Home Request TrialSign In SUBSCRIPTIONS CONSULTING ABOUT US MY OXFORD CONTACT EVENTS MY SECTOR Australia's leading independent economic and industry forecaster Global Research Briefing A greener economy is becoming inevitable The Australian government is facing growing pressure on several fronts to solidify lower carbon emission targets. If left unchecked, these pressures could translate to material headwinds for the financial sector and the real economy. ACCESS REPORT CORONAVIRUS: Q3’s GDP softness may be a blip... WORLD POST COVID: Vaccination not the only remedy for African tourism recovery... BREXIT: Assessing the economic implications... Get updates SUBSCRIPTION SERVICES BIS Oxford Economics is Australia’s leading provider of macroeconomics and industry forecasts, underpinned by over 50 years of experience and a team of 40 economists and analysts. Learn more CONSULTING SERVICES Our economists are experts at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Learn more LATEST AUSTRALIAN ANALYSIS NOV 25 2021 Sydney Industrial Property 2021 - 2031 Demand for industrial property in Sydney is at record levels despite the economic setback arising from the June to October lockdown. Take-up of space has outpaced above-average levels of new... NOV 25 2021 Road Construction in Australia 2022 - 2036 Road construction work done increased to $5.7bn in the June 2021 quarter, up 7.2% from a year earlier. Privately funded work increased 13.4% year-on-year as strong demand for new detached housing saw... NOV 24 2021 India: Building and Construction in India 2021-2025: November 2021 Update Total construction work done (real terms) is expected to have declined in Q2, with construction gross value-added (GVA) figure plummeting 27.6% q/q. The sector was hit hard by the second COVID-19 wave... NOV 24 2021 Canberra Commercial Property Prospects 2021-2031 The Canberra office market continues to fare better than most other Australian CBD office markets with its metro/Civic vacancy rates expected to hit 6.8%/7.1% by December 2021. Demand is set... NOV 18 2021 Malaysia: Building and Construction in Malaysia 2021-2025: November 2021 Update Total construction work done fell 21.0% y/y in Q3, as the pandemic-induced ‘total lockdown’ meant all construction works (unless critical) were once again suspended. This also forced the government to... NOV 18 2021 The profound impact of a deeper real estate slump According to our modelling, a more severe housing market downturn in China than we currently expect would slow China’s growth markedly and have a major impact on global growth. Our scenarios range fro... NOV 17 2021 Japan: Building and Construction in Japan 2021-2025: November 2021 Update Total construction work done is forecast to rebound 2.7% in 2021 (down from our previous forecast of 5.1%). Activity in August grew at 1.5% as construction work was hampered by the continuation of St... NOV 15 2021 Border reopening progress spurring migration recovery An accelerated COVID-19 vaccine rollout has shifted Australia towards the high end of vaccine uptake globally, pulling forward Australia’s border reopening. While aggregate travel flows will be constr... NOV 15 2021 Labour market shortages starting to emerge Although the economy is still emerging from the Delta lockdowns, reports of labour shortages have re-emerged. The extent and severity of the shortages will be a crucial determinant of how quickly wage... LATEST GLOBAL ANALYSIS NOV 25 2021 Key themes 2022: Strong recovery amid shifting risks Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in 2022. But next year will herald a new phase in... NOV 23 2021 The real estate bounce will extend into 2022 After bouncing back from the pandemic in 2021, global real estate will likely have another strong year in 2022 – we expect returns of 8%. Despite disruptions in product and labour markets and isolated... NOV 23 2021 More talk or actual progress? Assessing COP26 outcome The most important achievement at COP26 was the success of the ‘Paris ratchet,’ whereby countries have to return every five years with updated emission targets. All told, including the long-term plans... NOV 23 2021 Global capital flows stabilise, but at a modest level After a brief interruption in early 2020, global capital flows have now stabilised. The good news for the world economy is that the recovery in flows has been much faster than after the global financi... NOV 19 2021 Are labour markets tight enough for lasting inflation? As inflation spikes globally, the key question is how long it will last. Now that fiscal support for household budgets is all but done, the answer probably lies in labour markets. According to our ana... NOV 18 2021 Supply chain problems peaking, but risks remain Global supply-chain disruption will peak this quarter, according to our country experts. In our survey of economies accounting for 90% of world GDP, all respondents see supply chain issues hitting gro... NOV 17 2021 A new Banking Sector Risk Indicator (BSRI): White Paper The characteristics of banking crises have changed significantly over recent decades; and changes in data coverage have been even more dramatic. Our new banking sector risk indicator (BSRI) encompasse... NOV 16 2021 Coronavirus Watch: Q3’s GDP softness may be a blip After expanding strongly in Q2, global GDP growth slowed in Q3 in response to the Delta disruption and ongoing supply chain problems. NOV 15 2021 EM central banks – ahead of the curve or round the bend? Ahead of the curve sounds like an attractive place to be. A central bank that hikes decisively may reassure markets, nip inflationary forces in the bud, and trigger a surge of inflows into bond market... NOV 09 2021 Normalising money growth is reducing inflation risks Global money supply growth is starting to normalise, lessening the threat of high inflation. Upside risks to money growth remain, but timely action to rein in QE and modest rate hikes should be enough... NEW AUSTRALIAN SUB-CITY SERVICE As our cities grow and adapt to economic developments, insights at the city and sub-city level are more important than ever. Understanding divergent trends across states and within cities is crucial for enabling our clients to make better strategic decisions, identify new opportunities, and manage key risks. Learn more CONSTRUCTION IN AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND Market-leading insights and detailed analysis of the construction industry into Australia and New Zealand, providing forecast and identifying market opportunities and risks. Learn more PROPERTY CLASSES IN AUSTRALIA With 30 years’ experience in forecasting Australia’s property markets, BIS Oxford Economics’ analysis offers deep insights into future market prospects and realistic forecasts that can be relied upon to guide clients in strategic property decisions. Learn more INTRODUCING: GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY MODEL Measure the impact your company has on the environment using our new model. Register interest ABOUT US As part of the Oxford Economics Group we are the largest independent economics research house worldwide. Our team are experts at applying advanced economic and research techniques to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Thanks to our multi-disciplinary team and our wide access to sector experts, executives and policy-makers we can dig deep into the business, economic, industry, financial, regulatory, technology, and social issues that organisations have to face. Learn more IN THE MEDIA NOV 24 2021 AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW: Construction holds up stronger than expected in September quarter NOV 24 2021 THE CANBERRA TIMES: NSW, ACT construction hit by lockdowns NOV 16 2021 ABC NEWS: Housing is expensive now, imagine a market with more migrants. Economists see rent, house price lift in 2023 NOV 11 2021 ABC NEWS: Unemployment rate surges to 5.2 per cent, with thousands looking for work as lockdowns ease NOV 11 2021 THE GUARDIAN: Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 5.2% in October as economy sheds 46,000 jobs BIS Oxford Economics About us Economists and analysts Careers Contact us Products and services Subscription services Consulting Help and software Help using our services Software and downloads Latest technology developments Privacy Privacy policy Cookies FOLLOW US LinkedIn Twitter Facebook © BIS Oxford Economics 2021 - all rights reserved. We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. For more information please read our cookie policy Continue