Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-07-16. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-06,273.14,275.84,272.71,275.42,252.2255,66493700.0,0.0085,-0.2265,280.8823,268.3157,53.8431,12.7009,10.9471,274.2623,271.2825
2018-07-09,276.55,277.96,276.5,277.9,254.4967,50550400.0,0.009,0.177,280.8342,268.3348,56.3434,82.4384,0.063,274.4323,271.482
2018-07-10,278.41,279.01,278.08,278.9,255.4125,51966800.0,0.0036,0.5709,280.8984,268.3046,57.308,107.6891,4.8777,274.6573,271.7112
2018-07-11,277.15,278.04,276.52,276.86,253.5443,77054700.0,-0.0073,0.7102,280.561,268.436,54.7547,64.0322,2.7484,274.9187,271.87
2018-07-12,278.28,279.43,277.6,279.37,255.8428,60124700.0,0.0091,1.0116,280.8189,268.3121,57.1829,102.5931,3.9068,275.144,272.023
2018-07-13,279.17,279.93,278.66,279.59,256.0443,48216000.0,0.0008,1.2537,280.993,268.224,57.3902,110.6311,6.242,275.4323,272.1763

RBA Flags Risks From Record Household Debt
N.Y. Regulator Investigating Tenant Harassment Claims Against Kushner Cos.
Amazon Website Hit With Glitches as Shoppers Seek Prime Day Deals
BlackRock’s Investor-Cash Inflows Slide
New Zealand 2Q Inflation Rises by Less Than Expected
New Research Prompts Selloff in Companies Using Crispr Technology
Ford Agrees to Pay $299.1 Million to Resolve Air-Bag Lawsuit
Warren Buffett Donates $3.4 Billion of Berkshire Hathaway Stock to Charities
IMF Still Expects Global Economy to Grow 3.9% This Year
Stocks Slightly Lower, Weighed Down by Energy Shares
Bank of America’s Profit Rises 33%
Trump Leaves GOP, Intelligence Community and Allies in the Hot Seat
The Oil Market Is Getting More Dangerous
Fed’s Kashkari Warns on Yield Curve, Calls for Rate-Rise Restraint
Stech’s Take: Licensing Deals Complicate Color Spot Nurseries’ Reorganization
Fed’s Powell Presents Lawmakers With a Charm Offensive
Former Energy XXI CEO Settles SEC Probe Over Hidden Loans, Perks
Copper Drops After Weak Chinese Data
Oil Plunges as Traders Anticipate Higher Supply
U.S. Files Complaints With WTO Against Trading Partners
Boeing and Airbus Land $43 Billion Worth of Airliner Orders
Diabetes Monitoring Company ActiveCare Files for Bankruptcy
Transcript: Media Q&A With Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic in Falls Church, Va.
Jerome Powell’s Calendar: How the Fed Chief Spends His Days
Dollar Edges Lower
Erin Energy To Be Liquidated in Bankruptcy
Puerto Rico Bondholders Win Ruling Against U.S.
Transcript: Town Hall Q&A With Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic in Virginia
Whirlpool Wanted Washer Tariffs. It Wasn’t Ready for a Trade Showdown.
Strong Retail Sales in June Boosted Growth
Pence Family’s Failed Gas Stations Cost Taxpayers More Than $20 Million
New York Manufacturers Report Slower Growth in July
Medtech Investors Change Strategy as M&A Options Dry Up
Geron’s Take: Perils of Raising Too Much Capital
Timiraos’s Take: More Fed Officials Endorse Raising a New Capital Buffer
China Snubs Xiaomi With Pushback Against Dual-Class Shares
Barclays Mulls U.S. Push as Activist Looms
Startup Producing Cell-Grown Meat Raises New Funding
KKR to Acquire Audiobook Publisher RBmedia
Miners Test Greener Ways to Dig
Deutsche Bank Shares Soar as Profit Beats Forecasts
Space Officials Put Collaboration on Display at Airshow
Cryptocurrency Exchanges Are Getting Hacked Because It’s Easy
China’s New-Economy Shares Beat the Market as Lending Slows
General Atlantic Invests $250 Million in Lending Startup Greensill
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0040

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-07-17 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-09,276.55,277.96,276.5,277.9,254.4967,50550400.0,0.009,0.177,280.8342,268.3348,56.3434,82.4384,0.063,274.4323,271.482
2018-07-10,278.41,279.01,278.08,278.9,255.4125,51966800.0,0.0036,0.5709,280.8984,268.3046,57.308,107.6891,4.8777,274.6573,271.7112
2018-07-11,277.15,278.04,276.52,276.86,253.5443,77054700.0,-0.0073,0.7102,280.561,268.436,54.7547,64.0322,2.7484,274.9187,271.87
2018-07-12,278.28,279.43,277.6,279.37,255.8428,60124700.0,0.0091,1.0116,280.8189,268.3121,57.1829,102.5931,3.9068,275.144,272.023
2018-07-13,279.17,279.93,278.66,279.59,256.0443,48216000.0,0.0008,1.2537,280.993,268.224,57.3902,110.6311,6.242,275.4323,272.1763
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505

Fed’s George: More ‘Gradual’ Rate Rises Are Needed
MGM Resorts Sues to Protect Itself From Las Vegas Massacre Claims
Ascentage Pharma Gets $150 Million Boost for Cancer Drug Trials
CSX Reports Jump in Profit
Papa John’s Founder Says Resignation Was a Mistake
House Passes Expansion of JOBS Bill
Chef’d Meal-Kit Maker Suspending Business
Low Stock Trading Volumes Lull Markets
Lawmakers Question Tech Firms, Publishers on How They Combat Fake News
Powell Says Fed Should Keep Gradually Raising Interest Rates
Dollar Gains on Fed Chief’s Outlook
Corrigan’s Take: Croatia’s Agrokor Makes U.S. Bankruptcy Court Debut
Stocks Rise After Fed Chairman’s Testimony
Puerto Rico Power Utility Questioned on Generator Removal
Oil Ends Slightly Higher After

	Falling on Signs of Rising U.S., Saudi Output
United Beats Earnings Expectations
Top Lawyer Group Says Trustee Fight in Howrey Law Firm Collapse Could Discourage Lawyer Moves
Compliance-Focused Firms Draw Investor Dollars
Quarles Confirmed to Full Fed Term
Manufacturing Sector Hits a Sweet Spot
Transcript: A Conversation With Philadelphia Fed’s Harker in Idaho
Gold Slumps With Dollar Rising
Airbus Sees Broad Benefits from Satellite Joint Venture
Airbus Deal Brings Battle With Boeing to Small-Plane Market
Property Investors Scrounge Through Retail Ruins for Bargains
Goldman Names Solomon to Succeed Blankfein as CEO
Claire’s Unsecured Creditors On Board With New Plan
Without Better Training, U.S. Will Fall Short on Workers, Economists Say
Gawker Bankruptcy Nears End After Sale to Bustle Owner
What Trade Spat? Airfreight Is Booming Again
GE Still Wrestles With a Big Problem: GE Capital
Goldman Sachs Is Secretive and Hide-Bound. Its New Chief Wants to Change That
Ron Burkle Sues Lantern for Fraud in Weinstein Buyout
Johnson & Johnson’s Pharma Business Fuels Sales Growth
UnitedHealth Raises Profit Outlook
The Score: The Business Week in 7 Stocks
Export Boom May Give Houston New Status as Oil-Futures Hub
Live: Jerome Powell Testifies Before Senate Banking Committee
U.S. Expects China to Buy Even More Iranian Oil After Sanctions
Chinese Hit Movie ‘Dying to Survive’ Injects Urgency in Drug-Price Push
Chernova’s Take: The Worries of Women in VC
Ditch the Venture Model, Say Founders Who Buy Out Early Investors to Make a Clear Break
K Health Launches Symptom-Checking Chatbot With $9.5 Million
HotSpot Therapeutics Raises $45 Million, Takes Nature’s Cue for Drug Development
Nowcasting Global Growth Through Metals Prices
Harrison’s Take: Fed Slowly Dials Up Trade Alarms
Fed’s Powell on Capitol Hill: What to Watch
Japan’s Yen Goes Off-Script as Asian Markets Wobble
Stech’s Take: Licensing Deals Complicate Color Spot Nurseries’ Reorganization
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0021

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-07-18. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-09,276.55,277.96,276.5,277.9,254.4967,50550400.0,0.009,0.177,280.8342,268.3348,56.3434,82.4384,0.063,274.4323,271.482
2018-07-10,278.41,279.01,278.08,278.9,255.4125,51966800.0,0.0036,0.5709,280.8984,268.3046,57.308,107.6891,4.8777,274.6573,271.7112
2018-07-11,277.15,278.04,276.52,276.86,253.5443,77054700.0,-0.0073,0.7102,280.561,268.436,54.7547,64.0322,2.7484,274.9187,271.87
2018-07-12,278.28,279.43,277.6,279.37,255.8428,60124700.0,0.0091,1.0116,280.8189,268.3121,57.1829,102.5931,3.9068,275.144,272.023
2018-07-13,279.17,279.93,278.66,279.59,256.0443,48216000.0,0.0008,1.2537,280.993,268.224,57.3902,110.6311,6.242,275.4323,272.1763
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505
2018-07-17,278.47,280.91,278.41,280.47,256.8502,52315500.0,0.004,1.605,281.9978,267.8312,58.1724,108.4246,11.6863,275.8093,272.5815

China Bike-Sharing Giant Ofo to Shut Most U.S. Operations
Tim Draper-Backed California-Breakup Plan Removed From November Ballot
Neuraly Procures $36 Million Series A
Papa John’s Founder Recently Held Merger Talks With Wendy’s
As Hurricane Season Arrives, American Homeowners Haven’t Fixed Their Underinsurance Problem
CFPB Wants to Help Launch New Fintech Products
American Express Lifts Its Revenue Forecast for the Year
Airshow Buyers Seek Discretion Amid Trade Tensions
UnitedHealth Is Among Suitors Circling Tenet’s Conifer Business
U.S. Dollar Rises Amid Favorable Backdrop
Lawmaker Questions U.S. Trustee Over McKinsey’s Conflict Disclosures
Rizzo’s Take: Former Toys ‘R’ Us Employees’ Fight for Severance Gains Traction
Morgan Stanley’s Profit Jumps 39%
Stocks Rise as Fed Chairman’s Testimony Continues
Elements Behavioral Health Creditors Criticize Sale Process
Proposed 401(k) Laws: What You Need to Know
Mexico Postpones Oil Auctions Until López Obrador Takes Office
Wall Street’s Dark Pools Get Transparency Makeover
Toys ‘R’ Us Reaches Settlement With Creditors, Vendors
Before House Panel, Powell Affirms Fed’s Plan to Raise Interest Rates Gradually
Do Passive Investors Move Markets? They Can
Oil Prices Rise Despite Jump in U.S. Inventories
Powell Sees Little to Worry About on Financial Stability
Magnetation Iron Ore Business Returns to Bankruptcy Protection
Fed Report Shows Mounting Tariff Concerns Among Businesses
U.S. Regulators Support Removing Fed Oversight of Zions Bancorp
Copper Recovers From Early Losses
United’s Flights to China Boost Revenue
India’s BookMyShow Raises $100 Million
Bankrupt Applebee’s Franchisee Closes 13 Restaurants
Private-Equity Firm Silver Lake Offers to Invest $500 Million in iHeartMedia
Continental to Spin Off Powertrain Unit
Housing Market Stumbles at the Beginning of Summer
Firm Retention Summary: ActiveCare Inc.
Novartis Won’t Raise U.S. Drug Prices This Year
The Working Poor Need Help. Keep the Expansion Alive
High-End Living in Miami With Fashion and Fast Cars
Liberty Street Post Studies Impact of Tax Changes on Bank and Corporate Cyclicality
Sinclair Changes Divestiture Plans to Address FCC Deal Concerns
SoftBank Leads $121 Million Investment in Camera Startup Light
The Fog of Trade War: The Trouble With Wall Street’s Favorite Buzzword
Zinsli’s Take: In Search of the Land of Unicorns
More VCs Betting on Telemedicine
PocketWatch Raises $15 Million to Entertain Kids
Europe Fines Google Over Android; What Does It Mean?
Centivo Raises $34 Million to Create Primary Care-Focused Plan
Timiraos’s Take: Powell Pulls Back on Forward Guidance Again With “For Now” Qualification
New York-London in 3½ Hours? Supersonic Travel Is Back on the Horizon
Hong Kong Exchange Moves Toward Deal With Mainland For Supervoting Shares
Bank Indonesia Expected to Keep Interest Rate Unchanged
Emerging Consensus Could Herald Rebound in Asian Markets
Corrigan’s Take: Croatia’s Agrokor Makes U.S. Bankruptcy Court Debut
Former Fed Chief Ben Bernanke Says Economic Outlook Is ‘Quite Strong’
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0038

