pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
Performance evaluation of predictive AI models to support medical decisions: Overview and guidance
Authors: Ben van Calster, Gary S. Collins, Andrew J. Vickers, Laure Wynants, Kathleen F. Kerr, Lasai Barreñada, Gael Varoquaux, Karandeep Singh, Karel G. M. Moons, Tina Hernandez-Boussard, Dirk Timmerman, David J. Mclernon, Maarten van Smeden, Ewout W. Steyerberg
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00

A myriad of measures to illustrate performance of predictive artificial intelligence (AI) models have been proposed in the literature. Selecting appropriate performance measures is essential for predictive AI models that are developed to be used in medical practice, because poorly performing models may harm patients and lead to increased costs. We aim to assess the merits of classic and contemporary performance measures when validating predictive AI models for use in medical practice. We focus on models with a binary outcome. We discuss 32 performance measures covering five performance domains (discrimination, calibration, overall, classification, and clinical utility) along with accompanying graphical assessments. The first four domains cover statistical performance, the fifth domain covers decision-analytic performance. We explain why two key characteristics are important when selecting which performance measures to assess: (1) whether the measure's expected value is optimized when it is calculated using the correct probabilities (i.e., a "proper" measure), and (2) whether they reflect either purely statistical performance or decision-analytic performance by properly considering misclassification costs. Seventeen measures exhibit both characteristics, fourteen measures exhibited one characteristic, and one measure possessed neither characteristic (the F1 measure). All classification measures (such as classification accuracy and F1) are improper for clinically relevant decision thresholds other than 0.5 or the prevalence. We recommend the following measures and plots as essential to report: AUROC, calibration plot, a clinical utility measure such as net benefit with decision curve analysis, and a plot with probability distributions per outcome category.
Adversarial Robustness of Bottleneck Injected Deep Neural Networks for Task-Oriented Communication
Authors: Alireza Furutanpey, Pantelis A. Frangoudis, Patrik Szabo, Schahram Dustdar
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Adversarial Robustness

This paper investigates the adversarial robustness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) using Information Bottleneck (IB) objectives for task-oriented communication systems. We empirically demonstrate that while IB-based approaches provide baseline resilience against attacks targeting downstream tasks, the reliance on generative models for task-oriented communication introduces new vulnerabilities. Through extensive experiments on several datasets, we analyze how bottleneck depth and task complexity influence adversarial robustness. Our key findings show that Shallow Variational Bottleneck Injection (SVBI) provides less adversarial robustness compared to Deep Variational Information Bottleneck (DVIB) approaches, with the gap widening for more complex tasks. Additionally, we reveal that IB-based objectives exhibit stronger robustness against attacks focusing on salient pixels with high intensity compared to those perturbing many pixels with lower intensity. Lastly, we demonstrate that task-oriented communication systems that rely on generative models to extract and recover salient information have an increased attack surface. The results highlight important security considerations for next-generation communication systems that leverage neural networks for goal-oriented compression.
Controlling dynamical systems into unseen target states using machine learning
Authors: Daniel Köglmayr, Alexander Haluszczynski, Christoph Räth
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00

We present a novel, model-free, and data-driven methodology for controlling complex dynamical systems into previously unseen target states, including those with significantly different and complex dynamics. Leveraging a parameter-aware realization of next-generation reservoir computing, our approach accurately predicts system behavior in unobserved parameter regimes, enabling control over transitions to arbitrary target states. Crucially, this includes states with dynamics that differ fundamentally from known regimes, such as shifts from periodic to intermittent or chaotic behavior. The method's parameter-awareness facilitates non-stationary control, ensuring smooth transitions between states. By extending the applicability of machine learning-based control mechanisms to previously inaccessible target dynamics, this methodology opens the door to transformative new applications while maintaining exceptional efficiency. Our results highlight reservoir computing as a powerful alternative to traditional methods for dynamic system control.
Detecting LLM Hallucination Through Layer-wise Information Deficiency: Analysis of Unanswerable Questions and Ambiguous Prompts
Authors: Hazel Kim, Adel Bibi, Philip Torr, Yarin Gal
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Hallucination

