-09-19 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035
2018-09-11,287.37,289.55,286.98,289.05,264.7077,50530500.0,0.0033,1.7015,292.6489,282.3331,59.7203,66.4775,1.8786,286.1337,281.5022
2018-09-12,289.06,289.8,288.23,289.12,264.7718,59810800.0,0.0002,1.634,292.6674,282.8366,59.8074,75.0486,3.8731,286.3933,281.7115
2018-09-13,290.32,291.04,290.0,290.83,266.3377,51034200.0,0.0059,1.699,292.4217,283.9873,61.8889,109.9957,13.2252,286.7257,281.967
2018-09-14,291.06,291.27,290.0,290.88,266.3836,55079900.0,0.0002,1.7345,292.4424,284.6486,61.9485,105.6435,14.8673,287.0087,282.2155
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672
2018-09-18,289.58,291.58,289.55,290.91,266.4109,61930400.0,0.0054,1.6365,292.3746,285.6684,60.9622,94.159,11.366,287.409,282.7367

Galera Therapeutics Receives $150 Million Through Equity and Royalty Deals
Crypto Pioneer David Chaum Says He’s Built a Better Bitcoin
Biggest U.S. Public Pension Looks to China for New Investment Chief
Union Pacific’s Cure for Congestion: Imitate a Rival
Bank of America Corporate, Investment Banking Chief to Depart
‘Safety’ Stocks Fuel Market Rally
Bayer Steps Up Fight Over Weed Killer Blamed for Cancer
Dollar Weakens as Global Growth Concerns Ease
Brazil Central Bank Leaves Selic Rate Unchanged at 6.5%
Titanic Artifacts to Be Auctioned Off in October
Profit Repatriation Slows in the Second Quarter After Tax Overhaul
Brickley’s Take: Judge Orders Examiner in Samuels Jewelers Case
Major Stock Indexes Near Records as Trade Fears Ease
Oil Hits Two-Month High as U.S. Crude Inventories Slide
Copper Prices Reverse Gains
Bankrupt Applebee’s Franchisee to Close at Least Six More Restaurants
Lucky Dragon Hotel in Las Vegas Preparing to Close
Bank of America to Pay $30 Million in Benchmark-Manipulation Settlement
U.S. Current-Account Deficit Narrowed in Second Quarter
Bank CEO Resigns After Money-Laundering Probe Expands
Firm Retention Summary: The Nordam Group Inc.
Goldman Sachs Nears Deal to Spin Off ‘Simon’ App
Draghi Calls for Fiscal Pool
Aralez in Stalking Horse Deals With Nuvo, Deerfield
Draghi: Eurozone Needs New ‘Sizable’ Fund to Shield Against Crises
GitLab Raising Capital at Valuation of at Least $1 Billion
U.S. Housing Starts Rose in August
Worldpay Co-CEO Philip Jansen to Leave at End of Year
Deutsche Bank Senior Banker Advised Bosses to Consider Breakup
Prudential Names New Finance Chief
Bank of Japan Maintains Promise to Keep Extremely Low Rates for ‘Extended Period’
Timiraos’s Take: What U.S.-China Trade Escalation Means for the Fed
Dividends Boom as Asia Embraces Shareholder Payouts
Five Things to Know About Mary Daly
U.K. Inflation Accelerated in August
China’s Hillhouse Capital Raises $10.6 Billion for a New Fund
Kuroda: Easing Program Will End, but Not Now
Bank of Thailand Stands Pat
Rizzo’s Take: Toys ‘R’ Us Sale of Asian Business Continues Down Bumpy Road
Rizzo’s Take: Toys ‘R’ Us Sale of Asian Business Continues Down Bumpy Road
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0081

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-20. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-10,288.74,289.04,287.88,288.1,263.8377,50210900.0,0.0017,1.77,292.774,281.513,58.5423,66.4399,9.5321,285.8303,281.3035
2018-09-11,287.37,289.55,286.98,289.05,264.7077,50530500.0,0.0033,1.7015,292.6489,282.3331,59.7203,66.4775,1.8786,286.1337,281.5022
2018-09-12,289.06,289.8,288.23,289.12,264.7718,59810800.0,0.0002,1.634,292.6674,282.8366,59.8074,75.0486,3.8731,286.3933,281.7115
2018-09-13,290.32,291.04,290.0,290.83,266.3377,51034200.0,0.0059,1.699,292.4217,283.9873,61.8889,109.9957,13.2252,286.7257,281.967
2018-09-14,291.06,291.27,290.0,290.88,266.3836,55079900.0,0.0002,1.7345,292.4424,284.6486,61.9485,105.6435,14.8673,287.0087,282.2155
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672
2018-09-18,289.58,291.58,289.55,290.91,266.4109,61930400.0,0.0054,1.6365,292.3746,285.6684,60.9622,94.159,11.366,287.409,282.7367
2018-09-19,290.97,291.69,290.83,291.22,266.6949,49080600.0,0.0011,1.6558,292.5054,286.0256,61.3387,102.8178,12.2079,287.597,283.0737