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-07-19 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-09,276.55,277.96,276.5,277.9,254.4967,50550400.0,0.009,0.177,280.8342,268.3348,56.3434,82.4384,0.063,274.4323,271.482
2018-07-10,278.41,279.01,278.08,278.9,255.4125,51966800.0,0.0036,0.5709,280.8984,268.3046,57.308,107.6891,4.8777,274.6573,271.7112
2018-07-11,277.15,278.04,276.52,276.86,253.5443,77054700.0,-0.0073,0.7102,280.561,268.436,54.7547,64.0322,2.7484,274.9187,271.87
2018-07-12,278.28,279.43,277.6,279.37,255.8428,60124700.0,0.0091,1.0116,280.8189,268.3121,57.1829,102.5931,3.9068,275.144,272.023
2018-07-13,279.17,279.93,278.66,279.59,256.0443,48216000.0,0.0008,1.2537,280.993,268.224,57.3902,110.6311,6.242,275.4323,272.1763
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505
2018-07-17,278.47,280.91,278.41,280.47,256.8502,52315500.0,0.004,1.605,281.9978,267.8312,58.1724,108.4246,11.6863,275.8093,272.5815
2018-07-18,280.56,281.18,280.06,281.06,257.3905,44593500.0,0.0021,1.7873,282.7903,267.5947,58.7469,120.0782,12.9998,276.008,272.823

Startup Fundraising Reaches All-Time Record
Japan’s Core CPI Rises Slightly Ahead of BOJ Quarterly Report
Capital One Profit Surges on Strong Card Spending, Lower Losses
Alcoa Shares Drop As Investors Worry About Tariff Impacts
Disclosure Advocate Seeks to Reopen Coal Miner’s Bankruptcy
U.S. Grain Prices Crunched by Trade Fears
Dollar Slides After Trump Calls Strong Currency a ‘Disadvantage’
Bank of New York Mellon Results Test Investors’ Patience
Gymboree Has a New Look, and Some Parents Aren’t Pleased
Merck to Limit Drug-Price Increases, Cut Some Prices
CFPB Nominee Promises Pro-Business Approach
Blackstone’s Profit Climbs as PE Portfolio Surges
U.S. Stocks Fall as Foreign-Investment Deal Heightens Trade Tensions
Where Denmark’s Elite Go to (Modestly) Summer
Shares in Ad Giants Fall as Publicis Sales Disappoint
Trump Criticizes Fed Rate Rises in Break With Policy Custom
U.S. Oil Prices Rise as Saudis Dismiss Supply Concerns
Art Director Fabien Baron Seeks Information From Interview Magazine Publisher
Higher Catastrophe Losses Weigh on Travelers’s Bottom Line
Copper Falls to 2018 Low on Renewed Trade Jitters
Verizon Reaches New Labor Deal
Philips Complains About ‘ Quid Pro Quo’ Payments in Gibson Bankruptcy
Dollar Pares Gains After Trump Comments on Fed
Following the Fed, Central Banks Are Ready to Raise Rates
Creditors Come to Terms in Fight Over M&G Luxembourg Units
Disney’s Big Question: How Crucial Is Sky to Its Fox Deal?
They Sold Their Startup to P&G. It Struggled. They Quit.
CNN’s Jeff Zucker Taking Leave for Elective Heart Surgery
Land Goes from ‘Dirt Cheap’ to ‘Pay Dirt’
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Rose in June
Philip Morris Cuts Sales, Earnings Targets
U.S. Jobless Claims Hit Lowest Level Since 1969
Wells Fargo’s Latest Challenge: Refunds for Pet Insurance, Legal Services
Puerto Rico’s Power Company Sees Third CEO in Two Weeks
South African Reserve Bank Holds Main Repo Rate, Cuts Growth Outlook
Pound Falls and Remains Vulnerable to Brexit Uncertainty
Manufacturing Activity Expands, Future Outlook Falls In Philadelphia Fed Survey
Quarles Says Fed Should Consider Publishing Average Financing Rate
Saudi Aramco in Talks to Buy Stake in Petrochemical Firm
Not Just Fur: Fashion Houses Scramble to Drop Animal Skins
Zakrzewski’s Take: Forget About SaaS. 2018 Is All About MaaS.
Asian Junk Bonds Are Being Treated Like Trash
Harrison’s Take: Powell Can’t Hide His Concern Over Trade
Finance Chiefs Say Too Much Data Is Making It Harder to Manage Risks
The Many Ways Tariffs Affect Car Makers
Price War Eats Into Unilever Profit
Indonesia’s Central Bank Leaves Benchmark Rate Unchanged
China’s Yuan Hits One-Year Low
Australia’s Job Market Strengthened in June
Chinese Stocks Find Respite as Broader Market Steadies
Rizzo’s Take: Former Toys ‘R’ Us Employees’ Fight for Severance Gains Traction
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0011

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-07-23. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-13,279.17,279.93,278.66,279.59,256.0443,48216000.0,0.0008,1.2537,280.993,268.224,57.3902,110.6311,6.242,275.4323,272.1763
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505
2018-07-17,278.47,280.91,278.41,280.47,256.8502,52315500.0,0.004,1.605,281.9978,267.8312,58.1724,108.4246,11.6863,275.8093,272.5815
2018-07-18,280.56,281.18,280.06,281.06,257.3905,44593500.0,0.0021,1.7873,282.7903,267.5947,58.7469,120.0782,12.9998,276.008,272.823
2018-07-19,280.31,280.74,279.46,280.0,256.4198,61412100.0,-0.0038,1.8251,283.2866,267.5013,57.2845,96.7814,9.1434,276.0947,273.1067
2018-07-20,279.77,280.48,279.5,279.68,256.1268,82337700.0,-0.0011,1.8084,283.7635,267.5685,56.8426,88.2405,9.1434,276.1717,273.3742

Fannie Mae CEO to Leave by Year’s End
Home Sales Extend Slump Despite Economic Strength
Hasbro Investors Breathe Easier
Central Bank Chatter Rattles Bond Market, Sending Yields Surging
Gossamer Bio Bulks Up With $230 Million Series B
Whirlpool Hit by Charges, Rising Costs
Aircraft Parts Maker Nordam Files for Bankruptcy Protection
Pacific Drilling, Lenders Jockey Over Competing Bankruptcy Plans
Stocks Rise on Strength in Financial Sector
U.S. Trustee Challenges Releases Sought for Enduro Officers
Top Fiat Chrysler Executive to Leave in Wake of CEO Change
Rizzo’s Take: Cenveo Loses Contract for 2020 Census
Nike to Lift Pay for Thousands of Staffers After Review
Investor Discloses Large Barnes & Noble Stake, Pushes for Change
Court Watchdog Questions Fate of Brewery Supplier 47Hops
Trump Tweet on Iran Stirs Oil Markets
Short-Lived Gold Rally Loses Steam
Gibson’s Sales Process Comes Under Fire
Dollar Moves Slightly Higher
Sergio Marchionne’s Exit Jolts Ferrari
Cushman & Wakefield Sets IPO Price Between $16 And $18
Barrick Gold President Departs to Lead AngloGold Ashanti
Highflying Medical Firm, a Help to Wounded Veterans, Falls to Earth
Feds Want Trustee to Manage Bankrupt Oregon Mega-dairy
Renovation Plans Unveiled for Oklahoma City Tower
The Trump Divide Grows Wider
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Rose in June
Geron’s Take: Sky-High Seed Deals Are A Warning of What’s to Come
Niche Funds Push the Limits of Specialization
Small-Caps Surge, but Their Haven Status Is in Jeopardy
Prospect of Policy Shift Rattles Japanese Markets
Timiraos’s Take: Powell Is Bullish But Not Hawkish
Private Pension Product, Sold by Felon, Wipes Investors Out
IKEA’s Strategy in India: If We Build It, They Will Come
Stech’s Take: Long Wait for Ruling on Indiana Sports Complex’s Fate in Bankruptcy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0050

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-07-24. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505
2018-07-17,278.47,280.91,278.41,280.47,256.8502,52315500.0,0.004,1.605,281.9978,267.8312,58.1724,108.4246,11.6863,275.8093,272.5815
2018-07-18,280.56,281.18,280.06,281.06,257.3905,44593500.0,0.0021,1.7873,282.7903,267.5947,58.7469,120.0782,12.9998,276.008,272.823
2018-07-19,280.31,280.74,279.46,280.0,256.4198,61412100.0,-0.0038,1.8251,283.2866,267.5013,57.2845,96.7814,9.1434,276.0947,273.1067
2018-07-20,279.77,280.48,279.5,279.68,256.1268,82337700.0,-0.0011,1.8084,283.7635,267.5685,56.8426,88.2405,9.1434,276.1717,273.3742
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057

Trump Calls FCC’s Move to Block Sinclair Deal ‘Disgraceful’
Soft Australian Inflation Ensures RBA to Remain a Laggard
John Malone Retires From Charter Communications Board
AT&T Offsets Losses at DirecTV With Gains in Wireless, Warner
Fund Managers Cautious Despite Emerging-Market Bond Rebound
Lululemon Names Sephora Executive as New CEO
Massachusetts Attorney General Launches Probe of Juul
23andMe Raising Up to $300 Million
IRS Wins Court Case Over Intel
Texas Instruments Forecasts Strong Third Quarter
Gibson Fends Off Criticism of Sale Process
Oil Moves Higher on China Stimulus, U.S.-Iran Tensions
Corrigan’s Take: Second Circuit Upholds Lehman Settlement Based on Emails
Corrigan’s Take: Second Circuit Upholds Lehman Settlement Based on Emails
Is Bitcoin Back? Cryptocurrency Crosses $8,000 for First Time in Two Months
Lehman Liquidators Secure Credit Suisse Deal
Copper Climbs on China Stimulus Plans
Turkish Lira’s Plunge Prompts Concern About a Currency Crisis
Cox Enterprises Considers Sale of 14 Television Stations
Judge Approves Sale of Elements Behavioral Health
Dollar Moves Little
Judge Approves New MACH Gen Debt-Cutting Plan
Eli Lilly to Offer Minority Stake in Animal-Health Business
Wealthy Shoppers Push Aside Trade Dispute Fears to Fuel LVMH
Many Manufacturers Take Tariffs in Stride
Pentagon Budget Boosts Feed Lockheed Backlog
CFTC Nears Full Strength as Democrat Coasts Through Hearing
Tariffs Dent Harley-Davidson Profit
Verizon Dials Up Its Subscriber Numbers
‘Hamilton’ May Be Headed to the Movies
United Technologies Raises Outlook as Profit Jumps
Whirlpool Says Higher Prices Hurt U.S. Sales
Silicon Valley to Big Oil: We Can Manage Your Data Better Than You
Long Before His Racial Slur, Papa John’s Founder Was at Odds With His Company
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Slows in July
U.S. Increasingly Large Driver of Global Trade Deficits, IMF Reports
Titanic Director Cameron Backs Bid for 5,500 Items From Ship
U.K. to Bolster Powers to Block Takeovers on Security Grounds
UBS Profit Boosted by Investment Banking
Three Internet Bosses Lead List of Top-Paid Retail CEOs
ECB Sets Its Own Course as the Fed Pushes Rates Higher
Gormley’s Take: Public Markets’ Embrace of Health Care Extends Beyond Biotech
Record Investments, But Few Exits in Health-Care Services
Eurozone Business Activity Slips
Peugeot Achieves What Long Evaded GM: a Profit at Opel
Kiernan’s Take: Powell Faces Questions on Real Wage Growth
Asian Markets Lifted After Beijing Promises New Stimulus
Rizzo’s Take: Cenveo Loses Contract for 2020 Census
Earnings Boost U.S. Stocks
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0085

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-07-25. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505
2018-07-17,278.47,280.91,278.41,280.47,256.8502,52315500.0,0.004,1.605,281.9978,267.8312,58.1724,108.4246,11.6863,275.8093,272.5815
2018-07-18,280.56,281.18,280.06,281.06,257.3905,44593500.0,0.0021,1.7873,282.7903,267.5947,58.7469,120.0782,12.9998,276.008,272.823
2018-07-19,280.31,280.74,279.46,280.0,256.4198,61412100.0,-0.0038,1.8251,283.2866,267.5013,57.2845,96.7814,9.1434,276.0947,273.1067
2018-07-20,279.77,280.48,279.5,279.68,256.1268,82337700.0,-0.0011,1.8084,283.7635,267.5685,56.8426,88.2405,9.1434,276.1717,273.3742
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057
2018-07-24,281.79,282.56,280.63,281.61,257.8942,68026900.0,0.005,1.9142,284.8273,268.1117,58.8719,117.7444,17.9181,276.3403,273.8565

