Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2017-06-28 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-06-19,243.59,244.73,243.48,244.66,219.9432,65123800.0,0.0083,1.3218,245.8348,239.7042,61.5933,100.4127,13.9586,241.4667,238.7423
2017-06-20,244.25,244.26,242.99,243.01,218.4599,56906400.0,-0.0067,1.1924,245.6005,240.2875,57.3837,66.3343,9.0575,241.5783,238.8948
2017-06-21,243.46,243.59,242.41,242.95,218.406,55977600.0,-0.0002,1.0726,245.3705,240.8075,57.2366,48.0486,3.429,241.6953,239.0503
2017-06-22,242.96,243.53,242.64,242.84,218.3071,44148100.0,-0.0005,0.9578,245.1682,241.2328,56.9596,45.5777,3.429,241.7943,239.1757
2017-06-23,242.91,243.51,242.47,243.13,218.5679,66986800.0,0.0012,0.8801,245.1174,241.4206,57.5203,43.49,1.6716,241.9193,239.3022
2017-06-26,243.9,244.38,243.05,243.29,218.7117,56700500.0,0.0007,0.8219,245.0446,241.6514,57.8338,59.9618,10.0344,242.063,239.4188
2017-06-27,243.04,243.38,241.31,241.33,216.9497,82247700.0,-0.0081,0.6106,245.0764,241.6026,52.8872,-2.772,6.8949,242.0973,239.512

Hong Kong Stocks Suffer Enigmatic Plunge as Major Anniversary Looms
20 Years After Handover, China Looms Ever Larger Over Hong Kong Markets
Some Brazil Sugar Mills Ramp Up
Oil Continues Rising as US Production Falls
Asian Stocks Rebound, Following US Lead
Small Lenders Should Have Input on Fannie, Freddie Debate
Student Aid Is Driving Up Student Debt
House Lawmakers Target Wall Street Rules in Spending Plan
Staples in $6.9 Billion Deal With Sycamore
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Gene-Therapy Startup LogicBio Therapeutics Raises $45 Million Series B
Fed’s Stress Tests: All Banks Cleared on Payouts to Shareholders
Markets Jittery as Central Banks Signal End of Easy Money
Companies Pressed to Disclose More on Climate-Change Risk
Citigroup Doubles Dividend After Stress Test Success
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--June 28
Sarepta Taps Chase Pharmaceuticals Chief as Next CEO
SEC Charges Obsidian Energy With Fraud
Berkshire Hathaway On Path to Be Top Bank of America Holder
U.S. Stocks Led Higher by Financial Companies
Cyberattack Causes Surgeons to Cancel Some Operations
Copper Prices Rise With Help From a Weaker Dollar
Randles’s Take: Breitburn Energy Equity Holders Make Waves Over Valuation
Randles’s Take: Breitburn Energy Equity Holders Make Waves Over Valuation
Global Bonds Gyrate as Investors Decipher ECB’s Next Move
Downtown Brooklyn’s Cultural District Gets a Boost
Companies Try to Contain Fallout From Global Cyberattack
Key-Ventures to Create Team at Berkshire Hathaway Unit
Capital One Gets ‘Conditional’ Passing Grade on Fed Stress Test
Giant Fund Industry Charges Too Much, British Regulator Says
Dollar Slides as Foreign Central Bankers Signal Tightening
Azerbaijani Bank Wins U.S. Bankruptcy Court Recognition
GulfMark to Send Repayment Plan to Creditors for Vote
Oil Prices Recover On Encouraging Inventory Data
Google Rivals Cheer EU Antitrust Ruling—But Will It Help?
SEC Tells American Airlines to Rein In Praise of Its Non-GAAP Metrics
New AIG Chief: Let’s Make a Deal
MetLife Closer to Spinning Off U.S. Life Insurance Business
J.P. Morgan Names New EMEA Tech Investment Banking Head
ABC News Settles ‘Pink Slime’ Food-Libel Lawsuit
Is Food Giant Nestlé Turning Away From Food?
Indian Government Plans Sale of Stake in Air India
Firm Retention Summary: CST Industries Holdings Inc.
Lonsdale-Backed Wonder Scores $14 Million for  Gaming Ambitions
Bank of Canada’s Poloz Signals July Rate Rise in Play
Ford Driveshaft Defect Fix to Cost $142 Million
Panda Temple to Put Reorganization Plan to Creditor Vote
Ex-Goldman Executive Launches Commodities Hedge Fund
Gawker Estate Cleared to Subpoena Peter Thiel
How Fed Stress Test Affects Buffett’s BofA Bet | Wall Street Faces EU-U.S. Conflict on Analyst Research | U.K. Regulator Looks to Shake Up Asset Management | Hayashi’s Take: Thinking Small on CFPB Changes
Hayashi’s Take: Thinking Small on CFPB Changes
Monsanto Boosted by Soybean Seeds and Traits Business
Profile: Estate Planning for Same-Sex Couples
Investors Say Beijing Enabled Unfair Trading by Chinese Banks
Rice Prices Rise as Stockpiles Shrink
Nike Thought It Didn’t Need Amazon—Then the Ground Shifted
Samsung to Invest Millions in South Carolina Factory
Pound Surges as BOE’s Carney Hints at Rate Rise
Yogurt Declines Continue to Hurt General Mills
Sterling Rises to 3-Week High Vs Dollar $1.2942 After BOE Carney Comments
Puerto Rico’s Federal Supervisors Veto $9 Billion Utility Debt Deal
Have You Saved Enough for Retirement? Let’s Do the Math
Xometry Raises $15 Million in Funding
Manhattan Apartment Market Shows Signs of Fizzling
Stephan Feldgoise, a Top Goldman Merger Banker, to Retire
U.S. Hedge Funds Agree to $885 Million Rescue Deal With U.K.’s Co-op Bank
How Fed Stress Test Affects Buffett’s BofA Bet | Wall Street Faces EU-U.S. Conflict on Analyst Research | U.K. Regulator Looks to Shake Up Asset Management | Hayashi’s Take: Thinking Small on CFPB Changes
Rolling-Hotel Startup Hitting the Road in California
Haggin’s Take: When Investors Get Crammed, Employees Get Slammed
Why Your Local CVS Is Hiding the Candy and Tanning Oil
Harrison’s Take: The Fed Reflects
ECB Says Eurozone Lending to Households Increased in May
Cancer Drug Startup Vivace Therapeutics Raises $40 Million
Falling Oil Prices Does Not Mean Sector is Down
J.P. Morgan Finds the Newest Banking Fad: Dark Corners
Scurria’s Take: Struggle Continues for Madoff’s Indirect Investors
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0088

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2017-06-29. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-06-19,243.59,244.73,243.48,244.66,219.9432,65123800.0,0.0083,1.3218,245.8348,239.7042,61.5933,100.4127,13.9586,241.4667,238.7423
2017-06-20,244.25,244.26,242.99,243.01,218.4599,56906400.0,-0.0067,1.1924,245.6005,240.2875,57.3837,66.3343,9.0575,241.5783,238.8948
2017-06-21,243.46,243.59,242.41,242.95,218.406,55977600.0,-0.0002,1.0726,245.3705,240.8075,57.2366,48.0486,3.429,241.6953,239.0503
2017-06-22,242.96,243.53,242.64,242.84,218.3071,44148100.0,-0.0005,0.9578,245.1682,241.2328,56.9596,45.5777,3.429,241.7943,239.1757
2017-06-23,242.91,243.51,242.47,243.13,218.5679,66986800.0,0.0012,0.8801,245.1174,241.4206,57.5203,43.49,1.6716,241.9193,239.3022
2017-06-26,243.9,244.38,243.05,243.29,218.7117,56700500.0,0.0007,0.8219,245.0446,241.6514,57.8338,59.9618,10.0344,242.063,239.4188
2017-06-27,243.04,243.38,241.31,241.33,216.9497,82247700.0,-0.0081,0.6106,245.0764,241.6026,52.8872,-2.772,6.8949,242.0973,239.512
2017-06-28,242.5,243.72,242.23,243.49,218.8915,70042600.0,0.009,0.6104,244.9312,241.9528,57.073,40.3471,3.5666,242.211,239.648

Oil Extends Gains, But Markets Remains Cautious
SEC Says All Companies Can Now File Secretly for IPOs
Japan Inflation Picks Faster Pace in May
Deutsche Bank Again Refuses Democrats’ Requests for Trump Accounts
Activist Engaged Capital Moves to Overhaul Hain Celestial Board
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--June 29
U.S. Government Wins Right to Seize Iranian-Owned Tower in Manhattan
On Inflation, Look Past the 12-Month Reading
Walgreens Ends Rite Aid Merger, Will Buy Half Its Stores
Walgreens Scores Deal With Purchase of Rite Aid Stores
Nike Confirms Partnership With Amazon
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
U.S. Stocks Slide as Tech Drops
Dollar Falls to Lowest Level Since October
Judge Boots Searchmetrics out of Bankruptcy
Fed’s Yellen to Testify Before House Committee July 12
Cyberattack Launched for Pain, Not Profit, Experts Say
Global Bond Selloff Deepens Amid Hints at End of Stimulus
Cyberattack Forces Hospital to Scrap Computers
New York Times Staffers Stage Walkout to Protest Job Cuts
Administration Should Crack Down on Rulemaking Through Guidance
Gold Declines Amid Greater Risk Appetite
A Counterintuitive Formula for Helping Distressed Borrowers
N.Y. Regulator Seeks Details From Life Insurers
Investment Bank Analysts Keep the Faith
Corrigan’s Take: SunEdison Settlement Exempts Whistleblower Lawsuits
Corrigan’s Take: SunEdison Settlement Exempts Whistleblower Lawsuits
Eurozone’s Confidence Hits Post-Crisis High
Crude Rally Continues on U.S. Output, Inventory Data
Optima Specialty Steel Wins Chapter 11 Plan Confirmation
CFTC Won’t Prosecute Ex-Citigroup Traders Over ‘Spoofing’
Puerto Rico Utility Moves Closer to Bankruptcy
Fed’s Bullard, Seeing No Inflation Pickup, Argues Against Raising Rates
Mexico Puts Off Foreign Debt Issuance Thanks to Central Bank Funds
Payless, Private-Equity Backers Reach Settlement With Creditors
CBO Says Government Could Run Out of Cash in Early to Mid-October
Fox’s Bid for Sky Set for More U.K. Scrutiny
U.S. Judge Bars JFK Terminal Operator From Cutting Off Alitalia
Berkowitz Seeks Return to Glory by Betting on Sears
BP Writes Off Exploration Assets in Angola
Aetna to Move Headquarters to New York
Sycamore Plans to Split Staples Into Three
The Latest UPS Delivery Vehicle Isn’t a Drone, It’s a Golf Cart
Voices: On Being a Value Investor
U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up to 1.4% in First Quarter
Firm Retention Summary: The Original Soupman Inc.
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Fred’s Stock Takes a Hit After Walgreens-Rite Aid End Merger Plan
Euro, Pound Up Against Dollar
Fed Clears All Banks on Shareholder Payout Plans | SEC Charges Energy Firm With Accounting Fraud | Congress Tries, Again, on Corporate Transparency | Tracy’s Take: Do Stress Tests Point to Less Regulation?
Pine River Capital to Spin Off Nearly $2 Billion Hedge Fund
Tracy’s Take: Do Stress Tests Point to Less Regulation?
Haggin’s Take: Twitter Ventures Is Forgotten, But Not Gone
Pressure Grows to Combat Sexual Misconduct
Kinetica Nabs $50 Million for Database Tech
Princeton Grads Launch Jewelry Startup AUrate
Fed Clears All Banks on Shareholder Payout Plans | SEC Charges Energy Firm With Accounting Fraud | Congress Tries, Again, on Corporate Transparency | Tracy’s Take: Do Stress Tests Point to Less Regulation?
A New Problem for Keystone XL: Oil Companies Don’t Want It
ECB’s Weidmann Supports Expansive Monetary Policy
Harrison’s Take: Central Bankers Turn Up the Pressure, But Only Slightly
Groovin’: Sony to Press Its First Vinyl Records Since 1989
U.S. Monetary Policy’s Impact on Inflation Has Declined, BIS Report Says
Bank of Japan’s Harada Says No Need to Lower Inflation Target
U.S. Sets New Air Security Measures in Place of Broad Laptop Ban
Monetary Policy In Developing Countries
UK Consumer Credit Continues to Grow Rapidly
Inmarsat Aims High on In-Flight Wi-Fi
Singapore’s MAS Says Not Yet Time to Ease Property Cooling Measures
Amazon’s Whole Foods Deal Adds Pressure on Grocery Services to Deliver
Illinois Is in Deep Trouble: What Investors Need to Know
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0019

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2017-07-05 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-06-26,243.9,244.38,243.05,243.29,218.7117,56700500.0,0.0007,0.8219,245.0446,241.6514,57.8338,59.9618,10.0344,242.063,239.4188
2017-06-27,243.04,243.38,241.31,241.33,216.9497,82247700.0,-0.0081,0.6106,245.0764,241.6026,52.8872,-2.772,6.8949,242.0973,239.512
2017-06-28,242.5,243.72,242.23,243.49,218.8915,70042600.0,0.009,0.6104,244.9312,241.9528,57.073,40.3471,3.5666,242.211,239.648
2017-06-29,243.66,243.72,239.96,241.35,216.9677,106949700.0,-0.0088,0.4326,245.1008,241.5822,52.3098,-30.5456,21.0996,242.3953,239.7458
2017-06-30,242.28,242.71,241.58,241.8,217.3722,86820700.0,0.0019,0.3242,245.0646,241.3814,53.1601,-26.4172,21.0996,242.563,239.8628
2017-07-03,242.88,243.38,242.21,242.21,217.7408,39153800.0,0.0017,0.2683,244.9915,241.2765,53.9343,-3.2836,14.1028,242.693,239.9757

