Here is an email: Dear PIRA Client: Our Europe and Japan Economy presentations on PIRA Online have recently been updated with the latest available data. These charts illustrate trends in key regional economic indicators. They are maintained on PIRA Online as a courtesy to our retainer clients. You can access these presentations via PIRA Online (www.pira.com) by logging in and, from the Client Home page, choosing a topic from the "Macro Data" drop-down menu at the top of the screen. If you need a user name and password for PIRA Online, or if you need help logging in, please contact Dyana Rothman at (212) 686-6808, email: support@pira.com. PIRA Energy Group
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A: PIRA Macro Economic Presentations
Here is an email: Matt, I am sending you as promised the PowerPoint presentations about different units of the Research Group. As you know, the current plan is to transfer 4 meteorologists from my group and 2 pure quants to the new company. I have no commitments from the pure quant side at this point, so I cannot give you any specific names. Vince Kaminski
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A: Research Group Power Point Presentations
Here is an email: Vasant, I wanted to keep you up-to-date on the redevelopment of forward curves for the suite of 7 plastics (ethylene contract, ethylene spot, propylene contract, propylene spot, polypropylene, HDPE, LLDPE). As you may recall, we talked about fitting all of the components into a VAR model and solving the system of simultaneous equations. Unfortunately, with a limited dataset (say 5 years or so), our degrees of freedom in such a model are dramatically reduced. Alternatively, Mauricio and I have decided to construct individual models for each of the plastics commodities while utilizing results from the initial VAR analysis as a guide. Based on the petrochemicals flowsheet, both propylene and ethylene are fashioned directly from raw materials such as crude oil, coal, and natural gas. In turn, polypropylene may be made from propylene while HDPE and LLDPE use ethylene as a raw material. Given this logical flow, we restricted our model specifications in the following manner (all price variables tested for stationarity--first difference used in all cases):
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A:
Plastics Models