Japan’s Markets Have Been Transformed by the Abenomics Wave
Effort to Bring Observation Wheel to New York City Nears Futility
Japan’s Core CPI Rose 0.9% in August
Comcast, Fox to Settle $35 Billion Takeover Battle for Sky in Auction
Gormley’s Take: Future of Aesthetic Medicine Not Just Another Pretty Face
Puerto Rico’s Credibility Deficit Lingers
Growing Opposition Threatens Last U.S. Nuclear Plant
Wells Fargo to Cut Jobs Over Next Three Years
Randles’s Take: Justice Department Just Says No to Marijuana Bankruptcies
Eventbrite Surges in Market Debut
Abandoned IT Integration Linked to Danske Bank Failures
AT&T Attacks DOJ Appeal in Time Warner Case
U.S. Stocks Close at Records
U.S. Household Net Worth Neared $107 Trillion in Second Quarter
Credit-Card Startup Brex Seeks $1 Billion Valuation in New Round
Oil Prices Fall After Trump Blasts OPEC
Companies Are Finding More Accounting Flubs
WeWork Is Launching a Venture Fund for the ‘Future of Work’
GE Finds Flaw in Power-Plant Turbines
Gold Prices Get a Boost From Weaker Dollar
U.S. Existing-Home Sales Stalled in August
Airlines Fight Push to Regulate Ticket-Change Fees
Fedspeak Cheat Sheet: What Fed Officials Said Ahead of Their September Meeting
Goldman’s Top Stock-Trading Executive to Depart
Dollar Falls on Hopes U.S., China Can Resolve Trade Spat
Amazon Investment Could Lead to Large Stake in India Retail Chain
South African Reserve Bank Keeps Interest Rate Unchanged
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall to 49-Year Low
Swiss Paradox: Booming Economy, Negative Interest Rates
Denmark Reopens Probe into Russia-Linked Money Laundering Case
SEC Says Don’t Judge Its Enforcement Solely on Volume
Under Armour to Cut 400 Jobs
Oil Giants Use Size to Overcome Fracking Challenges
Thor Industries Slides Amid Weaker Profit, Cloudy Forecast
Stocks to Watch: Comcast, Tilray, Facebook, Amazon.com, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Red Hat, Darden Restaurants, Herman Miller
Turkey Slashes Growth Forecasts to Cool Inflation
OPEC, Russia to Discuss Output as Iran Sanctions Bite
Nestlé to Explore Options for Skin-Health Unit
Mack’s Take: Town Hall Ventures Raises $115 Million for Startups Tackling Underserved Populations
Aston Martin Accelerates Toward October IPO
Fund Firm to Cut Pay for Managers Who Trail Market
OECD Sees Trade Tensions Hindering Global Growth
Hong Kong IPOs Power Ahead Despite Recent Market Weakness
Money-Management Fraud Yields Life Sentence in China
Another Cryptocurrency Exchange Hacked
New Zealand Economy Grows Strongly in Second Quarter
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0054

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-24. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-14,291.06,291.27,290.0,290.88,266.3836,55079900.0,0.0002,1.7345,292.4424,284.6486,61.9485,105.6435,14.8673,287.0087,282.2155
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672
2018-09-18,289.58,291.58,289.55,290.91,266.4109,61930400.0,0.0054,1.6365,292.3746,285.6684,60.9622,94.159,11.366,287.409,282.7367
2018-09-19,290.97,291.69,290.83,291.22,266.6949,49080600.0,0.0011,1.6558,292.5054,286.0256,61.3387,102.8178,12.2079,287.597,283.0737
2018-09-20,292.64,293.94,291.24,293.58,268.8562,100360600.0,0.0081,1.8402,293.0741,286.1979,64.0678,138.4028,27.3042,287.8677,283.44
2018-09-21,293.09,293.22,291.81,291.99,268.6106,105479700.0,-0.0054,1.837,293.0231,286.8689,61.0635,115.3956,27.3042,288.0983,283.8173

Some BOJ Members Prefer Larger Range for JGB Yield Target
Dow Industrials Fall as Hopes for Trade Truce Fade
Michael Kors Nears Deal to Buy Versace for Around $2.4 Billion
Dollar Ends the Day Slightly Higher
Gold Giant Barrick Agrees to Buy Rival Randgold for $6 Billion
Boeing Wins Chopper Deal
Meet the Bear-Market Stocks Hiding in S&P 500’s Record Run
Shell CEO Considers Natural-Gas Bet
Seasons Kosher to Auction Off Stores
Fight Emerges Over Whether Harvey Weinstein’s Studio Will Pay Him in Bankruptcy
Carrefour Denies It Bid for Rival Casino
Weight Watchers Changes Name as It Shifts Mission
Gilead to Slice List Prices of Liver Drugs
Other Oil Grades Considered for Brent Benchmark
UBiome Sees Future as Drug Maker
Deutsche Bank’s German Regulators Show Impatience With Money-Laundering Controls
Brent Crude Tops $80, Heads for Highest Close Since 2014
CEOs’ Economic Outlook Eases on Trade Policy Uncertainty
Sirius XM to Buy Pandora
Buyers Face November Bid Deadline for Bankrupt Texas Car Dealerships
Fluor Sues Westinghouse Over Scrapped Nuclear Plant
ECB’s Draghi Says Rising Wages, Inflation Back Easy-Money Phaseout
Comcast Shares Slide After Regulators Accept Sky Bid
Yerak’s Take: Gibson Settlement Shrinks Compensation for CEO, President
Gold Prices Increase on Falling Dollar
Palladium Rally Leads Sudden Rebound in Metals
Sears CEO Pushes a Rescue Plan to Avoid Bankruptcy
McDonald’s Restaurant Chief Doug Goare to Retire
Despite Big Merger, Investors Still Cautious on Gold Mining Companies
Firm Retention Summary: Aralez Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Dollar Falls Against Euro as Draghi Touts Progress
Kavanaugh Controversy Adds to Public’s Crisis of Confidence
TPG in Exclusive Talks to Take Over Abraaj’s $1 Billion Health-Care Fund
Oil Majors Pledge to Cut Methane Emissions
Stocks to Watch: Comcast, Disney, Pandora, Michael Kors and More
CME Plans New WTI Contract With Houston Delivery
Neiman Marcus MyTheresa Transfer; Claire’s Stores Plan Confirmation
Ripple Co-Founder’s Token Selloff Accelerates
Airlines Try to Whip Up Better Meals for Coach Fliers
Derby’s Take: R-Star May Be Shifting Higher, but That Could Now Matter Less
Hong Kong Interbank Rates Jump to Decade Highs After Currency Surge
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0009

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-25. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672
2018-09-18,289.58,291.58,289.55,290.91,266.4109,61930400.0,0.0054,1.6365,292.3746,285.6684,60.9622,94.159,11.366,287.409,282.7367
2018-09-19,290.97,291.69,290.83,291.22,266.6949,49080600.0,0.0011,1.6558,292.5054,286.0256,61.3387,102.8178,12.2079,287.597,283.0737
2018-09-20,292.64,293.94,291.24,293.58,268.8562,100360600.0,0.0081,1.8402,293.0741,286.1979,64.0678,138.4028,27.3042,287.8677,283.44
2018-09-21,293.09,293.22,291.81,291.99,268.6106,105479700.0,-0.0054,1.837,293.0231,286.8689,61.0635,115.3956,27.3042,288.0983,283.8173
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528