Oil Futures Rebound Some After Worst Day in a Month
Asian Stocks Quiet as Investors Watch and Wait
Fed Officials Ready to Start Shrinking Portfolio in Months
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 5
Hotels, Cruise Lines, Casinos Among Top U.S. Stocks So Far This Year
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Judge Warns Shkreli on Speaking About Trial
AIG CEO Taps Peter Zaffino as Key Lieutenant
S&P Rises on Rebound in Technology Shares
House Republicans Ignore Consumers to Help Banks
Goldman Eyes Spinoff of Simon, an Online Tool for Bond Sales
Dollar Oscillates After Fed Minutes
Oil Falls Amid Global Glut Worries
Nike’s Challenge: Fire Up Sales While Staying Cool
Coal, Nuclear on Losing End of Power Shift
Excerpts From Minutes of the Fed’s June 13-14 Meeting
Who Regulates Cryptocurrencies?
Alitalia Wins U.S. Bankruptcy Judge’s Backing
Vantiv Strikes $10 Billion Deal to Buy Worldpay
Economics of the Populist Backlash
BOE Paper Sees Decline of Solvency Contagion Risk
Adviser Profile: Easing Client Worries in Uncertain Times
South Africa Plans to Nationalize Central Bank
ISM-New York Index Rebounded in June
Firm Retention Summary: National Events Holdings LLC
Jeans Maker True Religion Seeks Bankruptcy Protection
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices in Asia As Competition Rises
Should Retirees Have Life Insurance?
WSJ Dollar Index Up
Lloyds CEO Reshapes Succession Plans With Promotions
J.P. Morgan Bid for Worldpay Shows Shift in Oversight | Italy Takes Control of Monte dei Paschi | China to Hold High-Level Meeting on Regulation | Glitch Showed Apple as Losing $104 Billion in Value | Michaels’s Take: A Hated Rule That Benefits Investors
Haggin’s Take: Did Uber’s Law Firm Set a Precedent?
Ratchet Cost Blue Apron $5.2 Million
Biotechs Race to Unleash Cellular Cancer Therapies
Michaels’s Take: A Hated Rule That Benefits Investors
New Midtown Skyscrapers Draw Ire of Preservationists
J.P. Morgan Bid for Worldpay Shows Shift in Oversight | Italy Takes Control of Monte dei Paschi | China to Hold High-Level Meeting on Regulation | Glitch Showed Apple as Losing $104 Billion in Value | Michaels’s Take: A Hated Rule That Benefits Investors
Fairless’s Take: Reacting To Draghi
Eurozone Economy Picked Up Speed in Second Quarter
RBA’s Harper: No Need to ‘Scare the Horses’ With Rate Hints
Fed Minutes Could Show How Inflation Could Sway Rate Rises
China’s HNA Discovers the Struggles of U.S. Dealmaking
Italy Formally Takes Control of Monte dei Paschi
ECB Hasn’t Discussed Halting Easy Monetary Policy, Says Key Board Member
Bank of Thailand Stands Pat Despite Deflation’s Return
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 3
Scurria’s Take: YRC Restructuring Clarifies Short-Swing Rules
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0091

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-06. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-06-26,243.9,244.38,243.05,243.29,218.7117,56700500.0,0.0007,0.8219,245.0446,241.6514,57.8338,59.9618,10.0344,242.063,239.4188
2017-06-27,243.04,243.38,241.31,241.33,216.9497,82247700.0,-0.0081,0.6106,245.0764,241.6026,52.8872,-2.772,6.8949,242.0973,239.512
2017-06-28,242.5,243.72,242.23,243.49,218.8915,70042600.0,0.009,0.6104,244.9312,241.9528,57.073,40.3471,3.5666,242.211,239.648
2017-06-29,243.66,243.72,239.96,241.35,216.9677,106949700.0,-0.0088,0.4326,245.1008,241.5822,52.3098,-30.5456,21.0996,242.3953,239.7458
2017-06-30,242.28,242.71,241.58,241.8,217.3722,86820700.0,0.0019,0.3242,245.0646,241.3814,53.1601,-26.4172,21.0996,242.563,239.8628
2017-07-03,242.88,243.38,242.21,242.21,217.7408,39153800.0,0.0017,0.2683,244.9915,241.2765,53.9343,-3.2836,14.1028,242.693,239.9757
2017-07-05,242.63,243.01,241.7,242.77,218.2442,54427600.0,0.0023,0.2662,244.9762,241.2478,54.9856,-19.4757,17.9598,242.8013,240.1018

Japan Base Wages Rise at Fastest Pace in Over 17 Years
Asian Stocks Start Lower; Australia Sags
Oil Prices Extend Declines After Volatile Overnight Session
Fed’s Fischer Warns Against Playing Games With U.S. Debt-Ceiling Law
Fed’s Fischer Says Government Can Help Boost Productivity
Egypt’s Central Bank Raises Key Interest Rates to Curb Inflation
Campbell Expands Organic Business With Pacific Foods Purchase
Hilton Sees Room for Growth With Low-Price Brand
Univision Says It Will Fight Defamation Suit Over Deadspin Story
Mondelez Says Cyberattack Cost it Business
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 6
Cirque du Soleil Buys Blue Man Group
U.S. Stocks Slide as All Sectors in S&P 500 Fall
Mester Says Fed Should Start Portfolio Runoff ‘Sooner Rather Than Later’
Wal-Mart de Mexico Sales Pick Up in June
AmTrust Unloads Some Claims Risk
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
A Few Strings Attached to Post-Brexit Plan
Fed Lawyer Mark Van Der Weide Named Central Bank’s General Counsel
Dollar Slips Ahead of Jobs Report
Aecom to Buy Shimmick Construction for $175 Million
Copper Gains as Inventories Stabilize
SoundCloud to Cut Over 40% of Staff
Endo to Pull Painkiller Opana From U.S. Market
Maryland Sued by Generic-Drug Trade Group Over New Pricing Law
Late Loan Payments Up, but Still Below Average
Biswas’s Take: Harvey Gulf Sails Into Troubled Waters
SoundCloud Cuts Staff, Consolidates  Offices
QVC to Acquire Rival HSN for More Than $2 Billion
Oil Prices Rally on Report of Drop in U.S. Inventory
Battle Over U.S. Open Tickets Lands in Bankruptcy Court
Lehman Brothers Clears Path for $12 Billion Mortgage Loan Trial
Rooster Energy Fight With Angelo Gordon Intensifies
ECB Considered Dropping a QE Guarantee at June Meeting
Grocers Battle Over Store-Brand Trademarks
Bank of Mexico Remains Cautious Despite Signaling Halt to Rate Rises
So Long, Hamburger Helper: America’s Venerable Food Brands Are Struggling
ECB Paper Presents Index Measuring Central Bank Communication
U.S. Oil Producers Find a Surprise New Market: China
Continued Recovery Creates Potential for Policy Normalization, ECB Official Says
True Religion Gets Court OK on Bankruptcy Financing
A Renovation Creates an Escape for Mom and Dad
U.S. Service-Sector Activity Picked Up in June
Adeptus Equity Committee Seeks Court’s Help in Fight Over Joint Ventures
Saudi Aramco Crude Production at All-Time High in 2016
Fed’s Powell Says Housing Finance System Needs an Overhaul
Firm Retention Summary: Crosier Fathers and Brothers
Voices: Rethinking Conventional Wisdom on Saving for Retirement and School
How Much Do You Know About Ethical Investing?
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed 2.3% in May
Canada Trade Deficit in May Widens on Record U.S. Imports
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
ADP Report Shows Job Gains Slowed in June
Euro Extends Gains After ECB Minutes
GE, Canon, Germany’s Merck Accused of EU Antitrust Breaches
For Hedge Funds, Size Isn’t Everything
Firms Quitting London Courted With Perks | Payments Business Gets $10 Billion Jolt | Many Big Startups Reluctant to Go Public | Better Ways to Measure Boss’s Pay | Rubin’s Take: CFTC’s Ambitions, Budget Mismatched
Meal-Kit Delivery Segment Under Pressure to Stay Fresh
LPs to Mull Reining in VC-Founder Harassment
Davis’s Take: Where Boundaries Are the Root Problem
Young VCs Are Industry’s New Face
Rubin’s Take: CFTC’s Ambitions, Budget Mismatched
ECB’s Peter Praet Says Stimulus Still Needed as Inflation Remains Weak
Rizzo’s Take: FTI Consulting Beefs Up Restructuring Team
Risky Business: Shorting Stocks in Hong Kong
Firms Quitting London Courted With Perks | Payments Business Gets $10 Billion Jolt | Many Big Startups Reluctant to Go Public | Better Ways to Measure Boss’s Pay | Rubin’s Take: CFTC’s Ambitions, Budget Mismatched
Harrison’s Take: The Rumbling Fears of Financial Stability Risks Grow Louder
How to Dodge the Bonus Cap, and Other Perks for Firms Quitting London
Amazon and Dish Network: A Match in the Making?
Henry Cai’s AGIC Plans to Launch New Fund This Year
Foreign Banks and Monetary Policy
After Two Aborted Attempts, SpaceX Launches Large Satellite Into Orbit
Rizzo’s Take: FTI Consulting Beefs Up Restructuring Team
Condo Supply Swells in Manhattan
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0065

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-10. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-06-30,242.28,242.71,241.58,241.8,217.3722,86820700.0,0.0019,0.3242,245.0646,241.3814,53.1601,-26.4172,21.0996,242.563,239.8628
2017-07-03,242.88,243.38,242.21,242.21,217.7408,39153800.0,0.0017,0.2683,244.9915,241.2765,53.9343,-3.2836,14.1028,242.693,239.9757
2017-07-05,242.63,243.01,241.7,242.77,218.2442,54427600.0,0.0023,0.2662,244.9762,241.2478,54.9856,-19.4757,17.9598,242.8013,240.1018
2017-07-06,241.89,242.03,240.34,240.55,216.2485,65400800.0,-0.0091,0.0844,245.1226,240.7904,50.2799,-141.718,27.2691,242.818,240.1887
2017-07-07,241.21,242.28,240.56,242.11,217.6508,57972300.0,0.0065,0.0654,245.0342,240.7118,53.1919,-97.4257,24.4932,242.868,240.3062

Trump to Nominate Randal Quarles as Fed Bank Regulator
Elliott Set to Duel Berkshire for Energy Future’s Oncor
Talks Stall Between Abercrombie, Potential Buyers
Trump Regulation ‘Czar’ Cleared by Senate
Honda Confirms Another Death Linked to Takata Air Bag
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Consumer Agency’s Arbitration Move Sets Off GOP Showdown
J.C. Penney CFO Steps Down
Bond Market Predicts Low Inflation
Snap Shares Fall Below IPO Price for First Time
Stocks Rise, Led by Tech, Materials Sectors
Warren Buffett Gifts $3.2 Billion in Berkshire Hathaway Stock to Charities
Dollar Little Changed Ahead of Yellen Report
Oil Prices Edge Higher
A Smarter Approach to ETF Investing
Credit Unions’ ‘Common Bonds’ Shouldn’t Be So Common
Banks Boost Checking-Account Prices to Recoup Interchange-Fee Losses
Oil Up? Oil Down? Blame the Algorithms
Germany’s Klöckner Hopes for New Steel Tariffs in the U.S.
Gold Edges Higher
Stech’s Take: Hartford, Conn., Bankruptcy Would Be a First for Its New Law Firm
Stech’s Take: Hartford, Conn., Bankruptcy Would Be a First for Its New Law Firm
U.S. Consumer Credit Increased by $18.41 Billion in May
Department Stores Are Starting to Discount Cosmetics
Military Apparel Maker Short Bark Files for Bankruptcy
Cogeco Communications Expands U.S. Market Share With MetroCast Buy
New Fares and Fees Seen Lifting Airline Revenues
Fed Shouldn’t Be Fighting the Last War
Bundesbank Paper Explores Interest-Rate Pegs, QE and the Reversal Puzzle
Firm Retention Summary: Gymboree Corp.
U.A.E.’s Oil Company Eyes Partnerships, Listing Some Businesses
Sears Canada Holders Weigh Options
South African Official Drops Demand to Change Central Bank’s Mandate
CFTC Wants New Swaps Transaction Reporting Rules
Voices: Helping Clients Navigate Liabilities From Work on Nonprofits’ Boards
Libya, Nigeria Invited to Meeting of Oil Producers
Pepsi Earnings: What to Watch
Traders Gobble Up Wheat Amid Great Plains Drought
Glitches Disrupt Trading in India, Indonesia
Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index Fell in June
What Would Gates Do? A Defense Chief’s Plan for North Korea
Ripples Spread in Global Bond Selloff
Samsonite Aims to Bag More Market Share
Puerto Rico’s Broken Promesa
Zinc Is in The Pink, as Mine Supply Struggles to Meet Demand
Nuclear, Missile Scares Fail to Shake Investors out of South Korea
A Key Borrowing Spigot Opens for Ford
Lawmakers Oppose Exchange Sale, Citing China | Phone as Key to ATMs of the Future | Regulator Warns Banks on Fintech | Plan for New Trading Pit Triggers Feud | Rubin’s Take: Clearing’s Impact on Financial Stability
U.S. Venture Fundraising Haul Isn’t Letting Up
Zakrzewski’s Take: Harassed Founders Have Rights Too
Rubin’s Take: Clearing’s Impact on Financial Stability
Scurria’s Take: Seritage Anniversary Reflects Sears’ Slow Burn
Lawmakers Oppose Exchange Sale, Citing China | Phone as Key to ATMs of the Future | Regulator Warns Banks on Fintech | Plan for New Trading Pit Triggers Feud | Rubin’s Take: Clearing’s Impact on Financial Stability
Lawmakers Call on SEC to Reject Chicago Stock Exchange Sale
Hannon’s Take: Faint Stirrings On The ECB’s Borders
‘Tentative’ Signs of Slowdown in U.S. and U.K., Says OECD
Finance Chiefs Want You to Use Plastic, Not Paper
Fed Treasury Holdings Seen Returning to Current Levels After Wind-Down
Investors Turn Attention to ECB Following Fed Moves
German Exports Roar in May to Reach Record High
BOJ Most Bullish on Regional Economies in Over a Decade
China Producer, Consumer Inflation Held Steady in June
Rule to Protect Retirement Savings Likely to Lose Bite
Scurria’s Take: Seritage Anniversary Reflects Sears’ Slow Burn
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0007

