pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
Misspecification-robust Sequential Neural Likelihood for Simulation-based Inference
Authors: Ryan P. Kelly, David J. Nott, David T. Frazier, David J. Warne, Chris Drovandi
Date: 2023-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: parameter estimation, Uncertainty Quantification

Simulation-based inference techniques are indispensable for parameter estimation of mechanistic and simulable models with intractable likelihoods. While traditional statistical approaches like approximate Bayesian computation and Bayesian synthetic likelihood have been studied under well-specified and misspecified settings, they often suffer from inefficiencies due to wasted model simulations. Neural approaches, such as sequential neural likelihood (SNL) avoid this wastage by utilising all model simulations to train a neural surrogate for the likelihood function. However, the performance of SNL under model misspecification is unreliable and can result in overconfident posteriors centred around an inaccurate parameter estimate. In this paper, we propose a novel SNL method, which through the incorporation of additional adjustment parameters, is robust to model misspecification and capable of identifying features of the data that the model is not able to recover. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach through several illustrative examples, where our method gives more accurate point estimates and uncertainty quantification than SNL.
Generating Synthetic Mixed-type Longitudinal Electronic Health Records for Artificial Intelligent Applications
Authors: Jin Li, Benjamin J. Cairns, Jingsong Li, Tingting Zhu
Date: 2021-12-22 00:00:00
Tasks: Decision Making, Generative Adversarial Network

The recent availability of electronic health records (EHRs) have provided enormous opportunities to develop artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. However, patient privacy has become a major concern that limits data sharing across hospital settings and subsequently hinders the advances in AI. Synthetic data, which benefits from the development and proliferation of generative models, has served as a promising substitute for real patient EHR data. However, the current generative models are limited as they only generate single type of clinical data for a synthetic patient, i.e., either continuous-valued or discrete-valued. To mimic the nature of clinical decision-making which encompasses various data types/sources, in this study, we propose a generative adversarial network (GAN) entitled EHR-M-GAN which simultaneously synthesizes mixed-type timeseries EHR data. EHR-M-GAN is capable of capturing the multidimensional, heterogeneous, and correlated temporal dynamics in patient trajectories. We have validated EHR-M-GAN on three publicly-available intensive care unit databases with records from a total of 141,488 unique patients, and performed privacy risk evaluation of the proposed model. EHR-M-GAN has demonstrated its superiority over state-of-the-art benchmarks for synthesizing clinical timeseries with high fidelity, while addressing the limitations regarding data types and dimensionality in the current generative models. Notably, prediction models for outcomes of intensive care performed significantly better when training data was augmented with the addition of EHR-M-GAN-generated timeseries. EHR-M-GAN may have use in developing AI algorithms in resource-limited settings, lowering the barrier for data acquisition while preserving patient privacy.
Optimizing DDPM Sampling with Shortcut Fine-Tuning
Authors: Ying Fan, Kangwook Lee
Date: 2023-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Denoising, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

In this study, we propose Shortcut Fine-Tuning (SFT), a new approach for addressing the challenge of fast sampling of pretrained Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs). SFT advocates for the fine-tuning of DDPM samplers through the direct minimization of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM), instead of learning the backward diffusion process. This enables samplers to discover an alternative and more efficient sampling shortcut, deviating from the backward diffusion process. Inspired by a control perspective, we propose a new algorithm SFT-PG: Shortcut Fine-Tuning with Policy Gradient, and prove that under certain assumptions, gradient descent of diffusion models with respect to IPM is equivalent to performing policy gradient. To our best knowledge, this is the first attempt to utilize reinforcement learning (RL) methods to train diffusion models. Through empirical evaluation, we demonstrate that our fine-tuning method can further enhance existing fast DDPM samplers, resulting in sample quality comparable to or even surpassing that of the full-step model across various datasets.
A Reinforcement Learning Framework for Dynamic Mediation Analysis
Authors: Lin Ge, Jitao Wang, Chengchun Shi, Zhenke Wu, Rui Song
Date: 2023-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: reinforcement-learning, Reinforcement Learning, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

Mediation analysis learns the causal effect transmitted via mediator variables between treatments and outcomes and receives increasing attention in various scientific domains to elucidate causal relations. Most existing works focus on point-exposure studies where each subject only receives one treatment at a single time point. However, there are a number of applications (e.g., mobile health) where the treatments are sequentially assigned over time and the dynamic mediation effects are of primary interest. Proposing a reinforcement learning (RL) framework, we are the first to evaluate dynamic mediation effects in settings with infinite horizons. We decompose the average treatment effect into an immediate direct effect, an immediate mediation effect, a delayed direct effect, and a delayed mediation effect. Upon the identification of each effect component, we further develop robust and semi-parametrically efficient estimators under the RL framework to infer these causal effects. The superior performance of the proposed method is demonstrated through extensive numerical studies, theoretical results, and an analysis of a mobile health dataset.
Affinity Uncertainty-based Hard Negative Mining in Graph Contrastive Learning
Authors: Chaoxi Niu, Guansong Pang, Ling Chen
Date: 2023-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Contrastive Learning, Node Classification, Triplet