PayPal Profit Up on Higher Usage
House Panel Doubts There Will Be Federal Takeover of Puerto Rico Utility
Mattel to Cut More Than 2,200 Jobs as Toy Maker Battles Losses
Big Auto Makers Trim Forecasts
Visa's Quarterly Results Beat Expectations
U.S. Stocks Soar on Trade Concessions
Gilead Sciences CEO Stepping Down
Alzheimer’s Drug Shows Benefit
Mondelez Sales Rise in U.S., Emerging Markets
Boeing Boosts Revenue Guidance, Maintains Delivery Outlook
Grubhub Surges With Deal to Buy LevelUp
Arconic Weighs Buyout Approaches From Apollo and Blackstone-Carlyle Pairing
HBO Won’t Sacrifice Identity Under AT&T’s Ownership
Regulators: Uranium Leaked at S. Carolina Nuclear Fuel Plant
Oil Prices Rise as U.S. Crude Inventories Decline
Little River Healthcare Seeks Bankruptcy Protection
China’s Cosco Shipping Hit by Cyberattack in U.S.
Randles’s Take: Fyre Festival Founder Not Cooperating With Bankruptcy, Trustee Says
Randles’s Take: Fyre Festival Founder Not Cooperating With Bankruptcy, Trustee Says
ClassPass Eyes International Expansion With $85 Million Round
Alector Set for Clinical Trials After Raising $133 Million Series E
Dollar’s Fall Boosts Gold
Bernanke, Geithner and Paulson ‘Have Invented Alternative History’ of Lehman Collapse
Crude-Oil Swings Worry Investors
Vanguard Sent Erroneous Text Messages to Some 401(k) Customers
U.S. New-Home Sales Dropped in June
CQ Roll Call Is on the Block
Dollar Slides Against Emerging-Market Currencies
Coke Raising U.S. Soda Prices, Citing Tariffs
Ad-Measurement Startup Survata Brings In $14 Million Series B
IMF Economist Obstfeld to Retire
Tops Grocery Chain Presses for Bonuses Amid Employee Exodus
Firm Retention Summary: Tintri Inc.
Luxury Homeowners Retreat With Sensory-Deprivation Tanks
Fraud-Hit Indian Bank Gets Bailout to Avert Bond Panic
GM Posts Higher Profit, Lowers Outlook Amid Metals Costs
UPS Sees Growth Driven by Higher Pricing, E-commerce Demand
GlaxoSmithKline Bets on Genetics Startup as Part of Research Overhaul
Hearst Taps Digital-Savvy Executive to Run Its Magazines
Bose Ventures Backs Aaptiv for Audio AR Strategy
Social Network for Real Estate Grabs Funding
How Investors Make Money When Companies Take Longer to Pay Bills
U.S. Airlines Meet Beijing Halfway on Describing Taiwan
New Fiat Chrysler CEO Faces Questions Over Ram Truck Production
Deutsche Bank Posts Profit but Trading Weakness Drags On
Blackstone’s Take: The ECB Needs Some Reverse Guidance
Sergio Marchionne, Who Melded Fiat and Chrysler, Dies
Marchionne’s Death Thrusts Agnelli Heir Into Spotlight
Chef’d Is Sold to a Food Consultancy
China Targets Economy, Not Trump, With Weaker Yuan
Chinese Shares Steadier After Stimulus Boost
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0024

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-07-26 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-16,279.64,279.8,278.84,279.34,255.8153,48201000.0,-0.0009,1.4091,281.3586,268.0794,57.0653,101.1962,6.242,275.6237,272.3505
2018-07-17,278.47,280.91,278.41,280.47,256.8502,52315500.0,0.004,1.605,281.9978,267.8312,58.1724,108.4246,11.6863,275.8093,272.5815
2018-07-18,280.56,281.18,280.06,281.06,257.3905,44593500.0,0.0021,1.7873,282.7903,267.5947,58.7469,120.0782,12.9998,276.008,272.823
2018-07-19,280.31,280.74,279.46,280.0,256.4198,61412100.0,-0.0038,1.8251,283.2866,267.5013,57.2845,96.7814,9.1434,276.0947,273.1067
2018-07-20,279.77,280.48,279.5,279.68,256.1268,82337700.0,-0.0011,1.8084,283.7635,267.5685,56.8426,88.2405,9.1434,276.1717,273.3742
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057
2018-07-24,281.79,282.56,280.63,281.61,257.8942,68026900.0,0.005,1.9142,284.8273,268.1117,58.8719,117.7444,17.9181,276.3403,273.8565
2018-07-25,281.33,284.37,281.28,284.01,260.0921,78882900.0,0.0085,2.1605,285.7624,268.4176,61.2379,143.7287,26.3343,276.51,274.1815

Sutro Biopharma Banks $85.4 Million Series E for Cancer Drug Development
Record Drop in Foreigners Buying U.S. Homes
MiMedx Gets Delisting Notice From Nasdaq
Chesapeake Selling Ohio Assets for $2 Billion
Higher Fuel Costs Hit Airlines
Papa John’s Founder Takes Legal Action Against Pizza Chain
Focus Financial Shares Gain at Their Nasdaq Debut
Starbucks U.S. Sales Bump Up After Price Hike
U.S. Dollar Jumps as Investors See ECB Shifting Focus to Interest-Rates
Fiat Chrysler Chief Was Seriously Ill for More Than a Year
Saudi Arabia Pressures Aramco to Take On Debt After IPO Stalls
Two Senior Amgen Executives to  Leave
Spotify Reports Increase in Subscribers Amid Promotions
McDonald’s Revenue Falls as Company Sells Restaurants to Franchisees
Walmart Taps Capital One for Store Cards, Dealing Major Blow to Synchrony
Chipotle Lifts Outlook as Revenue Rises
Fannie Mae Debt Sale Sets Milestone  for Libor Rival
New Owner Sells Necco After Deal Turns Sour
Facebook Leads Tech-Share Decline
Stock Outflows Swell as Investors Seek Refuge in Bonds
United Natural Foods to Buy Food Distributor Supervalu in $2.9 Billion Deal
iHeart Gets Court Approval to Hire Two Investment Banks
Oil Rises After Saudi Tankers Attacked
Peter Thiel Backs Vegan Dog Food Startup
Brickley’s Take: Turmoil at the Top for Tom Clarke’s Iron Range Bankruptcy Revival Bid
Gold Edges Down as Dollar Strengthens
Gucci Profit Soars on Surging Demand for Luxury Fashion
Facebook’s ‘Chief Buzzkill’ Strikes Again
Cemex Plans More Asset Sales, Debt Reduction
Judge Approves Deal Terminating Cenveo’s 2020 Census Contract
PG&E Profit Dented by Wildfire-Related Charge
Wells Fargo Explores Sale of Real-Estate Broker Eastdil
Under Armour Expects Wider Net Loss Because of Restructuring
Judge Approves Wells Fargo’s $74 Million Offer for Color Spot Nurseries
Americans’ Declining Taste for Bud Weighs on AB InBev
Roche Confirms Restructuring That Could Affect Dozens
ECB Leaves Rates on Hold as It Affirms Bond Taper Plan
U.S. GDP Predictions Scaled Back on Eve of Report
Manufacturers Concerned Over Tariffs, Labor Shortages in Kansas City Fed Survey
‘I Quit, I Quit!’ Management Turmoil Compounds Univision’s Crisis
Trump Wants Europe to Buy U.S. Gas—but Russia Is in His Way
Hershey Hikes Prices as Costs Climb
German Auto Industry Welcomes U.S.-EU Trade Talks
Marlboro Sales Drop Sharply in a Shrinking Market
A New York Weekend Island Retreat Gets Fancy
India’s Aditya Birla Group to Buy U.S. Aluminum Company Aleris Corp.
Firm Retention Summary: Nine West Holdings Inc.
Comcast Earnings Rise on Broadband Growth
Draghi Sticks to Script on Rates Guidance and Economic Outlook
Shell Kicks Off Big Oil Earnings With Growth Spurt
Avenatti Gets Judge to Bar Media From Bankruptcy Testimony
Land O’Lakes Names Next CEO
Mastercard Reports Higher Earnings
American Airlines Lowers Outlook on Rising Fuel Costs
Cheddar, a TV Disruptor, Launches a Traditional Cable Channel
Layoff Gauge Climbs After Hitting Multidecade Low
CFPB Enforcement Is Back—With a Softer Touch
Done Chasing Millennials, J.C. Penney Tries to Woo Moms
Southwest’s Profit Falls on Weaker Bookings
Indian Shares Set Records
KKR Profit Rises in Last Quarter Under Partnership Structure
Zakrzewski’s Take: Scooter Early Adopters Point to Larger Market Than Bikes
Daimler Follows U.S. Rivals in Warning on Impact of Tariffs
Harrison’s Take: Powell Will Talk, but Will He Say Anything?
Australia’s Fairfax Agrees to Take Over by TV Network Nine
Nestlé’s Sales Rise, Granting Breathing Space for CEO
Macquarie Taps Asset Management Head to Succeed CEO
Airbus Posts Surge in Earnings, Lifting Shares
Five Questions for the European Central Bank’s Meeting
India’s Insulated Stock Market Powers Ahead
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0068

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-07-30. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-20,279.77,280.48,279.5,279.68,256.1268,82337700.0,-0.0011,1.8084,283.7635,267.5685,56.8426,88.2405,9.1434,276.1717,273.3742
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057
2018-07-24,281.79,282.56,280.63,281.61,257.8942,68026900.0,0.005,1.9142,284.8273,268.1117,58.8719,117.7444,17.9181,276.3403,273.8565
2018-07-25,281.33,284.37,281.28,284.01,260.0921,78882900.0,0.0085,2.1605,285.7624,268.4176,61.2379,143.7287,26.3343,276.51,274.1815
2018-07-26,283.2,284.11,283.09,283.34,259.4786,57919500.0,-0.0024,2.2754,286.0818,269.4972,60.2371,139.3782,26.3343,276.687,274.4875
2018-07-27,283.71,283.82,280.38,281.42,257.7203,76768700.0,-0.0068,2.1864,286.0844,270.5476,57.4539,101.234,7.4798,276.7767,274.7912

Puerto Rico Power Utility Reaches Deal With Bondholders
New Jersey Warehouse Rents Hit Fresh High
GE to Shed Parts of Digital Unit
Tyson Cuts Outlook on Tariffs, Commodity Volatility
Dollar Falls Ahead of Central Bank Meetings
Caterpillar Profit Surges, Absorbs Tariff-Related Cost Increases
Oil Tops $70 as Supply Concerns Outweigh Higher Production
Harley Plans Smaller Motorcycles to Woo Young Riders
Orianna Asks Judge to Revisit Key Landlord Controversy
U.S. Stocks Slide as Tech Shares Weigh on Indexes
Kroger Unit Won’t Take Visa Credit Cards in California Stores
US Foods to Buy Five Food Businesses for $1.8 Billion
Goldman Partners’ Haul on Crisis-Era Options: $3 Billion
Preferred Care Unloads Kentucky Nursing Homes During Bankruptcy
Morgan Stanley Seeks to Manage More of Its Clients’ Wealth
U.S. GDP Report Clears Path for Two More Fed Rate Hikes
The Extensive Margin of Trade and Monetary Policy
Copper Under Pressure as Chilean Strike Looms
Firm Retention Summary: ActiveCare Inc.
Weinstein Co. Disputes Expenses Sought By Former ‘Project Runway’ Producer
American Express Gave Clients One Rate, Then Secretly Raised It
Johnson & Johnson Adds Zarbee’s Naturals to Bolster Consumer Brands
Fedspeak Cheat Sheet: What Fed Officials Said Ahead of This Week’s Meeting
Yerak’s Take: Jimmy Carter’s Old Rockport Sneakers Sell for $11,500
Yerak’s Take: Jimmy Carter’s Old Rockport Sneakers Sell for $11,500
Furniture Maker Heritage Home Files for Bankruptcy With Plans for Sales
What Duluth Can Teach America About Declining Political Civility
MGM Makes Wager on Sports Betting
Alibaba Shares Remain Out of Reach in China, For Now
Zakrzewski’s Take: Good Times Roll for Startups. Should VCs Grow Wary?
Coffee and Lifestyle Brand for Biohackers Bulletproof Raises $40 Million
India Expected to Raise Rates
Recession Signal May Be Falsely Lit by Growth
Modeling Their Stress Away
Hannon’s Take: Brexit Clouds BOE Rate Outlook
Bigger Oil Pipelines Are Coming to West Texas to Ease Bottleneck
Eurozone Manufacturing Confidence Slips on Trade Worries
Bond Market Tests the Bank of Japan
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0049