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-11. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-03,242.88,243.38,242.21,242.21,217.7408,39153800.0,0.0017,0.2683,244.9915,241.2765,53.9343,-3.2836,14.1028,242.693,239.9757
2017-07-05,242.63,243.01,241.7,242.77,218.2442,54427600.0,0.0023,0.2662,244.9762,241.2478,54.9856,-19.4757,17.9598,242.8013,240.1018
2017-07-06,241.89,242.03,240.34,240.55,216.2485,65400800.0,-0.0091,0.0844,245.1226,240.7904,50.2799,-141.718,27.2691,242.818,240.1887
2017-07-07,241.21,242.28,240.56,242.11,217.6508,57972300.0,0.0065,0.0654,245.0342,240.7118,53.1919,-97.4257,24.4932,242.868,240.3062
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452

Nikkei Down as U.S. Political News Stalls Upward Momentum in USD/JPY
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 11
Ex-Insys Saleswomen Plead Guilty in  Opioid Prescription Kickback Schemes
Financial Institutions Need Aligned Infrastructures for Blockchain to Work Well
Say-on-Pay Rules May Be Lip Service
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Trump Jr. Emails Create Short-Term Uproar, Long-Term Problem
Zimmer Biomet Announces Leadership Transition
New York Fed Updates Portfolio Simulations, Projects Large Balance Sheet
Dollar Edges Lower Ahead of Yellen Testimony
Gymboree to Close About 350 Stores
Rising Bond Yields Spur Concern on Stocks
Shifting Monetary-Policy Outlook Imperils Rally in Emerging Markets
Amicus Gets Nod From FDA to Submit Experimental Drug for Approval
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Cleveland Fed’s Loretta Mester
Oil Rises Ahead of U.S. Stockpile Data
Rural North Carolina Hospital Files for Bankruptcy
Rent-A-Center Rejects Takeover Proposal; Stock Jumps
Snap Shares Tumble Further Below IPO Price
Dow Industrials Rebound After Midday Dip
Live: Janet Yellen Testifies Before House Financial Services Committee
Nuverra Environmental Grapples with Bondholder Unrest
Copper Gains Amid a Labor Dispute in Chile
Fed’s Kashkari Says Labor Market Not Too Hot
Arkansas Bans Herbicide as Farmers Blame Neighbors for Crop Damage
Evelo Biosciences Gets $50 Million for Microbial Therapeutics
Fed Nominee Randal Quarles in His Own Words
Saudi Arabia June Oil Output Exceeds Production-Cut Limit for First Time
The $3 Peanut-Butter Club? Startup Tests Power of Brands
Randles’s Take: Westinghouse Review Committee Rankles Creditors
Majority of Fed Regional Banks Wanted Discount-Window Rate Rise
Central Bank Video Briefing: The Outlook for Interest Rates and the Economy
Fed’s Brainard Sees Balance Sheet Runoff ‘Soon’
Mexico’s Televisa Seeks to Capture Ad Revenue From Ratings Gains
Firm Retention Summary: True Religion Apparel Inc.
PayPal Hires Former Amazon.com Executive for Lending Business
Yellen to Discuss Rates, Balance Sheet in Testimony
Quarles Would Be a ‘Clone’ at the Fed
Vista Aims for New Leadership Amid Gun Sale Slump
New Bailouts Prove ‘Too Big to Fail’ Is Alive and Well
What’s Holding Back Business Formation?
Higher Prices Boost PepsiCo Results
Fed’s Harker Says Slowing Inflation Gives Him Pause on Raising Rates
The Global Factor in Neutral Policy Rates
Greece Should Avoid Tapping Bond Market Too Early, Says Central Bank Chief
Q&A With Greek Central Bank Chief Yannis Stournaras
Sterling Down on Deputy Governor Broadbent’s Negative Brexit Comments
Allurion Raises $27 Million for Weight-Loss Tech
Home-Price Rebound Helps Banks Dodge Loan Mess
Waiting for a Moment of Clarity in the Apparel Sector
Consol Energy Files to Spin Off Coal-Mining Business
U.K., EU Economies Would Suffer If Trade Falls, Says BOE’s Broadbent
Quarles Is Fed Regulatory Pick | CFPB’s Arbitration Move Sets Off GOP Showdown | Trump Regulation ‘Czar’ Cleared by Senate | CFTC to Rewrite Rules for Swaps Reporting | Ackerman’s Take: CFPB Rule Has Short Life Expectancy
Chernova’s Take: Startup Consumer Brands Lose That Tech Feeling
HyTrust Set for Cloud-Security Expansion
Loss of Talent Feared Over End of Startup Visa
Ackerman’s Take: CFPB Arbitration Rule Has Short Life Expectancy
Quarles Is Fed Regulatory Pick | CFPB’s Arbitration Move Sets Off GOP Showdown | Trump Regulation ‘Czar’ Cleared by Senate | CFTC to Rewrite Rules for Swaps Reporting | Ackerman’s Take: CFPB Rule Has Short Life Expectancy
China’s Central Bank Is Battling Investors at Home Over the Yuan
Blackstone’s Take: Strong Euro Good News for Swiss Even if Dollar Isn’t Following Suit
U.S. Small-Business Confidence Dragged By Senate Gridlock
Buffett’s Berkshire Moves Away From Stock Picking
Temasek Sells More Than It Buys for First Time in Nine Years
Fed’s Williams Calls for Government-Debt Cuts While Economy Strong
Oil Rebounds Some, But Move May Not Last
U.S. Shale Drives Recovery in Global Oil Investment
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 10
Saudi Aramco Chief Predicts Oil Shortage
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0075

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-12. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-03,242.88,243.38,242.21,242.21,217.7408,39153800.0,0.0017,0.2683,244.9915,241.2765,53.9343,-3.2836,14.1028,242.693,239.9757
2017-07-05,242.63,243.01,241.7,242.77,218.2442,54427600.0,0.0023,0.2662,244.9762,241.2478,54.9856,-19.4757,17.9598,242.8013,240.1018
2017-07-06,241.89,242.03,240.34,240.55,216.2485,65400800.0,-0.0091,0.0844,245.1226,240.7904,50.2799,-141.718,27.2691,242.818,240.1887
2017-07-07,241.21,242.28,240.56,242.11,217.6508,57972300.0,0.0065,0.0654,245.0342,240.7118,53.1919,-97.4257,24.4932,242.868,240.3062
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452
2017-07-11,242.37,242.55,240.85,242.19,217.7228,50354600.0,-0.0007,0.0594,244.9212,240.6038,53.2784,-85.8185,25.2064,242.9043,240.6065

Brazil’s J&F to Sell Stake in Flip-Flop Maker Alpargatas
Overnight Stock Strength to Extend Into Asia
Mexico Awards 21 Oil and Gas Blocks in Two Auctions
Oil Prices Steady After Latest Move Higher
Minnesota Sues CenturyLink Over Billing Complaints
Yellen: Inflation Should Rebound, but Fed Could Alter Policy if Softness Persists
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Janet Yellen’s House Testimony: Key Quotes
Dynamics of Housing Debt in the Boom and Recession
Yellen Gets Blasted By Congresswoman Over Closed-Door Fischer Speech
Bankrupt Ticketing Business Seeks Court Order to Sell Remaining Inventory
The Fed Gets Optimistic About Inflation
Research Lab Worker Arrested, Charged With Securities Fraud
NRG to Sell Assets, Slash Costs, Bowing to Activist Pressure
Capital Teas Files for Bankruptcy
Dollar Slides as Investors Watch Yellen Testimony
Dow Industrials Climb to Record Close
FDA Panel Votes to Support Leukemia Gene-Therapy Treatment
Yellen Open to Change in Some Bank Rules, But Not All
Ex-Banker Sentenced to Prison After Pleading Guilty to 1MDB-Linked Money Laundering
White House to Nominate Russ Behnam as CFTC Commissioner
Quarles Should Firm Up Stance on Bank Regulations
Want a Higher Interest Rate on Your Bank Account? Tough Luck
SEC Head Calls on Agency to Ease Disclosure Rules on Public Firms
The Benefits of Shadow Banking to the Financial System
Canada No Longer Needs Strong Stimulus, Central Bank Says
Fed’s George Wants Balance-Sheet Reduction ‘in the Near Future’
Oil Climbs as U.S. Stockpiles Shrink
Trump’s Pick for Top Bank Regulatory Post Withdraws
Live: Janet Yellen Testifies Before Senate Banking Committee
Gold Rises on Yellen’s Remarks
Fed Beige Book: Labor Markets Tighter, Price Pressures Modest
Canadian Dollar Rallies on Rate Rise
Breitburn Challenges Shareholders’ Bid for Valuation Discovery
Bank Earnings: What to Watch
Rue21 Creditors Object to Plan
Firm Retention Summary: Wordsworth Academy
Fitzgerald’s Take: Retail Ruling a Boost to Long-Distance Shippers
Fitzgerald’s Take: Retail Ruling a Boost to Long-Distance Shippers
Berkshire Aims for Fast Regulatory Action on Oncor Deal
French Government Tweaks Budget to Fund Tax Cuts
OPEC Output Rose in June Despite Planned Cuts
Eurozone Industrial Output Grows at Fastest Since 2011
Big Oil Stays Wary on Iran
Rate Rise Could Stoke Worries Over Canada’s Banks
New York Fed’s Potter: Central Bank Is Reviewing FX Trading Policies
RBS to Pay $5.5 Billion to Settle Mortgage-Backed Securities Probe
Transcript: Fed’s Brainard Answers Audience Questions
Profile: Guiding Entrepreneurs on Growth
ETFs and Mutual Funds Square Off in the Post-Fiduciary-Rule World
J.P. Morgan Names New Government Relations Head
WSJ Dollar Index Edges Down
European Commission Urges End to Disciplinary Measures Against Greece
Ex-Chief of Collapsed Bitcoin Exchange Mt. Gox on Trial
ABM Industries Reaches Deal to Buy GCA Services for $1.25 Billion
Visa Takes War on Cash to Restaurants
Chinese Banks Continued to Exceed Loan-Volume Expectations in June
Why the Euro’s Surge Could Last
Opponents Eye Ways to Stop Arbitration Rule | Visa Takes War on Cash to Restaurants | Why Higher Bank Deposit Rates Are Unlikely | Witkowski’s Take: Fintech Charter Still on the Horizon
Zinsli’s Take: Despite Missteps, Billion-Dollar Valuations Aren’t Going Away
Revere Nabs $2 Million for Fitness Nutrition
Witkowski’s Take: Fintech Charter Still on the Horizon
Former White House Economists to Donald Trump: Don’t Impose Steel Tariffs
Opponents Eye Ways to Stop Arbitration Rule | Visa Takes War on Cash to Restaurants | Why Higher Bank Deposit Rates Are Unlikely | Witkowski’s Take: Fintech Charter Still on the Horizon
Torry’s Take: Chances of a Tantrumy Testimony Look Tapered
China Bond Rally May Stir Up Trouble for Beijing Regulators
Miners Dig High to Hunt for the Most Valuable Diamonds
Consumer Arbitration Rule Opponents  Plan Repeal Effort
Oil Prices to Remain Choppy in 2H
BOE’s Broadbent Cites Cloudy Economic Outlook in Arguing Against Rate Hike
China Releases 10 Crown Resorts Employees From Jail
Darktrace Raises $75 Million
WeWork Raises $760 Million in New Capital
Randles’s Take: Westinghouse Review Committee Rankles Creditors
One Game Warren Buffett Doesn’t Play: Chicken
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0017