Hard negative mining has shown effective in enhancing self-supervised contrastive learning (CL) on diverse data types, including graph CL (GCL). The existing hardness-aware CL methods typically treat negative instances that are most similar to the anchor instance as hard negatives, which helps improve the CL performance, especially on image data. However, this approach often fails to identify the hard negatives but leads to many false negatives on graph data. This is mainly due to that the learned graph representations are not sufficiently discriminative due to oversmooth representations and/or non-independent and identically distributed (non-i.i.d.) issues in graph data. To tackle this problem, this article proposes a novel approach that builds a discriminative model on collective affinity information (i.e., two sets of pairwise affinities between the negative instances and the anchor instance) to mine hard negatives in GCL. In particular, the proposed approach evaluates how confident/uncertain the discriminative model is about the affinity of each negative instance to an anchor instance to determine its hardness weight relative to the anchor instance. This uncertainty information is then incorporated into the existing GCL loss functions via a weighting term to enhance their performance. The enhanced GCL is theoretically grounded that the resulting GCL loss is equivalent to a triplet loss with an adaptive margin being exponentially proportional to the learned uncertainty of each negative instance. Extensive experiments on ten graph datasets show that our approach does the following: 1) consistently enhances different state-of-the-art (SOTA) GCL methods in both graph and node classification tasks and 2) significantly improves their robustness against adversarial attacks. Code is available at https://github.com/mala-lab/AUGCL.
The Fair Value of Data Under Heterogeneous Privacy Constraints in Federated Learning
Authors: Justin Kang, Ramtin Pedarsani, Kannan Ramchandran
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Fairness, Federated Learning, Sensitivity

Modern data aggregation often involves a platform collecting data from a network of users with various privacy options. Platforms must solve the problem of how to allocate incentives to users to convince them to share their data. This paper puts forth an idea for a \textit{fair} amount to compensate users for their data at a given privacy level based on an axiomatic definition of fairness, along the lines of the celebrated Shapley value. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first fairness concepts for data that explicitly consider privacy constraints. We also formulate a heterogeneous federated learning problem for the platform with privacy level options for users. By studying this problem, we investigate the amount of compensation users receive under fair allocations with different privacy levels, amounts of data, and degrees of heterogeneity. We also discuss what happens when the platform is forced to design fair incentives. Under certain conditions we find that when privacy sensitivity is low, the platform will set incentives to ensure that it collects all the data with the lowest privacy options. When the privacy sensitivity is above a given threshold, the platform will provide no incentives to users. Between these two extremes, the platform will set the incentives so some fraction of the users chooses the higher privacy option and the others chooses the lower privacy option.
Fairness and Accuracy under Domain Generalization
Authors: Thai-Hoang Pham, Xueru Zhang, Ping Zhang
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Domain Generalization, Fairness, Representation Learning

As machine learning (ML) algorithms are increasingly used in high-stakes applications, concerns have arisen that they may be biased against certain social groups. Although many approaches have been proposed to make ML models fair, they typically rely on the assumption that data distributions in training and deployment are identical. Unfortunately, this is commonly violated in practice and a model that is fair during training may lead to an unexpected outcome during its deployment. Although the problem of designing robust ML models under dataset shifts has been widely studied, most existing works focus only on the transfer of accuracy. In this paper, we study the transfer of both fairness and accuracy under domain generalization where the data at test time may be sampled from never-before-seen domains. We first develop theoretical bounds on the unfairness and expected loss at deployment, and then derive sufficient conditions under which fairness and accuracy can be perfectly transferred via invariant representation learning. Guided by this, we design a learning algorithm such that fair ML models learned with training data still have high fairness and accuracy when deployment environments change. Experiments on real-world data validate the proposed algorithm. Model implementation is available at https://github.com/pth1993/FATDM.
Proxy-based Zero-Shot Entity Linking by Effective Candidate Retrieval
Authors: Maciej Wiatrak, Eirini Arvaniti, Angus Brayne, Jonas Vetterle, Aaron Sim
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Entity Linking, Metric Learning, Retrieval

