For a particular American football game, the probability of a team's quarterback throwing a completed pass on each throw is 3/10. What is the least number of times that the quarterback should throw the ball that will increase the probability of getting a completed pass at least once to more than 50%.
Options:
(A) 10
(B) 5
(C) 2
(D) 3
(E) 1 Hmmm, my stream of consciousness:
Rule of Subtraction: P(A) = 1 - P(A')
Rule of Multiplication: P(A B) = P(A) P(B)
The probability that the quarterback throws a completed pass at least once in 2 throws is 1- (7/10)^2 = 1 - 49/100 = 51/100 > 50% So, the answer is (C).