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Transmission Customers: Since FERC did not act on our September 11, 2001, PJM West compliance filing (Docket No. RT01-98-000) at its December 19th meeting, Allegheny Power (AP) will need to delay the start of the PJM West arrangement until March 1, 2002. In order to accommodate the further delay in the start date, AP will need to sell transmission service under the AP OATT and on the AP OASIS for the month of February 2002. To accomplish this, AP will do the following: * AP will attempt to call the Transmission Customers that have "confirmed" point-to-point transmission service reservations on the PJM OASIS for the paths that are not currently valid for PJM (AEP and DLCO) by 4:30 p.m. on December 21 to determine if they need comparable service on the AP system. If that is the case, AP will honor the "confirmed" reservations and the PJM OASIS timestamps. * Yearly service that was not given the option to exercise roll-over rights on the PJM paths (AP to PJM and PJM to AP) will be given the option to extend that service through the month of February. AP will attempt to call these Transmission Customers by 4:30 p.m. on December 21. * ATCs for the month of February will be uploaded to the AP OASIS starting at 8 a.m. on December 24. The upload will include all valid AP paths (AEP, PJM, VAP, FE and DLCO). * Transmission Marketing will post a message on the OASIS when the ATC upload is started and when it is complete. * Transmission service beyond March 1, 2002, will continue to be sold by PJM per the Interim Coordination Agreement that was filed with FERC on February 12, 2001. * January 30, 2002, is the last scheduled FERC meeting in January. If FERC does not act on our filing at that time, the start of the PJM West arrangement may then be delayed until April 1, 2002. Further information will be provided at that time, if necessary.
Answer: PJM West Implementation Delay to March 1, 2002
To forecast Entex: We have a database that contains the citygate volumes by day, with the low and high temps for each day. When we get a weather report for the new day, we enter the projected low temp and the spread into the file. The database is sorted by that information with a +/- 2 degrees on the temps, and provides an average volume for that criteria. (For example: With temps of 40-60, the sort would produce a list of the volumes pulled for each day with a low of 38 to 42 degrees and a temperature spread of 20 to 22 degrees. An average is then calculated from that volumetric data. In this case, the average is calculated to 259,000 Mmbtu.) Upon calculating the average, we then apply information we obtain through daily business and adjust that estimate. Things to consider: if weather is cloudy or sunny, wet or dry; wind chill; Entex's obligation on Midcon; Entex's recent operating procedures; Entex takes versus our prior estimates (have we been under or overestimating volumes each day), etc. Additionally, since we only see about 30% of the meters, we apply a factor to estimate the remaining 70%. If we have an unaccounted volume for a few days that is fairly consistent (and we have determined that the ua4 has not been caused by something else), we may adjust the factor to bring the estimates more in line. Let me know if you have any questions. Daren
Answer: Entex Forecasting
Russell: Our confirms desk has informed me that Aquila Risk Management has not been executing confirmations that are sent to them and apparently the reason for this was that they ere waiting for the Utilicorp Master to be put in place. Now that we have completed the Master, is there some way that we can get these confirms executed? I will send you a list of deals shortly, but I'm assuming that given the language that we have in the Master that there should be no problem in signing the existing confirms that reference the existing Aquila Master. I look forward to hearing from you. Carol
Answer:
Unsigned Confirmations