New Zealand Business Confidence Jump Challenges Central Bank
Delta Briefly Halts U.S. Departures Because of Tech Problem
CBS Names Richard Parsons as Interim Chairman
Former Bankrate CFO Sentenced to 10 Years for Accounting Fraud
Owners of Last U.S. Nuclear Plant Face Few Good Options as Deadline Nears
Ryder Chief Financial Officer to Retire in 2019
U.S. Consumer Confidence Hits 18-Year High
AI Poised to Stand in for Medical Exams
Shareholders Win Vote Urging Smith & Wesson Maker to Review Safety Efforts
Firm Retention Summary: Open Road Films LLC
Harvey Weinstein’s Former Studio Ordered to Turn Over Business Records
Nike’s Sales Rise 10% on Higher Spending on Sneakers and Apparel
Twitter Proposes Banning Dehumanizing Content
Health-Care Stocks Lead This Leg of Rally, After Tech Giants’ Stumbles
Oil Continues to Soar on Supply Concerns
Dunkin’ to Drop ‘Donuts’ From Brand’s Name
Pressed by Trump, OPEC Fears Oil Glut’s Return
U.S. Stocks Tick Higher as Oil, Energy Stocks Extend Gains
Scurria’s Take: General Motors Beats Back Ignition Defect Deal
Santander Names UBS Investment Bank Head as Next CEO
Snap Communications Head to Leave, Continuing String of Departures
Judge Approves Twin Cities Archdiocese Bankruptcy-Exit Plan
Arby’s Parent to Buy Sonic for $2.3 Billion
Michael Kors to Buy Versace in $2.1 Billion Deal
J.P. Morgan Goes Looking for Job-Market Bubbles, Sees a Few Candidates
Morphic Therapeutic Rounds Up $80 Million for Clinical Trials
U.S. Dollar Declines Before Fed Meeting
Philippines Central Bank Official Indicates Rate Increase
U.S. Adds Maduro’s Wife to Sanctions List
BMW Cuts Outlook, Blames Trade Disputes and Emissions Costs
Bankers vs. Activists: Battle Lines Form Over Low-Income Lending Rules
Home-Price Gains Decelerated in July
Brazil’s Central Bank Hints at Rate Increases
Copper Slightly Lower as Investors Await Fresh Trade Signals
The Knot Parent Agrees to Tie-Up With WeddingWire
Shoppers Love Rewards Credit Cards. Retailers Hate Them.
Future of Last U.S. Nuclear Plant Remains Uncertain
Sears Debt Restructuring; Fluor Sues Westinghouse; Weinstein Wants Pay
As Newell Sheds Brands, a Familiar Foe Circles
SEC Moves to Kill Metric That Signaled Price Mismatch in Pot Fund
BOE’s Vlieghe:Unwinding QE Is Unlikely to Be Disruptive
Timiraos’s Take: What the 2021 Dots Could Say About the Fed’s Narrative
Novartis to Cut 2,000 Jobs Amid Revamp
IRS Is Wrongly Denying Tax Refunds, Some Companies Say
Commodities Giant Louis Dreyfus Revamps Its Leadership—Again
BOJ to Weigh Merits, Demerits of Easing in ‘Balanced Manner,’ Kuroda Says
Taxiway Collisions Emerge as Biggest Threat to U.S. Air Travelers
Chernova’s Take: Secondaries Offer Quicker Exit—But Do VCs Want to Sell?
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0030

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-09-26 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672
2018-09-18,289.58,291.58,289.55,290.91,266.4109,61930400.0,0.0054,1.6365,292.3746,285.6684,60.9622,94.159,11.366,287.409,282.7367
2018-09-19,290.97,291.69,290.83,291.22,266.6949,49080600.0,0.0011,1.6558,292.5054,286.0256,61.3387,102.8178,12.2079,287.597,283.0737
2018-09-20,292.64,293.94,291.24,293.58,268.8562,100360600.0,0.0081,1.8402,293.0741,286.1979,64.0678,138.4028,27.3042,287.8677,283.44
2018-09-21,293.09,293.22,291.81,291.99,268.6106,105479700.0,-0.0054,1.837,293.0231,286.8689,61.0635,115.3956,27.3042,288.0983,283.8173
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528
2018-09-25,291.53,291.65,290.48,290.75,267.4699,44370000.0,-0.0009,1.6157,293.065,287.275,58.8216,72.442,14.1513,288.6487,284.4773

More Chinese Stocks Are Coming to Global Indexes
New Zealand Central Bank Keeps Rates On Ice
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher After Fed Removes Signal
Cadillac to Move Headquarters Back to Detroit From New York
Bed Bath & Beyond Reports Lower Comparable Sales, Profit Than Expected
SurveyMonkey Surges 42% in Debut
Fed Raises Rates, Signals One More Increase This Year
Randles’s Take: Penthouse Creditors Object to Lawyer Fees for Crypto Deal
Lyra Therapeutics Gathers $29.5 Million Series B for Sinusitis Therapy
Judge Approves Pacific Drilling’s Bankruptcy-Exit Plan Outline
Deal Keeps Alive Last U.S. Nuclear Power Plant Under Construction
U.S. Stocks End Lower After Fed Rate Increase
Analysis: Powell Says It Was Perfect Time to Strike ‘Accommodative’ Language
SurveyMonkey Soars in Public Market Debut
Bankruptcy Watchdogs Push Congress for a Raise
Payments Fintech Stripe Valued at $20 Billion in Latest Funding Round
Oil Falls on Surprise Build in U.S. Inventories
The Fault Lies in R-Star and in Ourselves
VoxEU Post Studies Central Bank Swap Lines
Live: Jerome Powell’s Postmeeting Press Conference
Uber to Pay $148 Million Penalty to Settle 2016 Data Breach
Gibson Brands Starts Filling Out New Board of Directors
McDonald’s Removes Artificial Ingredients From Burgers
BBVA’s González to Retire
The Trees In Your Yard: Are They Just Clutter?
21st Century Fox to Sell Sky Stake to Comcast
Foreign Real-Estate Buyers Get Told to Go Home
How China Systematically Pries Technology From U.S. Companies
New-Home Sales Bounced Back in August
Czech Central Bank Raises Rates Again
Bank Suit Could Complicate the Fed’s Rate Policy
Stocks to Watch: Twitter, Nike, KB Home, Nielsen, Snap, Delta Air Lines, Rite Aid, CarMax, Merck & Co.
Drug Maker Egalet Buys More Times With Bondholder Pact
WPP Consolidates Agencies as New CEO’s Battle Plan Takes Shape
Merck CEO to Remain in Job After Turning 65
Japanese Stocks Are on the Verge of Hitting Highest Levels Since 1991
Geron’s Take: A Tokenized Fund Aims to Provide Early-Stage Funding for Global Startups
Derby’s Take: Time to Put ‘Accommodative’ Fed Language Out of Its Misery?
Europe’s LNG Success Is U.S. Opportunity, Russia Challenge
As Fed Raises Rates, Consumers Have Yet to Feel the Sting
Federal Reserve Readies Third Interest-Rate Increase of 2018
ECB Projects U.S. Could Be Biggest Casualty of a Global Trade Conflict
Indonesia’s Central Bank May Raise Interest Rates
Large Investors Dive Into Risky Loan Securities
U.K. Businesses Fear They Won’t Survive Customs Delays After Brexit
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0028