Large language models (LLMs) frequently generate confident yet inaccurate responses, introducing significant risks for deployment in safety-critical domains. We present a novel approach to detecting model hallucination through systematic analysis of information flow across model layers when processing inputs with insufficient or ambiguous context. Our investigation reveals that hallucination manifests as usable information deficiencies in inter-layer transmissions. While existing approaches primarily focus on final-layer output analysis, we demonstrate that tracking cross-layer information dynamics ($\mathcal{L}$I) provides robust indicators of model reliability, accounting for both information gain and loss during computation. $\mathcal{L}$I improves model reliability by immediately integrating with universal LLMs without additional training or architectural modifications.
Efficient Continual Pre-training of LLMs for Low-resource Languages
Authors: Arijit Nag, Soumen Chakrabarti, Animesh Mukherjee, Niloy Ganguly
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00

Open-source Large Language models (OsLLMs) propel the democratization of natural language research by giving the flexibility to augment or update model parameters for performance improvement. Nevertheless, like proprietary LLMs, Os-LLMs offer poorer performance on low-resource languages (LRLs) than high-resource languages (HRLs), owing to smaller amounts of training data and underrepresented vocabulary. On the other hand, continual pre-training (CPT) with large amounts of language-specific data is a costly proposition in terms of data acquisition and computational resources. Our goal is to drastically reduce CPT cost. To that end, we first develop a new algorithm to select a subset of texts from a larger corpus. We show the effectiveness of our technique using very little CPT data. In search of further improvement, we design a new algorithm to select tokens to include in the LLM vocabulary. We experiment with the recent Llama-3 model and nine Indian languages with diverse scripts and extent of resource availability. For evaluation, we use IndicGenBench, a generation task benchmark dataset for Indic languages. We experiment with various CPT corpora and augmented vocabulary size and offer insights across language families.
Efficient Generative Modeling with Residual Vector Quantization-Based Tokens
Authors: Jaehyeon Kim, Taehong Moon, Keon Lee, Jaewoong Cho
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Conditional Image Generation, Image Generation, Quantization, Speech Synthesis, text-to-speech, Text to Speech, Text-To-Speech Synthesis, Variational Inference

We explore the use of Residual Vector Quantization (RVQ) for high-fidelity generation in vector-quantized generative models. This quantization technique maintains higher data fidelity by employing more in-depth tokens. However, increasing the token number in generative models leads to slower inference speeds. To this end, we introduce ResGen, an efficient RVQ-based discrete diffusion model that generates high-fidelity samples without compromising sampling speed. Our key idea is a direct prediction of vector embedding of collective tokens rather than individual ones. Moreover, we demonstrate that our proposed token masking and multi-token prediction method can be formulated within a principled probabilistic framework using a discrete diffusion process and variational inference. We validate the efficacy and generalizability of the proposed method on two challenging tasks across different modalities: conditional image generation} on ImageNet 256x256 and zero-shot text-to-speech synthesis. Experimental results demonstrate that ResGen outperforms autoregressive counterparts in both tasks, delivering superior performance without compromising sampling speed. Furthermore, as we scale the depth of RVQ, our generative models exhibit enhanced generation fidelity or faster sampling speeds compared to similarly sized baseline models. The project page can be found at https://resgen-genai.github.io
Integrative Analysis of Financial Market Sentiment Using CNN and GRU for Risk Prediction and Alert Systems
Authors: You Wu, Mengfang Sun, Hongye Zheng, Jinxin Hu, Yingbin Liang, Zhenghao Lin
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Time Series

