Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-02-07. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-01-29,285.93,286.43,284.5,284.68,258.5049,90118300.0,-0.0066,4.6954,288.6305,266.1295,75.9844,132.6158,75.2072,273.988,267.4787
2018-01-30,282.6,284.74,281.22,281.76,255.8534,131796400.0,-0.0103,4.3939,288.3708,267.8792,69.113,94.2573,41.2009,274.5247,267.8832
2018-01-31,282.73,283.3,280.68,281.9,255.9805,108364800.0,0.0005,4.1187,288.1484,269.4146,69.2509,81.0875,36.537,275.0377,268.2883
2018-02-01,281.07,283.06,280.68,281.58,255.6899,90102500.0,-0.0011,3.8306,287.9128,270.7612,68.5274,73.6605,36.537,275.4837,268.6738
2018-02-02,280.08,280.23,275.41,275.45,250.1236,173174800.0,-0.0218,3.0722,287.529,271.529,56.773,15.7811,0.217,275.7597,268.9505
2018-02-05,273.45,275.85,263.31,263.93,239.6628,294681800.0,-0.0418,1.5241,289.3706,268.7384,42.5754,-96.7368,39.9145,275.6563,269.0382
2018-02-06,259.94,269.7,258.7,269.13,244.3847,355026800.0,0.0197,0.7086,289.8317,267.7983,48.5799,-116.9428,48.2924,275.708,269.2052

Wynn Resorts Board Gets Scrutiny After Steve Wynn’s Resignation
BOJ’s Suzuki Says Cumulative Impact of Low Rates Needs to be Watched
Oil Futures Extend Overnight Slide in Asia
BlackRock’s Larry Fink Wants to Become the Next Warren Buffett
Bitcoin’s Plunge Weighs on Coin Offerings
Former Lawmaker Who Was Rejected as Ex-Im Bank Chief to Join SEC
Prudential Financial Sees Profit Boost From Tax Overhaul
P&G to Cut Hundreds of Factory Jobs in Kansas, Iowa
Dow Ends Down as Volatility Remains
Sen. Warren Says Passport Numbers Affected in Equifax Breach
U.S. Dollar Rises Following Budget Agreement
Former GE CEO Jeff Immelt Named Chairman of Athenahealth
Assets or Savings Alone Won’t Improve Financial Stability
Make Financial Advisers’ Fees Easier to Compare
VCs Get Fresh Legal Tools to Navigate Crypto Deals, Misconduct
Trump Receives Oval Office Briefing on Derivatives Rules
Williams Reiterates Fed Should Continue With Rate Rises
After Market Turmoil, Fed Officials Stand Firm on Rate Path
Quick Hits: U.S. Consumer Debt Rose $18.45 Billion in December, Fed Reports
Oil Prices Fall as U.S. Output Surges
Bank of America Settles Mortgage Dispute With California Couple
Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Key Rate, Signals It Will Stand Pat Next Meeting
New Zealand’s Central Bank Keeps Rates Steady, Plans to Stay Accommodative
Don’t Mistake the Stock Market for the Economy
Dallas Fed Paper Examines Structural Change and Global Trade
Chicago Fed Paper Looks at ‘Open Mouth Operations’
Judge Clears Sale of Bankrupt Arizona Hospital
Carlyle Earnings Boosted by Investment Growth and Fees
What Stock Volatility Means for U.S. Consumers
Profile: On Forging Deep Client Relationships
Spain Nominates Finance Minister for ECB’s No. 2 Post
Hain Looks to Sell Meat Business as U.S. Sales Fall
Dunkin’ Donuts Phasing Out Foam Coffee Cups by 2020
Tronc Pushes Into Digital Future After Los Angeles Times Sale
Fed’s Evans: Rate Increases Should Wait Until More Signs of Rising Inflation
Eurozone Set to Extend Post-Crisis Growth Spurt
Fed’s Dudley Says Stock Volatility Hasn’t Changed His Outlook
Hasbro’s Sales Fall as Star Wars Craze Cools
Dollar Extends Gain as Traders Watch Stock Market
Romania Raises Interest Rates for Second Straight Month
After Tax Overhaul, Manhattan Real-Estate Sales Seize Up
Market Correction Is Healthy, Says Fed’s Kaplan
Identity Fraud Hits More Americans | States Team Up on Fintech Licenses | Ackerman’s Take: Democrats Urged to Back Fannie-Freddie Overhaul
SoftBank Plans to List Telecom Cash Cow
Zinsli’s Take: Investors Are Cuffed to Expensive Unicorns
Venrock-Backed Virta Health Posts Results in Digital Diabetes Program
Ackerman’s Take: Hensarling Urges Liberal Democrats to Back Fannie-Freddie Overhaul
Xoc Gets NEA’s Vote of Confidence in Migraine Prevention
Andreessen Horowitz Buys Tokens in $61 Million Funding of Blockchain Nonprofit
Whether to Worry About Inflation, in 9 Charts
The Taxman Cometh: India Demands Crypto Cash
Bank of America Hires Law Firm to Help Probe $292 Million Loss
Rio Tinto Flashes Cash to Shareholders, Digs for Deals
Identity Fraud Hits More Americans | States Team Up on Fintech Licenses | Ackerman’s Take: Democrats Urged to Back Fannie-Freddie Overhaul
Douglas’s Take: No More Trade-Offs at the Bank of England
Wyndham Nears Deal to Sell European Vacation-Rentals Business to Platinum
Goldman Sachs in Talks With Apple to Finance iPhone Sales
Iceland’s Central Bank Leaves Key Rate Unchanged Despite Rising Inflation
Utilities To Pass Tax Savings To Consumers
India’s Central Bank Stands Pat on Rates
Beijing Stays on Sidelines as Global Stocks Slide
Steve Wynn Steps Down
21st Century Fox Enjoys Tax Gains, Cable-TV Growth
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0375

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2018-02-08. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-01-29,285.93,286.43,284.5,284.68,258.5049,90118300.0,-0.0066,4.6954,288.6305,266.1295,75.9844,132.6158,75.2072,273.988,267.4787
2018-01-30,282.6,284.74,281.22,281.76,255.8534,131796400.0,-0.0103,4.3939,288.3708,267.8792,69.113,94.2573,41.2009,274.5247,267.8832
2018-01-31,282.73,283.3,280.68,281.9,255.9805,108364800.0,0.0005,4.1187,288.1484,269.4146,69.2509,81.0875,36.537,275.0377,268.2883
2018-02-01,281.07,283.06,280.68,281.58,255.6899,90102500.0,-0.0011,3.8306,287.9128,270.7612,68.5274,73.6605,36.537,275.4837,268.6738
2018-02-02,280.08,280.23,275.41,275.45,250.1236,173174800.0,-0.0218,3.0722,287.529,271.529,56.773,15.7811,0.217,275.7597,268.9505
2018-02-05,273.45,275.85,263.31,263.93,239.6628,294681800.0,-0.0418,1.5241,289.3706,268.7384,42.5754,-96.7368,39.9145,275.6563,269.0382
2018-02-06,259.94,269.7,258.7,269.13,244.3847,355026800.0,0.0197,0.7086,289.8317,267.7983,48.5799,-116.9428,48.2924,275.708,269.2052
2018-02-07,268.5,272.36,267.58,267.67,243.059,167376100.0,-0.0054,-0.0548,290.437,266.506,47.148,-78.5379,36.5489,275.7133,269.3635

Fed’s George Says It’s Important to Press Forward With Rate Increases
News Corp Revenue Boosted by Digital Real Estate Unit
China Inflation Moderates in January
Stock Slides Likely Making Bank of Japan More Cautious About Rates
Oil Down Another 1% in Asia as Iran Looks to Pump
RBA Warns Full Employment Still Some Way Off
Muddy Waters Is Mystery Author of Report Exposing Chinese Billionaire’s Ties to Aluminum Stockpiles
Emerging Markets Hang Tough During Global Selloff
SandRidge Energy Shakes Up Leadership Amid Investor Pressure
Satellite Operators Pitch Plan to Share Airwaves
Payment Systems Favor Richer Consumers
Expedia Shares Slide as Costs Weigh on Bottom Line
Tax Changes, Wildfires Push AIG to $6.7 Billion Loss
Credit-Report Errors Top Complaints to CFPB
Ascent Resources Marcellus Makes Bankruptcy Court Debut
GOAT and Flight Club Merge, Raise $60 Million
Boeing in Talks to Buy Aerospace-Parts Maker Woodward
Transcript: Bloomberg TV Interview With New York Fed’s William Dudley
Dow Industrials Plunge Into Correction
Oil Falls as Shale Increases U.S. Stockpiles
Romano’s Macaroni Grill Plan Wins Court Approval
Metals: Gold Ends Four-Day Losing Streak
Mexico’s Central Bank Lifts Rates to Nine-Year High
Canadian Tech Sector Thrives, but Struggles to Keep Its Talent
Sen. Paul to Oppose Trump Fed Pick, Threatening Confirmation
Yum Brands Buys 3% Stake in Food-Delivery Service GrubHub
Transcript: Media Q&A With Philadelphia Fed’s Harker in New York
Transcript: Dallas Fed’s Robert Kaplan Speaks on Macroeconomic Trends
Castex Squares Off With Hedge Fund Over Creditor-Status Claim
BOE Signals Faster Interest Rate Rises, Boosting Sterling
Viacom Plans Streaming Service for Shows From Its Cable Channels
Fed’s Dudley Says Chance of a March Rate Increase Looks Good
New York Times Digital Subscriptions Drives Revenue Gains
Transcript: Media Q&A With Dallas Fed’s Robert Kaplan in Frankfurt
Teva Shares Plunge After Report of Quarterly Loss, 2018 Forecast
BOC’s Wilkins Flags Concern Over Technology Firms’ Market Concentration
Big Oil Is Rewarding Investors Again
Dollar Reverses Losses
KKR Profit Declines; Firm Evaluating Change of Corporate Structure
Stech’s Take: Tax Law Deals Triple Blow to Struggling Companies
Kellogg’s Problem: Americans Aren’t Eating as Much Cereal
Tyson Sees Meat Prices Rising With Freight Costs: ‘Ultimately, the Consumer’s Going to Pay’
Japanese Yen Strengthens Versus Dollar As Equity Benchmarks Sell Off
The Falcon Heavy: A Good Show, but Not Necessarily Great Business
Get Ready for Higher Cellphone Bills
The Corporate Giant Lurking Behind the Winter Olympics
Fed’s Harker Says If Data Supports It, March Rate Rise Is Possible
West Virginia Newspaper Heads to Auction Next Month
Voices: Why It Pays to Learn Clients’ Money Stories
Economists Stick With Optimistic U.S. Outlook Despite Market Turmoil
Economists, by Wide Margin, Support 2% Inflation Target
Five Takeaways From the BOE’s Policy Announcement
Fintechs Eye Century-Old Tactic to Enter Banking | Garrett to Join SEC | Deng’s Take: Why China Is Coming Down on Bitcoin Again
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell Last Week
CVS to Raise Starting Pay to $11 an Hour
Lenders to Allow Airbnb Income on Mortgage Applications
Harrison’s Take: Do Deficits Matter? We Could Soon Find Out
Robotic-Pill Maker Rani Therapeutics Grabs $53 Million
Davis’s Take: Corporate VC Salivates Over Crypto Deals
With Tax Changes in Place, It’s Time to Plot Your Moves: WSJ Tax Watch
Deng’s Take: Why China Is Coming Down on Bitcoin Again
ECB Official Calls for Swift End to Bond-Buying
Fintechs Eye Century-Old Tactic to Enter Banking | Garrett to Join SEC | Deng’s Take: Why China Is Coming Down on Bitcoin Again
Why Tax Law Likely Means Lower Revenue for Pipeline Operators
Chinese Yuan Slides to Biggest One-Day Drop Since 2015 Devaluation
Fed’s Kaplan Reinforces His Case for Three Rate Rises This Year
Fintech Firms Look to Enter Banking Via Century-Old Tactic
Did This Obscure Trade Trigger the Selloff?
Standout Risk-Parity Fund Faces Loss as Volatility Surges
RBA Gov Lowe: No Case for Near-Term Interest Rates Rise
Philippines Central Bank Stands Pat
BOJ’s Kuroda Says It Is Too Early to Discuss Exit Strategy
China’s Foreign Trade Accelerates in January
TD Ameritrade to Allow Trading via Twitter
Biswas’s Take: Bi-Lo Gears Up for More Store Closings
Biswas’s Take: Bi-Lo Gears Up for More Store Closings
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0150

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-02-12. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-02,280.08,280.23,275.41,275.45,250.1236,173174800.0,-0.0218,3.0722,287.529,271.529,56.773,15.7811,0.217,275.7597,268.9505
2018-02-05,273.45,275.85,263.31,263.93,239.6628,294681800.0,-0.0418,1.5241,289.3706,268.7384,42.5754,-96.7368,39.9145,275.6563,269.0382
2018-02-06,259.94,269.7,258.7,269.13,244.3847,355026800.0,0.0197,0.7086,289.8317,267.7983,48.5799,-116.9428,48.2924,275.708,269.2052
2018-02-07,268.5,272.36,267.58,267.67,243.059,167376100.0,-0.0054,-0.0548,290.437,266.506,47.148,-78.5379,36.5489,275.7133,269.3635
2018-02-08,268.01,268.17,257.59,257.63,233.9421,246449500.0,-0.0375,-1.4532,292.739,262.555,38.9755,-167.0841,51.8555,275.3947,269.3558
2018-02-09,260.8,263.61,252.92,261.5,237.4562,283565300.0,0.015,-2.2236,293.6468,260.1852,42.9207,-175.9962,57.0348,275.2007,269.4087