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2017-07-13 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-03,242.88,243.38,242.21,242.21,217.7408,39153800.0,0.0017,0.2683,244.9915,241.2765,53.9343,-3.2836,14.1028,242.693,239.9757
2017-07-05,242.63,243.01,241.7,242.77,218.2442,54427600.0,0.0023,0.2662,244.9762,241.2478,54.9856,-19.4757,17.9598,242.8013,240.1018
2017-07-06,241.89,242.03,240.34,240.55,216.2485,65400800.0,-0.0091,0.0844,245.1226,240.7904,50.2799,-141.718,27.2691,242.818,240.1887
2017-07-07,241.21,242.28,240.56,242.11,217.6508,57972300.0,0.0065,0.0654,245.0342,240.7118,53.1919,-97.4257,24.4932,242.868,240.3062
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452
2017-07-11,242.37,242.55,240.85,242.19,217.7228,50354600.0,-0.0007,0.0594,244.9212,240.6038,53.2784,-85.8185,25.2064,242.9043,240.6065
2017-07-12,243.3,244.2,243.3,244.01,219.3589,59610400.0,0.0075,0.1952,244.812,240.659,56.512,80.3171,8.4649,242.988,240.7638

U.S. Farmers Have a Lot to Gain From China’s Flagging Production
Tiffany Taps Alessandro Bogliolo to Be Its New CEO
Oil Prices Pause After Recent Gains
Asian Stocks Extend Global Gains
Celadon Hires Turnaround Expert
Hedging Ebbs as U.S. Currency Weakens
Financial Regulators Tussle Over New Arbitration Rule
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 13
Peru’s Central Bank Cuts Reference Interest Rate to 3.75% from 4%
Iantech Draws Funding for Cataract Treatment Technology
DraftKings, FanDuel Call Off Merger
Bridal Retailer Alfredo Angelo Plans to File for Bankruptcy
U.S. Banks Too Weak to Be a Weapon Against North Korea
U.S. Boost to Oil Drilling Will Barely Dent Russia’s Energy Monolith
Central Bank of Chile Holds Benchmark Interest Rate at 2.5%
Anthem Files Civil Suit Against Insys Therapeutics
Sears Canada Gets Interest From More Than 20 Potential Bidders
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Gold Falls After Yellen Says Inflation May Rise
Oil Prices Rise on Better Demand
Dow at Another Record, Driven by Financial Sector
Guggenheim Partners Names Asset-Management President
Dollar Wavers After Yellen Testimony
Corrigan’s Take: Archdiocese Says Bankruptcy Plan Violates First Amendment Rights
Funding Snapshot: Venus Concept Receives $38 Million for Aesthetic Medical Devices
Funding Snapshot: Segment Secures $64 Million Series C for Customer Data Platform
Corrigan’s Take: Archdiocese Says Bankruptcy Plan Violates First Amendment Rights
Funding Snapshot: Saucey Raises $5.4 Million Series A for Alcohol Delivery
Funding Snapshot: Spotinst Raises $15 Million Series A for Cloud Workload Management
Fed’s Brainard Says Asset Values May Be ‘A Little Stretched’
Funding Snapshot: Chinese Logistics Robotics Provider Geek+ Raises $60 Million Series B
Salus Capital Wins $2.6 Million in Suit Against Co-Founder
Pricing Decisions Under Financial Frictions
Yellen’s Wish May Not Come True
Yellen: Premature to Conclude Inflation Trend Is Falling Well Short of Target
Cargill Mulls Meat Deals as Portfolio Shifts
U.S. Runs $90 Billion Budget Deficit in June
Delta Misses Profit Target
Tidewater Restructuring Plan Clears Bankruptcy Court
Germany Questions Siemens on Equipment That Made It to Crimea
HNA, a Once-Aggressive Deal Maker, Slams on the Brakes
Firm Retention Summary: Morehead Memorial Hospital
Fed Official Says More Inflation Likely Needed Before Another Rate Rise
Fed’s Yellen: Tougher Capital Rule for Stress Tests Might Not Be Ready by 2018
5 Things to Watch in Wells Fargo’s Results
5 Things to Watch in J.P. Morgan’s Results
Manulife Exploring IPO or Spinoff for John Hancock Unit
5 Things to Watch in Citigroup’s Results
A Shipping Company’s Bizarre Stock Maneuvers Create High Seas Intrigue
ECB’s Draghi to Speak at Jackson Hole, Giving Chance to Signal Shift
Target Sees Same-Store Sales Growth
Bostwick Laboratories Unveils Liquidation Plan
Bonfire of the Retail Stocks Brings Out Bargain Hunters
U.S. Producer Prices Rose Slightly in June
Group With Ex-Alderman, Unions Set to Buy Chicago Sun-Times
As Aramco Listing Looms, U.K. Regulator Mulls Rule Change
Voices: On Working With Clients Who Don’t Meet Asset Minimums
Economists See Fed Balance Sheet Shrinking in September
Forecasters Lower Economic Outlook Amid Congressional Gridlock
Uber, Yandex Deal Ends Years of Intense Rivalry
Canada New House Prices Surge for Second Straight Month
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell by 3,000 to 247,000
Mattel Seeks to Replace CFO After 17 Years
CFTC Pick Emerges, FDIC Nominee Withdraws | Where Trump’s Financial Policy Team Stands | SEC Chief Wants to Ease Firms’ Disclosure Burdens | Michael’s Take: Another Way for Clayton to Serve Mr. and Ms. 401(k)
India Hedge Funds Outpace Country’s Hot Stock Market
Michaels’s Take: Another Way for Clayton to Serve Mr. and Ms. 401(k)
TemperPack Raises $10 Million For Sustainable Thermal Packaging
Koia Gets $7.5 Million For Plant-based  Protein Drink
Venture Firms Dip Into Cryptocurrency for Potential Wild Ride—Despite Risks
Haggin’s Take: Dropping the Ball on Startup Visas
Wine Startup Plum Pours on the Capital
Mystery at AstraZeneca: Is CEO Pascal Soriot Staying or Going?
CFTC Pick Emerges, FDIC Nominee Withdraws | Where Trump’s Financial Policy Team Stands | SEC Chief Wants to Ease Firms’ Disclosure Burdens | Michaels’s Take: Another Way for Clayton to Serve Mr. and Ms. 401(k)
Yellen Set to Testify Before Senate Panel on Rates, Regulation
Oil Demand Is Accelerating, IEA Says
Latest 401(k) Suits Yield Mixed Results for Plaintiffs
Singapore Dollar Higher Against U.S. Dollar After Dovish Yellen Comments
Harrison’s Take: Don’t Be Too Quick To Write Off Another Rate Increase This Year
Rover.com Grabs $65 Million; Megan Quinn Joins Board
Regulation and the Financial Crisis
Global Logistic Properties Picks Chinese Group as Preferred Bidder
Behind Hong Kong’s Stock-Market Surge: An Old Bank and a Millennial Tech Giant
Malaysia’s Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged as Expected
Deleveraging and Endogenous Growth
China Exports Rise for Fourth Straight Month
South Korea’s Central Bank Stands Pat on Rates, Raises Growth Forecast
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 12
Health-Care Deals Jump in First Half
Vanguard CEO McNabb to Step Down
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0047

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2017-07-17. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-07,241.21,242.28,240.56,242.11,217.6508,57972300.0,0.0065,0.0654,245.0342,240.7118,53.1919,-97.4257,24.4932,242.868,240.3062
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452
2017-07-11,242.37,242.55,240.85,242.19,217.7228,50354600.0,-0.0007,0.0594,244.9212,240.6038,53.2784,-85.8185,25.2064,242.9043,240.6065
2017-07-12,243.3,244.2,243.3,244.01,219.3589,59610400.0,0.0075,0.1952,244.812,240.659,56.512,80.3171,8.4649,242.988,240.7638
2017-07-13,244.02,244.55,243.76,244.42,219.7275,39471600.0,0.0017,0.332,244.8498,240.6392,57.2022,112.6198,5.2731,243.0873,240.9397
2017-07-14,244.42,245.97,244.31,245.56,220.7523,60262700.0,0.0047,0.5264,245.2519,240.4161,59.0709,185.9831,6.6416,243.1607,241.1417

Activist Proxy Fight Puts Focus on P&G’s Cost-Cutting Effort
Signet Jewelers CEO to Retire, Citing Health Reasons
RBA Estimates Cash Rate Target of 3.5% Over Time
Investors Are Digging Deeper for Value
Netflix Surprises With Big Subscriber Gains, Shares Soar
Fiat Chrysler Sponsorship of Sesame Street Puts Muppets in Driver’s Seat
Berkshire Hathaway Rounds Up Support From More Oncor Customers for Takeover
Ensco Bondholders Unhappy With Atwood Oceanics Deal
A New Generation Is Poised to Take Control of KKR
Mandatory Arbitration is Not a Fair Fight
Tax on Asset Holdings Could be Better Control for Financial Intermediaries
Nasdaq Rises for Seventh Consecutive Session
Sears Hit With 401(k) Lawsuit
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Copper Hits 4-Month High on Upbeat Chinese Data
SEC’s Piwowar Urges Easing of Audit Rule for Smaller Firms
BNY Mellon Names Former Visa Executive Scharf as CEO
Dollar Stabilizes Ahead of Central Bank Meetings
Proxy Fights Are a Rarity for Peltz’s Trian
Oil Falls as Oversupply Concerns Persist
BNP Paribas Fined by Fed Over Currency Manipulation
FedEx Struggles to Bounce Back From Cyberattack
Bankrupt Oncology Specialist Seeks Approval of Rights Offerings
Deutsche Bank’s Head of ‘Know Your Customer’ Controls to Leave
Disney’s ‘Beauty and the Beast’ Gets Entangled in Visual-Effects Lawsuit
Fitzgerald’s Take: Why Did Alfred Angelo Collapse?
Peltz Launches Proxy Fight Against P&G
Mercury International to Buy Dowling College for $26.1 Million
BlackRock’s Earnings Rise On Stronger Inflows
Puerto Rico’s Troubles Create New Opportunities for Investors
What to Watch in Goldman Sachs’s Results
Firm Retention Summary: Morehead Memorial Hospital
Puerto Rico Economic Crisis Hits Island’s Only Zoo
5 Things to Watch in Bank of America’s Results
Chinese Firm Launches Bid to Make Credit Ratings More Transparent
Uber, Lyft Take Down Not Just Cab Drivers, But Also Lenders
Empire State Manufacturing Survey Shows Slower Growth in July
Voices: Why Advisers Should Consider New Direct Real-Estate Investing Option
Washington Cos. to Buy Dominion Diamond
Church & Dwight to Buy Water Pik
WSJ Dollar Index Flat
Nasdaq Urges Treasurys Clearing | China Sets Cabinet Panel on Financial Rules | Yellen’s Q&A With Senators | Wells Fargo Defections Pick Up | Hayashi’s Take: CFPB’s Arbitration Database Plan
Leap Motion Grabs $50 Million for Hand-Tracking Computer Interface
Bright.md Gathers $8 Million for AI-Based Doctor Support Technology
Zakrzewski’s Take: Time to Rethink Non-Disparagement Clauses
Hayashi’s Take: CFPB’s Arbitration Database Plan
Nasdaq Urges Treasurys Clearing | China Sets Cabinet Panel on Financial Rules | Yellen’s Q&A With Senators | Wells Fargo Defections Pick Up | Hayashi’s Take: CFPB’s Arbitration Database Plan
Torry’s Take: What’s a Little Low Inflation Between Friends?
PBOC Net Foreign-Exchange Sales Rose in June
Emirates, Flydubai Connect in New Middle East Airline Alliance
U.S. Companies Have a New 401(k) Fix: Spend More
Xi Jinping’s Comments Spook Chinese Stock Markets
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 14
Clinical Development News, July 10-14
Manufacturing Startup Desktop Metal’s Valuation Tops $1 Billion
Fitzgerald’s Take: Bankruptcy Judge Rules Against Former Lehman Employees on Pensions
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0005

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-18. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452
2017-07-11,242.37,242.55,240.85,242.19,217.7228,50354600.0,-0.0007,0.0594,244.9212,240.6038,53.2784,-85.8185,25.2064,242.9043,240.6065
2017-07-12,243.3,244.2,243.3,244.01,219.3589,59610400.0,0.0075,0.1952,244.812,240.659,56.512,80.3171,8.4649,242.988,240.7638
2017-07-13,244.02,244.55,243.76,244.42,219.7275,39471600.0,0.0017,0.332,244.8498,240.6392,57.2022,112.6198,5.2731,243.0873,240.9397
2017-07-14,244.42,245.97,244.31,245.56,220.7523,60262700.0,0.0047,0.5264,245.2519,240.4161,59.0709,185.9831,6.6416,243.1607,241.1417
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115

