In general, safeguards are temporary import restrictions that provide an opportunity for domestic industries to adjust to increasing imports. Both the WTO Agreement on Safeguards and article XIX of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade establish general rules for the application of safeguard measures. Safeguard actions taken under the WTO usually apply to all imports of a product irrespective of source. Other multilateral and bilateral trade agreements also contain safeguard provisions. China's WTO accession agreement is an example of such an agreement. Its provisions contain a transitional product-specific safeguard that permits WTO members, including the United States, to take measures to address disruptive import surges from China alone. Under the terms of China's WTO accession agreement, members may use the China safeguard until 2013. In addition to the China safeguard, three other safeguards have been applied to imports from that country in the United States. First, a communist country safeguard applied to China prior to its WTO accession and still applies to import surges from other communist countries that are not WTO members. Second, Chinese imports are subject to a U.S. global safeguard that applies to all WTO members. Third, a textile safeguard provided for in China's WTO accession agreement covers textile and apparel imports from China. In the United States, the China safeguard is implemented under section 421 of the Trade Act of 1974, as amended, which Congress enacted as part of the legislation authorizing the President to grant China permanent normal trade relations status. Under section 421, U.S. firms may petition the government to apply a China safeguard. The section establishes a three-step process to consider China safeguard petitions. This three-step process involves ITC, USTR, and the President, and it results in determinations about whether import surges from China have caused market disruption and whether a remedy is in the national economic interest or, in extraordinary circumstances, would cause serious harm to national security. The entire process takes approximately 150 days (see fig. 1). The China safeguard was modeled on the communist country safeguard, which applied to China before it became a WTO member. ITC determination: ITC informs both the President and USTR of its determination. If affirmative, USTR requests consultations with the Chinese within 5 days. U.S. producers and certain other entities may file petitions to initiate China safeguard investigations with ITC. These include trade associations, firms, certified or recognized unions, or groups of workers that represent an industry. The President, USTR, the Senate Committee on Finance, and the House of Representatives' Committee on Ways and Means can also request investigations. The petition must include certain information supporting a claim that imports from China are causing market disruption to an industry. Petitions must include, among other things, the following: product description, import data, domestic production data, and data showing injury. Petitions must also include information on all known producers in China and the type of import relief sought. ITC determines whether imports from China are causing market disruption to U.S. producers and, if so, recommends a remedy to address it. Upon receiving a petition, ITC initiates an investigation by publishing a notice in the Federal Register and holding public hearings to afford interested parties the opportunity to present information. ITC receives information on both market disruption and potential remedies from parties through written submission and oral testimony. ITC has 60 days to determine whether the imports from China are causing-or threatening to cause-market disruption to domestic producers. More specifically, ITC must determine whether imports from China are entering the United States in "such increased quantities or under such conditions as to cause or threaten to cause market disruption" to domestic producers. According to section 421, to determine that market disruption exists ITC must make the following three findings: Imports of the subject product from China are increasing rapidly, either absolutely or relatively. The domestic industry is materially injured or threatened with material injury. Such rapidly increasing imports are a significant cause of the material injury or threat of material injury. If a majority of ITC commissioners determine that market disruption does not exist, the case ends. After an affirmative determination, ITC must propose a remedy. This could include the imposition of a duty, or an additional duty, or another import restriction (such as a quota) necessary to prevent or remedy the market disruption. Within 20 days after making a determination of market disruption, ITC must transmit a report to the President and USTR. The ITC report must include the determination, the reasons for it, recommendations of proposed remedies, and any dissenting or separate views of commissioners. The report must also describe the short- and long-term effects that recommended remedies are likely to have on the petitioning domestic industry, other domestic industries, and consumers. In addition, the report must describe the short- and long-term effects of not taking the recommended action on the petitioning domestic industry, its workers, the communities where production facilities of the industry are located, and on other domestic industries. If ITC renders an affirmative determination, USTR undertakes two parallel efforts. First, USTR consults with China about ITC's finding and seeks to reach an agreement that would prevent or remedy the market disruption. If the U.S. and Chinese governments do not reach agreement after 60 days (or if the President