Given the task definition and input, reply with output. In this task, you're given a statement and three sentences as choices. Your job is to determine the neutral choice based on your inference from the statement and your commonsense knowledge. The neutral choice is a sentence that neither agrees nor disagrees with the statement. Indicate your answer as '1', '2', or '3', corresponding to the choice number of the selected sentence. If sentence X agrees with sentence Y, one's correctness follows from the other one. If sentence X disagrees with sentence Y, they can not be correct at the same time.

Statement: He cemented a peace treaty with England by marrying Margaret Tudor, the daughter of Henry VII the so-called Marriage of the Thistle and the Rose but this did not prevent him from making a raid into England in 1513. Choices: 1. There were no raid attempts into England in 1513. 2. The peace treaty with England lasted for several decades. 3. There existed a peace treaty with England at some point in history.
2