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-07-31. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057
2018-07-24,281.79,282.56,280.63,281.61,257.8942,68026900.0,0.005,1.9142,284.8273,268.1117,58.8719,117.7444,17.9181,276.3403,273.8565
2018-07-25,281.33,284.37,281.28,284.01,260.0921,78882900.0,0.0085,2.1605,285.7624,268.4176,61.2379,143.7287,26.3343,276.51,274.1815
2018-07-26,283.2,284.11,283.09,283.34,259.4786,57919500.0,-0.0024,2.2754,286.0818,269.4972,60.2371,139.3782,26.3343,276.687,274.4875
2018-07-27,283.71,283.82,280.38,281.42,257.7203,76768700.0,-0.0068,2.1864,286.0844,270.5476,57.4539,101.234,7.4798,276.7767,274.7912
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08

China July Caixin Final Manufacturing PMI Hits Lowest in 8 Months
Strong Economic Growth Boosts U.S. in Trade Battles
Mammoth Biosciences Grabs $23 Million for Crispr-Based Disease Detection
CBS Alleges Videotape of Ailing Mogul Sumner Redstone Felled Board Member
Berkshire Hathaway’s Newest Bet: Former Sears Properties
U.S. Judge Rules for NYU in $358 Million Retirement-Fees Case
U.S. Workers Get Biggest Pay Increase in Nearly a Decade
Rizzo’s Take: Retail Gloom Could Be Easing, But It Isn’t Gone Yet
Rizzo’s Take: Retail Gloom Could Be Easing, But It Isn’t Gone Yet
Dollar Rises After Inflation Data
Carlyle Group to Move New York Offices to One Vanderbilt
P&G Shifts Strategy, Raises Prices
Third Point Has Built Campbell Soup Stake Worth More Than $300 Million
Stocks Higher on Trade Optimism
David Einhorn’s Funds Log Another Quarterly Decline
New York’s Flatiron Hotel Files for Bankruptcy
Home Price Gains Held Steady in May
Kleiner Perkins Grabs New Talent in Bid to Be ‘the First Part of the Conversation’
Oil Prices Decline, Weighed Down by OPEC, Russia Output
Law Firm Appeals Ruling in Price-Fixing Suit Against Bankruptcy Management Solutions
Quantitative Easing, a Decade Later
How to Gauge the Fed’s Reaction to Trump’s Tweet
NBER Paper Studies Productivity Growth, Employment and Labor Share
Copper Rises on Hopes of Easing Trade Tensions
Trump Administration Embraces Fintech Startups
GAM Suspends Fund Manager
Lumber Liquidators Shares Plunge as Higher Costs Weigh on Margins
Arconic Shops Unit That Made Panels in Grenfell Fire
SoftBank’s Vision Fund Hiring Deutsche Bank’s Chief for Saudi Arabia
Pfizer to Raise R&D Spending as Pipeline Focus Sharpens
Heritage Home Gets Court Approval for Bankruptcy Financing
U.S. Household Spending, Income Rose in June
Short Seller Who Slammed Samsonite Takes Swipe at New Target
U.S. Executives Keep Hoarding Cash as Trade Tensions Unfold
U.S. Consumer Confidence Rises Slightly
Bank of America, Morgan Stanley to Invest in Luma Financial
Chicago Business Barometer Rises in July
Food Retailer Supervalu Settles With Activist
Eurozone Economy Slows Further as Exports Sputter
A FANG Index Slides Into Correction Territory
Fortive to Acquire Software Provider Accruent for About $2 Billion
Japan Inc. Is Decluttering—and Foreign Investors Love It
Nobody Says ‘Zelle Me’: Banks Struggle to Catch Up to Venmo
Challengers to VC Model Find It’s Easier Said Than Done
Out of Stock Online? Zara Will Ship From Stores Instead
Credit Suisse on Track for First Annual Profit in Four Years
BOJ Sticks to Policy, Defying Expectations
Quantitative Easing, a Decade Later
Derby’s Take: K.C. Fed Digs Into What’s Really Driving Hawks and Doves
BP Earnings Boosted by Higher Oil Prices
Turkey’s Central Bank Raises 2018 Inflation Forecast
Japan’s Bond Market Gets a Longer Leash
GV Leads $30 Million Round in Life Science Innovation Software Startup
Geron’s Take: ‘Rise of the Rest’ Funding Still Lags
Standard Chartered Sees Positive Side to U.S.-China Trade Dispute
Swiss National Bank Returns to Profit in Second Quarter
Lower Aussie Dollar Could Deliver Shock, Moody’s Says
Southeast Asian Markets Rebound in July
Omniome Rounds Up $60 Million Series B for DNA-Sequencing Technology
New Zealand Business Confidence Slumps to Recession Lows
China’s Factory Activity At 5- Month Low Amid Trade Tensions
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0017

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-01. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057
2018-07-24,281.79,282.56,280.63,281.61,257.8942,68026900.0,0.005,1.9142,284.8273,268.1117,58.8719,117.7444,17.9181,276.3403,273.8565
2018-07-25,281.33,284.37,281.28,284.01,260.0921,78882900.0,0.0085,2.1605,285.7624,268.4176,61.2379,143.7287,26.3343,276.51,274.1815
2018-07-26,283.2,284.11,283.09,283.34,259.4786,57919500.0,-0.0024,2.2754,286.0818,269.4972,60.2371,139.3782,26.3343,276.687,274.4875
2018-07-27,283.71,283.82,280.38,281.42,257.7203,76768700.0,-0.0068,2.1864,286.0844,270.5476,57.4539,101.234,7.4798,276.7767,274.7912
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08
2018-07-31,280.81,282.02,280.38,281.33,257.6377,68570500.0,0.0049,1.896,285.5603,272.8857,56.9031,78.3062,3.2861,277.0297,275.3352

BOJ Amamiya Says BOJ’s 10-Year Yield Target Remains at ‘Around Zero’
T-Mobile, Sprint Add Customers as They Push Toward Merger
Old Long-Term-Care Policies Hurt Prudential Profit
U.K. Startup Gathers $55 Million to Tackle Virus Behind Severe Lung Infections
Wells Fargo Reaches $2.09 Billion Settlement Over Mortgage-Backed Securities
Ira Rennert Drops Malpractice Suit Over $214 Million Magnesium Bankruptcy
Scurria’s Take: Four Years After Restructuring, Silicone Maker’s Bankruptcy Battles Not Over
Oil Prices Fall Sharply as U.S. Inventories Rise
Shares of Wynn Fall After Profit, Sales Miss
Brazil Central Bank Holds Benchmark Interest Rate Steady
Fidelity Eliminates Fees on Two New Index Funds
Dow Jones Industrial Average Falls on Tariff Concerns
Scurria’s Take: Four Years After Restructuring, Silicone Maker’s Bankruptcy Battles Not Over
Gibson Settles With Unsecured Creditors
Carl Icahn Plans to Vote Against Express Scripts Deal
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Says Economy Is Strong
Studio Creditors Move to Question Former Weinstein Co. Executive
Copper Drops on New Tariff Threats
Turkish Lira Falls to Record Low After U.S. Sanctions
Treasury Plans to Boost Borrowing as Trillion-Dollar Deficits Loom
Hanesbrands, Target Won’t Renew Champion Activewear Deal
Carlyle’s Earnings Beat Expectations, But Key Performance Metric Drops
Treasury Yield Tops 3% Again
Ferrari Reports Higher Profit, But Shares Fall on New CEO’s Comments
Molson Coors Turns to Marijuana as Beer Sales Drop
U.S. Manufacturing Activity Loses Momentum
GDS Holdings Disputes Short Seller’s Claims
Company in Legal Fight with Montana Halts Mine Cleanup Work
Europe’s Trade Victory in Washington
VoxEU Post Examines Misperceptions About Immigration
America’s Long Love Affair With Beer Is on the Rocks
India’s Central Bank Voices Trade-Friction Concerns as It Raises Lending Rate
Sanofi Has Been Stockpiling Drugs for No-Deal Brexit for Six Months
Private Sector Adds 219,000 New Jobs in July, Driven by Mid-Sized Firms
Brookfield Infrastructure to Buy Enercare for $2.4 Billion
Companies Hesitating to Hire Foreign M.B.A. Students
Steelmaker ArcelorMittal Gains From Tariffs as Prices Rise
Large Insurers Co-Lead Telemedicine Startup MDLive’s $50 Million Round
A Military Credit Union’s Plans for High-Octane Growth Irks Bankers
Bank of Japan Shift Propels Biggest Bond-Yield Jump in Two Years
Volkswagen Earnings Take Another Hit From Emissions-Cheating Scandal
Rio Tinto to Buy Back Shares After First-Half Profit Jumps
Kroger to Launch Grocery Delivery Service
Blackstone’s Take: The Swiss Central Bank Is Still a Profit Machine
Fed Likely to Keep Rates Steady
Former High-Speed Trading Executives Allege ‘Tyrannical Coup’ at Quantlab
Companies Warn Currency Swings Will Weigh on Earnings
South Korea’s Inflation Remains Subdued in July
Asia’s Tech Sector Gets Some Good News
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher as Fed Remains Upbeat
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0054

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-02. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-23,279.45,280.43,279.06,280.2,256.6029,47047600.0,0.0019,1.8163,284.2698,267.6082,57.3951,84.7467,6.109,276.2387,273.6057
2018-07-24,281.79,282.56,280.63,281.61,257.8942,68026900.0,0.005,1.9142,284.8273,268.1117,58.8719,117.7444,17.9181,276.3403,273.8565
2018-07-25,281.33,284.37,281.28,284.01,260.0921,78882900.0,0.0085,2.1605,285.7624,268.4176,61.2379,143.7287,26.3343,276.51,274.1815
2018-07-26,283.2,284.11,283.09,283.34,259.4786,57919500.0,-0.0024,2.2754,286.0818,269.4972,60.2371,139.3782,26.3343,276.687,274.4875
2018-07-27,283.71,283.82,280.38,281.42,257.7203,76768700.0,-0.0068,2.1864,286.0844,270.5476,57.4539,101.234,7.4798,276.7767,274.7912
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08
2018-07-31,280.81,282.02,280.38,281.33,257.6377,68570500.0,0.0049,1.896,285.5603,272.8857,56.9031,78.3062,3.2861,277.0297,275.3352
2018-08-01,281.56,282.13,280.13,280.86,257.2074,53853300.0,-0.0017,1.7754,284.7308,274.7112,56.2462,70.2653,1.7036,277.2083,275.5675

Investors Protest Outside Headquarters of China’s HNA Group
Post Holdings to Transfer Private Brands Into New Unit
Growth in China’s Service Sector Activity Slows in July
Jobless Claims Tick Slightly Higher
Peloton’s Financing Round Values Stationary-Bike Maker at $4.15 Billion
AIG’s Income Slid in Second Quarter
Karuna Pharma Collects $42 Million Series A for Schizophrenia Treatment
Biswas’s Take: iHeartMedia Close to Filing Revised Restructuring Plan
Siemens Acquires Mendix for $730 Million
Florida Business Lender Enters Bankruptcy Amid Securities Probes
Tech Stocks Lift S&P 500
Dollar Rises Before Payrolls Report
Warren Buffett Leads Parade of Apple Winners
Apple’s Rise to $1 Trillion Fueled by iPhone’s Success
Apollo’s Earnings Miss Analyst Views as Growth Slows
Quick Hits: BOJ Signals More Flexibility in Unusual JGB Offer
Oil Bounces Back From Six-Week Low
NextEra Loses Bid to Collect $60 Million for Failed Oncor Deal
Copper Slump Continues on Latest Trade Threats
Why It’s Tricky to Peg Just When Apple Hit the $1 Trillion Milestone
Relativity, Netflix Settle Yearslong Legal Battle
GAM Blocks Fund Redemptions After Suspension of Top Fund Manager
Misperceived Social Norms: Female Labor-Force Participation in Saudi Arabia
Teva’s Sales Slump 18%
Brookstone Files for Bankruptcy as Web Shoppers Leave It Behind
Kellogg Raises Full-Year Guidance On Stronger Second Quarter
Cushman & Wakefield Shares Rise in NYSE Debut
Blue Apron Loses More Customers
Five Reasons You May Not Want to Retire in a Small Town
ISM-New York Index Rose in July
Turkey Needs Foreign Funds as Short-Term Debt Looms
Czech Central Bank Raises Interest Rates
Bank of England Raises Rates to Highest Level in Nearly a Decade
As Turkey’s Lira Plunges, Sanctioned Ministers Remain Defiant
U.K. Rate Rise: Unanimity Among Policy Makers Masks Brexit Uncertainty
Global Payments to Buy Medical Software Firm AdvancedMD
Once Billed as a Mideast Financial Haven, Dubai Turns Investors Wary
Sears Franchise Owners Get Caught in Retailer’s Woes
BMW Weighs Measures to Counter Tariff Impact
Chinese Cancer-Drugmaker Raises $900 Million in Hong Kong Listing
Recovering Agriculture Business Helps DowDuPont’s Top Line
Zakrzewski’s Take: Leaving the Party
Timiraos’s Take: Where Is the Terminal Rate?
Sonos Backers Index, Redpoint Settle In for Below-Range IPO Price
Global Inflation Hits Four-Year High on Rising Energy Prices
Oil Set for Gains Amid Iran Sanctions, Shrinking Supply
Regulators Probe Options Market’s Major Clearinghouse
Barclays Returns to Profit Amid Activist Pressure
Uber Partner Grab Flags Down $2 Billion Investment
Trade and Treasurys Rattle Asian Stocks
CBS Hires Law Firms to Investigate Allegations of Sexual Harassment
GE Engineer Linked to China Stole Power Plant Technology, FBI Says
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0043

