Our work has identified several challenges related to U.S. efforts in Afghanistan. Among those we highlighted in our 2013 key issues report are a dangerous security environment, the prevalence of corruption, and the limited capacity of the Afghan government to deliver services and sustain donor funded projects. Dangerous security environment. Afghanistan's security environment continues to challenge the efforts of the Afghan government and international community. This is a key issue that we noted in 2007 when we reported that deteriorating security was an obstacle to the U.S. government's major areas of focus in Afghanistan.2009, the U.S. and coalition partners deployed additional troops to disrupt and defeat extremists in Afghanistan. While the security situation in Afghanistan has improved, as measured by enemy- In December initiated attacks on U.S. and coalition forces, Afghan security forces, and non-combatants, including Afghan civilians, the number of daily enemy-initiated attacks remains relatively high compared to the number of such attacks before 2009. In 2012, attacks on ANSF surpassed attacks on U.S. and coalition forces (see fig. 2). Prevalence of corruption in Afghanistan. Corruption in Afghanistan continues to undermine security and Afghan citizens' belief in their government and has raised concerns about the effective and efficient use of U.S. funds. We noted in 2009 that according to the Afghan National Development Strategy pervasive corruption exacerbated the Afghan government's capacity problems and that the sudden influx of donor money into a system already suffering from poor procurement practices had increased the risk of corruption and waste of resources. According to Transparency International's 2013 Corruption Perception Index, Afghanistan is ranked at the bottom of countries worldwide. In February 2014, the Afghan President dissolved the Afghan Public Protection Force which was responsible for providing security intended to protect people, infrastructure, facilities, and construction projects. DOD had reported major corruption concerns within the Afghan Public Protection Force. Limited Afghan capacity. While we have reported that the Afghan government has increased its generation of revenue, it remains heavily reliant on the United States and other international donors to fund its public expenditures and continued reconstruction efforts. In 2011, we reported that Afghanistan's domestic revenues funded only about 10 percent of its estimated total public expenditures. We have repeatedly raised concerns about Afghanistan's inability to sustain and maintain donor funded projects and programs, putting U.S. investments over the last decade at risk. DOD reported in November 2013 that Afghanistan remains donor dependent. These persistent challenges are likely to play an even larger role in U.S. efforts within Afghanistan as combat forces continue to withdraw through the end of 2014. The United States, along with the international community, has focused its efforts in areas such as building the capacity of Afghan ministries to govern and deliver services, developing Afghanistan's infrastructure and economy, and developing and sustaining ANSF. In multiple reviews of these efforts, we have identified numerous shortcomings and have made recommendations to the agencies to take corrective actions related to (1) mitigating against the risk of providing direct assistance to the Afghan government, (2) oversight and accountability of U.S. development projects, and (3) estimating the future costs of ANSF. In 2010, the United States pledged to provide at least 50 percent of its development aid directly through the Afghan government budget within 2 years. This direct assistance was intended to help develop the capacity of Afghan government ministries to manage programs and funds. In the first year of the pledge, through bilateral agreements and multilateral trust funds, the United States more than tripled its direct assistance awards to Afghanistan, growing from over $470 million in fiscal year 2009 to over $1.4 billion in fiscal year 2010. For fiscal year 2013 USAID provided about $900 million of its Afghanistan mission funds in direct assistance. In 2011 and 2013, we reported that while USAID had established and generally complied with various financial and other controls in its direct assistance agreements, it had not always assessed the risks in providing direct assistance before awarding funds. Although USAID has taken some steps in response to our recommendations to help ensure the accountability of direct assistance funds provided to the Afghan government, we have subsequently learned from a Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) report that USAID may have approved direct assistance to some Afghan ministries without mitigating all identified risks. Since 2002, U.S. agencies have allocated over $23 billion dollars towards governance and development projects in Afghanistan through USAID, DOD, and State. The agencies have undertaken thousands of development activities in Afghanistan through multiple programs and funding accounts. We have previously reported on systemic weaknesses in the monitoring and evaluation of U.S. development projects as well as the need for a comprehensive shared database that would account for all U.S. development efforts in Afghanistan (see table 1). With respect to monitoring and evaluation, although USAID collected progress