Since the late 1950s, the birth rate of women aged 15 to 19 has decreased by about 41 percent overall. (One substantial increase started around the mid-1980s, then reversed itself in the early 1990s). The overall decrease in the teen birth rate parallels the overall decline in the U.S. birth rate as a whole, which has fallen 47 percent over the same time period. In contrast, the proportion of teen births outside of marriage has steadily increased over the same period (1957-95) from 14 percent to 78 percent of all teen births. (See fig. 1.) In 1995, the most recent year for which final data are available, the annual birth rate for women aged 15 through 19 was approximately 57 per thousand, compared with 96 per thousand in 1957 when the rate was at its peak. (See fig. 1.) There was a similar decline in the birth rate for all women over the same time period. The rate fell from 123 per thousand to 66 per thousand for women aged 15 through 44, a decline of 47 percent. While the overall trend in the teen birth rate has been downward, fluctuations have occurred. The most dramatic increase began in 1986 after the teen birth rate had reached 50 per thousand, the lowest point in 40 years. Between 1986 and 1991, the rate increased by 24 percent before starting to decline again. The percentage of births to unmarried teen women has increased substantially over the past several decades. In 1995, 78 percent of teen births were to unmarried women, compared with about 14 percent in 1957. This trend parallels a rise in births outside of marriage for the general population of women. Births to unmarried women of all ages had risen to 32 percent of the total in 1995 from about 5 percent in 1957. Teen birth rates in 1995 varied considerably by race, age, and geography. Rates for black and Hispanic teens were more than double those of white teens, and older teens constituted nearly two-thirds of teens who gave birth in 1995. Higher rates of teen births were found in the southern and southwestern states. In 1995, birth rates for Hispanic and black teens were 107 and 99 per thousand, respectively--more than twice the rate for white teens at 39 per thousand. Black and Hispanic women were also more likely to begin their families at younger ages. Compared with white teens, they were twice as likely to give birth by age 20. In 1995, the birth rates for teen women aged 18 to 19 were more than double the rates for those aged 15 to 17, regardless of race. (See table 1.) A similar pattern is evident among unmarried teens, where older teens had birth rates about double those of younger teenage women. In 1995, teen birth rates were the lowest in the northern states and highest in the South and the Southwest. (See fig. 2.) The states with the lowest rates had 45 or fewer births per thousand teen women while the states with the highest rates had 66 or more births per thousand. The 12 highest rates, which are concentrated in the southern and southwestern states, are 1.5 times the lowest rates in the northern states. A recent analysis of these patterns shows that teen birth-rate variations by geographic area correspond to the racial and ethnic distributions in the United States--higher numbers of blacks and Hispanics live in southern and southwestern states. A comparison of 1990 urban and rural teen birth rates for eight southeastern states shows that rural teen birth rates were higher than urban rates in three of four race and age categories. Among white women aged 15 to 17 and 18 to 19 and black women aged 18 to 19, those who lived in rural areas had higher birth rates than those who lived in urban areas. Only black women aged 15 through 17 had higher rates in urban areas. The study links the higher rural birth rates to a relatively lower use of abortion in rural areas. This profile provides descriptive characteristics of teen mothers who gave birth in the 1990s. Of teens who gave birth in 1995, almost half were white and most were age 18 or 19 and unmarried. About two-thirds of teen births were the result of an unintended pregnancy, and many births (21 percent) were a second or later child. About two-thirds of teen mothers graduated from high school; however, teen mothers graduated at substantially lower rates than teen women without children. (See table 2.) Furthermore, teen mothers reported drug use in the past month that was similar to that of other women their age. Also, 28 percent of white teen mothers reported smoking tobacco during their pregnancy, compared with 5 percent of black and Hispanic mothers. Almost half of the 512,000 births in 1995 (233,000) were to white teen mothers. The remainder included an almost even distribution of births between blacks (137,000) and Hispanics (122,000). (See fig. 3.) Births to teen mothers were predominantly to older teens. In 1995, about 60 percent of all children born to teens--married and unmarried--were born to 18-and 19-year-olds. Of the remaining 40 percent born to younger teenage women, most were born to women aged 15 to 17, with just slightly more than 12,000 born to women under age 15. (See table 2 and fig. 4.) About three-fourths of all teenage women who gave birth were unmarried at the time of the birth. Black teen mothers were predominantly unmarried (95 percent), while 68 percent of white and 68 percent of Hispanic teen mothers were unmarried at the time of the birth. In 1995, more than one-fifth of all teen births in the United States were to teenage women who had already given birth to at least one child. (See table 2.) The highest proportions of second or later births were among 18- and 19-year-olds. In this age group, 36 percent of black teen births, 30 percent of Hispanic teen births, and 21 percent of white teen births were a second or later child. The chance of the birth being a second or later birth was similar for all teens, regardless of race, age, or marital status. (See table 3.) A high percentage of births to teens in the United States result from unintended pregnancies. Between 1990 and 1995, 65 percent of births to teenage mothers were reported as unintended, whereas about one-third of all U.S. births were reported as unintended in that period. From 1990 to 1995, about 75 percent of births to black teen mothers, 67 percent to white teen mothers, and 46 percent to Hispanic teen mothers were reported as unintended. (See table 2 and fig. 5.) Generally, women who give birth in their teens have substantially lower high school graduation rates than those who do not. A recent education study shows that about 64 percent of teen mothers graduated from high school or earned a general equivalency