This document presents an in-depth examination of stock market sentiment through the integration of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), enabling precise risk alerts. The robust feature extraction capability of CNN is utilized to preprocess and analyze extensive network text data, identifying local features and patterns. The extracted feature sequences are then input into the GRU model to understand the progression of emotional states over time and their potential impact on future market sentiment and risk. This approach addresses the order dependence and long-term dependencies inherent in time series data, resulting in a detailed analysis of stock market sentiment and effective early warnings of future risks.
Simple Guidance Mechanisms for Discrete Diffusion Models
Authors: Yair Schiff, Subham Sekhar Sahoo, Hao Phung, Guanghan Wang, Sam Boshar, Hugo Dalla-torre, Bernardo P. de Almeida, Alexander Rush, Thomas Pierrot, Volodymyr Kuleshov
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Image Generation

Diffusion models for continuous data gained widespread adoption owing to their high quality generation and control mechanisms. However, controllable diffusion on discrete data faces challenges given that continuous guidance methods do not directly apply to discrete diffusion. Here, we provide a straightforward derivation of classifier-free and classifier-based guidance for discrete diffusion, as well as a new class of diffusion models that leverage uniform noise and that are more guidable because they can continuously edit their outputs. We improve the quality of these models with a novel continuous-time variational lower bound that yields state-of-the-art performance, especially in settings involving guidance or fast generation. Empirically, we demonstrate that our guidance mechanisms combined with uniform noise diffusion improve controllable generation relative to autoregressive and diffusion baselines on several discrete data domains, including genomic sequences, small molecule design, and discretized image generation.
Learning payoffs while routing in skill-based queues
Authors: Sanne van Kempen, Jaron Sanders, Fiona Sloothaak, Maarten G. Wolf
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00

Motivated by applications in service systems, we consider queueing systems where each customer must be handled by a server with the right skill set. We focus on optimizing the routing of customers to servers in order to maximize the total payoff of customer--server matches. In addition, customer--server dependent payoff parameters are assumed to be unknown a priori. We construct a machine learning algorithm that adaptively learns the payoff parameters while maximizing the total payoff and prove that it achieves polylogarithmic regret. Moreover, we show that the algorithm is asymptotically optimal up to logarithmic terms by deriving a regret lower bound. The algorithm leverages the basic feasible solutions of a static linear program as the action space. The regret analysis overcomes the complex interplay between queueing and learning by analyzing the convergence of the queue length process to its stationary behavior. We also demonstrate the performance of the algorithm numerically, and have included an experiment with time-varying parameters highlighting the potential of the algorithm in non-static environments.
Data Integration with Fusion Searchlight: Classifying Brain States from Resting-state fMRI
Authors: Simon Wein, Marco Riebel, Lisa-Marie Brunner, Caroline Nothdurfter, Rainer Rupprecht, Jens V. Schwarzbach
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Data Integration, Specificity

Resting-state fMRI captures spontaneous neural activity characterized by complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Various metrics, such as local and global brain connectivity and low-frequency amplitude fluctuations, quantify distinct aspects of these dynamics. However, these measures are typically analyzed independently, overlooking their interrelations and potentially limiting analytical sensitivity. Here, we introduce the Fusion Searchlight (FuSL) framework, which integrates complementary information from multiple resting-state fMRI metrics. We demonstrate that combining these metrics enhances the accuracy of pharmacological treatment prediction from rs-fMRI data, enabling the identification of additional brain regions affected by sedation with alprazolam. Furthermore, we leverage explainable AI to delineate the differential contributions of each metric, which additionally improves spatial specificity of the searchlight analysis. Moreover, this framework can be adapted to combine information across imaging modalities or experimental conditions, providing a versatile and interpretable tool for data fusion in neuroimaging.
Optimal Bounds for Private Minimum Spanning Trees via Input Perturbation
Authors: Rasmus Pagh, Lukas Retschmeier, Hao Wu, Hanwen Zhang
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Computational Efficiency

