pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
Degradation Prediction of Semiconductor Lasers using Conditional Variational Autoencoder
Authors: Khouloud Abdelli, Helmut Griesser, Christian Neumeyr, Robert Hohenleitner, Stephan Pachnicke
Date: 2022-11-05 00:00:00
Tasks: Anomaly Detection, Prediction

Semiconductor lasers have been rapidly evolving to meet the demands of next-generation optical networks. This imposes much more stringent requirements on the laser reliability, which are dominated by degradation mechanisms (e.g., sudden degradation) limiting the semiconductor laser lifetime. Physics-based approaches are often used to characterize the degradation behavior analytically, yet explicit domain knowledge and accurate mathematical models are required. Building such models can be very challenging due to a lack of a full understanding of the complex physical processes inducing the degradation under various operating conditions. To overcome the aforementioned limitations, we propose a new data-driven approach, extracting useful insights from the operational monitored data to predict the degradation trend without requiring any specific knowledge or using any physical model. The proposed approach is based on an unsupervised technique, a conditional variational autoencoder, and validated using vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser (VCSEL) and tunable edge emitting laser reliability data. The experimental results confirm that our model (i) achieves a good degradation prediction and generalization performance by yielding an F1 score of 95.3%, (ii) outperforms several baseline ML based anomaly detection techniques, and (iii) helps to shorten the aging tests by early predicting the failed devices before the end of the test and thereby saving costs
Unleashing the Power of Graph Data Augmentation on Covariate Distribution Shift
Authors: Yongduo Sui, Qitian Wu, Jiancan Wu, Qing Cui, Longfei Li, Jun Zhou, Xiang Wang, Xiangnan He
Date: 2022-11-05 00:00:00
Proceeding: NeurIPS 2023 11
Tasks: Data Augmentation, Graph Classification, Graph Representation Learning, Out-of-Distribution Generalization, Representation Learning

The issue of distribution shifts is emerging as a critical concern in graph representation learning. From the perspective of invariant learning and stable learning, a recently well-established paradigm for out-of-distribution generalization, stable features of the graph are assumed to causally determine labels, while environmental features tend to be unstable and can lead to the two primary types of distribution shifts. The correlation shift is often caused by the spurious correlation between environmental features and labels that differs between the training and test data; the covariate shift often stems from the presence of new environmental features in test data. However, most strategies, such as invariant learning or graph augmentation, typically struggle with limited training environments or perturbed stable features, thus exposing limitations in handling the problem of covariate shift. To address this challenge, we propose a simple-yet-effective data augmentation strategy, Adversarial Invariant Augmentation (AIA), to handle the covariate shift on graphs. Specifically, given the training data, AIA aims to extrapolate and generate new environments, while concurrently preserving the original stable features during the augmentation process. Such a design equips the graph classification model with an enhanced capability to identify stable features in new environments, thereby effectively tackling the covariate shift in data. Extensive experiments with in-depth empirical analysis demonstrate the superiority of our approach. The implementation codes are publicly available at https://github.com/yongduosui/AIA.
A Machine Learning-based Framework for Predictive Maintenance of Semiconductor Laser for Optical Communication
Authors: Khouloud Abdelli, Helmut Griesser, Stephan Pachnicke
Date: 2022-11-05 00:00:00
Tasks: Anomaly Detection, Decision Making, Prediction, Prognosis

Semiconductor lasers, one of the key components for optical communication systems, have been rapidly evolving to meet the requirements of next generation optical networks with respect to high speed, low power consumption, small form factor etc. However, these demands have brought severe challenges to the semiconductor laser reliability. Therefore, a great deal of attention has been devoted to improving it and thereby ensuring reliable transmission. In this paper, a predictive maintenance framework using machine learning techniques is proposed for real-time heath monitoring and prognosis of semiconductor laser and thus enhancing its reliability. The proposed approach is composed of three stages: i) real-time performance degradation prediction, ii) degradation detection, and iii) remaining useful life (RUL) prediction. First of all, an attention based gated recurrent unit (GRU) model is adopted for real-time prediction of performance degradation. Then, a convolutional autoencoder is used to detect the degradation or abnormal behavior of a laser, given the predicted degradation performance values. Once an abnormal state is detected, a RUL prediction model based on attention-based deep learning is utilized. Afterwards, the estimated RUL is input for decision making and maintenance planning. The proposed framework is validated using experimental data derived from accelerated aging tests conducted for semiconductor tunable lasers. The proposed approach achieves a very good degradation performance prediction capability with a small root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.01, a good anomaly detection accuracy of 94.24% and a better RUL estimation capability compared to the existing ML-based laser RUL prediction models.
Discovering ordinary differential equations that govern time-series
Authors: Sören Becker, Michal Klein, Alexander Neitz, Giambattista Parascandolo, Niki Kilbertus
Date: 2022-11-05 00:00:00
Tasks: Time Series, Time Series Analysis

