SSA administers two of the largest disability programs: the Disability Insurance (DI) program, enacted in 1956, and the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program, enacted in 1972. In order to be eligible for DI or SSI benefits based on a disability, an individual must meet the definition of disability for these programs--that is, they must have a medically determinable physical or mental impairment that (1) prevents the individual from engaging in any substantial gainful activity, and (2) has lasted or is expected to last at least one year or result in death. To determine eligibility, SSA uses a five-step sequential process that is intended, in part, to expedite disability decisions when possible and limit administrative costs by conducting less intensive assessments at earlier steps (see fig. 1). At steps 1 and 2 of the process, SSA determines whether an applicant is working and meets income thresholds as well as the medical severity of impairments. If so, the applicant moves to step 3 of the process. At this step, SSA examiners assess the applicant's medical impairment(s) against the Listings of Impairments, also known as the medical listings, which are organized into 14 major body systems for adults and reflect medical conditions that have been determined by the agency to be severe enough to qualify an applicant for benefits. If the individual's impairment meets or is equal in severity to one or more of those in the listings, the individual is determined to have a disability. If not, SSA performs an assessment of the individual's physical and mental residual functional capacity. Based on this assessment, SSA determines whether the individual is able to perform past relevant work (step 4) or any work that is performed in the national economy (step 5). To inform determinations at steps 4 and 5, SSA uses a Department of Labor database--known as the Dictionary of Occupational Titles (DOT)--for an inventory of occupations performed in the national economy. Since 2003, SSA's and other federal disability programs have remained on our high-risk list, in part, because their programs emphasize medical conditions in assessing work capacity without adequate consideration of work opportunities afforded by advances in medicine, technology, and job demands. Since the 1990s, we, along with SSA's Office of Inspector General and the Social Security Advisory Board, have expressed concerns that the medical listings being used no longer provide sufficient criteria to evaluate disability applicants' inability to work and that SSA was simply extending the listings instead of periodically updating them. In 2008, we reported that SSA had established a new process for revising the listings--referred to by SSA as the "business process"--to better incorporate feedback into its continuous updates. This process, which has been in effect since 2003, includes incorporating feedback from multiple parties, including medical experts and claims examiners, to update their medical criteria. SSA should also gather external feedback through comments associated with regulatory actions, such as the publication of advanced notices of proposed rulemaking (advanced notices) and notices of proposed rulemaking (notices) in the Federal Register. In addition, one year after a revision is made, SSA should conduct a study reviewing the changes. According to SSA documentation, this internal case study, now referred to as the postimplementation study, should involve surveying the field regarding the results of the regulation and areas to improve, as well as reviewing the data to determine whether expectations from the revision have been proven. With respect to information on jobs in the national economy that supports SSA's occupational criteria, we and others have reported that the DOT, which SSA still relies on to assess eligibility at steps 4 and 5 of the process, is outdated. The DOT has not been updated since 1991, and Labor has since replaced the DOT with a new database called the Occupational Information Network (O*NET).determined that O*NET is not sufficiently detailed for evaluating DI and SSI disability claims and therefore has begun developing its own OIS in order to better reflect the physical and mental demands of work in the national economy. Since our last review in 2008, SSA has made several changes that hold promise for improving medical listings updates. First, the agency is using a two-tiered system for ongoing revisions to the listings. Under this system, SSA first completes a comprehensive listings update for a body system that reviews all the diseases and disorders listed within that system and makes revisions it determines are needed. For subsequent updates of listings for a body system that underwent a comprehensive revision, SSA will pursue a more targeted approach--that is, SSA will conduct ongoing reviews with the expectation of making targeted revisions for a small number of medical diseases or disorders that need to be updated. Agency officials told us that targeted updates should be completed more quickly than comprehensive updates, allowing them to focus on the most critical changes needed. However, officials also noted that these ongoing reviews could result in major or even no changes, as appropriate. As of early March 2012, SSA had begun the ongoing review process to consider opportunities for targeted revisions for 8 out of 14 adult body systems that were recently comprehensively revised. Also as of early March 2012, the agency had not yet completed comprehensive revisions for the six remaining systems, which the agency expects to do before they conduct subsequent reviews under the targeted approach. Another change, according to agency officials, is that in 2010 the SSA Commissioner set a 5-year