pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
Learning with Norm Constrained, Over-parameterized, Two-layer Neural Networks
Authors: Fanghui Liu, Leello Dadi, Volkan Cevher
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00

Recent studies show that a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) is not a suitable space to model functions by neural networks as the curse of dimensionality (CoD) cannot be evaded when trying to approximate even a single ReLU neuron (Bach, 2017). In this paper, we study a suitable function space for over-parameterized two-layer neural networks with bounded norms (e.g., the path norm, the Barron norm) in the perspective of sample complexity and generalization properties. First, we show that the path norm (as well as the Barron norm) is able to obtain width-independence sample complexity bounds, which allows for uniform convergence guarantees. Based on this result, we derive the improved result of metric entropy for $\epsilon$-covering up to $O(\epsilon^{-\frac{2d}{d+2}})$ ($d$ is the input dimension and the depending constant is at most linear order of $d$) via the convex hull technique, which demonstrates the separation with kernel methods with $\Omega(\epsilon^{-d})$ to learn the target function in a Barron space. Second, this metric entropy result allows for building a sharper generalization bound under a general moment hypothesis setting, achieving the rate at $O(n^{-\frac{d+2}{2d+2}})$. Our analysis is novel in that it offers a sharper and refined estimation for metric entropy with a linear dimension dependence and unbounded sampling in the estimation of the sample error and the output error.
Why You Should Not Trust Interpretations in Machine Learning: Adversarial Attacks on Partial Dependence Plots
Authors: Xi Xin, Giles Hooker, Fei Huang
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Decision Making, Management

The adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) across industries has led to the widespread use of complex black-box models and interpretation tools for decision making. This paper proposes an adversarial framework to uncover the vulnerability of permutation-based interpretation methods for machine learning tasks, with a particular focus on partial dependence (PD) plots. This adversarial framework modifies the original black box model to manipulate its predictions for instances in the extrapolation domain. As a result, it produces deceptive PD plots that can conceal discriminatory behaviors while preserving most of the original model's predictions. This framework can produce multiple fooled PD plots via a single model. By using real-world datasets including an auto insurance claims dataset and COMPAS (Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions) dataset, our results show that it is possible to intentionally hide the discriminatory behavior of a predictor and make the black-box model appear neutral through interpretation tools like PD plots while retaining almost all the predictions of the original black-box model. Managerial insights for regulators and practitioners are provided based on the findings.
FALE: Fairness-Aware ALE Plots for Auditing Bias in Subgroups
Authors: Giorgos Giannopoulos, Dimitris Sacharidis, Nikolas Theologitis, Loukas Kavouras, Ioannis Emiris
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Attribute, Fairness

Fairness is steadily becoming a crucial requirement of Machine Learning (ML) systems. A particularly important notion is subgroup fairness, i.e., fairness in subgroups of individuals that are defined by more than one attributes. Identifying bias in subgroups can become both computationally challenging, as well as problematic with respect to comprehensibility and intuitiveness of the finding to end users. In this work we focus on the latter aspects; we propose an explainability method tailored to identifying potential bias in subgroups and visualizing the findings in a user friendly manner to end users. In particular, we extend the ALE plots explainability method, proposing FALE (Fairness aware Accumulated Local Effects) plots, a method for measuring the change in fairness for an affected population corresponding to different values of a feature (attribute). We envision FALE to function as an efficient, user friendly, comprehensible and reliable first-stage tool for identifying subgroups with potential bias issues.
Open-Source Drift Detection Tools in Action: Insights from Two Use Cases
Authors: Rieke Müller, Mohamed Abdelaal, Davor Stjelja
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Computational Efficiency, Drift Detection

Data drifts pose a critical challenge in the lifecycle of machine learning (ML) models, affecting their performance and reliability. In response to this challenge, we present a microbenchmark study, called D3Bench, which evaluates the efficacy of open-source drift detection tools. D3Bench examines the capabilities of Evidently AI, NannyML, and Alibi-Detect, leveraging real-world data from two smart building use cases.We prioritize assessing the functional suitability of these tools to identify and analyze data drifts. Furthermore, we consider a comprehensive set of non-functional criteria, such as the integrability with ML pipelines, the adaptability to diverse data types, user-friendliness, computational efficiency, and resource demands. Our findings reveal that Evidently AI stands out for its general data drift detection, whereas NannyML excels at pinpointing the precise timing of shifts and evaluating their consequent effects on predictive accuracy.
Enhancing Uncertain Demand Prediction in Hospitals Using Simple and Advanced Machine Learning
Authors: Annie Hu, Samuel Stockman, Xun Wu, Richard Wood, Bangdong Zhi, Oliver Y. Chén
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00