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-06. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-27,283.71,283.82,280.38,281.42,257.7203,76768700.0,-0.0068,2.1864,286.0844,270.5476,57.4539,101.234,7.4798,276.7767,274.7912
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08
2018-07-31,280.81,282.02,280.38,281.33,257.6377,68570500.0,0.0049,1.896,285.5603,272.8857,56.9031,78.3062,3.2861,277.0297,275.3352
2018-08-01,281.56,282.13,280.13,280.86,257.2074,53853300.0,-0.0017,1.7754,284.7308,274.7112,56.2462,70.2653,1.7036,277.2083,275.5675
2018-08-02,279.39,282.58,279.16,282.39,258.6085,63426400.0,0.0054,1.7828,284.2458,276.1242,57.8835,71.8526,4.3732,277.4223,275.8253
2018-08-03,282.53,283.66,282.33,283.6,259.7166,53935400.0,0.0043,1.8647,284.2629,276.9251,59.1346,98.2427,2.5565,277.7343,276.0603

GM Cuts Different Type of Health-Care Deal
Drugmaker Samumed Closes $438 Million Round at $12 Billion Pre-Money Valuation
Justice Department Scorns Judge in AT&T-Time Warner Case
Oil Rises on Saudi Output, Iran Sanctions
Tyson Foods Reports Higher Profit as Sales Tick Up
U.S. Dollar Reaches Highest Close in More Than a Year
Turkish Lira Falls to Fresh Lows Against U.S. Dollar
U.S. Stocks Boosted by Robust Earnings
Meat Glut Cuts Into Profits
Alcoa Requests Exemption from Aluminum Tariff
There Are Limits to the Bank of Japan’s Defense of Low Rates
PepsiCo’s Indra Nooyi on Why She’s Leaving and What’s Next
World Bank Group Paper Studies Sources of Volatility in Small Economies
Andy Warhol’s Interview Magazine Gets $1.5 Million Offer From Publisher Peter Brant
Quick Hits: BOE’s Asset-Purchase Facility Reinvests $12.7 Billion in 2nd Quarter
U.S. Banks Eased Lending Standards To Businesses
Yerak’s Take: Elizabeth Warren: Boston Herald Bankruptcy Highlights Need for Venue Reform
Pepsi CEO Nooyi to Step Down; Veteran Set to Take Helm
National Stores Files for Bankruptcy Protection
Fresh Trade Rhetoric Hurts Copper
SeaWorld Shares Surge as Attendance Picks Up
Denmark Launches Criminal Probe of Danske Bank
Chevys, El Torito Restaurants Operator Files for Bankruptcy With Plan to Sell Company
Goldman Banker Takes On World’s Largest Gold Miner—and Gets Pushback
GAM Says Suspended Manager Breached Entertainment Policy
U.S. Corporate Tax Cuts Likely to Hit Other Countries’ Bottom Lines
Newell Brands Lowers Guidance for Fourth Time in a Year
Insurers Worry About Mistakes as They Speed Up Claims
A Team Comfortable With Letting Trump Be Trump
Conference Board’s Employment Trends Increased in July
Amcor Agrees to Buy Bemis in Stock Deal
New FDIC Leader Joins Push to Re-Evaluate Banking Rulebook
Mack’s Take: Digital-Health Startups Look to the Real World
Meet PepsiCo’s Next CEO: Ramon Laguarta
Audio Marketing Startup Veritonic Seeded With $3.5 Million
Torry’s Take: With Labor Market Tight, Inflation Bites
HSBC’s Profit Dented by Higher Expenses
Indonesia’s Economy Grows at Fastest Pace Since 2013
All Eyes on China’s Currency Reserves as Asian Markets Start the Week
Reserve Bank of New Zealand May Acknowledge More Dovish Risks
Venture Firms, Vying to Compete, Woo Hot Recruits With Novel Tactics
Facebook Asks Banks for Customer Data
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0033

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-07. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08
2018-07-31,280.81,282.02,280.38,281.33,257.6377,68570500.0,0.0049,1.896,285.5603,272.8857,56.9031,78.3062,3.2861,277.0297,275.3352
2018-08-01,281.56,282.13,280.13,280.86,257.2074,53853300.0,-0.0017,1.7754,284.7308,274.7112,56.2462,70.2653,1.7036,277.2083,275.5675
2018-08-02,279.39,282.58,279.16,282.39,258.6085,63426400.0,0.0054,1.7828,284.2458,276.1242,57.8835,71.8526,4.3732,277.4223,275.8253
2018-08-03,282.53,283.66,282.33,283.6,259.7166,53935400.0,0.0043,1.8647,284.2629,276.9251,59.1346,98.2427,2.5565,277.7343,276.0603
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707

BOJ Summary Shows Members Differ Over 10-Year Yield Range
Travelers’ Longtime CFO Jay Benet to Exit
Elon Musk’s Tesla Claim Could Land Him in Regulatory Trouble
Steady Raises $9 Million for Income Advancement
Akouos Gets $50 Million to Fight Hearing Loss With Gene Therapy
Actifio Packs On $100 Million
Kodiak Robotics Raises $40 Million Series A for Autonomous-Vehicle Tech
Bankruptcy Filings Surge Among Older Americans
U.S. Dollar Retreats as Chinese, Japanese Currencies Gain
Papa John’s Sales Fall Again
Jobs Go Unfilled as the Economy Expands
National Stores Moves Forward With Store Closings
Beijing Bytedance Technology Seeks $3 Billion Privately
Icahn Goes Public Against Cigna’s Express Scripts Deal
Randles’s Take: Lucky Dragon Bankruptcy Puts EB-5 Investments in Limbo
Oil Rises as Trump Issues ‘Biting’ Sanctions on Iran
Stocks Rise on Strong Earnings Reports
Italy’s UniCredit Has Stopped Advertising on Facebook
Quick Hits: PBOC Official Says Money Needs to Get Into China’s Real Economy
SEC’s Planned Broker Curbs Under Attack
Lenders, Watchdog Object to Fee Request By Pacific Drilling Owner
Brazil Central Bank: Economic Situation Calls For Low Interest Rates
Mattress Firm Hires Restructuring Adviser as It Faces Liquidity, Real-Estate Issues
Samuels Jewelers Files for Bankruptcy in Wake of India Fraud Probe
Owner of Chevys, El Torito Chains Gets Access to New Loan in Bankruptcy
Copper Climbs Amid Labor Dispute
StreetLight Data’s Mobility Analytics Gains With ‘Smart Cities’ Movement
Pension Funds Are Boosting Bull Market Bets as Stocks Climb Higher
Drug Deals and Breakups: Venmo Social Feed Rankles Privacy Advocates
China Uses Lower-Profile Swaps Market to Bolster Yuan
Los Angeles Rams Owner Agrees to Buy All of Arsenal Soccer Team
Philippines’ Duterte Cancels Casino—Just After Its Groundbreaking
Fiery Helicopter Crashes Persist With Industry Slow to Upgrade Fuel Tanks
How One Burned Helicopter Nurse Has Gone on Living
Funds Avoid Pain in Big Tech Stocks
Chernova’s Take: Europe Combines Financial Data Sharing—With Privacy Protections
Former NSA Director Is Latest Official to Join Cybersecurity Startup
Icahn Publicly Opposes $54 Billion Cigna-Express Scripts Deal
The High Cost of Central Bank Caution
Derby’s Take: Public Indifference May Be Reducing Central Bank Policy Potency
A Digital Currency for Japan
Freddie Mac Has a New Plan to Cap Rent Increases
American Refiners Reap Big Profits as Production Soars
Trade Spat Pushes Asian Markets in Different Directions
RBA Stands Pat, Completes 2 Years on the Sidelines
Yerak’s Take: Elizabeth Warren: Boston Herald Bankruptcy Highlights Need for Venue Reform
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0004

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-08-08. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08
2018-07-31,280.81,282.02,280.38,281.33,257.6377,68570500.0,0.0049,1.896,285.5603,272.8857,56.9031,78.3062,3.2861,277.0297,275.3352
2018-08-01,281.56,282.13,280.13,280.86,257.2074,53853300.0,-0.0017,1.7754,284.7308,274.7112,56.2462,70.2653,1.7036,277.2083,275.5675
2018-08-02,279.39,282.58,279.16,282.39,258.6085,63426400.0,0.0054,1.7828,284.2458,276.1242,57.8835,71.8526,4.3732,277.4223,275.8253
2018-08-03,282.53,283.66,282.33,283.6,259.7166,53935400.0,0.0043,1.8647,284.2629,276.9251,59.1346,98.2427,2.5565,277.7343,276.0603
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707
2018-08-07,285.39,286.01,285.24,285.58,261.5299,43196600.0,0.0033,2.1416,285.5209,277.0091,61.1216,129.6835,15.9282,278.5503,276.4828

China Consumer Inflation Hits Four-Month High
GE to Sell Energy Debt Finance Business
Richmond Fed President Says Continued Low Interest Rates Are Tough to Justify
Luxury Hotel Group Eyes Sale
Slack Nears Close of Financing Round at $7 Billion Valuation
Oil Prices Plunge as Stockpiles Jump
The Money Laundering Hub On the U.S. Border? It’s Canada
Puerto Rico Bondholders Agree on Sales-Tax Split
Letgo Receives $500 Million More From Naspers
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Pushes Back Expected Rate Changes
Upstart Poaches GE Executives as It Chases Predix Customers
U.S. Dollar Edges Lower Amid Focus on Japan
Hostess Sales Suffer as Walmart Rearranges Shelves
Mylan to Re-Evaluate Strategy as Sales in North America Slide
Stech’s Take: New TMA CEO Scott Stuart Brings Diverse Background
Toys ‘R’ Us Settlement With Creditors Wins Court Approval
Madoff Feeder Fund Seeks Sale of Liquidation Claim
Bankrupt Retailer Samuels Jewelers Seeks a Buyer
U.S. Stocks Waver, Pressured by Utilities and Energy Firms
Stech’s Take: New TMA CEO Scott Stuart Brings Diverse Background
Gold Drifts on Dollar; Aluminum Bounces
The Role of Contagion in the Transmission of Financial Stress
Stop & Shop Owner Ahold to Streamline U.S. E-Commerce Platforms
Domino Data Raises $40 Million for Data-Science Tools
Good Catch Lands $8.7 Million Series A for Fish-Free Seafood
Third Rock, Takeda Launch Regenerative Medicine Startup for Liver Diseases
Pricey Housing Markets in West Are Cooling Off Most Quickly
CVS Chief: Don’t Blame Us for Higher Drug Prices
IRS Cracks Down on the ‘Crack and Pack’
Southern Co. Earnings Hurt by Cost Overruns at Nuclear-Power Plant
Puerto Rico Loses Challenge to Board Overseeing Its Spending
Investors Doubt Turkey Will Easily Fall Into IMF Safety Net
Sinclair Profit Drops on Higher Expenses
Insys to Pay $150 Million to Settle Justice Department Investigation
HNA Unit Raises $2.2 Billion Selling Stake in Aircraft Lessor
Online Pharmacy Capsule Looks to Expand Nationwide
Casper, a Web Pioneer, to Open 200 Stores
Traders Pile Into Bets That Stock Rally Will Continue
Miners Spend on Shareholders, Not Projects
Zinsli’s Take: A Top-Down Approach to Growing the Agtech Sector
Crowdfunding Exits, Despite Profits, Spur Headaches for Some Investors
Timiraos’s Take: What Worries Powell? Cyberrisks, Not Credit Bubbles, Rank High
Facing a Critical Shortage, Airlines Scramble to Hire New Pilots
Goldman Sachs in Talks to Buy a Tanker of Liquefied Natural Gas
Ultralow Rates Hit Italians’ Incomes More Than Germans, Says ECB
Axios to Create Limited-Run Series for HBO
‘We Are at the Limit’: Trump’s Tariffs Turn Small Businesses Upside Down
Ford Bid to Reverse China-Sales Drop Starts With New SUV
China’s Imports Jump as It Digs In for a Trade Fight
Glencore Notches Record Profit on Commodities Recovery
Disney Lays Out Plan to Fight Back Against Streaming Giants
Bank of Thailand Holds Interest Rates Steady
San Francisco Retailer Gump’s Files for Chapter 11
Not Just Trade: Interest Rates Are Also Dragging China’s Yuan Down
Randles’s Take: Lucky Dragon Bankruptcy Puts EB-5 Investments in Limbo
Whole Foods Launches Online Grocery Pickup
RBA Gov Expects Next Move in Rates Likely Up
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0014