determines that an agreement reached is not addressing the market disruption), the United States may then apply a safeguard. Concurrently, USTR obtains and evaluates information from interested parties on the appropriateness of ITC's or any other proposed remedy and makes a recommendation to the President. Within 20 days after receiving the ITC report, USTR issues a Federal Register notice to solicit comments from the public (e.g., importers and consumers). USTR must hold a public hearing if requested to do so. USTR evaluates the information it receives and consults with the other agencies of the Trade Policy Staff Committee (TPSC). Within 55 days after receiving the ITC report, USTR must make a recommendation to the President about what action, if any, to take to prevent or remedy market disruption. Under section 421 the President makes the final decision on the provision of import relief. Within 15 days after receiving a USTR recommendation, the President must decide whether and to what extent to provide relief. Section 421 states: "the President shall provide import relief... unless the President determines that provision of such relief is not in the national economic interest of the United States or, in extraordinary cases, that the taking of action... would cause serious harm to the national security of the United States." Although the law does not define "national economic interest," it further states that the President may determine "that providing import relief is not in the national economic interest of the United States only if finds that the taking of such action would have an adverse impact on the United States economy clearly greater than the benefits of such action." Finally, section 421 requires the President to publish his decision and the reasons for it in the Federal Register. The China safeguard was modeled on the communist country safeguard. In fact, according to its legislative history, it was intended to replace the communist country safeguard for China since it would no longer apply once China became a member of the WTO. As shown in table 1 below, the safeguards share several important characteristics. Both safeguards are limited in scope to imports from particular countries; while the former is limited to imports from China, the latter is limited to imports from one or more communist countries. They also share similar criteria with regard to ITC market disruption determinations and identify the President as final decision maker on whether to provide relief. In addition, both safeguards have a 150-day determination period. In contrast, the China safeguard is significantly different from the global safeguard. The China safeguard is narrower in scope than the global safeguard; it can only be applied to imports from that one country, whereas the global safeguard generally must be applied to all foreign sources of a particular product. Also, the China safeguard's market disruption standard is regarded to be easier to meet than the criteria for determining injury due to imports under the global safeguard. Furthermore, the standard for presidential action is also different under the global safeguard as it places more emphasis on assisting the domestic industries' efforts to adjust to international competition (including worker adjustments), and sets forth a broader range of factors for the President to consider in determining whether to provide relief. Finally, the time frame for the China safeguard process is shorter than the global safeguard. Between August 2002 and September 2005, the United States considered five petitions from domestic producers to apply the China safeguard but it has not provided relief. ITC made negative determinations on two petitions and, in three other cases, found market disruption and recommended restricting imports to remedy the situation, ITC is expected to make a determination in a sixth case in early October 2005. In each of the three cases where ITC found market disruption, USTR formulated a presidential recommendation after evaluating various options. The President then decided not to provide any import relief. The success rate for China safeguard petitions is similar to communist country safeguard petitions, but differs from that of global safeguard petitions. U.S. firms have filed six petitions for China safeguard relief since section 421 was enacted (see fig. 2). The petitioners representing the domestic industry ranged from one firm in two cases to seven firms and a union in the most recent petition. The products involved are the following: pedestal actuators (for raising and lowering seats in mobility scooters), certain steel wire garment hangers, brake drums and rotors, ductile iron waterworks fittings (for municipal water systems), uncovered innersprings used in mattresses, and circular welded nonalloy steel pipes. ITC made negative determinations in two of five completed China safeguard cases. In cases brought by manufacturers of brake drums and rotors and mattress innersprings, ITC determined that Chinese imports had not disrupted the domestic market. More specifically, in the brake drums and rotors case, ITC found that although imports from China were increasing rapidly, the domestic industry was neither materially injured nor threatened with material injury. In the mattress innerspring case, ITC was divided on the reasons for making a negative determination. Three of the commissioners determined that imports from China were not increasing rapidly. The other three commissioners determined that the domestic industry was not materially injured or threatened with material injury. In both cases, ITC cited the industries' healthy profit margins and stable or rising prices as evidence that neither industry was materially injured or threatened with material injury. In