Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2017-10-12 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-02,251.49,252.32,251.29,252.32,227.9551,59023000.0,0.0043,1.2077,252.4435,246.1225,62.9628,130.2586,21.099,247.929,246.9385
2017-10-03,252.32,252.89,252.23,252.86,228.443,66810200.0,0.0021,1.3416,252.7866,246.4594,63.8953,145.5448,25.5594,248.261,247.1133
2017-10-04,252.69,253.44,252.56,253.16,228.714,55953600.0,0.0012,1.4551,253.2023,246.6697,64.4104,149.4038,29.6609,248.5183,247.2962
2017-10-05,253.54,254.68,253.2,254.66,230.0692,63522800.0,0.0059,1.6472,253.8961,246.7549,66.8559,177.1184,37.9062,248.855,247.4737
2017-10-06,254.15,254.7,253.85,254.37,229.8072,80646000.0,-0.0011,1.7557,254.2647,247.1653,65.9495,173.8529,38.0314,249.201,247.6395
2017-10-09,254.63,254.7,253.65,253.95,229.4277,35803100.0,-0.0017,1.7872,254.7057,247.1983,64.6367,158.4955,35.118,249.514,247.7793
2017-10-10,254.6,255.05,253.98,254.62,230.033,43057400.0,0.0026,1.845,255.2464,247.1146,65.7615,163.9476,37.5824,249.849,247.9308
2017-10-11,254.51,255.02,254.32,255.02,230.3944,47674300.0,0.0016,1.9012,255.8017,247.0443,66.4211,157.1778,37.5824,250.188,248.0868

FAA Orders Inspections of Engines on Most A380s
Australia Household Debt, Home Prices Remains Focus for RBA
Amazon Suspends Entertainment Chief Roy Price
Oil Futures Builds on Early Rebound in Asian Trade
Chevron Loses Taste for Oil in Great Australian Bight
Outcome, a Hot Tech Startup, Misled Advertisers With Manipulated Information, Sources Say
HP Forecasts a Good 2018 for Profit
Goldman Sachs to Lend to House-Flippers
Peru’s Central Bank Leaves Reference Interest Rate Unchanged
Police Look Anew at Allegations Against Harvey Weinstein
Equifax Removes Webpage to Investigate Possible Hacking
Spruce Biosciences Grabs $20 Million Series A to Tackle Genetic Disease
Hostess Latest Food Maker to Plan Leadership Change
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Central Bankers Use Moment of Calm to Debate How to Fight Next Crisis
CFPB Unevenly Regulates Mortgage Lenders
Big Banks’ Lending to Small Business Slow to Recover
Westinghouse Seeks to Tap Bankruptcy Loan to Shore Up Global Nuclear Business
Breitburn Energy Releases Plan to Get Out of Chapter 11
Cord-Cutters Sap AT&T’s TV Business
Stech’s Take: Maryland Bankruptcy Judge Cancels a Borrower’s Private Student Loan
Georgia Carpet Maker Seeks Judge’s Blessing for $90 Million Sale
ECB Official Warns About Extending Bond-Buying Programs
Dollar Pares Gains
Judge Issues Temporary Restraining Order in Energy Future-Vistra Tax Fight
U.S. Stocks Decline as Banks Kick Off Earnings
Transcript: Discussion With Bernanke, Draghi, Brainard, Hildebrand and Posen
Star Fidelity Manager Fired Over Sexual Harassment Allegations
Bank of England Chief Economist Warns Against Loosening Financial Rules
Citigroup’s Profits Rise, Buoyed by Cost Cuts
Correction: Trump Interviewed Taylor on Wednesday
Cost Cuts, Credit-Card Lending Buoy Bank Earnings
Quintessential HSBC Insider Takes the Helm
Firm Retention Summary: GST AutoLeather Inc.
Oil Prices Fall on Rising U.S. Production Concerns
New York Landlords Have to Work Harder to Profit From Airbnb
Equifax Hack Drives GOP Bill to Overhaul Credit Bureaus
Buyer Agrees to Pay $9.4 Million for Sam Wyly’s Dallas Mansion
Mexican Central Bankers Wary of Nafta Negotiation Risks
Weinstein Books Imprint Terminated by Hachette Book Group
Fed Is Ignoring Actual Inflation Data
Fed’s Fischer: Flexible Inflation Targeting Makes ‘Some Sense’
Menlo, Social Capital Lead eShares Funding
Danish Bank Under Probe in France Over Magnitsky Money-Laundering
Draghi Says ECB’s Negative Rates Have Been a Success
Fed’s Powell Strikes Optimistic Tone on Global Economy
Oregon’s Retirement-Savings Plan Faces Legal Challenge
ECB’s Praet: Low Inflation Requires Continued Accommodative Policy
5 Things to Watch in Wells Fargo’s Results
5 Things to Watch in Bank of America’s Results
U.S. Monetary Policy as a Changing Driver of Global Liquidity
J.P. Morgan’s Profits Up on Lending Boost
Fed’s Brainard: Neutral Interest Rate May Pose Risks to Inflation Expectations
Bitcoin Surges Above $5,200 on Hopes of Renewed China Trade
HSBC Names John Flint as Chief Executive
WSJ Survey: Most Economists Expect Next Fed Rate Rise in December
Economists Split Over GOP Tax Plan’s Long-Term Effects on Growth
New York Shifts Course on Big Buildings on Far East Side
Southwest Airlines to Launch Hawaii Service
New York AG Eric Schneiderman Probing Deloitte Hack
There Could Be Good News for Puerto Rico Bondholders
Bernanke Suggests Letting Inflation Rise More Following Downturns
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell for the Second Week
Eurozone Factory Output Jumps, Lending Comfort to ECB
EUR/GBP Jumps Above 0.90 on Downbeat Barnier Comments
Japan Says Metal Scandal Threatens Country’s Reputation for Quality
SoftBank Dangles Path to Skip IPOs
Rich List: China Has Almost 100 More Billionaires Than the U.S.
Exclusive: Bill to Rein In Credit Bureaus | WSJ Survey: Warsh Tipped as Fed Pick | Hayashi’s Take: Banks’ Entry Into Small-Dollar Lending
Davis’s Take: VC Turns Its Attention to Jobs
Meet the Mining Industry’s Newest Mogul
Hayashi’s Take: Will Banks Jump Into Small-Dollar Lending? It’s Complicated
Exclusive: Bill to Rein In Credit Bureaus | WSJ Survey: Warsh Tipped as Fed Pick | Hayashi’s Take: Banks’ Entry Into Small-Dollar Lending
Torry’s Take: Fed Divisions Raising Suspense In The Low Inflation Mystery
China Bars HNA Unit From Funding Parent
Chinese Trading Muddles a Popular Signal of Global Growth
The Impact of BOJ Equity Purchases
Global Oil Supply Lifted by Steady U.S. Production, IEA Says
StanChart Seeks Investors in Power Company at Center of Bribery Probe
BNP Paribas to Stop Financing Shale, Oil Sands Projects
China Polishes Markets as It Cleans House for Big Party
Biswas’s Take: Ratings Agency Divines Credit-Cycle Peak in Corporate Debt-Binge Statistics
Startup Funding Surges on SoftBank Deals
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0012

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-10-16. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-06,254.15,254.7,253.85,254.37,229.8072,80646000.0,-0.0011,1.7557,254.2647,247.1653,65.9495,173.8529,38.0314,249.201,247.6395
2017-10-09,254.63,254.7,253.65,253.95,229.4277,35803100.0,-0.0017,1.7872,254.7057,247.1983,64.6367,158.4955,35.118,249.514,247.7793
2017-10-10,254.6,255.05,253.98,254.62,230.033,43057400.0,0.0026,1.845,255.2464,247.1146,65.7615,163.9476,37.5824,249.849,247.9308
2017-10-11,254.51,255.02,254.32,255.02,230.3944,47674300.0,0.0016,1.9012,255.8017,247.0443,66.4211,157.1778,37.5824,250.188,248.0868
2017-10-12,254.66,255.06,254.37,254.64,230.0511,47065100.0,-0.0015,1.8932,256.2068,247.0942,65.1869,136.9734,37.8905,250.4757,248.2143
2017-10-13,255.14,255.27,254.64,254.95,230.3312,54800400.0,0.0012,1.8901,256.5675,247.3095,65.7244,129.9615,39.5646,250.7243,248.3452

Airbus Takes Major Stake in Bombardier’s CSeries Jet Business
Oil Futures Little Changed in Asian Trade
Australia’s RBA Sees Brighter Conditions But Remains Watchful
Netflix Again Tops Forecasts for Subscriber Growth
Hearing Device Maker Eargo Raising $45 Million
Communication Infrastructure Firm Tilson Technology Raising Series D Round
Emergency Medical Software Provider ESO Solutions Secures $15.5 Million
Redstone’s Ex-Companion Sues His Daughter, Grandson
Oil Rises as Geopolitical Risks Return
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Nordstrom Family Suspends Effort to Go Private
Senate Panel Sets Hearing Next Week for SEC Nominees
P&G Says Nelson Peltz Lost Bid for Board Seat by About 0.2% of Share Count
CFPB Enforcement Chief to Step Down
McKinsey Cites Violations of Its Standards in South Africa Deal
Impax Laboratories and Amneal Pharmaceuticals Near Merger Agreement
Scurria’s Take: Bentham Bets on Bankruptcy Lawsuit Rebound
New York’s Upright Citizens Brigade Theatre to Move to Hell’s Kitchen
Scurria’s Take: Bentham Bets on Bankruptcy Lawsuit Rebound
Financial Stocks Push U.S. Indexes Higher
Allergan Loses Patent Fight in Federal Court
Peso Slides Amid Nafta Negotiation Worries
21st Century Oncology Clears Bankruptcy Hurdle
Supreme Court to Hear AmEx Antitrust Case
J.P. Morgan’s Dimon May Hate Bitcoin, but He Loves Blockchain
Bank of Canada Survey Points to Healthy Business Sentiment
Portrait Innovations Moves Forward With Restructuring Pact, Sale Timeline
Weinstein Co. Negotiating Possible Sale
Silicon Valley Vs. Wall Street: Can the New Long-Term Stock Exchange Disrupt Capitalism?
Copper Hits Three-Year High on Bullish Chinese Economic Data
Alaska’s Ravn Air Considers Purchase of Bankrupt Rival PenAir
Think Everyone is Doing Coin Offerings? Not This Blockchain Startup
CEO Pay Isn’t a Major Concern for Americans
Compliance Costs Rise for Community Banks
New Jersey Industrial Rents Jump on Strong Demand
Large Sears Investor Leaves Company Board
Woodpeckers for Sound Money
Economic Crackdown on North Korea Begins, Belatedly
ECB Paper Examines Monetary Policy and Bank Profitability Amid Low Rates
5 Things to Watch in Goldman Sachs’s Results
5 Things to Watch in Morgan Stanley’s Results
BIS Paper Studies Interest Rates and House Prices
Mercedes Maker Eyes Revamp, Paving Way for Possible Spinoff
Ruby Tuesday to Be Taken Private in $146 Million Deal
Deal Could Settle Bankruptcy of Project Involving Donald Trump Jr.
Euro Edges Down Against Dollar
New York Manufacturing Survey Hits Three-Year High
LimeBike Takes Investors for a ‘Dockless’ Ride
Clearinghouses Pass Stress Tests | Dimon Sour on Bitcoin but Sweet on Blockchain | Buell’s Take: The Road Toward New Overnight Rates
Zakrzewski’s Take: Time to Stop Whispering and Start Talking
Computing, Life Sciences Spur Funding Boom
Clearinghouses Pass Stress Tests | Dimon Sour on Bitcoin but Sweet on Blockchain | Buell’s Take: The Road Toward New Overnight Rates
Hannon’s Take: ECB Faces Tough Decision
Beijing Blasé as Government Bond Yields Keep Climbing
CFPB Moves Back to Renovated Building Near White House
Buell’s Take: The Road Toward New Overnight Rates
Euro-Area Exports Leap Despite Currency Gain
As Edward Jones Tops $1 Trillion in Assets, It Seeks Street Cred
Social Security Numbers: Hacked, Hated—and Irreplaceable
China’s Factory-Gate Prices Hit Six-Month High
Aramark to Buy Avendra and AmeriPride
Boston Fed’s Rosengren Sees December Rate Increase Likely
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Boston Fed’s Eric Rosengren
Randles’s Take: California ‘Cap-and-Trade’ Successor Liability a Question in Bankruptcy
Major Clearinghouses Can Avoid Liquidity Crunch in Crisis, CFTC Says
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0007

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-10-17. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-09,254.63,254.7,253.65,253.95,229.4277,35803100.0,-0.0017,1.7872,254.7057,247.1983,64.6367,158.4955,35.118,249.514,247.7793
2017-10-10,254.6,255.05,253.98,254.62,230.033,43057400.0,0.0026,1.845,255.2464,247.1146,65.7615,163.9476,37.5824,249.849,247.9308
2017-10-11,254.51,255.02,254.32,255.02,230.3944,47674300.0,0.0016,1.9012,255.8017,247.0443,66.4211,157.1778,37.5824,250.188,248.0868
2017-10-12,254.66,255.06,254.37,254.64,230.0511,47065100.0,-0.0015,1.8932,256.2068,247.0942,65.1869,136.9734,37.8905,250.4757,248.2143
2017-10-13,255.14,255.27,254.64,254.95,230.3312,54800400.0,0.0012,1.8901,256.5675,247.3095,65.7244,129.9615,39.5646,250.7243,248.3452
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853