Nevada Regulator, Inundated With Reports About Steve Wynn, Starts Website to Field Tips
Steven A. Cohen’s Investment Firm Sued for Discrimination By Female Staffer
BOJ’s Kuroda Stays on Message Amid Reappointment News
Chinese Banks Had an ‘Absolutely Monstrous’ Month for New Loans
Walgreens Makes Takeover Approach to AmerisourceBergen
Bill Gross to Sell Rare Stamp Collection for $9 Million
Trump Administration Overhauls CFPB’s Mission
Oil Futures Climb Again After Monday Pullback
Stock-Market Valuations Look More Appealing After Recent Rout
Rizzo’s Take: Retail Executives Expect Uptick in Retailer Bankruptcy Filings
RBA’s Ellis Says Wages Growth Will Emerge Only Gradually
Dollar Dips
Equifax Hires New Chief Information Security Officer
Oil Prices Follow Equities Higher
Fox Offers to Insulate Sky News to Mollify British Regulators
Gun Maker Remington to File for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Fannie-Freddie Overhaul Plan Puts Shareholders at Risk
Puerto Rico Officials Say Power Back to Most After Blackout
Guggenheim Money Manager Resigns After Internal Probe
Deutsche Bank’s U.S. Head of Global Transaction Banking Is Leaving
Trump Administration Proposes Fees for Futures Industry
Madoff Settlement Frees $76 Million for Victims
Quick Hits: New York Fed Reports Drop in U.S. Inflation Expectations
Axovant Stock Tumbles After Sweeping Leadership Changes
Deutsche Bank to Pay $4.4 Million Over Traders Who Misled
Instacart Valued at $4.2 Billion
Voices: Helping Clients With Concentrated Portfolios
The Deficit Spending Boom Won’t Last Forever
New Formula: Pressure Plus Diplomacy on North Korea
A New Era for China’s Central Bank
NBER Paper Studies Supervision, Bank Lending and Business Activity
General Dynamics Buying CSRA for $6.8 Billion
Starboard Unveils List of Candidates for Newell Board
Wynn Resorts Board Cancels Outside Investigation of Steve Wynn’s Conduct
Market Volatility Strikes Products Linked to Turmoil Index
Buell’s Take: Beware Those Saying Volatility Is ‘Healthy’
Fuel-Cell Maker Bloom Energy Gets Crucial Win in Passage of U.S. Budget
What Selloff? Investing App Stash Stocks Up to Court Millennials
Zakrzewski’s Take: Salary Data Underscores Tech Talent Crunch
Michaels’s Take: Volatility Gets the SEC’s Attention Like Nothing Else
Wells Fargo Fumbles Efforts to Repay Customers | Glitch Used by High-Speed Traders is Back at CME | Michaels’s Take: SEC Has Eye on Volatility
Indonesia’s Astra International to Invest $150 Million in Go-Jek
Wells Fargo Fumbles Efforts to Repay Customers | Glitch Used by High-Speed Traders is Back at CME | Michaels’s Take: SEC Has Eye on Volatility
U.S. Embassy Gets Caught Up in Chinese Investors’ Market Rage
Axel Springer Joins Funding Round for Magic Leap
Barclays Hit by New Charge Over 2008 Fundraising
The Tax Law Is About to Make Analyzing Earnings Trickier
High-Speed Traders Profit From Return of CME Loophole
Alibaba Affiliate Ant Financial Seeks Up to $5 Billion in Funding
Rizzo’s Take: Will Landlords Consider Another Retail Deal?
OPEC Revises Crude Supply Forecasts on Higher U.S. Production
Icahn: Fujifilm Deal Will Be ‘Death Knell’ for Xerox
Big Batteries Are Taking a Bite Out of the Power Market
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0025

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-02-13. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-05,273.45,275.85,263.31,263.93,239.6628,294681800.0,-0.0418,1.5241,289.3706,268.7384,42.5754,-96.7368,39.9145,275.6563,269.0382
2018-02-06,259.94,269.7,258.7,269.13,244.3847,355026800.0,0.0197,0.7086,289.8317,267.7983,48.5799,-116.9428,48.2924,275.708,269.2052
2018-02-07,268.5,272.36,267.58,267.67,243.059,167376100.0,-0.0054,-0.0548,290.437,266.506,47.148,-78.5379,36.5489,275.7133,269.3635
2018-02-08,268.01,268.17,257.59,257.63,233.9421,246449500.0,-0.0375,-1.4532,292.739,262.555,38.9755,-167.0841,51.8555,275.3947,269.3558
2018-02-09,260.8,263.61,252.92,261.5,237.4562,283565300.0,0.015,-2.2236,293.6468,260.1852,42.9207,-175.9962,57.0348,275.2007,269.4087
2018-02-12,263.83,267.01,261.66,265.34,240.9432,143736000.0,0.0147,-2.4955,293.787,258.787,46.4728,-113.8895,44.9028,275.1163,269.5355

MetLife Pegs Number of Workers Missing Benefits at 13,500
Oil Futures Little Changed Ahead of U.S. Inventory Data
Regulator Looks Into Alleged Manipulation of VIX, Wall Street’s ‘Fear Index’
Louisiana Port Edges Closer to Oil Export on Supertankers
América Móvil Registers Fourth-Quarter Net Loss
Fed Actions Against Wells Fargo Were a ‘One-Off’
‘Madden’ Bill Would Boost Predatory Lending
Internal Financial Controls Aren’t One-Size-Fits-All
Dollar Slides Ahead of Key Data
What to Know About Fed Vice Chair Candidate Loretta Mester
Charming Charlie to Put Reorganization Plan to Creditor Vote
Treasury Department to Block Latvia’s ABLV Bank From U.S. Markets
Oil Down Over Concerns About Rising U.S. Output
White House Considering Loretta Mester for Fed’s No. 2 Job
Corrigan’s Take: Kirkland & Ellis Walls Off Former Government Watchdog From Breitburn Bankruptcy
Blackstone, Other Private-Equity Firms May Sit Out Infrastructure Push
Chipotle Picks Taco Bell CEO Brian Niccol to Be Its New Chief
CFPB Chief Says Equifax Probe Continues
Blackstone Puts Gray on Track to Succeed Schwarzman
CureVac Enlists Gates Foundation to Fight Flu, Malaria
Health-Care Distributor Stocks Fall on News of Consolidation and Competition From Amazon
Gold Inches Higher Ahead of Inflation Data
Walter Investment Management Exits Bankruptcy Protection
The Path to the Tax Overhaul
Quick Hits: Draghi Says Regulating Bitcoin Isn’t the ECB’s Responsibility
Shale Output Hasn’t Grown This Fast Since Oil Was at $100
How Will the Tax Overhaul Affect the Economy?
After a Busy Fall, Mall Mergers Slow
A Billion-Dollar Bribery Scandal Sweeps Through the Oil Industry
Pass-Through Income
Other Deductions
Taxes on Investment Income
Deductions for Charitable Donations
Standard Deduction and Personal Exemption
State and Local Tax Deductions
Retiree Tax Issues
Tax Rates and Brackets
Medical-Expenses Deduction
The Individual Mandate on Health Insurance
The Home Sellers’ Exemption
Estate and Gift Tax
Xerox Defends Fujifilm Deal After Icahn Criticism
Other Education Benefits
Depreciation
Interest Payments on Business Debt
Child and Dependent Tax Credits
The Alternative Minimum Tax
Payroll Withholding
Alimony
Retirement Savings
529 Education-Savings Accounts
Uganda’s Central Bank Cuts Rates as It Seeks to Boost Economic Growth
Barnes & Noble Cuts Jobs Following Poor Holiday Season
Blue Apron Sheds Customers as Meal Kit Competition Mounts
U.S. Household Debt up $193 Billion
Walmart to Trim Store Management Ranks
Why the World Is Watching U.S. Interest Rates
Mester Says Fed Should Raise Rates in 2018 at Pace Similar to 2017
NBER Paper Examines How Employer Concentration Affects Wages
San Francisco Fed Paper Studies Disappointing Recovery in U.S. Output
Thomson Reuters CEO Jim Smith Hospitalized
PepsiCo Posts Flat Sales, Plans to Trim Jobs
Broadcom Now Seeks Six Seats on Qualcomm Board
Trump Proposes Fees for Futures Industry | CFPB’s Mission Overhauled | Hayashi’s Take: Mulvaney Under Spotlight on Equifax Probe
Under Armour Expands Restructuring Plan
Timiraos’s Take: Why a ‘Powell Put’ Looks Unlikely Right Now
U.S. Tax Provision May Sting Foreign Firms
U.K. Inflation Stays Above BOE’s Target
Chernova’s Take: Slow and Steady, Benchmark in No Hurry to Join Fundraising Boom
Hayashi’s Take: Mulvaney Under Spotlight on Equifax Probe
Trump Proposes Fees for Futures Industry | CFPB’s Mission Overhauled | Hayashi’s Take: Mulvaney Under Spotlight on Equifax Probe
Small-Business Confidence Nears Record Levels
Here’s a Tax Cut for London Bankers: Go to Europe
Ride Hailing’s Other Travis Is Riding Scooters Now
Potential for EUR/USD Falls Limited, ING Says
Aussie Dollar Still as RBA Comments, Data Ignored
Indonesia’s Central Bank Seen Holding Steady
The Mortgage-Interest Deduction
Wynn Resorts Board Hires New Law Firm to Run Investigation of Ex-CEO Steve Wynn
Rizzo’s Take: Retail Executives Expect Uptick in Retailer Bankruptcy Filings
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0135

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-02-14. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-05,273.45,275.85,263.31,263.93,239.6628,294681800.0,-0.0418,1.5241,289.3706,268.7384,42.5754,-96.7368,39.9145,275.6563,269.0382
2018-02-06,259.94,269.7,258.7,269.13,244.3847,355026800.0,0.0197,0.7086,289.8317,267.7983,48.5799,-116.9428,48.2924,275.708,269.2052
2018-02-07,268.5,272.36,267.58,267.67,243.059,167376100.0,-0.0054,-0.0548,290.437,266.506,47.148,-78.5379,36.5489,275.7133,269.3635
2018-02-08,268.01,268.17,257.59,257.63,233.9421,246449500.0,-0.0375,-1.4532,292.739,262.555,38.9755,-167.0841,51.8555,275.3947,269.3558
2018-02-09,260.8,263.61,252.92,261.5,237.4562,283565300.0,0.015,-2.2236,293.6468,260.1852,42.9207,-175.9962,57.0348,275.2007,269.4087
2018-02-12,263.83,267.01,261.66,265.34,240.9432,143736000.0,0.0147,-2.4955,293.787,258.787,46.4728,-113.8895,44.9028,275.1163,269.5355
2018-02-13,263.97,266.62,263.31,266.0,241.5425,81223600.0,0.0025,-2.6274,293.8262,257.6508,47.0586,-104.9593,44.9028,275.0877,269.6948

Why That Blockbuster Isn’t Coming to Your Home Theater Anytime Soon
Goldman Sachs Bolsters M&A Leadership
Japan Finance Minister’s Ambivalence on Yen Rise Prompts Another Jump
Inflation Starts to Make a Comeback
U.K. Says Russia Behind Cyberattack That Crippled Global Firms
Australia Posts Record Job Market Expansion
Oil Futures Climb Further in Asia
Investors Aren’t Getting the Full Story on Cyberthreats, Regulator Says
Gold Reverses Earlier Losses
U.S. Dollar Declines After Bigger-Than-Expected Inflation Gains
State Regulations Challenge Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Banks Are More Willing to Offer Jumbo Mortgages
House Backs Bill That Would Benefit Fintech Partnerships With Banks
U.S. Stocks Rise as Investors Weigh Inflation Data
Powell’s Fed Isn’t About to End the ‘Greenspan Put’
Recession’s Impact Lingers in Hardest-Hit Regions
PricewaterhouseCoopers to Sell Unit to Veritas Capital
AT&T Focuses on DOJ Official in Time Warner Trial
Profile: Preparing and Protecting Vulnerable Clients
Digital First Media Prevails at Boston Herald Auction
Oil Reverses Losses on Inventory Data
Quick Hits: ECB’s Mersch Astonished Bitcoin Is Criticized Less Than Cash
Fannie Mae to Require $3.7 Billion Government Cash Infusion
Analysis: Fed May Lift Rates With Confidence as Inflation Shows Signs of Life
Clinton Nurseries Asks Judge to Approve Shipping Costs
Hotel Operator John Q. Hammons Settles Fight With Jonathan Eilian’s JD Holdings
Brickley’s Take: Revolving Door Still Spinning in Woodbridge Bankruptcy
U.S. Retail Sales Started 2018 on Weak Footing
Papaya Clothing Is Cleared to Leave Bankruptcy
Wells Fargo Customer-Repayment Efforts Questioned
Bunge: Agricultural Firms Need More Than Deals for Profitability
Harvard, Hawaii Gambled on Market Calm—Then Everything Changed
Saudi Answer to Falling Oil Prices: Production Cuts
Americans Can’t Get Enough Consumer Debt
Dr Pepper Snapple Sales Are Flat as It Plans for Keurig Merger
Dollar Jumps After January Inflation Rises
Italy’s Economy Accelerates but Lags Behind Eurozone
Finra Scrutinizes Alleged VIX Manipulation | CFPB’s Equifax Probe Continues | Clozel’s Take: ‘Madden Fix’ Bill Shows Democratic Fintech Split
Should America Sell Its Existing Roads to Pay for New Ones?
Credit Suisse Sees Green Shoots Despite Taking U.S. Tax Hit
Zinsli’s Take: Backsliding on Middle America
HeartFlow Valuation Tops $1.5 Billion for Disease Detection Software
Education Startup Varsity Tutors Moves Online
‘Value Destruction’ of Sexual Misconduct in Focus for Investors
Clozel’s Take: ‘Madden Fix’ Bill Shows Democratic Fintech Split
Sky’s Soccer Rights Deal Puts Pressure on Fox to Raise Bid
Finra Scrutinizes Alleged VIX Manipulation | CFPB’s Equifax Probe Continues | Clozel’s Take: ‘Madden Fix’ Bill Shows Democratic Fintech Split
China’s Central Bank: Overall Leverage Ratio Remains High
Fairless’s Take: Germans Cool On Cash
Nordstrom Family Tries to Outrun Retail’s Woes
China’s Insurers Try Novel Approach to Elderly Care: Building Retirement Homes
Bank of Thailand Stands Pat
Israel’s Perception Point Raises $8 Million for Cybersecurity
Corrigan’s Take: Kirkland & Ellis Walls Off Former Government Watchdog From Breitburn Bankruptcy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0128

