pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
On some limitations of data-driven weather forecasting models
Authors: Massimo Bonavita
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Weather Forecasting

As in many other areas of engineering and applied science, Machine Learning (ML) is having a profound impact in the domain of Weather and Climate Prediction. A very recent development in this area has been the emergence of fully data-driven ML prediction models which routinely claim superior performance to that of traditional physics-based models. In this work, we examine some aspects of the forecasts produced by an exemplar of the current generation of ML models, Pangu-Weather, with a focus on the fidelity and physical consistency of those forecasts and how these characteristics relate to perceived forecast performance. The main conclusion is that Pangu-Weather forecasts, and possibly those of similar ML models, do not have the fidelity and physical consistency of physics-based models and their advantage in accuracy on traditional deterministic metrics of forecast skill can be at least partly attributed to these peculiarities. Balancing forecast skill and physical consistency of ML-driven predictions will be an important consideration for future ML models. However, and similarly to other modern post-processing technologies, the current ML models appear to be already able to add value to standard NWP output for specific forecast applications and combined with their extremely low computational cost during deployment, are set to provide an additional, useful source of forecast information. .
Combining TF-GridNet and Mixture Encoder for Continuous Speech Separation for Meeting Transcription
Authors: Peter Vieting, Simon Berger, Thilo von Neumann, Christoph Boeddeker, Ralf Schlüter, Reinhold Haeb-Umbach
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Automatic Speech Recognition, Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR), speech-recognition, Speech Recognition, Speech Separation

Many real-life applications of automatic speech recognition (ASR) require processing of overlapped speech. A common method involves first separating the speech into overlap-free streams on which ASR is performed. Recently, TF-GridNet has shown impressive performance in speech separation in real reverberant conditions. Furthermore, a mixture encoder was proposed that leverages the mixed speech to mitigate the effect of separation artifacts. In this work, we extended the mixture encoder from a static two-speaker scenario to a natural meeting context featuring an arbitrary number of speakers and varying degrees of overlap. We further demonstrate its limits by the integration with separators of varying strength including TF-GridNet. Our experiments result in a new state-of-the-art performance on LibriCSS using a single microphone. They show that TF-GridNet largely closes the gap between previous methods and oracle separation independent of mixture encoding. We further investigate the remaining potential for improvement.
FedDCSR: Federated Cross-domain Sequential Recommendation via Disentangled Representation Learning
Authors: Hongyu Zhang, Dongyi Zheng, Xu Yang, Jiyuan Feng, Qing Liao
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Data Augmentation, Disentanglement, Federated Learning, Privacy Preserving, Recommendation Systems, Representation Learning, Sequential Recommendation

Cross-domain Sequential Recommendation (CSR) which leverages user sequence data from multiple domains has received extensive attention in recent years. However, the existing CSR methods require sharing origin user data across domains, which violates the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). Thus, it is necessary to combine federated learning (FL) and CSR to fully utilize knowledge from different domains while preserving data privacy. Nonetheless, the sequence feature heterogeneity across different domains significantly impacts the overall performance of FL. In this paper, we propose FedDCSR, a novel federated cross-domain sequential recommendation framework via disentangled representation learning. Specifically, to address the sequence feature heterogeneity across domains, we introduce an approach called inter-intra domain sequence representation disentanglement (SRD) to disentangle the user sequence features into domain-shared and domain-exclusive features. In addition, we design an intra domain contrastive infomax (CIM) strategy to learn richer domain-exclusive features of users by performing data augmentation on user sequences. Extensive experiments on three real-world scenarios demonstrate that FedDCSR achieves significant improvements over existing baselines.
A new method of modeling the multi-stage decision-making process of CRT using machine learning with uncertainty quantification
Authors: Kristoffer Larsen, Chen Zhao, Joyce Keyak, Qiuying Sha, Diana Paez, Xinwei Zhang, Guang-Uei Hung, Jiangang Zou, Amalia Peix, Weihua Zhou
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Decision Making, Specificity, Uncertainty Quantification

