and Clark wins re-election .... 

There is about   8% of the population that are environmental cultists that  will vote Green.

There are  120,000 members of CUPE and 41,000 members of the BCTF  ... These unions are total self interest groups that are for public giving them more money and better benefits.   They are militantly aligned with the NDP... who would give them whatever they want.   They and their direct families count for at least 50% of the NDP vote.... about 20% of the BC vote.    The rest of the solid NDP vote is the beneficiaries of the welfare state, about 100,000 in BC

The  100,000 First nations voters  account for  another 5 %   

The people that won't vote for Clark   8% Environment  20% union  5% social assistance, 5 % First nations= 38%

Clark potential voter pool 62%  ...  the behavior of the anti-Clark voter is so abhorrent that it drives the votes to Clark..... all but the youth/students :indoctrinated by the education system until they have to pay taxes.