Oil Futures Climb on Persistent Middle East Concerns
Wanda’s Main Man in Hollywood Steps Down
BOJ’s Sakurai Backs Current Powerful Easing Framework
Cydan to Fund Next Batch of Rare-Disease Startups
Market’s Unlucky-Sevens Streak Is in Danger
The Other Brother: Bob Weinstein Was an Abusive Boss
N.J. Bell Building in Newark to Be Redeveloped for Housing
Philadelphia Fed’s Harker Projects One More Rate Increase This Year
SEC Alleges Rio Tinto Misled Investors Over Value of Coal Assets
Oil Companies Defend Big Bets on Gas
TPG Capital Hires Former Ford Motor CEO
Magic Leap Raises $502 Million
U.S. Dollar Rises on Strong Data, Fed Expectations
Corrigan’s Take: Ponzi Scheme Trustee Tackles More Than 100,000 Bankruptcy Claims
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Performance Sports Shareholders Fight Over Bankruptcy Cash
Dow Industrials Briefly Cross 23000 for First Time
Hawaii’s Island Air Files for Bankruptcy
Corrigan’s Take: Ponzi Scheme Trustee Tackles More Than 100,000 Bankruptcy Claims
Bondholders Face Off Over a Toys ‘R’ Us Bankruptcy Loan
China, Russia Have Own Ideas on Cryptocurrencies
Regulators Need to Shine More Light on ‘Dark Pools’
Morgan Stanley’s Earnings Rise on Strength in Wealth Management
SoftBank Venture Seeks 8,000 Cellular Sites Across U.S.
Castex Energy Partners Files for Bankruptcy With Lender Takeover Plan
Oil Prices Swing With Geopolitical Risks Still in Focus
UnitedHealth Revenue Grows Despite ACA Exit
An Old Fracking Hot Spot Makes a Comeback
Kansas City Fed Backed Discount-Rate Increase in September
Airbus Secures Canadian Wingman in Dogfight With Boeing
Saudi Oil Minister Plays Down Prospect of Aramco Abandoning IPO
Lightspeed POS Receives Among the Large Investments for a Canadian Startup
Goldman Posts Surprise Profit Rise Despite Trading Woes
J.P. Morgan to Buy Payments Firm WePay in First Major Fintech Buy
Wall Street Brokerages Boosted by Rise in Fee Accounts, Client Borrowing
Stock Exchanges Question SEC’s Plan to Revamp Trading
Barclays Poaches HSBC Investment Banker
Trump Narrows Fed Leader Search to Five Candidates
Copper, Gold Pull Back as Dollar Strengthens
Trump Administration Drops Tighter Rules on Meatpackers
CSX Chief Vows to Win Back Lost Business After Service Woes
Family Squabble Forces Fifth Avenue Building Into Bankruptcy
Voices: Don’t Let Estate-Tax Uncertainty Disrupt Sound Legacy Planning
Fed’s Harker: Transportation Key to Full Employment
Knight Energy Wins Approval of Plan Disclosure Statement
U.K. Inflation Hits Five-Year High
Harley-Davidson Profit Falls as Slide in Sales Continues
BOE’s Carney Issues Stark Warning on Brexit Risks
Branding Firm You & Mr Jones Joined Pinterest’s Latest Round
Johnson & Johnson Outlook Buoyed by Drug Unit
Alitalia Receives Seven Offers for Its Operations
Soros Transfers $18 Billion to Foundation, Creating Instant Giant
When Doing Good Ends Badly for CEOs
Fed’s Kaplan: Maintaining ‘Open Mind’ About Rate Rises
U.S. Industrial Production Rose Modestly in September
Malaysia Airlines Loses Third CEO Since 2014
Firm Retention Summary: Ironclad Performance Wear Corp.
U.S. Import Prices Rose in September
CFPB Enforcement Chief to Leave | Ireland Re-Embraces Banking | Michaels’s Take: Changing ‘Maker-Taker’ Won’t Be Easy
U.K. Strengthens Powers to Block Foreign Takeovers on Grounds of National Security
Impax Laboratories and Amneal Pharmaceuticals Agree to Merge
Canada’s Immigrant-Friendly Startups Feast on Capital
Chernova’s Take: Forescout Faces a Down-Round IPO
Mission Bio Collects $10 Million Series A for Precision-Medicine Technology
Michaels’s Take: Changing ‘Maker-Taker’ Won’t Be Easy
Harrison’s Take: Doves Raising Rates
CFPB Enforcement Chief to Leave | Ireland Re-Embraces Banking | Michaels’s Take: Changing ‘Maker-Taker’ Won’t Be Easy
ECB’s Constancio Warns of Market Correction
Rebound in Industrial Production to Boost Dollar Further, Says ING
A Shunned Industry Makes a Comeback in Ireland—Banking
Wells Fargo To Compensate Customers for Volatility ETPs
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0010

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2017-10-18. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-09,254.63,254.7,253.65,253.95,229.4277,35803100.0,-0.0017,1.7872,254.7057,247.1983,64.6367,158.4955,35.118,249.514,247.7793
2017-10-10,254.6,255.05,253.98,254.62,230.033,43057400.0,0.0026,1.845,255.2464,247.1146,65.7615,163.9476,37.5824,249.849,247.9308
2017-10-11,254.51,255.02,254.32,255.02,230.3944,47674300.0,0.0016,1.9012,255.8017,247.0443,66.4211,157.1778,37.5824,250.188,248.0868
2017-10-12,254.66,255.06,254.37,254.64,230.0511,47065100.0,-0.0015,1.8932,256.2068,247.0942,65.1869,136.9734,37.8905,250.4757,248.2143
2017-10-13,255.14,255.27,254.64,254.95,230.3312,54800400.0,0.0012,1.8901,256.5675,247.3095,65.7244,129.9615,39.5646,250.7243,248.3452
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853
2017-10-17,255.23,255.52,254.98,255.47,230.8009,31561000.0,0.0007,1.8885,257.3165,247.6675,66.629,116.1098,41.5742,251.2863,248.6295

Japan Trade Surplus Widens
Dow Hits Another Milestone, But Signs of Caution Loom
American Express CEO to Step Down After 16 Years
AmEx Retirement Shines Light on Lack of Diversity in CEO Ranks
Viacom and Charter in Preliminary Carriage Deal
Judge Approves Castex Emergency Bankruptcy Loan
Bull Market Is Too Big for This Barn
Car Dealer for Drivers With Bad Credit Files for Bankruptcy
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Overseas Regulators Defend Orderly Liquidation Authority
U.S. Dollar Gains on Tax Overhaul, Fed Outlook
Three Hedge Funds Call on Ocean Rig to Explore Deals
Dow Closes Above 23000 for First Time
Blue Apron Lays Off Workers
SEC Names J.P. Morgan Executive as Top Regulator of Exchanges
One Agency Should Oversee Mortgage Servicers
EBay Shares Fall on Lowered Profit Outlook
U.S. Bank Profit Shoots Higher, But Questions Linger on Loan Growth
Owner of Romano’s Macaroni Grill Files for Bankruptcy
Dow’s Climb Above 23000 Comes 30 Years After Black Monday
Equifax Faces Shareholder Call for Governance, Pay Changes
United to Boost Flying Capacity as Unit Revenue Improves
Fed Officials Warn Against Push for Tax Cuts Over Real Reform
Oil Prices Rise on Stockpile Drawdown
Anthem to Launch Its Own Pharmacy-Benefit Manager
Stech’s Take: Federal Agency Grants Relief to Hurricane Victims Who Need Bankruptcy
GE’s New Chief Makes Cuts, Starting With Old Favorites
Williamsburg Developer Unfazed by L-Train Shutdown and Rivals’ Keyword Moves
Lender to Rooster Energy Proposes Its Own Reorganization Plan
Will Renters Leave Williamsburg to Avoid Subway Shutdown?
JBS Halts Work at 7 Brazilian Slaughterhouses Amid Tax Dispute
Fed’s Beige Book: Economic Activity Grows Despite Hurricanes
Insurers Brace for Drop in Enrollment Amid ACA Turmoil
Roy Price Resigns as Head of Amazon Studios
Why John Taylor Might Be a Good Choice for Fed Chair
Chair That Says No
Macroeconomic Policy and the Aftermath of Financial Crises
Big Oil Touts Its Core Business: Fossil Fuels
Cancer Immunotherapy Startup Forty Seven Banks $75 Million Series B
Delta Expects to Buy U.S.-Built CSeries Jets
Hochtief Launches $22 Billion Bid for Spain’s Abertis
Hurricanes Weighed on Housing Starts
White House to Test Federal-Local Sharing of Drone Regulation
Machines Took Over the Stock Market. Next Up, Bonds
Maker of Lysol, Durex Splits Business in Bid to Boost Growth
Vivo Energy Bets on Africa With $3 Billion IPO
Profile: The Value of Mentoring Runs Both Ways
Rio Tinto Faces Reckoning Over Africa Bets
Why Streetwear Brand Supreme Is Worth $1 Billion and Abercrombie Isn’t
WSJ Dollar Index Rises
AIG Signs Deal With United Airlines for Travel Insurance
Investing Firm Tortoise to Be Acquired
Calls Grow to Deny Italy’s Central Bank Chief a Second Term
Exchanges Question Changes to ‘Maker-Taker’ | Fed Chief Decision by Nov. 3 | Rubin’s Take: CFTC, EU Haven’t Gotten to the Hard Stuff Yet
Energy Producer Founded by Aubrey McClendon Aims for IPO
Zinsli’s Take: Agtech Trends Grow Stronger
Duo Security Raises $70 Million at Billion-Dollar Valuation
Rubin’s Take: CFTC, EU Haven’t Gotten to the Hard Stuff Yet
Vir Hauls In $500 Million to Take On Infectious Diseases
Exchanges Question Changes to ‘Maker-Taker’ | Fed Chief Decision by Nov. 3 | Rubin’s Take: CFTC, EU Haven’t Gotten to the Hard Stuff Yet
Algeria Adds Voice to Calls for OPEC to Continue Oil Cuts
Douglas’s Take: BOE’s First Rate Rise May Be the Easy One
Germany’s Top Court Denies Request to Halt ECB Bond Buying
Draghi: No Evidence Loose Monetary Policy Prevents Reforms
Taming European Housing Bubbles
Inflation Targeting Works
Bank Indonesia Likely to Keep Rates Steady
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0003

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2017-10-19 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-09,254.63,254.7,253.65,253.95,229.4277,35803100.0,-0.0017,1.7872,254.7057,247.1983,64.6367,158.4955,35.118,249.514,247.7793
2017-10-10,254.6,255.05,253.98,254.62,230.033,43057400.0,0.0026,1.845,255.2464,247.1146,65.7615,163.9476,37.5824,249.849,247.9308
2017-10-11,254.51,255.02,254.32,255.02,230.3944,47674300.0,0.0016,1.9012,255.8017,247.0443,66.4211,157.1778,37.5824,250.188,248.0868
2017-10-12,254.66,255.06,254.37,254.64,230.0511,47065100.0,-0.0015,1.8932,256.2068,247.0942,65.1869,136.9734,37.8905,250.4757,248.2143
2017-10-13,255.14,255.27,254.64,254.95,230.3312,54800400.0,0.0012,1.8901,256.5675,247.3095,65.7244,129.9615,39.5646,250.7243,248.3452
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853
2017-10-17,255.23,255.52,254.98,255.47,230.8009,31561000.0,0.0007,1.8885,257.3165,247.6675,66.629,116.1098,41.5742,251.2863,248.6295
2017-10-18,255.9,255.95,255.5,255.72,231.0268,40888300.0,0.001,1.8832,257.6625,247.8875,67.0709,116.7109,45.1489,251.5803,248.7678