Aims. The purpose of this study is to create a multi-stage machine learning model to predict cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response for heart failure (HF) patients. This model exploits uncertainty quantification to recommend additional collection of single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (SPECT MPI) variables if baseline clinical variables and features from electrocardiogram (ECG) are not sufficient. Methods. 218 patients who underwent rest-gated SPECT MPI were enrolled in this study. CRT response was defined as an increase in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) > 5% at a 6+-1 month follow-up. A multi-stage ML model was created by combining two ensemble models: Ensemble 1 was trained with clinical variables and ECG; Ensemble 2 included Ensemble 1 plus SPECT MPI features. Uncertainty quantification from Ensemble 1 allowed for multi-stage decision-making to determine if the acquisition of SPECT data for a patient is necessary. The performance of the multi-stage model was compared with that of Ensemble models 1 and 2. Results. The response rate for CRT was 55.5% (n = 121) with overall male gender 61.0% (n = 133), an average age of 62.0+-11.8, and LVEF of 27.7+-11.0. The multi-stage model performed similarly to Ensemble 2 (which utilized the additional SPECT data) with AUC of 0.75 vs. 0.77, accuracy of 0.71 vs. 0.69, sensitivity of 0.70 vs. 0.72, and specificity 0.72 vs. 0.65, respectively. However, the multi-stage model only required SPECT MPI data for 52.7% of the patients across all folds. Conclusions. By using rule-based logic stemming from uncertainty quantification, the multi-stage model was able to reduce the need for additional SPECT MPI data acquisition without sacrificing performance.
Make Deep Networks Shallow Again
Authors: Bernhard Bermeitinger, Tomas Hrycej, Siegfried Handschuh
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00

Deep neural networks have a good success record and are thus viewed as the best architecture choice for complex applications. Their main shortcoming has been, for a long time, the vanishing gradient which prevented the numerical optimization algorithms from acceptable convergence. A breakthrough has been achieved by the concept of residual connections -- an identity mapping parallel to a conventional layer. This concept is applicable to stacks of layers of the same dimension and substantially alleviates the vanishing gradient problem. A stack of residual connection layers can be expressed as an expansion of terms similar to the Taylor expansion. This expansion suggests the possibility of truncating the higher-order terms and receiving an architecture consisting of a single broad layer composed of all initially stacked layers in parallel. In other words, a sequential deep architecture is substituted by a parallel shallow one. Prompted by this theory, we investigated the performance capabilities of the parallel architecture in comparison to the sequential one. The computer vision datasets MNIST and CIFAR10 were used to train both architectures for a total of 6912 combinations of varying numbers of convolutional layers, numbers of filters, kernel sizes, and other meta parameters. Our findings demonstrate a surprising equivalence between the deep (sequential) and shallow (parallel) architectures. Both layouts produced similar results in terms of training and validation set loss. This discovery implies that a wide, shallow architecture can potentially replace a deep network without sacrificing performance. Such substitution has the potential to simplify network architectures, improve optimization efficiency, and accelerate the training process.
Constraint-Free Structure Learning with Smooth Acyclic Orientations
Authors: Riccardo Massidda, Francesco Landolfi, Martina Cinquini, Davide Bacciu
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Graph Reconstruction

The structure learning problem consists of fitting data generated by a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) to correctly reconstruct its arcs. In this context, differentiable approaches constrain or regularize the optimization problem using a continuous relaxation of the acyclicity property. The computational cost of evaluating graph acyclicity is cubic on the number of nodes and significantly affects scalability. In this paper we introduce COSMO, a constraint-free continuous optimization scheme for acyclic structure learning. At the core of our method, we define a differentiable approximation of an orientation matrix parameterized by a single priority vector. Differently from previous work, our parameterization fits a smooth orientation matrix and the resulting acyclic adjacency matrix without evaluating acyclicity at any step. Despite the absence of explicit constraints, we prove that COSMO always converges to an acyclic solution. In addition to being asymptotically faster, our empirical analysis highlights how COSMO performance on graph reconstruction compares favorably with competing structure learning methods.
Optimizing Modular Robot Composition: A Lexicographic Genetic Algorithm Approach
Authors: Jonathan Külz, Matthias Althoff
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Industrial Robots, Navigate

