pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
WIP: Medical Incident Prediction Through Analysis of Electronic Medical Records Using Machine Lerning: Fall Prediction
Authors: Atsushi Yanagisawa, Chintaka Premachandra, Hiruharu Kawanaka, Atsushi Inoue, Takeo Hata, Eiichiro Ueda
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: BIG-bench Machine Learning, Prediction

This paper reports our preliminary work on medical incident prediction in general, and fall risk prediction in specific, using machine learning. Data for the machine learning are generated only from the particular subset of the electronic medical records (EMR) at Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University Hospital. As a result of conducting three experiments such as (1) machine learning algorithm comparison, (2) handling imbalance, and (3) investigation of explanatory variable contribution to the fall incident prediction, we find the investigation of explanatory variables the most effective.
Non-Asymptotic Analysis of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms for Streaming Data
Authors: Antoine Godichon-Baggioni, Nicklas Werge, Olivier Wintenberger
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00

We introduce a streaming framework for analyzing stochastic approximation/optimization problems. This streaming framework is analogous to solving optimization problems using time-varying mini-batches that arrive sequentially. We provide non-asymptotic convergence rates of various gradient-based algorithms; this includes the famous Stochastic Gradient (SG) descent (a.k.a. Robbins-Monro algorithm), mini-batch SG and time-varying mini-batch SG algorithms, as well as their iterated averages (a.k.a. Polyak-Ruppert averaging). We show i) how to accelerate convergence by choosing the learning rate according to the time-varying mini-batches, ii) that Polyak-Ruppert averaging achieves optimal convergence in terms of attaining the Cramer-Rao lower bound, and iii) how time-varying mini-batches together with Polyak-Ruppert averaging can provide variance reduction and accelerate convergence simultaneously, which is advantageous for many learning problems, such as online, sequential, and large-scale learning. We further demonstrate these favorable effects for various time-varying mini-batches.
What Does The User Want? Information Gain for Hierarchical Dialogue Policy Optimisation
Authors: Christian Geishauser, Songbo Hu, Hsien-Chin Lin, Nurul Lubis, Michael Heck, Shutong Feng, Carel van Niekerk, Milica Gašić
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Dialogue Management, Management, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

The dialogue management component of a task-oriented dialogue system is typically optimised via reinforcement learning (RL). Optimisation via RL is highly susceptible to sample inefficiency and instability. The hierarchical approach called Feudal Dialogue Management takes a step towards more efficient learning by decomposing the action space. However, it still suffers from instability due to the reward only being provided at the end of the dialogue. We propose the usage of an intrinsic reward based on information gain to address this issue. Our proposed reward favours actions that resolve uncertainty or query the user whenever necessary. It enables the policy to learn how to retrieve the users' needs efficiently, which is an integral aspect in every task-oriented conversation. Our algorithm, which we call FeudalGain, achieves state-of-the-art results in most environments of the PyDial framework, outperforming much more complex approaches. We confirm the sample efficiency and stability of our algorithm through experiments in simulation and a human trial.
Optimal Cycling of a Heterogenous Battery Bank via Reinforcement Learning
Authors: Vivek Deulkar, Jayakrishnan Nair
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Q-Learning, reinforcement-learning, Reinforcement Learning, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

We consider the problem of optimal charging/discharging of a bank of heterogenous battery units, driven by stochastic electricity generation and demand processes. The batteries in the battery bank may differ with respect to their capacities, ramp constraints, losses, as well as cycling costs. The goal is to minimize the degradation costs associated with battery cycling in the long run; this is posed formally as a Markov decision process. We propose a linear function approximation based Q-learning algorithm for learning the optimal solution, using a specially designed class of kernel functions that approximate the structure of the value functions associated with the MDP. The proposed algorithm is validated via an extensive case study.
Universal Adversarial Attack on Deep Learning Based Prognostics
Authors: Arghya Basak, Pradeep Rathore, Sri Harsha Nistala, Sagar Srinivas, Venkataramana Runkana
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Adversarial Attack, Deep Learning, Diagnostic, regression, Time Series, Time Series Analysis, Time Series Regression