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-09-27. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-17,290.82,290.86,289.03,289.34,264.9733,68244000.0,-0.0053,1.6196,292.3047,285.2143,59.0079,73.8827,5.8375,287.2,282.4672
2018-09-18,289.58,291.58,289.55,290.91,266.4109,61930400.0,0.0054,1.6365,292.3746,285.6684,60.9622,94.159,11.366,287.409,282.7367
2018-09-19,290.97,291.69,290.83,291.22,266.6949,49080600.0,0.0011,1.6558,292.5054,286.0256,61.3387,102.8178,12.2079,287.597,283.0737
2018-09-20,292.64,293.94,291.24,293.58,268.8562,100360600.0,0.0081,1.8402,293.0741,286.1979,64.0678,138.4028,27.3042,287.8677,283.44
2018-09-21,293.09,293.22,291.81,291.99,268.6106,105479700.0,-0.0054,1.837,293.0231,286.8689,61.0635,115.3956,27.3042,288.0983,283.8173
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528
2018-09-25,291.53,291.65,290.48,290.75,267.4699,44370000.0,-0.0009,1.6157,293.065,287.275,58.8216,72.442,14.1513,288.6487,284.4773
2018-09-26,290.91,292.24,289.41,289.88,266.6695,79739700.0,-0.003,1.4336,293.0638,287.2722,57.255,55.6214,4.3732,288.848,284.7777

SEC’s Musk Lawsuit Highlights Dangers of Social Media Disclosures
Bank of Canada Governor Poloz: Economy Doing ‘Quite Well’ for Past Year
New Evidence Undercuts McKinsey’s Defense of Bankruptcy Disclosures
J.C. Penney Losing Finance Chief
U.S. Dollar Jumps After Fed Raises Rates for Third Time This Year
Fed Chairman Addresses Concerns About Flattening Yield Curve
Inside the New Amazon 4-Star Store, a Novelty Gift Shop
Bed Bath & Beyond to Keep Director Investors Voted to Oust
Stocks Climb, Lifted by Tech Sector
Gormley’s Take: An IPO Puts Humble Urology Market in the Limelight
Jeff Bezos’ Space Startup to Supply Engines for Boeing-Lockheed Rocket Venture
Boeing Wins U.S. Jet Contract
Smithfield to Reassess Disaster Prep Post-Florence
Stech’s Take: Where Bankers, Legal Experts Disagree on Pay for Chapter 7 Trustees
Danske Bank Tipster Seeks Protection
Oil Gains on Tight Supply Concerns
Papua New Guinea Breaks Bond-Market Jinx
Aetna to Sell Medicare Part D Drug Business to WellCare Health
Toys ‘R’ Us Chapter 11 Plans Raise Concerns From Bankruptcy Watchdog
Thyssenkrupp Plans to Split into Two Companies
Transcript: Jerome Powell’s September Postmeeting Press Conference
Manufacturing Activity Slows Its Roll, Kansas City Fed Survey Shows
Petrobras to Pay $853.2 Million Over Corruption Probes
GreenTech Automotive Under Pressure to Show Progress with Lead Bidder
Akrevia Therapeutics Collects $30 Million for New Cancer Immunotherapies
Eurozone Manufacturing Confidence Slips
U.S. Economic Growth Slated to Cool in Third Quarter
Real-Estate Brokerage Compass Doubles Valuation to $4.4 Billion
The Fed Isn’t the Supreme Court. Thank Goodness
Samsung Chairman Indicted Over Alleged Union Clampdown
The Homes Where Families Go Off the Grid
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
U.S. Pending Home Sales Fell 1.8% in August
Stocks to Watch: Amazon.com, Conagra, Bed Bath & Beyond, Aetna
The New Kind of Fury Unleashed by the Kavanaugh Fight
BOE Likely to Raise Rates Further if Growth Continues, Official Says
U.S. GDP Growth Unrevised at 4.2% in Second Quarter
Gibson Picks Board; Ultra in Talks With Lenders; Pacific Drilling’s Plan
Shares of Chinese Company Linked to J&J Plummet After Report Criticizes Its Testing
Aircraft Demand Propels Increase in U.S. Durable-Goods Orders
KKR to Sell Majority Stake in European Telecom Firm
Brokers Notch Wins in Fight Over NYSE, Nasdaq Data Practices
Goldman Sachs Enters U.K. Savings Market, Continuing Consumer Push
New Laws Aim to Make Work Hours More Predictable
Farmers Say Aid Won’t Cover Tariff Damage
Investors Gain Billions From Chinese Tech IPO
Aluminum Makers’ Profits Suffer as Alumina Prices Soar
Timiraos’s Take: The ‘Dot Plot’ Reveals Two Policy Directions
Philippines Central Bank Raises Interest Rates Again
Taiwan Central Bank Stands Pat
Bank Indonesia Raises Rates Again
Indexers Turn Spotlight on China’s Smaller Stocks
Mack’s Take: Women’s Health Gets on the Agenda, Thanks to Employers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0001

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-01. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-21,293.09,293.22,291.81,291.99,268.6106,105479700.0,-0.0054,1.837,293.0231,286.8689,61.0635,115.3956,27.3042,288.0983,283.8173
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528
2018-09-25,291.53,291.65,290.48,290.75,267.4699,44370000.0,-0.0009,1.6157,293.065,287.275,58.8216,72.442,14.1513,288.6487,284.4773
2018-09-26,290.91,292.24,289.41,289.88,266.6695,79739700.0,-0.003,1.4336,293.0638,287.2722,57.255,55.6214,4.3732,288.848,284.7777
2018-09-27,290.41,291.91,290.1,290.69,267.4147,59249500.0,0.0028,1.3392,292.9699,287.2871,58.324,65.604,4.3732,289.145,285.1075
2018-09-28,289.99,291.28,289.95,290.72,267.4423,70091400.0,0.0001,1.2524,293.0025,287.2965,58.3639,53.1399,2.9605,289.367,285.401