A recent advancement in the domain of biomedical Entity Linking is the development of powerful two-stage algorithms, an initial candidate retrieval stage that generates a shortlist of entities for each mention, followed by a candidate ranking stage. However, the effectiveness of both stages are inextricably dependent on computationally expensive components. Specifically, in candidate retrieval via dense representation retrieval it is important to have hard negative samples, which require repeated forward passes and nearest neighbour searches across the entire entity label set throughout training. In this work, we show that pairing a proxy-based metric learning loss with an adversarial regularizer provides an efficient alternative to hard negative sampling in the candidate retrieval stage. In particular, we show competitive performance on the recall@1 metric, thereby providing the option to leave out the expensive candidate ranking step. Finally, we demonstrate how the model can be used in a zero-shot setting to discover out of knowledge base biomedical entities.
Oracle Complexity of Single-Loop Switching Subgradient Methods for Non-Smooth Weakly Convex Functional Constrained Optimization
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Proceeding: NeurIPS 2023 11

We consider a non-convex constrained optimization problem, where the objective function is weakly convex and the constraint function is either convex or weakly convex. To solve this problem, we consider the classical switching subgradient method, which is an intuitive and easily implementable first-order method whose oracle complexity was only known for convex problems. This paper provides the first analysis on the oracle complexity of the switching subgradient method for finding a nearly stationary point of non-convex problems. Our results are derived separately for convex and weakly convex constraints. Compared to existing approaches, especially the double-loop methods, the switching gradient method can be applied to non-smooth problems and achieves the same complexity using only a single loop, which saves the effort on tuning the number of inner iterations.
Alternating Updates for Efficient Transformers
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Proceeding: NeurIPS 2023 11
Tasks: Mixture-of-Experts

It has been well established that increasing scale in deep transformer networks leads to improved quality and performance. However, this increase in scale often comes with prohibitive increases in compute cost and inference latency. We introduce Alternating Updates (AltUp), a simple-to-implement method to increase a model's capacity without the computational burden. AltUp enables the widening of the learned representation, i.e., the token embedding, while only incurring a negligible increase in latency. AltUp achieves this by working on a subblock of the widened representation at each layer and using a predict-and-correct mechanism to update the inactivated blocks. We present extensions of AltUp, such as its applicability to the sequence dimension, and demonstrate how AltUp can be synergistically combined with existing approaches, such as Sparse Mixture-of-Experts models, to obtain efficient models with even higher capacity. Our experiments on benchmark transformer models and language tasks demonstrate the consistent effectiveness of AltUp on a diverse set of scenarios. Notably, on SuperGLUE and SQuAD benchmarks, AltUp enables up to $87\%$ speedup relative to the dense baselines at the same accuracy.
Autobidders with Budget and ROI Constraints: Efficiency, Regret, and Pacing Dynamics
Authors: Brendan Lucier, Sarath Pattathil, Aleksandrs Slivkins, Mengxiao Zhang
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00

We study a game between autobidding algorithms that compete in an online advertising platform. Each autobidder is tasked with maximizing its advertiser's total value over multiple rounds of a repeated auction, subject to budget and return-on-investment constraints. We propose a gradient-based learning algorithm that is guaranteed to satisfy all constraints and achieves vanishing individual regret. Our algorithm uses only bandit feedback and can be used with the first- or second-price auction, as well as with any "intermediate" auction format. Our main result is that when these autobidders play against each other, the resulting expected liquid welfare over all rounds is at least half of the expected optimal liquid welfare achieved by any allocation. This holds whether or not the bidding dynamics converges to an equilibrium.
Variational sparse inverse Cholesky approximation for latent Gaussian processes via double Kullback-Leibler minimization
Authors: Jian Cao, Myeongjong Kang, Felix Jimenez, Huiyan Sang, Florian Schafer, Matthias Katzfuss
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Gaussian Processes

To achieve scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes, we propose a variational approximation based on a family of Gaussian distributions whose covariance matrices have sparse inverse Cholesky (SIC) factors. We combine this variational approximation of the posterior with a similar and efficient SIC-restricted Kullback-Leibler-optimal approximation of the prior. We then focus on a particular SIC ordering and nearest-neighbor-based sparsity pattern resulting in highly accurate prior and posterior approximations. For this setting, our variational approximation can be computed via stochastic gradient descent in polylogarithmic time per iteration. We provide numerical comparisons showing that the proposed double-Kullback-Leibler-optimal Gaussian-process approximation (DKLGP) can sometimes be vastly more accurate for stationary kernels than alternative approaches such as inducing-point and mean-field approximations at similar computational complexity.
On the Statistical Benefits of Temporal Difference Learning
Authors: David Cheikhi, Daniel Russo
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00