Trick or Treat? Italian Candy Maker Comes Knocking on U.S. Door
CrowdStrike Raises $25 Million in Additional Funding
Tech Execs Support Basic Income
Wal-Mart Courts Lord & Taylor for Online Challenge to Amazon
PayPal Posts Stronger-Than-Expected Results on Mobile Growth
Cancer Device Company Lumicell Adds $14 Million to Series C
United’s Shares Drop Amid Doubts Over Strategy
Venture Capitalists Seed Y Combinator Graduate Spinal Singularity
SEC Approves Chicago Stock Exchange’s ‘Speed Bump’
Romano’s Macaroni Grill to Explore Sale Under Bankruptcy Protection
Former Dean Foods Chairman Gets 2 Years for Insider Trading
GOP Divided Over Monetary Policy as Fed Chief Pick Looms
Aerosoles Lines Up $25 Million Financing in Bankruptcy
Wal-Mart de Mexico Profit Beats Expectations
Chile’s Central Bank Keeps Benchmark Interest Rate Unchanged
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Canceling Puerto Rico Debt ‘Impractical,’ Baupost’s Klarman Says
Dow Edges Higher, Recovering from Triple-Digit Intraday Decline
Dollar Falls as Investors Seek Safer Assets
Chevron Temporarily Suspending Operations in Iraqi Kurdistan
Auditor’s Decision Deals Blow to U.S. Crackdown on Leveraged Loans
Rizzo’s Take: Vanity Shop Prepares for Auction of Brand Name
Oil Settles Down
Labor Department Should Rethink Its Fiduciary-Rule Analysis
Blackstone’s Profit Rises
Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens
Quick Hits: OECD Economist Warns About Easy-Money Policies
Couple in Bank of America Mortgage Dispute Plans to Donate Settlement Money
FDA Chief: Menthol, Tobacco Flavors Could Do ‘Both Harm and Good’
GST AutoLeather Puts Its Assets Up for Auction
Weak Publicis Results Ricochet Around Ad Industry
Target Expands Store Makeovers
Treasury Official: Remarks on Size of Clearinghouses ‘May Have Been Misinterpreted’
Travelers Earnings Fall After Active Hurricane Season
Verizon Continues to Win Wireless Subscribers
BP Chairman to Retire
Leading Economic Indicators Index Falls in September
Don’t Rely on U.S. Consumers to Power Global Growth
What Explains Shareholder Payouts by Large Banks?
Priceline, Tencent Join Investors Pumping $4 Billion Into Chinese Lifestyle Site
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Issues 2018 Outlook
Last ‘SIFI’ Weighs How to Shake Label
How Financially Literate Are You Really? Let’s Find Out
U.K. Regulator Asks Banks to Probe Links With Gupta Family
Bank Indonesia Holds Benchmark Interest Rate
First Data Mistakenly Announces Acquisition Plan for BluePay
Unilever, Nestlé Test Investor Patience With Slower Sales
Philadelphia Fed Report Shows Uptick in Manufacturing Outlook
Ferrero Looks to Ferrara to Sweeten Its U.S. Product Mix
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall to 44-Year Low
SEC’s New Markets Chief | Fight Over Coin Offering | Tracy’s Take: Last ‘SIFI’ Weighs How to Shake Label
Activist Investor Elliott Zeros In on BHP CEO
Davis’s Take: Fundraising Picks Up Between the Coasts
Fundraising Picks Up Between the Coasts
Mya, With New Funding, Automates Recruiting
LSE Chief Rolet to Leave Next Year
Tracy’s Take: Last ‘SIFI’ Weighs How to Shake Label
Hedge Fund Maverick Capital Debuts 0% Performance Fees
SEC’s New Markets Chief | Fight Over Coin Offering | Tracy’s Take: Last ‘SIFI’ Weighs How to Shake Label
Torry’s Take: Mamma Mia! Broadway Is Beige Book Star
Central Bankers Have Doubts About New Tools
Companies Leave Bean Counting to the Robots
Beneath the Market Rally: A Lot Less Trading
Nestlé Results Highlight Pressure to Boost Returns
China to Allow Foreign Banks to Increase Holdings in Domestic Lenders
Australia Works to Get Unemployment Down to Four-Year Low
Bank of Korea Keeps Base Rate Unchanged
Coin Offering Raises $232 Million, Then a Fight Broke Out
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Philadelphia Fed’s Patrick Harker
Stech’s Take: Federal Agency Grants Relief to Hurricane Victims Who Need Bankruptcy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0052

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2017-10-23 to project the direction of the $SPY index. If the expected shift is below 0.50%, finalize with 'Neutral'. Present a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-13,255.14,255.27,254.64,254.95,230.3312,54800400.0,0.0012,1.8901,256.5675,247.3095,65.7244,129.9615,39.5646,250.7243,248.3452
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853
2017-10-17,255.23,255.52,254.98,255.47,230.8009,31561000.0,0.0007,1.8885,257.3165,247.6675,66.629,116.1098,41.5742,251.2863,248.6295
2017-10-18,255.9,255.95,255.5,255.72,231.0268,40888300.0,0.001,1.8832,257.6625,247.8875,67.0709,116.7109,45.1489,251.5803,248.7678
2017-10-19,254.83,255.83,254.35,255.79,231.09,61903800.0,0.0003,1.8632,257.8864,248.3036,67.1967,98.2739,23.5394,251.8777,248.9072
2017-10-20,256.7,257.14,255.77,257.11,232.2825,89176400.0,0.0052,1.9315,258.266,248.691,69.4721,126.0812,35.2737,252.2287,249.0723

If Tesla Wants to Go Mainstream in China, It Needs to Cut Prices
Oil Futures Regain Some Momentum in Asian Trading
Little Early Movement in Asia Stocks
NYSE Monitor Accuses Wedbush Securities of Supervisory Deficiencies
Think Finance Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
SEC Approves Accounting Rule Despite Business-Group’s Objection
Digital Currencies Move Into Mainstream Venues
Whirlpool Cuts Guidance, Citing Rising Costs
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Silicon Foundry Turns to Silicon Valley Bank for Financing
Stocks Slip to Start the Week on Disappointing Earnings
Trump Administration Increases Heat on CFPB’s Arbitration Rule
Dollar Climbs to Highest Level in More Than Three Months
Counterfeit Card Losses Down, Fake Accounts Up
Liquidators Win Bankruptcy Auction for Assets of Wholesaler WYNIT
Taylor Is Questioning His Own Rule
Arconic Names Former GE Executive as CEO
Fed Post Studies Oil-Price Pass-Through Into Core Inflation
Gold Little Changed as Dollar Continues to Gain
Oil Prices Mixed Amid Tensions in Iraq
Palladium Prices Soar in Sign of Global Growth and Auto Demand
SunEdison Preparing to Formally Exit Chapter 11
Takata Looks to Stay in Control of its Bankruptcy Case
Supersized Family Farms Are Gobbling Up American Agriculture
Where Trump’s Unpredictability Could Hurt Him
Transcript: Audience Q&A With Janet Yellen in Washington
Under Armour Co-Founder Kip Fulks Takes Sabbatical
Central Bankers Cling to Stimulus Amid Weak Inflation
Potlatch to Combine With Deltic Timber in Stock Swap
Island Air’s Planes Could Be Grounded by Wells Fargo
Hasbro Gives Cautious Holiday Outlook
Voices: Why Retirees Should Set Limits on Financial Largess With Family
Eurozone Consumer Confidence at 16-Year High
Treasurys Rise Awaiting News Development
T-Mobile Skirts Merger Issue as Customer Base Grows
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Rose in September
Yen Falls Against Dollar
Drug Makers Find New Profit Formula: Take Generics, Add Marketing
Risky Security Booming | Wells Fargo’s Woes Spread to Investment Bank | Rubin’s Take: How a Powell Fed Would Approach Derivatives
Hartford to Pay $1.45 Billion for a Unit of Aetna
Marketing Analytics Firm ActionIQ Raises $30 Million
Breaches Drive Surge in Cybersecurity Investment
Zakrzewski’s Take: Silicon Valley’s Diversity Issue Is Moving Beyond Hashtags
What Could Make Hurricane Irma Costlier? Letting Contractors Handle Claims
Risky Security Booming | Wells Fargo’s Woes Spread to Investment Bank | Rubin’s Take: How a Powell Fed Would Approach Derivatives
Blackstone’s Take: ECB Bond Move a Long Time Coming for Switzerland
UK Inflation and European Prices
Rubin’s Take: How a Powell Fed Would Approach Derivatives
Eurozone Fiscal and Monetary Policy Can Work Together
General Electric Has a Long-Term Care Problem. It Isn’t Alone
GE Compensation Moves Expected to Focus on Performance
As Asian Stocks Sizzle, Malaysia’s Fizzle
Number of Eurozone Banks Continues to Fall
Mongolia to Revisit Offshore Dollar Bond Market
ADC Therapeutics Gets $200 Million Infusion for Cancer Treatments
ANZ Moves to Settle Rate-Manipulation Allegations
Brickley’s Take: Car Makers Trade Blows With Takata Tort Claims Committee
Dividend Fears Take Toll on GE Shares
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0018

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2017-10-24 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853
2017-10-17,255.23,255.52,254.98,255.47,230.8009,31561000.0,0.0007,1.8885,257.3165,247.6675,66.629,116.1098,41.5742,251.2863,248.6295
2017-10-18,255.9,255.95,255.5,255.72,231.0268,40888300.0,0.001,1.8832,257.6625,247.8875,67.0709,116.7109,45.1489,251.5803,248.7678
2017-10-19,254.83,255.83,254.35,255.79,231.09,61903800.0,0.0003,1.8632,257.8864,248.3036,67.1967,98.2739,23.5394,251.8777,248.9072
2017-10-20,256.7,257.14,255.77,257.11,232.2825,89176400.0,0.0052,1.9315,258.266,248.691,69.4721,126.0812,35.2737,252.2287,249.0723
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257

Dow Industrials Surge on Strong Earnings from Caterpillar, 3M
Congress Makes It Harder to Sue the Financial Industry
Pritzker Group Plans to Raise $1.5 Billion for New Private-Equity Fund
Oil Futures Little Changed
Spending, Charge-Offs Lead to Mixed Picture for Capital One, Discover
América Móvil Swings to Loss on Currency Issues, Natural Disasters
Lumber Liquidators Near Settlement in Class-Action Suit
Owner of NYSE Agrees to Buy Bond-Trading Platform
AppDynamics Founder Launches Startup Studio, New Company
GOP Divisions Explode in Dramatic Fashion
Australian Treasury Secretary Sees Eventual Rebound in Wages
Express Scripts Names Havel as Finance Chief
Toys ‘R’ Us Smooths Over Troubles With Vendors
Chipotle’s Shares Fall as Sales Come Up Short
AT&T Profit Falls on Shrinking TV Subscription, Wireless Phone Businesses
U.S. Dollar Strengthens on Policy Hopes
New York Falls Behind Dallas and Los Angeles in Commercial Property Sales
WeWork Venture to Buy Lord & Taylor’s Flagship Store
Think Finance Bankruptcy Exposes Fallout with Victory Park Capital
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Stech’s Take: Government Fights to Prevent Student Debt From Being Cleared
Filling in the Blanks on Consumer Data Protection
Stech’s Take: Government Fights to Prevent Student Debt From Being Cleared
People Check Bank Balances in Good Times, Not Bad
Gold Inches Lower as Stocks Rise
Auto Makers Win Favor With Investors
Oil Rises to Six-Month High on Hopes of Supplies Falling
M&G Polymers USA Files for Chapter 11
3M Earnings Jump as Push Into Technology Pays Off
Caterpillar on Track to Break Sales Slump
Funding Snapshot: KnowBe4 Raises $30 Million Series B for Security Awareness Training
Avaya Brings More Creditors on Board With Bankruptcy Exit Plan
Driverless Cars Could Slam Brakes on Self-Storage Sector
La Paloma Junior Creditors Object to Chapter 11 Plan
Wealthier Depositors Pressure Banks to Pay Up
Hulu CEO to Head Sony’s Television Studio
Fiat Chrysler Profit Grows Despite Dip in North America
Nekso Raising Capital for South American Ride Hailing
McDonald’s Focus on Low Prices Brings in Customers
Coin Offerings Are Hot, but What Are They?
United Technologies’ Profit Falls Amid Jet-Engine Production Problems
Wine Production Forecast to Fall to Lowest Level in Over 50 Years
Quick Hits: BOE’s Cunliffe Says Timing of Rate Rise Is ‘Open Question’
Corning Gains on Demand for Its Glass for Smartphones
Firm Retention Summary: Seadrill Ltd.
Lockheed Forecasts Modest Sales Gain for 2018
Delphi to Buy Self-Driving Car Tech Startup for $450 Million
No, the GOP Tax Plan Won’t Give You a $9,000 Raise
Central Banks Require Accountability
Can Religious Values Spur Economic Development?
Richmond Fed Says Wage Index Reaches 17-Year High
Eli Lilly Exploring Elanco Spinoff
Sears Stops Selling Whirlpool Appliances
WSJ Dollar Index Higher
What Happens When the ECB Steps Back From Corporate Bonds?
International Paper, Graphic Packaging Combine Packaging Businesses
Media Criticism Putting Qudian Shares on Wild Ride
Coca-Cola Earnings: What to Watch
Seagate Technology Sees Signs of a Turnaround
Clearinghouses Fire Back | Arbitration Fight Heats Up | What to Watch: Peirce, Jackson Edge Closer to SEC Posts
Financing Troubles Spark Share Slump at Macau Casino Developer
NeuroPace Raises $74 Million for Anti-Seizure Device
Chernova’s Take: Women Founders Root for Stitch Fix IPO
Japan Inc. Squeezed as U.K. Investor Targets Broadcaster’s Cross-Shareholdings
What to Watch: Peirce, Jackson Edge Closer to SEC Posts
Big Mall Operator Does the Unthinkable—Builds a Mall
Derby’s Take: If Warsh or Taylor Gets Fed Nod, Internal Unrest Might Follow
Clearinghouses Fire Back | Arbitration Fight Heats Up | What to Watch: Peirce, Jackson Edge Closer to SEC Posts
L.A. Times’s New Chief Plots Changes and Woos a Beleaguered Newsroom
Clearinghouses Push Back Against Worries Over Their Size
Eurozone Banks See More Demand for Loans
Eurozone Economy Appears to Slow, PMI Survey Suggests
Novartis May Still Spin Off Alcon, but Not Before 2019
Scurria’s Take: General Motors Beats Ex-Guard’s Bankruptcy Claim
Scurria’s Take: General Motors Beats Ex-Guard’s Bankruptcy Claim
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0050