Fed’s Rosengren Says Damage to China’s Economy Likely to Spill Into Other Countries
GE Ousts CEO Flannery After Missed Targets
Activist Investor and Pension Fund Take Stake in Papa John’s
Microsoft Co-Founder Paul Allen Reveals New Cancer Diagnosis
A Look at Larry Culp’s Career
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher After Nafta Pact
IPO Market Has Never Been This Forgiving to Money-Losing Firms
Lawmaker Questions Watchdog’s Ability to Monitor Bankruptcy Disclosures
Stitch Fix Expanding to U.K.
Pentagon Presses Lockheed for Lower-Priced F-35 Jets
Chernova’s Take: Valuations Chase Growth, Shouldn’t It Be the Other Way Around?
Analysis: New York Fed’s Williams Shifts Gears on R-Star
Retail Picture Brightens but More Store Closures Likely
Cleveland Cavaliers Co-Owner Buys L.A. Manse for $26.5 Million
Yerak’s Take: Gibson, U.S. Work Out Differences Over Chapter 11 Plan
Wells Fargo Retail Banking Executive Lisa Stevens to Depart
Commodities Investors Enter October Bracing for Losses
Stocks Get a Boost From Nafta Deal
Transcript: Q&A With New York Fed’s John Williams at Columbia University
A Glut of Used Hogs Is a Drag on Harley-Davidson
U.S. Protectionist Stance Spooks Germany’s Economy
Lithium Producer Livent Sets IPO’s Price Range
U.S. Crude Soars to Fresh Multiyear High as Rally Continues
New Cancer Drugmaker VelosBio Collects $58 Million Series A
Patients in Canada, Mexico Could Face Longer Wait for Some Generic Drugs
Philip Morris Moves to Zero-based Budgeting Amid Product Shift
Italy’s Bonds Fall Further on Budget Concerns
Bankruptcy Judge Clears Sale of El Torito, Chevys Restaurants
Texas Hospital Giants Baylor Scott & White and Memorial Hermann Plan to Merge
U.K.’s Tesco Bank Fined $21.4 Million Over Cyberbreach
Bluestar Alliance and Apex Digital Win Auction for Brookstone Brand
U.S. Dairy Farmers Score Gains in New Trade Deal
Fed’s Kashkari Still Opposes Central Bank Rate Rises
U.S. Factory Activity Pulls Back at the End of Summer
IMF Appoints Harvard’s Gita Gopinath as Chief Economist
Steel, Aluminum Tariffs to Persist Despite Trade Deal
How Much Politics in a Supreme Court Justice?
Nafta Rewrite Is Mixed Blessing for Foreign Car Makers
Stocks to Watch: GE, Tesla, Pfizer, Facebook and More
Toys ‘R’ Us Owners to Create Fund for Former Employees
Canada’s Investment Banks Are Big Winners in Marijuana Boom
Pfizer Counts on Pipeline to Bring Growth
Roof’s Take: Apple’s Next Acquisition for Entertainment Is...?
Longevity Specialist Life Biosciences Steps Up Expansion Gambit
Pfizer Readies Plan for New CEO
Eurozone Jobless Rate Fell in August
Derby’s Take: Watch Out, There’s a Fedspeak Storm Coming
The Best and Worst of Crisis-Mode Investing, 10 Years Later
Scurria’s Take: Lehman Retirees Lose Appeal on Pensions
U.S. Stocks Widen Lead Over Rest of the World
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0006

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-10-02. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528
2018-09-25,291.53,291.65,290.48,290.75,267.4699,44370000.0,-0.0009,1.6157,293.065,287.275,58.8216,72.442,14.1513,288.6487,284.4773
2018-09-26,290.91,292.24,289.41,289.88,266.6695,79739700.0,-0.003,1.4336,293.0638,287.2722,57.255,55.6214,4.3732,288.848,284.7777
2018-09-27,290.41,291.91,290.1,290.69,267.4147,59249500.0,0.0028,1.3392,292.9699,287.2871,58.324,65.604,4.3732,289.145,285.1075
2018-09-28,289.99,291.28,289.95,290.72,267.4423,70091400.0,0.0001,1.2524,293.0025,287.2965,58.3639,53.1399,2.9605,289.367,285.401
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728

PepsiCo Returns to Growth in Beverage Sales
J.C. Penney Taps Former Joann Stores CEO as Next Leader
Toys ‘R’ Us Lenders Plan Brand’s Revival
Fed Rethinks How to Define a Big Bank
Former AmerisourceBergen Exec Blew Whistle That Led to Settlement
Amazon’s Wage Increase Pressures Employers to Follow
Fed Chairman Powell Says Tax Cuts, Spending Increases Could Hobble Response to a Downturn
Dow Industrials Hit New Record
Initialized Capital Raises $225 Million for Fourth Fund
Gibson Brands Wins Court OK to Exit Bankruptcy
Once Again, GE’s Dividend Is Investors’ Focus
Fed’s Powell Sees Little Sign of Labor Market Overheating
Longtime RenaissanceRe Shareholder  Urges a Sale
Medical Investors From Rho Ventures, Syno Capital Seek $50 Million for Inning One Ventures
PenAir’s Bankruptcy Auction Set to Begin on Wednesday
Oil Steady With Trade Deal
FDA Held Surprise Inspection of Juul’s Headquarters
Cryptocurrency Startup Coinbase Raising Funds at $8 Billion Valuation
Brickley’s Take: Sojitz Energy Battles Over Gulf of Mexico Cleanup
Italy Jitters Boost Gold
Eurozone Uncertainty Boosts Dollar
Brookstone Brand Garners a Premium at Auction
Air Transport Services Group Buys Charter Airline for $845 Million
Vacation Rental Company Buys Hyatt-Backed Firm
U.S. Puts Sanctions on Japanese Firms It Says Are Linked to Yakuza Network
Investors Fear Italian ‘Doom Loop’ as Bond Selloff Deepens
Pimco CEO’s First Acquisition: a Muni-Bond Business
Facebook Takes New Steps Against Bullying
U.S., China May Resume Trade Talks in December, White House Says
Apollo-owned Natural Gas Driller Jupiter Resources in Debt Talks
Big Stock Windfall? New Rule Defers Taxes With Real Estate Investment
Shell Approves Long-Awaited Canadian LNG Project
Bots Manipulate Bitcoin Price in ‘Wild West of Crypto’
Hong Kong Freezes Company Chairman’s Assets in $1.3 Billion Fraud Case
Tax Cuts Provide Limited Boost to Workers’ Pay
Oil Holds Gains as Global Supply Tightens
Powell’s Effort to Blur ‘Neutral’ Gains a Prominent Supporter
Debt Investors Give China More Credit Than Stockholders
Fed Looks to Pare Language Describing Future of Rates Policy
Reserve Bank of Australia Holds Fire on Rates
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0005