Given a dataset on actions and resulting long-term rewards, a direct estimation approach fits value functions that minimize prediction error on the training data. Temporal difference learning (TD) methods instead fit value functions by minimizing the degree of temporal inconsistency between estimates made at successive time-steps. Focusing on finite state Markov chains, we provide a crisp asymptotic theory of the statistical advantages of this approach. First, we show that an intuitive inverse trajectory pooling coefficient completely characterizes the percent reduction in mean-squared error of value estimates. Depending on problem structure, the reduction could be enormous or nonexistent. Next, we prove that there can be dramatic improvements in estimates of the difference in value-to-go for two states: TD's errors are bounded in terms of a novel measure - the problem's trajectory crossing time - which can be much smaller than the problem's time horizon.
Near Optimal Private and Robust Linear Regression
Authors: Xiyang Liu, Prateek Jain, Weihao Kong, Sewoong Oh, Arun Sai Suggala
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: regression

We study the canonical statistical estimation problem of linear regression from $n$ i.i.d.~examples under $(\varepsilon,\delta)$-differential privacy when some response variables are adversarially corrupted. We propose a variant of the popular differentially private stochastic gradient descent (DP-SGD) algorithm with two innovations: a full-batch gradient descent to improve sample complexity and a novel adaptive clipping to guarantee robustness. When there is no adversarial corruption, this algorithm improves upon the existing state-of-the-art approach and achieves a near optimal sample complexity. Under label-corruption, this is the first efficient linear regression algorithm to guarantee both $(\varepsilon,\delta)$-DP and robustness. Synthetic experiments confirm the superiority of our approach.
Probabilistic Neural Data Fusion for Learning from an Arbitrary Number of Multi-fidelity Data Sets
Authors: Carlos Mora, Jonathan Tammer Eweis-Labolle, Tyler Johnson, Likith Gadde, Ramin Bostanabad
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00

In many applications in engineering and sciences analysts have simultaneous access to multiple data sources. In such cases, the overall cost of acquiring information can be reduced via data fusion or multi-fidelity (MF) modeling where one leverages inexpensive low-fidelity (LF) sources to reduce the reliance on expensive high-fidelity (HF) data. In this paper, we employ neural networks (NNs) for data fusion in scenarios where data is very scarce and obtained from an arbitrary number of sources with varying levels of fidelity and cost. We introduce a unique NN architecture that converts MF modeling into a nonlinear manifold learning problem. Our NN architecture inversely learns non-trivial (e.g., non-additive and non-hierarchical) biases of the LF sources in an interpretable and visualizable manifold where each data source is encoded via a low-dimensional distribution. This probabilistic manifold quantifies model form uncertainties such that LF sources with small bias are encoded close to the HF source. Additionally, we endow the output of our NN with a parametric distribution not only to quantify aleatoric uncertainties, but also to reformulate the network's loss function based on strictly proper scoring rules which improve robustness and accuracy on unseen HF data. Through a set of analytic and engineering examples, we demonstrate that our approach provides a high predictive power while quantifying various sources uncertainties.
Structure Learning and Parameter Estimation for Graphical Models via Penalized Maximum Likelihood Methods
Authors: Maryia Shpak
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Decision Making, parameter estimation

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) provide a compact and flexible framework to model very complex real-life phenomena. They combine the probability theory which deals with uncertainty and logical structure represented by a graph which allows one to cope with the computational complexity and also interpret and communicate the obtained knowledge. In the thesis, we consider two different types of PGMs: Bayesian networks (BNs) which are static, and continuous time Bayesian networks which, as the name suggests, have a temporal component. We are interested in recovering their true structure, which is the first step in learning any PGM. This is a challenging task, which is interesting in itself from the causal point of view, for the purposes of interpretation of the model and the decision-making process. All approaches for structure learning in the thesis are united by the same idea of maximum likelihood estimation with the LASSO penalty. The problem of structure learning is reduced to the problem of finding non-zero coefficients in the LASSO estimator for a generalized linear model. In the case of CTBNs, we consider the problem both for complete and incomplete data. We support the theoretical results with experiments.
Conversational Automated Program Repair
Authors: Chunqiu Steven Xia, Lingming Zhang
Date: 2023-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Program Repair

Automated Program Repair (APR) can help developers automatically generate patches for bugs. Due to the impressive performance obtained using Large Pre-Trained Language Models (LLMs) on many code related tasks, researchers have started to directly use LLMs for APR. However, prior approaches simply repeatedly sample the LLM given the same constructed input/prompt created from the original buggy code, which not only leads to generating the same incorrect patches repeatedly but also miss the critical information in testcases. To address these limitations, we propose conversational APR, a new paradigm for program repair that alternates between patch generation and validation in a conversational manner. In conversational APR, we iteratively build the input to the model by combining previously generated patches with validation feedback. As such, we leverage the long-term context window of LLMs to not only avoid generating previously incorrect patches but also incorporate validation feedback to help the model understand the semantic meaning of the program under test. We evaluate 10 different LLM including the newly developed ChatGPT model to demonstrate the improvement of conversational APR over the prior LLM for APR approach.