Umm, this data shows that - should trends continue through the final 3.5 months of the year - South Addition and North Star combined will see a 38% increase in property theft this year over last year.  That asterisk next to 2016 matters greatly... the charts above are comparing 8.5 months of data to 12 months of data.

If APD is representing this data as showing a 'flat' trend, they either don't understand how numbers work, or they are intentionally misusing data.  I'm not sure which I'd prefer?