Early and timely prediction of patient care demand not only affects effective resource allocation but also influences clinical decision-making as well as patient experience. Accurately predicting patient care demand, however, is a ubiquitous challenge for hospitals across the world due, in part, to the demand's time-varying temporal variability, and, in part, to the difficulty in modelling trends in advance. To address this issue, here, we develop two methods, a relatively simple time-vary linear model, and a more advanced neural network model. The former forecasts patient arrivals hourly over a week based on factors such as day of the week and previous 7-day arrival patterns. The latter leverages a long short-term memory (LSTM) model, capturing non-linear relationships between past data and a three-day forecasting window. We evaluate the predictive capabilities of the two proposed approaches compared to two na\"ive approaches - a reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model and the TBATS model. Using patient care demand data from Rambam Medical Center in Israel, our results show that both proposed models effectively capture hourly variations of patient demand. Additionally, the linear model is more explainable thanks to its simple architecture, whereas, by accurately modelling weekly seasonal trends, the LSTM model delivers lower prediction errors. Taken together, our explorations suggest the utility of machine learning in predicting time-varying patient care demand; additionally, it is possible to predict patient care demand with good accuracy (around 4 patients) three days or a week in advance using machine learning.
Feature importance to explain multimodal prediction models. A clinical use case
Authors: Jorn-Jan van de Beld, Shreyasi Pathak, Jeroen Geerdink, Johannes H. Hegeman, Christin Seifert
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Feature Importance, Mortality Prediction, Multimodal Deep Learning

Surgery to treat elderly hip fracture patients may cause complications that can lead to early mortality. An early warning system for complications could provoke clinicians to monitor high-risk patients more carefully and address potential complications early, or inform the patient. In this work, we develop a multimodal deep-learning model for post-operative mortality prediction using pre-operative and per-operative data from elderly hip fracture patients. Specifically, we include static patient data, hip and chest images before surgery in pre-operative data, vital signals, and medications administered during surgery in per-operative data. We extract features from image modalities using ResNet and from vital signals using LSTM. Explainable model outcomes are essential for clinical applicability, therefore we compute Shapley values to explain the predictions of our multimodal black box model. We find that i) Shapley values can be used to estimate the relative contribution of each modality both locally and globally, and ii) a modified version of the chain rule can be used to propagate Shapley values through a sequence of models supporting interpretable local explanations. Our findings imply that a multimodal combination of black box models can be explained by propagating Shapley values through the model sequence.
Predicting Safety Misbehaviours in Autonomous Driving Systems using Uncertainty Quantification
Authors: Ruben Grewal, Paolo Tonella, Andrea Stocco
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Vehicles, Uncertainty Quantification

The automated real-time recognition of unexpected situations plays a crucial role in the safety of autonomous vehicles, especially in unsupported and unpredictable scenarios. This paper evaluates different Bayesian uncertainty quantification methods from the deep learning domain for the anticipatory testing of safety-critical misbehaviours during system-level simulation-based testing. Specifically, we compute uncertainty scores as the vehicle executes, following the intuition that high uncertainty scores are indicative of unsupported runtime conditions that can be used to distinguish safe from failure-inducing driving behaviors. In our study, we conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness and computational overhead associated with two Bayesian uncertainty quantification methods, namely MC- Dropout and Deep Ensembles, for misbehaviour avoidance. Overall, for three benchmarks from the Udacity simulator comprising both out-of-distribution and unsafe conditions introduced via mutation testing, both methods successfully detected a high number of out-of-bounds episodes providing early warnings several seconds in advance, outperforming two state-of-the-art misbehaviour prediction methods based on autoencoders and attention maps in terms of effectiveness and efficiency. Notably, Deep Ensembles detected most misbehaviours without any false alarms and did so even when employing a relatively small number of models, making them computationally feasible for real-time detection. Our findings suggest that incorporating uncertainty quantification methods is a viable approach for building fail-safe mechanisms in deep neural network-based autonomous vehicles.
Learning Governing Equations of Unobserved States in Dynamical Systems
Authors: Gevik Grigorian, Sandip V. George, Simon Arridge
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Symbolic Regression