Industrial robots are designed as general-purpose hardware with limited ability to adapt to changing task requirements or environments. Modular robots, on the other hand, offer flexibility and can be easily customized to suit diverse needs. The morphology, i.e., the form and structure of a robot, significantly impacts the primary performance metrics acquisition cost, cycle time, and energy efficiency. However, identifying an optimal module composition for a specific task remains an open problem, presenting a substantial hurdle in developing task-tailored modular robots. Previous approaches either lack adequate exploration of the design space or the possibility to adapt to complex tasks. We propose combining a genetic algorithm with a lexicographic evaluation of solution candidates to overcome this problem and navigate search spaces exceeding those in prior work by magnitudes in the number of possible compositions. We demonstrate that our approach outperforms a state-of-the-art baseline and is able to synthesize modular robots for industrial tasks in cluttered environments.
Exploring Meta Information for Audio-based Zero-shot Bird Classification
Authors: Alexander Gebhard, Andreas Triantafyllopoulos, Teresa Bez, Lukas Christ, Alexander Kathan, Björn W. Schuller
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Audio Classification, Zero-shot Audio Classification, Zero-Shot Learning

Advances in passive acoustic monitoring and machine learning have led to the procurement of vast datasets for computational bioacoustic research. Nevertheless, data scarcity is still an issue for rare and underrepresented species. This study investigates how meta-information can improve zero-shot audio classification, utilising bird species as an example case study due to the availability of rich and diverse meta-data. We investigate three different sources of metadata: textual bird sound descriptions encoded via (S)BERT, functional traits (AVONET), and bird life-history (BLH) characteristics. As audio features, we extract audio spectrogram transformer (AST) embeddings and project them to the dimension of the auxiliary information by adopting a single linear layer. Then, we employ the dot product as compatibility function and a standard zero-shot learning ranking hinge loss to determine the correct class. The best results are achieved by concatenating the AVONET and BLH features attaining a mean unweighted F1-score of .233 over five different test sets with 8 to 10 classes.
A Unified View Between Tensor Hypergraph Neural Networks And Signal Denoising
Authors: Fuli Wang, Karelia Pena-Pena, Wei Qian, Gonzalo R. Arce
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Denoising

Hypergraph Neural networks (HyperGNNs) and hypergraph signal denoising (HyperGSD) are two fundamental topics in higher-order network modeling. Understanding the connection between these two domains is particularly useful for designing novel HyperGNNs from a HyperGSD perspective, and vice versa. In particular, the tensor-hypergraph convolutional network (T-HGCN) has emerged as a powerful architecture for preserving higher-order interactions on hypergraphs, and this work shows an equivalence relation between a HyperGSD problem and the T-HGCN. Inspired by this intriguing result, we further design a tensor-hypergraph iterative network (T-HGIN) based on the HyperGSD problem, which takes advantage of a multi-step updating scheme in every single layer. Numerical experiments are conducted to show the promising applications of the proposed T-HGIN approach.
Boosting Fair Classifier Generalization through Adaptive Priority Reweighing
Authors: Zhihao Hu, Yiran Xu, Mengnan Du, Jindong Gu, Xinmei Tian, Fengxiang He
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Decision Making, Fairness