diploma within 2 years after the time they would have graduated, compared with about 94 percent of teenage women who did not give birth. An older study similarly found that less than 60 percent of teen mothers graduated from high school by age 25, compared with 90 percent of women who did not have a child in their teens. Also, high school completion rates among teen mothers vary considerably by race. Black teen mothers--in both a 1990s study and a 1970s study--had the highest high school completion rates compared with whites and Hispanics. Research shows that a large percentage of teenage mothers eventually become welfare recipients. Data from a 1990 Congressional Budget Office report show that almost half of all teen mothers and three-quarters of unmarried teen mothers received AFDC within 5 years of giving birth. By contrast, only about one-quarter of married teen mothers received AFDC during the same time period. In our 1994 report, we similarly found that women who gave birth as teenagers made up nearly half of the unmarried AFDC caseload. Also, survey data from 1995 show that 69 percent of births to teens in a 5-year period were paid for by Medicaid or other government sources. Substance use among teen mothers is comparable to that for other women their age. In a national survey, about one-sixth of teen mothers aged 15 to 19 reported any illicit drug use in the past month, while about one-third reported alcohol and one-third cigarette use during that time. Similar percentages of women without children in those age groups reported using those substances in the past month. Smoking during the pregnancy, by contrast, appears lower for teens than for their peers with children. Compared with the one-third of teen mothers aged 15 to 17 who smoke, about 17 percent of mothers that age who gave birth in 1995 reported smoking while they were pregnant. However, smoking cigarettes during pregnancy varied by race or ethnicity; about 28 percent of white teen mothers reported smoking during pregnancy, compared with about 5 percent of black or Hispanic teenage mothers. Certain social factors, such as the teen's level of school involvement or family background and income, appear to influence the likelihood that a woman will give birth in her teenage years. Generally, lower school involvement, unstable family structure, and declining family income are associated with an increased likelihood of teen births. According to one study, teens who experienced multiple risk factors such as early school failure, poverty, or family dysfunction were more likely to become teenage mothers. Beyond a few factors, which had similar effects across the groups studied, the impact of other social factors on the likelihood of teen births varied by racial or ethnic group. Family instability, such as divorce and remarriage; declining family income, such as with job loss; and lower standardized test scores were associated with an increased likelihood of a teen birth, while family stability, increasing family income, and higher standardized test scores were associated with a reduced likelihood of birth for each group studied. Staying in school and living in two-parent families were associated with a lower risk of birth for white and Hispanic teens but had no effect for black teens. Socioeconomic status (SES) also had a mixed effect across racial groups. Lower SES was associated with an increased likelihood of a teen birth for Hispanic teens, a decreased likelihood for black teens, and had no effect on white teens. Higher SES had the opposite effect. Living in female-headed single-parent families was associated with an increased likelihood of a birth for black teens but had no effect for white teens. And only white teens were more likely to become teen mothers if their mothers had also been teen mothers. (See fig. 6.) Research indicates a link between school involvement and teen births. A national study of girls who were eighth-graders in 1988, found several measures of school involvement, including dropping out, were associated with a greater risk of a subsequent teen birth. However, only one measure--lower standardized test scores--was consistently associated with an increased risk of a teen birth in all racial and ethnic groups. Other measures, such as lower grades or limited postsecondary education plans, were associated with an increased likelihood of a teenaged birth for one or more races but not for all. For example, lower grades in school were associated with an increased likelihood of a school-aged pregnancy leading to a birth for white and black teens. (See fig. 6.) Teenage women who dropped out of school were more likely than those who stayed in school to become pregnant and give birth in their teens. However, an association between dropping out of school and teen pregnancy was observed only among whites and Hispanics. After controlling for family background and measures of school involvement and performance, white and Hispanic teens who dropped out of school were about 1.5 times more likely to become a teenage mother than white and Hispanic teens who stayed in school. For black teens, drop-out status had no effect on teen pregnancy. Moreover, of school-age teens who gave birth, more than one quarter (28 percent) dropped out of school prior to pregnancy; an additional 30 percent dropped out after the pregnancy or birth of a child, and 42 percent stayed in school. These findings are consistent with those of a study of teen experiences in the 1970s and early 1980s. Limited postsecondary education plans were associated with a greater likelihood of a school-aged birth for black and Hispanic teens. Descriptive studies have generally found a lower risk of teen birth in two-parent families than with other family types. A study of the effects of changes in family structure--such as divorce, appearance of a stepparent, going to live with grandparents or in an institution--on teen women found that the greater the number of such changes, the greater the probability of an early teen birth, regardless of family income. (See fig. 6.) The impact of family structure or family instability, however, varied by race or ethnicity. For example, one study found that being born into and reared through early childhood in a single-parent family headed by a woman was associated with higher likelihood of a birth for black teens but not for white teens. Another recent study found that living in a two-parent "intact" family during the eighth grade was associated with less risk of birth for white and Hispanic teens--but not for black teens. (See fig. 6.) Another factor associated with teen