Asian Stocks Off to a Muted Start
Crude Futures Lack Direction Ahead of U.S. Oil Data
Dow Slides as U.S. Dollar Weakens
White House to Nominate Peirce as Republican SEC Commissioner
HCR Manorcare Lines Up New Financing From Centerbridge Partners
Peso Rises as Trump’s Agenda Stumbles
Bondholder, Lead Producer Row Grows in Size and Rancor
Israel’s Rapid Medical Hones In on Stroke Prevention
Bank Regulators Need to Look Past ‘Broken Windows’
Crown Castle to Buy Lightower for $7.1 Billion
Harley Shares Fall Sharply on Weak Hog Sales
Goldman’s Once-Revered Bond Trading Takes Another Hit
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Developer Buys Elk Grove Site Near O’Hare Airport for New Business Park
United Latest Airline to Ride New Fares and Fees to Higher Revenue
Scurria’s Take: Buy-Side Firms Well Positioned for Market-Making
Target CEO Sees Slowdown in Hispanic Spending
Dollar Slides After Health Bill Fails
Regulators Edge Closer to Fight Over Arbitration Rule
Australia’s Central Bank Far From Turning Hawkish
Global Trade’s Evolution May Check Trump’s Protectionism
New Research Raises Doubts About Secular Stagnation Theory
Vanguard Natural Resources Wins Bankruptcy Plan Confirmation
Oil Edges Up Ahead of U.S. Stocks Data
Creditors of Puerto Rico Utility Demand a Receiver
What to Watch in Morgan Stanley’s Results
Six Flags CEO John Duffey Departs
Ecuador to Pump Over OPEC Oil Limit
Chipotle Faces New Food-Safety Scare
Paragon Offshore Emerges From Bankruptcy Protection
Merrill Lynch Boosts Profit, Fee-Based Assets
Lockheed Order Book Reaches $100 Billion
America’s Farmers Turn to Bank of John Deere
NYSE Backs Rollback of Rule Meant to Boost Accounting Quality
Wells Fargo Planning More Branch Changes
Johnson & Johnson Raises Guidance
Bank of America Results Get Boost From Higher Rates
UnitedHealth Sees Strong Growth Despite ACA Exits
Hank Greenberg’s Starr Buys Stake in  CoverWallet
Gold Rises After Senate Drops Health-Care Bill
U.K. Inflation Eases Unexpectedly in June
Silk Road Medical Gets Backing to Halt Strokes
Chernova’s Take: Will VCs Flip Cryptocurrencies Like Hedge Funds?
Artsy Draws $50 Million in Funding
Scout Programs Spread in Silicon Valley
NewStore Gets $50 Million to Connect Customers With Brands
Trump Comptroller Urges Arbitration Rule Delay | SEC Commissioner Seeks Small Firm Audit-Rule Break | Fed Fines BNP Paribas | Deng’s Take: The Difficulty of Coordinating China Regulation
Deng’s Take: Coordinated Financial Oversight Still Out of Grasp for China
While Health Care Divides Party, Republicans Hope Tax Cuts Will Unite
Trump Comptroller Urges Arbitration Rule Delay | SEC Commissioner Seeks Small Firm Audit-Rule Break | Fed Fines BNP Paribas | Deng’s Take: The Difficulty of Coordinating China Regulation
Fairless’s Take: Investors Focus on ECB’s Exit Strategy
ECB Bank-Lending Survey Data Seen Positive for Tapering
Dollar Slumps After Trump’s Latest Setback
Zombie Firms and the Eurozone Crisis
Dollar Declines Could Get Exaggerated in Europe
Oil Prices Edge Up Ahead of Wednesday’s U.S. Data
Fresh Record High for New Zealand Stocks
China Sees Continued Important Role for Investment in GDP Growth
Fitzgerald’s Take: Why Did Alfred Angelo Collapse?
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0054

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-19. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452
2017-07-11,242.37,242.55,240.85,242.19,217.7228,50354600.0,-0.0007,0.0594,244.9212,240.6038,53.2784,-85.8185,25.2064,242.9043,240.6065
2017-07-12,243.3,244.2,243.3,244.01,219.3589,59610400.0,0.0075,0.1952,244.812,240.659,56.512,80.3171,8.4649,242.988,240.7638
2017-07-13,244.02,244.55,243.76,244.42,219.7275,39471600.0,0.0017,0.332,244.8498,240.6392,57.2022,112.6198,5.2731,243.0873,240.9397
2017-07-14,244.42,245.97,244.31,245.56,220.7523,60262700.0,0.0047,0.5264,245.2519,240.4161,59.0709,185.9831,6.6416,243.1607,241.1417
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115
2017-07-18,245.06,245.72,244.67,245.66,220.8422,42742500.0,0.0005,0.7858,245.8901,240.1669,59.2178,162.28,0.5948,243.2617,241.496

China Seeing Most Balanced Cross-Border Capital Flows in 3 Years
Australia’s Job Market Remains Strong
Japan’s Exports Gain for 7th Straight Month in June
iHeart’s Battle With Bondholders Reaches Pivotal Point
American Express Profit Falls
T-Mobile Subscriber Base Grows
Brooklyn Apartment Building Offers Co-Working Space
Canadian Utility Hydro One to Buy Avista
Charter Airline Dynamic International Airways Files for Bankruptcy
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Private Equity Is as Risky but More Stable Than Investment Banking
House Lawmakers Put Definition of ‘Systemically Important’ in Play
Why the SEC Tipster-Reward Program Is Effective
Jana Sells Whole Foods Stake
Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Close at Records
Dollar Rises Ahead of Central Bank Meetings
U.S. Bancorp Results Signal End to Lending Doldrums
Banking Regulator Supports National Licenses for Financial-Technology Firms
América Móvil Profit Nearly Doubles
Fed Faces Inflation Riddle
All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation
Analyzing the Effects of Minimum Wage with Location Quotients
Facebook Launches News Analytics Tool in Partnership with Nielsen
Ira Rennert Can’t Block Sale of Judgment
What Remains of Milton Friedman’s Monetarism?
Univision Fields Takeover Interest Amid IPO Delays
Rizzo’s Take: Taste Test Coming Soon for Soupman
Gold Pares Losses as Dollar Swings
‘Fiduciary’ Rule Accelerates Account Shift Across Brokerage Industry
Investment Firms Cleared to Purchase Katy Industries’ Plants
SunEdison Wins Broad Support for Bankruptcy-Exit Plan
Oil Rises on Bigger-Than-Expected Inventory Decline
GOP Lawmakers Aim to Kill CFPB’s Arbitration Rule by Mid-August
Don’t Mind Jamie Dimon, Some Bankers Like What’s Happening in Washington
Nauto Raises $159 Million for Autonomous Vehicle Technology
Appeals Court Overturns Convictions of Two Traders in Libor Scandal
América Móvil Executive Says Wireless Prices Too Low
SoftBank Leads $114 Million Investment in Robot Navigation Startup
Profile: Earning Clients’ Trust by Aligning Goals
U.S. Housing Starts Jumped in June
W.W. Grainger CFO to Retire, Profit Falls
How Investors Can Play Defense With Their Portfolios
‘Robo’ Advisers Betterment, Wealthfront Get In on Socially Responsible Investing
Euro Lower Against Dollar, Pausing Rally
The High Price of Dodd-Frank Removal
Report Urges South Carolina to Pull the Plug on Nuclear Plants
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Iceland Central Bank’s Mar Gudmundsson
Traders Falter in Worst First Half for Commodities Since 2010
GOP Budget Targets Dodd-Frank, Housing Finance | Regulation Critic for SEC Slot | Cordray vs. Noreika, Round 2 | Tracy’s Take: The Consulting Costs of Dodd-Frank Removal
Iceland Central Bank’s Challenges Eased by Stimulus Cuts Abroad
Particle Bets It Will Be Conduit of the IoT Boom
Molekule Grabs $10.1 Million For Consumer Molecular Air Purifier
Zinsli’s Take: I Left My Heartland in San Francisco
Tracy’s Take: The High Price of Dodd-Frank Removal
Akzo Nobel Chief Quits Over Health
GOP Budget Targets Dodd-Frank, Housing Finance | Regulation Critic for SEC Slot | Cordray vs. Noreika, Round 2 | Tracy’s Take: The Consulting Costs of Dodd-Frank Removal
Douglas’s Take: Slowdown in UK Inflation Won’t End Rate Rise Debate
Markets’ Steady Climb in 2017 Defies Historic Odds
UK Households and the Income Squeeze
Robots Take Over Retail Jobs
Brokers’ Call on Wall Street: Bye
The Quiet Demise of Austerity
ECB Chief Expected to Reinforce Tightening Signals
Eurozone House Price Growth Eases
Shift’s Car Marketplace Gets Into High Gear
Bank Indonesia Expected to Keep Rates Steady
BOJ More Confident About Bond Yield Management
Banks’ Earnings Highlight Diverging Paths Since Crisis
Scurria’s Take: Buy-Side Firms Well Positioned for Market-Making
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0004

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-20. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-10,242.11,242.8,241.76,242.37,217.8846,36663300.0,0.0011,0.0705,244.9778,240.6642,53.6598,-46.4596,18.735,242.8883,240.4452
2017-07-11,242.37,242.55,240.85,242.19,217.7228,50354600.0,-0.0007,0.0594,244.9212,240.6038,53.2784,-85.8185,25.2064,242.9043,240.6065
2017-07-12,243.3,244.2,243.3,244.01,219.3589,59610400.0,0.0075,0.1952,244.812,240.659,56.512,80.3171,8.4649,242.988,240.7638
2017-07-13,244.02,244.55,243.76,244.42,219.7275,39471600.0,0.0017,0.332,244.8498,240.6392,57.2022,112.6198,5.2731,243.0873,240.9397
2017-07-14,244.42,245.97,244.31,245.56,220.7523,60262700.0,0.0047,0.5264,245.2519,240.4161,59.0709,185.9831,6.6416,243.1607,241.1417
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115
2017-07-18,245.06,245.72,244.67,245.66,220.8422,42742500.0,0.0005,0.7858,245.8901,240.1669,59.2178,162.28,0.5948,243.2617,241.496
2017-07-19,246.02,247.0,246.01,246.99,222.0379,51034300.0,0.0054,0.9734,246.5929,239.8621,61.3815,226.5431,11.0509,243.3877,241.6597

RBA’s Debelle Seeks to Calm Speculation on Interest Rates
Loophole Closed: Hedge-Fund Managers Prepare Huge Tax Checks
Asian Stocks Start Lower; Australia Lags
Oil Prices Maintain U.S. Declines in Asia Trade
Sears to Sell Kenmore Brand on Amazon
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 20
Blackstone Made Bid to Buy Hotel Investor RLJ Lodging Trust
Capital One Profit, Revenue Rise
Visa Raises Outlook as Results Beat Views
Trevi Banks $50 Million for Anti-Itch Treatment
Proposals Coming to Improve Electronic Money Transfers
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Dow Industrials Retreat from Record Highs
Dollar Slides as Euro Hits Two-Year High
Puerto Rico’s Bondholders File First Suit Against Uncle Sam
Randles’s Take: Dynamic International Eyes Growth in China After Bankruptcy Pit Stop
Low Earners Are Making the Biggest Gains for the First Time in Years
Oil Retreats From a Seven-Week High
ECB’s Inaction Echoes Global Caution Over Weak Inflation
Regulations Expanding Access to Credit Focused on Quantity, Not Quality
Adeptus Health Repayment Plan Earmarks More Money for Litigation Trust
Here’s What Kept Bank Stocks Down This Week
BP Said to Be Shopping Its North Sea Oil Fields
IMF Falls Short of Transparency Rules as Key Discussions Remain Secret
BNY Mellon Results Renew Focus on Rival Northern Trust’s Lackluster Quarter
Blackstone Posts Sharply Higher Profit
Philadelphia Fed Index Shows Slower Manufacturing Growth
Oilman Russell Gordy Has a $96 Million Collection—of Ranches
AB InBev to Buy Energy-Drinks Maker Hiball
Euro Jumps to Two-Year High After ECB Meeting
Breitburn Cleared to Reduce Senior Debt With Hedging Proceeds
Europe’s Most Fragile Bonds Power Through ECB Taper Talk
McCain Health News Stuns Capital; Here’s Why
Sherwin-Williams Cuts Guidance on Acquistion Costs
5 Takeaways From ECB’s News Conference
Leading Economic Indicators Index Rises in June
South Africa Cuts Repo Rate Amid Weaker Growth Outlook
Voices: To Prevent Elder Fraud, Watch for Cognitive Decline in Clients
Over 100 Report Being Sickened at Virginia Chipotle
Barnes & Noble Education Names New CEO
Euro Turns Higher as Draghi Highlights Strong Economy
PayPal, J.P. Morgan in Deal to Expand Mobile Payments
U.S. Jobless Claims Dropped Last Week
Defaults Remain Rare in China’s Bond Market
PepsiCo CEO Picks a No. 2, but No ‘Heir Apparent’
Indoor-Farming Company Plenty Reaps $200 Million Financing
Fintech Charters Get Boost | Redefining ‘Systemically Important’ | Don’t Mind Dimon | Rubin’s Take: Brexit Complicates Clearinghouse Plan
Rubin’s Take: Brexit Muddies the Future of Clearing
VCs Bet on Millennial Tastes for Food, Beverages
Graphcore Sets Sights on Next-Generation AI Chips
NeuroVia Targets Rare Genetic Disease With $14 Million Series A
Haggin’s Take: A Tax Plan to Ease Startup Workers’ Burden
Japan’s Inflation Dream Slips Further Into Future
Appeals to the Ego? Lawyers Vie for Growing Number of Rankings
Happy 100th Birthday! There Goes Your Life Insurance
Fintech Charters Get Boost | Redefining ‘Systemically Important’ | Don’t Mind Dimon | Rubin’s Take: Brexit Complicates Clearinghouse Plan
Goldman’s Partners Cash Out
Timiraos’s Take: Fed Chair Candidates Offer a Case for 3% Growth
CSX Warns of ‘Bumps in the Road’ as It Tightens Rail Schedules
Lunch Break Is Returning to Singapore’s Stock Market
Unilever Reassures Investors With Strong Earnings
Spice Maker McCormick Adds French’s Mustard to Its Shelf
Oil Prices Remain Near 6-Week Highs in Asia
Volvo, Fueled by China Sales, Stays on Track for Record Year
Rizzo’s Take: Taste Test Coming Soon for Soupman
Where Will Banks Go After Brexit? Frankfurt Takes Early Lead
Investors Brace for Clues on ECB’s Tapering Plans
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0009