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2017-10-25 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853
2017-10-17,255.23,255.52,254.98,255.47,230.8009,31561000.0,0.0007,1.8885,257.3165,247.6675,66.629,116.1098,41.5742,251.2863,248.6295
2017-10-18,255.9,255.95,255.5,255.72,231.0268,40888300.0,0.001,1.8832,257.6625,247.8875,67.0709,116.7109,45.1489,251.5803,248.7678
2017-10-19,254.83,255.83,254.35,255.79,231.09,61903800.0,0.0003,1.8632,257.8864,248.3036,67.1967,98.2739,23.5394,251.8777,248.9072
2017-10-20,256.7,257.14,255.77,257.11,232.2825,89176400.0,0.0052,1.9315,258.266,248.691,69.4721,126.0812,35.2737,252.2287,249.0723
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257
2017-10-24,256.6,256.83,256.15,256.56,231.7857,66935900.0,0.0018,1.86,258.172,250.251,66.6898,104.9716,38.1399,252.6757,249.3888

Supervalu Faces Pushback from Activist Investor
Oil Futures Edge Lower in Asia Despite Dollar Drop
Colony Capital’s Talks to Acquire Weinstein Co. Hit Snag
Scientists Put Liquid Biopsies Under Microscope at Precision Health Event
SEC Halts Chicago Exchange’s Speed-Bump Plan
Think Finance Wants to Deal With Predatory Lending Suits in Bankruptcy
Vistra Energy Nears Deal to Buy Dynegy
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Bank of Mexico Gov. Agustín Carstens
Mexico’s Banorte to Acquire, Merge With Interacciones
U.S. Dollar Slips Against Euro Before ECB Meeting
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
SEC Charges Former Apollo Partner of Scamming Clients
Aerosoles Bankruptcy Plan Offers No Recovery to Unsecured Creditors
Nike Tells Investors It Will Shift Away From ‘Mediocre’ Retailers
Stocks Drop on Lackluster Earnings
Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Benchmark Rate to Near Its Lowest Level
Gold Rises on Weaker Dollar, Stocks
Profile: Helping Clients Take Stock of Their Portfolios
YPF to Invest Over $30 Billion
Bitcoin’s Sectarian Battles Heat Up
Bank Regulations Are a Roadblock to Infrastructure Funding
White House Kicks Off Test Program for Commercial Drones
Happy Auditors Produce Better Audits
Oil Pulls Back After Stocks Data
Coke Zero Sugar Helps Coca-Cola Hold On to Soda Drinkers
Judge Rules Peabody Energy Bankruptcy Blocks Global-Warming Lawsuits
Quick Hits: Argentina’s Central Bank Feeling the Heat
LendingClub Closes Chapter on Fintech Funds
U.S. Durable Orders Rose 2.2% in September
Deutsche Bank to Pay $220 Million to Settle States’ Libor Claims
Owner of Hawaii’s Island Air Planes Sues to Take Them Back
How the ECB Helped Europe Shore Up Its Shaky Finances
Larry Ellison Buying Lake Tahoe’s Cal Neva Resort
Boeing Boosts Outlook Despite Tanker Problems
New Home Sales Growth Surges to 25-Year High
Saudi Arabia, Russia Want Oil Output Limits Through 2018
Why Yield Curve Control Should Be Draghi’s Parting Shot
Forget the Fed Sweepstakes. Watch Treasurys Instead
Missing Growth From Creative Destruction
NBER Paper Looks at Tax Evasion and Inequality
Anthem Sees Big Drop in ACA Plan Enrollment Next Year
Visa Profit Rises as Payments Volume Grows
The Outsiders: How Swiss, Others Survived ECB Bond Buys
Firm Retention Summary: Seadrill Ltd.
Glaxo Will Consider Bid for Pfizer’s Consumer-Health Unit
British Pound Jumps Against Dollar
Mexico Moves to Shore Up Peso With Increased Dollar Hedges
Saudi Sovereign Wealth Fund Sets Lofty Growth Targets
Lawmakers Seek Probe of Prepa Contract to Interior Secretary’s Neighbor
GM Couldn’t Do It, Now Peugeot Tries to Fix Opel
Bank of Mexico’s Carstens: Patience Needed in Considering Interest Rate Cuts
Congress Scraps Arbitration Rule | Trump Polls GOP Senators About Fed Chief | Deng’s Take: For China, Growth Trumps Curbing Debt
UPS Earnings: What to Watch
Zinsli’s Take: Where Venture Capital Is Growing
Surge in Biotech Seed Deals Spurs Warnings
Autonomous Car Race Provides Windfall for Venture Investors
Oil Prices Are Up. Why Aren’t Energy Shares?
Deng’s Take: China’s Growth Priorities Get in the Way of Curbing Debt
U.K. Economy Accelerates, Bolstering Case for Rate Rise
Bond Funds Dump Puerto Rico
Carlyle Lays Out Succession Plan, Promotes Pair to Co-CEO
Congress Scraps Arbitration Rule | Trump Polls GOP Senators About Fed Chief | Deng’s Take: For China, Growth Trumps Curbing Debt
Hannon’s Take: ECB Gets the Green Light
China’s Stock Markets Are Calm, but Its Traders Are Restless
Forget ECB’s Taper, Investors Want to Know When Rates Go Up
Latest Use for Blockchain Technology: Tracing Turkeys
Central Banks and the Great Recession
Australia’s Inflation Rate Again Misses Forecasts
U.S., China Funds Land Asian Renewable-Energy Giant
Airlines Warn U.S.-Bound Passengers of Additional Screening
Emergency Manager to Be Installed at Puerto Rico Power Utility
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0013

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2017-10-26. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-16,255.21,255.51,254.82,255.29,230.6383,38221700.0,0.0013,1.8932,256.953,247.481,66.3144,124.0326,41.4911,250.9727,248.4853
2017-10-17,255.23,255.52,254.98,255.47,230.8009,31561000.0,0.0007,1.8885,257.3165,247.6675,66.629,116.1098,41.5742,251.2863,248.6295
2017-10-18,255.9,255.95,255.5,255.72,231.0268,40888300.0,0.001,1.8832,257.6625,247.8875,67.0709,116.7109,45.1489,251.5803,248.7678
2017-10-19,254.83,255.83,254.35,255.79,231.09,61903800.0,0.0003,1.8632,257.8864,248.3036,67.1967,98.2739,23.5394,251.8777,248.9072
2017-10-20,256.7,257.14,255.77,257.11,232.2825,89176400.0,0.0052,1.9315,258.266,248.691,69.4721,126.0812,35.2737,252.2287,249.0723
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257
2017-10-24,256.6,256.83,256.15,256.56,231.7857,66935900.0,0.0018,1.86,258.172,250.251,66.6898,104.9716,38.1399,252.6757,249.3888
2017-10-25,256.18,256.31,254.0,255.29,230.6383,103715300.0,-0.005,1.7192,257.937,251.01,62.4184,65.9529,6.7512,252.8463,249.5217

Billionaire Pharmaceuticals Entrepreneur Indicted in Alleged Fentanyl Fraud Scheme
Oil Prices Maintain Thursday’s Gains in Asia
Pressure Builds on Venezuela With Big Payments Due This Week
CVS, Aetna Plot $66 Billion Tie-Up
Japan Consumer Prices Rise at Same Pace in September
Valuations Come Back Strong
Billionaire Boom: More of Them, With More Billions
Stress Tests Unfair to Midsize Banks
Zenefits and Co-Founder Conrad Settle With SEC
Gilead Looks Away From Hepatitis C Treatments for Growth
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Rizzo’s Take: Toys ‘R’ Us Bankruptcy Ripples Through Toy Industry
Nokia Shares Plunge on Downbeat Outlook
SEC Signals Pullback From Prosecutorial Approach to Enforcement
Treasury Calls for Delaying, Scaling Back Investment-Fund Rules
Voices: On Helping Clients and Their Children Prepare for Adult Life
Rizzo’s Take: Toys ‘R’ Us Bankruptcy Ripples Through Toy Industry
Dollar Rises After ECB Comments Weaken Euro
Impact Biomedicines Gets $90 Million to Tackle Blood Cancer
IHeartMedia Discloses Wide Gulf in Talks With Creditors
Stocks Climb on Earnings, ECB Plan to Slow Bond Buying
The Case for a U.S. Fintech ‘Sandbox’
Warren: Banking Oversight Rules Should Stay Put
Intel Lifts Guidance as Profit Surges 34%
ECB to Scale Down but Extend Bond-Buying Program
Texas Regulators Are Wary of Sempra’s Deal to Buy Oncor
Oil Prices Finish Higher
AB InBev Falters as U.S. Loses Taste for Bud Light
Financial Advisers Balk at Changes to TD’s Commission-Free ETF Menu
Strong Revenue at American, Southwest Airlines Helps Offset Rising Costs
Harvey Weinstein Sues Weinstein Co. Seeking Access to Documents
Papaya Clothing’s Creditors Criticize Progress of Bankruptcy
Emergency Funding Approved for Westinghouse’s Global Nuclear Business
Marlboro Hurt by California’s Cigarette Tax Increase, Altria Says
GE Explores Exiting From the Railroad Business
Deutsche, Barclays Feel the Investment Bank Burn
Chinese Tech Giant Baidu Steps Back From Middle East
UPS Ramps Up Spending to Keep Up With Online Shoppers
Quick Hits: Reaction to ECB, Turkey Central Bank Policy Decisions
Hershey Sales Rise Despite Growing Competition
Celgene Shares Plummet on Bleaker Outlook for New Drugs
Comcast’s TV Subscriber Losses Accelerate, but Earnings Rise
Kansas City Manufacturing Index Hits Highest Point Since 2011
Deutsche Börse CEO Resigns Amid Insider-Trading Investigation
KKR’s Profit Declines as Private-Equity Gains Slow
Italy PM Backs Central Bank’s Visco for Second Term
ECB Takeaways: No Drama, Few Answers
Bank of Finland Paper Looks at Chinese Monetary Policy Effectiveness
DowDuPont Provides Early Look at Quarterly Report Post-Merger
Wall Street Skirts Worst Fallout From EU Law Shaking Up Analyst Research
Truck Sales Drive Soaring Profit at Ford
Big Oil’s Suddenly Popular Measure for Success: Break-Even Oil Price
Draghi Stresses ECB Expects to Keep Rates on Hold Beyond End of QE
Cemex’s Profit Edges Up
Brazil’s Vale Profit Surges, Boosted by Higher Iron-Ore Prices
Noreika’s Job Status Raises Ethics Concerns | How Wall Street Scored Arbitration Win | Hayashi’s Take: Can GOP Kill Payday Rule, Too? Don’t Bet on It
Southwest Sees Solid Travel Demand
Asset Growth Slows at World’s Largest Money Fund
Hayashi’s Take: Can GOP Kill Payday Rule, Too? Don’t Bet on It
Davis’s Take: The World Series of Startup Funding
VCs Back Orchid Labs for Blockchain-Based Internet Service
Turkey’s Central Bank Keeps Rates on Hold
Nordic Central Banks on Hold, Awaiting ECB
Noreika’s Job Status Raises Ethics Concerns | How Wall Street Scored Arbitration Win | Hayashi’s Take: Can GOP Kill Payday Rule, Too? Don’t Bet on It
Harrison’s Take: The Economy’s Doing Well, Good News For The Next Fed Chair
Startup Exchange Cleared to Take on NYSE, Nasdaq for Stock Listings
Top Banking Regulator Raises Ethics Concerns With Policy Moves
How Wall Street Scored Its Big Win in Congress
Exchange Rate Wanes as ECB Decision Factor
Barclays Shares Slump on Weak Investment Bank
Deutsche Bank Profit More Than Doubles Despite Trading Slump
Australian Wages May Not Drive Inflation for Some Time, RBA Deputy Governor Says
Corrigan’s Take: Judge Settles Disputed Sale of SunEdison Property
Corrigan’s Take: Judge Settles Disputed Sale of SunEdison Property
A Onetime London Hospital Undergoes a Luxury Rehab
ECB Meets to Decide Path of Giant Stimulus Program—What to Watch
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0082

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2017-10-30. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-20,256.7,257.14,255.77,257.11,232.2825,89176400.0,0.0052,1.9315,258.266,248.691,69.4721,126.0812,35.2737,252.2287,249.0723
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257
2017-10-24,256.6,256.83,256.15,256.56,231.7857,66935900.0,0.0018,1.86,258.172,250.251,66.6898,104.9716,38.1399,252.6757,249.3888
2017-10-25,256.18,256.31,254.0,255.29,230.6383,103715300.0,-0.005,1.7192,257.937,251.01,62.4184,65.9529,6.7512,252.8463,249.5217
2017-10-26,255.99,256.3,255.48,255.62,230.9364,69798000.0,0.0013,1.6156,257.6354,251.8386,63.0545,77.2501,6.7512,253.0307,249.658
2017-10-27,256.47,257.89,255.63,257.71,232.8246,85562500.0,0.0082,1.6828,257.7499,252.3721,66.7423,105.8535,21.7725,253.3147,249.8372