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-03. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528
2018-09-25,291.53,291.65,290.48,290.75,267.4699,44370000.0,-0.0009,1.6157,293.065,287.275,58.8216,72.442,14.1513,288.6487,284.4773
2018-09-26,290.91,292.24,289.41,289.88,266.6695,79739700.0,-0.003,1.4336,293.0638,287.2722,57.255,55.6214,4.3732,288.848,284.7777
2018-09-27,290.41,291.91,290.1,290.69,267.4147,59249500.0,0.0028,1.3392,292.9699,287.2871,58.324,65.604,4.3732,289.145,285.1075
2018-09-28,289.99,291.28,289.95,290.72,267.4423,70091400.0,0.0001,1.2524,293.0025,287.2965,58.3639,53.1399,2.9605,289.367,285.401
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728
2018-10-02,291.56,292.36,291.14,291.56,268.215,47258200.0,-0.0006,1.2215,293.2994,287.3166,59.3737,88.9561,16.2848,289.7857,285.9005

Chilean Court Weighs Chinese Investment in Country’s Flagship Lithium Producer
iHeartMedia Seeks to Light Up Marijuana Market With High Times Stake
Upwork Sees 41% Gains in Market Debut
Primary Venture Partners Brings Schlafman Aboard
Chernova’s Take: Unprofitable IPOs? No Worry for SaaS Players
Boston Pharma Adds to War Chest in Pacts With Novartis, GlaxoSmithKline
Nafta Talks,Then Deal Lift Peso, Loonie
U.S. to Allow Small Banks to Pool Anti-Money-Laundering Resources
Mattress Firm to File for Bankruptcy Soon
U.S. Dollar Rises as Strong Data Boost Sentiment
Hedge Fund Highfields to Return Client Money
Bond Yields Surge, Signaling Growth Hopes
Fed Chair Powell Sees ‘Remarkably Positive Set of Economic Circumstances’
Bankrupt California Hospital Operator Cleared to Spend $185 Million Loan
Senators Seek Probe of Money Laundering in Real-Estate Market
Dow Industrials Close at New Record
Randles’s Take: Closing the Book on an 85-Year-Old Law Firm
Oil Surges to Multiyear Highs
Peabody Energy Held Talks to Buy Drummond
Greek Bank Stocks Tumble Amid Concerns Over Capital, Bad Loans
Gold Edges Lower as Stocks Climb
Cleveland Fed President Warns Against Rolling Back Regulatory Reforms
Uganda’s Central Bank Raises Key Lending Rate to 10%
Federal Reserve Floats Proposal to Modernize Its Payments System
An Unusual Year for Haven Assets Continues
Fed’s Harker Sees ‘Very Little’ Slack Left in Job Market
Verizon’s Severance Offer Goes to 44,000 Workers
Services-Sector Activity Hits Record High. Thank Tariffs, Local Governments
The $500 Million Central Bank Heist—and How It Was Foiled
Living Large in a Scandinavian Suburb
TD Ameritrade, High-Speed Traders Back New Crypto Exchange
Palo Alto Networks to Buy RedLock for $173 Million
Stocks to Watch: Facebook, GM, Peabody Energy, Intel, Boeing
Toys ‘R’ Us Cancels Auction as Lenders Plan Brand’s Revival
Private Sector Adds 230,000 Jobs in September
Activist Urges Papa John’s to Focus on Pizza
Fed Should Press Ahead With Gradual Rate Rises, Evans Says
Richmond Fed President Says Challenge Is Continuing Growth
China to Raise Billions in U.S. Dollar Debt
Iceland Keeps Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged
Turkish Inflation Accelerated in September
WSJCoin: To Understand Cryptocurrencies, We Created One
Derby’s Take: Fed Officials Warn Tariffs Could Spur Opportunistic Price Hikes
Amazon Unleashes More Wage Pressure With Hourly Wage Boost
Eurozone Retail Sales Fall for Second Consecutive Month
Braze Grabs Fresh Cash at $850 Million Valuation
Davis’s Take: VCs Look to Diversify Who Backs Them
Removing the Synthetic Element of Farming
Barnes & Noble Evaluates Possible Sale
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0078

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-04. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-24,291.34,291.5,290.37,291.02,267.7181,53409600.0,-0.0033,1.7361,293.008,287.235,59.3084,75.5732,13.0835,288.3603,284.1528
2018-09-25,291.53,291.65,290.48,290.75,267.4699,44370000.0,-0.0009,1.6157,293.065,287.275,58.8216,72.442,14.1513,288.6487,284.4773
2018-09-26,290.91,292.24,289.41,289.88,266.6695,79739700.0,-0.003,1.4336,293.0638,287.2722,57.255,55.6214,4.3732,288.848,284.7777
2018-09-27,290.41,291.91,290.1,290.69,267.4147,59249500.0,0.0028,1.3392,292.9699,287.2871,58.324,65.604,4.3732,289.145,285.1075
2018-09-28,289.99,291.28,289.95,290.72,267.4423,70091400.0,0.0001,1.2524,293.0025,287.2965,58.3639,53.1399,2.9605,289.367,285.401
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728
2018-10-02,291.56,292.36,291.14,291.56,268.215,47258200.0,-0.0006,1.2215,293.2994,287.3166,59.3737,88.9561,16.2848,289.7857,285.9005
2018-10-03,292.74,293.21,291.32,291.72,268.3622,64694600.0,0.0005,1.1975,293.4339,287.4511,59.5935,103.5012,22.5453,289.965,286.1142