births only among white teens was having a parent who was also a teenage mother. Some descriptive research suggests that teens from lower income families have a greater likelihood of a having a teen birth than teens from higher-income families. However, recent multivariate analysis shows that the effect of SES on teen births varies by race and ethnicity. For example, a descriptive analysis of 1988 eighth-graders found that less than 7 percent of those from families with high incomes had had a child by the age of 20, compared with about 37 percent of teenage women from low-income families. However, after controlling for a number of family background characteristics, lower SES was associated with an increased risk of teen pregnancy for Hispanics, lower risk for blacks, but had no effect for whites. (See fig. 6.) Higher SES had the opposite effect for Hispanics and blacks. An analysis of earlier data (1970s and early 1980s), which also controlled for a number of family background characteristics, found a relationship between a decline in family income and the risk of teen births. For example, job loss or other types of income losses were associated with a higher likelihood of a birth among black and white teens. (See fig. 6.) External experts on the data presented reviewed a draft of this report. We included their comments where appropriate. As agreed with your office, unless you publicly announce its contents earlier, we will make no further distribution of this report until 30 days from its issue date. At that time we will send copies to the Secretary of Health and Human Services and other interested parties. We will also make copies available to others upon request. Major contributors were James O. McClyde, Assistant Director, and Barbara Chapman, Evaluator-in-Charge. Please contact me on (202) 512-7119 if you or your staff have any questions about this report. We used studies based primarily on nationally representative data sources to profile mothers who gave birth before age 20. We relied primarily on two types of data sources: national birth certificate information and the most current analyses and data tables from longitudinal surveys and other recent surveys. The national birth certificate data--collected by states and then transmitted to the National Center for Health Statistics for processing and publication--provides comprehensive information on U.S. birth rates over time. Much of the information in this report--including birth rates and trends, marital status, first or later birth, and tobacco use during pregnancy--was derived or calculated from the published 1995 natality statistics. For example, we calculated the percentage of teen births that were second or later births by racial and ethnic group. We requested that Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) do a special analysis of data from the National Household Survey on Drug Abuse (NHSDA) 1994-96 in order to compare the drug use of teen mothers with that of teen women without children. To further develop a profile and identify factors associated with teen motherhood, we reviewed studies of nationally representative databases that link information regarding a teen birth to a mother's education and family background. Specifically, we used the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) launched in 1979, which surveyed a sample of 14- to 21-year-olds and reinterviewed them annually. A more recent survey, the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988 (NELS:88), followed a nationally representative sample of eighth graders to 1994. We used data from this more recent cohort, particularly in the discussion of education-related issues. We obtained additional information from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG), conducted in 1995, as well as several of the NHSDAs done in the 1990s and studies that used them. (See table I.1.) Limitations and lack of comparability among the various data sources restricted our ability to make comparisons or report by race and marital status in some cases. Because information was more readily available on teen mothers as a whole, and three-quarters of teen births in 1995 were to unmarried teens, we often present data on all teen mothers in lieu of specific information on unmarried teen mothers. With few exceptions, the information we present represents the experiences of U.S. teen women in the 1990s. The first copy of each GAO report and testimony is free. Additional copies are $2 each. Orders should be sent to the following address, accompanied by a check or money order made out to the Superintendent of Documents, when necessary. VISA and MasterCard credit cards are accepted, also. Orders for 100 or more copies to be mailed to a single address are discounted 25 percent. U.S. General Accounting Office P.O. Box 37050 Washington, DC 20013 Room 1100 700 4th St. NW (corner of 4th and G Sts. 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Summary:
Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided social and demographic information about teen mothers, focusing on: (1) trends in birth rates for teens; (2) a profile of teen mothers; and (3) factors, such as education or family background, that may influence the likelihood of teen motherhood. GAO noted that: (1) although the birth rate for teenage women decreased 41 percent from the late 1950s to 1995--paralleling the decline in the U.S. birth rate--the number of babies born to teenagers is still high; (2) births to unmarried teenage mothers, however, more than quintupled as a proportion of total teen births over the same period; (3) as of 1995, the teen birth rate was about 57 per thousand; however, rates varied considerably by subgroup; (4) the birth rates for black and Hispanic teenage women are more than twice those for white teens; (5) in 1995, nearly half of teen mothers were white and most were aged 18 to 19 and unmarried; (6) about two-thirds of recent teen mothers did not intend to get pregnant or have a child; however, about one-fifth of women who gave birth already had one child; (7) teenage mothers also graduate from high school at lower rates than all teen women; (8) 64 percent of teen mothers complete high school, compared with about 90 percent of all teen women; (9) research studies that have examined the antecedents of teen motherhood have shown that limited involvement in school and some family background characteristics--such as family instability and declines in family income--are associated with increased likelihood of teen motherhood; and (10) the effect of most factors varies among racial and ethnic groups.