Patent Document ID: 8341110
Application ID: 13073327
Patent Flag: 1

Claim One:
1. A method of forecasting a critical time point for an event type, comprising the steps of: causing at least one processor to execute a plurality of instructions stored in at least one memory device to designate at least one temporal feature, wherein the temporal feature is designated based upon a correlation between the temporal feature and the event type; causing the at least one processor to execute a plurality of instructions stored in the at least one memory device to determine an intensity function representing an expected value of event type instances corresponding to the temporal feature; causing the at least one processor to execute a plurality of instructions stored in the at least one memory device to determine a time window break associated with the intensity function, the window break representing observed change across a time threshold for the temporal feature; and causing the at least one processor to execute a plurality of instructions stored in the at least one memory device to assess whether the time window break is a critical time point for the event type.