pwc-archive/papers-with-abstracts huggingface dataset:
Score vs. Winrate in Score-Based Games: which Reward for Reinforcement Learning?
Authors: Luca Pasqualini, Gianluca Amato, Marco Fantozzi, Rosa Gini, Alessandro Marchetti, Carlo Metta, Francesco Morandin, Maurizio Parton
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Game of Go, reinforcement-learning, Reinforcement Learning (RL)

In the last years, the DeepMind algorithm AlphaZero has become the state of the art to efficiently tackle perfect information two-player zero-sum games with a win/lose outcome. However, when the win/lose outcome is decided by a final score difference, AlphaZero may play score-suboptimal moves because all winning final positions are equivalent from the win/lose outcome perspective. This can be an issue, for instance when used for teaching, or when trying to understand whether there is a better move. Moreover, there is the theoretical quest for the perfect game. A naive approach would be training an AlphaZero-like agent to predict score differences instead of win/lose outcomes. Since the game of Go is deterministic, this should as well produce an outcome-optimal play. However, it is a folklore belief that "this does not work". In this paper, we first provide empirical evidence for this belief. We then give a theoretical interpretation of this suboptimality in general perfect information two-player zero-sum game where the complexity of a game like Go is replaced by the randomness of the environment. We show that an outcome-optimal policy has a different preference for uncertainty when it is winning or losing. In particular, when in a losing state, an outcome-optimal agent chooses actions leading to a higher score variance. We then posit that when approximation is involved, a deterministic game behaves like a nondeterministic game, where the score variance is modeled by how uncertain the position is. We validate this hypothesis in AlphaZero-like software with a human expert.
Causal Explanations and XAI
Authors: Sander Beckers
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: counterfactual, Explainable artificial intelligence, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), Fairness

Although standard Machine Learning models are optimized for making predictions about observations, more and more they are used for making predictions about the results of actions. An important goal of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is to compensate for this mismatch by offering explanations about the predictions of an ML-model which ensure that they are reliably action-guiding. As action-guiding explanations are causal explanations, the literature on this topic is starting to embrace insights from the literature on causal models. Here I take a step further down this path by formally defining the causal notions of sufficient explanations and counterfactual explanations. I show how these notions relate to (and improve upon) existing work, and motivate their adequacy by illustrating how different explanations are action-guiding under different circumstances. Moreover, this work is the first to offer a formal definition of actual causation that is founded entirely in action-guiding explanations. Although the definitions are motivated by a focus on XAI, the analysis of causal explanation and actual causation applies in general. I also touch upon the significance of this work for fairness in AI by showing how actual causation can be used to improve the idea of path-specific counterfactual fairness.
CoTV: Cooperative Control for Traffic Light Signals and Connected Autonomous Vehicles using Deep Reinforcement Learning
Authors: Jiaying Guo, Long Cheng, Shen Wang
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Autonomous Vehicles, Deep Reinforcement Learning

The target of reducing travel time only is insufficient to support the development of future smart transportation systems. To align with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN-SDG), a further reduction of fuel and emissions, improvements of traffic safety, and the ease of infrastructure deployment and maintenance should also be considered. Different from existing work focusing on the optimization of the control in either traffic light signal (to improve the intersection throughput), or vehicle speed (to stabilize the traffic), this paper presents a multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) system called CoTV, which Cooperatively controls both Traffic light signals and Connected Autonomous Vehicles (CAV). Therefore, our CoTV can well balance the achievement of the reduction of travel time, fuel, and emissions. In the meantime, CoTV can also be easy to deploy by cooperating with only one CAV that is the nearest to the traffic light controller on each incoming road. This enables more efficient coordination between traffic light controllers and CAV, thus leading to the convergence of training CoTV under the large-scale multi-agent scenario that is traditionally difficult to converge. We give the detailed system design of CoTV and demonstrate its effectiveness in a simulation study using SUMO under various grid maps and realistic urban scenarios with mixed-autonomy traffic.
Unified Perspective on Probability Divergence via Maximum Likelihood Density Ratio Estimation: Bridging KL-Divergence and Integral Probability Metrics
Authors: Masahiro Kato, Masaaki Imaizumi, Kentaro Minami
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Density Ratio Estimation

This paper provides a unified perspective for the Kullback-Leibler (KL)-divergence and the integral probability metrics (IPMs) from the perspective of maximum likelihood density-ratio estimation (DRE). Both the KL-divergence and the IPMs are widely used in various fields in applications such as generative modeling. However, a unified understanding of these concepts has still been unexplored. In this paper, we show that the KL-divergence and the IPMs can be represented as maximal likelihoods differing only by sampling schemes, and use this result to derive a unified form of the IPMs and a relaxed estimation method. To develop the estimation problem, we construct an unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator to perform DRE with a stratified sampling scheme. We further propose a novel class of probability divergences, called the Density Ratio Metrics (DRMs), that interpolates the KL-divergence and the IPMs. In addition to these findings, we also introduce some applications of the DRMs, such as DRE and generative adversarial networks. In experiments, we validate the effectiveness of our proposed methods.
Corpus for Automatic Structuring of Legal Documents
Authors: Prathamesh Kalamkar, Aman Tiwari, Astha Agarwal, Saurabh Karn, Smita Gupta, Vivek Raghavan, Ashutosh Modi
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Proceeding: LREC 2022 6