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-09. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-07-30,281.51,281.69,279.36,279.95,256.374,63742500.0,-0.0052,1.9745,285.7991,271.6999,55.4255,66.5972,1.3915,276.8707,275.08
2018-07-31,280.81,282.02,280.38,281.33,257.6377,68570500.0,0.0049,1.896,285.5603,272.8857,56.9031,78.3062,3.2861,277.0297,275.3352
2018-08-01,281.56,282.13,280.13,280.86,257.2074,53853300.0,-0.0017,1.7754,284.7308,274.7112,56.2462,70.2653,1.7036,277.2083,275.5675
2018-08-02,279.39,282.58,279.16,282.39,258.6085,63426400.0,0.0054,1.7828,284.2458,276.1242,57.8835,71.8526,4.3732,277.4223,275.8253
2018-08-03,282.53,283.66,282.33,283.6,259.7166,53935400.0,0.0043,1.8647,284.2629,276.9251,59.1346,98.2427,2.5565,277.7343,276.0603
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707
2018-08-07,285.39,286.01,285.24,285.58,261.5299,43196600.0,0.0033,2.1416,285.5209,277.0091,61.1216,129.6835,15.9282,278.5503,276.4828
2018-08-08,285.39,285.91,284.94,285.46,261.42,42114600.0,-0.0004,2.2259,285.8125,277.5775,60.9326,123.4309,13.7181,279.0123,276.6908

Reserve Bank of Australia Lowers Inflation Forecast
OfferUp Seeks $150 Million in Fresh Capital
Dropbox Shares Fall on Operating Officer’s Planned Exit
Nasdaq Extends Winning Streak to Eighth Session
WeWork Raises $1 Billion in Debt From SoftBank as Revenue Doubles
Rite Aid, Albertsons Face Challenging Times for Retailers
Dollar Pushes Ahead as Investors Seek Safety
Economists See Growth Hitting 3% in 2018, But Higher Risks Beyond
Third Point, Campbell Heir Push Soup Maker to Sell
Oil Prices Steady After Sharp Fall
Stocks Little Changed Amid Positive Corporate Earnings
Perrigo to Separate Its Prescription Pharmaceutical Business
Valuations Are Slipping Even as Stocks Hover Near Records
Brickley’s Take: Necco Wafers Will Survive Bankruptcy Debacle
Weinstein Co. Settles Video Distribution Deal Lawsuit
Lawyers for Patients at Facilities Run by Bankrupt Preferred Care Raise Concerns About Proposed Deal
Speculative Buyers Bid Up Copper
Yelp Shares Surge on Ad Business Growth
Bank of America Wants Applebee’s Franchisee to Start Sales Process Immediately
Tribune Terminates $3.9 Billion Merger With Rival Sinclair
Evans: Economy Supports Fed Moving to More Normal Rate Environment
U.S. Producer Prices Tame in July
Swiss Biotech Therachon Receives $60 Million Mezzanine Round
Economists See Two More Fed Rate Increases This Year
Dollar Rises on Geopolitical Tension
Viacom’s Revenue Falls on Slump in Ad Sales
Young Families Embrace Living in ‘Wuthering Heights Country’
The Rise of the Fashionable Concrete Home
Booking Holdings Shares Fall on Lower Outlook
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell Last Week
JPMorgan’s ETF Business Is Catching Up to Goldman
The S&P Index That’s Hitting New Records
Hinge Health Raises $26 Million for Pain Management
Davis’s Take: Investing in Tomorrow’s Talent Pool
Adidas Earnings More Than Double Amid Nike Challenge
Chinese Lending Rates Drop Steeply to Three-Year Lows
Fish Caught in America, Processed in China Get Trapped by Trade Dispute
Derby’s Take: A Way to Profit From Fed Surprises
A Fight at the Opera: Casino Battle in the Cards Over View
The Battery Pioneer Who, at Age 96, Keeps Going and Going
Philippines Central Bank Raises Rates to Combat Inflation, Despite Economic Slowdown
Dun & Bradstreet to Go Private in $5.4 Billion Deal
Discrepancy Over Saudi Oil Data Could Rattle Markets
Rite Aid, Albertsons Call Off Merger
Labor Unrest Strikes Mining Giants
Foreigners Strengthen Chinese Bond Holdings, Despite a Weakening Yuan
China’s Central Bank Lets the Credit Flow
News Corp’s Revenue Climbs 29%
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0067

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-08-13 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-03,282.53,283.66,282.33,283.6,259.7166,53935400.0,0.0043,1.8647,284.2629,276.9251,59.1346,98.2427,2.5565,277.7343,276.0603
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707
2018-08-07,285.39,286.01,285.24,285.58,261.5299,43196600.0,0.0033,2.1416,285.5209,277.0091,61.1216,129.6835,15.9282,278.5503,276.4828
2018-08-08,285.39,285.91,284.94,285.46,261.42,42114600.0,-0.0004,2.2259,285.8125,277.5775,60.9326,123.4309,13.7181,279.0123,276.6908
2018-08-09,285.53,285.97,284.92,285.07,261.0629,35717000.0,-0.0014,2.2355,286.2075,277.7525,60.3055,119.3081,14.0683,279.5363,276.9237
2018-08-10,283.45,284.06,282.36,283.16,259.3137,77076000.0,-0.0067,2.0651,286.2608,278.0562,57.3166,74.4903,3.7522,279.9453,277.1057

Icahn Backs Down on Cigna-Express Scripts Deal
China’s Moviebook Raises $197.5 Million for Video Technology
Emerging-Market Currencies Fall on Turkish Lira Fears
S&P 500 Pulled Down by Energy, Materials Sectors
Turkish Lira Falls Further as Erdogan Fails to Assuage Investors’ Concerns
Argentina’s Central Bank Raises Policy Rate to 45%
Magnolia Neurosciences Nabs $31 Million to Combat Brain Diseases
Rizzo’s Take: Toys ‘R’ Us Sales of Intellectual Property, Asian Business Move Slowly
Wrangler Owner VF Plans to Spin Off Jeans Business
Musk’s Surprise Tweet Complicates Tesla’s Debt Picture
Rizzo’s Take: Toys ‘R’ Us Sales of Intellectual Property, Asian Business Move Slowly
Orchard Therapeutics Raises $150 Million After GlaxoSmithKline Deal
A Clampdown Slowing Legal, Not Just Illegal, Immigration
157-Year-Old Department Store Gump’s Begins Store-Closing Sale
Bayer Shares Plunge After Monsanto Weed Killer Ruling
Oil Closes Slightly Lower After Volatile Session
Fintech Crowd Dives Into Subprime Credit-Card Lending
Gold Falls to 18-Month Low as Dollar Strengthens
Viewpoint: Financial Distress Slows for First Time in Almost a Year
Citigroup Shuffles Consumer Leadership
China Says It Won’t Use Yuan to Deal With Trade Fights, Vows to Counter Heard Mentality
Netflix CFO to Step Down
Uganda’s Central Bank Holds Key Lending Rate at 9%
Turkey on the Economic Brink, Explained in a Dozen Charts
Stocks to Watch: Alphabet, Netflix, Nielsen, Alnylam, Qualcomm
Activist Elliott Management to Push Nielsen Holdings to Sell
Foxconn Posts Unexpected Drop in Profit
Geron’s Take: Can Uber, Airbnb’s User Mobilization Keep Swaying Politicos?
An Airfreight Upstart Takes Shipping Digital
OPEC’s Output Rose in July Despite Decline in Saudi Oil Production
Performance Monitoring Startup Apica Systems Raises $12.7 Million
Integrity of EU Statistics In Doubt
Hannon’s Take: In Search of Lost Credibility
Turkey’s Central Bank to Support Embattled Lira
Australian Pipeline Company’s Directors Approve Consortium’s Bid
Scurria’s Take: Puerto Rico Creditors’ Appeal Win Clouds Question of Utility Leadership Again
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0064

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-08-14 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707
2018-08-07,285.39,286.01,285.24,285.58,261.5299,43196600.0,0.0033,2.1416,285.5209,277.0091,61.1216,129.6835,15.9282,278.5503,276.4828
2018-08-08,285.39,285.91,284.94,285.46,261.42,42114600.0,-0.0004,2.2259,285.8125,277.5775,60.9326,123.4309,13.7181,279.0123,276.6908
2018-08-09,285.53,285.97,284.92,285.07,261.0629,35717000.0,-0.0014,2.2355,286.2075,277.7525,60.3055,119.3081,14.0683,279.5363,276.9237
2018-08-10,283.45,284.06,282.36,283.16,259.3137,77076000.0,-0.0067,2.0651,286.2608,278.0562,57.3166,74.4903,3.7522,279.9453,277.1057
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738

Twitter Suspends Alex Jones Over New Tweet
Diamondback to Acquire Energen
Kroger to Sell Groceries on Alibaba Site in China
Sears CEO’s Fund Offers $400 Million for Kenmore Brand
Cryptocurrency Market Plumbs New Depths in 2018
Insurer Stops Reimbursing for Some MiMedx Products
U.S. Dollar Declines as Emerging Markets Revive
Stocks Rise as Worries Over Turkey Spillover Ease
Alphabet to Invest $375 Million Into Health Insurance Startup Oscar
Buffett’s Berkshire Keeps Buying More of Apple
Coke Invests in BodyArmor as It Chases Gatorade
Oil Prices Fall as Investors Fear Less Demand
Home Depot Raises Guidance as Profit Soars
Las Vegas Diocese, Construction Firm End Payment Dispute
Sansoro Adds $8 Million to Tackle Health Care’s Data-Connectivity Challenge
Copper Slides on Weak Chinese Economic Data
Turkey’s Banks Bear Weight of Currency Crisis
Perry Ellis Ends Takeover Talks with Randa
Even Free Tokens Face Heat From Regulators
Einhorn’s Bayer Pick Takes a Hit
UPS, Aircraft Mechanics Reach Deal
Judge Approves Appvion Debt-Repayment Plan
Import Prices Fell Slightly, Helped by Strong Dollar
Rupee Drops as Lira Turmoil Sends Investors Rushing for the Exits
Yerak’s Take: Liberty Media Is Still Interested in iHeart
Yerak’s Take: Liberty Media Is Still Interested in iHeart
Sinking Turkish Lira, Indian Rupee Fuel Fears of Contagion
New York Magazine Owner Explores Sale
Quick Hits: China Appoints New Central Bank Vice Governor
Former Richmond Fed Chief Lacker Heads to Academia
Turkey Is Fighting an ‘Economic War’—Against Reality
Turkey to Boycott U.S. Electronics in Retaliation Against Sanctions
Household Borrowing Reaches Record $13.3 Trillion
Bank of Finland Paper Studies Relative Age Effects in Political Selection
Wells Fargo Risk Executive to Leave Bank
Ford’s New CEO Has a Cerebral Style—and to Many, It’s Baffling
Stocks to Watch: Tesla, Home Depot, Switch, Express Scripts, Ford
Record Number of EU Nationals Quit UK in Second Quarter
The Key to Big Profits in Clean Energy: Animal Fats
Bosch Invests in Startup DeepMap
Chernova's Take: New Regulatory Curbs on Foreign Investment Strike at Heart of VC Growth
Owl Cameras Grabs $10 Million for Car Video Cameras
German Economy Accelerates in Second Quarter
Missed Bond Payment Stirs Chinese Debt Fears
ECB Stimulus Reduced Inequality
Wessel’s Take: For the Fed, Is It 1998 All Over Again?
Saudi Fund Faces Hurdles in Financing Larger Tesla Stake
Bank Indonesia to Use Rate Policy, Interventions to Stabilize Rupiah
Economists Diverge on Bank Indonesia’s Rate Decision
Asian Markets Digest Lira Crisis, Weak Chinese Data
RBA Gov to Cite Policy Success Before Parliament
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0075

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-15. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707
2018-08-07,285.39,286.01,285.24,285.58,261.5299,43196600.0,0.0033,2.1416,285.5209,277.0091,61.1216,129.6835,15.9282,278.5503,276.4828
2018-08-08,285.39,285.91,284.94,285.46,261.42,42114600.0,-0.0004,2.2259,285.8125,277.5775,60.9326,123.4309,13.7181,279.0123,276.6908
2018-08-09,285.53,285.97,284.92,285.07,261.0629,35717000.0,-0.0014,2.2355,286.2075,277.7525,60.3055,119.3081,14.0683,279.5363,276.9237
2018-08-10,283.45,284.06,282.36,283.16,259.3137,77076000.0,-0.0067,2.0651,286.2608,278.0562,57.3166,74.4903,3.7522,279.9453,277.1057
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738
2018-08-14,282.92,284.17,282.48,283.9,259.9914,43842000.0,0.0064,1.7571,286.314,278.622,57.7827,76.0921,7.2472,280.7073,277.4833