We study the problem of privately releasing an approximate minimum spanning tree (MST). Given a graph $G = (V, E, \vec{W})$ where $V$ is a set of $n$ vertices, $E$ is a set of $m$ undirected edges, and $ \vec{W} \in \mathbb{R}^{|E|} $ is an edge-weight vector, our goal is to publish an approximate MST under edge-weight differential privacy, as introduced by Sealfon in PODS 2016, where $V$ and $E$ are considered public and the weight vector is private. Our neighboring relation is $\ell_\infty$-distance on weights: for a sensitivity parameter $\Delta_\infty$, graphs $ G = (V, E, \vec{W}) $ and $ G' = (V, E, \vec{W}') $ are neighboring if $\|\vec{W}-\vec{W}'\|_\infty \leq \Delta_\infty$. Existing private MST algorithms face a trade-off, sacrificing either computational efficiency or accuracy. We show that it is possible to get the best of both worlds: With a suitable random perturbation of the input that does not suffice to make the weight vector private, the result of any non-private MST algorithm will be private and achieves a state-of-the-art error guarantee. Furthermore, by establishing a connection to Private Top-k Selection [Steinke and Ullman, FOCS '17], we give the first privacy-utility trade-off lower bound for MST under approximate differential privacy, demonstrating that the error magnitude, $\tilde{O}(n^{3/2})$, is optimal up to logarithmic factors. That is, our approach matches the time complexity of any non-private MST algorithm and at the same time achieves optimal error. We complement our theoretical treatment with experiments that confirm the practicality of our approach.
Feature Selection for Latent Factor Models
Authors: Rittwika Kansabanik, Adrian Barbu
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Proceeding: CVPR 2025 1
Tasks: feature selection

Feature selection is crucial for pinpointing relevant features in high-dimensional datasets, mitigating the 'curse of dimensionality,' and enhancing machine learning performance. Traditional feature selection methods for classification use data from all classes to select features for each class. This paper explores feature selection methods that select features for each class separately, using class models based on low-rank generative methods and introducing a signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) feature selection criterion. This novel approach has theoretical true feature recovery guarantees under certain assumptions and is shown to outperform some existing feature selection methods on standard classification datasets.
AMUSE: Adaptive Model Updating using a Simulated Environment
Authors: Louis Chislett, Catalina A. Vallejos, Timothy I. Cannings, James Liley
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Drift Detection, model

Prediction models frequently face the challenge of concept drift, in which the underlying data distribution changes over time, weakening performance. Examples can include models which predict loan default, or those used in healthcare contexts. Typical management strategies involve regular model updates or updates triggered by concept drift detection. However, these simple policies do not necessarily balance the cost of model updating with improved classifier performance. We present AMUSE (Adaptive Model Updating using a Simulated Environment), a novel method leveraging reinforcement learning trained within a simulated data generating environment, to determine update timings for classifiers. The optimal updating policy depends on the current data generating process and ongoing drift process. Our key idea is that we can train an arbitrarily complex model updating policy by creating a training environment in which possible episodes of drift are simulated by a parametric model, which represents expectations of possible drift patterns. As a result, AMUSE proactively recommends updates based on estimated performance improvements, learning a policy that balances maintaining model performance with minimizing update costs. Empirical results confirm the effectiveness of AMUSE in simulated data.
Reward Machine Inference for Robotic Manipulation
Authors: Mattijs Baert, Sam Leroux, Pieter Simoens
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Reinforcement Learning (RL)

