pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
Statistical Learning with Sublinear Regret of Propagator Models
Authors: Eyal Neuman, Yufei Zhang
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00

We consider a class of learning problems in which an agent liquidates a risky asset while creating both transient price impact driven by an unknown convolution propagator and linear temporary price impact with an unknown parameter. We characterize the trader's performance as maximization of a revenue-risk functional, where the trader also exploits available information on a price predicting signal. We present a trading algorithm that alternates between exploration and exploitation phases and achieves sublinear regrets with high probability. For the exploration phase we propose a novel approach for non-parametric estimation of the price impact kernel by observing only the visible price process and derive sharp bounds on the convergence rate, which are characterised by the singularity of the propagator. These kernel estimation methods extend existing methods from the area of Tikhonov regularisation for inverse problems and are of independent interest. The bound on the regret in the exploitation phase is obtained by deriving stability results for the optimizer and value function of the associated class of infinite-dimensional stochastic control problems. As a complementary result we propose a regression-based algorithm to estimate the conditional expectation of non-Markovian signals and derive its convergence rate.
Toward Theoretical Guidance for Two Common Questions in Practical Cross-Validation based Hyperparameter Selection
Authors: Parikshit Ram, Alexander G. Gray, Horst C. Samulowitz, Gregory Bramble
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00

We show, to our knowledge, the first theoretical treatments of two common questions in cross-validation based hyperparameter selection: (1) After selecting the best hyperparameter using a held-out set, we train the final model using {\em all} of the training data -- since this may or may not improve future generalization error, should one do this? (2) During optimization such as via SGD (stochastic gradient descent), we must set the optimization tolerance $\rho$ -- since it trades off predictive accuracy with computation cost, how should one set it? Toward these problems, we introduce the {\em hold-in risk} (the error due to not using the whole training data), and the {\em model class mis-specification risk} (the error due to having chosen the wrong model class) in a theoretical view which is simple, general, and suggests heuristics that can be used when faced with a dataset instance. In proof-of-concept studies in synthetic data where theoretical quantities can be controlled, we show that these heuristics can, respectively, (1) always perform at least as well as always performing retraining or never performing retraining, (2) either improve performance or reduce computational overhead by $2\times$ with no loss in predictive performance.
Improvement of Computational Performance of Evolutionary AutoML in a Heterogeneous Environment
Authors: Nikolay O. Nikitin, Sergey Teryoshkin, Valerii Pokrovskii, Sergey Pakulin, Denis Nasonov
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: AutoML

Resource-intensive computations are a major factor that limits the effectiveness of automated machine learning solutions. In the paper, we propose a modular approach that can be used to increase the quality of evolutionary optimization for modelling pipelines with a graph-based structure. It consists of several stages - parallelization, caching and evaluation. Heterogeneous and remote resources can be involved in the evaluation stage. The conducted experiments confirm the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed approach. The implemented algorithms are available as a part of the open-source framework FEDOT.
Kinematic Evidence of an Embedded Protoplanet in HD 142666 Identified by Machine Learning
Authors: J. P. Terry, C. Hall, S. Abreau, S. Gleyzer
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00

Observations of protoplanetary disks have shown that forming exoplanets leave characteristic imprints on the gas and dust of the disk. In the gas, these forming exoplanets cause deviations from Keplerian motion, which can be detected through molecular line observations. Our previous work has shown that machine learning can correctly determine if a planet is present in these disks. Using our machine learning models, we identify strong, localized non-Keplerian motion within the disk HD 142666. Subsequent hydrodynamics simulations of a system with a 5 Jupiter-mass planet at 75 au recreates the kinematic structure. By currently established standards in the field, we conclude that HD 142666 hosts a planet. This work represents a first step towards using machine learning to identify previously overlooked non-Keplerian features in protoplanetary disks.
Open SESAME: Fighting Botnets with Seed Reconstructions of Domain Generation Algorithms
Authors: Nils Weissgerber, Thorsten Jenke, Elmar Padilla, Lilli Bruckschen
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00