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-02-15 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-05,273.45,275.85,263.31,263.93,239.6628,294681800.0,-0.0418,1.5241,289.3706,268.7384,42.5754,-96.7368,39.9145,275.6563,269.0382
2018-02-06,259.94,269.7,258.7,269.13,244.3847,355026800.0,0.0197,0.7086,289.8317,267.7983,48.5799,-116.9428,48.2924,275.708,269.2052
2018-02-07,268.5,272.36,267.58,267.67,243.059,167376100.0,-0.0054,-0.0548,290.437,266.506,47.148,-78.5379,36.5489,275.7133,269.3635
2018-02-08,268.01,268.17,257.59,257.63,233.9421,246449500.0,-0.0375,-1.4532,292.739,262.555,38.9755,-167.0841,51.8555,275.3947,269.3558
2018-02-09,260.8,263.61,252.92,261.5,237.4562,283565300.0,0.015,-2.2236,293.6468,260.1852,42.9207,-175.9962,57.0348,275.2007,269.4087
2018-02-12,263.83,267.01,261.66,265.34,240.9432,143736000.0,0.0147,-2.4955,293.787,258.787,46.4728,-113.8895,44.9028,275.1163,269.5355
2018-02-13,263.97,266.62,263.31,266.0,241.5425,81223600.0,0.0025,-2.6274,293.8262,257.6508,47.0586,-104.9593,44.9028,275.0877,269.6948
2018-02-14,264.31,270.0,264.3,269.59,244.8024,120735700.0,0.0135,-2.4145,293.4285,257.0465,50.1296,-76.188,33.2121,275.115,269.8777

Spain’s ABAC Therapeutics Gets $20 Million for Precision Antibiotics
Inspector General Opens Probe of FCC’s Easing of Media-Ownership Rules
Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda Nominated to New Five-Year Term
SEC Rejects Sale of Chicago Stock Exchange
Federal Judge Rejects Government Loan for Puerto Rico Utility
Kraft Heinz Hints at Appetite for Deals
Massachusetts Accuses Scottrade of Fiduciary Rule Violations
CBS Revenue Up 11% on Higher Fees for Content
U.S. Producer Prices Returned to Upward Path in January
Fieldwood Energy Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
Homeowners’ Insurance Startup Kin Raises $13.1 Million Series A
Avis Budget’s Largest Investor Launches Board-Seat Fight
GE Begins to Sell Off One of Its Oldest Businesses: Lights
Dollar Drops to More Than Three-Year Low
Gawker Media Says Peter Thiel Is Attempting to ‘Evade’ Document Subpoenas
Stocks Are Moving in Tandem. That Can Be Scary
Roche to Acquire Healthcare-Software Company Flatiron for $1.9 Billion
Randles’s Take: Appvion Lenders Object to Threatened Suit By Junior Creditors
U.S. Regulators Extend Window for Critical Stroke Treatment
U.S. Stocks Extend Rebound in Broad Rally
Regulator Takes Aim at Share

	Structure Used by Ford, Facebook
U.S. Bancorp Charged Over Relationship With Race-Car Driver
Quick Hits: Egypt’s Central Bank Cuts Rates
Halliburton Warns of Earnings Hit Due to Sand Delays
Bank of Canada’s Schembri Sees Higher Rates, but Stresses Caution
Trump’s Budget Cuts Funding for Manufacturing Program
Strengthen the Community Reinvestment Act
Bitcoin Surges Back Above $10,000
Financial Firms Pay More to Address Cybersecurity
Oil Prices End Higher
Investors Warned of Cryptocurrency ‘Pump-and-Dump’ Schemes
Gold Inches Lower After Wednesday Rally
There’s a Boom in Airline Travel, and Jet Makers Are Making the Most of It
Aerosoles Snags $23 Million Floor Bid Ahead of Auction
GOP Senators Pan Trump Plan to Make Futures Industry Pay User Fees
GST AutoLeather Gets Court Approval for Sale
Lender to Bike-Maker Niner Attempts Foreclosure
At Thomson Reuters, Tensions Between Family and Board Ratchet Up With Blackstone Deal
U.S. Factory Output Flat Again in January
A Profit at Sears? (There’s a Catch)
Canadian Residential Real-Estate Activity Plunged in January
VoxEU Post Examines Urban Concentration and Economic Growth
Hedge Funds and Investors Adapt to New Realities: WSJ Tax Watch
New York Manufacturing Activity Slows in February
Philadelphia Fed Report Says Manufacturing Continues to Expand
LyondellBasell to Buy A. Schulman for $2.25 Billion
Fannie Mae Needs $3.7 Billion Infusion | Fintech Wins as House Bill Passed | Rubin’s Take: CFTC Looks to Leverage Blockchain
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Tax Law Forces Revamps for Agriculture Firms
Dollar Softens on Inflation Concerns
Nestlé Sales Growth Weakens to Slowest in Decades
Sam Adams Maker Names Dave Burwick as CEO
Davis’s Take: Key Man Clause a Lever in Curbing Harassment?
Joshua Kushner’s Oscar Health Seeks Validation—and Higher Valuation
Biotech Startup Celularity Launches With $250 Million
Rubin’s Take: CFTC Looks to Leverage Blockchain
Fannie Mae Needs $3.7 Billion Infusion | Fintech Wins as House Bill Passed | Rubin’s Take: CFTC Looks to Leverage Blockchain
Hannon’s Take: The ECB’s Woman Problem
Bank Indonesia Again Holds Steady
China Gets Pushback on New Rules to Curb Lending Practices
Brazilian Central Bank Indicates End of Rate-Cutting Cycle
Kuroda Right Person for BOJ
Brickley’s Take: Revolving Door Still Spinning in Woodbridge Bankruptcy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0003

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-02-20. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-12,263.83,267.01,261.66,265.34,240.9432,143736000.0,0.0147,-2.4955,293.787,258.787,46.4728,-113.8895,44.9028,275.1163,269.5355
2018-02-13,263.97,266.62,263.31,266.0,241.5425,81223600.0,0.0025,-2.6274,293.8262,257.6508,47.0586,-104.9593,44.9028,275.0877,269.6948
2018-02-14,264.31,270.0,264.3,269.59,244.8024,120735700.0,0.0135,-2.4145,293.4285,257.0465,50.1296,-76.188,33.2121,275.115,269.8777
2018-02-15,271.57,273.04,268.77,273.03,247.9261,111200300.0,0.0128,-1.9457,293.0521,256.8119,52.8412,-38.0006,23.6229,275.2003,270.1305
2018-02-16,272.32,275.32,272.27,273.11,247.9987,160420100.0,0.0003,-1.5499,292.5158,256.6182,52.9028,-17.8709,16.8777,275.2503,270.3773

Australia Wages Rise More Than Expected in 4th Quarter
Rent-A-Wreck Bankruptcy Case Is Tossed Out
Dollar Climbs, Following U.S. Government Bond Yields
3M, State of Minnesota Settle For $850 Million
Choice Hotels Signs Deal in Savannah
Liquidia Raises $25 Million for Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Treatment
Cardiva Medical Bucks Slide in Heart Funding, Boosts Round
Oil Prices Diverge as Investors Mull U.S. Crude
Heart Device Maker Mitralign Raises $17.7 Million Toward Series F
Dow, S&P 500 Lose Steam After Six Sessions of Gains
Walmart Stumbles in Shift to Web Selling
Fintech Mortgage Lenders Are More Efficient
Glencore’s Predicament: How to Handle Payments to Individual Under U.S. Sanctions
A State Central Bank Could Solve the Cannabis-Banking Problem
Breitburn Energy Judge Schedules Hearing on Weil Disclosure
Firm Retention Summary: Patriot National Inc.
Supreme Court Declines to Wade Into Fight Over Fannie, Freddie Profits
Brickley’s Take: Shkreli’s Former Drug Company Fights Medical Charities
GST AutoLeather Mezzanine Lenders to Recover About 1.6% of Claims
AT&T Denied Access to Government Discussions on Time Warner Deal
Spending Bill Raises Expectations for More Fed Rate Increases
Stronger Dollar, Higher Treasury Yields Weigh on Gold
Albertsons Scoops Up Remainder of Rite Aid in Face of Online Threat
Voices: How Advisers Can Guide Clients in Launching Side Businesses
Latvian Central-Bank Governor Won’t Attend Wednesday’s ECB Meeting
Proposed Rules Would Allow Meatpackers to Slaughter Hogs Faster
Gap Is Replacing CEO of Flagship Brand
Dollar Climbs as Treasury Yields Resume Rise
Oil Demand Is Going to Peak in the Next 20 Years, Says BP
South Carolina Lawmakers Get Dubious Emails About Nuclear Reactors
Eurozone Consumer Sentiment Weakens
Guess Co-Founder to Step Away During Investigation Into Conduct
The Risk Pension Funds Can’t Escape
Financial-Storm Forecaster Is Foundering | ECB Freezes Payments by Latvian Bank Amid U.S. Probe | Chacko’s Take: Islamic Bankers, Scholars Butt Heads Over Bitcoin
Orange Backs Tech Startups in New Funding Rounds
Chernova’s Take: Flatiron Health Adds to New York’s Billion-Dollar Exit Tally
Mandates, Not Market Prices, Likely to Keep U.S. Solar Growing
Chacko’s Take: Islamic Bankers, Scholars Butt Heads Over Bitcoin
Financial-Storm Forecaster Is Foundering | ECB Freezes Payments by Latvian Bank Amid U.S. Probe | Chacko’s Take: Islamic Bankers, Scholars Butt Heads Over Bitcoin
Derby’s Take: Leadership Churn Has Left Dudley As Defining Voice
HSBC Misses Profit Target as Bad Loans Weigh on Results
Backed by Billions, Longevity Startups Getting New Life
BHP Willing to Talk About Activist’s Overhaul Plan
Biogen CEO Calls Share Slump an Overreaction to Alzheimer’s Trial
Yerak’s Take: Some Mall Owners See Less-Dire Retail Conditions Ahead
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0050

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-02-21. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-12,263.83,267.01,261.66,265.34,240.9432,143736000.0,0.0147,-2.4955,293.787,258.787,46.4728,-113.8895,44.9028,275.1163,269.5355
2018-02-13,263.97,266.62,263.31,266.0,241.5425,81223600.0,0.0025,-2.6274,293.8262,257.6508,47.0586,-104.9593,44.9028,275.0877,269.6948
2018-02-14,264.31,270.0,264.3,269.59,244.8024,120735700.0,0.0135,-2.4145,293.4285,257.0465,50.1296,-76.188,33.2121,275.115,269.8777
2018-02-15,271.57,273.04,268.77,273.03,247.9261,111200300.0,0.0128,-1.9457,293.0521,256.8119,52.8412,-38.0006,23.6229,275.2003,270.1305
2018-02-16,272.32,275.32,272.27,273.11,247.9987,160420100.0,0.0003,-1.5499,292.5158,256.6182,52.9028,-17.8709,16.8777,275.2503,270.3773
2018-02-20,272.03,273.67,270.5,271.4,246.4459,86369700.0,-0.0063,-1.3585,291.5819,256.4231,51.4175,-35.9432,20.4784,275.183,270.5675