Natural laws are often described through differential equations yet finding a differential equation that describes the governing law underlying observed data is a challenging and still mostly manual task. In this paper we make a step towards the automation of this process: we propose a transformer-based sequence-to-sequence model that recovers scalar autonomous ordinary differential equations (ODEs) in symbolic form from time-series data of a single observed solution of the ODE. Our method is efficiently scalable: after one-time pretraining on a large set of ODEs, we can infer the governing laws of a new observed solution in a few forward passes of the model. Then we show that our model performs better or on par with existing methods in various test cases in terms of accurate symbolic recovery of the ODE, especially for more complex expressions.
From Cubes to Networks: Fast Generic Model for Synthetic Networks Generation
Authors: Shaojie Min, Ji Liu
Date: 2022-11-05 00:00:00

Analytical explorations on complex networks and cubes (i.e., multi-dimensional datasets) are currently two separate research fields with different strategies. To gain more insights into cube dynamics via unique network-domain methodologies and to obtain abundant synthetic networks, we need a transformation approach from cubes into associated networks. To this end, we propose FGM, a fast generic model converting cubes into interrelated networks, whereby samples are remodeled into nodes and network dynamics are guided under the concept of nearest-neighbor searching. Through comparison with previous models, we show that FGM can cost-efficiently generate networks exhibiting typical patterns more closely aligned to factual networks, such as more authentic degree distribution, power-law average nearest-neighbor degree dependency, and the influence decay phenomenon we consider vital for networks. Furthermore, we evaluate the networks that FGM generates through various cubes. Results show that FGM is resilient to input perturbations, producing networks with consistent fine properties.
Forecasting User Interests Through Topic Tag Predictions in Online Health Communities
Authors: Amogh Subbakrishna Adishesha, Lily Jakielaszek, Fariha Azhar, Peixuan Zhang, Vasant Honavar, Fenglong Ma, Chandra Belani, Prasenjit Mitra, Sharon Xiaolei Huang
Date: 2022-11-05 00:00:00
Tasks: Recommendation Systems, Text2text Generation

The increasing reliance on online communities for healthcare information by patients and caregivers has led to the increase in the spread of misinformation, or subjective, anecdotal and inaccurate or non-specific recommendations, which, if acted on, could cause serious harm to the patients. Hence, there is an urgent need to connect users with accurate and tailored health information in a timely manner to prevent such harm. This paper proposes an innovative approach to suggesting reliable information to participants in online communities as they move through different stages in their disease or treatment. We hypothesize that patients with similar histories of disease progression or course of treatment would have similar information needs at comparable stages. Specifically, we pose the problem of predicting topic tags or keywords that describe the future information needs of users based on their profiles, traces of their online interactions within the community (past posts, replies) and the profiles and traces of online interactions of other users with similar profiles and similar traces of past interaction with the target users. The result is a variant of the collaborative information filtering or recommendation system tailored to the needs of users of online health communities. We report results of our experiments on an expert curated data set which demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach over the state of the art baselines with respect to accurate and timely prediction of topic tags (and hence information sources of interest).
Near-optimal multiple testing in Bayesian linear models with finite-sample FDR control
Authors: Taejoo Ahn, Licong Lin, Song Mei
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Open-Ended Question Answering, Variable Selection

In high dimensional variable selection problems, statisticians often seek to design multiple testing procedures that control the False Discovery Rate (FDR), while concurrently identifying a greater number of relevant variables. Model-X methods, such as Knockoffs and conditional randomization tests, achieve the primary goal of finite-sample FDR control, assuming a known distribution of covariates. However, whether these methods can also achieve the secondary goal of maximizing discoveries remains uncertain. In fact, designing procedures to discover more relevant variables with finite-sample FDR control is a largely open question, even within the arguably simplest linear models. In this paper, we develop near-optimal multiple testing procedures for high dimensional Bayesian linear models with isotropic covariates. We introduce Model-X procedures that provably control the frequentist FDR from finite samples, even when the model is misspecified, and conjecturally achieve near-optimal power when the data follow the Bayesian linear model. Our proposed procedure, PoEdCe, incorporates three key ingredients: Posterior Expectation, distilled Conditional randomization test (dCRT), and the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure with e-values (eBH). The optimality conjecture of PoEdCe is based on a heuristic calculation of its asymptotic true positive proportion (TPP) and false discovery proportion (FDP), which is supported by methods from statistical physics as well as extensive numerical simulations. Our result establishes the Bayesian linear model as a benchmark for comparing the power of various multiple testing procedures.
Quantitative Assessment of Drought Impacts Using XGBoost based on the Drought Impact Reporter
Authors: Beichen Zhang, Fatima K. Abu Salem, Michael J. Hayes, Tsegaye Tadesse
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Management