cycle time for updating listings for each body system. Previously, SSA set expiration dates for periodically updating listings according to each body system, ranging from 3 to 8 years, but frequently extended them. SSA officials believe that conducting targeted reviews will generally allow the agency to conclude any necessary revisions prior to the 5-year expiration period. Additionally, they expect that using the "business process," which requires early public notification of changes and obtaining necessary data and feedback from internal and external parties, should help keep continuous reviews on track. See figure 2 for the status and expiration dates of listings for the 14 adult body systems, undergoing review for either comprehensive or possible targeted revisions, as of early March 2012. SSA has made another change by more extensively engaging the medical community to identify ways to improve the medical listings. For example, SSA contracted with the Institute of Medicine to study its medical criteria for determining disability and to make recommendations for improving the timeliness and accuracy of its disability decisions, resulting in a 2007 report with recommendations and a symposium of experts in 2010. SSA has addressed some of the institute's recommendations, such as making better use of its administrative data to update criteria and creating a standing committee through the institute to provide recommendations for listings revisions. SSA continues to face delays in completing both comprehensive and other ongoing updates. For example, as of early March 2012, SSA officials told us they still needed to complete comprehensive revisions for listings of six body systems that have been ongoing for the last 19 to 33 years, after numerous extensions beyond the original expiration periods (see table 1). Two of the remaining six body system listings--mental and neurological disorders, which are among those SSA uses most frequently in its eligibility determination process--have not been comprehensively revised for 27 years.to expire in 2012. Of these four, SSA is developing a notice of proposed rulemaking for three of them and has issued a notice on the fourth. However, it is unclear whether SSA will complete the revisions before they are set to expire. In 2008, SSA began a multiyear project to develop a new source of occupational information that will replace the outdated information currently being used to determine if claimants are able to do their past work or any other work in the national economy. Since the 1960s, SSA has been using the DOT, which contains a list of job titles found in the national economy and was last updated in 1991. The DOT provides SSA with descriptions of the physical demands of work--such as climbing, balancing, and environmental requirements--for each of the more than 12,000 occupations listed. According to SSA, these descriptions have been essential to its evaluations of how much a claimant can do despite his or her impairment and whether this level of functioning enables the claimant to do his or her past work or any other work. After its last limited update, Labor decided to replace the DOT with O*NET, which has far fewer job titles compared with the DOT, but has served Labor's purposes more efficiently. According to an SSA report, after investigating potential alternatives, SSA decided that O*NET and other existing databases with occupational information were not sufficiently detailed and able to withstand legal challenges for use in its decision-making process. SSA further decided to develop its own occupational information system, which would contain detailed information as in the DOT, but would also include additional information, such as the mental demands of work. In addition, the OIS should (1) meet SSA's legal, program, and data requirements; (2) be flexible enough to incorporate changes in SSA's policies and processes; and (3) be able to be updated to reflect the evolving workplace environment. In 2008, SSA began taking several steps to guide the development of its OIS. SSA created an internal office and working group, as well as an Occupational Information Development Advisory Panel, comprised of external experts in areas related to the development of occupational information systems. The advisory panel holds quarterly public meetings and has several subcommittees that review material and make recommendations to SSA on developing various components of the OIS. For example, in a 2009 report, the advisory panel supported the need for SSA to develop a new source of occupational information, rather than adapt O*NET, and recommended the type of data SSA should collect, as well as suggested ways to classify occupations. To further inform its efforts, SSA has sought input from agencies or organizations that either collect occupational information or also use the DOT. For example, SSA officials held initial meetings with Labor and U.S. Census Bureau officials to gain information on sampling methods used for the O*NET, the Occupational Employment Statistics program, and Census Bureau's household surveys. in the process of completing a Memorandum of Understanding that will formalize their collaboration efforts on the new OIS. According to an SSA official, as the OIS project progresses, SSA plans to convene ad hoc roundtables with experts and other agency officials to explore specific subject areas, such as sampling issues. Besides working with Labor and Census Bureau officials, SSA officials and panel members have sought input from other experts and current users of the DOT, such as SSA disability adjudicators and external rehabilitation professionals, by conducting a user needs analysis in 2009 and presenting the OIS project at events and conferences. The Occupational