Oil Prices Slightly Down in Asia After Hitting 8-Month High
Japan Industrial Output, Household Spending Fall in September
Rent-A-Center to Explore Options
SoftBank to Drop Effort to Merge Sprint, T-Mobile
J.C. Penney Shares Plummet on Bleak Outlook
Mondelez Reports Sales Increase
Judge Says He’ll Approve La Paloma Chapter 11 Plan
After Stingy Second Quarter, Investors Reward Companies for Earnings
The Volcker Rule Can Be Fixed
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
How Mutual Funds Invest in ‘Unicorns’
Lennar, CalAtlantic Strike Deal to Create Largest U.S. Home Builder
Sofinnova Partners Leads $14.3 Million Series A for Medtech Startup HighLife
Day Trader Profited from Hacked Brokerage Accounts, SEC Says
Diamond Distributor Exelco Looks to Sell its Business
Oil Prices Close at Eight-Month High
Dollar Lower Ahead of Fed Meeting
U.S. Stocks Slide to Start a Busy Week
GE’s Numbers Game: Pick From Four Earnings Figures
Morgan Stanley to Exit Accord on Broker Recruiting
Inflation Remains Below Fed’s Target as Officials Meet to Set Policy
FCC Clears CenturyLink-Level 3 Combination
Judge Sets Nov. 15 Bid Deadline for Paramount Building’s Operations
Quick Hits: U.S. GDP Trackers See 2.9% 4th-Quarter Growth
Gold Inches Higher to Kick Off Action-Packed Week
LyondellBasell Makes Takeover Approach to Braskem
Voices: To Invest Like a Pro, Heed Lessons of Institutional Investors
The Perils of a Trumped Fed
Contingent Convertibles: Can the Market Handle Them?
IMF Paper Studies Effects of Public Investment in Developing Economies
The Trump Deregulatory Juggernaut Is Rolling
Texas Manufacturing Activity Highest Since 2014
Americans Are Spending More, Saving Less
Struggling HSH Nordbank Gets Bids From Three U.S. Private-Equity Funds
Viewpoint: Polsinelli/TrollerBK Distress Indices Show Health Care Distress Vaults Higher; General and Real Estate Distress With Slight Increases
Eurozone Businesses, Consumers Undeterred by Political Uncertainty
Puerto Rico’s Debt Victims Aren’t All Vulture Funds
Euro Edges Higher
Trump Likely to Tap Powell for Fed Chief | States Press Equifax on Hack Disclosure | Michaels’s Take: New Attack on SEC’s Enforcement Arsenal
Novartis to Pay $3.9 Billion for Radio-Pharmaceuticals Firm
EasyJet to Buy Assets From Air Berlin
China’s Push to Lower Debt Levels Boosts Results at Big Banks
Puerto Rico Governor Cancels $300 Million Power Contract
HNA Unit Pays Up to Borrow $300 Million
Vistra Energy, Dynegy to Merge
Health-Care Mega Rounds, Once Rare, Grow More Common
Zakrzewski’s Take: Decision Time for VCs on Harassment
Derby’s Take: Fed Officials Make Sense Of Easing Financial Conditions
Kymera Grabs Series A to Tap Into Disease Proteins
HSBC Swings to Profit as Pivot to Asia Pays Off
Michaels’s Take: New Attack on SEC’s Enforcement Arsenal
Trump Likely to Tap Powell for Fed Chief | States Press Equifax on Hack Disclosure | Michaels’s Take: New Attack on SEC’s Enforcement Arsenal
ECB’s Smets: ‘Dangerous’ if People Are Used to Low Inflation
Akzo Nobel, Axalta Confirm Merger Talks
Activist Investors Demand Board Seats, Changes at Clariant
Party’s Over? Chinese Markets Battered After Bout of Artificial Calm
Singapore Seeks to Double Down on Wealth Management, Forex Trading
Netflix to End ‘House of Cards’ Amid Kevin Spacey Allegations
Brickley’s Take: NextEra Wants 20% of Oncor: Why?
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0016

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2017-10-31. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257
2017-10-24,256.6,256.83,256.15,256.56,231.7857,66935900.0,0.0018,1.86,258.172,250.251,66.6898,104.9716,38.1399,252.6757,249.3888
2017-10-25,256.18,256.31,254.0,255.29,230.6383,103715300.0,-0.005,1.7192,257.937,251.01,62.4184,65.9529,6.7512,252.8463,249.5217
2017-10-26,255.99,256.3,255.48,255.62,230.9364,69798000.0,0.0013,1.6156,257.6354,251.8386,63.0545,77.2501,6.7512,253.0307,249.658
2017-10-27,256.47,257.89,255.63,257.71,232.8246,85562500.0,0.0082,1.6828,257.7499,252.3721,66.7423,105.8535,21.7725,253.3147,249.8372
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928

U.S. Steel’s Quarterly Profit Rises
China October Caixin Manufacturing PMI Steady
Most Asia Stock Markets Jump; NZ Retreats
Oil Futures Gain Further as API Data Show Decline in Crude Stocks
Biswas’s Take: Bowie Tees Up Debt Deal As It Hands Stake to Murray Energy
Why the Dow Jones Industrial Average Crushed the S&P 500 in October
South Korea’s Inflation, Exports Slow in October
Uber Wins Delay in Brazil’s Effort to Regulate Ride-Hailing
Sens. Crapo, Brown End Talks on Dodd-Frank Rollback
Kayne Anderson Buys Brooklyn Property From Jehovah’s Witnesses for $200 Million
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
In Mainstream Move, Bitcoin Poised to Join Oil, Gold in Futures Trading
GOP Rep. Jeb Hensarling of Texas Won’t Seek Re-Election
Five Things to Know About Bitcoin and the Race to Launch Derivatives
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher as Fed Decision Looms
Noreika: Applying for a Bank Charter Should Be Easier
Federal Home Loan Banks Rely Heavily on Short-Term Funding
Stocks Notch Monthly Gains
Oil Hovers Near Multimonth Highs
Bajaj Joins Foresight Capital as Managing Director
NBER Paper Addresses Identification in Macroeconomics
Quick Hits: BOE Has Already Effectively Raised Rates, Says HSBC
Avaya Can Put Revamped Reorganization Plan to Creditor Vote
The Bond Market Still Hasn’t Learned the Lessons of Toys ‘R’ Us and Puerto Rico
Carlyle Posts Profit, Helped by Strong Fee Growth
Bitcoin’s Future? Here’s What You Should Know
Under Armour Vows Changes as Quarterly Sales Fall for First Time
ADP to File SEC Complaint Against Ackman
Bitcoin Futures May Be Coming But Trading Hurdles Remain
Mastercard’s Momentum Continues as CEO Focuses on Security
Dynamic Airways Lines Up New Bankruptcy Loan
Rockwell Automation Rejects Emerson Electric Takeover Bid
Gold Prices Fall as Dollar Recovers
Scana Shakes Up Management
Inside the Decline of Sears, the Amazon of the 20th Century
Pfizer Expects Wave of New Launches
U.S. Homeownership Rises Slightly in Latest Quarter
How to Properly Use the Sharpe Ratio (According to Dr. Sharpe Himself)
U.S. Employment Costs Picked Up in Third Quarter
Improving Sales Lift Kellogg Shares
Aetna Posts Revenue Decline, Doesn’t Comment on CVS Report
Consumer Confidence Surged in October
U.S. Home Price Gains Accelerated in August
Italy’s Mossi & Ghisolfi  Puts Part of M&G Chemicals Business Into Chapter 11
Midwest Business Activity Rose in October
Freddie Mac to Send $4.7 Billion to Treasury
Out of Fashion: Burberry’s Top Designer to Depart
British Pound Rallies To Three-Day High on Hopes for Brexit Progress -- MarketWatch
Trader Profited From Hacked Accounts, SEC Says | The Trump Deregulatory Juggernaut | Ackerman’s Take: Two Trump Picks Sputter in Senate
Markets Brace for First U.K. Rate Rise in a Decade
China’s Dandong Port Group Defaults on $150 Million in Bonds
BP to Restart Share Buybacks as Oil Industry Regains Footing
WPP Cuts Forecasts Again on Lower Ad Spending
Remitly Tacks On $115 Million for International Remittances
Gett Cries Foul Over Russian Ride-Hailing Rival
Zinsli’s Take: Megadeals Are Now Venture Firms’ Domain
VitalConnect Raises $38 Million for Wearable Biosensor
Torry’s Take: Will Spooky Inflation Data Scare The Fed Off A Strong Signal?
Ackerman’s Take: Two Trump Picks Sputter in Senate
Clariant Still Open to M&A Despite Failure of Huntsman Deal
Brazil Central Bank Says Rate Cuts to Continue If Justified
Trader Profited From Hacked Accounts, SEC Says | The Trump Deregulatory Juggernaut | Ackerman’s Take: Two Trump Picks Sputter in Senate
Swiss Central Bank Hits Jackpot With Quarterly Profit of $33 Billion
BOJ’s Kuroda: It Isn’t Necessary to Raise Rates for Now
Ryanair Posts Earnings Drop, Sticks With Full-Year Guidance
China Economy Shows Signs of Flagging in October
Corrigan’s Take: Rupari, Romacorp End Months-Long Food Fight
Corrigan’s Take: Rupari, Romacorp End Months-Long Food Fight
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0013

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2017-11-01. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257
2017-10-24,256.6,256.83,256.15,256.56,231.7857,66935900.0,0.0018,1.86,258.172,250.251,66.6898,104.9716,38.1399,252.6757,249.3888
2017-10-25,256.18,256.31,254.0,255.29,230.6383,103715300.0,-0.005,1.7192,257.937,251.01,62.4184,65.9529,6.7512,252.8463,249.5217
2017-10-26,255.99,256.3,255.48,255.62,230.9364,69798000.0,0.0013,1.6156,257.6354,251.8386,63.0545,77.2501,6.7512,253.0307,249.658
2017-10-27,256.47,257.89,255.63,257.71,232.8246,85562500.0,0.0082,1.6828,257.7499,252.3721,66.7423,105.8535,21.7725,253.3147,249.8372
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928
2017-10-31,257.18,257.44,256.81,257.15,232.3187,60304800.0,0.0016,1.6191,257.8094,253.1846,64.4146,98.25,21.7725,253.7883,250.1475

Oil Futures Remain Quiet in Asian Trading
Australia September Trade Surplus Widens
Trump to Tap Jerome Powell as Next Fed Chairman
Kraft Heinz Sales Rise on Growth Outside U.S.
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Bitcoin Futures May Be Coming, But an ETF Is No Lock
China’s Xiaozhu Raises $120 Million Backed by Alibaba’s Ma
Trump Signs Bill Scrapping Rule That Made It Easier to Sue Banks
U.S. Dollar Edges Higher as Trump Picks Powell to Head Fed
SouChe Raises $335 Million for Auto-Buying Venture
Creditors Seek to Push Calypso St. Barth Into Bankruptcy
Consumers Don’t Need to Sue to Right Wrongs
Auto Loans Are Getting Longer, Riskier
SEC Warns Celebrities Against Endorsing Offerings
Powell’s Candidacy Offers Continuity in Fed Policy
SEC Letter to Guggenheim Questions Disclosure of African Banking Investment
Armstrong Energy Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
M&G USA Gets Loan OK in Bankruptcy Court Debut
Stocks Bounce Higher to Start November
MetLife Swings to Loss on Brighthouse Charges
Some Press To Get an Address With Just the Right Cachet
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Cites ‘Solid Rate’ of Economic Growth
GE Shows How ‘Black Box’ Assets Boost Profits
Two More Senior Executives to Exit From Under Armour
Hudson’s Bay Receives Offer for Galeria Kaufhof Stores From Signa
Randles’s Take: Capital One Putting Pressure on ‘Buy Here, Pay Here’ Car Dealer
Randles’s Take: Capital One Putting Pressure on ‘Buy Here, Pay Here’ Car Dealer
Oil Prices Waver as Supply Declines
Permira to Buy Corporate-Finance Adviser Duff & Phelps for $1.75 Billion
America’s Most Popular Type of Beer Is in Free Fall
Unable to Pay, Drug Developer Humanigen Is in Talks With Lenders
Nickel Prices Surge on Expected Electric Vehicle Demand
Investors’ Query to the Bank of England: Is This a One-Off Rate Rise?
Ackman Criticizes ADP’s ‘Bed Bug’ Letter
SNB Vice Chairman Defends Negative Rates
New York Times Profit Grows
Apollo’s Profit Rises as Private-Equity Gains Outpace Peers
Quick Hits: BOE Could Follow ECB in ‘Dovish Tightening’
How Advisers Are Protecting Client Data
South Korea’s Companies Eager for End to Costly Spat With China
Judge Approves $90 Million Sale of Georgia Carpet Maker
Standard Chartered Shares Fall After Results Miss Expectations
Disney Lays Down the Law for Theaters on ‘Star Wars: The Last Jedi’
U.S. Factory-Activity Index Slipped in October, But Still Solid
Pitney Bowes to Explore Strategic Alternatives
NBER Paper Studies Market Reforms at the Zero Lower Bound
Why Couples Should See a Financial Adviser Before They Get Married
WSJ Dollar Index Rises
InVision Rides Design Demands to $1 Billion Valuation
ADP: U.S. Private Sector Adds 235,000 Jobs in October
Crapo, Brown End Dodd-Frank Talks | Hensarling Won’t Seek Re-Election | Rubin’s Take: Should Fed Lend to All Clearinghouses?
Hims Sells Its Branded Men’s Products Online
Chernova’s Take: SoftBank’s Inflationary Impact
Hannon’s Take: The Bad News Rate Rise
Crapo, Brown End Dodd-Frank Talks | Hensarling Won’t Seek Re-Election | Rubin’s Take: Should Fed Lend to All Clearinghouses?
BOE Wrong To Raise Rates
Rubin’s Take: Should All Clearinghouses Be Able to Borrow From the Fed?
Fed Likely on Hold, but Could Give Clues on Possible December Rate Rise
Bank of England Sets Stage for Rate Increase
Gold Bugs Embrace Bitcoin, Upending Retail Sellers
Turkey Hikes 2017, 2018 Inflation Forecasts, Citing Lira Depreciation
Analysts Get Bullish on Oil for First Time in 6 Months on OPEC Hopes
Computer-Kit Company Kano Raises $28 Million Series B
Harry’s Targeting $37.6 Million in New Funding
Australian House Price Growth Slows to a Crawl
Vital Proteins Raises $19 Million From Cavu Venture Partners
Singapore Bans Two More Individuals Over 1MDB-Related Breaches
Eurozone Economy Slows Slightly as Inflation Target Remains Elusive
Biswas’s Take: Bowie Tees Up Debt Deal As It Hands Stake to Murray Energy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0004