Mutual Funds Get Reprieve on SEC Rule Rebuked by Trump Administration
SEC Calls For Curbs On Employee Trading During Cyberbreaches
Oil Futures Slide Further After FOMC Minutes
Toys ‘R’ Us Plans to Close Another 200 Stores
Tops Markets Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
JPMorgan Chase to Build Giant New Headquarters in Manhattan
Merger Creates Regional Hospital Giant
Amazon Is Taking Over the Stock Market, Too
Excerpts From Minutes of the Fed’s Jan. 30-31 Meeting
Ford North America President Leaves Following Misconduct Allegations
U.S. Stocks End Lower After Fed Minutes
Procept BioRobotics Raises Late-Stage Funds for Surgical Robot
U.S. Dollar Rallies
GE Won’t Sell Baker Hughes Stake Yet, Lowers 2018 Profit View
Pre-Securities Act Disclosures Showcase Inadequacies
SEC Should Protect Investors’ Ability to Sue
Dish Network Gains Sling TV Customers but Retention Is a Problem
In Minutes, Some Initial Talk of Changing Fed Inflation Target
Oil Prices Mixed Ahead of Inventory Forecast
R-Rated Behavior of Star Producer Is a Drama for Disney
In a Fresh Sign of Strength, Glencore Quadruples Earnings
Luxury Retailer Charlotte Olympia to Close U.S. Stores in Bankruptcy
Rizzo’s Take: And Then There Were None: Bachrach’s Ever-Shrinking Footprint
Most Unsecured Creditors to Receive Nothing in Motorsport Aftermarket Plan
Westinghouse Creditors Can Vote on Chapter 11 Plan
Hawaiian Dumps Airbus Order for Boeing Jets
Contractor Winds Down Work on Puerto Rico Grid as Restoration Continues
Activist Investor Calls for Spinoff of Some Bloomin’ Brands Restaurants
Trump Economic Report Blames Obama Policies for Slow Growth
Home Sales Post Their Sharpest Drop in Three Years
Supreme Court Curbs Protections for Whistleblowers
Small Business Thinks Big About Recruiting
BOE Officials Point to Possible Rate Rise
Treasury Recommends Keeping Dodd-Frank Liquidation Power
Bankrupt Bicycle Maker Niner Finds New Buyer
Profile: On Working With Single, High-Income Women
FDIC Sues 16 Banks as Receiver for Failed Puerto Rico Bank
How Jeffrey Immelt’s ‘Success Theater’ Masked the Rot at GE
Fed’s Kaplan Sees Rates Rising ‘Gradually and Patiently’
Fed’s Harker Says He Has ‘Penciled In’ Two Rate Increases in 2018
Dollar Strengthens Ahead of Fed Minutes
Priceline Group Rebrands to Booking Holdings
The Rise of Bitcoin Factories: Mining for the Masses
Zinsli’s Take: Billion-Dollar Companies Build IPO Anticipation, Then Underwhelm
Vectra Raises $36 Million to Automate Cyberattack Detection
Long Neglected, Rare Muscle Diseases Capture Investors’ Attention
Tracy’s Take: How Independent Should the OFR Be?
Justices Decline Fannie-Freddie Case | Trump Officials Look to Ease Erasing Student Debt | Tracy’s Take: How Independent Should the OFR Be?
Buell’s Take: De Guindos Appointment May Herald More Hawkish Policies
Lawsuit Alleges MetLife Mistake Helped a Woman Keep Settlement Money From Her Daughter
Folgers Wakes Up With a New Premium Cup of Coffee
What to Watch in the Fed Minutes
Eurozone Bank Failures Imperil Central Bank Independence
U.K. Jobless Rate Rises, but Labor Market Remains Tight
Eurozone Business Activity Slows as Economic Growth Levels Off
Oil Sentiment Turns Negative Again
Brickley’s Take: Shkreli’s Former Drug Company Fights Medical Charities
Fed Gives Bullish Signals on Economy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0013

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-02-22 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-12,263.83,267.01,261.66,265.34,240.9432,143736000.0,0.0147,-2.4955,293.787,258.787,46.4728,-113.8895,44.9028,275.1163,269.5355
2018-02-13,263.97,266.62,263.31,266.0,241.5425,81223600.0,0.0025,-2.6274,293.8262,257.6508,47.0586,-104.9593,44.9028,275.0877,269.6948
2018-02-14,264.31,270.0,264.3,269.59,244.8024,120735700.0,0.0135,-2.4145,293.4285,257.0465,50.1296,-76.188,33.2121,275.115,269.8777
2018-02-15,271.57,273.04,268.77,273.03,247.9261,111200300.0,0.0128,-1.9457,293.0521,256.8119,52.8412,-38.0006,23.6229,275.2003,270.1305
2018-02-16,272.32,275.32,272.27,273.11,247.9987,160420100.0,0.0003,-1.5499,292.5158,256.6182,52.9028,-17.8709,16.8777,275.2503,270.3773
2018-02-20,272.03,273.67,270.5,271.4,246.4459,86369700.0,-0.0063,-1.3585,291.5819,256.4231,51.4175,-35.9432,20.4784,275.183,270.5675
2018-02-21,271.9,274.72,269.94,270.05,245.2201,98883700.0,-0.005,-1.3008,290.4379,256.2431,50.265,-37.8404,17.2574,275.054,270.739

Re/Max Finds Co-Founder, Top Executive Violated Policy
SEC to Pull Back on Obama-Era Mutual-Fund Rules
Xcerra Calls Off $580 Million Deal Amid Scrutiny
Oil Futures Maintain Thursday Gains in Asia
Japan’s Core Inflation Stalls in January
Fed’s Dudley Warns on Cryptocurrencies
Latvian Bank Facing U.S. Sanctions Threat Wants Government Bailout
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Raises Shareholder Return Target to $7 Billion
Mozambique Plans Meeting to Discuss Debt Restructuring
Mexican Lenders Take Center Stage at M&G USA Hearing
Consumers Trust Big Financial Firms on Data
Restrictions on Private Securities Limit Investor Freedom
U.S. Dollar Falls as View on Fed Policy Unchanged
Corrigan’s Take: Law Professor Says Big Bank Failures Can’t Be Treated As Normal Insolvencies
Aerosoles Sale to Alden Global Wins Court Approval
Dow Industrials Jump as Rate Concerns Ease
Dina Powell, ex-Trump Adviser, Weighs Return to Goldman
Barclays CEO Raises Dividend to Appease Investors
Oil Surges on Bullish U.S. Inventory Data
Firm Retention Summary: Patriot National Inc.
Air Carrier Dynamic Cleared to Depart Chapter 11
Firm Retention Summary: Hobbico Inc.
Utility to Pay Millions to Preserve Abandoned Reactor Site
A $232 Million Cryptocurrency Fight Comes to a Close
Gold Closes Slightly Higher With Dollar Falling
The Short Term Impact of the Tax Cuts: WSJ Tax Watch
Bank of Mexico Focused on Anchoring Inflation Expectations
Missouri Hospital Is Second Muni Bankruptcy This Year
Voices: All Work and No Play Isn’t Ideal for Clients
Citi Deal Maker Leaving Bank
Why Top-Earning Medicare Users Will Pay More Next Year
Murray Energy Completes Takeover of Bankrupt Armstrong Energy
Dollar Struggles for Direction as Treasury Yields Fall
Kansas City Fed’s Manufacturing Survey Index Rises in February
Leading Economic Indicators Index Rises
MiMedx Didn’t Report Payments to Doctors
Greek Parliament Investigates Politicians in Novartis Bribery Probe
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell Last Week
What Bitcoin Rout? Sales of New Digital Tokens Are Still Soaring
ECB Could Signal the Future of QE Early This Year
Cooper’s Take: Private Equity Carves Niche in Autism-Services Sector
Former WeWork Executive Launches a Co-Working Company of His Own
Davis’s Take: Amazon Search for ‘HQ2’ Follows the VC Money
Kallyope Adds $66 Million to Target Metabolic and Neurological Disorders
Anglo American Doubles Profit Amid Commodities Boom
Goldman Sachs Raises $2.5 Billion to Buy Stakes in Private-Equity Firms
Hayashi’s Take: Battle Redux Over Credit Unions’ Tax-Free Status
Timiraos’s Take: Why the 2018 Median ‘Dot’ Could Be Stubborn in March
Newell Adds New Directors Ahead of Proxy Fight With Starboard
SEC Looks to Ease IPOs | High Court Curbs Whistleblower Protections | Hayashi’s Take: Battle Redux Over Credit Unions’ Tax-Free Status
Why Sewing Robots May Replace Humans in Factories
Companies Could Get More Flexibility to Launch IPOs
Pass-Through Businesses Rethink Their Status in Wake of Tax Law
Russian Chopper Manufacturer Woos Middle East, Asian Buyers
Quarles Says Fed Should Continue Gradual Pace
Rizzo’s Take: And Then There Were None: Bachrach’s Ever-Shrinking Footprint
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0159

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-02-26 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-16,272.32,275.32,272.27,273.11,247.9987,160420100.0,0.0003,-1.5499,292.5158,256.6182,52.9028,-17.8709,16.8777,275.2503,270.3773
2018-02-20,272.03,273.67,270.5,271.4,246.4459,86369700.0,-0.0063,-1.3585,291.5819,256.4231,51.4175,-35.9432,20.4784,275.183,270.5675
2018-02-21,271.9,274.72,269.94,270.05,245.2201,98883700.0,-0.005,-1.3008,290.4379,256.2431,50.265,-37.8404,17.2574,275.054,270.739
2018-02-22,271.1,273.05,269.64,270.4,245.5379,110511300.0,0.0013,-1.2128,289.1951,256.2079,50.5622,-41.5005,17.9275,274.916,270.9063
2018-02-23,271.79,274.71,271.25,274.71,249.4516,92766400.0,0.0159,-0.7862,288.0347,256.5092,54.0595,-14.7891,12.5363,274.9357,271.1477

Bank of Korea Leaves Base Rate Unchanged
Oil Futures Edge Down Ahead of Weekly U.S. Data
Akorn Shares Plunge as Fresenius Investigates Company
Anbang’s Rescue Is China’s Too-Big-to-Fail Moment
Spectrum Brands to Combine With Majority Shareholder HRG
Fed’s Quarles: Bank Capital Levels Shouldn’t Be Cut
Supreme Court Grills Both Sides in States’ Challenge of American Express
Dollar Slips Ahead of Powell Speech
Energy Future Wins Confirmation of Bankruptcy Exit Plan
Transmission Inventor Fallbrook Technologies Files for Bankruptcy
FCC Chief Calls for 5G Auctions to Kickstart Development
Chemtex International Seeks Sale of Chinese, Indian Operations
Liberty Media Makes a Play for Radio Giant iHeart
SEC Commissioner Criticizes Idea of Curbing Shareholder Lawsuits
Seadrill Reshuffles Bankruptcy Workout Plan to Build Support
MetLife Pension-Payments Executive Is Leaving Company
Venezuela Creditor Deal Revived With Crystallex Payment
Transcript: Media Q&A With St. Louis Fed’s Bullard in Washington
Commodities Rally as Investors Embrace Risk
U.S. Stocks Extend Recovery, Lifted by Tech Rally
How SoftBank, World’s Biggest Tech Investor, Throws Around Its Cash
Dodd-Frank’s Liquidation Power Creates Incentives for More Risk
Transcript: Audience Q&A With St. Louis Fed’s Bullard in Washington
Bank-Branch Visits More Popular in North America Than in U.K., Australia
Firm Retention Summary: Level Solar Inc.
Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Won’t Boycott Gun Makers
Oil Hits Three-Week Highs
Justice Department Wants New Management for Bikram Yoga
Railroads Embark on Apology Tour to Make Amends for Hunter Harrison’s Ways
Brooklyn Food Distributor G.A.F. Seelig to Shut Down
Appvion Creditors Challenge Proposed Sale Process
Fed’s Quarles: Uncertain if Faster Growth Will Lead to Firmer Inflation
Q&A: Fed’s John Williams Answers Audience Questions
Chemical Company Fibrant Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Transcript: San Francisco Fed’s Williams Speaks in Los Angeles
Financial Heterogeneity and the Investment Channel of Monetary Policy
Yerak’s Take: Mall Landlord Details Risks of Doing Business With Toys ‘R’ Us, Sears, Staples
Choppy Markets Grant Hedge Funds Their Wish
Dollar Trades in Tight Range
Board Denies Indian Tribe’s Push to End Challenge of Restasis Patents
Trump’s Task: Bridge Cultural Divide on Guns
Transcript: Media Q&A With San Francisco Fed’s Williams in Los Angeles
Voices: Advisers, Let’s Change the Retirement Conversation
Texas Manufacturing Activity Growth Expands in February
ECB’s Draghi Says Stimulus Still Needed to Lift Inflation
Fed’s Bullard Sees No Need to Raise Rates ‘Substantially’ Over Next Two Years
UPS Sues EU Regulator Over Decision to Block TNT Deal
SEC to Address Use of Titles Like ‘Financial Adviser’ | Fidelity Rethinks Star Stock-Picker System | Rubin’s Take: CFTC’s U.K. Deal Keeps Focus on Fintech
Chicago Fed Index Dropped Slightly in January
Spring Discovery Brings Machine Learning to Longevity Sector
Zakrzewski’s Take: Billion-Dollar Club Faces Biggest Test Yet
Daimler Invests in Data-Analysis Startup Anagog
GMC, a Brand Once in Peril at GM, Is Now Punching Above Its Weight
Rubin’s Take: CFTC’s U.K. Deal Keeps Focus on Fintech
SEC to Address Use of Titles Like ‘Financial Adviser’ | Fidelity Rethinks Star Stock-Picker System | Rubin’s Take: CFTC’s U.K. Deal Keeps Focus on Fintech
Derby’s Take: Seeing Glimmers Of Life In Inflation Expectations
New Fed Chairman to Testify Before Congress
Fidelity Rethinks Its Stock-Picker System After Complaints
Trump’s SEC Makes Slow Progress on Trimming Rules
Weinstein Co. Says It Will File for Bankruptcy
Home Sales Declines Not Yet Alarming Economists
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0125