Under climate change, the increasing frequency, intensity, and spatial extent of drought events lead to higher socio-economic costs. However, the relationships between the hydro-meteorological indicators and drought impacts are not identified well yet because of the complexity and data scarcity. In this paper, we proposed a framework based on the extreme gradient model (XGBoost) for Texas to predict multi-category drought impacts and connected a typical drought indicator, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), to the text-based impacts from the Drought Impact Reporter (DIR). The preliminary results of this study showed an outstanding performance of the well-trained models to assess drought impacts on agriculture, fire, society & public health, plants & wildlife, as well as relief, response & restrictions in Texas. It also provided a possibility to appraise drought impacts using hydro-meteorological indicators with the proposed framework in the United States, which could help drought risk management by giving additional information and improving the updating frequency of drought impacts. Our interpretation results using the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) interpretability technique revealed that the rules guiding the predictions of XGBoost comply with domain expertise knowledge around the role that SPI indicators play around drought impacts.
Clustering above Exponential Families with Tempered Exponential Measures
Authors: Ehsan Amid, Richard Nock, Manfred Warmuth
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Clustering

The link with exponential families has allowed $k$-means clustering to be generalized to a wide variety of data generating distributions in exponential families and clustering distortions among Bregman divergences. Getting the framework to work above exponential families is important to lift roadblocks like the lack of robustness of some population minimizers carved in their axiomatization. Current generalisations of exponential families like $q$-exponential families or even deformed exponential families fail at achieving the goal. In this paper, we provide a new attempt at getting the complete framework, grounded in a new generalisation of exponential families that we introduce, tempered exponential measures (TEM). TEMs keep the maximum entropy axiomatization framework of $q$-exponential families, but instead of normalizing the measure, normalize a dual called a co-distribution. Numerous interesting properties arise for clustering such as improved and controllable robustness for population minimizers, that keep a simple analytic form.
Bayesian learning of Causal Structure and Mechanisms with GFlowNets and Variational Bayes
Authors: Mizu Nishikawa-Toomey, Tristan Deleu, Jithendaraa Subramanian, Yoshua Bengio, Laurent Charlin
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00

Bayesian causal structure learning aims to learn a posterior distribution over directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), and the mechanisms that define the relationship between parent and child variables. By taking a Bayesian approach, it is possible to reason about the uncertainty of the causal model. The notion of modelling the uncertainty over models is particularly crucial for causal structure learning since the model could be unidentifiable when given only a finite amount of observational data. In this paper, we introduce a novel method to jointly learn the structure and mechanisms of the causal model using Variational Bayes, which we call Variational Bayes-DAG-GFlowNet (VBG). We extend the method of Bayesian causal structure learning using GFlowNets to learn not only the posterior distribution over the structure, but also the parameters of a linear-Gaussian model. Our results on simulated data suggest that VBG is competitive against several baselines in modelling the posterior over DAGs and mechanisms, while offering several advantages over existing methods, including the guarantee to sample acyclic graphs, and the flexibility to generalize to non-linear causal mechanisms.
Diversity-based Deep Reinforcement Learning Towards Multidimensional Difficulty for Fighting Game AI
Authors: Emily Halina, Matthew Guzdial
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Deep Reinforcement Learning, Diversity, reinforcement-learning, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

In fighting games, individual players of the same skill level often exhibit distinct strategies from one another through their gameplay. Despite this, the majority of AI agents for fighting games have only a single strategy for each "level" of difficulty. To make AI opponents more human-like, we'd ideally like to see multiple different strategies at each level of difficulty, a concept we refer to as "multidimensional" difficulty. In this paper, we introduce a diversity-based deep reinforcement learning approach for generating a set of agents of similar difficulty that utilize diverse strategies. We find this approach outperforms a baseline trained with specialized, human-authored reward functions in both diversity and performance.
Uncertainty-aware predictive modeling for fair data-driven decisions
Authors: Patrick Kaiser, Christoph Kern, David Rügamer
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Fairness, regression

Both industry and academia have made considerable progress in developing trustworthy and responsible machine learning (ML) systems. While critical concepts like fairness and explainability are often addressed, the safety of systems is typically not sufficiently taken into account. By viewing data-driven decision systems as socio-technical systems, we draw on the uncertainty in ML literature to show how fairML systems can also be safeML systems. We posit that a fair model needs to be an uncertainty-aware model, e.g. by drawing on distributional regression. For fair decisions, we argue that a safe fail option should be used for individuals with uncertain categorization. We introduce semi-structured deep distributional regression as a modeling framework which addresses multiple concerns brought against standard ML models and show its use in a real-world example of algorithmic profiling of job seekers.
Deep Surrogate Docking: Accelerating Automated Drug Discovery with Graph Neural Networks
Authors: Ryien Hosseini, Filippo Simini, Austin Clyde, Arvind Ramanathan
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Drug Discovery