reports from implementing partners for agriculture and water projects, our past work found that it did not always analyze and interpret project performance data to inform future decisions. USAID has undertaken some efforts in response to our recommendations to improve its monitoring and evaluation of the billions of dollars invested toward development projects in Afghanistan. We and other oversight agencies, however, have learned that USAID continued to apply performance management procedures inconsistently, fell short in maintaining institutional knowledge, and still needed to strengthen its oversight of contractors. For example, in February 2014, we reported that USAID identified improvements needed in its oversight and management of contractors in Afghanistan, including increasing the submission of contractor performance evaluations. We also found that USAID may have missed opportunities to leverage its institutional knowledge, and have recently recommended that USAID further assess its procedures and practices related to contingency contracting. GAO, Afghanistan Reconstruction: Progress Made in Constructing Roads, but Assessments for Determining Impact and a Sustainable Maintenance Program Are Needed, GAO-08-689 (Washington, D.C.: July 8, 2008). comprehensive database of U.S. development projects in Afghanistan in 2012, we suggested that Congress consider requiring U.S. agencies to report information in a shared comprehensive database. Since 2002, the United States, with assistance from coalition nations, has worked to build, train, and equip ANSF so that the Afghan government could lead the security effort in Afghanistan. U.S. agencies have allocated over $62 billion to support Afghanistan's security, including efforts to build and sustain ANSF, from fiscal years 2002 through 2013. This has been the largest portion of U.S. assistance in Afghanistan. The United States and the international community have pledged to continue to assist in financing the sustainment of ANSF beyond 2014. In April 2012, we reported concerns regarding the need to be transparent in disclosing the long-term cost of sustaining ANSF beyond 2014. DOD initially objected to such disclosure noting that ANSF cost estimates depend on a constantly changing operational environment and that it provided annual cost information to Congress through briefings and testimonies. Our analysis of DOD data estimates that the cost of continuing to support ANSF from 2014 through 2017 will be over $18 billion, raising concerns about ANSF's sustainability. Furthermore, we reported that on the basis of projections of U.S. and other donor support for ANSF, that there will be an estimated gap each year of $600 million from 2015 through 2017 between ANSF costs and donor pledges if additional contributions are not made. We previously noted in 2005 and 2008 that DOD should report to Congress about the estimated long-term cost to sustain ANSF.Congress mandated that DOD take such steps. In 2012, we once again In 2008, reported that DOD had not provided estimates of the long-term ANSF costs to Congress. Subsequently, in a November 2013 report to Congress on its efforts in Afghanistan, DOD included a section on the budget for ANSF and reported the expected size of ANSF to be 230,000 with an estimated annual budget of $4.1 billion. In February 2013, we reported that while the circumstances in Iraq differ from those in Afghanistan, potential lessons could be learned from the transition from a military to civilian-led presence to avoid possible missteps and better utilize resources. As we have reported, contingency planning is critical to a successful transition and to ensuring that there is sufficient oversight of the U.S. investment in Afghanistan.particularly vital given the uncertainties of the U.S.-Afghanistan Bilateral Security Agreement and post-2014 presence. While the circumstances, combat operations, and diplomatic efforts in Iraq differ from those in Afghanistan, potential lessons can be learned from the transition from a military to civilian-led presence in Iraq and applied to Afghanistan to avoid possible missteps and better utilize resources. In Iraq, State and DOD had to revise their plans for the U.S. presence from more than 16,000 personnel at 14 sites down to 11,500 personnel at 11 sites after the transition had begun--in part because the United States did not obtain the Government of Iraq's commitment to the planned U.S. presence. Given these reductions, we found that State was projected to have an unobligated balance of between about $1.7 billion and about $2.3 billion in its Iraq operations budget at the end of fiscal year 2013, which we brought to the attention of Congressional appropriators. As a result, $1.1 billion was rescinded from State's Diplomatic and Consular Programs account. According to DOD officials, U.S. Forces-Iraq planning assumed that a follow-on U.S. military force would be approved by both governments. The decision not to have a follow-on force led to a reassessment of State and DOD's plans and presence. In April 2014, we reported that State planned for the U.S. footprint in Afghanistan to consist of the U.S. Embassy in Kabul, with additional representation at other locations as security and resources allow. In a review still under way, we are examining the status of U.S. civilian agencies' plans for their presence in Afghanistan after the scheduled end of the U.S. combat mission on December 31, 