South Korea’s Inflation at One-Year High in September
Costco Rides Robust Consumer Spending to Gains
Court Backs Chinese Company’s Bid to Invest in Chilean Lithium Producer
Mack’s Take: Can Plant-Based Foods Actually Take a Bite of the Market?
Copper slumps as investors abandon risk
Biswas’s Take: J.Crew May Need to Sell Madewell to Escape Looming Debt Wall
Toys ‘R’ Us Brand Owners Face Uphill Fight
Goodbye ‘Tronc,’ Welcome Back Tribune Publishing Co.
U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields Extend Climb
Samuels Jewelers Invites Bids to Stay in Business
Midterm Elections a Boon for Stocks
Bank of Mexico Leaves Rates Unchanged, Warns of Inflation Risk
Oil Plunges on Market-Wide Selloff, Inventories
A Simple Guide to Testing Out Your Retirement Town
Puerto Rico Bond Guarantors Target Utility for Receivership
U.S. Puts Sanctions on Turkish Firm for Alleged North Korea Trade
Mark Cuban Prodded Tesla’s Musk to Settle SEC Charges
U.S. Puts Sanctions on Lebanese Businessman for Hezbollah Ties
Dollar Gains Against Emerging-Market Currencies
American Tire Distributors Files for Chapter 11
Exchange Executive Says SEC Experiment Will Cost Investors ‘Millions’
Ravn Air Group to Buy Rival PenAir Out of Bankruptcy
Jobless Claims Resilient in Face of Storm
Canadian Insurers Fight Cattle Farmer to Fend Off Investor Stampede
Mattress Firm Could File for Bankruptcy Within Days
Campbell in Talks to Sell Fresh-Foods Unit
ZipRecruiter Raises $156 Million at Valuation Above $1 Billion
Corona Boss Says Not Worried Marijuana Will Hurt Beer, Wine Sales
Stocks to Watch: Constellation Brands, Barnes & Noble, Cloudera, Hortonworks, Tilray, Pier 1 Imports, Synnex
Bed Bath & Beyond Struggles to Clear the Clutter, Close the Price Gap
JFrog’s Valuation Leaps Above $1 Billion for Software Development
Walgreens Takes Stake in Birchbox
EU Adviser: ECB’s Bond-Buying Program Is Legal
Danske Bank Under Criminal Investigation by Justice Department
India Central Bank Seen Raising Key Rate to 6.75%
Australia’s Exports Surge on Record China Trade
Blackstone to Buy Clarus as It Jumps Into Life Sciences
Shadow-Banking Blowup Takes Shine off Indian Shares
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0056

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-08. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-09-28,289.99,291.28,289.95,290.72,267.4423,70091400.0,0.0001,1.2524,293.0025,287.2965,58.3639,53.1399,2.9605,289.367,285.401
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728
2018-10-02,291.56,292.36,291.14,291.56,268.215,47258200.0,-0.0006,1.2215,293.2994,287.3166,59.3737,88.9561,16.2848,289.7857,285.9005
2018-10-03,292.74,293.21,291.32,291.72,268.3622,64694600.0,0.0005,1.1975,293.4339,287.4511,59.5935,103.5012,22.5453,289.965,286.1142
2018-10-04,291.18,291.24,287.66,289.44,266.2647,111545900.0,-0.0078,0.9832,293.343,287.67,55.192,-32.6767,8.835,290.074,286.3238
2018-10-05,289.69,290.27,286.22,287.82,264.7745,105951700.0,-0.0056,0.6748,293.3079,287.7271,52.35,-115.0835,17.6986,290.1417,286.4647

Emerging Markets Look to Contain Damage
Netflix to Open New Production Hub in New Mexico
Drugmaker Perrigo Hires a New CEO
Chernova’s Take: Tariffs, Investment Limits May Trip Up SoftBank
U.S. Dollar Rises as Optimism on Economy Grows
U.K. Biotech Startup Sitryx Collects $30 Million Series A
PPG Warns of Higher Costs, Weaker Demand Hurting Profit
Examiner Named to Probe for Fraud Links in Samuels Jewelers Case
Trian Considers a Bid for Papa John’s
Hyatt Hotels Names New Finance Chief
Selloff in Tech Shares Deepens, Drags Down Market
Fannie Mae Names Interim CEO
Applebee’s, Other Creditors Challenge Bankrupt Franchisee’s Plan
Italy’s Eni to Take Control of BP’s Libya Assets Despite Insecurity
New Daimler CFO to Face Tough Questions as Company Transitions
Two Funds Push for Change at Bunge
Starbucks Hires Finance Chief From Hyatt
Oil Falls Amid Reports U.S. Could Ease Restrictions on Iranian Crude Sales
Fox Hires Former White House Communications Director Hope Hicks
Brickley’s Take: Hundreds Sue Woodbridge Group to Press for Ruling on Real Estate
Stronger Dollar Saps Demand for Gold
Airbus Picks Future Chief Executive
Daimler Extends Management Reshuffle
Firm Retention Summary: Pachanga Inc.
European Developer Buys U.S. Offshore Wind Pioneer
Pence Unloaded on China; Here’s Why That’s Important
Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index Fell in September
Fed’s Bullard: Higher Productivity Is Vital to Sustain U.S. Growth Rate
GE Offloads Portfolio of Energy Investments to Apollo Global
Mattress Firm Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Traders Bet on Return of $100 Oil
Offshore Firms Ensco and Rowan to Merge
Yields on Italian Bonds Hit 4½ Year High on Budget Concerns
VCs Placing Startup Bets Based on New 5G Networks
Derby’s Take: Fed Officials Show Divide on Whether to Turn Restrictive
After Golden Week, Chinese Stocks Lose Shine on Investor Pessimism
The Bearish Case for Commodities
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0015

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-10-09 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728
2018-10-02,291.56,292.36,291.14,291.56,268.215,47258200.0,-0.0006,1.2215,293.2994,287.3166,59.3737,88.9561,16.2848,289.7857,285.9005
2018-10-03,292.74,293.21,291.32,291.72,268.3622,64694600.0,0.0005,1.1975,293.4339,287.4511,59.5935,103.5012,22.5453,289.965,286.1142
2018-10-04,291.18,291.24,287.66,289.44,266.2647,111545900.0,-0.0078,0.9832,293.343,287.67,55.192,-32.6767,8.835,290.074,286.3238
2018-10-05,289.69,290.27,286.22,287.82,264.7745,105951700.0,-0.0056,0.6748,293.3079,287.7271,52.35,-115.0835,17.6986,290.1417,286.4647
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018