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2017-11-02 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-23,257.48,257.51,256.02,256.11,231.3791,63915300.0,-0.0039,1.8833,258.251,249.424,65.8902,113.6362,38.1399,252.4587,249.2257
2017-10-24,256.6,256.83,256.15,256.56,231.7857,66935900.0,0.0018,1.86,258.172,250.251,66.6898,104.9716,38.1399,252.6757,249.3888
2017-10-25,256.18,256.31,254.0,255.29,230.6383,103715300.0,-0.005,1.7192,257.937,251.01,62.4184,65.9529,6.7512,252.8463,249.5217
2017-10-26,255.99,256.3,255.48,255.62,230.9364,69798000.0,0.0013,1.6156,257.6354,251.8386,63.0545,77.2501,6.7512,253.0307,249.658
2017-10-27,256.47,257.89,255.63,257.71,232.8246,85562500.0,0.0082,1.6828,257.7499,252.3721,66.7423,105.8535,21.7725,253.3147,249.8372
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928
2017-10-31,257.18,257.44,256.81,257.15,232.3187,60304800.0,0.0016,1.6191,257.8094,253.1846,64.4146,98.25,21.7725,253.7883,250.1475
2017-11-01,258.04,258.43,257.07,257.49,232.6259,54202700.0,0.0013,1.6116,257.9127,253.5143,65.0037,109.8476,30.3104,254.036,250.318

PathAI Raises Series A for AI-Powered Diagnostics
Germany’s Topas Boosts Round to $21 Million
Mexico Clears América Móvil to Charge Rival Telecoms
China Services Sector Activity Picks Up Pace in October
HNA Group’s Borrowing Costs Jump in Latest Short-Term Bond Sale
Australian Retail Sales Flat in September
Asian Stocks Start Well After Thursday Pause
Cash-Strapped Venezuela Seeks to Restructure Debt
Oil Futures Continue to Rise
U.S. Considers Suit Against AT&T’s Deal for Time Warner
Key Trump Backer Mercer Resigns as Renaissance CEO
CFTC Official: Revamp Postcrisis Swap Rules
Optimus Ride Grabs $18 Million for Autonomous Vehicle Technology
Unilever Looks to Move Beyond Black Tea With Tazo Buy
Bill Would Ease Tax Hit on Startup Workers
Market Talk: Daily Analysis Roundup
Re/Max Investigates Allegations Involving CEOs
Starbucks Lowers Long-Term Target, Selling Tazo to Unilever
Study Raises Questions About Stents in Some Heart Patients
Altria, Anticipating FDA Rule, Is Developing Reduced-Nicotine Cigarettes
Elliott Management Enlists UBS in NXP Campaign
Out With the Old Fed
Where Islamic Banks Find Capital
Streaming Services Help Fuel Growth at CBS
T-Mobile, Sprint Working to Salvage Merger
Fannie Mae to Send $3 Billion to Treasury
Proposal Aims to End Tax Break Linked to CEOs’ Performance-Based Pay
Gawker Adviser to Market Potential Claims Against Peter Thiel
Dairy Queen Franchisee Files for Bankruptcy
U.S. Dollar Slips As Tax Overhaul Plan Is Unveiled
Oil Steadies After Fall in U.S. Inventory
Trump Says Jerome Powell Is His Choice to Lead Federal Reserve
Dow Bounces Back to Close at Record as Investors Parse Tax Plan
Credit Suisse Profit Jumps as Focus on the Wealthy Pays Off
Georgia-Pacific’s Bestwall Seeks Bankruptcy Protection
3YourMind Raises $12 Million for 3D Printing Software
Plan Offers Way for Companies to Bring Money to U.S.
PG&E Pressed on Potential Liabilities From California Wildfires
AIG Disappoints Again, Posts Wider-Than-Expected Loss
Banks Sidestep a Big Tax-Plan Pitfall
Newell Shares Tumble on Weak Sales, CEO Blames Retail Woes
U.S. Sets Final Tariffs for Canadian Softwood Lumber
Gold Inches Higher With Washington in Focus
Discovery Communications Says Subscriber Loss Accelerating
Wayfair Shares Drop 20% on Steeper-Than-Expected Loss
U.S. Worker Productivity Jumped in Third Quarter
Mr. Ordinary: Who Is Jerome Powell, Trump’s Federal Reserve Pick?
Sterling, Bond Yields Tumble on BOE Rate Rise
Aurelius Says Windstream’s Debt Exchange Would Violate Bond Indentures
Blue Apron Posts Loss and Sheds Customers
Five Ways to Come Out Ahead With a Roth 401(k)
Speech Analyzer: Read Jerome Powell’s Fed Speeches Over the Years
DowDuPont Plans Job Cuts as Part of $3 Billion Savings Push
Bank of England Takeaways: An Expected but Unwelcome Decision
ISM-New York Business Index Grew in October
Just How Do I Find My ‘Passion’ in Retirement?
Bank of England Raises Interest Rates for First Time in a Decade
Teva Cuts Outlook Again in Perfect Storm of Problems
Bitcoin Hits $7,000 as Wall Street Interest Gets Real
Royal Dutch Shell Closes Out Strong Quarter for Global Oil Firms
U.S. Jobless Claims Fall Despite Hurricane Effects
Czech Central Bank Raises Main Rate
Insys Therapeutics Misses Estimates, Sets Aside Litigation Funds
Sterling Falls After BOE Raises Rates
Powell Announcement to Come Thursday | Employee Loans, a New Work Perk | What to Watch: Revisiting Postcrisis Rules at the CFTC
U.S. Banks Want Freer Flow of Data in Nafta Pact
Bombardier Focuses on Airbus Deal as It Misses Estimates
Berlin Startup GetYourGuide Books $75 Million
Davis’s Take: Tech Founders, Pay Attention to Capitol Hill’s Probe
You Can’t Trust the Usual Gauges on This Economy
Worker Churn and Employment Growth at the Establishment Level
Foreign Investors Red-Hot for Short-Term Chinese Bank Debt
Harrison’s Take: Our Unpredictable President Makes His Pick
What to Watch: Revisiting Postcrisis Rules at the CFTC
Global Oversupply of Grains Puts a Squeeze on Giant Processors
Powell Announcement to Come Thursday | Employee Loans, a New Work Perk | What to Watch: Revisiting Postcrisis Rules at the CFTC
New Workplace Perk: Loans for Low-Income Employees
Chinese Communist Party Has Ties to Massive Hong Kong Property Deal
Etihad Pares Back U.S. Service After Split With American Airlines
Investors Expect First BOE Rate Rise in a Decade
Chinese Tech Giants Target the Next Frontier in Online Insurance: Life
TransferWise Raises $280 Million at $1.6 Billion Valuation
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0033

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2017-11-06. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-27,256.47,257.89,255.63,257.71,232.8246,85562500.0,0.0082,1.6828,257.7499,252.3721,66.7423,105.8535,21.7725,253.3147,249.8372
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928
2017-10-31,257.18,257.44,256.81,257.15,232.3187,60304800.0,0.0016,1.6191,257.8094,253.1846,64.4146,98.25,21.7725,253.7883,250.1475
2017-11-01,258.04,258.43,257.07,257.49,232.6259,54202700.0,0.0013,1.6116,257.9127,253.5143,65.0037,109.8476,30.3104,254.036,250.318
2017-11-02,257.41,257.75,256.19,257.59,232.7162,56449500.0,0.0004,1.5954,258.1521,253.5679,65.1791,93.5302,18.0661,254.3093,250.4903
2017-11-03,257.77,258.5,257.3,258.45,233.4932,59589700.0,0.0033,1.6331,258.5183,253.6097,66.6655,119.3728,24.5269,254.6097,250.7352

Oil Futures Maintain Overnight Gains
Red Robin Dives as It Lowers Financial Targets
Avis Slides as Fleet Costs Rise
AmTrust Sells Stake in U.S. Fee Businesses to Private Equity Firm
Pemex Chief Hopes Recent Oil Find Makes It More Attractive for Joint Ventures
Health-Ade Kombucha Secures $12.6 Million
Arbitration Rule Repeal Limits Consumers’ Legal Avenues
U.S. Dollar Slides Against Emerging Markets
Transcript: Audience Q&A With Federal Reserve’s William Dudley
Financial-Reporting Mandates Aid Market Diversity
Priceline Shares Fall After It Lowers Profit Outlook
Takata Submits Deal Documents for $1.58 Billion Sale to Key Safety
New Zealand Details Reserve Bank Review
Southeastern Grocers’ Talks With Bondholders Intensify
Bank Bets Tied to Government Bailouts Soar Up to 1,440% in a Year
U.S. Stock Indexes Post Records
Transcript: Media Q&A With Federal Reserve’s John Williams
Cardinal Health Names New CEO
South Dakota’s Celebrity Casino Files for Bankruptcy
Wells Fargo Launches Robo-Investment Service
Corrigan’s Take: Sexual-Abuse Victims Accuse Bankrupt Montana Diocese of Sheltering Assets
Goldman Sachs Names Stephanie Cohen as Head of Strategy
Lawsuit Raises Pressure on Spanish Broadcasting System
Sprint Says It Will Spend Billions More on Network
10 Things to Know About Jerome Powell
CFTC Fines Cargill $10 Million Over Swaps Trades
Oil Hits Two-Year High Amid Crackdown in Saudi Arabia
The Modern Cell Carrier: How We Got Here
Kobalt Capital Raises $600 Million Fund for Music Royalties
Goldman Sachs Chief Risk Officer Broderick To Retire
Gold Inches Higher With Geopolitical Risks in Focus
Firm Retention Summary: Armstrong Energy Inc.
New York Fed Says Dudley Plans to Retire in Mid-2018
Fed’s Dudley Warns Against Heavy Rollback of Rules
Equifax Still Probing Legal Officer’s Share-Sales Role
On the Power of Social Media
Fed’s Williams: Price-Level Targeting May Be Good Regime for Fed
GST AutoLeather Creditors Take Aim at Black Diamond
ETF Heyday Is No Bonanza for Wall Street
Valeant to Divest Itself of Sprout Pharmaceuticals Unit
Employment Index Rises Following Declines From Hurricanes
Oil Prices Hit Two-Year High, Fueled by Global Growth
Assignment for Trump, Xi and Putin: Stop North Korea
Amazon’s Roy Price Left Alleged Trail of Sexual Harassment
ECB Releases QE Bond Redemption Totals
New York Fed’s Dudley to Retire Early | Ross Didn’t Disclose Ties to Putin Inner Circle | Deng’s Take: China’s Financial Strains Show Up in Small Banks
CVS, With an Eye on Amazon, to Launch Next-Day Delivery
Yen Pares Sharp Declines Against Dollar
U.S. Probes Three Banks’ Links to Mozambique Debt
Southeast, Mid-Atlantic Deals Heating Up
Zakrzewski’s Take: Emerging Hubs and Tech’s Diversity Problem
SoftBank Chairman Changes Tune on Sprint’s Need for Consolidation
Uniqlo Founder Thinks U.S. Needs Fewer Malls and More of His Stores
Downgrades Shadow Moody’s, S&P’s Push Into China
Deng’s Take: China’s Financial Strains Show Up in Small Banks
New York Fed’s Dudley to Retire Early | Ross Didn’t Disclose Ties to Putin Inner Circle | Deng’s Take: China’s Financial Strains Show Up in Small Banks
Glynn’s Take: Australian Prices Weigh on RBA
Turkey’s Central Bank Moves to Counter Falling Lira
Inflation Disagreements and Monetary Policy
Fast Food in China? Tuna-Pesto Panini, Paying by Facial Recognition
Goldman, China’s Sovereign-Wealth Fund Plan Up to $5 Billion in U.S. Investments
Real Interest Rates Since 1311
ECB’s Chief Economist Defends Recent QE Extension
ADP Vote to Offer Status Check on Activist Investor Ackman’s Standing
BOJ’s Kuroda Pledges to Stick With Current Easing
Dollar Hits Eight-Month High Versus Yen With Promise of Continued Easing in Japan
Qatar Airways to Take Stake in Hong Kong’s Cathay Pacific
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0007