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-24. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-14,244.42,245.97,244.31,245.56,220.7523,60262700.0,0.0047,0.5264,245.2519,240.4161,59.0709,185.9831,6.6416,243.1607,241.1417
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115
2017-07-18,245.06,245.72,244.67,245.66,220.8422,42742500.0,0.0005,0.7858,245.8901,240.1669,59.2178,162.28,0.5948,243.2617,241.496
2017-07-19,246.02,247.0,246.01,246.99,222.0379,51034300.0,0.0054,0.9734,246.5929,239.8621,61.3815,226.5431,11.0509,243.3877,241.6597
2017-07-20,247.28,247.42,246.47,247.1,222.1368,47135200.0,0.0004,1.1181,247.2146,239.6554,61.556,213.5817,14.2158,243.5023,241.8022
2017-07-21,246.44,246.91,246.18,246.88,221.939,82340800.0,-0.0009,1.2011,247.7036,239.5704,60.9858,169.688,11.2929,243.6057,241.9435

Japan Shares Stay in the Green as Yen Weakens Some
Oil Prices Add to Gains Amid OPEC Supply Moves
South Korea Raises 2017 GDP Growth Forecast to 3%
Sony Restructures Television Unit
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 24
Bitcoin Options Exchange Wins CFTC Approval
AbbVie Ordered to Pay $150 Million in AndroGel Lawsuit
Biswas’s Take: Castlelake Sees More Opportunities in Illiquid Debt and Hard Assets Than Corporate Debt
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Dow Falls as Investors Await Another Round of Earnings Reports
Saudi Arabia Cuts Oil Exports
Payless Reorganization Plan Wins Court Approval
Venezuela Bonds Slide Following Sanctions Threat
Dollar Soft With Fed, U.S. Politics in Focus
Gymboree Creditors to Vote on Chapter 11 Plan
Oil Higher After Saudi Arabia Announces Limit on Exports
Watchdog Shoots Down A.M. Castle Bankruptcy Plan
Big Boy Money
Copper Trades Higher on China Data
Wells Fargo Discloses Accidental Client-Data Release
Fintech Competition Won’t Kill Community Banks
Greece Returns to International Bond Markets
Capital Requirements Haven’t Hurt Credit
Oaktree Is Backing Tembec Deal After Rayonier Ups Offer
HNA’s U.S.-Based Charity Is the Chinese Conglomerate’s Largest Shareholder
U.K. Opens Corruption Probe in Rio Tinto in Guinea
Investor Makes Mammoth VIX Bet
Investment Firms Buy Katy Industries’ Manufacturing Plants
Arconic Weighs in on London Fire
Aquion Energy Restarts Operations
Time Looks to Sell Majority Stake in Essence
How Democrats Lost Voters to Trump—and Might Win Them Back
Existing-Home Sales Slide as Prices Surge on Tight Supply
NXP Semiconductors CFO Leaves for Applied Materials
Voices: How to Avoid ‘Sudden Wealth Syndrome’
HNA Group Questions Bank of America’s Stance on Working With the Company
WSJ Dollar Index Falls
KKR to Buy WebMD in $2.8 Billion Deal
Banker Pay Lower, Despite Deregulatory Push | Battle Over CFPB’s Complaint Database | Scaramucci’s Path to Trump’s Communications Director | Witkowski’s Take: Flood-Insurance Fix Leaves Program Under Water
Digital Health Startup Hinge Targets Back Pain
Insurance-Tech Startup Dollars Leap
Davis’s Take: How to Make Big Change By Investing Small Change
Witkowski’s Take: Flood-Insurance Fix Leaves Program Under Water
Harrison’s Take: How Does the Fed Know We’ve Reached Full Employment?
ECB’s Corporate Bond-Buying Program Harbours Risks, Warns Bundebank
Banker Pay Lower, Despite Deregulatory Push | Battle Over CFPB’s Complaint Database | Scaramucci’s Path to Trump’s Communications Director | Witkowski’s Take: Flood-Insurance Fix Leaves Program Under Water
Eurozone Economy Slows in July, Survey Shows
Governance Woes Plague Europe’s Banks
Board Practices Hurt Banco Popular, Experts Say
Stech’s Take: How Would the U.S. Supreme Court Rule on Tuition-Clawback Lawsuits?
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0024

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-25. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115
2017-07-18,245.06,245.72,244.67,245.66,220.8422,42742500.0,0.0005,0.7858,245.8901,240.1669,59.2178,162.28,0.5948,243.2617,241.496
2017-07-19,246.02,247.0,246.01,246.99,222.0379,51034300.0,0.0054,0.9734,246.5929,239.8621,61.3815,226.5431,11.0509,243.3877,241.6597
2017-07-20,247.28,247.42,246.47,247.1,222.1368,47135200.0,0.0004,1.1181,247.2146,239.6554,61.556,213.5817,14.2158,243.5023,241.8022
2017-07-21,246.44,246.91,246.18,246.88,221.939,82340800.0,-0.0009,1.2011,247.7036,239.5704,60.9858,169.688,11.2929,243.6057,241.9435
2017-07-24,246.79,246.98,246.28,246.82,221.885,46622300.0,-0.0002,1.2477,248.1195,239.5235,60.8269,150.8068,11.8747,243.7193,242.0805

Oil Extends Rally Ahead of Official US Oil Data
Australia’s Central Bank Rules Out Need to Follow Pack
Australian Inflation Muted in 2nd Quarter
Japan, Australia Stocks Start Strongly
State Street Votes Against 400 Companies Citing Gender Diversity
Fox Faces Lawsuit From Former Executive Accused of Sexual Assault
SunEdison Wins Final Approval for Bankruptcy Exit
Time Inc. Explores Sale of U.K. Magazine Division
SEC Warns on Initial Coin Offerings
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 25
Caterpillar Boosts Outlook, Signaling Cautious Optimism
Khosla Bets on AI for Robots That Handle ‘Uncertainty’
Autoimmune Drug Developer Kezar Raises $50 Million
AT&T’s Profit Rises as Customers Bundle Services
Strong Earnings Lift U.S. Stocks
Copper Prices Jump on IMF Growth Forecasts
U.S. Audit Regulator Sanctions Hong Kong-Based Accounting Firm
Petronas Ends Canadian LNG Project
VIX Sets New Milestone, Falls to Record Intraday Low
Celgene Settles Lawsuit Over Improper Promotion of Cancer Drugs
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Chipotle Earnings Improve, But Customers Aren’t Flocking Back
Gawker Media Advisers to Put Flagship Website Up for Sale
Oil Gains on Saudi Push for Compliance With Output Cuts
Citigroup Aims High With Profit, Capital-Return Targets
House Votes to Repeal CFPB’s Arbitration Rule
Blue Apron Co-Founder to Step Aside as Operating Chief
Treasury’s Recommendations Have Value for Europe
Dollar Rises After Health Care Vote
China’s Stimulus ‘Hangover’ Spurred Shadow Banking
Rue21 Reaches Settlement With CIT Group
McDonald’s Brings Back Customers With $1 Drinks, New Burgers
Cohn and Yellen Are Among Trump’s Contenders to Lead Fed
Circulation Raises $10.5 Million for Nonemergency Medical Transportation
Scurria’s Take: U.S. High-Yield Fortunes Pale Next to Europe
Shopping Costs and One-Stop Shoppers
Labor Shortage Squeezes Home Builders
Another False Start for the Rate Hawks
The Chill in Global Markets Is Coming
Michael Kors Shops for Glamour, Buys Jimmy Choo for $1.2 Billion
UTC Warns Jet Makers That Poaching Service Business Will Mean Higher Prices
Rent-A-Wreck Driven to Bankruptcy
Forget the Airport Lounge, Pet the Miniature Horses
Viacom CEO Considers Costly Scripps Networks Acquisition
Fintech Firm Backed by Warburg Pincus Files for Bank Charter
Ryanair Has ‘Serious’ Interest in Alitalia
Greece Gets Solid Demand for First Bond Issuance in Three Years
Weak Inflation in Focus at Fed’s July Policy Meeting
U.S. Consumer Confidence Rose in July
Americans Pour Record Sums Into Home Improvements
Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Activity Increases in July
United Capital Buys Three Advisers With $758 Million Under Management
IMF Warns Eurozone Against Complacency, Sees Serious Threats
Firm Retention Summary: Ignite Restaurant Group Inc.
Home-Price Growth Flattened in May
IPO Backed by Morgan Stanley, Asian Billionaire Gets Rare Rejection
Euro Climbs Against Dollar
Toyota Nears Breakthrough in Electric-Car Batteries
Health-Care Media Funding in the Pink
Restaurants Put Software on the Menu
Duolingo Nabs $25 Million for Language Learning
Trump Could Decide on Scaramucci’s Deal | CFTC Backs Bitcoin Options Exchange | Firms Push Banks for Better Rates | Michaels’s Take: Can Dodd-Frank Be Left Undone?
Fintech Firm Backed by Warburg Pincus Files for Bank Charter
Michaels’s Take: Can Dodd-Frank Be Left Undone?
Hannon’s Take: ECB Tapering and the Expectations Gap
BOJ’s New Members Support 2% Inflation Target
Trump Could Decide on Scaramucci’s Deal | CFTC Backs Bitcoin Options Exchange | Firms Push Banks for Better Rates | Michaels’s Take: Can Dodd-Frank Be Left Undone?
Meet the Bank Customers Pushing for a Better Deposit Deal
ECB’s Mersch Says Weak Inflation Shows Need for Stimulus
Macroprudential Policy Spillovers
Biswas’s Take: Castlelake Sees More Opportunities in Illiquid Debt and Hard Assets Than Corporate Debt
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0000

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2017-07-26 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115
2017-07-18,245.06,245.72,244.67,245.66,220.8422,42742500.0,0.0005,0.7858,245.8901,240.1669,59.2178,162.28,0.5948,243.2617,241.496
2017-07-19,246.02,247.0,246.01,246.99,222.0379,51034300.0,0.0054,0.9734,246.5929,239.8621,61.3815,226.5431,11.0509,243.3877,241.6597
2017-07-20,247.28,247.42,246.47,247.1,222.1368,47135200.0,0.0004,1.1181,247.2146,239.6554,61.556,213.5817,14.2158,243.5023,241.8022
2017-07-21,246.44,246.91,246.18,246.88,221.939,82340800.0,-0.0009,1.2011,247.7036,239.5704,60.9858,169.688,11.2929,243.6057,241.9435
2017-07-24,246.79,246.98,246.28,246.82,221.885,46622300.0,-0.0002,1.2477,248.1195,239.5235,60.8269,150.8068,11.8747,243.7193,242.0805
2017-07-25,247.68,247.8,247.16,247.42,222.4244,54915600.0,0.0024,1.3179,248.6062,239.4498,61.8554,165.9026,18.5641,243.8547,242.2362

