Caribbean Hurricane Network - Updates from the Islands - | home | tools | pleas for help | QHWRN | guide | climatology | archive | 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season | Arthur | Bertha | Cristobal | Dolly | Edouard | Fay | Gonzalo | Hanna | Isaias | Josephine | Kyle | Laura | Marco | Nana | Omar | Paulette | Rene | Sally | Teddy | Vicky | Wilfred | Active Tropical Systems: None! Atlantic Hurricane Season is from June 1 - November 30 GOES Satellite - Zoomed in on the Caribbean (02:15 UTC, 47 minutes ago) Vertical gridlines 10° or about 650 miles (~1050 km) apart. [more satellite imagery]. donation drive... I wish it was not necessary but I am in need for donations... We are very lucky to have a slow hurricane season so far. This means less traffic to my website, resulting in less advertising income. However, my costs are still about the same... The donations I have received so far this year (thank you!) are by far not enough to make up for it. So, please support this unique website by visiting the donations webpage. Any amount helps! Thank you so much! -Gert Tweet Sunday, October 5, 2014 08:34AM EDT - Quiet but? Good Sunday morning all! With the Pacific region getting all sorts of unwanted attention in all tropical quadrants, the Atlantic side has been bereft of any attention in the tropical cyclone formation arena with the exception of a few dubious "L"s, mainly designated to probably keep everyone at the NHC from yawning and to keep complacency, a virile enemy, from becoming entrenched. Starting off to the east on the African continent, there is only one wave of any real relativity and that one hasn't even made it halfway across yet. Most of the continent is pretty dormant. On the west coast itself, there is a low latitude wave getting ready to splash and dash but the stability of the atmosphere and the continued presence of unusually late in the season Saharan dust will put a "damper" on potential development. Mid Atlantic lots of moisture spread out between 5-15 degrees N and 45 degrees W but it is enveloped in the ITCZ and looks to be a rainmaker for the southern Windward Islands who really don't need more rain with some parts of T&T flooding and should shunt some of that rain up here to the north. "hint hint" Locally it has been hot (hi temp supposed to be 82 and its already 84 at 8 am), unusually dusty and hazy, and rain drops have been sporadic at best. Forecast looks for some moisture to move in next week but nothing organized or remotely significant with wind shear, in conjunction with the dust, remaining mortal enemies of convection. Down the road the area to watch will be the SW Caribbean as conditions have ripened as is normal for this time of year. While the CV or Cape Verde season has been declared DOA, the possibilities of storm formation have gradually increased in the deep Caribbean and could be aided by some flow from the East Pacific. Will there be a hurricane on Florida's doorstep around October 15th? Some of the more reliable models (and I temper that word reliable) forecast just that. With their record here in the Atlantic this season being dubious at best, many people will not give any attention unless something just blows up and heads there way. We still have 7 weeks left in the official season. For those in the Caribbean and the Gulf, now is not the time to forget that. Continue being aware and prepared. Dave Thursday, September 11, 2014 15:56PM EDT - TD#6 & 92L Good afternoon! Returning from a week in the beautiful country of Costa Rica with very limited access to media on the Pacific side hoping nothing was going on tropics wise I see I haven't missed much until the last day or two. 92L will be a drencher for mid to south Florida and the northern/central Bahamas and has a scheduled date with Gulf of Mexico. This date may give some along the gulfcoast a very big headache in the days to come but development is not expected to be rapid even though there is plenty of energy available in the form of very warm and unmolested STT's. Models are all over the place as it is a weak system but we will see what happens after the peninsula crossing.If you are in the gulf, you need to monitor this system as it will be like a caged animal. It has no where to go but hit land somewhere. TD#6 should eventually reach Cat 1 status by the time it reaches the cooler waters of the north central Atlantic and is not expected to be a threat to any Caribbean of US land masses at this time. Looking at the satellite images it's environment is fairly moist and wind shear manageable for development. Already above 16 degrees north, Edouard, as it will knighted, is resigned to becoming a "fish storm". More over the next few days. Time to catch a plane! Dave Monday, September 1, 2014 22:56PM PDT - Tropical Storm Dolly The fifth tropical depression has been upgraded to tropical storm Dolly. It is located in the Bay of Campeche, just north of the Yucatan. It is expected to make landfall in Mexico as a tropical storm by Wednesday morning. The biggest threat of this storm will be the torrential rainfall which might cause flash flooding and mudslides. Use the tools above to see the threatened areas. Reporting from 29N, 146W in the Pacific, with some slow but live internet. -Gert ... Older discussions >> Current Tropical Weather Outlook (NHC/TPC): en Español Accompanying satellite image (pop-up, source: NHC) NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands are associated with a broad surface low pressure area and an upper-level low. