Patent Document ID: 9898024
Application ID: 14733540
Patent Flag: 1

Claim One:
1. A controller for an energy consumption modeling system, comprising: a memory; and a processor configured to execute executable instructions stored in the memory to: assign energy consumption data to an on state and an off state of a device; generate a model configured to predict a future state of the device and a duration of the future state of the device by: generating a probability distribution for a duration of a current state of the device as a function of a duration of a previous state of the device and operating conditions of the device that include a temperature setpoint of the device and a geographic location of the device; and predicting a transition between the current state of the device and the future state of the device using the probability distribution and an amount of time already spent by the device in the current state; predict a future energy consumption of the device using the assigned energy consumption data and the generated model, wherein the predicted future energy consumption of the device is used by a utility to perform a demand response event; and detect a fault of the device using the assigned energy consumption data and the generated model.