In populous countries, pending legal cases have been growing exponentially. There is a need for developing techniques for processing and organizing legal documents. In this paper, we introduce a new corpus for structuring legal documents. In particular, we introduce a corpus of legal judgment documents in English that are segmented into topical and coherent parts. Each of these parts is annotated with a label coming from a list of pre-defined Rhetorical Roles. We develop baseline models for automatically predicting rhetorical roles in a legal document based on the annotated corpus. Further, we show the application of rhetorical roles to improve performance on the tasks of summarization and legal judgment prediction. We release the corpus and baseline model code along with the paper.
Computational Complexity of Segmentation
Authors: Federico Adolfi, Todd Wareham, Iris van Rooij
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Position, Segmentation

Computational feasibility is a widespread concern that guides the framing and modeling of biological and artificial intelligence. The specification of cognitive system capacities is often shaped by unexamined intuitive assumptions about the search space and complexity of a subcomputation. However, a mistaken intuition might make such initial conceptualizations misleading for what empirical questions appear relevant later on. We undertake here computational-level modeling and complexity analyses of segmentation - a widely hypothesized subcomputation that plays a requisite role in explanations of capacities across domains - as a case study to show how crucial it is to formally assess these assumptions. We mathematically prove two sets of results regarding hardness and search space size that may run counter to intuition, and position their implications with respect to existing views on the subcapacity.
NeuralTailor: Reconstructing Sewing Pattern Structures from 3D Point Clouds of Garments
Authors: Maria Korosteleva, Sung-Hee Lee
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: 3D Shape Recognition, 3D Shape Reconstruction, Diversity, Structured Prediction, Virtual Try-on

The fields of SocialVR, performance capture, and virtual try-on are often faced with a need to faithfully reproduce real garments in the virtual world. One critical task is the disentanglement of the intrinsic garment shape from deformations due to fabric properties, physical forces, and contact with the body. We propose to use a garment sewing pattern, a realistic and compact garment descriptor, to facilitate the intrinsic garment shape estimation. Another major challenge is a high diversity of shapes and designs in the domain. The most common approach for Deep Learning on 3D garments is to build specialized models for individual garments or garment types. We argue that building a unified model for various garment designs has the benefit of generalization to novel garment types, hence covering a larger design domain than individual models would. We introduce NeuralTailor, a novel architecture based on point-level attention for set regression with variable cardinality, and apply it to the task of reconstructing 2D garment sewing patterns from the 3D point could garment models. Our experiments show that NeuralTailor successfully reconstructs sewing patterns and generalizes to garment types with pattern topologies unseen during training.
MGNN: Graph Neural Networks Inspired by Distance Geometry Problem
Authors: Guanyu Cui, Zhewei Wei
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Combinatorial Optimization, Metric Learning

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a prominent research topic in the field of machine learning. Existing GNN models are commonly categorized into two types: spectral GNNs, which are designed based on polynomial graph filters, and spatial GNNs, which utilize a message-passing scheme as the foundation of the model. For the expressive power and universality of spectral GNNs, a natural approach is to improve the design of basis functions for better approximation ability. As for spatial GNNs, models like Graph Isomorphism Networks (GIN) analyze their expressive power based on Graph Isomorphism Tests. Recently, there have been attempts to establish connections between spatial GNNs and geometric concepts like curvature and cellular sheaves, as well as physical phenomena like oscillators. However, despite the recent progress, there is still a lack of comprehensive analysis regarding the universality of spatial GNNs from the perspectives of geometry and physics. In this paper, we propose MetricGNN (MGNN), a spatial GNN model inspired by the congruent-insensitivity property of classifiers in the classification phase of GNNs. We demonstrate that a GNN model is universal in the spatial domain if it can generate embedding matrices that are congruent to any given embedding matrix. This property is closely related to the Distance Geometry Problem (DGP). Since DGP is an NP-Hard combinatorial optimization problem, we propose optimizing an energy function derived from spring networks and the Multi-Dimensional Scaling (MDS) problem. This approach also allows our model to handle both homophilic and heterophilic graphs. Finally, we propose employing the iteration method to optimize our energy function. We extensively evaluate the effectiveness of our model through experiments conducted on both synthetic and real-world datasets. Our code is available at: https://github.com/GuanyuCui/MGNN.
Heterogeneous Federated Learning via Grouped Sequential-to-Parallel Training
Authors: Shenglai Zeng, Zonghang Li, Hongfang Yu, Yihong He, Zenglin Xu, Dusit Niyato, Han Yu
Date: 2022-01-31 00:00:00
Tasks: Federated Learning, Privacy Preserving