His Cup of Tea: Ackman Discloses a Stake in Starbucks
Sears Prepares for Bankruptcy Filing as Debt Payment Looms
Government Debts Not as Daunting When Assets Are Mixed In
IMF Warns of Possible Emerging-Markets Crisis
Roof’s Take: Venture-backed IPOs Rise After Sluggish Few Years
Beijing Struggles to Keep Its Currency On Course
Derby’s Take: Dallas Fed Chief Robert Kaplan’s Personal ‘Black Swan’
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan
Activist Trian Fund Takes 2.9% Stake in Paint Company PPG
Westmoreland Coal Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Fixed-Income Sales Chief to Depart Goldman Sachs
Fed’s Kaplan Voices Support for Three More Rate Increases
Brazilian Real Extends Rally
Mattress Firm Gets Approval to Start Closing Stores
McDonald’s Franchisees Consider Prodding Company
Helen of Troy Reports Strong Sales
U.K. Regulator Launches Review of Audit Sector
Glympse Bio Gathers $22 Million for Early Disease Detection
Oil Rises on Fears Over Iran’s Oil Supply, Hurricane
Western Union Makes Digital Push Amid Fierce Competition for Money Transfers
PPG’s Warning on Costs Reverberates
Big Oil’s Bet on Natural Gas Is a Slow Burn
Investment Firms to Take Ownership of Titanic Artifacts
Total Halts Purchases of Iranian Oil
Standard Chartered Seeks Resolution With U.S. on Sanctions Breaches
Rizzo’s Take: Retailer Brand Names Remain Winners in Bankruptcy
Bank Earnings: Expect Big Profits, But Buyer Beware
Atlanta Braves Owner Says County Wins Big From Stadium Development
Firm Retention Summary: Verity Health System of California Inc.
The House that Brought Two Retiree Lovers Together
Sears Adds Restructuring Expert to Its Board
The Communities That Retired Rich Asians Call Home
Pfizer Prepares for CEO Transition With Executive Suite Changes
U.S.’s Largest Home Builder in Talks to Offload Lending Unit
Drugmaker Lannett Taps Restructuring Help After Loss of Contract
Derby’s Take: Widening Treasury Spreads Move Yield-Curve Worries to Margins
BOE Urges EU to Act to Avoid Brexit Disruption of Derivatives Market
Thousands of Southerners Planted Trees for Retirement. It Didn’t Work Out.
Stocks Slip, Dragged Lower by Materials Sector
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0317

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-10-10. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-10-01,292.11,292.93,290.98,291.73,268.3714,62078900.0,0.0035,1.2507,293.1597,287.2813,59.7073,100.2238,16.2848,289.5893,285.6728
2018-10-02,291.56,292.36,291.14,291.56,268.215,47258200.0,-0.0006,1.2215,293.2994,287.3166,59.3737,88.9561,16.2848,289.7857,285.9005
2018-10-03,292.74,293.21,291.32,291.72,268.3622,64694600.0,0.0005,1.1975,293.4339,287.4511,59.5935,103.5012,22.5453,289.965,286.1142
2018-10-04,291.18,291.24,287.66,289.44,266.2647,111545900.0,-0.0078,0.9832,293.343,287.67,55.192,-32.6767,8.835,290.074,286.3238
2018-10-05,289.69,290.27,286.22,287.82,264.7745,105951700.0,-0.0056,0.6748,293.3079,287.7271,52.35,-115.0835,17.6986,290.1417,286.4647
2018-10-08,287.05,288.22,285.5,287.82,264.7745,87742200.0,0.0,0.4255,293.3473,287.6597,52.35,-167.5233,21.7642,290.152,286.6018
2018-10-09,287.39,288.86,286.77,287.4,264.388,74339000.0,-0.0015,0.1918,293.5261,287.3159,51.6126,-128.5733,16.3052,290.0727,286.7362

BOJ Sakurai Cautious About Easing Side-Effects
Bayer Could Win a New Roundup Trial
McDonald’s Franchisees Plan Push for Stronger Sales
Chernova’s Take: Three Questions About the Potential Takeover of WeWork by SoftBank
Quickening Retreat From Tech Sinks Market
BlackRock Makes Private-Equity Bet
Lampert Won’t Give Sears Another Lifeline
Third Point Warns Campbell Against Filling CEO Job
U.S. Stocks Fall Sharply; Tech Sector Leads Declines
Dollar Declines as Big Themes Lose Steam
Gotham Therapeutics Gets Off the Ground With $54 Million Series A
Westmoreland Coal Seeks Concessions From Retirees, Union Workers
Hedge Funds Retreat as Markets Advance
Oil Prices Decline on Stocks, U.S. Inventories
Navillus Contracting Wins Court Approval for Bankruptcy Exit
Travelers Cos. Selling Home-Security Gear via Amazon
Stech’s Take: Justice Department Fee Battle Unfolds in AcuSport Bankruptcy
HSBC to Pay $765 Million to Settle Probe
Frenzy of New Market Bets Fades
Analytics Company Tresata Valued at $1 Billion in Growth Round
Music Piracy Remains High, Record Companies Say
One Aviation Files for Bankruptcy With Lender Takeover Plan
Copper Prices Pressured by Weaker Oil, China Concerns
The $210 Billion Risk in Your 401(k)
Luxury Stocks Slip on China Fears
Firm Retention Summary: Open Road Films LLC
Business Prices Firmed Up in September
Aerospace Company TransDigm to Buy Jet-Components Maker Esterline
Oligarchs Beware: U.K. Demands to Know How Jailed Banker Can Afford Mansion
Younger People Make Palm Springs a Cool Place to Retire (Again)
Private-Equity Firm Thoma Bravo to Buy Cybersecurity Firm Imperva
Snap Launches More Scripted Shows
Sears Could File for Bankruptcy as Soon as This Week
Stocks to Watch: Sears, Alphabet, PPG, IDT
Boss Talk: Slack’s CEO Wants to Unshackle You From Email
Real-Estate Backed Loans Stage Comeback
Many Pensions and Endowments Exposed to Hurricane Michael
U.K. Economy Rebounded in Summer
Tencent’s Buybacks Aren’t Buying Back Faith in Stock
Fed’s Williams Sees Interest Rates Reaching Neutral Levels in ‘the Next Year or So’
Rizzo’s Take: Retailer Brand Names Remain Winners in Bankruptcy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0220

Rejected response: Neutral