An important aspect of many botnets is their capability to generate pseudorandom domain names using Domain Generation Algorithms (DGAs). A cyber criminal can register such domains to establish periodically changing rendezvous points with the bots. DGAs make use of seeds to generate sets of domains. Seeds can easily be changed in order to generate entirely new groups of domains while using the same underlying algorithm. While this requires very little manual effort for an adversary, security specialists typically have to manually reverse engineer new malware strains to reconstruct the seeds. Only when the seed and DGA are known, past and future domains can be generated, efficiently attributed, blocked, sinkholed or used for a take-down. Common counters in the literature consist of databases or Machine Learning (ML) based detectors to keep track of past and future domains of known DGAs and to identify DGA-generated domain names, respectively. However, database based approaches can not detect domains generated by new DGAs, and ML approaches can not generate future domain names. In this paper, we introduce SESAME, a system that combines the two above-mentioned approaches and contains a module for automatic Seed Reconstruction, which is, to our knowledge, the first of its kind. It is used to automatically classify domain names, rate their novelty, and determine the seeds of the underlying DGAs. SESAME consists of multiple DGA-specific Seed Reconstructors and is designed to work purely based on domain names, as they are easily obtainable from observing the network traffic. We evaluated our approach on 20.8 gigabytes of DNS-lookups. Thereby, we identified 17 DGAs, of which 4 were entirely new to us.
Machine learning methods for prediction of breakthrough curves in reactive porous media
Authors: Daria Fokina, Pavel Toktaliev, Oleg Iliev, Ivan Oseledets
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Gaussian Processes

Reactive flows in porous media play an important role in our life and are crucial for many industrial, environmental and biomedical applications. Very often the concentration of the species at the inlet is known, and the so-called breakthrough curves, measured at the outlet, are the quantities which could be measured or computed numerically. The measurements and the simulations could be time-consuming and expensive, and machine learning and Big Data approaches can help to predict breakthrough curves at lower costs. Machine learning (ML) methods, such as Gaussian processes and fully-connected neural networks, and a tensor method, cross approximation, are well suited for predicting breakthrough curves. In this paper, we demonstrate their performance in the case of pore scale reactive flow in catalytic filters.
Unsupervised Driving Event Discovery Based on Vehicle CAN-data
Authors: Thomas Kreutz, Ousama Esbel, Max Mühlhäuser, Alejandro Sanchez Guinea
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Contrastive Learning, Self-Supervised Learning, Time Series, Time Series Analysis

The data collected from a vehicle's Controller Area Network (CAN) can quickly exceed human analysis or annotation capabilities when considering fleets of vehicles, which stresses the importance of unsupervised machine learning methods. This work presents a simultaneous clustering and segmentation approach for vehicle CAN-data that identifies common driving events in an unsupervised manner. The approach builds on self-supervised learning (SSL) for multivariate time series to distinguish different driving events in the learned latent space. We evaluate our approach with a dataset of real Tesla Model 3 vehicle CAN-data and a two-hour driving session that we annotated with different driving events. With our approach, we evaluate the applicability of recent time series-related contrastive and generative SSL techniques to learn representations that distinguish driving events. Compared to state-of-the-art (SOTA) generative SSL methods for driving event discovery, we find that contrastive learning approaches reach similar performance.
A Stochastic Proximal Polyak Step Size
Authors: Fabian Schaipp, Robert M. Gower, Michael Ulbrich
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: image-classification, Image Classification

Recently, the stochastic Polyak step size (SPS) has emerged as a competitive adaptive step size scheme for stochastic gradient descent. Here we develop ProxSPS, a proximal variant of SPS that can handle regularization terms. Developing a proximal variant of SPS is particularly important, since SPS requires a lower bound of the objective function to work well. When the objective function is the sum of a loss and a regularizer, available estimates of a lower bound of the sum can be loose. In contrast, ProxSPS only requires a lower bound for the loss which is often readily available. As a consequence, we show that ProxSPS is easier to tune and more stable in the presence of regularization. Furthermore for image classification tasks, ProxSPS performs as well as AdamW with little to no tuning, and results in a network with smaller weight parameters. We also provide an extensive convergence analysis for ProxSPS that includes the non-smooth, smooth, weakly convex and strongly convex setting.
Stretched and measured neural predictions of complex network dynamics
Authors: Vaiva Vasiliauskaite, Nino Antulov-Fantulin
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Learning Theory

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of differential equations present a promising alternative to traditional methods for uncovering a model of dynamical systems, especially in complex systems that lack explicit first principles. A recently employed machine learning tool for studying dynamics is neural networks, which can be used for data-driven solution finding or discovery of differential equations. Specifically for the latter task, however, deploying deep learning models in unfamiliar settings - such as predicting dynamics in unobserved state space regions or on novel graphs - can lead to spurious results. Focusing on complex systems whose dynamics are described with a system of first-order differential equations coupled through a graph, we show that extending the model's generalizability beyond traditional statistical learning theory limits is feasible. However, achieving this advanced level of generalization requires neural network models to conform to fundamental assumptions about the dynamical model. Additionally, we propose a statistical significance test to assess prediction quality during inference, enabling the identification of a neural network's confidence level in its predictions.
Learning Partial Differential Equations by Spectral Approximates of General Sobolev Spaces
Authors: Juan-Esteban Suarez Cardona, Phil-Alexander Hofmann, Michael Hecht
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00