Federated learning (FL) is a rapidly growing privacy-preserving collaborative machine learning paradigm. In practical FL applications, local data from each data silo reflect local usage patterns. Therefore, there exists heterogeneity of data distributions among data owners (a.k.a. FL clients). If not handled properly, this can lead to model performance degradation. This challenge has inspired the research field of heterogeneous federated learning, which currently remains open. In this paper, we propose a data heterogeneity-robust FL approach, FedGSP, to address this challenge by leveraging on a novel concept of dynamic Sequential-to-Parallel (STP) collaborative training. FedGSP assigns FL clients to homogeneous groups to minimize the overall distribution divergence among groups, and increases the degree of parallelism by reassigning more groups in each round. It is also incorporated with a novel Inter-Cluster Grouping (ICG) algorithm to assist in group assignment, which uses the centroid equivalence theorem to simplify the NP-hard grouping problem to make it solvable. Extensive experiments have been conducted on the non-i.i.d. FEMNIST dataset. The results show that FedGSP improves the accuracy by 3.7% on average compared with seven state-of-the-art approaches, and reduces the training time and communication overhead by more than 90%.
Cryptocurrency Valuation: An Explainable AI Approach
Authors: Yulin Liu, Luyao Zhang
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00

Currently, there are no convincing proxies for the fundamentals of cryptocurrency assets. We propose a new market-to-fundamental ratio, the price-to-utility (PU) ratio, utilizing unique blockchain accounting methods. We then proxy various existing fundamental-to-market ratios by Bitcoin historical data and find they have little predictive power for short-term bitcoin returns. However, PU ratio effectively predicts long-term bitcoin returns than alternative methods. Furthermore, we verify the explainability of PU ratio using machine learning. Finally, we present an automated trading strategy advised by the PU ratio that outperforms the conventional buy-and-hold and market-timing strategies. Our research contributes to explainable AI in finance from three facets: First, our market-to-fundamental ratio is based on classic monetary theory and the unique UTXO model of Bitcoin accounting rather than ad hoc; Second, the empirical evidence testifies the buy-low and sell-high implications of the ratio; Finally, we distribute the trading algorithms as open-source software via Python Package Index for future research, which is exceptional in finance research.
N-HiTS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting
Authors: Cristian Challu, Kin G. Olivares, Boris N. Oreshkin, Federico Garza, Max Mergenthaler-Canseco, Artur Dubrawski
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Time Series, Time Series Analysis, Time Series Forecasting

Recent progress in neural forecasting accelerated improvements in the performance of large-scale forecasting systems. Yet, long-horizon forecasting remains a very difficult task. Two common challenges afflicting the task are the volatility of the predictions and their computational complexity. We introduce N-HiTS, a model which addresses both challenges by incorporating novel hierarchical interpolation and multi-rate data sampling techniques. These techniques enable the proposed method to assemble its predictions sequentially, emphasizing components with different frequencies and scales while decomposing the input signal and synthesizing the forecast. We prove that the hierarchical interpolation technique can efficiently approximate arbitrarily long horizons in the presence of smoothness. Additionally, we conduct extensive large-scale dataset experiments from the long-horizon forecasting literature, demonstrating the advantages of our method over the state-of-the-art methods, where N-HiTS provides an average accuracy improvement of almost 20% over the latest Transformer architectures while reducing the computation time by an order of magnitude (50 times). Our code is available at bit.ly/3VA5DoT
Computational Metacognition
Authors: Michael Cox, Zahiduddin Mohammad, Sravya Kondrakunta, Ventaksamapth Raja Gogineni, Dustin Dannenhauer, Othalia Larue
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00

Computational metacognition represents a cognitive systems perspective on high-order reasoning in integrated artificial systems that seeks to leverage ideas from human metacognition and from metareasoning approaches in artificial intelligence. The key characteristic is to declaratively represent and then monitor traces of cognitive activity in an intelligent system in order to manage the performance of cognition itself. Improvements in cognition then lead to improvements in behavior and thus performance. We illustrate these concepts with an agent implementation in a cognitive architecture called MIDCA and show the value of metacognition in problem-solving. The results illustrate how computational metacognition improves performance by changing cognition through meta-level goal operations and learning.
AI-Augmented Business Process Management Systems: A Research Manifesto
Authors: Marlon Dumas, Fabiana Fournier, Lior Limonad, Andrea Marrella, Marco Montali, Jana-Rebecca Rehse, Rafael Accorsi, Diego Calvanese, Giuseppe De Giacomo, Dirk Fahland, Avigdor Gal, Marcello La Rosa, Hagen Völzer, Ingo Weber
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Management