Learning from Demonstrations (LfD) and Reinforcement Learning (RL) have enabled robot agents to accomplish complex tasks. Reward Machines (RMs) enhance RL's capability to train policies over extended time horizons by structuring high-level task information. In this work, we introduce a novel LfD approach for learning RMs directly from visual demonstrations of robotic manipulation tasks. Unlike previous methods, our approach requires no predefined propositions or prior knowledge of the underlying sparse reward signals. Instead, it jointly learns the RM structure and identifies key high-level events that drive transitions between RM states. We validate our method on vision-based manipulation tasks, showing that the inferred RM accurately captures task structure and enables an RL agent to effectively learn an optimal policy.
A Survey on Knowledge Graph Structure and Knowledge Graph Embeddings
Authors: Jeffrey Sardina, John D. Kelleher, Declan O'Sullivan
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Graph Embedding, Knowledge Graph Embedding, Knowledge Graph Embeddings, Knowledge Graphs, Link Prediction, Survey

Knowledge Graphs (KGs) and their machine learning counterpart, Knowledge Graph Embedding Models (KGEMs), have seen ever-increasing use in a wide variety of academic and applied settings. In particular, KGEMs are typically applied to KGs to solve the link prediction task; i.e. to predict new facts in the domain of a KG based on existing, observed facts. While this approach has been shown substantial power in many end-use cases, it remains incompletely characterised in terms of how KGEMs react differently to KG structure. This is of particular concern in light of recent studies showing that KG structure can be a significant source of bias as well as partially determinant of overall KGEM performance. This paper seeks to address this gap in the state-of-the-art. This paper provides, to the authors' knowledge, the first comprehensive survey exploring established relationships of Knowledge Graph Embedding Models and Graph structure in the literature. It is the hope of the authors that this work will inspire further studies in this area, and contribute to a more holistic understanding of KGs, KGEMs, and the link prediction task.
Text2Cypher: Bridging Natural Language and Graph Databases
Authors: Makbule Gulcin Ozsoy, Leila Messallem, Jon Besga, Gianandrea Minneci
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Knowledge Graphs, Natural Language Queries

Knowledge graphs use nodes, relationships, and properties to represent arbitrarily complex data. When stored in a graph database, the Cypher query language enables efficient modeling and querying of knowledge graphs. However, using Cypher requires specialized knowledge, which can present a challenge for non-expert users. Our work Text2Cypher aims to bridge this gap by translating natural language queries into Cypher query language and extending the utility of knowledge graphs to non-technical expert users. While large language models (LLMs) can be used for this purpose, they often struggle to capture complex nuances, resulting in incomplete or incorrect outputs. Fine-tuning LLMs on domain-specific datasets has proven to be a more promising approach, but the limited availability of high-quality, publicly available Text2Cypher datasets makes this challenging. In this work, we show how we combined, cleaned and organized several publicly available datasets into a total of 44,387 instances, enabling effective fine-tuning and evaluation. Models fine-tuned on this dataset showed significant performance gains, with improvements in Google-BLEU and Exact Match scores over baseline models, highlighting the importance of high-quality datasets and fine-tuning in improving Text2Cypher performance.
Class flipping for uplift modeling and Heterogeneous Treatment Effect estimation on imbalanced RCT data
Authors: Krzysztof Rudaś, Szymon Jaroszewicz
Date: 2024-12-13 00:00:00
Tasks: Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation, Marketing

Uplift modeling and Heterogeneous Treatment Effect (HTE) estimation aim at predicting the causal effect of an action, such as a medical treatment or a marketing campaign on a specific individual. In this paper, we focus on data from Randomized Controlled Experiments which guarantee causal interpretation of the outcomes. Class and treatment imbalance are important problems in uplift modeling/HTE, but classical undersampling or oversampling based approaches are hard to apply in this case since they distort the predicted effect. Calibration methods have been proposed in the past, however, they do not guarantee correct predictions. In this work, we propose an approach alternative to undersampling, based on flipping the class value of selected records. We show that the proposed approach does not distort the predicted effect and does not require calibration. The method is especially useful for models based on class variable transformation (modified outcome models). We address those models separately, designing a transformation scheme which guarantees correct predictions and addresses also the problem of treatment imbalance which is especially important for those models. Experiments fully confirm our theoretical results. Additionally, we demonstrate that our method is a viable alternative also for standard classification problems.