Asia Stocks Start Higher; Will It Last?
Oil Prices Pause in Asian Trading
Berkshire Wins a Round in Competition for Oncor
Viacom Out of the Running for Scripps Networks
Paypal Profit Rises as User Growth and Volume Hit Milestones
American Electric Power to Invest $4.5 Billion in Wind Farm Project
Fed Nominee Quarles: Bank Rules Need ‘Refinements’
Former Fiat Chrysler Executives Charged With Making Illegal Payments to UAW Leaders
Discover Misses Earnings Expectations
State Street Pushed Companies to Put Women on Boards; Most Shrugged
Digital-Coin Companies Shrug Off SEC Scrutiny
Complexa Completes $62 Million Series C for Clinical Trials in Orphan Diseases
Dow, Nasdaq Close at Records After Fed Stands Pat
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 26
Brooklyn and Queens Housing Markets Outpace Manhattan’s
Fed Ready to Shrink Bondholdings as Soon as September
One Source of Inflation: The Fed’s Own Payment Services
Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate Another Percentage Point
Restraining Orders Issued in Wells Fargo Client-Data Release
How to Find the Right Financial Adviser
BetterWorks CEO Stepping Down Amid Sexual Harassment Suit
Transcript: Donald Trump Discusses Candidates for Top Fed Job
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Regulators Should Rethink Their Relationship with Bank Boards
CEO Pay Has Grown Faster Than Stocks or Profits
McKesson Shareholders Reject Executive Compensation Packages
Katy Industries Creditors Sue Buyer of Manufacturing Plants
Dollar Slides After Federal Reserve Decision
Rizzo’s Take: Dollar Tree Still Mired in Battle With Sycamore Partners
Talk Is Cheap: Automation Takes Aim at Financial Advisers—and Their Fees
State Street CEO: ‘All Engines Were Firing’ During Second Quarter
Boeing Curbs Costs, Boosting Profits and Shares
Oil Gains After Stockpiles Show Larger-Than-Expected Drop
Creditors Doubt Dynamic International Airways Can Restructure
BCBG Reorganization Plan Wins Court Approval
Whole Foods Sales Fall Again
Gold Reverses Losses After Fed Statement
Avianca to Halt Venezuela Flights
Remnants of Alleged Ticketing Fraud Sold at Bankruptcy Auction
Coca-Cola to Replace Coke Zero in the U.S.
Bass Pro Shops to Pay $10.5M to Settle Discrimination Suit
Denver Wins Big as Financial Firms Relocate to Cut Costs
Chipotle Gets Subpoena After Virginia Norovirus Outbreak
RBS to Spend More Than $1 Billion to Appease European Authorities
Critics Fume About U.K. Move on Diesel, Gasoline Cars
Profile: More Than Investments, Adviser Value Comes From Understanding
U.K. Regulator to Hold More Firms’ Bosses Accountable
SEC Chairman Puts in a Good Word for Active Investing
Agco to Acquire Precision Planting From Monsanto
U.S. New-Home Sales Edged Higher in June
Cemex’s Profit Rises Amid Lower Expenses
U.K. to Ban Sale of Diesel, Gasoline Vehicles by 2040
Anthem Seeks Clarity from Health Law Debate
Norfolk Southern Says It’s Winning Customers From CSX
Glaxo Slashes R&D Projects to Focus on Top Prospects
Maybe We’ve Been Thinking About the Productivity Slump All Wrong
Don’t Let the Dollar Fool You, Fed
NBER Paper Warns on Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination
Haven’t Updated Your Estate Plan in a While? It’s Time.
Startup’s Trapped Ions Could Lead to Better Quantum Performance
Euro Hits Highest Level Against Swiss Franc Since Currency Cap Ended
U.S. Steel Names Kevin Bradley as CFO
Markel to Buy State National for $919 Million
Euro Down Against Dollar
GSO Capital Cool to New iHeartCommunications Restructuring Deal
Betterment Adds More Human Advice to Its Robo Services
Brazil’s JBS in Deal with Banks to Renegotiate Debt
Derby’s Take: Neel Kashkari’s Dissents This Year Grow More Important
China Overhaul of State Companies Nears Modernization Milestone
Zinsli’s Take: The Coasts Loosen Their Grip—Slightly
Data-Crunching Technology Spurs Insurance Dollars
SEC Warns on Initial Coin Offerings | Trump: Cohn, Yellen Contenders for Fed | House Votes to Kill Arbitration Rule | Hayashi’s Take: Debt Collection Next on CFPB’s Agenda
Hayashi’s Take: Debt Collection Next on CFPB’s Agenda
Whole Foods Markets Earnings: What to Watch
Investors to Big Oil: Restrain Yourselves
Trump Tower Mumbai Plays Up Connection to President
SEC Warns on Initial Coin Offerings | Trump: Cohn, Yellen Contenders for Fed | House Votes to Kill Arbitration Rule | Hayashi’s Take: Debt Collection Next on CFPB’s Agenda
Ex-Wives and Kids’ Schools: Digging for Dirt on Chinese Stocks Gets Personal
The Speech That Transformed European Markets—Five Years Later
Stocks Rise Ahead of Fed Statement
Ryanair Willing to Pay to Keep Cash in Banks
Bank of Japan’s Latest Weak-Inflation Explanation: Labor Saving
Scurria’s Take: U.S. High-Yield Fortunes Pale Next to Europe
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0009

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2017-07-27 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-17,245.47,245.91,245.33,245.53,220.7253,33531900.0,-0.0001,0.6703,245.6767,240.2803,59.0008,193.8082,6.6416,243.206,241.3115
2017-07-18,245.06,245.72,244.67,245.66,220.8422,42742500.0,0.0005,0.7858,245.8901,240.1669,59.2178,162.28,0.5948,243.2617,241.496
2017-07-19,246.02,247.0,246.01,246.99,222.0379,51034300.0,0.0054,0.9734,246.5929,239.8621,61.3815,226.5431,11.0509,243.3877,241.6597
2017-07-20,247.28,247.42,246.47,247.1,222.1368,47135200.0,0.0004,1.1181,247.2146,239.6554,61.556,213.5817,14.2158,243.5023,241.8022
2017-07-21,246.44,246.91,246.18,246.88,221.939,82340800.0,-0.0009,1.2011,247.7036,239.5704,60.9858,169.688,11.2929,243.6057,241.9435
2017-07-24,246.79,246.98,246.28,246.82,221.885,46622300.0,-0.0002,1.2477,248.1195,239.5235,60.8269,150.8068,11.8747,243.7193,242.0805
2017-07-25,247.68,247.8,247.16,247.42,222.4244,54915600.0,0.0024,1.3179,248.6062,239.4498,61.8554,165.9026,18.5641,243.8547,242.2362
2017-07-26,247.75,247.79,247.13,247.43,222.4334,47575400.0,0.0,1.3586,248.9668,239.6992,61.8726,147.9914,18.2132,243.9507,242.382

Oil Prices Pull Back After Hitting Two-Month High
Chinese Investors Are Fueling Hong Kong’s Stock-Market Rally
BOJ Set to Keep Policy Settings on Hold, Summary Shows
Japan Inflation Fails to Gain Momentum in June
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 27
Wall Street Needs You to Borrow Against Your Stock
Vale Doesn’t Expect Samarco Venture With BHP to Restart This Year
Starbucks Brews Stronger U.S. Sales Growth
U.K. Consumer Confidence Falls Again
Procter & Gamble, Activist Spar Over Latest Results
Rail Regulator Tells CSX to Fix Service Problems
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
HNA’s Biggest Shareholder Doesn’t Really Exist Yet
Dollar Rises on Strong U.S. Data
Argentina Peso Falls, Reflecting Concerns About Potential Cristina Kirchner Comeback
Wal-Mart de Mexico Net Profit Rises on Higher Sales, Lower Costs
Telecom Companies: The Market’s Endangered Species
SEC Ruling on Coin Offerings Is a Good Test
Central Grocers Wins Approval for Sales to Supervalu, Strack & Van Til Family
Tech Stocks Weigh on Markets
Who Are Corporate Boards’ Ultimate Bosses?
Copper Pushes Higher After Fed Comments
Mnuchin: Volcker Rule, ‘Too Big to Fail’ Set for Changes
Libor: A Eulogy for the ‘World’s Most Important Number’
SEC Scrutiny of Private Equity May Dwindle, Official Says
Trustee Requests Sale of Core China Fishery Assets
Oil Prices Rise on Building Momentum
France Nationalizes Shipyard to Stop Italian-Company Takeover
Glencore Under Probe Over Congo Payments
Scandal-Hit Libor to Be Phased Out
Halliburton to Settle SEC Allegations Over Angola Payments
Stech’s Take: The Exception That Has Complicated an Airline’s Bankruptcy
Invesco Warns About Costs of Pursuing New Clients
Toyota’s Cure for EV Range Anxiety: A Better Battery
Billy Walters Sentenced to Five Years for Insider Trading
Lehman ‘Double Dip’ Trader Denied Bulk of $83 Million Bonus
Fed Drops Enforcement Action Against M&T Bank
KKR Earnings Soar
U.S. Homeownership Rate Jumps From 50-Year Low
Shell Prepares for ‘Lower Forever’ Oil Prices
Fed Nominee Quarles: Bank Stress Tests Need More Transparency
Brazil Miner Vale Grows Weary of Nickel
Westinghouse Finalizes Updated Business Plan
‘Unlimited’ Boosts Verizon Subscribers
Encouraging Signals About U.S. Factories and Underlying Demand
Democratic Senator Calls on Finra to Step Up Oversight of Dark Pools
Deutsche Bank Hit by Steep Revenue Declines Amid Overhaul
CFTC Nominees Vow to Finish Derivatives Rule, Disagree on Details
New York Times Sees Jump in Digital Advertising Revenue
Iron-Ore Producer Vale Sees Earnings Plunge
Central Banks Are Too Invested to Pull Back Now
Li Ka-Shing Leads Hong Kong’s Europe Buying Spree With Ista Deal
UPS Expects Retailers to Pay Up for Christmas Deliveries
Turkey’s Central Bank Keeps Rates on Hold Amid High Inflation
Comcast Profit and Revenue Beat Analysts’ Expectations
Deutsche Bank to Keep $45 Million in Ex-Executives’ Suspended Bonuses
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Edges Lower in July
The Wireless Horse Race
Irish Central Bank Paper Studies QE, Normalization and Potential Losses
Mastercard Results Beat Estimates as Consumers Boost Spending
VoxEU Post Examines Changing Political Structures Amid Globalization
Firm Retention Summary: Tidewater Inc.
Diageo Earnings Gain on Higher Prices, Wider Profit Margins
David Ramsden Named Bank of England’s Deputy Governor
AstraZeneca Shares Dive After Major Setback Over Cancer Drugs
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Rose in June
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Ex-Convicts Help Companies Fill Need for Skilled Labor
Party Time! Weak Dollar Unleashes Record Stock Run
R.I.P. Libor | Fed Pick: Bank Rules Need ‘Refinements’ | Brokerages Push Loans Against Stock | Deng’s Take: China’s Clampdown Shuts Out Investors
Deng’s Take: China’s Clampdown Shuts Out Investors
Bud Light Turnaround Falling Flat; U.S. Market Is Tough for AB InBev
Driverless Trucks Are Barreling Ahead
Chernova’s Take: Will ICOs Be Worth the Trouble Under SEC Regs?
R.I.P. Libor | Fed Pick: Bank Rules Need ‘Refinements’ | Brokerages Push Loans Against Stock | Deng’s Take: China’s Clampdown Shuts Out Investors
Southwest Sees Slower Growth Than Other Airlines
Dollar Slides After Fed; “Sky is the Limit” For Other Currencies
Dollar Weakness Gives World’s Central Bankers New Problem
Who Needs Life Insurance? Insurers Try Rewarding New Customers
Harrison’s Take: A Rather Placid Statement Shows Fed Cruising, At Least For Now
WeWork Raises $500 Million in Funding Round Led by SoftBank, Hony Capital
ECB Should Signal on Easing of Stimulus, Says Austrian Central Bank Chief
Callsign Bags $35 Million to Up Its Authentication Game
Nestlé Posts Lackluster Growth Amid Investor Pressure
LinkedIn Case Tests Whether Firms Can Use Your Data
When One Investor Borrowed Against Puerto Rico Bonds
London’s Walkie Talkie Sold to Hong Kong Firm for $1.7 Billion
Anglo American’s Profit Surge Bodes Well for Miners
Era of Jumbo Jet Nears End as Airbus Slashes A380 Production
QE, Normalization and Potential Losses
Have Stocks? Need Cash? Call Goldman Sachs
Rizzo’s Take: Dollar Tree Still Mired in Battle With Sycamore Partners
Commerce Secretary Says Trump's Steel Protection Plan Has Stalled
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0012

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2017-07-31. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-21,246.44,246.91,246.18,246.88,221.939,82340800.0,-0.0009,1.2011,247.7036,239.5704,60.9858,169.688,11.2929,243.6057,241.9435
2017-07-24,246.79,246.98,246.28,246.82,221.885,46622300.0,-0.0002,1.2477,248.1195,239.5235,60.8269,150.8068,11.8747,243.7193,242.0805
2017-07-25,247.68,247.8,247.16,247.42,222.4244,54915600.0,0.0024,1.3179,248.6062,239.4498,61.8554,165.9026,18.5641,243.8547,242.2362
2017-07-26,247.75,247.79,247.13,247.43,222.4334,47575400.0,0.0,1.3586,248.9668,239.6992,61.8726,147.9914,18.2132,243.9507,242.382
2017-07-27,247.96,248.0,245.68,247.2,222.2266,70766600.0,-0.0009,1.3567,249.3048,239.7322,61.2136,115.4361,2.5332,244.0493,242.5225
2017-07-28,246.65,247.06,246.13,246.91,221.9659,50088400.0,-0.0012,1.3166,249.452,240.141,60.3749,96.2608,2.5332,244.154,242.663

Venezuela Bonds Fall After U.S. Announces Sanctions
South Korean Inflation Hits 2.2% in July
Boeing Helps Blue-Chip Index Soar to New Highs
Crude Prices Continue to Climb
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--July 31
Can ‘the Mooch’ Return to Wall Street?
HBO Says Some Programming Stolen in Cyberattack
Nuclear Power’s Growth in U.S. Takes a Hit
PellePharm’s Skin Cancer Fight Gets Infusion
Blackstone Energy to Buy Stake in Troubled Rover Pipeline
Natural Gas Posts Worst Day Since February
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
VW Contends With New Legal Woes
Dollar Slides for Fifth-Consecutive Month in July
U.S. Stocks Gain in July
Avaya Wins More Time to Remain in Control of Restructuring
GOP Voters Want More Financial Regulation, Not Less
Oil Prices Settle Above $50
Postcrisis Policies Drive Housing Inequality
Boeing Creates New Avionics and Electronics Unit
Copper Hits Two-Year High
Biswas’s Take: Bi-Lo Starts Discussions With Bondholders as Debt Maturity Looms
Quick Hits: PBOC Official Says China’s Asset-Management Sector to Shrink
Reddit Raises $200 Million at $1.8 Billion Valuation
Federal Appeals Court Fans Airline Seat-Size Debate
‘Generation Debt’ Is in for a Rude Awakening
Tidewater Emerges from Bankruptcy
Fed Post Takes Another Look at Residual Seasonality in GDP
Regulator Won’t Seek Delay of CFPB’s Arbitration Rule
Firm Retention Summary: True Religion Apparel Inc.
As Washington Churns, World Grows More Dangerous
Bitcoin’s Civil War: What You Need to Know
Dollar’s Fall Threatens Foreign Stock Markets
Voices: Anticipating High Taxes in Retirement? Consider Cash-Value Life Insurance
Texas Manufacturing Activity Rises at Faster Pace in July
Chicago PMI Falls in July
UniFirst Names Steven Sintros CEO
Fed’s Fischer Says Low Global Real Interest Rates Important to Economic Environment
ECB Urges Fines for European States Breaking Reform Rules
Eurozone’s Low Unemployment, Inflation Raise Questions for ECB
Late Credit-Card Payments Stoke Fears | Picks for SEC, FDIC Take Shape | Europe’s Banks Stabilizing | Rubin’s Take: Bitcoin’s Tale of Two Regulators
WSJ Dollar Index Up
Beijing’s Capacity-Cut Talk Stokes China’s Metals Markets
LabCorp to Buy Chiltern for $1.2 Billion
Geron’s Take: A New Way to Build Startup Ecosystems
China-Backed Fund Plays Big Role in Country’s Chip Push
At Long Last, Europe’s Banks Are Stabilizing
Rubin’s Take: Bitcoin’s Tale of Two Regulators
Why Cooking Has Become a Lost Art
Supermarkets Face a Growing Problem: Too Much Space
India’s Central Bank Expected to Cut Interest Rates
Late Credit-Card Payments Stoke Fears | Picks for SEC, FDIC Take Shape | Europe’s Banks Stabilizing | Rubin’s Take: Bitcoin’s Tale of Two Regulators
Timiraos’s Take: 12-Month Inflation Measures Create Communication Challenge for Fed
European Beer (and Near Beer) Sales Lift Heineken
HSBC Launches $2 Billion Share Buyback as Profit Rises
Late Credit-Card Payments Stoke Fears for Banks
The BOJ And Portfolio Rebalancing
Saint Laurent to Launch Online Sales in China
Randles’s Take: Fyre Festival Lender Talks of Quick Bankruptcy That Wasn’t
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0022