Japan Logs Trade Deficit in July
Health Insurer Shuns ‘Unproven’ Amniotic-Tissue Products
Stocks Pulled Down by Energy, Materials Sectors
Investors Abandon Risk as Economic Fears Grip Markets
Macy’s Lifts Profit, but Fails to Persuade Skeptics
Lenders Want to Replace Trustee in Education Management Liquidation
T. Rowe, Fidelity Sold More Than 20% of Their Tesla Shares in Second Quarter
Retail Sales and Manufacturing Are Powering U.S. Growth This Summer
Oil Hits Two-Month Low on Contagion Fears, Rising Supplies
Corrigan’s Take: Cenveo Prepares for Final Hearing on Bankruptcy Exit
Corrigan’s Take: Cenveo Prepares for Final Hearing on Bankruptcy Exit
Saudi Arabia Goes High-Tech in Approach to Investing
Victims of Petters Ponzi Scheme Receive Initial Recoveries
Latest Economic Worries Crush Metals Prices
Dollar Rises Against Emerging-Market Currencies
Banks Say No Thanks to Volcker Rule Changes
U.S. Worker Productivity Improves at Best Pace in Three Years
Turkey’s Economic Red Flags Stand Out Among Emerging Markets
Firms That Bossed Agriculture for a Century Face a New Threat: Farmers
U.S. Policy Stirs Foreign Markets
Kimberly-Clark to Raise Prices in North America for Huggies, Other Brands
Behind the Scenes of a London Townhouse’s Modern Makeover
The Electrifying Factor Affecting Your Property’s Value
Cabot Microelectronics to Buy Chemicals Maker KMG
BlackRock Among Investors Hit By Turkey Turmoil
Corona Brewer Bets $4 Billion on Cannabis Startup
New Rules Look to Make Insurance Contracts More Transparent for Investors
Indonesia Raises Rates Again as Turkey’s Troubles Pressure Emerging Markets
Stocks to Watch: Macy’s, Goldman Sachs, Sears, Constellation
U.S. Industrial Production Edged Up in July
New York Manufacturers Report Business Activity Picked Up in August
New CEO at Ben & Jerry’s Plans to Whip Up Activism, ‘Whirled Peace’
Zinsli’s Take: Struggling Adtech Sector Shows Signs of Life
In Amazon’s Wake, Automated-Checkout Startups Aim to Revamp Retail
Overhaul Boosts Credit Scores of Millions of U.S. Consumers
Timiraos’s Take: To Listen to Markets, Powell’s Fed May Have to Deliver Some Surprises
The Turkish Deal
The Gender Punishment Gap
The Woman Behind the New York Times’ High-Risk, High-Reward Business Strategy
U.K. Inflation Accelerates in July
Tencent’s Bad Year Gets Worse, Leading Selloff in Chinese Tech Stocks
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0081

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-08-16. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-06,283.64,284.99,283.2,284.64,260.6692,39400900.0,0.0037,1.9907,284.7912,277.0708,60.1862,110.404,10.3884,278.0643,276.2707
2018-08-07,285.39,286.01,285.24,285.58,261.5299,43196600.0,0.0033,2.1416,285.5209,277.0091,61.1216,129.6835,15.9282,278.5503,276.4828
2018-08-08,285.39,285.91,284.94,285.46,261.42,42114600.0,-0.0004,2.2259,285.8125,277.5775,60.9326,123.4309,13.7181,279.0123,276.6908
2018-08-09,285.53,285.97,284.92,285.07,261.0629,35717000.0,-0.0014,2.2355,286.2075,277.7525,60.3055,119.3081,14.0683,279.5363,276.9237
2018-08-10,283.45,284.06,282.36,283.16,259.3137,77076000.0,-0.0067,2.0651,286.2608,278.0562,57.3166,74.4903,3.7522,279.9453,277.1057
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738
2018-08-14,282.92,284.17,282.48,283.9,259.9914,43842000.0,0.0064,1.7571,286.314,278.622,57.7827,76.0921,7.2472,280.7073,277.4833
2018-08-15,282.38,282.54,280.16,281.78,258.0499,102925400.0,-0.0075,1.5159,286.3078,278.7002,54.6941,17.1317,20.4806,281.07,277.6235

Australia’s RBA Uneasy About ‘Problematic’ U.S. Stimulus
Tesla Was Under Regulator Scrutiny Prior to Musk’s Tweet
J.C. Penney Lowers Earnings Outlook as Sales Fall
Enlisting VCs in the Fight Against Food Waste
Right-Wing Blogger Charles Johnson Settles With Gawker Media
Santander USA Released from 2015 Fed Enforcement Action
Reorganization of Bankrupt Applebee’s Franchisee Could Include Existing Owner
Youth Summer Jobless Rate at 50-Year Low
‘Peaky Blinders’ Producers in Rights Dispute With Weinstein Co. Buyer
Asbestos Victims’ Lawyers Accuse Georgia-Pacific of Trying to Avoid Payments
Consumer-Staples Rally Underscores Investor Wariness
Oil Gains but Demand Concerns Persist
Judge Rejects Large Parts of FTC Suit Against DirecTV
Stocks Surge on Upbeat Earnings
Bankruptcy Judge Approves Sale of Relativity Media
Brickley’s Take: Substantial Contribution Squabble Erupts in Cobalt’s Case
Bank of Mexico Cautious About Trade, Public Finances
Emerging-Market Currencies Bounce on China Hopes
Full Harvest Grabs $8.5 Million to Connect Farmers With Food Companies
Hershey CFO to Retire in 2019
U.S. Housing Starts Bounced Back in July
Third Parties Buy Solar Equipment From Panasonic-Tesla Factory
San Francisco’s Gump’s Puts Brand Up for Sale
Firm Retention Summary: RM Holdco LLC
Venezuela Uses Bonds to Pay Settlement With Mining Company
Wendy’s Exits Stake in Arby’s Parent
Manufacturing Activity Slows in Mid-Atlantic, Though Optimism Rises
Stocks to Watch: Walmart, J.C. Penney, Cisco, Symantec, Tesla
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell Last Week
As Oscars Get Rewrite, Many Pan the Changes
Leveraged Loans Not as Safe as They Once Were
Are Pharmacy Startups Ready to Take on Role as Disrupters?
Mack’s Take: Which Tech Giant Will Dominate Health Care?
Turkey’s Energy Bill Soars as Its Currency Tumbles
Douglas’s Take: U.K. Inflation May Be Cooling Faster Than BOE Thinks
Tariffs and Devaluations
Planet Fitness Expands Even as Mall Vacancies Rise
Norges Bank Flags September Rate Rise
Tencent Woes Help Push Emerging Stocks Toward Bear Market
Australia’s Unemployment Rate Falls to 6-Year Low
Consumer Spending Lifts Retailers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0035

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-08-20. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-10,283.45,284.06,282.36,283.16,259.3137,77076000.0,-0.0067,2.0651,286.2608,278.0562,57.3166,74.4903,3.7522,279.9453,277.1057
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738
2018-08-14,282.92,284.17,282.48,283.9,259.9914,43842000.0,0.0064,1.7571,286.314,278.622,57.7827,76.0921,7.2472,280.7073,277.4833
2018-08-15,282.38,282.54,280.16,281.78,258.0499,102925400.0,-0.0075,1.5159,286.3078,278.7002,54.6941,17.1317,20.4806,281.07,277.6235
2018-08-16,283.4,285.04,283.36,284.06,260.1379,69967900.0,0.0081,1.4916,286.3792,279.0348,57.2371,92.1937,3.4749,281.435,277.8143
2018-08-17,283.83,285.56,283.37,285.06,261.0537,65618500.0,0.0035,1.5353,286.4997,279.4523,58.2991,103.0258,0.3264,281.7563,278.0093

BHP Posts Higher Profit and Dividend
Stolen Horizon Air Plane Believed Deliberately Crashed
SEC Sues Top Woodbridge Group Outside Salespeople
Merrill Lynch to Pay $8.9 Million to Settle Conflict-of-Interest Charge
Winklevoss Brothers Push to Self-Regulate Cryptocurrency
Tyson Foods to Acquire Keystone Foods for $2.16 Billion
Startup Harbour BioMed Gains Anticancer Drug Via $350 Million Deal With Kelun-Biotech
Trump Complained About Fed Rate Increases at Fundraiser
U.S. Dollar Falls Slightly
Citgo Seeks to Delay Auction of Shares
Dow Rises to Highest Level Since February
Lehman Bankers to Reunite for Secret Party in London
CPAs Fight to Protect Their Turf
Hertz Nabs CFO From Nielsen
ConocoPhillips to Halt Legal Action Against Venezuela’s PdVSA
Finra Fines Interactive Brokers Over Short Sales
Pepsi to Acquire SodaStream in Shift to Healthier Drinks
Stech’s Take: Color Spot Nurseries Sale to Wells Fargo Closes
Metals Rise as Yuan Climbs
Can Turkey Rewrite the Crisis Management Rules?
Flat Yield Curves Are No Reason to Sell Stocks
Gender Diversity on Bank Boards and Performance
Gibson Owes Peter Frampton $10,000 in Royalty Advances
Pacific Drilling Lenders Settle Bankruptcy Quarrel With Quantum Pacific
Total Struggles to Exit Project in Iran
Fed Research Director David Wilcox to Retire at Year’s End
China Biologic Gets $3.9 Billion Buyout Offer From Former CEO
Lannett Says Key Pact With Distributor to End
Firm Retention Summary: The Nordam Group Inc.
How the President Steps on His Own Good News
Stocks to Watch: Apple, PepsiCo, Sears, Tesla, and More
Davis’s Take: Will 2018 Advance Venture Capital’s Own Space Odyssey?
Investors, Betting on Activity-Booking Sites, Seek to Build on Gains by Priceline, Expedia
Derby’s Take: Households Expecting Slower Income Growth and Rising Tax Bills, Despite Recent Tax Cuts
Presidents and Policy Makers
Emerging-Market Stocks Stand Out—in a Bad Way
Estée Lauder Posts Robust Sales Growth
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0023

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-08-21 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738
2018-08-14,282.92,284.17,282.48,283.9,259.9914,43842000.0,0.0064,1.7571,286.314,278.622,57.7827,76.0921,7.2472,280.7073,277.4833
2018-08-15,282.38,282.54,280.16,281.78,258.0499,102925400.0,-0.0075,1.5159,286.3078,278.7002,54.6941,17.1317,20.4806,281.07,277.6235
2018-08-16,283.4,285.04,283.36,284.06,260.1379,69967900.0,0.0081,1.4916,286.3792,279.0348,57.2371,92.1937,3.4749,281.435,277.8143
2018-08-17,283.83,285.56,283.37,285.06,261.0537,65618500.0,0.0035,1.5353,286.4997,279.4523,58.2991,103.0258,0.3264,281.7563,278.0093
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238

Australia’s RBA Wants Greater Certainty Around Inflation
Uber’s New CFO Brings IPO Know-How to the Bench
Chinese Banks Turn to New Tool to Win Savers
Oil Prices Rise Ahead of U.S.-China Trade Meeting
La-Z-Boy Reports Jump in Sales
JPMorgan to Offer Free Trading for Bank Customers
Stocks Set to Enter Longest Bull Market as S&P Hits Record
Dollar Drops After Trump Rate Comments
Can the President Fire the Fed Chairman?
S&P 500 Draws Closer to January Record
GreenTech Automotive Asset Sale Hits Speed Bump
Oil Prices Rise on Expectations of Tighter Iran Crude Exports
American Airlines Cuts Flights to Major Cities as Fuel Prices Soar
Alpha Natural Was in Merger Talks With Blackhawk
Toll Brothers Profit Jumps as Wealthy Americans Spend
Merrill Latest Brokerage to Downplay Money-Market Mutual Funds
Real-estate developer Woodbridge Cleared to Poll Investors
TraceLink Raises $93 Million to Protect Pharmaceutical Supply Chains
Weaker Dollar Boosts Metals
The Fed Should Raise Countercyclical Capital-Buffer Rates
Quick Hits: Hungary’s Central Bank Keeps Rates on Hold
Coty Feels Strain of $12 Billion Bet on P&G Beauty Business
Yerak’s Take: ProMedica Debt Ratings Take Hit in Wake of HCR ManorCare Deal
Yerak’s Take: ProMedica Debt Ratings Take Hit in Wake of HCR ManorCare Deal
Fed’s Kaplan Still Favors Gradual Path of Rate Increases
Kohl’s, T.J. Maxx Continue Strong Run for Retailers
What Does Knee Surgery Cost? Few Know, and That’s a Problem
Firm Retention Summary: ActiveCare Inc.
Cat Fight: Cheetos Maker Pepsi Challenges Orange Snack Rival
Stocks to Watch: Tesla, Snap, Hertz, Bank of America, Fabrinet
Slack Takes Wraps Off $7.1 Billion Valuation Deal
SoftBank Leads $300 Million Investment In Getaround
Chernova’s Take: Seed Funds Build Strategy Around Corporate Interest
Trust and Fintech
China Sticks to Keeping Currency out of U.S. Trade Dispute
A Tax Change Threatens to Hit Insurers When Most Vulnerable
Currency Wobbles Dent Demand for Emerging-Market Stocks
Stech’s Take: Color Spot Nurseries Sale to Wells Fargo Closes
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0006