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2018-02-27 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-20,272.03,273.67,270.5,271.4,246.4459,86369700.0,-0.0063,-1.3585,291.5819,256.4231,51.4175,-35.9432,20.4784,275.183,270.5675
2018-02-21,271.9,274.72,269.94,270.05,245.2201,98883700.0,-0.005,-1.3008,290.4379,256.2431,50.265,-37.8404,17.2574,275.054,270.739
2018-02-22,271.1,273.05,269.64,270.4,245.5379,110511300.0,0.0013,-1.2128,289.1951,256.2079,50.5622,-41.5005,17.9275,274.916,270.9063
2018-02-23,271.79,274.71,271.25,274.71,249.4516,92766400.0,0.0159,-0.7862,288.0347,256.5092,54.0595,-14.7891,12.5363,274.9357,271.1477
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982

Papa John’s Is No Longer the NFL’s Official Pizza
Goldman Sachs, Adviser to the Elite, Wants to Be Your Local Bank
Weight Watchers Looking to Expand Beyond Dieting
Oil Futures Ease Further in Asia
Japan Industrial Output Drops by Most Since 2011 Tsunami
GreenTech Automotive Files for Bankruptcy
Fed’s Powell Says His Economic Outlook Has Improved
Square Expenses Rise as It Courts Larger Business Partners
U.S. Stocks Sell Off After Powell’s Remarks
Dollar Rises to Highest Level in Two Weeks
Mulvaney Promises Accounting for Business Costs in Rule-Making
Dina Powell, a Former Trump Adviser, Returns to Goldman Sachs
Oil Drops With Stocks as Dollar Gains
Booking Holdings, Formerly Priceline, Sees Boost in Travel Bookings
SeaWorld CEO Steps Down as Losses Deepen
50 Cent Denies Owning Bitcoins
Scurria’s Take: Detroit Development Deal Wobbles in Bankruptcy Fallout
Scurria’s Take: Detroit Development Deal Wobbles in Bankruptcy Fallout
Key Quotes From Powell’s House Panel Hearing
Business Investment Stalls Despite Tax Cuts, Incentives
Why Sky Is So Highly Prized
Money-Laundering Risks Drive Bank Closures Along Southwest Border
Dividends Climb, as Does Competition From Bond Yields
Powell Backs Raising Threshold for ‘Systemically Important’ Banks
White House Nears Air Force One Deal With Boeing
Supreme Court Limits Safe Harbor Immunity in Bankruptcy
JPMorgan Says Tax Changes Will Lead to More Profitability
Macy’s Shares Rise on Increase in Holiday Sales, Real-Estate Deal
Fidelity Posts Improved Profit
Germany Paves Way for Diesel Ban to Fight Air Pollution, Dealing Blow to Auto Makers
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Increases in February
U.S. Consumer Confidence Reaches Highest Level Since 2000
NBER Paper Finds Investors Still Skittish From the Financial Crisis
NBER Paper Finds Conception Rates Can Help Forecast Economy’s Future
Comcast Moves to Hijack Fox-Sky Deal With $31 Billion Bid
After a London Cab Ride, Comcast’s Roberts Set His Sights on Sky
Dollar Gains as Fed’s Powell Pledges to Strike ‘Balance’
Mexico Runs Up Large January Trade Deficit
ECB’s Weidmann Signals Openness to Succeeding Draghi as President
Live: Jerome Powell Testifies Before House Committee
U.S. Home Prices Continued to Rise at End of 2017
Levi’s Wants Lasers, Not People, to Rip Your Jeans
CFTC Steps Up Enforcement | SEC’s Jackson Criticizes Idea of Curbing Shareholder Suits | Deng’s Take: Regulation in Focus at China Meeting
Eurozone Business Sentiment Eases but Borrowing Rises
Polaris Arms Cancer Drugmaker With Fresh Capital
Chernova’s Take: The Crypto Threat to Dropbox
NEA Leads Senti Round on Pioneering Gene Therapies
Boost Biomes Launches with Seed Round for Sustainable Farming
Nomad Health’s Freelance Job Marketplace Lands Series B
WeWork Competitor Industrious Raises $80 Million
Comcast’s Offer for Sky: What It Means for Fox and Disney
Generation Bio Gets $100 Million Boost for Gene Therapy
Deng’s Take: Regulation in Focus at China Meeting
Standard Chartered Returns to Profit, Resumes Dividend
CFTC Steps Up Enforcement | SEC’s Jackson Criticizes Idea of Curbing Shareholder Suits | Deng’s Take: Regulation in Focus at China Meeting
Derby’s Take: Still No Clarity On Fed Bond Buying Impact
CFTC Steps Up Enforcement Against Fraud, Manipulation
Crypto Hawks and Crypto Doves
Indonesia’s Widodo Nominates Perry Warjiyo to Lead Central Bank
Yerak’s Take: Mall Landlord Details Risks of Doing Business With Toys ‘R’ Us, Sears, Staples
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0101

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-02-28 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-20,272.03,273.67,270.5,271.4,246.4459,86369700.0,-0.0063,-1.3585,291.5819,256.4231,51.4175,-35.9432,20.4784,275.183,270.5675
2018-02-21,271.9,274.72,269.94,270.05,245.2201,98883700.0,-0.005,-1.3008,290.4379,256.2431,50.265,-37.8404,17.2574,275.054,270.739
2018-02-22,271.1,273.05,269.64,270.4,245.5379,110511300.0,0.0013,-1.2128,289.1951,256.2079,50.5622,-41.5005,17.9275,274.916,270.9063
2018-02-23,271.79,274.71,271.25,274.71,249.4516,92766400.0,0.0159,-0.7862,288.0347,256.5092,54.0595,-14.7891,12.5363,274.9357,271.1477
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982
2018-02-27,278.11,278.92,274.36,274.43,249.1974,99099200.0,-0.0125,0.005,284.6232,258.0278,53.3362,9.8809,0.0376,274.8787,271.5935

Oil Stabilizes after Overnight Skid on U.S. Inventories
AirAsia Strikes Deal on Huge Airbus Jet Sale
BOJ’s Kataoka Says More Easing Needed to Get Firms to Raise Prices
China’s Caixin PMI Edges to 6-Month High in February
Best Buy to Close Mobile-Phone Stores
Viela Bio Spins Out From AstraZeneca With Up to $250 Million
U.S. Dollar Gains 1.2% in February
China’s Anbang Takeover: What Comes Next?
Walmart, Dick’s Say They Will Stop Selling Guns to Those Under 21
U.S. Stocks Fall for Month
South Korean Exports Rise 4.0% in February
CEOs Take Sides on Gun Control at Their Own Risk
More Firings at Bank of America Amid Sexual-Misconduct Probe
Cryptocurrency Firms Targeted in SEC Probe
Jared Kushner’s Ties to Banks Under Scrutiny
GE Overhauls Board, Dumps Longest-Serving Directors, Names Outsiders
How to Cover Up Alleged Fraud? Suppress Online Comments from Disgruntled Investors, SEC Says
Deloitte’s $150 Million Mortgage Headache
Dick’s Ends Sales of Assault-Style Rifles, Raises Age for Gun Buyers
If You Didn’t Sell Stocks This Month, You’ve Probably Got FOMO
Judge Declines to Vacate MetLife Cost-Benefit Decision
Oil Prices Settle Lower After Inventory Data
Auto Supply Co. Says Rival Bidder Beats Icahn Offer at Auction
Minneapolis Fed’s Kashkari Urges Patience in Raising Rates
Cenveo Bankruptcy Gets Personal
Firm Retention Summary: Hobbico Inc.
Bank of Mexico Keeps Growth, Inflation Outlook Unchanged
Campus Recruiting Hurts Older Workers, Suit Against Accounting Firm Claims
GM Human Resources Chief Leaves After 8 Months on Job
Year-End Growth Revised Down; First  Quarter Looks Set to Slow Even More
Switzerland’s Guidance on Coin Offerings Is a First Step
Pershing Square Buys United Technologies Stake
City Officials Want Chicago to Become a Responsible Investor
Frontier Shares Plunge After Suspending Dividend, Reporting Wider Loss
Quick Hits: New York Fed to Launch New Reference Rates in April
NFL Partners With Pizza Hut a Day After Split With Papa John’s
Profile: Serving Clients by Empowering and Training Advisers
Copper Pressured by Weak Chinese Data, Dollar Rally
Canadian Business Investment Expected to Slow in 2018
American Rejects O’Hare Expansion Plan
Options of Last Resort
Castex Energy Wins Approval of Chapter 11 Plan
Transcript: Jerome Powell Fields Questions at House Panel Hearing
British Arm of Retailer Toys ’R’ Us Goes Into Administration
Chicago Business Barometer Falls in February
A Belgian Beer Scion Makes a Home in a Brewery
Bayer to Sell More Assets to Win Approval for Monsanto Deal
How to Rent a New York City Apartment Without Paying a Deposit
Powell Backs Raising SIFI Threshold | CFPB to Scrutinize Compliance Costs | Michaels’s Take: Clayton Sees Downside in Arbitration Fight
Your Love of Your Old Smartphone Is a Problem for Apple and Samsung
Why International Investors Aren’t Buying Treasurys
TripleByte Aims to Shake Up How Companies Recruit Engineers
Gene-Editing Specialist Inscripta Snags $55 Million
Zinsli’s Take: Biotech’s Virtuous Circle
Kleiner Perkins’s Hamid Leads New Round for AI-Powered Wireless Network Mist
Michaels’s Take: Clayton Sees Downside in Arbitration Fight
Eurozone Inflation Rate Falls for Third Month
Powell Backs Raising SIFI Threshold | CFPB to Scrutinize Compliance Costs | Michaels’s Take: Clayton Sees Downside in Arbitration Fight
Torry’s Take: Is it Getting Hot in Here?
Sovereign Securities for the Eurozone
Baidu Emphasizes AI as Video Unit Files for IPO in U.S.
Forecasts for Oil Prices Rise for Fifth Straight Month
Kuroda Flags Need for Gradual Exit in Change of Tack
U.S. Bankruptcy Case Has Link to India’s Growing Bank Fraud Scandal
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0145

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-03-01. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-20,272.03,273.67,270.5,271.4,246.4459,86369700.0,-0.0063,-1.3585,291.5819,256.4231,51.4175,-35.9432,20.4784,275.183,270.5675
2018-02-21,271.9,274.72,269.94,270.05,245.2201,98883700.0,-0.005,-1.3008,290.4379,256.2431,50.265,-37.8404,17.2574,275.054,270.739
2018-02-22,271.1,273.05,269.64,270.4,245.5379,110511300.0,0.0013,-1.2128,289.1951,256.2079,50.5622,-41.5005,17.9275,274.916,270.9063
2018-02-23,271.79,274.71,271.25,274.71,249.4516,92766400.0,0.0159,-0.7862,288.0347,256.5092,54.0595,-14.7891,12.5363,274.9357,271.1477
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982
2018-02-27,278.11,278.92,274.36,274.43,249.1974,99099200.0,-0.0125,0.005,284.6232,258.0278,53.3362,9.8809,0.0376,274.8787,271.5935
2018-02-28,275.68,276.19,271.29,271.65,246.673,121907800.0,-0.0101,-0.0652,283.1834,258.4566,51.0248,-18.6187,8.3682,274.7013,271.7042