With the increasing penetration of machine learning applications in critical decision-making areas, calls for algorithmic fairness are more prominent. Although there have been various modalities to improve algorithmic fairness through learning with fairness constraints, their performance does not generalize well in the test set. A performance-promising fair algorithm with better generalizability is needed. This paper proposes a novel adaptive reweighing method to eliminate the impact of the distribution shifts between training and test data on model generalizability. Most previous reweighing methods propose to assign a unified weight for each (sub)group. Rather, our method granularly models the distance from the sample predictions to the decision boundary. Our adaptive reweighing method prioritizes samples closer to the decision boundary and assigns a higher weight to improve the generalizability of fair classifiers. Extensive experiments are performed to validate the generalizability of our adaptive priority reweighing method for accuracy and fairness measures (i.e., equal opportunity, equalized odds, and demographic parity) in tabular benchmarks. We also highlight the performance of our method in improving the fairness of language and vision models. The code is available at https://github.com/che2198/APW.
Understanding the limitations of self-supervised learning for tabular anomaly detection
Authors: Kimberly T. Mai, Toby Davies, Lewis D. Griffin
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Anomaly Detection, Self-Supervised Learning

While self-supervised learning has improved anomaly detection in computer vision and natural language processing, it is unclear whether tabular data can benefit from it. This paper explores the limitations of self-supervision for tabular anomaly detection. We conduct several experiments spanning various pretext tasks on 26 benchmark datasets to understand why this is the case. Our results confirm representations derived from self-supervision do not improve tabular anomaly detection performance compared to using the raw representations of the data. We show this is due to neural networks introducing irrelevant features, which reduces the effectiveness of anomaly detectors. However, we demonstrate that using a subspace of the neural network's representation can recover performance.
A Theoretical and Empirical Study on the Convergence of Adam with an "Exact" Constant Step Size in Non-Convex Settings
Authors: Alokendu Mazumder, Rishabh Sabharwal, Manan Tayal, Bhartendu Kumar, Punit Rathore
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00

In neural network training, RMSProp and Adam remain widely favoured optimisation algorithms. One of the keys to their performance lies in selecting the correct step size, which can significantly influence their effectiveness. Additionally, questions about their theoretical convergence properties continue to be a subject of interest. In this paper, we theoretically analyse a constant step size version of Adam in the non-convex setting and discuss why it is important for the convergence of Adam to use a fixed step size. This work demonstrates the derivation and effective implementation of a constant step size for Adam, offering insights into its performance and efficiency in non convex optimisation scenarios. (i) First, we provide proof that these adaptive gradient algorithms are guaranteed to reach criticality for smooth non-convex objectives with constant step size, and we give bounds on the running time. Both deterministic and stochastic versions of Adam are analysed in this paper. We show sufficient conditions for the derived constant step size to achieve asymptotic convergence of the gradients to zero with minimal assumptions. Next, (ii) we design experiments to empirically study Adam's convergence with our proposed constant step size against stateof the art step size schedulers on classification tasks. Lastly, (iii) we also demonstrate that our derived constant step size has better abilities in reducing the gradient norms, and empirically, we show that despite the accumulation of a few past gradients, the key driver for convergence in Adam is the non-increasing step sizes.
Estimation of Counterfactual Interventions under Uncertainties
Authors: Juliane Weilbach, Sebastian Gerwinn, Melih Kandemir, Martin Fraenzle
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: counterfactual

Counterfactual analysis is intuitively performed by humans on a daily basis eg. "What should I have done differently to get the loan approved?". Such counterfactual questions also steer the formulation of scientific hypotheses. More formally it provides insights about potential improvements of a system by inferring the effects of hypothetical interventions into a past observation of the system's behaviour which plays a prominent role in a variety of industrial applications. Due to the hypothetical nature of such analysis, counterfactual distributions are inherently ambiguous. This ambiguity is particularly challenging in continuous settings in which a continuum of explanations exist for the same observation. In this paper, we address this problem by following a hierarchical Bayesian approach which explicitly models such uncertainty. In particular, we derive counterfactual distributions for a Bayesian Warped Gaussian Process thereby allowing for non-Gaussian distributions and non-additive noise. We illustrate the properties our approach on a synthetic and on a semi-synthetic example and show its performance when used within an algorithmic recourse downstream task.
Conditional validity of heteroskedastic conformal regression
Authors: Nicolas Dewolf, Bernard De Baets, Willem Waegeman
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Conformal Prediction, Prediction, Prediction Intervals, regression