Deep learning-based time series models are being extensively utilized in engineering and manufacturing industries for process control and optimization, asset monitoring, diagnostic and predictive maintenance. These models have shown great improvement in the prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of industrial equipment but suffer from inherent vulnerability to adversarial attacks. These attacks can be easily exploited and can lead to catastrophic failure of critical industrial equipment. In general, different adversarial perturbations are computed for each instance of the input data. This is, however, difficult for the attacker to achieve in real time due to higher computational requirement and lack of uninterrupted access to the input data. Hence, we present the concept of universal adversarial perturbation, a special imperceptible noise to fool regression based RUL prediction models. Attackers can easily utilize universal adversarial perturbations for real-time attack since continuous access to input data and repetitive computation of adversarial perturbations are not a prerequisite for the same. We evaluate the effect of universal adversarial attacks using NASA turbofan engine dataset. We show that addition of universal adversarial perturbation to any instance of the input data increases error in the output predicted by the model. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to study the effect of the universal adversarial perturbation on time series regression models. We further demonstrate the effect of varying the strength of perturbations on RUL prediction models and found that model accuracy decreases with the increase in perturbation strength of the universal adversarial attack. We also showcase that universal adversarial perturbation can be transferred across different models.
Spline-PINN: Approaching PDEs without Data using Fast, Physics-Informed Hermite-Spline CNNs
Authors: Nils Wandel, Michael Weinmann, Michael Neidlin, Reinhard Klein
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are notoriously difficult to solve. In general, closed-form solutions are not available and numerical approximation schemes are computationally expensive. In this paper, we propose to approach the solution of PDEs based on a novel technique that combines the advantages of two recently emerging machine learning based approaches. First, physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) learn continuous solutions of PDEs and can be trained with little to no ground truth data. However, PINNs do not generalize well to unseen domains. Second, convolutional neural networks provide fast inference and generalize but either require large amounts of training data or a physics-constrained loss based on finite differences that can lead to inaccuracies and discretization artifacts. We leverage the advantages of both of these approaches by using Hermite spline kernels in order to continuously interpolate a grid-based state representation that can be handled by a CNN. This allows for training without any precomputed training data using a physics-informed loss function only and provides fast, continuous solutions that generalize to unseen domains. We demonstrate the potential of our method at the examples of the incompressible Navier-Stokes equation and the damped wave equation. Our models are able to learn several intriguing phenomena such as Karman vortex streets, the Magnus effect, Doppler effect, interference patterns and wave reflections. Our quantitative assessment and an interactive real-time demo show that we are narrowing the gap in accuracy of unsupervised ML based methods to industrial CFD solvers while being orders of magnitude faster.
Back to Basics: Deep Reinforcement Learning in Traffic Signal Control
Authors: Sierk Kanis, Laurens Samson, Daan Bloembergen, Tim Bakker
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Deep Reinforcement Learning, reinforcement-learning, Reinforcement Learning, Reinforcement Learning (RL), Self-Learning, Traffic Signal Control

In this paper we revisit some of the fundamental premises for a reinforcement learning (RL) approach to self-learning traffic lights. We propose RLight, a combination of choices that offers robust performance and good generalization to unseen traffic flows. In particular, our main contributions are threefold: our lightweight and cluster-aware state representation leads to improved performance; we reformulate the Markov Decision Process (MDP) such that it skips redundant timesteps of yellow light, speeding up learning by 30%; and we investigate the action space and provide insight into the difference in performance between acyclic and cyclic phase transitions. Additionally, we provide insights into the generalisation of the methods to unseen traffic. Evaluations using the real-world Hangzhou traffic dataset show that RLight outperforms state-of-the-art rule-based and deep reinforcement learning algorithms, demonstrating the potential of RL-based methods to improve urban traffic flows.
Federated Learning of Molecular Properties with Graph Neural Networks in a Heterogeneous Setting
Authors: Wei Zhu, Jiebo Luo, Andrew White
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Federated Learning

Chemistry research has both high material and computational costs to conduct experiments. Institutions thus consider chemical data to be valuable and there have been few efforts to construct large public datasets for machine learning. Another challenge is that different intuitions are interested in different classes of molecules, creating heterogeneous data that cannot be easily joined by conventional distributed training. In this work, we introduce federated heterogeneous molecular learning to address these challenges. Federated learning allows end-users to build a global model collaboratively while keeping the training data distributed over isolated clients. Due to the lack of related research, we first simulate a heterogeneous federated learning benchmark (FedChem) by jointly performing scaffold splitting and latent Dirichlet allocation on existing datasets for heterogeneously distributed client data. Our results on FedChem show that significant learning challenges arise when working with heterogeneous molecules across clients. We then propose a method to alleviate the problem, namely Federated Learning by Instance reweighTing (FLIT(+)). FLIT(+) can align the local training across heterogeneous clients by improving the performance for uncertain samples. Comprehensive experiments conducted on our new benchmark FedChem validate the advantages of this method over other federated learning schemes. FedChem should enable a new type of collaboration for improving AI in chemistry that mitigates concerns about valuable chemical data.
Modelling Major Disease Outbreaks in the 21st Century: A Causal Approach
Authors: Aboli Marathe, Saloni Parekh, Harsh Sakhrani
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Causal Inference, Imputation