the remaining three cases (pedestal actuators, wire hangers, and waterworks fittings), ITC found market disruption and recommended measures to remedy it. In all three cases, ITC cited factors such as falling production and employment in its determinations that the industry was materially injured. Furthermore, ITC noted declines in the industries' health that coincided with a surge in Chinese imports when they determined that rapidly increasing imports from China were a significant cause of material injury. In other words, Chinese imports caused market disruption to the domestic industry. In deciding which import restriction to recommend, ITC considered the conditions of competition in the domestic industry (e.g., demand conditions, and import and domestic supply conditions), as well as comments received from parties in the cases. ITC recommended different import restrictions to remedy the market disruption it found in each case. For example, as noted in table 2 below, ITC found that a 3-year, declining tariff on wire hangers from China was the most appropriate remedy in that case. In contrast, ITC recommended a 3-year quota in the pedestal actuator case because there was only one supplier and one primary purchaser of pedestal actuators, and the domestic-imported price differential was large. In addition, the ITC also proposed that the President direct the Departments of Commerce and Labor to provide expedited consideration of trade adjustment assistance applications for workers in the wire hangers and waterworks fittings industries. USTR consulted with the Chinese government, solicited and obtained comments from a variety of sources, and analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of the ITC remedies and other options in formulating its recommendations to the President. After receiving each of the three affirmative market disruption determinations from ITC, USTR requested consultations with the Chinese government. USTR notified the WTO Committee on Safeguards of the consultation requests. Representatives of the two governments met but did not reach any agreements to address the market disruption found by ITC, according to USTR officials. During the 60-day consultation period, USTR continued to gather information from interested parties about any potential remedies. USTR, in conjunction with other agencies on the TPSC, held a 1-day public hearing for each of the cases and obtained views on what, if any, type of import restriction was in the public interest. The parties also had the opportunity to provide written comments. In addition to the ITC- recommended remedies, USTR sought comment on alternate remedies and on not providing relief. The hearings included both the domestic petitioners and Chinese respondents, as well as other interested parties such as importers and downstream users. For example, the wire hanger hearing included testimony from a hanger distributor. In the pedestal actuator and wire hanger cases, a representative from the Chinese government testified that applying the safeguard would damage U.S.-China bilateral economic relations, in addition to raising procedural and substantive concerns. USTR officials said that certain information relevant to the effectiveness of potential remedies surfaced at these hearings, that did not surface in the ITC proceedings. After the hearings, the USTR staff weighed the pros and cons of the various courses of action. USTR considered ITC's analysis, as well as the testimony and written submissions provided by interested parties, and sought comments from other TPSC members. According to detailed briefings from USTR officials, in each case USTR considered the ITC- recommended remedy among other remedies presented, as well as the option of having no remedy. USTR staff worked with the U.S. Trade Representative throughout the proceedings. USTR staff then drafted a recommendation in a memorandum to the U.S. Trade Representative, who assessed the various options. The Trade Representative then made a recommendation in a memorandum to the President. The President declined to provide relief in all three cases. He found that imposing remedies such as duties and quotas would not be in the national economic interest. The President's reasons for not providing relief were printed in the Federal Register and are summarized in table 3. The President's decisions did not cite national security concerns as a reason in any of the three cases. The final outcomes of China safeguard cases are similar to those of communist country safeguard cases but different than global safeguard cases. As shown in table 4, domestic industries have sought relief under the China and communist country safeguards far less frequently than they have sought relief under the global safeguard. Overall, petitioners have been denied relief in almost all China and communist country safeguard cases but have been granted import relief in about one quarter of global safeguard cases. Of those cases where ITC found the industry was injured by imports, the President denied relief in all but one of the China and communist country safeguard cases. Conversely, the President granted relief in about half of the global safeguard cases where the ITC found injury. Moreover, since Congress amended the global safeguard's standard for presidential action in the 1988 Trade Act, the President has always provided relief when ITC found injury. The President's decisions not to impose relief in the three China safeguard cases in which ITC found market disruption have been criticized. Nevertheless, the President has broad discretionary authority under section 421 to consider U.S. national economic and security interests when weighing the facts and circumstances particular to each case. This broad discretion was upheld by the U.S. Court of