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2018-08-22 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738
2018-08-14,282.92,284.17,282.48,283.9,259.9914,43842000.0,0.0064,1.7571,286.314,278.622,57.7827,76.0921,7.2472,280.7073,277.4833
2018-08-15,282.38,282.54,280.16,281.78,258.0499,102925400.0,-0.0075,1.5159,286.3078,278.7002,54.6941,17.1317,20.4806,281.07,277.6235
2018-08-16,283.4,285.04,283.36,284.06,260.1379,69967900.0,0.0081,1.4916,286.3792,279.0348,57.2371,92.1937,3.4749,281.435,277.8143
2018-08-17,283.83,285.56,283.37,285.06,261.0537,65618500.0,0.0035,1.5353,286.4997,279.4523,58.2991,103.0258,0.3264,281.7563,278.0093
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238
2018-08-21,286.25,287.31,285.71,286.34,262.2259,67272000.0,0.0023,1.6871,287.1215,279.8505,59.65,140.6766,10.0411,282.2633,278.4603

Auto-Focused Root Insurance Reaches $1 Billion Valuation
U.S. Dollar Falls After Fed Minutes Released
Fed Signals Rate Increase Next Month
Adviser to Bernanke, Yellen Will Reprise Role for Powell
Consumer Lawyers Push for Class Status in Think Finance Bankruptcy
410 Medical Gets Funding for Device Aimed at Critically Ill Patients
S&P 500 Reaches Bull-Run Milestone
‘Big Bang Theory’ to End in May
Mexico’s López Obrador to Halt Oil Auctions for Two Years
Oil Hits Two-Week High on Inventory Drain
Jackson Hole Gets Added Attention as Key Fed Rate Ticks Higher
Randles’s Take: Lucky Dragon Lender, EB-5 Investors Spar in Bankruptcy
Randles’s Take: Lucky Dragon Lender, EB-5 Investors Spar in Bankruptcy
Lowe’s to Close Orchard Supply Stores, Hires CVS Finance Chief
S&P 500 Tiptoes to New Bull Market Record—Sort Of
Carlyle Group Fund Bets on Long Island City
Hartford Financial to Buy Navigators for $2.1 Billion
Gold Moves Up Amid Political Tension
Claire’s Senior Bondholders Sue Oaktree
After Bankrupt Arizona Hospital’s Sale, Lawyers Ask for Dismissal
Home Sales Tumbled In July for the Longest Slump Since 2013
Continental Shares Plunge After Second Profit Warning in a Year
Firm Retention Summary: Tintri Inc.
JPMorgan Laying Off Around 100 Asset-Management Employees
Digital Lock Startup Raises $70 Million Behind Push From Homebuilder
Stocks to Watch: La-Z-Boy, Urban Outfitters, Pure Storage
Brushers Are Buying Sensodyne’s Pitch
Turkey Meltdown Hits Japan’s Mom-and-Pop Investors
Xiaomi Swings to Profit on Strong Smartphone Sales
A Messy Battle Brews in the Options Market
As U.S. Bull Market Powers Ahead, the World Is Left Behind
Zinsli’s Take: Grab All You Can
The Next Big Bet in Fracking: Water
One Medical Lands $350 Million From Carlyle Group
Derby’s Take: Dallas’s Kaplan Offers a Warning on Government Borrowing
Inflation and Small-Value Coins
Fed Minutes Offer Glimpse of Outlook for Second Half
Foreign Money Pours Into China Despite Market Wobbles
Short Squeeze Roils a Favorite Wall Street Trade
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0013

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-08-23 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-13,283.47,284.16,281.77,282.1,258.343,65732900.0,-0.0037,1.8236,286.1794,278.4136,55.7309,59.7551,7.3193,280.306,277.2738
2018-08-14,282.92,284.17,282.48,283.9,259.9914,43842000.0,0.0064,1.7571,286.314,278.622,57.7827,76.0921,7.2472,280.7073,277.4833
2018-08-15,282.38,282.54,280.16,281.78,258.0499,102925400.0,-0.0075,1.5159,286.3078,278.7002,54.6941,17.1317,20.4806,281.07,277.6235
2018-08-16,283.4,285.04,283.36,284.06,260.1379,69967900.0,0.0081,1.4916,286.3792,279.0348,57.2371,92.1937,3.4749,281.435,277.8143
2018-08-17,283.83,285.56,283.37,285.06,261.0537,65618500.0,0.0035,1.5353,286.4997,279.4523,58.2991,103.0258,0.3264,281.7563,278.0093
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238
2018-08-21,286.25,287.31,285.71,286.34,262.2259,67272000.0,0.0023,1.6871,287.1215,279.8505,59.65,140.6766,10.0411,282.2633,278.4603
2018-08-22,285.88,286.76,285.58,286.17,262.0703,44993300.0,-0.0006,1.722,287.4185,279.7696,59.3815,123.5755,9.1318,282.5737,278.7462

Judge Orders Sale of Citgo’s Parent Unless Venezuela Posts Bond
Central Bankers’ Jackson Hole Gathering: a Cheat Sheet
Gap Reports Sales Decline at Flagship Brand
Stocks Drift Lower as Trade Talks Begin
Dollar Rises as Investors Await Powell’s Speech
Broyhill, Thomasville Furniture Lines Garner Interest From Schottenstein Affiliate
Gormley’s Take: Why Some Startups Stay on the IPO Sidelines
Mattress Firm Hires Guggenheim to Handle Debt Restructuring
Victoria’s Secret Misses Out on Retailing’s Surge
Fed’s Bostic Says Bond Yield Curve Is Just One Indicator
Dealers Saw Roughly Two More 2018 Fed Hikes Before Last FOMC Meeting
Fed’s Kaplan Says He’s Hopeful Rate Rises Won’t Invert Yield Curve
U.S. New Home Sales Fell in July
NEA-Owned Paladina Bags $165 Million Round
Oil Under Pressure as China-U.S. Trade Talks Start
Honeywell Spinoffs Give Investors Early Look at Operations
Honeywell Spinoffs Give Investors Early Look at Operations
Stronger Dollar, Fresh Tariffs Hurt Copper
Pacific Drilling to Begin Pulling Together Financing for Reorganization
Low Meat Prices Cut Into Hormel, Sanderson Earnings
Coca-Cola Launched 500 Drinks Last Year. Most Don’t Taste Like Coke.
Stech’s Take: Three Philadelphia Charities Agree to Return Bankrupt Company’s Donations
Stech’s Take: Three Philadelphia Charities Agree to Return Bankrupt Company’s Donations
Regional Manufacturing Activity Slows; Outlook Drops
The Secluded Island Hideaways for America’s Rich and Famous
Sears Closing More Stores
Eurozone Business Activity Ticks Up, but Trade Tensions Hit Exports
Chicago’s New Idea to Fix Its Pension Deficit: Take On More Debt
Firm Retention Summary: RM Holdco LLC
Senate Panel Approves Pick to Run Consumer-Finance Agency
Who Killed Toys ‘R’ Us? It Wasn’t Only Amazon
Fed’s George Calls for More Rate Increases
SEC to Rehear Dozens of Cases That Went Before In-House Judges
Ant Financial Profit Sinks as Spending Surges in Battle With WeChat
As Central Bankers Meet, Economic Uncertainties Weigh on Outlook
Stocks to Watch: L Brands, Hormel Foods, Synopsys, Facebook, Children’s Place, Kroger, Nordstrom, 1-800-Flowers, Marathon Oil, Williams-Sonoma
ECB Determines Eurozone Still Needs ‘Significant’ Stimulus
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall for Third Consecutive Week
The New Gas Market: Shipowners Needing Cleaner Fuel
Cooper’s Take: Survey Shows Many Wealthy Families Still Favor VC, Growth
Timiraos’s Take: The Fed Sees Trade as a Downside Risk, All the Way
Saudi Arabia Denies Aramco IPO Is Canceled
Kroger to Ditch Plastic Bags by 2025
ECB Will Gradually Unwind Stimulus, Weidmann Says
Bungalow, Backed by $64 Million, Wants to Modernize the Housemate Search
What to Watch for at Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium
Lending Startup Upgrade, Led by Renaud Laplanche, Raises $62 Million
Analysts Grow Gloomier About Profit Outlook in Asia
Target Posts Its Best Quarterly Results in More Than a Decade
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0060

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-08-27. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-08-17,283.83,285.56,283.37,285.06,261.0537,65618500.0,0.0035,1.5353,286.4997,279.4523,58.2991,103.0258,0.3264,281.7563,278.0093
2018-08-20,285.57,285.97,285.06,285.67,261.6123,39807500.0,0.0021,1.6006,286.7147,279.7843,58.9426,123.8117,2.1823,282.0153,278.2238
2018-08-21,286.25,287.31,285.71,286.34,262.2259,67272000.0,0.0023,1.6871,287.1215,279.8505,59.65,140.6766,10.0411,282.2633,278.4603
2018-08-22,285.88,286.76,285.58,286.17,262.0703,44993300.0,-0.0006,1.722,287.4185,279.7696,59.3815,123.5755,9.1318,282.5737,278.7462
2018-08-23,285.97,286.94,285.43,285.79,261.7223,49204900.0,-0.0013,1.6995,287.6617,279.7713,58.7696,112.5542,10.2297,282.7877,278.9658
2018-08-24,286.44,287.67,286.38,287.51,263.2973,57487400.0,0.006,1.7996,288.1555,279.8865,60.6672,140.4259,14.6979,283.0517,279.242

Transamerica to Compensate Misled Investors
$300 Million for an Aging Tennis Star? Roger Federer Is Worth It, Uniqlo Says
U.S. to Pay Farmers $4.7 Billion to Offset Trade-Conflict Losses
Probe Turns Up Evidence Linking Modi’s U.S. Companies to Alleged Fraud
Rizzo’s Take: Feud Brews Between Toys ‘R’ Us Lenders
Markets Rejoice After News of U.S.-Mexico Trade Deal
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic in Jackson Hole, Wyo.
Nasdaq Crosses 8000 Threshold for First Time
Nasdaq Passes 8000 for First Time
Oil Closes Slightly Higher as Traders Await Fresh Supply Signals
Hog, Cattle Prices Jump on U.S.-Mexico Trade Deal
CFPB Student-Loan Official Quits, Criticizing Boss
Vantage Protects Interests in Pursuit of $622 Million Petrobras Award
Legg Mason to Pay SEC More Than $34 Million to Settle Libya Case
A Refuge for Pushcart Vendors Gets a Prime New Home
U.S. Judge Rejects Full Enforcement of Agrokor Restructuring Plan
SF Fed: Yield Curve Suggests Rising, But Still Low, Risk Of Recession
Firm Retention Summary: Samuels Jewelers Inc.
Texas Manufacturing Expanded at Slower Pace in August
Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Invests in India Mobile-Payments Firm
Mexico’s Trade Deficit Nearly Doubles in July
Mexican Peso Climbs on Nafta Optimism
Craft-Beer Company Taps Streaming Service for Growth
The ‘Deplorables’ Called Into Battle Again
Weyerhaeuser Announces Retirement of CEO Doyle Simons
Report on VW’s Changes Since Scandal Cites Lack of Transparency
Stocks to Watch: Tesla, Netflix, Arconic, PG&E, and More
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Fell in July
High Expectations Skew Global Investors’ View of U.S. Growth
‘It’s the Fizz’: How Seltzer Is Upending Coffee and Beer
Managers Urged to Scrutinize Investor Agreements for Foreign Access
Mack’s Take: Will NEA Win the Race to Revamp Health Care?
Timiraos’s Take: At Jackson Hole, the Powell Doctrine Takes Shape
Meet the Lawyer Representing Wall Street’s #MeToo Men
Noble Shareholders Approve $3.5 Billion Debt-Restructuring Proposal
U.S. Companies Begin to Chip Away at Mountain of Debt
What Turkey Can Do if Market Troubles Return
China’s Tighter Grip on the Yuan Bodes Well for Markets
Public Bravado, Private Doubts: Inside the Unraveling of Elon Musk’s Tesla Buyout
Trump’s Stances Weaken Support for U.S. to Lead Global Banking Body
Airlines Cash In on Loyalty Credit Cards
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0005

Rejected response: Fall