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2017-11-07. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928
2017-10-31,257.18,257.44,256.81,257.15,232.3187,60304800.0,0.0016,1.6191,257.8094,253.1846,64.4146,98.25,21.7725,253.7883,250.1475
2017-11-01,258.04,258.43,257.07,257.49,232.6259,54202700.0,0.0013,1.6116,257.9127,253.5143,65.0037,109.8476,30.3104,254.036,250.318
2017-11-02,257.41,257.75,256.19,257.59,232.7162,56449500.0,0.0004,1.5954,258.1521,253.5679,65.1791,93.5302,18.0661,254.3093,250.4903
2017-11-03,257.77,258.5,257.3,258.45,233.4932,59589700.0,0.0033,1.6331,258.5183,253.6097,66.6655,119.3728,24.5269,254.6097,250.7352
2017-11-06,258.3,259.0,258.22,258.85,233.8545,49652600.0,0.0015,1.676,258.8514,253.7666,67.3364,137.4785,28.5425,254.9403,250.9807

RBNZ Set to Hold Amid Mandate Uncertainty
Bill to Sanction Banks Dealing With North Korea Advances
BOJ Funo: To Patiently Continue With Powerful Monetary Easing
Oil Pulls Back a Bit Further Following API
ADP Boss Taunts Ackman: This Was a ‘Whooping’
Venture Firms Finance Pair of Startups Targeting Dry Eye
Intersection Receives $150 Million to Grow Urban Wi-Fi Network
Transcript: Q&A With Federal Reserve’s Randal Quarles
Head of Puerto Rico’s Power Utility Is a No-Show at Hearing
Quant Fund Struggles Despite Backing by Cohen, Andreessen
Embattled Cancer Treatment Provider, Patients Feud Over Data-Breach Claims
Tricky Balancing Act Faces New York Fed Search Committee
Dollar Rises as Fed Looks Like Best Bet to Raise Rates
CFPB Promotes Donoghue to Head Enforcement Team
Fannie, Freddie Don’t Help Homeownership
Brexit Complicates ‘Bail-In’ Plan for the U.K.
Bank of Canada’s Poloz: ‘We Know How Inflation Works’
Unilever Gains Delay in Dispute
S&P 500 Retreats After Five-Day Rally
Oil Prices Lower as Geopolitical Fears Fade
SeaWorld Sees Promise in New Ad Campaign as Attendance Slides
Rizzo’s Take: Cobalt Energy Warns of Possible Bankruptcy Filing as Debt Payments Loom
Rizzo’s Take: Cobalt Energy Warns of Possible Bankruptcy Filing as Debt Payments Loom
Judge Sets Timeline for Sale of Bankrupt Kentucky Home-Health Company
Tame Bitcoin’s Price Swings? There’s a Plan for That
Voices: To Work With LGBTQ Clients, Establish Trust and Study the Issues
Fed’s New Regulatory Point Man: Everything Is on the Table
I.Am.Plus Raises $117 Million and Launches Voice Assistant
Gold Retreats as Dollar Rises
Yellen: Ethical Behavior Gives Public Confidence in Fed
State Street CEO, President Plan to Retire
Sweden Seeks Raytheon Missile-Defense System
At Bridgewater, a Secret Settlement and a Groping Claim Against Dalio’s Protégé
Founder of Croatian Retail Giant Arrested Amid Embezzlement Allegations
Exelon Subsidiary Files for Chapter 11 Protection
ECB’s Draghi: We Need a Joint Effort to Tackle Bad Loans
Maersk Swings to Loss
Pollution Rule Is Boon for Richest Refiners, Blow for Weakest
Firm Retention Summary: GST AutoLeather Inc.
Commodity-Sensitive Currencies Fall Against U.S. Dollar
Eastern Europe Set for Strongest Economic Growth Since Crisis
OPEC Says Oil Demand Will Grow Past 2040
Starbucks to Open Princi Bakery Inside Seattle Roastery
Blackstone to Sell Stake in Chinese Medical Device Maker
Dudley Warns Against Regulatory Rollback | OFR Chief to Leave | Secret Settlement at Bridgewater | Hayashi’s Take: Save Money, Win Prizes
Norwest Backs Medical Payment Platform
Chernova’s Take: Russia’s Silicon Valley Ties Now Seen in New Light
Hayashi’s Take: Save Money, Win Prizes
Russian Oil Exports Could Be Looming Problem for Prices
Cellular Rivalry: India’s Richest Man Imperils Brother’s Company
Switzerland’s Central Bank Finally Gets Some Inflation—In Its Profit
Dudley Warns Against Regulatory Rollback | OFR Chief to Leave | Secret Settlement at Bridgewater | Hayashi’s Take: Save Money, Win Prizes
Derby’s Take: Benchmarking Expectations Of Balance Sheet Draw Down
China Aircraft Exports Cleared for Takeoff Under FAA Deal
The ECB: Expensive and Opaque
Japan Stocks Hit Quarter-Century High
Malaysia’s Central Bank Expected to Hold Rates Steady
Australia’s RBA Keeps Interest Rates on Hold
SoftBank Chief Raises Prospect of Lyft Stake
Corrigan’s Take: Sexual-Abuse Victims Accuse Bankrupt Montana Diocese of Sheltering Assets
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0017

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2017-11-08 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928
2017-10-31,257.18,257.44,256.81,257.15,232.3187,60304800.0,0.0016,1.6191,257.8094,253.1846,64.4146,98.25,21.7725,253.7883,250.1475
2017-11-01,258.04,258.43,257.07,257.49,232.6259,54202700.0,0.0013,1.6116,257.9127,253.5143,65.0037,109.8476,30.3104,254.036,250.318
2017-11-02,257.41,257.75,256.19,257.59,232.7162,56449500.0,0.0004,1.5954,258.1521,253.5679,65.1791,93.5302,18.0661,254.3093,250.4903
2017-11-03,257.77,258.5,257.3,258.45,233.4932,59589700.0,0.0033,1.6331,258.5183,253.6097,66.6655,119.3728,24.5269,254.6097,250.7352
2017-11-06,258.3,259.0,258.22,258.85,233.8545,49652600.0,0.0015,1.676,258.8514,253.7666,67.3364,137.4785,28.5425,254.9403,250.9807
2017-11-07,258.97,259.35,258.09,258.67,233.692,57502200.0,-0.0007,1.6761,259.1315,253.8915,66.7114,134.5252,31.2784,255.26,251.1828

Battle Over Weedkiller Heads to Court
Behind the Fall of a New York State Pension Fund Executive
Powell Senate Confirmation Hearing Set for Nov. 28, Panel Says
Silver Lake, LinkedIn Invest in Cornerstone OnDemand
Icahn Faces Questions Over Trump Advisory Role
China Consumer Inflation Hits Nine-Month High
Oil Futures Hold Steady in Asia Trade Amid Lack of Trading Cues
Gun-Control Supporters Claim Success in Elections
The Fox-Disney Dance in 5 Charts
BOJ Opinion Summary Shows Resistance to Further Easing
Regulators Seek Significant Asset Sales in AT&T Deal for Time Warner
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Holds Rates Steady
Manhattan Retail Landlords Slash Rents to Lure Tenants
Cable Networks Power Earnings at 21st Century Fox
Goldman Unveils Larger Class of Managing Directors
Roku Shares Jump on Strong Growth in First Earnings Report Since IPO
Exonics Therapeutics Gets $40 Million for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Drug
Compass Grabs $100 Million at $1.8 Billion Valuation for Real Estate Tech
UBS Reorganizes Investment-Banking Unit
GulfMark Bondholders Lose Battle With Departing Leaders Over Cash
Merrill Lynch Revamps Broker Pay to Reward Referrals, Stronger Growth
U.S. Dollar Falls Against Canada’s Loonie
A Harvey Weinstein Operative Played Another Role
ExGen Texas on Track for Smooth Reorganization in Chapter 11
Stocks Tick Higher as Investors Weigh Earnings
iHeartMedia in Talks to Refinance December Loan
Securities Database Can Be Salvaged
Regulatory Network Beats Top-Down Governance
Scurria’s Take: Weinstein Co. Claimant Seeks Pre-emptive Asset Freeze
Scurria’s Take: Weinstein Co. Claimant Seeks Pre-emptive Asset Freeze
Sidney Toledano to Step Aside at Dior
Gold Rises on Doubts Over Tax Overhaul, Saudi Shake-up
Panera’s Ron Shaich to Step Down as CEO
Oil Prices Slide After EIA Report Shows Rise in U.S. Supplies
Bitcoin Backers Call Truce on Feud That Threatened Currency
Bank of Korea Member Says Policy Tightening to Happen Gradually
Mnuchin: Yellen Hasn’t Decided Whether to Stay at Fed
Glaxo Names Roche Veteran as R&D Head
Humana Gives Downbeat Outlook
A WSJ Commenting Experiment
EU Unveils Proposal to Cut Vehicles’ Carbon-Dioxide Emissions
Comerica Names Accounting Chief As New CFO
Invirsa Takes Aim at Pinkeye Treatment
An EU Plan to Invade U.S. Markets
Hiring Trends Show Employers Are Cautious
NBER Paper Examines Effects of Swedish Tax Cut on Employment Rate
SEC’s Clayton Urges Review of Shareholder Voting
Sears Sales Slide Continues
Why Fund Investors Should Brace for a Big Tax Bite
Pound Falls on Worries of PM May Leadership
Dynasty Financial Adds $4 Billion Advisory
Zinsli’s Take: Three Bad Omens for IPOs
Venture Investing in Middle America on the Rise Since 2016 Election
Fed’s Quarles: Everything Is on the Table | CFPB’s New Enforcement Chief | What to Watch: Flood-Insurance Fix, Clayton Speech
What to Watch: Flood-Insurance Fix
RBI Orders India’s Banks to Act on Big Companies’ Bad Debt
Trump Tower Condo Prices Lag Behind Similar Properties’ Prices
How to Sell $15,000 of Tenderloin, Fast
Fed’s Quarles: Everything Is on the Table | CFPB’s New Enforcement Chief | What to Watch: Flood-Insurance Fix, Clayton Speech
FedEx Seals Turboprop Deal Amid Strong Airfreight Sector
Germany’s Economic Strength Lays Ground for Reforms, Says Advisers
Douglas’s Take: Lack of Brexit Progress Could Test BOE
Funding Snapshot: Leanplum Raises $47 Million Series D
Should Hospitals And Universities Be Able to Borrow Tax Free?
Tightening Carried-Interest Loophole May Not Choke Private-Equity Firms After All
GenOn Wins Bankruptcy Battle with Power-Plant Owners
Bank of Thailand Keeps Benchmark Rate Unchanged at 1.5%
China’s Trade Surplus With U.S. Exceeds $25 Billion for Fifth Straight Month
Teen Retailer Styles for Less Seeks Bankruptcy Protection
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0036

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2017-11-09. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-10-30,256.47,257.6,256.41,256.75,231.9573,54285700.0,-0.0037,1.6397,257.7406,252.8244,63.72,96.6119,21.7725,253.549,249.9928
2017-10-31,257.18,257.44,256.81,257.15,232.3187,60304800.0,0.0016,1.6191,257.8094,253.1846,64.4146,98.25,21.7725,253.7883,250.1475
2017-11-01,258.04,258.43,257.07,257.49,232.6259,54202700.0,0.0013,1.6116,257.9127,253.5143,65.0037,109.8476,30.3104,254.036,250.318
2017-11-02,257.41,257.75,256.19,257.59,232.7162,56449500.0,0.0004,1.5954,258.1521,253.5679,65.1791,93.5302,18.0661,254.3093,250.4903
2017-11-03,257.77,258.5,257.3,258.45,233.4932,59589700.0,0.0033,1.6331,258.5183,253.6097,66.6655,119.3728,24.5269,254.6097,250.7352
2017-11-06,258.3,259.0,258.22,258.85,233.8545,49652600.0,0.0015,1.676,258.8514,253.7666,67.3364,137.4785,28.5425,254.9403,250.9807
2017-11-07,258.97,259.35,258.09,258.67,233.692,57502200.0,-0.0007,1.6761,259.1315,253.8915,66.7114,134.5252,31.2784,255.26,251.1828
2017-11-08,258.47,259.22,258.15,259.11,234.0894,50469600.0,0.0017,1.6922,259.4803,253.9517,67.4748,133.1201,31.2784,255.562,251.3928