Epidemiologists aiming to model the dynamics of global events face a significant challenge in identifying the factors linked with anomalies such as disease outbreaks. In this paper, we present a novel method for identifying the most important development sectors sensitive to disease outbreaks by using global development indicators as markers. We use statistical methods to assess the causative linkages between these indicators and disease outbreaks, as well as to find the most often ranked indicators. We used data imputation techniques in addition to statistical analysis to convert raw real-world data sets into meaningful data for causal inference. The application of various algorithms for the detection of causal linkages between the indicators is the subject of this research. Despite the fact that disparities in governmental policies between countries account for differences in causal linkages, several indicators emerge as important determinants sensitive to disease outbreaks over the world in the 21st Century.
NBcoded: network attack classifiers based on Encoder and Naive Bayes model for resource limited devices
Authors: Lander Segurola-Gil, Francesco Zola, Xabier Echeberria-Barrio, Raul Orduna-Urrutia
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00

In the recent years, cybersecurity has gained high relevance, converting the detection of attacks or intrusions into a key task. In fact, a small breach in a system, application, or network, can cause huge damage for the companies. However, when this attack detection encounters the Artificial Intelligence paradigm, it can be addressed using high-quality classifiers which often need high resource demands in terms of computation or memory usage. This situation has a high impact when the attack classifiers need to be used with limited resourced devices or without overloading the performance of the devices, as it happens for example in IoT devices, or in industrial systems. For overcoming this issue, NBcoded, a novel light attack classification tool is proposed in this work. NBcoded works in a pipeline combining the removal of noisy data properties of the encoders with the low resources and timing consuming obtained by the Naive Bayes classifier. This work compares three different NBcoded implementations based on three different Naive Bayes likelihood distribution assumptions (Gaussian, Complement and Bernoulli). Then, the best NBcoded is compared with state of the art classifiers like Multilayer Perceptron and Random Forest. Our implementation shows to be the best model reducing the impact of training time and disk usage, even if it is outperformed by the other two in terms of Accuracy and F1-score (~ 2%).
DROMO: Distributionally Robust Offline Model-based Policy Optimization
Authors: Ruizhen Liu, Dazhi Zhong, Zhicong Chen
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: model, Uncertainty Quantification

We consider the problem of offline reinforcement learning with model-based control, whose goal is to learn a dynamics model from the experience replay and obtain a pessimism-oriented agent under the learned model. Current model-based constraint includes explicit uncertainty penalty and implicit conservative regularization that pushes Q-values of out-of-distribution state-action pairs down and the in-distribution up. While the uncertainty estimation, on which the former relies on, can be loosely calibrated for complex dynamics, the latter performs slightly better. To extend the basic idea of regularization without uncertainty quantification, we propose distributionally robust offline model-based policy optimization (DROMO), which leverages the ideas in distributionally robust optimization to penalize a broader range of out-of-distribution state-action pairs beyond the standard empirical out-of-distribution Q-value minimization. We theoretically show that our method optimizes a lower bound on the ground-truth policy evaluation, and it can be incorporated into any existing policy gradient algorithms. We also analyze the theoretical properties of DROMO's linear and non-linear instantiations.
Comparing decision mining approaches with regard to the meaningfulness of their results
Authors: Beate Scheibel, Stefanie Rinderle-Ma
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00

Decisions and the underlying rules are indispensable for driving process execution during runtime, i.e., for routing process instances at alternative branches based on the values of process data. Decision rules can comprise unary data conditions, e.g., age > 40, binary data conditions where the relation between two or more variables is relevant, e.g. temperature1 < temperature2, and more complex conditions that refer to, for example, parts of a medical image. Decision discovery aims at automatically deriving decision rules from process event logs. Existing approaches focus on the discovery of unary, or in some instances binary data conditions. The discovered decision rules are usually evaluated using accuracy, but not with regards to their semantics and meaningfulness, although this is crucial for validation and the subsequent implementation/adaptation of the decision rules. Hence, this paper compares three decision mining approaches, i.e., two existing ones and one newly described approach, with respect to the meaningfulness of their results. For comparison, we use one synthetic data set for a realistic manufacturing case and the two real-world BPIC 2017/2020 logs. The discovered rules are discussed with regards to their semantics and meaningfulness.
Modular Neural Ordinary Differential Equations
Authors: Max Zhu, Pietro Lio, Jacob Moss
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00

The laws of physics have been written in the language of dif-ferential equations for centuries. Neural Ordinary Differen-tial Equations (NODEs) are a new machine learning architecture which allows these differential equations to be learned from a dataset. These have been applied to classical dynamics simulations in the form of Lagrangian Neural Net-works (LNNs) and Second Order Neural Differential Equations (SONODEs). However, they either cannot represent the most general equations of motion or lack interpretability. In this paper, we propose Modular Neural ODEs, where each force component is learned with separate modules. We show how physical priors can be easily incorporated into these models. Through a number of experiments, we demonstrate these result in better performance, are more interpretable, and add flexibility due to their modularity.
Self-learn to Explain Siamese Networks Robustly
Authors: Chao Chen, Yifan Shen, Guixiang Ma, Xiangnan Kong, Srinivas Rangarajan, Xi Zhang, Sihong Xie
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Face Recognition, Fairness, Self-Learning