AI-Augmented Business Process Management Systems (ABPMSs) are an emerging class of process-aware information systems, empowered by trustworthy AI technology. An ABPMS enhances the execution of business processes with the aim of making these processes more adaptable, proactive, explainable, and context-sensitive. This manifesto presents a vision for ABPMSs and discusses research challenges that need to be surmounted to realize this vision. To this end, we define the concept of ABPMS, we outline the lifecycle of processes within an ABPMS, we discuss core characteristics of an ABPMS, and we derive a set of challenges to realize systems with these characteristics.
Fast Monte-Carlo Approximation of the Attention Mechanism
Authors: Hyunjun Kim, JeongGil Ko
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00

We introduce Monte-Carlo Attention (MCA), a randomized approximation method for reducing the computational cost of self-attention mechanisms in Transformer architectures. MCA exploits the fact that the importance of each token in an input sequence varies with respect to their attention scores; thus, some degree of error can be tolerable when encoding tokens with low attention. Using approximate matrix multiplication, MCA applies different error bounds to encode input tokens such that those with low attention scores are computed with relaxed precision, whereas errors of salient elements are minimized. MCA can operate in parallel with other attention optimization schemes and does not require model modification. We study the theoretical error bounds and demonstrate that MCA reduces attention complexity (in FLOPS) for various Transformer models by up to 11$\times$ in GLUE benchmarks without compromising model accuracy.
Deep Non-Crossing Quantiles through the Partial Derivative
Authors: Axel Brando, Joan Gimeno, Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano, Jordi Vitrià
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Deep Learning, quantile regression

Quantile Regression (QR) provides a way to approximate a single conditional quantile. To have a more informative description of the conditional distribution, QR can be merged with deep learning techniques to simultaneously estimate multiple quantiles. However, the minimisation of the QR-loss function does not guarantee non-crossing quantiles, which affects the validity of such predictions and introduces a critical issue in certain scenarios. In this article, we propose a generic deep learning algorithm for predicting an arbitrary number of quantiles that ensures the quantile monotonicity constraint up to the machine precision and maintains its modelling performance with respect to alternative models. The presented method is evaluated over several real-world datasets obtaining state-of-the-art results as well as showing that it scales to large-size data sets.
Potential destination discovery for low predictability individuals based on knowledge graph
Authors: Guilong Li, Yixian Chen, Qionghua Liao, Zhaocheng He
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00
Tasks: Graph Embedding, Knowledge Graph Embedding, vehicle detection

Travelers may travel to locations they have never visited, which we call potential destinations of them. Especially under a very limited observation, travelers tend to show random movement patterns and usually have a large number of potential destinations, which make them difficult to handle for mobility prediction (e.g., destination prediction). In this paper, we develop a new knowledge graph-based framework (PDPFKG) for potential destination discovery of low predictability travelers by considering trip association relationships between them. We first construct a trip knowledge graph (TKG) to model the trip scenario by entities (e.g., travelers, destinations and time information) and their relationships, in which we introduce the concept of private relationship for complexity reduction. Then a modified knowledge graph embedding algorithm is implemented to optimize the overall graph representation. Based on the trip knowledge graph embedding model (TKGEM), the possible ranking of individuals' unobserved destinations to be chosen in the future can be obtained by calculating triples' distance. Empirically. PDPFKG is tested using an anonymous vehicular dataset from 138 intersections equipped with video-based vehicle detection systems in Xuancheng city, China. The results show that (i) the proposed method significantly outperforms baseline methods, and (ii) the results show strong consistency with traveler behavior in choosing potential destinations. Finally, we provide a comprehensive discussion of the innovative points of the methodology.
Debiased-CAM to mitigate systematic error with faithful visual explanations of machine learning
Authors: Wencan Zhang, Mariella Dimiccoli, Brian Y. Lim
Date: 2022-01-30 00:00:00

Model explanations such as saliency maps can improve user trust in AI by highlighting important features for a prediction. However, these become distorted and misleading when explaining predictions of images that are subject to systematic error (bias). Furthermore, the distortions persist despite model fine-tuning on images biased by different factors (blur, color temperature, day/night). We present Debiased-CAM to recover explanation faithfulness across various bias types and levels by training a multi-input, multi-task model with auxiliary tasks for explanation and bias level predictions. In simulation studies, the approach not only enhanced prediction accuracy, but also generated highly faithful explanations about these predictions as if the images were unbiased. In user studies, debiased explanations improved user task performance, perceived truthfulness and perceived helpfulness. Debiased training can provide a versatile platform for robust performance and explanation faithfulness for a wide range of applications with data biases.