International Trade. This, together with the fact that the President considers factors that ITC does not, including consumer cost and the potential for imports from other countries, allows him to reject relief even when it has been recommended by ITC. Several different groups have criticized the President's decisions not to apply China safeguard relief. For example, company officials and trade lawyers who were unsuccessful in obtaining relief criticized the President's decisions in several congressional hearings. As we discuss later, one company subsequently filed a lawsuit against the President claiming he exceeded his authority in rejecting ITC's recommended remedy. The bill establishes clear standards for the application of Presidential discretion in providing relief to injured industries and workers. If the ITC makes an affirmative determination on market disruption, there would be a presumption in favor of providing relief. That presumption can be overcome only if the President finds that providing relief would have an adverse impact on the United States economy clearly greater than the benefits of such action, or, in extraordinary cases, that such action would cause serious harm to the national security of the United States. This legislative history, together with the China safeguard's shorter time frames and lesser injury standard, and other procedural characteristics, may have created an expectation that the likelihood for relief under the China safeguard was going to be greater compared with the global safeguard. Similarly, the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, a body established by Congress to monitor and investigate the security and economic implications of the bilateral economic relationship between the United States and China, held hearings and criticized the administration for failing to apply the safeguard after an affirmative ITC injury determination. In March 2005, this commission recommended that Congress consider amending the China safeguard to either eliminate the President's discretion or limit it to the consideration of noneconomic national security factors after an affirmative ITC finding. In addition, the lack of any positive decisions by the President in these cases may have discouraged other U.S. producers from seeking relief under the China safeguard. Several trade lawyers representing domestic U.S. producers with whom we spoke told us about their reluctance to bring additional China safeguard cases in the future because they thought that the President would reject them based on political considerations. The U.S.-China Economic Security Review Commission expressed similar concern that repeated presidential refusal to apply the safeguard had undermined the instrument's efficacy. Indeed, until August 2005, when producers filed a petition on steel pipe, no China safeguard petition had been filed since March 2004, when the President rejected an ITC recommendation to provide relief from imports of Chinese ductile iron waterworks fittings. Despite criticisms, the President's discretion under the China safeguard is quite broad. The President must provide relief unless he finds that it is not in the national economic or security interest. With regard to the former, the President is authorized to deny relief when he finds that the relief would have an adverse impact on the United States economy clearly greater than the benefits. In June 2004, the U.S. Court of International Trade affirmed the President's broad discretionary authority in a case brought by the petitioner in the first China product safeguard case. In that case, Motion Systems Corp. contended that the President had exceeded his authority under section 421 by not providing relief. In particular, Motion Systems argued that the President was required to quantify the adverse impact of providing relief and demonstrate that the adverse impact was clearly greater than the benefits that the relief would provide to the domestic industry. In this regard, Motion Systems maintained that section 421 created a presumption of relief once ITC made an affirmative determination of market disruption. In affirming the President's decision, the Court held that the President had not exceeded his authority and said the law granted him "considerable discretion." The Court found that section 421 made no reference to evidence or a burden of proof that the President must satisfy to support his conclusion that the imposition of a safeguard would have an adverse impact on the U.S. economy clearly greater than its benefits. The Court also noted that the President was not prohibited from considering political factors in making a finding about the adverse impact on the U.S. economy, including trade relations between the United States and China. Finally, the Court did not specifically comment on the presumption of relief issue. While ITC makes remedy recommendations that would alleviate market disruption, the President considers a broader range of factors than ITC in determining whether to apply China safeguard relief. Specifically, under section 421, ITC focuses on the domestic industry involved in the proceeding, both in the context of making injury determinations and recommendations for relief. For example, among the factors ITC considered in determining material injury were the idling of U.S. production facilities and the ability of firms within the industry to produce at reasonable profit, wage, and employment levels. Thus, ITC did not weigh the interests of other groups such as consumers and downstream industries against potential benefits to the domestic industry when developing its recommendations for the President to consider. Nevertheless, ITC reports on the potential economic effect of its recommended remedies, as described earlier. However, section 