IN: No Cold Weather In Sight Tropical Storm / Hurricane Chances Increase for the Eastern Gulf / Florida Sorry this is late today - my home system has been down much of the day due to road runner issues. Today's and yesterday's models showed fairly unanimously that a progressive weather pattern is in store for the first 10 days of November. As discussed on Friday - this will keep any long lasting or substantial cold air from penetrating into the nation. It looks wet in the Pacific Northwest and overall mild for the eastern Interconnect. This week the cold air will be leaving and a strong warming trend will occur for the mid and latter parts of the week. The mornings will continue to be rather cold in New England through the middle of the week. A tropical disturbance in the Carribean will have to be watched closely. As usual, there are a variety of possibilities with this varying from nothing at all to the formation of a tropical storm or hurricane. If anything did develop - it is still unlikely to affect production as it probably would drift north toward the eastern Gulf of Mexico or into Florida. This is all speculation at this point as there is only thunderstorms down there now. We should have a couple of days to determine the threat, if any, to production. In the far long term beyond the 10th of November, yes there are some weak signs of a pattern change but so far, I have seen no evidence that suggests any cold weather pattern will lock in anytime soon. Earth Sat's 6 to 10 day for tomorrow will probably look similar to the 11 to 15 day that Earth Sat had from Friday. A little below normal in the Northeast / Lakes while mostly normal or even normal to above elsewhere. Earth Sat has had an overall cold bias lately. It is pretty likely that the market will not see a major "locking in" of a cold pattern tomorrow either. Bottom line, pretty normal progression of weather heading into November. Plenty of cold air up there in northern Canada, more than usual, but see no reason right now to get excited for cold weather in the short term.

Generate a subject line.

OUT: Sunday Weather Update

IN: Do you guys have a rough estimate of the NW power exports for 2002? We just want to come up with a rough estimate of what the year on year difference will be from the NW to CA. Grigsby

Generate a subject line.

OUT: hydro forecast

IN: Ike, with the danger of being too presumptious, I thought I would follow up with an e-mail to suggest a procedure for trading settlement offers on Wednesday. Attached I have a suggested template for each party to use so that we can ensure that we are comparing "apples to apples". I would also suggest that each party provide sufficient back-up to justify their numbers. It may also be helpful for TVA and EPMI to use an independent party, such as Charles Bone, as the intermediary to facilitate the transfer of each parties settlement offer. I am in the office over the next several days. Lets discuss at your earliest convenience. Regards

Generate a subject line.

OUT: Settlement Template

IN: Phillip, Thank you for meeting with us today. I want to take a few minutes to summarize the decisions that came out of our meeting. 1. Feedback Approach: We will incorporate the ideas and suggestions you gave us and move forward with this approach. 2. SME Review of Knowledge System Topics: When the time comes for Topics reviews, we will send you the name of the SME who is responsible for sign-off on each topic. 3. Conversion and Arbitrage Problems: We will brainstorm ways to incorporate more problems without going over our 4-6 hour target. We will meet with you next Tuesday at 10:00 to review the problems as we've designed them so far and arrive at a solution. (I will send an e-mail Monday with the room number.) Have a good weekend. Mery This message is for the designated recipient only and may contain privileged, proprietary, or otherwise private information. If you have received it in error, please notify the sender immediately and delete the original. Any other use of the email by you is prohibited.

Generate a subject line.

OUT:
Summary of Today's Meeting