Learning to compare two objects are essential in applications, such as digital forensics, face recognition, and brain network analysis, especially when labeled data is scarce and imbalanced. As these applications make high-stake decisions and involve societal values like fairness and transparency, it is critical to explain the learned models. We aim to study post-hoc explanations of Siamese networks (SN) widely used in learning to compare. We characterize the instability of gradient-based explanations due to the additional compared object in SN, in contrast to architectures with a single input instance. We propose an optimization framework that derives global invariance from unlabeled data using self-learning to promote the stability of local explanations tailored for specific query-reference pairs. The optimization problems can be solved using gradient descent-ascent (GDA) for constrained optimization, or SGD for KL-divergence regularized unconstrained optimization, with convergence proofs, especially when the objective functions are nonconvex due to the Siamese architecture. Quantitative results and case studies on tabular and graph data from neuroscience and chemical engineering show that the framework respects the self-learned invariance while robustly optimizing the faithfulness and simplicity of the explanation. We further demonstrate the convergence of GDA experimentally.
DCUR: Data Curriculum for Teaching via Samples with Reinforcement Learning
Authors: Daniel Seita, Abhinav Gopal, Zhao Mandi, John Canny
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Deep Reinforcement Learning, Offline RL, reinforcement-learning, Reinforcement Learning, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

Deep reinforcement learning (RL) has shown great empirical successes, but suffers from brittleness and sample inefficiency. A potential remedy is to use a previously-trained policy as a source of supervision. In this work, we refer to these policies as teachers and study how to transfer their expertise to new student policies by focusing on data usage. We propose a framework, Data CUrriculum for Reinforcement learning (DCUR), which first trains teachers using online deep RL, and stores the logged environment interaction history. Then, students learn by running either offline RL or by using teacher data in combination with a small amount of self-generated data. DCUR's central idea involves defining a class of data curricula which, as a function of training time, limits the student to sampling from a fixed subset of the full teacher data. We test teachers and students using state-of-the-art deep RL algorithms across a variety of data curricula. Results suggest that the choice of data curricula significantly impacts student learning, and that it is beneficial to limit the data during early training stages while gradually letting the data availability grow over time. We identify when the student can learn offline and match teacher performance without relying on specialized offline RL algorithms. Furthermore, we show that collecting a small fraction of online data provides complementary benefits with the data curriculum. Supplementary material is available at https://tinyurl.com/teach-dcur.
Multi View Spatial-Temporal Model for Travel Time Estimation
Authors: Zichuan Liu, Zhaoyang Wu, Meng Wang, Rui Zhang
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Tasks: Travel Time Estimation

Taxi arrival time prediction is essential for building intelligent transportation systems. Traditional prediction methods mainly rely on extracting features from traffic maps, which cannot model complex situations and nonlinear spatial and temporal relationships. Therefore, we propose Multi-View Spatial-Temporal Model (MVSTM) to capture the mutual dependence of spatial-temporal relations and trajectory features. Specifically, we use graph2vec to model the spatial view, dual-channel temporal module to model the trajectory view, and structural embedding to model traffic semantics. Experiments on large-scale taxi trajectory data have shown that our approach is more effective than the existing novel methods. The source code can be found at https://github.com/775269512/SIGSPATIAL-2021-GISCUP-4th-Solution.
Should We Be Pre-training? An Argument for End-task Aware Training as an Alternative
Authors: Lucio M. Dery, Paul Michel, Ameet Talwalkar, Graham Neubig
Date: 2021-09-15 00:00:00
Proceeding: ICLR 2022 4
Tasks: Meta-Learning

In most settings of practical concern, machine learning practitioners know in advance what end-task they wish to boost with auxiliary tasks. However, widely used methods for leveraging auxiliary data like pre-training and its continued-pretraining variant are end-task agnostic: they rarely, if ever, exploit knowledge of the target task. We study replacing end-task agnostic continued training of pre-trained language models with end-task aware training of said models. We argue that for sufficiently important end-tasks, the benefits of leveraging auxiliary data in a task-aware fashion can justify forgoing the traditional approach of obtaining generic, end-task agnostic representations as with (continued) pre-training. On three different low-resource NLP tasks from two domains, we demonstrate that multi-tasking the end-task and auxiliary objectives results in significantly better downstream task performance than the widely-used task-agnostic continued pre-training paradigm of Gururangan et al. (2020). We next introduce an online meta-learning algorithm that learns a set of multi-task weights to better balance among our multiple auxiliary objectives, achieving further improvements on end-task performance and data efficiency.