Data-driven modelling and scientific machine learning have been responsible for significant advances in determining suitable models to describe data. Within dynamical systems, neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), where the system equations are set to be governed by a neural network, have become a popular tool for this challenge in recent years. However, less emphasis has been placed on systems that are only partially-observed. In this work, we employ a hybrid neural ODE structure, where the system equations are governed by a combination of a neural network and domain-specific knowledge, together with symbolic regression (SR), to learn governing equations of partially-observed dynamical systems. We test this approach on two case studies: A 3-dimensional model of the Lotka-Volterra system and a 5-dimensional model of the Lorenz system. We demonstrate that the method is capable of successfully learning the true underlying governing equations of unobserved states within these systems, with robustness to measurement noise.
IncidentResponseGPT: Generating Traffic Incident Response Plans with Generative Artificial Intelligence
Authors: Artur Grigorev, Adriana-Simona Mihaita Khaled Saleh, Yuming Ou
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Decision Making, Management

The proposed IncidentResponseGPT framework - a novel system that applies generative artificial intelligence (AI) to potentially enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of traffic incident response. This model allows for synthesis of region-specific incident response guidelines and generates incident response plans adapted to specific area, aiming to expedite decision-making for traffic management authorities. This approach aims to accelerate incident resolution times by suggesting various recommendations (e.g. optimal rerouting strategies, estimating resource needs) to minimize the overall impact on the urban traffic network. The system suggests specific actions, including dynamic lane closures, optimized rerouting and dispatching appropriate emergency resources. We utilize the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to rank generated response plans based on criteria like impact minimization and resource efficiency based on their proximity to an human-proposed solution.
Time Machine GPT
Authors: Felix Drinkall, Eghbal Rahimikia, Janet B. Pierrehumbert, Stefan Zohren
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Time Series, Time Series Forecasting

Large language models (LLMs) are often trained on extensive, temporally indiscriminate text corpora, reflecting the lack of datasets with temporal metadata. This approach is not aligned with the evolving nature of language. Conventional methods for creating temporally adapted language models often depend on further pre-training static models on time-specific data. This paper presents a new approach: a series of point-in-time LLMs called Time Machine GPT (TiMaGPT), specifically designed to be nonprognosticative. This ensures they remain uninformed about future factual information and linguistic changes. This strategy is beneficial for understanding language evolution and is of critical importance when applying models in dynamic contexts, such as time-series forecasting, where foresight of future information can prove problematic. We provide access to both the models and training datasets.
Symmetry group based domain decomposition to enhance physics-informed neural networks for solving partial differential equations
Authors: Ye Liu, Jie-Ying Li, Li-Sheng Zhang, Lei-Lei Guo, Zhi-Yong Zhang
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00

Domain decomposition provides an effective way to tackle the dilemma of physics-informed neural networks (PINN) which struggle to accurately and efficiently solve partial differential equations (PDEs) in the whole domain, but the lack of efficient tools for dealing with the interfaces between two adjacent sub-domains heavily hinders the training effects, even leads to the discontinuity of the learned solutions. In this paper, we propose a symmetry group based domain decomposition strategy to enhance the PINN for solving the forward and inverse problems of the PDEs possessing a Lie symmetry group. Specifically, for the forward problem, we first deploy the symmetry group to generate the dividing-lines having known solution information which can be adjusted flexibly and are used to divide the whole training domain into a finite number of non-overlapping sub-domains, then utilize the PINN and the symmetry-enhanced PINN methods to learn the solutions in each sub-domain and finally stitch them to the overall solution of PDEs. For the inverse problem, we first utilize the symmetry group acting on the data of the initial and boundary conditions to generate labeled data in the interior domain of PDEs and then find the undetermined parameters as well as the solution by only training the neural networks in a sub-domain. Consequently, the proposed method can predict high-accuracy solutions of PDEs which are failed by the vanilla PINN in the whole domain and the extended physics-informed neural network in the same sub-domains. Numerical results of the Korteweg-de Vries equation with a translation symmetry and the nonlinear viscous fluid equation with a scaling symmetry show that the accuracies of the learned solutions are improved largely.
Time Series Data Augmentation as an Imbalanced Learning Problem
Authors: Vitor Cerqueira, Nuno Moniz, Ricardo Inácio, Carlos Soares
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Data Augmentation, Time Series

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance. However, they require large amounts of data that might not be readily available. Besides this, global models sometimes fail to capture relevant patterns unique to a particular time series. In these cases, data augmentation can be useful to increase the sample size of time series datasets. The main contribution of this work is a novel method for generating univariate time series synthetic samples. Our approach stems from the insight that the observations concerning a particular time series of interest represent only a small fraction of all observations. In this context, we frame the problem of training a forecasting model as an imbalanced learning task. Oversampling strategies are popular approaches used to deal with the imbalance problem in machine learning. We use these techniques to create synthetic time series observations and improve the accuracy of forecasting models. We carried out experiments using 7 different databases that contain a total of 5502 univariate time series. We found that the proposed solution outperforms both a global and a local model, thus providing a better trade-off between these two approaches.
Solving Partial Differential Equations with Equivariant Extreme Learning Machines
Authors: Hans Harder, Jean Rabault, Ricardo Vinuesa, Mikael Mortensen, Sebastian Peitz
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00