421, does not require ITC to consider these broad economic effects when developing its recommendations. In contrast, as discussed above, section 421 authorizes the President to consider overall U.S. economic and security interests in deciding whether to impose China safeguard relief. In each of the three cases where ITC found injury and recommended a remedy, the President found, among other things, that relief would have an adverse impact on other participants in the economy. The President determined that relief would carry substantial costs for consumers or downstream users of the products involved. Specifically, the President cited the increased costs to aged and disabled consumers of mobility scooters as a reason for not providing relief in the pedestal actuator case. In the wire hangers case, the President stated that relief would have an uneven impact on wire hanger distributors and impose increased costs on dry cleaning companies. Finally, in the waterworks fittings case, the President found that the costs to consumers would substantially outweigh producer income benefits. The President's decisions also took into account the unique facts and circumstances in each case. For example, in the pedestal actuator case there was only one petitioner seeking relief and one dominant purchaser. In the wire hanger case, domestic producers had different business models that affected whether a remedy would benefit or disadvantage them. In addition, the U.S. Trade Representative noted in a March 2004 congressional hearing that, while not necessary to the President's decision, in the waterworks fittings case the petitioner faced serious problems besides competing Chinese imports. Although the President did not provide import relief in these cases, he stated that he remains committed to applying the China safeguard when circumstances warrant. The President has considered whether relief would benefit the producers involved in every case. In his decisions denying relief the President stated that imposing a safeguard would have limited benefits. One factor that the President has cited in all three cases is that applying a safeguard would lead to production being shifted from China to other countries rather than to U.S. producers. In the waterworks fittings case, the President specifically identified other current suppliers to the U.S. market such as India, Brazil, Korea, and Mexico. Similarly, in all but one communist country safeguard determinations, the President found, among other things, that providing relief would have resulted in imports shifting from the communist country involved to other offshore sources. With only one exception, the President has never approved a remedy under the communist country safeguard. In contrast, under the global safeguard, imports from other countries generally cannot diminish the potential benefits of import relief. Since the global safeguard statute was enacted in 1974, the President applied relief in approximately half of the cases in which ITC has made a positive injury determination. Moreover, since it was substantially amended in 1988, the President has provided relief in every such global safeguard case. It is not possible to identify all the factors that contribute to such opposite results among the different safeguards. However, one consistent factor has been that the China and communist country safeguards, respectively, are limited in scope to products from one or a few countries; this allows other foreign sources to gain market share of the product and reduce the potential benefit of the safeguard to the domestic producers. We provided ITC and USTR a draft of this report for their review and comment. Both agencies chose to provide technical comments from their staff. USTR staff cautioned against drawing overall conclusions about the use of the China safeguard given the small number of cases considered thus far. Additionally, both USTR and ITC staff suggested we clarify our characterizations of section 421's legislative history and of the Motion Systems Corp. v. Bush lawsuit. We modified the report in response to their suggestions. USTR and ITC also provided other suggestions to make the report more accurate and clear, which we incorporated as appropriate. We are sending copies of this report to ITC and USTR, appropriate congressional committees, and other interested parties. We will also make copies available to others upon request. In addition, the report will be available at no charge on the GAO Web site at http://www.gao.gov. If you or any of your staff have any questions about this report, please contact me at (202) 512-4347 or yagerl@gao.gov. Contact points for our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on the last page of this report. GAO staff who made major contributions to this report are listed in appendix II. To address our objectives, we reviewed U.S. laws and procedures as well as relevant World Trade Organization (WTO) agreements and China's accession agreement. To ensure our understanding of relevant laws, procedures, and agreements, we spoke with officials from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) and the International Trade Commission (ITC). In addition, we interviewed officials from the WTO and officials from the government of China. Finally, we spoke with law firms that had direct experience in China safeguard cases, as well as law firms with broad experience in trade actions against China. To describe how the safeguard has been applied thus far, we examined each phase of the process. For the ITC phase, we reviewed and analyzed each of the determinations the ITC commissioners issued during the five China safeguard injury investigations completed as of July 31, 2005, to understand the rationale behind them. We further obtained private sector views