Patent Document ID: 4197854
Application ID: 05871924
Patent Flag: 1

Claim One:
1. A process for the recognition and forecasting of a possible danger condition, especially for intensive medical care where an endangered patient is under continuous instrumental and personal attendance, which danger conditions is a complex function of several variables that are continuously measured specific conditional characteristics, data reported occasionally by the attending personnel, data obtained from the anamnesis, and data representing time durations that have elapsed since the occurrence of certain events, the process comprising the steps of: using the variables to set up a danger function that represents the probability of occurrence of the danger condition; forming discrete average values of the danger function throughout subsequent predetermined discrete time periods that are substantially shorter than the average time required for a medical intervention, known to be between 2 and 10 minutes, to overcome the danger condition; comparing the formed average values with respective levels of discrete increasing predetermined sequences of threshold values; providing an indication associated with a highest momentaneous exceeded threshold value; using the discrete average values to set up a regression function which approximates the sequence thereof; determining a subsequent extrapolated value of the regression function for the next time period that represents a forecast average value of the danger function; and also indicating the extrapolated value provided it is higher than a predetermined level which latter corresponds to at least the lowest one of the threshold values; which lowest value has not been exceeded during said comparing step.