We utilize extreme-learning machines for the prediction of partial differential equations (PDEs). Our method splits the state space into multiple windows that are predicted individually using a single model. Despite requiring only few data points (in some cases, our method can learn from a single full-state snapshot), it still achieves high accuracy and can predict the flow of PDEs over long time horizons. Moreover, we show how additional symmetries can be exploited to increase sample efficiency and to enforce equivariance.
Generation of Uncorrelated Residual Variables for Chemical Process Fault Diagnosis via Transfer Learning-based Input-Output Decoupled Network
Authors: Zhuofu Pan, Qingkai Sui, Yalin Wang, Jiang Luo, Jie Chen, Hongtian Chen
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Chemical Process, Diagnostic, Fault Detection, Fault Diagnosis, Fault localization, Transfer Learning

Structural decoupling has played an essential role in model-based fault isolation and estimation in past decades, which facilitates accurate fault localization and reconstruction thanks to the diagonal transfer matrix design. However, traditional methods exhibit limited effectiveness in modeling high-dimensional nonlinearity and big data, and the decoupling idea has not been well-valued in data-driven frameworks. Known for big data and complex feature extraction capabilities, deep learning has recently been used to develop residual generation models. Nevertheless, it lacks decoupling-related diagnostic designs. To this end, this paper proposes a transfer learning-based input-output decoupled network (TDN) for diagnostic purposes, which consists of an input-output decoupled network (IDN) and a pre-trained variational autocoder (VAE). In IDN, uncorrelated residual variables are generated by diagonalization and parallel computing operations. During the transfer learning phase, knowledge of normal status is provided according to VAE's loss and maximum mean discrepancy loss to guide the training of IDN. After training, IDN learns the mapping from faulty to normal, thereby serving as the fault detection index and the estimated fault signal simultaneously. At last, the effectiveness of the developed TDN is verified by a numerical example and a chemical simulation.
Enabling Efficient and Flexible Interpretability of Data-driven Anomaly Detection in Industrial Processes with AcME-AD
Authors: Valentina Zaccaria, Chiara Masiero, David Dandolo, Gian Antonio Susto
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Anomaly Detection

While Machine Learning has become crucial for Industry 4.0, its opaque nature hinders trust and impedes the transformation of valuable insights into actionable decision, a challenge exacerbated in the evolving Industry 5.0 with its human-centric focus. This paper addresses this need by testing the applicability of AcME-AD in industrial settings. This recently developed framework facilitates fast and user-friendly explanations for anomaly detection. AcME-AD is model-agnostic, offering flexibility, and prioritizes real-time efficiency. Thus, it seems suitable for seamless integration with industrial Decision Support Systems. We present the first industrial application of AcME-AD, showcasing its effectiveness through experiments. These tests demonstrate AcME-AD's potential as a valuable tool for explainable AD and feature-based root cause analysis within industrial environments, paving the way for trustworthy and actionable insights in the age of Industry 5.0.
A Systematic Evaluation of Adversarial Attacks against Speech Emotion Recognition Models
Authors: Nicolas Facchinetti, Federico Simonetta, Stavros Ntalampiras
Date: 2024-04-29 00:00:00
Tasks: Emotion Recognition, Speech Emotion Recognition

Speech emotion recognition (SER) is constantly gaining attention in recent years due to its potential applications in diverse fields and thanks to the possibility offered by deep learning technologies. However, recent studies have shown that deep learning models can be vulnerable to adversarial attacks. In this paper, we systematically assess this problem by examining the impact of various adversarial white-box and black-box attacks on different languages and genders within the context of SER. We first propose a suitable methodology for audio data processing, feature extraction, and CNN-LSTM architecture. The observed outcomes highlighted the significant vulnerability of CNN-LSTM models to adversarial examples (AEs). In fact, all the considered adversarial attacks are able to significantly reduce the performance of the constructed models. Furthermore, when assessing the efficacy of the attacks, minor differences were noted between the languages analyzed as well as between male and female speech. In summary, this work contributes to the understanding of the robustness of CNN-LSTM models, particularly in SER scenarios, and the impact of AEs. Interestingly, our findings serve as a baseline for a) developing more robust algorithms for SER, b) designing more effective attacks, c) investigating possible defenses, d) improved understanding of the vocal differences between different languages and genders, and e) overall, enhancing our comprehension of the SER task.