An incumbent who runs second in the primary usually loses the run-off. The incumbent has run three times state wide and been elected twice. McConnell and Rove spent millions trashing Mo Brooks. The incumbent had Trump's endorsement, Trump's robocall and the Trump's PAC doing voter turnout. Mo Brooks has never run state wide and is not well known south of Cullman.  He still managed to get about 20% of the vote, in spite of all the negative ads Rove and McConnell paid for with lobbyist money. Roy Moore has a strong base of support. They will come to the polls to vote in the run off. Most of his voters are Trump supporters. Luther is a weak candidate. This author is clueless and delusional. Trump is strong here in Alabama. McConnell and Rove are not. Luther is McConnell's candidate and we know it. Getting his vote out and picking up enough votes to beat Roy Moore will be very difficult.