We introduce a novel spectral, finite-dimensional approximation of general Sobolev spaces in terms of Chebyshev polynomials. Based on this polynomial surrogate model (PSM), we realise a variational formulation, solving a vast class of linear and non-linear partial differential equations (PDEs). The PSMs are as flexible as the physics-informed neural nets (PINNs) and provide an alternative for addressing inverse PDE problems, such as PDE-parameter inference. In contrast to PINNs, the PSMs result in a convex optimisation problem for a vast class of PDEs, including all linear ones, in which case the PSM-approximate is efficiently computable due to the exponential convergence rate of the underlying variational gradient descent. As a practical consequence prominent PDE problems were resolved by the PSMs without High Performance Computing (HPC) on a local machine. This gain in efficiency is complemented by an increase of approximation power, outperforming PINN alternatives in both accuracy and runtime. Beyond the empirical evidence we give here, the translation of classic PDE theory in terms of the Sobolev space approximates suggests the PSMs to be universally applicable to well-posed, regular forward and inverse PDE problems.
Explainable Ponzi Schemes Detection on Ethereum
Authors: Letterio Galletta, Fabio Pinelli
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Classification

Blockchain technology has been successfully exploited for deploying new economic applications. However, it has started arousing the interest of malicious actors who deliver scams to deceive honest users and to gain economic advantages. Ponzi schemes are one of the most common scams. Here, we present a classifier for detecting smart Ponzi contracts on Ethereum, which can be used as the backbone for developing detection tools. First, we release a labelled data set with 4422 unique real-world smart contracts to address the problem of the unavailability of labelled data. Then, we show that our classifier outperforms the ones proposed in the literature when considering the AUC as a metric. Finally, we identify a small and effective set of features that ensures a good classification quality and investigate their impacts on the classification using eXplainable AI techniques.
Multimodal Deep Learning
Authors: Cem Akkus, Luyang Chu, Vladana Djakovic, Steffen Jauch-Walser, Philipp Koch, Giacomo Loss, Christopher Marquardt, Marco Moldovan, Nadja Sauter, Maximilian Schneider, Rickmer Schulte, Karol Urbanczyk, Jann Goschenhofer, Christian Heumann, Rasmus Hvingelby, Daniel Schalk, Matthias Aßenmacher
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Deep Learning, Multimodal Deep Learning, Representation Learning

This book is the result of a seminar in which we reviewed multimodal approaches and attempted to create a solid overview of the field, starting with the current state-of-the-art approaches in the two subfields of Deep Learning individually. Further, modeling frameworks are discussed where one modality is transformed into the other, as well as models in which one modality is utilized to enhance representation learning for the other. To conclude the second part, architectures with a focus on handling both modalities simultaneously are introduced. Finally, we also cover other modalities as well as general-purpose multi-modal models, which are able to handle different tasks on different modalities within one unified architecture. One interesting application (Generative Art) eventually caps off this booklet.
SACDNet: Towards Early Type 2 Diabetes Prediction with Uncertainty for Electronic Health Records
Authors: Tayyab Nasir, Muhammad Kamran Malik
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Diabetes Prediction, Fairness

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is one of the most common diseases and a leading cause of death. The problem of early diagnosis of T2DM is challenging and necessary to prevent serious complications. This study proposes a novel neural network architecture for early T2DM prediction using multi-headed self-attention and dense layers to extract features from historic diagnoses, patient vitals, and demographics. The proposed technique is called the Self-Attention for Comorbid Disease Net (SACDNet), achieving an accuracy of 89.3% and an F1-Score of 89.1%, having a 1.6% increased accuracy and 1.3% increased f1-score compared to the baseline techniques. Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout is applied to the SACDNet to get a bayesian approximation. A T2DM prediction framework based on the MC Dropout SACDNet is proposed to quantize the uncertainty associated with the predictions. A T2DM prediction dataset is also built as part of this study which is based on real-world routine Electronic Health Record (EHR) data comprising 4,124 diabetic and 181,767 non-diabetic examples, collected from 295 different EHR systems running in different parts of the United States of America. This dataset is further used to evaluate 7 different machine learning and 3 deep learning-based models. Finally, a detailed analysis of the fairness of every technique against different patient demographic groups is performed to validate the unbiased generalization of the techniques and the diversity of the data.
Federated Transfer-Ordered-Personalized Learning for Driver Monitoring Application
Authors: Liangqi Yuan, Lu Su, Ziran Wang
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Data Poisoning, Federated Learning, Privacy Preserving