of the ITC process by speaking with law firms that had represented petitioners and/or respondents in each of the five China safeguard injury investigations. For the USTR phase of the process, we spoke with law firms that had represented petitioners and/or respondents that participated in each of the three China safeguard remedy investigations and reviewed the transcripts of all three USTR hearings. USTR neither made the documents related to their analyses nor their recommendations available to us. Instead, we relied on detailed briefings from USTR officials on the nature and substance of their deliberations culminating in a recommendation to the President. For the presidential phase of the process, we reviewed each of the President's three determinations made under the China safeguard. To compare the use of the China safeguard with the communist country and global safeguards, we reviewed ITC import injury investigation statistics and presidential determinations in the China, communist country, and global safeguard cases. We found the ITC injury statistics to be sufficiently reliable for presenting and contrasting ITC's final disposition of cases brought under these statutes. To examine the issues related to the application of presidential discretion, we analyzed the reasons the President gave in his decisions not to provide import relief. Additionally, we reviewed the legislative history of the China safeguard and written and oral testimony before Congress and the U.S.- China Economic and Security Review Commission. We reviewed the Court of International Trade's decision in the Motion Systems case against the government and the submissions of parties to the case. Finally, we analyzed the presidential determinations made under the communist country and global safeguards. In addition to the individual named above, Adam R. Cowles, R. Gifford Howland, Michael McAtee, and Richard Seldin made significant contributions to this report.

Summary:
In joining the World Trade Organization (WTO) in December 2001, China agreed to a number of mechanisms to allow other WTO members to address disruptive import surges from that country. Among these was a transitional product-specific safeguard. In general, safeguards are temporary import restrictions of limited duration that provide an opportunity for domestic industries to adjust to increasing imports. U.S. law includes a number of other safeguards including a communist country safeguard, known as "section 406," and a global safeguard, known as "section 201," which have both applied to China. In light of increased concern about Chinese trade practices and the U.S. government response to them, the conference report on fiscal year 2004 appropriations requested that GAO review the efforts of U.S. government agencies responsible for ensuring free and fair trade with that country. In this report, which is one of a series, GAO (1) describes the China safeguard, (2) describes how it has been used thus far, and (3) examines issues related to the President's discretion to apply the safeguard. Other safeguards provide context to understand this mechanism. We provided ITC and USTR a draft of this report for their review and comment. Both agencies chose to provide technical comments from their staff. We incorporated their suggestions as appropriate. The China safeguard permits WTO members, including the United States, to address disruptive import surges from China. In the United States, the China safeguard is implemented under section 421 of the Trade Act of 1974, which allows U.S. firms to petition for relief and establishes a three-step process. This process involves the International Trade Commission (ITC), Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), and the President and determines whether Chinese imports are causing market disruption to domestic producers and whether a remedy is in the national economic interest. The entire process takes about 150 days. Under the terms of China's WTO accession agreement, WTO members may use the China safeguard until 2013. To date, the United States has not applied the China safeguard in five cases brought by domestic producers. In a sixth case, ITC has not yet reached a decision. In two cases, ITC found no market disruption. In three cases, ITC found market disruption and USTR evaluated the pros and cons of various options and made a recommendation to the President. In all three cases, the President declined to provide relief to the domestic industry after he found it would not be in the national economic interest because the costs would outweigh the benefits. The success rate for China safeguard petitions is similar to communist country safeguard petitions, but differs from that of global safeguard petitions. The President's decisions not to provide import relief after ITC found market disruption generated controversy, including a lawsuit claiming that he exceeded his authority. The relevant House committee intended that the law create a presumption in favor of relief upon an ITC injury finding. Nonetheless, the U.S. Court of International Trade found the President has broad discretion not to apply a China safeguard. Moreover, the President considers the question of whether to provide relief from a broader perspective than ITC. The President weighs the benefits of relief against the costs and considers factors such as the effect on consumers and downstream users, which ITC does not. The President cited third-country imports in all his decisions denying relief under both the Chinese and communist country safeguards. Under the global safeguard, third-country imports generally cannot diminish the potential benefits of import relief to the domestic industry and the President has often provided relief, especially since 1988 when U.S. trade laws were revised.