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2017-08-01 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-24,246.79,246.98,246.28,246.82,221.885,46622300.0,-0.0002,1.2477,248.1195,239.5235,60.8269,150.8068,11.8747,243.7193,242.0805
2017-07-25,247.68,247.8,247.16,247.42,222.4244,54915600.0,0.0024,1.3179,248.6062,239.4498,61.8554,165.9026,18.5641,243.8547,242.2362
2017-07-26,247.75,247.79,247.13,247.43,222.4334,47575400.0,0.0,1.3586,248.9668,239.6992,61.8726,147.9914,18.2132,243.9507,242.382
2017-07-27,247.96,248.0,245.68,247.2,222.2266,70766600.0,-0.0009,1.3567,249.3048,239.7322,61.2136,115.4361,2.5332,244.0493,242.5225
2017-07-28,246.65,247.06,246.13,246.91,221.9659,50088400.0,-0.0012,1.3166,249.452,240.141,60.3749,96.2608,2.5332,244.154,242.663
2017-07-31,247.37,247.48,246.53,246.77,221.8401,65838700.0,-0.0006,1.259,249.5553,240.5347,59.9645,96.499,6.6322,244.2917,242.7965

BOJ’s Funo Wants Private Sector to Do Its Share of Structural Reform
U.S. Plans Trade Measures Against China
Inside Goldman’s Struggle to Climb Out of Last Place in Trading
Asia Stocks Start Mostly Higher as Gains Build
Oil Prices Extend Decline Ahead of U.S. Data
Dow Industrials Make Run at 22000
AMC Entertainment Shares Plunge
Mondelez Earnings: What to Watch
Investors Raise Bets Against Bond Insurers
Bitcoin Rival Launches in Volatile First Day
SeaWorld Entertainment Names Interim CFO
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Mexico’s Lala to Buy Brazil’s Vigor Alimentos
Inflation Tame in June, Complicating Fed’s Rate Decision
Ann Taylor Parent Revamps Executive Ranks
Theranos Low on Cash After Settlement With Walgreens
iHeartMedia Pays Coupon on Unsecured Notes as Debt Talks Continue
SoftBank in Talks to Invest in Flipkart Via Vision Fund
Homology Medicines Raises $83.5 Million Series B for Genetic Disease Treatments
Boeing Jets Once Destined for Russia to Be Air Force One
Scurria’s Take: Another U.S. Investor Frustrated by a Chinese Liquidation
Gold Prices Rally
Oil Futures Flash a Buy Signal
Oil Prices Fall as OPEC Doubts Emerge
Banking Regulator to Take First Step Toward Changing Volcker Rule
Scurria’s Take: Another U.S. Investor Frustrated by a Chinese Liquidation
U.S. Auto Makers Report Steep Sales Declines in July
Dollar Rises Against Other Currencies
China Fishery to Sell Vessel to Russian Firm
Keep an Eye on CLOs
True Religion Wins Court Approval to Pay Bonuses to Some Employees
Former Fiat Negotiator Pleads Not Guilty to Charges of Misusing Funds
Restoring Glass-Steagall No Panacea
Quick Hits: Euro Strength Could Be Problematic for ECB Tightening Plans
Athenahealth Makes a Shareholder-Backed Shake-Up, Keeping CEO
Eurozone Economy Speeds Up, Boosting Case for ECB Taper
Firm Retention Summary: Tidewater Inc.
FirstRain Emerges From Bankruptcy
Sprint Says a Merger Decision Is Near
Europe’s Largest Oil Refinery Disabled by Fire, Raising Fuel Prices Globally
Once Part of ‘Trump Trade,’ Copper Now Propelled Higher by China
U.S. Factory Activity Continued to Expand in July
Six Things Central Bankers Don’t Get About Wages
San Francisco Fed Paper Examines How to Forecast Interest Rates
NBER Paper Takes a Look at Emerging-Market Economies’ Bond Markets
Under Armour Posts Another Loss, Plans to Cut About 280 Jobs
VW’s CEO Knows the Future Is Electric—His Company Isn’t So Sure
New GE CEO Begins, Promising ‘Intense Focus’ on Operations
Regulators to Hear Plans to Stop Building Two Nuclear Reactors
BP Says It Can Now Profit at Oil Below $50
WSJ Dollar Index Rises
Malaysia’s 1MDB Delays Payment to Abu Dhabi Fund
Noreika Punts on Delay of CFPB Rule | Can ‘the Mooch’ Return to Wall Street? | Goldman in Unusual Place—Last | Verlaine’s Take: Saving EU Consumers Money on Banking Fees
Caterpillar Finance Chief to Retire
Etsy’s Painful Lesson: It’s a Retailer, Not a Tech Startup
SoftBank Deal Making Sets Off Debate
Chernova’s Take: Seeking an Anchor in Choppy Bitcoin Seas
Verlaine’s Take: Saving EU Consumers Money on Banking Fees
Snap, Blue Apron Shake Confidence in Startup Valuations
Noreika Punts on Delay of CFPB Rule | Can ‘the Mooch’ Return to Wall Street? | Goldman in Unusual Place—Last | Verlaine’s Take: Saving EU Consumers Money on Banking Fees
Hannon’s Take: Another ECB Anniversary That Matters
Turkey Lifts 2017 Inflation Forecast Slightly
RBA Sounds Alarm on Australian Dollar’s Strength
Brexit Could Lead to Loss of 17,000 U.K. Investment Banking Jobs
After Defeat in Europe, GM Is Picking Its Battles
ECB Rate Rise Could Follow Reversion To Pre-Crisis Pattern
China’s Manufacturing Gauges Offer Mixed Messages
Biswas’s Take: Bi-Lo Starts Discussions With Bondholders as Debt Maturity Looms
Pfizer Waiting for Cues on Tax Reform to Pursue Deals
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0005

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2017-08-02. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-07-24,246.79,246.98,246.28,246.82,221.885,46622300.0,-0.0002,1.2477,248.1195,239.5235,60.8269,150.8068,11.8747,243.7193,242.0805
2017-07-25,247.68,247.8,247.16,247.42,222.4244,54915600.0,0.0024,1.3179,248.6062,239.4498,61.8554,165.9026,18.5641,243.8547,242.2362
2017-07-26,247.75,247.79,247.13,247.43,222.4334,47575400.0,0.0,1.3586,248.9668,239.6992,61.8726,147.9914,18.2132,243.9507,242.382
2017-07-27,247.96,248.0,245.68,247.2,222.2266,70766600.0,-0.0009,1.3567,249.3048,239.7322,61.2136,115.4361,2.5332,244.0493,242.5225
2017-07-28,246.65,247.06,246.13,246.91,221.9659,50088400.0,-0.0012,1.3166,249.452,240.141,60.3749,96.2608,2.5332,244.154,242.663
2017-07-31,247.37,247.48,246.53,246.77,221.8401,65838700.0,-0.0006,1.259,249.5553,240.5347,59.9645,96.499,6.6322,244.2917,242.7965
2017-08-01,247.46,247.5,246.72,247.32,222.3345,55050400.0,0.0022,1.2435,249.7125,240.8885,61.0407,96.4638,6.8317,244.3803,242.9235

Accenture Grabs Space in Manhattan’s Hudson Yards District
China Caixin Services PMI Pace of Expansion Slows in July
Guggenheim in Talks to Sell Funds Business to Invesco
Korea Leads Asian Stocks Lower
Oil Futures Ease in Asia After Overnight Rebound
Home Capital Posts Quarterly Loss
Mondelez CEO Rosenfeld to Exit Amid Big Food Woes
Viome Raises $15 Million for Gut Checks
Chinese-Backed Company to Buy the Studio Behind ‘Spotlight’
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--August 2
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren
Standard Chartered Shares Fall as Dividends Stay Suspended
Amplyx Pharmaceuticals Closes on $67 Million for Anti-Fungal Therapy
Millennium Health Trustee Targets J.P. Morgan Over Soured $1.8 Billion Loan
Dollar Inches Lower Ahead of Key U.S. Economic News
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Wyndham to Separate Hotel, Timeshare Businesses
Williams Says Fed Should Start Reducing Its Balance Sheet This Fall
Dow Passes 22000, Fueled by Broad Global Growth
Switzerland’s First-World Problem: What to Do With $750 Billion
Insurers’ Operating Incomes Rise
Dow Closes Above 22000
Investors Pile Into Private Equity at Greatest Clip Since 2013
NTSB Says Air Canada Jet Flew Near Planes at San Francisco Airport
Fraudsters Will Adjust to SEC’s Detection Plan
How to Allocate Arbitration Authority
Georgia Nuclear Plant Costs Rise to $25 Billion
Chicago Open Outcry Floor Wins Approval
Corrigan’s Take: Montana Diocese Completes Sale of Church, School
J.P. Morgan Chase Settles Allegations Over Checking Account Denials
Rosengren: Tight Labor Markets Justify Fed Plans to Keep Raising Rates
Oil Rises After Inventory Data
U.S. Loan Risk Falls Slightly
Pricewaterhouse to Settle Brokerage Audit Allegations for $1 Million
A.M. Castle Approved to Exit Bankruptcy
Citrix Systems Parts Ways With CEO
TerraVia Pursues $20 Million Bankruptcy Sale of Algae Business
Boeing Nears Plane-Parts Deal With Supplier
Adeptus Health Creditors to Vote On Its Survival Plan
Comey Book Doesn’t Promise Dirt on Trump, and it Weighs on the Price
CBOE, Winklevoss Twins Team Up for Bitcoin Data
Profile: Blending Creativity and Financial Planning
Six Things Central Banks Don’t Get About Wages, Part 2
AIG Affiliate Wins Auction for Bankrupt Workplace Safety Startup
Samsung Heir Begins Testimony in Corruption Trial
Do Recessions Really Help People Live Longer, Healthier Lives?
Mester: Fed’s Anticipated Path of Rate Increases ‘Appropriate’
AT&T Wireless Executive Glenn Lurie to Retire Next Month
Banking Regulator Takes First Step Toward Changing Volcker Rule
ISM-New York Outlook Rises in July
Earnings Rise in Europe While Investors Brace for Headwinds
ADP Reports 178,000 Rise in July Private Payrolls
Volcker Rule First Step on Horizon | Indexers Push Back Against Wall Street | Volatile Launch for Bitcoin Split-Off | Hayashi’s Take: GOP Falters in Fighting CFPB Rules
Fresh Highs for Euro Against Dollar, Yen
PharMerica to Be Taken Private by KKR-Backed Company
Uniqlo Tries New Approach: Shirts in Vending Machines
Apollo’s Profit Falls on Commodity-Price Swings
India’s Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates
Stock Indexes Push Back Against Dual-Class Listings
Deal Terms Tilt Back to Founders
Amazon-Backed TrackR Locates $50 Million in New Round
Zinsli’s Take: New Media, Same Investors
500 Startups, Founders Make Upbeat Pitches
Hayashi’s Take: GOP Attacks Cordray as It Falters in Fighting CFPB Rules
Carlyle’s Profit Jumps as Investments Appreciate
Volcker Rule First Step on Horizon | Indexers Push Back Against Wall Street | Volatile Launch for Bitcoin Split-Off | Hayashi’s Take: GOP Falters in Fighting CFPB Rules
Beijing to ‘Strengthen Oversight’ of Offshore Loans Backed by Domestic Collateral
Hannon’s Take: Normalization Versus Recalibration at the BOE
Tanzania’s Tougher Mining Laws Rattle Companies
OPEC’s ‘Catch-22’: How to Unwind Its Deal to Cut Oil Output
Rio Tinto in Giving Mood After Strong First Half of Year
Eurozone Producer Prices Fell in June
Recovery is Not Resolution
Roundup of Form D Regulatory Filings--August 1
South Korea Plans Tax Raise to Fund Minimum Wage
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0019

Rejected response: Fall