Employment Statistics program produces employment and wage estimates for approximately 800 occupations. The Census Bureau's household surveys include (1) the American Community Survey, which is an ongoing survey that provides annual data on demographics such as age, education, and disabilities, and (2) the Current Population Survey , which is primarily a labor force survey, conducted every month by the Census Bureau for the Bureau of Labor Statistics and provides data such as the national unemployment rate. key components of the OIS in order to implement the OIS by 2016 at an estimated cost of $108 million. For example, the plan includes several baseline activities to identify and study other occupational information systems and various approaches for analyzing occupations that may inform or could be leveraged in SSA's OIS data collection. The plan also includes activities to identify the primary occupational, functional, and vocational characteristics of current beneficiaries. Other key components of the plan include developing descriptions of work requirements, such as the physical and mental demands for jobs, and data collection and analysis strategies. SSA also plans to develop a strategy for piloting data collection nationwide within this time frame. As of February 2012, SSA had made progress on many of the baseline activities outlined in its research and development plan for the OIS. For example, according to an SSA official, its investigation of existing occupational information systems, now complete, has resulted in useful information about design issues other organizations have confronted and mitigated when creating their own system. Additionally, SSA's preliminary analysis of its own administrative data identified the most frequently cited occupations and functional and vocational characteristics of disability applicants. SSA officials told us the agency will target the occupations identified in this analysis for its pilot studies of the OIS. Also in 2011, SSA completed a comprehensive framework for assessing an individual's capacity to work--key to informing the OIS content, according to SSA officials--which was based on recommendations of outside experts as well as SSA's policy and program requirements. While SSA has made progress on several key activities, agency officials delayed 2011 completion dates for certain activities and anticipate making additional changes to its timeline as a result of not meeting its staffing goals for fiscal year 2011. For example, the activities that were delayed by several months included finalizing reports for the baseline studies and conducting a literature review that would inform how occupations might be analyzed for the OIS. SSA officials told us that they would have needed to have the full complement of projected 2012 staff by September 2011 to complete all of the 2012 planned activities within the estimated schedule. However, SSA officials said they did not have the budget to hire new staff in September 2011. To address this challenge, SSA officials hired consultants to meet some of their needs. SSA officials also met with the Office of Personnel Management to explore the possibility of an interagency agreement that would allow SSA to use one or two of the Office of Personnel Management's industrial organizational psychologists to help on a part-time basis. As part of our ongoing work, we are assessing SSA's current OIS project schedule and cost estimates against best practices, and have preliminarily identified some gaps in SSA's approach. For example, best practices require cost estimates to be comprehensive and include information about life cycle costs--that is, how much the project is expected to cost over time. However, while SSA has estimated the cost to research and develop the OIS, the estimate does not project the future costs to implement or maintain the system. The cost of sustaining an OIS could be significant, based on other agencies' experiences maintaining their systems for collecting national occupational information. We preliminarily identified other gaps, such as lack of documentation describing step by step how the cost estimate was developed so that those unfamiliar with the program could understand how it was created. For our final report due later in 2012, we plan to deliver more comprehensive findings on how well SSA is managing the development of its OIS against best practices, such as estimating costs of the OIS and ensuring that the project schedule reliably estimates related activities, the length of time they will take, and how they are interrelated. We will also identify any mitigation strategies the agency may have to address project risks, such as the risk of the agency not receiving full funding. Chairman Johnson, Ranking Member Becerra, and Members of the Subcommittee, this concludes my prepared statement. I will be happy to respond to any questions. For further information regarding this testimony, please contact me at 202-512-7215 or bertonid@gao.gov. In addition, contact points for our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on the last page of this statement. Individuals who made key contributions to this testimony are Michele Grgich, Assistant Director, James Bennett, Kate Blumenreich, Julie DeVault, Alex Galuten, Sheila McCoy, Patricia M. Owens, Anjali Tekchandani, Kathleen Van Gelder, and Walter Vance. This is a work of the U.S. government and is not subject to copyright protection in the United States. The published product may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety without further permission from GAO. However, because this work may contain copyrighted images or other material, permission from the copyright holder may be necessary if you wish to reproduce this material separately.