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for gradual development as a tropical or subtropical cyclone through the weekend while the surface low moves generally northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Brown More detail in the Tropical Weather Discussion or view the Graphicast Image - - - Do you live in the Caribbean? - - - Join our team of special local hurricane correspondents. stormCARIB is brought to you by GoBeach Vacations - Your Accommodation Specialist for the Caribbean - stormCARIB is hosted at and supported by pairNetworks Support stormCARIB -- Donations needed -- Latest local updates from the special hurricane correspondents on the islands: - Grenada [Oct 8 9:07] - St.Maarten/St.Martin [Oct 8 3:07] - St.Croix [Oct 7 22:42] - Trinidad & Tobago [Oct 7 5:46] - Dominica [Oct 4 19:17] - Nevis [Oct 4 11:25] - Bonaire [Oct 3 19:00] - St.Thomas [Oct 3 8:10] - Culebra (PR) [Oct 1 6:32] - Anguilla [Sep 27 17:56] - Tortola & Virgin Gorda [Sep 25 8:37] - Curaçao [Sep 23 22:38] - Cayman Islands [Sep 22 16:00] - Martinique [Sep 20 18:39] - Barbados [Sep 11 19:52] - Dominican Republic [Sep 6 19:01] - Antigua [Sep 6 18:05] - St.Lucia [Sep 6 12:44] - Belize [Aug 31 11:28] - Puerto Rico [Aug 24 10:38] - Turks & Caicos [Aug 24 9:55] - Haiti [Aug 22 17:20] - Vieques (PR) [Aug 22 12:30] - Montserrat [Aug 21 19:59] - St.John [Aug 2 10:22] - St.Vincent & Grenadines [Aug 1 16:05] - Aruba [Jul 30 9:10] - Jamaica [Jul 21 16:35] - Florida Keys [Jul 3 8:22] Only reports received for this season are listed. See the archive for previous years. Links to excellent websites: - Navy/NRL Monterey - WeatherUnderground - NOAA/NESDIS (floater loops) - RAMSDIS Imagery - Caribbean/Atl. buoy data - RT model guidance (RAL/NCAR) - STORM2K forum - Tracking Waves (McNoldy) - more... Storm definitions by wind speed: - Tropical Depression <39mph - Tropical Storm 39-73mph - Cat.1 Hurricane 74-95mph - Cat.2 Hurricane 96-110mph - Cat.3 Hurricane 111-129mph - Cat.4 Hurricane 130-156mph - Cat.5 Hurricane >=157mph More info in the Practical Guide - - - Local hurricane correspondents wanted! - - - The local hurricane correspondents are the heart and soul of stormCARIB. They are the people who live on the island and write to us what is going on around them. First hand very local personal reports instead of very limited or sensationalized coverage by the general media. Do you live on one of the islands? We need your help! We are looking for more people who are interested in sending us a few paragraphs about the situation on your island before, during and after a storm hits. You don't need to be a weatherman or expert on the subject, just share with us what you know, feel and see on your island. Your help will be really appreciated by Caribbean people living abroad with family living on the islands, future visitors who have their Caribbean dream-vacation booked, etc.etc. Reliable, not-sensationalized information is just so hard to get in crisis situations. Help keep the rest of the world up-to-date with what is really happening! We really need you, Georges back in 1998, and many others since then are proof! If interested, contact gert@gobeach.com. WHAT TO FIND ON StormCARIB.com: This website is all about the Caribbean. Here you can find information, weather discussions and local reports regarding tropical systems threatening the Caribbean islands. A central part of this website is the volunteer network of special local hurricane correspondents, living on the islands, who will report, when need be, on how it looks and feels like around them. Above also hopefully easy to understand weather discussions by me and Dave. In addition, as an aid in locating family or friends on the islands in an emergency situation you can post your 'plea for help' on the bulletin board. Also featured on this website is the Quick Hurricane Web Resource Navigator, for easy locating to the least overloaded webserver for National Hurricane Center advisories and the latest satellite images. Another part of the Caribbean Hurricane Network is the 'practical guide' to hurricane tracking with unit conversions, definitions, tips, links, etc. You can also find out how close the storm is and how many hours you have left to prepare plus you can map the closest point of approach of a hurricane to your location. New is the climatology of Caribbean hurricanes section. Find out when the real peak of hurricane season is for individual islands, view hurricane tracks passing by the islands over the last 150+ years. An archive with detailed reports of how the Caribbean islands fared during the 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004 (incl. Frances and Ivan), 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999 (incl. Floyd and Lenny), 1998 (incl. Georges and Mitch), 1997 and 1996 seasons are still available as well. Plus there is more, like storm-centered satellite images, make your own local satellite loop, etc. Hope you find the information on this website (now counting over thousands pages with original content) helpful. Comments always welcome! RSS web feed available. As a side note I am now accepting donations as well. Thanks for visiting! Maintained & moderated by: Gert van Dijken (gert@gobeach.com). Weather discussions also by Dave McDermott, St.Thomas, USVI. GoBeach Vacations - Your source for the best Caribbean vacation you've ever had! - www.gobeach.com | info@gobeach.com Back to top | home | tools | pleas for help | QHWRN | guide | climatology | archive | Disclaimer The information on these pages is derived from weather statements provided by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and others, and from hurricane correspondents in the Caribbean. I tried to translate the official weather statements in more layman's terms. Also, I tried to fill the gap in reporting on what is happening in the Caribbean, instead of the US (there are already many other good website which focus on the US). Keep in mind that my statements are my own interpretations from the information available to me. Therefore, use the information at your own risk, and above all, don't use these webpages for making life-or-death decisions, always rely on the official and qualified authorities! Accuracy of eye-witness reports by the special hurricane correspondents have not been checked. They may be highly subjective. The author can not be held responsible for lost property, ruined vacations and the like. Despite all this I hope you found the webpage informative and useful. These pages do not have a commercial intent. GoBeach Vacations provided the means and opportunity to start all this. 'Unfortunately' this website has become too popular, placing too much load on the gobeach.com webservers. Luckily, starting in 2000, my excellent webhost provider, pairNetworks, liked my website so much that they support services whenever they can. Comments are always welcome. Just send a note to gert@gobeach.com. Gert