The process of screening molecules for desirable properties is a key step in several applications, ranging from drug discovery to material design. During the process of drug discovery specifically, protein-ligand docking, or chemical docking, is a standard in-silico scoring technique that estimates the binding affinity of molecules with a specific protein target. Recently, however, as the number of virtual molecules available to test has rapidly grown, these classical docking algorithms have created a significant computational bottleneck. We address this problem by introducing Deep Surrogate Docking (DSD), a framework that applies deep learning-based surrogate modeling to accelerate the docking process substantially. DSD can be interpreted as a formalism of several earlier surrogate prefiltering techniques, adding novel metrics and practical training practices. Specifically, we show that graph neural networks (GNNs) can serve as fast and accurate estimators of classical docking algorithms. Additionally, we introduce FiLMv2, a novel GNN architecture which we show outperforms existing state-of-the-art GNN architectures, attaining more accurate and stable performance by allowing the model to filter out irrelevant information from data more efficiently. Through extensive experimentation and analysis, we show that the DSD workflow combined with the FiLMv2 architecture provides a 9.496x speedup in molecule screening with a <3% recall error rate on an example docking task. Our open-source code is available at https://github.com/ryienh/graph-dock.
SAMO: Speaker Attractor Multi-Center One-Class Learning for Voice Anti-Spoofing
Authors: Siwen Ding, You Zhang, Zhiyao Duan
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Diversity, Speaker Verification, Speech Synthesis, Voice Anti-spoofing

Voice anti-spoofing systems are crucial auxiliaries for automatic speaker verification (ASV) systems. A major challenge is caused by unseen attacks empowered by advanced speech synthesis technologies. Our previous research on one-class learning has improved the generalization ability to unseen attacks by compacting the bona fide speech in the embedding space. However, such compactness lacks consideration of the diversity of speakers. In this work, we propose speaker attractor multi-center one-class learning (SAMO), which clusters bona fide speech around a number of speaker attractors and pushes away spoofing attacks from all the attractors in a high-dimensional embedding space. For training, we propose an algorithm for the co-optimization of bona fide speech clustering and bona fide/spoof classification. For inference, we propose strategies to enable anti-spoofing for speakers without enrollment. Our proposed system outperforms existing state-of-the-art single systems with a relative improvement of 38% on equal error rate (EER) on the ASVspoof2019 LA evaluation set.
NLP Inspired Training Mechanics For Modeling Transient Dynamics
Authors: Lalit Ghule, Rishikesh Ranade, Jay Pathak
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00

In recent years, Machine learning (ML) techniques developed for Natural Language Processing (NLP) have permeated into developing better computer vision algorithms. In this work, we use such NLP-inspired techniques to improve the accuracy, robustness and generalizability of ML models for simulating transient dynamics. We introduce teacher forcing and curriculum learning based training mechanics to model vortical flows and show an enhancement in accuracy for ML models, such as FNO and UNet by more than 50%.
Resource-Efficient Transfer Learning From Speech Foundation Model Using Hierarchical Feature Fusion
Authors: Zhouyuan Huo, Khe Chai Sim, Bo Li, Dongseong Hwang, Tara N. Sainath, Trevor Strohman
Date: 2022-11-04 00:00:00
Tasks: Automatic Speech Recognition, Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR), parameter-efficient fine-tuning, speech-recognition, Speech Recognition, Transfer Learning

Self-supervised pre-training of a speech foundation model, followed by supervised fine-tuning, has shown impressive quality improvements on automatic speech recognition (ASR) tasks. Fine-tuning separate foundation models for many downstream tasks are expensive since the foundation model is usually very big. Parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods (e.g. adapter, sparse update methods) offer an alternative paradigm where a small set of parameters are updated to adapt the foundation model to new tasks. However, these methods still suffer from a high computational memory cost and slow training speed because they require backpropagation through the entire neural network at each step. In the paper, we analyze the performance of features at different layers of a foundation model on the speech recognition task and propose a novel hierarchical feature fusion method for resource-efficient transfer learning from speech foundation models. Experimental results show that the proposed method can achieve better performance on speech recognition task than existing algorithms with fewer number of trainable parameters, less computational memory cost and faster training speed. After combining with Adapters at all layers, the proposed method can achieve the same performance as fine-tuning the whole model with $97\%$ fewer trainable encoder parameters and $53\%$ faster training speed.