Summary:
SSA administers two of the largest disability programs, with annual benefit payments that have grown fivefold over the last 20 yearsfrom $35 billion in 1990 to over $164 billion in 2010and the agency receives millions of new applications annually. GAO has designated federal disability programs as a high-risk area, in part because eligibility criteria have not been updated to reflect medical and technological advances and labor market changes. Given the size and cost of its disability programs, SSA needs updated criteria to appropriately determine who qualifies for benefits. In this statement, GAO discusses initial observations from its ongoing review and assessment of SSAs efforts to (1) update its medical criteria and (2) develop a new occupational information system. To do this, GAO reviewed prior GAO and SSA Inspector General reports; relevant federal laws and regulations; program documentation including policies, procedures, strategic goals, and supporting project plans; and cost estimates. GAO also interviewed SSA officials, project stakeholders, experts, and representatives from other agencies that administer disability programs. This work is ongoing and GAO has no recommendations at this time. GAO plans to issue its final report later in 2012. The Social Security Administration (SSA) has made several changes to improve the process it uses for updating its medical criteria, but continues to face challenges ensuring timely updates. SSA's medical criteria for adults are in the form of listings of medical conditions and impairments organized under 14 body systems, which SSA periodically updates. To help ensure timely, periodic updates of a body system's listings, SSA is moving away from comprehensively revising a body system's listings toward a more targeted approach, wherein SSA selects for revision those impairment listings most in need of change. To date, SSA has completed comprehensive revisions of listings for 8 of the 14 body systems and now is in the process of reviewing them to determine whether and which targeted revisions are appropriate. In 2010, the SSA Commissioner set a 5-year cycle time for updating listings for each body system, replacing the agency's prior practice of setting expiration dates for listings that ranged from 3 to 8 years and then frequently extending them. To further increase the timeliness and accuracy of decisions, SSA has sought recommendations from the Institute of Medicine and has acted on some of them, such as creating a standing committee to provide advice on updating the listings. However, SSA continues to face challenges keeping its listings up to date. For example, SSA is still working on completing comprehensive revisions of listings for six body systems that have been ongoing for 19 to 33 years. SSA staff told us that a lack of staff and expertise, along with the complexity and unpredictability of the regulatory process, have made it challenging to maintain its schedule of periodic updates for all listings. SSA has embarked on an ambitious plan to produce by 2016 an occupational inventory database to support its disability benefit decisions, but it is too soon to determine if SSA will meet key time frames. SSA currently relies on an occupational information source developed by the Department of Labor that was updated for the last time in 1991 and is viewed by many as outdated. In 2008, SSA initiated a project to develop its own occupational information system (OIS), which SSA expects will provide up-to-date information on the physical and mental demands of work, and in sufficient detail to support its disability benefit decisions. To guide the creation of its OIS, SSA established an advisory panel, collaborated with outside experts and other agencies, and in July 2011 issued a research and development plan detailing all relevant activities and goals between 2010 and 2016. As of February 2012, SSA had completed many initial research efforts, including investigating other types of occupational information systems and identifying job analysis methods. Despite preliminary progress, it is too early to determine if SSA will meet its target implementation date. SSA officials told us that due to staffing shortages it did not meet all initial goals on time and may need to adjust its time frames for future activities. While GAO is still evaluating SSA's schedule and cost estimates against best practices, we have preliminarily identified some potential gaps in SSA's approach, such as not reflecting the costs to both implement and maintain a new OIS.