Boom in Share Buybacks Renews Question of Who Wins From Tax Cuts
China’s HNA Group to Sell Its Stake in Hilton Spinoff Park Hotels & Resorts
Weinstein Co. to Sell Assets in $500 Million Deal
Japan’s Jobless Rate at Quarter-Century Low
White House Prepares to Nominate Clarida as Fed No. 2
Oil Loses Early Rebound by Midday in Asia
Zenreach Lays Off 20% of Staff After CEO Steps Back
Blackstone Chief Schwarzman Reaped $800 Million in 2017
Smith & Wesson’s Parent Cuts Forecast
GreenTech Lawyer Has Worked for Redskins Owner’s Investment Firm
Kroger to Stop Selling Guns to Buyers Under 21
Correction: Powell Started as Fed Chairman in February
Nasdaq Sues IEX Over Stock-Exchange Technology Patents
Wells Fargo’s Wealth Management Unit Under Investigation
MetLife Revises 2017 Earnings After Another Mistake
Biswas’s Take: Community Health Lenders Open Door for Company to Refinance Near-Term Debt
Powell Bullish on Economy, but Sees No Signs of Overheating
Biswas’s Take: Community Health Lenders Open Door for Company to Refinance Near-Term Debt
Holiday Shoppers Fuel Rebound at Best Buy and Kohl’s
Equifax Identifies Additional 2.4 Million Hit by 2017 Breach
Gelesis Swallows $30 Million for Weight-Loss Capsule
Overstock.com Shares Drop on SEC Cryptocurrency Probe
From Bulldozers to Beer, Tariffs Could Ripple Through U.S. Economy
Quick Hits: Bank of Canada’s Poloz Says Lack of Forward Guidance Now Accepted
Foreign Gains Seen as Cushion for Canada’s Big Banks
Oil Prices Extend Losses on Swelling U.S. Stocks
Powell Brings His Own Style in Capitol Hill Debut
Cleveland Fed Research Sheds New Light on Postcrisis Banking Concern
U.S. Dollar Down on Tariff Concerns
Liquidation Authority Is an Untested Failsafe
Customers Want Advice From Their Bank
GE Plans Wind Turbine Nearly Three Times as Tall as Statue of Liberty
Gold Falls to 2018 Low on Stronger Dollar
Weinstein Co. and N.Y. Attorney General in Last-Ditch Talks to Avert Bankruptcy
AMC’s Aging Hit ‘Walking Dead’ Loses Viewers, Crimping Ad Revenue
U.S. Sanctions, Low Oil Prices Doomed Exxon’s Russian Projects
Maker of WiseWear Fitness Wristbands Files for Bankruptcy
Senate Readies Rollback of Bank Rules
Fed’s Dudley Says Four Rate Rises in 2018 Would Still Be Gradual
Fed’s Dudley Says Trade Protectionism Is a ‘Dead End’
iHeartMedia Preparing Bankruptcy Filing
Dollar Holds Gains as Second Round of Powell Testimony Is Under Way
U.S. Jobless Claims Hit Lowest Level Since 1969
Investors Want to Talk Food Waste With Amazon
U.S. After-Tax Incomes Rise Due to Tax-Code Changes, Spending Slows
U.S. Factory Sector Activity Surges in February
What Families Need to Know to Compare Financial-Aid Packages
With Lumber in Short Supply, Record Costs Set to Juice Home Prices
Senate Readies Rollback of Bank Rules | SEC Launches Crypto Probe | Kushner’s Bank Ties Under Scrutiny | Clozel’s Take: Regulators Jockey Over Fintech
Zakrzewski’s Take: Pushing for Long-Term, Not ‘Crisis-Driven,’ Diversity Moves
A Connected-Car Platform Fuels Its Tank With NEA, Andreessen
NEA, Andrew Ng Back Mental Health Chatbot Woebot
Rubius Therapeutics Gets $100 Million   More for Red Blood Cell Therapies
Helix Raises $200 Million for Consumer Genomics
Harley-Davidson Invests in Electric-Motorcycle Maker Alta Motors
TD Bank’s Earnings Drop on Hit From  U.S. Tax Law
Burberry Turns to Former Givenchy Designer to Revive Fortunes
Cov-Lite Leveraged Loan Issuances Doubled in 2017, Leaving Investors Exposed
Clozel’s Take: Regulators Jockey Over Fintech
Senate Readies Rollback of Bank Rules | SEC Launches Crypto Probe | Kushner’s Bank Ties Under Scrutiny | Clozel’s Take: Regulators Jockey Over Fintech
Timiraos’s Take: If Powell’s Outlook Has Improved, Do the Dots Matter As Much?
Yen Could be 2017’s Euro This Year
Bill Ackman Surrenders in His Five-Year War Against Herbalife
Ad Industry’s Digital Upheaval Rocks WPP; Shares Tumble
Randles’s Take: Marijuana Doesn’t Mean Bankruptcy Dismissal
Randles’s Take: Marijuana Doesn’t Have to Mean Bankruptcy Dismissal
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0052

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-03-05. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-23,271.79,274.71,271.25,274.71,249.4516,92766400.0,0.0159,-0.7862,288.0347,256.5092,54.0595,-14.7891,12.5363,274.9357,271.1477
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982
2018-02-27,278.11,278.92,274.36,274.43,249.1974,99099200.0,-0.0125,0.005,284.6232,258.0278,53.3362,9.8809,0.0376,274.8787,271.5935
2018-02-28,275.68,276.19,271.29,271.65,246.673,121907800.0,-0.0101,-0.0652,283.1834,258.4566,51.0248,-18.6187,8.3682,274.7013,271.7042
2018-03-01,271.41,273.17,266.0,267.7,243.0861,176855100.0,-0.0145,-0.4345,281.3766,258.8434,47.9692,-57.9379,20.6496,274.3043,271.7582
2018-03-02,265.8,269.72,264.82,269.08,244.3392,139083200.0,0.0052,-0.6088,279.3753,259.5947,49.0714,-65.2218,23.107,273.969,271.8405

Australia’s RBA Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged on Soft Wages Outlook
Oil Maintains Gains in Asia as Investors Await API Data
3M Appoints Michael Roman CEO
South Korea’s CPI Rises 1.4% in February
News Corp, Telstra Agree to Combine Foxtel, Fox Sports Australia
Nordstrom Board Rejects Family’s Buyout Offer
Regulator Challenges Smucker’s Purchase of Wesson Oil Brand
Brickley’s Take: Tribune, Samson Resources Creditors Could Benefit From Safe Harbor Ruling
ESPN Gets New Chief
Brickley’s Take: Tribune, Samson Resources Creditors Could Benefit From Safe Harbor Ruling
U.S. Will Be World’s Largest Oil Producer by 2023
Private Student-Loan Lenders Have Better Practices, Oversight
U.S. Dollar Higher Against Canadian Currency
Trips Between Fed, Banks Increase Around FOMC Meetings
Airplane Parts Supplier Jet Midwest Faces Creditor Lawsuits
Shale Trailblazer Turns Skeptic on Soaring U.S. Oil Production
U.S. Supreme Court Limits Review Into Bankruptcy Judges’ Rulings on Insiders
U.S. Stocks Higher as Trade-War Fears Ease
HCR ManorCare Files for Bankruptcy
Earnings Don’t Pack Much Punch After Long Stock Rally
Oil Gains on Supply Concerns, Higher Equities
Quick Hits: Swiss National Bank Confirms Big 2017 Profit
AXA to Buy Insurer XL Group for $15.3 Billion
Firm Retention Summary: Fibrant LLC
How Are Laundry Machines and Roads Alike? They’re Infrastructure
Investor Continental Grain Is Set to Pressure Bunge to Sell Itself
Gold Inches Lower After Friday Surge
Next Up for Amazon: Checking Accounts
Malaysia’s Central Bank Expected to Keep Benchmark Rate Unchanged
Fed Considering ‘Broad Revisions’ to Volcker Rule Compliance
BOJ Nominees Show Differing Views on Potential Side Effects of Easing
Rand Logistics Emerges From Bankruptcy With New Private-Equity Owner
U.S. Services-Sector Activity Remains Robust Despite Employment Drop-Off
Voices: In Impact Investing, a Generation Gap Persists
U.S. Stocks Trade Lower
Marriage, Labor Supply and the Dynamics of the Social Safety Net
iHeartMedia Enters Forbearance After Missing Interest Payments
Is Broadcom’s Pursuit of Qualcomm a National Security Threat?
Bank of France Urges Tighter Digital Currency Regulation
Euro Slides After Populist Parties Make Strong Showing in Italian Election
A New Phase Opens on North Korea; Is the U.S. Ready?
Canadian National Railway CEO Luc Jobin Steps Down
Credit-Card Losses Surge at Small Banks | Risky Crypto Exchanges | Ackerman’s Take: Regulatory Rollback Divides Democrats
Broadcom vs. Qualcomm, Explained
Zara Turns to Robots as In-Store Pickups Surge
Davis’s Take: Foodie Investors Are Licking Their Chops
Ackerman’s Take: Regulatory Rollback Divides Democrats
Credit-Card Losses Surge at Small Banks | Risky Crypto Exchanges | Ackerman’s Take: Regulatory Rollback Divides Democrats
Hannon’s Take: Easing Out of an Easing Bias
Eurozone Retail Sales Fall for Second Straight Month
A Cacophony of Central Bankers
Berkshire Hathaway Is Again Expanding in Germany
Chicago Stock Exchange Ends Proposed Sale to Chinese Investors
Former Starbucks Chief to Help Fuse Albertsons, Rite Aid
Taxi Study Finds Increase in Trips Between Fed, Banks Around FOMC Meetings
Stech’s Take: Law Professors Push Venue Reform Bill
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0025

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2018-03-06. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982
2018-02-27,278.11,278.92,274.36,274.43,249.1974,99099200.0,-0.0125,0.005,284.6232,258.0278,53.3362,9.8809,0.0376,274.8787,271.5935
2018-02-28,275.68,276.19,271.29,271.65,246.673,121907800.0,-0.0101,-0.0652,283.1834,258.4566,51.0248,-18.6187,8.3682,274.7013,271.7042
2018-03-01,271.41,273.17,266.0,267.7,243.0861,176855100.0,-0.0145,-0.4345,281.3766,258.8434,47.9692,-57.9379,20.6496,274.3043,271.7582
2018-03-02,265.8,269.72,264.82,269.08,244.3392,139083200.0,0.0052,-0.6088,279.3753,259.5947,49.0714,-65.2218,23.107,273.969,271.8405
2018-03-05,267.73,272.89,267.61,272.19,247.1633,97307400.0,0.0116,-0.4904,278.9009,259.7431,51.4683,-31.0998,13.0527,273.695,271.9905

Weinstein Deal Falls Through, Bankruptcy Filing Looms
Smith & Wesson Wary on ‘Smart Guns’
Fed’s Brainard Sees Rate Rises as Appropriate as Inflation Firms
Oprah Winfrey Sells Some Shares in Weight Watchers
Oil Futures Hit by API Data, Risk-Off Sentiment
Australia’s GDP Growth Disappoints in 4th Quarter
Smucker, Conagra Call Off Wesson Oil Deal
UiPath Tops $1 Billion Valuation With Latest Capital Raise
Despite Rising Yields, Most Companies Bide Their Time on Debt
U.S. Jewelry Sellers Linked to Indian Bank Scandal Consider Bankruptcy Sale
Uses for Blockchain Are Limited
Exchanges Want Fintech Collaborations, Not Acquisitions
Scurria’s Take: Puerto Rico Energy Regulator Throws Wrench in Privatization
Scurria’s Take: Puerto Rico Energy Regulator Throws Wrench in Privatization
Dollar Down Amid Continued Uncertainty Over Trade
U.S. Stocks Rise as Tariff Plans Face Pushback
Big Oil CEOs ‘Not Losing Any Sleep’ Over Peak Oil Demand
Why Washington Is So Obsessed With China’s Huawei
Oil Edges Higher, Takes Cue From Stocks
NYSE to Pay $14 Million Over 2015 Trading Malfunctions
Australia’s Central-Bank Chief Sees Economy Moving in Right Direction
HCR ManorCare Reorganization Plan Includes Settlement With Ex-CEO
S&P Global Buys Startup in Artificial-Intelligence Push
Royal Bank of Scotland Settles Over Mortgage Securities
Footwear Retailer The Walking Company Files ‘Chapter 22’ Bankruptcy
Firm Retention Summary: Ascent Resources Marcellus Holdings LLC
Quick Hits: ECB Easing Bias at Odds With Conditions, Fitch Says
Big Banks Get a Big Win in Senate Rollback Bill
Target Touts Strong Sales as Proof Its Plan Is Working
Weaker Dollar Lifts Gold
BOJ’s Kuroda Plans No Policy Exit Before Meeting Inflation Target
BOE’s Haldane Slams Central-Bank Speak, Promises to Listen
Inflation Clarity Eludes the Fed and Markets
Abraaj Weighs Job Cuts as Investors Review Their Holdings
Central Banks’ Gender Balance Deteriorates
The New ID Theft: Millions of Credit Applicants Who Don’t Exist
Former Co-op Bank Chairman Flowers Banned From Financial Services
UPS Picks a New No. 2 Executive, Setting Up a CEO Successor
NBER Paper Examines Impact of Unconventional Fiscal Policy
VoxEU Post Studies Convergence in Emerging-Market Inflation
Roscoe’s Survival Plan Faces Next Test: Creditor Vote
Dollar Extends Weakness as Rivals Recover From Trade War Fears
CenturyLink CEO to Retire Sooner Than Expected
Fed’s Kaplan: Central Bank Should Get Started on Rate Increases ‘Soon’
One Win for Megabanks in Deregulatory Bill | Amazon Eyes Checking Accounts | Hayashi’s Take: CFPB Reboot Enters the Slow Lane
Light Beers Try to Get Fancy
Shakeout Looms for ‘Digital Therapeutics’ Market
Chernova’s Take: Sequoia, SoftBank War Chests Are Signs of the Times
Whoop Scores $25 Million for Sports Performance Wearable
Lego Struggles to Pick Itself Up
UnitedHealth Will Pass Drug Rebates Directly to Some Consumers
Hayashi’s Take: CFPB Reboot Enters the Slow Lane
One Win for Megabanks in Deregulatory Bill | Amazon Eyes Checking Accounts | Hayashi’s Take: CFPB Reboot Enters the Slow Lane
Fairless’s Take: ECB May Hesitate in Face of Market Volatility
Citigroup, Kabbage Form Consortium on Fintech Cybersecurity
Global Inflation Stalled in January
Central Banks Caught in A Pincer Movement
South Africa’s Ruling Party Withdraws Motion to Nationalize Central Bank
Upskill Raises $17 Million for Enterprise Augmented Reality
McDonald’s Puts Fresh Beef on the Menu
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0004