Federated learning (FL) shines through in the internet of things (IoT) with its ability to realize collaborative learning and improve learning efficiency by sharing client model parameters trained on local data. Although FL has been successfully applied to various domains, including driver monitoring applications (DMAs) on the internet of vehicles (IoV), its usages still face some open issues, such as data and system heterogeneity, large-scale parallelism communication resources, malicious attacks, and data poisoning. This paper proposes a federated transfer-ordered-personalized learning (FedTOP) framework to address the above problems and test on two real-world datasets with and without system heterogeneity. The performance of the three extensions, transfer, ordered, and personalized, is compared by an ablation study and achieves 92.32% and 95.96% accuracy on the test clients of two datasets, respectively. Compared to the baseline, there is a 462% improvement in accuracy and a 37.46% reduction in communication resource consumption. The results demonstrate that the proposed FedTOP can be used as a highly accurate, streamlined, privacy-preserving, cybersecurity-oriented, and personalized framework for DMA.
A Network Science perspective of Graph Convolutional Networks: A survey
Authors: Mingshan Jia, Bogdan Gabrys, Katarzyna Musial
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Survey

The mining and exploitation of graph structural information have been the focal points in the study of complex networks. Traditional structural measures in Network Science focus on the analysis and modelling of complex networks from the perspective of network structure, such as the centrality measures, the clustering coefficient, and motifs and graphlets, and they have become basic tools for studying and understanding graphs. In comparison, graph neural networks, especially graph convolutional networks (GCNs), are particularly effective at integrating node features into graph structures via neighbourhood aggregation and message passing, and have been shown to significantly improve the performances in a variety of learning tasks. These two classes of methods are, however, typically treated separately with limited references to each other. In this work, aiming to establish relationships between them, we provide a network science perspective of GCNs. Our novel taxonomy classifies GCNs from three structural information angles, i.e., the layer-wise message aggregation scope, the message content, and the overall learning scope. Moreover, as a prerequisite for reviewing GCNs via a network science perspective, we also summarise traditional structural measures and propose a new taxonomy for them. Finally and most importantly, we draw connections between traditional structural approaches and graph convolutional networks, and discuss potential directions for future research.
LiteLSTM Architecture Based on Weights Sharing for Recurrent Neural Networks
Authors: Nelly Elsayed, Zag ElSayed, Anthony S. Maida
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Emotion Recognition, Speech Emotion Recognition

Long short-term memory (LSTM) is one of the robust recurrent neural network architectures for learning sequential data. However, it requires considerable computational power to learn and implement both software and hardware aspects. This paper proposed a novel LiteLSTM architecture based on reducing the LSTM computation components via the weights sharing concept to reduce the overall architecture computation cost and maintain the architecture performance. The proposed LiteLSTM can be significant for processing large data where time-consuming is crucial while hardware resources are limited, such as the security of IoT devices and medical data processing. The proposed model was evaluated and tested empirically on three different datasets from the computer vision, cybersecurity, speech emotion recognition domains. The proposed LiteLSTM has comparable accuracy to the other state-of-the-art recurrent architecture while using a smaller computation budget.
Variational Inference: Posterior Threshold Improves Network Clustering Accuracy in Sparse Regimes
Authors: Xuezhen Li, Can M. Le
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Clustering, Community Detection, Variational Inference

Variational inference has been widely used in machine learning literature to fit various Bayesian models. In network analysis, this method has been successfully applied to solve the community detection problems. Although these results are promising, their theoretical support is only for relatively dense networks, an assumption that may not hold for real networks. In addition, it has been shown recently that the variational loss surface has many saddle points, which may severely affect its performance, especially when applied to sparse networks. This paper proposes a simple way to improve the variational inference method by hard thresholding the posterior of the community assignment after each iteration. Using a random initialization that correlates with the true community assignment, we show that the proposed method converges and can accurately recover the true community labels, even when the average node degree of the network is bounded. Extensive numerical study further confirms the advantage of the proposed method over the classical variational inference and another state-of-the-art algorithm.
KAER: A Knowledge Augmented Pre-Trained Language Model for Entity Resolution
Authors: Liri Fang, Lan Li, Yiren Liu, Vetle I. Torvik, Bertram Ludäscher
Date: 2023-01-12 00:00:00
Tasks: Entity Resolution, General Knowledge, Language Modeling, Language Modelling

Entity resolution has been an essential and well-studied task in data cleaning research for decades. Existing work has discussed the feasibility of utilizing pre-trained language models to perform entity resolution and achieved promising results. However, few works have discussed injecting domain knowledge to improve the performance of pre-trained language models on entity resolution tasks. In this study, we propose Knowledge Augmented Entity Resolution (KAER), a novel framework named for augmenting pre-trained language models with external knowledge for entity resolution. We discuss the results of utilizing different knowledge augmentation and prompting methods to improve entity resolution performance. Our model improves on Ditto, the existing state-of-the-art entity resolution method. In particular, 1) KAER performs more robustly and achieves better results on "dirty data", and 2) with more general knowledge injection, KAER outperforms the existing baseline models on the textual dataset and dataset from the online product domain. 3) KAER achieves competitive results on highly domain-specific datasets, such as citation datasets, requiring the injection of expert knowledge in future work.