2014, and how changes to the military presence will affect the post-2014 U.S. civilian presence. We have found that State plans to provide some critical support services to U.S. civilian personnel after the transition, but is planning to rely on DOD for certain other services. We plan to report in July 2014 on the anticipated size, locations, and cost of the post-2014 U.S. civilian presence, the planned division of critical support responsibilities between State and DOD, and how pending decisions regarding the post-2014 U.S. and coalition military presence will affect the U.S. civilian presence. In closing, the President announced in May 2014 that the United States intends to maintain a military presence in Afghanistan through the end of 2016, stationing about 10,000 military personnel in Afghanistan with two narrow missions: to continue supporting ANSF training efforts and to continue supporting counterterrorism operations against the remnants of al Qaeda. Simultaneously, the President announced that the embassy would be reduced to a "normal" presence. At the same time, the United States has made commitments to continue providing billions of dollars to Afghanistan over the next 2 years. These recently announced plans underscore the bottom line of my message today: continued oversight of U.S. agencies is required to ensure the challenges they face are properly mitigated in Afghanistan and that there is oversight and accountability of U.S. taxpayer funds. Chairman Ros-Lehtinen, Ranking Member Deutch, and Members of the Subcommittee, this concludes my prepared statement. I would be pleased to answer any questions that you may have at this time. For further information on this statement, please contact me at (202) 512- 7331 or johnsoncm@gao.gov. Contact points for our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on the last page of this statement. GAO staff who made key contributions to this testimony include Hynek Kalkus (Assistant Director), David Dayton, Anne DeCecco, Mark Dowling, Brandon Hunt, Christopher J. Mulkins, Kendal Robinson, and Amie Steele. 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Summary:
The U.S. government has engaged in multiple efforts in Afghanistan since declaring a global war on terrorism that targeted al Qaeda, its affiliates, and other violent extremists, including certain elements of the Taliban. These efforts have focused on a whole-of-government approach that calls for the use of all elements of U.S. national power to disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al Qaeda and its affiliates and prevent their return to Afghanistan. This approach, in addition to security assistance, provided billions toward governance and development, diplomatic operations, and humanitarian assistance. To assist Congress in its oversight, GAO has issued over 70 products since 2003 including key oversight issues related to U.S. efforts in Afghanistan. This testimony summarizes the key findings from those products and discusses: (1) the challenges associated with operating in Afghanistan, (2) key oversight and accountability issues regarding U.S. efforts in Afghanistan, and (3) the need for contingency planning as the U.S. transitions to a civilian-led presence in Afghanistan. Since 2003, GAO has identified numerous challenges related to U.S. efforts in Afghanistan. Among the various challenges that GAO and others have identified, are the following: the dangerous security environment, the prevalence of corruption, and the limited capacity of the Afghan government to deliver services and sustain donor-funded projects. As illustrated in the figure below, between fiscal years 2002 and 2013, U.S. agencies allocated nearly $100 billion toward U.S. efforts in Afghanistan. The United States, along with the international community, has focused its efforts in areas such as building the capacity of Afghan ministries to govern and deliver services, developing Afghanistan's infrastructure and economy, and developing and sustaining the Afghan National Security Forces. In multiple reviews of these efforts, GAO has identified numerous shortcomings and has made recommendations to the agencies to take corrective actions related to (1) mitigating the risk of providing direct assistance to the Afghan government, (2) oversight and accountability of U.S. development projects, and (3) estimating the future costs of sustaining Afghanistan's security forces which the United States and international community have pledged to support. In February 2013, GAO reported that while the circumstances, combat operations, and diplomatic efforts in Iraq differ from those in Afghanistan, potential lessons could be learned from the transition from a military- to a civilian-led presence to avoid possible missteps and better utilize resources. As GAO has reported, contingency planning is critical to a successful transition and to ensuring that there is sufficient oversight of the U.S. investment in Afghanistan. This is particularly vital given the uncertainties of the U.S.-Afghanistan Bilateral Security Agreement and the ultimate size of the post-2014 U.S. presence in Afghanistan. While GAO is not making new recommendations it has made numerous recommendations in prior reports aimed at improving U.S. agencies' oversight and accountability of U.S. funds in Afghanistan. U.S. agencies have generally concurred with these recommendations and have taken or plan to take steps to address them.