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2018-03-07. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982
2018-02-27,278.11,278.92,274.36,274.43,249.1974,99099200.0,-0.0125,0.005,284.6232,258.0278,53.3362,9.8809,0.0376,274.8787,271.5935
2018-02-28,275.68,276.19,271.29,271.65,246.673,121907800.0,-0.0101,-0.0652,283.1834,258.4566,51.0248,-18.6187,8.3682,274.7013,271.7042
2018-03-01,271.41,273.17,266.0,267.7,243.0861,176855100.0,-0.0145,-0.4345,281.3766,258.8434,47.9692,-57.9379,20.6496,274.3043,271.7582
2018-03-02,265.8,269.72,264.82,269.08,244.3392,139083200.0,0.0052,-0.6088,279.3753,259.5947,49.0714,-65.2218,23.107,273.969,271.8405
2018-03-05,267.73,272.89,267.61,272.19,247.1633,97307400.0,0.0116,-0.4904,278.9009,259.7431,51.4683,-31.0998,13.0527,273.695,271.9905
2018-03-06,273.3,273.39,271.18,272.88,247.7899,79213200.0,0.0025,-0.3369,279.1213,260.4177,51.987,-11.2656,11.517,273.368,272.1512

Reports of Problems at Crypto Exchange Send Bitcoin Tumbling
Australia’s Trade Balance Recovers, Posts Healthy Surplus
Two Wynn Resorts Board Members Will Step Down
Something’s Brewing: Coca-Cola Plans Its First Alcoholic Drink
Lawmakers Expand Scope of Senate Bank-Deregulation Bill
Oil Stabilizes After Record US Output Fueled Wednesday Drop
Japan’s Economy Grew at Much Faster Pace in 4th Quarter
Bankruptcy Is Often Too Costly for Small Businesses, Senate Panel Hears
Maersk Ship Still Ablaze, as Search-and-Rescue Under Way
Australia’s Student-Loan Revamp Offers Lessons for U.S.
Stress Tests Shift, But Don’t Reduce, Small-Business Lending
Some Steel and Aluminum Makers to Restart Plant Operations Amid Tariff Plans
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher as Investors Await Tariff Details
Berkshire Unit Ordered to Pay Millions for Asbestos-Related Settlement
Banks Want a Bigger Piece of Your Student Loan
Trade War Fears Pressure Metals Prices
Nursing-Home Operator Orianna Health Systems Files for Bankruptcy
Dow Industrials Fall as Cohn’s Exit Adds to Trade Concerns
Firm Retention Summary: The Walking Company Holdings Inc.
Oil Prices Fall as U.S. Production Climbs
Opioid Settlement Talks Hit Headwinds
KPMG Acts Globally but Keeps Scandals Local
Rizzo’s Take: Stakeholders Behind Titanic Artifacts Enter Mediation
SEC Warns Investors on Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Transcript: William Dudley Takes Questions at Brazil’s Central Bank
Fresh Evidence of Flaring Wage Growth Appeared in Fed’s Beige Book
Transcript: Atlanta Fed’s Bostic Speaks With Reporters in Florida
Otting Is Recused From Making Decisions on Five Banks
Transcript: Lael Brainard Takes Questions From Money Marketeers
GOP Lawmakers Open to More Funding for CFTC
ECB Doesn’t Object to Luis de Guindos Becoming Vice President
On Managing Sudden Wealth
GE Power, in Need of a Lift, Chases Tesla, Siemens in Batteries
Mt. Gox Trustee Sells $400 Million of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash
Spotify Picks Citadel Securities to Handle NYSE Debut
HD Media May Bid for Charleston Gazette-Mail Owner
The Secretive Company That Pours America’s Coffee
Dollar Reverses Losses Spurred by Cohn’s Resignation
Fed’s Bostic Says Trade Wars Aren’t Easy and Winnable
U.S. Trade Deficit Widened Again in January
Wells Fargo Urged to Pause Growth of College Partnerships
U.S. Soybean Farmers Fear China Will Retaliate for Steel Tariffs
Charles Scharf Has Chance to Be the Best Leader at This Bank Since Alexander Hamilton
Iran’s Oil Boom Is a No-Show
Metals Flash Warning Sign as Trade Talk Adds to Economic Worries
ADP: U.S. Private Sector Added 235,000 Jobs in February
U.S. Productivity Growth Stalls
Cohn Resigns | Banks Angle for Student Loans | Rubin’s Take: Meeting Tweet Sparks Acrimony
Papa John’s Wants to Get Back to Making Pizzas
Eurozone Exports Drove Economic Growth
Zinsli’s Take: Honey, I Shrunk Our Multiples
Atomwise Steps on Gas to Accelerate Chemistry
Rubin’s Take: Acrimony on the Road to Harmony
Cohn Resigns | Banks Angle for Student Loans | Rubin’s Take: Meeting Tweet Sparks Acrimony
Timiraos’s Take: Fiscal Stimulus Resolved the Fed’s Inflation Conundrum
Turkish Central Bank Keeps Interest Rates on Hold
ABC Juices ‘American Idol’ Salaries
Bank of Japan to Keep Mum on Exit Details
Low Rates Spur Reach for Yield
Bank Indonesia Managing Rupiah to Reflect Fundamentals
Malaysian Central Bank Stands Pat on Benchmark Rate
Maersk Ship Catches Fire in Arabian Sea; Four Crew Members Are Missing
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0048

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-03-08 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-02-26,275.93,278.01,275.26,277.9,252.3484,86491400.0,0.0116,-0.1886,286.3721,257.3039,56.42,21.3369,2.5715,274.995,271.3982
2018-02-27,278.11,278.92,274.36,274.43,249.1974,99099200.0,-0.0125,0.005,284.6232,258.0278,53.3362,9.8809,0.0376,274.8787,271.5935
2018-02-28,275.68,276.19,271.29,271.65,246.673,121907800.0,-0.0101,-0.0652,283.1834,258.4566,51.0248,-18.6187,8.3682,274.7013,271.7042
2018-03-01,271.41,273.17,266.0,267.7,243.0861,176855100.0,-0.0145,-0.4345,281.3766,258.8434,47.9692,-57.9379,20.6496,274.3043,271.7582
2018-03-02,265.8,269.72,264.82,269.08,244.3392,139083200.0,0.0052,-0.6088,279.3753,259.5947,49.0714,-65.2218,23.107,273.969,271.8405
2018-03-05,267.73,272.89,267.61,272.19,247.1633,97307400.0,0.0116,-0.4904,278.9009,259.7431,51.4683,-31.0998,13.0527,273.695,271.9905
2018-03-06,273.3,273.39,271.18,272.88,247.7899,79213200.0,0.0025,-0.3369,279.1213,260.4177,51.987,-11.2656,11.517,273.368,272.1512
2018-03-07,270.42,273.18,270.2,272.78,247.6991,87063500.0,-0.0004,-0.2209,279.3933,260.5107,51.9038,-12.7085,13.9655,273.0177,272.2963

Oil Futures See Morning Gains Fade in Asia
Wynn Resorts Settlement Removes a Barrier to Stake Sale by Steve Wynn
Firm Retention Summary: Ascent Resources Marcellus Holdings LLC
China’s Consumer Inflation at Over 4-Year High in February
Slow Fed Balance Sheet Unwind May Be Destabilizing Markets, Fed’s George Says
Voya to Pay $3.6 Million to Settle SEC Charges
Bank of Canada Warns Trade Disputes Can Have ‘Serious Consequences’
Disney Shareholders Don’t Endorse Compensation Plan for CEO Iger
J&J Says Discounts Cut the Prices for Its Drugs, Though Revenue Rose
Toys ‘R’ Us Considers Closing All of Its U.S. Stores
Democrats’ Reasons for Bank Deregulation Ring Hollow
A Dollar of Fraud Costs $2.67 to a Financial Firm
Soured Lehman Mortgage Claims Valued at $2.4 Billion
Mortgage Rates at a Four-Year High Threaten to Roil Housing
Tellurian, Chesapeake Energy Held Talks on Louisiana Fields
U.S. Household Net Worth Pushes Further Into Record Territory
Harvey Gulf International Marine Files for Bankruptcy
Trump Brings Republicans to Moment of Truth on Trade
U.S. Stocks Rise as Trump Suggests Flexibility in Tariffs
Cobalt’s Bankruptcy Payment Plan Disappoints Junior Creditors
Hess Wins Peace With Activist Investor
Bancomext Accuses M&G of Diverting Loan Proceeds
Oil Slides After U.S. Stock Build, Record Output
Mexican Antitrust Commission Closes Railway Investigation
Copper Extends Slide on Demand Worries
Quick Hits: ECB’s Drop of Easing Bias Seen as ‘Largely Cosmetic’
Kroger Shares Drop as Battle With Amazon Cuts Into Profits
Uncertain Future for Traffic Shoes
Euro Falls Against Dollar Following ECB Monetary Policy Meeting
Merrill Lynch Settles SEC Claims Over Sale of Chinese Company’s Shares
Texas Regulators Approve Sempra’s $9.45 Billion Oncor Buyout
Rejections Pile Up for Chinese Firms Seeking Listings at Home
The Fed’s New Focus Is Changing Market Relationships
Brazil Central Bank Paper Studies Economic Growth and Volatility
How to Harness Mental Accounting to Instill Good Financial Habits
5 Takeaways From the ECB’s Policy Announcement
Mexican Consumer Prices Slowed Further in February
Draghi Criticizes Proposed U.S. Tariffs as ECB Signals Tighter Policy
Euro Reverses Gains as Draghi Warns on Inflation, Trade
SAP Finds Signs of Misconduct at Its South African Unit
U.S. Jobless Claims Rise
Free Credit Freezes for All | Senate Bank Bill Expanded | SEC Warns on Crypto Exchanges | Deng’s Take: Deleveraging With Chinese Characteristics
Lockheed to Pentagon: Pay More Now for Cheaper Jets Later
Davis’s Take: Crypto Cowboys Ready to Lay Down the Law
Khosla Backs Smart Mattress Maker Eight Sleep
Soup’s On: Ancient Nutrition Gets $100 Million Boost for Protein Supplement
Deng’s Take: Deleveraging With Chinese Characteristics
Mining Giants Face Blow From World’s No. 1 Cobalt Producer
Free Credit Freezes for All | Senate Bank Bill Expanded | SEC Warns on Crypto Exchanges | Deng’s Take: Deleveraging With Chinese Characteristics
Timiraos’s Take: What Fed Officials Are Watching in Friday’s Jobs Report
Harvard Economists Join Chorus of Tax-Law Skeptics
Welders, Axle Makers and Others Fear Costs of Trump’s Steel Tariffs
Free Credit Freezes Coming for All U.S. Consumers
Japan Suspends Trading on Two Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Magic Leap Raises $461 Million Led by Saudi Public Investment Fund
Moody’s Downgrades Turkey Over High External Risks
China’s Exports Surge Despite Trade Tensions
ECB Contends With Inflation, Trade Risks as It Weighs Stimulus Exit
Rizzo’s Take: Stakeholders Behind Titanic Artifacts Enter Mediation
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0174

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-03-12. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-03-02,265.8,269.72,264.82,269.08,244.3392,139083200.0,0.0052,-0.6088,279.3753,259.5947,49.0714,-65.2218,23.107,273.969,271.8405
2018-03-05,267.73,272.89,267.61,272.19,247.1633,97307400.0,0.0116,-0.4904,278.9009,259.7431,51.4683,-31.0998,13.0527,273.695,271.9905
2018-03-06,273.3,273.39,271.18,272.88,247.7899,79213200.0,0.0025,-0.3369,279.1213,260.4177,51.987,-11.2656,11.517,273.368,272.1512
2018-03-07,270.42,273.18,270.2,272.78,247.6991,87063500.0,-0.0004,-0.2209,279.3933,260.5107,51.9038,-12.7085,13.9655,273.0177,272.2963
2018-03-08,273.55,274.24,272.42,274.1,248.8977,66901200.0,0.0048,-0.0221,279.8249,260.7221,52.9319,10.1752,10.4322,272.715,272.4395
2018-03-09,275.7,278.87,275.34,278.87,253.2292,113625300.0,0.0174,0.5144,279.6049,263.0661,56.4147,68.0206,3.5322,272.5673,272.6488