Conformal prediction, and split conformal prediction as a specific implementation, offer a distribution-free approach to estimating prediction intervals with statistical guarantees. Recent work has shown that split conformal prediction can produce state-of-the-art prediction intervals when focusing on marginal coverage, i.e. on a calibration dataset the method produces on average prediction intervals that contain the ground truth with a predefined coverage level. However, such intervals are often not adaptive, which can be problematic for regression problems with heteroskedastic noise. This paper tries to shed new light on how prediction intervals can be constructed, using methods such as normalized and Mondrian conformal prediction, in such a way that they adapt to the heteroskedasticity of the underlying process. Theoretical and experimental results are presented in which these methods are compared in a systematic way. In particular, it is shown how the conditional validity of a chosen conformal predictor can be related to (implicit) assumptions about the data-generating distribution.
Sampling-Free Probabilistic Deep State-Space Models
Authors: Andreas Look, Melih Kandemir, Barbara Rakitsch, Jan Peters
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: State Space Models

Many real-world dynamical systems can be described as State-Space Models (SSMs). In this formulation, each observation is emitted by a latent state, which follows first-order Markovian dynamics. A Probabilistic Deep SSM (ProDSSM) generalizes this framework to dynamical systems of unknown parametric form, where the transition and emission models are described by neural networks with uncertain weights. In this work, we propose the first deterministic inference algorithm for models of this type. Our framework allows efficient approximations for training and testing. We demonstrate in our experiments that our new method can be employed for a variety of tasks and enjoys a superior balance between predictive performance and computational budget.
Cross-lingual Knowledge Distillation via Flow-based Voice Conversion for Robust Polyglot Text-To-Speech
Authors: Dariusz Piotrowski, Renard Korzeniowski, Alessio Falai, Sebastian Cygert, Kamil Pokora, Georgi Tinchev, Ziyao Zhang, Kayoko Yanagisawa
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Knowledge Distillation, Speech Synthesis, text-to-speech, Text to Speech, Voice Conversion

In this work, we introduce a framework for cross-lingual speech synthesis, which involves an upstream Voice Conversion (VC) model and a downstream Text-To-Speech (TTS) model. The proposed framework consists of 4 stages. In the first two stages, we use a VC model to convert utterances in the target locale to the voice of the target speaker. In the third stage, the converted data is combined with the linguistic features and durations from recordings in the target language, which are then used to train a single-speaker acoustic model. Finally, the last stage entails the training of a locale-independent vocoder. Our evaluations show that the proposed paradigm outperforms state-of-the-art approaches which are based on training a large multilingual TTS model. In addition, our experiments demonstrate the robustness of our approach with different model architectures, languages, speakers and amounts of data. Moreover, our solution is especially beneficial in low-resource settings.
Deep Nonnegative Matrix Factorization with Beta Divergences
Authors: Valentin Leplat, Le Thi Khanh Hien, Akwum Onwunta, Nicolas Gillis
Date: 2023-09-15 00:00:00

Deep Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (deep NMF) has recently emerged as a valuable technique for extracting multiple layers of features across different scales. However, all existing deep NMF models and algorithms have primarily centered their evaluation on the least squares error, which may not be the most appropriate metric for assessing the quality of approximations on diverse datasets. For instance, when dealing with data types such as audio signals and documents, it is widely acknowledged that $\beta$-divergences offer a more suitable alternative. In this paper, we develop new models and algorithms for deep NMF using some $\beta$-divergences, with a focus on the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Subsequently, we apply these techniques to the extraction of facial features, the identification of topics within document collections, and the identification of materials within hyperspectral images.