Catalan Crisis Courses Through Spain’s Financial Plumbing
Drones Are Now Operating Underground
In an Effort to Cut Costs, Some Banks Are Ditching the Fed
Disney Fleshes Out Its Streaming Plans
News Corp Tops Revenue Estimates as Every Division Sees Gains
Retail Clouds Darken as Mall Operator CBL Is Downgraded to Junk Status
J.G. Wentworth to File for Bankruptcy After Striking Debt-Swap Deal
Madoff Victim Fund Makes Long-Delayed Payment
Diagnostics Company Intervention Insights Raises $4.2 Million
Stech’s Take: S.C. Bankruptcy Judge Sides With Couple in Student Loan Dispute
U.K. Activist Investor Seeks Shareholder Vote to Remove LSE Chairman
Government Drops Medicare Fraud Case Against HCR ManorCare
Stocks Drop on Concerns Over GOP Tax Overhaul
Trump Should Dump Money Market Mutual Fund Rules
Peer-to-Peer Loans Resemble Predatory Loans
SEC May Give New Guidelines on Reporting Cybersecurity Breaches
SEC Chief Fires Warning Shot Against Coin Offerings
Department Stores’ Mixed Results Signal Competitive Holiday Season
Dollar Falls on Tax Overhaul Concerns
Millennium Health Trustee Sues Banks to Claw Back Fees
Fintech Lender SoFi Abandons Global Plans
Dynamic Unsecured Creditors in Line for Recovery Under Chapter 11 Plan
Oil Rises On Increased Uncertainty In Middle East
Mexico’s Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged as It Expects Inflation to Ease
Copper Prices Fall on Weak China Data
Burberry Shares Dive, Pointing to Scale of CEO’s Task
SNB’s Jordan: Ready to Intervene in Forex Markets if Necessary
Corn Crop Grows on Record Yield
Voices: For Freelancers and Contract Workers, Savings and Tax Planning Is Critical
P&G Finds Consumer-Goods Directors in Short Supply
Wall Street Fears Nasdaq Proposal Would Expose Trading Secrets
Former Pimco CEO Doug Hodge to Retire
Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis: Is There a Trade-Off?
Economists See Few Monetary Policy Changes With Powell Leading Fed
Forecasters Predict Nafta Withdrawal Would Slow U.S. Growth
Firm Retention Summary: Toys “R” Us Inc.
Time Plays Catch-Up as Print Slowdown Dents Results
Eurozone Growth Set to Accelerate as Threats Subside
U.S. Dollar Weakens
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Torry’s Take: Night of the Walking Zombie Firms
Clayton Urges Review of Shareholder Voting | Leveraged-Lending Shift | Some Small Banks Fire the Fed | Ackerman’s Take: House Lawmakers Tackle Fannie, Freddie Revamp
Peugeot Sets Sights on a Feat That Evaded Opel for Years: a Profit
Davis’s Take: There’s Something (Pot-Friendly) in the Air
Ackerman’s Take: House Lawmakers Tackle Fannie, Freddie Revamp
Coeuré Says Eurozone Lacks Firepower for Another Crisis
Clayton Urges Review of Shareholder Voting | Leveraged-Lending Shift | Some Small Banks Fire the Fed | Ackerman’s Take: House Lawmakers Tackle Fannie, Freddie Revamp
ECB’s Nouy: Concerned About Pace of Banks’ Brexit Plans
Former Bitcoin King Is Bankrupt—And He Could Get Rich Again
Europe Inc. Tops Earnings Expectations, but Momentum Sags
Malaysia Central Bank Keeps Rates Steady
Philippine Central Bank Holds Steady
Bummed About Not Investing in the Tech Rally? Try Asia
WonderWork CEO Resigns After Allegations of Fraud at the Medical Charity
New York Superstructure Builder Navillus Files for Bankruptcy
A Starbucks Coffee Costs What?
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0003

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2017-11-13 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-11-03,257.77,258.5,257.3,258.45,233.4932,59589700.0,0.0033,1.6331,258.5183,253.6097,66.6655,119.3728,24.5269,254.6097,250.7352
2017-11-06,258.3,259.0,258.22,258.85,233.8545,49652600.0,0.0015,1.676,258.8514,253.7666,67.3364,137.4785,28.5425,254.9403,250.9807
2017-11-07,258.97,259.35,258.09,258.67,233.692,57502200.0,-0.0007,1.6761,259.1315,253.8915,66.7114,134.5252,31.2784,255.26,251.1828
2017-11-08,258.47,259.22,258.15,259.11,234.0894,50469600.0,0.0017,1.6922,259.4803,253.9517,67.4748,133.1201,31.2784,255.562,251.3928
2017-11-09,257.73,258.39,256.36,258.17,233.2402,95085500.0,-0.0036,1.6105,259.5473,254.2377,64.2201,81.7607,7.2751,255.8227,251.58
2017-11-10,257.73,258.29,257.37,258.09,233.1679,59984700.0,-0.0003,1.5218,259.5895,254.5095,63.9484,87.9544,7.2751,256.0513,251.83

S&P Rules Venezuela in Default on Interest Payment
Australian Business Conditions Hit Record High in October
China Housing Sales by Value Dip 3.4% in October
Oil Futures Down Modestly as Investors Await News
Cumulus Discloses Details on Debt-for-Equity Swap With Bondholders
GST AutoLeather Wins Court Approval of Bankruptcy Sale Process
Number of Systemically Important Banks to Decline Under Senate Deal
Calpers Takes Hard Look at ‘Bigger and Fewer’ Approach to Private Equity
Arcus Biosciences Rounds Up $107 Million for Cancer Combination Therapy
Low Market Volatility May Not Be Worrisome
The Financial Warning System Isn’t Functional
Voices: On Educating Clients on the Impact of Investment Costs
French Insurer AXA Files for IPO of U.S. Unit
Trustees Put Diamond Distributor Exelco into Chapter 15 Bankruptcy
New CFO as Bank of New York Mellon’s CEO Makes Changes
GE Cuts Dividend, Slashes Profit Goals Amid Restructuring
Weinstein Co. Lender Sues to Recover $45 Million Loan
Dollar Improving Against Emerging-Market  Currencies
Brazil’s Petrobras Posts Profit
State Street to Make Further Push for Board Gender Diversity
Credit Suisse to Pay $135 Million to Settle Allegations of Improper Foreign-Exchange Activity
Pacific Drilling Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection
U.S. Stocks Edge Up to Start the Week
GE to Simply Its Reporting of Financial Results
Scurria’s Take: Highland Goes Globetrotting in Ocean Rig Restructuring Battle
Scurria’s Take: Highland Goes Globetrotting in Ocean Rig Restructuring Battle
Oil Futures Mixed After OPEC Report
Madison Square Garden CEO David O’Connor Steps Down
U.S. Ran $63 Billion Budget Deficit in October
BOJ’s Kuroda Says Easy-Money Policies to Persist to Ensure Higher Inflation
Winner of North Carolina Hospital Auction Challenges Late Bid
Chinese Aluminum Company Drops Bid for U.S. Firm
Gold Rises on Middle East Concerns
Apollo Global Management Names Co-Presidents
IPOs Roar Back World-Wide, With Asia Driving the Boom
Tyson Wants to Use Beef to Fatten Up Poultry Business
Pfizer Sets Up Succession Plan With Creation of Operating Chief Role
Democrats’ Challenge: Don’t Blow Their New Opportunity
Tensions Mount Over Bombardier’s CSeries Deal With Airbus
Brookfield Property Confirms $14.8 Billion Offer To Buy Remainder of GGP
Bitcoin Plunges More Than 25% in Four Days
OPEC Defends Policy Ahead of Crucial Meeting
Female Venture Capitalists to Coach Women Entrepreneurs on Pitches
AB InBev Switches U.S. Boss as It Struggles With Sales Slump
Whistleblowers Point to SEC Watchdog | Exchanges to Seek CAT Delay | Chacko’s Take: Wrapping Up Postcrisis Response
Is the Emerging-Markets Party Over?
Arterys Nabs $30 Million Series B, Seeks Expansion of Medical-Imaging Software
Zakrzewski’s Take: Founders Suffer When VCs Behave Badly
Chacko’s Take: Wrapping Up Postcrisis Response
Whistleblowers Point to SEC Watchdog | Exchanges to Seek CAT Delay | Chacko’s Take: Wrapping Up Postcrisis Response
Derby’s Take: Fed Chairs Are Made By Events, Not Personal Ideology
Citigroup’s Credit-Card Growth Plans Hit a Snag
Constâncio Says ECB Will Maintain Accommodative Monetary Policy
The War On Central Banks
New Zealand Finance Minister Seeks More Changes at RBNZ
Clinical Development News, Nov. 6-10
Brickley’s Take: GenOn Energy Postpones Chapter 11 Confirmation Hearing
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0023

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2017-11-14 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2017-11-06,258.3,259.0,258.22,258.85,233.8545,49652600.0,0.0015,1.676,258.8514,253.7666,67.3364,137.4785,28.5425,254.9403,250.9807
2017-11-07,258.97,259.35,258.09,258.67,233.692,57502200.0,-0.0007,1.6761,259.1315,253.8915,66.7114,134.5252,31.2784,255.26,251.1828
2017-11-08,258.47,259.22,258.15,259.11,234.0894,50469600.0,0.0017,1.6922,259.4803,253.9517,67.4748,133.1201,31.2784,255.562,251.3928
2017-11-09,257.73,258.39,256.36,258.17,233.2402,95085500.0,-0.0036,1.6105,259.5473,254.2377,64.2201,81.7607,7.2751,255.8227,251.58
2017-11-10,257.73,258.29,257.37,258.09,233.1679,59984700.0,-0.0003,1.5218,259.5895,254.5095,63.9484,87.9544,7.2751,256.0513,251.83
2017-11-13,257.31,258.59,257.27,258.33,233.3847,50228600.0,0.0009,1.4541,259.6607,254.7423,64.4154,88.9748,10.412,256.2517,252.0903

SEC Rejects Exchanges’ Request to Delay Surveillance Database
Oil Futures Slide Further in Asia on Bearish API Inventory Estimate
GE Shares Have a Second Bad Day
Nursing Home Operator Preferred Care Files for Bankruptcy
Default in Venezuela: What’s Next
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Ambra Health Raises $7.4 Million Series B
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Pacific Drilling Tees Off Chapter 11 Case
Retail Chain Forever 21 Warns of Data Breach
Dollar Drops to Three-Week Low
Democratic Regulator at CFTC Signals Openness to Tweaking Some Rules
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Stocks Decline as Commodities Slump
Developers Battle Over Bankrupt Indiana Sports Complex
Canada Housing Insurer Warns of Housing Risk Among Unregulated Lenders
White House Weighs Former Pimco CEO El-Erian for Fed Vice Chairman
Regulators Should Keep Accountability Policies
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Fed’s Bostic: Gradual Rate Rises Appropriate Over Next Several Years
U.S. Court Recognizes Takata’s Japanese Restructuring
Copper Prices Fall on Weak Chinese Data
Transcript: Central-Bank Chiefs’ Discussion in Frankfurt
Top Central Bankers Defend Stimulus Efforts
U.S. Manufacturing Rides Rising Tide
Wells Fargo Trims Small-Business Card-Processing Unit
Departing FDIC Chief: Postcrisis Rules Are There for a Reason
CFTC Fines Norway’s Statoil, Citing Market Manipulation
U.S. Producer Prices Rose in October
TJX Breaks Eight-Year Sales Growth Streak
Second Activist Investor Buys Stake in Mall Owner Taubman
U.S. Household Debt Reaches New Record
Airbus, Emirates Face Off Over A380 Future
BOE’s Cunliffe Says He Voted Against Rate Rise on Weak Wage Growth
Fed’s Bullard Repeats Opposition to Rate Rises
Fashion Resale Startup Poshmark Raises $87.5 Million
HSBC to Pay $352 Million to Resolve French Probe
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As Seadrill Foundered, Lawyers, Executives Profited
Wall Street Fines Fall in Trump Administration’s First Year
Madison Square Garden Seeks Buyer for WNBA Team New York Liberty
Firm Retention Summary: Think Finance LLC
German, Italian Growth Add Fuel to Eurozone Recovery
British Pound Lower Against Dollar
Donor-Advised Funds Gaining Assets—and Fans
Millions More Millionaires Around the World, Led by U.S.
Senators Strike Deal to Ease Bank Rules | SEC Fines Fall | Rubin’s Take: Execute Swap Trades? Better Hit the Books
At Last, Deutsche Bank CEO and Big Shareholder Meet
LeanTaaS Gets $25 Million to Schedule Cancer Treatments with Predictive Analytics
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Chinese Bond Rout Continues as 10-Year Yield Touches 4%
Central Banks Can Take Predictability Too Far, BIS Official Warns
Rubin’s Take: Execute Swap Trades? Better Hit the Books
Harrison’s Take: The Fed and The Yield Curve
ECB’s Lautenschläger: No Automatic Action on Banks’ Bad Loans
Senators Strike Deal to Ease Bank Rules | SEC Fines Fall | Rubin’s Take: Execute Swap Trades? Better Hit the Books
Small-Business Optimism Index Rises in October
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Oil-Price Recovery Threatened by Weak Demand, Says IEA
Now Is Time to Lay Out New Policy Tool Kit, Fed’s Evans Says
Bank Lending and Policy Spillovers
China’s Indicators Point to Slowing Economy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0050

Rejected response: Rise