What Goes Around Comes Around: Energy Prices Dig Into Miners’ Profits
Firm Retention Summary: Fallbrook Technologies Inc.
Negative Sentiment Continue to Weigh on Oil Prices
U.S. Federal Budget Gap Widens
Goldman Pushes Past Trading Roots With Executive Shift
Hedge Funds Bet on Volatility
Geico to Stop Using Education and Occupation in Setting Auto Rates in New York
Bank of America Proxy Says CEO Made 250 Times More Than Median Employee
GE’s Top Executives Miss Out on Cash Bonuses for the First Time
Bon-Ton Bondholders to Team Up With Liquidators in Bid for Retailer
House Panel Probes Alleged Puerto Rico Utility Corruption
Oxford Spinout OxSyBio Lures Investors to ‘Bio-Printing’ Technology
U.S. Dollar Weakens
Wynn Resorts Drops Litigation Against Former Largest Shareholder Kazuo Okada
Lynn Tilton Puts Zohar Investment Vehicles Into Bankruptcy
Asia’s Boardrooms Have More Women—but It Isn’t Enough
HNA in Talks to Sell Hilton Stake a Year After Investing
Nonbanks Expand in Mortgage Markets but Have Liquidity Risks
Breitburn Energy to Increase Recoveries for Retail Bondholders
OPEC Price Fight Weighs on Oil
Digital Money From Central Banks Would Pose Risks, BIS Panel Finds
Scurria’s Take: Time Running Out for Smooth Noble Restructuring
Orexigen Plans to Sell Itself Through Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Why Tariffs Mean Your Next Car Might Cost $300 More
Quick Hits: New York Fed Finds Uptick in Inflation Expectations
Another Exchange Jumps on Bitcoin Bandwagon
Johnson Controls to Complete Strategic Review of Vehicle-Battery Business
Is Time Running Out for the Swiss Watch Industry?
The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment
Democrats’ Path to a November Majority Has Hurdles
Are You Underpaid? U.S. Firms Reveal How Much They Pay Workers
Why Estate-Tax Changes Won’t Diminish Clients’ Philanthropy
Are Interest Rates Really Low?
Nucor to Build New Florida Steel Mill as Domestic Producers Study Tariff Impact
Employment Trends Index Rose for February
WSJ Dollar Index Little Changed
Clorox to Buy Dietary-Supplement Maker Nutranext for $700 Million
Sempra Says CEO Will Retire, Board Will Expand by One
China Regulators Encourage Banks to Issue More Bonds
Zakrzewski’s Take: No One-Size Approach to Reporting Sexual Harassment at VC Firms
Cleantech Company Tae Launches Life-Sciences Venture
Bird Quickly Grabs $100 Million for Scooter-Sharing Service
Bank Bill Exposes Democratic Rifts | U.S. Tells States to Back Off on Student Loans | Michaels’s Take: Testing the ‘Kickback’ Theory of Exchange Incentives
Dow Chemical CEO to Depart
Michaels’s Take: Testing the ‘Kickback’ Theory of Exchange Incentives
Bank Bill Exposes Democratic Rifts | U.S. Tells States to Back Off on Student Loans | Michaels’s Take: Testing the ‘Kickback’ Theory of Exchange Incentives
Harrison’s Take: At the Fed, Where You Stand Depends On Where You Sit
Investors Pare Back Riskier Bets, Worry Goldilocks Market Is Ending
Central Bank “Superforecasters”
Threats to Central Bank Independence
‘Wrinkle in Time’ Outpaced at Box Office by Month-Old ‘Black Panther’
German Energy Giants E.On and RWE to Swap Some Assets
Stech’s Take: Senate Democrats Propose Making Private Student Loans Dischargeable—Again
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0065

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2018-03-13. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-03-05,267.73,272.89,267.61,272.19,247.1633,97307400.0,0.0116,-0.4904,278.9009,259.7431,51.4683,-31.0998,13.0527,273.695,271.9905
2018-03-06,273.3,273.39,271.18,272.88,247.7899,79213200.0,0.0025,-0.3369,279.1213,260.4177,51.987,-11.2656,11.517,273.368,272.1512
2018-03-07,270.42,273.18,270.2,272.78,247.6991,87063500.0,-0.0004,-0.2209,279.3933,260.5107,51.9038,-12.7085,13.9655,273.0177,272.2963
2018-03-08,273.55,274.24,272.42,274.1,248.8977,66901200.0,0.0048,-0.0221,279.8249,260.7221,52.9319,10.1752,10.4322,272.715,272.4395
2018-03-09,275.7,278.87,275.34,278.87,253.2292,113625300.0,0.0174,0.5144,279.6049,263.0661,56.4147,68.0206,3.5322,272.5673,272.6488
2018-03-12,279.2,279.91,278.08,278.52,252.9113,71924800.0,-0.0013,0.9009,279.6588,264.7142,56.0996,90.9914,6.375,272.2987,272.8445

BOJ Gov. Kuroda Says Smooth Exit Possible, But Not Just Yet
Oil Pulls Back From Session Highs in Asia
BOJ Minutes Show Continued Concern Over Policy Side Effects
A New Black Mark for United as Dog Dies in Overhead Bin
China’s Sovereign Fund Sells Out of Pre-Crisis Blackstone Investment
A Manhattan Landlord Connects With Online Retail Upstarts
Orexigen to Use Some Bankruptcy Financing on Advertising
Escalier Biosciences Grabs $19 Million, Seeks to Fill Psoriasis Care Gap
U.S. Dollar Edges Lower on Soft Inflation, Tillerson Exit
Donors Bought Bipartisanship for the Deregulation Bill
Mediterranean Gas Bounty Suddenly Seems Within Big Oil’s Reach
Zohar Funds Bankruptcy Stalls Efforts to Oust Lynn Tilton
Buy Commercial Property for the Income, Study Says
U.S. Stocks Decline on Weakness in Tech, Financial Shares
Oil Prices Fall Amid Growing U.S. Output
Gasoline Prices Fall in Wake of EPA Deal With Bankrupt Refiner
Duff & Phelps to Buy Corporate-Investigations Firm Kroll
Merrill Lynch Bolsters Business Serving Richest Clients
Amazon Recalls Portable Battery Chargers
Appvion Lenders Approved as Lead Bidders for Paper Maker’s Assets
DSW Abandons E-commerce Start-Up Ebuys
Alibaba Leads $866 Million Investment in Ofo
Gold Rises After Inflation Data, Tillerson Departure
Yerak’s Take: Wells Fargo, Bank of America to Provide Exit Financing to Motorsport Aftermarket
Bank of Canada’s Poloz: Nafta Worries Already Hurting Investment
U.K. Economy Expected to Grow at Faster Pace
KPMG, Deloitte, BDO To Pay Fines Over Audit At South African Company
Dick’s Says Firearms Restrictions Turned Away Some Customers
Quick Hits: Inflation Data Seen Supporting Fed Rate Rise Next Week
Penthouse Trustee Exploring Sale Process for Publisher’s Assets
Inflation Cooled in February
Two Trade Groups for Big Banks to Combine
Gun Maker Remington Plans to File for Bankruptcy Protection
The Fed Must Teach Markets a Lesson on Inflation
Fed Research Suggests Buildup in Manufacturing Labor Shortage
Why Successful Succession Planning Must Factor In Growth
NBER Paper Examines Keynes Letter to FDR
Trump’s White House Recycling of Staff Sends Dollar Falling
San Miguel Aims to Raise Up to $3 Billion in Share Sale
Quiche in, Beer Out of U.K.’s Official Inflation Basket
Bank of America Unveils Pay Ratio | Solomon Is Goldman’s Heir Apparent | Blackstone’s Take: Switzerland’s Money-Creation Experiment
Chernova’s Take: When Crypto Investors Offer More Than Cash
Wefarm Raises Seed to Bring Data-Sharing to Farmers in Africa
Small-Business Optimism Index Rises in February
Trade Conflicts Threaten Global Growth, Says OECD
Blackstone’s Take: Switzerland’s Negative Rates Out of Sync With Improving Economy
Bank of America Unveils Pay Ratio | Solomon Is Goldman’s Heir Apparent | Blackstone’s Take: Switzerland’s Money-Creation Experiment
Blackstone’s Take: Switzerland’s Money-Creation Experiment
The Costs and Benefits of Cooperation in Bank Supervision
How Your Returns Are Used Against You at Best Buy, Other Retailers
Hacked Japanese Crypto Exchange Pays Back Customers
Scurria’s Take: Time Running Out for Smooth Noble Restructuring
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0051

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2018-03-14 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2018-03-05,267.73,272.89,267.61,272.19,247.1633,97307400.0,0.0116,-0.4904,278.9009,259.7431,51.4683,-31.0998,13.0527,273.695,271.9905
2018-03-06,273.3,273.39,271.18,272.88,247.7899,79213200.0,0.0025,-0.3369,279.1213,260.4177,51.987,-11.2656,11.517,273.368,272.1512
2018-03-07,270.42,273.18,270.2,272.78,247.6991,87063500.0,-0.0004,-0.2209,279.3933,260.5107,51.9038,-12.7085,13.9655,273.0177,272.2963
2018-03-08,273.55,274.24,272.42,274.1,248.8977,66901200.0,0.0048,-0.0221,279.8249,260.7221,52.9319,10.1752,10.4322,272.715,272.4395
2018-03-09,275.7,278.87,275.34,278.87,253.2292,113625300.0,0.0174,0.5144,279.6049,263.0661,56.4147,68.0206,3.5322,272.5673,272.6488
2018-03-12,279.2,279.91,278.08,278.52,252.9113,71924800.0,-0.0013,0.9009,279.6588,264.7142,56.0996,90.9914,6.375,272.2987,272.8445
2018-03-13,279.84,280.41,276.03,276.72,251.2768,91968900.0,-0.0065,1.0499,279.7505,265.7605,54.4808,83.4696,0.1561,272.0333,273.0107

Theranos Founder Elizabeth Holmes Charged With Fraud
Oil Futures Maintain Modest Overnight Gains
Wells Fargo Paid CEO Timothy Sloan $17.4 Million Last Year
Senate Passes Bill Easing Banking Rules
Disney Sets Stage for Succession Race With Operational Overhaul
United Plans New Animal Tags After Dog Death
Proposal Would Loosen Grip of FICO Score for Mortgages
Sears’s Sales Tumble as Financial Pressure Mounts
Weak Consumer Spending Presents a Puzzle
Former Equifax Executive Charged With Insider Trading
Judge Ousts CEO of Bankrupt Legal Plan Provider
U.S. Dollar Edges Lower
Toys ‘R’ Us Tells Workers It Will Likely Close All U.S. Stores
Exchanges’ Fees and Rebates Could Get a Cut
U.S. Stocks Fall on Renewed Trade Worries
Tempers Flare in U.S.-EU Spat Over Clearinghouse Supervision
Strong Chinese Economic Data Boosts Copper
Biswas’s Take: iHeartMedia Seeks to Get Two-Thirds of Creditors on Board Before Filing
Glencore’s Cobalt Sale Helps China’s Drive to Build Electric Vehicles
Transport Shares Shine After Slow Start to 2018
EV Energy to Restructure Through Bankruptcy
EU to Force Banks to Set Aside More Capital to Tackle Bad Loans
Oil Prices Rise on Falling Fuel Inventory
Trump’s CFPB Changes Outlook on Credit-Card Risks
Icahn Taps Tech Executive to Prepare for Proxy Fight With Xerox
Signet Jewelers to Close 200 Stores
Société Générale Executive Valet Resigns
Orianna Health Systems Seeks OK of Settlement With Landlord
Mutual Funds Win as SEC Proposes to Keep Lid on Liquidity Disclosures
Billionaire Raises His Bet on Containerships
Quick Hits: Europe Should Move Past Divisions, Says ECB’s Villeroy de Galhau
Courting Crypto: Barclays Breaks Rank With Coinbase Deal
U.S. Probes Mexico’s Cemex Over Payments Tied to Colombia Project
New York Fed Paper Looks at Mortgage Rate Conundrum
Zara Sharpens Focus on Digital
Rising Services Costs Help Drive U.S. Business Prices Higher
U.K. Insurer Prudential Splits Into Two
On Focusing Your Practice on a Niche
Saudi Arabia Signals Commitment to Oil-Production Cuts
What’s the Biggest Trade on the New York Stock Exchange? The Last One
Dollar Claws Back Gains, as Euro Weakens after Draghi Comments
Workplace Diversity Efforts Face Legal Challenges From White Men
Lawmakers, Farm Groups Outline Fix for Tax Conundrum
China Slaps Company With Record Stock-Manipulation Fine
VW Brand Chief Welcomes Debate on Auto Tariffs
Zinsli’s Take: How Long Will IPO Restraint Last?
New Funding Fuels Parachute Health’s Quest to Eliminate Faxes
Ackerman’s Take: What Will the House Do With the Bank Bill?
FICO’s Lock on Mortgage Credit Scores Under Fire | 10 Years After Bear Stearns Bailout | Ackerman’s Take: What Will the House Do With the Bank Bill?
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Douglas’s Take: Benign or Malign? Either Way it Means Higher Rates
Iceland’s Central Bank Keeps Key Rate at 4.25%
Market Volatility, U.S. Trade Rhetoric Threaten ECB’s Bond-Buying Plans
Fedspeak Cheat Sheet: What Fed Officials Said Ahead of Their March Meeting
Bank Indonesia Sees Stability Returning to Rupiah
Yerak’s Take: Wells Fargo, Bank of America to Provide Exit Financing to Motorsport Aftermarket
The Fine Print: What’s in the Senate Financial-Regulation Bill
Railroad Irks Workers by Using Drones as Supervisors
Walmart to Offer Home Delivery of Groceries in 100 Cities
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0011

Rejected response: Fall